Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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05-20-23 | Panthers v. Hurricanes OVER 5.5 | 2-1 | Loss | -113 | 16 h 12 m | Show | |
#7/8 ASA PLAY ON 8* OVER 5.5 Goals (-115) - Florida Panthers at Carolina Hurricanes, Saturday at 8:05 PM ET - The Hurricanes, not including OT scoring of course, have scored 20 goals in their last 6 home games. Overall, in the series with New Jersey, the Canes averaged 4.6 goals scored per game! The Panthers, not including OT scoring of course, have averaged scoring 3.3 goals per game last 7 road games - all 7 of them wins! Florida is very confident bunch here based on all their road successes in this post-season including the dramatic 3-2 quadruple-OT win in game 1 of this series. However, Carolina also very confident on home ice and we could see this one turning into a back and forth high-scoring affair in which a 4-3 type of final would not be a surprise at all. The Hurricanes must respond after the Game 1 loss but also there is going to be tired legs defensively on both teams as the defensemen get more extra work than the forwards in long multi-OT games like that simply because there are fewer defensemen on the roster. Over is our play here. |
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05-18-23 | Panthers v. Hurricanes OVER 5.5 | 3-2 | Loss | -120 | 18 h 1 m | Show | |
#1/2 ASA PLAY ON 8* OVER 5.5 Goals (-120) - Florida Panthers at Carolina Hurricanes, Thursday at 8:05 PM ET - The Hurricanes, not including OT scoring of course, have scored 18 goals in their last 5 home games. Overall, in the series with New Jersey, the Canes averaged 4.6 goals scored per game! The Panthers, not including OT scoring of course, have averaged scoring 3.5 goals per game last 6 road games - all 6 of them wins! Florida is very confident bunch here based on all their road successes in this post-season. However, Carolina also very confident on home ice and we could see this one turning into a back and forth high-scoring affair in which a 4-3 type of final would not be a surprise at all. Over is our play here. |
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05-15-23 | Seattle Kraken v. Stars OVER 5.5 | 1-2 | Loss | -118 | 19 h 39 m | Show | |
#49/50 ASA PLAY ON 8* OVER 5.5 Goals - Seattle Kraken versus Dallas Stars, Monday at 8:10 PM ET - We have seen a big change from each club in this series. After each showed an ability to win tight low-scoring games in their respective first round series victories over the Avalanche and the Wild, both the Kraken and the Stars have turned this one into a shootout. All 6 games in this series have totaled 6 or more goals. In fact, the 6 games have averaged 8 goals apiece. We are seeing some 5.5 on this one out there and we will not hesitate to get involved as another game totaling 6 or more is very likely per our computer math modeling for this one. Over is our play here. |
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05-14-23 | Golden Knights v. Oilers -1.5 | 5-2 | Loss | -100 | 20 h 15 m | Show | |
#44 ASA NHL PLAY ON 8* Edmonton Oilers Puck Line (-1.5 goals +130) over Vegas Golden Knights, Sunday at 10 PM ET - We know Edmonton is going to bring it on home ice here after the tough Game 5 loss. We like the Oilers no matter who is in goal here as the Knights injured Brossoit did not even travel with the team. The Knights choices are the P/O inexperienced Hill or rusty Jonathan Quick here. The Oilers, when off a loss, are a perfect 8-0 the last 8. As for laying the 1.5 goals here, the Oilers wins in this series was by a 5-1 final at Vegas and all 3 of their home wins in this post-season (including 2 against the Kings) were by multi-goal margins - 14 to 6 aggregate on those three games. The Oilers, dating back to their red-hot close to the regular season as well, were 20-5 last 25 games before that Game 5 loss. This is bounce back time and we expect Edmonton to improve to 9-0 last 9 times when off a loss. Of course the Oilers are a huge money line favorite for a reason and, that being said, we see a lot of value with the puck line in this one. Laying the 1.5 goals with home favorite Edmonton for a plus money return in this one is the value play here. |
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05-13-23 | Stars v. Seattle Kraken OVER 5.5 | 3-6 | Win | 100 | 13 h 20 m | Show | |
#37/38 ASA PLAY ON 8* OVER 5.5 Goals - Seattle Kraken versus Dallas Stars, Saturday at 7:10 PM ET - We have seen a big change from each club in this series. After each showed an ability to win tight low-scoring games in their respective first round series victories over the Avalanche and the Wild, both the Kraken and the Stars have turned this one into a shootout. All 5 games in this series have totaled 6 or more goals. In fact, the 5 games have averaged 8 goals apiece. We are seeing some 5.5 on this one out there and we will not hesitate to get involved as another game totaling 6 or more is very likely per our computer math modeling for this one. Over is our play here. |
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05-12-23 | Panthers v. Maple Leafs -1.5 | 3-2 | Loss | -100 | 15 h 40 m | Show | |
#30 ASA NHL PLAY ON 8* Toronto Maple Leafs Puck Line (-1.5 goals +140) over Florida Panthers, Friday at 7:10 PM ET - The Maple Leafs are back in this thing. That win at Florida in Game 4 was huge. Yes, Toronto is down 3-1 in this series but sometimes all it takes is one. Not only do the Leafs finally have a little momentum, they also have home ice on their side in this Game 5. Yes it is still a tough situation that Toronto has put themselves in but they also know they only have to win one more game at Florida to win this series as long as they defend home ice. That being said, defending home ice is exactly what we expect the Maple Leafs will do here. 4 of 5 Toronto home games in this post-season have been decided by a multi-goal margin. The Maple Leafs are a big money line favorite for a reason here and you can also see why the odds suggest good probability that the winner of this game in Toronto will win it by 2 or more goals. Laying the 1.5 goals with home favorite Toronto for a plus money return in this one is the value play here. |
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05-11-23 | Seattle Kraken v. Stars -1.5 | 2-5 | Win | 139 | 16 h 29 m | Show | |
#26 ASA NHL PLAY ON 8* Dallas Stars Puck Line (-1.5 goals +135) over Seattle Kraken, Thursday at 9:40 PM ET - Dallas has won 6 of 9 games since a double-OT loss to open up this post-season. Not only that, the Stars 5 of 6 wins have been by at least a 2-goal margin. We feel they have swung momentum in this series with the 6-3 Game 4 win at Seattle and can now build on that at home and be even stronger here. They will not be denied and have won 3 of last 4 on home ice with the only loss in overtime and all 3 wins by at least a 2-goal margin. Each of Seattle's last four losses have come by a multi-goal margin. Look for this one to be as well. Laying the 1.5 goals with home favorite Dallas for a plus money return in this one is the value play here. |
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05-10-23 | Golden Knights v. Oilers -1.5 | Top | 1-4 | Win | 135 | 15 h 59 m | Show |
#22 ASA NHL TOP PLAY ON 10* Edmonton Oilers Puck Line (-1.5 goals +130) over Vegas Golden Knights, Wednesday at 10 PM ET - The Golden Knights lost goalie Laurent Brossoit to injury in Game 3 of this series. Vegas then brought in Adin Hill and he was great in relief but the Knights' skaters really came out flying in that game and something seemed amiss with the Oilers all night long even though they were on home ice. That said, now a still-recovering Brossoit (he also had hip surgery recently) will be getting the start for Vegas or Hill will be making the first post-season start of his NHL career. There is a big difference between coming on in relief in a game in which your team also gets a big lead for you versus getting the start. Hill would be entering this game with a 0-0 score of course and having plenty of time to think about making his first-ever playoff start, etc. That is a much different "animal" per se and we know Edmonton is going to bring it on home ice here after the embarrassing Game 3 loss. We like the Oilers no matter who is in goal here as the Knights have the injured Brossoit, first P/O start Hill, or rusty Jonathan Quick as their choices here. The Oilers, when off a loss, are a perfect 7-0 the last 7. As for laying the 1.5 goals here, the Oilers win in this series was by a 5-1 final at Vegas and BOTH their home wins in this post-season (against the Kings) were by multi-goal margins - 10 to 5 aggregate on those two games. The Oilers, dating back to their red-hot close to the regular season as well, were 19-4 last 23 games before that Game 3 loss. This is bounce back time and we expect Edmonton to improve to 8-0 last 8 times when off a loss. Of course the Oilers are a huge money line favorite for a reason and, that being said, we see a lot of value with the puck line in this one. Laying the 1.5 goals with home favorite Edmonton for a plus money return in this one is the value play here. |
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05-09-23 | Stars -131 v. Seattle Kraken | 6-3 | Win | 100 | 21 h 43 m | Show | |
ASA play on 8* Dallas Stars over Seattle Kraken, Tuesday 9:40 PM ET - The Stars are 7-0 the last 7 times they have been off a loss. Dallas should have Heiskanen back for this one as he is not in concussion protocol so adds are looking positive for him being back after taking a puck to the face in Game 3. All of the Stars seemed to get hit in the face in an ugly Game 3 loss and that is part of the reason we like Dallas so much here. They have shown a knack for bouncing back off losses and Tuesday's defeat was an ugly one. They will be ready to go here and we get a very fair price because they are on the road again for this Game 4 match-up at Seattle. Lay it! |
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05-08-23 | Golden Knights v. Oilers OVER 6.5 | 5-1 | Loss | -131 | 17 h 53 m | Show | |
#11/12 ASA PLAY ON 8* OVER 6.5 Goals (-135) - Edmonton Oilers vs Vegas Golden Knights, Monday at 8:40 PM ET - The Oilers last 4 games had all totaled more than 8 goals before Saturday's game landed on 6 in the 5-1 Oilers win! Edmonton is scoring an average of 4 goals per game in the post-season and there certainly is nothing average about that! They did the same in the regular season too as they were the top scoring team in the league and averaged 4 goals per game. The thing is Vegas was very quietly also nearly as big of an offensive juggernaut in the regular season too and now, Game 2 of this series notwithstanding, they have turned things up a notch in the post-season too. The Golden Knights, prior to the Game 2 loss, had scored an average of 4.8 goals per game last 5 games - all wins. You know the Oilers are going to bring forth a very strong effort on home ice but Vegas must answer them goal for goal after the ugly loss at home Saturday. That being said, it should be a back and forth high-scoring barnburner. Over is our play here. |
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05-07-23 | Stars -140 v. Seattle Kraken | 2-7 | Loss | -140 | 20 h 8 m | Show | |
#9 ASA NHL PLAY ON 8* Dallas Stars (-140) over Seattle Kraken, Sunday at 9:40 PM ET - Pretty sizable road favorite here but that is for a reason. This series is tied at 1 game apiece and the Stars are not happy about having dropped a game on home ice. They will get back home ice edge in this series by notching a Game 3 victory. The post-season is a new experience for the Kraken. As we mentioned earlier in the playoffs, they of course have players with play-off experience but as a group this is the first go at it. While Dallas is on an 11-3 run dating back to the regular season, Seattle has 4 losses in just their last 8 games alone! Also, all 4 of the Kraken wins in this 4-4 eight-game stretch were by just a 1-goal margin and 2 of those victories were in OT. Conversely, each of last 3 losses for the Kraken have come by a multi-goal margin. As you can see, Seattle has been a bit fortunate thus far in the post-season. Dallas is the more cohesive club with their post-season experiences together and we will not pass up on the situational line value with the road team here. Dallas Money Line is the play in this one! |
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05-06-23 | Oilers v. Golden Knights OVER 6.5 | 5-1 | Loss | -125 | 14 h 23 m | Show | |
#57/58 ASA PLAY ON 8* OVER 6.5 Goals (-135) - Edmonton Oilers at Vegas Golden Knights, Saturday at 7:10 PM ET - The Oilers last 4 games have all totaled more than 8 goals! Edmonton is scoring an average of 4 goals per game in the post-season and there certainly is nothing average about that! They did the same in the regular season too as they were the top scoring team in the league and averaged 4 goals per game. The thing is Vegas was very quietly also a big of an offensive juggernaut in the regular season too and now they have turned things up a notch in the post-season too. The Golden Knights have scored an average of 4.8 goals per game last 5 games all wins. You know the Oilers are going to thrown everything including the kitchen sink at them in this game and it should be a back and forth high-scoring barnburner. Over is our play here. |
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05-05-23 | Devils v. Hurricanes OVER 5.5 | 1-6 | Win | 120 | 9 h 47 m | Show | |
#59/60 ASA PLAY ON 8* OVER 5.5 Goals (+120) - New Jersey Devils at Carolina Hurricanes, Friday at 8:10 PM ET - The Hurricanes won Game One by a count of 5 to 1 and could have scored even more. The Devils are sure to respond in Game Two but also have a goalie concern as Vanecek has struggled in the post-season and so they had been red-hot goalie Schmid so far. However, he was exposed by this strong Hurricanes team in Game One of this series and more is likely on the way in Game Two. This Canes team really brings it when on home ice and we expect a lot of scoring here because it is the only ways the Devils will answer now. They are unlikely to win a low-scoring grinder with the Hurricanes so they have to push and get more out of their attack. The Hurricanes have scored 11 goals in their last 3 home games. The Devils had averaged 3 goals per game last 5 games - 4 of them wins - before getting shellshocked in Game One. They will be better here but look for a back and forth game in which 4-3 would not be a surprise at all. Over is our play here. |
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05-04-23 | Seattle Kraken v. Stars -1.5 | Top | 2-4 | Win | 140 | 13 h 32 m | Show |
#56 ASA NHL TOP PLAY ON 10* Dallas Stars Puck Line (-1.5 goals +140) over Seattle Kraken, Thursday at 9:30 PM ET - Dallas lost Game 1 due to allowing a shocking 4 goals in the 1st period. The Stars entered the 2nd period down 4-2 and battled back to send the game to overtime only to lose in OT. That said, Dallas did build some momentum after the shocking start to that game and we expect a big bounce back effort here. The Stars have been so strong off a loss. In fact, Dallas is a fantastic 9-1 last 10 times when off a loss. Also, 9 of last 12 Stars wins have been by a multi-goal margin. Amazingly, all 9 of those victories - including 3 of them in their first round series win over Minnesota - were by at least a 3 goal margin. Seattle has been exceeding expectations after their huge upset first round series victory over the Avalanche. However, they come back down to earth here in this one as the Stars defensive play and netminding will be on point after that 5-4 OT loss in the first game. 6 of last 7 Kraken losses have been by at least 2 goals. Also, Seattle's last 2 losses in the Colorado series were by a combined score of 10 to 5. We think this one sets up very well for Dallas to respond huge at home after that ugly first period did them in on Tuesday. Of course the Stars a huge money line favorite for a reason but we see a lot of value with the puck line in this one. Laying the 1.5 goals with home favorite Dallas for a plus money return in this one is the value play here.
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05-03-23 | Devils v. Hurricanes UNDER 5.5 | 1-5 | Loss | -130 | 14 h 38 m | Show | |
#51/22 ASA PLAY ON 8* UNDER 5.5 Goals - New Jersey Devils at Carolina Hurricanes, Wednesday at 7:10 PM ET - The Devils have a red hot goalie as Akira Schmid has been red hot between the pipes for New Jersey. Ever since he took over in the Rangers series with his team down 2 games to 0, that series turned on its head and he was the catalyst. He can continue to dominate here. The Hurricanes are rested and are off a 2-1 OT win at New York Islanders close that series out. Now, off that low-scoring gem, Carolina is back on home ice where 6 of last 7 games have totaled 5 or less goals. We see a lot of value in this one in what should be a tense, tight affair in Game 1. Under is our play here. |
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05-02-23 | Seattle Kraken v. Stars UNDER 5.5 | 5-4 | Loss | -120 | 17 h 14 m | Show | |
#49/50 ASA PLAY ON 8* UNDER 5.5 Goals - Seattle Kraken at Dallas Stars, Tuesday at 9:40 PM ET - The Kraken are off a series with Colorado in which only one of the 7 games was high-scoring. In the other 6 games, Seattle averaged only 2 goals scored per game and allowed only 2 goals per game. As for Dallas, they got very strong defensively as their series went on with the Wild. The Stars had only one ugly loss in the series with Minnesota and in the other 5 games allowed only 1.6 goals per game in regulation time of those games. Each of their last 3 games have totaled 5 or less goals. 6 of 7 games in the Seattle series totaled 5 or less goals. Under is our play here. |
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05-01-23 | Rangers v. Devils UNDER 5.5 | 0-4 | Win | 100 | 17 h 60 m | Show | |
#33/34 ASA PLAY ON 8* UNDER 5.5 Goals - New York Rangers at New Jersey Devils, Monday at 8:10 PM ET - The 5-2 Rangers win in Game 6 was the first time in this series that the losing team scored more than 1 goal and still only 2 goals were scored by the team on the wrong end of the final. That said, this will be a game all about protecting leads and playing a safe and measured game. That means a 2-1 type game seems very likely here when you consider the output of the losing team in the first 6 games is an average of just 1 goal. This will be a typical tight low-scoring game seven. This total could very well start dropping to a 5 in most (if not all) books as the day goes on so grab the 5.5 while you can. Under is our play here. |
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04-30-23 | Panthers +1.5 v. Bruins | 4-3 | Win | 100 | 15 h 23 m | Show | |
#23 ASA NHL PLAY ON 8* Florida Panthers Puck Line (+1.5 goals -125) over Boston Bruins, Sunday at 6:38 PM ET - The Panthers have won the last two games in this series after staring a 3-1 series deficit square in the face. Florida has also won each of the last two games played at Boston so the Bruins home ice edge may not matter much here. In fact, prior to Florida's 7-5 home win in Game 6 to force this Game 7, the road team had won each of last 4 games in this series between these teams. We are not necessarily predicting the upset though here. We simply feel that this will be a very tight game because the Panthers have really turned the tide in this series. We still respect Boston at home but the Bruins are really feeling the pressure now and will likely win this game by just a 1-goal margin...if they even win the game at all. Either way, we love the value here with an underdog playing with much less pressure plus plenty of confidence after what they have accomplished in the last two games. Grabbing the 1.5 goals with road dog Florida is the play here. |
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04-29-23 | Maple Leafs v. Lightning UNDER 6.5 | Top | 2-1 | Win | 100 | 6 h 50 m | Show |
#11/12 ASA TOP PLAY ON 10* UNDER 6.5 Goals - Toronto Maple Leafs at Tampa Bay Lightning, Saturday at 7 PM ET - The Maple Leafs have lost 10 straight times when they have a chance to eliminate an opponent in the post-season. The run continued now in this series with the Game 5 loss to the Lightning which has extended this series to Game 6 down in Tampa Bay. However, though that may seem like it would warrant a play on the Bolts here, we like the total so much more. In fact, we love this total. That's because this season's Toronto team was different. They won a lot of tight low-scoring games in the regular season. As for this veteran Lighting team with multiple championships, they certainly know plenty about winning tight low-scoring games. So this one absolutely has the look and feel of a tight low-scoring game. Keep in mind that Game 5 was the first potential elimination game in this series and it was just a 2-1 game in the 3rd period before a Leafs player bumped into his own netminder and that led to the Lightning goal that gave them a 3-1 lead. Then, if not for an empty netter, the game would have ended at a 3-2 final. Of course the 4-2 final we saw Thursday suits our purposes here just fine but the point is that the game could have easily been a 2-1 or 3-2 type final and we are looking for a real grinder here. If Tampa Bay was able to get the kind of game they wanted in Toronto's barn in Game 5 you know they certainly are going to be able to the same down in their own arena tonight. That said, this will be a game all about protecting leads and playing a safe and measured game. It is an elimination game and we saw a real change in the way Game 5 flowed compared to the earlier games in the series. The Lightning eliminated Toronto from the post-season last year so they know how to slow them down and create the game flow they want. That is not to say that it is easy but this Lightning team has proven more than capable on more than one occasion. Tampa is so well coached too. Also, the Maple Leafs are playing with so much pressure to end their playoff series' losing streak. They'll be squeezing the sticks a little too tight again tonight as a result and this one should be quite the low-scoring battle. Because of the current trending of this series, prior to Game 5, the number is just too big here and so we love the value with the total of 6.5 set on this game as that is also based on long-term reputation rather than the current way these teams are playing! Under is our play here. |
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04-28-23 | Stars v. Wild -107 | 4-1 | Loss | -107 | 9 h 24 m | Show | |
#6 ASA NHL PLAY ON 8* Minnesota Wild Money Line (-110) over Dallas Stars, Friday at 9:35 PM ET - The Wild are off consecutive losses and now fighting for their playoff lives. Home ice should help here as Minnesota is 5-1 L6 times they entered a game on a losing streak of at least 2 games and were on home ice. They will be ready here at home in this same situation. Dallas is off a shutout win in Game 5 but is actually 1-5 last 6 times when off a shutout win! It is now or never for the Wild and before that loss they had looked solid in most of the action against the Stars since this one got underway. Down 3-2 in this series but having played very competitive hockey thus far in the series, we will not pass up on the situational line value with the home team here. Minnesota Wild Money Line is the play in this one! |
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04-27-23 | Rangers +105 v. Devils | 0-4 | Loss | -100 | 8 h 34 m | Show | |
ASA PLAY ON 8* New York Rangers +105 over New Jersey Devils at 7:38 ET, Thursday - The road team has won all 4 games in this series. The game was a 1-1 tie in the 3rd period of Game 4 before the Devils got a key goal and then later added an empty netter for the 3-1 win. At that point though in Game 4 in the 3rd period when it was 1-1, the Rangers had outscored the Devils in regulation time by a combined 12 to 4. So even though this series is now 2-2, the Devils won Game 3 in OT and won Game 4 late. The Rangers actually won the first two games of this series in blowout fashion. When you consider all of the above plus the fact the road team has won all 4 games so far in this series, this seems like excellent underdog line value on the visitors in this one. We will grab the road dog in this one. |
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04-25-23 | Islanders v. Hurricanes OVER 5 | 3-2 | Push | 0 | 15 h 32 m | Show | |
#41/42 ASA PLAY ON 8* OVER 5 Goals - New York Islanders at Carolina Hurricanes, Tuesday at 7 PM ET - The Hurricanes and Islanders have totaled 6 or more goals in 3 straight games in this series. Now the Islanders season is on the line. At the same time, you know the Canes are going to push hard to end this thing on home ice. Considering those factors, we will not pass up this opportunity to get an over 5 in this one. The Isles scored 4 goals per game in their final 4 games of the regular season. As we noted above also, this series has been trending to overs. The Hurricanes, dating back to final 2 games of regular season as well, have won 5 of 6 games and scored an average of 4 goals in the 5 games. This total at 5 goals is absolutely a bargain. Over is our play here. |
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04-24-23 | Maple Leafs v. Lightning +102 | 5-4 | Loss | -100 | 16 h 16 m | Show | |
#36 ASA NHL PLAY ON 8* Tampa Bay Lightning Money Line (-105) over Toronto Maple Leafs, Monday at 7:38 PM ET - The Lightning gave up the tying goal with just a minute to go against the Maple Leafs in Game 3 and then lost the game in overtime. That gave Toronto the 2-1 series lead and makes this one critical for the Lightning. They can ill afford to go down 3-1 in this series with then heading to Toronto for Game 5. That being said, we liked the way Tampa Bay played in the Game 3 loss as it looked like their game until the final minute of regulation. We feel confident they will get the much needed win in Game 4. This Lightning club has so much post-season big-game experience and this series really has the feel of one that is going to go 7 games. Look for the Bolts to come up big here to even this one up at 2 games apiece. Tampa Bay Lightning Money Line is the play in this one! |
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04-23-23 | Hurricanes +111 v. Islanders | 5-2 | Win | 111 | 11 h 1 m | Show | |
#25 ASA NHL PLAY ON 8* Carolina Hurricanes Money Line (+110) over New York Islanders, Sunday at 1 PM ET - The Hurricanes are up 2-1 in this series and were already without Svechnikov and now lost Teravainen to injury as well. The Canes, with the series shifting to New York, did drop Game 3 but are in perfect bounce back spot in Game 4. Carolina a solid road team this season and we rode with the Islanders - an equally strong club when on home ice - Friday and got a winner but now the Canes will be hungry to respond after that 1-1 game turned into a crazy 5-1 loss in the latter minutes of the third period of what had been a 1-1 game! Payback time and the Hurricanes are so well-coached and will respond here. Ugly score in Game 3 but that is deceiving and the Canes are still up in this series and have played very competitive hockey thus far in the series. That being said, we will not pass up on the situational line value with the road team here. All 4 road teams won Saturday and we are not bucking that trend in the first game Sunday either. Carolina Hurricanes Money Line is the play in this one! |
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04-22-23 | Avalanche -140 v. Seattle Kraken | 6-4 | Win | 100 | 18 h 18 m | Show | |
#23 ASA NHL PLAY ON 8* Colorado Avalanche (-155) over Seattle Kraken, Saturday at 10 PM ET - Pretty sizable road favorite here but that is for a reason. This series is tied at 1 game apiece and the defending champs are not happy about having dropped a game on home ice. They will get back home ice edge in this series by notching a Game 3 victory. The post-season is a new experience for the Kraken. They of course have players with play-off experience but as a group this is the first go at it. Seattle also is hosting its first-ever post-season affair. The Kraken will be fired up but the Avalanche are the team that has been there done that! Indeed Colorado is the more cohesive club with their post-season experiences together and we will not pass up on the situational line value with the road team here. Colorado Money Line is the play in this one! |
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04-21-23 | Hurricanes v. Islanders -115 | 1-5 | Win | 100 | 12 h 56 m | Show | |
#10 ASA NHL PLAY ON 8* New York Islanders Money Line (-115) over Carolina Hurricanes, Friday at 7 PM ET - The Hurricanes are up 2-0 in this series but were already without Svechnikov and now lost Teravainen to injury as well. The Canes barely got by the Islanders in each of the first two games. Now, with the series shifting to New York, the Isles are well worth the low price here as a short home favorite. Carolina a solid road team this season but the Islanders and equally strong club when on home ice! The Hurricanes lost 4 of last 6 road games. The Islanders won 7 of last 9 home games! Down 2-0 in this series but having played very competitive hockey thus far in the series, we will not pass up on the situational line value with the home team here. New York Islanders Money Line is the play in this one! |
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04-20-23 | Lightning v. Maple Leafs OVER 6 | Top | 2-7 | Win | 100 | 11 h 10 m | Show |
#1/2 ASA TOP PLAY ON 10* OVER 6 Goals - Tampa Bay Lightning at Toronto Maple Leafs, Thursday at 7 PM ET - Toronto needs to respond on home ice here to avoid an 0-2 hole in this series. Certainly the Maple Leafs have the firepower on offense to do just that. The problem is that their goaltending just can not be trusted. Matt Murray is still out (concussion recovery) which means little-used Joseph Woll is the only option behind Ilya Samsonov right now for Toronto. That said, Samsonov is getting the start again tonight but he allowed 6 goals in the Game 1 loss to the high-powered Lightning. This is why we like the over so much here. We are confident that the Leafs are going to come out strong in this critical Game 2 match-up but how can anyone trust their goaltending? Year after year it is a problem for Toronto and ends up being their downfall in the post-season. That said, let's not forget that game one was a 3-2 game with 6 minutes to go in the 2nd period before the Leafs fell apart. The point is they can come out and compete hard here but they are going to have to score plenty to top the Lightning here. Don't be surprised if each club scores at least 3 goals here as this one flies over the total. Tampa Bay has scored an average of 4 goals in last 9 games dating back to late March. 13 of the Maple Leafs last 16 home games have totaled at least 6 goals and those games have averaged 7 goals! Tampa's Andrei Vasilevskiy is a great goalie but he was not as dominant this season and also has allowed 13 goals in his last 3 starts. Over is our play here. |
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04-19-23 | Kings v. Oilers -1.5 | 2-4 | Win | 125 | 21 h 39 m | Show | |
#62 ASA NHL PLAY ON 8* Edmonton Oilers Puck Line (-1.5 goals +125) over Los Angeles Kings, Wednesday at 10 PM ET - The Oilers had a 2-goal lead for the majority of game one. They were up 2-0 for much of the game. Then when the Kings cut the deficit to 1 in the 3rd period the Oilers seemingly restored order with their next goal making it a 2-goal lead again at 3-1. Inexplicably, up by 2 goals with 9 minutes to go in the game, not only did Edmonton fail to cover the puck line they did not even win the game. That one slipped away for the Oilers as Kings tied it late on a power play with about 15 seconds to go in regulation and then won it in OT - also on a power play goal. Suffice to say, the home team is out for revenge in a big way here. Edmonton has so much firepower, they will come out firing away in this game and it has the makings of a bloodbath for the road dog. Oilers will be relentless here. Laying the 1.5 goals with home favorite Edmonton for a plus money return in this one is the value play here. |
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04-18-23 | Seattle Kraken v. Avalanche -1.5 | Top | 3-1 | Loss | -100 | 19 h 15 m | Show |
#58 ASA NHL TOP PLAY ON 10* Colorado Avalanche Puck Line (-1.5 goals +140) over Seattle Kraken, Tuesday at 10 PM ET - Every single game between these teams in the regular season was won by the road team as the visitors won all 3. Also, all 3 were decided by just a single goal. So why this play? It is because now the post-season has arrived and the cream rises to the top and we look for Avalanche and their post-season experience plus home ice edge to help lead the way to a big win here over a Seattle club in the post-season for the first time. The Kraken lost their final two games of the regular season each by a multi-goal margin. There were tight games in yesterday's first day of playoff action but the Kraken have had 11 straight games decided by a multi-goal margin and we like Colorado here. The Avalanche have won 8 of last 10 playoff games on home ice. Home team in a blowout per our computer math model as the Avalanche carry their post-season confidence and dominance from last year right into the post-season. Laying the 1.5 goals with home favorite Colorado for a plus money return in this one is the value play here. |
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04-17-23 | Panthers v. Bruins -1.5 | 1-3 | Win | 130 | 17 h 31 m | Show | |
#44 ASA NHL PLAY ON 8* Boston Bruins Puck Line (-1.5 goals +125) over Florida Panthers, Monday at 7:30 PM ET - The Panthers Alex Lyon got hot in goal late in the season while Sergei Bobrovsky was recovering from injury. However, he then allowed 4 goals in the season finale versus the Hurricanes. If he plays here that will have shaken his confidence. The more likely scenario though is that Bobrovsky is in goal and he will be rusty after the time away due to injury. That said, the home team is the play here. The Bruins were so dominant in the regular season plus they are at home here and they will have the goalie edge no matter who is in goal. Of course all of these factors are the reason that Boston is a 2 to 1 favorite on the money line here. The value with this one is on the puck line where you can get a plus money return by laying the 1.5 goals with the Bruins. The home team won all 4 meetings between these teams in the regular season and each of the first three were decided by a multi-goal margin. Bruins have won 15 of 16 games and the Panthers have lost B2B games entering this one. Home team in a blowout per our computer math model as the Bruins carry their regular season dominance right into the post-season. Laying the 1.5 goals with home favorite Boston for a plus money return in this one is the value play here. |
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04-13-23 | Hurricanes v. Panthers UNDER 6.5 | Top | 6-4 | Loss | -100 | 12 h 2 m | Show |
#13/14 ASA TOP PLAY ON 10* UNDER 6.5 Goals - Carolina Hurricanes at Florida Panthers, Thursday at 7 PM ET - This is a huge game in the playoff standings. Carolina needs a win to capture the Metropolitan Division. They control their own destiny since they have one more point than the New Jersey Devils. Florida needs a win to avoid finishing as the 2nd wild card and facing the Boston Bruins in the first round. Like the Hurricanes, the Panthers control their own destiny since they are only one point behind the Islanders and New York played their final game of the regular season last night. So if the Panthers win they avoid facing a Bruins team that had a record-breaking NHL season. That said, this game tonight absolutely should play out as a tight defensive playoff-like battle. The Hurricanes were the 2nd best team this season in terms of goals allowed and have two great goalies in Andersen and Raanta. The Panthers could soon get their top goalie Bobrovsky back but with the way Lyon has been playing, how can Bobrovsky even be re-inserted as the #1? Lyon is a stellar 6-0-1 with a 1.55 GAA and .952 save percentage in his last 7 starts for Florida! The Panthers have allowed just 1.4 goals per game in regulation time of their last 7 games! The Hurricanes 8 of last 9 games have totaled 5 or less goals! Carolina has allowed an average of only 2 goals per game last 7 games! These teams are both already playing play-off hockey! Low-scoring battle should be on tap here as these teams both have been getting strong goaltending and stellar defense of late. We look for 5 goals here at most but certainly 6 seems like would be the maximum given the importance of this game in the standings and the current trending of these two clubs and so we love the value with the big total set on this game based on Florida's long-term reputation rather than the current way they are playing! Under is our play here. |
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04-12-23 | Canadiens v. Islanders -1.5 | 2-4 | Win | 100 | 17 h 26 m | Show | |
#2 ASA NHL PLAY ON 8* New York Islanders Puck Line (-1.5 goals -130) over Montreal Canadiens, Wednesday at 7:05 PM ET - Short write-up here. The Islanders win this game and they are going to the post-season. If they fail to win this game it opens the door for the Penguins as this is the season finale for New York and Pittsburgh also has just one game remaining and these clubs are separated by only 1 point in the standings! The Islanders control their own destiny and here they are hosting a Canadiens club that would like to play the role of spoiler but it is no accident that Montreal finished at the bottom of the Atlantic Division standings. The Habs have lost 5 of 6 and each of last 4 losses have been by a multi-goal margin. The Islanders are off a loss at Washington but had won 7 of 11 games heading into that one and 6 of the 7 victories were by a multi-goal margin. This sets up well to be another blowout victory as the Islanders punch their ticket to the post-season. Laying the 1.5 goals with home favorite New York is the play here. |
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04-11-23 | Oilers v. Avalanche UNDER 6.5 | 2-1 | Win | 115 | 9 h 14 m | Show | |
#71/72 ASA PLAY ON 8* UNDER 6.5 Goals - Edmonton Oilers at Colorado Avalanche, Tuesday at 9:35 PM ET - This is a key battle in the playoff race and this one will likely be played out as if it is a playoff game. It will have that type of intensity and a defensive mindset. When you look at the scoring capabilities of these two clubs you would think over here with this total a solid 6.5 across the board. The key here, however, is the fact that there should be playoff intensity here. Colorado has won 5 straight games and allowed an average of only 2 goals per game in last 10 victories. Edmonton has won 7 straight games and, incredibly the Oilers have allowed a TOTAL of only 3 goals in last 5 victories. This one should be quite the playoff-level battle as both these clubs in key situations where they need maximum points. Sure shapes up to be a 3-2 type final and our computer math model concurs with that type of game here. As a final result then, look for no more than 6 goals in this one! Under is our play here. |
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04-10-23 | Seattle Kraken v. Coyotes +1.5 | 4-1 | Loss | -120 | 8 h 19 m | Show | |
#54 ASA NHL PLAY ON 8* Arizona Coyotes Puck Line (+1.5 goals -120) over Seattle Kraken, Monday at 10:05 PM ET - The Coyotes are 21-14-4 in home games this season. Some of those 14 regulation losses have come by just one goal too. That being said, this is excellent line value here with +1.5 goals at a fair price in the -120 range. Arizona is a scrappy home dog that should play hard here and Seattle could let up here after clinching a post-season spot. The Kraken have been hot lately but most of those wins at home. On the road their most recent win was a big one but this was preceded by just 1 win by a multi-goal margin in the last 6 games on the road. The Coyotes will be tough to dominate here as only 2 of last 12 home games for Arizona have been a loss by a multi-goal margin. Grabbing the 1.5 goals with home dog Arizona is the play here. |
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04-09-23 | Avalanche v. Ducks OVER 6.5 | 5-4 | Win | 100 | 9 h 42 m | Show | |
#35/36 ASA PLAY ON 8* OVER 6.5 Goals - Colorado Avalanche at Anaheim Ducks, Sunday at 8:30 PM ET - We like the over here regardless of the starting goalies. The Ducks have been struggling to stop anyone no matter who they have in goal. The Avalanche are expected to start Pavel Francouz between the pipes for this one. It will be his first time in the crease since early February. It could take awhile for Francouz to get back to his typical form and the Ducks will look to jump on him early like they did when they scored 4 goals against him in early February. The trouble for Anaheim is this Avalanche team is rolling right now and the Ducks continue to allow huge goal totals. This one, per our computer math model, is projected to finish with 7 or 8 goals in most of the simulations run for this match-up. It looks like a back and forth entertaining match-up very likely here in Anaheim Sunday. Over is our play here. |
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04-08-23 | Flyers v. Islanders OVER 5.5 | Top | 0-4 | Loss | -109 | 7 h 40 m | Show |
#21/22 ASA TOP PLAY ON 10* OVER 5.5 Goals - Philadelphia Flyers at New York Islanders, Saturday at 7:30 PM ET - We like the over here regardless of the starting goalies. But we'll start there by mentioning that the Flyers are expected to start Carter Hart here. He has played sparingly the past two weeks and so he could be rusty. This would be just the 2nd start for Hart in two weeks. Also, he is struggling on the road. He is known for being stronger on home ice and that has been the case again with recent road struggles putting a highlight on the home/road dichotomy. Hart has allowed an average of 4 goals per game in his last 6 road starts. The Flyers have been eliminated from post-season contention for quite some time now but Philly would love nothing more than to put a dent in the playoff hopes of the Islanders. To do that though, Philly will have to score well. Their defense has been weak of late overall and it has been part of a rough season for Philadelphia. The Flyers have allowed at least 4 goals in 5 straight games - all losses - and the average allowed was 4.4 goals. This total at 5.5 is just too low. The Flyers will put up a fight and should enjoy some success in the offensive zone but just will not be able to stop the Islanders. New York enters this game off a 6-1 win and has scored at least 5 goals in 3 of last 4 home games. The Islanders averaged 6 goals scored in those 3 home games. They will pressure Philly early and often in this game but should allow a few goals along the way too. Over is our play here.
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04-06-23 | Lightning v. Islanders OVER 5.5 | 1-6 | Win | 100 | 8 h 9 m | Show | |
#47/48 ASA PLAY ON 8* OVER 5.5 Goals - Tampa Bay Lightning at New York Islanders, Thursday at 7:35 PM ET - Lightning in a B2B so back-up goalie Brian Elliott likely to start here. That means the Islanders, not known for high-scoring games, should actually score very well here. Elliott is no Vasilevskiy. At the same time though, the Tampa Bay attack should push hard off of the 6-3 loss at the Rangers last night. That said, we are looking for plenty of goals here. Look for a surprise for an Islanders game as the setup here is ideal for goals and we take advantage of this low total posted at just 5.5 goals. Over is our play here |
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04-05-23 | Flames v. Jets UNDER 6 | 3-1 | Win | 100 | 13 h 27 m | Show | |
#31/32 ASA PLAY ON 8* UNDER 6 Goals - Calgary Flames at Winnipeg Jets, Wednesday at 7:35 PM ET - This is a key battle in the playoff race and this one will likely be played out as if it is a playoff game. It will have that type of intensity and a defensive mindset. When you look at the scoring capabilities of these two clubs you would think over here with this total a solid 6 across the board. The key here, however, is the fact that there should be playoff intensity here. Since Markstrom played last night for the Flames, Vladar is likely to get the start here. He has been solid for Calgary this season and this includes on the road. Winnipeg is likely to start Hellebuyck and he has been fantastic between the pipes of late as per usual. He is a big part of the reason the Jets have allowed just 2.3 goals per game last 9 games. The Flames have been involved in some higher-scoring games of late but this followed a stretch of 4 games in which they allowed an average of only 2 goals per game. Look for a bounce back defensive effort from Calgary here in a must-win spot and coming off a 4-3 home loss to Chicago. As a final result then, look for no more than 5 goals in this one! Under is our play here. |
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04-04-23 | Sabres v. Panthers UNDER 7 | 1-2 | Win | 114 | 15 h 60 m | Show | |
#13/14 ASA PLAY ON 8* UNDER 7 Goals - Buffalo Sabres at Florida Panthers, Tuesday at 7:05 PM ET - This is a key battle in the playoff race and the Sabres also have a 2-game in hand advantage compared to the Panthers. Florida is just ahead of Buffalo in the standings but the Sabres can pick up valuable ground here in the race and this one will likely be played out as if it is a playoff game. It will have that type of intensity and a defensive mindset. When you look at the scoring capabilities of these two clubs you would think over here and this total is a solid 7 across the board. The key here, however, is the fact that there should be playoff intensity here. Also, the Panthers have been getting strong goaltending from Alex Lyon and he is expected to start again here. Florida has allowed a total of just 4 goals during their current 3-game winning streak. Buffalo has won 4 of 5 games and allowed on average of only 2 goals in regulation time of its last 4 games. As a final result then, look for no more than 6 goals in this one! Under is our play here. |
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04-02-23 | Red Wings v. Maple Leafs OVER 6.5 | 5-2 | Win | 104 | 6 h 58 m | Show | |
#69/70 ASA PLAY ON 8* OVER 6.5 Goals - Detroit Red Wings at Toronto Maple Leafs, Sunday at 7:05 PM ET - The Maple Leafs are expected to start Matt Murray between the pipes for this one. He has allowed 4 goals in 7 of his last 8 starts. We expect Toronto to be very strong at home here but we also do not trust Murray to stop a scrappy Red Wings team. Detroit has averaged scoring 4 goals per game last 3 games. However, the Wings struggle to slow teams down and have allowed an average of 4 goals per game last 8 games! This one has all the makings of a back and forth barnburner with good odds, as you can see above, that each team gets to 4 goals. Over is our play here |
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04-01-23 | Stars v. Avalanche UNDER 6 | 2-5 | Loss | -105 | 19 h 49 m | Show | |
#47/48 ASA PLAY ON 8* UNDER 6 Goals - Dallas Stars at Colorado Avalanche, Saturday at 9:05 PM ET - This is a key battle in the Central Division playoff race and the Avalanche also have a game in hand advantage compared to the Stars. Dallas is just ahead of Colorado in the standings but the Avs can pick up valuable ground here in the race and this one will likely be played out as if it is a playoff game. It will have that type of intensity and a defensive mindset. The Stars are off a 5-2 win last night and have allowed an average of only 2 goals in last 4 games. Colorado off a 4-2 loss to Minnesota but allowed 2 or less goals in 13 of 21 games prior to that one. The Avs have allowed an average of only 1 goal the last 3 times they entered a game off a loss. As a final result then, look for no more than 5 goals in this one! Under is our play here. |
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03-31-23 | Rangers -135 v. Sabres | 2-3 | Loss | -135 | 16 h 31 m | Show | |
#23 ASA NHL PLAY ON 8* New York Rangers Money Line (-135) over Buffalo Sabres, Friday at 7:05 PM ET - The Rangers are off a loss and this followed wins in 9 of 11 games and New York is 3-0 last 3 times off a loss. Buffalo is still fighting hard to keep slim playoff hopes alive but the Sabres have now lost 9 of 12 and the Rangers still have motivation to move up in their playoff position as they could even win the Metro Division yet. We will take the stronger team and coming off a loss as this is a very fair price to have a team that, just like last season, is proving to again be one of the best in the league. NY Rangers Money Line is the play in this one! |
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03-29-23 | Wild v. Avalanche -145 | 4-2 | Loss | -145 | 19 h 21 m | Show | |
#78 ASA NHL PLAY ON 8* Colorado Avalance Money Line (-150) over Minnesota Wild, Wednesday at 10:05 PM ET - Both teams off identical 5-1 wins but the Avalanche are on home ice and that makes a key difference in this game. Colorado should absolutely prove worth the price. The Avs have won 9 of 10 games. The Wild have won B2B games but, prior to this, endured a rather mediocre stretch with just 5 wins in last 9 games. Minnesota has already lost both games with the Avalanche by a combined score of 9 to 5 and this looks like another tough spot on the road for the Wild. Colorado Money Line is the play in this one! |
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03-28-23 | Oilers v. Golden Knights OVER 7 | 7-4 | Win | 100 | 17 h 6 m | Show | |
#69/70 ASA PLAY ON 8* OVER 7 Goals - Edmonton Oilers at Vegas Golden Knights, Monday at 10 PM ET - After last night's huge 5-4 win at Arizona, 25 of last 33 Edmonton games have totaled at least 7 goals. The Oilers are seeking revenge in this one and will be ready to respond here after losing at home to Vegas on Saturday night. Edmonton entered last night's game off 4-3 OT loss and 4-3 OT win last 2 games and this followed a stretch in which Oilers scored at least 4 goals in 14 of 18 games. One of, if not the, most dangerous teams in the league and seeking revenge for a recent home loss, we look for plenty of scoring in this one as it is set up perfect being a road revenge, but also B2B spot, for the Oilers. The Edmonton offense responds but continues to have some issues keeping the puck out of their own. Note that with Campbell starting last night in goal for Edmonton, it will likely be Skinner tonight and he has allowed at least 3 goals in 3 straight games. 9 of last 12 Vegas games have totaled at least 7 goals. Golden Knights have won 8 of 9 games and, not including OT or SO, have scored an average of 4 goals per game during this stretch. Of course Oilers known for hitting the 4-goal mark with regularity. This one should get to 8 or 9. Over is our play here. |
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03-27-23 | Oilers v. Coyotes OVER 7 | Top | 5-4 | Win | 100 | 7 h 49 m | Show |
#51/52 ASA TOP PLAY ON 10* OVER 7 Goals - Edmonton Oilers at Arizona Coyotes, Monday at 10 PM ET - We like the over here regardless of the starting goalies. But we'll start there by mentioning that the Oilers are expected to start Jack Campbell here as he was in the starters crease at this morning's skate. Campbell has just 1 win in his last 6 starts and has about a 5.00 GAA during this stretch. Campbell has allowed at least 4 goals in all 6 of these starts! The Coyotes have allowed at least 3 goals in 3 straight games and it has not mattered who is in goal. Included in the stretch was a 4-3 OT loss to the Oilers and Edmonton also won the first meeting this season by an 8-2 count. We look for the Coyotes to again struggle to stop the Oilers here but also Arizona is known for competing well at home and will score some goals against an Oilers team known for struggling in its own zone. The Coyotes have scored an average of 4 goals in last 8 home games! 8 of last 12 Arizona games have totaled at least 7 goals. 24 of last 32 Edmonton games have totaled at least 7 goals. The Oilers are off a loss and will be ready to respond here after losing at home to Vegas on Saturday night. Edmonton is off 4-3 OT loss and 4-3 OT win last 2 games and this followed a stretch in which Oilers scored at least 4 goals in 14 of 18 games. One of, if not the, most dangerous teams in the league and coming off a loss, we look for plenty of scoring in this one. The Edmonton offense responds but continues to have some issues keeping the puck out of their own net especially if Campbell gets the start as expected. If he does not start it would be Skinner and he has allowed at least 3 goals in 3 straight games. Over is our play here.
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03-25-23 | Red Wings v. Flyers -123 | 0-3 | Win | 100 | 8 h 26 m | Show | |
#2 ASA NHL PLAY ON 8* Philadelphia Flyers Money Line (-125) over Detroit Red Wings, Saturday at 1:05 PM ET - The Red Wings have lost 11 of 14 games. Detroit won their most recent road game but B2B road wins for this team have been rare for some time now and the Red Wings entered that game (a SO win) having lost 5 straight road games. The Flyers are off B2B wins and have won 4 of last 6 home games including a 3-1 win over the Red Wings. They have had a tough season overall but are a decent home team and looking to finish the season strong. It is expected that Nedeljkovic will get the start for the Red Wings here and he has won just 2 of 9 decisions and he has a 4.01 GAA with Detroit this season! Flyers allowing 2.7 goals per game in regulation time of their last 7 home games and we just do not see the Red Wings and their struggling goalie finding a way here. Philadelphia Money Line is the play in this one! |
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03-23-23 | Maple Leafs v. Panthers OVER 7 | 6-2 | Win | 100 | 12 h 9 m | Show | |
#33/34 ASA PLAY ON 8* OVER 7 Goals - Toronto Maple Leafs at Florida Panthers, Tuesday at 7 PM ET - Big total but love this spot for a goal-fest. The Maple Leafs have had 6 of last 7 games total at least 7 goals and those games averaged 8 goals and we expect a 5-4 type battle! The Panthers have had 5 of last 6 games total at least 7 goals and those 6 games have averaged about 9 goals per game. You can see why the scoring should be strong in this one given numbers like this. Even though these are divisional foes, this is just their 2nd meeting of 4 this season as they have two more over the final 3 weeks of the season. The first one was a 5-4 final in OT and another game in which the teams scored 4 goals apiece in regulation would not be a surprise at all the way these two teams are going right now. Over is our play here. |
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03-22-23 | Penguins v. Avalanche -155 | 5-2 | Loss | -155 | 18 h 36 m | Show | |
#28 ASA NHL PLAY ON 7* Colorado Avalanche Money Line (-155) over Pittsburgh Penguins, Wednesday at 8:07 PM ET - The Avalanche have won 6 straight games. The Avs have outscored their opponents by an aggregate score of 28 to 12 in those games. That means average score of 5 to 2 per game and we expect another solid win here. The money line is low enough that if we reduce our rating to 7* on this play here rather than the typical 8* we still have solid value in terms of our risk amount. This Colorado team is rolling right now plus on home ice and they are hosting a Penguins team that has lost 4 straight games and been outscored 18 to 7 in those games. Pittsburgh is fighting hard to earn a playoff berth but the Avalanche are still fighting hard to win the Central Division and possibly to even be the top seed in the Western Conference. This is a hot versus not situation and, with both teams motivated, we like the hot home team in this one. We will not pass up on the situational line value here. Colorado Money Line is the play in this one! |
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03-21-23 | Blue Jackets v. Capitals OVER 6.5 | Top | 7-6 | Win | 100 | 5 h 11 m | Show |
#1/2 ASA TOP PLAY ON 10* OVER 6.5 Goals - Columbus Blue Jackets at Washington Capitals, Tuesday at 7 PM ET - We like the over here regardless of the starting goalies. But we'll start there by mentioning that the Blue Jackets are expected to start Daniil Tarasov and he has lost 8 of his last 9 starts and is 3-11-1 with a 3.77 GAA this season and is off a start in which he allowed 5 goals. The Capitals are expected to start Charlie Lindgren and he has allowed 4 goals in each of his last two starts. Washington is still mathematically alive but they realize their odds on a wild card spot are slim. The Blue Jackets have already been eliminated from post-season contention. Considering the situation, this game is likely to play out rather wide-open with plenty of open ice. Overall, Washington has seen plenty of that lately too as the Capitals last 4 games have totaled at least 7 goals. Also, the last 11 Caps games have averaged 8 goals. The Blue Jackets also have been trending to overs because their defense is so bad and their goaltending has been subpar. Columbus has lost 8 of 11 games and scored an average of 3.3 goals during this stretch but also allowed an average of 4.8 goals per game. As you can see from these numbers, just like Washington, the Jackets last 11 games averaging 8 goals. You can see why we fully expect to see at least 7 goals in this one! Also, we are aware of the Kuznetsov injury situation for the Capitals but even if he is not back for tonight's game he has been having a very quiet month and yet the Capitals still scoring very well. Also, Washington is getting a boost with the imminent return of John Carslon even though he may not be back until Thursday. Morale is up for the Caps these days. Over is our play here. |
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03-20-23 | Panthers v. Red Wings +1.5 | 5-2 | Loss | -150 | 17 h 19 m | Show | |
ASA NHL PLAY ON 7* Detroit Red Wings Puck Line (+1.5 goals -150) over Florida Panthers, Monday at 7:05 PM ET - So we reduce our star rating from the average 8* to 7* here because of laying a little bit of price to the +1.5 goals on our side. That said, laying 7* on a -160 is the equivalent wager risk amount of laying 10* on a -110. So we are comfortable here because the Red Wings are on home ice and the Panthers have not exactly been crushing teams of late. That said, we will gladly challenge Florida to win this game by a multiple-goal margin. The fact is that the Panthers are 9-6 last 15 games but only 5 of the 9 wins by a multi-goal margin! That means that at a -1.5 price, Florida would be 5-10 last 15 games! As for the Red Wings, they have won 17 of their 34 home games this season and only 9 of the 17 home losses was by a multi-goal margin. That means at +1.5 goals on home ice this season, Detroit is 25-9 on the season! Coming off a rare bad home loss, to the defending champion Avalanche, the Red Wings bounce back here. They almost always bounce back on home ice when their prior game at home was a multi-goal loss. Grabbing the 1.5 goals with the home dog Detroit is the play here. |
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03-18-23 | Islanders v. Sharks UNDER 6 | 4-1 | Win | 100 | 9 h 45 m | Show | |
8* UNDER - Islanders off a 6-3 win but had scored an average of only 2.3 goals in their 9 games heading into that one. The Isles are playing the last game of a road trip on the west coast and then play their next game Tuesday all the way back across the country in New York. Sometimes this is one of the toughest spots for a team and their goal-scoring could struggle here. Additionally, the Sharks have not been scoring well either. San Jose has lost 14 of 17 games and the Sharks have scored an average of only 1.9 goals per game in the 14 losses. This one has all the makings of a 3-2 final at the most yet we are working with a total of 6 goals here. We'll take it in a game that could very well be tied at 2 at the end of regulation. That is certainly what the recent trending for these teams supports in this spot. Under is our play here. |
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03-16-23 | Avalanche v. Senators OVER 6.5 | 5-4 | Win | 100 | 17 h 47 m | Show | |
#7/8 ASA PLAY ON 8* OVER 6.5 Goals - Colorado Avalanche at Ottawa Senators, Thursday at 7 PM ET - Tough back to back spot for the Avalanche off a 2-1 SO win at Toronto last night. Remember that Georgiev entered last night's start having allowed 4 goals twice in his last three starts! No matter who is in goal for the Avs this team entered last night's action having allowed 4 goals per game last 7 games! The good news for Colorado fans is that, despite the struggles at times in their own end, this team can pile up goals. The Avalanche were off an 8-4 win at Montreal and their last 6 road games had averaged 7.3 goals before last night's surprising 2-1 final. The Senators have struggled for quite some time now in terms of goals allowed but do continue to score well on home ice where they have scored an average of 5 goals per game last 8 games. Ottawa is also off a road trip in which they allowed 5 goals per game over the 5-game stretch. Injuries to Forsberg and Talbot in goal have really hurt the Sens and the Avs will take advantage here but the Senators also should score well at home yet again. Over is our play here. |
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03-15-23 | Avalanche v. Maple Leafs OVER 6.5 | Top | 2-1 | Loss | -107 | 6 h 34 m | Show |
#79/80 ASA TOP PLAY ON 10* OVER 6.5 Goals - Colorado Avalanche at Toronto Maple Leafs, Wednesday at 7 PM ET - We like the over here regardless of the starting goalies. But we'll start there by mentioning that the Maple Leafs are expected to go with Samsonov and he has allowed 8 goals in his last two starts. If Toronto goes with Murray, he has allowed 4 goals in 5 straight starts. As for the Avalanche, Georgiev expected to start and he got pulled against the Maple Leafs when they faced Toronto earlier this season as he allowed 5 goals in less than two periods of work! He also enters this start having allowed 4 goals twice in his last three starts! No matter who is in goal for the Avs this team has allowed 4 goals per game last 7 games! The good news for Colorado fans is that, despite the struggles at times in their own end, this team can pile up goals. The Avalanche are off an 8-4 win at Montreal and their last 6 road games have averaged 7.3 goals. The Maple Leafs have had one low-scoring home game of late but that was because it was against the Wild and Minnesota continues to get involved in low-scoring grinders. But, other than that one exception, if you look at the other recent home games for Toronto they have scored an average of 4 goals last 12. Also, 8 of those 12 totaled at least 7 goals and we look for at least 7 in this one too! Over is our play here. |
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03-14-23 | Canadiens v. Penguins OVER 6.5 | 6-4 | Win | 100 | 7 h 24 m | Show | |
#53/54 ASA PLAY ON 8* OVER 6.5 Goals - Montreal Canadiens at Pittsburgh Penguins, Tuesday at 7:05 PM ET - Montreal has been dealing with injuries but still scored 4 goals last night! The goal-scoring is the good news but the bad news is that Montreal allowed 8 goals in last night's loss. They also had to just use both goalies in the game due to how ugly the loss was so that exasperates the situation in what was already a tough back to back spot for the Habs. That said, expect plenty of goals and the Penguins are sure to show no mercy on home ice. However, Pittsburgh also has seen both Jarry and Desmith allow some bigger goal totals recently. Pittsburgh has scored 3.5 goals per game last 8 games but allowed 3 goals per game last 6 games. Both teams are struggling so badly of late to stop the opposition and we don't see that changing here. That said, don't be surprised if each team gets to 3 goals in this one. As a final result then, look for at least a total of 7 in this one! Over is our play here. |
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03-12-23 | Wild v. Coyotes UNDER 6 | 4-5 | Loss | -120 | 11 h 33 m | Show | |
#45/46 ASA PLAY ON 8* UNDER 6 Goals - Minnesota Wild at Arizona Coyotes, Sunday at 9:35 PM ET -Prosvetov was great in goal in his most recent start and each of Coyotes last two games have totaled only 5 goals. Here they are hosting a Wild team looking for revenge and that should point to a low-scoring result here. Minnesota will look to dominate play and force the style of game to be their type of game. Wild want revenge and catch Arizona in 2nd game of a back to back. Minnesota is off B2B wins by counts of 4-2 and 5-2, respectively. However, prior to this, 16 of last 18 Minnesota games had totaled only 5 goals. This looks like another low-scoring grinder given the situation and the revenge factor. As a final result then, look for no more than 5 goals in this one! Under is our play here. |
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03-11-23 | Coyotes v. Avalanche -1.5 | 2-3 | Loss | -170 | 17 h 49 m | Show | |
#8 ASA NHL PLAY ON 7* Colorado Avalanche Puck Line (-1.5 goals -155) over Arizona Coyotes, Saturday at 6:05 PM ET - Have to lay some juice on this one so we reduce our star rating a bit here but set-ups just do not get much better than this. Arizona is off B2B wins but is one of the worst teams in the league while the defending champion Avalanche are off a bad loss. Adding to the situational value here is that the Avs lost to the Coyotes in Arizona earlier this season. Note that only 2 times this entire season has Arizona managed to win 3 straight games. Also, though most recent loss was an OT loss, the 4 before that were all big-margin losses and the average margin of defeat in those was 3.5 goals. As for the Avalanche, their last 4 wins have been by a combined score of 18 to 2 and this sets up well to be another blowout victory as they get back on track plus get their revenge. Laying the 1.5 goals with home favorite Colorado is the play here. |
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03-09-23 | Sharks v. Blues OVER 6.5 | 2-4 | Loss | -100 | 18 h 48 m | Show | |
#63/64 ASA PLAY ON 8* OVER 6.5 Goals - San Jose Sharks at St Louis Blues, Thursday at 8:05 PM ET - The Sharks are off 6-0 loss and the Blues are off a 6-2 defeat. San Jose has lost 6 of 7 games and allowed a ridiculous 5.5 goals per game in the 6 losses! St Louis has lost 8 of 9 games and given up 4.5 goals per game in those 8 defeats. Both teams are struggling so badly of late to stop the opposition and we don't see that changing here. That said, don't be surprised if each team gets to 3 goals in this one. As a final result then, look for at least a total of 7 in this one! Over is our play here. |
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03-08-23 | Wild v. Jets -125 | 4-2 | Loss | -125 | 16 h 28 m | Show | |
#46 ASA NHL PLAY ON 8* Winnipeg Jets Money Line (-125) over Minnesota Wild, Wednesday at 7:35 PM ET - The Wild in a tough back to back spot and continue to struggle to score goals as they lost 1-0 yesterday. The Jets also off a tight low-scoring loss but at least scored a couple of goals and their game was on Monday. Winnipeg has the rest edge here plus Jets have averaged 4.3 goals scored in last 4 games. Minnesota, on the other hand, has averaged 1.6 goals per game last 13 games. The Wild simply will not be able to keep up with the Jets in this tough back to back situation. We will not pass up on the situational line value here. Winnipeg Money Line is the play in this one! |
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03-07-23 | Blue Jackets v. Penguins -1.5 | Top | 4-5 | Loss | -129 | 5 h 6 m | Show |
ASA NHL TOP PLAY ON 10* Pittsburgh Penguins Puck Line (-1.5 goals -130) over Columbus Blue Jackets, Tuesday at 7:05 PM ET - Pittsburgh is in a great spot here which is why they are a -300 favorite on the money line. Where the value is here is with the puck line which is in the -130 range on this one. Regardless of the starting goalies here, we love the Penguins in this spot. However, we will mention that the expected starters are Elvis Merzlikins for the Blue Jackets and Tristan Jarry for the Penguins. Merzlikins is having a horrific season and Columbus has lost 19 of his 26 starts and he has a 4.15 GAA which is ridiculously high. Jarry has a solid 2.77 GAA and has a 19-7-5 record overall. The Blue Jackets have lost 22 of 29 road games this season while the Penguins are on home ice where they have been rock solid this season. We love the fact that Pittsburgh is off a 4-1 road loss but now back home and the road loss had followed a 4-game winning streak. Also, the Penguins have won 6 straight over the Blue Jackets by a combined score of 28 to 12. That works out to an average score of 5 to 2 and there is certainly nothing average about that! The fact is the Blue Jackets struggle consistently when facing these Penguins and now Columbus enters this match-up slumping as well. The Blue Jackets have lost 10 of 15 games. The Penguins have averaged scoring nearly 5 goals per game in last 6 wins on home ice and Columbus just will not be able to keep up here. Home team in a blowout per our computer math model. Laying the 1.5 goals with home favorite Pittsburgh is the value play here. |
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03-06-23 | Predators v. Canucks OVER 6 | 3-4 | Win | 100 | 8 h 5 m | Show | |
#19/20 ASA PLAY ON 8* OVER 6 Goals - Nashville Predators at Vancouver Canucks, Monday at 10:35 PM ET - The Predators have had some lower-scoring games but things will open up against the Canucks. Not only that, Nashville has won 6 of 8 games and scored an average of 4.7 goals in the 6 victories. Vancouver off a 4-1 but that was just the 4th time last 16 games that a Canucks game did not total at least 7 goals. These teams recently met and the final was a 5-4 game. The Canucks do have Demko back in goal recently but this is a tougher match-up in this game. The Predators won 60 percent of the faceoffs in most recent meeting and could again control the faceoff circle and be firing plenty of shots on Demko. The Preds been so hot with the goal-scoring in wins but also, the Canucks confidence growing with recent wins. Don't be surprised if each team gets to 3 goals in this one. As a final result then, look for at least a total of 7 in this one! Over is our play here. |
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03-04-23 | Wild v. Flames UNDER 5.5 | 3-0 | Win | 100 | 19 h 32 m | Show | |
#83/84 ASA PLAY ON 8* UNDER 5.5 Goals - Minnesota Wild at Calgary Flames, Saturday at 10:07 PM ET - 14 of the last 16 Wild games have totaled 5 or less goals. Minnesota has scored just 1.9 goals in regulation time and allowed only 1.4 goals on average in regulation time of the last 11 games. The Flames games have trended higher-scoring than Wild games have. However, Calgary still has scored only 2 goals per game last 6 home games in regulation. Given that plus Minnesota's recent low-scoring ways, this game is going to struggle to get to much more than 2-1 and anything more than 3-2 would be very surprising. Look for just 5 or less goals in this one! Under is our play here. |
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03-02-23 | Maple Leafs v. Flames OVER 6.5 | 2-1 | Loss | -115 | 16 h 50 m | Show | |
#45/46 ASA PLAY ON 8* OVER 6.5 Goals - Toronto Maple Leafs at Calgary Flames, Thursday at 9 PM ET - Maple Leafs got hammered 5-2 at Edmonton last night. Toronto will want to bounce back here and the Leafs goal-scoring should erupt here. Trouble is that the Maple Leafs defense and netminding just can not be trusted here. Toronto has allowed 3.5 goals per game in the last 4 on the road plus they used their top goalie last night. The Leafs had won 5 of 6 games before the loss to the Oilers and had scored an average of 4 goals per game during that stretch. The Flames 11 of last 15 games have totaled at least 7 goals. Calgary giving up about 3.5 goals per game in their last 8 but also having scored about 3.5 goals per game in their last dozen. Look for at least 7 in this one! Over is our play here. |
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03-01-23 | Capitals v. Ducks +1.5 | 3-2 | Win | 100 | 21 h 49 m | Show | |
ASA NHL PLAY ON 7* Anaheim Ducks Puck Line (+1.5 goals -155) over Washington Capitals, Wednesday at 10:05 PM ET - So we reduce our star rating from the average 8* to 7* here because of laying a little bit of price to the +1.5 goals on our side. That said, laying 7* on a -155 is the equivalent wager risk amount of laying 10* on a -110. So we are comfortable here because the Ducks have been playing better than the Capitals plus getting much better goaltending and we will gladly challenge Washington to win this game by a multiple-goal margin. The fact is that the Caps are 7-14 last 21 games and only 2 of the 7 wins was by a multi-goal margin! That means that at a -1.5 price, Washington would be 2-19 last 21 games! As for the Ducks, they have won 3 straight games including a recent 4-2 win in DC over the Capitals. We also like the fact that Anaheim has allowed 2 or less goals in all 3 wins. Grabbing the 1.5 goals with the home dog Anaheim is the play here. |
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02-28-23 | Blackhawks v. Coyotes OVER 6 | Top | 1-4 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 8 m | Show |
#15/16 ASA TOP PLAY ON 10* OVER 6 Goals - Chicago Blackhawks at Arizona Coyotes, Tuesday at 9 PM ET - First off, we'll be clear here that regardless of the goalies that get the start here we like the over in this match-up based on the situation and the recent team trending. However, the expected starting goalie match-up certainly is attractive for an over. It is expected to be Alex Stalock for the Blackhawks and Karel Vejmelka for the Coyotes. Chicago is in the second game of a B2B as they lost 4-2 at Anaheim last night and Petr Mrazek got the start in that one. He is the Blackhawks #1 goalie and so it is unlikely we see him here. Stalock is slated to get the start and he is coming back from a long injury layoff. He has been out since mid-January and did allow at least 3 goals in 4 of last 5 appearances. He could be rusty here and the Chicago defense has not exactly been solid of late. The Blackhawks have allowed 3.6 goals per game last dozen games. Speaking of sub-par defense, the Coyotes have allowed at least 5 goals in 3 of last 4 games! That has included outings from goalie Connor Ingram but Vejmelka has particularly struggled with allowing 5 or more goals in 3 of last 4 appearances. Overall, these clubs both have been trending to higher-scoring games and the value of this total being a 6 is huge as well. The Coyotes have played 8 games since February 10th and 6 of the 8 have totaled at least 6 goals. Chicago has played 7 games the past two weeks and 6 have totaled 6 or more goals. Look for at least 7 in this one! Over is our play here.
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02-27-23 | Bruins v. Oilers OVER 6.5 | 3-2 | Loss | -123 | 18 h 3 m | Show | |
#73/74 ASA PLAY ON 8* OVER 6.5 Goals - Boston Bruins at Edmonton Oilers, Monday at 8:35 PM ET - Boston has won 6 straight games and scored 4.6 goals per game in most recent 5 victories. Overall, this Bruins team has scored at least 4 goals in 12 of last 16 wins. They are favored here and expected to win again but the high-flying Oilers are sure to put up a fight on home ice. Edmonton has scored an average of 4.8 goals per game in most recent 6 games. In fact, 9 of last 11 Oilers games have totaled at least 7 goals and Edmonton has allowed 4 goals per game in last 7 games. This one getting to 4-4 would actually not be a shock given all of the above. At the very least, this one has the strong likelihood of seeing each team reach the 3-goal mark. Of course this would mean achieving at least a 4-3 final and we absolutely look for at least 7 goals in this one and a total in the 9 range would not be too surprising either! Over is our play here. |
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02-26-23 | Lightning v. Penguins OVER 6.5 | 3-7 | Win | 100 | 16 h 16 m | Show | |
#63/64 ASA PLAY ON 8* OVER 6.5 Goals - Tampa Bay Lightning at Pittsburgh Penguins, Sunday at 6 PM ET - Tampa Bay off a shutout win but Vasilevskiy had to stop 45 shots on goal in the 3-0 win. Now a rusty Elliott likely to take his place in goal because this is a B2B spot. Pittsburgh also off a low-scoring win, 3-2, yesterday and the B2B spot means that DeSmith likely to start here. Jarry has been playing well, for the most part, for the Penguins but now he'll likely give way to DeSmith and the latter allowed 5 goals in most recent start. Prior to the 3-0 win yesterday, Tampa Bay had 3 straight games total at least 7 goals and those 3 averaged 9 goals! The Penguins, prior to the 3-2 win yesterday, had lost 4 straight and allowed an average of 5 goals per game. Pittsburgh now back on home ice where 5 of last 6 games have been high-scoring. Those 5 Pens home games having averaged totaling 9 goals! Look for at least 7 in this one! Over is our play here. |
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02-25-23 | Flames +110 v. Avalanche | 1-4 | Loss | -100 | 9 h 26 m | Show | |
#51 ASA NHL PLAY ON 8* Calgary Flames Money Line (+110) over Colorado Avalanche, Saturday at 10:05 PM ET - Excellent spot here loaded with underdog value on Calgary. The Flames are off a loss and well-rested here. The Avalanche played last night and got a big road win at Winnipeg. They have won 4 straight games but this B2B spot will test them! In a strange scheduling quirk the Avs had been off for nearly a week before facing the Jets and yet now are thrust into a B2B spot. With Francouz out with an injury and Georgiev having started last night, this could be Annunen in goal tonight and he is just 22 years old and has only made 2 NHL starts in his career. It is either him or Georgiev having to play the 2nd game of a B2B so neither option is too appealing. The Flames will take advantage and are hungry off a loss. The Avs have had only one 5-game win streak this entire season and all signs point to another 4-gamer coming to an end. Colorado is 1-3 this season when at home and entering a game on a winning streak of 3 or more games. We will not pass up on the underdog line value here. Calgary Money Line is the play in this one! |
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02-24-23 | Sabres v. Panthers OVER 7 | 3-1 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 54 m | Show | |
#23/24 ASA PLAY ON 8* OVER 7 Goals - Buffalo Sabres at Florida Panthers, Friday at 7 PM ET - Big total set on this game but we just can not see this one being anything other than a good old-fashioned barn-burner with end to end action on the ice here. Since mid-January, 13 of 15 Florida games have totaled at least 7 goals. Those games have averaged 8 goals apiece and our computer math model is showing good probability this game reaches the 8-goal mark. Buffalo has allowed 4.7 goals in last 7 games. Sabres have scored 5 goals per game last 4 games. Buffalo's last 6 games have averaged almost 9 goals per game and all but 1 of them did reach the 7-goal mark. The way these teams have been playing in recent weeks on both ends of the ice, look for at least 8 in this one! Over is our play here. |
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02-23-23 | Flames v. Golden Knights OVER 6 | Top | 3-4 | Win | 100 | 16 h 23 m | Show |
#15/16 ASA TOP PLAY ON 10* OVER 6 Goals - Calgary Flames at Vegas Golden Knights, Thursday at 9 PM ET - This is great set up for an over. The Flames were in Arizona last night where they won 6 to 3. They have goalie issue because Vladar was in goal last night and that means either he goes again in the 2nd game of a B2B or Markstrom gets the call here. Vladar was not overly sharp last night. The Coyotes scored only 3 goals but they actually had very few shots on goal in that game. Vladar has allowed 8 goals on just 38 shots in his last two starts. Markstrom has allowed 4 or more goals in 4 of last 6 games. So you can see why Vegas is expected to score well here. The Golden Knights are off a tough, tight 3-2 shootout loss at Chicago. That should bring a strong effort from a Vegas team that entered that game having won 5 straight games and scoring an average of 5 goals per game in those victories. As for the Golden Knights goalie situation, Hill got hurt in his last start and though it was not a major injury and he could possibly go tonight, he did allow 4 goals in that start and may not be 100 percent here. Thompson has been out since the All-Star game. The Knights had even called up Hutchinson from the AHL to back-up Brossoit Saturday. So, as you can see, both teams have unsettled situations right now at the goalie spot. Brossoit did allow only 2 goals in that start but the Blackhawks are one of the lowest-scoring teams in the league. Now, whoever ends up in goal for this one for Vegas is facing a Flames team that has scored an average of 3.8 goals last dozen games. This one has the makings of a 5-4 battle and yet a 4-3 game also would put is in the winners circle with this one. Look for at least 7 in this one! Over is our play here. |
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02-22-23 | Jets v. Islanders UNDER 5.5 | 1-2 | Win | 101 | 17 h 11 m | Show | |
#69/70 ASA PLAY ON 8* UNDER 5.5 Goals - Winnipeg Jets at New York Islanders, Wednesday at 7:07 PM ET - 7 of the Jets last 9 games have totaled 5 or less goals. Winnipeg has scored just 2.2 goals and allowed only 2.4 goals on average during this 9-game stretch. The Islanders last 3 games have totaled at least 6 goals but this was preceded by a 17-game stretch in which 12 of the 17 games totaled 5 or less goals. Both these teams typically get solid goaltending and 9 of last 12 New York home games totaled 5 or less goals before their last home game was a high-scoring thriller. The injury to Mathew Barzal hurts this Islanders team and he is a top scoring threat and Isles have been dealing with injuries to wingers too. Look for just 5 or less goals in this one! Under is our play here. |
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02-21-23 | Ducks v. Lightning OVER 6.5 | Top | 1-6 | Win | 100 | 17 h 13 m | Show |
#51/52 ASA TOP PLAY ON 10* OVER 6.5 Goals - Anaheim Ducks at Tampa Bay Lightning, Tuesday at 7 PM ET - The Lightning are off B2B losses and are a -500 favorite here. Even the puck line at -1.5 is -200 because the Bolts are likely to win this by a 3-goal margin! That is what the oddsmakers expect here as the line at -2.5 goals is -110 and we do expect at least a 5-2 game here totaling 7 goals but really we could see much more scoring in this one. The Ducks are in the 2nd game of a back-to-back after losing 4-3 in OT at Florida yesterday. Anaheim has lost 5 straight games and had allowed at least 6 goals in all 4 losses before yesterday's tighter loss. This is now a very tricky spot for the Ducks goaltending as they used Gibson yesterday and the #2 guy Stolarz is still out with an injury and did not even travel on this road trip. That means Anaheim's choices are a struggling Gibson in a B2B spot or a struggling Lukas Dostal who has surrendered an average of 4 goals in losing 4 straight starts. The Lightning will go with either Elliott, who normally struggles and is the back-up, or with Vasliveskiy here. Though Vasilevskiy is one of the best goalies in the game, he has allowed 7 goals in his last 2 starts and actually allowed 7 goals in a start two weeks ago as well. This one has all the makings of a rather wide-open non-conference match-up with a lot of open ice to make plays on. The fact is the goals should be aplenty in this one. Tampa Bay, when off B2B losses this season, has gone a perfect 5-0 and averaged 4.4 goals scored per victory. Now they are in that same situation and facing a Ducks team that can't stop anyone. The Lightning will have a huge game offensively here. As for Anaheim, as bad as their defensive play, they are still a decently skilled team in the offensive zone. The Ducks have scored an average of 3 goals in their last 18 games. By the way, 15 of those 18 games have totaled at least 7 goals and we feel certain this one will too! Look for at least 7 in this one! Over is our play here. |
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02-20-23 | Jets v. Rangers -165 | 4-1 | Loss | -165 | 17 h 15 m | Show | |
#50 ASA PLAY ON 7* New York Rangers -165 over Winnipeg Jets, Monday at 7 PM ET - We reduce our rating to 7* here since the price range is -165 on this one but, keep in mind the following with regards to this price. In terms of your wager amount, laying 7* on a -165 is the equivalent of laying 10* on a -115 money line. We are willing to lay the price here because this is a fantastic spot for a home win. The Rangers are back home after a tight loss on the road ended their 7 game winning streak! New York is also rested here whereas Winnipeg is playing the 2nd game of a B2B. Also, there is something wrong with the Jets right now. They have lost B2B games and 7 of last 12 and they let a 2-1 lead slip away in the eventual 4-2 loss yesterday. The Jets confidence is a bit shaken right now. Winnipeg has not been the same team in recent weeks and plus they used top goalie Hellebuyck last night. So this sets up to be the back-up Rittich going in this one plus it is a back to back spot. So Jets in tough spot and facing a Rangers team that is happy to be on home ice for this one plus rested plus entering this game off a loss. Great set-up here so we will not hesitate to lay a bit of a bigger price than we typically do as we want to be involved here! Lay the money line price on the home team in this one. |
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02-19-23 | Blue Jackets v. Coyotes OVER 6.5 | 2-3 | Loss | -100 | 20 h 53 m | Show | |
#37/38 ASA PLAY ON 8* OVER 6.5 Goals - Columbus Blue Jackets at Arizona Coyotes, Sunday at 8:30 PM ET - Columbus off a 4-1 win but in 2nd game of a B2B so it likely will be Merzlikins in goal since Korpisalo played last night. Merzlikins is 6-15 with a 4.28 GAA this season! As for the Coyotes, their game went over the total by the 2nd period last night! Arizona has scored at least 3 goals in 5 of last 6 games. The Coyotes have allowed at least 4 goals in 3 of last 5 games and plus used both goalies in last night's game at Los Angeles so that will have an impact on this B2B situation as well. The Blue Jackets are averaging 3.3 goals scored last 4 games but you can see why we are expecting them to also concede at least 3 times in this one. Of course a 3-3 game can not end that way and this why we are expecting this one to reach at least the 7-goal mark here! Over is our play in this one. |
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02-18-23 | Blue Jackets v. Stars -1.5 | 4-1 | Loss | -100 | 18 h 45 m | Show | |
#10 ASA NHL PLAY ON 8* Dallas Stars Puck Line (-1.5 goals +105) over Columbus Blue Jackets, Saturday at 6:05 PM ET - Great spot here with Dallas off a tough shootout loss at Minnesota last night and Columbus off a rare win. The Blue Jackets are 0-7 last 7 times off win. Columbus is one of the worst teams in the league and those 7 losses have come by an average margin of defeat of 2.3 goals. Hungry Stars team, ready to respond off 3 straight losses and Dallas has NOT lost 4 straight games all season long! The last 9 wins for the Stars have been by an average margin of 3 goals apiece. Wedgewood likely starting between pipes tonight since Oettinger was in goal last night but the back-up netminder for Dallas has allowed 2 or less goals in 3 of last 4 starts! Home team in a blowout per our computer math model as the Stars get right back on track. Laying the 1.5 goals with home favorite Dallas is the value play here. |
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02-17-23 | Stars -105 v. Wild | Top | 1-2 | Loss | -105 | 16 h 22 m | Show |
#61 ASA TOP PLAY ON 10* Dallas -105 over Minnesota, Friday at 8 PM ET - The Stars are off B2B losses but they faced Tampa Bay and Boston. The Lightning and Bruins are two of the top teams in the NHL. Dallas is 7-1 this season when entering a game off B2B losses. Indeed, the Stars worst losing streak this season is 3 games and it has happened only one time this season. Dallas is sure to respond here and they are catching a Wild team in a major slump. Overall, Minnesota does not have a single win in regulation last 11 games! The Wild have won only 3 of those games and all 3 were after regulation time. Of the 8 losses, 7 were in regulation time and were by an average margin of 2 goals! Dallas has allowed a total of only 14 goals in regulation time of last 9 games - an average of just 1.6 goals per game! Compare this to a Minny team that is allowing an average of 3.3 goals per game last 11 games. The Wild have scored an average of just 1.8 goals per game in regulation time of last 11 games. Dallas has scored an average of 3 goals per game in regulation time of last 12 games. The Stars have won 2 of last 3 road games and those were each 4-0 wins. They also have knocked off the Wild by 4-1 scores in each of last two meetings. As you can see per the above, the odds in this situation favor another Dallas win yet the game is priced at a pick'em because the Stars are on the road. Grab the excellent line value available here with the pick'em price on the road team in this one. |
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02-16-23 | Red Wings v. Flames -1.5 | 5-2 | Loss | -100 | 19 h 7 m | Show | |
#52 ASA NHL PLAY ON 8* Calgary Flames Puck Line (-1.5 goals +115) over Detroit Red Wings, Thursday at 9:05 PM ET - Great spot here with Red Wings off 4 straight wins after sneaking out an OT win last night at Edmonton. Now Detroit is in a B2B spot and facing a Calgary team playing with revenge as these teams just met last week in Detroit and the Red Wings snuck out a tight win over the Flames. This will be a home ice blowout. Calgary is off a loss and is 8-3 the last 11 times when off a loss. Also, the Flames lost their most recent home game but entered that one having won 4 of last 5 on home ice. Calgary's last 7 wins have come by an average margin of nearly 3 goals per game so we look for a multi-goal win here. Red Wings used their top goalie, Husso, last night so that makes this spot even tougher for them. Detroit's last 9 road losses have come by an average margin of 2.3 goals per game. Home team in a blowout per our computer math model as the Flames get their revenge. Laying the 1.5 goals with home favorite Calgary is the value play here. |
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02-15-23 | Lightning v. Coyotes OVER 6.5 | 0-1 | Loss | -110 | 16 h 27 m | Show | |
#31/32 ASA PLAY ON 8* OVER 6.5 Goals - Tampa Bay Lightning at Arizona Coyotes, Wednesday at 9 PM ET - The Lightning won 4-3 in the shootout last night at Colorado but allowed nearly 50 shots on goal in that game. Not only is that a concern, Andrei Vasilevskiy was in goal for that one and that means now it will likely be Brian Elliott in goal for this one. He has allowed 4 or more goals in 3 of his last 5 starts! The Coyotes can be scrappy at home and should score some goals here because of the situation favoring them as well. TB is in a B2B and the Coyotes have a day of rest plus are coming off a momentum-generating 4-2 win as a road. Arizona has scored an average of 3.5 goals per game in last 4 games at home. But prior to the win at Nashville, the Coyotes lost their 2 prior games by a combined score of 10 to 8. That said, should be more scoring in this one than one would normally anticipate given the situation. Look for this one to reach at least the 7-goal mark here! Over is our play in this one. |
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02-14-23 | Panthers v. Blues OVER 6.5 | Top | 2-6 | Win | 100 | 6 h 14 m | Show |
#19/20 ASA TOP PLAY ON 10* OVER 6.5 Goals - Florida Panthers at St Louis Blues, Tuesday at 8 PM ET - The Panthers, prior to a 2-1 SO win at Minnesota last night, 9 of last 10 games had all totaled at least 7 goals. Florida, yesterday's game notwithstanding, has struggled to stop the opposition for quite some time now. Consider last night's game to be a bit of an aberration. Though Sergei Bobrovksy was in goal last night and has been better of late, he is unlikely to start here in the 2nd game of a B2B. If Bobrovsky did start, note that he has allowed at least 4 goals both times he has started the 2nd night of a B2B this season. The more likely starter would be Spencer Knight and he will be rusty after a long layoff plus he has mostly struggled this season. The Panthers, prior to the 2-1 win over the Wild last night, had allowed at least 4 goals in 11 of last 15 road games. The strength of Florida however is their potent attack. The Panthers have scored an average of 4 goals per game last 15 games. This battle with the Blues should see plenty of goals as St Louis had 3 guys come back in most recent game and that was a 6-5 win and they are finally getting healthy again. Similar to Florida however, the Blues continue to struggle to slow down the opposition. St Louis has allowed at least 4 goals in 6 straight games and 8 of last 10 games. In those 10 games, the Blues have allowed an average of 4 goals per game. When these teams met earlier this season in Florida the game totaled 9 goals in a 5-4 thriller! With the way these teams are trending now, this one has the makings of another shootout. Look for at least 7 in this one! Over is our play here. |
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02-13-23 | Coyotes +1.5 v. Predators | Top | 4-2 | Win | 100 | 19 h 13 m | Show |
ASA NHL PLAY ON 8* Arizona Coyotes Puck Line (+1.5 goals) over Nashville Predators, Monday at 8:05 PM ET - Nashville is off an OT win but still only 6-5 last 11 games. The big key about the 6 wins, however, is the fact that 4 of the 6 wins were by just a single goal. That means that only twice in last 11 games have the Predators recorded a win by more than a 1-goal margin. Here the Preds are hosting a Coyotes team that has been ultra competitive of late so there is a lot of line value here with the +1.5 goals. Arizona enters this game 3-1-3 last 7 games. Yes, 3 of last 4 losses have been in OT or SO so they were 1 goal defeats. Only once in last seven games have the Coyotes been beaten by more than a 1-goal margin. This should be another ultra-competitive game and we will not pass up on the line value with the big underdog in this match-up. Grabbing the 1.5 goals with the road dog Arizona is the value play here. |
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02-12-23 | Ducks +1.5 v. Golden Knights | 2-7 | Loss | -100 | 4 h 38 m | Show | |
ASA NHL PLAY ON 8* Anaheim Ducks Puck Line (+1.5 goals) over Vegas Golden Knights, Sunday at 3:05 PM ET - Anaheim off a 6-3 ugly home loss to Pittsburgh. Prior to this however, the Ducks had won 4 of 5 and the only loss was in the shootout so no losses by more than 1 goal in last 5 games before getting hammered by Penguins. Look for Anaheim to respond here and they catch Vegas at the right time. The Golden Knights off B2B wins by big 5 to 1 margins. Those wins included the most recent one at Minnesota as they scored 5 goals against former Vegas goalie Marc-Andre Fleury. Coming off B2B big-margin road wins including one like that against their former netminder, this Vegas team could be a little flat on Sunday afternoon. The Ducks fully prepared to take advantage coming off that ugly loss. An upset would not surprise us in the least but we we want the added value of the +1.5 goals here in case the Ducks lose by 1 goal. Added benefit as that puck line is available at plus money so this is a rare "plus plus" situation. Grabbing the 1.5 goals with the road dog Anaheim is the value play here. |
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02-11-23 | Blue Jackets v. Maple Leafs OVER 6.5 | 4-3 | Win | 100 | 16 h 8 m | Show | |
#67/68 ASA PLAY ON 8* OVER 6.5 Goals - Columbus Blue Jackets at Toronto Maple Leafs, Saturday at 7 PM ET -These teams met last night and the game surprisingly ended 3-0 in Columbus. Now the Blue Jackets seek revenge in the rematch at Toronto. While we doubt the chances of the Blue Jackets getting a revenging win here we do expect them to come up with a much better effort in the goal-scoring department in this one. Columbus will take advantage of the Leafs in a tough goalie situation as Murray is hurt and Samsonov was in goal last so Toronto's situation in the crease is a tough one here. Also, Merzlikins likely to go for Columbus here since Korpisalo went last night and Merzlikins has been struggling. Samsonov, by the way, was struggling badly for Toronto prior to last night's surprising shutout win. The Blue Jackets will struggle to slow down the Maple Leafs in Toronto but the Leafs have allowed an average of 3 goals in last 7 on home ice. That said, should be more scoring in this one than one would normally anticipate given the situation. Look for this one to reach at least the 7-goal mark here! Over is our play in this one. |
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02-10-23 | Seattle Kraken v. Rangers OVER 6 | 3-6 | Win | 100 | 16 h 2 m | Show | |
#43/44 ASA PLAY ON 8* OVER 6 Goals - Seattle Kraken at New York Rangers, Friday at 7 PM ET - The Kraken in a B2B and used Grubauer between the pipes last night. That means it likely will be Jones in the crease for this one and he has been struggling in most of his recent outings. Jones has had 1 very strong start in his last 5 starts but allowed 4 goals per game in the other 4 starts. As for the Rangers, they have won 4 of 5 games and scored an average of 4 goals in those 5 wins. Shesterkin is a great goalie but has allowed at least 3 goals in 3 of last 4 starts. Plus the Rangers could get caught looking ahead to big game with Carolina on deck so Seattle could surprise New York early in this game before Rangers rally. That said, should be more scoring in this one than one would normally anticipate given the situation. Look for this one to reach at least the 7-goal mark here! Over is our play in this one. |
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02-09-23 | Sharks v. Panthers OVER 6.5 | Top | 1-4 | Loss | -143 | 17 h 20 m | Show |
#35/36 ASA PLAY ON 10* Top Play OVER 6.5 Goals - San Jose Sharks at Florida Panthers, Thursday at 7 PM ET - The Panthers just hammered the Lightning 7-1 on home ice Monday night. This is a tough spot for the Florida defense and goaltending to be in top form (coming off huge win over in-state divisional rival TB) and they should allow plenty of goals again tonight as a result. However, they can take advantage of facing a Sharks team that gives up plenty of goals. San Jose enters this one having allowed an average of 4 goals per game last 20 games. Sharks have scored 4 goals per game last 4 games too! San Jose has been on a long stretch in which almost all their games have totaled at least 7 goals. Sharks 16 of 20 games have totaled at least 7 goals. Prior to a 4-3 OT win at Tampa Bay Tuesday, 6 of the last 8 Sharks games that did total at least 7 goals did reach the 8-goal mark. So yes this is a big total with 7 goals being the posted number in most books. However, don't be surprised if this game gets to 3-3 at some point. Therefore, we look for a final tally of at least 7 in this one! Of course the goal is never a push with a bet but the fact is we get some added insurance here with 7 being a push rather than a loss. Given all the numbers involving these clubs once could easily argue the posted total should be 7.5 goals in this one! Taking a look at Florida's numbers entering this one, the Panthers have had 8 straight games total at least 7 goals and 6 of those 8 did total at least 8 goals! Look for yet another one to reach at least the 8-goal mark here! Over is our play in this one. |
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02-08-23 | Wild v. Stars -129 | 1-4 | Win | 100 | 16 h 26 m | Show | |
#28 ASA PLAY ON 8* Dallas -135 over Minnesota, Wednesday at 8:30 PM ET - The Stars have home ice edge here as the Wild have lost 4 straight road games by an aggregate score of 17 to 9. Overall, Minnesota does not have a single win in regulation last 6 games. Dallas has allowed a total of only 8 goals in regulation time of last 6 games. Again, compare this to a Minny team that is allowing an average of 4 goals per game last 4 road games. The Stars have struggled a bit recently with OT losses but, off a SO win in first game after the All-Star break, Dallas builds off that win here and starts to get momentum rolling on home ice again. Lay the very reasonable price with the home favorite in this one. |
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02-07-23 | Sharks v. Lightning OVER 6.5 | 4-3 | Win | 100 | 18 h 33 m | Show | |
#13/14 ASA PLAY ON 8* OVER 6.5 Goals - San Jose Sharks at Tampa Bay Lightning, Tuesday at 7 PM ET - The Lightning just got hammered 7-1 at Florida last night. Vasilevskiy struggled badly in goal. Now it will either have to be him in a B2B spot or Elliott. The latter is the more likely option and Elliott has not played in 3 weeks. It is a tough spot for the Bolts and they should allow plenty of goals again tonight as a result. However, they can take advantage of facing a Sharks team that gives up plenty of goals. San Jose enters this one having allowed an average of 4 goals per game last 19 games. Sharks have scored 4 goals per game last 3 games too! Don't be surprised if this game gets to 3-3 at some point. Therefore, we look for a final tally of at least 7 in this one! Over is our play here. |
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02-06-23 | Canucks v. Devils OVER 6.5 | 4-5 | Win | 100 | 17 h 27 m | Show | |
#5/6 ASA PLAY ON 8* OVER 6.5 Goals - Vancouver Canucks at New Jersey Devils, Monday at 7:30 PM ET - The Canucks are off a 5-2 win but this followed a 2-8 stretch in which they allowed 4.5 goals per game. Vancouver did lose their most recent road game 6-1 but had scored at least 3 goals in 5 straight road games before that rare dud away from home. The Devils have won 10 of 14 games and scored at least 3 goals within regulation time in 11 of those 14 games. Don't be surprised if this game gets to 3-3 at some point. Therefore, we look for a final tally of at least 7 in this one! Over is our play here. |
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02-01-23 | Bruins -120 v. Maple Leafs | 5-2 | Win | 100 | 18 h 28 m | Show | |
#71 ASA PLAY ON 8* Boston -120 over Toronto, Wednesday at 7:30 PM ET - Toronto is a solid hockey club for sure and they are on home ice. However, that is what is leading to great line value on Boston in this one. The Bruins have been the best team in the NHL so far this season but they enter this game off 3 straight losses for the first time this entire season. Boston will certainly be ready to bounce back large here as they are desperate to not lose all momentum and head into the break on a long losing streak. Bruins respond big here and they take advantage of Auston Matthews being out for the Maple Leafs in this one. Not only is he one of the top players on this team, he is one of the best in the NHL. His absence particularly hurts the Leafs in a big game like this against the NHL's best. Lay the small price with the road favorite in this one. |
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01-31-23 | Senators v. Canadiens OVER 6.5 | 5-4 | Win | 100 | 17 h 6 m | Show | |
#65/66 ASA PLAY ON 8* OVER 6.5 Goals - Ottawa Senators at Montreal Canadiens, Tuesday at 7 PM ET - Ottawa has won 3 straight games and scored 4.3 goals per game. The Senators just blasted Montreal 5-0 Sunday so you know the Canadiens are out for revenge here in this rematch in Montreal. The Senators have allowed 3.8 goals per game last 9 road games. The Canadiens have allowed 4 goals per game last 5 games. Montreal has averaged 3 goals scored per game in last 6 home games. This sets up well to be one of those competitive high-scoring battles where each team is enjoying plenty of success in the offensive zone. Don't be surprised if this game gets to 3-3 at some point. Therefore, we look for a final tally of at least 7 in this one! Over is our play here. |
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01-30-23 | Blues v. Jets -1.5 | Top | 2-4 | Win | 117 | 6 h 8 m | Show |
#62 ASA NHL TOP PLAY ON 10* Winnipeg Jets Puck Line (-1.5 goals +115) over St Louis Blues, Monday at 8:05 PM ET - Both clubs enter this game on losing streaks but there is a big difference between these teams right now. St Louis is banged up with injuries and has been getting blown out on a regular basis. Winnipeg is having a much stronger season under coach Rick Bowness (came over from Dallas before this season) but he just laid into his team after a 4-0 home shutout to the Flyers on Saturday! That was 3rd straight loss for Jets but they have not lost 4 straight games all season long! Also, the Jets have a rock solid goalie in Connor Hellebuyck. Even if David Rittich starts between the pipes that would be fine as he has allowed an average of 2 goals last 2 starts. But Hellebuyck is the expected starter here and he is one of the top goalies in the NHL. Conversely, the Blues have allowed tons of goals as their goaltenders are struggling. Probably it will be Jordan Binnington but whether it is him or Thomas Greiss, both have struggled in recent starts. The Blues have allowed 4 or or more goals in 12 of 18 games. The Jets had given up just 2.3 goals per game last 6 home games before that 4-0 loss to Philadelphia. Coach Bowness got the attention of this team after that loss. To a man, these players have been challenged and they will respond here. Jets on home ice and off a home shutout and this is the final game for these clubs before the All Star break. St Louis is hurting and missing some key guys and other guys banged up. Jets the healthier team and on home ice and they are a big favorite on the money line but priced with value on the puck line. Winnipeg has beaten the Blues five straight times! The two wins this season have both been blowouts! The Jets entered this game with last 7 wins by an average margin of 2.4 goals apiece. St Louis has 24 losses in regulation this season and 23 of the 24 have been by at least a 2-goal margin! Home team in a blowout per our computer math model. Laying the 1.5 goals with home favorite Winnipeg is the value play here. |
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01-29-23 | Capitals +130 v. Maple Leafs | 1-5 | Loss | -100 | 15 h 26 m | Show | |
#57 ASA NHL PLAY ON 8* Washington Capitals Money Line (+130) over Toronto Maple Leafs, Sunday at 5:05 PM ET - Excellent spot here loaded with underdog value on Washington. The Capitals are off a win over Pittsburgh and well-rested here. The Caps did lose a pair of road games prior to beating the Penguins in Washington. However, the Capitals had won 9 of last 10 road games prior to that. Washington should have the goalie edge here too since Kuemper likely to start and he is playing well. The Maple Leafs will start Samsonov because Murray still dealing with an injury. Samsonov having a solid season but struggled in most recent start. Toronto has only 2 regulation wins in going 4-4 last 8 games. We will not pass up on the underdog line value here. Washington Money Line is the play in this one! |
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01-28-23 | Sharks v. Penguins OVER 6.5 | 6-4 | Win | 100 | 17 h 11 m | Show | |
#45/46 ASA PLAY ON 8* OVER 6.5 Goals - San Jose Sharks at Pittsburgh Penguins, Saturday at 7 PM ET - The Sharks are off a 5-4 OT loss and just continue to be involved in high-scoring games on a regular basis. San Jose last 18 games have seen 14 of them (78%) total at least 7 goals. Pittsburgh has scored an average of 4 goals per game in last 5 home games. The Penguins have allowed nearly 4 goals per game in last 8 home games. Given the above and the current trending of Sharks you can see why a wide-open non-conference match-up should be the story here. Look for at least 7 in this one! Over is our play here. |
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01-27-23 | Devils v. Stars UNDER 6 | 3-2 | Win | 100 | 18 h 28 m | Show | |
#29/30 ASA PLAY ON 8* UNDER 6 Goals - New Jersey Devils at Dallas Stars, Friday at 8:30 PM ET - The Devils are off a 6-4 loss last night and will want to be much better defensively in this one. Also, Blackwood was in goal in that one for New Jersey which means their top goalie, Vanecek, should be back guarding the cage tonight. Vanecek has been fantastic and is having a huge season. Speaking of hot goalies, Dallas continues to get strong goaltending and this has keyed a stretch of low-scoring games which we absolutely expect to continue here. The Stars have seen 22 of last 29 games total 6 or less goals and almost all of those 22 have totaled 5 or less goals. The last time these teams met it was a 4-1 final earlier this season. Given the situation here, with both teams off tight losses, look for more of the same in the rematch. Look for just 5 or less goals in this one! Under is our play here. |
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01-26-23 | Penguins v. Capitals OVER 6.5 | 2-3 | Loss | -100 | 17 h 7 m | Show | |
#5/6 ASA PLAY ON 8* OVER 6 or 6.5 Goals - Pittsburgh Penguins at Washington Capitals, Thursday at 7 PM ET - The Penguins top goalie, Jarry, is out. They are susceptible to allowing a lot of goals here and the Capitals will be amped because they lost 4-1 on home ice to the Pens early this season. Of course Ovechkin and the Caps are almost always excited to face Crosby and the Penguins. It is really amazing that in this day and age both Crosby and Ovechkin have been in the league since the 2005-06 season and both have remained with their same teams each in great careers that are approaching the 20-year mark! The fact is that this should be another highly entertaining battle with a lot of goals. The Penguins are off a wild 7-6 OT thriller over Florida as they struggled without Jarry in the crease but did score plenty as is so typical for this team. Capitals take advantage of the Pens goalie situation here but the Caps again struggle to slow down a talented Pens group that also got a boost with Letang coming back in most recent game. Look for at least 7 in this one! Over is our play here. |
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01-25-23 | Canucks v. Seattle Kraken OVER 6.5 | 1-6 | Win | 100 | 7 h 28 m | Show | |
#81/82 ASA PLAY ON 8* OVER 6.5 Goals -Vancouver Canucks at Seattle Kraken, Wednesday at 10 PM ET - The Canucks had plenty of energy after the coaching change and dominated in their 5-2 win last night. Vancouver should keep the tempo up here as they feed off last night's win but they are facing a solid Kraken team here that is coming off a loss and hungry for a win in this one. Look for plenty of goals from each side in this one as a result. Seattle, prior to a 2-1 loss to Colorado, had won 9 of 11 games and scored an average of 4.3 goals per game during this host streak. The Kraken allowed 3.8 goals per game last 4 games on home ice before the low-scoring battle with Avalanche. The two games between Canucks and Kraken have been 5-4 and 6-5 finals this season. This could be another crazy one. In back to back spot, Vancouver could have some tired legs on defense and their goaltending has not been a strength and the Kraken have been scoring particularly well last 11 games! Canucks, prior to yesterday's 5-2 win, allowed an average of 4.5 goals per game in their 10 games preceding that one. Look for at least 7 in this one! Over is our play here. |
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01-24-23 | Ducks v. Coyotes OVER 6.5 | Top | 5-2 | Win | 101 | 9 h 34 m | Show |
#67/68 ASA TOP PLAY ON 10* OVER 6.5 Goals - Anaheim Ducks at Arizona Coyotes, Tuesday at 9 PM ET - The Ducks continue to be involved in high-scoring games night after night. Anaheim has had 8 straight games total at least 7 goals! Not only that, 6 of the 8 totaled at least 8 goals! The Ducks are struggling with defense and goaltending too no matter who has been guarding the cage. Gibson and Stolarz have been the ones in goal throughout this stretch and Anaheim has conceded an average of 5 goals per game in the 8 games. The Ducks have scored at least 3 goals in 5 of last 7 road games and should give the Coyotes some trouble here. Arizona could start Connor Ingram in goal here but he has allowed at least 3 goals in 12 of 14 games. The Coyotes are more likely to start Karel Vejmelka as he is off a strong start and has been getting the majority of work. One of the keys here is Vejmelka just does not usually come up with back to back strong starts. You have to go all the way back to mid-November to find the last time he had B2B starts in which he allowed less than 3 goals in each start. The Coyotes are coming off a big win over the Golden Knights - an upset victory - in which Vejmekla allowed just 1 goal. But in his 23 starts leading into that, he allowed at least 3 goals 20 times! In fact, before the strong start versus Vegas, Vejmelka allowed 3.5 goals per game in those 23 starts and 4 goals per game in 8 most recent starts. The Coyotes have allowed more goals than any of the 8 teams in the Central Division. The Ducks have allowed more goals than any team in the entire 32-team league! Arizona is not known for scoring well overall but on home ice they have averaged 3 goals last 14 games! Anaheim also not known for scoring but have been better of late on the road as noted above. Again the key here is you are talking about two teams that are known for surrendering plenty of scoring and the situation is ideal with Arizona off the big upset of Vegas. The Ducks will see plenty of open ice which will lead to scoring chances in this one but the Coyotes will battle back too with solid scoring opportunities of their own against a porous Anaheim defense. Look for at least 7 in this one! Over is our play here. |
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01-23-23 | Blue Jackets v. Flames OVER 6.5 | 3-4 | Win | 102 | 9 h 1 m | Show | |
#49/50 ASA PLAY ON 8* OVER 6.5 Goals - Columbus Blue Jackets at Calgary Flames, Monday at 9:30 PM ET - Should be an electric atmosphere in Calgary for this one as Johnny Gaudreau makes his return to Calgary as a member of the Blue Jackets now. It has been a frustrating season for the Jackets so far but Gaudreau has 13 goals and 31 assists and you know he will be skating with extra energy tonight for a game like this. The Flames have not exactly been slamming the door shut on teams of late so you know Columbus should get their goals in this one. However, the Blue Jackets are having a horrible season in large part because their defense and goaltending has struggled badly. That is why Calgary is such a large favorite here and this one likely to work into a 5 to 3 type game in favor of the -$400 Flames! Other than a 1-0 loss to Washington in Blue Jackets last 11 games, they have allowed an average of 4.1 goals in the other 10 games. Calgary has allowed at least 3 goals in 5 of last 7 games and all signs point to that happening again tonight. Look for at least 7 in this one! Over is our play here. |
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01-22-23 | Jets v. Flyers OVER 6.5 | 5-3 | Win | 100 | 8 h 6 m | Show | |
#39/40 ASA PLAY ON 8* OVER 6.5 Goals - Winnipeg Jets at Philadelphia Flyers, Sunday at 7 PM ET - Many have to be shaking their heads at the latest roster move at goalie for Philly. Sandstrom is back up, from a conditioning assignment in the AHL while Ersson has been sent down to the AHL. Ersson was 5-0 with Flyers and playing very well while Sandstrom has played well at the AHL level but struggled at the NHL level this season. He is expected to be in goal tonight because Flyers #1 goalie Hart was in goal last night. Winnipeg also had their #1 goalie, Hellebuyck, in goal last night so they are expected to go with Rittich tonight. Rittich and Sandstrom both likely to be rusty tonight. Both teams off wins last night in which they each allowed just 1 goal. The Jets are more of an under team this season but with the back to back situation for each club plus the fact a pair of rusty back-up goalies are likely to be in action, you can see why this total moved from a 6 to a 6.5 as the day went on. This is one of those rare situations where, indeed, you should follow the money! You have the ideal situation for plenty of goals in this one. Philly scores well at home but can not stop Winnipeg either and that leads to a solid win for us here. Look for at least 7 in this one! Over is our play here. |
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01-21-23 | Oilers v. Canucks OVER 7 | 4-2 | Loss | -100 | 10 h 36 m | Show | |
8* OVER 7 in Vancouver @ 10 ET - We know that this total is big at 7 but we just can not pull ourselves away from this match-up as it should be a score-fest. The Canucks have allowed 33 goals in last 7 games for an average of nearly 5 goals conceded per game. Vancouver is off B2B losses in which they did not score well but this followed 6 straight games in which they scored at least 3 goals and averaged scoring nearly 4 goals per game. The Oilers have won 5 straight games and scored an average of 5.6 goals per game! Each of Edmonton's last 6 games have totaled at least 7 goals and these 6 games have averaged 8 goals per game. Nothing average about that. The bet here is the over! |
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01-20-23 | Avalanche -150 v. Canucks | 4-1 | Win | 100 | 9 h 55 m | Show | |
We were hoping this line might move down even more so we could go bigger on this play but, because of the price range, we actually downgrade the rating from our typical 8* play to a 7* play here on COLORADO AVALANCHE Money Line. But this is a great spot we will not pass up. The Avalanche have won 3 straight games by a combined score of 17 to 4. Colorado has looked great on both ends of the ice recently. The Avs also have revenge here from having lost both games to the Canucks so far this season. Vancouver enters this one having lost 8 of 10 games and the Canucks are struggling defensively and in goal. More of the same expected here. Vancouver is a big home dog for a reason here as this situation strongly favors the Avalanche and the sharps know where to invest their money on this one. Lay it! The enemy ice Avs money line is the play here. |
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01-19-23 | Red Wings v. Golden Knights OVER 6.5 | Top | 3-2 | Loss | -100 | 8 h 6 m | Show |
#77/78 ASA TOP PLAY ON 10* OVER 6.5 Goals - Detroit Red Wings at Vegas Golden Knights, Thursday at 10 PM ET - The Golden Knights are off their first shutout loss of the season on Monday! Vegas will be responding big time here off that rare goose egg on home ice! The Golden Knights are home again for this one and will bounce back but they continue to have shaky goaltending. Thompson has allowed 3.6 gpg in his last 5 home appearances and has given up at least 3 goals in all 5 of those. Hill's last 6 appearances in the crease featured two good ones but in the other 4 he allowed 11 goals on just 60 shots! No matter which goalie goes tonight, the Red Wings should enjoy some success. Detroit has scored an average of 4 goals per game in their last 5 games! Like Vegas, the issue for the Red Wings has been allowing too many goals no matter who is in goal. So we are not overly concerned with who is in goal here because Detroit has given up 4 goals per game last 15 games but we will mention Husso is the expected netminder here. Husso has had one good outing in his last 10 appearances. In the other 9, Husso has allowed 39 goals for an average of 4.33 goals per game! The goalie struggles of both Husso and Hellberg are a big reason that 9 of last 14 Red Wings games have totaled at least 7 goals. Those games have averaged about 8 goals apiece. Considering all the above plus a fired up Vegas team that will be relentless in the attacking zone off a home shutout loss, you have the ideal situation for plenty of goals in this one. Vegas scores well at home but can not stop Detroit either and that leads to a solid win for us here. Look for at least 7 in this one! Over is our play here. |