Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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01-28-24 | Lions v. 49ers -7 | Top | 31-34 | Loss | -110 | 77 h 35 m | Show |
49ers -7 The Detroit Lions (12-5, 6-3 AWAY, 13-6 ATS, 7-2 ATS AWAY) will play against the San Francisco 49ers (12-5, 6-2 HOME, 9-9 ATS, 3-6 ATS HOME) in the 2024 NFC Championship Game on Sunday at Levi's Stadium in Santa Clara, CA. The game is set to start at 6:30pm ET. Opening betting lines have Detroit +6.5 and San Francisco -6.5. Moneyline odds of Detroit +245 and San Francisco -311. The total points expected in the game is set at over/under 51. We're on the 49ers in this one. They hold the value for me, and I think the 49ers can and will win this by 9+. Fact...teams with the #1 seed have won 34 out of 48 conference championship games since the NFL playoffs began in 1975. It's really hard to go on the road in this matchup, and the proof is in the puddin'. The Lions beat Tampa Bay 31-23 last week in the Divisional round, and now they're in their second-ever Conference Championship. The 49ers defeated the Packers 24-21. McCaffrey scored a 2nd TD to win the game with 1:07 left. The 49ers lead the historical series 39-28-1, vs. DTown, with a postseason record of 1-1. Recently, the 49ers have been stronger, winning 11 of their last 12 matchups since 1996. Last time these two played was 9/12/21. A 41-33 SF win in Detroit. (Lions covered the +9.5 in that one) Last season, the Lions and 49ers didn't play against each other. Weather looks to be typical for Santa Clara this time of year. Forecast says it might be 74F with some light winds. Regardless of whether Samuel plays or not on Sunday I have the Niners cruising to victory in this one. Goff will be throwing a ton, as he has in all of DET's losses this year, and that plays right into the strength of this Niners D. That Pass Rush and secondary are elite. It wouldn't surprise me if Goff throws 2+ INT's. If Samuel plays, the Lions will really have their hands full containing Purdy from being the elite game manager he is. Samuel, Aiyuk, Kittle (everyone knows DET isn't great vs. TE's), and oh ya, that CMC guy coming out of the backfield are weapons NO team in the NFL wants to have to contain (Jennings is no slouch either). The Lions have allowed 125+ yards to at least 1 WR in 6 straight games. Sure Lions are great vs. the Run, but the 49ers are so much more than just running the ball with CMC. Expect Purdy in shotgun a ton, gadget plays, play action, and lots of screen passes behind the line to get those 4-6 yard plays on 1st down. Shanahan is greater than Campbell in this one. PFF rated Purdy 95/100 on Play Action this year. Goff, Gibbs and Sun God are great, I'd LOVE them all on my fantasy team, but this isn't the Fantasy Final, this is the NFC championship, and I trust the Niners offense much more than DETROIT. Trends, Lions are 1-11 SU L12 vs. SF, 0-10 SU L10 on the road vs. SF, and 2-5 SU L7 vs. NFC West teams. The 49ers are 8-2 SU L10, 7-1 L8 SU vs. NFC teams, and 13-4 L17 games in JAN. You know what to do. Hop ON! Good Luck, Razor Ray. Sunday 10* *RARE* NFC Championship ATS Top Play |
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01-07-24 | Bills -3 v. Dolphins | Top | 21-14 | Win | 100 | 103 h 35 m | Show |
Bills -3 I don't release many 10* NFL Plays, but I feel extra strong about this one. NFL Week 18 Sunday Night football on NBC play for the (10-6, 3-4 AWAY, 6-10 ATS) Bills taking on the (11-5, 7-1 HOME, 10-6 ATS) Dolphins, Sunday, at 8:20pm ET, Hard Rock Stadium, Miami Gardens, FL. Opening odds have the ML: Bills -163, Dolphins +135. ATS Odds: Bills -3, Dolphins +3. Total: O/U 50. The Bills are in one of the oddest spots ever really. They have a chance at the #2 seed and a chance to miss out on the playoffs. Things are hectic in the AFC Playoff race, but we’re backing Buffalo here as this team has a huge edge on Sunday. Buffalo gets the Dolphins at the right time as injuries are the topic of conversation for Miami. The Dolphins Bradley Chubb and Jaelan Phillips are both on the IR, while a compliment of others sit below 100% even if they take the field. Buffalo has won 4 in a row and they’re doing it with dominant performances on both sides of the ball. They’ve allowed 22 points or less in all 4 wins and are getting contributions from so many different players. Josh Allen has the offense rolling and sustaining drives too, which has kept the ball away from the opposition. That’s going to be a huge key here as the Bills should have success keeping the Dolphins offense off the field and will set themselves up for some short yardage situations on 3rd down. Miami comes in 1-4 ATS against opponents over .500 and their struggles against good teams will be showcased in this contest. Health, Desperation, Motivation, Roster Depth. Buffalo. Check, Check, Check, and CHECK. X-Factor. Bills defense. 4th in the NFL allowing only 18.6 PPG. 10th in YPG, and 7th in passing YPG. 2nd in NFL forcing turnovers. 3rd in sacks. Tua will be running for his life. No Mostert, No Chubb, No Howard, No Waddle more than likely. We saw Miami's offense without him, and a less than 100% Tyreek Hill vs. the Ravens. Tough stretch for Miami. This is a no-brainer for me on Sunday Night football. I have to back the Bills -3 to win another AFC East championship. Trends, Bills 5-1 SU L6, 10-1 SU L11 vs. MIA, 4-1 SU L5 vs. AFC teams, and 8-2 SU L10 vs. AFC East teams. You know what to do. Hop ON! Good Luck, Razor Ray. Sunday Night RARE 10* NFL ATS Play |
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12-17-23 | Ravens v. Jaguars OVER 41.5 | Top | 23-7 | Loss | -110 | 22 h 15 m | Show |
OVER 41.5 This is a RARE 10* top play! On Sunday night, the Ravens (10-3, 8-5 ATS, 6-7 O/U) will be facing the Jaguars (8-5, 8-5 ATS, 7-6 O/U), kick off at 8:20pm ET from EverBank Stadium, in JVille, FL, watch on NBC. Sunday Night Football and I'm expecting a gunfight at the O.K. Corral. Both of teams have what we call in the industry "high octane offenses". Both can score quick and if you look at what the did last year it tells me we can expect more of the same this year. (28-27 final score). This upcoming matchup could very well surpass that high-scoring affair. The Ravens look of late like they have shifted their offensive strategy towards a greater emphasis on passing. It's working. They're showing us explosive big-play potential. Lamar averaged 11+ air yards per attempt vs. the Rams. This transformation has resulted in them scoring 31 points or more in 6 out of their last 7. Flowers, OBJ, & Likely are all HR hitters, and Lamar...well. At this juncture of the season, Jackson stands out as one of the NFL's premier performers. His impressive record now sits at 14-3 for December, making him the 2nd-most successful QB in the NFL since 2018. They're on top of their game as evidenced by the fact that 3 out of their last 4 games they've scored more than 54, and in 5 of their last 7 they've managed to go over 44. The Jags are quite familiar with high-scoring games as well. In their recent 4, they have consistently reached a total of 45+, and this pattern has persisted in 7 of last 9. Their D isn't what everyone thinks it is either. Allowing 24+ in their last 4. The last prime-time Jags game vs. the Bengals is just a taste of what this game will offer. So buckle up. It's going to be fun! Trends, Over has hit in 5 of Ravens L7, and OVER has hit in 4 of Jags L6 at home. The OVER has also hit in 7 of the Jags L8 in December. You know what to do. Hop ON! Good Luck, Razor Ray. Sunday *RARE* 10* NFL O/U Top Play |
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12-10-23 | Vikings v. Raiders +3 | Top | 3-0 | Push | 0 | 116 h 15 m | Show |
Raiders +3 In this Week 14 matchup on Sunday, the Vikings (6-6) and the Raiders (5-7) are set to clash at Allegiant Stadium in Las Vegas, NV, with a 4:05 p.m. ET kickoff (FOX broadcast). Let's break down the odds: The Moneyline shows the Vikings at -134 and the Raiders at +118. The ATS (Against the Spread) line favors the Vikings at -1.5 (-115), and the Over/Under (O/U) is set at a total of 40.5 points for all the gamblers out there. In their previous game, the Vikings suffered a tough 12-10 loss to Chicago and failed to cover the 3-point spread. However, they maintain a decent 4-2 road record this season. On the other side, the Raiders last took the field on November 26, losing 31-17 to the Chiefs. Despite dropping 4 of their last 6, it's worth noting that they faced some formidable opponents. Furthermore, the team hasn't given up under interim coach Antonio Pierce. If you watched the last Vikings game you have to be wondering how they can lay 3 against any team in the NFL right now. I'm certainly scratching my head here. They do welcome back JJ this week. Raiders come in rested off of a bye, 2 weeks to gameplan, and the Vikings certainly don't present an offense like that of the Chiefs and Dolphins gauntlet the Raida's just went thru. This game should be the battle of the #1 WR's. Adams vs. Jefferson, and on the defensive side it will be Hunter vs. Crosby. My X-factor is going to be O'Connell. This game will be his 6th start. 4 TD's and 6 INT's so far. He has to stretch the field here to give Jacobs room to run. I think he will. Some trends, this matchup is even over the L10 games (5-5 ATS each), Raiders lead series all time 10-6. 5-2 at home. Minnesota are 2-5 SU in their L7 when playing on the road against LV. I'm on Vegas. Grab the points and smile at the window. Hop on! Good Luck, Razor Ray. RARE 10* Sunday NFL TOP PLAY |
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10-08-23 | Jets v. Broncos UNDER 43.5 | Top | 31-21 | Loss | -110 | 53 h 7 m | Show |
*RARE 10* TOP PLAY!* UNDER 43.5 In Week 5 of the NFL, a nice betting matchup on Sunday between the Jets (1-3, 2-2 ATS) and the Broncos (1-3, 0-3-1 ATS). The game will start at 4:25 ET and will be on CBS. It will take place at Empower Field at Mile High in Denver, Colorado. As for the gambling lines, the spread has New York +2 and Denver -2. The moneyline odds are New York +111 and Denver -135. The total (O/U) is set at 43.5. We're playing the Under on two teams who just have so many question marks coming into Sunday. The Jets season got underway with Rodgers getting injured on the first drive and it's forced them to have to change just about everything up. With Wilson running the show, this offense just isn't the same. They have struggled to sustain drives and they have zero threat down field. That kind of goes for the Broncos as well. Denver is lucky to have themselves a win as they have just had far too many issues. This is the kind of game where we should see a lot of run plays early and this clock should keep moving. With two offenses that have a lot of question marks, neither side is going to try and take deep chances. This will be a slow developing game, where scoring chances are at a premium. Some trends to note, games between these two have seen the total go UNDER in 8 of the last 9 games when DVR is playing at home against NY. Plus, the total has gone UNDER in 7 of the Jets' last 9 games. Lastly, we've seen the UNDER hit in 9/10 games for the Jets against the AFC. This is my highest rated play of the day. We're on the UNDER 43.5 in this matchup. Expect a kick-fest. Good Luck, Razor Ray. Sunday 10* TOP ATS NFL Play |
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02-12-23 | Chiefs v. Eagles UNDER 50.5 | Top | 38-35 | Loss | -110 | 222 h 24 m | Show |
*RARE 10* Top Play Chiefs vs. Eagles Under 50.5 We're on the Under here in the Super Bowl as the Chiefs and Eagles battle it out. The Chiefs had to grind and find a way late to knock off the Bengals in the AFC Championship, while the Eagles had little trouble thanks to some injuries to the 49ers on the NFC side. We'll start with the Superbowl always being a closely played contest. The Under has cashed in the last 4 overall as teams are typically much more conservative. Here, we can expect a lot of short passes and run plays as both teams will look to keep the opposing quarterback off the field. Along with this, the Chiefs and Eagles have been profitable on the Under as of late. The Chiefs have seen the total go Under in 4 of their last 5, while the Eagles have cashed in on the Under in their last 4. Look for this game to have a similar feel and for both teams to establish their run game early. The clock will run and points will be at a premium, especially early on. Some trends to note. Under is 4-1 in Chiefs last 5 games following a straight up win. Under is 16-5-1 in Eagles last 22 playoff games. Back the Under. Good Luck, Razor Ray. Superbowl 10* NFL O/U TOP PLAY 2x BONUS PROP Plays... 1. First Half U24.5. -120 2. OVER 3.5 FG's +125 |
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01-21-23 | Giants v. Eagles -7 | Top | 7-38 | Win | 100 | 97 h 46 m | Show |
Philly -7.5 The Eagles are 2-0 vs the Giants this season, although the second win was against mostly backups for New York.The bye helps the Eagles, especially Jalen Hurts. Philadelphia will look to keep it on the ground, in the two meetings the Eagles ran for 253, and 135 yards. New York beat a Minnesota team that really wasn't as good as its record indicated. The Eagles had 9 sacks in those two games, and will continue to put Daniel Jones under pressure. Giants will keep it close at half, but the #1 seed should pull away in the second half on their way to the NFC Title Game. Some trends to consider, Philadelphia is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against NY, and 11-2 SU in its last 13 games when playing NYG. Lastly Eagles are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 Divisional Playoff games. Play on the Eagles -7.5. Good Luck, Razor Ray. Saturday *RARE 10* NFL ATS TOP PLAY |
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10-02-22 | Bears v. Giants UNDER 40 | Top | 12-20 | Win | 100 | 59 h 18 m | Show |
Under 40 Justin Fields is somehow winning games but has attempted just 45 passes, completing 23 of them. He's got 2 touchdowns on the year and 4 interceptions but in his most recent game he finished with 8 completions, zero TDs and 2 picks. They're only averaging 99.0 passing yards on offence while giving up 214.3 in the air. The 2-1 Giants are averaging just 18.7 points on offence, eclipsing 20 just once this season. QB Daniel Jones has put up 560 passing yards and 3 scores while giving up 2 picks. In his last start he passed for just 196 yards and had zero scores while throwing 1 interception. Some recent trends to note, Fields' 297 passing yards through 3 contests is the lowest for a pivot since 1975. Jones' has yet to pass 200 yards in each of his first 3 starts. New York will also be without top receiver Sterling Shepard for the remainder of the season. Play on the Under 39.5 -110 Good Luck, Razor Ray. Sunday 10* *TOP NFL O/U PLAY* |
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02-13-22 | Rams -4 v. Bengals | Top | 23-20 | Loss | -105 | 16 h 15 m | Show |
Los Angeles -4 We're on the Rams here as they are just clicking on all cylinders right now. Getting a chance to host the Superbowl on Sunday, the Rams are just simply going to be a tough team to beat. Offensively, they have the top weapon out wide in Cooper Kupp and they can strike so quickly. Look for them to pick apart this Bengals secondary, en route to a game where they keep their foot on the gas all night long. A trend to note. Rams are 3-1-1 ATS in their last 5 meetings. Back Los Angeles. Good Luck, Razor Ray. Sunday 10* NFL ATS TOP PLAY PROPS First Turnover of the Game Interception -160 This has some nice value. Both QBs love to sling it and take chances down field. We should see some early fireworks both ways, as Stafford and Burrow will take their shots. With that in mind, an interception is likely a the first turnover with the amount of passes. Superbowl MVP - Cooper Kupp +600 If the Rams are going to win, Kupp is going to have to find the end zone a few times and make some big plays. There is a ton of value at this price. Kupp is a playmaker and will get plenty of targets on Sunday. |
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01-09-22 | Chargers -3 v. Raiders | Top | 32-35 | Loss | -106 | 11 h 59 m | Show |
Chargers -3 The winner of this one is likely to make the postseason on SNF. Los Angeles has the value here laying the small number. The Raiders just haven't been consistent enough to trust this season. They come into Sunday just 2-5 ATS in the last 7 home contests. This is a team that has struggled at times on defense, as they love to give up the big ball. With that in mind, look for the Chargers to torch this secondary all night long. Some trends to note. Chargers are 7-2-1 ATS in their last 10 games in January.Chargers are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 vs. AFC West. Back Los Angeles. Good Luck, Razor Ray. Sunday 10* NFL ATS TOP PLAY |
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01-08-22 | Chiefs -10.5 v. Broncos | Top | 28-24 | Loss | -110 | 16 h 1 m | Show |
Kansas City -10.5 The Chiefs have the value here on Saturday in Denver. Kansas City still has a shot at the overall 1 seed with a win and Tennessee loss this week. The Titans hot run came to a halt as they fell to the Bengals on a last second field goal last week. Still, this offense is in the best shape they've been all season long and nothing seems to be slowing them down. Denver has thrown the towel in and they just haven't had any success against the Chiefs as a whole. Denver has dropped 12 straight to the Chiefs, which includes a 22-9 loss this season. Some trends to note. Chiefs are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 vs. AFC.Chiefs are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games after allowing less than 90 yards rushing in their previous game. Back Kansas City. Good Luck, Razor Ray. Saturday 10* NFL ATS TOP PLAY |
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01-03-22 | Browns v. Steelers -134 | Top | 14-26 | Win | 100 | 11 h 47 m | Show |
Pittsburgh -134 The Steelers have value here on the ML. With the Browns officially eliminated, they certainly will have low motivation to travel into Pittsburgh on Monday night. On the other side of the coin, the Steelers will see this as Ben Roethlisberger's last home game in a Steelers uniform. The crowd will be rocking for him and he will do everything he possibly can to go out on top. Look for a ton of motivation from the Steelers side, to get him this win as we should see two totally teams from a motivation perspective. Some trends to note. Steelers are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 vs. AFC.Steelers are 14-6-3 ATS in their last 23 games in January. Back Pittsburgh ML. Good Luck, Razor Ray. Monday 10* NFL ML TOP PLAY |
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12-26-21 | Washington Football Team v. Cowboys -9.5 | Top | 14-56 | Win | 100 | 10 h 25 m | Show |
Dallas -9.5 The Cowboys have value here laying the number. Dallas has been playing exceptionally well as of late. They come into play on Sunday winners of 3 in a row, which includes a 7 point road win in Washington a few weeks back. They're getting consistent performances from many of their key players and Dak Prescott is starting to find his rhythm again. Look for the Cowboys to control the tempo and dictate the line of scrimmage, as they are at their best when they can get a push up front and wear opponents down. Some trends to note. Football Team are 8-20-1 ATS in their last 29 games following a straight up loss.Football Team are 2-6-1 ATS in their last 9 games following a ATS loss. Back Dallas. Good Luck, Razor Ray. Sunday 10* NFL ATS TOP PLAY |
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12-25-21 | Browns v. Packers OVER 46 | Top | 22-24 | Push | 0 | 18 h 56 m | Show |
Cleveland vs. Green Bay Over 46 We're on the Over here in what should be a fun game on Christmas Day. Cleveland will likely have their caravan of players back from the COVID list as they are working to finalize just a few things. Baker Mayfield will be itching to get back out and we should see him have quite the game on Saturday afternoon. Cleveland's offense has been very solid when at full strength and they can find success against this Packers secondary. As for Green Bay, Rodgers is firing on all cylinders. They will pick apart this Browns defense, that ranks near the bottom in a lot of defensive categories. Some trends to note. Over is 6-1 in Browns last 7 vs. a team with a winning record. Over is 7-0 in Packers last 7 games after scoring more than 30 points in their previous game. Back the Over. Good Luck, Razor Ray. Saturday 10* NFL O/U TOP PLAY |
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12-12-21 | 49ers -1 v. Bengals | Top | 26-23 | Win | 100 | 12 h 12 m | Show |
San Francisco -1.5 This is a nice line on the 49ers here. The Bengals come in off a loss to the Chargers in a heartbreaking game. They trailed 24-0 and nearly completed a comeback before a late turnover that cost them deeply. San Francisco has been red hot and they are starting to find their groove. With the late start, it benefits the 49ers and they should be able to find a lot of success against a defense that has struggled mightily against good teams. Some trends to note. Bengals are 3-11 ATS in their last 14 games in Week 14. Bengals are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 home games. Back San Francisco. Good Luck, Razor Ray. Sunday 10* NFL ATS TOP PLAY |
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12-05-21 | Ravens -4 v. Steelers | Top | 19-20 | Loss | -112 | 46 h 11 m | Show |
Baltimore -4 The Ravens have tremendous value in Pittsburgh. The Steelers got rocked on Sunday by the Bengals, as this team just doesn't have the firepower anymore. They were dominated in every which way and the Ravens know they can really create some space with a victory in this one. Baltimore won on SNF against the Browns despite a very struggle of a game. Still, this team finds a win and they have different players step up every night. Look for that to be the case here on Sunday. Some trends to note. Ravens are 9-2 ATS in their last 11 vs. AFC North.Ravens are 16-5 ATS in their last 21 games in December. Back Baltimore. Good Luck, Razor Ray. Sunday 10* NFL ATS TOP PLAY |
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11-28-21 | Rams v. Packers +1.5 | Top | 28-36 | Win | 100 | 41 h 56 m | Show |
Green Bay +1.5 Any time you can grab points with Aaron Rodgers, you basically have to do it. That is the case here on Sunday as they catch points at home. Rodgers and company have covered in 5 of their last 6 as underdogs and are Packers are 17-5 ATS in their last 22 games following a ATS loss. This team loves to bounce back and they can do that here on Sunday. Look for them to come out with a lot of fire and put their foot on the gas. Some trends to note. Packers are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 home games vs. a team with a winning road record. Packers are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games after allowing more than 350 total yards in their previous game. Back Green Bay. Good Luck, Razor Ray. Sunday 10* NFL ATS TOP PLAY |
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11-21-21 | Cowboys +2.5 v. Chiefs | Top | 9-19 | Loss | -100 | 14 h 9 m | Show |
Dallas +2.5 The Cowboys are worth the move here. Dallas comes in off an absolute beatdown last week over Atlanta 43-3. They got their groove back and have a healthy Dak Prescott as they look to continue their surge toward the postseason. Kansas City still is just far too inconsistent to trust. Defensively they have so many gaps and the Cowboys can expose that with their run game and passing abilities. Look for that to be the case here as Dallas has been dominant at 8-1 ATS this year. Some trends to note. Cowboys are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games in Week 11. Cowboys are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games as a road underdog. Back Dallas. Good Luck, Razor Ray. Sunday 10* NFL ATS TOP PLAY |
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11-14-21 | Seahawks +3.5 v. Packers | Top | 0-17 | Loss | -116 | 49 h 34 m | Show |
Seattle +3.5 The Seahawks are the move in this prime matchup of NFC foes. Assuming both Rogers and Wilson are back here, this is going to be one of the best games on the slate. We know Wilson was given the green light and has been full go in practice. The Hawks sit at just 3-5 with a ton of work to do. The good news is that time is on their side with more than half the season remaining. Wilson will come out here and really look to make a statement. Expect him to open things up and utilize both his legs and arm as he will try to will on his team and get the Seahawks back in the playoff race. Some trends to note. Seahawks are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games overall. Seahawks are 8-2-1 ATS in their last 11 games in Week 10. Back Seattle. Good Luck, Razor Ray. Sunday 10* NFL ATS TOP PLAY |
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10-31-21 | Bucs -4.5 v. Saints | Top | 27-36 | Loss | -106 | 39 h 35 m | Show |
Tampa Bay -4.5 The Bucs are worth a nice move here on Sunday. They go into New Orleans laying a small number after dismantling the Bears last week. This offense is easily one of the tops, if not the top, in the league as Brady is just threading secondaries. That will be the case here as the Saints defense struggles against the pass. Look for Brady and this offense to dictate a lot here, as the Saints just do not have enough firepower to keep up. Some trends to note. Buccaneers are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 vs. NFC South. Buccaneers are 4-1 ATS vs. a team with a winning record. Back Tampa Bay. Good Luck, Razor Ray. Sunday 10* NFL ATS TOP Play |
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10-24-21 | Colts +4 v. 49ers | Top | 30-18 | Win | 100 | 55 h 55 m | Show |
Indianapolis +4 The Colts have the value here on Sunday Night Football. Fading Kyle Shanahan has been profittable as of late when he's laying more than a field goal. In such situations, he has gone just 5-12-1 ATS. The Colts offense has been playing well with Carson Wentz as he has put up 6 touchdowns and 0 interceptions of the last 3 games. With the 49ers battling injuries, the Colts have the chance to really control the tempo of this game and expose some of the missing pieces San Francisco is without. Some trends to note. Colts are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games in Week 7. Colts are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games in October. Back Indianapolis. Good Luck, Razor Ray. Sunday 10* NFL ATS TOP PLAY |
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10-10-21 | Packers -2.5 v. Bengals | Top | 25-22 | Win | 100 | 36 h 5 m | Show |
Green Bay -2.5 The Packers and Aaron Rodgers have tremendous value here on Sunday. Cincinnati is getting a lot of respect and while it is warranted, they still have a lot of flaws. That is not something you want to have when you're welcoming in a red hot Green Bay team. Aaron Rodgers and company are doing whatever they want offensively. They come in off a blowout win over Pittsburgh in a game where the final score doesn't indicate actually how much they dominated. They should be able to out fire this Bengals offense, that had their hands full with Jacksonville last week. Some trends to note. Packers are 4-1 ATS vs. a team with a winning record. Packers are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games overall. Back Green Bay. Good Luck, Razor Ray. Sunday 10* NFL ATS TOP PLAY |
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10-03-21 | Chiefs -7 v. Eagles | Top | 42-30 | Win | 107 | 50 h 6 m | Show |
Kansas City -7 This is a huge bounce back spot for KC. They've lost back to back games and they are going to take some anger out in this one. After a dramatic loss to Baltimore, they followed that up with a heartbreaking loss to the Chargers last week. They could have easily won both, but regardless of that, they get a look at an Eagles team that was dismantled last week. They are at a low right now and will have zero confidence against the Chiefs team on both sides of the ball. Expect Kansas City to come out firing and keep their foot on the gas. Some trends to note. Eagles are 3-8-1 ATS in their last 12 games in Week 4. Eagles are 3-9 ATS in their last 12 games when playing on Sunday following a Monday night game. Back Kansas City. Good Luck, Razor Ray. Sunday 10* NFL ATS TOP PLAY |
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09-26-21 | Bucs -120 v. Rams | Top | 24-34 | Loss | -120 | 52 h 17 m | Show |
Tampa Bay -120 We're on the Bucs here Sunday in LA. LA is destination site for a lot of fans. You will typically see a giant majority of the crowd be for the away team and Tampa Bay's fan base is certainly one that travels well for this team. The Bucs come in 2-0 this season as Brady has just been on another level. They've done it with success on both sides of the ball and the Rams will have their hands full every which way here. Stafford will struggle with throwing against this secondary, while the Bucs offense should be able to move the ball on this Rams defense. Some trends to note. Buccaneers are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 road games vs. a team with a winning home record. Buccaneers are 4-0 ATS vs. a team with a winning record. Back Tampa Bay ML. Good Luck, Razor Ray. Sunday 10* NFL ML TOP PLAY |
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09-19-21 | Bills -3 v. Dolphins | Top | 35-0 | Win | 100 | 45 h 25 m | Show |
Buffalo -3 This is a bounce back spot for Buffalo. After blowing the game late to Pittsburgh in Week 1, they have to respond here in Miami. There has been a ton of hype around the Bills and Josh Allen will be able to pick apart this Miami defense. Look for him to come out firing, as this offense can move the ball with ease when he is on his game. Combine that fact with the defense already looking better and this Bills should have no panic after last weeks loss. Some trends to note. Bills are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 road games. Bills are 9-3 ATS in their last 12 games overall. Back Buffalo. Good Luck, Razor Ray. Sunday 10* NFL ATS TOP PLAY |
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09-12-21 | Packers -3.5 v. Saints | Top | 3-38 | Loss | -100 | 64 h 53 m | Show |
Green Bay -3.5 The Packers have tremendous value here in New Orleans on Sunday.The Saints begin an era post Drew Brees as Jameis Winston will be calling the shots now. Overall, the Saints just have a lot of issues on both sides of the ball entering their 2021 campaign. The Packers meanwhile, know that Aaron Rodgers isn't going anywhere, for now at least. Rodgers was at the center of all the rumors this offseason and he will be out to really put together a solid season following the drama. Green Bay is just too talented in this spot. It'll take some time for the Saints to find their identity, which is a recipe for disaster when you're starting off against this kind of team. Some trends to note. Packers are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games in Week 1. Packers are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games in September. Back Green Bay. Good Luck, Razor Ray. Sunday 10* NFL ATS TOP Play |
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02-07-21 | Chiefs v. Bucs OVER 55.5 | Top | 9-31 | Loss | -113 | 39 h 20 m | Show |
Kansas City vs. Tampa Bay Over Superbowl Sunday is upon us and the Over has nice value to work with. These two teams have been clicking on all cylinders as of late, especially on the offensive side. Kansas City had little issues with the tough Bills defense last time out, while Tom Brady and company have just been picking apart opposing secondaries. Both teams are right around the 30 points per game mark this season and that should translate into a lot of scoring chances on Sunday. Look for both teams to go back and forth all night long given the weapons they have in the backfields and out wide. Some trends to note. Over is 4-1 in Chiefs last 5 games after allowing more than 350 total yards in their previous game. Over is 4-0 in Buccaneers last 4 games following a ATS win. Back the Over. Good Luck, Razor Ray. Sunday 10* NFL O/U TOP PLAY 2 FREE PROP BETS! Leonard Fournette Over 3.5 Receptions "Playoff Lenny" is what everyone is calling him these days. He is a huge piece to this Tampa Bay offense. Tom Brady loves to find him on check downs as well. Look for him to be a prime target in short yardage situations or just in general as he has the ability to pick up a lot of yards after contact. QB Tom Brady OVER 295.5 passing yards This is going to be a game where points are scored in bunches. Brady has been throwing the ball all over the field against opposing secondaries as of late. Given how close this one could be, Tampa Bay will need him to do a little bit more than usual as this one could turn into a shootout. |
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01-24-21 | Bills v. Chiefs -3 | Top | 24-38 | Win | 100 | 9 h 58 m | Show |
Kansas City -3 The Chiefs are the move in the AFC Championship on Sunday. Kansas City squeaked by Cleveland last week, but that should have an asterisk by it. Mahomes went out with a concussion in a blowout and had he not got injured, who knows what would have happened. Still, they found a way to win and Mahomes has been cleared to battle on Sunday. He has the Chiefs moving the ball with ease as they just have way too many weapons. Look for them to come out firing here against the Bills in a game where Buffalo just doesn't have the capacity to slow them down. Some trends to note. Chiefs are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games after accumulating more than 350 total yards in their previous game.Chiefs are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 home games vs. a team with a winning road record. Back Kansas City. Good Luck, Razor Ray. Sunday 10* NFL ATS TOP PLAY |
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01-16-21 | Rams v. Packers -6.5 | Top | 18-32 | Win | 100 | 15 h 54 m | Show |
Green Bay -6.5 The Packers have tremendous value on Saturday. The Rams come in off a win over the Seahawks, who just weren't as good as they've been in the past. They will have a banged up Jared Goff taking snaps, which is not going to be ideal for them. The Packers and Aaron Rodgers are rolling right now. They have dominated as of late and are rolling offensively. The Rams simply can't keep up in a shootout. On top of that, the Rams come into a cold weather place. Things aren't going to be easy for them on the field at all and then you combine the weather and everything sits against them here. Some trends to note. Packers are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 playoff games as a favorite. Packers are 10-4 ATS vs. a team with a winning record. Back Green Bay. Good Luck, Razor Ray. Saturday 10* NFL ATS TOP PLAY |
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01-09-21 | Rams v. Seahawks -3 | Top | 30-20 | Loss | -108 | 18 h 14 m | Show |
Seattle -3 This line is interesting. It keeps going down while the news about Goff becomes more and more cloudy. Regardless if he plays or not we still are on the Seahawks. Seattle has been playing with a lot of confidence and Russell Wilson is in the midst of a nice run. The Hawks can run the ball right at opponents and have Wilson beat teams with his arm or legs. They knocked off Los Angeles in Seattle a few weeks ago and should be able to have their way once again here. Some trends to note. Rams are 4-10 ATS in their last 14 meetings in Seattle. Seahawks are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 Wildcard games. Pete Carroll is a great playoff backing. Back Seattle. Good Luck, Razor Ray. Saturday 10* NFL ATS TOP PLAY |
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12-26-20 | Dolphins v. Raiders OVER 47.5 | Top | 26-25 | Win | 100 | 79 h 31 m | Show |
Miami vs. Las Vegas Over 47.5 The Over here has nice value on Saturday night. Both of these defenses have had their issues as of late. Looking at Las Vegas first, they rank near the bottom in almost every defensive category. They have been torched by the Colts and Chargers in back to back weeks and now will have to deal with a Miami offense that is starting to become very consistent with putting drives together. Because of how bad their defense has been, offensively Las Vegas has had to put try and strike with some big plays. Even if Mariota is running the show Saturday, he proved last Thursday that he can lead this offense to some scoring chances. Some trends to note. Over is 6-0 in the last 6 meetings. Over is 7-0-1 in Raiders last 8 games as a home underdog. Back the Over. Good Luck, Razor Ray. Saturday 10* NFL O/U TOP PLAY |
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12-13-20 | Steelers +2 v. Bills | Top | 15-26 | Loss | -102 | 20 h 14 m | Show |
Pittsburgh +2 The Steelers have value grabbing the points. Pittsburgh endured their first loss of the season in shocking fashion to the Washington Football Team last week. After back to back struggles of performances, this is a game where they can really go out and prove themselves. On national TV against a top tier opponent, they will have the chance to really put a stamp on their name and wrap up the division title. Look for them to open the playbook a bit more offensively and be aggressive, which is something they have lacked in recent weeks. Some trends to note. Steelers are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 vs. AFC. Steelers are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games after allowing less than 15 points in their previous game. Back Pittsburgh. Good Luck, Razor Ray. Sunday 10* NFL ATS TOP PLAY |
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12-06-20 | Eagles v. Packers -7.5 | Top | 16-30 | Win | 100 | 6 h 55 m | Show |
Green Bay -9 The Packers have value laying the number. The Eagles are just a fade team here. They are an offense that has just been flat out awful this season. Carson Wentz even said it himself after their loss to Seattle that he takes the blame for their offensive woes. That is not something you want to hear when you're taking on Aaron Rodgers and company. The Packers feed off lower tier competitors and this is a matchup that the Eagles simply cannot keep up. Look for Rodgers to wear this defense down and really have the Eagles in scramble mode all day. Some trends to note. Packers are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games in Week 13. Packers are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 vs. NFC. Back Green Bay. Good Luck, Razor Ray. Sunday 10* NFL ATS TOP Play |
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11-19-20 | Cardinals v. Seahawks OVER 56.5 | Top | 21-28 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 28 m | Show |
Arizona vs. Seattle Over 56.5 TNF gives us a nice treat of a rematch that had a lot of twists and turns last time these two teams met. It was an overtime thriller that featured almost no defense, which is something we can expect here. Seattle has not been able to stop anyone. They rank 32nd in various offensive categories and have given up 30 points per game. However, they are who they are thanks to their number 1 ranked scoring offense in the NFL. Arizona is right there offensively with them. The Cardinals and Kyler Murray haven't been able to be slowed down and they should have just as much success as they did the last time these two teams met. Some trends to note. Over is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings in Seattle. Over is 19-7-1 in Cardinals last 27 games in November. Back the Over. Good Luck, Razor ray. Thursday 10* NFL O/U TOP PLAY |
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11-15-20 | 49ers v. Saints -9.5 | Top | 13-27 | Win | 100 | 8 h 38 m | Show |
New Orleans -9.5 Laying the number with the Saints is a nice move on Sunday. The 49ers are just a mess. They have piled up injury after injury and this team just doesn't have the firepower to compete. We saw that when they took on the Packers and were knocked around from start to finish. Now, they must deal with the dome and Drew Brees, who has his main target back. Michael Thomas presence alone just makes a huge difference. This Saints offense is rolling right now and should be able to dictate just about whatever they want here on Sunday. Some trends to note. Saints are 5-1 ATS vs. a team with a losing record. 49ers are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games after allowing more than 250 yards passing in their previous game. Back New Orleans. Good Luck, Razor Ray. Sunday 10* NFL ATS TOP PLAY |
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11-08-20 | Saints +4.5 v. Bucs | Top | 38-3 | Win | 100 | 13 h 14 m | Show |
New Orleans +4 The Saints have tremendous value. This is the game they have been waiting for. Not only do they get a chance at Brady and the Bucs, but they return to nearly full power. Michael Thomas is expected to be ready to go here, for the first time all season. Thomas is the key to this offense, as Brees goes when he goes. Look for New Orleans to have a groove early here offensively, which will cause a lot of issues for this Bucs team. Some trends to note. Saints are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games in Week 9. Saints are 20-6 ATS in their last 26 games as an underdog. This is a prime spot. Grab the points. Back New Orleans. Good Luck, Razor Ray. Sunday 10* NFL ATS TOP PLAY |
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09-20-20 | Patriots v. Seahawks -4 | Top | 30-35 | Win | 100 | 19 h 13 m | Show |
Seattle -4 While the Patriots new look got a win in Week 1, this is going to be a much different matchup. Seattle is a far more superior opponent than Miami and the Seahawks have a ton of momentum to build off of. The Seahawks took it to the Falcons on the road last week as they put up 38 points in the victory. They clicked on all cylinders and were able to wear the Falcons down, which is something they should be able to do here. Cam Newton and this offense still lacks a spark and we should see them struggle to keep up here. Lay the points. Back Seattle. Good Luck, Razor Ray. Sunday 10* NFL ATS Play |
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01-19-20 | Titans v. Chiefs -7 | Top | 24-35 | Win | 100 | 46 h 20 m | Show |
Kansas City -7 The Chiefs (13 - 4) took over last week affect going down 24-0 to the Texans. Now they face a Titans team that is in off back to back upsets. However, this is not a great matchup for them with how well the Chiefs have been playing on both sides of the ball. Granted the Chiefs went down big early, but the defense wasn't responsible for the blocked punt TD and they held the Texans down for a majority of the final 3 quarters. Combine that with how well this offense is rolling and Patrick Mahomes is going to make too big of an impact here. Except him to roll over this defense on Sunday. Some trends to note. Chiefs are 6-0-1 ATS in their last 7 games overall. Chiefs are 21-6 ATS in their last 27 games after allowing more than 250 yards passing in their previous game. Back Kansas City. Good Luck, Razor Ray. Sunday 10* NFL ATS TOP PLAY |
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01-11-20 | Titans v. Ravens -9.5 | Top | 28-12 | Loss | -110 | 27 h 58 m | Show |
Baltimore -10 This is a big number, but don't shy away from it here on Saturday night on the Ravens 14-2 (10-5-1 ATS). Baltimore has a huge edge over this Titans 10-7 (10-7 ATS) team and they should be able to really do as they please. Tennessee upset New England during Wild Card Weekend in a game where they really didn't play well. Offensively, they struggled all night long and you simply cannot have that against a team like Baltimore. Expect Jackson and company to really push the tempo on Tennessee and have their defense on their heels all night long. Some trends to note. Ravens are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 home games.Ravens are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 games in January. Baltimore can control this game from the outset. Expect them to do that and for Tannehill to struggle against this defense. Back Baltimore. Good Luck, Razor Ray. Saturday 10* NFL ATS TOP PLAY. (I also have a free play posted on the TOTAL in this one) |
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01-04-20 | Titans v. Patriots -4.5 | Top | 20-13 | Loss | -110 | 31 h 15 m | Show |
New England -5 The lack of respect the Pats are getting is phenomenal. New England endured an up and down year for sure, but still managed to win 12 games overall. Now, they come in off an embarrassing loss to the Miami Dolphins that costed them a bye and you have to expect Bill Belichick is going to be furious. Look for him to have this team fired up and ready to go on Saturday. A home playoff game for New England is always tough to deal with for opposing teams and under the lights makes it way worse. Brady and company will have this offense rolling and the defense will find it's form in a game that New England has the ability to dominate. Expect them to set the tone early here against Tennessee and not allow anything easy for them. Some trends to note. Patriots are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games in January. Patriots are 4-0-1 ATS in their last 5 Saturday games. Back New England. Good Luck, Razor Ray. Saturday 10* NFL ATS TOP PLAY |
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12-22-19 | Chiefs -6 v. Bears | Top | 26-3 | Win | 100 | 34 h 17 m | Show |
Kansas City -6 The Chiefs have huge value on Sunday Night Football in Chicago. The Bears come in off a loss to the Packers as they really haven't been able to prove much against good teams. Now, they have to face this offense that is just so tough to slow down and Kansas City is red hot right now. They have won 4 in a row and offensively are just torching opposing secondaries. Look for Mahomes and company to continue that trend and pick apart this Bears defense, that struggled mightily with Aaron Rodgers last week. Some trends to note. Chiefs are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games overall. Chiefs are 20-8-1 ATS in their last 29 road games. Back Kansas City. Good Luck, Razor Ray. Sunday 10* NFL ATS TOP PLAY |
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12-08-19 | Seahawks +1 v. Rams | Top | 12-28 | Loss | -104 | 58 h 41 m | Show |
Seattle +1 The Seahawks travel into Los Angeles for Sunday Night Football and the visitors have value. Seattle and primetime games just go together like a match made in heaven. Russell Wilson and Pete Carroll are amongst the best in NFL history when it comes to stand alone prime time events. Grabbing a point with them against a very skittish Rams team is a very nice move. Seattle comes in 10-2 as they battle for the top spot in the NFC. They've rattled off 5 wins in a row since their loss to the Ravens and they're doing it with solid play on both sides of the ball. With the struggles the Rams have had offensively, they simply do not have the firepower to keep up with a Seahawks offense that is really clicking right now. Some trends to note. Seahawks are 6-2 ATS vs. a team with a winning record. Seahawks are 25-11-1 ATS in their last 37 games in December. Back Seattle. Good Luck, Razor Ray. Sunday 10* NFL ATS TOP PLAY |
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12-01-19 | Packers -6 v. Giants | Top | 31-13 | Win | 100 | 13 h 40 m | Show |
Green Bay -6 This number has dipped below 7 and it has tremendous value. Green Bay was embarrassed by San Francisco on Sunday Night Football last week and this is a huge bounce back spot here. The Packers and Aaron Rodgers always respond to losses in a big way. This is the perfect opponent as the Giants are a mess. New York has been a rollercoaster all season long and Daniel Jones turnover issues are a big deal. Look for the Packers to take advantage here and really control this game from the outset. The Packers' defense will give Rodgers and company the ball with good field position and set them up all night long. Some trends to note. Packers are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games following a straight up loss.Packers are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games following a ATS loss. Back Green Bay. Good Luck, Razor Ray. Sunday 10* NFL ATS TOP PLAY |
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11-24-19 | Seahawks +1.5 v. Eagles | Top | 17-9 | Win | 100 | 49 h 46 m | Show |
Seattle +1.5 The Seahawks have value grabbing the small number on Sunday. Seattle has won 3 in a row, which includes a victory over the then undefeated 49ers. Seattle has proven they can handle the road contests as they come into Sunday a perfect 5-0 away from home. In those 5 games, the Seahawks have averaged 28.2 points per game compared to the 21 they've given up. Along with that, they have had a lot of success against the Eagles in the recent past. They've covered in the last 4 games overall in this series and are 4-0 ATS in the last 4 meetings in Philadelphia. Some trends to note here. Seahawks are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games after allowing less than 90 yards rushing in their previous game.Seahawks are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 road games. Back Seattle. Good Luck, Razor Ray. Sunday 10* NFL ATS TOP PLAY |
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11-17-19 | Falcons v. Panthers -4 | Top | 29-3 | Loss | -108 | 48 h 41 m | Show |
Carolina -4 The public has really pounded the Falcons since the opening number and this is a great spot to fade them here. The Falcons come in off their most impressive showing of the season last week as they took down the Saints on the road as a huge underdog. However, the overreaction here works in our favor. Carolina is a very tough team to crack. The Panthers Christian McCaffrey obviously has a lot to do with that as he is one of the most explosive players in the NFL. QB Kyle Allen also got a huge boost of confidence as the Panthers made it very clear that this is his team moving forward. The Panthers offense will be too much for the Falcons to handle, combined with the Carolina defense being very tough to beat with the pass. Some trends to note. Falcons are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games following a straight up win.Falcons are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games in Week 11. Back Carolina. Good Luck, Razor Ray. Sunday 10* NFL ATS TOP PLAY |
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11-03-19 | Vikings v. Chiefs | Top | 23-26 | Loss | -125 | 43 h 33 m | Show |
Minnesota -1 The Vikings have value at this low of a number here. Minnesota's offenses has been rolling with Kirk Cousins calling the shots. The Vikings come into this one winners of 4 straight and they're doing it with dominant offensive performances. Cousins and company are moving the ball consistently, coming up with big plays, and really working to get themselves into some small third down situations. On top of the offense working, they still might not even see QB Patrick Mahomes here. He continues to rehab his knee injury and is while he hasn't been ruled out yet, even if he is rushed into this game, he certainly won't be at 100%. That plays into the value of Minnesota, who are also refreshed from a bye week. Some trends to note. Vikings are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games following a ATS loss. Vikings are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games in November. Back Minnesota. Good Luck, Razor Ray. Sunday 10* NFL ATS TOP PLAY |
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10-17-19 | Chiefs -3 v. Broncos | Top | 30-6 | Win | 100 | 21 h 59 m | Show |
Kansas City -3 The Chiefs have struggled thus far after a nice start and the market has overreacted some. They lay just 3 points here and have tons of value against a team they've dominated. Kansas City has won 7 straight over Denver and they've covered in 6 of those games. We're also going to get a Kansas City team that is fired up and hungry. They have dropped back to back games after a 4-0 start and they know they are certainly better than what they've shown. This is case where they can really overpower a Denver team that can't keep up. Denver puts up only 17.7 points per game and that won't cut it against this high powered offense ran by Mahomes. Some trends to note. Chiefs are 14-4 ATS in their last 18 vs. AFC West. Chiefs are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games after allowing more than 30 points in their previous game. This is a statement game for KC. On national tv, a bounce back is a must. Back Kansas City. Good Luck, Razor Ray. Thursday 10* NFL ATS TOP PLAY |
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09-29-19 | Cowboys -2.5 v. Saints | Top | 10-12 | Loss | -110 | 56 h 22 m | Show |
Dallas Cowboys -2.5 The Cowboys and Saints clash on Sunday Night Football and the visitors have value at his number. The Saints raised a few eye brows last week with their blowout win over the Seahawks on the road with Teddy Bridgewater. However, the Seahawks have been sketchy on the defensive end all season long and this Cowboys team is certainly a step up. Dallas will be much more prepared for what Bridgewater brings. Along with that, this Dallas offense is one of the best in the league. With Prescott and Elliot running the show, they have the ability to beat teams through the air and on the ground. Look for them to have this Saints defense off balanced all night long. Some trends to note. Cowboys are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games after accumulating more than 350 total yards in their previous game.Cowboys are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games after scoring more than 30 points in their previous game. With Brees out and the Cowboys rolling, this one favors Dallas. Back Dallas. Good Luck, Razor Ray. Sunday 10* NFL ATS TOP PLAY |
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09-22-19 | Rams -3 v. Browns | Top | 20-13 | Win | 100 | 57 h 5 m | Show |
Los Angeles -3 The Rams are worthy of a big move here on Sunday Night Football. While Cleveland will be rocking as this is a highly anticipated game, the Browns as a whole have not looked good this season. Cleveland was demolished by what now is a 1-2 Titans team and while they grabbed a win last Monday night, it was far from pretty against a Jets team that has just about no one healthy. Running into Jared Goff and the Rams is not ideal for them in this spot. Goff and company not only boast one of the best offenses in the NFL, but defensively they have been really solid. They are giving up just 18 points per game and have made life miserable for Cam Newton, Drew Brees, and Teddy Bridgewater thus far. Expect them to continue that trend with Baker Mayfield on Sunday. Some trends to note. Rams are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games overall. Rams are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games following a straight up win. Back Los Angeles. Good Luck, Razor Ray. Sunday 10* NFL ATS TOP PLAY |
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02-03-19 | Patriots v. Rams OVER 56.5 | Top | 13-3 | Loss | -101 | 97 h 8 m | Show |
New England vs. Los Angeles Over 56.5 The Superbowl is set for Sunday and the Over here has great value. Both of these offenses have the ability to really strike. You get two of the top QBs in the game, along with the two of the best supporting casts around. The Rams offensively have been a threat all season long. They have put up 32.4 points per game on the season as they just have so many weapons that can hit you. From Jared Goff's arm to Todd Gurley on the ground, they can really open secondaries up. As for the Patriots, you know exactly what you're getting with them. Tom Brady continues to prove time and time again that he is in his own class. They come at you from all angles and should find a lot of success against this Rams defense. Some trends to note. Over is 9-3 in Rams last 12 games after allowing less than 90 yards rushing in their previous game. Over is 7-1 in Patriots last 8 playoff games. Expect an entertaining one here. Back the Over. Good Luck, Razor Ray. Sunday 10* NFL O/U TOP PLAY James White Over 55.5 receiving yards (-110) This is a nicely valued prop. The Rams know they have to find a way to try and put pressure on Tom Brady. They did just that against the Saints and we saw Alvin Kamara have 96 yards on 11 receptions. Look for the same to happen here for White, as we should see a lot of dump offs, swing passes, and designed plays for White knowing the blitz is coming. Brandin Cooks Over 5.5 receptions (+110) Two factors go into this one. The Rams will be passing the ball a lot, especially if they go down in this one. Along with that, the Rams main target remains on the sidelines due to injury, which has given Cooks the ability to step up and be Goff's number 1 target. |
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01-20-19 | Rams v. Saints OVER 56 | Top | 26-23 | Loss | -110 | 101 h 27 m | Show |
Los Angeles vs. New Orleans Over 56 With the weather not playing a factor here, this Over has tremendous value. We've already seen both these teams clash this season and it went as expected. Both the Rams and Saints went back and forth in a game where the offenses dominated. Eventually, it was the Saints who came away with a 45-35 victory. Expect similar results here as both these offenses haven't missed a beat since that meeting. Both offenses have the ability to hit the big ball on any play and play with some pace. With both averaging over 30 points per game, expect the playbooks to be opened up even more here. Some trends to note. Over is 5-1 in the last 6 meetings in New Orleans. Over is 9-4 in the last 13 meetings. Expect a back and forth game. Back the Over. Good Luck, Razor Ray. Sunday 10* NFL O/U TOP PLAY |
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01-12-19 | Cowboys v. Rams OVER 49 | Top | 22-30 | Win | 100 | 126 h 36 m | Show |
Dallas vs. Los Angeles Over 49 The Cowboys and Rams clash on Saturday night and this Over has tremendous value. The Cowboys showcased they are certainly going to be a team that can compete with anyone now. After a slow start to the season, they have found their groove as this offense is rolling. The combination of the run game and deep ball has been the recipe to success for them lately. They'll need a lot of that here as they take on a Rams team that can score and score quickly. Los Angeles has averaged 32.9 points per game this year as Goff and company have lit up opposing secondaries. Look for them to really take their chances here again, as they should be able to have a lot of success against this secondary. Some trends to note. Over is 12-5 in Rams last 17 games after allowing more than 350 total yards in their previous game. Over is 7-1 in Cowboys last 8 games after accumulating more than 350 total yards in their previous game. The value here, with both of these offenses, certainly makes this worthy of a big play. Back the Over. Good Luck, Razor Ray. Saturday 10* NFL O/U Play |
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01-06-19 | Chargers +3 v. Ravens | Top | 23-17 | Win | 100 | 86 h 31 m | Show |
Los Angeles +3 Grabbing the key number is a huge advantage here. First off, the Ravens needed a lot to sneak by in the AFC North this season. Lamar Jackson has made quite the storm here in his early tenure, but this defense is looking to bounce back in a big way against him. The Ravens offense got the Chargers defense for 22 points and this will be a game where the scheme changes completely. Look for the Chargers to cause a lot of issues for Jackson and the offense, resulting in some tough decisions for the rookie on the big stage. Some trends to note. Chargers are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 playoff games. Chargers are 21-8-1 ATS in their last 30 road games. Grab the points. Back Los Angeles. Good Luck, Razor Ray. Sunday 10* NFL ATS TOP Play |
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12-16-18 | Patriots v. Steelers OVER 51.5 | Top | 10-17 | Loss | -110 | 77 h 37 m | Show |
New England vs. Pittsburgh Over 52 This is a very nice spot for both offenses here. Both teams come in off shocking defeats last week. We saw the Patriots lose on a last second hail mary miracle play, where 3 laterals were involved in the loss. As for Pittsburgh, a blocked field goal resulted in a huge upset loss in Oakland. We will see two very angry offenses, who will come out firing here. You know what you'll get from both these teams. With Brady and Roethlisberger, both offenses will look to sling it over the field and pick apart the opposing secondary. Expect both teams to take plenty of shots down field, really benefiting this Over here. Some trends to note. Over is 13-5 in Steelers last 18 games on grass. Over is 51-25 in Patriots last 76 games after scoring more than 30 points in their previous game. Look for plenty of big time plays from both sides here. Back the Over. Good Luck, Razor Ray. Sunday 10* NFL O/U TOP PLAY |
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10-07-18 | Jaguars +3 v. Chiefs | Top | 14-30 | Loss | -117 | 50 h 31 m | Show |
Jacksonville +3 We're fading the Chiefs here on Sunday afternoon. Kansas City has came out of the gates firing on all cylinders. This team is very talented, but they're going to run into a defense here that has a lot of talent and can certainly cause a lot of issues for them. Jacksonville led the league in sacks last season and so far they are leading the league in a lot of different categories. The Jags have been holding the opposition to just 14 points per game and only 259.3 yards per game this season. They have yet to allow more than 220 yards per game this season through the air, which is exactly the recipe they need to slow this team down. Some trends to note. Jaguars are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games overall. Jaguars are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a winning home record. Jacksonville will come out with a purpose here and really look to cause a lot of issues in the backfield. With that in mind, they are worth a big play here. Back Jacksonville. Good Luck, Razor Ray. Sunday 10* NFL ATS TOP Play |
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09-16-18 | Patriots v. Jaguars | Top | 20-31 | Loss | -103 | 63 h 51 m | Show |
New England Patriots -103 The Patriots and Jags battle on Sunday in a rematch of an epic playoff matchup last season. Any time you can get the Pats at this kind of price, it's certainly worth the move. New England QB Tom Brady has made quite the legacy for himself and he added to that legacy last year against Jacksonville. Brady threw a pair of touchdowns late in the 4th quarter to advance the Patriots, while Jacksonville was left wondering what could have been. Coming into this one, New England's offense has plenty of momentum. The Pats had 3 first quarter touchdowns from Brady in their 27-20 win over the Texans in Week 1. New England had plenty to take away from the win as this offense looks like they're in midseason form. Some trends to note. Patriots are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games in Week 2. Patriots are 10-1 ATS in their last 11 games on grass. Tom Brady is 8-0 in his career against Jacksonville. This is certainly worth a nice move. Back New England. Good Luck, Razor Ray. Sunday 10* NFL ML TOP PLAY |
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12-07-17 | Saints v. Falcons OVER 51 | Top | 17-20 | Loss | -110 | 20 h 58 m | Show |
New Orleans vs. Atlanta Over 51 Two QBs who love to play in domes meet as the Saints and Falcons go at it. Here, it's simply two explosive offenses that have QBs who can heave the ball deep down field. Looking into the Saints first, Drew Brees leads an offense that is putting up 29.4 points per game. Brees himself has tossed for 3298 yards and added 17 touchdowns to his credit. This New Orleans offense can strike at any time with Brees' arm and he'll have the chance to feel almost right at home with the dome above him. Matt Ryan isn't too far behind him. Ryan and the Flacons have put up less points, but with his weapons around him, there is always a chance for a big play. It starts with Julio Jones, who is one of the best receivers in the NFL. Ryan and Jones have built a connection where they can hit anywhere, which adds a lot of value to this over in terms of scoring quickly. Some trends to note. Over is 6-2 in Saints last 8 vs. a team with a winning record. Over is 6-1-1 in Falcons last 8 vs. NFC South. Expect a ton of action here. Back the Over. Good Luck, Razor Ray. Thursday 10* NFL O/U TOP PLAY |
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11-05-17 | Chiefs v. Cowboys | Top | 17-28 | Win | 100 | 56 h 14 m | Show |
Dallas PK The Cowboys are in a nice spot here on Sunday and this is a valuable line. Dallas was just given word that running back Ezekiel Elliot will be granted stay for Sunday here in this one. That adds a huge impact to this already impressive Dallas offense. Elliot has been on a different level over the past two games, rushing for 297 yards and four touchdowns. His abilities open a whole new gameplan for this Dallas offense. It allows Prescott to open the pass game up, which is a very dangerous one considering the weapons he has to work with. WR Dez Bryant has 4 touchdowns on the season, as he is one of the biggest threats throughout the entire NFL. If Elliot gets going early, expect Prescott and Bryant to have a field day as gaps should open up in this secondary. Some trends to note. Cowboys are 9-3-1 ATS in their last 13 games after accumulating more than 150 yards rushing in their previous game.Cowboys are 10-4 ATS in their last 14 games following a ATS win. Dallas is at a nice line here, especially given the status of Zeke. Back Dallas. Good Luck, Razor Ray. Sunday 10* NFL ATS TOP PLAY Play |
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10-22-17 | Bengals v. Steelers -5 | Top | 14-29 | Win | 100 | 79 h 37 m | Show |
Pittsburgh Steelers -5 AFC North rivals clash as the Pittsburgh Steelers and Cincinnati Bengals go at it on Sunday. Pittsburgh may finally be 100% back on track after last weeks performance. The Steelers went into KC and had some very timely offensive plays, as well as just solid defense all around in an outright win over the Chiefs. Pittsburgh has leaned on that defense all season long, as they are giving up just 17 points per game. Total yards wise, they rank 3rd in the NFL, conceding only 272 yards. The Steelers defense has the ability to get off the field on 3rd downs and they continue to get the ball back into the offenses hands and allow them to control the tempo of games. Le'Veon Bell is starting to find it as well, rushing for 550 yards and 4 touchdowns so far. The Bengals offense is putting up just 16.8 points per game themselves. Dalton and company just haven't found it yet and that doesn't bode well for them heading into Pittsburgh Sunday. Some trends to note. Bengals are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 meetings in Pittsburgh.Bengals are 7-19-2 ATS in their last 28 meetings. The Steelers have dominated this series. Given that, they have a lot of value at this number. Back Pittsburgh. Good Luck, Razor Ray. Sunday 10* NFL ATS TOP PLAY |
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12-06-15 | Seahawks -1.5 v. Vikings | Top | 38-7 | Win | 100 | 26 h 30 m | Show |
Seattle Seahawks ATS Seattle heads into Minnesota for a Sunday showdown with major playoff implications for both teams on the line. For Seattle, they've snuck into a Wild Card spot, but need to string together some wins here in order to hold on. The Seahawks looked impressive last week as they dropped 39 on the Pittsburgh Steelers. The Hawks offense is rolling right now behind Russell Wilson and Thomas Rawls. Wilson comes in very high after throwing for 345 yards and 5 touchdowns against Pittsburgh. Rawls has been just as good as Marshawn Lynch, maybe even better, as he's ran for 290 yards and 2 TDs over the last 2 games. Don't look into the loss of Jimmy Graham too much here. He wasn't nothing but a mere blocker in this offense and the offense won't have any problems without him here. The Seahawks defense will certainly have the game plan in this one. Stack the box and stop the run. Seattle has struggled against the pass, but with Minnesota being a run first team, this is the perfect scenario to really stop Minnesota. Don't expect Minnesota to keep up with the scoring in this one. Seattle is just too strong and too fast for the Vikings here. It's December and that means time for the Seahawks to hit their stride. Seahawks are 14-3-1 ATS in their last 18 games in December & 15-5-1 ATS in their last 21 road games vs. a team with a winning home record, plus they're 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games in Week 13. Back Seattle ATS. Good Luck, Razor Ray. Sunday 10* NFL TOP PLAY |
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10-22-15 | Seattle Seahawks -6.5 v. San Francisco 49ers | Top | 20-3 | Win | 100 | 14 h 19 m | Show |
Seattle Seahawks ATS Seattle travels to San Francisco for Thursday Night Football and with the Seahawks laying just 6.5 here, this has TREMENDOUS value. Situationally, the Seahawks come in here needing a win. They coughed up a late lead last week against the Panthers, which followed a collapse against the Bengals. While both losses should have been wins, they came against a pair of undefeated teams in the NFL. Offensively, TE Jimmy Graham is coming off his best performance in a Seahawks uniform and if he contributes the way he did last game, this Hawks offense is so much better. Graham caught 8 receptions for 140 yards. RB Marshawn Lynch was also able to get his legs back underneath him as he missed two games with a hamstring injury. He can be expected to have a much quicker step in this one as he's shaken the rust off after last game. Seattle has also had the 49ers number. Seattle has won 5 of 6 head-to-head meetings and held San Francisco to just 10 points combined in the 2 meetings last year. 49ers QB Colin Kaepernick is just 1-5 in his career against Seattle. Expect Seattle to come out with fire in their eyes on both sides of the ball as they send a message with a giant win on Thursday. Back Seattle ATS. Good Luck, Razor Ray. Thursday 10* NFL ATS TOP PLAY |
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10-23-14 | San Diego Chargers +8 v. Denver Broncos | Top | 21-35 | Loss | -110 | 35 h 3 m | Show |
San Diego Chargers +8 The Denver Broncos host the San Diego Chargers on Thursday evening. Denver is coming off a 42-17 win over the 49ers, while San Diego dropped its last game to the Chiefs. Chargers head coach Mike McCoy knows the Broncos offense nearly as well as Peyton Manning does, and while his squad has been able to give Manning and the Broncos trouble in recent meetings, the team just hasn't had the horses in the secondary to really make the most of a solid game plan. With one or both of Brandon Flowers and Jason Verrett in the lineup, the Chargers will go a long way in disrupting the Broncos' offensive attack. With the oddsmakers giving the Broncos far too much credit in this one, we'll gladly bump this play up to our top rating, and run, not walk, to the ticket window to get in on this inflated line. The Chargers are 7-0-4 ATS in their last 11 games in Denver. Take San Diego. Good Luck, Razor Ray 10* Play |
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10-12-14 | Carolina Panthers v. Cincinnati Bengals -6.5 | Top | 37-37 | Loss | -107 | 73 h 50 m | Show |
Cincinnati -6.5 The Cincinnati Bengals host the Carolina Panthers on Sunday in Week 6. Cincinnati is coming off a 43-17 loss to New England, while Carolina beat Chicago in their last outing, 31-24. The Panthers get the Bengals at the worst possible time in this one. The Bengals were embarrassed by the Patriots on Sunday Night Football this past weekend. That will have them eager to get back into the win column, and they’ll want to do so in decisive fashion as a reminder that they are in the hunt for the Lombardi Trophy.Much like what we see in this matchup, last week’s loss to New England was more a case of bad circumstance for Cincinnati, which ran into a Patriots team that was embarrassed the previous week and came out with something to prove. Now that shoe is on the other foot as the Bengals will have something to prove, and they’ll get to do so on their home field where they enjoy one of the best home field advantages in all of football. As for the Panthers, they’re a bit of a mess right now. Quarterback Cam Newton is still being limited by an injured ankle and ribs, and head coach Ron Rivera has admitted that the playbook hasn’t been fully opened because of Newton’s limitations. A backfield of retreads and afterthoughts may have been enough against a lousy Bears defense last week, but that’s not going to cut it against one of the top defenses in football, and one that will be extra-motivated to dominate this matchup. With this game presenting a uniquely favorable set of circumstances, we’ll gladly bump this play up to our top rating. The Bengals are 13-3 ATS in their last 16 home games. Take Cincinnati. Good Luck, Razor Ray 10* TOP PLAY |
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12-15-13 | Cincinnati Bengals v. Pittsburgh Steelers +3 | Top | 20-30 | Win | 100 | 93 h 35 m | Show |
Pittsburgh +3
The Pittsburgh Steelers host the Cincinnati Bengals on Sunday night in Week 15 of the NFL season. Pittsburgh is coming off a 34-28 loss to Miami, while Cincinnati beat Indianapolis in their last game, 42-28. Wins for the Bengals in Pittsburgh have historically been few and far between, yet it's Cincinnati giving away points in this one. The Bengals are coming off a dominant home win over the Colts, but the team has been a completely different animal on the road this season, where they are 3-4 on the season, including losses in each of their other two road divisional matchups. The Bengals are 2-5-1 ATS in their last eight road games. Now they go to Pittsburgh to take on an improved Steelers team that has been much better since their break, largely due to the emergence of offensive weapons LeVeon Bell and Antonio Brown. The Steelers are 4-1 ATS in their last five games against AFC North opponents, and 10-4 ATS in the last 14 meetings between these teams. The Steelers' backs are against the wall as another loss would surely sink their postseason hopes. Pittsburgh is 4-1 ATS in their last five games overall. With the oddsmakers having gotten this line wrong and favoring the wrong side, we'll bump this play up to our top rating. Take Pittsburgh. Good Luck, Razor Ray 10* TOP PLAY on Pittsburgh Steelers +3 |
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01-20-13 | San Francisco 49ers -2.5 v. Atlanta Falcons | Top | 28-24 | Win | 100 | 167 h 39 m | Show |
49ers -2.5
The Atlanta Falcons host the San Francisco 49ers in the NFC Championship Game on Sunday. San Francisco |
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12-23-12 | NY Giants -1 v. Baltimore Ravens | Top | 14-33 | Loss | -125 | 125 h 41 m | Show |
Giants -1
The Baltimore Ravens host the New York Giants on Sunday. Baltimore is coming off a 34-17 loss to Denver, while New York was embarrassed by Atlanta their last time out, 34-0. The Giants have alternated dominant performances with lousy ones since their bye in Week 11 and if that pattern holds true, they |
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12-10-12 | Houston Texans v. New England Patriots -3 | Top | 14-42 | Win | 100 | 79 h 30 m | Show |
Patriots -3
The New England Patriots host the Houston Texans on Monday night. New England beat Miami 23-16 last week, while Houston is coming off a 24-10 win over Tennessee. New England certainly ranks as an elite passing team, and that |
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11-18-12 | Baltimore Ravens v. Pittsburgh Steelers +4 | Top | 13-10 | Win | 100 | 50 h 57 m | Show |
Pittsburgh +4
The Pittsburgh Steelers host the Baltimore Ravens on Sunday night. Baltimore swept the season series between these teams a year ago. Pittsburgh was able to hold off Kansas City, but lost Ben Roethlisberger in the process. Byron Leftwich was passable in relief, but the team |
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11-04-12 | Baltimore Ravens -3.5 v. Cleveland Browns | Top | 25-15 | Win | 100 | 93 h 14 m | Show |
Baltimore Ravens -3.5
The Cleveland Browns host the Baltimore Ravens on Sunday. Baltimore is coming off their bye week, while Cleveland beat San Diego last week, 7-6. The Ravens were blown out by the Houston Texans heading into their bye week, and that presents a situation that has been profitable for us in the past, as teams that get blown out heading into their bye week play with a ton of passion in their next game. We |
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10-21-12 | NY Jets v. New England Patriots -10 | Top | 26-29 | Loss | -109 | 76 h 18 m | Show |
New England -10
The New England Patriots host the New York Jets on Sunday. New England lost to Seattle last week, while New York is coming off a convincing win over Indianapolis. New England doesn |
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02-05-12 | NY Giants v. New England Patriots UNDER 55 | Top | 21-17 | Win | 100 | 118 h 45 m | Show |
The New York Giants and New England Patriots played to a 17-14 scoreline the first time they met in the Super Bowl. While there's likely to be more points this time, the under still looks good.
The Patriots haven't allowed more than 27 points in any one game this season and while they played a very easy schedule, they haven't scored more than 23 against any team with a winning record. Both teams know how to stifle each other defensively, especially the Giants, who know how to rush Tom Brady and get him out of rhythm. Both teams will play ball control and keep away (only two possessions in the first quarter of Super Bowl XLII and only 10 first half points). Bet the under in this one. 10* play. |
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01-22-12 | Baltimore Ravens +9 v. New England Patriots | Top | 20-23 | Win | 100 | 163 h 55 m | Show |
The Baltimore Ravens are a huge underdog in New England on Saturday but they'll be on even footing with the Patriots when the game starts.
Overall, the Patriots have an elite passing game but their defense is brutal, their running game is suspect and they don't have the type of balance that Baltimore offense. The Patriots have played just two teams with a winning record this season and they lost both games. As for Baltimore, they played seven teams with a winning record this year and won each time. They've faced New England three times in the last three years (each time on the road) and they won once (in the playoffs 33-14) and lost twice by a margin of 4.5 points. They'll be confident on Sunday and nine points is too much to lay with a team that is suspect. Baltimore is more than capable to win this game outright and that's actually what we'll be expecting. Bet the Ravens. 10* play. |
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01-15-12 | Houston Texans v. Baltimore Ravens -7.5 | Top | 13-20 | Loss | -110 | 90 h 15 m | Show |
Writeup coming shortly. 10* play.
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01-08-12 | Atlanta Falcons v. NY Giants -3 | Top | 2-24 | Win | 100 | 73 h 7 m | Show |
The Atlanta Falcons and New York Giants are two similar teams, but there are some key edges that point us to the Giants in this contest.
For starters, the Falcons didn't play well against winning teams all season. They lost four of six games against teams above .500 and covered the spread just once in those games. As for the Giants, they were 5-2 against the spread against teams with a winning record. It's hard to trust the Falcons, who are an indoor dome team, going on the road outside in the cold. The Falcons run defense ranked sixth in the NFL but collapsed down the stretch of the season, giving up 398 yards on 65 carries (6.15 yards per carries) in their final four games. They'll be without starting linebacker Stephen Nicholas on Sunday. The Giants tend to play to the level of their competition, and with a quality team visiting in the playoffs, look for them to take care of business. Bet the Giants. 10* play. |
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01-07-12 | Cincinnati Bengals v. Houston Texans -3 | Top | 10-31 | Win | 100 | 53 h 40 m | Show |
The Houston Texans beat the Cincinnati Begnals in Cincy earlier this year and they get another crack on Saturday.
One reason why this contest might be easier is this time they are at home and Bengals quarterback Andy Dalton has been dealing with the flu this week. They'll have problems running the ball against the Texans stout run defense, so the Bengals backfield could be very ineffective. Also, we don't know the extent of the flu as it could have been passed around to more players than just Dalton. The Texans were 5-1 against the spread against teams with a winning record while the Bengals were just 2-5 overall against teams above .500. Playing at home, take the Texans in this spot. 10* play. |
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12-24-11 | Oakland Raiders +122 v. Kansas City Chiefs | Top | 16-13 | Win | 122 | 59 h 27 m | Show |
The Oakland Raiders are out for revenge and they should be able to get some against a Kansas City Chiefs team that played their Super Bowl last week.
The Chiefs are coming off a stunning upset of the then-perfect Green Bay Packers and it will be tough for them to match the intensity they put forth in that game. On top of that, the Raiders should be fired up to get some revenge against the Chiefs, who shut them out 28-0 at home earlier this season. The Raiders main weakness on defense is their pass defense but the Chiefs are more of a dink and dunk team. They need to run the ball to have success and Oakland is more than capable of slowing that down. Oakland has covered the spread in 12 of their last 16 divisional games and they still control their playoff destiny. Bet them to win on Saturday. 10* play. |
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12-18-11 | New England Patriots v. Denver Broncos +7.5 | Top | 41-23 | Loss | -105 | 50 h 58 m | Show |
The Denver Broncos simply aren't getting any respect. Even after winning seven of their last eight games, the media, fans and other NFL players continue to doubt them as some kind of a gimmick.
The bottom line in this spot here is that the New England Patriots might not actually be the better football team - believe it or not. Sure, Tom Brady is outstanding and he's got better offensive weapons with Rob Gronkowski, Wes Welker and Aaron Hernandez, but defense and home-field advantage tend to win out in the long run in the NFL and both will be on the Broncos side. The Broncos are giving up just 27% third down conversions over the last eight games and they've picked up 12 turnover and 25 sacks in that span. There's no question that Brady will move the ball but Denver might be able to slow him down, whereas there is less faith that the Patriots defense can slow anyone down at all. The Patriots barely escaped with a 34-27 win in Washington last week after the Redskins racked up 463 yards of offense. The week before, the hapless and winless Indianapolis Colts scored 24 points on New England. Denver has the running game and ball control-type of offense to pull off this win - let alone cover seven points. Tim Tebow has continually improved as a passer each week and this week might be his easiest game. The Pats have the NFL's worst defense, allowing 416 yards per game and the league's worst pass defense (giving up 8.1 yards per passing play). They have just 29 sacks on the year. This game will be far closer than most expect. Bet the Broncos. 10* play. |
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12-11-11 | Oakland Raiders v. Green Bay Packers OVER 51.5 | Top | 16-46 | Win | 100 | 88 h 15 m | Show |
The Green Bay Packers are the highest scoring team in the NFL and they shouldn't have too many problems getting to at least 30 versus the Oakland Raiders. After all, the Miami Dolphins scored 34 points
Green Bay hasn't scored less than 27 points in any of their last six games while Oakland has played well offensively too. The other two times when they fell flat on their face, coughing up the big lead to Buffalo and getting shutout by Kansas City, the Raiders bounced back with 34 and 24 points. Aside from last week's debacle, the Raiders have scored at least 24 in every game since their bye. Bet the over. 10* play. |
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12-11-11 | Chicago Bears v. Denver Broncos -187 | Top | 10-13 | Win | 100 | 88 h 6 m | Show |
There's little faith in the Chicago Bears this week after they couldn't even beat the Kansas City Chiefs at home. Without Jay Cutler and Matt Forte, the Bears mustered just three points against a so-so Chiefs defense, and the task will get much harder on the road in Denver.
The Bears are not getting any consistent passing from quarterback Caleb Hanie, they can't block for him and now there's no ground game for support. Denver isn't great on offense but at least Tim Tebow can move the football. Overall, they are playing with far more confidence than the Bears. Bet the Broncos. 10* play. |
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11-27-11 | Buffalo Bills v. NY Jets -9 | Top | 24-28 | Loss | -110 | 40 h 22 m | Show |
The Buffalo Bills are a sinking ship these days as they have lost three straight and four of five. The scary part is that they have been outscored 106-26 in the last three games and have not been competitive at all.
One of those losses came at home to the very same New York Jets as the Bills couldn't get anything going on offense. Believe it or not, life could be much easier for the Jets this time around. For starters, the NFL's third-leading rusher, Fred Jackson, is now out for the year. Top receiver Stevie Johnson will play, but he isn't 100%. No. 2 receiver Donald Jones is out for the year as his Naaman Roosevelt. The Bills will also be without kicker Rian Lindell, safety George Wilson and cornerback Terrence McGee. The Jets are relatively healthy and have had 10 days to prepare after playing on Thursday Night Football last week. This season, they have been far more effective at home (4-1) than on the road (1-4). Bet the Jets. 10* play. |
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11-20-11 | Arizona Cardinals v. San Francisco 49ers UNDER 41 | Top | 7-23 | Win | 100 | 95 h 20 m | Show |
The Arizona Cardinals have struggled this season but their defense has been strong of late. They stifled the Philadelphia Eagles offense last week and we're going to look for them to keep their team in the game once again this week.
The 49ers obviously have a strong defense of their own and they'll be handed the challenge of slowing down John Skelton this week. He was somewhat lucky against Philadelphia last week as he missed a number of throws and two of his biggest plays came on tipped passes. Without much of a running game, don't expect the Cardinals to be scoring very much on the road this week. For the 49ers, they'll continue to pound away on the ground, make smart decisions and do what the defense gives them. That should translate to a low-scoring affair in the Bay today. 10* play. |
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11-06-11 | NY Giants v. New England Patriots -8.5 | Top | 24-20 | Loss | -110 | 72 h 47 m | Show |
The New England Patriots are 26-2 after a loss in their last 28 times and we'll expect a serious bounce back on Sunday.
They actually need a win as the Buffalo Bills and New York Jets are nipping at their heels and another loss might put their playoff position in a bit of peril. That's not likely to happen given how the undisciplined New York Giants have played in recent weeks. Last week, the Giants made Matt Moore look like Peyton Manning as he picked them apart in the first half. The Giants couldn't regain their footing until the fourth quarter, when they finally eked out a win. This week, they are shorthanded as running back Ahmad Bradshaw has a fractured foot, backup Brandon Jacobs has a fractured ego and has been ineffective anyways, and wide receiver Hakeem Nicks isn't healthy. This is a game for the Patriots to get right and get back over the 30-point mark. Look for plenty of points from them as they win and cover. 10* play. |
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11-06-11 | Green Bay Packers v. San Diego Chargers UNDER 51.5 | Top | 45-38 | Loss | -110 | 72 h 47 m | Show |
While the public has been pounding this over all week long, we've got a different view of the game.
The San Diego Chargers are overmatched in this game from just about every perspective. They're not healthy, they're not rested and they're not very good overall. For them to win, their best path to achieve that will be to run the ball and play keep away. Green Bay is rested and they have had two weeks to prepare for this game. They watched the blue print of how to beat the Chargers and that was simply by running the ball and keeping Philip Rivers on the sidelines. Since the Packers are on the road, they won't be looking to blow anyone out. They'll be happy with a simple win. That might lead to more field goals than touchdowns and we already know that the Chargers do exactly that when they get into the red zone. It's a tall total but this doesn't look like a shootout. Bet the under. 10* play. |
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10-30-11 | Cleveland Browns v. San Francisco 49ers -8.5 | Top | 10-20 | Win | 100 | 25 h 51 m | Show |
The San Francisco 49ers have been tough and rugged throughout the season, and we'll expect more of it as they come off of their bye week.
The Cleveland Browns are beaten up and worn down, and they don't tend to have a lot of success when they can't run the ball. That's going to be a problem against the 49ers defense, who is going to suffocate them. Meanwhile, the 49ers will line up and pound the ball with Frank Gore, who is just 110 rushing yards short from becoming the franchise rushing leader. The Browns have the 19th-ranked rushing defense. Cleveland hasn't looked so hot on the road this year, barely beating the Colts in Indianapolis and getting roughed up by the Raiders in Oakland. They just don't have the offense to really keep up on the road, so look for the 49ers to take advantage. Bet the 49ers. 10* play. |
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10-23-11 | Denver Broncos +111 v. Miami Dolphins | Top | 18-15 | Win | 111 | 110 h 51 m | Show |
The Miami Dolphins are a veteran team that has yet to register a win this season, and they know exactly what's going to happen to their head coach in a short period of time.
Their mood is bad, their moral is low and they are on a short week after another flat effort. The Denver Broncos are a much better team but at least there is a spark. Tim Tebow will get the start and the entire team seems to rally around him every time he's in the lineup. That's going to be the difference as good things seem to happen when he's in the game while the Dolphins experience the opposite with Matt Moore. 10* play. |
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10-16-11 | Jacksonville Jaguars v. Pittsburgh Steelers UNDER 40.5 | Top | 13-17 | Win | 100 | 37 h 16 m | Show |
It's hard to see this game going over when only one team is really going to be able to move the football.
The Jacksonville Jaguars offense has been absolutely awful this year as their 20-point total last week was their highest of the week. That actually was somewhat fluky as the Cincinnati Bengals blew a coverage and let the Jags score an easy touchdown late in the fourth quarter. Even with those 20 points, the Jags have still averaged just 11.8 points per game. Going on the road to Heinz Field is not the place to find solutions to a sluggish offense. The good news is that the Jags defense should be able to play physical early and keep this game close in the first half. They also match the Steelers physicality and that will work for a while until their offense hangs them out to dry. Unless the Jags start turning the ball over like crazy, this game should be low scoring. Bet the under. 10* play. |
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10-09-11 | New Orleans Saints v. Carolina Panthers +7 | Top | 30-27 | Win | 100 | 51 h 1 m | Show |
The Carolina Panthers have been a backdoor sweetheart all season long and we expect that to continue. They continue to be overlooked by the public mostly because they aren't winning games, but they simply don't have any quit to them now that they are being led by Cam Newton.
They'll be challenged this week as their awful defense goes up against the New Orleans Saints and their explosive offense, but really, that's nothing new for Carolina. They faced the Green Bay Packers at home a couple of weeks ago and they did just fine getting the back door cover. The Saints defense is going to blitz the heck out of Newton but we've already heard that story before. The Packers did it, the Bears did and the Jaguars did it. Each time Newton did fine. Look for Carolina to get their ground game going, which has been somewhat dormant to start the year and with Newton throwing the ball all over the place, expect them to keep this within a touchdown at home against a division rival. 10* play. |
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10-09-11 | Cincinnati Bengals +3 v. Jacksonville Jaguars | Top | 30-20 | Win | 100 | 51 h 0 m | Show |
Two rookie quarterbacks will be leading the offenses on Sunday but the Jacksonville Jaguars may have a sense of remorse when they see who the Cincinnati Bengals drafted in the second round.
The Jaguars drafted Blaine Gabbert 10th overall in the 2011 Draft and have watched him complete 47.8% of his passes with two touchdowns and two picks while averaging 5.9 yards per pass. The Bengals took Andy Dalton in the second round and he's completed 58.1% of his passes with four touchdowns and four picks, while leading his team to two wins. They could easily be 3-1 right now. Both teams have good defenses but the question is which offense will be able to move the ball. The Jags have no receiving weapons and little help from their quarterback. That makes it a tough chore to cover three points at home. Bet the Bengals. 10* play. |
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09-25-11 | Baltimore Ravens -3.5 v. St. Louis Rams | Top | 37-7 | Win | 100 | 88 h 34 m | Show |
The Baltimore Ravens have dominated the NFC under John Harbaugh and the same will be the case this week against a beat up St. Louis Rams squad on a short week.
The Rams offense is likely to be without Steven Jackson, who is the questionable to doubtful range. Even if he plays, he won't be at 100% and running at the Ravens in between the teams rarely works anyways. Backup Cadillac Williams is also questionable and hasn't practiced most of the week and there's a good chance he's also out. That puts more pressure on the Rams passing game, which has struggled to find it's rhythm under new coordinator Josh McDaniels. The Rams are struggling in the red zone, where they've converted once in five trips. The Ravens are pissed after their letdown on the road in Tennessee last week. After smoking the Pittsburgh Steelers in Week One, they came out flat and were rolled by a medium-grade Titans team. Expect the Ravens offense to get back on track as they've averaged 27.7 points per game against NFC teams under Harbaugh and 26.3 last year. They'll get back on track with a win this week. 10* play. |
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09-18-11 | Arizona Cardinals v. Washington Redskins -3 | Top | 21-22 | Loss | -120 | 45 h 14 m | Show |
People keep laughing when I tell them that the Washington Redskins are a decent team but I guess they'll have to keep winning to fend off the critics.
Nobody wants to say it out loud, but Redskins quarterback Rex Grossman looked good in their season-opening 28-14 win over the New York Giants, completing 21-of-34 passes for 305 yards and two touchdowns. Beyond that, the Redskins ran the ball effectively enough to keep the dogs off of Grossman's back. The Cardinals defense coughed up 477 yards of total offense at home to the Carolina Panthers, who were 2-14 last year. Panthers rookie quarterback Cam Newton did whatever he wanted and there's little reason to believe the Redskins won't do the same as well. The Cards overall effort was questionable as they used a blown coverage by the Panthers and then awful coverage on a punt return for a touchdown by the Panthers two come from behind in a 28-21 win. They also nearly let the Panthers tie it as they fell short on the one-yard-line as time wore down at the end of the fourth quarter. Now the Cards have to go on the road on a long East coast trip. They're rarely a good road team in the East time zone and after last week's effort, there's not a whole lot of reason to have faith in them. We'll stick with the Redskins, laying just a field goal at home. 10* play. |
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02-06-11 | Pittsburgh Steelers v. Green Bay Packers OVER 44.5 | Top | 25-31 | Win | 100 | 65 h 39 m | Show |
While the biggest storylines of the last two weeks has really been about the two 3-4 defenses and how they rank No. 1 and No. 2 in scoring, they won't be the story on Super Bowl Sunday.
There are a number of key factors coming into play as to why the over is the play. For starters, both defensive coordinators, Dom Capers and Dick Lebeau, are very familiar with each other - and their schemes - after having worked together in Pittsburgh in the mid-1990's. With two weeks to prepare, both offenses couldn't have had better preparation than going up against the very units they are going to see on Sunday. Both quarterbacks will have a good idea about the blitzing schemes, characteristics and patterns. But more importantly than that, the key to this contest going over will be the Green Bay Packers passing the ball. The Steelers do have an elite defense and while their run defense is top-flight (No. 1 overall), their pass defense is mediocre. The Steelers lack depth at cornerback and the Packers have tons of depth at wide receiver. That's a horrible matchup for Pittsburgh. Much has been made about the Steelers ability to run versus the Packers No. 18 rush defense but at a closer look, that run defense has been far better of late. The Packers have given up just 209 rushing yards on 59 carries in three playoff games (3.5 yards per carry). Contrary to popular opinion, Steelers running back Rashard Mendenhall won't get going - especially with the Steelers offensive line woes. So this sets up to be a passing games and considering how well the Packers have passed the football indoors, this could be a very high-scoring affair. The Packers have scored more than 40 points in each of their last two indoor playoff games and have averaged over 31 points per game in their last 12 dome games. In that span, Rodgers has 26 touchdown passes and just five interceptions. The Steelers would have loved this game to be outdoors, in the rain or snow, so that they can muck it up and dictate the pace. Instead, the Packers speed and finesse will dictate the pace of this game, which will lead to plenty of points. Bet the over. 10* play. |
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01-23-11 | NY Jets v. Pittsburgh Steelers UNDER 39 | Top | 19-24 | Loss | -110 | 128 h 1 m | Show |
The Pittsburgh Steelers and New York Jets combined for 39 points in the first meeting and were a hair away from adding another touchdown to the total, but there is still plenty of reason to go under in this matchup.
For starters, just the fact that they have squared off once already will allow the defenses to be more prepared for what they have already seen from their opponent's offense. Any way you cut it, this is a matchup of two excellent defensive teams that are going to takeaway what their opponent does best. On offense, the Jets will continue to do what they've done, which is milk the clock, get first downs and take advantage of any mistakes their opponents give them. Since they are on the road, their goal is to hang around and try to steal the game late. On defense, the Jets have allowed just 36 points in the last two contests to Peyton Manning and Tom Brady's teams. They are dialed in and playing as good as they have all season long. The weather may factor with snow expected early in the day and possibly turning to rain. The weather is expected to be 18 Fahrenheit at its warmest. As long as the Steelers don't give up big kick returns, safeties and field position like they did in the first matchup, this game will be a hard-fought defensive battle and will stay under. 10* play. |
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01-23-11 | Green Bay Packers -190 v. Chicago Bears | Top | 21-14 | Win | 100 | 123 h 4 m | Show |
It just feels like destiny, doesn't it? The Green Bay Packers have been the media sweetheart all this week and everyone is just writing them in for a Super Bowl berth.
Unfortunately, this isn't a Disney movie and the games are not played on paper. When it comes to Sunday's matchup with the Chicago Bears, the Packers have virtually every advantage except for the home field. While most people wouldn't even argue that the Packers have the better offense, the better offensive line, the better quarterback and the better crop of wide receivers, the Packers are also better on the other side of the ball as well. Green Bay has the No. 1 scoring defense in the NFC. Their total defense ranks fifth while the Bears are ninth, they've generated the second-most sacks in the NFL with 47 while the Bears have just 34 (17th in NFL) and the Packers have 24 interceptions while the Bears have 21. The Bears defense excels at stopping the run (2nd overall), which means that the Packers won't have the balance that they have had the last couple of weeks with rookie James Starks taking some pressure off of the passing game, but the Bears pass defense ranks 19th in the NFL, which is going to be a problem. The Packers are a pass-oriented team and their quarterback, Aaron Rodgers, is red-hot right now with seven touchdowns and no interceptions through his first two playoff games. On the other side, the Bears offense - specifically Jay Cutler - is just too mistake-prone to trust. They don't run the ball very well and while we know that the Packers can win the game if the burden is put on Rodgers, there is far less confidence in Cutler winning this game on his own. Every week, Bears fans are holding their breath that Cutler won't give the game away. With home-field advantage helping the Bears, this game might be nip-tuck. If you're uncomfortable betting the moneyline, buy it down to a field goal or 2.5. Either way, the Packers are moving on to the Super Bowl and the Bears are going home. 10* play. |
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01-15-11 | Green Bay Packers +115 v. Atlanta Falcons | Top | 48-21 | Win | 115 | 125 h 10 m | Show |
The Green Bay Packers will visit the Georgia Dome for the second time this season in just one of four regular season rematches this weekend in the NFL.
The Packers fell short by a field goal in the late-November meeting but this time, the result will be different. Much has been made about the Atlanta Falcons and their home-field advantage but the New Orleans Saints went into the Georgia Dome in Week 16 and proved to everyone that the Falcons are still very much human at home. Green Bay will do the same. It's hard not to factor momentum into this contest as the Packers, who had to win out the final two weeks of the regular season, have essentially been playing playoff football since December. Even with Aaron Rodgers shelved in a trip to Gillette Stadium, the Packers gave the Patriots all they could handle, then they stomped the New York Giants at home and topped the Chicago Bears in Week 17. Last week, they were in control the entire way in Philadelphia en route to a 21-16 win. Most impressive was the fact that they muted Michael Vick, who was expected to be a defensive nightmare. Defense wins championships and the Packers, who held the explosive Eagles to just 16 points, have the NFC's No. 1 scoring defense. Atlanta may have lost momentum with a Week 16 lost to New Orleans and then a bye week last week. Rust may be in effect. The Falcons are just 3-3 against the spread versus teams with a winning record, which indicates that they've done a lot of their damage against weak foes this season. The Packers are 3-1 ATS as an underdog and they'll make it 4-1 as they exact some revenge and get another hard-fought road win. 10* play. |
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01-08-11 | New Orleans Saints v. Seattle Seahawks +10.5 | Top | 36-41 | Win | 100 | 122 h 26 m | Show |
The New Orleans Saints have a cupcake matchup this weekend as they face the first team in NFL history to qualify for the playoffs with a losing record.
But the Saints have only won one road playoff game in their franchise history and that came in the Super Bowl last season. On top of that, the Saints have issues in their backfield right now as running backs Chris Ivory and Pierre Thomas will miss this game. The Saints have struggled this season when they have been one-dimensional on offense. The Saints are an indoors team that has to travel to the west to play a game outdoors. Not only that, they are being asked to cover 11 points. The Saints are just 1-4 against the spread when facing a team with a losing record. Meanwhile, the Seahawks have played better at home than away this season as they have covered five of eight spreads. New Orleans should win but this game will be closer than the odds makers expect. 10* play. |
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01-02-11 | St. Louis Rams v. Seattle Seahawks UNDER 41.5 | Top | 6-16 | Win | 100 | 31 h 28 m | Show |
The Seattle Seahawks will host the St. Louis Rams on Sunday night in a winner-takes-the-NFC-West showdown.
Offense should be hard to come by in this one as the Seahawks unit is regularly pathetic but may be without starting quarterback Matt Hasselbeck. Even if he plays, the passing game has been lifeless in recent weeks and the running game has been dormant all season long. The Seahawks rank 30th in the NFL in rushing yards per game with just 85.5. The Seahawks have lost three straight and seven of their last nine while scoring just 15.3 points per game in those seven losses. Even so, they are a team that plays better at home - especially their defense. The Rams are an indoors team that is traveling west to play outdoors in frigid temperatures. They aren't running the ball particularly well, which is never a good sign when heading out on the road. Running back Steven Jackson is averaging just 3.7 yards per carry this season and has never had a 100-yard rushing game against Seattle. In the second half of the season, his yards per carry average is even lower at 3.5. This has the makings of an ugly defensive struggle. The under is 3-1 in the four games that the Rams have been favored this season and it's 11-5 in their last 16 divisional games. With Charlie Whitehurst likely starting for a toothless Seahawks team and the Rams taking a young offense on the road outdoors, look for a low-scoring contest in this one. 10* play. |
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01-02-11 | Jacksonville Jaguars v. Houston Texans -3 | Top | 17-34 | Win | 100 | 23 h 3 m | Show |
The Jacksonville Jaguars are still playing for a playoff spot in Week 17 but they aren't going to get it. For starters, they need the Indianapolis Colts to lose at home. Secondly, they need to defeat the Houston Texans, which they have already done once this season, but they'll need to do it without their starting backfield.
Both quarterback David Garrard and running back Maurice Jones-Drew will not suit up for this game, which puts the burden on Trent Edwards and Rashad Jennings. The Houston Texans defense is pathetic but it should be able to look a bit better against Edwards, who was cut by the Buffalo Bills earlier this season. The Texans won't have Andre Johnson at their disposal on Sunday but they still have an explosive offense. They'll have a big edge in their backfield as both Matt Schaub and Arian Foster are Pro Bowl-caliber players (Foster was selected to the 2011 Pro Bowl). This is also a revenge game where the Texans lost a heartbreaker in Jacksonville on a last-second Hail Mary pass. With the recent rumors that head coach Gary Kubiak will be back in 2011 with Wade Phillips manning the defense, the Texans can use this game as a springboard for next season. They'll be charged up for this one while the Jags won't be able to match points with them on offense. 10* play. |
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12-26-10 | Tennessee Titans v. Kansas City Chiefs -5 | Top | 14-34 | Win | 100 | 24 h 18 m | Show |
The Kansas City Chiefs need to keep winning to keep the San Diego Chargers off their heels, and the good news is that they finish up the season with their final two contests at home.
The Chiefs host the Titans this week, who are in complete disarray. The Titans ended their six-game losing streak at home last week but that was against the Houston Texans, and on top of that, they needed to pull out all of the stops. Quarterback Kerry Collins should have been intercepted a couple of times in the first quarter (dropped picks) and the Titans needed to complete a couple of gambles on fourth down. This week, they face a much tougher opponent and they have to head on the road. The Titans have lost their last three road games by an average margin of 13.3 points per game. The biggest issue for the Titans will be their 17th-ranked rush defense. The Chiefs have the No. 1 rushing offense in the NFL and they are going to pound the Titans on the ground. If the game is forced on Collins arm, he won't be as lucky as he was last week. The Chiefs need this game whereas the Titans are playing for their coach, who some of them may not have as much faith in after his rift with quarterback Vince Young. Bet the Chiefs. 10* play. |
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12-25-10 | Dallas Cowboys -7 v. Arizona Cardinals | Top | 26-27 | Loss | -100 | 18 h 17 m | Show |
The Dallas Cowboys travel to Arizona on Saturday to face the hapless Cardinals, in what should very well be a blowout.
The Cowboys have been very competitive since firing Wade Phillips as they have four wins in six games with two 30-27 losses to the New Orleans Saints and Philadelphia Eagles - two teams that could be representing the NFC in the Super Bowl. On the other hand, the Cardinals have been completely listless down the stretch of a season and aside from a six-turnover effort from the Denver Broncos, the Cardinals have eight losses in their last nine games. The Cowboys haven't scored less than 27 points in a game after Jason Garrett took over and they have averaged 32.2 points per game. The Cardinals are hapless on offense with rookie quarterback John Skelton running the show as he has completed less than 50% of his passes and has yet to throw a touchdown through two starts. Take the Cowboys to roll the Cardinals on Christmas Day. 10* pick. |
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12-23-10 | Carolina Panthers v. Pittsburgh Steelers -14 | Top | 3-27 | Win | 100 | 8 h 49 m | Show |
The Pittsburgh Steelers host the Carolina Panthers on Thursday Night Football tonight and it should be a walk in the park for Pittsburgh.
Even if Carolina was at full strength, this would be a tough matchup for them as they are a run-oriented team going on the road to face the No. 1 run defense in the NFL. Now that they are shorthanded, this will be an insurmountable task. Rookie quarterback Jimmy Clausen has been awful as a starter. On the season, the Panthers have just two wins and both came at home to San Francisco and Arizona. The bottom line here is that the Steelers will be able to stack the box, stuff the Panthers running game and force the game on Clausen, who leads the NFL's 32nd-ranked pass offense. The Steelers offense should be able to move the ball regularly in this game and part of that will be based on their defense forcing three-and-outs and putting their offense in good field position. It's just hard to fathom the Panthers being able to pass the ball well enough to make this close. They run a very complex 3-4 defense and Clausen hasn't seen anything like it. The Steelers will dominate on both sides of the ball and earn the win and cover. 10* play. |