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Alex Smart NHL Totals Picks
Date Match Up Rating Score Result Profit Lead Time Analysis
06-17-25 Oilers v. Panthers OVER 6.5 1-5 Loss -100 15 h 51 m Show

All five games in the Stanley Cup /finals have eclipsed the Total, and no matter how well the goalies of played 7 or more goals combined have been scored in those games. Im betting nothing changes tonight, as both these tremendous offenses tee of on each other in a key elimination tilt. Edmonton in away or neutral games against good possession teams-averaging 3+ more shots on goal than opp are 10-2 OVER L/12 .

Play on the over

06-14-25 Panthers v. Oilers OVER 6.5 5-2 Win 106 19 h 55 m Show

All 4 games in this series between these two teams in the Stanley Cup finals have seen at least 7 combined goals scored . No matter how well these goalies have played the tremendous talent on offense has found ways to score and Im betting nothing changes tonight. 

Edmonton home games in the Stanley Cup finals are 6-0 since last seasons with a combined average of 8.8 gpg scored.

NHL Road teams where the total is 6 or more - after scoring 3 goals or more in 4 straight games against opponent after playing 2 straight games where 7 or more total goals were scored are 196-129 OVER for a 60% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the OVER

04-25-25 Kings v. Oilers UNDER 6 4-7 Loss -101 9 h 41 m Show

There have been more goals than expected early on this series, but the Kings know to win this series they  need to slow down their opponents with their usually tough D., especially here on the road in Edmonton The Kings allowed the second-fewest goals per game  at (2.48) this season and fewest expected goals per 60 minutes at 5-on-5. On the flispide , Oilers allowed a solid  2.87  and the ninth-fewest xGA/60. Im betting this game sees the beginning of a tighter type of play off hockey as both  two teams are more than likely to exhibit D first mentalities going forward.  LAK off a home blowout win by 3 goals or more have gone under in 12 of 17 overall. LAK in a road game where where the total is 6 or more have gone under in 8 of 11. Oilers against good defensive teams - opponents average 26.5 or better shots on goal have gone under in 9 of their L/12.

Play under

04-10-25 Jets v. Stars UNDER 5.5 4-0 Win 100 4 h 38 m Show

Dallas is off a late collapse last time out giving up 3 late goals (final min) and losing 6-5 in OT, you can now bet on a more concerted defensive effort after that embarrassment.  Also more motivation comes from the fact that they  are    four points behind Winnipeg  for the top spot in the Central Division and desperately need a victory in regulation to have a chance at catching the Jets. Im betting this wil be like a play off style game, played tight and conservatively which projects for a lower scoring affair. 
  These teams have gone under seven straight times in bead to head battles.   The Jets have gone under in 17 of their L/21  this season when facing a division opponent.

Play under

04-07-25 Flames v. Sharks UNDER 6 3-2 Win 100 7 h 8 m Show

The Flames/Sharks have played twice this season and both games went under the total .  Calgary  when going against  teams within the Pacific Division, have gone  17-4 UNDER . Im betting on another low scoring affair here tonite.

The Calgary Flames have only hit the Game Total Over in 31 of their last 82 games (-23.20 Units / -25% ROI)

Play under 

03-27-25 Kings v. Avalanche OVER 5.5 0-4 Loss -113 6 h 46 m Show

 The last seven meetings in this series between the Avs and Kings in Denver    have had a combined six goals or more. Nothing changes tonite in what should be a good old fashioned back and forth dog fight. NHL Road teams against the total - quick starting team-outscoring opp by 0.2+ goals/game in first period - 2nd half of the season, after scoring 3 goals or more in 4 straight games. are 92-47 OVER since 2021 with a combined average of 6.9 gpg scored.

Play over

03-26-25 Canucks v. Islanders OVER 5.5 5-2 Win 117 3 h 13 m Show

 The Islanders have eclipsed the offered  total in five straight and a Canucks have seen a combined seven or more goals  scored in each of their L/4 games and seven of their L/8. overall. It must also be noted the last nine meetings between these two teams have had seen a combined  seven goals or more . NHL Road teams against the total - revenging a loss where opponent scored 5 or more goals, a marginal losing team (40% to 49%) playing a losing team are 59-24 OVER with a combined average of 6.8 goals per game scored since 2021.

Play over

03-06-25 Flames v. Stars OVER 6 2-3 Loss -112 1 h 58 m Show

The Dallas Stars have put four goals or more on the board in 11 of their last 12 games. The Stars  gone Over the total in 8 straight and 11 of the last 12  games These teams have also gone over v in seven straight meetings  with every game eclipsing this totals offering.

Play over

03-05-25 Senators v. Blackhawks OVER 6 4-3 Win 100 4 h 31 m Show

Since the 4 nations break, 5 of Chicago’s L/6 games  have seen six goals or more, goals scored  and three of Ottawa’s L/ 4 games out of the break have seen six goals or more go on the board. Im betting on more goal scoring action here tonite.

Play on the OVER

02-27-25 Islanders v. Bruins OVER 5.5 2-1 Loss -120 3 h 11 m Show

With the Islanders season slipping away after four straight losses  Im betting on some aggressive hockey from therm tonite,.With the Bruins, missing their two top two defensemen (Charlie McAvoy and Hampus Lindholm) the Islanders should find the back of the net consistently this evening.Meanwhile, the Bruins after two straight OT losses will also be very aggressive offensively as they look to ice a game in regulation. The last six meetings have all eclipsed this offering with  (9, 9, 6, 9, 7 , 8) goals respectively  getting scored. NHL Home teams where the total is 6 or more - poor team - outscored by their opponents by 0.3+ goals/game - 2nd half of the season, after allowing 5 goals or more are 120-60 OVER since 2021 with a combined average of 7 gpg scored in those tilts.

Play on the over

01-28-25 Stars v. Golden Knights UNDER 6 4-3 Loss -115 5 h 16 m Show

Stars and Golden Knights in head to head match ups  have seen some fairly low scoring affairs at  T-Mobile Arena recently.. Six of the eight meetings  have seen 5 r less  combined goals scored and  seven of the L/8 have produced  six goals or less. the Stars re 21-7 UNDER off a win last time out, with a combined average of 5.3 gpg scored. 

Play under

01-18-25 Maple Leafs v. Canadiens UNDER 6 7-3 Loss -110 2 h 56 m Show
01-16-25 Devils v. Maple Leafs UNDER 5.5 3-4 Loss -101 3 h 19 m Show

These teams are playing a grinding style of defensive hockey of late with New Jersey delivering on the under seven consecutive games and on the season  are 32-12-1 to the Under . Toronto has gone Under the total in six of their last eight trips to golden pond and and have gone silent on offense scoring just one goal in their L/2 tilts. 

Play under

01-15-25 Oilers v. Wild OVER 5.5 5-3 Win 100 4 h 58 m Show

 These teams have combined for six or more goals in both matchups this season and 11 of their 13 meetings overall and Im betting on a rinse and repeat situation here this evening. 

01-14-25 Flyers v. Blue Jackets OVER 6.5 2-3 Loss -110 3 h 9 m Show

 Backup goalies are slated  tonight to start with the Jackets placing  Daniil Tarasov  between the pipes and the Flyers putting Ivan Fedotov in net. Considering the outcomes of both  meetings this season where a  combined eight and nine goals went on the board and from a long term perspective , where eight of the last 10 meetings  between these sides have seen  seven total goals or more go on the board, an over wager here makes sense.

Play over

01-12-25 Lightning v. Penguins OVER 6.5 5-2 Win 100 0 h 27 m Show

These teams the  Lightning and Penguins are in a back-to-back situation and  and are in a  three games in four day situation as well. tired legs do not bode well for good defensive hockey and Im betting that will give us an edge with a over bet. NHL Home teams like the Penguins where the total is 6 or more - struggling team - outscored by their opponents by 0.5+ goals/game - 2nd half of the season, after allowing 5 goals or more are 93-47 OVER since 2021 with a combined average of 7.1 gpg scored.

Play over

01-09-25 Seattle Kraken v. Blue Jackets OVER 6 2-6 Win 100 1 h 33 m Show

Columbus is (28-12-1)  OVER this season. Seattle has cashed their  last three road tilts and six of their last nine, with  seven or more combined goals going on the board.

Play over

01-07-25 Maple Leafs v. Flyers OVER 5.5 3-2 Loss -120 3 h 14 m Show

The total has gone OVER in 7 of Philadelphia's last 8 games when playing at home against Toronto.The total has gone OVER in 6 of Philadelphia's last 7 games when playing Toronto.

Thirteen of the last 17 Leafs away tilts have featured six goals or more. Nine of the last 11 games in this series  have seen seven goals or more.

01-03-25 Predators v. Canucks OVER 5.5 3-0 Loss -120 5 h 41 m Show

The Canucks don't seem to be a well conditioned team and  have yet to win a game on the second half of back-to-backs this season losing all 3 attempts while allowing 5, 5,3 goals respectively.  The Canucks offense despite being banged up plays an aggressive game plan, and should also reciprocate with enough goals for this game to eclipse the total.Nashville beat the Canucks  back in November, scoring four goals  and then adding an empty netter in a 5-3 victory and Im betting on a similar score here this evening and a combined score that eclipses the totals offering. Rick Tocchet road games when playing their 3rd game in 4 days are 6-0 over with a combined average  7.5 gpg scored.

Play on the over

12-28-24 Penguins v. Islanders OVER 6 3-6 Win 100 3 h 20 m Show

Five of the last six and seven of the L/10 tilts have had a combined seven goals or more scored. Nine of the last 10  meetings have had at least six combined goals. Three of the last six meetings have needed to be settled in extra time. Considering their teams inconsistencies in D, and previous confrontations vs each other, a higher scoring tilt is a viable wager. 

Play on the over 

12-17-24 Capitals v. Blackhawks OVER 5.5 2-3 Loss -120 5 h 10 m Show

Each of the Blackhawks' last five home games against opponents like Washington who are on the second leg of a back-to-back have gone OVER the total.All six Capitals tilts this season in the second half of the back-to-back have had a combined six goals or more . 

11-13-24 Red Wings v. Penguins OVER 6.5 3-2 Loss -105 1 h 15 m Show

Eight of the last nine meetings in this series  have seen a combined nine or more goals go on the board. Concerning Pittsburgh,Tristan Jarry will get the start tonight as he gets called up from the minors. In his three games this season before going to the AHL he recorded a  1-1 record along  with a 5.47 GAA and an.836 save percentage. After getting shut out last time out, the Red Wings Im betting will be alot more aggressive and produce a decent amount of production here, with the Pens keeping pace .Mike Sullivan in home games against poor offensive teams - scoring 2.55 goals or less a game have score an average of 4.2 gpg and a combined average of 6.5 gpg. 

Play on over

11-12-24 Devils v. Panthers OVER 6 4-1 Loss -108 2 h 57 m Show

Panthers explosive offense will be key here to this tilt eclipsing the total. The Panthers have gone over in 11 of 15 games so far this season.  LATE STEAM -Play over

10-28-24 Blackhawks v. Avalanche UNDER 6.5 5-2 Loss -110 9 h 44 m Show

The Avalanche now on a 5 game win streak to continue their winning way vs a  Blackhawks side that they  have had a great deal of success vs in the recent past .  Colorado has won four of the last five in this series vs Chicago with 4 of the games resulting in shutouts . The Blackhawks have lost six straight visits to  Colorado, and were shut out in 4 of those tilts. Considering how badly the  Blackhawks  offense has struggled this season , putting goals on the board here should be difficult according to my projections.  Note: The Blackhawks have scored two goals or less in six of their seven losses this season.

10-27-24 Senators v. Avalanche UNDER 6.5 4-5 Loss -102 4 h 29 m Show

The Avalanche scored four or more goals in their last six victories versus the Senators. Nine of the last 10 and 17 of the last 20 meetings have gone over the offered  total and 14 of those games have had a combined seven goals go on the scoreboard. Im projecting at least 7 goals going on the board today. 

Play over

10-24-24 Panthers v. Rangers OVER 5.5 3-1 Loss -120 3 h 45 m Show

The Rangers and Panthers’ last 19 regular season meetings have had a combined six goals or more scored and my projections estimate at least 6 goals going on the board tonight. Note: PAUL MAURICE in away or neutral games after allowing 3 goals or more 4 straight games has seen a combined average of 6.4 gpg scored. (spanning a 13 game sample size)The Blueshirts have scored four or more in all six games this season, rince and repeat if your considering a over bet on a team total to go along with this game total. 

Play over

10-16-24 Bruins v. Avalanche OVER 6.5 5-3 Win 100 4 h 58 m Show

LATE STEAM - OVER

10-16-24 Sabres v. Penguins UNDER 6.5 5-6 Loss -120 4 h 51 m Show

The Sabres were held to a single goal in each of their first three tilts but finally broke through offensively. It is however, obvious that this team is not built for explosive offensive efforts and are and will be a more defensive minded team this season, and here against a talented Pens offense will play a conservative game plan, which Im betting leads to a lower scoring affair.

Buffalo games after playing 2 consecutive home games have gone under 16 of theL/20  with a combined average of 4.9 gpg scored. 

The Buffalo Sabres have hit the Game Total Under in 48 of their last 85 games (+14.85 Units / 16% ROI) dating back to last season.

Play under

10-08-24 Blues v. Seattle Kraken OVER 5.5 3-2 Loss -120 10 h 49 m Show

In the one game in this series played in Seattle last season the Blues won 4-3. Im betting on a similar outcome and close game here today in a score that projects to at least hit the 6 goal plateau. Saint Louis games in a road game where where the total is 5.5 have gone over 8 straight times dating back to last season with a combined average of 8.2 gpg scored. 

Play over

06-01-24 Rangers v. Panthers UNDER 5.5 1-2 Win 100 8 h 14 m Show

  Florida goaltender Sergei Bobrovsky has been in top form in  this series vs NYR. Bobrovsky has a record of  11-5 this postseason with a .915 SV% and 2.37 GAA and has  allowed two or fewer goals in 12 of those 16 trips to the ice. Bobrovsky also owns a  .917 SV% over the past seven meetings against the Rangers a team that has failed to get very many high chance opportunities (60 min 5x5) ranking 12th out of the 16 post season teams. Meanwhile, going into the last game the Panthers  were generating the most shots on goal, averaging about 32.8 per game, but  have has  problems converting - scoring just 2.75 goals per game thanks in great part to how well Rangers Russian super star goalie is playing ( Shesterkin). With that said, Im betting on more low scoring action as both goalies project to continue to shine. 

Play on the UNDER 

05-27-24 Stars v. Oilers UNDER 5.5 5-3 Loss -101 11 h 36 m Show

The first two games of this series were grinding defensive games, with both tilts staying on the low sie of the number. Dallas is not going to win this series in wide open fashion against the explosive Oilers, and Im betting on their game plan once again being very conservative and to play this  game in restrained and disciplined  transitory fashion. This Im betting leads to another lower scoring affair that fails to eclipse this total.DALLAS is 8-1 UNDER  in road games when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 75%) this season with the combined average of 4.5 gpg scored. On the fliside the Oilers can also be physical and defensive minded and Im betting the Stars will aso be bound into a very limited opportunity to score. Edmonton has not eclipsed the Total in 6 straight and have allowed 1 goal in 4 of those games. 

Play under

04-26-24 Oilers v. Kings OVER 6.5 6-1 Win 105 16 h 34 m Show

. Both offenses are playing extremely well ,while both goaltenders are struggling vs explosive tick tack toe play with 11 goals scored in game 1 and 9 goals scored in game 2.

Note:Kings goalie Cam Talbot,  has now allowed three or more goals in eight of his last 10 starts dating back to the regular season. Talbot has garnered a ugly .883 SV% and 3.36 GAA over that time

Oilers golatender Skinner Dating back to the regular season  owns a  1-2 record  and nasty looking  .829 SV% and 5.49 GAA. Hes backed by a D, that looks in disarray at times which is reflected in thier 12th ranled Expected Goals Against per 60 minutes (xGA/60) at 5-on-5. ( 
that points to offense that is slow or lazy in transition. 

EDMONTON is 15-4 OVER  after 2 straight games where both teams scored 3 goals or more over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 8 gpg scored. 

Play over

04-22-24 Islanders v. Hurricanes UNDER 5.5 3-5 Loss -120 11 h 8 m Show

Game one saw the Isles lose 3-1 with one of the goals they gave up being an empty netter. With  Carolina goaltender Frederik Andersen  making 33 saves in game one he looks like he is in a groove .Meanwhile,  Isles Im betting will struggle to score once again, while Carolina Im betting will find the sledding tough against a veteran Isles team that knows how to grind it out in play off hockey. Also the goaltending tandem of Sorokin and Varlamov are also considered to be a top tier pair of puck stoppers.

CAROLINA is 21-4 UNDER   against excellent power play teams - scoring on 19% or better  of their chances in the 2nd half of the year this season with a combined average of 5 gpg scored.

CAROLINA is 8-1 UNDER  in home games in April games over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 4.6 gpg scored. 

The Carolina Hurricanes have hit the Game Total Under in 53 of their last 95 games (+10.20 Units / 10% ROI)

Play under

04-14-24 Hurricanes v. Blackhawks OVER 5.5 4-2 Win 100 7 h 12 m Show

Chicago has allowed 4, 5,5 goals in their L/3 trips to the ice and Im betting nothing changes today vs the Carolina Canes. With nothing left to play for Im betting the Blackhawks being very loose and  aggressive offensively vs the Canes, with little tp no forechecking , and for the Canes to very likely over looking their opponents which could lead to a bigger output by the home side than the linesmakers anticipate. CHICAGO is 6-0 OVER in home games after a blowout loss by 4 goals or more in their previous game this season with a combined average of 7.2 gog scored. ( Lost to Nashville last time out by a 5-2 count)

CAROLINA is 8-1 OVER in road games after 2 straight blowout wins by 3 goals or more over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 8.2 gpg scored. (Carolinas just beat Boston 4-1 and St.Louis 5-2)

Carolina beat Chicago 6-3 earlier this season, and a rinse repeat combined score is not out of the question)

NHL Home teams where the total is 5.5 (CHICAGO) - after allowing 4 goals or more 3 straight games against opponent after playing a game where 7 or more total goals were scored are 24-4 OVER L/5 seasons for a 86% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play over

Play over

04-11-24 Jets v. Stars UNDER 6 3-0 Win 100 11 h 24 m Show

Winnipeg has won 4 straight games, and are very offensively productive during this run! However, the Stars goalie Oettinger is 8-0-0 with a pair of shutouts. He has posted a 1.63 goals-against average and a .939 save percentage during that span and is obviously in top form and hard to score on. Winnipeg puck stopper Hellebuyck is also starting to gear up in top form as the play offs approach, going 3-0-0 over his past three starts with a 2.31 GAA and a .935 save percentage. 

WINNIPEG is 8-1 L/9 UNDER after a 4 game unbeaten streak this season. WINNIPEG is 7-1 UNDER in road games after scoring 4 goals or more in 3 straight games over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 5 goals per game scored. 

Dallas is 5-1 UNDER in their L/6 games.

The L/3 most recent meetings in this series have not seen more than 5 goals scored.

Play under

03-11-24 Islanders v. Kings OVER 6 0-3 Loss -100 14 h 34 m Show

The Isles offense is full spectrum effect right now as they have averaged 5.4 gpg in their L/5 overall and Im betting that momentum will continue here tonight vs a LA team that has scored 4 or more goals in 3 of their L/5 trips to the ice. NY ISLANDERS are 14-6 OVER  against good possession teams-averaging 3+ more shots on goal than opp over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 7 gpg scored. NY ISLANDERS are 5-0 OVER  after allowing 2 goals or less in 2 straight games this season with a combined average of 7.8 gpg scored. NY ISLANDERS are 6-0 OVER in road games after scoring 4 goals or more in 3 straight games over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 7.9 gog scored.  .NY ISLANDERS are 11-1 OVER  after a 2 game unbeaten streak this season with a combined average of 7.1 gog scored. 

NHL Road teams where the total is 6 or more (NY ISLANDERS) - quick starting team-outscoring opp by 0.2+ goals/game in first period - 2nd half of the season, after scoring 4 goals or more in 4 straight games are 26-8 OVER L/5 seasons for a 83% conversion rate for bettors with a combined average of 7.9 gpg scored.

The last two meetings in this series in LA have eclipsed the total. 

Play over

03-10-24 Islanders v. Ducks OVER 6 6-1 Win 100 10 h 49 m Show

New York has scored  24 goals  the past five games with a combined average of 6.8 gpg scored by both them and their opponents and Im betting they keep the productive offensive momentum going tonight vs a Ducks side that has allowed an average of 3.5 gpg on the season. 

NY ISLANDERS are 10-1 OVER after a 2 game unbeaten streak this season with a combined average of 7.1 gpg scored. NY ISLANDERS are 10-1 OVER  when playing against a bad team (Win Pct. 25% to 40%) this season with a combined average of 7.6 gpg scored. 

NHL Road teams against the total (NY ISLANDERS) - quick starting team-outscoring opp by 0.2+ goals/game in first period - 2nd half of the season, after scoring 4 goals or more in 4 straight games are 32-7 OVER L/5 seasons for a 82% conversion rate for bettors with a combined average of +7.8 ppg scored.

Play on the OVER 

02-27-24 Coyotes v. Canadiens OVER 6 2-4 Push 0 11 h 29 m Show

Arizona in their L/5 games have allowed an average of 5 gpg with a combined average of 7.6 gpg going on the scoreboard. . Meanwhile, Montreal has allowed 4.4 gpg with those games seeing a combined average of 7 gpg scored. Considering both sides lack of efficient defensive play Im betting on both sides to go above their season average offensive ouptut in a game I have projected to go over the total.( both sides are estimated to score 3 + goals)

ARIZONA is 8-1 OVER in road games when they score 3 goals this season with a combined average of 7.4 gpg going on the board.ARIZONA is 20-1 OVER  when both teams score 3 or more goals this season with a combined average of 8.2 gog scored.  MONTREAL is 21-0 OVER  when both teams score 3 or more goals this season with a combined average of 7.2 gpg scored.

MONTREAL is 35-21 OVER  against struggling defensive teams - allowing 2.85+ goals/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 7.1 gpg going on the scoreboard. MONTREAL is 10-3 OVER  after 4 or more consecutive losses over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 7.8 gpg scored. 

ARIZONA is 17-7 OVER  in road games against sub par defensive teams - allowing 2.85+ goals/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 7.2 gpg scored.  ARIZONA is 7-0 OVER  in February games over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 8.3 gpg scored.

 NHL Home teams where the total is 6 or more (MONTREAL) - after 3 or more consecutive losses, a bad team, winning 30% to 40% of their games on the season in the second half of the season are 59-18 OVER L/5 seasons for a 74% conversion rate for bettors.

NHL team against the total (ARIZONA) - after 7 or more consecutive losses, a bad team, winning 30% to 40% of their games on the season in the second half of the season 87-44 OVER L/27 seasons for a 67% conversion rate for bettors.

Play over

02-13-24 Lightning v. Bruins OVER 6 3-2 Loss -100 11 h 4 m Show

Both these teams can score in bunches, behind strong power plays. Both meetings this season have gone over the total with 9  and 10 goals scored. TAMPA BAY is 31-19 OVER  against excellent power play teams- scoring on 17.5% or more of their chances in the 2nd half of the year over the last 2 seasons.

Note: I know Boston has strong goaltending but, Tampa Bay can light up the best of Goalies, and with the Bruins taking the 5th most penalties in the NHL the Bolts will Im betting get some opportunities to score. behind a power play at that converts  30% of its opportunities. Also Tampa Bays expected starter Andrei Vasilevskiy still at less than 100% after back surgery  and the Bruins behind a power play that converts at a 25.1 % rate will also bury some biscuits, . 

NHL Home teams against the total (BOSTON) - good closing team-outscoring opp by 0.2+ goals/game in third period - 2nd half of the season, after a blowout loss by 3 goals or more in their previous game are 53-26 OVER L/5 seasons for a 67% conversion rate for bettors.

NHL Road teams where the total is 6 or more (TAMPA BAY) - revenging a loss where opponent scored 5 or more goals, with a winning percentage of between 45-55% on the season in the second half of the season are 64-36  OVER L/5 seasons for a 64% conversion rate for bettors.

Play over

02-10-24 Canucks v. Red Wings UNDER 6.5 3-4 Loss -100 3 h 8 m Show

Vancouver was shut out last time vs Boston, and have only scored more than 3 goals 1 time in their L/5. Yes, they have been an explosive offensive side this season, but all teams have lulls in production and Im betting thats the situation now as they play their 3rd straight game on the road and will be 3rd game in 5 days on tired legs. Meanwhile, the Detroit Red Wings Im betting will have a defensive mind set in play today vs a team they know can light up the board in a hurry. This Motown group has seen 6 of their L/8 games stay under the total.

NHL Road teams where the total is 6 or more (VANCOUVER) - top caliber team - outscoring their opponents by 0.65+ goals/game, after a blowout loss by 4 goals or more in their previous game 35-9 UNDER L/27 seasons for a 80% conversion rate. 

 Play under

01-30-24 Seattle Kraken v. Sharks OVER 5.5 0-2 Loss -120 15 h 15 m Show

Both sides are playing decent hockey at the moment, and are scoring goals with consistency, but both defenses remains vulnerable especially in division play  . For example The Sharks have allowed an average of 4.7 gpg in 15 division matches this season , while the Kraken have allowed an  average  3 goals per game on 31.4 shots per game. My projections estimate 6 plus goals here tonight. 

SEATTLE is 5-0 OVER  against horrible offensive teams - scoring 2.4 or less goals/game this season with a combined average of 8 gpg scored. 

 SAN JOSE is 14-5 OVER  against poor defensive teams - 29 or more  shots on goal, convert 17% or more  pp in the 2nd half of the year over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 7.1 gpg scored. SAN JOSE is 26-13 OVER  vs. division opponents over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 7.1 gog scored. 

Home teams against the total (SAN JOSE) - poor offensive team - scoring 2.55 or less goals/game on the season - 2nd half of the season, after a blowout loss by 3 goals or more in their previous game are 29-7 OVER L/5 seasons for a 81% conversion rate for bettors.

Play over

01-27-24 Blackhawks v. Flames OVER 6 0-1 Loss -102 12 h 4 m Show

The Blackhawks mostly struggle to score but against a Calgary side that has allowed an average of 4 gpg in their L/4 should have a break through offensive performance which in turn will helps us eclipse this totals offering.

 CHICAGO is 15-6 OVER  after getting shutout in their previous game over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 6.8 gpg scored. (Chicago was shut out last time out)

CALGARY is 17-3 OVER against poor offensive teams - scoring 2.55 or less  goals/game over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 6.8 gpg scored. CALGARY is 10-2 OVER against horrible offensive teams - scoring 2.4 or less goals/game over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 6.3 gpg scored. 

NHL Road teams where the total is 6 or more (CHICAGO) - after 3 or more consecutive losses, lower tier team, winning 30% or less of their games in the second half of the season are 25-5 OVER L/5 seasons for a 83% conversion rate for bettors.

These teams have gone over in 6 straight meetings including the L/2 here in Alberta. 

Play on the  OVER 

01-23-24 Sabres v. Ducks OVER 6.5 2-4 Loss -100 15 h 34 m Show

Anaheim has allowed 27 goals in the 6 games 4.5 gpg average and according to my projections will once again give us 4 to 5 goals here tonight vs the Sabres- and help us eclipse this total. 

ANAHEIM L/16 in home games against good offensive teams - averaging 29.5+ shots on goal per game in the 2nd half of the year over the last 2 seasons have seen a combined average of 7 gpg scored. 

BUFFALO in their L/5  road games after playing a game where 4 or fewer total goals were scored over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 9.2 gpg. ( Buffalo  3-1 L/time out vs TB. ) 

NHL Home teams where the total is 6 or more (ANAHEIM) - after 3 or more consecutive losses, a bad team, winning 30% to 40% of their games on the season in the second half of the season are 53-19 OVER L/5 seasons for a 74% conversion rate.

The last two most recent meetings on this series have seen 10 and 9 goals scored. 

Play on the over 

01-22-24 Jets v. Bruins UNDER 5.5 1-4 Win 100 8 h 45 m Show

The Jets have not allowed more than 2 goals in 22 straight games, and Im betting that mark stays intact here tonight. On the flip-side the Bruins are also playing a top tir brand of D, allowing an average of 2.2 gpg in their L/5 overall and 2.4 gpg at home this season overall. The two most recent meetings here in Bean-town has stayed under, and another low scoring affair is now on deck. 

Play under

01-10-24 Wild v. Stars UNDER 6.5 2-7 Loss -120 15 h 45 m Show

Dallas beat Minnesota 4-0 on Jan 8 in the land of lakes, and now the rematch takes place in Texas. This will be both sides 3rd game in 5 nights, and Im betting they are both on tired legs and not in any shape for a wide open affair which will result in a a projected lower scoring affair. 

MINNESOTA is 22-11 UNDER   in road games versus very good teams - outscoring their opponents by 0.5+ goals/game over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 5.7 gpg scored.  MINNESOTA is 41-28 UNDER in road games when playing their 3rd game in 5 days over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 5.4 gpg scored.

The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Dallas's last 13 games when playing at home against Minnesota. The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Minnesota's last 5 games when playing Dallas

NHL team against the total (MINNESOTA) - revenging a loss vs opponent as a home favorite, a marginal losing team (40% to 49%) playing a winning team are 91-47 UNDER L/27 seasons for a 66% conversion rate.

Play on the under

01-09-24 Canucks v. Islanders OVER 6.5 5-2 Win 100 10 h 13 m Show

Vancouver is the highest scoring team in the NHL, and the Isles have exhibited some bad defensive habits of late as they open up their offense and play looser  more wide open hockey. This according to my projections makes for what Im betting will be a higher scoring affair.

My projections estimate both sides will score 3 goals or more: VANCOUVER is 15-0 OVER   when both teams score 3 or more goals this season with a combined average of 8 ppg going on the scoreboard. NY ISLANDERS are 19-0 OVER ( when both teams score 3 or more goals this season with a combined average of 8.3 gpg scored.

The total has gone OVER in 5 of NY Islanders's last 5 games when playing Vancouver. The total has gone OVER in 5 of Vancouver's last 5 games when playing on the road against NY Islanders.The total has gone OVER in 14 of NY Islanders's last 19 game.The total has gone OVER in 5 of NY Islanders's last 6 games at home. The total has gone OVER in 5 of Vancouver's last 6 games on the road.

NHL team against the total (VANCOUVER) - after playing 3 consecutive road games against opponent after playing 4 consecutive road games are 78-41 OVER L/5 seasons for a 66% conversion rate for bettors.

OVER 

01-04-24 Blackhawks v. Rangers OVER 6.5 1-4 Loss -100 11 h 44 m Show

Chicago enters this game having seen an average of 7.2 gpg scored in their L/5 trips to the golden pond. Meanwhile, the Rangers offense continues to uptrend and have averaged 3.6 gpg game, with a combined average of 6.6 gpg scored in their L/5. They Rangers are off a down effort last time only scoring 1 goal in a 6-1 loss at home to Carolina and will be in a big bounce mode tonight and will have little mercy here in their approach to this game which for me projects to be a big scoring output. Note: The Rangers have gone over in 6 of their L/7 with one push. 

CHICAGO is 8-2 OVER  after a blowout loss by 3 goals or more in their previous game this season with a combined average of 7 gog scored.

NHL Road teams against the total (CHICAGO) - after 2 straight blowout losses by 3 goals or more against opponent after a huge blowout loss by 5 goals or more in their previous game are 21-4 OVER L/27 seasons for a 84% conversion rate for bettors.

NHL Home teams where the total is 6 or more (NY RANGERS) - after a loss by 2 goals or more in their previous game against opponent after playing a game where 4 or fewer total goals were scored are 118-70 OVER L/5 seasons for a 63% conversion rate for bettors.

Play over

12-27-23 Jets v. Blackhawks OVER 6 1-2 Loss -110 14 h 52 m Show

Winnipeg blitzed Atlantic Division-leading Boston 5-1 and Im betting they light up the board again, which will help propel this combined score over the set  Totals offering. Note: Winnipeg has scored 5 or more goals in 4 of their L/5 trips to the ice. Chicago has allowed 4.71 GPG in their L/7 overall while allowing 7 goal outputs by their opponents twice during that span. Im betting the Jets are good for 5 or 6 goals here, which by itself puts us in a position to cash this ticket , even if the Hawks struggle to score.


CHICAGO is 22-10 OVER   against top caliber teams - outscoring opponents by 0.65+ goals/game over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 6.6 gpg scored. 

Road teams where the total is 6 or more (WINNIPEG) - hot team - covering 8 or more of their last 10 against the spread, playing with 3 or more days rest are 25-6 OVER L/26 seasons for a 81% conversion rate for bettors.

 Road teams where the total is 6 or more (WINNIPEG) - hot team - having won 8 or more of their last 10 games, playing with 3 or more days rest are 26-6 OVER L/26 seasons for a 81% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the OVER 

12-22-23 Bruins v. Jets UNDER 5.5 1-5 Loss -100 11 h 46 m Show

Winnipeg has allowed more than 3 goals only twice in their L/11 games overall and have not allowed more than 3 goals in any of those tilts and Im betting nothing changes tonight against the visiting Boston Bruins. Meanwhile, the Bruins have only allowed more than 3 goals one time in their L/9 trips to the ice, and Im betting their current brand of top defensive play will continue tonight against a opponent Im sure they will be paying special attention to in transition. Both games between these sides last season stayed under the total.

WINNIPEG is 7-0 UNDER  off a home win by 2 goals or more this season with a combined average of 4.8 ppg scored.( Jets beat the Wings 5-2 last time out)

NHL Road teams against the total (BOSTON) - off 2 or more consecutive home losses, in a game involving two good teams (60% to 70%) are 28-6 UNDER L/27 seasons for a 83% conversion rate for bettors.

Play under

12-20-23 Seattle Kraken v. Kings UNDER 6 2-1 Win 100 11 h 57 m Show

Only twice has Seattle scored more than 3 goals in a game and here tonight against a top tier D that is owned by the LA Kings more offensive flow problems will be on the agenda. The Kings allow an average of 2.4 gog and only score an average of 3.2 gpg at home, and against division opposition have allowed an average of just 2 gpg. Everything points to a a very low scoring divisional affair.SEATTLE is 18-7 UNDER ( in road games when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 75%) over the last 2 seasons.

NHL Home teams where the total is 6 or more (LOS ANGELES) - good defensive team - opponents average 26.5 or less shots on goal are 273-183 UNDER L/27 seasons for a 60% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play under

12-20-23 Islanders v. Capitals UNDER 6 2-3 Win 100 9 h 45 m Show

The Capitals' average of 2.39 goals per game this season which is only slightly  better than only the San Jose Sharks and Chicago Blackhawks. However, they continue to get decent result because they also have strong goaltending and D. Tonight against a Islanders team that has been playing more wide open hockey of late I expect the Capitals to be even more focused in transition which Im betting results in a another low scoring event for the Caps. Four of the L/5 meetings in this series have not eclipsed the 6 goal plateau.WASHINGTON is 18-9 UNDER  in all games this season with a combined average of 5.4 gog scored. 

Play under

12-20-23 Red Wings v. Jets UNDER 6.5 2-5 Loss -108 8 h 21 m Show

Winnipeg's success this season is based on a top tier brand of defensive hockey  that has allowed an average of just 2.6 gpg. In their L/12 trips to the golden pond they have not allowed more than 3 goals and Im betting nothing changes tonight in what my projections estimate  should be a tight transitional game vs the Detroit Red Wings that has only score more than 3 goals once in their L/6 games.

WINNIPEG is 9-3 UNDER  when playing against a team with a losing record this season.WINNIPEG is 5-0 UNDER  after having won 6 or 7 of their last 8 games this season.

Play under

12-13-23 Penguins v. Canadiens UNDER 6.5 4-3 Loss -115 11 h 2 m Show

Before going 2 for 5 on the pp, last time out in a 4-2 win vs  Arizona Pittsburgh had been in an 0-for-37 power-play drought over 13-plus games with a man-advantage. Meanwhile, the Habs who are off a 2-1 loss last time out went 0-5 for 5 on the power play in that game. Both sides are obviously struggling on the pp, and overall they have both been less than consistent with Les Canadiens averaging just 2.4 gpg in offense in their L/5 while the Pens have averaged 2 gpg over the same span. Im betting on more power play struggles tonight and for both offenses to continue to find less flow.PITTSBURGH is 17-8 UNDER in all games this season with a combined average of 5.5 gpg scored.PITTSBURGH is 10-4 UNDER  in a road game where where the total is 6 or more this season.PITTSBURGH is 13-6 UNDER against mistake free teams - opponents average 4 or less  power plays/game this season with a combined average of 5.7 gog going on the board. The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Pittsburgh's last 5 games on the roadThe total has gone UNDER in 7 of Montreal's last 9 games.

Play under

12-06-23 Stars v. Panthers UNDER 6 4-5 Loss -101 11 h 44 m Show

Florida had gone 11 straight games without allowing more than 3 goals and than last time out allowed 4 goals, but now Im betting they get back into their strong defensive groove vs a strong offensive Dallas unit. Panthers starting goalie Sergei Bobrovsky owns a a 2.41 goals-against average this season , and will be key to this being a lower scoring affair.

Advantage under. 


FLORIDA is 5-0 UNDER versus very good teams - outscoring their opponents by 0.5+ goals/game this season with a combined average of 3.4 gpg scored. FLORIDA is 8-1 UNDER  against explosive offensive teams - scoring 3+ goals/game this season with a combined average of 3.9 gpg scored. 

NHL Road teams where the total is 6 or more (DALLAS) - very good team - outscoring their opponents by 0.5+ goals/game, after a blowout loss by 4 goals or more in their previous game are 51-18 L/27 seasons for a 74% conversion rate for bettors with a combined average of 5.5 gpg scored. 

Play under

12-02-23 Blues v. Coyotes UNDER 6.5 1-4 Win 100 12 h 36 m Show

 GOALTENDERS: ST LOUIS - JORDAN BINNINGTON, ARIZONA - KAREL VEJMELKA

The Coyotes have only scored  three more than 3 goals in 3 of  their L/11 overall and against a St.Louis team that allows an average of just over 3 gpg on the road this season Im betting they stay within their usual fairly low scoring parameters. Yes, the Coyotes started fast offensively this season, but now they are in full regression mode. Also the last time these teams met a 6-5 score went on the board, but both sides will be more weary here in the rematch.

ST LOUIS is 8-1 UNDER after allowing 4 goals or more this season. (St.Louis scored a 6-4 victory last time out and offensive regression and a better defensive effort is a projected expectation) Goaltender Jordan Binnington made 42 saves to earn the victory, but the Blues know they need to give him more help and this will be key here this evening.

Under is 11-5-2 in Blues last 18 vs. Western Conference.Under is 5-2-1 in Blues last 8 overall.

Under is 8-3-1 in Blues last 12 games playing on 1 days rest.

NHL  team against the total (ARIZONA) - revenging a loss vs opponent as a home favorite, a marginal losing team (40% to 49%) playing a winning team are 85-43 UNDER L/26 seasons for a 67% conversion rate for bettors with the average combined score clicking in at 4.9 gpg. 

Play under

11-30-23 Stars v. Flames UNDER 6 3-4 Loss -100 12 h 54 m Show

The Stars generally play a tight defensive system that has seen them allow more than 3 goals just two times in their L/11 games overall. One of those 2 games saw Calgary score 7 goals in a loss, and here today in the rematch Im betting on a more concerted defensive effort from the Stars in a game that points towards a much lower scoring affair. DALLAS is 6-0 UNDER  in road games revenging a home loss versus opponent of 2 goals or more over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 4.4 gpg scored.

NHL Road teams against the total (DALLAS) - revenging a loss versus opponent as a favorite, off a road win where they shut out their opponent are 31-9 UNDER L/26 seasons for a 78% conversion rate for bettors with the average combined score clicking in at 4.6 gpg. 

Play on the under

11-30-23 Panthers v. Canadiens UNDER 6.5 5-1 Win 100 10 h 16 m Show

Florida enters this game on tired legs , and have had a hard time converting on offense.   They take alot of shots but with a very low success rate  of  8.6 percent  ranks near the bottom of the league. Im betting their woes continue tonight against the Habs. On the flioside the Panthers D ,  and  strong play of goaltenders Sergei Bobrovsky and Anthony Stolarz and a red hot stopping penalty-kill unit which is a perfect  20-for-20 on penalty kills over the past five games and 43-for-48 on the kill over the past 16 games makes this contest vs Montreal a tilt that has a viable chance at staying under the total. Note: FLORIDA is 9-3 UNDER  against excellent power play teams- scoring on 17.5% or better  of their chances this season like the Canadiens. FLORIDA is 6-0 UNDER  vs. division opponents this season with a combined average of 3.8 opg scored. 

NHL Road teams where the total is 6 or more (FLORIDA) - extremely tired team - playing their 3rd road game in 4 days, a marginal winning team (51% to 60%) playing a losing team in the first half of the season are 23-4 UNDER L/27 seasons for a 85% conversion rate with the combined  average gpg ringing in at 5.2 . 

Play under

11-22-23 Flyers v. Islanders OVER 5.5 2-3 Loss -115 9 h 0 m Show

The Islanders are well rested and will have fresh legs here tonight against the Flyers.There has been pressure on HC Lane Lambert to be more aggressive offensively and thats what Im betting will trigger a high scoring affair than the lines-makers anticipate. 

Isles have allowed 4 ore more goals in 8 straight games. With the flyers currently hitting on all cylinders Im betting that current run of allowing 4 or more goals will continue and force the Isles into opening up. 


NY ISLANDERS are 5-0 OVER  when playing against a team with a winning record this season like the Flyers. 

Over is 4-0-1 in Islanders last 5 vs. a team with a winning record. NHL Road teams where the total is 6 or more on the open (PHILADELPHIA) - after scoring 3 goals or more in 5 straight games against opponent after playing 3 straight games where 7 or more total goals were scored are 50-23 OVER L/27 seasons for a 69% conversion rate for bettors. 

NHL Home teams where the total is 6 or more  on the open (NY ISLANDERS) - sub par team - outscored by their opponents by 0.65+ goals/game, after winning their previous game in overtime are 35-11 L/5 seasons for a 76% conversion rate for bettors.

Play over 

11-16-23 Blues v. Sharks OVER 6 1-5 Push 0 14 h 49 m Show

 The Blues have won five their last  six games  while outscoring opponents 27-12 and have scored 13 goals in their L/2 and Im betting on another top tier offensive output here as they are flowing well in offensive zone. Meanwhile, San Jose currently on a 0-3 run while allowing 14 combined goals in that span look vulnerable to being litup again in what Im betting will see a combined score that eclipses this offered total. 

ST LOUIS is 9-0 OVER  after having won 3 of their last 4 games over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 8.5 gpg scored.ST LOUIS is 11-4 OVER  after a non-conference game over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 7.2 gpg scored. 

NHL Road teams where the total is 6 or more (ST LOUIS) - after allowing 2 goals or less in 2 straight games against opponent after allowing 4 goals or more 3 straight games are 31-9 OVER L/5 seasons for a 78% conversion rate. 

Play over

11-12-23 Canucks v. Canadiens OVER 6.5 5-2 Win 100 10 h 26 m Show

Both these teams are on tired legs and because of this Im betting we will see a less concerted effort to be physical and less determined defensive work in transition. This Im betting results in alot of scoring chances and goals.Im projecting both teams reach at leas the 3 goal plateau . Note: VANCOUVER is 33-1 OVER  when both teams score 3 or more goals over the last 2 seasons with a combined average 8.7 gpg scored. MONTREAL is 26-0 OVER (+26.3 Units) when both teams score 3 or more goals over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 8.9 gpg scored. 

Over is 4-0-1 in Canucks last 5 vs. Atlantic.Over is 5-1-1 in Canucks last 7 overall.Over is 3-1-1 in Canucks last 5 in the third game of a 3-in-4 days situation.Over is 9-3-5 in Canucks last 17 after allowing 5 goals or more in their previous game.Over is 35-13-4 in Canucks last 52 when their opponent allows 2 goals or less in their previous game.Over is 33-14-4 in Canucks last 51 vs. Eastern Conference.Over is 34-15-5 in Canucks last 54 vs. a team with a losing record.Over is 32-15-7 in Canucks last 54 road games.

VANCOUVER is 11-3 OVER  when playing their 3rd road game in 5 days over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 7.5 gpg.VANCOUVER is 21-8 OVER  after playing 3 straight games where 7 or more total goals were scored over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 7.3 gog scored. 

MONTREAL is 6-0 OVER   when playing on back-to-back days over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 7.5 gpg scored. 

Over is 5-1-1 in Canadiens last 7 in the third game of a 3-in-4 days situation.Over is 8-2-1 in Canadiens last 11 in the fourth game of a 4-in-6 days situation.

Over is 5-2 in the last 7 meetings in Montreal.Over is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings.

Play over

11-06-23 Lightning v. Maple Leafs UNDER 6.5 5-6 Loss -100 10 h 18 m Show

My projections are estimating a hard fought game between two strong sides. This Im betting results in a lower scoring tight affair that will see both teams playing physical hockey and transitional hockey. 

TORONTO is 40-26 UNDER in home games against good passing teams - averaging 5 or more assists per game over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 5.9 gog scored. TORONTO is 38-25 UNDER in home games against explosive offensive teams - scoring 3+ goals/game over the last 2 seasons with s combined average of 6.1 gpg scored. 

Under is 3-1-2 in Lightning last 6 vs. Eastern Conference.Under is 7-1-1 in Maple Leafs last 9 games playing on 1 days rest.Under is 10-2-1 in Maple Leafs last 13 vs. Eastern Conference.Under is 14-3-1 in Maple Leafs last 18 overall.Under is 9-2-1 in Maple Leafs last 12 vs. Atlantic.Under is 4-1 in Maple Leafs last 5 vs. a team with a losing record.Under is 7-2-1 in Maple Leafs last 10 Monday games.

NHL  Home teams where the total is 6 or more (TORONTO) - off a loss by 2 goals or more to a division rival, in a game involving two marginal losing teams (40 to 49%) in the first half of the season are 26-5 UNDER 27 seasons for a 81% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the under

11-05-23 Devils v. Blackhawks UNDER 6.5 4-2 Win 100 12 h 41 m Show

The Devils enter this game on very tired legs and will not be in their usual wide open offensive mode which will directly effect this total to the under. Note: Chicago has averaged just 2.1 gpg in offense so far this season. 

NEW JERSEY is 34-16 UNDER  when playing their 3rd road game in 4 days with a combined average of 4.8 gpg scored. 

NHL Road teams where the total is 6 or more (NEW JERSEY) - extremely tired team - playing their 3rd road game in 4 days, a marginal are 23-4 L/27 seasons for a go against for a 85% conversion rate.

Play under

11-03-23 Devils v. Blues OVER 6.5 1-4 Loss -120 11 h 51 m Show

The Devils play an all out aggressive offensive game, that has resulted in consistent back and forth affairs. The Blues have allowed 9 goals in their L/2 trips to the ice, and will have to be prepared to open up if they hope to be competitive tonight. This Im betting results in a  combined score that eclipses this offered number. 

NEW JERSEY is 9-0 OVER in all games this season.

ST LOUIS is 16-4 OVER  when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 75%) in the first half of the season over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 7.8 gpg scored. ST LOUIS is 10-3 OVER (+7.0 Units) against poor starting goalies - saving  89.5% or less of shots against over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 7 gpg scored. 

Over is 15-5-2 in Blues last 22 vs. Metropolitan.Over is 35-13-3 in Blues last 51 vs. a team with a winning % above .600.Over is 42-17-5 in Blues last 64 vs. Eastern Conference.Over is 7-3 in Blues last 10 home games following a road trip of 7 or more days.

NHL  team against the total (ST LOUIS) - off 2 consecutive road losses by 2 goals or more against opponent off a road win are 55-25 OVER L/5 seasons for a 69% conversion rate.

NHLRoad teams where the total is 6 or more (NEW JERSEY) - well rested team - playing only their 2nd game in 5 days, on Friday nights are 80-41 L/5 seasons for a 66% conversion rate for bettors. 

Over is 10-4-1 in the last 15 meetings in St. Louis.Over is 3-1-1 in the last 5 meetings.

Play over

10-29-23 Avalanche v. Sabres UNDER 6.5 0-4 Win 113 5 h 39 m Show

Colorado looked tired in a 4-0 loss last time out  at Pittsburgh and with the team now playing their 6th road game in the 8 games they have played so far, Im betting they wont have the legs needed to get into a back forth all out attack mode game plan, and will instead concentrate on playing solid transitional hockey. Im also betting getting back to playing  solid D, will be on the agenda for the Avs after allowing 4 goals in 3 straight games after starting their season, allowing 2 goals or less in their first 4 trips to the ice. I know Buffalo has looked to be an aggressive offensive team, but that will be even more of a reason for the Avs to be careful here, and that in itself has me leaning strongly in favor of a low scoring affair. 

Under is 5-1 in Sabres last 6 home games.

Under is 4-1 in Avalanche last 5 vs. a team with a losing record.Under is 10-3-1 in Avalanche last 14 Sunday games.Under is 8-3 in Avalanche last 11 overall.Under is 5-2 in Avalanche last 7 road games. 

Under is 16-4-2 in Avalanche last 22 after scoring 2 goals or less in their previous game.

COLORADO is 10-1 UNDER in road games after allowing 3 goals or more 3 straight games over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 5.1 gpg scored.COLORADO after allowing 4 goals or more 2 straight games over the last 2 seasons ( 8 games) have seen a combined average of 5.4 gpg scored. 

NHL Road teams where the total is 6 or more (COLORADO) - top caliber team - outscoring their opponents by 0.65+ goals/game, after a blowout loss by 4 goals or more in their previous game are 34-9 UNDER L/26 seasons for a 79% conversion rate for bettors.

Play under

10-28-23 Seattle Kraken v. Panthers OVER 6.5 2-3 Loss -115 8 h 23 m Show

My own projections estimate this total to be closer to 7 which gives us an edge to the over on the 6.5 totals offering. Florida has consistently put the puck in the net scoring 4,4, 3,3,3 goals in their L/5 and Im betting on a +3 out put tonight as they will be ready to skate after a 3 day rest. Meanwhile, Seattle despite of low overall offensive goal production have shown flashes of the offense getting untracked as they have score 7 and 5 goals in 2 of their L/4 overall and I project a 3+ production in this tilt vs a side that will be prepared to open things up tonight on fresh legs. 

SEATTLE is 6-0 OVER  against poor power play teams - scoring on 14.5%  or less of their chances over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 7.1 gpg going on the board. 


FLORIDA is 23-7 OVER  against struggling teams - outscored by opponents by 0.65+ goals/game over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 7.5 gpg  going on the board. 


FLORIDA is 17-6 OVER  in home games on Saturday games over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 7.3 gpg going on the board.

NHL Road teams against the total (SEATTLE) - struggling  offensive team - scoring 2.4 or less  goals/game on the season, after losing their previous game in overtime are 26-8 OVER L/5 seasons for a 77% conversion rate for bettors.

Play over

10-27-23 Blues v. Canucks UNDER 6 0-5 Win 100 11 h 31 m Show

Both these teams are playing disciplined transitional hockey early in this campaign and Im betting nothing changes tonight. the Blues have allowed 2 goals or less in 4 of their 6 games so far. Meanwhile, the Canucks have allowed more than 3 goals in  only one game. 

Under is 5-1-1 in Blues last 7 overall.Under is 4-1-1 in Blues last 6 vs. Western Conference.

Under is 5-1-1 in Canucks last 7 home games following a road trip of 7 or more days.Under is 4-1-2 in Canucks last 7 Friday games.Under is 4-1 in Canucks last 5 vs. a team with a losing record. Under is 5-2-1 in Canucks last 8 vs. Western Conference.

 NHL team against the total (ST LOUIS) - off a road win by 2 goals or more against opponent off 2 or more consecutive road wins are 44-17 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 72/5 conversion rate for bettors.

Under is 19-6-3 in the last 28 meetings in Vancouver.

Play under

10-22-23 Flames v. Red Wings UNDER 6.5 2-6 Loss -105 9 h 48 m Show

Calgary has started their season on a 5 game road trip and enter this tilt playing their 3rd game in 4 nights . Here in the exhausting finale to their current trek Im betting they will  have the legs    needed to play wide open back and forth hockey and will instead revert to a more defensive mind set which is not uncommon for this team .   Meanwhile, the Red Wings are in a  back to back situation so they will also be on tired legs and not prepared to play speedy hockey here tonight and this combination will see a slower more type of game plan implemented by these sides which will result in a lower scoring affair that does not eclipse this total. 

Backup goaltender James Reimer, who recorded a shutout Monday vs the  Columbus  Blue jackets in his Red Wings' debut, is expected to start on Sunday.

Under is 4-0 in Flames last 4 vs. a team with a winning record.Under is 14-4-1 in Flames last 19 in the third game of a 3-in-4 days situation. CALGARY is 12-2 UNDER ( when playing their 3rd road game in 4 days over the last 3 seasons Calgarys L/8 after playing 4 consecutive road games over the last 2 seasons has seen a combined average of 5.1 gpg scored. 

Under is 5-2-1 in Red Wings last 8 after scoring 5 goals or more in their previous game.

Under is 3-1-2 in the last 6 meetings.

NHL Road teams against the total (CALGARY) - after allowing 3 goals or more 3 straight games against opponent after scoring 5 goals or more in 2 straight games are 101-58 UNDER L/27 seasons for a 64% conversion rate for bettors.

Play under

10-21-23 Hurricanes v. Avalanche UNDER 6 4-6 Loss -100 13 h 44 m Show

Colorado has played lights out defensive hockey to start the season allowing 2,1,1, 0 goals in their first 4 tilts and will be ready to play another tight knit game vs an explosive Carolina side that currently leads the NHL in goal production .Meanwhile, Carolina has played alot more wide open hockey, thanks in part in their belief they have the talent to really put alot of pucks in the net  However, . after losing 7-4 in their L/game vs the Kraken, you can bet there will be a more concerted effort towards being more defensive minded in nature will be key here tonight. Im expecting and projecting  a grinding lower scoring affair.

COLORADO is 11-2 UNDER  in home games when playing against a team with a winning record in the first half of the season over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 4.8 gpg scored. 

COLORADO is 25-12 UNDER  in home games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 5.6 gpg scored. 

NHL Road teams where the total is 6 or more (CAROLINA) - tired team - playing their 3rd road game in 5 days, winning between 51% and 60% of their games on the season in the first half of the season are 109-53 UNDER L29 seasons for a 67% conversion rate for bettors.

NHL Home teams where the total is 6 or more (COLORADO) - off a win by 2 goals or more over a division rival against opponent after a road game where both teams score 3 or more goals are 47-21 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 69% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the under

10-19-23 Flames v. Sabres OVER 6.5 4-3 Win 100 1 h 34 m Show

he Sabres, who have yet to find their offensive stride but Im betting they have the talent to uptrend in a higher scoring direction.

BUFFALO is 7-0 OVER in home games after winning their previous game in overtime over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 8.3 gpg scored. 

NHL Home teams where the total is 6 or more (BUFFALO) - horrible team - outscored by their opponents by 0.65+ goals/game, after winning their previous game in overtime are 34-10 OVER L/5 seasons for a 77% conversion rate. 

Play over 

10-18-23 Penguins v. Red Wings UNDER 6.5 3-6 Loss -100 15 h 34 m Show

Both these sides have looked decent defensively and both have already registered shutouts tearly on this season.The Pens have allowed just 2 goals in their L/2 games 4-0 and 5-2 wins. While Motown is off a 4-0 shutout win. Both teams have made statements in the preseason that hedge towards them trying to be more defensive orientated and tonight Im betting we see that type of mind set in their game plans become clear. 

Under is 3-0-1 in Penguins last 4 games playing on 3 or more days rest.Under is 5-0 in Penguins last 5 vs. Eastern Conference.Under is 11-2 in Penguins last 13 after scoring 5 goals or more in their previous game.

PITTSBURGH is 16-7 UNDER  in road games against good possession teams-averaging 3+ more shots on goal than opp over the last 2 seasons.with a combined average of 5.8 gpg scored. PITTSBURGH is 20-8 UNDER in road games against good passing teams - averaging 5 or more assists per game over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 5.7 gpg scored. 

PITTSBURGH is 23-12 UNDER  in road games after playing a game where 7 or more total goals were scored over the last 2 seasons. with a combined average 6 gpg scored. PITTSBURGH is 16-6 UNDER  in road games after a non-conference game over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 5.9 gpg scored. 

DETROIT is 33-19 UNDER  after scoring 4 goals or more in their previous game over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 5.7 gog scored. 

Under is 11-2 in Red Wings last 13 vs. Metropolitan.

NHL Home teams where the total is 6 or more (DETROIT) - off a road blowout win by 3 goals or more, a good team (60% to 70%) playing a team with a winning record are 48-20 UNDER L/31 seasons for a 71% conversion rate. 

Play under

10-17-23 Kings v. Jets OVER 6.5 5-1 Loss -102 13 h 54 m Show

Both these teams defenses have looked less than stellar out of the gate this season with both their games eclipsing the total. The Kings have allowed 5 and 6 goals in their first two tilts (both losses at home) while the Jets have allowed 5 and 4 goals in their first two trips to the golden pond. and have gone 1-1 Note:LOS ANGELES is 6-0 OVER  off a home loss over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 8.2 gpg going on the score board. Over is 5-0 in Kings last 5 after allowing 5 goals or more in their previous game. LOS ANGELES is 13-4 OVER  after a non-conference game over the last 2 seasons with a combined average score of 7.3 gpg scored. ( Played Carolina last time out in 6-5 loss)

Both teams offenses have also looked efficient, and tonight Im betting on more aggressive back and forth action. 

Over is 4-0 in Kings last 4 games playing on 2 days rest.Over is 4-0 in Kings last 4 vs. Western Conference.

Over is 4-0 in Jets last 4 home games.Over is 6-1 in Jets last 7 vs. Pacific.Over is 5-1-1 in Jets last 7 vs. Western Conference.

Play on the OVER 

10-11-23 Oilers v. Canucks UNDER 6.5 1-8 Loss -100 14 h 35 m Show

Each one of these sides have alot of offensive talent , however in the recent pas these clubs have played fairly tight defensive tilts, as is evident by the the under going 6-1-1 in the L/ 8 meetings with the L/3 meetings in here in Vancouver has all stayed on the low side of the Totals offering. Im betting history repeats itself in this early season matchup. 

Under is 4-1 in Canucks last 5 vs. Western Conference.Under is 4-1 in Canucks last 5 vs. Pacific.

VANCOUVER is 21-10 UNDER  in home games first half of the season over the last 3 seasons with an average of 6 gpg scored. 

Play on the under

05-19-23 Stars v. Golden Knights UNDER 5.5 3-4 Loss -109 15 h 8 m Show

All three games played between these Western conference rivals stayed under the total this season with a combined average of 4 gpg scored. Im betting on more tough defensive hockey here tonight in the series opener. 

VEGAS is 6-0 UNDER  off a win by 3 goals or more over a division rival this season with a combined average of 3.8 gpg scored. (Vegas wrapped up their series vs the Oilers last time out with a 5-2 victory).VEGAS is 10-1 UNDER (+9.2 Units) in the conference finals (lifetime) with a combined average of 4.3 gpg scored. 

DALLAS is 7-1 UNDER  when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 75%) in the second half of the season this season with a combined average of 4.8 gpg scored.-3 UNDER versus very good teams - outscoring their opponents by 0.5+ goals/game this season with a combined average of 5.1 gpg scored. 

NHL team against the total (VEGAS) - revenging a loss versus opponent as a favorite, off a road win are 302-215 UNDER L/26 seasons for a 59% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on the under 

05-18-23 Panthers v. Hurricanes UNDER 6 3-2 Win 100 13 h 2 m Show

Florida has gone under this total in four consecutive trips to the ice  as they come off a  low-scoring series against the  Toronto Maple Leafs. In that series, the  Panthers goalie Sergei Bobrovsky  stopped 164 of 174 shots for a .943 save percentage and Im betting he remains hot here tonight in Carolina. 

Meanwhile, Carolina has also played top tier D in this season play offs , allowing the second-fewest goals per game (2.55)  in the post season which was a continuation of a top tier defensive effort during the regular season where they garnered a stingy 2.56 GAA. It must also be noted that  Goalie Frederik Andersen has been in top form  for the Hurricanes garnering a .931 SVP in his last 5 appearances.

CAROLINA is 30-18 UNDER in home games against good offensive teams - averaging 29.5+ shots on goal per game in the 2nd half of the year over the last 2 seasons.

FLORIDA is 18-6 UNDER when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 75%) this season.

These teams played under this total in2 of 3 meetings this season and Im betting on a risne repeat situation tonight.

Play on the under 

05-06-23 Oilers v. Golden Knights OVER 6.5 5-1 Loss -135 23 h 8 m Show

Vegas has scored 4 goals or more in 5 straight games, while Edmonton has scored 4 goals or more in 5 of their L/6 . My projections estimate 7 plus combined goals will be scored in this matchup tonight with each teams scoring 3+ goals. 


EDMONTON is 41-0 OVER  when both teams score 3 or more goals this season with a combined average of 8.8 gpg. VEGAS is 27-0 OVER   when both teams score 3 or more goals this season with a combined average of 8.2 gpg scored. 

EDMONTON is 6-0 OVER off a road loss against a division rival over the last 2 seasons with a combined 7.7 gpg scored.EDMONTON is 11-2 OVER   revenging a loss vs opponent as a road favorite over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 8.5 ggp scored.EDMONTON is 6-0 OVER  in road games after 3 straight games where both teams scored 3 goals or more this season with a combined average of 9 gpg scored. EDMONTON is 8-1 OVER (when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 75%) in the second half of the season this season with a combined average of 7.9 gpg scored. 

The L/5 meetings in this series have eclipsed this Totals offering. 

Play over

05-03-23 Oilers v. Golden Knights OVER 6.5 4-6 Win 100 15 h 37 m Show

All 4 games between these teams this season eclipsed this Totals offering from the books, and Im betting nothing changes tonight. Edmonton usually plays a one way style of offensive hockey behind an explosive lineup and the Vegas Knights will have to reciprocate with some offensive fireworks of their own or proverbially be  blown off the ice. EDMONTON is 5-0 OVER in road games after 3 straight games where both teams scored 3 goals or more this season with a combined average of 8.8 gpg scored.EDMONTON is 20-9 OVER ( against poor defensive teams - 29 or more  shots on goal, convert 17%  or better pp in the 2nd half of the year this season with a combined average of 7.6 gpg scored.EDMONTON is 23-10 OVER  against explosive offensive teams - scoring 3+ goals/game - 2nd half of the season this season with a combined average of 7.6 gpg scored. 

My   projections estimate both teams will score 3 goals plus each.EDMONTON is 40-0 OVER  when both teams score 3 or more goals this season with a combined average of 7.7 gpg scored.VEGAS is 26-0 OVER   when both teams score 3 or more goals this season with a combined average of 8.1 gpg scored.

Play on the OVER

04-27-23 Lightning v. Maple Leafs OVER 6.5 4-2 Loss -110 12 h 18 m Show

These two teams have gone over in their L/4 meetings and Im betting nothing changes in this tilt. The Lightning’s 4.00 home goals per game lead the NHL during the regular season and Im betting we see them let it all hang out here in Toronto tonight with their season on the line. The Leafs Im betting will be forced into reciprocating with some run and gun action themselves which will lead to a combined score that eclipses this total.

TAMPA BAY is 25-9 OVER   against good offensive teams - averaging 29.5+ shots on goal per game in the 2nd half of the year this season with a combined average of 7.2 gpg scored. TAMPA BAY is 8-2 OVER in April games this season with a combined average of 7.9 gpg scored. 

Over is 7-0 in Lightning last 7 vs. a team with a winning record.Over is 5-0 in Lightning last 5 road games.

TORONTO is 33-18 OVER  against good passing teams - averaging 5 or more assists per game in the 2nd half of the year over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 6.9 gpg scored. TORONTO is 9-2 OVER in the first round of the playoffs over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 7.5 gpg scored.

Over is 20-8 in the last 28 meetings.

 Road teams against the total (TAMPA BAY) - off 3 consecutive losses against division rivals against opponent off a close win by 1 goal over a division rival are 29-10 OVER L/5 seasons for a 75% conversion rate for bettors.

Play Over

04-24-23 Maple Leafs v. Lightning OVER 6.5 5-4 Win 101 10 h 4 m Show

The last two periods of game 3 of this series that saw tighter defensive hockey played may have some leaning on what could now be a more defensive type of series going forward. However, the truth is both these offenses are explosive and had plenty of chances to score, even though the game was alot tighter after the 4 goal combined outburst in the first period.  Im betting on more high flying entertaining hockey here tonight, and for the Bolts to be more aggressive as they seemed to try to go into a defense bubble late against a lethal offense with dire consequences as they lost 4-3 in OT. I cant see that happening again. Advantage over. 

TORONTO is 31-19 OVER  against good passing teams - averaging 5 or more assists per game over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 7.7 gpg scored. TORONTO is 25-11 OVER against good teams - outscoring their opponents by 0.3+ goals/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 7.1 gpg scored.

TAMPA BAY is 11-4 OVER  when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 75%) this season with a combined average of 7 gpg scored. TAMPA BAY is 24-9 OVER  s) against good offensive teams - averaging 29.5+ shots on goal per game in the 2nd half of the year this season with a combined average of 7.1 gpg scored. TAMPA BAY is 7-1 OVER   in home games versus very good teams - outscoring their opponents by 0.5+ goals/game this season with a combined average of 7.3 gpg scored. 

NHL Road teams where the total is 6 or more (TORONTO) - very good team - outscoring their opponents by 0.5+ goals/game - 2nd half of the season, after scoring 3 goals or more in 5 straight games are 

The last 8 games played on TB between these sides have gone over the set total. 

Play over

04-22-23 Maple Leafs v. Lightning OVER 6 4-3 Win 100 10 h 10 m Show

The Leafs bounced back from a 7-3 loss in game one and took game 2 by a 7-2 count. Im now betting on both sides continuing their aggressive offensive play in what my projections estimate will be a barn burner of an affair. 

TORONTO is 15-6 OVER after scoring 6 goals or more in their previous game over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 7.3 gpg scored. TORONTO is 19-8 OVER  vs. division opponents over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 7.8 gpg scored. 

TORONTO is 16-5 OVER  after a blowout win by 3 goals or more over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 7.5 gpg scored. 

TAMPA BAY is 10-3 OVER  in home games against good teams - outscoring their opponents by 0.3+ goals/game this season with a combined average of 6.6 gpg scored. 

TAMPA BAY is 23-9 OVER against good offensive teams - averaging 29.5+ shots on goal per game in the 2nd half of the year this season with a combined average of 7.1 gog scored. 

TAMPA BAY is 36-17 OVER  against good offensive teams 29 or more  shots on goal, convert 17% or better  pp this season with a combined average of 7 gog scored. 

NHL Road teams where the total is 6 or more (TORONTO) - very good team - outscoring their opponents by 0.5+ goals/game - 2nd half of the season, after scoring 3 goals or more in 4 straight games are 88-41 OVER L/5 seasons for a 68% conversion rate for bettors.

Over is 8-0 in the last 8 meetings in Tampa Bay..Play OVER
04-20-23 Lightning v. Maple Leafs OVER 6 2-7 Win 100 10 h 40 m Show

Toronto was caught flat footed to begin their post season and lost game one to the Tampa Bay Bolts by a 7-3 count. While I doubt the Lightning will put 7 goals on the board here in the 2nd game of this series I still believe on their current form they will hit 3 or more goals. On the flip-side, TB ha been mediocre defensively for much of this season, and now betting on more aggressive offensive posture from the Buds in rebound mode which will help us eclipse this total. 

It must be noted that 11 of 15 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons.

TORONTO is 23-11 OVER  against good teams - outscoring their opponents by 0.3+ goals/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 7 gpg scored. 

TAMPA BAY is 35-17 OVER  against good offensive teams - 29 or more  shots on goal, convert 17% or better  pp this season with a combined average of 7 gpg scored. TAMPA BAY is 20-10 OVER (+9.5 Units) against good passing teams - averaging 5 or more assists per game in the 2nd half of the year this season with a combined average of 7 gpg scored. 

NHL Road teams where the total is 6 or more (TAMPA BAY) - good closing team-outscoring opp by 0.2+ goals/game in third period - 2nd half of the season, after scoring 3 goals or more in 4 straight games are 85-37 L/5 seasons for a 70% conversion rate for bettors.

Play over

04-19-23 Islanders v. Hurricanes UNDER 5.5 3-4 Loss -140 14 h 34 m Show

Isles Im betting will continue to play a conservative style of defensive hockey, and force Carolina into the same type of transitional hockey, which Im betting results in a combined score that remains on the low side of the offered total. CAROLINA is 10-2 UNDER  in home games against good starting goalies - (saving  91.5% or more of shots against) in the 2nd half of the season over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 4 gpg scored. (NYI G Sirokin qualifies)CAROLINA is 10-2 UNDER  in home games after allowing 1 goal or less in their previous game this season.(Game one resulted in. aCarolina 2-1 victory). 

Play under

04-14-23 Sabres v. Blue Jackets OVER 7 5-2 Push 0 12 h 52 m Show

These teams will not be in the post season, and Im betting on this being a loose run and gun tilt that sees very little attention paid to solid  defensive transitional hockey. Edge to the over. 

Im projecting both sides score 3+ goals. 

BUFFALO is 37-0 OVER   when both teams score 3 or more goals this season.  COLUMBUS is 28-1 OVER (  when both teams score 3 or more goals this season.

BUFFALO is 12-1 OVER  against poor possession teams-averaging 3+ less shots on goal than opp this season with a combined average of 8.5 gpg. BUFFALO is 10-2 OVER  when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season this season with a combined average of 8.4 gpg scored.BUFFALO is 7-1 OVER  after winning their previous game in overtime this season with a combined average of 8.3 gpg scored.  

COLUMBUS is 6-0 OVER  off a home win against a division rival over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 7.9 gpg. COLUMBUS is 8-0 OVER   off a close win by 1 goal over a division rival over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 7.9 gpg scored.COLUMBUS is 12-1 OVER off a win against a division rival over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 8 gpg going on the board.

Over is 12-2 in the last 14 meetings in Columbus

Play on the over 

04-11-23 Seattle Kraken v. Golden Knights OVER 6 1-4 Loss -115 12 h 30 m Show

Both these teams will be in the play offs and both can still move up in the standings before we enter the post season. With  both sides still playing hard Im expecting an aggressive game and with more than enough goals going on the board to eclipse this soft total.. 

Over is 3-0-1 in Golden Knights last 4 vs. Pacific.Over is 6-1 in Golden Knights last 7 home games.Over is 9-4-1 in Golden Knights last 14 overall.

Over is 6-2-1 in Kraken last 9 vs. a team with a winning record.Over is 3-1-1 in Kraken last 5 road game. 

NHL Road teams against the total (SEATTLE) - good team - outscoring their opponents by 0.3+ goals/game - 2nd half of the season, after scoring 4 goals or more in 4 straight games are 44-14 OVER L/5 seasons for a 80% conversion rate for bettors with a combined average of 7.5 gpg scored. NHL Road teams where the total is 6 or more (SEATTLE) - after successfully covering the spread in 5 or more consecutive games, a marginal winning team (51% to 60%) playing a winning team in the 2nd half of the season are 23-5 OVER L/27 seasons for a 82% conversion rate for bettors with a combined average of 7.6 gpg scored.

Play over

04-08-23 Lightning v. Senators UNDER 6.5 4-7 Loss -100 11 h 40 m Show

The Tampa Bay Bolts have a play off spot wrapped up and right now they are more interested in staying healthy than garnering wins as post season play approaches. What Im betting the Bolts are interested in, however, is to be more conservative in transition, and to focus more on good defensive fundamentals after allowing 6 goals in two straight games. Because of this Im expecting a concerted effort on D from the Lightning and for a Ottawa side that has not scored more than 3 goals in 4 straight and 7 of their L/10 to struggle to score goals. This combination will Im betting result in a combined score that remains on the low side of the total.

TAMPA BAY is 12-4 UNDER  in road games after failing to cover 2 of their last 3 against the spread over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 5.3 gg going on the scoreboard.

OTTAWA is 26-13 UNDER  in home games against good starting goalies - saving  91.5% or better of shots against over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 5.5 gpg scored.

Play under 

04-03-23 Predators v. Stars UNDER 6 1-5 Push 0 12 h 2 m Show

Nashville has played strong defense of late allowing 3 goals or less in  6 of their L/7 games overall and after a 6-1 blowout win vs the Blues last time out Im now betting their top tier defensive posture continues and for them to regress offensively here today vs Dallas which will give us an edge on a under bet cashing. Note: NASHVILLE is 9-0 UNDER  in road games off a win by 3 goals or more over a division rival over the last 2 seasons.NASHVILLE is 8-1 UNDER off a blowout win by 4 goals or more over a division rival over the last 3 seasons. Under is 8-3 in Stars last 11 when their opponent scores 5 goals or more in their previous game

Also the Stars are on tired legs . . Under is 20-8-1 in Stars last 29 in the third game of a 3-in-4 days situation.

Under is 33-14-4 in Stars last 51 vs. a team with a winning record.

Four of the L/5 meetings in this series have seen 5 combined goals or less go on the board, with one of those game seeing 6 combined goals go on the board. Rinse and repeat to the under. 

Play on the under 

03-31-23 Rangers v. Sabres UNDER 6.5 2-3 Win 112 11 h 5 m Show

The Rangers have not allowed more than 3 goals in game in 12 straight games, and Im betting that  those strong defensive numbers remain intact tonight vs a Sabres side that has not scored more than 3 goals in 5 of their L/6 trips to the ice. The last time these teams played the Rangers won a tightly contested 2-1 contest and according to my projections another lower scoring tilt must be expected. Note : The L/2 meetings here in Buffalo were 2-1 results favoring the Rangers.

Under is 4-0-1 in Rangers last 5 road games.Under is 3-1-1 in Rangers last 5 overall.

Under is 3-1-1 in Rangers last 5 in the third game of a 3-in-4 days situation.

NHL  Road teams where the total is 6 or more (NY RANGERS) - off a close road loss by 1 goal, a marginal winning team (51% to 60%) playing a losing team in the 2nd half of the season are 37-15 UNDER L/27 seasons for a 71% conversion rate for bettors.

NHL Road teams against the total (NY RANGERS) - off a close road loss by 1 goal, a marginal winning team (51% to 60%) playing a losing team are 42-21 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 67% conversion rate for bettors.

Under is 21-7 in the last 28 meetings in Buffalo.

Play UNDER

03-30-23 Blues v. Blackhawks OVER 6.5 5-3 Win 109 12 h 9 m Show

Blues have average 6 gpg in 3 straight and enter into this tilt with offensive momentum against a sub par defensive side that has allowed 4.4 gpg in their L/5 trips to the ice. Im betting on the Blues lighting up the Blackhawks in this one and to continue their current onslaught. Meanwhile, the Blues in wide open fashion have allowed 12 goals in their L/2 games and 3 goals or more in 5 straight and Im betting that the fast asleep Blackhawks find holes that are not always available to them  which makes this a viable over wager. 


ST LOUIS is 7-1 OVER  in road games when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season this season with a combined average of 7.7 gog scored. 

ST LOUIS is 6-0 OVER in road games when playing 6 or more games in 10 days this season with a combined average of 8.5 gpg scored. 

CHICAGO is 5-0 OVER  after 6 or more consecutive losses this season with a combined average of 7.7 gpg scored. 

NHL Home teams against the total (CHICAGO) - poor offensive team - scoring 2.55 or better  goals/game on the season - 2nd half of the season, after a blowout loss by 3 goals or more in their previous game are 35-11 OVER L/5 seasons for a 76% conversion rate for bettors.

NHL Home teams against the total (CHICAGO) - after 3 or more consecutive unders, slow starting team-outscored by opp by 0.2+ goals/game in first period - 2nd half of the season are 37-6 OVER L/5 seasons for a 84% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play over

03-29-23 Panthers v. Maple Leafs OVER 7 3-2 Loss -103 13 h 27 m Show

Florida has allowed 4 or more goals in 6 of their L/8 and 5 goals or more in 5 of those games. Needless to say it is the  lack of solid D, and top tier goaltending that has seen them lose four straight games and tonight against the capable offense of the Leafs Im betting they get lit up again in what Im betting will end up in a high scoring game. Note:  Leafs have seen an average of 7.8 gpg go on the board in their L/5 trips to the ice. When these teams played in Florida on March 23rd the Leafs took a 6-2 victory. Im projecting  a +8 combined output today.

FLORIDA in 5 road games revenging a home loss versus opponent of 2 goals or more this season  have seen a combined average of 8.4 gpg scored. .FLORIDA is 8-1 OVER revenging a blowout loss vs opponent of 3 goals or more this season with a combined average of 7.6 gpg scored. 

FLORIDA is 16-3 OVER  off a road loss this season with a combined average of 7.7 gpg scored. (Lost at Ottawa last time out by a 5-2 count)

Over is 3-0-1 in Panthers last 4 vs. Atlantic.Over is 5-1-1 in Panthers last 7 road games.

Over is 7-0-1 in Maple Leafs last 8 vs. Eastern Conference.

Over is 3-0-1 in Maple Leafs last 4 vs. Atlantic.

Over is 7-1-1 in the last 9 meetings. Over is 5-0-1 in the last 6 meetings in Toronto.

Play over

03-28-23 Jets v. Sharks UNDER 6.5 0-3 Win 100 15 h 56 m Show

Tuesday is the final stop of the Jets' three-game road trip against California teams and on tired legs Im betting they are  not prepared to skate and gun, and instead I expect they will lean on good defensive play and top tier goaltending to get the job done. This will in effect keep scoring to a marginal amount. Also the Jets have not scored more than 3 goals in their L/8 games and in 10 of their L/11 overall. So paying attention in transition is obviously key for the Jets here tonight on the road. Under is 21-5 in Jets last 26 road games. Under is 8-3-1 in Sharks last 12 vs. a team with a winning record.

WINNIPEG is 22-4 UNDER  after 3 or more consecutive unders this season with a combined average of 5.3 gpg scored. 

WINNIPEG is 8-0 UNDER ) against terrible teams - outscored by opponents by 0.5+ goals/game - 2nd half of the season this season with a combined average of 4.3 gpg scored. 

WINNIPEG is 7-0 UNDER when playing against a bad team (Win Pct. 25% to 40%) in the second half of the season this season with a combined average of 4.2 gpg scored.

Under is 6-1 in the last 7 meetings.

Play under 

03-26-23 Blues v. Kings UNDER 6.5 6-7 Loss -100 13 h 1 m Show

In their L/10 games the LA Kings have only allowed more than 2 goals one time and my projections estimate another top tier defensive effort here by what has suddenly become a solid goaltending group since the team parted ways with Johnathon Quick. Yes, I know the Blues have doing well offensively of late, but that will make the Kings even more disciplined in transition. Meanwhile, visiting St.Louis has not allowed more than 3 goals in 5 straight and now on tired legs as they play their 4th game in 6 nights Im expecting a more tempered and conservative effort here vs a team they know could light them up quickly.  


ST LOUIS is 13-4 UNDER  in road games revenging a loss vs opponent as a road favorite over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 5.3 gpg scored. (LA beat the Blues the las time they met on March 4th by a 4-2 count)

Under is 3-0-1 in the last 4 meetings in Los Angeles.

Under is 2-0-2 in the last 4 meetings.

NHL home teams where the total is 6 or more (LOS ANGELES) - hot team - having won 8 or more of their last 10 games, with a winning record on the season playing a losing team in the second half of the season are 37-11 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 77% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the UNDER

03-22-23 Penguins v. Avalanche UNDER 6.5 5-2 Loss -115 13 h 52 m Show

Pittsburgh offense has really stuttered of late as is evident by averaging just 2 gpg in their L/5 trips to the ice. On the season the Pens have averaged just 2.9 gg and Im betting they once again have problems scoring vs the Avs in this spot play. Meanwhile, Colorado is on a 6 game win streak allowing 2 goals or less in 4 of those 6 tilts. It must be noted that in their L/meeting back on 2/7/2023 the Pens squeezed out a 2-1 win and considering both sides current form another lower scoring affair is to be expected. COLORADO is 13-4 UNDER  revenging a same season loss vs opponent this season with an averge of 5.1 gpg scored. 

PITTSBURGH is 10-3 UNDER  in road games against good offensive teams - scoring 2.85+ goals/game - 2nd half of the season this season with a combined average of 5.7 gpg scored. 


PITTSBURGH is 22-11 UNDER in a road game where where the total is 6 or more this season.

COLORADO is 23-9 UNDER when playing their 4th game in 7 days this season.

NHL Home teams against the total (COLORADO) - after successfully covering the spread in 5 or more consecutive games, in March games are 27-7 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 80% conversion rate for bettors.

Play UNDER

03-18-23 Canucks v. Kings UNDER 6.5 3-2 Win 100 13 h 12 m Show

 The Canucks D, has really shored itself up of late allowing 3 or less goals in 7 straight games.Meanwhile LA has not allowed more than 2 goals in 7 straight games. Considering both sides stellar defensive play of late another lower scoring affair is a reasonable expectation on a value Totals offering. 

Under is 3-0-1 in Canucks last 4 vs. Pacific.

Under is 4-1-1 in Kings last 6 home games.

NHL Home teams where the total is 6 or more (LOS ANGELES) - hot team - having won 8 or more of their last 10 games, with a winning record on the season playing a losing team in the second half of the season are 36-11 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 77% conversion rate for bettors.

Under is 5-0 in the last 5 meetings.

 Play on the UNDER 

03-16-23 Avalanche v. Senators OVER 6.5 5-4 Win 100 10 h 12 m Show

The Ottawa Senators D, has collapsed recently as is evident by having allowed an average of 5 gpg in their L/ 5 trips to the ice. The Sens have also seen at least one team score 5 goals in each of their L/10 games, and this trend Im betting stays intact tonight. OTTAWA is 6-0 OVER  in home games against explosive offensive teams - scoring 3+ goals/game - 2nd half of the season this season with a combined average of 7.9 gog scored. 

Meanwhile, the Avs offense has been mostly proficient recently scoring 4 or more goals in 7 of their L/13 overall and have averaged 4.2 gpg in their L/5 games.  Colorado has really ratchet up their shots on goal to, which sets up this strong trend.COLORADO is 15-5 OVER  after 3 straight games with 8+ more shots on goal than opponents over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 7.2 gpg scored. 

Mhy projections estimate both sides will in the worst case scenario score 3+ goals.COLORADO is 20-0 OVER when both teams score 3 or more goals this season.OTTAWA is 19-0 OVER  when both teams score 3 or more goals this season.

NHL Home teams where the total is 6 or more (OTTAWA) - after allowing 5 goals or more against opponent after playing a game where 4 or fewer total goals were scored are 73-45 OVER  L/5 seasons for a 61% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play over 

03-13-23 Stars v. Seattle Kraken OVER 6 5-2 Win 100 16 h 43 m Show

The Dallas offense is rolling having scored 4 goals or more in 7 straight games. Their style of hockey as morphed from a defensive mind set into a more wide open brand of hockey which has resulted in some high scoring affairs.  Note: Over is 6-0-1 in Stars last 7 overall. 

Now Im betting nothing changes tonight vs a sub par defensive/goal tending  side the Seattle Kraken, that has allowed 4 or more goals in 6 of their L/10 while also scoring 4 or more in 6 of their L/10 overall trips to the ice. Over is 5-1-1 in Kraken last 7 home games.

DALLAS is 5-0 OVER  in March games this season with a combined average of 8.9 gog scored. 

SEATTLE is 7-1 OVER  in home games against good offensive teams - averaging 29.5+ shots on goal per game in the 2nd half of the year this season with a combined average of 7.3 gpg scored. 

DALLAS is 10-2 OVER (+7.8 Units) against poor starting goalies - saving  89.5% or less of shots against this season with a combined average of 8.1 gpg scored. 

NHL Road teams against the total (DALLAS) - very good team - outscoring their opponents by 0.5+ goals/game - 2nd half of the season, after scoring 4 goals or more in 4 straight games are 33-8 OVER L/5 seasons for a 81% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the over

03-12-23 Golden Knights v. Blues OVER 6 5-3 Win 100 8 h 56 m Show

These teams in the recent past have take  part in High-scoring tilts  as is evident by the fact that  six or more total goals have been  scored in 12 of their last 16 meetings. Recently  Vegas  has scored 4 or more goals in in four of their L/5  wins and Im betting they get on the scoreboard in a big way here tonight against a  Blues side that has seen six or more total goals scored in each of their L/6 games, thanks in part to their struggling goal tending that has seen Bennington procure a ugly .894 save percentage (SV%) and 3.31 goals against average (GAA). Add to that the Kngihts are expected to start a inexperienced goalie tonight ( Jiri Patera ) we could see a much higher score than the the linesmakers offering suggests. 


VEGAS is 22-9 OVER L/31  in road games against poor starting goalies - saving  89.5% or less  of shots .

ST LOUIS is 16-4 OVER when playing on back-to-back days over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 7.5 gpg. 

NHL Road teams where the total is 6 or more (VEGAS) - off a road blowout win by 3 goals or more, good team, winning 60-70% or more of their games on the season in the 2nd half of the season are 58-24 OVER L/27 seasons for a 70% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play over

03-09-23 Stars v. Sabres OVER 6.5 10-4 Win 100 10 h 30 m Show

Dallas has been playing some high scoring games of late, with a combined average of 8.2 gpg scored. Meanwhile, Buffalo has allowed 3 or more goals in 7 of their L/8 games, thanks to shoddy goaltending at times and to conservative of a stance as they push for a wild card spot. Their lack of aggressiveness has cost them, as was the case last time out in a 3-2 loss to the Isles and now Im betting with their play off hopes fading they will play more wide open hockey which should lead to higher scoring affairs. 

BUFFALO is 10-2 OVER  against good teams - outscoring their opponents by 0.3+ goals/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 7.5 gpg scored. BUFFALO is 15-6 OVER  against excellent power play teams - scoring on  19% or better  of their chances in the 2nd half of the year over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 7.2 gpg scored. 

DALLAS is 13-4 OVER  against poor starting goalies - saving 89.5% or less  of shots against over the last 2 seasons

NHL Road teams against the total (DALLAS) - good closing team-outscoring opp by 0.2+ goals/game in third period - 2nd half of the season, after scoring 4 goals or more in 4 straight games are 31-7 OVER L/5 seasons for a 82% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the over 

03-02-23 Maple Leafs v. Flames OVER 6.5 2-1 Loss -117 4 h 13 m Show

Both Calgary goalies are struggling- Flames Vladar owns a ugly .820 save percentage over his last five appearances while Markstrom is also exhibiting swiss cheese tendencies with a  .846 SV% in his last five trips to the ice. The explosive Leafs offense is the type of team that can really rack up some goals against sides likes this in merciless fashion.TORONTO is 20-9 OVER  against terrible defensive teams - allowing 3+ goals/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 7.5 gpg scored.  Toronto lost last night, so Im betting they will be much more aggressive here tonight, in a bounce back situation.TORONTO is 6-0 OVER in road games off a road loss by 2 goals or more this season. Meanwhile, Calgary is off a OT loss last time out.CALGARY is 7-0 OVER   after losing their previous game in overtime over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 7.1 gpg scored. 

Play on the OVER 

03-01-23 Rangers v. Flyers OVER 6 3-2 Loss -105 11 h 54 m Show

The Flyers have allowed an average of 5 gpg in their L/7 trips to the ice and Im betting the newly improved and well rested  offense of the Rangers will be prepared to light the Flyers  up again much like they did back in December of this season by a 6-3 count.  On the flipside look for the Flyers to have to open up or being blown off the ice which will help the combined score eclipse this offered total. 

Over is 4-0 in Rangers last 4 after scoring 5 goals or more in their previous game. ( Rangers beat the Kings 5-2 last time out)Over is 6-1 in Rangers last 7 games following a win.Over is 4-1 in Rangers last 5 vs. Metropolitan.

PHILADELPHIA is 8-1 OVER  in home games revenging a loss where opponent scored 4 or more goals this season with a combined average of 7.3 gpg scored. PHILADELPHIA is 23-9 OVER  in March games over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 6.8 gpg scored.

Over is 5-2 in Flyers last 7 vs. Metropolitan.

Over is 10-4 in Flyers last 14 home games

 NHL Home teams against the total (PHILADELPHIA) - revenging a home loss versus opponent of 2 goals or more, a bad team, winning 30% to 40% of their games on the season in the second half of the season are 22-5 OVER L/5 seasons for a 81% conversion rate for bettors.

Play over

02-27-23 Bruins v. Oilers OVER 6.5 3-2 Loss -110 5 h 44 m Show

Edmonton on most nights especially at home play a one way style of hockey, that features probably the most explosive offense in the league led by  super star McDavid. Unfortunately for them their weakest links come on defense and in goal and teams like the Bruins will make them pay dearly for their Swiss cheese D and poor transitional play . Because of the above scenario Im betting this game ends up being one that eclipses this total. 

EDMONTON is 20-8 OVER in a home game where the total is 6 or more this season with a combined average of 7.1 gpg . 

EDMONTON is 11-1 OVER  against good offensive teams - scoring 2.85+ goals/game - 2nd half of the season this season with a combined average of 8.2 gpg scored. 

NHL Road teams where the total is 6 or more (BOSTON) - good closing team-outscoring opp by 0.2+ goals/game in third period - 2nd half of the season, after scoring 3 goals or more in 4 straight games are 76-33 L/5 seasons for a 70% conversion rate for bettors.

NHL team against the total (EDMONTON) - good closing team-outscoring opp by 0.2+ goals/game in third period - 2nd half of the season, after scoring 4 goals or more in 4 straight games are 52-25 OVER L/5 seasons for a 68% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play over 

02-23-23 Ducks v. Capitals OVER 6 4-2 Push 0 9 h 33 m Show

The Ducks are in the midst of a six-game losing streak in which they've been outscored 36-15 allowing 6.00 GAA  during that span in wide open hockey. Im betting on another all out affair as the team knows its not a play off team. I know Washington is banged up, but there is still enough talent here to do some offensive damage against a defensively regressing side. 

ANAHEIM is 24-8 OVER  after playing a game where 7 or more total goals were scored this season. ANAHEIM is 7-1 OVER  in road games after playing 4 straight games where 7 or more total goals were scored this season.

ANAHEIM is 10-1 OVER against good offensive teams -29 or more shots on goal, convert 17% or better pp - 2nd half of the season this season with a combined average of 8 gpg scored.

NHL team against the total (ANAHEIM) - poor offensive team - scoring 2.55 or less goals/game on the season - 2nd half of the season, after a blowout loss by 3 goals or more in their previous game are 90-40 OVER L/5 seasons for a 69% conversion rate.

Play over

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