My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

Keatts is 13-5 UNDER  when playing against a marginal losing team (Win Pct. 40% to 49%) as the coach of NC STATE with a combined average of 139.7 ppg. 

Dixon is 24-12 UNDER versus poor foul drawing teams - attempting 18  or less free throws/game as the coach of COPPIN ST with a combined average of 139.6 ppg scored. 

CBB Neutral court teams against the total (NC STATE) - off an upset loss to a conference rival as a favorite, on Tuesday nights are  28-5 UNDER L/26 seasons for a 85% conversion rate with a combined average of 130.5 ppg scored.

CBB Neutral court teams against the total (COPPIN ST) - off an upset win as a road underdog, a bad team, winning 20% to 40% of their games on the season are 77-33 L/26 seasons for a 70% conversion rate for bettors with a combined average of 133.1 ppg scored.

Play UNDER

Orlando has allowed an average of 116.1 ppg at home this season and rank 27th in the league in defensive efficiency  and Im betting the visiting Milwaukee Bucks  will breach that output here today and for the Magic in chasing fashion to put up enough points for us to cash an over ticket. 

MILWAUKEE in 25 road tilts    versus poor pressure defensive teams - forcing 13 or less turnovers/game over the last 2 seasons a combined average score of 226.1 ppg have gone on the scoreboard.

Over is 5-1 in Bucks last 6 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of less than .400. 

Over is 7-3-1 in the last 11 meetings in Orlando.

 NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 220 (ORLANDO) - good free throw shooting team (76-79%) against an average free throw shooting team (72-76%), hot shooting team - 4 straight games making 47% or better of their shots are 25-4 OVER L/5 seasons for a 86% conversion rate for bettors with a combined average of 239.8 ppg scored.

Play OVER

Colorado has seen 9 of their L11 games stay on the low side of the total, while Philadelphia has failed to eclipse  5 of their L/6  totals offerings. Im betting on these trends continuing to favor the under based on matchup projections. 

Under is 4-0 in Avalanche last 4 vs. Metropolitan.Under is 5-1-1 in Avalanche last 7 road games.

Under is 4-0-2 in Flyers last 6 vs. Central.

Under is 4-0 in Flyers last 4 home games.

COLORADO is 8-2 UNDER  against struggling  power play killing teams-opp score on 19%  or more of chances this season. 

NHL Road teams where the total is 6 or more (COLORADO) - tired team - playing their 3rd road game in 5 days, a marginal winning team (51% to 60%) playing a losing team in the first half of the season are 46-17 UNDER L/26 seasons for a 73% conversion rate for bettors.

NHL Road teams where the total is 6 or more (COLORADO) - very good team - outscoring their opponents by 0.5+ goals/game, after a blowout loss by 4 goals or more in their previous game are 47-17 UNDER L/26 seasons for a 74% conversion rate for bettors.

Play UNDER

 My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

My projections estimate a Total that should be closer to 132 thus giving us value with an over wager here as we have a more than two possession edge based on my numbers.

NORTHWESTERN is 10-0 OVER L/10 off an upset loss by 10 points or more as a home favorite with a combined average of 129 ppg scored.

MICHIGAN ST is 9-2 OVER  after 2 straight games giving up 9 or less offensive rebounds over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 146.5 ppg scored.

CBB Home teams where the total is 129.5 or less (MICHIGAN ST) - excellent ball handling team - committing 12  or less turnovers/game, after 4 straight games committing 11 or less turnovers are 50-18 OVER L/5 seasons for a 74% conversion rate with a combined average of 132.4 ppg scored.

Play OVER

Carolina thanks to a strong defensive style game, have seen 10 of their L/13 games stay ont he low side of the total. Here on the road on tired legs Im expecting a very conservative transitional game plan that will help keep this score on the low side of the offered total. CAROLINA is 12-4 UNDER (+7.6 Units) in road games against poor starting goalies - saving 89.5% or less  of shots against over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 5.1 gpg . 

CAROLINA is 6-0 UNDER against good possession teams-averaging 3+ more shots on goal than opp this season with a combined average of 4.7 gpg. 

Under is 10-2 in Hurricanes last 12 games playing on 1 days rest.Under is 8-2 in Hurricanes last 10 overall.Under is 4-1 in Hurricanes last 5 games following a win.Under is 4-1 in Hurricanes last 5 Saturday games.Under is 6-2 in Hurricanes last 8 vs. Western Conference.Under is 6-2 in Hurricanes last 8 road games.

Under is 4-1-1 in Kings last 6 vs. a team with a winning record.

NHL Road teams where the total is 6 or more (CAROLINA) - tired team - playing their 3rd road game in 5 days, winning between 51% and 60% of their games on the season in the first half of the season are 103-48 UNDER L/26 seasons for a 68% conversion rate. 

Under is 6-1-1 in the last 8 meetings in Los Angeles.

Play UNDER

Dickies Arena - Fort Worth, TX

 My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

Houston can run and gun and play solid D. We know St.Marys will try to grind this game down to halt in order to be competitive, but Houston will dictate the pace and not allow the Gaels to get into a comfort zone forcing them to open up or be completely embarrassed. This Im betting leads to a higher scoring affair than the linesmkaers are expecting. 

HOUSTON in their L/11 as a neutral court favorite or pick over the last 2 seasons have seen a combined average of 128.4 ppg .HOUSTON is 7-0 OVER  in road games after 5 straight games - allowing a shooting pct. of 40% or less since 1997 with a combined average of 143.5 ppg scored.

CBB  teams where the total is 129.5 or less (HOUSTON) - after beating the spread by more than 18 points in their previous game, top level team, winning 80% or more of their games on the season are 29-6 OVER L/5 seasons for a 83% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play over

SEC Championship Game - Mercedes-Benz Stadium - Atlanta, GA

This total has steamed up by almost 5 points since opening and now that it's been over done Ill come back and take a contrarian stance and hit the under offering. 

Georgia has allowed 12.4 ppg on the road this season.The Dawgs have allowed 20 or less points in their L/7 games.( 10, 0, 20, 13, 19, 6, 14) Im betting Georgia will not allow more than 17 this week, while my own projections estimate a 31 point offensive output . 

GEORGIA is 6-0 UNDER when they score 29 to 35 points over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 42.8 ppg scored.

Kelly is 16-6 UNDER  in road games versus excellent offensive teams - averaging 450 or more  yards/game in all games he has coached since 1992 with a combined average of 49.9 ppg scored. 

GEORGIA is 11-3 UNDER (+7.7 Units) vs. good passing teams with a completion pct. of 58% or better. over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 47.4 ppg scored.

CFB  Neutral field teams where the total is between 49.5 and 56 (LSU) - after having won 3 out of their last 4 games against opponent hot team, after having won 8 or more out of their last 10 games are 35-8 UNDER L/30 seasons for a 82% conversion rate with a combined average of 43 ppg scored.

CFB  team against the total (GEORGIA) - outrushing their opponents by 1.75 or more yards/carry on the season, after allowing 125 or less rushing yards in 5 straight games are 44-14 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 75% conversion rate with a combined average of 46.5 ppg scored.

Play UNDER

 My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

 Two teams with capable run and gun offense go head to head here this Saturday. . 

UNC Ashville has averaged 83.5 ppg in 2 home tilts so far this season while Tenn Martin averages 81 points per game overall while allowing 78 ppg on the road.

CBB teams where the total is between 150 and 159.5 points (TENN-MARTIN) - after a home game where both teams scored 75 points or more against opponent off an upset loss by 10 points or more as a road favorite are 28-4 L/26 seasons for a 88% conversion rate. 

Play OVER

C-USA Championship Game

North Texas has allowed 17 or less points in 3 of their L/4 games and are capable of staling the Roadrunners offense. Meanwhile, UTSA has allowed 7 points exact in two of their L/3. With this being a championship game, Im betting the action will not be as wide open as reg season action, and a more chess like game will be played. Im not saying is will be a defensive sleeper, but I am betting the final score will not top this steamed up offering. 

UTSA is 7-0 UNDER   sub par  defensive teams - allowing 5.9 or more yards/play over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 49.8 ppg scored.

CFB  teams where the total is greater than or equal to 70 (UTSA) - off an extremely close home win by 3 points or less, with a winning record on the season are 25-3 UNDER L/31 seasons for a 89% conversion rate with the average combined score clicking in at 62.4 ppg. 

Play UNDER

 BUFFALO is 6-0 UNDER  as a road favorite this season with a combined average of 43 ppg scored. But with this prime time game registering like a play off affair Im betting on an even lower combined score in what Im betting will be a grinding affair. 

New England's consistency on offense is something that aids us tonight with this wager.  They do not rank in the top half of the league in any statistical category. The Pats had some production  last week vs the  Vikings defense that ranks 31st in the league and dead last against the pass. But that wont be the case here vs a Buffalo D, that despite of inconsistencies is ready and capable of standing tall here tonight. Yes, last weeks Buffalos D failed it, but they will be primed for a complete game bounce back. Last week, Detroit offensive coordinator Ben Johnson used a lot of pre-snap motion and formations to generate one-on-one matchups, but the Pats are not capable of this with this current group . 

NFL Road teams where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points (BUFFALO) - versus division opponents, off a no-cover where the team won as a favorite are 27-5 UNDER L/10 seasons for a 85% conversion rate with the average combined score clicking in at 37.3 ppg going on the board. 

NFL Home teams where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points (NEW ENGLAND) - after covering the spread in 4 or 5 out of their last 6 games, winning between 51% and 60% of their games in the second half of the season are 61-24 UNDER L/39 seasons for a 71% conversion rate for bettors with the average combined score clicking in at 41.6 ppg.

Play UNDER

With top player Cade Cunningham sidelined  due to a shin injury, the Pistons are finding it difficult to stay competitive, and tonight the Mavericks knowing how vulnerable their opponents are will be very aggressive especially on offense. This Im betting leads to a fairly wide open affair, that easily eclipses this total. Note: Detroit ranks 29th in the league in ppg allowed defense and 29th in defensive efficiency. 

Over is 12-5 in Mavericks last 17 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of less than .400.

DETROIT is 13-4 OVER  in home games in non-conference games over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 228.9 ppg scored. Over is 8-3-1 in Pistons last 12 home games.

NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 220 (DETROIT) - an average offensive team (108-114 PPG) against a good defensive team (104-108 PPG), after allowing 130 points or more are 45-19 OVER L/5 seasons for a 71% conversion rate with a combined average score of 234.5 ppg going on the scoreboard.

NBA teams where the total is 220 to 229.5 (DALLAS) - after one or more consecutive overs, a good defensive team (104-108 PPG) against a poor defensive team (114-118 PPG).are 72-34 L/26 seasons for a 68% conversion rate with the average combined score of those tilts ringing in at 230.4 ppg.

Over is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings in Detroit.

Over is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings.

Play over

Colorado was beaten up on by the Winnipeg Jets last time out by a 5-0 count. Now awake and in redemption mode I expect a shutdown performance from the road side tonight which will result in a lower scoring affair.COLORADO is 13-4 L/17 UNDER in road games after a huge blowout loss by 5 goals or more in their previous game with a combined average of 4.9 gpg scored. COLORADO is 7-1 UNDER  against good offensive teams  like Buffalo- 29 or more shots on goal, convert 17%or better  pp this season.

Under is 4-0 in Avalanche last 4 vs. Eastern Conference.Under is 5-0 in Avalanche last 5 road games.Under is 7-1 in Avalanche last 8 overall.Under is 5-1 in Avalanche last 6 when their opponent scores 5 goals or more in their previous game.Under is 5-1 in Avalanche last 6 games playing on 1 days rest.Under is 10-3 in Avalanche last 13 Thursday games.

NHL Road teams where the total is 6 or more (COLORADO) - top caliber team - outscoring their opponents by 0.65+ goals/game, after a blowout loss by 4 goals or more in their previous game are 32-7 UNDER L/26 seasons for a 82% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play UNDER

 My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

My totals projection is 144 on this total thus giving us a full one possession edge on the number. 

YOUNGSTOWN ST is 9-2 OVER in road games versus teams who are called for 17 or less fouls/game over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 144.4 ppg scored. YOUNGSTOWN ST is 15-4 OVER L/19 as a road favorite of 6 points or less or pick with s combined average of 144.8 ppg scored. YOUNGSTOWN ST is 9-1 OVER  in road games after a non-conference game over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 152.6 ppg scored. YOUNGSTOWN ST is 8-1 OVER  after a win by 15 points or more over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 149.9 ppg going on the board. 

Over is 4-0 in Penguins last 4 games following a ATS win.Over is 6-1 in Penguins last 7 overall.Over is 6-1 in Penguins last 7 games following a straight up win.Over is 5-1 in Penguins last 6 road games.Over is 4-1-1 in Penguins last 6 games following a straight up win of more than 20 points.

Over is 5-1 in Norse last 6 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.

Over is 9-2 in Norse last 11 Thursday games.

CBB Home teams where the total is between 140 and 149.5 points (N KENTUCKY) - off a home win scoring 85 or more points, a marginal losing team (40% to 49%) playing a winning team are 39-11 OVER L/26 seasons for a 78% conversion rate for bettors.

Play OVER

 My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

NEW MEXICO is 6-0 OVER  in road games when playing against a top-level team (Win Pct. 80% or more) over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 165.5 ppg.  NEW MEXICO is 9-1 OVER  after 2 straight covers as a double digit favorite since 199 with a combined average of 145.3 ppg. scored.

NEW MEXICO is 9-1 OVER  after 2 straight covers as a double digit favorite since 1997 with a combined average of 140.1 ppg.  

CBB Road teams against the total (NEW MEXICO) - after beating the spread by 30 or more points total in their last five games, in a non-conference game between two teams from second tier division 1-A conferences are 25-5 OVER L/26 seasons for a 83% conversion rate with a combined average of 147.1 ppg scored. 

Play over

My owns projections estimate a combined score of 227 plus points , which gives us value on this offering .Utah averages  116.7 (4th of 30) while allowing  115.5 (22nd of 30).  Meanwhile, the Clippers are essentially on the other side of the spectrum offensively and defensively, but as they showed us last night are reving up offensively and off a 118 output while allowing 112 points in a victory vs the Blazers. On tired legs tonight the Clippers in the high altitudes of Salt Lake City wont have the energy needed to play strong D, and this Im betting helps this combined score eclipse this offering. 

Over is 5-1-1 in Clippers last 7 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.

Over is 4-0 in Jazz last 4 vs. a team with a winning straight up record.

NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 210 (UTAH) - good free throw shooting team (76-79%) against an average free throw shooting team (72-76%), hot shooting team - 4 straight games making 47% or better  of their shots are 31-5 OVER L/5 seasons for a 86% conversion rate for bettors with a combined average of 235.8 ppg scored.

NBAl teams where the total is greater than or equal to 220 (UTAH) - good free throw shooting team (76-79%) against an average free throw shooting team (72-76%), hot shooting team - 4 straight games making 47% or more of their shots are 22-4 OVER L/5 seasons for a 86% conversion rate for bettors with a combined average with a combined average of 239.9 ppg scored. 

Over is 5-1-1 in the last 7 meetings.

Over is 3-0-1 in the last 4 meetings in Utah.

Play OVER 

My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned.  

Capel III is 24-14 OVER off a home win as the coach of PITTSBURGH with a combined average of 138.6 ppg scored.

CBB teams where the total is between 120 and 129.5 points (NORTHWESTERN) - after allowing 65 points or less 3 straight games against opponent after 3 straight wins by 10 points or more are 22-3 L/5 seasons for a 88% conversion rate for bettors with a combined average of 134.3 ppg scored.

teams where the total is between 120 and 129.5 points (PITTSBURGH) - after allowing 65 points or less 3 straight games against opponent after allowing 65 points or less 4 straight games are 38-12 OVER L/5 seasons for a 76% conversion rate for bettors with a combined average of 130 points going on the board.

Play OVER

The Golden Knights looked lethargic at times in Friday's 4-2 loss to Seattle, then fell behind 5-0 after two periods of an eventual 5-1 loss  and now Im betting they pickup their defensive work here tonight and pay more attention in transition. Meanwhile, the Blue Jackets last played this past Friday at home when they were flipped in 3-2 by the New York Islanders. Im betting after an ugly start to their campaign, that a new focus on playing responsible  Defensive hockey will continue. 

VEGAS is 7-1 UNDER after a division game this season with a combined average of 5 gpg scored. 

NHL Road teams where the total is 6 or more (VEGAS) - top caliber team - outscoring their opponents by 0.65+ goals/game, after a blowout loss by 4 goals or more in their previous game are 31-7 UNDER L/26 seasons for a 82% conversion rate with a combined average of 5 gpg scored.

Under is 5-2 in the last 7 meetings.

Play UNDER

My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned.  

Veterans Memorial Coliseum - Portland, OR

My projections estimate a combined score of no more than 155 points which adds significant value to us taking an under stance here. This estimate is above long term trend factors and gives us cushion room, but is viable  with a 2 or more possession edge factor.  

XAVIER is 22-8 UNDER L/30 in road games after 3 straight games forcing opponent to commit 11 or less turnovers with a combined average of 139.1 ppg scored.

GONZAGA L/19 games against Big East conference opponents since 1997 have seen a combined average of 146.1 ppg scored.

CBB Neutral court teams where the total is between 150 and 159.5 points (Xavier/GONZAGA) - in a game involving two average defensive teams (42.5-45%) are 34-6 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 85% conversion rate for bettors with a combined average of 140.2 ppg scored.

Play UNDER

The 49ers offense is multi dimensional with McCaffrey and Elijah Mitchell at running back, receivers Deebo Samuel and Brandon Aiyuk, and  tight end George Kittle. Im betting this group. matches up well for the Saints D, and does some damage . On the flispide Andy Dolton and the Saints despite of some inconsistencies put 27 points on the Rams last week in a victory and should not be underestimated in their ability to do have decent output vs. a strong SF D. Note:The Saints stand 8th in the league in passing offense with 237.5 yards per game and Im betting the 49ers will force them to bomb away as SF goes above their expected offensive output average. 

NFC WEST home teams like the 49ers  vs any NFC SOUTH opponent like New Orleans , when the Total offering is  43  or more points are  10-1 OVER L/4 seasons. 

New Orleans and the SF 49ers have gone over  9 straight times here in California  with a combined  average of 52.5 ppg going on the board!

Over is 4-0 in Saints last 4 vs. NFC.

Play OVER

My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

Leon Black Classic - Gregory Gymnasium - Austin, TX

TEXAS is 95-53 UNDER as a favorite of 10 or more points since 1997 with a combined average of 134.9 ppg scored.

Under is 43-18 in Longhorns last 61 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.

Under is 37-16 in Longhorns last 53 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400.

CBB Neutral court teams where the total is between 140 and 149.5 points (UTRGV) - an excellent offensive team (76  or more PPG) against an excellent defensive team (63 or less PPG), after 2 straight games where both teams score 75 points or more are 24-3 UNDERV L/26 seasons for a 89% conversion rate. 

CBB teams where the total is between 140 and 149.5 points (TEXAS) - good defensive team from last season - shooting pct defense of 42%, or less  hot shooting team - 3 straight games making 47%  or better of their shots.91-51 UNDER L/26 seasons for a 65% conversion rate for bettors.

Play UNDER

My own projections estimate a combined score of 230 . Thus we have value with taking the under in this public centric  Totals offering. 

Under is 5-1 in Kings last 6 games following a ATS loss.Under is 5-1 in Kings last 6 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.

Under is 5-2 in Celtics last 7 vs. a team with a winning straight up record.Under is 7-3 in Celtics last 10 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.

SACRAMENTO is 27-12 UNDER  in road games versus poor defensive teams - shooting pct defense of 46% or more  over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 225.1 ppg scored.SACRAMENTO is 34-16 UNDER  off a road loss over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 224.1 ppg . 

NBA Road teams where the total is greater than or equal to 230 (SACRAMENTO) - after failing to cover 2 of their last 3 against the spread, with a winning record on the season playing another winning team are 70-36 UNDER L/26 seasons for a 66% conversion rate.

NBA Road teams where the total is greater than or equal to 230 (SACRAMENTO) - extremely tired team - when playing their 3rd game in 4 days, with a winning record on the season playing another winning team are 42-16 UNDER L/26 seasons for a 73% conversion rate. 

NBA team (BOSTON) - hot team - having won 6 or 7 of their last 8 games against opponent hot team - having won 8 or more of their last 10 games are 127-72 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 64% conversion rate.

Under is 17-5 in the last 22 meetings in Boston.

Play on the UNDER

No matter what stats both offensively or defensively have been recorded by either side this season should be discarded and it must be noted that this is a heated rivalry that is often very physical and grueling. This kind of battle also usually ends in a lower scoring affair as compared to the totals offering. These teams have gone under in 10 of their L/13 meetings in Ole Miss and in the two most recent battles these teams did not eclipse hefty totals of 71 and 65.5 with both tilts coming well under theses numbers registering in at 52 and 55 points respectively. 

OLE MISS is 8-1 UNDER  vs. good passing teams averaging 250 or more passing yards/game. over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 53 points going on the board.OLE MISS is 10-2 UNDER  vs. good offensive teams - scoring 31 or more points/game over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 53.6 ppg scored. 

Under is 5-0 in Bulldogs last 5 road games.

80% Chance of rain in Oxford Thursday night.

CFB team against the total (MISSISSIPPI ST) - after going over the total by 21 or more points total in their last three games, with a winning record on the season playing another winning team are 191-113 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 63% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play UNDER

The Giants were torched for 31 points last time out vs Detroit in a loss and now Im betting will be more focused and prepared to try to pair up their defense, by trying to slow this game down to a grind by using their running game , especially knowing they will be playing an explosive Dallas offense. Meanwhile, Dallas behind a strong D, allowing just 16.2 ppg at home this season will once again be hard to score on. This above mentioned combo Im betting will lead to a lower scoring affair that fails to eclipse this total.

NY GIANTS are 7-0 UNDER  after allowing 30 points or more last game over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 31.5 ppg scored. NY GIANTS are 9-1 UNDER  off 1 or more straight overs over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 39.8 ppg scored. 

NY GIANTS are 23-8 UNDER  vs. sub par passing defenses - allowing a comp. pct. of 61% or worse over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 39.3 ppg scored. NY GIANTS are 7-0 UNDER revenging a close loss by 7 points or less to opponent over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 35.8 ppg scored. NY GIANTS are 21-8 UNDER  in games played on turf over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 39.8 ppg scored. 

Under is 6-0-1 in Giants last 7 games after allowing more than 30 points in their previous game.Under is 5-0-1 in Giants last 6 games after allowing more than 150 yards rushing in their previous game.Under is 7-0 in Giants last 7 games in Week 12.Under is 8-1 in Giants last 9 games in November.Under is 20-5-2 in Giants last 27 games on fieldturf.Under is 4-1 in Giants last 5 vs. a team with a winning record.Under is 4-1 in Giants last 5 road games.Under is 21-6-1 in Giants last 28 games after accumulating more than 350 total yards in their previous game.Under is 15-5-1 in Giants last 21 games after accumulating less than 90 yards rushing in their previous game.Under is 15-5-1 in Giants last 21 games following a double-digit loss at home.Under is 9-3-2 in Giants last 14 vs. NFC.Under is 3-1-1 in Giants last 5 vs. NFC East.Under is 18-7-1 in Giants last 26 games following a ATS loss.Under is 18-7-1 in Giants last 26 games following a straight up loss.Under is 33-16-2 in Giants last 51 games overall.

DALLAS is 9-2 UNDER  versus sub par defensive teams - allowing 5.65 or more  yards/play over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 43.3 ppg scored.

Under is 7-1 in Cowboys last 8 games after accumulating more than 250 yards passing in their previous game.Under is 6-1 in Cowboys last 7 games after allowing less than 250 total yards in their previous game.Under is 6-1 in Cowboys last 7 home games.Under is 5-1 in Cowboys last 6 games after allowing less than 150 yards passing in their previous game.Under is 5-1 in Cowboys last 6 games after scoring more than 30 points in their previous game.Under is 13-3-1 in Cowboys last 17 games on fieldturf

NFL Home teams where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points (DALLAS) - average passing team (5.9-6.7 PYA) against an average passing defense (5.9-6.7 PYA) after 8+ games are 61-28 UNDER L/10 seasons for a 69% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the UNDER 

My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned.  .

CBB teams where the total is between 140 and 149.5 points (UMASS-LOWELL) - off a home blowout win by 20 points or more, in a game involving two teams that had marginal losing records (40 to 49%) last season are  38-8 UNDER L/25 seasons for a 82% conversion rate for bettors with the combined average of 135.6 ppg scored.

Play on the under 

My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

My projections make this line closer to 140 which gives us two full possession advantage. 

CBB Neutral court teams where the total is between 140 and 149.5 points (TULANE/NEVADA) - in a game involving two teams that had marginal losing records (40 to 49%) last season are 45-7 UNDER L/26 seasons for a 87% conversion rate with. combined average of 133.9 ppg scored.

Play UNDER

Im sure the pundits and weekend warriors are expecting a passing duel when Patrick Mahomes and the Kansas City Chiefs go head to head with  Justin Herbert and the Los Angeles Chargers. However,  both these teams are most prob going to have key receivers out of the lineup this week and Im betting  that will hamper big downfield plays. Key here will be  the Chargers  inconsistent  offense this season behind a banged up QB Herbert’s who is still not 100% with a  rib injury, which happened in a Week 2 loss to the Chiefs. Throw in the WR issues and the Chargers could have problems with point production vs a under rated KC defense and fail to live up to offensive estimates from the lines-makers which makes for an inflated Total that is vulnerable to be taken advantage of from under bettors. 

Under is 6-1 in Chiefs last 7 games in November.Under is 6-1 in Chiefs last 7 vs. AFC.

LA CHARGERS are 29-12 UNDER (L/41 in home games when playing against a top-level team (Win Pct.  75% or better ) with a combined average of 41.5 ppg scored.

LA CHARGERS are 25-12 UNDER L/37 in home games revenging a same season loss against opponent with a combined average of 39.6 ppg going on the board.

Under is 22-6 in Chargers last 28 games after allowing more than 150 yards rushing in their previous game

Game 15  or less  road chalk of  6 or more points with a Totals line of 49 or more   have gone under in 12 of the L/13 times dating back 3 seasons. 

NFL games in which the home team is an UNDERDOG have gone  16-42 UNDER overall and 0-6 UNDER when AFC team is the home dog .  

NFL Road teams against the total (KANSAS CITY) - excellent passing team (7.3 or more PYA) against an average passing team (5.9-6.7 PYA) after 8+ games. are 73-36 L/10 seasons for a 68% conversion rate for bettors with a combined average of 42.4 ppg going on the scoreboard.

NFL team against the total (LA CHARGERS) - excellent passing team (265 or more  PY/G) against a poor passing defense (230-265 PY/G) after 8+ games, after allowing 8 or more passing yards/attempt in their last game are 30-7 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 81% conversion rate for bettors with a combined average of 42.2 ppg scored.

Play UNDER

My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned.  .

My projections make this total closer to 140 giving us a full possession edge on this number to the under.

CBB teams where the total is between 140 and 149.5 points (THE CITADEL) - off a home blowout win by 20 points or more, in a game involving two teams that had marginal losing records (40 to 49%) last season are 35-8 UNDER L/26 seasons for a 81% conversion rate for bettors with the average combine score clicking in at 135.6 ppg. 

Play UNDER

My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned.  

U.S. Virgin Islands Paradise Jam - Sports and Fitness Center - Saint Thomas

BUFFALO is 11-1 UNDER  on Friday nights over the last 3 seasons.
 BUFFALO is 7-0 UNDER in road games after playing a road game over the last 2 seasons.

CBB Neutral court teams where the total is between 150 and 159.5 points (BUFFALO) - in a game involving two teams that had winning records last season, with just one or fewer starters returning from last season are 26-4 UNDER L/26 seasons for a 87% conversion rate for bettors with the average combined score clicking in at 144.6 ppg. 

Play under

Last week Aaron Rogers  and  the Packers looked rejuvenated with a OT win vs the Dallas Cowboys. The Packers have suffered through  an ugly start  to their season, and has possibly help resurrect themselves behind  rookie WR Christian Watson  who came to the fore front as he produced some much needed  forward momentum  as he scored three touchdowns including  8 receptions ( 107 ypg)  . Im betting on the Packers continuing to look downfield after last weeks successes and for a decent output vs a viable Titans D. However, on the flip-side the Packers D, has not been all that stable allowing 24, 27, 27, 23, 27, 28 points respectively 6 of their L/7 tilts.  With the Tennessee being a run heavy side, and the Packers rankings 28th against the run, my points projection out projections look ready to be proven right. Note: Star  RB Henry  has been sub par this season , but will have a field day vs a side that allows 4.8 yards per carry.Im betting the Titans hit those  above averages offensively and help get this game over the offered Total.   My projections point to both sides putting 20plus points on the board. Note: TENNESSEE is 16-1 OVER when both teams score 20 or more points over the last 3 seasons with a combined average  of 60.2 ppg scored.

GREEN BAY is 17-5 OVER  when both teams score 20 or more points over the last 3 seasons with a combined average 57.8 ppg scored in those 22 tilts. 

Vrabel is 8-1 OVER  in road games after having won 3 out of their last 4 games as the coach of TENNESSEE with a combined average of 51.9 ppg scored. TENNESSEE is 20-8 OVER  against NFC North division opponents since 1992 with a combined average of 51.3 ppg scored. Tennessee is  5-1 OVER L/6 vs NFC North and 8-3 OVER L/11 as non-conference road pups. 

LaFleur is 20-9 OVER  after playing a game at home as the coach of GREEN BAY with a combined average of 52.8 ppg scored. GREEN BAY is 8-1 OVER  when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 53.8 ppg scored. 

GB is 4-0 OVER off a win as an underdog and   3-0 OVER L3 vs Tennessee  with a combined average of 62.3 ppg scored and  7-0 OVER on  Thursdays vs non-division opposition and  11-2 OVER in the  2nd of back to back home games. 

NFL team where the total is between 35.5 and 42 points (GREEN BAY/TENNESSEE) - in non-conference games are 144-88 OVER L/10 seasons for a 62% conversion rate.

Play OVER

On most nights the explosive offense of the Oilers plays a one way type of aggressive transitional hockey. Im betting nothing changes tonight against a Kings side that is allowing 4.1 gpg on the road this season.  Meanwhile, the Kings offense has kept them competitive scoring 3.7 gpg on the road and Im betting they will have to open up here again . 

EDMONTON is 13-1 OVER   against struggling defensive teams - allowing 3+ goals/game over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 8.2 gpg scored.

LOS ANGELES is 7-1 OVER  in a road game where where the total is 6 or more this season with a combined average of 7.8 gpg scored. 

LOS ANGELES is 5-0 OVER in road games after allowing 3 goals or more 2 straight games this season with a combined average of 8.6 gpg scored. 

NHL  Road teams where the total is 6 or more (LOS ANGELES) - after a division game against opponent after 3 consecutive non-conference games are 54-19 OVER L/5 seasons for a 74% conversion rate for bettors.

Play over

My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned.  .

Houston scored more than 80 points in in first three trips to the hardwood, and will dictate a faster paced event here that will help us eclipse this offered total. 

TEXAS SOUTHERN is 16-4 OVER L/20 versus excellent ball handling teams - committing 12 or less turnovers/game with a combined average of 145 ppg.

CBB teams against the total (HOUSTON) - in a game involving 2 up-tempo teams (60 or more shots/game), after 2 straight games - allowing a shooting pct. of 33% or less are 32-7 OVER L/26 seasons for a 82% conversion rate with a combined average of 157.5 ppg scored. 

CBB Home teams against the total (HOUSTON) - dominant team from last season - outscored opponents by 12 or more points/game, after scoring 75 points or more 3 straight games over a 45 game sample size dating back seasons has seen a combined average of 139.9 ppg scored.

Play OVER

 My own number on this total is 47 thus prompting to back recommending  an over wager here.

Im betting  top tier QBs Jimmy Garoppolo and Justin Hebert take part in a back forth Sunday night event. 

LA  Chargers have cashed on the OVER in  10 of their L/11  non division games  when the Totals offering  is  51 points or less with the average combined score clicking in at 60.1 ppg.

Chargers are 4-0 OVER L/4 in back to back road games  and  7-1 OVER vs NFC West  and  12-4 OVER as division road dog of 3 points or more . 

SF is 6-1 OVER  off road dog victory and 5-1 OVER off division road win and .8-2 OVER at home after allowing 14 points or less . These teams have combined to average of 59.2 ppg in their L/4 meetings

Over is 10-4 in Chargers last 14 games overall.

LA CHARGERS are 19-8 OVER  vs. good passing teams with a completion pct. of 61% or better. over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 55.7 ppg scored.LA CHARGERS are 19-9 OVER  after the first month of the season over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 54.2 ppg scored. 

Over is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings.

Play on the OVER 

My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

CBB Neutral court teams where the total is between 130 and 139.5 points (MISS VALLEY ST) - off 2 or more consecutive road losses, team that had a losing record last season are 34-8 UNDER L/26 seasons for a 81% conversion rate. 

My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

E KENTUCKY is 12-1 OVER in road games after a game where they covered the spread over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 160.3 ppg scored.Hamilton is 10-2 OVER in a road game where the total is 140 to 149.5 as the coach of E KENTUCKY  with a combined average of 158 ppg scored. 

Play  OVER

The Wings enter this game having played well but they are banged up and have some key offensive cogs missing, like like Tyler Bertuzzi. With Johnathan Quick in top form of late allowing just 1 goal in his last two games  and known as a streaky goalie the Kings should be able to shut the door on the Wings offense which Im betting helps keep this game on the low side of the total. Also after being smashed 8-2 the last time out you can bet the Wings will be paying alot of attention to their defensive transition game. 

DETROIT is 19-7 UNDER  after playing a game where 9 or more total goals were scored over the last 3 season with a combined average of 4.9 gpg scored.

Play UNDER

My own projections make this total closer to 223 giving us a full possession value on a over wager.  (The Bucks are the 2nd best ppg defensive team in the league at the moment while the Spurs are the worst). Im betting the Spurs here on their own home court behind a 5th ranked pace try to get the Bucks out of their  comfort zone and turn this game in to a more wide open affair. This Im betting results in this total being eclipsed. Both these sides have a hsitroy of higher scoring non conference affairs. 

SAN ANTONIO is 16-6 OVER  in home games in the first half of the season over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 222.9 ppg scored. SAN ANTONIO is 41-23 OVER in non-conference games over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 229.2 ppg going on the score board.

Budenholzer is 27-14 OVER  against Southwest division opponents as the coach of MILWAUKEE with a combined average of 235.3 ppg scored. 

MILWAUKEE is 45-25 OVER  in non-conference games over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 234.1 ppg scored.

NBA teams where the total is 220 to 229.5 (SAN ANTONIO) - after a game where both teams scored 120 points or more against opponent after a combined score of 265 points or more are 23-2 OVER L/26 seasons for a 92% conversion rate. with a combined average of 235.2 ppg scored.

Play OVER

Boston brings a 21st ranked pace into this tilt against the Nuggets. The Celtics FG conversion rate has been above average to start the season, and thats why in part their output has been near the top of the league,  but regression should start to rare its ugly head at some point, and according my projections based on their expected offensive production dip in this tilt,  this totals offering  is a tad high and should be closer to 228-- giving us value on the under. 

Under is 4-1 in Nuggets last 5 vs. a team with a winning straight up record. Under is 5-2 in Celtics last 7 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.

BOSTON is 37-23 UNDER  as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 213.7 ppg. 

NBA  teams where the total is greater than or equal to 230 (DENVER) - off a road win, in a game involving two good teams (60% to 75%) are 35-6 UNDER L/26 seasons for a 88% conversion rate for bettors.

NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 230 (DENVER) - well rested team - playing 6 or less games in 14 days, in a game involving two good teams (60% to 75%) are 40-6 UNDER L/26 seasons for a 87% conversion rate. 

NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 230 (BOSTON) - after 4 or more consecutive wins, in a game involving two good teams (60% to 75%) are 23-2 UNDER L/26 seasons for a 92% conversion rate.

Under is 6-1 in the last 7 meetings.

Under is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings in Boston.

Play UNDER

 Both  these teams can put the puck in the net and both are experiencing goaltending issues. 

The Pens goaltending ranks  28th with an .870 team save percentage the last couple of weeks.  Terry the expected starter tonight has garnered a nasty .867 save percentage over his last four starts.  

 Toronto's current starter Goalie  Erik Kallgren  owns a  sub par  .890 save percentage in six appearances  this season.

Over is 8-1 in Penguins last 9 games following a win.

Over is 13-3 in Penguins last 16 games playing on 1 days rest.

Over is 24-5-2 in Maple Leafs last 31 when their opponent allows 2 goals or less in their previous game.

Play OVER 

My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

Armed forces Classic being played on deck of 

USS Abraham Lincoln - San Diego, CA- Winds expected in the 8 mpg range, which will effect shooting and offensive production because of more passing and in close physical basketball in the key.

Play UNDER

My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

Maryland top tier D, that allowed 49 points against Niagara last time out will be key here to this total not being eclipsed. 

Willard is 61-35 UNDER  when playing against a team with a losing record in all games he has coached since 1997 with a combined average of 131.5 ppg scored.

CBB  teams where the total is between 140 and 149.5 points (MARYLAND) - marginal losing team from last season who won 40-49% of their games, team from a major division 1-A conference against a team from a weak division 1-A conference are 45-18 UNDER L/25 seasons for a 72% conversion rate with a combined average of 136.2 ppg scored. 

Play UNDER

My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

CBB Road teams against the total (MISSOURI-KC) - off an embarrassing home loss scoring less than 60 points, good team from last season who won 60% to 80% of their games are 30-8 UNDER L/26 seasons for a 79% conversion rate for bettors.

Play UNDER 

My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

I know both these sides can pour down points,  but when need be both are solid defensively as well in this battle of top tier sides, Im betting on a more physical type of  tilt that will result in a slower pace than the pundits and lines-makers expect based on overall data. the Celtics own the 21 ranked pace in the NBA while Memphis ranks 14th. 

MEMPHIS is 24-13 UNDER  versus poor defensive teams - shooting pct defense of 46% or more over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 222.7 ppg scored.

BOSTON is 41-23 UNDER  in road games off a win by 10 points or more over a division rival with a combined average of 194.5 ppg scored.

NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 230 (MEMPHIS/BOSTON) - well rested team - playing 6 or less games in 14 days, in a game involving two good teams (60% to 75%) are 39-6 UNDER L/26 seasons for a 87% conversion rate for bettors.

NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 230 (BOSTON) - after going over the total by 30 or more points total in their last five games, in a game involving two good teams (60% to 75%) are 27-4 UNDER L/26 seasons for a 87% conversion rate for bettors.

NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 230 (BOSTON) - after going over the total by 42 or more points total in their last seven games, in a game involving two good teams (60% to 75%) are 23-2 UNDER L/26 seasons for a 92% conversion rate.

Play UNDER

 .These two sides in head to head action have taken part in some high scoring tilts with the last five meetings going over the set total with a combined average of , 65.4 combined ppg registering on the scoreboard.  Im betting two hungry sides who need to get untracked go after each other from the get fo today and contribute to a higher scoring affair than the data might project. 

Note:  The Rams were off their Bye last Sunday before their defeat to the 49ers at home.  Despite of being well rested  the Rams lost .

NFL sides like the Rams have gone over 7 straight times when off a SU/ATS home chalk loss after their Bye Week.

Another interesting trend: Tampa  goes to Europe next week . Dating back 17 seasons, non-division NFC sides  before playing in a neutral  site tilt  like the Bucs will the total has been eclipsed ,  20 of 22 times , when the Total offering  is between 39 and 49.5 points . 

 Bowles is 12-2 OVER  in home games after having lost 3 out of their last 4 games in all games he has coached with a combined average of 54.5 ppg scored. McVay is 12-4 OVER  in road games off a division game as the coach of LA RAMS with a combined average of 52.8 ppg scored.

McVay is 12-4 OVER  as a road underdog as the coach of LA RAMS with a combined average of 55.5 ppg scored. 

TB is 5-0 L/5 vs NFC West.

Play OVER 

 The Buffalo D ranked 1st in the NFL is staunch to say the least allowing  an average of 14 ppg overall and have seen their 6 of  their 7 games  games stay under the total and all 4 of their home games with a combined average of 43.6 ppg go on the score board while allowing an average of 9.3 ppg. Meanwhile, the Jets defense ranked 6th in the league has allowed 19.5 ppg in division games and 13.7 ppg in their L/3 games overall with all going under the set total. 

AFC East division confrontations  have gone 4-21 UNDER  L/10 seasons and have gone under  16 of their L/18  dating back 5 season  when the Host side  is an underdog of +3.5 or more points .  

NFL Road teams where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points (BUFFALO) - versus division opponents, off a home no-cover where the team won as a favorite 23-4 UNDER L/10 seasons for a 85% conversion rate with a combined average of 38 ppg scored. 

Play UNDER 

The New Orleans Pelicans and Atlanta Hawks go head to head  Saturday in NBA action at the State Farm Arena. Both of these teams have been taking part in some high scoring events, but my projections tell me that is offered total is a little over blown considering the Pelicans played last night and are on tired legs. The Hawks are much fresher, but Im betting the Pelicans try to slow this game down to a manageable tempo which will in turn help us stay under this offered number.

Under is 5-2 in Pelicans last 7 games playing on 0 days rest.Under is 5-0 in Pelicans last 5 vs. a team with a winning straight up record

NEW ORLEANS is 17-6 UNDER  in road games versus good shooting teams - making 46% or more of their shots over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 219.3 ppg scored. NEW ORLEANS is 17-2 UNDER  as a road underdog of 6 points or less over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 216.3 ppg going on the board.

ATLANTA is 14-4 UNDER in home games versus good rebounding teams - out-rebounding opponents by 3+ per game over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 217.3 ppg.

NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 230 (ATLANTA) - off a road win, in a game involving two good teams (60% to 75%) are 35-4 UNDER  L/26 seasons for a 90% conversion rate.

NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 230 (NEW ORLEANS) - after a home game where both teams score 100 or more points, in a game involving two good teams (60% to 75%) are 26-5 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 84% conversion rate.

Play UNDER

 Two explosive offenses go to the ice today as the Boston Bruins and the Toronto Maple Leafs do battle. 

Leafs goalie Kallgren has allowed three or more goals in 12 of his 17 NHL games and owns  a .875 save percentage and 0-1-2 record in his  three outings.Im betting on a repeat of that here today while the Leafs who are picking up the pace offensively as this season progresses should also do damage against the Bruins. Note: In the last couple of weeks, the Maple Leafs have ranked  second in high-danger chances per 60 (15.74) and 22nd in high-danger chances against per 60 (13.21). Back in forth action is in play here with an over wager being a viable opportunity for bankroll expansion.TORONTO is 24-11 OVER against good teams - outscoring their opponents by 0.3+ goals/game over the last 2 seasons.BOSTON is 19-9 OVER  against good possession teams-averaging 3+ more shots on goal than opp over the last 2 seasons.BOSTON is 8-0 OVER  after successfully covering the spread in 5 or more consecutive games over the last 3 seasons. The last 3 meeting in this series have all gone over the total.

Play OVER

We all know how explosive offensively the Avalanche are, and its now becoming obvious the Blue Jackets D, is atrocious allowing 4.8 gpg in their L/5 trips to the ice. Im betting the Avs take advantage of their vulnerable opponents and for this to end up in a wide open affair as Columbus desperately trys to revitalize a very slow start to their campaign with an all out leave everything on the ice outing.  

COLUMBUS is 8-0 OVER  when playing against a marginal losing team (Win Pct. 40% to 49%) over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 7.5 gog scored. 

COLORADO is 8-1 OVER in November games over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 7.8 gpg scored.

NHL Road teams where the total is 6 or more (COLUMBUS) - after a division game against opponent after 3 consecutive non-conference games are  52-18 OVER L/5 SEASONS FOR A 74% conversion rate for bettors.

Play OVER 

The Eagles defense (allowing 16.9 ppg)  ranks second in DVOA against the pass and in no way will the Texans game plan be based on play option, rather, Im betting  it will  focus on making this into a sleep fest with a slow deliberate ground attack. Note: Texans QB Mills  ranks  29th in EPA/play, 30th in ANY/A and 31st in yards per attempt in the league among starting QBs. Meanwhile, on the flip-side the Texans have been viable in their secondary, ranking 17th in DVOA vs the pass  , so the explosive Eagles run attack will be put into primary  action vs a porous Houston run D. What Im expecting here is for a run heavy game to take place, and for it to be grinding in nature which will aid us in my recommendation that we take an under stance here on this Totals offering. PHILADELPHIA is 6-0 UNDER  in road games in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 38.9 ppg scored.

Under is 4-1 in Eagles last 5 road games.Under is 16-5 in Eagles last 21 games in November.

Under is 10-4 in Texans last 14 vs. a team with a winning record.

Thursday  night NFC sides  like Philly in away tilts vs AFC opp like Houston   have gone under 10 of  the L/12 times with the average combined ppg  averaging  35.6 .  Thursday non-division away sides  like the Eagles off 2 consecutive SU/ATS wins have gone under 8 straight times. Thursday night pups like the Texans  off a SU/ATS division loss  have gone under 7 straight times since the 2016 campaign.

NFL team where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points (HOUSTON) - with a poor passing D - allowing a comp pct of 60% or worse, after gaining 4.5 or less passing yards/attempt in last game are 68-30 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 70% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play UNDER

Orlando ranks 29th in offensive output,  and 12th in ppg allowed and rank 18th in pace. Meanwhile, Golden state is almost the complete opposite, running and gunning behind a fast paced attack. The clashes of these opposites bodes well however, according to my projections for seeing a combined score that fails to eclipse this number. The Magic dont have the overall talent or system to push back hard on the Warriors, and the visitors Im betting after a grueling start to their campaign may  treat this like a defacto game off and make a it a more pleasure orientated  trip to Disney. Grinder on board. 

GOLDEN STATE is 15-5 UNDER   in road games when playing 6 or more games in 10 days over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 217.5 ppg scored. 

GOLDEN STATE L/12  road games against Southeast division opponents over the last 3 seasons have seen a combined average of 222.7 ppg scored.

NBA Home teams where the total is greater than or equal to 210 (ORLANDO) - after having lost 2 of their last 3 games, a terrible team (25% or worse) playing a team with a losing record are 65-35 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 66% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play under

Houston continues to be inconsistent offensively and tonight against a banged up Clippers side, Im betting this total will not be eclipsed as both teams flow issues lean towards a lower scoring affair. LA CLIPPERS are 9-1 UNDER  in road games versus poor teams - outscored by their opponents by 3+ points/game over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 203.8 ppg scored. LA CLIPPERS are 12-3 UNDER  as a road favorite over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 206.4 ppg. 

Under is 20-8-1 in Clippers last 29 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400.

NBA teams where the total is 220 to 229.5 (LA CLIPPERS/HOUSTON) - after going under the total by more than 24 points in their previous game against opponent after going under the total by more than 30 points in their previous game are 30-5 UNDER L/26 seasons for a 86% conversion rate with a combined average of 212.1 ppg scored.

Under is 5-1 in the last 6 meetings in Houston.

Play on the UNDER

 The Jazz grabbed a 124-123 win vs Memphis last time out , and once again face the  Grizzlies for the second time in three nights Monday in Salt Lake City. Memphis shot 56.8 percent, but Utah countered by hitting 51.7 percent of its shots. It was a wide open event, but now Im betting on offensive  regression.

Previous to the Jazz last tilt they saw 3 straight unders, and Im betting on this combined score failing to eclipse this offering. 

UTAH is 24-13 UNDER versus good shooting teams - making 46% or more of their shots over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 216.4 ppg. 

Under is 4-1 in Jazz last 5 home games.

Under is 19-7-1 in Jazz last 27 games following a straight up win.

NBA  teams where the total is greater than or equal to 230 (MEMPHIS) - after going over the total by 30 or more points total in their last five games, in a game involving two good teams (60% to 75%) are 26-3 UNDER L/26 seasons for a 90% conversion rate for bettors.

NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 230 (UTAH) - after a home game where both teams score 100 or more points, in a game involving two good teams (60% to 75%). are 25-5 UNDER L/5 seasons for 83% conversion rate for bettors.

NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 230 (UTAH) - after having won 5 or 6 of their last 7 games, in a game involving two good teams (60% to 75%) are 52-19 UNDER L/26 for a 73% conversion rate. 

NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 230 (UTAH) - in a game involving two good teams (60% to 75%) are 93-37 L/26 seasons for a 72% conversion rate for bettors.

Play UNDER

The teams spilt the two previous contests in Minneapolis, with the Spurs winning 115-106 on Monday and Minnesota getting the job done in a  134-122 victory on Wednesday. Im now betting on regression from a offensive perspective here in game 3 after the last explosion and for this combined score to more closely mimic the first meeting. Note: Minnesota enters after a 111-102 win at home over the Los Angeles Lakers on Friday with their D being the big difference maker and nothing changes here today as this looks to be a recipe for success. 

SAN ANTONIO is 13-3 UNDER  after 2 or more consecutive overs over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 216.3 ppg scored.

Under is 5-1 in Timberwolves last 6 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.

NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 230 (SAN ANTONIO) - after going over the total by 30 or more points total in their last five games, in a game involving two good teams (60% to 75%) are 25-3 UNDER L/26 seasons for a 89% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on UNDER 

I know both sides have played some fast paced wide open affairs, but both sides are openly speaking about playing better D. Based on my projections this line should be closer to 227 thus giving us value with a full possession edge on an under wager.

GOLDEN STATE is 15-5 UNDER  against Central division opponents over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 217.5 ppg scored.GOLDEN STATE is 14-4 UNDER in a road game where the total is greater than or equal to 230 over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 226.1 ppg scored. 

GOLDEN STATE is 15-4 UNDER  in road games when playing 6 or more games in 10 days over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 216.1 ppg scored. 

Under is 35-16-1 in Warriors last 52 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.Under is 5-1-1 in Warriors last 7 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of less than .400.

DETROIT is 18-4 UNDER L/22 after allowing 130 points or more with a combined average of 207.6 ppg scored. Under is 6-1 in Pistons last 7 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400.

NBA Road teams where the total is greater than or equal to 230 (GOLDEN STATE) - terrible defensive team - allowing 118+ points/game on the season against opponent after allowing 115 points or more 2 straight games are 23-2 UNDER L/26 seasons for a 92% conversion rate for bettors. 

NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 230 (DETROIT) - in a game involving two horrible defensive teams (118 or more  PPG are 34-12 UNDER L/26 seasons for a 73% conversion rate for bettors.

Play UNDER

These teams secondaries look weak at best. The Vikings  rank 28th in passing defense giving up an average 272 ypg  while Cardinals   rank 25th in give up an average of /260 ypg . With two more than capable QBs playing today  (Murray vs Cousins) Im expecting a wide open down field affair with plenty of points going on the board. 

The Vikings are on fresh legs off a bye which sets up well for a all out attack. Note: NFC home favorites after their Bye Week going against another NFC opponent like the Cards  when the Totals offering is 51 or less points have gone over 20 of the L/22 dating back to the 2016 season.

 NFL sides with a .800  record or better as home favs of 6 points or less like the Vikings  going against a less than .500 side like  the Cards , when the Totals  offering comes in at between 45 to 54 points has gone over 14 straight times dating back to the 2014 campaign. 

 Minnesota has gone over the total in 15 of their L/20 home tilts including going over in 9 of 10 with a 49 or more totals offering from the books. 

The L/3 meetings in this series have seen a combined average of 55 ppg go on the board. 

Play on the OVER

Los Angeles has given up an average  4.33 goals per game this season which is the second-highest total in the NHL and here against a hungry Toronto team looking to get untracked offensively Im betting that average will be breached by the Leafs . Kings Goaltenders Jonathan Quick and Cal Peterson have combined for a lowly .868 save percentage this season. 

Meanwhile, on the flipside, LA   has responded in decent fashion  early  this season  averaging 3.44 goals per game ranking the ninth  in the NHL in that offensive category. The Leafs have allowed 3 or more goals in 50% of their games this season, and that number Im betting will be breached again in a game I have pegged to eclipse this total. 

NHLvHome teams where the total is 6 or more (LOS ANGELES) - struggling  team - outscored by their opponents by 0.65+ goals/game, after allowing 6 goals or more are 43-17 OVER L/5 seasons for a 72% conversion rate for bettors.

Play OVER 

The Maple Leafs rank 24th in high-danger chances against with 13.31, they have a banged up defense and a sub par goalie starting tonight in Erik Kallgren (.886 SVP% and 3.29 GAA) between  the pipes. San Jose Im betting does some offensive damage. On the flipside, we all know explosive the Buds can be on offense with an array of talent. Note:  Offensively  Toronto   ranks 10th in high danger chances  (54.15%) while San Jose sits 16th (49.76%).

TORONTO is 31-17 OVER against poor defensive teams - allowing 2.85+ goals/game over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 7.2 gpg scored. 

Play OVER

The Clippers have gone under in 4 straight games to begin their season, rNKING DEAD LAST IN OFFENSIVE out , and 17th in pace and ranking 8th in ppg allowed and 6th in defensive rating. Meanwhile, Oklahoma City has gone under in 3 of their L/4 overall with a 22nd ranked offensive output despite of a fast pace. The Clippers will be out to slow down the Thunder  especially  after taking ti on the chin vs Thunder last time out. Im betting on a grinding affair. 

LA CLIPPERS are 27-14 UNDER when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 212.8 ppg. 

LA CLIPPERS are 8-0 UNDER in road games off an upset loss by 10 points or more as a favorite over the last 3 seasons. with a combined average of 205.1 ppg scored. ( Oklahoma City upset them last time out) 

NBA Home teams where the total is greater than or equal to 210 (OKLAHOMA CITY) - off a home win, team that had a losing record last season are 45-13 UNDER L/L/26 seasons for a 77% conversion rate.

NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 200 (LA CLIPPERS) - a terrible offensive team (104 or less PPG) against an avg. defensive team (108-114 PPG), after scoring 48 points or less in the first half in 2 straight games are 125-75 UNDER L/26 seasons for a 63% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the UNDER

Los Angeles has been solid on the defensive end so far this season, and will be primed to slow  down their opponents  in physical fashion. The Nuggets have run and gun  with wreck-less abandon so far this season, but Im betting they will have to start to pay attention in transition, or continue to be blown off the court as was the case  vs the Trail Blazers last time out in a 135-110 loss that featured  allowing  80 points in the second half . I can guarantee you the coaching staff of the Nuggets will be focused on playing better defense immediately and that will help see this combined score stay on the low side of the offered number. 

LA LAKERS are 51-31 UNDER  in road games versus very good shooting teams - making 48% or better of their shots.

DENVER is 43-20 UNDERL/63 in home games after a game where they allowed a shooting pct. of 55% or higher with a combined average of 202.2 ppg scored.

NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 220 (DENVER) - in a game involving 2 terrible teams - outscored by opponents by 7+ PPG, after allowing 125 points or more are 30-2 UNDER L/26 seasons for a 94% conversion rate. 

NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 220 (DENVER) - in a game involving 2 terrible teams - outscored by opponents by 7+ PPG, after a combined score of 235 points or more are 24-3 UNDER L/26 seasons for a 89% conversion rate. 

Play on the UNDER 

Both these teams NYK and the Magic  took part in run and gun fast paced games last time out, and Im betting on tired legs and offensive regression taking its toll here tonight in what will see this combined score fail to see this offered number from the lines-makers being  eclipsed.

Under is 5-0 in Magic last 5 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.

Thibodeau is 16-4 UNDER  versus terrible teams - outscored by their opponents by 6+ points/game as the coach of NEW YORK with a combined average of 202.6 ppg. 

NEW YORK is 42-25 UNDER  as a favorite over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 209 ppg. Under is 14-4 in Knicks last 18 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400.Under is 6-2-1 in Knicks last 9 vs. a team with a losing straight up record.

Under is 20-7-1 in Knicks last 28 games after scoring more than 125 points in their previous game.

The L/4 meetings in this series have not eclipsed this offered total. Under is 7-1-1 in the last 9 meetings in New York.

NBA Home teams where the total is greater than or equal to 220 (NEW YORK) - off a home win, team that had a losing record last season are 22-4 UNDER L/26 seasons for a 85% conversion rate.

Play UNDER 

Chiefs QB Mahomes and company are explosive offensively but they go against a SF side that are  allowing  just  255 yards per game  and 14.9 ppg which gives them the No.1 rank in the league defensively. Meanwhile the 49ers Im betting will also want to keep Mahomes off the field as much as possible and grind away with their ground game in effort to slow this game down to a grinding affair . All in all I expect this tilt to be lower scoring than the lines-makers and pundits expect. 

SAN FRANCISCO is 6-0 UNDER  vs. poor kickoff coverage teams, allowing  24 or more yards per return over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 36.8 ppg scored. SF is 2-12 UNDER L/14 dating back to last season. Under is 6-0 in 49ers last 6 games following a straight up loss which was the case last time out. 

NFL Home teams against the total (SAN FRANCISCO) - off an upset loss by 14 points or more as a favorite are 27-3 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 90% conversion rate with combined average of 40.4 ppg game.

Play UNDER 

I know the Jets D, has played well lately while the Broncos offense has struggled, but Im betting that Denvers  QB Wilson finally gets rolling this week, and that the Jets offense continues to uptrend. 

NYJ are 8-1 OVER  vs opposition  off Monday night  tilt like Denver. 

NFL team where the total is between 35.5 and 42 points (DENVER) - off an extremely close loss by 3 points or less to a division rival, after the first month of the season are 22-2 OVER L/10 seasons with a combined average of 50.5 ppg scored. 

NFL team against the total (NY JETS) - off a upset win as an underdog against opponent off a close loss by 7 points or less to a division rival are 49-19 OVER L/5 seasons for a 72% conversion rate! 

Play on the OVER 

Vancouver has played some wide open games, of late, but its been a buys early season schedule, and they are now on tired legs and not in any shape to run and gun tonight against a Buffalo side that has allowed an average of 2.5 gpg this season behind solid goaltending . With that said Im betting the combined score does not eclipse this offering. 

VANCOUVER is 10-1 UNDER  in home games when playing against a team with a winning record in the first half of the season over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 4.2 gpg scored.  VANCOUVER is 12-3 UNDER in home games first half of the season over the last 2 seasons for a combined average of 4.7 gpg. 

BUFFALO is 8-1 UNDER  in road games off a road win over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 5.3 gpg scored. 

NHL Home teams where the total is 6 or more (VANCOUVER) - after a road game where both teams score 3 or more goals, terrible team, winning 30% or less of their games in the first half of the season are 38-13 UNDER  L/25 seasons for a 75% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play UNDER

Astros starter Javier allowed just one earned run ins his last five September/October starts  garnering a minuscule (0.32 ERA), Javier  didnt get a start in the last series and just came out of the bullpen, but hes going to be the starter today, which gives me confidence in the Yankees have a below average offensive output while hes out there. Meanwhile, Cole goes for the Yankees. The hard throwing righty has allowed just three runs in 13.1 innings during the play offs. The two-time Cy Young finalist  is not stranger to top tier post season efforts as is evident by a 2.81 ERA and 11.5 K/9 rate in  16  trips to the hill in the starters role.

HOUSTON is 21-9 UNDER  vs. an AL starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.100 or better this season.HOUSTON is 50-22 UNDER  vs. a starting pitcher with good control (less than 1.75 BB's/start) this season. HOUSTON is 37-14 UNDER vs. a team with a good bullpen whose ERA is 3.45 or better this season.

HOUSTON is 23-8 UNDER ( against AL East opponents this season.

NY YANKEES are 12-3 UNDER  when playing against a top-level team (Win Pct.  62% or better) this season.NY YANKEES are 22-10 UNDER against AL West opponents this season.

Play UNDER

This totals selection is based on a projection system that I have used during the L/30 seasons. My assessment is that based on the type of football both sides are playing a lower scoring affair than the offered number should be expected. 

Ball State has gone under in 4 of their L/5 overall. 

Under is 10-3 in Cardinals last 13 home games.Under is 6-2 in Cardinals last 8 conference games.Under is 8-3 in Cardinals last 11 games on fieldturf.Under is 18-7-1 in Cardinals last 26 games in October. Under is 6-0 in Cardinals last 6 games after accumulating more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game.

BALL ST is 10-2 UNDER ) after playing a game at home over the last 3 season with a combined average of 50.8 ppg scored. Neu is 11-1 UNDER  against teams who force 1 or less turnovers/game on the season as the coach of BALL ST with a combined average of 48.3 ppg scored. 

CFB  team against the total (E MICHIGAN) - after 1 or more consecutive straight up losses, in a game involving two marginal winning teams (51% to 60%) are 25-3 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 89% conversion rate. 

CFB team against the total (BALL ST) - in a game involving two marginal winning teams (51% to 60%) are 62-18 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 78% conversion rate.

Play on the UNDER 

 Padres starter SNELL is 11-3 UNDER vs. an NL team with a team batting average of .255 or worse this season. (Team's Record)

Phillies starter NOLA is 12-5 UNDER  in road games this season. (Team's Record) with a combined average of 5.9 rpg. 

PHILADELPHIA is 16-6 UNDER  in road games when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season this season with a combined average of 6 rpg scored in those 22 tilts. PHILADELPHIA is 8-1 UNDER  in road games after allowing 3 runs or less 4 straight games this season with a combined average of 4.9 rpg . 

Under is 11-4 in Phillies last 15 road games vs. a team with a winning record.

SAN DIEGO is 11-3 UNDER  in home games after a 5 game span where the bullpen ERA was 2.00 or better this season with a combined an average of 6.2 rpg. 

Under is 9-4 in Padres last 13 vs. National League East.

MLB teams where the total is 7 or less (SAN DIEGO/PHILADELPHIA) - after a combined score of 2 runs or less against opponent after a combined score of 3 runs or less are 52-23 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 70% conversion rate! 

Under is 12-4 in the last 16 meetings.

Play UNDER 

Yesterday game 5 postponement gives both bullpens  and both teams in general a much needed rest period . This Im betting will see a very low scoring do or die battle take place . No pitcher will be given much room or leeway and each pitch will be important. 

Under is 7-1 in Guardians last 8 vs. American League East.Under is 6-1 in Guardians last 7 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15.Under is 5-1 in Guardians last 6 overall.Under is 5-1 in Guardians last 6 playoff games.

Under is 5-1 in Yankees last 6 overall.Under is 5-1 in Yankees last 6 Divisional Playoff games.Under is 5-1 in Yankees last 6 on grass.Under is 5-1 in Yankees last 6 games vs. a right-handed starter.Under is 5-1 in Yankees last 6 home games vs. a right-handed starter.Under is 5-1 in Yankees last 6 home games.

Under is 5-1 in the last 6 meetings.

Play on the UNDER 

Denver has gone under  10 straight times off a  fav loss which happened last week in a 12-9 defeat . They are also  0-6 UNDER after playing on a  Thursday tilt and  and have gone under 5 straight times in Monday night Football prime time affairs as a combined average of  (38.8 ppg )going  on the scoreboard.. The Broncos have also gone under in 12 of their L/14 division road tilts. Meanwhile, the LA CHARGERS have gone under the total in 4 straight Monday night home games and have played some fairly los scoring affairs vs the Broncos with a combined average of 35 ppg scored when playing as hosts. Everything points to another low scoring sleeper in this spot play.Note: Monday night visiting sides off playing on Thursday last week at home like Denver have gone under 7 straight times dating back 6 seasons.

Denvers last 22 games dating back to last season have seen a combined average of 36.9 ppg scored.

LA CHARGERS are 18-7 UNDER L/25 in home games vs. good passing defenses - allowing 5.7 or less passing yards/att with a combined average of 36.4 ppg scored. 

LA CHARGERS are 6-0 UNDER  after a win by 6 or less points over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 43 points per game scored. 

NFL Road teams against the total (DENVER) - with a poor passing D - allowing a comp pct of 60% or worse, after allowing 5.5 or less passing yards/attempt in 2 straight games are 41-15 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 73% conversion rate for bettors.

Play UNDER

The Wild first two games where high scoring affairs losing 7-3 to the Rangers and then took it on the chin again with  7-6 loss to the Kings on Saturday. Considering the defending Stanley cup Champion Colorado Avalanche are on three days rest it makes sense , that they will be in a all out free wheeling form tonight and be ready for a big offensive output which will force the Wild into having t open up or be blown off the ice. This Im betting this leads to a high scoring affair.Over is 5-1 in Avalanche last 6 games playing on 3 or more days rest.Over is 41-19-1 in Wild last 61 home games.

Play over 

The Arizona Coyotes have allowed six goals  in each of their  first two games ,  and own the  league-worst 51 scoring chances per 60. The explosive Toronto Maple Leafs offense Im betting will do more damage here this evening and for the Coyotes to respond with enough light fireworks to help us eclipse this total. Note: The Buds are ranked 7th in the league in scoring chances per 60 (38.0), and eighth in high-danger chances per 60 (15.67) .Arizona has a league-worst xGA/60 (5.16). 

Over is 19-6-1 in Maple Leafs last 26 vs. Western Conference.

ARIZONA is 15-6 OVER  in a road game where where the total is 6 or more over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 7.1 gpg going on the board. 

ARIZONA is 11-3 OVER after playing a game where 8 or more total goals were scored over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 8.1 gpg scored.

Over is 5-0 in Coyotes last 5 vs. a team with a winning record.Over is 8-1-2 in Coyotes last 11 following a loss of 3 or more goals.Over is 7-1 in Coyotes last 8 games playing on 1 days rest.Over is 7-1 in Coyotes last 8 vs. Atlantic.

Play OVER

Im betting Justin Hebert the Chargers top tier QB will have to use his legs and do some scrambling here tonight, against a very strong Denver defense to will consistently be able to squeeze him out of the pocket. Vegas QB Derek Carr rushed for 40 yards vs the Broncos two weeks ago because of consistent pressure that forced him into action. 

Analysis to follow- thank you for your patience

Dallas last 3 meetings vs the Eagles has seen a combined average of 64 ppg go on the board.

McCarthy is 25-9 OVER in road games vs. good passing teams averaging 7 or more passing yards/att. in all games he has coached in his career.

Over is 6-1 in Eagles last 7 home games. Over is 5-1 in Eagles last 6 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.

Over is 12-4 in Cowboys last 16 games after allowing more than 250 yards passing in their previous game. 

NFL team where the total is between 35.5 and 42 points (DALLAS) - after 4 or more consecutive wins against opponent after 5 or more consecutive wins are 26-1 OVER L/39 seasons for a 97% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the OVER

Texas shutout Oklahoma last week and the defense is obviously starting to show signs of up trending this season. Also after scoring 49 points last week a natural regression must be expected  fro the Longhorns offense, especially in a letdown scenario. Meanwhile , Iowa State no matter what their record is entering this game, have remained a tough side to play against as the defense remains staunch, allowing 10 or less points in 4 tilts and allowing more than 14 points only once this season. Everything points to a low scoring tilt that remains on the low side of the total. Note: 7 of the L/8 meeting in Texas have stayed under the total.

Campbell is 10-2 UNDER  in road games when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 75%) in all games he has coached since 1992.

CFB teams where the total is between 42.5 and 49 (IOWA ST) - after allowing 14 points or less in 2 straight games against opponent after allowing 7 points or less in the first half in 2 straight games are 31-7 UNDER L/10 seasons for a 82% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play UNDER 

The last 5 meetings in this series between Edmonton and Vancouver  have been tightly played  low scoring affairs with no more than 5 combined goals going on the board. All 5 of those tilts went under the set total and Im betting on a rinse and repeat situation here tonight. 

Play on the UNDER 

Lafayette goes with a back up QB against a  Marshall defense that ranks 13th in total defense and allows just 281 yards per game. Im betting they struggle to put points on the board. Meanwhile, the the flip-side the visitors, has played a fairly solid brand of D, allowing only 1 of opponents to breach the 21 point plateau against them, and Im betting their stoppers find a way to control the Thundering herds offensive attack . Advantage to the under. 

LA LAFAYETTE is 6-0 UNDER  vs. excellent ball control teams, 32 or more possession minutes/game over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 45.8  ppg scored. 

LA LAFAYETTE is 10-1 UNDER against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 44.2 ppg scored.

Under is 7-0 in Ragin' Cajuns last 7 games following a straight up loss.

Under is 15-5-1 in Ragin' Cajuns last 21 games in October.Under is 39-15-1 in Ragin' Cajuns last 55 conference games.Under is 13-5-1 in Ragin' Cajuns last 19 vs. a team with a winning record.Under is 27-11-1 in Ragin' Cajuns last 39 games overall.

Under is 4-0 in Thundering Herd last 4 games after allowing less than 20 points in their previous game.

Under is 4-0 in Thundering Herd last 4 games following a straight up win of more than 20 points.Under is 6-1 in Thundering Herd last 7 home games.Under is 5-1 in Thundering Herd last 6 games following a straight up win.Under is 5-1 in Thundering Herd last 6 games in October.Under is 4-1 in Thundering Herd last 5 games overall.Under is 4-1 in Thundering Herd last 5 vs. a team with a losing record.

Play UNDER 

Two eastern conference rivals Im betting will play a disciplined defensive tilt here tonight and depend on their top tier goal tending to keep this game very competitive and low scoring. 

Under is 5-0 in the last 5 meetings.

Reigning Reigning Vezina Trophy winner  Shesterkin has a 2.00 GAA and .941 save percentage in nine starts against the Lightning and is expected to be between the pipes tonight in both sides NHL opener . On the flipside , Andrei Vasilevskiy  who was tied for  NHL lead with 39 wins and posted a 2.49 GAA last season get the nod for the Bolts. . He owns a  3.23 GAA in the regular season at New York. 

Under is 5-0 in Lightning last 5 vs. Metropolitan.Under is 10-1 in Lightning last 11 vs. Eastern Conference.

Under is 5-0 in Rangers last 5 vs. Eastern Conference.Under is 5-0 in Rangers last 5 vs. Atlantic.

Play UNDER

KC played a big game and notched a victory against Tampa Bay last time out in a high scoring 41-31 affair,  the Chiefs now in a letdown situation regression should be on the table, and that will aid in this tilt staying on the low side of the total. KANSAS CITY is 6-0 UNDER  in home games after a dominating performance - 34+ minutes TOP, 24+ First downs over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 36.5 ppg going on the scoreboard.LAS VEGAS is 38-19 UNDERL/57 in road games vs. good offensive teams - scoring 24 or more points/game with a combined average of 45.7 ppg going on the scoreboard. Note: The Raiders found a way to win last time out, finally stopping the run ,which correlates with these trends. Under is 6-0 in Raiders last 6 games after allowing less than 90 yards rushing in their previous game.Under is 6-1 in Raiders last 7 games following a straight up win.

The 5 Monday night games so far this season have seen a combined average of 36.8 ppg scored. 

Under is 5-0 in Chiefs last 5 Monday games. 

 Reid is 21-6 UNDER  in home games when playing against a team with a losing record as the coach of KANSAS CITY with a combined average of 40.7 ppg scored. 

NFL team where the total is greater than or equal to 49.5 (KANSAS CITY) - after a road game where both teams scored 24 or more points, good team, winning 60-75% or more of their games on the season are 23-4 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 85% conversion rate. 

NFL Home teams where the total is greater than or equal to 49.5 (KANSAS CITY) - excellent passing team ( 265  or more PY/game) against a poor passing defense (230-265 PY/game), after allowing 7 or more passing yards/attempt last game are 22-4 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 84% conversion rate for bettors. 

Under is 11-3 in the last 14 meetings in Kansas City.

Play UNDER 

These teams took part in a low scoring affair yesterday with Cleveland pulling off a 2-1 win. With two quality hurler and bullpens on the diamonds today Im betting on a rinse and repeat situation and a low scoring affair that fails to eclipse this total.  MLB teams where the total is 7 or less (TB/ CLEVELAND) - after allowing 2 runs or less against opponent after a combined score of 3 runs or less are 106-84 UNDER L/5 seasons. TAMPA BAY is 20-9 UNDER  revenging a one run loss to opponent this season.

Rays starter Tyler Glasnows last 3 starts vs the Guardians has seen a combined score of 2,2,3 runs total scored. Tampa Bay lost all 3 by 2-1, 2-0, 3-0 counts. 

Mckenzies last two starts were wins vs the Rays with 2-1, and 3-2 margins of victory both staying under the total. 

Guardians starter MCKENZIE is 12-2 UNDER in home games vs. an AL team with an on base percentage .330 or worse in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) with a combined average of 5.2 rpg. 

MCKENZIE is 13-3 UNDER  in home games in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) with a combined average of 5.3 rpg. 

Play UNDER

The Red River Shootout rivalry may not be as explosive as the lines-makers are suggesting according to my projections.  Texas and Oklahoma could be changing starters this week — Oklahoma to Pitt transfer Davis Beville because of the head injury suffered by Gabriel, and Texas from Hudson Card to Quinn Ewers, who started the first two games of the season. Changing QBs no matter who considered the starter can sometimes hamper offenses to start clicking again and thats what Im betting on here. A high scoring affair is not out of the question, but according to my projections as mentioned above a combined score that eclipses this number is unlikely. 

CFB team against the total (OKLAHOMA) - after 1 or more consecutive losses against the spread, in a game involving two marginal winning teams (51% to 60%) are 27-4 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 87% conversion rate with the average combined ppg clicking in at 47.5 . 

CFB teams where the total is greater than or equal to 63 (TEXAS) - after a win by 17 or more points against opponent after 3 straight games where 60 total points or more were scored are 42-9 UNDER with  a combined average of 60.5 ppg scored. 

Play UNDER

 Nebraska’s is registered at a lowly  No. 124 overall defense and Rutgers Im betting piles up some points here well above their season average . I know the Scarlet Knights defense has been staunch but still projects to allow between 20 and 27 points according to my estimates which will help us easily eclipse this total. Note: Nebraska put 28 points and 35 points on the board against both their Big 10 opponents this season Northwestern and Indiana. 

RUTGERS is 6-0 OVER in home games after playing their last game on the road over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of  56.3 ppg scored. RUTGERS is 14-4 OVER   off a road blowout loss by 28 points or more with a combined average of 52.3 ppg scored. (Ohio State pummeled them last week)

CFB teams where the total is between 49.5 and 56 (RUTGERS) - off a loss by 10 points or more to a conference rival, a marginal winning team (51% to 60%) playing a marginal losing team are 22-3 OVER L/30 seasons for a 88% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play OVER 

I know we have to quality pitchers on the hill here today, but both don't have alot of big league  play off  game experience and both these teams have offenses that can take advantage against hurlers with post season jitters . Seattle has scored 44 runs in their L/8 games ( 5.5 rpg) while the Jays have scored 39 runs in their L/6 games (6.5 rpg).  

TORONTO is 20-9 OVER  in home games after batting .315 or better over a 5 game span over the last 2 seasons.

SEATTLE is 21-9 OVER  in road games vs. an AL starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.300 or better this season.

Play over 

NATIONAL League Playoffs - Wild Card - Best Of 3 - Game 1

In 12 trips to the hill since coming over the Cardinals , Quintana has garnered a  2.01 ERA and a 2.60 FIP.  He enters this game and post season play having allowed just one run over 25.1 innings of top tier work and Im betting his top shelf effort continues here today. Meanwhile, the Mets, starter Wheeler has been in top form since  returning from the injured list three starts ago.  During that time he has surrendered  just one run on  nine hits with opposition batters hitting just  .177  over a span of  15 innings. Note: Wheeler faced the Cardinals in back to back starts, going deep and strong with both starts seeing him record seven scoreless innings both times.

 WHEELER is 14-5 UNDER  vs. NL teams scoring 4.5 or more runs/game on the season over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) with a combined average of 6.2 rpg scored. 

THOMSON is 16-5 UNDER  in road games vs. a team with a very good bullpen whose WHIP is 1.250 or better as the manager of PHILADELPHIA with a combined average of 6 rpg scored. 

These two teams  have combined for seven or less runs in each of their last five head to head meetings in this series. Rinse and repeat scenario now on board. 

Play UNDER 

Arizona is 4-0 OVER L4 vs Carolina with a combined average of 51 ppg going on the scoreboard ---  Arizona is also 10-1 OVER  L11 vs NFC South  with a combined average of 58.1 ppg scored.  Panthers are 7-0 OVER  L7 vs NFC West  with a combined average of 55.1 ppg scored. 

Over is 4-1 in Panthers last 5 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.

Over is 7-2 in Panthers last 9 games in Week 4.

Over is 5-1 in the last 6 meetings.

Blue Jays are crushing the BoSox this season going  15-3 against the bean town  crew. They’ve won eight consecutive tilts in the season series by a combined score of 77-22  count and Im betting that run wont end today behind a offense that has been on fire -Toronto’s owns  .828 OPS over the last 15 days which ranks second in MLB and will also  help power this total to be eclipsed . 

Jays starter GAUSMAN is 17-7 OVER after giving up 2  or less earned runs in his last 2 outings over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) with a combined average of 9.2 rpg scored. 

Over is 5-0 in Red Sox last 5 road games vs. a right-handed starter.

Over is 7-1 in Red Sox last 8 games following a loss.

Note: Wacha the Red Sox starter has looked tired of late, and Im betting the explosive Jays bats take advantage of the veterans fatigue and make is 14 overs in 19 meetings this season vs Bo/sox. The last time the Jays faced Wacha back in late June, they smashed him for four runs in a 6-5 win - rinse and repeat and with extra mustard added on in the rematch.

Play OVER

These two teams run the ball more than they pass it and are ranked in the top 5 in that category. With that said, I expect alot of time consuming running plays to eat up the clock and for a lower scoring very physical  type affair to be played. I know the Falcons have gone over in 3 straight games, all covers, but it must be noted that NFL home teams off 3 or more ATS victories  that  saw them  go ‘OVER the Total are 0-6 to the under the L/5 seasons.

ATLANTA is 6-0 UNDER  vs. excellent ball control teams, 32 or more possession minutes/game over the last 3 seasons of 37.3 ppg scored.

Cleveland has also gone over in 3 straight but regression here is an expected outcome according to my projections. Note: AFC away chalk  of  1 or more  points  like the Browns  have seen 16 of their L/17 tilts go UNDER  versus any NFC opponent  when the totals offering is  54 points or less. Clevelands last 21 games vs  NFC South division opponents has seen a combined average of 37.8 ppg scored. 

Play UNDER 

OAKLAND is 15-6 OVER in September games this season with a combined average of 11.1 rpg scored.

MLB Road teams where the total is 7 to 8.5 (OAKLAND) - bad offensive team ( 4.2 or less runs/game) against a very good starting pitcher (ERA 3.50 or less) (AL), after a combined score of 17 runs or more are 30-8 OVER L/25 seasons for a 79% conversion rate for bettors.

Royals starter GREINKE is 10-1 OVER  on the road when the total is 8 to 8.5 over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)

Joey Wentz the Tigers starter 6.75 ERA at home this season while Greinke owns 6.36 ERA on the the road this season. 

MATHENY is 9-0 OVER in road games after allowing 12 runs or more in all games he has managed since 1997 which was the case last time out in a 13-12 win. 

KC has scored 5 runs or more in 5 of their L/6 games and with their offense flourishing Im betting on more explosive action here today with momentum in full swing. 

KANSAS CITY is 91-60 OVER vs. teams outscored by opp by 1 or more runs/game in the second half of the season. Over is 4-0-1 in Royals last 5 games following an off day.Over is 9-2-1 in Royals last 12 during game 1 of a series.

DETROIT is 39-19 OVER  after sweeping a 3 game series against a division rival . Over is 9-1-1 in Tigers last 11 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.

MLB Road teams where the total is 7 to 8.5 (KANSAS CITY) - bad offensive team (4.2 or less runs/game) against a very good starting pitcher (ERA 3.50 or less ) (AL), after a combined score of 17 runs or more are 30-8 OVER L/25 seasons for a 79% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play OVER 

Colts QB Ryan threw three interceptions and was sacked five times in the loss to Jacksonville last week. The Colts had just 218 yards and nine first downs and Im betting things dont get much better vs a under rated top tier Chiefs D. Colts lack of attack will be a contributing factor in this game staying under the set total. 

Under is 7-0 in Colts last 7 games overall.Under is 6-0 in Colts last 6 vs. AFC.

These teams have gone under in 4 straight meetings with the average combined ppg clicking in at 34.8 . 

INDIANAPOLIS is 6-0 UNDER in home games after allowing 99 or less rushing yards in 2 straight games over the last 3 seasons.

NFL Home teams against the total (INDIANAPOLIS) - off an upset loss by 14 points or more as a favorite are 25-3 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 89% conversion rate for btettors with the average combined score clicking in at 40.5 ppg. 

Play on under 

Oregon State has been explosive so far against sub par defenses, but today vs a top tier USC D, they will Im betting regress substantially which will directly have on effect of this total . Im leaning heavily on this number not being eclipsed. 

Jonathan is 6-0 UNDER  in home games off 2 or more consecutive overs as the coach of OREGON ST with a combined average of 55.7 ppg. OREGON ST is 12-3 UNDER  in home games after scoring 42 points or more last game with a combined average of 49.1 ppg.

USC is 11-2 UNDER  in road games after 3 consecutive covers as a favorite with a combined average of 44 ppg. 

 CFB teams where the total is greater than or equal to 63 (OREGON ST) - after scoring 50 points or more last game against opponent after 3 straight games where 60 total points or more were scored are 23-2 UNDER L/5 seasons with the average ppg scored coming in at 54.2 ppg. 

Play UNDER

 Cubs lefty starter MILEY is 9-1 OVER   vs. teams outscored by opp by 0.5 or more runs/game on the season over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)  MILEY is 22-11 OVER   in all games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) with a combined average of 9.8 rpg scored in those 33 games.

Over is 5-1-1 in Pirates last 7 home games vs. a team with a losing record.

Over is 9-2-1 in Pirates last 12 games vs. a left-handed starter like Miley. 

PITTSBURGH is 21-9 OVER in home games when playing on Saturday over the last 3 seasons.

 J. Oviedo owns a 7.71 ERA at home in limited action this season, but my projections estimate he gets lit up here this Saturday.

MLB Home teams where the total is 8 to 8.5 (PITTSBURGH) - bad offensive team (3.8 or less  runs/game) against a good starting pitcher (ERA 3.70 or less ) (NL), playing on Saturday are 34-9 OVER L/25 seasons for a 79% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play OVER

Phillies starter GIBSON is 31-13 OVER  in home games vs teams who strand 6.9 or less runners on base per game in the second half of the season in his career. (Team's Record) with a combined average of 10.8 rpg scored. GIBSON is 21-7 OVER in home games vs. poor baserunning teams - averaging 0.5 or less SB's/game in the second half of the season since 1997. (Team's Record) with a combined average of 11.2 rpg scored. GIBSON is 18-4 OVER in home games in September games in his career. (Team's Record) with a combined average of 11.6 rpg scored. 

Over is 5-1-1 in Phillies last 7 home games vs. a team with a winning record.

Over is 4-1 in Phillies last 5 interleague games vs. a team with a winning record.Over is 4-1 in Phillies last 5 interleague home games vs. a right-handed starter.Over is 4-1 in Phillies last 5 interleague home games.

Blue Jays starter Stripling has pitched well for the Jays but according to my pitcher vs batting order power rankings does not matchup all that well vs the Phillies sometimes explosive  batting order. 

TORONTO is 7-0 OVER in road games after a game where their bullpen blew a save this season with a combined average of 13.2 rpg scored.

Over is 3-0-1 in Blue Jays last 4 overall.Over is 5-0 in Blue Jays last 5 interleague road games vs. a team with a winning record.Over is 3-0-1 in Blue Jays last 4 vs. a team with a winning recor

MLB Road teams (TORONTO) - below average AL hitting team (AVG .265 or less ) against an average NL starting pitcher (ERA 4.20 to 5.20), with a hot starting pitcher- WHIP 1.100 or better  over his last 10 games are 36-8 OVER L/25 seasons for a 82% conversion rate for bettors.

Over is 8-3 in the last 11 meetings in Philadelphia.

Play on the OVER 

Defending super bowl champion Rams looked asleep at the wheel in their opening game loss by a 31-10 count to the Buffalo Bills last Thursday night. Note:NFL teams  like LAR who scored 10 or less points in a Thursday night tilt  have gone  under 16 straight times  in their follow game dating back 5 seasons with a combined average of 36.2 ppg going on the board. Atlanta also lost which is important as  NFL contests  have gone UNDER 28 of their L/36 opportunities  when both  sides  are of a home defeat  in their last game  . Everything points to this being a low scoring affair as the early season rust and attention to strong Defensive play remains important. 

Under is 4-1 in Falcons last 5 road games. 

LA RAMS are 16-4 UNDER  in home lined games over the last 3 seasons.LA RAMS are 6-0 UNDER  in home games after 1 or more consecutive losses over the last 3 seasons

Under is 4-0 in Rams last 4 games after accumulating less than 90 yards rushing in their previous game.Under is 6-0 in Rams last 6 games after allowing more than 250 yards passing in their previous game.Under is 4-0 in Rams last 4 games following a straight up loss of more than 14 points.Under is 4-0 in Rams last 4 games on fieldturf.Under is 6-0 in Rams last 6 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.

. NFL team against the total (ATLANTA) - off a home loss against opponent off a home loss by 10 or more points are 36-9 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 80% conversion rate for bettors.

NFL Home teams where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points (LA RAMS) - off a home loss by 10 or more points are 46-16 UNDER  L/10 seasons for a 74% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play UNDER

Entering yesterdays action the  Yankees bats are back after a long slump and have now scored 38 runs in their L/5 trips  to the diamonds (7.6 rpg). Im betting they bounce back again in a big way after only 1 run yesterday. Meanwhile the Brewers bats have also come alive scoring 28 runs in their L/5 tilts  entering Saturday and have scored 5 or more runs in 4 of those games. (They scored 4 runs yesterday in their 4-1 win)

Cole  and Alexander  are viable pitchers but my pitcher vs batting order power rankings suggest the offenses will fair well here.

Over is 4-0 in Yankees last 4 games with the total set at 7.0-8.5.Over is 6-1 in Yankees last 7 vs. a team with a winning record.

Over is 5-0-1 in Brewers last 6 inter-league home games vs. a right-handed starter.Over is 4-0 in Brewers last 4 games with the total set at 7.0-8.5.

MLB Road teams (NY YANKEES) - below average AL hitting team (AVG .265 or worse ) against an average NL starting pitcher (ERA 4.20 to 5.20), with a hot starting pitcher- WHIP  1.100 or better over his last 10 games are 35-8 OVER  L/25 seasons for a 82% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play OVER 

Im betting the Giants will continue push the ball on the ground with Barkley and play a slow grinding type of football in the trenches. With Carolina looking offensively vulnerable and their D which was no 1 in the NFC last year being the key to their successes and failures Im  looking at beatable totals numbers as a  critical money making factor this season .  With that said my projections make this this number a viable to the under investment option  NY GIANTS are 7-0 UNDER  in home games over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 32.9 ppg scored  and have actually gone under in 12 straight homes games with a combined average of 34 ppg going on the board . NY GIANTS are 15-4 UNDER  in all games where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 38.7 ppg scored. NY GIANTS are 8-1 UNDER  after 1 or more consecutive wins over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 39.1 ppg scored. Giants have gone under 7 of their L/8 times as fav or dog of less than 3 points. Under is 5-0 in Giants last 5 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.

Carolina has gone under 9 straight times with NO Saints on board in their following tilt which is the case this week. 

NFL  team where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points (NY GIANTS/ CAROLINA) - first 2 weeks of the year, after closing out last season with 6 or more losses in last 8 games against opponent first month of the season, after closing out last season with 6 or more losses in last 8 games are 32-8 UNDER L/39 seasons for a 80% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play UNDER

Bradish and Berrios have ERAs over 5.00 during this campaign and the last 6 times these to hurlers have faced each other the total has been eclipsed. Altogether 11 of the 14 meetings in this series have gone over the total and Im betting on a rinse and repeat situation here today .TORONTO is 25-10 OVER ( in home games after 3 consecutive game versus a division rival over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 10.8 rpg scored. 

Play OVER 

Rutgers destroyed Temple last season by a 61-14 count l, and another projected explosive offensive output Im betting is on todays agenda, giving us an edge on a over investment cashing. Rutgers has already put 66 points on the board this season. 

Over is 4-1 in Owls last 5 vs. a team with a winning record.Over is 4-1 in Owls last 5 home games.

CFB Road teams where the total is between 42.5 and 49 (RUTGERS) - after 2 or more consecutive straight up wins, first month of the season, after closing out last season with 4 or more losses in last 5 games are 25-5 OVER L/30 seasons with a combined average of 54.7 ppg scored.

CFB teams where the total is between 42.5 and 49 (TEMPLE) - team that had a terrible record last season (25% or less) playing a team that had a losing record are 50-17 OVER L/10 seasons for a 75% conversion rate with a combined average of 53.3 ppg scored. 

Play on the OVER 

Louisville QB Malik Cunningham  has owned  FSU’s defense the last two seasons and Im betting he helps his team land some big offensive punches against what is still not a complete FSU D that  struggled to contain the QB vs LSU .Florida State defense ranks outside the top 90 in Passing Success Rate and Passing PPA Allowed.

. On the flipside  FSU’s offense matches up really well against Louisville’s weak rush defense and does more than enough damage here with the option being key for big downfield offensive gains behind improved QB play and 3 dimensional run game. 

Louisville HC  Satterfield and former QB  is 15-3 OVER  off 2 or more consecutive unders in all games he has coached in his career with a combined average of 60 ppg going on the board. 

Over is 11-1 in Cardinals last 12 games after allowing less than 170 yards passing in their previous game.

Over is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings in Louisville.

Play on the OVER 

D Lynch the Royals starter owns a 9.22 ERA in his L/3 trips to the hill along with an equally ugly 2.048 WHIP allowing 14 ERS including 5 HRS in a 13.7 inning span. My projections estimate that he matches up poorly vs the Twins and should be lit up again. He is 0-1 with a 4.67 ERA in three lifetime starts at Minneapolis. Over is 3-0-1 in Twins last 4 games vs. a left-handed starter.

Meanwhile, Bundy the Twins starter owns a 5.25 ERA in his L/3 trips to the hill , while allowing 23 hits in 14.3 innings of sub par pitching and is set to be beaten around more than his two previous pitching Twins predecessors in the first two games of this series . BUNDY is 23-11 OVER vs teams who strand 6.9 or less runners on base per game over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record) with a combined average of 10.2 rpg scored. 

MLB  teams where the total is 8 to 8.5 (KANSAS CITY) - terrible offensive team ( 3.6 or less runs/game) against a decent starting pitcher (ERA 4.20 to 4.70)-AL, after a loss by 4 runs or more are 31-7 OVER L/25 seasons for a 82% conversion rate for bettors. 

Over is 37-18-4 in the last 59 meetings in Minnesota.

Over is 8-3 in the last 11 meetings.

Play on OVER 

 .

Angels southpaw Reid Detmers (5-5, 3.67 ERA) will make his 22nd start of the season on Monday for Los Angeles. He is 1-1 with a 4.15 ERA in two career starts versus Cleveland. Meanwhile, another Left-hander Konnor Pilkington (1-2, 3.99) will make his 10th start (14th appearance) of the season for Cleveland. He hasn't started a major league game since July 23, spending most of the past two months at Triple-A Columbus. (Rust at the MLB level is a factor here)

According to my projections both these pitchers do not matchup well vs the opposing sides batting orders aiding in my synopsis for this tilt to see more runs scored than the offered number from the lines-makers.

Over is 4-1-2 in Angels last 7 overall.Over is 10-4-3 in Angels last 17 road games vs. a team with a winning record.Over is 5-2-2 in Angels last 9 road games.

Over is 7-2 in Guardians last 9 home games vs. a team with a losing record. Over is 5-1 in Guardians last 6 home games following a road trip of 7 or more days. 

MLB teams where the total is 7 to 8.5 (LA ANGELS) - terrible offensive team ( 3.6 or less runs/game) against a decent starting pitcher (ERA 4.20 to 4.70)-AL, after allowing 9 runs or more are 31-7 OVER L/25 seasons for a 82% conversion rate for bettors.

Play OVER

Baltimores QB Jackson is still in contract negotiations, and may not be 100% focused and with key receiver Marquis Brown gone and Sammy Watkins also playing somewhere else this season, may not have as many options to move the ball as he once had. Offensive adjustments are now in play and could easily stymie the Ravens output early on this season and more importantly today. Meanwhile, NYJ  banged up starting QB Wilson may not play this week or see limited action. No matter what materializes Im betting the Jets remain limited in their offensive prowess, and could easily have problems against a supped up Baltimore D.  Everything points to this combined score not eclipsing the offered number. 

BALTIMORE is 22-10 UNDER L/32 in road games against AFC East division opponents with a combined average of 37.8 ppg scored. Under is 5-0 in Ravens last 5 games as a favorite.Under is 4-0 in Ravens last 4 games as a road favorite.Under is 11-4 in Ravens last 15 road games

NY JETS  in their L/6 September games over the last 3 seasons have seen a combined average score of 36.8 ppg go on the score board. Under is 4-0 in Jets last 4 games in September.

NFL team where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points (/BALTIMORE /NY JETS) - first 2 weeks of the year, after closing out last season with 6 or more losses in last 8 games against opponent first month of the season, after closing out last season with 6 or more losses in last 8 games are 30-8 UNDER L/39 seasons for a 79% conversion rate with the average ppg total clicking in at 40.9 ppg. 

Play UNDER 

We. know how explosive Mississippi State can be with an air raid offense that never quits. But Arizona is use to explosive passing attacks and are currently well suited to deal with it. Meanwhile, I expect the Wildcats to really look to slow this game down via the running game, which Im betting makes for a lower scoring tilt than the linesmakers current offering suggests. 

Under is 16-6 in Bulldogs last 22 games after allowing less than 170 yards passing in their previous game.Under is 21-8 in Bulldogs last 29 games after scoring more than 40 points in their previous game. MISSISSIPPI ST is 24-10  l/34 UNDER  after a playing a game where 70 total points or more were scored with a combined average of 49.1 ppg scored. Last week they won 49-23 ,but the coaching staff were emphatic about shoring up the D this week. 

Under is 6-1 in Wildcats last 7 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.Under is 4-1 in Wildcats last 5 home games. 

CFB teams where the total is between 56.5 and 63 MISS STATE /ARIZONA) - in a non-conference game between two teams from major division 1-A conferences, game between two teams with 8 or more defensive starters returning are 30-4 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 88% conversion rate for bettors with the average combined score clicking in at 52.9 ppg. 

Play UNDER