At 12:00 ET, my Group Stage TOY is on Denmark and Slovenia under the total. There was a plethora of scoring in the first few matches of this tournament. Sunday's clash between Denmark and Slovenia will play out much differently.

Ranked 57th, Slovenia did well to make it here. They have only 1 loss in their last 12 matches. A lot of that has been due to their ability to keep the ball out of the net. Slovenia is off a 1-1 draw versus Bulgaria but has also produced clean sheets against both Portugal (2-0) and the United States (1-0) in 2024. Scoring is going to be challenge though. The Danes can be really difficult to score against, as seen in their 0-0 draw with Switzerland back in late March. They have only conceded twice in their last 4 matched combined. Play on the Under.

At 4:10 ET, my NL Central TOY selection is on the Cincinnati Reds and Milwaukee Brewers to go over the total. The Reds entered this series having played 5 consecutive unders. That changed yesterday when they combined with the Brewers for 11 runs. The bats will be running hot again for this afternoon's game.

Neither of today's starters inspires much confidence right now. Wilson got trounced by the Tigers in his last start. He has a 8.31 ERA his last 3 starts. Abbott has been better than Wilson but still has a 5.29 ERA his last 3 starts. The Reds used up a lot of relievers in preserving yesterday's victory. The (4) 2024 meetings between these divisional rivals have now finished with 18, 14, 9 and 11 runs, an average of 13 per game. Play on the Over.

AT 8:30 ET, my NBA TOW is on Boston/Dallas Over the total. When I won with the under for my Playoff TOY in Game 1, this was still a series. The Mavericks still had hope. The total was also quite a lot higher than this one. Three straight Boston wins and 3 straight unders have killed the Mavericks' hope and brought down the total at the same time. This is the lowest total of the series but will be the highest-scoring game.

The Mavericks are 13-8-1 to the over their last 22 tries when revenging a home loss. The Celtics are 25-17 to the over, after allowing 105 points or less. Dallas games average 235.1 points when the Mavericks were off a loss compared to 225.8 when they are off a win. Play on the Over.

At 3:00pm ET. my selection is on Germany/Scotland over the total. The Scots have no pressure. They can play free and easy and have no reason to hold back. This will lead to a wide open type of match. Germany, the host country, has a great chance of exceeding this total all by itself. If they don't get 3 or more, the Germans should at least be good for 2.

Scotland, coming in looking to shock the world and supported by many of fans of their own, is stronger than people realize. Better than the previous edition, Scotland will very likely find the back of the net. Each of the past 3 h2h matches have finished with a minimum of 3 goals, the most recent producing 5. Play on the Over.

At 8:00 ET, my NHL Playoff TOY is on the Over in Game 3 of the Stanley Cup Finals. The 2 games in Florida were both won by the Panthers. Each of them stayed under the posted total. Now the series shifts to Canada. The change of rinks will bring a different style of game and that means more scoring.

The Oilers are hard to stop on home ice. They average 4.1 goals per game in games played at Edmonton. Games here average 6.8 combined goals. The Panthers actually score slightly more goals (3.4) on the road than they do at home. Bobrovsky is a top goalie for Florida but he's not unbeatable. He let in a soft one to start Game 2. Edmonton's goaltending hasn't been at the same level. Florida will continue to score but this time Edmonton will do the same. Each of Florida's last seven visits here have finished with 6 or more goals. Play on the Over.

At 6:50 ET, my AL East TOY is on Baltimore/Tampa under the total. Corbin Burnes is one of the most reliable starters in American League. If he stays healthy, he is a serious Cy Young Award contender. He's 6-2 with a 2.37 ERA and a 1.029 WHIP. On the road, he's got a 0.969 WHIP. Pepiot has an even better WHIP (0.955) than Burnes, in his 10 starts. He leads all Tampa starters in batting average against (.185).

Over his last 6 starts, Burnes has permitted just 6 combined runs. Over his last 7 starts, Pepiot has only conceded 13 total runs, less than 2 per outing. The hitters aren't familiar with either starter. Both will making their first career start against today's opponent. The pitchers will have the advantage and this game will be low-scoring. Play on the Under.

At 7:00 ET, my CFL Total of the Month is on BC and Toronto Over. When their #1 quarterback Chad Kelly got suspended, expectations were lowered for the Argonauts this season. That's evident by the point spread for this game. BC is a big favorite, even though Toronto is a good team which is playing at home. The loss of Kelly is a big deal, as he was the CFL's most outstanding player of the year. It's not a death notice though. The absence of Kelly has kept the total low giving us value.

Cameron Dukes backed up Kelly last season and he looked good in his limited opportunities. Dukes will have the luxury of playing behind a dominant Toronto offensive line, one which returns in tact from last season. The Argos will still score. The defense lost a lot of pieces and will have trouble stopping a potent BC attack. These teams met here last year and combined for 69 points. The last 4 meetings have averaged 55 points. Play on the Over.

My UFC TOM is on the Stoltzfus/Ferreira fight to go under 1.5 rounds. This fight is unlikely to go the distance. Brunno "The Hulk" Ferreira is 11-1. None of his 12 fights have been decided by the judges. He has 8 KO's/TKO's and 3 submissions. His loss was a KO.

If we look the recent Ferreira fights we see a definite pattern. Win or loss, they always end in the 1st round! Each of his last 6 fights have finished in the 1st round. A look at his entire career reveals that 10 of his 12 fights finished in the 1st round, the other two both finished in the 2nd. Stoltzfus is off a 2nd Rd submission win. Before that, he lost by TKO in the 1st round.

Ferreira wanted a different opponent but this one is a good one for him: “Unfortunately, Shara Magomedov escaped from me for a second time. We had a fight prescheduled for June 22 in Saudi Arabia, but he escaped from me and accepted an easier opponent where he doesn’t run any risk from being taken down. But fortunately, UFC found Stoltzfus, which is a great opponent to me. Just like Hawes, he will permit me to show both my striking and grappling abilities. That fight will be perfect for me to show my overall improvement for the fan." Translation. This one won't last long. Go with the Under.

At 8:30 ET, my NBA Playoff TOY is on the Under in Game 1 Of the Finals. The Mavericks haven't played since May 30th. That's a long stretch in between games. They are 5-2 to the under when playing with 3 or more days off. The Celtics' gap in between games is a lot longer than that. They haven't played since they held Indiana to 102 points way back on May 27th! That long break will help them get Porzingis back from injury but it will also very likely lead to at least a little offensive rust.

Dallas is allowing 103.9 points per game in the playoffs. Boston is allowing 101.3 points per game in the playoffs. Boston is 12-7 to the under its last 19 tries in the finals. Over that time, Dallas is 8-4 to the under in the Finals. This season, the Mavericks are 12-4 to the under when off an upset win as an underdog. Play on the Under.

At 9:40 ET, my AL West GOY is on Seattle/Oakland Over the total. These may not be the best hitting teams but this is a very low total. Oakland games average 8.6 runs. When Estes is pitching, A's games are averaging 11 runs. He is 4-1-1 to the over in 6 career major league starts. That's what happens when you have a career 6.46 ERA. This will be the first time that a major league team sees Estes for the 2nd time.

Gilbert gave up 8 hits last start and 2 of those left the ballpark. In 6 May starts, Gilbert was 1-3 with a 4.66 ERA. He's hoping for a better month but he didn't pitch very well (4.50 ERA) last June. Last night's game finished with 7 runs but the previous 5 meetings all finished with 9 or more runs. Play on the Over.

At 9:38PM ET, my American League Total Of the Month is on the Yankees/Angels Over the total. The starters for this game have both been pretty good. That's worked into the total. It would be higher otherwise. The Angel bullpen held up last night but is unlikely to do so again. LA relievers entered the series with a collective ERA above six at home!

Anderson is 3-1 to the over in 4 home starts. He'll be facing a dangerous Yankee lineup, loaded from top to bottom. Gil's last road start finished with 16 runs. Two of his last 3 road starts have finished with more than 12 runs. Angel games average 9.36 runs. Weather appears favorable. Play on the Over.

At 8:00pm ET, my NBA Conference Finals Total Of the Year is on Min/Dal Under the total. In both the East and the West, the Conference Finals have been high-scoring so far. That will change tonight! Dallas is 25-15 to the under the last 40 times it was off an upset win as underdog, 12-3 to the under its last 15 tries in that situation.

Minnesota games have been quite a lot lower-scoring when the Timberwolves were off a loss than when they were off a win. The last time that the Wolves were on a "losing streak," they held Denver to 70 points! Back home, the Mavericks will also be be better defensively. They have conceded 101 or less in 3 of their last 4 games here. These are 2 great defending teams and that will finally be on display. Play on the Under.

At 2:45 ET, my Serie A Total Of the Week is on Roma/Empoli over the total. Here's the situation: Roma is the much better team but has nothing much to play for. Empoli FC is fighting to stay in Serie A. A victory will ensure them of staying. A loss will ensure them of being relegated. A draw may only be enough to take them into a possible playoff.

With little to play for, Roma can play with no pressure. They scored 7 goals in the last h2h match. As a matter of fact, they have scored 2 or more goals in each of the past 8 h2h matches. Even missing some key regulars, they will likely find the back of the net multiple times again. Fighting for their Serie A lives, Empoli is also likely to score. Play on the Over.

At 12:30 ET, my La Liga Total Of the Month is on the Over in the Cadiz/Almeria match. It's the last day of the season. For both these clubs, it's their last match in the Spanish top league. Each will be relegated to the second tier. With a match at Power House Stadium, one might give the edge to Almeria. The real value lies with the total, given that Almeria can't keep the ball out of the net.

Playing their last match at this level, both clubs will be going all out to score some goals. There's no pressure and no reason to play cautiously. Favored Almeria has allowed 74 goals in 37 league matches. Cadiz has conceded 49. Almeria has allowed at least 2 goals in 3 straight matches and 7 of 8. Cadiz should score more than once and even that may not be enough. Play on the Over.

At 8:30pm Eastern, my Neutral Zone Trap play is on Edmonton/Dallas Under the total. Last night's Eastern Conference Finals ended with a 3-0 final score. Great goal-tending and tough defense. Tonight's Western Conference Finals opener will take a similar trajectory.

The Oilers are known for their scoring but they got here with their defense. They held Vancouver to 2, 3, 1 and 2 goals in the final 4 games of that series. The Canucks had trouble generating shots. Dallas used a similar formula. The Stars held the Avalanche to 1 goal in 3 of the final 4 games of that series. Oettinger had a shutout when these teams met here last month. Play on the Under.

At 8:00pm ET, my Conf. Finals Total Of The Year is on Boston/Atlanta under the total. Game 1 was ultra high-scoring. Twenty-four of the points came in Overtime though. So, the 133-128 final score was slightly misleading. Surely, it was still a high score without OT but if we look more closely we see that the scoring was slowing down as the game progressed. The first quarter was the highest-scoring but every subsequent quarter brought fewer points. The final quarter only had 47. The 106 point 2nd half is the type of play which we will see the whole way tonight.

The Celtics are allowing 99.5 points per playoff game. Tyrese Haliburton said this of them: "They're a great defensive team. They got great, great defenders -- individual and team defenders." Boston is 12-8 to the under its last 20 tries, versus good offensive teams - scoring 116+ points/game - 2nd half of the season. This number is high. Play on the Under

At 9:00 pm Eastern, my NHL Total Of The Week is on Vancouver/Edmonton under the total. The first 3 games of the series all finished with at least 7 goals. Things have tightened up since then. The last 3 games have all finished with 6 or less. Scoring opportunities have been hard to come by. Last game, the teams only combined for 42 shots. That's less than individual teams sometimes get.

Brock Boeser leads Vancouver in goals scored in these playoffs. He's also tied for the team lead in overall points. The problem is that Boeser is expected to miss the game. That hurts the offense. Goals are often hard to come by in a Game 7. This season's first 2 Game 7s (Bos/Tor and Dal/Veg) finished with scores of 2-1 and 2-1. Since last year, the past 5 Game 7's have all finished with 4 goals or less. Play on the Under.

My Game 7 showdown is on Indiana/NY under at 3:30 pm et on Sunday. There is a lot of the line in here, as its win or go home time.The Knicks are trying to reach the Eastern Conference finals for the first time since 2000. The Pacers haven't been there since 2014. The high stakes matchup will lead to a defensive battle!

Indiana held the Knicks to 103 points to show it can play great defense and to tie the series. NY is 3-0 to the under its last 3, when tied in a playoff series. When these teams were tied 2-2, they went under in Game 5. The Knicks are also 11-6-1 to the under their past 18 tries, after a loss by 10 points or more. Play on the Under.

My MLS Total Of The Year is on Orlando City SC / San Jose Over at 10:30 pm et on Saturday. Orlando City smashed San Jose the last time the two clubs met. They scored three times in the opening 31 minutes and went on to win 5-0. Orlando doesn't allow that many goals but this is a low total and the Earthquakes are a team they can open play up against.

In 13 MLS matches, the Earthquakes have conceded 32 goals. San Jose is off a 4-2 loss on Wednesday. Its previous 2 matches finished with scores of 3-2 and 3-1. Orlando has scored eight times in its last three outings on the road. Both teams find the net at least once and the winning team scores more than once. This match finishes with at least 3 goals, probably 4 or more. Play on the Over!

My UFC Total Of The Month is on the over in the Main Event between Lerone Murphy and Edson Barboza at 8:30 pm et on Saturday. This fight could easily go the full five rounds. Barboza has been around for a long time and has some highlight reel KO's to his credit. Most of those were a long time ago though and he's now taking on a fighter who has never lost. Barboza's last fight was a 5-round decision in October of 2023. Five of his past 8 fights have beed decided by the judges.

As fights have become more difficult, Lerone Murphy is also going the distance more and more regularly. Off back-to-back decisions, he's now had 6 of them. Three of his past 4 fights have been decided by the judges. Play on the Over.

My NBA total of the week is on Dallas/OKC over at 8:00 pm et on Saturday. When this series began the total was 218.5. It was down to 217 by the time that the series moved to Dallas in Game 3. Now look at it. The much lower total obviously means we don't require nearly as many points to cash with the over. Put another way, that much lower total is giving us a lot of line value.

The Thunder are 6-1 to the over when off 3 or more consecutive unders. They are also 7-2-1 to the over after a loss by 10 points or more. The Mavericks are 7-4-1 to the over when playing with 2 days rest. Play on the Over.

Last game had a very high-scoring 1st quarter but then settled right down. The 2nd half finished with only 92 points. That type of defense will be on display again tonight in Boston.

The Cavaliers are now 13-5 to the under in their last 18 playoff games. They are 4-1 to the under when trailing in a playoff series. Boston held Miami to only 84 points in the close out game of that series. Expect another dominant defensive effort from the Celtics to lead to a low-scoring game that finishes under the total.

Yesterday's game was extremely low-scoring but the bats will bounce back to life this afternoon. He may have a great name but Rogers is a really bad pitcher this season. He's 0-6 in 8 starts, the Marlins are 0-8 in those games. On the road, he has a 9.00 ERA and 2.70 WHIP. His last 3 starts have all gone to the over and he has a 12.66 ERA and 2.72 WHIP in those 3 games. Those 3 games all finished with 9 or more runs and they totalled 43 runs!

Mize has been better than Rogers. It would be hard to be worse. But he has a 4.41 ERA and 1.448 WHIP his last 3 starts. Two of those went over. Miami bullpen has been bad overall. Tiger bullpen has had some issues at home. Both have already blown numerous at least 10 saves. Before yesterday, Miami had scored 15 runs in its previous 3 games and Detroit had scored 19 in its previous 3. Go with the Over!

This is a series which has alternated from low-scoring to high-scoring games. Saturday's defensive game has brought the number down for Monday. We will go with the over in anticipation of the pattern continuing. Recall that Game 2 finished with 229 points. Both teams have seen their games average greater than 230 points on the season.

It's important to recognize how teams react in certain situations. The Thunder are off consecutive losses. There have been only 3 cases since the start of February where they lost their previous 2 games. Those 3 cases finished with 239, 238 and 240 points. Overall, OKC games are 10.6 points higher scoring when the Thunder were off a loss compared to when the Thunder were off a win. They are 17-7-2 to the over off a loss. Go with the Over!

This is an extremely low total for a match involving Udinese, a team fighting for its Serie A survival. The visitors know they could really benefit from maximum points. They will be going for it and that will create chances both for and against. Both teams are likely to find the back of the net at least once.

Udinese has allowed 52 goals in 35 league matches. Lecce has conceded 50 goals in 35 league matches. Nine of Udinese's last 10 league matches have finished with at least 2 goals. Each of Lecce's last 3 league matches have finished with at least 2 goals. Three of the past 4 h2h matches have finished with at least 2 goals. I've got Lecce winning 2-1 but it could easily turn out even higher-scoring. Go with the Over!

Nine goals in the first game. That came down to 7 goals in the 2nd game, 6 in regulation. The number of goals will continue to fall in Game 3. The Canucks last trip to Edmonton ended in a 3-1 victory.

Vancouver playoff games are averaging 5.1 goals. The Canucks are averaging only 20.4 shots on goal in the playoffs. They permit just 24.6. The Oilers are allowing an average of just 2.4 goals over their past 5 games, only 27 shots per game. They concede 2.7 goals per game on home ice. The Canucks don't see many 6.5's. Let's take advantage of this one and go with the Under!

We will take advantage of this low total on Sunday night baseball. The Braves average 5 runs a game and they may need more than that if they're going to win this game. Elder allowed 7 runs in 3.33 innings in his last start. He gave up three home runs, 7 hits overall. He also walked 4. A dismal performance all around.

Elder's 18.90 road ERA is only from 1 game but he was worse on the road than at home last season. Over his last 3 road starts since last season, he's allowed 17 earned runs in 11 combined innings. Those games had 13, 12 and 15 runs. Severino walked 6 batters in 5 innings of his last start, a game which finished with 13 runs. Go with the Over!

With each passing game which goes over, the total climbs higher and higher. This one is the highest of the series. Too high! The Knicks are 29-17-2 to the under when the total is greater than or equal to 220.

The Knicks are also 23-14-2 to the under their last 39 tries, after scoring 130 or more points. Pacers games are high-scoring but not nearly as high when they are laying points. Indiana games average nearly 10 points less when the Pacers are favored compared to when they underdogs. We'll take the big number being offered by the books and go with the Under!

Wednesday's NHL games were high-scoring but Thursday's games will be different. There is a lot of firepower on the ice in this game but that's reflected in the fact that this total is very high. The number was 6 instead of 6.5 in the opening game.

The offenses are potent but the defenses can be really good as well. Dallas allows 2.2 goals over its last 5 games. Colorado also allows an average of 2.2 goals over its last 5 games. The Stars lost 4-3 in the opening game. Dallas also lost 4-3 in Game 1 of its first series against Vegas. The next game was a 3-1 final. Before Game 1 of this series, the Stars had played 6 straight games with 6 goals or less. Go with the Under!

Wednesday's NHL games were high-scoring but Thursday's games will be different. The Rangers allow 2.8 goals per game on the road. In the playoffs, they are conceding only 2.2 goals per game. Carolina allows only 2.5 goals per game at home, just 24 shots.

Both teams have top level goalies. Both are among the best at killing penalties. Go with the Under!

After a high-scoring opening game, the total has jumped way up. It's now too high, the way that I see it. New York road games average 225 points but games at Madison Square Garden average 216.6. Indiana games often seem to fly over the total but not when the Pacers are off an ATS victory. When the Pacers are in that situation, they are 26-21 to the under.

The Knicks are 16-8 to the under in a home game where the total is greater than or equal to 220. In all their games, they are 29-17 to the under, when the total was 220 or more. Let's go Defense!

If you watched the Mavericks close out win over the Clippers, you would have heard the commentators repeatedly praising the Dallas defense. They kept commenting about how the Mavericks had transformed themselves into an elite defensive team. Maybe not elite but the Mavericks sure were tough in the final 2 games. LA scored only 93 and 101 points. As a matter of fact, the Clippers scored 93 or less in 4 of the final 5 games.

The Thunder were even better defensively. They held New Orleans to an average of less than 90 points in a 4-game first round sweep.The Pelicans scored 92, 92, 85 and 89 points. The Mavericks are 4-1 to the under their last 5 tries, when playing with 3 or fewer days rest. Go with Under!

Walker has made only one start this season. The score was 8-6 as he allowed 6 runs. Webb was hit hard in his last start. He gave up 9 hits and 4 runs in 3.67 innings. Webb's 2 career starts versus Philadelphia have averaged 13 runs, each finishing with at least 9.

Six of Walker's last 7 starts, since last season, have finished with at least 9 runs. Those 7 games finished with 85 total runs, more than 12 per game. Neither bullpen has been good. The Giants bullpen has a 5.20 ERA.The Phillies bullpen has a 6.31 ERA at home. This number is too low. Go with the OVER!

The Hurricanes are 19-11-1 to the under their last 31 tries when playing with 3 or more days rest, 6-3 this season. The Hurricanes allow 2.4 goals per division game and they're allowing 2.4 goals per playoff game. Their division games are 21-9-1 to the under.

The Rangers are 4-2 to the under when playing with 3 or more days rest. They are 5-2 to the under their last 7 2nd round playoff games, 31-15 long-term. They're allowing only 1.7 goals per game in the playoffs. The last h2h meeting was a 1-0 final score. Go with the Under!

Two really good defensive teams will do battle in Denver tonight. Division rivals and also having faced each other in last year's playoffs, the Nuggets and Timberwolves know each other well. Both teams have enjoyed an extended break since winning their opening round series. That gap in between games will lead to some rusty shooting and will help to keep the final score beneath the total.

The Timberwolves are 10-6 to the under in division games. The Nuggets are also 10-6 to the under in division games. Both teams are also 4-1 to the under when playing with 3 or more days rest in between games. They couldn't even get to 190 in Game 1 of last year's series. This will be another defensive battle. Go with the Under!

The last game finished with a 2-1 final score. That makes 3 of the last 4 games which have produced 5 or fewer goals. Vancouver has generated only 92 shots in the first five games of the series. The Canucks' previously potent power play has scored goals in only one game.

Even in the regular season, these teams were both pretty good defensively but both have stepped up their defensive efforts even further in the postseason. Both teams are averaging only 2.4 goals in the playoffs. Only Toronto and Washington have averaged less.

This is from NHL.com about Vancouver's defense: "The Canucks are allowing 6.94 high-danger chances against per 60 minutes at five-on-five. That is the best in the league for defending against high-danger scoring chances. They also rank number one in the league for allowing scoring chances against per 60 minutes – only allowing 19.8/60 at five-on-five." Go with the Under.

You're not going to see many goals scored at Stadio Olimpico on Thursday. These clubs faced each other twice in 2023 and the scores were 0-0 and 1-0.

Bayer Leverkusen is off a 1-1 draw. The Germans have conceded only 1 goal over their last 4 matches with 3 of those finishing with 2 goals or less. Roma is off a 2-1 victory over Milan. Prior to that, the Italians had played in 5 straight matches which had 1 goal or less. Neither team is likely to score more than 1 today. Go with the Under!

After the first 3 games of the series stayed below the total, the offenses came to life in Game 4. The teams combined for 115 points in the first half and 227 for the game. That result didn't cause the total to climb. This total is still much lower than the totals at the start of the series.

The total is much lower than the games these teams have been playing all season. Clipper games average 226.8 points. Maverick games average 232.1 points. The Mavericks are 9-6 to the over off an upset loss as a favorite and the Clippers are 4-2 to the over off an upset win as an underdog. Go with the Over!

This is a low total for an Atlanta Braves game. As a team, the Braves are hitting .272. That's the second best mark in baseball behind only LA. They average 5.7 runs per game. That's almost enough to go over this low total right there.

Castillo is 0-3 with a 5.40 ERA and 1.56 WHIP at home. Nice start to the season for Reynaldo Lopez. He's still 41-49 with an 4.19 ERA over his career and has done more work out of the bullpen than as a starter. The last time that Lopez started against Seattle, he allowed 6 runs and 3 home runs. The score was 10-8. This one goes over the low number!

The Capitals are very likely done in this series. They know it. They will still put up a good fight but their depleted group of defensemen won't be able to stop the potent Rangers attack. New York has scored 3 or more goals in every game, more than 3 in 2 of the games. The Rangers are deadly on the power-play and they're even dangerous when killing penalties.

There may be some extra penalties too, as the Capitals are out for revenge from a big hit that injured one of their players. Washington has yet to get any production from Ovechkin, one of the best goal scorers the game has seen. Don't be surprised when he finally makes an appearance in the boxscore. Also, the Capitals will pull their goalie extra early, should they find themselves trailing. Go with the Over!

How about those Miami Heat. Not only were the Heat more competitive in Game 2, they won the game outright. Can they do it again? They sure could but I'm not going to bet on it. Instead, the total is what intrigues me. Did you know that the Heat are 8-2 to the under off an upset win?

In order to win, the Heat have to do it with defense. The Celtics are also capable of taking their defense to another level. They are likely to give the Heat a dose of their own medicine tonight. They are 9-7 to the under off an upset loss and 13-9 to the under their last 22 against winning teams. The Celtics are 7-5 to the under their last 12 tries when tied in a playoff series. In same period, the Heat are 6-2 to the under when tied in a series. Go with the Under!

At first glance, the over 3.5 goals might appear to be an attractive option. Further review reveals that the opposite is true. Off a 5-0 loss to Arsenal, Chelsea will be determined to clean up its goals conceded. In its previous match, Chelsea recorded a clean sheet.

Aston Villa has only conceded one goal in its last 2 league matches combined. Eight of the past 9 meetings have produced 3 goals or less. The last 3 matches had scores of 1-0, 2-0 and 2-0. Go with the Under!

You likely saw what happened in the first 2 games. They both sailed over the total. Tonight, we work with a very high total of 6.5. We don't even have to lay heavy juice to get it. Winnipeg is 15-9-3 to the under when playing in a road game where where the total is 6 or more.

The Jets only allow 2.5 goals a game on the road. The Avalanche concede just 2.7 goals per game at home. The goal scoring barrage comes to an end tonight. Go with the Under.

The Mavericks were favored in Game 1 but got blown out by a Clipper team which was without Leonard. When off an upset loss as a favorite, the Mavericks are 9-5 to the over. When off an upset win as an underdog, the Clippers are 4-1 to the over.

For Game 1, the total was 221. The regular season totals were in the 236.5 to 237 range. Playoff games are lower-scoring. But its my opinion that this low total, far lower than any of those, is an over-reaction. LAC games average more than 227. Dallas games average more than 233. Go with the Over!

Game 1 got out of hand. A 7-6 final. Hockey playoffs are funny though. You can have a game like that and see the next one play out completely differently. The benefit of that Game 1 result is that the Game 2 total is now jacked right up. The Avalanche are 2-0 to the under the past 2 years when trailing in a playoff series.

The Avalanche are 20-10 to the under their last 30 tries when playing with revenge. The Jets are 11-7 to the under after allowing 4 goals or more. The Avalanche still allow just 3.1 goals per game and the Jets still allow a measly 2.5 goals per game, 2.2 gpg over their last 5. Go with the Under!

Game 1 went over. Game 2 has a higher line but will be lower-scoring! Off the game 1 over, the 76ers are now 7-4 to the under their last 11 first round playoff games. Over that same period, the Knicks are 5-1 to the under in the first round of the playoffs. They are also 3-0 to the under when leading in a series.

In the regular season, the Knicks allowed the fewest number of points per game in the Eastern Conference, 2nd least in the NBA. Philadelphia ranked in the top 10. The 76ers are 16-8-2 to the under their last 26 against winning teams. Before the Game 1 result, the previous 2 meetings between these teams produced 152 and 185 points. This will be a defensive war right from the beginning.

Bournemouth has scored 1 goal in 2 of its 3 April matches. The Cherries are unlikely to score more than 1 against an Aston Villa squad which blanked Arsenal 2-0 last Sunday and which has Emi Martinez in its goal. Martinez, the goalie for the Argentine national team, is controversial but he's also really good.

Aston Villa was just in a Europa League match on Thursday and may have some tired legs. Scoring won't come easily. Villa has scored 2 or less in 6 of its last 7 matches. Six of the past 7 h2h matches, including each of the 3 at Villa Park, have finished with 3 goals or less. Go with the Under!

Playoff hockey brings playoff level defense. Games tend to be lower-scoring. Recent games between these Original Six rivals have also shown a tendency to be low scoring. The last 2 meetings have had identical 4-1 scores. Four of the past 5 meetings have finished with 5 or fewer goals.

Toronto is one of the highest scoring teams in the league and everyone knows about Matthews' big season. Boston is one of the best defensive teams though and this is a very high total. The Leafs only managed 2 combined goals the last 2 games and Matthews was held without a goal in each of those games. Go with the Under!

Chicago's first game came against Atlanta. The Hawks and Heat are opposites. Atlanta allowed the 3rd most points in the NBA. Miami allows the 3rd least. The Bulls game against Atlanta was high-scoring. Tonight's game against Miami will be the opposite. Chicago is 79-59-1 to the under its last 139 tries, against winning teams.

Miami's game against Philadelphia had no business going over. The Heat hit a 3-pointer with less than a second left to send the game over and that was after a foul-fest in the closing minute. The Heat are still 24-19 (56%) to the under their last 43 playofff games. During that period, the Bulls are 6-2 (75%) to the under in their playoff games. D-E-F-E-N-S-E! Go with the Under!

Wednesday game resulted in a 2-0 pitcher's duel. Thursday afternoon's game will be entirely different. Carrasco is permitting a lot of baserunners. He has a 1.657 WHIP. Averaging less than 5 innings, he likely won't be around long. Four of Carrasco's last five starts against Boston have finished with 10 or more runs. Last game here Carrasco went only 2 1/3 innings and allowed 10 hits and 5 runs.

Brennan Bernardino won't be going deep into the game either. This is his first start this season. Of his 61 big league appearances, only 6 have been starts. The Boston bullpen didn't come into play yesterday because of Houck's masterpiece but it will today. Red Sox relievers have an awful 6.94 ERA and 1.69 WHIP at Fenway. Go with the Over!

The Milwaukee Brewers haven't been involved in many pitcher's duels but they're about to get one on Tuesday! Dylan Cease allowed 2 runs in 6 innings last start. Both were unearned. He has allowed 2 runs or less in 6 straight starts. He is 5-2 to the under his last 7 starts. As a Padre, Cease has a 2.16 ERA and 0.814 WHIP. He held the Brewers to 2 runs in 7 innings in a start last August.

Miley has a 2.25 ERA and 0.75 WHIP from this season's only start. He allowed only 1 hit and 1 run through 4 innings. Since last season, he has allowed 1 run or less in 4 of his last 5 starts, 3 runs in the other. Just like Cease, Miley is 5-2 to the under his last 7 starts. Miley's last start against SD finished with a 1-0 score. Both bullpens have been solid. Go with the Under!

Yesterday's game finished with a 5-2 score and runs will be hard to come by again today. Paxton has a dynamite 1.64 ERA in 2 starts. He's off a quality start at Minnesota, a game which finished with a final score of 4-2. Paxton faced the Padres last season and held them to 1 run in 6 innings. The final score was 6-1.

Darvish has been decent so far as he has a 3.86 ERA. Darvish has allowed 3 earned runs or less in 6 straight starts against the Dodgers, 2 or less in 5 of those. He only went 3 2/3 innings in this season's first start agains them but allowed just 2 hits and 1 unearned run. San Diego bullpen has been fairly solid (1.25 WHIP) on the road. Twelve of Darvish's 13 starts versus LA have finished with 9 runs or less. Eleven of those games finished with less than 9. Go with the Under! **NL WEST TOY**

This is a true clash of the titans. Real Madrid is a 14-time champion. Manchester City is the current champion. It's a rematch of a battle a little less than a year ago which saw Manchester City win 5-1. That was the semis and this is the quarter finals. The super heavyweights may not combine for 6 goals again but they will get at least half that many.

Real Madrid is in top form. The Spanish squad virtually always makes it past the quarter finals. City has the longest winning streak in Champions League history. Both offenses are absolutely top level. Both defenses can be prone to being beaten. Both teams should score and at least 1 of them should do so multiple times. Go with the Over!

A string of unders from both teams have kept this line in the mid 140s. Its a lower total than either team saw in either of the last 2 rounds. Too low! These may be excellent defenses but there is no stopping either of these offenses. UConn has scored 75 or more in every game this tournament. Prior to the low-scoring game against NC State, Purdue has scored 72 or more in 5 straight and 10 of 11.

Purdue was an underdog twice. Those games averaged 162 points. The Boilermakers are 4-1 to the over when playing with 1 days rest and 6-2 to the over after allowing 60 points or less. The Huskies are 5-1 to the over their past 6 tries as a neutral court favorite of 6.5 to 9 points. This game goes Over!

Charlotte went through a stretch of games which went under the total. That is finished but the markets have still yet to adjust. This is the 2nd lowest of Wednesday's 9 totals. Too low!

Charlotte's last 7 games have resulted in 6 overs and 1 under. The Hornets allowed more than 110 points in all 7 games. Their last 2 games averaged 235 points.

Portland is 7-2 to the over its last 9 games. On the season, Trail Blazer games average 223.2 points. Charlotte games average an identical 223.2 points. When favored at home. Charlotte games average 233.2 points. Go with the Over!

The Alabama offense versus the Clemson defense. Who wins? I say, who cares. I'm going with the total instead! The Tigers kept Arizona and Baylor well below their season averages. The Crimson Tide have the best offense in the country though. They also allow more than 80 points per game, more than 89 per game on the road!

The Tigers have only faced 3 teams which allow more than 77 points a game. The over was 2-1 in those games. Alabama is 26-9 to the over on the season, 6-1 in tournament play. The Tide are going to score more than 80 points, probably significant more, and the Tigers are going to have to do the same if they want to keep pace. The Tigers have scored more than 70 in all 3 of their games and those were better defenses. Against a weaker defense, in a game where they will need to score to keep up, they can easily get more than 80. Go with the OVER!

We had with the Rays yesterday so it was nice to see them add some late insurance runs to their 8-2 blowout victory. That was also the score in Thursday's opener, the Blue Jays winning that one. Those totals were set at 7.5 and 8. This one is even higher. Too high!

Littlell was sneaky good in a September start versus the Jays. He gave up 2 runs through 5 2/3 innings but both were unearned. He struck out 6 and walked one, keeping the ball in the park. In 8 starts versus Tampa, Kikuchi has allowed 3 or fewer earned runs on 7 occasions. The bullpen won't blow it again. Go with the Under!

Illinois has been going over this tournament and all season. The Illini results are creating a high total. They are finally meeting a team which can slow them down. The Cyclones can really get after it on defense! With Illinois permitting a respectable 66.2 points per game versus non-conference opponents, this total is too high!

The Cyclones are 5-1 to the under in their last 6 NCAA Tournament games. They have allowed 65 or fewer points in 10 straight games. Last game, they limited Washington State to 56. They kept Houston to only 41. Their last 5 opponents are averaging 56 points and hitting 38% of their field goals. Illinois will get more than 56 but not as many as it usually does. Go with the Under!

Utah State has gone over the total in 5 straight games. Things will change against a Purdue team off a dominant defensive effort! The Boilermakers held Grambling to only 50 points in round 1. The under is now 4-1 in Purdue's last 5 tries in an NCAA tournament game.

The Boilermakers aren't always as high-scoring as some of the other top teams in this tournament. They have failed to score more than 80 points in any of their last 5 games. When the Aggies play with more than 1 days rest, their games average more than 150 points. When they play with 1 day of rest or less, their games average only 137 points. Go with the Under!

North Texas is 9-3 to the over as an underdog. The Mean Green are 5-1 to the over this month. The Mean Green are off an 84-77 victory over LSU and the over is 5-0 when they scored 80 or more points in their previous game.

Seton Hall is 10-5 to the over at home, its last 15 tries when the total is between 135 and 139.5. The Pirates are 3-1 to the over in that situation this season. Seton Hall averages 77.6 points per home game and North Texas is averaging 77.6 points its last 5 games. This number is too low. Go with the Over!

These teams can both really get after it on the defensive end of things. The Gaels just held Gonzaga to 60 points. You saw Gonzaga score 86 yesterday. The Gaels can also hold down the Antelopes! It goes both ways as the Antelopes will also make scoring difficult.

Grand Canyon has allowed an average of 58.8 points its past 5 games. Opposing teams hit only 37% of their field goals in those games. St Mary's has been playing that kind of defense all season! The Gaels allow an average of just 58.7 points. Opposing teams hit only 39% of field goals. Go with the Under.

This number is too low. This is likely going to be a competitive game. The winning team is probably going to score more than 70 points. Yet, the losing team isn't going to get blown out. Drake scores 80.5 points a game. Washington State scores 74.3. Cougar games average more than 140 points. Bulldog games average more than 150.

Off an 84-80 win, the Bulldogs have scored more than 70 points in each of their last 11 games. The Cougars are off a low-scoring game but their previous 4 games all finished above 140. They are 7-2 to the over after allowing 60 points or less. Drake is 4-2 to the over when the total is 130 to 139.5. Washington State is 7-4-1 to the over when the total is 130 to 139.5. Go with the Over!

Yesterday's results don't tell the whole story as both these teams went to Overtime. The Aztecs are 34-18-1 to the under their last 53 tries when the total is 130 to 139.5. That includes a 4-0 under mark in a neutral court game where the total is 135 to 139.5. Before yesterday's over due to overtime, the Aztecs were 6-0 to the under their previous 6 conference tournament games.

Utah State can score but SD State is 13-6 to the under last 19 versus good offensive teams - scoring 77+ points/game after 15+ games. The Aggies are 4-1 to the under in their 5 neurtal court games. They are also 2-0 to the under when playing with 1 or less days rest. The last h2h meeting stayed below the total by more than 10 points. This will be another defensive battle! Go with the Under!

There won't be much defense on display at Detroit tonight. The Pistons are off a big win and thats been a situation which has led to high-scoring game. They are 5-1 to the over after a win by 10 or more points. They are also 9-2 to the over against Atlantic Division teams.

The Raptors are 21-9 to the over in raod games when the total was 220 or more. When it creeps up as high as 230 or more, they are 13-3 to the over. Toronto road games average 239.6 points. The last 2 h2h meetings finished with 256 and 255 points. Go with the over!

Both regular season games went over the total. This total is lower than the lines for either of those games though. Hmmm. A closer examination reveals why that's the case. The early start time and the magnitude of the moment, may lead to some early jitters. That's not it though. Since the end of February, George Mason has cranked up its defense!

The Patriots defense has been getting better and better every time out. Four games ago, they allowed 61 points. Three games ago, they allowed 59 points. Two games ago? 51 points allowed. Then, last game, they held Richmond to just 46. The game had only 100 total points scored. The under is now 9-1 in George Mason's last 10 games played in March. This game goes under!

The Panthers do play high-scoring games but this total is too high. The 2 regular season meetings had totals of 142 and 147. Radford's last 3 games had scores of 58-57, 71-62 and 67-60. That last of those occurred in the opening round. Two of High Point's last 3 games have finished with 146 or less.

High Point won both regular season meetings and Radford is 11-6 its last 17 tries when playing with road revenge, 5-2 to the under this season. As the better team and also getting to play at home, the Panthers are big favorites. When they get a big lead, which is likely, they can slow things down in the 2nd half. Go with the Under.

The first leg was low-scoring but with this match being played at Estadio Santiago Bernabeu and with RB Leipzig needing to score goals to win, this match will be much higher-scoring.

Real Madrid is off a 2-2 draw with Valencia in La Liga action. Last Champions League home match, Read Madrid scored 4 times. Leipzig is off a 4-1 victory over VfL Bochum. The Germans will have to throw caution to the wind and that will lead to scoring chances, for both sides. Go with the OVER!

Toronto plays higher-scoring games against teams from the West than it does against teams from the East. New Orleans is the opposite. The Pelicans tend to play higher-scoring games against Eastern Conference opposition. That was on display when these teams played exactly one month ago. That 2/5 game finished with 238 points.

With the Pelicans off since 3/1, this will be another high-scoring game. Three times the Pelicans have played with 3 or more days rest. All 3 games went over the total. The Raptors are 18-12 to the over when playing against a team with a winning record. This game will be a shootout!

This season's first two meetings had totals of 218 and 220. Those two games averaged 220 points. One had 212 and one finished with 228. Tonight's line is lower than both of those scores. It's far lower than any other Friday total and it's too low.

Memphis games average 219.1 points. Portland games average 223.5. The Trail Blazers allow 118 points per game on the road and the Grizzlies are 11-3 to the over their last 14 tries versus poor offensive teams - those scoring

Four of todays' 6 NBA games have totals in the 230s. This is by far the lowest on the Wednesday board. Too low! Minnesota is a good defensive team but Memphis is 15-5 its last 20 to the over, versus good defensive teams - allowing

What can you say about Mississippi Valley State? Projected in the preseason to finish last in the Southwestern Athletic Conference, the Delta Devils haven't disappointed. They are now 0-27 on the season! Most of their games have gone under but there have been certain spots where the over has hit. This will be another of those.

When playing at home with an O/U line of 135 to 139.5, the Delta Devils are 2-0 to the over. The over is 6-3 their last 9 in that situation. Over the same time-frame, the Delta Devils are 18-8 to the over when playing with revenge. Neither team plays good defense. The Delta Devils allow more than 79 points a game. The Panthers allow more than 76 per game, 78.6 per game on the road. This game will feature plenty of scoring. Southwestern Athletic TOY

They can't make this total high enough. The earlier meeting finished at only 152 but that was a game where Tulane didn't score. At home, the Green Wave will get a lot more than they 69 they scored that day. Why can I say that with such certainty? Because UAB just allowed 94 points last game and more importantly because Tulane averages 88.7 points per home game.

Tulane is 12-4 to the over its past 16 tries when revenging a road loss. The Green Wave are 26-14-1 to the over in home lined games the last 3 years. During the same timeframe, UBA is 20-12 to the over on the road. The Blazers are also 13-5 to the over after allowing 80 or more points. The only previous time that Tulane lost 3 straight, the Green Wave answered with a 92-80 win. This will be another shootout!

Some recent lower scores have brought this number down and it is now too low. North Alabama games average more than 152 points. The Bellarmine shooters are going to relish the opportunity to face the Lions who give up more than 79 points per game on the road.

The Lions can score with the best of the A-10 teams though and thats why they are favored. The Knights are 11-7 to the over their last 18 tries when listed as underdogs. The Lions are 12-5 to the over their last 17 tries, when playing with 1 or less days rest. I've got this one finishing well over the number.

The first meeting had a higher O|U line than this. This one is too low. With the Skyhawks off an 88-82 victory over Morehead State, it's going to be another barn-burner tonight. Tennessee Martin is 3-1 to the over after scoring 80 or more. The Skyhawks average more than 80 points and their games average more than 156.

Lindenwood is off a lower-scoring game. The Lions lost 72-57 at Eastern Illinois. They gave up more than 90 (91-63 loss) in their previous game though and they are 11-4 to the over their last 15 games with a total, after scoring 60 or less in their previous game. Last year, these teams played a lower-scoring first game and the rematch was higher-scoring and finished over the total. That's what'll happen again this year. Go with the Over.

For a game involving the Fordham Rams, this total is too low. Fordham's last game had 148 points. The Rams have allowed 75 or more points in each of their last 3 games. They have allowed 65 or more (and as many as 119) in 15 straight games.

Davidson's last game had 136 in regulation, 161 with OT. For the season, Davidson games are averaging 138.5. Their previous game versus Fordham exceeded that average finishing with 148.

Davidson is 6-1 to the over its last 7 tries as a home favorite of 3.5 to 6 points. Fordham is 7-1 its last 8 tries when the total is 130 to 139.5. Go with the Over!

These are two bubble teams, both coming in hungry for a victory. This season's first meeting slipped under the total and this one will be even lower-scoring. The Pirates don't score nearly as many points on the road. They managed only 54 points in their last road game. Seton Hall did respond with a big game versus Xavier. That was at home though and the Pirates are 13-6-1 to the under the past 20x times that they scored 80 or more in their previous game.

The Red Storm lost the first meeting and they are also off a loss in their last game. They are 6-3-1 to the under off a loss and they are also 3-0 to the under their last 3x that they played with road revenge. Give me the Under!

This total is too high. Last year's totals were 134.5 and 136.5. The games finished with 141 and 145. This total is in 150s.

Nebraska allowed only 59 points last game. Penn State's last 3 road games have seen the Nittany Lions concede only 46, 71 and 68 points.

The Corn Huskers are 4-1 to the under their last 5 tries when playing with 5 or 6 day's rest in between games. In two such occasions this season, the games have averaged 128.5 points. I'm projecting this afternoon's game to also come in under the 150 mark. Go with the Under.

It's not going out on a limb to say that James Madison is very likely going to win this game. The Dukes are 22-3 and favored by 2 touchdowns. The Panthers are 11-13 and 4-10 on the road. The question becomes: what kind of game will it be? Will the Dukes dominate the Panthers with their defense or run them out the door with their offense?

A look to last season provides a valuable clue. The Dukes blew out the Panthers in both games last year but they did so in 2 very different fashions. In the gam at Georgia State, they dominated defensively, a 63-47 victory. The game at James Madison played out differently, the Dukes ran the Panthers out of the building in a 90-69 offensive thrashing. With JMU averaging more than 86 points at home and GSU allowing 79 ppg on the road, this one will play out like last year's game here did. The Panthers will move to 10-5 to the over in their road games. Go with the OVER!

This season's earlier meeting had 263 points, all in regulation. This one will also lack any semblance of defense. The Indiana Pacers allow 123 points a game on the road. They are 7-2 to the over off an upset loss, 25-10 to the over their last 35 in that spot.

The Toronto Raptors are 30-14 to the over their last 44 versus poor defensive teams - defined as teams allowing 116+ points/game. They are 46-25 to the over their last 71 against such teams. The Raptors are also 14-8 to the over this season when the total was set at 230 or higher. Go with the Over!

This is a very low total. These may not be offensive super-powers but the number is still too low. Boston is 13-6 to the over last 3 years when a total was in the 120s. Army is 7-4 to the over the last 3 years when a total was in the 120s.

Boston is 18-7 to the over its last 25 tries, when playing against a team with a losing record after 15 or more games. The Terriers are 3-0 to the over this month and the over is now 14-4 in their February games the last 3 seasons. This month's games have all finished with at least 138 points.

Army is off a 136 point game versus Navy. That game also had a low total but the final score finished well above it. Last month's game finished over and the over is 5-1 the past 6 meetings. Go with the Over!

This total is a few points higher than it was for last month's game at Air Force. With both teams currently struggling to hit the basket, it's too high.

Air Force has scored 56, 64 and 66 points its last 3 games. All three games had lower totals than this one. But those opponents could score. Tonight the Falcons face a San Jose State squad which has scored 60, 57 and 47 its last 3 games. The Spartans have scored 65 or less in 5 straight.

The Falcons are a perfect 3-0 to the under the past 3x that they were road underdogs, or pick, of 3 or less. Before last month's game finished at 137, the previous 4 meetings all finished with 134 or less. This one will also stay below that number!

These teams both have trouble scoring at times. The Coyotes average 2.8 goals per game on the road. The Flyers average 2.8 goals per game at home. This season's first meeting had three first period goals but still only finished at 4-1.

The Flyers may have lost their previous starting netminder for a while but they are still getting exemplary goal-tending. They've conceded only 4 total goals thier last 3 games. None of those finished with more than 5 combined goals. Samuel Ersson has been sharp and his backup Cal Petersen came through with a strong performance when called upon last game. The surging Flyers will make scoring difficult for an Arizona team which is missing some attacking pieces. That will help keep this game under the total!

This is not the same Kansas City team that faced the 49ers in the Super Bowl 4 years ago. This year's Chiefs are a defensive team. That's how they got here. They allowed 17.3 points a game in the regular season and they're allowing just 13.7 ppg in the playoffs.

San Francisco can make the same claim. The 49ers allowed 17.5 ppg in the regular season, the fewest of any NFC team. Though the playoff numbers aren't as impressive, you just saw their defense stiffen and hold the Lions to 7 second half points.

The Chiefs have now seen 8 of their last 9 games finish with 46 or fewer points. Only 1 of their last 17 games has finished with more than 48. This will not be a high scoring game and the total is too high. Go with the Under!

A number in the 130s at this venue, with these teams, is too low. The Panthers play higher-scoring games away from home. Northern Iowa road games average 147.1 points. The opposite is true of Illinois-Chicago. The Flames play higher-scoring games at home. Their games here average 143.9 points.

The Panthers are 19-11 to the over their last 30 tries when off a conference win. The Flames are 10-5 to the over their last 15 off a conference win and 11-7 to the over their last 18 when playing with revenge. The O|U line was 138.5 when the Panthers played here last season. Sound familiar? The final score was 150. Go with the Over!

The Celtics are scoring at a phenomenal rate this season and especially right now. On the season, they average 120.6 points. Over their last 5 games, they are averaging 124.6. They've scored 125 or more in 3 straight. Their last 5 games are averaging 239.6 points.

Miami home games have been much higher-scoring than Miami road games. The Heat score more at home but also allow more. Games here are averaging more than 226. Boston's visit here last month finished with 253!

The Celtics are 6-3 to the over after scoring 130 or more in their most recent game. This game flies over!

San Francisco can score plenty of points but that's been factored into this very high total. Too high. The Dons are already 2-0 to the under this season when the O/U line was in the 150s. Both games finished in the 140s.

Santa Clara often has trouble scoring. The Broncos managed only 59 points last game. They had a similar 58-point effort versus Yale. Less than a month ago, they scored only 49 against St. Mary's. They are 7-3 to the under their last 10 versus teams which score 77+ points/game after 15+ games.

They played a high-scoring OT game in the West Coast Conference Tournament last year but 7 of the last 9 regular season meetings have finished with 150 or less. This game stays Under! **WCC TOY**

The Penguins are 54-33 to the under the last few seasons, 13-10 this year, when playing on the road with a total of 6 or more. The Wild are 14-9 to the under at home, when the total was 6 or more.

Both teams are playing a low-scoring brand of hockey since the All Star Break. The Penguins last 3 games, all unders, have averaged, 3.3 goals. Minnesota's last 3 games, also all unders, have averaged 4.33 goals. The Wild are now 16-8 to the under their last 24 in the month of February.

Remember that Minnesota goaltender Marc-Andre Fleury played for the Penguins for many years. The under trend continues for another night!

These teams faced each other 3x in 2023. All 3 went under the total, as all 3 meetings finished with 125 or fewer points. Scores were 63-62 and 62-58 in the regular season and 68-56 in the A-10 Tournament.

The Rams have gone under 4 straight times and they are 6-0 to the under their last 6 against winning teams.

The Flyers are off a big offensive output at St. Joseph's but they'll face a better defense tonight. The Flyers are 7-3 to the under the last 10 times that they played a road game with a total of 135 to 139.5, a 4-0 under mark this season. Let's avoid Overtime and this game will stay under the total!

Marseille is struggling to score right now. They lost 1-0 to Lyons last match. Three of their last 4 matches have finished with 3 or fewer combined goals.

Marseille is struggling to score at the moment. Metz just struggles to score, period. Only last place Clermont scores fewer goals. In fact, they've only found the back of the net twice over their last 7 Ligue 1 matches. Five of those 7 matches finished with 2 goals or less and today's will do the same.

Detroit is off a 133-120 win last night. The Pistons are 5-1 to the over when off a SU win, 5-0 if that victory was an upset. The Pistons, 5-3 to the over when playing with 0 day's rest in between games, are 17-6 to the over on the road this season. The over is also 30-15 when they were underdogs.

Last year's game here had a total of 231.5 and finished with 241 points. At this stage of the season, there's not much reason for playing defense for these teams and tonight's game will also fly over the total. Go with the Over!

For under bettors, Seattle home games are the gift that keeps on giving. In Seattle's last 41 home lined games, the Redhawks are 30-9-2 to the under.This season, the Redhawks are allowing 64 points. Visiting teams hit only 40.4% of their field goals. Abilene Christian plays high-scoring games (158.4 points) at home but much lower-scoring (145.4 points) road games.

Last game, the Redhawks won 61-60. That was a road game. Last home game, they won 62-61. They will slow down the Wildcats and keep this final score below the total!

These teams went over when they played on January 3rd. Both have playing lower-scoring games since then though and both cranked up the defensive intensity in winning their last game. The Trojans held Oregon State to only 54 points. The Golden Bears kept Arizona State to 66.

The Bears are now 5-3 to the under since facing USC, a perfect 3-0 under record their last 3. The Trojans are 5-2 to the under their last 7 games.

Games at USC have truly been high-scoring. Not so here in Berkeley. The Trojans last visit here produced only 117 points! The Bears are 7-1 to the under their last 8 against losing teams, after at least 15 games. This game goes under!

Both teams went under last night but this will be a high-scoring game. Brooklyn is 4-2 to the over when playing with no rest, 2-0 to the over when playing at home after playing at home the previous day. Dallas is 5-3 to the over when playing with 0 days rest. Games are averaging 241.5 points.

The Mavericks go under against good teams but the opposite is true when they face weaker teams. They are 16-5 to the over against losing teams. Last meeting finished with 245 and last meeting in Brooklyn finished with 254. Go with the Over.

Kansas comes in hot and defense has been a big part of the reason. The Jayhawks held Houston to 65 points last game. Before that, they limited Oklahoma State to only 56. They will face a Kansas State team which has scored 53 or less in 2 of its last 3 games.

This season, Kansas State has been going over the total against losing teams and staying under the total against winning teams. The Wildcats are 11-2 to the under against teams with a winning record.

Off a game Saturday, I will point out that Kansas is 3-0 to the under when playing with 0 or 1 day's rest in between games. The Jayhawks are 15-8 to the under in that situation their last 23.

K-State is 7-3 to the under when the total was in the 140s and 4-1 to the under at home when the total was 140 to 144.5. This game stays under! **BIG 12 TOY**

If Rayo Vallecano can't find victory, a draw is a distinct possibility in this one. Three of the last 4 La Liga meetings between these clubs have ended in draws. I prefer the total.

Three of the last 4 h2h meetings have produced 2 or fewer goals. The last 2 h2h matches at Campo de Futbol de Vallecas both ended 1-1. That could happen again, as could a scoreless draw. A 1-0 (or 2-0) win for the home team is also possible. The visitors are likely to have trouble scoring, either way. Sevilla has only found the back of the net twice in its last 4 league matches. With only 3 total goals in its last 8 league matches, scoring is far from guaranteed for Rayo Vallecano. Both clubs are missing some key attacking pieces. This match goes Under!

Last year's game had a low total and the final score snuck over it. This is another low total and the final score will again finish to the over.

Davidson games average 139.6 points. Loyola-Chicago games average 140.8. This total is lower than either of those numbers. Digging deeper reveals that Davidson road games are higher-scoring. The Wildcats are therefore 5-1 to the over on the road. Those true road games are averaging 150.

Loyola-Chicago is 11-2 to the over its last 13 home games when the total was in between 135 and 139.5 points. The Ramblers are also 4-1 to the over last 5 tries as a home favorite of 3.5 to 6 points. Go with the Over!

The Orange are off a 77-72 loss to Pittsburgh. It was their 5th loss in ACC play. After their previous four ACC losses, they've cranked up their defense leading to the under going a perfect 4-0 the next game. Off a loss to Virginia, they beat Cornell 80-71. That game had a total of 165. Off a loss to Duke, they beat BC 69-59. Off a loss to UNC, they beat Pitt 69-58. Off a loss to Florida State, they beat NC State 77-65. Those four games didn't just go under, they EASILY went under!

We know the Orange crank up the defense off an ACC loss but it should also be understood that Wake Forest plays great defense at home. Visiting games are averaging only 64.1 points a game here, hitting 40.9% of their field goals. Four of the last 5 meetings at Wake have gone under. Go with the Under!

These are both good teams. They've been getting it done in different ways. Toledo has been winning by outscoring opponents. Akron has been winning by dominating teams with its smothering defense. It may be a different story for the rematch at Toledo but with this game being played at Arkon, the Zips will effectively dictate the tempo and slow down the Rockets to the level of their liking.

There are a lot of stats which point to this play staying below the total. Here are some of those: Akron is 6-3 to the under in conference play. The Zips are also 5-2 to the under in their home games. None of the Zips' last 10 opponents have scored more than 76 points. The last team that they faced scored only 46. Five of their last 6 games have gone under.

The Rockets are 5-2 to the under off a conference win and 2-0 to the under when playing a road game with a total of 145 to 149.5. The number is high and this game will go Under.

I played on the Celtics over in their last game. The final score was 129-124. That was against Indiana though and the Celtics were playing their second game in 2 days. Totally different setup for this one. The Celtics are 17-11 to the under when playing with 1 day's rest. They are also 14-7 to the under when off an ATS loss.

The Lakers have had no trouble going over the total on the road this season, regardless of how high the total is set. That will change tonight though. The Celtcs are 17-9 to the under, 7-3 this season, their past 26 tries when playing at home game with a total of 230 or more. Go with the Under!

Bournemouth is normally capable of putting the ball in the back of the net but is going to have trouble scoring today. Not only has Bournemouth scored only once in the last 4 h2h matches but West Ham is a different team at home. Each of their last three Premier League home matches have seen the Hammers keep a clean sheet. The Hammers are dealing with some missing players. Both clubs are for that matter. That won't help the scoring. The last h2h match was a 1-1 final and the last at London Stadium was a 2-0 final. This one also stays at 2 or less!