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Sean Murphy NHL Totals Picks
Date Match Up Rating Score Result Profit Lead Time Analysis
06-17-25 Oilers v. Panthers UNDER 6.5 Top 1-5 Win 100 13 h 38 m Show

Total of the Week. My selection is on the 'under' between Edmonton and Florida at 8 pm et on Tuesday.

Game 5 of this series had no business getting 'over' the total but for the fifth straight time in this series, it did, and now the Oilers are on the brink of falling short of their goal once again, down 3-2 in the series against the defending Stanley Cup champion Panthers. We'll call for a lower-scoring contest (finally) in Game 6 on Tuesday. Note that Edmonton has allowed fewer goals per game, albeit slightly, on the road compared to at home this season while also producing fewer gpg. Oddly enough it's the same story for the Panthers at home. Edmonton is in uncharted territory right now as it comes off six straight 'over' results - it's longest such streak of the season (it's previous high was five and that was followed by a five-game 'under' streak). The Panthers have also seen six straight games go 'over' the total and that matches their longest streak of the campaign. Take the under (10*).

06-12-25 Oilers v. Panthers UNDER 6.5 5-4 Loss -118 58 h 55 m Show

My selection is on the 'under' between Edmonton and Florida at 8 pm et on Thursday.

I really like the way this play sets up on Thursday after the first three games in this series all went 'over' the total. After giving up six goals in a blowout loss in Game 3 and facing what is close to a 'must win' situation in Game 4, I look for the Oilers to respond defensively. Keep in mind, they've held opponents to just 2.9 goals per game on the road this season, with the 'under' going 27-23-1. The Panthers were stingy in Game 3 and that's about par for the course here at home where they've allowed just 2.4 goals per game this season. From my perspective, Panthers all-world goaltender Sergei Bobrovsky once again looks like he's rounding into form - at precisely the right time. I don't expect anything to come easy for Edmonton here. Take the under (8*).

06-06-25 Panthers v. Oilers UNDER 6.5 Top 5-4 Loss -123 34 h 20 m Show

Stanley Cup Final Total of the Year. My selection is on the 'under' between Florida and Edmonton at 8 pm et on Thursday.

Game 1 of this series was as high-octane and eventful as most expected as the Oilers rallied from a 3-1 second period deficit to win 4-3 in overtime. I don't think either team is interested in a carbon copy of that affair in Game 2 on Friday. Credit the two goaltenders in the series-opener as despite the seven total goals they both played well (the two teams combined to fire 78 shots on goal). While the 'over' has cashed in the Oilers last two games they haven't seen three straight games go 'over' the total since a four-game 'over' streak to open the postseason against the Kings in late April. While both teams are known for their offensive prowess, we've seen the Panthers hold the opposition to just 2.8 goals per game on the road and the Oilers limit their foes to 2.9 goals per contest on home ice. We'll call for this series to take a more defensive tone in Game 2 on Friday. Take the under (10*).

05-26-25 Hurricanes v. Panthers UNDER 5.5 Top 3-0 Win 100 35 h 11 m Show

Eastern Conference Final Total of the Year. My selection is on the 'under' between Carolina and Florida at 8 pm et on Monday.

The Panthers have scored five goals or more in four straight games - their longest such streak of the season - and they'll look to close out the Hurricanes in a sweep on Monday. If Carolina is to have any hope of extending this series it will need to make Monday's game as ugly as possible - hearkening back to the style it employed last round against Washington (its three road wins in that series totalled 3, 4 and 4 goals). While Saturday's game totalled eight goals, the two teams combined to fire just 53 shots on goal. Remember, in Game 2 we saw only 38 shots on goal in the Panthers 5-0 victory. Florida has been elite defensively on home ice this season, holding opponents to just 2.4 goals per game. Meanwhile, Carolina has suffered a significant drop-off in its offensive production away from home where it averages just 2.7 goals per game (compared to its 3.2 goals per game overall scoring average). I'm expecting a 'first to three goals wins' type of affair on Monday. Take the under (10*).

05-23-25 Oilers v. Stars UNDER 6.5 Top 3-0 Win 100 32 h 53 m Show

Western Conference Final Total of the Year. My selection is on the 'under' between Edmonton and Dallas at 8 pm et on Friday.

The Oilers appeared to have Game 1 under control entering the third period as they were up 3-1 before the Stars exploded for five unanswered goals. I think we'll see Edmonton tighten things up considerably in Game 2 on Friday, keeping in mind that it has been a far better defensive team than most give it credit for as a whole this season, checking in allowing 2.9 goals per game with no drop-off at all away from home. For their part, the Stars have been a force defensively on home ice all season, allowing just 2.4 goals per game at American Airlines Center. Dallas knows if won't be gifted the same type of collapse from Edmonton in Game 2. Keep in mind, prior to Wednesday's series-opener, the Oilers were on a two-game 'under' streak while the Stars had seen three straight contests stay 'under' the total. Look for a return to form from both sides defensively on Friday. Take the under (10*).

05-20-25 Panthers v. Hurricanes UNDER 5.5 5-2 Loss -123 12 h 50 m Show

My selection is on the 'under' between Florida and Carolina at 8 pm et on Tuesday.

The Panthers have had an incredibly high-scoring postseason to date with the 'over' going 9-3 in their first 12 games. I expect a shift as they enter the Eastern Conference Final against the Hurricanes. Carolina checks in allowing just 2.4 goals per game on home ice this season and has the considerable rest advantage having not played since May 15th's series-clinching win over the Capitals. The Canes allowed a grand total of just seven goals in that 4-1 series victory. Of note, the Panthers did ratchet up the defensive intensity as the series went on against Toronto, allowing only four goals over the final four games. Goaltender Sergei Bobrovsky appears to be back in top form as this series begins. Expect goals to come at a premium in what promises to be a tightly-contested series-opener. Take the under (8*).

05-18-25 Panthers v. Maple Leafs UNDER 5.5 Top 6-1 Loss -143 34 h 28 m Show

Atlantic Division Total of the Month. My selection is on the 'under' between Florida and Toronto at 7:30 pm et on Sunday.

The knee-jerk reaction might be to call for a bounce-back offensive performance from the Panthers after they were shut out in Game 6 of this series on Friday. However, it's worth noting that Florida has been shut out in consecutive games on two different occasions this season and was held to a single goal when coming off a shutout in another spot. In other words, a big offensive bounce-back is by no means guaranteed.

On the flip side, the pressure on Toronto in this game is immense. The Maple Leafs are back home but the jury is out on whether that's a positive or a negative considering they were blasted 6-1 in a critical Game 5 situation on home ice earlier this week.

Scoring chances were few-and-far-between in Game 6 with the two teams combining for just 39 shots on goal with many of those being low-danger opportunities. I don't see things opening up in Game 7 on Sunday.

Special teams play a factor as well. Note that the Panthers power play has struggled since opening the series going 2-for-5 across Games 1 and 2. Since then, the Cats PP has converted on only two of 27 opportunities. Meanwhile, the Leafs are a woeful 2-for-20 with the man advantage in this series. Expect goals to come at a premium on Sunday. Take the under (10*).

05-17-25 Jets v. Stars OVER 5.5 Top 1-2 Loss -108 36 h 55 m Show

Second Round Total of the Year. My selection is on the 'over' between Winnipeg and Dallas at 8 pm et on Saturday.

We've seen consecutive low-scoring affairs in this series and four of the first five games have stayed 'under' the total. We'll take the contrarian route ahead of Saturday's Game 6 and call for a much higher-scoring contest as the Stars try again to close out the Jets.

While the Stars were shut out in Game 5, we're likely to see a much different story unfold as the scene shifts back to Dallas on Saturday. Note that the Stars have averaged 3.5 goals per game on home ice this season while the Jets allow 2.9 goals per contest on the road.

I do think Winnipeg can help this total along, noting that it hasn't suffered much of a drop-off at all in offensive production on the road this season, averaging 3.2 goals per game (compared to its 3.3 goals per game season scoring average). We saw plenty of fight from the Jets facing elimination in Game 5 as they skated to a 4-0 win on home ice. Scoring hasn't necessarily been their problem when things have gone bad in these playoffs - they've been held to fewer than two goals only twice and have scored four or more goals in five of 12 games to date (including in both previous games when facing elimination). Keeping the puck out of their own net, particularly on the road, has been a glaring issue as they've given up 7, 5, 5, 5 and 3 goals in their five playoff road games to date.

Since being held to one goal in their playoff opener on home ice, the Stars have produced 4, 6, 4, 5 and 3 goals in their last four home contests. Take the over (10*).

05-08-25 Hurricanes v. Capitals OVER 5.5 1-3 Loss -112 10 h 7 m Show

My selection is on the over between Carolina and Washington at 7 pm ET on Thursday.

Game 1 was a tight, defensive battle that ended 2-1 in overtime in favor of the Hurricanes. However, I expect a much different pace in Game 2, particularly with the Capitals at home in a critical spot. Washington has been a significantly more aggressive offensive team on home ice, where they've averaged 3.6 goals per game and have seen their games total an average of 6.4 goals.

Carolina has not been as stingy defensively on the road, surrendering an average of 3.1 goals per contest away from home. Given their road splits (18-21-5), they're more vulnerable in hostile environments, and the Caps should be able to open things up offensively.

It’s also worth noting that while both teams have seen some lower-scoring results of late, Washington hasn’t gone under the total in more than two straight games since January — suggesting scoring is likely to rebound here. Add in the desperation factor for the Caps and a potentially looser style from both sides, and we have a solid recipe for goals.

Take the over. Projected score: Capitals 4, Hurricanes 3.

05-03-25 Avalanche v. Stars UNDER 5.5 Top 2-4 Loss -108 32 h 42 m Show

Central Division Total of the Month. My selection is on the 'under' between Colorado and Dallas at 8 pm et on Saturday.

After back-to-back high-scoring affairs — with the last two games in this series producing 8 and 11 total goals — we're likely to see a hard reset in Game 7. These teams know each other well, and the stakes couldn’t be higher with a trip to the next round on the line. That naturally sets the stage for a more structured, risk-averse game.

Dallas returns home looking to bounce back defensively after surrendering seven goals in Thursday’s rout in Colorado. That was easily one of its worst defensive showings of the season, but it came in a setting that’s produced wild swings throughout the series. Back on home ice, the Stars should settle down and return to form. Keep in mind, Dallas has yielded just 2.5 goals per game at home this season.

Meanwhile, despite recent results, Colorado simply hasn’t been involved in many extended high-scoring stretches this season. In fact, it hasn't seen three consecutive 'over' results since a five-game run that ended in early November. Similarly, Dallas hasn’t hit three straight 'overs' since a seven-game outlier that ended in early March.

With the margin for error razor-thin in this Game 7 setting, expect a slower pace, less space, and an emphasis on defensive responsibility from both sides. That, coupled with top goaltenders likely getting the nod on both ends, makes the 'under' the right play.

Take the under. Projected score: Stars 3, Avalanche 2.

04-30-25 Panthers v. Lightning UNDER 5.5 Top 6-3 Loss -100 34 h 44 m Show

Eastern Conference Total of the Week. My selection is on the under between Florida and Tampa Bay at 7:30 pm et on Wednesday.

After back-to-back 'over' results in this series, I'm expecting a much tighter, more defensive contest in Game 5 as Tampa Bay faces elimination on home ice. The Lightning have thrived defensively at Amalie Arena all season, allowing only 2.3 goals per game. That should be a key factor as they look to extend their season and avoid trading goals in a high-variance style that favors Florida.

While Tampa Bay's offense has been potent at home (3.8 goals per game), the Panthers have shown they can smother even the best attacks, limiting the Bolts to two goals or fewer in three of the first four games. Florida’s defensive commitment should only intensify as they attempt to close out the series on the road.

With both teams likely to tighten up and minimize mistakes in a pivotal elimination scenario, I anticipate a slower-paced, hard-checking game with limited quality scoring chances. That should be enough to keep this one comfortably under the total.

Take the under. Projected score: Panthers 3, Lightning 2.

04-29-25 Oilers v. Kings UNDER 6.5 3-1 Win 100 37 h 47 m Show

My selection is on the 'under' between Edmonton and Los Angeles at 10 pm et on Tuesday.

Now that Edmonton has evened the series and the scene shifts back to Los Angeles, this sets up well for a much tighter, lower-scoring affair than what we've seen so far. Despite the 'over' cashing in all four games to this point, a pivotal Game 5 typically brings more cautious, disciplined hockey — especially between two teams that know each other this well.

The Kings, who have allowed just 2.1 goals per game at home this season, should be able to regroup defensively after struggling at times in Edmonton. Returning home allows them to dictate the matchups and control the tempo better — something they weren’t able to do on the road.

On the Oilers side, while their offense has continued to produce, the change in goal from Stuart Skinner to Calvin Pickard has helped stabilize things somewhat. Skinner looked shaky in Games 1 and 2, but Pickard's steadying presence has at least provided Edmonton with a chance to settle down defensively. That confidence boost in net should be critical in a tense Game 5.

Also worth noting: the Oilers' offense, while explosive at times, has been more contained on the road, averaging just 3.1 goals per game, with their road contests seeing an average of only 6.1 total goals — notably lower than the number we're being asked to clear here.

Expect a more playoff-style, grinding effort from both sides with goals hard to come by.

Take the under. Projected score: Oilers 3, Kings 2.

04-28-25 Avalanche v. Stars OVER 6 2-6 Win 100 14 h 2 m Show

My selection is on the 'over' between Colorado and Dallas at 9:30 pm et on Monday.

Following Colorado’s dominant 4-0 victory in Game 4, I’m expecting a more wide-open, higher-scoring contest when the Avalanche and Stars meet again for Game 5 on Monday night in Dallas.

The Stars were blanked on Saturday, but it’s important to recognize how rare that is — it was just the second time all season Dallas was held off the scoreboard. Playing back at home, where they’ve averaged 3.4 goals per game this season, we can project a strong bounce-back effort from the Stars' offense. They know they can’t afford to come out flat again with the series now tied 2-2 and the pressure squarely back on them.

Meanwhile, Colorado has shown no signs of slowing down offensively, even away from home. The Avs posted 48 shots on goal in Game 4 and have been consistently dangerous, averaging 3.3 goals per game on the road this season and tallying eight goals combined in Games 1 and 2 in Dallas. Colorado’s pace and pressure should continue to force the Stars into a faster tempo, creating plenty of scoring opportunities on both sides.

With Dallas needing a strong offensive showing and Colorado unlikely to let up with its aggressive attack, the conditions are ripe for a much higher-scoring game than what we saw in Game 4.

Take the 'over'. Projected score: Avalanche 4, Stars 3.

04-27-25 Jets v. Blues UNDER 5.5 Top 1-5 Loss -133 29 h 42 m Show

First Round Total of the Year. My selection is on the 'under' between Winnipeg and St. Louis at 1 pm et on Sunday.

While St. Louis erupted for seven goals in Thursday's win, don't expect a repeat performance on Sunday. Winnipeg has consistently been one of the NHL’s stingiest defensive teams, allowing just 2.8 goals per game on the road, and should respond with a sharper effort after an uncharacteristic defensive lapse. Look for goaltender Connor Hellebuyck to lead the way, as he’s often bounced back strong after a tough outing.

Special teams could also play a big role in keeping this game low-scoring. The Blues have been outstanding on the penalty kill for an extended stretch, allowing just seven power play goals since early March. Meanwhile, Winnipeg’s power play continues to struggle, scoring more than one power play goal in a game only once since early March, and going just 2-for-10 with the man advantage so far in this series.

Also of note, the Blues have held opponents to only 2.7 goals per game at Enterprise Center, while the Jets’ scoring output tends to dip slightly away from home. In a critical Game 4, expect a tight, low-event style of play with both teams focusing on minimizing mistakes.

Take the 'under'. Projected score: Jets 3, Blues 1.

04-21-25 Canadiens v. Capitals UNDER 6 2-3 Win 100 11 h 40 m Show

My selection is on the 'under' between Montreal and Washington at 7 pm et on Monday.

With the stakes raised as the playoffs get underway, I expect a more disciplined and defensively-focused effort from both sides in Game 1. Washington had little to play for in its regular season finale and it showed in a 5-2 loss in Pittsburgh, but the Caps chose to rest their starting netminder and gave AHL call-up Clay Stevenson the nod. Expect a far more locked-in performance in front of the home crowd on Monday as the series opens.

The Capitals have quietly been one of the league’s stingier home teams, allowing just 2.9 goals per game at Capital One Arena this season. In their last meeting with Montreal, the two teams combined for only five goals in a 3-2 Canadiens win — a tempo that we’re likely to see replicated here.

Montreal, meanwhile, limps into the postseason offensively, having scored only 30 goals over its final 11 regular season games. The Habs have been grinding out results with a more conservative style down the stretch and average only 2.9 goals per game on the road this season. If they’re going to make this a competitive series, they’ll have to slow things down and frustrate a more seasoned Caps team that has the playoff edge in experience.

With both teams likely to tighten up in this opening-round clash, I believe this total sits a bit too high.

Take the under. Projected score: Capitals 3, Canadiens 2.

04-20-25 Senators v. Maple Leafs UNDER 5.5 Top 2-6 Loss -107 11 h 55 m Show

Atlantic Division Total of the Year. My selection is on the 'under' between Ottawa and Toronto at 7 pm et on Sunday.

Both teams are coming off high-scoring affairs, but I expect a much tighter, more disciplined contest as these provincial rivals open their first-round playoff series. The postseason tends to bring out a more structured, physical style of hockey, and that should be the case here with both teams likely to ramp things up defensively.

Ottawa lit up the scoreboard with a seven-goal performance in its regular season finale against Carolina, but don't expect that kind of offensive output on the road, especially against a motivated Toronto squad. The Senators have averaged just 2.5 goals per game away from home this season and now face a Maple Leafs team that has allowed only 2.5 goals per contest at home—a trend that figures to continue with playoff stakes on the line.

Toronto has scored exactly four goals in three straight games but hasn't done so in four consecutive contests all season. That makes regression likely against a Senators team that, despite their recent ‘over’ run, has actually allowed a modest 3.0 goals per game on the road this season.

With the stakes elevated, defenses focused, and both teams likely to lean on a more playoff-friendly style of hockey, we’ll anticipate a lower-scoring affair in Game 1.

Take the under. Projected score: Maple Leafs 3, Senators 2.

04-09-25 Blues v. Oilers OVER 5.5 Top 3-4 Win 100 14 h 7 m Show

Western Conference Total of the Year. My selection is on the 'over' between St. Louis and Edmonton at 10 pm et on Wednesday.

After a rare offensive dud in Winnipeg, I expect the Blues to bounce back on Wednesday as they wrap up their Alberta road swing. Despite seeing their 12-game win streak snapped in a 3-1 loss, this is still a St. Louis team in great form, especially in the offensive zone where they've produced consistently in recent weeks.

The Oilers enter this one on a two-game slide and have now seen the 'under' hit in five straight. But that trend feels ripe for reversal. Even without Connor McDavid and Leon Draisaitl, Edmonton still carries enough offensive firepower—particularly at home where it averages 3.3 goals per game—to contribute meaningfully to the total.

The goaltending situation also lends itself to a higher-scoring affair. The Blues are likely to turn back to Jordan Binnington, who owns a pedestrian 2.77 GAA and .900 save percentage in road games. On the other side, Edmonton remains without Stuart Skinner and will once again turn to Calvin Pickard, who is making his sixth start in the last seven games—a heavy stretch for a goaltender unaccustomed to that kind of workload. Fatigue could become a factor here, especially against a Blues team seeking revenge for two earlier losses in the season series (both with Skinner in goal).

Both teams have plenty of motivation, suspect goaltending situations, and the potential to exploit defensive lapses. This feels like a good opportunity for an offensive breakout, especially in what sets up as a competitive back-and-forth game.

Take the over. Projected score: Oilers 4, Blues 3.

04-08-25 Maple Leafs v. Panthers OVER 5.5 1-3 Loss -105 10 h 32 m Show

My selection is on the 'over' between Toronto and Florida at 7 pm et on Tuesday.

While both the Maple Leafs and Panthers have seen their last four games stay under the total, I believe we're set up for a high-scoring affair in this one. The Leafs just posted a dominant 5-0 win over Columbus, but that was more a product of a weak opponent than any sudden defensive turnaround. Toronto has still allowed 3.2 goals per game on the road this season and now draws a Panthers team poised for a bounce-back effort at home.

Florida has lost five straight but returns to Sunrise where it owns a solid 23-11-2 record, scoring 3.1 goals per game. Sunday's narrow 2-1 loss in Detroit saw the Panthers rest several regulars. With home-ice advantage in the playoffs still on the line, I expect a renewed sense of urgency and a much more complete lineup on Tuesday.

Toronto won't be outdone, of course. The Leafs enter this matchup averaging 3.4 goals per game on the road and still have plenty at stake as they aim to secure top positioning in the Atlantic. With both teams skating with purpose and more offensive talent than their recent scoring dips suggest, this sets up as a fast-paced, back-and-forth game.

Take the over. Projected score: Panthers 4, Maple Leafs 3.

04-05-25 Ducks v. Canucks OVER 5.5 Top 2-6 Win 100 7 h 51 m Show

Pacific Division Total of the Month. My selection is on the 'over' between Anaheim and Vancouver at 4 pm ET on Saturday.

While both teams are coming off lower-scoring performances, the setup for Saturday’s matinee points toward a return to higher offensive output. Anaheim has shown signs of life offensively despite its recent 4-1 loss in Calgary, having scored 17 goals in its previous four contests. The Ducks should benefit from facing a Canucks team that has allowed an average of 3.2 goals per game on home ice this season.

Vancouver, meanwhile, will be eager to bounce back after being shut out 5-0 by Seattle on Wednesday. That loss snapped a six-game 'over' streak, and given the Canucks’ scoring prowess at home and the Ducks’ generous defensive profile (also allowing 3.2 goals per game on the season), there’s reason to expect a more explosive effort here.

The most recent meeting between these clubs back on March 5th did stay 'under' the total, but that snapped a two-game ‘over’ streak in the series. With both teams coming off disappointing offensive efforts and facing exploitable defenses, expect a faster pace and more pucks finding the back of the net this time around.

Take the over. Projected score: Canucks 4, Ducks 3.

04-01-25 Red Wings v. Blues OVER 5.5 Top 1-2 Loss -120 12 h 3 m Show

Non-Conference Total of the Year. My selection is on the 'over' between Detroit and St. Louis at 8 pm ET on Tuesday.

Both teams are coming off identical 2-1 victories, with the Blues having played to back-to-back 'unders.' However, I expect a much different outcome in this matchup.

Detroit's goaltending situation remains unstable due to injuries, and the Red Wings have struggled defensively on the road, allowing an average of 3.3 goals per game this season. Prior to their last outing, Detroit had seen the 'over' go 3-0-1 in its previous four games.

Meanwhile, St. Louis has been lighting up the scoreboard at home, averaging 3.1 goals per game on home ice and scoring four or more goals in seven straight home contests. While the Blues have seen two consecutive 'under' results, it's worth noting they haven’t had a streak of three or more 'unders' since early February.

With both teams capable of putting up goals and Detroit's ongoing defensive struggles, I anticipate an open contest with plenty of scoring opportunities.

Take the 'over'. Projected score: Blues 4, Red Wings 3.

03-29-25 Stars v. Seattle Kraken UNDER 6 5-1 Push 0 14 h 27 m Show

My selection is on the 'under' between Dallas and Seattle at 10:30 pm et on Saturday.

The Stars have opened their road trip with back-to-back high-scoring affairs, netting a total of nine goals in victories over Edmonton and Calgary. While their offense has been clicking, they'll face a much tougher challenge against a Kraken squad that has been strong defensively on home ice, allowing just 2.9 goals per game this season. Seattle is coming off an offensive outburst of its own, putting up six goals against a depleted Oilers squad on Thursday. However, that performance appears to be an outlier, as the Kraken have averaged just 3.1 goals per game at home this season and tend to rely on their defensive structure to stay competitive.

The first meeting between these two teams this season saw Dallas shut out Seattle by a 2-0 score, a game in which both defenses dictated the pace. With both teams playing relatively tight-checking hockey in recent weeks and Dallas looking to build on a strong road trip, I expect a lower-scoring contest. Goaltending should also play a factor, with both teams getting solid play between the pipes. Look for this matchup to play out much differently than the Stars' previous two games as scoring chances come at a premium.

Take the under. Projected score: Dallas 3, Seattle 2.

03-27-25 Stars v. Flames UNDER 5.5 5-2 Loss -100 13 h 57 m Show

My selection is on the 'under' between Dallas and Calgary at 9 pm ET on Thursday.

Both teams enter this matchup riding winning streaks, but I expect a lower-scoring affair as they square off in Calgary. Dallas is coming off a 4-3 win over Edmonton last night, but the Flames present a tougher defensive challenge, allowing just 2.7 goals per game on home ice this season.

Calgary has won four straight games, with each of its last three going 'over' the total. However, the Flames haven't seen four consecutive 'overs' since December, and they’ve averaged just 2.9 goals per game at home this season.

The last meeting between these two teams resulted in a 3-2 Stars victory earlier this month, and I anticipate a similar outcome here with both teams tightening up defensively.

Take the 'under.' Projected score: Stars 3, Flames 2.

03-26-25 Devils v. Blackhawks UNDER 5.5 5-3 Loss -107 11 h 24 m Show

My selection is on the 'under' between New Jersey and Chicago at 7:30 pm et on Wednesday.

While both teams are coming off high-scoring games, the circumstances suggest a much lower-scoring affair in this matchup. The Devils have dropped three straight games and will be focused on tightening up defensively, especially against a Blackhawks team that had struggled to score before its unexpected 7-4 outburst against Philadelphia on Sunday. Prior to that, Chicago had managed just 10 total goals over its previous seven games. Additionally, New Jersey has been much better defensively on the road this season, allowing just 2.6 goals per game away from home.

Offensively, the Devils continue to struggle in the absence of Jack Hughes, scoring three or fewer goals in 12 of their last 13 contests. Chicago, meanwhile, isn't built to win high-scoring games, as its offensive inconsistencies have been a major issue all season. The lone prior meeting between these teams resulted in a low-scoring 4-1 New Jersey win, and given the current trends, another defensive battle is likely. Expect a slower-paced, tighter contest on Wednesday.

Take the 'under.' Projected score: New Jersey 3, Chicago 1.

03-25-25 Seattle Kraken v. Flames UNDER 5.5 3-4 Loss -108 12 h 15 m Show

My selection is on the 'under' between Seattle and Calgary at 9 pm et on Tuesday.

The Kraken have had a couple of days off to regroup after back-to-back losses in Minnesota and Edmonton. That extra rest should help them reset defensively as they look to slow down a Calgary team that could be vulnerable to a letdown. The Flames return home following a successful four-game road trip that ended with three straight wins, including a 4-3 victory on Long Island on Saturday. While the ‘over’ has hit in each of Calgary’s last two games, its season-long home trends suggest a different outcome on Tuesday, as the ‘under’ has cashed 19 times in 34 games at the Saddledome, with those contests averaging just 5.5 total goals.

Additionally, all three prior meetings between these teams this season have stayed ‘under’ the total. Seattle’s defensive structure has been sound for much of the season, and with extra preparation time, it should be well-equipped to keep this game tight. The Kraken have struggled to generate consistent offense on the road, which plays into the likelihood of a lower-scoring affair. Meanwhile, Calgary has shown a tendency to tighten things up in these types of spots, especially coming off a road-heavy stretch. Expect a hard-fought, low-event game with quality chances at a premium.

Take the under. Projected score: Flames 3, Kraken 2.

03-23-25 Flyers v. Blackhawks OVER 5.5 Top 4-7 Win 100 6 h 32 m Show

Non-Conference Total of the Week. My selection is on the 'over' between Philadelphia and Chicago at 3:05 pm ET on Sunday.

Both teams have struggled recently, but this matchup presents a good opportunity for both offenses to break out. The Flyers are coming off a brutal stretch against top-tier teams, but they'll be facing a Blackhawks squad that has allowed 3.5 goals per game at home this season. While Philadelphia has been scoring in fits and starts, expect them to find their rhythm against Chicago's porous defense.

On the other side, Chicago is desperate to end a seven-game losing streak and will likely come out with a sense of urgency. Despite their recent scoring woes, the Blackhawks should have chances against a Flyers team that allows 3.5 goals per game on the road. With both teams struggling defensively but possessing the potential to light the lamp, we should see plenty of goals.

Take the 'over'. Projected score: Philadelphia 4, Chicago 3.

03-20-25 Maple Leafs v. Rangers OVER 5.5 Top 4-3 Win 100 9 h 23 m Show

Eastern Conference Total of the Week. My selection is on the 'over' between Toronto and New York at 7 pm ET on Wednesday.

Both teams are coming off low-scoring 'under' results, including Toronto’s 2-1 win over Colorado last night. However, Toronto’s road games this season have consistently seen higher-scoring affairs, with an average total of 6.6 goals per game. The Maple Leafs will be facing a Rangers team desperate to bounce back after consecutive home losses, scoring just two goals in each of those defeats. Given New York’s need to improve offensively and Toronto’s tendency to engage in high-scoring games away from home, this matchup is primed for more action than recent results suggest.

The Rangers will be motivated to avenge their earlier 3-2 loss to the Leafs on February 28th, which adds further incentive for a fast-paced game. With both teams likely to come out with increased offensive urgency, the 'over' is the play here.

Take the over. Projected score: New York 4, Toronto 3.

03-18-25 Ducks v. Stars UNDER 6 3-4 Loss -108 12 h 20 m Show

My selection is on the 'under' between Anaheim and Dallas at 8 pm et on Tuesday.

Dallas will aim to tighten up defensively after back-to-back losses, including a 4-3 overtime setback against Colorado on Sunday. The Stars have been excellent defensively at home, allowing just 2.2 goals per game this season, and should be focused on shutting down an Anaheim squad that has struggled offensively on the road. The Ducks are coming off a brutal 7-2 loss in St. Louis, continuing their road struggles, where they’ve averaged just 2.5 goals per contest.

With Dallas seeking revenge for an earlier 2-1 loss in Anaheim and likely emphasizing a strong defensive effort, I expect a lower-scoring affair.

Take the 'under'. Projected score: Dallas 3, Anaheim 1.

03-16-25 Panthers v. Islanders OVER 5.5 Top 2-4 Win 100 12 h 32 m Show

Eastern Conference Total of the Month. My selection is on the 'over' between Florida and New York at 7:30 pm et on Sunday.

We'll back the 'over' on Long Island as the Panthers look to bounce back from a 3-1 loss in Montreal last night, while the Islanders try to snap a three-game losing streak. While both squads are currently riding long 'under' streaks—Florida with seven straight and New York with three—it’s worth noting that their two previous meetings this season each saw nine total goals, with the Panthers winning both by identical 6-3 scores.

Additionally, Florida’s road games have averaged 6.3 total goals per contest this season, suggesting this total may be set a bit too low. Look for a higher-scoring affair as these teams break out offensively.

Take the over. Projected score: Florida 4, New York 3.

03-11-25 Canadiens v. Canucks OVER 5.5 Top 4-2 Win 100 15 h 31 m Show

Non-Conference Total of the Month. My selection is on the 'over' between Montreal and Vancouver at 10 pm et on Tuesday.

Montreal’s first two games on its current western road trip have stayed 'under' the total, but that’s been more of an outlier than a trend. The Canadiens’ road contests have averaged 6.4 total goals per game this season, and they haven't recorded three straight 'under' results since January. A bounce-back offensive performance seems likely.

Vancouver, meanwhile, was held to just one goal in a disappointing loss to Dallas on Sunday, marking its third consecutive 'under' result. However, the Canucks should be motivated to respond offensively in this favorable home spot before heading out for a tough matchup in Calgary tomorrow.

The last time these two teams met in early January, they combined for nine goals in a high-paced, back-and-forth affair. With both teams primed for a more open style of play, look for another high-scoring contest on Tuesday.

Take the over. Projected score: Vancouver 5, Montreal 3.

03-10-25 Maple Leafs v. Utah Hockey Club UNDER 6 4-3 Loss -105 14 h 10 m Show

My selection is on the 'under' between Toronto and Utah at 10 pm et on Monday.

While Toronto has been involved in consecutive high-scoring contests on its current road trip, I anticipate a lower-scoring affair when it visits Utah on Monday. The Maple Leafs are looking to snap a three-game losing streak and should emphasize defensive structure against a Utah squad that has seen the 'under' hit in 19 of its 31 home games this season. The average total in those contests has been just 5.5 goals, highlighting the low-event nature of Utah’s home matchups.

Utah enters this game well-rested following consecutive off days after a frustrating road loss in Chicago. The first meeting between these teams this season produced only five total goals, and I expect a similarly defensive-minded battle here, with both clubs tightening up in a game that should have a playoff-style intensity.

Take the 'under'. Projected score: Toronto 3, Utah 2.

03-08-25 Maple Leafs v. Avalanche UNDER 6.5 4-7 Loss -110 12 h 27 m Show

My selection is on the 'under' between Toronto and Colorado at 7:05 pm et on Saturday.

While both teams possess explosive offensive talent and are coming off high-scoring contests, this sets up as a good spot to take the contrarian route and back the 'under.' Toronto has struggled defensively in recent outings, allowing five goals in a loss to Vegas on Wednesday and four in an upset loss to San Jose on Monday. However, the Maple Leafs have been a respectable road team overall this season, posting an 18-10-2 record while giving up 3.1 goals per game away from home. Given their recent defensive lapses, expect Toronto to focus on tightening things up in this matchup. The Leafs have shown the ability to play lower-scoring games against quality opponents, and this should be a game where they attempt to slow down the pace, especially given Colorado’s offensive firepower.

The Avalanche enter this game riding a four-game winning streak, highlighted by a seven-goal explosion against San Jose on Thursday. However, a letdown spot could be in play here after such an offensive outburst. While Colorado is better known for its offensive production, its defensive numbers have been solid, allowing just 3.0 goals per game on the season and tightening up even further of late, surrendering only 2.0 goals per game over their last five. With both teams recognizing the importance of playing disciplined hockey at this stage of the season, this one has the makings of a more defensive-minded battle than expected. Look for a lower-scoring affair in Denver.

Take the 'under'. Projected score: Avalanche 3, Maple Leafs 2.

03-06-25 Flames v. Stars UNDER 6 Top 2-3 Win 100 10 h 54 m Show

Western Conference Total of the Month. My selection is on the 'under' between Calgary and Dallas at 8:05 pm et on Thursday.

Calgary erupted for six goals in a road win over Philadelphia on Tuesday, but I don’t expect a repeat performance here. Prior to that offensive outburst, the Flames had managed just one total goal over their previous three games, highlighting their struggles to find consistency on the attack. Calgary has averaged just 2.4 goals per game on the road this season, and facing a disciplined Dallas squad should make generating scoring chances even more difficult. Look for the Flames to revert to their usual low-scoring ways in this one.

While Dallas has been involved in a string of high-scoring contests, the Stars have actually been solid defensively at home, allowing just 2.2 goals per game in their own building. Goaltender Jake Oettinger, who sat out Tuesday’s game against New Jersey, should be back in net and well-rested, providing a boost to Dallas’ defensive effort. With the Flames likely to struggle to produce offense and the Stars tightening up on home ice, expect a lower-scoring battle.

Take the 'under.' Projected score: Dallas 3, Calgary 1.

03-05-25 Ducks v. Canucks UNDER 5.5 Top 2-3 Win 101 12 h 51 m Show

Pacific Division Total of the Year. My selection is on the 'under' between Anaheim and Vancouver at 10:35 pm et on Wednesday.

Anaheim erupted for six goals in a surprising win over Edmonton last night, but I don’t expect a repeat performance as it wraps up its quick two-game road trip. While the Ducks have cashed three straight 'over' tickets, their offensive production on the road has been inconsistent, and they’ve generally struggled to generate scoring chances away from home. With this being the second half of a back-to-back, Anaheim’s energy level may not be as high, making it even tougher to sustain offensive pressure against a Vancouver team looking to tighten things up defensively.

The Canucks have had three days to regroup following consecutive losses, including a disappointing 6-3 defeat in Seattle on Saturday. After allowing 11 goals over their last two games, expect a more focused defensive effort from Vancouver, especially considering it had been one of the stingier teams in the league in the stretch prior. Before those two losses, the Canucks had surrendered just nine goals over six games, showcasing their ability to control play in their own zone. With both teams likely to emphasize a more disciplined defensive approach, this game has all the makings of a lower-scoring battle.

Take the 'under.' Projected score: Vancouver 3, Anaheim 1.

02-06-25 Utah Hockey Club v. Blue Jackets OVER 5.5 3-2 Loss -120 11 h 19 m Show

My selection is on the 'over' between Utah and Columbus at 7 pm ET on Thursday.

While Utah enters this game riding a five-game 'under' streak, I expect that trend to be in jeopardy here. Columbus returns home after back-to-back road losses in Dallas and Buffalo, with its most recent contest being a low-scoring 3-2 affair. However, the Blue Jackets have been a different team offensively on home ice, averaging an impressive 4.2 goals per game this season.

Utah, on the other hand, has averaged a respectable 3.0 goals per game on the road. With both teams capable of generating offense and Columbus in a prime bounce-back spot at home, I anticipate an up-tempo, high-scoring affair.

Take the over. Projected score: Utah 4, Columbus 3.

 
02-02-25 Blues v. Utah Hockey Club OVER 5.5 Top 2-1 Loss -101 12 h 48 m Show

Non-Conference Total of the Month. My selection is on the 'over' between St. Louis and Utah at 7 pm ET on Sunday.

Both teams enter this matchup on four-game losing streaks, with recent offensive struggles contributing to their respective slides. St. Louis has been shut out twice in its last three games, while Utah has seen each of its last three contests stay under the total. However, I look for a reversal of those trends here.

Defensively, both teams have been vulnerable, with St. Louis allowing 3.2 goals per game on the road and Utah surrendering the same 3.2 goals per contest on home ice. With both clubs eager for a bounce-back offensive effort, I expect more scoring than the recent trends suggest.

Take the over. Projected score: St. Louis 4, Utah 3.

01-29-25 Penguins v. Utah Hockey Club OVER 6 Top 3-2 Loss -108 14 h 46 m Show

Non-Conference Total of the Month. My selection is on the 'over' between Pittsburgh and Utah at 9:30 pm ET on Wednesday.

Both teams enter this matchup struggling offensively, with Pittsburgh managing just one goal in each of its last three games and Utah netting only three goals over its last two contests. However, I expect a shift in scoring trends here.

Pittsburgh has been vulnerable defensively on the road, allowing 3.6 goals per game, which sets up well for a Utah offense looking to break out. Meanwhile, Utah has been less effective defensively at home, giving up 3.3 goals per game in Salt Lake City. This suggests that Pittsburgh, despite its recent scoring struggles, should have opportunities to get back on track.

With both teams needing a spark offensively and each allowing more goals in their respective weaker defensive situations, I anticipate a higher-scoring affair than we've seen from them recently.

Take the over. Projected score: Pittsburgh 4, Utah 3.

01-28-25 Bruins v. Sabres OVER 6 Top 2-7 Win 100 9 h 58 m Show

Atlantic Division Total of the Month. My selection is on the 'over' between Boston and Buffalo at 7:05 pm ET on Tuesday.

The Bruins enter this matchup off consecutive low-scoring games, but the setting shifts to Buffalo, where the Sabres' home games have consistently been high-scoring affairs, averaging 6.9 total goals. Boston's typically strong defense has shown vulnerability on the road, allowing 3.9 goals per game, creating a ripe opportunity for Buffalo's offense to produce.

Meanwhile, the Sabres have been shaky defensively on home ice, conceding 3.6 goals per contest. That sets the stage for Boston's underachieving offense to find its rhythm. The combination of Buffalo's high-event style and Boston's road defensive struggles makes this a prime spot for a back-and-forth, high-scoring game.

Take the over. Projected score: Boston 4, Buffalo 3.

01-23-25 Canucks v. Oilers OVER 5.5 Top 2-6 Win 100 13 h 25 m Show

Pacific Division Total of the Month. My selection is on the over between Vancouver and Edmonton at 9 pm et on Thursday.

Both teams come into this game following back-to-back 'under' results, including Saturday’s 3-2 Canucks victory in Vancouver. However, I expect a higher-scoring affair in this rematch. Despite missing Connor McDavid due to suspension, the Oilers are capable of rebounding offensively after scoring just two goals in each of their last two games. Edmonton has allowed at least three goals in four straight and six of its last seven contests, pointing to continued defensive vulnerabilities.

Meanwhile, the Canucks had shown defensive lapses before their last two games, giving up 11 goals over a two-game span. While they’ve tightened up recently, it’s tough to envision a repeat of Saturday's low-scoring battle, especially considering Edmonton’s need to push the pace offensively to turn things around.

Take the over. Projected score: Vancouver 4, Edmonton 3.

01-16-25 Capitals v. Senators OVER 5.5 Top 1-0 Loss -108 11 h 45 m Show

Eastern Conference Total of the Month. My selection is on the 'over' between Washington and Ottawa at 7 pm ET on Thursday.

While recent trends point heavily to the 'under' for both of these teams, I anticipate a higher-scoring affair in this matchup. The Capitals have seen each of their last four games stay 'under' the total, but they remain one of the league's better offensive teams on the road, averaging 3.7 goals per contest. Meanwhile, Ottawa is riding a six-game 'under' streak, with the 'under' cashing in eight of its last 10 games overall ('under' has gone 8-0-2 over that stretch). However, the Sens have shown scoring potential on home ice, averaging 3.3 goals per game.

Both squads have recently faced defensively-inclined opponents, but this matchup sets up differently. With the Capitals likely to push the pace and Ottawa capable of responding on home ice, I expect both teams to contribute to a relatively high-scoring contest.

Take the 'over.' Projected score: Washington 4, Ottawa 3.

01-14-25 Canucks v. Jets OVER 5.5 Top 1-6 Win 100 13 h 10 m Show

Western Conference Total of the Month. My selection is on the 'over' between Vancouver and Winnipeg at 8:05 pm ET on Tuesday.

While both teams are coming off consecutive 'under' results, this matchup sets up well for a higher-scoring affair. Vancouver snapped its four-game losing streak with a solid 3-0 win in Toronto on Saturday, but it has been productive offensively on the road this season, averaging 3.0 goals per game.

Winnipeg, meanwhile, has been an offensive force on home ice, averaging 3.7 goals per game. The Jets also come into this one riding high off a 3-0 shutout victory against Colorado on Saturday. Both teams have proven capable of finding the back of the net, especially in more favorable matchups like this one.

The total for this game has been set conservatively, likely influenced by the recent string of low-scoring outcomes for both teams. However, with both offenses trending in the right direction and the potential for a more open game, the 'over' is well-positioned to cash.

Take the over. Projected score: Winnipeg 4, Vancouver 3.

01-05-25 Lightning v. Ducks OVER 6.5 1-4 Loss -120 12 h 16 m Show

My selection is on the 'over' between Tampa Bay and Anaheim at 8 pm ET on Sunday.

This game sets up well for a high-scoring affair as Tampa Bay looks to get back on track offensively. The Lightning have struggled to find the back of the net in their last three outings, scoring just four goals combined, but their road scoring average of 3.8 goals per game suggests a rebound is likely. At the same time, Tampa Bay's defense has been less than airtight, allowing 3.1 goals per game away from home.

Anaheim enters this matchup in solid form offensively, having netted 14 goals over its last four games. While the 'under' cashed in their most recent contest against Edmonton, it's worth noting the Ducks haven't delivered back-to-back 'under' results since late December.

With both teams capable of capitalizing offensively and question marks defensively, the conditions are right for the scoring to exceed expectations.

Take the 'over.' Projected score: Tampa Bay 5, Anaheim 3.

01-03-25 Predators v. Canucks UNDER 6 3-0 Win 100 14 h 23 m Show

My selection is on the 'under' between Nashville and Vancouver at 10:05 pm ET on Friday.

Both teams are coming off high-scoring results, but the setup here suggests a more defensive and lower-scoring affair. Nashville’s 5-3 loss in Minnesota and Vancouver’s 4-3 win in Seattle don’t tell the full story of their offensive capabilities. The Predators have struggled mightily on the road, averaging just 1.9 goals per game over 20 away contests this season. That lack of offensive punch is unlikely to improve significantly in this matchup, especially given the fatigue factor with another game looming tomorrow night in Calgary.

Vancouver finds itself in the midst of a tough three-games-in-four-nights stretch. The Canucks are likely to focus on a more structured and cautious approach defensively as they aim to conserve energy before heading out on a lengthy road trip that begins Monday in Montreal. Their ability to lock down defensively (not consistently, mind you) could further stifle a Predators squad that already struggles to generate consistent offense away from home ice.

Expect a slower-paced, grind-it-out style of game on Friday with both teams mindful of their upcoming schedules. The circumstances point strongly toward a low-scoring contest where goals will be at a premium.

Take the 'under.' Projected score: Canucks 2, Predators 1.

12-07-24 Predators v. Senators OVER 6 Top 1-3 Loss -100 12 h 30 m Show

Non-Conference Total of the Month. My selection is on the 'over' between Nashville and Ottawa at 7 pm ET on Saturday.

Nashville has been mired in a slump offensively, seeing the 'under' cash in five straight games as they've been limited to two goals or fewer in each contest. However, this sets up as a prime bounce-back spot for the Predators. Ottawa’s defense has been anything but stout, allowing 3.2 goals per game this season. The Senators have been vulnerable at home, where their games average a combined 6.8 total goals.

Ottawa's recent 2-1 victory over Detroit was an anomaly, breaking a streak of five consecutive 'over' results. The Sens' offense has generally been capable of trading goals, especially in home contests, where they’ve often pushed the pace.

Given Nashville’s urgency to end its six-game losing streak and Ottawa’s tendency to find itself in high-scoring affairs, this matchup has all the makings of a fast-paced, goal-filled contest.

Take the over. Projected score: Nashville 4, Ottawa 3.

12-06-24 Stars v. Golden Knights OVER 6 Top 2-3 Loss -110 15 h 16 m Show

Western Conference Total of the Month. My selection is on the 'over' between Dallas and Vegas at 10 pm ET on Friday.

Both teams enter this matchup having seen three consecutive games stay 'under' the total, but this contest sets up for a higher-scoring affair. Dallas will look to shake off the sting of Wednesday's 3-2 loss in Los Angeles, and the Stars have struggled defensively on the road, allowing 3.3 goals per game compared to 2.6 goals per game overall. That discrepancy highlights their vulnerability away from home.

Vegas, meanwhile, continues to thrive offensively on home ice, averaging 4.0 goals per game in front of its own fans. The Golden Knights come off a 4-1 win over Anaheim on Wednesday and should capitalize on the Stars' defensive inconsistencies. Additionally, with both teams boasting talented offenses and solid power-play units, special teams could play a significant role in pushing this total over the number.

Take the 'over'. Projected score: Vegas 4, Dallas 3.

11-21-24 Golden Knights v. Senators OVER 6.5 3-2 Loss -104 12 h 44 m Show

My selection is on the 'over' between Vegas and Ottawa at 7 pm ET on Thursday.

While the Golden Knights have struggled to score in their last two games, they remain one of the league’s most potent offensive teams, ranking fourth in goals per game. A matchup with Ottawa provides an excellent opportunity for Vegas to rediscover its scoring touch, as the Senators have allowed 14 goals over their last three games and sit tied for 20th in the league in goals allowed per game. Both teams are looking to bounce back, which should lead to an aggressive, high-energy contest.

The last time these teams met, they combined for 10 goals in a 6-4 Vegas victory, showcasing the offensive potential on both sides. With Ottawa’s defensive vulnerabilities and Vegas eager to end its mini-slump, this game has all the ingredients for another high-scoring affair. Expect plenty of scoring chances and a fast-paced game from start to finish.

Take the over. Projected score: Vegas 5, Ottawa 3.

11-19-24 Oilers v. Senators OVER 6.5 5-2 Win 103 11 h 8 m Show

My selection is on the 'over' between Edmonton and Ottawa at 7 pm ET on Tuesday.

The Oilers enter this matchup having dropped consecutive games, including last night’s 3-0 loss in Montreal, which stayed comfortably below the total. Edmonton has generally struggled defensively this season, ranking 18th in the league in goals allowed per game. Offensively, they’re capable of better than their recent two-game goal drought, and a quick bounce-back effort isn’t out of the question.

Ottawa has allowed nine goals over its last two games, including a 4-0 shutout defeat in Carolina on Saturday. On home ice, the Senators should push the pace and find opportunities against Edmonton's inconsistent defense. The Senators rank just 17th in goals allowed per game and will need to focus on cleaning up their play without sacrificing scoring opportunities.

With both teams eager to rebound and tendencies leaning toward defensive vulnerabilities, this matchup sets up for a higher-scoring affair. Take the over. Projected score: Edmonton 4, Ottawa 3.

11-18-24 Oilers v. Canadiens UNDER 6.5 Top 0-3 Win 100 11 h 6 m Show

Non-Conference Total of the Month. My selection is on the 'under' between Edmonton and Montreal at 7:30 pm ET on Monday.

While Edmonton's recent games have leaned toward higher-scoring outcomes, with three of its last four contests totaling seven goals or more, the matchup against Montreal presents a different dynamic. Edmonton ranks 21st in the league in goals per game this season, highlighting inconsistency in finishing chances. However, its defensive structure remains a strength, allowing the third-fewest shots per game in the league, which should help temper Montreal’s scoring opportunities.

Montreal, on the other hand, struggles to generate consistent offensive pressure, ranking 32nd in shots on goal per contest and tied for 19th in goals per game. Despite their 5-1 win over Columbus on Saturday, the Canadiens have generally lacked the firepower to break through strong defensive teams. The last meeting between these two clubs ended in a tight 3-2 victory for Edmonton in March, and a similar low-scoring result is likely given the teams' profiles.

Take the under. Projected score: Edmonton 3, Montreal 2.

11-18-24 Blue Jackets v. Bruins OVER 6 5-1 Push 0 10 h 29 m Show

My selection is on the 'over' between Columbus and Boston at 7 pm ET on Monday.

This matchup sets up for a high-scoring affair given the defensive vulnerabilities of both teams. Columbus ranks 29th in the league in goals allowed per game and has struggled mightily on the road, where they've posted a 1-6-2 record. Their defense showed little resistance in a 5-1 loss to Montreal on Saturday, and facing a more potent Boston offense only heightens their challenges.

Boston isn’t much better defensively, tied for 24th in the league in goals allowed per game. Their penalty kill has been a glaring issue, ranking 26th, which is compounded by their discipline problems—they’re 31st in penalty minutes per game. These deficiencies could prove costly against a Blue Jackets team that, while inconsistent, is capable of capitalizing on special teams. Expect both offenses to find opportunities in this one.

Take the over. Projected score: Boston 5, Columbus 3.

11-17-24 Predators v. Canucks OVER 6 5-3 Win 100 14 h 20 m Show

My selection is on the 'over' between Nashville and Vancouver at 10 pm ET on Sunday.

The Predators' offense has been quiet on their current road trip, tallying just four goals in three games. However, their ninth-place ranking in shots on goal per contest indicates they are generating chances and could be due for a breakout performance. Nashville has also been vulnerable defensively, an issue that could be exposed by Vancouver's potent attack.

The Canucks enter this matchup on a high note after a 4-1 win over Chicago last night. Vancouver has been consistent offensively, ranking in the upper half of the league with an average of 3.2 goals per game. While the Predators have struggled to score, their defense and goaltending have been inconsistent, making this a favorable spot for a higher-scoring game.

Both teams have tendencies that point toward the potential for an offensive uptick, especially with the Predators needing to respond after being shut out.

Take the over. Projected score: Vancouver 4, Nashville 3.

11-16-24 Sabres v. Flyers UNDER 6 2-5 Loss -101 10 h 1 m Show

My selection is on the 'under' between Buffalo and Philadelphia at 7 pm ET on Saturday.

Both the Sabres and Flyers have seen the 'over' hit in recent games, but there are key factors that point toward a low-scoring affair here. Buffalo and Philadelphia are both struggling in terms of generating offense, as evidenced by their rankings in shots on goal per game (21st and 28th, respectively). Neither team has been particularly efficient in terms of creating high-quality chances, and this game could see both teams find it difficult to generate sustained offense.

Buffalo is 2-3-1 on the road this season, and Philadelphia is just 3-4 at home. Neither team has been dominant, and with both sides likely to focus on tightening up defensively, this game should feature fewer goals than expected, especially with both teams ranking in the bottom half of the league in shots on goal.

Take the 'under.' Projected score: Buffalo 3, Philadelphia 2.

11-16-24 Islanders v. Seattle Kraken UNDER 5.5 2-3 Win 105 7 h 23 m Show

My selection is on the 'under' between New York and Seattle at 4 pm ET on Saturday.

The Islanders are coming off a 5-2 win in Vancouver on Thursday, which marks their third consecutive 'over' result. However, despite their recent offensive success, the Isles rank just 25th in the league in goals per game, indicating that their offensive output is often more sporadic than consistent. Their overall style tends to lean toward more defensive, low-scoring games, and their struggles to consistently generate offense should limit the total in this one.

Seattle, meanwhile, won 3-1 at home against Chicago on Thursday, and while their offense has been steady (ranked 17th in goals per game), they are also a team that prides itself on solid defensive play. The Kraken have been more focused on keeping games tight rather than engaging in high-scoring affairs.

The last meeting between these two teams resulted in a 2-1 Kraken victory, reflecting the tendency of both squads to engage in lower-scoring contests. With both teams lacking explosive offenses, I expect this game to stay under the total.

Take the 'under'. Projected score: New York 2, Seattle 1.

11-15-24 Red Wings v. Ducks OVER 6 4-6 Win 100 13 h 46 m Show

My selection is on the 'over' between Detroit and Anaheim at 10 pm ET on Friday.

While both teams have seen low-scoring trends recently, their defensive vulnerabilities create an appealing setup for a higher-scoring contest. Detroit's five consecutive 'unders' have been fueled by their inability to capitalize offensively, but they rank near the bottom of the league in shots allowed, opening the door for opponents to find the back of the net. Anaheim, similarly, ranks last in shots allowed per game and has struggled to sustain defensive pressure, particularly against teams with aggressive forechecking.

Both teams feature inconsistent goaltending that could be exposed in this matchup. Detroit has a balanced offensive unit capable of breaking out against weaker defensive squads like Anaheim. Meanwhile, the Ducks have shown flashes of scoring ability, particularly on home ice, and could exploit the Red Wings' defensive lapses.

Look for both teams to generate scoring chances in bunches, leading to a higher-scoring outcome. Take the over. Projected score: Detroit 5, Anaheim 3.

11-06-24 Golden Knights v. Oilers OVER 6.5 4-2 Loss -100 13 h 22 m Show

My selection is on the 'over' between Vegas and Edmonton at 8:35 pm et on Wednesday.

The Oilers continue to struggle offensively in the absence of Connor McDavid, dropping to 30th in the league in goals per game following Monday's 3-0 loss at the hands of the Devils. They'll need to pick it up in a hurry if they want to compete with the high-flying Golden Knights on Wednesday. Note that Vegas ranks second in the league in goals per game this season. Both teams have allowed over three goals per contest and I get the sense this could turn into a back-and-forth affair in a hurry. The projected goaltending matchup features Adin Hill for the Knights and Stuart Skinner for the Oilers. Both have disappointed in the early going, sporting .874 and .881 save percentages, respectively. Take the over (8*).

11-03-24 Oilers v. Flames OVER 6 Top 4-2 Push 0 13 h 36 m Show

Pacific Division Total of the Month. My selection is on the 'over' between Edmonton and Calgary at 8:05 pm et on Sunday.

The first instalment of the Battle of Albert this season resulted in a 4-1 Flames victory. These two rivals couldn't have gotten off to much different starts this season. The Oilers struggled out of the gate and lost Connor McDavid to injury last week. However, in their first game without McDavid on Thursday, the Oilers produced five goals in a rout of the Predators in Nashville. There's reason to believe Edmonton can still thrive without their superstar as we've seen it do just that in the past. I like the revenge angle here and figure the Oilers will be able to produce offensively against a Flames squad that ranks a middling 15th in the league in goals allowed per game and 27th in shots allowed per contest. Some defensive regression is also to be expected with Calgary coming off a shutout victory over the Devils on Friday. On the flip side, the Flames offense bounced back as expected in that return home against New Jersey. Here, they should benefit from facing an Oilers team that checks in ranked 22nd in the league in goals allowed per game, giving up just shy of 3.3. Take the over (10*).

11-02-24 Blue Jackets v. Capitals UNDER 6.5 2-7 Loss -115 9 h 6 m Show

My selection is on the 'under' between Columbus and Washington at 5:05 pm et on Saturday.

The Capitals are coming off consecutive high-scoring games to open their three-game homestand but I look for a different story to unfold on Saturday. Columbus will likely have no interest in an up-and-down affair having just played last night (at home against Winnipeg). Trading goals with a Capitals team that ranks top-three in the league in goals per game this season isn't going to get them a positive result in this contest. Of note, while the Caps have been outstanding offensively, they've been just as good in their own end of the rink where they've given up just 3.0 goals per contest - also good for third in the NHL. Oddly enough, these divisional foes haven't met since last December, when Washington skated to a relatively low-scoring 3-2 victory. Take the under (8*).

11-01-24 Devils v. Flames OVER 6.5 0-3 Loss -110 13 h 6 m Show

My selection is on the 'over' between New Jersey and Calgary at 9:05 pm et on Friday.

The Devils are coming off a 6-0 rout of the Canucks in Vancouver to open their current road trip and rank ninth in the league in goals per game this season. They draw a favorable matchup on Friday as the reeling Flames check in ranked tied for 21st in the NHL in goals allowed per contest. I do think we see Calgary break through offensively sooner rather than later, however, noting that it scored a grand total of one goal during its two-game jaunt to Las Vegas and Utah. Note that the Flames have produced 17 goals in regulation time in five previous home games this season. The last time these two teams met Calgary skated to a 5-3 win last February. Take the over (8*).

10-31-24 Seattle Kraken v. Maple Leafs UNDER 6.5 Top 1-4 Win 100 12 h 8 m Show

Non-Conference Total of the Week. My selection is on the 'under' between Seattle and Toronto at 7:05 pm et on Thursday.

Both of these teams are coming off high-scoring games with Seattle producing a whopping eight goals in a rout of the Canadiens and Toronto scoring six goals in a victory over the Jets last time out. I'm anticipating a much lower-scoring affair on Thursday, noting that the most recent matchup between these teams produced only four total goals last January. For all of their firepower, the Leafs check in ranked tied for 15th in the league in goals per game this season. Here, they'll run into a Kraken squad that has allowed three goals or less in four of their last five games and ranks 10th in the league in goals allowed per contest. The Leafs gave up five goals in their most recent home game, last week against St. Louis. However, they had allowed a grand total of only 10 goals in their four previous contests at home. Take the under (10*).

10-28-24 Flames v. Golden Knights UNDER 6.5 Top 0-5 Win 100 14 h 5 m Show

Pacific Division Total of the Month. My selection is on the 'under' between Calgary and Vegas at 10:05 pm et on Monday.

The Golden Knights have exploded for 19 goals during their current three-game winning streak. I'm anticipating some offensive regression moving forward and I think we'll see just that against a Flames club that gave up five goals in a home loss to the Jets on Saturday. Calgary is still off to a solid 5-2-1 start to the season and has allowed just 3.0 goals per contest - good for eighth (tied) in the league in that department. On the flip side, you would have to go back six games to find the last time Calgary produced more than three goals in a game. The last time these two teams squared off last March they combined to score only five goals. Take the under (10*).

10-24-24 Stars v. Bruins OVER 5.5 Top 5-2 Win 100 12 h 28 m Show

Non-Conference Total of the Month. My selection is on the 'over' between Dallas and Boston at 7:05 pm et on Thursday.

Both of these offenses have sputtered lately. Dallas checks in off a 4-2 loss in Buffalo on Tuesday while Boston dropped a 4-0 decision in Nashville on the same night. The Bruins should get a lift from returning home on Thursday while the Stars just need to keep firing pucks on night and the goals will come (they recorded 30 shots on goal in Tuesday's loss while the Bruins allowed a whopping 42 against Nashville). The most recent matchup between these two teams took place last February as the Bruins skated to a 4-3 victory. I believe this total has been set too low based on recent results as the firepower is certainly there on both sides to produce a relatively high-scoring affair. Take the over (10*).

06-24-24 Oilers v. Panthers UNDER 5.5 Top 1-2 Win 100 14 h 41 m Show

Total of the Month. My selection is on the 'under' between Edmonton and Florida at 8:20 pm et on Monday.

This is it. It's a winner-take-all Game 7 in the Stanley Cup Final on Monday night in Sunrise and I don't think I'm making all that bold of a prediction in calling for goals to come at a premium.

Yes, the series has turned rather high-scoring in favor of the Oilers over the last three games. In fact, the 'over' has come through in four straight contests after three consecutive 'unders' to open the series. That's notable as the 'under' has gone 5-1 with the Oilers coming off four straight 'over' results this season (and 61-41 in their last 102 games in that situation).

Additionally, the 'under' is 6-0 with Edmonton coming off three straight victories by two goals or more this season.

I think it's going to take a miraculous effort for the Panthers to lock in and solve Oilers red hot goaltender Stuart Skinner on Monday. The longer series' have gone, the stronger Skinner has gotten throughout these playoffs and that has certainly held true in this matchup. The Oilers offense gets a lot of the press, but Skinner has been right there as a potential MVP candidate in this series.

Meanwhile, this might as well be termed as a 'legacy game' for Panthers goaltender Sergei Bobrovsky. Have the Oilers gotten into his head? Maybe. I like that the Panthers gave him an extra day off from practice to clear his head and expect a much better performance from him on Monday. Take the under (10*).

05-29-24 Stars v. Oilers UNDER 6 Top 2-5 Loss -118 14 h 22 m Show

Western Conference Final Total of the Year. My selection is on the 'under' between Dallas and Edmonton at 8:30 pm et on Wednesday.

We saw a wild, high-scoring affair between these two teams in Game 3 on Monday as the Oilers jumped ahead early but couldn't make their lead stand up in an eventual 5-3 loss. The Stars couldn't have been happy about falling behind by two goals so early in that game while the Oilers were obviously not pleased with giving up three goals in succession in the second period. I think we see things tighten up in Game 4 on Wednesday, much like we saw in the first two games of the series which totalled just five and four goals (with the former requiring overtime). Note that the 'under' is a long-term 28-17 with Edmonton trailing in a series including an 8-5 mark in that situation over the last three seasons. The 'under' is also 29-17 over the last three seasons with the Oilers seeking revenge for a loss in which their opponent scored five goals or more including a 14-7 record in that spot this season. As for the Stars, they've seen the 'under' go 5-2 when leading a playoff series over the last three seasons including a 3-1 mark this season. Take the under (10*).

05-20-24 Oilers v. Canucks UNDER 6 3-2 Win 100 37 h 16 m Show

My selection is on the 'under' between Edmonton and Vancouver at 9 pm et on Monday.

The floodgates opened up for the Oilers in Game 6 of this series on Saturday as they rolled to a 5-1 victory to force Monday's seventh-and-deciding game. The stakes become that much higher and I certainly don't think the environment will be conducive to another Edmonton offensive explosion. For the Canucks, their offense has suddenly run dry, scoring just three goals in the last five periods of hockey. I liked what I saw from Oilers goaltender Stuart Skinner as he took over the reins from Calvin Pickard in advance of Game 6. I do think it is Skinner that gives Edmonton its best shot at coming away victorious in Game 7. Regardless, this feels like a 'first to three wins' type of contest. Take the under (8*).

05-16-24 Oilers v. Canucks OVER 6 Top 2-3 Loss -120 36 h 23 m Show

Western Conference Second Round Total of the Year. My selection is on the 'over' between Edmonton and Vancouver at 10 pm et on Thursday.

The Oilers scoring floor has been rock solid in this series as they've scored at least three goals in all four games to date. Now that Edmonton has evened up the series, the onus is back on the Canucks to punch back in Game 5 on home ice. Note that Vancouver averages 3.4 goals per game at home this season. My concern for the Canucks right now is that perhaps the Oilers have figured out Latvian goaltender Arturs Silovs to a certain extent. Note that the 'over' has gone 11-5 in the Oilers last 16 Game 5's including a 5-0 mark over the last three seasons (1-0 this year). The 'over' is also 18-5 with Edmonton coming off a one-goal win over a division opponent over the last three seasons including a 6-1 record in that situation this season. The Canucks have seen the 'over' go 12-7 when seeking revenge for a road loss against an opponent and 24-16 following an 'under' result, as is the case here, this season. Take the over (10*).

05-15-24 Avalanche v. Stars UNDER 6.5 5-3 Loss -120 14 h 41 m Show

My selection is on the 'under' between Colorado and Dallas at 8 pm et on Wednesday.

As these second round series' go on we're seeing more and more low-scoring games and I expect that to hold true as the Avalanche and Stars meet in Game 5 on Wednesday. Colorado got jolted by the sudden suspension of forward Valeri Nichushkin prior to Game 4. The Avs came out flat-footed and ultimately dropped a 5-1 decision. Colorado has now lost each of the last three games and that's notable as the 'under' has gone 7-3 when it has followed up three straight defeats over the last three seasons including a 2-1 mark this season. The 'under' is also a long-term 18-12 in the Avs last 30 contests when facing elimination in a series including a 2-0 record over the last three seasons. Meanwhile, the 'under' is 4-1 with the Stars leading a playoff series over the last three seasons including a 2-0 mark this season. Additionally, the 'under' has gone 5-1 with Dallas attempting to close out a playoff series over the last three seasons. Take the under (8*).

05-13-24 Hurricanes v. Rangers UNDER 5.5 4-1 Win 100 9 h 10 m Show

Metropolitan Division Total of the Month. My selection is on the 'under' between Carolina and New York at 7 pm et on Monday.

This has been a higher-scoring series than expected with three of the four games totalling exactly seven goals including Game 4 on Saturday, which went Carolina's way by a 4-3 score. Here, I'm anticipating a lower-scoring affair as the scene shifts back to Manhattan for another potential elimination game. The Rangers rank third in goals allowed per game in these playoffs, giving up just 2.4. After falling behind 2-0 in the blink of an eye on Saturday, they'll need to tighten things up if they want to close out the Canes at home on Monday. Carolina ranks ninth among the 16 playoff teams in terms of goals allowed per contest but has given up just shy of 2.9, illustrating how things tend to get a lot tighter in the postseason. After allowing at least three goals in all four games in this series to date, I do think the Canes have a better defensive performance loaded up for Monday. Facing elimination, they have no choice but to lock things down. Take the under (10*).

05-12-24 Panthers v. Bruins UNDER 5.5 Top 3-2 Win 100 12 h 22 m Show

Second Round Total of the Year. My selection is on the 'under' between Florida and Boston at 6:30 pm et on Sunday.

We've seen three straight high-scoring affairs to open this series with the winning team scoring at least five goals in all three contests. I look for a different story to unfold in a pivotal Game 4 matchup in Boston on Sunday. The Panthers have now seen the 'over' cash in six straight games. Note that the 'under' is a long-term 17-13 with Florida coming off six straight 'over' results. The 'under' is also 13-8 in the Panthers last 21 games following consecutive wins over division opponents including a 5-3 record in that situation this season. Meanwhile, the Bruins have seen the 'under' go 15-10 in their last 25 contests following three straight 'over' results including a 6-1 mark this season. The 'under' is also a long-term 6-3 with Boston coming off consecutive losses by four goals or more. Take the under (10*).

05-06-24 Bruins v. Panthers UNDER 5.5 5-1 Loss -125 24 h 3 m Show

My selection is on the 'under' between Boston and Florida at 8 pm et on Monday.

We saw a wild, high-scoring game to open the second round of the Stanley Cup Playoffs yesterday as the Rangers held off the Hurricanes by a 4-3 score. I expect nothing of the sort as the Panthers host the Bruins to begin their second round series on Monday. Note that the 'under' is 11-3 with Florida coming off a win by five goals or more, as is the case here, including a 3-0 record in that situation this season. The 'under' is also 9-5 in the Panthers last 14 contests when seeking revenge for three straight losses against an opponent, which is the situation here, including a 5-1 record in that spot this season. The 'under' is 17-12 in Boston's last 29 contests following an overtime victory including a 7-4 mark this season. Finally, the 'under' is a long-term winner at 46-41 in the Bruins last 87 divisional contests including a 20-12 record this season. Take the under (8*).

05-04-24 Maple Leafs v. Bruins UNDER 5.5 Top 1-2 Win 100 12 h 29 m Show

Eastern Conference First Round Total of the Year. My selection is on the 'under' between Toronto and Boston at 8 pm et on Saturday.

If this series went any longer would probably see 5's on the board in terms of the total. The last three games have totalled four, three and three goals noting that one of those contests required overtime and another saw a meaningless goal scored in the game's final second. I'm expecting goals to come at a premium again in Saturday's seventh-and-deciding game in Boston. Note that the 'under' is a long-term 40-28 in the Maple Leafs last 68 games after scoring two goals or less in four straight contests, as is the case here, including a 3-0 mark in that situation over the last three seasons (this is the first time it has come up this season). Meanwhile, the Bruins have seen the 'under' go 11-3 when coming off a one-goal loss against a division opponent over the last three seasons including a 4-1 record in that spot this season. The 'under' is also a long-term 32-28 with Boston coming off three straight games that totalled four goals or less. Take the under (10*).

04-23-24 Avalanche v. Jets UNDER 6.5 5-2 Loss -120 10 h 6 m Show

My selection is on the 'under' between Colorado and Winnipeg at 9:30 pm et on Tuesday.

We saw a wild, high-scoring affair to open this series on Sunday. I don't think either coach came away particularly pleased, even if Rick Bowness had to be happy that his team did come away victorious. Look for a much different style of game to unfold in Game 2 on Tuesday, noting that the 'under' is 42-24 with the Avalanche seeking revenge for a same season loss against an opponent including a 13-8 mark in that situation this season. The 'under' is also 8-2 in the Jets last 10 contests when coming off four straight 'over' results including a 2-0 mark this season. Keep in mind, the Jets check in having allowed just 2.5 goals per game on home ice this season. They'll most definitely get some push-back from the Avs here but I think it lends itself to a lower-scoring affair. Take the under (8*).

04-22-24 Kings v. Oilers UNDER 6 Top 4-7 Loss -120 25 h 26 m Show

First Round Total of the Year. My selection is on the 'under' between Los Angeles and Edmonton at 10 pm et on Monday.

When you think of the Edmonton Oilers, low-scoring games aren't necessarily the first thing that comes to mind. With that being said, the Oilers have recorded an 18-20-3 o/u record on home ice this season and the 'under' is a perfect 4-0 in their last four meetings with the Kings. Los Angeles has posted a 13-26-2 o/u mark on the road this season with an average total of just 5.7 goals scored. Note that the 'under' is 61-50 in the Kings last 111 contests following an 'over' result including an 18-12 mark in that situation this season. The 'under' is also 38-33 in Los Angeles' last 71 games when seeking revenge for a loss in which its opponent scored four goals or more, which is the situation here, including a 16-10 record in that spot this season. Meanwhile, the 'under' is 21-18 in Edmonton's last 39 games following a loss by three goals or more, as is the case here, including an 8-6 mark this season. Take the under (10*).

04-11-24 Capitals v. Sabres OVER 6 Top 2-4 Push 0 11 h 60 m Show

Eastern Conference Total of the Year. My selection is on the 'over' between Washington and Buffalo at 7:05 pm et on Thursday.

Both of these teams have been trending to the 'under' lately but I expect a different story to unfold as they match up on Thursday in Buffalo. The Capitals currently hold down the final Wild Card spot in the Eastern Conference playoff hunt but their hold is tenuous at best. They need to throw everything they have at the Sabres on Thursday. Buffalo comes off consecutive road losses in Detroit and Dallas in which it scored a grand total of three goals. A return home should help the Sabres cause as should facing the Caps noting that Washington is giving up an average of 3.3 goals per game on the road this season. Note that the 'over' is 14-10 in Washington's last 24 games following three straight 'under' results, as is the case here, including a 5-4 mark in that situation this season. Meanwhile, Buffalo has seen the 'over' go 26-16 in its last 42 contests when coming off consecutive 'under' results, which is also the situation here, including a 12-9 record in that spot this season. Take the over (10*).

04-09-24 Wild v. Avalanche UNDER 6.5 2-5 Loss -115 12 h 3 m Show

My selection is on the 'under' between Minnesota and Colorado at 9:35 pm et on Tuesday.

The Avalanche will look to settle things down following consecutive high-scoring losses against the Oilers and Stars as they host the Wild on Tuesday. This figures to be a favorable spot for the Avs as the Wild have produced a grand total of just five goals in the last three meetings in this series. Note that Minnesota is coming off a shutout win in Chicago on Sunday. The 'under' is 33-27 in the Wild's last 60 contests following a road win including a 10-6 mark in that situation this season. Meanwhile, the 'under' is 5-1 in Colorado's last six contests after giving up five goals or more in consecutive games, as is the case here, including a 2-0 record this season. Take the under (8*).

04-04-24 Blues v. Predators OVER 6 3-6 Win 100 13 h 58 m Show

My selection is on the 'over' between St. Louis and Nashville at 8:05 pm et on Thursday.

The Predators are coming off a shutout defeat at the hands of the Bruins on home ice two nights ago. That's worth noting as the 'over' is a long-term 25-16 in their last 41 games after getting shut out at home including a 4-0 mark in that situation over the last three seasons (this is the first time it has come up this season). The Blues have seen the 'over' cash at a 28-11 clip in their last 39 contests played on two days' rest, as is the case here, including a 7-4 record in that spot this season. Additionally, the 'over' is 17-5 in St. Louis' last 22 games following an overtime victory including a 5-2 mark this season. Take the over (8*).

03-19-24 Jets v. Rangers UNDER 5.5 Top 4-2 Loss -105 23 h 4 m Show

Non-Conference Total of the Week. My selection is on the 'under' between Winnipeg and New York at 7:05 pm et on Tuesday.

The 'under' has cashed in six straight meetings in this series and I expect more of the same on Tuesday. Winnipeg has scored six goals in consecutive games but those came against the Ducks and Blue Jackets - two of the league's worst defensive teams. Here, the Jets will run into a red hot Rangers squad that has allowed just 2.6 goals per game on home ice this season. Winnipeg road games have totalled an average of only 5.4 goals. Note that the 'under' is 12-9 in the Jets last 21 games following three straight 'over' results, as is the case here, including a 3-1 mark in that situation this season. The 'under' is also 40-23 in Winnipeg's last 63 contests following consecutive wins including a 15-8 record in that spot this season. Meanwhile, the 'under' is 9-4 in the Rangers last 13 games following consecutive wins by three goals or more and 10-4 in their last 14 contests after scoring five goals or more in two straight games. Take the under (10*).

03-17-24 Hurricanes v. Senators UNDER 6.5 7-2 Loss -120 9 h 29 m Show

My selection is on the 'under' between Carolina and Ottawa at 6:05 pm et on Sunday.

The Hurricanes pulled out a 6-5 shootout win in Toronto last night but that's obviously not how head coach Rod Brind'Amour wants his team playing as the playoffs quickly approach. Carolina trailed that game 3-0 in the second period and by two goals with less than two minutes remaining. I look for the Canes to tighten things up considerably as they continue their road trip in Ottawa on Sunday. The Senators have shown some life lately, securing three straight victories including yesterday's overtime win on Long Island. Yesterday's contest marked their first in four games to go 'over' the total and they haven't seen consecutive games go 'over' the total since February 24th and 26th. Note that the 'under' is 20-18 in the Canes last 38 games played on the second of back-to-back days including a 7-4 mark in that situation this season. Meanwhile, the 'under' is 41-32 in the Senators last 73 contests when seeking revenge for a loss in which their opponent scored four goals or more, as is the case here, including a 15-12 record in that spot this season. Take the under (8*).

03-04-24 Blackhawks v. Avalanche OVER 6 Top 0-5 Loss -110 25 h 10 m Show

Central Division Total of the Month. My selection is on the 'over' between Chicago and Colorado at 9:05 pm et on Monday.

The most recent matchup between these two teams last week in Chicago fizzled as the Avalanche skated to an easy 5-0 victory. While most are expecting more of the same in this quick rematch, I expect the Blackhawks to put up more of a fight. That should lend itself to a relatively high-scoring affair. While the Chicago offense has been putrid lately, it's worth noting that it's current streak of five straight games scoring two goals or less marks its longest such streak this season. Note that the 'over' is a perfect 2-0 the two previous times it has come off five straight games scoring two goals or less this season. Additionally, the 'over' is 11-8 in Chicago's last 19 games when seeking revenge for a shutout loss against an opponent. Meanwhile the Avs will be in a foul mood after dropping a 5-1 decision in Nashville on Saturday. Note that the 'over' is 17-10 in their last 27 contests after scoring one goal or less in their previous game. The 'over' is also 12-3 in their last 15 games following a road loss against a division opponent. The Blackhawks have been as generous as they come on the road this season, allowing a whopping 4.1 goals per game. Take the over (10*).

03-03-24 Jets v. Sabres UNDER 6 5-2 Loss -100 12 h 60 m Show

My selection is on the 'under' between Winnipeg and Buffalo at 7:05 pm et on Sunday.

These two teams combined to score 12 goals in their respective games yesterday. For the Jets, it was an incredible third period comeback as they rallied from a 3-0 deficit to defeat the Hurricanes 5-3 in Raleigh. Meanwhile, the Sabres skated to a stunning 7-2 victory over the Golden Knights. I expect a different story to unfold on Sunday. Buffalo has to figure Winnipeg is feeling pretty good about itself after scoring five unanswered third period goals yesterday. While the Sabres offense did show out on Saturday, I don't think it wants to trade goals with the Jets on Sunday. Note that Buffalo averages just 2.8 goals per game on home ice this season. It has also been quite stingy defensively on home ice, allowing an identical 2.8 goals per contest. Meanwhile, the Jets have seen their road games average only 5.3 total goals. They'll want to keep this game in front of them on Sunday after falling behind 3-0 after two periods in yesterday's contest. Note that the 'under' is a long-term 46-34 with the Jets playing on the road with the total set at 6.0 or higher. Meanwhile, Buffalo has seen the 'under' go a long-term 27-23 when seeking revenge for a road loss against an opponent, as is the case here. Take the under (8*).

03-02-24 Blue Jackets v. Blackhawks OVER 6 Top 5-2 Win 100 12 h 6 m Show

Non-Conference Total of the Year. My selection is on the 'over' between Columbus and Chicago at 8:05 pm et on Saturday.

The Blackhawks offense has been putrid lately, scoring a grand total of just five goals over its last four games. A home date with the Blue Jackets might be just what it needs to get kick-started though, noting that Columbus has allowed 3.8 goals per game on the road this season and four goals or more in 13 of its last 19 games overall. The Blue Jackets have produced only three goals over their last two contests but those came against two of the league's best teams in the Rangers and Hurricanes. Here, they'll face a Blackhawks squad that has allowed at least three goals in five straight and eight of its last nine games. Interestingly, Columbus has been a better offensive team on the road compared to at home this season, averaging 3.0 goals per contest. This will be the second meeting between these two teams this season after Columbus skated to a lopsided 7-3 victory at home back in November. Note that the 'over' is 19-10 in the Blue Jackets last 29 games following consecutive losses by two goals or more against division opponents, as is the case here, including an 'over' result the only time that situation has presented itself over the last three seasons. Perhaps more notable, the 'over' is 50-29 in the Jackets last 79 contests following consecutive losses including a 15-6 mark in that situation this season. Meanwhile, the 'over' is 6-1 in the Blackhawks last seven games following a shutout loss at home including a 1-0 record in that spot this season. The 'over' is also 6-3 in Chicago's last nine games following a loss by five goals or more including a 2-1 mark this season. Take the over (10*).

03-01-24 Flyers v. Capitals UNDER 6 2-5 Loss -108 11 h 33 m Show

My selection is on the 'under' between Philadelphia and Washington at 7:05 pm et on Friday.

Both of these teams were in need of a chance to catch their breath after a couple of wild, high-scoring contests and they both got just that with consecutive days off leading up to this key divisional showdown. Note that the Capitals have two games-in-hand on the Flyers and sit just six points behind them in the Metropolitan Division standings. Needless to say, this game has 'playoff-like atmosphere' written all over it (I admittedly hate that cliche). While the Flyers have scored a whopping 12 goals in their last two games they average just 3.0 goals per game on the season. For our purposes, they've been quite stingy defensively on the road, allowing only 2.8 goals per contest. Meanwhile, the Capitals check in averaging just 2.6 goals per game on the season with that number rising to just 2.7 at home. While the 'over' did cash in the most recent matchup between these two teams we haven't seen consecutive 'over' results in this series since a four-game streak back in 2021. Note that the 'under' is 27-16 in the Flyers last 43 games played on two days' rest including a 9-3 mark in that situation this season. The 'under' is also 8-5 in Philadelphia's last 13 contests following consecutive games that totalled at least eight goals including a 2-1 record in that spot this season. The 'under' is 33-14 in the Caps last 47 contests after losing their previous game by five goals or more, as is the case here. That situation has presented itself just three times in the last three seasons (all three occurring this season in fact) with the 'under' going 2-1. Take the under (8*).

02-29-24 Jets v. Stars UNDER 6 1-4 Win 100 11 h 57 m Show

My selection is on the 'under' between Winnipeg and Dallas at 8:05 pm et on Thursday.

The Jets got off to a fast start scoring three goals in the first period and cruised to a 4-2 win over the Blues two nights ago. Now they head out on the road for a matchup against the Stars who will be bent on bouncing back following a 5-1 drubbing in Colorado on Tuesday. Winnipeg has been as stingy as they come defensively on the road this season, holding the opposition to just 2.4 goals per game. In fact, Jets road games have averaged only 5.2 total goals. That's a stark contrast to Dallas' play at home where it has averaged 4.0 goals per contest while giving up 3.4. With that being said, the Stars are really struggling offensively right now. They've scored two goals or less in five straight games and three or fewer in seven consecutive matchups. They enter this game riding a five-game 'under' streak. Note that the 'under' is 48-38 in the Jets last 86 games when seeking revenge for a loss against an opponent, as is the case here, including a 12-7 mark in that situation this season. The 'under' is also 22-10 in Winnipeg's last 32 contests after scoring four goals or more in consecutive games including a 5-2 record in that spot this season. While you might think the Stars 'under' streak is due to turn they've actually seen the 'under' go 47-38 in their last 85 contests following five straight 'under' results including a 12-5 mark in that situation over the last three seasons. The 'under' is also a long-term 20-12 in Dallas' last 32 games after being held to two goals or less in five straight games. That situation has come up just once in the last three seasons and the 'under' prevailed on that occasion as well. Take the under (8*).

02-28-24 Blues v. Oilers UNDER 6.5 Top 2-3 Win 100 12 h 5 m Show

Non-Division Total of the Month. My selection is on the 'under' between St. Louis and Edmonton at 8:35 pm et on Wednesday.

The Blues are reeling right now, losers of four of their last five games as they try to hang on in the Western Conference playoff race. They gave up three first period goals before settling down and eventually dropping a 4-2 decision in Winnipeg last night. Note that scoring has been a problem for the Blues on the road this season where they average just 2.6 goals per game. Meanwhile, the Oilers have been relatively stingy at home where they've held the opposition to just 2.9 goals per contest. Note that the 'under' is 21-18 in St. Louis' last 39 games following a loss against a division opponent including an incredible 9-2 mark in that situation this season. The 'under' is also 15-13 with the Blues coming off consecutive losses by two goals or more, as is the case here, including a 6-1 record in that situation this season. Meanwhile, the 'under' is 24-15 in the Oilers last 39 games when seeking revenge for a loss against an opponent in which it scored five goals or more, which is the situation there after the Blues secured a 6-3 victory over them back on February 15th. That situation has cashed at a 9-5 clip this season. Take the under (10*).

02-27-24 Blues v. Jets UNDER 6 Top 2-4 Push 0 27 h 30 m Show

Central Division Total of the Year. My selection is on the 'under' between St. Louis and Winnipeg at 8:05 pm et on Tuesday.

The Blues got drilled 6-1 by the Red Wings in Detroit on Saturday. They've had a couple of days off to lick their wounds and regroup and I look for them to come up with a much better defensive effort on Tuesday in Winnipeg. Note that the 'under' is 20-17 in St. Louis' last 37 games following a road loss by three goals or more including a 10-3 mark in that situation this season. Winnipeg secured a 4-3 overtime win over Arizona on Sunday. The 'under' is 12-6 in the Jets last 18 contests following an overtime victory including a 2-1 record in that situation this season. Additionally, the 'under' is 23-7 in Winnipeg's last 30 games after scoring three goals or more in five straight contests, as is the case here, including a perfect 6-0 mark in that situation over the last three seasons. While the 'over' did cash in the most recent matchup between these two teams, we haven't seen consecutive 'over' results in this series since April of 2019. Take the under (10*).

02-24-24 Flames v. Oilers OVER 6.5 Top 6-3 Win 100 14 h 21 m Show

Pacific Division Total of the Month. My selection is on the 'over' between Calgary and Edmonton at 10:05 pm et on Saturday.

The Oilers have dropped consecutive games following last night's 4-2 defeat at the hands of the Wild on home ice. I expect them to bounce back on Saturday but the rival Flames certainly won't make it easy for them. Calgary averages a respectable 3.2 goals per game on the road this season which is actually higher than its season scoring average at home. It's been feast-or-famine for the Flames offense lately as they've scored three goals or more in six of their last eight games but were shut out in the other two. I don't anticipate the Oilers shutting them down completely here (Edmonton has allowed three goals or more in nine straight contests). Note that the 'over' is 27-13 in the Flames last 40 games when seeking revenge for a loss against an opponent in which they scored one goal or less, as is the case here, including a 7-3 mark in that situation this season. The 'over' is also 9-6 in Calgary's last 15 games following an overtime win including a perfect 3-0 mark this season. Meanwhile, the 'over' is 30-25 in the Oilers last 55 games following a loss by two goals or more including an 8-6 mark in that situation this season. The 'over' is also 14-9 in their last 23 contests played on the second of back-to-back nights including a 2-1 record this season. Take the over (10*).

02-22-24 Avalanche v. Red Wings OVER 6.5 1-2 Loss -135 10 h 36 m Show

My selection is on the 'over' between Colorado and Detroit at 7:05 pm et on Thursday.

The 'under' cashed in the most recent meeting between these two teams last March. You would have to go back to 2014-15 to find the last time consecutive matchups between the Avalanche and Red Wings stayed 'under' the total. It's no secret that Detroit is one of the worst defensive teams in the league. There's reason to believe it can stay competitive in this contest, however, as Colorado has been just as leaky defensively on the road where it has yielded 3.6 goals per game. Note that the 'over' is 16-8 in the Avs last 24 games following consecutive home wins, as is the case here, including a 6-1 mark this season. Meanwhile, the 'over' is 23-12 in the Red Wings last 35 games following a one-goal victory including a 6-5 record in that situation this season. Take the over (8*).

02-19-24 Stars v. Bruins UNDER 6 3-4 Loss -114 15 h 8 m Show

My selection is on the 'under' between Dallas and Boston at 1:05 pm et on Monday.

Both of these teams are coming off high-scoring overtime losses on home ice on Saturday. I look for a different story to unfold as the Stars and Bruins match up in a matinee affair in Boston on Monday. Dallas actually held the high-powered Oilers offense off the scoreboard for the entire first and third periods on Saturday but gave up three goals in the second frame and another in overtime in a 4-3 defeat. Note that the Stars check in allowing just 2.6 goals per game on the road this season. The Bruins have a fairly well-established ceiling offensively in this particular series having scored three goals or less in the last 12 meetings, reaching four goals just once over that stretch. Boston desperately needs to button things up defensively after allowing five goals in an overtime loss against the Kings on Saturday - its fourth consecutive loss on home ice. Still, the Bruins have allowed only 2.6 goals per game at home this season. Note that the 'under' is 14-10 in the Stars last 24 games following a one-goal loss at home. Meanwhile, the 'under' is 12-6 in the Bruins last 18 contests in the identical situation. Take the under (8*).

02-18-24 Rangers v. Islanders UNDER 5.5 6-5 Loss -100 7 h 45 m Show

My selection is on the 'under' between the Rangers and Islanders at 3:05 pm et on Sunday.

The 'over' has cashed in each of the last two meetings between these two teams but this is the first matchup this season. Note that we haven't seen three straight 'over' results in this rivalry since 2016-17. The 'under' is 19-12 in the Rangers last 31 games following a home win by three goals or more, as is the case here. The Blueshirts have also seen the 'under' go 19-11 in their last 30 contests following consecutive wins by two goals or more. Meanwhile, the 'under' is 12-6 in the Islanders last 18 games played on three or more days' rest and 20-17 in their last 37 contests after scoring two goals or less in consecutive games, which is also the situation here. Take the under (8*).

02-15-24 Avalanche v. Lightning UNDER 6.5 3-6 Loss -100 10 h 58 m Show

My selection is on the 'under' between Colorado and Tampa Bay at 7:05 pm et on Thursday.

The Avalanche are coming off a 6-3 victory in Washington two nights ago - the second time they scored six goals against the Caps over the last three weeks. Still, Colorado has produced just 12 goals in six games going back to the All-Star break. It will be facing a Lightning team that has been fairly stingy on home ice this season, allowing just 2.5 goals per contest. Tampa Bay persevered and notched a 3-2 shootout win in Boston on Tuesday. Like the Avs, the Bolts have struggled for the most part offensively since the All-Star break, scoring only nine goals in regulation time over their last four contests. Despite all the offensive firepower on these two teams, the 'under' has actually gone 5-1 in the last six meetings in this series. Note that the 'under' is 14-6 in the Avs last 20 games after allowing three goals or more in four consecutive games, as is the case here. The 'under' is also a long-term 161-133 with Colorado coming off a road win in which it scored four goals or more. Meanwhile, the 'under' is 15-9 in the Lightning's last 24 games following an overtime win and 12-9 in their last 21 contests after a road win over a division opponent. Take the under (8*).

02-14-24 Panthers v. Penguins UNDER 6 5-2 Loss -110 23 h 28 m Show

My selection is on the 'under' between Florida and Pittsburgh at 7:35 pm et on Wednesday.

The Panthers may be known for their offensive prowess but they've flipped the script this season and check into Wednesday's matchup in Pittsburgh as one of the best 'under' bets in hockey. Florida is coming off a 4-0 victory over Colorado on Saturday and you would have to go back six games to find the last time it posted an 'over' result. In fact, the 'under' is 18-5-2 in the Panthers last 25 contests. Similarly, Pittsburgh enters riding a five-game 'under' streak and has posted a 2-10 o/u mark over its last 12 games. These two teams just met here in Pittsburgh on January 26th and the result was a 3-2 Panthers victory. Note that Florida has allowed just 2.3 goals per game on the road this season while Pittsburgh has given up an identical 2.3 goals per contest at home. The 'under' is 12-8 in the Panthers last 20 games played on three days' rest and 17-12 in their last 29 games following a win by four goals or more. Meanwhile, the 'under' is 20-16 in the Penguins last 36 games played with double-revenge, as is the case here, and 9-2 in their last 11 contests following consecutive road losses. Take the under (8*).

02-13-24 Red Wings v. Oilers OVER 6.5 4-8 Win 100 15 h 56 m Show

My selection is on the 'over' between Detroit and Edmonton at 9:05 pm et on Tuesday.

The 'under' is 12-1 in the Oilers last 13 games and that's affording us a total of 6.5 in a game where I believe it should be set at 7.0 on Tuesday. Note that the last two meetings between these teams in Edmonton have produced a total of 21 goals. Detroit checks in off a 4-3 overtime victory over Vancouver on Saturday. The 'over' is 52-29 in the Red Wings last 83 games against Western Conference opponents. The Wings have also seen the 'over' go 13-4 in their last 17 contests following a one-goal victory at home. The Oilers were shut out on Saturday in Los Angeles, dropping a 4-0 decision. The 'over' is 5-2 in their last seven games after getting shut out and 21-15 in their last 36 contests following a game that totalled four goals or less. Note that the 'over' is also 8-3 in Edmonton's last 11 games following a road loss against a division opponent. Take the over (8*).

02-12-24 Seattle Kraken v. Devils OVER 6.5 1-3 Loss -101 11 h 37 m Show

My selection is on the 'over' between Seattle and New Jersey at 7:05 pm et on Monday.

These two teams were both involved in relatively low-scoring affairs on Saturday as Seattle dropped a 3-2 decision in Philadelphia and New Jersey fell by a 1-0 score (in overtime) in Carolina. I look for a different story to unfold on Monday as they match up in Newark. The Kraken have scored a grand total of just two goals over their last two games and appeared rather lifeless in Saturday's loss against the Flyers, firing only 19 shots on goal. I'm willing to blame rust on that poor performance as they hadn't played a game since January 30th. Prior to its last two games, Seattle had scored 13 goals over a three-game stretch so we know what it is capable of. The Kraken draw a favorable matchup here as the Devils have had a tough time keeping the puck out of their own net at home this season, allowing 3.9 goals per game. New Jersey was shut out on Saturday but had potted eight goals in its previous two games following the All-Star break. Keep in mind, the Devils recently welcomed back superstar Jack Hughes from injury. Note that the 'over' is 28-22 with the Kraken seeking revenge for a home loss against an opponent, as is the case here. The 'over' is also 15-11 when they come off a road loss by one goal. Meanwhile, the 'over' is 21-12 in the Devils last 33 contests after holding their previous opponent to one goal or less and 12-9 in their last 21 games following a contest that totalled three goals or less. Take the over (8*).

02-10-24 Penguins v. Jets OVER 5.5 1-2 Loss -114 10 h 4 m Show

My selection is on the 'over' between Pittsburgh and Winnipeg at 7:05 pm et on Saturday.

These two teams just faced each other earlier this week with the Penguins skating to a 3-0 victory on home ice. Winnipeg has been held to a grand total of four goals during its current five-game losing streak so it is obviously desperate for a breakout performance here. Meanwhile, Pittsburgh has scored three goals or less in a season-high nine straight games following last night's 3-2 defeat in Minnesota. The Pens are still averaging 3.2 goals per contest on the road this season while the Jets average 3.3 goals per game on home ice. Note that the 'over' is 14-7 in Pittsburgh's last 21 road games with the total set at 5.5, as is the case here at the time of writing. The 'over' is also 16-9 in Pittsburgh's last 25 games following a one-goal loss on the road. Winnipeg in is uncharted territory in a sense as it comes off eight straight 'under' results (excluding pushes). That situation has come up only six times since the Jets returned to the league in 2011 with the 'over' going 4-2. The 'over' is also 11-8 in their last 19 games when seeking revenge for a road loss by three goals or more against an opponent. Take the over (8*).

02-09-24 Penguins v. Wild OVER 6 2-3 Loss -106 12 h 10 m Show

My selection is on the 'over' between Pittsburgh and Minnesota at 8:05 pm et on Friday.

Both of these teams are coming off low-scoring games last time out with the Penguins skating to a 3-0 victory over the Jets and the Wild prevailing 2-1 over the Blackhawks. I expect a different story to unfold on Friday. Pittsburgh has now been held to three goals or less in a season-high eight straight games. I think there's a good chance it snaps that streak here. Note that the Pens have been a higher-scoring team on the road than at home this season, averaging 3.2 goals per game. They'll be facing a Wild squad that allows 3.3 goals per contest on home ice. Minnesota will give the start to former Pen Marc-Andre Fleury after he didn't get the nod in the previous matchup between these two teams in Pittsburgh. Fleury owns a less than impressive .889 save percentage in 12 appearances at home this season. The Pens lit him up for four goals on 31 shots in their lone matchup with him last season. The question becomes whether Minnesota can contribute enough offensively to help this total along. I believe it can. The Wild average 3.0 goals per game on home ice this season. They've been held to two goals or less in three straight games. That's happened only once previously this season (a four-game streak). Note that the 'over' is 13-10 in Pittsburgh's last 23 games following three straight 'under' results, as is the case here. The 'over' is also 16-11 in the Pens last 27 games following a contest that totalled three goals or less. Meanwhile, the 'over' is 32-18 in Minnesota's last 50 contests when seeking revenge for a road loss against an opponent and 19-14 in its last 33 games following a win over a division opponent. Take the over (8*).

02-06-24 Avalanche v. Devils OVER 6.5 Top 3-5 Win 100 23 h 35 m Show

Non-Conference Total of the Month. My selection is on the 'over' between Colorado and New Jersey at 7:35 pm et on Tuesday.

The Avalanche were involved in a low-scoring affair in Manhattan last night but I look for a different story to unfold as they make the short trip to Newark to face the Devils on Tuesday. New Jersey checks in allowing 3.9 goals per game on home ice this season. The Devils are in need of help between the pipes noting they don't have a goaltender on their roster that has recorded a save percentage higher than .895 this season. I do expect New Jersey to hang tough here, however, noting that it comes off consecutive road losses prior to the All-Star break. The Devils certainly haven't forgotten a 6-3 loss they suffered in Colorado in the lone previous meeting between these teams this season. Note that the 'over' is 29-23 in the Devils last 52 games when seeking revenge for a road loss against an opponent. The Avalanche are likely to give backup goaltender Justus Annunen just his second start of the season after Alexandar Georgiev faced his former team last night. Annunen allowed four goals in a 7-4 victory in Ottawa in his lone previous start this season. Take the over (10*).

02-05-24 Islanders v. Maple Leafs OVER 6.5 3-2 Loss -108 11 h 17 m Show

My selection is on the 'over' between New York and Toronto at 7:05 pm et on Monday.

The All-Star break probably came at the right time for the Islanders and new head coach Patrick Roy as they had lost three straight games heading in. When we last saw them take the ice they dropped a 3-2 home decision against the Panthers. Note that the 'over' is 12-6 with New York coming off an 'under' result this season. The Isles have been a disappointment defensively, allowing 3.4 goals per game with that number rising to 3.5 on the road. The Maple Leafs are in a similar boat in that department having allowed 3.5 goals per game on home ice this season. Of course, Toronto also boasts one of the best offenses in the league, averaging 3.7 goals per contest here at home. Note that the 'over' is 12-4 in the Leafs last 16 games after allowing two goals or less in three straight games, as is the case here. The 'over' is also 24-12 in their last 36 contests following three straight victories. Finally, we'll note that the 'over' has cashed in four straight meetings in this series. Take the over (8*).

01-30-24 Blue Jackets v. Blues UNDER 6.5 1-0 Win 102 9 h 46 m Show

My selection is on the 'under' between Columbus and St. Louis at 8:05 pm et on Tuesday.

The 'over' has cashed in the last five meetings in this series. That matches the longest such streak in the history of this series. It's happened twice previously and on both occasions the next meeting stayed 'under' the total. I expect a similar story to unfold here. Note that the 'under' is 13-11 in the Blue Jackets last 24 games following consecutive road losses. The 'under' is also 11-8 in the Blues last 19 contests when seeking revenge for a road loss by three goals or more against an opponent, as is the case here. Finally, the 'under' is 6-4 in the Blues last 10 games following four consecutive games that totalled seven goals or more. Take the under (8*).

01-24-24 Capitals v. Avalanche UNDER 6 2-6 Loss -100 25 h 14 m Show

My selection is on the 'under' between Washington and Colorado at 9:35 pm et on Wednesday.

We've become accustomed to seeing high-scoring games involving the Avalanche lately. In fact, each of their last five and nine of their last 10 games overall have totalled at least seven goals which is north of the number we're working with on Wednesday. I do think there's a 'catalyst for change' at work here, however, as the Avs return home from a long road trip to host the Capitals, who played in Minnesota last night. Note that Washington is allowing a respectable 3.1 goals per game on the road this season. The problem has been its offense, or lack thereof, as it has produced just 2.3 goals per contest away from home. Colorado, while known for its offensive prowess, has been stout defensively here at home, yielding just 2.9 goals per game this season. Note that this series has produced three straight 'under' results and a 1-4 o/u mark in the last five meetings. The 'under' is 10-5 with the Caps playing on the road with the total set at 6.0 or higher this season. Meanwhile, the 'under' is 8-4 in the Avs last 12 games after allowing four goals or more in three straight contests, as is the case here. The 'under' is also a long-term 161-132 with Colorado coming off a road win in which it scored four goals or more. Take the under (8*).

01-21-24 Lightning v. Red Wings OVER 6.5 Top 1-2 Loss -110 22 h 15 m Show

Atlantic Division Total of the Month. My selection is on the 'over' between Tampa Bay and Detroit at 7:05 pm et on Sunday.

The Lightning are coming off a relatively low-scoring victory in Buffalo yesterday afternoon. I expect a much different story to unfold as they make the short trip to the Motor City to face the Red Wings on Sunday. Note that this will be the second matchup between these two teams this season with Detroit having skated to a 6-4 win on home ice back in October. The 'over' is 27-19 in Tampa Bay's last 46 games when seeking revenge for a road loss against an opponent. Meanwhile, the 'over' is 49-25 in the Red Wings last 74 contests following a loss by two goals or more, as is the case here. The 'over' is also a long-term 52-37 with Detroit coming off an 'under' result, which is also the situation on Sunday. Take the over (10*).

01-18-24 Rangers v. Golden Knights UNDER 6 Top 1-5 Push 0 28 h 19 m Show

Non-Conference Total of the Week. My selection is on the 'under' between New York and Vegas at 10:05 pm et on Thursday.

You would have to go back eight meetings in this series, all the way to December of 2018 to find the last time we saw an 'over' result. I expect goals to come at a premium on Thursday as well. New York checks in off consecutive wins, rebounding from its recent four-game losing streak. Note that the Rangers have gone 13-9 on the road this season, where they've allowed just 2.8 goals per game. The 'under' is 32-26 in their last 58 contests following a win by three goals or more, as is the case here. While the Golden Knights have struggled to find the win column lately they have continued to play tough defensive hockey. Note that Vegas has held the opposition to just 2.3 goals per game on home ice this season. The Knights will need to continue to lean on that defense with a number of key contributors sidelined, including Jack Eichel. Note that the 'under' is 27-19 in Vegas' last 46 games following a home win in which it scored four goals or more. Take the under (10*).

01-17-24 Canadiens v. Devils OVER 6.5 Top 3-2 Loss -108 23 h 45 m Show

Eastern Conference Total of the Month. My selection is on the 'over' between Montreal and New Jersey at 7:05 pm et on Wednesday.

The Canadiens aren't rolling over for anyone right now, noting they've gone just 2-3 over their last five games but none of those losses came by more than a single goal. They should be feeling pretty good about themselves entering Wednesday's matchup in Newark as they're fresh off a 4-3 win over the Avalanche on Monday. The Devils will undoubtedly be in a foul mood following Monday's 3-0 shutout loss in Boston. Scoring hasn't really been an issue for the Devils lately, even without Jack Hughes among others. New Jersey had scored 21 goals over its previous five games prior to Monday's setback. The problem for the Devils here at home this season has been their inability to keep the puck out of their own net as they've allowed 3.7 goals per contest. Note that the 'over' is 13-8 in the Canadiens last 21 games when seeking revenge for a loss against an opponent, as is the case here. Meanwhile, the 'over' is 21-13 in the Devils last 34 contests following a road loss by three goals or more and 10-7 in their last 17 games following a loss of any sort. Take the over (10*).

01-16-24 Coyotes v. Flames UNDER 6 2-3 Win 100 10 h 49 m Show

My selection is on the 'under' between Arizona and Calgary at 9:05 pm et on Tuesday.

These two teams just met in Arizona less than a week ago with the Flames skating to a 6-2 victory. The Coyotes rebounded nicely from that loss, opening their current road trip with a 6-0 rout of the Wild in Minnesota on Saturday. The Flames are locked-in defensively right now having held eight of their last nine opponents to three goals or less. Calgary has held opponents to just 2.9 goals per game at home this season and interestingly, Arizona has limited the opposition to an identical 2.9 goals per contest on the road. Note that the 'under' is 14-9 in the Coyotes last 23 games when seeking revenge for a loss by four goals or more against an opponent. Meanwhile, the 'under' is 19-9 in Calgary's last 28 contests after scoring three goals or more in four consecutive games, as is the case here. Additionally, the 'under' is 10-6 in the Flames last 16 games following consecutive road wins. Take the under (8*).

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