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Brad Diamond Football Sides Picks
Date Match Up Rating Score Result Profit Lead Time Analysis
10-12-19 Northern Illinois v. Ohio -5 39-36 Loss -110 1 h 15 m Show
10-12-19 Washington State -1 v. Arizona State 34-38 Loss -110 1 h 9 m Show
10-12-19 Old Dominion v. Marshall -14.5 17-31 Loss -107 6 h 48 m Show

THIS IS A TOP PLAY!

10-12-19 Oklahoma -9.5 v. Texas 34-27 Loss -110 3 h 27 m Show
10-12-19 Memphis v. Temple +6.5 28-30 Win 100 95 h 6 m Show

5* Temple (128) over Memphis

CFB Game of the Week…BDS

On Saturday we have another exciting football game with the high -flying Memphis (5-0) Tigers traveling to Philadelphia and a date with eastern (AAC) unit Temple (4-1).  The Tigers come off a blasting (52-33) of UL-Monroe though giving up over 300 yards passing will have their hands filled Saturday afternoon in a situation that will represent an uptick in team strengths.  Key, the Tigers have struggled somewhat in stopping the run.  And the Owls will be their most physical opponent since game #1 against Ole Miss.  From the Temple offensive perspective, the running game went for over 230 yards on the ground last week against ECU (who is a stronger unit than ULM), and clearly should have a noted edge here.  Memphis has not encountered a running game thus far that will control the tempo.  So, if QB Russo of Temple stays out of negative yardage issues, we can easily see a win and cover for the Owls.  No doubt current and former head coach Matt Rhule will have the unit sky high.  Technically with Temple a perfect 3-0 ATS at home this season, we’ll take the points.  Good Luck.

10-12-19 Michigan -23.5 v. Illinois 42-25 Loss -109 3 h 25 m Show
10-12-19 Mississippi State v. Tennessee +6.5 10-20 Win 100 3 h 7 m Show
10-12-19 Miami-OH v. Western Michigan -12 16-38 Win 100 3 h 5 m Show
10-11-19 Virginia +2.5 v. Miami-FL 9-17 Loss -104 4 h 14 m Show

4* VIRGINIA PLUS over Miami Florida

Friday CFB Key Alert...BDS

10-10-19 Syracuse +4.5 v. NC State 10-16 Loss -109 3 h 10 m Show
10-07-19 Browns +5 v. 49ers 3-31 Loss -109 4 h 40 m Show

4* Cleveland+ over San Francisco

NFL MONDAY NIGHT POWER ANGLE

BRAD DIAMOND SPORTS

10-06-19 Broncos +6 v. Chargers 20-13 Win 100 18 h 25 m Show

5* DENVER over LA Chargers

NFL GAME OF THE WEEK...BDS

10-06-19 Bills +3 v. Titans 14-7 Win 109 2 h 1 m Show

4* BUFFALO+ over Tennessee

NFL #1 REVERSE ANGLE...BDS

10-06-19 Ravens -3 v. Steelers 26-23 Push 0 2 h 40 m Show

5* BALTIMORE -3 over Pittsburgh

NFL LATE MONEY MOVE...BDS

10-05-19 Liberty v. New Mexico State +4.5 20-13 Loss -105 2 h 14 m Show
10-05-19 Eastern Michigan v. Central Michigan +6 16-42 Win 100 4 h 46 m Show

5* Central Michigan+ over EMU

EMU coming off BB wins at Illinois and home versus CC State while struggling.  Central lost 31-15 to WMU however they covered the number. Their only downer this season just like Michigan was a 61-0 loss at Wisconsin.  Central has enough offensive talent to keep this within a FG at home, and finally never featured Eastern laying points historically in a key game.  GL.

10-05-19 Utah State +24.5 v. LSU 6-42 Loss -110 136 h 38 m Show
10-03-19 Rams +1.5 v. Seahawks 29-30 Win 100 3 h 9 m Show
10-03-19 Georgia Southern v. South Alabama +10 20-17 Win 100 9 h 38 m Show

3* SOUTH ALABAMA +10 over GSU

Would normally restrict going against GSU after they came up short last week for us.  However, they seem over confident this week so the message goes against a school they have crushed the last five on the board with an average point-differential of 32+ per meeting.  Although the Jags have suffered in some physical area they have improved their running game.  In the past they have struggled running the football against GSU, but we feel tonight this will higher scoring game with still the running games in the forefront.  Remember Georgia Southern has bigger games down the road while showing 1-4 ATS in Thursday calls and 1-7 ATS on turf.  If there ever was a revenge game this is it (SA) as they have been out scored 100-13 L2 in the series.  Take the points with South Alabama, and good luck.

09-29-19 Panthers +5.5 v. Texans 16-10 Win 100 1 h 41 m Show
09-29-19 Chargers v. Dolphins +15.5 30-10 Loss -115 1 h 39 m Show
09-28-19 Colorado State +24.5 v. Utah State 24-34 Win 100 57 h 3 m Show

3* Colorado State+ (193) over Utah State

CFB APPRECIATION ANGLE...BDS

Might be a difficult spot for red hot Utah State (3-1) after surprising San Diego State on the road 23-17 as an underdog and having LSU in Death Valley next week in a "day" game!  The Rams (1-3) came up short Saturday at home to Toledo 41-35, but they out first downed the Rockets by an amazing 36-20 and limiting their passing game to 111 yards.  However they were pounded for 436 yards against a big offensive line.  Utah State with a huge road win and having success in the early going the books have been alerted pushing the opening line to -23-1/2 UTS with the home setting.  So we are looking keenly at the Rams to stay closer than expected.  In their loss to physically talented Toledo CSU almost reached 700 yards of total offense which is an indicator of points enhancement.  Defensively they have to minimize dangerous QB Long of the home unit.  Remember UTS in 2018 won at CSU 29-24 but, needed a few INTERCEPTION Touches to take the cash.  Techs have UTS with super long-term numbers, but the Rams show a PERFECT 4-0 ATS record after a SU LOSS.  Good Luck.

09-28-19 Mississippi State +10 v. Auburn 23-56 Loss -110 11 h 55 m Show

5* Mississippi State+ (167) over Auburn

SEC GAME OF THE WEEK…BDS

Home standing War Eagles show with a perfect 4-0 SU & ATS mark entertaining Mississippi State this evening.  Last season State at home took down Auburn 23-9 so overall this will be a difficult situation.  However, we note the Bulldogs will look to control the tempo with their running game recalling they generated 349 yards on the ground with RB Hill grinding yardage, while considered one of the best in the country.  Last week MSU at home won and covered 28-13 over Kentucky.  This will be the initial experience as an underdog in 2019.  If State hangs on to the football it will ensure a closer game than the lines makers projections.  In the physical series MSU has cashed 5 of 7 in Vegas, and 4-1 L5 ATS challenging the SEC.  Take the points in another SEC showdown tonight.  Good Luck.

09-28-19 Iowa State -2.5 v. Baylor 21-23 Loss -118 89 h 42 m Show

4* Iowa State (129) over Baylor

After a blowout win over lowly rated UTSA 63-14, the Bears managed a letdown at Rice surviving by 21-13.  The Owls have a lackluster running attack and a mediocre passing game!  Iowa State just clobbered Louisiana Monroe 72-20 as a bounce after losing a killer home game to no less Iowa 18-17.  State has won back-to-back games in the series 28-14 and 23-13.  From the trending side the ISU is 3-1-1 ATS L5 in the series with the road unit carrying the same numbers.  The Bears are 3-8 L11 ATS at home which is not good!  In addition, Baylor is 5-16-1 ATS after gaining 280 yards passing (Rice has no push on the "D" line) and 1-6 ATS after allowing 100 yards rushing. And, don't forget the Bears 10-21 ATS mark on grass.  Whereas ISU is a solid 7-1 ATS after allowing 200+ yards rushing.  Good Luck.

09-28-19 Cornell v. Yale -17 16-27 Loss -109 1 h 14 m Show
09-28-19 Central Michigan v. Western Michigan -17 15-31 Loss -109 86 h 58 m Show

4* Western Michigan (120) over Central Michigan

Last week Miami Fla. (-30-1/2) at home were highly disinterested in different aspects of their game defeating Central Michigan in a so-so 17-12 win. And that was after Miami coasted in a 63-0 win against Bethune-Cookman?  Central Michigan 2-2 have yet to win on the road.  The Horses show 2-2 after losing at 'Cuse 52-33, made a late run but were far off in matching points up in New York. WMU did manage to put over 500 yards of total offense, however, their turnovers made the Orange look good.  They are 2-2 ATS covering their first two home games in 2019.  Most instate rivalries can be brutal, we feel WMU with their running attack should do big time damage as they did in 2018 with 305 yards at CMU.  Realize the number has increased over last season -5-1/2 - 17.0.  CMU has some nagging injuries though that could hurt their overall production.  We'll back the Horses who have the edge talent wise, while this is a change in venue using a chalk in College Football for BDS.  Good Luck.  

09-28-19 BYU v. Toledo +2.5 Top 21-28 Win 100 1 h 45 m Show

MAJOR LATE MONEY SORRY NOT ENOUGH TIME FOR DATA

GOOD LUCK BRAD

09-27-19 Arizona State +4.5 v. California 24-17 Win 100 112 h 37 m Show

Despite situation we expect Ole Miss letdown by the Bears indicating ASU has more than a shot of a SU win. GL.

09-26-19 Eagles +4 v. Packers 34-27 Win 100 1 h 37 m Show
09-22-19 Texans +3.5 v. Chargers 27-20 Win 100 1 h 11 m Show
09-22-19 Broncos +8.5 v. Packers 16-27 Loss -130 52 h 50 m Show
09-22-19 Bengals +7 v. Bills 17-21 Win 100 45 h 4 m Show
09-22-19 Falcons +1.5 v. Colts 24-27 Loss -107 2 h 11 m Show

092219

7* Atlanta+ (469) over Indianapolis

1:00 Eastern

NFL GAME OF THE WEEK…BDS

Generally, would not go against the Colts who have played well in their two previous games both on the road at Los Angeles (24-30) and Indianapolis (19-17), showing 1-0-1 ATS record.  The Colts were the BDS NFL Game of the Week.  Atlanta is 1-1 both SU & ATS losing at Minnesota 12-28, winning last week 24-20 at home over highly rated Philadelphia.  In order to augment the negative run defense for the Falcons defensive tackle Hagman is coming back to the starting lineup.  We wondered if the Birds might have blown out their emotions last week winning against the Eagles?  But, we found an undefeated trend to keep up the winning here as the Falcons show a PERFECT 18-0 ATS in road assignments against N/D foes who surrendered less than 254 yards in total last week and play with less than 14 days of rest.  Take the Falcons to shock the Vegas Brain Trust on Sunday.  Good Luck.

09-21-19 Oklahoma State +7.5 v. Texas 30-36 Win 100 1 h 13 m Show
09-21-19 New Mexico State +5 v. New Mexico 52-55 Win 100 37 h 13 m Show
09-21-19 South Carolina +9.5 v. Missouri 14-34 Loss -110 42 h 17 m Show
09-21-19 South Alabama +11 v. UAB 3-35 Loss -110 34 h 58 m Show
09-15-19 Bears -1 v. Broncos Top 16-14 Win 100 23 h 27 m Show
09-15-19 Chiefs -7 v. Raiders 28-10 Win 100 79 h 2 m Show
09-15-19 Colts +3 v. Titans 19-17 Win 105 87 h 6 m Show

091519

5* Indianapolis (261) over Tennessee

1:00 Eastern…

NFL GAME OF THE WEEK…BDS

We cashed our 5* last week on the Titans running the 5* Best Bet streak to 83.3% the last three months on this network.  Sunday we catch a rematch of a highly competitive series with Indianapolis dominating of late winning and covering both encounters in 2018.  The Colts in their overtime 30-24 loss at the Chargers last week showed 376 yards of total offense, but unfortunately their pass defense gave way late to the Chargers attack.  Indianapolis did illustrate a sparkling running game with 203 yards booked.  If they amass that type yardage against Tennessee they will take home the money.  Remember in the Titans win last week over Cleveland they were gifted three interceptions changing the direction of the football game.  Technically, the Colts show 7-1 ATS L8 against winning teams and 4-1-1 ATS versus the AFC.  Also, Indianapolis has covered 6-of-7 at Tennessee.  The Titans come 14-35-2 ATS after scoring 30+ points and 21-46-4 ATS in the AFC.  Despite a home game, Tennessee just might have a mild letdown after the Cleveland smash.  Good Luck.

09-14-19 Southern Miss +3 v. Troy 47-42 Win 100 9 h 56 m Show
09-14-19 Kansas State +8 v. Mississippi State 31-24 Win 100 68 h 49 m Show

091419

4* Kansas State (111) over Mississippi State

12:00 Eastern…

In this non-conference show down the units arrive with a 2-0 SU record each victory against lesser foes, and the Wildcats beat FCS Nicholls State as part of that equation.  Last year Mississippi State crushed 31-10 at Kansas State running for 384 yards controlling the tempo of the football game.  The Wildcats looked futile offensively with only 213 yards of offense.  The SEC unit simply dominated the line of scrimmage on both sides of the ball.  From last week MSU QB Stevens (9/10 w/2 touchdowns) was injured and played only the first-half against Southern Miss in a 38-15 win which was helped along by three turnovers by the visitor.  Since Stevens injury effected the upper body, frosh Shrader (7/11) who played the second-half last week would most likely grab the start.  Really the key this season is the running attack illustrated by RB Hill’s 17 carries last week gaining 211 yards and 2 touchdowns.  No doubt the Bulldogs have lost key players from 2018, while starting three newcomers on the defensive line.  On the other hand, first-year mentor for Kansas State Kleiman (FCS) will look to upset the SEC crowd, but will be in for a real war.  The Wildcats running game has improved with graduate transfer Gilbert taking pressure off the passing game, and that may translate into increased time of possession.  In addition, one critical non-statistical side bar has assistant Malone coming over from Mississippi State (2018…defensive quality control coach) which should help the staff garner a more diverse approach from the stop troops.  Technically the Bulldogs have a history of super numbers at home, and against quality clubs, but we can’t overlook the new excitement (Bill Snyder retired) with Kleiman’s motivational skills and opened minded approach to the normal substitution format.  Kansas State visits with a perfect 4-0 ATS L4 record and 5-1 ATS against winning teams.  They are 7-3 ATS versus non-conference foes and 21-9-1 ATS L31 in road assignments challenging winning home teams.  Good Luck.

09-14-19 Arkansas State +33.5 v. Georgia 0-55 Loss -110 3 h 15 m Show
09-13-19 North Carolina +3 v. Wake Forest 18-24 Loss -110 45 h 18 m Show

091319

3* North Carolina+ (103) over Wake Forest

In this Friday opener we fully expect the Tar Heels to continue improvement winning SU at Wake Forest.  In games #1 and #2 this season UNC stopped South Carolina as an underdog winning 24-20 in their initial 2019 test, while in the second battle last week they secured an incredible 28-25 upset of highly touted Miami Florida. Remember North Carolina is now coached by their “old” coach Mack Brown, and have quickly delivered for the aspiring headmaster.  The Demon Deacons who are also 2-0 beat a talented Utah State 38-35 at home, then handled lackluster Rice on the road 41-21.  HC Clawson has done a solid job coming with three successful seasons for Wake Forest only the second time as part of the ACC, and they have won three straight bowl games.  No matter, if frosh QB Howell of the Tar Heels continues to play solid football in a tough place, the Heels should be kicking.  North Carolina is 3-0-1 ATS on turf, and 8-of-11 ATS as an underdog most recently.  Don’t forget as well as Wake Forest has played poorly against the ACC going 0-5 ATS L5.  Good Luck.

09-08-19 Rams v. Panthers +2.5 30-27 Loss -120 14 h 31 m Show
09-08-19 Titans +6 v. Browns 43-13 Win 100 6 h 59 m Show

090819

NFL GAME OF THE WEEK

5* Tennessee (465) over Cleveland

1:00 Eastern

Not scared by the current line with the Browns showing solid interest out on the strip.  You have to wonder laying -5-1/2 in game #1 of the season off a 7-8-1 campaign is logical against the former 9-7 Tennessee unit who were 7-3 ATS in 2018 as an underdog?  The last two years these combatants met were in 2016 and 2017 with scores of Tennessee 28-26 and 12-9 (OT).  And major key has been the superior efforts at the line of scrimmage by the Titans.  Granted Cleveland has the super talents of QB Baker Mayfield, but QB Mariota is back under center for Tennessee.  In addition, this is the first season as Cleveland head coach with Fred Kitchens running the show.  At home the Browns are a tardy 9-20 ATS of late and 5-14-1 ATS week #1 of the season.  The Titans travel knowing the underdog is 3-1-1 ATS L5 in the series, take the points.  Good Luck.

09-07-19 Minnesota v. Fresno State +3.5 Top 38-35 Win 100 9 h 59 m Show

10* FRESNO STATE+ (390) over Minnesota, at home the Gophers (-14) limped through a 28-21 win over South Dakota State, while being out gained by South Dakota St.  Recall Minnesota finished 2018 with a 7-6 record with Fresno State 12-2 on the campaign.  Realize the Gophers are Big-10 pedigree, but their laying points on the road?  Fresno State with QB Reyna should out score the bulk of the visitor, and with HC Tedford logging ATS achievements getting points, go Bulldogs!  You will love this TOP PLAY.  Good Luck.

09-07-19 LSU -6 v. Texas 45-38 Win 100 72 h 1 m Show

Saturday, September 7th

4* LSU (369) over Texas

7:30 AM Eastern

The Tigers were highly successful against lowly Georgia Southern at home, while Texas at home crushed Louisiana Tech 45-14.  Both schools are again ranked in the AP Top Ten LSU #6 and Texas #9 in week #2 of the season.  Tech generated 413 yards on offense with a 25-24 edge in first downs. ‘Horns QB (Tim Tebow?) Ehlinger was outstanding dropping in 4 scores inside the passing game, but Texas accumulated a few more injuries at running back and the receiver position. History does illustrate success at home against LSU, but this is far more advanced unit than the prior Tigers football teams. As a note when LSU won national championships in 2004 & 2011 they went a combined 11-0 SU versus non-conference teams.  In 2018 LSU lost to Texas A&M and Alabama and Florida all SEC Conference foes.  In order to jump back into title talk this is a CRITICAL game.  This is the first non-conference road game against an AP Top Ten team since 1970.  They will need to erase a series (7-9-1) losing record against Texas, and they show 4-5 ATS as a road chalk L9.  An LSU defensive prospective leader is back with LB Divinity with additional help showing on OL.  Technically the Tigers come in 4-0-1 ATS L5 playing against BIG-12 units and 21-9 ATS showing after allowing 170+ yards passing.  The ‘Horns are 4-11 ATS after a SU win of 20+ and 1-4 ATS after a SU win L5.  Good Luck.

09-07-19 Wyoming v. Texas State +7.5 23-14 Loss -110 6 h 36 m Show

090719

5* Texas State (354)  over  Wyoming

College Football Upset of the Week…BDS

Last Saturday Wyoming defeated a lopsided Missouri unit 37-31 by rushing for almost 300 yards on the ground, competing 6/16 passing for 92 yards.  SEC Tigers were clearly stunned after having a 28-16 edge in first downs and 537 total yards of offense.  Missouri had former Clemson QB Kelly Bryant running the offense throwing for 423 yards and two scores, but he threw a killer INT in the end zone and mishandled the football causing another turnover that was scooped up by the Pokes for a TD.  In addition, the mistake prone Tigers fumbled at the Wyoming one-yard line illustrating they were “never meant to win.”  Overall the Pokes brought back 11 starters while Texas State has 19 in the fold out of the Sun Belt Conference.  State did fall hard last time at Texas A&M 41-7.  They were completely shutdown on the ground which forced passing the ball in questionable situations.  The new spread offense being used by the Bobcats should be amenable to the Texas Hill Country especially facing the incredible speed of Texas A&M.  We like the fact Wyoming won last week and play non-conference with Idaho up next.  Texas State shows 4-1 ATS L5 off a loss, while Wyoming is 0-4 ATS in the month of September.  Good Luck.

09-02-19 Notre Dame -18 v. Louisville 35-17 Push 0 9 h 5 m Show

4* Notre Dame (217) over Louisville (H)

8:00 Eastern

This is an interesting battle taking place down in Louisville where the Cardinals return 16 starters and the Irish showing 13.  From the 2018 stat sheet the task for Louisville (19.8/44.1) might be monumental considering their points for and against when facing nationally ranked Notre Dame (31.4/18.2). It is expected HC Sutterfield and Louisville will try slowing the pace of the football game.  Notre Dame QB Book, though, has already intuit that the Irish’s goal is to play fast?  Considering ND is ranked, although hit with injuries and key losses, they appear to have a clear advantage in size and speed.  In game #1 openers the Cards show 9-11-2 SU, while the Irish are 26-6 L32.  Also, Louisville shows 0-4 SU against ranked clubs to start the season, so obviously we can’t see them defeating Notre Dame HC Brian Kelly tonight.  No matter what Sutterfield’s game plan might be, it’s hard to erase the last 5 games in 2018 where Louisville gave up 50 or more points in each?  Technically the Irish come in 6-2 ATS L8 in September opposing Louisville unit 1-7 ATS L8.   With Louisville 1-11-1 ATS L13 versus non-conference foes, we’ll back the Irish tonight.  Good Luck.

08-31-19 Fresno State v. USC -13.5 23-31 Loss -115 5 h 46 m Show
08-31-19 Georgia Southern +27.5 v. LSU 3-55 Loss -118 2 h 57 m Show

083119

4* Georgia Southern (198) over LSU

BATON ROGUE

No doubt the Tigers (10-3) have a solid talent advantage in this game #1 non-conference battle with Georgia Southern, no less at home with a hungry following shadowing national champion hope.  In 2018 the Tigers lost in disgrace to Alabama on the road 29-0 not to mention a rough road downer against Florida, plus losing  (72-74) at Texas A&M in seven overtimes to end the regular season.  The Fiesta Bowl win over Central Florida 40-32 did not impress me considering defensive lapses.  The Tigers bring back seven starters on defense (Delpit), but did lose monster Devin White their leader with a quality defensive back transferring last week.  They still have a solid unit (23.6 – 2018) overall with potential under classman vying for playing time.  Offensively the New Orleans Saints OC Joe Brady has taken the same job for LSU giving great anticipation to a broader attack?  QB Burrow is a real gamer and will run but, does not have outstanding foot speed to get into the secondary enough to stretch the defense. He will be in throwing mode more often especially versus SEC teams.  The running back and wide out groups are once again loaded with an experienced OL to support.  Last season the offense averaged 32.5 points per game, 36.8 points in non-conference games including UCF.  Always the Tigers have consistent special team units.  Georgia Southern regroups off a 10-3 SU season and 23-21 win over Eastern Michigan in the Camellia Bowl last December.  In 2018 non-conference games the Eagles were both 4-1 SU and ATS with the only spread loss to Eastern Michigan in the Bowl game.  They have a solid running QB in Werts (908) who still has weapons with a multi-dimensional optional attack to cause confusion, misreads etc.  Despite lsoing their best rusher (Fields) coach Lunsford (12-7) has estimated there will be no drop off in execution or points with an uptick in the passing game.  Defensively, this is not a prolific unit from the size standpoint but one which brings speed in the secondary and on the corners of the 3-4 set.  Georgia Southern does have outstanding special teams with place-kicker Bauerle and Bass the punter both solid leaders.  With the Tigers showing a more diversified offense in practice sessions (Brady changes) you can expect more scoring this season down in Baton Rouge.  However, if ever LSU was going to play “straight” before a monster game (in Texas) this is it.  We look for an LSU win of course, but recent history shows when laying -20 or more against a non-conference foe before an SEC or quality unit next the Tigers are 0-5 ATS (2015-2018).  Texas (10-4) is not SEC but, they just won the Sugar Bowl over SEC unit Georgia 28-21 (+12-1/2) back on January 1st.   Take the points, and hope LSU maintains their second-half scoring ineffectiveness (2018) averaging 10.3 points in all their games.  Good Luck.

08-31-19 Missouri -15.5 v. Wyoming 31-37 Loss -113 2 h 39 m Show
08-31-19 Syracuse v. Liberty +20 24-0 Loss -110 1 h 30 m Show
08-31-19 Northwestern v. Stanford -6.5 7-17 Win 100 1 h 30 m Show
08-31-19 Eastern Michigan -6 v. Coastal Carolina 30-23 Win 100 4 h 48 m Show
08-31-19 South Carolina v. North Carolina +12.5 20-24 Win 100 3 h 32 m Show

4* North Carolina (182) over South Carolina

Site:  Charlotte, North Carolina

Okay, obviously SEC contingent Gamecocks (7-6) have the listed favored and talent advantage coming into action.  Further, they have an advantage at quarterback with senior Bentley against a frosh entry for the Tar Heels (2-9).  SC has 14 starters back with UNC a similar amount.  No doubt SC being in the SEC had the edge in SOS.  The Gamecocks come 18-1 SU in season openers and show 6-1 ATS at neutral sites and 12-5 ATS L17 vs. ACC.  Still they had problems toward the end of last season against quality programs. UNC has not won a season opener against a Power 5 unit going back to 1997.  However, this time around the Tar Heels start with an old and brand new head coach in Mack Brown returning to his former haunt right out of the press box.  So we see UNC surfacing with a different mind set in 2019.  It might be somewhat of an edge playing in Charlotte, and it would help restructuring Tar Heels not facing SC at home.  Remember UNC still has a solid rushing attack which HC Brown will look to parlay into a "ball control" advantage this afternoon.  If the defense improves in the tackling construct the Heels should produce an extremely competitive showing, while generating line value with this baby (SC-7, -12-1/2) hitting doubles.  Recall in the Belk Bowl the 'Cocks lost miserably 28-0, while late in the 2018 season UNC challenged Virginia only to lose 31-21.  Just a thought, but we look for a close encounter down in Charlotte this afternoon.  Good Luck.  

08-31-19 Florida Atlantic v. Ohio State -27 21-45 Loss -114 1 h 3 m Show
08-31-19 East Carolina +17.5 v. NC State 6-34 Loss -100 1 h 60 m Show
08-31-19 Mississippi State -19 v. UL-Lafayette 38-28 Loss -101 1 h 57 m Show
08-31-19 Toledo +10.5 v. Kentucky 24-38 Loss -110 1 h 53 m Show
08-30-19 Oklahoma State v. Oregon State +14 52-36 Loss -110 5 h 26 m Show
08-30-19 Colorado State v. Colorado -13 31-52 Win 100 6 h 50 m Show
08-30-19 Rice v. Army -23 7-14 Loss -108 2 h 7 m Show
08-29-19 Florida International +3 v. Tulane 14-42 Loss -105 3 h 17 m Show

082919

4* (137) Florida International+ over Tulane

8:00 Eastern

The Green Wave come in a solid 12-5 ATS against the C-USA, but return just 5 starters (13) on the offensive side of the ball.  FIU brings 8 offensive starters (16) which should help them greatly procuring an outright road upset considering QB Morgan is back again with his wide out crew to inflect damage.  Remember, the math charts project Tulane falling in the AAC power rankings, while the Golden Panthers are near the top in the C-USA.  FIU shows 6-0 ATS road L6, 4-1 ATS in non-conference and 12-5 ATS on turf.  We’ll project another upset (Hawaii) this time in a road setting.  Good Luck.

08-24-19 Arizona v. Hawaii +11 38-45 Win 100 7 h 49 m Show

4*  Hawaii+ (254) over Arizona

College Football Week "O" Opener...BDS

Arizona (5-7) is coming off a lackluster PAC-12 season this time with coach Sumlin which includes a so-so recruiting season almost last in the conference.  Last season 'Zona averaged 31.3 points with QB Tate (2,530) who was injured but still accrued solid yards. Running back Tate (1,434) will be back and is one of their keys in 2019.  No, matter we don't see their defense improving over 2018 (32.6) as they surrendered over 4 touches a game.  Hawaii went to the run-n-shot offense last season moving their 2017 record from 3-9 to 8-6 in 2018 with a much more competitive unit in the MWC and HC Rolovich is staying with this system.  He has QB McDonald (3,875) back to hopefully improve on the 36 touchdowns from last season.  The offense averaged 32.2 points a game and the HC has said, "he sees much improvement in the spring."  Just like Zona the 'Canes have had problems on defense allowing 34.5 points per game in 2018, but they do have 9 starters back on that side of the ball?  Overall Hawaii is an experienced football team and have a chance to the pull the upset in this non-conference tilt.  With Hawaii 5-0 ATS in the month of August, we'll take the points.  GL.

02-03-19 Patriots v. Rams +3 13-3 Loss -110 77 h 15 m Show

Sunday, February 3, 2019

Super Bowl @ 6:30 Eastern

(102) LA RAMS (13-5) +2-1/2 or higher…OVER (103) New England (15-3)

@ Atlanta, Georgia

The weather will be around 60, though, the roof will be closed in the Stadium

5* LOS ANGELES RAMS over New England...Here comes the hard charging Rams escaping the NFC to challange the AFC Patriots.  The last time they met it was not good news.   This time around the Rams face the Patriots again but as the Los Angeles Rams. As we now know New England has made it a trend playing in the big game, it’s their 8th going back to 2002.  Instead of meandering through the known assets and liabilities of the two units, I will focus on a dark compliment in the game, Rams P John Hekker who converted a fake punt against New Orleans is a live commodity coming into action.  Add in the offensive and defensive strengths we could have a game toasting around a pick situation.  This is why it is critical having great special teams in a Super Bowl battle. The previous time the Rams played in a Super Bowl, the opponent was New England. It didn't work out so well for the then-St. Louis team.  Technically speaking, the last Super Bowl loser when playing the following year has a difficult time covering, for this analyst it doesn’t hurt that is New England. They are 2-5 ATS in the Super Bowl and 2-5 ATS in February.  We close with the Rams 4-0 ATS L4 times out and 4-1-1 ATS off a SU.  Good Luck.

01-20-19 Rams +3.5 v. Saints Top 26-23 Win 100 25 h 5 m Show

3:05 Eastern

10* (311) LA RAMS+ over New Orleans

 We’re happy with +3 or +3-1/2 in this NFC situational playoff game taking the Rams.  Obviously the +3-1/2 is the power of choice for our clients.  As most, we saw the Rams coming last year with their superior offense leading the way, especially when QB Goff was throwing consistently and their running game was chewing up opposing defenses.  If you recall last week LA faced one of the most talented front-7 in the league, but the Rams Anderson and Gurley booked a total of 238 yards rushing, including three touchdowns.  This is a major advantage considering last week the Saints faced the Eagles diminished running attack and struggled to win.  QB Goff should have a huge day down the field, allowing LA to control TOP and the game.  From the technical perspective this is the first time the Rams will be an underdog this season both regular season and in the playoffs.  New Orleans is 1-5 ATS as a chalk down the stretch, 0-4 ATS on turf and 0-4 ATS after a SU win. TAKE THE POINTS!

01-13-19 Eagles +9.5 v. Saints 14-20 Win 100 5 h 38 m Show

3* PHILADELPHIA+ over New Orleans

NFL PLAYOFF APPRECIATION MOVE...BDS

01-13-19 Chargers v. Patriots -3.5 28-41 Win 100 1 h 6 m Show
01-12-19 Cowboys v. Rams -7 22-30 Win 100 4 h 34 m Show

4* LA RAMS over Dallas

NFL PLAYOFF KEY ANGLE...BDS

01-12-19 Colts +5.5 v. Chiefs Top 13-31 Loss -109 148 h 10 m Show

10* Indianapolis+ over Kansas City

NFL JANUARY GOY 2019...BDS

It's to imagine the Chiefs secondary chasing around the wide outs of the Colts, let alone the running backs coming out of the end zone.  Clearly, QB Luck has a huge edge in this situation knowing he will have time to throw behind the Indianapolis offensive.  After all, they are getting almost a TD in this wild affair.  Granted KC will exhibit countless area of offensive productivity but, the Colts know how to control (HC Reich) the tempo of the football game.  Reich actually has a chance to win back-to-back Super Bowls.  Remember he was Philadelphia's OC last season.  TAKE THE POINTS EARLY. OR LOSE VALUE.  Good Luck.

01-07-19 Alabama -6 v. Clemson 16-44 Loss -110 153 h 23 m Show

4* Alabama - over Clemson

CFB National Championship Game...BDS

01-06-19 Chargers +3 v. Ravens 23-17 Win 100 7 h 2 m Show

5* LA CHARGERS+ over Baltimore

NFL AFC PLAYOFF ANGLE....BDS

01-05-19 Seahawks +2.5 v. Cowboys 22-24 Win 100 127 h 59 m Show

5* SEATTLE+ over Dallas

NFL PLAYOFF BEST BET...BDS

01-01-19 Texas +13.5 v. Georgia 28-21 Win 100 68 h 9 m Show

10* TEXAS+ over Georgia

CFB BOWL LINE VALUE GOY....BDS

01-01-19 LSU -7 v. Central Florida 40-32 Win 100 140 h 50 m Show

4* LSU over Central

CFB BOWL POWER ANGLE

GOOD LUCK, BDS

12-31-18 Virginia Tech v. Cincinnati -6 31-35 Loss -104 36 h 42 m Show

5* Cincinnati over Virginia Tech

CFB BOWL BEST BET...BDS

12-30-18 Browns +7 v. Ravens 24-26 Win 100 20 h 32 m Show

5* CLEVELAND+ over Baltimore

NFL 5* PACKAGE OF UNDERDOGS

HAPPY NEW YEAR...BRAD DIAMOND & CO.

12-30-18 49ers +11.5 v. Rams 32-48 Loss -125 19 h 22 m Show

5* SAN FRANCISCO+ over LA Rams

NFL BEST BET UNDERDOG PACKAGE

GOOD LUCK,

BRAD DIAMOND SPORTS & FAMILY WISH YOU A HAPPY NEW YEAR

12-30-18 Raiders +14.5 v. Chiefs 3-35 Loss -114 19 h 5 m Show

#3 HANDICAPPER FROM 2017 HAS A SMASHING BEST BET PROGRAM OF NFL UNDERDOG ON SUNDAY.  SATURDAY WE CRUSHED THE BOOKS WITH OUR 5* CFB BOWL PACKAGE OF WINNERS.  GET THESE NOW AND WIN.  GOOD LUCK.

5* OAKLAND+ over Kansas City

NFL UNDERDOG PACKAGE ALERT

Good Luck

Happy New Year

Brad Diamond & Family

12-30-18 Falcons v. Bucs +2.5 34-32 Win 100 16 h 52 m Show

#3 HANDICAPPER FROM 2017 HAS A SMASHING BEST BET PROGRAM OF NFL UNDERDOG ON SUNDAY.  SATURDAY WE CRUSHED THE BOOKS WITH OUR 5* CFB BOWL PACKAGE OF WINNERS.  GET THESE NOW AND WIN.  GOOD LUCK.

5* TAMPA BAY+ over Atlanta

NFL BEST BET UNDERDOG

GOOD LUCK

BRAD DIAMOND & FAMILY

HAPPY NEW

12-30-18 Lions +9 v. Packers 31-0 Win 100 15 h 30 m Show

#3 HANDICAPPER FROM 2017 HAS A SMASHING BEST BET PROGRAM OF NFL UNDERDOG ON SUNDAY.  SATURDAY WE CRUSHED THE BOOKS WITH OUR 5* CFB BOWL PACKAGE OF WINNERS.  GET THESE NOW AND WIN.  GOOD LUCK.

5* Detroit+ over Green Bay

NFL BEST BET UNDERDOG ALERT

GOOD LUCK, BRAD

Happy New Year

12-29-18 Oklahoma v. Alabama -14 34-45 Loss -109 27 h 41 m Show

5* ALABAMA -14 (not higher) over Oklahoma

Realize Tua's improving injured knee is a major factor, but overall this unit is

extremely confident and I have gut feeling Saban is toying with retirement. So,

this becomes even a larger battle for #1 Alabama.  Good Luck.

CFB Orange Bowl Classic...BDS

12-29-18 Notre Dame v. Clemson -12 3-30 Win 100 23 h 49 m Show
5* CLEMSON -12 (not higher) over Notre Dame CFB COTTON BOWL CLASSIC...BDS
12-29-18 Florida +6 v. Michigan 41-15 Win 100 19 h 2 m Show

5* FLORIDA+ over Michigan

CFB PEACH BOWL CLASSIC...BDS

12:00

Florida has a major task against the physical Big Blue from

Michigan. However, the Big-10 unit has lost some of its luster how

they ended the 2018 regular season, while having some of their key

atheletes head to the NFL early. Remember the Gators have tenacious

HC Dan Mullen and an improved QB in Feleipe Franks. Overall Florida

has more speed (check Auburn vs. Purdue) and a key psychological 

with motivation driving the unit for old Michigan losses. If the 

Gators slow QB Patterson (former SEC QB), we see a surprising win

for coach Mullen and company. Remember the Blue is 1-5 ATS in

non-conference, with the Gators showing 4-0 ATS in non-conference

and 4-0 ATS after allowing less than 20 points in the last game.

Good Luck, and Happy New Year!

12-29-18 South Carolina -4 v. Virginia 0-28 Loss -110 19 h 58 m Show

5* SOUTH CAROLINA over Virginia

CFB BELK BOWL CLASSIC...BDS

12-28-18 Iowa State +3 v. Washington State 26-28 Win 100 9 h 40 m Show

5* Iowa State+ over Washington State

ALAMO BOWL BEST BET ANGLE...BDS

DON'T MISS OUR BOWL GAME OF THE MONTH SATURDAY

12-27-18 Vanderbilt v. Baylor +4.5 38-45 Win 100 4 h 53 m Show
12-27-18 Duke v. Temple -3 56-27 Loss -115 7 h 57 m Show

5* Temple over Duke

Although Owls show with an interim coach, feel they can handle the Blue Devils at the line of scrimmage on both sides of the ball.  Both Rizzo and Armstead are expected to play, so with the even number we'll go large with Temple.  Good Luck.

12-26-18 Minnesota v. Georgia Tech -5.5 34-10 Loss -105 3 h 23 m Show
12-23-18 Rams -14 v. Cardinals 31-9 Win 100 1 h 49 m Show
12-23-18 Bucs v. Cowboys -7 20-27 Push 0 14 h 32 m Show

5* Dallas over Tampa Bay

NFL Major Power Rating Adjustment

Good Luck,

BDS

12-22-18 Louisiana Tech v. Hawaii +2 31-14 Loss -105 6 h 58 m Show
12-22-18 Ravens +4.5 v. Chargers 22-10 Win 100 3 h 15 m Show
12-22-18 Redskins +11.5 v. Titans 16-25 Win 100 18 h 12 m Show
12-22-18 Wake Forest +3.5 v. Memphis 37-34 Win 100 14 h 2 m Show
12-18-18 Northern Illinois +3 v. UAB 13-37 Loss -130 11 h 5 m Show

5* Northern Illinois+  over  UAB

CFB....BOCA RATON BOWL...BDS

Didn't have to spend much time on this baby as this set is all about SOS rushing defense, of which the Huskies have the edge.  Also, do you recall the Bahamas Bowl where Ohio (MAC) smashed the Blazers. Granted this year UAB finished 10-3, while NIU completed a difficult 8-5 campaign.  However, the Huskies had to face Florida State, Iowa and Utah.  On the other hand, UAB had just one quality non-conference call, and that was versus SEC unit Texas A&M (20-41), losing of course.  Since the Huskies "D" will reduce the running production of their opponent, we'll take the generous points, considering NIU is 4-1 ATS against winning units.  In closing, UAB comes 0-4 ATS on grass.  Good Luck.

12-17-18 Saints -6 v. Panthers 12-9 Loss -110 8 h 44 m Show

3* (331) NEW ORLEANS -6 over Carolina @ 8:15 Eastern

NFL Monday Night Appreciation Alert...BDS

Cashed another major NFL ticket last night with the Rams/Eagles Over the total.

This time around we're using New Orleans who already clinched the NFC South

crown. Carolina (6-7) is in second place trying to create late season heroics. 

If the Panthers win tonight they will still be alive for a playoff round, but 

will need some luck most likely coming from possibly the Bears who will 

play the Vikings Week #17. Carolina (24.9/25.5) has experienced playoff games the

last 4 of 5 years, they need to win out to continue their streak. Whereas,

the Saints (11-2) bounced back nicely last week from their Dallas loss shuting

down the Bucs on the road 28-14, again illustrating their defensive

improvement the last five games surrendering just 13 points on average per

showing. New Orleans (34.4/21.8) has six wins on the road (2018) the average point 

differential +13.8 points per game. This is the third straight road game for

the Saints, and they can't be but a little hazy with their playoff schedule not

in doubt. However, QB Brees is such a competitor, and he will look to take

advantage of a unit that has had some salty sack marks during the season utilizing

the Saints solid offensive line. Carolina's QB Cam Newton has improved with the

addition of the new OC, the passer is hitting 72% with 263 yards per game the

last seven times out. Remember this is a quarterback, though, that has shoulder 

problems! The Panthers are 5-1 SU at home, losers of 5 straight, however. 

Considering some of the nagging injuries defensively it would quite difficult to

position the Panthers in our forecast. Granted they do have the home field edge,

while playing for their playoff lives, but they have too many issues on both sides

of the ball to get the job done.  Remember the Saints have covered 4 straight in

this building, and have taken 6 of 7 ATS in the series.  The road unit in the

series is 24-10 ATS. Overall, New Orleans has cashed 4 straight versus losing

teams. With Carolina 0-5 ATS the last five, 0-4 ATS in December and 0-4 ATS off

a SU loss, take the road unit this evening.  Good Luck.

12-16-18 Dolphins +9 v. Vikings 17-41 Loss -125 11 h 4 m Show

5* MIAMI+ over Minnesota

NFL BEST BET ANGLE...BDS

Also, a free total move would be on the UNDER.  Minnesota is 5-0 UNDER in December, 5-0 UNDER on turf and 4-0 UNDER off a SU loss.  Miami comes 6-1 UNDER on the road, and is not being taken series by the public today.  Good Luck.

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