Talk about a couple of up tempo teams, Orlando averages a mammoth 99 field goal attempts per game, and New Orleans is at a well above NBA standard of 91 per contest. New Orleans is coming off a 134-120 home loss to Golden State in their previous game. Orlando comes off a 92-87 loss at Chicago in their last contest, and covered as an 8.0 point underdog.

Any team (Orlando) with a total of 200.0 or more, coming off a straight up loss and covered as an underdog, versus an opponent (New Orleans) coming off a home loss, resulted in those games going 50-22 (69.4%) over the total during the past five seasons. The average total in those games was 207.0, and the combined average points scored was 214.0 per game. There were 56.9% of those 72 games that went over the total by 7.0 points or more. Play on this game to go over the total as a 10* Top Play wager.

The Atlanta Hawks were averaging 86.7 field goal attempts per game in the first two rounds of the 2015 NBA Playoffs. The Hawks are a team that prefers a faster pace, and they’ve been stymied in that regard by Cleveland in the first two games. Atlanta had just 77 field goal attempts in Game 1 and 79 in Friday’s Game 2. The Hawks were a very good three-point shooting team during the regular season, evidenced by their 37.2% success rate in that regard. They’ve not only been well below that percentage (32.6%) in the playoffs, but were a dismal 10-for-49 (20.4%) during the first two games of the Eastern Conference Finals. On a positive note, they’ve held the opposition to 92.8 points per game, and 41.1% shooting from the field during their previous five playoff contests.

The Cleveland Cavaliers have been terrific defensively during these 2015 playoffs, and especially so during their previous five games. During that five game stretch they’ve allowed 85.6 points per game. The only flaw they’ve displayed against the Hawks was their free throw shooting. The Cavaliers have gone a poor 29-for-46 (63%) in the first two games of the series. Play on this game to go under the total as a 10* Top Play selection.

It took the Warriors until Game 4 of this series to finally figure out how to get open looks from beyond the three-point line. However, once they did, boy did the flood gates open up. They’ve made exactly fourteen three-point shots in each of the last two games, and converted on a sizzling hot 44.4% of those attempts.

The Grizzlies defensive numbers may be a bit askew since they’re very adept at slowing the pace of games down to their liking. Considering each of the first five games of this series has gone under the total, the general public will unlikely be lining up to wager on going over the total in this contest. Especially in light of the fact that Memphis has gone 23-2 under the total in their previous twenty five games played at home.

Both of these teams were precisely 8-for-10 from the free throw line in Game 5. That’s well below the season average of 23 attempts per game for Memphis and 21 by Golden State. There’s a high probability will see that particular facet of Game 6 return to more of the norm than what we witnessed in Game 5. I’m going to take more of a contrarian approach in terms of my selection on this total.

NBA Totals Super Angle

Any road team (Golden State) that’s playing in game 42 of the season or beyond with a total of 190.0 to 199.5, possessing a defensive field goal percentage of 43.5% to 45.5%, and has held each of their previous five opponents to 42% or less shooting from the field, versus a team (Memphis) with a field goal percentage defense of 43.5% to 45.5%, resulted in that road team going 49-23 (68.1%) over the total since 1996. The average total in those 72-games was 193.5, and the average points scored combined was 200.0 per contest. This exact scenario also saw 55.1% of those 75-games go over the total by 7.0 points or more. Play on this game to go over the total as a 10* Top Play selection.

Chicago has also held nine of their last fourteen opponents to less than 40% shooting from the floor. Putting their defensive playoff numbers into perspective, they’re allowing 91.1 points per game, and holding opponents to a paltry 39.6% shooting from the field.

Cleveland has held Chicago to an average of just 90.3 points per contest, and a paltry 38.0% shooting from the field during the last three games of this series. Cleveland has gone 11-2 under the total during the 2014-2015 NBA campaign as a home favorite of 5.5 or less. With all things being considered, I like this contest to be a low scoring game. Play on Chicago and Cleveland to go under the total as a 10* Top Play selection.

The Memphis Grizzlies have gone a remarkable 22-2 under the total in their last twenty-four games at home. They’ve also seen all three games of this series sty under the total with an average of just 187.7 points combined being scored per contest. The Warriors thrive on playing up tempo basketball and are averaging a very high 87 field goal attempts per game this season. However, in the first three games of this series, it’s been Memphis that’s controlled the pace. Golden State has averaged only 75 field goal attempts per game in this series. The Warriors are also averaging just 93.3 points per game in the series, and that’s well below its season average of 109.3. Memphis has held each of their previous nine opponents at home to 93-points or less. Play on this game to go under the total as a 10* Top Play selection.

The Memphis Grizzlies have gone an incredible 21-2 under the total in their last twenty-three home games. They’ve allowed 93-points or less in each of their previous eight on their home floor. The Grizzlies are extremely good at slowing down the pace of a game to their liking, and despite all their recent success have scored less than 100-points in 19 of their last 26-games. They’ve held the high flying Golden State Warriors to an average of 75.5 field goal attempts per game in this series, and that’s well below their average of 87 per contest.

It may be a bit of a surprise to know that the offensively explosive Warriors have gone under the total in five of six games during the 2015 NBA Playoffs. Golden State has also gone under the number in six of the last eight on the road. Play on this game to go under the total as a 10* Top Play selection.

The First two games of this series have gone over the total, and as a result the totals have gone from 212.0 in Game 1 to 214.5 in Game 2, and in Game 3 the opening number was 217.0. It must be noted, in Game 2, these teams combined to attempt an astronomical 96 free throws, and made 67 of those tries. Those are just unfathomable numbers. The Houston Rockets accounted for 64 of those free throw attempts, and some in part had to do with intentional fouls on Dwight Howard, and he cooperated with the Clippers strategy by going a dismal 8-for-21. In the opening game of the series, there weren’t anywhere the amount of free throws, but there was a combined 24 made three-pointers. The teams combined to score 122-points in the second half of that opening game, including an enormous 71 scored by the Clippers. All in all there were some extraordinary things which occurred in the first two games.

Any road team (Houston) with a total of 210.0 or more, possessing a +3.0 or more point per game differential on the season, and they’re coming off two games in a row in which there were a combined 215-points or more scored, resulted in that road team going under the total in 28 of those 38-games (73.7%) since the start of the 2011-2012 NBA campaign. Play on this game to go under the total for a 10* Top Play selection.

Despite the game going over the number in Game 1, both teams combined to shoot only 39.7% from the field. However, there were a plethora of three-point attempts in the contest with Atlanta going 13-for-38 from long distance, and the Wizards 9-for-25. The pace of the game was extremely fast. Washington had 91 field goal attempts in Game 1, and Atlanta had 98. You would be hard pressed to find numbers like that in a game that even went overtime. Finally, there wasn’t a ton of free throws, but the teams combined to go a stellar 30-for-36 (83.3%) from the charity stripe.

The Washington Wizards have gone over the total in the last four, and seven of their previous eight games. The Wizards have converted on a sizzling 42.6% of their three-point attempts in their five playoff games. Washington is averaging 27 free throw attempts per game during the playoffs, and that’s considerably higher than their season average of 22.

The Atlanta Hawks are averaging an extremely high 32 three-point attempts per game during these playoffs, and that’s exceedingly more than their season average of 27.Atlanta is converting on an outstanding 38% of their three-point attempts at home this season.

The Washington Wizards have scored 104-points or more in each of their previous four games, and average 99.1 points per game scored this season. The Atlanta Hawks are allowing an average of 97.1 points per game.

Any team (Washington) that’s playing in the second half of the season with a total of 190.0 to 199.5, and they average 98 or more points scored per game, versus an opponent which allows an average of 92 to 98 points per game, resulted in that team going 63-27 (70.7%) over the total since 1996. Play on Washington and Atlanta to go over the total for a 5* selection.

These teams saw all four of their regular season meetings stay under the total. The average combined points scored in those contest was 201.3 per game.

·       The Houston Rockets went under the total of 221.5 by a large margin of 24.5 points in their 103-94 series clinching win over the Dallas Mavericks in their previous game.

·       The Rockets have a cumulative winning percentage in the playoffs and regular season of .690.

·       The Los Angeles Clippers have a cumulative winning percentage of .674.

·       The total in this contest is 212.0.

Any team with a total of 210.0 or more that went under the total by 24.0 or more in their previous game, and they have a winning percentage of .600 to .750, versus an opponent with a winning record, resulted in that team going 28-7 (80%) under the total since 1996. As a matter of fact, 68.6% of those 35-games went under the total by 7.0 points or more. Play on this game to go under the total as a 10* Top Play selection.

The general public has overwhelming wagered on the under in this contest, and did so early in the process to boot. Granted, both of these teams are very good defensively, and the total has been set accordingly. It's never as easy as it seems, and this is one of those cases.

Any team (Milwaukee) with a total of 180.0 to 189.5, coming off a divisional road win, and they’re playing just their second game in the last five days, has seen 93 of those 138-games (67.4%) go over the total since 1996. As a matter of fact, 51.8% of those 138-games went over the total by 7.0 points or more. The average total in those contests was 185.0, and the average combined points scored were 192.1. Play on this game to go over the total as a 10* Top Play selection.

The Atlanta Hawks have allowed 92-points or less in each of their previous four games. However, they also shot less than 40% from the floor in three of those four contests. Atlanta has gone under the total in nine of ten games on the road during the last two seasons following a straight up favorite loss.

The Brooklyn Nets have seen each of their previous seven games stay under the total. The average combined score in those contests was 186.6 points per game. The Nets have scored just 92-points or less in five of their last six games.

Any Game 4 of a first round playoff series with a total of 190.0 to 199.5, has seen 46 of those 60-games (76.7%) go under the total since 1996. Those 60-games averaged a combined 185.2 points scored per contest. There were 60.7% of those games that went under the number by 7.0 points or more. Play on this game to go under the total as a 10* Top Play selection.

Both of these teams have spent the last few weeks playing on the high side of the total. Dallas has gone over the total in their last seven and nine of their previous ten. Houston has seen six of their last seven go over the total. Both of these teams are deadly perimeter shooting teams, and are coming off a highly entertaining series opener won by Houston 118-108. Play on this game to go over the total as a 10* Top Play selection.

The Clippers have seen each of their previous five contests go under the total, and there was a combined average of 196.2 points scored per game. Their play on the defensive play of the floor has been a huge part in those recent games playing on the low side of the number. The Clippers have allowed 91.8 points per game and held opponents to just 39.8% shooting from the field in those contests.

The Phoenix Suns have gone under the total in eleven straight games at home, and played on the low side of the number in sixteen of their previous nineteen overall. The Suns have been anemic offensively in their recent contests, averaging a horrible 85.2 points per game in their previous five outings. As a matter of fact, the Suns have scored less than 100-points in thirteen of their last fifteen games. Play on this game to go under the total for a 10* Top Play selection.

The Los Angeles Lakers enter tonight having gone over the total in six of their last nine games. The Lakers have allowed 105-points or more in eight of those previous nine contests. They’ve also been able to score 100-points or more in each of the last four games. The Lakers have gone over the total in ten of fourteen this season versus division opponents, and those contests averaged a combined 215.1 points scored per game.

The Sacramento Kings have gone over the total in each of their previous five games, and there was a combined average of 213.8 points per game scored. The last two Kings games have produced 219 and 233 combined points being scored. Sacramento has gone over the total in eight of nine this season following two straight games in which there were 215 or more points scored. Those nine contests averaged a lofty 222.5 points scored per game. The Kings have scored 101-points or more in fifteen of their last twenty-one overall, and allowed 101 or more in seven consecutive contests.

Play on this game to go over the total as a 10* Top Play selection.

The Detroit Pistons have seen each of their last eight games at home go over the total. The Pistons are averaging a very respectable 100.8 points per game at home this season, and have also shot a robust 38.9% from beyond the three point line when facing an opponent from within their own division like they will be tonight.

The Indiana Pacers have gone over the total in 26 of 39-games (66.7%) on the road this season. The Pacers have also gone over the total in eleven of their previous sixteen games overall, and have scored 100-points or more in eight of the last ten contests. During their last five games, Indiana has converted on a sizzling hot 41.5% of their three-point attempts.

Play on this game to go over the total as a 10* Top Play selection.

The Wisconsin Badgers advanced to the "Final Four" with an 85-78 win over Arizona. The Badgers will enter Saturday's contest averaging 72.8 points per game on the season. They'll be facing a Kentucky team which allows just 53.9 points per game. The combination of this data creates a highly profitable college basketball totals betting system.

Any neutral court team (Wisconsin) that averages between 67 to 74-points per game, playing in game 15 of the season or beyond, and is coming off a game in which there was a combined 155-points or more scored, versus an opponent (Kentucky) that's allowing 64-points or less per game, has seen that team go under the total in 81 of those 119-games (68.1%) since the start of the 1997-1998 college basketball season. The average combined score in those contests was 124.9 points. Play on this game to go under the total for a 10* Top Play selection.

The Toronto Raptors have gone over the total in each of the last five, and eight of their previous nine games on the road. The Brooklyn Nets have gone over the total in the last three, seven of the last 10, and nine of their previous thirteen games overall. Both teams enter tonight shooting terrific from the floor, and from beyond the three-point line in each of their previous five games.

Any home team (Nets) with a total of 200.0 or more that's won 8 or more of their last 10-games, and has a winning percentage of .400 to .490, has seen 24 of those 27-games go over the total since the starts of the 1996-1997 NBA campaign. Those 27-games average a combined 220.8 points scored per contest, and 71.4% of those went over the total by 7.0 points or more. Play on this game to go over the total as a 10* Top Play selection.

UT-Martin is a very good three-point shooting team which converts on 39% of their attempts. They've played all three of their CIT games on the road, have averaged 78.0 points per game, and averaged 62 field goal attempts per contest which constitutes a brisk tempo.

The Evansville Aces have seen each of their previous six games go over the total. Their three CIT games have averaged a combined 160.3 points score per contest, and they've shot a sizzling 53.1% from the field.

Play on this game to go over the total as a 10* Top Play selection.

The Phoenix Suns have gone under the total in the last four, and eleven of their previous twelve games. Those previous twelve games have averaged a combined 188.8 points scored per contest. The Suns have held eight of their previous eleven opponents to 98-points or less. Phoenix will be facing a Portland team that's converting on 36.2% of their three-point attempts this season. The Suns have seen fifteen of nineteen games this season stay under the total versus opponents that convert on 36% or better of their three-point attempts.

Although Portland has seen a slew of games go over the total recently, they've still gone under the total in 22 of 36-games at home this season. They'll be facing a Suns team tonight which has allowed an average of 103.5 points per game this season. Portland has gone under the total in 14 of 20-games this year when facing an opponent which allows 99.0 or more points per game. The Trailblazers have scored 92-points or less in three of their last five, and have allowed 97-points or less in three of its previous five. Portland has played Phoenix twice since February 5th, both of those games stay under the total, and there was an average of 176.5 combined points scored per contest. Play on this game to go under the total as a 10* Top Play selection.

Gonzaga has seen each of their previous five games go over the total, shot an outstanding 54.3% from the field during that time, and saw an average of 155.2 points combined score per contest. This is nothing new for the Bulldogs who average 80.4 points per game and shoots a sizzling 50.7% from the field this season. They're also one of the premier three-point shooting teams in the country that converts on a terrific 40.8% of its attempts from long distance.

UCLA has also been red-hot on the offensive side of the floor during their previous five games. During that time the Bruins averaged 79.4 points per game and shot a stellar 51.8% from the field. They've also shot an incredible 60% or better from the floor in three of their last six games. They faced Gonzaga earlier this season a Pauley Pavilion and came up on the short end of an 87-74 scored. That game easily went over the total of 147.5. Play on this game to go over the total as a 10* Top Play selection.

I wouldn't consider either of these teams to be great defensively. The points per game allowed by Wisconsin is impressive, but very deceiving, and is mostly due to the slower pace they've been afforded to play at with big leads on many occasions this season. North Carolina loves an up tempo game, evidenced by their average of 61 field goal attempts per game. Wisconsin has scored 71-points or more in each of their previous seven contests, and has averaged a robust 75.4 points per game during that time. North Carolina has been a dynamic offensive team this season that averages 77.9 points per game. Play on this game to go over the total as a 10* Top Play selection.

Both of these teams are terrific shooting teams. Northeastern has shot 48.6% from the field and has converted a stellar 38.4% of their three-point attempts this season. As a matter of fact, the Huskies have shot a sizzling 53.3% from the field over their previous seven games. Notre Dame is averaging 78.8 points per game, shot 51% from the field, and converted on an outstanding 39.2% of their three-point shots this season. "The Fighting Irish" have shot an even better 52.3% from the field over their previous five games, and three of those games were versus nationally ranked opponents. This one has the look of a high scoring game and that's just where my money will go. Play on this game to go over the total as a 10* Top Play selection.

The total is the high for good reason. Both of these teams love playing up tempo basketball with Ole Miss averaging 58 field goal attempts per game and BYU 60 per outing. BYU averages a robust 83.6 points per game and converts on a stellar 38.8% of their free throw attempts. Ole Miss averages 72.6 points per game and converts on a terrific 77.8% of their free throw attempts. This should be a close, and wildly entertaining basketball game. It's very rare that I go over the number with a college basketball total this high, but this is one of those occasions. Play on this game to go over the total as a 5* selection.

The Denver Nuggets have scored 100-points or more in each of their previous seven contests, and have averaged a robust 107.4 points per game during that time. They've also shot 50% or better from the field in three of their previous five game. The Nuggets have allowed 102-points or more in four of the last five contests.

The New Orleans Pelicans has averaged 112.5 points per game and shot a sizzling 54.9% from the field in the last two contests. They've seen six of their last seven games at home go over the total, and they're converting on a superb 38% of their three points attempts on their home floor this season. Play on this game to go over the total as a 10* Top Play selection.

The first time these teams met this season UNLV was a 79-77 home winner, and that contest sailed over the total of 125.5. Utah State has seen each of their last five games go over the total, and they've shot a sizzling hot 52.2% from the field in that stretch. The Aggies are an excellent three-point shooting team, converting on 39.7% of their attempts on the season, and an even better 41.0% at home. UNLV has seen each of their previous four games on the road go over the total with an average of 147.3 points combined being scored per game. The Rebels have also allowed opponents to shoot 38.3% from beyond the three-point line this season. Play on this game to go over the total as a 10* Top Play selection.

This total opened at 205.0 and was more based on each team's entire body of work as opposed to their recent performance lines. Dallas has gone under the total in each of their previous four games, and those contests averaged a combined 186.5 points. The Toronto Raptors have gone under the total in four of their last five, and those games averaged a combined 182.6 points per game scored. Play on this game to go under the total as a 10* Top Play selection.

Tulane has seen each of its previous seven games go under the total. As a matter of fact, that last six of those games have averaged just a combined 108.8 points per contest being scored. The Green Wave have scored 55-points or less in each of the last six, and UCF has scored only an average of 59.2 points per game during their last five games. This one has all the ear marks of a game that will be played on the low side of the ledger, and that's just the direction I'm headed. Play on this game to go under the total as a 10* Top Play selection.

There is no analysis today due to time constraints.
Thank You,
Ross Benjamin

Mississippi State has seen 7 of their 10-games versus SEC opponents go over the total this season, and those contests averaged 132.9 points scored per outing. The Bulldogs are coming off a 61-41 loss at Arkansas, and that ended a stretch of five games in a row going over the total. Alabama's last four road games have averaged 143.5 points per contest. Play on this game to go over the total as a 10* Top Play selection.

Tonight will be the finale of a grueling eight game in thirteen day road trip for the Clippers. They will also be playing in their fourth game in the last five days. NBA history has shown that teams playing through a rigorous stretch such as the one the Clippers are in, see their offensive production, and shooting efficiency take a noticeable dip in comparison to season averages.

The Dallas Mavericks have gone under the total in five of their previous seven games. They did manage to go over the total of 207.0 in their 111-101 win over Portland in their previous game. However, it's important to note, that contest surpassed the number only because it went an extra session. The Mavericks have held the opposition to less 100-points in regulation time in six of their last seven games. They've also seen thirteen of their last nineteen overall stay under the number.

Any road team (Clippers) with a total of 200.0 to 209.5, playing their third game in the last four days, and has a winning percentage of .600 to .750, versus an opponent (Dallas) with a winning record, has seen that road team go under the total in 40 of those 54-games (74.1%) since 1996. Those 54-games have averaged a combined  199.2 points scored per contest. Play on this game to go under the total as a 10* Top Play selection.

Neither one of these teams are well rested going into tonight's game. This will be the third game in four days for Utah, and Phoenix is coming off a 108-87 blowout loss at Portland last night. The Suns have now gone under the total in six consecutive games in a row, and have averaged going below the number by 13.4 points per contest during that time span. The Suns are averaging a robust 106.3 points per game this season. However, the Jazz have gone under the total in all seven of their games thi season when facing an opponent that averages 103 or more points per game. Play on this game to go under the total for a 10* Top Play selection.

Philadelphia has gone under the total in 15 of their last 17-games. They've eclipsed the 100-point plateau just once since scoring 115-points at Memphis on December 15th. This is also a very weary 76ers team that will be playing their 4th in 5-days and 13th game over the last 20-days. Their tired legs have really taken a toll on their shooting performances. Philadelphia has shot less than 40% from the field in seven of their previous nine games. They've also allowed less than 100-points in their last five, and seven of the last eight overall.

Denver has seen each of their last four games stay under the total, and there was an average of just 184.0 points scored in those contests. The Nuggets have also gone under the total in each of their last five games on the road. The Nuggets have scored less than 100-points in seven of their last eight games overall. Play on this game to go under the total as a 10* Top Play selection.

These are a couple of very weary teams heading into tonight's game. Dallas will be playing their 3rd game in four days, and their 5th in the last seven days. Minnesota will also be playing their 3rd game in four days. More often than not, tired legs will go hand in hand with poor shooting from the field. Dallas has gone under the total in the last three, seven of the last nine, and eleven of their previous fifteen games. Minnesota has scored 94-points or less in six of their last eight games, and has allowed 105-points or less in eight of its last nine. Play on this game going under the total as a 10* Top Play selection.

Denver has gone over the total in four of their last five games at home with an average combined total score of 215.6 points per contest. Charlotte has seen five of their last six games on the road go over the total with an average combined total points scored of 196.2 points per contest. The Hornets have also gone over the total in twelve of fourteen games the past two seasons when the total is 190.0 to 194.0. Those fourteen contests averaged 204.4 combined points scored per game.

Any NBA team with a total of 190.0 to 199.5, in a game involving both teams that shoot 41.5 to 43.5% from the field on the season, and both teams have a +3 to -3 rebound per game differential, has seen 38 of those 50-games (76%) go over the total during the past five seasons. The average total in those contests was 194.9, and the average points scored were 204.4. Play on this game to go over the total as a 10* Top Play selection.

The Heat went over the total in their last game and it broke a streak of twelve consecutive unders in a row. Unfortunately for Miami, that game resulted in a 109-102 home loss to the Milwaukee Bucks. The heat have gone under the total in 18 of 24 this season following a loss. They'll be facing a Dallas team tonight that's averaging 107.2 points per game. However, Miami has seen 10 of 12 stay under the total this season when facing an opponent that allows 103-points or more per contest.

Despite being an explosive offensive team, Dallas has scored 98-points or less in each of their last 5-games. Dallas has gone under the total in 5 of the last 7, and 9 of their previous 13-games overall. In their only meeting this season versus Miami they lost at home. Dallas has seen 12 of 16 stay under the total this year when playing with same season revenge.

Any home team (Orlando) with a total of 200.0 or more, coming off three consecutive games in which they allowed 105-points or more, versus an opponent coming off a loss by 3-points or less, has seen that home team go over the total in 36 of 49-games (73.5%) since 1996. The average combined total points scored in those contests was 219.5. Play on this game to go over the total as a 10* Top Play selection.

No analysis tonight due to time constraints.

Any home team (Tulsa) with a total of 120.0 to 129.5, playing in game 15 of the season or beyond, they've allowed 65-points or less in each of their previous five games, and both teams in the contest allow an average of 63-points or less per game, has seen that home team go under the total 38 of 52-games (73.1%) since 1997. The average total in those games was 124.4, and the average combined score was 117.7 points. Play on this game to go under the total as a 10* selection.

The Rockets are coming off a win versus Oklahoma City on Thursday. They've seen 11 of 12 go under the total at home this season following a win, and those games averaged 188.1 points scored.

The Warriors are coming off a 127-116 loss at Oklahoma City last night. Golden State has gone under the total in 20 of 27 the past two seasons after allowing 110-points or more in their previous game, and there was an average of 202.1 points scored in those contests.

Public money will most assuredly be going on the over in this contest after witnessing the nationally televised high scoring affair last night between the Warriors and Thunder. Couple that with the fact that Golden State is averaging 109.4 points per game, and shooting a terrific 38.5% from beyond the three-point line, and going over the number becomes a very enticing play for the average bettor. I'm not an average bettor, and I'm not intrigued by going over this high of a number in this exact situation. Play on this game to go under the total as a 10* selection.

Any team (Detroit) which has won 8 or more of their previous 10-games, and has a losing record on the season, has seen that team go over the total in 79 of those 113-games (69.9%) since 1996. The average total in those games was 196.9, and the average points scored were 204.1. Those 113-games saw 57.1% of them go over the total by 7.0 points or more. Play on this game to go over the total as a 5* selection.

Both of these teams have been solid defensively in each of their previous 5-games. During that the Warriors have held opponents to 40.0% shooting from the field, and the  Jazz allowed opponents to shoot just 41.7% from the floor. As a matter of fact, Utah has gone under the total in the last 3, and 10 of their previous 11-games. The Jazz have allowed 97-points or less in 6 of their last 7-games. These teams met twice in Utah a season ago, and both contests easily went under the total. In their one encounter this season, the Warriors were a 101-88 winner at home, and that game went under the total of 207.5.

Any road team with a total of 200.0 or more, coming off three straight wins by 15-points or more, has seen that road team go under the total 28 of 35-times (80%) since 1996. The average points scored in those contest was 194.8, and 69.7% of those games stayed under the number by 7.0 points or more. Play on this game to go under the total as a 10* Top Play selection.

Houston has gone under the total in 14 of their 18-games at home this season, and the average points scored by both teams combined in those contests was 191.4. The Utah Jazz have gone under the total in their last 6-games on the road, and 9 of the last 10 overall.

This will be the Houston Rockets 9th game in their last 14-days, and their 3rd in the last 4. Any team (Houston) playing in their 9th game in the last 14-days, and 3rd in the last 4, has seen that team go under the total in 78 of 117-games (66.7%) since 1996. The average total points scored in those contests was 188.1. Play on this game to go under the total as a 10* Top Play selection.

The Cleveland Cavaliers have gone under the total in 7 of the last 9, and 9 of their last 12-games overall. The Cavaliers will continue to be without their leading scorer Lebron James. They've really struggled offensively of late, averaging 89.2 points, and shooting a horrible 38.6% from the field in their last 5-games. They will be facing a Golden State team which receives a lot of acclaim for their exciting style of up tempo play and superb three-point shooting. However, this is a vastly underrated defensive Warriors team as well.

Any team (Golden State) with a total of 200.0 to 209.5, coming off beating the spread their last 5-games by a combined 42-points or more, versus an opponent that's lost to the spread by 48-points or more in their previous 10-games, has seen that team go under in 28 of those 35-games (80%) since 1996. The average total in those games was 204.4, the average points scored was 197.5, and 65.7% of those games covered by 7.0 points or more. Play on this game to go under the total as a 10* Top Play selection.

Stanford has allowed 60-points or less in their previous three games, and each of those contests went under the total with an average of 122.7 points scored. As a matter of fact, their last game on Sunday night versus Washington went under the number despite going overtime. UCLA has seen a combined 118-points or less scored in each of their last three games. The Bruins have gone under the total in their last four games overall with an average of 115.3 points combined being scored.

Any team (Stanford) with a total of 130.0 to  139.5, coming off three straight games in which they allowed 60-points or less, versus an opponent (UCLA) which has seen 125-points or less combined being scored in each of their previous three games, has seen that team go under the total 31 of 37 (83.8%) times since 1997. Play on this game to go under the total as a 10* Top Play selection.

Dallas @ Brooklyn 7:35 PM ET
Game# 703-704
Play On: Under 205.0 (10*)

These will be a couple of very tired teams tonight that square off at the Barclay's Center in Brooklyn. Dallas will be playing their third road game in the last four days, and Brooklyn will be engaging in their seventh contest in the last ten days. We're approaching that mid-season lull in which tired legs more times than not prompts poor shooting. The Nets will be facing a Mavericks team that makes 36.2% of their three-points attempts on the season. Brooklyn has gone under the total in 12 of 15-games this season when facing an opponent that shoots 36% or better from beyond the three-point line, and those games averaged 189.6 points scored. The Nets have gone under the total in 18 of the last 26 overall, and Dallas has played on the low side of the number in 7 of their last 11.

Dallas has won each of their previous three games, and done so by 18-points or more in each of those contests. Any road team with a total of 200.0 or more, coming off three straight wins, and each of those came by 15-points or more, has seen 27 of those 33-games (81.8%) go under the total since 1996. The average total in those games was 208.2, the average points scored was 194.7, and 71% of those contests stayed under the total by 7.0 points or more. Play on this game to go under the total as a 10* Top Play selection.

The Bucks have gone under the total in their last 4 with an average of only 183.3 points per game. They've also allowed an average of 87.3 points per contest during that time. The Pacers have allowed 96-points or less in 6 of the last 7 and 8 of their previous 10-games.

Any road team with a total of 190.0 to 199.5 Which has been the spread by 30-points or more during their previous five games, versus an opponent that's beat the spread by 42 or more during their past seven games, has seen that road team go under the total in 34 of those 47-games (72.3%) since 1996. The average score combined in those contests was 186.7 points.

Washington @ Houston 8:05 PM ET
Game# 709-710
Play On: Under 198.5 (10*)

The Houston Rockets have seen 12 of their 15-games at home stay under the total this season. The Washington Wizards have gone under the total in 3 of the last 4, 6 of the last 9, and 10 of their last 16-games overall. Washington has allowed 99-points or less in 7 of their previous 9-games.

Any team (Washington) with a total of 190.0 to 199.5, coming off 2 straight games in which they led by 10-points or more at the half, versus an opponent (Houston) which has scored 100-points or more in each of their previous 3-games, has seen that team go under the total in 32 of those 41-games (78%) since 1996. The average total in those games was 195.3, the average score combined was 189.4, and 65.9% of those 41-contests stayed under the total by 7.0 points or more. Play on this game to go under the total as a 10* Top Play selection.

New York @ Sacramento 10:05 PM ET
Game# 517-518
Play On: Over 199.5 (10*)

The Knicks are coming off a 102-91 home loss to the Washington Wizards in their previous game. The loss dropped their season record to 5-26 (.161). They'll be facing a Kings team with a record of 12-17.

Any road team (Knicks) with a total of 199.0 to 209.5, coming off a home loss, and has a winning percentage of .250 or less, versus an opponent with a losing record, has seen the road team go over the total 39 of those 54-games (72.2%) since 1996. The average total in those games was 204.4, the average combined score was 213.6 points, and 61.1% of those games went over the total by 7.0 points or more. Play on this game to go over the total as a 10* Top Play selection.

Detroit @ LA Clippers 10:35 PM ET
Game# 715-716
Play On: Over 204.0 (10*)

The Clippers will be facing a Pistons team tonight that allows 99.2 points per game. They've gone over the total in 9 of 10-games this season versus an opponents that allows 99-points or more per contest. Those 10-games have averaged 217.2 points combined being scored. This is a Clippers team that rarely has an off night offensively. They've scored 100-points or more in 16 of their previous 20-games.

The Detroit Pistons will be playing their 3rd game in 4-days. They've seen 28 of their 36-games go over the total during the past 2-seasons when playing their 3rd game in 4-nights. They will also be playing an opponent (Clippers) tonight that's allowing 100.1 points per game on the year. The Pistons have gone over the total in 41 of their 63-games over the past 2-seasons versus an opponent that allows 99-points or more per game, and those contests have averaged 212.0 points combined. Detroit's defensive play has been less than stellar on most nights during the past few weeks. They've allowed 103-points or more in 7 of the last 10-games overall.

Any team (Clippers) coming off road wins by 5-points or less in each of their previous 2-games, and they're playing in the first half of their schedule, has seen that team go over the total in 45 of those 57-games (78.9%) since 1996. Play on this game to go over the total as a 10* Top Play selection.

Purdue @ Vanderbilt 9:00 PM ET
Game# 575-576
Play On: Under 128.5 (10*)

Purdue has held it's previous two opponents to less than 30% shooting from the field. The Boiler makers are allowing a mere 58.4 points per game on the season, and are holding opponents to just 36.8% shooting from the field. The Boilermakers have been less than stellar from the free throw line this season, converting on only 67.8% of their attempts.
 
Vanderbilt has yet to allow more than 68-points in a game this season, and started the year by holding each of their first five opponents to less than 40% shooting from the field. The Commodores are allowing 58.0 points per game and have a field goal percentage defense of 36.2%. Vandy is come off a narrow 66-63 home loss to Baylor in their previous game. They've gone under the total in 9 of 10-games during the past 3-seasons, following a loss by 6-points or less. The Commodores free throw shooting leaves a lot to be desired, converting on only 66.2% of their attempts for the year.

Any road team (Purdue) with a total of 120.0 to 129.5, coming off two straight games in which they allowed their opponents to shoot 37% or less from the field, and both teams in the contest convert on a poor 65% to 69% of their free throw attempts, has seen the road team go under the total in 26 of 32-games (82.3%) since 1997. Play on this game to go under the total for a 10* Top Play.

Boston @ Atlanta 7:35 PM ET
Game# 503-504
Play On: Over 211.5 (10*)

The Celtics have gone over the total in 10 of their 14-games this season. They love to push the pace offensively averaging a very high 88 field goal attempts per game. The Celtics have scored 101-points or more in each of their last 4-games on the road. Boston is allowing a whopping average of 107.6 points during their 4-10 start to the season.

The Hawks have gone over the total in 9 of their 14-games this season. Atlanta is averaging 105.2 points in their 9-games at home, and shooting a terrific 49.8% from the floor. The Hawks also are allowing 101.5 points per game during their 9-6 start to the year.

Any home team (Atlanta) with a total of 210.0 or more that's won 4 of their last 5-games, and has a winning percentage of .510 to .600, versus an opponent with a losing record, has seen 29 of those 34-games (85.3%) go over the total since 1996. Play on this game to go over the total as a 10* top Play selection.

Phoenix @ Toronto 7:35 PM ET
Game# 707-708
Play On: Under 208.0 (10*)

This will be the Suns 3rd game in the last 4-days. Tired legs isn't conducive to good shooting on most occasions. Phoenix is coming off SU&ATS wins as a favorite in their previous 2-games. They've gone under the total in all 8-games during the past 2-season following covers as a favorite in each of their last 2-games, and the average combined total points in those contests was 198.6 per outing. The Suns have allowed 86, 96, and 83-points in their last 3-games.

The Raptors are off to a terrific 11-2 start to the season, and the most overlooked part of their early success has been their play on the defensive end of the court. They've allowed 93-points or less in each of their previous 4-games, and have also limited their last 6-opponents to 81 or less field goal attempts.

Any road team (Phoenix) with a total of 200.0 to 209.5, playing their 3rd game in the last 4-days, and has a winning percentage of .600 or better, versus an opponent with a winning record on the season, has seen 38 of those 52-games go under the total since 1996. Play on the Suns and Raptors to go under the total as a 10* Top Play selection.

Oklahoma City @ Denver 9:05 PM ET
Game# 519-520
Play On: Over 198.0 (10*)

The Nuggets are an atrocious defensive team which is allowing 107.1 points per game this season, and can make a struggling offensive team like the Thunder look like the Celtics in the Larry Bird era. The Thunder is allowing just 94.3 points per game this season, but allows almost 8-points more per game on the road than at home. You will be hard pressed to get a Denver game with this low of a total any time soon.

Any team (Thunder) with a total of 190.0 to 199.5, coming off a division road loss, and has a winning percentage of .250 or less, versus an opponent with a winning record, has seen 40 of those 51-games (78.4%) go over the total since 1996. Play on this game to go over the total as a 10* Top Play.

Golden State @ Houston 8:05 PM ET
Game# 711-712
Play On: Under 206.0 (10*)

The Rockets have seen each of their 6-games this season go under the total with an average combined 194.0 points being scored. Golden State has seen both of their road games so far go under the total, and the average combined points scored in those contests was a very low 178.5. I fully realize the both teams are excellent 3-point shooting clubs. However, the Warriors 3-point field defense thus far has been at an excellent 26.9%, and Houston is even a tad better at 26.0%.

Going into tonight's game the Warriors have converted on 40.4% of their 3-point attempts, while the Rockets are at an even better 43.1%. The Warriors are averaging 20-turnovers committed per game, and the Rockets have turned it over an average of 18-times per contest. This sets up a very profitable NBA totals system.

Any game that involves teams that shoot 36.5% or better from beyond the 3-point line, and each team commits an average of 16.5 or more turnovers per game, then 58 of those 82-games (70.7%) have gone under the total since 1996. Play on this game to go under the total as a 10* Top Play selection.

San Antonio @ Houston 8:05 PM ET
Game# 701-702
Play On: Under 198.0 (10*)

The Rockets have held all 5 of their opponents this season to 93-points or less. The Spurs have seen each of their first 3-games all stay under the total, and they've held opponents to 100-points or less in each of those contests. Granted both of these teams are deadly from beyond the 3-point line. However, the Spurs 3-point field goal percentage defense in their first 3-games is a stellar 28.1%, and the Rockets are a superb 29.1% during the first 5-games.Neither of these clubs like to play at what's considered to be a fast pace. The Spurs average 72 field goal attempts per game, and the Rockets are at 74 in that category.

Any NBA game with a total of 190.0 to 199.5, both teams shoot better than 36.5% from beyond the 3-point line, and both average committing 16.5 or more turnovers per game, has seen 28 of those 36-games stay under the total since 1996. Play on this game to go under the total for a Top Play selection.

Miami @ San Antonio 9:05 PM ET
Play On: Under 198.5 (10*)

These two teams met twice during the regular season and saw the closing totals at 205.0 and 206.5. As you can obviously see the odds-makers have made a major adjustment to this total as compared to what we saw during the 2 regular season meetings. This adjustment has been made all despite the fact that Miami has only gone under the total in 3 of their 15-playoff games in 2014. However, after careful examination you will find the average total score in those 15-games was just 191.2. The Spurs playoff games have averaged 205.2 points per contest, but they've gone under the total in 4 of the last 5, and 6 of their last 8-games. Finally all 3 games played in San Antonio between these two during the 2013 NBA Finals all went over the total. Yet, once again that factor hasn't deterred the books from making a major adjustment to this number.

Any team with a total of 190.0 to 199.5 that scored 110-points or more in each of their previous 2-games, versus an opponent that scored 60-points or more in the 1st half of their previous game, has gone under the total in 24 of 30-games during the past 18 seasons. Play on this game to go under the total as my NBA Playoff Total of the Year!

Miami @ Indiana 8:35 PM ET
Play On: Under 185.0 (10*)

The books adjusted this opening total from 182.0  in the series opener to 184.0 after a high scoring 107-96 win by the Pacers. There were a few contributing factors to why we saw Game 1 sail over the total by more than 20-points. Both teams shot a blistering 51% from the field in the game, and it's highly improbable that either team will match that feat let alone both. The Pacers shot 8-19 (42%) from beyond the 3-point line which is definitely an overachieving number as it applies to their average in that category. Indiana was also able to get to the free throw line 37 times in the contest, and I will go out on a limb to predict they won't come remotely close to that many attempts this evening. Both of these clubs are much better defensively than what they displayed on Sunday, and look for that to be a point of emphasis heading into tonight. Despite going over the total in that previous game, the Pacers have gone under the total in 33 of their 46-games this season when the total is 180.0 to 189.5.

Any playoff favorite of 5.5 or less that's coming off a straight up favorite loss in which they allowed 95-points or more in which the game went over the total, and has a winning percentage of .663 or better on the season,  has seen all 12 of those games go under the total since the 1990 playoffs. The average combined total score in those 12-games was 174.0 points. Play on this game to go under the total as a 10* Top Play selection.

Oklahoma City @ LA Clippers 10:35 PM ET

Play On: Under 213.0 (10*)

Any Game 5 to a Game 7 of a playoff series that involves 2-teams with a .664 or better winning percentage, and the total is 201.0 or more, has gone under the total in 21 of those 25-games (84%) during the previous 25 seasons. Play on this game to go under the total as a 10* Top Play.

LA Clippers @ Oklahoma Thunder 9:35 PM ET
Play On: Under 214.0 (10*)

The public betting on the total in this contest has been overwhelmingly on the over. Despite that taking place, we've seen little or no movement on the number which can be considered unusual at this time of the year. Besides that fact, NBA Playoffs history has shown that this exact situation has shown games to play on the lower side since 1990.

Any playoff game in which both teams have a .664 or better winning percentage, it's either Game 5,
6, or 7 of the series, and the total is 201.0 or more, has seen 20 of those 24 contests stay under the total during the past 25 seasons. Play on this game to go under the total as a 10* Top Play selection.

San Antonio @ Portland 10:35 PM ET

Play On: Under 210.5 (10*)

The oddsmakers have adjusted this total a bit compared to the last 2-games. The number opened at 212.0 and is down to 210.5 despite the public overwhelmingly wagering on this to be a high scoring affair. You can't blame the public opinion in that regards considering the high scoring nature of the last 2-games. Portland knows they have to clamp down defensively if they're to have any chance of winning a game in this series. The Blazers have also averaged just 97.8 points, and shot a cool 42% from the field over their last 5-games. Both of those numbers are well below their season averages. San Antonio has gone under the total in 17 of 20-games during the past 2 seasons after shooting 47% or better from the field in each of their previous 4-games.

Any home team with a total of 210.0 or more that's playing with same season revenge stemming from a loss in which they allowed 100-points or more, versus an opponent that's coming off a straight up underdog win by 10-points or more, has seen 30 of those 37-games (81.1%) go under the total during the last 18 seasons. Play on is game to go under the total as a 10* Top Play selection.

Portland @ Houston 9:35 PM ET
Play On: Over 213.5 (10*)

These teams have seen all 8 of their meetings go over the total this season with an average combined score of 230.1 points. Portland has gone over the total in 22 of 25-games this season after winning 8 or more of their previous 10-games. The Blazers have also gone over the total in 15 of their previous 19-games after scoring 110-points or more in each of their previous 2-games. Houston has gone over the total in 18 of 20-games this season following a road loss. The up tempo style of basketball that both teams prefer to play has been a perfect fit for each other in this series, and has produced some high scoring entertaining basketball. The so called sharps in Las Vegas have taken a huge hit in this series by wagering on the under in all 4-games. It looks as if that's the way they're headed again tonight, and I have no problem opposing them once again.

Any team with a total of 200.0 or more that went over the total by 24-points or more in their previous game, and both teams in the contest have a winning percentage of .600 to .750 on the season, has seen 51 of the 70-games (72.9%) go over the total during the last 18 seasons. Play on this game to go over the total as a 10* Best Bet selection.

Miami @ Charlotte 7:05 PM ET
Play On: Over 187.5 (10*)

Miami has seen 29 of their 42-games go over the total in the last 2 seasons when the total is 180.0 to 189.5. The Heat have also gone over the total is 17 of 24-games this season following 2 straight home games. The average combined total score in those 24-games was 205.9 points. Charlotte has gone over the total in 10 of 12 contests since game 42 this season versus opponents with a -3 or worse rebound per game differential. Miami is an opponent that qualifies in that rebounding statistical category. The average combined total score in those 12 Bobcats games was 205.7 points. These two teams have seen their last 5 meetings this season all go over the total with an average combined total score of 202.6 points.

Any team with a total of between 180.0 to 189.5 that's played 5-games or less in the last 14-days, and is playing in the month of April, has seen 57 of those 84-games (67.9%) go over the total during the last 18 seasons. Play on this game to go over the total as a 10* Best Bet selection.

LA Clippers @ Golden State 10:35 PM ET
Play On: Over 212.0 (10*)

The Clippers have now gone over the total in their last 5 and 10 of the last 12-games. They've scored 104-points or more in 11 of their last 12-games, and have allowed 101-points or more in 10 of those 12. Golden State has gone over the total in their last 5-games. The Warriors have scored 109-points or more in 5 of their last 6 overall. Golden State has also allowed 105-points or more in each of their last 5-games overall. This will be a highly entertaining up tempo game which will play on the high side. Play on this game to go over the total as a 10* Best Bet selection.

Portland @ Houston 10:35 PM ET
Play On: Over 214.5 (10*)

These teams have seen all 5 of their meetings this season go over the total with an average combined score of 228.8 points. The Rockets have gone over the total in 9 of 10-games this season versus opponents with a winning percentage of .600 to .700. The average combined total score in those 9-games was 228.1 points. Houston has gone over the total in 10 of their last 13-games overall, has averaged 115.0 points scored over their last 10-games, and has allowed 104-points or more in 10 of their last 11-games. Portland has gone over the total in 11 of 12-games this season versus opponents with a winning percentage of .600 to .700. The average total score in those 12-games was 221.7 points. Portland has seen each of their previous 4-games all go over the total with an average combined total score of 232.3.

Any team with a total of 200.0 or more that went over the total by 24-points or more in their previous game, and both teams in the contest have a winning percentage of between .600 to .750, has seen 49 of those 68-games (72.1%) go over the total in the last 18 seasons. Play on this game to go over the total as a 10* Best Bet selection.