College Football Free Picks - Winning College Football Picks Against the Spread

Jesse Schule Football Totals Picks

Date	Match Up	Rating	Score	Result	Profit	Lead Time	Analysis
12-07-19	Wisconsin v. Ohio State UNDER 57		21-34	Win	100	78 h 48 m	Show
8*
11-30-19	Oklahoma v. Oklahoma State UNDER 69.5		34-16	Win	100	11 h 56 m	Show
This is a 2-team teaser with Cowboys + Under. Historically when you think of bedlam you think about all the high scores these teams have posted over the years. They have score more than 80 combined points in three of the last four head to head meetings, but both of these teams are a lot better defensively than they have been in past seasons. The Cowboys are riding a four game win streak, with not one of those games seeing a combined 70 points. The Sooners have failed to cover in four straight road games, and they are 0-6-1 ATS in their last seven games in November. The under is 5-1 in Oklahoma's last six road games. GL, Jesse Schule
11-25-19	Ravens v. Rams UNDER 47.5		45-6	Loss	-107	14 h 51 m	Show
5*
11-18-19	Chiefs v. Chargers UNDER 53.5		24-17	Win	100	10 h 28 m	Show
This is an 8* play on KC@LAC to go Under the total. The Chargers will play Kansas City in Mexico City tonight, and they will be wary of Patrick Mahomes and the Chiefs high flying offense. Mahomes threw for 446 yards and three TDs in a loss at Tennessee last week, and the only way to stop him is to keep the ball out of his hands. This has been proven by the Colts, who ran for 180 yards in a 19-13 win over the Chiefs. The Texans ran for 192 yards in a win over the Chiefs a week later. Melvin Gordon is coming off back to back games with 20+ carries and 80+ yards, so the Chargers should be well equiped to put this plan into action. LA also boasts the #4 ranked pass defense in the NFL, allowing just over 200 yards per game. Take Under. GL, Jesse Schule
11-11-19	Seahawks v. 49ers OVER 47		27-24	Win	100	8 h 47 m	Show
This is an 8* play on SEA@SF to go Over the total. The Seahawks defense has struggled this season, and that is especially true lately. Over their last five games they have allowed 28 or more in four of five games. The 49ers defense ranks first overall in the NFL in yards allowed, but they face a Seattle quarterback that has thrown for 22 TDs and one INT so far this season. The over is 6-2 in the Seahawks last eight road games, and the over is 13-5 in the Seahawks last 18 games overall. Take Over. GL, Jesse Schule
11-09-19	LSU v. Alabama UNDER 65	Top	46-41	Loss	-110	121 h 18 m	Show
This is a 10* play on LSU@BAMA under 65. The Alabama Crimson Tide haven't been tested yet, but they also haven't played anybody currently ranked in the Top 25. LSU on the other hand comes in battle tested, with a pair of wins over Top 10 teams (Florida and Auburn). The Tigers will be looking to avenge a 29-0 loss to Alabama last year, and they do have history on their side. The Tigers are 7-3-1 ATS in their last 11 meetings in Alabama, and the Crimson Tide are 0-5 ATS in their last five home games versus a team with a winning road record. The under is 5-0 in the last five meetings. Take Under. GL, Jesse Schule
11-07-19	Chargers v. Raiders OVER 48.5		24-26	Win	100	14 h 16 m	Show
This is an 8* play on LAC@OAK to go Over the total. The Raiders have given up over 93 points in their last three games, and both Matt Stafford and Aaron Rodgers threw for over 400 yards against them. During that span their offense has also been productive, and Derek Carr has thrown for over 280 yards with at least two TDs in each of his last three starts. The Raiders host the Chargers on Thursday Night Football, and NFL passing leader Phillip Rivers. The over is 5-1 in the Raiders last six games overall. The over is 37-18-3 in the Raiders last 58 games following an ATS win. Take Over. GL, Jesse Schule
10-26-19	Penn State v. Michigan State UNDER 43.5		28-7	Win	100	12 h 22 m	Show
This is an 8* play on PSU@MSU to go Under the total. The Spartans are coming off a bye week, after getting throttled in a 38-0 loss to Wisconsin. They should be ready to go to war in this home game against Penn State, and both teams have been very comfortable playing low scoring smashmouth football games. The Nittany Lions have won a pair of games already that they failed to score 20 points in, 17-12 at Iowa and 17-10 at home versus Pittsburgh. The Spartans offense rarely scores 20, but their defense at home in games like this has risen to the challenge. I think if either of these teams scores 20 points in this game it will be enough to win. Take Under. GL, Jesse Schule
10-18-19	Ohio State v. Northwestern UNDER 50		52-3	Loss	-100	14 h 8 m	Show
This is an 8* play on OSU@NW to go Under the total. The Wildcats are 1-4, but they might be a lot better off if they could score any points. Their defense has kept them in a lot of games, but their offense simply hasn't been able to get any points on the board. They are a huge underdog at home versus Ohio State on Friday, but they are coming off their bye week and they have covered the spread in back to back games. They held Wisconsin and Nebraska to a combined 37 points, and both games fell well short of the total. The under is 42-14-1 in Wildcats last 57 home games, and they have failed to reach the total in seven of their last nine conference games. Take Under. GL, Jesse Schule
10-12-19	Florida v. LSU UNDER 55	Top	28-42	Loss	-110	126 h 5 m	Show
10*
10-11-19	Virginia v. Miami-FL OVER 42.5		9-17	Loss	-115	14 h 8 m	Show
This is an 8* play on UVA@MIA to go Over the total. The Hurricanes were lit up for 21 points in first quarter at home versus Virginia Tech last week. Quarterback Jarren Williams was just 4-of-7 for 47 yards and three INTs before getting pulled. His backup N'Kosi Perry stepped right in and threw for 422 yards and four TDS on 28-of-47 passing, tying the game with three minutes left to play. The Canes defense couldn't hold and the Hokies ran in the game winning TD with a minute left on the clock. The Cavs bring a 4-1 record into tonight's game, and their quarterback has played well, even in their loss to Notre Dame. Bryce Perkins threw for 334 yards and two scores on 30-of-43 passing in a 35-20 loss at South Bend. I expect to see plenty of scoring here in this pivotal ACC game Friday night. Take Over. GL, Jesse Schule
10-07-19	Browns v. 49ers UNDER 48		3-31	Win	100	14 h 38 m	Show
This is an 8* play on CLE@SF to go Under the total. The Browns are coming off a huge win on the road at Baltimore, and Baker Mayfield threw for 340 yards on 20-of-30 passing with a TD and an INT. Mayfield has thrown at least one INT in all four of his starts this season, and he threw 10 INTs in seven starts on the road last year. He's thrown nine INTs in his last six starts on the road. Playing on the West Coast against an undefeated 49ers team coming off a bye week surely won't be easy for Cleveland. The San Francisco defense has allowed just 283 yards per game so far, and only two teams have allowed fewer. The 49ers have failed to reach the total in five of their last seven home games, and these teams have gone under in six straight head to head meetings. Take UNDER. GL, Jesse Schule
10-06-19	Bears v. Raiders UNDER 41.5		21-24	Loss	-106	133 h 1 m	Show
8*
10-05-19	Washington v. Stanford UNDER 52		13-23	Win	100	18 h 19 m	Show
This is an 8* play on WASH@STAN to go Under the total. Stanford has been brutal this season, and they are a double digit home dog this week against Washington. Historically these teams have played close low scoring gamses, and the total has been under 50 in each of the last five meetings. The Huskies are 1-4 ATS in their last five at Stanford, and the Cardinal have failed to reach the total in seven of their last 10 home games. Stanford's last home game was a 26-6 loss to Oregon, and I can't see the Huskies doing much better here than the Ducks. Take Under. GL. Jesse Schule
10-05-19	Michigan State v. Ohio State OVER 49		10-34	Loss	-109	15 h 18 m	Show
This is an 8* play on MSU@OSU to go Over the total. The Spartans have lost by 20+ points to Ohio State in each of the last two seasons, but historically they have not been an easy opponent for the Buckeyes. Michigan State has won outright in 2015, 2013 and in 2011. The last time they were getting 20+ points in this matchup was in 2016, and they lost that game by a score of 17-16. The underdog is 6-2 ATS in the last eight meetings, and the road team is 8-3 ATS in their last 11 meetings. This year's Spartans team should be a lot better than the team that lost 26-6 to Ohio State last year. That game was also a lot closer than the final score would suggest, and the Spartans trailed by just three points at the beginning of the fourth quarter. Brian Lewerke finished the 2018 season with eight TD passes and 11 INTs in 11 starts. So far after four games this season he has 10 TD passes and just one INT. The over is 8-2 in the Buckeyes last 10 home games versus a team with a winning road record. The total for this game is lower than it was in any of the previous six head to head meetings. Take Over. GL, Jesse Schule
09-28-19	Virginia v. Notre Dame UNDER 50.5		20-35	Loss	-110	97 h 56 m	Show
This is an 8* play on UVA@ND to go Under the total. The Irish played admirably in a 23-17 loss at Georgia last week, and they don't have any time to feel sorry for themselves. They host a 4-0 Virginia Team this Saturday, and the Cavs appear to be for real. Two of their four wins come within conference, beating Pittsburgh and Florida State. They held Pitt to just 14 points, and they have allowed an average of just 18 points per game. The trends suggest a low scoring game here, as the Irish have gone under in five of their last seven when coming off a loss. The under is 5-1 in their last six non-conference games, and they have gone under in four of their last five versus ACC teams. Take Under. GL, Jesse Schule
09-23-19	Bears v. Redskins OVER 41		31-15	Win	100	20 h 12 m	Show
5*
09-22-19	Saints v. Seahawks UNDER 50		33-27	Loss	-110	165 h 48 m	Show
The New Orleans Saints travel across the country to play in Seattle, where the Seahawks have been quite formidable over the last decade. With Drew Brees sidelined by a thumb injury, the Saints have announced that they intend to split the snaps between Teddy Bridgewater and Taysom Hill. While some might think that sounds "dynamic", to me it reeks of desperation. They don't have the confidence in Bridgewater to name him the starter, and their offense is likely to be a shambles. Their defense wasn't impressive in a Week 1 win over Houston, giving up over 400 yards, and last week's loss to the Rams wasn't much better.
09-21-19	Notre Dame v. Georgia UNDER 56.5		17-23	Win	100	96 h 40 m	Show
This is an 8* play on ND@UGA to go Under the total. These teams last met in 2017, and Georgia won by a score of 20-19 in a nationally televised game at South Bend. I remember the game well, as I had a premium play on the under, and a free play on Georgia +5.5. The free play was met with some healthy (if no obnoxious) criticism on FB and Twitter. In the end The Iceman had the last laugh. The Irish were embarrassed in a 30-3 loss to Clemson in the College Football Playoffs last year, and they will be a double digit dog here in this game. The Bulldogs have failed to cover in 10 of their last 13 games in the month of December, and the under is 22-9-2 in the Bulldogs last 33 home games. I exect Georgia to be in full control in the second half, and focused on running out the clock. Take Under. GL, Jesse Schule
09-14-19	UNLV v. Northwestern UNDER 54		14-30	Win	100	61 h 48 m	Show
This is an 8* play on Northwestern. The Wildcats lost 17-7 at Stanford in Week 1, but they went to The Farm and held the Cardinals to 132 yards and no TDs on 39 carries. Now they come off a bye week to play the UNLV Rebels at home. This is a Rebels team that relies heavily on the run, and I think UNLV is running right into a brick wall here. Northwestern is expected to win this game by three scores, even though they don't have a very explosive offense. We don't see a lot of high scoring games at Evanston, as evidences by the fact that the under is 41-13-1 in the Wildcats last 55 home games. Take Under. GL, Jesse Schule
09-14-19	Stanford v. Central Florida UNDER 62.5		27-45	Loss	-110	42 h 14 m	Show
This is an 8* play on STAN@UCF to go Under the total. The Stanford Cardinal held Northwestern to just seven points in Week 1, but they were blown out in Week 2 at USC. They should have their starting QB back this week at Central Florida, but he should face a ton of pressure from a Knights defense that has recorded seven sacks in two games. UCF allowed just 14 points in a win at FAU last week, after pitching a shutout in their season opener. The under is 4-1 in the Cardinal's last five non-conference games, and the total for this game appears to be a little inflated. Take Under. GL, Jesse Schule
09-08-19	Steelers v. Patriots UNDER 51.5	Top	3-33	Win	100	1170 h 3 m	Show
This is a 10* play on PIT@NE to go Under the total. The first Sunday Night Football game of the season features a pair of Super Bowl contenders and a couple of aging Hall of Fame quarterbacks. You might think that these teams have lit up the scoreboard in previous meetings, but that hasn't been the case. Four of the last five meetings have gone under the total dating back to 2013. The last time these teams met the Steelers won by a score of 17-10 last December. Big Ben threw for 235 yards, two TDs and a pair of INTs in the win. Brady was even more pedestrian, throwing for 279 yards, a TD and an INT in the loss. The Steelers have managed to find ways to win without LeVeon Bell and Antonio Brown, but there is no denying that they aren't as talented as they once were. The Patriots will be getting used to life without Gronk, and Sony Michel should play a bigger role in this year's offense. The Patriots have failed to reach the total in four of their last five at Foxboro. Take Under. GL, Jesse Schule
09-08-19	Colts v. Chargers UNDER 47.5		24-30	Loss	-109	353 h 42 m	Show
This is an 8* play on IND@LAC to go Under the total. The biggest story of the pre-season was Andrew Luck hanging up the cleats, and bettors have been scrambling to make sense of the Colts moving forward. The knee jerk reaction was to bet against Indianapolis, but after the line went as high as -9, the Chargers have settled as less than a TD favorite. Indy should still be competitive, as they were the last time Jacoby Brissett stepped in at quarterback. I do expect them to be more conservative though, and that should lead to a lower score. Take Under. GL, Jesse Schule
09-07-19	Syracuse v. Maryland UNDER 58		20-63	Loss	-108	51 h 48 m	Show
This is an 8* play on SYR@MD to go Under the total. The Orange looked great on defense in a 24-0 win over Liberty in Week 1, but the offense wasn't very impressive. Tommy Devito threw for 176 yards and two INTs on 17-of-25 passing. Now he heads out on the road to face a BIG10 team in non conference play, and it isn't likely to be an easy game for the Orange. Their defense should keep them in it though, and I like the under with the total on the high side of 50. The under is 8-3 in Syracuse's last 11 road games, and the Terps have gone under in five straight versus ACC teams. Take Under. GL, Jesse Schule
09-07-19	Cincinnati v. Ohio State OVER 52		0-42	Loss	-105	3 h 13 m	Show
This is an 8* play on CIN@OSU to go Over the total. The Bearcats beat UCLA 24-14 in Week 1, but I think that game might say more about UCLA than it does about Cinci. A week later they are in Columbus, and they face a far better Ohio State team. I expect the Buckeyes to get their points here this afternoon, and I think the total looks a little too low. It opened at 55 and has since been bet down to 52, and I think that presents value in taking the over. Take Over. GL, Jesse Schule
08-31-19	Georgia v. Vanderbilt UNDER 58		30-6	Win	100	55 h 32 m	Show
This is an 8* play on UGA@VAN to go Under the total. Georgia won 41-13 in last year's meeting, and these teams have gone under in three of the last four annual meetings. The total for this year's game is even higher than it was a year ago, in fact it's higher than it has been in any of the last five meetings. You know the Commodores are going to look to slow this game down, and pound away with their running game. The Bulldogs don't mind muddying things up, and this should be another down and dirty SEC game. The under is 4-1 in the Commodores last five conference games. Vanderbilt has gone under in nine of their last 13 overall. Take Under. GL, Jesse Schule
08-31-19	Missouri v. Wyoming UNDER 55.5	Top	31-37	Loss	-117	31 h 20 m	Show
This is a 10* play on MIZZ@WYO to go Under the total. These teams met for the first time last season, and Missouri won by a score of 40-13 at home. The Tigers offense should have a different look this season, with Kelly Bryant stepping in to replace Drew Lock. Bryant isn't going to light up defenses the way Lock did, and we should see the Tigers lean more on their running game. The Cowboys are solid on defense, but they lack talent on the other side of the ball. The under is 11-5 in the Cowboys last 16 home games, and the under is 8-3-1 in Cowboys last 12 non-conference games. Wyoming has gone under in four straight versus the SEC. Take Under. GL, Jesse Schule
01-07-19	Alabama v. Clemson UNDER 61	Top	16-44	Win	100	212 h 58 m	Show
This is a 10* play on CLEM@BAMA to go Under the total. There's no doubt that Clemson's 30-3 win over Notre Dame was impressive, and this defense should be able to hold it's own against Alabama. This isn't the same team that scored just 24 points against the Tigers in last year's playoffs. This time around both these teams have improved at the quarterback position. For that reason the total for this game is set 10 points higher than it was in the previous playoff matchups over the last three seasons. I don't think it's realistic though to ask Trevor Lawrence to do what Deshaun Watson did in 2016, when the Tigers won in a massive upset. They say "defense wins championships", and they aren't kidding. Clemson has held opponents to just 13.7 points per game, just slightly less than the 14.8 points per game that Alabama has allowed. I expect this year's National Championship Game to be closer to last year's game than the high scoring games in 2016 and 2017. Weather could also be a factor, as the last game played at Levi's Stadium was a 7-6 score with Oregon and Michigan State struggling to throw the ball on a windy day. Take Under. GL, Jesse Schule
01-01-19	LSU v. Central Florida OVER 54.5	Top	40-32	Win	100	666 h 46 m	Show
This is a GOY play on LSU@UCF to go Over the total. The Central Florida Knights are gunning for a second consecutive perfect season, and if LSU doesn't stop them we'll have to put up with another mock Championship Celebration. This should provide plenty of motivation for the Tigers, who have no interest in allowing the Knights to proclaim themselves national champs as they did after beating Auburn last year. The Knights scored 34 points in that game against Auburn, and I expect them score their share here against LSU. Darriel Mack Jr. stepped in to replace the injured McKenzie Milton, and he had a big game against Memphis throwing for 348 yards and two TDs, and running for 59 yards and four more. The outlook for the Knights defense isn't as positive, as they gave up over 400 rushing yards in that game versus Memphis. Just imagine what kind of damage a well rested SEC team will do on the ground. LSU scored a total of 114 points in it's last two games, while Central Florida has averaged 50 points in their last three games. I'll take the over here as I believe the total is far lower than it should be. Take OVER. GL, Jesse Schule
12-28-18	Syracuse v. West Virginia OVER 65.5	Top	34-18	Loss	-109	43 h 59 m	Show
This is a 10* play on WVU@SYR to go Over the total. The West Virginia Mountaineers were hoping to compete for a playoff spot this season, and Will Grier was one of the favorites to win the Heisman. Finishing the season with back to back heartbreaking losses leaves a cloud hanging around Morgantown heading into Bowl Season. When first asked about the Camping World Bowl, Will Grier said: “I have no thoughts or decisions,” Grier said. “I was planning on playing [in the Big 12 championship]. Just kind of taking it all in, my last game in Morgantown. Wish we would have came out on top, but we left it all out there for the fans.” The Orange are coming into this game with a chance to reach 10 wins, which would be considered a huge success for Dino Babers and company. The last time I bet on the Orange, they lost their starting quarterback early in the first quarter and ended up getting blown out by Notre Dame. Here is what I said prior to that game: "This a team that has already proved it can hang with the big boys, last year they handed Clemson it's only regular season loss. Senior quarterback Eric Dungey has been lighting it up with his arm and his legs. He's got a dozen rushing TDs and 690 rushing yards so far this season. The Orange have covered the spread in five straight non conference games, and they are 9-3 ATS in their last 12 against teams with a winning record. While the Mountaineers will miss Grier, this high flying offense still has plenty of weapons. The Orange will be shorthanded on defense with three starters missing the game for personal reasons. I expect to see plenty of scoring here in Orlando. Take Over. GL, Jesse Schule
12-23-18	Chiefs v. Seahawks UNDER 54	Top	31-38	Loss	-108	161 h 22 m	Show
This is a 10* play on KC@SEA to go Under the total. The Seahawks return home with a bitter taste in their mouth after losing in overtime at San Francisco. They might just get back on track against a Chiefs team that appears to be vulnerable. I bet against the Chiefs last week, and here is what I said prior to their loss to LA: "The Chiefs offense has been flying high all season, but they come into Thursday's home game against the Chargers a little banged up. They lost one of their most dangerous weapons when they released Kareem Hunt, and Spencer Ware has been pretty mediocre filling his place. Now they might not even have Ware or Sammy Watkins for this game, and if my memory serves me correctly I seem to recall Tyreek Hill limping off the field with a sprained ankle in overtime on Sunday." Patrick Mahomes gets a lot of attention with his "no look" passes, and the rest of his "hot dog" antics. He could be in for a rough ride here in a cold weather game in the Emerald City. Take Under. GL, Jesse Schule
12-23-18	Steelers v. Saints UNDER 56	Top	28-31	Loss	-110	139 h 41 m	Show
This is a 10* (GOY) play on PIT@NO to go Under the total. The Steelers got it done with their defense in a 17-10 home win over New England last week, keeping their playoff hopes alive. The Saints high flying offense has been grounded in recent weeks, losing to Dallas, scoring three points in the first half at Tampa, and then last week they trailed Carolina 7-6 at halftime. The bookmakers seem to be ignoring that here in this game with a total between 55-60. This is a big game for both teams, and both defenses are dialed in. I'll fade the inflated number. Take UNDER. GL, Jesse Schule
12-03-18	Redskins v. Eagles OVER 43.5	Top	13-28	Loss	-115	129 h 40 m	Show
This is a 10* play on WAS@PHI to go Over the total. When I saw the total open at 43 for Monday's game between Washington and Philly, I assumed that bad weather must be in the forecast in the City of Brotherly Love. That's not the case though, and I think the bookmakers are overreacting to the injury to Alex Smith. The Redskins are still tied for first place in the division, and it's not like Alex Smith was lighting it up when they were winning games. Smith averaged 206 yards per game on 62.5 percent passing, averaging 6.6 yards per pass. McCoy has completed 60 percent of his passes, and has averaged 6.4 yards per pass. On Thanksgiving Day in Dallas, he threw for 268 yards and two TDs, but was picked off three times. He matches up against a Philly team that is very thin in the secondary, and I expect him to have some success moving the ball. These teams actually have a history of playing high scoring games, going over in four of the last five meetings, and four straight meetings in Philly. The total for this game is far lower than it was in any of the previous 10 meetings. I'll fade this low number. Take Over. GL, Jesse Schule
11-24-18	Auburn v. Alabama UNDER 53	Top	21-52	Loss	-115	71 h 12 m	Show
10*
11-23-18	Washington v. Washington State OVER 48.5		28-15	Loss	-110	52 h 15 m	Show
This is an 8* play on WASH@WSU to go Over. The Huskies have lost their last two road games at Oregon and at California. They face a Washington State team that comes in as winners of seven straight. During that run they have beat some of the PAC12's best teams: (Utah, Oregon and Stanford). Gardner Minshew leads the nation in passing, with almost 500 yards more than Jordan Ta'amu who sits in second. With over 800 yards, nine TDs and no INTs the last two weeks, it's fair to say that he's in a groove. The Cougars are 19-7 ATS in their last 26 home game, and 6-1 ATS in their last seven against a team with a winning record. Washington has failed to cover in seven of their last eight road games, and they are 0-7 ATS in their last seven versus PAC12 teams. I like Washington State to stay hot here at home, out-lasting the Huskies in a shootout. The total here is below 50 for the first time since 2008, and the Cougars have gone over in 10 of their last 14 overall. Take Over. GL, Jesse Schule
11-18-18	Eagles v. Saints OVER 56	Top	7-48	Loss	-103	16 h 43 m	Show
This is a 10* play on PHI@NO to go Over the total. The Eagles will need to score plenty of points if they want to hang with the Saints at the Superdome on Sunday. That's even more true given all the injuries in the secondary for Philly. Carson Wentz might have some success against a Saints defense that was lit up for 391 yards by Jared Goff in a 45-35 win in their last home game. The Saints have scored 40+ in three of their four home games this season. These two teams have gone over the total in six of the last eight head to head meetings, and Philly won the last meeting by a score of 39-17. I expect the Eagles to score their share here in a shootout in the BIG EASY! Take Over. GL, Jesse Schule
11-17-18	USC v. UCLA OVER 55	Top	27-34	Win	100	108 h 20 m	Show
This is a 10* play on USC@UCLA to go Over the total. Chip Kelly has had limited success in his first year at UCLA, but the Bruins have improved since Wilton Speight took over at quarterback. He threw for 335 yards and two TDs in a 31-28 loss at Arizona State last week, and I think he's going to put up big numbers against at home against USC. He's going to have to if the Bruins want to have any chance of winning this game, because their defense can't seem to stop anybody. UCLA ranks 111th in the country allowing opponents to average 215 rushing yards per game. When these teams met last year, the bookmakers set the total at 70.5, more than two TDs higher than the total for this game. History seems to favor the under, as each of the last four meetings between the two teams have fallen short of the total. That being said, three of the last six meetings saw more than 55 combined points. I think this game will be a shootout, with UCLA digging deep into their bag of tricks. Take Over. GL, Jesse Schule
11-15-18	Toledo v. Kent State UNDER 59.5		56-34	Loss	-110	18 h 50 m	Show
This is an 8* play on TOL@KENT to go Under the total. The last two meetings between Toledo and Kent State each fell short of 50 points, and the previous two meetings fell short of 60 points. The total for tonight's game is higher than it had been in any of those four meetings. The Under is 4-1 in the Rockets last 5 games overall, and the Under is 4-1 in the Golden Flashes last 5 games overall. Kent State ranks 137th in the country in scoring, and they have given up a ton of points as well. The Golden Flashes have been far more competitive at home though, allowing just 21 points per game. A difficult schedule may have resulted in some skewed numbers for this Kent State team. Take Under. GL, Jesse Schule
11-14-18	Miami-OH v. Northern Illinois OVER 48		13-7	Loss	-114	9 h 28 m	Show
This is an 8* play on M-OH@NIU to go Over the total. I bet on the under in last week's game in Dekalb, and the Huskies beat Toledo 38-15, just barely falling short of the number. Tonight's total is much lower, meaning a similar score would result in an over. The Redhawks are coming off a 30-28 win over Ohio, and the previous week they scored 42 points in a loss at Buffalo. Gus Ragland has thrown for 512 yards, two TDs and 1 INT on 40-of-67 passing the last two weeks. That's pretty impressive considering the opposition. I think Ragland and the RedHawks will score enough points to push this total over what appears to be quite a low number. The last three head to head meetings between these teams all saw a total over 50. Take Over, GL, Jesse Schule
11-11-18	Lions v. Bears UNDER 45.5		22-34	Loss	-115	129 h 45 m	Show
This is an 8* play on DET@CHI to go Under the total. The Lions are ... "they are who we thought they were." They have a starting quarterback with a career record of 63-70 that they have grossly overpaid for, and they are 3-5 and in last place in the NFC North. After scoring just nine points in a loss at Minnesota last week, they will be hard pressed to do any better in Chicago this week. The Bears defense has allowed a total of 19 points in back to back wins over the Bills and the Jets. The weatherman is calling for a cold and wet day in the Windy City, and the conditions might hinder the passing game. These teams have a history of playing low scoring games, failing to reach the total in five of the last six meetings in Chicago. The Bears have gone under in six of their last seven against teams with a winning record. Matthew Stafford was sacked 10 times last week, and his life isn't going to get any easier here in Chicago. Take Under. GL, Jesse Schule
11-07-18	Toledo v. Northern Illinois UNDER 56		15-38	Win	100	9 h 46 m	Show
8*
11-06-18	Kent State v. Buffalo OVER 43		14-48	Win	100	18 h 43 m	Show
This is an 8* play on KENT@BUFF to go Over the total. This line has been bet down quite a bit since it opened, and despite possible weather concerns, I just don't think the Golden Flashes will be able to slow down this potent Bulls offense. The Bulls come in averaging 35 points per game, but they dropped 51 on Miami-Oh in their last home game. Buffalo has gone over in six straight against teams with a losing record, and that's a trend that I expect to continue tonight. Take Over. GL, Jesse Schule
11-03-18	Alabama v. LSU OVER 53	Top	29-0	Loss	-115	97 h 3 m	Show
This is a 10* GOY play on BAMA@LSU to go Over the total. In previous meetings between Alabama and LSU, my go to move has been to take the under. That has been the right call in eight of the last nine head to head meetings, including last year's 24-10 win for Alabama in Tuscaloosa. Things have changed though, as this isn't the Alabama offense with Jalen Hurts, Jake Coker or A.J. McCarron. Since the arrival of Tua Tagovailoa, the Tide have been an offensive juggernaut. LSU has also improved on offense, coming in averaging over 30 points per game. Alabama leads the country averaging over 54 points per game, but they have only played one ranked team. That was a 45-23 win over Texas A&M. I expect them to drop at least 40 on the Tigers, and LSU is likely to get a few licks in as well. My prediction is a 42-24 win for the visitors. Take OVER. GL, Jesse Schule
11-03-18	Utah v. Arizona State UNDER 56		20-38	Loss	-109	94 h 33 m	Show
This is an 8* play on UTAH@ARZST to go Under the total. The Utes ran all over the UCLA Bruins in a 41-10 home win last week, but they face a much toughest test here at Arizona State. Herm Edwards already has a handful of impressive results against top tier teams this year. Arizona State upset Michigan State at home, won on the road at UCLA and covered in a 27-20 loss to the Huskies in Washington. Arizona State has won three of four home games, and have allowed opponents to average just 16 points per game at home this season. These teams have a history of playing low scoring games, and only one of the last nine head to head meetings have seen more than 55 combined points. Utah has failed to reach the total in five of it's last six when coming off a win, while the under is 4-1 in the Sun Devils last five games in November. Take Under. GL, Jesse Schule
11-01-18	Temple v. Central Florida UNDER 59		40-52	Loss	-105	4 h 7 m	Show
This is an 8* play on TEMPLE@UCF to go Under the total. The Central Florida Knights own the longest winning streak in the country (20 games). They have proclaimed themselves to be national champions, but they narrowly avoided defeat in a 31-30 win at Memphis a few weeks ago. While they won that battle, they might lose the war if McKenzie Milton misses any more time. The star QB was injured in that game, and didn't play in a 37-10 win at ECU last week. Even if he does return to action tonight, he likely isn't going to push it by running the ball as he normally does. Temple is a strong opponent with a solid defense, and the total for tonight's game appears to be a little inflated. The last time Temple played at UCF, they lost 26-25. Three of the last four meetings between these teams saw less than 52 combined points. Take Under. GL, Jesse Schule
10-29-18	Patriots v. Bills UNDER 45		25-6	Win	100	18 h 54 m	Show
This is an 8* play on NE@BUF to go Under the total. The Patriots are an enormous favorite in Buffalo on Monday night, and given that the Bills have failed to score 14 points in four straight games, I don't doubt that this game will be indeed a one-sided affair. The Pats will be thin at running back with leading rusher Sony Michel on the shelf, but the Bills have far bigger problems with a 35 year old backup quarterback likely to start. Derek Anderson was picked off three times in last week's 37-5 loss to the Colts. The Patriots have failed to reach the total in five of their last seven road games, while the Bills have gone under in five straight. Take Under. GL, Jesse Schule
10-28-18	Saints v. Vikings UNDER 54.5	Top	30-20	Win	100	5 h 24 m	Show
This is a 10* play on NO@MIN to go Under the total. The Vikings defense hasn't been as good this year as it was when they beat New Orleans 29-19 in Week 1 last year. They also won a thriller in the playoffs, winning on a walkoff TD by Stephan Diggs making it 29-24 (still less than 55 points). That game likely should have finished 24-23 if it wasn't for a miracle 61 yard play. New Orleans looks to be vastly improved on the defensive side of the ball this season, and I think this total appears grossly inflated. Take Under. GL, Jesse Schule
10-25-18	Dolphins v. Texans UNDER 44.5	Top	23-42	Loss	-107	42 h 12 m	Show
This is a 10* play on MIA@HOU to go Under the total. The Texans are rolling, coming into Thursday's home game against the Dolphins as winners of four straight. Their defense is playing great, holding their last three opponents to an average of 12 points. They face a banged up Miami offense, missing several key players including starting quarterback Ryan Tannehill. They have already ruled out Kenny Stills and Devante Parker for Thursday night. The Dolphins have failed to reach the total in four straight road games, and the under is 4-1 in the Texans last five home games. Houston has failed to reach the total in seven of their last nine overall. Take Under. GL, Jesse Schule
10-22-18	Giants v. Falcons OVER 54	Top	20-23	Loss	-120	139 h 8 m	Show
10*
10-21-18	Bengals v. Chiefs OVER 56		10-45	Loss	-105	7 h 21 m	Show
This is an 8* play on CIN@KC to go Over. The Chiefs defense ranks among the worst in the league when it comes to stopping the run. KC ranks 28th in the league versus the run, allowing over 127 yards per game. They also rank 27th in scoring defense, giving up over 28 points per game. Cinci has scored more than 24.5 points in four of six games so far, and with all their offensive weapons I can't see KC holding them under 27 points. The first half total of 27.5 seems just a little low, as I expect to see a minimum of 4 TDs before halftime. GL, Jesse Schule
10-20-18	Arizona v. UCLA UNDER 56	Top	30-31	Loss	-109	83 h 1 m	Show
This is an 10* play on ARI@UCLA to go Under. Arizona comes into tonight's game with a 2-2 conference record, but they will be a double digit underdog without their starting quarterback. Khalil Tate left early in last week's loss to Utah with an ankle injury, and was replaced by the son of former Arizona coach Rich Rodriguez. The sophomore wasn't too bad, throwing for 226 yards and a TD on 20-of-38 passing. He likely won't have to be great to keep the Wildcats in the game against UCLA, as the Bruins are ranked 119th nationally averaging just over 20 points per game. Freshman quarterback Dorian Thompson-Robinson has failed to throw for 200 yards in four of his six starts, and last week against Cal he threw for just 141 yards on 13-of-15 passing. The Bruins ran the ball 55 times in that game, and given that they snapped a five game losing skid, you might expect them to lean on the run here at home against Arizona. The public seems pretty keen to back the Bruins here with the news that Tate won't play, but I am focused on the total. Arizona has failed to reach the total in four straight, and six straight within conference. We could see both teams pound away with the run given that neither team has a lot of talent at quarterback at the moment. Take Under. GL, Jesse Schule
10-20-18	Oregon v. Washington State OVER 66	Top	20-34	Loss	-115	90 h 22 m	Show
This is an 8* play on ORE@WSU to go Over the total. The Ducks are moving up in the rankings after an upset win over the Washington Huskies on Saturday. The Huskies were in position to win the game in the fourth quarter, but Peyton Henry missed a 37 yard (chip shot) field goal in the dying seconds. That allowed Oregon to come back and win in overtime. The Ducks are flying high as they head into Pullman for a date with the Cougars, but this game has all the signs of a classic let down spot for the visitors. Washington State is coming off a bye week, and they are still undefeated at home. One of their three home wins came against a very strong Utah team. The Ducks have lost three straight to Washington State, and their last game at Pullman was a 51-33 loss in 2016. The over is 11-4 in the last 15 meeting between these teams, and the Cougars have gone over in five straight against PAC12 teams. Take Over. GL, Jesse Schule
10-18-18	Stanford v. Arizona State UNDER 57.5		20-13	Win	100	20 h 28 m	Show
This is a 5* play on STAN@ARZST to go Under the total. The Stanford Cardinal will be a road favorite tonight at Arizonta State, but we should expect a competitive game between two PAC12 rivals. Previous meetings between the two teams have been pretty hard fought defensive battles, with the under cashing in five of the last six meetings. The Sun Devils are 3-0 at home, and they have held opponents to an average of less than 15 points in those games. Their 16-13 win over Michigan State was particularly impressive. Four of Stanford's last five visits to Arizona State have gone under the total, and the under is 44-20 in Cardinal last 64 games in October. Take Under. GL, Jesse Schule
10-13-18	Texas A&M v. South Carolina UNDER 53.5		26-23	Win	100	114 h 54 m	Show
This is an 8* play on TAM@SOCAR to go Under the total. Jake Bentley didn't play in last week's home win over Missouri, after suffering an injury in a 24-10 loss to Kentucky a week earlier. He only threw for 138 yards with a TD and 3 INTs on 13-of-28 passing in that game. He will face a stingy Aggies defense that held Kentucky to just 178 total yards last week. The 4-2 Aggies have losses against the #1 and #2 ranked teams in the country. Texas A&M has failed to reach the total in seven of their last 10 conference games, and eight straight in the month of October. The Gamecocks have also trended toward low scoring games, going under in 16 of their last 22 SEC games, and 17 of their last 21 when coming off a win. Another defensive battle should be expected at Williams Brice Stadium. GL, Jesse Schule
10-06-18	Kentucky v. Texas A&M UNDER 51		14-20	Win	100	34 h 32 m	Show
This is an 8* play on UK@TAM to go Under the total. The Texas A&M Aggies are 3-2, but their two losses came against #2 ranked Clemson and #1 ranked Alabama. They host the 5-0 Kentucky Wildcats tonight, and both these teams have been very impressive defensively. The Wildcats are coming off a 24-10 win over South Carolina, and they have allowed a combined 33 points in wins over SEC opponents (Gamecocks, Gators, Bulldogs). Kentucky has failed to reach the total in five of their last seven road games, and the Aggies have gone under in five straight in October. Texas A&M is coming off a pedestrian performance in a 24-17 win over Arkansas. The Aggies offense could struggle here against a very good Wildcats defense. Take Under. GL, Jesse Schule
10-04-18	Tulsa v. Houston UNDER 70.5		26-41	Win	100	7 h 29 m	Show
This is a 5* play on TULSA@HOU to go Under the total. The Houston Cougars rank 2nd nationally averaging over 50 points per game, and their high flying offense has them heavily favored against division rivals Tulsa tonight. The total for tonight's game is significantly higher than it was in any of the previous six head to head meetings, and they have failed to reach the total in five of the last seven meetings. Not one of those seven contests yielded as much as 70 combined points. Tulsa will rely on it's running game, looking to control the clock and keep the Cougars offense off the field. The Hurricane don't have the offensive weapons to engage in a shootout, their quarterback Luke Skipper has thrown more INTs (6) than TD passes (4). Tulsa has gone under in five straight road games. Take Under. GL, Jesse Schule
10-01-18	Chiefs v. Broncos UNDER 55		27-23	Win	100	11 h 26 m	Show
This is an 8* play on the Under. The Kansas City Chiefs come into Denver as heavy favorites, but I am not ready to completely buy into all the hype. Sure Patrick Mahomes has been lighting it up, but this is a tough road game at Mile High in Denver. The rookie made his debut as a starter in the Chiefs final game of last season here in Denver. He threw for 284 yards and an INT on 22-of-35 passing in a 27-24 win. The Chiefs have won five straight against Denver, and the total has gone over in six straight. The total for tonight's game is almost 20 points higher than it was in last year's game. One reason for the high total is the fact that the Chiefs rank 30th in the NFL in scoring defense allowing 30.7 points per game this season. I'll fade what I consider to be an overvalued road favorite, and an inflated total. GL, Jesse Schule
09-30-18	Dolphins v. Patriots OVER 49		7-38	Loss	-105	4 h 9 m	Show
This is an 8* play on MIA@NE to go Over the total. The Patriots need a win here at home against division rivals Miami. The Fish are undefeated at 3-0, and quarterback Ryan Tannehill has the third best QBR in the league. The Patriots defense has been brutal so far, allowing a combined 57 points in back to back losses to Jacksonville and Detroit. You know your defense is bad when Blake Bortles lights you up for over 300 yards. Three of the last four meetings between these teams have gone over the total, and the Pats have scored more than 30 points in three of the last four meetings. The Dolphins have gone over in 10 of their last 14 overall, while the Pats have gone over in four of their last five versus teams with a winning record. Take Over. GL, Jesse Schule
09-30-18	Bengals v. Falcons OVER 51	Top	37-36	Win	100	135 h 11 m	Show
This is a 10* play on CIN@ATL to go Over the total. The Bengals are coming off a 31-21 loss at Carolina, and that was the lowest score of any of their games this season. They have scored an average of 29.7 points per game, and Andy Dalton has passed for an average of 287 yards per game. This Cincinnati offense should be primed for a big day against an Atlanta team that has been hit hard by injuries to several key defenders. Drew Brees threw for 396 yards and three scores in a 43-37 come from behind win at Atlanta last week, and safety Ricardo Allen was carted off with a torn Achilles. The Bengals secondary is also banged up, with three corner backs listed as questionable. Both teams are expected to be without their top RB, which provides even more incentive to lean on the passing game. The Falcons have gone over in 15 of their last 21 home games, and the Bengals have gone over in four straight overall. Take Over. GL, Jesse Schule
09-29-18	Oregon v. California OVER 58	Top	42-24	Win	100	121 h 44 m	Show
10*
09-27-18	Vikings v. Rams OVER 49		31-38	Win	100	41 h 14 m	Show
This is an 8* play on MIN@LAR to go Over. The Vikings didn't show up last Sunday, and the Buffalo Bills made them pay for it. They won't have to wait long for a chance at redemption, playing just five days later on the road at LA. The Chargers are Super Bowl favorites, but this looks like a tough spot for the home team. Injuries to several key defenders might open the door for Kirk Cousins to have a big game. History certainly favors the Vikings, as they have won five straight meetings versus the Rams. LA was the favorite in two of those five games. Previous meetings between these teams have been high scoring, especially in LA where six of the last seven have gone over the total. The Vikings were bailed out by a questionable roughing the passer penalty in Green Bay in Week 2, and given what we saw on Monday night, questionable penalties might continue to be an issue. I'll take the Over. GL, Jesse Schule
09-24-18	Steelers v. Bucs OVER 54		30-27	Win	100	7 h 37 m	Show
This is an 8* play on PIT@TB to go Over the total. Until the NFL does something about the roughing the passer penalties on traditionally textbook quarterback sacks, it's going to be hard to bet on too many unders. Big Ben is going to be tough to stop if you aren't even allowed to hit him when he's scrambling. He might be on the wrong side of 30, and a little overweight, but he's proven to be one of the more elusive quarterbacks in the NFL. The Bucs defense has allowed over 400 yards of total offense in each of their first two games, and I expect the Steelers to pile on the points here in Tampa. Take Over. GL, Jesse Schule
09-23-18	Broncos v. Ravens OVER 43		14-27	Loss	-109	96 h 50 m	Show
This is an 8* play on DEN@BAL to go Over the total. Both the Broncos and the Ravens are known for their defense, and because of that we see an extremely low total for this Sunday's game in Baltimore. The thing about this game that catches my eye, is how both these teams have leaned on their passing game. The Ravens ran 55 passing plays and just 22 running plays last week. In Week 1 they ran 38 passing plays and 34 running plays in a blowout win over Buffalo. Case Keenum has put up solid numbers in his firs two games in Denver, throwing for 551 yards and three TDs. History tells us we could see plenty of points here. The Ravens have gone over in 10 of their last 14 overall, and the over is 4-1 in the last five head to head meetings. Take Over. GL, Jesse Schule
09-22-18	Georgia v. Missouri OVER 64.5		43-29	Win	100	9 h 22 m	Show
This is an 8* play on UGA@MIZZ to go Over the total. Georgia has picked up right where it left off last year, coming into today's game at Missouri ranked 2nd nationally and averaging 45 points per game. They beat the Tigers by a score of 53-28 at home last season, and I expect another shootout here in Missouri. The Tigers have won nine consecutive regular season games, scoring at least 40 points in all of those contests. They scored 28 points in Athens last year, and they should be able to at least match that number here at home. The defense is still a concern though, coming off a 40-37 win at Purdue. If they gave up 37 points to the Boilermakers, it wouldn't be any surprise to see Georgia hang 50 on them. Take Over, GL, Jesse Schule
09-21-18	Washington State v. USC OVER 50		36-39	Win	100	21 h 46 m	Show
This is an 8* play on WAZZU@USC to go Over. The Trojans offense hasn't been able to score points in road losses at Stanford and Texas, but they return home for a pivotal PAC12 clash versus Washington State. This is a revenge game after Sam Darnold's Trojans lost at Pullman last year by a score of 30-27. Another close game should be expected here tonight, and I expect both teams to score their fair share of points. The total looks a little low, in fact it is significantly lower than it was in any of the last seven head to head meetings between these teams. Six of the last seven meetings have seen a total of 55 or higher, and the total for last year's game closed at 59. Washington State has been impressive on both sides of the ball, and they come in to tonight's game ranked second in the country in passing yards. That being said, they have yet to face a Power Five team. JT Daniels has made his fair share of mistakes, but the freshman has been able to move the ball. He's thrown for over 800 yards in three starts, threw for 322 yards on 30-of-48 passing in last week's loss to Texas. Take Over, GL, Jesse Schule
09-20-18	Jets v. Browns UNDER 41		17-21	Win	100	10 h 39 m	Show
This is an 8* play on Over 4.5 sacks. So far this season, the Browns have been getting after the quarterback. They sacked Big Ben four times in Week 1, and they sacked Drew Brees three times last week. We aren't going to compare Sam Darnold to a couple of savvy veterans who both have Super Bowl rings. This is a rookie starting on the road on a short week, and I think he's going to make mistakes, including holding on to the ball too long. The Browns are fortunate that they have Baker Mayfield as their backup quarterback, because Tyrod Taylor has taken a pounding so far. Taylor was sacked seven times against the Steelers and three times last week in New Orleans. Take Over 4.5. GL, Jesse Schule
09-20-18	Tulsa v. Temple UNDER 55		17-31	Win	100	9 h 51 m	Show
This is an 8* play on TULSA@TEMPLE to go UNDER. The Temple Owls made some changes last week, focusing on stopping the run ahead of their game at Maryland. They executed the game plan perfectly, winning outright as a double digit dog by a score of 35-14. The Terrapins only gained a total of 195 yards, and turned the ball over twice. Temple will look to ride that momentum here at home against a Tulsa team that likes to run the ball. Golden Hurricanes quarterback Luke Skipper hasn't thrown for 200 yards in any of his three starts this season, and he's thrown 3 INTs to go along with his 4 TD passes. Tulsa has trended under at a rate of 7-2 in their last nine overall, and Temple has failed to reach the total in seven of their last 10 home games. The under is 6-1 in the Owls last seven games in the month of September, and that's a trend that I expect to hold true tonight. Take Under. GL, Jesse Schule
09-17-18	Seahawks v. Bears UNDER 43.5		17-24	Win	100	9 h 60 m	Show
This is an 8* play on SEA@CHI to go Under. The Bears appear to have improved a lot since last year. They gave the Packers a scare at Lambeau in Week 1, and the addition of Khalil Mack is bad news for opposing quarterbacks. Mack made an impact right away, returning an INT for a TD against the Packers. The new look Seattle defense was lit up in a Week 1 loss at Denver, allowing Case Keenum to throw for 339 yards and three TDs. Russel Wilson did all he could to keep the game close, but the running game was non existant. Seattle only carried the ball 16 times for 64 yards. The Bears are 9-3-1 ATS in their last 14 home games, and they have also seen the under trend at 6-1 in their last seven overall. Take Under. GL, Jesse Schule
09-15-18	USC v. Texas UNDER 48		14-37	Loss	-105	81 h 52 m	Show
This is an 8* play on USC@TEX to go Under the total. The Trojans scored just three points on the road at Stanford last week, but their defense looked solid holding the Cardinal under 20 points. Freshman quarterback JT Daniels threw for 215 yards and two INTs on 16-of-34 passing in the loss. It won't get any easier this week, playing on the road at Texas. These two teams have quite the history, and the last head to head meeting was an epic double OT win for USC. Sam Ehlinger threw for 298 yards with two TDs and two INTs. Ehlinger was picked off twice in a loss to Maryland in Week 1, completing just 53 percent of his passes. Texas has long trended toward the under, failing to reach the total in 42 of their last 60 overall, and 38 of their last 56 home games. The last meeting was tied 17-17 at the end of regulation, and I expect a similar pace to this game. Barring overtime, the under looks like the best bet. Take Under. GL, Jesse Schule
09-15-18	Florida State v. Syracuse OVER 68		7-30	Loss	-107	73 h 53 m	Show
This is an 8* play on FSU@SYR to go Over the total. The Willie Taggart era is off to a brutal start, as Florida State narrowly avoided falling to 0-2 on the season by losing to Samford at home last week. The Seminoles had trailed the whole game, and rallied to score twice in the final four minutes to come from behind and win 36-26. Deandre Francois threw for 320 yards and three TDs on 31-of-46 passing last week. He should be primed to have a big game against a Syracuse defense that allowed 42 points in their Week 1 win over Western Michigan. Both these coaches want to play fast, and that should result in a shootout here on Saturday. The total looks quite high, and trends show a lean toward the under. Keep in mind that those trends aren't reflecting a coaching matchup of Dino Babers vs Willie Taggart. Take Over. GL, Jesse Schule
09-10-18	Rams v. Raiders OVER 49		33-13	Loss	-110	705 h 55 m	Show
This is a 5* play on LAR@OAK to go Over the total. The Rams were the highest scoring team in the league last year, but they ranked in the bottom half of the league defensively. They play on the road in Oakland in Week 1, and I think this game has shootout written all over it. The Raiders are looking to bounce back from a brutal 2017 season, and Derek Carr should be better this year. He threw for almost 4,000 yards with 28 TDs and just six INTs in 2016. The last time these teams met, the Rams opened up a can of whupass, winning 52-0. That sets up a nice revenge spot here for the Raiders. The Rams have gone over in seven of their last eight road games, and the over is 5-1 in their last six overall. Take Over. GL, Jesse Schule
09-01-18	Washington v. Auburn UNDER 48.5		16-21	Win	100	24 h 33 m	Show
This is an 8* play on WAS@AUB to go Under the total. If you happened to catch my longshot pick for the Heisman Trophy, you probably already know I am big on the Huskies. Here are some of the things I said about Washington: "Two years ago Jake Browning led all Power 5 quarterbacks with 43 TD passes. He’s coming into his senior year surrounded by the most talented group in the Chris Peterson era. The Huskies are ranked 6th overall, the favorites to win the PAC12." Auburn is ranked 9th overall, and yet the Tigers will be a favorite at a neutral site game in Atlanta in Week 1. The knee jerk reaction is to think that because Auburn beat Alabama last season, and went on to play Georgia in the SEC Championship Game, that they are the better team here. Once you get past the SEC bias, you see that Washington actually ranked first nationally against the run in 2017, allowing just 2.6 yards per attempt. These teams match up pretty close in every category, except for the quarterback position. Jarrett Stidham struggled against top defenses last season. He threw for just 79 yards in a loss to Clemson, 145 yards in a loss to Georgia, and 165 yards in a loss to LSU. The Tigers have gone under in 14 of their last 17 non-conference games, and I expect another defensive battle here in Week 1 versus Washington. Take Under. GL, Jesse Schule
09-01-18	Northern Illinois v. Iowa UNDER 48		7-33	Win	100	23 h 27 m	Show
This is an 8* play on NIU@IOWA to go Under the total. The Hawkeyes won three straight non-conference games at the beginning of last season, and both games at home fell well short of the total. In five home games versus unranked opponents last season they failed to reach the total in four of those contests. They allowed an average of just 13 points in those games. Iowa has 24 players returning on a defense that allowed fewer than 20 points per game in 2017. These teams have failed to combine for 40 points in four of the last five head to head meetings, and Northern Illinois is going to struggle offensively here at Kinnick Stadium. The under is 5-2 in Hawkeyes last 7 non-conference games. Take Under. GL, Jesse Schule
08-30-18	New Mexico State v. Minnesota UNDER 47		10-48	Loss	-110	14 h 29 m	Show
This is a 5* play on NMST@MINN to go Under. It was no surprise to see the Aggies struggle on offense against Wyoming in their home opener. They lost their starting quarterback, leading rusher and leading receiver from last season. They were literally going backwards in the 1st half, and finished the game with just 135 total yards. When you consider their failures on offense, their defense held it's own conceding just 29 points to a Wyoming offense that held the ball for the majority of the game. They forced the Cowboys to punt seven times, and limited them to 137 yards on 13-of-22 passing. We should see a similar story here in Minnesota, with the Gophers pounding away with their running game. Minnesota ranked 122nd in the country in passing last season, averaging just 126 yards per game. They will have an inexperienced starter here in 2018, and I think it's likely they don't ask him to do too much here in a game that they should have little trouble winning. Minnesota ranked 11th nationally against the pass last season, and they should make life very difficult for this struggling Aggies offense. Take UNDER. GL, Jesse Schule
02-04-18	Eagles v. Patriots OVER 48	Top	41-33	Win	100	302 h 33 m	Show
This is a 10* play on the Super Bowl to go OVER the total. While neither of the Conference Championship games saw a combined total of as many as 48 points, both those games were played outdoors in adverse weather conditions in the dead of winter. The Super Bowl will be played indoors, where we last saw the Saints and Vikings tally a combined 53 points in the divisional round of the playoffs. Rather than each team coming in a week removed from their previous game, both teams get a full two weeks to rest, practice and draw up a game plan. The Patriots game plan in their epic come from behind win over the Jags, was to force Blake Bortles to beat them. While they did a pretty good job of containing Leonard Fournette (76 yards on 24 carries), Bortles had one if his best games all year, throwing for 291 yards and a TD on 23-of-36 passing. The Eagles let Nick Foles air it out early and often in their win over the Vikings. Foles threw for 352 yards and three TDs on 26-of-33 passing. He had a lot of success with big plays, and it makes sense for Philly to have the same approach here against the Pats. These two teams have a history of playing high scoring games, going over in four of the last five head to head meetings. The Patriots have gone over the total in eight of their last 10 post season games. Take OVER. GL, Jesse Schule
12-30-17	Iowa State v. Memphis OVER 66	Top	21-20	Loss	-110	602 h 60 m	Show
This is a 10* play on ISU@MEM to go OVER the total. The Memphis Tigers ranked 2nd in the country in scoring during the regular season, averaging over 47 points per game. Skeptics might say they played a soft schedule, but I would point out that they scored over 100 combined points in their two games against Top 25 teams. They beat UCLA by a score of 48-45, and lost to UCF in overtime by a score of 62-55. Riley Ferguson threw for a combined 868 yards with 10 TDs and just one INT in those games. They will play Iowa State in the Liberty Bowl, and the Cyclones were surprisingly competitive in the BIG12 this season. Their fortunes took a turn for the better when they made a change at quarterback in Week 5 against Oklahoma. Senior Kyle Kempt led them to a 38-31 upset win over Oklahoma, and he finished the season with 1,473 yards, 13 TDs and just 3 INTs while playing in just six full games. While Memphis was impressive on offense, the Tigers ranked 103rd nationally in scoring defense, and they face a Power 5 team that can score with the best of them. We should expect a lot of big plays, a lot of broken tackles, and the points should pile up quick in the Liberty Bowl. Take OVER. GL, Jesse Schule
12-26-17	Utah v. West Virginia UNDER 56.5		30-14	Win	100	10 h 38 m	Show
This is a 9* play on UTAH@WVU to go UNDER the total. Utah has one of the best offensive lines in the PAC12, and they are a team that really likes to lean on the run. They run the ball roughly 40 times per game, and Dana Holgorsen knows what to expect. "Their O-line is huge," Holgorsen said. "Evidently, they are focused on recruiting the bigger guys up front." The Mountaineers will start backup quarterback Chris Chugunov, who completed just over 50 percent of his passes in back to back losses since the injury to Will Grier. West Virginia ran the ball 50 times and attempted just 20 passes in their season finale versus Oklahoma. With both these teams looking to establish the run, we could seem them burn up a lot of clock in a low scoring game. In addition to the loss of their starting quarterback, the Mountaineers will also be without their leading rusher. Justin Crawford has decided to sit out the bowl game in preparation for the NFL Draft. The Mountaineers have failed to cover in four straight bowl games. Take UNDER. GL, Jesse Schule
12-24-17	Bills v. Patriots UNDER 47		16-37	Loss	-115	15 h 55 m	Show
This is a 9* play on BUF@NE to go UNDER the total. The Patriots are coming off a massive win in Pittsburgh, but Tom Brady didn't exactly light it up in the victory. Brady threw for 298 yards with a TD and an INT on 22-of-35 passing in Pittsburgh. He's looked a little off the last few weeks, throwing just two TD passes and four INTs in his last three starts. One of those was a 23-3 win over the Bills in Buffalo, and he threw for just 258 yards and an INT on 21-30 passing in that game. The Pats ran the ball for 191 yards and a pair of TDs, and we could see Bill Belichick lean on the run here in a cold weather game at Foxboro this week. The Bills come in as winners of three of their last four, and they allowed an average of just 11 points in those three wins. The Bills beat New England by a score of 16-0 in Foxboro last year, and the under is 3-0 in Buffalo's last three visits to New England. The under is 9-2 in the Bills last 11 games on fieldtur, while New England has failed to reach the total in five straight games in the month of December. Take UNDER. GL, Jesse Schule
12-24-17	Dolphins v. Chiefs UNDER 43.5		13-29	Win	100	15 h 31 m	Show
This is a 9* play on MIA@KC to go UNDER the total. The Chiefs have won back to back games after losing six of their previous seven. They held the Raiders and the Chargers to a combined 28 points in those wins, and the Kansas City defense draws a favorable matchup this week. The Dolphins 26th ranked offense has averaged less than 18 points per game this season. The Fish still have an outside chance of making the playoffs though, so we should expect them to play hard here at Arrowhead. Jay Cutler didn't perform well in the cold weather in Buffalo last week, throwing for 274 yards and three picks on 28-of-49 passing. The weatherman is calling for more sub-zero temperatures here in Kansas City. The Chiefs have gone under in five of their last six overall, and the under is 21-6 in Chiefs last 27 home games versus a team with a losing road record. The under is 43-19 in Chiefs last 62 home games. Take UNDER. GL. Jesse Schule
12-23-17	Texas Tech v. South Florida OVER 65.5		34-38	Win	100	12 h 27 m	Show
This is an 8* play on TTU@USF to go Over the total. The South Florida Bulls will be the favorite against Texas Tech in the Birmingham Bowl. South Florida won their first seven games of the season, but then suffered losses to Houston and Central Florida finishing at 9-2 overall. In their season finale at Central Florida, they lost in a thriller by a score of 49-42. We could see another high scoring game here against Texas Tech, the Red Raiders can really put points on the board. Texas Tech lost by a score of 56-27 to LSU in the Texas Bowl in 2015. The over is 7-1 in the Red Raiders last eight bowl games. They have also gone over in 14 of their last 17 neutral site games, and the over is 19-9 in their last 28 non conference games. The Bulls have also been involved in more than their fair share of high scoring games, going over in seven of their last 10 non-conference games. Both these teams can put points on the board in a hurry, and neither team has shown any ability to play defense. Expect an entertaining game here in Alabama. Take OVER. GL, Jesse Schule
12-22-17	Central Michigan v. Wyoming OVER 45	Top	14-37	Win	100	12 h 43 m	Show
This is a 10* play on CMU@WYO to go OVER the total. The most intriguing story for this year's Famous Idaho Potato Bowl will be the showcase of one of the country's top ranked quarterbacks. Josh Allen is expected to be a first round pick in the upcoming NFL Draft, and this game will give him a chance to improve his draft stock. Allen missed the last two games of the regular season, and Wyoming lost those two games scoring a combined 24 points. The Cowboys were a different teams when Allen was healthy, winning six of seven games against Group of Five teams. He threw for 13 TDs and four INTs in those games. Central Michigan finished the season riding a five game win streak, and starting quarterback Shane Morris lit up the scoreboard during that span. Morris threw 1,141 yards with 14 TDs and just two INTs. All five of those games saw 55 or more combined points. The Cowboys have gone over the total in five of their last six against teams from the MAC, and their last game against Central Michigan was a 32-20 loss. I expect to see both teams score 20+ points her in this bowl game, and with an extraordinarily low total, the value lies with a play on the over. Take OVER. GL, Jesse Schule
12-16-17	Oregon v. Boise State OVER 59.5	Top	28-38	Win	100	75 h 29 m	Show
This is a 10* play on BSU@ORE to go OVER the total. The Oregon Ducks will face the Boise State Broncos in the Las Vegas Bowl this Saturday, and I expect to see plenty of scoring. The Ducks are in great shape with starting quarterback Justin Herbert, who was 6-1 in his seven starts this season. He threw for 1,750 yards with 13 TDs and 3 INTs in those games, completing 66.5% of his passes. All seven of those games saw more than 60 combined points. The Ducks should have little trouble lighting up the scoreboard against a Boise State team that gave up 45 points to Washington State, 52 points to Colorado State, and 42 points to Virginia. The Broncos are expected to be without their #1 running back Alex Mattison, which could result in a more pass heavy offensive approach. The Ducks lost their last bowl game in overtime by a score of 47-41 to TCU in the 2016 Alamo Bowl. We should see a similar high scoring affair here in Sin City. Take OVER. GL, Jesse Schule
12-09-17	Army v. Navy OVER 45	Top	14-13	Loss	-110	9 h 12 m	Show
This is a 10* play on ARMY@NAVY to go OVER the total. Last year's Army vs Navy game saw the Black Knights end a 14-game losing streak in the annual event. This season I expect another long standing trend to come to an end. These two teams have failed to reach the total in 10 straight meetings, and that has bookmakers coming with an ultra low number here this year. The total of 45 is lower than it has been in any of Navy's games this season, and only three of 11 of Navy's games saw less than 45 combined points. Army also hasn't seen a total lower than this so far in 2017, and they have seen at least 45 combined points in seven of their 11 games. Their last game was a 52-49 loss to North Texas, and they ran for a whopping 534 yards and seven TDs in that contest. The Midshipmen are coming off a pair of losses to Houston and Notre Dame. Their last win came against SMU, and they ran for 559 yards and six TDs in the victory. While Navy is the favorite once again this year, this game is expected to be closer than it has in recent years. Both these teams should put some points on the board, and a competitive game could easily lead to enough points to push this number over. Take OVER. GL, Jesse Schule
12-07-17	Saints v. Falcons UNDER 53.5		17-20	Win	100	33 h 11 m	Show
This is an 8* play on NO@ATL to go UNDER the total. I bet on the over in New Orleans home win over Carolina on Sunday, winning that bet with the final score of 31-21. I also bet the over in the Falcons loss to Minnesota, but lost that bet as Atlanta lost 14-9. Neither of those games saw enough combined points to reach tonight's total, and I believe that both teams may come in looking to run the ball on a short week. The Saints duo of Mark Ingram and Alvin Kamara have combined to run for over 1500 yards and 16 TDs. Kamara is also a serious threat in the passing game, ranking second on the team with 59 receptions for 614 yards and four TDs. The Falcons have two of the league's best backs in Devonta Freeman and Tevin Coleman. While history tells us that these two teams have a history of playing high scoring games, both teams are far better defensively than they have been in previous seasons. Atlanta ranks 6th in the NFL in pass defense, allowing just 208 yards per game. The Saints rank 11th, allowing just 217 yards per game. That's a huge improvement for a New Orleans team that had ranked dead last in pass defense the last few years, and got off to a terrible start again this year. Last week they held Cam Newton to 183 yards and two TDs on 17-of-27 passing. The under is 6-2 in the Saints last eight at Atlanta. Take UNDER. GL, Jesse Schule
12-03-17	Panthers v. Saints OVER 47.5		21-31	Win	100	149 h 52 m	Show
This is an 8* play on CAR@NO to go OVER the total. The Panthers lost to New Orleans at home in Week 3, and Cam Newton was terrible in that game. He threw for just 167 yards and three INTs on 17-of-26 passing. He's coming into the rematch riding a four game winning streak, and during that span he's thrown for five TDs and just one INT. The Panthers have scored a combined 80 points the last two weeks, and history tells us we could see plenty of scoring here in the Super Dome on Sunday. Five of the last six meetings between these teams have gone over the total, and today's total is lower than it was in the Panthers last two visits to New Orleans. The Saints last home game was a 34-31 win over the Redskins, and they had to rally to score two TDs in the final three minutes to force overtime in that game. They went on to lose their next game at the Rams, and this Saints defense has now given up over 400 total yards in consecutive games. The over is 13-5-1 in the Saints last 19 home games. Take OVER. GL, Jesse Schule
12-03-17	Vikings v. Falcons OVER 47		14-9	Loss	-110	149 h 27 m	Show
This is an 8* play on MIN@ATL to go OVER the total. The Vikings are best known for their dominant defense, but they've scored 30+ points in three of their last four games. They will likely need to put points on the board to extend their winning streak here in Atlanta. The Falcons have won three straight, and they've averaged over 30 points per game during that span. Case Keenum was supposed to be filling in for Sam Bradford, but he's thrown for 280+ yards in four straight games. Only Tom Brady has more 280+ yard games than Case Keenum this season. He's completed over 70 percent of his passes in each of his last three games. Minnesota has gone over the total in five of their last seven road games, and playing in a dome against Atlanta, we should expect another high scoring game. The Falcons are normally a great bet to go over at home, as they've surpassed the total in 13 of their last 16 home games. The over is 21-8-1 in Falcons last 30 games overall. Take OVER. GL, Jesse Schule
11-26-17	Broncos v. Raiders OVER 43		14-21	Loss	-110	138 h 22 m	Show
8*
11-26-17	Bills v. Chiefs OVER 46.5		16-10	Loss	-110	13 h 43 m	Show
This is an 8* play on BUF@KC to go OVER the total. The Buffalo Bills have given up 135 points in three straight losses, and they appear to have given up on this season. They decided to bench starting quarterback Tyrod Taylor in last week's game against LA, and rookie Nathan Peterman threw five INTs in just the first quarter. Taylor came in and threw for 158 yards and a TD and ran for 38 yards and another score, but the Bills lost by a score of 54-24. The Chiefs have lost four of their last five, and rookie RB Kareem Hunt hasn't run for 100 yards since Week 5 at Houston. He should be due for a breakout performance against a Buffalo defense that has allowed an NFL high 16 rushing TDs this season. The Chiefs defense has been questionable all season long, even during their 5-0 start. Kansas City ranks 26th in the NFL in total defense, and injuries to several starting linebackers isn't going to help much. The Bills have gone over the total in five straight overall, and six of their last seven when coming off a loss. I expect both teams to put points on the board here in Kansas City this week. Take OVER. GL, Jesse Schule
11-25-17	Notre Dame v. Stanford UNDER 56	Top	20-38	Loss	-110	117 h 17 m	Show
This is a 10* play on ND@STAN to go UNDER the total. The Stanford Cardinal might be scoreboard watching on Saturday night, as the final score between Washington State and Washington is far more important than the result of their game against the Irish. Both Notre Dame and Stanford are coming off low scoring games, with Stanford beating Cal 17-14, and Notre Dame beating Army by a score of 24-17. The Cardinal have struggled to score since Bryce Love injured his ankle, and the last thing they want to do is give him a heavy workload here against Notre Dame. With a probable meeting against USC in the PAC12 Championship game looming large, it's likely that Love is used sparingly here this week. These teams have a history of playing close, low scoring games, with the under cashing in six of the last seven meetings. Stanford has been playing far better defense in recent weeks, and the Cardinal have failed to reach the total in six of their last seven overall. They were impressive in a home win over Washington, holding the Huskies to just 135 rushing yards. Notre Dame has been involved in some high scoring games this season, but the Irish have failed to reach the total in seven of their last 10 when playing on grass. Take UNDER. GL, Jesse Schule
11-25-17	West Virginia v. Oklahoma OVER 67		31-59	Win	100	10 h 11 m	Show
This is an 8* play on WVU@OKLA to go OVER the total. The Sooners have scored an averaged of 46.4 points in their last five overall, and they should light up the scoreboard today at home against West Virginia. The Mountaineers haven't got much to play for here, and they will start a freshman at quarterback. Chris Chugunov didn't look too bad against Texas, throwing for 189 yards and a TD on 14-of-26 passing. Baker Mayfield will start this game on the bench, but he's not going to be watching for long. Oklahoma still needs to win this game to keep it's playoff hopes on track. The Mountaineers have struggled against elite quarterbacks this season, giving up 50 points in a home loss to Oklahoma State and Mason Rudolph, and Texas Tech quarterback Nick Shimonek threw for 323 yards and four TDs in a losing effort in Morgantown. The Red Raiders scored 28 points in the first half of that game, but West Virginia rallied to win 46-35. I expect a similar score here against the Sooners in Norman. Oklahoma has out-scored the Mountaineers 100-52 while winning the last two meetings between the two teams. Take OVER. GL, Jesse Schule
11-25-17	Alabama v. Auburn OVER 47.5		14-26	Loss	-110	105 h 53 m	Show
This is an 8* play on ALA@AUB to go OVER the total. The Alabama Crimson Tide are still undefeated, but they appear to be about as vulnerable as they have ever been. Two weeks ago against Mississippi State they needed to rally late in a game that they were losing in the fourth quarter. They have been hit hard by injuries to several key defensive players. Not only did they lose a pair of linebackers in the win over LSU a few weeks ago, but they had already lost two star linebackers in Week 1 against Florida State. Minkah Fitzpatrick is hoping to play with a sore hamstring, but he's nowhere near 100 percent. They face an Auburn team that has scored 40+ points in all four games during a four game win streak. That includes a 40-17 home win over #1 ranked Georgia. They gained 488 total yards on the Bulldogs defense, and I like their chances of doing the same thing here against Alabama. The Crimson Tide have been extremely fortunate so far, padding their stats against weak opponents. Their most impressive win was at home to LSU, in a game where they were out-gained 306-299 in total yards. I expect both teams to score their fair share of points in the Iron Bowl. Take OVER. GL, Jesse Schule
11-25-17	Ohio State v. Michigan UNDER 50.5		31-20	Loss	-110	96 h 34 m	Show
This is an 8* play on OSU@MICH to go UNDER the total. The Buckeyes are a big favorite on the road at Michigan, but this has never been an easy game for Ohio State. We've already seen a few double-digit dogs win outright here in rivalry week (Mississippi and Pittsburgh), and I wouldn't be surprised if this game is a lot closer than some people expect. Last year the Buckeyes won at home in overtime by a score of 30-27. I had the under in that game, and while there were only 34 points scored in regulation, it went over for the fourth consecutive time in this series. This Michigan team doesn't have the same offensive firepower it had a year ago, and the Wolverines were held to just 234 total yards while scoring 10 points in a loss to Wisconsin last week. Backup quarterback John O'Korn threw for just 19 yards on 2-of-8 passing, and he comes into this weeks game completing just over 50 percent of his passes this season with one TD and five INTs in seven appearances (four starts). The Wolverines have only played one game all year that has seen more than 50 combined points scored. The total for today's game is far higher than it was in each of the last two head to head meetings between these teams. Take Under. GL, Jesse Schule
11-24-17	Missouri v. Arkansas OVER 70		48-45	Win	100	13 h 13 m	Show
This is an 8* play on MIZZ@ARK to go OVER the total. I bet on Missouri last week in their blowout win over Vanderbilt, and here is what I said before that game: "The Tigers have struggled against the top teams in the SEC, but playing the bottom tier teams has been a cakewalk so far. Missouri is coming off four straight wins, averaging over 50 points per game during that span. They dropped 50 on Tennessee at home last week, and they beat Florida by a whopping 29 points at home a week earlier." They led 35-0 at the half last week, and held on to win 45-17. The Tigers might face a much tougher test here at Arkansas, as the home team has covered in five straight meetings between the two teams. The Razorbacks have gone over in four of their last five home games, and I like their chances of scoring their fair share of points here in their final game of the season. Starting quarterback Austin Allen missed four games due to injury, but he's been solid when healthy. He's thrown for seven TDs and just three INTs in five home starts. As well as Missouri has been playing lately, I still think their defense is vulnerable. Arkansas should be able to score enough points to keep this game interesting. Take OVER. GL, Jesse Schule
11-23-17	Ole Miss v. Mississippi State UNDER 62.5		31-28	Win	100	69 h 30 m	Show
This is an 8* play on MISS@MISST to go UNDER the total. How good is Mississippi State? Well if you look at their 8-3 record, you see three losses. Those losses came against three teams in the Top 10, who are all currently in the hunt for a playoff spot. They rank 20th nationally in scoring defense, holding opponents to under 20 points per game. The Bulldogs are a big favorite here in the Egg Bowl versus rivals Mississippi, and they are expected to win by three scores. The Rebels have scored plenty of points this season, but not on the road against ranked teams. They scored a total of 26 points in losses at Alabama and Auburn, and they are just 4-13 ATS in their last 17 road games. These teams have a history of playing low scoring games, failing to reach the total in 11 of the last 15 meetings. Only one of the Bulldogs games this season saw more than a combined 60 points, and that was a blowout win over LA-Tech. Rebels quarterback Jordan Ta'amu threw for just 189 yards on 19-of-34 passing in a home loss to Texas A&M last week. I don't expect him to be any more successful here at Starkville. Take UNDER. GL, Jesse Schule
11-20-17	Falcons v. Seahawks OVER 45	Top	34-31	Win	100	42 h 54 m	Show
This is an 8* play on ATL@SEA to go OVER the total. The Seahawks have held five of their last six opponents to less than 20 points, but the loss of Richard Sherman and Kam Chancellor is likely to hurt their defense. They host the Atlanta Falcons on Monday Night Football, and Atlanta is coming off a 27-7 home win over Dallas. Matt Ryan has had an off year, but he has a history of putting up big numbers against the Seahawks. He faced Seattle twice last year, throwing for over 300 yards in both games, including a 26-24 loss at Seattle. The Falcons knocked Seattle out of the playoffs with a 36-20 home win in the first round. These two teams have a history of playing high scoring games, as six of the last seven head to head meetings have gone over the total. The total for this game is actually lower than it was in each of the last four meetings. The Falcons leading rusher is expected to miss the game due to a concussion, and Seattle has struggled to run the ball all season long. We should expect to see both teams air it out early and often. Russell Wilson ranks 3rd in the NFL in passing yards, and he's thrown for 749 yards and six TDs in his last two home games. Take OVER. GL, Jesse Schule
11-19-17	Redskins v. Saints OVER 51.5		31-34	Win	100	11 h 36 m	Show
This is an 8* play on WAS@NO to go OVER the total. The Washington Redskins scored 30 points at home against the Vikings last week, but it wasn't enough in a 38-30 loss. Kirk Cousins did his part, throwing for 327 yards and a TD on 26-of-45 passing. The Skins are likely to come out passing here at the Superdome, and I am expecting a high scoring game. The Saints are flying high on offense, coming into this game riding a seven game win streak, scoring over 30 points per game during that span. They scored 52 in a home win over the Lions a few weeks ago, and I wouldn't be surprised to see a similar score here. Washington is dealing with a bunch of injuries on defense, and they've allowed 30+ points in three of their last four games. These teams have gone over the total in four straight meetings dating back to 2008. The Redskins have gone over in 13 of their last 16 road games, while New Orleans have gone over in 13 of their last 18 home games. Take OVER. GL, Jesse Schule
11-19-17	Chiefs v. Giants OVER 45		9-12	Loss	-110	11 h 35 m	Show
This is an 8* play on KC@NYG to go OVER the total. Remember when the Giants had one of the league's best defenses? Well they've looked like one of the worst the last few weeks, giving up a total of 82 points in losses to the Rams and San Francisco. There isn't a lot left for the Giants to play for, and the level of effort in recent games has been minimal. They host the Kansas City Chiefs, who are notoriously tough when coming off a bye week. The Chiefs should be primed for a one-sided victory here, running up the score and padding their stats. Kareem Hunt is second in the NFL in rushing yards, and Alex Smith has the league's highest quarterback rating. The Chiefs defense has not been a strength in recent weeks, and injuries to several key linebackers could hurt them here in this game. Kansas City has gone over in six of it's last eight road games, while the Giants have gone over in five of their last seven overall. Take OVER. GL, Jesse Schule
11-18-17	NC State v. Wake Forest UNDER 63.5		24-30	Win	100	102 h 18 m	Show
This is an 8* play on NCST@WAKE to go UNDER the total. The Wolfpack suffered their first loss in conference play at the hands of defending champions Clemson two weeks ago, and responded with a dominant 14-7 win at Boston College last week. Their defense has been impressive, holding opponents to just over 15 points per game in seven games versus unranked teams. Wake Forest has been involved in some high scoring games lately, going over the total against Notre Dame, Louisville and Syracuse. When playing teams with more of a pro style, they have seen lower scores. In fact they didn't see a combined 60 points in any of their first seven games this season. They failed to score 20 points in losses to Georgia Tech and Florida State, and the Wolfpack's defense is statistically better than both those teams. These two teams have gone over in each of the last three head to head meetings, but not one of those games saw a combined 60 points. This inflated total is higher than it was in any of the past 10 meetings between the two teams. My money is on the under. Take UNDER. GL, Jesse Schule
11-18-17	Arizona University v. Oregon OVER 74	Top	28-48	Win	100	85 h 0 m	Show
This is a 10* play on ARI@ORE to go OVER the total. The Ducks have been hit hard by injuries this season, especially at quarterback. Starter Justin Herbert was lost for the season, and his backup Taylor Alie has missed the last three games. The senior is hoping to be cleared in time to play here in the Ducks home game against Arizona. Third string quarterback Braxton Burmeister got the start in Oregon's last home game, and he was only asked to attempt a dozen passes. He was 9-of-12 for 47 yards and a TD, leading the Ducks to a 41-20 win over Utah. Royce Freeman and Tony Brooks-James each ran for over 100 yards in the win. The Ducks should be able to put points on the board against this 114th ranked Arizona defense. The Wildcats have played three road games versus PAC12 teams, and they have allowed more than 40 points in all three of those games. They have also scored more than their fair share of points, winning five of their last six and scoring an average of 48.8 points in those wins. Both these teams have a history of playing high scoring games, Oregon has gone over in 51 of it's last 69 home games. The Wildcats have gone over in 26 of their last 36 overall. Take OVER. GL, Jesse Schule
11-18-17	Nebraska v. Penn State UNDER 57		44-56	Loss	-135	88 h 29 m	Show
This is an 8* play on NEB@PSU to go UNDER the total. The Nittany Lions got off to a slow start in last week's 35-6 home win over Rutgers, and I am expecting another low scoring game here this week against Nebraska. These two teams haven't met since Nebraska won at Penn State by a score of 23-20 in 2013. The Huskers have won all three meetings since 2011, and two of those three games went under the total. The one game that went over the number still saw less than 55 combined points. The total for this game is far higher than it was in any of those previous meetings. All of those games were played in November, so weather may have been a factor. The weather is likely to play a role in this game, as heavy winds and rain are in the forecast. In fact, if you look at Penn State's last 10 games, only two of those combined for as many points as the total for this week's game. One of those games was the loss at Ohio State. This number appears to be a bit inflated. Take UNDER. GL, Jesse Schule

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