Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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07-26-24 | Pirates v. Diamondbacks UNDER 8.5 | 3-4 | Win | 100 | 11 h 29 m | Show | |
Luis Ortiz is ecpected to toe the rubber for the Pittsburgh Pirates this Friday against Arizona ,He currently owns a 5-2 record along with a stingy 2.57 ERA his season. Ortiz has allowed 14 hits and 2 runs in his last 20.2 innings of top tier work and has recorded a 2.31 ERA and .229 allowed batting average in 35 road innings in 2024. Meanwhile, the Dbaks will send Zac Gallen tp the hill . He owns a 7-5 record along with a stable 3.64 ERA on the campaign.Gallen has a 3.35 ERA and .246 allowed batting average in 45.2 home innings and in his career vs the Pirates owns a 3.04 ERA My projections estimate these hurlers will go long and strong here today in what could end up in a pitchers duel. The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Arizona's last 6 games.
The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the Team Total Under in 56 of their last 96 games (+11.20 Units / 10% ROI) Play under |
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07-26-24 | Yankees v. Red Sox OVER 9.5 | 7-9 | Win | 100 | 14 h 15 m | Show | |
The Red Sox will hand the ball to Brayan Bello (10-5, 5.27 ERA). He's had a fortunate campaign as compared to his overall metrics and does not matchup well here vs the Yankees offense according to my pitcher vs batting order power rankings . Meanwhile, the Yankees starter Nestor Cortes (4-9, 3.99) has lost back-to-back starts as he goers to the hill at Fenway Park tonight. The left-hander allowed six runs on eight hits in 4 1/3 innings last Saturday against the Rays.Cortes is 2-0 with a 4.89 ERA in 11 career appearances (five starts) against Boston. With that said, Im expecting these two strong offenses to tee off on each other here tonight, and for the Green Monster to see alot of action. The Boston Red Sox have hit the Game Total Over in 34 of their last 58 games (+10.80 Units / 17% ROI)The New York Yankees have hit the Game Total Over in 31 of their last 47 games (+15.15 Units / 29% ROI)The total has gone OVER in 4 of NY Yankees's last 5 gamesThe total has gone OVER in 10 of NY Yankees's last 14 games on the road Play over |
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07-26-24 | Rangers +111 v. Blue Jays | 5-6 | Loss | -100 | 8 h 16 m | Show | |
We have two starting pitchers who are operating at the opposite end of the performance spectrum entering this tilt. The Rangers starter Heaney is just 1-1 but has allowed just two earned in 15.1 innings of top tier work. Meanwhile the Blue Jays starter Kikuchi, has given up 11 earned runs over his last 9.2 innings of very sub par work. Toronto has lost in its last 5 games when playing at home against Texas and my projections estimate they have a high probability of losing here again .Texas is 5-0 on the ML in its last 5 games and have momentum and the pitching edge here today.The Texas Rangers have hit the Moneyline in 12 of their last 16 games (+7.55 Units / 32% ROI). Play on Texas |
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07-25-24 | A's v. Angels -110 | 6-5 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 44 m | Show | |
Oakland has not performed well on the road this season recording a 15-36 record which is the 3rd worst away record in MLB. With Ross Stripling going to the ill after a lay off on the the Injured List (elbow) Im betting the As are a disadvantage with a rusty hurler who has struggled this season as is evident by his 1-9 record aling with his bloated 5.51 ERA. Before he got injured the righty hurler , recorded a a 7.17 ERA in five May starts. Meanwhile, the the Athletics are struggling vs southpaw hurlers like the Angels starter Rosenberg hitting .234 against this while ranking a lowly 23rd in MLB. Rosenberg in his last trip to the hill vs a As , allowed one earned run in 4 innings and matches up well here.LA Angels is 8-1 on the moneyline in its last 9 games when playing at home against Oakland. Ross Stripling is 4-13 as a night underdog in the L/5 seasons. Play on the LA Angels to win |
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07-25-24 | Giants v. Dodgers UNDER 8.5 | 4-6 | Loss | -105 | 9 h 32 m | Show | |
Probable pitchers: Giants: Logan Webb (7-8, 3.59 ERA, 1.27 WHIP, 111 strikeouts); Dodgers: Clayton Kershaw (0-0). Kershaw returns after missing the first forur months of the seasons after shoulder surgery..Last season despite discomfort the future Hall of Fame candidate recorded a a 13-5 record and a 2.46 ERA in 24 starts last year and is now ready to resume his career here tonight against a SF side that has recorded a lowly .215 BA over their L/10 games. Kershaw's 59 outings and 57 starts against San Francisco are his most against any team. He has amassed a stingy 2.01 ERA and has 402 strikeouts in 393 1/3 innings. Note - Giants are hitting .210 in L/17 games played. Meanwhile, The Giants will send Logan Webb (7-8, 3.59) to the hill to face the Dodgers. , . In three starts against the Dodgers this season, Webb is 1-1 with a 3.78 ERA and looks to matchup well against vs a team that has a .239 BA in their L/10 games overall. Webb also has a 3.16 ERA in seven games against the National League West division. The Giants entire pitching staff has generally done well, as is evident of their 3.66 ERA in their L/10 tilts overall.The total has gone UNDER in 7 of San Francisco's last 8 games. I m betting the pitching staffs taking center stage tonight in a tit that will fail to eclipse this totals offering. Play under |
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07-25-24 | Rays -105 v. Blue Jays | 13-0 | Win | 100 | 6 h 27 m | Show | |
Tampa Bay Rays starter today Bradley is in top form right now . In the righty's last three starts he owns a is 2-0 record allowing just one earned run in 20 innings of quality work. Meanwhile, the Jays starter Bassitt, has allowed 12 earned in his L/ 16.2 innings over his last three starts and is pitching at the opposite end of the performance spectrum entering this tilt. The Jays offense, has been inconsistent all season long and projections estimate on more troubles on the horizon i. Toronto is 2-5 on the money-line in its last 7 games when playing at home against Tampa Bay. The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Moneyline in 17 of their last 29 games (+5.50 Units / 16% ROI) Play on the Rays to win |
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07-24-24 | Diamondbacks +109 v. Royals | 8-6 | Win | 109 | 8 h 37 m | Show | |
Arizona starter Neslon is 3-0 in his last three start while producing a solid 2.22 ERA in four July starts, while allowing just 6 earned runs in his L/ 24.1 innings of top tier work. The Diamondbacks cashed as underdogs yesterday with a 6-2 victory , and Im now expecting the momentum of that victory to carry on here today as my power rankings estimate the Dbacks offense matches up well vs KC vs righty Michael Wacha (7-6, 3.55 ERA). Kansas City is 3-7on the moneyline in its last 10 games when playing Arizona.Arizona is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games on the road. Play on Arizona to win |
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07-24-24 | Orioles v. Marlins OVER 8.5 | 3-6 | Win | 100 | 14 h 42 m | Show | |
PITCHING PROBABLES: Orioles: Chayce McDermott (0-0); Marlins: Edward Cabrera (1-3, 7.36 ERA, 1.67 WHIP . The Baltimore Orioles have averaged 5 runs per game in this season in offense, which ranks them No.1 in all of MLB in run production. They go against a Marlins pitching staff that rank 26th in MLB in total hits allowed with 869. They are ranked 28th in MLB with a save percentage of 51.4% so the relief group is far from stable as well. According to my pitcher vs offense power rankings the Os matchup up very well vs Edward Cabrera the Marlins expected starter and could produce early run production early here today which will help us eclipse this total. On the flipside the Marlins despite of lackluster overall offensive numbers have picked up the pace of late and as a team are hitting .277 over their L/10 games and Im also projecting significant run production vs McDermott Baltimores expected starter. Everything points to runs crossing the plate here with enough consistency for this number to be eclipsed. The total has gone OVER in 4 of Baltimore's last 5 games on the road. The Miami Marlins have hit the Game Total Over in 36 of their last 54 games at home (+18.50 Units / 31% ROI)The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Game Total Over in 17 of their last 28 away games (+7.15 Units / 23% ROI) Play over |
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07-23-24 | Diamondbacks v. Royals UNDER 10 | 6-2 | Win | 100 | 11 h 46 m | Show | |
Marsh will toe the rubber for KC this Tuesday night. He is 4-2 with a 3.97 ERA and 1.30 WHIP in ten home outings (47.2 IP) and according to my pitcher vs batting order matches up well here vs the visiting DBacks. Here at home he has allowed 1 run less per game than on the road. The righty has held four of his last six offenses to three or less runs and has allowed a total of just 7 runs overall during that span. He is backed by a Kansas City bullpen that second-fewest HR allowed . Meanwhile, Dbacks starter Montgomery despite of a inconsistent season, offers up southpaw pitching to a Royals side that can sometimes find the sledding tough vs lefties. Also previous to Mondays negative performance the Diamondbacks' rotation posted a 2.89 ERA in the previous 11 games. The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Kansas City's last 7 games. |
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07-23-24 | Phillies v. Twins UNDER 8 | 3-0 | Win | 100 | 10 h 36 m | Show | |
Simeon Woods Richardson (3-1) (3.51) vs Zack Wheeler (10-4) (2.70). Two quality pitchers go to the hill today with Philadelphias Wheeler toeing the rubber for the Phillies and Woods-richardosn taking the ball for the Twins. Yes, these teams have formidable offenses but these pitchers of are the top tier variety and runs wont come as easily as the public expects. The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Philadelphia's last 6 games on the road. Play under |
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07-22-24 | Astros v. A's OVER 8 | 0-4 | Loss | -105 | 14 h 31 m | Show | |
Oaklands offense has been on a tear as is evident by , ranking third (123 wRC+) in MLB the L/30 days and including ranking (11th vs. right handed hurlers , 1st vs. left handed throwers). Here against the.Astros right-handed Spencer Arrighetti (4-7, 5.63 ERA), who has pitched into the seventh inning just twice in his 17 starts this season Im betting the As tee off. Meanwhile, the Astros during the same span rank 9th (111 wrC+) and 16th vs. right handed pitching and , 10th against south paw hurlers ). According to my power rankings the Asserts marchup well against the As left-hander Hogan Harris (1-3, 3.40) and should do significant damage offensively. Winds are blowing out to center field and things look set for a higher scoring affair than the lines-makers are estimating. The total has gone OVER in 5 of Oakland's last 5 gamesThe total has gone OVER in 5 of Oakland's last 5 games at home. Play over |
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07-21-24 | Red Sox +105 v. Dodgers | 6-9 | Loss | -100 | 9 h 15 m | Show | |
Bostons starter tonight vs the Dodgers Kutter Crawford has been money the bank in his last three starts this month, allowing just one run and 10 hits across 20.0 innings of top tier work.Meanwhile, Paxton (4.38 ERA) goes to the hill for the Dodgers. Hes been at the opposite end of the performance spectrum and his L/7 starts overall he has recorded a bloated 6.12 ERA and looks vulnerable here tonight. Bostons played the Dodger tough in this series and will primed to avoid the sweep and bounce back and are well postioned to do that according to my projections.Boston is one of the best road teams in baseball, with a 29-19 record this season, and get the nod tonight. The Red Sox have won each of their last 11 Sunday games against teams that held a winning record.The Dodgers have lost four of their last five games as home favorites against American League opponents following a win. Play on the Red Sox to win |
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07-21-24 | Astros v. Mariners UNDER 7.5 | 4-6 | Loss | -114 | 6 h 50 m | Show | |
Seattles startewr Woo has made nine starts this season and has allowed one run or less in 6 of those games and matches up well here vs the Houston bats. Meanwhile,Houston sends Ronel Blanco, to the hill .He owns a 2.56 ERA with a 3.56 xERA and also matches up well here vs the Seattle batting order according to my pitcher vs batting order power rankings.Blanco has given up exactly two runs in each of his last three starts. What Im betting on here today is for both pitchers to go long and strong and for this score to stay on the low side of the totals offering. The Seattle Mariners have hit the Game Total Under in 33 of their last 49 games at home (+16.30 Units / 30% ROI)The Houston Astros have hit the Game Total Under in 49 of their last 81 games (+16.20 Units / 18% ROI) Under the total is 8-1 this season in head-to-head series. Play on the under |
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07-21-24 | Brewers v. Twins -148 | 8-7 | Loss | -148 | 4 h 28 m | Show | |
The Brewers will start Civale here today vs the Twins. He came over in gthe trade vs the Rays, and despite looking good last time out still owns a 5.07 ERA. His biggest problem is that batters really get around on him in general. Thats evident. by ranking in the 30th percentile in XBA, 31st percentile in average exit velocity and the 44th in hard-hit rate. The Twins have the kind of batting order that can absolutely light him up and thats what Im betting on today. Meanwhile, fireballer, Joe Ryan goes to the hill for the Twins. Hes been a little inconsistent of late but still owns a very respectable xERA of 3.08 with a FIP 3.44. My pitcher vs batting order power rankings suggest he matches up well vs the Brewers . The Twins have won eight of their last nine day games after playing the previous day.The Brewers have lost each of their last five road games against the Twins following a road winThe Twins are 27-19 at home this season, while the Brewers are 27-25 on the road. on Minnesota to win |
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07-20-24 | Giants v. Rockies OVER 10 | 3-4 | Loss | -115 | 11 h 3 m | Show | |
Kyle Freeland will start for Colorado today and is 1-3 with a 6.00 ERA and this season. His pitching opponent from the Giants, Logan Webb is 7-7 along with a 3.47 ERA. His away efforts never seem to match his road outings from a negative perdspective. My projections estimate that both pitchers will find the sledding tough today in the launching pad know as Coors field. San Francisco’s pitching has not been efficient this season, allowing an average of 4.40 runs per game. Opponents own a .260 batting average vs Giants, which ranks them 28th in the league. The Giants 4.41 ERA ranks them 23rd, while their 1.35 WHIP ranks 26th. Meanwhile, Colorado’s pitching staff has been atrocious allowing 5.52 runs per game. Opponents have a .289 batting average against the Rockies, ranking them a dismal 30th in the league. Their 5.61 ERA is also 30th, as is their 1.55 WHIP. The Colorado Rockies have only hit the Game Total Under in 28 of their last 65 games (-11.70 Units / -16% ROI) The total has gone OVER in 5 of Colorado's last 5 gamesThe San Francisco Giants have only hit the Game Total Under in 25 of their last 65 games (-17.95 Units / -25% ROI) Play over |
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07-20-24 | Toronto v. Hamilton +2.5 | 24-27 | Win | 100 | 9 h 6 m | Show | |
Hamilton (0-5) takes on arch-rival Toronto (3-2) at Tim Hortons Field tonight. There are six former Argos with Hamilton and all would love to snatch a win here tonight from their Ontario adversaries. Im expecting a very motivated and maybe desperate Ti Cats team to play a top tier game here at home and at the very least get us the cover. The Ticats are 0-5 SU and ATS despite ranking second in the league in yards per game (391.6) and third in yards per play (6.84) and should not be under estimated here this evening vs a team off a huge win last time out , and in a letdown spot. Play on Hamilton to cover |
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07-19-24 | Mets -124 v. Marlins | 4-6 | Loss | -124 | 14 h 55 m | Show | |
The Mets were in a good form entering the all star game , and they have won five of the last six games, with the one loss coming last time out. Note:The Mets have won each of their last seven games against the Marlins following a home loss. The Mets offense has been responsible for their top tier efforts. The offense is ranked 6th in the league and match up well here according to my pitcher vs batting order power rankings vs the Marlins expected starter Cabrera. The Marlins' offense is ranked 29th in the league, and they don't matchup well vs the Mets pitching (starter and bullpen).The Marlins have lost each of their last six night games against teams that held a winning record like the Mets. Two teams operating at the opposite end of the spectrum, make this a viable ML option supporting the Mets. Play on the NY Mets to win |
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07-17-24 | Dream v. Lynx UNDER 153 | 79-86 | Loss | -105 | 5 h 52 m | Show | |
Offensively Minnesota has struggled of late scoring just 68.5 points per game during their current two game losing streak. Meanwhile Atlanta has been an inconsistent offensive threat this season averaging just 75 points on 40.8% shooting from the floor. Considering early start times, have teams starting slowly and a less cohesive event is highly likely according to my projections which give credence to a lower scoring affair. Under is 7-0 in Lynx last 7 overall.Under is 6-0 in Lynx last 6 games following a ATS loss.Under is 5-0 in Lynx last 5 games following a straight up loss.Under is 5-0 in Lynx last 5 vs. Eastern Conference.Under is 5-0 in Lynx last 5 home games.Under is 4-1 in Lynx last 5 Wednesday games.Under is 4-1 in Lynx last 5 games playing on 2 days rest. Under is 4-0 in Dream last 4 overall.Under is 4-0 in Dream last 4 games following a straight up loss.Under is 8-1 in Dream last 9 games following a ATS win.Under is 6-1 in Dream last 7 games playing on 2 days rest.Under is 5-1 in Dream last 6 Wednesday games.Under is 5-1 in Dream last 6 vs. Western Conference.Under is 4-1 in Dream last 5 road games. Play under |
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07-16-24 | National League v. American League -113 | 3-5 | Win | 100 | 3 h 19 m | Show | |
Since 1997, the American League is 21-4-1 in the Midsummer Classic and have cashed in 9 of the L/10 all star games. Im betting on nothing changing tonight. Play on the AL to win |
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07-16-24 | National League v. American League UNDER 7.5 | 3-5 | Loss | -125 | 3 h 17 m | Show | |
The under is 14-1-2 over the past 17 All Star Games. The last four all star games have all gone under. The offense never gets set or into a groove as there are so many pitching changes . Play under |
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07-16-24 | Sun v. Liberty -5 | 74-82 | Win | 100 | 34 h 54 m | Show | |
The Liberty have owned the Sun over the last couple of seasons and have won both meetings during this campaign, and Im betting nothing changes here today. After a seven-point loss in a Commissioner's Cup contest on June 8, the Sun almost came back from a 14-point deficit to still lose by a 71-68 loss this past Wednesday. The Liberty wont allow that kind of scenario again and Im betting on start to finish effort for the three sweep of the season series. My number makes NYL -8 point favs here at home giving us a full possession vale on this offering. Sun are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games overall.Sun are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games following a straight up win.Sun are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 vs. Eastern Conference. Liberty are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record.Liberty are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games overall.Liberty are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 vs. Eastern Conference. Liberty to cover |
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07-14-24 | Aces v. Mystics +13 | 89-77 | Win | 100 | 6 h 14 m | Show | |
The Las Vegas Aces go for a season sweep vs their hosts the Mystics when they travel to Washington for a Sunday afternoon. Im betting getting that sweep wont come all that easily. I know Aces star A'ja Wilson the leagues leading scorer has been red hot, averaging 30 points and 15 rebounds in her last four games, but here run could get curtailed to extend by a WAS side that allows the fewest opponent points in the paint per game. Note: Wilson was held to a season-low 11 points in the win on June 29th vs the Mystics and I wont be surprised if she records negative regression in this tilt. After starting their season season 0-12 the Mystics have been climbing up my power rankings with solid efforts. Hey Im nkot saying this a play off team, but a team that keeps fighting til the very end, which makes getting points here a viable opportunity for bankroll expansion. Mystics are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 home games.Mystics are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games overallMystics are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games following a ATS win.Mystics are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 vs. Western Conference.Mystics are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record. Aces are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 road games.Aces are 4-14 ATS in their last 18 games playing on 1 days rest. Aces are 0-5 ATS in the last 5 meetings in Washington. Play on Washington to cover |
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07-14-24 | Rockies v. Mets OVER 8.5 | 8-5 | Win | 100 | 5 h 26 m | Show | |
Marquez after 14 months off to recover from Tommy John surgery goes against Mets left-hander Jose Quintana (4-5, 3.91 ERA).Marquez went 0-4 with a 7.11 ERA in seven rehab appearances and Im betting his return will not be a glorious one vs a Mets side, that has become more consistent offensively as they season has progressed. Note: The Rockies owna 5.61 team ERA so when the bullpen enters Im not expecting much stopping power vs a Mets side that is 27-12 L/29 games. . I knowq the Mets Quintana is off a positive outing last time out, pitching 7 scoreless innings but he is 3-3 with a 5.09 ERA in nine career games (eight starts) against the Rockies and Im now expecting immediate regression in this spot play situation. The total has gone OVER in 5 of Colorado's last 5 games on the road. The L/4 meetings in this series have easily eclipsed this totals offering - with 7-3,7-6,11-10, 10-7 scores going on the board. My prjections estimate a combined score closer to 10 giving us at least !+ run advantage to the over/ Play over |
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07-13-24 | Sparks v. Wings OVER 170.5 | 87-81 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 41 m | Show | |
My projections estimate a combined score in the 175 range giving us close to 2 possession edge for an over bet to cash. Dallas has issues with playing defensive ball and instead push forward with an all out offensive style of hoops. Dallas lost a 100-84 decision in Phoenix on Wednesday, continuing to highlight their soft defensive stance, and admirable offensive work. Both sides have injury woes with key players out, but their brand of lower tier hoops seems to not optimize their defensive capabilities or inabilities. I know the Los Angeles shot 41.1 percent from the floor and produced its second-worst scoring total of the season last time out, vs a top tier Lynx group, but now Im betting on positive regression after that frustrating effort vs a porous opponent. Over is 9-2 in Wings last 11 vs. a team with a losing straight up record.Over is 8-2 in Wings last 10 Saturday games.Over is 19-7 in Wings last 26 home games.Over is 18-7-1 in Wings last 26 games following a ATS loss.Over is 18-7-1 in Wings last 26 games following a straight up loss.Over is 35-15-1 in Wings last 51 overall. Over is 5-1 in Sparks last 6 vs. a team with a losing straight up record. Over is 8-3 in the last 11 meetings.Over is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings in Dallas. Play over-Play as high as 172 |
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07-13-24 | Cubs v. Cardinals OVER 9 | 3-11 | Win | 100 | 9 h 54 m | Show | |
Hayden Wesneski (3-5, 3.67 ERA) will start Game 1 of this double header for Chicago. My pitcher vs batting order projections estimate the Cards offense matches up well here. Meanwhile, the Cardinals, who have lost three consecutive games, will start Lance Lynn (4-4, 4.48 ERA) in Game 1 of today's DD. Lynn in his last start gave up 11 runs (10 earned) on nine hits, including three homers, and four walks against the Washington Nationals on July 6.Lynn has struggled against the Cubs in his career, going 6-8 with a 5.43 ERA in 24 career appearances, including 23 starts. Considering the pitching matchup, the Cubs current output metrics and and what I estimate will see some early scoring an over wager here makes for a viable betting option.The total has gone OVER in 5 of St. Louis's last 6 games. The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Team Total Over in 32 of their last 54 games (+8.05 Units / 13% ROI). Play over |
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07-12-24 | Calgary v. Winnipeg -4.5 | 37-41 | Loss | -115 | 12 h 24 m | Show | |
Calgary won the first matchup between the two teams two weeks ago by a score of 22-19. However, Im betting on a reversal here . as Im expecting the Bombers to set up a slew offensive opportunities and damage with an aggressive run game. The Bombers RB Brady Oliveira is off his best outing of the season, carrying the rock 23 times on the ground accumulating 129 yards last time out in a Bombers win. Im betting on more of that type of action today against a Calgary D allowing 103.5 yards per game and a league-worst 6.1 yards per attempt. It must also be noted that Stampeders QB Jake Maier has not been consistent against Winnipeg's defense in recent starts. I know Calgary found a way past Winnipeg in Week 4, but it must be noted that Maier averaged just 5.6 yards per pass for 239 yards and in 3 previous attempts prior to that last season never had more than 200 yards passing vs the Bombers. Also despite of being just 1-4 on the season, thanks to a Grey Cup appearance hangover and a massive injury lis tthe the Bombers still own a very tough defense, ranking first in opponent completion percentage (64.1% ) and second in passing yards allowed (251.0). The Blue Bombers are 8-2 straight up in the last 10 head-to-head meetings. Stampeders are 3-8 ATS in their last 11 games in July.Blue Bombers are 35-15-1 ATS in their last 51 home games.Blue Bombers are 37-18 ATS in their last 55 vs. West. Play on Winnipeg to cover |
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07-12-24 | Cubs v. Cardinals OVER 8 | 5-1 | Loss | -110 | 15 h 54 m | Show | |
The Chicago Cubs have their offense performing at optimal levels entering this game against the St.Louis Cardinals. The Cubs won five of their last six games while scoring 33 runs in those victories and yesterday scored 8 runs in shut out win vs the Orioles. Im betting the Cubbies continue to hit with power vs a hurler in Gray that despite of of having a good season, has regressed of late, allowing 11 runs (eight earned) on 15 hits in his L/ 9 1/3 innings of work spanning two starts. Also the Cards bullpen took 6-4 and 8-5 losses this past Wednesday, obviously not looking good in the process and could be showing signs of fatigue as the All Star break begins. Meanwhile, the Cubs respond with Kyle Hendricks (1-7, 7.53 ERA) on the hill. The rightly, allowing two runs on four hits and two walks in a 7-0 loss to the Los Angeles Angels on Saturday. He retired just 6 hitters and according to my power rankings does not matchup well vs this group of Cards hitters. Considering my projections and both sides current form a over wager here has the highest probability offs to give us bankroll expansion. Chi Cubs's relievers have pitched 8.2 innings in the last 3 games.St. Louis's relievers have pitched 11 innings in the last 3 games. The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Team Total Over in 24 of their last 40 games (+6.75 Units / 15% ROI) Play on the over |
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07-12-24 | Mercury v. Fever OVER 173 | 86-95 | Win | 100 | 13 h 51 m | Show | |
My. projections estimate that we will see a track meet take hold here tonight. Ny number comes in at the 2nd highest projected output of the season, of 177.5 which gives us close to full 2 possession edge on the offered number. Winners of three in a row, Phoenix (12-10) is in a groove and ready to run and gun with a Catlin Clark led Fevers side that will have no problem pushing the action in response to what promises to be an aggressive opponent playing with momentum. Biggest problem for the Fever is a lackluster D, that the Mercurys sharp shooters will have no problem taking advantage of. The Over is 9-2 in the last 11 meetings in Indiana. Over is 4-1 in Fever last 5 home games. Over is 7-3 in Fever last 10 vs. a team with a winning straight up record. Play over |
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07-12-24 | Marlins v. Reds -142 | 4-7 | Win | 100 | 12 h 57 m | Show | |
Reds starter Spiers had a down effort vs the Tigers last time out allowing four earned run on eight hits and two walks in 4.2 innings of sub par work. However, Im now expecting for him to bounce back .It must be noted that prior to the ugly effort in his last trip to the hill, he was 2-0 while only allowing four earned in 12 innings over two quality starts. Meanwhile, the Marlins are expected to lean on their bullpen here today, which is not a good thing when considering how inconsistent they have been. The starter will be Chirinos (0-0, 4.19 ERA) .He lasted exactly five innings in three of his four starts since he was promoted from Triple-A Jacksonville. Advantage Cincinnati. Cincinnati is 10-4 on the money-line in its last 14 games when playing at home against Miami Play on the Cincinnati Reds to win |
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07-11-24 | Mariners v. Angels OVER 8 | 11-0 | Win | 100 | 14 h 19 m | Show | |
Luis Castillo is expected to go to the hill for the Mariners. The veteran LH is 7-9 with a 3.72 ERA this season with average at best metrics. The hard throwing hurler has allowed 99 hits in 111 innings while giving up 15 home runs. Meanwhile, the Angels rookie starter Kochanowicz gets a start in the rotation because of injuries. . Pitching at home has not been kind to him in double AA this season with a 4.55 ERA in 91 innings .Im betting the Mariners knock him and their pitching staff around today and for the Angles up trending offense ( scored 7 runs yesterday vs the Rangers in a 7-2 win) will do some damage in this spot and help us easily eclipse the total according to my projections. The total has gone OVER in 4 of LA Angels's last 5 games at home. Los Angeles Angels have hit the Team Total Over in 26 of their last 40 games at home (+10.80 Units / 24% ROI) Play over |
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07-11-24 | Cubs v. Orioles -125 | 8-0 | Loss | -125 | 11 h 36 m | Show | |
the Orioles starter today Steele has been a hard luck pitcher this season and owns a 1-3 record along with a 2.95 ERA. Steele is 1-1 with a 4.09 ERA and 7 strikeouts in his career against the Baltimore Orioles. His pitching opponent from the Os Suarez is 5-2 with a 2.48 ERA and has very good metrics attached to that data . Suarez has also pitched his best ball at home in Baltimore where hs is 2-0 with a 1.50 ERA during this campaign and according to my projections gives Baltimore an edge. Suarez is 0-1 with a 2.25 ERA and 4 strikeouts in his career against the Chicago Cubs. The Cubs have not travelled well this season as is evident by their sub .500 road record of 19-28 .Meanwhile, the Baltimore Orioles are 29-19 at home. I know the Cubbies took out the Os yesterday by a 4-0 score, but it must be noted that the Cubs have lost 11 of their last 12 road games following a road victory. The Chicago Cubs have only hit the Moneyline in 27 of their last 67 games (-15.30 Units / -19% ROI) Play on the Baltimore Orioles to win |
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07-10-24 | Dodgers v. Phillies UNDER 9 | 3-4 | Win | 105 | 13 h 54 m | Show | |
I know we have two top tier offensive lineups with the Dodgers and Phillies going head to head, but this contest looks like two strong pitchers and bullpends may over come the tremendous strength of the offenses in this this particular tilt. Dodgers starter Stone is 9-2 on the campaign and is garnering a solid 3.03 ERA and 1.20 WHIP. He ranks in the top half of the league in xERA, Average Exit Velocity, Walk Rate, Barrel Rate and Hard-hit Rate. Meanwhile, the Phillies left handed starter Sanchez is also having a strong season as is evident by a 6-4 record along with a 2.96 ERA and 1.24 WHIP. He is in the 67th percentile in xERA, Average Exit Velocity, Walk Rate, Barrel Rate and Hard-hit Rate and has a knack of keeping the ball on the ground - as he ranks in the 96th percentile. Both hurlers are backed by strong bullpens that rank in the top six of the league in ERA. The Phillies have been particularly viable with a 2.98 ERA in the last month of play. The total has gone UNDER in 11 of Philadelphia's last 15 games at home. Play under |
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07-10-24 | Wings v. Mercury OVER 173.5 | 84-100 | Win | 100 | 7 h 12 m | Show | |
All three meetings between these teams this season have been high scoring affairs and Im betting nothing changes here today. Scores of 104-96 /97-90/ 107-92 have all eclipsed the offered total. Rinse and repeat situation now on board. Over is 5-1-1 in Wings last 7 vs. a team with a winning straight up record. Over is 19-6-1 in Wings last 26 vs. Western Conference. Over is 4-1 in Wings last 5 road games.Play on the over |
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07-10-24 | Liberty -2.5 v. Sun | 71-68 | Win | 100 | 6 h 3 m | Show | |
The Liberty have had the Sun number the last couple of seasons and are undefeated in these matchups with the average margin of victory clicking in at 6 ppg. The Sun have played better recently in league play, but inconsistencies remain despite of their 17-4 record . The Liberty also 17-4 remain a top tier team , ranking top 3 in defensive prowess, no1. in net defensive rating .Meanwhile, the offense ranks 2nd in ppg output, and 1st in net rating . Both teams are of the top tier variety, but one side matches up better in head to head power ranking metrics. Play on the Liberty |
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07-09-24 | Braves v. Diamondbacks UNDER 7.5 | 6-2 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 32 m | Show | |
Sale was supposed to start yesterday for the Braves , but got pushed back and thats a good thing for the senior star hurler. Sale (11-3, 2.71 ERA) during this campaign and is tied for the major league lead in victories and go long and strong here today. Sale has allowed two or fewer runs in 11 of his past 12 starts and is is 2-0 with a 2.53 ERA in three career games (two starts) against Arizona and deserves respect in his current form.Meanwhile, Arizonas starter Zac Gallen is a top tier hurler , and currently owns a (6-4, 3.06) record and finished third in National League Cy Young Award race last season, and also owns a solid 2-0 record along with a stingy 2.45 ERA in four career starts against Atlanta. Yesterdays tilt bwtween these sides, was low scoring , and saw a the DBacks with a 3-1 lead in the 9th before the Braves scored 2 runs and tied it and than it went to extra innings seeing Atlanta take a 5-4 victory with the over being eclipsed in heart breaking fashion. Now Im betting another low scoring affair that projects to stay on the low side of the number, with the 9 inning range thanks to two top tier hurlers taking part in what has a strong possibility of being a pitcher duel. Arizona vs . NL East/Central has seen 20 of 31 contests go under. Play under |
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07-09-24 | Yankees v. Rays OVER 8 | 3-5 | Push | 0 | 14 h 31 m | Show | |
Tampa Bay are expected to start right-hander Ryan Pepiot on Tuesday. Pepiot (4-5, 4.40 ERA). Note: Pepiot has never had fewer than two strikeouts in any MLB game, as a starter or reliever, and that means contact for the Yankees is on todays agenda. He has failed to complete six innings in each of his last four starts and Im betting on that trend remaining intact today. Meanwhile, NYY Rodon (9-6, 4.45 ERA) is in in down mode after losing his last four starts. Last time out , he struck out eight and allowed three runs over 5 1/3 innings on Wednesday in a loss to the Reds. But previous to that he surrendered 21 runs (20 earned) over 13.2 innings in three starts. These pitchers go against offenses that have been inconsistent of late, but from power ranking perspective the batting orders matchup well here. I wont be surprised if we come close to eclipsing this totals offering early on this game in a tilt I project to eclipse the total. Play over |
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07-08-24 | Braves v. Diamondbacks UNDER 8 | 5-4 | Loss | -105 | 13 h 38 m | Show | |
These teams have not hit their team expected runs total lately, which may mean they are under achieving according to the lines-makers numbers/projections , or are settling into a more consistent phase of offensive output. What ever it is both sides are not living up to offensive expectations as the totals betting data shows. Note: The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Team Total Under in 20 of their last 31 games at home (+8.00 Units / 22% ROI) The Atlanta Braves have hit the Team Total Under in 22 of their last 31 away games (+12.55 Units / 35% ROI)The Atlanta Braves have only hit the Game Total Over in 21 of their last 76 games (-35.40 Units / -43% ROI)- My projections concur with some of the trends, which make this contest according to my projections lower scoring than the offered number. Yes, I am aware the Dbacks offense has been on a tear in their last few games but here immediate regression against a top tier pitcher is at hand. Braves starting pitcher Sale (11-3, 2.71 ERA) is tied for the major league lead in victories and ranks sixth in strikeouts (127) and eighth in ERA. Sale is 2-0 with a 2.53 ERA in three career games (two starts) against Arizona. Meanwhile, the Dbacks will send out Diaz, 23, who is the teams ' No. 16 prospect. He has struck out 105 in 76 minor league innings this season. The Braves lack of familiarity with him gives the young fireballer and advantage here . The Atlanta Braves have scored 3 or fewer runs in 6 of their last 10 games. Play under |
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07-08-24 | Mets v. Pirates -110 | 2-8 | Win | 100 | 4 h 58 m | Show | |
After a heart breaking 3-2 loss to the Mets yesterday the Pirates will be primed for a bounce back performance. Mets rookie Christian Scott (0-2, 4.32 ERA) and the Pirates' Mitch Keller (9-5, 3.48) go to the hill for their perspective sides Monday in a battle of right-handers. My pitcher vs batting power rankings suggest the Pirates have the edge here today. Scott,just returned this past Wednesday to play with the big club after being demoted where he spent a month at Triple-A Syracuse. He allowed four runs over 5 2/3 innings in a no-decision against the Washington Nationals in his return and could easily end up as cannon fodder again today. I know Keller his pitching opponent is off a bad start last time out , but had gone 3-1 with a 2.35 ERA in his previous five starts and more than capable of bouncing back.
Favorites are 17-1 L/19 games between Pittsburgh Pirates and NY Mets. Play on the Pirates to win |
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07-07-24 | Red Sox +123 v. Yankees | 3-0 | Win | 123 | 9 h 27 m | Show | |
The Yankees won yesterday vs Red Sox in lopsided fashion scoring 14 runs and wining by 10 runs. Now Im betting on an immediate regression in letdown spot after that big win. I know Gill has a viable record this season, but he is vulnerable entering this tilt after allowing 4 ERS in his L/outing. The Yankees have lost each of their last five games as favorites against AL East opponents following a win.The Red Sox have won six of their last seven games as underdogs. The Boston Red Sox have hit the Moneyline in 27 of their last 42 away games (+13.05 Units / 26% ROI) Play on Red Sox to win |
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07-07-24 | Brewers v. Dodgers -152 | 9-2 | Loss | -152 | 8 h 3 m | Show | |
Former Cy Young award winner Keuchel is on the down side of career. He pitched well last time out but he still owns a ugly 6.47 ERA , and according to my pitcher vs batting order power rankings does not matchup well vs a Dodgers' offense is averaging 5.07 runs per game, Advantage Dodgers . The Brewers have lost each of their last 10 games at Dodger Stadium following a loss. (Dodgers won yesterday) The Dodgers have won each of their last seven home games against the Brewers.The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Moneyline in 12 of their last 18 games (+2.95 Units / 9% ROI). Favorites are 17-1 L/18 games between Milwaukee and LA Dodgers. Play on the Dodgers to win |
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07-07-24 | Mets -125 v. Pirates | 3-2 | Win | 100 | 5 h 17 m | Show | |
Todays starters --Mets: Sean Manaea (5-3, 3.67 ERA, 1.27 WHIP, 81 strikeouts); Pirates: Luis Ortiz (4-2, 3.27 ERA, 1.24 WHIP, 47 strikeouts). Both these hurlers have pitched well of late, but according to my projections the Mets bats because of their more consistent offensive out puts have the edge. The Pirates offense has scored 360 runs with a .230 batting average and a .299 on base percentage. The Mets offense has scored 421 runs with a .247 batting average and a .318 on base percentage.*** The New York Mets have hit the Moneyline in 19 of their last 28 games (+9.50 Units / 28% ROI) NY Mets is 5-1 on the money line in its last 6 games when playing Pittsburgh. The Pirates have lost three of their last four day games against National League opponents. Favs are 15-1 in the L/16 games between the Pittsburgh Pirates and NY Mets. |
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07-07-24 | Dream v. Sun UNDER 151.5 | 67-80 | Win | 100 | 4 h 6 m | Show | |
The Sun are 1-1 against the Dream this season, dropping the last contest 78-74 on June 28 in Connecticut. Current values and play estimations make for an even lower scoring affair this afternoon. Last time out on Thursday night, the Connecticut Sun took a 78-73 road victory over the Minnesota Lynx and Im betting will continue to play a top tier brand of defensive hoops. My projections estimate a score in the mid 140s giving us a more than 2 possession advantage to the under. Play under |
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07-06-24 | Mystics v. Lynx OVER 156.5 | 67-74 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 30 m | Show | |
Mystics just got smashed by DDs vs the Aces last time out and to me looked exhausted for whatever reason. Maybe being injury riddled and short handed has finally got the best of the best of this young group from DC. That does not bode well for them having the legs needed today vs a motivated group of Lynx whoare off a humbling loss to Connecticut at home t after a fast start to their campaign. With that said, I expect the Mystics just wont have the tenacity needed to play strong D in this spot and for the Lynx to highlight a more aggressive offensive posture in an attempt to alleviate the letdown of a key loss last time out . This Im betting will lead to a score that eclipses this totals offering. Play on the over |
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07-06-24 | Mets -125 v. Pirates | 5-2 | Win | 100 | 8 h 20 m | Show | |
New York's David Peterson (3-0, 3.51 ERA) goes to the hill for his team while, and Pittsburgh's Bailey Falter (4-6, 3.87) gets the call in a battle of left-handers this Saturday. My projections give the edge to the Mets starter Peterson, who matches up well vs the Pirates batting order according to my pitcher vs batting order rankings. The Mets have a .452 slugging percentage versus southpaws, ranking them 4th in the league. Yesterday the Pirates smacked 7 HRS in a 14-2 victory and now after those balloted 4th of July fireworks Im expecting regression here in letdown spot. On the flipside the Mets acted quite embarrassed after that debacle , and pros don't like to be made to look bad and will be primed for a big bounce back performance . Chalk is 14-1 in the last 15 games between the Piitsburgh Pirates and NY Mets for a 93% conversion rate with a 83.5 %. Play on NY Mets to win |
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07-06-24 | Rays v. Rangers OVER 8 | 3-4 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 8 m | Show | |
Yesterdays game between these two teams was low scoring with the Rangers winning 3-0. However, my projections for this game estimate a combined score in the 9 plus range giving us value with this offering. Tampa Bays starter Taj Bradley goes to the hill for the Tampa Bay Rays, today vs the Rangers. He owns a 3-4 record aling with a 3.42 ERA and 72 strikeouts this season. Bradley in recent action has allowed 27 hits and 13 ERS in his last 32.1 innings of sub par work. He has struggled on the road as is evident by a 8.16 ERA and .339 allowed batting average in 14.1 innings away from home. Bradley is 0-2 with a 6.23 ERA and 13 strikeouts in his career against the Texas Rangers and is on my charts to be lit up here today against a sometimes explosive Rangers offense. Meanwhile the Ranges send ,Andrew Heaney to the mound . the southpaw is is 3-9 with a 4.04 ERA and 85 strikeouts this season. Heaney has allowed 30 hits and 13 runs in his last 34.1 innings, so he is a target pitcher that can be beaten around. Heaney has a 4.98 ERA and .221 allowed batting average in 34 plus innings of work at home. Heaney is also an ugly 0-5 with a 3.68 ER in his career against the Tampa Bay Rays. Note: Current Rangers arr hitting .286 with a .394 OBP in 28 at bats against Bradley. With that said, Im betting on both starters to give up multiple runs today and for the bullpens to have mop up issues. Play on the over |
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07-05-24 | Aces v. Sparks +13 | 93-98 | Win | 100 | 17 h 57 m | Show | |
The Aces played last night in a top tier effort against the Mystics and got the DD cover. However, now on tired legs and in a letdown situation Im betting on more subdued performance vs a Sparks side, that played the Aces tough in a 89-82 road loss back on May 19th and even tougher in a 96-92 victory in early June. Play on the Sparks |
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07-05-24 | Diamondbacks v. Padres OVER 8.5 | 8-10 | Win | 100 | 13 h 25 m | Show | |
The Padres send righty Randy Vásquez to the hill against the Dbacks this Friday nite. He is 2-4 with a 4.88 ERA and 1.66 WHIP in his 11 starts. Vasquez is 0-0 with a 5.00 ERA and 5 strikeouts in his career against the Arizona Diamondbacks. Diego’s bullpen has been inconsistent this year, allowing 4.3 runs per game. Meanwhile, Right-hander Slade Cecconi is expected to start for the Dbacks The righty is 2-6 with a bloated 5.81 ERA and 1.26 WHIP in 12 outings (11 appearances) this year. He has particularly been inefficient on the road, where he recorded a 0-3 record with an 11.65 ERA and 1.88 WHIP in four outings spanning 17 innings. Both hurlers according to my projections do match up well here against these offenses. Arizona ranks 6th in OBP (.324), 11th in OPS (.728), 19th in home runs (86), and 8th in RBI (391). Meanwhile , their pitchi g staff pitching staff 4.66 ERA ranking (29th) and 1.36 WHIP (27th). San Diego ranks 5th in OBP (.325), 9th in OPS (.734), 9th in home runs (100), and 5th in RBI (402). The Padres' pitching staff has been average at best with a 4.08 ERA (18th) and 1.27 WHIP (17th) on the camapign. The San Diego Padres have hit the Game Total Over in 21 of their last 33 games at home (+8.10 Units / 22% ROI)The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Game Total Over in 21 of their last 31 games (+10.00 Units / 29% ROI) The total has gone OVER in 10 of San Diego's last 12 games. The total has gone OVER in 6 of Arizona's last 8 games. Play over |
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07-05-24 | Dream +2.5 v. Wings | 82-85 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 20 m | Show | |
My projections via my power rankings estimate the wrong team is being favored here when the Dream visit the Wings I know both sides are highly inconsistent, but the Dream just have better matchup metrics and are a value play taking points. Also after playing a run in gun high scoring tilt this past Wednesday night (104-96 loss vs the vs the Mercury Im betting the Wings wont have enough left in the tank to give them the extra push needed in what the linesmakers are expecting to be closely contested affair. Play on the Dream to cover |
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07-04-24 | Mystics v. Aces OVER 170.5 | 77-98 | Win | 100 | 17 h 33 m | Show | |
Mystics are banged up but still seem to find the depth to score, but their Achilles heel seem to have shown some defensive break downs to top tier teams and thats what Im betting on tonight. Meanwhile, the Aces are more cohesive offensively on their own home floor and a expanded offensive outing, above their current metrics looks to be a high probability event giving credence to my over wager in this spot play situation. Vegas scored a 88-77 win in DC in their previous meeting in June, and a even higher offensive output by Vegas is projected here , with the Mystics frantically chasing. Play over |
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07-04-24 | Portland v. FC Dallas | 2-3 | Loss | -100 | 11 h 59 m | Show | |
07-04-24 | Sun v. Lynx UNDER 152.5 | 78-73 | Win | 100 | 15 h 51 m | Show | |
Minnesota usually reliable D failed them last time out vs the Liberty , after leading that game for a majority of the time they fell apart late for the loss. Now in bounce back mode, Im sure a complete defensive effort vs the Sun wlll be in order. Also this will be an emotional hangover spot for the Lynx and Im betting they wont have the legs to run and gun and will be alot more subdued after their Commissioner Cup rematch against NYL. Meanwhile, the Suns, have not looked as explosive offensively as they did earlier this season, and have reverted to a more structured conservative defensive type of hoops. This combination of observations and my power ranking head to head projections estimate a combined score that will fail to eclipse this total. Play under |
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07-04-24 | Red Sox -1.5 v. Marlins | 6-5 | Loss | -100 | 6 h 47 m | Show | |
The Red Sox won 7-2 yesterday and look like candidates for aanother multi run deficit win today according to my projections. Pivetta has pitched his best awat from Fenway this season, as is evident by a 3.62 ERA and .252 allowed batting average in 32.1 innings. According to my projections he matches up well vs a Miami side that has struggled to score all season long. Meanwhile the inexperienced , Kyle Tyler goes to the hill for the Miami Marlin ( 3 career starts). The righty is 0-1 with a 3.38 ERA and has allowed 7 hits and 3 runs in his last 8.2 innings of average at best work, and could find himself in trouble early against a BoSox team has shown offensive consistency this season. . The Red Sox have won each of their last seven away games after playing the previous day.The Marlins have lost each of their last 12 games as underdogs against AL East opponents following a home loss.The Red Sox have covered the run line in each of their last eight games as favorites against the Marlins following a win.The Marlins have failed to cover the run line in 12 of their last 13 home games against American League opponents after playing the previous day. Play on the BoSox -1.5 run-line |
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07-03-24 | Angels v. A's OVER 8 | 0-5 | Loss | -105 | 14 h 11 m | Show | |
The As took the opner ins this series by a 7-5 count and my projections estimate a total of closer to 9 for this affair giving us a full 1 run advantage to the over. Pitchers: Angels: Davis Daniel (1-0, 0.00 ERA, 0.50 WHIP, eight strikeouts); Athletics: Joey Estes (2-3, 5.24 ERA, 1.21 WHIP, 39 strikeouts.Angles starter Daniel has seen limited action Meanwhile, the As Estes has seen more action with but has garnered sub standard metrics. Both hurlers project to allow above season averages. The Athletics have proven a inconsistent offensive side, but they rank fifth in the AL with 99 total home runs, averaging 1.1 per game. Oaklands pitching has been their Achilles heel, as is evident by a recent 5.51 ERA in this L/10 games and overall have allowed 4.82 runs per game. The Angels are averaging 4.19 runs per game , while their pitching is giving up 4.95 runs per game and are projected to maintain those numbers in todays tilt. The Halos offense is ranked 19th in the league, while the pitching is ranked 27th. The Los Angeles Angels have only hit the Game Total Under in 30 of their last 69 games (-9.20 Units / -12% ROI)T he total has gone OVER in 6 of LA Angels's last 8 games on the road. Play over |
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07-03-24 | Mercury v. Wings OVER 169.5 | 104-96 | Win | 100 | 11 h 51 m | Show | |
Play over |
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07-02-24 | Mystics v. Sparks OVER 161.5 | 82-80 | Win | 100 | 12 h 48 m | Show | |
The Mystics are a hard working team with alot of chemistry and top tier coaching. Despite of a boatload full of injuries they keep competing . In what the lines-makers expect to be a very close game here in LA, Im betting both these sides, ( Mystics/ Sparks) take part in a back and forth affair that eclipses the total. Play on the OVER |
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07-02-24 | Brewers v. Rockies OVER 11 | 4-3 | Loss | -115 | 13 h 15 m | Show | |
Brewers have 7-2-1 to the over L/10 overall while batting .294. Rockies go for their 3rd straight win and have won their L/5 at home vs the Brewers with consistent hitting being the catalyst. The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Game Total Over in 45 of their last 81 games (+11.40 Units / 13% ROI)The Colorado Rockies have only hit the Game Total Under in 21 of their last 51 games (-11.05 Units / -20% ROI) Play over |
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07-02-24 | Lynx +6.5 v. Liberty | 67-76 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 55 m | Show | |
Commissioner’s Cup Championship rematch pits the Lynx against the Liberty. What Im betting here is that in a small market, that has seen the line bolt higher, offers exceptional value for sharp bettors taking points. My line is closer to 3 so we are getting a full possession advantage here with the Lynx taking points. Ive watched the Lynx and their defensive game looks to be of the top tier variety which gives us what we need for a cover vs a run and gun opponent that can be wreckless on defense more often than not. Play on the Lynx to cover |
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07-01-24 | Brewers v. Rockies OVER 11 | 7-8 | Win | 100 | 13 h 30 m | Show | |
Right-hander Bryse Wilson (5-3, 3.89 ERA) is scheduled start the opener for the Brewers while left-hander Austin Gomber (1-5, 4.63) goes to the hill for the Colorado Rockies. Gomber was 0-3 with a 9.39 ERA in five June starts. Gomber’s last five starts has seen him surrender 24 runs over his last 23 innings. Brewers starter Wilson is 3-2 with a 5.31 ERA and 1.21 WHIP on the road (40.2 IP) .The Colorado Rockies rank 30th in the league for ERA this season (5.60) with an opposing side ,288 opponent batting average. Today the wind is expected to be blowing in at Coors Field , but the thin air of the Rockies, and the launching pad known as Coors Field and sub par to average pitchers on the mound will be the key ingredient in what Im cooking up to be a fairly high scoring affair that eclipses this totals offering. We cant forget how explosive the Brewers bats have been of late and they could eclipse this Totals offering all by themselves. Note: In their L/5 games the Brewers have four grand slams. Eight of the Brewers’ last nine games after playing the previous day have gone OVER the total .Each of the Rockies’ last seven night games after playing the previous day have gone OVER the total. Play over |
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06-30-24 | Lynx v. Sky UNDER 163.5 | 70-62 | Win | 100 | 7 h 3 m | Show | |
Minnesota came out flat against Dallas this past Thursday, but this is to good of a team to not get back into a groove quickly . Im betting on a shut down performance from their D , after a couple of uncharacteristically high scoring games and for a lower combined score to be a result of this tilt which in-turn gives us an edge on a under wager. Play under |
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06-30-24 | Nationals v. Rays -1.5 | 0-5 | Win | 115 | 5 h 22 m | Show | |
Tampa Bay enters this game having won 7 of their L/10 overall, and have covered the Run Line in 10 of their last 12 games (+7.45 Units / 40% ROI). Yes, they lost yesterday, but have a great bounce back record vs NL sides, having won/ covered the run line in each of their last five home games against National League opponents following a loss.The Nationals have failed to cover the run line in each of their last four games against AL East opponents following a road win. Considering the home side has an edge as they go against Patrick Corbin, who owns a 1-7 record and an ERA of 5.86 it will be easy decision to back the Rays in a bounce back spot. Play on Tampa Bay -1.5 runline |
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06-30-24 | Yankees v. Blue Jays OVER 8 | 8-1 | Win | 100 | 6 h 54 m | Show | |
Yesterday the Yankees lost their second game of this series with a 9-3 loss the day after a 16-5 beat down of the Blue Jays. The Yankees' bullpen allowed six runs in just the last three innings in the loss and Im betting things dont get much better today as Cole goes to the hill for just the third time since coming of the injury list . His fast ball is only clocking in at around 94-95 miles an hr compared to his usual 98-99 mile range, which tells me he is still a few games from getting back into a healthy groove. The Cy Young award winner also owns a ugly ERA of 9.00 and a WHIP of 1.88 in his two starts. Meanwhile, his pitching opponent, Gausman is 6-6 in 16 starts during this campaign with an ERA of 4.26 and a WHIP of 1.27. Gausman has allowed 90 hits in 86.2 innings this season and has allowed 13 home runs on the season. With that said, and considering both sides have shown some offensive swagger in the first three games of this series Im betting on enough runs to cross the plate here for this totals offering to be eclipsed. The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Game Total Over in 8 of their last 11 games (+5.75 Units / 47% ROI) The New York Yankees have hit the Game Total Over in 21 of their last 28 games (+13.10 Units / 42% ROI) Play over |
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06-30-24 | Jiri Prochazka v. Alberto Pereira -145 | 0-1 | Win | 100 | 14 h 37 m | Show | |
06-29-24 | Guardians -103 v. Royals | 7-2 | Win | 100 | 8 h 35 m | Show | |
The Royals have beaten the visiting Cleveland Guardians twice to open a four-game series that continues Saturday afternoon, but now Im betting on a bounce back performance from the Guardians. Clevelands starter BIBEE is 8-1 against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record this season. (Team's Record) BIBEE is 13-3 against the money line in all games this season. (Team's Record) Bibee won four of his last six starts, while recording a stingy 2.86 ERA with 50 strikeouts in 34 2/3 innings during that span. Bibee won in Baltimore on Monday, allowing just two runs -- one earned -- in six innings while striking out seven and deserves respect here in this spot play. CLEVELAND is 12-2 against the money line vs. a starting pitcher whose gives up 0.5 or less HR's/start this season like the Royals starter Ragans.
Ragans has just one win in his last six starts, and it came in his most recent appearance with a big time 11 SO performance and now Im also betting on immediate regression vs a patient Guardians batting order. CLEVELAND is 20-8 against the money line in day games this season. Play on Cleveland to win CLEVELAND is 21-10 against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record this season. |
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06-29-24 | A's v. Diamondbacks UNDER 8.5 | 0-3 | Win | 100 | 5 h 57 m | Show | |
The Oakland A’s will send out Hogan Harris for the start . He is 1-1 with a 2.72 ERA and 28 strikeouts this season. Meanwhile, Arizona sends out top tier hurler Gallen (5-4, 3.12 ERA) who finished third in National League Cy Young balloting last season . He also was the NL's starting pitcher in the All-Star Game. Gallen has been off for a month but pitched well in a simulated game and looks strong enough to go long here in this spot. Arizona is looking for a stopper, after a bad run off overall team pitching and will be primed to hold an inconsistent As offense down. Yes, the As scored 9 runs yesterday but have only score more than 2 runs two times twice in thier L/6 games and overall have scored an average of 3.2 rpg on the road this season. The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Team Total Under in 19 of their last 29 games at home (+8.05 Units / 23% ROI) he Oakland Athletics have hit the Team Total Under in 26 of their last 40 away games (+10.60 Units / 22% ROI)Play under |
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06-28-24 | Twins v. Mariners -124 | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 13 h 55 m | Show | |
Mariners starter Gilbert is in a groove as is evident by his 1.19 ERA and minuscule 0.573 WHIP in his L/3 starts. His current form gives credence to seeing the Seattle Mariners coming out of this with a win. Mariners starter GILBERT is 23-9 against the money line after giving up 2 or less earned runs in his last 2 outings in his career. (Team's Record) Meanwhile Ober the Twins starter lost to these same Mariners back in May by a 10-6 count, SEATTLE is 22-9 against the money line in home games vs. an overused bullpen that pitches more than 3.2 innings per game this season. MINNESOTA is 13-23 against the money line vs. a team with a very good bullpen whose WHIP is 1.250 or better this season. MLB teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (SEATTLE) - ice cold hitting team - batting .175 or worse over their last 3 games, with a hot starting pitcher- WHIP 0.800 or less over his last 3 starts are 27-10 L/5 seasons for a 73% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Seattle to win |
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06-28-24 | Tigers v. Angels +108 | 2-5 | Win | 108 | 11 h 41 m | Show | |
The Angels took out the Tigers by a 5-0 count last night. Note: The Tigers have lost each of their last eight night games against the Angels following a loss. The Angels have won each of their last six night games against the Tigers following a win. Considering the Tigers starter Kenta Maeda has struggled on the road this season as is evident by garnering a ERA of 9.90 it will not be a difficult decision to take the home pup that has won 4 straight games in this spot play. DETROIT is 0-11 against the money line after 2 straight games where they stranded 5 or less runners on base this season. Play on the Angels to win |
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06-28-24 | Yankees -113 v. Blue Jays | 16-5 | Win | 100 | 11 h 44 m | Show | |
The Yankees are struggling after having lost 9 of their L/11 , so we are getting good value with them entering this game vs a Jays group they matchup well against. Tonight Im betting they have the edge with Marcus Stroman on the hill. The righty owns a 5-1 road record this season along with a stingy 2.38 ERA. SCHNEIDER is 19-26 against the money line in home games vs. an AL starting pitcher whose ERA is 3.70 or better as the manager of TORONTO. BOONE is 20-8 against the money line in road games after batting .175 or worse over a 3 game span as the manager of NY YANKEES. Blue Jays starter KIKUCHI is 3-11 against the money line vs. poor baserunning teams - averaging 0.5 or less SB's/game over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record) KIKUCHI is 4-11 against the money line when the total is 7 to 8.5 this season. (Team's Record) TORONTO is 6-23 against the money line as an underdog of +100 to +150 this season. MLB teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (TORONTO) - with a team batting average of .255 or worse on the season (AL), after scoring 8 runs or more 2 straight games are 17-39 L/5 seasons for a go against 70% conversion rate for bettors. |
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06-27-24 | Fever +9.5 v. Storm | 77-89 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 4 m | Show | |
The Fever have upped their play of late and deserve respect as road underdogs vs a over rated Seattle side. The Fever have covered 5 straight and should remain competeitve here according to my power rankings that make the Storm just 7 point favs. Sides is 7-0 ATS b in road games hot shooting team - 4 straight games making 42% or more of their shots as the coach of INDIANA.Sides is 11-0 ATS after 3 or more consecutive overs as the coach of INDIANA. WNBA Home favorites (SEATTLE) - a good team (+3 to +7 PPG differential) against a terrible team (7 or less PPG differential), after scoring 70 points or more in 3 straight games are 9-31 L/27 seasons for a go against 78% conversion rate for bettors.Play on Indiana to cover |
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06-27-24 | Yankees -130 v. Blue Jays | 2-9 | Loss | -130 | 11 h 17 m | Show | |
Berrios is performing at sub par levels so far this season and has a ugly record when facing the Yankees, as is evident by a 0-4 mark in his last four appearances along with a a 6.08 ERA and 1.39 WHIP. Berrios is 1-2 in his last three starts with a combined 12 earned runs allowed in 16.2 innings of lowly work. BERRIOS is 8-22 in his career against the money line vs. teams outscoring opp by 0.5 or more runs/game in the second half of the season . (Team's Record) I know the Yankees starter Rodon ( 9-4, 3.65 ERA) has not been great in recent starts , but the Jays are just 7-14 against the money line vs. an AL starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.200 or better this season . TORONTO is 9-17 against the money line vs. a team with a good bullpen whose ERA is 3.45 or better this season. TORONTO is 5-23 against the money line as an underdog of +100 to +150 this season. NYY own a .636 road win percentage while the Jays are. sub par .486 at home. The Toronto Blue Jays have only hit the Moneyline in 24 of their last 58 games (-16.55 Units / -21% ROI) Play on NY Yankees to win |
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06-27-24 | Sun v. Mystics +10.5 | 94-91 | Win | 100 | 4 h 6 m | Show | |
I know the Mystics are pretty banged up but my line adjustments still give us a one possession advantage on what seems to be an over compensation on the line offering. WASHINGTON is 11-3 ATS versus very good teams - outscoring their opponents by 6+ points/game over the last 3 season.WASHINGTON is 22-11 ATS in home games versus explosive offensive teams - scoring 73+ points/game over the last 3 seasons. WASHINGTON is 7-0 ATS as a home underdog of 9.5 to 12 points since 1997. Play on the Mystics to cover |
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06-27-24 | Marlins v. Phillies -1.5 | 7-4 | Loss | -125 | 11 h 3 m | Show | |
Miami's expected starter ROGERS is 2-12 against the money line vs. teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times/game this season. (Team's Record) witht he average rpg diff clicking at -4 . ROGERS is 4-16 against the money line against division opponents over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) with the average rpg diff clicking in at -2.7. ROGERS is 2-13 against the money line in all games this season. (Team's Record) with the average rpg diff clicking in at -3.9. ROGERS is 1-6 when starting against PHILADELPHIA with an ERA of 6.99 and a WHIP of 1.683. Phillies expected starter WHEELER is 11-4 when starting against MIAMI with an ERA of 2.72 and a WHIP of 1.059. These two offenses and pitching staffs are operating at the polar oppoiste ends of the performance spectrum at the moment. Phillies: 6-4, L/10 with a .306 batting average, 2.86 ERA, outscored opponents by 21 runs. Marlins: 5-5 L/10, with a lowly .216 batting average, 3.91 ERA, outscored by 13 runs. The Marlins have lost each of their last 11 night games against National League opposition following a road loss.The Phillies have won 10 of their last 11 games at Citizens Bank Park against NL East opponents with a below .500 record.The Phillies have covered the run line in 12 of their last 14 night games against NL East opponents.The Marlins have failed to cover the run line in six of their last seven night games against NL East opponents that held a winning record. MLB Road underdogs with a money line of +175 to +250 (MIAMI) - sub par offensive team (3.8 or less runs/game) against a good starting pitcher (ERA 3.70 or less) (NL), with an on base percentage of .310 or worse over their last 20 games are 1-38 L/5 seasons for a go against 98% conversion rate for bettors with the average rpg diff clicking in at -3.4 which qualities on this runline offering. Play on the Philadelphia Phillies -1.5 runline |
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06-26-24 | Yankees v. Mets UNDER 8.5 | 2-12 | Loss | -100 | 12 h 1 m | Show | |
Yankees: Luis Gil (9-2, 2.77 ERA, 1.08 WHIP, 97 strikeouts); Mets: Sean Manaea (4-3, 4.16 ERA, 1.29 WHIP, 73 strikeouts) These teams took part in a 9-7 slugfest yesterday with the Mets pulling off the victory. Tonight Im betting on immediate offensive regression as the pitching staffs will be primed to bounce back. NY METS are 18-7 UNDER in home games when playing against a team with a winning record this season with a combined average of 6.9 rpg scored. NY METS are 13-4 UNDER in home games vs. a starting pitcher like NYY expected starter Gill who strikes out 5 or more batters per start this season with a combined average of 6.6 rpg scored. NY METS are 20-8 UNDER in home games against right-handed starters this season like NYY expected starter Gill. NY METS are 15-5 UNDER in home games in night games this season with a combined average of 7.2 rpg scorec. MLB Home teams where the total is 8.5 to 10 (NY METS) - allowing 4.5 or more runs/game on the season (NL) against opponent starting a pitcher who was rocked for 7 or more runs last outing are 33-8 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 81% conversion rate for bettors. Play under |
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06-26-24 | Rangers -107 v. Brewers | 5-6 | Loss | -107 | 1 h 19 m | Show | |
Im fading thr Brewers here despite of them taking the first two games of this seriies. Rangers starter Eovaldi’s is 5-2 in his last seven starts. While Keuchel went 2-1 with a 5.97 ERA in ten appearances for the Twins in 2023. EOVALDI is 13-0 against the money line vs. good baserunning teams - averaging 0.85 or more SB's/game over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) MILWAUKEE is 8-16 against the money line after having won 3 of their last 4 games this season. MLB Home teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (MILWAUKEE) - good NL offensive team (4.7 or more runs/game) against a good AL starting pitcher (ERA 4.20 or less), with a very good bullpen whose ERA is 3.33 or better on the season are 9-28 L/27 seasons for a go against 76% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Texas to win |
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06-25-24 | Twins v. Diamondbacks +111 | 4-5 | Win | 111 | 10 h 4 m | Show | |
Arizona starter Pfaadt has given up just one earned run in each of his last two starts at Chase Field and has pitched his best baseball at home this season. Meanwhile, Twins starter RYAN despite of pitching well lately is 0-6 against the money line in road games after giving up 2 or less earned runs in his last 2 outings over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) Considering the Twins have dropped five consecutive night games away from home , Im seeing some value here with the home side. The Diamondbacks have won each of their last three games as home underdogs following a road loss which was the case last time out.The Twins have lost eight of their last 12 games as road favorites against National League opponents following a road win.Play on Arizona to win |
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06-25-24 | Marlins v. Royals -1.5 | 2-1 | Loss | -100 | 8 h 18 m | Show | |
Royals starter LUGO is 8-0 against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record this season. (Team's Record) with the average rpg diff clicking in at +4.6. KANSAS CITY is 13-0 against the money line in home games when playing against a team with a losing record this season with the average rpg diff clicking in at +4.8 which qualifies on this run line offering. MIAMI is 4-15 against the money line vs. good baserunning teams - averaging 0.85 or more SB's/game this season with the average rpg diff clicking in at -3.1.MIAMI is 7-20 against the money line after batting .225 or worse over a 5 game span this season with the average rpg diff clicking in at -2.1. The Royals have taken care of business at home this season vs sub par teams like the Marlins and get the nod again. Play on KC royals -1.5 |
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06-25-24 | Pirates v. Reds -125 | 9-5 | Loss | -125 | 4 h 52 m | Show | |
LATE STEAM |
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06-25-24 | Phillies v. Tigers OVER 7.5 | 1-4 | Loss | -103 | 7 h 35 m | Show | |
Left-hander Ranger Suarez (10-1, 1.75 ERA) of the National League East-leading Philadelphia Phillies will be opposed by Tigers southpaw Tarik Skubal (8-3, 2.50).Note: Motowns bullpen owns a 4.70 ERA at home this season. Both hurlers according to my projections are in negative regression territory based on overall metrics giving us an edge to cash an over ticket. DETROIT is 12-2 OVER L/14 in home games vs. an NL starting pitcher like Suarez whose ERA is 2.40 or better with a combined average of 10.9 rpg scored. DETROIT is 11-1 OVER in home games vs. NL teams scoring 5 or more runs/game on the season over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 11.7 rpg scored. DETROIT is 10-2 OVER at home when the total is 7 to 7.5 this season with a combined average of 9.2 rog scored. Play over |
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06-24-24 | A's v. Angels OVER 9 | 1-5 | Loss | -100 | 10 h 7 m | Show | |
Right-hander Griffin Canning (2-8, 5.02 ERA) goes to hill Monday for the Angels. Canning is winless in his last six starts, and is 2-4 with a 4.56 ERA in nine career starts versus Oakland. Right-hander Luis Medina (1-2, 4.71) will make his fifth start of the season for the A's, . Medina has faced the Angels once in his career, giving up eight runs (seven earned) in a 11-3 loss on April 26, 2023. Angels have given up an average of 5.1r pg on the season and 5.4 rpg at home. The As have allowed 5.1 rpg vs RHP like Canning. When factoring in both starting pitchers and bullpen assignament avaliabilty a higher scoring tilt is my projection. LA ANGELS are 16-6 OVER when playing against a team with a losing record this season with a combined average of 10.9 rpg scored. LA ANGELS are 10-1 OVER after scoring 3 runs or less 4 straight games over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 10 rpg scored. OAKLAND is 17-4 OVER after getting shut out over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 10.9 rpg scored. Play over |
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06-24-24 | Oilers v. Panthers -105 | 1-2 | Win | 100 | 11 h 22 m | Show | |
The Oilers are the only other team in history that has a chance to win a Stanley Cup coming back from a 3-0 deficit after the Maple Leafs did it against the Red Wings in 1942. I know the Oilers are now the talk of the hockey world , and they have momentum on their sides, behind super star Connor McDavid. However, the Panthers are an experienced play off side, that has a great deal of physicality on their sides in a game that should see the officials put their whistles away. Home ice will be huge tonight for the Panthers, and Im betting they find a way to take down an Oilers side that has exerted a great deal of energy to come back in this series, and could easily find themselves drained as this game drags on.FLORIDA is 10-2 ATS in home games when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 75%) this season.FLORIDA is 15-4 ATS after allowing 3 goals or more 4 straight games over the last 2 seasons. EDMONTON is 8-17 ATS after having won 3 of their last 4 games this season. Play on Florida to win |
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06-24-24 | Mariners -105 v. Rays | 3-4 | Loss | -105 | 8 h 36 m | Show | |
Right-hander Bryan Woo (3-1, 1.67 ERA) will make his first career appearance against the Rays in his eighth start this year and according to my projections has an edge. TAMPA BAY is 0-12 against the money line in home games vs. an AL starting pitcher whose ERA is 3.70 or better this season like Seattles starter Woo. AtMPA BAY is 0-8 against the money line in home games vs. an AL starting pitcher whose ERA is 2.90 or better this season like the Mariners starter Woo. WOO is 13-3 against the money line vs. an AL team with a team batting average of .260 or worse over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) like the Rays. Right-hander Taj Bradley (2-4, 4.06), who will make his ninth start today vs the Mariners , holds no record and an 8.38 ERA against the Mariners in two career starts. SEATTLE is 13-1 against the money line after a loss by 2 runs or less this season.( Lost to the Marlins 6-4 yesterday) SEATTLE is 14-2 against the money line when playing against a marginal losing team (Win Pct. 46% to 49%) over the last 2 seasons. Play on Mariners to win |
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06-23-24 | Sun v. Storm UNDER 156.5 | 61-72 | Win | 100 | 7 h 60 m | Show | |
My projections make this total closer to the 151 range which in turn according to my numbers give us a big edge for an under wager to cash here today as the Sun and Storm do battle in west coast WNBA early afternoon action. Under is 6-0 in Storm last 6 games playing on 3 or more days rest.Under is 5-0 in Sun last 5 vs. Western Conference. Play under |
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06-23-24 | Orioles +113 v. Astros | 1-8 | Loss | -100 | 6 h 42 m | Show | |
Starting pitchers --Orioles: Albert Suarez (3-1, 2.05 ERA, 1.20 WHIP, 40 strikeouts); Astros: Framber Valdez (5-5, 3.91 ERA, 1.21 WHIP, 56 strikeouts). Valdez is just not a top tier pitcher yet. He has the tools to be a Cy Young award candidate but the consistency needed to achieve those goals is lacking. His inability to throw strikes consistently and rising walk counts are key. Today against a explosive group of Os ready for a bounce back he could easily be in trouble.Im betting on the Os avoiding the sweep here in Houston vs a recently resurgent Astros offense. Play on the |
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06-23-24 | Blue Jays v. Guardians -109 | 5-6 | Win | 100 | 4 h 37 m | Show | |
CLEVELAND is 18-7 against the money line in home games vs. an AL starting pitcher whose ERA is 3.70 or better over the last 2 seasons like the Blue Jays starter Kikuchi. CLEVELAND is 37-12 against the money line in home games vs. AL teams scoring 3.9 or less runs/game on the season over the last 3 seasons. Cleveland's starter MCKENZIE is 18-8 against the money line when the money line is +125 to -125 over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record) CLEVELAND is 15-4 against the money line at home when the money line is +125 to -125 this season. MLB Road underdogs with a money line of +100 or higher (TORONTO) - struggling AL offensive team (4.2 or less runs/game) against a team with a very good bullpen (ERA 3.33 or better), after 2 straight games where they stranded 5 or less runners on base are 4-37 L/5 seasons for a go against 90% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Guardians to win |
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06-22-24 | Orioles -140 v. Astros | 1-5 | Loss | -140 | 6 h 42 m | Show | |
Os starter Burnes has a 1.35 ERA in three June starts, allowing just 3 earned runs in 20 innings of work. Baltimore is 6-0 in Burnes’ last six starts and gives his team an edge in a bounce back situation after yesterdays 14-11 loss to this same Astros side. . Chalk off a loss playing an opponent off a victory are 241-152 for a 61% conversion rate for bettors. MLB team (BALTIMORE) - with a team slugging percentage of .450 or better on the season (AL), after scoring 8 runs or more 2 straight games are 32-11 L/5 seasons for a 75% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Baltimore to win |
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06-22-24 | Rays -102 v. Pirates | 3-4 | Loss | -102 | 8 h 15 m | Show | |
The Pirates continue to struggle in inter-league play and have now lost 15 of 23 after yesterdays loss to the Tampa Bay Rays. Im now betting on a rinse and repeat situation as the Rays have the edge again with Efilin on the hill. The righty is ( 3-4, along with a 4.12 ERA) and is 2-1 with a 1.35 ERA in three career starts against Pittsburgh. The Rays will respond with Rookie Jared Jones (4-6, 3.76 ERA) who according to my power rankings does not matchup well vs the Rays offense. In his L/2 starts the Pirates lost by 16-4 and 11-5 counts. PITTSBURGH is 1-7 against the money line after two straight games where they had 5 or less hits this season. TAMPA BAY is 13-5 against the money line on the road when the money line is +125 to -125 this season MLB - Road teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (TAMPA BAY) - with a slugging percentage of .500 or better over their last 3 games, with a tired bullpen - after 2 straight games throwing 5+ innings.are 27-6 L/5 seasons for a 81% conversion rate for bettors. Tampa Bay is 7-0 L/7 meetings in this series. Play on Tampa Bay to win |
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06-22-24 | Sparks v. Liberty OVER 167.5 | 88-98 | Win | 100 | 7 h 23 m | Show | |
These teams the Sparks and the Liberty just played and the total combined score of the game eclipsed the total (173), and Im betting on a rinse and repeat situation here today in the rematch.note: NYL have scored 90 points or more in 4 straight but have allowed 80 or more points in what have been wide open run and gun affairs. Over is 4-0 in Liberty last 4 home games. Over is 6-1 in the last 7 meetings in New York. NEW YORK is 15-6 OVER in home games after scoring 80 points or more in 2 straight games over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 170.3 ppg scored.NEW YORK is 23-12 OVER after allowing 75 points or more in 2 straight games over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 172 ppg scored. Play over |
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06-21-24 | Brewers +137 v. Padres | 5-9 | Loss | -100 | 10 h 24 m | Show | |
The Brewers are positive bets of between -120 to +135 on the moneyline with starter Colin Rea on the hill as is evident by cashing 12 of 14 last season and 4 of 5 this season for a total of 15+ units of profit. REA is 11-3 against the money line as an underdog of +100 to +150 over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)REA is 8-1 against the money line vs. teams averaging 2.75 or less extra base hits per game this season. (Team's Record) SAN DIEGO is 17-33 (-18.3 Units) against the money line vs. an NL starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.250 or better over the last 2 seasons. Meanwhile, Dylan Cease the Padres starer has a 6.32 ERA in his L/3 starts and fade material in his current form. SAN DIEGO is 9-16 against the money line in home games in night games this season MLB underdogs with a money line of +125 to +175 (MILWAUKEE) - with a hot bullpen whose ERA is under 3.00 the last 10 games against opponent with a struggling bullpen whose ERA is over 6.50 the last 5 games are 50-32 L/5 seasons for a 61% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Milwaukee to win |
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06-21-24 | Orioles -151 v. Astros | 11-14 | Loss | -151 | 13 h 57 m | Show | |
Baltimore'a expected starter Grayson Rodriguez, is 8-2 along with a solid 3.20 ERA and a 1.22 WHIP over 70.1 innings this season. He gives the No.1 AL team a edge here vs a Astros side that just cant shake out of playing inconsistent baseball. HOUSTON is 5-12 against the money line when playing against a top-level team (Win Pct. 62% or better ) this season. HOUSTON is 8-15 against the money line in home games against AL East opponents over the last 2 seasons. BALTIMORE is 26-7 against the money line as a road favorite of -125 or more over the last 2 seasons. The Orioles have won each of their last 10 games as road favorites against American League opponents.The Astros have lost seven of their last eight home games against AL East opponents that held a winning record. MLB Road favorites with a money line of -125 to -175 (BALTIMORE) - AL team with a low on-base percentage (.320 or worse) against a team with a good bullpen (WHIP 1.350 or less), starting a pitcher who gave up 2 or less earned runs in his last 2 outings are 95-35 L/5 seasons for a 73% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Baltimore Orioles to win |
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06-21-24 | Fever v. Dream +3 | 91-79 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 59 m | Show | |
I know Rhyne Howard will not play tonight for the Dream, but the market is definitely over reacting to this news and now I expect sharp money to now come in on the Dream.ATLANTA is 6-0 ATS in home games when playing against a bad team (Win Pct. 25% to 40%) over the last 2 seasons. I know Catlin Clark and company have won 3 straight all at home but , are just 2-6 on the road and according to my power rankings are being over rated. Play on the Dream to cover |
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06-21-24 | Braves v. Yankees UNDER 8.5 | 8-1 | Loss | -125 | 11 h 45 m | Show | |
Chris Sale is the expected starter for the Atlanta Braves. The veteran hurler has looked good as is evident by his s 9-2 record along with a 2.98 ERA and 99 strikeouts this season. The southpaw has allowed 19 hits and 12 runs in his last 18 innings and a 3.16 ERA and .222 allowed batting average in 31.1 road innings. Sale also owns a solid 3.12 ERA and 157 strikeouts in his career vs the New York Yankees. Meanwhile, Carlos Rodon will go the hill for the New York Yankees, is 9-3 with a 3.28 ERA and 81 strikeouts this season. Rodon has a 2.30 ERA and .182 allowed BA in 31.1 home innings. Rodon is also 1-0 with a 0.75 ERA and 18 strikeouts in his career against the Atlanta Braves. Both hurlers are backed by sold bullpens. Wind is blowing in here today, and with 2 high strike out pitchers on the hill, a lower scoring edge must be expected . ATLANTA is 10-0 UNDER vs. AL teams allowing 3.9 or less runs/game on the season this season with a combined average of 6.2 rpg .ATLANTA is 18-4 UNDER when playing against a team with a winning record this season. ATLANTA is 21-6 UNDER in an inter-league game this season with a combined average of 7.6 rpg. NY YANKEES are 15-3 UNDER after allowing 9 runs or more over the last 2 seasons which happened yesterday in a 17-5 loss vs Baltimore. Play under |
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06-20-24 | Dodgers v. Rockies OVER 12 | 5-3 | Loss | -105 | 7 h 50 m | Show | |
The first 3 games of this series all went over the Total -with 9-5, 11-9, 7-6 scores going on the board and when considering todays pitching matchup and offensive alignments another higher score is the final projected outcome. LAs starter Stone (7-2, 3.01 ERA) will be opposed by Colorado southpaw Ty Blach (3-4, 4.65). Stone despite of decent numbers, has failed to get out of the fourth inning twice in his first four starts, and is in a regressionary mode. Meanwhile, the Rockies starter Blach ( (5.18 xERA, 8.3% K-BB%, 71 Stuff+, 92 Pitching+) has pitched well at Coors Field this season , as is evident by a solid 3.76 ERA in eight appearances, including six starts, but his overall metrics according to my power ratings do not matchup well vs this very explosive Dodgers offense. so with that said, Im expecting the launching pad known as Coors Field to once again host an all out slugfest Colorados bullpen owns a 5.91 ERA on the season. LA DODGERS in 21 games vs. a team with a struggling bullpen whose ERA is 5.20 or worse over the last 3 seasons have averaged 7 rpg on offense. COLORADO in their L/90 home games vs. a team with a good bullpen whose WHIP is 1.350 or better over the last 2 seasons have scored an average of 5.1 rpg. .BLACK is 35-22 OVER in home games after 3 or more consecutive overs as the manager of COLORADO with a combined average of 12.5 rpg scored over that 57 game span. My line projection total estimate comes in at 13 so an over wager gives us an edge for bankroll expansion. Play over |
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06-19-24 | Dream v. Lynx UNDER 162.5 | 55-68 | Win | 100 | 4 h 34 m | Show | |
My power rating projection system, estimate that the combined score of this contest will fall in the mid 150s range giving close to a 2 possession value wager to the under. WNBA Road teams where the total is greater than or equal to 140 (ATLANTA) - revenging a same season loss versus opponent against opponent off 3 consecutive wins against division rivals are 60-31 UNDER L/27 seasons for a 66% conversion rate for bettors. Play under |
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06-19-24 | Mystics +5 v. Fever | 81-88 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 15 m | Show | |
Thanks to Catlin Clark and the Fevers current competitive run they are being over rated here. With Washington also playing quality hoops of late, with 4 straight covers taking points is a viable wager according to my power ranking numbers.
WASHINGTON is 8-1 ATS after playing a game as a home underdog over the last 2 seasons. WNBA Home teams (INDIANA) - after having won 3 of their last 4 games, with a losing record are 8-29 ATS L/5 seasons for a 79% go against conversion rate. Play on Mystics to cover |
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06-19-24 | Mariners v. Guardians -129 | 0-8 | Win | 100 | 11 h 50 m | Show | |
Seattle has won 4 straight and 8 of its L/9, while their opponents the Guardians have lost 3 straight. With that said, all good and bad runs must eventually come to an end and thats what Im betting on here today by backing Cleveland to win at home.CLEVELAND is 12-1 against the money line after 3 or more consecutive losses over the last 2 seasons. I know the Mariners young hurler Woo has pitched well this season, when he has ben healthy, but hes got some nagging injuries that could see him struggle today and or not go far into this game as he will be on a limited pitch count.. Woo was scratched from his last scheduled start due to discomfort in his right forearm. He also missed the first month of the season due to elbow inflammation. CLEVELAND is 11-2 against the money line vs. a starting pitcher whose gives up 0.5 or less HR's/start this season like Woo and is 16-7 against the money line vs. a team with a very good bullpen whose WHIP is 1.250 or better this season. Meanwhile, Guardians right-hand hurler Tanner Bibee (4-2, 3.94 ERA). BIBEE is 16-6 against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) Cleveland to win |
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06-19-24 | Diamondbacks -152 v. Nationals | 1-3 | Loss | -152 | 8 h 55 m | Show | |
Arizona beat the Nats 5-0 yesterday and Im betting they have the edge again. Washington starter CORBIN is 14-41 against the money line as a home underdog of +100 or higher since 1997. (Team's Record) Meanwhile, Arizonas starter Pfaadt gave up only one run in his last start . The Washington offense is ranked 23rd and according to my projections will have problems with Dbacks pitchers (Pfaadt) and company. The Diamondbacks have won each of their last six games at Nationals Park when the Nats have had a ,losing record. The Nationals have lost each of their last four games against NL West opponents ARIZONA is 15-5 against the money line in road games in June games over the last 2 seasons. Play on Arizona to win |
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06-18-24 | Liberty -5 v. Mercury | 93-99 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 53 m | Show | |
The Liberty destroyed the Aces on the weekend in rematch of their NBA finals meeting last season and now look like they are forming in the top tier squad that we expected them to be as is evident by 8 straight wins. Yes, the Mercury have been competitive of late but my power ranking projections estimate this is a bad matchup for the home side. NEW YORK is 11-2 ATS in road games in June games over the last 3 seasons. Brondello is 14-5 ATS in road games after a game making 11 or more 3 point shots as the coach of NEW YORK. |
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06-18-24 | Brewers -130 v. Angels | 6-3 | Win | 100 | 13 h 5 m | Show | |
Angels right-hander Griffin Canning (2-7, 5.76 ERA) goes to the hill for the Angels vs the visiting Brewers. Canning is winless in hislpast five starts, despite pitching decently . Run support issues are part of the problem and according to my power rankings will once again have issues, as Right-hander Tobias Myers (3-2, 3.76 ERA) who has recorded a 2.95 ERA and 0.835 WHIP in his L/3 outings to stymie the inconsistent bats of the Halos. LA ANGELS are 9-24 against the money line vs. a team with a very good bullpen whose WHIP is 1.250 or better this season like the Angels Canning. LA ANGELS are 7-22 against the money line vs. NL teams scoring 4.5 or more runs/game on the season over the last 2 seasons.. MILWAUKEE is 11-0 against the money line after batting .200 or worse over a 3 game span this season. LA ANGELS are 4-15 against the money line at home when the money line is +125 to -125 this season. MLB Home underdogs with a money line of +125 or more (LA ANGELS) - poor AL offensive team (4.2 or less runs/game) against a team with a very good bullpen (ERA 3.33 or more ), with a very bad bullpen whose ERA is 5.00 or worse on the season are 87-21 L/27 seasons for a 80% conversion rate. Play on Brewers to win |
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06-18-24 | Oilers v. Panthers -130 | 5-3 | Loss | -130 | 26 h 48 m | Show | |
The Panthers were a sleep at the proverbial wheel last time out in Game 4 of the series, and the desperate Edmonton Oilers took advantage of the situation, and here we are back in Florida for game 5, with a chance for the Panthers to get a chance to hoist the Cup in front of their fans. So Im betting here in a bounce back situation against a side, that most likely will be in a regression mode after a all out take no prisoners performance.EDMONTON is 7-11 ATS in road games in non-conference games this season.FLORIDA is 15-1 ATS when playing with 2 days rest this season.FLORIDA is 14-5 ATS when leading in a playoff series over the last 2 seasons. Play Florida Panthers |
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06-18-24 | Astros v. White Sox OVER 8.5 | 0-2 | Loss | -100 | 11 h 60 m | Show | |
MLB teams where the total is 7 to 8.5 (CHI WHITE SOX) - terrible offensive team (3.6 or less runs/game) against a decent starting pitcher (ER 4.20 to 4.70 or better )-AL, after allowing 9 runs or more are 33-8 UNDER L/27 seasons for a 80% conversion rate for bettors. |
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06-18-24 | Giants v. Cubs UNDER 10 | 2-5 | Win | 100 | 11 h 45 m | Show | |
SF starter is WEBB is 15-4 UNDER vs. an NL team with an on base percentage .325 or worse over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) with a combined average of 6.4 rpg. WEBB is 30-18 UNDER in all games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record with a combined average of 7.1 rpg scored. Webb owns a 3.02 ERA on the season. Meanwhile Cubs starter Steele has pitched well of late and lowered his ERA from 5.68 to 3.22 over his past four starts. He threw six shutout innings in his most recent tip to the hill on Thursday against the host Tampa Bay Rays. My pitcher vs batting order power rankings suggest he matches up well here vs the Giants bats. Im projecting a total score in the range of 8 to 9 runs giving us at least a full run value to the under.
MLB teams where the total is 10 or higher (SAN FRANCISCO) - after 2 or more consecutive wins, with a winning percentage of between 46-49% on the season are 31-6 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 84% conversion rate. |