Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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08-25-21 | Royals v. Astros -1.5 | Top | 5-6 | Loss | -117 | 9 h 45 m | Show |
TOP-RATED 10* MLB BIG HITTER The Astros opened the series with a 4-0 win on Monday. Now they get to tee off versus left-hander Mike Minor (8-11, 5.34) who is 0-2 with a 5.51 ERA in his last three starts. The team has lost each of his last four and eight of his last 10 starts. During that stretch, they covered the runline in none of the defeats. Houston right-hander Lance McCullers Jr. (10-4, 3.21 ERA) who is 1-0 with a 2.73 ERA over five career starts against the Royals. 10* play on Houston Astros -1.5. |
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08-24-21 | Royals v. Astros -1.5 | Top | 0-4 | Win | 100 | 16 h 48 m | Show |
TOP-RATED 10* MLB BIG HITTER Huge bounce back spot for the Astors after taking a humbling 7-1 loss as massive favorites against KC on Monday. Astros right-hander Luis Garcia is 5-3 with a 2.02 ERA at home. Royals righty Brady Singer is 3-8 with a 5.23 ERA on the season (1-3, 5.25 ERA on the road). With Houston only three games ahead of Oakland in the AL West division, I expect the Astros to come out focused and hungry to snap back. 10* play on Houston Astros -1.5. |
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08-22-21 | Tigers v. Blue Jays -1.5 | Top | 5-3 | Loss | -126 | 11 h 28 m | Show |
TOP-RATED 10* MLB RUNLINE GAME OF THE WEEK Blue Jays' left-hander Steven Matz (10-7, 4.08 ERA) has posted a 1.15 ERA through his last three starts overall and his 5-2 with a 2.36 ERA in day starts in 2021. Tigers' righty Drew Hutchison (0-1, 10.80 ERA) has made only one start this year. It was on August 15 when he gave up five runs (two earned) on five hits and three walks in just 1 2/3 innings of work. The Jays are averaging 6.12 runs per nine innings off right-handers home at Rogers Centre. 10* play on Toronto Blue Jays -1.5. |
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08-16-21 | Cubs v. Reds -1.5 | Top | 5-14 | Win | 100 | 14 h 51 m | Show |
TOP-RATED 10* MLB RUNLINE PLAY OF THE DAY The slumping Cubs have dropped 11 straight games. I expect their struggles to continue against a Reds team that has won nine of 13 head-to-head meetings on the season (five of six in Cincinnati). Cubs rookie left-hander Justin Steele (2-1, 2.95 ERA) has mostly been pitching out of the bullpen. He made his first start last week and gave up three runs on five hits (two homers) in five innings of a 4-2 loss to Milwaukee. The Reds turn to left-hander Wade Miley (9-4, 3.00 ERA) who is 1-0 this season against the Cubs with a 3.94 ERA in three starts. The Cubs are averaging only 3.75 runs per game on the road. 10* play on Cincinnati Reds -1.5. |
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08-15-21 | Rockies v. Giants -1.5 | Top | 2-5 | Win | 109 | 13 h 39 m | Show |
TOP-RATED 10* MLB RUNLINE PLAY OF THE DAY At 14-44, Colorado is one of the worst road teams in baseball and I highly doubt the Rockies can repeat Saturday's 4-1 win here at Oracle Park. Rockies' right-hander Jon Gray (7-8, 3.92 ERA) gave up four runs on six hits in 4 1/3 innings of a 5-0 loss at Houston in his last start. Gray is 2-5 with a 4.73 ERA on the road this year. Gray is 2-6 with a 5.86 ERA in 13 career starts against San Francisco. Giants' left-hander Alex Wood (9-3, 4.22 ERA) has not been at his best lately, but the team has still won each of his four starts and seven of his last eight. Wood is 6-2 with a 4.14 ERA at home and he is 1-0 with a 3.27 ERA in two starts against the Rockies on the year. 10* play on San Francisco Giants -1.5. |
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08-14-21 | Padres -1.5 v. Diamondbacks | Top | 0-7 | Loss | -121 | 18 h 40 m | Show |
TOP-RATED 10* SATURDAY NIGHT MLB RUNLINE RIPPER I expect the San Diego Padres to come out with a chip on their shoulder after dropping back-to-back games here at Chase Field. They've put up a total of only five runs through the previous two games, but now they'll get a look at left-hander Tyler Gilbert (0-1, 0.00 ERA) who has only 3 2/3 big league innings under his belt. Joe Musgrove (8-7, 2.81 ERA) will take the ball for the Friars. He's been on fire lately, posting an 0.95 ERA with 24 Ks through 19 innings over his last three starts. The Padres have won three of his last four starts and covered the runline in each of those wins. 10* play on San Diego Padres -1.5. |
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08-10-21 | Rangers v. Mariners -1.5 | Top | 5-4 | Loss | -102 | 17 h 17 m | Show |
TOP-RATED 10* AMERICAN LEAGUE RUNLINE GAME OF THE MONTH Rangers' left-hander Kolby Allard (2-10, 5.07 ERA) is 0-3 with a 10.38 ERA over his last three starts and he is 1-4 with a 6.06 ERA on the road this season. The Rangers have lost each of his last eight starts, covering the runline in only two of those games. Allard gave up seven runs, six earned, in three innings against Seattle on July 30. Seattle rookie right-hander Logan Gilbert (5-3, 4.14 ERA) is having a solid year. The Mariners have won 10 of his last 11 starts. 10* play on Seattle Mariners -1.5. |
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08-09-21 | White Sox -1.5 v. Twins | Top | 11-1 | Win | 100 | 11 h 25 m | Show |
TOP-RATED 10* MLB RUNLINE RIPPER TOP PLAY OF THE DAY White Sox right-hander Lucas Giolito (8-8, 3.98 ERA) is 2-0 with a 2.57 ERA in two starts against the Twins in 2021 and 4-2 with a 3.89 ERA in seven starts at Target Field. The Twins hand the ball to right-hander Beau Burrows (0-0, 11.00 ERA) who will make his first career start, but as an opener. Rookie left-hander Charlie Barnes is expected to take over early. Barnes (0-2, 6.23 ERA) allowed five runs on seven hits and a pair of walks in four innings of a 6-5 defeat against the Reds on Wednesday. The White Sox have destroyed left-handers over the last two seasons, and I think the White Sox win this one in a blowout. 10* play on Chicago White Sox -1.5. |
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08-08-21 | Red Sox v. Blue Jays -1.5 | Top | 8-9 | Loss | -108 | 12 h 59 m | Show |
TOP-RATED 10* MLB RUNLINE GAME OF THE WEEK Boston right-hander Garrett Richards (6-7, 5.21 ERA) has made five starts against Toronto already this season, posting a 6.15 ERA with 34 hits and 14 walks allowed over 26 1/3 innings of work. Toronto left-hander Hyun Jin Ryu (11-5, 3.22 ERA) is 5-2 with a 3.34 ERA at home on the season adn 2-0 with a 2.60 ERA in his last three starts overall. Ryu is 2-0 with a 2.00 ERA in three starts against Boston on the season. 10* play on Toronto Blue Jays. |
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08-07-21 | White Sox -1.5 v. Cubs | Top | 4-0 | Win | 100 | 3 h 3 m | Show |
SUPER EARLY TOP-RATED 10* MLB RUNLINE RIPPER Cubs' right-hander Adbert Alzolay (4-11, 4.85 ERA) has allowed four runs in back-to-back starts and that has been the case in four of his last seven starts. White Sox left-hadner Carlos Rodon (8-5, 2.49 ERA) has recorded eight strikeouts or more in nine of his last 10 starts. 10* play on Chicago White Sox -1.5. |
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08-06-21 | Twins v. Astros -1.5 | Top | 5-4 | Loss | -113 | 16 h 8 m | Show |
TOP-RATED 10* MLB TOP PLAY OF THE DAY - RUNLINE RIPPER The Houston Astros came out flat and failed to get their bats going in a 5-3 loss to Minnesota in the opener of this four-game series on Thursday. I expect order to be restored Friday, and the Astros to come through and cover the runline as a big favorite. Twins right-hander Bailey Ober (1-1, 4.94 ERA) is 0-1 with a 4.43 ERA on the road. Ober rarely pitches deep into the games, he has not pitched past the fifth inning in any of his last 10 starts. Twins' relievers are among the worst in the big leagues. Houston righty Zack Greinke (10-3, 3.65 ERA) has allowed only four earned runs through his last three starts. The Astros are 8-2 SU (6-4 against the runline) as home favorites with Greinke on the mound in 2021. 10* play on Houston Astros. |
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08-04-21 | Twins v. Reds -1.5 | Top | 5-6 | Loss | -107 | 7 h 41 m | Show |
SUPER EARLY 10* MLB TOP PLAY OF THE DAY The Minnesota Twins are coming off a 7-5 upset win on Tuesday thanks to a three-run, ninth-inning homer. The Twins are still only 4-10 in their last 14 games as an underdog, and I think they're at a major disadvantage on the mound today. Minnesota left-hander Charlie Barnes (0-1, 1.93 ERA) has only one major league appearance. He's unlikely to eat a lot of innings, and then he'll hand over the ball to one of the worst bullpens in the big leagues. Sure, Reds relievers are not top of the line either, but starter Luis Castillo (5-10, 4.22 ERA) is solid and his season ERA drops to 3.94 home at Great American Ball Park. Reds are 6-1 in their last 7 interleague home games vs. a left-handed starter. Reds are 14-5 in their last 19 games as a home favorite. Reds are 4-1 in their last 5 games following a loss. 10* play on Cincinnati Reds -1.5. |
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08-03-21 | Royals v. White Sox -1.5 | Top | 1-7 | Win | 100 | 15 h 38 m | Show |
MIKE'S TOP-RATED 10* MLB PLAY OF THE DAY The Chicago White Sox are 34-10 SU and 30-14 against the runline against left-handed starters dating back to the beginning of last season. I expect runs to come fast and easy for the White Sox here against KC southpaw Kris Bubic (3-4, 4.58 ERA). Sure, Bubic held the White Sox to a pair of runs on five hits in six innings of a 3-2 Royals win last time out, but note that Bubic is 1-4 with a 7.16 ERA on the road. The White Sox hand the ball to Dylan Cease (7-6, 4.14 ERA) who gave up three runs (two earned) on six hits in six innings of a 5-3 White Sox win over the Royals at KC in his last start. Cease is 4-2 behind a 2.44 ERA home at Guaranteed Rate Field on the season. 10* play on Chicago White Sox -1.5. |
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08-02-21 | Orioles v. Yankees -1.5 | Top | 7-1 | Loss | -130 | 8 h 54 m | Show |
TOP-RATED 10* MONDAY NIGHT MLB RUNLINE RIPPER Andrew Heaney (6-7, 5.27 ERA) will make his first start for the Yankees since being acquired from the Los Angeles Angels. The left-hander will be looking to impress his new teammates, and Heaney should have no trouble outperforming Orioles' righty Jorge Lopez (2-12, 6.19 ERA), who is 0-6 with a 7.43 ERA through his past nine starts. Additionally, note that Lopez is 1-3 with a 7.22 ERA in six career starts against the Yankees. The Yankees are riding a three-game winning streak, and they've covered the runline in four of their last five wins. 10* play on New York Yankees -1.5. |
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07-31-21 | Royals v. Blue Jays -1.5 | Top | 0-4 | Win | 100 | 14 h 2 m | Show |
EARLY TOP-RATED 10* AMERICAN LEAGUE GAME OF THE WEEK The Kansas City Royals took a 6-4 loss here at Rogers Centre on Friday to fall to 17-32 on the road. For Saturday, they hand the ball to left-hander Mike Minor (8-8, 5.32 ERA) who is coming off a couple of solid outings, but here he'll face a Toronto team that is averaging 6.05 runs per nine innings at home. KC meanwhile is averaging only 3.62 runs per game on the road, and Toronto righty Alek Manoah (2-1, 2.90 ERA) is 1-0 with a 2.20 ERA through 16 2/3 innings at home. 10* play on Toronto Blue Jays -1.5. |
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07-24-21 | Pirates v. Giants -1.5 | Top | 10-2 | Loss | -120 | 19 h 37 m | Show |
NATIONAL LEAGUE RUNLINE GAME OF THE MONTH The Pittsburgh Pirates snapped a four-game skid with a 6-4 win here at Oracle Park on Friday. Their road record is still absolutely atrocious, and I expect them to be back to their losing ways on Saturday. Pittsburgh righty Wil Crowe (1-5, 6.12 ERA) gave up four runs in 5 1/3 innings against the Mets in his last start. That was at home, and now he goes on the road where has posted a 6.67 ERA over 29 2/3 innings of work. Crowe has made one start against San Francisco in 2021, an outing where he was tagged with three runs on six hits in five innings. The Giants counter with Kevin Gausman (9-3, 1.84 ERA) who is having a fantastic year. Gausman is 4-1 with a 2.25 ERA at home, with 58 Ks against only 22 hits and 10 walks through 48 frames. Gausman held Pittsburgh to one run on five hits with 12 Ks in eight innings back in May. 10* play on San Francisco Giants -1.5. |
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07-21-21 | Indians v. Astros -1.5 | Top | 5-4 | Loss | -123 | 14 h 50 m | Show |
TOP-RATED 10* MLB PLAY OF THE DAY The Astros have opened this series with a couple of wins, most recently a 9-3 triumph on Tuesday. They should have no trouble putting runs on the board here against Cleveland right-hander Eli Morgan who has a 1-3 record to go with a 7.86 ERA in six starts this season. Houston counters with Lance McCullers who allowed just a run in seven innings of work with 10 strikeouts to earn the W in the Astros' 7-1 win Friday over the White Sox. McCullers is 7-2 with a 2.80 ERA on the season. 8* play on Houston Astros - 1.5. |
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07-19-21 | Orioles v. Rays -1.5 | Top | 6-1 | Loss | -112 | 16 h 31 m | Show |
TOP-RATED 10* MLB PLAY OF THE DAY The Orioles won at Kansas City both Saturday and Sunday. They are 4-7 off back-to-back wins and 17-32 on the road this season. American League East rival Tampa Bay Rays took two of three in Atlanta over the weekend, and now they return home to Tropicana Field where they are 23-8 on the season. Baltimore Spenser Watkins has compiled a 1.74 ERA in three outings on the season, but that's over only 10 1/3 innings of work. Tampa Bay left-hander Ryan Yarbrough (6-3, 4.30 ERA) is 2-0 with a 2.81 ERA over his last three starts. The Rays have won each of the previous six meetings this season (5-1 against the runline) while outscoring the Orioles 48-21. This should be another blowout win for the Rays. 10* play on Tampa Bay Rays -1.5. |
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07-10-21 | White Sox -1.5 v. Orioles | Top | 8-3 | Win | 100 | 13 h 27 m | Show |
*BIG BET ALERT* AL RUNLINE GAME OF THE MONTH - 10* TOP PLAY The Chicago White Sox are riding a three-game winning streak after putting a 12-1 beating on Baltimore on Friday. Now they'll get to tee off versus Thomas Eshelman (0-1, 7.16 ERA) who has made just four starts on the season. Last time out, Eshelman was tagged with four runs on seven hits in just four innings against the Angels. White Sox left-hander Lucas Giolito (6-6, 4.20 ERA) is having somewhat of a disappointing year, but note that the Orioles have been held to two or fewer runs in three of their last five games. The Orioles are 12-19 against the runline when facing a left-handed starter. 10* play on Chicago White Sox -1.5. |
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07-07-21 | Braves -1.5 v. Pirates | Top | 14-3 | Win | 103 | 8 h 9 m | Show |
SUPER EARLY TOP-RATED 10* MLB RUNLINE RIPPER Good spot to back the Braves to bounce back from a pair of losses at Pittsburgh. Atlanta has put up a total of only two runs in the series so far, but now they'll get a look at Pirates' righy Wil Crowe (1-5, 6.26 ERA) who gave up four runs in five-plus innings when he took on the Braves back in May. Atlanta hands the ball to left-hander Drew Smyly (6-3, 4.42 ERA) who has won four straight decisions. 10* play on Atlanta Braves -1.5. |
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07-05-21 | Dodgers -1.5 v. Marlins | Top | 4-5 | Loss | -100 | 7 h 7 m | Show |
TOP-RATED 10* DODGERS @ MARLINS MLB BOOKIE BREAKER Miami left-hander Trevor Rogers (7-5, 2.14 ERA) is having a great year, but he still has five losses to his name due to poor run support. Miami is averaging only 4.06 runs per game (28th), and its offense should be no match for Dodgers' starter Walker Buehler (8-1, 2.35 ERA) who has been particularly hot of late, posting aa 1.53 ERA through nine straight quality starts. 10* play on LA Dodgers -1.5. |
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07-03-21 | Giants -1.5 v. Diamondbacks | Top | 6-5 | Loss | -100 | 12 h 48 m | Show |
GAME OF THE WEEK ALERT - NATIONAL LEAGUE RUNLINE MAJOR WAGER The Giants are 25-19 on the road while the D'Backs are only 13-25 at home (7-20 as underdogs). Giants left-hander Sam Long (1-1, 4.95 ERA) gave up four runs on five hits in five innings against Arizona on June 15, but that was just his second career outing and I expect Long to do better this time around. We can also note that San Francisco still won that game 9-8 and that Long has a solid 19 strikeouts against six walks in his first four appearances covering 20 innings of work. Diamondbacks righty Jake Faria (0-0, 3.38 ERA) will be making just his fifth outing of the season (second start). I don't trust him to slow downa Giants team that put up 11 runs in Friday's matchup. The Giants have won seven of eight meetings this season. 10* play on San Francisco Giants. |
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06-30-21 | Diamondbacks v. Cardinals -1.5 | Top | 4-7 | Win | 100 | 8 h 23 m | Show |
EARLY NATIONAL LEAGUE RUNLINE GAME OF THE MONTH The Arizona Diamondbacks are 10-34 SU and 18-26 against the runline on the road in 2021. Arizona right-hander Riley Smith (1-3, 5.71 ERA) was tagged with four runs in just 3 2/3 innings at San Diego in his last start and he has allowed 20 runs over 27 innings for a 6.33 ERA away from home on the season. When Riley has had enough, he'll hand over the ball to one of the worst bullpens in baseball (29th, 5.26 ERA). St. Louis' left-hander Kwang-hyun Kim (1-5, 3.98 ERA) does not have many winning decisions, but his pitching has been decent as he's 1-1 with a 3.54 ERA home at Busch Stadium. 10* play on St. Louis Cardinals. |
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06-22-21 | Royals v. Yankees -1.5 | Top | 6-5 | Loss | -131 | 15 h 17 m | Show |
TOP-RATED 10* TUESDAY NIGHT MLB RUNLINE RIPPER The New York Yankees are 6-1 against the runline as home favorites of -200 or more. Yankees' righty Gerrit Cole (8-3, 2.31 ERA) is 3-1 with a 2.36 ERA in four career starts against the Royals. KC right-hander Brady Singer's numbers have deteriorated since a solid start to the season. and Singer (3-5, 4.76 ERA) is 1-2 with a 5.60 ERA on the road in 2021. This will be his first outing at Yankee Stadium. 10* play on New York Yankees -1.5. |
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06-19-21 | Dodgers -1.5 v. Diamondbacks | Top | 9-3 | Win | 100 | 20 h 46 m | Show |
TOP-RATED 10* LATE NIGHT MLB RUNLINE RIPPER The Arizona Diamondbacks have lost 15 straight games since defeating the Mets on June 1. Arizona right-hander Matt Peacock (2-4, 5.26 ERA) gave up three runs on 10 hits in five innings of a loss at San Francisco in his last outing. He is 1-1 with a 7.02 ERA in seven appearances (two starts) at home in 2021. Dodgers righty Walker Buehler (6-0, 2.38 ERA) is 2-0 with a 1.97 ERA in five road starts on the season. He held the D'Backs to one hit through seven scoreless innings back on May 17. The Dodgers have won and covered the runline in three straight games as road favorites of -180 or more, including a 3-0 win in the opener of this series Friday night. 10* play on Los Angeles Dodgers -1.5. |
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06-18-21 | Reds v. Padres -1.5 | Top | 2-8 | Win | 112 | 20 h 46 m | Show |
TOP-RATED 10* TGIF MLB RUNLINE RIPPER The Cincinnati Reds saw a six-game winning streak come to an end with a 6-4 loss to the San Diego Padres on Thursday. I like the Padres to come through and cover the runline as a big favorite Friday night as well. Friars' righty Chris Paddack (3-5, 3.53 ERA) has a 2.88 ERA at home on the season and he has allowed two or fewer runs in five of his last seven starts overall. Reds' right-hander Tony Santillan (0-0, 1.93 ERA) will make just his second start of the season. The rookie held Colorado to one run on five hits through 4 2/3 innings in his MLB debut on June 13, but also walked five. I expect the Padres to take advantage of his lack of experience in the big leagues. 10* play on San Diego Padres -1.5. |
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06-17-21 | Tigers v. Angels -1.5 | Top | 5-7 | Win | 100 | 16 h 36 m | Show |
TOP-RATED 10* MLB RUNLINE PLAY OF THE DAY Good spot to back an angry Los Angeles Angels team looking to make amends after suffering a three-game sweep at Oakland. The Halos did put up five, four and four runs in the losses, and they should have little trouble putting runs on the board off right-hander Matt Manning who will be making his major league debut. Note that Manning is 1-3 with an 8.07 ERA in seven starts for the Toledo Mud Hens in Triple-A this season. The Angels counter with right-hander Shohei Ohtani (2-1, 2.85 ERA) who is 1-0 with a 1.85 ERA through 24 1/3 innings at home on the year. 10* play on Los Angeles Angels -1.5. |
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06-11-21 | White Sox -1.5 v. Tigers | Top | 5-4 | Loss | -103 | 19 h 25 m | Show |
AL EAST GAME OF THE YEAR | TOP-RATED 10* MLB MAJOR WAGER The Chicago White Sox have won five of their last seven, including three of four against the Tigers last week. The lone loss in that series came against Detroit left-hander Tarik Skubal (3-7, 4.33 ERA) who held the White Sox to one run on four hits through five innings. That was a rare loss against a left-handed starter for the White Sox who are 14-4 against southpaws on the season and I expect them to rough up the Tigers lefty tonight. Right-hander Lucas Giolito (5-5, 3.88 ERA) will take the ball for Chicago. He had allowed one run in three straight starts before getting tagged with all four runs in the 4-3 loss to Detroit and Skubal last week. All things considered, I expect to see a motivated White Sox lineup and a strong outing from Giolito, making this well worthy of a Game of the Year tag! 10* play on Chicago White Sox -1.5. |
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05-08-21 | White Sox -1.5 v. Royals | Top | 9-1 | Win | 100 | 21 h 21 m | Show |
MLB GAME OF THE MONTH | TOP-RATED 10* AL CENTRAL *BEST BET* White Sox right-hander Lance Lynn has been one of the best starters in the league in 2021 with a 1.82 ERA over four starts and a 29/4 K/BB ratio over 24 2/3 innings of work. He fanned 11 through a complete game shut out agianst the Royals on April 8. Kansas City counters wtih Daniel Lynch (0-0, 5.79 ERA) for his second start in the big leagues. Lynch gave up three runs and walked four through 4 2/3 innings of an 8-6 Royals loss to Cleveland in his debut on Tuesday. The White Sox are hitting left-handers hard (.298 AVG in 2021), and they are 20-1 SU and 18-3 against the runline against left-handed starters since the start of last season. 10/10* play on Chicago White Sox -1.5. |
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05-05-21 | Dodgers -1.5 v. Cubs | Top | 5-6 | Loss | -100 | 10 h 6 m | Show |
TOP-RATED 10* MLB RUNLINE RIPPER PLAY OF THE DAY The Los Angeles Dodgers dropped both games of a doubleheader against the Chicago Cubs on Tuesday. They've now lost eight of their last 10, and we just have to see a reaction soon. I think we'll see some fire from the Dodgers tonight, as they get to tee off vs. Adbert Alzolay (1-2, 4.71 ERA) who, in my opinion, is due for regression. We can also note Alzolay's 5.59 ERA in two home starts on the season. Dodgers' righty Walker Buehler (1-0, 3.16 ERA) was charged with five runs in 6 1/3 innings against Cincinnati last time out, but he also recorded 10 strikeouts. Buehler has 19 Ks over his last two starts, and the Cubs have one of the worst strikeout rates in the league in 2021. 10* play on Los Angeles Dodgers -1.5. |
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04-27-21 | Yankees -1.5 v. Orioles | Top | 5-1 | Win | 100 | 15 h 5 m | Show |
TOP-RATED 10* TUESDAY NIGHT MLB RUNLINE RIPPER The 9-13 New York Yankees are a massive favorite in this one, despite the 10-12 Baltimore Orioles having a better record. I trust the bookies here and expect to see a reaction and fire from the Bronx Bombers after dropping the opener of this series 4-2 on Monday. Yankee righty Corey Kluber (0-2, 5.40 ERA) is coming off a decent outing when he held Atlanta to two earned runs on two hits and four walks while striking out two across 4 2/3 innings. Walks have been a big issue for Kluber, but note that Baltimore is among the worst teams in the league (25th) at getting to the base on balls. Additionally, only three Orioles hitters have seen Kluber before, for a combined eight at bats. The Orioles counter with 26-year old southpaw Bruce Zimmermann (1-2, 4.57 ERA) who will make just his seventh career major league appearance (sixth start), and he will take on the Yankees for the first time. I can see him getting lit up but a motivated Yankees team. 10/10* play on New York Yankees -1.5. |
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04-13-21 | Padres -1.5 v. Pirates | Top | 4-8 | Loss | -130 | 11 h 43 m | Show |
TOP-RATED 10* MLB PLAY OF THE DAY The San Diego Padres defeated the Pittsburgh Pirates 6-2 on Monday, and I expect them to win big again in Game 2 of the series. Padres' lefty Blake Snell (0-0, 1.86 ERA) has allowed only six hits while recording 16 Ks through his 9 2/3 innings on the mound in 2021. Pittsburgh righty Chad Kuhl (0-1, 6.43 ERA) struggled with his command at Cincinnati last time out and gave up five runs (four earned) on two htis and five walks in four innings of an 11-4 loss. This one is simple, back the team with the better bats and the better pitcher on the runline. 10* play on San Diego Padres -1.5. |
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09-20-20 | Yankees -1.5 v. Red Sox | Top | 2-10 | Loss | -115 | 5 h 2 m | Show |
GAME OF THE WEEK (MLB) - TOP RATED RUNLINE RIPPER MAJOR WAGER The New York Yankees are riding a season-high 10-game winning streak and they have covered the runline in all but two of those games. They put an 8-0 beating on the Red Sox on Saturday and here they'll get to tee of versus right-hander Tanner Houck (1-0, 0.00 ERA) who will make just his second career start. While Houck did a good job shutting down Miami through seven frames in his debut, taking on the Yankees is just a whole different animal. Rookie right-hander Deivi Garcia (2-1, 3.28 ERA) will take the ball for the Yankees, coming off back-to-back seven inning outings. The Yankees have won three of his previous four starts, covering the runline in all wins. 10* play on New York Yankees -1.5. |
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09-19-20 | Yankees -1.5 v. Red Sox | Top | 8-0 | Win | 100 | 10 h 40 m | Show |
SATURDAY NIGHT MLB RUNLINE RIPPER TOP PLAY The New York Yankees are riding a nine-game winning streak after coming back from a four-run deficit to defeat Boston in extra innings on Friday. They have covered the runline in all but two of those nine triumphs and I like them to win big Saturday. Yankees southpaw J.A. Happ (1-2, 3.96 ERA) is 12-4 with a 2.95 ERA in 26 outings (25 starts) against the Red Sox. He held them to one run on three hits through 5 2/3 innings of a 4-2 Yankees win back in August. Chris Mazza (1-1, 5.57 ERA) will take the ball for Boston for his fifth career start. He faced the Yankees twice in the Bronx back in August, allowing a total of four runs on nine hits over 5 2/3 innings of work. Boston lost both games, 5-2 and 4-2. 10* play on New York Yankees -1.5. |
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09-16-20 | Pirates v. Reds -1.5 | Top | 0-1 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 9 m | Show |
WEDNESDAY NIGHT MLB RUNLINE RIPPER TOP PLAY The Cincinnati Reds are riding a four-game winning streak and are going for the sweep of this four-game series on Wednesday. While they are making a series push for a playoff spot, the NL Central-worst Pittsburgh Pirates are heading in the opposite direction, entering this contest off seven consecutive losses. Cincinnati right-hander Luis Castillo (2-5, 3.44 ERA) is coming off a nine-inning complete game while allowing just two hits in a 3-1 win at St. Louis. He owns a 3.00 ERA in nine career starts against the Pirates who hand the ball to J.T. Brubaker. Brubaker (1-1, 5.34 ERA) was lit up for seven runs on seven hits in 5 1/3 innings of an 8-1 loss to Chicago White Sox last time out. This will be his first start against the Reds, who have scored 26 runs over their last four games. 10* play on Cincinnati Reds. |
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09-14-20 | Braves -1.5 v. Orioles | Top | 1-14 | Loss | -109 | 9 h 8 m | Show |
MONDAY NIGHT MLB RUNLINE RIPPER TOP PLAY The Baltimore Orioles have dropped five of the bounce while the Atlanta Braves have won four of their last five. Braves' righty Touki Toussaint (0-1, 7.89 ERA) has admittedly had a poor start to the season, but note that Baltimore has scored just three runs over its last four games. Also, I think Toussaint will get plenty of run support from a motivated Braves lineup looking to make sure the team holds on to their lead in the NL East division. The Orioles on the other hand are pretty much out of the playoff race, sitting second to last in the AL East, 9.5 games behind leading Tampa Bay. Right-hander Jorge Lopez (1-0, 6.38 ERA) is struggling and gave up five runs on six hits in 4 2/3 innings against the Mets last time out. Here he'll face an Atlanta side that is hitting .277 against right-handers on the season. Braves are 7-1 in their last 8 road games and 12-2 in their last 14 interleague games vs. a team with a losing record. Orioles are 2-10 in their last 12 interleague home games vs. a team with a winning record. 10* play on Atlanta Braves -1.5. |
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09-12-20 | Orioles +1.5 v. Yankees | Top | 1-2 | Win | 100 | 11 h 59 m | Show |
SUPER EARLY ORIOLES @ YANKEES MAJOR WAGER TOP PLAY The New York Yankees swept a doubleheader against the Baltimore Orioles on Friday. Still, they've won only five of eight meetings on the season and I like the value we get backing Baltimore on the runline on Saturday. The Yankees have lost each of left-hander Jordan Montgomery's last three starts. Montgomery (2-2, 5.72 ERA) allowed nine runs (eight earned) over nine innings in those games, and while not many Baltimore hitters have seen Montgomery before, note that they are hitting a solid .275 off southpaws on the season. The Orioles counter with rookie right-hander Dean Kremer (1-0, 1.50 ERA) who will make his second career start. He held the Yankees to one run with seven Ks through six innings of a 5-1 win on September 6. The Yankees offense is inconsistent with designated hitter Giancarlo Stanton on the 10-day IL with a hamstring injury and right fielder Aaron Judge out with a calf injury. 10* play on Baltimore Orioles. |
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09-11-20 | Tigers v. White Sox -1.5 | Top | 3-4 | Loss | -135 | 14 h 13 m | Show |
FRIDAY NIGHT MLB RUNLINE RIPPER TOP PLAY The Detroit Tigers split a couple of games at St. Louis on Thursday. They're in a tough spot here following a double-header, and they'll face a White Sox side which will send its ace Lucas Giolito to the mound. Giolito (4-2, 3.29 ERA) has not been at his best in his last two outings, but note that the White Sox have won his last four starts and covered the runline each time. He faced the Tigers last month and held to three hits through seven scoreless innings of a 9-0 win. The Tigers counter with rookie right-hander Casey Mize (0-1, 6.75 ERA). This will be his fifth career start overall and second against the White Sox. Back on August 19, Mize was tagged wtih three runs on seven hits in 4 1/3 innings of a 5-3 loss to the White Sox. This is the third time the White Sox are a home favorite of -200 or more this season. They won the previous two games 10-3 and 4-0. 10* play on Chicago White Sox -1.5. |
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09-09-20 | Dodgers -1.5 v. Diamondbacks | Top | 6-4 | Win | 100 | 17 h 52 m | Show |
LATE NIGHT MIDWEEK MASSACRE - MLB TOP PLAY The 31-12 Los Angeles Dodgers have a +99 run differential on the season while the 15-28 Arizona Diamondbacks have a -43 run differential. D'Backs righty Taylor Clarke (1-0, 2.96 ERA) gave up three runs on two hits and one walk in three innings of an 11-2 loss to the Dodgers back in August. Clarke owns a weak 27-15 K/BB ratio on the season while Dodgers' left-hander Clayton Kershaw owns a 41-6 K/BB ratio. Kershaw (5-1, 1.50 ERA) has held the D'Backs to four hits over 11 2/3 scoreless innings across two starts on the season and the D'Backs are batting only .213 against southpaws. The Dodgers have won all but one of Kershaw's seven starts in 2020, and they have covered the runline in all those wins. 10* play on Los Angeles Dodgers -1.5. |
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09-05-20 | White Sox -1.5 v. Royals | Top | 5-3 | Win | 100 | 19 h 58 m | Show |
GAME OF THE WEEK (MLB) - TOP RATED MAJOR WAGER The Chicago White Sox are 10-1 SU (9-2 against the runline) as road favorites in 2020. They defeated the Kansas City Royals 7-4 Friday night and I like the White Sox to get another win Saturday. The Royals are losers of five straight and the team has lost each of tonight's starter, left-hander Kris Bubic's (0-4, 5.46 ERA), six starts on the season. He'll face a White Sox side that has the second-best batting average against left-handers this season (.304). The White Sox counter with Lucas Giolito (3-2, 3.14 ERA) who has recorded 34 Ks through 21 innings of work over his last three starts, all Chicago wins. Giolito owns a 6-2 record and 2.75 ERA in 12 career starts against Kansas City. 10* play on Chicago White Sox -1.5. |
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09-04-20 | Rockies v. Dodgers -1.5 | Top | 6-10 | Win | 100 | 16 h 5 m | Show |
LATE NIGHT RUNLINE RIPPER MLB TOP PLAY The Los Angeles Dodgers have won 16 of their past 17 home games against the Rockies and Colorado right-hander Antonio Senzatela (3-1, 3.22 ERA) was lit up when the team lost 11-3 to LA here at Dodger Stadium last month. Senzatela is 2-3 with a hideous 7.04 ERA in eight career appearances (six starts) against the Dodgers who counter with right-hander Dustin May (1-1, 2.83 ERA) who held Colorado to one run on two hits in five innings on Aug 22. The Dodgers are 8-2 SU (7-3 against the runline) as home favorites of -200 or more when facing a right-handed starter. 10* play on Los Angeles Dodgers -1.5. |
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09-02-20 | Rangers v. Astros -1.5 | Top | 1-2 | Loss | -111 | 16 h 49 m | Show |
LATE NIGHT MLB RUNLINE RIPPER TOP PLAY I like the Houston Astros to win against the runline as a sizable home favorite over the Texas Rangers on Wednesday. Texas left-hander Kolby Allard (0-3, 6.50 ERA) has lost each of this last three starts with a total of 12 runs allowed over just nine innings of work. He figures to be in for another tough one here as the Astros have a .282 batting average (7th) off southpaws on the season. Cristian Javier (3-1, 3.77 ERA) will take the ball for Houston. The team has won four of his six starts, and three of those four by at least two runs. He's been lights out home at Minute Maid Park, compiling a 2-0 record with a 1.96 ERA over four outings (three starts). Rangers are 3-12 in their last 15 overall and 1-8 in their last 9 games vs. a right-handed starter. Astros are 43-14 in their last 57 games vs. a left-handed starter and 51-17 in their last 68 games as a home favorite. 10* play on Houston Astros -1.5. |
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08-31-20 | Indians -1.5 v. Royals | Top | 1-2 | Loss | -130 | 12 h 31 m | Show |
MONDAY MLB RUNLINE RIPPER TOP PLAY OF THE DAY The Cleveland Indians had won four on the bounce before closing out last week with a 7-2 loss at St. Louis. Bounce back time for the Tribe here against the Kansas City Royals who have dropped three of their last four and six of their last eight. Kansas City right-hander Brad Keller (3-1, 2.08 ERA) had three starts of the scoreless variety before getting lit up for five runs in four innings of a 9-3 loss at St. Louis last time out. Are the wheels about to come off after his sensational start to the year? Either way, outdueling Cleveland right-hander Shane Bieber (6-0, 1.35 ERA) won't be an easy task, and it's worth noting that Bieber has been even more fierce on the road (1.30 ERA) than at home (1.50 ERA). Bieber punched out 14 through six scoreless innings against the Royals July 24, and I think he'll lead the Tribe to a comfortable win tonight. 10* play on Cleveland Indians -1.5. |
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08-26-20 | Pirates v. White Sox -1.5 | Top | 3-10 | Win | 100 | 10 h 18 m | Show |
EARLY PIRATES @ WHITE SOX MLB TOP PLAY OF THE DAY The Chicago White Sox came through for us as a runline favorite on Tuesday as they opened this three-game series with a 4-0 win. They have now won eight of their last nine and covered the runline each of those wins, and I like the White Sox to do it again today with Dallas left-hander Keuchel on the mound. Keuchel (4-2, 2.65 ERA) is coming off eight innings of one-run ball at Wrigley Field in a game where the White Sox routed the Cubs 10-1. Only a handful of players on the current Pirates roster have any experience against Keuchel who has been excellent at Guaranteed Rate Field this season, giving up only five runs in three home starts. Trevor Williams (1-4, 3.70 ERA) takes the ball for Pittsburgh. The team has lost four of his five starts on the season and failed to cover the runline in each loss. To be fair, Williams has not been all that bad, but the Pirates' bullpen is unreliable at best and has posted a 5.25 ERA on the season. Jose Abreu is 3-for-5 off and Tim Anderson is 2-for-5 with a home run off Williams who has posted a 5.40 ERA in three road starts on the season. Pittsburgh ranks near the bottom of the league for runs scored while the White Sox have a top 10 offense. Let's roll with the white hot White Sox for a second straight day. 10* play on Chicago White Sox -1.5. |
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08-23-20 | Tigers v. Indians -1.5 | Top | 7-4 | Loss | -130 | 6 h 58 m | Show |
SUPER EARLY MLB TOP PLAY OF THE DAY - RUNLINE RIPPER The Cleveland Indians have won 21 of the last 22 meetings with the Detroit Tigers. They've covered the runline in their two triumphs in this series and I expect another blowout win for the Tribe in the series finale on Sunday. Tigers' southpaw Tarik Skubal (0-1, 18.00 ERA) made his major leagues debut earlier this week, as he gave up four runs on seven hits in only two innings of a 10-4 loss to the Chicago White Sox. Cleveland right-hander Carlos Carrasco (2-2, 3.71 ERA) has struggled with his command in recent outings, but he owns solid career numbers against Detroit (11-8, 3.56 ERA, 29 appearances). 10* play on Cleveland Indians -1.5. |
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08-15-20 | Mariners v. Astros -1.5 | Top | 1-2 | Loss | -109 | 19 h 19 m | Show |
GAME OF THE WEEK (MLB) - TOP RATED MAJOR WAGER ALERT The Houston Astros have come alive with wins in three of their last four games. They've scored boatloads of runs during that stretch, and here they get a chance to tee off versus Nick Margevicius (0-0, 3.24 ERA), who has done the majority of his appearances this season as a reliever. Cristian Javier (1-1, 4.02 ERA) will take the ball for Houston. He was roughed up by Oakland last time out, but had back-to-back solid starts under his belt prior to that. Javier's 16-4 K/BB ratio over 15 2/3 innings is impressive, and I think he'll do enough versus this inconsistent Seattle side. 10* play on Houston Astros -1.5. |
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08-11-20 | Braves +1.5 v. Yankees | Top | 6-9 | Loss | -130 | 11 h 43 m | Show |
TUESDAY NIGHT MLB RUNLINE RIPPER TOP PLAY I think we are getting terrific value on the Atlanta Braves (11-7) on the runline as an underdog when they visit the New York Yankees (10-6) Tuesday night. The Bronx Bombers are not playing good baseball at the moment, coming off back-to-back losses and dropping four of their last five. Tonight they'll hand the ball to left-hander Jordan Montgomery (1-1, 5.59 ERA) who gave up five runs in four innings of a 5-4 loss to the Phillies last time out. Atlanta starter Touki Toussaint (0-0, 6.08 ERA) is coming off a couple of solid outings since getting lit up in his season debut. Last time out he struck out nine through 6 2/3 innings of three-run ball against Toronto. The Braves are 11-5 in their last 16 games vs. a left-handed starter and I think they'll get to Montgomery. 8* play on Atlanta Braves. |
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08-08-20 | Orioles v. Nationals -1.5 | Top | 5-3 | Loss | -100 | 17 h 57 m | Show |
SATURDAY NIGHT BALLPARK BLOWOUT TOP PLAY The Washington Nationals musted only four hits when they took an 11-0 beating by the hands of the Baltimore Orioles on Friday. The defending World Series champions have had a disappointing start to the year, but I think they'll bounce back with a big win in Saturday's matchup with the O's. Tom Eshelman (0-0, 2.70 ERA) will take the ball for Baltimore. This will be his first start after tossing 3 1/3 innings out of the bullpen in a 4-0 loss to Miami on August 5. Last season, Eshelman posted a 6.50 ERA through 10 appearances (four starts) covering 36 innings of work. The Nats counter with Austin Voth (0-1, 3.60 ERA) for his second start of the season after giving up three runs (two earned) in five innings against Toronto in his season debut. Last season, Voth posted a solid 3.30 RA through nine outings (eight starts) with 44 Ks through 43 2/3 frames. That includes six innings of one-run ball in an 8-1 Nationals victory over Baltimore. While Voth is far from an ace, this is just a good spot to back the Nats to bring their bats to get the job done following Friday's beatdown. 10* play on Washington Nationals. |
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08-06-20 | Twins -1.5 v. Pirates | Top | 5-6 | Loss | -118 | 12 h 37 m | Show |
SUPER EARLY TWINS @ PIRATES BOOKIE BREAKER TOP PLAY The Pittsburgh Pirates are going nowhere slow as they enter the finale of this three-game series with a 2-10 record. I think they'll continue to mail it in here against a white hot Minnesota Twins team that has compiled the exact opposite record of 10-2. Twins' righty Kenta Maeda (2-0, 1.64 ERA) has had a terrific start with the Twins, recording 12 strikeouts with just five hits and two runs allowed over 11 innings of work. The Pirates counter with JT Brubaker (0-0, 0.00 ERA) for his first start of the season, in place of Mitch Keller who is on the injured list. It's tough to know where we have Brubaker as a starter. He has tossed five scoreless innings as a reliever on the season, but I don't see him slowing down the Twins' hot bats. Pittsburgh has scored more than three runs only once during its current seven-game skid, and I expect the Twins to win this one comfortably. 10* play on Minnesota Twins -1.5. |
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08-05-20 | Cubs -1.5 v. Royals | Top | 6-1 | Win | 100 | 16 h 54 m | Show |
WEDNESDAY NIGHT MLB BOOKIE BREAKER TOP PLAY The Chicago Cubs are winners of five on the bounce and eight of their last nine. They have covered the runline in the majority of those triumphs, and I like them to put a big beating on the Kansas City Royals tonight. Royals' right-hander Kris Bubic (0-1, 4.50 ERA) has just major league start under his belt when he gave up three runs (two earned) in four innings of a loss to the White Sox on August 1. He'll be opposed by Cubs' lefty Yu Darvish (1-1, 2.70 ERA) who knocked out seven through six scoreless innings of two-hit ball against Pittsburgh last time out. In five career starts against the Royals, Darvish is 2-1 with a 2.34 ERA. The Cubs are top 10 in the major leagues with their 5.20 runs per game while Royals are in the bottom third with 3.64 rpg. I'm counting on the red hot Cubs obliterate the Royals in this one. 10* play on Chicago Cubs -1.5. |
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08-04-20 | Pirates v. Twins -1.5 | Top | 3-7 | Win | 100 | 12 h 30 m | Show |
SUPER EARLY PIRATES @ TWINS - BREAKFAST BANKROLL BUILDER The Minnesota Twins finished a run short of covering the runline in a 5-4 win over the Pittsburgh Pirates on Monday. Tough game as they put themselves in a situation where they had to battle back from a four-run deficit, but I think they'll come through with a more decisive win today. Pittsburgh righty Joe Musgrove (0-2, 4.76 ERA) has allowed three runs through 5 2/3 frames in each of his first two starts in 2020. He has already served up a total of four homers, which could turn into a big issue here against a Twins team that ranks third in the league with 16 home runs on the season. Jose Berrios (0-2, 7.00 ERA) will take the ball for the Twins for his second start. He pitched five innings of two-run ball Thursday in a loss to the Indians and I have no doubt he'll be able to shut down a Pirates team that averages only 3.33 runs per game. 10* play on Minnesota Twins -1.5. |
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08-03-20 | Mets v. Braves +1.5 | Top | 7-2 | Loss | -150 | 11 h 33 m | Show |
MAJOR WAGER ALERT - MONDAY NIGHT MLB RUNLINE RIPPER I love the Atlanta Braves in this Monday night matchup with the NY Mets. Sure, Mets' right-hander Jacob deGrom (0-0, 1.64 ERA) is one of the best pitchers in the major leagues, but Mets' bullpen and ranks near the bottom of the leagues with its 6.69 ERA. Braves' righty Mike Soroka (0-0, 1.59 ERA) is also a terrific pitcher, and Atlanta is averaging 5.83 runs per game which can be compared to the Mets' 3.89 runs per game. This is the series finale of a four-game set of which Atlanta has won the first three. While I do like their chances of winning this one outright, I think we're getting an insurance run at a cheap price. 10* play on Atlanta Braves +1.5. |
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08-01-20 | Red Sox v. Yankees -1.5 | Top | 2-5 | Win | 100 | 18 h 13 m | Show |
GAME OF THE WEEK (MLB) - RED SOX @ YANKEES MAJOR WAGER TOP PLAY The New York Yankees have as expected been one of the best teams in baseball and enter this contest with a 5-1 record. For this one, they'll hand the ball to former ace Masahiro Tanaka (2019: 11-9, 4.45 ERA) for his season debut and I think he should be able to shut down a Red Sox side that has averaged only 3.4 runs per game since putting up 13 in its season opener. The Red Sox hand the ball to Zach Godley (2019: 3-5, 6.39 ERA) who struggled through most of last season. Godley is coming off four scoreless innings of relief versus the New York Mets, but this stacked Yankee lineup is a completely different animal than the Mets. The Yankees won the series opener 5-1 and I think they'll win this one by at least two runs as well. 10* play on the NY Yankees -1.5 |
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07-30-20 | Mariners v. Angels -1.5 | Top | 8-5 | Loss | -100 | 17 h 50 m | Show |
THURSDAY NIGHT MLB BOOKIE BREAKER TOP PLAY I like the LA Angels to win this one in dominant fashion. Seattle left-hander Marco Gonzales (0-1, 6.23 ERA) was knocked around for four runs (three earned) in 4 1/3 innings of work against Houston in his season debut. Mike Trout is 12-of-28 off Gonzales and the Angels are 6-1 in their last seven home games vs. a left-handed starter. Dylan Bundy (1-0, 1.35 ERA) takes the ball for the Halos, looking to build on a solid season debut when he held the A's to one run on three hits with seven Ks through 6 2/3 innings of a 4-1 win. Only five players on this Seattle roster has seen Bundy before, and he has held them to a combined .228 batting average over 34 at bats. Additionally, we have seen a total of 29 runs through the first two games and I think we'll see plenty of fireworks in this one as well. 10* play on LA Angels -1.5. |
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07-29-20 | Mariners v. Angels -1.5 | Top | 10-7 | Loss | -111 | 18 h 40 m | Show |
LATE NIGHT MLB RUNLINE RIPPER TOP PLAY The Los Angeles Angels put a 10-2 beating on the Seattle Mariners on Tuesday. I expect another blowout win for the Halos here in Wednesday's matchup with Andrew Heaney (0-0, 1.93 ERA) on the mound. The left-hander has already made one start this year as he held the A's to one run on two hits and with six Ks in 4 2/3 innings on Opening Day. The Mariners hand the ball to Justin Dunn for his first career big league start. The Mariners are 6-20 in their last 26 road games vs. a left-handed starter and I think they'll struggle to solve Heaney in this one. 10* play on LA Angels -1.5. |
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07-27-20 | Mariners v. Astros -1.5 | Top | 5-8 | Win | 100 | 21 h 9 m | Show |
MONDAY AFTERNOON MLB BOOKIE BREAKER TOP PLAY I expect to see an extremely motivated Houston Astros team here after taking a 7-6 defeat to the Seattle Mariners on Sunday. The setback ended a 15-game winning streak in the series, which surely can't sit right with the back-to-back-to-back American League West champions. Tonight, the Astros hand the ball to Josh James (2019: 1-5, 4.70 ERA) who posted a 3.52 ERA in six appearances against Seattle last year. James was dominant as a reliever last year, and I'm sure he'll come in focused to make the most of his opportunity as a starter in 2020. As for the Mariners, they turn to right-hander Kendall Graveman (2018: 1-5, 7.60 ERA) who missed all of 2018 after undergoing Tommy John surgery. I'm counting on the Astros' bats to take full advantage of a rusty Graveman early before he even gets a chance to settle. 10* play on Houston Astros -1.5. |
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07-25-20 | Tigers v. Reds -1.5 | Top | 6-4 | Loss | -106 | 15 h 34 m | Show |
GAME OF THE WEEK (MLB) - SATURDAY NIGHT MAJOR WAGER TOP PLAY The Cincinnati Reds put a 7-1 beating on Detroit in the season opener. I think they'll come through with another big win here in Game 2 of the series on Saturday. Cincinnati right-hander Luis Castillo finished last season with a 15-8 record behind a 3.40 ERA. This will be his first career start against the Tigers, a situation that usually favors the pitcher. As for Detroit, it is expected to be one of the worst teams in the league this season and right-hander Ivan Nova is 5-7 with a 4.24 ERA in 12 career starts versus the Reds. Reds are 6-2 in their last 8 interleague games as a favorite. Tigers are 13-41 in their last 54 games as a road underdog. 10* play on Cincinnati -1.5. |
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07-23-20 | Giants v. Dodgers -1.5 | Top | 1-8 | Win | 100 | 1 h 50 m | Show |
10* |
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10-29-19 | Nationals v. Astros -1.5 | Top | 7-2 | Loss | -100 | 10 h 28 m | Show |
GAME OF THE WEEK (MLB): MIKE'S WORLD SERIES GAME 6 BEST BET The home team has yet to win a game in this series with Washington opening the World Series with a couple of wins here at Minute Maid Park before their bats went silent to get outscored 19-3 in three games home at Nationals Park. The Astros are just one game away from clinching the trophy, and I think they'll get it done with a convincing win at their own ballpark. Nats' righty Stephen Strasburg (4-0, 1.93 ERA) is obviously a tremendous pitcher, but he'll have to outduel Justin Verlander (1-3, 4.15 ERA) and the visitors' bullpen has been an issue for them all season long. Verlander's career record in the World Series is nothing to brag about (0-5 with a 5.73 ERA in six starts), but the Nats' bats have gone missing at the worst possible time. Astros are 20-5 in Verlander's last 25 starts when their opponent scores 2 runs or less in their previous game and 20-6 in his last 26 starts with 5 days of rest. 10* play on Houston Astros -1.5. |
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10-22-19 | Nationals v. Astros -1.5 | Top | 5-4 | Loss | -100 | 10 h 30 m | Show |
WORLD SERIES GAME 1 BOOKIE BREAKER *TOP PLAY* I like the Houston Astros to come through with a multiple-run win here in Game 1 of the World Series. Astros righty Gerrit Cole (3-0, 0.40 ERA) has been straight up dominant in the postseason with 32 Ks and just one run allowed covering 22 2/3 frames over his three postseason starts. While Nats' starter Max Scherzer (2-0, 1.80 ERA) has had a strong postseason of his own, I find it more impressive of Cole to shut down American League powerhouses and Houston also has a bullpen advantage. It's also quite possible that Washington's week off since sweeping the NLCS did more harm than good. Astros are 23-3 in Coles last 26 home starts and I'm happy to back the home team on the runline at this price. 10* play on Houston Astros. |
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10-08-19 | Astros -1.5 v. Rays | Top | 1-4 | Loss | -137 | 13 h 58 m | Show |
GAME OF THE WEEK (MLB): MIKE'S TOP RATED ASTROS @ RAYS SIDE The Tampa Bay Rays fought off elimination with a 10-3 win in Monday's Game 3, but I think they'll come up well short here in Game 4. The Houston Astros watched the Yankees sweep the Twins last night, and they'll be looking to close this series ASAP to avoid a rest disadvantage for the ALCS. Houston ace Justin Verlander (1-0, 0.00 ERA) knocked out eight through seven innings of a 6-2 Astros win in the opener of this series, and he is 6-3 with a 2.87 ERA in 10 career starts at Tropicana Field. As for the Rays, they'll open with Diego Castillo who had little success as an opener during the regular season (6.15 ERA in six outings). The Astros was 12-3 against the runline as a road favorite of -220 or more during the regular season. 10* play on Houston Astros. |
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09-26-19 | Indians -1.5 v. White Sox | Top | 0-8 | Loss | -127 | 14 h 14 m | Show |
GAME OF THE MONTH (MLB): MIKE'S TOP RATED RUNLINE RIPPER Wednesday's 8-3 loss to the Chicago White Sox put the division title out of reach for the Cleveland Indians. They still have a shot at making the postseason, but can not afford another slip-up as they enter Thursday trailing the wild card-leading Rays by two games and Oakland by 1 1/2 games for the second wild card. Tonight Cleveland hands the ball to right-hander Aaron Civale (3-3, 1.82 ERA) who's having a great rookie season. He has not allowed more than two earned runs in any of his nine career starts and limited Detroit to one run on four hits in 7 2/3 innings last time out. As for White Sox starter Dylan Cease (4-7, 5.79 ERA), the right-hander has not had quite as an impressive rookie season as Civale, and he was tagged with four runs through 6 2/3 innings when he took on Cleveland earlier on September 3. Every game is a must-win game for the Tribe down the stretch, and I expect a big win for the visitors in this one. 10* play on Cleveland Indians. |
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09-25-19 | Twins -1.5 v. Tigers | Top | 5-1 | Win | 100 | 7 h 53 m | Show |
TOP RATED WEDNESDAY NIGHT MLB RUNLINE RIPPER The Minnesota Twins could clinch an American League Central Division championship with a win over Detroit and a Cleveland loss to the Chicago White Sox. I expect a motivated Twins team to do their part of the equation. Minnesota rookie right-hander Randy Dobnak (1-1, 2.01 ERA) has made just four career starts and covered 22 1/3 innings overall this season, but he's been solid. The 24-year-old held KC to one run on three hits over 5 1/3 innings his last time out for his first career win. As for Detroit starter Daniel Norris (3-13, 4.58 ERA), the left-hander has worked just three innings in seven consecutive starts. That's likely to be the case here as well, and then he'll hand over the ball to Detroit bullpen that has an ERA that ranks in the bottom third of the major leagues. Tigers are 15-61 in their last 76 games vs. a right-handed starter and 5-21 in Norris' last 26 home starts. Twins are 5-1 in the last 6 meetings in Detroit. 10* play on Minnesota Twins. |
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09-22-19 | Giants v. Braves -1.5 | Top | 4-1 | Loss | -106 | 6 h 29 m | Show |
TOP RATED MLB RUNLINE PLAY OF THE DAY This will be the Atlanta Braves' final home game of the regular season, and I think they'll be amped up and ready put on a show for the home town crowd. San Francisco starter Logan Webb (1-2, 6.51 ERA) has made just six career starts, and the 22-year-old rookie is 0-2 with a 10.22 ERA over his last three. As for Atlanta starter Dallas Keuchel (8-6, 3.63 ERA), the veteran southpaw had allowed just four runs during a 5-0 six-game stretch before being tagged with five runs in a 5-4 loss against Philadelphia last time out. Braves are 13-3 in their last 16 home games vs. a right-handed starter and Keuchel owns a solid 2.72 ERA in nine home starts on the season. 10* play on Atlanta Braves. |
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09-21-19 | Pirates v. Brewers -1.5 | Top | 1-10 | Win | 100 | 17 h 1 m | Show |
GAME OF THE WEEK (MLB): MIKE'S TOP RATED SAT NIGHT RUNLINE The Milwaukee Brewers have won 13 of their last 15 after putting a 10-1 beating on the Pittsburgh Pirates Friday night. Still, every remaining game is a must-win game for the Brewers down the stretch as they look to hang on to one of the wild cards in the National League, and I expect a focused Brew Crew side to get the W here. The Buccs are losers of six straight games and have not covered the runline in any of those contests. Here they'll start 26-year-old rookie right-hander James Marvel (0-2, 9.00 ERA) who has just two career starts under his belt, and his hideous ERA should tell you how they went. As for Milwaukee starter Zach Davies (10-7, 3.70 ERA), the Brewers have won and covered the runline in each of his last four starts with the right-hander allowing only five earned runs through 19 innings of work. 10* play on Milwaukee Brewers. |
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09-18-19 | Royals v. A's -1.5 | Top | 0-1 | Loss | -118 | 16 h 48 m | Show |
TOP RATED MLB RUNLINE PLAY OF THE DAY (EARLY START) The Oakland Athletics have plenty on the line down the stretch as they're in a tight race with Cleveland and Tampa Bay for the two wild cards in the American League. I like them to come away with a comfortable win here, facing a KC team with left-hander Danny Duffy on the mound. Duffy (6-6, 4.55 ERA) is coming off a pair of solid outings, but he's still struggled with his command and issued six walks across those two games. Duffy has also had trouble with the long ball, serving up seven homers over his last five starts, and that could spell big trouble here against the A's who are one of the home run happiest team in baseball. As for Oakland starter Homer Bailey (13-8, 4.76 ERA), the 33-year-old righty has been sharp in recent months and held opponents to two or fewer runs in five of his last six starts. Bailey is 3-0 with a 2.93 ERA in five starts at Oakland Coliseum on the season, with Oakland winning four of those contests. 10* play on Oakland Athletics. |
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09-17-19 | Mets -1.5 v. Rockies | Top | 6-1 | Win | 100 | 18 h 32 m | Show |
TOP RATED TUESDAY NIGHT MLB RUNLINE MAJOR WAGER The Colorado Rockies defeated the NY Mets 9-4 in Monday night's opener of this three-game set. The Mets will now enter Tuesday five games behind the Chicago Cubs for the second wild card in the National League with just 12 games remaining. I do not think they're ready to give up on the season just yet though, particularly not with Marcus Stroman on the mound Tuesday night. Stroman (8-13, 3.35 ERA) is coming off six-plus innings of one-run ball against Arizona and the team has won five of his eight starts since coming over from Toronto. The losses came against Chicago Cubs and Philadelphia x 2, two teams far stronger than the 66-85 Rockies. As for Colorado starter Tim Melville (2-2, 5.16 ERA), the 29-year-old right-hander has just nine major league starts under his belt, and he has allowed 10 runs on 12 hits (five homers over his last five innings here at Coors Field. Mets are 15-5 in their last 20 road games vs. a right-handed starter and 15-6 in their last 21 Tuesday games. Rockies are 1-10 in their last 11 Tuesday games. 10* play on New York Mets. |
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09-16-19 | White Sox v. Twins -1.5 | Top | 3-5 | Win | 100 | 15 h 50 m | Show |
TOP RATED MLB RUNLINE PLAY OF THE DAY The Minnesota Twins look like a good favorite here in the opener of a three-game series with the Chicago White Sox in Minneapolis. Twins righty Jose Berrios (12-8, 3.63 ERA) is coming off seven scoreless innings of two-hit ball in a 5-0 win against Washington. Berrios is 10-2 with a 2.40 ERA in 13 career starts against the White Sox, and he has limited them to 16 runs over 27 innings of work (3.00 ERA) this season. As for White Sox starter Reynaldo Lopez (9-13, 5.35), the right-hander is 1-3 with a 5.30 ERA in six career starts against the Twins. The White Sox have dropped four of their last five games and should not stand much of a chance here against an amped up Twins team who will be looking to take one step closer to the division title. 10* play on Minnesota Twins. |
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09-12-19 | Cardinals -1.5 v. Rockies | Top | 10-3 | Win | 100 | 7 h 12 m | Show |
TOP RATED 10* MLB PLAY OF THE DAY (RUNLINE) The Colorado Rockies have won the first two games of this series by identical 2-1 scores, but I think the St. Louis Cardinals look like a solid road favorite here in the finale of a three-game series. The Rockies hand the ball to 29-year old right-hander Tim Melville (2-1, 3.66 ERA) who has made just four starts on the season. He gave up five runs on seven hits in just two innings of an 11-4 loss to Pittsburgh his last time out here at Coors Field. As for Cardinals' starter Miles Mikolas (8-13, 4.25 ERA), the righty has pitched very well lately allowing a total of only five runs on 11 hits while covering 17 innings over his last three starts. 10* play on St. Louis Cardinals. |
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09-12-19 | Yankees -1.5 v. Tigers | Top | 10-4 | Win | 100 | 21 h 39 m | Show |
WEDNESDAY TOP RATED 10* MLB PLAY OF THE DAY The Detroit Tigers claimed Tuesday night's matchup 12-11, but I like the Bronx Bombers to bounce back with a big win here on Wednesday. CC Sabathia (5-8, 4.93 ERA) will come off the injured list and take the ball for the Yankees. He got through a bullpen session on Monday without any issues. "This is way better than I thought," Sabathia told reporters. "I didn't think I was going to get to this point, not with this knee. I think we knew coming into this season, it was going to be a battle. To still be able to have a chance to make starts is all I wanted." Sabathia may not go all that many innings, but we can note that the solid Yankee right-hander Domingo German (17-4, 4.21 ERA) is expected to be the first reliever out of the bullpen. As for Detroit starter Matthew Boyd (8-10, 4.57 ERA), the left-hander has struggled since the All Star break and he has surrendered eight runs on 16 hits (four homers) over 12 1/3 innings of work in his last two starts alone. The Yankees are 8-2 SU (7-3 against the runline) as a favorite of -190 or more and coming off a loss. 10* play on New York Yankees. |
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09-08-19 | Giants v. Dodgers -1.5 | Top | 0-5 | Win | 100 | 6 h 9 m | Show |
MLB RUNLINE PLAY OF THE DAY *BIG BET ALERT* The Los Angeles Dodgers have the division more or less wrapped up, but they should be triggered and motivated for this one after getting blanked on Saturday to make it back-to-back losses to the Giants. Dodgers left-hander Julio Urias (4-3, 2.55 ERA) owns a 1.47 ERA over 30 2/3 innings of work versus San Francisco who counters with Dereck Rodriguez. Rodriguez (5-8, 5.15 ERA) has been rocked in previous meetings with the Dodgers and don't let his seven innings of one-run ball (a solo homer) at St. Louis last time out fool you; the 27-year-old righty had allowed 11 runs on 14 hits (four home runs) over just nine innings in his last two starts prior to that. 10* play on Los Angeles Dodgers. |
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09-07-19 | Giants v. Dodgers -1.5 | Top | 1-0 | Loss | -123 | 20 h 30 m | Show |
SATURDAY NIGHT MLB RUNLINE *TOP PLAY* The San Francisco stunned the LA Dodgers with a 5-4 win on Friday. I expect the home team to bounce back with a multiple-run triumph on Saturday. Dodgers rookie right-hander Tony Gonsolin (2-1, 2.89 ERA) has made just six major league appearances (five starts), but apart from his debut, they've all been solid. He has allowed just one run on four hits over 11 innings of work over two starts at Dodger Stadium, beating the Cards and the Yankees. As for San Francisco starter Tyler Beede (3-9, 5.61 ERA), the team has lost each of the 26-year-old right-hander's last eight starts and has not covered the runline once during that stretch. Beede himself has surrendered at least three runs in all those starts while not making it through the fifth inning once. 10* play on LA Dodgers. |
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09-05-19 | White Sox v. Indians -1.5 | Top | 7-1 | Loss | -106 | 9 h 10 m | Show |
GAME OF THE WEEK (MLB): MIKE'S TOP RATED RUNLINE RIPPER *MAX PLAY* The Cleveland Indians have won two of the first three games of this series following an 8-6 triumph Wednesday night. They've covered the runline in each of their last nine wins, and I expect an easy win for the Tribe here Thursday afternoon. Cleveland righty Zach Plesac (7-5, 3.61 ERA) is a dominant 5-1 behind a 3.09 ERA home at Progressive Field on the season, and the Indians have won each of his last seven home starts. As for Chicago starter Reynaldo Lopez (8-12, 5.41 ERA), the 25-year-old right-hander was tagged with six runs on as many hits in two-thirds of an inning at Atlanta last time out to fall to 3-7 with an ugly 6.18 ERA in 14 road starts this year. The Indians are 8-1 in their last 9 home games vs. a right-handed starter, and we can also note Lopez's 5.40 ERA in five career starts against Cleveland. 10* play on Cleveland Indians. |
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09-03-19 | Blue Jays v. Braves -1.5 | Top | 2-7 | Win | 100 | 10 h 55 m | Show |
TUESDAY NIGHT MLB BIG HITTER *TOP PLAY* The Atlanta Braves made it five wins in a row (straight up and against the runline) with a 6-3 triumph over the Toronto Blue Jays on Monday. They've scored 41 runs during that stretch and look good to pick up another easy win here in the finale of this two-game series. Braves righty Mike Foltynewicz (4-5, 5.59 ERA) is not having a great year, but the Braves have won each of his last eight starts and Foltynewicz went 2-0 with a 3.90 ERA in five starts in August. He closed out the month with 4-plus innings of two-run ball in a 9-4 win at Toronto. As for Toronto's pitching situation, Wilmer Font (3-3, 4.22 ERA) will most likely serve as the opener, but who will follow is still unclear. T.J. Zeuch will follow Font as the bulk reliever, and I don't think the red hot Braves will have any trouble producing runs against anyone from the Jays' pitching staff. 10* play on Atlanta Braves. |
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09-02-19 | Twins -1.5 v. Tigers | Top | 4-3 | Loss | -137 | 5 h 28 m | Show |
EARLY MLB PLAY OF THE DAY *MAX BET* The Minnesota Twins put an 8-3 beating on the Detroit Tigers on Sunday, and I think they'll come through with another blowout win here in the finale of this four-game series Monday afternoon. Twins righty Jake Odorizzi (14-6, 3.55 ERA) is 3-0 with an outstanding 1.93 ERA in four career outings at Comerica Park and the Twins are 6-0 in his last six starts versus the Tigers. Detroit right-hander Jordan Zimmermann (1-9, 6.24 ERA) meanwhile is 0-6 with a 7.38 ERA in eight home starts on the season and 4-5 with a 6.89 ERA in 10 career starts against the Twins. They smacked him around for five runs on eight hits in just three innings back in April ... The Twins are 9-3 against the runline as a road favorite of -170 or larger this season. 10* play on Minnesota Twins. |
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09-01-19 | Twins -1.5 v. Tigers | Top | 8-3 | Win | 100 | 10 h 50 m | Show |
GAME OF THE WEEK (MLB): MIKE'S SUNDAY AFTERNOON RUNLINE *TOP PLAY* The Minnesota Twins saw their six-game winning streak come to an end with a 10-7 loss here at Detroit Tigers on Saturday. They're 7-1 SU (6-2 against the runline) as a -200 favorite or more off a loss this season, and I have no doubt they'll bounce back with an easy win here. The Twins have won five of right-hander Michael Pineda's last six starts, covering the runline in each of the last four wins. Pineda (10-5, 4.16 ERA) is coming off five innings of one-run ball at Chicago White Sox and has allowed three or fewer runs in eight of his last nine appearances. As for Tigers starter Spencer Turnbull (3-13, 4.18 ERA), the team has lost his last 12 starts, 11 of the losses by at least two runs. 10* play on Minnesota Twins. |
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08-31-19 | White Sox v. Braves -1.5 | Top | 5-11 | Win | 105 | 18 h 20 m | Show |
MLB RUNLINE RIPPER *TOP PLAY* The Atlanta Braves came through with a 10-7 triumph over the Chicago White Sox Friday night. I expect this to be another easy win for the red hot Braves who are 9-2 in their last 11 games. For this one Atlanta hands the ball to Dallas Keuchel (5-5, 3.78 ERA). He has allowed just one run in 19 innings of work over his last three starts overall and the 31-year-old left-hander is 2-1 with a 2.29 ERA in six home starts on the season. As for Chicago starter Reynaldo Lopez (8-11, 5.08 ERA), he is 3-6 with a 5.48 ERA in 13 road starts on the season. 10* play on Atlanta Braves. |
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08-29-19 | A's -1.5 v. Royals | Top | 9-8 | Loss | -125 | 7 h 32 m | Show |
TOP RATED 10* MLB RUNLINE *PLAY OF THE DAY* The Kansas City Royals earned a come-from-behind 6-4 win Wednesday, a big blow for the Oakland Athletics who are trying to hold on the second wild card in the American League. I think the motivated Athletics look primed to bounce back and win the series finale Thursday afternoon. The pitching matchup is in massive favor of the visitors. Note that Oakland righty Chris Bassitt (9-5, 3.59 ERA) is 2-0 with a 2.05 ERA in his past five starts while KC righty Glenn Sparkman (3-9, 5.52 ERA) has gone 0-4 with a 7.50 ERA in his past seven starts. Royals are 3-13 in Sparkman's last 16 starts and 2-9 in their last 11 home games. The A's are 21-5 in their last 26 games following a loss and 10-3 in the last 13 meetings with the Royals in Kansas City. 10* play on Oakland Athletics. |
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08-27-19 | Indians -1.5 v. Tigers | Top | 10-1 | Win | 105 | 14 h 33 m | Show |
100% PERFECT TOP RATED 10* MLB RUNLINE PLAY OF THE DAY The Cleveland Indians are battling for on the American League Wild Cards and need to get back on track ASAP following a 9-8 loss to Kansas City on Monday. The Indians have won 12 of 13 matchups with the Tigers in 2019 and Detroit righty Spencer Turnbull (3-12, 4.05 ERA) is 0-4 with a 6.30 ERA in four starts versus the Tribe this season. As for Cleveland starter Adam Plutko (5-3, 4.54 ERA), the right-hander has an ugly 5.56 ERA in two starts against Detroit this year, but he's had a solid month (3.86 ERA in four starts) and the team is 11-4 in Plutko's last 15 starts. The Indians are 9-4 in their last 13 games following an off day and 19-7 in their last 26 games following a loss. The Tigers are 0-7 in their last 7 games following an off day and 1-10 in Turnbull's last 11 home starts. 10* play on Cleveland Indians -1.5. |
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08-25-19 | Angels v. Astros -1.5 | Top | 2-11 | Win | 100 | 14 h 11 m | Show |
100% PERFECT TOP RATED MLB RUNLINE PLAY OF THE DAY The Houston Astros came through with a 5-2 win over the LA Angels Saturday night. They've won six of their last seven straight up and covered the runline in four of those victories. Angels' righty Jaime Barria (4-6, 6.35 ERA) is 0-2 with a monstrous 9.00 ERA in eight appearances (six starts) on the road in 2019. As for Houston starter Framber Valdez (3-6, 5.58 ERA), the left-hander had been roughed up over several starts before getting sent down to Triple-A Round Rock to recalibrate. The 25-year-old Dominican should be eager to prove himself here, and we can note that his 4.23 ERA home at Minute Maid Park is significantly better than his 7.25 ERA away from home. Houston is one of the absolute best hitting teams in baseball and should have no trouble to bail out Valdez if he can't deliver the goods. 10* play on Houston Astros. |
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08-24-19 | Angels v. Astros -1.5 | Top | 2-5 | Win | 100 | 19 h 12 m | Show |
100% PERFECT TOP RATED 10* MLB PLAY OF THE DAY The Houston Astros look good to pick up an easy win against the Los Angeles Angels with a pair of southpaws taking the mound Saturday night. Note that Houston ranks third in baseball with a .285 batting average against left-handers this year while the Angels are among the worst, hitting just .242 as. Angels left-hander Dillon Peters (3-1, 3.92 ERA) has a 4.13 ERA in five appearances (three starts) on the road this season. His last start away from home was an ugly one, as Peters was five runs (four earned) on seven hits and four walks in four innings of an 8-7 team loss at Texas on August 19. As for Houston starter Wade Miley (12-4, 3.18 ERA), the veteran southpaw is 6-1 with a dominant 2.25 ERA in 11 starts home at Minute maid Park on the season. Additionally, Miley is 2-0 with a 2.28 ERA in two starts against the Halos in 2019. The Astros have been a profitable bet against the runline as large home favorites all season, and I like them to get the job done here. 10* play on Houston Astros. |
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08-23-19 | Royals v. Indians -1.5 | Top | 1-4 | Win | 105 | 16 h 14 m | Show |
GAME OF THE WEEK (MLB): MIKE'S TOP RATED RUNLINE RIPPER The Cleveland Indians head home to Progressive Field with a chip on their shoulder after opening the week with an 0-3 trip to New York. While they couldn't beat the Mets at Citi Field, the Tribe should come through with an easy win here against the lowly Kansas City Royals. KC right-hander Jakob Junis (8-11, 4.78 ERA) is 1-3 with an ugly 6.52 ERA in four starts against the Indians this season while Cleveland righty Zach Plesac (6-4, 3.53 ERA) has held the Royals to four earned runs over 15 2/3 innings of work. We can also note that Cleveland is 22-10 over its last 32 games overall and 22-6 in its last 28 after scoring two runs or fewer in their previous game (it was shut out Thursday night). 10* play on Cleveland Indians -1.5. |
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08-20-19 | White Sox v. Twins -1.5 | Top | 4-14 | Win | 100 | 14 h 27 m | Show |
GAME OF THE MONTH (MLB): MIKE'S TOP RATED RUNLINE RIPPER We lost with the Minnesota Twins as a premium pick yesterday as the Chicago White Sox claimed the opener of this series 6-4 as a rather sizeable underdog. The Twins are still 11-3 against the runline as a home favorite of -200 or more this season, and I expect them to bounce back in a big way Tuesday night. Note that while the Twins may have scored fewer runs than the White Sox in the series opener, they still out-hit their opponent 15-8. Here they'll get a look at righty Reynaldo Lopez (7-10, 5.29 ERA) who is 0-2 with a 5.40 ERA in three career starts at Target Field. As for Twins starter Michael Pineda (8-5, 4.20 ERA), he owns a solid 3.08 ERA in six career starts against the White Sox and he is 2-0 with a 2.08 ERA in two starts versus the club this season. 10* play on Minnesota Twins. |
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08-06-19 | Marlins v. Mets -1.5 | Top | 0-5 | Win | 100 | 4 h 56 m | Show |
The surging New York Mets have won 11 of their last 12 games and are one of several teams battling for the two wild cards in the National League. They had no trouble to take care of business in Monday's doubleheader with the Miami Marlins, and I expect the Mets to keep rolling here. Miami hands the ball to right-hander Jordan Yamamoto (4-2, 3.94 ERA) who has been lit up for 15 runs through his last three starts. The Mets counter with Zack Wheeler (8-6, 4.45 ERA) who tossed seven innings of shutout ball in Thursday's 4-0 win at the Chicago White Sox. Wheeler is 6-2 with a 1.95 ERA in 12 career starts against the Marlins and the Mets are 6-1 in his last seven home starts. Edit: the Marlins have now announced Hector Noesi as the starter. I still like the Mets to win easily. Marlins are 0-6 in the last 6 meetings at Citi Field. 10* play on NY Mets -1.5. |
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08-04-19 | Mets -1.5 v. Pirates | Top | 13-2 | Win | 120 | 11 h 6 m | Show |
TOP RATED 10* MLB RUNLINE RIPPER The red hot New York Mets had recorded seven straight victories before taking a loss in the second game of this series with the Pirates Friday night. They bounced back with a 7-5 triumph on Saturday, and I think they'll close out this series with another win behind Noah Syndergaard (7-5, 4.10 ERA). The 26-year-old right-hander had a poor first half of the season, but he has really stepped up his game since and owns a 1.91 ERA in four starts since the All-Star break. Syndergaard has posted a 1.77 ERA in three career starts against the Pirates who counter with righty Joe Musgrove (8-9, 4.23 ERA). Musgrove was rocked by the Cards his last home start and owns a 4.52 ERA in 12 outings (11 starts) at PNC Park on the season. Pirates are 1-8 in their last 9 games vs. a right-handed starter. Mets are 7-1 in their last 8 games vs. a right-handed starter. Mets are 5-1 in the last 6 meetings. 10* play on New York Mets -1.5. |
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08-02-19 | Mariners v. Astros -1.5 | Top | 2-10 | Win | 100 | 16 h 49 m | Show |
TOP RATED 10* MLB RUNLINE PLAY OF THE DAY The Houston Astros are coming off a 7-1 victory at Cleveland on Thursday look like a good home favorite with left-hander Wade Miley (9-4, 3.06 ERA) on the mound. They're 6-1 SU (5-2 against the runline) in his seven starts as a home favorite this season and Miley himself was a red hot 3-0 with a 2.03 ERA in five turns in August. The Mariners counter with lefty Yusei Kikuchi (4-7, 5.21 ERA). He limited Detroit to two runs on seven hits over 6 2/3 innings as a home favorite last time out, but the team is 0-5 SU and 1-4 against the runline in his last five starts closing as an underdog. Kikuchi took on Houston on June 29 and was tagged with five runs (three earned) on six hits and three walks over five innings. Astros are 14-3 in their last 17 home games vs. a left-handed starter. Mariners are 2-9 in Kikuchi's last 11 starts. 10* play on Houston Astros -1.5. |
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07-21-19 | Rockies v. Yankees -1.5 | Top | 8-4 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 53 m | Show |
GAME OF THE MONTH (MLB): MIKE'S TOP RATED RUNLINE RIPPER The reeling Colorado Rockies are losers of six straight, but the New York Yankees have shown no mercy over the first couple of games in this series and I don't see Sunday's finale being any different. The Yankees hand the ball to left-hander James Paxton (5-4, 3.94 ERA) who has posted a 2.50 ERA in his last three starts. Paxton allowed just two runs in six innings against the Tampa Bay Rays his last time out and owns a 3.52 ERA in three career starts against Colorado. The Rockies turn to German Marquez (8-5, 5.12 ERA) who is winless in his last three starts and has posted a 7.55 ERA over his last seven. Bad time to take on a Yankees team that is raking at the moment with 38 runs scored over its last five games, all wins straight up and against the runline. 10* play on New York Yankees. |
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07-16-19 | Nationals -1.5 v. Orioles | Top | 8-1 | Win | 100 | 14 h 12 m | Show |
TOP RATED 10* MLB PLAY OF THE DAY The Washington Nationals have been of the hottest teams in baseball in recent weeks despite coming off a tough 4-3 walk-off defeat in Philadelphia on Sunday. They're 4-0 in their last four games following an off day and look good to bounce back here against Baltimore. The Orioles have the worst record across the major leagues. They've lost both of right-hander Asher Wojciechowski's (0-2, 6.10 ERA) starts in 2019 with the right-hander allowing seven runs over 9 2/3 combined innings of work. The Nats hand the ball to Austin Voth (0-0, 5.52 ERA) who has had little success through his first three starts this season. He is, however, coming off six scoreless innings for Harrisburg in the minors and should have little to fear from an Orioles side that averages just 4.15 runs per game. Washington is 11-3 SU (9-5 against the runline) as a favorite of -180 or more this season. 10* play on Washington Nationals -1.5. |
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07-15-19 | Tigers v. Indians -1.5 | Top | 6-8 | Win | 100 | 16 h 14 m | Show |
TOP RATED 10* MLB RUNLINE RIPPER The Cleveland Indians have won seven of their last nine to move 6 ½ games behind Minnesota Twins who still sit top of the AL Central. Tonight the Tribe host the worst team in the division, and I think they'll handle Detroit with ease. Adam Plutko (3-1, 4.95 ERA) will toe the slab for Cleveland. The 27-year-old righty has made just seven appearances (six starts) in 2019, but most have been of the better variety. He fanned six over six solid innings of a 13-4 win over Detroit on June 14 and owns a 26/4 K/BB ratio on the season. The Tigers counter with Daniel Norris (2-8, 4.96 ERA). They've lost eight of the left-hander's last 10 starts and he was tagged with six runs in five innings of a 7-5 loss to the White Sox last time out. He also gave up six runs in an 8-3 loss at Cleveland on June 23. The Indians are 9-2 in their last 11 games vs. a left-handed starter. The Tigers are 3-9 in Norris' last 12 road starts. 10* play on Cleveland Indians. |
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07-14-19 | White Sox v. A's -1.5 | Top | 2-3 | Loss | -108 | 12 h 28 m | Show |
GAME OF THE WEEK (MLB): TOP RATED RUNLINE RIPPER The Oakland Athletics have come out of the All-Star break all guns blazing, and I think they'll put another beating on the Chicago White Sox here in the finale of this three-game series Sunday afternoon. Reynaldo Lopez (4-8, 6.34 ERA) will toe the slab for the White Sox. He has allowed at least three runs in each of his last four starts and was tagged with six on nine hits in an 11-5 loss to Detroit last time out. The Athletics are 16-5 in their last 21 games vs. a right-handed starter. The A's turn to left-hander Brett Anderson (9-5, 3.86 ERA) who has held four of his last five opponents to two or fewer runs. The A's have won five of his last six starts and seven of his last nine. The White Sox are 2-6 in their last 8 road games vs. a left-handed starter and the A's are 14-3 in Anderson's last 17 home starts vs. a team with a losing record. Oakland has outscored Chicago 18-3 through the first two games of the series. This looks like it will be another blowout win for the home team. 10* play on Oakland Athletics -1.5. |
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07-07-19 | Marlins v. Braves -1.5 | Top | 3-4 | Loss | -107 | 11 h 9 m | Show |
TOP RATED 10* SUNDAY AFTERNOON RUNLINE RIPPER The Miami Marlins snapped an overall five-game losing streak and an eight-game losing streak to the Atlanta Braves with a 5-4 victory on Saturday. I do not like their chances of making it two on the bounce though. Note that the Braves are 7-1 in their last 8 games following a loss and 12-2 in their last 14 after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game. Here the Braves hand the ball to Dallas Keuchel (1-2, 4.08 ERA) for his fourth start of the season. He limited Philadelphia to a pair of runs through seven innings of work last time out and owns a 1.50 ERA in two career starts against Miami. The Marlins hand the ball to Trevor Richards (3-9, 4.02 ERA) who has held the Braves to one run over 11 1/3 innings in two starts this season, but I think they'll get to him today. Note that the Marlins have lost each of Richard's last five starts and he has been tagged with nine runs in the last two alone. 10* play on Atlanta Braves -1.5. |
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06-26-19 | Dodgers -1.5 v. Diamondbacks | Top | 2-8 | Loss | -100 | 9 h 17 m | Show |
GAME OF THE WEEK (MLB): TOP RATED 10* MAJOR WAGER RUNLINE The red hot LA Dodgers have won seven of their last eight. The lone loss during that stretch came in the opener of this series Monday night, but they bounced back with a 3-2 triumph in Game 2 and look good to make it two on the bounce here as two inexperienced pitchers will clash on the mound Wednesday afternoon. Dodgers' right-hander Tony Gonsolin is set to make his MLB debut after posting a 2.77 ERA in eight minor league starts with Triple-A Oklahoma City. The timing is perfect as he'll face a reeling Diamondbacks side that has struggled to manufacture runs while losing seven of its last nine games. Arizona hands the ball to rookie right-hander Taylor Clarke (1-3, 6.48 ERA) who has been smacked around plenty lately going 0-2 with a 10.00 ERA in his last five starts. His very last start, Clarke was tagged with six runs on seven hits (two homers) in just three innings of an 11-5 loss against a weak Giants lineup. The Dodgers' bats are among the best in the major leagues, and I expect an easy win for the visitors. 10* play on Los Angeles Dodgers -1.5. |
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06-25-19 | Royals v. Indians -1.5 | Top | 8-6 | Loss | -114 | 13 h 29 m | Show |
TOP RATED 10* MLB PLAY OF THE DAY (RUNLINE) The Cleveland Indians needed extra innings to take care of business in the opener of this three-game series Monday night. They're a red hot 9-2 over their last 11 games and 6-1 in their last seven, and I expect a more comfortable win for the surging Tribe Tuesday night. Cleveland right-hander Shane Bieber (6-3, 3.86 ERA) held Texas to two runs on five hits with eight strikeouts in six innings last time out. He has recorded 20 Ks over his last two starts combined and should have little to fear from this weak KC lineup. The Royals counter with right-hander Glenn Sparkman (2-3, 3.62 ERA) who held Minnesota to one run over a career-high seven innings of a 4-1 victory versus Minnesota on Thursday. That was home at the K though; note that Sparkman has struggled on the road this year posting a 7.82 ERA over five appearances (two starts). Royals are 12-42 in their last 54 road games vs. a team with a winning home record. Royals are 1-4 in Sparkman's last 5 starts. Indians are 5-1 in Bieber's last 6 home starts. 10* play on Cleveland Indians -1.5. |
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06-24-19 | Blue Jays v. Yankees -1.5 | Top | 8-10 | Win | 100 | 19 h 54 m | Show |
TOP RATED 10* MLB PLAY OF THE DAY The New York Yankees had won eight straight both straight up and against the runline before taking a 9-4 beating by the Houston Astros on Sunday. This looks like a good spot for the Bronx Bombers to bounce back in a big way against the Toronto Blue Jays Monday night. Yankees' left-hander CC Sabathia (4-4, 4.14 ERA) held the Rays to one run over six innings of a 12-1 triumph last time out to improve to 3-1 behind a 2.18 ERA in six starts home at Yankee Stadium on the season. He is 18-12 with a 3.65 ERA in 35 career starts against the Jays who counter with Aaron Sanchez (3-9, 5.49 ERA). The 26-year-old right-hander has been lit up in each of his last three starts, allowing a total of 19 earned runs covering just 12 2/3 innings of work. Blue Jays are 1-10 in their last 11 during game 1 of a series. Blue Jays are 1-9 in Sanchez's last 10 road starts vs. a team with a winning record. Yankees are 29-10 in Sabathia's last 39 home starts. 10* play on NY Yankees -1.5. |
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06-20-19 | Twins -1.5 v. Royals | Top | 1-4 | Loss | -107 | 13 h 28 m | Show |
GAME OF THE WEEK (MLB): TOP RATED 10* RUNLINE RIPPER The Minnesota Twins look like a road favorite well worth the money at Kansas City Thursday night. Royals right-hander Glenn Sparkman (1-3, 4.01 ERA) is 0-3 with a 6.75 ERA in five career games (one start) against Minnesota. He last faced the Twins at Target Field on Saturday when he gave up all five runs (four earned) through five innings of the 5-4 loss. Minnesota right-hander Jake Odorizzi (10-2, 2.24 ERA) was charged with all four Royals' runs in that contest. We can however note that in his last eight starts prior to that contest, Odorizzi had allowed a total of four runs with six of those outings of the scoreless variety. Minnesota averages 6.64 runs per game on the road and should have no trouble covering the runline. 10* play on Minnesota Twins -1.5. |
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06-11-19 | Mariners v. Twins -1.5 | Top | 5-6 | Loss | -100 | 13 h 11 m | Show |
TOP RATED 10* MLB PLAY OF THE DAY The Minnesota Twins closed out a 10-game road trip with a 12-2 beatdown of the Tigers at Detroit on Sunday. I think they'll pick up another comfortable win here as they host the Seattle Mariners for the opener of a three-game set Monday night. Minnesota hands the ball to left-hander Martin Perez (7-2, 3.72 ERA) who held the Seattle to one run on five hits through 6 2/3 innings of a 7-1 win on May 17. He owns an 8-5 record and 3.26 ERA in 22 career appearances and 20 starts against the Mariners who counter with right-hander Mike Leake (5-6, 4.30 ERA). The 31-year-old right-hander is coming in off a complete-game 14-1 victory over the Houston Astros which puts him on a letdown spot here. Leake has posted a 4.32 ERA in four career starts against the Twins and their current roster owns a combined .368 AVG over 68 at-bats against him. The Twins are 9-1 SU and against the runline as a home favorite of -175 or more. The Mariners are 0-5 in Leake’s last 5 road starts. 10* play on Minnesota Twins RL. |
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06-07-19 | Braves -1.5 v. Marlins | Top | 7-1 | Win | 100 | 12 h 31 m | Show |
GAME OF THE WEEK (MLB): MIKE'S TOP RATED RUNLINE RIPPER The Atlanta Braves have won five of six encounters with the National League-worst Miami Marlins this season. They covered the runline in four of those triumphs and look good to pick up another comfortable victory Friday night. Braves rookie right-hander Mike Soroka (6-1, 1.41 ERA) went 3-0 with a 0.79 ERA in May and is 1-0 with a 0.77 ERA in two starts against Miami. Marlins right-hander Jose Urena (4-6, 4.14 ERA) is 2-7 with a 6.07 ERA in 15 career appearances, including 12 starts, against the Braves. Braves are 13-3 in their last 16 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of less than .400. Braves are 6-2 in Sorokas last 8 road starts. Marlins are 1-4 in their last 5 home games vs. a team with a winning record. Marlins are 1-5 in Urenas last 6 home starts. 10* play on Atlanta Braves RL. |
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06-05-19 | Yankees -1.5 v. Blue Jays | Top | 7-11 | Loss | -125 | 14 h 17 m | Show |
TOP RATED 10* MLB RUNLINE RIPPER The Toronto Blue Jays had won just one of their last 11 games prior to Tuesday's 4-3 win over the NY Yankees in the opener of this three-game series. I expect the Bronx Bombers to be fired up here after dropping back-to-back games for the first time in over a month, and runs surely won't come easy for Toronto with left-hander James Paxton on the mound for the visitors. Paxton (3-2, 2.81 ERA) tossed four hitless and scoreless innings against San Diego last time out. The Yankees have won each of his last five starts and covered the runline in four of those games. Paxton held the Jays to three runs on eight hits over 16 innings of work while with Seattle last year. Toronto hands the ball to right-hander Trent Thornton (1-4, 4.53) who will be making his 13th start. Thornton is 0-3 behind a 6.23 ERA in six starts home at Rogers Centre and was tagged with three runs on seven hits in 4 2/3 innings against the Tampa Bay Rays last time out. The Yankees are 7-1 SU and 6-2 against the runline as a road favorite of -155 or more this season. 10* play on NY Yankees -1.5. |
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06-04-19 | Yankees -1.5 v. Blue Jays | Top | 3-4 | Loss | -111 | 13 h 34 m | Show |
TOP RATED 10* MLB HEAVY HITTER The New York Yankees have won 15 of 19 games since May 11, and I don't think they'll have any trouble to take care of business here in the opener of a three-game series against the struggling Toronto Blue Jays. Toronto has lost 10 of its last 11 games and it is 0-2 in left-hander Clayton Richard's (0-1, 3.38 ERA) two starts on the season. Richards has struggled with his command issuing six walks through his eight innings on the mound. The Yankees will counter with right-hander Masahiro Tanaka (3-4, 3.20 ERA) who had allowed just two runs through his last three starts before getting charged with five (four earned) in a 5-4 loss to San Diego last time out. Tanaka rarely has two poor games in a row though, and we can note that he's 11-4 with a 2.69 ERA in 17 career starts against the Blue Jays. The Yankees are 7-0 SU and 6-1 against the runline as a road favorite of -155 or more this season. 10* play on New York Yankees. |
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05-29-19 | Cardinals v. Phillies -1.5 | Top | 4-11 | Win | 125 | 10 h 37 m | Show |
TOP RATED 10* MLB RUNLINE RIPPER The Philadelphia Phillies have won nine of their last 12 games while the St. Louis Cardinals are just 7-17 in the month of May. Tonight the Phillies hand the ball to Aaron Nola (5-0, 4.53 ERA) who has posted a 2.59 ERA in five career starts versus the Cardinals. He's been red hot since a slow start to the season, compiling a 2.76 ERA over his last six starts with Philadelphia winning each of the last five. The Cardinals counter with Genesis Cabrera who will make his major league debut. The 22-year-old southpaw was 2-3 with a 6.35 ERA at Triple-A Memphis before getting called up to take Michael Wacha's spot in the rotation. The Phillies are 27-11 in their last 38 home games vs. a left-handed starter and 9-3 against the runline as a home favorite of -150 or more this season. The Cardinals are 6-14 in their last 20 games vs. a right-handed starter. 10* play on Philadelphia Phillies RL. |