CHICAGO is 12-5 ATS  versus good 3 point shooting teams - making >=33% of their attempts this season.

NEW YORK is 0-6 ATS in home games after 3 straight games - allowing a shooting pct. of 42% or higher over the last 2 seasons.

WNBA Road favorites vs. the money line (CHICAGO) - after 4 or more consecutive wins, on Saturday games are 37-5 L/25 seasons with the average ppg diff clicking in at -8 . 

- Road teams (INDIANA) - sub par performing  team - outscored by their opponents by 6+ points/game, on Tuesday nights are 70-29 ATS L/25 seasons for a 71% conversion rate for bettors. 

LOS ANGELES is 3-12 ATS after 2 consecutive non-conference games over the last 2 seasons.

My WNBA sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 15 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

My WNBA sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 15 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

My WNBA projections are based on a system I have used for more than 15 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

My WNBA  sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 15 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 25 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned

My WNBA sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 15 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

My WNBA sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 15 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends - In other words no stone is left unturned. 

CONNECTICUT is 11-1 ATS  when playing against a team with a winning record this season and once again have the edge here in this tilt as favorites. CONNECTICUT is 9-0 ATS vs. excellent free throw shooting teams - making 80%  or more of their shots after 15+ games this season. CONNECTICUT is 9-0 ATS  after scoring 75 points or more in 3 straight games this season.

I know Chicago has been flying high entering this tilt, but it must be noted CHICAGO is 0-9 ATS after 3 straight wins by 10 points or more since entering the WNBA. 

CHICAGO is 0-7 ATS in road games vs. top caliber teams - outscoring their opponents by 9+ points/game after 15+ games since entering the league.

Connecticut to win /cover

We have value with a viable home dog in this spot play according to my power rankings. 

PHOENIX is 7-1 ATS versus good 3 point shooting teams - making 33%  or more of their attempts after 15+ games this season. 

PHOENIX is 7-1 ATS  vs. excellent free throw shooting teams - making 80% or more of their shots after 15+ games this season.

WNBA Home teams vs. the money line (PHOENIX) - off 2 or more consecutive road wins, a good team (60% to 75%) playing a team with a winning record are 31-2 SU L/24 seasons for a 94% conversion rate.

Play on the Phoenix to cover

My projections make the Mercury 2 point favs thus giving us value with the home side.

CHICAGO is 5-13 ATS after allowing 75 points or more this season.

PHOENIX is 8-1 ATS  versus good passing teams, averaging 17 or more  assists/game after 15+ games this season.

WNBA Home teams vs. the money line (PHOENIX) - after successfully covering the spread in 3 or more consecutive games, with a winning record on the season after 15 or more games and 38-4 L/5 seasons for a 91% conversion rate. 

Play on the Phoenix Mercury to cover

The Washington Mystics will face the Dallas Wings for the second time this season on Thursday at home in D.C. In their first matchup on June 26, Dallas led by double-digits almost the entire game. Tonight Im betting the Mystics will get their revenge here at home where they have won the last two meetings.

WASHINGTON is 9-1 ATS  revenging a loss versus opponent by 10 points or more over the last 2 seasons.

WASHINGTON is 6-0 ATS  revenging a road loss versus opponent by 10 points or more over the last 2 seasons.

WNBA Home teams vs. the money line (WASHINGTON) - after a win by 10 points or more against opponent after a loss by 6 points or less are 27-2 L/5 seasons for a 93% conversion rate. 

Play on Washington Mystics to win 

The sun play their best hoops at home where they own a 10-1 mark this season, and once again Im betting home court advantage will be golden.

'CONNECTICUT is 9-1 ATS  in home games when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 75%) over the last 3 seasons. CONNECTICUT is 9-0 ATS  after a game where a team made 90% of their free throws or better over the last 2 seasons.

WNBA Home favorites vs. the money line (CONNECTICUT) - off a home win by 10 points or more, in August or September games are 40-2 L/5 seasons for a 95% conversion rate for bettors.

WNBA Home teams vs. the money line (CONNECTICUT) - after successfully covering the spread in 3 or more consecutive games, with a winning record on the season after 15 or more games are 34-6 L/5 seasons for a 90% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on the Connecticut Sun to cover 

Jasmine Thomas scored 19 points, Jonquel Jones had 17 points and 13 rebounds, and Connecticut beat Minnesota 72-60 on Tuesday night to snap the Lynx's eight-game winning streak. Rinse and repeat. 

Lynx enter this game with a  1-4 ATS in their last 5 vs. Eastern Conference and are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 Thursday games. 

WNBA Home teams vs. the money line (CONNECTICUT) - after successfully covering the spread in 3 or more consecutive games, with a winning record on the season after 15 or more games are 35-4 L/24 seasons for a 90% conversion rate with the average ppg diff clicking in at 9.2 ppg which qualifies on this ATS line. 

WNBA Home favorites vs. the money line (CONNECTICUT) - off a home win by 10 points or more, in August or September games are 39-2 L/5 seasons for a 95% conversion rate for bettors with the average ppg diff clicking in at 11.9 which qualifies on this line. 

Play on the Connecticut Sun to cover

NYL last 3 losses have come by DDs, and Im betting they are being given a little ibt to much respect here even though we are backing a side from the west coast playing out side of their own time zone.

WNBA team (SEATTLE) - cold team - failing to cover the spread in 8 or more of their last 10, good team, winning 60-75% or more of their games, after 15 or more games are 22-3 ATS L/24 seasons for a 88% conversion rate for bettors.

WNBA Home teams (NEW YORK) - off a road loss by 10 points or more, with a losing record after 15 or more games are 8-33 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 81% conversion rate for bettors.

WNBA Home teams (NEW YORK) - playing with 2 days rest, with a losing record after 15 or more games are 9-32 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 78% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on the Seattle Storm to cover

The Fever were playing well before the break as they won 3 games in a row and Im betting on that momentum to continue vs a rebuilding Sparks side getting to much respect here in this spot. 

Fever are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games as an underdog.

Sparks are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games as a favorite.Sparks are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games vs. a team with a losing straight up record.

Play on the Indiana Fever to cover

Vegas after being upset last time out will be wide awake here in ready to get redemption. LAS VEGAS is 8-0 ATS off a upset loss as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.

WNBA Home favorites vs. the money line (LAS VEGAS) - a very good team (+7 PPG diff. or more ) against an average team (+/- 3 PPG diff.) after 15 or more games, after scoring 80 points or more in 2 straight games are 35-1 L/5 seasons with th average ppg diff clicking in at +13 ppg which qualifies on the ATS line. 

Play on Las Vegas to win 

Indiana broke a long losing streak last time out and now with momentum Im betting they will be competitive again and get the cover. WNBA Home teams vs. the money line (INDIANA) - off a home win against a division rival against opponent off a home win are 26-4 L/5 seasons for a 87% conversion rate for bettors. 

WNBA  Home favorites (INDIANA) - good offensive team - scoring 73+ points/game on the season against opponent after 2 straight wins by 6 points or less are 39-18 ATS L/24 seasons for a 66% conversion rate. 

Play on the Indiana Fever to cover

This is to many points according to my projections for the Storm to be laying on the road. Advantage LA . 

LOS ANGELES is 3-0 straight up against SEATTLE over the last 3 seasons at home. 

NBA Home teams (LOS ANGELES) - off a loss against a division rival, a bad team, winning 25% to 40% of their games after 15 or more games are 6-23 ATS L/5 seasons for a 79% conversion rate.

Play on LA Sparks to cover

 Reeve is 36-24 ATS   vs. teams who are called for 2+ less fouls/game than their opponents as the coach of MINNESOTA.

PHOENIX is 0-8 ATS when playing against a marginal winning team (Win Pct. 51% to 60%) over the last 3 seasons.

NBA Home teams (PHOENIX) - playing with 2 days rest, with a losing record after 15 or more games are 9-31 ATS  L/5 seasons for a 78% go against conversion rate. 

Play on Minnesota to cover 

Indiana won the first meeting in this back to back series vs Washington and matchup well vs the Mystics as the final 89-77 score would indicate. INDIANA is 10-2 ATS off an upset win by 10 points or more as a home underdog . Thibault is 2-12 ATS  off an upset loss by 10 points or more as a road favorite in all games he has coached since 1997.

WASHINGTON is 1-10 ATS  in road games after 2 straight games attempting 70 or more shots over the last 3 seasons

NBA Underdogs (INDIANA) - averaging 45 or more rebounds/game on the season, on Tuesday nights are 63-31 ATS L/24 seasons for a 67% conversion rate. 

Play on the Fever to cover 

My projections make this line closer to -3 for the road side which gives us a full possession of value taking points with the home dog . 

NBA Road favorites (CHICAGO) - excellent offensive team from last season - scored 75 or more points/game, after a win by 10 points or more are just 6-30 L/24 seasons for a go against 83% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on the Dream to cover 

My early season power ranking suggest the Sun should be -3 favs here giving us value on an short fav line. CONNECTICUT is 33-14 ATS 47 as a home favorite of 3 points or less. 

WNBA team vs the money line (PHOENIX) - off a road win, marginal winning team from last season (51% to 60%) playing a team who had a losing record are 7-20 L/24 season for a go against 74% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the Sun to cover

Chicago is the superior side, but this is just to many points to lay with them. Value with Indiana.

CHICAGO is 1-8 ATS ( after 3 straight games where they committed 14 or less turnovers over the last 3 seasons.


Underdogs (INDIANA) - after allowing 70 points or more in 5 straight games against opponent after allowing 75 points or more in 5 straight games. are 58-25 L/5 seasons for a 69% conversion rate for bettors. 

The Mercury aims for a third straight win on Sunday against the Minnesota Lynx at the IMG Academy in Bradenton, Fla. Im betting on the momentum of the Mercury in this spot. PHOENIX is 15-4 ATS in road games after scoring 80 points or more in 2 straight games over the last 3 seasons.

 MINNESOTA is 0-9 ATS  when playing against a marginal winning team (Win Pct. 51% to 60%) over the last 3 seasons.

Play on Phoenix to cover 

Dallas has dropped two straight games by a combined seven points since beating Washington in overtime last Friday and Im betting on another close one here with the underdog Fever with the edge.

Stanley is 3-15 ATS  on Saturday games in all games he has coached since 1997. 

DALLAS is 2-10 ATS  after 5 straight games - allowing a shooting pct. of 42% or higher over the last 3 seasons.

WNBA Favorites (DALLAS) - after going over the total by 30 or more points total in their last five games, with a losing record are 35-11 ATS for a 76% conversion rate. 

INDIANA is 6-1 against the spread versus DALLAS over the last 3 seasons.

Play on the Indiana to cover 

Nothing comes easy for the Mystics, and covering as a underdog it something that they are not equipped to do with consistency with their current lineup and lack of motivation. After 9 straight losses that is obvious. Ill take the points here. 

The Lynx are viable bets for a third consecutive victory, as they go against a  Mercury side that Im betting they will send to their third loss in a row on Friday night at the IMG Academy in Bradenton, Fla. Ride the momentum of the Lynx getting points. 

 MINNESOTA is 17-7 ATS versus poor pressure defensive teams - forcing 14 or less turnovers/game over the last 2 seasons.

Minnesota has won 5 of the L/6 meetings in this series and the last 3 most recent meetings. 

Play on Minnesota to cover

Everything continues to be all systems go for the Seattle Storm, who look to further their best start in franchise history and win their 10th consecutive game Thursday night when they face the Indiana Fever. However, this many points has value attached to it. 

Play on the Fever to cover 

The last two meetings in this series were decided by 1 point and 2 point respectively and Im betting on another close game here.

CHICAGO is 6-0 ATS in road games versus good rebounding teams - outrebounding opponents by 3+ per game over the last 2 seasons. 

Play on Chicago to cover 

  Connecticut sits eighth in the league standings, one-half game in front of it is seventh-place Indiana (4-6). Both are coming off losses and be primed for bounce back efforts. My power rankings make these teams fairly evenly matched with the points Im betting proving golden. CONNECTICUT is 17-30 ATS  versus good 3 point shooting teams - making  33% or better of their attempts over the last 3 seasons. INDIANA is 7-0 ATS  in road games after allowing 45 points or more in the first half last game over the last 2 seasons.

Play on Indiana to cover 

These teams are proving particularly evenly matched, and Im betting this  deciding game 5  will also be hard fought til the end, with the points proving golden. 

WNBA Home favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (WASHINGTON) - poor defensive team - shooting pct defense of 44%or more  on the season against opponent after 3 straight games - allowing a shooting pct. of 45% or higher 9-30 ATS L/22 seasons for a go against 77% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Connecticut to cover 

There is blood in the water, and the Mystics up 2-1 have the teeth to proverbially snatch and grab game 4 here and take home a WNBA championship.  It is a well known fact that Washington has the deepest bench in the league, and that edge will be very important here in this key game. 

WNBA Road teams where the line is +3 to -3 (WASHINGTON) - after allowing 70 points or more in 3 straight games against opponent after allowing 80 points or more in 2 straight games are 27-6 ATS L/5 seasons for a 82% conversion rate for bettors.

WNBA Home teams where the line is +3 to -3 (CONNECTICUT) - after allowing 80 points or more in 2 straight games against opponent after scoring 70 points or more in 4 straight games are 6-28 ATS L/5 seasons  for a go against 82% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the Washington Mystics to cover

WNBA Finals - Best of 5 - Game 3 - Tied 1-1

Washington opened this best-of-five championship series with an impressive 95-86 home win over Connecticut last weekend and than Connecticut bounced back and now with the series tied 1-1 we go back to the land of the Sun. The key to this game with be Delle Donne who despite of being questionable for this game is expected to play.  Washington has outscored Connecticut by 12 points with Delle Donne in the game during these Finals. However, the Mystics have been outscored by 15 when she's not on the floor. Even for some reason, Donne can compete it must be noted that the Mystics have the deepest team in the league. QUOTE: We have the best bench in the league," Washington guard Kristi Toliver said. "Everybody knows that. Connecticut knows that. We've relied on them so much this year, and through injuries and people out. END QUOTE. Im betting on the Mystics finding a way to be very competitive and to get us the cover here.

 CONNECTICUT is 0-7 ATS  in home games hot shooting team - 4 straight games making 42% or more  of their shots over the last 3 seasons and s 1-10 ATS hot shooting team - 5 straight games making  42% or more of their shots over the last 3 seasons. 

WNBA Road teams where the line is +3 to -3 (WASHINGTON) - after allowing 70 points or more in 3 straight games against opponent after allowing 80 points or more in 2 straight games are 26-6 ATS L/5 seasons for 81% conversion rate.

WNBA Home teams where the line is +3 to -3 (CONNECTICUT) - after allowing 80 points or more in 2 straight games against opponent after scoring 70 points or more in 4 straight games are 6-27 ATS L/5 seasons for ago against 82% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the Washington Mystics to cover 

There is  recency bias attached to this game and line after Connecticut took the first two games of this series including a lopsided DD 94-68 beatdown last time out over a LA group that looked asleep at the proverbial wheel .However, now back in their own digs where the Sparks have dominated opponents going 15-2 SU this season Im betting they will bounce back.

Sun are 1-5-1 ATS in their last 7 road games.Sun are 1-6-1 ATS in their last 8 games playing on 2 days rest.

CONNECTICUT is 0-7 ATS off an home win scoring 85 or more points this season.

CONNECTICUT is 1-9 ATS  in road games when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 75%) over the last 2 seasons and is 1-7 ATS (-6.7 Units) in road games versus good 3 point shooting teams - making 33%  or more of their attempts this season. 

LOS ANGELES is 8-1 ATS in home games after a loss by 10 points or more over the last 3 seasons.

LOS ANGELES is 9-1 ATS  in home games versus explosive offensive teams - scoring 73+ points/game after 15+ games this season.LOS ANGELES is 6-0 ATS  as a home favorite of 3.5 to 6 points this season.

WNBA Favorites (LOS ANGELES) - revenging a loss versus opponent by 10 points or more against opponent after 2 consecutive covers as a favorite are 51-22 ATS L/22 seasons for a 70% conversion rate.

Play on the LA Sparks to cover 

WNBA Playoffs - Semifinals - Best of 5 - Game 1

This matchup features two of the best front courts in the league, but Im betting what I believe is the superior D, to win this series and game 1.  Sparks have my support getting points. Note:  Sparks are one of the league's original franchises and  have garnered three WNBA titles , and have been to the Finals five times and have an overall culture of winning, and obvious play off experience which gives them in an edge in this environment vs a Connecticut side, that just cant matchup to those numbers, 

WNBA team (CONNECTICUT) - after going over the total by more than 12 points in two consecutive games, a good team (60% to 75%) playing a team with a winning record after 15 or more games are 4-26 ATS L/22 seasons for a go against 87% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the LA Sparks to cover 

WNBA Playoffs - 2nd Round - Single Elimination

Today Im betting on the  LA Sparks  continue their home dominance Sunday against the defending champion Seattle Storm in the second round of the WNBA playoffs. L.A. was 15-2 at home during the regular season and has not lost at Staples Center since June 18.  Two of those home victories came against No. 6 seed Seattle and a 3rd win is coming today.

LOS ANGELES is 10-2 ATS  in home games when playing against a team with a winning record this season with the average diff coming in at +9.7 ppg. LOS ANGELES is 8-1 ATS  in home games versus explosive offensive teams - scoring 73+ points/game after 15+ games this season with average ppg diff of +14.1 ppg.

WNBA Road underdogs (SEATTLE) - revenging a loss versus opponent by 10 points or more, with a winning percentage of between 45-55% after 15 or more games are 1-33 SU L/5 seasons.

Play on the LA Sparks to cover 

Minnesota and Seattle are deep teams with tons of experience and championship pedigree and both will not be easily intimated. The Minnesota Lynx enter the post season playing their best hoops of the season as is evident by winning 5 of their L/6 games while shooting an impressive 48 percent from the field in those 5 wins and are more than capable of pulling off the straight up upset here in their current form. I know Seattle has won all 3 games in this series this season, but my estimates still suggest we have leverage on this line getting 3 or more points.

Storm are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record.

WNBA team (MINNESOTA) - double revenge - 2 straight losses vs. opponent against opponent off a road win against a division rival are 48-23 ATS L/5 seasons for a 67% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the Minnesota Lynx to cover 

Two non play off teams the Fever and the Liberty go head to head here tonight in NY where Im betting the home team has the edge. NY won the last meeting by a 82-76 count at Indiana last time out. In the first game of the year between these sides in NY the Fever won 81-80 on a buzzer beater. Im projections make this a close game, but home court and desperation have me backing them taking points.

INDIANA is 5-18 ATS   versus poor pressure defensive teams - forcing 14 or less turnovers/game after 15+ games over the last 2 seasons.INDIANA is 2-13 ATS   versus teams who average 7 or less steals/game on the season after 15+ games over the last 2 seasons.

WNBA Underdogs (NEW YORK) - terrible team - outscored by their opponents by 6+ points/game, after 4 straight games where both teams scored 70 points or more are 42-19 ATS L/5 seasons for a 69% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the NY Liberty to cover 

Lynx star Maya Moore is sitting out and fellow superstar Seimone Augustus not 100 percent and with a play off spot locked up Im betting we see this team more interested in staying healthy than playing all out hoops. With that said, look for up and coming star rookie Teaira McCowan (9.6 ppg, 8.8 rpg) to lead Indiana in what Im betting will be a competitive effort. 

MINNESOTA is 2-12 ATS L/14 in home games after playing 3 consecutive home games.

WNBA Road underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points (INDIANA) - after having won 2 of their last 3 games, a bad team, winning 25% to 40% of their games after 15 or more games are 58-19 ATS L/22 seasons for a 75% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on Indiana to cover 

After winning 3 straight Dallas has dropped three straight and failed to cover  . But it must be noted that Agler is 36-20 ATS  after failing to cover the spread in 3 or more consecutive games in all games he has coached since 1997. Its interesting to note that Chicago has average 44.3 % with their FG conversion rate at home, but DALLAS is 21-9 ATS when their opponents make 40% to 44% of their shots in a game over the last 3 seasons. 

Chicago Sky have already clinched a playoff berth, so playing all out here is not a priority. However staying healthy is , which makes for plenty of back door cover options if the Sky get up  big and rest their top players . 

WNBA Road underdogs (DALLAS) - after failing to cover the spread in 3 or more consecutive games are 51-20 ATS L/5 seasons for a 72% conversion rate for bettors.

Dallas to cover 

Phoenix has won the two meetings between the teams by a combined 11 points and Im betting on another close game , as both teams are competing for a play off birth against each other. The Mercury dont have as tough a path as Atlanta, but the Dream still have a chance if they can win their L/4 games of the season, so they wont easily fold here tonight. 

Atlanta has won 2 straight. 

WNBA Favorites (PHOENIX) - after going over the total by more than 12 points in two consecutive games are 73-129 ATS L/23 seasons for a go against 64% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on Atlanta to cover 

Los Angeles' weakness is, perimeter defending, was again exposed as Washington knocked down  nine first-half 3-pointers and put the Sparks in a 17-point halftime hole and tonight Im betting they wont easily get off the matt after being KOd last time out. LA  has proven themselves at home but on the road they have lost  9 of 15 straight up and are fade material as hefty road favs. LOS ANGELES is 7-18 ATS off a road blowout loss by 20 points or more since 1997.

Home teams vs. the money line (INDIANA) - after leading in their previous game by 15 or more points at the half against opponent after a combined score of 155 points or more are 32-6 L/5 seasons for a 82% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Indiana to cover 

Looking to maintain their spot atop the WNBA standings, the Sun try for a fifth consecutive victory while looking to halt the Los Angeles Sparks' 10-game home winning streak on Sunday. From a matchup perspective my power rankings suggest the Sun have the edge here and offer us value taking points. 

Take the points with the Connecticut Sun to cover 

 The LA Sparks will try to extend their home winning streak to 10 games on Thursday night against the Indiana Fever. However, Im betting  it wont come so easily . 

LOS ANGELES is 9-21 ATS  after scoring 70 points or more in 5 straight games over the last 2 seasons.

This will be the Sparks 4th game in 8 days, and they are on just one days rest so a little bit of fatigue will factor into this game, which gives credence to an Indiana cover here . 

WNBA Home favorites of 10 or more points (LOS ANGELES) - after a game where they covered the spread, well rested team - playing only their 2nd game in 5 days are 11-35 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 76% conversion rate for bettors.

WNBA Road underdogs (INDIANA) - after failing to cover the spread in 3 or more consecutive games are 50-19 ATS L/5 seasons for a 73% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the Indiana Fever to cover 

Phoenix's recent win on got them back to .500 (13-13) as they rallied for a 78-72 victory over the New York Liberty on Sunday and now bring momentum into this game vs their hosts Las Vegas.Phoenix is in seventh in the league, one-half game better than Minnesota for the final playoff spot, and will play with desperation tonight making them viable underdogs.Phoenix won the only game between the teams thus far, 86-84 on May 3 and get my support to make this a competitive tilt as well. I know Las Vegas has been hot, but because of a recency bias attached to this side number we have value on the underdog. Note:

LAS VEGAS is 0-6 ATS in home games vs. teams who are called for 2+ less fouls/game than their opponents over the last 3 seasons. LAS VEGAS is 1-9 ATS  after a game where they covered the spread this season. LAS VEGAS is 1-10 ATS in home games after scoring 80 points or more in 3 straight games. LAS VEGAS is 6-28 ATS in home games hot shooting team - 2 straight games making 45% or better of their shots.  

PHOENIX is 12-4 ATS versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 3+ points/game over the last 2 seasons. 

Play on the Phoenix Mercury to cover 

The Liberty are in a real funk and have lost 11 of their L/12 games, but this is a favorable matchup for them from a ats perspective , as Im betting this number is bloated according to my power rankings. The  Fever were smashed  107-68 on the road by the Washington Mystics last time out, and after being KOd like that by a heavy weight its hard to bounce right back. Home teams vs. the money line (INDIANA) - terrible defensive team - allowing 77+ points/game on the season, after a huge blowout loss by 30 or more are 6-25 L/22 seasons for a  go against 81% conversion rate for bettors.

 INDIANA is 0-7 ATS  in home games when playing against a team with a losing record after 15+ games after 15+ games over the last 3 seasons. INDIANA is 4-17 ATS versus poor pressure defensive teams - forcing 14 or less turnovers/game after 15+ games over the last 2 seasons. INDIANA is 0-6 ATS in home games versus terrible teams - outscored by their opponents by 6+ points/game over the last 3 seasons. 

Play on the NY Liberty to cover 

 Rookie  star Arike Ogunbowale  leads a up trending Dallas Wings side that is on a 3 game win streak into Connecticut to play the Suns . Ogunbowale leads all rookies in scoring at 16.3 points per game, which is also good for seventh in the league and is getting more confident an over powering with each game out and is a game changer.

Meanwhile, Connecticut rallied from seven down in the final 1:47 to extend its home winning streak to six games Friday night , and exerted alot of energy in that contest , after a gruelling 4 game road trip prior to that. Now against a team they maybe over looking a natural letdown spot looks to be on the agenda making them fade material vs this type of number. I know the Sun  have won 19 of their last 20 home games dating back to last year, and I doubt they lose today ,but Im betting covering will be more difficult than some might think. 

CONNECTICUT is 1-9 ATS  after a combined score of 155 points or more this season. CONNECTICUT is 37-57 ATS  as a home favorite of 6.5 to 12 points since 1997.

CONNECTICUT is 2-9 ATS  vs. excellent free throw shooting teams - making 80% or better  of their shots after 15+ games over the last 2 seasons.CONNECTICUT is 2-12 ATS after 2 consecutive non-conference games over the last 2 seasons. 

Play on the Dallas Wings to cover 

Connecticut Sun look to retain the inside track on a bye to the semifinal round of the playoffs Friday night when they host the reigning WNBA champion Seattle Storm. However, I don't believe the sledding will be easy, for a  Sun side that is still getting acclimated to being at home after a exhausting 4 game  road trip that including 3 straight games out west. I know the visiting Storm were smashed by the Mystics last time out, but after that embarrassment Im betting this proud championship team will be out looking for redemption and will be prepared to play a strong game. 

Note: Storm are 21-7 ATS in their last 28 games following a ATS loss.

Sun are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 home games.Sun are 4-13 ATS in their last 17 Friday games.Sun are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games following a straight up win.Sun are 2-9 ATS in their last 11 games following a ATS loss.Sun are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games overall.Sun are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record.Sun are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 vs. Western Conference.

Play on the Seattle Storm to cover 

Seattle swept Washington in the 2018 championship series and won this season's first meeting 74-71 on the road June 14. However, the Mystics (17-7) finally got some amount of revenge with a 99-79 win at Seattle on Aug. 2 and will be ready to send another message to the Storm here tonight.

Storm are 2-5-1 ATS in their last 8 vs. Eastern Conference.Mystics are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record.Mystics are 9-3 ATS in their last 12 games following a straight up win.Mystics are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games playing on 2 days rest.Mystics are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 Wednesday games.

WNBA Home favorites vs. the money line (WASHINGTON) - a very good team (+7 or more  PPG diff.) against an average team (+/- 3 PPG diff.) after 15 or more games, after scoring 75 points or more are 27-1 SU winning by an average of 12.7 ppg. 

Play on the Washington Mystics to cover

Both these teams are playing very good basketball at the moment, with the Sky having won 7 of their L/8 games, while the Sparks have also won 7 of their L/8. But home court advantage Im betting will be the difference makers and after playing a grueling competitive game in Las Vegas a couple of days ago the Sky will not be as fresh as they need to be vs a LA team on a 5 game home winning streak that plays their best in Southern California. LA has won the L/4 meetings in this series dating back to last season and they get the nod again this Sunday.

Play on the LA Sparks to cover 

Phoenix  getting to the playoffs is not guaranteed and they need wins, but Dallas who most probably wont be in the play offs would love to play spoilers here, against a team that they have matched up well against recently despite of losing all three meetings with the last two having been decided by a combined 9 points.I once again look for a fairly close affair , and for a Dallas team that is winless on the road this season, to play loose and stay within the number for a cover.

Mercury are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games playing on 1 days rest.

Play on the Wings to cover 

The Liberty will desperately try to avoid being swept at the hands of the Sky, but also look to keep from matching a season high with their fourth consecutive overall defeat. Needless to say they have some pride on the line here, and Im betting they play hard and at least make this competitive vs a red hot team. 

NEW YORK is 10-2 ATS in road games double revenge - 2 straight losses vs. opponent over the last 2 seasons. 

WNBA team vs the money line (NEW YORK) - double revenge - 2 straight losses vs. opponent against opponent off a road win against a division rival are 39-27 SU L/5 seasons.

WNBA Road underdogs (NEW YORK) - after 3 or more consecutive losses against opponent after 1 or more consecutive wins are 50-21 ATS L/5 seasons for a 71% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on the NY Liberty to cover 

Atlanta has lost 6 straight games, but other than a couple of clunkers have been mostly competitive, and are viable underdogs vs a Chicago Sky team, that has lost 6 of 9 and 4 of their L/5  on the road this season, WNBA Underdogs (ATLANTA) - after 4 or more consecutive losses, a terrible team (25% or less) playing a team with a winning record are 24-5 ATS L/5 seasons for a 83% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the Atlanta Dream to cover 

Vegas has won seven of eight and shares the top spot in the league with Connecticut and are getting a negative public lean , which according to my power rankings gives us value with a underdog wager with the Dallas Stars. Add to that Dallas has not been able to win  regularly in July, going 1-7 which gives us a recency bias. 

LAS VEGAS is 12-23 ATS in home games versus teams who make 5 or more 3 point shots/game on the season over the last 3 seasons. LAS VEGAS is 6-15 ATS  in home games vs. division opponents over the last 3 seasons.

AS VEGAS is 0-6 ATS after a game where they covered the spread this season. 

WNBA Road underdogs (DALLAS) - after 3 or more consecutive losses against opponent after 1 or more consecutive wins are 50-20 ATS L/5 seasons for a 72% conversion rate for bettors.

WNBA Home favorites of 10 or more points (LAS VEGAS) - averaging 45 or more rebounds/game on the season, in May, June, or July games are 9-33 ATS L/22 seasons for a 79% go against conversion rate for bettors.

DALLAS is 6-1 straight up against LAS VEGAS over the last 3 seasons.

Play on the Dallas Wings to cover 

The NY Liberty started their season slowly but overall have performed well of late and been competetive as is evident by covering 8 of their L/11 games vs a winning side, and are off a impressive SU win vs the LASparks last time toout. Meanwhile, Connecticut despite of a impressive record this season  have  been inconsistent  and are just 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games vs. a team with a losing straight up record. My own power rankings suggest this line is slightly bloated thus giving us value with the travelling dog. 

 WNBA Home favorites of 10 or more points (CONNECTICUT) - averaging 45 or more rebounds/game on the season, in May, June, or July games are 9-32 L/5 seasons for a go against 78% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the NY Liberty to cover

The Atlanta Dream are a very contrarian side to be on tonight. In my usual contradictory betting bias that the side Im recommending we take tonight in this battle against the visiting Los Angeles Sparks. It must be noted that Los Angeles (10-8) played the last three games with just eight players as Candace Parker (ankle), Alana Beard (hamstring), Alexis Jones (knee) and Maria Vadeeva (knee) are all hurt and Riquna Williams is currently suspended and with the all star break coming up Im doubting these players will be rushed back to the court. Los Angeles barely beat  Atlanta 76-71 in overtime on the road July 14, and Im betting now on tired legs and short handed the Sparks could get upset. 

WNBA  team vs the money line (LOS ANGELES) - off an upset loss as a road favorite, playing with 2 days rest are 23-10 SU L/5 seasons for a 70% conversion rate for bettors.

WNBA Road teams vs. the money line (LOS ANGELES) - after failing to cover 2 of their last 3 against the spread, with a winning percentage of between 45-55% after 15 or more games are 5-32 SU L/5 seasons for a go against 87% conversion rate for bettors. 

Take the points with the Atlanta Dream

My power ranking suggest Indiana despite of their dismal record matches up well against streaking Sky. When these teams played back on June 15 Chicago won 70-64 at Indiana  in a game that essentially was up for grabs, and Im betting on a repeat confrontation here. Note: Indiana has won 4 straight on the road in this series and gets the nod to cover again. 

Sky are 6-0-1 ATS in their last 7 games following a ATS loss.Sky are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games playing on 3 or more days rest.Fever are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record.Fever are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 road games.Fever are 19-7-1 ATS in the last 27 meetings in Chicago.

WNBA Road teams (INDIANA) - after 4 or more consecutive losses against opponent after 1 or more consecutive wins are 31-9 ATS L22 seasons for a 78% conversion rate! 

 Play on Indiana to cover 

Dallas, which has the worst record in the league, has dropped four straight and six of seven and dont deserve to be favs even against a banged up Mercury side. Look for the Mercury key contributors Grinner and Bonner to be the difference makers. 

Home underdogs (DALLAS) - good ball handling team - committing 14 turnovers/game, on Saturday games are 17-41  ATS L/22 seasons for a go against 71% conversion rate for bettors.

WNBA Road teams (PHOENIX) - after failing to cover the spread in 3 or more consecutive games, well rested team - playing only their 2nd game in 5 days are 35-17 ATS L/5 seasons for a 69% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the Phoenix Mercury to cover 

The Aces are slight dogs here, but this team is an explosive group that already beat Storm at home 60-56 back on June 25th. Now well rested and off since Saturday I expect this young but powerful Aces group to battle hard and be fresh enough to come out on top. 

Aces are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games playing on 3 or more days rest.

WNBA team (SEATTLE) - a good offensive team (72-76 PPG) against a horrible defensive team (76 or PPG) after 15+ games, after scoring 40 points or more in the first half in 2 straight games and  19-45 ATS for 70% go against conversion rate over the  L/22 seasons. 

Play on the Las Vegas Aces to cover 

The Wings played the Mercury hard yesterday and covered, and now according to my power rankings Dallas is being underestimated in their ability to cover vs LA here today, which gives us value on this line. I know the Wings are on short rest, but the Sparks are banged up with Candace Parker, Alan Beard, Alexis Jones, and Maria Vadeeva out, and short handed with key starter Riquna Williams' taking a lengthy suspension. Dallas has an edge especially from a ATS standpoint. 

Dallas is 7-1 ATS L/8 meetings in this series and have covered 3 of their L/4 visits to LA.

WNBA Road teams (DALLAS) - after 3 or more consecutive losses against opponent after 1 or more consecutive wins are 52-18 ATS L/5 seasons for a 74% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the Dallas Wings to cover 

The Mercury on a two game losing streak  and losses in 4 of their L/5   proved to me they dont matchup all that well vs the Wings. In the  first meeting with the Wings this season on June 20. the Mercury two key offensive threats  Griner and Bonner were held to a combined 20 points as Phoenix shot 24.6 percent and was outrebounded 49-28. While I dont expect that lopsided of a occurrence here I do believe we have value taking points with the visitors. Note:Diana Taurasi is downgraded to doubtful Wednesday vs Dallas Wings ( Back ).

Play on the Dallas Wings to cover 

Atlanta according to my power rankings is being under rated here thus giving us value taking points with the with the Dream vs Chicago. Atlanta won two of the three games between the teams last year, including an 89-74 romp at home in the most recent matchup.

WNBA Home favorites (CHICAGO) - after a game where they covered the spread, with a winning record on the season playing a losing team are 25-57 L/5 seasons for go against 70% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Atlanta to cover 

Chicago recorded a 78-66 home win over Dallas last Sunday to snap a five-game losing streak and once again have the edge according to my projections that make them a -1 point  favorite instead of a dog. Note: Dallas is expected to be short-handed along the frontcourt for this match, with Azura Stevens sidelined with a foot injury and center Isabelle Harrison's status uncertain as she is in concussion protocol and unlikely to play. 

Sky are 6-2-1 ATS in their last 9 games playing on 1 days rest.Sky are 5-2-1 ATS in their last 8 vs. Western Conference.

Wings are 8-18-1 ATS in their last 27 games overall.Wings are 4-14 ATS in their last 18 vs. Eastern Conference.Wings are 3-12-1 ATS in their last 16 games following a ATS loss.Wings are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 Sunday games.

Play on the Chicago Sky to cover 

L.A. has shown flashes of brilliance of late at least when at home, but is a different stroy on the road where they are   3-5 SU and been outscored by an average of 14.7 points while losing three in a row and are expected to be without Candace Parker tonight ( Candace Parker is downgraded to OUT Friday vs Indiana Fever ( Foot ).  Meanwhile, the Atlanta Dream despite of having problems getting into the win column consistently are a under rated side, and on most nights a very competitive team that just cant get over the hump. With that said, getting points with the host Fever according to my projections is a viable wager. 

LOS ANGELES is 4-12 ATS versus teams who attempt 16 or more 3 point shots/game on the season after 15+ games over the last 2 seasons. 

Play on the Indiana Fever to cover 

The Chicago Sky have shown a lot   improvement since opening 2019 with a lopsided loss to the Minnesota Lynx and now in revenge mode are viable bets here on an almost pickem line. Minnesota is off a hard fought win vs Connecticut last time out by a 74-71 score , and could easily find themselves in a letdown spot here vs a hungry team. Note:MINNESOTA is 0-8 ATS  after a win by 6 points or less over the last 2 seasons.

Play on the Chicago sky to cover 

According to my projections this line is slightly bloated giving us value with the under rated Phoenix Mercury who now have Diana Taurasi travelling with the team and is expected to  back in the lineup after a lengthy lay off. Meanwhile , Washingtons, star Delle Donne broke here nose last time out, and is less than 100% entering this game giving the Mercury and edge here on this line. 

The Mercury have won and covered 2 of their L/3 visits here to Washington DC. 

Thibault is 19-30 ATS  in home games in non-conference games as the coach of WASHINGTON.

Brondello is 8-1 ATS  after 3 straight games where they committed 11 or less turnovers as the coach of PHOENIX.

WNBA Home teams vs. the money line (WASHINGTON) - after being beaten by the spread by more than 18 points in their previous game, on Wednesday nights are 8-23 su L/22 seasons for a go against 73% conversion rate for bettors.

Take the points with Phoenix to cover 

Washington has won the L/4 meetings in this series, and are showing that they are contenders for a WNBA championship if they can stay healthy. They have won 5 straight games, and are showing no signs of slowing down, making them viable road favs here vs the inconsistent LA Sparks. 

WNBA Road favorites (WASHINGTON) - after 5 or more consecutive wins, in July games are 33-11 ATS L/22 seasons for a 75% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the Washington Mystics to cover 

The NY Liberty are playing top tier basketball entering this game, as they look for their fourth straight victory. Even though Diania Taurasi is expected to return to the court tonight for the Mercury after a long absence, I still believe we have value with the road underdog Liberty.  I know the Liberty are on short rest but that have proven well conditioned and under estimated in this spot recently as they have cashed 6 of their L/7 with 1 days rest. 

Liberty are 4-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings in Phoenix.

Play on the NY Liberty to cover 

The Dream enter this game as still be very under rated and have been money in the bank of late when playing on the road cashing 10 of their L/14 opportunities and are once again a value line call here vs a Minnesota team that my power rankings suggest they matchup well against.

WNBA Home favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (MINNESOTA) - after going over the total by 24 or more points total in their last three games against opponent after going under the total by 42 or more points total in their last seven games are 5-25 ATS L/22 seasons for a go against 83% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the Atlanta Dream to cover 

 The Wings have not beaten the  Minnesota Lynx since relocating from Tulsa after the 2015 season, losing all 10 meetings . They have lost 12 straight to the Lynx since an 86-78 victory June 21, 2015, but the last four defeats have all been by single digits and Im betting we have another close one today with the points eventually proving to be golden.

Lynx are 4-10 ATS in their last 14 games following a straight up win.Lynx are 1-3-1 ATS in their last 5 vs. Western Conference.Lynx are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 road games.Wings are 4-1-1 ATS in their last 6 home games.Wings are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games overall.

Play on the Dallas Wings 

The Fever (5-8) are trying to salvage a split of this two-game swing out west after losing 91-69 at Phoenix on Friday night, their worst defeat of the season and Im betting they now bounce back and are much more competitive after that sleepy effort. According to my power rankings this Fever team is very under rated and I wont be swayed by the recency of that last result. Note:Turnovers continue to be a problem for Las Vegas, which ranks 11th in the 12-team league in turnovers at 16.8 per game after committing 19 on Thursday night. 

WNBA Home favorites of 10 or more points (LAS VEGAS) - averaging 45 or more rebounds/game on the season, in May, June, or July game are 9-31 ATS L/22 seasons for a go against for a 78% conversion rate for bettors.

WNBA Road underdogs (INDIANA) - after 3 or more consecutive losses, in May, June, or July games are 44-18 L/5 seasons for a 71% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Indiana Fever to cover 

Connecticut (9-3) still has the best record in the WNBA but is coming off a 74-73 defeat to the Dallas Wings on Wednesday night for their 2nd straight loss. Because of the recency of the Sun loss and the Mystics current 5 game win streak we now get a value line to bet into , making getting points here a prime opportunity according to my power rankings. Connecticut has won 3 straight meetings in this series and 3 of their L/4 visits to DC and get the nod here. 

Play on the Connecticut Sun to cover 

These teams are currently playing at the opposite end of the performance spectrum with the Chicago Sky looking for their third straight win on the road and in this series while the Seattle Storm trying to avoid their 3rd straight loss overall in head to head meetings with the Sky. This is a momentum play that favors the Sky to cover , especially with key Seattle  guard Jewell Loyd expected to miss with an injury. 

WNBA Road teams (CHICAGO) - well rested team - playing only their 2nd game in 5 days, in June games are 101-74 L/5 seasons for a solid 60% conversion rate. 

Play on the Chicago sky to cover 

The Aces have not been consistent early on this season, but they are very under rated and have proven how explosive they can be while, my power ranking suggest the Seattle Storm are over achieving. This WNBA market is highly inefficient and my number suggests it should be closer to -8 favoring the Aces.. thus we have value laying the lumber . 

SEATTLE is 18-37 ATS L/55 in road games after a win by 6 points or less.Hughes is 24-41 ATS versus good defensive teams - shooting pct defense of 40% or less in all games. 

Play on the Aces to cover 

With the Sparks Candice Parker now making here third start since returning of injury should now have gotten rid of her rustiness and Im betting we see her at the top of her game. Road underdogs (LOS ANGELES) - after failing to cover the spread in 3 or more consecutive games and are 46-16 ATS L/5 seasons for a 74% conversion rate. 

WNBA team vs the money line (PHOENIX) - after scoring 55 points or less are 26-2 L/5 seasons for a 93% SU conversion rate.

Play on the LA Sparks to cover 

The Dream according to my power rankings are one of the most under rated teams in the WNBA, and according to numbers we have value on the this home dog line.This is Washington's first game in Atlanta since winning Game 5 of the WNBA semifinals 86-81 last September.

ATLANTA is 12-4 ATS  versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 3+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.

WNBA Home underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points (ATLANTA) - well rested team - playing 5 or less games in 14 days, on Sunday games are 49-21 ATS L/22 seasons for a 70% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on the Atlanta Dream to cover 

 After starting their season at 0-5 the Wings have won two straight and have momentum entering this game against Bill Lambeers Las Vegas Aces. Dallas has a recent history of success in this series having won 6 straight meetings overall and the L/3 here in Vegas and have enough talent to keep this game closer than the spread the linesmakers have placed on it might indicate. 

WNBA Road teams (DALLAS) - well rested team - playing only their 2nd game in 5 days, in June games are 101-65 ATS L/5 seasons for a 61% conversion rate for bettors.

WNBA Home favorites of 10 or more points (LAS VEGAS) - averaging 45 or more rebounds/game on the season, in May, June, or July games are 8-31 ATS L/22 seasons for a go against 80% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the Dallas Wings to cover 

 According to my power rankings the Atlanta Dream are much better than their record might indicate and they offer us value on the line here this evening vs the Sun.   The Dream did beat the Fever last time out, and have momentum entering this game, and Im betting they wont be easy outs even though they continue to adjust without star Angel McCoughtry out of the lineup.

Atlanta has won and covered 2 of their L/3 visits here against the Sun.

WNBA Home favorites of 10 or more points (CONNECTICUT) - averaging 45 or more rebounds/game on the season, in May, June, or July games are 8-30 ATS L/22 seasons for a go against 79% conversion rate for bettors.

WNBA Home favorites of 10 or more points (CONNECTICUT) - dominant rebounding team - outrebounding opponents by 5+ per game, in May, June, or July games are 9-29 ATS L/22 seasons for a go against 76% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the Atlanta Dream to cover 

Washington looked explosive and dominating when they opened a stretch of four consecutive road contests with a conclusive 81-52 victory at Los Angeles on Tuesday. I know their hosts the Aces have won 2 straight, but my power ranking suggest they will have their hands full of a confident team playing with immediate momentum. 

WNBA Road underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points (WASHINGTON) - good team - outscoring their opponents by 3+ points/game against opponent after a combined score of 155 points or more in 3 straight games are 32-10 ATS L/22 seasons for a 76% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the Washington Mystics  to cover 

Connecticut, which has won five straight overall, is trying to break the franchise record of 11 consecutive home victories originally established from Sept. 19, 2004-July 28, 2005 and Im betting they get it as well as the all important cover.

SEATTLE is 2-11 ATS  off an upset win as an underdog over the last 3 seasons. (Which happened last time out)

WNBA Home favorites (CONNECTICUT) - explosive offensive team - scoring 77+ points/game on the season against opponent after 2 straight wins by 6 points or less are 30-9 L/22 seasons for a 77% conversion rate for bettors.

WNBA Road underdogs (SEATTLE) - good offensive team - scoring 73+ points/game on the season, after 2 straight wins by 6 points or less are 15-42 L/22 seasons for a go against 73% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the Connecticut Sun to cover 

Still without injured star Angel McCoughtry, Atlanta's averaging just 69.0 points -   shooting a league-worst 36.6 percent. The Dream also allowed at least 82 points in each of their first three losses before falling 65-59 to Connecticut on Sunday and are fade material in their current form.Dallas is struggling to the franchise's worst start since relocating to the Dallas 0-5  in 2016, the Wings have been hit hard by injuries , but still have enough guns to chase their first win and more importantly get us the cover. Dallas has won the L/3 meetings here and gets the nod again to cover.

Play on the Dallas Wings to cover 

New York (2-4) was finally able to halt a losing stretch that reached 17 games with an 88-78 home victory over Las Vegas on Sunday. (Vegas has lost 3 of their L/4)The Liberty held the Aces (2-3) to 35.4 percent shooting en route to their a win and followed that up with a victory vs Minnesota, and Im betting they are competitive here again, behind super star Tina Charles. 

LAS VEGAS is 0-6 ATS  in home games after 2 or more consecutive unders over the last 3 seasons

Home favorites of 10 or more points (LAS VEGAS) - averaging 45 or more rebounds/game on the season, in May, June, or July games are 30-7 ATS L/22 seasons for a 81% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the NY Liberty to cover 

 Both these teams won their last games out, with Chicago taking out Seattle, and Washington clobbering Atlanta by DDs. To many points here considering the matchup stats , which gives us value taking points.

WNBA Home favorites of 10 or more points (WASHINGTON) - after a game where they covered the spread, well rested team - playing only their 2nd game in 5 days are 10-34 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 77% conversion rate for bettors.

WNBA Home favorites (WASHINGTON) - off a home win, in June games are 12-35 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 75% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Chicago Sky to cover 

These teams took part in a hard fought opener for both teams back in NY with the Fever squeezing out a 1 point win on the last shot of the game by a 81-80 score vs a stunned Liberty team. Now in a revenge mode Im betting on the Liberty getting us the cover between two evenly matched sides.

NYL have won their L/3 visits to Indiana SU.

WNBA Road teams (NEW YORK) - after 1 or more consecutive losses, first 5 games of the season, after closing out last season poorly with 12+ losses in last 15 games are 27-6 ATS L/22 seasons for a 81% conversion rate for bettors.

WNBA Road teams (NEW YORK) - after 1 or more consecutive losses, first 5 games of the season, after closing out last season poorly with 10+ losses in last 12 games are 24-5 ATS L/5 seasons for a 83% conversion rate! 

Take the points with the NY Liberty to cover 

Health issues within the team and coaching staff are expected to make the Seattle Storm's defense of their WNBA title much more difficult and makes them weak home dogs here as well vs the Phoenix Mercury. I know the Mercury are banged up as well but Phoenix, , still has two of the league's top players on the floor and prepared  to go in superstar Brittney Griner (20.5 ppg, 7.7 rpg, 2.6 blocks per game) and DeWanna Bonner (17.3 ppg, 7.2 rpg). The Mercury also took versatile Stanford star Alanna Smith in the first round of last month's draft. Note: PHOENIX is 16-5 ATS  in road games over the last 2 seasons. 

WNBA Home teams with a money line of +135 to -155 (SEATTLE) - good free throw shooting team from last season - made 76% or more of their free throws are 5-20 L/25 seasons for go against 80% conversion rate with a the average ppg diff clicking in at 7.7 ppg.

Play on the Phoenix Mercury to cover

The smell of desperation is in the air. Washington down 2-0 must win here tonight or be eliminated by Seattle. Their star Delle Donne has been hampered by a knee injury, but the Mystics have tried to makeup for her  sudden offensive inadequacies by playing a physical brand of basketball that had them take the Storm down to the wire in game 2. Now with their season on the line and backs up against the wall, Im betting they claw to a victory here vs a Seattle side that has lost 3 of their L/4 road games SU.

Washington has won and covered 3 of the L/4 meetings here in DC. 

WNBA Favorites (WASHINGTON) - revenging 2 straight losses where opponent scored 75 or more points, with a winning record on the season are 36-10 ATS L/5 seasons for a 78% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the Washington Mystics to cover 

WNBA Finals - Best of 5 - Game 1

According to my power rankings the Seattle Storm are the superior team, and a -5 point home line is 2 points short of where it should be according to my numbers based on home court advantage and a eastern team travelling west. Also Washingtons Delle Donne is less than 100% as he suffers through a knee injury.n the first two games of the playoffs, she averaged 29.5 points and 13.5 rebounds on 48.5 percent shooting. In two games after returning from the injury, she put up 14.5 points and 10.5 boards, while shooting just 39.2 percent. Without her Im betting they can't keep up offensively. Also a lot of emotion went into their dramatic game 5 win vs the Dream, and now a huge letdown is to be expected, even more so than the Storm could experience.

WASHINGTON is 4-13 ATS versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 3+ points/game after 15+ games over the last 3 seasons. 

SEATTLE is 8-1 ATS  versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 3+ points/game this season.

WASHINGTON is 0-7 ATS  in road games off a road win against a division rival over the last 2 seasons.

WASHINGTON is 3-19 ATS  after 3 straight games with 45 or more rebounds since 1997. 

WNBA Home favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (SEATTLE) - after allowing 45 points or more in the first half last game against opponent after scoring 80 points or more are 32-12 ATS L/5 seasons for a 73% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the Seattle Storm to cover 

WNBA Playoffs - Semifinals - Best of 5 - Game 3 - SEA leads 2-0

These teams played hard fought closely contested affairs back in Seattle in game 1 and game 2 and the Mercury could still not find a way to win , and Im betting on nothing changing , the superior team Seattle gets the cheese again on the road where they have won 13 of their 17 games this season.


SEATTLE is 8-0 ATS in road games after allowing 80 points or more this season.PHOENIX is 2-8 ATS in home games after allowing 80 points or more this season. (Seattle won 91-87 in OT last time out )

SEATTLE is 8-1 ATS in road games vs. excellent 3 point shooting teams - making 36% or more of their attempts after 15+ games over the last 3 seasons.

WNBA team vs the money line (SEATTLE) - a very good team (+7 PPG or more differential) against an average team (+/- 3 PPG differential), after scoring 80 points or more in 3 straight games are 41-9 L/21 seasons for a 82% conversion rate for bettors on the blind. 

WNBA Road teams vs. the money line (SEATTLE) - hot team - having won 20 or more of their last 25 games, playing with 2 days rest are 23-4 SU L/21 seasons for a 85% conversion rate for bettors on the blind.

Play on the Seattle Storm to cove

WNBA Playoffs - Semifinals - Best of 5 - Game 2 - SEA leads 1-0

Seattle won the first game of this series, but did not cover. The Mercury gave it their all and left everything on the floor in game 1, and still fell short. Tonight Im betting they get lit up as they play on the road on tired legs.

SEATTLE is 11-1 ATS  after a game where they failed to cover the spread this season. 

SEATTLE is 13-4 ATS versus poor defensive teams - allowing 77+ points/game after 15+ games this season.SEATTLE is 11-2 ATS versus teams who average 7 or less steals/game on the season after 15+ games this season. 

Mercury are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 Semi-Finals games.Storm are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 vs. Western Conference.Storm are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 Tuesday games.

Storm are 15-5-1 ATS in their last 21 games overall.Storm are 5-2-1 ATS in their last 8 home games.Storm are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record.

Home favorites vs. the money line (SEATTLE) - a very good team (7 or more PPG diff.) against an average team (+/- 3 PPG diff.) after 15 or more games, after a game where both teams scored 75 points or more are 34-2 L/21 seasons with the average margin of victory coming by 10.2 ppg.

Play on the Seattle Storm to cover 

WNBA Playoffs - Semifinals - Best of 5 - Game 1

The Dreams record speaks for itself but own power rankings make the Mystics the better team, and my choice here today.

ATLANTA is 2-10 ATS after playing a game as a road favorite over the last 3 seasons. WASHINGTON is 12-4 ATS  after a non-conference game this season.Thibault is 21-8 ATS in road games after playing 5 consecutive games as favorite in all games he has coached since 1997.

WNBA Road favorites (WASHINGTON) - up-tempo team averaging 62 or more shots/game on the season, after a game where a team made 50% of their shots or better are 107-56 ATS L/21 seasons for a 66% conversion rate for bettors on the blind.

WNBA team vs the money line (WASHINGTON) - after leading in their previous game by 15 or more points at the half against opponent after scoring 70 points or more in 3 straight games are 61-23 SU L/5 seasons for a 73% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on the Washington Mystics to cover 

These two teams despite of contrasting styles matchup very evenly, as was the case last time these teams played here in Washington on Aug 17, as the Mystics squeaked by the Sparks 69-67. Im betting on another close game here today and for the Sparks to cover the number again.

LOS ANGELES is 8-0 ATS versus excellent ball handling teams - committing 12 or less turnovers/game over the last 2 season.LOS ANGELES is 7-0 ATS revenging a close loss versus opponent by 3 points or less over the last 3 seasons. 

LOS ANGELES is 8-1 against the spread versus WASHINGTON over the last 3 seasons and a perfect 6-0 ATS L/6 visits to DC.

Play on the LA Sparks to cover    

 Aces close out their first season since moving from San Antonio against the Atlanta Dream on Sunday in their finale at Mandalay Bay Events Center. they just missed  play off spot, this season, after losing last time out to Dallas who ended up clinching the final play off spot. QUOTE:"We played pretty good basketball. So did they," Aces coach Bill Laimbeer told the Las Vegas Review-Journal after the Aces lost to the Wings, allowing Dallas to clinch the eighth and final playoff spot Friday night. I'm betting Lamber will emphasize finishing the season strong, and I expect to see the Aces to play hard here today vs a team that despite of wanting to get a victory to secure a better play off seeding , still has to balance the fact that staying healthy is of also paramount importance, which may effect their ability to be physical. 

LAS VEGAS is 22-11 ATS against Eastern conference opponents over the last 2 seasons. Aces 81.2 Opp 82.1

WNBA team vs the money line (LAS VEGAS) - explosive offensive team - scoring 77+ points/game on the season, after leading their last 3 games by 5+ points at the half 66-15 SU L/5 seasons for a 82% conversion rate for bettors on the blind.

WNBA team (ATLANTA) - decent defensive team (40.5-43.5%) against a poor defensive team (43.5-46%) after 15+ games, after 2 straight games making 8 or more 3 point shots are just 12-33 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 73% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the Vegas Aces to cover