02-09-25 |
Chiefs -125 v. Eagles |
|
22-40 |
Loss |
-125 |
330 h 16 m |
Show
|
Taking KANSAS CITY. Have we not learned to not bet against the Chiefs in the playoffs? I tried that last year taking the Bills, Ravens and Niners and went 0-3. I am 2-0 taking KC this post season, soon to be 3-0. Andy Reid is head and shoulders better than Sirianni. Look no further than the last time these guys met in the Super Bowl. Eagles up 10 at half, outplayed and outcoached in the 2nd half. Chiefs win. And they win another 1 score game which they are now on an incredible 17-0 run. KC wins close games. Hurts threw for over 300 yards, had 70 yards rushing and 4 total TDs vs KC in the Super Bowl. Not good enough for a win. Steve Spagnuolo will have the Chiefs defense up to task to slow down the 1/2 rushing combo of Barkley and Hurts. How am I going against Mahomes? The guy is just clutch. Last year in the Super Bowl. Down at the half. Down with a minute or whatever left in regulation. Down in OT. Doesn't matter. And my final point. Vic Fangio defense. Well. Mahomes went 6-0 when he ran it in Denver. 3 in a row for KC. 4* Money Maker KC CHIEFS -- also on the UNDER
|
02-09-25 |
Chiefs v. Eagles UNDER 49.5 |
|
22-40 |
Loss |
-110 |
250 h 43 m |
Show
|
4* Total Money UNDER Chiefs/ Eagles
|
01-26-25 |
Bills v. Chiefs -120 |
|
29-32 |
Win
|
100 |
152 h 16 m |
Show
|
Taking KANSAS CITY. If the Bills win, then so be it. I tried the .. well KC is never a dog and doesn't look as good as last year .. in last years playoffs. That went 0-3 as the Bills and Ravens both lost at home and the Niners continue with a HC who blows leads in Super Bowls. Terrible. Not going to fall for the banana in the tailpipe again. (google it youngsters) Mahomes 17-3 in the playoffs last 20 games SU. Lost to Brady in OT. Lost to Brady in a Super Bowl. Lost to Burrow. I will take my chances vs the Bills here. Chiefs have their playoff number. These guys have met 8 times in the last 5 years. Bills have won 4 of 5 in the regular season. KC all 3 in the playoffs. 7th AFC Championship Game for Reid and Mahomes. 4-2 SU/ATS. Chiefs make plays when they need to. Or, they get a friendly flag. It isn't fixed. It isn't rigged. Magic, MJ, Kobe, LeBron. Good teams get the calls. This is nothing new. KC at home in a PK to go to another Super Bowl. They have won the last 2. Square play, perhaps. But haven't we seen this play out before? 4* Money Maker KC CHIEFS
|
01-26-25 |
Commanders +5.5 v. Eagles |
|
23-55 |
Loss |
-111 |
159 h 37 m |
Show
|
Taking WASHINGTON here. So these guys split this season. Philly rolling on a short week. Washington a big come from behind win. Let's start there. Oh, Hurts didn't play. Well. Washington turned the ball over 3 times and still ended up winning. This team is playing well right now. I think people forget way back to weeks 1+2 where they didn't even punt the ball in a game. The offense is clicking. Daniels looks special in his rookie season. I understand not wanting to grab a rookie QB in a road Championship Game. But last I looked, Eagles have some problems. Hurts was knocked out of that Iggles loss to the Commies. Didn't look all that sharp vs Green Bay. Take away the snow and the Rams probably win that game last week. Are we sure that Hurts even finishes the game here? The offense does go through Barkley. But if you think they win with Kenny Pickett taking any meaningful snaps, you are nuts. I just do not see that happening. I see this as FG type of game with the winner having the ball last. 4* Money Maker WASHINGTON COMMANDERS
|
01-20-25 |
Ohio State -8 v. Notre Dame |
|
34-23 |
Win
|
100 |
170 h 57 m |
Show
|
Taking OHIO STATE. I think there is just a big talent gap here. Irish won't be able to slow down the Buckeyes. Probably a 20 point win. I also like the UNDER in this one. I don't think Notre Dame gets more than 10. 4* Money Maker OHIO STATE
|
01-20-25 |
Ohio State v. Notre Dame UNDER 46.5 |
|
34-23 |
Loss |
-108 |
170 h 55 m |
Show
|
4* Total Money UNDER Ohio State/ Notre Dame
|
01-19-25 |
Ravens v. Bills +1.5 |
|
25-27 |
Win
|
100 |
21 h 49 m |
Show
|
Taking the BILLS. Why do I feel like everyone is on the Ravens? And, I am also. Albeit a Super Bowl future ticket. But for a team that has covered 5 in a row and all the wins by at least 14 points, I can see all the love. Especially when we saw the Bills give up 80 something points on the road to the Rams and Lions. We know that the Ravens smacked these guys 35-10 back in September. Both teams off easy wins last week. I think this one is a flat out battle. A 1pt game, 3pt game. For me. It is really just pick the winner. I am not worried about cold and snow or wind here. Both these teams are not strangers to that. I was leaning to the Ravens based on the way their defense has played overall. But Allen at home gets the call over Lamar on the road. 4* Money Maker BUFFALO BILLS
|
01-19-25 |
Rams v. Eagles UNDER 44 |
|
22-28 |
Loss |
-115 |
51 h 17 m |
Show
|
Going UNDER the total. Snow doesn't really mean lower scoring, but I think it will hinder the Rams passing a bit. Especially if the winds pick up. This was going to be a run first type of game from Philly anyway. Don't be fooled by last week's Eagles cover. I had them. But that was 22-10 win when you get 4 TOs? Should have been a lot bigger margin. But Hurts is still rounding into form after being out a few weeks. Rams defense has been better of late and I don't believe anyone cracks 24 points. 4* Total Money UNDER Rams/ Eagles
|
01-18-25 |
Texans v. Chiefs UNDER 42.5 |
|
14-23 |
Win
|
100 |
136 h 47 m |
Show
|
4* Total Money UNDER Texans/ Chiefs
|
01-18-25 |
Texans v. Chiefs -8 |
|
14-23 |
Win
|
100 |
27 h 11 m |
Show
|
Taking the CHIEFS. I know they ol' KC wins and doesn't cover. But 12-4 ATS in the playoffs. Different animal. 4* Money Maker KANSAS CITY CHIEFS
|
01-13-25 |
Vikings v. Rams +2.5 |
|
9-27 |
Win
|
100 |
73 h 5 m |
Show
|
Taking the RAMS. This is a tricky one with the move to Arizona and the fires. Safe to think the Rams heads may not be totally in the game. But nothing like a huge episode to rally behind. This Rams team is good. I mean. They could have won last week and be facing a rookie QB making his first road start. Instead they settled for the loser of a game between 2 teams with 14 wins. They beat the Vikings on a short week already. The played the Lions tough in Detroit. I think the Rams poound the ball with Williams and that lets Stats Padford, I mean Matt Stafford get the ball to his 2 WRs in Puka and Kupp. Darnold off a dream season. I was hoping they won last week to lock up my Minny Coach of the Year Award. Now, we wait. Vikings looking putrid last week. Hate betting against a team in a spot like that. The old, what have you done for me lately, and that sticks out. I thought to start November the Rams could be a dangerous team. I think they win this and will give Philly all they handle next week. 4* Money Maker LA RAMS
|
01-12-25 |
Commanders v. Bucs -3 |
|
23-20 |
Loss |
-118 |
165 h 46 m |
Show
|
Taking TAMPA. I think I am in the minority with this pick. I liked Tampa last year at 10/1 to win the South, you're welcome. I told you to fade Atlanta and take the Falcons again to the win south. Hello another division title. Baker with a great season. Game 1 was Tampa 37-20. What will Game 18 be? I think something along the same. High Scorer. Tampa into the 30s. Tampa led 13-0, 23-7 and 37-14 in that one. Yes, Daniels has grown since then. But so has Tampa. I have to think the defense comes up with some new wrinkles to throw Daniels off a bit. Baker will be solid, but I think this is the Bucky Irving show tonight. 4* Money Maker TAMPA BAY BUCS
|
01-12-25 |
Packers v. Eagles -4 |
|
10-22 |
Win
|
100 |
162 h 48 m |
Show
|
Give me the EAGLES. Who the heck has Green Bay beaten to think they stay within 10 year? I think this is Philly blow out. Barkley is going to something like 125+ 2 TDs a few catches. Packers lost to these Eagles and Minny + Detroit twice. Philly I think got better as the season went on as they got their new OC/DC play calling down. Fly Eagles Fly. 4* Money Maker PHILADELPHIA EAGLES
|
01-12-25 |
Broncos v. Bills OVER 46.5 |
|
7-31 |
Loss |
-115 |
69 h 26 m |
Show
|
Going OVER the total here. I think this is a shoot out. If you remember, everyone thought Denver would give the Ravens a battle when they traveled to Baltimore. Well - that was 41-10 Ravens. While I do think the Bills crack 30, I think this is more inline with 37-20. Either way. First half over, full game over. Josh Allen with a big today. 4* Total Money OVER Broncos/ Bills
|
01-11-25 |
Chargers v. Texans +3 |
|
12-32 |
Win
|
100 |
137 h 31 m |
Show
|
Taking the TEXANS this afternoon. Home dog for me and I won't think twice about it. Texans off a bad regular season when much more was expected of them. A lot of injuries, but, still a division winner. Home dogs in the wild card round a pretty decent run of 24-10 ATS. I think people forget that Houston also has a pretty good defense themselves. Chargers have a pair of banged up RBs and a 1 man receiving corps of rookie Ladd McConkey. I think this one will be an ugly one. Will be looking to move on the Under here also. Stroud will do just enough to get us the win, while the defense shuts done Herbert and friends. 4* Money Maker HOUSTON TEXANS
|
01-09-25 |
Notre Dame v. Penn State UNDER 47 |
|
27-24 |
Loss |
-110 |
138 h 44 m |
Show
|
Going UNDER the total here. I have my 10/1 ND future. As I have said since the playoffs began on Mid Day Money - I think the Irish have the best defense. And when you can play defense, you always have a shot. And. We get James Franklin. This guy can't win a big game. Always outcoached. The offense stalls. Irish don't have that Oregon/OSU offense. But the defense is stout. It would be unfair of me to say that the Nittany Lions can't D it up either. This should be like the Georgia/ ND game. A rock fight to the under. 4* Total Money UNDER Notre Dame/ Penn State
|
01-06-25 |
North Dakota State v. Montana State OVER 56 |
|
35-32 |
Win
|
100 |
224 h 41 m |
Show
|
Going OVER the total here. Montana State has a the better offense and QB in this one. Though North Dakota State is no stranger to the FCS Championship Game stage, this one will challenging. I am on North Dakota State +3.5, but I like this total even more. Montana State was #1 all year because of their offense and that is why they are undefeated and the favorite here. #2 NDST are no pushovers. Again, this feels like a 38-35 type of game. This total sitting in the mid 50s is surprising. Both teams should get to 30. I do like the dog, but the OVER is my Top Play tonight. 4* Total Money OVER North Dakota State/ Montana State
|
01-06-25 |
North Dakota State +3.5 v. Montana State |
|
35-32 |
Win
|
100 |
101 h 18 m |
Show
|
4* Money Maker NORTH DAKOTA STATE
|
01-05-25 |
Vikings +3 v. Lions |
|
9-31 |
Loss |
-108 |
78 h 15 m |
Show
|
Taking the VIKINGS. A pair of 14-2 teams in the same division, final regular game season game. Division Title. Home Field. Bye Week. #1 Seed. All the marbles. What a game Sunday night! Loser will be the 5 seed and will be the first 14 game winner to play a Wild Card game. Unbelievable. 31-29 win for Detroit last time these guys met. Lions rolled on MNF (we had Detroit) in San Fran and get a little extra rest as this is late, but still a full less. The defense is the difference for me here. Sam Darnold on a tear the last month. 14-2. Guy won 13 games with the Jets in 3 years, coaching matters folks. I saw he has thrown for more yards and TDs than Josh Allen. Higher completion percentages than Lamar and Mahomes. What a year for this guy, good for him. We have Minny in a revenge spot. Detroit off their playoff revenge spot in San Fran. Why do I think Dan Gamble, I mean Campbell, does something here that doesn't go his way. 4* Money Maker MINNESOTA VIKINGS
|
01-05-25 |
Chiefs +9.5 v. Broncos |
|
0-38 |
Loss |
-110 |
162 h 50 m |
Show
|
Taking the CHIEFS. I know they will be resting guys. But honestly. I will be shocked if we don't get at least a quarter of Mahomes here. Yes. These guys just win games. 15-1 and Mahomes having a very average season. This is the ONLY team in the NFL not to score more than 30 points this year. The scored 30 in OT vs Tampa, and 30 in Carolina. And as much as I want Nix to air it out for 350 yards so I win my rookie most passing yards prop with him, I don't trust him as a double digit favorite. KC still plays defense. Denver is locked into a trip to Buffalo with a win. That is all they need to do. Take the points. 4* Money Maker KANSAS CITY CHIEFS
|
01-05-25 |
Dolphins -140 v. Jets |
|
20-32 |
Loss |
-140 |
162 h 48 m |
Show
|
Taking the DOLPHINS. Miami needs the big dog Chiefs to pull the upset in Denver to make the playoffs. But they have to do their part and win. I think they win. This Jets team can't wait to hit the links, or the beaches. Or wherever the heck Rodgers is headed. I will be a little nervous if we get full game Tyrod Taylor here. I think the Jets should start him next year. Down 40-0 last week, these guys are absolutely cooked. I'm saying under 5 thousand fans in New Jersey on Sunday! 4* Money Maker MIAMI DOLPHINS
|
01-05-25 |
Commanders v. Cowboys +3.5 |
|
23-19 |
Loss |
-120 |
145 h 58 m |
Show
|
Taking the COWBOYS. Washington needs to win and the Bears to win at Green Bay to move up in the wild-card. I hate saying things like, oh, that never happens. But come on. Packers have won the last 10. I can't see them losing outright as near double digit favorites. I bet GB FH -6 on Tuesday. So - Washington. Safe to say they rest some guys and get ready for their projected game in LA to play the Rams. Dallas is a team that just got rocked. I had them. Loser. It happens. But this team will win outright today. That is what it does. Win meaningless games so you think they are headed in the right direction. McCarthy the first Dallas HC since Dave Campo to have a pair of losing seasons (4 8-8 seasons under Garrett!. May as well be losing seasons!!.. angry Cowboys fan). Cowboys win this one for any fans that show up! 4* Money Maker DALLAS COWBOYS
|
01-05-25 |
Bills v. Patriots UNDER 39 |
|
16-23 |
Push |
0 |
143 h 22 m |
Show
|
Going UNDER the total here. 6 straight losses for the Patriots. 7-21-17-24-15-22-19-17-25-16-21-10-13-3-20-16. Look at that rosy offensive numbers for New England. Bills will be resting guys. I don't think Trubisky throws 4 TDs today. Josh Allen will start for his consecutive game streak, then hit the sidelines. Patriots currently in the #1 slot in the upcoming draft. Will they fumble this away like the Raiders and Giants? I don't believe in teams quitting and tanking. I do believe this team is that bad though. Please don't be fooled by that wild shoot-out in Buffalo 2 weeks ago. Bills home after b2b roadies at Rams + Lions that were offensive wonders. Bad spot for Bills there. Always a bad spot for Patriots offense. 4* Total Money UNDER Bills/ Patriots
|
01-04-25 |
Bengals -120 v. Steelers |
|
19-17 |
Win
|
100 |
54 h 52 m |
Show
|
Taking the BENGALS. I'll be honest. My first thought when I did Look Ahead Lines last Sunday was Pitt and the 2.5. Right? We have them at home. 3 straight losses. Can't rest people since you are on a 3 game slide. Do you want to go to on the road, even to Houston, on a 4 game slide? Then I wake up the next morning. Ok. Steelers have lost 3 in a row to good teams. KC, Ravens, Philly. Is Cincy in that group? We all agree no because of the defense. I will gladly take the Burrow and vs this Steelers defense right now. 29-34-27 points allowed. Let's not forget the wild 44-38 game in Cincy Pitt won on December 1st. After their revenge win over Cleveland, Pitt hit the skids. Cincy has reeled off 4 in a row since that loss posting 27-37-24-30 points on offense. Burrow has thrown 15 TDs this month, 3 in every game. I think he tosses at least 3 today. Two teams going in different directions. A Bengals win doesn't guarantee a playoff spot, but this is still a rivalry game and the ball is their court to continue their season. Pitt had a fast start, and an even faster fall to the finish. Ravens as 20 point faves are not losing to the Browns. Steelers locked in at 5. Maybe the starters play a half here. 4* Money Maker CINCINNATI BENGALS
|
01-04-25 |
Buffalo -124 v. Liberty |
|
26-7 |
Win
|
100 |
378 h 35 m |
Show
|
Taking BUFFALO. As I write this, I see 8 starters and 17 in the portal for the Flames led by their starting QB. He might be missed here as the Bulls come in winners of 4 straight putting up 43-37-51 and 41 points in those victories. Flames have been nothing all that sexy on the defensive side of the ball giving up 350 yards and 23 points a game. Again. You have a backup QB for Liberty who has thrown 7 passes this year. Going back to his time at Appalachian State he was 11-17 in his 2 games of play (2 years on the team). I will also be on the UNDER in this one. 4* Money Maker BUFFALO BULLS
|
01-04-25 |
Buffalo v. Liberty UNDER 52 |
|
26-7 |
Win
|
100 |
378 h 30 m |
Show
|
4* Total Money UNDER Buffalo/ Liberty
|
01-03-25 |
Minnesota -5 v. Virginia Tech |
|
24-10 |
Win
|
100 |
549 h 59 m |
Show
|
Going with MINNESOTA tonight. The old Belk Bowl. Continental Tire Bowl. Meineke Bowl. Thank goodness for Duke's Mayo taking over this bad boy! Who wants to see a coach hit with a muffler or a tire! Mayo Dumps for the win! Hokies already going with a backup QB in this one due to injury. They also have 5 other starters that are in the portal, another half dozen opt outs, and I see here on Tuesday that it is possible that they can be missing as many as 14 starters overall. This line was 4.5, then jumped to 6.5/7. I am seeing some 9s now, so it is possible that guys are sitting. We have been on different sides of crazy line moves so we aren't taking anything for granted with a better number right now. 4* Money Maker MINNESOTA GOLDEN GOPHERS
|
01-03-25 |
North Texas v. Texas State UNDER 67.5 |
|
28-30 |
Win
|
100 |
436 h 45 m |
Show
|
Going UNDER the total this afternoon. North Texas has a back up QB going. Their starter tossed for 31 TDs, this guy has 5 total pass attempts. Let's add their top WR, a TE and 2 OL starters. Might be a bit sluggish on offense for Mean Green. Texas State won't have their top RB. Saw that Texas State was favored in Every Game this year, including over Playoff Bye Week team Arizona State. They lost 5 games this year if you are thinking of going with favorite here. I don't think the Bobcats have a 40+ game in them so we go Under. 4* Total Money UNDER North Texas/ Texas State
|
01-02-25 |
Notre Dame v. Georgia +100 |
|
23-10 |
Loss |
-100 |
21 h 13 m |
Show
|
Taking GEORGIA. I do have a future on the Irish, but man oh man, there is not a love for a backup QB playing in this one. I think this game will be a flat out rock fight with these defenses. But honestly, it comes down to one thing - coaching. And Kirby Smart does it as well as anyone h as ever done it. Guy is 105-18, 5 losses in his first year. So really, 97-13! 9-2 in Bowls with 2 Natty's and a Natty loss. Marcus Freeman has had a great year. ND off a nice win over Indiana. This is a huge step up. Last time the Irish won a big game, at A&M, they came home and lost to Northern Illinois. ND 8-1 vs Bowl teams this season. But after that SEC Championship Game, the rest will do Georgia good. Breaking in a new QB. Difficult. But Kirby Smart is good. Guy is 18-3 SU with rest. His team will be ready. Probably could have made the case for them to be the hunt last year too. Experience wins out here. 4* Money Maker GEORGIA BULLDOGS
|
01-01-25 |
Ohio State v. Oregon OVER 55 |
|
41-21 |
Win
|
100 |
215 h 22 m |
Show
|
Going OVER the total. Oregon scored 24 in their opening vs Idaho and then put up a 16-13 win at Wisconsin. Every other game 30 including their thrilling 32-31 win over Ohio State back in October. And why the heck are these guys playing each other in this spot! Freaking crappy expanded playoffs. Buckeyes throttled the Vols, and look for their revenge. We saw 8 lead changes in that game and the win clinched with a FG under 2 minutes. Ohio State defense couldn't stop Oregon last game. Don't expect them to slow things down here either. Buckeyes are favored, and that is, I believe, based on the better defense. Should be a another wild won. 34-30 or something along those lines is how I see it. 4* Total Money OVER Ohio State/ Oregon
|
12-31-24 |
Baylor v. LSU UNDER 60 |
|
31-44 |
Loss |
-110 |
509 h 48 m |
Show
|
Going UNDER the total. Think that the OL issues for LSU will rear their ugly head here. We are already on Baylor -120 and the line has moved to 3.5 as I do this write up. Bears will score, but this should stay under 60. 4* Total Money UNDER Baylor/ LSU
|
12-31-24 |
Baylor -115 v. LSU |
|
31-44 |
Loss |
-115 |
166 h 20 m |
Show
|
Taking BAYLOR. We have the good number here as the line moves to 3. Bears offense has topped 37 or more in 5 of their last 6 and going a perfect 6-0 ATS. I think the offense gets it done again this afternoon. LSU with some OL problems. Not a fan of Brian Kelly. Dave Aranda was an LSU coordinator so you know he wants to win vs his old team. LSU had lost 3 in a row to A*M, Bama and Florida before ending with a pair of wins over Vandy and Oklahoma. 4* Money Maker BAYLOR BEARS
|
12-31-24 |
Alabama v. Michigan +10.5 |
|
13-19 |
Win
|
100 |
470 h 31 m |
Show
|
Well. This one totally went the wrong way. We look good with Baylor at a Pk and now -3. This one, not so much. We have had a good bowl season overall but this one will bit us on the website. I was thinking the Bama guys would bail on the coach and hit the portal or draft. Not the case. They will play in the ReliaQuest Bowl! This was the Hall of Fame Bowl from 1986-1995 then the Outback Bowl from 1996-2022. What ever happened to Outback? Texas Roadhouse over take them I guess? Enough eats. I liked Michigan because they are still an 'elite' in name program that would be pumped up to play the big, bad SEC Alabama Crimson Tide. But the Tide are the team with their draft guys playing as DeBoer expects them to go full length here. While it is the Michigan team getting the opt outs. The line now 14. If you haven't played it, I WOULD NOT. I now would be taking Alabama with the updated rosters. I had no problem staying with Coastal when we had +7 and it went up. But not here.
|
12-30-24 |
Lions -3 v. 49ers |
|
40-34 |
Win
|
100 |
189 h 48 m |
Show
|
Taking DETROIT. Not going to overthink this one at all. Revenge for last year NFC Championship Game. Detroit blows a 24-7 halftime lead. Lions still fighting for the 1 seed. The Niners - SF had a lead at halftime in the Super Bowl. They had a lead with Under 2 minutes left in the Super Bowl. They took the lead in OT in the Super Bowl. And now they are 6-9 in last place in the NFC West. Fitting for the Lions to put the fork in San Fran. 4* Money Maker DETROIT LIONS
|
12-30-24 |
Iowa v. Missouri -3 |
|
24-27 |
Push |
0 |
501 h 30 m |
Show
|
Taking MISSOURI here. Normally I would be looking at the better defensive team getting points. But Iowa is suspect on offense for me. Their best weapon, RB Johnson is out. There is a drop off to the next guys. QB wise looks like Iowa sticking with Sullivan who took over for McNamara has tossed for 344 yards 2 TDs and 2 INTs. Good news though is that the opt outs aren't that huge for a mid tier bowl. Missouri looking for win #10 will be without their Top WR Burden who led team in TDs. But WR Wease led team in yardage and 2nd in receptions is playing. Getting down early and the line hasn't moved much. I also like the Under in this one, but have not played it4* Money Maker MISSOURI
|
12-29-24 |
Falcons v. Commanders -3.5 |
|
24-30 |
Win
|
100 |
287 h 50 m |
Show
|
Taking WASHINGTON. We had the Giants vs Pennix and the Falcons, why wouldn't be on the Commies today? Not a chance I am taking a rookie QB making his 2nd pro start, on the road, a dome team, outside, in December. 3.5 can be 8.5 - Not gonna happen. Washington off a miracle come from behind win. ( I had Philly - also had Washington the week before when they choked themselves) Normally I would be worried off a big division game like that. But I got a defensive HC in Quinn, who, once led this Atlanta team. I am sure he can work in some kinks to upset the rookie here. 4* Money Maker WASHINGTON COMMANDERS
|
12-29-24 |
Packers v. Vikings -1 |
|
25-27 |
Win
|
100 |
283 h 1 m |
Show
|
Taking MINNESOTA. Have to grab the home team here. Line has been bouncing around. Minny faved, Packers favorite. Then Pk. Vikings beat GB in GB. I know you think, well, good teams split against each other, especially division rivals. I just think that Minnesota is the right here. 8 straight wins for the Vikings. GB has won 5 of 6 and 8 of 10 themselves. Their losses over that time, to the Lions twice. We getting mad at losing to Detroit? Of course not. A little extra day of rest for Minnesota. Packers off MNF, but really a practice game shutting out the Saints. And that 34-0 probably makes this game a PK instead of Minnesota being a small favorite. 4* Money Maker MINNESOTA VIKINGS
|
12-29-24 |
Dolphins v. Browns +6 |
|
20-3 |
Loss |
-110 |
165 h 39 m |
Show
|
Taking the BROWNS. Not a lover of Miami when they hit the road. Especially when the weather is not ideal. This is Cleveland in December. Browns have knocked off Baltimore and the Steelers here at home. Battled KC + Cincy to 21-7 losses. You have that much faith in Tua coming up here and covering a TD? I don't. Miami has a 2% shot at the playoffs with a win today. 4% if they win next week at the Jets. Come on. DTR is not a great QB. But as I mentioned above, Cleveland shows some heart at home. I will also be on the Under in this one. 4* Money Maker CLEVELAND BROWNS
|
12-29-24 |
Dolphins v. Browns UNDER 38.5 |
|
20-3 |
Win
|
100 |
49 h 34 m |
Show
|
4* Total Money UNDER Miami/ Browns
|
12-29-24 |
Cowboys +9.5 v. Eagles |
|
7-41 |
Loss |
-108 |
120 h 50 m |
Show
|
Taking the COWBOYS. With Hurts head hurting, we had to take the points. I was really hoping to take Philly laying 10+ here. Eagles off that horrible game, blowing it with 22 points allowed in the 4th. Last second miracle by rookie QB Daniels - this had 40-13 written all over. And as a Cowboys fan, maybe getting McCarthy canned. But nope. Philly chokes and I am forced to dog it up here. No Cee Dee Lamb for Dallas. But it wont' matter. This will be a slop fest of Barkley and Dowdle running the ball. Cowboys have been competitive since being eliminated from the playoffs. I think they keep it close here also. 4* Money Maker DALLAS COWBOYS
|
12-29-24 |
Titans v. Jaguars UNDER 38 |
|
13-20 |
Win
|
100 |
2 h 22 m |
Show
|
4* Total Money UNDER Titans/ Jaguars
|
12-28-24 |
Cardinals v. Rams -6.5 |
Top |
9-13 |
Loss |
-110 |
21 h 14 m |
Show
|
Taking the RAMS. This line has shot up because Arizona is out of the playoffs and with their win in NY (we had the Jets), the Rams are looking to lock up the West with todays game, and win next week right here vs Seattle. We locked this game early thinking we would be getting LA off a loss. But they pull it out and Arizona continues to be Arizona. Rams with 4 straight win, 5 of 6, 8 of 10 and are peeking at a good time. The defense has turned it around. 9-6-14 in 3 of last 4 - the 4th, that wild 44-42 game vs Buffalo. Arizona is NOT Buffalo. A 15-3 December SU run for LA has me thinking this is a 14+ point win. Rams will remember that 41-10 beat down they took in September when they were banged up. Marvin Harrison 130 yards 2 TDs. Hasn't sniffed anything close to that since. PAYBACK 8* Sure Shot LA RAMS
|
12-28-24 |
BYU +4 v. Colorado |
|
36-14 |
Win
|
100 |
118 h 53 m |
Show
|
Taking BYU. Well. Hats off to Coach Prime. I had these pegged Under 5.5 +145 and here they are bowling vs the 10-2 Cougars looking for their 10th win of the season. I was wrong. But we move on. Also- a big thumbs up to Hunter and Sanders playing in this thing. These 2 guys could have sat out and nobody would have batted an eye. In todays portal, opt out land, arguably the top overall player in the draft and probably 2 of the top 3 players in the draft play in the Alamo Bowl. Great job gentleman. And Coach Sanders, 1-11 to 9-3. That being said - give me the dogs! Colorado is a team that will get everyone's best shot. The line says the stars play. Buffs took out insurance on both. But my concern with them, and other guys who we thought may sit, do they play the entire game. I would think they would because why suit up, play a half, sit out, and watch your brothers lose. Cougars will be ready for this pass attack. BYU is a little engine that could squad that won't be intimidated by the flash. BYU will bring the defense here. Getting more than a FG, have to take the points. 4* Money Maker BYU
|
12-28-24 |
Broncos v. Bengals -3 |
|
24-30 |
Win
|
100 |
29 h 22 m |
Show
|
Taking the BENGALS. Denver can clinch a playoff spot with a win here, or next week at home vs KC. Chiefs are locked into that 1 seed. They will be resting guys. The urgency lies with Cincy who have a sliver or playoff life. A loss knocks them out - it is that simple. Not betting against Joe Burrow today. Guy has been great all year. If they won a few more games, probably in MVP talk with to date, a career high 39 TDs and just 8 INTs. He has throw at least 3 TDs in 7 straight games. Denver with the easy path next week at home. Cincy keeps their slip playoff hopes alive. 4* Money Maker CINCINNATI BENGALS
|
12-28-24 |
Iowa State v. Miami-FL -118 |
|
42-41 |
Loss |
-118 |
454 h 37 m |
Show
|
Taking the HURRICANES. Well. I was all set to fade Miami thinking Cam Ward wouldn't want to suit up here in a quasi home game at the Pop Tarts Bowl. But, we got him. And we got The U at a good price as this line has ticked up. Iowa State was really a first look for me based on them getting thrashed 45-19 in the Big 12 Championship Game (we had Arizona State). Not seeing any big portal news. So this is going to be a pretty full strength game. You know I have written, and say on my Mid Day Money, I Do Not Like Mario Cristobal. If this offense doesn't get out to a fast lead, I think ol' Mario will poop this bowl game up. Cam Ward is looking to raise his draft stock and that is what I am counting on here. A big game from the Canes offense. 4* Money Maker MIAMI HURRICANES
|
12-28-24 |
Iowa State v. Miami-FL OVER 56 |
|
42-41 |
Win
|
100 |
48 h 56 m |
Show
|
4* Total Money OVER Iowa State/ Miami Hurricanes
|
12-28-24 |
Chargers v. Patriots +6 |
|
40-7 |
Loss |
-110 |
2 h 56 m |
Show
|
Gonna grab the PATRIOTS at this price. I really think this a FG type game. Not a lover of the Chargers at all. New England a defense first club. We know LAC likes to run + play defense. I was thinking of taking this at 4.5, will grab the 6. 4* Money Maker NEW ENGLAND PATRIOTS
|
12-27-24 |
Texas Tech +1.5 v. Arkansas |
|
26-39 |
Loss |
-110 |
74 h 56 m |
Show
|
Taking TEXAS TECH. Bring back the old SWC Conference! Some former foes meeting up in the Liberty Bowl. Both teams torched by opt outs and portals. Red Raiders QB (injured) and 7 starters out. Razorbacks lose 12 starters and at last count nearly 30 guys in the portal. Razorbacks have their HC while TT has a pair of assistants running the show. I like that more in this spot as they are more familiar with the depth guys and can maybe add some new wrinkles. 4* Money Maker TEXAS TECH
|
12-27-24 |
Oklahoma v. Navy +8.5 |
|
20-21 |
Win
|
100 |
302 h 18 m |
Show
|
Taking NAVY. This is why you watch my daily Mid Day Money show or get a monthly pass on the website. Unlike our Coastal +7 that soared to 11, this one goes the other way. We will take it. I thought Navy could win outright before the move, and I really like them to win this one now. Sooners sneaked into the bowls going 6-6 - but this team is a hot mess. A new OC coming to town. Starting QB signed with Auburn. #2 WR is off to Kentucky - #3 WR is questionable - #4 WR off to Mississippi State. You have another wide out in the portal. Might be looking at 7 Freshman at WR here. And their top pass catcher, TE Sharp, signed with LSU. The defense lost some secondary guys, but the line move here is based on the totally depleted offense. Zero lack of motivation for Service Academy schools. Midshipmen outright! 4* Money Maker NAVY
|
12-26-24 |
Pittsburgh v. Toledo +7 |
|
46-48 |
Win
|
100 |
4 h 44 m |
Show
|
Going TOLEDO. If Holstein is indeed out like we are seeing, this will probably come down another half point or a full point. This line did open 9.5/10 and he was always questionable. I like taking the small school vs big school. That can be the first weeks of the season, or here in bowls. Slight 'rivalry' as both schools are in neighboring states. Lets cash some MACTion early! 4* Money Maker TOLEDO ROCKETS
|
12-25-24 |
Ravens -3 v. Texans |
|
31-2 |
Win
|
100 |
76 h 8 m |
Show
|
Taking the RAVENS. This line has moved up as the injuries continue to mount for the Texans. Ravens somehow have lost 5 times this year. I think this is a team really peaking right now. 69 points their last 2 games. Lost to an Eagles team in the middle of a long win streak. Lost to the Steelers 18-16 when they missed to FGs and a 2pt conversion they wouldn't have needed if they hit their FGs! Texans beat the Bills 23-20 here on a last second FG with Buffalo playing a B2B off the Ravens. Now both teams off a Saturday game. Tank Dell now out. OL and DL question marks. Ravens by 10. Monday. 4* Money Maker BALTIMORE RAVENS
|
12-25-24 |
Ravens v. Texans UNDER 47 |
|
31-2 |
Win
|
100 |
54 h 47 m |
Show
|
4* Total Money UNDER Ravens/ Texans
|
12-25-24 |
Chiefs v. Steelers UNDER 43 |
|
29-10 |
Win
|
100 |
184 h 51 m |
Show
|
Going UNDER the total today. Third game in 10 days for KC. These guys still are looking for their first 30 point game of the season. Think about that. 14-1 and have yet to score 30 points. Needed OT to get to 30 vs Tampa. Now they are on the road vs the Steelers who allow 18 points a game. This game just screams 19-16 to me. With no Pickens we have seen Pittsburgh score 17 and 13 points their last 2 games. When you come home on Christmas after 2 straight losses, you focus no one thing. The defense. As my buddy Scoop used to say. You can't win if you can't score. The offense has struggled, time for the defense to regroup and hold KC down. Chiefs still have not locked down the 1 seed. We have seen their defense allow 19-7-17-17 their last 4 games. Give me the under 4* Total Money UNDER Chiefs/ Steelers
|
12-23-24 |
Northern Illinois -3 v. Fresno State |
|
28-20 |
Win
|
100 |
41 h 53 m |
Show
|
Taking NORTHERN ILLINOIS. Yes. We don't have our QB as he has hit the portal. He was solid sure, 1600 yards, 12TDs 6 Ints - but this team runs the ball and their top RB will play. The defense is also a solid unit, giving up 18ppg, 15th best in the land. Fresno QB Mikey Keene is out. And they don't run the ball like the Huskies do. Better offense, better defense. We will lay it with the short favorite. 4* Money Maker NORTHERN ILLINOIS
|
12-23-24 |
Coastal Carolina +7 v. UTSA |
|
15-44 |
Loss |
-105 |
312 h 18 m |
Show
|
Taking COASTAL CAROLINA. Well. We had a good run of taking games early work in our favor with some lines. This one clearly has not as you can get CC at +10 as I write this on Friday. This is being played on the Coastal home field. They have a ton of guys in the portal including their top 2 QBs. But we had Georgia Southern the other night vs Sam Houston. Sam Houston had 21 guys in the portal and looked pretty good in a win. Coastal will be rolling out a redshirt freshman QB in who transferred from North Carolina. Maybe we get some home field magic. The +10 won't help the stats here on the site, but it will help in the real world on Monday when this game kicks off. 4* Money Maker COASTAL CAROLINA
|
12-22-24 |
Bucs -3.5 v. Cowboys |
|
24-26 |
Loss |
-110 |
168 h 28 m |
Show
|
Taking TAMPA. Uh. Not a lover of taking teams in the back of a road trip. Especially one off a 40+ point outburst. But I do not like the Cowboys. Will be on Bucs TT Over 25.5 for sure. I think this one plays out like the Cincy game when we had the Under. Expect I think Dallas doesn't get 20 in this one. Tampa 5-2 on the road, Dallas 1-6 at home (16-0 the las 2 regular season games!) Tampa #3 in Total Offense. 150 yards rushing their last 4 games. With Atlanta playing early, (they beat TB twice already) a loss may have Tampa out of 1st if they lay an egg here. 4* Money Maker TAMPA BAY BUCS
|
12-22-24 |
49ers v. Dolphins -1.5 |
|
17-29 |
Win
|
100 |
258 h 43 m |
Show
|
Taking MIAMI. Is Tua out here? The line has flipped to San Fran favorite. We have seen this before. San Fran is 5-6. They have dropped 4 of 5 with the win being over the Bears. 12 times in 14 games they have been favored. NFL did the Niners a favor by giving them the 4pm window. I know a group that has moved on SF so maybe that is why we are seeing movement here. A bad Tua pick cost the Dolphins a possible win. If SF would have beat the Rams last week, Ok, I can see the play here. They lost. They are 11th in a 7 team Playoff Race. Are they sweeping the last 3 games? Rams in first by 2 games. Seattle ahead of them by 2 games. They can't beat either in a h2h tie breaker. We have to think they are motivated here? They are done. Miami HC might be coaching for his job - he needs the win. Motivation edge Miami. 4* Money Maker MIAMI DOLPHINS
|
12-22-24 |
Patriots v. Bills UNDER 46.5 |
|
21-24 |
Win
|
100 |
25 h 56 m |
Show
|
4* Total Money UNDER Patriots/ Bills
|
12-22-24 |
Vikings v. Seahawks +2.5 |
|
27-24 |
Loss |
-108 |
4 h 15 m |
Show
|
4* Money Maker SEATTLE SEAHAWKS
|
12-22-24 |
Cardinals v. Panthers +3.5 |
|
30-36 |
Win
|
100 |
254 h 21 m |
Show
|
Taking CAROLINA. Panthers back in the dog role after a rare trip into the land of the favorites last week. I am not one to trust Arizona as a road favorite. Panthers not a good football team. 11 or more losses for the 5th time in last 6 years. Arizona on the outside of the playoff window so the pressure is on - explains to me the line growing. But just because a team has to win, doesn't mean it does it. And if it wins, does it cover? They were, an albeit 1 pt road fave at Seattle this year. Lost outright. Last year, a 2pt fave at Seattle. Again, Outright loser. Never a road fave in 2022. In 2021 a 13pt road fave at Detroit, lost Outright. That 2021 was 10-2 before 3 straight and 4 losses in their last 5. But this is 2024. The beat a bad NE club at home. I am not running to back Murry as a road favorite vs any NFL team. 4* Money Maker CAROLINA PANTHERS
|
12-22-24 |
Rams v. Jets +3 |
|
19-9 |
Loss |
-105 |
162 h 36 m |
Show
|
Taking the JETS. Rams the better team? Sure. Better coached? Absolutely. Sitting in first place in their division with their future in their own hands. Yeppers. But give me the home dog today. Just a bad spot for LA. One. December in New Jersey. Like that is a fun trip 3 days before Christmas. You have reeled off 3 straight win, you want to lock up the NFC West. But you get the Jets today, and then Arizona and Seattle both in LA to end your season. This is the proverbial 'trip up' spot. Jets as bad as they have been, they have been fighting. Pulled a wild win off down in Jacksonville. Nearly did the same in Miami only to lose in OT. Probably should have won that one. The Seattle and Colts games. Another pair of tough losses. But they continue to be in these games. Now. At home, you put up a clunker? I don't see it happening. 4* Money Maker NY JETS
|
12-22-24 |
Browns v. Bengals UNDER 49.5 |
|
6-24 |
Win
|
100 |
144 h 39 m |
Show
|
Going UNDER the total. Cleveland changing QBs again. This team is just a disaster. Cincy can score. Do they score 40 this afternoon? Because they will have to do all the heavy lifting to get this to 50. Might do a little Bengal Team Total Over just in case they really poor it on. We saw 21-14 in October. I think the Browns top out at 10. 4* Total Money UNDER Browns/ Bengals
|
12-22-24 |
Giants +9.5 v. Falcons |
|
7-34 |
Loss |
-110 |
112 h 33 m |
Show
|
Taking the GIANTS. I was thinking about the G-Men even before the benching of Cousins. Now you want me to think that a rookie QB, with 5 passing attempts, is coming in to win by double digits. I know New York is a hot mess. 9 straight losses. A totally lost team right now. But even in the playoff hunt, are the Falcons some model of consistency you want to lay a big number with? On the road this season, NY lost by 3 at Washington - beat Cleveland 21-16 - beat Seattle by 9 - lost to the Steelers 26-18 - lost to Carolina 20-17 in OT - lost to Dallas by 7. Now though vs, an underachieving Falcons team, they will get blasted by a kid making his first career start. Nah. Not buying it. 4* Money Maker NY GIANTS
|
12-22-24 |
Eagles -3.5 v. Commanders |
|
33-36 |
Loss |
-107 |
22 h 31 m |
Show
|
Taking the EAGLES. Philly took care of Pitt with ease last week. Washington on the other hand, well another story. We had them and thought we were looking good. Come out of your bye week up 17-0 vs team going nowhere with a backup QB. And nearly pulled out a loss! What the heck! Eagles took care of Daniels in the 2nd half of their first meeting this season. Philly seems to be jelling at the right time. The new OC/DCs have the players reeling humming right now. With the Lions banged up, maybe Philly sneaks in for the Top Seed overall. Tough to get in front of a team that has won 10 in a row. 4* Money Maker PHILADELPHIA EAGLES
|
12-22-24 |
Lions v. Bears +7 |
|
34-17 |
Loss |
-110 |
1 h 22 m |
Show
|
4* Money Maker CHICAGO BEARS
|
12-21-24 |
Clemson v. Texas UNDER 50 |
|
24-38 |
Loss |
-110 |
5 h 14 m |
Show
|
4* Total Money UNDER Clemson/ Texas
|
12-21-24 |
South Dakota v. Montana State -8 |
|
17-31 |
Win
|
100 |
46 h 52 m |
Show
|
Taking MONTANA STATE. Trip to the FCS Championship on the line. South Dakota off a great 11-2 season winning the Missouri Valley Football Conference for the first time. This is their first FCS Semifinal appearance. The undefeated Bobcats are the #1 ranked FCS team and are ranked in the Top 10 in both total offense and total defense. Montana State also ranks first in scoring offense and red zone offense, second in rushing offense, top 10 in scoring defense, and top 20 in rushing defense. Just too much offense that will wear down the Coyotes. 4* Money Maker MONTANA STATE
|
12-20-24 |
Indiana v. Notre Dame UNDER 50.5 |
|
17-27 |
Win
|
100 |
4 h 2 m |
Show
|
4* Total Money UNDER Indiana/ Notre Dame
|
12-20-24 |
Tulane v. Florida -12 |
|
8-33 |
Win
|
100 |
245 h 7 m |
Show
|
Taking FLORIDA. I think we have 2 teams with different motivations. Tulane thought their HC would head to greener pastures. He stayed. But his starting QB and his backup both left New Orleans. We get a 3rd stringer. Now - he is a transfer from Oregon. A former 5* recruit. But barely sniffed the field in 4 years of college ball. I can't see some huge offense from these guys. They lost their last 2 games that cost them a possible playoff spot, or at least a much better bowl. 34-24 to Memphis and then in the AAC Championship Game 35-14. Now they get a revived Gators team in a quasi home game. Billy Napier was all but fired after a bad start. But you reel off wins over LSU, Ole Miss and Florida State and the swagger is back in The Swamp. After 6-7 and 5-7 seasons, 7-5 and a bowl game - no lack of motivation for Florida today. 4* Money Maker FLORIDA
|
12-19-24 |
Georgia Southern -6 v. Sam Houston State |
|
26-31 |
Loss |
-110 |
241 h 22 m |
Show
|
Taking GEORGIA SOUTHERN tonight. Really this is a just a fade away on Sam Houston. Their HC is off to Temple. 21 scholarship players are in the portal. This is Sam Houston. That is a lot of guys. Your duel threat QB is here, but your top rushing RB is out. Your Top WR is out. Your leading tackler + INT leader out. 8 of the 12 INTs you got all year have left (2 other guys). Your sack leader. There is just a lot of depth lost. Too much to overcome. 4* Money Maker GEORGIA SOUTHERN
|
12-18-24 |
California v. UNLV UNDER 50.5 |
|
13-24 |
Win
|
100 |
125 h 28 m |
Show
|
Going UNDER the total. First off. Cal at 6-6 favored over a 10-3 UNLV team. That should grab your attention. Barry Odom is out heading from the Vegas to Purdue. His OC is also coming along. That means we have the WR Coach, Del Alexander as the interim HC. Cal QB Mendoza is not expected to play. Top WR for UNLV also believed out. Should be a low scoring affair. 4* Total Money UNDER Cal/ UNLV
|
12-18-24 |
Western Kentucky v. James Madison -6.5 |
|
17-27 |
Win
|
100 |
245 h 30 m |
Show
|
Taking JAMES MADISON. Another game we are ahead of the Line Move. Memphis at a PK was nice. Let's see how this one works out. A lot of portal pieces moving in this one. Sometimes this portal guys come back and end up playing. But 6.5 up to 9.5, well, we will just have to see. We know the James Madison will not have their QB as he is hurt. Billy Atkins has been here for 4 years with limited experience. We had WKU and they got absolutely pummeled last week vs Jacksonville State, 52-17. Both QBs for the Hilltoppers, starter Veltkemp and backup Finely have entered the portal. Again. the 3pt line move makes me think they are not suiting up. WKU comes in limping with losses in 3 of their last 4. The win, 19-17 on a 50 yard FG as time expired. Just feel that Madison is the more focused, motivated group today. 4* Money Maker JAMES MADISON
|
12-17-24 |
Memphis -125 v. West Virginia |
|
42-37 |
Win
|
100 |
195 h 59 m |
Show
|
Taking MEMPHIS. So this line has moved a bit and is now 4-5 points. Rich Rod coming back to West Virginia. But for now, we have their OC Chad Scott running the show. Haven't seen a lot of West Virginia guys hitting the portal. Same can be said for Memphis. Big game for the Tigers facing a Big 12 school. They will be motivated for win #11. I am not a lover of interim head coaches, especially when they aren't going to be taking over the reigns. My one concern is that Scott has the team ready to go because he wants to stay on as OC. But the line move points to that not happening at all. Tigers were locked in their season finale as they beat Tulane 34-24 as 13 point dogs. We know for a fact they aren't going to lay down. 4* Money Maker MEMPHIS TIGERS
|
12-16-24 |
Falcons v. Raiders +3 |
|
15-9 |
Loss |
-110 |
215 h 14 m |
Show
|
Taking the RAIDERS. Not the best line, but sometimes we get a good one, the Browns +6 yesterday, today not so much. But the best doesn't mean a winner. As I said on Look Ahead Lines last night for the Opening Lines Report for Week 16.. Panthers +6.5 a loser for me. We will see if the Texans +3.5 pays off this week as they are now 2.5 faves. Back to Monday Night.. 3-4-5-6 I don't care what the number is. How do you take the Falcons as a favorite. Cousins has not thrown a TD Pass since November 3rd against Dallas. 8 INTs since then though. Maybe Ridder pulls a rabbit out of his hat vs his old team. Ridder should just look for Brock Bowers and if he isn't open, just run! Falcons vs 4 straight losses, 9 straight for Vegas. Something has to give right? A tie maybe! - Again. Cousins with no TDs in a month. 8 INTs. Falcons with just 1 takeaway in their last 5 games. Why are they favored again? Give me the home dogs. 4* Money Maker VEGAS RAIDERS
|
12-16-24 |
Bears v. Vikings -7 |
|
12-30 |
Win
|
100 |
10 h 38 m |
Show
|
Taking the VIKINGS. Had the Bears last week thinking they would pull one out. But man, a bad team is a bad team no matter who is on the sidelines. Minnesota playing as well as anyone, 11-2 on the year. With the Lions loss, Detroit at 12-2 now in striking distance. Every game matters. GB + Detroit still on the schedule for the Vikings. Can they win the North? It start with getting past the Bears who they edged 30-27 in OT in Chicago a couple weeks ago. Now they get the Bears in their 3rd straight road game. That is rough for a good team. Absolutely brutal when you are a bad team. 3-20 SU as a road dog since 2022 are the Bears. Minny by 2 TDs tonight. 4* Money Maker MINNESOTA VIKINGS
|
12-15-24 |
Packers v. Seahawks +3 |
|
30-13 |
Loss |
-115 |
146 h 13 m |
Show
|
Taking SEATTLE. Four week ago these guys were in last place. A last second win over SF. Rock fight win vs Arizona. Hit the road for a back and forth win in New York. Then head to Arizona to knock off the Cards again, and, just like that,4 straight wins and they are home dogs? Packers with the extra Thanksgiving rest, and in need of a win off that loss (34-31) in Detroit. So I worry about a slow start for Seattle here. I like GB for the First Quarter minus a half at +114. I just can't go against a home dog on a 4 game win streak. Might be a square play, but count me in. 4* Money Maker SEATTLE SEAHAWKS
|
12-15-24 |
Jets v. Jaguars +3 |
|
32-25 |
Loss |
-110 |
278 h 4 m |
Show
|
Taking the JAGUARS. Had these guys last week, and will do it again. How the heck are the Jets still getting all this love by line makers putting them out as favorites? 2 ATS covers their last 10 games. Basically favored in 9 of them with dog spots of 1 and 2. NYJ 1-6 SU/ATS last 7 as favorites and as I said, 1-9 SU 2-8 ATS last 10. I get that Jacksonville is going nowhere fast. But, Jags 5-1-1 ATS their last 7. We have a pair of 3-10 teams and the road team gets the nod because of their HOF QB? 4* Money Maker JACKSONVILLE JAGUARS
|
12-15-24 |
Chiefs v. Browns +6 |
|
21-7 |
Loss |
-110 |
278 h 3 m |
Show
|
Taking the BROWNS. So had both of these guys last week. Both failed to get us to the window. KC with a 'doink' to win their 9th straight AFC West. And how about 15 straight 1 possession wins. I've said about these guys all year on Mid Day Money about playing with fire. Browns are not a good team, but they have a gun slinger and a coach who they don't quit on. KC 0-7 ATS last 7. Cleveland themselves not an ATS power-house either. But give me the home dogs vs a team that just seems to get past everyone without covering. 4* Money Maker CLEVELAND BROWNS
|
12-14-24 |
UC Davis v. South Dakota -5 |
|
21-35 |
Win
|
100 |
28 h 2 m |
Show
|
4* Money Maker SOUTH DAKOTA
|
12-14-24 |
Jackson State v. South Carolina State +1.5 |
|
28-7 |
Loss |
-115 |
98 h 33 m |
Show
|
Taking SOUTH CAROLINA STATE. If you don't know, the Celebration Bowl is the SWAC and MEAC Champions - 2 HCU's. I do think we see some points and would lean to the over. That being said, give me the Bulldogs of South Carolina State. Would have liked to have the opener at +3, but I think an outright win is on the horizon for us. These 2 met in 2021 with South Carolina State winning 31-10. The played last year in the MEAC/SWAC Challenge and Jackson State won 37-7. Jackson State is ranked 18th and South Carolina State 20th, in the FCS Top 25 poll. SCST QB won the HBCU+ National Player of the Year Award. Jackson State RB finished 2nd. JSU is going to want to run the ball. RB Mulligan SWAC OPOY 1200 yards 11 TDs - Team averaged 37ppg. SCST was the top run defense in the MEAC giving up 115 yards a game. I think the QB + OL for SCST pulls this out for us. 4* Money Maker SOUTH CAROLINA STATE
|
12-13-24 |
Idaho v. Montana State OVER 55.5 |
|
19-52 |
Win
|
100 |
10 h 10 m |
Show
|
4* Total Money OVER Idaho/ Montana State
|
12-12-24 |
Rams +3 v. 49ers |
|
12-6 |
Win
|
100 |
119 h 2 m |
Show
|
Taking the RAMS. Had LA over the Bills, had the Bears over the Niners. A split, it happens. Was locked into this one though before those outcomes. Niners just have not been themselves the entire season. San Fran with revenge as the Rams trailed 14-0, 21-7 and 24-14 and still won 27-24 way back in September. Not sure the Niners, who are now down to what, their 4th or 5th string RB can pull this one out. The Line Makers still think San Fran is their same old self. Puca and Kupp are too much to handle, for, at least what I think, is not a good defense. I don't think the points even matter here. I know we are off a big win over the Bills. But - if the Ram don't win this outright, then San Fran wins by 10+ and it's good night Irene. 4* Money Maker LA RAMS
|
12-08-24 |
Chargers v. Chiefs -3.5 |
|
17-19 |
Loss |
-105 |
167 h 6 m |
Show
|
Taking the CHIEFS. Are these guys easily the most over rated 11-1 team ever? Last week, they get the gift fumble and 3 missed FG from the Raiders. Will they ever play a good game? Look - I am the first to say these guys play down to teams. They don't care about covers or scores. They just want to win, get to the playoffs, and say, Super Bowl or bust. I took it on the chin last week as the Chargers beat my Falcons. Thought that was a great spot with LAC off 2 prime games, wins, short week, KC on deck - and I have a QB toss 4 INTs including a Pick 6. LAC apparently had 1 player on offense in McConkey. 50 yards rushing as a team. KC does play defense. This is another b2b road game for LAC who have lost in this spot at Pitt 20-10 and at Arizona 17-15. Pacheco, Hunt, Hopkins, Worthy, Gray, Kelce. The offense has guys back. I think this one goes 26-20. 4* Money Maker KC CHIEFS
|
12-08-24 |
Bills v. Rams +4 |
|
42-44 |
Win
|
100 |
197 h 32 m |
Show
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Taking the RAMS here. This is a simple fade the Bills spot for me. Bills win. Maybe. But a FG gets us a cover. That is what I am looking for. Buffalo off their snow globe game and destruction of San Fran. That team is a mess. Rams will be ready to go here. Not like they have wiggle room to lose games. This NFC West is wide open. Unlike the AFC East when the Bills have wrapped that puppy up like an early Christmas gift. But we have the Detroit Lions on deck for Buffalo. Rams can put up points with their WRs and QB. McVay will have these guys ready for the best the AFC has to offer. I think this game plays to the 50s and that gives us a punchers chance not only for the cover, but maybe an outright win. 4* Money Maker LA RAMS
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12-08-24 |
Bears +6 v. 49ers |
|
13-38 |
Loss |
-110 |
163 h 11 m |
Show
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Taking the BEARS. If you saw you me on Sports Grid back in August I said Bears win 5 games. I said OK Gabe, 7, maybe, tops. Look at the schedule - rookie QB - new OC - new schemes - and the worse HC in the NFL. Well. We got a new OC then they realized it was the HC and let him go after another brutal loss for Chicago on Thanksgiving. I talked about this game on my Look Ahead Lines Show even before Thanksgiving. The Niners. These guys, as I have said since Week 1 when I lost taking the Jets, will not be a 10 win team this year. For whatever reason, they are not a good team. A good team would beat KC to avenge their Super Bowl loss. They would not lose to Arizona or Seattle on their home field. We had both the Packers and Bills the last 2 weeks. Now we take the Bears. Purdy is a good QB when he is managing the game with players around him - they are dropping like flies. Bears easily could have quit multiple times this season. Some of these losses, good grief! 6 straight losses. The Washington Hail Mary. Arizona trucked them. Then to lose at home to New England. Ouch. This is a their get right spot believe it or not. 4* Money Maker CHICAGO BEARS
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12-08-24 |
Falcons +5 v. Vikings |
|
21-42 |
Loss |
-115 |
193 h 8 m |
Show
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Taking the FALCONS. Are you kidding me Cousins? 4 INTs. What a spot last week. Home Dog. You got trucked in Denver. Chargers off b2b prime time games, short week and KC on deck. And you do that? Talk about giving the game away. Now the Cousins return to Minny is in jeopardy. Will there be a Pennix sighting at some point? I still like the points here and lean under if you are looking at a total. 4* Money Maker ATLANTA FALCONS
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12-08-24 |
Browns v. Steelers OVER 40.5 |
|
14-27 |
Win
|
100 |
193 h 8 m |
Show
|
4* Total Money OVER Browns/ Steelers
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12-08-24 |
Jets v. Dolphins -6.5 |
|
26-32 |
Loss |
-105 |
160 h 46 m |
Show
|
Taking MIAMI. Dolphins with 3 straight series wins over the Jets. You can say, oh, they have Rodgers now, a real QB. Really. They are 3-9. Stop it. Get some help. Tua put up some numbers but no win or cover in site last week in Green Bay. Before that though. 34-34-23-27-27. The offense had been humming. 13 TDs 1 INT for Tua since his return. Defense pretty good also allowing 15-19-15 in their previous 3 games. Jets iwth not 1, but now 2 straight close, tough losses. As I said 3-9! 1-8 ATS run and people still run to bet them as they have been favored in 9 of their 12 games! Dolphins by 10+ and I like the Over also. 4* Money Maker MIAMI DOLPHINS
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12-08-24 |
Panthers +13 v. Eagles |
|
16-22 |
Win
|
100 |
160 h 45 m |
Show
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Taking the PANTHERS, (for the 3rd straight week). These guys have shown fight since coming out of their bye week. The schedule helps. Big dogs vs KC off a game in Buffalo. Tampa off their big win on the road in the Meadowlands. Now they get the big points as the Eagles have won 8 in a row (6-2 ATS) and just knocked off Lamar and the Ravens. And - Steelers on deck for Philly in a battle of Pennsylvania. If you want to look at the Over here as well, I would lean that way too. 4* Money Maker CAROLINA PANTHERS
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12-08-24 |
Jaguars +5 v. Titans |
|
10-6 |
Win
|
100 |
160 h 45 m |
Show
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Taking the JAGUARS. Titans with 9 wins last 10 at home vs Jax. No Trevor and his 2-15 record or whatever run he was on. Mac Jones looking to salvage his career on a 2-10 Jaguars team. But the 3-9 Titans are no world beaters. Is it really a down grade from Trevor to Mac at the QB spot? I don't think it justifies this kind of point spread. Jags 6-5-1 ATS Titans a league worse 2-10 ATS. 4* Money Maker JACKSONVILLE JAGUARS
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12-08-24 |
Saints v. Giants +5.5 |
|
14-11 |
Win
|
100 |
47 h 49 m |
Show
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Taking the GIANTS. Saints are 4-8 and laying points on the road. Dome team, outside, December. I don't care how bad the Meadowlands Giants are, I will gladly scoop up any points you want to give me. I think this is the Drew Lock show as he is looking to cash in this offseason. Giants outright perhaps? 4* Money Maker NY GIANTS
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12-08-24 |
Browns +7 v. Steelers |
|
14-27 |
Loss |
-115 |
47 h 42 m |
Show
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Taking the BROWNS. What a crazy Monday nighter in Denver for Cleveland. A couple more INTs and Pick 6s for Winston. But that doesn't matter to me. Pitt as a big favorite. That matters. Cleveland loves their coach. This is their Super Bowl. Sweep the season series. Win in Pitt during the regular season (think an 0-20 run! Baker won a playoff game here). Too many points to resist. 4* Money Maker CLEVELAND BROWNS
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12-07-24 |
Penn State v. Oregon UNDER 49.5 |
|
37-45 |
Loss |
-110 |
152 h 17 m |
Show
|
4* Total Money UNDER Penn State/ Oregon
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12-07-24 |
Marshall v. UL-Lafayette -4 |
|
31-3 |
Loss |
-110 |
147 h 1 m |
Show
|
Taking UL LAFAYETTE. Oh the Ragin' Cajuns for me tonight. Marshall with their 3rd straight road game and 4th in 5 weeks. Come on! That is rough for an NFL team. Or good CFB teams that travel on Private Planes. Marshall probably on school buses, maybe a fancy charter. And they are off a 2 OT game where they came from behind last week over James Madison. As Charles Barkley loves to say Turrrabull. Thundering Herd 11-1 ATS on the year, so yeah, there is that. Losses to at Virginia Tech 31-14 Ohio State 49-14 and at Georgia Southern 24-23, 3 TDs and a safety for the home in the 4th to pull that rabbit out of the hat. ULL dropped a 41-33 game to Tulane and 24-22 to South Alabama. Don't worry if have the backup QB Fields under center. This guy has been at ULL since 2019! Guy is 273-426 24 TDs 8 INTs. He has played before putting up 1000 yard season the previous 2 years in 7/8 games. 4* Money Maker UL LAFAYETTE
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12-07-24 |
Georgia v. Texas -135 |
|
22-19 |
Loss |
-135 |
149 h 35 m |
Show
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Taking TEXAS. Revenge getting ready to be served in Atlanta. Georgia an underdog to a team they beat by 15 on the road! And the Longhorns somehow play a SEC schedule, you know, the Big Bad SEC where 3 loss Alabama is deserving of a Playoff Spot, and get exactly 1 -- ONE currently ranked opponent (this Georgia team). Michigan, Oklahoma, Vanderbilt, A&M, all ranked at 1 time. Are they good teams? I dunno. I know Texas has a little bit of a defense though. Carson Beck had 12 INTs in a 6 game span 1-3-3-2-0-3. Ole Miss, Florida, Texas, Miss State, Auburn Alabama. That stuff will get you in the end. They are also in off an 8, EIGHT OT game vs Georgia Tech. Might be taking the UNDER in this one also. 4* Money Maker TEXAS LONGHORNS
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12-07-24 |
Iowa State v. Arizona State -140 |
|
19-45 |
Win
|
100 |
144 h 49 m |
Show
|
Taking ARIZONA STATE. Iowa State in the dog roll since Week 2 vs Iowa. Sun Devils 10-2 ATS but lost their top WR (1100 yards 10TDs) for this one, yet the line is still 2. Arizona State still has their star RB who powers the offense. Iowa State not slacking there either with a pair of 1000 yards wide outs. Iowa State gave up 354 rushing yards to UCF and somehow pulled out a 38-35 win. They followed that up with losses to Texas Tech and Kansas. How about that game at Utah? And finally pulled out an ugly win over Kansas State. Arizona State also lost to Texas Tech and to Cincy. Not sure anyone had these 2 guys playing for the Big 12 Title. I sure didn't as my Utah and Kansas State over 9.5 win tickets were set on fire. Will go MONEY LINE with the Sun Devils. PAC 12 wins the Big 12. 4* Money Maker ARIZONA STATE
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12-06-24 |
UNLV +4.5 v. Boise State |
|
7-21 |
Loss |
-112 |
129 h 31 m |
Show
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Taking UNLV. Bosie was a 4 point in Vegas and won 29-24 at the end of October. Rebels only team to contain Jeanty (128 yards 33 carries 1 TD). A rematch of the October game, a rematch of last year's MWC Championship as well. Their QB last year Maiava tossed a couple INTs in that one, cost them the game. How about the same Maiava with b2b 99 + 100 yard INTs vs ND Saturday night! Yikes. Anyway. This line is basically the same. Will have to grab the dog here. I like Odom and what a turnaround the last 2 years. The defense for UNLV is what I think propels them to an outright win here. 4* Money Maker UNLV
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12-06-24 |
Western Kentucky +4.5 v. Jacksonville State |
|
12-52 |
Loss |
-110 |
9 h 37 m |
Show
|
Taking WESTERN KENTUCKY. Hilltoppers ready to deal b2b losses here as they won on a last second FG 19-17 on Saturday. Last year these guys played in a 20-17 game. And now you want to give me more than a FG when it looks like Rich Rod is at the top of list to take the HC job at West Virginia? I think the line up says that Huff will play tonight for JSU. All that being said, I think this a fairly even game. Home Field + quick revenge and this is the line? 4* Money Maker WESTERN KENTUCKY
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12-05-24 |
Packers +3.5 v. Lions |
|
31-34 |
Win
|
100 |
23 h 11 m |
Show
|
Taking the PACKERS. Will grab the 3.5 here. Normally that isn't a big deal for me. I would probably be on the favorite in this spot. 3, sure Lion me up. But this line in GB a couple weeks was 3. You would think this would be 4 or more at here at home. 9-3 ATS. 11-1 overall. I'm guessing it is because of Detroit's banged up defense. Both teams with the Thanksgiving rest to help them out. Do lean over but haven't pulled the trigger on it. 4* Money Maker GREEN BAY PACKERS
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12-01-24 |
49ers v. Bills -3.5 |
|
10-35 |
Win
|
100 |
285 h 14 m |
Show
|
Taking the BILLS. What is there to say. A little line move here. I do the Look Ahead Lines Show (YouTube IheartRadio). I said this was going to move after their Green Bay game. Not because I though of QB problems, but because we had GB and after a loss, the line will move. Especially a team coming off their bye week. And a 1st place, Super Bowl type team to boot. This game isn't a solo package so only monthly members probably have it at this price. 4* Money Maker BUFFALO BILLS
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