Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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10-28-23 | Heat +5.5 v. Wolves | 90-106 | Loss | -110 | 19 h 46 m | Show | |
MIKE'S HEAT/WOLVES NBA BOOKIE BU$TER The Miami Heat will play on no rest after taking a 119-111 loss at Boston last night. Playing on no rest shouldn't be that big of an issue this early in the season, and I like Miami to keep this close. The Heat are 7-2 ATS in their last nine games as an underdog of 5.0-10.5 and 15-6 ATS in their last 21 games as an underdog. The Heat are 16-8 ATS in their second straight game as underdogs. The Timberwolves are 8-20 ATS in their last 28 games as a home favorite. 3* PLAY ON MIAMI HEAT. |
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10-28-23 | 76ers -3 v. Raptors | 114-107 | Win | 100 | 22 h 18 m | Show | |
MIKE'S SIXERS/RAPTORS NBA PLAY OF THE DAY The Toronto Raptors will play on no rest after battling the Bulls in Chicago last night. While the Sixers are on the road, they've had an extra day to make it across the border to Toronto following their 117-118 loss at Milwaukee Thursday night. Sure, playing on no rest this early in the season might not be as taxing as late season, but I still give the Sixers a solid edge in this matchup. 3* PLAY ON PHILADELPHIA 76ERS. |
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10-27-23 | Warriors v. Kings -3 | 122-114 | Loss | -110 | 16 h 44 m | Show | |
MIKE's WARRIORS/KINGS SPREAD PLAY We won with the under as a free pick when the Warriors hosted Phoenix in their season opener. In the write-up, I mentioned how I expect the Warriors to play at a slower pace this season with Chris Paul in the team, and that turned out the be the case. The Kings opened the season with a 130-114 win at Utah, but I think this will be a much lower-scoring affair. Also, the under is 6-3-1 in the last 10 head-to-head meetings. In addition to the under, I also like the Kings to win and cover as they look to avenge last season's postseason exit to the Warriors. 3* PLAY ON SACRAMENTO KINGS |
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10-27-23 | Warriors v. Kings UNDER 239.5 | Top | 122-114 | Win | 100 | 22 h 50 m | Show |
5* BEST BET: MIKE'S NBA TOTAL OF THE WEEK We won with the under as a free pick when the Warriors hosted Phoenix in their season opener. In the write-up, I mentioned how I expect the Warriors to play at a slower pace this season with Chris Paul in the team, and that turned out the be the case. The Kings opened the season with a 130-114 win at Utah, but I think this will be a much lower-scoring affair. Also, the under is 6-3-1 in the last 10 head-to-head meetings. 5* PLAY ON UNDER. |
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10-27-23 | Rockets v. Spurs OVER 227 | 122-126 | Win | 100 | 14 h 41 m | Show | |
MIKE'S ROCKETS/SPURS NBA TOTAL BOOKIE BU$TER The San Antonio Spurs allowed a league-worst 123.1 points per game last year, and they took a 126-119 loss to Dallas in their first game of the season. The Houston Rockets scored only 86 points in a loss at Orlando in their season opener, but even the Rockets should be able to run up the score against this Spurs team. The over/under is 7-3 in the last 10 meetings. The total has gone over in nine of San Antonio’s last 11 games at home. The total has gone over in five of San Antonio’s last six games played on a Friday when at home. 3* PLAY ON OVER. |
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10-26-23 | 76ers +6.5 v. Bucks | Top | 117-118 | Win | 100 | 15 h 25 m | Show |
4* SIXERS/BUCKS NBA PLAY OF THE DAY The Philadelphia 76ers will have to do without James Harden (personal reasons) in their season opener, but I still think they're spotted to many points to pass up on here against the Bucks. The Bucks have a bit of a new look this year with the addition of Damian Lillard and the loss of Jrue Holiday. Cameron Payne and Khris Middleton are questionable for tonight's game. I think Dame and Giannis will work well together over the season, but perhaps not from Game 1. Let's take the points. 4* PLAY ON PHILADELPHIA 76ERS. |
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10-25-23 | Mavs v. Spurs OVER 229.5 | 126-119 | Win | 100 | 17 h 6 m | Show | |
MIKE'S MAVS/SPURS NBA TOTAL BOOKIE BU$TER The San Antonio Spurs allowed a league-worst 123.1 points per game last year. They've added the No. 1 draft pick Victor Wembanyama to the roster, and it will be very interesting to follow him this season. Mavs superstar Luka Doncic is up in the air as he's recovering from a mild calf strain. I don't think he'll miss the season opener, and I think we'll see plenty of points for both teams. 3* PLAY ON OVER. |
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10-25-23 | Pelicans -110 v. Grizzlies | Top | 111-104 | Win | 100 | 22 h 53 m | Show |
4* PELICANS/GRIZZLIES NBA TOP PLAY OF THE DAY I like the New Orleans Pelicans to open the season with a win at Memphis tonight. The Grizzlies will have to do without their suspended star guard Ja Morant for 25 games, and while they did well without him in the lineup last year I'm not sure I would trust that to happen here. Also, starting center Steven Adams will miss the season because of knee surgery which must've put a wrench in their overall game plan. The Pelicans on the other hand are healthy, which means we'll see both star forwards Zion Williamson and Brandon Ingram as well as guard CJ McCollum on the court. 4* PLAY ON NEW ORLEANS PELICANS. |
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10-24-23 | Lakers v. Nuggets -4.5 | 107-119 | Win | 100 | 32 h 37 m | Show | |
MIKE'S LAKERS/NUGGETS NBA BOOKIE BREAKER The reigning NBA champions Denver Nuggets swept the LA Lakers in the Western Conference finals last year. This is admittedly a very different Lakers team, but I'm not sure if it's for the better, and neither AD nor LeBron is getting any younger. Denver is bringing back the same starting five that won them the title, and I don't expect a championship hangover here in the season opener. 3* PLAY ON DENVER NUGGETS. |
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06-12-23 | Heat v. Nuggets -8.5 | Top | 89-94 | Loss | -110 | 21 h 31 m | Show |
Mike's 10* NBA Finals GAME OF THE YEAR So at first glance, this looks like a lot of points, but keep in mind that in the Nuggets' wins in this series, they covered the spread comfortably each time. They just won the two games in Miami by 15 and 13 points respectively, and now have the Heat on the ropes. Miami has overachieved throughout the playoffs, but is now finally getting exposed by a much better and laser-focused Denver team. I expect the Nuggets to take this one by double-digits. 10* PLAY ON DENVER NUGGETS. |
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06-09-23 | Nuggets -3.5 v. Heat | Top | 108-95 | Win | 100 | 16 h 7 m | Show |
10* Nuggets/Heat NBA TOP PLAY of the Day After losing Game 2 at home, the Nuggets took command of the series again with an impressive 109-94 win here in Miami in Game 3. If the Nuggets stay focused, I don't see them letting Miami back in the series again. Heat are 4-9 ATS in their last 13 games following a straight up loss of more than 10 points. Heat are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games following a double-digit loss at home. Nuggets are 5-0 ATS in the last 5 meetings in Miami. 10* PLAY ON DENVER NUGGETS. |
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06-07-23 | Nuggets -2 v. Heat | Top | 109-94 | Win | 100 | 17 h 11 m | Show |
Mike's 10* Nuggets/Heat Game 3 NBA *BEST BET* The teams are coming into Game 3 tied at one apiece. The Nuggets dominated Game 1 of the series, but seemed to take the food of the gas in the following game, allowing Miami to come from behind and record an upset win. The Nuggets will not make the same mistake again. The Heat are a feisty bunch, but I expect a laser-focused Denver team to dominate this game from start to finish. Nuggets are 26-10 ATS in the last 36 meetings. Nuggets are 4-0 ATS in the last 4 meetings in Miami. 10* PLAY ON DENVER NUGGETS. |
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06-04-23 | Heat v. Nuggets OVER 215.5 | Top | 111-108 | Win | 100 | 23 h 8 m | Show |
Mike's 10* Heat/Nuggets NBA Total *TOP PLAY* I expect a better offensive performance from Miami after putting up only 93 points on 41% shooting in Game 1 of the NBA finals. They had only one day rest following their Game 7 win against Boston, but have now had two days to rest and prepare. Expect fresh legs from both sides, leading to high-tempo basketball and effective offenses. Over is 4-1 in Heat last 5 games playing on 2 days rest. Over is 8-3 in Heat last 11 road games vs. a team with a winning home record. Over is 6-1 in Nuggets last 7 vs. a team with a winning straight up record. Over is 5-1 in the last 6 meetings. 10* PLAY ON OVER. |
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05-29-23 | Heat v. Celtics -7 | Top | 103-84 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 57 m | Show |
MIKE'S 10* HEAT/CELTICS NBA PLAY OF THE DAY The Celtics forced Game 7 here in Boston with a tip-in just before time expired on Saturday. One can only imagine how shocked and deflated the Heat must feel after thinking they had their finals ticket booked. All other games in the series have ended with the winning team running away with the game comfortably, and I don't see any other result here than Boston winning big in front of the home town crowd. 10* PLAY ON BOSTON CELTICS. |
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05-27-23 | Celtics -2.5 v. Heat | Top | 104-103 | Loss | -110 | 22 h 50 m | Show |
MIKE'S 10* NBA GAME OF THE WEEK All aboard the Boston Celtics bandwagon! Yes, the Celtics are about as square of a play as it gets, but they are clearly the more talented team and they have all the momentum in this series. Miami overperformed through the first three games of the series but is now choking big time. I do not see the Heat coming back and expect it to be Boston in blowouts from now on, as to be expected when a No. 1 seed faces a No. 8 seed. 10* PLAY ON BOSTON CELTICS -2.5. |
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05-25-23 | Heat v. Celtics OVER 215.5 | 97-110 | Loss | -109 | 18 h 58 m | Show | |
MIKE'S HEAT/CELTICS NBA BOOKIE BREAKER Game 4 landed on 215 points and went under the total by a bucket following three straight overs to start the series. The Celtics finally showed up and did their part by putting up 116 points while Miami sputtered in the second half. I tbink we'll see a high-scoring game here at TD Garden as the Celtics look to build on the momentum of Tuesday's win. Over is 10-1 in Heat's last 11 road games. Over is 5-2 in Celtics last 7 home games. Over is 11-4 in Celtics last 15 overall. Over is 22-8 in Heat last 30 overall. 8* PLAY ON OVER. |
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05-23-23 | Celtics v. Heat OVER 215.5 | 116-99 | Loss | -115 | 12 h 22 m | Show | |
MIKE'S CELTICS/HEAT NBA TOTAL BOOKIE BREAKER The Heat have put up 123, 111, and 128 points through the first three games of the series. The Celtics will need to put up similar numbers to get back in the series, and I don't think they're ready to pack it in just yet. This is not my strongest look the playoffs by any means, but I still think there's decent value on the over. Over is 11-3 in Celtics last 14 overall. Over is 22-7 in Heat last 29 overall. 8* PLAY ON OVER. |
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05-22-23 | Nuggets +135 v. Lakers | Top | 113-111 | Win | 135 | 13 h 21 m | Show |
MIKE'S 10* NUGGETS/LAKERS NBA GAME OF THE WEEK Through the first three games of the series, the Nuggets have made it clear that if they show up, they don't lose. The only way I see the Lakers winning here is if the Nuggets decide to take the night off to close out the series at home instead. So my reasoning is that if they lose, they won't cover the spread, and if they show up, they'll win outright. Therefore, I think we're getting better value on the moneyline than the point spread. 10* PLAY ON DENVER NUGGETS. |
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05-21-23 | Celtics v. Heat OVER 213.5 | Top | 102-128 | Win | 100 | 16 h 56 m | Show |
10* NBA TOTAL OF THE WEEK - CELTICS/HEAT G3 BEST BET Both of the first two games of this series went over the total (and this line), and the Heat are 10-5 to the over for the season. Over is 10-2 in Celtics' last 12 road games and I think they'll really push the tempo here as they're desperate for a win. Additionally, the over is 10-2 in Heat's last 12 home games. 10* PLAY ON OVER. |
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05-20-23 | Nuggets +6 v. Lakers | Top | 119-108 | Win | 100 | 17 h 4 m | Show |
10* NBA GAME OF THE MONTH - MIKE'S NUGGETS/LAKERS MAJOR WAGER Through the first two games of the series, I think the Nuggets have made it very clear that turn it up a notch and run away with the game whenever they feel like it. Here see more than a 10-point swing on the point spread compared to the two games in Denver, only because of the change of venue to LA which seems wild to me. Sure, Denver is a lot better at home than on the road, but note that the Nuggets are 6-2 ATS on the season when spotted five points or more on the road. 10* PLAY ON DENVER NUGGETS. |
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05-19-23 | Heat +9 v. Celtics | 111-105 | Win | 100 | 12 h 27 m | Show | |
MIKE'S HEAT/CELTICS NBA BOOKIE BREAKER The Heat won the opener of this series as a hefty underdog, and now the betting market expects the top-seeded Celtics to snap back with a blowout win. I get the logic, and in most cases I would back Boston here, but as I said prior to Game 1, "Miami is not your typical No. 8 seed" and this is a lot of points for a Conference Finals matchup. The Heat are scrappy, they have decent depth, and Jimmy Butler is playing out of his mind. Additionally, the Heat are 14-5 ATS in the last 19 meetings in Boston. 8* PLAY ON MIAMI HEAT. |
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05-18-23 | Lakers v. Nuggets -5.5 | Top | 103-108 | Loss | -110 | 18 h 52 m | Show |
MIKE'S 10* TOP-RATED LAKERS/NUGGETS NBA PLAY OF THE DAY The Denver Nuggets built up a big lead early before taking their foot off the gas in the backend of Game 1 of this series. In the end, the Nuggets won by six which would cover this number. The Lakers with AD and Lebron should not be underestimated, but at times it looked like men against boys, and the Lakers are now 4-10-1 ATS in the last 15 meetings in Denver. Nuggets are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games after allowing more than 125 points in their previous game. Lakers are 1-8 ATS in their last 9 games after scoring more than 125 points in their previous game. 10* PLAY ON DENVER NUGGETS. |
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05-17-23 | Heat +8 v. Celtics | 123-116 | Win | 100 | 14 h 30 m | Show | |
MIKE'S HEAT/CELTICS NBA BOOKIE BREAKER The top-seeded Boston is no doubt the better team in this series, but Miami is not your typical No. 8 seed. They're playing with a lot of heart and they are 13-5 ATS in the last 18 meetings in Boston. The Celtics have a tendency to underestimate their opponents, and I expect Miami to keep this one close. 8* PLAY ON MIAMI HEAT. |
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05-14-23 | 76ers v. Celtics -6.5 | Top | 88-112 | Win | 100 | 14 h 40 m | Show |
MIKE'S 10* CELTICS/HAWKS NBA GAME OF THE WEEK The Celtics have allowed Philly to hang around in this series until Game 7, but I think it ends with a blowout win for Boston. When focused and locked, in they're clearly the better team and they're three wins ahve come by 34, 12 and nine points. They have home-court advantage here in this win-or-go-home game, and we'll hopefully see Jason Tatum waking up earlier than in the fourth quarter, as was the case in Philly Thursday night. 10* PLAY ON BOSTON CELTICS. |
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05-12-23 | Warriors v. Lakers UNDER 221.5 | 101-122 | Loss | -115 | 17 h 15 m | Show | |
MIKE'S WARRIORS/LAKERS NBA BOOKIE BREAKER The bookmakers are releasing lower and lower totals for this series, but for a good reason. While Game 5 went over the total, I don't think that will be the case here as the Warriors' points per game average on the road is quite a lot lower than at home while the Lakers' offensive home/away splits are almost identical, but they play much better defense at home. Under is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings in Los Angeles. 8* PLAY ON UNDER. |
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05-11-23 | Nuggets v. Suns UNDER 226.5 | 125-100 | Win | 100 | 15 h 19 m | Show | |
MIKE'S NUGGETS/SUNS NBA BOOKIE BREAKER Phoenix is facing elimination following a 118-102 loss in Denver Tuesday night. The Nuggets are averaging 112.6 points per game on the road, well below their 118.7 ppg average at home. With their backs against the wall, I expect a solid defensive outing from the Suns and this total looks more than a couple of points too high to me. 8* PLAY ON UNDER. |
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05-11-23 | Nuggets v. Suns -3 | 125-100 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 46 m | Show | |
MIKE'S NUGGETS/SUNS SIDE Phoenix is facing elimination following a 118-102 loss in Denver Tuesday night. The Nuggets are averaging 112.6 points per game on the road, well below their 118.7 ppg average at home. With their backs against the wall, I expect a solid defensive outing from the Suns and this total looks more than a couple of points too high to me. In addition to the under, I also like the Suns to win and cover. Home-court advantage has been huge throughout the series, and I don't see why it wouldn't be the case here again, especially with the Suns in desperation mode. 8* PLAY ON PHOENIX SUNS. |
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05-10-23 | Lakers v. Warriors UNDER 226.5 | Top | 106-121 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 12 m | Show |
MIKE'S 10* LAKERS/WARRIORS NBA TOTAL TOP PLAY The first two games of the series went over the total, but both coaches have made adjustments defensively and the following two games both went under the total. I expect another relatively low-scoring affair here as the two teams are getting more and more familiar with each other. 10* PLAY ON UNDER. |
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05-09-23 | Suns v. Nuggets UNDER 227.5 | Top | 102-118 | Win | 100 | 14 h 26 m | Show |
MIKE'S 10* SUNS/NUGGETS NBA TOTAL PLAY OF THE DAY The over/under is 3-1 in this series, but I think this will be a relatively low-scoring affair following a 250+ game on Sunday. With this being Game 5 of the series, the teams know each other well by now and the coaches should know which adjustments to make on the defensive end. 10* PLAY ON UNDER. |
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05-09-23 | 76ers v. Celtics -7.5 | 115-103 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 57 m | Show | |
MIKE'S SIXERS/CELTICS NBA BOOKIE BREAKER The Sixers are the Celtics are coming into Game 5 tied at 2-2, which must be rather disappointing for Boston who've been favored in each game of the series, even in Philly. I expect them to bounce back with a win here after dropping Game 4 in overtime. Celtics are 9-3 ATS in their last 12 home games. Celtics are 9-2 ATS in their last 11 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record. 76ers are 2-7 ATS in the last 9 meetings. 8* PLAY ON BOSTON CELTICS. |
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05-07-23 | Celtics -2.5 v. 76ers | Top | 115-116 | Loss | -107 | 16 h 12 m | Show |
CELTICS/HAWKS NBA GAME OF THE WEEK - MIKE'S 10* MAJOR WAGER The Celtics dropped the opener of this series, but they've bounced back with a pair of impressive wins. Philadelphia is a good team, but it really lit a fire in the Celtics by winning Game 1 and I expect another comfortable Boston win here. Celtics are 9-1 ATS in their last 10 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record. Celtics are 35-17-1 ATS in their last 53 road games vs. a team with a winning home record. 76ers are 0-6 ATS in their last 6 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of greater than .600. Celtics are 7-1 ATS in the last 8 meetings. 10* PLAY ON BOSTON CELTICS. |
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05-06-23 | Knicks v. Heat -3.5 | 86-105 | Win | 100 | 8 h 42 m | Show | |
MIKE'S KNICKS/HEAT NBA BOOKIE BREAKER Miami is in control of the series after splitting the first two games in New York. Now the Heat are at home where they are 30-15 SU on the season, and Jimmy Butler is expected to be back on the hardwood after missing their Game 2 loss. While the Knicks have a decent road record, I expect the Heat to get the win and cover here. 8* PLAY ON MIAMI HEAT. |
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05-05-23 | Celtics -130 v. 76ers | Top | 114-102 | Win | 100 | 15 h 28 m | Show |
MIKE'S 10* CELTICS/SIXERS NBA TOP PLAY OF THE DAY The Celtics bounced back with a big win in Game 2 after dropping the series opener, and I think it'll be smooth sailing for Boston from here on. Celtics are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 road games vs. a team with a winning home record. Celtics are 36-16-1 ATS in their last 53 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600. 76ers are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of greater than .600. Celtics are 6-1 ATS in the last 7 meetings. 10* PLAY ON BOSTON CELTICS. |
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05-04-23 | Lakers v. Warriors UNDER 227.5 | 100-127 | Win | 100 | 12 h 18 m | Show | |
MIKE'S LAKERS/WARRIORS TOTAL The Lakers won the opener of the series behind big play from AD. I expect the Warriors to make adjustments and contain him better here, and we should see a much better defensive performance from Golden State as they look to snap back from the loss. Warriors are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games following a straight up loss. Warriors are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games following an ATS loss. Lakers are 3-9-1 ATS following a win as a road underdog, they are also 10-3 to the under in that spot and the under is 7-2 in Warriors last 9 games following an ATS loss. 8* PLAY ON UNDER. |
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05-04-23 | Lakers v. Warriors -5.5 | Top | 100-127 | Win | 100 | 12 h 19 m | Show |
MIKE'S LAKERS/WARRIORS NBA TOP PLAY OF THE DAY The Lakers won the opener of the series behind big play from AD. I expect the Warriors to make adjustments and contain him better here, and we should see a much better defensive performance from Golden State as they look to snap back from the loss. Warriors are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games following a straight up loss. Warriors are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games following an ATS loss. Lakers are 3-9-1 ATS following a win as a road underdog, they are also 10-3 to the under in that spot and the under is 7-2 in Warriors last 9 games following an ATS loss. 10* PLAY ON GOLDEN STATE WARRIORS. |
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05-03-23 | 76ers +10.5 v. Celtics | Top | 87-121 | Loss | -115 | 15 h 30 m | Show |
MIKE'S 10* SIXERS/CELTICS NBA TOP PLAY OF THE DAY Philly stole Game 1, so now we'll see Boston storm back with a blowout win in Game 2, right? Not so fast IMO. The Celtic have struggled to cover big spreads all season long and the Sixers have looked really sharp here in the playoffs, even with Embiid missing some games. I don't see Philly winning outright again, but this is too many points for Boston to cover. 10* PLAY ON PHILADELPHIA 76ERS. |
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05-02-23 | Lakers v. Warriors -4 | Top | 117-112 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 25 m | Show |
MIKE'S 10* LAKERS/WARRIORS NBA TOP PLAY OF THE DAY The Lakers defeated Memphis in six games in the first round of the NBA playoffs. The Warriors needed seven games to get past the Kings, but they did not have the homecourt advantage in that series (which they will have here against the Lakeshow). The Warriors may have a poor road record this season, but they are 40-18-1 ATS in their last 59 home games and 8-2 ATS in their last 10 home games vs. a team with a losing road record. This is a series where I could easily see the home team winning every game and I expect Golden State to run away with this one. 10* PLAY ON GOLDEN STATE WARRIORS. |
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05-02-23 | Heat v. Knicks -6.5 | 105-111 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 53 m | Show | |
MIKE'S HEAT/KNICKS NBA BOOKIE BREAKER The New York Knickerbockers got their backs against the wall as they can ill afford to lose the first two games of the series home at Madison Square Garden. Heat star Jimmy Butler is listed as doubtful after rolling his ankle in Miami's Game 1 win. Heat are 10-28-1 ATS in their last 39 games following an ATS win. Knicks are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games following an ATS loss and 10-4-1 ATS in their last 15 home games. Heat are 1-4 ATS in the last 5 meetings. 8* PLAY ON NEW YORK KNICKS. |
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05-01-23 | Suns v. Nuggets -4 | 87-97 | Win | 100 | 17 h 26 m | Show | |
MIKE'S SUNS/NUGGETS NBA BOOKIE BREAKER Denver dominated Game 1 of their Western Conference semi-final series against Phoenix, and I do not see why that wouldn't be the case again here in Game 2. Sure, the Suns are tough to beat off a loss and they're bound to make some adjustments, but they do not have the bench to compete with this Nuggets team. Nuggets are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record. Nuggets are 4-0 ATS in the last 4 meetings. 8* PLAY ON DENVER NUGGETS. |
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04-30-23 | Warriors v. Kings UNDER 229.5 | Top | 120-100 | Win | 100 | 15 h 22 m | Show |
10* NBA TOTAL OF THE YEAR - MIKE'S WESTERN CONF BEST BET The over/under is an even 3-3 for the first six games of the series, but surely we'll see a relatively low-scoring affair here in Game 7. The Warriors have plenty of Game 7 experience, and historically those games have gone under the total more often than not. Sure, the bookmakers have adjusted this total down compared to the previous games in the series, but not enough IMO. Under is 13-6-1 in the last 20 meetings in Sacramento. 10* PLAY ON UNDER. |
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04-30-23 | Heat v. Knicks -4.5 | 108-101 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 44 m | Show | |
MIKE'S HEAT/KNICKS NBA BOOKIE BREAKER Both the Knicks and the Heat won their Round 1 series as underdogs, but I like the Knicks here in the opener of this Eastern Conference semi-finals matchup. The Knicks owned Miami during the regtular season, winning three of four straight up while also covering the spread in those three games. Knicks are 13-4-1 ATS in their last 18 games following an ATS win. Knicks are 25-9-1 ATS in their last 35 games following a straight up win of more than 10 points. Heat are 16-33-2 ATS in their last 51 games following a straight up win. Heat are 9-28-1 ATS in their last 38 games following an ATS win. 8* PLAY ON NEW YORK KNICKS. |
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04-29-23 | Suns v. Nuggets -3 | 107-125 | Win | 100 | 12 h 3 m | Show | |
MIKE'S SUNS/NUGGETS NBA BOOKIE BREAKER This will no doubt be an amazing series between two great teams, but I'll gladly back Denver at this number in Game 1 of the series. Phoenix has the better starting five (probably), but they sacrificed a lot of depth when they traded for Kevin Durant, and it will be tough for them to adjust to the altitude in Denver. Suns are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600. Nuggets are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record. 8* PLAY ON DENVER NUGGETS. |
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04-28-23 | Grizzlies v. Lakers -4.5 | Top | 85-125 | Win | 100 | 20 h 32 m | Show |
MIKE'S GRIZZLIES/LAKERS NBA TOP PLAY OF THE DAY The Lakers are in a position to close out the series at home following a 116-99 loss in Memphis a couple of nigths ago. They've been a step ahead of the Grizzlies for most of the series, and they are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games following a straight up loss (4-0 ATS in their last 4 games following a straight up loss of more than 10 points). The Grizzlies are 7-22 ATS in their last 29 road games vs. a team with a winning home record. 10* PLAY ON LOS ANGELES LAKERS. |
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04-27-23 | Celtics -6.5 v. Hawks | Top | 128-120 | Win | 100 | 13 h 6 m | Show |
MIKE'S CELTICS/HAWKS NBA GAME OF THE WEEK - 10* MAJOR WAGER I expect the Celtics to go off and close out the series following an upset loss home at TD Garden. They've covered the spread in each game they've on in this series, and they are 8-2 ATS in the last 10 meetings. Celtics are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games following an ATS loss. Hawks are 20-44 ATS in their last 64 games following a straight up win. Hawks are 17-38 ATS in their last 55 games following an ATS win. 10* PLAY ON BOSTON CELTICS. |
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04-26-23 | Lakers v. Grizzlies -4 | 99-116 | Win | 100 | 9 h 13 m | Show | |
MIKE'S NBA BOOKIE BREAKER The Grizzlies need to win out after losing three of the first four games of the series. They lost Game 4 in LA in OT, but now they're back home in Memphis where they are a lot better. The Grizzlies have been plagued by slow starts, but with their backs against the wall, I expect them to come out on fire tonight. 8* PLAY ON MEMPHIS GRIZZLIES. |
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04-25-23 | Wolves v. Nuggets -9.5 | 109-112 | Loss | -110 | 16 h 37 m | Show | |
MIKE'S WOLVES/NUGGETS NBA BOOKIE BREAKER The Denver Nuggets failed to complete the sweep Sunday as Minnesota hung in there and managed to squeeze out a win in overtime. Now the Nuggets are back home where they are 9-3 ATS in their last 12 home games vs. a team with a losing road record, and they are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games following a straight up loss. I don't see the No. 1 seed in the West dropping another game in this series, and while this is a large spread to cover I expect them to get it done. 8* PLAY ON DENVER NUGGETS. |
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04-24-23 | Grizzlies +4.5 v. Lakers | 111-117 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 55 m | Show | |
MIKE'S GRIZZLIES/LAKERS NBA BOOKIE BREAKER The Grizzlies came out flat as a pancake on Saturday, but came back strong and almost made a game of it in the fourth quarter. I expect them to show a lot better focus here and I would not be surprised if Memphis wins in a rout. 8* PLAY ON MEMPHIS GRIZZLIES. |
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04-24-23 | Bucks -5.5 v. Heat | Top | 114-119 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 26 m | Show |
MIKE'S 10* NBA TOP PLAY OF THE DAY The Bucks are back under pressure after losing Game 3 of the series. They bounced back with a superb effort after dropping the opener of the series, and I expect that to be the case again tonight. Bucks are 14-6-1 ATS in their last 21 Conference Quarterfinals games. Bucks are 10-4 ATS in their last 14 road games vs. a team with a winning home record. Heat are 16-34-1 ATS in their last 51 games following an ATS win. Heat are 16-34-2 ATS in their last 52 games following a straight up win. Heat are 3-10 ATS in their last 13 games following a straight up win of more than 10 points. 10* PLAY ON MILWAUKEE BUCKS. |
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04-23-23 | Nuggets -3.5 v. Wolves | 108-114 | Loss | -110 | 20 h 21 m | Show | |
MIKE'S NUGGETS/WOLVES NBA BOOKIE BU$TER The Denver Nuggets are going for the sweep, and I expect them to get the job done. They've dominated the first three games of the series, and I do not see why this game would be any different. Nuggets are 24-7-1 ATS in the last 32 meetings in Minnesota. Nuggets are 4-0 ATS in the last 4 meetings. 8* PLAY ON DENVER NUGGETS. |
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04-23-23 | Celtics -5.5 v. Hawks | Top | 129-121 | Win | 100 | 18 h 49 m | Show |
NBA GAME OF THE WEEK - 10* CELTICS/HAWKS MAJOR WAGER The Atlanta Hawks won 130-122 on Friday, but the Celtics are still holding a 2-1 lead in the series and I think they'll set themselves up to win the series in five games with a win tonight. Celtics are 11-0 ATS in their last 11 games after allowing more than 125 points in their previous game. Celtics are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games following a straight up loss. Hawks are 20-43 ATS in their last 63 games following a straight up win. Hawks are 17-37 ATS in their last 54 games following an ATS win. Hawks are 8-20 ATS in their last 28 games after scoring more than 125 points in their previous game. Celtics are 7-1 ATS in the last 8 meetings. 10* PLAY ON BOSTON CELTICS. |
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04-23-23 | Cavs +2.5 v. Knicks | 93-102 | Loss | -105 | 12 h 53 m | Show | |
MIKE'S CAVS/KNICKS NBA BOOKIE BREAKER The Cavs are in a precarious situation after losing two of the first three games of the series. They bounced back from a loss in Game 1, and I think they'll snap back with a win here again after losing Game 3. Cavaliers are 8-3-2 ATS in their last 13 games following a straight up loss of more than 10 points. Cavaliers are 13-6-1 ATS in their last 20 games following an ATS loss. 8* PLAY ON CLEVELAND CAVALIERS. |
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04-22-23 | Grizzlies +4.5 v. Lakers | Top | 101-111 | Loss | -115 | 20 h 3 m | Show |
MIKE'S 10* GRIZZLIES/LAKERS NBA TOP PLAY OF THE DAY The Lakers are in control of the series after splitting two games in Memphis, but I think the Grizzlies have a great chance of winning this one outright. Ja Morant is by the looks of it a game-time decision after missing Wednesday's Game 2 win, but no Morant, no problem as the Grizzlies have proven time and time again that they can win even without their superstar. 10* PLAY ON MEMPHIS GRIZZLIES. |
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04-22-23 | Bucks -4.5 v. Heat | 99-121 | Loss | -115 | 18 h 42 m | Show | |
MIKE'S BUCKS/HEAT NBA BOOKIE BU$TER The Heat took Game 1 of the series, but Milwaukee bounced back with a 138-122 route that was even more lopsided than the final score would suggest. I expect the Bucks to steamroll Miami through the rest of the series, starting with a big win tonight. Bucks are 10-3 ATS in their last 13 road games vs. a team with a winning home record. Heat are 1-8 ATS in their last 9 games following a straight up loss of more than 10 points. 8* PLAY ON MILWAUKEE BUCKS. |
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04-22-23 | 76ers -128 v. Nets | 96-88 | Win | 100 | 11 h 60 m | Show | |
MIKE'S SIXERS/NETS NBA BOOKIE BREAKER Joel Embiid has been ruled out due to a right knee sprain, but I don't see the Sixers stepping off the Nets' throat as they look to set themselves up for the sweep and get maximum amount of rest heading into the conference semi-finals. Nets are 7-18-1 ATS in their last 26 home games vs. a team with a winning road record. 76ers are 3-0-1 ATS in the last 4 meetings in Brooklyn. 76ers are 4-0-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings. 8* PLAY ON PHILADELPHIA 76ERS. |
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04-21-23 | Cavs +2 v. Knicks | 79-99 | Loss | -110 | 15 h 55 m | Show | |
MIKE'S CAVS/KNICKS NBA BOOKIE BREAKER The Cavs need a win on the road to take control of the series again after splitting the first two games home in Cleveland. They dominated the Knicks in Game 2, and I hold them as a much better team than NY. Cavaliers are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games following a straight up win of more than 10 points. Cavaliers are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games playing on 2 days rest. Knicks are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games playing on 2 days rest. 8* PLAY ON CLEVELAND CAVALIERS. |
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04-20-23 | Kings v. Warriors UNDER 239.5 | Top | 97-114 | Win | 100 | 17 h 40 m | Show |
MIKE'S 10* KINGS/WARRIORS NBA TOTAL TOP PLAY OF THE DAY The betting market is treating this like a regular season game when it comes to the total, something I strongly disagree with. Game 2 of the series saw 220 points scored, and while Draymond Greene's suspension will affect the Warriors negatively on the defensive end, I still think this total is too high. Under is 19-7-1 in Kings last 27 road games vs. a team with a winning home record. Under is 16-5-1 in Warriors last 22 vs. a team with a winning straight up record. Under is 3-1-1 in the last 5 meetings. 10* PLAY ON UNDER. |
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04-20-23 | 76ers -4.5 v. Nets | Top | 102-97 | Win | 100 | 14 h 11 m | Show |
MIKE'S 10* SIXERS/NETS NBA ATS TOP PLAY OF THE DAY The Nets did not stand a chance in either of the first two games of the series, and I don't think much will change just because they're at home here in Game 3 of the series. Nets are 1-7 ATS in their last 8 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of greater than .600. 76ers are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 road games vs. a team with a winning home record. 76ers are 15-7 ATS in their last 22 games following a straight up win of more than 10 points. 76ers are 4-0 ATS in the last 4 meetings. 10* PLAY ON PHILADELPHIA 76ERS.
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04-19-23 | Heat v. Bucks -6 | Top | 122-138 | Win | 100 | 14 h 40 m | Show |
NBA GAME OF THE YEAR - MIKE'S HEAT/BUCKS MAJOR WAGER This looks like a great spot to back the Bucks following a humbling 130-117 loss in the opener of this best-of-seven series. The Heat have struggled with consistency all season, and they are 7-27-1 ATS in their last 35 games following an ATS win while the Bucks are 15-7 ATS in their last 22 games following an ATS loss. Giannis Antetokounmpo left Game 1 late in the first quarter due to a lower-back/tailbone injury, and he is listed as doubtful for Game 2, but I still like the Bucks to bounce back with a big win. 10* PLAY ON MILWAUKEE BUCKS. |
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04-18-23 | Knicks v. Cavs -5.5 | Top | 90-107 | Win | 100 | 12 h 49 m | Show |
MIKE'S 10* KNICKS/CAVS NBA GAME OF THE MONTH I love the Cavs to snap back with a win here after getting outplayed in the opener of the best-of-seven series. The Knicks will be satisfied to return back to NY with a win and I don't see them being able to match the Cavs intensity and urgency. 10* PLAY ON CLEVELAND CAVALIERS. |
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04-17-23 | Warriors v. Kings UNDER 240 | 106-114 | Win | 100 | 14 h 44 m | Show | |
MIKE'S WARRIORS/KINGS TOTAL This looks like a good spot to back the Warriors to bounce back from a 126-123 loss in Game 1 of the series. They held the lead for most of the game until Sacramento came back in the 4th quarter and now they need to win to avoid heading back home in a 2-0 hole. I also like the under as under is 15-5-1 in Warriors last 21 vs. a team with a winning straight up record and 3-1-1 in the last 5 meetings in Sacramento. 8* PLAY ON UNDER. |
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04-17-23 | Warriors -106 v. Kings | Top | 106-114 | Loss | -106 | 14 h 45 m | Show |
MIKE'S 10* NBA TOP PLAY OF THE DAY This looks like a good spot to back the Warriors to bounce back from a 126-123 loss in Game 1 of the series. They held the lead for most of the game until Sacramento came back in the 4th quarter and now they need to win to avoid heading back home in a 2-0 hole. I also like the under as under is 15-5-1 in Warriors last 21 vs. a team with a winning straight up record and 3-1-1 in the last 5 meetings in Sacramento. 10* PLAY ON GOLDEN STATE WARRIORS. |
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04-17-23 | Nets v. 76ers -10 | 84-96 | Win | 100 | 11 h 13 m | Show | |
MIKE'S NETS/SIXERS ATS BOOKIE BREAKER The Philadelphia 76ers won Game 1 of the series by 20 points, and I don't see how Brooklyn can keep this one close either. 76ers are 25-12 ATS in their last 37 home games. 76ers are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 Conference Quarterfinals games. Nets are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record. Nets are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 Conference Quarterfinals games. Nets are 1-4 ATS in the last 5 meetings. 8* PLAY ON PHILADELPHIA 76ERS. |
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04-16-23 | Clippers v. Suns UNDER 225.5 | 115-110 | Win | 100 | 14 h 21 m | Show | |
MIKE'S CLIPPERS/SUNS NBA TOTAL BOOKIE BU$TER The under is 6-2 in the last 8 meetings and I think we'll see a relatively low-scoring affair when Phoenix hosts the Clippers Sunday night. In the previous four meetings this season, only one went over this line, and that was when the Clippers won 119-114 here in Phoenix in the regular-season finale a week ago. I don't think the score in that game reflects what we'll see here. 8* PLAY ON UNDER. |
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04-16-23 | Heat v. Bucks -9 | Top | 130-117 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 37 m | Show |
MIKE'S 10* NBA GAME OF THE WEEK The Bucks are the No. 1 seed in the East and here they'll face a Miami team that needed a second chance to get through the play-in tournament. The Heat are 6-27-1 ATS in their last 34 games following an ATS win while the Bucks are 13-4-1 ATS in their last 18 Conference Quarterfinals games. Milwaukee rested MVP finalist Giannis Antetokounmpo in the final three games of the regular season and I expect the Bucks to set the tone for a sweep with a blowout win here in Game 1 of the series. 10* PLAY ON MILWAUKEE BUCKS. |
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04-15-23 | Warriors +100 v. Kings | Top | 123-126 | Loss | -100 | 16 h 6 m | Show |
MIKE'S 10* WARRIORS/KINGS NBA TOP PLAY OF THE DAY The Warriors are basically a pick'em at Sacramento on Saturday. While the Warriors are only 11-30 SU on the season I think they should be a much bigger favorite in this one, especially considering the massive amount of playoff experience in the team while the Kings have a young and inexperienced team. Warriors are 11-4-1 ATS in their last 16 games playing on 3 or more days rest. Warriors are 32-14 ATS in their last 46 Conference Quarterfinals games. Kings are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games playing on 3 or more days rest. Kings are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 home games. 10* PLAY ON GOLDEN STATE WARRIORS. |
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04-15-23 | Knicks v. Cavs -5 | 101-97 | Loss | -109 | 13 h 25 m | Show | |
MIKE'S KNICKS/CAVS NBA BOOKIE BREAKER This could turn into an interesting series, but I think the Cavs will set the tone with a big win at home here in Game 1. Cleveland has been playing with a playoff-like intensity on the defensive end all season long and enters the playoffs with the No. 1 scoring-defense in the league. 8* PLAY ON CLEVELAND CAVALIERS. |
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04-14-23 | Thunder +5.5 v. Wolves | Top | 95-120 | Loss | -110 | 20 h 15 m | Show |
MIKE'S 10* THUNDER/WOLVES NBA TOP PLAY OF THE DAY The Thunder are scrappy, and one must wonder how the Wolves will react after blowing a big lead to the Lakers to eventually lose in OT. Sure, the Wolves have had an extra day of rest, but they are 5-12 ATS in their last 17 games playing on 2 days rest and 1-6 ATS in their last 7 home games vs. a team with a losing road record. The Thunder are 6-1 ATS in the last 7 meetings in Minnesota. 10* PLAY ON OKLAHOMA CITY THUNDER. |
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04-14-23 | Bulls v. Heat -5.5 | 91-102 | Win | 100 | 18 h 41 m | Show | |
MIKE'S BULLS/HEAT NBA BOOKIE BU$TER Miami gets a second chance after losing to the Bulls in round one of the play-in tournament. Bam Adebayo and Jimmy Butler both had bad games and apart from Kyle Lowry, the rest of the Heat bench contributed only four points. I expect a big game from the Heat tonight while Chicago might be feeling a bit too good about themselves after coming from behind to beat the Raptors in Toronto. 8* PLAY ON MIAMI HEAT. |
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04-12-23 | Bulls +5.5 v. Raptors | 109-105 | Win | 100 | 12 h 23 m | Show | |
MIKE'S BULLS/RAPTORS NBA BOOKIE BREAKER Demar DeRozan returns to Toronto with Chicago and I expect the Bulls to put up a good fight. The Bulls are 12-5 ATS in the last 17 meetings in Toronto and 7-3 ATS in the last 10 meetings. The Bulls are 6-2-1 ATS in their last 9 road games. 8* PLAY ON CHICAGO BULLS. |
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04-11-23 | Hawks v. Heat -4.5 | 116-105 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 18 m | Show | |
MIKE'S HAWKS/HEAT NBA BOOKIE BREAKER Miami is a superior team to the Hawks who rely on Trae Young way too much. The Hawks did well against the spread during the regular season, but now when it really matters they do not have the depth to compete with a team like the Heat. 8* PLAY ON MIAMI HEAT. |
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04-09-23 | Warriors v. Blazers +17 | 157-101 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 7 m | Show | |
MIKE'S WARRIORS/BLAZERS NBA BOOKIE BREAKER Same reasoning as when we won with the Blazers as an underdog last night. The Blazers have not been winning games with their young lineup, but they're competing and covering spreads. The Warriors need a win and a Clippers loss to clinch the No. 5 seed in the West, but their motivation to win gives the bookmakers a reason to shade the line as squares will still line up to back the Warriors. no matter the number. Warriors are 17-38-1 ATS in their last 56 road games. 8* PLAY ON PORTLAND TRAIL BLAZERS. |
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04-08-23 | Blazers +16.5 v. Clippers | 125-136 | Win | 100 | 14 h 24 m | Show | |
MIKE'S NBA BOOKIE BREAKER The Blazers have not been winning games with their young lineup, but they're competing and covering spreads. The Clippers can finish as high as the fifth seed by winning the last two games, but their motivation to win gives the bookmakers a reason to shade the line as squares will still line up to back the Clippers. no matter the number. Trail Blazers are 3-0 ATS in their last three and I think their young guns will keep fighting and keep this relatively close. 8* PLAY ON PORTLAND TRAIL BLAZERS. |
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04-07-23 | Rockets v. Hornets UNDER 228.5 | Top | 112-109 | Win | 100 | 11 h 46 m | Show |
MIKE'S TOP-RATED 10* NBA TOTAL PLAY OF THE DAY The injury-riddled Charlotte Hornets are giving their young guns a lot of playing time down the stretch, which has hurt their offense. In their last three games, the Hornets have scored 91, 108 and 100 points. Under is 40-19-1 in Hornets last 60 home games. Under is 6-1 in Rockets last 7 road games vs. a team with a losing home record. Under is 19-7 in Rockets last 26 vs. a team with a losing straight up record. Under is 13-3 in the last 16 meetings in Charlotte. 10* PLAY ON UNDER. |
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04-06-23 | Cavs v. Magic UNDER 220.5 | Top | 118-94 | Win | 100 | 11 h 57 m | Show |
MIKE'S CAVS/MAGIC NBA TOTAL BOOKIE BU$TER We saw a total of 230 points scored when Orlando hosted the Cavs Tuesday night, but I think we'll see fewer points scored in tonight's game. Under is 10-4 in Cavaliers last 14 vs. a team with a losing straight up record. Under is 6-2 in Magic last 8 vs. a team with a winning straight up record. Under is 13-4 in the last 17 meetings. 8* PLAY ON UNDER. |
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04-05-23 | Kings v. Mavs UNDER 245.5 | 119-123 | Win | 100 | 16 h 22 m | Show | |
MIKE'S KINGS/MAVS NBA TOTAL BOOKIE BU$TER Reports have suggested that the Mavs are considering shutting down Luka Doncic and Kyrie Irving for the rest of the regular season to help their NBA draft lottery odds, but no such decision has been made yet. That being sad, if they fall behind here to the Kings, there's a chance they could opt to give their stars a break, which would hurt their scoring. Under is 17-7-1 in Kings last 25 road games vs. a team with a winning home record. Under is 30-12-1 in Mavericks last 43 home games vs. a team with a winning road record. For the season, NBA games with a total of 240 points or higher are 41-29 to the under. 8* PLAY ON UNDER. |
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04-05-23 | Knicks v. Pacers OVER 235 | Top | 138-129 | Win | 100 | 15 h 49 m | Show |
MIKE'S 10* NBA TOTAL TOP PLAY OF THE DAY The Knicks are riding a four-game winning streak through which they have averaged 121.5 ppg. Indiana's defense has been below par all season, but particularly bad in recent games with 130.2 ppg allowed over their last five. Over is 12-5-1 in Knicks last 18 road games vs. a team with a winning home record. Over is 36-16 in Pacers last 52 home games vs. a team with a winning road record. 10* PLAY ON OVER. |
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04-04-23 | Thunder v. Warriors UNDER 243 | Top | 125-136 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 29 m | Show |
MIKE'S 10* NBA WEST TOTAL OF THE YEAR The Warriors are 42-33-4 to the over for the season, and the Thunder are 45-33-1 to the over, but this is way too high of a total IMO. Under is 19-7 in Thunder last 26 vs. a team with a winning straight up record and 6-1-1 in Warriors last 8 home games vs. a team with a losing road record. Under is 15-3 in the last 18 meetings at Chase Center. 10* PLAY ON UNDER. |
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04-02-23 | 76ers v. Bucks -4.5 | Top | 104-117 | Win | 100 | 13 h 35 m | Show |
MIKE'S 10* SIXERS/BUCKS NBA PLAY OF THE DAY This looks like a great spot to back the Bucks to bounce back from a humiliating 41-point loss to Boston. The Bucks are 13-5 ATS in their last 18 games following an ATS loss and 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games following a straight up loss. They're 1.5 games behind Boston for the No. 1 seed in the East and I think they'll snap back with a big game tonight. 10* PLAY ON MILWAUKEE BUCKS. |
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04-02-23 | Suns v. Thunder +5 | 128-118 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 53 m | Show | |
MIKE'S SUNS/THUNDER NBA BOOKIE BREAKER The Suns are coming off four straight wins while the Thunder are 0-6 ATS in their last six games, but I expect a strong effort from an undervalued OKC side here. The Thunder are getting more points than they should due to recency bias and public perception. Thunder are 33-9 ATS in their last 42 Sunday games and the Suns are 1-5 ATS in the last 6 meetings in Oklahoma City. 8* PLAY ON OKLAHOMA CITY THUNDER. |
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04-02-23 | Raptors v. Hornets UNDER 224 | 128-108 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 52 m | Show | |
MIKE'S RAPTORS/HORNETS NBA BOOKIE BU$TER The Raptors are 43-34 to the over for the season, but under is 8-3 in Raptors last 11 road games vs. a team with a losing home record and 4-1 in Raptors last 5 Sunday games. Under is 36-15-1 in Hornets last 52 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400. Under is 22-6 in Hornets last 28 after allowing 100 points or more in their previous game. 8* PLAY ON UNDER. |
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03-31-23 | Kings v. Blazers OVER 231 | Top | 138-114 | Win | 100 | 21 h 25 m | Show |
MIKE'S 10* KINGS/BLAZERS NBA TOP PLAY OF THE DAY The Kings are 3-0 to the under in their last three games, but two of those games saw 234 points scored. We saw only 200 points when they defeated Portland 120-80 here at Moda Center Wednesday night, but I expect to see more from the home team tonight. Portland has struggled to get easy baskets lately, but pretty much every team in the league can put up big numbers against Sacramento. Over is 11-3-1 in Kings last 15 overall and 6-2 in the last 8 meetings in Portland. 10* PLAY ON OVER. |
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03-30-23 | Pelicans v. Nuggets UNDER 229.5 | Top | 107-88 | Win | 100 | 14 h 18 m | Show |
MIKE'S 10* NBA TOTAL GAME OF THE MONTH New Orleans is playing a lot better defense than they're getting credit for. In their last five games, the Pels have held opponents to 100.0 ppg and the under is 6-1 in their last seven games and 9-2 in Pelicans last 11 vs. a team with a winning straight up record. Denver is also solid defensively and the under is 6-0 in the Nuggets last six gams and 9-2 in Nuggets last 11 vs. a team with a losing straight up record. 10* PLAY ON UNDER. |
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03-29-23 | Lakers -130 v. Bulls | 121-110 | Win | 100 | 13 h 38 m | Show | |
MIKE'S LAKERS/BULLS NBA BOOKIE BU$TER The Lakers lost to the Bulls as a five-point home favorite last Sunday. They've had two days rest since that loss while Chicago battled the Clippers Monday night. I expect the well-rested Lakers to get revenge tonight. Lakers are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games playing on 2 days rest. Lakers are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games following an ATS loss. Lakers are 5-1 ATS in the last 6 meetings in Chicago. 8* PLAY ON LOS ANGELES LAKERS. |
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03-29-23 | Jazz -4.5 v. Spurs | Top | 128-117 | Win | 100 | 13 h 38 m | Show |
MIKE'S 10* JAZZ/SPURS NBA TOP PLAY OF THE DAY The Jazz still have a chance to make the play-in tournament, but after four straight losses there's virtually no margin for error. A date with the Spurs could be just what the doctor ordered to get back to their winning ways. Jazz are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games following a double-digit loss at home. Jazz are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 road games. Spurs are 3-11 ATS in their last 14 games after allowing more than 125 points in their previous game. Spurs are 7-21 ATS in their last 28 games vs. a team with a losing straight up record. 10* PLAY ON UTAH JAZZ. |
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03-28-23 | Cavs v. Hawks +1.5 | 118-120 | Win | 100 | 6 h 60 m | Show | |
CAVS/HAWKS NBA BOOKIE BU$TER The Cavs are a dangerous opponent, but I think Miami is underrated here. The Hawks are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games following a straight up loss. Hawks are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 home games vs. a team with a losing road record. Cavaliers are 0-4 ATS in the last 4 meetings in Atlanta. 8* PLAY ON ATLANTA HAWKS. |
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03-27-23 | Bulls v. Clippers -5.5 | 112-124 | Win | 100 | 15 h 21 m | Show | |
MIKE'S BULLS/CLIPPERS NBA BOOKIE BU$TER This looks like a great spot to back the Clippers after getting humiliated by the Pels here at Crypto.com Arena on Saturday. They'll face a Bulls team that will play on 0 days rest after defeating the Lakers 118-108 in this building yesterday. The Bulls are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games playing on 0 days rest and 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record. The Clippers are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games vs. a team with a losing straight up record and 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a straight up loss of more than 10 points. 8* PLAY ON LOS ANGELES CLIPPERS. |
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03-27-23 | Wolves v. Kings -5.5 | Top | 119-115 | Loss | -110 | 15 h 52 m | Show |
MIKE'S 10* NBA TOP PLAY OF THE DAY This looks like a great spot to fade the Wolves who are coming off an upset win at Golden State last night. While the Timberwolves are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games playing on 0 days rest, note that they are 3-8 ATS in their last 11 games following an ATS win and here they'll face a Kings team that has been playing very well since the All-Star break. The Kings are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 games overall and 7-3-1 ATS in their last 11 home games vs. a team with a losing road record. 10* PLAY ON SACRAMENTO KINGS. |
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03-26-23 | Nets +2.5 v. Magic | Top | 106-119 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 9 m | Show |
MIKE'S 10* NETS/MAGIC NBA TOP PLAY OF THE DAY The Nets snapped a five-game skid with a 129-100 win at Miami last night. They'll be playing on no rest here in Orlando Sunday night, but I think they'll have enough gas left in the tank to compete and get the win. Nets are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 road games. Nets are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games vs. a team with a losing straight up record. Magic are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 home games. Magic are 2-7 ATS in their last 9 games following a straight up win. 10* PLAY ON BROOKLYN NETS. |
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03-26-23 | Mavs v. Hornets +10 | 104-110 | Win | 100 | 5 h 7 m | Show | |
MIKE'S MAVS/HORNETS NBA BOOKIE BU$TER The Hornets defeated the Mavs 117-109 in Dallas a couple of nights ago. Now the Mavericks are asked to cover a double-digit spread at Charlotte and the way they've played lately I would not be surprised if they lost this one ouright as well. The trade for Kyrie Irving has not played out the way Dallas would have hoped for at all, and the Mavericks are 2-7 ATS in their last 9 road games vs. a team with a losing home record and 7-22-1 ATS in their last 30 games vs. a team with a losing straight up record. 8* PLAY ON CHARLOTTE HORNETS. |
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03-25-23 | Pelicans v. Clippers -4.5 | 131-110 | Loss | -110 | 23 h 7 m | Show | |
MIKE'S PELICANS/CLIPPERS NBA BOOKIE BRAEKER This looks like a good spot to back the Clippers who are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a straight up win of more than 10 points and 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games vs. a team with a losing straight up record. The Pels are coming off a 19-point win over Charlotte but they are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games following a straight up win of more than 10 points, 5-15 ATS in their last 20 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record and 7-22 ATS in their last 29 road games vs. a team with a winning home record. 8* PLAY ON LOS ANGELES CLIPPERS |
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03-24-23 | Thunder +5.5 v. Lakers | Top | 111-116 | Win | 100 | 17 h 46 m | Show |
MIKE'S 10* THUNDER/LAKERS NBA TOP PLAY OF THE DAY This looks like a good spot to back the Thunder to bounce back from a blowout loss to the Clippers here at Crypto.com Arena last night. The Thunder are 12-4 ATS in their last 16 games following an ATS loss, 12-4 ATS in their last 16 games after allowing more than 125 points in their previous game and 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games following a straight up loss of more than 10 points. The Lakers are coming off a 122-111 win over Phoenix, but they are only Lakers are 10-21 ATS in their last 31 games following a straight up win of more than 10 points. Additionally, note that the Thunder are 7-1 ATS in the last 8 meetings in Los Angeles. 10* PLAY ON OKC THUNDER. |
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03-24-23 | Suns v. Kings OVER 237.5 | 127-135 | Win | 100 | 16 h 15 m | Show | |
MIKE'S SUNS/KINGS NBA BOOKIE BOMBER The Kings have allowed 118, 128 and 132 points over their last three games and the over is 35-17-1 in Kings' last 53 home games. The over is 7-1-1 in Suns' last 9 overall. 8* PLAY ON OVER. |
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03-22-23 | 76ers -3.5 v. Bulls | Top | 116-91 | Win | 100 | 13 h 2 m | Show |
MIKE'S 10* SIXERS/BULLS NBA TOP PLAY OF THE DAY This looks like a great spot to back the Sixers to avenge a 109-105 OT loss to the Bulls home in Philly a couple of days ago. The Sixers came into that game riding an eight-game winning streak (6-2 ATS) and the Bulls are only 4-9 ATS in their last 13 home games vs. a team with a winning road record. Additionally, the 76ers are 8-2 ATS in the last 10 meetings and 6-0 ATS in the last 6 meetings in Chicago. 10* PLAY ON PHILADELPHIA 76ERS. |
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03-22-23 | Knicks v. Heat UNDER 221 | 120-127 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 31 m | Show | |
MIKE'S KNICKS/HEAT NBA BOOKIE BREAKER The Knicks gave up 140 points in a loss to Minnesota in their last game. The under is 35-17-1 in Knicks' last 53 games after scoring more than 125 points in their previous game and 5-1 in Heat's last 6 home games vs. a team with a winning road record. 8* PLAY ON UNDER. |
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03-21-23 | Thunder +6.5 v. Clippers | Top | 101-100 | Win | 100 | 17 h 3 m | Show |
MIKE'S 10* NBA GAME OF THE WEEK MAX BET The Clippers are coming off a 117-102 win at Portland, but I think they're in for a tougher game here against an OKC team that is an amazing 42-26-3 ATS on the season. OKC has won seven of its last nine straight up and the Thunder are 18-8-1 ATS as underdogs of five points or more while the Clippers are 13-14 ATS when giving five points or more. 10* PLAY ON OKLAHOMA CITY THUNDER. |
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03-21-23 | Cavs -2.5 v. Nets | 115-109 | Win | 100 | 14 h 5 m | Show | |
MIKE'S CAVS/NETS NBA BOOKIE BU$TER The Nets are coming into this game on a three-game losing streak SU and ATS. They took a 108-103 home loss to Denver on Sunday, and here they'll face a well-rested Cavs team that has had three days off since its 117-94 blowout win over Washington. The Cavaliers are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games following a straight up win of more than 10 points and I think they'll get the win and cover here in Brooklyn Tuesday night. 8* PLAY ON CLEVELAND CAVALIERS. |
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03-20-23 | Pacers v. Hornets UNDER 232.5 | 109-115 | Win | 100 | 12 h 58 m | Show | |
MIKE'S PACERS/HORNETS NBATOTAL The Pacers have been involved in mostly high-scoring games lately, but I think this matchup with the Hornets will go under the total. The Hornets have averaged only 103.6 ppg over their last five games and the under is 16-5 in Hornets last 21 overall. The under is 13-4-1 in Pacers last 18 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of less than .400. 8* PLAY ON UNDER. |
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03-20-23 | Bulls v. 76ers -7.5 | 109-105 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 57 m | Show | |
MIKE'S BULLS/SIXERS SIDE This looks like a good spot to back a red-hot Sixers team against a Bulls side that is 9-19 ATS in its last 28 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600 and 1-6-1 ATS in their last 8 road games. The 6ers are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games vs. a team with a losing straight up record and 22-9 ATS in their last 31 home games. Additionally, the Bulls are 1-8 ATS in the last 9 meetings with Philly. 8* PLAY ON PHILADELPHIA 76ERS. |
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03-20-23 | Bulls v. 76ers UNDER 225 | 109-105 | Win | 100 | 12 h 57 m | Show | |
MIKE'S BULLS/SIXERS TOTAL This looks like a good spot to back a red-hot Sixers team against a Bulls side that is 9-19 ATS in its last 28 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600 and 1-6-1 ATS in their last 8 road games. The 6ers are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games vs. a team with a losing straight up record and 22-9 ATS in their last 31 home games. Additionally, the Bulls are 1-8 ATS in the last 9 meetings with Philly. I also like the over. I don't see how Chicago will be able to stop a Sixers offense that is firing on all cylinders at the moment, but it's also worth noting that Chicago has averaged 120.4 ppg over its last five games. 8* PLAY ON OVER. |
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03-19-23 | Magic v. Lakers -5.5 | 105-111 | Win | 100 | 14 h 33 m | Show | |
MIKE'S MAGIC/LAKERS NBA BOOKIE BREAKER This looks like a good spot to fade the Magic following an upset win over the Clippers yesterday. The Magic are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games playing on 0 days rest, 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games vs. a team with a losing straight up record and 0-7 ATS in their last 7 games following a straight up win. The Lakers are 17-6 ATS in their last 23 games vs. a team with a losing straight up record. 8* PLAY ON LOS ANGELES LAKERS. |