This is an 8* play on Over 144.5.

Pepperdine is coming off an 84-73 win over Santa Clara, and I expect to see another high score here in Las Vegas when they play St. Mary's. The Gaels won 78-69 at Pepperdine earlier this season, the over is 19-7 in the Gaels last 26 overall. St. Mary's is coming off an 86-76 loss to Gonzaga, and the over is 6-1 in the Gaels last seven games following a straight up loss. The over is 5-1 in the Waves last six neutral site games, and they have gone over in 10 of their last 14 as an underdog.

Take Over.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is an 8* play on Over 130.

The Aztecs have scored over 80 points in two of their last three games, and they have allowed 60 or more points in all of those games. We have seen high scores here in Las Vegas, and I expect that trend to continue here in the Mountain West Final. The last time these teams played each other the Aztecs won by a score of 80-68. Both meetings this season have gone over, and the total here looks far too low all things considered.

Take Over.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 5* play on Under 143.5.

The Bulldogs beat the Falcons by a score of 71-62 just a few weeks ago, falling short of the total of 143. It was the sixth time in the last seven head to head meetings that these teams failed to reach the total. The majority of those games saw a lower number than we see for tonight's game. Air Force only scores an average of 66 points per game away from home, and they have averaged just over 58 points per game in their last seven versus the Bulldogs. This total appears to be on the wrong side of 140.

Take Under.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 1* free play on Over 141.

The UCLA Bruins host the Arizona State Sun Devils in a big game in the PAC12 tonight. The winner will take over first place in the conference, and both these teams come in riding long winning streaks. The Sun Devils are going for an eighth straight win, while the Bruins have won five straight. The total seems a little low here considering that both teams have been scoring plenty during their win streaks. History suggests that we could see a high score, as eight of the last 10 meetings have seen at least 150 points scored. That includes an 84-66 win for Arizona State at home just a few weeks ago. The Sun Devils have gone over in five of their last six road games, and the over is 13-5 in the Bruins last 18 games following a win.

Take Over.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 5* play on Over 149.5.

LSU has struggled of late, losing four of their last six overall. It hasn't been due to a lack of scoring, they have scored 80+ points in five of their last six. The scary thing is that they've given up even more points. History tells us we should expect plenty of scoring here in Florida, as these teams have gone over in six of the last seven meetings. They haven't just gone over, they have gone well over (at least 10 points over in six of the last seven overall). They have also gone to overtime twice in the last four head to head meetings.

Take Over.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is an 8* play on Over 136.

The Xavier Musketeers host Depaul tonight, and the bookmakers have listed a low number for the total. The reason is likely a trend of low scoring games, with these teams going under in eight straight head to head meetings and nine of the last 10. Of course tonight's total is far lower than it was in any of those games. Each of the last five meetings saw a total of 140 or higher, and twice the total was higher than 150. Depaul has given up a ton of points over their last five games, allowing an average of 79 points. They have scored 70+ points in three of their last four games. This total seems just a little lower than it should be.

Take Over.

GL,

Jesse Schule

10*

This is a 5* play on Over 132.

California is coming off a home loss to Arizona State (80-75), and I had the over in that game. Here is what I said prior to tip off: "California and Arizona State have  failed to reach the total in five straight head to head meetings, but the bookmakers might have over-corrected with a super low number here in Sunday's game. The total in each of the last four meetings was higher than 150, and each of the last eight meetings had a total higher than 140. As poorly as California has played this season, they have scored 72 points and 69 points respectively in two of their last three home games." We see another low total here in tonight's game at Washington State. It's lower than it was when the Bears beat the Cougars 73-66 at home earlier this year. Three of the last five meetings between these teams had a total over 150. Let's punish the books for offering such a low number here in this game.

Take Over.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 5* play on Over 140.

The St. John's Red Storm will be a home dog on Monday against Xavier, and history suggests this could be a high scoring battle. The total sits at just 140, while in previous meetings we had seen far higher totals. Eight of the last nine meetings had a total higher than 145, and five of those games had a total higher than 150. The Red Storm have been scoring plenty of points at home, averaging almost 78 points per game while winning 11 of 16 home games. They have averaged almost 75 points per game in their last five overall, and they have averaged 73 points in their last three home games against Xavier. The over is 6-3 in the last nine head to head meetings, but all nine of those games went over 140 combined points.

Take Over.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 5* play on Over 133.5.

California and Arizona State have  failed to reach the total in five straight head to head meetings, but the bookmakers might have over-corrected with a super low number here in Sunday's game. The total in each of the last four meetings was higher than 150, and each of the last eight meetings had a total higher than 140. As poorly as California has played this season, they have scored 72 points and 69 points respectively in two of their last three home games. Arizona State hasn't been one of the better defensive teams in the PAC12, and they are allowing 72.5 points per game on the road. The Bears average almost 69 points per game at home, and they should be competitive here against the Sun Devils. The over is 4-1 in the Sun Devils last five road games, and the over is 5-1 in the Golden Bears last six home games versus a team with a winning road record.

Take Over.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 5* play on Under 137.

The Iowa State Cyclones will host Texas Saturday afternoon, and this will be their second game since losing leading scorer Tyrese Haliburton for the rest of the season with a wrist injury. They scored just 61 points in a loss at Oklahoma on Wednesday. Iowa State has struggled offensively scoring just over 63 points per game in their last five overall. That's still roughly five points more than Texas has averaged during that span. The Longhorns could also be without a pair of starters for this game. Texas has failed to reach the total in five of their last six overall, and this should be another low scoring game.

Take Under.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 5* play on Over 133.

The Davidson Wildcats will be on the road at St. Bonaventure Friday, and the bookmakers may have set a low number for this game. Both these teams come in scoring plenty of points in recent games. The Wildcats have scored almost 80 points per game in their last five overall, while the Bonnies have averaged 73 points per game during that span. These teams failed to reach the total in a low scoring game last March, but they had gone over in four straight meetings prior to that. The over is 6-2-1 in the Bonnies last nine overall, and they have gone over in five straight home meetings versus Davidson.

Take Over.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 5* play on Under 155.5.

The Central Michigan Chippewas rank in the top 10 nationally averaging over 81 points per game, but I don't like their chances of reaching that number here as a home underdog versus Akron. Central Michigan has averaged fewer than 73 points over their last five games, while Akron has held opponents to fewer than 70 points per game in their last five. The Zips have won two of the last three meetings, and neither team surpassed the 70 point mark in those games. The under is 38-18 in the Zips last 56 games as a favorite, and the Chippewas have failed to reach the total in each of their last four as an underdog.

Take Under.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is an 8* play on Under 137.5.

The Huskies are sitting dead last in the PAC12, and they come into tonight's game as losers of eight of their last nine overall. They have lost five straight road games, scoring just 61 points per game during that span. The Trojans are 9-2 at home, and they have allowed opponents to average just 66.5 points in those games. These teams have failed to reach the total in six of the last eight head to head meetings, most recently the Huskies winning 72-40 at home earlier this season. The under is 31-12 in the Huskies last 43 road games, and the Huskies have failed to reach the total in five of their last six versus teams with a winning record. The under is 37-18-1 in the Trojans last 56 home games.

Take Under.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is an 8* play on [email protected] to go Over the total.

The Minnesota T-Wolves shook things up at the trade deadline, and their first game with a new look roster was dramatic indeed. They scored 142 points in a blowout win over the Clippers Saturday. They attempted 44 three-point shots in the game, making 26 of them. This is a team that needs to score to win games, because they rank 27th in the NBA in opponent's scoring average allowing over 115 points per game. The Raptors scored 122 points in a double digit win at Minnesota earlier this year, and another high score should be expected here tonight. Toronto has won 13 straight overall, and the majority of those games were high scoring. Their last two home games have ended with the exact same score (119-118). The over is 7-3 in the last 10 meetings, and the Raptors have gone over in four straight home games.

Take Over.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is an 8* play on [email protected] to go Under the total.

Duke is coming off a 98-96 win at Chapel Hill, rallying after trailing by 14 in the final 4:30 to win in overtime. We should expect a much lower score here at home versus Florida State. These teams last played in March of 2019, and Duke won by a score of 73-63. The Seminoles come in averaging under 70 points per game on the road, but they have only allowed 66 points per game on the road. Duke has held opponents to an average of just over 62 points per game at home. The under is 11-5-1 in the Seminoles last 17 games as an underdog, and the Blue Devils have gone under in 10 of their last 11 following a game where they scored 90+ points.

Take Under.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is an 8* play on Under 148.

The Orange beat Wake Forest by a score of 79-54 last March, going under the listed total of 137. The total for tonight's game is more than 10 points higher than it was in the last meeting, and each of the last four head to head meetings saw a total below 140. The under is 4-1 in the Orange last five games as a home favorite, and they have held opponents to just 63 points per game at home. This figures to be an easy win for the Orange, and it seems unlikely that Wake can score enough points to push this total over such a high number.

Take Under.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is an 8* play on Under 138.5.

The Flyers beat Saint Louis earlier this season, hitting a buzzer beater to tie the game at 69-69 to force overtime. Then they hit another buzzer beater for the game winner. This game isn't expected to be as close, with Dayton favored by double digits at home. The Flyers are 12-0 at home, and they have held opponents to just 61 points per game. The total for this game is higher than it was in any of the last nine head to head meetings. The under is 10-4 in the Billikens last 14 games as an underdog.

Take Under.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is an 8* play on the Under 131.

The Yellow Jackets are always a tough out on their home court, and they have been quite competitive all season long. They are coming off an 80-72 loss at Notre Dame, but they have won back to back home games, holding opponents to fewer than 60 points in both those games. Georgia Tech will host Virginia Tech tonight, and the Hokies struggle to score on the road averaging just 61.7 points per game while winning three of six away games. The bookmakers set the total at just 122 when these teams met last year, but they went way over that number. Tonight's total is far higher, and six of the last eight meetings have gone under. The Yellow Jackets leading scorer is also listed as questionable after missing their last game.

Take Under.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 10* play on [email protected] to go Under the total.

The first thing that comes to mind when you see the Grizzlies playing the Pelicans might be that a high score is expected. That's fair enough, as both teams rank in the Top 10 in scoring, and the bottom 10 in defense. This hasn't been lost on the bookmakers, who have set the total for this game higher than 240. Neither of these two teams have reached that number since the last time they played each other. The Grizzlies have been a completely different team over their last 13 games, going 11-2 during that span. They are now in a position to make the playoffs, and an increased emphasis on defense should be expected. These two teams have failed to reach the total in eight of the last 10 head to head meetings. The Grizzlies have gone under in seven of their last nine, and they have gone under in five straight versus New Orleans.

Take Under.

GL,

Jesse Schule

8*

This is an 8* play on the [email protected] to go Over the total.

These teams played twice last season, and Gonzaga scored over 100 points at home, and more than 90 points on the road. They won and covered in both games, and each of those games went over the total. The Cougars come into tonight's game playing great offensively, they've scored 90+ in back to back wins, and they scored 84 points in a loss to St. Mary's in their last road game. Gonzaga has gone over in six of their last seven home games, and the Cougars have gone over in five straight as a road underdog.

Take Over.

GL,

Jesse Schule.

This is an 8* play on [email protected] to go Over the total.

The College of William and Mary are always a strong home team in the CAA, and they are 5-0 at home so far this season. They have averaged over 80 points per game at home. Charleston will know that they need to score to keep up with the Tribe, but the Cougars are 5-0 in the CAA and have averaged 78 points per game so far. The last meeting between these two teams went to overtime, and the Tribe won 86-84. Six of the last seven head to head meetings have gone over the total, and the total for this game is lower than it was in the previous six meetings. The over is 36-16 in Tribe last 52 home games, and they have gone over in eight of their last nine as a home dog.

Take Over.

GL,

Jesse Schule.

This is an 8* play on [email protected] to go Under the total.

Davidson comes into Rhode Island looking for their first conference win, and they can get back to .500 with a win over the Rams. The Wildcats have struggled offensively, averaging less than 70 points per game. They have been solid defensively however, only giving up 66 points per game. The Rams are coming off a 69-61 home loss to Richmond, and leading scorer Fatts Russell scored just three points on 1-of-12 shooting. The under is 6-1-1 in the Wildcats last eight overall, and four of their last five versus Rhode Island have gone under. All five of those games saw fewer than 142 points.

Take Under.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 10* play on [email protected] to go Under the total.

The Miami Heat own the best home record in the NBA at 16-1. They host Portland on Sunday, and the bookmakers have the total listed sky high at 223. These teams haven't seen a total as high as 220 in any of the previous 10 head to head meetings. Only one of those games saw a total higher than 215. Both these teams come in cold, with Portland coming in as losers of five of six overall. They scored an average of 107 points in those losses, well below their season average of 112+ points per game. The Heat are coming off back to back games scoring fewer than 90 points. They scored 84 in a home win over Toronto, then followed up with just 85 points in a loss at Orlando.

Take Under.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 10* play on [email protected] to go Over the total.

The Seahawks were once the powerhouse in the CAA, but they have slipped all the way to the cellar. They will be a home underdog against Towson on Saturday, and their poor play doesn't inspire me to back them in this role. That being said, they still average over 77 points per game at home, and history suggests they will score their fair share against the Tigers. These two teams have played eight times since 2015, and all of those previous eight meetings saw a total higher than 140. Towson gave up 81 points in a loss to Charleston in their last game, and the over is 5-1 in the Tigers last six games following an ATS loss.

Take Over.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 10* play on [email protected] to go Under the total.

The Raptors have been hit hard by injuries, playing without Marc Gasol, Norm Powell and leading scorer Pascal Siakam. They lost 84-76 at Miami in their last game, shooting just over 30 percent from the field. Siakam hasn't played since December 19th, and the Raptors have scored an average of 106.5 points in eight games since (well below their season average). They have also stepped up on defense during that span, and they have held opponents under 100 points in four straight games. The under is 5-1-1 in the Raptors last seven road games, and they have failed to reach the total in four of their last five in Brooklyn.

Take Under.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is an 8* play on [email protected] to go Over the total.

The Eastern Tennessee State Buccaneers will host conference rivals Wofford on New Years Day, and history tells us we can expect a high score. These teams have gone over the total in six of the last seven meetings, and the under is 8-2 in the last 10 meetings. They haven't just gone over the total, they have gone way over. They have scored 150 points or more in five of the last eight head to head meetings. The over is 47-19-2 in Buccaneers last 68 home games, and the Buccaneers have averaged over 85 points per game at home.

Take Over.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is an 8* play on [email protected] to go Over the total.

The Spurs have turned things around, winning five of their last seven home games. San Antonio is one of the highest scoring teams in the NBA, averaging over 113 points per game. They would have a lot better record if they weren't allowing opponents to average over 115 points per game. The Warriors had won four straight, but then lost 141-121 at home to Dallas on Sunday. The over is 12-3 in the Spurs last 15 games as a home favorite, and they have gone over in four straight at home. The Spurs hit a season high 18 three-point shots in a win over Detroit on Saturday.

Take Over.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is an 8* play on [email protected] to go Under the total.

I bet the under in Seton Hall's recent win over Maryland, and here is what I said prior to that game. "The Seton Hall Pirates have lost back to back games, but they have even bigger problems. Leading scorer Myles Powell suffered a concussion, and he won't play tonight at home versus Maryland. Powell is averaging 21.2 points per game this season, one of just two players averaging in double figures. The other is junior forward Sandro Mamukelashvili, who is averaging just 10.9 points per game. Neither of the two will be available for tonight's game, and perhaps for the remainder of 2019. The Pirates struggled without them, scoring just 48 points in a loss to Rutgers." The Pirates went on to beat Prairie Valley by a score of 75-55 after beating Maryland 52-48.

Take Under.

GL,

Jesse Schule

8*

This is an 8* play on [email protected] to go Over the total.

The Nuggets come into Phoenix as winners of six straight, and they have scored an average of more than 114 points per game during that span. The Nuggets are the best defensive team in the NBA, but in this day and age it still doesn't mean they can hold opponents to an average of less than 100 points per game. They allow an average of roughly 102 points per game, and the Suns are far from an average opponent. Phoenix averages over 114 points per game, but they allow opponents to average even more than that. The over is 9-0 in the Suns last nine games following a straight up loss of more than 10 points, and they have gone over in 11 of their last 14 home games.

Take Over.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is an 8* play on [email protected] to go Over the total.

The Nuggets are the best defensive team in the NBA, but in this day and age it still doesn't mean they can hold opponents to an average of less than 100 points per game. They allow an average of roughly 102 points per game, and the Lakers are far from an average opponent. Denver has won five straight, and all five of those games saw 209+ total points. We can see that these two teams have failed to go over the total in five straight meetings, but in four of those five games they combined to score 209+ points. Looks like this number should be a few points higher.

Take Over.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is an 8* play on [email protected] to go Under the total.

Here is what I said prior the Pirates 52-48 win over Maryland: "The Seton Hall Pirates have lost back to back games, but they have even bigger problems. Leading scorer Myles Powell suffered a concussion, and he won't play tonight at home versus Maryland. Powell is averaging 21.2 points per game this season, one of just two players averaging in double figures. The other is junior forward Sandro Mamukelashvili, who is averaging just 10.9 points per game. Neither of the two will be available for tonight's game, and perhaps for the remainder of 2019. The Pirates struggled without them, scoring just 48 points in a loss to Rutgers. The under is 8-1 in the Pirates last nine games following an ATS loss, and they have failed to reach the total in five of their last six overall. You really have to wonder where the points are going to come from here against a Top 10 ranked Maryland team." It looks like they have stepped up their defense, and we should expect that trend to continue here on Sunday.

Take Under.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is an 8* play on [email protected] to go Under the total.

The Seton Hall Pirates have lost back to back games, but they have even bigger problems. Leading scorer Myles Powell suffered a concussion, and he won't play tonight at home versus Maryland. Powell is averaging 21.2 points per game this season, one of just two players averaging in double figures. The other is junior forward Sandro Mamukelashvili, who is averaging just 10.9 points per game. Neither of the two will be available for tonight's game, and perhaps for the remainder of 2019. The Pirates struggled without them, scoring just 48 points in a loss to Rutgers. The under is 8-1 in the Pirates last nine games following an ATS loss, and they have failed to reach the total in five of their last six overall. You really have to wonder where the points are going to come from here against a Top 10 ranked Maryland team.

Take Under.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 5* play on [email protected] to go Over the total.

The Seahawks come into tonight's home game versus Mercer as losers of three straight, and they gave up an average of 76 points per game during that span. They might have more success against a Mercer team that has lost three of four on the road. Mercer is allowing opponents to average 77 points per game this season. The over is 7-2 in  the Bears last nine road games versus a team with a winning home record. The over is 10-3 in the Seahawks last 13 home games.

Take Over.

GL,

Jesse Schule

10*

This is an 8* play on [email protected] to go Over the total.

The Boise State Broncos come into Tulsa as winners of four of their last five. They have scored an average of more than 77 points per game during that span. The Broncos have given up their fair share of points as well, with opponents averaging almost 70 points per game in their last five overall. Tonight's total of 131 will be the lowest that the Broncos have seen all year, and they have gone over in four straight road games. The Hurricanes are coming off a home loss to Arkansas State, and the over is 15-7-1 in their last 23 games following a ATS loss.

Take Over.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is an 8* play on [email protected] to go Under the total.

The Clippers won at home by a score of 98-88 in the first meeting between these teams this season. Tonight's game will be a far bigger deal, as Kawhi is returning to Toronto for the first time since winning the NBA Championship with the Raptors last year. He was held to 12 points on 2-of-11 shooting in the last meeting. The Raptors are 9-2 at home this season, and they are one of the top defensive teams in the NBA. This total appears to be a little inflated.

Take Under.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is an 8* play on [email protected] to go Under the total.

The Lakers are coming off a 105-96 win over the Nuggets last night, winning for the 11th time in their last 12 games. The Lakers are ranked as one of the top teams in the NBA in scoring defense, allowing an average of 103 points per game so far this season. They might have a tough time on the road on back to back nights against the Utah Jazz, who are another one of the league's top defensive teams. The Lakers have gone under in six straight, and the under is 5-1 in their last six games in Utah. The Jazz are coming off a 103-94 loss at Philly, and the under is 9-2 in their last 11 games following a straight up loss.

Take Under.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is an 8* play on [email protected] to go Over the total.

The Red Raiders are coming off back to back road losses, and they face a 8-0 DePaul team in Chicago tonight. DePaul won the last meeting back in 2011, and the final score was 76-70. That fell short of the listed total of 150, but tonight's total is 10 points lower. Both these teams are scoring their fair share of points, and shooting the ball relatively well. The point spread suggests this game is expected to be close, so we might expect a wild finish. DePaul has scored 70+ points in all eight of it's games so far, and that includes road wins over Minnesota and Boston College. I like both teams to get 70+ tonight.

Take Over.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 10* play on [email protected] to go Over the total.

The Vanderbilt Comodores come into tonight's home game against Tulsa averaging over 85 points per game on better than 51 percent shooting. They have gone over the total in all six games so far this season, and tonight's total seems a little low (on the wrong side of 140). Vandy isn't quite as impressive on defense, allowing opponents to average over 70 points per game. The Comodores have gone over in nine straight non-conference games, and the over is 5-0 in their last five home games. Tulsa has scored 72 or more in five of their six games so far.

Take Over.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is an 8* play on [email protected] to go Over the total.

The San Francisco Dons are off to an impressive start to the season, winning seven straight games. Their 7-0 start has been helped by their potent offense, coming into Friday's game in Hawaii averaging over 86 points per game on better than 47 percent of shooting. The result has been a streak of overs in non conference games, and the Don's have now gone over in 8-STRAIGHT outside the WCC. They have also gone over the total in four straight versus Hawaii, and the over is 9-1-1 in Hawaii's last 11 versus teams from the WCC.

Take Over.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 5* play on [email protected] to go UNDER the total.

Both the Saint Louis Bilikens and the Boston College Eagles are teams that focus on playing strong defense. That has been the theme in recent head to head meetings, failing to score a combined 115 points in any of the last three meetings. Saint Louis has failed to reach the total in nine of their last 13 versus ACC teams, and they have gone under in five straight road games. The under is 8-3 in the  Eagles last 11 home games. The Eagles have failed to reach the total in five of their last six versus teams from the A-10.

Take Under.

GL,

Jesse Schule

8*

This is an 8* play on [email protected] to go Over the total.

The Atlanta Hawks have gone over (223.5) in eight straight games overall, and they allowed 76 points in the first half of a 128-103 loss at Detroit in their last game. The Raptors come into tonight's game as winners of six of their last eight overall, and they will be a seven point favorite here tonight. Toronto has scored an average of 120 points in thier last six wins. The over is 6-0 in the Hawks last six games following a straight up loss of more than 10 points. I think Toronto will be content to play a wide open game, as long as they know they will get the better of it. We should see plenty of scoring here.

Take Over.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is an 8* play on [email protected] to go Under the total.

The Rockets are coming off a 105-95 loss at Denver, and they have another tough game tonight in LA. They beat the Clippers 102-93 at home just last week, and LA will be looking for revenge. The Clippers rank among the top defensive teams in the NBA, while Houston has allowed opponents to average over 113 points per game (20th in the NBA). The Rockets defense has been much better lately though, allowing just over 103 points per game in their last nine overall. The lowest score during that span was their game against the Clippers. LA has gone under in eight of their last 10 home games and nine of their last 13 overall.

Take Under.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is an 8* play on [email protected] to go Under the total.

The Jazz rank 1st overall in the NBA in opponent's scoring average, allowing just over 100 points per game. They have been even better at home, holding the Clippers, Bucks, Kings and Thunder to 100 points or less. Utah needs to play well defensively, because the Jazz only average 104.7 points per game (26th overall). The under is 8-1 in the Timberwolves last nine road games versus a team with a winning home record. The Jazz have failed to reach the total in 12 of their last 15 overall, and the under is 6-2 in their last eight home games.

Take Under.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is an 8* play on [email protected] to go Over the total.

The Jazz are the top defensive team in the NBA, allowing opponents to average just 99.5 points per game this season. They have not been as sharp on the road, allowing over 100 points in each of their last three road games. The Grizzlies are one of the worst defensive teams in the NBA, allowing over 118 points per game. They come into tonight's game as a home underdog looking for a third straight win. The over is 7-3 in Grizzlies last 10 home games, and I expect another high scoring game here tonight.

Take Over.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 10* play on [email protected] to go Over the total.

The Atlanta Hawks are feeling good about themselves coming into tonight's game at Phoenix, coming off a 125-121 win over the Nuggets in Denver. Tre Young scored 42 points on 13-of-21 shooting in the victory. It was however the third consecutive game that the Hawks allowed their opponent to score 120+ points. Tonight they face a Suns team that ranks among the top teams in the league in scoring, but the Suns are also allowing opponents to average more than 110 points per game this season. The history tells us that these two teams have gone under in five straight meetings, and nine of the last 10 meetings. That history might be keeping tonight's number artificially low, as the last two time these two teams played they score at least 230 combined points, but failed to reach a much higher total.

Take Over.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is an 8* play on [email protected] to go Over the total.

Georgetown is 2-0, and they come into tonight's home games Penn State averaging 85 points per game on 48.8 percent shooting. The Nittany Lions have scored their fair share as well, averaging 87.5 points on 48 percent shooting. Both teams are hitting better than 37 percent from beyond the arc, and that should lead to a high scorer here tonight. The Hoyas have seen the total at 150 or higher in each of their last nine games, and the over is 20-6 in the Hoyas last 26 games following an ATS loss. Their last game was an 88-79 win over Central Arkansas as a 22-point favorite.

Take Over.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is an 8* play on [email protected] to go Over the total.

The Ducks are coming off a 106-75 win over Boise State, and they shot 70% from the field in that victory. The Tigers are coming off a pair of wins, scoring 90+ points in both games. The Ducks have scored an average of 88.5 points per game in their last five overall, while the Tigers have scored an average of 94.5 points per game during that span. I expect both these teams to score their fair share in a neutral site game this early in the season.

Take Over.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 10* play on [email protected] to go Under the total.

The Sixers are coming off their first loss of the season, and they might have trouble scoring here in Utah tonight. The Jazz are undefeated at home this season, and they rank first overall in the NBA in opponent's scoring average. They have allowed just 95.6 points per game this season, and they have been even tougher at home. Opponents have averaged just 90.6 points in Utah. The under is 5-0 in Utah's last five home games, and the under is 5-0 the Jazz last five games coming off a loss. These two teams have gone under in five straight meetings in Salt Lake City.

Take Under.

GL,

Jesse Schule

    

This is a 5* play on the Under.

I had the Raptors in the first half of Game 3, and here is what I said prior to the game: "The Raptors got off to a good start in Game 1, leading 59-51 at halftime. They fell apart in the fourth quarter, losing by a final score of 108-100. They return home down 0-2, and they face a must win game as they try to get back into this series. The Bucks come into Game 3 in complete control, and it's tough to see them matching Toronto's intensity here in the first half of this game. The game plan for Milwaukee is likely to weather the storm early, try to keep the game close and steal one late (similar to Game 1)." Toronto has flipped the script by winning three straight and pushing the Bucks to the brink. They have figured out a way to slow down Giannis, forcing him to make shots. There are no pretenders in the post-season, and it's beginning to look like the Bucks weren't all they were cracked up to be. The Raptors shot just 36.9 percent from the field in Game 5, and in an elimination game in the conference finals, we should expect no easy buckets.

Take Under.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 10* play on [email protected] to go Under.

Winning a Game 7 on the road isn't easy, and for Portland they will be playing at altitude in Denver where the Nuggets owned the best home record in the NBA this season. Denver has won just two of their three home games in this series, suffering a let down in Game 2. They won by a whopping 26 points (124-98) in the last game at the Pepsi Center. The Trail Blazers are 2-5-1 ATS in the last eight meetings in Denver, and they are 5-11 ATS in their last 16 Conference Semifinals games. The Nuggets were up by 14 points at halftime in Game 7 versus the Spurs, and they held San Antonio to just 34 first half points. Both teams will likely be fighting extra hard on defense tonight.

Take Under.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 10* play on [email protected] to go Under the total.

I had the under in Game 3, and after a low scoring first half it was bitter disappointment as they piled on the points in the third quarter and then eventually went to overtime. I don't think the Warriors have any interest in allowing the Rockets to tie this series, and they should step up the defensive intensity in the first half of Game 4. Here is what I said prior to Game 3: "Game 1 of this series was a close, low scoring battle with the Warriors winning 104-100. Game 2 was shaping up to be a similar score through three quarters, before an offensive explosion of 67 points in the fourth quarter. The Rockets are now on the ropes, and Game 3 might as well be an elimination game. James Harden is banged up, taking a shot to the face in Game 2 that has left him with vision problems. Steph Curry dislocated a finger in the last game, and we can expect more bumps and bruises as this series goes on. These two teams have failed to reach the total in nine of the last 11 meetings, and the under is 20-7 in the last 27 meetings in Houston. The Rockets have failed to reach the total in seven straight when coming off an ATS loss."

Take Under.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is an 8* play on [email protected] to go Under the total.

I took the under in Game 3 of this series, and that was a bit of a lucky win for me after a low scoring second half. Here is what I said prior to tip off: "The Sixers shot 39 percent from the field and scored 95 points in their Game 2 win, and that says a lot about just how bad Toronto was offensively. While you have to give Philly credit for their play on defense, you can bet the Raptors will be better here in Game 3. Toronto has failed to reach the total in five straight road games, and the under is 7-1 in Toronto's last eight overall." The stakes are even higher for the Raptors tonight, and they might be without their second best player (Siakam).

Take Under.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 10* play on [email protected] to go Under the total.

Game 1 of this series was a close, low scoring battle with the Warriors winning 104-100. Game 2 was shaping up to be a similar score through three quarters, before an offensive explosion of 67 points in the fourth quarter. The Rockets are now on the ropes, and Game 3 might as well be an elimination game. James Harden is banged up, taking a shot to the face in Game 2 that has left him with vision problems. Steph Curry dislocated a finger in the last game, and we can expect more bumps and bruises as this series goes on. These two teams have failed to reach the total in nine of the last 11 meetings, and the under is 20-7 in the last 27 meetings in Houston. The Rockets have failed to reach the total in seven straight when coming off an ATS loss.

Take Under.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is an 8* play on [email protected] to go Under the total.

I bet on the Celtics to win this series, so I am happy with Boston coming home with a split. While the Bucks ran away with Game 2, it was actually a close game early. Boston had a five point lead after the first quarter, and they trailed by just four points at halftime. Expect Boston to bounce back, they have covered the spread in six of their last seven home games versus Milwaukee. The last two times Milwaukee played in a playoff game in Boston, they failed to score 100 points in each of those games. Here is what I said before Game 1:

"So the Bucks were the better team in the regular season, and because of that they are a significant favorite in this second round series versus Boston. Granted they have home court advantage, so laying a few points would make plenty of sense. Giving Boston 8+ points though seems absolutely illogical to me. The last time these teams played each other, Boston won by a score of 117-113. The last time Boston played at Milwaukee they lost by a score of 98-97. Kyrie Irving is a proven playoff performer with a championship ring, and this Celtics team has proven itself in the post-season. Milwaukee is coming off a four game sweep of Detroit, a subpar team who's best player (Blake Griffin) was injured. I don't think that helps them prepare for the challenge they will face here versus the Celtics."

Take Under.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is an 8* play on [email protected] to go Under the total.

I took the Raptors to win this series, and I like them in Game 3 coming off a terrible home loss in Game 2. The Sixers shot 39 percent from the field and scored 95 points in their Game 2 win, and that says a lot about just how bad Toronto was offensively. While you have to give Philly credit for their play on defense, you can bet the Raptors will be better here in Game 3. Toronto has failed to reach the total in five straight road games, and the under is 7-1 in Toronto's last eight overall. Here is what I said prior to Game 1:

"The Raptors were 3-1 against the Sixers during the regular season, but perhaps the most significant thing about the regular season series was that Kawhi Leonard didn't play in the one game that Philly won. The Sixers were 31-10 at home this season, but they had a losing record on the road. I am not convinced that this team is all that different that the team that lost in five games to Boston in last year's East Seminfinal. They lost all three games at Boston, and they lost Game 1 by 16 points. While they have since added Jimmy Butler, the health of Joel Embiid is in question. The Raptors on the other hand look a lot better with Kahwi Leonard and Marc Gasol than they did a year ago."

Take Under.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 10* play on [email protected] to go Under the total.

The Nuggets won Game 1 in a high scoring affair, with both teams shooting over 50 percent from the field. I expect them to see plenty of push back from the Blazers in Game 2, and I expect those numbers to go down. In four home games against the Spurs, Denver allowed an average of 95 points per game. The under is 13-4 in Nuggets last 17 home games, and they are 6-0 ATS in their last six Conference Semifinals games. We've seen a lot of talk about the officiating in these playoffs, but the consensus from the league seems to be to let them play. I think the total for tonight's game appears to be a little inflated, and I'll fade the big number.

Take Under.

GL,

Jesse Schule

8*

This is a 10* play on [email protected] to go Under the total.

The Pacers lost Game 1 by a score of 84-74, and yet the public is still betting on tonight's Game 2 to go over 200 points. I don't think Indiana is going to change a thing, coming out with every intention of muddying things up, playing down and dirty defensive basketball. The Pacers were the league's top defensive team in the regular season, ranking 1st in opponent's scoring average. Neither team shot the ball well in Game 1, and good looks will continue to be hard to come by throughout this series in my opinion.

Take Under.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 10* play on [email protected] to go Over the total.

Both the Cavs and the Red Raiders are capable of completely shutting down their opponent, and each team has been involved in more than it's fair share of low scoring games. The bookmakers have taken this into account by posting a total well below what we normally see in an NCAA Tournmanet game. Both these teams come in averaging over 65 points per game in the tournament, and I expect both these teams to get their points tonight. The total for this game is lower than it was in any of either team's previous games at this tournament.

Take Over.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 10* play on [email protected] to go Under the total.

The Magic have won eight straight home games, and they are in a position to clinch the Southeast Division with just three games left in the season. They host Atlanta in their final home game, and Atlanta has won five of it's last seven. Orlando ranks 5th in the NBA in opponent's scoring average, and they have allowed an average of less than 100 points during their eight game home win streak. The under is 36-16 in the last 52 meetings between the two teams, and four of Orlando's last five home games against Atlanta have gone under the total. The opening number for tonight's game is higher than it was in any of the previous 10 head to head meetings.

Take Under.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is an 8* play on [email protected] to go Over the total.

The Auburn Tigers averaged over 80 points per game during the regular season, but here in the tournament those numbers are up. It's not as though they have had any easy games, playing New Mexico State, Kansas and North Carolina. They rely heavily on the three-point shot, and they are coming off a 97 point performance against the Tar Heels. They shot 17-of-37 (45%) from beyond the arc in the victory. Kentucky is perhaps better defensively than their previous three opponents, but the Tigers did score 80 points in a home loss to the Wildscats earlier this season. The total of 140 appears to be a little too low.

Take Over.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is an 8* play on [email protected] to go Over the total.

The Ducks are coming off a 72-54 win over Wisconsin in the first round, shooting 54.9 percent from the field and 7-of-15 (46.7%) from beyond the arc. They will look to keep it rolling against UC Irvine, and they have a history of beating up on the Anteaters. The Ducks have won all five meetings dating back to 2006, covering the spread in in four of those five games. The most recent meeting was a 78-63 Oregon win back in 2015. The Anteaters love the three ball, and they nailed nine of 23 attempts in their win over Kansas State. The over is 5-1 in Anteaters last SIX overall, and they have gone over in four of their last five versus teams from the PAC12. The Ducks have gone over in eight of their last 10 versus teams from the Big West.

Take Over.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is an 8* play on [email protected] to go Under the total.

The Raptors won't have their starting PG Kyle Lowry tonight at home in the second game of a home and home versus Oklahoma City. They beat the Thunder 123-114 in overtime on Wednesday, and it was a low scoring game in regulation. The Thunder really need to get back on track, they are in danger of slipping all the way to the 8th seed and playing Golden State in the first round. The under is 10-4 in the Thunder's last 14 overall, and they have failed to reach the total in five of their last seven road games. History favors OKC here as the road team has covered in seven of the last eight head to head meetings.

Take Under.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is an 8* play on [email protected] to go Under the total.

The Washington Huskies are coming off a 68-48 loss to Oregon in the PAC12 Final. They will play Utah State in the first round of the NCAA Tournament, and Utah State comes in as winners of 10 straight. The Aggies can play defense, and they proved that by beating San Diego State 64-57 in the Mountain West Final. The under is 5-1 in Huskies last six non-conference games, and they have failed to reach the total in five of their last six at neutral sites. The Aggies have failed to reach the total in six of their last seven games at the NCAA Tournament.

Take Under.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is an 8* play on [email protected] to go Under the total.

The Belmont Bruins can light it up on offense, and they are coming off an 81-70 win over Temple. They face a far more formidable opponent in Maryland, and they have struggled to score in recent games as an underdog. They scored just 65 points in their conference tournament loss to Murray State, and last year they scored 51 points in a loss to Murray State in the conference tourney. The Terrapins allowed opponents to average just 62.7 points per game at neutral sites during the season, and they have allowed an average of 67.6 points per game over their last five overall. The under is 5-0 in Bruins last 5 non-conference games, and the Terrapins have failed to reach the total in six of their last seven neutral site games.

Take Under.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is an 8* play on [email protected] to go Under the total.

The St. John's Red Storm come into their First Four matchup versus Arizona State as losers of four of their last five. They scored just 54 points in a loss to Marquette in the Big East Tournament. Arizona State won six of seven prior to an overtime loss to Oregon in the PAC12 Tournament. The Sun Devils have failed to reach the total in five of their last seven overall, and the under is 5-1 in their last six non conference games. St. John's has failed to reach the total in five straight versus teams with a winning record. I expect both these teams to step it up on defense in a do or die game.

Take Under.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is an 8* play on [email protected] to go Under the total.

The Charlotte Hornets are only 2.5 games out of first place in the Southeast, but they are going to have to play a lot better than they did in their last game if they want to make the playoffs. Charlotte scored just 75 points in a loss at Miami on Sunday. The good news for the the Hornets is that they do play a lot better at home. Philly is coming off a big win over the Bucks in Milwaukee, but that could set them up for a let down here in Charlotte. Prior to upsetting the Bucks on Sunday, the Sixers had lost back to back road games at Chicago and Houston. The Sixers have failed to reach the total in eight of their last 10 overall, and four of their last five on the road.

Take Under.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 10* play on [email protected] to go Over the total.

This will be the third meeting between Washington and Oregon this season, and the bookmakers are projecting another low score. The Ducks won at Washington by a score of 55-47 in the last meeting, falling well short of the total of 125.5. This has bookmakers dropping the number even lower to 121. I believe this is a case of recency bias influencing the line, and I'll fade that low number. The Ducks made 10 three-pointers in an overtime win over Arizona State on Friday, scoring 67 points in regulation. The Huskies won 66-61 versus Colorado, and a similar score tonight versus the Ducks wouldn't be much of a surprise.

Take Over.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is an 8* play on [email protected] to go Under the total.

History tells us we should expect scoring to be hard to come by when these two SEC rivals meet in Nashville in the conference tournament tonight. Not only have these two teams failed to reach the total in four straight head to head meetings, Mississippi State has failed to score 60 points in each of the last three meetings. The Bulldogs have failed to reach the total in eight of their last 10 overall, and the under is 6-1 in their last seven neutral site games. Tennessee is coming off a loss to Auburn in it's final game of the season, and the Vols have gone under in five straight games following a loss. Of the four games played at Bridgestone Arena yesterday, three of those games saw fewer than 140 combined points. It's not uncommon to see low scores at venues that don't normally host basketball games.

Take Under.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is an 8* play on [email protected] to go Under the total.

Both these teams are on the outside looking in when it comes to the playoffs, but either team could be right back in the mix if they could string a few wins together. Sacramento comes in as winners of two of their last three, although both those wins came against the New York Knicks. Washington has lost seven of their last 10 overall, and they don't really look like a team that is trying to make the playoffs. These teams have failed to reach the total in six of the last nine head to head meetings, and the total for tonight's game is higher than it was in all of those nine games. The under is 5-1 in the last six meetings in Washington, and the under is 9-2-1 in Kings last 12 road games.

Take Under.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is an 8* play on [email protected] to go Under the total.

The South Florida Bulls will play their final home game against a struggling SMU Mustangs team. History favors the Mustangs, who have been one of the top teams in the conference over the years. That hasn't been the case this year though, and I think the bookmakers have given SMU too much love here. The Mustangs come in as losers of nine of their last 10 overall, including a home loss to South Florida. They are 2-7 on the road, and they have lost five straight away games. They have averaged just 61.6 points in their last five games, and South Florida plays strong defense at home. The Mustangs have failed to cover in four of their last five at USF, and six of the last eight meetings between the two teams have gone under the total.

Take Under.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is an 8* play on [email protected] to go Under the total.

Well it's that time of year again! The NBA Playoffs are right around the corner, and a handful of teams will fight like cats and dogs to get in. This normally results in tighter, lower scoring games down the stretch for these teams that are on the bubble. One such team is the Detroit Pistons, who currently sit in sixth place in the East. The Pistons have won six of their last seven overall, and 10 of their last 12. They rank in the Top 10 in the NBA in scoring defense, and they have gone under in 10 of their last 14 when playing on one day's rest. They held Cleveland to just 93 points in their last road game.

Take Under.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is an 8* play on [email protected] to go Under the total.

Well it's that time of year again! The NBA Playoffs are right around the corner, and a handful of teams will fight like cats and dogs to get in. This normally results in tighter, lower scoring games down the stretch for these teams that are on the bubble. One such team is the Orlando Magic, who sit just one game back of Miami for first place in the Southeast. They might just have to win the division if they want to make the playoffs, making tonight's game against the Mavs a "must win". The Mavs come in as losers of eight of their last nine, and they rank 22nd in the NBA in scoring. The under is 14-4 in the Mavs last 18 versus Eastern Conference teams, while Orlando has failed to reach the total in five of their last six overall.

Take Under.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is an 8* play on [email protected] to go Under the total.

Well it's that time of year again! The NBA Playoffs are right around the corner, and a handful of teams will fight like cats and dogs to get in. This normally results in tighter, lower scoring games down the stretch for these teams that are on the bubble. One such team is the Charlotte Hornets, who sit just one game out of first place in the Southeast. They might have to win the division to make it into the playoffs, and that makes tonight's game against Washington a "must win". Charlotte is coming off a 91-84 home loss to Miami, and I expect tonight's game to be another battle against a division rival.

Take Under.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is an 8* play on [email protected] to go Under the total.

The Huskies come into their final home game off a solid win over South Florida. That snapped a six game losing skid, but Connecticut had been quite competitive during that losing streak. They lost by two at Wichita State, lost by four at home versus Cincinnati, and both of those games were low scoring defensive battles. We should expect another low scoring battle here tonight, especially given that UCONN has gone under in nine of it's last 10 overall. They have failed to reach the total in 10 of their last 11 home games, and four of Temple's last five at UCONN have gone under the total.

Take Under.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is an 8* play on [email protected] to go Under the total.

The Vols might need to win out if they want to win the SEC. They are currently tied with LSU, and just a game ahead of the Kentucky Wildcats. They host the Mississippi State Bulldogs tonight, looking to extend their perfect 17-0 home record. Tennessee has allowed just over 61 points per game at home, and they held Kentucky to just 52 points on Saturday. The Vols are 8-2 straight up in their last 10 versus Mississippi State, and four of the last five head to head meetings have gone under the total.

Take Under.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 10* play on [email protected] to go Under the total.

The Yellow Jackets have lost nine of their last 10 overall, and they have scored just 60 points per game over their last five. They host Boston College, who has lost six of their last nine, averaging 68 points in their last five games. It seems like asking a lot for either of these teams to score 70 points today. Boston College has failed to reach the total in five of it's last seven overall, while Georgia Tech has gone under in seven of it's last 10 when coming off a loss. The Yellow Jackets have a long history of playing low scoring games at home, the under is 50-23-1 in Yellow Jackets last 74 home games.

Take Under.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 10* play on [email protected] to go Under the total.

The Indiana Pacers are coming off back to back losses, but they look good to get back on track against the Minnesota Timberwolves at home tonight. Minnesota is a terrible road team, with a record of 9-22 away from the Twin Cities. The Pacers are the best defensive team in the NBA, ranking first in the league allowing 103.5 points per game. They lost 101-91 at Minnesota earlier this season, but the total for tonight's game is far higher than it was in nine of the last 10 meetings. The under is 39-18 in Pacers last 57 home games, and 9-4 in their last 13 overall.

Take Under.

GL,

Jesse Schule

8*

8*

This is an 8* play on [email protected] to go Under the total.

The Nuggets are three games up on Oklahoma City, sitting first place in the Northwest Division. They have been one of the toughest defensive teams in the Western Conference this season, and they have given the Thunder plenty of trouble in recent head to head meetings. Denver won all four meetings versus Oklahoma City in 2018, and the Thunder failed to score 100 points in the last two head to head meetings. The under is 6-2 in the last eight meetings, but tonight's total is way higher than it was in any of those previous eight games. The Thunder have failed to reach the total in eight of their last 10 when playing a team with a winning record.

Take Under.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is an 8* play on [email protected] to go Under the total.

The San Jose State Spartans are the bottom of the barrel in the Mountain West, coming into tonight's home game versus New Mexico with an 0-14 conference record. They are just 3-10 at home this season, scoring and average of just 63.8 points in those games. These teams have a history of playing low scoring games, especially in San Jose. The under is 8-1 in the last 9 meetings, and the under is 7-1 in the Lobos last eight versus teams with a losing straight up record.

Take Under.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is an 8* play on [email protected] to go Under the total.

The Raptors are 2.5 games out of first place in the Eastern Conference, and they will play a huge game at home versus Boston tonight. This is also a big game for the Celtics, who are coming off back to back losses, and are still looking to establish themselves as a contender in the East. Both these two teams rank in the Top 10 in the NBA in opponent's scoring average, so it's a little surprising that tonight's total is higher than it was in any of the previous 10 meetings. The Celtics have failed to reach the total in seven of their last eight road games, and each of their last five visits to Toronto yeilded less than 225 combined points.

Take Under.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is an 8* play on [email protected] to go Under the total.

Iowa scored just 63 points in regulation in a 76-70 home win over Indiana in their last game. They might not need to score all that many points tonight, playing an Ohio State Buckeyes squad that has averaged just 56 points over their last five games. The Buckeyes can play some defense though, holding opponents to just 59.6 points per game in their last five overall. The under is 6-2-1 in Buckeyes last 9 games following a straight up loss, and the under is 6-1 in the last seven meetings in Ohio St.

Take Under. 

GL,

Jesse Schule

8*

This is an 8* play on [email protected] to go Under the total.

Both the Huskies and the Mustangs have underacheived this season, and neither team is lighting it up on offense. Injuries have plagued both teams, leaving them lacking depth in scoring. Connecticut is averaging just 68 points per game in their last five overall, and during that span they failed to reach the total in four of five. Even the one game that went over still saw fewer than 145 points. The Mustangs can still play pretty good defense at home, holding opponents to just 65 points per game. Tonight's total is far higher than it was in any of the last 10 head to head meetings, and I am going to fade the inflated number.

Take Under.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is an 8* play on the Villanova Wildcats.

After blowing out St. John's in the first half (37-26), Villanova let the game slip away in the second half, losing 71-65 at MSG on Sunday. They will play at Georgetown tonight, and this looks like a good spot to bounce back with a convincing victory. The Wildcats have won nine straight meetings in this series dating back to 2015. They are 4-0 ATS in the last four meetings, including a pair of double digit wins at Georgetown. The are 35-16 ATS in their last 51 road games, while the Hoyas are 15-39-1 ATS in their last 55 home games. Georgetown is just 5-11-1 ATS in it's last 17 versus the BIG EAST.

Take VILL.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 10* play on under 166.5.

The Blue Devils have won nine straight since losing in overtime to Syracuse. They failed to reach the total in six of those nine games, and tonight's total is far higher than it was in any of those contests. Everyone expects fireworks every time Duke and North Carolina play each other, but these teams played three times last year and went under in all three games. Duke is allowing just 62.7 points per game at home, and 66.8 points per game in their last five overall. The under is 20-8-1 in the Blue Devils last 29 home games, and 15-5-2 in their last 22 games following a straight up win. The under is 5-1 in the Tar Heels last six road games, and 3-0-1 in their last four at Duke.

Take Under.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is an 8* play on [email protected] to go Under the total.

The Pirates beat Creighton by a score of 63-58 at home earlier this season, and I expect another low scoring game here at Creighton. Neither of these teams have been lighting it up offensively this season, each averaging well under 70 points per game over their last five games. Neither team is allowing 70 points per game over their last five either. The under is 6-0 in the Bluejays last six overall, and 5-2 in their last seven home games. The under is 4-0 in the  Pirates last four road games, and 4-1 in their last five overall. The total for Sunday's game appears to be a little inflated.

Take Under.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is an 8* play on [email protected] to go Over the total.

The Ducks have won four of five heading into tonight's game at Oregon State, and they scored an average of 69.8 points in those games. They lost 77-72 at home to the Beavers earlier this season, going well over the total. The Beavers have gone over in six of their last seven overall, and the they have not played well defensively during that span. Over their last five games, they have allowed an average of 75.8 points. The Beavers average 78.1 points per game at home, while they allow opponents to average over 70 points. The total for tonight's game appears to be a little low.

Take Over.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 10* play on [email protected] to go Over the total.

Washington State is just 3-8 in the PAC12, ahead of only California. The Cougars do score a lot of points at home though, averaging 84.4 points while winning eight of 11 games. They lost 85-67 at Washington earlier this season, but tonight's game could be a lot closer than that. The over is 13-4 in Cougars last 17 home games, and the total for tonight's game is far lower than it was in their previous four home games versus the Huskies. Washington State's last home game was a 93-84 loss to USC. The Huskies gave up 75 points in a loss at Arizona State in their last road game, and I expect the Cougars to get their points at home tonight.

Take Over.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is an 8* play on [email protected] to go Over the total.

Injuries have plagued Kansas this season, but West Virginia has even bigger problems. Most recently the Mountaineers dismissed senior forward Esa Ahmad and junior guard Wesley Harris for unspecified violations. Harris is considered to be the team's best defender. The Jayhawks have won six straight home games against West Virginia since 2015, and they scored an average of 79 points in those games. Six of the last eight head to head meetings have gone over the total, and the over is 34-16-2 in the Jayhawks last 52 home games. I don't think we'll see a lot of defense here in today's game.

Take Over.

GL,

Jesse Schule