10* NCAAF K-State/Oklahoma St VEGAS INSIDER 

PLAY ON KANSAS STATE WILDCATS -11

10* NCAAF Jacksonville St/Midd Tenn VEGAS INSIDER 

PLAY ON MIDDLE TENNESSEE BLUE RAIDERS -3.5

9* NFL Patriots/Cowboys SHARP STAKE

PLAY ON NEW ENGLAND PATRIOTS +7

9* NFL Steelers/Texans SHARP STAKE 

PLAY ON HOUSTON TEXANS +3.5

9* NFL Bengals/Titans SHARP STAKE 

PLAY ON TENNESSEE TITANS +2.5

10* NFL Ravens/Browns VEGAS INSIDER

PLAY ON CLEVELAND BROWNS -2.5

10* NFL Dolphins/Bills VEGAS INSIDER 

PLAY ON BUFFALO BILLS -2.5

9* NCAAF Alabama/Miss St SHARP STAKE 

PLAY ON MISSISSIPPI STATE BULLDOGS +14.5

9* NCAAF - Notre Dame/Duke SHARP STAKE 

PLAY ON DUKE BLUE DEVILS +5.5

10* NCAAF VEGAS INSIDER PLAY OF THE MONTH

PLAY ON MICHIGAN STATE SPARTANS +13

10* NCAAF PAC-12 PLAY OF THE MONTH

PLAY ON CAL GOLDEN BEARS -11.5

9* NCAAF Clemson/Syracuse SHARP STAKE 

PLAY ON SYRACUSE ORANGE +7

9* NCAAF Florida/Kentucky SHARP STAKE 

PLAY ON FLORIDA GATORS +1

10* NCAAF Utah/Oregon St VEGAS INSIDER 

PLAY ON OREGON STATE BEAVERS -4

10* NFL Lions/Packers VEGAS INSIDER 

PLAY ON DETROIT LIONS -1.5

10* NFL Rams/Bengals VEGAS INSIDER 

PLAY ON LOS ANGELES RAMS +2

10* NFL Steelers/Raiders SNF PLAY OF THE MONTH

PLAY ON PITTSBURGH STEELERS +2.5

9* NFL Chargers/Vikings SHARP STAKE 

PLAY ON MINNESOTA VIKINGS PK

9* NFL Saints/Packers SHARP STAKE 

PLAY ON NEW ORLEANS SAINTS +2.5

9* NFL Colts/Ravens SHARP STAKE 

PLAY ON INDIANAPOLIS COLTS +8

10* NFL Titans/Browns AFC PLAY OF THE MONTH

PLAY ON CLEVELAND BROWNS -2.5

9* NCAAF California/Washington SHARP STAKE 

PLAY ON CALIFORNIA GOLDEN BEARS +21.5

9* NCAAF Akron/Indiana SHARP STAKE

PLAY ON INDIANA HOOSIERS -15.5

10* NCAAF Ga Tech/Wake Forest ACC PLAY OF THE MONTH

PLAY ON GEORGIA TECH YELLOW JACKETS +4

10* NCAAF UCLA/Utah PAC-12 PLAY OF THE MONTH

PLAY ON UTAH UTES -4

9* NCAAF Kentucky/Vanderbilt SHARP STAKE 

PLAY ON VANDERBILT COMMODORES +14

9* NCAAF SMU/TCU SHARP STAKE

PLAY ON SMU MUSTANGS +6.5

9* NCAAF Florida St/Clemson SHARP STAKE 

PLAY ON FLORIDA STATE SEMINOLES -2

9* NCAAF Ga State/C Carolina SHARP STAKE 

PLAY ON COASTAL CAROLINA CHANTICLEERS -6.5

10* NFL Browns/Steelers VEGAS INSIDER 

PLAY ON PITTSBURGH STEELERS +2 

10* NFL Dolphins/Patriots VEGAS INSIDER

PLAY ON NEW ENGLAND PATRIOTS +3

9* NFL Giants/Cardinals SHARP STAKE

PLAY ON NEW YORK GIANTS -5.5

10* NFL 49ers/Rams VEGAS INSIDER

PLAY ON LOS ANGELES RAMS +7.5

9* NFL Seahawks/Lions SHARP STAKE 

PLAY ON DETROIT LIONS -5.5

9* NFL Ravens/Bengals SHARP STAKE 

PLAY ON CINCINNATI BENGALS -3

10* NFL Chiefs/Jaguars VEGAS INSIDER 

PLAY ON KANSAS CITY CHIEFS -3

9* NCAAF Ga Tech/Ole Miss SHARP STAKE

PLAY ON GEORGIA TECH YELLOW JACKETS +19

10* NCAAF Syracuse/Pitt VEGAS INSIDER

PLAY ON SYRACUSE ORANGE -2.5

9* NCAAF Ohio St/W Kentucky SHARP STAKE 

PLAY ON WKU HILLTOPPERS +29.5

9* NCAAF LSU/Miss St SHARP STAKE

PLAY ON LSU TIGERS -9.5

10* NCAAF - Indiana/Louisville VEGAS INSIDER 

PLAY ON INDIANA HOOSIERS +10

9* NCAAF Navy/Memphis SHARP STAKE 

PLAY ON NAVY MIDSHIPMEN +15

10* NFL Bills/Jets VEGAS INSIDER 

PLAY ON NEW YORK JETS +2.5

10* NFL Cowboys/Giants VEGAS INSIDER 

PLAY ON NEW YORK GIANTS +3.5

9* NFL Packers/Bears SHARP STAKE

PLAY ON GREEN BAY PACKERS +1

9* NFL Titans/Saints SHARP STAKE 

PLAY ON NEW ORLEANS SAINTS -3 

9* NFL Jaguars/Colts SHARP STAKE 

PLAY ON JACKSONVILLE JAGUARS -4.5

9* NFL Panthers/Falcons SHARP STAKE 

PLAY ON ATLANTA FALCONS -3.5

9* NFL Bucs/Vikings SHARP STAKE

PLAY ON TAMPA BAY BUCCANEERS +5.5

10* NFL Bengals/Browns VEGAS INSIDER 

PLAY ON CLEVELAND BROWNS +3

10* NCAAF Auburn/California VEGAS INSIDER

PLAY ON CALIFORNIA GOLDEN BEARS +6.5

9* NCAAF Oklahoma St/Arizona St SHARP STAKE 

PLAY ON ARIZONA STATE SUN DEVILS +3

10* NCAAF Arizona/Miss State VEGAS INSIDER 

PLAY ON ARIZONA WILDCATS +9.5

9* NCAAF Oregon/Texas Tech SHARP STAKE 

PLAY ON TEXAS TECH RED RAIDERS +6.5

10* NCAAF Houston/Rice VEGAS INSIDER 

PLAY ON RICE OWLS +9.5

9* NCAAF Cincinnati/Pittsburgh SHARP STAKE 

PLAY ON CINCINNATI BEARCATS +7.5

9* NCAAF - Iowa/ISU SHARP STAKE 

PLAY ON IOWA HAWKEYES -3.5 

10* NCAAF Ole Miss/Tulane VEGAS INSIDER 

PLAY ON OLE MISS REBELS -7

9* NCAAF Notre Dame/NC State SHARP STAKE

PLAY ON NC STATE WOLFPACK +7.5

10* NCAAF Illinois/Kansas VEGAS INSIDER 

PLAY ON KANSAS JAYHAWKS -3

9* NCAAF Clemson/Duke SHARP STAKE

PLAY ON DUKE BLUE DEVILS +13

10* NCAAF (Top Play) LSU/Florida St VEGAS INSIDER

PLAY ON LSU TIGERS -1.5

9* NCAAF S Alabama/Tulane SHARP STAKE

PLAY ON SOUTH ALABAMA JAGUARS +6.5

9* NCAAF UNC/S Carolina SHARP STAKE 

PLAY ON UNC TAR HEELS -2.5

10* NCAAF (Top Play) W. Virginia/Penn St VEGAS INSIDER

PLAY ON PENN STATE NITTANY LIONS -20

10* NCAAF (Top Play) UTSA/Houston VEGAS INSIDER 

PLAY ON UTSA ROAD RUNNERS -2

10* NCAAF (Top Play) Cal/North Texas VEGAS INSIDER

PLAY ON CALIFORNIA GOLDEN BEARS -6.5

9* NCAAF Utah St/Iowa SHARP STAKE 

PLAY ON IOWA HAWKEYES -24

9* NCAAF Louisville/Ga Tech SHARP STAKE

PLAY ON LOUISVILLE CARDINALS -7

10* NCAAF (Top Play) Florida/Utah VEGAS INSIDER 

PLAY ON UTAH UTES -4

9* NCAAF NC State/UConn SHARP STAKE 

PLAY ON UCONN HUSKIES +14

10* NCAAF "Week 0" VEGAS INSIDER 

PLAY ON UTEP MINERS -1

10* Chiefs/Eagles Super Bowl ATS SLAUGHTER

PLAY ON KANSAS CITY CHIEFS +1.5: All I've heard leading up to this game is that Philadelphia has the better team and if the Chiefs didn't have Mahomes there's no way KC could beat this team. Mahomes is great, but there's a lot more talent on this Chiefs team than they are getting credit for and I think those other 52 guys are going to come out with a massive chip on their shoulder in this game. 

I'm not saying the Eagles aren't a very good football team, but you can't not factor in the schedule. Philly played one of the easiest schedules in the NFL, while the Chiefs played one of the hardest. Yet these two teams finished the regular-season with the same 14-3 record. KC's three losses came by 4 points or fewer. I don't know that Philly goes 14-3 if you give them the Chiefs' schedule. I'm also not convinced they beat the 49ers in the NFC Championship if Purdy doesn't get hurt on the first series. 

Yes, the offensive and defensive lines for the Eagles are very good, but it's not like these two units are going up against a cupcake on the other side. The Chiefs also have one of the best offensive lines in the league and there d-line has played great in the playoffs. 

If KC's line can put up some resistance and Mahomes isn't running for his life, I think the Chiefs are going to have no problem moving the football. I don't know that it's going to be as easy for the Eagles offense, especially if KC gets any sort of lead and forces the Eagles to throw it more than they would like. Either way, I feel Mahomes and the Chiefs are being extremely disrespected in this game and they are the better team with the best quarterback on the planet. Give me Kansas City +1.5! 

10* NFL AFC Championship VEGAS INSIDER

PLAY ON KANSAS CITY CHIEFS -1.5: I will gladly take my chances with the Chiefs as a 1.5-point home favorite against the Bengals in the AFC Championship Game. The betting public is all over Cincinnati in this one. Bengals have had the Chiefs number of late and there's some uncertainty to just how healthy Mahomes is going to be after suffering a high ankle sprain in KC's win last week against the Jaguars. 

Chiefs blew big leads in both losses to the Bengals last year and were missing several key guys on both sides of the ball in the loss to Cincinnati during the regular season this year. All 3 wins were by a mere 3 points. There's not a team KC would rather have to beat to get back to the Super Bowl. Add in all the Bengals trash talk with the "Burrowhead" comments and what not, has really made this game personal. 

I'm not concerned with Mahomes being 100% or not with that ankle. He certainly hasn't looked that hobbled in practice and it's not like he can't be great by throwing out of the pocket. 

The big thing that I think is getting overlooked in this game is the Bengals' offensive line. They have lost 3 starters down the stretch from a unit that lacks depth. That weakness wasn't a big factor against the Bills for a couple of reasons. One, Buffalo's defensive front hasn't been the same since losing Von Miller. Second, the o-line was helped out tremendously by all the snow last week. It's a lot harder for the defensive to get off the ball when it's a sloppy field like that. This is a much better front for the Chiefs and a game where I think Chris Jones could dominate. 

The fact that KC was a TD favorite in last year's AFC Championship Game speaks to the value we are getting in this one. I wouldn't be shocked at all if the Chiefs ended up winning this game going away. Give me Kansas City -1.5! 

9* Bengals/Bills Div RD ATS ANNIHILATOR

PLAY ON BUFFALO BILLS -5.5: I got to take Buffalo laying less than a touchdown at home against the Bengals on Sunday. As much respect as I have for Joe Burrow and this Bengals team, I just think the injuries up front on the offensive line are going to be too much to overcome. 

In the last month Cincinnati has lost 3 starters up front. They lost starting right tackle La'el Collins, starting left tackle Jonah Williams and starting right guard Alex Cappa. I know the Ravens defense was one of the best in the NFL, but Cincinnati's offense was able to manage just 234 total yards in their win 24-17 win over Baltimore. Bills are down a few guys on defense, but should still have their way up front with the patch work offensive line of the Bengals. 

On the flip side of this, I think Josh Allen and the Bills offense is back to what we saw early in the year. There was a stretch where Allen just wasn't 100% as he dealt with an elbow injury. That seems to have healed just in time. It won't be as easy as it was last week against the Dolphins bad defense, but I trust Buffalo a lot more to put points on the board. Give me the Bills -5.5! 

9* Jaguars/Chiefs AFC Div Rd NO-BRAINER

PLAY CHIEFS -9: Should have jumped on this one earlier at a better price, but how do we not bet the Chiefs in this game. I hear a lot of people picking the Jags as their favorite upset play of the week. The lack of respect people have with Mahomes and this team is laughable. Jacksonville isn't going into Kansas City in January and making a game of it. 

When these two teams played in the regular season, the Chiefs won that game 27-17 with a 486 to 315 edge in total yards. KC won that game by double-digits, despite being -3 in the turnover department. Most teams lose by double-digits with that kind of a turnover margin. 

Not that the Chiefs didn't try in the regular-season, but I do think there's another level they can take their game to in the playoffs. This team has been here before. Jags haven't. I don't think Jacksonville is ready for this stage. Not against Mahomes at Arrowhead. Lawrence may not have intended to piss off Chiefs Kingdom, but him saying the Jags fans are on the same level as them was a mistake. 

I don't think Jacksonville will is going to be up to the challenge on either side of the ball. It's a big number and why it's not a bigger play, but my money is on KC to roll on Saturday. Give me the Chiefs -9! 

10* NFL Wild Card Sunday VEGAS INSIDER: Baltimore Ravens +8.5

I'll take my chances with Baltimore as a 8.5-point dog against the Bengals on Wild Card Sunday. Yes, Cincinnati just beat the Ravens 27-16 at home in Week 18 to lock up the AFC North title. It never really felt like it was that close, as the Bengals jumped out to a 17-0 lead and led 24-7 at the half. 

Most are going to just assume Cincinnati is going to roll again at home against these Ravens. I'm not as convinced. Not enough is being made about Baltimore's defense and the job it did against this Bengals offense. Cincinnati was only able to put up 257 total yards. Baltimore had 386 total yards averaging 5.1 yards/play to the Bengals 4.0. 

Ravens rested two of their biggest offensive weapons in running back J.K. Dobbins and tight end Mark Andrews. They also were down to 3rd string rookie quarterback Anthony Brown. While Brown is expected to see some action in this one, 2nd string quarterback Tyler Huntley is expected to play. 

It feels like no one is giving this Ravens team any chance of winning this game. I just think that's a big mistake with how well this Baltimore defense is playing. If they can get the run game going with Dobbins, they got a legit shot to pull off the upset. Either way, I think they keep this to a 1-score game. Give me the Ravens +8.5! 

10* NFL  Wild Card Saturday VEGAS INSIDER: Chargers -2 

I'll take my chances with the Chargers as a 2-point road favorite against the Jaguars in Saturday's AFC Wild Card matchup. You got to tip your hat to Jacksonville for turning their season around, but the only reason this team is in the playoffs is because they won a bad division (AFC South). They also benefited from an extremely easy schedule down the stretch. In their 5 game winning streak to end the year, they played the Titans twice, Cowboys at home, Jets and the Texans. The win over Dallas was impressive, but they also had to come from way behind to win that game. Justin Herbert should be able to exploit a bad Jaguars secondary. At the same time, I don't see the Jacksonville offense doing a whole lot. Give me the Chargers -2! 

9* NFL Situational ATS NO-BRAINER: Patriots +7.5

I'm going to take the New England Patriots as a 7.5-point road dog against the Buffalo Bills on Sunday. It's extremely unfortunate what happened to Bills' safety Damar Hamlin on Monday Night Football against the Bengals. I want nothing but the best for that kid and for him to make a full recovery. With that said, I just think the emotional toll of that injury is going to make it really hard for Buffalo to come out and give the kind of effort needed to beat the Patriots by more than a touchdown. In fact, I wouldn't be the least bit surprised if they lost this game outright. 

I know it's not something they probably care a whole lot about, but with that game against Cincinnati being declared a no contest, this game could lose a lot of meaning by kickoff. If Kansas City beats Las Vegas on Saturday, the Chiefs will get the coveted first round bye. There is talk that if Buffalo wins, they may move the AFC Championship Game to a neutral site. That's nice and all, but the week off is what these teams really care about. 

On the flip side of this, the Patriots need to win this game to ensure a playoff spot. New England can get in with losses by the Dolphins, Steelers and Titans, which is possible but very unlikely if you ask me. 

So on one side you have a team fighting for their playoff lives and the other with very little at stake. Even if KC were to get upset by the Raiders on Saturday, I still would like NE at this price. I know the Bills players are going to say they are ready to play, I just don't think they will be. Give me the Patriots +7.5!  

10* NFL AFC East PLAY OF THE MONTH: Miami Dolphins -2

I love the Dolphins laying less than a field goal at home against the Jets in Week 18. I get both of these teams have not played great down the stretch. Both come into this game having lost 5 straight. The big difference is, New York's 6-23 loss at Seattle last week ended any hopes they had of making the playoffs. Miami is still alive and very much so. All they need is a win and for Buffalo to defeat the Patriot at home and they are in. 

I think the only reason this line isn't pushing a touchdown, is the fact that the Dolphins are down to 3rd string quarterback Skylar Thompson. Can this team win in the playoffs with Thompson as their quarterback? Probably not, but he's facing an unmotivated Jets team that hasn't put up more than 17 points in each of their last 4 games, failing to reach double-digits in each of their last 2 games. He doesn't have to be great and let's not forget who he has to throw the ball to. Having a full week to prepare is also going to help him. I just think the line has been adjusted too much for him being the starter and not enough for the spot. Give me the Dolphins -2! 

10* NFL Titans/Jags AFC South PLAY OF THE MONTH: Titans +6.5

I love the Titans as a 6.5-point road dog against the Jaguars in Saturday's winner take all for the AFC South title. I know it's technically Week 18, but this 100% going to have the feel of a playoff game. It's asking a lot for the Jags to win by a full touchdown in this spot. This is a young team that hasn't been in this kind of pressure, where Tennessee has a bunch of dudes that have played very meaningful games in January the past few seasons. 

I think that people also get lost in the fact that the Titans come in having lost 6 straight and Jacksonville has won their last 4. We kind of knew given Tennessee's injuries that it was going to come down to this game. We saw the Titans rest all their guys last week against Dallas. Jags decided to play their starters in a meaningless game vs the Texans. Tennessee should be the fresher team and more importantly they are as healthy as they have been in a while, especially on defense. 

Dobbs isn't great and probably a downgrade from Tannehill, but he's also a massive upgrade over what they were working with in rookie Malik Willis. Not saying Titans will win, but they should at the very least keep this within the number. Give me Tennessee +6.5! 

10* NCAAF Rose Bowl VEGAS INSIDER: Penn State Nittany Lions +2.5

I'm going to grab the 2.5-points with Penn State against Utah in Monday's Rose Bowl. Betting against Kyle Whittingham in bowl games isn't exactly something I like to do, but I just feel the wrong team is favored in this matchup. 

Penn State might just be the best team that no one is talking about. The Nittany Lions came into this season as an afterthought in the Big Ten East, which was to be expected given their struggles last year and them playing in the same division as Ohio State and Michigan. They started to get some love after a 5-0 start leading up to their showdown against the Wolverines in Ann Arbor. Penn State was only a 6.5-point road dog in that matchup. They then proceeded to get housed in a 17-41 loss to Michigan. Two weeks later they gave Ohio State a scare, but ended up losing by 31-44. 

After that loss to the Buckeyes everyone kinda wrote this team off. I think everyone, including myself, thought they would struggle to finish the season strong. Penn State didn't just finish strong, they played their best football of the season down the stretch run. The Nittany Lions won their next 5 games by a little more than 28 ppg. They were a perfect 5-0 ATS in those games. You got to go all the way back to the middle of October to find the last game Penn State failed to cover. 

I think them getting matched up against Utah, who won the Pac-12 title, all but guarantees they will be motivated for this game. The only real significant player they have had leave early for the NFL or transfer is corner Joey Porter Jr. 

Utah on the other hand has three of their best players sitting out this game. Those being starting running back Tavion Thomas, tight end Dalton Kincaid and corner Clark Phillips. While Thomas did lead the team in rushing with 687 yards, they probably could have made do without him. However, I think the losses of Kincaid and Phillips are huge. Kincaid would have been a matchup nightmare for the Nittany Lions. Without him they can focus all their attention on wideout Dvaughn Vele. As for Phillips, he finished T-3rd in the country with 6 interceptions. 

Those guys not playing tells me that this game just isn't all that important to Utah and I think part of them not playing is because this team was in the Rose Bowl last year. I always question the motivation of a team playing in the same bowl game. With all that said, even if all those guys were playing for Utah, I would still like Penn State at this price. Give me the Nittany Lions +2.5! 

9* NFL No Doubt ATS MASSACRE: New York Jets -1

I'll take my chances with the Jets as a slim 1-point road favorite against the Seahawks. I've played and lost with New York in each of their last two games. The first one I didn't know Mike White wasn't going to be under center. The second was just a bad play on this team with Wilson at quarterback against a surging Jaguars team. 

The big reason I'm going right back with New York again this week is the fact that White has been cleared to play and will be back under center. I just think there is zero faith in Wilson with the other guys in the locker room. The entire attitude changes with White under center, as their offense can provide some balance and not just force the defense to do everything. People forget how good this Jets' defense is. They have allowed more than 20 points just once in their last 7 games. 

That defense will be facing a Seattle offense that is trending in the wrong direction. Seahawks scored just 10 points last week against a struggling Chiefs defense and 13 the week before against the 49ers. Star rookie running back Kenneth Walker is questionable and will be playing at less than 100% if he suits up. Seattle really needs him to be a difference maker in this game, because you aren't going to make a living trying to attack this Jets defense thru the air. I just don't see their offense doing enough in this one. Give me the Jets -1! 

9* NFL Vegas Oddsmakers LINE MISTAKE: Washington Commanders -2

I'm going to lay the 2-points at home with the Commanders against the Browns. I just don't understand why Cleveland is getting so much respect in this spot. There's zero motivation for the Browns to show up in this game, as they were eliminated from the playoffs with last week's 10-17 loss at home to the Saints. A loss that stings that much more given that Cleveland had a 10-point lead in the game. 

It was another dreadful showing by Deshaun Watson and the offense. Watson completed just 15 of 31 attempts for 135 yards, as Cleveland's offense was able to manage to just 249 total yards and a mere 3.7 yards/play. Watson is averaging just 175.8 passing yards and has thrown just two touchdown in 4 starts since returning from his suspension. Browns offense as a whole is averaging just 295 ypg in his 4 starts. The offense hasn't gotten better with Watson. It's gotten a lot worse and I don't see it getting any better against a good Washington defense that just recently got back one of the best defensive players in the NFL in Chase Young. 

While Cleveland has absolutely nothing to play for, Washington desperately needs to win this game. The Commanders currently sit in the 7th and final spot in the NFC, but are just a 1/2 game up on Seattle, Detroit and Green Bay. 

The big thing that I think is generating the value with Washington and why everyone isn't running to bet on this team, is the uncertainty with the offense given the news that Carson Wentz is going to take back his job. It's a bit of a surprise move, as backup quarterback Taylor Heinicke guided the team to a 5-3-1 record in his 8 starts and Wentz wasn't exactly playing great when he was in control of the offense. 

I can't say I love the decision, but I also don't hate it. There's not that much difference between the two and Washington has transformed into a more run heavy offense than what they were earlier in the year with Wentz. Tha run-first attack should work just fine against a Browns defense that has given up 162 ypg on the ground over their last 3 games. I'm also not expecting Cleveland's defense to be all that interested in this game with the playoffs out of reach. 

This line to me should be closer than to a touchdown than a pick'em and at the very least the Commanders should be laying at least a field goal. Give me Washington -2! 

10* NCAAF Fiesta Bowl VEGAS INSIDER: Michigan -7.5

I'll lay the 7.5 with the Wolverines against TCU in the Fiesta Bowl. These playoff semifinal matchups have a history of not being all that competitive and this one to me has blowout written all over it. How many times have we seen a Big 12 team (mainly Oklahoma) get exposed in these playoffs? TCU is lessor version of those Sooner teams. 

Everyone wants to focus on their 12-0 start, but this is a team that won a lot of games they shouldn't have. I also think losing K-State in the Big 12 title game only solidifies that this team is a fraud. 

As for Michigan, this team is getting a lot of respect, but I don't think it's enough. This team was here a year ago and didn't play up to their liking. This entire season has been about getting back to the playoffs and delivering a big time showing in this spot. This team annihilated the two best teams they played in Penn State and Ohio State, beating the Nittany Lions 41-1 and the Buckeyes 45-23. 

Michigan was outstanding at running the football, averaging 243 yards/game and 5.7 yards/carry. TCU gave up 152 rush yards/game and 4.2 yards/carry and that was in a watered down Big 12 where the majority of teams like to throw the football. I just think the Wolverines are going to impose their will on the line of scrimmage on both sides of the ball and win this game going away. Give me the Wolverines -7.5! 

9* NCAAF - Sugar Bowl ATS SLAUGHTER: Alabama -7

I'll lay the 7-points with Alabama against Kansas State in Saturday's Sugar Bowl. The big concern for the Crimson Tide coming into this game was how motivated would they be to play after missing out on the playoffs. I believe we got the answer to that with all of Alabama's future 1st round picks not opting out. While they haven't said it, it's got the feel here of the Crimson Tide looking to come out and make a statement. They want to show everyone that they are one of the 4 best teams and should have been invited to the 4-team playoff. 

That's bad news for Kansas State, who I think is getting way too much respect here. Sure the Wildcats won the Big 12 title, defeating TCU to end the Horned Frogs perfect season. A great win, but the Horned Frogs to me are frauds. They have pulled several wins out that should have been losses and will likely get exposed later in the night against Michigan in the Fiesta Bowl. 

It's also a bad matchup for K-State, who wants to run the football, grind out the clock and let their defense win them the game. I just don't see them being able to stop Alabama from scoring and running the ball right at this Alabama defense is not a great recipe for success. Give me the Crimson Tide -7! 

10* NCAAF - Duke's Mayo Bowl VEGAS INSIDER: NC State -1

I will gladly take my chances with NC State at basically a pick'em against Maryland in Friday's Duke Mayo Bowl. I just feel like the Terps are getting way too much respect here. Maryland's offense figures to have a really tough time moving the football against an elite Wolfpack defense. 

A big reason for that is the talent the Terps will be missing. Maryland had 3 legit NFL wideouts in Rakim Jarrett, Dontay Demus and Jacob Copeland. All 3 have decided not to play in this game. The only wideout who had more than 250 yards receiving that will be available is Jeshaun Jones. 

I'm also not a big fan of Maryland quarterback Taulia Tagovailoa. Yes, he's extremely accurate, but he wasn't nearly as good this year as he was last year. He's also a quarterback that has feasted on bad teams and struggled against better competition. Over the last 2 years, Tagovailoa has faced 13 teams with a winning record and has a 18/15 TD/INT ratio. Compare that to a 25/2 TD/INT ratio in 11 games vs teams with a losing record. 

NC State has been hit hard with injuries at the quarterback position, but the offense did perform well when true freshman M.J. Morris was under center. He had a 7-1 TD/INT ratio in 3 starts. He got hurt at the end of the year, but is expected to be ready for the bowl game. 

I just think the NC State defense will make enough plays for the Wolfpack to get out to a comfortable win and secure the victory. Give me NC State -1! 

10* NCAAF Alamo Bowl VEGAS INSIDER: Washington Huskies +3.5

I'm going to grab the 3.5-points with Washington as they take on Texas in the Alamo Bowl Thursday night. I don't think the Longhorns should be laying more than a field goad and I'm not so sure they should even be favored in this game. 

Texas had arguably their best player on each side of the ball opt out in running back Bijan Robinson and linebacker DeMarvion Overshown. Robison rushed for 1,580 yards and 18 touchdowns. Not only will he be out, but backup running back Rochon Johnson, who had 554 yards and 5 scores has also opted out. That leaves freshman Jonathan Brooks, who had just 179 yards, as their leading rusher going into this game. 

That's going to put a lot of pressure on Quinn Ewers to shoulder the offense. Ewers flashed at times in his freshman season, but I thought he regressed as the season went on. He really seemed to be flustered by pressure and this Washington defense has shown the ability to get to the quarterback and have done so without blitzing. 

On the flip side of the ball, you have an explosive Washington offense that put up 40.8 ppg, 523 ypg and 7.1 yards/play going up against what I think is a very middle of the pack Texas defense without Overshown. Michael Penix and the Huskies offense tormented zone defense and is facing a Longhorns defense that played zone on roughly 75% of their defensive snaps. Without Robinson and Johnson, Texas won't be able to play keep away. This should at the very least be a pick'em. Give me the Huskies +3.5! 

10* NCAAF Liberty Bowl VEGAS INSIDER: Kansas Jayhawks +2.5

I will take my chances with Kansas as a 2.5-point dog against Arkansas in the Liberty Bowl on Wednesday. The Jayhawks should be the much more motivated side in this one. Kansas is coming off a shocking 2022 regular-season that saw them go 6-6 and become bowl eligible for the first time since 2008. 

Kansas went just 3-6 in the Big 12, which might not seem all that impressive. However, were talking about a team that was 6-83 in conference games over the previous 10 years. Almost everyone had them picked to finish last in the Big 12. 

In just two years, head coach Lance Leipold has turned this program around and now Kansas has a chance to cement their best season in more than a decade with a win over a SEC opponent. 

That opponent is Arkansas, who I just don't think is all that excited about playing in this game. The Razorbacks have have had several key players opt out. On offense starting center Ricky Stromberg and 2nd leading receiver Jadon Haselwood opted out, while starting tight end Trey Knox and their No. 3 wideout Ketron Jackson entered the portal. Haselwood, Knox and Jackson combined to catch 101 passes for 1,275 yards and 11 TDs. That's 47.6% of their receptions, 46.1% of their yards and 45.8% of their receiving TDs out the door. 

On defense, Arkansas will be without linebackers Drew Sanders and Bumper Pool, defensive back Myles Slusher and defensive tackle Isaiah Nichols. Sanders led the team in tackles (103) and sacks (9.5), Pool was second in tackles (92). Their leading tackler on the field will be Simeon Blaier, who finished with 66. Considering the Razorbacks allowed 28.8 ppg, 454 ypg and 6.5 yards/play with Sanders and Pool on the field, it could get ugly without them against a high-powered KU offensive attack. Give me the Jayhawks +2.5! 

9* NCAAF Camellia Bowl ATS ANNIHILATOR: Georgia Southern -3.5

I'm going to take Georgia Southern as a 3.5-point favorite against Buffalo in the Camellia Bowl on Tuesday, December 27. I got no problem laying less than a touchdown with the Eagles in this one.

While both of these teams snapped 3-game losing streaks in their final game of the regular-season to get to 6-6 and bowl eligible, Georgia Southern upset App State 51-48 as a 6.5-point dog, while the Bulls had to rally for a 23-22 win at home against Akron as a 11.5-point favorite. 

I just have a lot more trust in this Eagles team. Georgia Southern played the much more difficult schedule and had impressive wins, beating Nebraska 45-42 on the road as a 23.5-point dog and knocking off James Madison 45-38 as a 13-point dog. 

I know Buffalo caught the eye of a lot of people when they put together a 5-game win streak in the middle of the season, but the advanced numbers suggested it was a bit fluky. No bigger example of that than their 34-27 win against Toledo. The Rockets turned it over 6 times in that game and blew a 27-10 4th quarter lead. They have gone 0-4 ATS since that win over Toledo. 

Both these teams played Coastal Carolina and both lost, but one was competitive and the other wasn't. Georgia Southern lost by a final score of 30 to 34. They were outgained by just 23 yards in defeat. Buffalo lost by 12 and were outgained by 167 yards. The Eagles averaged 6.2 yards/play vs the Chanticleer, while the Bulls could only muster 3.6 yards/play. 

Georgia Southern averaged 6.2 yards/play on the season, gaining 0.8 yards/play more than what their opponents gave up on average. Buffalo averaged just 4.9 yards/play, which is -1.1 yards/play on average below what their opponents allowed. 

So while both of these defense gave up over 6.0 yards/play, there's only one offense I trust to consistently put together scoring drives and that's Georgia Southern. 

There's also a little extra motivation for Georgia Southern quarterback Kyle Vantrease in this game, as he made 26 starts over the previous 5 years at Buffalo before transferring to Statesboro last offseason. He will definitely be up for this game and I think his teammates are going to want to do everything they can to help make sure he gets a win. Give me the Eagles -3.5! 

10* NFL Sharp Money VEGAS INSIDER: Indianapolis Colts +4

I'll take my chances with the Colts as a 4-point home dog against the Chargers on Monday Night Football. Not many are going to want anything to do with betting Indy in this one. Not after last week's historic collapse against the Vikings, where Indy somehow managed to turn a 33-0 halftime lead into a 36-39 OT loss. It was the largest blown lead in NFL history and you can bet this Colts team is sick and tired of hearing about it. What better way to put it to rest, than playing at home on Monday Night Football against an opponent fighting for their playoff lives. 

I also like the decision head coach Jeff Saturday has made to bench Matt Ryan in favor of Nick Foles. A move I think they should have done a long time ago. Ryan just has been too inconsistent and has done a horrible job protecting the football. Foles gives that offense new life and it simply can't be any worse. 

As for the Chargers, they haven't exactly been clicking on the offensive side of the ball. LA scored just 20 points on the road in a loss to the Raiders, put up 23 at home against a very average Dolphins defense and last week snuck by a bad Titans defense with a 17-14 win. This is also a Chargers defense that has allowed 368.6 ypg and 6.2 yards/play on the road this season. I just can't get to them being this big a road favorite. Give me the Colts +4! 

10* NFL Christmas Day ATS MASSACRE: Denver Broncos -2.5

I'll take my chances with the Broncos as a 2.5-point road favorite against the Rams. The fact that Denver, who is just 4-10, is favored on the road against the defending champs, tells you everything you need to know about how bad this season has went for Los Angeles. Injuries have completely derailed any hopes the Rams had of running it back. Just on the offensive side of the ball, they have lost starting quarterback Matthew Stafford, one of the best WR in the game in Cooper Kupp and their big FA signing at WR in Allen Robinson. They have also had a ridiculous 14 different starters on the offensive line. No injuries at running back, but they might as well, but it's not like they can run the ball. 

Baker Mayfield is starting at quarterback after he was claimed off waivers a couple weeks ago. Mayfield did lead a crazy comeback win against the Raiders in his first start, but the offense managed just 3 points for 56+ mins of that game. They then proceeded to score just 12 points and rack up a mer 156 total yards in a 12-point loss at Green Bay last week. 

Simply put, this offense is down bad, even more so than this Broncos team. You combine that with the talent Denver has on the defensive side of the football and I just think it's without question the biggest mismatch on the field in this game. The Broncos offense has looked a little more competentent of late as well, scoring 24 last week in a win at home over Arizona and 28 the week before against the Chiefs. I'm confident they can score enough to win this game by at least a field goal. Give me the Broncos -2.5! 

9* NFL Raiders/Steelers ATS NO-BRAINER: Steelers -2

I'm going to take the Pittsburgh Steelers as a 2-point home favorite against the Las Vegas Raiders. I just think this is the perfect spot to go against the Raiders. Las Vegas comes into this game having won 4 of their last 5 games and everyone is talking about them after their crazy 30-24 win over New England last week, where the Patriots started lateralling the ball on the final play with the game tied and it ended up resulting in a Raiders defensive touchdown. Keep in mind this came after Las Vegas went 81 yards in 1:39 to tie the game with just 32 seconds to play. 

They also had similar wins over the Broncos and Seahawks during this 4-1 run. They tied it up with Denver with 16 left before winning the game in OT. They scored with 1:54 on the clock to tie it up and force OT in their win over Seattle. 

So while it may appear this team is playing better, I'm not buying it and I think they are going to have a terrible time keeping this game respectable against Pittsburgh. The Steelers are better than they get credit for. Pittsburgh has won 5 of their last 9 games with the 4 losses coming all to playoff teams in the Dolphins, Eagles, Bengals and Raiders.

I also think the atmosphere at this game is going to be something special. This game is being played to honor of the Immaculate Reception by Franco Harris. They are going to retire his number at the half, which is something they don't do often in Pittsburgh. Unfortunately Harris won't be there to see it, as he passed away on Wednesday. I see the Steelers laying it all on the line in this one in honor of Harris. 

I also don't think you can handicap this game without looking at the weather. These two teams will be lucky if the temp reaches double-digits. Wind Chills are expected to be pushing -10 degrees. I get the Raiders have played games in the cold, but chances are not many have played in games that are going to be this cold. I just think it plays to the strength of the Steelers, who are the more physical team. Give me Pittsburgh -2! 

9* NFL - Public Money ATS SLAUGHTER: Seattle Seahawks +10

I'll take my chances with the Seahawks as a 10-point road dog against the Chiefs on Saturday. Kansas City has no business laying double-digits against Seattle. Yes, the Seahawks have lost 4 of their last 5 and failed to cover in all 5, but all 4 losses during this stretch have come by 8 or fewer points. The Chiefs have won 7 of their last 8 and own one of the league's best records at 11-3, but are just 4-9 ATS over their last 13 games, with two of those covers being a 10-point win over Jacksonville as a 9.5-point favorite and a 16 point win over the Rams as a 15.5-point favorite. 

It just seems that whenever KC is playing well, the books don't hesitate to inflate the number on them and it makes sense given how willingly the public is to lay their money on a quarterback like Mahomes. 

Not only is the line inflated, but this Kansas City defense has not been playing well at all of late. Their run defense has slipped from the start of the year and while their not giving up a ton of yards in the passing game here of late, they just don't seem to make a lot of big plays and aren't great on 3rd downs. I think Geno Smith will be able to do enough here to at the very least keep this a one-score game. Give me the Seahawks +10! 

10* NFL - Sharp Money VEGAS INSIDER: New York Giants +4

I got no problem taking the 4-points with the Giants as they go on the road to face the Vikings on Saturday. I just don't think Minnesota should be laying more than a field goal in this match. The Vikings are without a doubt the luckiest team in the NFL this season. They added yet another close win to their resume with last Saturday's crazy 39-36 OT win over the Colts, where they rallied from a 33-0 halftime deficit. You just can't keep winning games like this. 

I also think this is a horrible matchup for the Vikings. Minnesota has not been able to get their run game going of late. Vikings have eclipsed 100 yards rushing just once in their last 5 games and are averaging just 74.4 ypg during this stretch. I don't know if having to rely heavily on the pass game is a good strategy against a stingy Giants secondary. New York's only giving up 216.9 passing yards/game on the season and have allowed more than 300 yards passing just once all season. 

If the offense struggles to throw, they could find themselves in another big hole in this one, because there's no signs that this Vikings defense is going to get better. Minnesota is dead last in the NFL in total defense, giving up 278.8 ypg. They are allowing an average of 6.2 yards/play and are giving up an average of 31.3 ppg over their last 6 contests. Give me the Giants +4! 

10* NCAAF Pre-New Year's PLAY OF THE YEAR : Wake Forest Demon Deacons -2 

I'll take my chances with Wake Forest as a 2-point favorite against Missouri in the Gasparilla Bowl. The Demon Deacons went just 1-4 SU and 1-4 ATS in their last 5 game, while Missouri closed out the year winning 4 of their last 6 to get bowl eligible. It might have some thinking the Tigers are the play as a dog in this matchup, but opt outs, coaching departures  and transfers have really hit this Missouri team hard. 

It's no secret this Demon Deacons defense isn't very good, especially against the pass. In their last 3 games to end the season they gave up 448 passing yards to North Carolina, 357 to Syracuse and 391 to Duke. They were missing safety Malik Mustapha for those 3 and are expected to get him back. Missouri will also be playing this game without their best wide receiver in Dominic Lovett, who had 56 catches for 846 yards (accounted for 25.3% of Missouri's completed passess). The Tigers also lost quarterbacks coach Bush Hamdan. Might not seem like a big deal, but quarterback Brady Cook had a noticable spike in his play when head coach Eli Drinkwitz surrendered play-calling duties to Hamdan. Drinkwitz will go back to calling the plays for this game. 

On the flip side, Wake Forest got good news when quarterback Sam Hartman decided he wanted to play in this game. Hartman is still undecided if he's going to transfer or try his luck in the NFL Draft. He's got a chance here to set the ACC record for TD passes (needs just 1) and become the second ACC QB to end his career with more than 13,000 passing yards (needs 313). He's clearly got some incentive to play well and I think his teammates will be motivated to play well for him. Star wide out A.T. Perry also could have easily declared for the draft, but decided to play. 

Missouri's defense figured to give this potent Wake Forest some problems, but that was before their two best defensive linemen Isaiah McGuire and D.J. Coleman decided to leave early to prepare for the NFL draft. They also lost a good safety in Martez Manuel. That's pretty much the Tigers' entire pass rush gone for this game. You got no chance of stopping this WF offense without getting pressure on Hartman and I just don't see Missouri's offense being able to keep pace. Give me the Demon Deacons -2! 

10* NFL Thursday Night Football VEGAS INSIDER: New York Jets -1.5

I'll take my chances with the Jets as a 1.5-point home favorite against the Jags on Thursday Night Football. This is just too good a price to pass up on New York, especially at home in a game that will be played on just 3 days rest. Home team has a huge edge in this one. Jets should be extra motivated coming into this game having lost 3 straight. All 3 games they could have easily won. 

I thought Zach Wilson played well last week in place of Mike White. Better than expected. Maybe the benching helped him. Either way, this is another defense he should be able to move the ball against. Jacksonville is giving up 26.4 ppg, 394 ypg and 6.0 yards/play on the road this season. 

I also think this is a big flat spot for Jacksonville off last week's huge 17-point come from behind win at home against the Cowboys. How much of that was Dallas looking ahead to this week's game against the Eagles? It certainly didn't look like the Cowboys were fully invested. This is also the 3rd road game in less than 4 weeks for Jacksonville, who has shockingly will not play a single stretch all season where they play two consecutive games at home. This team is on a plane to a new city or back home every week. This feels like the spot where it catches up to them. Give me the Jets -1.5! 

9* NCAAF Armed Forces Bowl ATS SLAUGHTER: Air Force Falcons +3.5

I will gladly take my chances with Air Force as a 3.5-point underdog against Baylor in the Armed Forces Bowl on Thursday. You would think that service academies would be at a disadvantage in bowl games, given how long the opposing teams has to prepare for the triple-option, but that seems to be getting baked into the line. Army, Navy and Air Force are a combined 21-9 ATS in bowl games going back to 2005. 

Motivation is also everything in bowl games. I have to think Air Force will be the more excited team to play in this game. Service Academies just don't take these games off. Probably why they are so good against the number. Falcons should be excited to play a Power 5 school. As for Baylor, this is not the bowl game they thought they would be playing in.

It's not exactly going to be nice out for this game either. Temps are expected to be below 20 with winds pushing 20 mph with gusts upward of 40 mph. That 100% favors the better running team, which is Air Force. With Baylor's pass game negated, I wouldn't be shocked here if the Falcons won this convincingly. Give me Air Force +3.5! 

10* New Orleans Bowl VEGAS INSIDER: S Alabama -3.5

I'll take my chances with South Alabama laying 3.5 in the New Orleans Bowl against Western Kentucky. I think this Jaguars team is going to relish in the opportunity to put some more respect on their season. This team went 10-2 with their only two losses being by 1-point on the road to UCLA and by 4 to the Sun Belt's best team in Troy. They also won 9 of their 10 games by at least a touchdown. 

They are going to be facing a WKU team that has been decimated by players leaving either to the portal or leaving early to prepare for the NFL draft. On offense they won't have second leading receiver Daewood Davis, starting left tackle Gunner Britton and center Rusty Staats. The big story here is the loss of two starters on the o-line and those are widely considered the two most important positions on the offensive line. 

That to me is going to be a serious problem against a South Alabama defense that gave up just 19.4 ppg, 304 ypg and 4.8 yards/play. They only gave up 300 passing yards once all season. 

The Hilltoppers also lost second leading tackler Derrick Smith (NFL), corner Kahlef Hailassie (NFL) and safety Talique Allen (Portal) on the defensive side of the ball. Those losses in the secondary could be big. Give me South Alabama -3.5! 

10* NFL Vegas Insider PLAY OF THE MONTH: Tennessee Titans +3

I love the Titans as a 3-point road dog against the Chargers. This is a great buy-low spot on the Titans coming off last week's surprising 22-36 loss at home to the Jags. It's also a great sell-high spot on the Chargers, who are off a 23-17 upset win at home against the Dolphins. 

I get there was a lot not to like with the performance the Titans gave against the Jags, but it is worth noting they turned it over 4 times in that game. Jaguars had to go less than 50 yards on each of their first 3 scoring drives. It had them playing from behind and that's just not an ideal scenario for this run-heavy team. 

They shouldn't have any problem keeping their offense humming along in this one, as the Chargers have one of the worst run defenses in the league. I know LA's defense played great against Tua and the Dolphins, but I believe that was more of them just copying what the 49ers did to slow down Miami. I haven't even got into all the injuries the Chargers are dealing with on the defensive side of the ball. 

I know it will be Justin Herbert facing off against this bad Titans secondary, but I think the Titans are going to be able to get a pass rush going in this game. Herbert has been running for his life of late. He's been sacked 18 times in the last 4 games, getting sacked at least 4 times in each game. Herbert may very well throw for a bunch of yards, but those negative plays are going to kill drives. I also think it will be tough for LA to execute in the redzone. Simply put, I like the Titans to win this game and to do so rather easily. Give me Tennessee +3!