We like the Minnesota Vikings to defeat the Los Angeles Rams on Monday at 8:00pm ET for a number of reasons. Here are some of the more important ones:

Minnesota got shut down in the last game of the season against Detroit scoring only nine points.

The Vikings were going to travel across the USA to an LA city that's currently "burning up" due to wildfires, but now this game has been moved to Arizona which just barely a shorter flight.

We think that they could definitely have some trouble scoring again against the Rams who will be rested up for this game.

Minnesota's defense is also strong though. With its "show blitz" looks, it could confuse the Rams offense a bit.

Before last weekend, Los Angeles saw the total stay UNDER in three games in a row.

The Rams have also seen the total go UNDER in five straight games played on a Monday (Prime-time.)

We think that this line is too high and that we will see a good showing from both of these defenses tonight.

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We like the Philadelphia Eagles to defeat the Green Bay Packers on Sunday at 4:30pm ET for a number of reasons. Here are some of the more important ones:

Philadelphia had some concerns about its QB Jalen Hurts coming into this game. Hurts, who hadn't practiced in weeks, finally came back to practice on Wednesday and should be ready to go.

The Eagles are a much better team with him in the lineup, even though they won last week.

They are 12-1 over their L13 games this season as well, quietly making them one of the best teams in the league.

Although Green Bay ran through the Cowboys in last years wildcard round, we think that this is a much worse matchup for them.

The Packers are just 2-5 versus the spread over their L7 games against teams from the NFC East.

They are also just 3-6 over their L9 games played as a road underdog in the month of January.

We think that Philly will cruise through to the next round, Saquon Barkley being a big difference maker.

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We like the Baltimore Ravens to defeat the Pittsburgh Steelers on Saturday at 8:00pm ET for a number of reasons. Here are some of the more important ones:

Baltimore was previously bad against Pittsburgh, but silenced the doubters when it won 34-17 in the last meeting.

The Ravens have a chip on their shoulder entering the playoffs. They haven't been living up to their capabilities in years past in January/February and they need to send a message to everyone saying that they are here to stay.

The Ravens have covered the spread in five of their L6 games coming in.

Pittsburgh really had trouble down the stretch, losing each of its L4 games.

The Steelers were just 1-2 straight up and versus the spread in their three road divisional game this season.

Pittsburgh has also been bad in the postseason recently, losing five straight against the spread and straight up.

We think Baltimore dominates in the Wildcard Round.

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We like the Ohio State Buckeyes to defeat the Texas Longhorns on Friday at 4:30pm ET for a number of reasons. Here are some of the more important ones:

Ohio State crushed an undefeated Oregon team in the Quarter-Finals, setting up this Semi-Final matchup with Texas.

The Buckeyes are now 5-2 versus the spread over their L7 games this season.

They are also 12-2 overall in their L14 games played as the betting favorite.

Texas lost again against the spread last week in an overtime game against Arizona State.

That makes the Longhorns just 3-6 versus the spread over their L9 games this year.

Texas is also just 1-6 over their L7 games played as the betting underdog.

We think that Ohio State will steamroll right through Texas in this one as well.

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We like the Minnesota Vikings @ Detroit Lions to finish OVER the total on Sunday at 8:20pm ET for a number of reasons. Here are some of the more important ones:

Minnesota has averaged 31.5 points a game over its L4 games this season.

The Vikings have seen the total go OVER in four their L6 games.

They've also seen their games finish OVER in 7 of their L8 games played within their own division - NFC North.

Detroit is averaging 33.3 points a game throughout this season, ranking them 1st in the NFL.

The Lions have seen the total go OVER in 5 of their L6 games this year.

Each of the L6 games between these two teams have finished OVER.

We know this is one of the biggest totals that we've seen this season. But, it's for a good reasons. This one goes OVER.

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We like the New Orleans Saints @ Tampa Bay Buccaneers game to finish UNDER the total on Sunday at 1:00pm ET for a number of reasons. Here are some of the more important ones:

New Orleans is averaging less than 20 points a game this season.

The Saints have seen the total stay UNDER in each of their L5 games.

Five of their L6 games played against opponents from the NFC have finished UNDER as well.

Tampa has shut teams down over its L3 wins. In those games, they are allowing an average of just 14.66 points a game.

Over the L6 meetings between these two teams, five of them have stayed UNDER.

Tampa should be prepared for this game defensively. A win puts them in the playoffs without any scare.

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We like the Penn State Nittany Lions @ Boise State Broncos game to finish OVER the total on Tuesday at 7:30pm ET for a number of reasons. Here are some of the more important ones:

Penn State blew the roof off in their opening playoff game versus SMU, scoring 38 points.

The Nittany Lions are much more dangerous this season in the passing game, not just running, which is why they score a lot more points. That's also the reason for being double digit favorites today,

The Nittany Lions have seen the total go OVER in four of their L5 games now.

Boise State loves to score. The Broncos average 39.1 points a game, which is top three in the country.

Ashton Jeanty believes he got robbed of the Heisman. Needing 131 more yards to break Barry Sanders' record for most rushing yards ever in a season, he should get that today and some.

The Broncos won't make this game easy for PSU. We think a high scoring game is on the cards.

This game will go OVER.

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We like the Dallas Cowboys @ Philadelphia Eagles to finish OVER the total on Sunday at 1:00pm ET for a number of reasons. Here are some of the more important ones:

Dallas is scoring a lot more now that Cooper Rush has had a few games to get settled in.

Since week 12, the Cowboys are averaging 27.4 points a game.

They have seen the total go OVER in five of their L6 games.

Philadelphia lost because of a missed catch by Devonta Smith last weekend (33-36.)

The Eagles are a run first team. But, they still score lots of points.

Six of the L8 games between these two teams have finished OVER the total.

We think that this one will go OVER this total as well.

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We like the Army Black Knights to defeat the Louisiana Tech Bulldogs on Saturday at 9:15pm ET for a number of reasons. Here are some of the more important ones:

Army is not happy about losing the Navy/Army game back two weekends ago. The Black Knights will respond this weekend.

They still went 11-2 this season and averaged 10+ points more than LA Tech did this season.

The Black Knights have played against the Bulldogs twice before. They won and covered versus the spread in both games, fairly easily.

Louisiana Tech went 5-7 this season and are lucky to even be here after Marshall withdrew.

The Bulldogs are 2-5 over their L7 games played against opponents from the AAC.

Army will prove to be too much to handle for them here tonight.

We're laying the points, confidently.

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We like the Arizona Cardinals @ Los Angeles Rams game to finish UNDER the total on Saturday at 8:15pm ET for a number of reasons. Here are some of the more important ones:

Arizona might be out of the playoff race now. But, the road team will still fight and try and spoil other division opponents playoff chances.

The Cardinals have a solid defense and held the Rams to just 10 points when they met earlier this season.

They have seen the total finish OVER in three straight games, making this total higher than it should be.

The Rams are only averaging 21.9 points a game which is low considering that they are the sizable favorite.

Los Angeles has seen the total go UNDER in five of its L6 games played as the betting favorite.

We think that this one stays UNDER the high total as well.

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We like the Tampa Bay Buccaneers to defeat the Dallas Cowboys on Sunday at 8:20pm ET for a number of reasons. Here are some of the more important ones:

Tampa Bay has been on fire recently. TB has now won four games in a row.

The Buccaneers are also 5-1 versus the spread over their L6 games this season.

They are 8-1 since the 2022-23 season over their L9 games played in the month of December.

Dallas has basically given up on this season with a 6-8 record and a backup at QB.

The Cowboys are just 1-8 against the spread over their L9 games at home.

They should pack it in and play for a better draft pick.

We think this line is extremely low. Lay the points.

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We like the New England Patriots @ Buffalo Bills game to finish UNDER the total on Sunday at 4:25pm ET for a number of reasons. Here are some of the more important ones:

New England is 3-11 this season averaging just 17.0 points a game.

The Pats have gone OVER in most games this season. But, their offense will not get them many points in this game.

Over the L4 meetings in Buffalo between these two teams, the Patriots are averaging just 18.75 points a game.

Buffalo has been scoring easily lately. We think they will slow down a bit in this divisional matchup.

The Bills need to improve their time management and defense before the playoffs. It's fun playing in high scoring games when you win, but it might come back to cost them in a playoff game.

We think they work on that here and this one stays UNDER the total.

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We like the Houston Texans to defeat the Kansas City Chiefs on Saturday at 1:00pm ET for a number of reasons. Here are some of the more important ones:

This line has moved all over the place already. With Patrick Mahomes' injury over last weekend, the Chiefs were worried he wasn't going to play, which made Houston the favorite for this game.

Mahomes has now practiced in full and is expected to play, moving the line back towards Kansas City's direction.

The Chiefs are now three-point favorites and we think that Houston will be up for the challenge.

KC is just 1-6 versus the spread over their L7 games as a favorite.

The Texans are off back-to-back wins and have won 12 of their L18 since last year.

They are also 4-1 against the spread over their L5 games played on Saturday's.

We think Houston wins outright, but most definitely keeps it within three points.

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We like the Denver Broncos @ Los Angeles Chargers game to finish OVER the total on Thursday at 8:15pm ET for a number of reasons. Here are some of the more important ones:

Over the L4 games, Denver is averaging 34.75 points per game themselves.

The Broncos have now seen the total go OVER in seven of their L10 games.

The OVER is also 4-1 in their L5 games played inside the AFC West.

With Dobbins out, the Chargers have been forced to throw a bit more than they did earlier this season.

The Chargers have seen the total go OVER in four of their L5 games played at home.

We know these teams have great defenses. But, we think the offenses will take control and steer this one OVER the total on TNF.

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We like the Chicago Bears to cover the spread in this game against the Minnesota Vikings on Monday at 8:00pm ET for a number of reasons. Here are some of the more important ones:

We know that Chicago doesn't have a great record. But, Chicago have shown that they will fight and not go down without trying.

The Bears faced this Vikings team nearly a month ago now. They only lost by three.

The Bears have covered the spread in seven of their L10 games played on Monday.

Minnesota has been great this year. Sam Darnold is having the best season of his career.

But, the Vikings seem to always make their games closer than they should be and that might come back to hurt them today.

Seven of the Vikings' 11 wins have been by a single score.

We think Chicago has a real shot at the upset today. Grab the points.

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We like the Washington Commanders to defeat the New Orleans Saints on Sunday at 1:00pm ET for a number of reasons. Here are some of the more important ones:

Even while cooling off a bit lately, Washington has been one of the top teams in the NFC this season. WSH is coming off a 42-19 win over Tennessee.

The Commanders are now 8-3-1 against the spread over their L12 games this season after that blowout victory.

They are also 5-2 versus the spread over their L7 games played against NFC opponents.

New Orleans has been better recently, but still NO is just 2-7 against the spread over it's L9.

The Saints are also just 2-4 vs the spread over their L6 home games.

We think this line is too low and are expecting a 10+ point win for Washington.

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We like the New York Jets @ Jacksonville Jaguars to finish UNDER the total on Sunday at 1:00pm ET for a number of reasons. Here are some of the more important ones:

New York has been playing disappointing football nearly every week of this season. NYJ is 3-10 now on the year.

The Jets have been in high scoring games lately, but this game should be a lot lower scoring of a contest. They've scored an average of 18.4 points per game on the road.

Jacksonville hasn't been scoring much either lately. JAX has scored an average of just 11.5 points over the L4 games.

The Jaguars are also coming off a game where they shut down Tennessee completely allowing six total points.

The Jags have seen each of their L5 games stay UNDER the total as well.

We think that this one will stay UNDER easily today.

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We like the New York Giants to defeat the New Orleans Saints on Sunday at 1:00pm ET for a number of reasons. Here are some of the more important ones:

The Giants haven't had the best of seasons. But, this is the game for them to win. They need to win this game to show any signs of potential for next season.

NYG are 5-1 against the spread over their L6 games played in the month of December.

The extra rest from playing on Thanksgiving last Thursday will really help this team focus up for this weeks game.

New Orleans are 2-6 versus the spread over their L8 games this season.

They are also 1-5 over their L6 games against NFC opponents.

The Saints are without Taysom Hill this week and for the rest of the season. That's a big time loss for them.

At home, we've got the Giants winning this one outright.

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We like the Georgia Bulldogs to defeat the Texas Longhorns on Saturday at 4:00pm ET for a number of reasons. Here are some of the more important ones:

Georgia survived an 8-OT thriller against their rivals in Georgia Tech in the last game of the regular season. That scare will have them ready to go for today's big game.

Even though the Bulldogs are already in, they have to take care of business today. They lost last years championship game by three points and that ultimately knocked them out of the 4-team playoff.

Georgia beat Texas 30-15 earlier this season in what was the Longhorns only loss of the season.

The Longhorns have done a great job adjusting to the new conference. Props to them with it being in the SEC.

This season is long from over though. This is just the beginning of the tough part.

Texas is just 2-4 versus the spread over their L6 games this season.

Georgia has beaten them already and will beat them again. We'll take the points.

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We like the Tulane Green Wave @ Army Black Knights to finish OVER the total on Friday at 8:00pm ET for a number of reasons. Here are some of the more important ones:

Tulane really played well offensively in conference play scoring an average of 41.25 points per game over the eight games.

The Green Wave have seen four of their L6 games played in the month of December finish OVER the total.

The OVER is also 2-0 over their L2 meetings between these two teams.

Army will be able to run the ball. Even against a top team like Notre Dame, they were able to run for 200+ yards.

The Black Knights are averaging 32.7 points per game this season. We think they would only need around 20 for this game to go OVER.

The total is quite low because of these two teams loving to run the ball. We think this game goes OVER even with all of the running that we're expecting to see.

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We like the Jacksonville State Gamecocks to defeated the Western Kentucky Hilltoppers on Friday at 7:00pm ET for a number of reasons. Here are some of the more important ones:

JVST may have lost in the last game of the season. But, that was in Western Kentucky in a game that didn't really matter for them. This game is much more important.

The Gamecocks are now 12-1 over their L13 games played in-conference (against CUSA opponents.)

They are also 5-0 over their L5 games played at home. Yes this Championship Game is played @Jacksonville State.

Western Kentucky are just 1-4 versus the spread over their L5 games this season.

The Hilltoppers had a bit of trouble to finish the season losing against LA Tech and getting blown out by Liberty before the game between these two.

The Gamecocks were much better down the stretch and will play like it this Friday.

Being at home in this Championship Game will make a difference. Lay the points with JVST.

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We like the Tampa Bay Buccaneers to defeat the Carolina Panthers on Sunday at 4:05pm ET for a number of reasons. Here are some of the more important ones:

The Buccaneers blew the Giants out last week. They will be looking for a repeat of that this weekend.

Tampa are 12-3 versus the spread over their L15 games played away from home.

When playing against Carolina, Tampa Bay have won seven of the L8 meetings, while covering against the spread in six of them.

Carolina are fresh off a very close loss against Kansas City. They showed flashes of what they can do, but ultimately fell short last week. They will return to losing again this week.

The Panthers are 3-15 in their L18 games played against NFC opponents.

They are also just 3-9 versus the spread since the final game of last season.

We think that this spread is too low. The Buccaneers will win this game by at least two scores in week 13.

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We like the UTEP Miners @ New Mexico State Aggies game to finish UNDER the total on Saturday at 4:00pm ET for a number of reasons. Here are some of the more important ones:

The Miners have seen the total finish UNDER in five of their L6 games played against the Aggies.

Both teams are averaging less than 20 points a game this season.

In six road games this season, UTEP have scored just 61 points. That's 10.17 per game.

NMST allowed just seven points against UTEP last season.

The last time they met together at the Aggies field, they finished with just 33 total points in a game where the total was 59.5

We think this one stays below the total as well!

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We like the New York Giants @ Dallas Cowboys game to finish OVER the total on Thursday at 4:30pm ET for a number of reasons. Here are some of the more important ones:

The Giants haven't been very good this year. They cut their QB and now will take on a Division Rival on Thanksgiving Thursday. This will be treated like their Super Bowl.

When the Giants have met with the Cowboys in Dallas, five straight meetings have finished OVER the total.

Overall, the OVER is 8-4 over their L12 meetings between these two teams.

Dallas have also seen the total go OVER in nine of their L13 games since the end of last year.

The Cowboys looked very good offensively last weekend against Washington scoring 34 points.

This line is very low. We think this one goes OVER the total.

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We like the Toledo Rockets to defeat the Akron Zips on Tuesday at 7:00pm ET for a number of reasons. Here are some of the more important ones:

It was not a great game for Toledo last week against Ohio. But, they most definitely should rebound today against a 3-8 Akron program.

The Rockets are 13-4 over their L17 conference games (within the MAC.)

Toledo are also 14-6 in their L20 games overall since last season.

Akron are 4-16 over their L20 games since last year.

The Zips are also just 5-13 over their L18 games played at home.

Averaging more than seven more points per game, and allowing 12 less points per game than the Zips, Toledo clearly is the better team.

We think that they make a statement and win big in the final regular season game.

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We like the Philadelphia Eagles @ Los Angeles Rams game to finish UNDER the total on Sunday at 8:20pm ET for a number of reasons. Here are some of the more important ones:

As we saw last week, both offenses can score. But, we expect a more defensive style of football game today.

The Rams have seen the total go UNDER in four of their L6 games this season.

LAR have also been in games that have gone UNDER the total in five of their L7 games played in November.

The Eagles and their opponents have kept the total UNDER in eight of their L12 games since last season.

The UNDER is also 8-2 in the Eagles' L10 games played away from home.

Their last matchup back in 2023 stayed UNDER by double digits!

We think another UNDER is on the cards today, especially in Primetime.

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We like the Miami Dolphins to defeat the New England Patriots on Sunday at 1:00pm ET for a number of reasons. Here are some of the more important ones:

The Dolphins finally started playing better as a group last week against the LA Rams. They won 23-15 on Monday Night.

This weekend, Miami faces up against New England. They've beaten the Patriots in eight of the L9 games between them.

Miami is also 12-2 over their L14 games played in the month of November after that win last week.

New England are just 1-4 over their L5 games played on the road.

If we take a closer look at the recent games against each other, Miami has covered the spread in eight games in a row.

On the road against Miami, the Pats are 1-6 versus the spread over their L7.

This could be a real breakout game for Tua and the Dolphins offense. Tyreek Hill is due for a big game.

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We like the Army Black Knights @ Notre Dame Fightining Irish game to finish OVER the total on Saturday at 7:30pm ET for a number of reasons. Here are some of the more important ones:

Army has yet to lose this season, averaging more than 35 points a game. But they have also yet to face a team like Notre Dame.

Off the bye week, the Black Knights should be a lot more competitive that Navy was against the Irish.

Notre Dame has loved scoring points this season. They average 38 points a game.

The Fighting Irish have seen the total go OVER in 11 of their L16 games overall.

Notre Dame have also seen nine of their L10 games played in the month of November finish OVER the total.

Last season, and even though it stayed UNDER, the Irish put up 44 points themselves in this matchup.

We believe that this year's will be a lot closer, leading to more points and an OVER on Saturday night.

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We like the Kentucky Wildcats @ Texas Longhorns to stay UNDER the total on Saturday at 3:30pm ET for a number of reasons. Here are some of the more important ones:

Kentucky have held teams to some very low scores this season including Georgia (13), @Ole Miss (20) @Tennessee (28) etc..

The Wildcats have seen the total finish UNDER in seven of their L12 games since last season.

Texas have had one of the best defenses in the entire country this season allowing under 12 points a game.

The game has stayed UNDER the total in four of their L5 games played as a favorite.

The Longhorns have also seen the total stay UNDER in five of their L6 games overall.

We think this one will be low scoring as both teams will stop long plays from happening. The clock will be running all game long today.

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We like the Akron Zips @ Kent State Golden Flashes game to finish OVER the total on Tuesday at 7:00pm ET for a number of reasons. Here are some of the more important ones:

With two "bad" teams going head-to-head, we tend to lean on the OVER more than not.

Akron has seen the total finish OVER the total in seven of their ten games played this season.

7 of the L9 Akron games played in the month of November have gone OVER the total as well.

The Golden Flashes have seen the total go OVER in each of their L5 games played in week 13, the past five seasons.

We know that Kent State doesn't score much. But, this is the best chance that they are going to get to do so. At home against a 2-8 team. What more could you ask for.

We believe that Akron will reach at least 30 points, and for Kent State to get around 20. That puts us OVER the total.

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We like the Cleveland Browns @ New Orleans Saints game to finish UNDER the total for a number of reasons. Here are some of the more important ones:

The Browns have been quite substandard this year. They are 2-7 and are averaging only 16.4 points per game.

Relying on the running game more than ever, Cleveland should be doing the same thing today.

New Orleans is off their first win in seven games. They are averaging 22.7 points per game.

The Saints have seen four of the L5 home games in the month of November stay UNDER the total.

The last time they played, the O/U line was only 32 points. That game still went UNDER the total with 27 total points.

We'll take the UNDER today. Getting at least 44.0 could be huge if they get more points than we're expecting.

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We like the Arizona State Sun Devils @ Kansas State Wildcats game to finish OVER the total on Saturday at 7:00pm ET for a number of reasons. Here are some of the more important ones:

Both ASU as well as KSU average more than 31 points per game.

They also both have trouble stopping their opponents at times allowing more than 21 points a game as well as scoring lots themselves.

Kansas State has seen the total go OVER in four of their L5 games.

Arizona State have seen back to back games finish OVER the total.

They've only ever played versus each other once, in a game that finished with 61 total points.

This should be an entertaining battle between two 7-2 Big-12 opponents. We think the total is too low though and will select the OVER.

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We like the Hawaii Rainbow Warriors @ Utah State Aggies game to finish UNDER the total on Saturday at 3:00pm ET for a number of reasons. Here are some of the more important ones:

In all 10 games this season, Hawaii has yet to have a game go OVER the 60.0 mark. In fact, the highest combined score they've seen has only been 56 which was last week against UNLV (who average nearly 40 points a game themselves.)

Since last year, the Rainbow Warriors have seen the total go UNDER in 11 of their L15 games overall.

Utah State are a team that allows a lot of points. But, they should be a lot better this week than last. They will be up against a travelling Hawaii side.

The Aggies average 27.8 points per game. Hawaii averages just 22.0 points per game.

Hawaii's defense is a lot better than people expect from a 4-6 team. They don't allow many yards.

This game's total is so high because of USU's bad defense and solid offense. As they are the underdog, we don't see that coming into play.

A lower scoring game than the Aggies are used to should be on the cards today.

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We like the Eastern Michigan Eagles @ Ohio Bobcats to finish OVER the total on Wednesday at 7:00pm ET for a number of reasons. Here are some of the more important ones:

Eastern Michigan have been playing high scoring games this season. They have seen the total go OVER in four of their L5.

EMU have also seen the total finish OVER in seven of their L9 games played against MAC opponents.

Ohio have also seen some high scoring games lately. They've seen four of their L6 go OVER the total.

Even with their 6-3 record this season, the Bobcats tend to play close games. That could lead to lots of scoring today.

We don't see Ohio shutting out another opponent like last week. This will be a much close game.

This Over/Under line is too low for these two teams.

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We like the Buffalo Bills @ Indianapolis Colts game to finish UNDER the total on Sunday at 1:00pm ET for a number of reasons. Here are some of the more important ones:

Even though their stats don't look the greatest, Indianapolis has a solid defense. They shut down the Vikings offense for the most part on SNF last weekend.

Even after allowing 27 last weekend to the Dolphins, the Bills have given up an average of just 15.66 points per game over the L3 weeks.

Buffalo have seen the total go UNDER in five of their last six games played away from home.

After last weeks game, the total has gone UNDER in four Indianapolis games in a row.

Seven of the past ten games between these two sides have finished UNDER the total.

We are expecting both teams to establish a running game early to chew some clock after failing to do so last week.

Indianapolis will be looking to bounce back after back to back losses. They'll focus on defense once again first and foremost. We're going with the UNDER in week 10's matchup between Buf/Ind.

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We like the Penn State Nittany Lions to defeat the Washington Huskies on Saturday at 8:00pm ET for a number of reasons. Here are some of the more important ones:

Last week was an outlier game for the Nittany Lions. Although they lost, they gave the Buckeyes a real fight. Penn State will get back to their winning ways on Saturday in their signature "white-out game."

Penn State have won their L5 "white-out games." Over the last two, they've outscored their opponents 52-7. Both games were against ranked teams.

Washington beat USC last week but are still just 5-4 this season. That includes an 0-3 record away from home.

The Nittany Lions are 13-6 versus the spread in their L19 games played as the favorite.

Penn State also won the only ever time these teams met, both SU and ATS.

This is a good spot for PSU to bounce back. They'll take advantage of the ground game on Saturday night.

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We like the Alabama Crimson Tide to defeat the Louisiana State Tigers on Saturday at 7:30pm ET for a number of reasons. Here are some of the more important ones:

In our opinion so far, we believe that the Tide have had the much stronger schedule. Therefore, they've played more competition and will be ready for this game.

Although it's been more even in recent years, Alabama has dominated LSU in since 2012. Since then, they are 11-2 against the Tigers.

The loss against Vandy doesn't look good on their schedule. But, the Tide looked terrific in their last game when they beat Missouri 34-0.

LSU is just 3-5 ATS over their L8 games played this season.

The Tigers are also just 2-5 versus the spread over their L7 games played as the favorite.

Bama has been at the top of the SEC for years now and we don't see them falling off and not making the playoff for the second time in three years.

This is a must-win for each team. We'll go with the team that made the playoff last year who's playing better football right now. Lay the small number or play on the ML. Either is an option.

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We like the Clemson Tigers @ Virginia Tech Hokies game to finish OVER the total on Saturday at 3:30pm ET for a number of reasons. Here are some of the more important ones:

The Tigers lost their last game. But, they still have one of the best offenses in the country this year averaging 39.4 points per game which is top 10 in the FBS. Cade Klubnik has terrific stats. He will bounce back today.

Virginia Tech go seen the total go OVER in 10 of their L13 games played since last year.

VT have also seen the the total go OVER in five of their L6 played against teams in the Atlantic Division of the ACC.

Clemson is allowing 24.3 points per game against FBS competition this season which is definitely worse than in previous years.

If this was a night game, I'd see a lower scoring game. But, the Hokies crowd won't be as energetic here for an afternoon game.

The line is too low and we're going with the OVER.

AAA Sports.

We like the Washington Commanders to defeat the New York Giants on Sunday at 1:00pm ET for a number of reasons. Here are some of the more important ones:

Our NFC Game Of The Month on the Commanders won last week in a remarkable manner. In week 9, we're back with them against NYG.

That last second Hail Mary conversion will give Washington all the confidence they need into this week. They've also beaten the Giants already this year SU/ATS back in week 2.

We know that NYG are at home this week. But, they are off a short week (having played on Monday) and are 0-4 at home this season so far.

Jayden Daniels showed no signs of injury in last weeks game. He was great once again throwing for 328 yards and rushing for 52.

The Giants' offense is really slowing them down. They do have a solid defense, but it won't be enough to stop a top three offense in the league this weekend.

Like we wrote briefly about in our Steelers/Giants free play on October 28th, the Giants aren't the same without Saquon. With the superstar RB, they had something to rely on. Now it's on Daniel Jones to make things happen. That's not something you like to hear.

Lay the short number. Washington is our Divisional Game Of The Year.

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We like the Pittsburgh Panthers @ SMU Mustangs to finish OVER the total on Saturday at 3:30pm ET for a number of reasons. Here are some of the more important ones:

As both Quarterbacks are questionable for this game, we're expecting both to play. This is the biggest game of the year for both programs and they are not going to want to miss it.

Both teams have top offenses in the countries both averaging north of 39 points per game which puts them both in the top 15 on the season.

SMU was shut down a bit last week but won't stumble again. They are back at home this weekend where they average 45.5 points per game.

The Mustangs have seen the total go OVER in four of their last five games this season.

The OVER is 5-3 in the Panthers' last eight games played as a road underdog.

This game has the makings of an all-time ACC classic between two top offenses. We're expecting a shootout.

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We like the South Alabama Jaguars to defeat the Georgia Southern Eagles on Saturday at 7:30pm ET for a number of reasons. Here are some of the more important ones:

USA is off back-to-back wins, covering against the spread in both . They have outscored teams 196-88 in four home games this season.

The Jaguars may be 4-4, but have proven that they can play with anybody in this conference with their great rushing attack.

Georgia Southern are just 2-6 ATS in their last eight games played away from home.

This is a huge game for the Jags to stay in the conference title race. They can't afford any hiccups, and most definitely not at home.

The Eagles are also 1-5 ATS in their last six games against SBC West Division opponents.

Two years ago when they matched up, the Jags took home the win (38-31) on the road.

South Alabama is now at home and we're making them our #1 SBC Game Of The Year this weekend.

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We like the Washington Commanders to defeat the Chicago Bears on Sunday at 4:25pm ET for a number of reasons. Here are some of the more important ones:

Jayden Daniels got injured during last weeks game for Washington. He will be missed for this weeks matchup. But, Marcus Mariota came in and dominated in his place. He threw for 205 yards on 18/23 and two touchdowns. He also rushed for 34 yards. The injury has already caused a line move and we don't believe that it's as big as some people think.

Over their last ten games against one another, Washington have won eight of them and covered ATS in seven of them.

The Commanders have been great all season and are 5-0-1 ATS in their last six games.

Chicago are 1-4 in their last five games against NFC East division opponents.

Let us not forget that Caleb Williams (Bears quarterback) is still a rooking himself. Chicago had a bye last week, but are still coming off a game in Europe.

Washington is good enough to keep rolling offensively. We see them winning this game outright on Sunday.

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We like the Buffalo Bills to defeat the Seattle Seahawks on Sunday at 4:05pm ET for a number of reasons. Here are some of the more important ones:

Seattle got back to their winning ways last week. But, this is will be a completely different game than last week. Buffalo is now a Super Bowl contending opponent with the new signing of Amari Cooper.

The Buffalo Bills are 5-1 ATS in their last six games against teams in the NFL West Division.

The Bills are also 7-1 in their last eight against the NFC conference.

Seattle are just 2-6-1 ATS over their last nine games since last season.

No DK Metcalf today for Seattle. That's a huge blow considering that he's a big part in their offense. That should help Buffalo slow down the pass.

The Bills have some cushion in their division right now. But, they are pushing for that #1 seed and every win matters. We expect them to be at their best today.

AAA Sports

We like the Colorado State Rams to defeat the New Mexico Lobos on Saturday at 5:00pm ET for a number of reasons. Here are some of the more important ones:

CSU have now won back to back games against a very solid 5-2 SJST team and on the road against Air Force. They will be back at home this weekend where they have a 3-1 record.

New Mexico have played well on offense over these past few weeks and have gotten wins. But, over those three games/wins, they've allowed 122 total points which is 40.66 a game.

The Rams have allowed an average of just 21.5 points per game at home this season.

Colorado State also loves to play against New Mexico. In fact, they've won 12 straight meetings against them while covering versus the spread in ten of them.

New Mexico are just 4-16 SU in their last 20 games vs conference opponents (MWC.)

We believe that Colorado State will slow down the offense of UNM and outscore them quite easily today. Lay the small number.

AAA Sports

We like the Connecticut Huskies to defeat the Rice Owls on Saturday at 3:30pm ET for a number of reasons. Here are some of the more important ones:

Rice held their own last week against Tulane for the most part. But, they still ended up losing by double digits after getting shutout 14-0 in the fourth.

UCONN has really reached another level after being one of the worst teams in the nation really from 2016 until this year (2022 was an outlier as they won six games and got into a bowl.) They are 4-3 this season and seek their eighth bowl game in team history.

The Huskies have a great rushing attack, which is one thing that the Owls don't do so well against.

Rice's pass defense is their strength, but UCONN will find other ways to gain yards and score points as they've done throughout the year.

The Huskies are 6-3 SU/ATS over their last nine games since last year. They also won and covered the spread in the only meeting between these teams last season.

UCONN averages more than 10 more points a game than Rice does.

We're backing the better offensive team, at home, to win big and expose this weak Rice team. It's our #1 CFB Game Of The Year on the UCONN Huskies.

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We like the Texas Tech Red Raiders @ TCU Horned Frogs to finish OVER the total on Saturday at 3:30pm ET for a number of reasons. Here are some of the more important ones:

Texas Tech got exposed last week as they allowed 59 points to a 3-4 Baylor team. Note that the Red Raiders were at home in that game.

TCU didn't score much last week. But, they didn't have to. They are still averaging more than 32 points per game this season with Texas Tech averaging more than 38 a game.

Both the defenses have tough times against good offenses. They both rank in the bottom 40 of the FBS in points allowed a game.

They also both have seen more OVER's than UNDER's this season so far.

TCU has played two similar matchups earlier on this year against two ACC opponents in SMU and UCF. Both games saw a bunch of points put up on the scoreboard.

The total is high, but we think it should be higher. We expect both teams to put up huge offensive numbers with this being such a big conference game and the final score to go OVER the total.

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We like the Ohio Bobcats to defeat the Buffalo Bulls on Saturday at 12:00pm ET for a number of reasons. Here are some of the more important ones:

Last season, the Bulls won just three games overall (3-9 record.) They are improved. But, they won't be winning too many more games, particularly on the road.

Ohio have won the last six games at home between these two schools.

Buffalo was at home last week and gave up 48 points to Western Michigan. Now, they are on the road again for this one.

In their last 15 home games, the Bobcats have won 14 of them.

The Bulls have the 18th worst offense in the FBS this season (per total yards each game.)

With history showing that the home team dominates when these two teams play each other, we're backing the Bobcats to win this game by double digits in an early Saturday game.

AAA Sports

We like the Georgia Southern Eagles @ Old Dominion Monarchs game to finish UNDER the total on Thursday at 7:00pm ET for a number of reasons. Here are some of the more important ones:

GASO and ODU have both seen more UNDER's than OVER's so far this season.

In their two meetings against each other (all-time,) both of them have finished UNDER the total.

Old Dominion is only averaging 23.1 points per game this season. As the slight favorite, they are expected to win this game.

Both teams have seen less than 50 points in each of their last two games played.

The Monarchs have seen the total has go UNDER in 8 of their last 11 games played vs. opponents in the East Division of the Sun Belt Conference.

In a winnable game for both sides, this should be a defensive battle on Thursday night.

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We like the Arizona Cardinals to defeat the Los Angeles Chargers on Monday for a number of reasons. Here are some of the more important ones:

Even with Marvin Harrison Jr in question (concussion) for this game, we believe that the value is on the home team. Harrison actually ranks fourth on the team in receptions this year. Obviously his presence helps. But, even without the star rooking wide receiver, Arizona has weapons.

The Cardinals have had a very tough schedule to open up this season. They are battle tested and are ready to take on a Chargers team that hasn't faced much competition other than the Chiefs/Steelers.

In their last game against each other, it was a hard fought game with Arizona covering the spread.

Arizona's defense might not be as strong as they would like this season. But, their offense has been solid. LAC ranks in the bottom five in passing yards per game this year.

The Cardinals also have beaten the Niners this season. That's a big win for them considering that SF made the Super Bowl last year.

We will take the three points at home. Look for the mini upset though.

AAA Sports

We like the Houston Texans/Green Bay Packers game to finish OVER the total on Sunday for a number of reasons. Here are some of the more important ones:

With Romeo Doubs/Christian Watson back last week, Jordan Love looked phenomenal. He threw for four touchdown passes in the win.

CJ Stroud looked just as strong last week. He didn't need to throw for many yards. But, he ended up with three touchdown passes himself.

Both of these offenses have plenty of quick strike ability. When one team scores, the other will want to match.

Houston allowed 21 points last week to a poor New England offense that ranks second last in the NFL in points per game. Just think what a team ranked in the top 10 (Green Bay) could do.

Green Bay has seen the total go OVER in 10 of their last 15 games.

Although the last meeting between these teams went UNDER, they still ended up with 55 points (line was 55.5.)

This is a banged up Houston defense with their "leader" Azeez Al-Shaair battling a knee injury. If he's able to go this week, we don't expect him to be 100%.

We're looking for a high scoring game this Sunday in what should be one of the matchups of the week that everyone wants to watch. The play is on the OVER. Get in on it fast because the line could go up!

AAA Sports

We like the Central Florida Knights @ Iowa State Cyclones game to finish UNDER the total at 7:30pm ET on Saturday for a number of reasons. Here are some of the more important ones:

After beginning the season with three straight wins, the Knights have gone the other way having lost now three in a row. They've scored just 47 total points over those past three games (15.66 per game.)

Iowa State's defense ranks among the nations best allowing just 285.3 yards per game so far this season which is 15th best in the FBS. The Cyclones also rank tied for fifth in the FBS in points allowed per game (11.0.)

UCF have seen four of their last five games played on the road stay UNDER the total. ISU have seen 10 of their last 13 games played at home stay UNDER the total.

These teams have never played against each other and might take a while to get used to the style's of one another.

The Knights will try and pound the rock in this game. That will cause the clock to be constantly running.

All signs point towards a low scoring conference matchup.

AAA Sports

We like the Michigan Wolverines to defeat the Illinois Fighting Illini on Saturday for a number of reasons. Here are some of the more important ones:

Michigan have had it's ups and downs this season. They are clearly not the team they were last season. They are still a top team in the country though.

Illinois has been impressive this year. But, they allowed 49 points last week to a 1-5 Purdue team while playing at home. That's concerning.

Michigan still are 18-2 over their last 20 games overall and 11-1 over their last 12 games played on the road.

Illinois are just 1-9-1 ATS in their last 11 games played at home on a Saturday.

Michigan have also won six of the past seven meetings between the two sides, when playing at Memorial Stadium in Illinois.

The Fighting Illini are 2-4 ATS in their last six games played at home as an underdog.

Off the bye week, look for the Wolverines to be well prepared this week after a sad double-digit loss vs. Washington. We will back Michigan on Saturday.

AAA Sports

We like the Cincinnati Bengals to defeat the New York Giants on Sunday for a number of reasons. Here are some of the more important ones:

We all know that the Bengals are much better than their 1-4 record. With another divisional game @Cleveland up next week, and a date against Philly the week after, this is a huge game for Cincinnati.

Averaging 28.0 points per game, the Bengals are in the top five in the NFL.

The Giants average just 17.8 points per game which is bottom five in the NFL.

NYG are 0-2 at home this season, being outscored 48 to 21 in those two games.

Cincinnati have one of the best receiving cores in football. They will be able to outscore the Giants this weekend.

In Primetime, we will give the heavy edge to Joe Burrow over Daniel Jones.

Malik Nabers should be back, but that will not be enough for the Giants. They are just 1-3 when he is in the lineup this season.

Burrow/Chase should be heavily motivated to beat Nabers as they are all former LSU players.

The Bengals covered the spread in their last meeting back in 2020. Expect them to do the same thing in 2024.

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We like the Marshall Thundering Herd @ Georgia Southern Eagles game to finish OVER the total on Saturday for a number of reasons. Here are some of the more important ones:

As the favorites in this game, we expect Marshall to win. In their wins this season, they are averaging 41.33 points per game.

GASO are averaging 31.6 points per game themselves and have put up 38+ in three out of five games this season.

In their last five home games, the Eagles have seen the total go OVER in four of them.

Georgia Southern have also seen the total go OVER in four of their last five divisional games inside of the Sun Belt (East.)

Their latest meeting last season finished with 71 total points (38-33.)

Both teams give up a bunch of points as well as scoring. They rank #110 and #111 in points allowed per game out of 133 FBS teams.

After putting up lots of points in wins in their last games, they'll want to keep it up this week.

All signs points towards an OVER. Get the best line you can.

AAA Sports

We like the North Texas Mean Green to defeat the Florida Atlantic Owls on Saturday for a number of reasons. Here are some of the more important ones:

North Texas has one of the most explosive offenses in the nation, averaging 518.6 total yards per game, 348.6 passing yards per game and 40.8 points per game.

FAU average more than 160 yards less per game than the Mean Green. While the Owls have been good against the pass, they've yet to play a pass attack nearly as strong as this.

Over their last nine games, since last season, Florida Atlantic are just 2-6-1 against the spread. North Texas are 5-2 against the spread over their last seven games.

UNT have dominated in the month of October in the past. They own a perfect 10-0 ATS record over their last 10 games played in October.

Since both teams had their bye weekend in week 6, neither team gets a rest advantage.

North Texas' offense will be too much for FAU to handle and this could get ugly on Saturday. Lay the points.

AAA Sports

We like the Wyoming Cowboys to defeat the San Diego State Aztecs on Saturday for a number of reasons. Here are some of the more important ones:

Wyoming has covered ATS in back to back home games against the Aztecs

San Diego State are just 1-6 SU in their last seven games played on the road.

In their last five games vs. conference opponents (MWC,) the Cowboys have covered the spread in four of them.

Even though Wyoming come into this game with a poor 1-4 record, they looked strong a couple of weeks and should be able to carry momentum into this week.

The Aztecs had to travel to Hawaii last weekend and now they travel to Wyoming. That's a lot for a college program.

With Wyoming fresh off the bye week, we expect them to keep rolling on Saturday.

AAA Sports

We like the Denver Broncos to defeat the Las Vegas Raiders on Saturday for a number of reasons. Here are some of the more important ones:

Denver will win this game with their defense that's allowing an average of just 13.8 points per game, ranking 3rd in the NFL. They are also third in total yards and passing yards allowed per game.

The Raiders will not have Davante Adams again this week. Zamir White is also out, with Maxx Crosby questionable.

With White out, the Raiders should struggle even more on the ground. They currently rank second last in rush yards per game.

Minshew hasn't been great this year either. Last week he had just 130 yards through the air.

Denver at home should be able to control the tempo of this game. They are the favorites for good reason this afternoon.

We also give the edge to the Broncos head coaching. Sean Payton is one of the best in the business.

Along with their stellar pass defense, Denver have allowed just 155 rush yards over the past two weeks. That an average of just 77.5 per game.

With the Broncos having won back to back games, we expect them to keep rolling this weekend.

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We like the Arizona Wildcats to defeat the Texas Tech Red Raiders for a number of reasons. Here are some of the most important ones.

Texas Tech comes into this game having lost their lone road game this season by a score of 37-16 against Washington State.

After last week's gigantic win against Utah (23-10 on the road,) this Arizona team is filled with confidence.

Texas Tech has allowed 309.4 passing yards per game this season which happens to be third worst in FBS. Arizona averages 265.0 passing yards per game which ranks T-40 with Alabama.

Arizona has won the only matchup between these teams of all time. The score was 28-14 in 2019.

With a game at BYU next weekend, the Wildcats will need to make sure they win this game, as they more than likely will be an underdog in that game.

We're backing the home favorite on Saturday night. The play is on Arizona.

AAA Sports

We like the Duke Blue Devils @ Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets to stay UNDER the total on Saturday for a number of reasons. Here are some of the more important ones:

The Blue Devils enter this game as nearly a double digit underdog despite being 5-0. That should tell you something about the Yellow Jackets defense.

Both Duke and Georgia Tech have seen more UNDER's than OVER's this season so far.

Georgia Tech ranks 18th in FBS allowing just 90.2 rushing yards per game. Duke ranks 18th in FBS in passing defense allowing just 155.8 yards through the air a game.

Both of the past two meetings between Duke/GT have stayed UNDER the total.

The UNDER is also 7-2 in their last nine matchups against each other when Georgia Tech is the home favorite.

We are expecting a game featuring a lot of punts in this game on Saturday. Look for these teams to stay UNDER the total.

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We like the Ohio State Buckeyes to defeat the Iowa Hawkeyes on Saturday for a number of reasons. Here are some of the most important ones:

The Buckeyes are title contenders whilst the Hawkeyes are not.

Iowa relies on their rush attack to gain yards. Ohio State's got one of the best rushing defenses in the entire country, allowing just 61.8 yards on the ground per game.)

Ohio State have never lost as a home favorite against Iowa. They are 8-0 SU / 6-2 ATS in those games.

The Hawkeyes are only 2-4 ATS over their last six games dating back to last season.

In their last 17 games played in the month of October, the Buckeyes are 13-3-1 ATS.

Jeremiah Smith is the best receiving prospect out of high-school in the Top247 era (since 2000.) Him and Emeka Egbuka will dominate against a much weaker Iowa pass defense.

All in all, this will be a blowout. Ohio State rolls on Saturday.

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We like the Seattle Seahawks vs Detroit Lions to go Over for a number of reasons. Here are some of the most important ones.

We won with the under when the Lions played on primetime in Week 1. This is a far lower total though as that one was in the 50s. 

The Lions are averaging 399.7 yards per game, top 5 in the NFL. 

The Seahawks have scored 23 or more points in all 3 of their games. Since last year, they have scored 20 or more points in 7 straight games.

These teams faced each other last September and combined for 68 points. They also faced each other twice in 2022 and those games finished with 90 and 93 points! 

The over is the play! 

AAA Sports

We like the Baltimore Ravens to defeat the Buffalo Bills for a number of reasons. Here are some of the most important ones.

With a 1-2 record and with Pittsburgh already 3-0, the Ravens need this game more than the Bills. They could have won both of their losses. Last week's win at Dallas now has them moving in the right direction.

The Ravens final score last week makes it seem close but that's only because Dallas came back at the end when the game should have been over. Baltimore dominated for 3 quarters and finished the game with a 274-51 edge in rushing yards.

The Ravens offense averages 6.6 yards per play, the best mark in the NFL. The Ravens average 430 yards per game, also most in the NFL.

The Bills want to run and the Ravens are great at being able to stop the run. Baltimore has allowed just 2.8 yards per carry, the fewest in the NFL by far.

The Bills are playing on a short week. Monday's game versus Jacksonville may have been easy but it still means less preparation time.

Home field advantage can't be discounted. The Ravens were 6-3 at home last year. The Bills were 4-4 on the road.

Lay the short number. Baltimore is the play.

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We like the Chicago Bears to defeat the LA Rams for a number of reasons. Here are some of the most important ones.

The Bears won their only home game. The Rams are thousands of miles away from LA.

Caleb Williams passed for 363 yards last week. He hopes to have Keenan Allen back this week.

Stafford is missing Cooper Kupp, Puka Nacua and Tyler Higbee.

Chicago's defense is allowing 286.7 yards per game. The Rams defense is allowing 425.7 yards per game, worst in the NFL. No other NFL team is allowing 400.

The play is Chicago
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We like Oregon vs Ucla to go Over the total for a number of reasons. Here are some of the most important ones:

The total is low. The last time these teams faced each other, the o/u line was 70.5.

The Ducks have the capability of going over this low total all by themselves. Oregon has scored progressively more every week and managed 49 points (and 546 yards) last game.

Oregon QB Dillon Gabriel leads the country with an 84% completion percentage. He's the only FBS QB above the 80% mark. The dual threat Gabriel can also beat teams with his legs.

UCLA has given up 76 points the last 2 games alone. UCLA QB Ethan Garbers threw for a career-high 281 yards with two touchdowns in his last game.

The last 4 meetings had scores of 45-30, 34-31, 38-35 and 42-21. All went over. 8 of the last 9 meetings have finished with at least 56. The over is the play.

We like UTSA plus the points against East Carolina for a number of reasons. Here are some of the most important ones:

The Roadrunners have had a difficult early schedule. They played road games at Texas State and Texas. They won't be intimidated by this setting and they will be determined to improve on their 0-2 road record.

The Roadrunners brought back 14 starters from a team which went 9-4 in 2023. The road games in the state of Texas didnt go well but this is still one of the stronger teams in the AAC.

The Pirates are improved from last year but they had a long way to go as they were 2-10. They're now 4-12 the past 2 years.

Last year, UTSA beat this team 41-27. The Roadrunners were -18. Now they are an underdog! That's too big a swing considering that most UTSA players are back.

East Carolina just suffered a devastating loss, their 2nd straight. Two weeks ago, the Pirates lost by 2 points to App State. Last week, they waited out a weather delay for hours many only to blow a big lead in a loss at Liberty. Those losses will hurt them this week.

We're going to take the points but frankly we don't expect to need them. The play is UTSA!

AAA Sports.

We like Rutgers to defeat Washington for a number of reasons. Here are some of the most important ones.

This isn't anywhere close to the Washington team from last season. The Huskies lost a lot and are in rebuilding mode.

The Knights have their best team in years. They are experienced on both sides of the ball. 

The line is low. Each of the Knights' last 11 victories has come by at least 3 points. 

A well-coached team, Rutgers wins the games it is supposed to. The Knights are 12-0 SU and 9-3 ATS their last 12 as favorites. 

This is a massive game for the Knights, a nationally televised weekday game against a team which played for the national title last year. Playing at SHI Stadium will provide a big edge. 

With a chance to go 4-0 on the line, Rutgers will make this game. The Knights experience and home-field advantage will make the difference.

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We like the New York Giants plus the points against Dallas for a number of reasons. Here are some of the most important ones:

The Giants have gotten better each week. They were blown out. Then they suffered a very competitive loss. Last week, they broke through with a win.

The Cowboys are going the wrong direction. Since winning their first game, they've lost 2 in a row.

The Cowboys aren't running the ball well and that puts pressure on Prescott. They rank 30th in the NFL with an average of 73.7 rushing yards per game.

This is a lot of points. Both teams have already had a game decided by a field goal.

The Giants have a score to settle. The Cowboys have been making them look silly these past few years and the Giants have had enough of it. Last year's home opening 40-0 primetime loss is still fresh in their memories. They believe they are finally catching Dallas at the right time. Daniel Jones: "We understand what this game means, and we'll be ready to go."

This game will be nothing like the game here last September. The determined home underdog will give the visitors everything they can handle. The play is New York.

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We like Cincinnati and Washington under on Monday night for a number of reasons. Here are some of the most important ones.

The Bengals are averaging only 17.5 points. The Commanders are averaging just 20.5 points. 

The Bengals offense is averaging just 272 yards per game. Their defense is allowing only 288 yards per game. 

Burrow threw for only 201 yards and 1 touchdown in his only previous game vs. Washington. The final score was 20-9. 

Washington is running the ball more than most teams in the league and they rank #3 in rushing yards per game. Those running plays keep the clocking ticking. 

The total is high. The play is the under. 

AAA Sports.

We like the Detroit Lions to defeat the Arizona Cardinals for a number of reasons. Here are some of the most important ones:

1. We believe that the Lions are more talented on both sides of the ball. They are 5-1 ATS their last 6 as road favorites.

2. The Lions won the NFC North with a 12-5 record last year. Arizona was last in the NFL West with a 4-13 record.

3. Due to Arizona playing better than expected so far, we get the Lions at a lower line than we would have prior to the season.

4. The Lions lost last week. They were a perfect 5-0 both SU and ATS after a loss last season. All five wins were by 5 or more points and they came by an average of more than 13 points.

5. Arizona won last week. The Cardinals were 0-4 after a win last season. Three of the four losses came by 5 or more.

The Lions have thrived when off a loss and when in the role of road favorites. They will win and cover this small number.

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We like the Chargers and Steelers to go over for a number of reasons. Here are some of the most important ones:

1. The total is very low, the lowest of any Week 3 game. It has dropped lower since it was released and that's providing strong line value. 

2. The Chargers just scored 26 points last game and that was when they took their foot off the gas in the 2nd half.

3. The Steelers offense has struggled but both their games were on the road against strong defensive teams. The Chargers defense has also been strong but playing Carolina helped pad the stats. Playing at home should help the Steelers. 

4. Fields now has a couple of games under his belt with the Steelers and his confidence is growing. Herbert has an ankle injury but is pushing to play. If Easton Stick is forced to play, we feel that he'll outperform expectations. 

5. The last meeting (2021) finished with 88 points and the last 7 meetings have all produced at least 41 points.

The defenses have played well but this total is still too low. The offenses will be better than people expect. The play is on the over. 

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We like the Colorado Buffaloes to defeat the Baylor Bears for a number of reasons. Here are some of the most important ones:

1. The line is low enough that we don't have to worry about covering a large spread. In what could be a close game, that's important. The Buffaloes have already shown that they can win the close ones.

2. Even if you don't like Coach Sanders, he has turned this team around. They were drastically improved last year and this year's team is stronger yet again.

3. Baylor is 0-1 on the road. Colorado is 1-0 at home. This is the Buffaloes' homecoming game, as it coincides with Colorado's return to the Big 12.

4. Looking at the schedule, this is a game that the Buffaloes need to take advantage if they plan to reach the six-win mark to get to a bowl.

5. Shedeur Sanders ranks among the top quarterbacks in the country, ranking fifth with 999 passing yards. He has thrown nine touchdown passes against only two interceptions. He gives the Buffaloes an edge at the all-important QB position, ahead of Baylor's Dequan Finn or Sawyer Robertson.

Coach Sanders will have the Buffaloes playing their best and will come away with the victory on homecoming day. Colorado is the play.

AAA Sports

We like South Alabama and Appalachian State to finish over the total for a number of reasons. Here are some of the most important ones:

1. The total might seem high but South Alabama just scored 87 points in its last game.

2. The Jaguars are averaging 512.3 yards of offense per game and 48.3 points.

3. The Jaguars can score but their defense can be really bad. They gave up 52 points and 550 yards in their loss to North Texas. They returned only 3 defensive starters from last year.

4. Appalachian State has had some great defenses but this doesn't seem to be one of them. The Mountaineers gave up 66 against Clemson and are allowing 31.7 points and 447 yards per game.

5. The Mountaineers scored 38 points in their only home game. Playing a home game on ESPN against a leaky South Alabama defense, they will be motivated to put up a large number.

This will be a fast-paced game with a lot of big plays. We expect both teams to put up huge offensive numbers and the final score to go over the total.

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The Bears managed the 24-17 home win over a "work in progress" Tennessee team in Week 1, but now here on the road in Week 2, we're expecting Chicago to stumble. Houston enters off a big 29-27 division road win over Indianapolis. It was a tough opening game and the Texans found a way to win. They will be sky high for their home opener and we just can't see the Bears' offense keeping pace with CJ Stroud and company. Chicago QB Caleb Williams was just 14 of 29 for 93 yards (a league low) in the Bears' victory in Week 1, while Stroud was 24 of 32 for 234 yards and two TD's. The Bears were fortunate to get some defensive and special teams points but they can't rely on that. Chicago hasn't traveled well these past few years and now they've got a rookie QB making his first road start. Chicago has also failed to cover the spread in seven of its last eight road games following a SU victory. Look for Stroud and the Texans to get the job done with a statement home victory in front of the national audience.

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New Orleans dismantled Carolina 47-10 at home, but now hitting the road for the first time to face this talented Dallas defense, we're expecting a completely difference pace and tempo from the visitors. Dallas returns home off a successful 33-17 win over the Browns, and we also think that the Cowboys will be looking to protect the ball better here and establish the run game throughout. Add up these game plans and you have a contest that's decided by field position and in the trenches. With the high-scoring Week 1 results, this is an extra high o/u line. We feel that these are two of the best defenses in football. New Orleans was just 4-5 on the road last year, while Dallas was 8-0 at home. Let's not overreact to Saints' QB Derek Carr's performance. Throwing for three TD's and only 200 yards looks good on paper, but then we remember who they were playing in Week 1. It's going to be significantly more difficult here vs. the Cowboys, who looked really good in shutting down DeShaun Watson and company. The Under is the play!

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We really respect both these defenses but this total is too low. Last year's game had a total of 46.5 and Georgia exceeded that all by itself. The final score was 51-13. The Bulldogs already had 34 by halftime and could have scored more in the 2nd half if Kentucky had forced them to do. Even a really good defense can't stop the powerful Bulldogs. Georgia is already averaging better than 40 points per game. Kentucky just gave up 31 points to South Carolina last week. This year, at least the Wildcats play at home which means they should have more success in remaining competitive. They also have a new offensive coordinator in Bush Hamdan with a mandate to have a faster paced offense. The Bulldogs could go over this number again by themselves. But they won't need to, Kentucky is going to be helping to get this final score over the total. The play is the over!

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San Jose State is 2-0 and we feel it's going to get caught "looking past" its lowly opponent to its big road game at Washington State next week. A large part of that stems from the fact that the Spartans are off an emotional upset road win over Air Force last week. That wasn't just any victory as it came against a service academy and SJ State coach Ken Niumatalolo coached at Navy for 15 years. This is still a young Spartan team with a new coaching staff. Last weekend Kennesaw State fell 34-10 to Louisiana-Lafayette, with Davis Bryson going 9 of 13 for 93 yards. We've got Louisiana ranked a lot higher than SJ State though. The Owls are an experienced team and now they have a couple of FBS games under their belts. We feel they're flying under the radar and providing great value as substantial underdog. They easily covered the spread in their first road game, at 12 point loss at UTSA. We've also got UTSA ranked a lot higher than SJ State The Spartans don't possess a potent offense and that makes covering a large number like this difficult. Should they manage to get up by a couple of scores, they may take their foot off the gas in the second half as they begin to prepare for their big contest the following week. Grab the points, the play is Kennesaw State!

Many think UNLV is a sexy "dark-horse" pick to qualify for the CFP in January, and while that may or may not go on to be true, we do expect the Rebels to keep their recent offensive momentum rolling here against a Kansas team that's looking to rebound from an upset 23-17 loss at Illinois as a five-point favorite. Before that game, Kansas had scored 48 or more in 3 straight. These teams played last year and the Jayhawks won 49-36 on Boxing Day. It was a complete shootout and all signs point to another high-scoring affair here in our opinion as well. That game had a total of 65. This lower one is giving a lot of value. UNLV is off a 72-14 victory over Utah Tech and is playing a very up-tempo brand of football. With both teams putting up big numbers, we think for sure this Week 3 matchup has "over" written all over it as well!

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Plenty of reasons for us to like the over here. Buffalo's defense looked shaky in last week's 34-28 home win over the Cardinals. Josh Allen was great against the Dolphins last year, completing 81 percent of his passes while averaging 340 yards passing per game. He also averaged 42 yards per game rushing. Despite winning 20-17 last weekend, the Dolphins still allowed the Jags to rush for the seventh-most rushing yards last weekend. Keep in mind that 3 of the past 4 meetings have finished with more than 60 points. Each offense looked "rusty" in the first half, and each looked a lot better in the second. We look for that offensive trend to carry over here on Thursday with the final score finishing with more than 50 points.

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We have a great Monday night matchup to open the season and in our opinion, everything points to this total flying "over" the number as the game comes down the stretch. I just a real common sense play here, as New York will be looking to get the most out of its 40-year-old investment under center. Aaron Rodgers will also feel he has something to prove this season obviously. These teams haven't played since 2020, and the 49ers won that contest by a score of 31-13 in New Jersey. We're definitely expecting a much more competitive game this time around. Rodgers has plenty of weapons to utilize, including Breece Hall and Garrett Wilson. The defense though is going to be tested facing Brock Purdy and Christian McCaffrey at home. San Francisco's last 10 home games have all finished over the 40 mark and 4 of the past 5 (and 7 of the 10) finished with 44 or more. Admittedly these are two good defenses, but in our opinion, everything points to these two dynamic quarterbacks "stealing the headlines." SF cannot be stopped and NY will have to score to keep up. This number has fallen from when it came out, right past the key number of 44, is low. Over is the play.

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Whenever the LA Rams and Detroit Lions get together, the focus turns to the two veteran QB's. Detroit got Jared Goff, who led his team to an NFC Championship last year, while LA got Matt Stafford, who led the Rams to a Super Bowl championship in his first season. The last time these teams met was in January, the final score was 24-23. The last time these teams met in the regular season was back in 2021 and the Rams won 28-19 at home. We're expecting a similar hard-fought and ultimately lower-scoring battle (relative to the very high total) here as well. Detroit is 8-1 in its last nine at home and the last thing it'll want to do here is to try and turn this into a "shootout" against Stafford. We're expecting Detroit to get Goff to be a game manager here and to control the tempo of this one. We should also mention that the Lions secondary is much improved from the last time that the Rams saw it. It was a weakness last year but will be a strength this season. With each offense getting out to a tentative start like we suspect, we're expecting this total to fall "under" the big number once it's all said and done!

Both teams have more questions than answers heading into the 2024/25 season, but we say that Atlanta will find a way to get the job done in Week 1 at home. Both teams looked poor in the preseason, going 0-3. But, let's not read TOO much into those results. We just have very little faith in this Steelers' offense and in beleaguered and banged-up veteran QB Russell Wilson. With Wilson iffy with a calf issues, we're also not sold on Justin Fields, who Wilson had already beaten to earn the Week 1 start, prior to his injury. The Steelers finished 10-7 last year, but that was only good enough for third place in the AFC North. Atlanta was 7-10 and missed the playoffs, but with Kirk Cousins ready to go, Wilson/Fields will have difficulties keeping pace. Tomlin remains a great coach but the Falcons are the more complete team entering the season. Lay the points, the play is indeed on Atlanta!

The weight of expectations weighs heavy on Josh Allen and the Bills this year. A matchup right out of the gate this year with the Arizona Cardinals provides a great opportunity to start the season with a victory. This is a difficult place to play. In our estimation, the home-field advantage will prove to be a huge difference-maker for Buffalo and the final outcome of this contest once it's all said and done. Kyler Murray missed nine games last year, but the Cardinals are still hoping he'll be able to finally "find himself" here in his third year. They drafted WR Marvin Harrison Jr., which will for sure help in the long-term but will still need some time to develop any real meaningful chemistry. The Cards were terrible defensively as well, allowing 26.8 PPG, second-worst in the league. Allen is back, So to is RB James Cook. With several injuries to Arizona's starting defense to open the season, we expect Allen to find a way to not only win this game but to do so in convincing fashion; lay the points, the play is Buffalo!

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This game is being played in Brazil, the first ever NFL game in South America. These types of scenarios often have a way of leading to more of a defensive lower-scoring outcome, due to the unfamiliarity of their surroundings. We have two really good QB's going head-to-head here, but we're expecting each side to put an added emphasis onto establishing the run game while on offense. That helps take pressure off their defense and to keep the opposing QB on the bench. It also keeps the clock moving. Keep in mind that this is a very high total, much higher than the total of 46 that these teams had when they last faced each. Three of GB's last four games finished with 45 or less. The Eagles last 2 games finished with 41 or less. They'll score but not enough to surpass this high line. We're on the "under!"

With a spread like this, the oddsmakers clearly believe that these two sides are evenly matched, and for the most part they are. They're very familiar with each other. Baltimore does play with "revenge" here after losing 17-10 in the Playoffs last year, but note that Patrick Mahomes and Travis Kelce are 3-1 in the regular season vs. Baltimore. Last year KC failed to cover the spread, and in fact lost outright at home as 4-point favorites to the Lions in Week 1 and they'll be looking to avoid another upset this season. One big note though, Kelce did not play in that Week 1 game last year, but he will be this season. Yes, Baltimore did add RB Derrick Henry to their line-up, but he'll need some time to adjust. We feel that this one sets up really well for KC; lay the points, the play is indeed on Kansas City!

After their national embarrassment in Week 0, the Seminoles have a lot of work to do to get back into the CFP talk. Florida State did inexplicably fall to Georgia Tech 24-21 as a ten-point favorite, but we're expecting the home side to keep the foot on the gas from start to finish. Florida State also won't have forgotten its incredibly "close call" vs. Boston College last year, holding on for the 31-29 victory as a 27.5-point favorite. Last week's loss was in Dublin, so perhaps that really did have an effect on FSU. This is Boston College's first game of the year and its first game with Bill O'Brien as head coach. DJ Uiagalelei only had 173 yards last week, but we anticipate him moving the ball much more effectively here at home. Thomas Castellanos is a competent dual-threat QB for BC, but he owns just a 57.1 completion percentage. The moral of the story?! Let's not overreact to one bad performance. We're laying the points on FLORIDA STATE on Monday night!

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10* Wyoming (NON-CONF GOM)

We're not predicting an outright win or anything, but we think that Wyoming will comfortably cover with the larger spread that it has been afforded in this one. Last year the Cowboys went 9-4 overall, including 7-5-1 ATS, while Arizona State was 3-9 SU and 5-6-1 ATS. Wyoming has a new head coach in Jay Sawvel, who was the defensive coordinator last year. The Cowboys were third in the MWC in stopping the run and overall they conceded just 22.9 PPG. The offense revolves around the run game and Harrison Waylee. Evan Svoboda gets the call under center and he'll be looking to bring balance to this Wyoming offense this season. Arizona State makes its debut as a Big 12 Football school. ASU only averaged 17.8 PPG last year so it went out and got Michigan State transfer Sam Leavitt, who has decent receivers, but a new offensive line. It's going to take him some time to get used to his new team, and that leaves the door here open for Wyoming down the stretch; grab the points, the play is indeed on the Cowboys!

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10* UNDER 49ers/Chiefs (TOM)

Two great offenses. Two great defenses. Honestly, it would not be difficult for us to write a convincing argument for this to be a high-scoring game, but for a number of different reasons we are expecting Super Bowl 58 to be a very defensive affair. San Francisco averages 28.9 PPG, which ranks third, while allowing 17.5, which ranks third as well. Kansas City only averages 21.8 PPG though, which is 15th overall. The big news for the Chiefs in the postseason and throughout the regular season as well though has been their tough defensive play, as they enter the big game conceding 17.3, ranked second in the league. Despite having Patrick Mahomes under center, the last thing that KC wants to do here is to turn this into a "track meet" with the hungry 49ers. Instead they'll look to suffocate this offense and control the clock. Mahomes won't feel nearly as much pressure as his counterpart and should expertly be able to "control" the pace of this one. In our opinion Super Bowl 58 will be decided in the trenches and by field position and in a contest like that, the "under" becomes the savvy call as far as the total is concerned!

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10* 49ers (BLOCKBUSTER)

It's been an unreal year for the Lions this season. We think that for the most part they've overachieved now to this point. But for the 49ers, they were fully expected to be here before the season started. As great as Jared Goff and Detroit has been at times this year, this is just a bad matchup for the Lions. This San Francisco defense is tailor-made for this type of offense. And the Lions have struggled to contain strong run games this year, which also plays directly into the home side's hands. We're not only expecting San Francisco to win this game, we're looking for it to do so in blowout fashion; lay the points, the play is indeed on San Francisco!

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10* Chiefs/Ravens UNDER (BLOCKBUSTER)

Although this game definitely features two of the best QB's on Earth right now, we're expecting this contest to be won in the trenches and by field position. Whichever team establishes the run and looks after the football is going to come out on top. Each offense will be doing its best to limit the time the other unit is on the field, and that means establishing the run game throughout. The Chiefs beat the Fish 26-7 in the Wildcard at home, before holding on for the 27-24 win at Buffalo last weekend. We're anticipating more of a defensive lower-scoring battle like the Chiefs participated in the Wildcard. Baltimore held the Texans to just ten points, and the Chiefs' sub-par offense could be in trouble on the road here as well. In our opinion, this number is indeed high, so the play is the "under!" 

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10* UNDER Chiefs/Bills (BLOOD-BATH)

These teams played in Kansas City back on December 10th and the Bills won a tight and lower-scoring battle by a score of 20-17. Will the Chiefs get their revenge here, or will the Bills take advantage of home field and pull out another win and cover? We're not 100% sure WHO will win and cover in this game, but we're for sure absolutely expecting another lower-scoring battle. Note that KC has seen the total go "under" the number in four of its last five in trying to avenge a SU/ATS home loss as a favorite. We're expecting this one to be decided in the trenches and by field position and in a contest like that, the "under" is almost always the correct call as far as the total is concerned, and that's the case here in this divisional round matchup; in our estimation, this number is a little high, so the play is the "under!" 

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10* Lions (DIV. RND GOY)

At this point of the season, the oddsmakers lines are sharper than ever. There's only a few games left and their entire attention can be put onto these lines. It gets tougher and tougher to find any true value at this point, but in our opinion the home field advantage simply can't be overlooked as a very real deciding factor in the outcome of this contest. Both starting QB's got huge monkeys off their backs, but we just don't trust this Bucs offense on the road. The Lions are sitting pretty and poised to move on to the Conference Championship game and we're FULLY expecting the home side to not only win this game, but to do so in blowout fashion; lay the points, the play is Detroit!

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10* 49ers (BLOCKBUSTER)

Green Bay managed the huge upset win at Dallas, but we're fully expecting Jordan Love and the visitors to predictably stumble here. Love's numbers in all indoor games are just crazy, but he's very average whenever he plays outdoors. Love destroyed the Cowboys great defense, but now they face another really difficult test here on the road. Green Bay's defense was poor and its going to have its hands full here vs. this well-rested and explosive home side; lay the points, the play is San Francisco!

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10* OVER Texans/Ravens (DIV. RND TOY)

With nearly 65% of the early public money on the Texans, most everyone here feels that CJ Stroud and company can keep the offensive momentum rolling here vs. this difficult Ravens defense. And why not though, as the Browns had the No. 1 defense in the league and were just torched for 45 points. And for Baltimore, it has had the advantage of having a week off to heal up. We're expecting LaMar Jackson to keep the foot on the gas from start to finish. We base our picks on many different things, this particular one sets up really from a "situational" stand point in our opinion. Everything does indeed point to this total flying "over" the number sooner, rather than later in our opinion!

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10* OVER Eagles/Bucs (BLOCKBUSTER)

Both teams struggled down the stretch of the regular season after great starts. Regardless, here we are and in our opinion, everything points to this total flying "over" the number sooner, rather than later. This playoffs has so far been anything but predictable. The Browns had the best defense in the league and they just gave up 45 points to the Texans, while the Dolphins leds the league in total offense, and only managed 7 points vs. a sub-par Chiefs' defense. And we absolutely believe that the oddsmakers are wrong in this case as well. Philadelphia held Tampa to just 11 points in a low-scoring win here earlier in the year, but note that Tampa has in fact seen the total go "over" the number in five of its last six in trying to avenge a SU/ATS home loss vs. an opponent. This number is a little low, the play is the "over!"

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10* Rams (WC GOY)

There are a lot of story lines going on in this Wildcard game, but the bottom line is that we feel that this one will be decided by whichever team has its hands on the ball last, and in a case like that, we're grabbing the points. That said, Matt Stafford is in his old stomping grounds here and we like the Super Bowl winning QB to put on a show here. The Lions have been questionable on the defensive end since November, giving up 38, 26, 28, 29 and 28 points over their final five games. The only loss LA has had since Week 11 was an OT road affair to the #1 seed in the AFC. The Rams are 3-1 the L4 in this series and in our opinion their offense and defense are in fact superior here; grab the points, the play is LA!

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10* Dolphins (BLOCKBUSTER)

These teams are familiar with each other and in a contest that we see being decided by whichever team has its hands on the ball last, we're grabbing the points. These teams met in Germany this season and KC won by a score of 21-14. Note that Miami is 4-1 ATS in its last five in trying to avenge a SU/ATS loss vs. an opponnet. With the expected return of key players Jaylen Waddle and Raheem Mostert, we do in fact think that the Fish have a legitimate shot at winning this one outright. The Dolphins have had their fair share of adversity this season, but so to has Patrick Mahomes and the Chiefs. With the cold temperatures playing a role in the outcome of this game and eliminating the crowd a lot in this one, we feel that the Chiefs' advantage diminishes in that department for sure. There's something "off" this year with Mahomes and the Chiefs. They looked REALLY bad at times this year. The Dolphins stumbled, but have all the pieces in place to pull off the outright; that said, let's grab the points with Miami!

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10* Browns/Texans UNDER (WILDCARD RND TOY)

They say defense wins championships, and in our estimation the team that plays the best on that side of the field and wins the war in the trenches and the field position battle will be the one that comes out on top. These teams will look to establish the run throughout as to limit the mistakes their QB's can make in this pressure packed situation. The Texans won the AFC South at 10-7, while Cleveland was second in the AFC North. This is the second meeting between the teams in the last three weeks, with the Browns getting the better of the Texans by a score of 36-22 on Christmas Eve. Note though that Houston has seen the total go "under" the number in eight of its last 11 in trying to avenge a SU/ATS loss vs. an opponent. CJ Stroud didn't play in that game and while he'll be back in this one, as stated off the top, we're absolutely expecting each side to try and use the run game to set up the pass. These teams didn't get here because of their explosive offenses and unbelievable QB's. They got here because of their great defensive play. And that's what we're expecting, a lower-scoring defensive battle; the play is indeed on the "under!" 

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10* UNDER Washington/Michigan (TOW)

We think the time off between games will be detrimental to these offenses, and beneficial to the defenses early on. Note that when these teams met in 2021, the combined to score just 41 points. The Wolverines will be content throughout to let the clock run on offense as they use the run to set up the pass. This Michigan defense just held Alabama to 288 total yards of offnse in the win over the Rose Bowl and we're anticipating Michael Penix Jr. to have a hell of a time in this one as well. Everything points to this total being just a bit TOO high, so the play is the "under!"

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10* Dolphins (AFC EAST GOM)

Miami hammered the Jets 30-0 and then beat Dallas at home 22-20 on X-Mas Eve, but it fell flat last week in Baltimore, getting run over by a score of 56-19. The Dolphins not only look to atone for that setback, but they also play with the added incentive of revenge here after falling 48-20 at Buffalo on October 1st (and note that the Fish are 7-3 ATS in their last ten in trying to avenge a SU/ATS divisional road loss vs. an opponent.) The Bills have won four straight, but we now finally predict that they'll come up short here in this difficult road venue. Miami is the more motivated team here on several different accounts and we expect it to hold on to the top spot in the AFC East; grab the points, the play is Miami!

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