Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
10-10-20 | Mississippi State v. Kentucky UNDER 58 | 2-24 | Win | 100 | 24 h 5 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Under. Mike Leach made plenty of noise in his first game in the SEC, beating the LSU Tigers in Baton Rouge by a score of 44-34. KJ Costello threw for 623 yards and five TDs on 36-of-60 passing in the win. They came crashing back down to earth last week in a home loss to Arkansas, and Costello threw for 313 yards and was picked off three times with just one TD pass. It won't get any easier on the road in a rain storm in Lexington this week. The Wildcats are 0-2, and desperate to turn things around. The under is 14-4 in the Wildcats last 18 conference games, and these teams have failed to reach the total in four of the last five head to head meetings. I expect the Wildcats to establish the run and try to keep the ball out of the hands of this Air Raid offense. Take Under. GL, Jesse Schule |
|||||||
10-10-20 | Florida v. Texas A&M OVER 57.5 | 38-41 | Win | 100 | 19 h 7 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Over. The Gators are off to an impressive start, with a pair of double digit wins and scoring a combined 89 points. As well as they have played on offense, their defense has allowed 35 to Ole Miss and 24 to South Carolina. Kyle Trask is an early Heisman Favorite with 10 TDs and just on INT so far. The Aggies opened the season with a lackluster win over Vanderbilt, and then Alabama dropped 52 on them last week. The over is 12-3-1 in the Gators last 16 road games, and the over is 8-1 in their last nine games as a road favorite. The Aggies have gone over in four straight as a home underdog, and I expect another high score here this week. Take Over. GL, Jesse Schule |
|||||||
10-03-20 | North Carolina v. Boston College UNDER 54 | 26-22 | Win | 100 | 20 h 19 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Under. North Carolina hasn't played since opening the season with a 31-6 win over Syracuse three weeks ago. That game was even closer than the final score would indicate. The Tar Heels scored just 10 points in the first three quarters of that game. They will be a double digit road favorite at Boston College, an the Eagles are off to an impressive start. Boston College won 26-6 on the road at Duke in Week 1, and followed up with a 24-21 win over Texas State. Boston college has failed to reach the total in five straight overall, and they have gone over in four straight as an underdog. The Tar heels have gone under in four of their last five as a favorite. Take Under. GL, Jesse Schule |
|||||||
09-26-20 | Georgia Tech v. Syracuse UNDER 52.5 | 20-37 | Loss | -110 | 95 h 8 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Under. Georgia Tech is in their second year since abandoning the Triple-Option offense, and as expected there have been some growing pains. Freshman QB Jeff Sims has thrown twice as many picks (4) as TDs (2) through the first two weeks. The Yellow Jackets come into Syracuse as a rather dubious looking favorite, and the Orange haven't been too bad defensively. In Week 1 they held North Carolina to just 10 points heading into the fourth quarter, before being outscored 21-0 in the final frame. Last week they lost 20-7 at Pittsburgh. The under is 8-3-1 in the Orange's last 12 games as a home underdog. Take Under. GL, Jesse Schule |
|||||||
09-19-20 | Boston College v. Duke UNDER 52.5 | 26-6 | Win | 100 | 94 h 13 m | Show | |
5* |
|||||||
01-13-20 | Clemson v. LSU UNDER 70.5 | Top | 25-42 | Win | 100 | 261 h 50 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on Under. After being held scoreless in the first 20+ minutes in the Fiesta Bowl, the Tigers scored a pair of TDs in the final three minutes of the first half. They held the Buckeyes to just seven points in the second half, and ended up winning 29-23. They will no doubt have to play better here against LSU, but I really don't see anybody stopping Joe Burrows. LSU scored 49 first half points against the Sooners in the Peach Bowl, and they held Oklahoma to just 28 points. LSU is 5-1 ATS in their last six non-conference games, and they have covered the spread in four of their last five bowl games. The under is 13-6 in Clemson's last 19 bowl games. The total for this game is higher than in any of Clemson's last 10 games. I like LSU to win, holding Clemson under 30 points. Take Under. GL, Jesse Schule |
|||||||
01-04-20 | Tulane v. Southern Miss OVER 56 | 30-13 | Loss | -110 | 15 h 9 m | Show | |
8* |
|||||||
12-31-19 | Florida State v. Arizona State OVER 53.5 | Top | 14-20 | Loss | -108 | 168 h 27 m | Show |
This is a 7* play on the Arizona State Sun Devils. Arizona State comes into the Sun Bowl with a 7-5 record, but when you really look at where they got their wins, it's more impressive than one might think. This is a team that was 3-1 against Top 25 teams. The Seminoles on the other hand don't have a lot to hang their hat on, they finished with a 6-6 record, and none of those six wins were at all impressive. FSU will not have new head coach Mike Norvell for this bowl game, instead interim head coach Odell Haggins will be filling in. Leading rusher Cam Akers is sitting out, and his backup will miss the game due to injury. That leaves FSU without any running backs with any experience. James Blackman will have to carry the team if FSU is going to compete here, and he's shown little signs that he's up to the task. Take ASU. GL, Jesse Schule |
|||||||
12-28-19 | Oklahoma v. LSU UNDER 76.5 | 28-63 | Loss | -110 | 4 h 29 m | Show | |
The Sooners scored plenty of points in the BIG12 this season, but they will be a big underdog against the #1 ranked SEC champions LSU. The Tigers allowed a combined 17 points in wins over Georgia and Texas A&M at the end of the season. The Tigers are a double digit favorite, so this game isn't necessarily expected to be close. It's going to be hard to reach such a high total if LSU wins in commanding fashion (as expected). The under is 18-3-1 in the Sooners last 22 games in December, and they have failed to reach the total in eight of their last 10 versus SEC teams. GL, Jesse Schule |
|||||||
12-24-19 | BYU v. Hawaii OVER 64 | Top | 34-38 | Win | 100 | 12 h 34 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on BYU@HAWAII to go Over the total. The Rainbow Warriors host rivals BYU in the Hawaii Bowl on Christmas Eve, and history suggests that we should see plenty of scoring in this game. Hawaii comes in with a 9-5 overall record, winning four of their final five games and ranking 6th nationally in passing. The Cougars won five of their last six games, and they scored 30+ points in four of those five wins. The last time these teams met, the Cougars won by a score of 49-23 last October. The over is 11-4 in the Rainbow Warriors last 15 games as an underdog, and they have gone over in 14 of their last 20 in the month of December. Take Over. GL, Jesse Schule |
|||||||
12-14-19 | Army v. Navy UNDER 41 | 7-31 | Win | 100 | 24 h 24 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on ARMY@NAVY to go Under the total. Few things are sure in life. There is death, taxes and a low scoring Army vs Navy game. At least that's been the case for the last decade, with each of the last 10 head to head meetings going under. Last year Army led 7-0 at halftime, and went on to win 17-10. Both the midshipmen and the Black Knights are coming off high scoring games. Navy won 56-41 at Houston, while Army lost 52-31 at Hawaii. The weather will be a problem for both these offenses today though, with plenty of wind and rain in the forecast in Philly. The under is 14-2 in the last 16 meetings. Take Under. GL, Jesse Schule |
|||||||
12-07-19 | Wisconsin v. Ohio State UNDER 57 | 21-34 | Win | 100 | 78 h 48 m | Show | |
8* |
|||||||
11-30-19 | Oklahoma v. Oklahoma State UNDER 69.5 | 34-16 | Win | 100 | 11 h 56 m | Show | |
This is a 2-team teaser with Cowboys + Under. Historically when you think of bedlam you think about all the high scores these teams have posted over the years. They have score more than 80 combined points in three of the last four head to head meetings, but both of these teams are a lot better defensively than they have been in past seasons. The Cowboys are riding a four game win streak, with not one of those games seeing a combined 70 points. The Sooners have failed to cover in four straight road games, and they are 0-6-1 ATS in their last seven games in November. The under is 5-1 in Oklahoma's last six road games. GL, Jesse Schule |
|||||||
11-09-19 | LSU v. Alabama UNDER 65 | Top | 46-41 | Loss | -110 | 121 h 18 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on LSU@BAMA under 65. The Alabama Crimson Tide haven't been tested yet, but they also haven't played anybody currently ranked in the Top 25. LSU on the other hand comes in battle tested, with a pair of wins over Top 10 teams (Florida and Auburn). The Tigers will be looking to avenge a 29-0 loss to Alabama last year, and they do have history on their side. The Tigers are 7-3-1 ATS in their last 11 meetings in Alabama, and the Crimson Tide are 0-5 ATS in their last five home games versus a team with a winning road record. The under is 5-0 in the last five meetings. Take Under. GL, Jesse Schule |
|||||||
10-26-19 | Penn State v. Michigan State UNDER 43.5 | 28-7 | Win | 100 | 12 h 22 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on PSU@MSU to go Under the total. The Spartans are coming off a bye week, after getting throttled in a 38-0 loss to Wisconsin. They should be ready to go to war in this home game against Penn State, and both teams have been very comfortable playing low scoring smashmouth football games. The Nittany Lions have won a pair of games already that they failed to score 20 points in, 17-12 at Iowa and 17-10 at home versus Pittsburgh. The Spartans offense rarely scores 20, but their defense at home in games like this has risen to the challenge. I think if either of these teams scores 20 points in this game it will be enough to win. Take Under. GL, Jesse Schule |
|||||||
10-18-19 | Ohio State v. Northwestern UNDER 50 | 52-3 | Loss | -100 | 14 h 8 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on OSU@NW to go Under the total. The Wildcats are 1-4, but they might be a lot better off if they could score any points. Their defense has kept them in a lot of games, but their offense simply hasn't been able to get any points on the board. They are a huge underdog at home versus Ohio State on Friday, but they are coming off their bye week and they have covered the spread in back to back games. They held Wisconsin and Nebraska to a combined 37 points, and both games fell well short of the total. The under is 42-14-1 in Wildcats last 57 home games, and they have failed to reach the total in seven of their last nine conference games. Take Under. GL, Jesse Schule |
|||||||
10-12-19 | Florida v. LSU UNDER 55 | Top | 28-42 | Loss | -110 | 126 h 5 m | Show |
10* |
|||||||
10-11-19 | Virginia v. Miami-FL OVER 42.5 | 9-17 | Loss | -115 | 14 h 8 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on UVA@MIA to go Over the total. The Hurricanes were lit up for 21 points in first quarter at home versus Virginia Tech last week. Quarterback Jarren Williams was just 4-of-7 for 47 yards and three INTs before getting pulled. His backup N'Kosi Perry stepped right in and threw for 422 yards and four TDS on 28-of-47 passing, tying the game with three minutes left to play. The Canes defense couldn't hold and the Hokies ran in the game winning TD with a minute left on the clock. The Cavs bring a 4-1 record into tonight's game, and their quarterback has played well, even in their loss to Notre Dame. Bryce Perkins threw for 334 yards and two scores on 30-of-43 passing in a 35-20 loss at South Bend. I expect to see plenty of scoring here in this pivotal ACC game Friday night. Take Over. GL, Jesse Schule |
|||||||
10-05-19 | Washington v. Stanford UNDER 52 | 13-23 | Win | 100 | 18 h 19 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on WASH@STAN to go Under the total. Stanford has been brutal this season, and they are a double digit home dog this week against Washington. Historically these teams have played close low scoring gamses, and the total has been under 50 in each of the last five meetings. The Huskies are 1-4 ATS in their last five at Stanford, and the Cardinal have failed to reach the total in seven of their last 10 home games. Stanford's last home game was a 26-6 loss to Oregon, and I can't see the Huskies doing much better here than the Ducks. Take Under. GL. Jesse Schule |
|||||||
10-05-19 | Michigan State v. Ohio State OVER 49 | 10-34 | Loss | -109 | 15 h 18 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on MSU@OSU to go Over the total. The Spartans have lost by 20+ points to Ohio State in each of the last two seasons, but historically they have not been an easy opponent for the Buckeyes. Michigan State has won outright in 2015, 2013 and in 2011. The last time they were getting 20+ points in this matchup was in 2016, and they lost that game by a score of 17-16. The underdog is 6-2 ATS in the last eight meetings, and the road team is 8-3 ATS in their last 11 meetings. This year's Spartans team should be a lot better than the team that lost 26-6 to Ohio State last year. That game was also a lot closer than the final score would suggest, and the Spartans trailed by just three points at the beginning of the fourth quarter. Brian Lewerke finished the 2018 season with eight TD passes and 11 INTs in 11 starts. So far after four games this season he has 10 TD passes and just one INT. The over is 8-2 in the Buckeyes last 10 home games versus a team with a winning road record. The total for this game is lower than it was in any of the previous six head to head meetings. Take Over. GL, Jesse Schule |
|||||||
09-28-19 | Virginia v. Notre Dame UNDER 50.5 | 20-35 | Loss | -110 | 97 h 56 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on UVA@ND to go Under the total. The Irish played admirably in a 23-17 loss at Georgia last week, and they don't have any time to feel sorry for themselves. They host a 4-0 Virginia Team this Saturday, and the Cavs appear to be for real. Two of their four wins come within conference, beating Pittsburgh and Florida State. They held Pitt to just 14 points, and they have allowed an average of just 18 points per game. The trends suggest a low scoring game here, as the Irish have gone under in five of their last seven when coming off a loss. The under is 5-1 in their last six non-conference games, and they have gone under in four of their last five versus ACC teams. Take Under. GL, Jesse Schule |
|||||||
09-21-19 | Notre Dame v. Georgia UNDER 56.5 | 17-23 | Win | 100 | 96 h 40 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on ND@UGA to go Under the total. These teams last met in 2017, and Georgia won by a score of 20-19 in a nationally televised game at South Bend. I remember the game well, as I had a premium play on the under, and a free play on Georgia +5.5. The free play was met with some healthy (if no obnoxious) criticism on FB and Twitter. In the end The Iceman had the last laugh. The Irish were embarrassed in a 30-3 loss to Clemson in the College Football Playoffs last year, and they will be a double digit dog here in this game. The Bulldogs have failed to cover in 10 of their last 13 games in the month of December, and the under is 22-9-2 in the Bulldogs last 33 home games. I exect Georgia to be in full control in the second half, and focused on running out the clock. Take Under. GL, Jesse Schule |
|||||||
09-14-19 | UNLV v. Northwestern UNDER 54 | 14-30 | Win | 100 | 61 h 48 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Northwestern. The Wildcats lost 17-7 at Stanford in Week 1, but they went to The Farm and held the Cardinals to 132 yards and no TDs on 39 carries. Now they come off a bye week to play the UNLV Rebels at home. This is a Rebels team that relies heavily on the run, and I think UNLV is running right into a brick wall here. Northwestern is expected to win this game by three scores, even though they don't have a very explosive offense. We don't see a lot of high scoring games at Evanston, as evidences by the fact that the under is 41-13-1 in the Wildcats last 55 home games. Take Under. GL, Jesse Schule |
|||||||
09-14-19 | Stanford v. Central Florida UNDER 62.5 | 27-45 | Loss | -110 | 42 h 14 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on STAN@UCF to go Under the total. The Stanford Cardinal held Northwestern to just seven points in Week 1, but they were blown out in Week 2 at USC. They should have their starting QB back this week at Central Florida, but he should face a ton of pressure from a Knights defense that has recorded seven sacks in two games. UCF allowed just 14 points in a win at FAU last week, after pitching a shutout in their season opener. The under is 4-1 in the Cardinal's last five non-conference games, and the total for this game appears to be a little inflated. Take Under. GL, Jesse Schule |
|||||||
09-07-19 | Syracuse v. Maryland UNDER 58 | 20-63 | Loss | -108 | 51 h 48 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on SYR@MD to go Under the total. The Orange looked great on defense in a 24-0 win over Liberty in Week 1, but the offense wasn't very impressive. Tommy Devito threw for 176 yards and two INTs on 17-of-25 passing. Now he heads out on the road to face a BIG10 team in non conference play, and it isn't likely to be an easy game for the Orange. Their defense should keep them in it though, and I like the under with the total on the high side of 50. The under is 8-3 in Syracuse's last 11 road games, and the Terps have gone under in five straight versus ACC teams. Take Under. GL, Jesse Schule |
|||||||
09-07-19 | Cincinnati v. Ohio State OVER 52 | 0-42 | Loss | -105 | 3 h 13 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on CIN@OSU to go Over the total. The Bearcats beat UCLA 24-14 in Week 1, but I think that game might say more about UCLA than it does about Cinci. A week later they are in Columbus, and they face a far better Ohio State team. I expect the Buckeyes to get their points here this afternoon, and I think the total looks a little too low. It opened at 55 and has since been bet down to 52, and I think that presents value in taking the over. Take Over. GL, Jesse Schule |
|||||||
08-31-19 | Georgia v. Vanderbilt UNDER 58 | 30-6 | Win | 100 | 55 h 32 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on UGA@VAN to go Under the total. Georgia won 41-13 in last year's meeting, and these teams have gone under in three of the last four annual meetings. The total for this year's game is even higher than it was a year ago, in fact it's higher than it has been in any of the last five meetings. You know the Commodores are going to look to slow this game down, and pound away with their running game. The Bulldogs don't mind muddying things up, and this should be another down and dirty SEC game. The under is 4-1 in the Commodores last five conference games. Vanderbilt has gone under in nine of their last 13 overall. Take Under. GL, Jesse Schule |
|||||||
08-31-19 | Missouri v. Wyoming UNDER 55.5 | Top | 31-37 | Loss | -117 | 31 h 20 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on MIZZ@WYO to go Under the total. These teams met for the first time last season, and Missouri won by a score of 40-13 at home. The Tigers offense should have a different look this season, with Kelly Bryant stepping in to replace Drew Lock. Bryant isn't going to light up defenses the way Lock did, and we should see the Tigers lean more on their running game. The Cowboys are solid on defense, but they lack talent on the other side of the ball. The under is 11-5 in the Cowboys last 16 home games, and the under is 8-3-1 in Cowboys last 12 non-conference games. Wyoming has gone under in four straight versus the SEC. Take Under. GL, Jesse Schule |
|||||||
01-07-19 | Alabama v. Clemson UNDER 61 | Top | 16-44 | Win | 100 | 212 h 58 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on CLEM@BAMA to go Under the total. |
|||||||
01-01-19 | LSU v. Central Florida OVER 54.5 | Top | 40-32 | Win | 100 | 666 h 46 m | Show |
This is a GOY play on LSU@UCF to go Over the total. The Central Florida Knights are gunning for a second consecutive perfect season, and if LSU doesn't stop them we'll have to put up with another mock Championship Celebration. This should provide plenty of motivation for the Tigers, who have no interest in allowing the Knights to proclaim themselves national champs as they did after beating Auburn last year. The Knights scored 34 points in that game against Auburn, and I expect them score their share here against LSU. Darriel Mack Jr. stepped in to replace the injured McKenzie Milton, and he had a big game against Memphis throwing for 348 yards and two TDs, and running for 59 yards and four more. The outlook for the Knights defense isn't as positive, as they gave up over 400 rushing yards in that game versus Memphis. Just imagine what kind of damage a well rested SEC team will do on the ground. LSU scored a total of 114 points in it's last two games, while Central Florida has averaged 50 points in their last three games. I'll take the over here as I believe the total is far lower than it should be. Take OVER. GL,
Jesse Schule |
|||||||
12-28-18 | Syracuse v. West Virginia OVER 65.5 | Top | 34-18 | Loss | -109 | 43 h 59 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on WVU@SYR to go Over the total. The West Virginia Mountaineers were hoping to compete for a playoff spot this season, and Will Grier was one of the favorites to win the Heisman. Finishing the season with back to back heartbreaking losses leaves a cloud hanging around Morgantown heading into Bowl Season. When first asked about the Camping World Bowl, Will Grier said: “I have no thoughts or decisions,” Grier said. “I was planning on playing [in the Big 12 championship]. Just kind of taking it all in, my last game in Morgantown. Wish we would have came out on top, but we left it all out there for the fans.” The Orange are coming into this game with a chance to reach 10 wins, which would be considered a huge success for Dino Babers and company. The last time I bet on the Orange, they lost their starting quarterback early in the first quarter and ended up getting blown out by Notre Dame. Here is what I said prior to that game: "This a team that has already proved it can hang with the big boys, last year they handed Clemson it's only regular season loss. Senior quarterback Eric Dungey has been lighting it up with his arm and his legs. He's got a dozen rushing TDs and 690 rushing yards so far this season. The Orange have covered the spread in five straight non conference games, and they are 9-3 ATS in their last 12 against teams with a winning record. While the Mountaineers will miss Grier, this high flying offense still has plenty of weapons. The Orange will be shorthanded on defense with three starters missing the game for personal reasons. I expect to see plenty of scoring here in Orlando. Take Over. GL, Jesse Schule |
|||||||
11-24-18 | Auburn v. Alabama UNDER 53 | Top | 21-52 | Loss | -115 | 71 h 12 m | Show |
10* |
|||||||
11-23-18 | Washington v. Washington State OVER 48.5 | 28-15 | Loss | -110 | 52 h 15 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on WASH@WSU to go Over.
The Huskies have lost their last two road games at Oregon and at California. They face a Washington State team that comes in as winners of seven straight. During that run they have beat some of the PAC12's best teams: (Utah, Oregon and Stanford). Gardner Minshew leads the nation in passing, with almost 500 yards more than Jordan Ta'amu who sits in second. With over 800 yards, nine TDs and no INTs the last two weeks, it's fair to say that he's in a groove. The Cougars are 19-7 ATS in their last 26 home game, and 6-1 ATS in their last seven against a team with a winning record. Washington has failed to cover in seven of their last eight road games, and they are 0-7 ATS in their last seven versus PAC12 teams. I like Washington State to stay hot here at home, out-lasting the Huskies in a shootout. The total here is below 50 for the first time since 2008, and the Cougars have gone over in 10 of their last 14 overall. Take Over. GL, Jesse Schule |
|||||||
11-17-18 | USC v. UCLA OVER 55 | Top | 27-34 | Win | 100 | 108 h 20 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on USC@UCLA to go Over the total. Chip Kelly has had limited success in his first year at UCLA, but the Bruins have improved since Wilton Speight took over at quarterback. He threw for 335 yards and two TDs in a 31-28 loss at Arizona State last week, and I think he's going to put up big numbers against at home against USC. He's going to have to if the Bruins want to have any chance of winning this game, because their defense can't seem to stop anybody. UCLA ranks 111th in the country allowing opponents to average 215 rushing yards per game. When these teams met last year, the bookmakers set the total at 70.5, more than two TDs higher than the total for this game. History seems to favor the under, as each of the last four meetings between the two teams have fallen short of the total. That being said, three of the last six meetings saw more than 55 combined points. I think this game will be a shootout, with UCLA digging deep into their bag of tricks. Take Over. GL, Jesse Schule
|
|||||||
11-15-18 | Toledo v. Kent State UNDER 59.5 | 56-34 | Loss | -110 | 18 h 50 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on TOL@KENT to go Under the total. The last two meetings between Toledo and Kent State each fell short of 50 points, and the previous two meetings fell short of 60 points. The total for tonight's game is higher than it had been in any of those four meetings. The Under is 4-1 in the Rockets last 5 games overall, and the Under is 4-1 in the Golden Flashes last 5 games overall. Kent State ranks 137th in the country in scoring, and they have given up a ton of points as well. The Golden Flashes have been far more competitive at home though, allowing just 21 points per game. A difficult schedule may have resulted in some skewed numbers for this Kent State team. Take Under. GL,
Jesse Schule |
|||||||
11-14-18 | Miami-OH v. Northern Illinois OVER 48 | 13-7 | Loss | -114 | 9 h 28 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on M-OH@NIU to go Over the total. I bet on the under in last week's game in Dekalb, and the Huskies beat Toledo 38-15, just barely falling short of the number. Tonight's total is much lower, meaning a similar score would result in an over. The Redhawks are coming off a 30-28 win over Ohio, and the previous week they scored 42 points in a loss at Buffalo. Gus Ragland has thrown for 512 yards, two TDs and 1 INT on 40-of-67 passing the last two weeks. That's pretty impressive considering the opposition. I think Ragland and the RedHawks will score enough points to push this total over what appears to be quite a low number. The last three head to head meetings between these teams all saw a total over 50. Take Over, GL, Jesse Schule
|
|||||||
11-07-18 | Toledo v. Northern Illinois UNDER 56 | 15-38 | Win | 100 | 9 h 46 m | Show | |
8* |
|||||||
11-06-18 | Kent State v. Buffalo OVER 43 | 14-48 | Win | 100 | 18 h 43 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on KENT@BUFF to go Over the total. |
|||||||
11-03-18 | Alabama v. LSU OVER 53 | Top | 29-0 | Loss | -115 | 97 h 3 m | Show |
This is a 10* GOY play on BAMA@LSU to go Over the total. In previous meetings between Alabama and LSU, my go to move has been to take the under. That has been the right call in eight of the last nine head to head meetings, including last year's 24-10 win for Alabama in Tuscaloosa. Things have changed though, as this isn't the Alabama offense with Jalen Hurts, Jake Coker or A.J. McCarron. Since the arrival of Tua Tagovailoa, the Tide have been an offensive juggernaut. LSU has also improved on offense, coming in averaging over 30 points per game. Alabama leads the country averaging over 54 points per game, but they have only played one ranked team. That was a 45-23 win over Texas A&M. I expect them to drop at least 40 on the Tigers, and LSU is likely to get a few licks in as well. My prediction is a 42-24 win for the visitors. Take OVER. GL, Jesse Schule |
|||||||
11-03-18 | Utah v. Arizona State UNDER 56 | 20-38 | Loss | -109 | 94 h 33 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on UTAH@ARZST to go Under the total. The Utes ran all over the UCLA Bruins in a 41-10 home win last week, but they face a much toughest test here at Arizona State. Herm Edwards already has a handful of impressive results against top tier teams this year. Arizona State upset Michigan State at home, won on the road at UCLA and covered in a 27-20 loss to the Huskies in Washington. Arizona State has won three of four home games, and have allowed opponents to average just 16 points per game at home this season. These teams have a history of playing low scoring games, and only one of the last nine head to head meetings have seen more than 55 combined points. Utah has failed to reach the total in five of it's last six when coming off a win, while the under is 4-1 in the Sun Devils last five games in November. Take Under. GL, Jesse Schule |
|||||||
11-01-18 | Temple v. Central Florida UNDER 59 | 40-52 | Loss | -105 | 4 h 7 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on TEMPLE@UCF to go Under the total. The Central Florida Knights own the longest winning streak in the country (20 games). They have proclaimed themselves to be national champions, but they narrowly avoided defeat in a 31-30 win at Memphis a few weeks ago. While they won that battle, they might lose the war if McKenzie Milton misses any more time. The star QB was injured in that game, and didn't play in a 37-10 win at ECU last week. Even if he does return to action tonight, he likely isn't going to push it by running the ball as he normally does. Temple is a strong opponent with a solid defense, and the total for tonight's game appears to be a little inflated. The last time Temple played at UCF, they lost 26-25. Three of the last four meetings between these teams saw less than 52 combined points. Take Under. GL, Jesse Schule |
|||||||
10-20-18 | Arizona v. UCLA UNDER 56 | Top | 30-31 | Loss | -109 | 83 h 1 m | Show |
This is an 10* play on ARI@UCLA to go Under. Arizona comes into tonight's game with a 2-2 conference record, but they will be a double digit underdog without their starting quarterback. Khalil Tate left early in last week's loss to Utah with an ankle injury, and was replaced by the son of former Arizona coach Rich Rodriguez. The sophomore wasn't too bad, throwing for 226 yards and a TD on 20-of-38 passing. He likely won't have to be great to keep the Wildcats in the game against UCLA, as the Bruins are ranked 119th nationally averaging just over 20 points per game. Freshman quarterback Dorian Thompson-Robinson has failed to throw for 200 yards in four of his six starts, and last week against Cal he threw for just 141 yards on 13-of-15 passing. The Bruins ran the ball 55 times in that game, and given that they snapped a five game losing skid, you might expect them to lean on the run here at home against Arizona. The public seems pretty keen to back the Bruins here with the news that Tate won't play, but I am focused on the total. Arizona has failed to reach the total in four straight, and six straight within conference. We could see both teams pound away with the run given that neither team has a lot of talent at quarterback at the moment. Take Under. GL, Jesse Schule |
|||||||
10-20-18 | Oregon v. Washington State OVER 66 | Top | 20-34 | Loss | -115 | 90 h 22 m | Show |
This is an 8* play on ORE@WSU to go Over the total. The Ducks are moving up in the rankings after an upset win over the Washington Huskies on Saturday. The Huskies were in position to win the game in the fourth quarter, but Peyton Henry missed a 37 yard (chip shot) field goal in the dying seconds. That allowed Oregon to come back and win in overtime. The Ducks are flying high as they head into Pullman for a date with the Cougars, but this game has all the signs of a classic let down spot for the visitors. Washington State is coming off a bye week, and they are still undefeated at home. One of their three home wins came against a very strong Utah team. The Ducks have lost three straight to Washington State, and their last game at Pullman was a 51-33 loss in 2016. The over is 11-4 in the last 15 meeting between these teams, and the Cougars have gone over in five straight against PAC12 teams. Take Over. GL,
Jesse Schule |
|||||||
10-18-18 | Stanford v. Arizona State UNDER 57.5 | 20-13 | Win | 100 | 20 h 28 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on STAN@ARZST to go Under the total. The Stanford Cardinal will be a road favorite tonight at Arizonta State, but we should expect a competitive game between two PAC12 rivals. Previous meetings between the two teams have been pretty hard fought defensive battles, with the under cashing in five of the last six meetings. The Sun Devils are 3-0 at home, and they have held opponents to an average of less than 15 points in those games. Their 16-13 win over Michigan State was particularly impressive. Four of Stanford's last five visits to Arizona State have gone under the total, and the under is 44-20 in Cardinal last 64 games in October. Take Under. GL,
Jesse Schule |
|||||||
10-13-18 | Texas A&M v. South Carolina UNDER 53.5 | 26-23 | Win | 100 | 114 h 54 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on TAM@SOCAR to go Under the total. Jake Bentley didn't play in last week's home win over Missouri, after suffering an injury in a 24-10 loss to Kentucky a week earlier. He only threw for 138 yards with a TD and 3 INTs on 13-of-28 passing in that game. He will face a stingy Aggies defense that held Kentucky to just 178 total yards last week. The 4-2 Aggies have losses against the #1 and #2 ranked teams in the country. Texas A&M has failed to reach the total in seven of their last 10 conference games, and eight straight in the month of October. The Gamecocks have also trended toward low scoring games, going under in 16 of their last 22 SEC games, and 17 of their last 21 when coming off a win. Another defensive battle should be expected at Williams Brice Stadium. GL,
Jesse Schule |
|||||||
10-06-18 | Kentucky v. Texas A&M UNDER 51 | 14-20 | Win | 100 | 34 h 32 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on UK@TAM to go Under the total. The Texas A&M Aggies are 3-2, but their two losses came against #2 ranked Clemson and #1 ranked Alabama. They host the 5-0 Kentucky Wildcats tonight, and both these teams have been very impressive defensively. The Wildcats are coming off a 24-10 win over South Carolina, and they have allowed a combined 33 points in wins over SEC opponents (Gamecocks, Gators, Bulldogs). Kentucky has failed to reach the total in five of their last seven road games, and the Aggies have gone under in five straight in October. Texas A&M is coming off a pedestrian performance in a 24-17 win over Arkansas. The Aggies offense could struggle here against a very good Wildcats defense. Take Under. GL, Jesse Schule |
|||||||
10-04-18 | Tulsa v. Houston UNDER 70.5 | 26-41 | Win | 100 | 7 h 29 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on TULSA@HOU to go Under the total. The Houston Cougars rank 2nd nationally averaging over 50 points per game, and their high flying offense has them heavily favored against division rivals Tulsa tonight. The total for tonight's game is significantly higher than it was in any of the previous six head to head meetings, and they have failed to reach the total in five of the last seven meetings. Not one of those seven contests yielded as much as 70 combined points. Tulsa will rely on it's running game, looking to control the clock and keep the Cougars offense off the field. The Hurricane don't have the offensive weapons to engage in a shootout, their quarterback Luke Skipper has thrown more INTs (6) than TD passes (4). Tulsa has gone under in five straight road games. Take Under. GL, Jesse Schule |
|||||||
09-29-18 | Oregon v. California OVER 58 | Top | 42-24 | Win | 100 | 121 h 44 m | Show |
10* |
|||||||
09-22-18 | Georgia v. Missouri OVER 64.5 | 43-29 | Win | 100 | 9 h 22 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on UGA@MIZZ to go Over the total. Georgia has picked up right where it left off last year, coming into today's game at Missouri ranked 2nd nationally and averaging 45 points per game. They beat the Tigers by a score of 53-28 at home last season, and I expect another shootout here in Missouri. The Tigers have won nine consecutive regular season games, scoring at least 40 points in all of those contests. They scored 28 points in Athens last year, and they should be able to at least match that number here at home. The defense is still a concern though, coming off a 40-37 win at Purdue. If they gave up 37 points to the Boilermakers, it wouldn't be any surprise to see Georgia hang 50 on them. Take Over, GL,
Jesse Schule |
|||||||
09-21-18 | Washington State v. USC OVER 50 | 36-39 | Win | 100 | 21 h 46 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on WAZZU@USC to go Over. The Trojans offense hasn't been able to score points in road losses at Stanford and Texas, but they return home for a pivotal PAC12 clash versus Washington State. This is a revenge game after Sam Darnold's Trojans lost at Pullman last year by a score of 30-27. Another close game should be expected here tonight, and I expect both teams to score their fair share of points. The total looks a little low, in fact it is significantly lower than it was in any of the last seven head to head meetings between these teams. Six of the last seven meetings have seen a total of 55 or higher, and the total for last year's game closed at 59. Washington State has been impressive on both sides of the ball, and they come in to tonight's game ranked second in the country in passing yards. That being said, they have yet to face a Power Five team. JT Daniels has made his fair share of mistakes, but the freshman has been able to move the ball. He's thrown for over 800 yards in three starts, threw for 322 yards on 30-of-48 passing in last week's loss to Texas. Take Over, GL,
Jesse Schule |
|||||||
09-20-18 | Tulsa v. Temple UNDER 55 | 17-31 | Win | 100 | 9 h 51 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on TULSA@TEMPLE to go UNDER. The Temple Owls made some changes last week, focusing on stopping the run ahead of their game at Maryland. They executed the game plan perfectly, winning outright as a double digit dog by a score of 35-14. The Terrapins only gained a total of 195 yards, and turned the ball over twice. Temple will look to ride that momentum here at home against a Tulsa team that likes to run the ball. Golden Hurricanes quarterback Luke Skipper hasn't thrown for 200 yards in any of his three starts this season, and he's thrown 3 INTs to go along with his 4 TD passes. Tulsa has trended under at a rate of 7-2 in their last nine overall, and Temple has failed to reach the total in seven of their last 10 home games. The under is 6-1 in the Owls last seven games in the month of September, and that's a trend that I expect to hold true tonight. Take Under. GL,
Jesse Schule |
|||||||
09-15-18 | USC v. Texas UNDER 48 | 14-37 | Loss | -105 | 81 h 52 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on USC@TEX to go Under the total. The Trojans scored just three points on the road at Stanford last week, but their defense looked solid holding the Cardinal under 20 points. Freshman quarterback JT Daniels threw for 215 yards and two INTs on 16-of-34 passing in the loss. It won't get any easier this week, playing on the road at Texas. These two teams have quite the history, and the last head to head meeting was an epic double OT win for USC. Sam Ehlinger threw for 298 yards with two TDs and two INTs. Ehlinger was picked off twice in a loss to Maryland in Week 1, completing just 53 percent of his passes. Texas has long trended toward the under, failing to reach the total in 42 of their last 60 overall, and 38 of their last 56 home games. The last meeting was tied 17-17 at the end of regulation, and I expect a similar pace to this game. Barring overtime, the under looks like the best bet. Take Under. GL,
Jesse Schule |
|||||||
09-15-18 | Florida State v. Syracuse OVER 68 | 7-30 | Loss | -107 | 73 h 53 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on FSU@SYR to go Over the total. The Willie Taggart era is off to a brutal start, as Florida State narrowly avoided falling to 0-2 on the season by losing to Samford at home last week. The Seminoles had trailed the whole game, and rallied to score twice in the final four minutes to come from behind and win 36-26. Deandre Francois threw for 320 yards and three TDs on 31-of-46 passing last week. He should be primed to have a big game against a Syracuse defense that allowed 42 points in their Week 1 win over Western Michigan. Both these coaches want to play fast, and that should result in a shootout here on Saturday. The total looks quite high, and trends show a lean toward the under. Keep in mind that those trends aren't reflecting a coaching matchup of Dino Babers vs Willie Taggart. Take Over. GL, Jesse Schule
|
|||||||
09-01-18 | Washington v. Auburn UNDER 48.5 | 16-21 | Win | 100 | 24 h 33 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on WAS@AUB to go Under the total. If you happened to catch my longshot pick for the Heisman Trophy, you probably already know I am big on the Huskies. Here are some of the things I said about Washington: "Two years ago Jake Browning led all Power 5 quarterbacks with 43 TD passes. He’s coming into his senior year surrounded by the most talented group in the Chris Peterson era. The Huskies are ranked 6th overall, the favorites to win the PAC12." Auburn is ranked 9th overall, and yet the Tigers will be a favorite at a neutral site game in Atlanta in Week 1. The knee jerk reaction is to think that because Auburn beat Alabama last season, and went on to play Georgia in the SEC Championship Game, that they are the better team here. Once you get past the SEC bias, you see that Washington actually ranked first nationally against the run in 2017, allowing just 2.6 yards per attempt. These teams match up pretty close in every category, except for the quarterback position. Jarrett Stidham struggled against top defenses last season. He threw for just 79 yards in a loss to Clemson, 145 yards in a loss to Georgia, and 165 yards in a loss to LSU. The Tigers have gone under in 14 of their last 17 non-conference games, and I expect another defensive battle here in Week 1 versus Washington. Take Under. GL,Jesse Schule |
|||||||
09-01-18 | Northern Illinois v. Iowa UNDER 48 | 7-33 | Win | 100 | 23 h 27 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on NIU@IOWA to go Under the total. The Hawkeyes won three straight non-conference games at the beginning of last season, and both games at home fell well short of the total. In five home games versus unranked opponents last season they failed to reach the total in four of those contests. They allowed an average of just 13 points in those games. Iowa has 24 players returning on a defense that allowed fewer than 20 points per game in 2017. These teams have failed to combine for 40 points in four of the last five head to head meetings, and Northern Illinois is going to struggle offensively here at Kinnick Stadium. The under is 5-2 in Hawkeyes last 7 non-conference games. Take Under. GL, Jesse Schule
|
|||||||
08-30-18 | New Mexico State v. Minnesota UNDER 47 | 10-48 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 29 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on NMST@MINN to go Under. It was no surprise to see the Aggies struggle on offense against Wyoming in their home opener. They lost their starting quarterback, leading rusher and leading receiver from last season. They were literally going backwards in the 1st half, and finished the game with just 135 total yards. When you consider their failures on offense, their defense held it's own conceding just 29 points to a Wyoming offense that held the ball for the majority of the game. They forced the Cowboys to punt seven times, and limited them to 137 yards on 13-of-22 passing. We should see a similar story here in Minnesota, with the Gophers pounding away with their running game. Minnesota ranked 122nd in the country in passing last season, averaging just 126 yards per game. They will have an inexperienced starter here in 2018, and I think it's likely they don't ask him to do too much here in a game that they should have little trouble winning. Minnesota ranked 11th nationally against the pass last season, and they should make life very difficult for this struggling Aggies offense. Take UNDER. GL,
Jesse Schule |
|||||||
12-30-17 | Iowa State v. Memphis OVER 66 | Top | 21-20 | Loss | -110 | 602 h 60 m | Show |
|
|||||||
12-26-17 | Utah v. West Virginia UNDER 56.5 | 30-14 | Win | 100 | 10 h 38 m | Show | |
|
|||||||
12-23-17 | Texas Tech v. South Florida OVER 65.5 | 34-38 | Win | 100 | 12 h 27 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on TTU@USF to go Over the total. |
|||||||
12-22-17 | Central Michigan v. Wyoming OVER 45 | Top | 14-37 | Win | 100 | 12 h 43 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on CMU@WYO to go OVER the total. The most intriguing story for this year's Famous Idaho Potato Bowl will be the showcase of one of the country's top ranked quarterbacks. Josh Allen is expected to be a first round pick in the upcoming NFL Draft, and this game will give him a chance to improve his draft stock. Allen missed the last two games of the regular season, and Wyoming lost those two games scoring a combined 24 points. The Cowboys were a different teams when Allen was healthy, winning six of seven games against Group of Five teams. He threw for 13 TDs and four INTs in those games. Central Michigan finished the season riding a five game win streak, and starting quarterback Shane Morris lit up the scoreboard during that span. Morris threw 1,141 yards with 14 TDs and just two INTs. All five of those games saw 55 or more combined points. The Cowboys have gone over the total in five of their last six against teams from the MAC, and their last game against Central Michigan was a 32-20 loss. I expect to see both teams score 20+ points her in this bowl game, and with an extraordinarily low total, the value lies with a play on the over. Take OVER. GL,
Jesse Schule |
|||||||
12-16-17 | Oregon v. Boise State OVER 59.5 | Top | 28-38 | Win | 100 | 75 h 29 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on BSU@ORE to go OVER the total. |
|||||||
12-09-17 | Army v. Navy OVER 45 | Top | 14-13 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 12 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on ARMY@NAVY to go OVER the total.
Last year's Army vs Navy game saw the Black Knights end a 14-game losing streak in the annual event. This season I expect another long standing trend to come to an end. These two teams have failed to reach the total in 10 straight meetings, and that has bookmakers coming with an ultra low number here this year. The total of 45 is lower than it has been in any of Navy's games this season, and only three of 11 of Navy's games saw less than 45 combined points. Army also hasn't seen a total lower than this so far in 2017, and they have seen at least 45 combined points in seven of their 11 games. Their last game was a 52-49 loss to North Texas, and they ran for a whopping 534 yards and seven TDs in that contest. The Midshipmen are coming off a pair of losses to Houston and Notre Dame. Their last win came against SMU, and they ran for 559 yards and six TDs in the victory. While Navy is the favorite once again this year, this game is expected to be closer than it has in recent years. Both these teams should put some points on the board, and a competitive game could easily lead to enough points to push this number over. Take OVER. GL, Jesse Schule |
|||||||
11-25-17 | Notre Dame v. Stanford UNDER 56 | Top | 20-38 | Loss | -110 | 117 h 17 m | Show |
|
|||||||
11-25-17 | West Virginia v. Oklahoma OVER 67 | 31-59 | Win | 100 | 10 h 11 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on WVU@OKLA to go OVER the total. |
|||||||
11-25-17 | Alabama v. Auburn OVER 47.5 | 14-26 | Loss | -110 | 105 h 53 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on ALA@AUB to go OVER the total. The Alabama Crimson Tide are still undefeated, but they appear to be about as vulnerable as they have ever been. Two weeks ago against Mississippi State they needed to rally late in a game that they were losing in the fourth quarter. They have been hit hard by injuries to several key defensive players. Not only did they lose a pair of linebackers in the win over LSU a few weeks ago, but they had already lost two star linebackers in Week 1 against Florida State. Minkah Fitzpatrick is hoping to play with a sore hamstring, but he's nowhere near 100 percent. They face an Auburn team that has scored 40+ points in all four games during a four game win streak. That includes a 40-17 home win over #1 ranked Georgia. They gained 488 total yards on the Bulldogs defense, and I like their chances of doing the same thing here against Alabama. The Crimson Tide have been extremely fortunate so far, padding their stats against weak opponents. Their most impressive win was at home to LSU, in a game where they were out-gained 306-299 in total yards. I expect both teams to score their fair share of points in the Iron Bowl. Take OVER. GL,
Jesse Schule |
|||||||
11-25-17 | Ohio State v. Michigan UNDER 50.5 | 31-20 | Loss | -110 | 96 h 34 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on OSU@MICH to go UNDER the total.
The Buckeyes are a big favorite on the road at Michigan, but this has never been an easy game for Ohio State. We've already seen a few double-digit dogs win outright here in rivalry week (Mississippi and Pittsburgh), and I wouldn't be surprised if this game is a lot closer than some people expect. Last year the Buckeyes won at home in overtime by a score of 30-27. I had the under in that game, and while there were only 34 points scored in regulation, it went over for the fourth consecutive time in this series. This Michigan team doesn't have the same offensive firepower it had a year ago, and the Wolverines were held to just 234 total yards while scoring 10 points in a loss to Wisconsin last week. Backup quarterback John O'Korn threw for just 19 yards on 2-of-8 passing, and he comes into this weeks game completing just over 50 percent of his passes this season with one TD and five INTs in seven appearances (four starts). The Wolverines have only played one game all year that has seen more than 50 combined points scored. The total for today's game is far higher than it was in each of the last two head to head meetings between these teams. Take Under. GL, Jesse Schule |
|||||||
11-24-17 | Missouri v. Arkansas OVER 70 | 48-45 | Win | 100 | 13 h 13 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on MIZZ@ARK to go OVER the total.
I bet on Missouri last week in their blowout win over Vanderbilt, and here is what I said before that game: "The Tigers have struggled against the top teams in the SEC, but playing the bottom tier teams has been a cakewalk so far. Missouri is coming off four straight wins, averaging over 50 points per game during that span. They dropped 50 on Tennessee at home last week, and they beat Florida by a whopping 29 points at home a week earlier." They led 35-0 at the half last week, and held on to win 45-17. The Tigers might face a much tougher test here at Arkansas, as the home team has covered in five straight meetings between the two teams. The Razorbacks have gone over in four of their last five home games, and I like their chances of scoring their fair share of points here in their final game of the season. Starting quarterback Austin Allen missed four games due to injury, but he's been solid when healthy. He's thrown for seven TDs and just three INTs in five home starts. As well as Missouri has been playing lately, I still think their defense is vulnerable. Arkansas should be able to score enough points to keep this game interesting. Take OVER. GL, Jesse Schule |
|||||||
11-23-17 | Ole Miss v. Mississippi State UNDER 62.5 | 31-28 | Win | 100 | 69 h 30 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on MISS@MISST to go UNDER the total. How good is Mississippi State? Well if you look at their 8-3 record, you see three losses. Those losses came against three teams in the Top 10, who are all currently in the hunt for a playoff spot. They rank 20th nationally in scoring defense, holding opponents to under 20 points per game. The Bulldogs are a big favorite here in the Egg Bowl versus rivals Mississippi, and they are expected to win by three scores. The Rebels have scored plenty of points this season, but not on the road against ranked teams. They scored a total of 26 points in losses at Alabama and Auburn, and they are just 4-13 ATS in their last 17 road games. These teams have a history of playing low scoring games, failing to reach the total in 11 of the last 15 meetings. Only one of the Bulldogs games this season saw more than a combined 60 points, and that was a blowout win over LA-Tech. Rebels quarterback Jordan Ta'amu threw for just 189 yards on 19-of-34 passing in a home loss to Texas A&M last week. I don't expect him to be any more successful here at Starkville. Take UNDER. GL, Jesse Schule |
|||||||
11-18-17 | NC State v. Wake Forest UNDER 63.5 | 24-30 | Win | 100 | 102 h 18 m | Show | |
|
|||||||
11-18-17 | Arizona University v. Oregon OVER 74 | Top | 28-48 | Win | 100 | 85 h 0 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on ARI@ORE to go OVER the total. The Ducks have been hit hard by injuries this season, especially at quarterback. Starter Justin Herbert was lost for the season, and his backup Taylor Alie has missed the last three games. The senior is hoping to be cleared in time to play here in the Ducks home game against Arizona. Third string quarterback Braxton Burmeister got the start in Oregon's last home game, and he was only asked to attempt a dozen passes. He was 9-of-12 for 47 yards and a TD, leading the Ducks to a 41-20 win over Utah. Royce Freeman and Tony Brooks-James each ran for over 100 yards in the win. The Ducks should be able to put points on the board against this 114th ranked Arizona defense. The Wildcats have played three road games versus PAC12 teams, and they have allowed more than 40 points in all three of those games. They have also scored more than their fair share of points, winning five of their last six and scoring an average of 48.8 points in those wins. Both these teams have a history of playing high scoring games, Oregon has gone over in 51 of it's last 69 home games. The Wildcats have gone over in 26 of their last 36 overall. Take OVER. GL,
Jesse Schule |
|||||||
11-18-17 | Nebraska v. Penn State UNDER 57 | 44-56 | Loss | -135 | 88 h 29 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on NEB@PSU to go UNDER the total. Jesse Schule |
|||||||
11-18-17 | Kansas State v. Oklahoma State OVER 65 | 45-40 | Win | 100 | 88 h 55 m | Show | |
|
|||||||
11-11-17 | Arizona State v. UCLA OVER 67 | 37-44 | Win | 100 | 21 h 6 m | Show | |
|
|||||||
11-11-17 | Notre Dame v. Miami-FL UNDER 57.5 | Top | 8-41 | Win | 100 | 107 h 37 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on ND@MIA to go UNDER the total. |
|||||||
11-11-17 | Alabama v. Mississippi State OVER 51 | 31-24 | Win | 100 | 102 h 33 m | Show | |
|
|||||||
11-09-17 | North Carolina v. Pittsburgh UNDER 49 | 34-31 | Loss | -104 | 13 h 35 m | Show | |
|
|||||||
11-07-17 | Bowling Green v. Buffalo UNDER 60.5 | 28-38 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 49 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on BG@BUF to go Under the total. Jesse Schule |
|||||||
11-04-17 | Oregon v. Washington UNDER 51.5 | 3-38 | Win | 100 | 114 h 3 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on ORE@WAS to go UNDER the total. |
|||||||
11-04-17 | LSU v. Alabama UNDER 51.5 | 10-24 | Win | 100 | 127 h 34 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on LSU@ALABAMA to go UNDER the total. |
|||||||
11-04-17 | Oklahoma v. Oklahoma State OVER 74 | 62-52 | Win | 100 | 123 h 34 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on OKLA@OKST to go OVER the total.
We know the Sooners rivalry with the Cowboys is commonly known as "Bedlam". Recent games between these two teams have certainly lived up to that moniker. The Cowboys are coming off a 50-39 road win over West Virginia, but I wasn't impressed with their defense in that game. The Mountaineers turned the ball over five times, and Will Grier threw four INTs. Despite those five turnovers, the Cowboys still gave up 39 points. The Sooners have also looked vulnerable on defense, and they gave up 35 points on the road at Kansas State two weeks ago. Both these teams are averaging over 40 points per game, but I expect the winner of this game to score 50+ points. The Cowboys have gone over the total in 14 of their last 20 conference games, and the over is 3-1-1 in their last five games against the Sooners. Take OVER. GL, Jesse Schule |
|||||||
11-04-17 | Clemson v. NC State UNDER 51 | 38-31 | Loss | -110 | 108 h 42 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on CLEM@NCST to go UNDER the total.
Clemson is still the team to beat in the ACC, but the Tigers offense has dropped off a lot since last season. Kelly Bryant has played well at times, but he's thrown for just 1582 yards with six TDs and four INTs, and he hasn't scored a rushing TD since winning 34-7 over Boston College on September 23. He was knocked out of the game against Wake Forest on October 7th, and since then Dabo Swinney seems to be reluctant to have him put his body on the line. NC State is still undefeated in conference play, and whoever wins this game will be the favorite to win the division. These two teams have gone under the total in three of the last four head to head meetings, and the Wolfpack has failed to reach the total in five straight overall. Last year the Tigers beat the Wolfpack by a score of 24-17 at home, and I expect a similar score here at NCState this week. Take UNDER. GL, Jesse Schule |
|||||||
10-31-17 | Bowling Green v. Kent State UNDER 50.5 | 44-16 | Loss | -110 | 19 h 37 m | Show | |
|
|||||||
10-28-17 | NC State v. Notre Dame UNDER 60.5 | 14-35 | Win | 100 | 110 h 56 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on NCST@ND to go UNDER the total.
After a blowout win over USC last Saturday, the Irish are now a huge favorite at home versus NC State. This is an obvious let down spot for Notre Dame, and this isn't a great matchup. The Irish are a one-dimensional team that leans heavily on the run, and the Wolfpack have one of the most experienced, and most dominant defensive lines in the country. They come in well rested off a bye week, riding a six game win streak. Their resume includes wins at Florida State, at home to Louisville and Syracuse. These teams played last season, and the Irish were completely shut down in a 10-3 loss. The Wolfpack held Notre Dame to just 113 total yards, and 59 rushing yards on 38 attempts. In this strength versus strength matchup, we should expect points to be hard to come by. Take UNDER. GL, Jesse Schule |
|||||||
10-28-17 | Louisville v. Wake Forest UNDER 62 | 32-42 | Loss | -110 | 107 h 35 m | Show | |
Jesse Schule |
|||||||
10-27-17 | Florida State v. Boston College UNDER 47 | 3-35 | Win | 100 | 9 h 15 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on FSU@BC to go UNDER the total. |
|||||||
10-26-17 | South Alabama v. Georgia State UNDER 49 | 13-21 | Win | 100 | 34 h 5 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on USA@GSU to go UNDER the total. The South Alabama Jaguars will play at Georgia State Thursday, in a battle between Sun Belt Conference rivals. Georgia State is coming off a 34-10 home loss to Troy, and I think we can expect another low scoring game here against the Jaguars. These teams haven't gone over the total in any of the last four head to head meetings, and last year the Jags won by a score of 13-10. The Jaguars are coming off a high scoring win over ULM, but they had failed to reach the total in five straight prior to that. Georgia State has gone under in five of it's last seven overall. Playing on a short week, we should see both teams have a conservative approach, looking to establish their run game. Georgia State has gone under in 12 of it's last 16 conference games, 10 of it's last 13 home games, and 20 of it's last 27 games overall. Take UNDER. GL,
Jesse Schule |
|||||||
10-21-17 | Fresno State v. San Diego State UNDER 51.5 | 27-3 | Win | 100 | 19 h 22 m | Show | |
8* |
|||||||
10-21-17 | USC v. Notre Dame UNDER 60 | Top | 14-49 | Loss | -115 | 126 h 41 m | Show |
|
|||||||
10-21-17 | Iowa v. Northwestern UNDER 48.5 | 10-17 | Win | 100 | 119 h 36 m | Show | |
8* |
|||||||
10-21-17 | Louisville v. Florida State UNDER 59 | 31-28 | Push | 0 | 10 h 0 m | Show | |
|
|||||||
10-19-17 | Memphis v. Houston UNDER 59 | 42-38 | Loss | -105 | 18 h 46 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on MEM@HOU to go UNDER the total. |
|||||||
10-14-17 | Purdue v. Wisconsin UNDER 51.5 | 9-17 | Win | 100 | 108 h 9 m | Show | |
|
|||||||
10-14-17 | Texas Tech v. West Virginia UNDER 80 | 35-46 | Loss | -110 | 83 h 44 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on TTU@WVU to go UNDER the total. The West Virginia Mountaineers aren't getting a lot of respect here at home versus Texas Tech. After all this is a team that they trounced by a score of 48-17 last year, and that game was at Lubbock. With the Red Raiders coming to Morgantown, I see no reason why the result will be any different. Sure Texas Tech has improved defensively, but they still lost 41-34 at home to Oklahoma State two weeks ago. Their offense doesn't appear to be quite as prolific as it was with Patrick Mahomes at quarterback. Nic Shimonek threw for 330 yards with 1 TD and an INT on 29-of-46 passing in the loss to the Cowboys. That was a home game, and now he's playing on the road against a far better defense in West Virginia. The Red Raiders lost 31-26 in their last game at Morgantown (back in 2015). Texas Tech might look like a sexy pick as a dog, but keep in mind that the Red Raiders have lost 16 straight versus Top 25 teams. The under is 12-2 in West Virginia's last 14 games in October. Jesse Schule |
|||||||
10-14-17 | NC State v. Pittsburgh UNDER 54 | 35-17 | Win | 100 | 6 h 58 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on NCST@PIT to go UNDER the total.
Pittsburgh's Homecoming game against the Wolfpack looks tough. The Panthers lost starting quarterback Max Browne for the season, and backup Ben Dincucci hasn't looked great at all. The sophomore has completed just 55 percent of his passes for 422 yards with two TDs and two INTs. He's going up against one of the top defensive lines in the country, and adding insult to injury, their leading rusher is also suspended indefinitely. This looks like it could be a defensive battle, as the Wolfpack have gone under in eight straight against ACC teams, and Pittsburgh has failed to reach the total in six of it's last seven overall. The Panthers have lost to Syracuse, Georgia Tech and Penn State, but none of those games saw enough combined points to reach the total listed for this week's game against the Wolfpack. Take UNDER. GL, Jesse Schule |
|||||||
10-11-17 | South Alabama v. Troy UNDER 50 | 19-8 | Win | 100 | 14 h 51 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on USA@TROY to go UNDER the total.
The Troy Trojans are coming off a shocking 24-21 upset win over LSU. They will have to try to avoid a let down here at home against a tough conference rival Wednesday. These teams have played some close games over the years, and four of their last five head to head meetings have failed to reach a combined 50 points. Both teams favor the ground game over an air attack, and we should see a gritty, low scoring battle in Alabama. Troy has a great defense, ranking 24th nationally allowing just 18.6 points per game. The under is 15-5-1 in the Trojans last 21 games overall. Even more telling is the fact that they have only gone over in one of their last 12 versus conference rivals. The Jaguars are trending in the same direction, coming off four straight games that failed to reach the total. Take UNDER. GL, Jesse Schule |
|||||||
10-07-17 | Arizona v. Colorado UNDER 59 | 45-42 | Loss | -110 | 21 h 35 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on ARI@COL to go UNDER the total 1/H. |
|||||||
10-05-17 | Louisville v. NC State UNDER 67 | 25-39 | Win | 100 | 38 h 52 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on LOU@NCSTATE to go UNDER the total. The Wolfpack were crushed in a 54-14 loss at Louisville last year, and they will have a chance to avenge that loss here at home on Thursday night. Louisville averaged over 60 points per game in their first four games of last season, but their offense hasn't been nearly as explosive so far this year. They have failed to score 30 points in their last three games at Raleigh. Two of those three games went under the total, and not one of those games saw more than a combined 55 points. The total for tonight's game has been bet up several points since opening at 63, and I think that's a pretty high number when you consider that NC. State is vastly improved on defense. The Wolfpack have gone under in seven straight versus conference rivals, and the under is 16-1-1 in their last 18 games on a Thursday. Last week NC State ran the ball for 256 yards and three TDs, and they should find plenty of room to run here in this game. Take UNDER. GL,
Jesse Schule |
|||||||
09-30-17 | Clemson v. Virginia Tech UNDER 52 | Top | 31-17 | Win | 100 | 117 h 47 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on CLEM@VT to go UNDER the total.
The Clemson Tigers are a heavy favorite on the road at Virginia Tech this week, and I expect this to be a low scoring battle between two solid defensive teams. Clemson's defense has been impressive, ranking 3rd nationally, allowing opponents to average just over nine points per game. Virginia Tech ranks 6th nationally, allowing just over 10 points per game. The Hokies have outscored opponents 65-0 in two home games so far. Clemson quarterback Kelly Bryant hasn't played poorly, but his stats aren't all that impressive. He's thrown for 873 yards and has completed 68 percent of his passes, but has just two TDs and three picks in four games. Freshman Josh Jackson has put up far more impressive numbers for the Hokies, but hasn't yet faced an opponent like Clemson. These teams have a history of playing low scoring games, with six of the last eight meetings going under the total. The Hokies have only scored an average of 16.25 point in their last four games against Clemson, and I doubt they manage much better than that here this week. Take UNDER. GL, Jesse Schule |
|||||||
09-30-17 | Oklahoma State v. Texas Tech UNDER 84.5 | 41-34 | Win | 100 | 17 h 32 m | Show | |
8* |
|||||||
09-30-17 | Arizona State v. Stanford OVER 63 | 24-34 | Loss | -110 | 84 h 16 m | Show | |
8* |