Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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03-19-24 | Jets v. Rangers UNDER 5.5 | Top | 4-2 | Loss | -105 | 23 h 4 m | Show |
Non-Conference Total of the Week. My selection is on the 'under' between Winnipeg and New York at 7:05 pm et on Tuesday. The 'under' has cashed in six straight meetings in this series and I expect more of the same on Tuesday. Winnipeg has scored six goals in consecutive games but those came against the Ducks and Blue Jackets - two of the league's worst defensive teams. Here, the Jets will run into a red hot Rangers squad that has allowed just 2.6 goals per game on home ice this season. Winnipeg road games have totalled an average of only 5.4 goals. Note that the 'under' is 12-9 in the Jets last 21 games following three straight 'over' results, as is the case here, including a 3-1 mark in that situation this season. The 'under' is also 40-23 in Winnipeg's last 63 contests following consecutive wins including a 15-8 record in that spot this season. Meanwhile, the 'under' is 9-4 in the Rangers last 13 games following consecutive wins by three goals or more and 10-4 in their last 14 contests after scoring five goals or more in two straight games. Take the under (10*). |
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03-17-24 | Hurricanes v. Senators UNDER 6.5 | 7-2 | Loss | -120 | 9 h 29 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'under' between Carolina and Ottawa at 6:05 pm et on Sunday. The Hurricanes pulled out a 6-5 shootout win in Toronto last night but that's obviously not how head coach Rod Brind'Amour wants his team playing as the playoffs quickly approach. Carolina trailed that game 3-0 in the second period and by two goals with less than two minutes remaining. I look for the Canes to tighten things up considerably as they continue their road trip in Ottawa on Sunday. The Senators have shown some life lately, securing three straight victories including yesterday's overtime win on Long Island. Yesterday's contest marked their first in four games to go 'over' the total and they haven't seen consecutive games go 'over' the total since February 24th and 26th. Note that the 'under' is 20-18 in the Canes last 38 games played on the second of back-to-back days including a 7-4 mark in that situation this season. Meanwhile, the 'under' is 41-32 in the Senators last 73 contests when seeking revenge for a loss in which their opponent scored four goals or more, as is the case here, including a 15-12 record in that spot this season. Take the under (8*). |
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03-04-24 | Blackhawks v. Avalanche OVER 6 | Top | 0-5 | Loss | -110 | 25 h 10 m | Show |
Central Division Total of the Month. My selection is on the 'over' between Chicago and Colorado at 9:05 pm et on Monday. The most recent matchup between these two teams last week in Chicago fizzled as the Avalanche skated to an easy 5-0 victory. While most are expecting more of the same in this quick rematch, I expect the Blackhawks to put up more of a fight. That should lend itself to a relatively high-scoring affair. While the Chicago offense has been putrid lately, it's worth noting that it's current streak of five straight games scoring two goals or less marks its longest such streak this season. Note that the 'over' is a perfect 2-0 the two previous times it has come off five straight games scoring two goals or less this season. Additionally, the 'over' is 11-8 in Chicago's last 19 games when seeking revenge for a shutout loss against an opponent. Meanwhile the Avs will be in a foul mood after dropping a 5-1 decision in Nashville on Saturday. Note that the 'over' is 17-10 in their last 27 contests after scoring one goal or less in their previous game. The 'over' is also 12-3 in their last 15 games following a road loss against a division opponent. The Blackhawks have been as generous as they come on the road this season, allowing a whopping 4.1 goals per game. Take the over (10*). |
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03-03-24 | Jets v. Sabres UNDER 6 | 5-2 | Loss | -100 | 12 h 60 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'under' between Winnipeg and Buffalo at 7:05 pm et on Sunday. These two teams combined to score 12 goals in their respective games yesterday. For the Jets, it was an incredible third period comeback as they rallied from a 3-0 deficit to defeat the Hurricanes 5-3 in Raleigh. Meanwhile, the Sabres skated to a stunning 7-2 victory over the Golden Knights. I expect a different story to unfold on Sunday. Buffalo has to figure Winnipeg is feeling pretty good about itself after scoring five unanswered third period goals yesterday. While the Sabres offense did show out on Saturday, I don't think it wants to trade goals with the Jets on Sunday. Note that Buffalo averages just 2.8 goals per game on home ice this season. It has also been quite stingy defensively on home ice, allowing an identical 2.8 goals per contest. Meanwhile, the Jets have seen their road games average only 5.3 total goals. They'll want to keep this game in front of them on Sunday after falling behind 3-0 after two periods in yesterday's contest. Note that the 'under' is a long-term 46-34 with the Jets playing on the road with the total set at 6.0 or higher. Meanwhile, Buffalo has seen the 'under' go a long-term 27-23 when seeking revenge for a road loss against an opponent, as is the case here. Take the under (8*). |
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03-02-24 | Blue Jackets v. Blackhawks OVER 6 | Top | 5-2 | Win | 100 | 12 h 6 m | Show |
Non-Conference Total of the Year. My selection is on the 'over' between Columbus and Chicago at 8:05 pm et on Saturday. The Blackhawks offense has been putrid lately, scoring a grand total of just five goals over its last four games. A home date with the Blue Jackets might be just what it needs to get kick-started though, noting that Columbus has allowed 3.8 goals per game on the road this season and four goals or more in 13 of its last 19 games overall. The Blue Jackets have produced only three goals over their last two contests but those came against two of the league's best teams in the Rangers and Hurricanes. Here, they'll face a Blackhawks squad that has allowed at least three goals in five straight and eight of its last nine games. Interestingly, Columbus has been a better offensive team on the road compared to at home this season, averaging 3.0 goals per contest. This will be the second meeting between these two teams this season after Columbus skated to a lopsided 7-3 victory at home back in November. Note that the 'over' is 19-10 in the Blue Jackets last 29 games following consecutive losses by two goals or more against division opponents, as is the case here, including an 'over' result the only time that situation has presented itself over the last three seasons. Perhaps more notable, the 'over' is 50-29 in the Jackets last 79 contests following consecutive losses including a 15-6 mark in that situation this season. Meanwhile, the 'over' is 6-1 in the Blackhawks last seven games following a shutout loss at home including a 1-0 record in that spot this season. The 'over' is also 6-3 in Chicago's last nine games following a loss by five goals or more including a 2-1 mark this season. Take the over (10*). |
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03-01-24 | Flyers v. Capitals UNDER 6 | 2-5 | Loss | -108 | 11 h 33 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'under' between Philadelphia and Washington at 7:05 pm et on Friday. Both of these teams were in need of a chance to catch their breath after a couple of wild, high-scoring contests and they both got just that with consecutive days off leading up to this key divisional showdown. Note that the Capitals have two games-in-hand on the Flyers and sit just six points behind them in the Metropolitan Division standings. Needless to say, this game has 'playoff-like atmosphere' written all over it (I admittedly hate that cliche). While the Flyers have scored a whopping 12 goals in their last two games they average just 3.0 goals per game on the season. For our purposes, they've been quite stingy defensively on the road, allowing only 2.8 goals per contest. Meanwhile, the Capitals check in averaging just 2.6 goals per game on the season with that number rising to just 2.7 at home. While the 'over' did cash in the most recent matchup between these two teams we haven't seen consecutive 'over' results in this series since a four-game streak back in 2021. Note that the 'under' is 27-16 in the Flyers last 43 games played on two days' rest including a 9-3 mark in that situation this season. The 'under' is also 8-5 in Philadelphia's last 13 contests following consecutive games that totalled at least eight goals including a 2-1 record in that spot this season. The 'under' is 33-14 in the Caps last 47 contests after losing their previous game by five goals or more, as is the case here. That situation has presented itself just three times in the last three seasons (all three occurring this season in fact) with the 'under' going 2-1. Take the under (8*). |
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02-29-24 | Jets v. Stars UNDER 6 | 1-4 | Win | 100 | 11 h 57 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'under' between Winnipeg and Dallas at 8:05 pm et on Thursday. The Jets got off to a fast start scoring three goals in the first period and cruised to a 4-2 win over the Blues two nights ago. Now they head out on the road for a matchup against the Stars who will be bent on bouncing back following a 5-1 drubbing in Colorado on Tuesday. Winnipeg has been as stingy as they come defensively on the road this season, holding the opposition to just 2.4 goals per game. In fact, Jets road games have averaged only 5.2 total goals. That's a stark contrast to Dallas' play at home where it has averaged 4.0 goals per contest while giving up 3.4. With that being said, the Stars are really struggling offensively right now. They've scored two goals or less in five straight games and three or fewer in seven consecutive matchups. They enter this game riding a five-game 'under' streak. Note that the 'under' is 48-38 in the Jets last 86 games when seeking revenge for a loss against an opponent, as is the case here, including a 12-7 mark in that situation this season. The 'under' is also 22-10 in Winnipeg's last 32 contests after scoring four goals or more in consecutive games including a 5-2 record in that spot this season. While you might think the Stars 'under' streak is due to turn they've actually seen the 'under' go 47-38 in their last 85 contests following five straight 'under' results including a 12-5 mark in that situation over the last three seasons. The 'under' is also a long-term 20-12 in Dallas' last 32 games after being held to two goals or less in five straight games. That situation has come up just once in the last three seasons and the 'under' prevailed on that occasion as well. Take the under (8*). |
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02-28-24 | Blues v. Oilers UNDER 6.5 | Top | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 12 h 5 m | Show |
Non-Division Total of the Month. My selection is on the 'under' between St. Louis and Edmonton at 8:35 pm et on Wednesday. The Blues are reeling right now, losers of four of their last five games as they try to hang on in the Western Conference playoff race. They gave up three first period goals before settling down and eventually dropping a 4-2 decision in Winnipeg last night. Note that scoring has been a problem for the Blues on the road this season where they average just 2.6 goals per game. Meanwhile, the Oilers have been relatively stingy at home where they've held the opposition to just 2.9 goals per contest. Note that the 'under' is 21-18 in St. Louis' last 39 games following a loss against a division opponent including an incredible 9-2 mark in that situation this season. The 'under' is also 15-13 with the Blues coming off consecutive losses by two goals or more, as is the case here, including a 6-1 record in that situation this season. Meanwhile, the 'under' is 24-15 in the Oilers last 39 games when seeking revenge for a loss against an opponent in which it scored five goals or more, which is the situation there after the Blues secured a 6-3 victory over them back on February 15th. That situation has cashed at a 9-5 clip this season. Take the under (10*). |
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02-27-24 | Blues v. Jets UNDER 6 | Top | 2-4 | Push | 0 | 27 h 30 m | Show |
Central Division Total of the Year. My selection is on the 'under' between St. Louis and Winnipeg at 8:05 pm et on Tuesday. The Blues got drilled 6-1 by the Red Wings in Detroit on Saturday. They've had a couple of days off to lick their wounds and regroup and I look for them to come up with a much better defensive effort on Tuesday in Winnipeg. Note that the 'under' is 20-17 in St. Louis' last 37 games following a road loss by three goals or more including a 10-3 mark in that situation this season. Winnipeg secured a 4-3 overtime win over Arizona on Sunday. The 'under' is 12-6 in the Jets last 18 contests following an overtime victory including a 2-1 record in that situation this season. Additionally, the 'under' is 23-7 in Winnipeg's last 30 games after scoring three goals or more in five straight contests, as is the case here, including a perfect 6-0 mark in that situation over the last three seasons. While the 'over' did cash in the most recent matchup between these two teams, we haven't seen consecutive 'over' results in this series since April of 2019. Take the under (10*). |
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02-24-24 | Flames v. Oilers OVER 6.5 | Top | 6-3 | Win | 100 | 14 h 21 m | Show |
Pacific Division Total of the Month. My selection is on the 'over' between Calgary and Edmonton at 10:05 pm et on Saturday. The Oilers have dropped consecutive games following last night's 4-2 defeat at the hands of the Wild on home ice. I expect them to bounce back on Saturday but the rival Flames certainly won't make it easy for them. Calgary averages a respectable 3.2 goals per game on the road this season which is actually higher than its season scoring average at home. It's been feast-or-famine for the Flames offense lately as they've scored three goals or more in six of their last eight games but were shut out in the other two. I don't anticipate the Oilers shutting them down completely here (Edmonton has allowed three goals or more in nine straight contests). Note that the 'over' is 27-13 in the Flames last 40 games when seeking revenge for a loss against an opponent in which they scored one goal or less, as is the case here, including a 7-3 mark in that situation this season. The 'over' is also 9-6 in Calgary's last 15 games following an overtime win including a perfect 3-0 mark this season. Meanwhile, the 'over' is 30-25 in the Oilers last 55 games following a loss by two goals or more including an 8-6 mark in that situation this season. The 'over' is also 14-9 in their last 23 contests played on the second of back-to-back nights including a 2-1 record this season. Take the over (10*). |
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02-22-24 | Avalanche v. Red Wings OVER 6.5 | 1-2 | Loss | -135 | 10 h 36 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'over' between Colorado and Detroit at 7:05 pm et on Thursday. The 'under' cashed in the most recent meeting between these two teams last March. You would have to go back to 2014-15 to find the last time consecutive matchups between the Avalanche and Red Wings stayed 'under' the total. It's no secret that Detroit is one of the worst defensive teams in the league. There's reason to believe it can stay competitive in this contest, however, as Colorado has been just as leaky defensively on the road where it has yielded 3.6 goals per game. Note that the 'over' is 16-8 in the Avs last 24 games following consecutive home wins, as is the case here, including a 6-1 mark this season. Meanwhile, the 'over' is 23-12 in the Red Wings last 35 games following a one-goal victory including a 6-5 record in that situation this season. Take the over (8*). |
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02-19-24 | Stars v. Bruins UNDER 6 | 3-4 | Loss | -114 | 15 h 8 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'under' between Dallas and Boston at 1:05 pm et on Monday. Both of these teams are coming off high-scoring overtime losses on home ice on Saturday. I look for a different story to unfold as the Stars and Bruins match up in a matinee affair in Boston on Monday. Dallas actually held the high-powered Oilers offense off the scoreboard for the entire first and third periods on Saturday but gave up three goals in the second frame and another in overtime in a 4-3 defeat. Note that the Stars check in allowing just 2.6 goals per game on the road this season. The Bruins have a fairly well-established ceiling offensively in this particular series having scored three goals or less in the last 12 meetings, reaching four goals just once over that stretch. Boston desperately needs to button things up defensively after allowing five goals in an overtime loss against the Kings on Saturday - its fourth consecutive loss on home ice. Still, the Bruins have allowed only 2.6 goals per game at home this season. Note that the 'under' is 14-10 in the Stars last 24 games following a one-goal loss at home. Meanwhile, the 'under' is 12-6 in the Bruins last 18 contests in the identical situation. Take the under (8*). |
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02-18-24 | Rangers v. Islanders UNDER 5.5 | 6-5 | Loss | -100 | 7 h 45 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'under' between the Rangers and Islanders at 3:05 pm et on Sunday. The 'over' has cashed in each of the last two meetings between these two teams but this is the first matchup this season. Note that we haven't seen three straight 'over' results in this rivalry since 2016-17. The 'under' is 19-12 in the Rangers last 31 games following a home win by three goals or more, as is the case here. The Blueshirts have also seen the 'under' go 19-11 in their last 30 contests following consecutive wins by two goals or more. Meanwhile, the 'under' is 12-6 in the Islanders last 18 games played on three or more days' rest and 20-17 in their last 37 contests after scoring two goals or less in consecutive games, which is also the situation here. Take the under (8*). |
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02-15-24 | Avalanche v. Lightning UNDER 6.5 | 3-6 | Loss | -100 | 10 h 58 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'under' between Colorado and Tampa Bay at 7:05 pm et on Thursday. The Avalanche are coming off a 6-3 victory in Washington two nights ago - the second time they scored six goals against the Caps over the last three weeks. Still, Colorado has produced just 12 goals in six games going back to the All-Star break. It will be facing a Lightning team that has been fairly stingy on home ice this season, allowing just 2.5 goals per contest. Tampa Bay persevered and notched a 3-2 shootout win in Boston on Tuesday. Like the Avs, the Bolts have struggled for the most part offensively since the All-Star break, scoring only nine goals in regulation time over their last four contests. Despite all the offensive firepower on these two teams, the 'under' has actually gone 5-1 in the last six meetings in this series. Note that the 'under' is 14-6 in the Avs last 20 games after allowing three goals or more in four consecutive games, as is the case here. The 'under' is also a long-term 161-133 with Colorado coming off a road win in which it scored four goals or more. Meanwhile, the 'under' is 15-9 in the Lightning's last 24 games following an overtime win and 12-9 in their last 21 contests after a road win over a division opponent. Take the under (8*). |
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02-14-24 | Panthers v. Penguins UNDER 6 | 5-2 | Loss | -110 | 23 h 28 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'under' between Florida and Pittsburgh at 7:35 pm et on Wednesday. The Panthers may be known for their offensive prowess but they've flipped the script this season and check into Wednesday's matchup in Pittsburgh as one of the best 'under' bets in hockey. Florida is coming off a 4-0 victory over Colorado on Saturday and you would have to go back six games to find the last time it posted an 'over' result. In fact, the 'under' is 18-5-2 in the Panthers last 25 contests. Similarly, Pittsburgh enters riding a five-game 'under' streak and has posted a 2-10 o/u mark over its last 12 games. These two teams just met here in Pittsburgh on January 26th and the result was a 3-2 Panthers victory. Note that Florida has allowed just 2.3 goals per game on the road this season while Pittsburgh has given up an identical 2.3 goals per contest at home. The 'under' is 12-8 in the Panthers last 20 games played on three days' rest and 17-12 in their last 29 games following a win by four goals or more. Meanwhile, the 'under' is 20-16 in the Penguins last 36 games played with double-revenge, as is the case here, and 9-2 in their last 11 contests following consecutive road losses. Take the under (8*). |
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02-13-24 | Red Wings v. Oilers OVER 6.5 | 4-8 | Win | 100 | 15 h 56 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'over' between Detroit and Edmonton at 9:05 pm et on Tuesday. The 'under' is 12-1 in the Oilers last 13 games and that's affording us a total of 6.5 in a game where I believe it should be set at 7.0 on Tuesday. Note that the last two meetings between these teams in Edmonton have produced a total of 21 goals. Detroit checks in off a 4-3 overtime victory over Vancouver on Saturday. The 'over' is 52-29 in the Red Wings last 83 games against Western Conference opponents. The Wings have also seen the 'over' go 13-4 in their last 17 contests following a one-goal victory at home. The Oilers were shut out on Saturday in Los Angeles, dropping a 4-0 decision. The 'over' is 5-2 in their last seven games after getting shut out and 21-15 in their last 36 contests following a game that totalled four goals or less. Note that the 'over' is also 8-3 in Edmonton's last 11 games following a road loss against a division opponent. Take the over (8*). |
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02-12-24 | Seattle Kraken v. Devils OVER 6.5 | 1-3 | Loss | -101 | 11 h 37 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'over' between Seattle and New Jersey at 7:05 pm et on Monday. These two teams were both involved in relatively low-scoring affairs on Saturday as Seattle dropped a 3-2 decision in Philadelphia and New Jersey fell by a 1-0 score (in overtime) in Carolina. I look for a different story to unfold on Monday as they match up in Newark. The Kraken have scored a grand total of just two goals over their last two games and appeared rather lifeless in Saturday's loss against the Flyers, firing only 19 shots on goal. I'm willing to blame rust on that poor performance as they hadn't played a game since January 30th. Prior to its last two games, Seattle had scored 13 goals over a three-game stretch so we know what it is capable of. The Kraken draw a favorable matchup here as the Devils have had a tough time keeping the puck out of their own net at home this season, allowing 3.9 goals per game. New Jersey was shut out on Saturday but had potted eight goals in its previous two games following the All-Star break. Keep in mind, the Devils recently welcomed back superstar Jack Hughes from injury. Note that the 'over' is 28-22 with the Kraken seeking revenge for a home loss against an opponent, as is the case here. The 'over' is also 15-11 when they come off a road loss by one goal. Meanwhile, the 'over' is 21-12 in the Devils last 33 contests after holding their previous opponent to one goal or less and 12-9 in their last 21 games following a contest that totalled three goals or less. Take the over (8*). |
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02-10-24 | Penguins v. Jets OVER 5.5 | 1-2 | Loss | -114 | 10 h 4 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'over' between Pittsburgh and Winnipeg at 7:05 pm et on Saturday. These two teams just faced each other earlier this week with the Penguins skating to a 3-0 victory on home ice. Winnipeg has been held to a grand total of four goals during its current five-game losing streak so it is obviously desperate for a breakout performance here. Meanwhile, Pittsburgh has scored three goals or less in a season-high nine straight games following last night's 3-2 defeat in Minnesota. The Pens are still averaging 3.2 goals per contest on the road this season while the Jets average 3.3 goals per game on home ice. Note that the 'over' is 14-7 in Pittsburgh's last 21 road games with the total set at 5.5, as is the case here at the time of writing. The 'over' is also 16-9 in Pittsburgh's last 25 games following a one-goal loss on the road. Winnipeg in is uncharted territory in a sense as it comes off eight straight 'under' results (excluding pushes). That situation has come up only six times since the Jets returned to the league in 2011 with the 'over' going 4-2. The 'over' is also 11-8 in their last 19 games when seeking revenge for a road loss by three goals or more against an opponent. Take the over (8*). |
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02-09-24 | Penguins v. Wild OVER 6 | 2-3 | Loss | -106 | 12 h 10 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'over' between Pittsburgh and Minnesota at 8:05 pm et on Friday. Both of these teams are coming off low-scoring games last time out with the Penguins skating to a 3-0 victory over the Jets and the Wild prevailing 2-1 over the Blackhawks. I expect a different story to unfold on Friday. Pittsburgh has now been held to three goals or less in a season-high eight straight games. I think there's a good chance it snaps that streak here. Note that the Pens have been a higher-scoring team on the road than at home this season, averaging 3.2 goals per game. They'll be facing a Wild squad that allows 3.3 goals per contest on home ice. Minnesota will give the start to former Pen Marc-Andre Fleury after he didn't get the nod in the previous matchup between these two teams in Pittsburgh. Fleury owns a less than impressive .889 save percentage in 12 appearances at home this season. The Pens lit him up for four goals on 31 shots in their lone matchup with him last season. The question becomes whether Minnesota can contribute enough offensively to help this total along. I believe it can. The Wild average 3.0 goals per game on home ice this season. They've been held to two goals or less in three straight games. That's happened only once previously this season (a four-game streak). Note that the 'over' is 13-10 in Pittsburgh's last 23 games following three straight 'under' results, as is the case here. The 'over' is also 16-11 in the Pens last 27 games following a contest that totalled three goals or less. Meanwhile, the 'over' is 32-18 in Minnesota's last 50 contests when seeking revenge for a road loss against an opponent and 19-14 in its last 33 games following a win over a division opponent. Take the over (8*). |
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02-06-24 | Avalanche v. Devils OVER 6.5 | Top | 3-5 | Win | 100 | 23 h 35 m | Show |
Non-Conference Total of the Month. My selection is on the 'over' between Colorado and New Jersey at 7:35 pm et on Tuesday. The Avalanche were involved in a low-scoring affair in Manhattan last night but I look for a different story to unfold as they make the short trip to Newark to face the Devils on Tuesday. New Jersey checks in allowing 3.9 goals per game on home ice this season. The Devils are in need of help between the pipes noting they don't have a goaltender on their roster that has recorded a save percentage higher than .895 this season. I do expect New Jersey to hang tough here, however, noting that it comes off consecutive road losses prior to the All-Star break. The Devils certainly haven't forgotten a 6-3 loss they suffered in Colorado in the lone previous meeting between these teams this season. Note that the 'over' is 29-23 in the Devils last 52 games when seeking revenge for a road loss against an opponent. The Avalanche are likely to give backup goaltender Justus Annunen just his second start of the season after Alexandar Georgiev faced his former team last night. Annunen allowed four goals in a 7-4 victory in Ottawa in his lone previous start this season. Take the over (10*). |
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02-05-24 | Islanders v. Maple Leafs OVER 6.5 | 3-2 | Loss | -108 | 11 h 17 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'over' between New York and Toronto at 7:05 pm et on Monday. The All-Star break probably came at the right time for the Islanders and new head coach Patrick Roy as they had lost three straight games heading in. When we last saw them take the ice they dropped a 3-2 home decision against the Panthers. Note that the 'over' is 12-6 with New York coming off an 'under' result this season. The Isles have been a disappointment defensively, allowing 3.4 goals per game with that number rising to 3.5 on the road. The Maple Leafs are in a similar boat in that department having allowed 3.5 goals per game on home ice this season. Of course, Toronto also boasts one of the best offenses in the league, averaging 3.7 goals per contest here at home. Note that the 'over' is 12-4 in the Leafs last 16 games after allowing two goals or less in three straight games, as is the case here. The 'over' is also 24-12 in their last 36 contests following three straight victories. Finally, we'll note that the 'over' has cashed in four straight meetings in this series. Take the over (8*). |
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01-30-24 | Blue Jackets v. Blues UNDER 6.5 | 1-0 | Win | 102 | 9 h 46 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'under' between Columbus and St. Louis at 8:05 pm et on Tuesday. The 'over' has cashed in the last five meetings in this series. That matches the longest such streak in the history of this series. It's happened twice previously and on both occasions the next meeting stayed 'under' the total. I expect a similar story to unfold here. Note that the 'under' is 13-11 in the Blue Jackets last 24 games following consecutive road losses. The 'under' is also 11-8 in the Blues last 19 contests when seeking revenge for a road loss by three goals or more against an opponent, as is the case here. Finally, the 'under' is 6-4 in the Blues last 10 games following four consecutive games that totalled seven goals or more. Take the under (8*). |
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01-24-24 | Capitals v. Avalanche UNDER 6 | 2-6 | Loss | -100 | 25 h 14 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'under' between Washington and Colorado at 9:35 pm et on Wednesday. We've become accustomed to seeing high-scoring games involving the Avalanche lately. In fact, each of their last five and nine of their last 10 games overall have totalled at least seven goals which is north of the number we're working with on Wednesday. I do think there's a 'catalyst for change' at work here, however, as the Avs return home from a long road trip to host the Capitals, who played in Minnesota last night. Note that Washington is allowing a respectable 3.1 goals per game on the road this season. The problem has been its offense, or lack thereof, as it has produced just 2.3 goals per contest away from home. Colorado, while known for its offensive prowess, has been stout defensively here at home, yielding just 2.9 goals per game this season. Note that this series has produced three straight 'under' results and a 1-4 o/u mark in the last five meetings. The 'under' is 10-5 with the Caps playing on the road with the total set at 6.0 or higher this season. Meanwhile, the 'under' is 8-4 in the Avs last 12 games after allowing four goals or more in three straight contests, as is the case here. The 'under' is also a long-term 161-132 with Colorado coming off a road win in which it scored four goals or more. Take the under (8*). |
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01-21-24 | Lightning v. Red Wings OVER 6.5 | Top | 1-2 | Loss | -110 | 22 h 15 m | Show |
Atlantic Division Total of the Month. My selection is on the 'over' between Tampa Bay and Detroit at 7:05 pm et on Sunday. The Lightning are coming off a relatively low-scoring victory in Buffalo yesterday afternoon. I expect a much different story to unfold as they make the short trip to the Motor City to face the Red Wings on Sunday. Note that this will be the second matchup between these two teams this season with Detroit having skated to a 6-4 win on home ice back in October. The 'over' is 27-19 in Tampa Bay's last 46 games when seeking revenge for a road loss against an opponent. Meanwhile, the 'over' is 49-25 in the Red Wings last 74 contests following a loss by two goals or more, as is the case here. The 'over' is also a long-term 52-37 with Detroit coming off an 'under' result, which is also the situation on Sunday. Take the over (10*). |
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01-18-24 | Rangers v. Golden Knights UNDER 6 | Top | 1-5 | Push | 0 | 28 h 19 m | Show |
Non-Conference Total of the Week. My selection is on the 'under' between New York and Vegas at 10:05 pm et on Thursday. You would have to go back eight meetings in this series, all the way to December of 2018 to find the last time we saw an 'over' result. I expect goals to come at a premium on Thursday as well. New York checks in off consecutive wins, rebounding from its recent four-game losing streak. Note that the Rangers have gone 13-9 on the road this season, where they've allowed just 2.8 goals per game. The 'under' is 32-26 in their last 58 contests following a win by three goals or more, as is the case here. While the Golden Knights have struggled to find the win column lately they have continued to play tough defensive hockey. Note that Vegas has held the opposition to just 2.3 goals per game on home ice this season. The Knights will need to continue to lean on that defense with a number of key contributors sidelined, including Jack Eichel. Note that the 'under' is 27-19 in Vegas' last 46 games following a home win in which it scored four goals or more. Take the under (10*). |
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01-17-24 | Canadiens v. Devils OVER 6.5 | Top | 3-2 | Loss | -108 | 23 h 45 m | Show |
Eastern Conference Total of the Month. My selection is on the 'over' between Montreal and New Jersey at 7:05 pm et on Wednesday. The Canadiens aren't rolling over for anyone right now, noting they've gone just 2-3 over their last five games but none of those losses came by more than a single goal. They should be feeling pretty good about themselves entering Wednesday's matchup in Newark as they're fresh off a 4-3 win over the Avalanche on Monday. The Devils will undoubtedly be in a foul mood following Monday's 3-0 shutout loss in Boston. Scoring hasn't really been an issue for the Devils lately, even without Jack Hughes among others. New Jersey had scored 21 goals over its previous five games prior to Monday's setback. The problem for the Devils here at home this season has been their inability to keep the puck out of their own net as they've allowed 3.7 goals per contest. Note that the 'over' is 13-8 in the Canadiens last 21 games when seeking revenge for a loss against an opponent, as is the case here. Meanwhile, the 'over' is 21-13 in the Devils last 34 contests following a road loss by three goals or more and 10-7 in their last 17 games following a loss of any sort. Take the over (10*). |
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01-16-24 | Coyotes v. Flames UNDER 6 | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 10 h 49 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'under' between Arizona and Calgary at 9:05 pm et on Tuesday. These two teams just met in Arizona less than a week ago with the Flames skating to a 6-2 victory. The Coyotes rebounded nicely from that loss, opening their current road trip with a 6-0 rout of the Wild in Minnesota on Saturday. The Flames are locked-in defensively right now having held eight of their last nine opponents to three goals or less. Calgary has held opponents to just 2.9 goals per game at home this season and interestingly, Arizona has limited the opposition to an identical 2.9 goals per contest on the road. Note that the 'under' is 14-9 in the Coyotes last 23 games when seeking revenge for a loss by four goals or more against an opponent. Meanwhile, the 'under' is 19-9 in Calgary's last 28 contests after scoring three goals or more in four consecutive games, as is the case here. Additionally, the 'under' is 10-6 in the Flames last 16 games following consecutive road wins. Take the under (8*). |
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01-15-24 | Canucks v. Blue Jackets OVER 6.5 | 3-4 | Win | 100 | 5 h 48 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'over' between Vancouver and Columbus at 1:05 pm et on Monday. The Blue Jackets have predictably struggled this season while the Canucks have been the talk of the league, in the conversation for the best team in hockey. This is admittedly a difficult spot for Vancouver as it wraps up a long seven-game road trip having already won five of the first six contests. The Canucks are coming off a 1-0 victory in Buffalo on Saturday. Note that the 'over' is a perfect 5-0 when Vancouver comes off a game in which it scored one goal or less this season. The 'over' is also 13-9 in the Canucks last 22 contests following a game that totalled three goals or less. The Blue Jackets limp into this matchup having lost three games in a row. They've giving up 3.6 goals per game on home ice this season. The 'over' is 31-16 in their last 47 games following three straight losses. Columbus has been downright sieve-like defensively over the last three weeks, allowing four goals or more in three straight and seven of its last nine games overall. The 'over' is 4-1 in the last five meetings between these two teams in Columbus. Take the over (8*). |
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01-13-24 | Avalanche v. Maple Leafs OVER 6.5 | Top | 5-3 | Win | 100 | 29 h 46 m | Show |
Non-Conference Total of the Month. My selection is on the 'over' between Colorado and Toronto at 7:05 pm et on Saturday. While I do think the Maple Leafs have the offense to keep pace with the Avalanche, I question whether their defense and goaltending can hang in this matchup. The Leafs let the Islanders off the hook two nights ago on Long Island and that's been a common theme this season. Toronto returns home on Saturday but has given up an average of 3.5 goals per game at Scotiabank Arena. The good news is, the Leafs have averaged 3.9 goals per contest at home. Colorado's offense has lagged at times this season, particularly on the road where it averages only 3.0 goals per game. It should be feeling pretty good about itself here, however, noting that it has scored 40 goals over its last 10 games. Note that the 'over' is 8-2-1 in the last 11 meetings in this series. Take the over (10*). |
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01-10-24 | Golden Knights v. Avalanche UNDER 6.5 | 0-3 | Win | 100 | 13 h 27 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'under' between Vegas and Colorado at 10:05 pm et on Wednesday. Vegas skated to a stunning 7-0 home win over Colorado in the first meeting between these two teams this season. I expect a game played much closer to the vest in Wednesday's rematch. Note that you would have to go back six meetings here in Colorado to find the last time a game went 'over' the total. The Avalanche are coming off a string of high-scoring games but we'll note that the 'under' is 7-1 in their last eight home games after scoring three goals or more in five consecutive games, as is the case here. The 'under' is also 13-4 in the Avs last 17 contests after allowing three goals or more in four straight games. The Golden Knights have posted an all-time 110-124 o/u mark when coming off a game that totalled seven goals or more, which is the situation here. The 'under' is also 42-34 all-time with the Knights off a home win by three goals or more. Take the under (8*). |
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12-27-23 | Penguins v. Islanders UNDER 6 | Top | 7-0 | Loss | -101 | 23 h 17 m | Show |
Metropolitan Division Total of the Year. My selection is on the 'under' between Pittsburgh and New York at 7:35 pm et on Wednesday. Both of these teams are coming off wild, high-scoring 5-4 affairs with the Penguins losing in Ottawa and the Islanders winning in Carolina. Keep in mind, the Pens are just one game removed from a 2-1 win over the Hurricanes and the Isles just lost 3-2 in Washington two games back. Note that the 'under' is 32-12 in Pittsburgh's last 44 road games after giving up four goals or more in its previous contest. Similarly, the 'under' is 11-3 in the Isles last 14 home games after allowing four goals or more in their previous game. We haven't seen the 'under' cash in any of the last six matchups in this series. That marks the longest 'over' streak in this series since 2003-04. Take the under (10*). |
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12-22-23 | Bruins v. Jets UNDER 5.5 | 1-5 | Loss | -100 | 23 h 13 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'under' between Boston and Winnipeg at 8:05 pm et on Friday. I expect goals to come at a premium as both the Bruins and Jets enter Friday's clash in Winnipeg rested. Boston hasn't played since a disappointing 4-3 loss at home against the Wild on Tuesday, marking its second straight loss. Note that the 'under' is 33-20 in the Bruins last 53 road games following an 'over' result. The Jets check in off a 5-2 win over the Red Wings on Wednesday. The 'under' has gone a perfect 7-0 in Winnipeg's last seven games following a home victory by two goals or more. This will be the first meeting between these two teams this season but last season's two matchups produced just five and three total goals. Take the under (8*). |
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12-20-23 | Red Wings v. Jets OVER 6.5 | 2-5 | Win | 100 | 11 h 30 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'over' between Detroit and Winnipeg at 7:35 pm et on Wednesday. The Red Wings got off to a slow start against the Ducks on Monday and it ultimately cost them as their rally fell just short in a 4-3 loss. Perhaps Detroit was caught looking past Anaheim as the Ducks were in a difficult back-to-back spot away from home. The Wings have held their own on the road this season, averaging 3.5 goals per game. Winnipeg is coming off a disappointing loss as well as it dropped a 3-2 overtime decision against Montreal on Monday. Note that the 'over' is a long-term 118-79 with the Jets coming off a home loss and 52-29 when that loss came by a single goal. Better still, the 'over' is 12-4 in Winnipeg's last 16 games following an overtime loss. The Jets took the first meeting between these two teams by a 4-1 score in Detroit back in late October. The Wings fired 36 shots on goal in that loss, unable to solve Jets goaltender Connor Hellebuyck. The good news is, they're expected to face Jets backup goaltender Laurent Brossoit on Wednesday. Detroit could certainly take that decision as a sign of disrespect with the Jets saving Hellebuyck for a presumably tougher matchup against Boston on Friday. Take the over (8*). |
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12-18-23 | Panthers v. Flames UNDER 6.5 | 1-3 | Win | 100 | 15 h 36 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'under' between Florida and Calgary at 9:35 pm et on Monday. While the Panthers are known for their offense, it's been their defense that has really shone on the road this season. Florida enters Monday's contest in Calgary having allowed just 2.5 goals per game on the road this season. While the Cats did produce five goals in Saturday's win in Edmonton, the 'under' has cashed on five of eight occasions when they've come off a 5+ goal performance this season. The Flames snapped a four-game losing streak with a 4-2 win over the Lightning on Saturday. Note that the 'under' is a long-term 57-36 in Calgary's last 93 home games after losing six or seven of its last eight contests, as is the case here. Take the under (8*). |
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12-16-23 | Avalanche v. Jets UNDER 6 | Top | 2-6 | Loss | -105 | 22 h 37 m | Show |
Western Conference Total of the Week. My selection is on the 'under' between Colorado and Winnipeg at 7:05 pm et on Saturday. The Jets slipped four goals past the Avalanche when these teams met on December 7th in Colorado, winning that contest by a pair. I look for a lower-scoring affair this time around as Colorado heads to Winnipeg on Saturday. The Jets have allowed two goals or less in six straight games. They're giving up only 2.8 goals per game at home this season. Colorado had allowed a whopping 10 goals in its last two games before holding the Sabres to one goal last time out. Note that the 'under' is 21-7 in the Avs last 28 road games seeking revenge for a same-season loss against an opponent. The 'under' is also 39-17 in Winnipeg's last 56 home games following a victory. Take the under (10*). |
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12-15-23 | Bruins v. Islanders UNDER 5.5 | Top | 5-4 | Loss | -100 | 23 h 59 m | Show |
Eastern Conference Total of the Week. My selection is on the 'under' between Boston and New York at 7:35 pm et on Friday. The Bruins are coming off an overtime loss in New Jersey two nights ago but they still held the opposition to three goals or less for a sixth straight game. Note that the 'under' is 13-3 in their last 16 road games following a loss by a single goal. The Islanders have seen two straight and seven of their last eight games go 'over' the total. I certainly don't think that's a sustainable trend. Note that the 'under' is 21-10 in New York's last 31 games after its previous two contests both totalled seven or more goals, as is the case here. The 'under' is also 28-22 in the Isles last 50 games when seeking revenge for a road defeat against an opponent, which is the situation here as well. While the last two meetings in this series have gone 'over' the total, we haven't seen three consecutive 'over' results between these two teams since 2010-11. Take the under (10*). |
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12-14-23 | Lightning v. Oilers OVER 6.5 | 7-4 | Win | 100 | 24 h 15 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'over' between Tampa Bay and Edmonton at 9:05 pm et on Thursday. The Oilers are coming off consecutive 'under' results but I look for a different story to unfold as they host the Lightning on Thursday. Tampa Bay should be in a foul mood after scoring just one goal in a lopsided defeat in Vancouver on Tuesday. Note that the 'over' is 21-11 in the Bolts last 32 games following consecutive road contests, as is the case here. The 'over' is also 13-2 in the Oilers last 15 home games after winning consecutive games by two goals or more, which is also the situation here. The 'over' is 22-11 in the Oilers last 33 contests after holding consecutive opponents to two goals or less as well. The last two meetings in this series have produced eight and 10 total goals. Take the over (8*). |
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12-13-23 | Sabres v. Avalanche UNDER 6.5 | 1-5 | Win | 100 | 26 h 37 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'under' between Buffalo and Colorado at 10:05 pm et on Wednesday. While the Avalanche did snap their two-game losing streak with a wild 6-5 win over the Flames on Monday, head coach Jared Bednar couldn't have been happy with his team's defensive play. I look for Colorado to tighten things up in that department as it hosts Buffalo on Wednesday. Note that the 'under' is 14-2 in the Avs last 16 home games after giving up three goals or more in three straight contests, as is the case here. The 'under' is also 7-1 with Colorado seeking revenge for a loss against an opponent this season, which is also the situation here after the Sabres defeated the Avs 4-0 on October 29th. Buffalo is coming off a 5-2 win over Arizona on Monday and that's notable as the 'under' is 8-2 with the Sabres following a game that totalled seven goals or more. Take the under (8*). |
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12-11-23 | Flames v. Avalanche UNDER 6.5 | 5-6 | Loss | -116 | 13 h 20 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'under' between Calgary and Colorado at 9:35 pm et on Monday. I think we'll see the Avalanche clamp down defensively on Monday after an ugly 5-2 defeat at home against the Flyers on Saturday - the team's second straight loss. Calgary needs to sort things out as well following a 4-2 home loss against the Devils on Saturday - its third defeat in its last four contests. This hasn't exactly been a high-scoring series with the last three meetings producing 5, 5 and 4 total goals including a 3-1 Avs home victory earlier this season. Note that the 'under' is 17-4 in Colorado's last 21 home games following a home loss with that spot producing an average total of only 5.6 goals. Take the under (8*). |
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12-08-23 | Penguins v. Panthers UNDER 6.5 | 1-3 | Win | 100 | 11 h 31 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'under' between Pittsburgh and Florida at 7:05 pm et on Friday. The 'under' is 9-1 in the Penguins last 10 games including a perfect 2-0 on their current road trip. While a date with the Panthers could generally be considered a potential breakout spot for an opposing offense, I'm not sure there's a quick fix for the Pens right now. Note that Florida is actually giving up just 2.6 goals per game this season. The Panthers have scored 13 goals over their last three games but that scoring tear actually helps our cause here, noting the 'under' is a long-term 81-56 with Florida having scored three goals or more in three consecutive games. Meanwhile, the 'under' is a perfect 6-0 with the Penguins coming off a road loss this season and a long-term 23-6 when playing on the road off a loss by two goals or more, which is also the situation here. Since the start of 2019, nine of 12 meetings in this series have totalled six goals or less. While these two teams are known for their offense, they actually qualify as having two of the worst power plays in the entire league. The Pens are 7-for-71 with the man advantage this season while the Panthers check in 15-for-81. Take the under (8*). |
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12-06-23 | Hurricanes v. Oilers OVER 6.5 | 1-6 | Win | 100 | 25 h 21 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'over' between Carolina and Edmonton at 9:35 pm et on Wednesday. The Hurricanes will likely be in a foul mood as they head to Edmonton following Monday's lifeless 2-1 defeat in Winnipeg. Make no mistake, the Canes can score as they average 3.4 goals per game on the season. In a game where both teams have question marks between the pipes (neither has a goaltender on the roster with a save percentage .900 or higher this season), I'm anticipating plenty of offense. The Oilers have been scoring at will, finding the back of the net 21 times during their current four-game winning streak. Like the Canes, they're also averaging 3.4 goals per game this season. Keep in mind, this has been a high-scoring series with three meetings going back to the start of last season producing 10, 9 and 9 total goals. Take the over (8*). |
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12-03-23 | Blue Jackets v. Bruins UNDER 6.5 | 1-3 | Win | 100 | 10 h 44 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'under' between Columbus and Boston at 7:05 pm et on Sunday. I expect the Blue Jackets to have a miserable time trying to break through offensively against the Bruins on Sunday, noting that Boston has allowed just 2.1 goals per game on home ice this season and despite the victory in Toronto last night, should be in a foul mood after blowing a 3-2 lead with seconds remaining in the third period. Columbus is coming off a 4-2 win over the Senators on Friday but continues to struggle on the season, averaging just 2.9 goals per contest. Meanwhile, Boston's offensive ceiling hasn't been all that high lately as it has produced four goals or less in seven consecutive games. Take the under (8*). |
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11-22-23 | Flyers v. Islanders UNDER 6 | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 23 h 25 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'under' between Philadelphia and New York at 7:35 pm et on Wednesday. I expect goals to come at a premium as the Flyers look to extend their five-game winning streak on Long Island on Wednesday. Note that the 'under' is a perfect 6-0 in Philadelphia's last six road games after scoring four goals or more in each of its previous two contests, as is the case here, resulting in an average total of just 4.7 goals in that situation. Meanwhile, the 'under' is 10-2 in the Islanders last 12 home games following consecutive games that totalled seven goals or more, which is also the situation here, leading to an average total of only 4.4 goals in that spot. The Isles have been downright awful defensively this season but perhaps a win to snap a seven-game slide in their most recent contest will give them a lift here. The Flyers have actually been a better defensive team on the road than at home this season, yielding just 2.7 goals per contest compared to their season average of 2.9 goals per game allowed. Take the under (8*). |
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11-11-23 | Hurricanes v. Lightning UNDER 6.5 | 4-0 | Win | 100 | 12 h 9 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'under' between Carolina and Tampa Bay at 7:05 pm et on Saturday. Both of these teams are coming off disappointing performances with the Lightning losing at home against the Blackhawks two nights ago and the Hurricanes fresh off a 5-2 defeat against the Panthers last night. I would anticipate both teams tightening things up defensively on Saturday and it's worth noting that we've seen a shutout pitched in each of the last three meetings in this series including a 3-0 Lightning victory on this ice back in October. Carolina got off to a miserable start defensively this season but prior to last night's contest it had held six straight opponents to three goals or fewer and four of those foes to less than three markers. The Bolts allowed five goals against Chicago on Thursday but have still given up just 2.7 goals per game on home ice this season. Take the under (8*). |
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11-09-23 | Wild v. Rangers UNDER 6 | 1-4 | Win | 104 | 12 h 29 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'under' between Minnesota and New York at 7:05 pm et on Thursday. We saw a wild, high-scoring game between these two teams last Saturday in Minnesota as the Wild rallied for a 5-4 shootout victory. Minnesota has no hope of being a true contender this season if it can't button things up defensively. The Wild have allowed 4.1 goals per game but I do think they're a better defensive team than they've shown. Meanwhile, the Rangers check in allowing just 2.2 goals per contest on home ice this season. I would anticipate some offensive regression over the next couple of games after they scored nine goals in their last two contests. Note that the 'under' is 28-12 with New York coming off a home victory in which it scored four goals or more over the last three seasons, as is the case here, leading to an average total of just 5.5 goals in that situation. Take the under (8*). |
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11-08-23 | Kings v. Golden Knights OVER 6 | Top | 4-1 | Loss | -113 | 26 h 11 m | Show |
Pacific Division Total of the Year. My selection is on the 'over' between Los Angeles and Vegas at 10:05 pm et on Wednesday. This sets up as an ideal bounce-back spot for the Golden Knights as they return home off a rare loss in Anaheim on Sunday. Vegas scored just twice in that contest but should rebound nicely at home, where it averages 4.0 goals per game this season. The Kings are coming off a shutout victory in Philadelphia - their first clean sheet of the season. While I don't expect Los Angeles to keep Vegas off the scoreboard here, I do think the Kings can hang with the Golden Knights offensively, noting that they're averaging a whopping 4.8 goals per game on the road this season. We've seen 12 straight meetings in this series total at least six goals but the Kings three-game 'under' streak heading into this clash is looming large and holding this posted total at exactly six goals at the time of writing. Despite Los Angeles' recent run of 'under' results, the 'over' is actually 24-14 when it comes off an 'under' over the last two seasons, with that situation resulting in an average total of 7.0 goals. Take the over (10*). |
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11-07-23 | Penguins v. Ducks UNDER 6.5 | 2-0 | Win | 107 | 26 h 3 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'under' between Pittsburgh and Anaheim at 10:05 pm et on Tuesday. The Penguins scored an incredible 10 goals last time out but that came against the lowly Sharks (who proceeded to give up 10 goals in their next game as well). I don't expect Pittsburgh to come close to repeating that performance on Tuesday, noting that its opponent, Anaheim, has held nine of its last 10 opponents to three goals or less. The Ducks have scored at least four goals in five straight games but have actually fired fewer than 30 shots on goal in each of their last four contests. Meanwhile, the Pens have held three consecutive opponents to 27 shots on goal or fewer. The 'over' has cashed in all three meetings between these two teams going back to last season, including a 4-3 Ducks victory in Pittsburgh back on October 30th. Take the under (8*). |
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11-01-23 | Stars v. Flames UNDER 6 | 4-3 | Loss | -120 | 12 h 7 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'under' between Dallas and Calgary at 8:35 pm et on Wednesday. You can make the argument that the Flames have been the league's biggest disappointment in the first month of the season. Their offense is downright awful as they've produced a grand total of six goals during their current five-game losing streak. That includes just one goal scored during a recent two-game homestand. I do expect Calgary to bounce back with a gritty performance here, however, following Sunday's ugly 5-2 defeat against the rival Oilers in the Heritage Classic. Note that only three of Calgary's nine opponents have scored more than three goals this season. Dallas checks in off a high-scoring game on Monday at home against the Blue Jackets. I don't think the Stars will be interested in a back-and-forth affair here in the first night of a back-to-back in Alberta. On the season, Dallas is allowing just 2.6 goals per game with that number dropping to 2.0 in three road contests. Take the under (8*). |
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10-30-23 | Rangers v. Jets UNDER 5.5 | 3-2 | Win | 102 | 9 h 48 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'under' between New York and Winnipeg at 7:35 pm et on Monday. Both of these teams are coming off relatively high-scoring overtime affairs on Saturday with the Rangers prevailing in Vancouver and the Jets losing in Montreal. This is a low total by today's NHL standards but I don't believe it will prove low enough. Note that each of the last five matchups in this series has produced five goals or less. The Jets got off to a brutal start defensively this season allowing 19 goals in their first four games but they've since turned it around, yielding just just eight goals in regulation time over their last four contests. Meanwhile, the Rangers have given up just five goals in the first four games of their current road trip and have held an incredible five of eight opponents to a single goal or less this season. Take the under (8*). |
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10-16-23 | Coyotes v. Rangers OVER 6.5 | 1-2 | Loss | -113 | 11 h 9 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'over' between Arizona and New York at 7:05 pm et on Monday. I think the Coyotes are going to prove to be one of the more exciting teams to watch in the NHL this season and they certainly showed why in their season-opener on Friday - a 4-3 shootout win over the Devils. Here, they're running into a tough spot as the Rangers return home off a blowout loss in Columbus on Saturday. Note that the 'over' is a perfect 6-0 with New York coming off a road loss by two goals or more over the last two seasons with that situation producing an average total of 8.1 goals. Small sample size, I know, but I think the play sets up well here as the Coyotes are brimming with talent up front but perhaps subpar at the back-end and shouldn't shy away from another high-scoring affair. Having scored just three goals combined in two losses against the Rangers last season, the Coyotes know that type of offensive production just isn't going to cut it in this particular matchup. Take the over (8*). |
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06-13-23 | Panthers v. Golden Knights OVER 5.5 | Top | 3-9 | Win | 100 | 12 h 4 m | Show |
Total of the Week. My selection is on the 'over' between Florida and Vegas at 8:20 pm et on Tuesday. The last two games managed to stay 'under' the total which has been par for the course for this particular matchup in Sunrise. It's been a much different story in Las Vegas and I expect that to continue to be the case on Tuesday, noting that all seven previous meetings on the Strip have totalled at least six goals. In this series we saw Games 1 and 2 reach seven and nine total goals. It's desperation time for the Panthers now and here we'll note that the 'over' is 10-3 when they come off a one-goal loss this season with that spot producing an average total of 7.6 goals. The 'over' is also 22-11 with the Golden Knights playing at home following a one-goal victory over the last three seasons, as is the case here. Interestingly, Vegas hasn't been as stingy from a defensive standpoint at home this season, allowing 2.9 goals per game compared to its season average of 2.7 goals allowed per contest. Florida checks in giving up 3.5 goals per game on the road compared to its season average of 3.3. Take the over (10*). |
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06-10-23 | Golden Knights v. Panthers UNDER 5.5 | Top | 3-2 | Win | 112 | 13 h 10 m | Show |
Stanley Cup Final Total of the Year. My selection is on the 'under' between Vegas and Florida at 8:20 pm et on Saturday. We saw a reversal of sorts in this series in Game 3 as the Panthers won in overtime in a low-scoring affair. Keep in mind, Games 1 and 2 had totalled seven and nine goals. I expect another lower-scoring contest than most are anticipating on Saturday noting that the 'under' is a long-term 30-16 with the Golden Knights playing on the road seeking revenge for a one-goal loss against an opponent. While all seven all-time meetings between these two teams in Las Vegas have totalled at least six goals, four of the last five matchups here in Sunrise have reached five total goals or less. Here in the 2022-23 campaign, the Knights have held the opposition to just 2.6 goals per game on the road. The Panthers haven't been as stout defensively at home, but have still been better in that regard than on the road, limiting foes to 3.0 goals per contest (compared to their 3.3 goals allowed per game overall). Take the under (10*). |
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05-27-23 | Stars v. Golden Knights OVER 5.5 | 4-2 | Win | 100 | 10 h 16 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'over' between Dallas and Vegas at 8:05 pm et on Saturday. The Stars have now been held to three goals or less in six straight games - matching a season-high. We've seen three straight games in this series stay 'under' the total. That's worth noting as the Golden Knights haven't seen more than three games in a row stay 'under' since back in January. We'll also note that the 'over' is 11-3 with the Knights playing at home seeking revenge for an in-season loss against an opponent this season with that situation producing an average total of 6.9 goals. As we've noted previously in this series, Stars goaltender Jake Oettinger appears to be wearing down and that's not surprising as he'll be between the pipes for an 80th time this season on Saturday. Knights goaltender Adin Hill has performed admirably but he's also faced a ton of shots in this series, 36, 28, 34 and 42 through four games, and will be starting a season-high eighth straight game with only one stretch of more than one day off between contests over that stretch. I expect both offenses to produce here. Take the over (8*). |
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05-25-23 | Golden Knights v. Stars OVER 5.5 | Top | 2-3 | Loss | -100 | 13 h 2 m | Show |
Western Conference Total of the Year. My selection is on the 'over' between Vegas and Dallas at 8:05 pm et on Thursday. We've seen consecutive low-scoring games in this series as the Golden Knights have taken a 3-0 stranglehold, pushing the Stars to the brink of elimination on Thursday. Vegas took Game 3 by a score of 4-0 and that's notable as only twice previously this season have the Knights played on the road following a shutout with those two contests totalling seven and eight goals (both victories). While the Stars were held off the scoresheet in Game 3, it wasn't for lack of trying. They carried the play over the game's final 50 minutes, peppering Knights goaltender Adin Hill at times. There were a number of posts and near-misses - I'm confident they convert some of those opportunities on Thursday. Dallas will be without Jamie Benn (suspension) and Evgeni Dadonov (injury) but neither are consistent point producers (11 and 10 points in the playoffs respectively). Here, we'll note that the 'over' is a perfect 7-0 with Dallas playing at home seeking revenge for a home loss against an opponent this season, with that situation producing a staggering average total of 8.7 goals. The 'over' is also 16-8 with Dallas at home having lost at least two consecutive meetings with an opponent over the last three seasons, leading to an average total of 6.6 goals in that spot. There's been no letdown from the Knights offensively in similar situations this season as they average 4.0 goals per game when playing on the road after posting a road win in which they scored four or more goals. As I've noted previously, Stars goaltender Jake Oettinger has been extremely overworked, approaching 80 appearances this season (this will mark his 79th). His save percentage has dipped to .895 in the playoffs and .876 over his last four games. Take the over (10*). |
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05-18-23 | Panthers v. Hurricanes OVER 5.5 | 3-2 | Loss | -120 | 30 h 25 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'over' between Florida and Carolina at 8:05 pm et on Thursday. The Panthers enter this series on a season-high five-game 'under' streak but I look for it to come to an end on Thursday in Raleigh. Florida did have one previous 'under' streak last five games this season, that coming from February 24th to March 7th. I simply feel the Panthers are going to have their hands full trying to defend the Hurricanes relentless offensive attack in this series. While Carolina has become known for its smothering defense and back-checking, it has also shown that it can score in bunches. Note that in the only two games in which it held New Jersey to fewer than 29 shots on goal last round, Carolina ended up finding the back of the net a combined 11 times. In other words, if the Hurricanes aren't giving up a lot of opportunities, that only means they're spending considerable time in the opposing team's zone, and likely capitalizing. It certainly seems that the Canes have had Panthers goaltender Sergei Bobrovsky's number. They've faced him seven times since he joined the Panthers, scoring at least three goals in six of those games. Of course, the same could be said for the Panthers against Canes netminder Frederik Andersen, albeit with a smaller sample size. Since joining the Canes, Andersen has faced Florida three times, allowing a whopping 11 goals. The Panthers, despite being listed as the underdog in all 12 playoff games to date, have displayed a fairly reliable offensive floor, held to fewer than two goals on only two previous occasions. Here, we'll note that the 'over' is 20-10 with the Panthers seeking revenge for a loss by two goals or more against an opponent this season, as is the case here, with that situation producing an average total of 7.1 goals. Take the over (8*). |
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05-12-23 | Oilers v. Golden Knights OVER 6.5 | Top | 3-4 | Win | 100 | 15 h 42 m | Show |
Second Round Total of the Year. My selection is on the 'over' between Edmonton and Vegas at 10:10 pm et on Friday. We've now seen each of the last three games in this series stay 'under' the total after a wild, high-scoring series-opener that produced 10 goals. Here, I believe we're well-positioned to back the 'over' as the Golden Knights look to answer back following a 4-1 loss in an animosity-filled Game 4. Of course, both teams will be without a defenseman due to suspension in this contest with Darnell Nurse of the Oilers and Alex Pietrangelo of the Knights forced to sit. Neither has provided much offensive spark in these playoffs but certainly play key roles on the blue line and will be missed here. I believe Pietrangelo's absence in particular further opens things up for the Oilers explosive offense as the Knights simply don't have anyone waiting in the wings capable of replacing the veteran's steadiness in critical moments (most notably against a lethal Oilers power play as Pietrangelo works on the Knights top penalty kill unit). Here, we'll note that Edmonton averages an impressive 4.1 goals per game on the road this season but that number rises to 4.6 when facing division opponents (18-game sample size). Note that the Oilers will likely be facing Knights goaltender Adin Hill again here, noting that they've now seen him in two previous starts, scoring eight goals on 56 shots (good for a weak .857 save percentage on Hill's part). Vegas checks in averaging 3.3 goals per game on home ice this season but that number rises considerably to 4.3 when coming off a road loss (seven-game sample size). Also note that we've seen the 'over' go 9-1 with the Knights seeking revenge for a road loss by three goals or more against an opponent over the last two seasons, leading to an average total of 7.3 goals in that situation. Better still, even with the 'under' cashing in the last three games in this series, the 'over' is 21-9 with Edmonton coming off an 'under' result this season, resulting in 7.7 total goals on average in that spot. We haven't seen four straight meetings in this series stay 'under' the total since a four-game 'under' streak from April 2019 to March 2020. Take the over (10*). |
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05-07-23 | Hurricanes v. Devils UNDER 5.5 | 4-8 | Loss | -125 | 9 h 26 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'under' between Carolina and New Jersey at 3:40 pm et on Sunday. The first two games of this series have gone 'over' the total with the Hurricanes doing most of the heavy-lifting, scoring 11 goals compared to the Devils' two. Note that we haven't seen three straight meetings between these two teams go 'over' the total in the same season since way back in the 2013-14 campaign. You would have to go back to a three-game stretch that spanned between 2019 and 2022 (thanks to Covid) to find the last time any three consecutive matchups between these division rivals went 'over' the total. I would anticipate the Devils turning to Vitek Vanecek between the pipes in Game 3. He's played a big role in New Jersey's incredibly stingy nature here at home this season, where it has allowed just 2.6 goals per game. Note that the 'under' is a long-term 23-9 with the Devils playing at home seeking revenge for a loss by four goals or more against an opponent, as is the case here. Meanwhile, the Canes have seen the 'under' go 11-3 when coming off consecutive 'over' results this season, resulting in an average total of just 4.8 goals in that situation. Finally, we'll note that Carolina has averaged just 2.3 goals per game with an average total of only 5.2 goals when playing on the road after winning four of its last five contests over the last two seasons (26-game sample size), which is also the situation here. Take the under (8*). |
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05-03-23 | Devils v. Hurricanes UNDER 5.5 | Top | 1-5 | Loss | -130 | 11 h 30 m | Show |
Metropolitan Division Total of the Year. My selection is on the 'under' between New Jersey and Carolina at 7:10 pm et on Wednesday. We saw a pair of relatively high-scoring affairs to open the second round of the NHL Playoffs last night. I expect nothing of the sort as the Devils and Hurricanes do battle in Game 1 of their Eastern Conference semi-final series on Wednesday, however. New Jersey has averaged 3.4 goals per game this season but its offensive production fell off a cliff in round one against the Rangers, partly by design. The Devils averaged only 2.4 goals per contest during that seven-game series and we got a pretty good indication of how they want to play in the postseason as they often sat back defensively, waiting for the opportunity to counter-attack, ultimately firing fewer than 30 shots on goal in five of seven contests. I don't think Lindy Ruff's team will want to trade scoring opportunities with Carolina either, certainly not in the first two games of the series here in Raleigh. Note that the Hurricanes offense wasn't exactly humming in the opening round either, averaging 2.7 goals per game over the course of that six-game series against the Islanders. The Canes have of course had to make some adjustments with Andrei Svechnikov - scoring option 1B to Sebastian Aho's 1A - going down with a season-ending injury late in the regular season and then losing Teuvo Teravainen to a broken hand in round one as well. Carolina boasts one of the strongest defensive corps of any team remaining in the NHL Playoffs and I believe that group will prove difficult to break down in this series. The Canes have allowed just 2.5 goals per game on home ice this season with that number dropping to 2.2 when coming off a victory over a divisional opponent (13-game sample size), as is the case here. It's worth mentioning that while these two teams have met eight times since the start of 2022, we could be seeing a new goaltending matchup here as Devils breakout netminder Akira Schmid has never faced Carolina while Hurricanes goaltender Frederik Andersen hasn't taken the crease against New Jersey since he was a member of the Toronto Maple Leafs (he owns a 2.11 goals against average .934 save percentage in nine career games vs. the Devils). Finally, we'll note that the 'under' is a long-term 157-109 with the Devils coming off a home win in which they scored four goals or more, which is the situation here. Take the under (10*). |
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05-02-23 | Seattle Kraken v. Stars OVER 5.5 | 5-4 | Win | 109 | 14 h 42 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'over' between Seattle and Dallas at 9:40 pm et on Tuesday. Both of these teams enter this series riding 'under' streaks. The final four games of the Kraken's stunning first round upset of the defending Stanley Cup champion Avalanche stayed 'under' the total while the Stars saw each of their last three contests against the Wild cruise 'under' the total as well. I expect a different story to unfold as the two teams meet in the postseason for the first time on Tuesday. While Kraken goaltender Philipp Grubauer certainly appeared to have the Avs number in round one, I think he'll be hard-pressed to repeat his heroics here in round two. Note that Dallas has faced Grubauer twice in the brief series history between these two teams, scoring nine goals in those two contests. It's actually a similar story for the Kraken against Stars netminder Jake Oettinger. He's been between the pipes for Dallas in all six previous meetings in this series with Seattle scoring 18 goals and no fewer than two goals in any of those games. Of course, it's not all about the goaltenders. We're going to need this game to open up considerably compared to what we saw in the latter stages of the two teams' respective opening round series'. Here, we'll note that while Seattle averages 3.4 goals per game on the season, that average rises to 3.8 when playing on the road off a road victory (29-game sample size), as is the case here. The Stars have been fairly stingy on home ice, allowing just 2.7 goals per game this season but that average jumps to 4.0 when seeking revenge for a loss against an opponent in which it scored five goals or more (eight-game sample size), which is also the situation here (Kraken won the last meeting 5-4 in Dallas). In fact, the 'over' has gone a perfect 5-0 with Dallas playing at home seeking revenge for a home loss against an opponent this season, with that spot producing an average total of 9.2 goals. While playoff hockey tends to be lower-scoring, I would argue that the stakes were similarly high for both teams - keeping in mind this is only Game 1 of this series - when they matched up three times over an 11-day span back in March (the Kraken were fighting to get in the playoffs while the Stars were battling for playoff seeding). Those three games totalled seven, seven and nine goals (the last result was aided by overtime). Take the over (8*). |
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04-30-23 | Seattle Kraken v. Avalanche UNDER 6 | Top | 2-1 | Win | 100 | 16 h 34 m | Show |
Western Conference Total of the Month. My selection is on the 'under' between Seattle and Colorado at 9:30 pm et on Sunday. The 'under' has now cashed in three straight games in this series and that's not a trend I expect to reverse in Game 7 on Sunday. Keep in mind, we've previously seen a six-game 'under' streak between these two teams and that's notable when you consider there have only been 12 all-time meetings. Similarly, the Avalanche's current three-game 'under' streak has been topped by four previous 'under' runs lasting four games or more this season and that includes a December stretch that saw nine straight games stay 'under' the total. The Kraken have had three previous 'under' streaks lasting more than three games this season as well. We know Seattle will want to make this game as ugly as possible as it looks to pull off the major round one upset in enemy territory. Note that the 'under' is 22-11 with Seattle coming off a game in which it allowed four goals or more this season, as is the case here. The 'under' has gone 24-17-3 in Colorado's home games this season, where it has given up just 2.7 goals per contest. Take the under (10*). |
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04-26-23 | Panthers v. Bruins UNDER 6.5 | Top | 4-3 | Loss | -120 | 9 h 16 m | Show |
First Round Total of the Year. My selection is on the 'under' between Florida and Boston at 7:05 pm et on Wednesday. A quick note to start, we want to play this total at 6.5 (even with the juice) rather than the 6.0 being offered at some books. I anticipate the total bumping up to 6.5 at the majority of books as the day progresses. We've seen three straight games total six goals or more in this series with the 'over' cashing at a 2-0-1 clip over that stretch. That's notable as we haven't seen more than three consecutive games involving the Bruins fail to stay 'under' the total since way back in their first four games this season (all four of those games went 'over' the total). Only twice previously since then have we see a three-game stretch without an 'under' result, on those two occasions their next contest resulted in a 3-2 home win over the Hurricanes on November 25th and a 3-1 home victory over the Panthers to open this series. Note that the 'under' is 14-5 with the Bruins playing at home after scoring four goals or more in consecutive games over the last three seasons, as is the case here, resulting in an average total of just 5.2 goals in that situation. From the Panthers perspective, they've posted an 0-5 o/u record when playing on the road off a home loss by two goals or more this season, which is the situation tonight, leading to just 4.8 total goals on average in that spot. Going back further, the 'under' is 11-4 with Florida playing on the road after giving up three goals or more in three consecutive games over the last two seasons, producing an average total of 5.7 goals along the way. While the Panthers are known for their high-scoring ways, the fact is they haven't seen consecutive games go 'over' the total since a four-game 'over' streak from March 20th to 25th. Since then, they've recorded a 5-5-3 o/u mark. Take the under (10*). |
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04-17-23 | Kings v. Oilers OVER 6.5 | 4-3 | Win | 100 | 13 h 41 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'over' between Los Angeles and Edmonton at 10 pm et on Monday. There's a good chance we'll end up seeing the total set at 7 as this series progresses, at least that's how I see this matchup playing out. The Kings were banged-up down the stretch with the absences of Gabriel Vilardi and Kevin Fiala looming large. Both remain questionable to start this series but I'm assuming they'll both be out for Game 1 on Monday. Nevertheless, the Kings did figure out down the stretch they're not going to be successful if they can't ramp up their offense, even without some key contributors. I think we saw a turning point of sorts in their 4-3 home loss to the Avalanche on April 8th. They ended up scoring 3, 3 and 5 goals over their final three games after scoring two goals or less in four of their previous six contests. Note that over its last four games, Los Angeles fired 32, 41, 28 and 36 shots on goal. It will need to find some offense to pose any sort of challenge to the high-flying Oilers. Edmonton averaged an impressive 4.0 goals per game over the course of the regular season while the Kings gave up 3.2 goals per contest - a shell of its former self from a defensive perspective. Note that the 'under' has actually cashed in the last two meetings between these teams. We've seen three straight matchups go 'under' the total just once going all the way back to April of 2017, covering a span of 28 meetings. Here, we'll note that the 'over' is 19-8 with the Kings playing on the road seeking revenge for a loss by two goals or more against an opponent over the last three seasons, as is the case here after the Oilers won 3-1 in Los Angeles on April 4th. That situation has produced an average total of 7.0 goals. Also note that the 'over' is 12-3 with the Oilers playing at home after allowing two goals or less in consecutive games over the same stretch, which is the situation here, leading to an average total of 7.6 goals in that spot. Take the over (8*). |
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04-13-23 | Flyers v. Blackhawks UNDER 6 | Top | 5-4 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 18 m | Show |
Non-Conference Total of the Month. My selection is on the 'under' between Philadelphia and Chicago at 8:35 pm et on Thursday. Both of these teams are coming off victories two nights ago with the Flyers scoring four goals in an overtime win over the Blue Jackets and the Blackhawks dashing the Penguins playoff hopes with a stunning 5-2 road win. Offensive success hasn't been commonplace for either squad lately, however. Philadelphia has been held to three goals or less in regulation time in seven straight games. Chicago has scored three goals or less in 12 of its last 14 contests. These two teams last met back in January with the Blackhawks skating to a 4-1 road win. Note that the 'under' is 12-5 with the Flyers seeking revenge for a home loss against an opponent this season, leading to an average total of just 5.3 goals in that situation. We've seen Philadelphia suffer a considerable drop-off in offensive production on the road this season as it averages just 2.3 goals per game away from home compared to its 2.7 gpg overall scoring average. While Chicago has seen the 'over' cash in each of its last three contests, it has previously posted four straight 'over' results just once this season and that came back in mid-November. The 'under' has gone 6-1 with the Blackhawks coming off three or more consecutive 'over' results this season. The Flyers have posted back-to-back 'overs' but have reeled off more than two 'over' results in a row only once since February 21st, that coming in a five-game streak in mid-March. Take the under (10*). |
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03-20-23 | Flames v. Kings UNDER 6 | Top | 2-8 | Loss | -100 | 16 h 28 m | Show |
Pacific Division Total of the Year. My selection is on the 'under' between Calgary and Los Angeles at 10:35 pm et on Monday. Both of these teams check into this key division matchup off a loss and in the case of the Flames it was a wild one as they fell by a 6-5 score in overtime on home ice against the Stars on Saturday. The Kings dropped an extra time decision at home as well, in a shootout at the hands of the Canucks. Note that the 'under' is a long-term 152-112 with the Kings playing at home off a home loss. While the 'over' is still 36-26-8 in all Kings games this season, we have seen signs of them reverting back to 'normal' (I use that term as they've generally been a solid 'under' bet in recent years) lately with the 'over' cashing in just two of their last eight contests. The Flames have seen the 'over' cash in each of their last three games. Only once this season have more than three consecutive games involving Calgary go 'over' the total with that five-game streak coming back in December. Here, we'll note that the 'under' is 10-3 with the Flames playing on the road off an overtime loss over the last two seasons with that spot producing an average total of just 4.9 goals. The 'under' is also 15-5 with Calgary playing on the road after scoring three goals or more in three consecutive games over the last three seasons, as is the case here, leading to an average total of 5.3 goals in that spot. The last two meetings between the Flames and Kings have gone 'over' the total and that's notable as we haven't seen three straight matchups in this series go 'over' since way back in 2007-08 when four consecutive matchups surpassed the total. The term playoff-like atmosphere generally lends itself to tightly-contested, relatively low-scoring hockey and I do think it applies here. Take the under (10*). |
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03-19-23 | Predators v. Rangers OVER 6 | Top | 0-7 | Win | 100 | 11 h 55 m | Show |
Non-Conference Total of the Month. My selection is on the 'over' between Nashville and New York at 7:05 pm et on Sunday. I really like the way this one sets up as a higher-scoring affair than most are expecting on Sunday. 'Over' bettors were stymied by a scoreless third period between the Rangers and Penguins last night - New York's fourth 'under' result in its last five games. Keep in mind, prior to last night's shutout, the Blueshirts had allowed at least two goals in 18 of their previous 19 games. In this back-to-back spot there's obviously a good chance we see backup goaltender Jaro Halak between the pipes on Sunday. The same goes for Predators in goal after Juuse Saros turned in a terrific performance but it wasn't enough in yesterday's 3-2 overtime loss to the Jets. The Preds are reeling right now and perhaps a change of scenery will do them some good. It's worth noting that they haven't suffered any drop-off in offensive production on the road, averaging 2.9 goals per game - identical to their overall scoring average. Meanwhile, the Rangers give up 2.8 goals per game on the campaign but that average bumps up to 3.0 when coming off three or more cosnecutive wins this season, as is the case here. Note that the 'over' is 8-1 with the Preds playing on the road off three or more consecutive 'under' results over the last three seasons, which is the situation here, leading to an average total of 7.1 goals. Take the over (10*). |
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03-18-23 | Jets v. Predators OVER 5.5 | 3-2 | Loss | -105 | 5 h 56 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'over' between Winnipeg and Nashville at 2:05 pm et on Saturday. With both of these teams coming off poor offensive showings last time out (Winnipeg was shut out by Boston and Nashville scored just one goal in a loss to Chicago) I'm anticipating a much higher-scoring affair on Saturday afternoon. Also helping our cause in terms of keeping this total low is the fact that the last two meetings in this series finished with just three goals. Here, we'll note that the 'over' is 8-1 with the Predators coming off consecutive games that totalled four goals or less over the last two seasons, as is the case here, resulting in an average total of 7.3 goals in that situation. The 'over' is also a long-term 65-44 with the Jets coming off a home loss by two goals or more, which is also the situation in this spot. While the 'under' has gone 20-11-3 with the Jets playing on the road this season, their games have averaged 6.0 total goals away from home. Take the over (8*). |
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03-16-23 | Penguins v. Rangers UNDER 6.5 | Top | 2-4 | Win | 100 | 11 h 22 m | Show |
Division Total of the Month. My selection is on the 'under' between Pittsburgh and New York at 7:05 pm et on Thursday. These two teams were just involved in a relatively low-scoring affair on Sunday in Pittsburgh with the Penguins prevailing by a 3-2 score in overtime. That was the second 3-2 result in as many matchups between the two squads this season. Yet here we are working with a total of 6.5 again in Thursday's rematch. That has something to do with the fact that both teams were involved in high-scoring games two nights ago. Pittsburgh dropped an ugly 6-4 decision at home against the Canadiens while the Rangers skated to a 5-3 home win over the Capitals. Here, we'll note that the 'under' is 12-2 with the Pens playing on the road after allowing six or more goals in their previous game over the last two seasons, resulting in an average total of only 4.4 goals in that spot. Meanwhile, the Rangers have posted an 11-22 o/u mark when playing at home after a home victory in which they scored four goals or more over the same stretch, leading to an average total of 5.5 goals in that situation. Take the under (10*). |
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03-15-23 | Islanders v. Ducks UNDER 6 | 6-3 | Loss | -120 | 13 h 15 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'under' between New York and Anaheim at 10:05 pm et on Wednesday.
We got the result we wanted in last night's Islanders game as they fell in a relatively high-scoring affair (5-2 final score) in Los Angeles. That has afforded us a loftier total here as the Islanders look to bounce back from consecutive losses as they take on the lowly Ducks in Anaheim. Note that Anaheim does check in playing better hockey lately, holding seven of its last nine opponents to three goals or less during a 5-4 run. The Ducks are still averaging only 2.6 goals per game on home ice and don't figure to have an easy time of it in this matchup noting they've found the back of the net only four times in the last three meetings in this series. You would have to go back eight matchups between these two teams in Anaheim to find the last time they combined to score more than five goals. With the Isles offense sputtering, having scored more than three goals just four times in their last 11 games and averaging only 2.9 goals per game on the road this season, I expect that streak to remain intact on Wednesday. Take the under (8*). |
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03-15-23 | Wild v. Blues UNDER 6 | 8-5 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 1 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'under' between Minnesota and St. Louis at 9:35 pm et on Wednesday. While the Wild have scored a whopping 13 goals in the first three games of their current four-game road trip, they can't be trusted to produce at that level for an extended stretch, especially with Kirill Kaprizov sidelined. Note that they're just three games removed from scoring three goals or less in eight straight games. Meanwhile, the Blues have scored 12 goals over their last three contests but are also just three games removed from scoring three goals or less in eight of their previous nine games. The 'over' has cashed in their last two contests but we haven't seen three straight Blues games go 'over' the total since mid-January. Keeping in mind, the most recent matchup between these two teams totalled only three goals, we'll confidently back the 'under' on Wednesday. Take the under (8*). |
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03-14-23 | Canadiens v. Penguins UNDER 6.5 | Top | 6-4 | Loss | -100 | 12 h 33 m | Show |
Non-Division Total of the Month. My selection is on the 'under' between Montreal and Pittsburgh at 7:05 pm et on Tuesday. The Canadiens were involved in a wild 8-4 loss at the hands of the Avalanche last night. Everything was going in for Colorado in that contest as it scored three goals on its first six shots alone and was ahead 4-1 at the end of the first period. Keep in mind, the Canadiens had been keeping reasonably under control prior to that contest, having not allowed more than four goals in a game since February 25th against Ottawa. I do expect the Habs to respond with a better defensive performance here. Pittsburgh is coming off consecutive 'under' results, not to mention back-to-back victories at home against the Flyers and Rangers. The Pens are in a bit of a tricky spot here, coming off that big 3-2 overtime win over New York before heading out for consecutive games against the same Rangers at Madison Square Garden. Here, we'll note that the 'under' is 9-2 with Pittsburgh playing at home after scoring three goals or more in consecutive games this season, as is the case here, leading to an average total of only 5.0 goals in that spot. The 'under' is also 23-11 with the Pens playing at home after winning five or six of their last seven games over the last three seasons, which is also the situation here, resulting in an average total of 5.4 goals. The 'over' did cash in the most recent meeting in this series - a 5-4 Habs win on home ice back in November but we've seen only one 'over' streak in this matchup going back to the start of the 2018-19 campaign. Take the under (10*). |
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03-13-23 | Avalanche v. Canadiens UNDER 6.5 | 8-4 | Loss | -111 | 12 h 32 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'under' between Colorado and Montreal at 7:35 pm et on Monday. We're being afforded another 6.5 after cashing the 'under' in Colorado's most recent game - a 3-2 overtime win over the Coyotes on Saturday. The Avs, while known for their offensive prowess, have now posted six 'under' streaks (of two or more games) since the start of January, posting an 11-17-1 o/u mark over that stretch. The Habs showed a spark in February but have since gone back in the tank, losing six straight games while being held to three goals or less in all six contests. They could muster only a single goal in Saturday's home loss to the Devils. Montreal has now dipped below the 3.0 goals per game mark at home this season while Colorado checks in allowing just 2.8 goals per contest on the road. Here, we'll note that the 'under' is a long-term 118-86 with the Avs coming off an overtime win while the 'under' is 31-17 with the Habs seeking revenge for a loss against an opponent in which they scored one goal or less over the last three seasons, as is the case here, resulting in an average total of only 5.6 goals. Take the under (8*). |
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03-12-23 | Senators v. Flames UNDER 6.5 | 1-5 | Win | 100 | 13 h 35 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'under' between Ottawa and Calgary at 9:05 pm et on Sunday. The Senators have now allowed a whopping 14 goals in the first three games of their current road trip, losing two of those three contests. I do look for them to settle things down on Sunday as they face the fading Flames in Calgary. It was another disappointing result for the Flames on Friday as they fell by a 3-1 score at home against the lowly Ducks. Scoring has become a major problem for Calgary as it has tallied one goal or less in four of its last five contests. The Senators took the most recent meeting between these two teams by a 4-3 score in Ottawa back in February. That's notable as the 'under' is 14-5 with Calgary seeking revenge for a loss where the opposition scored at least four goals this season, resulting in an average total of just 5.4 goals in that situation. Take the under (8*). |
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03-11-23 | Coyotes v. Avalanche UNDER 6.5 | Top | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 10 h 18 m | Show |
Central Division Total of the Month. My selection is on the 'under' between Arizona and Colorado at 6:05 pm et on Saturday. The Avalanche are coming off an awful defensive showing in a 5-2 home loss against the red hot Kings on Thursday. A visit from the lowly Coyotes should give them an opportunity to get back on track in that regard on Saturday, noting that Arizona, while coming off back-to-back wins (both at home), has averaged just 2.5 goals per game on the road this season. Since scoring four goals or more in four straight games from February 18th to the 25th, the Avalanche have reached that number only twice in their last six contests. Here, we'll note that the 'under' is an incredible 12-1 with Colorado coming off a home loss this season, resulting in an average total of only 5.3 goals scored in that situation. Take the under (10*). |
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02-25-23 | Penguins v. Blues UNDER 6.5 | Top | 3-2 | Win | 100 | 6 h 26 m | Show |
Non-Conference Total of the Week. My selection is on the 'under' between Pittsburgh and St. Louis at 3:30 pm et on Saturday. I like the way this one sets up as a lower-scoring game than most are expecting with the Penguins coming off a 7-2 beatdown at the hands of the Oilers and the Blues having blown a 2-0 third period lead in a 3-2 overtime loss to the Canucks on Thursday. Blues head coach Craig Berube called out his team following that latest setback - St. Louis' fourth straight loss. Pittsburgh checks in on a four-game losing streak as well. Here, we'll note that the 'under' has gone 11-2 with the Penguins playing on the road after allowing six goals or more in their previous game over the last two seasons, as is the case here, resulting in an average total of just 4.3 goals in that situation. Meanwhile, the 'under' is 9-2 with the Blues playing at home off a one-goal loss at home over the same stretch, leading to an average total of 4.7 goals in that spot. Pittsburgh skated past St. Louis by a 6-2 score in the two teams' lone previous meeting this season. That was played in Pittsburgh, where the Penguins have been a considerably stronger offensive team, back in early December. The last time we saw these teams match up in St. Louis, only five total goals were scored in a one-goal Pens victory last March. Take the under (10*). |
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02-18-23 | Red Wings v. Seattle Kraken UNDER 6.5 | 2-4 | Win | 100 | 25 h 17 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'under' between Detroit and Seattle at 10:35 pm et on Saturday. The Red Wings have scored a whopping 16 goals in their first three games on their current road trip. I don't expect them to have an easy time scoring as their western road swing continues in Seattle on Saturday, however. The Kraken have held eight of their last 11 opponents to three goals or less. Seattle has scored 12 goals over its last three contests but will be up against a Red Wings squad that has allowed three goals or less in nine of its last 11 games overall. Here, we'll note that the 'under' is 35-21 with Detroit coming off a game in which it scored four goals or more over the last three seasons, resulting in an average total of 5.6 goals. The 'under' is also 10-2 with the Kraken coming off a game that totalled eight goals or more this season, as is the case here. Take the under (8*). |
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02-17-23 | Stars v. Wild OVER 5.5 | Top | 1-2 | Loss | -108 | 13 h 49 m | Show |
Central Division Total of the Year. My selection is on the 'over' between Dallas and Minnesota at 8:05 pm et on Friday. With the 'under' having cashed in each of the Stars last nine games and seven of the Wild's last eight games overall, we're starting to see adjustments from the oddsmakers with a 5.5 popping up for the third time in Dallas' last four games and for the first time in the last four games for Minnesota (the last time it did the Wild produced their most recent 'over' result). We'll go the contrarian route here as I feel this game is well-positioned to be higher-scoring than expected. Note that the Stars are operating with a small margin for error defensively right now, having allowed 34, 39, 31 and 37 shots on goal over their last four contests. The Wild had allowed 30 or more shots on goal in seven of their last eight games before holding Colorado to only 19 on Wednesday. In that contest, Minnesota flipped the script, firing 43 shots on goal but quite simply ran into a hot goaltender. Here, we'll note that the 'over' is a perfect 8-0 with the Stars coming off five or six loses in their last seven games over the last two seasons, as is the case here, with that situation producing an average total of 7.9 goals. Meanwhile, the 'over' is a perfect 9-0 with the Wild playing at home off a one-goal defeat against a division opponent, which is also the situation here, resulting in an average total of 8.6 goals in that spot. While both teams boast hot goaltenders, I don't mind the matchup here. Stars starting netminder Jake Oettinger is having a terrific season but the Wild managed to score five goals against him just two months ago. Wild goaltender Filip Gustavsson has arguably been better than supposed number-one Marc-Andre Fleury this season but the last time the Stars saw him between the pipes they scored three goals against him (before adding an empty-netter) earlier this month. Fleury has posted a less-than-impressive .881 save percentage over his last four games. Take the over (10*). |
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02-16-23 | Flyers v. Seattle Kraken UNDER 6 | Top | 2-6 | Loss | -110 | 16 h 40 m | Show |
Non-Conference Total of the Week. My selection is on the 'under' between Philadelphia and Seattle at 10:05 pm et on Thursday. We got the result we wanted in this same matchup on Sunday afternoon as the two teams combined to score seven goals in a Kraken road victory. I won't hesitate to back the 'under' as the scene shifts to Seattle for Thursday's rematch. Note that Kraken home games have been considerably lower-scoring than their road affairs. While their road tilts have averaged north of 7.0 goals per contest, their home games have produced an average total of only 6.0 goals with the 'under' cashing at a 16-9-1 clip. Goals haven't been easy to come by for the Flyers over the last month or so. Going back to January 19th they've scored four goals in a game only once (in a game that totalled just four goals), three goals three times and two goals or less on six occasions. It's a similar story for Seattle. It has produced four goals or more three times since January 16th, three goals twice and two goals or less in seven contests. Here, we'll note that the 'under' is 10-3 with the Flyers playing on the road off an 'over' result this season, leading to an average total of 5.2 goals in that situation. Meanwhile, the 'under' is 8-2 with the Kraken coming off a one-goal loss this season, which is the case here, producing an average total of 5.6 goals in that spot. Take the under (10*). |
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02-14-23 | Hurricanes v. Capitals OVER 6 | Top | 3-2 | Loss | -100 | 10 h 44 m | Show |
My selection is on the 'over' between Carolina and Washington at 7:05 pm et on Tuesday. UPDATE: Alex Ovechkin has been ruled OUT for the Capitals. While that obviously makes me a little less confident in the play, I still like the price and the situation. The first meeting between these two teams this season was a relatively low-scoring affair as the Hurricanes skated to a 3-2 home victory on Halloween Night. It's worth noting that we haven't seen consecutive matchups between the Canes and Capitals stay 'under' the total since a playoff series back in 2019. Here, I'm anticipating a high-scoring affair. Both teams are coming off poor showings offensively. The Canes dropped a 6-2 decision on home ice against the Rangers on Saturday while the Capitals fell by a 4-1 score at home against the Sharks on Sunday. Note that the 'over' is 12-4 with Carolina coming off six or seven wins in its last eight games over the last two seasons, as is the case here, resulting in an average total of 6.8 goals in that spot. Meanwhile, the 'over' is 34-18 with Washington seeking revenge for a loss against an opponent over the same stretch, leading to an average total of 6.6 goals in that situation. Take the over (10*). |
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02-11-23 | Rangers v. Hurricanes UNDER 6.5 | 6-2 | Loss | -125 | 11 h 17 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'under' between New York and Carolina at 7:05 pm et on Saturday. We missed with the 'under' in the Rangers high-scoring victory over the Kraken last night but I won't hesitate to go back to the well with the same play here. New York has now seen a season-high three straight games go 'over' the total, which is affording us a fairly generous total on Saturday in Carolina. Note that the 'under' is 21-10 with the Rangers playing on the road after scoring four goals or more in a home victory over the last two seasons, as is the case here, leading to an average total of 5.5 goals in that spot. Meanwhile, the Hurricanes will be playing for the first time in 10 days following an extended All-Star break. The 'under' is 29-17 with the Canes playing on home ice off a win over the last two seasons, which is the situation here, resulting in an average total of 5.4 goals. Finally, we'll note that the Rangers give up just 2.3 goals per game on the road this season while the Canes have held the opposition to 2.7 goals per contest at home. Expect goals to come at a premium on Saturday night in Raleigh. Take the under (8*). |
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02-10-23 | Seattle Kraken v. Rangers UNDER 6 | Top | 3-6 | Loss | -100 | 13 h 58 m | Show |
Non-Conference Total of the Year. My selection is on the 'under' between Seattle and New York at 7:05 pm et on Friday. We've seen consecutive Rangers home games go easily 'over' the total since the All-Star break, with New York securing one-goal victories over Calgary and Vancouver earlier this week. Here, I think we're well-positioned for a lower-scoring affair as the Blueshirts host the struggling Kraken. New York has scored nine goals (eight in regulation time) in its last two contests but I'm not sure that type of offensive production is sustainable, noting that it is still averaging just 3.0 goals per game on home ice this season. Save for a six-goal outburst against the Canucks on January 25th, Seattle has had a tough time finding the back of the net lately, held to three goals or less in seven of its last nine games and two goals or less in six of those contests. This doesn't figure to be an ideal breakout spot given the Kraken have scored just six goals in three all-time meetings with the Rangers. In fact, all three previous matchups between these non-conference foes have produced five total goals or fewer including a 3-2 Kraken victory on home ice earlier this season. Note that the 'under' is 15-5 with the Rangers playing at home after scoring three goals or more in three straight games over the last three seasons with that spot producing an average total of just 5.2 goals. The 'under' is also 23-12 with New York playing at home after winning four of its last five contests over the last two seasons, as is the case here, leading to an average total of only 5.3 goals in that situation. Finally, the 'under' has cashed all five times the Rangers have come off consecutive 'over' results this season. Take the under (10*). |
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01-28-23 | Golden Knights v. Islanders OVER 6 | 1-2 | Loss | -100 | 12 h 44 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'over' between Vegas and New York at 7:35 pm et on Saturday. Both of these teams were involved in relatively low-scoring affairs last night with the Golden Knights dropping a 4-1 decision to the Rangers in Manhattan and the Islanders skating to a 2-0 win over the Red Wings here on Long Island. I expect a much higher-scoring game to play out as the two teams match up on Saturday. Note that the 'over' is 10-2 with the Knights seeking revenge for a loss by three goals or more against an opponent over the last two seasons with that situation producing an average total of 7.3 goals (the Isles defeated the Knights 5-2 in Las Vegas earlier this season). The 'over' has gone 11-3 with the Islanders having lost four of their last five games over the last two seasons, leading to an average total of 6.6 goals in that spot. The last time these two teams met on Long Island last season, they combined to score seven goals. I expect more of the same here. Take the over (8*). |
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01-28-23 | Canadiens v. Senators UNDER 6.5 | 0-5 | Win | 100 | 11 h 27 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'under' between Montreal and Ottawa at 7:05 pm et on Saturday. The Senators exploded for six goals in an upset win over the Maple Leafs in Toronto last night. Keep in mind, they had been held to a grand total of four goals over their previous three contests. They haven't posted consecutive 'over' results since January 12th and 14th. Montreal is coming off a high-scoring game of its own as it fell by a 4-3 score in overtime against Detroit on Thursday (we won with the 'over' in that game). We can expect them to go back to Sam Montembault between the pipes on Saturday and that should bode well as he's posted a .912 save percentage over his last four starts with the 'under' going 2-1-1 in those four contests. Here, we'll note that the 'under' is a long-term 37-17 with the Canadiens playing on the road off consecutive home losses. The 'under' has also gone 23-13 with the Senators playing at home against a division opponent over the last two seasons. Take the under (8*). |
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01-27-23 | Golden Knights v. Rangers OVER 6 | 1-4 | Loss | -100 | 8 h 9 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'over' between Vegas and New York at 7:05 pm et on Friday. I like the way this one sets up as a higher scoring contest than most are expecting on Friday in Manhattan. The Golden Knights check in off consecutive losses to open their current road trip. In those two games they could muster only three goals against the Coyotes and Devils. Still, this is a team that averages an impressive 3.7 goals per game on the road this season, where it has posted a 15-7 record. The Rangers took the first meeting between these two teams this season by a 5-1 score in Las Vegas back in early December. That's notable as the 'over' has gone a perfect 6-0 with Vegas seeking revenge for a home loss by two goals or more over the last two seasons, resulting in an average total of 7.4 goals in that situation. The 'over' is also a long-term 17-6 with the Golden Knights having lost six or seven of their last eight games, as is the case here, leading to 7.1 total goals on average in that spot. The Rangers held a 2-1 lead until the final five minutes of the third period in Toronto two nights ago but ultimately gave up the tying goal and then the winner in overtime in a 3-2 setback. Here, we'll note that the 'over' is 15-6 with the Rangers returning home off a road loss over the last three seasons, good for an average total of 7.0 goals scored in that situation. New York knows it can't just sit on a lead again the way it did in Toronto two nights ago. Expect a more aggressive gameplan from the Blueshirts as they look to head into an extended All-Star break on a high note. Take the over (8*). |
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01-26-23 | Red Wings v. Canadiens OVER 6 | 4-3 | Win | 100 | 13 h 48 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'over' between Detroit and Montreal at 7:05 pm et on Thursday. The Canadiens sat back and defended, waiting for the Bruins to make a mistake and perhaps open up a scoring opportunity on Tuesday night (they ended up with only 22 shots on goal). The strategy worked well for the first two periods but Montreal ultimately fell by a 4-2 score. Here, I expect the Habs to employ a different strategy against a Red Wings squad that checks in allowing 3.8 goals per game on the road this season. Detroit has been stuck in the mud offensively, scoring three goals or less in six straight games. I do see this as an excellent opportunity to break out against a Montreal team that gives up 3.7 goals per contest on home ice. Yes, the Habs are missing a number of key contributors up front, leaving them in tough offensively but as we saw against the Bruins, guys like Nick Suzuki and Kirby Dach are more than capable of generating scoring chances and here, they'll have the benefit of facing a more beatable goaltender in Ville Husso (.897 save percentage in 11 road games this season) than they saw in standout Bruins netminder Jeremy Swayman two nights ago. Take the over (8*). |
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01-24-23 | Bruins v. Canadiens OVER 6 | Top | 4-2 | Push | 0 | 11 h 0 m | Show |
Atlantic Division Total of the Month. My selection is on the 'over' between Boston and Montreal at 7:05 pm et on Tuesday. The talk in Montreal these days is more about who's not playing than who is. The Canadiens are as beaten up as any team in the league right now injury-wise, but continue to battle hard, as evidenced by Saturday's come-from-behind 3-2 overtime win over the Maple Leafs. Here, they'll face another tough test at home against the Bruins in what will be the first meeting between these division rivals this season. Boston enters having allowed just two goals over its last four games, all victories. It posted a 4-0 shutout win over the Sharks on Sunday and that's notable as it has gone 4-9, allowing an average of 3.5 goals (good for a total of 6.7 goals) when coming off a shutout win over the last three seasons. Also note that the 'over' is a perfect 6-0 with Boston playing on the road coming off four straight wins by two goals or more over the last three seasons, as is the case here, resulting in an average total of 7.5 goals in that spot. The Bruins saw Canadiens goaltender Sam Montembault twice last season, scoring four goals on him on each occasion (they added an empty-netter for good measure in both games as well). Take the over (10*). |
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01-22-23 | Jets v. Flyers OVER 6.5 | 5-3 | Win | 107 | 10 h 16 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'over' between Winnipeg and Philadelphia at 7:05 pm et on Sunday. We saw a bit of a 'slingshot' effect from the Jets offensively last night as they rebounded after being held to a single goal in consecutive games (both losses) in Montreal and Toronto with a five-goal outburst in Ottawa last night. I expect a similar situation to unfold regarding the Flyers here after they were limited to just three goals in their last two contests against the Blackhawks and Red Wings. Note that Philadelphia is averaging 2.9 goals per game on home ice this season and is likely to catch Jets backup goaltender David Rittich on Sunday, noting that he represents a considerable drop-off in talent from regular starter Connor Hellebuyck, who is a Vezina Trophy candidate (and former winner). Likewise, the Jets will likely see the Flyers backup goaltender Felix Sandstrom after Carter Hart started last night's game. Sandstrom owns a less-than-impressive .888 save percentage in eight games this season. Here, we'll note that the 'over' is 7-1 with the Flyers coming off consecutive 'under' results this season, as is the case here, leading to an average total of 7.7 goals in that spot. The 'under' is also 18-8 with Philadelphia coming off a game that totalled three goals or less over the last three seasons, resulting in an average total of 6.9 goals in that situation. Take the over (8*). |
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01-18-23 | Bruins v. Islanders UNDER 5.5 | Top | 4-1 | Win | 105 | 11 h 26 m | Show |
Eastern Conference Total of the Year. My selection is on the 'under' between Boston and New York at 7:35 pm et on Wednesday. The Bruins exploded for six goals in Monday's easy shutout win over the Flyers. I do expect them to find the going a little tougher on Wednesday as they travel to Long Island, where they've scored a grand total of 12 goals in their last nine trips. New York is coming off a 4-3 overtime loss against Washington on Monday (we won with the Capitals in that game), blowing a 3-0 lead in that contest. The Isles are still giving up just 2.3 goals per game on home ice this season and the 'under' is a perfect 6-0 when they play at home off a loss against a division opponent over the last two seasons, resulting in an average total of only 3.8 goals in that spot. The 'under' is also 20-9 with New York at home off a loss in which it allowed four goals or more over the last three seasons, leading to an average total of 4.8 goals in that situation. In the lone previous meeting between these two teams this season Boston won 4-3 in a shootout. It's worth noting that Jake Debrusk scored two goals and added an assist for the B's in that victory. He's currently sidelined with a leg injury. Take the under (10*). |
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01-14-23 | Canadiens v. Islanders OVER 5.5 | 1-2 | Loss | -120 | 9 h 16 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'over' between Montreal and New York at 7:05 pm et on Saturday. Fairly straight-forward play here as I believe this total will prove too low with the Habs visiting the Islanders on Saturday. We should see something of a 'sling-shot' effect in terms of the Isles as they bust out after getting held down by two terrific defensive opponents in the Stars and Wild to open this homestand. With that being said, I don't have a lot of trust in the Isles to make things easy on themselves here, and that should lead to some scoring opportunities for the Habs. Montreal has sandwiched five and four-goal performances against the Blues and Predators around a shutout loss against the Kraken over the last week. The Habs haven't suffered much of a drop-off in offensive production on the road this season, averaging 2.6 goals per contest. The bad news, they're allowing a whopping 3.7 goals per game in a visitor's role. New York has scored just five goals during its four-game losing streak but is well-positioned to bounce back here, noting that it averages 3.0 goals per game on home ice this season. Take the over (8*). |
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01-06-23 | Islanders v. Flames OVER 5.5 | Top | 1-4 | Loss | -113 | 13 h 23 m | Show |
Total of the Month. My selection is on the 'over' between New York and Calgary at 9:05 pm et on Friday. The Flames are in uncharted territory from an o/u perspective, having seen the 'under' cash in five straight games - their longest such streak over the last 2+ seasons. The 'over' has gone 5-1 on the six occasions where their 'under' run reached four games over the last three campaigns, with that lone 'under' result coming in their most recent game in Winnipeg two nights ago (we won with the Jets in that contest). The 'under' has cashed in two of the Islanders first three games on their current road trip (we've successfully faded them in Seattle and Edmonton). Off a loss to the Oilers last night I do expect a better effort from the Isles here and it's worth noting that they've scored 6, 5, 5, 5, 2 and 6 goals. All three meetings between these two teams going back to last season have totalled exactly seven goals. You would have to go back six meetings here in Calgary - all the way to 2016 - to find the last time a game finished with fewer than six total goals. Take the over (10*). |
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01-02-23 | Golden Knights v. Avalanche UNDER 6.5 | 3-2 | Win | 100 | 24 h 9 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'under' between Vegas and Colorado at 9:05 pm et on Monday. Both of these teams are coming off high-scoring results on Saturday as Vegas prevailed by a 5-4 score in a wild one against Nashville while Colorado welcomed Nathan MacKinnon back from injury but dropped a 6-2 decision against Toronto. Here, I'm anticipating a much lower-scoring affair as the 'under' has gone 19-9 with Vegas playing on the road after scoring five or more goals in their previous game over the last two seasons, resulting in an average total of 5.6 goals in that situation. Meanwhile, the 'under' is a perfect 7-0 with the Avs coming off a home loss this season, leading to an average total of only 4.6 goals in that spot. We'll also note that the 'under' has cashed in 13 of 18 meetings between these two teams over the last three seasons, including a 3-2 Avs victory in the first matchup this season. Take the under (8*). |
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12-31-22 | Predators v. Golden Knights UNDER 6 | 4-5 | Loss | -100 | 7 h 56 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'under' between Nashville and Vegas at 3:05 pm et on Saturday. The Predators exploded for six goals in a rout of the lowly Ducks last night in Anaheim but I expect a different story to unfold as they head to Las Vegas to take on the Golden Knights in a New Year's Eve matinee affair on Saturday. Keep in mind, the Preds average only 2.7 goals per game on the road this season. Golden Knights home games have been remarkably low-scoring to date this season, averaging only 5.2 total goals per contest. We'll likely see Nashville backup goaltender Kevin Lankinen get the start in the crease in this back-to-back spot but that's not necessarily a bad thing as he has performed well this season, posting a .925 save percentage in nine games. The Knights should go back to Logan Thompson between the pipes after Adin Hill started their most recent game. Thompson has recorded a .916 save percentage on the campaign. Take the under (8*). |
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12-23-22 | Jets v. Capitals OVER 6 | 1-4 | Loss | -102 | 8 h 23 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'over' between Winnipeg and Washington at 7:05 pm et on Friday. I like the chances of a high-scoring affair developing on Friday night in Washington as both of these teams are well-positioned for offensive breakouts after getting held down last night. Winnipeg dropped a 3-2 decision in Boston last night. Note that the Jets have scored 4, 1, 4, 3, 3, 4, 5, 5, 5, 2 and 5 goals off a loss this season - pretty good in other words. The Capitals won in overtime in Ottawa last night and have seen the 'over' go 25-10 after winning four of their last five games over the last three seasons, as is the case here, resulting in an average total of 6.7 goals in that situation. All three meetings between these two teams last season saw exactly seven total goals scored. Take the over (8*). |
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12-17-22 | Islanders v. Golden Knights UNDER 6 | Top | 5-2 | Loss | -115 | 14 h 39 m | Show |
Total of the Week. My selection is on the 'under' between New York and Vegas at 10:05 pm et on Saturday. We won with the 'over' in the Islanders 4-3 loss in Boston earlier this week but I won't hesitate to switch gears and back the 'under' as they look to snap their three-game skid in Las Vegas on Saturday. Note that the 'over' has cashed in each of the Isles last two games. That's notable as the 'under' has gone 26-9 with the Isles coming off consecutive 'over' results over the last three seasons, leading to an average total of just 4.4 goals in that spot. The 'under' is also 14-5 with New York playing on the road off consecutive games that totalled seven goals or more over the last two seasons, resulting in an average total of 4.7 goals in that situation. It's a similar story for the Golden Knights as they've posted a 10-21 o/u mark when coming off a road win by two goals or more over the last three seasons, as is the case here, with an average total of only 5.1 goals scored in that spot. In fact, the 'under' is 11-1-3 in the Knights 15 home games to date this season, averaging just 4.7 total goals per contest. Take the under (10*). |
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12-13-22 | Capitals v. Blackhawks OVER 6 | 7-3 | Win | 100 | 13 h 57 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'over' between Washington and Chicago at 9:05 pm et on Wednesday. We'll take the contrarian route here as the Blackhawks enter Wednesday's game off three consecutive 'under' results, scoring a grand total of just one goal along the way. Enter the Capitals, who have allowed 3.2 goals per game on the road this season and are in a prime letdown spot with the 'over' having gone 9-1 when coming off consecutive wins by two goals or more over the last two seasons, allowing 4.0 goals per game and resulting in an average total of 7.7 goals in that situation. Likewise, the 'over' is 20-9 with the Blackhawks coming off a home loss by two goals or more over the last three seasons, leading to an average total of 7.0 goals in that spot. Last year's two matchups between these non-conference foes resulted in seven and nine total goals. Take the over (8*). |
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12-13-22 | Islanders v. Bruins OVER 5.5 | Top | 3-4 | Win | 100 | 11 h 26 m | Show |
Eastern Conference Total of the Month. My selection is on the 'over' between New York and Boston at 7:05 pm et on Tuesday. While last season's three meetings between these two teams included two 'under' results, this is actually a surprisingly strong 'over' spot on Tuesday night in Beantown. Here, we'll note that the 'over' is 16-8 with the Isles coming off an 'under' result over the last two seasons, resulting in an average total of 6.4 goals. Likewise, the 'over' is 17-9 with New York coming off four or five losses in its last six games, as is the case here, over the same stretch, leading to an average total of 6.3 goals. Even better still, the 'over' is 8-1 in the Isles last nine games off a home loss, good for an average total of 7.6 goals in that spot. Meanwhile, the Bruins have had a tendency to let down their guard off big road wins, with the 'over' going 21-9 in their last 30 games following a road victory by two goals or more, leading to an average total of 6.6 goals. The 'over' is also 18-8 in Boston's last 26 contests after holding its last opponent to one goal or less, resulting in an average total of 6.5 goals. Take the over (10*). |
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12-10-22 | Hurricanes v. Islanders UNDER 6 | 3-0 | Win | 100 | 12 h 43 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'under' between Carolina and New York at 7:35 pm et on Saturday. We'll back the 'under' on Long Island on Saturday as the Hurricanes continue their long road trip against the Islanders. Here, we'll note that the 'under' is 17-7 with the Canes seeking revenge for a home loss against an opponent over the last three seasons, as is the case here, leading to an average total of just 4.7 goals. The 'under' is also 20-7 with the Isles coming off consecutive games that totalled seven goals or more, which is also the situation here, over the same stretch, resulting in an average total of only 4.4 goals in that spot. Take the under (8*). |
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12-06-22 | Kings v. Senators UNDER 6.5 | Top | 5-2 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 40 m | Show |
Non-Conference Total of the Month. My selection is on the 'under' between Los Angeles and Ottawa at 7:05 pm et on Tuesday. These two teams have met three times since the start of last season, including a 3-2 Senators victory in Los Angeles just over a week ago. Of those three games, only one came all that close to going 'over' the total and that was thanks only to an empty-net goal from the Kings in a 4-2 win last season. The lone matchup between them here in Ottawa since the start of last season resulted in a 2-0 Los Angeles victory. The Sens did explode for five goals in their most recent contest but that came against the lowly Sharks. In fact, the only other occasion where Ottawa scored more than three goals over its last eight games came against another of the league's worst teams in the Ducks. Los Angeles will undoubtedly be looking to tighten things up here off a 1-3 homestand. Noting that the 'under' is 25-13 with an average total of just 5.5 goals scored when the Sens play at home after their previous contest totalled seven or more goals, we'll confidently back the 'under' here. Take the under (10*). |
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11-30-22 | Rangers v. Senators UNDER 6.5 | Top | 3-1 | Win | 100 | 11 h 1 m | Show |
Eastern Conference Total of the Month. My selection is on the 'under' between New York and Ottawa at 7:05 pm et on Wednesday. The Rangers are reeling off three straight losses and we've successfully faded them in their last two contests as they blew a 3-0 third period lead in a 4-3 loss to the Oilers and a 2-0 first period lead in a 5-3 defeat at the hands of the Devils, with both games coming at home. Here, they'll obviously be looking to tighten things up and I do think they benefit from stepping down in class after facing the first-place Devils on Monday to take on the second-last (in the Eastern Conference) Senators on Wednesday. Ottawa does check in off consecutive wins out west but now faces the tough 'first game back off a long road trip' situation, noting that New York has been much tougher defensively on the road compared to at home this season, allowing just 2.6 goals per game. Here, we'll note that the 'under' is 24-11 with the Rangers coming off a home loss over the last two seasons and better still, the 'under' is 13-2 when that home defeat came by two goals or more, as is the case here. That latter situation has produced an average total of just 4.8 goals. All three of last season's matchups between these two teams totalled six goals or less with the two games played here in Ottawa reaching only five and three total goals. Take the under (10*). |
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11-22-22 | Rangers v. Kings UNDER 6 | 5-3 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 4 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'under' between New York and Los Angeles at 10:35 pm et on Tuesday. While we don't see many totals set at 5.5 these days, if there were a game where it might be warranted, this is it. The Rangers have seen their last four games stay 'under' the total. Since exploding for eight goals in a victory in Detroit on November 10th, they've managed to score only nine goals in four games since. Defensively, they yielded 12 goals over a three-game stretch from November 3rd to 8th but have allowed only nine goals in five games since. It's a similar story for the Kings. They scored nine goals in a two-game stretch from November 12th to 14th but have managed to find the back of the net only six times in three games since. They haven't been quite as airtight as the Rangers defensively but have limited the opposition to less than 3.0 goals per game on home ice this season which is an accomplishment by today's NHL standards. Here, we'll note that the 'under' is 24-10 with New York playing on the road following a game that totalled four goals or less while the 'under' has gone 31-16 with the Kings playing at home following consecutive losses against division opponents. Take the under (8*). |
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11-16-22 | Kings v. Oilers OVER 6.5 | Top | 3-1 | Loss | -125 | 15 h 49 m | Show |
Pacific Division Total of the Month. My selection is on the 'over' between Los Angeles and Edmonton at 10:05 pm et on Wednesday. These aren't the same Kings we've become accustomed to seeing in recent years. Previous Los Angeles' clubs wouldn't have been able to sniff out a comeback in a game like Monday's in Calgary. In that contest, the Kings fell behind 5-2 and 6-3 but ultimately rallied for a narrow 6-5 defeat, coming one near-miss from tying the game in the closing minute. Los Angeles has now scored nine goals over its last two contests and checks in averaging 3.7 goals per game (an average total of 7.8 goals) on the road this season. The Oilers are back home following a three-game road trip that saw them win two games. They're averaging 3.8 goals per game on home ice this season but also allowing an average of 3.8. Noting that the 'over' is 15-5 the last 20 times the Oilers have come off a win by 2+ goals, as is the case here, with that situation averaging a total of 7.4 goals, we'll confidently back the 'over' in Oil Country on Thursday. Take the over (10*). |