Eastern Conference Finals - Best of 7 - Game 2 - WAS Leads 1-0

The Capitals came at the Lightning in game 1, and took them out of their flow with aggressive fore-checking for a 4-2 win . I'm betting the Bolts will be more prepared to play in transition tonight, and for this to be a fast paced offensive style game with a take no prisoners mentality attached to it.

TAMPA BAY is 10-2 OVER    in home games revenging a loss vs opponent as a home favorite over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 7 gpg scored.

NHL team against the total (TAMPA BAY/WASH) - in the conference finals, in the 2nd game of a playoff series are 55-22 OVER L/21 seasons for a 70% conversion rate for bettors.

Play OVER

The Vegas Knights are  the most successful first-year franchise in the history of professional sports with  the key to their success being  an ability to play a hard core structured defensive system that scores a lot in transition.  Its pretty obvious to anyone that watches them in action, that you cant intimidate them, and or take out of their system. Winnipeg was able to take Nashville out of their comfort zone, and won their last series, but I'm betting a more difficult task awaits the Jets here. Vegas is also fresh after being off for a week, after quickly disposing of San Jose .Meanwhile,  Winnipeg might be a little let down, after their grueling 7 game series vs Nashville and will be out to make sure mistakes are not made here in game 1 that will put them immediately behind the eight ball. With that said, I'm expecting these two big punchers to take part in  a respectful hard hitting conservative affair that stays on the low side of the Total.

VEGAS is 13-4 UNDER  against good starting goalies - (saving 91.5% or more of shots against) in the 2nd half of the season this season. WINNIPEG is 7-1 UNDER    in home games after having won 15 or more of their last 20 games this season.

NHL team against the total (WINNIPEG) - off a win by 3 goals or more over a division rival against opponent off a road win where they shut out their opponent are 46-22 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 67% conversion rate for bettors.

Play UNDER

Eastern Conference Finals - Best of 7 - Game 1

These two explosive offenses are well rested and ready to run and gun tonight in the opening game of their best of 7 eastern conference finals series. With that said, I expect this total to be eclipsed.

WASHINGTON is 9-1 OVER   when playing with 3 or more days rest this season with a combined average of 6.5 gpg scored. WASHINGTON is 7-0 OVER L/7 in road games after allowing 1 goal or less in their previous game this season with an average of 7.3 gpg scored. ( The caps wrapped up their last series vs the Pens with a 2-1 road win)Over is 21-7-1 in Capitals last 29 after allowing 2 goals or less in their previous game.

TAMPA BAY is 42-24 OVER  against good offensive teams - 29 or more shots on goal, convert 17% or better of their pp this season with a combined average of 6.6 gpg scored. Anomaly or not its still interesting to note that TAMPA BAY is 10-2 OVER    in home games on Friday nights over the last 3 seasons, with a combined average of 7.9 gpg scored.

Over is 21-8-1 in Lightning last 30 vs. Metropolitan.

Over is 8-2 in the last 10 meetings in Tampa Bay.

Play OVER

 Western Conference Quarterfinals - Best of 7 - Game 2 - NAS Leads 1-0

GOALTENDERS: COLORADO - JONATHAN BERNIER, NASHVILLE - PEKKA RINNE


The type of physical hockey these teams are playing right now is going to wear both teams down, and with that said, I;m betting we see a lower scoring tilt today, than we did in game 1 when the final score was 5-2 for Nashville.

Under is 6-0-1 in Avalanche last 7 following a loss of 3 or more goals.Under is 4-1-2 in Avalanche last 7 after allowing 5 goals or more in their previous game. Under is 7-1-1 in Predators last 9 when their opponent scores 2 goals or less in their previous game.

Play UNDER

As the play offs approach teams headed for post season like Minnesota and Boston are being more conservative and defensive minded . Today  that's the type of hockey I expect to be witnessed which will see the combined score remain on the low side of the number. 

Add to that both teams are on tired legs as Boston prepares to play their 3rd road game in 5 days, and Minnesota off a grueling game against a very physical Nashville team last time out and you have a recipe for very little offensive production.

Under is 4-0 in Bruins last 4 road games.Under is 6-1 in Bruins last 7 vs. Central.Under is 3-1-1 in Bruins last 5 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.Under is 8-2 in Wild last 10 games playing on 0 days rest.

BOSTON is 7-1 UNDER  L/8  in road games after playing 2 consecutive road games this season.MINNESOTA is 10-3 UNDER when playing on back-to-back days this season. BOSTON is 15-5 UNDER  when playing against a marginal winning team (Win Pct. 51% to 60%) this season.

NHL Home teams where the total is 5.5 (MINNESOTA) - off a home win, playing on back-to-back days are 101-45 UNDER L/21 seasons for a 69% conversion rate for bettors on the blind.

Play UNDER

I'm betting on this tilt between these teams to eclipse the total. The Bruins and the Blue Jackets  in their games this season, saw the Beantown crew win a   4-3 shootout decision on Oct. 30 in Columbus and  then come back by hammering the Jackets 7-2 on Dec. 18 in Boston. I'm betting on more offensive fireworks here tonight as a revenge minded Columbus group on  a7 game win streak will look to mercilessly attack their foes and make them pay for that last above mentioned loss they suffered.  I know the Bruins are a bit banged up, but they have done well vs Columbus offensively in the recent past as  Jackets G Bobrovsky has struggled against Boston, going just 2-5-2 with 3.70/.895, and backup Joonas Korpisalo is 1-0-2 with 2.59/.915 GAA/SVP%.

COLUMBUS is 7-1 OVER  L/8 against good possession teams-averaging 3+ more shots on goal than opp in the 2nd half of the year over the last few seasons. Over is 4-0 in Blue Jackets last 4 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600. Over is 6-1 in Bruins last 7 after allowing 2 goals or less in their previous game ( the Bruins SO TB last time out in a 3-0 win)Over is 10-2-1 in Bruins last 13 vs. Metropolitan. Over is 6-0 L/6 meetings.

NHL Road teams where the total is 5.5 (COLUMBUS) - revenging a loss where opponent scored 5 or more goals, off a close home win by 1 goal  are 29-6 OVER L/5 seasons for a 83% conversion rate for bettors with a combined average of 7.2 gpg scored.

Play OVER

The NY Islanders are off back to back shutout wins by identical 3-0 scores. But in those games they allowed 50 and 45 shots for a whopping 95 shots on goal. The Isles D, has been atrocious for much of this season, and I'm now expecting they revert back to their average mean of allowing 3.6 gpg according to my projections. On offense the Isles are chalk full of talent, ie Barzal, Tavares, Lee, Bailey, Eberle, and should light up the lamp today vs a Minnesota side, that allowed an average 3.6 gpg on the road this season. The three most recent meetings in this series have seen a combined average score 9.66 gpg clicking in on the board.

NY NY ISLANDERS are 10-3 OVER in home games in non-conference games this season with a combined average of 7.2 gpg scored.
NY ISLANDERS are 10-3 OVER ( when playing with 2 days rest this season with a combined average score of 7.2 gpg going on the board. NY ISLANDERS are 20-7 OVER against good offensive teams - scoring 2.85+ goals/game this season with a combined average score of 7. gpg going on the board.

Play OVER

The Carolina Hurricanes uncharacteristically exploded for 7 goals last time out in a win vs the shocked looking LA Kings. It must be noted that the Canes have gone under in 7 of their L/8 games after scoring 5 goals more  and are usually a less than explosive team especially in division games, where they score and average of 2.4 gpg, while allowing just 2.8 pgg. Prior to the above mentioned output the Canes, had gone under in 7 straight games, holding opponents to 2 gaols ore less. With NJ embarking on 4th game in 7 nights, I expect they won't have much in the tank to run and gun and instead rely on their ability to score in transition, which is not a good option according to my numbers. With that said, I'm betting on the visitors and their hosts playing a low scoring affair.

Under is 4-0-2 in the last 6 meetings in New Jersey.Under is 9-1-4 in the last 14 meetings.

CAROLINA is 9-1 UNDER  after playing a game where 9 or more total goals were scored this season with a combined average of 4.1 gpg scored.NEW JERSEY is 6-0 UNDER L/6  in home games after 3 or more consecutive overs over the last few seasons, with a combined average of 4.4 gpg going on the board.

CAROLINA is 8-1 UNDER  L/9 against struggling defensive teams - allowing 2.85+ goals/game this season with a combined average of 4.6 gpg scored.

NHL Road teams where the total is 5.5 (CAROLINA) - after 3 straight wins by 2 goals or more against opponent after scoring 3 goals or more in 2 straight games are 50-19 UNDER L/21 seasons for a 73% conversion rate for bettors.

NHL Road teams where the total is 5.5 (CAROLINA) - poor defensive team - allowing 2.85+ goals/game on the season, after scoring 6 goals or more in their previous game are 52-27 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 66% conversion rate for bettors.

Play UNDER

The Senators enter this road game against the Detroit Red Wings mired in a deep offensive slump, as is evident by  being shut out in five of the last 13 games. I'm betting the Senators scoring woes won't get much better here tonight, vs a red hot Red Wings goalie Jimmy Howard who  has allowed just  seven goals in his last four starts, and three in two meetings with Ottawa this season. Meanwhile, the Wings  are playing solid defensive hockey of late, and have allowed 3 or less goals in 7 of their L/8 games, and have seen 8 of their L/10 games stay on the low side of the Total and have only scored more than 3 goals in 2 of those 10 games. Motowns hockey crew did score a 4-1 win last time out, but in the past when they have notched 4 or more goals in a previous game and then playing at home  have gone under in 12 of 13 games, with a combined average of just 3.5 gpg scored. Look for both teams to partake in more offensive futility tonight and for this tilt to remain on the low side the number.

OTTAWA is 24-9 UNDER  L/33  in road games against poor teams - outscored by their opponents by 0.3+ goals/game with a combined average of 4.9 gpg scored. DETROIT is 11-3 UNDER  L/14 vs. division opponents this season with a combined average of 5.1 gpg scored. OTTAWA is 9-2 UNDER  when playing against a team with a losing record this season.

Under is 5-0 in Red Wings last 5 home games.Under is 13-3 in Red Wings last 16 vs. Atlantic.Under is 4-0 in Senators last 4 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.Under is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings.

Play UNDER

GOALTENDERS: TORONTO - CURTIS MCELHINNEY, COLORADO - SEMYON VARLAMOV

 The Maple Leafs are coming off a 7-4 win over the Coyotes on Thursday night, and they got in late and will now be on tired legs and will may find themselves  tiring as this tilt progresses which usually results in sloppy defensive play, and a lazy wide open style of hockey. On the flipside, The Avalanche will have  a lot of difficulties trying to stop young star Austin Matthews and the Toronto offense that is explosive , especially with one of  their  top defensemen,  Tyson Barrie out with an injury. Everything points in the direction of a fairly high scoring game that eclipse's the Total.

Over is 8-1 in Avalanche last 9 vs. Atlantic OVER is .16-5 in Avalanche last 21 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.Over is 17-6-3 in Avalanche last 26 vs. Eastern Conference.Over is 7-0 in the last 7 meetings in Colorado. Avalanche Goalie SEMYON VARLAMOV(vs. Non-Conference) 10-3 OVER L/13 .

Play OVER

The Blue Jackets and their hosts the defending Stanley cup Champion Penguins are two teams struggling to stay consistent at the moment.

Columbus did get a win  Wednesday night with a 4-2 win over Toronto but that followed a ugly stretch of three losses in four games when they allowed a total of 20 goals. Blue Jackets goaltender Sergei Bobrovsky is expected to start against the Penguins. Backup Joonas Korpisalo started against Toronto  last time out after Bobrovsky started eight games in a row. Bobrovsky was 3-5-0 in those starts, with a 3.81 goals-against average and a .878 save percentage and I wont be surprised is he gets gauged again  by Pens offense that is  led by super star Sid Crosby. My own estimates/projections suggest a Pens win by 4-3 or4-2 count which makes a OVER wager a viable wagering opportunity.

COLUMBUS is 5-0 OVER L/5  in road games against excellent power play teams - scoring on > 19% of their chances this season with a combined average of 8.2 gpg scored. PITTSBURGH is 7-0 OVER   against poor power play teams - scoring on  14.5% or less of their chances  with a combined average of 7.5 gpg scored.

PITTSBURGH is 14-3 OVER  L/17 when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 75%) in the first half of the season over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 7.1 gpg scored.

Play OVER

The Leafs had a 3 game win streak end last time out , at Philadelphia losing 4-2. The Leafs despite of playing decent hockey of late, are surprisingly struggling to score with the same ferocity as many of the pundits expect , and have scored 2 or less goals in 7 of their L/11 games an dhv eonly eclipsed the total once in their L/5 overall games.  With star sniper Austin Matthews injured, and the Leafs in the midst of playing 5 games in 7 nights, and now on tired legs I'm expecting another muted offensive effort here on the road in Minnesota. Meanwhile, the Wild knowing that their No.1 goalie Dubynk is down with an injury, will be paying special attention to defensive assignments, which in combination with Toronto' s situation should see a score that stays on the low side of the Total. Note: Under is 5-2 in Wild last 7 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.

Under is 5-1-1 in Maple Leafs last 7 vs. Western Conference.Under is 10-4 in Wild last 14 games following a win.Under is 10-0-1 in the last 11 meetings.

Play UNDER

The Nashville offense is currently clicking and they have scored 5 goals in back to back games, and my own projections estimate another output of around 5 goals here vs a Vegas team, that despite of a winning record on the season, has struggled on defense when travelling, allowing an average of 3.8 gpg in their L/5, an average of 3.7 gpg on the road this season. The Golden Knights saving grace is a offense that is ranked 6th in the league, making this tilt a viable over wagering opportunity.

Over is 5-0-1 in Golden Knights last 6 road games.Over is 10-2-2 in Golden Knights last 14 vs. Western Conference.Over is 4-0 in Predators last 4 games following a win.

VEGAS in 11 games against good starting goalies - saving  91.5% or better  of shots against this season have seen a combined average of 7.1 gpg scored.VEGAS is 8-2 OVER L/10 when playing against a team with a winning record this season with a combined average of 7.2 gpg scored. NASHVILLE is 18-8 OVER L/26 against horrible power play killing teams-opp score on 19% or more  of chances.

NHL team against the total (NASHVILLE) - after having won 4 or 5 of their last 6 games, in a game involving two good teams (60% to 70%) in the first half of the season are 66-28 OVER L/5 seasons for a 70% conversion rate for bettors.

NHL team against the total (VEGAS) - after having won 2 of their last 3 games, in a game involving two good teams (60% to 70%) in the first half of the season are 55-26 OVER L/5 seasons for a 68% conversion rate for bettors.

Play OVER

Two explosive offenses go had to head tonight in TB, as the Isles visit the Lightning. The Islanders   have overtaken the Lightning  as the league's top producing offense, now averaging 3.7 goals per game. New York  in its last 6 games has averaged 4.3 goals , including a 5-4 shootout win at the Florida Panthers on Monday night.

The Isles when they visited here earlier this season took a 5-3 win, and another high scoring affair should be expected tonight as TB will come out flying looking for revenge vs a the Islanders team that  ranks just 24th in goals allowed.

Over is 16-4-1 in Islanders last 21 overall.Over is 5-0 in Lightning last 5 vs. a team with a winning % above .600.

NY ISLANDERS are 6-0 OVER  against good starting goalies - saving 91.5% or more of shots against this season with a combined average of 7.4 gpg scored. NY ISLANDERS are 10-1 OVER   against good offensive teams - 29 or more  shots on goal, convert 17% or better of their  pp this season with a combined average of 7.8 gpg scored.

NHL Home teams against the total (TAMPA BAY) - after having won 2 of their last 3 games, in a game involving two good teams (60% to 70%) in the first half of the season are 30-9 OVER L/5 seasons for a 77% conversion rate for Totals bettors.

NHL teams against the total (NY ISLANDERS) - after having won 4 or 5 of their last 6 games, in a game involving two good teams (60% to 70%) in the first half of the season are 65-28 OVER L/5 seasons for a 70% conversion rate for bettors.

Play OVER

Minnesota Wild goalie Devan Dubnyk,   has allowed 16 goals in his past four games after posting three consecutive shutouts. He's gone from hero to zero, and is now in a big time karmic funk. Meanwhile, the Jets, have been bitten by the injury bug over the past week and could be without their top goalie Steve Mason tonight after he was injured last game.  (- Heleybucyk expected to start-three of his L/5 home starts have gone over the set total) . As far as this game is concerned , I can see both teams pressing and for enough goals to be scored to get us over the total.

 Over is 6-0 in the last 6 meetings in Winnipeg.Over is 7-1 in Jets last 8 when their opponent allows 5 goals or more in their previous game.Over is 9-4-1 in Jets last 14 following a loss of 3 or more goals.Over is 6-2 in Jets last 8 home games.Over is 4-1-1 in Wild last 6 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.Over is 6-2 in Wild last 8 in the fourth game of a 4-in-6 days situation.

WINNIPEG is 14-5 OVER L/19 against good starting goalies - saving  91.5%  or better  of shots against with a combined average of 6.6 gpg scored.WINNIPEG is 21-9 OVER  L/30 against good offensive teams - averaging 29.5+ shots on goal per game  with a combined average of 6.8 gpg scored. MINNESOTA is 8-1 OVER  L/9 after a game where they failed to cover the spread this season , with a combined average of 7.4 gpg scored.  ( they lost 6-3 to St.Louis).

Play OVER

 Calgary enters this game on tired legs and will not have the energy to run and gun, and instead I expect a game played by them in transition. After allowing 1 goal in back to back games, the Flames  lost a 6-4 battle last time out, and will now also be out to pay more attention to their defense. Meanwhile, the Avalanche have played their best defensive hockey at home this season, allowing just 2.4 gpg, and pitched a shut out last time as hosts, and defense I'm betting will be their key priority  tonight . With that said, I'm recommending we take an under stance here.

CALGARY is 15-4 UNDER L/19 in road games when playing against a team with a winning record in the first half of the season over the last 3 seasons with a combined average o f 4.5 gpg going on the scoreboard.

NHL Road teams where the total is 6 or more (CALGARY) - extremely tired team - playing their 3rd road game in 4 days, winning between 51% and 60% of their games on the season in the first half of the season are 24-4 UNDER L/21 seasons for a 86% conversion rate.

Play UNDER

The Blues play a defensive minded style of hockey that works best in transition. Consistent goal tending and disciplined hockey, make them very hard to score against , as their 7th ranked GAA would indicate . Meanwhile, the Edmonton Oilers, a side with some big offensive names on their roster, ie (McDavid) are a side that is concentrating on playing much better defense, especially on the road thanks to their overall offense not being as productive as expected , ranking a lowly 29th in the league. The Oilers played a sloppy game last time out, losing 6-3, and their coach  Todd McLellan was not happy with their performance. QUOTE: "The goalies have to be better, the defense, the forwards, the coaches have to be better," coach Todd McLellan told the Edmonton Sun. "None of us have lived up to where we need to be and that's why we're where we are in the standings. "I'm not going to single out the goaltender. It's team-wide. END QUOTE: I'm expecting a more disciplined approach from this Oilers group tonight in a game I expect to remain on the low side of the number.

EDMONTON is 6-0 UNDER  in road games when playing against a team with a winning record this season with a combined average of 3.4 gpp scored. EDMONTON is 6-0 UNDER  in road games against explosive offensive teams - scoring 3+ goals/game this season with a combined average of 3.7 gpg scored. .ST LOUIS is 13-2 UNDER  L/15 in home games when playing against a bad team (Win Pct. 25% to 40%) with a combined average of 4.5 gpg going on the score board.EDMONTON is 20-9 UNDER  in road games after playing a game where 7 or more total goals were scored which happened last time out.

Under is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings.Under is 20-5-3 in Blues last 28 vs. a team with a winning % below .400.Under is 9-4-2 in Blues last 15 vs. Pacific.Under is 11-4-1 in Oilers last 16 games playing on 2 days rest.

Road teams where the total is 5.5 like EDMONTON - revenging a loss vs opponent of 2 goals or more, a struggling  team (30% to 40%) playing a team with a winning record in the first half of the season are 24-4 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 86% conversion rate for bettors.

Play UNDER 1 unit reg selection

This matchup between the visiting NY Islanders and their hosts the TB Lightning  features two of the top three scoring teams in the league. TB is averaging 4.00 goals per game and  scored five or more goals 9 times this season, including in four of the past five games. Three times the Lightning have  smacked down   6 goals , including the last time out in a 6-1 victory against Dallas on Thursday.The Islanders, meanwhile, have scored the third-most goals in the league at 65 and are averaging the second-most goals in the league at 3.61 per game. New York scored five or more goals eight different times in 18 tilts and are coming off a shootout against Carolina in which the Islanders scored six goals.

NY ISLANDERS are 6-0 OVER l/6 against good offensive teams - scoring 2.85+ goals/game this season with a combined average of 8.8 gpg going on the score board.

NHL team against the total NYI - after successfully covering the spread in 2 or more consecutive games against opponent after successfully covering the spread in 5 or more consecutive games are 52-19 over the L/5 seasons for a 73% conversion rate of 72% for bettors.

Play on the OVER 1 unit reg selection

TB and LA are two heavy weights in the NHL , and  as is usually the case when the big boys go head to head, conservative , mistake free hockey is of paramount importance, and both coaches game plans will center around this type of disciplined concept. The Kings boast the NHL top D, and will give the explosive Bolts all they can handle. On the flipside, LAs improved offense will not be overly aggressive against a dangerous side, that can respond quickly in transition and will also face the prospect of going against a former King goalie , Peter Budaj, who went 27-20-3 with a 2.12 goals-against average with the Kings last season before being traded,  . I'm sure  new  Lightning G Budaj will be primed to play vs his former team mates and will feel comfortable in this environment if he plays( which is expected).  All in all Im expecting a physical defensive post season style of play tonight. Note: A total of 8 goals were scored in last seasons two meetings in this series.

Under is 8-3-1 in Lightning last 12 vs. Pacific.Under is 18-7-5 in Kings last 30 vs. Eastern Conference.Under is 4-1 in Kings last 5 vs. Atlantic.

The L/3  games in this series here in LA went under the set total.

Play UNDER 1 unit reg selection

The Leafs enter this game on tired legs, as they play their 3rd road game in 5days and maybe a little bit more lethargic than usual, against a team that likes to play a type of trap system that makes flow and transition difficult for their opposition. The Blues know that the Leafs are still a dangerous offensive force even when tired, so I'm betting they pay special attention to giveaways tonight, and base most of their attacks in transition. Look for an extremely conservative/disciplined effort tonight at home for the Blues, and a total score that remains on the low side of the number.

ST LOUIS is 28-12 UNDER  L/40  in home games against excellent power play teams - scoring on  19% or more of their chances combining on a average of 4.7 gpg.

Under is 12-4 in Maple Leafs last 16 in the fourth game of a 4-in-6 days situation.Under is 20-5-4 in Blues last 29 games playing on 1 days rest.Under is 4-1-2 in the last 7 meetings in St. Louis.

NHL Road teams where the total is 6 or more like the Leafs - tired team - playing their 3rd road game in 5 days, winning between 51% and 60% of their games on the season in the first half of the season are 51-11 L/21 seasons for a 83% conversion rate for bettors.

Play UNDER 1 unit reg selection

The Maple Leafs and Jets officially drop the puck on a new year in hockey Oct. 4 .
The Leafs are built for speed and scoring and I'm betting they drag the Jets into a game that features a lot of back and forth transitional action that will result in a higher scoring affair. The linesmakers agree with my assessments , and with that said, I am recommending we take the over here .

 These teams have gone over in their last 4 meetings. Over is 5-0 in the last 5 meetings in Winnipeg

.In the Jets last 29 non conference games an average of 6.7 gpg were scored.

Key Notes from last season: Toronto converted an NHL second-best 23.8 percent of its power plays last season while Winnipeg had the league's fifth-worst penalty kill at 77.5 percent.

The Jets allowed 3.1 goals per game last season, which was fourth worst in the NHL.

Play OVER 1 unit reg selection

Stanley Cup Finals - Best of 7 - Game 1

Pittsburgh displays the top three scorers in the playoffs via   Evgeni Malkin, captain Sidney Crosby and Phil Kessel and are a team that bases their successes on an explosive offense. Meanwhile, the Nashville Predators strength is at the other end of the ice, with its top four defensemen -- Roman Josi, Ryan Ellis, P.K. Subban and Mattias Ekholm -- combining for a staggering 39 points in 16 playoff game and generate most of their scoring chances out o transition. Tonight I expect the Preds under HC Peter Laviolette to implement a physical stifling  brand of hockey that will result in a score that remains on the low side of the number.

Under is 8-1 in Penguins last 9 Stanley Cup Finals games.Under is 8-3-2 in Penguins last 13 home games.Under is 4-0 in Predators last 4 vs. Eastern Conference. The STanley cup finals have seen 30 of the L/40 games stay under the total.Under is 12-4-7 in Predators last 23 vs. a team with a winning record.

Play UNDER 1 unit reg selection 

Ottawa took out the defending Stanely Cup champs by a 5-1 count last time out, and now the Pens will be out to get some pay back, and Im betting they come out here with all guns blazing.  Attack attack and more offensive minded hockey will be on the agenda tonight. PITTSBURGH is 6-0 OVER  revenging a blowout loss vs opponent of 4 goals or more this season, with a combined average of 7 gpg going on the board.  NHL Road teams where the total is 5 or less like the Pens  - revenging a blowout loss vs opponent of 3 goals or more, off a road loss are a long term  63-20 to the over. 

Play OVER 1 unit reg selection 

Ottawa is up 2-0 in this series, after winning game 1 / by a 2-1 count, and than taking part in a 6-5 blitz in game 2. Ottawa knows that sticking to a physical defensive game plan is better option going forward and Im betting on a very conservative effort from them that keys on safe transitional hockey tonight at MSG. Meanwhile, the Rangers, know they need to shore up their many defensive short comings for any chance at victory in this series, and Im sure a concerted effort to secure the puck and not cough it up as much will be a key concept for them.This combination of game plan concepts I’m betting will lead to a combined score that remains on the low side of the Total.  

 OTTAWA is 15-6 UNDER L/21 after playing a game where 7 or more total goals were scored this season. Three of the L/4 meetings in Ottawa has gone under the total.

Historical Trends data: NY RANGERS are 26-11 UNDER L/37 games in the second round of the playoffs, with a combined average of 4.3 gpg going on the board.

NHL  Home teams where the total is 5 or less (NYR) - revenging 2 straight close losses vs opponent by 1 goal or less, a marginal winning team (51% to 60%) playing a winning team are 31-10 under for a 76% conversion rate for bettors.

Play UNDER 

 Eastern Conference Semifinals - Best of 7 - Game 2 - OTT Leads 1-0

Game 1 on Thursday was a 2-1 Ottawa win, with both teams taking alot of shots, NYR -35 OTT 43, and could have easily been a higher scoring affair.  This time around Im betting we get more goals. The Rangers have lost two straight vs the Sens scoring just 1 goal both times, but it must be noted,NY RANGERS are 6-0 OVER L/6  revenging 2 straight losses where team scored 1 goal or less over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 7.7 gpg get scored.

Play OVER 1 unit reg selection

The first game of this series, saw the Rangers win a 2-0 decision over the Habs. Im betting on another typical defensive/physical  game here tonight. Montreals Coach Claude Julien owns a defense first philopshy, as does,  NYR Alain Vigneault. With golaies Lundqvist and Price , possible future hall of famers between the pipes in this game  the prospect of low scoring game is a high probability outcome. 

Lundqvist is 3-0-0 with a 2.01 goals-against average in his last four playoff appearances at Bell Centre.

Heres a long term trend from a league wide NHL database: Road teams against the total (NYR) - off a road win where they shut out their opponent, winning between 51% and 60% of their games on the season have gone under in 33 or their L/45 opportunities for a 73% conversion rate for bettors.

Note: The Habs have  killed off all four penalties in Game 1 and have not allowed a goal in 17 straight ppk situation  in the past nine games.Under is 10-2-1 in Rangers last 13 vs. Atlantic.Under is 8-3 in Rangers last 11 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.Under is 8-1-3 in Canadiens last 12 vs. Metropolitan.Under is 9-2-4 in Canadiens last 15 after scoring 2 goals or less in their previous game.Under is 10-4-2 in the last 16 meetings in Montreal. MONTREAL is 9-3 UNDER  against good offensive teams - scoring 2.85+ goals/game like the Rangers with a combined average of 4.3 gpg getting scored. Only two of the Habs last 12 games have eclipsed the total.

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Its been pointed out that is there is a weakness on the Ducks' playoff roster, it could be their goaltedning . John Gibson owned a  (, 2.22 goals-against average) and Jonathan Bernier recorded ( 2.50 GAA) in the regular season, but   their postseason numbers are less than tantalizing. Gibson is 2-4 with a 2.84 GAA and one shutout while Bernier has just 30 minutes of experience with the Los Angeles Kings in 2013. Meanwhile, Brian Elliot the Flames man between the pipes is very streaky,  despite of  having made 31 playoff starts in his career,  and that was evident when he started his season with  Calgary going  3-9-1 with a 3.31 GAA in his first 13 games, before righting te ship. He is by no means a stopper in pressure games like this. It must also be noted that  Road teams where the total is 5 or less like Calgary - playing with triple revenge - 3 straight losses vs. opponent, off a road loss are 36-8 to the OVER for a 82% conversion rate for bettors.

ANAHEIM is 10-1 OVER L/11 in home games when playing with 3 or more days rest  with  an average of 6.4 gpg going on the scoreboard. Over is 11-2-2 in Flames last 15 games playing on 3 or more days rest.

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The Pens played a grueling game in Edmonton last night pulling off a 3-2 win. Now on tired legs I expect them to be a bit muted with energy levels, which will translate in a lower scoring game, thanks also to a host that plays top tier defense and struggles to score. VANCOUVER is 22-12 UNDER L/34 against poor defensive teams - opponents average 29.5+ shots on goal this season with a combined average of 4.8 ppg going on the scoreboard.VANCOUVER is 13-3 UNDER  revenging a same season loss vs opponent this season ( Pitts beat the Canucks 4-0 on Feb 14 this season)

PITTSBURGH  in their L/7 road games when playing on back-to-back days this season and  have seen an average of 4.2 gpg get scored and are 10-2 under this season playing with no rest. 

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Both these teams played last night and will now be on tired ledgs, and in no mood to run and gun out of transition. The Islanders had failed to score more than one goal in regulation in three consecutive games until posting Friday night's 5-2 victory at Florida. But HC Capuano's style of play is very conservative these days and I am betting they go back to that type of lackluster offensive perfromance vs a defensivley effecient Carolina team tonight. The Isles have not alowed more than 2 goals in 5 straight games. 

CAROLINA is 12-3 UNDER (+8.5 Units) against poor defensive teams 29 or more shots on goal, convert 17%  or more of their pp opportunities this seanon with an average of 4.5 gpg. 

Home teams where the total is 5.5 Carolina  - off a home win, playing on back-to-back days 89-34 72% to the under. 

These teams have recnetly struggle on defense, but I am betting that this matchup will inspire them to play tougher hockey. Both teams are tired , with TB  and Columbus both playing their 6th game in the L/10 days, so a run gun affair is highly unlikey.  COLUMBUS is 14-3 UNDER L/17 against poor power play killing teams - opp score on 17.5%  or more of chances this season like TB.

 Home teams where the total is 5.5 like the Bolts - off a home win, playing on back-to-back days have gone under all 4 times this  trend has beeni n play this season, and from a long term perspective, 88-34 to the under for a 72% conversion rate for under bettors. 

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CAROLINA is 11-1 UNDER L/12 agaist struggling defensive teams - 29 or more shots on goal, convert 17% or more of their  pp this season. CAROLINA is 7-1 UNDER L/8 in road games against good starting goalies - saving 91.5% or more of shots . CHICAGO is 33-17 UNDER L/50 in a home game where where the total is 5.5.

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The Columbus Blue Jackets will look to tie the NHL record for consecutive wins when they face  the Washington Capitals on Thursday night at Verizon Center. Tonight expect a hard fought affair, that will feature a play off style atmosphere, that will center around, defense, goaltending and physical play . Jackets goalie Sergei Bobrovsky has allowed just 23 goals in the 14 games. Meanwhile, the Capitals goalie, Holtby is 8-3-2 with a 2.83 goals-against average and a .900 save percentage against Columbus.

WASHINGTON is 9-1 L/10 after scoring 6 goals or more in their previous game with a combined average of 3.7 gpg going on the scoreboard, which happened in a 6-5 win vs Toronto last time out.COLUMBUS is 8-1 UNDER L/9 in road games after allowing 1 goal or less in their previous game , which ahppened in a 3-1 vs Edmonton last time out. 

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WINNIPEG played last night and are 13-4 UNDER L/17 in road games when playing on back-to-back days and s 6-0 UNDER L/6 in road games after scoring 6 goals or more in their previous game, which they did in a 6-4 victory vs Tampa Bay . Meanwhile, florida consistently plays low scoring games, scoring 3 goals or less in 8 of their L/9 games while not allowing more than three goals in 8 of their L/9. With that said, another low scoring tilt must be expected.

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The Devils have allowed 4 goals or more in 5 of their L/6 games, and have allowed an average of 4 gpg on the road this season, as their goal tending and defense continue to fail them. Meanwhile, St.Louis has been fairly potent  on offense this season, and I won't be surprised if they eclipse this beatable total all by themselves. NEW JERSEY is 10-3 OVER  after allowing 3 goals or more 3 straight games, with a combined average of 6.2 gpg being scored. 

NHL Road teams over the L/5 seasons where the total is 5 or less like the Devils  - poor offensive team - scoring 2.55 or less goals/game on the season, after allowing 3 goals or more 3 straight games are 65-32 OVER for a 67% conversion rate!

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Coming off a 4-2 loss to the Florida Panthers on Saturday night, Vancouver will hustle to Washington for a rare start at 5 p.m. EST which effect their over all play, on tired legs. What Im betting is that the Caps come at them with all guns blazing, and the Canucks try to reciprocate with some offensive fireworks of their own which will result in game that eclipses the number.

Road teams where the total is 5 or less like the Canucks - revenging a blowout loss vs opponent of 3 goals or more, off a road blowout loss by 3 goals or more have gone over 35 of the L/44 times for a 80% conversion rate for over bettors. (Washington beat Vancouver 5 -2 as road favs back on Oct 29) The L/3 meetings in this series have gone over. VANCOUVER is 31-17 OVER L/48 revenging a loss versus opponent as a favorite.

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The Western Conference-leading Chicago Blackhawks conclude their seven-game Circus road trip against the red-hot Los Angeles Kings on Saturday in game that I predict will eclipse the number. The Hawks are on tired legs so, I doubt D will be theri strong suit tonight, which result in a looser transistional game  as this tilt progresses. Los Angeles is well-rested after defeating the New York Islanders 4-2 on Wednesday for its fourth straight victory, and could very well score on an above average clip later in this game as the Blackhawks wear down physically. Over is 5-0-1 in Blackhawks last 6 games playing on 0 days rest.Over is 3-0-2 in Kings last 5 overall.Over is 9-4-1 in Kings last 14 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.Over is 5-0-3 in the last 8 meetings in Los Angeles.Over is 8-1-4 in the last 13 meetings.

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Buffalo G Robin Lehner has allowed fewer than three goals in each of his last five starts,and th Sabres remain a very conservative team that scores a majority of their goals off the rush in transition. Meanwhile, the Boston Bruins, just plain struggle on offense most of the time, as they have scored 2 or less in 8 of their L/11 games this season. The above combination of styles, trends and current form, will Im betting contribute to another low scoring out put by both sides, which will result in a under bet cashing this evening.

Under is 6-0 in Sabres last 6 overall. Only 1 of the Sabres L/12 vs Atlantic division sides has gone over the total. Under is 15-6-6 in Bruins last 27 vs. a team with a losing record.BUFFALO is 5-0 UNDER L/5 against good starting goalies - saving  91.5%  plus of shots against this season with an average 3.4 gpg. BUFFALO is 8-0 UNDER L/8 in road games in November games .BUFFALO is 6-0 UNDER L/6 when playing their 3rd game in 5 days this season.

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The Habs got blasted last night 10-0 vs Columbus  to end their season and now defense and golatending with Carey Price  back between the pipes are focul key points for an embarrassed side. Orevious to their last game the Canadiens allowd no more than two goals in 8 straight games , while their own offense has not scored more than 3 goals in 6 straight games including their last debacle.  With this being the Flyers 7th game in 12 days I highly doubt they will be in shape to run and gun and may fall under the spell of what Im expect will be a now conservative minded  shell shocked home side. PHILADELPHIA is 33-17 UNDER L/51 against good offensive teams - scoring 2.85+ goals/game with ana verage of 5pg going on the scoreboard. Road teams where the total is 5.5 like the Flyers- after having won 4 or 5 of their last 6 games, extremely tired team - playing 8 or more games in 14 days are 63-23 under for a potent 74% converion rate.Home teams where the total is 5.5  like the Habs a  tired team - playing their 3rd game in 5 days against opponent extremely tired team - playing 8 or more games in 14 days have gone under in 122 of the 179 opportunities.

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Chicago's goalie Crawford enters this game having registered at least 32 saves in each victory during a three game win streak , leading to a save percentage of .926 this season. He should be a headache for a Avs side that has scored 6 goals in their L/4 games. Struggling COLORADO is 7-0 UNDER L/7 in road games when playing against a winning team with a win % off .510 to .600 in the first half of the season over the last 3 seasons, with an average of 3.7 gpg going on the scoreboard. CHICAGO is 8-1 UNDER L/9 in home games against struggling teams - outscored by opponents by 0.5+ goals/game with a combined average of 4.2 gpg getting scored. The Blackhawks are also 10-2 UNDER L/12 in home games after a 3 game unbeaten streak with an average of 4.2 gpg going on the board.

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The Blues are playing a very conservative style of hockey at the moment, and they themselves are also struggling to score having netted 1 goal 5 times in their L/6 tilts. The Blues have also allowed 2 goals or less in 6 of their 9 games this season.(Under is 3-0-2 in Blues last 5 after allowing 2 goals or less in their previous game.)Meanwhile. the Rangers , have not allowed more than 2 goals in 5 of their L/6, with their offense extremely inconsistent. The Rangers did score 6 goals last time out, but I expect a reversion back to their usual explosions that are followed by offense fall offs. They have scored previous to their L/game  5 goals or more in 3 previous tilts and each time they followed up with 2 goals or less on offense.(Under is 2-0-2 in Rangers last 4 after scoring 5 goals or more in their previous game.)Note:  Everything points to a total score that remains on the low side of the number.  ST LOUIS is 16-5 UNDER L/21 in road games when playing against a team with a winning record in the first half of the season over the last 2 seasons. ST LOUIS is 17-4 UNDER L/21 in road games when playing with 2 days rest over the last 2 seasons and is 9-1 UNDER  in road games after shutting out their opponent in their previous game. From a league wide NHL perspective Any team against the total like the Rangers - slow starting team-outscored by opp by 0.2+ goals/game in first period, after scoring 6 goals or more in their previous game have gone under 49 of the L/ 64 times for a 75% conversion rate . 

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The Ottawa Senators will be without their starting goaltender tonight, Craig Anderson, as he takes a leave of abscense to deal with a family issue. In his absence, the Senators will go with the goaltending tandem of Andrew Hammond and Chris Driedger, with both being highly inconsistent propositions between the pipes  Hammond went  20-1-2 in his rookie campaign with the Sens in 2014-15, but than failed miserably going 7-11-1 last season and even spent a stint in the AHL in Binghamton where he had no wins to go with two losses.  Meanwhile, Flames goalie Brian Elliot has played well of late, but it must be noted he owns a lowly .867 SVP% in two home games this season. In Ottawas L/15 non conference games an average of 6.7 gpg have been scored. OTTAWA in their L/9 games against poor starting goalies - save % of less than .895 of shots against wih acombined average of 7.2 gpg going on the scoreboard. CALGARY is 10-3 OVER L/13 in home games when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 75%) with acombined average of 6.9 gpg getting scored. The L/4 meetings in this series have gone over.

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This young Toronto team played their best defensive game of the season in their lone game at home so far allowing just 1 goal vs Boston. Knowing the explosiveness , of the Bolts, you can bet the Buds will be in a conservative state of mind especially after consistently coughing up leads on the road in recent games. This I m betting leads to a tight Defensive affair that stays on the low side of the number. TAMPA BAY is 10-2 UNDER  in road games against terrible defensive teams - allowing 3+ goals/game with a combined averge score of 4 gpg going on the scoreboard. TORONTO is 20-8 UNDER L/28 against good possession teams-averaging 3+ more shots on goal than opposition sides.

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The Vancouver Canucks have implemented a conservative defensive system this season, allowing no more than 1 goal in 3 of their 4 games, while scoring no more than 2 goals in those tilts,  and that is the type of hockey I expect tonight in Los Angeles. Meanwhile, the usually defensive minded Kings, have allowed 4,6,3 goals in their L/3 games, and will be primed to get back to basics here tonight and stop the bleeding 

LOS ANGELES is 5-0 UNDER  in home games after allowing 3 goals or more 2 straight games dating back to last season.

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The Maple Leafs played last night and lost 5-4 in OT despite of a 4-0 lead. The second such time the Buds folded like that this season. Now on tired legs I expect the Leafs  coaching staff will center their focus on a better defensive effort tonight. This will slow down the speed of this game, The host team Wild are doing some scoring, but Im betting that outburst will be short lived, behind a conservative offensive philosphy.

Under is 13-4-10 in Wild last 27 vs. Atlantic. Under is 3-1-2 in Wild last 6 after scoring 5 goals or more in their previous game. Under is 6-2 in Wild last 8 vs. a team with a winning % below .400 • Under is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings in Minnesota. Under is 8-0 in the last 8 meetings.

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Ottawa played lazy defensive hockey in their first game of the season. They came back for a 5-4 OT , win vs the Leafs. Now here against the Habs tonight, Im betting on a more physical effort. Meanwhile, the Canadians system, will adjust in conservative fashion here on the road, in a game that will remain on the low side of the number. ( The L./5 meetings overall have gone under in this series including 5 straight here in Ottawa!.
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The Blues are  15-5 UNDER against good teams like San Jose - outscoring their opponents by 0.3+ goals/game this season, with an average of 4.4 gpg going on the scoreboard and are  11-3 UNDER  when playing with 2 days rest this season with an average of 4.2 gpg getting scored. The host Sharks have gone under in 7 of their L/8 overall, as they set themselves in to defensive form as we approach the play offs.  From a league wide tends archive: NHL road teams like St.Louis are 25-2 under against the total  - off a road win where they shut out their opponent, winning between .510 and ..600 of their games on the season.

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Washington key to success has been their top tier defense and nothing will change today in this road game vs the San Jose Sharks.  The Capitals have allowed 2 goals or less in 8 of their L/13 and only more than 3 one time during that span. Meanwhile, the San Jose Sharks have only allowed 13 goals in their L/7 for a solid 1.86 GAA. With Washington playing their 8th game in 13 days, and San Jose playing their 4th game in 6 days  Im sure both teams are exhausted and will be   in energy saving modes tonight, which should lead to a lower scoring contest that remains on the low side of the number.

SAN JOSE is 16-8 UNDER L/24 in home games when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 75%) dating back to last season.

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Pittsburgh enters this game playing solid defense over their L/5 games allowing a total 10 goals for a 2.00 GAA.  Meanwhile, the Ises previous to a 6-4 win against the NYR in their last game had allowed just 14 goals in  a8 game span for a soild 1.75 GAA. In this matchup, Im betting on both sides abilities to play solid D, to be at the forefront of a lower scoring tilt that fails to eclipse the number. NY ISLANDERS are 12-5 UNDER vs. division opponents this season.PITTSBURGH  in a road game where where the total is 5.5 dating back to last season, spanning 29 games has seen a total combined average score of 5.1 gpg go on the scoreboard. NY ISLANDERS are 15-5 UNDER  in home games against top tier starting goalies like Fleury  save % .915  or better of shots against) in the 2nd half of the season dating back to last season. 

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 Flyers goalie Neuvirth has allowed four goals on 57 shots over back-to-back wins and is 8-2-2 with a 1.94 goals-against average and two shutouts in 12 home games. Calgary will have a hard time finding the net here tonight, and Im betting on a lower scoring affair.

PHILADELPHIA is 6-0 UNDER in a home game where where the total is 5.5 this season with a combined average of 2.8 ppg going n the scoreboard.CALGARY is 34-13 UNDER in road games where the total is 5.5 over dating back to last season. The last 4 meetings in this series have stayed below the set total. Home teams against the total (like the Flyers) - revenging a loss where team scored 1 or less goals, in a game involving two marginal losing teams with a .400 to .490 win % have gone under 45 of the l/58 times for a bankroll expanding 77% conversion rate.

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The Lightning will be primed to  try to slow down the league's most-prolific scoring team of late, the Boston Bruins, as they have scored 4 or more goals in their L/4. Note: Bruins are  31-14 UNDER  after scoring 4 goals or more in 3 straight games with a combined average  of 5 gpg scored. Tampa Bay  is more than capable of doing this as they are playing tougher more focused D, as we come closer to the play offs as is evident by giving up a combined five goals in four games. Tuukka Rask the Bruins goalie today is also red hot and owns a  4-1-0 record with a 1.61 GAA in his past five overall. I think both these heavy weights, will play cautiously and the total combined score will remain on the low side of the number. 

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 As we come closer to the Stanley Cup play offs defense begins to be more important to teams. Two teams that are most likely going to the play offs , go head to head tonight Im expecting some spirited physical play and a contest that remains on the low side of the number. Under is 3-1-1 in Rangers last 5 overall.Under is 5-2-3 in Blackhawks last 10 road games.Under is 20-3-6 in Blackhawks last 29 vs. Metropolitan.Under is 32-9-11 in Blackhawks last 52 vs. Eastern Conference.Under is 4-0-1 in the last 5 meetings.

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The Blues base their successes or failures on playing top tier defense game in and game out, and here at home vs what can be an explosive Dallas side, nothing will change. Actually Im expecting a even more conservative game from the Blues, if that is possible. Under is 7-1-1 in Blues last 9 overall.Under is 5-0 in Blues last 5 vs. a team with a winning % above .600.Under is 17-7-8 in Blues last 32 home games.Under is 5-1 in the last 6 meetings.

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The Wings won 6 -5 yesterday against Boston in a barn burner, and will now be playing their 3rd game in 4 nights on tired legs. Defense and their transition play should suffer vs a very fast Isles side, while their own offense should be able to capitalize on an inconsistent NYI Defense.
Over is 4-0 in Islanders last 4 home games.Over is 4-0 in Red Wings last 4 in the third game of a 3-in-4 days situation.Over is 6-1 in the last 7 meetings in New York.

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Rangers will start Raanta in goal today vs the Leafs.  He is  3-0 on the season with a 0.67 GAA and .976 save percentage. NYR defense during a current 8 win streak, has been hard to penetrate, as is evident by allowing just 1.25 per game. Meanwhile, the Leafs continue to play good defense of late , allowing 1,4,2,3,2,1,2 goals in their L/7 games. With said Im expecting a very hard grinding physical affair that stays on the low side of the number.

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Winnipeg has given up 11 goals in the first two of four straight road games, including a 6-3 loss to Dallas on Thursday after allowing the go-ahead goal on a power play with 5:55 to play.

Note: Nashville's penalty kill has proved vulnerable lately with six goals allowed in the past 15 opposing power plays. Nashville desperatly needs goals and will push hard with man advantage tonight, which bolsters my concept of a higher scoring game than the pundits and lines-makers expect. 

WINNIPEG is 11-0 OVER L/11 after allowing 5 goals  in their previous game with an average of 7 gpg going on the scoreboard. The Jets have also gone 6-1 OVER L/7 against good offensive teams that score 2.85+ goals/game this season with an average of 7.1 gpg going on the board. 

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Blues are very tired after a 6-5 win vs Chicago last time out. They are banged up with injuries, and Im betting on a energy conserving defensive effort here today against a Nashville side that also likes to grind. St.Louis 8-0 L/8 after allowing 5 goals or more with an average 3.9 gpg in the follow up tilt going on the board.

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Washington has scored 4 or more goals in 4 of their 6 games, and should once again find the back of the net on a consistent basis tonight vs the Edmonton Oilers.  Star rookie  No.1 draft pick Conner McDavid and Company will respond and do well vs Philipp Grubauer  who will make his first start of the season for Washington tonight. Grubauer is 7-6-5 with a 2.44 GAA in 20 career games. Game projects to go over the set total. 

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From a completely technical standpoint it must be noted that when Buffalo in its current state of rebuilding goes up against a top level team at home like Montreal, they have seen 8 of their L/9 games stay under the Total with an average combined score of 3.6 gpg going on the board!  Meanwhile, the Habs are off a blowout win last time out, and have gone under in 14 of 16 opportunites after a 3 goal or more win with the average score clicking in at 4.2 gpg. both teams have seen a hefty helping of unders to start their current campaigns, with Montreal going over just once in 7 tries, and Buffao staying under in 5 of 6 . The combination of Montreal staunch D, and Buffalos offensive ineffectiveness, snd conservative hockey system should allow for a low scoring tilt.

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Arizona enters this game playing some very tough defense and have allowed a total of two goals in 3 games this season. I expect their hybrid fore checking system should once again be in full effect. Meanwhile, the Wild will start Devan Dubnyk  in his  third straight start  . The goalie only played 19 games with the Coyotes last season, going 9-5-2 with a 2.72 goals-against average before becoming a key member for Minnesota. He went 27-9-2 with a 1.78 GAA in 39 games  and will once again be a important figure in this contest staying on the low side of the number.
Minnesota is 20-8 UNDER  when playing against a top-tier team with a Win % 75%) in the first half of the season.Arizona is 11-3 UNDER  in home games off a road win over the last couple of seasons with a combined average of 4.3 gpg getting scored.

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These two teams play hard nosed defensive style hockey despite of alot of offensive talent in their lineups. St. Louis opened the new season with a 3-1 win at home over the Edmonton Oilers on Thursday night, holding heralded rookie Connor McDavid without a point in his NHL debut.Thursday night, the Minnesota Wild opened their 2015-16 season in dramatic fashion, coming back from a 4-goal deficit against the Colorado Avalanche to complete a 5-4 win, but this time around vs their rivals the Blues a more disciplined defensive effort must be expected. Minnesota is 20-8 UNDER   when playing against a top-tier team with a a .750 or win percentage in the first half of the season since 1996

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In the off season Toronto made a boatload full of changes while Montreal remained fairly intact.  What remains the same is both sides, are rivals and will once again Im betting  take part in a spirited tilt that will produce more than 5 goals in total! Seven of the L/9 meetings have eclipsed the number and 4 straight have gone over in Toronto. The public also likes the over, but hey they do get it right sometimes. 

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With alot on the line as this series progresses, Im betting both teams will be more tentative, and also be taking care of the puck even more diligently if that is possible . Im betting this results in a score that remains on the low side of the Total. 

CHICAGO is 32-13 UNDER  L/45  against top tier  offensive teams  that take more than 29 shots on goal per game on average and , convert 17% + of their power play opportunities this season.CHICAGO is 22-7 UNDER  top tier passing teams  averaging 5 or more assists per game this season.The Bolts are also  i 16-5 UNDER (when tied in a playoff series since 1996) with an average of 4.1 gpg going on the board.

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pitt Marc-Andre Fleury vs, nyr  Henrik Lundqvist 

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The Vancouver Canucks have alot more firepower than the young Calgary Flames, but the Flames have devised a way to stay close to the Canucks and even beat them. The Flames led the NHL in blocked shots this season, as they put their banged up and bruised bodies in front of an average of 19 shots per game. Their a physical gritty crew that make life difficult in a free flowing game. Its kind of ugly to watch, but lately when these teamsowry back i t your expecting that kind of hockey. What stands out from a betting point of view- is that low scoring sleepfests are the result, making for an very viable under investments option wager .  These teams have played four straight lowing scoring games, and Im betting on one more tonight. 

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The Vancouver Canucks have alot more firepower than the young Calgary Flames, but the Flames have devised a way to stay close to the Canucks and even beat them. The Flames led the NHL in blocked shots this season, as they put their banged up and bruised bodies in front of an average of 19 shots per game. Their a physical gritty crew that make life difficult in a free flowing game. Its kind of ugly to watch, but lately when these teams meet, your expecting that kind of hockey. What stands out from a betting point of view- is that low scoring sleepfests are the result, making for an very viable under investments option wager .These teams have played three straight lowing scoring games, and Im betting on one more tonight.

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Crosby struggled in the playoffs against the Rangers last year. He had one goal and two assists in the series and nothing over the last three games, all Rangers wins. No matter what knowing this , I expect the Pens will be ready to play a more conservative style of hockey and look for chances in transistion.Marc-Andre Fleury is one of the few goaltenders in these playoffs who has won a Stanley Cup. He had a league-high 10 shutouts this season, and will be a huge factor tonight for the Pens as will the Rangers defense and goaltending.

The Rangers beat up on the Penguins back on Jan 18 in Pittsburgh, but it must be noted that Pittsburgh is  a perfect 7-0 UNDER  revenging a loss where opponent scored 5 or more goals this season.

 Under is 9-3-1 in Penguins last 13 overall.Under is 7-3 in Penguins last 10 road gamesUnder is 9-4 in Penguins last 13 vs. Metropolitan.Under is 17-8-7 in Rangers last 32 Conference Quarterfinals games.

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Tampa Bay is 6-0 UNDER  in home games against low level offensive teams  scoring  2.4 or less  goals per game this season with the average combined score clicking in at 3.7 gpg. Bishop the Bolts goalie is 11-3-2 with a 1.93 GAA and three shutouts over his last 16 starts, and he's 3-2-0 with a 1.17 GAA against the Devils.Under is 5-0 in the last 5 meetings.Under is 6-2-3 in Devils last 11 road games

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Washington is 12-4 UNDER  in road games off a road win by 1 goal over the last 2 seasons with an average of 5.1 gpg going on the board. The last 4 meetings in this series here in Ottawa have gone under the set total. In their L/3 overall meetings these teams have combined to put an average of 3 goal per game on the board. 

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Karl Lehtonen the Stars starting goalie owns a  9-2-0 record along  with a 2.30 goals-against average in 12 games this month. With the Stars, he's 4-0-2 with a 1.94 GAA in home games against Calgary. Flames net minder Hillier  is 3-1-1 record and 2.13 GAA in his last six games. Calgary is 16-4 UNDER  in a road game where where the total is 5.5 this season with na average of 4.3 gpg going on the board. Im expecting a low scoring game . 

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The Stars are the NHL's second-highest scoring team with 3.07 goals per game while the Sabres are last at 1.76. Ted Nolan knows his team is over matched and will implement a tough defensive mind set here tonight on the road  based on transition hockey.

Buffalo is  8-0L/8 UNDER against elite offensive sides like the Starts  that  score 3 or more  goals per game. Meanwhile, the Dallas defense is now playing some of its best hockey of the season, allowing 10 goals with only two opponents registering more than 30 shots in their L/6 games.

Anders Lindback of the Sabres is expected to start tonight, he is just 1-4-2  in 8 apperences for Buffalo but owns a  solid  2.49 goals-against average and wont be easily scored on. With that said, and if both teams continue to play to current form a low scoring contest that does not eclipse the total should be expected. 

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The Devils are a defense first team, and Ted Nolans young men dont convert their shots into goals very often. The Devils in a unique forechecking system continue to wait for their opportunities offensively in transition which often results in low scoring affairs. The  NJ Devils are 9-0 UNDER   against poor possession teams-averaging 3+ less shots on goal than opp in the 2nd half of the year over the last couple of seasons, with an average of 3.7 gpg going on the board and   8-0 UNDER   against light scoring teams that average 2.4 o rless goals per game this season with an average of 3.6 gpg going on the scoreboard. 

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Dubnyk  the Wilds goalie has  been red hot since getting traded from  Arizona on Jan. 14. Including a 25-save performance in Tuesday's 3-2 overtime win over Nashville, he has recorded a 1.67 goals-against average since joining the Wild - second only to Montreal's super star stopper Carey Price . Meanwhile, Washington 29-12 UNDER  in road games vs top tier defensive teams  allowing 2.55 or less  goals per game over the last couple of seasons.

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The Blackhawks played a speedy NY Islanders squad ast night, but were able to close lanes and keep their opponents to the outside in a 4-1 win. Tonight on tired legs I expect another hardcore stay at home battle will be on the agenda, vs a Rangers side, that is currently in a defensive mind set entering the play offs. 

Chicago is 21-6 UNDER  revenging a loss versus opponent this season  registering a combined 4.7 gpg and 10-1 UNDER  when playing on back-to-back days this season with a combined average 4 gpg going on the board. The Rangers have gone under in all 7 games they have played this March, with an average of just 3 combined goals going on the scoreboard. 

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The tough St.Louis Blues visit the Alberta  to play the Calgary Flames this Tuesday night. The Blues have always played tough defense, but with the play offs approaching, DEFENSE is a rpiority. The Flames dont have the firepower to go mano a mano with the Blues, but their forechecking system is formidable, and will allow them to keep this game close tight and low scoring. Calgary is 20-10 UNDER  in home games against top tier  opposition  who  outscore their opponents by 0.5+ goals per  game dating back to last  season.

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NYI goalie Jaroslav Halak is 4-0-0 with a 2.04 goals-against average in his last five starts against the Blackhawks.Chicago counters with Corey Crawford, who is 5-0-1 with a 1.16 GAA in his last six overall. Both these teams gear up for the play offs and defense first mind set is on the agenda. Both for different reasons have also struggled on offense of late . This game Im betting stays under the total. 

The Islanders are are 13-5 UNDER  in road games against top tier  offensive teams that take 29 + shots s game and convert 17%+ of their power play opportunities this season and the Blackhawks are 21-8 n the under with the same parameters attached.Chicago also previously lost to the Islanders this season, and are 15-3 UNDER  revenging a loss vs opponent as a road favorite this season, with an average of 4.6 gpg going on the score board. 

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Andrew Hammond. The 27-year-old net-minder  has allowed two goals or fewer in each of his first 11 career starts and is is 10-0-1, and his 1.39 goals-against average ranks as the NHL's lowest among those with more than three starts since Feb. 16. With that said, Carolina  is 11-0 UNDER  in home games against top tier starting goalies  with Save % saving .915 or better  this season.

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Boston won in a way tilt yesterday in a hard fought affair vs the Penguins , by a 2-0 count, and will now be on tired legs and not as capable of playing a solid defensive contest today. In the recent past the Bruins are 6-0 OVER L/6 off a road win where they shut out their opponent , with an average of 6.6 gpg going on the scoreboard. It must be noted that Tuukka Rask, the Bruins goalie is 0-2-3 with a 3.42 goals-against average over five games in his L/5 starts in DC.  Im expecting the Bruins who are consistently scoring of late will after to respond offensively in game that Im betting goes over the number. 

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Both these teams are revving up for the play offs and defense will begin to take center state. Les Candiens don't have the fire power to free flow with the Isles, but their defense and goaltending and forechecking are formidable, which will allow them to make life difficult for an exceptional skating team like the Islanders. This Im betting leads to a low scoring play off style affair.  

The Habs are 17-6 under  when playing against a team with a winning record this season with an average of 4.2 gpg getting registered  and  20-8 under against top tier offensive teams like the Islanders that take 29 or more shots on goal, and convert 17% +  of their power play opportunities  this season with an average of 4.5 gpg clickcing in . Meanwhile, the Islanders are 7-1 UNDER  against top tier  starting goalies like Mark Price with a  save percentage  .930 or better this season with an average of 4.7 gpg  going on the score board. 

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Ottawas goalie Hammond,  is 8-0-1 with a 1.49 goals-against average since his first career appearance Feb. 16. Meanwhile, the Isles, are 7-1 UNDER  against top tier  starting goalies with a save % . 930  or better this season with an average of 4.7 gpg going on the board.The Islanders topped the Senators 3-2 in overtime Dec. 2 at the Nassau Coliseum and won 2-1 on Dec. 4 in Ottawa. Im betting on another low scoring affair this evening. 

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Two teams that are preparing for play off drives, will be prepared to play stringent post season style hockey tonight. The Rangers have had a tendency to play more conservative on the road in the past, especially against teams like Detroit who can strike quickly on offense, and that is evident by a 23-9 under mark, on the road against top tier offenses that average 2.85 goals or more per game on the season like Motown foes with the average combined score of those 32 games clicking in at 4.7 gpg.  Value on a combined score that fails to eclipse the total. 

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The Wild  have been on a tear for more than six weeks thanks to their star goalie Dubnyk. Minnesota is 15-3-2 over its last 20 games .Dubnyk has started all 20 games, posting a 1.64 GAA and five shutouts in that time. Ottawa has shut out Minnesota in consecutive meetings. Meanwhile, Andrew Hammond will be in net again Tuesday for the Senators .Hammond has won his first five career starts, while posting a remarkable , 1.00 GAA while posting two shutouts.The Senators blanked the Wild 3-0 on Jan. 14, 2014, and by the same scoreline Nov. 6 . Im betting the Sens will once again have  ahard time scoring while their own goaltending defense also stands tall. 

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The Flyers have done alot of their offensive damage of late on the power play  scoring 11  goals on 38 chances in their last 15 games and are 8 for 26 over their last 10 on the road. It must be noted, that Philly has not scored more than 3 goals in a game over their L/10 tilts. Meanwhile, tonight's opponents, Carolina owns the league-best penalty kill , allowing just three goals on 62 opportunities over the last 26 games (95.2 percent). Carolina is 21-7 UNDER against top tier power play units - scoring on  19% or more of their chances this season, with the average combined score of those tilts clicking in at 4.6 gpg. 

Carolina has also for the most part struggled on offense registering 2 goals or less in 7 of their L/10 games. 

The Canes are also 12-2 UNDER  in a home game where  the total is 5.5 this season, with the average combined score registering in at 4.3 gpg. 

Rookie Flyer goalie Zepp is 5-1-0 with a 2.63 goals-against average in eight games.

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Pittsburgh for whatever reason, has really been struggling on offense of late, scoring 1 goal in 3 straight games, and been shut out 3 times in 12 games. The Penguins are 10-0 UNDER this season after scoring 1 goal or less in their previous game with the average combined score ringing in at 3.8 ppg. 

 Goalie Marc-Andre Fleury is 2-2-1 with a 1.76 GAA over a five-game span against the  St. Louis Blues. He has compiled a 1.00 GAA in his last six starts overall.The Blues goaltender Elliott is 5-1-1 with a 2.26 GAA against the Penguins. Pittsburgh has gone under 16 of their L/23 against top tier starting goalies like Elliot this season that have a save % of .915 or better , with the average score of those games clicking in at 4.7 gpg. These franchises have stayed under in 11 of the L/16 meetings dating back over a decade, and 2 straight unders here in St.Louis of late and Im betting on another low scoring tight one this evening. 

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The Rangers offense has really been on fire of late scoring 22 goals over their L/4 games, 5,6,5,6 respectively. Meanwhile the Canucks have not done to badly either scoring 5 goals on 3 occasions during their L/6 games. Also Vancouver has allowed 4 of more goals in 5 of their L/10 and the Rangers have allowed 3 or more in 7 of their L/10. Considering both teams current forms, Im expecting a fairly high scoring contest, 

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 Dallas continues to show some weak defensive tendencies having allowed at least 5 goals in 5 of their L/8. Their only saving grace is to do a little bit of scoring themselves. Meanwhile, Calgarys defense has not been much better allowing 21 goals in their L/6 overall and seems to be getting worse as the season has progressed. I know Calgarys offense has stalled of late, but this is a great opportunity for them to get untracked, and that what Im betting they will do. The Flames thanks to their defensive short comings have seen 9 of their L/10 home tilts eclipse the number, including 5 straight vs below .500 teams like Dallas.  These teams have gone over at a 5-0-1 clip in the L/6 meetings here in Calgary, and overall these teams have seen only 2 of their L/16 meetings stay on the low side of the number. 

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The Winnipeg Jets are a defense first team, and play an aggressive forechecking style of hockey. Meanwhiile, Colorado s inconsistencies on offense, will once again be on display, which Im betting leads us to a low scoring affair. 

Under is 9-3 in Jets last 12 road games.Under is 9-4 in Jets last 13 vs. a team with a losing record.Under is 5-0 in the last 5 meetings in Colorado.

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San Jose is playing their 3rd game in 4 days and will be on tired legs. Thus a free wheeling game is at a low probability. The Oilers seem to always play a tighter brand of hockey on the road and have only eclipsed 1 Total in their L/7 road games. 

 Under is 10-1-2 in Oilers last 13 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.Under is 4-1-1 in Oilers last 6 games playing on 1 days rest. Under is 4-1-2 in Oilers last 7 road games. Under is 2-0-2 in Sharks last 4 Tuesday games. Under is 6-0-2 in Sharks last 8 vs. a team with a winning % below .400. Under is 2-0-2 in Sharks last 4 in the third game of a 3-in-4 days situation.

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Luongo is 5-1-1 with a 1.78 goals-against average in his last seven starts against the Blue Jackets.Columbus goalie Sergei Bobrovsky,  is 6-0-0 with a 1.81 GAA in his last six starts versus Florida.

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 Philadelphia has dropped eight straight road contests, and I expect things dont get better for them tonight, as Anaheim should be expected do some offensive damage and wont be surprised if they eclipse this number all by themselves.  The Flyers played last night,  and have gone Over at a  9-2-1 rate in Flyers last 12 games playing on 0 days rest. It must also be noted that the Over is 14-4-3 in Flyers last 21 vs. a team with a winning record.Over is 29-12-3 in Flyers last 44 road games.Over is 6-0 in the last 6 meetings in Anaheim.

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Jets play a tough conservative defensive game, and even more so on the road where they have stayed under in 8 of their L/10 away. Under is also 6-1 in Jets last 7 road games vs. a team with a winning home record like the Bruins own.Under is 4-0 in Bruins last 4 home games.Under is 4-0-1 in the last 5 meetings.

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The Blues are playing their fourth road game in the L/6 days and are now on tired legs. Im betting on them being very tight and deliberate in their play tonight, while their hosts the Winnipeg Jets continue to follow their usual disciplined defensive script and game plan. It must be noted Winnipeg looked exhausted in the third period of its loss to the Red Wings, and coach Paul Maurice said  that fatigue played a major factor, as that was his teams 15th game in a 28 day period. Neither teams has the legs to make to a end to end type game, and both sides dont really play that type of hockey. With that said, strategy, golatending and defense will take center stage as will a lower scoring affair that fails to eclipse the total. 

Under is 2-0-2 in Blues last 4 road games.Under is 7-1-1 in Jets last 9 vs. Western Conference. 

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Winnipeg  is one of only two teams in the league averaging fewer than two goals per game (1.80), so it comes as little surprise that its power play continues to struggle and ranks 28th.Winnipegs saving grace has been their defense and they have not allowed more than three regulation goals in a 12  tilts. New Jersey also struggles to score consistently and the power play has also been a concern, scoring just 1 time in their L/21 opportunities. With the Jets on tired legs after 5 consecutive road games, Im betting they will play very tight and slow tonight, which will aid in this contest staying under the total.

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Two defensive minded teams the Jets and the Preds go head to head in what should be a tight  defensive affair. The men from Winnipeg have gone under 12 of their L/16 this season, and Nashville has gone under in 12 of their 15 tilts. The Jets have surrendered 10 regulation goals in their L/8 contests. Meanwhile, in their 25 games this season, the Predators have allowed more than 3 goals just twice. These teams have gone under in 6 of the L/7 meetings and Im betting on one more here this evening. 

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 Winnipegs  Pavelec is 3-0-1 with a 1.27 GAA and .959 SV% in three November starts. Tonight he  is expected to get the call in Montreal—he has gone 4-1-1 with a 1.70 GAA and .941 SV% away from the MTS Centre.Pavelec's only two losses in the past seven starts have come in a shootout and he is sporting a 1.98 GAA and .928 save percentage Meanwhile, Montreals puck stopper Price has allowed a total of 15 goals in 8 starts for a 1.87 GAA vs Winnipeg since the franchise moved from Atlanta including 2 shut outs. Im looking for goaltender duel, and a tight defensive affair.

It must be noted that Montreal has failed  on 19 straight power plays while Winnipeg has killed off 18-of-19 penalties in the past six games, this current trend will also help this game on the low side of the number.

Under is 4-0 in Jets last 4 road games.Under is 3-1-2 in Canadiens last 6 home games.

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Toronto hasn't had any problems of late finding the back of the net, scoring 14 goals in three of its  last four contests. Chicago started slowly on offense this year but put 5 goals in the twine last time out, and as we all know when the explosive Blackhawks get rolling their hard to stop. These teams have a recent history of high scoring games with only 1 of their L/11 staying under the Total. 

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 Two western conference contenders who can score and play great defense will go head to head tonight. It seems their defenses have been the key important comptent to both teams early season successes.  The Ducks have seen 5 straight games remain on the low side of the total, while the Blackhawks are 5-0-1 on the under in their L/6. In the recent past both these teams have played grueling defensive battles against each other, and considering their current forms , another low scoring confrontation should be expected. ( 8 of the L/9 meetings have remained on the low side of the number).

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