The Dodgers pitchers have a 4.36 ERA in 11 play off games and have surrendered 13 homers and if it were not for their offense would have not made it to the World Series.Dodgers starters collectively own a 6.08 ERA in 11 tilts. . Meanwhile,  Yanks  rotation owns a 3.89 ERA in nine starts with a 43/13 K/BB ratio in 44 innings, with the bullpen working 38.2 innings in nine games with a 2.56 ERA and a reliever has been the pitcher of record in five of those seven victories. Opponents own a ugly .206 BA against them. 

I know the Dodgers offense has looked unstoppable , but with the likes of Soto and, Judge on the Yankees dugout they may have met their match.  

NY Yankees starter today GERRIT COLE on the money line vs. teams outscoring opp by 0.5 or more runs/game in the second half of the season is on a 8-0 run dating back to the 2023 season.

NY Yankees in road games on the money line after a 2 game span where the bullpen threw 9 total innings or more are on a 9-0 run.

NY Yankees in road games on the money line vs. an NL starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.150 or better are on a 5-0 winning run!

NY Yankees in road games on the money line when playing against a team with a winning record are 32-13 L/35 opportunities.

Play on NY Yankees to win

The New York Mets will had tnhe ball to  Sean Manaea in game 6 vs the Dodgers . He prepares to make his fourth start of the play offs , after recording a  2.65 ERA in the post season..  In Los Angeles in game 2 of this series . he allowed just  two earned runs in five innings to pick up a victory for the New York Mets.Im betting on a rinse and repat situation and for the Mets to cash for us an underdogs.

NY Mets starter SEAN MANAEA in road starts on the money line vs. NL teams scoring 5 or more runs/game on the season is a perfect 5-0 dating back to the 2023 season and when he starts vs. NL teams scoring 4.5 or more runs/game in the second half of the season is 6-0 this season.

NY Mets in road games on the money line when playing with a day off are 7-1 L/8 opportunities.NY Mets on the money line after scoring 12 runs or more are 6-0 this season.NY Mets in road games on the money line vs. a starting pitcher like the Dodgers Knack who gives up 1 or more HR's/start are 11-3 this season.LA Dodgers in home games on the money line revenging a loss where opponent scored 12 or more runs are 0-6 dating back to the 2022 season.

Play on NY Mets to win

The Guardians, one out away from a 3-0 deficit in the best-of-seven series,recieved a gift from the baseball gods via a two-run homer from pinch hitter Jhonkensy Noel in the bottom of the ninth inning and a two-run shot from David Fry in the 10th to earn a 7-5 win on Thursday, but now Im betting on them crashing back down to earth here today vs the Yankees. it must be noted that Yankees starter LUIS GIL in road starts on the money line when playing against a team with a winning record is 8-1 since the 2022 season. Meanwhile, the guardians starter GAVIN WILLIAMS on the money line in home games is on. a 0-7 run.WILLIAMS on the money line when pitching in night games has seen his team lost 8 of his L/9 nocturnal events. NY Yankees in road games on the money line after a 2 game span where the bullpen threw 9 total innings or more are 7-0 L/7 opportunities.

Play on the NYY to win

NYM starter Luis Severino has pitched well in the post season, but here against a explosive Dodgers offense,   that has averaged 5.2 runs per game in thepost season, best among playoff teams, including  5.5 rpg in away tilts  during the regular season which ranked them 1st in MLB, he does not matchup well . Starter LUIS SEVERINO on the money line in the league championship series is 0-8 in his career. LUIS SEVERINO on the money line in a playoff series which is tied is 0-6 in his career. I know Buehler the Dodgers starter has looked inconsistent at times, all season long, but he has been uptredning in out charts, and is backed by a rested Dodgrs core bullpen - Evan Phillips (.000 OBA in three appearances), Blake Treinen (0.00 ERA in three appearances), Michael Kopech (0.00 ERA in four appearances), or Alex Vesia (0.00 ERA). 

Play on the LA Dodgers to win

This is it, the loser here goes home while the winner advances to the ALCS. Im only looking one way here in this tilt in Cleveland. With the ultra talented Tarik Skubal  going to the hill for the  Detroit Tigers, Im betting they have an edge. The young southpaws record stands at 18-4  along with a  2.39 ERA and enters this game in top form as is evident by have allowed five total runs in his last seven starts between the regular season and playoffs across 45 2/3 innings of quality work. He will be backed by a bullpen that owned the best bullpen in the league fro m August 1  on with  a solid  2.71 ERA.  Meanwhile, former Tigers Boyd will take to the mound for the Guardians. and is also backed by a strong bullpen. But you can bet the Tigers have an extensive book on Boyd, and that gives them an edge here behind a offense that ranked forst in the league from Aug 13th on.  Bottom line here is that the the Guardians have produced  just seven runs in the last 35 innings and against Skubal and company their fuitilty Im betting will continue.TARIK SKUBAL on the money line when playing on Saturday his team is 12-2 in his career. Detroit in road games on the money line after 3 consecutive game versus a division rival are on a 7-1 run.

Play on Detroit to win

The Padres won their second consecutive game in the current series, in a  6-5 home victory over the Dodgers and are on the verge of eliminating the Dodgers for the second strait year.  Im betting the Dodgers will not go down without a fight and will be prepared to light up the Fathers  Dylan Cease here and his supporting bullpen.  Cease gave up five runs on six hits over 3 1/3 innings in Game 1,to the Dodgers and projects to have an average at best outing here tonight. Meanwhile, the Dodgers will reply with a with a bullpen game. The Dodgers bullpen has been lit up quite regularly for a while now and nothing changes in this spot vs a Padres offense that has averaged 5.3 rpg in their L/7 trips to the diamonds. 

LA Dodgers road games when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 54% to 62%) in the second half of the season are 10-2 OVER with a combined average of 11.7 rpg scored.

LA Dodgers road games vs. teams outscoring opp by 0.5 or more runs/game in the second half of the season are 22-5 OVER L/27 with a combined average of 11.7 rpg.

The Royals are set to send right-hander Seth Lugo to the mound. Lugo made the AL All-Star team this year and finished 16-9 with a 3.00 ERA in 33 starts. He shut down the Yankees on Sept. 10, striking out 10 over seven shutout innings.In his career vs. the Yankees, he is 5-2 with a 2.55 ERA in 14 games (four starts). Rinse and repeat on a value line here as I back the RoyaLS. 

Dodgers starter Yamamoto owns a solid  3.00 ERA and a 2.61 fielding independent and gives the Dodgers an edge at home today vs Dylan Cease  who has seen his team lose 30 of his L/51 starts on the road as an underdog of +100 or more. In his last nine starts, Cease has a 3.68 ERA on the road this seadon and his control has been an issue. Im betting Cease is in trouble vs a Dodgers side scoring more than 6.7 rpg in their L/7 overall. 

MLB favorites like the Dodgers with a money line of -125 to -175 - with a team slugging percentage of .440 or better on the season (NL), after allowing 2 runs or less 2 straight games are 37-6 since the 2020 season.

LA Dodgers off 5 straight wins vs. division rivals are 8-0 since the 2022 season with the average rpg diff clicking in at +5. Manager DAVE ROBERTS in home games on the money line off 5 straight wins against division rivals is a perfect 12-0 .

Play on the LAD to win

Mets starter Jose Quintana  enters Thursday tilt  in top form, having surrendered only four total runs, three of which were earned, in his last six starts overall garnering a stingy 0.74 ERA .  He is backed by a New York offense has done well on the  road this season collectively hitting  .254  ranking 7th on MLB , while averaging  4.8 runs per game ranking eighth in that category. and project to do well vs the Brewers rookie starter Myers.  

MLB  teams like Milwaukee when the money line is +125 to -125 - starting a over rested pitcher who is working on 7 or more days rest against opponent with a hot starting pitcher- WHIP 0.800 or less over his last 3 starts are just 14-42 since the 2020 season.

Play on the NY Mets to win 

Astros starter HUNTER BROWN on the money line as a home favorite of -175 to -250 hs seen his team lose 8 of his L/10 starts. Im betting he is in trouble  vs a Tigers  side that finished the season by going 31-13 (70.5%) in their last 44 games . In the current best-of-three Wild Card era, the team that won Game 1 is 8-0 in the series and 7-1 in Game 2,. This up trending Motown crew won yesterday, and are viable bets again considering the power outage the Astros have experienced of late. 

Detroit in road games on the money line vs. an AL team with an on base percentage .320 or worse in the second half of the season are 38-17 dating back to last season.

Houston in home games on the money line vs. an AL team with an slugging percentage .410 or worse in the second half of the season are 14-25 dating back to last season.

Play on the Tigers to win 

Ragans the Royals starter for this tilt has been strong on the road this season with a  2.87 ERA, and he is backed  by a bullpen  tha.Over the last 30 days, has garnered a solid  2.68 ERA with a 2.72 FIP in 94 innings. It must also be noted that the Royals are also the best defensive team in MLB, and in a post season game that becomes paramount according to my projections on this series and game.

Meanwhile, the Orioles will counter with their ace Burnes who has pitched well overall this season, but own a slightly bloated 4.04 ERA since August spanning 10 starts. His current regression is not a good omen , considering the Orioles rank  26th in MLB with a 4.93 ERA since July 1st. 

MLB Road underdogs with a money line of +125 to +175 - with a hot bullpen whose ERA is under 2.50 the last 10 games against opponent with a struggling bullpen whose ERA is over 6.50 the last 5 games are 32-15 L/4 seasons for a 68% conversion rate for bettors.

Game one screams value with the underdog. 

Play on the KC Royals to win 

 Megill goes to the hill for the  Mets in the first game of this doubleheader vs the Braves. The righty  made just  five sub par starts on the road this season, recording a bloated   4.81 ERA . Megill has had command issues   allowing 3.7 walks per nine innings which is troublesome  Note: Mets bullpdn ranks 16th in MLB with a 3.97 ERA.  Megill and his bullpen contingent  goes against a  Braves offense that is averaging 4.5 runs per game since All-Star Break, and rank third in the league in home runs. \Meanwhile.the Braves will send rookie Spencer Schwellenbach (8-7, 3.47 ERA)  to the hill.Schwellenbach took down  the Mets this past Tuesday, allowing one run in seven innings. He has allowed up just one run in 14 innings in two starts against New York and projects to dominate again. He is backed by a Atlanta bullpen that ranks 3rd in MLB with a 3.25 ERA. Advantage Atlanta. Note: I know has struggled a bit at the plate recently but it must be noted that  Atlanta in home games after batting .200 or worse over a 3 game span have been dominant scoring an average of 7.0 rpg while allowing an average of just 1.3 rpg cashing 7 straight times. 17-61 L/4 seasons. 

Play on the Braves to win 

Padres starting pitcher tonight Joe Musgrove enters this game in top tier form as is evident by  recording a stingy 2.05 ERA with 10.4 strikeouts per nine innings since Aug 12 when he came back from an injury. He has allowed  one run  or less in 6 of his L/8  starts and gets the nod here on a value line where his backed by a offense that is scoring 5.1 rpg on the road this season, which amounts to more than 0.6 home/away diff. Meanwhile, the dodgers will respond with Walker Buehler who has garnered a hefty  5.63 ERA after Tommy John surgery. He goes against a  Fathers  offense that leads Major League Baseball with a .274 batting average vs right-handed pitching. When he falters and I bet he does, the Dodgers righty is backed by a Dodgers bullpen that ranks  16th in MLB since the start of July  with a 4.29 ERA. With the Padres still believing they can achieve a division title they will be motivated to play hard, which makes for viable underdog for us to back. 

MLB Road underdogs with a money line of +100 or higher - good NL offensive team 4.7 or more runs/game) against a team with a good bullpen (ERA 3.75 or better ), starting a pitcher who gave up 2 or less earned runs in his last 2 outings are 59-17.since the 2020 season.

Padres manager MIKE SHILDT in road games on the money line vs. teams outscoring opp by 0.5 or more runs/game on the season has won 18 fo 25 times.

Play on Padres to win 

 Brewers starter Montas has  pitched well since being traded .In his L/9 starts with the Milwaukee Brewers, he has recorded a .3.55 ERA  He is backed by MLB best bullpen  (3.21 ERA ).  Meanwhile, Arizona starter Jordan Montgomery gets the start for the Diamondbacks and goes against a offense that averages 4.8 rpg on the season .  The southpaw owns a inflated  6.23 ERA. Hes only starting today after being regulated to the bullpen because of injuries. He is backed by a bullpen that ranks 24th in MLB with a  4.39 ERA. The Brewers have had a nagover since clinching a play off spot, losing 3 straight, but now have to get back in a groove and will motivated to perform .PAT MURPHY on the money line after 3 or more consecutive losses is a perfect 9-0 with the victories being of conclusive variety - average rpg diff clicking in at +4.4.Milwaukee on the money line after having lost 4 of their last 5 games a perfect 6-0 L/6 opportunities. Note: Arizona on the money line after allowing 4 runs or less 4 straight games are 0-6 L/6 opportunities.

Starting pitchers: Astros: Framber Valdez (14-6, 2.91 ERA, 1.09 WHIP, 159 strikeouts); Padres: Dylan Cease (13-11, 3.58 ERA, 1.09 WHIP, 215 strikeouts) Cease is 0-3 with a 4.18 ERA in six career starts against Houston, averaging just over five innings per start. 

Padres suffered a brutal extra inning loss to the Astros yesterday and are now in a major emotional letdown situation. Astros are  a perfect  7-0  on the road against NL teams with a .550 win pct with starter Framber Valdez in the last five seasons.  

Play on the Astros 

 San Diego Padres starter King  has been extremely consistent as is evident by  having allowed three earned runs or less  in 12 straight starts and entering this tilt owns a 3.06  ERA on the season. The Fathers right hander  is backed by a bullpen that ranks 6th  with a 3.07 ERA. They face a Houston  team that is less proficient offensively on the road than at home   averaging 4.5 rpg on the away  ranking 16th and 13th in slugging percentage on the road. King is 3-1 with a 2.61 ERA and 12 strikeouts in his career against the Houston Astros.

Meanwhile, Hunter Brown goes to the hill for the Astros. The righty is coming off allowing 5 runs to the As last time out, and now goes against a Padres offense that ranks No.1 vs right handed pitching with a .274 Ba, while producing 5.3 rpg in the process. Bottom line here is Michael King is a stud on the hill , while the Padres offense is an advantageous uptrending situation  that deserves our investment dollars . 

The Padres have won each of their last six games against AL West opponents following a home win. ( The Padres won last night 3-1) The Astros have lost six of their last seven games at Petco Park  when the Fathers have an above .500 record.

Play on San Diego to win

 BoSox  are  0-10  in road matchups against TB/NYY by starter Nick Pivetta. 

Brewers are a sub .500 side vs  LH starters (19-23, -10.35 units) starters like Phillies starter Suarez. Meanwhile, Philadelphia is is 13-3  vs NL Central teams with starter Ranger Suarez in L4 seasons and  is 10-4  in away night game starts against teams with a winning record by Ranger Suarez in L4 seasons.,  Suarez pitches his best ball on the road where he has garnered a solid 2.60 ERA. Pitching matchup edge goes to the Phillies as they edge out Civale  for Milwaukee who owns a bloated 4.57 ERA.

Play on the Phillies 

Lopez the Twins starter did not have a good start to his season, but hes really come around down the stretch . Pablo Lopez is 16-4  in the short chalk line range of -118 to -130 in the L5 seasons and goes against a Cleveland team that struggles at times offensively as  is evident by  tjheir wRC+ of only 91 in the second half of the season, which ranks 23rd in that span. Note:(((wRAA per PA + league runs per PA) + (league runs per PA - ballpark factor x league runs per PA) / league wRC per plate appearance, not including pitchers)) x 100.

Advantage Twins

Buehler the Dodgers starter has really struggled on the  road as is evident by garnering a   7.77 ERA. He is backed by a Dodgers bullpen with a  4.26  ERA ranking 17th in MLB since the beginning of July. Meanwhile, his pitching opponent from the Braves -Morton- owns a 3.69 ERA at home this season and deserves respect here as. short favorite as he is backed by a Braves bullpen that owns a 3.20 ERA since the beginning July ranking 8th in MLB. The Braves need wins as they look for. a post season spot  and this is a good opportunity for one here tonight. 

 Tampa Bay’s starting pitcher Taj Bradley despite of being a top tier hulrer, is in a big time funk having garnered a 8.78 ERA over his last seven starts while recording a  0-5 record. In his current form he is fade material. Especially here against a Guardians side that backs their starter Ben Lively with the leagues top bullpen. Considering how weak and inconsistent the Rays offense has performed  of late averaging just 2.6 rpg in their L/7 trips to the diamonds it will be an easy decision to take the home side. 

Play on Cleveland Guardians to win 

Brewers with a line of  -120 to +135 line range  with starter Colin Rea in the last two seasons are 20-5 and tonight he gives the Giants an edge on this value line. He goes against a Giants side that ranks  27th with a .270 wOBA  since Aug 11`  and ranks 26th in wRC+ at 80. They are batting .214/.273/.370 in that span with a 29.2% K%.  Meanwhile, Snell the Giants starter always seems to have walk issues falre up and against one of baseballs most patient batting orders he could easily find himself in trouble. Advantage Brewers. 

Play on the Brewers to win 

Mariners, despite Tuesday’s setback to the Padres,  has won 4 of the past 6 trips to the dimaonds and have the edge tonight playing in depression mode as they fight for a play voff spot. Seattle starter Woo  owns a (7-2, 2.36 ERA) makes his 19th start. He has a 0.85 WHIP, 0.8 BB/9 and 7.0 K/9 in 99 IP and gives his team an edge here in this spot play. Npte: Home teams when the money line is +125 to -125 - with a starting pitcher whose winning percentage is better than 70%, like Woo with a team slugging percentage .400 or worse on the season (AL) are 41-15 since 1997.Home teams when the money line is +125 to -125 - with a starting pitcher whose winning percentage is better than 70%, with a hot bullpen whose WHIP is under 1.200 the last 10 games are 38-14 for qa 73% conversion rate for bettors -Woo qualifies.

The Orioles enter Tuesday tilt against the Bosox on a three-game losing streak and 1 1/2 games behind the New York Yankees (83-61) for first place in the AL East. They are in a desperation mode type situation and according to my data matchup well here tonight against their hosts. 

We have a value line to bet into today with the Orioles.Boston has been a below .500 team at Fenway this season and do not deserve this much respect.  BAL is 13-2  in Divisional Games with starter Dean Kremer in the last two seasons.

Play on the Orioles to win on the moneyline 

The Mariners in desperation mode (play off hunt)  send  George Kirby, (11-10  3.61 ERA) to the hill to take on the visiting San Diego Padres. Kirbys been extremely consistent at home where he has garnered a 2.94 ERA . The Mariners also play their best baseball at home where they have norched a  41-28 record. When needed Kirby is backed by a bullpen that owns a .369 ERA since the start of July. Meanwhile,Yu Darvish goes to hill for just the 2nd time since late May. His first time back on the hill he lasted just  2 2/3 innings  and in his minor league rehab outing  he was smashed for six runs in 3 1/3 innings of ugly work.  In his current form he is fade material and considering the Mariners are in urgent needs of wins to stay in the post season mix you can bet they are in motivated.  

Play on the Seattle Mariners to win

For whatever reason the Braves are  1-10  in the last 11 games against Toronto dating back to the 2020 seasoon. – The ROI on this trend is -104%- they Jays have alos won 9 straight in this series and get the nod here again tonight with Gausman on the hill for them.Gausman has allowed two or fewer runs in four of his past five starts and must be respected in his current form to keep the Jays in this tilt. Gausman has made two career starts against the Braves, compiling a 1.32 ERA in 13 2/3 innings. 

Play on Toronto 

Seattles starter Bryan Woo (6-2, 2.30 ERA) goes to hill for Seattle. The right-hander has dominated Oakland hitters in four career starts and not allowed a run in 21 1/3 innings against the Athletics and gives his team an edge in this affair. Woo has allowed three hits and one walk while striking out  nine in 10 1/3 innings against As this season.  The Mariners bats exploded for  16 hits and recorded  a season-high run total in a 16-3 win  vs the  Athletics yesterday and project to match up well vs Estes here this afternoon. 

Play on the Seattle Mariners to win 

Nathan Eovaldi is 22-5  in Sept/Oct/Nov since 2020 and get the nod here as short fav tonight. The veteran  right-hander  (10-7, 3.60 ERA) and goes for  his fourth straight quality start  after recording  a season high with 10 strikeouts in his last  trip to the hill  a 2-1 victory  vs the Chicago White Sox last Thursday. Meanwhile, the Yankees will respond with. right-hander Marcus Stroman (10-6, 3.81 ERA) . He is 3-3 with a 5.34 ERA in six career starts against Texas.Stroman is 3-3 with a 4.95 ERA spanning his last eight starts. He has allowed  56 hits in 43 2/3 innings in that stretch and is vulnerable to be being lit up.Yankees hurlews  have allowed a .308 average on balls hit into play in their last two road series,  and they are 4-6 last 10 overall, and not that cohesive of late. 

Play on the Rangers to win 

 Milwaukee starter Rea (12-4, 3.70 ERA) will go against  Cardinals  right-hander Sonny Gray (12-9, 3.96).

Brewers starter Colin Rea has been cash in the bank in the -120 to +135 line range, recording a  20-4  mark  in the last two seasons for his team. He is 3-1 with a 3.51 ERA in his past seven starts and gives the Brewers an edge here tonight.. He has faced the Cardinals  one time during this campaign , throwing five scoreless innings in a 2-0 victory at St. Louis in April without  getting the decision. Meanwhile, his pitching opponent Gray is 4-5 with a 3.31 ERA in 15 career starts vs. the Brewers. He did pitch well last time out, but that snapped a 3 gamew losing streak, and Im betting on more negative regression here this evening. 

The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Moneyline in 81 of their last 139 games (+14.65 Units / 8% ROI)

Brewers to win 

Schwellenbach  has pitched brilliantly for the Braves this season and  enters this game  with a 3.72 ERA, 3.04 xERA, and a 3.11 FIP in 15 starts with a top tier  102/18 K/BB ratio. Needless to say he gives a Braves a quality hurler for this Sunday night tilt. The last time he worked against the Phillies a week and half ago he owned them, recording 9 strikeouts in 6.2 innings of work. He throws heat and needs to be respected here behind a Braves team that is picking speed in the hunt for a wild card spot. I know Nola the Phillies starter has a had a good season but his metrics are showing regression since the all star break, and could degrade more here vs a hungry team. 

Atlanta is 10-4 SU in its last 14 games.Atlanta is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games on the road.

Play on the Braves

On Saturday, Gavin Stone (11-5, 3.33 ERA) goes to hill for the  Dodgers and on the flipside Merrill Kelly (4-0, 3.98) of the Diamondbacks in a battle of right-handers. Kelly, in his career vs Los Angeles, going 0-11 with a 5.49 ERA in 16 career starts. Rinse and repeat here with what is a explosive Dodgers team. Yes, I know the Dbacks have done well against Gavin Stone this season, but this is the type of pitcher that can adjust and get back on the right trap. 

Dodgers to win

The Dodgers will start veteran  Clayton Kershaw against  the Diamondbacks tonight in Arizona. The future HOF lefty  has looked good this season on limited work, but he is backed by a tired looking relief core that has  recorded a less than reliable  4.38 ERA since the start of July ranking them , 20th in the league in that bullpen category . Now with those exhausted looking relievers  going against an explosive Dbacks offnese averaging just under 5.5 rpg, the Dodgers could easily find themselves in a beatdown situation. 

Meanwhile, Arizona will send out  Gallen to the hill to face the Dodgers. He.has  been a very serviceable pitcher here in the desert dating back to last season as is evident by  his  2.74 ERA .  He is backed by a up-trending bullpen that has recorded a viable  3.18  ERA , ranking fifth in the league since the beginning of July.  I know the Dodgers are also an explosive offensive side, but here at home the Dbacks have the edge especially playing with this team trying to garner some leverage in the chase for post season standings race. 

The Diamondbacks have won each of their last seven games as underdogs.The Dodgers have lost four of their last five games as favorites against the Diamondbacks following a win.

Play on the Diamondbacks to win 

 Manaea the Mets starter has been consistent this season and has looked particularly good over the last two months, holding 12 of his 13 opponents to three or less runs. With the Dbacks Marte and Walker on the injured list their offense should start to regress, giving the Mets and edge. Meanwhile, Rodriguez the Dbacks starter is still getting back into shape after an extended lay off due to injury, and has looked better than he should thanks to a recent top tier effort vs a lowly Miami offense. 

The Mets have won each of their last seven games against National League opponents following a road loss.The Diamondbacks have lost seven of their last eight games against the Mets following a win

NY Mets are 21-6  in the last 27 games vs. Arizona Diamondbacks. 

Play on NY Mets 

Braves starting lefty hurler  Fried  (7-7, 3.57 ERA) has not looked good recently and that is evident by having garnered a 6.10 ERA in four August starts. Tbe veteran pitcher has allowed  14 earned runs in his L/ 20.2 innings of sub standard work with the Braves while  losing 6 of his L/7 trips to the hill.  Thats not a good omen for the Braves getting a W here today as they face a  Twins side that is  batting  .264 against southpaws during this campaign which ranks them  3rd in MLB.

 Meanwhile, Bailey Ober  (12-5, 3.54 ERA) the Twins  expected righty starter   has recently garnered a  2.52 ERA in four August starts, allowing just 7 earned runs in  25  quality innings of work with  the young men from Minnesota cashing  5 of his L/6 starts. 

Considering the starting pitching matchup and the Twins success vs LHP  we have an edge with home side. 

Minnesota is 8-4 SU in its last 12 games at home.The Atlanta Braves have only hit the Moneyline in 52 of their last 106 games (-28.50 Units / -17% ROI)The Minnesota Twins have hit the Moneyline in 65 of their last 110 games (+8.00 Units / 5% ROI)

Play on Minnesota to win 

  Tyler Anderson will start for the Angels today.  the lefty owns a  10-11 record on the season along with a  stable 3.40 ERA in 25 starts. Meanwhile,Kevin Gausman is having having a down season  and has recorded a bloated  4.96 xERA  thanks to a strike out conversion rate that is way down compared to past seasons. My pitcher vs batting order power rankings also suggest the Halos matchup well here vs Gausman. 

Yesterday the Angels looked asleep at the wheel offensively vs the Jays scoring just one run on one hit. With bounce back positive offensive regression on board, the visitors look like viable bets . 

Note : Entering this weekends MLB games- Better bullpen teams like the Angels  on a 3 or more game losing run have gone  90-69  on the moneyline in 159 opportunities this season. 

Home teams are 8-21  in the last 29 games between the Los Angeles Angels and Toronto Blue Jays. LA Angels   has won 12 its L/ 17 games when playing on the road against Toronto. 

The Los Angeles Angels have hit the Moneyline in 8 of their last 15 away games (+5.15 Units / 34% ROI)

Play on the Angels to win

The Rangers are going to start Jon Gray today.  This will be  his first start since July 23rd. Gray did make  relief appearance earlier this week , to  prepare for  this start.  Im betting rust will not favor him vs the Guardians today.  His team is just 3-6 in the nine appearances  since mid June . He has recorded a bloated  6.68 ERA  during that substandard span and my pitcher vs batting order power rankings suggest he does matchup well here. If Gray falters which I project he will , he is backed by a struggling bullpen that ranks 26th in MLB  with a 4.37 ERA. Note: Clevelands offense thrives at home averaging 4.9 rpg. Meanwhile, the Rangers rank 21st in the league in offensive production, and will Im betting be less than cohesive vs the Guardians starter Lively and MLB top bullpen  ( 2.68 ERA). After going down to defeat on the  opener of the three-game set on Friday in Cleveland, the Guardians are desperate to get back into the winner column. 

Play on the Guardians to win

 Phillies starter Nola despite solid numbers this season, .  hasn't won since July 11. Phillies are  3-11  in road divisional tilts  as a -110 or worse line with starter Aaron Nola in the last five seasons and 10-23   as a ML underdog with  Nola  on the hill in the last five seasons. 

On the flipside, the Braves starter  Max Fried is  39-25 in the last six seasons with when starting against teams with a winning record. He is a oney pitcher in these circumstances and deserves respect here in this value spot play. 

The Braves opened the series with the Phillies with a  3-1 victory yesterday  and cut Philadelphia's lead to six games in the National League East and will be primed to keep rolling here this evening. 

Atlanta has won 4 of their L/5 head to head tilts with the Phillies.

Play on Atlanta to win 

The Astros have won 5 straight times vs the BoSox, and with the struggling and tired looking Pivettta starting this game for the RedSox its looks like their in trouble . Pivetta owns a a (5-8, 4.49 ERA)  on the season and recently  allowed eight homers in his last four starts.  When he fails and Im betting he does, he will be backed by a struggling and exhausted  bullpen, that has garnered a ugly   6.93 ERA in the second half spanning  115.2 innings of less than quality  work. There is no need for further analysis, as we are dealing with a hot MLB side the Astros playing at home vs a struggling pitcher and bullpen. Houston we have liftoff. 

Play on the Houston Astros 

Frankie Montas 0-8  vs. NL Central in his career. Frankie Montas (5-8, 4.86 ERA has pitched well of late, but this is not a good matchup for him vs a this Cardinals batting order. Montas has made three career starts against St. Louis, going 0-2 with a 6.00 ERA.  LATE STEAM 

Play on the Cardinals to win 

I see both the Red Sox starter Houck and the Astros Kukuchi having issues here today, but Im betting the BoSox have the overall edge and what will be a fairly high scoring affair. It must be noted that Yusei Kikuchi is 0-6  as a starter vs.the Red Sox in his career and could easily get lit up by  a team that has averaged 6.1 rpg since the all star game. 

The Boston Red Sox have hit the Moneyline in 35 of their last 59 away games (+11.75 Units / 17% ROI)

Play on Boston to win 

David Peterson (7-1, 3.04 ERA) is expected to start for the Mets against another left-hander Trevor Rogers (2-11, 4.89).  These pitchers are operating at the polar opposite of the performance spectrum. 

Rogers He is 0-2 with a 7.53 ERA in three starts since being acquired from the Marlins on July 30.

Peterson garnered a victory this past Wednesday, when he gave up one unearned run over 6 1/3 innings  of top tier work vs  the  Oakland Athletics in a  9-1 decision. He is 1-1 with a 3.72 ERA in three career outings (two starts) against the Orioles and gets the nod again in this spot play situation.  Peterson has recorded a stingy 1.56 ERA in three August starts, allowing only 3 earned runs in 17.1 innings of top tier work and has  seen the Mets victorious in  10 of his last 12 starts.

Baltimores starter Trevor Rogers is 14-28 on the road since 2020 and  is 11-33  as a moneyline  underdog within line range -109 to +154 since 2020. 

The Baltimore Orioles have only hit the Moneyline in 24 of their last 51 games (-13.75 Units / -18% ROI)

Play on the NYM to win 

Right-hander Merrill Kelly (3-0, 2.43 goes to the hill for  Diamondbacks in his second outing since missing close to  four months thanks to a severe. shoulder strain. The veteran righty looked good in  five quality innings last time out,  giving up just  two runs and three hits vs the hard hitting Phillies. Meanwhile, TBs starter today Rasmussen (0-0, 5.40 ERA) has made three relief outings for Tampa Bay this season, all since Aug. 7. He will be backed in what will be a bullpen game for the Rays as they try to sweep this series vs a Arizona Dbacks that been hot for a while now despite of losing the first two games. Im betting the Rays  dont get the sweep against baseballs most explosive offense.The Rays have lost three of their last four games at Tropicana Field following a win.

Play on the Diamondbacks to win 

Orioles  starting left-hander Cade Povich (1-5, 6.27 ERA) goes to the ill today for the Orioles. The rookie is still on a learning curve . Last month he garnered a  0-3 record while allowing 17 runs (14 earned) in 10 2/3 innings of sub par work. Meanwhile, right-hander Brayan Bello (10-5, 4.97)  takes the ball for the BoSox. The Red Sox have won the past four games in which he has thrown and my projections suggest he gives an edge to the Red Sox in this value  spot play option. Note:Bello has not  taken a loss since late June.

The Boston Red Sox have hit the Moneyline in 34 of their last 57 away games (+11.75 Units / 18% ROI)

Play on the Red Sox

Its been a frustrating run for the SF Giants against the Atlanta Braves as they lost the first three games of this series. Now with an opportunity to salvage a game from this matchup vs the Braves Im betting on the Giants finally getting the job done vs the Braves starter Fried who has not started much lately as exhaustion and nagging walked wounded  injuries look to have taken their toll on him. The veteran Atlanta lefty has allowed  10 runs,  in recent  starts against the light hitting  Marlins and  Rockies, in just  8 1/3 total innings  Meanwhile, Logan Webb goes to the hill for the Giants . The righty owns a home ERA of 2.49 ERA at home this season and always gives the Giants a chance to win at home. Webb pitched a shutout on July 31 and has been in tremedous form since than , allowing just 13 hits and two earned runs over his last 21.2 innings (0.83 ERA of work) and  should once again do well here vs a Atlanta offense that has been far from efficient this season and in negative regression mode after a rare 13 run explosion yesterday. 

Play on the SF Giants to win

 .

The Giants have lost the first two games of this series to the visiting Braves and Im betting the Giants bounce back and  avoid the sweep here tonight . The Giants have been playing decent ball overall of late, winning 6 of their L/10 while garnering a  3.33 ERA from the pitching staff during that span and deserve respect here at home in what can be looked at as a must win situation when it comes to saving face. Meanwhile, the Braves have been inconsistent for most of this season, and are  3-7 over their last ten games along  with a bloated  6.80 ERA.The Atlanta Braves have only hit the Moneyline in 45 of their last 95 games (-30.25 Units / -21% ROI)

Play on the Giants to win 

Frankie Montas will take the mound for the start Wednesday vs the Dodgers . Montas is 5-8 along  with a bloated  5.10 ERA in 21 starts this year and according to my pitcher vs batting order power rankings the explosive Dodgers offense matches up very well against him.  Meanwhile, Dodgers hurler Bueler after a long lay off returns to the hill for his team. He owns a  3.17 career ERA with a 47-20 record in  (114  career starts) and gets my support here tonight. Chalk is  20-2  in the last 22 games between the  Milwaukee Brewers  and LA Dodgers. 

Play on the Dodgers to win 

. Pittsburgh enters this game having lost 9 of their L/10 overall 1-9 over all. They are struggling to get consistent hitting as is evident by their  .252 team BA during that span and a pitching group that  is even worse as they have garnered  a 5.06 ERA.  Todays starter for the Bucks Keller owns a ugly 7.88 ERA in two August starts, allowing a total of 15 runs and is fade material here tonight vs a  Padres side that  lead the season series 5-0 and are currently on a 4 game overall home winning run! 

Play on the Padres 

Right-hander Kevin Gausman (10-8, 4.42 ERA) will get the ball for Toronto. He is 4-3 with a 4.42 ERA in nine career starts against the Angels.It must be noted that Kevin Gausman has recorded a victory in each of his last six appearances against opponents that held a losing record like the Angels and Im betting he gives the Jays an edge here tonight. The Jays righty has also pitched some of his best baseball on the road this season.

Meanwhile,Angels right-hander Carson Fulmer (0-2, 3.74 ERA) who had made 25 relief appearances this season will go to the hill for the Angels., Fulmer has started in his last five trips to the hill going 0-0 with a 3.60 ERA.

It must be also noted that  Jays super star Guerrero went 0-for-4 against Oakland on Sunday, ending a 22-game hitting streak that matched his career best, Guerrero hit .494 (40-for-81) with 10 homers, 22 RBIs and a 1.583 OPS.He bounced back on Monday, going 2-for-4 with a walk and Im betting he will be a catalyst again tonight for  a Toronto win. 

Play on the Blue Jays to win

The  Kansas City Royals will send out  Seth Lugo to the hill to face the Twins .He owns a  13-6 recored along with a 2.72 ERA and a 1.05 WHIP this season. In six career appearances  (four starts) vs the Twins, Lugo is 1-0 with a 1.73 ERA. Two of those starts occurred this year, where Lugo went 1-0 with a 0.75 ERA, allowing just one run in a total of 12 innings of quality work, Im betting on a rinse and repeat situation tonight vs the Twins. Note: Seth Lugo has recorded a win in five of his last six road appearances against AL Central opponents and gets my support here tonight. 

The Royals have won nine of their last 10 night games against AL Central opponents following a loss. (Twins beat the Royals 8-3 yesterday)

 Twins starter Mathews who comes from the minors to face top tier MLB opponent- does not project to matchup well vs this sometimes explosive Royals batting order according to my pitcher vs batting order power rankings. 

Play on the Royals 

 Astros have the edge here tonight  as they go with a pitcher Valdez which is  8-0 in his  last eight starts. The southpaw has not allowed more than  2 earned runs or less in four of his last five trips to the hill. Meanwhile, his pitching opponent  from the Rays Bradley has garnered a bloated  8.80 ERA in his last two starts and enters this game looking exhausted and very hittable. The Astros after a sweep of the BoSox are in red hot form and must be respected here a short chalk. Astros have won 5 straight. 

The Rays have lost seven of their last eight night games against the Astros following a win. (Rays won yesterday)The road team has won seven of the Astros' last eight games.The Houston Astros have hit the Moneyline in 29 of their last 44 games (+11.35 Units / 19% ROI)

Play on the Astros to win

St.Louis starter Gray has a 2.57 ERA in two August starts and looks like a viable option here to back vs the Reds.  Meanwhile, Abbott owns a hirrid 7.71 ERA in two August starts. The Reds are also working on negative metrics as  they have lost 4 straight starts with Abbott on the hill. The matching matchup when considering current pitching trends favor the better offensive side which is the Cardinals. 

Play on the Cards to win 

The Mets bats have struggled in the first two games of this series, as was evident. by two shutout losses, but now here in the Sunday night finale Im betting on positive regression. 

Mets Severino  (7-5, 4.06 ERA) matches up better vs the current Seattle lineup than does Castillos (9-11, 3.48 ERA) vs the MYM current lineup  according to MLB head to head  statistical metrics. 

Mets have the superior offense this season( BA, OBP, SLG, OPS , HRs) , and superior overall pitching and bullpen as compared to Seattle. 

Seattle has only won 2 of their L/7 home games so home field advantage may not factor in as advantageous to the Mariners.

Play on the NY Mets to win 

Hunter Brown who owns a  3.96 ERA this season is expected to start for the Astros.  The righty comes into this tilt vs the Red Sox has not allowed more than three runs  in 12 of his L/ 14 trips to the hill. In his past 11 starts, the Astros hurler has recorded a  2.13 ERA . Needless to say he is in top form and deserves respect here in this spot play totals situation. He is backed by the 4th ranked bullpen in the AL. Meanwhile,James Paxton gets the start for the BoSox. The hard throwing lefty is gearing into top form, as he allowed three earned runs or less in seven of his last 9 trips to the hill and has averaged 10.3 SO per nine innings pitched. Paxton owns 3.72 ERA in 15 career appearances (all starts) against the Astros. Astros offense has been less prolific on the road than at home, and the BoSox offense has been less productive at home than away from Fenway. This line according to my projections is slightly off giving us value with a under wager.  The Houston Astros have hit the Team Total Under in 9 of their last 12 games (+5.75 Units / 38% ROI)

Play under

Arizonas right handed  starting pitcher Zac Gallen  performs best at home where he owns a  3.28 ERA at Chase Field compared to a 4.40 ERA  in away tilts. .Tonight he goes against a  Phillies batting order  that is hitting  just .228 with a .294 on-base percentage vs righties. Since the all star break the Phillies have not looked right. Yes their have been a few breakouts, but for the most part their not in a grove as was the case yesterday in a 3-2 loss to the Dbacks.Meanwhile, Nola despite of being a strong pitcher overall, does not matchup well vs this Arizona batting order accoring to my pitcher vs batting order power rankings. 

The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Moneyline in 24 of their last 34 games (+14.85 Units / 35% ROI)The Philadelphia Phillies have only hit the Moneyline in 32 of their last 65 games (-16.80 Units / -17% ROI)

Play on the Diamondbacks to win

The Brewers are 32-21 at home. Milwaukee is 5-2 against Cincinnati this season. The Brewers are 9-5 in Myers’ last 14 starts. He has given up 2 earned runs or less in four straight starts. Milwaukee is hitting .299 with an ERA of 4.09 over their last ten games. Cincinnati is hitting .254 with a 5.36 ERA over their last ten games. The Brewers are 23-11 (68%) with a 14% ROI as a home favorite against teams with a below .500 record.

Play on Milwaukee moneyline ( LATE STEAM) 

The Guardians have lost 7 of 8  against teams with a win pct of .550 or better by starter Gavin Williams in the last two seasons. Considering  Williams  lack of consistency and bloated  4.91 ERA and 1.485 WHIP in seven starts he once again looks like fade material. The Twins according to my projections matchup very well here vs Williams. Note: The Twins rank fourth in the AL in batting average (.253), SLG % (.429), and total bases (1,671) and have smashed the  fifth-most home runs (140). With that said, they get the nod here in this spot play situation. 

Play on the Twins 

Cubs right-hander Jameson Taillon (7-6, 3.25 ERA) is set to oppose White Sox All-Star left-hander Garrett Crochet (6-8, 3.19).

The White Sox have their top pitcher Crochet  on the hill tonight against cross town rivals the Cubs, but the lefty hurler has been limited in innings of late bu the coaching staff, ( 4 innings of less in his 5 starts) and his team despite of his pitching prowess have lost his last eight starts. When Crochet leaves this game, he is backed by a horrid bullpen that owns a 6.77 ERA since the start of July. I know the cubs are an inconsistent offensive side, but they should do well as this game progresses.. It also must be noted that the Cubs offense does better away from Wrigely hwere they average 4.3 rpg.  Meanwhile, the Cubs starter James Tallion  .(3.25 ERA) is backed by a strong bullpen that has garnered a 1.77 ERA since the start of July. Cubs pitching  once again projects to  limit a Pale Hose team that has lost 23 of their L/24 games .Chi Cubs is 5-1 on the ML in its last 6 games when playing Chi White Sox

The Chicago White Sox have only hit the Moneyline in 14 of their last 73 games (-41.10 Units / -54% ROI)

Play on the Cubs to win

Entering play on Friday the Guardians have won 6 straight games in this series vs the Twins. The Guardians are expected to start Alex Cobb (0-0, 0.00) in the second game of todays double header . It will be his season debut for Guardians , after he came over from the  San Francisco Giants . He never pitched at all for the Giants, after being injured last season, and rehabbing this season . He is said to be ready to go , and the Twins current lineup lack of familiarity with him should give the Guardians an edge. Meanwhile, the Twins  are expected to promote right-hander Louie Varland (0-4, 6.58 ERA) for this game. Once again the Guardians consistent offense matches up well here according to my projections vs a minor leaguer. Guardians have hit the Moneyline in 67 of their last 114 games (+12.62 Units / 9% ROI)

Play on the Cleveland Guardians to win 

The Jays bats have come to life lately, and today vs Baltimore starter Kremer they are projected  to do have a positive offensive production event. The Os have lost the righties last three starts and he has allowed at least three runs in six of his last eight trips to hill garnering a 4.39 ERA in the process. Also the Orioles bullpen has not been performing optimally of late   ranking 29th in ERA since June 15,  with a  5.24 ERA, Meanwhile, Gausman the Blue Jays starter despite of a average at best season is a top tier hurler who projects to matchup well here vs the Orioles according to my pitcher vs batting order power rankings. The Jays have won Gausmans last 4 starts and Im backing him to get the job done again today.Toronto is 5-1 on the moneyline in its last 6 games at home.

Play on Toronto to win

 Gavin Stone will start for the Dodgers tonight vs the Phillies . The righty  is 9-5 with a 3.63 ERA and pitcher vs batting order rankings suggest he matches up well here this evening. Meanwhile, Tyler Phillips goes to the hill . He has recorded a  3-1 record along with a 4.39 ERA this season, but suffered negative regression last time out in a ugly effort and does matchup ell here according to my projections. I know the Phillies notched the win yesterday , but Im now betting one of MLBs most explosive offenses to find some footing tonight and get the counce back victory. The Dodgers have won each of their last 13 games as favorites against NL East opponents.The Phillies have lost each of their last six games following a win. Dodgers are 5-1 L/6 in this series.

Play on the Dodgers to win 

The Mariners starter Castillo has beaten 27 of the 28 teams he has faced in his MLB career, with the lone team hes not notched a victory against  being the Tigers.Luis Castillo is 0-4  vs. Detroit in the last five seasons . 

Meanwhile, I know Montero the Tigers starter has been beaten up on recently, but the Mariners own what can be best described as an inconsistent offense . 

Considering historical trends associated with Castillos outings vs the Tigers, and the Mariners knack for crashing and during offensively Ill take a stab at a value line offering and take the Tigers to cash on the moneyline. 

Note:  Motown has won 3 of the L/4 meetings in this series, with the three victories coming on underdog lines of +174, +159, and +163. 

The Tigers have won each of their last five games as road underdogs against American League opponents following a home loss which was the case last time out.The Mariners have lost seven of their last eight games as home favorites against American League opponents following a loss.

Play on Detroit to win 

 Phillies will send out  right-hander Aaron Nola (11-4, 3.43 ERA) to the hill tonight to face the Dodgers. Meanwhile  the Dodgers will respond    with top tier hurler Tyler Glasnow (8-6, 3.50).It must be noted that Dodger starter Tyler Glasnow is 10-2 vs NL East teams in the last five seasons nd according to my projections gives the Dodgers an edge on the hill tonight.The Dodgers collected  10-0 wimn over the A's on Saturday   and contimue to look consistent offensively. Even a viable hulrer like Nola could find himself in the deep end of a bad outing against this kind of attack. the dodgers have won 6 of their L/7 at home and get the nod hee against tonight. 

Play on LA Dodgers to win 

 Jose Quintana, (-6 3.89 ERA) go for the Mets here today vs the Angels . In his last start against the Minnesota Twins, he went six innings giving up five hits and one earned run. He seems to thrive in the following favs scenario. NYM starter Jose Quintana is 16-3 on  a chalk line  (-120 to -135) in the last five seasons including 7-0 on the in away starts and gives his team in edge here today on the hill vs Angels starter Canning who owns a 3-10 record and an ERA of 5.25.\The Mets lost yesterday, but Im betting on a big bounce back effort here today.The Angels have lost five of their last six home games against NL East opponents following a home win.The Mets have won four of their last five road games following a loss. NY Mets are 5-1 on the ML in its last 6 games on the road.

Play on the NY Mets to win

The Pirates starter Mitch Keller  goes to the hill for the Pirates this Saturday vs the Arizona Dbacks. He has seen his team grab wins in 12 of his 14 starts since May  along with garnering a  2.45 ERA during that period of time. Meanwhile, left handed hurler Montgomery goes to the hill for the Dbacks. He owns a 7-5 record along  with a bloated  6.51 ERA and has not looked like a viable  hurler of late. Also the Pirates have hit southpaw pitching much better than righties this season, and could easily light up Montgomery here at home today in bounce back mode after yersterdays 9-8 loss.

The Pirates have won each of their last nine games as favorites following a loss.The Diamondbacks have lost three of their last four games at PNC Park following a road win.

Pittsburgh to win 

 Michael McGreevy will make his major league debut for the Cards   here today vs the Rangers. McGreevy was 27-20 with a 4.26 ERA in his minor league career. He is projected to be average at best, and its never easy debuting in the worlds best baseball league. I know the Rangers expected starter  Heaney has not looked consistent this season, but my projections still estimate we have a mathematical edge with the  Cards. 

The Cards won yesterday to tie this series at 1 game a piece. Note: The Rangers have won seven of their last eight games at Busch Stadium.The Cardinals have lost each of their last four day games at Busch Stadium following a victory.

Play on the Rangers  to win

The Toronto Blue Jays and Baltimore Orioles go head to head  in game one of a doubleheader on Monday afternoon in Baltimore.

Os starter Zach Eflin has  consistently been sub par this year on the mound , and has   allowed 12 earned runs in his L/ 22.1 innings of mediocre work.  Meanwhile, Jays starterYariel Rodriguez is in top form as is evident by  allowing just  9 hits and 5 runs in his last 22.1 innings of quality work.

The Orioles dropped two of three games over the weekend to the Padres, and overall have been highly inconsistent of late and can't be trusted as this big a fav vs a Blue Jays team that despite of struggling this season have enough offense to take care of a pitcher like they will face in this spot . 

Blue Jays to win 

All star pitcher Tanner Houck has been one of the best hurlers in MLB this season and is a  AL CY Young award candidate. He can control the best of batting orders and gets my backing here tonight against the Yankees.Houck owns a solid 2.96 ERA and .234 allowed batting average in 70 home innings during the current campaign and in  his career has recorded 3-2 mark along with a stingy 2.11 ERA and 41 strikeouts against the New York Yankees.  The Yankees won a barn burner yesterday vs the Bo/sox 11-8, but it must be noted that he Yankees have lost 11 of their last 12 games against AL East opponents following a win.The Red Sox have won seven of their last eight games against the Yankees following a loss. 

Play on the Red Sox to win

We have two starting pitchers who are operating at the opposite end of the performance spectrum entering this tilt. The Rangers starter Heaney is just 1-1 but  has allowed just two earned in 15.1 innings of top tier work. Meanwhile the Blue Jays starter  Kikuchi,  has given  up 11 earned runs over his last 9.2 innings of very sub par work. Toronto has lost  in its last 5 games when playing at home against Texas and my projections estimate they have a high probability of losing here again .Texas is 5-0 on the ML in its last 5 games and have momentum and the pitching edge here today.The Texas Rangers have hit the Moneyline in 12 of their last 16 games (+7.55 Units / 32% ROI).

Play on Texas  

Oakland has not performed well on the road this season recording a  15-36  record which is  the 3rd worst away record in MLB.  With Ross Stripling going to the ill after a  lay off on the  the Injured List (elbow) Im betting the As are a disadvantage with a rusty hurler who has struggled this season as is evident by his 1-9 record aling with his bloated 5.51 ERA. Before he got injured the righty hurler , recorded a  a 7.17 ERA in five May starts.  Meanwhile, the the Athletics are struggling vs southpaw hurlers like the Angels starter Rosenberg hitting  .234 against this while ranking a lowly  23rd in MLB. Rosenberg in his last trip to the hill vs a  As , allowed one earned run in 4 innings and matches up well here.LA Angels is 8-1 on the moneyline  in its last 9 games when playing at home against Oakland. 

Ross Stripling is 4-13 as a night underdog in the L/5 seasons.

Play on the LA Angels to win 

 Tampa Bay Rays starter today Bradley is in top form right now . In the righty's last three starts he owns a is 2-0 record  allowing just one earned run in 20  innings of quality work. Meanwhile, the Jays starter Bassitt, has allowed 12 earned in his L/ 16.2 innings over his last three starts and is pitching at the opposite end of the performance spectrum entering this tilt. The Jays offense, has been inconsistent all season long and  projections estimate on more troubles on the horizon i.

Toronto is 2-5 on the money-line in its last 7 games when playing at home against Tampa Bay.

The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Moneyline in 17 of their last 29 games (+5.50 Units / 16% ROI)

Play on the Rays to win 

Arizona starter Neslon  is 3-0 in his last three start while producing a solid 2.22 ERA in four July starts,  while allowing just  6 earned runs in his L/ 24.1 innings of top tier work. The Diamondbacks cashed as underdogs yesterday with a  6-2 victory , and Im now expecting the momentum of that victory to carry on here today as my power rankings estimate the Dbacks offense matches up well vs KC  vs  righty Michael Wacha (7-6, 3.55 ERA). Kansas City is 3-7on the moneyline  in its last 10 games when playing Arizona.Arizona is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games on the road.

Play on Arizona to win 

Bostons starter tonight vs the Dodgers Kutter Crawford has been money the bank  in his last  three starts this month, allowing just one run and 10 hits across 20.0 innings of  top tier work.Meanwhile, Paxton (4.38 ERA)  goes to the hill for the Dodgers. Hes been at the opposite end of the performance spectrum  and his L/7 starts overall  he has recorded a bloated  6.12 ERA and looks vulnerable here tonight. Bostons played the Dodger tough in this series and will primed to avoid the sweep and bounce back and are well postioned to do that according to my projections.Boston is one of the best road teams in baseball, with a  29-19 record this season, and get the nod tonight.

The Red Sox have won each of their last 11 Sunday games against teams that held a winning record.The Dodgers have lost four of their last five games as home favorites against American League opponents following a win.

Play on the Red Sox to win

The Brewers will start  Civale here today vs the Twins. He came over in gthe trade vs the Rays, and despite looking good last time out still owns a 5.07 ERA. His biggest problem is that batters really get around on  him in general. Thats evident. by ranking in the 30th percentile in XBA,  31st percentile in average exit velocity and the 44th in hard-hit rate. The Twins have the kind of batting order that can absolutely light him up and thats what Im betting on today. Meanwhile, fireballer, Joe Ryan goes to the hill for the Twins.  Hes been a little inconsistent of late but still owns a very respectable  xERA of  3.08 with a  FIP  3.44. My pitcher vs batting order power rankings suggest he matches up well vs the Brewers . 

The Twins are 27-19 at home this season, while the Brewers are 27-25 on the road.

 on Minnesota to win 

The Mets were in a good form entering the all star game , and they have won five of the last six games, with the one loss coming last time out.  Note:The Mets have won each of their last seven games against the Marlins following a home loss. The Mets offense has been responsible for their top tier efforts. The offense is ranked 6th in the league and match up well here according to my pitcher vs batting order power rankings vs the Marlins expected starter  Cabrera. The Marlins' offense is ranked 29th in the league, and they  don't matchup well vs the Mets pitching (starter and bullpen).The Marlins have lost each of their last six night games against teams that held a winning record like the Mets. Two teams operating at the opposite end of the spectrum, make this a viable ML option supporting the Mets.

Play on the NY Mets to win 

Since 1997, the American League is 21-4-1 in the Midsummer Classic and have cashed in 9 of the L/10 all star games. Im betting on nothing changing tonight. 

Play on the AL to win 

Reds starter Spiers had  a down effort vs the  Tigers last time out allowing four earned  run on eight hits and two walks in 4.2 innings of sub par work. However, Im now expecting for him to bounce back .It must be noted that prior to the ugly effort in his last trip to the hill, he was  2-0 while only allowing  four earned in 12 innings over two quality starts.

Meanwhile, the Marlins are expected to lean on their bullpen here today, which is not a good thing when considering how inconsistent they have been. The starter will be  Chirinos (0-0, 4.19 ERA) .He lasted exactly five innings in three of his four starts since he was promoted from Triple-A Jacksonville. Advantage Cincinnati. 

Cincinnati is 10-4 on the money-line  in its last 14 games when playing at home against Miami

Play on the Cincinnati Reds to win 

the Orioles starter today Steele has been a hard luck pitcher this season and owns a  1-3 record along with a 2.95 ERA.  Steele is 1-1 with a 4.09 ERA and 7 strikeouts in his career against the Baltimore Orioles.

His pitching opponent from the Os  Suarez is 5-2 with a 2.48 ERA and has very good metrics attached to that data . Suarez has also pitched his best ball  at home in Baltimore where hs  is 2-0 with a 1.50 ERA during this campaign and according to my projections gives Baltimore an edge.   Suarez is 0-1 with a 2.25 ERA and 4 strikeouts in his career against the Chicago Cubs.

The Cubs have not travelled well this season as is evident by their sub .500 road record  of  19-28 .Meanwhile, the Baltimore  Orioles are 29-19 at home. I know the Cubbies took out the Os yesterday by a 4-0 score, but it must be noted that the Cubs have lost 11 of their last 12 road games following a road victory.

The Chicago Cubs have only hit the Moneyline in 27 of their last 67 games (-15.30 Units / -19% ROI)

Play on the Baltimore Orioles to win 

After a heart breaking 3-2 loss to the Mets yesterday the Pirates will be primed for a bounce back performance. 

Mets rookie Christian Scott (0-2, 4.32 ERA) and the Pirates' Mitch Keller (9-5, 3.48) go to the hill for their perspective sides  Monday in a battle of right-handers. My pitcher vs batting power rankings suggest the Pirates have the edge here today. Scott,just  returned  this past Wednesday to play with the big club after being demoted where he spent   a month at Triple-A Syracuse. He allowed four runs over 5 2/3 innings in a no-decision against the Washington Nationals in his return and could easily end up as cannon fodder again today.  I know Keller his pitching opponent is off a bad start last time out , but had gone 3-1 with a 2.35 ERA in his previous five starts and more than capable of bouncing back. 

The Pirates have won each of their last 11 games as home favorites against NL East opponents following a home loss. (Mets won yesterday)The Mets have lost 11 of their last 13 day games against National League opponents following a road win.

Favorites are 17-1  L/19 games between Pittsburgh Pirates and NY Mets. 

Play on the Pirates to win

The Yankees won yesterday vs Red Sox in lopsided fashion scoring 14 runs and wining by 10 runs. Now Im betting on an immediate regression in letdown spot after that big win. I know Gill has a viable record this season, but he is vulnerable entering this tilt after allowing 4 ERS in his L/outing. 

The Yankees have lost each of their last five games as favorites against AL East opponents following a win.The Red Sox have won six of their last seven games as underdogs.

The Boston Red Sox have hit the Moneyline in 27 of their last 42 away games (+13.05 Units / 26% ROI)

Play on Red Sox to win

 Former Cy Young award winner Keuchel is on the down side of career. He pitched well last time out but he still owns a ugly 6.47 ERA , and  according to my pitcher vs batting order power rankings does not matchup well vs a  Dodgers' offense is averaging 5.07 runs per game, Advantage Dodgers .

The Brewers have lost each of their last 10 games at Dodger Stadium following a loss. (Dodgers won yesterday) The Dodgers have won each of their last seven home games against the Brewers.The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Moneyline in 12 of their last 18 games (+2.95 Units / 9% ROI).

Favorites are 17-1 L/18 games between Milwaukee and LA Dodgers. 

Play on the Dodgers to win 

Todays starters --Mets: Sean Manaea (5-3, 3.67 ERA, 1.27 WHIP, 81 strikeouts); Pirates: Luis Ortiz (4-2, 3.27 ERA, 1.24 WHIP, 47 strikeouts). Both these hurlers have pitched well of late, but according to my projections the Mets bats because of their more consistent offensive out puts have the edge. 

The Pirates offense has scored 360 runs with a .230 batting average and a .299 on base percentage.

The Mets offense has scored 421 runs with a .247 batting average and a .318 on base percentage.***

The New York Mets have hit the Moneyline in 19 of their last 28 games (+9.50 Units / 28% ROI)

NY Mets is 5-1 on the money line in its last 6 games when playing Pittsburgh.

The Pirates have lost three of their last four day games against National League opponents.

Favs are 15-1 in the L/16 games between the  Pittsburgh Pirates  and NY Mets. 

New York's David Peterson (3-0, 3.51 ERA) goes to the hill for his team while,  and Pittsburgh's Bailey Falter (4-6, 3.87) gets the call in a battle of  left-handers this Saturday. My projections give the edge to the Mets starter Peterson, who matches up well vs the Pirates batting order according to my pitcher vs batting order rankings.  The Mets have a .452 slugging percentage versus southpaws, ranking them 4th in the league.

Yesterday the Pirates smacked 7 HRS in a 14-2 victory and now after those balloted 4th of July fireworks Im expecting regression  here in letdown spot. On the flipside the Mets acted quite embarrassed after that debacle , and pros don't like to be made to look bad and will be primed for a big bounce back performance . 

 Chalk is 14-1  in the last 15 games between the  Piitsburgh Pirates  and NY Mets for a 93% conversion rate with a 83.5 %. 

Play on NY Mets to win

The Royals have beaten the visiting Cleveland Guardians twice to open a four-game series that continues Saturday afternoon, but now Im betting on a bounce back performance from the Guardians.

Clevelands starter BIBEE is 8-1 against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record this season. (Team's Record) BIBEE is 13-3   against the money line in all games this season. (Team's Record)  Bibee won four of his last six starts, while recording a stingy  2.86 ERA with 50 strikeouts in 34 2/3 innings during that span. Bibee won in Baltimore on Monday, allowing just two runs -- one earned -- in six innings while striking out seven and deserves respect here in this spot play. 

CLEVELAND is 12-2  against the money line vs. a starting pitcher whose gives up 0.5 or less HR's/start this season like the Royals  starter Ragans.  

Vogt is 12-2  against the money line vs. a starting pitcher whose gives up 0.5 or less HR's/start as the manager of CLEVELAND.

Ragans has just one win in his last six starts, and it came in his most recent appearance with a big time 11 SO performance and now Im also betting on immediate regression vs a patient Guardians batting order. 

CLEVELAND is 20-8  against the money line in day games this season.

Play on Cleveland to win 

CLEVELAND is 21-10  against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record this season.

Mariners starter Gilbert is in a groove as is evident by his 1.19 ERA and minuscule 0.573 WHIP in his L/3 starts. His current form gives credence to seeing the Seattle Mariners coming out of this with a win. Mariners starter GILBERT is 23-9  against the money line after giving up 2 or less earned runs in his last 2 outings in his career. (Team's Record) Meanwhile Ober the Twins starter lost to these same Mariners back in May by a 10-6 count, 

SEATTLE is 22-9  against the money line in home games vs. an overused bullpen that pitches more than 3.2 innings per game this season.

MINNESOTA is 13-23  against the money line vs. a team with a very good bullpen whose WHIP is 1.250 or better this season.

MLB teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (SEATTLE) - ice cold hitting team - batting .175 or worse over their last 3 games, with a hot starting pitcher- WHIP 0.800 or less over his last 3 starts are 27-10 L/5 seasons for a 73% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Seattle to win 

The Angels took out the Tigers by a 5-0 count last night. Note: 

The Tigers have lost each of their last eight night games against the Angels following a loss. The Angels have won each of their last six night games against the Tigers following a win.

Considering the Tigers starter  Kenta Maeda has struggled on the road this season as is evident by garnering a  ERA  of  9.90  it will not be a difficult decision to take the home pup that has won 4 straight games in this spot play. 

DETROIT is 0-11   against the money line after 2 straight games where they stranded 5 or less runners on base this season.

Play on the Angels to win

The Yankees are struggling after having lost  9 of their L/11 , so we are getting good value with them entering this game vs a Jays group they matchup well against. Tonight Im betting they have the edge with Marcus Stroman on the hill. The righty owns a 5-1 road record this season along with a stingy 2.38 ERA. 

SCHNEIDER is 19-26  against the money line in home games vs. an AL starting pitcher whose ERA is 3.70 or better as the manager of TORONTO.

BOONE is 20-8  against the money line in road games after batting .175 or worse over a 3 game span as the manager of NY YANKEES.

Blue Jays starter KIKUCHI is 3-11  against the money line vs. poor baserunning teams - averaging 0.5 or less SB's/game over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record) KIKUCHI is 4-11  against the money line when the total is 7 to 8.5 this season. (Team's Record)

TORONTO is 6-23  against the money line as an underdog of +100 to +150 this season.

MLB teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (TORONTO) - with a team batting average of .255 or worse on the season (AL), after scoring 8 runs or more 2 straight games are 17-39 L/5 seasons for a go against 70% conversion rate for bettors.

Berrios is performing at sub par levels so far this season and has a ugly  record when facing the Yankees, as is evident by a  0-4 mark in  his last  four appearances along with a a 6.08 ERA and 1.39 WHIP.   Berrios is 1-2 in his last three starts with a combined 12 earned runs allowed in 16.2 innings of lowly work.

BERRIOS is 8-22 in his career against the money line vs. teams outscoring opp by 0.5 or more runs/game in the second half of the season . (Team's Record)

I know the Yankees starter  Rodon ( 9-4, 3.65 ERA) has not been great in recent starts , but the Jays are just  7-14 against the money line vs. an AL starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.200 or better this season . TORONTO is 9-17  against the money line vs. a team with a good bullpen whose ERA is 3.45 or better this season. TORONTO is 5-23  against the money line as an underdog of +100 to +150 this season.

NYY own a  .636 road win percentage while the  Jays are. sub par  .486  at home. 

The Toronto Blue Jays have only hit the Moneyline in 24 of their last 58 games (-16.55 Units / -21% ROI)

Play on NY Yankees to win 

Im fading thr Brewers here despite of them taking the first two games of this seriies.  Rangers  starter  Eovaldi’s is 5-2 in his  last seven starts.  While Keuchel went 2-1 with a 5.97 ERA in ten appearances for the Twins in 2023. 

 EOVALDI is 13-0 against the money line vs. good baserunning teams - averaging 0.85 or more SB's/game over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)

MILWAUKEE is 8-16  against the money line after having won 3 of their last 4 games this season.

MLB Home teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (MILWAUKEE) - good NL offensive team (4.7 or more runs/game) against a good AL starting pitcher (ERA 4.20 or less), with a very good bullpen whose ERA is 3.33 or better on the season are 9-28 L/27 seasons for a go against 76% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Texas to win

Arizona starter Pfaadt has given up just  one earned run in each of his last two starts at Chase Field and has pitched his best baseball at home this season. Meanwhile, Twins starter RYAN despite of pitching well lately is 0-6  against the money line in road games after giving up 2 or less earned runs in his last 2 outings over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)  Considering the Twins have dropped five consecutive night games away from home , Im seeing some value here with the home side.

Play on Arizona to win 

LATE STEAM 

 Right-hander Bryan Woo (3-1, 1.67 ERA) will make his first career appearance against the Rays in his eighth start this year and according to my projections has an edge. 

TAMPA BAY is 0-12  against the money line in home games vs. an AL starting pitcher whose ERA is 3.70 or better this season like Seattles starter Woo. AtMPA BAY is 0-8   against the money line in home games vs. an AL starting pitcher whose ERA is 2.90 or better this season like the Mariners starter Woo. 

 WOO is 13-3 against the money line vs. an AL team with a team batting average of .260 or worse over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) like the Rays.

Right-hander Taj Bradley (2-4, 4.06), who will make his ninth start today vs the Mariners , holds no record and an 8.38 ERA against the Mariners in two career starts.

SEATTLE is 13-1 against the money line after a loss by 2 runs or less this season.( Lost to the Marlins 6-4 yesterday)

SEATTLE is 14-2  against the money line when playing against a marginal losing team (Win Pct. 46% to 49%) over the last 2 seasons.

Play on Mariners to win 

Starting pitchers --Orioles: Albert Suarez (3-1, 2.05 ERA, 1.20 WHIP, 40 strikeouts); Astros: Framber Valdez (5-5, 3.91 ERA, 1.21 WHIP, 56 strikeouts). Valdez is just not a top tier pitcher yet. He has the tools to be a Cy Young award candidate but the consistency needed to achieve those goals is lacking. His  inability to throw strikes consistently and rising  walk counts  are key.  Today against a explosive group of Os ready for a bounce back he could easily be in trouble.Im betting on the Os avoiding the sweep here in Houston vs a recently resurgent Astros offense.

Play on the 
Orioles to win 

CLEVELAND is 18-7  against the money line in home games vs. an AL starting pitcher whose ERA is 3.70 or better over the last 2 seasons like the Blue Jays starter Kikuchi. CLEVELAND is 37-12  against the money line in home games vs. AL teams scoring 3.9 or less runs/game on the season over the last 3 seasons. Cleveland's starter MCKENZIE is 18-8   against the money line when the money line is +125 to -125 over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)

CLEVELAND is 15-4 against the money line at home when the money line is +125 to -125 this season.

MLB Road underdogs with a money line of +100 or higher (TORONTO) - struggling AL offensive team (4.2 or less runs/game) against a team with a very good bullpen (ERA 3.33 or better), after 2 straight games where they stranded 5 or less runners on base are 4-37 L/5 seasons for a go against 90% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the Guardians to win 

 Os starter Burnes has a 1.35 ERA in three June starts, allowing just 3 earned runs in 20 innings of work. Baltimore is 6-0 in Burnes’ last six starts and gives his team an edge in a bounce back situation after yesterdays 14-11 loss to this same Astros side. . Chalk off a loss playing an opponent off a victory are 241-152  for a 61% conversion rate for bettors.

 MLB team (BALTIMORE) - with a team slugging percentage of .450 or better on the season (AL), after scoring 8 runs or more 2 straight games are 32-11 L/5 seasons for a 75% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on Baltimore to win

The Pirates continue to struggle in inter-league play and have now lost 15 of 23 after yesterdays loss to the Tampa Bay Rays. Im now betting on a rinse and repeat situation as the Rays have the edge again with Efilin on the hill. The righty is ( 3-4, along with a  4.12 ERA) and  is 2-1 with a 1.35 ERA in three career starts against Pittsburgh. The Rays will respond with  Rookie Jared Jones (4-6, 3.76 ERA) who according to my power rankings does not matchup well vs the Rays offense. In his L/2 starts the Pirates lost by 16-4 and 11-5 counts. 

PITTSBURGH is 1-7  against the money line after two straight games where they had 5 or less hits this season.

TAMPA BAY is 13-5  against the money line on the road when the money line is +125 to -125 this season

MLB - Road teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (TAMPA BAY) - with a slugging percentage of .500 or better over their last 3 games, with a tired bullpen - after 2 straight games throwing 5+ innings.are 27-6 L/5 seasons for a 81% conversion rate for bettors.

Tampa Bay is 7-0 L/7 meetings in this series.

Play on Tampa Bay to win

 The Brewers are positive bets of between -120 to +135  on the moneyline with starter Colin Rea  on the hill as is evident by cashing 12 of 14 last season and 4 of 5 this season  for a total of 15+ units of profit. REA is 11-3  against the money line as an underdog of +100 to +150 over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)REA is 8-1  against the money line vs. teams averaging 2.75 or less extra base hits per game this season. (Team's Record) SAN DIEGO is 17-33 (-18.3 Units) against the money line vs. an NL starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.250 or better over the last 2 seasons.

Meanwhile, Dylan Cease the Padres starer has a 6.32 ERA in his L/3 starts and fade material in his current form. 

SAN DIEGO is 9-16 against the money line in home games in night games this season

MLB underdogs with a money line of +125 to +175 (MILWAUKEE) - with a hot bullpen whose ERA is under 3.00 the last 10 games against opponent with a struggling bullpen whose ERA is over 6.50 the last 5 games are 50-32 L/5 seasons for a 61% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on Milwaukee to win

 Baltimore'a expected starter Grayson Rodriguez, is 8-2 along with a solid 3.20 ERA and a 1.22 WHIP over 70.1 innings this season.  He gives the No.1 AL team a edge here vs a Astros side that just cant shake out of playing inconsistent baseball. HOUSTON is 5-12  against the money line when playing against a top-level team (Win Pct.  62% or better ) this season.  HOUSTON is 8-15 against the money line in home games against AL East opponents over the last 2 seasons. 

BALTIMORE is 26-7  against the money line as a road favorite of -125 or more over the last 2 seasons.

The Orioles have won each of their last 10 games as road favorites against American League opponents.The Astros have lost seven of their last eight home games against AL East opponents that held a winning record.

MLB Road favorites with a money line of -125 to -175 (BALTIMORE) - AL team with a low on-base percentage (.320 or worse) against a team with a good bullpen (WHIP 1.350 or less), starting a pitcher who gave up 2  or less earned runs in his last 2 outings are 95-35 L/5 seasons for a 73% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on the Baltimore Orioles to win 

Seattle has won 4 straight and 8 of its L/9, while their opponents the Guardians have lost 3 straight. With that said, all good and bad runs must eventually come to an end and thats what Im betting on here today by backing Cleveland to win at home.CLEVELAND is 12-1  against the money line after 3 or more consecutive losses over the last 2 seasons. I know the Mariners young hurler Woo has pitched well this season, when he has ben healthy, but hes got some nagging injuries that could see him struggle today and or not go far into this game as he will be on a limited pitch count.. Woo  was scratched from his last scheduled start due to discomfort in his right forearm. He also missed the first month of the season due to elbow inflammation.

CLEVELAND is 11-2  against the money line vs. a starting pitcher whose gives up 0.5 or less HR's/start this season like Woo and  is 16-7  against the money line vs. a team with a very good bullpen whose WHIP is 1.250 or better this season.

Meanwhile, Guardians right-hand hurler  Tanner Bibee (4-2, 3.94 ERA). BIBEE is 16-6 against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)

Cleveland to win

Arizona beat the Nats 5-0 yesterday and Im betting they have the edge again. Washington starter CORBIN is 14-41  against the money line as a home underdog of +100 or higher since 1997. (Team's Record) Meanwhile, Arizonas starter Pfaadt gave up only one run in his last start .

 The Washington  offense is ranked 23rd and according to my projections will have problems with Dbacks pitchers (Pfaadt)  and company.

The Diamondbacks have won each of their last six games at Nationals Park when the Nats have had a ,losing record. The Nationals have lost each of their last four games against NL West opponents

ARIZONA is 15-5 against the money line in road games in June games over the last 2 seasons.

Play on Arizona to win 

Angels right-hander Griffin Canning (2-7, 5.76 ERA) goes to the hill for the Angels vs the visiting Brewers. Canning is winless in hislpast five starts, despite pitching decently . Run support issues are part of the problem and according to my power rankings will once again have issues, as Right-hander Tobias Myers (3-2, 3.76 ERA) who has recorded a 2.95 ERA and 0.835 WHIP in his L/3 outings to stymie the inconsistent bats of the Halos. 

LA ANGELS are 9-24  against the money line vs. a team with a very good bullpen whose WHIP is 1.250 or better this season like the Angels Canning.

LA ANGELS are 7-22  against the money line vs. NL teams scoring 4.5 or more runs/game on the season over the last 2 seasons..  

MILWAUKEE is 11-0 against the money line after batting .200 or worse over a 3 game span this season.

LA ANGELS are 4-15 against the money line at home when the money line is +125 to -125 this season.

MLB Home underdogs with a money line of +125 or more (LA ANGELS) - poor AL offensive team (4.2 or less runs/game) against a team with a very good bullpen (ERA 3.33 or more ), with a very bad bullpen whose ERA is 5.00 or worse on the season are 87-21 L/27 seasons for a 80% conversion rate.

Play on Brewers to win