Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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08-22-24 | Saskatchewan v. Toronto UNDER 50.5 | Top | 19-20 | Win | 100 | 11 h 31 m | Show |
10* Riders/Argos UNDER (TOW) These teams have been involved in several higher-scoring games of late, but we're expecting a much tighter battle here on Thursday night. The Argos play with revenge after falling 30-23 at Saskatchewan back in Week 5, and note that Toronto has seen the total go "under" the number in eight of its last 12 in trying to avenge a SU/ATS road loss vs. an opponent. The Riders can't be happy after squandering the lead three different times last week in their eventual 27-24 loss to Montreal. Toronto is off two high-scoring games vs. Calgary, losing 27-23 on the road, and then bouncing back to win 39-25 in Week 10. Now the Argos welcome back QB Chad Kelly, making his first start of the year. Kelly's been out since May after getting sidelined due to violation of league policy. He'll have his hands full with this now desperate Riders side looking to stop a four-game slide. Saskatchewn is averaging 20.3 PPG over its last six games and the last thing it'll want to do here is turn this into a shootout on the road. We say the conditions are right for more of a defensive battle than what the oddsmakes are leading us to believe; the play is the "under!" AAA Sports |
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08-16-24 | Montreal v. Saskatchewan UNDER 51.5 | Top | 27-24 | Win | 100 | 13 h 59 m | Show |
10* UNDER (EAST MEETS WEST) These are the top two teams in their respective divisions, so it's a classic "East meets West" battle in the Prairies on Friday night. Last week the Riders settled for a 22-22 tie with Ottawa, and we're expecting another hard-fought and ultimately lower-scoring battle here vs. Montreal as well. The Als cruised to a 33-23 win at home over Hamilton last weekend. Montreal held on for the 20-16 home win over the Riders as a 3.5-point favorite, and everything points to a similar final combined score here in Saskatchewan as well. Montreal has seen the total go "under" in four straight on the road, and once again the situation points to a hard-fought battle, where field position plays a key role in deciding the winner; as such, the play for us as far as the total is concerned is indeed on the "under!" AAA Sports |
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08-03-24 | Edmonton Elks +4.5 v. Saskatchewan | Top | 42-31 | Win | 100 | 21 h 19 m | Show |
10* Edmonton (WEST-DIV GOY) The Elks are 0-7. At some point Edmonton is going to win a game. That may or may not be this week, but the bottom line is that the longer these types of lop-sided streaks keep going (either negative OR positive), they become more and more unrealistic. Edmonton is 0-7 SU and 3-4 ATS. It started the year with a 29-21 home loss to Saskatchewan, but note that the Elks are in fact 4-1 ATS in their last five in trying to avenge a SU/ATS home loss vs. an opponent. They've also lost three straight ATS, which is also significant for us to take note of, as the Elks are 8-4 ATS in their last 12 after three or more SU/ATS losses in a row. It wasn't McCleod Bethel-Thompson's best game clearly, but he'll reoubnd here vs. the 5-2 Riders in my estimation, who are just 1-2 in their last three. Last time out they fell 20-16 at Montreal as Shea Patterson also had a really "off" night under center for the Riders. The overall situation, combined with the numbers/trends though point to this game coming "right down to the wire," so we'll therefore be recommending to grab as many points as you can with the Elks! AAA Sports |
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08-02-24 | Montreal v. Hamilton UNDER 50.5 | Top | 33-16 | Win | 100 | 22 h 25 m | Show |
10* UNDER Montreal/Hamilton (EAST-CONF TOM) This is the opener of a home-and-home set between the teams and we're expecting a tighter, lower-scoring battle in the opener. Montreal is 6-1 overall and after falling 37-18 to Toronto at home, the Als bounced back with a 20-16 victory over Saskatchewan last week. We can expect a similar defensive affair here vs. Hamilton. The Ti-Cats are 2-5, but they've won two straight. The last thing Montreal will do is try and turn this into a shootout with the Ti-Cats, but after those two straight high-scoring wins, we feel that this O/U line is a bit TOO inflated here on Friday night. In our opinion, everything points to a tighter, lower-scoring battle, so the play is the "under!" AAA Sports |
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07-19-24 | Edmonton Elks +2.5 v. Ottawa | Top | 14-20 | Loss | -105 | 93 h 2 m | Show |
10* Elks (UNDERDOG OF YEAR) We had a play on the "over" between these teams last week, and they finished with 71 points. Edmonton is now 0-5 SU in the regular season, and 0-7 if you include the pre-season. Note though that the Elks HAVE IN FACT responded well in this spot for bettors, going 7-3 ATS in their last ten in trying to avenge a SU/ATS home loss vs. an opponent. Ottawa has traded wins/losses since the start of the season and for sure that pattern will continue this week in our opinion. The Elks will need a miracle now to qualify for the post-season, but it'll be paramount for them here to not only snap the slide, but also avenge last week's setback. McLeod Bethel-Thompson continues to be a bright spot for the Elks, and we feel he'll be crucial in this victory, last week finishing 26 of 35 for 272 yards and two major scores. Look for Ottawa to regress and for Emonton to lay it all on the line and finally punch one into the win column; grab as many points as you can, the play is indeed on the Elks! AAA Sports |
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07-14-24 | Ottawa v. Edmonton Elks OVER 49 | Top | 37-34 | Win | 100 | 40 h 19 m | Show |
10* OVER Ottawa/Edmonton (BLOOD-BATH) Edmonton is 0-4 and desperate for a spark. So far it's been trading high-scoring losses with low-scoring setbacks, and after falling 24-21 at BC two weeks ago, we're expecting this pattern/trend to continue here at home in this important matchup. This is the opener of a home and home set between the teams, as Ottawa comes to town at 2-2 and off last week's listless 25-16 loss at a desperate Winnipeg last week. Note though that Ottawa has seen the total go "over" the number in four of its last five off a SU/ATS road loss. With each team pushing the pace like we anticipate, everything points to this total flying "over" the number well before the final whistle sounds! AAA Sports |
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07-13-24 | Saskatchewan v. BC UNDER 52.5 | Top | 20-35 | Loss | -120 | 87 h 18 m | Show |
10* UNDER Saskatchewan/BC (WEST-CONF TOY) With nearly 70% of the early public money on the "over," we're for sure going contrarian here, as we expect a much more defensive battle than what the oddsmakers are trying to lead us to believe. And in our opinion, this one just sets up great from a "situational" stand point to be lower-scoring. Saskatchewan is 4-0 and off a 30-32 win over Toronto. So far it's seen the total go "over" in all four. Note though that despite it going "over" last time, the Riders have STILL seen the total dip below the posted number in eight of their last 12 after playing to three or more straight "overs" in a row. BC is 4-1 and most recently off a high-scoring 44-28 road win at Hamilton last week. BC has won four in a row, but the last thing the Riders will do is try to turn this into a shootout. Overall, taking into account all of these different factors, we say this week's O/U line is now too large for sure; the play is the "under!" AAA Sports |
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07-06-24 | Calgary v. Montreal OVER 49.5 | Top | 26-30 | Win | 100 | 27 h 14 m | Show |
10* OVER Calgary/Montreal (BOB) The 4-0 Montreal Alouettes will look to push the pace here in our estimation vs. the 2-1 Stampeders. Neither team's offense has yet hit its stride this year, but we say those trends end on Saturday night, as we're anticipating a faster-paced, high-scoring "shootout" once it's all said and done. The majority of games so far this year have been decided by a TD or less, but the Stamps haven't been given much of a chance by the bookmakers in this spot. Cody Fajardo has a league-high 75.4 percent pass completion rate for the Als, and we expect him to have a big game here. The Als allowed 14 points in the second half to the Argos last week, and that's going to leave the door open for talented Stamps' QB Jake Maier to make some moves. This one has "over" written all OVER it! AAA Sports |
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07-04-24 | Toronto v. Saskatchewan UNDER 48.5 | Top | 23-30 | Loss | -110 | 28 h 11 m | Show |
10* UNDER Toronto/Saskatchewan (NON-CONF TOM) Saskatchewan is 3-0 SU/ATS and it's seen the total go OVER in three straight so far to open the season. With the majority of the general betting public once again quick to back a high-scoring win for the home side, we're going to approach this particular play with a heavy contrarian stance. Note that Saskatchewan has in fact seen the total go "under" in eight of its last ten after playing to three or more straight "overs" in a row dating back the L2 years. Toronto is 2-1 afte rfalling 30-21 to Montreal last week. Its first two games went well "over" the number in consecutive victories, but the Argos offense stalled last week at home, and now hitting the road for the first time all year, we're predicting those issues to become amplified here on the road. As primarily "situational" cappers, this one falls right into our "wheel-house." While the majority goes one way, we're going to go the other; this number is too high, the play is the "under!" AAA Sports |
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06-29-24 | Winnipeg v. Calgary OVER 47 | Top | 19-22 | Loss | -110 | 53 h 44 m | Show |
10* OVER Bombers/Stamps (WEST-CONF TOY) Winnipeg is 0-3 SU/ATS and it'll have to play with a sense of desperation to avoid the dreaded 0-4 hole. Calgary comes out of its bye week rested and ready to build off its 1-1 start. From a situational stand point, we absolutely love how this one sets up to be a higher-scoring shootout, rather than a tight, lower-scoring all out battle. Calgary also hasn't beaten Winnipeg since 2021, so to say this is a "revenge" game would be a bit of an understatement. Winnipeg's defense allowed 398 yards through the air last week to BC, and we believe its defense will be the weak point this weekend as well. The Stamps defense has also struggled this year. It's a big game for both teams and with each pushing the pace offensively like we're anticipating, everything does indeed point to this total fying "over" the number sooner, rather than later! AAA Sports |
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06-27-24 | Edmonton Elks v. BC UNDER 53.5 | Top | 21-24 | Win | 100 | 31 h 49 m | Show |
10* UNDER Elks/Lions (BOB) CFL totals continue to creep up, and we now feel for sure that this one is much too high here on Thursday night. Edmonton is 0-3 and desperate to break the slide. Defense has been the main issue, as the Elks have conceded 29, 23 and 39 points in the three losses so far. They've been competitive, but do note that Edmonton has in fact seen the total go "under" the number in eight of its last 12 after three or more SU losses in a row. BC has is 2-1 and the last two games have gone "under" the number. And there's no reason not to think that BC won't be able to handle the Elks here on the road as well. With Edmonton doubling down on the defensive end like we suspect after last week's disaster, and when taking into account the rest of the above-listed factors, everything does point to much more of a defensive battle than what Las Vegas is trying to lead us to believe; this number is high, the play is the "under!" AAA Sports |
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06-23-24 | Hamilton v. Saskatchewan OVER 50.5 | Top | 20-36 | Win | 100 | 9 h 17 m | Show |
10* OVER HAM/SASK (ASSASSIN) Here is a great situational play we can take advantage of. Hamilton is 0-2 SU/ATS after last week's 33-30 home loss to these very Roughriders. Note though that the Ti-Cats have seen the total go "over" the number in seven of their last ten in trying to avenge a SU/ATS home loss vs. an opponent. We're expecting a similar faster-paced, high-scoring affair this week as well. The Riders have already scored 62 points over the first two games and now back at home for their opener, everything points to another "shootout;" this number is low, the play is the "over!" AAA Sports |
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06-22-24 | Edmonton Elks v. Toronto UNDER 49.5 | Top | 36-39 | Loss | -105 | 29 h 9 m | Show |
10* UNDER Elks/Argos (NON-CONF TOY) Edmonton comes to town desperate for a win, as it's 0-2 SU and 1-1 ATS after last week's 23-20 home loss to Montreal as a 4.5-point underdog. Previous to that it was a 29-21 loss at home to Saskatchewan as a 1-point dog. Now out on the road and eager to avoid the 0-3 hole, we're expect the Elks to build off last week's impressive defensive performance, despite the loss. Montreal scored 27 points in its Week 1 win at Winnipeg, and then exploded for 47 on Thursday night in its victory over Ottawa. Edmonton's defense is its strength for sure. Toronto looked great in its 35-27 home win over the Lions in Week 1, but will "rest" lead to "rust" here in Week 3 after having last week off? We say YES! It's a great overall "situational" play and a great moment to pull the trigger on a play of this magnitude; this number is indeed high, the play is the "under!" AAA Sports |
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06-21-24 | BC v. Winnipeg -135 | Top | 26-24 | Loss | -135 | 29 h 13 m | Show |
10* Winnipeg (WEST-CONF GOM) With this spread being so close, we're going to suggest bypassing the spread option all together, and instead just play the home side on the very reasonable "moneyline" option. It's a really big game for one of these two teams, and just another beginning of the season contest for the other. Winnipeg is 0-2 coming into Week 3, falling 27-12 at home to Montreal as a 7.5-point favorite, before then losing 23-19 as a 7-point favorite at Ottawa last weekend. Now back at home and with a tough game at Calgary in Week 4, this is as "do or die" as you can get for a team in Week 3. BC is 1-1, falling 35-27 at Toronto as a 4-point fav in Week 1, before then pulling away for the 26-17 home win over Calgary last week. Now back on the road, we feel the Lions are once again overvalued here by both the oddsmakers, and the general betting public. So while the majority go one way, we'll go the other; lay the price, the official call is is indeed on Winnipeg on the moneyline option! AAA Sports |
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06-20-24 | Ottawa v. Montreal OVER 47.5 | Top | 21-47 | Win | 100 | 30 h 40 m | Show |
10* OVER Redblacks/Als (EAST-CONF TOY) Ottawa had Week 1 off, but last week it beat Winnipeg 23-19 at home as a seven-point underdog. The last time the RedBlacks faced the Alouettes, they lost 29-3 in the regular season back on October 9th of last year. They also faced each other in the pre-season this year and Ottawa won by a score of 19-13, so some pretty low-scoring games. But that's only helped in driving this Week 3 Over/Under line a bit lower than it normally would or should be in our opinion. Dru Brown looked decent for the Redblacks last week, finishing 20 of 33 for 238 yards and a touchdown (and no interectpions.) And speaking about playing to low-scoring games, the Alouettes are 1-1 as they head into Week 3 and both of their opening games have fallen "under" the number. First they opened with the 27-12 road win at Winnipeg as 7.5-point underdogs, and then they held on for the 23-20 win at Edmonton in Week 2 as 4.5-point favorites. Now back at home in front of the home town crowd for the first time this season though, we finally expect this talented Als offense to carry the load this week. Last week Cody Fajardo looked really good, he was 20 of 30 for 269 yards, two touchdowns and no interceptions. Now back at home and facing a team that's just coming off a big upset of its own, we say it's these two competent quarterbacks that put on a show in this one on Thursday; the play is the "over!" AAA Sports |
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06-16-24 | Saskatchewan -115 v. Hamilton | Top | 33-30 | Win | 100 | 26 h 46 m | Show |
10* Riders (ASSASSIN) Saskatchewan held on for a 29-21 win over Edmonton, and we think it'll find a way to come out on top here on the road in Week 2 as well in this favorable matchup. Hamilton on the other hand looked poor on both ends of the field in a 32-24 loss at the Stampeders, getting points in garbage time to make it closer than it really was. Riders' QB Trevor Harris had 305 passing yards and three TD's. Bo Levi Mitchell finished with 300 yards and a TD in his team's loss vs. the Stamps. The offense looked "ok" in fact, but the Ti-Cats' defense was so terrible, that we see it once again being the weak point in this matchup as well vs. this "in form" Riders' offense. Let's bypass the spread option and instead just play Saskatchewan on the moneyline! AAA Sports |
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06-15-24 | Calgary v. BC UNDER 51 | Top | 17-26 | Win | 100 | 12 h 50 m | Show |
10* UNDER Calgary/BC (WEST-CONF TOM) Calgary is 1-0 and BC 0-1. The Lions though are favored by 8 here at home, as the oddsmakers are predicting a rout. The Stamps though looked pretty good in their 32-24 win over Hamilton at home, but now here on the road we're expecting them to have much more difficult time moving the ball vs. this aggressive Lions' defense. BC fell 35-27 at Toronto as a 4-point favorite, but note that the Lions have seen the total dip below the number in four of their last five off a SU/ATS road loss as a fav. The last time these teams played, they combined for 71 points back in November, with the Lions winning 41-30. This time around though everything points to a much tighter, and utimately lower-scoring battle, so we're going with the "under!" AAA Sports |
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06-14-24 | Montreal v. Edmonton Elks +4.5 | Top | 23-20 | Win | 100 | 29 h 50 m | Show |
10* Elks (NON-CONF GOY) Montreal is 1-0 and Edmonton is 0-1 as we head into this Week 2 matchup, but in a contest that we see being decided by whichever team hasn its hands on the ball last, we're grabbing the points. Edmonton has now lost three straight SU/ATS if you count the pre-season. Montreal is off the 27-12 win at Winnipeg as a 7.5-point dog, but will the Als get caught "looking ahead" to their first home game vs. Ottawa next week? The answer is "YES" in our opinion! Edmonton was a 1-point dog at home to rival Saskatchewan last week and it fell in a competitive 29-21 setback. But with two very tough road games after this (Toronto/BC), the Elks are going to be risking life and limb here to pull off the upset and avoid another terrible overall start to the season. The Als are the defending Grey Cup champs and are off the Week 1 win and Cody Fajardo looked decent, but we feel that Elks' QB McLeod Bethel-Thompson, who was 33 of 42 for 336 yards and two TD's will be able to match pace. Edmonton will fight tooth and nail and while we do think an outright is possible, in the end our official call is to grab as many points as you can; the play is indeed on Edmonton! AAA Sports |
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06-08-24 | Saskatchewan +1.5 v. Edmonton Elks | Top | 29-21 | Win | 100 | 50 h 6 m | Show |
10* Roughriders (GOW) These teams met a year ago in their respective season openers and the Riders ground out the 17-13 win. Trevor Harris is back under center for the Ridres after an injury sidelined him for most of the 2023 season. Edmonton now has McLeod Bethel-Thompson at QB after he spent last year in the USFL. Saskatchewan addressed many defensive issues in the off-season and while we do think an outright win is possible, in the end we'll recommend that you grab as many points as you can; the play is Saskatchewan! AAA Sports |
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09-29-23 | Saskatchewan +10 v. BC | Top | 26-33 | Win | 100 | 14 h 24 m | Show |
10* Riders (WEST-CONF GOY) After three straight SU victories, we believe the Lions come in complacent here, and they leave the back door wide open for the hungry 6-8 Riders to sneak in through down the stretch. BC is off the satisfying 37-29 road win at Edmonton. Saskatchewan comes in on the other end of the spectrum, desperate to snap a three-game slide, most recently a 36-38 loss in Ottawa. Situationally we feel this one sets up well for us, with the public quick to jump on the Lions here. BC won this game here back on July 19th by a score of 19-9, but the Riders beat the Lions at home. This is the third and final game of the season series and we're expecting much more of a battle than what the oddsmakers are trying to lead us to believe. For us to pull the trigger on a GAME OF YEAR, or GAME OF MONTH etc, it HAS to set up extremely well for whatever team we're on from a "situational" standpoint. And this one does for Saskatchewan; no outright, but closer than expected so grab the points! AAA Sports |
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08-06-23 | Ottawa v. Saskatchewan OVER 44 | Top | 24-26 | Win | 100 | 10 h 32 m | Show |
10* OVER Ottawa/Saskatchewan (NON-CONF TOW) We're expecting this non-conference game to be less intense defensively, and more wide-open and high-scoring than what this O/U line is suggesting. These teams are in dire need of a victory, as Ottawa is 3-4, and Saskatchewan is 3-4 as well. We like betting on motivated teams when we're betting an "over," no matter what the sport is. Saskatchewan is off three straight SU losses, which is significant to note, as the Riders have seen the total go "over" the number in eight of their last 12 after three or more SU losses in a row. Ottawa had won two straight high-scoring OT games as an underdog before last week's low-scoring 16-12 upset loss to Hamilton. We expect the RedBlacks to regain their offensive form here though in what we anticipate will be a wide-open high-scoring "shootout." This number is low, the play is the "over!" AAA Sports |
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07-29-23 | Saskatchewan +11 v. Toronto | Top | 13-31 | Loss | -110 | 76 h 46 m | Show |
10* RIDERS (GOW) After winning the Grey Cup and despite a QB change, the Toronto Argonauts have so far not skipped a beat, going 5-0 SU and 5-0 ATS as well. The Riders are 3-3 SU and 2-3-1 ATS, but we're expecting the Riders to, at the very least, take this one right down to the wire and give the unbeaten Argos a run for their money here in this NEUTRAL site affair in Halifax. This is a weird game in a way for both sides, as it'll be held in Halifax at a neutral location, dubbed teh Touchdown Atlantic Game. This is the first time these teams have met this year, but it's a double-revenge scenario as well for the Riders after losing both games last year (30-24 and 31-21.) Also note that Saskatchewan is 2-1 on the road this year. No outright, but closer than expected; grab the points, the play is Saskatchewan! AAA Sports |
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07-28-23 | Hamilton +3.5 v. Ottawa | Top | 16-12 | Win | 100 | 35 h 27 m | Show |
10* Hamilton (BLOOD-BATH) We like Hamilton to, at the very least, take this one right down to the wire and give Ottawa everything it can handle. The Ti-Cats are now 2-4, while the RedBlacks are 3-3. Hamilton managed a 21-13 win over RedBlacks in Week 5, and after back-to-back upset victories (both in OT!), everything points to a predictable letdown here for Ottawa. The Ti-Cats are the more desperate team in this fight and while clearly the outright victory isn't out of the question, the official call will be to grab the points with the TI-CATS in what we feel is a great overall situational play! AAA Sports |
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07-23-23 | Ottawa +5 v. Calgary | Top | 43-41 | Win | 100 | 11 h 45 m | Show |
10* RedBlacks (BOB) We think these teams are evenly matched, and in a contest that we envision being decided by whichever club has its hands on the ball last, we're going to grab the points. Ottawa plays with revenge here after falling 26-15 at home as 6.5-point dogs to the Stamps back in Week 2, and note that the RedBlacks are 3-1 ATS in their last four in trying to avenge a SU/ATS home loss vs. an opponent. Calgary came from behind to secure a 31-28 OT win over Winnipeg in Week 6, but note that the Stamps are still 0-2 SU/ATS at home this season; for all the reasons listed above, grab as many points as you can with Ottawa! AAA Sports |
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07-22-23 | Saskatchewan +10 v. BC | Top | 9-19 | Push | 0 | 10 h 13 m | Show |
10* Riders (WEST-CONF GOW) The Riders are looking to bounce back after a tight 33-31 loss to Calgary in Week 6. They had the game in hand, but let it slip away late. Overall Saskatchewan is 3-2, while BC is 4-1. The Lions though have been inactive since Week 5, enjoying their bye week, and the old "rest" leading to "rust" scenario is very real here in our opinion. We look for the visiting side to keep this one a lot closer than what this spread is suggesting. No outright, but close; grab the points, the play is Saskatchewan! AAA Sports |