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Sean Murphy NHL Money Lines Picks
Date Match Up Rating Score Result Profit Lead Time Analysis
05-22-21 Golden Knights v. Wild +109 4-0 Loss -100 9 h 4 m Show

My selection is on Minnesota over Vegas at 8:05 pm et on Saturday.

Game 3 should have been pretty easy for the Wild to flush as they simply didn't show enough fight after jumping out to an early 2-0 lead and got burned by a superior Golden Knights squad. I do expect to see some push-back from Minnesota in what amounts to a virtual must-win game on Saturday night. Note that the Wild are a perfect 8-0 when coming off consecutive losses this season, outscoring the opposition by an average margin of 1.9 goals in that situation. They're also 17-6 when coming off a home loss over the last two seasons, outscoring opponents by 0.9 goals per game in that spot. There's no reason for them to fold the tent here as they know they can skate with the Knights, having taken nine of the last 16 meetings overall including four of the last seven here in Minnesota. While I still have Vegas winning this series, I like the Wild to even things up on Saturday night. Take Minnesota (9*).

05-22-21 Canadiens v. Maple Leafs -167 Top 1-5 Win 100 13 h 50 m Show

NHL Blowout Game of the Month. My selection is on Toronto over Montreal at 7:05 pm et on Saturday.

Credit the Canadiens for staging the Game 1 upset two nights ago, delivering a 2-1 victory despite getting outshot by a 36-30 margin. Even after losing John Tavares to a scary concussion, the Leafs shouldn't be down on themselves heading into Game 2 on Saturday night. They're still 18-11 at home this season and 6-3 in their last nine meetings with the Canadiens here in Toronto. They've been tremendous when revenging a home loss against an opponent this season, going 10-1 while outscoring the opposition by 1.3 goals on average. While the Leafs aren't necessarily known for their ability to overcome adversity, they're actually an impressive 23-11 the last 37 times they've been trailing a playoff series. The Canadiens check in 3-11 off a one-goal win over a division opponent over the last two seasons and 8-16 off a victory this season. Look for the Leafs to answer back in a big way on Saturday. Take Toronto (10*).

05-21-21 Jets v. Oilers -156 Top 1-0 Loss -156 32 h 12 m Show

NHL First Round Game of the Year. My selection is on Edmonton over Winnipeg at 9:05 pm et on Friday.

This one sets up nicely for the Oilers as they look to bounce back following a disappointing 4-1 loss in Wednesday's series-opener. The Jets limped down the stretch losing nine of their final 12 regular season games including three against these same Oilers but perhaps that played a role in Edmonton taking a win for granted in Game 1. In fact, prior to Wednesday's contest, the Oilers had won six straight meetings with the Jets. Now it's the Oilers with all of the motivation as they look to even up the series before it shifts to Winnipeg for the next two games. Note that the Jets check in a miserable 3-13 after scoring three goals or more in three consecutive games over the last two seasons, outscored by an average margin of 1.2 goals in that spot. They're also just 6-17 when coming off a road victory by three goals or more over the last three seasons, outscored by 1.2 goals per game in that situation as well. Meanwhile, the Oilers check in 15-4 when coming off two or more consecutive losses over the last two seasons, averaging 3.8 goals per game while outscoring the opposition by an average margin of 0.9 goals in that spot. They're 7-1 when coming off consecutive losses by two or more goals over the same stretch, outscoring opponents by an average margin of 1.0 goal. Give the Jets all the credit in the world for stealing Game 1 as they were actually outshot by a fairly wide margin but they're a gritty road team, having gone 18-11 away from home this season, and found a way to get the 'W'. However, now that they've accomplished what was likely their goal of earning at least a split in the first two games in Edmonton, look for the Oilers to answer back with a convincing victory of their own on Friday. Take Edmonton (10*).

05-18-21 Lightning v. Panthers +119 Top 3-1 Loss -100 14 h 51 m Show

NHL First Round Revenge Game of the Year. My selection is on Florida over Tampa Bay at 8:05 pm et on Tuesday.

The Lightning got past the Panthers on a late goal from Brayden Point in Sunday's thrilling series-opener between these in-state rivals. I look for Florida to answer back with a victory on Tuesday night. The Panthers know just how difficult it would be to take four of the next five games should they fall into an 0-2 series hole on Tuesday. After all, Tampa Bay has taken 11 of the last 17 meetings in this series. The Panthers should remain confident here, however, noting that they've held their own against the Bolts this season, going 5-4 in nine meetings. With a win here on Tuesday, the Panthers would even up the series here in Sunrise over the last three seasons at five wins apiece. Note that Tampa Bay checks into this game having gone 0-4 when playing on the road off a one-goal road victory this season, outscored by an average margin of 1.8 goals while allowing 4.8 goals per game in that situation. In fact, the Lightning are just 19-23 when coming off a one-goal win regardless of the location over the last two seasons. Meanwhile, the Panthers have gone 14-3 after giving up four goals or more in their last game this season, outscoring opponents by 1.2 goals on average in that spot. They also check in a perfect 8-0 this season after a game where both teams scored at least four goals, as is the case here, outscoring the opposition by an average margin of 1.9 goals while averaging 4.3 goals per game in that situation. At 20-9 on home ice this season, outscoring opponents by 1.0 goal per game, I look for the Panthers to come up with a big effort to even this series on Tuesday night. Take Florida (10*).

05-18-21 Islanders v. Penguins -133 1-2 Win 100 8 h 3 m Show

My selection is on Pittsburgh over New York at 7:35 pm et on Tuesday.

This would be a big spot for the Penguins at the best of times but when you consider they were swept by the Islanders in the opening round of the playoffs just two years ago, perhaps even more importance will be placed on getting the victory here. Sunday's series-opener obviously could have gone either way. Credit the Isles for sticking with it and scoring the overtime winner after coughing up a short-lived 3-2 lead late in the third period. Here, New York finds itself in a difficult spot having gone just 12-17 on the road this season where it averages only 2.1 goals per game. Even worse, the Isles average just 2.0 goals per game when playing on the road off a win this season, outscored by 0.6 goals on average in that spot. Meanwhile, the Pens own a tremendous 14-1 mark when at home revenging a one-goal loss against an opponent over the last three seasons, outscoring the opposition by 2.3 goals per game in that situation. Pittsburgh is 15-2 the last 17 times it has played at home following a loss over the last two seasons, outscoring opponents by 1.8 goals per game and averaging 4.2 goals per contest itself in that spot. Take Pittsburgh (9*).

05-17-21 Predators v. Hurricanes -179 Top 2-5 Win 100 13 h 12 m Show

NHL Central Division First Round Game of the Year. My selection is on Carolina over Nashville at 8:05 pm et on Monday.

Nashville went on an incredible run from the middle of March on to earn a playoff spot but what is its reward? A date with the first-place Hurricanes in the opening round. As I noted in my playoff preview article, home ice is going to mean something in this series as the Hurricanes check in 20-8 in Raleigh this season, outscoring opponents by an average margin of 1.3 goals. While Nashville went 18-10 on home ice during the regular season, it was just 13-15 on the road, allowing 3.1 goals per game in the process. The Preds have had little recent success here in Raleigh, dropping five of the last six meetings in this series. While Nashville did close out the regular season with consecutive victories over the Canes, those both came at home, and Carolina had essentially already checked out on the regular season. Note that Nashville is now in a poor position, having gone 10-22 when coming off consecutive wins over the last two seasons, outscored by 0.7 goals on average in that spot. Here, I expect to see a much different Canes squad, one that will be eager to get this postseason off to a positive start after such a disappointing early exit at the hands of the Bruins last year. While we're being asked to lay a fairly steep price to back Carolina here, I believe it could be even higher. Take Carolina (10*).

05-10-21 Stars -130 v. Blackhawks Top 5-4 Win 100 10 h 6 m Show

NHL Central Division Game of the Month. My selection is on Dallas over Chicago at 8:05 pm et on Monday.

The Blackhawks got the better of the Stars in a somewhat meaningless affair last night in Chicago but it's certainly worth noting that Dallas didn't quit, outshooting the Blackhawks by a wide margin of 39-25. I look for the Stars to wrap up an otherwise disappointing season with a victory on Monday night. It's easy to forget that the Stars reached the Stanley Cup Final in the Edmonton bubble last fall. While the 2021 campaign has certainly not gone their way, the same could be said for the Blackhawks. Here, Dallas is set up well, having gone 20-13 when revenging a loss where their opponent scored four goals or more over the last three seasons, allowing just 2.5 goals per game in that situation. The Blackhawks check in a miserable 2-9 at home off a win by two goals or more over a division opponent over the last two seasons, outscored by an average margin of 1.4 goals in that spot. Worse still, Chicago is 0-6 when at home off consecutive wins over division opponents over the last three seasons, allowing a whopping 5.2 goals per game and outscored by 2.7 goals on average in that situation. While they have nothing but pride to play for, the Stars have generally done a good job of tightening things up in similar situations, allowing just 2.1 goals per game off a division loss by two goals or more over the last three seasons. Take Dallas (10*).

05-09-21 Senators v. Flames -190 1-6 Win 100 13 h 15 m Show

My selection is on Calgary over Ottawa at 8:05 pm et on Sunday.

While both of these teams are simply playing out the string at this point, I believe the spot favors the Flames as they look to bounce back from a shutout loss against the Jets last time out and aim to revenge four consecutive losses against the Senators, including a 4-2 loss here in Calgary in their most recent meeting on April 19th. Note that Calgary is a perfect 6-0 when revenging consecutive losses in which their opponent scored at least three goals this season, outscoring the opposition by 2.3 goals on average in that spot. They're also 45-24 after giving up four goals or more in their last game over the last three seasons, outscoring opponents by an average margin of 0.9 goals in that situation. While the Sens are certainly playing some of their best hockey right now, they're still just 9-18 on the road this season where they allow right around four goals per game. The Flames check in having gone 6-5 over their last 11 games, giving up two goals or less in eight of those contests. Despite dropping the last meeting here, they've won three of the last five matchups between these two teams in Calgary. Take Calgary (10*).

05-08-21 Devils v. Islanders -220 Top 1-5 Win 100 13 h 56 m Show

NHL Chalk Game of the Month. My selection is on New York over New Jersey at 7:05 pm et on Saturday.

The Islanders have picked a bad time to start slumping, losers of three games in a row against non-playoff opponents in the Sabres and Devils. It hasn't been for lack of trying as they've fired 81 shots on goal over the last two games. Here, I look for the Isles to finally get back in the win column as they fall in a positive situation having gone 25-12 after losing three of their last four games over the last three seasons, outscoring opponents by 0.9 goals on average in that situation. Isles head coach Barry Trotz has a way of getting his teams back up after a tough stretch, with his teams having gone 20-5 the last 25 times they've come off consecutive losses against division opponents, as is the case here. Note that the Devils have allowed a whopping 4.5 goals per game when playing on the road after allowing one goal or less in their last game over the last three seasons, outscored by an average margin of 1.7 goals in that spot. New Jersey's victory on Thursday night was just their second in their last six tries over the last three seasons here on Long Island. Look for the Isles to get back on track here before a tough regular season finale on the road against the Bruins. Take New York (10*).

05-07-21 Blues v. Golden Knights -158 Top 3-4 Win 100 14 h 16 m Show

NHL Revenge Game of the Month. My selection is on Vegas over St. Louis at 10:05 pm et on Friday.

Both of these teams will be heading to the postseason but the Knights have a little more to play for in this two-game set as they try to lock up home ice advantage throughout with an outside shot at grabbing the league's top overall seed. They'll also be playing with revenge on their minds after suffering a 3-1 loss in St. Louis back on April 7th (the Knights outshot the Blues 51-35 in that game). Note that Vegas has gone an incredible 17-2 when revenging a road loss by two goals or more against an opponent over the last two seasons, outscoring the opposition by an average margin of 1.3 goals in that situation. The Knights are a terrific positive momentum play here having gone 27-7 all-time off a one-goal victory over a division opponent, outscoring opponents by 1.6 goals on average in that spot. It's the opposite story for the Blues as they limp to Las Vegas off an embarrassing home loss against the lowly Ducks. Note that St. Louis has gone a miserable 11-21 when coming off a one-goal loss over the last two seasons, outscored by an average margin of 0.7 goals in that situation. The Blues also check in 3-8 after winning four or five of their last six games this season, as is the case here, allowing 3.2 goals per game in that spot. While we have seen a few defensive lapses from the Knights lately, those have been few and far between here at home, where they allow just 2.2 goals per game on the season. Take Vegas (10*).

05-05-21 Kings v. Coyotes -130 4-2 Loss -130 15 h 37 m Show

My selection is on Arizona over Los Angeles at 10:05 pm et on Wednesday.

With both of these teams simply playing out the string at this point I like the Coyotes to bounce back on home ice following a 3-2 loss to the Kings two nights ago. That marked the 'Yotes second straight loss but they haven't lost more than two in a row since dropping five straight games from April 7th to 14th. Of course, all five of those losses came on the road at the end of a long nine-game trek. Prior to that, you would have to go back to March 10th to 18th to find the last time Arizona lost more than two straight games - again, that five-game skid came on the road. The Coyotes are much better-positioned to bounce back here at home, having gone a perfect 6-0 when playing at home following consecutive losses this season, outscoring opponents by 1.7 goals per game in that situation. They're also 21-11 when playing at home revenging a same-season loss against an opponent over the last three seasons, outscoring the opposition by 0.6 goals on average in that spot. Meanwhile, the Kings check in a miserable 1-10 when coming off a one-goal win over a division opponent over the last two seasons, outscored by a wide average margin of 2.1 goals in that situation. The fact that Los Angeles is 5-2 in its last seven games played here in Arizona is playing pretty heavy in the betting marketplace and I think it explains why this price is as short as it is. However, I do expect the Coyotes to put forth a strong performance in what is their home finale. Take Arizona (10*).

05-05-21 Jets +109 v. Flames 4-0 Win 109 14 h 56 m Show

My selection is on Winnipeg over Calgary at 9:35 pm et on Wednesday.

We missed with the Jets on Monday as they fell by a 2-1 score in Ottawa in a game they dominated most of the way. There's more upside than first appears with Winnipeg here in my opinion as they scored three goals in a loss in Montreal two games back before generating plenty of good scoring opportunities against the Sens on Monday. A breakout is certainly coming and I want to be behind the Jets when it happens. This is a fine spot to project that happening with the Flames having gone 5-11 when coming off consecutive road games, as is the case here, outscored by an average margin of 0.8 goals in that spot. The Jets are 7-1 when coming off a one-goal loss this season, outscoring opponents by 1.5 goals on average in that situation. Also note that the Jets have gone 12-3 when coming off a road loss against a division opponent over the last two seasons, outscoring opponents by an average margin of 1.3 goals in that spot. The Flames do check in having won three of their last five games overall but that's probably about as much as we could expect from them at this point. As bad as things have gone for the Jets lately, they're still going to be heading to the playoffs and can hang their hat on a solid 16-11 road record, where they've outscored opponents by an average margin of 0.6 goals this season. Take Winnipeg (10*).

05-03-21 Jets -142 v. Senators Top 1-2 Loss -142 22 h 0 m Show

NHL North Division Game of the Month. My selection is on Winnipeg over Ottawa at 7:05 pm et on Monday.

The Jets are reeling after six consecutive losses but have had a couple of days off to regroup before facing the Senators in Ottawa on Monday night. We won with the Jets in their last matchup with the Sens on April 14th and I won't hesitate to go back to the well with the same play here. Note that Winnipeg has taken four of the last six meetings here in Ottawa. The Senators have been playing some of their best hockey of the season, winners of six of their last nine games overall. Note that the Sens are averaging just 2.6 goals per game when revenging a same season loss against an opponent here in 2021, outscored by 1.0 goal per game in that situation. Meanwhile, the Jets are 8-1 coming off a road loss this season, outscoring opponents by 2.0 goals per game in that spot. They're 11-3, averaging 3.9 goals per game while outscoring the opposition by an average margin of 1.3 goals when coming off a road loss by two goals or more over the last two seasons. The Jets are dealing with the absence of Nik Ehlers as he's sidelined for the season with a shoulder injury but it's not as if he's the heart and soul of the team. This is an experienced, well-coached team and I'm confident we'll see them bounce back with a much-needed victory on Monday night. Take Winnipeg (10*).

04-29-21 Islanders +114 v. Rangers Top 4-0 Win 114 13 h 42 m Show

NHL Rivalry Game of the Week. My selection is on the Islanders over the Rangers at 7:05 pm et on Thursday.

The Islanders are having a tough time finding an offensive spark right now, having scored just three goals during a three-game losing streak - with all of those losses coming against the Capitals. They'll be happy to face a different team here tonight, especially the rival Rangers here at Madison Square Garden where they've taken four of the last seven meetings. While the Rangers have won three games in a row and seven of their last nine overall, it's important to consider the level of opposition they've faced. Those nine games including games against the Devils (four), Islanders, Flyers (two) and Sabres (two). Outside of the Isles those other three are all non-playoff teams and could be considered among the worst defensive teams in the league. Here, the Rangers are in a tough spot having gone 3-10 the last 13 times they've played at home after winning three of their last four games, outscored by an average margin of 1.2 goals in that situation. While the Isles won't be confused for an offensive juggernaut any time soon, they are in a favorable situation here having averaged 4.0 goals per game the last eight times they've come off a one-goal loss, as is the case here, outscoring opponents by 0.9 goals on average in that spot. Under the guidance of head coach Barry Trotz, the Isles have gone 14-7 the last 21 times they've played on the road after losing three of their last four games overall, outscoring opponents by 0.8 goals per game in that situation. Meanwhile, the David Quinn-coached rangers are just 18-30 when coming off a win over a division opponent, giving up 3.4 goals per game in that spot. Take the Islanders (10*).

04-27-21 Hurricanes -124 v. Stars Top 5-1 Win 100 11 h 7 m Show

NHL Revenge Game of the Week. My selection is on Carolina over Dallas at 8:35 pm et on Tuesday.

The Hurricanes got off a miserable start last night and despite rallying they ultimately fell short in a 4-3 overtime loss. I look for them to bounce back on Tuesday as they cool off the surging Stars in Dallas. Note that Carolina checks in allowing just 2.0 goals per game when playing on the road following a one-goal loss in their last game over the last two seasons, outscoring opponents by 0.6 goals on average in that spot. They've allowed just 1.8 goals per game the last 12 times they've played on the road following an overtime setback, outscoring opponents by 1.2 goals per game in that situation. Meanwhile, Dallas checks in allowing 3.3 goals per game after posting consecutive one-goal victories over division opponents (the last eight times that situation has come up). The Stars will have to contend with a Canes squad that averages an impressive 3.7 goals per game when revenging a road loss against an opponent over the last two seasons. It's been a true case of 'feast or famine' for the Stars offense for much of the season, noting that they average 3.3 goals per game on home ice but have only managed to go an even 13-13. Look for Carolina to get off to a more favorable start in tonight's game and snap its two-game skid, noting that it hasn't dropped three games in a row since March 16th-20th. Take Carolina (10*).

04-27-21 Red Wings v. Blue Jackets -136 0-1 Win 100 9 h 57 m Show

My selection is on Columbus over Detroit at 7:05 pm et on Tuesday.

It's not easy to back the Blue Jackets these days but I believe the price is right to get behind them as they look to snap their nine-game losing streak against the Red Wings on Tuesday night. Note that Columbus has gone 7-1 the last eight times it has played at home off seven or more consecutive losses, outscoring opponents by 1.2 goals on average in that situation. The Blue Jackets are also 10-2 when returning home following three or more consecutive road games over the last three season, outscoring opponents by an average margin of 1.9 goals in that spot. Detroit, meanwhile, has gone a miserable 6-37 when playing on the road off a loss over the last two seasons, outscored by an average margin of 2.1 goals per game. Columbus has gone a nice job of tightening things up defensively in similar situations in recent years, allowing just 2.1 goals per game when playing at home off an overtime loss over the last three seasons. While the Jackets are reeling, I'm not going to get too down on them as they're off a very tough six-game road trip that saw them face a surging Stars squad, the Panthers and the Lightning - with the latter two serving as two of the league's top teams. Three losses during their current skid came on home ice, but the first was in a revenge spot for the Lightning and the other two certainly could have gone either way as they dropped consecutive one-goal decisions against the Blackhawks. Note that Columbus has won three of its last four meetings with Detroit on home ice. Sitting two points behind the Wings in the standings you have to think that pride kicks in for the Jackets here. Take Columbus (10*).

04-26-21 Ducks v. Kings -154 1-4 Win 100 11 h 13 m Show

My selection is on Los Angeles over Anaheim at 10:05 pm et on Monday.

This really has been a lost season for both of these California rivals but it's the Ducks that are in even worse shape down the stretch, having lost four straight games, scoring just four goals in the process and now dealing with a cluster of key injuries. This is an awful spot to begin with for Anaheim as it has gone 0-11 when revenging a loss against an opponent by three goals or more this season, outscored by 2.2 goals on average in that situation. Meanwhile, the Kings are in a solid bounce-back spot off Saturday's 4-0 home loss to the Coyotes (we won with the 'under' in that game) as they average 3.4 goals per game and outscore the opposition by 1.4 goals on average when coming off a loss by three goals or more against a division opponent over the last three seasons. Also note that Los Angeles averages an impressive 3.9 goals per game after losing four of its last five games this season and 3.3 goals per contest after giving up three or more goals in consecutive games here in 2021. While the Kings check in off consecutive losses, they haven't dropped three games in a row since April 2nd to 5th. The Ducks current four-game skid doesn't come close to matching their longest losing streak of the season, which covered a span of nine games from February 15th until March 5th. Take Los Angeles (10*).

04-26-21 Oilers v. Jets +100 Top 6-1 Loss -100 15 h 4 m Show

NHL North Division Game of the Week. My selection is on Winnipeg over Edmonton at 9:05 pm et on Monday.

The Jets bandwagon has essentially cleared following a three-game losing streak that started with a 3-0 loss to the same Oilers squad they'll play on Monday night. There's no need to push the panic button as Winnipeg is still firmly entrenched in one of four North Division playoff spots. The time to turn things around is certainly now, however, and I like their chances of doing just that on Monday night. The Oilers will be playing just their fifth game since April 10th and I do think we could see rust become a bit of a factor here. Note that the Jets are in a favorable spot here, having averaged 3.6 goals per game after scoring a goal or less in their previous contest this season and better still, averaging 3.9 goals per game when coming off a home loss against a division opponent over the last three seasons. Also note that Winnipeg has gone 23-11 when revenging a loss by two goals or more against an opponent over the last two seasons, as is the case here, outscoring opponents by 0.6 goals per game in that situation. The Jets also check in 21-10 after losing consecutive games over the last three seasons, outscoring the opposition by 0.7 goals on average in that spot. The Oilers are a long-term losing proposition when playing with three or more days rest, having gone 60-97 in their last 157 games in that situation, outscored by 0.3 goals on average. Finally, note that Edmonton averages just 2.2 goals per game when playing on the road after scoring three or more goals in consecutive games this season. The Oilers have taken four straight meetings and five of seven games in this matchup this season which should only help ratchet up the Jets motivation level for this one. Take Winnipeg (10*).

04-23-21 Canadiens v. Flames -105 Top 2-4 Win 100 15 h 57 m Show

NHL North Division Game of the Month. My selection is on Calgary over Montreal at 9:05 pm et on Friday.

We won with the Canadiens +1.5 in their outright victory in Edmonton two nights ago. They have a solid hold on the fourth and final playoff spot in the North Division but the Flames have an opportunity to close the gap with three straight home games against the Habs, beginning with this one on Friday night. Note that Montreal is just 6-13 coming off a win this season, allowing 3.1 goals per game and outscored by an average margin of 0.4 goals. The Habs are 2-8 the last 10 times they've come off a one-goal win over a division opponent, as is the case here, averaging just 2.2 goals per game and outscored by 0.7 goals on average in that spot. Meanwhile, the Flames check in 28-15 in their last 43 games after giving up four goals or more in their last contest, outscoring opponents by 1.0 goal per game in that situation. While Montreal will be playing its fifth game in the last eight nights, the Flames will be taking to the ice for just the third time over that same stretch. Having dropped their last two, including a 2-1 setback against these same Canadiens one week ago tonight, this is a virtual must-win for Calgary and it should be confident having taken four of the previous six meetings in this series this season. Take Calgary (10*).

04-23-21 Flyers v. Rangers -154 1-4 Win 100 9 h 59 m Show

My selection is on New York over Philadelphia at 7:05 pm et on Friday.

The Flyers took the front half of this back-to-back set in New York by a 3-2 score last night, marking their fifth win in their last six tries here at MSG. The Rangers were in a clear hangover spot there after suffering a 6-1 beatdown against the rival Islanders two nights earlier. Here, I look for New York to respond favorably, noting that Philadelphia is 0-6 when coming off a one-goal road loss this season, outscored by a whopping average margin of 4.1 goals in that situation. Meanwhile, the Rangers are 19-9 in their last 27 games following a home loss, outscoring opponents by 1.4 goals per game in that spot over the last two seasons. Philadelphia has now scored three goals or less in 12 straight games and when you consider it has allowed 4.0 goals per game when coming off a win this season, this is by no means an ideal situation on Friday night. The Rangers have been held to three goals in their last two contests but should bounce back here, noting they average 3.5 goals per game when playing with double-revenge on home ice over the last two seasons. The last time the Rangers lost consecutive games against the Flyers - the situation they're in tonight - they responded with a 9-0 victory here in Manhattan. Take New York (10*).

04-22-21 Senators v. Canucks -131 3-0 Loss -131 10 h 39 m Show

My selection is on Vancouver over Ottawa at 10:05 pm et on Thursday.

While the odds are still slim, the Canucks do still have hopes of reaching the playoffs at this point, thanks in large part to returning from an extended Covid-related absence with consecutive wins over the Leafs earlier this week. Now Vancouver has an opportunity to continue to gain ground on the fourth-place Canadiens and fifth-place Flames as they stare down four straight matchups with the Senators, a team that while playing better lately, they have owned in recent years. The Canucks have actually taken five straight home meetings against the Sens and are a perfect 5-0 against them here this season, most recently skating to consecutive 3-2 victories in Ottawa back in mid-March. Note that the Sens have allowed a whopping 5.3 goals per game and have been outscored by 2.2 goals on average the last 18 times they've played on the road revenging a one-goal loss against an opponent. Also consider that Ottawa is a miserable 1-15 the last 16 times it has come off consecutive games in which it has allowed two goals or less, as is the case here. Finally, the Sens are 5-29 the last 34 times they've played on the road after scoring four goals or more in their last game, outscored by an average margin of 2.1 goals in that spot. While this is certainly a unique situation with the Canucks playing their third game back following such a long layoff, I believe they're being underpriced here. Note that Vancouver has gone 11-2 the last 13 times it has come off a home win by three goals or more, outscoring the opposition by 1.4 goals per game in that situation. Take Vancouver (9*).

04-19-21 Senators v. Flames -205 4-2 Loss -205 12 h 26 m Show

My selection is on Calgary over Ottawa at 9:05 pm et on Monday.

I don't often back teams in this price range but I'm willing to make an exception on Monday as the situation sets up particularly well for the Flames at home against the Senators. Calgary is coming off a 1-1 split in a two-game set in Montreal but had to come away encouraged after taking two of three games on its road trip that also included a stop in Toronto. The Flames have now won three of their last four games to stay in the playoff hunt in the North Division. In an odd scheduling quirk (even for 2021), the Flames will host the Canadiens - the team they're trying to catch for the fourth and final playoff spot in the North Division - for four consecutive games after a quick trip to Vancouver to face the Canucks (following tonight's game). To keep pace, this game tonight is precisely the type of contest they need to win. I expect them to do just that. Ottawa did Calgary a favor by defeating Montreal 4-0 on Saturday afternoon. That sets the Sens up poorly here, noting that they've gone a miserable 0-12 the last 12 times they've come off a victory by two goals or more against a division opponent, outscored by 1.8 goals per game in that situation. Perhaps worse still, they're 4-29 the last 33 times they've played on the road after scoring four goals or more in their last game, outscored by 2.2 goals on average in that spot. Meanwhile, Calgary checks in 9-1 when seeking revenge for consecutive losses against an opponent in which it scored one goal or less in both games, as is the case here. The Flames have averaged an impressive 4.8 goals per game in that situation, outscoring opponents by 2.2 goals on average. Note that Calgary has taken three of the last four meetings with Ottawa here on home ice. Take Calgary (10*).

04-14-21 Jets -174 v. Senators Top 3-2 Win 100 13 h 10 m Show

NHL North Division Game of the Year. My selection is on Winnipeg over Ottawa at 7:05 pm et on Wednesday.

We won with the Senators on the puck-line in Monday's outright win over the Jets but I won't hesitate to switch gears and back the Jets in Wednesday's rematch. It was fairly obvious to me that the Jets might have already thought they had a win in the bag after jumping ahead 2-0 early in Monday's game. But as they've done time and time again this season, the Sens fought back, erasing that deficit in short order before eventually taking over the game in the third period. Here, I'm confident we'll see the Jets turn in a more complete effort as they aim to get back on track before a tougher matchup in Toronto on Thursday. Note that Winnipeg has gone 10-3 when coming off a loss by two goals or more against a division opponent over the last two seasons, averaging 4.0 goals per game in that situation and outscoring opponents by 1.5 goals per game. The Jets are also 8-1 revenging a loss where they allowed four goals or more this season, outscoring opponents by an average margin of 1.7 goals in that spot. Meanwhile, Ottawa checks in 0-11 the last 11 times it has come off a win by two goals or more over a division opponent, outscored by 1.8 goals per game on average in that situation. We've also seen the Sens average just 1.9 goals per game when playing at home after losing three of their last four games this season. While the Jets have dropped two of their last three games against the Senators, they're still 5-2 against them this season and have taken three of the last five meetings here in Ottawa. We're being asked to lay a fairly steep price with Winnipeg here, but it's warranted in my opinion. Take Winnipeg (10*).

04-13-21 Panthers -112 v. Stars Top 3-2 Win 100 12 h 8 m Show

NHL Central Division Game of the Month. My selection is on Florida over Dallas at 8:35 pm et on Tuesday.

The Panthers have suddenly lost three games in a row after taking over the league lead in points with a win back on April 4th. I do look for them to bounce back in the back half of this two-game set in Dallas, however. Note that while the Panthers have been idle in Dallas since suffering a 4-1 loss here on Saturday, the Stars went out on the road and lost in overtime at Nashville on Sunday. If the Panthers are going to be sitting around Dallas for four days they might as well get a win out of it. I like their chances here. Note that Florida has gone 29-15 after giving up four goals or more in its last game over the last two seasons, averaging an impressive 3.5 goals per game and outscoring opponents by 0.6 goals on average in that spot. They also average 4.4 goals per game after being held to one goal or less in their last game over the last two seasons, outscoring opponents by an average margin of 0.8 goals in that situation. The Stars got off to an incredibly fast start in Saturday's eventual 4-1 win over the Panthers, scoring twice in the game's first two minutes and grabbing a 3-0 first period lead to essentially force Florida away from its gameplan. Here, I look for the Panthers to get the early jump, noting that the Stars have suffered a bit of a hangover effect, averaging a miserable 1.6 goals per game when returning home off a division loss on the road over the last two seasons. The Panthers are giving up just 2.4 goals per game when coming off a loss this season and check in 12-9 on the road. It's been feast or famine for the Stars at home, as they've outscored opponents by 0.6 goals per game but own a disappointing 8-12 record here in Big D. Take Florida (10*).

04-10-21 Lightning -175 v. Predators Top 3-0 Win 100 11 h 38 m Show

NHL Chalk Game of the Month. My selection is on Tampa Bay over Nashville at 8:05 pm et on Saturday.

The Lightning had been struggling prior to a six-goal outburst in a win over the Blue Jackets on Thursday. Now they head to Nashville where they look to keep hopes of a winning road trip alive against the surging Predators. I like Tampa Bay's chances here as it has taken three of the last four meetings in Nashville and will be out for revenge after suffering a stunning 4-1 loss against the Preds on home ice back on March 15th. Note that the Lightning are an incredible 34-11 after losing two of their last three games over the last three seasons, outscoring opponents by 1.1 goals per game in that situation. They're a terrific positive momentum play here as they've gone 36-11 after posting a win by two goals or more over the last two seasons, outscoring opponents by 1.4 goals on average in that spot. Meanwhile, the Preds check in just 4-13 coming off consecutive road wins over the last three seasons, as is the case here, outscored by 1.0 goal per game along the way. They've won just twice in their last 10 home games when coming off three straight wins, outscored by 0.9 goals on average in that spot. Take Tampa Bay (10*).

04-09-21 Kings +119 v. Sharks Top 2-5 Loss -100 12 h 49 m Show

NHL Underdog Game of the Month. My selection is on Los Angeles over San Jose at 10:35 pm et on Friday.

I like the way this spot sets up for the Kings after they snapped a three-game losing streak with a come-from-behind win over the Coyotes on home ice two nights ago. While they were able to get back on track, the Sharks have had to sit on an ugly 5-1 home loss against the lowly Ducks since suffering that setback on Tuesday night. San Jose is now just 7-9 on home ice this season, where it allows 3.4 goals per game. Note that the Kings are in a favorable spot here, as they average 4.0 goals per game after giving up three goals or more in three straight games over the last three seasons, outscoring opponents by 0.9 goals per game in that spot. Los Angeles has averaged 3.3 goals per game while outscoring the opposition by an average of 0.4 goals when revenging a one-goal loss this season, as is the case here. Meanwhile, the Sharks average just 2.1 goals per game and have been outscored by an average margin of 0.8 goals when playing at home after allowing five goals or more in their last contest. San Jose has owned this series this season, taking five of six meetings so far, but I look for the Kings to get one back in the front half of this two-game set tonight. Take Los Angeles (10*).

04-08-21 Penguins +109 v. Rangers Top 5-2 Win 109 12 h 13 m Show

NHL East Division Game of the Month. My selection is on Pittsburgh over New York at 7:05 pm et on Thursday.

I think we're dealing with a bit of an overreaction here following the Rangers 8-4 thrashing of the Penguins on Tuesday night (we won with the 'over' in that game). Pittsburgh has now dropped back-to-back games, in fact, allowing a whopping 15 goals in the process. I don't think it's time to hit the panic button, however, noting that prior to those two contests the Pens had held 15 straight opponents to three goals or less. Pittsburgh is set up well here on Thursday, noting that it has gone a perfect 7-0 when coming off consecutive division losses over the last two seasons, outscoring opponents by 2.3 goals per game in that situation. The Pens are also 24-10 after allowing three or more goals in consecutive games over the last two seasons, outscoring opponents by 0.8 goals on average in that spot. Finally, we've seen Pittsburgh post a 14-4 record when revenging a loss by three goals or more against an opponent over the last two seasons, outscoring the opposition by 1.1 goals per game in that situation. Meanwhile, the Rangers are 3-11 in their last 14 games played at home following a win over a division opponent. While the Blueshirts took Tuesday's matchup in blowout fashion, the Pens have held their own here at MSG, splitting the last six meetings. Take Pittsburgh (10*).

04-07-21 Coyotes v. Kings -114 Top 3-4 Win 100 24 h 28 m Show

NHL West Division Game of the Month. My selection is on Los Angeles over Arizona at 10:05 pm et on Wednesday.

We missed the mark with the Kings in a game that was never close against the Coyotes on Monday. With that being said, I won't hesitate to go back to the well with Los Angeles here as it aims to snap its three-game skid on home ice. While the Coyotes have reeled off three straight road wins, this will be their fifth game in the last eight nights and it's certainly worth noting that they have been outscored by 0.4 goals per game on the road this season. The Kings average 4.0 goals per game after giving up three goals or more in three straight games this season, outscoring opponents by 0.9 goals per game in that situation. They've also gone 5-1 off three or more straight home losses over the last three seasons, giving up just 1.7 goals per game and outscoring the opposition by an average of 1.6 goals in that spot. Meanwhile, Arizona checks in a miserable 26-63 the last 89 times it has come off consecutive games in which it allowed two goals or less, as is the case here, outscored by 0.8 goals per game in that situation. Take Los Angeles (10*).

04-05-21 Coyotes v. Kings -120 5-2 Loss -120 12 h 11 m Show

My selection is on Los Angeles over Arizona at 10:05 pm et on Monday.

We missed the mark with the Kings on Saturday as they fell by a 3-2 score against the Sharks. That marked their second straight loss after splitting a two-game set in Las Vegas. I won't hesitate to go back to the well here, however, as Los Angeles stays at home to host the Coyotes, who are off an overtime win Anaheim last night. That sets up Arizona poorly as it checks in 2-11 off a road win by one goal over the last two seasons, outscored by 1.6 goals on average in that situation. The Kings check in outscoring opponents by 0.7 goals on average when playing at home after losing three of their last four games this season. In the long-term picture, the 'Yotes have posted a miserable 25-63 record after allowing two goals or less in consecutive games, outscored by 0.9 goals per game in that spot. While Arizona has won six of its last eight games overall, four of those victories came against losing opponents in the Sharks and Ducks and the other came in a shootout against the Avalanche (with Colorado starting its third-string goaltender). Take Los Angeles (10*).

04-04-21 Blue Jackets v. Panthers -165 0-3 Win 100 8 h 51 m Show

My selection is on Florida over Columbus at 5:05 pm et on Sunday.

The Blue Jackets are a mess right now, having lost six of their last seven games, and don't figure to get back in the win column against the streaking Panthers on Sunday afternoon. Florida has won five consecutive games and certainly wants to keep that streak intact before heading out on the road on its longest trip of the season (six games). Florida is 13-7 on home ice this season, where it averages 3.1 goals per game. Meanwhile, Columbus has gone 7-13 on the road, averaging a less than impressive 2.1 goals per contest. Note that the Blue Jackets average just 1.7 goals per game when playing on the road off consecutive losses this season. I don't feel they can keep up with a Panthers squad that averages 3.7 goals per game following a division win over the last two seasons, noting that Florida welcomed back Sasha Barkov and Patric Hornqvist last night with the pair chipping in two assists and seven combined shots on goal in Florida's 5-2 victory. Take Florida (10*).

04-03-21 Sharks v. Kings -117 Top 3-2 Loss -117 13 h 44 m Show

NHL Rivalry Game of the Year. My selection is on Los Angeles over San Jose at 10:05 pm et on Saturday.

The Kings returned home and couldn't keep the positive momentum building in a 3-0 loss to the Sharks last night. I do look for them to bounce back on Saturday, however. Note that Los Angeles has gone 9-3 off a loss by three goals or more against a division opponent over the last three seasons, outscoring the opposition by 1.4 goals per game in that situation. Meanwhile, the Sharks have given up 3.5 goals per game when coming off consecutive wins over the last two seasons, outscored by 0.4 goals on average in that spot. Keep in mind, last night's shutout performance was an anomaly for San Jose on the road this season, where it has given up 3.3 goals per game. By contrast, the Kings are allowing just 2.7 goals per game on home ice, and allow only 2.3 goals per game when at home revenging a loss against an opponent by two or more goals over the last two seasons. The Sharks are 4-1 against the Kings this season but I look for Los Angeles to get one back tonight. Take Los Angeles (10*).

04-02-21 Flames v. Oilers -139 Top 2-3 Win 100 12 h 16 m Show

NHL North Division Game of the Week. My selection is on Edmonton over Calgary at 9:05 pm et on Friday.

The Oilers are in a nice bounce-back spot at home on Friday night as they look to respond following a 4-0 loss in Montreal on Tuesday. Note that Edmonton is 26-12 after giving up four goals or more in its last game over the last two seasons, outscoring opponents by 0.7 goals per game in that spot. The Oilers are also 21-10 when coming off a loss by two goals or more over the last two seasons, as is the case here. Meanwhile, Calgary checks in a woeful 2-9 after losing a home game by three goals or more over the last three seasons, allowing 3.4 goals per game in that situation. The Flames have of course had a miserable time scoring with any consistency this season, particularly on the road where they average just 2.1 goals per game. Meanwhile, the Oilers average 3.5 goals per game on home ice and off a shutout loss will be eager to bounce back here at home before heading back on the road for three games in Montreal and Ottawa. Take Edmonton (10*).

04-01-21 Hurricanes -158 v. Blackhawks Top 4-3 Win 100 12 h 59 m Show

NHL Revenge Game of the Month. My selection is on Carolina over Chicago at 8:05 pm et on Thursday.

I like the way this one sets up for Carolina as it look to bounce back following a 2-1 loss to the Blackhawks here two nights ago. The Canes remain a solid road team this season, having gone 12-7, allowing just 2.7 goals per game in the process. Chicago is in a tough spot here, having gone a miserable 5-15 following a home win against a division opponent over the last three seasons, allowing 3.8 goals per game in that situation. Meanwhile, the Canes have allowed just 2.0 goals per game when playing on the road following a one-goal loss over the last two seasons. Carolina averages north of three goals per game on the road this season and is set up well here, noting that it averages exactly 3.0 goals per game after being held to a goal or less in its previous contest over the last three seasons, as is the case here. The Canes got a boost with the return of Victor Trocheck on Tuesday. He chipped in an assist, played more than 18 minutes and fired six shots on goal in the loss. Take Carolina (10*).

03-29-21 Jets +102 v. Flames Top 5-1 Win 102 13 h 33 m Show

NHL Game of the Month. My selection is on Winnipeg over Calgary at 10:05 pm et on Monday.

The Jets have been a tremendous bounce-back team all season long and after cashing with the Flames in Saturday night's virtual must-win game, I won't hesitate to switch gears and back Winnipeg in Monday's finale of a three-game set here in Calgary. Winnipeg remains a winning team on the road this season, having gone 11-8, outscoring opponents by 0.3 goals per game. While the Jets are a solid 9-3 when revenging a loss of any kind this season, they're even better revenging a loss where they allowed four goals or more, going 7-1, outscoring the opposition by 1.4 goals per game in that spot. Meanwhile, the Flames are a miserable 1-7 after scoring four or more goals in a game this season, outscored by 2.0 goals per game while managing just 1.8 goals on average in that situation. Also note that Calgary has allowed 3.8 goals per game when playing at home off a division win over the last three seasons. I mentioned that Saturday's game was a virtual must-win for Calgary on the heels of four straight losses. The fact that the Flames managed to win that game only leaves them in a clear letdown spot against what I would consider a superior Jets squad that will be motivated to wrap up their seven-game road trip with a winning record. Take Winnipeg (10*).

03-27-21 Jets v. Flames -125 Top 2-4 Win 100 14 h 20 m Show

NHL North Division Game of the Week. My selection is on Calgary over Winnipeg at 10:05 pm et on Saturday.

The Flames fell short again last night, falling by a 3-2 score against the Jets - their fourth consecutive loss. Calgary did manage to score two goals in the third period which is at least a positive for them to hang its hat on entering Saturday's rematch with Winnipeg. While the Flames are down right now, I'm not about to write them off, especially here on home ice where they're still a winning team on the season and average north of three goals per game. They've also still taken 13 of the last 17 meetings with the Jets here in Calgary. With Winnipeg having taken four of six meetings this season, there's even more motivation for the Flames to get back on track on Saturday. Take Calgary (10*).

03-27-21 Panthers +100 v. Stars 4-3 Win 100 12 h 9 m Show

My selection is on Florida over Dallas at 8:05 pm et on Saturday.

The Panthers are reeling right now, fresh off three straight losses and dealing with a couple of key injuries to Sasha Barkov and Patric Hornqvist. With that being said, I do look for them to bounce back on Saturday night as they put a disappointing start to their current road trip behind them with a convincing victory. Florida was competitive in last Sunday's 5-3 loss in Tampa (we won with the Lightning in that game) before getting stymied in consecutive low-scoring losses in Chicago. A change of scenery should be a positive thing as the Panthers head to Dallas on Saturday, where the Stars are just 7-10 on the season and in line for a letdown off a come-from-behind win over the first-place Lightning two nights ago. Note that the Panthers average a whopping 5.0 goals per game and outscore the opposition by an average margin of 1.4 goals after scoring one goal or less in their last game over the last two seasons, as is the case here. Take Florida (10*).

03-26-21 Sharks +105 v. Coyotes Top 2-5 Loss -100 16 h 32 m Show

NHL Underdog Game of the Week. My selection is on San Jose over Arizona at 10:05 pm et on Friday.

We have a pretty good feel for the Sharks right now, having been involved in three of their last six games, winning on consecutive occasions with them on the puck-line in Las Vegas before cashing a big play on the 'over' in their most recent contest at home against the Kings. Here, I'll back them again as they continue to play reasonably well and push toward a playoff spot in the West Division. Of course, it's going to be an uphill battle as San Jose currently sits seven points back of the fourth-place Blues but does have two games in hand. Tonight's opponent is another team San Jose is currently looking up at in the standings. Arizona checks in off a thrilling 5-4 overtime win over the Avalanche on Tuesday. Keep in mind, Colorado elected to go with Jonas Johansson in goal for that game - he was an acquisition from the Sabres last week and has been generally awful this season. Now the Coyotes are in a tough spot having gone 3-18 following a one-goal victory over the last two seasons, outscored by 1.4 goals on average in that situation. Off an overtime win over the last two seasons, Arizona has gone a miserable 1-9, losing those contests by an average margin of 1.7 goals. Meanwhile, the Sharks are 7-3 revenging a road loss against an opponent this season, outscoring opponents by 0.6 goals per game on average. Despite its overall losing record, San Jose has also gone a solid 9-5 after losing four or five of its last six contests this season, averaging 3.5 goals per game in that situation. The Sharks have managed to hold their own here in Glendale in recent years, splitting the last six meetings, including a 1-1 split earlier this season where they won the front-half. Take San Jose (10*).

03-25-21 Golden Knights v. Avalanche -178 Top 1-5 Win 100 12 h 55 m Show

NHL West Division Game of the Week. My selection is on Colorado over Vegas at 9:05 pm et on Thursday.

I like the way this one sets up for the Avalanche coming off a disappointing shootout loss in Arizona two nights ago. Colorado went with newly-acquired and struggling goaltender Jonas Johansson in that game, giving Philipp Grubauer a much-deserved night off. Grubauer should be back in goal on Thursday, noting that he has allowed just three goals on the last 137 shots he has faced. The Avs are also back on home ice for this one, where they've gone 11-5 this season, outscoring opponents by 1.6 goals per game. Of course, Colorado will also be looking for revenge after suffering a 3-0 loss against the Knights here in Denver back on February 22nd. We actually won with Vegas in that spot, expecting a clear letdown from the Avs off their outdoor game victory over the Knights two days earlier. Colorado has gone a perfect 9-0 revenging a same-season loss against an opponent this season, outscoring the opposition by an incredible 2.9-goal margin in those contests. The Avs are also a solid 23-9 after allowing four goals or more in their last game over the last two seasons, outscoring opponents by 1.8 goals on average in that situation. Vegas averages just 2.7 goals per game after winning two of its last three games over the last two seasons and I don't believe it will have enough to get past the Avs in the first of this two-game set on Thursday night. Take Colorado (10*).

03-25-21 Panthers -123 v. Blackhawks 0-3 Loss -123 23 h 37 m Show

My selection is on Florida over Chicago at 8:05 pm et on Thursday.

I'll back the Panthers as they look to snap their mini two-game skid on Thursday night in Chicago. We actually won with the Blackhawks in the front half of this two-game set as they skated to a 3-2 victory. Now Florida is set up well to respond favorably, noting it has allowed just 1.9 goals per game when on the road coming off a one-goal loss against a division opponent over the last two seasons, outscoring the opposition by 0.9 goals in that situation, which has come up on 10 previous occasions. Meanwhile, Chicago is giving up a whopping 4.2 goals per game when playing on home ice following a one-goal victory over the last three seasons. The Panthers are 15-5 coming off a road loss over the last two seasons, outscoring opponents by 0.9 goals per game in that situation. No Sasha Barkov for the Panthers again on Thursday but they have enough depth to pick up the slack. Take Florida (10*).

03-23-21 Lightning -163 v. Stars 2-1 Win 100 9 h 54 m Show

My selection is on Tampa Bay over Dallas at 8:35 pm et on Tuesday.

We won with the Lightning on Sunday and we'll come right back with them again on Tuesday night as they head to Dallas to face the Stars for the second time in a week. The Stars simply haven't been able to regain the magic that saw them make an improbable run to the Stanley Cup Final to face these same Lightning last fall. Considering they've been held to three goals or less in seven straight games, losing five of those, I question whether they can keep pace with the Lightning here. Note that Dallas is a miserable 1-7 when revenging a loss where its opponent scored four goals or more this season. Meanwhile, the Lightning have been a tremendous positive momentum play, having gone 34-10 coming off four or more straight wins over the last three seasons, as is the case here. They've outscored the opposition by an average margin of 1.4 goals in that situation. Take Tampa Bay (9*).

03-22-21 Hurricanes -157 v. Blue Jackets 3-0 Win 100 10 h 36 m Show

My selection is on Carolina over Columbus at 7:05 pm et on Monday.

We missed the mark with the Hurricanes on Saturday but probably deserved a better fate as they gave up the tying goal in the final minute of the third period and then had what appeared to be the game-winning goal called back in overtime due to the play being offside. Despite dropping the last two games against the Blue Jackets I still feel that the Hurricanes are the superior team (not exactly a stretch, I know). Each of those last two games could have easily gone either way and I'm confident we'll see the 'Canes get back in the win column on Monday night. Note that Carolina has been a solid road team this season, going 10-6. Meanwhile, the Blue Jackets are just 7-10 on home ice, allowing 3.2 goals per game. Carolina is 27-19 the last 46 times it has gone on the road following consecutive home losses, averaging 3.1 goals per game in that situation. Meanwhile, Columbus averages just 1.8 goals per game when returning home following a one-goal win over a division opponent over the last two seasons, outscored by 0.9 goals on average in that spot. Take Carolina (9*).

03-21-21 Panthers v. Lightning -135 Top 3-5 Win 100 8 h 55 m Show

NHL Rivalry Game of the Month. My selection is on Tampa Bay over Florida at 4:05 pm et on Sunday.

I'll take advantage of a rare short price to back the Lightning on Sunday afternoon as they aim to keep their winning streak intact against the rival Panthers. Florida is coming off a 2-0 bounce-back victory over the Predators yesterday but finds itself in a tough situation here. Note that the Panthers are 1-4 after winning six or seven of their last eight games this season, as is the case here. They're also 14-23 after winning five or six of their last seven games over the last three seasons. Meanwhile, the Lightning own a stellar 44-15 record against division opponents over the last two seasons and certainly haven't forgot the 6-4 loss they suffered at the hands of the Panthers here at home on February 15th. That marked Florida's first victory here in Tampa in their last five tries though and I look for the Lightning to get the season series back to an even 2-2 with a win on Sunday afternoon. Take Tampa Bay (10*).

03-20-21 Flames v. Maple Leafs -155 0-2 Win 100 11 h 7 m Show

My selection is on Toronto over Calgary at 7:05 pm et on Saturday.

The Leafs struggles continued last night as they fell behind early and never recovered in a 4-3 loss against the Flames. I do expect Toronto to bounce back on Saturday night, however, noting that it has gone an incredible 15-4 after losing five or six of its last seven games over the last three seasons. While Calgary did win last night, it is still a losing team on the road at 7-10 on the season, where it allows over three goals per game. Take Toronto (9*).

03-20-21 Blue Jackets v. Hurricanes -185 Top 3-2 Loss -185 11 h 28 m Show

NHL Central Division Game of the Month. My selection is on Carolina over Columbus at 7:05 pm et on Saturday.

I have no problem laying the relatively steep price to back the Hurricanes on home ice against the Blue Jackets on Saturday. Columbus took the first game of this two-game set in Carolina on Thursday by a 3-2 score in overtime. That puts the Jackets in a tough spot here as they're averaging just 1.9 goals per game playing on the road off a one-goal road win over the last two seasons, outscored by an average margin of 0.7 goals in that situation. On six occasions where the Jackets have played on the road off a road win over a division opponent over the last two seasons, as is the case here, they've averaged just one goal per game and have been outscored by an average margin of 1.8 goals. Carolina allows just 1.9 goals per game and outscores the opposition by 1.0 goal on average when coming off an overtime loss over the last three seasons. Take Carolina (10*).

03-18-21 Wild v. Avalanche -143 1-5 Win 100 14 h 12 m Show

My selection is on Colorado over Minnesota at 9:05 pm et on Thursday.

This is about as cheap of a price as you're going to see with the Avs playing at home and it has everything to do with the fact that the Wild have won five straight games. Keep in mind, those five straight wins all came at home. Now the Wild head out on the road to face what will be a revenge-minded Avs squad after Minnesota took the most recent meeting 6-2 in late February. Note that Colorado is 20-7 when revenging a loss where it allowed 4+ goals over the last two seasons, outscoring opponents by an average margin of 1.6 goals in that situation. The Avs are also 17-3 off a home win by 2+ goals over the last two seasons, outscoring opponents by 1.8 goals per game. The Wild are 12-24 after recording consecutive wins by 3+ goals. Take Colorado (10*).

03-13-21 Blackhawks v. Panthers -157 2-4 Win 100 11 h 44 m Show

My selection is on Florida over Chicago at 7:05 pm et on Saturday.

The Blackhawks snapped their two-game skid with a 4-2 win in Dallas on Thursday but I look for them to go back to their losing ways on Saturday as they take on the red hot Panthers. Florida is coming off an improbable comeback win in Columbus on Thursday, rallying from a 4-1 third period deficit to win the game in overtime. Now the Cats are back home where they've gone 10-2-1 this season. The Blackhawks certainly prefer to play an up-tempo style but that plays right into the hands of the Panthers, who rank fifth in the league in goals per game this season. Florida also ranks tops in the league in shots on goal per game which spells trouble for a Blackhawks team that ranks 19th in goals per game allowed and 31st in shots on goal per game allowed. Take Florida (10*).

03-13-21 Capitals v. Flyers -107 Top 5-4 Loss -107 21 h 16 m Show

NHL Game of the Week. My selection is on Philadelphia over Washington at 7:05 pm et on Saturday.

The Capitals have certainly had the Flyers number this past week but I'm willing to go back to the well with Philadelphia here as the situation sets up well for the home side. Note that the Flyers have gone a perfect 7-0 when coming off a home loss by two goals or more over the last two seasons, outscoring opponents by an average margin of 2.8 goals in that situation. They're also an exceptional 14-3 after losing four or five of their last six games over the last two seasons, averaging 3.9 goals per game and outscoring the opposition by 1.5 goals on average in that situation. Keep in mind, prior to dropping its last two games against the Caps, Philadelphia had won five consecutive meetings in this series. With the Caps allowing three goals per game on the road this season, I still feel they're vulnerable and look for the Flyers to finally put one over on them on Saturday night. Take Philadelphia (10*).

03-11-21 Capitals v. Flyers -104 5-3 Loss -104 22 h 48 m Show

My selection is on Philadelphia over Washington at 7:05 pm et on Thursday.

The Flyers busted out of their slump with a 5-4 victory over the Sabres on Tuesday and now I look for them to keep it rolling as they host the Capitals on Thursday. Note that the Caps defeated the Flyers by a 3-1 score this past Sunday, which actually serves Philadelphia well here. The Flyers have given up just two goals per game when at home revenging a loss by two goals or more over the last two seasons, outscoring the opposition by an average margin of 1.1 goals. Likewise, they've allowed just 2.3 goals per game after giving up three goals or more in three straight games over the last three seasons. Washington has had a tendency to let down its guard, allowing 3.5 goals per game off a home win over a division opponent over the last two seasons. Take Philadelphia (10*).

03-11-21 Jets v. Maple Leafs -177 3-4 Win 100 22 h 44 m Show

My selection is on Toronto over Winnipeg at 7:05 pm et on Thursday.

The Leafs were rolling at this time last week, riding a four-game winning streak despite missing a number of key cogs due to injury. Since then, they've dropped three games in a row, including Tuesday's 4-3 setback against the Jets in the first of a three-game set here in Toronto. I look for the Leafs to respond favorably on Thursday as they look to get back on the winning side of the ledger. Note that they've allowed just 2.1 goals per game, outscoring the opposition by an average margin of one goal when revenging a loss against an opponent this season. They've also outscored opponents by an average margin of 0.9 goals when playing on home ice after allowing three goals or more in three straight games over the last two seasons. Meanwhile, Winnipeg has allowed a whopping 4.2 goals per game after posting a division win on the road over the last two seasons. Take Toronto (10*).

03-10-21 Golden Knights -115 v. Wild Top 3-4 Loss -115 12 h 8 m Show

NHL West Division Game of the Month. My selection is on Vegas over Minnesota at 7:05 pm et on Wednesday.

We won with the Wild in the front half of this two-game set on Monday but I won't hesitate to go the other way and back the Knights on Wednesday. Monday's loss snapped Vegas' six-game winning streak but it remains 6-3 on the road this season where it allows only 1.9 goals per game. Note that the Knights are allowing just 1.6 goals per game when playing on the road off a loss against a division opponent over the last two seasons, outscoring opponents by an average margin of 1.3 goals in that situation. Coming off a road loss by two goals or more over the last two seasons, the Knights have gone 9-1, outscoring opponents by a wide 1.7-goal margin on average. On the flip side, the Wild have given up a whopping 4.3 goals per game when coming off a home win by two goal so more over the last two seasons, outscored by an average margin of 1.6 goals in that situation. Take Vegas (10*).

03-09-21 Panthers -127 v. Blue Jackets Top 4-2 Win 100 13 h 35 m Show

NHL East Division Game of the Month. My selection is on Florida over Columbus at 7:05 pm et on Tuesday.

The Panthers delivered a poor performance on Sunday as they dropped a 4-2 decision in Carolina. That was just their first loss in their last three games, however, and they still own an impressive 15-5-4 overall record this season. While the Blue Jackets have generally owned this series, going 24-11 in the last 35 meetings, there's no question the Panthers are a better team this year than we've seen in years' past. The Jackets check in having won just twice in their last eight games. Note that Columbus has averaged only 2.3 goals per game when playing at home after winning two of its last three contests, as is the case here. Meanwhile, we can anticipate a solid offensive showing from the Panthers here as they've averaged a whopping 4.4 goals per game when coming off a road loss by two goals or more over the last two seasons, going a perfect 5-0 in that situation. The Blue Jackets are a nice negative momentum fade here having gone 4-11 when coming off a loss in a division game over the last two seasons, outscored by 1.1 goals on average in that situation. Take Florida (10*).

03-08-21 Canadiens -147 v. Canucks Top 1-2 Loss -147 12 h 12 m Show

NHL North Division Game of the Week. My selection is on Montreal over Vancouver at 10:05 pm et on Monday.

On paper, the case could be made that both of these teams are 'due' for a letdown on Monday night with the Canadiens coming off a 7-1 victory over Winnipeg and Vancouver fresh off consecutive victories over Toronto. As the line certainly appears to indicate, I believe the Habs are in better position to steady their course and avoid that letdown on Monday. A few quotes from Canucks players lead me to believe they'll be hard-pressed to get back to the level they played at in that two-game sweep of the Leafs. "It's been a tough go, and for our team to keep battling and stick to the process tonight, I think it's huge for our group and give us a lot of confidence," Brock Boeser said. And this from J.T. Miller, "It feels pretty awesome and we know it's in there," he said. "It means a lot to us. We take a lot of pride in beating a team like that at home twice when we really need wins. We talked a lot over the last three weeks or so about playing well but not getting the results. We've shown that we can beat anybody in the league, and we still believe that, even though the record wouldn't necessarily show it. But it feels pretty awesome." While those quotes may be encouraging to some, I believe they might indicate Vancouver is a little high on its horse off those victories, especially given it still has just 11 wins in 28 games this season. Note that Vancouver averages just 2.8 goals per game when coming off a win over the last three seasons, outscored by 0.2 goals per game on average in that situation. Meanwhile, Montreal seems to get a lift heading out on the road following a homestand, having averaged 3.3 goals per game, outscoring opponents by an average margin of 1.3 goals when playing on the road after two consecutive home games over the last two seasons, as is the case here. Take Montreal (10*).

03-07-21 Lightning -177 v. Blackhawks Top 6-3 Win 100 7 h 37 m Show

NHL Revenge Game of the Month. My selection is on Tampa Bay over Chicago at 2:35 pm et on Sunday.

The Lightning haven't been at their best in their last couple of games against the Blackhawks, first needing to rally from a 2-0 third period deficit to secure a 3-2 overtime win on Thursday before dropping a 4-3 shootout decision on Friday. I do look for them to bring their 'A' game on Sunday as they look to come away with five of a possible six points in this three-game set in Chicago. Note that Tampa Bay has allowed just 2.1 goals per game when revenging a loss on the road over the last two seasons, outscoring opponents by an average margin of 0.7 goals in that situation. The Blackhawks haven't fared particularly well when coming off a close victory in recent years, allowing an average of 4.1 goals after a one-goal win over the last three seasons. In general, the Lightning have been a solid bet when coming off a loss of any sort on the road over the last three seasons, going 24-7 in their next game while averaging over four goals per game and outscoring opponents by an average margin of 1.6 goals. Take Tampa Bay (10*).

03-06-21 Blue Jackets v. Stars -128 Top 0-5 Win 100 23 h 34 m Show

NHL Central Division Game of the Year. My selection is on Dallas over Columbus at 8:05 pm et on Saturday.

I'll back the Stars on Saturday night as they look to right the ship and shake out of a miserable run in a rematch with the Blue Jackets. Columbus skated to a 3-2 victory in the first of this two-game set on Thursday. That actually puts Dallas in a solid situation here, noting that it has allowed just 2.1 goals on average when revenging a loss against an opponent over the last two seasons. Also note that Columbus is averaging just 2.1 goals per game when playing on the road off a road victory over the last two seasons. The Stars have gone a solid 10-4 under the guidance of head coach Rick Bowness when playing with double-revenge against an opponent, outscoring the opposition by a margin of 1.1 goals. Take Dallas (10*).

03-05-21 Wild -135 v. Coyotes Top 5-1 Win 100 14 h 18 m Show

NHL West Division Game of the Month. My selection is on Minnesota over Arizona at 9:05 pm et on Friday.

The Wild are coming off back-to-back losses in Las Vegas earlier this week - not all that surprising as they were certainly in for some regression off six straight victories and the Golden Knights offered a significant test. Here, I look for Minnesota to bounce back as it heads to Glendale to face the Coyotes. Note that Minnesota has gone 8-1 off a loss by four goals or more over the last two seasons, outscoring the opposition by an average margin of 1.5 goals. Meanwhile, Arizona has been dreadful off a road win against a division opponent (it enters this game off a 3-2 victory in Los Angeles two nights ago), going 1-8 in that situation over the last three seasons, losing those games by an average margin of 2.1 goals. The last five times the Coyotes have returned home following a one-goal road win they've gone winless and have allowed a whopping five goals per game, outscored by an average margin of 2.6 goals. Take Minnesota (10*).

03-04-21 Flyers v. Penguins +112 Top 4-3 Loss -100 11 h 43 m Show

NHL Underdog Game of the Month. My selection is on Pittsburgh over Philadelphia at 7:05 pm et on Thursday.

The Flyers will likely be a popular play on Thursday night as bettors race to the window to fade the Sidney Crosby-less Penguins coming off Tuesday's 5-2 blowout win in the opener of this three-game set in Pittsburgh. I'll go the other way, however, as the Pens have become accustomed to playing (and succeeding) without Crosby over the years and who's to argue with a dominant 8-1 home record this season? Many had the Flyers pegged as a Stanley Cup contender at the outset of the season and while there's still plenty of time for that to play out, the fact is they've been a fairly large disappointment, barely hanging on to the fourth and final playoff spot in the East Division. The Pens are the team nipping at their heels and here I look for them to stake claim to that position. Note that Philadelphia has been a good negative momentum fade in recent years, allowing a whopping 4.4 goals per game on 14 occasions where they were off a road loss over the last two seasons, outscored by an average margin of 1.4 goals in that situation. They also have a tendency to get weaker the more they play on the road, having allowed an average of 4.6 goals per game off two consecutive games played away from home over the last two seasons. Take Pittsburgh (10*).

03-02-21 Canucks v. Jets -129 Top 2-5 Win 100 13 h 27 m Show

NHL North Division Game of the Month. My selection is on Winnipeg over Vancouver at 8:05 pm et on Tuesday.

The Canucks jumped out in front early in last night's game here in Winnipeg and were never really tested from there in an eventual 4-0 victory. That looked an awful lot like a 'throwaway' game for the Jets after they dug themselves that 3-0 first period hole as they offered little push back from there. I certainly expect Winnipeg to respond with a tremendous effort on Tuesday night. Keep in mind, Winnipeg had been playing well entering last night's contest, having won four straight and eight of its last 11 games overall. This has been a tight series with each team taking two games in four meetings so far this season. Look for the Jets to gain the upper hand tonight. Take Winnipeg (10*).

03-01-21 Maple Leafs v. Oilers +102 3-0 Loss -100 12 h 29 m Show

My selection is on Edmonton over Toronto at 10:05 pm et on Monday.

I like the bounce-back spot for the Oilers on Monday night after suffering a 4-0 loss against the Leafs on Saturday. In recent years, a loss like Saturday's may have sent the Oilers into a tailspin but they've looked like a different team this year. Note that Edmonton is 20-10 when revenging a loss where they scored a goal or less as is the case here, outscoring the opposition by an average margin of 0.7 goals. The Oilers are also 23-11 after allowing four goals or more in their last game over the last two seasons. Take Edmonton (10*).

02-27-21 Blue Jackets +110 v. Predators Top 1-2 Loss -100 8 h 44 m Show

NHL Central Division Game of the Month. My selection is on Columbus over Nashville at 3:05 pm et on Saturday.

The Blue Jackets continue to limp along, coming off three consecutive losses to wrap up a disappointing 1-3 homestand. That stretch started with a win over these same Predators - a rare occurrence in a series Nashville has dominated. With that being said, I like the way this situation sets up for the Jackets on Saturday. Note that Nashville is just 13-22 after winning two of its last three games over the last two seasons, outscored by a goal per game on average in that situation. The Preds are also a miserable 3-10 after playing their last three games on the road, as is the case here, outscored by a wide 1.5-goal margin on average. We have seen Columbus bounce back from bad losses with some consistency under head coach John Tortorella, going 35-26 after losing by two goals or more in their last game. Take Columbus (10*).

02-26-21 Avalanche -169 v. Coyotes 3-2 Win 100 14 h 15 m Show

My selection is on Colorado over Arizona at 9:05 pm et on Friday.

We missed the mark with the Avalanche two nights ago as they got blown out by the Wild, on home ice no less. I won't hesitate to go back to the well with them here, however, as they face a familiar foe in the Coyotes. Note that Colorado has gone 7-3 against Arizona over the last three seasons and breezed past the 'Yotes in last year's playoffs, capped off by consecutive 7-1 victories to close out the series. Colorado is 12-5 when playing on the road off a loss by three goals or more over the last three seasons, averaging just shy of four goals per game in that situation. Meanwhile, the Coyotes are a miserable 3-15 when coming off a one-goal victory over the last two seasons, outscored by an average margin of 1.3 goals in that situation. Take Colorado (10*).

02-24-21 Wild v. Avalanche -178 Top 6-2 Loss -178 13 h 21 m Show

NHL Division Game of the Month. My selection is on Colorado over Minnesota at 9:05 pm et on Wednesday.

I absolutely love the way this one sets up for the Avs as they look to bounce back from a 3-0 loss suffered at the hands of the Golden Knights on Monday (we won with Vegas as our Underdog Game of the Month in that game). The Avs were certainly ripe for a letdown on Monday as they were fresh off their marathon victory over Vegas outdoors at Lake Tahoe two nights earlier. Minnesota is rolling along right now but that actually works against it in this particular spot. Note that the Wild are a miserable 9-24 on the moneyline the last 33 times they've followed consecutive wins by three goals or more. They've also struggled in similar revenge roles such as this, having gone 10-25 on the moneyline when revenging a one-goal loss over the last three seasons, outscored by an average margin of 1.1 goals in that situation. This has been a tightly-contested series over the years but the Avs have started to turn the tide, taking three of the last four meetings. While we are dealing with a fairly high price here, I believe it could be even higher. Take Colorado (10*).

02-22-21 Golden Knights +123 v. Avalanche Top 3-0 Win 123 14 h 22 m Show

NHL Underdog Game of the Month. My selection is on Vegas over Colorado at 9:05 pm et on Monday.

The Avs got the better of the Knights in Saturday's marathon game at Lake Tahoe, prevailing by a 3-2 score on the shoulders of a three-point effort from Nathan MacKinnon. Here, I look for the Knights to answer back following consecutive losses against Colorado. Keep in mind, prior to dropping its last two games, Vegas had won five of its last six overall. The Knights can't sit around feeling sorry for themselves as their trip will continue in San Jose and Anaheim as they won't return home until next week. I expect to see a galvanized effort from them here following that rather punchless performance on Saturday (they were outshot 39-29 in that game). The Avs are 2-1 since returning from an extended Covid-related absence but they've scored just six goals in the process. Note that under head coach Peter Deboer, the Knights are 10-1 the last 11 times they've allowed at least three goals in two straight games, outscoring the opposition by an average of 1.7 goals. Take Vegas (10*).

02-21-21 Jets v. Canucks -110 4-3 Loss -110 25 h 41 m Show

My selection is on Vancouver over Winnipeg at 10:05 pm et on Sunday.

I like the Canucks to get back at the Jets following Friday night's no-show on home ice. Vancouver had been playing well, seemingly having turned the corner prior to Friday's setback. The Jets have been as uneven as they come this season and I'm just not confident in their ability to follow up Friday's performance with another victory here on Sunday. The oddsmakers have it right installing the Canucks as a favorite by my estimation. Look for Vancouver's best players to show up and guide it to a win to close out this two-game set with Winnipeg. Take Vancouver (10*).

02-20-21 Kings v. Coyotes -160 4-2 Loss -160 22 h 40 m Show

My selection is on Arizona over Los Angeles at 7:05 pm et on Saturday.

The Kings have now won a season-high three games in a row after pulling out a 3-2 shootout victory in the first game of this two-game set in Glendale on Thursday night. We won with the 'under' in that contest, but here we'll back the favored Coyotes. Credit Arizona for at least earning a point in that game as it fell behind 2-0 early before rallying. The Coyotes are one of those teams that generally flies beneath most bettors' radar but can be a quality team to back in the right situation. I see this as precisely such a situation as they look to regain their footing and start gaining some ground in the West Division with a couple of winnable home games against the Ducks coming up next. Take Arizona (10*).

02-16-21 Avalanche -104 v. Golden Knights 3-2 Win 100 16 h 38 m Show

My selection is on Colorado over Vegas at 10:05 pm et on Tuesday.

I like the bounce-back spot for the Avalanche here as they look to respond following a 1-0 shutout loss in their first game back following an extended layoff on Sunday. Colorado catches Vegas in a favorable situation with the Golden Knights having gone 8-12 after having won four or five of their last six games over the last two seasons, as is the case here. The Knights were outscored by an average margin of 0.7 goals in those contests. The Avs are one of the few teams that have held their own against Vegas in recent years, splitting the last 10 meetings in this series, including two wins at T-Mobile Arena last season. Take Colorado (10*).

02-15-21 Jets v. Oilers -129 Top 6-5 Loss -129 23 h 7 m Show

NHL North Division Game of the Week. My selection is on Edmonton over Winnipeg at 9:05 pm et on Monday.

I expect the Jets to suffer a hangover of sorts following Saturday's last-second loss against the lowly Senators on home ice. Winnipeg has to be doubting itself a bit right now having dropped four of its last seven games overall. Meanwhile, the Oilers are back home off of three consecutive wins, outscoring the opposition 9-3 over that stretch. They've been idle since Thursday's 3-0 victory in Montreal. Look for the Oil to defend home ice in this one. Take Edmonton (10*).

02-14-21 Capitals +114 v. Penguins Top 3-6 Loss -100 18 h 15 m Show

NHL East Division Game of the Year. My selection is on Washington over Pittsburgh at 3:05 pm et on Sunday.

The Capitals will be playing with double-revenge on Sunday after dropping back-to-back games in Pittsburgh earlier this season. Of course, both of those games could have gone either way. Note that Washington is 60-39 on the road revenging a road loss, outscoring the opposition by 0.4 goals per game in that situation. Even against a rival such as the Caps, I still see this as a letdown spot for the Penguins after they secured a come-from-behind shootout win over the Islanders last time out. That victory snapped a two-game skid but Pittsburgh has still just won twice in its last six contests. Washington is coming off three straight losses but hasn't played since February 7th due to Covid protocols involving their opponents, the Flyers and Sabres. Take Washington (10*).

02-13-21 Red Wings v. Predators -155 4-2 Loss -155 13 h 33 m Show

My selection is on Nashville over Detroit at 8:05 pm et on Saturday.

We're being asked to lay a fairly steep price with the Predators here considering they're just 6-8 on the season. I actually feel the line could be much higher, however. Detroit really is that bad. The Red Wings have managed just one win in their last 11 games. They're set up poorly here, noting they've gone a dreadful 1-17 on the moneyline when playing on the road off a road loss over the last two seasons and they've been outscored by 2.2 goals per game in those contests. Noting their streaky nature, the Wings have gone 1-23 on the moneyline after losing six or seven of their last eight games (as is the case here) over the last two seasons. In those games they've been outscored by an average margin of 2.4 goals. The Preds are in a far more favorable situation having gone 185-136 on the monyeline after losing three of their last four games. Look for the Preds to continue to take their frustrations out on the lowly Wings here. Take Nashville (10*).

02-12-21 Blues -126 v. Coyotes Top 4-1 Win 100 24 h 11 m Show

NHL Revenge Game of the Year. My selection is on St. Louis over Arizona at 9:05 pm et on Friday.

We get to back the Blues at a discount as the scene shifts to Arizona for yet another matchup between these two teams on Friday night. Of course, home ice advantage means little this season with no fans in the stands. That was clearly evident over the last four games as the Coyotes took three of four meetings in St. Louis. That sets the Blues up well here, noting that they're a highly profitable 8-2 on the road when playing with triple revenge over the last three seasons, outscoring the opposition by an average margin of 3-1.6 in those contests. Meanwhile, Arizona is 1-6 after having won four or five of its last six games over the last two seasons, outscored by an average margin of 0.9 goals in those games. The 'Yotes are also a miserable 2-13 following a one-goal victory over the last two years, losing those games by an average margin of 3.6-2.3. Take St. Louis (10*).

02-09-21 Jets v. Flames -134 Top 2-3 Win 100 25 h 19 m Show

NHL North Division Game of the Month. My selection is on Calgary over Winnipeg at 10:05 pm et on Tuesday.

I'm higher on the Flames than most in spite of their uneven 5-5-1 start to the season. We won with them on Saturday as they prevailed by a 6-4 score in the campaign's first installment of the 'Battle of Alberta' against the Oilers. Here, they'll be looking to avenge three losses in four tries against the Jets already this season. Calgary went out and got goaltender Jakob Markstrom in the offseason in an effort to compete against teams like the Jets, who have a bonafide star in goal in Connor Hellebuyck. So far this season Markstrom hasn't disappointed, actually matching Hellebuyck's numbers on the whole and besting him in some regards including a 2-0 edge in shutouts. Winnipeg is off to a 7-3-1 start on the strength of those aforementioned three wins over the Flames. I don't really like the scheduling spot here as they play this one-off on the road before returning home for consecutive (winnable) games against the Senators. Take Calgary (10*).

02-08-21 Coyotes v. Blues -152 Top 4-3 Loss -152 13 h 38 m Show

NHL West Division Game of the Year. My selection is on St. Louis over Arizona at 8:05 pm et on Monday.

The Blues came out completely flat in Saturday's matinee affair against the Coyotes, perhaps lacking excitement or motivation playing the same team for a third consecutive game. Now after dropping back-to-back games against Arizona, I do think St. Louis will be able to draw the appropriate level of motivation and hunger as it tries to salvage a split in this four-game set. The Blues were fortunate not to suffer a more lopsided loss on Saturday considering the way they played. They're still a respectable 7-4-1 on the campaign and that marked the first time this season they've dropped consecutive games. For Arizona, Saturday's victory marked the first time it managed to secure back-to-back wins this season. I believe it will be hard-pressed to make it three victories in a row on Monday as it likely has one eye on getting out of St. Louis and back home for a staggering 10-game homestand beginning this Saturday against - you guessed it - the St. Louis Blues. Take St. Louis (10*).

02-06-21 Penguins v. Islanders -108 3-4 Win 100 12 h 3 m Show

My selection is on New York over Pittsburgh at 7:05 pm et on Saturday.

The Islanders always seem to get up for the Penguins, having taken seven of the last 10 meetings in the series, and coming off an extended losing streak followed by a long layoff I expect to see them bring their best effort on Saturday night on Long Island. Of course, the Pens are also coming off an extended layoff due to Covid-related postponements. With both teams looking to regain their footing off of losing efforts, I'll give the Isles the edge on home ice. Barry Trotz is one of the best coaches in the league. He'll have his Isles ready for Sid and co. on Saturday night. Take New York (10*).

02-06-21 Coyotes v. Blues -160 3-1 Loss -160 8 h 7 m Show

My selection is on St. Louis over Arizona at 3:05 pm et on Saturday.

The Blues and Coyotes have split the first two games of this three-game set, with Arizona prevailing by a 4-3 score last time out. Keep in mind, St. Louis checks in a perfect 3-0 this season when coming off a loss. I like the offensive consistency the Blues have shown lately, scoring at least three goals in six consecutive games entering this one. The Coyotes are a middling squad, having gone 0-3 when following a victory this season. Take St. Louis (10*).

02-05-21 Bruins -129 v. Flyers 2-1 Win 100 11 h 25 m Show

My selection is on Boston over Philadelphia at 7:05 pm et on Friday.

The Bruins have quite simply had the Flyers number this season. David Pastrnak has to be in Flyers goaltender Carter Hart's head at this point. After rallying from a third period deficit to win in overtime on Wednesday night, I'm confident we see the B's keep on rolling on Friday night in Philadelphia. The Flyers aren't off to a bad start but haven't lived up to lofty expectations by any means. Look for Boston to prevail in what could be another high-scoring affair. Take Boston (10*).

02-01-21 Canucks +145 v. Canadiens 2-6 Loss -100 11 h 16 m Show

My selection is on Vancouver over Montreal at 7:05 pm et on Monday.

The price is just too steep in favor of the Habs in this one as they look to bounce back from Saturday's 2-0 loss to the Flames. The Canucks got off to a slow start this season but managed to get right with three straight high-scoring wins over the Senators and followed that up with a 4-1 victory over the Jets on Saturday. I believe Vancouver is a galvanized squad right now and should relish the opportunity to head east and take down the Habs - who had been off to a red hot start prior to Saturday's setback. Keep in mind, the Canucks will be looking for an ounce of revenge here as well after dropping a pair of contests against the Canadiens in Vancouver earlier this season. Take Vancouver (10*).

01-30-21 Maple Leafs v. Oilers +118 3-4 Win 118 13 h 31 m Show

My selection is on Edmonton over Toronto at 7:05 pm et on Saturday.

We missed the mark with the Oilers in Thursday's 4-3 loss but I won't hesitate to go back to the well with the same play on Saturday night. Edmonton came up just short in the opener of this two-game set, dropping a 4-3 decision. It's been another slow start for the Oilers but I am confident they can rise to the occasion in this Saturday night contest. The fact that we're being offered an even higher price (at the time of writing) than we saw on Thursday makes this a worthwhile wager. Take Edmonton (10*).

01-28-21 Maple Leafs v. Oilers +115 Top 4-3 Loss -100 14 h 32 m Show

NHL Game of the Week. My selection is on Edmonton over Toronto at 10:05 pm et on Thursday.

The value has shifted to the Oilers for this one as these two North Division foes renew hostilities after last week's two-game set in Toronto. Edmonton managed to split that mini-series and I look for it to gain the upper hand here as it catches the Maple Leafs in a clear letdown spot off consecutive wins in Calgary. Connor McDavid appears in midseason form for the Oil already this season and this is a big step-up spot at home against Auston Matthews and the Leafs. We'll back the Oil in an underdog role. Take Edmonton (10*).

01-26-21 Panthers +112 v. Blue Jackets 4-3 Win 112 11 h 56 m Show

My selection is on Florida over Columbus at 7:05 pm et on Tuesday.

The Blue Jackets had a busy weekend on and off the ice and enter this game off a big 5-2 win over the Lightning on Saturday. I suspect a letdown could be in order on Tuesday, however, as they host the Panthers. Florida is off to a perfect 2-0 start, delivering consecutive wins over the Blackhawks to open the campaign. With their last two games in Carolina having been postponed, this will be Florida's first game in a week. I do expect it to respond favorably, however. I have the Panthers rated higher than some, and believe we're being offered a very generous price to back them in this winnable matchup. Take Florida (10*).

01-24-21 Sharks v. Wild -148 5-3 Loss -148 13 h 48 m Show

My selection is on Minnesota over San Jose at 8:05 pm et on Sunday.

The Wild keep rolling along and after winning with them on Friday night against the Sharks, I won't hesitate to go back to the well with them again in the same matchup on Sunday. We're actually being afforded a cheaper price to back Minnesota (at the time of writing). The revenge angle is one that many bettors have been reaching for here in the early going of this unique 2021 NHL season. I'm simply not high on the Sharks at all and don't believe they'll catch the Wild napping in this spot. Take Minnesota (10*).

01-22-21 Sharks v. Wild -156 1-4 Win 100 12 h 34 m Show

My selection is on Minnesota over San Jose at 8:05 pm et on Friday.

The Sharks have perhaps exceeded expectations by winning two of their first four games - all on the road - to open the season. With that being said, it's worth noting that one of those wins came by way of overtime with the other coming in a shootout. Minnesota checks in an impressive 3-1 - also starting the season with four straight road games. I liked the way the Wild bounced back with a very composed effort against the Ducks on Wednesday night and look for them to continue to play well in their home opener on Friday night. While they're installed as a considerable home favorite here, I believe the price could be even higher. Take Minnesota (10*).

01-21-21 Canadiens v. Canucks +111 7-3 Loss -100 14 h 35 m Show

My selection is on Vancouver over Montreal at 9:35 pm et on Thursday.

A shootout ultimately amounts to little more than a coin flip but the Canucks have to feel good about snapping their three-game skid with a wild 6-5 shootout victory over the Canadiens last night. Credit Vancouver for hanging in there after falling behind with less than four minutes remaining in the third period, tying the game less than a minute later to force overtime. We won with the Canucks in that game and I won't hesitate to go back to the well with the same play here. Montreal is off to a flying start offensively but has to be a little road weary at this point having played four games in three different cities over the last week. I'm not sure how long they can keep up their roaring start. The price is right to back the Canucks here in what should be a lower-scoring affair than we saw a night ago. Take Vancouver (10*).

01-20-21 Canadiens v. Canucks +111 5-6 Win 111 14 h 11 m Show

My selection is on Vancouver over Montreal at 10:05 pm et on Wednesday.

The Canadiens are off to a roaring start to the new season, having collected at least a point in all three games and coming off back-to-back dominating victories over the Oilers. After winning with ease with backup Jake Allen between the pipes on Monday, I suspect the majority of bettors will be quick to back them again here, especially given the Canucks early season struggles having dropped three of their first four games. I'm anticipating a strong performance from Vancouver here, however, as it returns home for the first time this season. It's easy to forget that the Canucks opened the season with a solid 5-3 win in Edmonton one week ago tonight. Since then, their offense has gone cold, scoring just four goals in three games. There's too much talent on board to stay down for long though. I believe Vancouver has a lot of upside at the current price in the first of three straight games against Montreal. Take Vancouver (10*).

01-19-21 Capitals v. Penguins -119 4-5 Win 100 11 h 46 m Show

My selection is on Pittsburgh over Washington at 7:05 pm et on Tuesday.

The Penguins got a much-needed victory by way of a shootout against the Capitals on Sunday afternoon and I look for them to pull back to .500 on the season with another win on Tuesday. Washington played a really tough road game on Sunday and has now come away with five of a possible six points despite having yet to play at home through three games this season. For Pittsburgh, its start couldn't have been any worse as it was dominated in consecutive games in Philadelphia. I don't believe the Pens will be satisfied with Sunday's win. They need to keep it going here and I'm confident they can. Note that they didn't get a single point from Sidney Crosby and Evgeni Malkin in Sunday's win. It was their role players that stepped up and that should provide plenty of confidence entering this one. Take Pittsburgh (10*).

01-19-21 Jets v. Senators -103 Top 4-3 Loss -103 11 h 60 m Show

NHL North Division Game of the Month. My selection is on Ottawa over Winnipeg at 7:05 pm et on Tuesday.

I'll back the Senators on Tuesday night as they open a three-game set against the Jets. Winnipeg is in a tough spot here, playing the second of back-to-back nights following a 3-1 loss in Toronto on Monday. The Jets were without Patrik Laine in that one and it remains to be seen whether he'll be able to return on Tuesday. Winnipeg is off to a disjointed start to the season after it had a practice canceled on the weekend due to Covid concerns. Ottawa has been idle since Saturday, when it fell by a 3-2 score against the Maple Leafs. The Senators did look good in that season-opening set against the Leafs, splitting the two games. With that being said, after scoring five goals in their season-opening victory on Friday they were outshot badly on Saturday, leaving them in a key bounce back spot here. The future is bright in Ottawa even if it is unlikely to contend atop the North Division this season. I believe the Sens can continue to make some early season noise and catch the Jets at the right time here on Tuesday. Take Ottawa (10*).

01-18-21 Wild v. Ducks +111 0-1 Win 111 13 h 44 m Show

My selection is on Anaheim over Minnesota at 9:05 pm et on Monday.

The Ducks are coming off consecutive losses in Las Vegas but I did like the fight they showed in their last game, bouncing back from a blowout loss in their opener to grab a single point in an overtime loss. Minnesota is riding high off back-to-back overtime wins over the Kings but let's not get too excited just yet. I don't think the Kings are going to be very good this year, so those two victories may not turn out to be all that impressive. Wild rookie Kirill Kaprizov has been the story early on but I expect the Ducks to key on him on Monday night and ultimately pick up their first win of the season. Take Anaheim (10*).

09-28-20 Lightning -162 v. Stars 2-0 Win 100 23 h 14 m Show

My selection is on Tampa Bay over Dallas at 8:05 pm et on Monday.

We won with the Stars in Game 5 of this series on Saturday night but I'll admit we were fortunate to do so in that double-overtime thriller. That one just as easily could have gone the way of the Lightning and we would already be talking about the newly crowned Stanley Cup champions. Here, I look for the Lightning to make amends for Saturday's misstep and secure their second ever Stanley Cup championship. It's been obvious throughout the first five games of this series that the Lightning have been superior team, generally carrying the play, and showing the ability to reach back to that second gear when needed. Give the Stars all the credit in the world for getting to this point and pushing the Bolts this far, but I don't see this series going the distance. Behind another big performance from goaltender Andrei Vasilevskiy look for the Lightning to close out what has been a memorable 2020 NHL Playoffs. Take Tampa Bay (10*).

09-26-20 Stars +144 v. Lightning 3-2 Win 144 13 h 40 m Show

My selection is on Dallas over Tampa Bay at 8:05 pm et on Saturday.

I'll back the Stars to stave off elimination at the hands of the Lightning on Saturday. Dallas certainly showed plenty of fight last night but ultimately fell in overtime. The Stars have proven to be a tough out throughout these playoffs and there's little reason to expect them to roll over in this one. Behind a much sharper defensive effort look for Dallas to push this series to a sixth game. Take Dallas (10*).

09-23-20 Lightning v. Stars +140 5-2 Loss -100 23 h 35 m Show

My selection is on Dallas over Tampa Bay at 8:05 pm et on Wednesday.

The Stars were in a tough spot in Game 2 of this series. After winning Game 1 they knew they were going to get the Lightning's best effort on Monday, and Tampa Bay not surprisingly came out on fire, scoring three goals in the first period en route to a 3-2 victory. Now that the series is level again, I look for the Stars to show some push back on Wednesday night. I've been anticipating some regression from Starts goaltender Anton Khudobin given all the hockey he has played in the last two months. While he did suffer a bit of a lapse in the first period of Game 2, I expect a return to form here in Game 3. Take Dallas (10*).

09-21-20 Stars v. Lightning -147 Top 2-3 Win 100 12 h 10 m Show

NHL Stanley Cup Final Game of the Year. My selection is on Tampa Bay over Dallas at 8:05 pm et on Monday.

While I did like the Stars to win this series at the outset, and my opinion certainly hasn't changed following Game 1, I do look for the Lightning to even things up at a game apiece on Monday night. As I've been saying for quite some time now, at some point you have to figure we see some cracks in Stars G Anton Khudobin's armor. He's played a ton of hockey in these playoffs, and has faced a boatload of shots. That was no different in the series opener as the Lightning poured it on (as usual) in the third period. Look for Tampa Bay to do a much better job of converting on its opportunities here in Game 2. The price is right to back the Bolts. Take Tampa Bay (10*).

09-17-20 Lightning -158 v. Islanders 2-1 Win 100 23 h 11 m Show

My selection is on Tampa Bay over New York at 8:10 pm et on Thursday.

We won with the Islanders (puck-line) in Game 5 of this series two nights ago but I won't hesitate to switch gears and back the Lightning here as they look to advance to the Stanley Cup Final. Even without Brayden Point in the lineup, the Bolts have still looked dangerous offensively over the last couple of games, firing 73 shots at Isles goaltender Semyon Varlamov. They didn't get much 'puck luck' in Game 5 but that doesn't tend to last long when it comes to elite teams. The real key here might be the play of Tampa Bay goaltender Andrei Vasilevskiy. He hasn't been quite as dominant as we've been accustomed to seeing in this series but certainly played well enough to backstop the Bolts to a victory last time out and I'm confident he'll come up big in this potential series clincher. Take Tampa Bay (10*).

09-12-20 Golden Knights -160 v. Stars 1-2 Loss -160 22 h 19 m Show

My selection is on Vegas over Dallas at 8:10 pm et on Saturday.

Back-and-forth they go and I look for the zig-zag pattern to continue in Game 4 on Saturday night. The Golden Knights have certainly looked like the better team through the first three games, but only have one win to show for it. It certainly seems as if whenever Vegas wants, or needs to turn it on it has that additional gear. Without question, Stars goaltender Anton Khudobin is the reason they currently hold the series lead. After facing 97 shots through three games, I'm just not sure how much he possibly has left in the tank. Take Vegas (10*).

09-11-20 Lightning v. Islanders +139 3-5 Win 139 12 h 47 m Show

My selection is on New York over Tampa Bay at 8:10 pm et on Friday.

While most see their heartbreaking Game 2 loss as an absolute back-breaker for the Islanders, I don't expect this resilient bunch to quit just yet. New York certainly turned in a much stronger performance than we saw in the series-opener when they were blitzed 8-2. The Lightning's depth could be tested in this game with Alex Killorn suspended and Brayden Point questionable to play. I actually expect Point to be in the lineup for this game, but how effective he can be remains to be seen. Look for the Isles to throw everything they have at the Bolts in this one as they at least make the series interesting heading into Game 4. Take New York (10*).

09-08-20 Stars v. Golden Knights -160 Top 0-3 Win 100 23 h 54 m Show

NHL Conference Final Game of the Year. My selection is on Vegas over Dallas at 8:10 pm et on Tuesday.

Vegas simply didn't show up ready to play in the opener of this series on Sunday night. Maybe it was due to the Knights breathing a sigh of relief after a hard-fought series against an upstart Canucks squad. Maybe Vegas was caught reading a bit of its own press as it prepared to face the Stars, who few expected to reach this stage of the playoffs. Either way, the Knights did wake up in the third period of Game 1, outshooting Dallas by a 15-2 margin. Despite the 1-0 loss, I do think Vegas carries some confidence into Game 2 and expect to see one of its best performances in the playoffs to date. While I do have a lot of respect for Rick Bowness and the Stars (having picked them to beat the Avalanche in Game 7 last round), I look for them to fall short here. Take Vegas (10*).

09-07-20 Islanders v. Lightning -147 2-8 Win 100 12 h 43 m Show

My selection is on Tampa Bay over New York at 8:10 pm et on Monday.

While this does have the makings of a long, hard-fought series, I'll side with the favored Lightning in Game 1 on Monday night. Tampa Bay offers a much different challenge to New York than Philadelphia did last round. The Flyers had to lean heavily on goaltender Carter Hart to stick around in the latter part of that series. Unfortunately they weren't able to generate enough of an offensive attack to ultimately get over the hump. Here, the Lightning have an elite goaltender in Andrei Vasilevskiy but also have the offense to break down what has been a rock solid Islanders defense (head coach Barry Trotz has made a big difference in that regard). In what should be a fairly low-scoring series-opener, look for the Bolts to prevail. Take Tampa Bay (10*).

09-04-20 Stars +117 v. Avalanche 5-4 Win 117 18 h 20 m Show

My selection is on Dallas over Colorado at 8 pm et on Friday.

The Avs have climbed all the way back in this series with back-to-back dominating victories but I don't expect them to complete the comeback on Friday night. Dallas has actually outshot Colorado by a 46-27 margin over the last four periods of hockey. The Avs have gotten a boost from goaltender Michael Hutchinson but let's not lose sight of the fact that he's still a very average NHL netminder (you may remember he was run out of town as the backup in Toronto). The Stars don't strike me as the type of team that will fold under the pressure here in Game 7. Take Dallas (10*).

09-03-20 Flyers v. Islanders -115 5-4 Loss -115 21 h 1 m Show

My selection is on New York over Philadelphia at 7:10 pm et on Thursday.

Entering these unique NHL Playoffs my first thought was that we could see a sleeper team end up going on a deep run and maybe even hoisting the Stanley Cup and the Islanders certainly seem to fit that bill. New York not surprisingly turned in a bit of a flat effort with a chance to eliminate the Flyers two nights ago but did rally late to tie the game before falling in overtime. Here, I look for a more focused and complete effort from the Isles as they certainly don't want to get involved in a seventh and deciding game, where anything can happen, and knowing the Flyers have a goalie capable of stealing such a game in Carter Hart. While I did like the Flyers entering this series, Hart as admittedly not been at the top of his game and their overall play has been uneven. Take New York (10*).

08-31-20 Stars v. Avalanche -133 Top 3-6 Win 100 13 h 46 m Show

NHL Second Round Game of the Year. My selection is on Colorado over Dallas at 9:45 pm et on Monday.

The Avalanche simply haven't been able to keep up with the Stars red-hot scoring in this series but they continue to generate a ton of scoring opportunities and I look for them to capitalize and get themselves back in the series with a victory on Monday night. Colorado had a number of bad bounces go against them in last night's 5-4 loss, which really wasn't as close as the final score indicated. It was generally a flat performance from the Avs and I think the quick turnaround will help their cause on Monday as they look to answer back. While Colorado is a young team, it has gained a great deal of playoff experience in recent years and I don't expect to see it simply fold the tent facing elimination on Monday night. If we know one thing, it's that the Stars can suffer defensive lapses and I look for Colorado to take advantage here. Take Colorado (10*).

08-31-20 Bruins +104 v. Lightning 2-3 Loss -100 10 h 15 m Show

My selection is on Boston over Tampa Bay at 7 pm et on Monday.

I don't expect the Bruins to simply roll over on Monday night, even as they face elimination and perhaps the enticing prospect of leaving the "bubble". Yes, Tampa Bay has dominated this series since dropping the opener but the Bruins are still a veteran-laden, talented squad that knows they're capable of getting back in the series. 3-1 series deficits aren't insurmountable and I expect the Bruins to finally get back at the Bolts here on Monday. Take Boston (10*).

08-30-20 Avalanche -130 v. Stars 4-5 Loss -130 10 h 20 m Show

My selection is on Colorado over Dallas at 6 pm et on Saturday.

We won with the Avalanche in the last game in this series and I won't hesitate to go back to the well with the same play in Game 4 on Sunday. Colorado has generally controlled the game flow in this series so far, but some lapses have cost it a 2-1 series deficit. We saw the Avs get refocused and rally from a couple of deficits in Game 3, and now I look for a more complete 60-minute effort on Sunday evening. This has all the makings of a long series. Look for the Avs to even things up here. Take Colorado (10*).

08-26-20 Avalanche -137 v. Stars 6-4 Win 100 25 h 33 m Show

My selection is on Colorado over Dallas at 10:30 pm et on Wednesday.

The Stars pummeled the Avalanche on their way to a 5-2 victory in Game 2 of this series on Monday night. Expect the Avs to answer the bell on Wednesday as they look to get back in this series. Colorado has yet to turn in a complete 60-minute effort in this series. It will need to produce that if it's going to contend with the red hot Stars. It is worth noting that the Avs have fired 71 shots on goal through two games so it's not as if they're not generating any pressure. Their issue has been a lack of defensive structure, due to injuries and otherwise, but I'm confident we'll finally see them pull together on the back-end on Wednesday night. If not they might as well pack up their bags and prepare to leave the "bubble". As we're being asked to lay the shortest price of the series to date, I'll back the Avs again here. Take Colorado (10*).

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