Carolina head coach Dave Canales says he hopes his starters will play, but how much does that really matter. This team according to NFL projections should finsih near the bottom of the league this season. The Panthers have managed just 15 points total and only one TD in preseason ball and project to continue to struggle against a deep Buffalo D. QB quarterback Bryce Young struggled  last season, and despite of some good looks in scrimmages against the Jets earlier this week, still has to show he can avoid being sacked - Note: Young took 62 sacks last season losing a  league-high 477 yards. I know we will mostly see backups today for the Bills , but I just dont trust the Panthers to do enough damage here to cover the number. Note: BUFFALO has won 10 of their  11 straight up  and ATS   as a preseason underdog. 

Play on Buffalo to cover

The Vikings have put up  24 and 27 points against the Raiders and Browns in their first two preseason games. Meanwhile, the Eagles  have looked lackluster from a  offensive perspective  putting up a  combined points 30 pts in their first two preseason games. Both sides are not expected to see alot of starters playing much of this game, but the Vikings depth charts are not to be underestimated and is very competitive . With that said, Ill take the points here with the Vikings.  The Philadelphia Eagles are   0-6-1 SU and 0-7 ATS L/7  at home in the preseason.  The Eagles are also  5-13-2 SU and 6-13-1 ATS in the last 20 preseason games overall. 

Play on the Minnesota  Vikings to cover 

The 49ers have been pretty banged up in preseason , and Im betting they will be conservative with the amount of time key starters will get and their overall physicality . Its being said that Brock Purdy will play this game  for the Raiders but I doubt he gets extended snaps. With Dobbs now expected to be Purdy's backup Im expecting the back end of the QB rotation to play extended time for the 49ers tonight which will not see them as proficient offensively as many might expect. On the flipside Im betting  QB O’Connell, who  has gone 21-of-29 in the preseason and Gardner Minshew to see a fairly decent amount of playing time and to do some damage here.Las Vegas  has won seven of the last eight preseason home games straight up and against the spread , holding opponents to just  10.7 PPG.

Play on the Raiders to cover

The Tampa Bay Bucs played their starters last week, and they should see very little time this week if they play at all. Meanwhile,  Fins have a deep team especially on offense, and have the depth  horses to compete here. Darting back to the 2015 preseason, underdogs in the +1 to +3 range have recorded a  record of 176-114 ATS for a 61% conversion rate.  Dating back 11 seasons the Buccaneers are  4-15 ATS in home preseason games.  Road teams have won the last five ATS in preseason head-to-head series. 

Play on the Miami Dolphins to cover

The Bengals are not expected to use many  or any of their starters tonight as  coach Zac Taylor is not a risk taker and wants his team healthy for the start of the season.  Meanwhile,  Indianapolis plans to give starters on both sides of ball viable minutes in this one. The Bengals D, was bad last season, and things dont project to get much better this season, and the depth is also a key issue. Im betting the Indianapolis QB group should easily get the ball rolling down field and do some real damage while their D, will be just fine vs backups. Motivation seems to hold here with the the Colts. Since the 2010 campaign favs  of -3.5 to -7 points  have been  a profitable venture, recording a   150-119-4 ATS mark. 

Colts to cover

Patriots head coach Jerod Mayo is organizing his team talent charts , and we will see alot of the up and coming talent the Pats of amassed here this evening against the visiting  Philadelphia Eagles 

Since HC Sirianni took the helm of the Eagles they have lost 6 of their 8 preseason affairs and despite of owning recent scrimmages vs the Patriots this week, Sirianni is not expected to play any of his key cogs for the upcoming season, Backup to Jalen Heurts  QB Kenny Pickett had a great game last week, but is also expected to sit this week. The Pats have a QB competition underway so aggressive offensive work should be expected along with what is a very good defense. Everything points to a Pats win and cover.

 The Eagles   are just  4-13-2 SU and 5-13-1 ATS in the last 19 preseason trips to the gridiron. 

New England  has won the last three ATS in the preseason head-to-head series.

Play on NE Patriots

The coaching staff of the Colts said  Richardson and the starters are expected to play " a few series in the game,  including the starting offensive line, which will play with Richardson.

Richardson completed 60% of his pass attempts last season( before getting injured ) while posting a QBR of 45 in 173 total snaps and is a top tier QB that sees the field well. I know the Broncos QB Bo Nix will be getting all the attention, but the truth is despite of some changes that were made in Indianapolis- this is still a very under rated squad that deserves respect here today.

The Colts are  8-0-3 ATS  as a preseason underdog.   

Play on Indianapolis 

 Tennessee Titans take a new direction  this season with Mike Vrabel having moved on as  head coach and star RB Derrick Henry now with the  Baltimore Ravens. Its expected that he Titans' quarterback, Will Levis, will play a few sets for the his team, and Mason Rudolph to also take some snaps. Im betting with the new formations and coaching the Titans will have problems moving the ball here early in preseason action and for the deeper side (49ers) with more talent to dominate the line of scrimmage in this tilt. I know the 49ers will not play starters, and alot of key backups are banged up  and that the Titans will be motivated to perform for a new coach, but /i dont like their depth. Not saying that Tennessee cannot find the win colum, just betting this si to many points.  SF are on a 6-0-1 ATS run as preseason underdog and get  the nod here again tonight. 

Play on SF 49er to cover

There are alot of questions that have to be asked about the Pats offense, as they go with a new QB and some changes to the  coaching staff. But what remains solid is their D.  Spanning the L/2 seasons  the Patriots are the fourth-best defensive team in  EPA metrics and tonight this inconsistent Carolina offensive line is going to have problems containing this deep group. Also as of now my projections estimate that the Panthers will be at the bottom of the entire NFL standings this season. 

Play on the Pats to cover

The Bears have won the L/6 games in this preseason series SU, and according to my projections deserve respect here a dogs vs a Colts side that 2-14-2 ATS L/18 preseason home games. I know Bears QB Justin Fields is not expected to play this game, but despite of lines-makers lack of respect of the rest of Bears QB group, Im willing to take the points on what to me is exaggerated line favoring the Colts. Also during joint scrim-ages with the Colts there were some cheap shots taken on Fields and now I expecting a more motivated version of the Bears to show up here in this preseason affair. 

NFLX Road teams (CHICAGO) - after 1 or more consecutive wins against the spread, with a winning record in the preseason are 35-13 L/5 seasons for a 73% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the Chicago Bears to cover 

  The Browns have  have faired well in preseason football of late , garnering a  14-4 SU  record  since 2017, and are currently on a  6-0-1 ATS run  when getting points in the underdog role.  .Kevin Stefanski has a viable preseason record of 5-3 SU during his tenure as Browns head coach and seems to take even scrimmages very seriously . I know the Browns will probably not start their starting QB but the battle between  Kellen Mond and Dorian Thompson-Robinson should make for aggressive outing from a Cleveland side that wants to get their offense rolling. Note:  Eagles are 0-5 SUATS L5 preseason home games and are just .2-9 SU/ATS in Thursday tilts. 

NFLX road sides after scoring 3 points or less in the first half last game are 42-17 ATS L/10 seasons for a 71% conversion rate for bettors.CLEVELAND is 11-2 ATS  after scoring 7 points or less in the first half in 2 straight games  dating back 31 seasons. (This happened last time out in a 17-15 loss to Washington)

Play on Cleveland to cover 

San Francisco and Las Vegas participated in joint practices ahead of their preseason opener Sunday in the desert, and in scrim-ages  the Raiders defense forced multiple interceptions from Purdy, and other 49ers QBs and Im betting they continue those efforts here today. The 49ers listed Lance and Sam Darnold as their No. 2 quarterbacks in this game, and Im betting both struggle against a hungry group of Raiders. Defense trumps offense here today. 

The Raiders 6-0 SUATS L6 preseason HGs and must be respected here getting points  vs the SF 49ers. 

Play on Raiders to cover 

 HC Matt LaFleur and his coaching staff looked more concerned with just  getting the gears started on the Packers proverbial football machine than finding a way to win last time out.(SF 28- GB 21)  But  this week Im betting the old ball coach looks at putting his team in a winning frame of mind as we head into week 2 of preseason NFL football. This is a  rematch of a ugly  38-3 loss in the 2021 season opener at New Orleans. It was LaFleur‘s and also  QB Aaron Rodgers’ most lopsided loss in their NFL careers.  It must be noted that the Saints new head coach Dennis Allen is  0-7 SU and 1-6 ATS away in previous nfl preseason tilts. With that said Im betting on Green Bay to improve to 6-0 SUATS vs the Saints in nflx action.

Play on the Green Bay Packers to cover 

The Dolphins are starting a new era with first-year head coach Mike McDaniel and Im betting the new guy on the block will want to make a statement by winning right out of the gate here in preseason play. Giving his side a positive landmark moving forward could be key here. Dolphins players are still talking about their 45-17 beatdown at the hands of the Bucs in last seasons meeting, and sound pumped to have a much better showing even though this is just preseason play. In two head to head scrimmages with TB the Fins looked pretty good, and with Teddy Bridgewater and Skylar Thompson splitting reps for Miami will be viable threats to move the ball and score some points vs a Bucs side that is exploring depth players and  possible positions upgrades for their opening day roster. Im betting the more focused and motivated side gets is to the promise land tonight in Florida. 

Note: The   visitor 11-1 ATS  in this series and Miami is   5-0 ATS vs NFC South.

The Bucs are 1-7 SU L/8  Game One preseason tilts. 

Play on Miami to cover

New Giants  head coach Brian Daboll will want to make a statement right out of the gate with some aggressive offensive football so I expect QBs Taylor , Webb and even Jones should see some time right out of the gate in preseason ball. Daboll is well known for his advanced offensive systems , and should do enough damage here to get us to the promised land vs a New England side that is said to be having troubles with chemistry on offense so far in preseason scrimmages. 

Gmen are 6-1 ATS L/7  in this series dating back 23 seasons   / visitor 9-2 SUATS. 

Play on the NY Giants to cover 

The Saints enter this preseason game going 2-10 ATS L12 vs NFC opposition   Meanwhile, Baltimore is  5-0 ATS L5 in this series and overall under Harbaugh have been absolute beasts in NFLX play accumulating a  21-3 ATS  run over the L/6 seasons. The Ravens are currently on a 17-game preseason winning streak. When considering the starting lineup options and backups I conclusively estimate the Raves win vs a Saints team going through some remolding by a FG or more.... giving us value on this number.

Play on Baltimore to cover 

Its only preseason ball but the Bears are pretty banged up with a huge injury list on both sides of the ball. I know QB Justin /Fields will make his debut here today and there is alot of hype surrounding his appearance, but he cant win this game on his own, and his backup Andy Dalton despite of being experienced is far from being in his prime. Meanwhile, the Miami dolphins HC Flores looks like he takes preseason ball seriously having gone 3-0 so far with the Fins, and with the solid QB duo of Tua Tagovailoa and Jacoby Brissett on the field the underdogs look like viable bets. 

Dolphins are 16-5 ATS in their last 21 games as an underdog.Dolphins are 20-8 ATS in their last 28 games overall.

Bears are 1-7 ATS in their last 8 games as a home favorite.

Play on the Dolphins to cover

  Pittsburgh has already played one tilt in the preseason (Hall ofFame Game), and they were dominant winning a 16-3 decision vs the Dallas Cowboys . Here today against the new look Eagles, who have a new coach ( Nick Sirianni) and a revamped offense behind Jalen Hurts the more prepared Steelers and their iron curtain D, look like solid preseason bets. I know its difficult to predict how much of both teams starters will play, but my depth charts give an edge to the Steelers backups. Look for the Eagles offense to experience growing pains and for the Steelers D to continue to show their toughness. 

Steelers are 4-1-1 ATS in their last 6 Thursday games.Steelers are 10-3 ATS in their last 13 games as a road underdog.Steelers are 23-8-2 ATS in their last 33 games as an underdog.Steelers are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games on natural surface. 

Eagles are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games as a home favorite.Eagles are 1-7 ATS in their last 8 games as a favorite.

Play on Pittsburgh to cover 

The Baltimore Ravens go  into Washington with momentum as they ride a 16-game winning streak in pre-season play and have won and covered each of their three exhibition tilts this season.Rookie QB Trace McSorley  has looked tremendous and completed 19 of his 28 passing attempts for 203 yards, two touchdowns, last time out in a Ravens, win and should get more snaps tonight with Lamar Jackson not expected to play. Meanwhile, Washington despite of a preseason win last time out, is suffering through some scattered key injuries and will want to stay relatively healthy, going forward so Im betting they play alot of backups and  sort out the bottom half of the depth chart . Looks very much like Baltimore makes it 17 straight here, and covers for the 11th time in 13 trips to the gridiron. 

BALTIMORE is 10-1 ATS in all games over the last 3 seasons.BALTIMORE is 8-0 ATS after 1 or more consecutive straight up wins over the last 3 seasons.

WASHINGTON is 5-15 ATS as an underdog of 3.5 to 9.5 points .

Play on Baltimore to cover 

The Minnesota Vikings opened at 2.5 point dogs  vs the Buffalo Bils, but that number was knocked down, and now the value despite of the divergence still lies with the Vikings of favorites of 3 points. 

Zimmer is 12-4 ATS  in games where the line is +3 to -3 as the coach of MINNESOTA. Zimmer is 9-2 ATS  in road games as the coach of MINNESOTA. 

NFLX   teams where the line is +3 to -3 (MINNESOTA) - after a 2 game home stand against opponent after playing their last game on the road are 29-6 ATS L/10 seasons for a 83% conversion rate. 

NFLX Road teams (MINNESOTA) - off 2 consecutive home wins, undefeated in the preseason are 41-16 ATS L/27 seasons for a 72% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the Minnesota Vikings to cover 

Sunday night National Football League preseason action  features the AFC North  Pittsburgh  Steelers  doing battle with the AFC South Tennessee Titans at Nissan Stadium, in Nashville, Tennessee. 

The Titans owned a top tier  defense last year  ranking 8th in total yards allowed and 3rd in points allowed( 18.9 ppg). This season and tonight Im betting the Titans D will continue to shine thanks to addition of some key draft acquisitions and depth. On offence with QB Mariotts expected to play at least half the game a Tennessee offence that has looked more fluid than usual thanks to a more balanced run and passing game  and  should continue to do good work vs a Pittsburgh D, that might not be as stable as many pundits believe. On the opposite end of the field, its looks like the Steelers Big ben will see limited time if plays today at all which gives me more credence in my backing of the Titans here at home this week. Note: PITTSBURGH is 1-11 ATS  L/12 off a upset win as an underdog . Their 17-7 win vs KC last week qualifies here under a regression chart that I use to isolate let down spots. 

Steelers are 1-4-1 ATS in their last 6 vs. AFC.Steelers are 1-4-1 ATS in their last 6 games on a natural surface. 

Titans are 13-6-1 ATS in their last 20 home games.

Play on the Tennessee Titans to win on the ML

Home team is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 meetings.

Veteran QB Philip Rivers will not play this week vs the  Chargers and  backing Seattle is a good investment option behind  a above average group of backup QBs  ie JT Barrett and especially Geno Smith with veteran QB Wilson probably playing the first quarter. Pete Carrol said all of starters will see some action on Saturday, but has not specified how much. The line from its opening has spun around in a big way , but there is still market value here on this line favoring the Seahawks. Advantage Seahawks. 

SEATTLE is 31-12 ATS against AFC West division opponents since 1993.

SEATTLE is 33-18 ATS in road games since 1993.

 NFLX team (SEATTLE) - after being outgained by 150+ total yards in their previous game are 24-9 L/5 seasons for a 72% conversion rate for bettors.

NFLX Home teams where the line is +3 to -3 (LA CHARGERS) - after allowing 3 points or less in the first half last game are 11-31 L/10 seasons for a go against 74% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the Seattle Seahawks to cover 

Jets running back Le’Veon Bell won’t see action until the regular season. With QB Saints Drew Brees likely to see his only action prior to Week 1 kickoff the Saints have an edge over his young counterpart Sam Darnold . Note:  Brees has averaged 22 snaps in Week 3 of the previous two pre-seasons.

The Saints have covered 3 of their L/4 road games in the preseason and 6 of their L/8 preseason games overall and get the nod again.

NEW ORLEANS is 21-6 ATS  in road games when playing with 6 or less days rest .

NFLX Home teams (NY JETS) - after a win by 10 or more points against opponent after scoring 3 points or less in the first half last game are 39-11 L/27 seasons for a 78% conversion rate for bettors.

NFLX  teams where the line is +3 to -3 (NY JETS) - in non-conference games, off a double digit road win are 11-33 ATS L/10 seasons L/10 seasons for a 75% conversion rate for bettors.

NFLX Home teams (NY JETS) - after a game with a turnover margin of +3 or better are 8-25 ATS L/10 seasons for a go against 76% conversion rate for bettors.

NFLX Favorites (NEW ORLEANS) - after outrushing opponent by 75 or more yards last game are 40-17 ATS L/10 seasons for a 70% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the New Orleans Saints