This is a 4* play on MIN.

The Vikings five game win streak came to an end in Denver, in a game decided by just one point. They are back home to take on the Chicago Bears, who are in last place in the NFC North. Justin Fields is back, and the Bears offense has averaged 27 points per game in the games he has started and finished. The points haven't translated into wins though, as the Bears are 1-6 when he starts. They are also 1-6 in their last seven games against the Vikings. The Bears have lost nine of their last 10 road games, and 17 of their last 20 overall. 

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 5* play on Denver.

I bet on Denver last week, and here is what I said before kickoff: "Everyone is a Vikings fan after they put together a five game winning streak. Keep in mind wins came over the Bears, Falcons, Packers, Saints and they caught the 49ers in a tough spot. Josh Dobbs has stepped in and done a great job since the injury to Kirk Cousins, and he previously played well for Arizona. It didn't translate into wins though, as the Cardinals were 1-7 with Dobbs as their starter. A road game against a Denver team that has also turned things around might be a reality check for the Vikings." Next up is the Cleveland Browns, and DTR. This looks like a tough spot for Cleveland, facing a hot QB on the road.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 4* play on PIT.

I bet against the Steelers last week when they were on the road facing a rookie quarterback. Now I am backing the Steelers in the same situation this week. Why? Pittsburgh came very close to winning in Cleveland last week, and the Browns have the league's #1 ranked defense. Cincinnati doesn't have an elite defense to hang their hat on. The firing of OC Matt Canada might also provide a spark for the Steelers offense. This looks like a disaster waiting to happen for Jake Browning.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 5* play on JAX.

This is a huge revenge spot for Jacksonville, who lost 37-17 at home to Houston earlier this season. They have since won six of seven games, and that includes road wins at Pittsburgh and New Orleans. The Texans rank 2nd in the NFL in passing and CJ Stroud is making a case to be in the conversation for MVP. The 22 year old rookie has thrown four INTs in his last two starts, and he might be due for a let down here against the Jags. Jacksonville out-gained the Texans 404-366 in total yard, had 22 first downs to 15, and won the time of possession in the first meeting, but lost the turnover battle 2-0. It's payback time, and I expect the Jags to come on top in the area that matters the most, points on the scoreboard.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 4* play on DET.

The Lions fell victim to Murphy's Law on Sunday, turning the ball fourr four times and losing time of possession by 40:24 to 19:36. This happens to even good teams, but only great teams are able to overcome all that and come away with a win. This sets up the Lions for a strong performance here against the Packers on Thanksgiving. This looks like a terrible spot for Green Bay, who had to sign a couple backs off the practice squad after losing two of their top three running backs last week. In fact all three of their running backs on the depth chart are listed in the injury report, and Aaron Jones is doubtful. Additionally there are four defensive starters listed as questionable and another offensive lineman is banged up. This just looks like a let down spot for the Packers coming off a home win over LA last week. 

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 4* play on KC.

The Chiefs defense has carried them so far, but the offense has been rather pedestrian. Don't be surprised if they come out of the bye week with some new wrinkles. Andy Reid is considered to be the best in the business when he has an extra week to scheme. He's 28-4 straight up in his career when coming off a bye week. Expect Patrick Mahomes and Travis Kelce to turn back the clock here on Monday Night Football.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 5* play on Denver.

Everyone is a Vikings fan after they put together a five game winning streak. Keep in mind wins came over the Bears, Falcons, Packers, Saints and they caught the 49ers in a tough spot. Josh Dobbs has stepped in and done a great job since the injury to Kirk Cousins, and he previously played well for Arizona. It didn't translate into wins though, as the Cardinals were 1-7 with Dobbs as their starter. A road game against a Denver team that has also turned things around might be a reality check for the Vikings.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 4* play on Under.

The Chargers look like one of the best teams in the NFL on paper, but their coach leaves a lot of points on the table and it often ends up costing them in close games. Scoring on the road in Green Bay might be a challenge. The Packers quietly rank 11th overall in scoring defense. The problem for Green Bay is that their offense stinks, and they have a ton of injuries at skill positions. Look for another low score here at Lambeau.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 4* play on Cleveland.

While Deshaun Watson won't play QB fort the Browns, it's not like Ben Roethisburger is under center for the Steelers. In a matchup between DTR and Kenny Pickett, it should come down to defense and pounding the rock. We saw Cleveland go into Pittsburgh in Week 2 and outgain the Steelers 408-255 in total yards. Cleveland ran for 198 yards in that game despite losing Nick Chubb for the rest of the year to a gruesome injury. This is a revenge spot for the Browns, and I fancy the home team to sneak away with a win here.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 4* play on ATL.

Just then it looks like they are in full tank mode, the Cardinals announce that Kyler Murray will start versus the Falcons. Don't let that fool you, they are still a hot mess. The offensive line is riddled with injuries, and Murray hasn't played in almost a year. The Falcons 26th ranked run defense might struggle to contain the Falcons dynamic duo of Tyler Allgeier and Bijan Robinson. At the end of the day, the Falcons have a lot more to play for at this point in the season and that should play out on the field.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 4* play on PIT.

The Steelers have mastered the art of winning ugly, and this week's home game against Green Bay has "ugly" written all over it. The Packers ended a four game losing streak with a home win over the Browns last week. They faced Rams backup Brett Rypien who threw for 130 yards and an INT on 13-of-28 passing. The Steelers got the running game going last week against the Titans, averaging 5.5 yards per carry (166 yards and a TD on 30 attempts). That success should continue against Packers defense that ranks among the worst in the NFL against the run.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 10* play on Under.

San Francisco comes out of the bye week looking to get back on track. The defense should be in good shape with Chase Young making his debut. They have allowed just 16.5 points per game on the road this season. The offense is still a question with a pair of starters out on the offensive line. Brock Purdy has thrown five picks in his last three starts, and the Niners scored 17 in all three of those games.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 4* play on CIN.

The Bengals and Joe Burrow struggled early in the season, but they appeared to find their stride last week. Burrow threw for 238 yards and 3 TDs on 28-of-32 passing. The Bills on the other hand are trending in the opposite direction. Josh Allen missed practice with a shoulder injury mid week. Allen has appeared to miss former offensive coordinator Brian Daboll, and his home away splits are quite revealing. Allen has 13 TDs and 3 INTs on 75% passing at home, and 4 TDs and 5 INTs on 66% passing on the road.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 4* play on CLE.

The Arizona Cardinals are tanking, and they couldn't make it anymore obvious. They traded their QB to Minnesota, leaving them with an inexperienced rookie (Clayton Tune) as #1 on the depth chart. Tune was a long shot to make an NFL roster, and he didn't exactly light it up during the pre-season. Now he faces the NFL's top ranked defense on the road at Cleveland. The return of Deshaun Watson may or may not help, but I think the Browns defense will do enough to get the win and cover here.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 4* play on KC.

Are the Dolphins overrated? You bet your ass they are! Miami hasn't beaten a team with a winning record since they defeated the Buffalo Bills at home last September. They have padded their stats against inferior opponents. Now they face a Kansas City defense that is lights out against the pass. Only the Cleveland Browns have allowed fewer passing yards per game than the Chiefs. The Dolphins have five offensive starters listed as questionable. The Chiefs defense should dominate this game.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 4* play on PIT.

In his NFL debut at home against the Falcons, Will Levis threw for 238 yards and four TDs on 19-of-29 passing. He makes his second NFL start on the road at Pittsburgh, and now the Steelers defense has tape on him. I think it would be awful naive to expect the rookie to be as good as he was last week. The Titans are 0-3 on the road, and they should be 0-4 after tonight. More bad news for Titans fans ...Cam Heyward is back for the Steelers.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 4* play on CIN.

So the Bengals came into this season expecting to be a contender, but Joe Burrow was clearly not healthy and they have been one of the biggest disappointments. Coming off a bye week, and Burrow proclaiming he is now at 100 percent, this looks like a good spot to back the Bengals s a dog. The 49ERS are coming off back to back losses, ravaged by injuries, and with the news that Brock Purdy has cleared concussion protocol the line has ticked up to +5.5.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 4* play on NYJ.

The Jets come in off back to back wins, and this team appears to be trending in the right direction. The Giants are coming off an upset win over Washington, with Tyrod Taylor balling out. Taylor threw for 279 yards and two TDs on 18-of-29 passing. I expect the Jets defense to make life difficult for the veteran backup here this Sunday. This looks like a let down spot for the Giants, and they might be a bit overvalued after covering in back to back games.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 4* play on GB.

The Vikings look good on paper, but "The Game Isn't Played on Paper!". The come into Lambeau Field in a cold weather game, and this appears to be a huge let down spot after they upset the 49ERS. The Vikings have lost by 20+ points in each of their last two games at Lambeau, Green Bay leads the all-time series 64-56-3 and the home team has won each of the past four games in the series.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 4* play on LAC.

The Chargers have lost six of the last eight meetings versus KC, but they have covered the spread in seven of those games. Last year they lost by a field goal in both meetings, at home and at Kansas City. They are 2-3 this season and all three of their losses have come by a field goal. The Chiefs offense has not been quite as prolific this season, averaging just 24 points per game. I'll take the points as I am expecting another close game.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 4* play on TB.

The Bucs are still sitting in first place in the NFC South with a record of 3-2, but the public is down on them after they looked pretty bad in a home loss to the Lions. Their losses came against the Eagles and the Lions, who boast a combined record of 10-2. Now they have a home game against an Atlanta team with a rookie QB who has thrown as many picks (6) as TDs. This is just the Falcons second road game, and they scored six points in a loss at Detroit earlier this year. Five of Ridder's six TD passes have come at home. This looks like a tough spot against a Bucs defense than ranks 7th in the NFL in scoring allowing 17.6 points per game.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 4* play on LV.

The Bears won't have Justin Fields this week, and it probably doesn't matter as they are suspected to begin tanking for the first overall pick in the draft. The Raiders are also turning to a backup QB, but Brian Hoyer has plenty of experience. This looks like a good spot for Josh Jacobs to get going against the Bears 29th ranked defense. This might not be pretty, but we expect the Raiders to emerge with a "W" here.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 5* play on LAC.

This looks like a good spot to back a Chargers team that has underachieved so far. Dallas comes in as a road favorite, but the shine is starting to wear off. The Cowboys have lost back to back road games to Arizona and San Francisco. Their wins don't look all that impressive either, beating the Jets, Giants and Patriots. While Dallas is trending down, the Chargers are trending up coming off back to back wins over the Raiders and the Vikings. They lost to Miami in week 1 by just two points, and on the road at Tennessee by a field goal. I'll take the points with the home dog.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 4* play on TB.

The Bucs are 3-1, in first place in the NFC South, and their only loss came against the defending NFC champs Philadelphia. As good as they have looked, they are still getting points as a home dog against the Detroit Lions. The Lions are 4-1, and they have looked good so far. I still think it's a bit much to have them coming in as a road favorite against a 1st place team. Jared Goff is off to a good start after having a solid season last year. One thing that has carried over, is that his home/away splits remain dramatic. Last year he had 23 TDs and home and just six on the road, this year he has 6 TDs at home and two on the road. The Bucs boast a Top 10 defense, and they should be in this game from start to finish.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 4* play on INDY.

The Colts are tied for first place in the NFC South, but the winner of this week's game at Jacksonville will take sole possession of the top spot in the division. Rookie QB Anthony Richardson is on the IR, leaving Minshew Mania to run the offense. I think Indy is in better shape with Minshew, who is a more proven commodity in the NFL. So far this season the Colts are 3-0 in games that Minshew has played the majority of the snaps, and 0-2 in the games with Richardson at the helm. The Jags are in a let down spot coming off back to back wins in London. I'll take the points.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 4* play on MIA.

The Dolphins lead the NFL in scoring, averaging 36 points per game. They host the winless Carolina Panthers, and Carolina ranks 28th in scoring defense allowing 29 points per game. Bryce Young is perhaps biting off more than he can chew as a rookie starter on a poor team. The last time the Dolphins played Carolina they won by a score of 31-10, and there's no reason to expect a competitive game here in Miami this week.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 4* play on GB.

The Packers will be on the road at Las Vegas, and they are the underdog in this matchup. Green Bay has the advantage of coming off a long week with extra time to prepare, and should be a lot healthier than they were when the lost to the Lions in Week 4, that isn't the only advantage. The Packers are in good shape with Jordan Love at QB, he's thrown for 901 yards, 8 TDs and 3 INTs while Jimmy G has thrown more picks (6) than TDs (5). Playing his first game back coming off a concussion looks like a tough spot for Jimmy G and the Raiders. The books have the wrong team favored here.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 4* play on NYJ.

The Broncos shouldn't be a favorite against anybody.The Bears were up big in the 4th quarter last week, but they handed Denver the game. They gave up a fumble recovery for a TD, turned the ball over on downs in field goal range and Justin Fields threw an interception on the Bears final possession. Not even Zach Wilson could eff up a game that bad! At least the Jets can play defense. An ugly and undeserving win over the Bears doesn't in any way convince me that the players are buying into what Sean Payton is selling in Denver.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 4* play on MIA.

The Dolphins scored 70 in their last home game, and then got humbled in a blowout loss at Buffalo. This is a good bounce back spot for The Fish back home against a banged up Giants team on short rest. No way Vanilla Vick and the GMEM are gonna be able to keep up to Tua, Tyreek and the Dolphins #1 ranked offense. Bet this game quick because the number will likely get bet up before Sunday.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 4* play on the PATS.

So both these teams were embarrassed last week, but the Patriots were on the road at Dallas while the Saints were a home favorite versus Tampa. Baker Mayfield looked like Tom Brady, and Derek Carr did his best Ryan Leaf impression. I gotta back Bill and the Pats back home off an ugly loss. Both teams have their issues at QB, but Mac Jones has been better at home, and Derek Carr ranks 23rd in the NFL in passing, just ahead of Desmond Ridder.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 5* play on LAC.

The 1-2 Chargers are a small home favorite against the 1-2 Raiders. Clearly the Chargers have a huge edge at QB with Justin Herbert versus Jimmy G. The Chargers have been more effective running the ball, and we should see Austin Ekeler back this week. Neither team has been great defensively but it's tough to see the Raiders keeping up in a shootout. LV was just 2-7 on the road last season, including a 24-19 loss at LA. Keep in mind the Raiders only win came by just 1-point against an 0-3 team that gave up 70 points last week.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 4* play on CLE.

The Browns are 2-1, and they probably should have beaten Pittsburgh on Monday Night Football in Week 2. The loss of Nick Chubb is going to hurt, but Kareem Hunt looked good in last week's win over Tennessee. He should play a bigger role moving forward. The defense has held opponents to just six points in two home games. Baltimore comes in with several key injuries on offense, and the Ravens lost 13-3 at Cleveland last December. We expect a similar outcome here in this game.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 4* play on BUF.

The Dolphins scored 70 in a home win over Denver last Sunday, but that might set them up for a let down here on the road at Buffalo. Remember it was a game against Buffalo last season that when Tua took a hit that sent the team in a downward spiral for the rest of the season. That will give him something to think about. The Fish have lost six straight at Buffalo, and nine of their last 10 versus the Bills. Josh Allen threw for 304 yards and 4 TDs on 25-of-40 passing in a home win over Miami last year.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 4* play on SEA.

This looks like a short line for a team playing on the road on a short week with a rookie QB. Geno Smith has plenty of weapons, and he threw for 328 yards and a pair of TDs on 32-of-41 passing in a road win at Detroit last week. Bryce Young hasn't impressed, throwing for as many INTs (2) as TDs so far. He's only averaging 4.2 yards per attempt, and he ranks 31st in the league in passing. I'll fade the rookie on the road here.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 4* play on MIA.

A new coach, but the same old problems persist in Denver. The 0-2 Broncos have blown leads late in back to back home losses, and now they play their first road game at Miami. The Dolphins offense is firing on all cylinders, ranking #1 in the NFL in passing and #3 in scoring. I am not ready to buy into all the hype surrounding Tua and Miami, but asking them to beat a bad team by just a TD in their home opener seems like a bargain.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 4* play on the Ravens.

While the Colts rookie QB is questionable with a concussion (as of Tuesday), but there is an argument that they are better off with the more experienced Gardner Minshew running the offense. Minshew came in and threw for 171 yards and a TD on 19-of-23 passing in last week's loss to Houston The Ravens injury concerns might be more significant. Baltimore has already lost a pair of starters on the offensive line, and safety Marcus Williams and corner Marlon Humphrey are listed as out. The last time the Colts played at Baltimore they lost in overtime, covering as a 7.5 point underdog. The Colts are 8-2 ATS in the last 10 meetings, and I'll take the points.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 5* play on CLE.

Any decent bettor should know not to overreact to results in Week 1, and the Browns looked like World Beaters while the Steelers looked like trash. Sure we may see regression to the mean, but lets be real about who these teams are. The Browns have one of the highest ranked offensive lines, and maybe the most dominant running back in the NFL. Deshaun Watson is just a few years removed from being a Top 5 QB in the league, and he looked a lot more like that guy in Week 1 than he did last year. Kenny Pickett is still wet behind the ears, and I am not sure Najee Harris is a legit RB1. The Niners averaged 5.5 yards per carry at Pittsburgh last week, and the Steelers are going to have their hands full trying to contain Chubb.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 4* play on Under.

So the Cowboys defense shut out the Giants in New York in Week 1, and the Jets made Josh Allen look like Ryan Leaf. With Zach Wilson taking over at QB for the Jets, we expect them to be quite conservative on offense. The Cowboys are looking to ride Tony Pollard and their defense, so we could see a low scoring defensive battle here in this one.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 4* play on NYG.

The Giants were supposed to be trending in the right direction, but Daniel Jones got picked off twice and was sacked seven times in a 40-0 home loss to the Cowboys in Week 1. The Giants lost the turnover battle 3-0, and bad weather and bad breaks played a roll in the result. Arizona on the other hand actually looked competitive in a 20-16 loss to Washington. Josh Dobbs threw for 132 yards on 21-of-30 passing with no TDs and no INTs. Dobbs is not a QB1 in the league, unless of course your franchise is tanking (hint hint). I am giving the Giants a pass for their poor showing in Week 1, and we do expect them to bounce back here in Week 2.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 4* play on LAC.

So LA won 10 games last season despite Justin Herbert playing with broken ribs for almost the entire season. Herbert continued to be productive throwing for 47,390 yards and 25 TDs. It's even more impressive when you consider all the injuries to the receiving corps. Tua Tagovailoa is back at QB for the Dolphins, but his future is still very much in doubt. He appears to be one hit away from a career ending injury, and many believe he should have called it a career after his last concussion. He was limited to 145 yards and a TD on 10-of-28 passing in a 23-17 loss at LA last year. Starting the season on the road at LA is going to be no picnic for Tua and the Dolphins.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 4* play on PIT.

The 49ers have question marks at the quarterback position. They played quarterback roulette last season, and when the wheel stopped spinning it was Brock Purdy who took over running the offense. Purdy played in nine games last year, throwing for 1,374 yards, 13 TDs and 4 INTs. Purdy has a tough matchup in Week 1 on the road at Pittsburgh. The Steelers were 9-7-1 last season, extending Mike Tomlin's NFL record to 16 consecutive seasons without a losing record. They were 8-2 in games that TJ Watt played, and they were 6-2-1 at home. It's easy to look at what San Francisco did last year and assume they are the better team. I think it would be a mistake to do so, as this is a new season and everybody starts with a clean slate.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 10* play on CLE.

So the Bengals lost at Cleveland last year, which is nothing new. They have lost five straight at Cleveland, and the Browns are 8-2 straight up in the last 10 meetings. The bookmakers have the Bengals favored here, despite the fact that the underdog is 6-1 ATS in their last seven meetings. The Browns still have the #2 ranked offensive line in the NFL according to PFF, and their QB situation should be better in 2023. Joe Burrow was sacked five times in last years loss at Cleveland, throwing for 232 yards with two TDs and an INT. The offensive line is still a concern for Cincinnati, and this figures to be a difficult matchup. I think the wrong team is favored here and I'll take the points.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 5* play on the Under.

Both the Conference Championship Games fell well short of the listed total, and there are plenty of signs we should expect a low score in the Super Bowl. The Eagles defense knocked out Brock Purdy early in the game, and held the 49ers to just seven points. Their offense was a run heavy attack, and we haven't seen much in the passing game since Jalen Hurts came back from a shoulder injury. The Chiefs defense sacked Joe Burrow five times, and picked him off twice. They held the Bengals to just 71 yards on the ground, and they rank 6th in the NFL in opponent rushing TDs. Patrick Mahomes was limited due to a high ankle sprain, and he might be less than 100 percent here even after two weeks.

GL,

Jesse Schule

SBLVII Props include: Over 51.5 rush attempts, Over 1.5 4th down conversions, Kelce anytime TD.

This is a 4* play on KC.

The public is definitely backing Philly in the Super Bowl, with 66% of the tickets on the Eagles. There is no doubt that they have been the better team in the post-season. Philly should be able to control the line of scrimmage with superior and offensive and defensive line play. The thing is, that with two weeks to prepare for this game, a Hall of Fame coach like Andy Reid should be able to game plan and scheme to minimize that advantage. There's something to be said for experience, and the Chiefs have been here before. Kansas City knows what to expect, how to handle the media and everything leading up to the game. I am going to take a contrarian approach and go with the more experienced team with the superior quarterback.

GL,

Jesse Schule

SBLVII Props include: Over 51.5 rush attempts, Over 1.5 4th down conversions, Kelce anytime TD.

This is a 4* play on Under.

There is no doubt in my mind that Patrick Mahomes is going to play, but the question is how effective is he going to be. He wasn't too bad playing hurt last week, throwing for 195 yards and two TDs on 22-of-30 passing. He may not be able to extend plays with his legs, and that might result in a more conservative game plan from Andy Reid. This is a revenge spot for the Chiefs, after getting eliminated by the Bengals in a 27-24 OT home loss last January. There are a lot of trends pointing towards the under. The under is 26-10-3 in the Bengals last 39 road games, and the under is 12-3 in their last 15 games in January. These teams have gone under in five of the last six at Arrowhead.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 5* play on Under 45.5. 

The Niners have the #1 ranked defense in the NFL, and they completely shut down Dallas last week. They are trying to become the first team in history to send a rookie QB to the Super Bowl. Mr Irrelevant looked pretty pedestrian against an elite Dallas defense. He threw for 219 yards on 19-of-29 passing, with no TDs or picks. The last time these teams played, San Francisco won 17-11 it Philly is September of last season. The under is 15-5-1 in Eagles last 21 playoff games, and the under is 12-3-1 in Eagles last 16 playoff home games. This should be a defensive battle. 

GL, 

Jesse Schule

This is a 10* play on SF.

The Niners have the #1 ranked defense in the NFL, and they completely shut down Dallas last week. They are trying to become the first team in history to send a rookie QB to the Super Bowl. Mr Irrelevant looked pretty pedestrian against an elite Dallas defense. He threw for 219 yards on 19-of-29 passing, with no TDs or picks. While everyone is talking about the Niners rookie, the fact is that Jalen Hurts hasn't proved sh#t in big games. Remember it was Tua that walked off as a champion for Alabama, not Hurts. I'll take the best defense in football getting points in this spot all day.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 2* play on 49ers.

Dak Prescott threw for 305 yards and four TDs in a win over Tampa in the Wild Card game, but he faces the 49ers #1 ranked defense here this week. The Cowvboys were eliminated by San Francisco in a 23-17 home loss in last year's playoffs. Dak threw for 254 yards with a TD and an INT on 23-of-43 passing and he was sacked five times. The game ended with Dak running the ball instead of passing as the clock expired. The Cowboys are 1-4 ATS in their last five playoff games, and the 49ers are 12-2 ATS in their last 14 home games.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 4* play on BUF.

The Bengals are coming off a home win over Baltimore, in a game that they were out-gained by 130 yards. The Ravens were on the goal line about to score a go-ahead TD, when the Bengals returned a fumble that would end up being the game winning score. The Bills also won a close game last week, failing to cover against the Dolphins. They actually out-gained Miami by almost 200 yards. Cincinnati has to be concerned about their banged up offensive line. They ranked 25th in the NFL in sacks allowed during the regular season, while Buffalo ranked in the Top 10 in QB sacks. The Bills are 10-4-2 ATS in their last 16 games following an ATS loss.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 5* play on PHI.

The Giants were impressive in their upset win over the Vikings, but it's going to be a completely different matchup on the road in Philly this week. These teams played twice during the regular season, and Philly outscored New York 40-7 in the first half of those two games. Philly ran for 254 yards and four TDs in a 48-22 win at New York in December. The Eagles are 5-0 ATS in their last five Divisional Playoffs games, and well rested I expect them to roll in the first half here against the Giants. 

GL, 

Jesse Schule

This is a 4* play on Over.

Despite five turnovers against the Chargers last week, the Jags scored 31 points and erased a 27-0 deficit. Trevor Lawrence threw for 288 yards and four TDs on 28-of-47 passing in the comeback. He has his work cut out for him if he wants to keep up with Patrick Mahomes and the Kansas City Chiefs. Kansas City ranks 1st in the NFL in passing (298 yds per game) and #1 in scoring averaging over 29 points per game. Kansas City doesn't have much of a running game, so we should see both teams air it out here. The over is 8-3 in Jaguars last 11 road games, and the Chiefs have gone over in 10 of their last 13 in the month of January.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 2* play on Under.

I can't take a side here, there's no way I trust either of these quarterbacks. Tom Brady has looked his age lately, throwing six INTs in his last four meaningful games. We won't count a meaningless game against Atlanta in the season finale. Dak Prescott has thrown eight picks in his last five starts, and his last game was a complete disaster. He threw for just 128 yards on 14-of-37 passing with a TD and an INT in a 26-6 loss to Washington. These teams have failed to reach the total in six of the last seven head to head meetings. I expect both coaches to be quite conservative, especially in the first half.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 5* play on the Bengals.

Money keeps coming in on the Bengals, and for good reason. We don't expect Lamar Jackson to play, and even if he does he would coming in without any game action in months and no time at practice. Anthony Brown threw for 286 yards and two INTs on 19-of-44 passing in last week's loss to the Bengals. The Ravens are 1-6-1 ATS in their last eight versus the AFC North, and they have failed to cover in four straight versus the Bengals. The Bengals are 9-1-1 ATS in their last 11 home games.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 4* play on MIN.

The Vikings won 13 games this season, but they don't get a lot of respect from bookmakers. The Bills and the 49ers both won 13 games, and they are each double digits favorites in their Wild Card Games. Kirk Cousins threw for more yards than Joe Burrow and Josh Allen, but he continues to get no respect. The Giants won just three of their last 10 games, sneaking in the back door to make the playoffs. The favorite has covered in six of the last seven meetings, and the Giants have lost four straight to the Vikings.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 4* play on Over.

Trevor Lawrence threw for 262 yards and three TDs on 28-of-39 passing in a 38-10 win over the Chargers in LA in Week 3, but don't read too much into the fact that the Chargers were blown out in that game. Justin Herbert had broken ribs, and Keenan Allen didn't play. Despite all the injuries and dealing with adversity, Herbert still threw for almost 5,000 yards and 25 TDs this season. The Chargers boast the NFL's #3 ranked passing offense. Jacksonville won their final five games in the regular season, scoring an average of more than 29 points in those contests. The over is 6-1 in the last seven head to head meetings, and the Chargers are 9-1 ATS in their last 10 versus Jacksonville. I expect both teams to score their share here.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 2* play on GB.

The Packers have won four straight, putting them in position to make the playoffs with a win over the Lions at home in Week 18. This is a revenge spot for Green Bay after they lost 15-9 at Detroit earlier in the season. That score was a bit misleading, as Green Bay out-gained the Lions 389-254 in total yards. It was three turnovers that allowed the Lions to win that game. This is a tough matchup for Detroit, a dome team playing on the road at Lambeau against the NFL's #2 ranked pass defense. While the Lions pass happy offense matches up against the Packers strength, the Packers run heavy offense matches up against Detroit's 31st ranked rush defense (opponent rushing TDs).

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 3* play on SEA.

The Seahawks host the Rams in a must win game in Week 18, and Geno Smith is coming off a big game against the Jets. Smith threw for 367 yards, three TDs and an INT on 28-of-39 passing in a win over the Rams earlier this season. The Rams are 1-6 on the road, and they have nothing to play for here in the final week of the season. Kenneth Walker ran for 133 yards on 22 carries against the Jets, and he could have another big game against a Rams defense that has allowed over 135 rushing yards per game in their last three overall.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 3* play on PHI.

This is a 4* play on PIT.

Mike Tomlin has never had a losing season in his tenure in Pittsburgh, and a win over the Browns in the season finale will keep that streak alive. The Cleveland Browns have a chance to play spoiler, but they have already been eliminated from post-season contention. While they might think they want to get up for this game, it's likely that a few nasty hits from TJ Watt and company will curb their enthusiasm. In light of recent events, it's hard to imagine teams risking injury in meaningless games at the end of the season. The Steelers still have something to play for, and that should make all the difference. The Browns are 1-4 ATS in their last five meetings in Pittsburgh.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 5* play on the Jags . 

With Josh Dobbs starting at QB for the Titans, I think they are in big trouble here in the AFC South Title Game. The Jags are on a roll, coming off four consecutive wins. The streak started with a 36-22 win at Tennessee. Trevor Lawrence threw for 368 yards and three TDs on 30-of-42 passing in the victory. He will face a Titans defense that ranks 31st in the NFL in passing TDs allowed. Josh Dobbs faces a Jags defense that has allowed just six points in the last two weeks. Asking Derrick Henry to carry the load hasn't been an effective strategy lately, and at the end of the year that kind of workload takes it's toll (remember last year). 

GL, 

Jesse Schule

This is a 2* play on LA Chargers. 

The Rams scored 51 points in a blowout win over the Broncos last week. Baker Mayfield threw for 238 yards and a pair of TDs on 24-of-28 passing. That's great, but they ain't playing the Broncos this week. This looks like a huge let down spot on the road at LA. Only one of these teams is going to the playoffs, and it ain't the Rams. The Rams are 1-5 ATS in their last six games following a straight up win, and they are 1-5 on the road this season. This should be a reality check for the Rams. 

GL, 

Jesse Schule

This is a 4* play on NE.

The Patriots have lost four of their last five overall, but a home game against the Dolphins looks like a favorable spot for Bill Belichick and company. The Dolphins are expecting to be without their starting QB, and they haven't won a game without him yet this season. Teddy Bridgewater has thrown for 522 yards, three TDs and three INTs in two games as a starter. He might not have the luxury of relying on the running game, as New England has allowed the fewest rushing TDs in the NFL this season. The Dolphins are 2-8 ATS in their last 10 meetings in New England.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 5* play on NYG.

The Indianapolis Colts rank 27th in the NFL in rushing TDs allowed, and they play on the road in New York Sunday. It's a must win game for the Giants, and we are sure to see plenty of Saquon Barkley. Nick Foles was definitely not the answer for the Colts, throwing for 143 yards and three INTs in a loss to the Chargers last week. The Colts are playing on a short week, and they have nothing to play for. The Giants lost at Minnesota last week, and they are 6-0 ATS in their last six coming off a loss. 

GL, 

Jesse Schule

This is a 4* play on LAC.

The Chargers have won three of their last four games, and they are as healthy as they have been all year. Keenan Allen, Mike Williams have been banged up all year, but they are finally at full strength. Justin Herbert has still managed to throw for over 4,000 yards despite all the injuries. He could be in for a big game against a Colts defense that gave up 36 points in the second half in Minnesota last week. Blowing a 33-0 lead is a new low for Indy, and those type of losses are hard to come back from. History favors the Chargers, who are 7-2-1 ATS in the last 10 meetings, and they have covered in four of their last five at Indianapolis.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 5* play on Tampa. 

As bad as things appear to be in Tampa Bay, the Bucs are still the favorite to win the NFC South. This team still has plenty to play for, while it looks like the Arizona Cardinals will be waiving a white flag here this week. Arizona officially eliminated from the post-season, and down to their third string QB. Trace McSorley has thrown for 166 yards and three INTs on just over 50 percent passing in limited action this year. Given the QB situation, it's hard to see the rest of the team being too invested in this meaningless game. Expecting the Cardinals offense to struggle to move the chains, that should lead to more possessions for Brady and company. Despite the loss, Brady threw for 312 yards and three TDs last week. 

GL, 

Jesse Schule

This is a 2* play on MIA.

The Dolphins appear to be badly in need of some home cooking, coming off a road trip that resulted in three consecutive losses at San Francisco, LA and Buffalo. They host Green Bay, and the Packers could be in a let down spot coming off a home win over the Rams on Monday night. The Packers are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 road games, and they have failed to cover in five of their last seven coming off a win. The Dolphins are 20-8 ATS in their last 28 home games, and they are 12-3 ATS in their last 15 home games versus a team with a losing road record.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 2* play on Over.

The line has moved significantly due to the injury to Jalen Hurts. I am not convinced that the Eagles are much worse off with Minshew Mania at the helm. Gardner Minshew has completed over 63 percent of his passes for 41 TDs and a dozen INTs in his NFL career. Most of his playing time came with the lowly Jacksonville Jaguars. Now he steps in behind an elite offensive line, on the best team in the NFL. There is every reason to expect him to be successful, as least moving the ball and putting points on the scoreboard. These teams have gone over in four straight, and three straight in Dallas. The total came down several points after the news that Hurts wouldn't play, and I still expect the Eagles to score enough to get the total over the number.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 2* play on Cleveland.

The Browns host the Saints on X-Mas Eve, and Cleveland has won three of their last four games. The Saints have lost five straight on the road, and you have to question how motivated they will be to play in poor weather in Cleveland. Nick Chubb has run for over 700 yards and nine TDs in eight games in Cleveland this season. Kareem Hunt gives the Browns one of the best second string running backs in the NFL, and they perfectly suited to play in cold weather in a winter storm in Cleveland.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 2* play on over. 

The Vikings defense has given up 70 points in their last two games. Last week they trailed the Colts 33-0 at halftime, and came all the way back to win 39-36. They have now gone over the total in six of their last seven home games, and it would be no surprise to see another high score here against the Giants. The Vikings have allowed an average of 28 points in their last seven home games. 

GL, 

Jesse Schule

This is a 2* play on NYJ.

So the Jets lost at home to the Lions last week, but it wasn't Zach Wilson's fault. He threw for 317 yards, 2 TDs and an INT on 18-of-35 passing. He doesn't play defense, so you can't blame him for the 51 yard game winning TD Detroit scored with under two minutes to play. The Jets host Jacksonville on Thursday, and this looks like one helluva let down spot for the Jags. They rallied back from a 14-point halftime deficit to force overtime against the Cowboys, going on to win the game on an INT return. The Jaguars are 2-8-1 ATS in their last 11 road games. The Jets are 6-0 ATS when coming off an ATS loss. 

GL, 

Jesse Schule

This is a 4* play on LAC.

The Chargers have had their fair share of disappointment this season, but it doesn't seem like their injury woes have been properly accounted for.  Keenan Allen and Mike Williams are finally healthy, and they lit it up against the Dolphins last week. Herbert threw for 367 yards and a TD on 39-of-51 passing versus Miami. The Titans have been playing over their heads in my opinion, so it was no surprise to see them lose their last three games. The Titans are 1-8-2 ATS in the last 11 head to head meetings, and they have failed to cover in six of their last seven at LA.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 3* play on CAR.

The Panthers control their own destiny. They can win the division if they run the table and beat the Bucs on January 1st. This is a different team than the one that started the season losing five of their first six games. They fired their coach, traded their superstar running back, and cut their starting QB. It looks like addition by subtraction, as they have won three of their last four games. During that run they have been pounding the rock, running twice as often as they have been passing. The Steelers gave up 215 yards on the ground in a loss to Baltimore last week, and Mitch Trubisky threw for 276 yards, 1 TD and 3 INTs on 22-of-30 passing. Trubisky is not their first choice, but he's their only choice with Kenny Pickett out due to injury.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 2* play on the Jets.

The Jets were a three-point favorite until it was announced that Zach Wilson would get the start. Admittedly I like Mike White a lot better, but lets be real about Wilson. As bad as he looked at times, the Jets are 5-2 in games he's played. This looks like a tough spot for the Lions, a dome team on the road in bad weather. The Lions are starting to like their own smell after winning five of their last six. During that run they beat one team with a winning record, and that was last week's home win over the Vikings. The same Vikings that were losing 33-0 to Indy on Saturday. I'll take the Jets as the home dog.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 4* play on Buffalo.

This is a revenge game for Buffalo, as they lost 21-19 in Miami earlier this season. The Bills had the edge in total yards 497-212, but managed to make enough mistakes to lose the game. On a snowy day in Buffalo, it's worth pointing out that revenge is a dish best served cold. The Dolphins are 2-7-1 ATS in their last 10 meetings in Buffalo, and the Bills are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games in December.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 5* play on SF.

The 49ERS will look to clinch the NFC West with a win in Seattle on Thursday. They have won back to back games since Jimmy G went down, scoring 68 points in those contests. SF has plenty of weapons, but without Deebo Samuel they might lean a little more on Christian McCaffrey. He faces a Seattle defense that ranks 30th in the NFL in rushing touchdowns allowed. McCaffrey scored a pair of TDs last week, and if you exclude his 49ers debut where he only played a limited role, he's found the endzone six times in six games since arriving in San Francisco. The 49ers are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 road games, and they are 6-0 in their last six versus the NFC West.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 4* play on LAC.

The Chargers have been great as an underdog, they have consistently shown that they can battle back to stay in games and keep it close even when they lose. Justin Herbert is 4th in the NFL in passing despite his top WR only playing five games, his #2 WR missing four games, and playing through a series rib injury. Their offense comes into tonight's game as healthy as it has been all year, and they line up against a Dolphins team that might be still reeling after getting run over by San Francisco. The Dolphins are 2-7-1 ATS in their last 10 games following a straight up loss, and they have failed to cover in four of their last five road games. I'll take the points.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 4* play on SF.

So Jimmy G got hurt and the line for this game dropped in half. At the end of the day he was just a game manager, and the 49ers are fully equipped to win games with a rookie at QB. Last week it was Brock Purdy for almost the entire game, and San Francisco beat the pants off of a very good Miami team. Purdy threw for 210 yards, 2 TDs and an INT on 25-of-37 passing. The Bucs needed two TDs in the final three minutes to come from behind and beat the Saints 17-16 last week, they aren't likely to get so lucky here in San Francisco.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 4* play on Over.

The Lions are 5-7, and yet they are favorite here at home against a 10-2 Minnesota team. Both these teams are playing their best football of late, each winnimng four of their last five games. The Lions rank dead last in the NFL in total defense, allowing 402 yards per game. Right behind them are the Vikings allowing 398 yards per game. The Lions lost 28-24 at Minnesota earlier this season, and last December they won 29-27 at Ford Field. The over is 11-5 in the Vikings last 16 road games, and the Lions have gone over in six of their last eight home games. The over is 4-1 in the Vikings last five at Detroit.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 4* play on NYG.

The Eagles own the best record in the NFL, but they are asked to cover a big spread in a divisional road game in bad weather this week. History tells us that the home team has won outright in six of the last seven head to head meetings. The Eagles have only covered in one of their last seven road games, and the Giants have covered in four of their last five home games. The underdog is 5-2 ATS in the last seven meetings. I'll take the points.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 2* play on Over.

Heading into the season we thought the duo of Derek Carr and Davante Adams would put up huge numbers. They got off to a slow start, but over the last five games Adams is averaging over 132 receiving yards per game. He also has seven TDs during that span. The Raiders come into LA as winners of three in a row, and they face a Rams defense decimated by injuries. Geno Smith threw for 367 yards and three TDs in LA on Sunday. Despite a lost season for the Rams, they were still competitive against Seattle. These games may just be an opportunity for players like Cam Akers and Van Jefferson to pad their stats. The Raiders 26th ranked defense allows 25 points per game, so there should be opportunities.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 4* play on Tampa.

While the Bucs have significant injury concerns on the offensive line and the secondary, I am not sure that a Saints team that has lost four straight road games and sits dead last in the NFC South standings can upset the division leaders. Tom Brady versus Andy Dalton in a Prime Time game with playoff implications, I gotta go with the Bucs. The last tine the Red Rifle won a Monday night game was with Cincinnati back in 2014, he's 0-6 since. Brady has Evans, Godwin and Jones all healthy, and while a makeshift offensive line might force him to get get rid of the ball in a hurry, he's proven more than capable of doing just that. In fact he has the quickest release time of any current starting QB since the start of last season.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 4* play on LAC.

The Raiders are coming off a 40-34 win at Seattle, and they had over 500 total yards in the victory. They will be in LA to take on the Chargers, and LA is banged up on defense. Justin Herbert is one of five QBs in the NFL with over 3,000 yards passing, which is even more impressive when you consider he's missed his top two WRs for most of the season. Keenan Allen is back, and he caught a TD pass against Arizona last week. The over is 8-3 in the Chargers last 11 games following a ATS loss. I expect this game to be a shootout, and I don't see Derek Carr winning a duel against Justin Herbert.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 2* play on SEA.

The Seahawks are just a game out of first place in the NFC West, and they play a Rams team that is going through the motions as this season looks like a lost cause. Matthew Stafford, Cooper Kupp and Aaron Donald are all out for the Rams. LA has lost five straight, four of those by 7+ points. Seattle is coming off a home loss to the Raiders, but the Seahawks are 41-20-4 ATS in their last 65 games following a straight up loss.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 5* play on DET.

The Lions have won three of their last four overall, with the one loss during that span coming on Thanksgiving against Super Bowl favorites Buffalo. They get a few extra days to rest up and prepare for the Jags, and this looks like a potential let down spot for Jacksonville. Despite being out-ganed 415-332 in total yards, the Jags upset the Ravens at home last week. They lost RB Travis Etienne to a sprained foot, and his status is in question this week. The Jaguars are 1-7-1 ATS in their last nine road games, and they have failed to cover in seven of their last nine coming off a win. They have lost three straight at Ford Field, and that's a trend we expect to continue.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 10* play on the Under.

The last game played at Gillette Stadium saw the Patriots score just three points up until the final five seconds of regulation. They were quite fortunate that they held the Jets to just three points on just 103 yards of offense. They were even luckier to return a punt for a touchdown to walk the game off for the win. They host the Buffalo Bills on Thursday night, and both these teams boast Top 5 scoring defenses each allowing just 18 points per game. The weatherman says it's going to be cold with rain and wind (if you can trust the forecast several days out). The Pats have held opponents to three points or less in three of their last four games. I think 21 points will be enough to win this game

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 2* play on Philly.

The Packers have lost six of their last seven games, and they will not be going to the playoffs. If there was ever a time to pack it in, and give up on the season, this is it. Aaron Rodgers has not only played poorly, he's blamed everyone else around him. The Eagles are 9-1, and six of those nine wins came by more than seven points. Philly has an NFL best 18 rushing TDs this season, and they rank 5th in the NFL in total offense. With Rodgers playing hurt with a broken thumb, this game could get out of hand and we could see Jordan Love at some point.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 4* play on LAC.

Both these teams have been hit hard by injuries, but the Chargers offense is in far better shape with Kennan Allen back in the fold. Allen caught five passes for 94 yards in his first game back versus the Chiefs last week.  The Cardinals are hoping to get Kyler Murray back this week, but if his hamstring is anything less than 100 percent he may not be that effective. The Chargers looked pretty good pushing Kansas City to the brink last week, but Patrick Mahomes got the best of them once again. LA is 5-1 ATS in their last six games off a loss.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 4* play on TB.

The Bucs are in first place in the NFC South, despite just a 5-5 record. They might have a better record if they didn't have so many injuries early in the season. Perhaps we got a glimpse of what this team looks like at full strength when they beat Seattle 21-16 in Germany two weeks ago. With a bye week to prepare for Cleveland, I expect the best of Brady and the Bucs. Jacoby Brissett will have Deshaun Watson looming large, and it will be interesting to see how he handles the pressure.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 2* play on the Broncos.

Honestly.... it's really hard to like the Broncos. This team is a mess, with an overpaid quarterback and a head coach that is in way over his head. That being said, Russell Wilson is a Super Bowl champion, and he doesn't lack skill. He's won at the highest level, and at the end of the day he's a lot more reliable than Sam Darnold. The Panthers made a desperation move, handing the ball to a guy who has thrown more picks than TDs over his last two seasons as a starter. Darnold steps in to face the NFL's #3 ranked scoring defense, It might be hard for Nathaniel Hackett to EFF UP bad enough to lose this game.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 4* play on the Vikings.

So the Patriots held the Jets to 104 total years of offense on Sunday, but up until the final seconds of the 4th quarter the game was tied 3-3. It was a special teams TD in the last five seconds of the game that one it for New England, and I am not so sure we should be impressed by that. They aren't playing Zach Wilson this Thanksgiving in Minnesota. The Vikings are coming off their worst performance of the season, but it really shouldn't have surprised anybody that they had a let down after upsetting the Super Bowl favorites in Buffalo. The Vikings are 4-0 ATS in their last four games following a double-digit loss at home.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 10* play on LA Chargers.

There is history here between these division rivals, and recent meetings have been great games going down to the wire. Justin Herbert threw for 334 yards 3TDs, 1 INT on 33-of-48 passing in a 27-24 loss at Kansas City earlier this year. Last year he threw for 517 yards, 6 TDs and 1 INT on 48-of-76 passing in two games against the Chiefs last year. Kansas City has only covered in one of their last six head to head meetings versus the Chargers, and that win came in overtime 34-28 last December in LA. We could see Keenan Allen and Mike Williams return this week. That would be a huge boost for Justin Herbert.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 2* play on Cincinnati.

The Bengals lost their home opener to the Steelers, and they have a chance to right that wrong in a revenge game here in Pittsburgh this week. Cinci won 24-10 at Pittsburgh last year, and they have won three of the last four meetings outright. The Bengals are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 road games, and they are 16-5 ATS in their last 21 overall. Kenny Picket has thrown four times more picks than he has TDs this season (2-8). The Steelers are 3-9-1 ATS in their last 13 games following a ATS win.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 4* play on NE.

I take a lot of things into consideration before placing a bet. I don't blindly follow specific trends or situations without a deep dive into the matchup, personnel, weather and every angle I can find. Here in this game it's pretty simple, we got Bill Belichick at home, coming off a bye in a divisional game. The Patriots are 10-0 straight up against the Jets since 2017, and they are 6-1 ATS in their last seven home game versus New York. After an upset win over the Buffalo Bills, this looks like a let down spot for the Jets.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 4* play on NYG.

The betting public seems to be hesitant to jump on the Giants bandwagon, but I have been high on New York since the pre-season. Here is what I said in my season win total prediction: "The Giants used a first round pick in the 2022 draft to select right tackle Evan Neal out of Alabama. An improved offensive line could go a long way in helping Jones limit the turnovers in 2022." Jones hasn't thrown a pick in his last six starts, and New York is 5-1 in those games. The Lions could be due for a let down coming off a come from behind win at Chicago. Saquon ran for 152 yards on 35 carries last week, and with a stud in the backfield and a mobile QB the Giants are designed to win in cold and windy weather in November at home versus a dome team.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 4* play on the Packers.

The Titans have been getting it done with smoke and mirrors. They have won six of their last seven games, but that run is as phony as a two dollar bill. They beat the Colts twice, the Texans, Broncos, Raiders and Commanders. The Packers on the other hand are coming off a home win over Dallas that might be just what they need to get back on track. There are big injury concerns for the Titans, they have ruled out center Ben Jones (concussion), safety Amani Hooker (shoulder), kicker Randy Bullock (right calf) and outside linebacker Bud Dupree (hip). Aaron Rodgers has a career record of 88-21-1 at Lambeau.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 4* play on Under.

This is the last stand for the Packers this season. If they are going to save the season it has to happen here against Dallas. They get a home game in bad weather, normally an ideal spot for this team. I expect them to bring a ton of intensity on defense and lean on their running game. It's not clear if Aaron Rodgers can do anything with this receiving corps. The Cowboys have failed to reach the total in seven of their last nine overall, and the under is 7-3 in their last 10 games in November. The under is 6-1 in the Packers last seven games following a straight up loss.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 4* play on Miami.

How much better are the 6-3 Dolphins than the 3-5 Browns? Well we shouldn't lose sight of the fact that Miami is actually 6-0 when Tua starts and finishes a game. They are 0-3 when he has been sidelined by injury. The Browns are expected to see a healthy Tua with Tyreek Hill and Jalen Waddle today. The Browns are 1-9 ATS in their last 10 games following a straight up win of more than 14 points, and the Dolphins are 10-3 ATS in their last 13 home games versus a team with a losing road record.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a free play on Chicago.

The Lions are coming off a huge win over Green Bay, setting them up for a let down here in Chicago. They are a dome team on the road in "The Windy City" and that figures to be a problem. Jared Goff has 14 TDs and 7 INTs this season, but he's thrown four picks and has just one TD pass in three starts on the road. Matt Eberflus appears to have figured out how to get Justin Fields and this offense up and running, and the Bears have plenty of momentum. They are far better equipped to play in bad weather, and they have owned the Lions in recent years. Chicago is 7-1 straight up in the last eight meetings.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 4* play on TB.

As bad as the Bucs have been so far, they come into this international game against Seattle sitting first in the NFC South. They are finally healthy on both sides of the ball, with Mike Evans, Chris Godwin and Julio Jones all expected to start. It's likely that Brady will pass Patrick Mahomes as the NFL passing leader during this game. Seattle is off to a surprising 6-3 start, but they look as though they are due for a let down. The Seahawks have failed to cover in four of their last five versus the Bucs, and this looks like a tough spot for Geno and company.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 3* play on ATL.

The Falcons have statistically the worst pass defense in the NFL, allowing opponents to average over 300 yards per game. That might not matter against a Carolina team that doesn't have a starting QB. PJ Walker is expected to get the start, despite going 3-of-10 for nine yards and two INTs in a loss to the Bengals last week. The Panthers are 8-21-1 ATS in their last 30 home games, and they are 2-10 ATS in their last 12 coming off a loss. The Falcons have really had the Panthers number, covering in 10 of the last 14 meetings. The road team is 5-0 ATS in the last five head to head meetings, and Atlanta has covered in four straight at Carolina.

GL,

Jesse Schule