This is a 4* play on Under.

The last time the Minnesota Timberwolves faced elimination at home, they beat Denver 115-70 in Game 6 of the Western Conference Semi Final. They shot 52.7 percent from the field and 45.8 percent from beyond the arc in Game 4, and only scored 105 total points. As much as I might like Minnesota's chances in this game, I think it's going to have to be their defense and not their offense that keeps them alive. The Timberwolves are only averaging 107.8 points per game in these playoffs, and Dallas is averaging just 106.9 points per game. Minnesota has held opponents to just 101.9 points per game. Expect both teams to bring it on defense in this elimination game.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 4* play on Over.

So the Celtics lost Game 2 to a Miami team without Jimmy Butler, and they lost Game 2 in the second round to a Cavaliers team without their starting center. Now they face the Pacers who might be without leading scorer Tyrese Haliburton in Game 3. Could Boston suffer a let down? Can the Pacers rally without their best player? I would like to remind everyone that Haliburton missed several games during the regular season, and the Pacers were 4-1 at home without him in the lineup. He was not healthy in the first round against Milwaukee, and in Game 3 of that series he scored just 18 points, and shot 1-of-12 from beyond the arc. Despite the poor performance from Haliburton, the Pacers won Game 3 and went on to win the series. In Game 6 of that series, the Pacers won 120-98, and Haliburton had just 17 points and shot 2-of-10 from beyond the arc. I am not gonna tell you the Pacers are coming back to win the series as they did against the Knicks, but don't be surprised if they avoid a sweep by winning Game 3.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 4* play on Over.

Game 1 of this series was one of the highest scoring playoff games in recent memory. If you are expecting regression, I will have to point out that Boston shot below their playoff average from the field (47.5%), and well below with three point attempts (33%). While the Pacers shot below their playoff average from beyond the arc, their field goal percentage was just a bit higher than their average. The Celtics held a 30-10 edge at the free throw line, which is expected to continue throughout the series. The bookmakers have adjusted with a slightly higher total for Game 2, but I don't think it's high enough.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 4* play on Under.

While the Eastern Conference Final looks like it's going to be all offense, we may expect the polar opposite here in the Western Conference Final. Minnesota ranked 1st in scoring defense during the regular season, and they are allowing opponents to average less than 100 points per game in the playoffs. Dallas has really cranked up their defense in the post-season, allowing opponents to average just 103 points per game. Luka was the NBA's leading scorer this season averaging 34 points per game, but he's battled injuries and has averaged just over 27 points per game in the post-season.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 4* play on Over.

The Celtics deserve to be the favorite in this series, but I still think the Pacers deserve a bit of credit. Coming off a record 67.1 percent from the field in Game 7 at New York, it's easy to say they will suffer some regression. That said they did rank 1st in the playoffs in FG percentage heading into that game, and they lead the league in scoring during the regular season. Boston is without their starting center for at least the first few games of this series, and their backup Al Horford is 37 years old and clearly on the downside of his career. Indiana rolls with seven players averaging in double figures, and nobody needs to play more than 30 minutes per game. The Pacers played twice at Boston during the regular season, and both games went over 250 combined points.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 5* play on Under.

The historical trends are clear, we see low scores in NBA Game 7s. The Knicks are banged up, with only two healthy starters remaining. This game should get ugly, very ugly. Expect a slow pace, with both teams struggling offensively and battling for every possession.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 4* play on Under.

I had the under in Game 5, and here is what I said before the game: "Three of the four games in this series have gone under the total, way under. The only exception was the last game in Oklahoma City. Luka scored 29 points in that game, but has averaged less than 20 in the other three. He's clearly still battling the knee injury, and PJ Washington has become the Mavs go to guy on offense. I don't necessarily expect the shooting woes of Game 4 to carry over in to Game 5, but I don't expect either team to let up on defense either. "

GL,

Jesse Schul

This is a 4* play on Under.

We have seen the Nuggets win the last three games. They have shot 54 percent, 57 percent and 55 percent from the field in those games. All three games went over the total after the first two games both went under. We can expect some regression when it comes to how well Denver has been shooting, as we haven't seen a team hit 50 percent or better through an entire playoff in any of the last 20 seasons. Indiana leads this season's playoffs with a 49 percent field goal percentage, and the 2017 Golden State Warriors have the highest percentage in the last 20 years at 49.4. Hitting 55 percent plus simply isn't sustainable. This is also an elimination game, and historically these games trend under in the neighborhood of 60 percent.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 2* play on Under. 

Three of the four games in this series have gone under the total, way under. The only exception was the last game in Oklahoma City. Luka scored 29 points in that game, but has averaged less than 20 in the other three. He's clearly still battling the knee injury, and PJ Washington has become the Mavs go to guy on offense. I don't necessarily expect the shooting woes of Game 4 to carry over in to Game 5, but I don't expect either team to let up on defense either. 

GL, 

Jesse Schule

This is a 2* play on Under.

The Mavs won Game 3 by a score of 105-101, falling well short of the total of 216. Luka Doncic only scored 22 points, and he remains on the injury report with not only a knee injury but an ankle issue as well. Both these teams have played well defensively in the post-season, Oklahoma City allowing just 96.7 points per game and Dallas allowing 103.3. With Luka less than 100 percent, and Oklahoma City in a must win situation, we should expect another low score in Game 4.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 5* play on Under.

It was Deja Vu all over again when the Celtics came out flat, losing Game 2 at home to the Cavs. Cleveland shot 55 percent from the field and 46 percent from beyond the arc in a 118-94 win. It was shockingly similar to the first round loss in Game 2 versus the Heat when Miami shot 54 percent from beyond the arc. The Heat went on to score just 84 points in Game 3. The last meeting in the regular season saw Cleveland win 105-104 at home. The Celtics have failed to reach the total in four of their last five road games. I expect a low score here in Cleveland in Game 3.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 4* play on Under.

I had the under in Game 1, and it sailed over the total of 217. I had noted that it should be a pace war between a Knicks team that ranked dead last in the NBA in pace of play, and first in the Eastern Conference in opponent's scoring average versus the highest scoring team in the NBA. The Pacers shot over 52 percent from the field and the Knicks shot over 53 percent in Game 1. Expect some regression to the mean here, and I think the value is on the under with tonight's total six points higher than it was in the previous game.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 2* play on Over.

I had the over in Game 2, and here is what I said before the game: 

“Game 1 went way under the total of 231.5, and the opening number for Game 2 was 225.5. That has been bet down even further to 220.5. I think this is an over-correction. While we know scoring is down in the playoffs, and unders have cashed at a phenomenal rate so far, let's not forget who the Pacers are. They led the league in scoring, averaging 123.3 points per game, almost three points per game more than #2 Boston. The ranked second in the league in possessions per game behind the Washington Wizards. Prior to Game 1, the Pacers last game at Milwaukee had a total of 262. Four of five regular season meetings saw totals of 250 or higher. The Pacers had scored 119 or more points in nine straight versus Milwaukee before Game 1.”

I think Game 1 was an anomaly, and we should see high scores in this series moving forward. After another low score in Game 5, I think the books are overreacting here with a really low number in Game 6.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 5* play on OVER.

I had the over in Game 2, and here is what I said before the game: 

“Game 1 went way under the total of 231.5, and the opening number for Game 2 was 225.5. That has been bet down even further to 220.5. I think this is an over-correction. While we know scoring is down in the playoffs, and unders have cashed at a phenomenal rate so far, let's not forget who the Pacers are. They led the league in scoring, averaging 123.3 points per game, almost three points per game more than #2 Boston. The ranked second in the league in possessions per game behind the Washington Wizards. Prior to Game 1, the Pacers last game at Milwaukee had a total of 262. Four of five regular season meetings saw totals of 250 or higher. The Pacers had scored 119 or more points in nine straight versus Milwaukee before Game 1.”

I think Game 1 was an anomaly, and we should see high scores in this series moving forward. The Pacers ranked 27th in the NBA in the regular season allowing over 120 points per game. Milwaukee ranked 21st in the NBA allowing over 216 points per game.

GL, 

Jesse Schule

This is a 5* play on Over.

I had the over in Game 2, and here is what I said before the game: 

“Game 1 went way under the total of 231.5, and the opening number for Game 2 was 225.5. That has been bet down even further to 220.5. I think this is an over-correction. While we know scoring is down in the playoffs, and unders have cashed at a phenomenal rate so far, let's not forget who the Pacers are. They led the league in scoring, averaging 123.3 points per game, almost three points per game more than #2 Boston. The ranked second in the league in possessions per game behind the Washington Wizards. Prior to Game 1, the Pacers last game at Milwaukee had a total of 262. Four of five regular season meetings saw totals of 250 or higher. The Pacers had scored 119 or more points in nine straight versus Milwaukee before Game 1.”

I think Game 1 was an anomaly, and we should see high scores in this series moving forward. The Pacers scored 67 points in the first half of Game 3, and the injury to Damian Lillard should not slow them down here in Game 4. Keep in mind that while 222 points were scored in regulation in Game 3, Siakam, Haliburton and Nesmith all struggled shooting the ball. Perhaps some positive regression here.

GL, 

Jesse Schule

This is a 5* play on Over. 

I had the over in Game 2, and here is what I said before the game: 

“Game 1 went way under the total of 231.5, and the opening number for Game 2 was 225.5. That has been bet down even further to 220.5. I think this is an over-correction. While we know scoring is down in the playoffs, and unders have cashed at a phenomenal rate so far, let's not forget who the Pacers are. They led the league in scoring, averaging 123.3 points per game, almost three points per game more than #2 Boston. The ranked second in the league in possessions per game behind the Washington Wizards. Prior to Game 1, the Pacers last game at Milwaukee had a total of 262. Four of five regular season meetings saw totals of 250 or higher. The Pacers had scored 119 or more points in nine straight versus Milwaukee before Game 1.”

I think Game 1 was an anomaly, and we should see high scores in this series moving forward. 

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 5* play on Over.

Game 1 went way under the total of 231.5, and the opening number for Game 2 was 225.5. That has been bet down even further to 220.5. I think this is an over-correction. While we know scoring is down in the playoffs, and unders have cashed at a phenomenal rate so far, let's not forget who the Pacers are. They led the league in scoring, averaging 123.3 points per game, almost three points per game more than #2 Boston. The ranked second in the league in possessions per game behind the Washington Wizards. Prior to Game 1, the Pacers last game at Milwaukee had a total of 262. Four of five regular season meetings saw totals of 250 or higher. The Pacers had scored 119 or more points in nine straight versus Milwaukee before Game 1.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 3* play on Under.

While many teams are just going through the motions with only a couple games left in the regular season, these two teams still have plenty to play for. The Cavs are only one game up on the Magic and the Pacers, who could bump them out of the 4th seed. Despite the massive playoff implications, the total for tonight's game is higher than it has been in any of the previous 10 meetings. The Cavs are one of the best defensive teams in the NBA, and they won the last meeting by a score of 108-103 at Indiana last month. While the over is 7-3 in the Cavs last 10 overall, only one of those games saw more than 233 total points.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 5* play on Under.

I had the under in the Huskies win over Illinois, and they didn't even come close to the total of 155.5. Here is what I said before tip off: "I had to rub my eyes when I saw that the total for this game opened at 155.5. I think the bookmakers came up with this number based on offensive efficiency numbers, while ignoring pace of play. Illinois may be the most efficient offense in the country, but they scored just 72 points in a low scoring battle versus Iowa State. It won't get any easier against a UCONN team that ranks 307th in pace of play averaging 68 possessions per game. UCONN hasn't seen a combined 155 points in any NCAA Tournament game in 10 years. We saw six of eight games fail to reach the total in the Sweet 16, and there is every reason to expect these teams to tighten up even more as we get closer to the Final." The Crimson Tide scored 89 points and did go over the total in their game against Clemson. That game was on pace to go under with Alabama leading 58-53 with just 8 minutes remaining, but there were 60 points scored in the final eight minutes. These teams played last Novermber, and the total for that game was 148. The Huskies won 82-67 falling well short of 161.5.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 4* play on Under.

We have seen nine of the last 12 NCAA Tournament games go under the number, and another low score might be expected in a football stadium when such venues have been known to cause problems for long range shooters. Some would say that the Wolfpack have been lucky that Texas Tech, Marquette and Duke shot poorly from beyond the arc. I think it's naive not to give credit to NC State for their defense. Purdue was just 3-of-15 from beyond the arc in the Elite Eight, but with Zack Edey scoring 40 it didn't matter. The Boilermakers won 72-66 versus Tennessee, and I expect a similar score here in the Final Four.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 4* play on Under.

If the playoffs started today, the Lakers would face the Warriors in the play-in. If that is the matchup you would like to see .... "Houston, we've got a problem!" The Rockets have won 11 straight, and they are just a game back of Golden State. Houston is coming off a 101-100 win at Utah, a dominant effort defensively. They held the Mavs under 100 points the last time these teams met, and the total has gone under in seven of the last 10 meetings. The Mavs have failed to reach the total in eight of their last 10 overall. The stakes are high, so expect defense to be intense in Houston tonight.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 4* play on Under.

The overs might have hit in the first round of the tournament, but seven of the last 10 NCAA Tournament games have gone under the total. Both these teams have a checkered past in the NCAA Tournament, and past failures haunt the likes of Matt Painter and Rick Barnes. The Vols will need to slow Purdue down if they want to advance, and they have been dominant defensively in this tournament. The Vols ranked #1 in the SEC allowing just 67 points per game this season, and they have failed to reach the total in eight of their last 11.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 10* play on Under.

I had to rub my eyes when I saw that the total for this game opened at 155.5. I think the bookmakers came up with this number based on offensive efficiency numbers, while ignoring pace of play. Illinois may be the most efficient offense in the country, but they scored just 72 points in a low scoring battle versus Iowa State. It won't get any easier against a UCONN team that ranks 307th in pace of play averaging 68 possessions per game. UCONN hasn't seen a combined 155 points in any NCAA Tournament game in 10 years. We saw six of eight games fail to reach the total in the Sweet 16, and there is every reason to expect these teams to tighten up even more as we get closer to the Final.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 5* play on Under.

This is a rematch of last year's Natty, and UCONN won that game by a score of 76-59. The Huskies have won nine straight, and five of their last six opponents have scored 60 points or fewer. UCONN prefers to play at a slow pace, ranking 302nd nationally averaging 68 possessions per game. San Diego State averages just 69.6 possessions per game. They have played strong defense in the tournament so far, allowing an average of 61.5 points per game. We should expect a low score here, and I think the Aztecs will be held to 60 or less.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 4* play on Under.

The NBA would love to see LeBron James and Steph Curry face off in the play-in, but not everything is going according to script. Houston... we've got a problem! The Rockets have won nine straight and 11 of their last 12. They are now just a game back of the Warriors for the final playoff spot in the Western Conference. The Rockets catch the Thunder playing the second game of a back to back, and with a playoff berth on the line we should see some lock down defense. Houston will try to avenge a 112-95 loss to the Thunder in the last meeting. These teams have failed to reach the total in eight of the last 10 meetings.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 4* play on Under.

Northwestern scored just 19 points in the first half of their first round game against FAU, and it was a late collapse by the Owls that saw them advance. Northwestern ranks 334th in pace of play averaging 67 possessions per game. They rank 4th in the BIG10 in opponent's scoring average allowing 69 points per game. They are missing their best shooter Ty Berry, who hasn't played since early February. The Huskies should completely shut them down, but given the pace of play I expect an overall low score.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 4* play on Under.

The Duquesne Dukes have been dominant defensively, which is what got them here to the second round of the NCAA Tournament. The Dukes rank 281st nationally averaging just 68.5 possessions per game, but they have only averaged 65.8 possessions in their last three games. Their only hope here is to slow down an Illinois team that averages over 72 possessions per game. The under is 8-1 in the Dukes last nine overall, and that is a trend I expect to continue here against Illinois.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 4* play on Under.

This total looks far too high when you consider who is going to start for both teams. The Raptors have lost nine straight, scoring an average of 104.7 points in those games. Their entire starting lineup has been out for the last two games, and it should be all backups again in the second game of a back to back. The Wizards have lost six of seven, scoring an average of 106.8 points during that span. They are coming off a 109-102 home win over the Kings on Thursday, and this is a great opportunity to earn another rare home win. Toronto has gone under in seven of their last 10, and the under is 7-3 in the last 10 meetings between these two teams.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 4* play on Under.

So it raised a lot of eyebrows when the under went 33-11 in the first round of last year's tournament, but I for one didn't find it all that surprising. Dating back to 2018 the under had gone 177-130 (58%) heading into the second round of last year's tournament. These are do or die elimination games, no easy buckets. Teams that are capable of tightening up their defense are sure to do so. I think it's a solid strategy to load up your card with unders in the first round, theoretically picking from a pool that already hits 58 percent. The Gaels rank 1st in the WCC in opponent's scoring average, allowing just 58.7 points per game. Grand Canyon ranks 2nd in the WAC allowing 66.9 points per game.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a free play on Under.

Prior to the All Star break one might think these two teams would be sure to get into a shootout, but times have changed. The Warriors are battling for a play-in spot, while the Pacers are only a half game out of a play-in spot. Indiana has seemingly learned how to play defense, as eight of their last 10 have gone under the total. The under is 5-5 in the Warriors last 10 overall, but none of those games saw a total as high as tonight's game.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 4* play on Under.

So it raised a lot of eyebrows when the under went 33-11 in the first round of last year's tournament, but I for one didn't find it all that surprising. Dating back to 2018 the under had gone 177-130 (58%) heading into the second round of last year's tournament. These are do or die elimination games, no easy buckets. Teams that are capable of tightening up their defense are sure to do so. I think it's a solid strategy to load up your card with unders in the first round, theoretically picking from a pool that already hits 58 percent. Duke ranks 3rd in the ACC in opponents scoring average allowing 67.4 points per game. Vermont ranks 338th in pace of play averaging 66.8 possessions per game. 

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 4* play on Under.

So it raised a lot of eyebrows when the under went 33-11 in the first round of last year's tournament, but I for one didn't find it all that surprising. Dating back to 2018 the under had gone 177-130 (58%) heading into the second round of last year's tournament. These are do or die elimination games, no easy buckets. Teams that are capable of tightening up their defense are sure to do so. I think it's a solid strategy to load up your card with unders in the first round, theoretically picking from a pool that already hits 58 percent. Northwestern ranks 334th in pace of play averaging 67 possessions per game. They rank 4th in the BIG10 in opponent's scoring average allowing 69 points per game. The Owls won their first round matchup by a score of 66-65 versus Memphis last year.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 4* play on Under.

So it raised a lot of eyebrows when the under went 33-11 in the first round of last year's tournament, but I for one didn't find it all that surprising. Dating back to 2018 the under had gone 177-130 (58%) heading into the second round of last year's tournament. These are do or die elimination games, no easy buckets. Teams that are capable of tightening up their defense are sure to do so. I think it's a solid strategy to load up your card with unders in the first round, theoretically picking from a pool that already hits 58 percent. The Cyclones won the BIG12 Tournament with a 69-41 win over Houston. They ranked #2 in the BIG12 allowing just 61.3 points per game. South Dakota ranks 316th nationally averaging just 67.7 possessions per game.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 4* play on Under.

So it raised a lot of eyebrows when the under went 33-11 in the first round of last year's tournament, but I for one didn't find it all that surprising. Dating back to 2018 the under had gone 177-130 (58%) heading into the second round of last year's tournament. These are do or die elimination games, no easy buckets. Teams that are capable of tightening up their defense are sure to do so. I think it's a solid strategy to load up your card with unders in the first round, theoretically picking from a pool that already hits 58 percent. The Dayton Flyers rank 347th nationally in pace of play, averaging 66.3 possessions per game. The Wolfpack are not much faster, ranking 274th averaging 68.7 possessions per game. Nevada ranks #2 in the Mountain West in opponent's scoring average allowing 67.1 points per game, while Dayton allowed just 66.3 points per game.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 4* play on Under.

So it raised a lot of eyebrows when the under went 33-11 in the first round of last year's tournament, but I for one didn't find it all that surprising. Dating back to 2018 the under had gone 177-130 (58%) heading into the second round of last year's tournament. These are do or die elimination games, no easy buckets. Teams that are capable of tightening up their defense are sure to do so. I think it's a solid strategy to load up your card with unders in the first round, theoretically picking from a pool that already hits 58 percent. The Gamecocks were #1 in the SEC in opponents scoring average, allowing just 67 points per game. That's all the more impressive when you consider they played the likes of Tennessee, Kentucky, Alabama and Auburn. The Ducks won the PAC12 Tournament, and they have held four consecutive opponents under 70 points.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 4* play on Under.

Neither of the first two play-in games saw a combined 140 points, and low scores have long been the trend in these elimination games in the NCAA Tournament. The under was 33-11 in the first round of last year's tournament. We see teams play at a slower pace in these tournament games, and Boise comes in ranking 285th in pace of play averaging just 68.5 possessions per game. Colorado plays a bit faster, averaging 71.4 possessions per game, but they have averaged just 65.5 possessions in their last three games. This total is higher than it was in four of the Broncos last five games. i wouldn't be surprised if neither of these teams hit 70 points.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 4* play on Under.

Last year's SEC Final ended with Purdue defeating Penn State by a score of 67-65. Yesterday's game between Wisconsin and Purdue nearly ended with a similar score, but the Badgers forced overtime with a buzzer beater that tied the score at 66-66. We saw the BIG12, PAC12,BIG10, BIG EAST, ACC & A-10 tournament finals all saw scores below 140 last year. We saw 33 of the first 44 games in last year's NCAA Tournament fail to reach the total. The fact is that defensive intensity is increased in elimination games. Illinois was knocked out of the first round of last year's tournament in a 73-63 loss to Arkansas.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 2* play on Under.

The Lakers host the Warriors tonight, it what should look a lot like a playoff game. These two teams sit in the 9th and 10th spot in the Western Conference, battling for a play-in spot. Steph Curry is expected to return for an ankle injury, but it remains to be seen if he will be limited in any capacity. When you think of Lakers versus Warriors you might expect a history of high scoring games. Only once in the last 10 head to head meetings have they combined to score enough points to reach tonight's total, and that was a controversial double overtime win for the Lakers in January this year. This number looks a little inflated given the high stakes here.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 2* play on Under.

This total opened at 236.5, and has been bet up several points. Of course this is a matchup between the Pacers #1 scoring offense and the Thunder's #3 scoring offense. But things have changed since the All Star break, and defense is no longer an after thought. The Pacers have failed to reach the total in seven of their last 10 overall, and these teams have only gone over once in the last four head to head meetings, and that game would have fallen short in regulation, but it went to overtime. Oklahoma City has gone under in four of their last five overall.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 4* play on Under.

Boston University will host Lehigh in the semifinals of the Patriot Conference tournament, and these teams just played just a couple weeks ago. The Terriers won that game 64-62 in overtime, and neither team has scored 70 in three of the last four head to head meetings between these teams. The Terriers rank 320th nationally, averaging 67.6 possessions per game. They also rank 3rd in the Patriot allowing 66.1 points per game. Lehigh hasn't seen a combined 140 points in any of their last four games.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 4* play on Over.

Scoring normally takes a nose dive after the All Star break, and defense usually intensifies as the playoffs approach. That was on full display last night, when six of eight games failed to combine for 226 points, and five teams failed to score 100 points. These two teams are the exception to the rule though, as Toronto has an exciting group of young players that are pushing the pace and having fun, without the pressure of playoff expectations. The Blazers are giving backups and third string players a chance to earn jobs, and they have been competitive despite being hit hard by injuries. The Blazers have gone over in seven of their last 10, and Toronto has allowed and average of 124 points over their last five games.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 4* play on Under.

The Aztecs are coming off a 62-58 loss at UNLV, and they host Boise State in their final home game Friday. The Aztecs rank 1st in the Mountain West in opponent's scoring average, allowing just 65.8 points per game. Boise State isn't far behind, allowing 66.9 points per game. These two teams have failed to reach the total in seven straight head to head meetings. Neither team has scored 70 in six of the last seven meetings. Another low score should be expected here.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 5* play on Under.

These teams have a history of playing low scoring games, and Dayton's loss by a score of 49-47 at VCU last month is a fine example of that. Neither team has scored 70 points in any of the last four meetings, and the total has been 135 or lower in each of the last eight meetings. Dayton ranks 348th nationally averaging just 66 possessions per game, and VCU is a willing dance partner as they are averaging just over 68 possessions per game. Perhaps after Dayton scored 100 at Saint Louis in their last game, and tallied 80 against Davidson in their last home game, this total is a little a higher than it probably should be.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 4* play on Under.

The Tennessee Volunteers are looking to clinch the SEC title on the road at South Carolina tonight. This is a revenge game for Tennessee, after losing 62-59 at home to the Gamecocks in January. I have previously mentioned that defensive intensity increases at this time of year, and that 33 of the first 44 NCAA Tournament games failed to reach the total last season. With a conference title on the line, this is the type of game where you expect to see no easy buckets. The under is 2-2-1 in the last five head to head meetings, but none of those games saw 140 combined points.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 3* play on Under.

Duke will play at NC State on Monday, and this looks like a tough spot to ask the Blue Devils to cover a big spread. The Blue Devils have North Carolina on deck, and could get caught looking ahead here. We look at the history between these teams, and we can see that three of the last four meetings have gone under the total, and Wolfpack have covered in the last two meetings. Duke is ranked 3rd in the ACC in opponent's scoring average, allowing 66.8 points per game. Duke has gone under in eight of their last 10 overall, and they scored just 60 points in a loss in their last game at NC State.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 4* play on Under.

The Nuggets will be in LA to take on the Lakers Saturday, and Denver has won four straight in this series. The under is 4-2 in those games, and these teams have gone under in seven of the last 10 meetings. This is a big game for LeBron James, as he's just nine points away from 40,000 for his career. The Nuggets aren't interested in participating in any milestones for LeBron, and they have held opponents to an average of just 107.6 points in their last 10 overall. The under is 14-4 in Denver's last 18 overall. This number looks a little inflated.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 4* play on Under.

The Gamecocks are #1 in the SEC in opponent's scoring average allowing just 65 points per game this season. They rank 332nd nationally in pace of play, averaging just 66.9 possessions per game. This should be a pace war as Florida ranks among the fastest pace teams in the country. The Gators though haven't had a lot of success on the road. These teams have gone under in two of the last three head to head meetings, and none of those games saw a combined 145 points. This game looks similar to when Florida played at Texas A&M, and lost by a score of 67-66.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 4* play on Over.

The Warriors will be playing the second game of a back to back in Toronto. The Dubs are a solid 8-4 this season when playing on back to back nights. The over is 4-0 in their last four when playing on the road in the second game of a back to back. Toronto has gone over this number in four of their last five, and history tells us that these teams have scored plenty in recent meetings. The over is 5-0 in the last five head to head meetings, and the Raptors won the last meeting by a score of 133-118 at Golden State in January. We expect another shootout north of the border.

GL,

Jesse Schule

 This is a 5* play on Under.

Rutgers will be a big favorite at home versus Michigan tonight, despite the fact that they scored just 46 points in a loss to Maryland in their last home game. Rutgers ranks dead last in the BIG10 in scoring, averaging just 66 points per game, and they rank 3rd in the conference in opponent's scoring allowing 66 points per game. The under is 7-1 in the last eight head to head meetings between these teams. Rutgers has gone under in 14 of their last 20 conference games, and they have averaged just 60 points in their last five home games.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 4* play on Under.

The Cavs are favored on the road at Philly on Friday, with both teams coming off a loss last night in the first game back from the All Star break. This makes plenty of sense, as Philly is just 6-15 without Joel Embiid this season, and they averaged just 112 points in those games. This is significantly less than the over 121 points per game that they averaged in games that Embiid played. The Cavs are one of the best defensive teams in the NBA, ranking 2nd in opponents scoring average allowing 109 points per game. We should expect a strong effort on defense from both these teams coming off a loss. This number appears to be a bit inflated.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 2* play on Over.

The Raptors lost 119-116 at home versus Brooklyn in December, but so much has changed since then. Toronto traded elite defender OJ Anunoby to the Knicks for a couple of talented offensive players (Quickley and Barrett). This has changed the style of play, and following the trade the Raptors went over in seven straight games. Coming out of the All Star break, we should expect Toronto to get right back to pushing the pace. The Nets just fired their coach, and Kevin Ollie takes over as interim coach for the remainder of the season. We'll see if the players respond here in his debut. I expect both teams to score their share of points.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 4* play on UNDER.

The Huskies are the #1 ranked team in the country, 14-1 in the Big East and 24-2 overall. The defending champs are coming off a 28-point win over Marquette, and they could be due for a let down here on the road at Creighton. History suggests that this is a tough spot for UCONN, as they are just 2-6 straight up in the last six head to head meetings, and they have lost four straight at Creighton. History also tells us that when these two teams get together they put on a defensive clinic. This was on full display when the Huskies won 62-48 at home versus Creighton earlier this season. Neither team has scored 70 points in any of the last six head to head meetings, and neither team has scored 70 in regulation in any of the last eight meetings. The Blue Jays won at home by a score of 56-53 versus UCONN last February. Don't be surprised if history repeats itself.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 2* play on Over.

The last time Golden State was on the second game of a back to back Curry scored 42 in a win over Indiana, prior to that Curry scored 60 in a loss at Atlanta. I expect another high score here in Utah, against a Jazz team that likes to play fast and loose. The over is 9-4 in Utah's last 13 games overall, and the Jazz have gone over in seven of their last eight versus Western Conference teams. The Warriors have gone over in four straight when playing on back to back nights.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 2* play on Under.

History paints a pretty clear picture that games between these two teams are normally ugly, defensive and low scoring. The under is 7-2 in the last nine head to head meetings, and the two games that went over the number both went to overtime. Last March Northwestern won by a score of 65-53. In six of the last eight meetings neither team reached 70 points. Rutgers ranks dead last in the conference in scoring averaging just 67 points per game, and they rank 2nd in scoring defense allowing 65 points per game.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 4* play on Under.

The Dayton Flyers are first in the A-10 with a 9-1 record, their only loss coming at Richmond by a score of 69-64. The Flyers are one of the slowest paced teams in the country, averaging only 65.9 possessions per game (352nd). VCU ranked 292nd nationally averaging just 68 possessions per game. Both teams allow roughly 65 points per game, ranking as two of the top defenses in the conference. History tells us that the under has cashed in each of the last three head to head meetings. These teams haven't gone over 134 combined points in any of the last five head to head meetings. We expect a slow, defensive game here.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 4* play on Under.

The Campbell Camels will host Northeastern Thursday in a matchup between two of the lowest scoring teams in the CAA. These teams rank 11th and 12th respectively in scoring in the conference. Campbell is also one of the top defensive teams in the CAA, allowing just 67.6 points per game. The Camels rank among the slowest teams in the country, ranking 337th averaging 67 possessions per game. The Huskies only average 67.8 possessions per game. Expect a slow pace and a low score.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is 4* play on Under.

The Davidson Wildcats rank 14th in the A-10 Conference in scoring, ahead of only Saint Louis. The Duquense Dukes rank 11th in scoring, averaging less than one point more than Davidson. There are 362 Division 1 teams, and Davidson ranks 359th in pace of play averaging just 64.8 possessions per game. Davidson has failed to score 70 points in three of their last four games. Duquense has gone under the total in all four of their home games in conference play, and their most recent home game was a 65-60 win over Chicago State. Davidson is 9-1 in the last 10 head to head meetings, and they failed to reach the total in all but one of those games.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 2* play on Over.

Immediately following the trade that sent OJ Anunoby to New York in exchange for RJ Barrett and Emanuel Quickley, the Raptors appeared to improve on offense and regress on defense. The result was a stretch of several high scoring games before cooling off. They have gone over in four straight against the Thunder, and there are several storylines ahead of this game. You have Canada's team taking on Canada's best player (SGA). Canadian RJ Barrett has missed three straight games, but is expected to give it a go in the morning shoot around to see if he can return tonight. The over is 6-1 in the Raptors last seven at Oklahoma City.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 4* play on Under.

This number looks a little high, as the Knicks have gone under this number in 11 straight games. The Lakers are coming off a 114-105 win at Boston, but they had gone over in seven straight prior to that. These teams have gone under in six of the last nine head to head meetings, and all three games that went over the number required overtime to do so. My only concern here is that the Lakers seem to get awarded 3 x more free throws than their opponent. The Knicks have been dominant defensively since the trade with Toronto, and even a few favorable calls for LeBron shouldn't be enough to keep LA in this game.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 4* play on Under.

The Houston Cougars will be the favorite at Kansas, but I expect this game to be a defensive battle. Houston has held opponents to 52.9 points per game this season, and they rank 349th in pace of play averaging just 66 possessions per game. Kansas can play defense as well, and you look at recent games against top tier opponents and it gives you an idea what to expect. Games against #4 Marquette, #7 Tennessee and #4 UCONN all went under this total. I'd be surprised if either of these teams reaches 70.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 4* play on Under.

The #1 ranked Huskies might have a battle on their hands here at MSG versus St. John's. These two teams played in December, and UCONN won that game by a score of 69-65 at home. The Huskies are one of the slowest teams in the country, ranking 278th averaging just 68 possessions per game. The Red Storm have failed to reach the total in four of their last five games overall.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 4* play on Under.

So immediately following the trade that sent RJ Barrett and Emanuel Quickly to Toronto in exchange for OJ Anunoby, we saw the Knicks games trend under and the Raptors games go over. Toronto is coming off a 118-107 win at Chicago, falling short of 227 despite shooting 52 percent from the field and 48 percent from beyond the arc. Barrett and Quickly didn't play, and they both remain questionable for Friday's game at Houston. I don't like the Raptors chances of shooting as hot as they did in Chicago. The under is 7-1 in the Raptors last eight overall, and the total for tonight's game is higher than it was in five of the last six head to head meetings.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 4* play on OVER. 

The Badgers beat Nebraska at home by a score of 88-72 earlier this season, going way over the total of 144. The bookmakers haven't adjusted for this game at Nebraska, despite the fact that the Cornhuskers are one of the better offensive teams in the BIG10, and they have scored over 81 points per game at home in conference play. The Badgers have averaged just over 71 points per game on the road in conference play. Wisconsin ranks 1st in the BIG 10 in free throw percentage hitting over 77 percent of their attempts, while Nebraska ranks 3rd hitting better than 75 percent. This number looks like it should be a few points higher. 

GL, 

Jesse Schule

This is a 4* play on Under.

While this might look like an easy game for a ranked Baylor team, let's dig a little deeper. The Central Florida Knights have held five of their last six opponents under 70 points. That includes a 65-60 home win over Kansas. They held BYU to just 63 in a home loss, and held West Virginia to 59 in a win in their most recent home game. Baylor on the other hand scored just 64 in an outright loss at Kansas State last week. Baylor has gone under in six of their last nine road games, and UCF has gone under in six of their last seven overall.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 10* play on Under.

The Nuggets have failed to reach the total in three straight, and they rank dead last in the NBA in pace of play. The Knicks are right behind them, with both teams averaging roughly 100 possessions per game. The Knicks have been a different team since the trade with Toronto, and they have now gone under in 10 of their last 11 games. These teams have gone under in four of the last six head to head meetings, and it doesn't look like the bookmakers have adjusted here with what looks like an inflated number.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 4* play on Under.

The Campbell Camels have played two home games in conference play, and neither team scored 70 points in either of those contests. Campbell is one of the slowest teams in country, ranking 339th out of 362 teams in pace of play. They average just 66 possessions per game, and Elon is also fairly slow averaging just 70 possessions per game. These teams have only met twice in the last five years, but both of those games went under the number and nobody reach the 70 point mark in either game.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 4* play on Under.

The Knicks are a completely different team since the trade acquiring OJ Anunoby from Toronto. They have won nine of 11 and they have failed to reach the total in nine of their last 10 overall. They have held opponents to roughly 100 points per game during that span. The Brooklyn Nets are trending in the opposite direction, losing 10 of 12. Brooklyn are 3-15-1 ATS in their last 19 games. I expect the Knicks to shut down the Nets, resulting in another low scoring game.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 4* play on Under.

I said this about the Knicks prior to their recent game: "The Knicks are a different team since the trade acquiring OJ Anunoby from the Raptors. They have won six of seven, allowing opponents to average just 101 points per game during that span." They come off a 98-94 home loss to Orlando, and they followed that up with a 109-94 win over Houston. Now they play the Raptors who just dealt Pascal Siakam to Indiana. This should be another low scoring battle at MSG.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 10* play on Under.

Of the 362 Division 1 teams in the country, Davidson ranks 360th in pace of play averaging just 63.8 possessions per game. The Wildcats host Richmond Saturday, and these teams have failed to reach the total in back to back games the last two seasons. Richmond also plays at a slow pace, ranking 282nd nationally averaging 68.8 possessions per game. The Spiders are coming off a 63-61 win at Duquesne, and their previous road game was 58-56 win at Loyala Chicago. I expect both teams to score fewer than 70 points here

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 4* play on Under.

I said this about the Knicks prior to their last game: "The Knicks are a different team since the trade acquiring OJ Anunoby from the Raptors. They have won six of seven, allowing opponents to average just 101 points per game during that span." They come off a 98-94 home loss to Orlando, and they now face a Houston team that they have owned in recent seasons. The Knicks have won seven straight in this series, and Houston has averaged just 100 points per game in the last six meetings.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 4* play on Under.

The Iowa State Cyclones are scoring just 62 points per game in the BIG12 so far, but they have held opponents to just 55 points per game. The BYU Cougars are scoring just 65 points per game in conference play, and they are allowing 70 points per game. We should see a defensive battle here in Provo and I wouldn't expect both these teams to reach 70 points.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 4* play on Under.

The Knicks are a different team since the trade acquiring OJ Anunoby from the Raptors. They have won six of seven, allowing opponents to average just 101 points per game during that span. The Magic rank 24th in the NBA in scoring, and they are 7th in opponent's scoring average. These two teams have a history of playing low scoring games, going under in six straight meetings and eight of the last 10. The Magic are coming in off four consecutive unders.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 4* play on Under.

The Knicks are a different team since the trade with the Raptors. New York is 5-0 since the trade, allowing opponents to average much less than 100 points per game during that span. The Raptors are also doing well since the trade, but they have gone over in all their games. It makes sense that after trading a pair of offensive minded players for an elite defender, this would be the result. These teams have gone under in seven of the last 10 meetings, and they haven't scored 234 points in regulation in any of the last five meetings.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 4* play on Under.

The Towson Tigers rank 335th nationally in pace of play, averaging just 66 possessions per game. This is even slower than they played last season, and they host the Stonybrook Seawolves, who also play at a below average pace. When these two teams played last year the Tigers won 67-55, going under the total of 127. The total for tonight's game sits several points higher... and that's hard for me to justify.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 4* play on Under.

The East Carolina Pirates rank 301st nationally in pace of play, averaging just 68 possessions per game game. They are on the road tonight at Temple, and the Owls are coming off a 68-61 win over Wichita State. These teams have gone under in four of the last five meetings, and the total for tonight's game is higher than it was in any of those games.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 4* play on Under.

The Clemson Tigers rank 233rd nationally in pace of play, averaging just over 70 possessions per game. They are coming off a 65-55 loss to North Carolina, and we might expect another low scoring game at Virginia Tech. The Tigers won the last meeting by a score of 51-50, and they have gone under in eight of the last 10 meetings. The total for tonight's game is much higher than it was in any of those games.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 4* play on Under.

Rutgers is 8-2 SU in the last 10 head to head meetings versus Indiana, and they are 5-0 at home in those games. Neither team has scored 70 points in each of the last four meetings, and they have failed to reach 140 combined points in five straight meetings. Rutgers has failed to reach the total in four of their last five home games. Rutgers ranks 349th in scoring averaging just 68 points per game, but they are great defensively allowing just 64 points per game.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 4* play on Under.

There are 362 Div 1 teams, and none of them play slower than the Davidson Wildcats. Their average of 62 possessions per game ranks 362nd in the country. The Wildcats host Rhode Island, and these teams have failed to reach the total in six of the last 10 meetings. Only two of those games went over a combined 140 points, and one of those went to overtime. Davidson won the last meeting by a score 68-54, and we could see a similar score here.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 2* play on Under.

Throw out the previous numbers for the Knicks, since the trade this team is trending in a different direction. They gave up a couple of offensive players to acquire an elite defender, and in the three games Anunoby has played the Knicks have held opponents under 100 points per game. Washington has lost six of their last seven at home, and they have failed to reach the total in five of their last seven versus the Knicks.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 4* play on Under.

The West Virginia Mountaineers rank 268th nationally in pace of play, averaging 69 possessions per game. Houston ranks 342nd nationally, averaging just 66 possessions per game. The Mountaineers rank 353rd in scoring, averaging 68 points per game, and they face a Houston team that is allowing just 49 points per game. With both these teams playing so slow, it's hard to imagine that the Mountaineers can score 50 here.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 4* play on Under.

The North Texas Mean Green are a defensive powerhouse, allowing 58.9 points per game on the season. They rank 354th nationally in pace of play averaging 66 possessions per game. They held St. Johns to 53 points, LSU to 66 points, and the last time they faced Wichita State they won 62-52. The Shockers are averaging over 75 points per game this season, but have failed to score 70 in four straight games. 

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 4* play on Under.

The Campbell Camels ranks 344th nationally in scoring, averaging just 68 points per game. They are strong defensively though, allowing opponents to average just 64 points per game. Campbell ranks 350th in pace of play, averaging fewer than 68 possessions per game. The last time these teams played, Campbell won by a score of 64-63 at home. The total in both games last year was listed 10+ points lower than the listed number for tonight's game. Tonight's total is higher than in any of Campbell's last 10 games.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 4* play on Under.

The UCLA Bruins have struggled to score this season, ranking 368th in scoring averaging 67 points per game. Putting that in perspective there are only 362 Division 1 teams. UCLA has been pretty solid defensively though, allowing opponents to average just 62 points per game. Gonzaga, Ohio State, Villanova, Oregon, Oregon State and Maryland all failed to score 70 against UCLA. Stanford is coming off an upset win over Arizona, scoring 100 points in the victory. They only score 60 in a loss at San Diego State in their last road game.

GL,

Jesse Schule.

This is a 4* play on Under.

There are 362 Division 1 teams, and 361 of them play at a faster pace than the Davidson Wildcats, who rank dead last in possessions per game. The Dayton Flyers are only slightly faster, ranking 355th in possessions per game. History tells us that these teams play low scoring games, with both meetings going under last season. The total for this game is seven points higher than it was in those two games.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 10* play on Under.

Illinois comes in averaging over 82 points per game, but those numbers came in non-conference play. It's time to buckle up for the BIG10, and their one conference game came against Rutgers, winning by a score of 76-58. Terrance Shannon Jr. scored 23 points in that game, and he leads the team in scoring averaging almost 22 points per game. Nobody else averages 12 points per game, and Shannon is their best three-point shooter hitting better than 40 percent from beyond the arc. The kid is a great player, but he's got himself in some trouble with the law and he will be away from the team for the foreseeable future. The Wildcats lost by a score of 66-62 at Illinois in the most recent meeting between the two teams. The under is 6-0 in the last six meetings, and the total for tonight's game is higher than it was in the last four meetings.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 4* play on Under.

How high can an NBA total go? The Bucks and the Pacers are high flying offensive powerhouses, so it comes as no shocker that they have gone over in seven of the last eight meetings. We have yet to see a total as high as 260 though. Only four of the last seven meetings have gone over 260 combined points. These teams rank 1st and 2nd in the NBA in scoring, but both average well below 130 points per game.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 4* play on Under.

You gotta have a big set to be betting unders in the NBA these days, but the Iceman has a pair, don't you worry about that. Houston ranks 2nd in the NBA in opponent's scoring average, allowing 108 points per game. They lost at home last night to Indiana, in a game that they let get away from them. The Suns are also coming in off an ugly loss, and I am expecting both these teams to reign it in here as they look to bounce back. The last time Phoenix played at Houston they scored just 97 points. We might see both these teams bring it on defense tonight.

GL,

Jesse Schule

4*

This is a 10* play on Over.

This number looks a little too low. Perhaps the bookmakers haven't fully adjusted for the fact that Georgia Tech is playing at a far faster pace than they did last year. Their average of over 72 possessions per game ranks among the faster teams in the country. Nevada is right behind them averaging just short of 72 points per game. Nevada comes in averaging over 79 points per game. The Yellow Jackets have averaged over 72 points per game, and they have allowed 71 points per game.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 4* play on Under.

The Mean Green rank 353rd nationally in pace of play, averaging just 65 possessions per game. They rank 360th in the nation in scoring, but they are holding opponents to an average of just 59.8 points per game. They are 4-0 in their last four versus Texas Arlington, and the Mavericks have averaged just 55 points per game during that span.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 4* play on Under.

The Bruins are slumping, losing four of their last five overall and scoring just 63.8 points per game during that span. UCLA ranks 309th in pace of play averaging just 66 possessions per game. They host Maryland, and the Terps last road game was a 65-53 loss at Indiana. We should expect this game to be played at a snail's pace, and the score should reflect that.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 4* play on Under.

There are 362 division 1 teams, and Davidson ranks 251st in pace of play averaging just 66 possessions per game. They will be a heavy favorite versus USC Upstate, who only scored 53 points in their last game. Davidson is 6-0 at home, holding opponents to an average of 55 points in those games. Expect the Wildcats to shut down USC Upstate here.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 4* play on Under.

The Northwestern Wildcats will play Arizona State at a neutral site Wednesday, and we are expecting a low score here. The Wildcats rank 340th in pace of play, averaging just 66.8 possessions per game. The Sun Devils actually play at above average pace, yet rank 323rd in scoring, averaging less than 70 points per game.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 4* play on Under.

So we go inside the numbers here and we find that both these teams rank in the Top 10 in the NBA in opponent's scoring average. Minnesota ranks 2nd allowing less than 106 points per game. Both teams also rank in the bottom 10 in the NBA in pace of play, and Miami ranks 28th averaging just 100 possessions per game. These teams have gone under in three of four head to head meetings dating back to 2021.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 2* play on Under.

We expect a high scoring game here in Milwaukee tonight, but how high are we talking. This is the biggest number I have ever seen, and I think there are just so many things that can happen to prevent these two offensive juggernauts from getting there. Putting things in perspective, last week's meeting in the In-Season Tourney ended with a final score of 128-119, going under the inflated number. The previous head to head meeting went over the listed number of 239.5, but the score of 126-124 wouldn't have come anywhere near this number. The over is 7-3 in the last 10 head to head meetings, but only three of those games saw enough points to go over this inflated total.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 4* play on Under.

We should expect a snail's pace here in this game between Boston University and Dartmouth. Both these teams rank near the bottom of Division I in pace of play each averaging fewer than 70 possessions per game. The Terriers are averaging just 66 points per game, but Dartmouth ranks 413th nationally averaging just 62 points per game.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 4* play on Under.

The Red Raiders are 4-0 at home, and they have held opponents to an average of 52.5 points per game. Oral Roberts is 0-3 on the road with losses at Texas A&M, Missouri State and Kansas State. There are 362 division I teams, and Texas Tech ranks 258th in pace of play averaging just 69.9 possessions per game. Oral Roberts is much the same averaging just 70.4 possessions per game (235th). We have Texas Tech scoring 70-77 points, and Oral Roberts scoring 53-60 points.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 4* play on Under.

The Pacers are cooking fire heading into the NBA In-Season Tournament Final, but the Lakers may be able to cool them off. These two teams have gone under in three straight head to head meetings, and the Lakers have held opponents to just 105 points per game in their last five. We saw LA hold the Pelicans to just 89 points in the Semi Finals. Expect a strong defensive effort here in a Championship Game.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 10* play on Under.

Last year Seton Hall beat Rutgers in New Jersey by a score of 45-43, and while that game may look like anomaly, low scoring games have been the norm when these teams play. The under is 7-1 in the last eight head to head meetings. Rutgers has gone under in seven of their last eight overall, and the under is 5-1 in their last six road games. The Pirates are 5-0 at home, and they have held opponents to 62 points per game. This one should be a defensive battle.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 4* play on Under.

Of 362 Division 1 teams, West Virginia ranks 341st in possessions per game. Drexel ranks 340th, so we should expect a snail's pace here in this matchup. The total has gone under in eight of West Virginia's last 11 games. The total has gone under in six of Drexel's last seven games.

GL,

Jesse Schule