Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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12-04-22 | Dolphins v. 49ers -4 | 17-33 | Win | 100 | 24 h 2 m | Show | |
Miami at San Francisco 4;25 ET 49ers(-) over Dolphins- Hey, ya know what I just Heard on Las Vegas radio (no not Brittany pears) but that Miami’s offense in a fraud...personally I don’t think so but they make a good point which I shall share with you all. It was pointed out to me that the Dolphins have been lucky enough to have played against some of the NFL’s worst defenses including games against the Lions, Texans, Bears, Browns and Ravens. They will see a different animal on the West coast as the Niners rank No. 1 in total defense allowing just 281 YPG and are 7-2 ATS last nine home games and Fins 0-3-1 ATS against teams with winning home records. Take SAN FRANCISCO! |
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12-04-22 | Jets +3 v. Vikings | 22-27 | Loss | -114 | 21 h 13 m | Show | |
New York Jets at Minnesota 1:00 ET Jets (+) over Vikings- Believe it or not but Minnesota can clinch the NFC North with a win here and a Jacksonville win at Detroit. Seems silly at this point of the season but the division is that weak. That won’t matter here as the Vikings will have to wait a week at least. New York has found the magic elixir and his name is Mike White who has replaced Zach Wilson leading the Jets to a season high 466 yards of offense against the Bears last week. The club has responded to the change and now believe that with their defense (Ranked No. 5) they can make the playoffs and cause some damage. Like what they do against the Vikings. Take the NEW YORK J-E-T-S! |
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12-04-22 | Titans v. Eagles -4 | 10-35 | Win | 100 | 21 h 4 m | Show | |
Tennessee at Philadelphia 1:00 ET Eagles (-) over Titans- I am a bit surprised at what I am seeing surrounding this game as I expected people to gravitate to the high flying eagles especially after them beating the packers without much difficulty and the Titans falling tat home to Cincinnati. Philadelphia has incentive as a win clinches the division along the best record currently in the NFC. Tennessee is have problems in the red-zone as their one sided offense meets resistance closer to the goal. Eagles No. 2 on defense allowing just 304 YPG and are No. 4 on offense averaging 382 YPG. The home team is 5-1 ATS in the last six meetings and the beat goes on...take PHILADELPHIA! |
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12-04-22 | Jaguars +1 v. Lions | Top | 14-40 | Loss | -110 | 21 h 49 m | Show |
Jacksonville at Detroit 1:00 ET Jaguars (+) over Lions- Here I am thinking that Detroit is that hot team and now the book-makers do this. What you ask? Well, the Lions and Jaguars have the same record (4-7) and the Lions had won three straight until Thanksgiving against the Bills but have covered four in-a-row while Jacksonville is off their thrilling come-from-behind win over the Ravens winning for only the 2nd time in their last eight games. I though I saw something in the Jags last week that make me believe that they are getting better and by the looks of this line so do the odds-makers. Take JACKSONVILLE! |
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12-01-22 | Bills v. Patriots +5 | Top | 24-10 | Loss | -110 | 43 h 6 m | Show |
Buffalo at New England 8:15 ET Patriots (+) over Bills- Is Buffalo just slogging their way their the season before they start to show some real stuff that is expected of them or is what you see is what you get. Or can they be the most overrated team in the NFL and just don’t measure up to other expectations. are No. 2 in totals gaining 416 a game and they are No. 3 in passing with Josh Allen leading the way. The Bills Josh Allen is their leading rushing with Singletary close behind but, Allen has been involved in over 500 plays between his passing and running and that much usage with take its toll especially in the NFL. The Patriots are not in Buffalo’s class and the Bills are 3-0-1 ATS in their last four trips to Bean-town but they are 1-3-1 ATS in their last five road games and the Pats are 7-3 ATS at home and 6-2 ATS in their last eight games overall. Belichick will find a way to steal this one. Take NEW ENGLAND! |
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11-28-22 | Steelers +3 v. Colts | Top | 24-17 | Win | 100 | 15 h 20 m | Show |
Pittsburgh at Indianapolis 8:15 ET Steelers (+) over Colts- Wait a second...Indy is the home team. Not paying too close attention until the weekend and I had thought because of the meager line that the game was in Pittsburgh. So what they bookie is saying is that the Steelers would be favored at a neutral site. Everybody is pulling for Jeff Saturday and well this Monday after defeating the Raiders in Las Vegas and battling the Eagles to the final gun in the City of Brotherly Love (that is a frickin’ joke) the return home with a Dickens thought of Great Expectations. Too bad the odds-makers sees disappointment in store for Colts fans. Take PITTSBURGH! |
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11-27-22 | Raiders +4 v. Seahawks | 40-34 | Win | 100 | 23 h 34 m | Show | |
Las Vegas at Seattle 4:05 ET Raiders (+) over Seahawks- What a great season it has been for the Raider haters as Vegas suckered the locals into a win total that was 7.5 and they bought into it, but, the sentiment has switched off as Las Vegas has taken down it’s backers 7-of-10 times. Watching them recover and get a gift win at Denver has lifted their spirits and confidence. Seattle has been great running off a 5-game SU and ATS winning streak before being exposed in Germany two weeks ago. Rust shows here as Raiders surprise. Take LAS VEGAS! |
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11-27-22 | Chargers v. Cardinals +3 | Top | 25-24 | Win | 100 | 23 h 33 m | Show |
LA Chargers at Arizona 4:05 ET Cardinals (+) over Chargers- Like I said the Chargers do just enough to get you beat as they covered their last two against the points but lost both games outright to the Chiefs and Niners. Arizona on the other hand after starting, oh what was it 6-0 or 7-0 last season has been one the the worsts covers in the NFL. Coaching has been called into question along with a shortstop playing QB who refuses film study and would rather just wing it. But that will work against these guys because they know how to lose. Take ARIZONA! |
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11-27-22 | Ravens v. Jaguars +3.5 | 27-28 | Win | 100 | 20 h 34 m | Show | |
Baltimore at Jacksonville 1:00 ET Jaguars (+) over Ravens- We know what the Ravens are now for and they are living up to that expectation and even more. Baltimore’s defense is among the leaders in all defensive stats, as they are 2nd in forced turnovers, 3rd in fewest rushing yards allowed and 3rd best in third-down stoppage. Jackson leads the NFL in YPA with 6.9 and that helps the weakness in other parts of his game. Stats are great and I have a few for you. The Ravens are is 0-4-1 ATS in their last five visits to Jacksonville and the home teams is 8-2-1 ATS in the last 11 meetings. Take JACKSONVILLE! |
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11-27-22 | Bengals -115 v. Titans | 20-16 | Win | 100 | 20 h 30 m | Show | |
Cincinnati at Tennessee 1:00 ET Bengals over Titans- The fact that the Bengals opened the favorite raised my eyebrows as it just didn’t look right. Here is division leader Tennessee on a eight-game ATS winning streak and possessing the most punishing running back in the league while Cincinnati’s ground game will suffer as Mixon stays in concession protocol. Still the SFC champs Cincy is 13-3 ATS in their last 16 games in the AFC and are 4-0 ATS in their last four trips to in Nashville. Take CINCINNATI! |
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11-27-22 | Bucs v. Browns +3.5 | Top | 17-23 | Win | 100 | 20 h 32 m | Show |
Tampa Bay at Cleveland 1:00 ET Browns (+) over Buccaneers- Poor Tommy-boy is taking the heat from every where except at home where it is now peaceful and his number and play are as good as ever. To me the problems start with head coaching along with injuries and a receivers corps that lead the NFL in dropped passes. The Bucs are 0-7-1 ATS as the sod seems to slow them down while the Browns without Watson at QB average over 150 yards on the ground and will dictate the tempo. Take CLEVELAND! |
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11-24-22 | Patriots +2.5 v. Vikings | Top | 26-33 | Loss | -105 | 29 h 17 m | Show |
New England at Minnesota 8:20 ET Patriots (+) over Vikings- How can I possibly consider New England in this spot and make you all sick after a great dinner and days winning picks. Having used a Dallas as a Megabucks winner against Minnesota I was so looking to rebounding with them on Thanksgiving, closing the day a perfect 3-0. Yeah, well wishful thinking! But, now with the hapless offense that the Patriots bring into this fray and the bookies making the Vikings just a field goal it makes believe it’s way too low and why. It is because Minny isn’t as good as their record of is it the that Bill Belichick will devise some sort of game plan to disrupt the Vikes offense. Don’t don’t Jones looks like Wilson of the Jets and yet the line says lay the field goal...oh yeah, maybe someone else. If I get beat I get best. but this number is silly. Take NEW ENGLAND! |
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11-24-22 | Giants v. Cowboys -10 | 20-28 | Loss | -105 | 25 h 28 m | Show | |
NY Giants at Dallas 4:30 ET Giants (+) over Cowboys- At first glance I loved the Giants as I could see a bounce back for them and after Dallas’ 40-3 Megabucks win over Minnesota that they would come back toward the middle. But, that was when I thought the line would give the Giants a fighting chance...but it doesn’t. As a 9-point favorite it has become too inviting to jump on the Giants while laying close to double-digits is no bargain in this NFL. Dallas will return home after a bye and a pair of road games to play at home for the for first time since Oct. 30. Cowboys defense No. 1 against the pass and Danny Turnover Jones will cough it up more than once. Boys 22-7 against NFC East and New York is 3-7 against NFC East and 2-9 ATS in last 11 visits to Big D. Take DALLAS! |
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11-24-22 | Bills -9.5 v. Lions | 28-25 | Loss | -105 | 21 h 26 m | Show | |
Buffalo at Detroit 12:30 ET Bills (-) over Lions- Oh, how the mighty have fallen, ha but believe me not too far. Buffalo who was expected to breeze through the AFC East have had a few disappointing outings but have still won 7-of-10. The Lions have come roaring back into the media speak as they have won and cover three straight after four straight ATS and SU losses. Bills remained in Detroit after their win over the Browns are will be comfortable playing on Thanksgiving with their No. 2 offense averaging 417.4 YPG against the prides No. 32 defense surrendering 416 YPG. That is enough for me. Take BUFFALO! |
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11-21-22 | 49ers -7.5 v. Cardinals | Top | 38-10 | Win | 100 | 20 h 27 m | Show |
San Francisco vs Arizona 8:15 ET 49ers (-) over Cardinals- Basically the question is..do I believe that the Cardinals can defeating the defending Super Bowl champion LA Rams one week and then San Francisco the next. No, I don’t think they can or will do it. The birds will have an injured wing against the No. 1 49ers defense with tight end Ertz out and Hopkins among six other starter not practicing this week. Niners’ McCaffrey getting comfortable and receiving more reps. Arizona 2-9 ATS on Monday nights and Mexico won’t help. Take SAN FRANCISCO! |
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11-20-22 | Chiefs v. Chargers +5.5 | 30-27 | Win | 100 | 28 h 55 m | Show | |
Kansas City at LA Chargers 5:20 ET Chiefs (-) over Chargers- It seems like it is always the same old story concerning the Chargers be it in San Diego or LA or the moon they do just enough to get beat. Kansas City can coast with their lead and talent and should play to their level of their competition meaning play down here. It’s only half way till the playoffs and the Chiefs have been there before. LA is a desperate mode after loss to Niners. Take Los Angeles! |
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11-20-22 | Cowboys -120 v. Vikings | 40-3 | Win | 100 | 23 h 14 m | Show | |
Dallas at Minnesota 4:25 ET Cowboys (+) over Vikings- I gotta like this one as the ‘Boys laid down last week as our Megabucks winner Detroit stole the victory in overtime Now, Dallas goes to the conference leader nest and open the favorite. I don’t see how that is, now that genius Mike McCarthy said he’s going back to Zkeziel Elliot at running back and down grading Tony Pollard (the best back they have). Prescott should be better here as the rust wares off. Minnesota has won seven straight and have become the hot media item with Kirk (How do you like me now) Cousins and as long as he is able to hand the ball to Dalvil Cook the Vikes have a shot. But, the Cowboys defense is one of the best as they led the league in sacks that make the media to re-evaluate Cousins. Take DALLAS! |
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11-20-22 | Commanders v. Texans +3 | 23-10 | Loss | -100 | 20 h 22 m | Show | |
Washington at Houston 1:00 ET Texans (+) over Commies- Yes, that household name Taylor Heincke is making his case for Carson Wentz’ job and he has earned it. A real gutsy play that does what ever he can to win, he stands up to the rush and takes the hit to complete the play. The Commanders have won 3-of-4 since he took over at QB that loss of course was to Minnesota after leading by 10 points in the fourth. Coming off their Monday upset of Philadelphia the Commies might get caught here as they are 3-9 ATS when playing on a Sunday after a Monday night game. Texans are 4-1 ATS after a loss. Take HOUSTON! |
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11-20-22 | Bears v. Falcons -2.5 | 24-27 | Win | 100 | 20 h 6 m | Show | |
Chicago at Atlanta 1:00 ET Falcons (-) over Bears- With Justin Fields running wild out of te quarterback position the Bears have emerged as the NFL’s No. 1 rushing team with 201.7 YPG. Atlanta runs the ball better from the running back position averaging 160 yards rushing good for fourth in the league. Here’s the rub with both these teams is the Chicago is dead last in passing yards with just 128.1 per game while the Falcons are not much better ranked 30th with 157 per. The Dirty-Birds are 1-3 SU and 0-4 ATS since defeating the Niners five weeks ago. With the only guy that can throw the ball playing for the home team I’ll play the Falcons. Take ATLANTA! |
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11-20-22 | Lions +3 v. Giants | Top | 31-18 | Win | 100 | 20 h 57 m | Show |
Detroit at New York Giants 1:00 ET Lions (+) over Giants- Has there been a bigger turn around than what is going on with New York Giants (Green slim fans claim it’s the J-E-T-S) who are 7-2 and gaining attention. A healthy Saquon Barley has been the key as his 931 rushing yards lead the NFL and Danny ‘Dimes’ turnover improvement has kept the Jints alive. ones season high passing yards is 217 and winning with so few yards passing will be difficult to continue. Detroit is playing with confidence after their rally against the Bears for their second straight win. There offense has picked up the last three games with just one turnover. The road team is 7-2 ATS in the last nine meetings. Take DETROIT! |
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11-17-22 | Titans +3.5 v. Packers | 27-17 | Win | 100 | 24 h 53 m | Show | |
Tennessee at Green Bay 8:15 ET Titans (+) over Packers- Green Bay ended their five-game losing streak with an improbable come-from-behind win over Dallas Sunday, Trailing 28-14 in the 4th quarter the Cowboys lost for the first time after 195 wins when having a 14-point final period lead when the Packers rallied. The Pack have won 2-of-3 meetings including a 40-14 home romp last season in week 16. The Titans Travis Henry is a load and saw his steak of 5-games with 100 yards rushing end last week against Denver but Green Bay’s defense allows 4.8 yards per carry. He should have a field day and Aaron will pull a Derek Carr and cry about something after this one is final. Take TENNESSEE! |