This is a 10* play on OVER.

So based on the overall body of work in the regular season, you would have to say that San Francisco has been the better team. Go back to the final few weeks of the regular season and the playoffs, and you can't say that. San Francisco was lucky in both playoff games against Green Bay and Detroit. Jared Goff and Jordan Love both had big games at San Francisco, and now the Niners defense faces the most dynamic duo in playoff history in a dome at a neutral site. Andy Reid off a bye week should have a full bag of tricks at his disposal, and the Chiefs should get their share of points. The Buffalo Bills ran all over the Chiefs in the divisional round, totaling 182 yards and two TDs on the ground. Expect San Francisco to have success in the running game.

Prop bets include:

Mahomes most passing yards -155

Kelce most receiving yards +280

Kelce anytime TD +100

CMC over 87.5 rush yards -130

CMC to win MVP +475

CMC 2+ TDs  +260

Mahomes over 25.5 rush yards  -125

49ers over 1.5 rushing TDs +170

MVP QBvsField = Field +200

This is a 10* play on KC.

So based on the overall body of work in the regular season, you would have to say that San Francisco has been the better team. Go back to the final few weeks of the regular season and the playoffs, and you can't say that. San Francisco was lucky in both playoff games against Green Bay and Detroit. It was questionable coaching decisions that cost the Lions, something that has normally been attributed to Kyle Shanahan. San Francisco gave up double digit leads against the Rams in the NFC Championship Game, they allowed 21 unanswered points against the Chiefs in the Super Bowl and then there is the infamous Super Bowl loss to the Patriots when Shanahan was with Atlanta. The Chiefs coaching staff has dominated opponents in these playoffs, and the offense appears to have flipped a switch after struggling for the first half of the regular season. The Chiefs have the momentum, the better coach, and the better quarterback. I can't bet against that!

Prop bets include:

Mahomes most passing yards -155

Kelce most receiving yards +280

Kelce anytime TD +100

CMC over 87.5 rush yards -130

CMC to win MVP +475

CMC 2+ TDs  +260

Mahomes over 25.5 rush yards  -125

49ers over 1.5 rushing TDs +170

This is a 5* play on DET.

The Lions are coming off back to back wins, and plenty of momentum with a chance to go to the Super Bowl. Their defense has been suspect, but perhaps in a "bend don't break" fashion. The 49ers on the other hand got quite lucky that the Green Bay Packers missed a key field goal last week. Brock Purdy appeared to struggle at times, and the young QB is facing more pressure than he's ever faced. Jared Goff has been here before, and he's looked pretty solid throwing for 564 yards, three TDs on 74 percent passing in this post-season. I expect Detroit to get their share of points, and at least hang with San Francisco.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 10* play on Over.

The Chiefs offense was humming in a bad weather game in Buffalo last week, albeit against a banged up Buffalo defense. That being said, Patrick Mahomes and Travis Kelce appear to have their swagger back. The Chiefs defense had no answers for Josh Allen and the Bills offense, and if it wasn't for a few bad drops by Bills receivers, Buffalo likely wins that game. After Josh Allen ran for 72 yards and two TDs, you would expect Lamar Jackson to run all over this banged up Kansas City defense. These teams have scored 48+ combined points in each of the last five head to head meetings.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 10* play on BUF.

Ever since the Bills overtime loss at Kansas City in the 2022 Playoffs, they have been waiting for this moment. They get the Chiefs, and this time they get the home field advantage. The Bills have won six straight, a winning streak that began with a 20-17 win at Kansas City. Josh Allen has a quarterback rating of 102.4 at home, and just 83 on the road. He ran for 74 yards and a TD against the Steelers. What do I expect from each member of the Buffalo Bills in this game? Whatever it takes!

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 4* play on TB.

The Lions are in a tough spot here. They are so hyped up, the talk of the town and a huge home favorite in this divisional playoff matchup versus Tampa. I think you have to ask yourself though, what makes Detroit a favorite. It surely can't be the coaching matchup between Todd Bowles and Dan Campbell? You can't tell me that the Lions defense is better than the Bucs. Maybe Lions fans believe Jared Goff is superior to Baker Mayfield. The numbers don't really back that up, with Goff throwing for two more TDs and two more picks. Goff has just a slight advantage in yardage and completion percentage. This looks like a let down spot for Detroit, and even at their best I don't believe they are seven points better than Tampa.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 10* play on Under.

The easiest way to lose a fortune betting the NFL is to bet based on last week's results. We just saw the Packers go into Dallas and run all over the Cowboys. The bad news for Green Bay is that Mike McCarthy isn't coaching the 49ers, and they aren't getting anything for free here. The 49ers held opponents to 17 points per game during the regular season, and opponents averaged less than 90 yards per game on the ground. Coming off a bye, we should see San Francisco cause all sorts of problems for Jordan Love. The Packers have their hands full with CMC, and when on offense I expect the 49ers to burn up plenty of clock.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 3* play on HOU.

This is more of a play against Baltimore than it is an endorsement of CJ Stroud and the Texans. The fact of the matter is that Lamar Jackson is 1-3 in his career in the Playoffs, and has thrown more picks (5) than TDs (3) in those games. The Ravens are coming off a first round bye, and they rested the starters in the final week of the regular season. This strategy might backfire here against a hot Houston team.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 10* play on TB.

The Eagles are a complete mess, coming into the playoffs as losers of five of their last six. Jalen Hurts appears to be battling injuries, and he's thrown more picks (5) than touchdowns (4) over his last five starts. No AJ Brown for the Eagles, and the defense is banged up on the back end. They might even have to move a corner to safety if Blankenship can't go. The Bucs defense is 100 percent healthy, and Baker Mayfield will play despite a sore ankle and bruised ribs. This looks like a case of the wrong team favored, and I'll take the home dog plus the points.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 4* play on LAR. 

The Rams are peaking at the right time, coming into the playoffs as winners of seven of their last eight. The one loss during that span came in OT on the road at Baltimore. The Rams offense is humming with former Detroit Lion Mathew Stafford at QB. Stafford has a Super Bowl ring, McVay is the youngest head coach to make a Super Bowl and the youngest to win a Super Bowl. Cooper Kupp owns a Super Bowl MVP trophy. The Lions had a fantastic season, but they were more impressive in the first half of the season than they have been in the second half. Last week they played their starters, and that might prove to be costly if LaPorta can't play Sunday. The Rams have the edge at quarterback and superior coaching, I'll take the points. 

GL, 

Jesse Schule

This is a 4* play on Over.

The Browns offense is a different animal since Joe Flacco arrived. He's thrown for over 1600 yards and 13 touchdowns in just five games. Not only does Flacco have a Super Bowl ring, he also has a Super Bowl MVP Trophy in his collection. The Browns have gone over in seven straight road games, and they have gone over four of five with Flacco as the starter.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 4* play on CLE.

The Browns offense is a different animal since Joe Flacco arrived. He's thrown for over 1600 yards and 13 touchdowns in just five games. Not only does Flacco have a Super Bowl ring, he also has a Super Bowl MVP Trophy in his collection. He will lead a Browns team that ranks first in the NFL in total defense, allowing just 270 yards per game. On the other side we have a rookie QB in CJ Stroud making his first ever playoff start. We also have Kevin Stefanski who won Coach of the Year in 2020, opposite a rookie head coach in DeMeco Ryans. Since 2002 rookie quarterbacks making their first playoff start as an underdog are 2-8 straight up. All quarterbacks making their playoff debut are 25-40 ATS since 2022. Defense wins championships, and experience is priceless.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 4* play on BUF.

The Bills face a must win situation at Miami in the final week of the season, and the good news is that they appear to be peaking at the right time. They have won four straight, and two of those wins came on the road. The Dolphins are trending in the opposite direction, coming off a blowout loss at Baltimore. Despite all the early season hype, the fact remains is that Miami has just one win versus a winning team in their last 30 games overall. The Dolphins come limping into the final game of the season with a dozen starters listed as questionable.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 4* play on LAR.

Both teams will rest starters, I'll take the dog getting points. Carson Wentz has an opportunity to show what he can do against the San Francisco backups. Last year the Rams lost in overtime 19-16 at Seattle in Week 18. This game has a similar feel to it.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 4* play on SEA.

The Seahawks just need to win at Arizona, and this looks like a let down spot for the Cardinals. Arizona is coming off a big upset win over the Eagles as a double digit dog on the road, and they wrap things up at home where they are just 2-5 this season. It seems to me that the Cardinals proved everything they wanted to prove last week, and avoiding injury is going to be the primary concern for Kyler Murray and company.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 4* play on NE.

No way I am backing the Jets on the road in New England in potentially the last game for Bill Belichick. Both these teams are bad, but New England has at least been competitive lately. The Pats are 2-2 in their last four games, with losses to the Chiefs and Bills. The Jets have lost four straight on the road, and their offense is just the epitome of futility. The Pats are 10-0 SU and 8-2 ATS in the last 10 head to head meetings.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 4* play on TB.

I don't know how Colin Cowherd can sleep at night. He looks a fool after spending the last several years disparaging Baker Mayfield. Baker might not be an MVP candidate, but he's having himself a pretty solid season. He has as many TD passes as Tua Tagovailoa, and fewer INTs. The Saints offense is heavily dependent on Alvin Kamara, who is expected to play through an illness on Sunday. Kamara had 11 carries and 13 receptions in a 26-9 loss at home to Tampa in Week 4. Derek Carr had his worst game of the season throwing for 127 yards and no TDs on 23 of 37 passing. This just looks like a tough matchup for the Saints.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 4* play on Baltimore.

Both these teams are coming off huge wins. Baltimore won big in San Francisco as a 5.5 point underdog, while Miami won a game against a team with a winning record for the first time in their last 29 games. Both these teams need to win to clinch their division, but I expect Miami to suffer a let down here on the road. At this time of year every team is banged up, but Miami is really battling injury concerns. It's one thing for Miami to win at home against the Cowboys with a late field goal, winning on the road versus the NFL's #1 ranked scoring defense is a whole other story.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 2* play on IND.

The Colts are in a three way tie for 1st in the AFC South, and they host the Raiders who's playoff hopes are slim at best. The Raiders are banged up with five starters on offense listed as questionable, and a couple of key players on defense as well. The Raiders only gained 205 total yards, and were out-gained by more than 100 yards last week, but somehow beat the Chiefs 20-14. Aidan O'Connell threw for just 62 yards on 9-of-21 passing in that game. His home away splits are not encouraging, he's thrown for 646 yards, 2 TDs and 5 INTs on 50 percent passing in four starts on the road. Jonathan Taylor is well overdue for a breakout game, and I expect him to be big for the Colts here today.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 10* play on Cleveland.

The Jets are coming off a dubious 30-28 home win over Washington. They blew a 20-0 lead, but hit the game winning 54 yard field goal in the final seconds. Trevor Siemian threw for 217 yards on 27-of-49 passing against the NFL's worst defense. Now the Jets are on the road on a short week, and they face the NFL's top pass defense. The Browns are on a roll since the arrival of Joe Flacco, who threw for 368 yards and three TDs in a win at Houston on Sunday. The Browns are 7-1 at home this season, and the Jets have failed to cover in three straight road games.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 10* play on SF.

A lot of people are picking these two teams to meet in the Super Bowl, but the Ravens appear to be a team due for some regression. San Francisco had it's three game losing skid in the middle of the season, but since then they appear to have forgotten how to lose. The Niners have covered in six straight, and they are 13-1 SU in their last 14 home games. This looks like a good spot to fade the Ravens.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 10* play on Denver.

The 3-11 Patriots are likely going to find it tough to get up for a Christmas Even game on the road in Denver. This team has nine starters listed as questionable just 48 hrs prior to the game. We know there will be a wholesale change over the off-season, and we don't expect the compete level to be very high in these final few games. This is a Denver team that can still make the playoffs, but they need to win this game. Russell Wilson has thrown for 1,382 yards, 13 TDs and just one INT at home this season.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 4* play on CHI.

The Bears are back baby .... winning three of their last five overall, and the two losses during that span came in close games on the road. While the Bears are still playing to win, you can't say the same for Arizona. The Cards are coming off a punishing loss on the road at San Francisco, and they are 1-6 on the road. Playing in Chicago in December isn't an ideal spot for a dome team on the road.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 4* play on NYJ.

After being embarrassed in a 30-0 loss at Miami last week, this looks like a good bounce back spot for the Jets. They host a Washington Commanders team that ranks dead last in total defense. Washington is allowing over 30 points per game, and they come in as losers of five straight. The Commanders have lost five of six on the road, and three straight against the Jets.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 4* play on INDY.

Gardiner Minshew threw for 215 yards and three TDs on 18-of-28 passing in a win over the Steelers last week. Indy is actually 8-4 in the games that Minshew has started or played the majority of the snaps. While the Colts are in good shape at QB, the Falcons have benched their starter. Now Heinicke might not be much of a drop off, but he's proven he isn't much of a difference maker either. The Colts won both meetings last year, and they come into Atlanta as the better team playing better ball.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 10* play on PHI.

What happened to the 10-1 Eagles? They are now the 10-3 Eagles after losing back to back blowouts versus San Francisco and Dallas. The good news is that they aren't playing the Niners or the Cowboys this week, and this looks like a potential "GET RIGHT" game for Philly. The Seahawks have lost four of their last five overall, and Geno Smith is banged up. Drew Lock came in and threw for 269 yards, 2 TDs and 2 INTs in the loss at San Francisco last Sunday. Lock has thrown as many picks (20) as he has TDs over his last three seasons. Smith has a groin injury that normally requires at least two weeks to heal, so even if he can play he would likely be limited.

**UPDATE** - so we are now less than 18 hrs from kickoff and we still have no clarification on Geno Smith, and breaking news that Jalen Hurts might not play due to illness. If it is Marcus Mariotta, note that his last game at Seattle he threw for 229 yards, 1 TD, 1 INT on 13-of-20 passing in a win with the Falcons last year. He also scored a rushing TD in the win. 

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 10* play on the Bills.

The Cowboys are flying high, winners of five straight. Four of those five wins came at home, and the one road game was at Carolina. They caught the Eagles in a tough spot, but this looks like a let down spot in an outdoor game in December in Buffalo. The Bills need this win to keep their playoff hopes alive, and they are 5-1 at home. The Cowboys are just 3-3 on the road, and all three of their road wins came versus teams with a losing record.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 4* play on Over.

The Commanders are in last place in the NFC East, and they rank dead last in the NFL in scoring defense allowing over 30 points per game. They have allowed an NFL high 266 passing yards per game. The Rams have scored 30+ points in three straight games, and Matthew Stafford threw 10 TDs and just one INT in those games. The over is 5-1 in the Commanders last six overall, and the Rams have gone over in four of their last six.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 4* play on CLE.

The Browns defense has been light out at home. They have held their opponents to an average of 13 points per game, while winning six of seven home games. Chicago is coming off back to back wins over division rivals, but this looks like a let down spot for the Bears. In two starts for Cleveland, Joe Flacco has thrown for 565 yards, 5 TDs and 2 INTs. The Bears are 2-9 in their last 11 road games, and they lost 26-6 in their last game in Cleveland.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 4* play on Over.

The Lions have allowed an average of 30 points per game in their last five overall, going 3-2 in those games. Jared Goff struggled on the road last week, but he's back home in the dome where he's played much better. The Broncos come in as winners of six of their last seven overall, and they are finally getting their money's worth from Russell Wilson. These teams have gone over in four of the last five meetings. The Lions have gone over the number in four of their last five overall.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 4* play on Over.

The Eagles had been getting it done with smoke and mirrors for weeks, but the bubble burst in a home loss to San Francisco on Sunday. Now they head to Dallas to face a well rested Cowboys team that has been firing on all cylinders. Dak Prescott has averaged well over 300 yards per passing per game over his last five. The Eagles rank 30th in the NFL against the pass, allowing over 260 yards per game. This is a mismatch, and a bad spot for the Eagles. These teams have gone over in six straight.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 10* play on DAL.

The Eagles had been getting it done with smoke and mirrors for weeks, but the bubble burst in a home loss to San Francisco on Sunday. Now they head to Dallas to face a well rested Cowboys team that has been firing on all cylinders. Dak Prescott has averaged well over 300 yards per passing per game over his last five. The Eagles rank 30th in the NFL against the pass, allowing over 260 yards per game. This is a mismatch, and a bad spot for the Eagles.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 4* play on BUF.

There are those who will insist that the Bills are better than their record indicates. They certainly deserved better in a loss at Philly in their last game, but this isn't exactly a good spot on the road at Kansas City. The Chiefs are coming off a loss at Green Bay on Sunday night, and they are 16-4 straight up in their last 20 overall. The Bills may be distracted by off the field issues, and playing in a tough spot on the road this week isn't ideal.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 4* play on Over.

There are those who will insist that the Bills are better than their record indicates. They certainly deserved better in a loss at Philly in their last game, but this isn't exactly a good spot on the road at Kansas City. The Chiefs are coming off a loss at Green Bay on Sunday night, and they are 16-4 straight up in their last 20 overall. The Bills may be distracted by off the field issues, and playing in a tough spot on the road this week isn't ideal. The over is 3-2 in the last five meetings, but the number was at least six points higher in all five of those games.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 4* play on Over.

The under is 6-1 in the Raiders last seven home games. It's not like they have faced offensive juggernauts though. Their four home wins came against the Jets, the Patriots, the Giants and the Packers. Their last home game was a 31-17 loss to Kansas City. Minnesota is expecting Justin Jefferson back, and the Vikes have gone over in five straight in the month of December. These teams have gone over the number in four straight meetings, and the total for this game is far lower than it was in those previous meetings.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 4* play on IND.

The Colts opened as the favorite, but public money has been coming in on the Bengals. I think there is recency bias at play, after Jake Browning had a big game in last week's win at Jacksonville. It might not matter how well Browning plays if the Bengals defense continues to struggle. They have allowed 30+ points in three of their last four games, and the one exception was a loss to Pittsburgh when they gave 421 total yards but the Steelers only converted those yards into 16 points. Only the Washington Commanders are rank worse than Cincinnati in total defense this season. As good as Browning looked last week, we've seen Gardner Minshew play well in the league for years.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 4* play on LAR.

I have cashed three straight tickets in Browns games, going against them last Sunday in Denver, and cashing with them as a home favorite a week earlier against the Steelers. They didn't just lose the game in Denver, they also lost QB Dorian Thoimpson-Robinson and Myles Garrett to injuries. Now they are on the road for the second time in back to back weeks, facing a Rams team that is flying high with Stafford, Kupp and Williams all back on offense. While Cleveland owns the league's top ranked defense, the Browns have allowed an average of more than 30 points in their last four road games.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 10* play on SF.

A rematch of last year's NFC Championship Game is also a revenge game for the Niners. The Eagles have already avenged their Super Bowl loss, and they have a string of wins in tight games that could have gone the other way. What goes around comes around, and this time I expect San Francisco to execute their revenge. They come in with extra rest, and a healthier team. The Eagles win over the Bills on Sunday appears a bit lucky, getting out-gained 505-378, with fewer first downs and less time of possession. I don't think the Eagles get away with that here in what looks like a let down spot against the Niners.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 4* play on DEN.

I bet against Houston last week, saying I expected some regression to the mean. The fact that they went down to the wire with the Jags likely means they are still a real public team, and I am not sold on the Texans as a favorite. They lost LG Tytus Howard with a knee injury on Sunday, and it turned out to be significant as CJ Stroud was sacked twice on the final series. The Texans also have a kicker who has never hit a field goal of 50+ yards, and he missed twice last week. Denver is a role, and Russell Wilson looks like the guy that the Broncos thought they were getting when they made the trade with Seattle. The Broncos have rattled off five straight wins, and three of those games were decided by three points or less. Two of Denver's five losses have come by three points or less. I'll take the hot team plus the points here.

GL,

Jesse Schule

7*

This is a free play on NYJ.

The Jets offense is bad, and yeah they don't have a QB. They still have twice as many home wins as Atlanta has on the road. Yet the dome team comes into The Meadowlands in December as a favorite. If you are hanging your hat on having the better QB, you might be disappointed with Desmond Ridder going up against one of the NFL's best defenses in the bitter cold in New York. I'll take the dog, I'll take the points with the J E T S .... Jets! Jets! Jets!

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 4* play on MIN.

The Vikings five game win streak came to an end in Denver, in a game decided by just one point. They are back home to take on the Chicago Bears, who are in last place in the NFC North. Justin Fields is back, and the Bears offense has averaged 27 points per game in the games he has started and finished. The points haven't translated into wins though, as the Bears are 1-6 when he starts. They are also 1-6 in their last seven games against the Vikings. The Bears have lost nine of their last 10 road games, and 17 of their last 20 overall. 

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 5* play on Denver.

I bet on Denver last week, and here is what I said before kickoff: "Everyone is a Vikings fan after they put together a five game winning streak. Keep in mind wins came over the Bears, Falcons, Packers, Saints and they caught the 49ers in a tough spot. Josh Dobbs has stepped in and done a great job since the injury to Kirk Cousins, and he previously played well for Arizona. It didn't translate into wins though, as the Cardinals were 1-7 with Dobbs as their starter. A road game against a Denver team that has also turned things around might be a reality check for the Vikings." Next up is the Cleveland Browns, and DTR. This looks like a tough spot for Cleveland, facing a hot QB on the road.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 4* play on PIT.

I bet against the Steelers last week when they were on the road facing a rookie quarterback. Now I am backing the Steelers in the same situation this week. Why? Pittsburgh came very close to winning in Cleveland last week, and the Browns have the league's #1 ranked defense. Cincinnati doesn't have an elite defense to hang their hat on. The firing of OC Matt Canada might also provide a spark for the Steelers offense. This looks like a disaster waiting to happen for Jake Browning.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 5* play on JAX.

This is a huge revenge spot for Jacksonville, who lost 37-17 at home to Houston earlier this season. They have since won six of seven games, and that includes road wins at Pittsburgh and New Orleans. The Texans rank 2nd in the NFL in passing and CJ Stroud is making a case to be in the conversation for MVP. The 22 year old rookie has thrown four INTs in his last two starts, and he might be due for a let down here against the Jags. Jacksonville out-gained the Texans 404-366 in total yard, had 22 first downs to 15, and won the time of possession in the first meeting, but lost the turnover battle 2-0. It's payback time, and I expect the Jags to come on top in the area that matters the most, points on the scoreboard.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 4* play on DET.

The Lions fell victim to Murphy's Law on Sunday, turning the ball fourr four times and losing time of possession by 40:24 to 19:36. This happens to even good teams, but only great teams are able to overcome all that and come away with a win. This sets up the Lions for a strong performance here against the Packers on Thanksgiving. This looks like a terrible spot for Green Bay, who had to sign a couple backs off the practice squad after losing two of their top three running backs last week. In fact all three of their running backs on the depth chart are listed in the injury report, and Aaron Jones is doubtful. Additionally there are four defensive starters listed as questionable and another offensive lineman is banged up. This just looks like a let down spot for the Packers coming off a home win over LA last week. 

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 4* play on KC.

The Chiefs defense has carried them so far, but the offense has been rather pedestrian. Don't be surprised if they come out of the bye week with some new wrinkles. Andy Reid is considered to be the best in the business when he has an extra week to scheme. He's 28-4 straight up in his career when coming off a bye week. Expect Patrick Mahomes and Travis Kelce to turn back the clock here on Monday Night Football.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 5* play on Denver.

Everyone is a Vikings fan after they put together a five game winning streak. Keep in mind wins came over the Bears, Falcons, Packers, Saints and they caught the 49ers in a tough spot. Josh Dobbs has stepped in and done a great job since the injury to Kirk Cousins, and he previously played well for Arizona. It didn't translate into wins though, as the Cardinals were 1-7 with Dobbs as their starter. A road game against a Denver team that has also turned things around might be a reality check for the Vikings.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 4* play on Under.

The Chargers look like one of the best teams in the NFL on paper, but their coach leaves a lot of points on the table and it often ends up costing them in close games. Scoring on the road in Green Bay might be a challenge. The Packers quietly rank 11th overall in scoring defense. The problem for Green Bay is that their offense stinks, and they have a ton of injuries at skill positions. Look for another low score here at Lambeau.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 4* play on Cleveland.

While Deshaun Watson won't play QB fort the Browns, it's not like Ben Roethisburger is under center for the Steelers. In a matchup between DTR and Kenny Pickett, it should come down to defense and pounding the rock. We saw Cleveland go into Pittsburgh in Week 2 and outgain the Steelers 408-255 in total yards. Cleveland ran for 198 yards in that game despite losing Nick Chubb for the rest of the year to a gruesome injury. This is a revenge spot for the Browns, and I fancy the home team to sneak away with a win here.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 4* play on ATL.

Just then it looks like they are in full tank mode, the Cardinals announce that Kyler Murray will start versus the Falcons. Don't let that fool you, they are still a hot mess. The offensive line is riddled with injuries, and Murray hasn't played in almost a year. The Falcons 26th ranked run defense might struggle to contain the Falcons dynamic duo of Tyler Allgeier and Bijan Robinson. At the end of the day, the Falcons have a lot more to play for at this point in the season and that should play out on the field.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 4* play on PIT.

The Steelers have mastered the art of winning ugly, and this week's home game against Green Bay has "ugly" written all over it. The Packers ended a four game losing streak with a home win over the Browns last week. They faced Rams backup Brett Rypien who threw for 130 yards and an INT on 13-of-28 passing. The Steelers got the running game going last week against the Titans, averaging 5.5 yards per carry (166 yards and a TD on 30 attempts). That success should continue against Packers defense that ranks among the worst in the NFL against the run.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 10* play on Under.

San Francisco comes out of the bye week looking to get back on track. The defense should be in good shape with Chase Young making his debut. They have allowed just 16.5 points per game on the road this season. The offense is still a question with a pair of starters out on the offensive line. Brock Purdy has thrown five picks in his last three starts, and the Niners scored 17 in all three of those games.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 4* play on CIN.

The Bengals and Joe Burrow struggled early in the season, but they appeared to find their stride last week. Burrow threw for 238 yards and 3 TDs on 28-of-32 passing. The Bills on the other hand are trending in the opposite direction. Josh Allen missed practice with a shoulder injury mid week. Allen has appeared to miss former offensive coordinator Brian Daboll, and his home away splits are quite revealing. Allen has 13 TDs and 3 INTs on 75% passing at home, and 4 TDs and 5 INTs on 66% passing on the road.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 4* play on CLE.

The Arizona Cardinals are tanking, and they couldn't make it anymore obvious. They traded their QB to Minnesota, leaving them with an inexperienced rookie (Clayton Tune) as #1 on the depth chart. Tune was a long shot to make an NFL roster, and he didn't exactly light it up during the pre-season. Now he faces the NFL's top ranked defense on the road at Cleveland. The return of Deshaun Watson may or may not help, but I think the Browns defense will do enough to get the win and cover here.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 4* play on KC.

Are the Dolphins overrated? You bet your ass they are! Miami hasn't beaten a team with a winning record since they defeated the Buffalo Bills at home last September. They have padded their stats against inferior opponents. Now they face a Kansas City defense that is lights out against the pass. Only the Cleveland Browns have allowed fewer passing yards per game than the Chiefs. The Dolphins have five offensive starters listed as questionable. The Chiefs defense should dominate this game.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 4* play on PIT.

In his NFL debut at home against the Falcons, Will Levis threw for 238 yards and four TDs on 19-of-29 passing. He makes his second NFL start on the road at Pittsburgh, and now the Steelers defense has tape on him. I think it would be awful naive to expect the rookie to be as good as he was last week. The Titans are 0-3 on the road, and they should be 0-4 after tonight. More bad news for Titans fans ...Cam Heyward is back for the Steelers.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 4* play on CIN.

So the Bengals came into this season expecting to be a contender, but Joe Burrow was clearly not healthy and they have been one of the biggest disappointments. Coming off a bye week, and Burrow proclaiming he is now at 100 percent, this looks like a good spot to back the Bengals s a dog. The 49ERS are coming off back to back losses, ravaged by injuries, and with the news that Brock Purdy has cleared concussion protocol the line has ticked up to +5.5.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 4* play on NYJ.

The Jets come in off back to back wins, and this team appears to be trending in the right direction. The Giants are coming off an upset win over Washington, with Tyrod Taylor balling out. Taylor threw for 279 yards and two TDs on 18-of-29 passing. I expect the Jets defense to make life difficult for the veteran backup here this Sunday. This looks like a let down spot for the Giants, and they might be a bit overvalued after covering in back to back games.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 4* play on GB.

The Vikings look good on paper, but "The Game Isn't Played on Paper!". The come into Lambeau Field in a cold weather game, and this appears to be a huge let down spot after they upset the 49ERS. The Vikings have lost by 20+ points in each of their last two games at Lambeau, Green Bay leads the all-time series 64-56-3 and the home team has won each of the past four games in the series.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 4* play on LAC.

The Chargers have lost six of the last eight meetings versus KC, but they have covered the spread in seven of those games. Last year they lost by a field goal in both meetings, at home and at Kansas City. They are 2-3 this season and all three of their losses have come by a field goal. The Chiefs offense has not been quite as prolific this season, averaging just 24 points per game. I'll take the points as I am expecting another close game.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 4* play on TB.

The Bucs are still sitting in first place in the NFC South with a record of 3-2, but the public is down on them after they looked pretty bad in a home loss to the Lions. Their losses came against the Eagles and the Lions, who boast a combined record of 10-2. Now they have a home game against an Atlanta team with a rookie QB who has thrown as many picks (6) as TDs. This is just the Falcons second road game, and they scored six points in a loss at Detroit earlier this year. Five of Ridder's six TD passes have come at home. This looks like a tough spot against a Bucs defense than ranks 7th in the NFL in scoring allowing 17.6 points per game.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 4* play on LV.

The Bears won't have Justin Fields this week, and it probably doesn't matter as they are suspected to begin tanking for the first overall pick in the draft. The Raiders are also turning to a backup QB, but Brian Hoyer has plenty of experience. This looks like a good spot for Josh Jacobs to get going against the Bears 29th ranked defense. This might not be pretty, but we expect the Raiders to emerge with a "W" here.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 5* play on LAC.

This looks like a good spot to back a Chargers team that has underachieved so far. Dallas comes in as a road favorite, but the shine is starting to wear off. The Cowboys have lost back to back road games to Arizona and San Francisco. Their wins don't look all that impressive either, beating the Jets, Giants and Patriots. While Dallas is trending down, the Chargers are trending up coming off back to back wins over the Raiders and the Vikings. They lost to Miami in week 1 by just two points, and on the road at Tennessee by a field goal. I'll take the points with the home dog.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 4* play on TB.

The Bucs are 3-1, in first place in the NFC South, and their only loss came against the defending NFC champs Philadelphia. As good as they have looked, they are still getting points as a home dog against the Detroit Lions. The Lions are 4-1, and they have looked good so far. I still think it's a bit much to have them coming in as a road favorite against a 1st place team. Jared Goff is off to a good start after having a solid season last year. One thing that has carried over, is that his home/away splits remain dramatic. Last year he had 23 TDs and home and just six on the road, this year he has 6 TDs at home and two on the road. The Bucs boast a Top 10 defense, and they should be in this game from start to finish.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 4* play on INDY.

The Colts are tied for first place in the NFC South, but the winner of this week's game at Jacksonville will take sole possession of the top spot in the division. Rookie QB Anthony Richardson is on the IR, leaving Minshew Mania to run the offense. I think Indy is in better shape with Minshew, who is a more proven commodity in the NFL. So far this season the Colts are 3-0 in games that Minshew has played the majority of the snaps, and 0-2 in the games with Richardson at the helm. The Jags are in a let down spot coming off back to back wins in London. I'll take the points.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 4* play on MIA.

The Dolphins lead the NFL in scoring, averaging 36 points per game. They host the winless Carolina Panthers, and Carolina ranks 28th in scoring defense allowing 29 points per game. Bryce Young is perhaps biting off more than he can chew as a rookie starter on a poor team. The last time the Dolphins played Carolina they won by a score of 31-10, and there's no reason to expect a competitive game here in Miami this week.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 4* play on GB.

The Packers will be on the road at Las Vegas, and they are the underdog in this matchup. Green Bay has the advantage of coming off a long week with extra time to prepare, and should be a lot healthier than they were when the lost to the Lions in Week 4, that isn't the only advantage. The Packers are in good shape with Jordan Love at QB, he's thrown for 901 yards, 8 TDs and 3 INTs while Jimmy G has thrown more picks (6) than TDs (5). Playing his first game back coming off a concussion looks like a tough spot for Jimmy G and the Raiders. The books have the wrong team favored here.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 4* play on NYJ.

The Broncos shouldn't be a favorite against anybody.The Bears were up big in the 4th quarter last week, but they handed Denver the game. They gave up a fumble recovery for a TD, turned the ball over on downs in field goal range and Justin Fields threw an interception on the Bears final possession. Not even Zach Wilson could eff up a game that bad! At least the Jets can play defense. An ugly and undeserving win over the Bears doesn't in any way convince me that the players are buying into what Sean Payton is selling in Denver.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 4* play on MIA.

The Dolphins scored 70 in their last home game, and then got humbled in a blowout loss at Buffalo. This is a good bounce back spot for The Fish back home against a banged up Giants team on short rest. No way Vanilla Vick and the GMEM are gonna be able to keep up to Tua, Tyreek and the Dolphins #1 ranked offense. Bet this game quick because the number will likely get bet up before Sunday.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 4* play on the PATS.

So both these teams were embarrassed last week, but the Patriots were on the road at Dallas while the Saints were a home favorite versus Tampa. Baker Mayfield looked like Tom Brady, and Derek Carr did his best Ryan Leaf impression. I gotta back Bill and the Pats back home off an ugly loss. Both teams have their issues at QB, but Mac Jones has been better at home, and Derek Carr ranks 23rd in the NFL in passing, just ahead of Desmond Ridder.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 5* play on LAC.

The 1-2 Chargers are a small home favorite against the 1-2 Raiders. Clearly the Chargers have a huge edge at QB with Justin Herbert versus Jimmy G. The Chargers have been more effective running the ball, and we should see Austin Ekeler back this week. Neither team has been great defensively but it's tough to see the Raiders keeping up in a shootout. LV was just 2-7 on the road last season, including a 24-19 loss at LA. Keep in mind the Raiders only win came by just 1-point against an 0-3 team that gave up 70 points last week.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 4* play on CLE.

The Browns are 2-1, and they probably should have beaten Pittsburgh on Monday Night Football in Week 2. The loss of Nick Chubb is going to hurt, but Kareem Hunt looked good in last week's win over Tennessee. He should play a bigger role moving forward. The defense has held opponents to just six points in two home games. Baltimore comes in with several key injuries on offense, and the Ravens lost 13-3 at Cleveland last December. We expect a similar outcome here in this game.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 4* play on BUF.

The Dolphins scored 70 in a home win over Denver last Sunday, but that might set them up for a let down here on the road at Buffalo. Remember it was a game against Buffalo last season that when Tua took a hit that sent the team in a downward spiral for the rest of the season. That will give him something to think about. The Fish have lost six straight at Buffalo, and nine of their last 10 versus the Bills. Josh Allen threw for 304 yards and 4 TDs on 25-of-40 passing in a home win over Miami last year.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 4* play on SEA.

This looks like a short line for a team playing on the road on a short week with a rookie QB. Geno Smith has plenty of weapons, and he threw for 328 yards and a pair of TDs on 32-of-41 passing in a road win at Detroit last week. Bryce Young hasn't impressed, throwing for as many INTs (2) as TDs so far. He's only averaging 4.2 yards per attempt, and he ranks 31st in the league in passing. I'll fade the rookie on the road here.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 4* play on MIA.

A new coach, but the same old problems persist in Denver. The 0-2 Broncos have blown leads late in back to back home losses, and now they play their first road game at Miami. The Dolphins offense is firing on all cylinders, ranking #1 in the NFL in passing and #3 in scoring. I am not ready to buy into all the hype surrounding Tua and Miami, but asking them to beat a bad team by just a TD in their home opener seems like a bargain.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 4* play on the Ravens.

While the Colts rookie QB is questionable with a concussion (as of Tuesday), but there is an argument that they are better off with the more experienced Gardner Minshew running the offense. Minshew came in and threw for 171 yards and a TD on 19-of-23 passing in last week's loss to Houston The Ravens injury concerns might be more significant. Baltimore has already lost a pair of starters on the offensive line, and safety Marcus Williams and corner Marlon Humphrey are listed as out. The last time the Colts played at Baltimore they lost in overtime, covering as a 7.5 point underdog. The Colts are 8-2 ATS in the last 10 meetings, and I'll take the points.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 5* play on CLE.

Any decent bettor should know not to overreact to results in Week 1, and the Browns looked like World Beaters while the Steelers looked like trash. Sure we may see regression to the mean, but lets be real about who these teams are. The Browns have one of the highest ranked offensive lines, and maybe the most dominant running back in the NFL. Deshaun Watson is just a few years removed from being a Top 5 QB in the league, and he looked a lot more like that guy in Week 1 than he did last year. Kenny Pickett is still wet behind the ears, and I am not sure Najee Harris is a legit RB1. The Niners averaged 5.5 yards per carry at Pittsburgh last week, and the Steelers are going to have their hands full trying to contain Chubb.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 4* play on Under.

So the Cowboys defense shut out the Giants in New York in Week 1, and the Jets made Josh Allen look like Ryan Leaf. With Zach Wilson taking over at QB for the Jets, we expect them to be quite conservative on offense. The Cowboys are looking to ride Tony Pollard and their defense, so we could see a low scoring defensive battle here in this one.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 4* play on NYG.

The Giants were supposed to be trending in the right direction, but Daniel Jones got picked off twice and was sacked seven times in a 40-0 home loss to the Cowboys in Week 1. The Giants lost the turnover battle 3-0, and bad weather and bad breaks played a roll in the result. Arizona on the other hand actually looked competitive in a 20-16 loss to Washington. Josh Dobbs threw for 132 yards on 21-of-30 passing with no TDs and no INTs. Dobbs is not a QB1 in the league, unless of course your franchise is tanking (hint hint). I am giving the Giants a pass for their poor showing in Week 1, and we do expect them to bounce back here in Week 2.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 4* play on LAC.

So LA won 10 games last season despite Justin Herbert playing with broken ribs for almost the entire season. Herbert continued to be productive throwing for 47,390 yards and 25 TDs. It's even more impressive when you consider all the injuries to the receiving corps. Tua Tagovailoa is back at QB for the Dolphins, but his future is still very much in doubt. He appears to be one hit away from a career ending injury, and many believe he should have called it a career after his last concussion. He was limited to 145 yards and a TD on 10-of-28 passing in a 23-17 loss at LA last year. Starting the season on the road at LA is going to be no picnic for Tua and the Dolphins.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 4* play on PIT.

The 49ers have question marks at the quarterback position. They played quarterback roulette last season, and when the wheel stopped spinning it was Brock Purdy who took over running the offense. Purdy played in nine games last year, throwing for 1,374 yards, 13 TDs and 4 INTs. Purdy has a tough matchup in Week 1 on the road at Pittsburgh. The Steelers were 9-7-1 last season, extending Mike Tomlin's NFL record to 16 consecutive seasons without a losing record. They were 8-2 in games that TJ Watt played, and they were 6-2-1 at home. It's easy to look at what San Francisco did last year and assume they are the better team. I think it would be a mistake to do so, as this is a new season and everybody starts with a clean slate.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 10* play on CLE.

So the Bengals lost at Cleveland last year, which is nothing new. They have lost five straight at Cleveland, and the Browns are 8-2 straight up in the last 10 meetings. The bookmakers have the Bengals favored here, despite the fact that the underdog is 6-1 ATS in their last seven meetings. The Browns still have the #2 ranked offensive line in the NFL according to PFF, and their QB situation should be better in 2023. Joe Burrow was sacked five times in last years loss at Cleveland, throwing for 232 yards with two TDs and an INT. The offensive line is still a concern for Cincinnati, and this figures to be a difficult matchup. I think the wrong team is favored here and I'll take the points.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 5* play on the Under.

Both the Conference Championship Games fell well short of the listed total, and there are plenty of signs we should expect a low score in the Super Bowl. The Eagles defense knocked out Brock Purdy early in the game, and held the 49ers to just seven points. Their offense was a run heavy attack, and we haven't seen much in the passing game since Jalen Hurts came back from a shoulder injury. The Chiefs defense sacked Joe Burrow five times, and picked him off twice. They held the Bengals to just 71 yards on the ground, and they rank 6th in the NFL in opponent rushing TDs. Patrick Mahomes was limited due to a high ankle sprain, and he might be less than 100 percent here even after two weeks.

GL,

Jesse Schule

SBLVII Props include: Over 51.5 rush attempts, Over 1.5 4th down conversions, Kelce anytime TD.

This is a 4* play on KC.

The public is definitely backing Philly in the Super Bowl, with 66% of the tickets on the Eagles. There is no doubt that they have been the better team in the post-season. Philly should be able to control the line of scrimmage with superior and offensive and defensive line play. The thing is, that with two weeks to prepare for this game, a Hall of Fame coach like Andy Reid should be able to game plan and scheme to minimize that advantage. There's something to be said for experience, and the Chiefs have been here before. Kansas City knows what to expect, how to handle the media and everything leading up to the game. I am going to take a contrarian approach and go with the more experienced team with the superior quarterback.

GL,

Jesse Schule

SBLVII Props include: Over 51.5 rush attempts, Over 1.5 4th down conversions, Kelce anytime TD.

This is a 4* play on Under.

There is no doubt in my mind that Patrick Mahomes is going to play, but the question is how effective is he going to be. He wasn't too bad playing hurt last week, throwing for 195 yards and two TDs on 22-of-30 passing. He may not be able to extend plays with his legs, and that might result in a more conservative game plan from Andy Reid. This is a revenge spot for the Chiefs, after getting eliminated by the Bengals in a 27-24 OT home loss last January. There are a lot of trends pointing towards the under. The under is 26-10-3 in the Bengals last 39 road games, and the under is 12-3 in their last 15 games in January. These teams have gone under in five of the last six at Arrowhead.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 5* play on Under 45.5. 

The Niners have the #1 ranked defense in the NFL, and they completely shut down Dallas last week. They are trying to become the first team in history to send a rookie QB to the Super Bowl. Mr Irrelevant looked pretty pedestrian against an elite Dallas defense. He threw for 219 yards on 19-of-29 passing, with no TDs or picks. The last time these teams played, San Francisco won 17-11 it Philly is September of last season. The under is 15-5-1 in Eagles last 21 playoff games, and the under is 12-3-1 in Eagles last 16 playoff home games. This should be a defensive battle. 

GL, 

Jesse Schule

This is a 10* play on SF.

The Niners have the #1 ranked defense in the NFL, and they completely shut down Dallas last week. They are trying to become the first team in history to send a rookie QB to the Super Bowl. Mr Irrelevant looked pretty pedestrian against an elite Dallas defense. He threw for 219 yards on 19-of-29 passing, with no TDs or picks. While everyone is talking about the Niners rookie, the fact is that Jalen Hurts hasn't proved sh#t in big games. Remember it was Tua that walked off as a champion for Alabama, not Hurts. I'll take the best defense in football getting points in this spot all day.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 2* play on 49ers.

Dak Prescott threw for 305 yards and four TDs in a win over Tampa in the Wild Card game, but he faces the 49ers #1 ranked defense here this week. The Cowvboys were eliminated by San Francisco in a 23-17 home loss in last year's playoffs. Dak threw for 254 yards with a TD and an INT on 23-of-43 passing and he was sacked five times. The game ended with Dak running the ball instead of passing as the clock expired. The Cowboys are 1-4 ATS in their last five playoff games, and the 49ers are 12-2 ATS in their last 14 home games.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 4* play on BUF.

The Bengals are coming off a home win over Baltimore, in a game that they were out-gained by 130 yards. The Ravens were on the goal line about to score a go-ahead TD, when the Bengals returned a fumble that would end up being the game winning score. The Bills also won a close game last week, failing to cover against the Dolphins. They actually out-gained Miami by almost 200 yards. Cincinnati has to be concerned about their banged up offensive line. They ranked 25th in the NFL in sacks allowed during the regular season, while Buffalo ranked in the Top 10 in QB sacks. The Bills are 10-4-2 ATS in their last 16 games following an ATS loss.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 5* play on PHI.

The Giants were impressive in their upset win over the Vikings, but it's going to be a completely different matchup on the road in Philly this week. These teams played twice during the regular season, and Philly outscored New York 40-7 in the first half of those two games. Philly ran for 254 yards and four TDs in a 48-22 win at New York in December. The Eagles are 5-0 ATS in their last five Divisional Playoffs games, and well rested I expect them to roll in the first half here against the Giants. 

GL, 

Jesse Schule

This is a 4* play on Over.

Despite five turnovers against the Chargers last week, the Jags scored 31 points and erased a 27-0 deficit. Trevor Lawrence threw for 288 yards and four TDs on 28-of-47 passing in the comeback. He has his work cut out for him if he wants to keep up with Patrick Mahomes and the Kansas City Chiefs. Kansas City ranks 1st in the NFL in passing (298 yds per game) and #1 in scoring averaging over 29 points per game. Kansas City doesn't have much of a running game, so we should see both teams air it out here. The over is 8-3 in Jaguars last 11 road games, and the Chiefs have gone over in 10 of their last 13 in the month of January.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 2* play on Under.

I can't take a side here, there's no way I trust either of these quarterbacks. Tom Brady has looked his age lately, throwing six INTs in his last four meaningful games. We won't count a meaningless game against Atlanta in the season finale. Dak Prescott has thrown eight picks in his last five starts, and his last game was a complete disaster. He threw for just 128 yards on 14-of-37 passing with a TD and an INT in a 26-6 loss to Washington. These teams have failed to reach the total in six of the last seven head to head meetings. I expect both coaches to be quite conservative, especially in the first half.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 5* play on the Bengals.

Money keeps coming in on the Bengals, and for good reason. We don't expect Lamar Jackson to play, and even if he does he would coming in without any game action in months and no time at practice. Anthony Brown threw for 286 yards and two INTs on 19-of-44 passing in last week's loss to the Bengals. The Ravens are 1-6-1 ATS in their last eight versus the AFC North, and they have failed to cover in four straight versus the Bengals. The Bengals are 9-1-1 ATS in their last 11 home games.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 4* play on MIN.

The Vikings won 13 games this season, but they don't get a lot of respect from bookmakers. The Bills and the 49ers both won 13 games, and they are each double digits favorites in their Wild Card Games. Kirk Cousins threw for more yards than Joe Burrow and Josh Allen, but he continues to get no respect. The Giants won just three of their last 10 games, sneaking in the back door to make the playoffs. The favorite has covered in six of the last seven meetings, and the Giants have lost four straight to the Vikings.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 4* play on Over.

Trevor Lawrence threw for 262 yards and three TDs on 28-of-39 passing in a 38-10 win over the Chargers in LA in Week 3, but don't read too much into the fact that the Chargers were blown out in that game. Justin Herbert had broken ribs, and Keenan Allen didn't play. Despite all the injuries and dealing with adversity, Herbert still threw for almost 5,000 yards and 25 TDs this season. The Chargers boast the NFL's #3 ranked passing offense. Jacksonville won their final five games in the regular season, scoring an average of more than 29 points in those contests. The over is 6-1 in the last seven head to head meetings, and the Chargers are 9-1 ATS in their last 10 versus Jacksonville. I expect both teams to score their share here.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 2* play on GB.

The Packers have won four straight, putting them in position to make the playoffs with a win over the Lions at home in Week 18. This is a revenge spot for Green Bay after they lost 15-9 at Detroit earlier in the season. That score was a bit misleading, as Green Bay out-gained the Lions 389-254 in total yards. It was three turnovers that allowed the Lions to win that game. This is a tough matchup for Detroit, a dome team playing on the road at Lambeau against the NFL's #2 ranked pass defense. While the Lions pass happy offense matches up against the Packers strength, the Packers run heavy offense matches up against Detroit's 31st ranked rush defense (opponent rushing TDs).

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 3* play on SEA.

The Seahawks host the Rams in a must win game in Week 18, and Geno Smith is coming off a big game against the Jets. Smith threw for 367 yards, three TDs and an INT on 28-of-39 passing in a win over the Rams earlier this season. The Rams are 1-6 on the road, and they have nothing to play for here in the final week of the season. Kenneth Walker ran for 133 yards on 22 carries against the Jets, and he could have another big game against a Rams defense that has allowed over 135 rushing yards per game in their last three overall.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 3* play on PHI.

This is a 4* play on PIT.

Mike Tomlin has never had a losing season in his tenure in Pittsburgh, and a win over the Browns in the season finale will keep that streak alive. The Cleveland Browns have a chance to play spoiler, but they have already been eliminated from post-season contention. While they might think they want to get up for this game, it's likely that a few nasty hits from TJ Watt and company will curb their enthusiasm. In light of recent events, it's hard to imagine teams risking injury in meaningless games at the end of the season. The Steelers still have something to play for, and that should make all the difference. The Browns are 1-4 ATS in their last five meetings in Pittsburgh.

GL,

Jesse Schule