Taking OHIO STATE. So I am no fan of tOSU - But I will lay it and would lay 20 here. Fast track in the dome and I don't think Northwestern is keeping up. I know that Buckeyes have had some up and down performances. But not in Championship Games. They come to play, and Meyer won't be ashamed to run it up tonight. Last game on the card, so he will know how all the Sooners and Georgia did. I think Alabama, Clemson are locked in no matter the outcome of their games, plus ND. Who saw last week's butt-kicking of Michigan coming? Much like that 59-0 drubbing of Wisconsin in 2014 Championship Game. Not sure how Wildcats going to slow this machine done. No grass to help the cause. Ohio State has dropped 50+ 4 times and 49 on 2 more occasions. 10* Money Bomb OHIO STATE 

Taking ALABAMA today. My NJ Fan Dual app had this at 11 and I grabbed it.They sometimes have lines a couple points off, so that is nothing new. I feel just as fine laying this. We had the Tide last week. Eventually. This train breaks loose and it's a 20pt win. This isn't last year. Yes, Bulldogs with revenge for the Championship OT loss last year.  A full season, and a full game Tua is a tough match-up. I hate comparing how they do in SEC play. But, Alabama 29-0 at LSU and Georgia losses 36-16 at LSU. I'm going to lay it. 5* Best Bet ALABAMA 

Taking UCF. Bucking the trend of everyone fading these guys based on a back-up QB taking the reigns. At Memphis earlier this year, the line was 5.5, it opened in some places at 7 - and that tells me that with Milton this would have been UCF laying 10 or 11 points. Last 2 games a double OT game and a 1pt win. I am sure something special is in store for this afternoon. Something like back QB Darriel Mack leads UCF to back to back undefeated season with 4 TDs in win 20pt win over Memphis. Knights rally for their fallen leader. 4* Money Maker UCF 

Taking OKLAHOMA. Forget about Tom Herman dog trends. Big revenge spot for the Sooners. Oklahoma has a bad defense- Well, after spotting Texas 3 turnovers and a 45-24 lead, Oklahoma only reeled off a 21-3 4th quarter. Did Texas just sit on their heels? Or did the Sooners play some defense? 56 points allowed last week. But hey, 2 defensive TDs. I don't think Ehlinger can keep Texas in this thing. If you are telling me you know that Boomer Sooner is turning the ball over 3 times and Longhorns hold onto the ball and turn those into 21 points - then I can see taking Texas here. No way Texas slows these guys down. 7 times scoring more than 50. 10 times scoring more than 45. High Noon Assault in Jerry's World. 5* Best Bet OKLAHOMA SOONERS 

Taking BUFFALO. Had these guys a couple times during the year. Look. Huskies have some experience in MAC Championships with a run of 6 straight in the books. But this team is different. As, the don't muster offense like some of those squads. Defense is solid. We will side with the Bulls to get it done. It will be a grind, they should pull away for a 10+ point win. 4* Money Maker BUFFALO BULLS 

Taking NOTRE DAME. I think ND is the real deal. We have see the Irish drop 40+ the last 3 meetings. Were any of those teams better than 5-6 SC team? I know you can rally around the, 'well it's their Super Bowl or whatever' I just can't get behind the Trojans in anyway tonight. ND, like other playoff teams, know they need to pass the eye test. And that is putting up points. They need to pull a 48-17 win on the road, in the books tonight. 8* Sure Shot NOTRE DAME

Taking FAU. Florida Atlantic needs a win to go bowling. Charlotte just canned their HC after last weeks loss. Lane Train needs to do something. 4* Money Maker FLORIDA ATLANTIC 

Taking ALABAMA. How does anyone get in front of this out of control freight train. So they played The Citadel to a 1st half tie last week. Bama needs to play with chips on their shoulders. Where is there motivation? Revenge from last years 26-14 loss should get the gears churning a bit. Not sold at all on Auburn. The one team remotely close to the Tide they have played - Georgia.. A 27-10 road loss. 37-6 sounds about right. 4* Money Maker ALABAMA 

Taking SMU. Had these guys last game vs Memphis. Not only did they fail to cover, they did it a painful fashion with a missed 2pt conversion. Ouch. Look- SMU needs this W for their bowl birth. No let-down off that bad loss in site. Tulsa miserable this year. When they aren't turning the ball over, they are thinking about how to turn it off 3 possessions from now. Tulsa is 2-9 for a reason. They're bad. 10* Money Bomb SMU 

Taking OHIO STATE. Hey,, Laying 3.5 and maybe buying down to 3 with Michigan is one thing. Laying 5 to Urban Meyer and his insane dog numbers - totally different breed of animal.  Ohio State hasn't been a home dog since 2011! 40-3 SU here. 13-1 SU in this series. In with 6 straight wins, and 13 in 14 games, Buckeyes dog to the Wolverines. The send out Game of the Year line on this was OSU -9. Now they are +5. I know OSU doesn't have a defense anything close to Michigan. Senior day in Columbus with the winner heading to the Big 10 Championship Game. Give me the home pups. 4* Money Maker OHIO STATE 

Taking CENTRAL FLORIDA. Had these guys last week, will go back to the well again. As i said then. No team with more to prove. If they have any shot at the Playoffs they need 20-30 point win here. Win, win and win some more. This will be one of their 38-17 type games. 4* Money Maker UCF 

Taking VIRGINIA. No time like the present to end a 14 game losing streak to your in-state rivals. VT suffering through a bad year. I know as home pups, you would think they are up and ready to play their rivals. I just can't get behind the Hokies. Even off a loss, VA has a lot working in its favor. Big edge on defense. A QB completing over 70% of his passes last 3 games. 4* Money Maker VIRGINIA

Taking HAWAII. A good spot to fade UNLV. Big 14 point 4th quarter in a 24-13 comeback win over San Diego State for the Rebels last game. Now they are in gorgeous Hawai'i. Of course they won't be looking past the Rainbows as have state rival Nevada on deck. 4* Money Maker HAWAI'I 

Taking SAN DIEGO STATE. The ole bubble burst fade. We had Fresno as they blew a 17-3 lead last week and hopes of a New Year's Day bowl get flushed down the blue turf toilet. Now they have to face SDST, who, is also off a disappointing loss. But I do like Rocky Long. And  nothing will get an upset loss out of their minds like taking care of Fresno. Aztecs 7-1 ATS last 8 as dogs with outright wins over Boise and Arizona State this year. San Diego State has played 8 straight games decided by one score. Fresno 18-4-2 ATS run, but that is why we are getting extra points with the dog tonight. 8* Sure Shot SAN DIEGO STATE 

Taking CENTRAL FLORIDA. Just think this is the old 'statement' game for UCF. Disrespected again the playoff poll. Only undefeated again. Last year they did everything asked of them including beating SEC Auburn. This is a game they will want to run it up as the powers that be say 'they don't pass the eye-test' or 'who do they play'. I see a 40-50 spot being dropped tonight. College Game Day in town. Huge home game of for the Knights. Cincy D gets a lot of press. But, 1 Top 30 offense faced all year. That was Ohio, who put up 30 points and over 400 yards. Reigning in the #3 offense is a bigger challenge. UCF should win this one by double digits. 10* Money Bomb CENTRAL FLORIDA 

Taking NOTRE DAME. So. It looks really nice getting a 'ranked' Syracuse team and double digits. I mean, - these guys almost beat Clemson this year and beat Clemson last year. And Clemson is good right!! Clemson lost their starting QB. They had a 3rd stringing in for the game this year. Who has Syracuse beaten? I see ratings where they are 30th or below. They trailed NC and needed OT to beat a 3 win team. They lost in OT to Pitt. Played LSU tough, Yes played Clemson tough on the road. And this is a tough spot for ND travel wise if you look at their schedule. But yet, 10 points. This line has ticked up. 5* Best Bet NOTRE DAME 

Taking MINNESOTA. Gophers with everything to play for today. Need a win for a bowl big. Northwestern comes in as the Big 10 West Champions! Possible let-down spot? Absolutely. This line just is begging you to take the Wildcats. Ranked team, getting points. A 5-5 team vs the Big 12 West Champs. Home team please. 4* Money Maker MINNESOTA GOLDEN GOPHERS

Taking SMU. So neither team really shows up with a defensive game plan. Have to play the home dogs at this price. Somehow tied for 1st in AAC West sitting at 5-5. They beat Houston and Tulane, both teams they are tied with at 4-2 in conference play. Memphis at 3-3 and looking to leapfrog to the top of the West. Not sure it will be that easy. One - We have seen them on the road give up 41-65-40 this year to ECU MizzU Tulane. SMU has put up 63-45 in their last 2. They seem to be finding a groove right now. Memphis has put up 50+ 5 times and got to 47 once. Again the OVER will also be in play tonight. This won't shock me to be at 50 by half-time. Who will be shocked when this is a 55-49 game to start the 4th? 4* Money Maker SMU + OVER 

Taking OHIO. Easy to think Buffalo is the play. You look at the 9-1 record. Getting a couple points. I'm not interested. Will go the other way. Ohio clearly caught looking ahead last week. Both teams can score. But I'll grab the MAC home team tonight. 4* Money Maker OHIO 

Taking CINCY. Man. South Florida was undefeated 2 weeks ago. Then Houston beat them by 57-36. They followed that up as a 7pt home fave and losing to Tulane 41-15! USF 33-3 last year. We will see that flipped tonight. Cincy in off blanking Navy 42-0. They are licking their chops at a wounded Bulls team. USF 2-7 ATS. So even when they were winning, they were over-valued and under performing. Cincy 6-3 ATS on the year. Bulls defense in for a long night - last 3 road games, 57-24-42 points allowed. Bearcats last 3 at home 42-37-34. 8* Sure Shot CINCINNATI BEARCATS 

Taking PITT today. Not liking the VT rush defense at all in this spot. Panthers are on a tidy 4-0 ATS run. VT at 4-4 on the year. Not a nice season at all. But, this is the Backyard Brawl. So we toss records out. That being said, Pitt has been getting better as the season progresses, VT in a tail-spin. I want to say with everything points in Pitt's direction. Upset win over ranked Virginia last week. Close loss vs ND. Leading the ACC Coastal. This line does have me slightly worried. Won't shock me if VT plays this one as their Super Bowl. But I just can't see Pitt letting this slip away. VT has won the last 2 meetings. Pitt off that upset Virginia win, plus, they dropped 54 spot on Duke. If the Hokies didn't score a last (19 seconds) TD vs NC, we are talking about a team that has dropped 4 straight and not looking good at all. Small home fave gets the call. 4* Money Maker PITT PANTHERS 

Taking ALABAMA. How do we not taking the Tide when laying less than 30? Let-down? Not likely. Please let us not forget that this Mississippi State team managed 3 points on the road at LSU (29 there for us) 6 vs Florida at home, 7 at Kentucky. We take LT, ULL and SFA and this team has scored more than 28 points (A&M) just once (Kansas State). This game should be right around the number by half time. I don't see MSU scoring more than 14 points here. 67 points in 5 SEC games works out to be about a little more than 13ppg. Not cutting it against the Tide home even getting a bundle. 4* Money Maker ALABAMA 

Taking NORTH CAROLINA. Yeah. A best bet on a 1 win team. NC fighting in every ACC game. This is a Tobacco Road game so I can't see them mailing it in on the season now. Duke not all that sharp on the season- and if they are to lay an egg, coming home off a big win over Miami laying double digits would be the spot to do it. Think this is a 1 score game. 5* Best Bet NORTH CAROLINA 

Taking FRESNO. Tedford a mind boggling 18-3-1 ATS on the sidelines and 12-1-1 ATS in conference games! I liked Boise. I had them at Oklahoma State. Opened a dog, steamed to a fave and dismantled by the Cowboys. No idea how Bulldogs lost to Minny. 4* Money Maker FRESNO STATE 

Taking SYRACUSE. yes, a GOY. Like last weeks Big 10 GOY on Michigan, we expect another big blowout. Big revenge spot as Orange were blasted last year 56-10.  62-28 the year before.I can see the complete opposite of those scores tonight. 56 or more allowed by Louisville in 3 of the 4 games. Going on at limb and saying perhaps a new HC on the sideline next season for the Cards. 10* Money Bomb ACC GOY SYRACUSE 

Taking ALABAMA. I know that there are a of 'sharps' or other 'touts' all over LSU. And I can understand that. This is a big number. Talking 2 TDs here. LSU played much better teams. So I get who has Bama really played. I know the defense isn't as good as years past. But LSU QB play isn't at an elite level either. Have we really seen a full Tide game this year? They maul people from kickoff. Saban needs any type of motivation for his club. Being #1 in Playoff is big. Crushing the #3 team would be huge. Looking over the past games. 1 game would have been by this amount of points. Every one in the last 10, Under this total. Heck, 6 of the last 10 haven't gotten to 40. Last year, Tide were 20.5 at home - Won 24-10. That being said. Tua is not Hurts. This is a passing team. Tua is 20 yards from Hurts total yardage from last year. 25-0 TD/INT (17/1 Hurts LY) He isn't the runner that Hurts is. He doesn't have to be.  LSU is going to want to grind. Not sure if people realize their QB has 6 TD passes (3 INTs) on the year. Can't see Tigers shutting down this pass attack. And barring multiple TOs, I can't see them scoring more than 24. 4* Money Maker ALABAMA 

Taking FIU - Had these guys last week. We faded FAU last week. Team Lane a ship without a rudder. Big revenge spot as FAU walloped FIU last year 52-24. Shoe on the other foot this season. FIU top dogs right now in CUSA - 10* Money Bomb FLORIDA INTERNATIONAL 

Taking LA TECH. Last year, State rolled this guys 57-21. Not saying our guys get revenge, but getting 3+ TDs,  - I'll take the bait. I can see a bit of a let-down per say though from MSU. Lose to LSU. Beat A&M. Alabama on deck. This is a game where they want to win and get out. We had Louisiana Tech way back vs LSU and they delivered a cover for us. Skip Holtz is nice in a 32-14 ATS as a road dog. They have a decent defense and MSU isn't a high-powered offensive machine. Step up in class for sure. But this is too many points not to take. 4* Money Maker LA TECH 

Taking FLORIDA. Gators in off getting blasted in their game vs Georgia. But it wasn't anything like the way Missouri went down. Oh the humanity in losing on a TD pass as time expires. Tough to get over that. Now, in The Swamp. Florida lost last year 45-16. HC Mullen wasn't here for the Gators - But I am sure his players getting smacked like that. Lock 0-9 in his starts for MizzU vs 'ranked' teams. Can't see a let-down here as Gators in a position to win out and get 10 wins. 8* Sure Shot FLORIDA GATORS 

Taking MICHIGAN. 42-13 last year as PSU crushed the Wolverines. Pay-Back time. Defense will be able to contain McSorley. This will be a blood-bath. Michigan in off their bye week. Not going to overthink things here. Michigan the better team. 10* Money Bomb MICHIGAN WOLVERINES 

Taking GEORGIA. Yeah. In off big win over Florida. Hangover game- Doubt it. This is for the SEC East. And they won't overlook a team a couple spots behind in the Playoff Ranking and a team 'ranked' 15 overall. Kentucky somehow pulled a rabbit out of the hat last week over Missouri (We had MizzU) - Punt return TD and that end of game TD pass. Brutal loss for those Tigers. And a huge win for Kentucky. Stoops doing nice job. But Kirby Smart is from Bama. And there are no let down games or look aheads in this coaching tree. Talent prevails and Bulldogs should win this one by double digits going away in the 2nd half. 5* Best Bet GEORGIA BULLDOGS 

Taking KANSAS STATE. I think it is safe to say that the train is off the tracks or the wheels have fallen off the bus. Whatever you want to use. TCU has hit tough times. Injuries have sapped what could have been a nice little year. Wildcats, well coached, should be able to stay inside this number. KST will look to grind it on the ground. TCU lost to Kansas last week. You can think, oh, they will be pissed. Big bounce-back. We haven't seen anything close to that so far. Not going to happen as their bowl hopes slip away. 4* Money Maker KANSAS STATE 

Taking IOWA STATE. Kansas just won their Super Bowl. A last second win over TCU. Now - Yes, Kansas now has 3 wins on the year. It wasn't like they were win-less. But TCU had been a pretty good program before falling apart this year. That is a huge win for Kansas. A literal last second FG with 1 second left on the clock propels them to the W. Out-yarded by 200 yards. TCU fumbled at the Kansas 7 and was stopped on the Kansas 1.. 2 TOs help the home dog cause also. That is a lot of mojo working in your favor. Two weeks in a row? Doubt it - 45-0 last year. Iowa State had put up at least 40 in 2 of their last 3. 5* Best Bet IOWA STATE

Taking CLEMSON today. Will lay the giant number here. After the Tigers win this by 50, I will go out a limb and say that UL says adios to Bobby Petrino. Cards gave up 56 to Wake and 66 to G-Tech. Clemson in off of 59 on Florida State, 41 vs NC State and 63 at Wake. Wake! Who scored 56 on UL had 3 vs the Tigers. Let's get one thing out of the way. No way Clemson will be sleepwalking, going through the motions here. They are #2 in the Playoff Poll. They will want to be playing 'statement game' football for the next couple weeks. They can't be in any dog fight or lackluster games. If this is a close game and LSU upsets Bama, LSU will leap-frog these Tigers. 4* Money Maker CLEMSON TIGERS 

Taking MID TEN STATE. Fade the Hilltoppers last week. Will do the same tonight. Triple revenge spot for the Blue Raiders. WKU is down, way down this season. Last conference road game saw them get blitzed 40-14 by Charlotte. I'll lay it and expect the similar score. 4* Money Maker MID TENN STATE 

Taking CENTRAL FLORIDA. One of just 4 remaining unbeatens, Knights need a big win tonight. Playoff rankings did them no favors. With or without Milton, I will back the home faves. Backup QB Mack after a decent game now has a week + of practice to get up to speed. Temple a tough foe. And double digits in conference, especially a mid-week stand a lone spot makes the dog look inviting. That being said- Back up QB laying 10. Might seem a bit to easy to grab the Owls. Home team gets it done. 4* Money Maker UCF KNIGHTS 

Taking FIU tonight. Lost a few times on these guys last year. Maybe I was a year to early to the Butch Davis party. What I am sure of is that Western Kentucky is struggling big time this year. Tough to lay points on the road. And FIU mauled WKU last year 41-17. Just the Hilltoppers mail it in- Havent' been able to do much offensively on the year barely scoring 20 a game. And FIU comes in averaging 36. Plus FIU with the better defense. 4* Money Maker FIU PANTHERS 

Taking TEXAS A&M tonight. Now. Normally- I am taking the home 'unranked' team over the 'ranked' team. That's in CBB or CFB. But we have to look a bit deeper into this besides the 'rankings'. First - State came into College Station last year and spanked the Aggies 35-14 last year and have won the last 2 meetings. So a little double revenge in place. A&M of a tough win at South Carolina. But to counter that, we have Bulldogs coming in off 19-3 loss at LSU. (I had MSU) - Now. Somehow, State put up 23 points vs Auburn. Which, I guess shows how terrible the Tigers are. If we look at the 3 losses in their last 4 games, we see 3 points at LSU. 6 points at home vs Florida. 7 at Kentucky. This offense is putrid. And honestly, it kinda scares me a bit to see them favored here. That being said. I am grabbing the low hanging fruit with the road dog. Aggies do have a decent defense and can, and have scored - both at home, and on the road. 10* Money Bomb TEXAS A&M 

Taking MISSOURI. So. I always say things like 'ranked' team getting points catches my eye. Well. When the ranked team is a 7pt road dog to an unranked team - Let's just say my ears perk up. Sign me up all day on MizzU today. UK has won 3 straight in the series to boot and are getting points like this! I think the Tigers run away with this one. 10* Money Bomb MISSOURI TIGERS 

Taking IOWA today. Penn State slide continues. Lost to Ohio State who they had dead to rights. Off that brutal loss, lose to Michigan State - Then, as 14pt road faves, let Indiana hang around with a chance to steal a win late. Now vs this team. A streaking Hawkeyes bunch. A bad loss to Wiscy the only blemish on the record. They are just playing good football. And catching points like this. Sign me up. Oh, PSU also has big, bad Michigan on deck. They know they are out of the Playoffs. If Iowa gets up early, this could get ugly. 8* Sure Shot IOWA HAWKEYES 

Taking PURDUE. I know we have them off huge win over Ohio State. But Boilermakers looking good last few weeks. 49 on Ohio State, 46 at Illinois, 42 at Nebraska - 4 straight wins. Sparty comes in off loss to Michigan (we cashed a 8* on big brother). That was a tough, physical game. And lets keep things real here. Michigan State was off a big win at Penn State. That wasn't an easy task. Battling the Wolverines is a rough assignment. Just think with Purdue peaking, and Sparty in a terrible flat spot, dog outright in my eyes. 5* Best Bet PURDUE 

Taking NORTHWESTERN here. So, last week we told you to take Rutgers ML +900 vs the Cats. If you didn't have the stomach for that, maybe you grabbed them and the points in a narrow 18-15 Northwestern win. Well here is part 2 of that look ahead spot. They are a nice home dog - Wiscy has not impressed all year with the hype they received. I am really shocked to see them favored at all. Home team 9-2 SU and 8-3 ATS last 11 in the series. Dogs on 7-0 ATS run in Northwestern games. Sign me up. 4* Money Maker NORTHWESTERN 

Taking LA TECH tonight. Almost went ML here. But didn't want to end up like MNF where the Giants cover but don't win outright. So in this revenger (48-23), we will grab the points. FAU not looking like last years version. 1-6 ATS run for Lane's crew. La Tech comes in ready having this game circled. Holtz with a solid 32-14 ATS number when his team are dogs and 14-5 his last last 19 in that spot. LT brings a the better defense to the field today. How about FAU giving up a full TD more than they score on the year. Barking Dog. 8* Sure Shot LOUISIANA TECH 

Taking GEORGIA SOUTHERN. So these two guys are the class of the Sun Belt East, along with Troy. Getting 10 at home, vs a RANKED Sun Belt team. I'l take it. Appy lone loss to Penn State. GaSo lone loss to Clemson. So not bad losing to that kind of talent. But we can't over look that the Southern DC was at Appy the last 8 years. That's a bit of knowledge that could keep us in this number. 4* Money Maker GEORGIA SOUTHERN 

Taking WESTERN MICHIGAN. Cliche time. The ole 2 teams going in opposite directions. WMU, after dropping first 2 games vs Syracuse and Michigan have reeled off 6 straight. And on the other side of the spectrum, we have Toledo. In off a loss to Buffalo. Up 17-7 at the half and get outscored 24-0 in the 2nd, at home, and you pull your QB. That is now 5 straight games they have been outyarded. 2 straight losses and 3 of their last 4. 1-5 ATS run. I am not  counting a -48 cover over VMI. One of the worse defenses in yards allowed now gets a Top 25 offense. Rockets whacked them last year 37-10. Revenge served for the home favorites. 4* Money Maker WESTERN MICHIGAN 

Taking MISSISSIPPI STATE. So LSU off huge win over Georgia while Bulldogs come in off their bye. Revenge card for LSU after Miss State blitzed them 37-7 last year. But the 2 games before that, 23-20, 21-19. And 34-29 back in 2014. So we do see close games most of the time. Dogs bring a tough defense, an FBS best 12.7 ppg to the table. This is not an easy place to play either. But I can see this being a FG game. 4* Money Maker MISSISSIPPI STATE 

Taking MISSOURI. Memphis in off their Super Bowl. A loss to UCF. The season is over. It isn't like MizzU is some huge SEC team where they will be extra pumped to face. Missouri comes in off playing Alabama. It was 13-10 in the first, then Bama did their thing. So it isn't like Tigers are all depressed and out of it after a near miss. Let's lay it as I think Memphis has nothing in the tank. 4* Money Maker MISSOURI 

Taking RUTGERS -- You can grab 20.5 but I am going MONEY LINE +900. I know it is a big, ballsy bet. We have Northwestern coming in. They are off a huge come from behind win. Down 10 late 4th. 99 yard drive to tie. Win it in OT. I guess they can come in riding high. They get to face Rutgers who has been an absolute joke of a program this year. 2-17 5 INTs last week . 8 yards passing! Northwestern with margin of wins at 3,4,10 -- Granted. No team has been as bad as this Rutgers team. It really can't get any worse than last week can it? With Wisconsin on deck, off that late win, and with Rutgers as bad as they have been, Wildcats can easily be not focused and going through the motions looking for an easy win. 4* Money Maker RUTGERS

Taking ARMY. Also like the OVER in this game. I know this line has moved down from 11. But I am still on the Black Knights. For all intention purposes, Army with a bye week last week as they won 52-3 over San Jose. This team just improves every week. Miami O playing for the 8th straight week. Redhawks haven't faced the option in years. You think a few days will have the ready for this. All you need to know about Army is this. - They took Oklahoma to the wire only to lose in OT. That is impressive enough. I mean, covering and losing by 20-29, ok, Sooners just overlooking them. But play to OT. Then, to top it off. Coming to Buffalo, a good Bulls team, off said heart breaker. Falling behind 7-0 a minute 10 into the game. And I had Buffalo!! - Falling behind 7-0 a minute into the game and winning 42-13! Army to the races. 45-17. 5* Best Bet ARMY BLACK KNIGHTS 

Taking MICHIGAN here. We have Wolverines favored here - But lo and behold, the Spartans, 10-0 ATS and 8-2 SU in this series last 10 game. MSU 17-5 ATS last 22 as dogs overall. Last year, as 13 faves at home, Wolverines fall 14-10 as O'INT, oops O'Korn tosses 3 INTs and Michigan gets nothing going on offense. Not so much of a problem this season. We have Michigan in off of crushing a decent Wiscy team. Michigan State in off a road upset of a good Penn State team. What is the difference for me is the Sparty offense, or lack of - 13 points vs Arizona State, 19 vs Northwestern - Heck, only 21 vs Penn State. Michigan has a pretty good defense themselves. Harbaugh finally getting some wins vs better Big 10 teams. 8* Sure Shot MICHIGAN 

Taking SOONERS here. Yes, TCU with double revenge as Oklahoma picked them off twice last year. But Oklahoma in off their bye. Done licking wounds from last second FG by Texas to lose Red River Rivalry. They fire their DC so things can only get better on that side of the ball. Murray is a beast at the QB position. TCU is just having a bad year. I get the defense is still solid. The offense is down right anemic. 16-17-14 points scored their last 3 games. Sooners should win this one by double digits going away. 8* Sure Shot OKLAHOMA SOONERS 

Taking ARKANSAS. Ok. At first glance, this line does look a bit short. SEC only minus a TD vs AAC Tulsa squad. But the Hogs themselves just 1-6 with new HC Chad Morris enduring a tough run. Can't discount Tulsa coming in off a brutal loss against South Florida last week. Up 14 in the 4th, allow 15pt on USF final 3 drives for the loss. Ouch. Back to SEC vs AAC. I know Tulsa will want to play up to the big conference. But I can't see it happening. It isn't like we are laying double digits here. QB situation for visitors is rough. Skipper out after tossing 6 INTs to just 4 TDs and 716 yards. Enter Boomer who has been better? just 1 INT but 19 of 52 for 37% Completions. Yikes. Arkansas was competitive in 24-17 loss at Texas A&M. The put up 31 against Alabama for a cover 65-31 (+35). They did choke away a 27-10 lead over Ole Miss last game. But this is probably their last chance at a win. Chad Morris won't have his team overlooking a smaller school especially when his own school has just 1 win. Vandy, LSU at home up next, then 2 road games at Miss State and Missouri to end things. I look for a big win for the Razorbacks today. 10* Money Bomb ARKANSAS RAZORBACKS 

Taking USC. Ok. So one of my odd gambling angles is this. When I see a 'ranked' team getting points I like to take the fave. There are little things I do to tweak this with CBB and CFB, but in most cases, this is a play that really doesn't make us sweat when we play it. Colorado, undefeated at 5-0 catching a full TD from an under-performing 3-2 USC bunch. But we have a nice week of rest under out belts. How about USC on a 2-11 ATS runs last 13? Which is why this line is even more shocking! Now, I guess the easy thing to do would just be to grab the dog that appears to be the better team. Washington - Stanford - Alabama - Utah - Texas. Those are the teams USC has lost two recently. Not exactly upstart programs. The ATS number is bad when you historically lay double digits to schools. In this spot, we aren't laying double digits. I like the Buffs. Thought they would be decent this year. And yes, this is a big 'circle the wagon' type game as Trojans have won 8 straight in the series. But I see this being a 10pt win for the home team. Like I always say when we take an ugly dog, or in this case, an ugly favorite. If it looks to easy, it won't be. 4* Money Maker USC TROJANS 

Taking VIRGINIA. I do like the Hurricanes. Think of myself as a fan of The U. But this is a terribly spot for the 'Canes. Off a huge, 27-7 comeback win over Florida State - How much do they really have in the tank here? Last year, Va had these guys down 28-14 on the road before Miami rallied back. Cavaliers a better team this year. Plus, off their bye week. This is a big game for the home dogs tonight. And let's be honest with ourselves here. How many regular Joe's right now are saying. Oh man. Who is Virginia- Hurricanes can easily win this by a touchdown. Give me Bronco and the points against Perry making his first road start at QB. 4 TDs last week yes, but 13-32 throwing the ball is a bit uneven for me. Home pups as live dogs. 4* Money Maker VIRGINIA CAVALIERS 

Taking UTAH STATE. So this opened near 20 and has gone up a bunch. But that should be expected with UNLV having zero QB play. Aggies will get their 50 points tonight. I don't think the Runnin' Rebels crack 20. 4* Money Maker UTAH STATE 

Taking INDIANA here. Ok. first thing. College hasn't been as great as our NFL. Depending on the site, we are either 36-35 or 34-36-1. Again. Sites and lines are different where one game I could get at a better ML price and a site I might take +2. Doesn't matter. Being .500 isn't putting money on our pockets- 2nd week of October, we have plenty of time to get on track - it start here with this High Noon BEST BET - Home dog, sign me up. This is a tough little team. Off an Ohio State loss. On the road at Penn State next. Iowa is a big team for them yes. But I think they believe this is a game they can win. Like I said PSU next. Michigan down the road. Those are games they won't win. Maryland, Minnesota, Purdue are not gimmies. This team wants to go bowling. 2nd year HC Allen has a talented QB/RB combo. Back to back conference road games are tough no matter what program you are. Facing a hungry underdog doesn't help. Might have to sprinkle some ML +170/175 on these guys. 5* Best Bet INDIANA HOOSIERS 

Taking MARYLAND. Terps, home with revenge in this spot. Rutgers is rarely competitive on the road. Even against a low-level Big 10 team like Maryland, Scarlet Knights just don't have the bodies to compete. Would maybe think this as a flat spot off Michigan. But, it is home-coming. So I can see the Terps really running it up for their fan base especially since they have last years loss hanging over them. 4* Money Maker MARYLAND TERPS 

Taking VANDY today. So Florida 2-7 ATS off their LSU game including 6 Straight Up losses. Gators now with 3 straight SEC wins and play in their 3rd road game in 4 weeks. Now, I don't think Vandy is a good team by any stretch of the imagination. Simply a spot-play for me with the home dog and the visitor in a flat-spot. 4* Money Maker VANDERBILT 

Taking ARKANSAS STATE. Both teams off byes. I will side with the home dog and might grab +300 on the ML for a bit of change. Appy State will get a lot of love since everyone saw them hang with Penn State and lose in OT on the road. They see 72 points, 49, 52. The offense is shiny. I am not disputing that Appy State is a good team. Probably best in Sun Belt. They should win the East if they beat Troy at home. But the Red Wolves are my pick in the West. This is a lot of points and I have to side with the home dogs. 4* Money Maker ARKANSAS STATE 

Taking VIRGINIA TECH. Will grab the home dogs here. Notre Dame off the Stanford win. Hokies 11-3 ATS last 14 as home dogs. This will be a close one. 4* Money Maker VIRGINIA TECH 

Taking NEW MEXICO. Big line move since UNLV lost it's QB. Can't see the new guy coming in and lighting things up in his first start. New Mexico should be able to keep it close. Won't be shocked if they pulled the outright win. 4* Money Maker NEW MEXICO 

Taking BOISE. Just think this an big mismatch for San Diego State. They are banged up coming to the Smurf Turf. I get they are off a bye week. But when you are down your starting QB, RB and FB, you are walking into a tough atmosphere. This is a good Boise team this year. I know they have terrible ATS numbers as home favorites. Looking back a few years, I see several home non covers in between 4 game road trips, and some early games vs non-con foes. This number just seems high as if they are begging you to grab Rocky Long's bunch. Something tells me Rypian tosses 5 TDs and he climbs the conference all-time passing leader board. 10* Money Bomb BOISE STATE 

Taking SYRACUSE today. Yeah. Could be a bit of let-down spot for Syracuse who had Clemson on the ropes. They just couldn't close the deal. But a good coach will have these guys ready to take out that frustration on the next opponent. Orange can't take teams for granted. 5* Best Bet SYRACUSE 

Taking ILLINOIS. I guess you can make an argument for taking Rutgers. They did beat Illinois last year. But there is no way I am coming near Rutgers. They are an auto fade for the rest of the season. No questions, they are bad. 4* Money Maker RUTGERS 

Taking WEST VA - I am not really a fan of laying huge points like this. But I think this is a statement game for West Va. Grier, if he wants to get more into this Heisman talk, need 6 TDs today. I don't doubt we put up a 50 spot here. Kansas hard pressed to put up 21. I'm looking for a 52-17 type of game today. 5* Best Bet WEST VIRGINIA 

Taking UTAH STATE. This BYU is tough. I get it. They have played some 'bigger' programs and won. But I can't get behind this offense right now. Even as a small home fave. Utah State is going to put up some points. Won't be shocked when the Aggies win this one outright. BYU didn't show up at all last week, so expect a focused group. Utah State off a bye week, and this is a big series for them. 4* Money Maker UTAH STATE 

Taking TROY. Will lay it on the short week. 34-51-49. Those are the points allowed by Georgia State prior to last weeks 46-14 win. Did I mention them getting 4 turnovers? Troy puts up 40 a game and will get their points tonight. I think this is a 20 point win. 4* Money Maker TROY 

Taking FRESNO. Rested home team. I'm in. Toledo off a win over Nevada. But playing that game is much different than the Bulldogs on the road. Blocked punt and KO TDs help the cause. But Reno also has allowed 50pts in 8 of their last 12 games. Come on. Bulldogs should take care of business at home tonight. Fresno 9-2 ATS last 11 at home and 14-3 ATS last 17 overall. Not going to knock Toledo offense who has scored 60 twice this season. But this is a long way from Ohio vs a pretty solid defense. 4* Money Maker FRESNO STATE 

Taking BOISE tonight. Will lay the big number. Had Boise in their no-show at Oklahoma State. Well this is the team they take out all that frustration on. Both teams off byes. So they each have had time to lick their wounds off losses. But this Boise team is much better. Hello. Laying 3 scores on the road. We are winning by 20. And could probably stretch this to a near 30pt in the area of 42-14 type of game. The defense for Boise should have no problems containing this Cowboys offensive unit. 5* Best Bet BOISE STATE

Taking NORTHERN ILLINOIS. Huskies the top dogs in the MAC for me. Off 3 straight losses. Iowa, Utah, Florida State. Pretty decent teams. EMU off a tough loss at San Diego State and a 1-2 road trip. Beat Purdue, lost to Buffalo. Northern Illinois though 16-1 SU last 17 vs Eastern Michigan. 10 straight. 7-3 ATS last 10. Now catching points? Maybe this is the old low hanging fruit game and NIU has fallen on hard times. But I need to see them in MAC play to make that determination.  4* Money Maker NORTHERN ILLINOIS 

Taking BUFFALO. So, at first look, yes. Fade the Bulls off beating Rutgers. Yeah, Rutgers is not a good team. But it is still a Big 10 team, that you mauled on the road. Looking at the numbers, and being an NJ guy, we see that Buffalo really took the foot off the gas in the 2nd half. They are ready for Army. They face Army enough not to be had by their offense and the defense can make a stop or two. And what about Army. Man, tough loss at Oklahoma. I always give the service academies a bump in my ratings just because of the career paths they have chosen. It is do the job, back to work. But that is a draining affair. Again OT at Oklahoma. Offense held the ball for 45 minutes. Not tired at all here? They converted 3rd and 4th downs. Buffalo pulls away last for a double digit win. 8* Sure Shot BUFFALO BULLS 

Taking INDIANA. Small play here as we fade my state's laughing stock of a football team. Man. I really thought we could get a coach in here that could keep NJ's talented players home. This is as bad as things have been in like 20 years. As if losing to Kansas wasn't bad enough, they get housed by Buffalo. From the MAC? Who took off the entire 2nd half and Rutgers still didn't have a prayer. Indiana isn't a dominate Big 10 team. But they have been kicked around enough to want to lay some pain on a bad squad. Have to fade Rutgers at every turn from here on out. 4* Money Maker INDIANA HOOSIERS 

Taking COLORADO. Now normally, I would be looking at the the dog in this spot. But I cannot come anywhere near UCLA right now. The Westgate send out line for this was PK back in July. Well, when you lose your starting QB. A back up transfers. You have a young QB learning a new offense from an old NFL coach who ran a great College offense, and a father of a QB questions play calling. Safe to say you are having a tough go. Chip Kelly will have this team back on track soon enough. But it will take some time. Colorado cruising at 3-0. Will like to smack around the bigger PAC 12 name  and has revenge for 27-23 loss last year. No lack of focus for Buffs. Bruins with 12 straight losses away from the Rose Bowl. The Colorado defense isn't any great shakes for sure. But the offense is running very well right now. Should easily get to the mid 30s and that should be enough for a double digit cover. 10* Money Bomb COLORADO BUFFALOES 

Taking NC tonight. Just think this is too many points, even with a road team on a short week. This is still a conference game. National TV. Heels will be pumped up. Miami defense is solid. They have solved their QB troubles. But laying 18 in a conference game. Visiting coach on a bit of a hot seat. Dogs for me. 4* Money Maker NORTH CAROLINA 

Will grab ARIZONA STATE. Big dogs for sure. Faded Washington last week and couldn't cash. But the offense to me is still a bit of a question mark. I get the huge revenge angle for Washington. Arizona State has 12 straight covers with 11 straight-up wins vs Washington! What the heck is that? This is a big number, and ASU has played decent for Herm. 4* Money Maker ARIZONA STATE 

Taking LA TECH. So nice little spot to grab 3 TDs. LSU stole our soul last week as we backed Auburn. But off that huge upset, we get them in a bit of let-down spot. Nothing like a last second win and then a game vs a mid-major. Make no mistake though, this big brother/ little brother fight has huge implications for the dogs. How many of this kids grew up wanting to play for LSU? And they are at La Tech. Total disrespect card to be played along with huge dogs in an instate battle. Skip Holtz group should battle for their conference championship. I am still not sold on LSU even after that big road win. Down 21-10 last second FG to win on road. Ole Miss on deck. LSU should win, but I can't see them covering this number vs rested dog with a chip on their shoulder. 5* Best Bet 

Grabbing RICE and the points. Owls have covered 6 of the last 8. Off a bye (last played at Hawaii), while Southern Miss bye caused by Hurricane. Southern Miss is probably the better team based on Rice's 1-11 record last season. But sometimes you get a new coach and every thing changes. They have covered both games vs Houston and Hawaii putting points on the board. Against Houston, they put points up early. In Hawaii, it was late. That is where that long travel comes into play. But it also shows no quit. So we get an under-achieving Southern Miss team laying a pretty big number. Give me the hungrier team with something to prove. 5* Best Bet RICE OWLS 

Taking MARSHALL. Will sprinkle some +180 ML on this puppy also. I like the Herd team. A lot of starters back. Could battle for top spot in CUSA East and get into the Championship Game. Have to love a home dog vs Power 5 school. Also playing with revenge. NC State for me is a mid-pack ACC team. Wolfpack defense for me allows us to cover, and even get the outright win. 8* Sure Shot MARSHALL 

Taking TCU. I am tossing out Herman's great under dog record. Because Gary Patterson has absolutely owned Texas. 155-33. That isn't a typo. Last 4 games vs Texas, Horned Frogs 155-33. I think this line is a little short. Texas pulled out a big home win over SC. While TCU was undone vs Ohio State with some miscues. Well they take out that frustration on in-state rival and shows the State of Texas where the premier program is. 4* Money Maker TCU HORNED FROGS 

Taking VIRGINIA as our Top Play. Like this team. Like the coach. Clearly 2 programs going in opposite directions. Petrino at the 'Ville misses Lamar Jackson behind center. I just can't see them really keeping pace with the Cavs. Bronco Mendenhall will have the team focused in revenge mode. Too much offense as Virginia jumps out fast (last week 35-7 3 minutes to go in 2nd Q) and never looks back. 10* Money Bomb VIRGINIA CAVALIERS 

Taking IOWA STATE. So a lot of things working here. We Akron off their first Big 10 win beating Northwestern on the road. Back to back roadies vs Power 5 schools. Last year 41-14 Zips lost at home. Riding high after win and thinking they can knock off another Power 5 school? Let-down game after huge victory? What about the Cyclones desperation? Sitting at 0-2, these guys in the all too familiar 'circle the wagon' situation. TCU and Oklahoma State road trips await. You think these guys are looking ahead? They already know their schedule. No way they under estimate Akron here. Especially with them coming in off a win. 4* Money Maker IOWA STATE 

Taking USC. Said on twitter the other night the send out line on this was USC -15.5. 15.5! SC has looked terrible the last 2 weeks vs Stanford and Texas. Offense sputtering. Getting stuffed at the 1 in that Texas game was really the turning point for me. Up 14-13 and going in, that changes everything. And on the road, that will suck the wind right out of your sails. Wash St comes in averaging 40ppg. But this is a big step up from Eastern Washington. Think the proverbial hot seat is entering the picture for the staff at USC. The good news is that Helton and Co. have won 12 straight at home. And, will be looking for revenge for last years road loss. Desperate team, I'll lay the short number. 4* Money Maker USC TROJANS 

Taking FLORIDA ATLANTIC. Well, Lane laid an egg for us way back in Week 1. But I will grab him and his squad as a nice double digit dog tonight. I like UCF. And I think the Heupel hire is solid. But this is still his 3rd game as HC. This is a HUGE game for not only bragging rights of these smaller schools, but has monster ramifications for recruiting the same players. And let's be honest, the way Florida and FSU have fared lately, they can be moving up on the players they are going after. That is a different write up all together. So I like FAU and the points. Just think this is going to be a lot closer than this line. 6-1 ATS as double digit dog for the Lane Train. 4* Money Maker FLORIDA ATLANTIC 

Taking UTAH. Utes have played these guys tough last 2 years. Not thinking much have changed. Tough test again on the road for Washington. They couldn't get it done vs Auburn. Tigers better than these Utes for sure. But a tough conference foe on the road. Not an easy task. Have to grab the home dogs. 4* Money Maker UTAH 

Taking PURDUE. I know MizzU has revenge for last years loss (35-3). But this is a tough spot. Boilermakers now 0-2 after a terrible loss to Eastern Michigan. 0-2 and desperate. First road game of the year. Plus, Tigers have South Carolina on deck. I have this game as a toss up. So getting this amount of points on the home dog is a big bonus. 4* Money Maker PURDUE BOILERMAKERS 

Taking ALABAMA. I don't know. I can see this being a 30 point game. Tide can really name the score. I had Bama last year and they rolled these guys. I know that previously, Ole Miss had won 2 of the last 3 before getting demolished last year. I think we can see something like that again tonight. 4* Money Maker ALABAMA 

Taking TEXAS TECH. Not sure why all the love on Houston. This team really has only a few good games under their belt. Both HCs, for me, are on the proverbial 'hot seat'. Maybe a bit more at TT. I think this could be a back and forth affair. I will back the Red Raiders. 4* Money Maker TEXAS TECH 

Taking NORTH TEXAS. Like this little squad. Arkansas blew a 27-9 lead last week. Will have their hands full with a Fine QB for NT. Mean Green should be able to put up some passing yards with the best QB in conference.  Enough points for us to easily back NT. 8* Sure Shot NORTH TEXAS 

Taking BOISE here. Will grab the small points with the dog. I know a lot of times I am grabbing MLs at 3 or less. But I can see this one really coming down to something late. For me, the Boise defense is the difference maker. 10 guys back on that side of the ball. Cowboys always tough at home, especially when you see this short number. But a new QB behind center, vs a team that is always tough. Again. Comes down to someone making a stop. And I am betting on the road dogs to come through. 4* Money Maker BOISE STATE 

Taking AUBURN today. Look. I had LSU on the ML over the Hurricanes. But I am laying it and expecting a 15-20 point win Saturday afternoon. Right off the bat - Huge revenge spot for us blowing 20-0 lead last year. Home team on a 16-2 SU and 13-4-1 ATS run. LSU still has some QB issues. Do we really think they are coming in here and winning? Because, if I am taking a dog, I think it wins outright. I don't think the back door will be in play here. Guess people forget that Auburn smacked both Georgia and Alabama when they were ranked #1 on this field. This is a good Tigers team. 10* Money Bomb AUBURN TIGERS 

Taking OHIO here. Nearly made this a ML play. I have Ohio as the best in MAC East. I know Virginia isn't a sexy big school, but for the MAC, it's a big game. Off their bye week, I expect them to be more than ready to hang with this ACC team. Now. We did cash backing Virginia last week. But in this spot, game being played in Vandy's Stadium with Hurricane in town. I can't think they are fully focused here. As much as they need this win, I think Ohio is the hungrier team with less on their plate right now. Bobcats can stop this run game and force Perkins to beat them with his arm which he hasn't shown much consistency in doing. Solich is a solid mid-major coach and has pulled some upsets out of his hat before. 5* Best Bet OHIO BOBCATS 

Taking PITT. Almost went ML here. I'll grab the home dogs off a rough game as they were humbled by in state big brother, Penn State. G-Tech defense for me is why I lean on the homers. Don't see them making a key stop along the way. A little revenge on tap at Heinz today. 4* Money Maker PITT PANTHERS 

Taking WAKE here. There is a lot of love coming down on BC. And I get it. I like their HC. They are in a revenge spot from last years game. Hurricane approaching so maybe Wake isn't 100% focused on football. But the Eagles are not a good bet covering the number as a fave. They thrive more in a dog role when nobody is counting on them. Might be looking to pull the trigger on the Under 55.5 here. If the winds start picking up early and heavy rains come into play. 4* Money Maker WAKE FOREST 

Taking RICE. Hawaii rewarding backers with a pair of big wins. But this line is inflated in my eyes. Have to grab the points. Simple as that. Can't give up free points. 4* Money Maker RICE OWLS 

Taking VIRGINIA. Again, a game I will sprinkle some ML +205. I'm a Bronco fan. Think he is a good coach. He has 8 starters back on D. Which will help against the Hoosiers who have 7 back on offense. I do think Indiana could be a bowl team this year. But, I have to grab the points with the visitor. VA with revenge for last years lost. I think if they can pound the ball and control things, they can pull out the outright win. 4* Money Maker VIRGINIA 

5* Best Bet BAYLOR BEARS

Taking IOWA STATE. Grabbing a little ML +160 also. Tough in-state battle. Give me the points. ISU has covered 8 of 10 here. Like our QB better than theirs. Stanley for Iowa barely getting over 100 yards. I looked at that game and thought NI would show up. After looking at the roster, they had same holes to fill. Tough to do vs a Big 10 school. But a Big 12 program, and a bitter in-state rival. Well this screams upset to me. 4* Money Maker IOWA STATE 

Taking COLORADO. Nebraska hasn't played yet. I like the Frost hire. But this is a tough spot for an opening game. True frosh starting at QB. This line also looks a little short in my eyes. Might sprinkle some ML also. Buffs young, but I think there was so much work to do at Nebraska, this is a pretty even match-up talent wise. 4* Money Maker COLORADO 

4* Money Maker NAVY

Taking DUKE. Duke rolled these guys last year. We can say, oh revenge at home for Northwestern. And we had these guys last week. But we also watched them not score a point in the 2nd half after putting up 31 in the first half. Not sure this veteran Duke team turns it over 3 times to help the cause. 4* Money Maker DUKE BLUE DEVILS