This is a 5* play on Under.

Georgia Tech is in their second year since abandoning the Triple-Option offense, and as expected there have been some growing pains. Freshman QB Jeff Sims has thrown twice as many picks (4) as TDs (2) through the first two weeks. The Yellow Jackets come into Syracuse as a rather dubious looking favorite, and the Orange haven't been too bad defensively. In Week 1 they held North Carolina to just 10 points heading into the fourth quarter, before being outscored 21-0 in the final frame. Last week they lost 20-7 at Pittsburgh. The under is 8-3-1 in the Orange's last 12 games as a home underdog.

Take Under.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 5* play on Over.

The Raiders offense was firing on all cylinders in Week 1, totaling 34 points on 372 total yards. Josh Jacobs scored three TDs, running for 93 yards on 25 carries. Derek Carr had a clean game, throwing for 239 yards and a TD without turning the ball over. The Raiders won seven games last season, and five of those seven wins came at home. They were not very good defensively, and based on their performance in Week 1 their defense is still a big concern. The Raiders are 6-2 ATS in their last eight games as a home underdog, and the over is 16-7 in the Saints last 23 games in September.

Take Over.

GL,

Jesse Schule

5*

This is a 5* play on Over.

The Texans were eliminated from last year's playoffs in a 51-31 loss to the Chiefs. They opened up an early 24-0 lead, only to trail 28-21 at halftime. The Chiefs offense is as unstoppable as we have ever seen, and last year they score 40 points in Week 1. They scored 38 points in their first game of the pre-season last year, so expecting them to get off to a slow start might be misguided. The over is 5-0 in the Chiefs last five season openers, and the over is 6-1 in the Chiefs last seven games in September.

Take Over.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is an 8* play on Over 53.5.

The Chiefs come into Super Bowl LIV as favorites, despite the fact that San Francisco has a better record. The 49ers are statistically better both on offense and defense, and they appear to have very few weaknesses. One thing that San Francisco doesn't have is Patrick Mahomes. There is no doubt that Mahomes is the one player that is most likely to directly influence the result of this game. He's capable of driving down the field and putting points on the board quite quickly. The 49ers ranked second in the NFL in scoring this season behind Baltimore, and the Chiefs have scored a combined 87 points in their wins over Tennessee and Houston. With two weeks for these coaching staffs to scheme, expect both offenses to be explosive.

Take Over.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is an 8* play on the Titans to go Over the team total.

The Chiefs were down 24-0 early in the second quarter at home against the Texans, and Houston suffered the worst collapse since Atlanta's in Super Bowl 51. The Titans come in as a big underdog, and the bookmakers aren't expecting them to score a lot of points. I think that's a mistake, as this team averaged over 33 points per game in their final seven games of the regular season. They have the NFL's leading rusher, and the top ranked quarterback during that span. Kansas City on the other hand gives up a lot of points, as evidenced in their 51-31 win last week. Even if the Chiefs have a big lead, their inability to run should allow the Titans plenty of opportunity to score points of their own. Henry ran for 188 yards and two TDs in the previous matchup versus the Chiefs. He's been a beast in the playoffs, and he should get every opportunity to score here in Kansas City.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 10* play on Under.

After being held scoreless in the first 20+ minutes in the Fiesta Bowl, the Tigers scored a pair of TDs in the final three minutes of the first half. They held the Buckeyes to just seven points in the second half, and ended up winning 29-23. They will no doubt have to play better here against LSU, but I really don't see anybody stopping Joe Burrows. LSU scored 49 first half points against the Sooners in the Peach Bowl, and they held Oklahoma to just 28 points. LSU is 5-1 ATS in their last six non-conference games, and they have covered the spread in four of their last five bowl games. The under is 13-6 in Clemson's last 19 bowl games.  The total for this game is higher than in any of Clemson's last 10 games. I like LSU to win, holding Clemson under 30 points.

Take Under.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 10* play on [email protected] to go Under the total.

The Titans held the Patriots scoreless in the second half at Foxboro on Wild Card Weekend, and Derek Henry ran wild. Mike Vrabel will likely look to continue to pound away with his power running game, especially given the weather here in Baltimore. The Ravens are perfectly comfortable running the ball, and with both teams leaning on the run we should see the clock run. The Ravens defense held opponents to just over 17 points per game this season, while Tennessee allowed just over 20 points per game. Lamar Jackson tore up the league this year, but it remains to be seen if that success will translate in the post-season. It didn't last year, in a 23-17 loss to the Chargers. He completed less than 50 percent of his passes for 194 yards, 2 TDs and an INT. Both his touchdowns came in garbage time after the Ravens trailed 23-3 in the fourth quarter. The under is 5-1 in the Titans last six playoff road games, and the Ravens have gone under in six straight home playoff games.

Take Under.

GL,

Jesse Schule

8*

This is a 7* play on the Arizona State Sun Devils.

Arizona State comes into the Sun Bowl with a 7-5 record, but when you really look at where they got their wins, it's more impressive than one might think. This is a team that was 3-1 against Top 25 teams. The Seminoles on the other hand don't have a lot to hang their hat on, they finished with a 6-6 record, and none of those six wins were at all impressive. FSU will not have new head coach Mike Norvell for this bowl game, instead interim head coach Odell Haggins will be filling in. Leading rusher Cam Akers is sitting out, and his backup will miss the game due to injury. That leaves FSU without any running backs with any experience. James Blackman will have to carry the team if FSU is going to compete here, and he's shown little signs that he's up to the task.

Take ASU.

GL,

Jesse Schule

The Sooners scored plenty of points in the BIG12 this season, but they will be a big underdog against the #1 ranked SEC champions LSU. The Tigers allowed a combined 17 points in wins over Georgia and Texas A&M at the end of the season. The Tigers are a double digit favorite, so this game isn't necessarily expected to be close. It's going to be hard to reach such a high total if LSU wins in commanding fashion (as expected). The under is 18-3-1 in the Sooners last 22 games in December, and they have failed to reach the total in eight of their last 10 versus SEC teams.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 10* play on [email protected] to go Over the total.

The Rainbow Warriors host rivals BYU in the Hawaii Bowl on Christmas Eve, and history suggests that we should see plenty of scoring in this game. Hawaii comes in with a 9-5 overall record, winning four of their final five games and ranking 6th nationally in passing. The Cougars won five of their last six games, and they scored 30+ points in four of those five wins. The last time these teams met, the Cougars won by a score of 49-23 last October. The over is 11-4 in the Rainbow Warriors last 15 games as an underdog, and they have gone over in 14 of their last 20 in the month of December.

Take Over.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 5* play on [email protected] to go Under the total.

Few things are sure in life. There is death, taxes and a low scoring Army vs Navy game. At least that's been the case for the last decade, with each of the last 10 head to head meetings going under. Last year Army led 7-0 at halftime, and went on to win 17-10. Both the midshipmen and the Black Knights are coming off high scoring games. Navy won 56-41 at Houston, while Army lost 52-31 at Hawaii. The weather will be a problem for both these offenses today though, with plenty of wind and rain in the forecast in Philly. The under is 14-2 in the last 16 meetings.

Take Under.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is an 8* play on [email protected] to go Under the total.

The Eagles secondary has been a glaring weakness this season, and they were exposed in a 37-31 loss to the Dolphins last week. Prior to that game though, they had held four straight opponents to fewer than 20 points. Eli Manning has been riding the pine for the majority of the season, and it's asking a lot of him to come in and compete on the road in Philly in bad weather in the middle of December. The Eagles are 5-0 straight up in the last five meetings versus New York, and the under is 7-2 in the Giants last nine visits to Philly. Another low score should be expected in the City of Brotherly Love tonight.

Take Under.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is an 8* play on [email protected] to go Under the total.

Last year we saw these teams play twice, and both games were high scoring. Things might be different here in December in Foxboro, as both teams have struggled on offense of late. The Patriots though are getting it done with their defense, leading the NFL in points allowed (12.1 per game). The Chiefs have showed some improvements with their defense, holding their last two opponents to a combined 26 points. The Chiefs are 10-4-1 ATS in their last 15 road games, and the under is 7-3 in Patriots last 10 home games. Last year the Chiefs lost by three points at New England during the regular season, and they lost in overtime to the Patriots in the playoffs. I wouldn't be surprised if this game was decided by a kicker.

Take Under.

GL,

Jesse Schule

8*

This is a 2-team teaser with Cowboys + Under.

Historically when you think of bedlam you think about all the high scores these teams have posted over the years. They have score more than 80 combined points in three of the last four head to head meetings, but both of these teams are a lot better defensively than they have been in past seasons. The Cowboys are riding a four game win streak, with not one of those games seeing a combined 70 points. The Sooners have failed to cover in four straight road games, and they are 0-6-1 ATS in their last seven games in November. The under is 5-1 in Oklahoma's last six road games.

GL,

Jesse Schule

5*

This is an 8* play on [email protected] to go Under the total.

The Chargers will play Kansas City in Mexico City tonight, and they will be wary of Patrick Mahomes and the Chiefs high flying offense. Mahomes threw for 446 yards and three TDs in a loss at Tennessee last week, and the only way to stop him is to keep the ball out of his hands. This has been proven by the Colts, who ran for 180 yards in a 19-13 win over the Chiefs. The Texans ran for 192 yards in a win over the Chiefs a week later. Melvin Gordon is coming off back to back games with 20+ carries and 80+ yards, so the Chargers should be well equiped to put this plan into action. LA also boasts the #4 ranked pass defense in the NFL, allowing just over 200 yards per game.

Take Under.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is an 8* play on [email protected] to go Over the total.

The Seahawks defense has struggled this season, and that is especially true lately. Over their last five games they have allowed 28 or more in four of five games. The 49ers defense ranks first overall in the NFL in yards allowed, but they face a Seattle quarterback that has thrown for 22 TDs and one INT so far this season. The over is 6-2 in the Seahawks last eight road games, and the over is 13-5 in the Seahawks last 18 games overall.

Take Over. 

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 10* play on [email protected] under 65.

The Alabama Crimson Tide haven't been tested yet, but they also haven't played anybody currently ranked in the Top 25. LSU on the other hand comes in battle tested, with a pair of wins over Top 10 teams (Florida and Auburn). The Tigers will be looking to avenge a 29-0 loss to Alabama last year, and they do have history on their side. The Tigers are 7-3-1 ATS in their last 11 meetings in Alabama, and the Crimson Tide are 0-5 ATS in their last five home games versus a team with a winning road record. The under is 5-0 in the last five meetings.

Take Under.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is an 8* play on [email protected] to go Over the total.

The Raiders have given up over 93 points in their last three games, and both Matt Stafford and Aaron Rodgers threw for over 400 yards against them. During that span their offense has also been productive, and Derek Carr has thrown for over 280 yards with at least two TDs in each of his last three starts. The Raiders host the Chargers on Thursday Night Football, and NFL passing leader Phillip Rivers. The over is 5-1 in the Raiders last six games overall. The over is 37-18-3 in the Raiders last 58 games following an ATS win.

Take Over.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is an 8* play on [email protected] to go Under the total.

The Spartans are coming off a bye week, after getting throttled in a 38-0 loss to Wisconsin. They should be ready to go to war in this home game against Penn State, and both teams have been very comfortable playing low scoring smashmouth football games. The Nittany Lions have won a pair of games already that they failed to score 20 points in, 17-12 at Iowa and 17-10 at home versus Pittsburgh. The Spartans offense rarely scores 20, but their defense at home in games like this has risen to the challenge. I think if either of these teams scores 20 points in this game it will be enough to win. 

Take Under.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is an 8* play on [email protected] to go Under the total.

The Wildcats are 1-4, but they might be a lot better off if they could score any points. Their defense has kept them in a lot of games, but their offense simply hasn't been able to get any points on the board. They are a huge underdog at home versus Ohio State on Friday, but they are coming off their bye week and they have covered the spread in back to back games. They held Wisconsin and Nebraska to a combined 37 points, and both games fell well short of the total. The under is 42-14-1 in Wildcats last 57 home games, and they have failed to reach the total in seven of their last nine conference games.

Take Under.

GL,

Jesse Schule

10*

This is an 8* play on [email protected] to go Over the total.

The Hurricanes were lit up for 21 points in first quarter at home versus Virginia Tech last week. Quarterback Jarren Williams was just 4-of-7 for 47 yards and three INTs before getting pulled. His backup N'Kosi Perry stepped right in and threw for 422 yards and four TDS on 28-of-47 passing, tying the game with three minutes left to play. The Canes defense couldn't hold and the Hokies ran in the game winning TD with a minute left on the clock. The Cavs bring a 4-1 record into tonight's game, and their quarterback has played well, even in their loss to Notre Dame. Bryce Perkins threw for 334 yards and two scores on 30-of-43 passing in a 35-20 loss at South Bend. I expect to see plenty of scoring here in this pivotal ACC game Friday night.

Take Over.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is an 8* play on [email protected] to go Under the total.

The Browns are coming off a huge win on the road at Baltimore, and Baker Mayfield threw for 340 yards on 20-of-30 passing with a TD and an INT. Mayfield has thrown at least one INT in all four of his starts this season, and he threw 10 INTs in seven starts on the road last year. He's thrown nine INTs in his last six starts on the road. Playing on the West Coast against an undefeated 49ers team coming off a bye week surely won't be easy for Cleveland. The San Francisco defense has allowed just 283 yards per game so far, and only two teams have allowed fewer. The 49ers have failed to reach the total in five of their last seven home games, and these teams have gone under in six straight head to head meetings.

Take UNDER.

GL,

Jesse Schule

8*

This is an 8* play on [email protected] to go Under the total.

Stanford has been brutal this season, and they are a double digit home dog this week against Washington. Historically these teams have played close low scoring gamses, and the total has been under 50 in each of the last five meetings. The Huskies are 1-4 ATS in their last five at Stanford, and the Cardinal have failed to reach the total in seven of their last 10 home games. Stanford's last home game was a 26-6 loss to Oregon, and I can't see the Huskies doing much better here than the Ducks.

Take Under.

GL.

Jesse Schule

This is an 8* play on [email protected] to go Over the total.

The Spartans have lost by 20+ points to Ohio State in each of the last two seasons, but historically they have not been an easy opponent for the Buckeyes. Michigan State has won outright in 2015, 2013 and in 2011. The last time they were getting 20+ points in this matchup was in 2016, and they lost that game by a score of 17-16. The underdog is 6-2 ATS in the last eight meetings, and the road team is 8-3 ATS in their last 11 meetings. This year's Spartans team should be a lot better than the team that lost 26-6 to Ohio State last year. That game was also a lot closer than the final score would suggest, and the Spartans trailed by just three points at the beginning of the fourth quarter. Brian Lewerke finished the 2018 season with eight TD passes and 11 INTs in 11 starts. So far after four games this season he has 10 TD passes and just one INT. The over is 8-2 in the Buckeyes last 10 home games versus a team with a winning road record. The total for this game is lower than it was in any of the previous six head to head meetings.

Take Over.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is an 8* play on [email protected] to go Under the total.

The Irish played admirably in a 23-17 loss at Georgia last week, and they don't have any time to feel sorry for themselves. They host a 4-0 Virginia Team this Saturday, and the Cavs appear to be for real. Two of their four wins come within conference, beating Pittsburgh and Florida State. They held Pitt to just 14 points, and they have allowed an average of just 18 points per game. The trends suggest a low scoring game here, as the Irish have gone under in five of their last seven when coming off a loss. The under is 5-1 in their last six non-conference games, and they have gone under in four of their last five versus ACC teams.

Take Under.

GL,

Jesse Schule

5*

The New Orleans Saints travel across the country to play in Seattle, where the Seahawks have been quite formidable over the last decade. With Drew Brees sidelined by a thumb injury, the Saints have announced that they intend to split the snaps between Teddy Bridgewater and Taysom Hill. While some might think that sounds "dynamic", to me it reeks of desperation. They don't have the confidence in Bridgewater to name him the starter, and their offense is likely to be a shambles. Their defense wasn't impressive in a Week 1 win over Houston, giving up over 400 yards, and last week's loss to the Rams wasn't much better.

This is an 8* play on [email protected] to go Under the total.

These teams last met in 2017, and Georgia won by a score of 20-19 in a nationally televised game at South Bend. I remember the game well, as I had a premium play on the under, and a free play on Georgia +5.5. The free play was met with some healthy (if no obnoxious) criticism on FB and Twitter. In the end The Iceman had the last laugh. The Irish were embarrassed in a 30-3 loss to Clemson in the College Football Playoffs last year, and they will be a double digit dog here in this game. The Bulldogs have failed to cover in 10 of their last 13 games in the month of December, and the under is 22-9-2 in the Bulldogs last 33 home games. I exect Georgia to be in full control in the second half, and focused on running out the clock.

Take Under.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is an 8* play on Northwestern.

The Wildcats lost 17-7 at Stanford in Week 1, but they went to The Farm and held the Cardinals to 132 yards and no TDs on 39 carries. Now they come off a bye week to play the UNLV Rebels at home. This is a Rebels team that relies heavily on the run, and I think UNLV is running right into a brick wall here. Northwestern is expected to win this game by three scores, even though they don't have a very explosive offense. We don't see a lot of high scoring games at Evanston, as evidences by the fact that the under is 41-13-1 in the Wildcats last 55 home games.

Take Under.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is an 8* play on [email protected] to go Under the total.

The Stanford Cardinal held Northwestern to just seven points in Week 1, but they were blown out in Week 2 at USC. They should have their starting QB back this week at Central Florida, but he should face a ton of pressure from a Knights defense that has recorded seven sacks in two games. UCF allowed just 14 points in a win at FAU last week, after pitching a shutout in their season opener. The under is 4-1 in the Cardinal's last five non-conference games, and the total for this game appears to be a little inflated.

Take Under.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 10* play on [email protected] to go Under the total.

The first Sunday Night Football game of the season features a pair of Super Bowl contenders and a couple of aging Hall of Fame quarterbacks. You might think that these teams have lit up the scoreboard in previous meetings, but that hasn't been the case. Four of the last five meetings have gone under the total dating back to 2013. The last time these teams met the Steelers won by a score of 17-10 last December. Big Ben threw for 235 yards, two TDs and a pair of INTs in the win. Brady was even more pedestrian, throwing for 279 yards, a TD and an INT in the loss. The Steelers have managed to find ways to win without LeVeon Bell and Antonio Brown, but there is no denying that they aren't as talented as they once were. The Patriots will be getting used to life without Gronk, and Sony Michel should play a bigger role in this year's offense. The Patriots have failed to reach the total in four of their last five at Foxboro.

Take Under.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is an 8* play on [email protected] to go Under the total.

The biggest story of the pre-season was Andrew Luck hanging up the cleats, and bettors have been scrambling to make sense of the Colts moving forward. The knee jerk reaction was to bet against Indianapolis, but after the line went as high as -9, the Chargers have settled as less than a TD favorite. Indy should still be competitive, as they were the last time Jacoby Brissett stepped in at quarterback. I do expect them to be more conservative though, and that should lead to a lower score.

Take Under.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is an 8* play on [email protected] to go Under the total.

The Orange looked great on defense in a 24-0 win over Liberty in Week 1, but the offense wasn't very impressive. Tommy Devito threw for 176 yards and two INTs on 17-of-25 passing. Now he heads out on the road to face a BIG10 team in non conference play, and it isn't likely to be an easy game for the Orange. Their defense should keep them in it though, and I like the under with the total on the high side of 50. The under is 8-3 in Syracuse's last 11 road games, and the Terps have gone under in five straight versus ACC teams.

Take Under.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is an 8* play on [email protected] to go Over the total.

The Bearcats beat UCLA 24-14 in Week 1, but I think that game might say more about UCLA than it does about Cinci. A week later they are in Columbus, and they face a far better Ohio State team. I expect the Buckeyes to get their points here this afternoon, and I think the total looks a little too low. It opened at 55 and has since been bet down to 52, and I think that presents value in taking the over.

Take Over.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is an 8* play on [email protected] to go Under the total. 

Georgia won 41-13 in last year's meeting, and these teams have gone under in three of the last four annual meetings. The total for this year's game is even higher than it was a year ago, in fact it's higher than it has been in any of the last five meetings. You know the Commodores are going to look to slow this game down, and pound away with their running game. The Bulldogs don't mind muddying things up, and this should be another down and dirty SEC game. The under is 4-1 in the Commodores last five conference games. Vanderbilt has gone under in nine of their last 13 overall.

Take Under.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 10* play on [email protected] to go Under the total.

These teams met for the first time last season, and Missouri won by a score of 40-13 at home. The Tigers offense should have a different look this season, with Kelly Bryant stepping in to replace Drew Lock. Bryant isn't going to light up defenses the way Lock did, and we should see the Tigers lean more on their running game. The Cowboys are solid on defense, but they lack talent on the other side of the ball. The under is 11-5 in the Cowboys last 16 home games, and the under is 8-3-1 in Cowboys last 12 non-conference games. Wyoming has gone under in four straight versus the SEC.

Take Under.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 10* play on [email protected] to go Under the total.

There's no doubt that Clemson's 30-3 win over Notre Dame was impressive, and this defense should be able to hold it's own against Alabama. This isn't the same team that scored just 24 points against the Tigers in last year's playoffs. This time around both these teams have improved at the quarterback position. For that reason the total for this game is set 10 points higher than it was in the previous playoff matchups over the last three seasons. I don't think it's realistic though to ask Trevor Lawrence to do what Deshaun Watson did in 2016, when the Tigers won in a massive upset. They say "defense wins championships", and they aren't kidding. Clemson has held opponents to just 13.7 points per game, just slightly less than the 14.8 points per game that Alabama has allowed. I expect this year's National Championship Game to be closer to last year's game than the high scoring games in 2016 and 2017. Weather could also be a factor, as the last game played at Levi's Stadium was a 7-6 score with Oregon and Michigan State struggling to throw the ball on a windy day.

Take Under.

GL,

Jesse Schule

Jesse Schule

This is a 10* play on [email protected] to go Over the total.

The West Virginia Mountaineers were hoping to compete for a playoff spot this season, and Will Grier was one of the favorites to win the Heisman. Finishing the season with back to back heartbreaking losses leaves a cloud hanging around Morgantown heading into Bowl Season. When first asked about the Camping World Bowl, Will Grier said: “I have no thoughts or decisions,” Grier said. “I was planning on playing [in the Big 12 championship]. Just kind of taking it all in, my last game in Morgantown. Wish we would have came out on top, but we left it all out there for the fans.” The Orange are coming into this game with a chance to reach 10 wins, which would be considered a huge success for Dino Babers and company. The last time I bet on the Orange, they lost their starting quarterback early in the first quarter and ended up getting blown out by Notre Dame. Here is what I said prior to that game: "This a team that has already proved it can hang with the big boys, last year they handed Clemson it's only regular season loss. Senior quarterback Eric Dungey has been lighting it up with his arm and his legs. He's got a dozen rushing TDs and 690 rushing yards so far this season. The Orange have covered the spread in five straight non conference games, and they are 9-3 ATS in their last 12 against teams with a winning record. While the Mountaineers will miss Grier, this high flying offense still has plenty of weapons. The Orange will be shorthanded on defense with three starters missing the game for personal reasons. I expect to see plenty of scoring here in Orlando.

Take Over.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 10* play on [email protected] to go Under the total.

The Seahawks return home with a bitter taste in their mouth after losing in overtime at San Francisco. They might just get back on track against a Chiefs team that appears to be vulnerable. I bet against the Chiefs last week, and here is what I said prior to their loss to LA: "The Chiefs offense has been flying high all season, but they come into Thursday's home game against the Chargers a little banged up. They lost one of their most dangerous weapons when they released Kareem Hunt, and Spencer Ware has been pretty mediocre filling his place. Now they might not even have Ware or Sammy Watkins for this game, and if my memory serves me correctly I seem to recall Tyreek Hill limping off the field with a sprained ankle in overtime on Sunday." Patrick Mahomes gets a lot of attention with his "no look" passes, and the rest of his "hot dog" antics. He could be in for a rough ride here in a cold weather game in the Emerald City.

Take Under.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 10* (GOY) play on [email protected] to go Under the total.

The Steelers got it done with their defense in a 17-10 home win over New England last week, keeping their playoff hopes alive. The Saints high flying offense has been grounded in recent weeks, losing to Dallas, scoring three points in the first half at Tampa, and then last week they trailed Carolina 7-6 at halftime. The bookmakers seem to be ignoring that here in this game with a total between 55-60. This is a big game for both teams, and both defenses are dialed in. I'll fade the inflated number.

Take UNDER.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 10* play on [email protected] to go Over the total.

When I saw the total open at 43 for Monday's game between Washington and Philly, I assumed that bad weather must be in the forecast in the City of Brotherly Love. That's not the case though, and I think the bookmakers are overreacting to the injury to Alex Smith. The Redskins are still tied for first place in the division, and it's not like Alex Smith was lighting it up when they were winning games. Smith averaged 206 yards per game on 62.5 percent passing, averaging 6.6 yards per pass. McCoy has completed 60 percent of his passes, and has averaged 6.4 yards per pass. On Thanksgiving Day in Dallas, he threw for 268 yards and two TDs, but was picked off three times. He matches up against a Philly team that is very thin in the secondary, and I expect him to have some success moving the ball. These teams actually have a history of playing high scoring games, going over in four of the last five meetings, and four straight meetings in Philly. The total for this game is far lower than it was in any of the previous 10 meetings. I'll fade this low number.

Take Over.

GL,

Jesse Schule

10*

This is a 10* play on [email protected] to go Over the total.

The Eagles will need to score plenty of points if they want to hang with the Saints at the Superdome on Sunday. That's even more true given all the injuries in the secondary for Philly. Carson Wentz might have some success against a Saints defense that was lit up for 391 yards by Jared Goff in a 45-35 win in their last home game. The Saints have scored 40+ in three of their four home games this season. These two teams have gone over the total in six of the last eight head to head meetings, and Philly won the last meeting by a score of 39-17. I expect the Eagles to score their share here in a shootout in the BIG EASY!

Take Over.

GL,

Jesse Schule

Jesse Schule

Jesse Schule

8*

This is an 8* play on [email protected] to go Over the total.

This line has been bet down quite a bit since it opened, and despite possible weather concerns, I just don't think the Golden Flashes will be able to slow down this potent Bulls offense. The Bulls come in averaging 35 points per game, but they dropped 51 on Miami-Oh in their last home game. Buffalo has gone over in six straight against teams with a losing record, and that's a trend that I expect to continue tonight.

Take Over.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 10* GOY play on [email protected] to go Over the total.  In previous meetings between Alabama and LSU, my go to move has been to take the under. That has been the right call in eight of the last nine head to head meetings, including last year's 24-10 win for Alabama in Tuscaloosa. Things have changed though, as this isn't the Alabama offense with Jalen Hurts, Jake Coker or A.J. McCarron. Since the arrival of Tua Tagovailoa, the Tide have been an offensive juggernaut. LSU has also improved on offense, coming in averaging over 30 points per game. Alabama leads the country averaging over 54 points per game, but they have only played one ranked team. That was a 45-23 win over Texas A&M. I expect them to drop at least 40 on the Tigers, and LSU is likely to get a few licks in as well. My prediction is a 42-24 win for the visitors.  Take OVER.  GL,  

Jesse Schule

This is an 8* play on [email protected] to go Under the total.

The Utes ran all over the UCLA Bruins in a 41-10 home win last week, but they face a much toughest test here at Arizona State. Herm Edwards already has a handful of impressive results against top tier teams this year. Arizona State upset Michigan State at home, won on the road at UCLA and covered in a 27-20 loss to the Huskies in Washington. Arizona State has won three of four home games, and have allowed opponents to average just 16 points per game at home this season. These teams have a history of playing low scoring games, and only one of the last nine head to head meetings have seen more than 55 combined points. Utah has failed to reach the total in five of it's last six when coming off a win, while the under is 4-1 in the Sun Devils last five games in November.

Take Under.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is an 8* play on [email protected] to go Under the total.

The Central Florida Knights own the longest winning streak in the country (20 games). They have proclaimed themselves to be national champions, but they narrowly avoided defeat in a 31-30 win at Memphis a few weeks ago. While they won that battle, they might lose the war if McKenzie Milton misses any more time. The star QB was injured in that game, and didn't play in a 37-10 win at ECU last week. Even if he does return to action tonight, he likely isn't going to push it by running the ball as he normally does. Temple is a strong opponent with a solid defense, and the total for tonight's game appears to be a little inflated. The last time Temple played at UCF, they lost 26-25. Three of the last four meetings between these teams saw less than 52 combined points.

Take Under.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is an 8* play on [email protected] to go Under the total.

The Patriots are an enormous favorite in Buffalo on Monday night, and given that the Bills have failed to score 14 points in four straight games, I don't doubt that this game will be indeed a one-sided affair. The Pats will be thin at running back with leading rusher Sony Michel on the shelf, but the Bills have far bigger problems with a 35 year old backup quarterback likely to start. Derek Anderson was picked off three times in last week's 37-5 loss to the Colts. The Patriots have failed to reach the total in five of their last seven road games, while the Bills have gone under in five straight.

Take Under.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 10* play on [email protected] to go Under the total.

The Vikings defense hasn't been as good this year as it was when they beat New Orleans 29-19 in Week 1 last year. They also won a thriller in the playoffs, winning on a walkoff TD by Stephan Diggs making it 29-24 (still less than 55 points). That game likely should have finished 24-23 if it wasn't for a miracle 61 yard play. New Orleans looks to be vastly improved on the defensive side of the ball this season, and I think this total appears grossly inflated.

Take Under.

GL,

Jesse Schule

10*

This is an 8* play on [email protected] to go Over.

The Chiefs defense ranks among the worst in the league when it comes to stopping the run. KC ranks 28th in the league versus the run, allowing over 127 yards per game. They also rank 27th in scoring defense, giving up over 28 points per game. Cinci has scored more than 24.5 points in four of six games so far, and with all their offensive weapons I can't see KC holding them under 27 points. The first half total of 27.5 seems just a little low, as I expect to see a minimum of 4 TDs before halftime.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is an 10* play on [email protected] to go Under.

Arizona comes into tonight's game with a 2-2 conference record, but they will be a double digit underdog without their starting quarterback. Khalil Tate left early in last week's loss to Utah with an ankle injury, and was replaced by the son of former Arizona coach Rich Rodriguez. The sophomore wasn't too bad, throwing for 226 yards and a TD on 20-of-38 passing. He likely won't have to be great to keep the Wildcats in the game against UCLA, as the Bruins are ranked 119th nationally averaging just over 20 points per game. Freshman quarterback Dorian Thompson-Robinson has failed to throw for 200 yards in four of his six starts, and last week against Cal he threw for just 141 yards on 13-of-15 passing. The Bruins ran the ball 55 times in that game, and given that they snapped a five game losing skid, you might expect them to lean on the run here at home against Arizona. The public seems pretty keen to back the Bruins here with the news that Tate won't play, but I am focused on the total. Arizona has failed to reach the total in four straight, and six straight within conference. We could see both teams pound away with the run given that neither team has a lot of talent at quarterback at the moment.

Take Under.

GL,

Jesse Schule

Jesse Schule

Jesse Schule

Jesse Schule

This is an 8* play on [email protected] to go Under the total.

The Texas A&M Aggies are 3-2, but their two losses came against #2 ranked Clemson and #1 ranked Alabama. They host the 5-0 Kentucky Wildcats tonight, and both these teams have been very impressive defensively. The Wildcats are coming off a 24-10 win over South Carolina, and they have allowed a combined 33 points in wins over SEC opponents (Gamecocks, Gators, Bulldogs). Kentucky has failed to reach the total in five of their last seven road games, and the Aggies have gone under in five straight in October. Texas A&M is coming off a pedestrian performance in a 24-17 win over Arkansas. The Aggies offense could struggle here against a very good Wildcats defense.

Take Under.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 5* play on [email protected] to go Under the total.

The Houston Cougars rank 2nd nationally averaging over 50 points per game, and their high flying offense has them heavily favored against division rivals Tulsa tonight. The total for tonight's game is significantly higher than it was in any of the previous six head to head meetings, and they have failed to reach the total in five of the last seven meetings. Not one of those seven contests yielded as much as 70 combined points. Tulsa will rely on it's running game, looking to control the clock and keep the Cougars offense off the field. The Hurricane don't have the offensive weapons to engage in a shootout, their quarterback Luke Skipper has thrown more INTs (6) than TD passes (4). Tulsa has gone under in five straight road games.

Take Under.

GL,

Jesse Schule

Jesse Schule

Jesse Schule

10*

Jesse Schule

Jesse Schule

Jesse Schule

Jesse Schule

Jesse Schule

This is an 8* play on Over 4.5 sacks.

So far this season, the Browns have been getting after the quarterback. They sacked Big Ben four times in Week 1, and they sacked Drew Brees three times last week. We aren't going to compare Sam Darnold to a couple of savvy veterans who both have Super Bowl rings. This is a rookie starting on the road on a short week, and I think he's going to make mistakes, including holding on to the ball too long. The Browns are fortunate that they have Baker Mayfield as their backup quarterback, because Tyrod Taylor has taken a pounding so far. Taylor was sacked seven times against the Steelers and three times last week in New Orleans.

Take Over 4.5.

GL,

Jesse Schule

Jesse Schule

This is an 8* play on [email protected] to go Under.

The Bears appear to have improved a lot since last year. They gave the Packers a scare at Lambeau in Week 1, and the addition of Khalil Mack is bad news for opposing quarterbacks. Mack made an impact right away, returning an INT for a TD against the Packers. The new look Seattle defense was lit up in a Week 1 loss at Denver, allowing Case Keenum to throw for 339 yards and three TDs. Russel Wilson did all he could to keep the game close, but the running game was non existant. Seattle only carried the ball 16 times for 64 yards. The Bears are 9-3-1 ATS in their last 14 home games, and they have also seen the under trend at 6-1 in their last seven overall.

Take Under.

GL,

Jesse Schule

Jesse Schule

This is a 5* play on [email protected] to go Over the total.

The Rams were the highest scoring team in the league last year, but they ranked in the bottom half of the league defensively. They play on the road in Oakland in Week 1, and I think this game has shootout written all over it. The Raiders are looking to bounce back from a brutal 2017 season, and Derek Carr should be better this year. He threw for almost 4,000 yards with 28 TDs and just six INTs in 2016. The last time these teams met, the Rams opened up a can of whupass, winning 52-0. That sets up a nice revenge spot here for the Raiders. The Rams have gone over in seven of their last eight road games, and the over is 5-1 in their last six overall.

Take Over.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is an 8* play on [email protected] to go Under the total.

Jesse Schule

Jesse Schule

This is a 10* play on the Super Bowl to go OVER the total.

While neither of the Conference Championship games saw a combined total of as many as 48 points, both those games were played outdoors in adverse weather conditions in the dead of winter. The Super Bowl will be played indoors, where we last saw the Saints and Vikings tally a combined 53 points in the divisional round of the playoffs. Rather than each team coming in a week removed from their previous game, both teams get a full two weeks to rest, practice and draw up a game plan. The Patriots game plan in their epic come from behind win over the Jags, was to force Blake Bortles to beat them. While they did a pretty good job of containing Leonard Fournette (76 yards on 24 carries), Bortles had one if his best games all year, throwing for 291 yards and a TD on 23-of-36 passing. The Eagles let Nick Foles air it out early and often in their win over the Vikings. Foles threw for 352 yards and three TDs on 26-of-33 passing. He had a lot of success with big plays, and it makes sense for Philly to have the same approach here against the Pats. These two teams have a history of playing high scoring games, going over in four of the last five head to head meetings. The Patriots have gone over the total in eight of their last 10 post season games.

Take OVER.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 10* play on [email protected] to go OVER the total.

The Memphis Tigers ranked 2nd in the country in scoring during the regular season, averaging over 47 points per game. Skeptics might say they played a soft schedule, but I would point out that they scored over 100 combined points in their two games against Top 25 teams. They beat UCLA by a score of 48-45, and lost to UCF in overtime by a score of 62-55. Riley Ferguson threw for a combined 868 yards with 10 TDs and just one INT in those games. They will play Iowa State in the Liberty Bowl, and the Cyclones were surprisingly competitive in the BIG12 this season. Their fortunes took a turn for the better when they made a change at quarterback in Week 5 against Oklahoma. Senior Kyle Kempt led them to a 38-31 upset win over Oklahoma, and he finished the season with 1,473 yards, 13 TDs and just 3 INTs while playing in just six full games. While Memphis was impressive on offense, the Tigers ranked 103rd nationally in scoring defense, and they face a Power 5 team that can score with the best of them. We should expect a lot of big plays, a lot of broken tackles, and the points should pile up quick in the Liberty Bowl.

Take OVER.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 9* play on [email protected] to go UNDER the total.

Utah has one of the best offensive lines in the PAC12, and they are a team that really likes to lean on the run. They run the ball roughly 40 times per game, and Dana Holgorsen knows what to expect. "Their O-line is huge," Holgorsen said. "Evidently, they are focused on recruiting the bigger guys up front." The Mountaineers will start backup quarterback Chris Chugunov, who completed just over 50 percent of his passes in back to back losses since the injury to Will Grier. West Virginia ran the ball 50 times and attempted just 20 passes in their season finale versus Oklahoma. With both these teams looking to establish the run, we could seem them burn up a lot of clock in a low scoring game. In addition to the loss of their starting quarterback, the Mountaineers will also be without their leading rusher. Justin Crawford has decided to sit out the bowl game in preparation for the NFL Draft. The Mountaineers have failed to cover in four straight bowl games.

Take UNDER.

GL,

Jesse Schule

Jesse Schule

This is a 9* play on [email protected] to go UNDER the total.

The Chiefs have won back to back games after losing six of their previous seven. They held the Raiders and the Chargers to a combined 28 points in those wins, and the Kansas City defense draws a favorable matchup this week. The Dolphins 26th ranked offense has averaged less than 18 points per game this season. The Fish still have an outside chance of making the playoffs though, so we should expect them to play hard here at Arrowhead. Jay Cutler didn't perform well in the cold weather in Buffalo last week, throwing for 274 yards and three picks on 28-of-49 passing. The weatherman is calling for more sub-zero temperatures here in Kansas City. The Chiefs have gone under in five of their last six overall, and the under is 21-6 in Chiefs last 27 home games versus a team with a losing road record. The under is 43-19 in Chiefs last 62 home games.

Take UNDER.

GL.

Jesse Schule

This is an 8* play on [email protected] to go Over the total.

The South Florida Bulls will be the favorite against Texas Tech in the Birmingham Bowl. South Florida won their first seven games of the season, but then suffered losses to Houston and Central Florida finishing at 9-2 overall. In their season finale at Central Florida, they lost in a thriller by a score of 49-42. We could see another high scoring game here against Texas Tech, the Red Raiders can really put points on the board. Texas Tech lost by a score of 56-27 to LSU in the Texas Bowl in 2015. The over is 7-1 in the Red Raiders last eight bowl games. They have also gone over in 14 of their last 17 neutral site games, and the over is 19-9 in their last 28 non conference games. The Bulls have also been involved in more than their fair share of high scoring games, going over in seven of their last 10 non-conference games. Both these teams can put points on the board in a hurry, and neither team has shown any ability to play defense. Expect an entertaining game here in Alabama.

Take OVER.

GL,

Jesse Schule

Jesse Schule

This is a 10* play on [email protected] to go OVER the total.

The Oregon Ducks will face the Boise State Broncos in the Las Vegas Bowl this Saturday, and I expect to see plenty of scoring. The Ducks are in great shape with starting quarterback Justin Herbert, who was 6-1 in his seven starts this season. He threw for 1,750 yards with 13 TDs and 3 INTs in those games, completing 66.5% of his passes. All seven of those games saw more than 60 combined points. The Ducks should have little trouble lighting up the scoreboard against a Boise State team that gave up 45 points to Washington State, 52 points to Colorado State, and 42 points to Virginia. The Broncos are expected to be without their #1 running back Alex Mattison, which could result in a more pass heavy offensive approach. The Ducks lost their last bowl game in overtime by a score of 47-41 to TCU in the 2016 Alamo Bowl.  We should see a similar high scoring affair here in Sin City.

Take OVER.

GL,

Jesse Schule

Jesse Schule

Jesse Schule

This is an 8* play on [email protected] to go OVER the total.

The Panthers lost to New Orleans at home in Week 3, and Cam Newton was terrible in that game. He threw for just 167 yards and three INTs on 17-of-26 passing. He's coming into the rematch riding a four game winning streak, and during that span he's thrown for five TDs and just one INT. The Panthers have scored a combined 80 points the last two weeks, and history tells us we could see plenty of scoring here in the Super Dome on Sunday. Five of the last six meetings between these teams have gone over the total, and today's total is lower than it was in the Panthers last two visits to New Orleans. The Saints last home game was a 34-31 win over the Redskins, and they had to rally to score two TDs in the final three minutes to force overtime in that game. They went on to lose their next game at the Rams, and this Saints defense has now given up over 400 total yards in consecutive games. The over is 13-5-1 in the Saints last 19 home games.

Take OVER.

GL,

Jesse Schule