This is an 8* play on the Under.

Mike Leach made plenty of noise in his first game in the SEC, beating the LSU Tigers in Baton Rouge by a score of 44-34. KJ Costello threw for 623 yards and five TDs on 36-of-60 passing in the win. They came crashing back down to earth last week in a home loss to Arkansas, and Costello threw for 313 yards and was picked off three times with just one TD pass. It won't get any easier on the road in a rain storm in Lexington this week. The Wildcats are 0-2, and desperate to turn things around. The under is 14-4 in the Wildcats last 18 conference games, and these teams have failed to reach the total in four of the last five head to head meetings. I expect the Wildcats to establish the run and try to keep the ball out of the hands of this Air Raid offense.

Take Under.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is an 8* play on Over.

The Gators are off to an impressive start, with a pair of double digit wins and scoring a combined 89 points. As well as they have played on offense, their defense has allowed 35 to Ole Miss and 24 to South Carolina. Kyle Trask is an early Heisman Favorite with 10 TDs and just on INT so far. The Aggies opened the season with a lackluster win over Vanderbilt, and then Alabama dropped 52 on them last week. The over is 12-3-1 in the Gators last 16 road games, and the over is 8-1 in their last nine games as a road favorite. The Aggies have gone over in four straight as a home underdog, and I expect another high score here this week.

Take Over.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is an 8* play on Under.

North Carolina hasn't played since opening the season with a 31-6 win over Syracuse three weeks ago. That game was even closer than the final score would indicate. The Tar Heels scored just 10 points in the first three quarters of that game. They will be a double digit road favorite at Boston College, an the Eagles are off to an impressive start. Boston College won 26-6 on the road at Duke in Week 1, and followed up with a 24-21 win over Texas State. Boston college has failed to reach the total in five straight overall, and they have gone over in four straight as an underdog. The Tar heels have gone under in four of their last five as a favorite.

Take Under.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 5* play on Under.

Georgia Tech is in their second year since abandoning the Triple-Option offense, and as expected there have been some growing pains. Freshman QB Jeff Sims has thrown twice as many picks (4) as TDs (2) through the first two weeks. The Yellow Jackets come into Syracuse as a rather dubious looking favorite, and the Orange haven't been too bad defensively. In Week 1 they held North Carolina to just 10 points heading into the fourth quarter, before being outscored 21-0 in the final frame. Last week they lost 20-7 at Pittsburgh. The under is 8-3-1 in the Orange's last 12 games as a home underdog.

Take Under.

GL,

Jesse Schule

5*

This is a 10* play on Under.

After being held scoreless in the first 20+ minutes in the Fiesta Bowl, the Tigers scored a pair of TDs in the final three minutes of the first half. They held the Buckeyes to just seven points in the second half, and ended up winning 29-23. They will no doubt have to play better here against LSU, but I really don't see anybody stopping Joe Burrows. LSU scored 49 first half points against the Sooners in the Peach Bowl, and they held Oklahoma to just 28 points. LSU is 5-1 ATS in their last six non-conference games, and they have covered the spread in four of their last five bowl games. The under is 13-6 in Clemson's last 19 bowl games.  The total for this game is higher than in any of Clemson's last 10 games. I like LSU to win, holding Clemson under 30 points.

Take Under.

GL,

Jesse Schule

8*

This is a 7* play on the Arizona State Sun Devils.

Arizona State comes into the Sun Bowl with a 7-5 record, but when you really look at where they got their wins, it's more impressive than one might think. This is a team that was 3-1 against Top 25 teams. The Seminoles on the other hand don't have a lot to hang their hat on, they finished with a 6-6 record, and none of those six wins were at all impressive. FSU will not have new head coach Mike Norvell for this bowl game, instead interim head coach Odell Haggins will be filling in. Leading rusher Cam Akers is sitting out, and his backup will miss the game due to injury. That leaves FSU without any running backs with any experience. James Blackman will have to carry the team if FSU is going to compete here, and he's shown little signs that he's up to the task.

Take ASU.

GL,

Jesse Schule

The Sooners scored plenty of points in the BIG12 this season, but they will be a big underdog against the #1 ranked SEC champions LSU. The Tigers allowed a combined 17 points in wins over Georgia and Texas A&M at the end of the season. The Tigers are a double digit favorite, so this game isn't necessarily expected to be close. It's going to be hard to reach such a high total if LSU wins in commanding fashion (as expected). The under is 18-3-1 in the Sooners last 22 games in December, and they have failed to reach the total in eight of their last 10 versus SEC teams.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 10* play on BYU@HAWAII to go Over the total.

The Rainbow Warriors host rivals BYU in the Hawaii Bowl on Christmas Eve, and history suggests that we should see plenty of scoring in this game. Hawaii comes in with a 9-5 overall record, winning four of their final five games and ranking 6th nationally in passing. The Cougars won five of their last six games, and they scored 30+ points in four of those five wins. The last time these teams met, the Cougars won by a score of 49-23 last October. The over is 11-4 in the Rainbow Warriors last 15 games as an underdog, and they have gone over in 14 of their last 20 in the month of December.

Take Over.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 5* play on ARMY@NAVY to go Under the total.

Few things are sure in life. There is death, taxes and a low scoring Army vs Navy game. At least that's been the case for the last decade, with each of the last 10 head to head meetings going under. Last year Army led 7-0 at halftime, and went on to win 17-10. Both the midshipmen and the Black Knights are coming off high scoring games. Navy won 56-41 at Houston, while Army lost 52-31 at Hawaii. The weather will be a problem for both these offenses today though, with plenty of wind and rain in the forecast in Philly. The under is 14-2 in the last 16 meetings.

Take Under.

GL,

Jesse Schule

8*

This is a 2-team teaser with Cowboys + Under.

Historically when you think of bedlam you think about all the high scores these teams have posted over the years. They have score more than 80 combined points in three of the last four head to head meetings, but both of these teams are a lot better defensively than they have been in past seasons. The Cowboys are riding a four game win streak, with not one of those games seeing a combined 70 points. The Sooners have failed to cover in four straight road games, and they are 0-6-1 ATS in their last seven games in November. The under is 5-1 in Oklahoma's last six road games.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 10* play on LSU@BAMA under 65.

The Alabama Crimson Tide haven't been tested yet, but they also haven't played anybody currently ranked in the Top 25. LSU on the other hand comes in battle tested, with a pair of wins over Top 10 teams (Florida and Auburn). The Tigers will be looking to avenge a 29-0 loss to Alabama last year, and they do have history on their side. The Tigers are 7-3-1 ATS in their last 11 meetings in Alabama, and the Crimson Tide are 0-5 ATS in their last five home games versus a team with a winning road record. The under is 5-0 in the last five meetings.

Take Under.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is an 8* play on PSU@MSU to go Under the total.

The Spartans are coming off a bye week, after getting throttled in a 38-0 loss to Wisconsin. They should be ready to go to war in this home game against Penn State, and both teams have been very comfortable playing low scoring smashmouth football games. The Nittany Lions have won a pair of games already that they failed to score 20 points in, 17-12 at Iowa and 17-10 at home versus Pittsburgh. The Spartans offense rarely scores 20, but their defense at home in games like this has risen to the challenge. I think if either of these teams scores 20 points in this game it will be enough to win. 

Take Under.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is an 8* play on OSU@NW to go Under the total.

The Wildcats are 1-4, but they might be a lot better off if they could score any points. Their defense has kept them in a lot of games, but their offense simply hasn't been able to get any points on the board. They are a huge underdog at home versus Ohio State on Friday, but they are coming off their bye week and they have covered the spread in back to back games. They held Wisconsin and Nebraska to a combined 37 points, and both games fell well short of the total. The under is 42-14-1 in Wildcats last 57 home games, and they have failed to reach the total in seven of their last nine conference games.

Take Under.

GL,

Jesse Schule

10*

This is an 8* play on UVA@MIA to go Over the total.

The Hurricanes were lit up for 21 points in first quarter at home versus Virginia Tech last week. Quarterback Jarren Williams was just 4-of-7 for 47 yards and three INTs before getting pulled. His backup N'Kosi Perry stepped right in and threw for 422 yards and four TDS on 28-of-47 passing, tying the game with three minutes left to play. The Canes defense couldn't hold and the Hokies ran in the game winning TD with a minute left on the clock. The Cavs bring a 4-1 record into tonight's game, and their quarterback has played well, even in their loss to Notre Dame. Bryce Perkins threw for 334 yards and two scores on 30-of-43 passing in a 35-20 loss at South Bend. I expect to see plenty of scoring here in this pivotal ACC game Friday night.

Take Over.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is an 8* play on WASH@STAN to go Under the total.

Stanford has been brutal this season, and they are a double digit home dog this week against Washington. Historically these teams have played close low scoring gamses, and the total has been under 50 in each of the last five meetings. The Huskies are 1-4 ATS in their last five at Stanford, and the Cardinal have failed to reach the total in seven of their last 10 home games. Stanford's last home game was a 26-6 loss to Oregon, and I can't see the Huskies doing much better here than the Ducks.

Take Under.

GL.

Jesse Schule

This is an 8* play on MSU@OSU to go Over the total.

The Spartans have lost by 20+ points to Ohio State in each of the last two seasons, but historically they have not been an easy opponent for the Buckeyes. Michigan State has won outright in 2015, 2013 and in 2011. The last time they were getting 20+ points in this matchup was in 2016, and they lost that game by a score of 17-16. The underdog is 6-2 ATS in the last eight meetings, and the road team is 8-3 ATS in their last 11 meetings. This year's Spartans team should be a lot better than the team that lost 26-6 to Ohio State last year. That game was also a lot closer than the final score would suggest, and the Spartans trailed by just three points at the beginning of the fourth quarter. Brian Lewerke finished the 2018 season with eight TD passes and 11 INTs in 11 starts. So far after four games this season he has 10 TD passes and just one INT. The over is 8-2 in the Buckeyes last 10 home games versus a team with a winning road record. The total for this game is lower than it was in any of the previous six head to head meetings.

Take Over.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is an 8* play on UVA@ND to go Under the total.

The Irish played admirably in a 23-17 loss at Georgia last week, and they don't have any time to feel sorry for themselves. They host a 4-0 Virginia Team this Saturday, and the Cavs appear to be for real. Two of their four wins come within conference, beating Pittsburgh and Florida State. They held Pitt to just 14 points, and they have allowed an average of just 18 points per game. The trends suggest a low scoring game here, as the Irish have gone under in five of their last seven when coming off a loss. The under is 5-1 in their last six non-conference games, and they have gone under in four of their last five versus ACC teams.

Take Under.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is an 8* play on ND@UGA to go Under the total.

These teams last met in 2017, and Georgia won by a score of 20-19 in a nationally televised game at South Bend. I remember the game well, as I had a premium play on the under, and a free play on Georgia +5.5. The free play was met with some healthy (if no obnoxious) criticism on FB and Twitter. In the end The Iceman had the last laugh. The Irish were embarrassed in a 30-3 loss to Clemson in the College Football Playoffs last year, and they will be a double digit dog here in this game. The Bulldogs have failed to cover in 10 of their last 13 games in the month of December, and the under is 22-9-2 in the Bulldogs last 33 home games. I exect Georgia to be in full control in the second half, and focused on running out the clock.

Take Under.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is an 8* play on Northwestern.

The Wildcats lost 17-7 at Stanford in Week 1, but they went to The Farm and held the Cardinals to 132 yards and no TDs on 39 carries. Now they come off a bye week to play the UNLV Rebels at home. This is a Rebels team that relies heavily on the run, and I think UNLV is running right into a brick wall here. Northwestern is expected to win this game by three scores, even though they don't have a very explosive offense. We don't see a lot of high scoring games at Evanston, as evidences by the fact that the under is 41-13-1 in the Wildcats last 55 home games.

Take Under.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is an 8* play on STAN@UCF to go Under the total.

The Stanford Cardinal held Northwestern to just seven points in Week 1, but they were blown out in Week 2 at USC. They should have their starting QB back this week at Central Florida, but he should face a ton of pressure from a Knights defense that has recorded seven sacks in two games. UCF allowed just 14 points in a win at FAU last week, after pitching a shutout in their season opener. The under is 4-1 in the Cardinal's last five non-conference games, and the total for this game appears to be a little inflated.

Take Under.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is an 8* play on SYR@MD to go Under the total.

The Orange looked great on defense in a 24-0 win over Liberty in Week 1, but the offense wasn't very impressive. Tommy Devito threw for 176 yards and two INTs on 17-of-25 passing. Now he heads out on the road to face a BIG10 team in non conference play, and it isn't likely to be an easy game for the Orange. Their defense should keep them in it though, and I like the under with the total on the high side of 50. The under is 8-3 in Syracuse's last 11 road games, and the Terps have gone under in five straight versus ACC teams.

Take Under.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is an 8* play on CIN@OSU to go Over the total.

The Bearcats beat UCLA 24-14 in Week 1, but I think that game might say more about UCLA than it does about Cinci. A week later they are in Columbus, and they face a far better Ohio State team. I expect the Buckeyes to get their points here this afternoon, and I think the total looks a little too low. It opened at 55 and has since been bet down to 52, and I think that presents value in taking the over.

Take Over.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is an 8* play on UGA@VAN to go Under the total. 

Georgia won 41-13 in last year's meeting, and these teams have gone under in three of the last four annual meetings. The total for this year's game is even higher than it was a year ago, in fact it's higher than it has been in any of the last five meetings. You know the Commodores are going to look to slow this game down, and pound away with their running game. The Bulldogs don't mind muddying things up, and this should be another down and dirty SEC game. The under is 4-1 in the Commodores last five conference games. Vanderbilt has gone under in nine of their last 13 overall.

Take Under.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 10* play on MIZZ@WYO to go Under the total.

These teams met for the first time last season, and Missouri won by a score of 40-13 at home. The Tigers offense should have a different look this season, with Kelly Bryant stepping in to replace Drew Lock. Bryant isn't going to light up defenses the way Lock did, and we should see the Tigers lean more on their running game. The Cowboys are solid on defense, but they lack talent on the other side of the ball. The under is 11-5 in the Cowboys last 16 home games, and the under is 8-3-1 in Cowboys last 12 non-conference games. Wyoming has gone under in four straight versus the SEC.

Take Under.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 10* play on CLEM@BAMA to go Under the total.

There's no doubt that Clemson's 30-3 win over Notre Dame was impressive, and this defense should be able to hold it's own against Alabama. This isn't the same team that scored just 24 points against the Tigers in last year's playoffs. This time around both these teams have improved at the quarterback position. For that reason the total for this game is set 10 points higher than it was in the previous playoff matchups over the last three seasons. I don't think it's realistic though to ask Trevor Lawrence to do what Deshaun Watson did in 2016, when the Tigers won in a massive upset. They say "defense wins championships", and they aren't kidding. Clemson has held opponents to just 13.7 points per game, just slightly less than the 14.8 points per game that Alabama has allowed. I expect this year's National Championship Game to be closer to last year's game than the high scoring games in 2016 and 2017. Weather could also be a factor, as the last game played at Levi's Stadium was a 7-6 score with Oregon and Michigan State struggling to throw the ball on a windy day.

Take Under.

GL,

Jesse Schule

Jesse Schule

This is a 10* play on WVU@SYR to go Over the total.

The West Virginia Mountaineers were hoping to compete for a playoff spot this season, and Will Grier was one of the favorites to win the Heisman. Finishing the season with back to back heartbreaking losses leaves a cloud hanging around Morgantown heading into Bowl Season. When first asked about the Camping World Bowl, Will Grier said: “I have no thoughts or decisions,” Grier said. “I was planning on playing [in the Big 12 championship]. Just kind of taking it all in, my last game in Morgantown. Wish we would have came out on top, but we left it all out there for the fans.” The Orange are coming into this game with a chance to reach 10 wins, which would be considered a huge success for Dino Babers and company. The last time I bet on the Orange, they lost their starting quarterback early in the first quarter and ended up getting blown out by Notre Dame. Here is what I said prior to that game: "This a team that has already proved it can hang with the big boys, last year they handed Clemson it's only regular season loss. Senior quarterback Eric Dungey has been lighting it up with his arm and his legs. He's got a dozen rushing TDs and 690 rushing yards so far this season. The Orange have covered the spread in five straight non conference games, and they are 9-3 ATS in their last 12 against teams with a winning record. While the Mountaineers will miss Grier, this high flying offense still has plenty of weapons. The Orange will be shorthanded on defense with three starters missing the game for personal reasons. I expect to see plenty of scoring here in Orlando.

Take Over.

GL,

Jesse Schule

10*

Jesse Schule

8*

This is an 8* play on KENT@BUFF to go Over the total.

This line has been bet down quite a bit since it opened, and despite possible weather concerns, I just don't think the Golden Flashes will be able to slow down this potent Bulls offense. The Bulls come in averaging 35 points per game, but they dropped 51 on Miami-Oh in their last home game. Buffalo has gone over in six straight against teams with a losing record, and that's a trend that I expect to continue tonight.

Take Over.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 10* GOY play on BAMA@LSU to go Over the total.  In previous meetings between Alabama and LSU, my go to move has been to take the under. That has been the right call in eight of the last nine head to head meetings, including last year's 24-10 win for Alabama in Tuscaloosa. Things have changed though, as this isn't the Alabama offense with Jalen Hurts, Jake Coker or A.J. McCarron. Since the arrival of Tua Tagovailoa, the Tide have been an offensive juggernaut. LSU has also improved on offense, coming in averaging over 30 points per game. Alabama leads the country averaging over 54 points per game, but they have only played one ranked team. That was a 45-23 win over Texas A&M. I expect them to drop at least 40 on the Tigers, and LSU is likely to get a few licks in as well. My prediction is a 42-24 win for the visitors.  Take OVER.  GL,  

Jesse Schule

This is an 8* play on UTAH@ARZST to go Under the total.

The Utes ran all over the UCLA Bruins in a 41-10 home win last week, but they face a much toughest test here at Arizona State. Herm Edwards already has a handful of impressive results against top tier teams this year. Arizona State upset Michigan State at home, won on the road at UCLA and covered in a 27-20 loss to the Huskies in Washington. Arizona State has won three of four home games, and have allowed opponents to average just 16 points per game at home this season. These teams have a history of playing low scoring games, and only one of the last nine head to head meetings have seen more than 55 combined points. Utah has failed to reach the total in five of it's last six when coming off a win, while the under is 4-1 in the Sun Devils last five games in November.

Take Under.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is an 8* play on TEMPLE@UCF to go Under the total.

The Central Florida Knights own the longest winning streak in the country (20 games). They have proclaimed themselves to be national champions, but they narrowly avoided defeat in a 31-30 win at Memphis a few weeks ago. While they won that battle, they might lose the war if McKenzie Milton misses any more time. The star QB was injured in that game, and didn't play in a 37-10 win at ECU last week. Even if he does return to action tonight, he likely isn't going to push it by running the ball as he normally does. Temple is a strong opponent with a solid defense, and the total for tonight's game appears to be a little inflated. The last time Temple played at UCF, they lost 26-25. Three of the last four meetings between these teams saw less than 52 combined points.

Take Under.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is an 10* play on ARI@UCLA to go Under.

Arizona comes into tonight's game with a 2-2 conference record, but they will be a double digit underdog without their starting quarterback. Khalil Tate left early in last week's loss to Utah with an ankle injury, and was replaced by the son of former Arizona coach Rich Rodriguez. The sophomore wasn't too bad, throwing for 226 yards and a TD on 20-of-38 passing. He likely won't have to be great to keep the Wildcats in the game against UCLA, as the Bruins are ranked 119th nationally averaging just over 20 points per game. Freshman quarterback Dorian Thompson-Robinson has failed to throw for 200 yards in four of his six starts, and last week against Cal he threw for just 141 yards on 13-of-15 passing. The Bruins ran the ball 55 times in that game, and given that they snapped a five game losing skid, you might expect them to lean on the run here at home against Arizona. The public seems pretty keen to back the Bruins here with the news that Tate won't play, but I am focused on the total. Arizona has failed to reach the total in four straight, and six straight within conference. We could see both teams pound away with the run given that neither team has a lot of talent at quarterback at the moment.

Take Under.

GL,

Jesse Schule

Jesse Schule

Jesse Schule

Jesse Schule

This is an 8* play on UK@TAM to go Under the total.

The Texas A&M Aggies are 3-2, but their two losses came against #2 ranked Clemson and #1 ranked Alabama. They host the 5-0 Kentucky Wildcats tonight, and both these teams have been very impressive defensively. The Wildcats are coming off a 24-10 win over South Carolina, and they have allowed a combined 33 points in wins over SEC opponents (Gamecocks, Gators, Bulldogs). Kentucky has failed to reach the total in five of their last seven road games, and the Aggies have gone under in five straight in October. Texas A&M is coming off a pedestrian performance in a 24-17 win over Arkansas. The Aggies offense could struggle here against a very good Wildcats defense.

Take Under.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 5* play on TULSA@HOU to go Under the total.

The Houston Cougars rank 2nd nationally averaging over 50 points per game, and their high flying offense has them heavily favored against division rivals Tulsa tonight. The total for tonight's game is significantly higher than it was in any of the previous six head to head meetings, and they have failed to reach the total in five of the last seven meetings. Not one of those seven contests yielded as much as 70 combined points. Tulsa will rely on it's running game, looking to control the clock and keep the Cougars offense off the field. The Hurricane don't have the offensive weapons to engage in a shootout, their quarterback Luke Skipper has thrown more INTs (6) than TD passes (4). Tulsa has gone under in five straight road games.

Take Under.

GL,

Jesse Schule

10*

Jesse Schule

Jesse Schule

Jesse Schule

Jesse Schule

This is an 8* play on WAS@AUB to go Under the total.

Jesse Schule

Jesse Schule

This is a 10* play on ISU@MEM to go OVER the total.

The Memphis Tigers ranked 2nd in the country in scoring during the regular season, averaging over 47 points per game. Skeptics might say they played a soft schedule, but I would point out that they scored over 100 combined points in their two games against Top 25 teams. They beat UCLA by a score of 48-45, and lost to UCF in overtime by a score of 62-55. Riley Ferguson threw for a combined 868 yards with 10 TDs and just one INT in those games. They will play Iowa State in the Liberty Bowl, and the Cyclones were surprisingly competitive in the BIG12 this season. Their fortunes took a turn for the better when they made a change at quarterback in Week 5 against Oklahoma. Senior Kyle Kempt led them to a 38-31 upset win over Oklahoma, and he finished the season with 1,473 yards, 13 TDs and just 3 INTs while playing in just six full games. While Memphis was impressive on offense, the Tigers ranked 103rd nationally in scoring defense, and they face a Power 5 team that can score with the best of them. We should expect a lot of big plays, a lot of broken tackles, and the points should pile up quick in the Liberty Bowl.

Take OVER.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 9* play on UTAH@WVU to go UNDER the total.

Utah has one of the best offensive lines in the PAC12, and they are a team that really likes to lean on the run. They run the ball roughly 40 times per game, and Dana Holgorsen knows what to expect. "Their O-line is huge," Holgorsen said. "Evidently, they are focused on recruiting the bigger guys up front." The Mountaineers will start backup quarterback Chris Chugunov, who completed just over 50 percent of his passes in back to back losses since the injury to Will Grier. West Virginia ran the ball 50 times and attempted just 20 passes in their season finale versus Oklahoma. With both these teams looking to establish the run, we could seem them burn up a lot of clock in a low scoring game. In addition to the loss of their starting quarterback, the Mountaineers will also be without their leading rusher. Justin Crawford has decided to sit out the bowl game in preparation for the NFL Draft. The Mountaineers have failed to cover in four straight bowl games.

Take UNDER.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is an 8* play on TTU@USF to go Over the total.

The South Florida Bulls will be the favorite against Texas Tech in the Birmingham Bowl. South Florida won their first seven games of the season, but then suffered losses to Houston and Central Florida finishing at 9-2 overall. In their season finale at Central Florida, they lost in a thriller by a score of 49-42. We could see another high scoring game here against Texas Tech, the Red Raiders can really put points on the board. Texas Tech lost by a score of 56-27 to LSU in the Texas Bowl in 2015. The over is 7-1 in the Red Raiders last eight bowl games. They have also gone over in 14 of their last 17 neutral site games, and the over is 19-9 in their last 28 non conference games. The Bulls have also been involved in more than their fair share of high scoring games, going over in seven of their last 10 non-conference games. Both these teams can put points on the board in a hurry, and neither team has shown any ability to play defense. Expect an entertaining game here in Alabama.

Take OVER.

GL,

Jesse Schule

Jesse Schule

This is a 10* play on BSU@ORE to go OVER the total.

The Oregon Ducks will face the Boise State Broncos in the Las Vegas Bowl this Saturday, and I expect to see plenty of scoring. The Ducks are in great shape with starting quarterback Justin Herbert, who was 6-1 in his seven starts this season. He threw for 1,750 yards with 13 TDs and 3 INTs in those games, completing 66.5% of his passes. All seven of those games saw more than 60 combined points. The Ducks should have little trouble lighting up the scoreboard against a Boise State team that gave up 45 points to Washington State, 52 points to Colorado State, and 42 points to Virginia. The Broncos are expected to be without their #1 running back Alex Mattison, which could result in a more pass heavy offensive approach. The Ducks lost their last bowl game in overtime by a score of 47-41 to TCU in the 2016 Alamo Bowl.  We should see a similar high scoring affair here in Sin City.

Take OVER.

GL,

Jesse Schule

Jesse Schule

This is a 10* play on ND@STAN to go UNDER the total.

The Stanford Cardinal might be scoreboard watching on Saturday night, as the final score between Washington State and Washington is far more important than the result of their game against the Irish. Both Notre Dame and Stanford are coming off low scoring games, with Stanford beating Cal 17-14, and Notre Dame beating Army by a score of 24-17. The Cardinal have struggled to score since Bryce Love injured his ankle, and the last thing they want to do is give him a heavy workload here against Notre Dame. With a probable meeting against USC in the PAC12 Championship game looming large, it's likely that Love is used sparingly here this week. These teams have a history of playing close, low scoring games, with the under cashing in six of the last seven meetings. Stanford has been playing far better defense in recent weeks, and the Cardinal have failed to reach the total in six of their last seven overall. They were impressive in a home win over Washington, holding the Huskies to just 135 rushing yards. Notre Dame has been involved in some high scoring games this season, but the Irish have failed to reach the total in seven of their last 10 when playing on grass.

Take UNDER.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is an 8* play on WVU@OKLA to go OVER the total.

The Sooners have scored an averaged of 46.4 points in their last five overall, and they should light up the scoreboard today at home against West Virginia. The Mountaineers haven't got much to play for here, and they will start a freshman at quarterback. Chris Chugunov didn't look too bad against Texas, throwing for 189 yards and a TD on 14-of-26 passing. Baker Mayfield will start this game on the bench, but he's not going to be watching for long. Oklahoma still needs to win this game to keep it's playoff hopes on track. The Mountaineers have struggled against elite quarterbacks this season, giving up 50 points in a home loss to Oklahoma State and Mason Rudolph, and Texas Tech quarterback Nick Shimonek threw for 323 yards and four TDs in a losing effort in Morgantown. The Red Raiders scored 28 points in the first half of that game, but West Virginia rallied to win 46-35. I expect a similar score here against the Sooners in Norman. Oklahoma has out-scored the Mountaineers 100-52 while winning the last two meetings between the two teams.

Take OVER.

GL,

Jesse Schule

Jesse Schule

Jesse Schule

Jesse Schule

This is an 8* play on MISS@MISST to go UNDER the total.

How good is Mississippi State? Well if you look at their 8-3 record, you see three losses. Those losses came against three teams in the Top 10, who are all currently in the hunt for a playoff spot. They rank 20th nationally in scoring defense, holding opponents to under 20 points per game. The Bulldogs are a big favorite here in the Egg Bowl versus rivals Mississippi, and they are expected to win by three scores. The Rebels have scored plenty of points this season, but not on the road against ranked teams. They scored a total of 26 points in losses at Alabama and Auburn, and they are just 4-13 ATS in their last 17 road games. These teams have a history of playing low scoring games, failing to reach the total in 11 of the last 15 meetings. Only one of the Bulldogs games this season saw more than a combined 60 points, and that was a blowout win over LA-Tech. Rebels quarterback Jordan Ta'amu threw for just 189 yards on 19-of-34 passing in a home loss to Texas A&M last week. I don't expect him to be any more successful here at Starkville.

Take UNDER.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is an 8* play on NCST@WAKE to go UNDER the total.

The Wolfpack suffered their first loss in conference play at the hands of defending champions Clemson two weeks ago, and responded with a dominant 14-7 win at Boston College last week. Their defense has been impressive, holding opponents to just over 15 points per game in seven games versus unranked teams. Wake Forest has been involved in some high scoring games lately, going over the total against Notre Dame, Louisville and Syracuse. When playing teams with more of a pro style, they have seen lower scores. In fact they didn't see a combined 60 points in any of their first seven games this season. They failed to score 20 points in losses to Georgia Tech and Florida State, and the Wolfpack's defense is statistically better than both those teams. These two teams have gone over in each of the last three head to head meetings, but not one of those games saw a combined 60 points. This inflated total is higher than it was in any of the past 10 meetings between the two teams. My money is on the under.

Take UNDER.

GL,

Jesse Schule

Jesse Schule

This is an 8* play on NEB@PSU to go UNDER the total.

The Nittany Lions got off to a slow start in last week's 35-6 home win over Rutgers, and I am expecting another low scoring game here this week against Nebraska. These two teams haven't met since Nebraska won at Penn State by a score of 23-20 in 2013. The Huskers have won all three meetings since 2011, and two of those three games went under the total. The one game that went over the number still saw less than 55 combined points. The total for this game is far higher than it was in any of those previous meetings. All of those games were played in November, so weather may have been a factor. The weather is likely to play a role in this game, as heavy winds and rain are in the forecast. In fact, if you look at Penn State's last 10 games, only two of those combined for as many points as the total for this week's game. One of those games was the loss at Ohio State. This number appears to be a bit inflated.

Take UNDER.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is an 8* play on KSU@OKST to go OVER the total.

The Oklahoma State Cowboys rank second nationally scoring over 45 points per game, but they have struggled on defense. They lost their last home game by a score of 62-52 to Oklahoma, and they have up 42 points in last week's come from behind win at Iowa State. The Wildcats aren't known as a particularly high scoring team, but they have shown that they can take advantage of weak defenses. Kansas State scored 30+ points in wins over Baylor, Kansas and Texas Tech. That likely won't be enough to hang with the Cowboys in Stillwater though. History tells us we should see plenty of scoring here, as these two teams have gone over in six straight meetings. Last year the Cowboys won by a score of 43-37. The Cowboys have gone over in nine of their last 10 games in November, and four of their last five overall. The over is 10-1 in the last 11 meetings between KSU and Oklahoma State, yet the total for this game is lower than it was in each of the Cowboy's last five home games.

Take OVER.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is an 8* play on ARZST@UCLA to go OVER the total.

With over 2700 passing yards, 20 TDs and 8 INTs, Josh Rosen is still one of the top quarterbacks in the country. The "Rosen" one was sidelined by a concussion against Utah last week, but he's expected back to face the Sun Devils at home. Arizona State's defense ranks 105th nationally against the pass, so Rosen and the UCLA offense could have a field day here at home. Unfortunately for the Bruins, their defense hasn't been able to stop anybody. UCLA ranks 121st nationally in total defense, allowing opponents to average almost 500 yards per game. The Bruins have gone over in seven of their last nine overall, and these two teams have gone over in five of the last seven head to head meetings. I expect another shootout here in LA, and the total looks a little to low given how poorly these two teams have played on defense.

Take OVER.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 10* play on ND@MIA to go UNDER the total.

The Miami Hurricanes are 8-0, but there are still plenty of experts questioning if this team is truly a contender. We will find out this Saturday when they host Notre Dame, in what will be the biggest game of the week. The winner will have a clear path to the College Football Playoffs, while the loser will effectively be eliminated from playoff contention. With two great teams playing for such high stakes, we should see a great battle between two of the country's best defenses. The Canes held Virginia Tech to just 10 points, and 299 total yards in a 28-10 win last week. The Irish have played ranked teams just twice this season, and both of those games went under the total. They lost 20-19 at home to Georgia, and beat NC State 35-14 at home. Their win at Michigan State came before the Spartans were ranked in the Top 25. While that game went over the total (38-18), the combined points still fall short of the listed number for this game. These two teams have failed to reach the total in two of the last three head to head meetings, and none of those games saw a combined total higher than 57 points. The Hurricanes have gone under in five of their last six home games, while the Irish have failed to reach the total in 25 of their last 37 versus ACC teams.

Take UNDER.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is an 8* play on ALA@MISST to go OVER the total.

The Bulldogs have won four straight, but last week's 34-23 home win over Massachusetts was far from impressive. We've already seen the top teams in the SEC (Georgia and Auburn) run all over the Bulldogs, and I think Alabama is going to pile on the points here in Starkville. Last year the Bulldogs were crushed in a 51-3 loss at Alabama, and Jalen Hurts threw for 347 yards and four TDs in that game. Here at home I expect the Bulldogs to score a little more, but I don't think they'll have any more success slowing down the Alabama offense. Last week's win over LSU proved to be costly for Alabama, losing several key defensive players to injury. With the defense a little banged up, they might feel as though they need to score more points. The over is 6-2 in Alabama's last eight road games against teams with a winning record. This total looks a little too low.

Take OVER.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 9* play on UNC@PITT to go UNDER the total.

The Pittsburgh Panthers have been dominant on defense in back to back wins over Virginia and Duke. They have failed to reach the total in six straight overall, and the under is 3-1 in North Carolina's last four at Pittsburgh. The Tar Heels are 1-8 overall, and 0-6 within the conference. They are coming off an inspired performance in a home loss to Miami, coming up just short losing by a score of 24-19. Pittsburgh is doing the bulk of it's scoring with a heavy ground game, opting to run twice as often as they pass. In the win over the Cavs, they attempted just 18 passes while running the ball 40 times for 176 yards and two TDs. Sophomore quarterback Ben Dinucci has done an admirable job replacing starter Max Browne, but he's completed a pedestrian 54.9 percent of his passes with 4 TDs and 4 INTs in seven starts. Those numbers look great compared to Nate Elliot's 38 percent completion percentage, and 3 INTs with just one TD. It looks like the third stringer might be starting for the Tar Heels again tonight. North Carolina has failed to reach the total in five of their last six games played on a grass surface.

Take UNDER.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 5* play on BG@BUF to go Under the total.

The Bowling Green Falcons won big at Kent State last week, and they got off to a good start, out-scoring the Golden Flashes 17-0 in the first quarter. Backup quarterback Jarret Doege threw for just 174 yards and two TDs on 14-of-18 passing. Their leading rusher Josh Cleveland suffered an ankle injury, but freshman Andrew Clair had 111 yards and a TD on just eight carries. He's averaging eight yards per attempt, and has run for over 100 yards in four straight weeks. Buffalo has lost four straight, and their starting quarterback was lost for the season in a 71-68 loss to Western Michigan. Drew Anderson threw for 597 yards and seven TDs in that game, which was decided after seven overtime periods. The Bulls have scored an average of just 15.6 points per game, losing three straight since. It seems a bit odd that the total for this game is so high, given the Bulls offensive struggles. History tells us that points could be hard to come by, as these teams have gone under in each of the last five head to head meetings.

Take UNDER.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is an 8* play on ORE@WAS to go UNDER the total.

The Ducks ended a three game losing streak with a home win over Utah, powered by a solid effort from running back Royce Freeman. He ran for 139 yards on 20 carries, and the Ducks totaled 347 yards rushing. They only attempted 13 passes, while running the ball a whopping 49 times. This one-dimensional offensive game plan won't likely be very successful on the road at Washington. The Huskies are ranked 2nd nationally in rushing yards allowed, right behind Alabama. They are holding opponents to just 2.2 yards per attempt (1st in the country), and have surrendered just three rushing TDs all year. The weather in Washington this time of year isn't all that pleasant, and while the snow storm might not start until Sunday, cold and wet weather is expected during tonight's game. Washington is coming off a high scoring win over UCLA, but had previously played four straight games with fewer than 50 combined points scored. I expect a low scoring affair here against the Ducks.

Take UNDER.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is an 8* play on LSU@ALABAMA to go UNDER the total.

The Crimson Tide are favored by three touchdowns in this Saturday's home game versus LSU, but with both teams coming off a bye week, we could still see a battle. LSU doesn't have the offense to keep up with Alabama, but they might be able to hang around in a defensive struggle that has been so common in previous meetings between the two teams. Last year the Tide won by a score of 10-0 in Baton Rouge, and they didn't score a TD until late in the second half. Six of the last seven meetings between these teams have gone under the total, and the Tigers failed to score 20 points in all seven of those games. The total for this year's game is higher than it was in each of the last three meetings. The Tigers have failed to reach the total in 10 of their last 11 when coming off a bye.

Take Under.

GL,

Jesse Schule

Jesse Schule

Jesse Schule

This is an 8* play on BG@KENT to go UNDER the total.

The Golden Flashes host Bowling Green in a Tuesday night MAC Conference game, and both these teams have had their struggles on offense this season. The Falcons come in averaging just over 20 points per game, ranking 116th nationally in scoring. It doesn't get much worse than that... or does it? Kent State is averaging just over 11 points per game this season. The Golden Flashes have failed to score 20 points in six straight games, and they've scored three points or less in four of their last six games. The good news is that their defense hasn't been too bad, as they've allowed just 41 points in two home games against MAC opponents, going 1-1 in those games. These two teams have played three times since 2013, and not one of those three games saw a combined 50 points scored. We should expect another low scoring game here tonight.

Take UNDER.

GL,

Jesse Schule

Jesse Schule

This is an 8* play on LOU@WAKE to go UNDER the total.

Louisville was gifted a victory at Florida State last week. The Seminoles looked like they would score on a game winning drive in the final minutes, but freshman quarterback James Blackmon fumbled the ball. That allowed Louisville to drive down the field and score the game winning field goal. Louisville played far better defensively against the Seminoles, after giving up 45 points in a loss to Boston College a week earlier. When these teams played last year, Wake Forest led 12-10 in the fourth quarter, before the Cardinal scored 34 unanswered points. The Deacons get a chance to avenge that loss here at home, where their defense has held opponents to an average of just over 14 points per game. These two teams have failed to reach the total in each of the last four meetings, and the number in this game is far higher than it was in any of those previous contests. Wake Forest has gone under in 17 of it's last 22 games in the month of October.

Take UNDER.

GL,

 Jesse Schule 

This is a 5* play on FSU@BC to go UNDER the total.

The Seminoles are coming off a terrible home loss to Louisville, putting them at 2-4 on the season. They had the ball late in the game, and appeared to be in position to run down the clock and kick the game winning field goal. Jimbo Fisher tried to get cute, calling a play that had failed to work on several occasions earlier in the game. The result was a fumble by quarterback James Blackman, leading to a Louisville field goal for the win. Since replacing the injured DeAndre Francios, he's thrown for 1047 yards with seven TDs and six INTs. Jimbo Fisher has been a little more conservative with the play calling on the road, and Blackman has attempted just 21 passes in each of his starts away from Tallahassee. The Seminoles won both of those games (26-19 at Wake Forest and 17-10 at Duke). The Eagles have scored 40+ points in back to back road wins at Virginia and Louisville, but their last two home games have each been low scoring. They beat Central Michigan 28-8 and lost 23-10 to Virginia Tech. Boston College has failed to score 20 points in each of it's last three games against Florida State, and two of those three games went under.

Take UNDER.

GL,

Jesse Schule

Jesse Schule

8*

This is a 10* play on USC@ND to go under the total.

The USC Trojans face a daunting task on the road at Notre Dame this week. The winner of this game will emerge as a playoff contender, while the loser will be eliminated from contention. The Irish haven't allowed more than 20 points in any of their games this season, and that includes a 20-19 home loss to #3 ranked Georgia. Sam Darnold was the favorite to win the Heisman before the season started, but he's failed to live up to expectations. He's thrown 15 TD passes this season, but 13 of those came at home. On the road he's struggled, throwing for 387 yards with a pair of TDs and two INTs on 41-of-67 passing. Both of those games fell well short of the total, and the Trojans have gone under in four of their last five overall. The one game that did go over saw fewer than 60 total points (28-27 win over Utah last week). The Irish might find success pounding the rock against a soft USC defensive line, the Trojans have struggled to defend the run. The Irish have gone under in four straight in the month of October, and the under is 17-5-1 in their last 23 when coming off a bye week.

Take UNDER.

GL,

Jesse Schule

8*

This is an 8* play on LOU@FSU to go UNDER the total.

The Florida State Seminoles are just 2-3 on the season, but those losses came to Alabama, Miami-Fl and N.C. State. All three of those games were close, and all three of those teams are currently ranked in the Top 25. The loss of their starting quarterback has certainly hurt the Seminoles, but they still have an elite defense and plenty of talent up and down the roster. Louisville hasn't been able to stop anybody on defense, and while they've scored their fair share of point, they were held to seven points in the first half at home versus Clemson, and the scored just 10 first half points in a loss at N.C. State. Both the Tigers and the Wolfpack were able to run up the score late in those games, but FSU is perhaps more likely to pound away with the run. Florida State has failed to reach the total in five straight overall, and the total for this game is almost 10 points higher than any of those previous games.

Take UNDER.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 5* play on MEM@HOU to go UNDER the total.

The Memphis Tigers have scored plenty of points this season, and they are coming off a 30-27 upset win over #25 ranked Navy last week. This could set them up for a bit of a let down on the road at Houston. The Cougars aren't the playoff contender that they were this time last year, mostly because of their struggles offensively. They remain solid on defense though, allowing just 21 points per game. They have failed to reach the total in seven straight, and nine of their last 10 overall. That includes home games against offensive juggernauts Texas Tech and SMU. While these two teams have scored a ton of points in recent head to head meetings, the under is 4-0 in the last four at Houston. The Cougars have failed to reach the total in six straight home games.

Take UNDER.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is an 8* play on PUR@WISC to go UNDER the total.

Wisconsin hasn't been tested, and the Badgers are a big favorite at home versus Purdue this weekend. The Boilermakers will face one of the nation's top defenses, as Wisconsin is allowing opponents to average less than 15 points per game. Purdue has averaged less than 10 points in it's last four games at Wisconsin dating back to 2009. The weather forecast calls for cold temperatures and rain in Madison Saturday afternoon. Purdue is quietly having a solid season so far, coming in with a 3-2 record and a defense that has allowed just over 20 points per game. The Badgers have failed to reach the total in seven of their last 10 games in the month of October, and a lot of that might have to do with the fall weather in Madison. I expect both teams to keep it conservative here, and we should see another low scoring game.

Take UNDER.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is an 8* play on TTU@WVU to go UNDER the total. The West Virginia Mountaineers aren't getting a lot of respect here at home versus Texas Tech. After all this is a team that they trounced by a score of 48-17 last year, and that game was at Lubbock. With the Red Raiders coming to Morgantown, I see no reason why the result will be any different. Sure Texas Tech has improved defensively, but they still lost 41-34 at home to Oklahoma State two weeks ago. Their offense doesn't appear to be quite as prolific as it was with Patrick Mahomes at quarterback. Nic Shimonek threw for 330 yards with 1 TD and an INT on 29-of-46 passing in the loss to the Cowboys. That was a home game, and now he's playing on the road against a far better defense in West Virginia. The Red Raiders lost 31-26 in their last game at Morgantown (back in 2015). Texas Tech might look like a sexy pick as a dog, but keep in mind that the Red Raiders have lost 16 straight versus Top 25 teams. The under is 12-2 in West Virginia's last 14 games in October.

Take Under.

GL,

Jesse Schule

Jesse Schule

Jesse Schule

This is a 5* play on ARI@COL to go UNDER the total 1/H.

The Colorado Buffaloes went to the PAC12 Championship Game last seasons, but they are coming off back to back losses to UCLA and Washington. Unlike last year, they don't seem to have the offensive firepower to keep up with the top tier teams in the PAC12. They have averaged fewer than 20 points while losing two of three games in conference play. The same issue has plagued Arizona, as the Wildcats are coming off a 30-24 home loss to Utah. Their other loss came by a score of 19-16 at home versus Houston. Neither of these teams have been lighting it up with their passing game, and it's expected that this game will be a battle of ground and pound. With both teams focused on running the ball, the time will likely come off the clock before they can tally too many points. Colorado has gone under in seven of it's last eight overall, and 13 of it's last 16 in conference play.

Take UNDER.

GL,

Jesse Schule

Jesse Schule

Jesse Schule

8*

8*