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Alex Smart NHL Totals Picks
Date Match Up Rating Score Result Profit Lead Time Analysis
10-16-21 Stars v. Bruins UNDER 5.5 1-3 Win 100 10 h 26 m Show

The Stars took a 3-2 win vs the Rangers in the first game of the season, and continued to show a disciplined defensive style of play that attacks usually only out of transition. With my projections expecting a lower scoring affair because of the Bruins  expected style of play and under wager here is a viable money making opportunity for under bettors. 

Under is 6-1-1 in Bruins last 8 vs. a team with a winning % above .600.

Under is 6-1 in the last 7 meetings. Under is 12-4-5 in Stars last 21 games as a road underdog.

DALLAS is 22-9 UNDER on Saturday games over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 5 gpg scored. 

Play UNDER 

07-07-21 Canadiens v. Lightning OVER 5 0-1 Loss -124 14 h 59 m Show

The Habs did everything possible to get a win last time out in game 4 and extend this series. Now exhausted and facing  at a team that will come out firing on all cylinders so that they can end this series, Im betting this game escalates into a higher scoring tilt than many might think possible.

Over is 3-1-3 in Lightning last 7 Stanley Cup Finals games.

TAMPA BAY is 14-7 OVER  after playing 2 consecutive road games this season with a combined average of 6.8 gpg scored. 

NHL Home teams where the total is 5 or less (TAMPA BAY) - after one or more consecutive overs, good closing team-outscoring opp by 0.2+ goals/game in third period are 40-20 L/5 seasons for a 67% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the OVER

06-22-21 Canadiens v. Golden Knights UNDER 5 4-1 Push 0 12 h 20 m Show

The recipe for Montreals success vs Vegas has been their ability to play very physical defensive hockey that is backed up by top tier goalie Price. More of this  trap style of hockey Im betting will once again give an edge to a low scoring affair. 


VEGAS is 6-0 UNDER  in home games in the conference finals over the last 2 seasons.

MONTREAL is 10-3 UNDER  against good possession teams-averaging 3+ more shots on goal than opp in the 2nd half of the year this season.

NHL Road teams where the total is 5 or less (MONTREAL) - revenging a loss vs opponent as a home favorite, with a winning percentage of between 40-49% on the season are 69-38 L/5 seasons for a 65% conversion rate. 

Play UNDER 

06-16-21 Canadiens v. Golden Knights OVER 5 3-2 Push 0 12 h 17 m Show

Vegas is running hot offensively scoring 18 goals in their L/4 play off games. If the Habs have any chance of making this a series they are going to have to open up a bit . Hey I know Price and Fleury are top tier goalies, but when the action gets quicker and more aggressive even the best of goaltenders in this league look very mortal. 

Over is 3-0-1 in the last 4 meetings in Vegas.

Over is 5-0-1 in the last 6 meetings. Over is 3-0-1 in Golden Knights last 4 playoff games as a favorite

NHL team against the total (VEGAS /MONTREAL) - in the conference finals, in the 2nd game of a playoff series are 60-28 OVER L/5 seasons for a 68% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play OVER

06-15-21 Islanders v. Lightning OVER 5 2-4 Win 100 11 h 56 m Show

The defending champion Bolts now down 1-0 in this series will come out here all guns blazing and eventually Im betting they will drag the Islanders out of their defensive shell and that will result in a higher scoring affair then the lines-makers expect. '

TAMPA BAY is 22-8 OVER L/30 when trailing in a playoff series . 

Over is 5-0-1 in Islanders last 6 after scoring 2 goals or less in their previous game.

NHL  team against the total (NY ISLANDERS/TB ) - in the conference finals, in the 2nd game of a playoff series are 60-28 OVER L/23 seasons for a 68% conversion rate. 

Play OVER 

06-14-21 Canadiens v. Golden Knights UNDER 5.5 1-4 Win 100 11 h 14 m Show

Habs star goalie Carey Price enters this   semifinals series  leading all playoff net-minders with a .935 save percentage and will be key here for a Montreal side that plays a strong defensive system behind strong physical play. This Im betting will help them keep the Knights from exploding offensively here in game 1, and aid in this game staying under the total. Note: Vegas goalies Fleury and Lehner won  the Jennings Trophy for fewest goals allowed in the regular season. In the playoffs, Fleury has registered a .923 GAA and will not be an easy roll over for the Habs limited attack strategy. 

Play UNDER

06-07-21 Islanders v. Bruins UNDER 5 5-4 Loss -100 7 h 15 m Show

With this series tied 2-2 Im betting on both these defenses ramping up and for play to be extremely physical and close with both sides not wanting to make mistakes. This Im betting translates into a very low scoring game 5. 

NY ISLANDERS are 22-9 UNDER  in road games vs. division opponents this season. NY ISLANDERS are 16-4 UNDER  in road games off a home win by 2 goals or more over the last 3 seasons.

BOSTON is 12-2 UNDER in home games off a loss by 2 goals or more to a division rival over the last 2 seasons.

Play on the UNDER

06-05-21 Bruins v. Islanders UNDER 5 1-4 Push 0 10 h 18 m Show

Both these teams play a very strong brand of defensive hockey. In an intense environment like this  Im betting on another low scoring affair. 

BOSTON is 8-1 UNDER  after winning their previous game in overtime this season.

BOSTON is 11-2 UNDER   off a close win by 1 goal over a division rival this season.NY ISLANDERS are 21-10 UNDER  in home games after scoring 1 goal or less in their previous game over the last 2 seasons.

Play UNDER

06-05-21 Hurricanes v. Lightning UNDER 5.5 4-6 Loss -130 7 h 22 m Show

This series has been very tightly played from the very beginning and there is no reason for same very disciplined defensive hockey to continue here with all offense being played out of transition which Im betting results in combined score that stays under this total. 

8 of 8 games in this series in TB  have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons.

NHL Home teams against the total (TAMPA BAY) - quick starting team-outscoring opp by 0.2+ goals/game in first period - 2nd half of the season, after losing their previous game in overtime are 36-13 UNDER  L/5 seasons for a 74% conversion rate for bettors.

Play UNDER 

06-04-21 Avalanche v. Golden Knights UNDER 5.5 2-3 Win 100 13 h 11 m Show

After being blasted 7-1 in the opening game of this series, the Knights Im betting learned their lesson and will not want to open this series up as was evident in the 2nd game when they payed special attention to transition ,in a close 3-2 loss. Nothing changes tonight as Vegas will be out to make this a physical  grinding affair in the hopes of getting a win here this evening. 

VEGAS is 10-2 UNDER against good defensive teams - allowing 2.55 or less goals/game - 2nd half of the season with z combined average of 4.2 gpg scored. 

VEGAS is 20-9 UNDER   in home games revenging a close loss vs opponent of 1 goal or less over the last 2 seasons.VEGAS is 10-3 UNDER  in home games off a close loss by 1 goal to a division rival over the last 2 seasons.

 COLORADO is 22-11 UNDER in road games after a close win by 1 goal in their previous game over the last 2 seasons

NHL Home teams against the total (VEGAS) - quick starting team-outscoring opp by 0.2+ goals/game in first period - 2nd half of the season, after losing their previous game in overtime are 36-16 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 74% conversion rate for bettors. 

NHL Road teams against the total (COLORADO) - well rested team - playing 5 or less games in 14 days, top level team, winning 70% or more of their games in the 2nd half of the season are 33-13 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 71% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the UNDER 

06-03-21 Hurricanes v. Lightning UNDER 5.5 3-2 Win 100 14 h 56 m Show

 Central Division Playoffs - Second Round - Best Of 7 - Game 3

The first two games in this series ended in 2-1 decisions for the TB Lightning. More tough physical defensive minded play off hockey Im betting is once again on tonights agenda. CAROLINA is 9-1 UNDER  revenging 2 straight close losses vs opponent by 1 goal or less over the last 3 seasons. 


TAMPA BAY is 12-5 UNDER in home games when leading in a playoff series over the last 2 seasons.

TAMPA BAY is 7-1 UNDER against top caliber teams - outscoring opponents by 0.65+ goals/game this season.  CAROLINA is 8-1 UNDER off a home loss against a division rival this season.

NHL Road teams against the total (CAROLINA) - off 2 or more consecutive home losses, in a game involving two good teams (60% to 70%) are 24-6 UNDER L/24 seasons for a 80% conversion rate.

The last 7 games in this series have gone under the total in Carolina.

Play UNDER

05-31-21 Islanders v. Bruins UNDER 5 4-3 Loss -100 10 h 21 m Show

The Bruins and Islanders took part in a closely contested game in the first two periods of game 1 in this series, before the Bruins exploded for 3 third period goals for a 5-2 victory. NYI HC Barry Trotz was not happy by his teams late breakdown and will now be making sure that his team gets back to what has made them a viable contender, and that is a top tier  defensive system . Tonight Im betting on a very physical game from the Islanders and for them to pay special attention and transition, and for the Bruins to morph into the same style of play , which Im betting results in a very low scoring affair.

NY ISLANDERS are 8-0 UNDER revenging a blowout loss vs opponent of 3 goals or more this season with a combined average of 3.2 gpg scored.NY ISLANDERS are 8-1 UNDER  after allowing 2 goals or more in the third period last game this season with a combined average of 4 gpg scored.

Under is 4-1 in Bruins last 5 games following a win.

Under is 9-3-2 in the last 14 meetings in Boston.

Play on the UNDER 

05-29-21 Islanders v. Bruins UNDER 5 2-5 Loss -100 11 h 52 m Show

East Division Playoffs - Second Round - Best Of 7 - Game 1

These teams play similar styles of tough physical defensive transitional  hockey . Both also have talented offenses , but they play within in their systems well and know how to back check. 

NY ISLANDERS are 13-3 UNDER  in road games against good offensive teams - averaging 29.5 or more shots on goal per game this season. 

BOSTON is 8-1 UNDER  against good offensive teams - 29 or more shots on goal, convert 17% or better pp - 2nd half of the season this season.

former KHL super star Sorokin started four games in Round 1 for the Isles and posted a .943 save percentage. He gets the nod tonight. Bruins starter tonight  Rask post .941 save percentage in round 1.

UNDER 6-1-2 L/9 meetings in this series in Boston.

Play UNDER

05-28-21 Wild v. Golden Knights OVER 5 2-6 Win 100 13 h 6 m Show

Vegas was shutout in game 6 of this series,  which saw Minnesota tie this series and for a game 7 finale. Im betting both sides will continue to be very careful in transition. However, there are multiple variables situations at play here which includes open netters late if one team is up and  the strong possibility of OT. edge to the over. 

MINNESOTA is 7-1 OVER in road games off a win by 3 goals or more over a division rival this season. Over is 17-7 in Wild last 24 road games.

NHL Home teams where the total is 5 or less (VEGAS) - revenging a loss where team scored 1 or less goals, in a game involving two good teams (60% to 70%) are 49-21 OVER L/24 seasons for a 70% conversion rate. 

Play OVER 

05-23-21 Avalanche v. Blues OVER 5.5 5-2 Win 100 8 h 48 m Show

West Division Playoffs - First Round - Best Of 7 - Game 4

The Colorado Avs are in top form and have been pressing the action, as is evident by scoring 26 goals in their L/5 games and if the Blues want to avoid elimination will have to come out here with an equally aggressive mindset which Im betting leads to a tilt that eclipses this total. 

ST LOUIS is 15-4 OVER  in home games against top caliber teams - outscoring opponents by 0.65+ goals/game over the last 3 seasons.

COLORADO is 8-0 OVER after 3 straight wins by 2 goals or more this season with a combined average of 7.1 rpg scored. 

NHL Home teams where the total is 5.5 (ST LOUIS) - revenging 2 straight losses vs opponent by 2 goals or more, with a losing record in the second half of the season are 42-16 OVER L/5 seasons for a 72% conversion rate. 

NHL road teams against the total (COLORADO) - hot team - having won 20 or more of their last 25 games, second half of the season are 61-31 OVER L/5 seasons for a 66% conversion rate. 

Play OVER 

05-21-21 Avalanche v. Blues OVER 5.5 5-1 Win 100 36 h 14 m Show

#1 GOALTENDERS: COLORADO - PHILIPP GRUBAUER, ST LOUIS - JORDAN BINNINGTON

Colorado won the first two games in this series by 4-1 and 6-3 counts and Im betting on even more offensive fireworks here as the Blues must open up or be blown out again. 


COLORADO is 7-0 OVER after 3 straight wins by 2 goals or more this season. with a combined average of 7.1 gpg scored.  COLORADO is 9-1 OVER   after a 4 game unbeaten streak this season with a combined average of 7.3 gpg scored. 

ST LOUIS is 14-4 OVER  in home games against top caliber teams - outscoring opponents by 0.65+ goals/game over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 6.7 gpg. 


 NHL Home teams where the total is 5.5 (ST LOUIS) - revenging 2 straight losses vs opponent by 2 goals or more, with a losing record in the second half of the season are 41-16 OVER L/5 seasons for a 71% conversion rate for bettors.

NHLRoad teams where the total is 5.5 (COLORADO) - off a home blowout win by 3 goals or more against opponent off 2 or more consecutive road losses are 27-9 OVER L/5 seasons for a 75% conversion rate for bettors.

Play OVER 

05-10-21 Lightning v. Panthers UNDER 6 0-4 Win 100 7 h 29 m Show

Two top tier sides go head to head here in a game Im betting will resemble play off style hockey. As we come closer to the post season teams headed to the play offs pay special attention in transition which generally  results in tighter lower scoring games. FLORIDA is 12-1 UNDER   in home games after successfully covering the spread in 5 or more consecutive games .

TAMPA BAY is 6-0 UNDER in road games revenging 2 straight losses where opponent scored 3 or more goals over the last 2 seasons.

NHL Road teams against the total (TAMPA BAY) - after allowing 4 goals or more 2 straight games against opponent after scoring 5 goals or more in 2 straight games are 34-10 UNDER L/5 seasons  for a 77% conversion rate. 

NHL Road teams where the total is 6 or more (TAMPA BAY) - very good team - outscoring their opponents by 0.5+ goals/game, after a blowout loss by 4 goals or more in their previous game. are  32-11 L/24 seasons for a 75% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play UNDER 

05-09-21 Stars v. Blackhawks OVER 5.5 2-4 Win 100 8 h 22 m Show

Chicago is off a rare good defensive effort taking a 2-1 win Carolina CHICAGO is 8-0 OVER  in home games off a road win by 1 goal over the last 3 seasons.CHICAGO is 14-2 OVER    in home games off a road win over the last 3 seasons.  CHICAGO is 22-9 OVER  in home games against poor power play killing teams - opp score on 17.5% or more  of chances in the 2nd half of the year over the last 3 seasons. Note: Previous to that above mentioned good D effort, the Hawks had allowed 7, 4,4.5 and 6 goals. Meanwhile, Dallas opened up last time out with a 5 goal output and with that offensive momentum enter this game in a good position to do some damage. Everything points to a higher scoring affair.

Play OVER 

05-04-21 Islanders v. Sabres UNDER 5.5 3-4 Loss -113 14 h 9 m Show

The Islanders blew a 2-1 lead going into the third period last time out, and lost 4-2 to the lowly Buffalo Sabres. Isles HC Barry Trotz was furious after that effort, and tonight Im betting on a bounce back effort that will center around the Isles top tier D, that will be in preparation mode for the play offs.  


NY ISLANDERS are 18-4 UNDER  in a road game where where the total is 5.5 this season. NY ISLANDERS are 12-2 UNDER  in road games when playing their 3rd game in 5 days this season.

Play UNDER 

05-01-21 Rangers v. Islanders UNDER 5.5 0-3 Win 100 7 h 40 m Show

The Islanders will look to clinch their third straight trip to the playoffs Saturday, when they host the New York Rangers in the finale of a home-and-home series in Uniondale, N.Y. As usual it will be Barry Trotz play off  style defensive game  plan that takes center stage which offers value for an under wager. NY RANGERS are 9-1 UNDER in road games versus very good teams - outscoring their opponents by 0.5+ goals/game over the last 2 seasons. NY RANGERS are 5-0 UNDER off a home loss by 2 goals or more this season.

NHL Road teams where the total is 5.5 (NY RANGERS) - extremely tired team - playing 8 or more games in 14 days, a marginal winning team (51% to 60%) playing a winning team in the 2nd half of the season are 85-39 L/24 seasons for a 69% conversion rate. 

Play on UNDER

04-26-21 Panthers v. Predators UNDER 5.5 1-4 Win 102 4 h 21 m Show

The Panthers' Chris Driedger, who made 16 saves on Saturday for his 13th win of 2020-21, has stopped 45 of 46 shots and posted a shutout in two starts against the Predators this season.  Nashville's Juuse Saros has 17 wins this season, including one in three starts against Florida (2.66 goals-against average. Im betting on both these goalies to help keep this tilt on the low side of the number.

Under is 3-1-1 in Panthers last 5 road games. Under is 7-3-1 in the last 11 meetings.

NASHVILLE is 16-4 UNDER in home games after playing a road game over the last 2 seasons. NASHVILLE is 21-8 UNDER in home games against good starting goalies - saving  91.5% or better  of shots against over the last 3 seasons.

FLORIDA is 7-1 UNDER  in road games after a home game where both teams score 3 or more goals over the last 2 seasons.

NHL Road teams where the total is 5.5 (FLORIDA) - extremely tired team - playing 8 or more games in 14 days, with a winning record on the season playing another winning team in the second half of the season are 124-67 UNDER L/24 seasons for a 65% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play UNDER

04-24-21 Capitals v. Islanders UNDER 5.5 6-3 Loss -120 10 h 54 m Show

The Islanders and Capitals took part in a play off play off style affair last time out, and the Caps came out on top 1-0 in the shootout after over time decided nothing. Im betting on more of the same here today and for this tilts combined score to stay on the low side of the offered number. NY ISLANDERS are 20-7 UNDER in home games after scoring 1 goal or less in their previous game over the last 2 seasons.

NHL Home teams against the total (NY ISLANDERS) - quick starting team-outscoring opp by 0.2+ goals/game in first period - 2nd half of the season, after losing their previous game in overtime are 30-9 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 77% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play UNDER 

04-24-21 Avalanche v. Blues OVER 6 3-5 Win 101 3 h 46 m Show

#1 GOALTENDERS: COLORADO - DEVAN DUBNYK, ST LOUIS - JORDAN BINNINGTON

COLORADO is 6-0 OVER  after a 4 game unbeaten streak this season.

ST LOUIS is 13-3 OVER in home games against top caliber teams - outscoring opponents by 0.65+ goals/game over the last 3 seasons.

Play OVER

04-24-21 Devils v. Penguins UNDER 6 2-4 Push 0 2 h 26 m Show

#1 GOALTENDERS: NEW JERSEY - MACKENZIE BLACKWOOD, PITTSBURGH - TRISTAN JARRY

NEW JERSEY is 17-9 UNDER  when playing against a team with a winning record this season with the average combined score clicking in at 5.5 gpg. 

PITTSBURGH is 15-8 UNDER  against good offensive teams - averaging 29.5+ shots on goal per game this season. PITTSBURGH is 11-3 UNDER  in home games off a win by 2 goals or more over a division rival over the last 2 seasons.

NHL Road teams against the total (NEW JERSEY) - after allowing 4 goals or more 2 straight games against opponent after scoring 5 goals or more in 2 straight games are 33-9 L/5 seasons for a 79% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the UNDER 

04-23-21 Bruins v. Sabres UNDER 5.5 4-6 Loss -115 3 h 9 m Show

 Buffalo is on tired legs as they play their 3rd game in 4 nights and are in complete disarray especially from a offensive standpoint. BUFFALO is 7-0 UNDER (+7.1 Units) in home games after scoring 1 goal or less in 2 straight games over the last 2 seasons.Under is 5-0-1 in Sabres last 6 in the third game of a 3-in-4 days situation. Meanwhile, the Bruins continue to function at a high level as is evident by winning 6 straight games thanks to top strong goaltending and defense which has seen them allow just 6 goals during their current run. With that said, everything points to this being a low scoring affair. 

 BUFFALO is 11-3 UNDER  in home games against good possession teams-averaging 3+ more shots on goal than opp over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 51. gog scored. 

BOSTON is 14-5 UNDER  when playing against a team with a losing record this season with 4.6 gpg scored in those 3 games.  BOSTON is 10-3 UNDER against poor teams - outscored by their opponents by 0.3+ goals/game this season with a combined average 4.6 gpg scored. 

Play Under - Road teams against the total (BOSTON) - after a 3 game unbeaten streak, a marginal winning team (51% to 60%) playing a terrible team (30% or less).are 37-15 UNDER  L/24 seasons for a 71% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play UNDER 

04-20-21 Maple Leafs v. Canucks UNDER 6 3-6 Loss -100 12 h 13 m Show

#1 GOALTENDERS: TORONTO - JACK CAMPBELL, VANCOUVER - THATCHER DEMKO

These teams have had a recent string of playing low scoring affairs , going under in 9 of their L/10 meetings and 5 straight here in Vancouver. A couple of days ago the Canucks took a 3-2 win vs the Buds, and Im betting on more hard core defense to be on tonights agenda. 

Under is 3-0-1 in Maple Leafs last 4 overall. 

TORONTO is 9-2 UNDER revenging a same season loss vs opponent this season.

VANCOUVER is 10-4 UNDER  in home games against explosive offensive teams - scoring 3+ goals/game this season.Under is 4-0 in Canucks last 4 vs. a team with a winning % above .600.

Play UNDER 

04-20-21 Blue Jackets v. Panthers UNDER 5.5 1-5 Loss -100 7 h 35 m Show

#1 GOALTENDERS: COLUMBUS - JOONAS KORPISALO, FLORIDA - SPENCER KNIGHT

Both these teams are on tired legs after playing last night and in no way be ready to run and gun here this evening. 

COLUMBUS is 15-4 UNDER  in road games against poor power play killing teams - opp score on 17.5% worse  of chances this season. 

COLUMBUS is 7-0 UNDER  when playing on back-to-back days this season. COLUMBUS is 10-1 UNDER  when playing their 3rd game in 4 days this season.


FLORIDA is 7-1 UNDER when playing on back-to-back days this season.

NHL Road teams where the total is 5.5 (COLUMBUS) - cold team - failing to cover 6 or 7 of their last 8 against the spread, extremely tired team - playing their 3rd road game in 4 days are 30-7 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 81% conversion rate.

Play UNDER

04-18-21 Capitals v. Bruins UNDER 5.5 3-6 Loss -105 1 h 45 m Show

BOSTON is 24-11 UNDER  in home games against good offensive teams - scoring 2.85+ goals/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons.


BOSTON is 20-9 UNDER in home games in a home game where where the total is 5.5 over the last 2 season

Home teams where the total is 5.5 (BOSTON) - after a blowout win by 3 goals or more against opponent after playing a game where 9 or more total goals were scored are 52-19 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 73% conversion rate. 

Play UNDER

04-17-21 Capitals v. Flyers UNDER 6.5 6-3 Loss -117 3 h 17 m Show

The Capitals have allowed 1 goal or less in 4 of their L/7 games, while the Flyers are a hot or miss type side when it comes to puck stopping. The Caps have looked explosive offensively of late, but that will make the Flyers even more aware of their defensive play especially after being humiliated 6-1 the last time these teams met.  I now have this game   pegged to remain on the low side of the total because of the countervailing view of how this afternoon game plays out. 

PHILADELPHIA is 9-2 UNDER   in home games against poor defensive teams - allowing 2.85+ goals/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons.

NHL Home teams against the total (PHILADELPHIA) - revenging a blowout loss vs opponent of 4 goals or more, off a road win by 1 goal are  22-6 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 79% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the UNDER 

04-16-21 Golden Knights v. Ducks UNDER 5.5 4-0 Win 100 6 h 15 m Show

#1 GOALTENDERS: VEGAS - ROBIN LEHNER, ANAHEIM - JOHN GIBSON

Anaheim and Vegas in their L/2 meetings this season have seen a total of 6 goals scored and Im betting another close low scoring game in this spot play. 

 ANAHEIM is 6-0 UNDER  in home games revenging a close loss vs opponent of 1 goal or less this season.

ANAHEIM is 6-0 UNDER in home games when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 75%) this season with a combined average of 4.3 gpg scored. ANAHEIM is 8-1 UNDER  in home games against good defensive teams - allowing 2.55 or less  goals/game over the last 3 season

NHL team against the total (ANAHEIM) - poor offensive team - scoring 2.55 or less goals/game on the season - 2nd half of the season, after a blowout win by 3 goals or more.are 38-13 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 75% conversion rate for bettors.

Play UNDER 

04-16-21 Flames v. Canadiens OVER 5.5 1-2 Loss -100 2 h 16 m Show

#1 GOALTENDERS: CALGARY - JACOB MARKSTROM, MONTREAL - JAKE ALLEN

Play OVER

04-10-21 Blackhawks v. Blue Jackets UNDER 5.5 4-3 Loss -100 7 h 14 m Show

#1 GOALTENDERS: CHICAGO - KEVIN LANKINEN, COLUMBUS - JOONAS KORPISALO

CHICAGO is 8-0 UNDER  after failing to cover 5 or 6 of their last 7 against the spread this season.

CHICAGO is 5-0 UNDER in road games against terrible teams - outscored by opponents by 0.5+ goals/game this season.

Under is 5-0 in Blackhawks last 5 games as a road favorite.

COLUMBUS is 10-1 UNDER against lower tier defensive teams - allowing 3+ goals/game this season with a combined average of 4 gpg. 

Road teams where the total is 5.5 (CHICAGO) - after a blowout loss by 3 goals or more in their previous game against opponent after scoring 4 goals or more in 2 straight games are 145-84 UNDER L/24 seasons for a 63% conversion rate. 

Play UNDER

03-31-21 Maple Leafs v. Jets UNDER 6 3-1 Win 100 3 h 26 m Show

Leafs expected starting goalie Campbell owns a 2.01 goals-against average and .942 save percentage in four career starts versus Winnipeg. Meanwhile, Winnipeg's starting goalie the Reigning Vezina Trophy recipient Connor Hellebuyck  has turned aside 114 of 118 shots during his personal four-game winning streak. the last time these teams met Winnipeg won 5-2. Note: TORONTO is 7-1 UNDER  revenging a loss where opponent scored 4 or more goals this season.

NHL Home teams where the total is 6 or more (WINNIPEG) - off a road blowout win by 3 goals or more, a good team (60% to 70%) playing a team with a winning record are 33-9 UNDER L/23 seasons for a 79% conversion rate for bettors.

Play UNDER

03-11-21 Blackhawks v. Stars UNDER 5.5 4-2 Loss -121 11 h 20 m Show

The Dallas Stars are a defense first side, and  today against a Blackhawks side that needs to clamp down on defense after getting blasted last time out , we now have a situation that bodes well for  a defensive affair.  CHICAGO is 8-0 OVER  in road games after allowing 6 goals or more over the last 3 seasons.CHICAGO is 14-5 UNDER  in road games when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons. CHICAGO is 6-0 OVER off a loss by 2 goals or more to a division rival this season. Under is 7-3 in Blackhawks last 10 road games. 

Under is 5-1 in the last 6 meetings in Dallas.

 Road teams where the total is 5.5 (CHICAGO) - after allowing 5 goals or more against opponent after scoring 6 goals or more in their previous game are 31-9 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 78% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the UNDER

03-07-21 Sabres v. Islanders UNDER 5.5 2-5 Loss -129 3 h 49 m Show

The Isles have controlled this series winning 5 straight meetings this season,  with Buffalo scoring a total of 7 goals in those tilts, and Im betting they will once again struggle to score , while they themselves will be forced to be extremely conservative in an attempt to steal a game from the Isles, which Im betting also results in a low scoring affair. BUFFALO is 12-0 UNDER  in road games after 2 straight losses by 2 goals or more over the last 2 seasons.BUFFALO is 6-0 UNDER in road games off 2 consecutive losses of 2 goals or more to division rivals over the last 2 seasons.

NHL Road teams against the total (BUFFALO) - after allowing 3 goals or more 3 straight games against opponent after scoring 5 goals or more in 2 straight games are 32-7 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 82% conversion rate.

Play UNDER

02-28-21 Bruins v. Rangers UNDER 5.5 4-1 Win 103 2 h 19 m Show

Bruins usually show off solid goaltending and a top tier of defensive hockey, but their last two games have been down efforts, as they lost lost 7-2 to the Isles and than 6-2 to the Rangers. The Bruins know they have to get back to basics and thats what Im betting on them doing here today vs the Rangers in the rematch. 

NY RANGERS are 8-2 UNDER when playing against a team with a winning record this season. NY RANGERS are 9-3 UNDER against good offensive teams - scoring 2.85+ goals/game this season.

Road teams where the total is 5.5 (BOSTON) - after allowing 5 goals or more against opponent after scoring 6 goals or more in their previous game are 30-8 UNDER  L/5 seasons for a 79% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play UNDER 

02-27-21 Stars v. Lightning UNDER 5.5 0-5 Win 100 9 h 11 m Show
Dallas plays a very conservative style of hockey, that pays a great deal of attention  to defense . The Stars are tough to play against in transition, and pose problems for most teams  that depend on offensive flow for success like the defending champs. Add to that  their goaltender Khudobin (4-4-1) has been red hot stopping 92 of 94 shots to bring his goals-against average down to 2.35 per game and increase his save percentage to .928 and you have an edge in a goal output projection.  The Stars beat the Lightning 3-0 earlier this week, and Im betting they will strap themselves down again, and try to stay competitive with physical defensive brand of hockey which Im betting helps keep this game to a low scoring affair. Note: Bolts goalie Vasilevskiy (11-3-1, 1.87 goals against, .935 save percentage). 

DALLAS is 41-14 UNDER in a road game where where the total is 5.5 over the last 3 seasons. 

NHL Road teams where the total is 5.5 (DALLAS) - cold team - failing to cover 6 or 7 of their last 8 against the spread, extremely tired team - playing their 3rd road game in 4 days are 28-5 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 85% conversion rate for bettors including 2-0 this season. 

 Play UNDER
02-27-21 Penguins v. Islanders UNDER 5.5 4-3 Loss -105 9 h 39 m Show
The Islanders scored 7 goals last time out, with 5 goals in the last period vs the Bruins, but that is no their usual MO and tonight Im betting they get back the business of playing their usual conservative defensive style of play vs a Pittsburgh side, that they have triple revenge against. NY ISLANDERS are 14-4 UNDER  playing with triple revenge - 3 straight losses vs. opponent over the last 3 seasons. NHL Road teams where the total is 5.5 (PITTSBURGH) - after allowing 5 goals or more against opponent after scoring 6 goals or more in their previous game are 30-7 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 81% conversion rate for bettors.  Play UNDER 
02-23-21 Canadiens v. Senators UNDER 6 4-5 Loss -104 11 h 39 m Show

Montreal has only scored more than 2 goals once in their L/8 games and Im betting on a similar output here . Meanwhile, despite of Ottawa finding the net more often than anticipated recently Im betting on them finding the sledding will get tough in this spot.  These two teams have played very low scoring affairs in their L/7 meetings with no game seeing more than 5 combined goals go on the board. 

Under is 5-0 in Senators last 5 games as a home underdog.OTTAWA is 11-2 UNDER  against good offensive teams - averaging 29.5+ shots on goal per game this season

Under is 5-0 in Canadiens last 5 games as a favorite and  4-0-1 in Canadiens last 5 vs. a team with a losing record.  

Under is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings in Ottawa.Under is 7-0 in the last 7 meetings

NHL Road teams where the total is 6 or more (MONTREAL) - off a close road loss by 1 goal, a marginal winning team (51% to 60%) playing a losing team are 45-16 UNDER L/24 seasons for a 74% conversion rate for bettors.

Play UNDER

02-22-21 Golden Knights v. Avalanche UNDER 5.5 3-0 Win 100 14 h 35 m Show
Golden Knights goaltender Marc-Andre Fleury has looked sharp over the last five games, stopping 139 of 147 shots he has faced and Im betting on his top tier work to continue here tonight in a extension of a series vs the disciplined Colorado Avs that has seen all 3 meetings so far stay under the set total. VEGAS is 14-2 UNDER  against good defensive teams - allowing 2.55 or less goals/game over the last 3 seasons NHL Home teams where the total is 5.5 (COLORADO) - after 2 or more consecutive unders against opponent after 5 or more consecutive unders are 60-24 UNDER L/24 seasons  for a 72% conversion rate for bettors.

NHL Road teams where the total is 5.5 (VEGAS) - off a loss against a division rival, a good team (60% to 70%) playing a team with a winning record in the first half of the season are 38-9 UNDER L/24 seasons for a 79% conversion rate for bettors.

Play UNDER

02-17-21 Blackhawks v. Red Wings UNDER 5.5 2-0 Win 100 7 h 22 m Show
02-17-21 Panthers v. Hurricanes UNDER 6.5 4-3 Loss -110 5 h 52 m Show
02-08-21 Canucks v. Maple Leafs UNDER 6.5 1-3 Win 102 9 h 24 m Show

The Canucks have surrendered 23 goals during their current four-game losing skid.QUOTE: "We're a disconnected group right now and it's showing. It's frustrating," Vancouver goaltender Braden Holtby said. "If we want to be a good team, we've got to have everyone pulling the same rope. And that's what we work towards from now on." END QUOTE: Now I expect the Canucks to make a concerted effort to play a better brand of defensive hockey that will focus attention to transition, which Im betting will result in a combined score that stays on the low side of the total. 

 TORONTO is 7-1 UNDER in home games after scoring 5 goals or more in their previous game over the last 2 seasons which was the case in a 5-1 victory vs the Canucks on Saturday night. 

NHL Road teams against the total (VANCOUVER) - after allowing 3 goals or more 3 straight games against opponent after scoring 5 goals or more in 2 straight games are 31-7 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 82%. conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on Under 

01-18-21 Sharks v. Blues UNDER 6 4-5 Loss -110 11 h 36 m Show

The Sharks lost 5-3 last time out to the Arizona Coyotes and will now be out to play a better brand of defensive hockey in a bounce back situation. The same holds true for the St.Louis Blues who were smashed by a 8-0 count last time out vs Colorado. SAN JOSE is 15-1 UNDER   after allowing 5 goals or more over the last 2 seasons. Another interesting anomaly has  the Under going  10-1 in Blues last 11 Monday tilts.

Play UNDER 

01-13-21 Canadiens v. Maple Leafs UNDER 6.5 4-5 Loss -121 9 h 40 m Show

Toronto goalie Frederik Andersen, owns  a 7-3-2 record and .923 save percentage lifetime against the Canadiens, and after a inconsistent season last year, will be primed to bounce back this season especially this being the last year of his contract. Meanwhile, Price the Habs goalie tonight is also in a contract year and is one of the better goalies in the leauge when hes healthy, and must be respected even here against a high powered offence. Under is 8-1 in Canadiens last 9 vs. Atlantic.Under is 6-1 in Canadiens last 7 games as a road underdog.Under is 6-1 in Canadiens last 7 road games. Under is 5-0 in Maple Leafs last 5 games as a home favorite. Under is 5-0 in Maple Leafs last 5 home games.

Play UNDER

08-31-20 Stars v. Avalanche UNDER 6 3-6 Loss -104 10 h 57 m Show

Colorado needs desperately to clamp down defensively , after trying to push the pace in wide open affairs, that has resulted in mostly negative results for them.  Also Dallas also wants to get back to solid defensive hockey, which ha a been a keystone of their successes this season. With that said, Im betting on a lower scoring affair here today that fails to eclipse the total. 

DALLAS is 6-0 UNDER  after allowing 4 goals or more 2 straight games this season.DALLAS is 17-8 UNDER  in road games when playing on back-to-back days over the last 2 seasons.

Play on UNDER

08-30-20 Golden Knights v. Canucks OVER 5.5 5-3 Win 100 12 h 41 m Show

Over is 7-1-1 in Canucks last 9 when their opponent allows 2 goals or less in their previous game.

Over is 5-1-1 in Canucks last 7 in the fourth game of a 4-in-6 days situation.Over is 4-1 in Canucks last 5 in the third game of a 3-in-4 days situation.Over is 4-1-1 in Canucks last 6 following a loss of 3 or more goals.Over is 4-1 in Canucks last 5 following a home loss of 3 or more goals.Over is 19-7-1 in Canucks last 27 after scoring 2 goals or less in their previous game.Over is 5-2 in Canucks last 7 games playing on 0 days rest.Over is 5-2 in Canucks last 7 vs. Pacific.Over is 14-6-1 in Canucks last 21 vs. Western Conference.Over is 7-3 in Canucks last 10 vs. a team with a winning record.Over is 15-7-1 in Canucks last 23 games as an underdog.Over is 21-10-1 in Canucks last 32 overall.

Over is 4-1 in Golden Knights last 5 when their opponent scores 2 goals or less in their previous game.Under is 4-1 in Golden Knights last 5 games playing on 0 days rest.Over is 4-1 in Golden Knights last 5 vs. a team with a winning record.Over is 13-4-2 in Golden Knights last 19 after allowing 2 goals or less in their previous game.

Play OVER

08-30-20 Flyers v. Islanders UNDER 5 2-3 Push 0 3 h 4 m Show

 Last night the Isles continued their tough defensive play en route to a 3-1 win.New York’s currently giving up a postseason best 1.73 goals per game while Philadelphia’s second among remaining clubs at 2.09. DEFENCE, DEFENCE and more DEFENCE remains the name of the game here . Under is 4-0 in Flyers last 4 games as an underdog.

Under is 7-1 in Flyers last 8 vs. a team with a winning record.Under is 5-1-1 in Flyers last 7 games playing on 1 days rest.Under is 12-3-1 in Flyers last 16 overall.Under is 4-1-3 in Flyers last 8 playoff games as an underdog.Under is 12-3-1 in Flyers last 16 vs. Eastern Conference.

Under is 4-1 in Flyers last 5 vs. Metropolitan.Under is 3-0-1 in Islanders last 4 games as a favorite.Under is 3-0-1 in Islanders last 4 playoff games as a favorite.Under is 4-1-1 in Islanders last 6 overall.

Play UNDER

08-29-20 Flyers v. Islanders UNDER 5 1-3 Win 104 12 h 30 m Show

Barry Trotz and the NYI have been terrific defensively all season long, and in the play offs so far, except for one lapse in the 3rd period of game two, that cost them the game. Now I expect the Isles under a disciplined system to come out here and smuther the Flyers and for Philadelphia to reciprocate . Under is 6-1 in Flyers last 7 vs. a team with a winning record.Under is 11-2-1 in Flyers last 14 overall.Under is 11-2-1 in Flyers last 14 vs. Eastern Conference.Under is 5-1-1 in Flyers last 7 games playing on 1 days rest.

Under is 23-6-2 in Islanders last 31 in the third game of a 3-in-4 days situation.Under is 3-1-1 in Islanders last 5 overall.Under is 15-5-1 in Islanders last 21 Saturday games.Under is 3-1-1 in Islanders last 5 vs. Eastern Conference.Under is 3-1-1 in Islanders last 5 vs. Metropolitan.Under is 5-2-2 in Islanders last 9 playoff games as a favorite.Under is 35-15-2 in Islanders last 52 in the fourth game of a 4-in-6 days situation.Under is 36-16-3 in Islanders last 55 games playing on 1 days rest.

Play UNDER

08-29-20 Lightning v. Bruins OVER 5.5 3-1 Loss -108 5 h 41 m Show

TB pounded the Bruins 7-1 last time out. It interesting to note that TAMPA BAY is 14-4 OVER  off a win by 3 goals or more over a division rival over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 7.4 gpg scored. Im expecting the Bruins to expand their game offensively and for TB to keep rolling. 

Over is 4-1 in Bruins last 5 playoff games as an underdog.

Play OVER 

08-25-20 Canucks v. Golden Knights OVER 5.5 5-2 Win 100 16 h 16 m Show

The Vegas Knights took a 5-0 win in game 1 of this series and the previous two games this season saw 9 goals scored in both affairs, and Im expecting for more offensive fireworks here again today. VEGAS is 11-4 OVER  after a blowout win by 3 goals or more this season with a combined average of 7 gpg scored.VANCOUVER is 10-3 OVER  in road games revenging a loss vs opponent of 2 goals or more this season with a combined average of 7.4 gpg scored. 

Play OVER

08-23-20 Canucks v. Golden Knights OVER 5.5 0-5 Loss -115 14 h 51 m Show

These teams played twice back in December before the NHL was shutdown. Both games easily eclipsed the total with 9 combined goals scored in both tilts. Rinse and repeat here today. 

VEGAS is 21-12 OVER  when playing against a team with a winning record this season with a combined average of 6.6 gpg scored.VEGAS is 20-9 OVER vs. division opponents over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 6.9 gpg scored. Over is 6-0 in Golden Knights last 6 games playing on 3 or more days rest.

Over is 20-8-1 in Canucks last 29 overall.

Play OVER

08-23-20 Bruins v. Lightning UNDER 5.5 3-2 Win 100 11 h 25 m Show

These teams respect each other and Im betting game 1 will be physical and conservative and played out of transition, which will lead to a lower scoring affair that fail to eclipse this total. .

BOSTON is 20-9 UNDER  against good offensive teams - scoring 2.85+ goals/game - 2nd half of the season this season.

TAMPA BAY is 17-7 UNDER  in road games against good offensive teams - scoring 2.85+ goals/game this season.

Play UNDER

08-20-20 Stars v. Flames UNDER 5 7-3 Loss -100 27 h 48 m Show

Western Conference - First Round - Best Of 7 - Game 6 - Edmonton, AB

The style of play that Dallas bases it successes on  which is a defense first mentality makes for  lower-scoring affairs  even in games   they dominate. 

 DALLAS is 30-16 UNDER  against poor defensive teams - allowing 2.85+ goals/game this season.

CALGARY is 11-3 UNDER  in road games when playing 6 or more games in 10 days over the last 2 seasons.

Play UNDER

08-18-20 Blackhawks v. Golden Knights UNDER 6 3-4 Loss -115 13 h 46 m Show

Western Conference - First Round - Best Of 7 - Game 5 - Edmonton, AB

Blackhawks goalie Crawford  in his career when facing elimination, owns a  91.8 % SVP o and a 2.39 goals-against average and Im betting he will be hard to beat here tonight. On the flipside Vegas has proved more than capable of slowing the Blackhawks offence, and nothing will change tonight in a game I have pegged to stay on the low side of the total.VEGAS is 19-7 UNDER  against good starting goalies - (saving  91.5%  or better of shots against) in the 2nd half of the season over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 4.6 gpg scored.

Play UNDER

08-16-20 Capitals v. Islanders UNDER 5 1-2 Win 127 4 h 48 m Show

NYI Barry Trotz has coached this NYI team well and their system is stringent defensively to say the least, and Im betting nothing changes here today in a game I have pegged to stay on the low side of the number.  The Isles beat the Caps 5-2 last time out . Note: NY ISLANDERS are 10-2 UNDER in road games after a blowout win by 3 goals or more over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 4.3 gpg. 

Play on the UNDER

08-15-20 Golden Knights v. Blackhawks UNDER 6 2-1 Win 101 11 h 30 m Show

The Chicago Blackhawks have lost the first two games of their best-of-seven series with the Vegas Golden Knights and really need to shore up their defence to compete, and today in desperation mode I expect a big time effort from the entire team defensively and for this tilt to remain on the low side of the total. 

NHL team against the total (CHICAGO) - revenging a loss versus opponent as a favorite, a marginal losing team (40% to 49%) playing a winning team are 156-105 UNDER L/24 seasons for a 60% conversion rate! 

Play on the UNDER

08-13-20 Blackhawks v. Golden Knights OVER 6 3-4 Win 100 29 h 42 m Show

The Hawks had problems offensively in game 1 so Colliton is  will now pair Kane and Toews on the same line in five-on-five, not just the power play.HC Colliton also said “Ultimately, we’ve got to know: Forwards get to the net, find a way, be there and you find a way to get it through. That goes back to establishing (offensive)-zone presence, find a way to be there a little bit longer and we’ll get our chances.” With that said, Im expecting a more aggressive offensive attack here tonight from the Hawks, and as a result of more open play, more goals from both sides.

CHICAGO is 5-0 OVER in road games revenging 2 straight losses vs opponent by 2 goals or more this season.

Play on the OVER

08-12-20 Islanders v. Capitals UNDER 5.5 4-2 Loss -130 9 h 36 m Show

The Washington Capitals In the postseason at even strength,  rank last in shots per 60 minutes and their goals at 1.54. Here against a NYI Barry Trotz defense first system, Im betting the Caps once again find it hard to score, while their own reliance on top tier D will be paramount in a game I have pegged to stay on the low side of the totals number.

NY ISLANDERS are 9-1 UNDER in road games after a blowout win by 4 goals or more over the last 2 seasons.

Play UNDER

08-07-20 Islanders v. Panthers UNDER 5 5-1 Loss -100 3 h 13 m Show
08-04-20 Panthers v. Islanders UNDER 5 2-4 Loss -100 3 h 37 m Show

The Islanders play a one way style of conservative defensive hockey and nothing will change here today.  These teams have a history of low scoring affairs with 8 of 9 games in this series having gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . 

Play UNDER 

08-01-20 Panthers v. Islanders UNDER 5.5 1-2 Win 100 19 h 46 m Show

The Islanders have a way of forcing teams into playing their style of grinding defensive  hockey. Here this Saturday against the Panthers nothing will change.(7 of 8 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons.) The 4 most recent games in this series have seen an average  combined total of 3.75 goal per game scored. 

Play UNDER

03-10-20 Hurricanes v. Red Wings UNDER 6 5-2 Loss -118 4 h 47 m Show

GOALTENDERS: CAROLINA - PETR MRAZEK, DETROIT - JIMMY HOWARD

After upsetting Tampa Bay last time out 5-4 Detroit Im betting wont be catching the Carolina Caners by surprise, and instead I look for them to have a regression to the mean offensively which means a output 2 goals or less which is their season average. Meanwhile, Carolina continues to play an inconsistent brand of hockey, but that has shown some defensive prowess recently allowing back to back 2 goal outputs by their opposition. CAROLINA is 8-0 UNDER   in road games off 2 or more consecutive road wins over the last 2 seasons.

DETROIT is 15-6 UNDER  against good offensive teams - averaging 29.5+ shots on goal per game in the 2nd half of the year this season.DETROIT is 13-4 UNDER   in home games after playing a game where 9 or more total goals were scored over the last 2 seasons and is 8-1 UNDER  in home games off a home win against a division rival over the last 2 seasons. 

Play UNDER 

03-10-20 Penguins v. Devils UNDER 6 5-2 Loss -111 10 h 54 m Show

Pittsburgh  has struggled defensively of late, but knowing the importance of shoring up their D and getting back on track will be a key concentration point . Tonight against a sub .500 side that will not be in the post season key to trying to getting a win will to be slow down an inconsistent offence, especially since the Pens are on tired legs as they prepare to play their 8th game in 14 nights.  . Note: PITTSBURGH is 7-1 UNDER  in road games against struggling defensive teams - allowing 3+ goals/game - 2nd half of the season this season with a combined average of 4.7 gpg.NEW JERSEY is 23-12 UNDER when playing against a marginal winning team (Win Pct. 51% to 60%) in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 5.3 gpg scored. 

After back to back losses to division rivals Washington and Carolina playing strong   D, Im sure is on tonights agenda. Note:PITTSBURGH is 16-4 UNDER  in road games off an embarrassing loss by 4 goals or more to a division rival. (Lost 6-2 to Carolina last time out)

PITTSBURGH is 9-1 UNDER in road games after 3 or more consecutive overs over the last 2 seasons.

Play on the UNDER 

03-08-20 Blue Jackets v. Canucks UNDER 5.5 2-1 Win 100 11 h 25 m Show

GOALTENDERS: COLUMBUS - ELVIS MERZLIKINS, VANCOUVER - THATCHER DEMKO

On Friday night Vancouver and Colorado took part in a back forth 6-3 tilt the Canucks won and now Im betting on a more tempered game from them here tonight vs a Columbus team that predicates its successes and failure on top tier defence. The Blue Jackets offence is less than formidable averaging just 2.4 gpg on the road this season and 2.5 goals per game in their L/5 overall. 

COLUMBUS is 8-0 UNDER  after 3 consecutive non-conference games this season.COLUMBUS is 26-12 UNDER against excellent power play teams - scoring on > 19% of their chances this season.

VANCOUVER is 7-1 UNDER in home games after playing a game where 9 or more total goals were scored over the last 2 season

Play UNDER 

03-07-20 Sabres v. Flyers UNDER 6 1-3 Win 100 5 h 50 m Show

GOALTENDERS: BUFFALO - CARTER HUTTON, PHILADELPHIA - CARTER HART

Buffalo has gone 6 straight games without scoring more than 2 goals and have gone 0-13 on the power play recently. This Sabres team is struggling to score and tonight vs a red hot Philadelphia team Im betting on them having more problems burying the biscuit. Their inadequacies on offence and their need to be more efficient defensively will help this game stay under the total. Note: Philadelphia is also on tired legs so Im betting they temper this attack to retain energy . Note: PHILADELPHIA is 13-6 UNDER  in home games when playing their 3rd game in 5 days this season.

BUFFALO is 6-0 UNDER after 2 straight losses by 2 goals or more this season.

Play UNDER 

03-07-20 Predators v. Stars UNDER 5.5 1-0 Win 100 4 h 23 m Show

GOALTENDERS: NASHVILLE - PEKKA RINNE, DALLAS - BEN BISHOP

Dallas plays a one way transitional type of defensive  hockey and nothing will change here today. DALLAS is 13-2 UNDER  in home games in March games over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 4 gpg scored. 

DALLAS is 12-4 UNDER  in home games against good passing teams - averaging 5 or more assists per game this season.

NHL Home teams where the total is 5 or less (DALLAS) - average scoring team (score 2.5-2.9 goals/G) vs a poor defensive team (allow >=2.9 goals/G) are 52-30 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 64% conversion rate for bettors.

Play UNDER 

03-03-20 Sabres v. Jets OVER 6 1-3 Loss -111 7 h 35 m Show

GOALTENDERS: BUFFALO - CARTER HUTTON, WINNIPEG - CONNOR HELLEBUYCK

Sabres starter Hutton has a ugly 3.68 GAA over 14 road games.

NHL. Road teams against the total (BUFFALO) - off 3 or more consecutive road losses, with a losing record in the second half of the season are 29-10 OVER L/5 seasons for a 75% conversion rate. 

Play OVER 

03-03-20 Blues v. Rangers OVER 6 3-1 Loss -108 6 h 38 m Show

ST LOUIS - JORDAN BINNINGTON, NY RANGERS - ALEXANDAR GEORGIEV

NY RANGERS are 8-2 OVER  against explosive offensive teams - scoring 3+ goals/game - 2nd half of the season this season with a combined average of 6.8 gpg game scored.

ST LOUIS is 10-4 OVER  against good offensive teams - scoring 2.85+ goals/game - 2nd half of the season this season with a combined average of 6.9 gpg scored. 

 NHL  Road teams against the total (ST LOUIS) - after a 5 game unbeaten streak, in March games are 29-8 OVER L/5 seasons for a 79% conversion rate for bettors.

Play OVER 

02-29-20 Sabres v. Coyotes OVER 5.5 2-5 Win 104 8 h 53 m Show

GOALTENDERS: BUFFALO - JONAS JOHANSSON, ARIZONA - DARCY KUEMPER

Buffalo is allowing 3.4 gpg on the road this season, and should provide a Vegas side that does not do alot of consistent scoring to have an above average night offensively which will aid in this game going over the set total. Buffalo in their L/5 games have averaged 5 goals per game and now out of a play off race are not being as stringent defensively as they would be if these games meant more to them. Value to the over.

Play over  

02-25-20 Devils v. Red Wings UNDER 6 4-1 Win 100 7 h 46 m Show

The New Jersey Devils and Detroit Red Wings both occupy the basement of their respective divisions in the Eastern Conference. NJ has won 2 straight games,  with tight defensive efforts by 2-1 and 3-2 counts while  the Red Wings, who have dropped 16 of 19 (3-15-1) and scored more than three goals only once in that span. Im expecting the Devils to continue this type of hockey as its been success-full lately and for Motown to continue to struggle to score which will result in lower scoring affair. 

Under is 6-0-1 in Red Wings last 7 when their opponent allows 2 goals or less in their previous game.Under is 7-0-1 in Red Wings last 8 vs. Metropolitan.Under is 6-1-2 in Red Wings last 9 overall.Under is 6-1-2 in Red Wings last 9 games as an underdog.Under is 6-1-1 in Red Wings last 8 vs. Eastern Conference.Under is 5-1-1 in Red Wings last 7 games as a home underdog.Under is 5-1-2 in Red Wings last 8 games playing on 1 days rest.Under is 5-1-1 in Red Wings last 7 home games.

 Under is 8-0-1 in Devils last 9 games as a favorite.

Under is 3-0-1 in the last 4 meetings.

Play on the  UNDER 

02-20-20 Flyers v. Blue Jackets UNDER 5.5 4-3 Loss -115 11 h 5 m Show

Columbus plays a conservative disciplined brand of defensive hockey, and they consistently find a way to keep games chippy and physical while taking teams out of their offensive flow.  Rinse and repeat here tonight vs Philadelphia as they will be very stringent after suffering a 5-1 loss to the Flyers in the first part of this home and home series. 

COLUMBUS is 6-0 UNDER  in home games when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season this season with a combined average of 2.3 gpg scored.

COLUMBUS is 15-2 UNDER  in a home game where where the total is 5.5 this season.

NHL Road teams where the total is 5.5 (PHILADELPHIA) - after 2 or more consecutive overs, high scoring team (2.9 or more goals/G) vs an avg. scoring team (2.5-2.9 goals/G) - 2nd half of the year are 47-17 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 74% conversion rate for bettors.

Play UNDER 

02-16-20 Bruins v. Rangers OVER 6 3-1 Loss -105 5 h 2 m Show

Bruins super star David Pastrnak, who became the first player to 42 goals on Saturday, has seven points in two games versus the Rangers this season and Im betting he will be a catalyst here in an above average Bruins offensive output , that will help buoy this game over the set total. 

Over is 7-0 in Rangers last 7 games a home underdog.Over is 11-4-1 in Rangers last 16 games playing on 1 days rest.Over is 9-4-1 in Rangers last 14 home games.Over is 14-4-1 in Rangers last 19 games as an underdog.

Over is 6-0 in the last 6 meetings in New York.

Play OVER 

02-14-20 Sharks v. Jets OVER 6 3-2 Loss -125 14 h 32 m Show

San Jose is off two straight games where 9 and 8 combined goals were scored and tonight Im betting this tilt vs a Winnipeg team, that has scored 14 total goals in a 3 game span prior to being held to 1 goal last time out will also be fairly high scoring  . Considering both sides current form and style of play Im projecting a combined score that eclipses this total. Note: San Jose has allowed an average of 3.5 gpg on the road this season and have allowed 3 or more goals in 5 of their L/7 games overall, while Winnipeg scores an average of 3.2 gpg in their L/5 while allowing 31.6 shots per game and taking 34.6 shot per game. 

Over is 5-1 in Sharks last 6 games playing on 3 or more days rest.

Over is 4-1 in Sharks last 5 vs. Western Conference.

NHL  team against the total (SAN JOSE) - well rested team - playing 5 or less games in 14 days, in February games are 259-175 L/5 seasons for a 60% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play OVER 

02-13-20 Oilers v. Lightning UNDER 6 1-3 Win 100 3 h 21 m Show

With one of the leagues top scorers  McDavid  out of Edmonton Oilers  lineup Im betting  his absence will effect their offensive slow and output. 
This will directly effect the total of this game to the under as Im also betting on a Edmonton team that should now be committed to playing conservatively out of transition.  .Meanwhile,  With the playoffs on the horizon TB is gearing up defensively and physical which will also contribute to a contest that does not produce more than 6 goals. Under is 4-0-2 in Lightning last 6 overall.

TAMPA BAY is 7-1 UNDER when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season this season of 4.2 gpg scored.TAMPA BAY is 8-0 UNDER after having won 15 or more of their last 20 games this season.

Play UNDER

02-10-20 Lightning v. Blue Jackets UNDER 6 2-1 Win 100 11 h 3 m Show

 The Blue Jackets' defense and goaltending are key to their run of success of late.  Netminder Elvis Merzlikins has recorded five shutouts in the last nine contests, and the team's goalies have a league-high seven on the season, and Im betting another concerted effort to play tough defence will be on tonights agenda vs a offensively explosive Tampa Bay team. The Bolts in a recent game vs the Isles matched their opponents tough defensive game plan, with a similar style of play and it payed dividends in a 3-1 win, and Im betting that will be modus operandi here again tonight in a tilt I have pegged to stay under the total. COLUMBUS is 24-9 UNDER against good offensive teams - scoring 2.85+ goals/game this season with a combined average of 4.8 gpg scored. TAMPA BAY is 6-0 UNDER  after having won 15 or more of their last 20 games this season with a combined average of 4.7 gpg scored.

Under is 5-0-1 in Lightning last 6 vs. Metropolitan. Under is 6-2-1 in Lightning last 9 road games.

Under is 10-4-1 in Lightning last 15 games as a road favorite.

Under is 5-0 in Blue Jackets last 5 games as a home underdog.

Under is 8-1 in Blue Jackets last 9 vs. a team with a winning % above .600.

 Under is 6-1 in Blue Jackets last 7 games as an underdog.

Under is 6-1 in Blue Jackets last 7 vs. Atlantic.

Play UNDER 

02-09-20 Blackhawks v. Jets OVER 6 2-5 Win 100 7 h 56 m Show

Both these teams have seen 6 gpg average in their games this season, and this one set up to eclipse those averages according to my projections.

Over is 13-3 in Blackhawks last 16 games playing on 3 or more days rest.Over is 6-1-1 in Jets last 8 games playing on 0 days rest.

CHICAGO is 24-8 OVER  against good offensive teams - scoring 2.85+ goals/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons with an AVERAGE OF 7.3 gog scored.

WINNIPEG is 15-4 OVER L/19 after allowing 2 goals or less in 4 straight games with a combined average of 7 gpg going on the scoreboard. 

NHL Home teams against the total (WINNIPEG) - after allowing 2 goals or less in 4 straight games against opponent after a close loss by 1 goal in their previous game are 31-11 OVER L/5  seasons for a 74% conversion rate for bettors.

Over is 5-2 in the last 7 meetings.

Play OVER

02-06-20 Sharks v. Oilers OVER 6 6-3 Win 100 13 h 12 m Show

GOALTENDERS: SAN JOSE - AARON DELL, EDMONTON - MIKKO KOSKINEN

Edmonton (8-1-2) L/11 has scored at least four goals in each of the wins before absorbing a 3-0 defeat to the Coyotes, the team's first shutout loss since Oct. 22. Today I expect a big bounce back and alot more offensive output. Note:Edmonton's top-ranked power play is converting on 28.9 percent of its chances. Meanwhile, San Jose has allowed  25 goals in their L/7 games and are deficient defensively, and this will be a key here to us getting an over bet to cash on this tilt. 

EDMONTON is 13-6 OVER  in home games against poor defensive teams - opponents average 29.5+ shots on goal this season with a combined average of 7 gpg scored. 

SAN JOSE is 15-4 OVER off a win by 2 goals or more over a division rival over the last 2 seasons with an average of 7.4 gpg scored. 

Play OVER 

02-04-20 Canucks v. Bruins OVER 6 0-4 Loss -100 7 h 52 m Show

Vancouver is on tired legs as they enter this tilt playing their 4th straight road game  in less than a week, and Im betting will find it difficult tonight vs a Bruins team that is off a 6-1 win last time out and on a couple of days rest. The Canucks have been finding ways to win, this season, much to the surprise of the pundits thanks to a better than advertised offence, but lately despite of scoring their D is showing some chinks in their proverbial arm-our and a a result they have gone over in 3 straight games. On the road the Canucks allow an average of 3.4 gpg , and Im betting their season average as visitors will be eclipsed here, and their own ability to bury the biscuit will help this score go over the total.   VANCOUVER is 7-1 OVER  in road games after 2 consecutive non-conference games this season with an average of 7.7 gpg scored. 

NHL Road teams where the total is 6 or more (VANCOUVER) - explosive offensive team - scoring 3+ goals/game on the season - 2nd half of the season, after scoring 3 goals or more in 5 straight games are 50-19 OVER L/5 seasons for a 73% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play OVER 

02-02-20 Blue Jackets v. Canadiens UNDER 5.5 4-3 Loss -114 2 h 59 m Show

GOALTENDERS: COLUMBUS - ELVIS MERZLIKINS, MONTREAL - CHARLIE LINDGREN

Price is 1-1-0 against the Jackets this season, allowing seven goals. Over his career against Columbus, he is 10-5-1 with a 2.36 goals-against average.

COLUMBUS is 8-2 UNDER  when playing against a marginal losing team (Win Pct. 40% to 49%) this season with the combined average of 4.5 gpg scored. COLUMBUS is 22-8 UNDER against good offensive teams - scoring 2.85+ goals/game this season.

COLUMBUS is 22-8 UNDER (+13.5 Units) against good offensive teams - scoring 2.85+ goals/game this season, with a combined average of 4.7 gpg . 

NHL Home teams where the total is 5.5 (MONTREAL) - off a home win, playing on back-to-back days are 108-48 UNDER L/23 seasons for a long term 69% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play UNDER 

01-29-20 Predators v. Capitals OVER 6.5 5-4 Win 107 11 h 25 m Show

Nashville upset Washington by a 6-5 count the last time they played on Oct 10, and now with revenge on board Im betting on the Capitals will be coming at the Preds with everything but the kitchen sink, knowing that he scores last will most probably be the victors here. WASHINGTON is 9-1 OVER revenging a road loss versus opponent this season with a combined average of 7.3 gpg scored. 

NASHVILLE is 6-0 OVER  against top caliber teams - outscoring opponents by 0.65+ goals/game this season with a combined average of 7.6 gpg scored. 

WASHINGTON is 25-9 OVER  vs team defense that allow their  - opponents to average 29.5+ shots on goal this season with a combined average of 6.9 gpg scored. 

Play on the OVER 

01-20-20 Red Wings v. Avalanche UNDER 6.5 3-6 Loss -110 3 h 28 m Show

GOALTENDERS: DETROIT - JIMMY HOWARD, COLORADO - PHILIPP GRUBAUER

Detroit is scoring just 2 gpg on average on the road this season, and know they cannot compete offensively here vs an explosive Colorado side Im betting they approach this tilt very conservatively as they look to avoid bring embarrassed. This Im betting results in a total score that remains on the low side of the total. 

NHL team against the total (DETROIT) - cold team - having lost 20 or more of their last 25 games, extremely tired team - when playing their 3rd game in 4 days are 54-26 UNDER L/23 seasons for a 68% conversion rare for bettors. 

NHL Road teams against the total (DETROIT) - off a blowout loss by 3 goals or more to a division rival, in January games are 32-12 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 73% conversion rate for bettors. 

NHL Road teams where the total is 6 or more (DETROIT) - off a blowout loss by 3 goals or more to a division rival, tired team - playing their 4th game in 7 days are 31-16 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 66% conversion rate. 

Play UNDER 

01-16-20 Hurricanes v. Blue Jackets UNDER 5.5 2-3 Win 100 12 h 54 m Show

GOALTENDERS: CAROLINA - PETR MRAZEK, COLUMBUS - ELVIS MERZLIKINS

Both theses teams play a similar tight forechecking type of defensive hockey, that results in consistent low scoring outputs, both from themselves and their opponents. For example Columbus has won back to back games by 3-0 nothing scores, while, Carolina has shut out 2 of their L/3 opponents but scored just 5 goals in in total in thier L/3 trips to the frozen pond. Im betting on more of the same tight defensive play and top tier goaltending when both sides meet tonight. 

 CAROLINA is 6-0 UNDER in road games revenging 2 straight close losses vs opponent by 1 goal or less over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 4.2 gpg scored.(Columbus won both meetings this season, by one goal counts)

 COLUMBUS is 9-1 UNDER  in a home game where where the total is 5.5 this season with a combined average of 4.7 gpg scored.COLUMBUS is 8-0 UNDER after having won 5 or 6 of their last 7 games this season with a combined average of 3.9 gpg scored.

NHL Home teams where the total is 5.5 (COLUMBUS) - after 2 straight blowout wins by 3 goals or more against opponent after a loss by 2 goals or more in their previous game are 71-29 UNDER L/23 seasons for a 71% conversion rate for bettors.

Play UNDER 

01-12-20 Penguins v. Coyotes UNDER 5.5 4-3 Loss -112 6 h 56 m Show

Arizona has been shutout in back to back games and are obviously struggling offensively. With this being Pittsburgh final game of a 3 game west coast road trip Im betting they are on tired legs after two 4-3 wins , and will be more tempered in their approach to this game against what they know is hungry team. What Arizona continues to do despite of their recent scoring woes, is play strong defence, and today against a upper echelon side, that defensive vigilance Im betting will be on full display. 

ARIZONA is 8-1 UNDER  in home games against excellent starting goalies - saving  93% or more of shots against over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 4 gpg. ARIZONA is 24-9 UNDER when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 75%) over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 5 gpg scored. 

NHL road teams where the total is 5.5 (PITTSBURGH) - after 2 or more consecutive overs, high scoring team (2.9 or more goals/G) vs an avg. scoring team (2.5-2.9 goals/G) - 2nd half of the year are 46-15 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 76% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play UNDER 

01-11-20 Blue Jackets v. Golden Knights UNDER 5.5 3-0 Win 100 14 h 4 m Show

 GOALTENDERS: COLUMBUS - ELVIS MERZLIKINS, VEGAS - MARC-ANDRE FLEURY

Columbus enters this game playing a tremendous brand of tight defensive hockey that bases their own scoring chances out of transition. In the Blue Jackets last 13 games they have allowed an average of just 2 GPG and the combined average of those tilts clicks in at 5 gpg.  Vegas has been taking part in some high scoring back and forth games of late, but their HC Gallant has not been happy with the teams play, and wants to get back what has made the Knights so hard to play against since their inception into the NHL. tonight he has a prime opportunity to get back to basics vs a team that will be in a fore checking mode from the get go. 

COLUMBUS is 17-7 UNDER  against good offensive teams - scoring 2.85+ goals/game this season.

NHLHome teams against the total (VEGAS) - after 5 or more consecutive overs, high scoring team (score 2.9 or more goals/G) vs an average scoring team (score 2.5-2.9 goals/G) are 84-48 UNDER L/23 seasons for a 64% conversion rate for bettors.

NHL team against the total (COLUMBUS) - revenging a loss vs opponent as a home favorite, a marginal losing team (40% to 49%) playing a winning team are 93-54 L/23 seasons for a 63% conversion rate for bettors.

Play UNDER

01-07-20 Flames v. Blackhawks OVER 6.5 2-1 Loss -100 15 h 33 m Show

Chicago has been doing some scoring of late and have seen an average of 4.4 gpg in their L/5 games find the back of the net. Meanwhile, their D, remains sub par and has allowed 3.3 gpg in their L/5 and on the season as a whole. Over is 6-1 in Blackhawks last 7 vs. Pacific.

Their opponents tonight Calgary have also been scoring consistently lately scoring 3.8 gpg in their L/5 games while allowing 3.6 gpg during that span with 7 of their L/8 going over the total. Over is 5-0-1 in Flames last 6 games as a favorite.

Im betting when they converge tonight a all out run and gun affair will take place and this score will eclipse this total number. These teams in their most recent meetings have taken part in high scoring affairs, including this season 5-3 tilt that the Blackhawks took. 

CHICAGO is 22-9 OVER  against poor power play killing teams - opp score on 17.5% or more of chances in the 2nd half of the year over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 7.3 gpg scored. CHICAGO is 17-3 OVER  against excellent power play teams- scoring on 17.5% or more  of their chances in the 2nd half of the year over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 7.7 gpg. CHICAGO is 16-3 OVER ( against good offensive teams - 29 or more shots on goal, convert 17% or better pp - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 8.1 gpg scored. 

Play on the OVER

01-05-20 Panthers v. Penguins UNDER 6.5 4-1 Win 100 6 h 38 m Show

These two teams have not combined to score more than 6 goals in any of their L/4 meetings dating back to last season and Im betting nothing changes here today. Add to that Flordia is on tired legs after playing lat night and the Pens are banged up, Im expecting a slower game played out of transition. Note: Florida is expected to start backup G Driedger  who is 3-1-0 with a 2.00 goals-against average, a .938 save percentage and one shutout this season.

PITTSBURGH is 13-4 UNDER  in home games against poor defensive teams - opponents average 29.5+ shots on goal this season with a combined average of 5.1 gpg scored.

NHL Road teams where the total is 6 or more (FLORIDA) - extremely tired team - playing their 3rd road game in 4 days, winning between 51% and 60% of their games on the season in the first half of the season are 33-10 UNDER L/23 seasons for a 76% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play UNDER

01-04-20 Blues v. Golden Knights UNDER 5.5 4-5 Loss -100 3 h 51 m Show

GOALTENDERS: ST LOUIS - JORDAN BINNINGTON, VEGAS - MARC-ANDRE FLEURY

Vegas enters this game on a 3 game win streak and have scored 4,5,5 goals in those tilts, and St.Louis well aware of the Knights current explosive form will be diligent defensively and look to play this game conservatively and  out of transition. This will result in a lower scoring affair. 

ST LOUIS is 22-11 UNDER L/33 in road games against explosive offensive teams - scoring 3+ goals/game over the last 2 seasons for a combined average of 5.3 gpg  scored. 

VEGAS is 8-0 UNDER  in home games after a 3 game unbeaten streak over the last 2 season with a combined average of 4.4 gpg scored.  

NHL Home teams where the total is 5.5 (VEGAS) - poor defensive team - allowing 2.85+ goals/game on the season - 2nd half of the season, after scoring 5 goals or more in 2 straight games are 43-11 L/23 seasons for a 80% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the UNDER

01-02-20 Blue Jackets v. Bruins UNDER 5.5 2-1 Win 100 2 h 33 m Show

GOALTENDERS: COLUMBUS - ELVIS MERZLIKINS, BOSTON - TUUKKA RASK

When these teams met in last years play offs they took part in 6 low scoring games with 5 of them staying on the low side of the total. More of the same play off style hockey Im betting is set for  tonights  tilt . 

BOSTON is 5-0 UNDER  off a road loss this season.COLUMBUS is 5-0 UNDER   after having won 5 or 6 of their last 7 games this season with a combined average of 4 gpg scored. 

NHL Road teams where the total is 5.5 (COLUMBUS) - off a win or tie in their previous game, with a losing record in the first half of the season are 142-89 UNDER  L/5 seasons for a 62% conversion rate for bettors.

Play UNDER

12-31-19 Maple Leafs v. Wild UNDER 6 4-1 Win 105 8 h 44 m Show

GOALTENDERS: TORONTO - FREDERIK ANDERSEN, MINNESOTA - DEVAN DUBNYK

Minnesota plays a decidedly conservative game, and that will be the case here again at home vs the explosive Leafs. This Im betting leads to a lower scoring affair that fails to eclipse this total. 

MINNESOTA is 19-9 UNDER  in home games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 5.2 gpg going on the board.MINNESOTA is 27-14 UNDER   in home games after a non-conference game over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 5.4 gog scored. 

TORONTO is 9-3 UNDER  in non-conference games this season with a combined average of 5.5 gpg scored. 

Play UNDER 

12-29-19 Stars v. Coyotes OVER 5 4-2 Win 100 7 h 15 m Show

GOALTENDERS: DALLAS - ANTON KHUDOBIN, ARIZONA - ADIN HILL

Both teams are know as Defence first teams but of late both have been finding the back of the net more often while allowing more goals than usual. The Stars have seen a combined average for an average of 6.4 gpg  in their L/5 while Arizona has seen a combined average of 7 gpg scored. With this total set at 5 we have value on busting above this number going directly against a under bias with a contrarian stance. 

Play OVER 

12-28-19 Predators v. Penguins OVER 6 4-6 Win 101 3 h 0 m Show

GOALTENDERS: NASHVILLE - JUUSE SAROS, PITTSBURGH - MATT MURRAY

Two sub .895 SV percentage goalies and stumbling Ds, go head to head tonight in a game that has high scoring event written all over it. 

NASHVILLE is 5-0 OVER  in road games in December games this season with an average of 8.2 gpg scored. 

Over is 7-0 in Predators last 7 vs. Eastern Conference.

Over is 4-0 in Predators last 4 vs. Metropolitan.

Over is 5-0 in Predators last 5 road games.

NASHVILLE is 12-4 OVER b when playing against a team with a winning record in the first half of the season over the last 2 seasonswith a combined average of 71. gpg scored. 

Play OVER 

12-27-19 Golden Knights v. Ducks UNDER 5.5 3-4 Loss -120 9 h 49 m Show

Vegas beat Anaheim 5-2 back in October, and Im betting the Ducks in the rematch will play conservatively and be more defensively diligent here in the rematch, which Im betting makes for a lower scoring affair. 

ANAHEIM is 7-1 UNDER  revenging a loss where opponent scored 4 or more goals this season

NHL Home teams where the total is 5.5 (ANAHEIM) - revenging a road loss versus opponent by 2 goals or more, with a winning percentage of between 40-49% on the season in the first half of the season are 52-19 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 73% conversion rate for bettors.

Play UNDER 

12-23-19 Blue Jackets v. Islanders UNDER 5 3-2 Push 0 10 h 25 m Show

The New York Islanders usually staunch D, is slumping a bit of late,  as their opposition is piling up goals on them at an alarming rate. Two of their L/3 games have seen them allow 8 and 5 goals in regulation, something that is not a common trait with them under Barry Trotz defensive leaning system. Now desperate to stop the bleeding Im expecting a top tier defensive effort from the leagues best D here tonight against  injury depleted Columbus and a combined score that stays on the low side of this total. Note: Islanders G Thomas Greiss has allowed two goals i in two games  vs the Blue Jackets  this season.

Under is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings in New York.

Under is 7-0 in the last 7 meetings.

Play UNDER 

12-23-19 Hurricanes v. Maple Leafs UNDER 6.5 6-8 Loss -112 1 h 2 m Show

GOALTENDERS: CAROLINA - PETR MRAZEK, TORONTO - FREDERIK ANDERSEN

Carolina plays explosive offensive teams like the Leafs very conservatively. 

CAROLINA is 13-3 UNDER  against good offensive teams - 29 or more  shots on goal, convert 17% . or more  pp this season.CAROLINA is 13-2 UNDER against good passing teams - averaging 5 or more assists per game this season with a combined average 4.9 gpg scored.

Play UNDER 

12-22-19 Golden Knights v. Sharks UNDER 6 3-1 Win 102 12 h 5 m Show

GOALTENDERS: VEGAS - MARC-ANDRE FLEURY, SAN JOSE - AARON DELL

San Jose played last night and lost 5 -2 to the defending champion Blues and are now on tired legs and will want to slow things down and pay more attention to defence here tonight. Meanwhile, Vegas has allowed more than 3 gaols only twice in their L/11 games, and after a back and forth 5-4 loss last time out, will also want to get back to playing better defence. These projected scenarios Im betting sees a more muted game by both sides here tonight that will result in a total combined score staying under the total. 

SAN JOSE is 5-0 UNDER  off a home blowout loss by 3 goals or more this season.SAN JOSE is 9-1 UNDER  after allowing 5 goals or more this season.

VEGAS is 12-4 UNDER in road games after scoring 3 goals or more in 3 straight games over the last 2 seasons.

Play UNDER 

12-21-19 Red Wings v. Maple Leafs UNDER 6.5 1-4 Win 118 7 h 58 m Show

Detroit does not have a hope in hell of competing  offensively with the Toronto Maple Leafs, and will instead look to keep this game close by playing this game out of transition and paying special attention to defence. This Im betting keeps this combined score on the low side of the total. 

 NHL home teams where the total is 6 or more (TORONTO) - off a road blowout win by 3 goals or more, tired team - playing their 3rd game in 5 days are 125-76 UNDER L/23 seasons for a 62% conversion rate. 

NHL Road teams where the total is 6 or more (DETROIT) - after allowing 3 goals or more 2 straight games against opponent after scoring 3 goals or more in 3 straight games are 97-53 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 67% conversion rate. 

Play UNDER 

12-19-19 Blackhawks v. Jets OVER 6.5 4-1 Loss -101 1 h 47 m Show

GOALTENDERS: CHICAGO - ROBIN LEHNER, WINNIPEG - CONNOR HELLEBUYCK

OVER 

12-15-19 Flyers v. Jets UNDER 6 3-7 Loss -110 6 h 53 m Show

GOALTENDERS: PHILADELPHIA - BRIAN ELLIOTT, WINNIPEG - CONNOR HELLEBUYCK

Philadelphia's offence has averaged just 26 shots on goal in their L/5 overall while scoring an average of 2.6gpg with the average combined score of those tilts ringing in at 5.4 gpg . In their L/11 games they have allowed more than 3 goals just once. Meanwhile, Winnipeg, has allowed more than 2 goals just 2 times in 8 games. In  one rare ugly exception last time out the Jets  got lazy and allowed a Detroit team that consistently struggles to score , to  put 5 goals in the net against them in a loss , and will now be more committed to playing better D today. 

PHILADELPHIA is 7-1 UNDER  in road games after 1 or more consecutive unders this season with a combined average of 5.1 gpg scored.

WINNIPEG is 12-2 UNDER when playing only their 2nd game in 5 days this season with a combined average of 5.1 gpg scored.

NHL Road teams where the total is 6 or more (PHILADELPHIA) - tired team - playing their 3rd road game in 5 days, winning between 51% and 60% of their games on the season in the first half of the season are 74-29  UNDER L/23 seasons for a 72% conversion rate for bettors.

Play UNDER 

12-14-19 Hurricanes v. Flames UNDER 6 4-0 Win 100 5 h 51 m Show

Carolina has not allowed more than 3 goals in 10 straight games behind top tier goaltending and D and nothing will change here today vs a Calgary side that despite of a recent offensive run has proven highly inconsistent offensively this season. Also Calgary has not allowed more than 3 goals in 8 of their L/9 overall. 

Mrazek, has a 1.63 goals-against average while going 2-0-1 over his past three starts.Hurricanes backup James Reimer has a 2.01 goals-against average in winning four of his past five start.

Flames goaltender David Rittich,, has a 2.37 goals-against average in his L/7 overall. 

NHL Home teams where the total is 5.5 (CALGARY) - off a home win by 2 goals or more, tired team - playing their 4th game in 7 days are 479-324 UNDER L/23 seasons for a 60% conversion rate for bettors.

Play UNDER 

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