02-22-19 |
Niagara +8.5 v. Rider |
|
81-97 |
Loss |
-109 |
8 h 9 m |
Show
|
Taking NIAGARA. Rider crushed these guys on the road a month ago 104-84. Think Niagara will want to play better than that. What I can't overlook is Iona on deck for Rider. And overlooking a team you whooped by 20 on the road is a possibility, especially when you have this revenge game on deck. MAAC crowded with a bunch of 9-6 teams including Iona and Rider on top. So road team on a 12-4 ATS run last 16. Couple that with Rider's 1-7 ATS run at home. I think we have a winner on our hands. Rider also 3-12-1 ATS in MAAC play. Doggy up. 4* Money Maker NIAGARA
|
02-22-19 |
Wisc-Milwaukee +9.5 v. IUPU-Indianapolis |
|
60-67 |
Win
|
100 |
8 h 3 m |
Show
|
Taking MILWAUKEE. I will gladly, and honestly with mixed results this season, grab a conference dog. I have said before when I see 4-10 and 6-8 or something like 5-8/6-7 in conference play - there is not much separation between these teams. And getting nearly double digits? Sign me up. Yes, we are backing a team that has dropped 7 straight. But, can you feel good about backing IUPUI who has dropped 4 straight themselves and is now a big fave? IUPUI was favored in 3 of the 4, the 4th was a PK. Wisc Mil covered as dogs in conference play, and will do it again. 4* Money Maker MILWAUKEE
|
02-22-19 |
Bowling Green -4 v. Ohio |
|
87-92 |
Loss |
-108 |
8 h 54 m |
Show
|
Taking BOWLING GREEN. Maybe a bit of wishful thinking with this low looking number. BG has been cashing lately with a 12-3-1 ATS run their last 16. That includes a nice 10-3 ATS run in MAC play. Beat Ohio by 19 back in January. Ohio 1-6 ATS run at home, and 2-12 ATS run last 14 in conference play. 4* Money Maker BOWLING GREEN
|
02-21-19 |
UC-Davis +6.5 v. CS-Fullerton |
|
58-62 |
Win
|
100 |
11 h 17 m |
Show
|
This is one of our system plays, and quite frankly, like most of my CBB this year, it has been hit or miss as we continue to hover a couple game above/below .500. These lines just keep coming up later and later and we lose some value. Other System Plays that will be added, but no write up, since I am putting that here. Play all these for 1 or 2 Units. MONEY MAKER on CAL DAVIS
|
02-21-19 |
Idaho State +5.5 v. Portland State |
|
93-99 |
Loss |
-107 |
11 h 15 m |
Show
|
Taking IDAHO STATE. 5-10 in conference getting points from 6-8. Bengals knocked off Portland State already at home by a basket. Vikings shooting just 40% on the year. Can't back a team that has trouble scoring. Idaho State 7-1-1 ATS last 9 in the series. 4* Money Maker IDAHO STATE
|
02-21-19 |
UMKC +6 v. Seattle University |
|
64-69 |
Win
|
100 |
11 h 47 m |
Show
|
This is one of our system plays, and quite frankly, like most of my CBB this year, it has been hit or miss as we continue to hover a couple game above/below .500. These lines just keep coming up later and later and we lose some value. Other System Plays that will be added, but no write up, since I am putting that here. Play all these for 1 or 2 Units. MONEY MAKER on UMKC
|
02-21-19 |
SIU-Edwardsville +6 v. Tennessee State |
|
85-84 |
Win
|
100 |
10 h 34 m |
Show
|
This is one of our system plays, and quite frankly, like most of my CBB this year, it has been hit or miss as we continue to hover a couple game above/below .500. These lines just keep coming up later and later and we lose some value. Other System Plays that will be added, but no write up, since I am putting that here. Play all these for 1 or 2 Units. MONEY MAKER on SIU-EDWARDSVILLE
|
02-21-19 |
Tennessee-Martin v. Murray State -14.5 |
|
75-85 |
Loss |
-105 |
10 h 42 m |
Show
|
Taking MURRAY STATE. Will lay the big number. TMart just 3-10 ATS last 13 on the road. I have this line at just about 20. Fave on a 25-10 ATS run, Murray 13-5 ATS last 18. 4* Money Maker MURRAY STATE
|
02-21-19 |
Idaho +12.5 v. Northern Arizona |
|
54-75 |
Loss |
-109 |
9 h 15 m |
Show
|
This is one of our system plays, and quite frankly, like most of my CBB this year, it has been hit or miss as we continue to hover a couple game above/below .500. These lines just keep coming up later and later and we lose some value. Other System Plays that will be added, but no write up, since I am putting that here. Play all these for 1 or 2 Units. MONEY MAKER on IDAHO
|
02-21-19 |
USC Upstate +11.5 v. Charleston Southern |
|
60-92 |
Loss |
-115 |
8 h 19 m |
Show
|
This is one of our system plays, and quite frankly, like most of my CBB this year, it has been hit or miss as we continue to hover a couple game above/below .500. These lines just keep coming up later and later and we lose some value. Other System Plays that will be added, but no write up, since I am putting that here. Play all these for 1 or 2 Units. MONEY MAKER on USC UPSTATE
|
02-21-19 |
Longwood +7 v. Hampton |
|
66-86 |
Loss |
-110 |
8 h 3 m |
Show
|
Taking LONGWOOD. 5-8 in conference for Longwood, 5-7 for Hampton. Have to grab the points as Longwood 11-5 ATS last 16 on the road. 4* Money Maker LONGWOOD
|
02-21-19 |
Binghamton +10 v. UMass Lowell |
|
81-66 |
Win
|
100 |
8 h 52 m |
Show
|
So, taking BINGHAMTON. This is one of our system plays, and quite frankly, like most of my CBB this year, it has been hit or miss as we continue to hover a couple game above/below .500. Would much rather have this at +12, but these lines just keep coming up later and later and we lose some value. Other System Plays that will be added, but no write up, since I am putting that here are . Albany, Idaho, USC-Upstate, Cal Davis, SIUE and UMKC. Play all these for 1 or 2 Units. MONEY MAKER on BINGHAMTON
|
02-21-19 |
Albany +8.5 v. Stony Brook |
|
74-70 |
Win
|
100 |
8 h 49 m |
Show
|
This is one of our system plays, and quite frankly, like most of my CBB this year, it has been hit or miss as we continue to hover a couple game above/below .500. These lines just keep coming up later and later and we lose some value. Other System Plays that will be added, but no write up, since I am putting that here. Play all these for 1 or 2 Units. MONEY MAKER on ALBANY
|
02-20-19 |
Air Force v. Fresno State -12 |
|
64-61 |
Loss |
-108 |
13 h 49 m |
Show
|
Taking FRESNO. So yeah, the dog on a 10-1 ATS run. Last game they played, a wild one, 54-48 scoring bonanza. Look. Numbers have this at 16 for me. Laying 12, have to take them at this price. 4* Money Maker FRESNO STATE
|
02-20-19 |
Wichita State v. Tulsa -4 |
|
81-60 |
Loss |
-105 |
25 h 56 m |
Show
|
Taking TULSA. Oh things a bit tougher for Wichita out of the Missouri Valley. 1-5 on the road in AAC play. Toss in their neutral games and out of conference and Shockers, 4-9. Conference road losses by 11-9-7-20-10. Their road win was over a miserable ECU team. Tulsa 12-2 at home and on a 4-1 ATS run on their court. 4* Money Maker TULSA
|
02-20-19 |
Denver +7 v. South Dakota |
|
45-72 |
Loss |
-115 |
24 h 51 m |
Show
|
Taking DENVER. South Dakota scored a 71-70 victory back on January 2. I think this is too many points to be giving. So Dak 4-8 in Summit play, 2-10 for Denver. Yes, 1-10 road record is scary. Dog is on a 5-2 ATS run in the series. South Dakota 1-6 ATS last 7 at home and 2-9 ATS last 11 vs teams with losing SU records. Add in a 1-4 ATS run last 5 in Summit play and we have a barking dog. 4* Money Maker DENVER PIONEERS
|
02-20-19 |
Western Illinois v. Nebraska-Omaha -9.5 |
|
63-77 |
Win
|
100 |
24 h 45 m |
Show
|
Taking OMAHA. Now, a lot of times I am on the dog in this spot. But Omaha is on the heels of South Dakota State for top spot in the Summit. Leathernecks pulling up the rear 3-9 in conference play, a game ahead of Denver who we, big gulp, backed tonight. Western on a 1-7 ATS run on the road. Mavericks on the other hand- 7-1 ATS run last 8 overall through Summit play, 4-1 ATS last 5 at home and 4-1 ATS last 5 in the series. Last home game of the year as they hit the road for final 3. I expect a big performance from the home team. 4* Money Maker OMAHA MAVERICKS
|
02-20-19 |
Northwestern State +8 v. Houston Baptist |
|
54-92 |
Loss |
-109 |
11 h 56 m |
Show
|
Taking NORTHWESTERN STATE. So Houston Baptist comes in on a 1-7 ATS run their last 8. Then we have Northwestern on 8-0 ATS run last 8 on the road. Also a tidy 18-5 ATS last 23 in Southland play including 5-1 ATS last 6. Houston Baptist struggling in conference play on that 1-7 ATS run. Also, 0-5 ATS last 5 at home. 5-8 in conference play for Northwestern State, 5-7 for Houston Baptist, yet, getting 8. 4* Money Maker NORTHWESTERN STATE
|
02-20-19 |
Nicholls State +14.5 v. Sam Houston State |
|
74-84 |
Win
|
100 |
10 h 8 m |
Show
|
Taking NICHOLIS STATE 4* Money Maker
|
02-20-19 |
Army +8 v. Lehigh |
|
81-91 |
Loss |
-110 |
10 h 41 m |
Show
|
Taking ARMY 4* Money Maker
|
02-20-19 |
Stetson +13.5 v. NJIT |
|
77-82 |
Win
|
100 |
10 h 40 m |
Show
|
Taking STETSON 4* Money Maker
|
02-20-19 |
Florida v. LSU -7 |
Top |
82-77 |
Loss |
-109 |
7 h 42 m |
Show
|
Taking LSU. I am sick to my stomach seeing that Florida is a possible NCAA bubble team. Is that a joke? Please, give me some one out of the SoCon - Sun Belt- ASun - Ohio Valley instead. Give me CAA and CUSA. Liberty, Wofford, Greensboro, Lipscomb, Radford, Northeastern, North Texas, Furman. I can go on and on. Oh, Indiana. As a 10. Stop. LSU for the love of all that is holy, destroy this Gators team please. (there is my Tourney Rant for now) -- Florida on a 1-7 ATS run through SEC play while LSU enjoys a 9-3 ATS run in conference action. LSU on a 14-1 run with their lone by a point. 7-7 run over last 14 for Gators. Fave 4-0-1 ATS last 5 in the series. Home team 3-1-1 ATS last 5 in the series. LSU 5-2 ATS last 7 at home vs Florida. 8* Sure Shot LSU
|
02-19-19 |
Bradley v. Drake -4 |
|
68-77 |
Win
|
100 |
24 h 12 m |
Show
|
Taking DRAKE, again. Had these guys in a push last game, back on them here. Have backed them several times already with nice results. Drake 4-0 ATS last 4 vs Bradley. 8-2-2 ATS run in Valley play. 20-6-2 ATS last 28 at home, 18-6-2 ATS last 26 overall. This is a sneaky good team. Won by 17 in their first game this season. I'm laying the points. 4* Money Maker DRAKE BULLDOGS
|
02-19-19 |
Vanderbilt v. Tennessee -18 |
|
46-58 |
Loss |
-110 |
23 h 22 m |
Show
|
Taking TENNESSEE. Off of getting absolutely trucked by Kentucky on national TV, I expect a huge game here at home for the Vols. 13 straight losses for Vandy. 'Dores took these guys to OT last time they played. No way that Tennessee is overlooking these guys. Not having played them to OT last time. And not coming off a 17pt loss. 4* Money Maker TENNESSEE
|
02-19-19 |
St. Peter's +7.5 v. Siena |
|
62-72 |
Loss |
-110 |
23 h 7 m |
Show
|
Going ugly on ST PETER'S. 1-13 on the road, 3-10 in MAAC play. The Peacocks though, 16-5 ATS last 21 in the series. Have to combine this play with the UNDER though. Not parlaying, just a pair of straight up bets. Under 13-1 last 14 games at Siena in the series and 20-8 to the under last 28 between these two. Siena on a 13-3 under run their last 16 games. St Peter's 37-14-1 to the under their last 52 on the road. 4* Money Maker ST PETERS PEACOCKS + Under
|
02-18-19 |
North Carolina A&T +5.5 v. Norfolk State |
|
58-76 |
Loss |
-110 |
11 h 46 m |
Show
|
Taking NORTH CAROLINA A&T. Basically equal footing in conference play. 7-5 for us, 6-5 for the bad guys. Howard 1-8 ATS last 9 at home. 4* Money Maker NORTH CAROLINA A&T
|
02-18-19 |
Idaho +14 v. Eastern Washington |
|
57-82 |
Loss |
-110 |
21 h 58 m |
Show
|
Taking IDAHO. Yes, taking a 4-20 team. Their only conference win was a 74-71 victory over this Eastern Washington bunch. So maybe we have a little confidence coming in. Getting 2 touchdowns is a nice start. Eastern Washington with 9 wins. Toss out a 21pt win over something called Corban College Warriors. I see wins of 7-10-7-4-2-3-18-10. Now, I am not saying Idaho is a good team. Their ATS number in conference after starting 3-1 they have gone 1-8, so 4-9 ATS isn't helpful. But the past is the past. In this spot, off a a near 30pt beating, I look for them to step up facing a team they have beaten. 4* Money Maker IDAHO
|
02-17-19 |
Manhattan +7.5 v. Canisius |
|
70-65 |
Win
|
100 |
15 h 44 m |
Show
|
Taking MANHATTAN. Not a big ticket today as the only other game I really had any opinion on was Evansville. But we will grab another big dog to close out the weekend. Jaspers have covered 8 of 9 in the series. Road team 20-7-2 ATS last 29 when these guys play. Manhattan on a 5-0 ATS run through MAAC play. Canisius, 3-10 ATS last 13 at home. 4* Money Maker MANHATTAN JASPERS
|
02-16-19 |
Northern Arizona +7 v. CS Sacramento |
|
78-66 |
Win
|
100 |
7 h 42 m |
Show
|
Taking NORTHERN ARIZONA. This is what happens when there are 115+ games. You lose a couple as you are going over numbers. So Sacramento has had a bit of problem handling the Lumberjacks. Northern Arizona 10-3 ATS last 13 while visiting. Road team and underdog on 6-2 ATS runs. Toss out the 7-17 record for NAU. In conference play 5-9 to Sacramento State's 5-8. These teams more evenly matched than this line. Grab the bonus points. 4* Money Maker NORTHERN ARIZONA
|
02-16-19 |
Montana State +7 v. Weber State |
|
82-94 |
Loss |
-115 |
22 h 19 m |
Show
|
Taking MONTANA STATE. Both teams 9-5 in Big Sky play. Don't be fooled by the 12-12 record of Montana State. That's what happens with 9 games on the road before conference play begins. Weber with 10 straight wins in the series. But road team 6-1-1 ATS last 8. A lot of points, too good to pass up. 4* Money Maker MONTANA STATE BOBCATS
|
02-16-19 |
Pacific v. Santa Clara |
|
59-64 |
Win
|
100 |
10 h 51 m |
Show
|
Ok -- We have a 10 Game Package here that is really based off your ratings of different sites. These lines are all 2 or more points off those numbers. Last season, these were nearly 70%. Play them as 1 or 2 unit plays. SANTA CLARA
|
02-16-19 |
Northwestern v. Nebraska -5 |
|
50-59 |
Win
|
100 |
10 h 36 m |
Show
|
Ok -- We have a 10 Game Package here that is really based off your ratings of different sites. These lines are all 2 or more points off those numbers. Last season, these were nearly 70%. Play them as 1 or 2 unit plays. NEBRASKA
|
02-16-19 |
Nicholls State +7.5 v. Houston Baptist |
|
82-88 |
Win
|
100 |
21 h 36 m |
Show
|
Taking NICHOLIS STATE. Both teams 4-7 in Southland action. Not that either is a good team. Again, one of those cases where we are taking bad teams getting an extra basket or 2. Houston Baptist 1-6 ATS last 7, 1-7 ATS last 8 vs Southland. Can't lay with numbers like that. 4* Money Maker NICHOLIS STATE
|
02-16-19 |
Fresno State -3.5 v. New Mexico |
|
81-73 |
Win
|
100 |
21 h 35 m |
Show
|
Taking FRESNO. Hopefully this isn't one of those too good to be true lines. I have this right around 5. Thing for is New Mexico. This isn't the old Lobos who were unbeatable at home. 7-6 is not that sexy. No look ahead spot for Fresno. At 9-3 in MWC, they need to keep pace with 9-3 Utah State and both trail 10-1 Nevada. 6-1-1 road ATS helps the cause. Bulldogs 6-1 ATS last 7 in the series. 4* Money Maker FRESNO
|
02-16-19 |
NC-Greensboro v. Wofford -6 |
|
50-80 |
Win
|
100 |
8 h 54 m |
Show
|
Ok -- We have a 10 Game Package here that is really based off your ratings of different sites. These lines are all 2 or more points off those numbers. Last season, these were nearly 70%. Play them as 1 or 2 unit plays. WOFFORD
|
02-16-19 |
Murray State -8 v. Eastern Kentucky |
|
102-70 |
Win
|
100 |
8 h 53 m |
Show
|
Ok -- We have a 10 Game Package here that is really based off your ratings of different sites. These lines are all 2 or more points off those numbers. Last season, these were nearly 70%. Play them as 1 or 2 unit plays. MURRAY STATE
|
02-16-19 |
Hofstra -8.5 v. NC-Wilmington |
|
79-87 |
Loss |
-120 |
8 h 51 m |
Show
|
Ok -- We have a 10 Game Package here that is really based off your ratings of different sites. These lines are all 2 or more points off those numbers. Last season, these were nearly 70%. Play them as 1 or 2 unit plays. HOFSTRA
|
02-16-19 |
North Carolina Central +7.5 v. Norfolk State |
|
71-75 |
Win
|
100 |
19 h 12 m |
Show
|
Taking NORTH CAROLINA CENTRAL. Norfolk might be top dogs sitting at 9-1, but NCC has had their number lately. 3 straight over Norfolk. Both teams with good home/ road trends. Just think this is a bit too many points and we will grab the extra value. 4* Money Maker NORTH CAROLINA CENTRAL
|
02-16-19 |
Alabama A&M +9.5 v. Alabama State |
|
62-68 |
Win
|
100 |
19 h 39 m |
Show
|
Taking ALABAMA A&M 4* Money Maker
|
02-16-19 |
IUPU Ft Wayne v. Nebraska-Omaha -3.5 |
|
71-74 |
Loss |
-110 |
6 h 25 m |
Show
|
Ok -- We have a 10 Game Package here that is really based off your ratings of different sites. These lines are all 2 or more points off those numbers. Last season, these were nearly 70%. Play them as 1 or 2 unit plays. OMAHA
|
02-16-19 |
Chattanooga v. Samford -8.5 |
|
76-80 |
Loss |
-108 |
6 h 56 m |
Show
|
Ok -- We have a 10 Game Package here that is really based off your ratings of different sites. These lines are all 2 or more points off those numbers. Last season, these were nearly 70%. Play them as 1 or 2 unit plays. SAMFORD
|
02-16-19 |
Ohio v. Central Michigan -6 |
|
80-87 |
Win
|
100 |
18 h 11 m |
Show
|
Taking CENTRAL MICHIGAN. Ohio with 4 straight up and ATS losses. CMU off back to back road losses, but competitive. At home, 10-2. CMU 5-0 ATS last 5 in series and 5-2 ATS last 7 here at home over Ohio. 4* Money Maker CENTRAL MICHIGAN
|
02-16-19 |
Bryant +9 v. Fairleigh Dickinson |
|
84-97 |
Loss |
-120 |
17 h 16 m |
Show
|
Taking BRYANT. Will bite on this ugly bunch. 4 straight losses for the dog coming into this game. But I see 5-8 conference vs 7-6 conference. That isn't much separation. Getting this many points, worth a shot on the big dog. Big revengers on deck for FDU so maybe they look past these guys. 4* Money Maker BRYANT
|
02-16-19 |
SE Missouri State +7 v. Eastern Illinois |
|
88-79 |
Win
|
100 |
17 h 6 m |
Show
|
Taking SE MISSOURI STATE. SEMO with straight up wins in 4 of the last 5, and the miss was an OT loser. 6-1 ATS run for the dogs in the series. 4* Money Maker SE MISSOURI STATE
|
02-16-19 |
Utah State -9.5 v. Air Force |
|
76-62 |
Win
|
100 |
5 h 1 m |
Show
|
Ok -- We have a 10 Game Package here that is really based off your ratings of different sites. These lines are all 2 or more points off those numbers. Last season, these were nearly 70%. Play them as 1 or 2 unit plays. UTAH STATE
|
02-16-19 |
Valparaiso v. Drake -5 |
|
79-84 |
Push |
0 |
17 h 50 m |
Show
|
Taking DRAKE. You know I like this bunch. Covering machines. 20-6-1 ATS last 27 at home. 8-2-1 ATS last 11 in Missouri Valley play. 4* Money Maker DRAKE
|
02-16-19 |
Rice v. Florida Atlantic -5.5 |
|
41-60 |
Win
|
100 |
3 h 1 m |
Show
|
Ok -- We have a 10 Game Package here that is really based off your ratings of different sites. These lines are all 2 or more points off those numbers. Last season, these were nearly 70%. Play them as 1 or 2 unit plays. FAU
|
02-16-19 |
Maryland +6 v. Michigan |
|
52-65 |
Loss |
-109 |
14 h 53 m |
Show
|
Taking MARYLAND. I know Michigan off a bad loss, but I think Terps keep it close. 4* Money Maker MARYLAND
|
02-16-19 |
Clemson v. Louisville -4 |
|
55-56 |
Loss |
-110 |
1 h 6 m |
Show
|
Ok -- We have a 10 Game Package here that is really based off your ratings of different sites. These lines are all 2 or more points off those numbers. Last season, these were nearly 70%. Play them as 1 or 2 unit plays. LOUISVILLE
|
02-15-19 |
Monmouth +7 v. Rider |
|
72-81 |
Loss |
-102 |
21 h 28 m |
Show
|
Taking MONMOUTH. So the Hawks 9-4 in conference play. Rider at 7-6 in conference play. Monmouth with a 4pt win back on February 2nd, so revenge angle does come into play. Rider though, terrible ATS. A 1-9 run their last 10 and are just 2-11 ATS in MAAC play. Oh, and favored in every one of those games. How do you trust them laying any points? 6-19 this year against the number. 4* Money Maker MONMOUTH HAWKS
|
02-15-19 |
St. Peter's +8 v. Iona |
|
46-62 |
Loss |
-110 |
21 h 23 m |
Show
|
Taking ST PETER'S tonight. Gonna have to hold our noses on this one. Not a good team by any stretch. 1-12 on the road, 3-8 in conference play. But what we do have is a road team run of 22-8 ATS last 30 in the series including 5 straight covers and 7 of the last 10. Iona also 4-9 ATS last 13 at home and 7-20 ATS last 27 overall. St Peter's has covered 6 straight here at Iona. 4* Money Maker ST PETERS PEACOCKS
|
02-15-19 |
St. Joe's v. Davidson -10.5 |
|
72-80 |
Loss |
-105 |
12 h 30 m |
Show
|
Taking DAVIDSON. Time for a little payback. Somehow these guys lost 61-60 exactly a month ago. Joe's 1-5 ATS last 6 and 2-6 ATS last 8 while Davidson is 7-2 ATS last 9 at home. Davidson with a 29pt win nearly a year to the day (2/8/18) last time they played here. Add in Joe's poor 40% shooting and I think we have a the makings of 15-20pt blowout on our hands. 11-0 at home, 9-2 in the A10. These guys need to keep pace with VCU atop the conference. 4* Money Maker DAVIDSON WILDCATS
|
02-14-19 |
BYU v. San Diego -3 |
Top |
88-82 |
Loss |
-113 |
24 h 15 m |
Show
|
Taking SAN DIEGO. Home team on a 8-1 ATS run in the series which adds to our BYU run of 3-11 ATS last 14 on the road. BYU 8-3 in conference while SD 5-5. That doesn't matter to me - I think this team is on par with SF and St Mary's, who, dealt BYU road losses of 19 and 22. 5* Best Bet SAN DIEGO
|
02-14-19 |
Oral Roberts +7.5 v. North Dakota State |
|
73-85 |
Loss |
-108 |
10 h 47 m |
Show
|
Taking ORAL ROBERTS. So our ugly dogs go 8-1 yesterday. Again, don't be swayed by 10-17 record. 6-6 in Summit Play. We'll take the points. 4* Money Maker ORAL ROBERTS
|
02-14-19 |
Texas-Arlington +1.5 v. Arkansas-Little Rock |
|
52-56 |
Loss |
-110 |
22 h 35 m |
Show
|
Taking ARLINGTON. 3 straight wins and 8 of 9 in Sun Belt play. Little Rock had dropped 5 straight before a pair of road wins as 3.5 dogs in both games. UTA on a 10-1 ATS run winning out right as dogs (7.5-9.5-6.5-5) and covering as faves (4-4.5-3-1.5). They do it all. 14-3 ATS run through Sun Belt action also. Little Rock 4-11-1 ATS last 16 at home. It is odd a team 8-3 in conference play, shooting 39% from the field ( I know, I never take teams like this!) while home team, shooting 49% from the field sits at 4-7. Riding the hot team 4* Money Maker UT ARLINGTON
|
02-14-19 |
NC-Greensboro +4 v. Furman |
|
57-67 |
Loss |
-110 |
9 h 22 m |
Show
|
Taking GREENSBORO. Had been on these guys early in the season with mixed results. Spread wise, not much of a run in So Con play. But, 8 straight wins and 15 of 16. Heck 22-3 shows you they can play. Getting points, I am in. Yes, revenge mode as they beat Furman by 10. I'm still on the dog. 4* Money Maker NC GREENBORO
|
02-14-19 |
Hofstra +1 v. College of Charleston |
|
99-95 |
Win
|
100 |
9 h 58 m |
Show
|
Taking HOFSTRA. Had these guys a few times this season. 11-1 in CAA play. Already beat up Charleston pretty good 86-72 last month. Pride on a 10-2 ATS road run. Look. CoC is tough. 9-4 in conference action, on a 6 game win streak. But, those wins. All over teams under .500 in conference, and on the year. Oh, we will give Delaware their due. 15-11 overall 7-6 in conference. Beating the bottom feeders doesn't make you a top team. When your losses are to two teams above you, and a loss to the worse team in the league, you shouldn't be laying a point or even a Pk fave. 4* HOFSTRA
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02-13-19 |
Georgia Tech v. Virginia Tech -12.5 |
|
68-76 |
Loss |
-108 |
24 h 14 m |
Show
|
Taking VIRGINIA TECH. January, we saw a 52-49 road win for VT over these guys. I will excuse that as they had Virginia on deck so maybe they played down to their competition. 5 straight losses for GT. Scoring 59-42-49-54-53. And don't forget the 49 at home vs the Hokies. That 49 was off putting up 92 on Wake! Somehow they put up 73 in Syracuse. 60-51-63 in their other 3 ACC games. In off a loss, I think VT wins this by 15-20. No look ahead with Pitt on deck. 4* Money Maker VIRGINIA TECH
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02-13-19 |
Northwestern State +10.5 v. Lamar |
|
70-75 |
Win
|
100 |
7 h 30 m |
Show
|
4* Money Maker NORTHWESTERN STATE
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02-13-19 |
Houston Baptist +3.5 v. Central Arkansas |
|
75-71 |
Win
|
100 |
7 h 27 m |
Show
|
4* Money Maker HOUSTON BAPTIST
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02-13-19 |
Incarnate Word +11 v. Southeastern Louisiana |
|
64-70 |
Win
|
100 |
7 h 27 m |
Show
|
4* Money Maker INCARNATE WOOD
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02-13-19 |
South Alabama +9 v. Georgia Southern |
|
65-75 |
Loss |
-108 |
23 h 20 m |
Show
|
Taking SOUTH ALABAMA. So, this line is pretty much where I think it should be. I actually have Georgia Southern at 11. But what brings me to the Jaguars is just how tough they play these guys. 10-1-1 ATS last 12 in the series and 5-0-1 ATS last 6 at Ga So. And, the dog 7-1-1 ATS run in series. Jags on a 6-1 ATS run last 7 through Sun Belt games. Georgia Southern 1-5 ATS last 6 at home. Yes, So Ala 1-7 on the road this year. But, in Sun Belt games. We see a 6pt win, and losses of 4 and 1 and getting smoked by 29 at Little Rock. Losing at Auburn and Texas A&M would happen to a lot of Sun Belt teams. I just think this will be a close game. 4* Money Maker SOUTH ALABAMA
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02-13-19 |
Massachusetts v. George Mason -7.5 |
|
75-80 |
Loss |
-115 |
23 h 9 m |
Show
|
Taking GEORGE MASON. Now 8-3 in A10 play. Mass limps in 1-7 on the road and 2-7 in conference play. Massachusetts also in off HUGE upset win over Davidson. That was their season knocking off the conference leaders. Mason needs to keep pace with 8-2 VCU and Davidson. St Bonnie's on deck so there will be zero lack of focus. Mason 5-1-1 ATS last 7 in the series. 4* Money Maker GEORGE MASON
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02-13-19 |
Iona v. Siena -2.5 |
|
57-52 |
Loss |
-105 |
23 h 59 m |
Show
|
Taking SIENA. Siena held on for a 56-54 win last week. Dog 10-1 ATS last 11 in the series. But, Siena has been the dog in 8 of those games. So when we see road team 9-1 ATS last 10 - We know that Siena has gone 7-3 ATS in these games. This is clearly a different Iona team as they are just 6-6 in conference play. We see a money burning 3-13 ATS run for them their last 16 on the road. 4* Money Maker SIENA
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02-13-19 |
Longwood +7 v. High Point |
|
62-59 |
Win
|
100 |
7 h 37 m |
Show
|
Taking LONGWOOD. So, it is February and it is time for systems plays. We have had a few of these already. These are generally going to be smaller conferences. Southern, Summit, OVC, Northeast, Big South types. What we are doing, is basically playing real ugly dogs vs inflated lines. Some days, like today, we will a lot of these games. Other days, maybe 1 or 2. People.. Don't go crazy on these things. Depending on your bankroll, 5-10 bucks, maybe quarters. Just going over numbers since December, this is, at 200 games, nearly 20 games over .500. So when there is just a basic write up on a small school, now you know why. 4* Money Maker LONGWOOD
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02-13-19 |
Kennesaw State +13.5 v. North Florida |
|
57-80 |
Loss |
-109 |
7 h 35 m |
Show
|
4* Money Maker KENNESAW STATE
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02-13-19 |
North Carolina-Asheville +7 v. USC Upstate |
|
57-53 |
Win
|
100 |
7 h 33 m |
Show
|
4* Money Maker NC ASHEVILLE
|
02-13-19 |
Charleston Southern +4.5 v. Gardner-Webb |
|
74-77 |
Win
|
100 |
7 h 32 m |
Show
|
4* Money Maker CHARLESTON SOUTHERN
|
02-13-19 |
Maine +10 v. Hartford |
|
73-81 |
Win
|
100 |
7 h 31 m |
Show
|
|
02-13-19 |
Hampton +6 v. Campbell |
|
84-87 |
Win
|
100 |
6 h 25 m |
Show
|
|
02-12-19 |
San Diego State v. Colorado State +2 |
|
71-60 |
Loss |
-108 |
23 h 23 m |
Show
|
Taking COLORADO STATE. Aztecs in off a nice win over Utah State. They have a big revenge on deck vs Boise who crushed them by 24. Rams a nice 8-3 ATS run their last 11. 4* Money Maker COLORADO STATE
|
02-12-19 |
Drake +4 v. Southern Illinois |
|
72-69 |
Win
|
100 |
20 h 19 m |
Show
|
Taking DRAKE. 7-2-1 ATS last 10 on the road. I like this squad. You should already know we were going to be on these dogs. 13-6-1 ATS last 20 and 7-2-2 ATS last 11 in the series for the Bulldogs. These guys are tough, beat Salukis by 12 already. Southern Illinois 2-6 ATS last 8 at home- Underdog on a 4-0 ATS run. 4* Money Maker DRAKE BULLDOGS
|
02-12-19 |
Rider v. Quinnipiac +1 |
|
88-98 |
Win
|
100 |
20 h 37 m |
Show
|
Taking QUINNIPIAC. Rider 4-11 ATS last 15 on the road and 3-13 ATS last 16 in MAAC play. Rider has won 7 straight in the series and 9 of 10 but I will grab the home team tonight. 4* Money Maker QUINNIPIAC BOBCATS
|
02-12-19 |
LSU +9 v. Kentucky |
|
73-71 |
Win
|
100 |
20 h 31 m |
Show
|
Taking LSU. Tigers are a nice 7-3 ATS run in the series and an even hotter 8-2 ATS last 10 overall. This is a lot of points for Kentucky to be laying, especially with Tennessee on deck. 4* Money Maker LSU TIGERS
|
02-12-19 |
Davidson -7.5 v. Fordham |
|
79-69 |
Win
|
100 |
8 h 58 m |
Show
|
Taking DAVIDSON. This is a bad Fordham team. Saw that they are something like 32-108 SU in A-10 play. Then I look a bit deeper. 8-7 at home, ok, getting a few buckets. Oh, 1-9 in conference play this year. Oh, Davidson by 24 and 30 last year. 41% shooting. Three leading scoring for Rams shooting 39,40 and 37%. Wildcats in off bad loss at UMass will take out their anger tonight. 4* Money Maker DAVIDSON
|
02-11-19 |
Virginia v. North Carolina +2 |
Top |
69-61 |
Loss |
-110 |
11 h 16 m |
Show
|
Taking NORTH CAROLINA. No way Virginia losses 2 in a row right? I mean, 2 losses to Duke and that's it. NC quietly sitting at 9-1 in the ACC. I know that VA dictates the pace in this series. But that being said, I am just not sold on the Cavaliers. Roy Williams is a bit over-rated in my eyes. I think he just lets his talent take over on the court and not really 'coach.' Back to the pace. Even with NC scoring over 70 just once the last 6 meetings, I am backing the home dog. 5* Best Bet NORTH CAROLINA
|
02-10-19 |
Northwestern v. Iowa -9.5 |
|
79-80 |
Loss |
-108 |
20 h 17 m |
Show
|
Taking IOWA. I think they write their own score here. If it is not at least, 12-15 points, I would be shocked. This should really be a 20pt cruise job. They won by 10 on the road over these guys. Should be at bare minimum, the same. Northwestern is not a good team by any stretch. Iowa has Rutgers on the road next. Now, I love going to the RAC being a Jersey guy, but that is not a look-ahead. They scored a nice road win at Indiana, but did allow 49% shooting. So I think we see a commitment to defense and NW, shooting just 40% on the year, will have a difficult time tonight. 4* Money Maker IOWA
|
02-10-19 |
Connecticut +6.5 v. Memphis |
|
71-78 |
Loss |
-105 |
17 h 46 m |
Show
|
Taking UCONN. Well. Doing these write ups we are staring at 4-9 so far in CBB. It has been a disappointing run to say the least. I just can't get a could streak going. Nothing to say. No excuses. Just have not hit them the way we did last year. Still a lot of season left this month, plus conference tournaments and then all the March Madness tournaments. Memphis with 3 straight losses and 4 in their last 5. This is a decent number to get with UConn. Even if they are 0-5 on the road this season. I think they keep it close. Their AAC losses this year. 8 at South Florida, 2 in OT at Cincy, 6 at Tulsa, 6 at UCF and then Temple thumped them last game by 18. But I think that plays into a good outing here off a beat-down. I have this line at 3-4 so we have some value. 4* Money Maker UCONN HUSKIES
|
02-10-19 |
La Salle v. George Mason -6 |
|
76-84 |
Win
|
100 |
16 h 30 m |
Show
|
Taking GEORGE MASON. So we see 7-14 for LaSalle but not a real bad conference run going 5-4. GW at 7-3. Again, and I have used this with varying results this season. A poor shooting team on the road, (40%) should have difficult times winning. Now, as I said in my UCONN write up, things have not really played out to the normal 55-57% that we have experienced over the years. Now - we are either getting ready for a huge run as tournaments approach, or I will drastically have to recalculate my values for the next season. So LaSalle. Looks hot - 4 straight wins, off 4 straight losses, then 2 wins, So a 6-4 run. I see 4 games they won shooting less than 40%. How about FG% of 29,38,34,34,34,35. 3 games over 40% from the field. 4 wins shooting 29-34-34-38. That isn't good basketball. Even though Mason comes in off 2 road losses, they have 4 conference road wins and took care of business going 7-2 before this hiccup. 4 of 5 coming up at home. Big bounce back this afternoon. 4* Money Maker GEORGE MASON
|
02-10-19 |
Oral Roberts +7 v. South Dakota |
|
86-72 |
Win
|
100 |
16 h 22 m |
Show
|
Taking ORAL ROBERTS. One of those, maybe too good to be true games. But, I'm biting. 9-17 and 9-14 teams out of the Summit aren't premier programs by any stretch. I see though that Oral is 5-6 in conference play and South Dakota 3-7. Golden Eagles with better numbers on the boards, the field and from deep. Yet, a decent dog. Maybe the 2-10 away record inflates the number. But the Coyotes of South Dakota a miserable 2-10 ATS run their last 12. Again, So Dak 1-3 at home losing in OT as a PK, losing outright as 9pt faves. And a splitting as dogs. 4* Money Maker ORAL ROBERTS
|
02-10-19 |
Niagara v. Iona -8 |
|
76-79 |
Loss |
-108 |
15 h 10 m |
Show
|
Taking NIAGARA. I'll gladly take the points in this game. Purple Eagles took the first meeting 95-90. Would love to see that pace again getting this number. Iona has lost 4 straight and 5 of 6, They are 5-6 in conference, Niagara 4-7. Not much difference. Sure not an 8 point separation. Road team on a 6-1 ATS run. 4* Money Maker NIAGARA
|
02-10-19 |
UC-Davis v. UC-Santa Barbara -8 |
|
61-57 |
Loss |
-115 |
27 h 18 m |
Show
|
Taking SANTA BARBARA. So 4th straight road game for Davis. Hawaii, Riverside, Poly - So yeah, they are in Cali. But man. 4 straight. That is tough. It is tough in NBA and NHL. Sure to be tough when you are 2-10 on the road and facing a team that beat you on your home floor by double digits. 4* Money Maker UCSB
|
02-09-19 |
Evansville +8 v. Southern Illinois |
|
73-78 |
Win
|
100 |
9 h 9 m |
Show
|
4* Money Maker EVANSVILLE
|
02-09-19 |
Charlotte +10.5 v. UAB |
|
69-62 |
Win
|
100 |
9 h 8 m |
Show
|
|
02-09-19 |
Kansas State v. Baylor -2.5 |
|
70-63 |
Loss |
-110 |
21 h 28 m |
Show
|
Taking BAYLOR. Think we are catching a break with this short line. I do like K-State. Tough defensive team. But, in off a big rivalry win over Kansas, primed for a flat spot. Bears in off loss at Texas. 4* Money Maker BAYLOR BEARS
|
02-09-19 |
Northern Iowa v. Drake -6 |
|
77-83 |
Push |
0 |
21 h 26 m |
Show
|
Taking DRAKE. In off arguably their worse loss of the year, expect a focused group. We have been on the Bulldogs several times this season. Drake 16-4-1 ATS last 21 at home. Fave on a 16-3-2 ATS run in the series. Add in a dash of revenge for 57-54 loss in January, and my personal fave, road team shooting a paltry 40% from the field and count me in for a double digit home team win. 4* Money Maker DRAKE
|
02-09-19 |
Texas A&M v. Missouri -4 |
|
68-59 |
Loss |
-108 |
20 h 21 m |
Show
|
Taking MISSOURI. Both these teams, for me, terrible. But I think we have a little value in MizzU in this spot. They crushed A&M 66-43 a couple weeks ago on the road. I can't see this being some huge revenge game, especially with the Aggies on the road where they are 1-3 in conference play (1-8 overall in SEC) lone win by a point over Alabama. When 2 of the 4 worse teams in conference are playing, you don't have any look aheads. You just want to win. Short number on the home team gets the call. 4* Money Maker MISSOURI
|
02-09-19 |
George Washington +6.5 v. Richmond |
|
63-89 |
Loss |
-107 |
7 h 11 m |
Show
|
4* Money Maker GEORGE WASHINGTON
|
02-09-19 |
Denver +8 v. North Dakota State |
|
71-81 |
Loss |
-108 |
6 h 7 m |
Show
|
|
02-09-19 |
CS Sacramento +8.5 v. Northern Colorado |
|
59-65 |
Win
|
100 |
6 h 34 m |
Show
|
4* Money Maker SACRAMENTO STATE
|
02-09-19 |
Elon v. Northeastern -17 |
|
60-72 |
Loss |
-105 |
20 h 35 m |
Show
|
Taking NORTHEASTERN. We faded Elon their last game, will do it again. NE battling for CAA top dog status. Huskies with an 11pt OT win over these guys. I doubt they will take them lightly after going to OT a month ago. 4* Money Maker NORTHEASTERN
|
02-09-19 |
Louisville +2.5 v. Florida State |
|
75-80 |
Loss |
-105 |
19 h 6 m |
Show
|
Taking LOUISVILLE. Both teams in off nice road wins. I just have to grab any points with UL though. These guys are quietly putting together a very nice run. Let's look at their losses. A payback loss to NC. They lost in OT at Pitt. Lost in OT on a neutral to Marquette, after losing to Tennessee on a neutral. (Beat Michigan State in OT after those 2 games) Lost at 1 at Indiana. And got beat by 13 by Kentucky. Just 2 losses since January. Not sure what FSU teams shows up. The one that has won 4 straight. Or the one that lost 3 straight to Duke and at Wake and Boston College. Tight game and getting a bucket, I'm on the dog. 4* Money Maker LOUISVILLE
|
02-09-19 |
Idaho +15 v. Montana State |
|
72-86 |
Win
|
100 |
5 h 5 m |
Show
|
|
02-09-19 |
The Citadel +7.5 v. Mercer |
|
67-61 |
Win
|
100 |
5 h 1 m |
Show
|
4* Money Maker THE CITADEL
|
02-09-19 |
Villanova v. Marquette -1.5 |
|
65-66 |
Loss |
-109 |
18 h 38 m |
Show
|
Taking MARQUETTE. Nova took all games last year. I think Marquette is a tad better and exacts their triple revenge. 4* Money Maker MARQUETTE
|
02-09-19 |
Minnesota v. Michigan State -13 |
|
55-79 |
Win
|
100 |
18 h 38 m |
Show
|
Taking MICHIGAN STATE. Lost with these guys in a horrible road loss. Laying double digits, now 2 straight losses with nearly identical scores. I will go back to the Sparty well in a game, I would think, Izzo will have them in rampage mode. 4* Money Maker MICHIGAN STATE
|
02-09-19 |
Providence v. St. John's -7 |
|
70-56 |
Loss |
-104 |
16 h 46 m |
Show
|
Taking ST JOHNS. Have this line at nearly double digits. Friars with 3 straight wins in the series. Payback for SJU. 4* Money Maker ST JOHN'S
|
02-08-19 |
Cornell v. Dartmouth -3 |
|
83-80 |
Loss |
-115 |
23 h 51 m |
Show
|
Taking DARTMOUTH. 4 straight wins for Cornell so Big Green should be plenty angry tonight. They have also lost 3 straight in Ivy play. Throwing out all the trends pointing to Cornell. Big Red 4-0-1 ATS last 4 here and 10-4-1 last 15 ATS. Road team 7-1-1 run, dog 8-1-1. But with all that, we still have Dartmouth as the fave. When it looks to easy, it usually is. 4* Money Maker DARTMOUTH
|
02-07-19 |
SIU-Edwardsville v. Austin Peay -15.5 |
|
45-80 |
Win
|
100 |
23 h 23 m |
Show
|
Taking AUSTIN PEAY 4* Money Maker
|
02-07-19 |
Eastern Washington v. Montana State -5 |
|
66-74 |
Win
|
100 |
23 h 21 m |
Show
|
4* Money Maker MONTANA STATE
|