My selection is on New York over San Jose at 10:35 pm et on Thursday.

The Rangers haven't gotten this road trip off to the start they had hoped for, collecting just two of a possible six points through three games. They can still salvage it, however, with this stop in San Jose followed by a game in Philadelphia. I like their chances of securing a win against the surging Sharks on Thursday. San Jose has actually won three straight games. It's worth noting, however, that it has gone 0-5 the last five times it has come off three consecutive games scoring three or more goals, as is the case here, outscored by an average margin of 2.4 goals in that situation. While the Sharks have posted a winning record at home this season at 10-8, they've actually been outscored by 0.5 goals on average. The Rangers, meanwhile, despite dropping two of three games on this road trip, have gone a solid 13-9 on the road this season. New York is generally at its best off a loss, having gone 43-34 while averaging 3.4 goals in that situation over the last three seasons. You would have to go back seven meetings, all the way to October of 2017 to find the last time the Sharks managed to defeat the Rangers. Take New York (9*).

My selection is on New York over New Jersey at 7:35 pm et on Thursday.

The Islanders have become accustomed to returning from extended stretches off the ice due to all of their Covid-related postponements this season. Here, they'll be back at it after nearly two weeks off. Sitting 20+ points back of the fourth and final playoff spot in the Metropolitan Division (albeit with seven games in hand) this is the type of game they simply need to win. Fortunately for them, the Devils are missing a number of key contributors and will turn to Jon Gillies in goal on Thursday. He was a Blues castoff earlier this season which is saying something considering St. Louis has had its own issues to deal with (Covid related and otherwise) between the pipes. Note that the Isles check into this one 26-11 in their last 37 home games against division opponents, outscoring them by an average of 1.4 goals along the way. New York is as healthy as it has been all season (the most recent postponements were due to Covid protocols in Canada as they were supposed to head out on a Western Canadian road trip). The Isles have taken each of the last three meetings in this series by a combined 13-3 score. Take New York (5*).

NHL Revenge Game of the Year. My selection is on Vegas over Toronto at 10:05 pm et on Tuesday.

The Leafs skated to a 4-0 win the last time these two teams met back on November 2nd in Toronto. That result actually sets the Golden Knights up particularly well here, noting that Vegas has gone an incredible 14-1 the last 15 times it has been seeking revenge for a road loss by three goals or more against an opponent, outscoring the opposition by an average margin of 1.8 goals in that situation. Here, we'll also note that the Leafs are 0-5 the last five times they've played on the road following a one-goal road loss, as is the case here, outscored by 2.0 goals on average in that spot. The Leafs are also just 7-12 in their last 19 games following an overtime loss, outscored by an average margin of 0.6 goals along the way. For the Golden Knights this is a key spot as they're coming off a flat performance in a 2-1 home loss to the lowly Blackhawks (who had Marc-Andre Fleury in goal for his first return to Las Vegas since leaving the Knights). Note that Vegas won't play again until January 17th after this game so they'll certainly want to go into the break on a positive note. The Leafs on the other hand are on the front half of a back-to-back with a very winnable game on deck in Arizona tomorrow night. Take Vegas (10*).

My selection is on Anaheim over Detroit at 8:05 pm et on Sunday.

The Ducks looked listless in last night's 4-1 loss to the Rangers, firing only 14 shots on goal. I expect a much sharper performance tonight as they host the suddenly reeling Red Wings. Detroit fell by a 4-0 score in Los Angeles last night and has now dropped seven of its last 10 games overall. Note that the Wings are a woeful 4-29 the last 33 times they've played on the road following a loss by three goals or more, outscored by an average margin of 2.4 goals in that spot. In fact, they're just 9-48 in their last 57 games following a loss of any kind, outscored by 2.0 goals on average in that situation. There's a good chance we'll see Thomas Greiss between the pipes for the Wings tonight as regular starter Alex Nedeljkovic hasn't started on back-to-back nights at any point this season and has been given the nod in each of the last three games. Greiss owns a less than impressive .895 save percentage this season with the Wings losing eight of his 14 starts. Take Anaheim (8*).

My selection is on Colorado over Toronto at 7 pm et on Saturday.

I'm beginning to sound like a broken record but I'll say it again here; it's going to take a monumental effort to take down the Avalanche right now based on how exceptionally well they're playing. The Blackhawks almost did it in a stunner earlier this week, taking the Avs to overtime. That was in Chicago, however. Here in Colorado, the Avs have gone 12-3, outscoring opponents by a whopping average margin of 2.3 goals. We actually won with the Maple Leafs in their most recent game, getting behind them early before the line got out of hand once the news of Connor McDavid's Covid-related absence was delivered. Toronto didn't look particularly sharp in that contest but still won by a 4-2 score. Here, we'll note that Toronto is 0-5 the last five times it has played on the road after winning four or more consecutive games, as is the case here, outscored by an average margin of 1.4 goals in that situation. Meanwhile, Colorado is an incredible 30-7 when coming off a home win in which it scored at least four goals over the last three seasons. Take Colorado (9*).

NHL Atlantic Division Game of the Month. My selection is on Tampa Bay over Boston at 7:05 pm et on Saturday.

We've been high on the Lightning lately, most recently cashing with them in Thursday's 4-1 win over the Flames. I won't hesitate to get behind them again on Saturday, even as they face an arguably tougher matchup against the Bruins. Boston should be in a foul mood after dropping a 3-2 decision at home against Minnesota on Thursday. The Bruins have had a difficult time stepping up in class this season and I expect a similar story to unfold here. To that point, the Lightning took the first meeting between these two teams this season by a 3-2 score in Boston back in early December. Note that Boston checks in just 17-21 the last 38 times it has come off two wins in its last three games, as is the case here, averaging just 2.6 goals per game in that spot. Meanwhile, the Lighting are an impressive 40-15 in their last 55 games after allowing two goals or less in consecutive contests, as is the case here, outscoring opponents by an average margin of 0.9 goals in that situation. The Lightning are as healthy as they've been all season while the Bruins are dealing with injuries to a few key role players, not to mention defensive anchor Charlie McAvoy, who is questionable to play on Saturday. Take Tampa Bay (10*).

My selection is on Chicago over Arizona at 9:05 pm et on Thursday.

The Blackhawks are reeling right now but so are the Coyotes (and have been all season long). This is an ideal 'get right' spot for Chicago as it does have something to build on after a narrow overtime loss against the Avalanche two nights ago. The Blackhawks welcomed Marc-Andre Fleury back between the pipes for that game against Colorado - a welcome sight after giving up a whopping 11 goals in their first two games following the extended holiday break. Chicago just just 5-12 on the road this season but that's better than the Coyotes ugly 2-12 home record, where they've given up 4.2 goals per contest. Note that Arizona has allowed an average of 4.0 goals and has been outscored by 1.1 goals on average when seeking revenge for a loss against an opponent where it scored just one goal over the last two seasons, as is the case here after dropping the first meeting this season by a 2-1 score in Chicago. This is really the only gimme on the Blackhawks current three-game road trip as they'll follow it up with stops in Las Vegas and Columbus. Take Chicago (6*).

NHL Non-Conference Game of the Month. My selection is on Tampa Bay over Calgary at 7:05 pm et on Thursday.

We won with the Flames in their most recent victory on Sunday in Chicago but stayed away on Tuesday and rightfully so as they fell in blowout fashion against the Panthers. Credit the Flames for returning to the ice with a pair of wins to open this trip but it was always going to get tougher in Florida and I don't see Calgary getting back in the win column on Thursday against the Lightning. Tampa Bay rebounded from a rare three-game losing streak with a resounding 7-4 win in Columbus on Tuesday. Essentially as healthy as they've been all season, I like the Lightning's chances during this brief two-game homestand, noting they've gone 11-6 on home ice this season and have outscored opponents by an average margin of 1.0 goal the last 42 times they've come off two losses in their last three games, as is the case here. You would have to go back three meetings here in Tampa, all the way to 2018 to find the last time Calgary won a game at Amalie Arena. Since then, the Bolts have reeled off four straight wins against the Flames, scoring a whopping 22 goals in the process. Take Tampa Bay (10*).

My selection is on Toronto over Edmonton at 7:05 pm et on Wednesday.

This was already going to be a difficult spot for the Oilers to snap out of their funk but it was made even more complicated with Connor McDavid's positive Covid test. With McDavid likely sidelined, I'll confidently back the Maple Leafs as they shoot for their fourth consecutive victory. This is actually a key spot for the Leafs before they head west for a road trip that begins with stops in Colorado and Las Vegas to face two of the league's best teams. For the Oilers, it's easy to envision them punting this game before they get a four-day break prior to a home date with the lowly Senators. Edmonton is a mess in goal right now with both Mike Smith and Mikko Koskinen struggling. On the flip side, the Leafs have gotten excellent goaltending from Jack Campbell, one of the most underrated goalies in the entire league. He checks in 11-4 at home this season, where he's posted a terrific .939 save percentage. Here, we'll note that the Leafs have allowed just 1.7 goals per game while outscoring opponents by an average margin of 1.8 goals the last 28 times they have played at home after allowing a goal or less in their most recent contest, as is the case here. Take Toronto (7*).

My selection is on Winnipeg over Arizona at 9:05 pm et on Tuesday.

The Jets posted a nice come-from-behind win over the Golden Knights on Sunday afternoon marking a successful return to the ice after an extended break. It's all for not of course if they can't follow it up with a win over the lowly Coyotes on Tuesday. Keep in mind, Winnipeg's current trip gets a lot tougher with a stop in Colorado up next on Thursday. The Coyotes check in as one of the league's worst teams, sitting at 2-11 on home ice, where they've been outscored by an average margin of 2.0 goals. Here, we'll note that the Jets are generally a solid positive momentum play on the road, having gone 21-13 when playing on the road after winning two of their last three games over the last three seasons, as is the case here, outscoring opponents by an average margin of 0.5 goals. Winnipeg is also 41-31 when seeking revenge for a loss against an opponent as a favorite over the last three seasons, as is the case here after the Coyotes stunned the Jets 1-0 in Winnipeg earlier this season. Take Winnipeg (6*).

My selection is on Colorado over Anaheim at 3 pm et on Sunday.

This line may appear to be quite steep, but I believe it could (and should) be even higher. You would have to go back six meetings to find the last time the Ducks defeated the Avalanche and with Colorado getting back virtually to full strength and Anaheim still missing a number of key contributors up front, I don't believe this is the spot where the Ducks flip the script. Note that Anaheim is a woeful 1-15 when revenging a loss against an opponent by three goals or more over the last two seasons, as is the case here, outscored by an average margin of 2.0 goals in that spot. The Ducks are averaging just 2.9 goals per game on the road this season while Colorado has gone 10-3 while averaging a whopping 4.7 goals per contest at home. Take Colorado (4*).

My selection is on Nashville over Chicago at 2:05 pm et on Saturday.

The Preds are coming off consecutive losses post-holiday break, dropping games in Washington and Columbus. Here, I look for them to bounce back as they host the Blackhawks, who will be playing for the first time since the break. Note that the Preds are actually one of the league's healthiest teams right now given the roster issues most are dealing with due to Covid protocols. Nashville checks in 11-4 when coming off consecutive losses over the last two seasons and 27-13 after giving up three goals or more in consecutive games over the last three seasons, outscoring opponents by an average margin of 0.6 goals in that situation. The Blackhawks are just 5-11 on the road this season where they've been outscored by an average margin of 1.0 goal. Take Nashville (7*).

NHL Eastern Conference Game of the Month. My selection is on Washington over Detroit at 7:35 pm et on Friday.

I like what I saw from the Capitals as they jumped ahead early, blew a 3-0 lead but then rallied to win 5-3 against the Predators in their first game back from the holiday break two nights ago. We've seen some of that shakiness from most teams in their first game back on the ice, and should anticipate the same from the Red Wings on Friday. The Caps have most of their key contributors back from the Covid list and are primed to go on a run. They've only managed to split the first two meetings in this series this season but I like their chances here, noting the Red Wings have averaged just 1.7 goals and have been outscored by an average margin of 1.4 goals when coming off consecutive games in which they scored 3+ goals, as is the case here, over the last two seasons (14-game sample size). Take Washington (10*).

NHL Division Game of the Week. My selection is on Vegas over Los Angeles at 10:35 pm et on Tuesday.

I really like the way this one sets up as a big revenge spot for the Golden Knights after they dropped a 6-2 decision against the Kings in the first meeting between these division rivals this season. Note that Vegas has gone an incredible 13-1 when seeking revenge for a road loss by three goals or more against an opponent, as is the case here, outscoring the opposition by an average margin of 1.7 goals in that situation. The Kings, meanwhile, are a woeful 2-14 when coming off four or more consecutive road games over the last three seasons, outscored by 1.3 goals on average in that spot. Interestingly, the Kings have averaged just 1.9 goals the last nine times they've played after being off for three or more days, which is obviously the case here following the extended holiday break. The Knights check in averaging an impressive 3.7 goals on the road this season, where they've gone 10-5. Take Vegas (10*).

My selection is on Anaheim over Arizona at 10:05 pm et on Friday.

This play sets up similarly to our play on the heavily favored Lightning last night, even though it's not a revenge spot. It sets up similarly because I believe the line could be much higher than it is. The Coyotes are reeling, and have been all season. They check in losers of six games in a row, scoring more than three goals only once over that stretch and that came in a two-goal loss to the Flyers. They're averaging a woeful 1.3 goals per game on the road this season, outscored by an average margin of 1.9 goals while going 3-12. The Ducks are scoring 3.3 goals per game on home ice which is notable when you consider they've only given up a grand total of five goals over their last five games combined. The Ducks took the first meeting between these two teams this season by a 3-1 score on home ice back in early November. That's notable as the Coyotes are a miserable 2-14 the last 16 times they've sought revenge for a road loss by two goals or more, outscored by 1.4 goals on average in that situation. With two days off followed by a tough western Canadian trip before Christmas on deck, the Ducks will want to head off on a positive note. Take Anaheim (5*).

My selection is on Vegas over New York at 7:05 pm et on Friday.

Don't be fooled by the Rangers come-from-behind win in Arizona on Wednesday. They're still not playing great hockey, losers of three of their last five games while scoring a grand total of 10 goals in the process. It sounds like Artemi Panarin will miss Friday's game. As will goaltender Igor Shesterkin as he continues to work his way back from injury. The Golden Knights are in a back-to-back spot off last night's win over the Devils in Newark. There's little reason for concern, however, as they've gone 20-5 the last 25 times they've been in the back half of back-to-backs, outscoring opponents by 1.4 goals on average in that spot. As for the Rangers, they're 1-7 the last eight times they've returned home off a one-goal win on the road, outscored by 1.6 goals on average in that situation. The Knights have come away victorious in their last two trips to Manhattan, not losing here since way back in 2017. Take Vegas (8*).

NHL Pacific Division Game of the Year. My selection is on San Jose over Vancouver at 10:35 pm et on Thursday.

The Sharks are one of the few teams in the NHL not dealing with Covid issues right now (I realize the situation is very fluid). Here, I think they're catching the Canucks at the right time, 'fat and happy' off five straight wins and with this being a tough one-game trip before heading back home for two. The Sharks are off a tough 3-1 loss to expansion Seattle two nights ago as they ran into a hot goalie in Chris Driedger (seems strange saying that but San Jose outshot Seattle 34-30 in that contest). The Canucks recent success has come at home. They're still just 5-9 on the road this season where they allow 3.6 goals per game. Things aren't going to get any easier on Thursday as they'll be missing a number of key cogs due to Covid protocols. Note that the Sharks have done a tremendous job of tightening things up defensively off a home loss this season, allowing only 1.2 goals per game the six previous times that situation has come up, outscoring opponents by 1.1 goals on average in that spot. Take San Jose (10*).

My selection is on Colorado over Nashville at 8:05 pm et on Thursday.

We've been riding the Avs hard lately as I continue to point out that in order to defeat them right now based on how well they're playing it's going to take a monumental effort. I certainly don't feel the Predators, who are now dealing with multiple Covid-related absences, have it in them. To find the last time Nashville defeated Colorado here at home you would have to go back five meetings, all the way to their 2018 playoff series. While the Avs are just 7-6 on the road this season their struggles were largely due to a number of key absences earlier in the season. They're as healthy as any team in the NHL right now all things considered, and I'll still point out that they average an impressive 4.0 goals per game away from home. The Preds meanwhile are putting up just 2.8 goals per contest at home and as I mentioned, they're stretched pretty thin due to Covid protocols right now. Yes, they've won five games in a row but that only means they can afford to 'punt' this tough matchup with the Avs. Take Colorado (8*).

My selection is on Tampa Bay over Ottawa at 7:05 pm et on Thursday.

While we're being asked to lay a very steep price with the Lightning in this spot, I believe the line could be much higher. Ottawa got the better of the Lightning last Saturday in a game Tampa Bay essentially 'punted' at the end of its road trip, starting journeyman backup goaltender Brian Elliott in that one. We successfully backed the Bolts as they returned home and secured a 3-2 overtime win over the Kings two nights ago and will do so again here in this quick revenge spot against the Sens. Ottawa is coming off a head-turning win over the Panthers two nights ago but I think a Florida sweep will prove elusive. Note that the Bolts are an incredible 26-5 over the last two seasons when seeking revenge for a loss against an opponent as a favorite, outscoring opponents by an average margin of 1.6 goals in that spot. The Sens average just 2.4 goals in their last 17 games following consecutive wins by two goals or more over division opponents, as is the case here, and I don't believe they'll have the offensive firepower to keep pace with the Lightning in this one. Take Tampa Bay (4*).

My selection is on Colorado over New York at 9:05 pm et on Tuesday.

As I noted in my analysis of my play on the Avalanche against the Panthers (a game they won 3-2) on Sunday, I'll say it again here, it's going to take a monumental effort to take down the Avs based on how well they're playing right now. Colorado has now won four straight games, scoring 24 goals in the process, as it makes up for lost time after a tough start to the season due to injuries and otherwise. The Rangers were similarly hot recently but have since cooled off, dropping two of their last three games, scoring a grand total of just five goals in the process. New York is 10-5 on the road this season but averages just 3.0 goals per game away from home. By contrast, the Avs are averaging a ridiculous 4.7 goals per game on home ice, where they've gone 9-3 - outscoring the opposition by an average margin of 2.0 goals. Take Colorado (5*).

NHL Eastern Conference Game of the Week. My selection is on New York over Detroit at 7:35 pm et on Tuesday.

We missed with the Isles here in Detroit less than two weeks ago as they fell in overtime by a 4-3 score. That was in the midst of an awful Covid-tinged stretch that saw New York lose 11 consecutive games. The Isles have seemingly turned things around now, however, as they've won two of their last three games with the lone loss coming thanks to a late lapse against the Preds on home ice. After finally winning their first game at brand new UBS Arena on Saturday night I think the monkey is off their back in some sense. Look for them to earn an ounce of revenge as they head to Motown on Tuesday night. The Red Wings are off to a fine start all things considered, but they haven't been overly consistent. They check into this game off three consecutive losses and there were some really concerning signs in all three as they were outscored by a wide margin of 18-7. Sometimes when the floodgates open it's difficult for a team to regain its footing - just ask the Islanders. Here, I look for New York to take full advantage of Detroit's recent woes, noting that the Wings are a miserable 6-32 in their last 38 games after allowing four goals or more in consecutive games, as is the case here, outscored by an average margin of 1.7 goals in that situation. Take New York (10*).

My selection is on Tampa Bay over Los Angeles at 7:05 pm et on Tuesday.

The Lightning are coming off an awful performance on Saturday as they fell by a 4-0 score against the lowly Senators in Ottawa. I look for them to get right back on track as they return home to host the Kings on Tuesday, however. You could argue that the Bolts essentially 'punted' that matinee affair against the Sens as they gave the start in goal to backup Brian Elliott at the end of a five-game road trip in which they had won the first four games. Now they're back at home where they got off to a slow start but have gone 8-5, averaging 3.2 goals per game and outscoring opponents by an average margin of 0.7 goals. The Kings on the other hand, are coming off consecutive wins but both of those came on home ice. They're just 4-6 on the road where they average a miserable 2.3 goals per game. The Kings have lost five straight meetings with the Lightning here in Tampa. To find their last win at Amalie Arena you would have to go all the way back to February of 2015. This price may seem steep at first glance but I believe it could be even higher. Take Tampa Bay (5*).

My selection is on Colorado over Florida at 8:05 pm et on Sunday.

We won with the Panthers on Friday but that was against the lowly Coyotes. Here, Florida continues its road trip against the red hot Avalanche in Colorado. The Avs are seemingly making up for lost time after a relatively slow start to the season due to injuries and otherwise. Colorado has reeled off three straight wins, scoring a whopping 21 goals in the process. I don't see the Avs slowing down against a Panthers squad that may or may not have Sasha Barkov after he was forced to miss Friday's game in Arizona (he's been in and out of the lineup due to a lower-body injury this season). It's going to take a substantial effort to take down the Avs considering the way they're playing right now, and I'm not convinced the Panthers, who are just 4-7 and average only 2.9 goals per game on the road this season are up to the task. Take Colorado (6*).

My selection is on New York over New Jersey at 7:30 pm et on Saturday.

Maybe I'm a sucker for punishment but I can't help to go back to the well with the reeling Islanders again on Saturday night. They're coming off another devastating last-minute loss against the Predators (who have admittedly had their number in recent years) on Thursday. New York led that game 3-2 in the third period before eventually falling by a 4-3 score. I do like the way the Isles are set up to FINALLY win their first game at brand-new UBS Arena on Saturday, however, as they host a Devils squad playing the second of back-to-back nights. New Jersey has won just 3 of 10 road games so far this season and will be up against a revenge-minded Islanders squad here after defeating New York by a 4-0 score back on November 11th. While the Isles are struggling mightily to find victories right now, it's not as if they're getting blown out. In fact, each of their last five losses have come by a single goal. Enough is enough, look for them to get the monkey off their backs at home on Saturday night. Take New York (8*).

My selection is on Florida over Arizona at 9:05 pm et on Friday.

We're being asked to lay a steep price with the Panthers on Friday night in Glendale, but I believe the price could be even higher. Florida is coming off a 4-3 overtime loss against the Blues on Tuesday but should bounce back in this spot. The Coyotes have managed only five wins in 25 games this season and enter this contest on a three-game skid having been outscored by a 16-4 margin along the way. They scored three goals in the first meeting in this series this season yet still managed to lose by two. Florida has been a little shaky on the back-end lately but this is an ideal 'get right' spot against the lowly 'Yotes. Take Florida (5*).

My selection is on New York over Buffalo at 7:05 pm et on Friday.

The Rangers essentially punted Wednesday's game against Colorado, giving Adam Huska his first start of his NHL career in goal. He not surprisingly struggled and the Blueshirts fell by a 7-3 score. I do expect them to bounce back on Friday as they head to Buffalo to face the struggling Sabres. New York hasn't suffered much of a drop-off in play on the road at all this season, going 9-3-2. While they're without starting goaltender Igor Shesterkin, they still have Alexandar Georgiev, who has managed to go 4-1-1 this season. The Sabres have of course been a disaster on the blue line and in goal but lately their offense has run dry as well as they've managed just two goals in their last two games and none in their last four periods of hockey. Take New York (7*).

My selection is on Washington over Pittsburgh at 7:05 pm et on Friday.

I like the Caps in this spot as the Penguins wrap up a long, nearly two-week road trip that took them out west prior to this contest. Pittsburgh is coming off back-to-back wins over the Canucks and Kraken, outscoring those two opponents by a combined score of 10-2. It should find the going much tougher against a Caps squad that has picked up at least a point in six of its last seven games and checks in 9-1-4 at home this season. Washington of course took the first meeting this season by a 6-1 score back in November. It welcomed back a big part of its offense with T.J. Oshie returning two games back. He's seen nearly 37 minutes of action since returning. The Penguins will be without Jake Guentzel due to an upper body injury which is concerning as he had been on a four-game goal-scoring streak, potting seven goals along the way. Take Washington (8*).

NHL Revenge Game of the Month. My selection is on Minnesota over San Jose at 10:35 pm et on Thursday.

The Wild are rolling right now, winners of seven games in a row heading into Thursday's matchup in San Jose. I look for them to keep rolling, noting that the Sharks have just one victory in their last three games and that was essentially gift-wrapped for them thanks to an awful performance from the Flames after they had built a 3-1 lead. Keep in mind, the Wild will have revenge on their minds here after suffering a 4-1 loss on home ice against the Sharks back on November 16th. nNote that San Jose averages a woeful 1.9 goals per game the last 16 times it has played at home after scoring three goals or more in consecutive games, as is the case here, outscored by an average margin of 0.7 goals in that situation. After Tuesday's win in Edmonton, the Wild are now 8-5 on the road this season, averaging 3.2 goals per game along the way. While the Sharks have posted a winning record at home at 6-5 on the season, they've actually been outscored by an average margin of 0.4 goals. Take Minnesota (10*).

My selection is on New York over Nashville at 7:35 pm et on Thursday.

The Islanders finally got the monkey off their back with a 5-3 win over the Senators on Tuesday night. Now I look for them to pick up their first ever win at UBS Arena on Thursday against Nashville. The Predators are coming off back-to-back wins at home against Montreal and on the road against Detroit. Note that the Preds are still just 6-6 on the road this season where they've been outscored by an average margin of 0.4 goals. The Isles have little time to waste right now following their long losing streak. Despite their struggles, largely due to a Covid outbreak, I still like the make-up of this team and believe they can dig their way out of the massive hole they've created. But it has to start here, with six of their next seven games coming on home ice. The Preds have been dealing with an illness running through the team as well (not Covid related). Goaltender Juuse Saros and d-man Mattias Ekholm both missed their last game and are questionable to play on Thursday. Take New York (9*).

My selection is on Columbus over Anaheim at 7:05 pm et on Thursday.

Lots of support coming in for the Ducks here after Trevor Zegras took over the highlight reel with his insane behind the net flip assist to Sonny Milano in Anaheim's 2-0 win in Buffalo two nights ago. Having collected at least a point in each of the first two games of this road trip, I look for a letdown of sorts for the Ducks here. Columbus is coming off a 5-4 loss in Toronto two nights ago. Keep in mind, the Blue Jackets showed plenty of fight in that contest, rallying back from a 5-1 deficit. They've been a different team on home ice this season where they're 9-3, outscoring opponents by an average margin of 1.2 goals. Meanwhile, despite the win in Buffalo, Anaheim is still just 5-7 on the road this season where it allows 3.7 goals per game. Take Columbus (9*).

NHL Western Conference Game of the Month. My selection is on Vegas over Dallas at 10:05 pm et on Wednesday.

The Knights have quietly gotten healthy but are still looking for consistency as they aim for their first three-game winning streak since early November on Wednesday night. Meanwhile, Dallas has ripped off seven straight victories with six of those coming on home ice. The Stars' last two opponents have been punchless as the Blue Jackets and Coyotes combined to score just three goals on a miserable 41 shots on goal. Keep in mind, while the Stars did prevail, in their last two games against opposition with a pulse they've been outshot by a 77-39 combined margin against the Avalanche and Hurricanes. They're likely to face an onslaught here with the Knights having scored 15 goals over their last three games and averaging 3.2 goals per game on home ice this season. By contrast, Dallas averages just 2.4 goals per game on the road, where it has gone 4-6 and been outscored by an average margin of 1.1 goals. Dallas has played just three games here in Vegas all-time, only managing a single win with that coming back in the Knights inaugural season. Take Vegas (10*).

My selection is on New York over Chicago at 7:35 pm et on Sunday.

It may not appear to be the case as they remain on a 10-game losing streak, but the Islanders have made some progress, collecting a point in each of their last two games - both overtime losses against the Sharks and Red Wings. We won't hesitate to go back to the well with the Isles here as they continue to search for their first win at brand-new UBS Arena. The Blackhawks are in a tough spot here, playing their third road game in four nights off a 3-2 loss to the Rangers last night. They already dropped a 4-1 decision at home against the Isles earlier this season. While the 'Hawks have been playing better lately, they're still just 3-9 on the road this season, where they've been outscored by an average margin of 1.4 goals. Take New York (6*).

My selection is on Minnesota over Toronto at 7:05 pm et on Saturday.

The Leafs are rolling right now, winners of five games in a row and 10 of their last 11 overall. I think they'll meet their match on Saturday, however. The Wild are red hot as well, having also won five games in a row. They can wrap up a perfect 5-0 homestand with a victory on Saturday night. Note that the Wild have gone 9-2 here on home ice this season, outscoring opponents by an average margin of 1.7 goals. The Leafs are 7-3 on the road but average just 3.3 goals per game away from home compared to Minnesota's 4.6 goals per game on home ice. Here, we'll note that the Leafs are a woeful 11-25 in their last 36 games after winning five or more games in a row, as is the case here, outscored by 0.9 goals on average in that spot. The Leafs have taken the last two matchups between these two teams in Minnesota but the most recent came back in December 2019. Prior to those two games the Wild had taken five straight home meetings against Toronto. Take Minnesota (8*).

NHL Eastern Conference Game of the Year. My selection is on New York over Detroit at 7:05 pm et on Saturday.

We missed with the Islanders in Thursday's tough 2-1 overtime loss to the surging Sharks. I won't hesitate to go back to the well on Saturday, however, as the Isles hit the road looking to pick up a crucial two points against the red hot Wings. New York has now dropped nine straight games, influenced largely by Covid-related absences. The Isles are as healthy as they've been in quite some time now though, and picking up a point in Thursday's overtime loss could certainly be viewed as a positive. Saturday's game opens a stretch of three in a row against likely non-playoff teams, so they'll need to take full advantage. While Detroit has won four games in a row, only one of those wins was a real head-turner and that came in Boston in a game where the Wings were outshot by a 42-16 margin. Here, we find the Wings averaging just 1.8 goals, outscored by an average margin of 0.7 goals the last 19 times they've played at home off a home win. Under coach Jeff Blashill, the Wings have gone 19-37 when coming off four or five wins in their last six games, as is the case here, outscored by an average margin of 0.6 goals in that situation. Note that the Isles have taken each of the last three meetings in this series by a combined 16-4 margin and have come away victorious in four of their last five trips to Detroit. Take New York (10*).

My selection is on New York over San Jose at 7:35 pm et on Thursday.

I'll back the Islanders to finally earn their first win in their new building on Thursday as they get back on the ice after a Covid outbreak forced the postponement of a couple of games. For the Isles, they need to start winning now - as head coach Barry Trotz put it, these upcoming games are basically playoff games due to the giant hole they've dug themselves. I like their chances of busting out of their slump here against a Sharks squad that is 'fat and happy' off consecutive wins to open their current road trip. Note that San Jose will turn to Adin Hill between the pipes in the front half of this back-to-back spot. Hill has been the weaker of the Sharks two goaltenders so far this season, recording a .897 save percentage compared to James Reimer's .934. Take New York (6*).

My selection is on Vegas over Anaheim at 10:05 pm et on Wednesday.

While the Ducks were involved in a shootout (win) in Los Angeles last night, the Golden Knights have been idle since Saturday's disappointing 3-2 home loss against the Oilers. Having dominated this series, I look for the Knights to get back on track here. The Ducks season has been interesting so far. They started the campaign by losing seven of their first nine games. Then they reeled off eight straight victories before losing four of their next six contests heading into this one. Vegas already skated to a 5-4 win over Anaheim in the first meeting between these two teams this season. Note that the Ducks are a miserable 5-23 the last 28 times they've sought revenge for a loss in which their opponent scored four goals or more, outscored by an average margin of 1.5 goals in that situation. Meanwhile, the Knights have outscored opponents by an average margin of 1.6 goals the last 14 times they've come off a one-goal loss against a division opponent, as is the case here. With Vegas as healthy as it has been all season and Anaheim in a tough back-to-back spot, I'll lay the chalk with the Knights. Take Vegas (7*).

My selection is on Florida over Washington at 7:05 pm et on Tuesday.

We missed the mark fading the Capitals on Sunday in Carolina as the Hurricanes came out flat only to rally from 2-0 down to tie the game before eventually falling 4-2. I won't hesitate to go back to the well again on Tuesday, however, as Washington continues its road trip against the revenge-minded Panthers in Sunrise. Florida dropped a 4-3 decision in Washington on November 26th. That sets the Panthers up well here, noting that they've gone 19-8 the last 27 times they've been in a revenge spot, outscoring opponents by an average margin of 0.7 goals along the way. Off a stunning 4-1 loss to Seattle on Saturday, it's also worth noting that Florida has gone 9-1 the last 10 times it has come off a game in which it was held to a goal or less, outscoring opponents by 1.1 goals on average in that spot. The Capitals can match a season-high with a fourth consecutive victory on Tuesday. Note that their previous four-game winning streak included victories over the likes of Buffalo and Detroit. Florida enters this contest trying to avoid a third straight defeat. It did lose four in a row earlier this month but all four of those losses came on the road. The Panthers check into this game sporting an incredible 11-1 home record, outscoring the opposition by an average margin of 2.0 goals. Take Florida (5*).

My selection is on Carolina over Washington at 1:05 pm et on Sunday.

With the Capitals 'fat and happy' off a perfect 2-0 homestand, we'll back the Hurricanes to prevail on Sunday afternoon in Raleigh. The Canes wrapped up a successful 4-2 road trip with a 6-3 win in Philadelphia on Friday. That snapped a two-game skid. Note that the Canes have given up an average of just 1.3 goals the last nine times they've played at home after losing two of their last three games, as is the case here, outscoring the opposition by an average margin of 1.1 goals in that spot. Carolina is allowing only 1.7 goals per game on home ice this season, outscoring opponents by an impressive 1.9 goals on average. Take Carolina (6*).

My selection is on St. Louis over Columbus at 8:05 pm et on Saturday.

The Blues suffered a 3-2 overtime loss against an improved Blackhawks squad yesterday afternoon - their second straight defeat after dropping a game in Detroit on Wednesday. The season hasn't gone the way the Blues would have hoped so far but it's still early. The problem is, when you look ahead at their upcoming schedule, things are about to get a lot tougher with their next four games coming against the Lightning and Panthers - two of the league's best teams. Needless to say, St. Louis could certainly use a victory here on Saturday. Note that the Blue Jackets have already confirmed that Joonas Korpisalo will start in goal on Saturday. He represents a considerable downgrade from regular starter Elvis Merzlikins with the Jackets having gone 3-3 in Korpisalo's six starts as he has posted a .894 save percentage. We may see Blues backup Ville Husso as well but that's not necessarily a bad thing. Husso has recorded a .952 save percentage in three games this season with St. Louis winning two of those three contests. Columbus rolls into this contest riding a three-game winning streak - matching their longest of the season. Note that they've allowed 3.7 goals per game on the road this season. Meanwhile, the Blues are giving up just 2.4 goals per game on home ice, outscoring the opposition by an average margin of 1.2 goals. Take St. Louis (6*).

My selection is on Minnesota over Winnipeg at 3:35 pm et on Friday.

We've been high on the Wild all season and after snapping their brief losing streak with a shootout win in New Jersey on Wednesday (we were on them in that game as well) we'll back them to add to the Jets misery on Friday. It's been over a week since the Jets last even collected a point. They're struggling mightily right now and a trip to Minnesota doesn't appear to be an ideal spot to break out of their funk. Note that Winnipeg is 0-5 the last five times it has been seeking revenge for a loss in which its opponent scored 5+ goals, as is the case here, outscored by an average margin of 1.8 goals in that situation. Meanwhile, Minnesota checks in a solid 36-20 after losing two of its last three games over the last 2+ seasons, averaging 3.2 goals and outscoring the opposition by 0.4 goals on average in that spot. Take Minnesota (10*).

NHL Pacific Division Game of the Week. My selection is on Winnipeg over Vancouver at 10:05 pm et on Friday.

The Jets might look like they're in a tough spot here as they play the second of back-to-back games after a shootout loss in Edmonton last night. I actually like their chances of bouncing back, however, noting that they've gone 11-1 in their lat 12 games following an OT/SO loss, outscoring the opposition by an average margin of 1.7 goals in that situation. Of course, Winnipeg has proven to be a resilient team in recent years, going 22-11 in its last 33 games following a road loss of any kind over the last 2+ seasons, outscoring opponents by 1.2 goals on average in that spot. The Canucks are playing as bad as any team in the league right now as far as I'm concerned and you have to figure head coach Travis Green's days behind the bench are numbered at this point. They'll be in better position to snap their losing skid when they host the Blackhawks on Sunday. Take Winnipeg (10*).

My selection is on Minnesota over Dallas at 8:05 pm et on Thursday.

We won with the Stars last Saturday against the Flyers before losing with the 'under' in their most recent contest - a 5-2 win over the reeling Red Wings two nights ago. Keep in mind, both of those Dallas victories came at home. The Stars have struggled on the road, going 3-5 while being outscored by an average margin of 0.8 goals. The Wild are coming off a home loss to the Sharks and have now dropped two of their last three games overall. That's worth noting as they've gone 34-19 when coming off two losses in their last three contests over the last 2+ seasons, outscoring opponents by an average margin of 0.4 goals in that situation. Better still, they're 19-7 in their last 26 games following a home loss, as is the case here, outscoring opponents by 0.7 goals on average. As for the Stars, they're a woeful 1-10 in their last 11 road games following a win, outscored by 1.8 goals on average in that situation. They're also winless in their last seven tries when heading out on the road after playing consecutive home games, outscored by an average margin of 2.1 goals in that spot. The Wild have taken each of the last three meetings in this series and the last time they faced Thursday's likely starting goaltender for Dallas, Anton Khudobin, they skated to a 7-0 victory here on home ice. Take Minnesota (8*).

NHL Eastern Conference Game of the Month. My selection is on Tampa Bay over Philadelphia at 7:05 pm et on Thursday.

The two-time defending Stanley Cup champion Lightning have quietly gotten rolling lately, going 6-2 over their last eight games with the only two losses coming by way of overtime. Here, the Bolts will head to Philadelphia, where they haven't dropped a game since January of 2017. The Flyers are coming off an overtime win over the Flames two nights ago. That's worth noting as they've given up an average of 5.4 goals and have been outscored by 2.9 goals on average the last eight times they've come off an overtime victory. In fact, the Flyers are 9-22 when coming off a win going back to last season, outscored by an average margin of 1.4 goals in that situation. Worse still, they've gone a woeful 3-14 the last 17 times they've come off a one-goal victory, as is the case here, outscored by 2.3 goals on average in that spot. The Lightning have been an excellent positive momentum team in similar situations to the one they're in tonight, noting that they're 10-1 the last 11 times they've come off consecutive home victories, outscoring opponents by 1.4 goals on average. Take Tampa Bay (10*).

NHL Game of the Week. My selection is on Washington over Los Angeles at 10:35 pm et on Wednesday.

The Capitals saw their four-game winning streak come to an end against the red hot Ducks in Anaheim last night. Credit Washington for at least stealing a point in that game, losing the game in overtime. Here, I like the Caps to bounce right back as they make the short trip to Los Angeles to face the Kings. L.A. has somewhat surprisingly posted seven wins in its last eight games. This is a bit of a tough spot, however, as it returns home 'fat and happy' off a successful four-game road trip that took it across two time zones up north. We'll note that the Kings are a woeful 2-13 the last 15 times they've come off four consecutive road games, outscored by 1.2 goals on average in that spot. The last six times they've returned home off at least four straight road games they've averaged just 1.8 goals and have been outscored by an average margin of 0.9 goals. You would have to go back five meetings to find the last time the Kings beat the Capitals, back in March of 2018. The Caps have come away victorious in each of their last two games in Los Angeles. The last time we saw them play here in late 2019 they were priced as a -150 favorite and skated to a 3-1 win. We're dealing with a much cheaper price to support them here and I like their chances of picking up another victory. Take Washington (10*).

My selection is on Seattle over Chicago at 10:05 pm et on Wednesday.

I like the way this spot sets up for the expansion Kraken as they look to snap their four-game losing streak (0-2 on their current homestand) against the suddenly surging Blackhawks. While Chicago enters this game off three consecutive wins, it's worth noting that all three of those victories came on home ice. The Blackhawks check in winless on the road this season, having gone 0-6 while being outscored by an average margin of 2.4 goals in those six contests. By contrast, the Kraken have posted three of their four wins here at Climate Pledge Arena this season, outscoring opponents by 0.2 goals on average in their seven home games to date. With much tougher games against Colorado, Washington and Carolina lying ahead on their current homestand, look for the Kraken to make the most of this winnable game on Wednesday. Take Seattle (6*).

My selection is on Columbus over Detroit at 7:05 pm et on Monday.

With confirmation that Elvis Merzlikins will start for the Blue Jackets on Monday, we'll back them at a short price against the upstart Red Wings. Merzlikins' presence between the pipes is key as the Jackets have won five of his seven starts this season and he's posted a solid .929 save percentage. Backup Joonas Korpisalo on the other hand has gone 2-3 with an .897 save percentage. The Red Wings are admittedly playing well, winners of four of their last five games. They already defeated Columbus once this season by a 4-1 score in Detroit back on October 19th. Here, we'll note, however, that the Wings average just 1.6 goals and have been outscored by 1.1 goals on average the last 12 times they've played on the road off a home win against a division opponents, as is the case here. The Jackets, meanwhile, average 3.6 goals and outscore opponents by 0.4 goals on average the last 16 times they've played at home off a home loss against a division opponent. Take Columbus (6*).

My selection is on Dallas over Philadelphia at 8:05 pm et on Saturday.

The Stars are reeling right now, losers of two in a row and four of their last six games overall. I do think they're well-positioned to get back on track on Saturday, however, as they host the Flyers, who are in a tough back-to-back and three-in-four spot after an upset win in Carolina last night. Note that Philadelphia is just 3-12 in its last 15 games following a win over a division opponent, as is the case here, outscored by 2.2 goals on average in that situation. They're 0-9 in their last nine games off a road win by one goal, outscored by a whopping average of 3.9 goals in that spot. Meanwhile, the Stars are a long-term winner at 116-57 when coming off a loss against a division opponent by two goals or more, averaging 3.2 goals and outscoring the opposition by 0.9 goals on average in that situation. You would have to go back five meetings here in Dallas - all the way to 2014 - to find the last time the Flyers won a game on the road against the Stars. Take Dallas (7*).

My selection is on Washington over Columbus at 7:05 pm et on Friday.

The Blue Jackets are rolling along right now, riding a season-long three-game winning streak. However, they haven't played since last Saturday. I'm not sure an extended layoff was what they wanted after such a solid stretch of hockey. Here, we'll note that the Jackets have averaged just 1.8 goals and been outscored by 0.6 goals on average the last nine times they've played on three or more days' rest, as is the case here. Now they welcome the Capitals to Columbus on Friday night, noting that Washington has posted back-to-back victories following a three-game slide. Last night's narrow 2-0 win in Detroit was somewhat misleading as the Caps dominated that game, allowing only 21 shots on goal in the shutout victory. I like the way they're set up here as they'll face Blue Jackets goaltender Joonas Korpisalo (Columbus plays again at home against the Rangers tomorrow night). Korpisalo has performed reasonably well this season but there is certainly a gap between he and number one goaltender Elvis Merzlikins, who has recorded a stellar .940 save percentage this season, leading the Jackets to five wins in his six starts. By contrast, Columbus has only managed to split Korpisalo's four starts to date. After winning consecutive games the Blue Jackets have been outscored by an average margin of 0.4 goals in their next contest over the last 2+ seasons (24-game sample size), as is the case here. Take Washington (5*).

NHL Pacific Division Game of the Month. My selection is on Vegas over Seattle at 10:05 pm et on Tuesday.

The Golden Knights are coming off an inexplicable 5-2 loss to the lowly Red Wings in Detroit on Sunday and I think that has a lot of bettors a little spooked to back them as they return home to host the expansion Kraken on Tuesday. We won't shy away, however. You could argue that the Knights essentially 'punted' that game in Detroit, starting backup goaltender Laurent Brossoit in what was a second of back-to-back and three-in-four situation. Prior to that contest Vegas had won consecutive games in Ottawa and Montreal, scoring 10 goals in the process. Despite Sunday's loss, I don't think the Knights will be returning home hanging their heads having won five of their last seven overall. Like most expansion teams, the Kraken have struggled to win games or even stay competitive on the road. They check in 1-6 on the road this season, outscored by 1.7 goals on average. Here, we'll note that the Knights have gone 15-4 when coming off a road loss by three goals or more over the last 2+ seasons, as is the case here, outscoring opponents by 1.5 goals on average in that spot. They also check in allowing just 2.1 goals on average the last 22 times they've come off a game in which they gave up 5+ goals. While they're still missing a number of key players due to injury, that's certainly been factored into this price. Take Vegas (10*).

My selection is on Minnesota over New York at 8:05 pm et on Sunday.

Both of these teams enter Sunday's game riding two-game winning streaks but I believe the Wild are better-positioned to keep their streak going on home ice. New York remains in the midst of a staggering 13-game season-opening road trip and will be playing its third game in four nights on Sunday. Here, we'll note that the Isles are a miserable 1-10 the last 11 times they've played on the road off consecutive road wins by two goals or more, outscored by an average margin of 1.7 goals in that situation. In fact, the Isles are just 11-28 the last 39 times they've played on the road off consecutive road wins of any margin. As for the Wild, they're coming off a come-from-behind shootout win in Pittsburgh last night. They've gone a perfect 8-0 the last eight times they've come off consecutive games in which they gave up four goals or more, averaging 3.6 goals and outscoring the opposition by 1.5 goals on average in that spot. Take Minnesota (9*).

My selection is on Colorado over Columbus at 7:05 pm et on Saturday.

The Avs dropped a tough one to the Blue Jackets in overtime last time out. I don't think they would have lost that game were it not for backup goaltender Jonas Johansson being between the pipes. Here, Colorado is expected to get some reinforcements with Mikko Rantanen and Andrei Burakovsky likely to return to the lineup. Note that the Blue Jackets have averaged just 2.0 goals when coming off a road win going back to last season. They also average just 2.2 goals and have been outscored by 0.5 goals on average when coming off consecutive wins over the same stretch. They won back-to-back games only once previously this season and followed that up with a 4-1 loss against the lowly Red Wings in Detroit. Take Colorado (5*).

NHL Rivalry Game of the Month. My selection is on Pittsburgh over Philadelphia at 7:05 pm et on Thursday.

PLEASE NOTE: We'll downgrade this play with the news that Sidney Crosby will be sidelined due to testing positive for Covid. I'm still on the Penguins in this spot but as a 6* play.

We missed with the Penguins in their most recent game as they fell by a 4-2 score in a late collapse against the Devils on home ice. That was of course Sidney Crosby's much-awaited season debut for the Pens. While it didn't go as they had hoped, I do expect them to bounce back against the rival Flyers on Thursday night. Note that Pittsburgh is in an excellent situation here having gone 17-3 the last 20 times it has played at home after giving up three goals or more in consecutive games over the last 2+ seasons, outscoring the opposition by 1.8 goals on average in that spot. The Flyers are fresh off a 3-0 home victory over the still-winless Coyotes on Tuesday. Note that Philadelphia is a woeful 9-19 the last 28 times it has come off a win, outscored by an average margin of 1.3 goals in that situation. Having won here in Pittsburgh by a 2-1 score last April, the Flyers will be looking to notch a second straight win at PPG Paints Arena. They haven't accomplished that feat since winning here in December 2018 and March 2019. I expect the Pens to avoid the same fate here. Take Pittsburgh (6*).

NHL Central Division Game of the Month. My selection is on Winnipeg over Dallas at 8:05 pm et on Tuesday.

The Jets got caught flat-footed against the Sharks on Saturday (we won with the 'under' in that game), perhaps overlooking a San Jose squad that was missing five players due to Covid protocols. Here, I look for the Jets to bounce back as they return home to host the reeling Stars on Tuesday. Dallas is coming off three straight losses, scoring just four goals in the process. Note that the Stars are just 2-11 after scoring a goal or less in their last game going back to last season (they're coming off a 4-1 loss to Ottawa), outscored by an average margin of 0.8 goals in that spot. Worse still, Dallas is 0-6 the last six times it has gone on the road after playing two or more consecutive games at home, as is the case here, outscored by 2.3 goals on average in that spot. Meanwhile, the Jets are a somewhat inexplicable 9-1 in their last 10 games following an overtime loss, averaging 3.5 goals and outscoring the opposition by 1.6 goals on average in that situation (they lost in overtime against the Sharks on Saturday). I'm more confident in backing them given they're coming off a one-goal loss in general, noting that they've gone 20-7 in that spot over the last 2+ seasons, outscoring opponents by an average of 1.3 goals along the way. The home team has taken the last four meetings in this series. You would have go to back to December of 2019 to find the last time Dallas skated to a win in Winnipeg. Take Winnipeg (10*).

NHL Non-Conference Game of the Month. My selection is on Chicago over Ottawa at 8:05 pm et on Monday.

The Blackhawks are still looking for their first victory nearly a month into the season and with controversy swirling around the franchise, they're in desperate need of something positive at this point. The good news is, they've been playing a little better. Chicago has been right there in two of its last three games, suffering an overtime loss at home against the Maple Leafs and a 1-0 setback in St. Louis around an ugly performance in Carolina. While this is no time for excuses, there's no denying the 'Hawks have faced an extremely tough schedule to this point. This game against the Senators gives them a good opportunity to get something going with five of their next six games coming on home ice. Ottawa is coming off a win in Dallas on Friday night. I'm not sure being idle for the entire weekend was the best thing for a Sens team that is looking to build some positive momentum having won only three out of seven games so far this season. Note that Ottawa has dropped six straight meetings against Chicago, with its last victory in this series coming way back in 2016. After scoring nine goals in their last two games and coming off an effort that saw them allow just a single goal in Dallas, I can't help but feel a letdown is in order for the Sens here. Note that they've allowed 4.0 goals have been outscored by 0.8 goals on average when playing on the road after losing two of their last three games over the last 2+ seasons, as is the case here (19-game sample size). Take Chicago (10*).

My selection is on Tampa Bay over Washington at 7:05 pm et on Monday.

The Lightning are back on track after a brief lull, coming off consecutive 5-1 thrashings of the Penguins and Coyotes. Meanwhile, the Capitals are just 2-2 over their last four games, including a loss to the lowly Red Wings. They are, however, fresh off a shutout win over the Coyotes and I think that takes away a bit of their edge entering this 'revenge' game against the Lightning. Tampa Bay skated to a 2-1 victory in Washington earlier this season. While the Caps did win the last meeting between these two teams here in Tampa, that was nearly two years ago. After a slow start, the Bolts can ill afford to give up any points right now, I like their chances of wrapping up a perfect 2-0 homestand here. Take Tampa Bay (6*).

My selection is on Pittsburgh over New Jersey at 7:05 pm et on Saturday.

The Penguins are coming off back-to-back losses on home ice but they're well-positioned to get back in the win column against the Devils on Saturday night. Note that Pittsburgh is an incredible 17-2 when playing at home after giving up three goals or more in in consecutive games over the last 2+ seasons, outscoring opponents by 2.0 goals on average in that spot. As for the Devils, they're a woeful 2-14 the last 16 times they've come off a game in which they gave up five goals or more, outscored by 1.5 goals on average in that spot. Until the Devils get goaltender MacKenzie Blackwood and former first overall draft pick Jack Hughes back from injury, I'm considering them a play-against team. With the Penguins having taken eight of the last 11 meetings in this series including four of the last five in Pittsburgh, I'm comfortable laying the chalk with them here. Take Pittsburgh (6*).

NHL Central Division Game of the Month. My selection is on Colorado over St. Louis at 8:05 pm et on Thursday.

We're taking a bit of a leap of faith with the Avalanche here as there's no question the Blues have been the superior team through the first couple of weeks of the season. In fact, St. Louis has already skated to a 5-3 win over Colorado, on the road no less. Apart from that victory, the Blues haven't exactly faced the toughest slate of opponents, however. After the game in Colorado they traveled to Arizona to face a Coyotes team that is still winless on the season. Next came a stop in Las Vegas, where they took on a Golden Knights squad missing two of its best players in Mark Stone and Max Pacioretty. Most recently, the Blues hosted a two-game home set against the Kings, who are expected to be one of the Western Conference's weakest teams. You get the picture. The Avs on the other hand have had no gimmes, perhaps other than a season-opening win over the hapless Blackhawks. Their three previous road games came against the Capitals, Panthers and Lightning. They managed to pick up only one victory in those three games and followed that trip with a tough home loss to the Knights two nights ago. Needless to say this is a game the Avs clearly have circled on their calendar (not that I'm a big proponent of backing teams based on motivation alone - every team is motivated). What I will note here is that the Blues are just 8-15 in their last 23 games after scoring 3+ goals in four or more consecutive games over the last 2+ seasons, as is the case here, as they average just 2.6 goals in that spot. These two teams have faced each other 16 times since the start of 2020. Only once over that stretch has St. Louis managed to register consecutive wins. Finally, it's worth mentioning that the Blues will be without one of their leaders for an indefinite period of time as Ryan O'Reilly is in Covid protocol. Take Colorado (10*).

My selection is on Seattle over Vancouver at 10:05 pm et on Saturday.

The Kraken ran out of gas at the end of their season-opening road trip, dropping consecutive lopsided decisions against the Flyers and Devils in a back-to-back set earlier this week. Here, I look for Seattle to show up and show out in its first game in front of the home faithful at Climate Pledge Arena. The Kraken catch the Canucks in a favorable spot here as Vancouver has gone a woeful 0-7 the last seven times it has come off a road win in which it scored four goals or more, as is the case here following Thursday's 4-1 win in Chicago. The Canucks have been outscored by an average margin of 2.3 goals in that spot. The 'Nucks are also just 7-24 when coming off three or more consecutive road games, which is the case on Saturday, outscored by an average margin of 1.5 goals. Take Seattle (6*).

My selection is on Carolina over Columbus at 7:05 pm et on Saturday.

Both of these teams are playing well out of the gates with the Hurricanes a perfect 3-0 and Columbus right behind them in the Metropolitan Division standings at 3-1. Here, I like the Canes to keep it rolling. Note that Columbus checks in 0-7 the last seven times it has played at home off a division win, as is the case here following Thursday's overtime victory over the Islanders, outscored by an average margin of 1.9 goals in that situation. I mentioned overtime, well, the last six times the Jackets have played at home off an overtime win they've averaged a miserable 1.3 goals. Meanwhile, the Canes have gotten stronger as road trips have gone on in recent years, going 18-6 the last 24 times they've played on the road off at least two straight road games, as is the case here, outscoring opponents by 1.2 goals on average in that spot. Take Carolina (7*).

NHL Metropolitan Division Game of the Year. My selection is on Washington over New Jersey at 7:05 pm et on Thursday.

The Devils are off to a perfect 2-0 start to the season with wins over the Blackhawks and expansion Kraken. They were dealt a tough blow in Tuesday's victory over Seattle, however, as emerging superstar and former first overall draft pick Jack Hughes appeared to suffer a shoulder injury. It remains to be seen whether he can return on Thursday as of the time of writing. Regardless, I look for New Jersey to fall short in its attempt at a third consecutive victory on Thursday night. Note that the Devils are 0-9 the last nine times they've played at home off consecutive wins, as is the case here, outscored by an average margin of 2.5 goals in that situation. They're also just 8-23 in their last 29 home games against division opponents, outscored by 0.9 goals on average. As for the Capitals, they've been a solid positive momentum play, averaging 3.5 goals and outscoring opponents by 0.6 goals on average after scoring four or more goals in their last game over the last two-plus seasons, as is the case here off Tuesday's 6-3 win over the Avalanche. The Caps have owned this series in recent years, winning 10 of the last 12 meetings over the last three seasons, including a 5-1 mark here in Newark. Take Washington (10*).

My selection is on Boston over Philadelphia at 7:35 pm et on Wednesday.

The Bruins will likely be a popular play on Wednesday night but that doesn't mean they're the wrong one. I like the way this one sets up for the B's as they hit the road for the first time this season to face the uneven Flyers. Philadelphia opened its campaign with a shootout loss to the Canucks - a game they really had no business getting a point out of having trailed by two goals with just a couple of minutes remaining. Since then we've seen the 'Nucks go on to lose games against the Red Wings and Sabres. We did see the Flyers bounce back on Monday as they caught the expansion Seattle Kraken in a favorable spot and rolled to a 6-1 victory. Here, they'll turn to backup goaltender Martin Jones against Boston and I'm not convinced they have the offensive firepower to keep up with the B's. Note that Philadelphia checks in 5-13 after scoring four goals or more in its last game over the last season-plus, outscored by an average margin of 1.6 goals in that situation. In fact, the Flyers are just 7-17 the last 24 times they've come off a win of any kind, outscored by 1.5 goals on average while giving up 4.1 goals per game in that situation. The Bruins have taken four of the last six meetings here in Philadelphia and I like their advantage here with underrated goaltender Jeremy Swayman going up against the aforementioned Jones. Take Boston (6*).

My selection is on Philadelphia over Vancouver at 7:05 pm et on Friday.

There will be spots to fade the Flyers early in this season but I firmly believe those will come in situations where backup goaltender Martin Jones gets the call between the pipes. Here in their home opener, we can expect Carter Hart in goal, noting that he's looking to bounce back from an inexplicably awful season and ready to build on a strong preseason that saw him start two games, allowing just two goals on 43 shots. I'm high on the Flyers in general. They added to their depth with some savvy moves in the offseason, including adding Cam Atkinson. They also have plenty of young players ready to take another step forward this year, most notably Travis Konecny (he only seems like he's been in the league forever) and Joel Farabee. The Canucks managed to earn a point in a shootout loss to the Oilers two nights ago but their potential lack of scoring punch was evident as they found the back of the net only twice on 38 shots. While I do think Vancouver can be a playoff contender this season, this is a tough six-game season-opening road trip that takes it all over the map. Take Philadelphia (5*).

My selection is on New York over Dallas at 7:05 pm et on Thursday.

The Rangers inexplicably elected to 'punt' last night's season-opener in Washington - more or less - starting backup goaltender Alex Georgiev in a blowout loss. Often times those type of decisions have a trickle-down effect through the rest of the dressing room, and I think that may have been the case last night. They're expected to have Igor Shesterkin back between the pipes for Thursday's home-opener and I'm confident we'll see a much better performance from the Blueshirts. This is the first real test for new head coach Gerard Gallant as he aims to get his players back up on a quick turn-around. I like the matchup here with the Stars coming off a down campaign as they struggled to recapture the lightning in a bottle that led them to a surprising Stanley Cup Final appearance in 2020. Dallas' roster remains relatively unchanged from recent years and I'm not sure that's a positive thing at this point. Take New York (5*).

NHL Non-Conference Game of the Week. My selection is on Columbus over Arizona at 7:05 pm et on Thursday.

The Coyotes have the potential to be one of the league's worst teams this season and while the Blue Jackets are by no means a Stanley Cup contender, I do think they'll be in the hunt for the playoffs and could be better than most are projecting if they can overcome a few key losses. I actually like the make-up of this Jackets squad. Cam Atkinson is gone but he was a general disappointment last season. Seth Jones has also moved on but he already had one foot out the door all of last season. Gone is the distraction of former head coach John Tortorella and his feuds with players. It feels like a fresh start for the Jackets and I expect them to get off to a strong start. The Coyotes have gone through some changes, most notably dealing one of their best offensive threats in Conor Garland to Vancouver. This is a team that really lacks an identity at this point and I expect them to be in tough opening the campaign on the road, where Columbus has traditionally found plenty of success. Take Columbus (10*).

My selection is on Tampa Bay over Pittsburgh at 7:35 pm et on Tuesday.

During the preseason we looked to back the Lightning any time they put forth anything close to resembling their 'A' squad. Yes, they're that good again this season. Little changed from the team that just hoisted Lord Stanley's cup for the second straight year, I'm confident we'll see the Bolts get the 2021-22 season off to a winning start on Tuesday night. The Penguins won't roll over, of course, in fact I do expect them to put forth a gritty effort here even without their two superstars in Geno Malkin and Sidney Crosby - both sidelined due to injuries to start the season. The Pens aren't short on depth but they are a little talent-shy, especially when compared to the Lightning. While we are dealing with a rather lofty price here, I believe it could be even higher. Rather than try to reinvent the wheel here, we'll stick with the Bolts. Take Tampa Bay (5*).

My selection is on Nashville over Carolina at 4:05 pm et on Saturday.

It looks like the Predators will be going with close to their expected regular season roster on Saturday afternoon for their preseason finale. Meanwhile, the Canes will be sitting the majority of their regulars. The price certainly warrants such a situation, although I feel the number could have been even higher, given how well the Preds have been playing during their exhibition slate to begin with. After opening with consecutive losses to the Panthers we've seen Nashville reel off three straight wins, including a 3-2 victory over these same Canes earlier this week. Carolina is content with what it has seen from its core players, and there aren't a lot of open spots on the roster so I'm not anticipating a peak performance from it here. Take Nashville (5*).

My selection is on Dallas over Colorado at 8:05 pm et on Thursday.

While Dallas is electing to go with a fairly similar lineup to the one we'll likely see in its season-opener next week, Colorado is leaving its stars home for this Thursday night matchup. Not surprisingly, we've seen the price shift with that news, but I still think we're being offered a fair price with a Stars squad that has collected at least a point in four of five preseason games to date. Dallas can certainly enter the regular season with a good feeling should it secure a third straight victory here on Thursday night (the Stars do still have one preseason game remaining on Saturday night in Colorado - we'll likely see their 'B' squad for that contest). The Avs meanwhile have put little stock in the preseason, or so it seems, losing three of their four games. That includes a 7-4 defeat at home against Vegas two nights ago, a game in which Nathan MacKinnon and Mikko Rantanen, among others, played significant minutes. Neither of those players traveled to Dallas for this one. Take Dallas (6*).

My selection is on Winnipeg over Calgary at 8 pm et on Wednesday.

The Jets didn't have their 'A' squad for Sunday's game in Vancouver and fell by a 3-2 score. Here, I expect them to ice a stronger lineup and bounce back from consecutive losses against the Flames. Calgary had won two games in a row before falling by a 4-3 score against Edmonton on Monday. The Flames did send a quality lineup to the ice for that rivalry tilt against the Oilers but I wouldn't count on a similar roster here. Note that this is the first of a home-and-home set to close out the preseason for these two western Canadian squads. Take Winnipeg (6*).

My selection is on New York over Philadelphia at 7:05 pm et on Tuesday.

The Islanders lost their last game as a -200 favorite by way of overtime on Saturday night here at home against New Jersey. They're in a more favorable spot here, catching the Flyers playing on the second of back-to-back nights off an overtime win, yet we're being asked to lay a shorter price. All indications are that we'll see New York's 'A' squad for this contest, or as close to that as we can expect at this stage of the preseason. The same isn't likely to be the case for the Flyers, who starter Carter Hart in goal last night (he's been excellent in two preseason games) and had the likes of Sean Couturier, Ivan Provorov, Travis Konecny, James Van Riemsdyk - the list goes on - play significant minutes. Take New York (6*).

My selection is on Tampa Bay -1.0 goal over Montreal at 8:05 pm et on Wednesday.

We won with the Canadiens last time out - our first time playing the Habs in this series. I won't hesitate to switch gears and come back with the Lightning in Game 5, however, as they return home and look to close out Montreal and earn their second straight Stanley Cup title.

The Canadiens made a number of key lineup changes in Game 4 and they paid off, at least to a certain extent. However, it is worth noting that the Lightning outshot the Habs in that game and just as easily could have prevailed in a game that was settled in overtime.

Here, the Lightning are in excellent position to close out the series, noting that they've gone an incredible 21-5 when revenging a loss against an opponent this season, outscoring the opposition by 1.5 goals on average in that situation. Better still, they check in 12-1 when playing at home off a loss this season, averaging 4.0 goals per game while outscoring opponents by an average margin of 1.2 goals in that spot.

Montreal averages only 2.1 goals per game when coming off a home win this season and will run into a stingy Lightning squad that has given up an average of only 1.8 goals per game when attempting to close out a playoff series over the last two seasons.

Look for the Lightning to make the necessary adjustments after seeing what the Habs new-look lineup had to offer in Game 4. They certainly don't want to give the Canadiens any extra confidence, nor do they want to return to Montreal for a Game 6. Despite the result on Monday, this series has been a mismatch. While I'm rarely interested in laying a goal-and-a-half in the NHL, I will lay the goal (-1.0) here, meaning we'll settle for a 'push' should Tampa Bay win by a single goal. Take Tampa Bay -1.0 (10*).

NHL Game of the Month. My selection is on Tampa Bay over Montreal at 8:05 pm et on Monday.

We have a pretty good read on the Lightning right now having just gone 6-0-2 (including free) over the course of their seven-game series against the Islanders. Here, I look for them to get off to a positive start as they begin their quest for a second straight Stanley Cup title against the upstart Canadiens.

This is by no means a favorable matchup for the Habs. Tampa Bay has absolutely had Montreal's number over the last few seasons, taking seven of the last eight meetings in this series. This will of course be the first matchup between these two teams this season but I expect the Bolts dominance to continue.

Note that the Lightning are an incredible 20-3 when coming off a game where they scored one goal or less over the last two seasons, outscoring the opposition by an average margin of 1.1 goals. The Canadiens on the other hand are 11-21 after winning four of their last five contests over the last three seasons, outscored by 0.7 goals on average in that situation.

For whatever reason, we saw the Golden Knights absolutely wilt over the course of their series with the Habs. It almost seems as if a lopsided 4-1 win in Game 1 may have been their downfall as they seemed to start reading their own press and believing the series was going to be a cakewalk. I don't envision the Bolts experiencing a similar fate here. 

Home ice doesn't always mean a great deal in the NHL Playoffs, but it has most definitely meant something to the Bolts this season as they've gone 27-10 here in Tampa, outscoring opponents by an average margin of 1.3 goals. Here in the playoffs they check in giving up just 2.1 goals per game.

The Habs have proven to be the very definition of a 'tough out' and while I certainly don't expect them to get walked all over in this series, I do think they're going to have a very difficult time gaining the upper hand at any point against an ultra-talented and obviously experienced Lightning that has its sights set on another Stanley Cup championship. Take Tampa Bay (10*).

My selection is on Vegas over Montreal at 8:05 pm et on Thursday.

The road team has now won three of the five games in this series which is to say, home ice doesn't mean a great deal at this stage of the playoffs. I expect that trend to continue tonight as the Golden Knights look to force a seventh and deciding game back home.

Keep in mind, the Knights have been a terrific road team all season, going 23-13 in the visitors role, outscoring the opposition by 0.8 goals on average. While they're suddenly down 3-2 in this series there's no reason to push the panic button. They just as easily could have taken both previous games here in Montreal were it not for an untimely third period gaffe by goaltender Marc-Andre Fleury in Game 3.

The Canadiens check in just 17-18 on home ice this season and despite being the team leading this series, they have to be feeling some pressure to wrap things up on Thursday at home. I look for them to fail in their first attempt at least, having gone just 13-20 when playing at home off a win by two goals or more over the last three seasons and 4-9 when playing at home after allowing two goals or less in consecutive games over the last two seasons. In both situations they've allowed north of three goals per game.

Meanwhile, the Knights are in one of their best situations here, having gone 26-8 when seeking revenge for a loss by two goals or more against an opponent over the last two seasons, outscoring the opposition by an average margin of 0.9 goals in that spot. Take Vegas (10*).

My selection is on Vegas over Montreal at 9:05 pm et on Tuesday.

We're being asked to pay a rather large tariff to back the Golden Knights back home in Game 5 of this series on Tuesday night although it's actually lower than we saw in Games 1 and 2 here in Las Vegas (at the time of writing).

Vegas falls into a quirky trend that we've supported on more than one occasion this season, that being that it has gone an incredible 19-3 the last 22 times it has come off an overtime win, outscoring opponents by an average margin of 1.9 goals in that situation. The Knights also check in as a terrific positive momentum play having gone 29-10 after a one-goal victory over the last two seasons, outscoring the opposition by an average margin of 1.4 goals in that spot.

Meanwhile, the Canadiens have gone 16-24 and allowed 3.3 goals per game when coming off a one-goal loss over the last two seasons. They're not a great road team having gone 17-19 in the visitors role this season and I just don't see them taking more than one game from the Knights here in Vegas in this series.

For Vegas' part, it has gone an incredible 27-10 on home ice this season where it averages an impressive 3.5 goals per contest. I think falling behind 2-1 in this series was the wake-up call it needed. Take Vegas (9*).

My selection is on Tampa Bay over New York at 8:05 pm et on Monday.

We've had a pretty good read on this series so far, winning with the 'under' in Game 1, the Lightning in Game 2, the 'under' in Game 3 and 'pushing' with the 'over' in Game 4. Here, I'll go back to the well with the Lightning as they're set up well returning home off a loss in Game 4.

The Lightning are of course a dominant home team, having gone 25-10, outscoring the opposition by 1.2 goals on average here at Amalie Arena this season. Note that Tampa Bay has posted an incredible 59-22 record when coming off a loss over the last three seasons, outscoring opponents by an average of 1.1 goals in that spot.

Meanwhile, the Islanders average only 2.1 goals per game when playing on the road following a win this season, outscored by an average margin of 0.6 goals in that situation. The Isles have certainly been a different team on the road this season, where they've gone 16-20 and average only 2.2 goals per contest. I expect them to have a tough time keeping pace with the high-powered Lightning offense, back home in a bounce-back spot here. Take Tampa Bay (10*).

My selection is on Vegas over Montreal at 8:05 pm et on Sunday.

I can understand bettors being a little nervous backing the Golden Knights given the way they've played the last two games. However, the fact is they just as easily could have won Game 3 of this series were it not for Marc-Andre Fleury's gaffe playing the puck late in the third period. I fully expect to see Vegas bounce back here on Sunday.

Note that the Knights are 12-2 when playing on the road after allowing three goals or more in consecutive games over the last two seasons, averaging 3.7 goals per game and outscoring the opposition by an average margin of 1.6 goals in that situation. They're also an incredible 28-8 when revenging a road loss against an opponent over the last two seasons, outscoring opponents by an average margin of 1.1 goals in that spot.

Meanwhile, Montreal is just 11-20 after winning four of its last five games over the last three seasons, outscored by 0.7 goals on average in that situation. Finally, the Habs are 6-12 when playing at home after scoring three goals or more in consecutive games over the last two seasons, outscored by an average margin of 0.5 goals.

This is by no means a 'must-win game' for the Golden Knights but the prospect of breaking down the Habs in three straight games given the confidence Montreal is playing with right now would certainly be daunting. Look for the Knights to respond on Sunday night. Take Vegas (10*).

My selection is on Vegas over Montreal at 8:05 pm et on Friday.

We won a big ticket play on the Canadiens +1.5 goals two nights ago as they stunned the Knights in a 3-2 outright victory in Las Vegas. Here, I look for the Knights to answer back as the scene shifts to Montreal for Game 3 on Friday night.

I believe this situation sets up similarly to Game 3 in the Knights opening round series against Minnesota. The Wild managed to steal one of the first two games in Las Vegas but the Knights responded favorably to the pressure in Game 3 in Minnesota, rallying from an early deficit to deliver a 5-2 victory.

Vegas has been one of the best road teams in the NHL this season, posting a 22-12 record while outscoring opponents by an average margin of 0.9 goals. The Habs on the other hand haven't been anything special here at the Bell Centre, posting a 16-17 record. They're currently riding a three-game winning streak here at home, which matches their longest such streak of the season. The last time they tried to make it four wins in a row on home ice they fell by a 4-3 score against the Oilers back on May 10th.

Note that the Canadiens check in a miserable 10-20 after winning four of their last five games over the last three seasons, as is the case here. They've been outscored by an average margin of 0.8 goals in that situation. Take Vegas (10*).

NHL Stanley Cup Semi-Final Game of the Year. My selection is on Tampa Bay over New York at 8:05 pm et on Tuesday.

The Lightning got off to a typically sluggish start in Game 1 of this series on Sunday, not all that surprising given they had been idle for four full days after finishing off the Hurricanes in five games. They did ultimately come alive in the latter stages of that contest, but it was too little, too late in a 2-1 loss.

Here, I look for Tampa Bay to bounce back on home ice, where they've gone 24-10, outscoring opponents by 1.2 goals on average this season. Note that the Bolts are an incredible 19-3 after scoring one goal or less in their last game over the last two seasons, outscoring the opposition by an average margin of 1.1 goals in that spot. They're also a rock solid 58-22 when coming off a loss over the last three seasons.

The Islanders have now won four games in a row - their longest winning streak since April 1st to 8th. On that occasion, they failed to make it five straight victories, falling by a 4-1 score at home against the Rangers. New York is a long-term loser when playing on the road after winning three or more games in a row, going 28-57 in their last 85 opportunities.

Note that the Isles are averaging just 2.1 goals per game when playing on the road off a win this season. Meanwhile, the Lightning have allowed just 1.9 goals per game when revenging a loss where they scored one goal or less this season, as is the case here. Take Tampa Bay (10*).

My selection is on Colorado over Vegas at 9:05 pm et on Thursday.

I don't expect the Avs to go away quietly in this series, keeping in mind the Golden Knights are just 3-8 when attempting to close out a playoff series over the last three seasons, outscored by an average margin of 0.8 goals in that situation. Colorado does have two victories to its credit here in Las Vegas this season and despite dropping Games 3 and 4 here, has proven to be a solid road team this season, posting a 20-13 record. Note that the Avs have allowed just 1.8 goals per game and outscored the opposition by an average margin of 0.6 goals after giving up three goals or more in consecutive games this season. They've also held opponents to 1.3 goals and outscored them by 1.5 goals on average when coming off consecutive games where they were held to two goals or less. This has been an incredibly tightly-contested series with the Knights holding just a slight 10-9 edge in the last 19 meetings over the last three seasons. I expected a seven-game war heading into the series and I believe the Knights will be in tough trying to register a fourth straight victory over the Avs on Thursday night. Take Colorado (10*).

NHL West Division Game of the Month. My selection is on Colorado over Vegas at 9:05 pm et on Tuesday.

The home team has dominated this series, going a perfect 4-0 so far and I look for that trend to continue on Tuesday night. After all, the Avs have gone an incredible 25-6 on home ice this season, outscoring the opposition by an average of 2.2 goals per contest. Note that Colorado is a perfect 10-0 when at home revenging a loss against an opponent this season, outscoring opponents by an average margin of 3.4 goals (!). The Avs are also 24-8 when revenging a loss against an opponent by two goals or more over the last two seasons and 25-12 when revenging a loss against an opponent in which they scored one goal or less over the last three seasons. There aren't many situations where the Golden Knights own a losing record in recent years but here's one - they're just 11-16 when coming off a win by four goals or more over the last three seasons. This will be the 13th meeting between these two teams this season and the Knights have yet to win three consecutive matchups with the Avs. Look for that to hold true on Tuesday. Take Colorado (10*).

NHL East Division Playoff Game of the Year. My selection is on Boston over New York at 6:35 pm et on Monday.

New York evened up this series with a convincing 4-1 victory at a raucous Nassau Coliseum on Saturday. Now I look for the Bruins to take back control of the series as the scene shifts back to Boston on Monday. Note that Boston is 13-1 when playing at home after scoring one goal or less in their last game over the last three seasons, outscoring opponents by an average margin of 1.8 goals in that situation. Meanwhile, the Islanders average a miserable 1.9 goals per game when on the road after a home win against a division opponent over the last two seasons, outscored by an average margin of 0.5 goals in that spot. The Bruins are 20-11 on home ice this season where they average an impressive 3.4 goals per game. Look for the Isles to once again have a tough time keeping pace on Monday night. Take Boston (10*).

My selection is on Tampa Bay over Carolina at 4:05 pm et on Saturday.

The Hurricanes were clearly the more desperate team in Game 3 of this series and ultimately skated away with a 3-2 overtime victory on a power play goal in the first extra period. Here, I look for the Lightning to punch back. We won with the Canes (on the puck-line) in Game 3 so the fact that they pulled off the 'upset' didn't come as a surprise. It was very unlikely Carolina was going to go away quietly in this series. However, the Canes are in a tougher spot here on Saturday, unable to gain the same mental boost from the goalie change to Petr Mrazek and quite possibly without one of their best players in Vincent Trocheck once again. While there's a chance Trocheck will return, how effective he can be remains to be seen. Note that the Lightning are an incredible 57-22 when coming off a loss over the last three seasons, outscoring opponents by 1.0 goal per game on average. They've also taken five of the last eight meetings between these two teams in Tampa. Take Tampa Bay (10*).

NHL Second Round Game of the Year. My selection is on Winnipeg over Montreal at 7:35 pm et on Friday.

One would think the Jets would be at a major disadvantage here, not only down 1-0 in the series but now also without one of their best players in Mark Scheifele after his bone-headed decision to charge Jake Evans for a vicious hit in the final minute of Game 1. I actually feel his absence could be galvanizing in nature for this Jets squad that has faced plenty of adversity this season, while serving as more of a distraction for the Canadiens, who should be focused on trying to take a 2-0 stranglehold on this series rather than on exacting revenge for Scheifele's hit. Regardless, the Habs are set up poorly here having gone 1-7 after winning three straight games over the last two seasons, outscored by 1.6 goals on average in that situation. In a bit of a quirky trend, they're also a miserable 11-26 when playing their third straight road game over the last two seasons, allowing 3.3 goals per game in that spot. Finally, it's worth noting that they're 4-12 after consecutive wins by two or more goals over the last three seasons, giving up an average of 3.7 goals in that situation. For their part, the Jets are 11-4 when revenging a loss against an opponent this season and better still, 28-13 when revenging a loss where their opponent scored four or more goals over the last two seasons, averaging 3.2 goals per game in that spot. They've proven to be a terrific bounce-back team, going 24-12 following a loss to a division opponent over the last two seasons, outscoring the opposition by 0.8 goals on average. This will be the 11th meeting between these two teams this season and Montreal has yet to record three consecutive victories. I don't see it happening tonight either. Take Winnipeg (10*).

My selection is on Carolina over Tampa Bay at 7:35 pm et on Tuesday.

While we missed with the Canes in Game 1 of this series on Sunday I won't hesitate to go back to the well with them again in Game 2 as they look to even this series at one game apiece. Carolina actually outshot Tampa Bay by a 38-30 margin in Game 1 but was ultimately foiled by what could only be called a 'bad goal' given up by Alex Nedeljkovic in the third period. Carolina is still 23-9 on home ice this season, outscoring opponents by an average margin of 1.3 goals. The Canes know that if they're going to have any shot at dethroning the defending Stanley Cup champions they need this win as taking four out of the next five games is likely too tall of a task against a team as good as the Lightning. As terrific as the Lightning have been in recent years, this isn't an ideal spot for them as they've gone just 20-23 when coming off a one-goal victory over the last two seasons. Take Carolina (10*).

My selection is on Carolina over Tampa Bay at 5:05 pm et on Sunday.

This promises to be an incredible series between two true Stanley Cup contenders. I like the Hurricanes to hold serve in Sunday's series-opener. Note that Carolina hasn't just been good at home this season, it has been phenomenal, going 23-8 while outscoring the opposition by an average margin of 1.4 goals. Meanwhile, Tampa Bay checks in a modest 16-14 on the road with its shooting percentage dropping considerably from its season average of 10.9% to 9.4%. The Canes have posted an incredible 11-1 record when at home off a one-goal victory over the last two seasons, outscoring opponents by a whopping 2.7 goals on average in that spot. They've also gone 9-1 off an overtime win this season, as is the case here, outscoring opponents by an average margin of 1.8 goals. I would match a healthy Hurricanes squad up against any other team in the league in terms of talent - even against the defending Stanley Cup champion Lightning. All respect to Tampa Bay, but I look for Carolina to come out strong in this series. Take Carolina (10*).

My selection is on Boston over New York at 8:05 pm et on Saturday.

The Bruins dropped Game 1 of their opening round series with the Capitals but went on to reel off four straight wins from there to dispose of Washington with little trouble. Meanwhile, the Islanders won Game 1 against the Penguins in overtime, setting the stage for a 4-2 series victory. Here, I look for a reversal of roles as the Bruins hold serve at TD Garden in Saturday's round two opener. Boston has been a solid home team all season, going 19-10 while outscoring the opposition by 0.9 goals on average. The Isles check in just 13-18 on the road, where they average a miserable 2.1 goals per game. This one doesn't set up particularly well for New York, noting that it has gone 3-10 when on the road revenging a same-season loss against an opponent this season, averaging just 1.8 goals per game in that situation. It has also gone a miserable 27-56 the last 83 times it has played on the road off three straight victories, as is the case here. The Bruins have averaged 3.1 goals per game and outscored opponents by 0.9 goals on average when playing at home after scoring three goals or more in consecutive games over the last two seasons. I much prefer backing the Isles after a loss as they just seem to be a team that responds well to adversity. Look for the Bruins to hand them some of that here in Game 1. Take Boston (10*).

My selection is on Toronto over Montreal at 7:35 pm et on Saturday.

The Leafs doubters are out in full force after Toronto failed to close out this series on home ice two nights ago (we won with the Canadiens +1.5 goals in that one). I don't think Toronto is about to hit the panic button just yet, however, and look for it to finish off the Habs on Saturday night at the Bell Centre. Yes, the Canadiens will have fans in the stands for the first time this season which should certainly give them an emotional lift. I think it also helps the Leafs, however, as they'll also be playing in front of an audience (albeit limited) for the first time this season. As I've pointed out time and time again over the years, home ice doesn't mean quite as much in the NHL Playoffs, as road teams can feed off the energy just as much as the home sides more often than not. Here, Toronto is set up exceptionally well, noting that it has gone 11-1 when revenging a home loss against an opponent this season, outscoring the opposition by 1.5 goals on average in that spot. Meanwhile, Montreal is just 2-8 following a one-goal win this season, outscored by an average margin of 1.7 goals in that situation. In fact, the Habs are a miserable 8-17 off a win of any kind this season and 18-28 after scoring four goals or more in their last game over the last two seasons. Going back over the last two seasons, the Leafs average a whopping 3.9 goals per game when revenging a home loss against an opponent and give up only 1.6 goals per game when revenging a loss where their opponent scored four goals or more this season. This will be the 16th meeting between these rivals this season and we've yet to see the Habs pick up consecutive victories. Take Toronto (10*).

My selection is on Vegas over Minnesota at 9:05 pm et on Friday.

The Knights seemed to have this series all wrapped up after Game 4 with a 3-1 lead heading back home. However, they botched Game 5 and proceeded to get shut out in Game 6. So now here we are in a seventh and deciding game. I believe it still sets up well for the Knights on home ice. Note that Vegas has gone a perfect 11-0 revenging a road loss against an opponent by three goals or more over the last two seasons, as is the case here, outscoring opponents by 1.6 goals on average in that spot. They're also 11-1 when coming off a road loss against a division opponent over the last two seasons, outscoring the opposition by an average of 2.2 goals. Vegas has been a terrific home team all season, going 22-9 while allowing just 2.2 goals per game. By contrast, Minnesota is just one game over .500 on the road, allowing 3.1 goals per contest. Look for the Knights to defend home ice and advance to face the Avs with a victory on Friday. Take Vegas (10*).

My selection is on Tampa Bay over Florida at 8:05 pm et on Wednesday.

This one sets up well for the Lightning to close out the Panthers on home ice. Florida took Game 5 by a 4-1 score two nights ago as Tampa Bay just couldn't match the Panthers hunger facing elimination. Here, I look for the Lightning to do everything they can to avoid a return trip to Sunrise, noting that they have a number of key players playing injured and can use all the rest they can get. Tampa Bay checks in 38-12 after losing two of its last three games over the last three seasons, outscoring opponents by an average margin of 1.1 goals in that spot. Better still, the Lightning are 36-10 when coming off a loss by two goals or more over that same stretch, outscoring the opposition by 1.1 goals on average. They're also an incredible 18-3 after scoring one goal or less in their previous game over the last two seasons, outscoring opponents by an average margin of 1.0 goal in that situation. Tampa Bay owns a decisive 7-3 edge on home ice against the Panthers over the last three seasons and I believe its Game 5 setback will only serve as a minor speedbump on its way to wrapping up this series. Take Tampa Bay (10*).

NHL First Round Elimination Game of the Year. My selection is on Pittsburgh over New York at 6:35 pm et on Wednesday.

Off a 50-shot barrage in a losing effort on Monday I look for the Penguins to finally capitalize on their opportunities and force a seventh and deciding game in this series with a victory in Uniondale on Wednesday. Note that Pittsburgh checks in a perfect 8-0 when coming off consecutive losses against division opponents over the last two seasons, outscoring the opposition by an average margin of 2.4 goals in that spot. The Pens are also an incredible 23-11 after giving up three goals or more in consecutive games over the last two seasons, outscoring opponents by 1.1 goals on average in that situation. They obviously come into this game with double-revenge off consecutive losses and I'll point to the fact that they've gone 18-5 when revenging a loss against an opponent this season, outscoring the opposition by 1.1 goals on average in that spot. While the Isles do hold a 7-5 edge against the Pens here on Long Island over the last three seasons, three of those five Pittsburgh victories have come this season. This has had the feel of a seven-game series all the way and I expect it to play out accordingly on Wednesday. Take Pittsburgh (10*).

My selection is on Carolina over Nashville at 8:05 pm et on Tuesday.

This one sets up perfectly for the Hurricanes as they look to rebound on home ice after suffering consecutive overtime losses in Nashville. Note that the Predators are 0-6 off two straight one-goal wins over division opponents over the last three seasons, outscored by a wide average margin of 2.5 goals in that spot. They're also 10-23 when coming off consecutive victories over the last two seasons, outscored by 0.7 goals per game in that situation. As we noted at the start of this series, home ice would likely be the ultimate decider and so far it has been with the hosts winning all four games for a 2-2 series through five. With the Canes checking in 22-8 on home ice this season, outscoring opponents by an average margin of 1.4 goals per game, look for them to gain the upper hand on Tuesday night. Take Carolina (10*).

NHL East Division Game of the Month. My selection is on Pittsburgh over New York at 7:05 pm et on Monday.

The Penguins took one on the chin on Saturday afternoon in Uniondale, suffering a lopsided 4-1 defeat to even the series up at two games apiece. Here, I look for Pittsburgh to answer back on home ice where it has gone 23-7 this season, outscoring opponents by an average margin of 2.4 goals. Note that Pittsburgh checks in 9-1 when revenging a road loss by two goals or more this season, outscoring the opposition by an average margin of 2.3 goals in that spot. The Pens are also an incredible 16-2 at home off a loss over the last two seasons, holding a 1.8-goal scoring edge in that situation. This has been an incredibly tightly-contested series in recent years so it's no surprise at all that it's all tied up through four games. However, I do think home ice means something at this stage of the series and like the Pens to defend it here. Take Pittsburgh (10*).

My selection is on Edmonton over Winnipeg at 7:35 pm et on Sunday.

Most didn't give the Jets much of a chance of even winning a game in this series let alone stealing the first two contests in Edmonton. But that's precisely what they did and now they return home with a chance to take full control of the series on Sunday night. I don't see it happening, however. Note that the Oilers are a perfect 7-0 when revenging a one-goal loss against an opponent this season, outscoring the opposition by an average margin of 1.9 goals in that situation. They're also 8-1 this season on the road off a loss, outscoring opponents by 2.1 on average in that spot. Meanwhile, in an odd quirk, the Jets have gone a miserable 2-11 off an overtime win over the last two seasons, outscored by an average margin of 1.9 goals in that situation. They're also 2-8 after winning three or more games in a row over the last three seasons, outscored by an average margin of 1.6 goals in that spot. Ordinarily the Jets would have a big edge playing at home in front of a raucous 'white out' crowd here in the postseason. Due to the pandemic that's simply not the case this year. Note that Winnipeg has gone just 13-15 on home ice this season. Look for the Oilers to get back in the series on Sunday night. Take Edmonton (10*).

My selection is on Minnesota over Vegas at 8:05 pm et on Saturday.

Game 3 should have been pretty easy for the Wild to flush as they simply didn't show enough fight after jumping out to an early 2-0 lead and got burned by a superior Golden Knights squad. I do expect to see some push-back from Minnesota in what amounts to a virtual must-win game on Saturday night. Note that the Wild are a perfect 8-0 when coming off consecutive losses this season, outscoring the opposition by an average margin of 1.9 goals in that situation. They're also 17-6 when coming off a home loss over the last two seasons, outscoring opponents by 0.9 goals per game in that spot. There's no reason for them to fold the tent here as they know they can skate with the Knights, having taken nine of the last 16 meetings overall including four of the last seven here in Minnesota. While I still have Vegas winning this series, I like the Wild to even things up on Saturday night. Take Minnesota (9*).

NHL Blowout Game of the Month. My selection is on Toronto over Montreal at 7:05 pm et on Saturday.

Credit the Canadiens for staging the Game 1 upset two nights ago, delivering a 2-1 victory despite getting outshot by a 36-30 margin. Even after losing John Tavares to a scary concussion, the Leafs shouldn't be down on themselves heading into Game 2 on Saturday night. They're still 18-11 at home this season and 6-3 in their last nine meetings with the Canadiens here in Toronto. They've been tremendous when revenging a home loss against an opponent this season, going 10-1 while outscoring the opposition by 1.3 goals on average. While the Leafs aren't necessarily known for their ability to overcome adversity, they're actually an impressive 23-11 the last 37 times they've been trailing a playoff series. The Canadiens check in 3-11 off a one-goal win over a division opponent over the last two seasons and 8-16 off a victory this season. Look for the Leafs to answer back in a big way on Saturday. Take Toronto (10*).

NHL First Round Game of the Year. My selection is on Edmonton over Winnipeg at 9:05 pm et on Friday.

This one sets up nicely for the Oilers as they look to bounce back following a disappointing 4-1 loss in Wednesday's series-opener. The Jets limped down the stretch losing nine of their final 12 regular season games including three against these same Oilers but perhaps that played a role in Edmonton taking a win for granted in Game 1. In fact, prior to Wednesday's contest, the Oilers had won six straight meetings with the Jets. Now it's the Oilers with all of the motivation as they look to even up the series before it shifts to Winnipeg for the next two games. Note that the Jets check in a miserable 3-13 after scoring three goals or more in three consecutive games over the last two seasons, outscored by an average margin of 1.2 goals in that spot. They're also just 6-17 when coming off a road victory by three goals or more over the last three seasons, outscored by 1.2 goals per game in that situation as well. Meanwhile, the Oilers check in 15-4 when coming off two or more consecutive losses over the last two seasons, averaging 3.8 goals per game while outscoring the opposition by an average margin of 0.9 goals in that spot. They're 7-1 when coming off consecutive losses by two or more goals over the same stretch, outscoring opponents by an average margin of 1.0 goal. Give the Jets all the credit in the world for stealing Game 1 as they were actually outshot by a fairly wide margin but they're a gritty road team, having gone 18-11 away from home this season, and found a way to get the 'W'. However, now that they've accomplished what was likely their goal of earning at least a split in the first two games in Edmonton, look for the Oilers to answer back with a convincing victory of their own on Friday. Take Edmonton (10*).

NHL First Round Revenge Game of the Year. My selection is on Florida over Tampa Bay at 8:05 pm et on Tuesday.

The Lightning got past the Panthers on a late goal from Brayden Point in Sunday's thrilling series-opener between these in-state rivals. I look for Florida to answer back with a victory on Tuesday night. The Panthers know just how difficult it would be to take four of the next five games should they fall into an 0-2 series hole on Tuesday. After all, Tampa Bay has taken 11 of the last 17 meetings in this series. The Panthers should remain confident here, however, noting that they've held their own against the Bolts this season, going 5-4 in nine meetings. With a win here on Tuesday, the Panthers would even up the series here in Sunrise over the last three seasons at five wins apiece. Note that Tampa Bay checks into this game having gone 0-4 when playing on the road off a one-goal road victory this season, outscored by an average margin of 1.8 goals while allowing 4.8 goals per game in that situation. In fact, the Lightning are just 19-23 when coming off a one-goal win regardless of the location over the last two seasons. Meanwhile, the Panthers have gone 14-3 after giving up four goals or more in their last game this season, outscoring opponents by 1.2 goals on average in that spot. They also check in a perfect 8-0 this season after a game where both teams scored at least four goals, as is the case here, outscoring the opposition by an average margin of 1.9 goals while averaging 4.3 goals per game in that situation. At 20-9 on home ice this season, outscoring opponents by 1.0 goal per game, I look for the Panthers to come up with a big effort to even this series on Tuesday night. Take Florida (10*).

My selection is on Pittsburgh over New York at 7:35 pm et on Tuesday.

This would be a big spot for the Penguins at the best of times but when you consider they were swept by the Islanders in the opening round of the playoffs just two years ago, perhaps even more importance will be placed on getting the victory here. Sunday's series-opener obviously could have gone either way. Credit the Isles for sticking with it and scoring the overtime winner after coughing up a short-lived 3-2 lead late in the third period. Here, New York finds itself in a difficult spot having gone just 12-17 on the road this season where it averages only 2.1 goals per game. Even worse, the Isles average just 2.0 goals per game when playing on the road off a win this season, outscored by 0.6 goals on average in that spot. Meanwhile, the Pens own a tremendous 14-1 mark when at home revenging a one-goal loss against an opponent over the last three seasons, outscoring the opposition by 2.3 goals per game in that situation. Pittsburgh is 15-2 the last 17 times it has played at home following a loss over the last two seasons, outscoring opponents by 1.8 goals per game and averaging 4.2 goals per contest itself in that spot. Take Pittsburgh (9*).

NHL Central Division First Round Game of the Year. My selection is on Carolina over Nashville at 8:05 pm et on Monday.

Nashville went on an incredible run from the middle of March on to earn a playoff spot but what is its reward? A date with the first-place Hurricanes in the opening round. As I noted in my playoff preview article, home ice is going to mean something in this series as the Hurricanes check in 20-8 in Raleigh this season, outscoring opponents by an average margin of 1.3 goals. While Nashville went 18-10 on home ice during the regular season, it was just 13-15 on the road, allowing 3.1 goals per game in the process. The Preds have had little recent success here in Raleigh, dropping five of the last six meetings in this series. While Nashville did close out the regular season with consecutive victories over the Canes, those both came at home, and Carolina had essentially already checked out on the regular season. Note that Nashville is now in a poor position, having gone 10-22 when coming off consecutive wins over the last two seasons, outscored by 0.7 goals on average in that spot. Here, I expect to see a much different Canes squad, one that will be eager to get this postseason off to a positive start after such a disappointing early exit at the hands of the Bruins last year. While we're being asked to lay a fairly steep price to back Carolina here, I believe it could be even higher. Take Carolina (10*).

NHL Central Division Game of the Month. My selection is on Dallas over Chicago at 8:05 pm et on Monday.

The Blackhawks got the better of the Stars in a somewhat meaningless affair last night in Chicago but it's certainly worth noting that Dallas didn't quit, outshooting the Blackhawks by a wide margin of 39-25. I look for the Stars to wrap up an otherwise disappointing season with a victory on Monday night. It's easy to forget that the Stars reached the Stanley Cup Final in the Edmonton bubble last fall. While the 2021 campaign has certainly not gone their way, the same could be said for the Blackhawks. Here, Dallas is set up well, having gone 20-13 when revenging a loss where their opponent scored four goals or more over the last three seasons, allowing just 2.5 goals per game in that situation. The Blackhawks check in a miserable 2-9 at home off a win by two goals or more over a division opponent over the last two seasons, outscored by an average margin of 1.4 goals in that spot. Worse still, Chicago is 0-6 when at home off consecutive wins over division opponents over the last three seasons, allowing a whopping 5.2 goals per game and outscored by 2.7 goals on average in that situation. While they have nothing but pride to play for, the Stars have generally done a good job of tightening things up in similar situations, allowing just 2.1 goals per game off a division loss by two goals or more over the last three seasons. Take Dallas (10*).

My selection is on Calgary over Ottawa at 8:05 pm et on Sunday.

While both of these teams are simply playing out the string at this point, I believe the spot favors the Flames as they look to bounce back from a shutout loss against the Jets last time out and aim to revenge four consecutive losses against the Senators, including a 4-2 loss here in Calgary in their most recent meeting on April 19th. Note that Calgary is a perfect 6-0 when revenging consecutive losses in which their opponent scored at least three goals this season, outscoring the opposition by 2.3 goals on average in that spot. They're also 45-24 after giving up four goals or more in their last game over the last three seasons, outscoring opponents by an average margin of 0.9 goals in that situation. While the Sens are certainly playing some of their best hockey right now, they're still just 9-18 on the road this season where they allow right around four goals per game. The Flames check in having gone 6-5 over their last 11 games, giving up two goals or less in eight of those contests. Despite dropping the last meeting here, they've won three of the last five matchups between these two teams in Calgary. Take Calgary (10*).