Ricky’s 8* play on the White Sox.

There’s no taking the foot off the gas for the White Sox, who sit one game behind the Tribe for second place in the standings. These teams are moving in opposite directions and I expect that trent to continue here. Chicago has won six of its last 11, while the Indians have lost eight of 12. Also note that Indians’ starting pitcher Trevor Bauer is 0-3 with a 6.52 ERA over his last five starts. White Sox’ starter Dylan Covey is 1-3 with a 4.24 ERA lifetime vs. Cleveland.

Key Trends:

- Note though that the Indians are just 6-7 (-4.2 units) already this year as a road favorite of -125 or higher.

- The White Sox are already 5-3 (+3.6 units) after scoring eight or more runs this season.

The verdict: I like the surging home side to continue its progression and take advantage of the scuffling Bauer. Play on the White Sox!

Ricky’s 8* play on the under Royals/Rangers.

Starting pitching hasn’t been a point of strength for either club this year, but both Danny Duffy and Ariel Jurado have been “better than advertised” so far this season and I’m expecting a bit of a “duel” again on Thursday night, after the Royals 4-2 win on Thursday. Duffy (3-1, 3.12 ERA) and Jurado (1-2, 2.28) have been bright spots on poor rotations and I find no reason not to expect them to continue to progress in this match-up.  

Key Trends:

- KC has seen the total go under in nine of 12 already this year as a road dog in the +100 to +150 range.

- The Rangers have seen the total go under in six of nine as a favorite of -110 or higher this year.

The verdict: This can still be a higher-scoring game and stay “under” this sky-high number and that’s exactly what I’m expecting. Play the under!

Ricky’s 8* play on the Reds.

Washington goes with Patrick Corbin (5-2, 2.85 ERA) to open this series. The Nationals have won five of six and have found their stroke at the plate, but I think they’re over-valued in this spot and I think that regression is ultimately imminent. Note that Corbin is 2-3 with a pedestrian 3.94 ERA in nine career appearances vs. the Reds (he gave up a season-high six runs off eight hits over six innings in his most recent start vs. them back on May 30th, 2018.) The Reds go with Tyler Mahle (1-5, 4.15) who comes in off an outing to forget vs. the Cubs on Saturday (allowing three home runs.) Mahle’s had his difficulties vs. the Nationals as well, facing them once and giving up six runs over two innings. 

Key Trends:

- Note though that Washington is just is still just 2-5 (-3.6 units) this year with a road money line in the -100 to -150 range.

- Additionally note that Cincinnati is 5-1 (+5 units) this year when playing with a day off. 

The verdict: Both teams have been hitting the ball well, but the numbers and situation favor the under dog home side in my opinion. Play on the Reds!

Ricky’s 10* play on the Colorado Rockies.

Kyle Freeland (2-6, 6.71 ERA) has struggled for the Rockies this season, but Colorado has already taken the first three games of this series and I believe they carry over that momentum here. The Diamondbacks hand the ball to rookie right-hander Taylor Clarke (1-0), who I believe will be in over his head here in this difficult road ballpark. Note that Arizona is just 6 of 28 with runners in scoring position over the first three games of this series.

Key Trends:

- Arizona is just 4-7 (-2.8 units) this year in revenging a one run loss to an opponent.

- Colorado is already 8-2 (+5 units) this year as a home favorite in the -125 to -175 range.

The verdict: I like the Rockies to keep the good times rolling in this favorable matchup. All things considered, a very fair price. Lay it!

Ricky’s 9* play on the St. Louis Cardinals.

The Cards come in desperate to salvage the finale of this three-game series. St. Louis was 19-10 over March and April, but it’s only 7-18 in May. The Cards’ Dakota Hudson (3-3, 4.22 ERA) comes in off a career-high seven innings tossed in a win over the surging Braves on Saturday. Overall he’d allow five hits and two runs. Hudson now has four quality starts in May and a 3.07 ERA over his last five games. Jerad Eickhoff (2-2, 3.86) posted a tiny 1.50 ERA over his first five starts, but he’s since posted a 9.75 ERA over his last three trips to the hill. The stage is set for the slight upset. 

Key Trends:

- St. Louis is 12-8 in its last 20 when revenging for or more straight losses vs. an opponent. 

- The Phillies are a poor 7-9 (-3.3 units) already this season after two or more consecutive victories.

The verdict: I like Hudson to get the better of his volatile counterpart. Play on the desperate Cardinals!

Ricky’s 6* play on the Philadelphia Phillies. 

Will Aaron Nola “look past” the Cardinals tonight? Bryce Harper had two doubles and two RBI’s in yesterday’s 4-3 series opening victory and I think Nola and the home side carry that momentum over here. Nola (5-0, 4.53 ERA), posted a terrible 6.84 ERA over his first five starts, but has since posted a 2.76 ERA over his last six trips to the hill. After the slow start to the 2019 campaign, clearly Nola can’t “look past” anyone at this point. Note that Nola is 3-2 with a 2.59 ERA in five lifetime meetings vs. the Cards. His counterpart his 22-year old Genesis Cabrera, who makes his major league debut tonight (was 2-3 with a 6.35 ERA at Triple-A Memphis.) 

Key Trends:

The Cards are just 4-10 this year as a road dog.

- The Phillies are 18-9 as a home favorite.

The verdict: All things considered, this line could/should be much larger in my professional opinion. I’m laying the price!

Ricky’s 10* play on the San Francisco Giants.

After falling 11-3 in yesterday’s series opener, I like Madison Bumgarner (3-4, 4.10 ERA) and the visiting Giants to bounce back on Wednesday. Bumgarner is likely finally on the trading block and he’ll be out to audition today for clubs who are in the running at the midway point. Bumgarner most recently gave up two runs over six innings vs. the Braves on Thursday, generating a season-high 17 swinging strikes. The home side counters with Pablo Lopez (3-5, 5.40) who has pitched better at home than on the road, but who I think is still over-matched here. 

Key Trends:

- San Francisco is already a perfect 3-0 (+3.4 units) this season after having lost six or seven of its last eight games.

- Miami is just 9-21 (-10.2 units) as an underdog in the +100 to +150 range this year.

The verdict: I think Bumgarner gets the better of Lopez. Lay the short price!

Ricky’s 8* play on the Cincinnati Reds.

The Pirates are going with Steven Brault out of the bullpen to start this one today because of necessity. Brault (1-1, 7.11 ERA) will have to face the red hot Reds’ slugger Derek Dietrich, who has four home runs over his last two games. The Reds won 11-6 yesterday and I believe they carry that momentum over here. Cincinnati hands the ball to Anthony DeSclafani (2-2, 4.99), who comes in off an outing to forget, allowing four runs over four innings in a no-decision to the Cubs. 

Key Trends:

- Pittsburgh is 42-64 (-12.6 units) the L2 years as a road dog in the +100 to +150 range.

- Cincinnati is 8-4 (+2.2 units) this year as a home favorite in the -125 to -175 range.

The verdict: Admittedly DeSclafani has struggled at times this year and while Brault has enjoyed success vs. the Reds in the past, this is a “different” Cincinnati team and I think he’ll struggle in this difficult situation. This one has blowout written all over it my opinion, lay the price with confidence!

Ricky’s 10* play on the Chicago Cubs.

I had a play on the Cubs yesterday and while that one came up short, I think that the visitors offer great value to bounce back here vs. the depleted Astros, who will once again be without the services of sluggers Jose Altuve, George Springer and Aledmys Diaz. Houston goes with a rookie right-hander as well in Corbin Martin (1-1, 4.97 ERA), who most recently allowed four runs off six hits over 3 1/3’s innings in a 4-0 loss to the White Sox. The Cubs counter with Jon Lester (3-3, 2.68) who has struggled over his last two starts, but who is 1-0 with a 4.10 ERA in two career starts vs. the Astros.

Key Trends:

- Chicago is 29-19 L2 years in interleague contests.

- The Cubs are 24-12 in their last 36 vs. right-handed starters.

The verdict: I think Lester settles down and takes advantage of this spot and I look for the “hungrier” visiting side to step up and avenge yesterday’s setback. Play on the Cubs!

Ricky’s 9* play on the Kansas City Royals.

I’m calling for the upset here. White Sox starter Lucas Giolito (6-1, 2.77 ERA) is in arguably his best form ever as a pro. It’s hard to find too many faults with Giolito right now obviously, but the spot light is now on the hard-throwing southpaw. Brad Keller (3-5, 4.43) comes in under the radar, most recently allowing two runs over seven innings in an 8-2 win over the Cardinals in his last start for the Royals. Note as well that Keller is 3-1 with a 3.00 ERA in six career starts vs. the White Sox. Giolito has fantastic numbers vs. the Royals as well (but who doesn’t!), but I think regression is imminent. 

The verdict: As far as underdog plays on the board Tuesday, I think this one offers the best overall value, with Keller being a clear “X-factor.” Play on the hungry Royals!

Ricky’s 10* play on the Pittsburgh Pirates.

After winning two of three at Chicago over the weekend, I think the Reds take a step-back in this double-header Monday. Sonny Gray (1-4, 3.78 ERA) gets the call for the home side and he’s 0-3 with a 5.19 ERA lifetime vs. Pittsburgh. Mitch Keller makes his major league debut here after going 5-0 with a 3.45 ERA in Triple-A Indianapolis, striking out 56 batters over 47 innings of work. The Pirates won’t be lacking focus after losing five of their last six.

Key Trends:

- The Pirates are 7-2 in their last nine road games following a three games or more losing streak.

- Cincinnati is just 2-6 in its last eight home games following a win by five or more runs.

The verdict: I think Keller and the hungry visiting side are the correct call in Game 2!

Ricky’s 8* play on the Boston Red Sox.

Neither of these starters instills much confidence. The Indians go with Jefry Rodriguez (1-4, 4.08 ERA), while the home side goes with Rick Porcello (3-4, 4.45). I had a play on Boston in its victory in Houston last night and I think it carries that momentum over here vs. a struggling Indians team which has lost six of seven, scoring more than three runs in just one of those contests. 

Key Trends:

- Cleveland is just 2-5 in its last seven as a road dog of +150 or higher.

- Boston is 13-8 as a home favorite this year.

The verdict: I like Porcello to settle down at home. Lay the price with confidence!

Ricky’s 8* play on the under D-Backs/Rockies.

Key Angle: It's important to remember that Ricky never makes a bet on any game based on just one angle. In order to make the grade, all his premium picks must meet several important criteria. He doesn't share all his secrets within his analysis, instead he chooses to reveal only the angle that he feels is the most significant. 

- Zack Greinke. The Diamondbacks’ ace is 12-6 with a 3.78 ERA in 31 regular season appearances vs. Colorado and he’s 5-1 in 12 starts at Coors Field.

Key Trends:

- Arizona has seen the total go under in 12 of its last 18 “day” games.

- Colorado has seen the total dip under in 33 of its last 53 at home when the total is set at either 10 or 10.5. 

The verdict: Colorado sends the competent Jon Gray to the hill tonight. This number is a bit high in my opinion, play the under!

Ricky’s 8* play on the Chicago Cubs.

I had a play on the Red Sox in the finale of their three-game set vs. the Astros last night (after taking Houston in the second game of that series.) The Astros are banged up, as Aledmys Diaz, George Springer, Jose Altuve and Max Stassi are all on the IL. I think the door is wide open for the hungry Cubs and crafty veteran hurler Cole Hamels (4-0, 3.38 ERA), who is 8-6 with a 3.99 ERA in 20 career starts vs. Houston.

Key Trends:

- Chicago is 15-8 in May.

- The Cubs are 29-18 L2 years in all interleague contests.

The verdict: Houston’s Gerritt Cole has historically had a lot of success vs. Chicago, but note that he’s coming off back to back crummy outings. This is a great situational play on the hungry visiting side. Cubs win, cubs win, cubs win!

Ricky’s 8* play on the Washington Nationals on the run line.

The Nationals came into this series struggling, but with a chance to sweep this four game set, I think Max Scherzer delivers the goods. Scherzer got crushed by the Marlins on April 20th, allowing seven runs over 5 1/3’s innings of work. That’s not been the norm throughout his career though as he’s still a sharp 12-4 with a 3.28 ERA lifetime vs. Miami (that includes going 5-0 with a 2.38 ERA last season).  

Key Trends:

- Miami is just 7-16 on the road.

- The Marlins are only 6-12 vs. teams with losing records.

- Washington is still 34-16 in its last 50 as a -200 favorite or higher.

The verdict: Expect the hungry home side to keep the foot on the gas in this favorable spot. Lay the 1.5 runs for the near pick-em price!

Ricky’s 10* play on the under Braves/Cards.

When I put out a total on an MLB game, I primarily base it upon the starting pitching. Not many would argue with you if you stated that Julio Teheran (3-4, 3.67 ERA) is currently in the best overall form in the entire league right now. Indeed, Teheran has posted a minuscule 0.79 ERA over four May starts. He’s also 3-3 with a 2.77 ERA lifetime  against Saint Louis. Joe Flaherty (4-3, 4.19) has pitched into the fifth inning and hasn’t given up more than three runs in four starts so far in May.

Key Trends:

- Atlanta has seen the total go under in 11 of its last 17 when the total in the contest is set at either 9 or 9.5.

- St. Louis has seen the total go under in 14 of its last 22 following a victory.

The verdict: With these two starters expected to fight each other deep into the latter innings, all signs point to this one staying well under the posted number!

Ricky’s 9* play on the under Mariners/A’s.

These teams are moving in opposite directions. The A’s are looking for an eighth straight victory, while the M’s have lost the first five games of their six-game trip. The A’s want to keep the momentum rolling, while Seattle is desperate to salvage the finale of its road trip. Oakland sends Brett Anderson (5-3, 4.14 ERA) to the hill and he’s 8-5 with a 2.38 ERA in 20 career starts vs. Seattle. The Mariners counter with Mike Leake (3-5, 4.73) who is 2-2 with a 4.15 ERA in nine starts vs. the A’s. 

Key Trends:

- Seattle has seen the total dip under in four of its last five after two straight road losses vs. a division rival.

- Oakland has seen the total go under in 15 of 24 at home already.

- The A’s have seen the total go under the posted number in six of seven this year following a one run victory.

The verdict: I think these starters battle into the latter frames. This number is high, play the under!

Ricky’s 8* play on the Boston Red Sox.

I had a play on Houston yesterday, part of my winning five-game MLB report. But I think that Astros ace Justin Verlander (8-1, 2.24 ERA) finally has a letdown here. He struck out a season high 12 batters last time out. Verlander is 5-5 with a 2.89 ERA over 18 career starts vs. Boston. The visitors go with Eduardo Rodriguez (4-3, 5.43 ERA) who is 0-3 with a 9.9 ERA over three career starts vs. Houston, but note that prior to losing at Toronto on May 21st, the Red Sox had won each of his previous seven starts. It’s been unfortunate timing for Rodriguez in his earlier match ups vs. Houston, but the trends today support a bounce back finally.  

Key Trends:

- As note that Boston is already 9-0 (+9.0 units) this season alone with double revenge and two straight losses vs. an opponent. 

- It’s also interesting to note that Houston is just 1-3 (-6 units) in its last four after scoring four runs or less in four straight games.

The verdict: I think the situation sets up great for an upset. Play on Boston!

Ricky’s 8* play on the Houston Astros. 

Houston held on for a 4-3 win last night and I think it carries that momentum over here. The Astros go with Brad Peacock (5-3, 3.59 ERA), who posted a third straight victory on Monday by going five scoreless vs. the White Sox, giving up two hits and recording nine K’s (note that Peacock definitely comes in on top form, posting a minuscule 0.53 ERA and 24 K’s compared to only five walks over his past three starts.) The Red Sox go with David Price (2-2, 3.29) who has been a bright spot on the pitching staff this year. It’s difficult to say anything negative about Price, I just think he’s in the wrong place at the wrong time here. 

Key Trends:

- Boston is just 3-6 (-3.5 units) this season when the money line in the contest is set between -125 and +125.

- Houston is 14-5 (+6.4 units) as a favorite in the -125 to -175 range this year.

The verdict: Peacock is arguably the best pitcher in all of MLB right now and at this price at home, I think he’s the correct call in this matchup. Lay the short price!

Ricky’s 10* play on the under Braves/Cards.

The Braves go with rookie Mike Soroka (5-1, 1.01 ERA) and the Cardinals go with Dakota Hudson (3-3, 4.40). Atlanta won the series opener 5-2 last night and I think that with these two hungry “studs” squaring off on Saturday, that runs will once again be at a premium.

Key Trends:

- The Braves have seen the total go under in 20 of their last 32 vs. right-handed starters.

- St. Louis has seen the total go under in 40 of its last 60 at home when the money line is set between -125 and +125.

The verdict: Expect these two young starters to throw deep into the latter frames. Play the under!

Ricky’s 8* play on the Seattle Mariners. 

The Mariners welcome back slugger Kyle Seager to the line-up and I think they’ll find a way to pull off the minor upset on Saturday night. The M’s come in focused after losing four straight. The A’s come in complacent after winning seven straight. Seager though will help an infield that’s made a league worst 57 errors, as he’s already a two-time gold glove winner. The M’s go with Yusei Kikuchi (3-1, 3.43 ERA), while the home side goes with Mike Fiers (3-3, 5.05). Note that Kikuchi is 0-0 with a 3.38 ERA in two starts vs. Oakland, while Fiers is a terrible 2-2 with a 6.36 ERA in ten starts vs. Seattle.

Key Trends:

- Seattle is still 8-4 (+4.4 units) in its last 12 off two straight road losses vs. a division rival.

- Oakland is only 2-5 (-3.8 units) in its last seven after six or more straight victories.

The verdict: I like Kikuchi to get the better of his volatile counterpart. Play on the Mariners!

Ricky’s 8* play on the Cubs.

After last night’s crushing ninth inning loss, I think the home side bounces back here. The Reds hand the ball to Tyler Mahle (1-5, 3.51 ERA) and clearly he’s thrown a lot better than what his win/loss record would indicate. Note though that Mahle was just 7-9 with a 4.98 ERA last year, including just 5-5 with a 5.01 ERA on the road. Yu Darvish (2-3, 5.06) gets the call for the Cubs and he’ll be looking to get back on track after allowing five runs over four innings vs. the Cards on Saturday. Darvish has traded good starts with horrible ones this year. 

Key Trends:

- The Reds are just 4-10 (-4.8 units) this year as a road dog in the +100 to +150 range.

- The Cubs are still 9-2 (+6 units) this season as a home favorite in the -125 to -175 range.

The verdict: I think Mahle finally takes a step back and I like the veteran Darvish to get back on track in front of the home town crowd. Lay the price with confidence!

Ricky’s 8* play on the under Yanks/Royals.

Last night’s game was postponed due to inclement weather. JA Happ gets the nod for the visitors in the opener of this double-header, while Jakob Junis gets the nod for the home side. Junis is 3-5 with a 5.69 ERA, while Happ is 3-3 with a 5.16 ERA. Happ though is 4-3 with a 3.99 ERA lifetime vs. KC. Junis enters off his best star of the year, giving up four earned runs over seven innings with six K’s vs. the Angels on Saturday. I think these hungry starters are going to battle deep. 

Key Trends:

- New York has seen the total go under in seven of its last ten road games following a three games or more unbeaten streak.

- The Royals have seen the total dip under in nine of their last 12 home games as an underdog in the +125 to +200 range.

The verdict: I think the shift to the double-header today is a distraction and I believe these hungry starters will take advantage. This number is a little high, play the under!

Ricky’s 10* play on the Giants on the run line.

Arizona comes in on a five-game losing streak. Clearly Robbie Ray is in much better form than his counterpart Drew Pomeranz, but I simply think this is a bad “spot” for Ray. The Diamondbacks have hit the panic button and they’ve moved Ray up a spot in the rotation because of an injury to Zack Greinke. Pomeranz won’t be lacking for motivation here as he’s fighting for a spot. I think the door is open for a much more competitive battle than what this line would suggest. 

Key Trends:

- The Diamondbacks are already just 1-3 (-2.4 units) this year after scoring four runs or less in four straight games.

- The Giants 15-12 (+6.3 units) this season following a loss.

The verdict: I had a play on the Orioles on the run line at home to the Yanks last night, a game which they ended up losing 5-4 in extras. In what I expect to be another tight affair here, I’m going to grab the 1.5 runs. Play on the Giants run line!

Ricky’s 8* play on the St. Louis Cardinals.

Let’s call these two struggling “gas cans” a wash on the mound tonight. The Braves go with the struggling Mike Foltynewicz (0-3, 6.91 ERA), while the home side goes with the struggling Miles Mikolas (4-4, 4.88). Both have been terrible all year and each comes in off a crummy outing. But after dropping two of three in Atlanta just last week, I think the home side comes in focused and delivers in the revenge scenario.

Key Trends:

- Atlanta is just 2-7 (-4.2 units) this season as a road dog in the +125 to +175 range.

- St. Louis is 9-2 (+6.3 units) this year at home with a money line in the -100 to -150 range.

The verdict: I think “revenge” works in this one. Look for Mikolas to get the better of his counterpart at home and lay what I think to be a very reasonable mid-sized price with confidence!

Ricky’s 8* play on the Washington Nationals.

I think the Marlins will stumble here after winning six straight. Washington won’t be lacking for motivation clearly after losing five straight, including allowing the Mets to rally in the eighth inning last night to complete a four-game sweep with the 6-4 victory. The Marlins go with Pablo Lopez (3-6, 5.06 ERA), who comes in off a decent start but who is 0-1 with a ballooned 7.59 ERA in two career starts vs. the Nationals. Washington goes with Kyle McGowin (0-0, 6.00) who has pitched 10 2/3’s innings over six major league games, posting a 5.91 ERA and striking out 11 batters. 

Key Trends:

- Miami is still just 7-14 as a road underdog this year.

- Washington is 3-1 (+2.3 units) in its last four off a loss to a division rival as a favorite of -150 or higher.

The verdict: I think the Marlins are playing over their heads right now and I’m not going to read too much into the Nationals’ current slump. Look for these trends to start going the other way effective immediately. Lay the price!

Ricky’s 10* run line play on the Baltimore Orioles.

I had a play on the Orioles as a massive underdog at home on the money line vs. the Yanks yesterday afternoon and that pick came up just short. New York has now 11 straight games at Camden Yards. Dylan Bundy has had varying success vs. the Orioles though out his career, but he comes in off three straight strong outings. Tanaka has been solid this year and he’s done well vs. the O’s throughout his career, but he returns for the first time off a short stint on the DL. It’s a factor which I thin the hungry home side uses. 

Key Trends:

- New York is still just 3-4 (-3.8 units) this season off four straight victories vs. division rivals.

- Baltimore is already 5-2 (+6 units) this year after four or more consecutive losses.

The verdict: The outright isn’t out of the question in my opinion. That said, I’m going to recommend to play this one on the run line!

Ricky’s 8* play on the White Sox on the run line.

The Astros improve to 9-1 in their last ten without slugger Jose Altuve in the line-up after yesterday’s 5-1 win. I simply feel though that Gerritt Cole and the home side are over-priced here and I think grabbing the hungry Sox and Ivan Nova at “plus money” on the “run line” is a savvy investment. Nova is 2-2 with a 4.71 ERA over seven road starts, compared to 0-2 with a 16.36 ERA at home.

Key Trends:

- Chicago is 13-9 (+7.2 units) in all “night” games this year.

- Houston is just 2-3 (-3.6 units) this season after allowing four runs or less in five straight games.

The verdict: I’m grabbing the 1.5 runs and expecting a much tighter affair than what this lien would suggest. Play on the White Sox on the run line!

Ricky’s 8* play on the under Nats/Mets.

Yesterday’s game flew well above the posted number in the Mets much needed 6-5 victory, but I think runs will be much harder to come by with Max Scherzer (2-5, 3.72 ERA) and Jacob DeGrom (3-5, 3.98) on the mound on Wednesday night. Scherzer is 10-5 with a 2.59 ERA in 10 career appearances vs. the Mets. DeGrom is 8-4 with a 2.50 ERA in 16 career starts vs. the Nationals. These two faced off on Opening Day and the Mets won 2-0. 

Key Trends:

- Washington has seen the total go under in interestingly four of its last five off two consecutive close losses by two runs or less to a division rival.

- New York has seen the total go under in four of five after two or more consecutive victories.

The verdict: Everything points to a classic “duel” after yesterday’s slug-fest. Play the under!

Ricky’s 8* play on the Baltimore Orioles

Yes the Yanks won 11-4 yesterday, but I still think that veteran pitcher CC Sabathia is overpriced in this particular matchup. Baltimore has lost nine straight at home in this series, so it won’t be lacking for motivation. Dan Straily (1-3, 8.51 ERA) has clearly been a disappointment, but he too won’t be lacking for motivation. Ultimately I believe that Sabathia’s numbers are unsustainable over the long-term and I expect regression sooner, rather than later. And that leaves the door open for the hungry dog in this matchup. 

Key Trends:

- New York is already only 4-5 (-1.4 units) this year after three or more straight victories.

- Baltimore is already 3-0 (+5.2 units) this season off a loss by six runs or more to a division rival.

The verdict: I’m expecting the Yanks to have a letdown here. Play on the O’s!

Ricky’s 8* play on the San Diego Padres.

The Padres look to sweep this series from the Diamondbacks, who continue to struggle with offensive consistency. Eric Lauer (2-4, 5.24 ERA) goes for San Diego, while Merrill Kelly (4-4, 4.21) gets the nod for the visitors. Lauer is 1-2 with a 3.38 ERA in four career starts vs. Arizona. He’s struggled twice against them this season, but he enters off his best start of the year by allowing two runs over six innings vs. the Pirates on Thursday. Kelly has also struggled in two starts vs. the Padres with a 5.73 ERA and 1.46 WHIP.  

Key Trends:

- Arizona is just 2-5 (-2.7 units) this year already off a one run loss vs. a division rival.

- San Diego is still 4-0 this season after scoring four runs or less in six straight games.

The verdict: I like San Diego to keep the momentum rolling here and give the slight nod to Lauer on the bump. Lay the short price!

Ricky’s 8* play on the St. Louis Cardinals.

Key Angle: It's important to remember that Ricky never makes a bet on any game based on just one angle. In order to make the grade, all his premium picks must meet several important criteria. He doesn't share all his secrets within his analysis, instead he chooses to reveal only the angle that he feels is the most significant. 

- Overnight pitching change. The over night change because of yesterday’s cancellation favors the home side here. Both teams are struggling with offensive consistency, but I think Michael Wacha (3-1, 4.93 ERA) has a sizeable advantage over his counterpart Brad Keller (2-5, 4.66) this afternoon. 

Key Trends:

- Kansas City is a poor 5-14 as a road dog this year

- The Royals are 16-27 the L2 years in all interleague contests.

- St. Louis is still 8-5 this season vs. clubs with losing records.

The verdict: The Royals have to deal with the interleague rules, and with shifting things around after yesterday’s cancellation. It’s a perfect storm of factors working in favor of the home side and Wacha and it makes this a price in which I have no issues at all in laying. Lay it!

Ricky’s 8* play on the under Reds/Brewers.

This one’s a “no brainer” in my opinion. These aren’t only two of the best in the NL on the mound this afternoon, it’s two of the best in all of MLB. Luis Castillo (5-1, 1.90 ERA) of the Reds goes against Zack Davies (5-0, 1.54) of the Brewers. Cincinnati came out on top in yesterday’s series opener, but everything points to a classic “duel” on Wednesday afternoon. 

Key Trends:

- Reds have seen the total go under the number in 16 of 23 on the road overall.

- Cincinnati has seen the total go under in 11 of 16 vs. the division already.

- Milwaukee has seen the total go under in 22 of 32 this year when the money line in the contest is set between +125 and -125.

The verdict: I have no reason to believe that either of these “locked in” hurlers will falter here. Expect each to battle into the latter frames and play the under!

Ricky’s 10* play on the Toronto Blue Jays.

Key Angle: It's important to remember that Ricky never makes a bet on any game based on just one angle. In order to make the grade, all his premium picks must meet several important criteria. He doesn't share all his secrets within his analysis, instead he chooses to reveal only the angle that he feels is the most significant. 

- Marcus Stroman. He’s my “key angle” for this game. In a rebuilding season, Stroman has been a bright spot early on. Of yesterday’s 12-2 loss, I think Stroman offers great value to help his team bounce back here facing Eduardo Rodriguez. Stroman is 1-6 with a 2.95 ERA, while Rodriguez is 4-2 with a 4.89 ERA. Note as well that slugger Vlad Guerrero Jr. had a day off on Monday, but is expected back here. 

Key Trends:

- Boston is is 10-11 (-6.1 units) this year as a road favorite.

- Toronto is a money-making 7-6 (+3.5 units) vs. southpaws this season.

The verdict: Great value on the hungry home dog!

Ricky’s 10* play on the San Diego Padres

The desperate home side has lost six of its last seven. Thankfully its ace Chris Paddack comes to the mound. It won’t be easy facing the hard-hitting visiting side and Luke Weaver, but I believe the “hungrier” team finds a way to get the job done at the end of the night. This is an important series as well as San Diego hits the road for series in Toronto and at the Yankees. Paddack is 3-2 with a 1.99 ERA, while Weaver is 3-2 with a 3.16. San Diego is already 4-3 vs. the D-Backs this year and I look for them to extend that streak. 

Key Trends:

- Arizona is just 9-11 (-3.7 units) this year already after two or more consecutive home games.

- San Diego is 6-4 (+1.7 units) this season after a loss by two runs or less.

The verdict: Lay the price on the hungry home side and expect a break out performance!

Ricky’s 8* play on the Boston Red Sox.

Chris Sale (1-5, 4.24 ERA) has returned to form of late for Boston and I think he’ll carry that momentum over here. Sale is 1-0 with a 1.29 ERA in three starts in May with 41 strikeouts and only one walk over his last 21 innings of work. Note that he’s 5-2 with a 1.83 ERA in seven career starts vs. Houston. His counterpart Wade Miley (4-2, 3.51) is just 2-2 with a ballooned 7.13 ERA in four career starts vs. Boston. 

Key Trends:

- Houston is just 2-5 (-8.2 units) this year after five or more consecutive road games.

- Boston is 6-1 (+4.3 units) this season as a home favorite between -150 and -200.

The verdict: I like Sale to easily get the better of his counterpart. Great price on the home side here!

Ricky’s 10* BEWARE OF DOG on the Atlanta Braves.

Atlanta has won four straight and I expect it to carry that momentum over here and to give Mike Foltynewicz (0-3, 8.02 ERA) his first win of the year. Brandon Woodruff (0-3, 8.02) gets the nod for the Brewers. Foltynewicz is 2-2 with a very respectable 2.90 ERA in five starts vs. the Brewers. Woodruff has never faced the Braves and while he’s personally in better current form than Foltynewicz, I simply feel that he’s in the wrong place at the wrong time in this one.

Key Trends:

- Milwaukee is is only 11-13 on the road.

- The Brewers are just 2-7 (-5.8 units) with double revenge in two straight losses vs. an opponent.

The verdict: I think the momentum in which the Braves have created is real and I expect it to carry over here. Play on Atlanta!

Ricky’s 6* play on the New York Mets.

I think Noah Syndergaard (3-3, 4.74 ERA) and the hard-hitting visiting side are well worth the price of admission in this one. Syndgaard comes in off a strong outing as well, beating Washington by allowing only two runs over eight innings. Note that he’s also 6-0 with a 1.64 ERA in eight career starts vs. the Fish. His counterpart Sandy Alcantara (1-4, 5.11) is 0-1 with a 6.34 ERA vs. the Mets this season. 

Key Trends:

- The Mets 4-0 (+4.2 units) already this year in revenging a shut out loss vs. an opponent.

- The Marlins are just 2-5 in their last seven after shutting out a division rival.

The verdict: This one has “blowout” written all over it. Lay the price with confidence!

Ricky’s 10* play on the under Twins/ Mariners.

Key Angle: It's important to remember that Ricky never makes a bet on any game based on just one angle. In order to make the grade, all his premium picks must meet several important criteria. He doesn't share all his secrets within his analysis, instead he chooses to reveal only the angle that he feels is the most significant. 

- The starting pitchers. While Twins’ ace Jose Berrios (6-2, 3.05 ERA) comes in off a terrible outing, he’s still pitched into the sixth inning in nine of ten games this year. He’ll be opposed by Wade LeBlanc (2-0, 4.50), who is 0-0 vs. the Twins in five career match ups, despite posting a 1.26 ERA (giving up only seven hits and two runs over 14 1/3’s innings). 

Key Trends:

- Minnesota has seen the total go under in ten of its last 14 after playing two or more consecutive road games.

- Seattle has seen the total go under in six of its last ten as a home underdog of +125 or more.

The verdict: Everything points to a classic “duel.” Play the under!

Ricky’s 8* play on the Washington Nationals.

I like the home side to bounce back here after yesterday’s 14-6 defeat. The visitors hand the ball to Jon Lester (3-1, 1.16 ERA), while the home side counters with Stephen Strasburg (3-3, 3.63). Lester hasn’t given up a single run in his last three starts, which is clearly unbelievably impressive. However, I think it’s a run which is clearly unsustainable. Strasburg has quietly been dominating for a while now as well, going 2-2 with a 2.36 ERA with 47 K’s over his last 34 1/3’s innings of work. 

Key Trends:

- The Cubs are just 3-6 this year as a road dog still.

- Washington is 26-18 in its last 44 after allowing eight or more runs in its previous contest.

The verdict: I think the hungry home side is the correct call here. Lester takes a step back and Strasburg continues to progress. All things considered, a great price. Lay it!

Ricky’s 8* play on the under Cardinals/Rangers.

I feel this total is much too high considering the talented hurlers on the mound. Also note that the Cards are in a major drought right now, having been outscored 21-5 in losing their last three games. St. Louis starter Dakota Hudson (2-3, 4.61 ERA) comes in off a decent outing vs. Pittsburgh, allowing three runs over seven innings of work. Despite being 0-2 in May, he’s posted a 3.18 ERA. He’ll be opposed by Ariel Jurado (1-1, 1.50) who makes his first start of the season. In his last appearance he gave up two runs over three innings to Kansas City.

Key Trends:

- The Cards have seen the total go under in six of their last eight after allowing seven runs or more in two straight games.

- The Rangers have seen the total go under in four of five already this year ager scoring seven or more runs in two straight games.

The verdict: I expect these hungry starting pitchers to throw deep into this one. Play the under!

Ricky’s 8* play on the New York Mets.

After falling 8-6 in yesterday’s series opener, I like the Mets to bounce back here on Saturday. Miami looks poised for an immediate letdown after breaking its seven game slide. I give a big nod to Mets’ starter Steven Matz (3-2, 3.86 ERA) over his counterpart Pablo Lopez (2-5, 5.93). Lopez faced the Mets on May 10th and was shelled for ten runs and a career-high ten hits over three innings. 

Key Trends:

- The Mets are already 2-0 this year in revenging a loss vs. an opponent as a road favorite.

- The Marlins are only 2-7 vs. southpaws this year.

The verdict: I think we’re getting fantastic value on Matz in this matchup. Lay the short price!

Ricky’s 8* play on the Philadelphia Phillies.

Antonio Senzatela has been far better on the road than at home this year (big surprise considering his home field is Coors!), but I still think that Aaron Nola is the “correct call” in this matchup. Nola got out to a terrible start to 2019, but he’s been “lights out” since by giving up just six runs over his last 21 1/3’s innings of work (Nola is also 2-0 with a 2.79 ERA in three career starts vs. Colorado, while Senzatela is a pedestrian 0-1 with a 5.01 ERA in his lone start vs. Philadelphia.

Key Trends:

- Colorado is just 2-5 (-3 units) this year already following a one run loss.

- The Rockies are only 4-9 (-5.1 units) after two or more straight losses.

- The Phillies are 9-4 this season as a home favorite of -150 or higher.

The verdict: Look for Nola to continue his progression in front of the home town crowd. Lay the price! 

Ricky’s 10* play on the Seattle Mariners.

Key Angle: It's important to remember that Ricky never makes a bet on any game based on just one angle. In order to make the grade, all his premium picks must meet several important criteria. He doesn't share all his secrets within his analysis, instead he chooses to reveal only the angle that he feels is the most significant. 

- Fatigue. I think it’s a factor here for the Twins after their 8-7 extra innings win over the Angels yesterday. The Mariners had the day off after sweeping a two-game set from the A’s. Michael Pineda and Erik Swanson has both struggled this year, so I’ll call that department “even” tonight. The difference is in team conditioning and in the numbers. 

Key Trends:

- Minnesota is just 3-7 in its last ten following a road game in which it scored eight or more runs in, while also winning the contest.

- Seattle is 5-1 (+5.2 units) this season off an upset win over a division rival as an underdog.

The verdict: For all the reasons listed above, play on the Mariners!

Ricky’s 10* play on the LA Dodgers.

Key Angle: It's important to remember that Ricky never makes a bet on any game based on just one angle. In order to make the grade, all his premium picks must meet several important criteria. He doesn't share all his secrets within his analysis, instead he chooses to reveal only the angle that he feels is the most significant. 

- Kenta Maeda. He’s 4-2 with a 4.03 ERA this year and he’s gotten significantly better as the season has worn on. So far he has a sharp 34:18 K:BB over his last 38.2 innings of work and note that he’s 3-0 with a 1.86 ERA at home thus far.

Key Trends:

- San Diego is still just 11-12 vs. the division this year.

- The Dodgers are 18-6 as a home favorite.

The verdict: Look for LA and Maeda to take this one decisively and lay the price with confidence!

Ricky’s 8* play on the Boston Red Sox.

Key Angle: It's important to remember that Ricky never makes a bet on any game based on just one angle. In order to make the grade, all his premium picks must meet several important criteria. He doesn't share all his secrets within his analysis, instead he chooses to reveal only the angle that he feels is the most significant. 

- Eduardo Rodriguez. The Boston starter has been on fire of late. While just 4-2 with a 4.53 ERA overall, Rodriguez has gone 4-0 with a 2.78 ERA over his last six starts. All Boston victories. 

Key Trends:

- Colorado is just 3-7 this season as an underdog in the +125 to +175 range.

- The Rockies are only 1-4 this year after a win by two runs or less (won 5-4 in extras last night).

- The Red Sox are 93-54 (+26.9 units) the L2 years following a loss.

The verdict: I like Rodriguez to carry over his recent form here and I think that Marquez and the Rockies take a step back here after last night’s extra innings win. Lay the reasonable mid sized price!

Ricky’s 8* play on the Washington Nationals.

Key Angle: It's important to remember that Ricky never makes a bet on any game based on just one angle. In order to make the grade, all his premium picks must meet several important criteria. He doesn't share all his secrets within his analysis, instead he chooses to reveal only the angle that he feels is the most significant.

- Patrick Corbin. No big surprise to learn that my “key angle” for this contest comes on Nats’ starter Patrick Corbin (3-1, 3.20 ERA) so far this year, including 2-1 in all “night” contests.

Key Trends:

- The Mets are just 8-11 (-4.5 units) this season after a win.

- The Nationals are 3-5 (-4.9 units) as a home favorite of -125 to -175. 

The verdict: I think Corbin is the correct call here over his younger counterpart (Font). Lay the price with confidence!

Ricky’s 10* play on the Padres on the run line.

As good as Clayton Kershaw was, I think he’s overmatched here facing the red hot Chris Paddack. Paddack (3-1 ,1.55 ERA) went eight scoreless vs. the Mets in his last start. Kershaw (2-0, 3.31) gave up four runs over six innings in a no-decision vs. the Braves in his last outing.

Key Trends:

- San Diego is 10-6 as a road dog this year.

- LA is only 2-4 in its last six after shutting out its opponent.

The verdict: I think these two starters battle deep. In a contest which I envision being decided late or even in extra innings, I’m going to lay the reasonable mid-sized price for the extra 1.5 runs of insurance!

Ricky’s 8* play on the Arizona Diamondbacks.

The Pirates’ Joe Musgrove (1-4, 4.20 ERA) squares off against the Diamondbacks Luke Weaver (3-1, 2.98) in this one. Weaver is coming off back-to-back seven inning performances and in three career starts vs. Pittsburgh he’s 2-1 with a 3.60 ERA. Musgrove has been shelled for 14 runs over his last 5 2/3’s innings of work. 

Key Trends:

- Pittsburgh is just 3-5 (-1.3 units) as a road dog in the +105 to +150 range.

- Arizona is 15-10 in all night games.

The verdict: Momentum. The D-Backs come in with a lot of it after five straight victories. I think that Weaver is well worth the price of admission in this one!

Ricky’s 8* play on the under Cards/Braves.

Two competent hurlers square off in this National league contest on Tuesday night. The visitors hand the ball to Jack Flaherty (3-3, 4.32 ERA), while the home side sends Mike Foltynewicz (0-2, 5.94). 

Key Trends:

- St. Louis has seen the total go under in three of four already this season after allowing eight or more runs.

- Atlanta has seen the total go under in 30 of its last 45 after three or more consecutive wins (took three of four vs. the D-Backs over the weekend.)

The verdict: I think Foltynewicz finally gets his act together here in this favorable spot. This number is high, play the under!

Ricky’s 10* play on the Seattle Mariners.

Key Angle: It's important to remember that Ricky never makes a bet on any game based on just one angle. In order to make the grade, all his premium picks must meet several important criteria. He doesn't share all his secrets within his analysis, instead he chooses to reveal only the angle that he feels is the most significant. 

- Mike Fiers. Fiers (3-3, 5.48 ERA) comes in off his second career no-hitter in a 2-0 win over the Reds on Tuesday. Despite the great effort, Fiers still owns the poor overall 5.48 ERA and I think he suffers a predictable letdown here. His counterpart Yusei Kikuchi (2-1, 3.54) most recently allowed one run off three hits with ten K’s and one walk in a no-decision to the Tribe on Friday. 

Key Trends:

- Oakland is just 5-13 on the road.

- Seattle is 11-3 (+8.3 units) vs. clubs with losing records this year.

The verdict: A great spot bet in my opinion, as I think Fiers definitely suffers a letdown after his no-hitter last time out. Lay the short price!

Ricky’s 8* play on the Arizona Diamondbacks.

Key Angle: It's important to remember that Ricky never makes a bet on any game based on just one angle. In order to make the grade, all his premium picks must meet several important criteria. He doesn't share all his secrets within his analysis, instead he chooses to reveal only the angle that he feels is the most significant. 

Key Trends:

Analysis posted shortly.

Ricky’s 8* play on the White Sox on the run line.

The Indians’ Shane Bieber has been the victim of some back luck of late. I think that trend continues here. Reynaldo Lopez has struggled, but the White Sox have been getting decent production at the plate of late and I think the hungry home side keeps this one competitive late. So far these clubs have split six meetings this year.

Key Trends:

- Cleveland is 6-9 (-7.1 units) vs. the division.

- The Indians are only 6-7 (-2.9 units) after allowing four runs or less in four straight. 

- Chicago is 11-6 (+7.7 units) in all “night” games.

The verdict: I think Cleveland stumbles again. Lay the reasonable price for the extra 1.5 runs of insurance!

Ricky’s 8* play on the Minnesota Twins.

Key Angle: It's important to remember that Ricky never makes a bet on any game based on just one angle. In order to make the grade, all his premium picks must meet several important criteria. He doesn't share all his secrets within his analysis, instead he chooses to reveal only the angle that he feels is the most significant. 

- Jose Berrios. He should definitely be a bigger favorite in this matchup in my opinion. Both teams come in off losses, but Berrios (6-1, 2.53 ERA) has arguably been the hottest pitcher so far in 2019. He faces Tyler Skaggs (3-3, 4.70) who was just rocked for eight runs over 4 2/3’s innings vs. the Tigers on Wednesday.

Key Trends:

- LA is just 8-12 on the road this year.

- Minnesota is 13-7 at home.

- The Twins are 11-3 (+8.8 units) this year following a loss.

The verdict: I like Berrios to continue his red hot start. Great value, lay the price with confidence!

Ricky’s 8* play on the under Astros/Tigers.

This is the opener of a three-game set. Detroit’s been competitive. Tonight’s starting pitchers have been better than advertised and I believe that they’re going to battle each other deep into the latter frames. Brad Peacock (3-2, 4.30 ERA) just went seven scoreless vs. Kansas City, while Detroit hands the ball to its ace Matt Boyd (4-2, 2.86.) Boyd has posted seven straight quality starts, going 4-1 with a 2.58 ERA in that span.

Key Trends:

- Houston has seen the total go under the number in five of six already this year on the road when the money line in the contest is set between -100 to -150.

- The Astros have seen the total go under in 12 of 19 on the road overall this season.

- Detroit has seen the total go under in 17 of 27 as an underdog this year.

The verdict: As stated off the top, I believe these starting pitchers battle deep into the latter frames, helping to result in a lower-scoring affair. Play the under!

Ricky’s 10* play on the LA Dodgers.

Key Angle: It's important to remember that Ricky never makes a bet on any game based on just one angle. In order to make the grade, all his premium picks must meet several important criteria. He doesn't share all his secrets within his analysis, instead he chooses to reveal only the angle that he feels is the most significant. 

- Inept offense. Max Scherzer (1-4, 3.78 ERA) has looked a lot better of late, but the Nationals continue to struggle at the plate, as evidenced by yesterday’s 5-0 setback. The Dodgers’ Walker Buehler (4-0, 4.95) comes in off a strong outing vs. the Braves on Monday, allowing three runs with eight K’s over seven innings. 

Key Trends:

- Washington is just 6-14 (-12.6 units) in all “night” games this year.

- LA is 9-4 (+3 units) this season as a home favorite in the -125 to -175 range.

The verdict: I like Buehler to match Scherzer. Lay the short price with confidence on the hot hitting home side!

Ricky’s 9* play on the San Francisco Giants.

Key Angle: It's important to remember that Ricky never makes a bet on any game based on just one angle. In order to make the grade, all his premium picks must meet several important criteria. He doesn't share all his secrets within his analysis, instead he chooses to reveal only the angle that he feels is the most significant. 

- Reds’ starter Anthony DeSclafani’s issues with the Giants. He owns a lifetime 6.08 ERA vs. the Giants and I think he’ll struggle here as well. San Fran starter Jeff Samardzija is 2-1 with a 3.60 ERA and after yesterday’s 7-0 loss in the series opener, I think he and the home side offer terrific value to bounce back on Saturday. 

Key Trends:

- Cincinnati is just 7-14 on the road this year.

- The Reds are only 13-18 vs. right-handed starters this year.

- San Fran is a money-making 11-9 (+4.5 units) this season in all “night” games.

The verdict: I think the shape money is on Samardzija. Play on the Giants!

Ricky’s 9* play on the Mets on the run line.

Key Angle: It's important to remember that Ricky never makes a bet on any game based on just one angle. In order to make the grade, all his premium picks must meet several important criteria. He doesn't share all his secrets within his analysis, instead he chooses to reveal only the angle that he feels is the most significant. 

- Mets starter Jacob deGrom. MLB handicapping is all about the starting pitchers and when releasing a “run line” play, I base it primarily on or against one of the starters. For this one I’m basing it primarily on deGrom, who after a slow start to 2019 has returned to form, giving up just two runs over his last 14 innings of work. 

Key Trends:

- Miami is just 4-9 as a road dog of +150 or higher this season.

- New York is 33-20 in its last 53 as a favorite of -150 or higher.

The verdict: Look for New York to build off yesterday’s convincing victory and lay the 1.5 runs!

Ricky’s 8* play on the under Pirates/Cards.

Key Angle: It's important to remember that Ricky never makes a bet on any game based on just one angle. In order to make the grade, all his premium picks must meet several important criteria. He doesn't share all his secrets within his analysis, instead he chooses to reveal only the angle that he feels is the most significant. 

- Current form of today’s starters. Jordan Lyles (has had MAJOR issues with the Cards in the past, but he comes in with a 2-1, 2.20 ERA record. St. Louis is in a major hitting slump currently, so Lyles has an opportunity to take advantage. Cards’ starter Miles Mikolas (4-2, 4.02) has given up just one run over his last two starts (Nats and Phillies.) This contest has “duel” written all over it!

Key Trends:

- The Pirates have seen the total go under the number in nine of 16 on the road already this year.

- The Cards have seen the total go under the number in eight of their last 12 as a favorite.

The verdict: Expect these competent hurlers to battle deep. Play the under!

Ricky’s 10* play on the Arizona Diamondbacks.

Key Angle: It's important to remember that Ricky never makes a bet on any game based on just one angle. In order to make the grade, all his premium picks must meet several important criteria. He doesn't share all his secrets within his analysis, instead he chooses to reveal only the angle that he feels is the most significant. 

- The Braves’ suspect bullpen. When the D-Backs swept a three-game series in Atlanta at the start of the year, they’d slug out 11 runs off 14 hits with ten walks over ten innings off Braves’ relievers. And it was the same thing in last night’s opener, as Arizona would rally in the tenth to earn a walk-off victory.

Key Trends:

- Atlanta is just 4-8 as a road dog this year.

- Arizona is already 3-1 this season as a favorite in the -125 to -175 range.

The verdict: Greinke also gets the big nod on the mound over Teheran. All things considered, I feel this line could/should in fact be much higher. Great value on the home side, lay it!

Ricky’s 8* play on the Colorado Rockies.

Key Angle: It's important to remember that Ricky never makes a bet on any game based on just one angle. In order to make the grade, all his premium picks must meet several important criteria. He doesn't share all his secrets within his analysis, instead he chooses to reveal only the angle that he feels is the most significant. 

- Rockies’ starter German Marquez. He’s given up just three runs in two starts vs. the Padres at Coors Field. 

Key Trends:

- San Diego is just 45-80 (-14.5 units) as an underdog in the +125 to +175 range.

- The Friars are already only 2-4 (-2.6 units) this season in trying to revenge a loss vs. an opponent as a home favorite.

- Colorado is already 5-1 this year as a home favorite in the -125 to -175 range.

The verdict: Look for Colorado to build off last night’s high-scoring victory and lay the price with confidence!

Ricky’s 8* play on the New York Mets.

Key Angle: It's important to remember that Ricky never makes a bet on any game based on just one angle. In order to make the grade, all his premium picks must meet several important criteria. He doesn't share all his secrets within his analysis, instead he chooses to reveal only the angle that he feels is the most significant. 

- Mets’ starter Zack Wheeler. MLB handicapping for the most part comes down to the starting pitching, so it doesn’t come as a big surprise to learn that today’s “key angle” is Mets’ starter Zack Wheeler. Both teams have been struggling of late (the Marlins much more so than the Mets) and each of these starters has also struggled to open the 2019 campaign. Wheeler though is 5-2 with a 1.89 ERA in 11 career starts vs. the Fish.

Key Trends:

- Miami is just 4-12 as a road dog this year.

- New York is 6-1 in its last seven after a loss by two runs or less.

The verdict: The Mets are only 4.5 games behind the Phillies and face a very favorable stretch over the next two weeks. Look for the home side to get things rolling on Friday night and lay the price with confidence!

Ricky’s 10* play on Colorado Rockies.

Key Angle: It's important to remember that Ricky never makes a bet on any game based on just one angle. In order to make the grade, all his premium picks must meet several important criteria. He doesn't share all his secrets within his analysis, instead he chooses to reveal only the angle that he feels is the most significant. 

- Giants’ starter Derek Holland. He’s a terrible 1-3 with a 6.18 ERA in five career games vs. Colorado. Kyle Freeland is 5-3 with a 2.87 ERA in nine starts lifetime vs. San Francisco. Both of these starters have struggled to open 2019, but I think that Holland’s in over his head once again in this difficult road ballpark. Freeland on the other hand has the track record and pedigree to get things turned around and I think that starts tonight. 

Key Trends:

- San Francisco is just 4-7 (-2.1 units) this year as a road dog in the +100 to +150 range.

- Colorado is already 3-1 (+1.5 units) this season as a -150 fav or higher.

The verdict: A fair price considering all of the above information. Lay the price with confidence!

Ricky’s 10* play on the A’s. 

Key Angle: It's important to remember that Ricky never makes a bet on any game based on just one angle. In order to make the grade, all his premium picks must meet several important criteria. He doesn't share all his secrets within his analysis, instead he chooses to reveal only the angle that he feels is the most significant. 

- Reds’ starter Sonny Gray. He’s 0-4 with a 3.89 ERA and the only time he faced his former team he’d get destroyed, allowing five runs and nine hits over five innings while he was with the Yanks. I think he gets another rude welcoming in his first return to Oakland. The A’s Brett Anderson is 4-2 with a 3.89 ERA thus far.

Key Trends:

- Cincinnati is just 15-26 the L2 years in all interleague contests.

- Oakland is 11-6 at home so far this year.

The verdict: Look for Anderson and the A’s to get the better of Gray tonight. Lay the price!

Ricky’s 8* play on the St. Louis Cardinals.

Key Angle: It's important to remember that Ricky never makes a bet on any game based on just one angle. In order to make the grade, all his premium picks must meet several important criteria. He doesn't share all his secrets within his analysis, instead he chooses to reveal only the angle that he feels is the most significant. 

- Cards starter Joe Flaherty. After yesterday’s 11-1 loss, I think the home side bounces back with Flaherty on the mound. Flaherty (3-2, 4.17 ERA) is 1-0 with a 1.17 ERA vs. the Phillies. Phillies’ starter Jerad Eickhoff (1-1, 2.05), is 0-1 with a 4.50 ERA vs. the Cards.

Key Trends:

- Philadelphia is still just 1-6 (-4.3 units) as a road underdog this year.

- St. Louis is already 8-2 (+5.3 units) this season at home with a money line between -100 and -150.

The verdict: I think Flaherty at home at this price is definitely the correct call. Lay the short price!

Ricky’s 6* play on the Chicago Cubs.

Key Angle: It's important to remember that Ricky never makes a bet on any game based on just one angle. In order to make the grade, all his premium picks must meet several important criteria. He doesn't share all his secrets within his analysis, instead he chooses to reveal only the angle that he feels is the most significant. 

- Momentum. Chicago had won six straight until yesterday’s series opening loss to the Marlins. The Fish had lost three straight previous to yesterday’s victory. The Marlins have been anemic at the plate this year, especially on the road, so I’m not going to read too much into one decent outing. Caleb Smith and Jon Lester are evenly matched on the mound tonight, but Chicago has been solid at home all year and I look for it bounce back after yesterday’s loss. 

Key Trends:

- Miami is still just 4-9 as a road underdog this year.

- Chicago is 8-4 asa  home favorite.

- The Cubs are 93-60 (+12.2 units) the L2 years following a loss.

The verdict: Look for the home side to avenge yesterday’s setback and lay the price!

Ricky’s 10* play on the New York Yankees.

Key Angle: It's important to remember that Ricky never makes a bet on any game based on just one angle. In order to make the grade, all his premium picks must meet several important criteria. He doesn't share all his secrets within his analysis, instead he chooses to reveal only the angle that he feels is the most significant. 

- CC Sabathia. For the most MLB handicapping comes down to the starting pitching, so it comes as little surprise to learn that today’s “key angle” is Yanks’ starter Sabathia, who is 1-1 with a 2.66 ERA so far this season and who is 14-6 with a 2.60 ERA in 29 starts vs. Seattle. His counterpart Felix Hernandez is just 1-2 with a 4.31 ERA this season.

Key Trends:

- Seattle is just 2-12 (-9.8 units) this season vs. clubs with winning records.

- New York is 49-23 (+13.3 units) the L2 years as a home favorite in the -125 to -175 range (including 4-1 this season!) 

The verdict: Sabathia at this price at home is definitely the correct move in my opinion. Lay the price!

Ricky’s 10* play on the New York Yankees.

Key Angle: It's important to remember that Ricky never makes a bet on any game based on just one angle. In order to make the grade, all his premium picks must meet several important criteria. He doesn't share all his secrets within his analysis, instead he chooses to reveal only the angle that he feels is the most significant. 

- History of futility. The Twins rebounded from Friday’s 6-3 loss to win 7-3 yesterday. But wins have been few and far between for Minnesota in the new Yankee Stadium, as it’s still just 10-26 there. Ex Yankee Michael Pineda starts for the Twins and he’s coming off three straight poor outings, most recently allowing five runs in five innings in an 11-0 loss to Houston (has given up 15 runs over his last three outings overall.) Domingo German is so far 5-1 with a 2.56 ERA. 

Key Trends:

- Minnesota is just 2-4 as a road dog in the +100 to +150 range.

- New York is 6-1 this season as a favorite in the -125 to -175 range.

The verdict: This one has blowout written all over it. Lay the short price!

Ricky’s 10* play on the Houston Astros. 

Key Angle: It's important to remember that Ricky never makes a bet on any game based on just one angle. In order to make the grade, all his premium picks must meet several important criteria. He doesn't share all his secrets within his analysis, instead he chooses to reveal only the angle that he feels is the most significant. 

- Astros’ closer Roberto Osuna Jr. This game is being played in Monterrey Mexico, which is only a 12 hour drive from where Osuna grew up in Los Mochis. The Angels are only the home team on paper. Osuna is 2-0 with a 0.68 ERA with seven saves in 13 games and over 13 1/3’s innings he’s allowed just three hits with no walks and 11 K’s. 

Key Trends:

- Houston is 4-0 this year already when playing with a day off.

- LA is just 1-3 this season already when playing with a day off.

The verdict: The difference isn’t with the starting pitchers, it’s in the intangibles and numbers. Great value, lay the short price!

Ricky’s 8* play on the St. Louis Cardinals.

I think that Michael Wacha and Yu Darvish are evenly matched here. Neither has gotten out to a great start to 2019, but each comes in off one of their better overall efforts. After yesterday’s 4-0 defeat though, I like the Cards to bounce back in the second game. 

Key Trends:

- St. Louis is 10-6 in all day games.

- The Cards are already a perfect 3-0 this year after two or more consecutive losses.

- Chicago is only 4-11 (-12.8 units) in its last 15 after allowing one goal or less.

The verdict: Look for Darvish to stumble vs. this hungry/difficult opponent. Play on the Cardinals!

Ricky’s 10* play on the Cincinnati Reds.

Key Angle: It's important to remember that Ricky never makes a bet on any game based on just one angle. In order to make the grade, all his premium picks must meet several important criteria. He doesn't share all his secrets within his analysis, instead he chooses to reveal only the angle that he feels is the most significant. 

- Sonny Gray. For the most part MLB handicapping comes down to the starting pitching anyways and for this particular matchup my “key angle” is indeed Reds’ starter Sonny Gray, who is 2-0 with a 2.08 ERA and 1.08 WHIP in two career meetings vs. the Giants. This is the opener of a seven game trip for the Giants and I think Tyler Beede, who is being called up from Triple A to make his 2019 major league debut is in over his head.

Key Trends:

- The Giants are just 3-6 this year as an underdog in the +125 to +175 range.

- The Reds are a perfect 3-0 this season as a -150 favorite or higher.

The verdict: All things considered, I think this line could/should in fact be a lot larger. Lay the price!

Ricky’s 8* play on the St. Louis Cardinals.

Key Angle: It's important to remember that Ricky never makes a bet on any game based on just one angle. In order to make the grade, all his premium picks must meet several important criteria. He doesn't share all his secrets within his analysis, instead he chooses to reveal only the angle that he feels is the most significant. 

- Cubs starters Kyle Hendricks. He’s struggling this year, so far with a 1-4, 5.33 ERA record. While he’s had success against the Cards in the past, that was then and this is now. Cards’ starter Joe Flaherty is 3-1 with a 4.06 ERA and he comes in on top form after going seven shutout innings in a 5-2 win over the Reds on Sunday. 

Key Trends:

- St. Louis is 10-5 in all day games this year.

- The Cards are 17-9 vs. right-handers

- The Cubs are already just 3-4 this year after four or more consecutive road games.

The verdict: I like Flaherty to continue his red hot start. Great value on the surging visiting side and what I feel to be the superior starter!

Ricky's 10* play on the LA Angels. 

Key Angle: It's important to remember that Ricky never makes a bet on any game based on just one angle. In order to make the grade, all his premium picks must meet several important criteria. He doesn't share all his secrets within his analysis, instead he chooses to reveal only the angle that he feels is the most significant. 

- Mike Trout. The Angels have a chance to sweep this series here. Trout went 2 for 4 with a walk in Wednesday’s 6-3 Angels’ win. Note that Trout has reached base in all 28 games this year. Sanchez and Skaggs are a “wash,” but Trout and the Angels’ momentum carries to the sweep here. 

Key Trends:

- Toronto is just 65-81 (-8.3 units) after two or more consecutive road games.

- LA is 38-26 (+15.7 units) the L2 years after allowing three runs or less in two straight games. 

The verdict: The Jays’ inconsistencies at the plate continue and Trout and company continue to roll. Great value, lay the price!

Ricky's 10* play on the Cleveland Indians.

Corey Kluber (2-2, 5.81 ERA) has struggled to open the year, while Caleb Smith (2-0, 2.17) has been fantastic. Regardless of that, I still think we’re getting great value on the hard-hitting visiting side, as despite recent form, I think these two starters are a “wash.” And at this price, the value swings to Cleveland in my opinion. 

Key Trends:

- Cleveland is 9-4 as a favorite in the -125 to -175 range this season.

- The Marlins are just 4-15 as an underdog in the +100 to +150 range this year.

The verdict: The Marlins have lost four straight and come in with zero momentum. Smith has been a bright spot, but I think he takes a step back here. Lay the price!

Ricky's 10* play on the Arizona Diamondbacks.

Two wily veterans face off on the hill tonight. The Yanks hand the ball to CC Sabathia, while the Diamondbacks go with Zack Greinke. The pitching is a wash and each team comes in relatively hot at the plate and overall. The difference today is in the numbers/trends.

Key Trends:

- New York is still a poor 20-34 (-10.4 units) in its last 54 as an underdog in the +100 to +150 range (including just 1-3 this season).

- Arizona is 11-2 in its last 13 “night” games.

The verdict: I believe the Diamondbacks take advantage of friendly surroundings and I think the sharp money is on Greinke to get the better of Sabathia, who definitely looks poised for regression. Play on the D-Backs!

Ricky's 10* play on the Chicago White Sox.

Key Angle: It's important to remember that Ricky never makes a bet on any game based on just one angle. In order to make the grade, all his premium picks must meet several important criteria. He doesn't share all his secrets within his analysis, instead he chooses to reveal only the angle that he feels is the most significant. 

- Momentum. I’m going to call these young starting pitchers a “wash.” John Means (3-2, 1.74 ERA) of the Orioles and Manny Banuelos (1-0, 2.51) have each shown plenty of promise to this point. But Baltimore comes in with zero momentum, getting swept in Minnesota over the weekend, while Chicago has won three of its last five. 

Key Trends:

- Baltimore is just 2-5 as an underdog in the +100 to +150 range this year.

- Chicago is already 3-1 as a home favorite this season.

The verdict: I like the White Sox to continue their recent progression and to take advantage of this clearly slumping Orioles side. Lay the price!

Ricky's 8* play on the over A’s/Red Sox.

Key Angle: It's important to remember that Ricky never makes a bet on any game based on just one angle. In order to make the grade, all his premium picks must meet several important criteria. He doesn't share all his secrets within his analysis, instead he chooses to reveal only the angle that he feels is the most significant. 

- Eduardo Rodriguez. The Red Sox’ starter has struggled with consistency, going just 2-2 with a 5.88 ERA. Both teams come in struggling and desperate for some production at the plate though. The Red Sox are 11-17, their worst start since 1996. In a two game series loss to TB, Boston went 0 for 11 with runners in scoring position. Oakland’s dropped three in a row, including two in walk off fashion. 

Key Trends:

- Oakland has already seen the total go over in six of eight this year after having lost three of its last four games.

- Boston has seen the total go over the number in 26 of its last 39 after scoring three runs or less in two straight games.

The verdict: I’m banking on these hungry and clearly underachieving line-ups to be the main story lines in tomorrow’s summaries. Play the over!

Ricky's 10* play on the Seattle Mariners.

Key Trends:

- Texas is just 6-11 as an underdog this year.

- The Rangers are only 3-9 on the road this season.

- The Mariners are 6-1 as a favorite this year.

- Seattle is still 9-5 vs. the division.

The verdict: After yesterday’s rare 15-1 win, I think the Rangers return to norm here as they’d lost their previous six. I’m calling Lance Lynn and Eric Swanson a “wash” on the mound, but the situation and the numbers make the home side well worth the price of admission in my opinion. 

Ricky's 10* play on the Seattle Mariners.

Key Angle: It's important to remember that Ricky never makes a bet on any game based on just one angle. In order to make the grade, all his premium picks must meet several important criteria. He doesn't share all his secrets within his analysis, instead he chooses to reveal only the angle that he feels is the most significant. 

- Rangers’ starter Mike Minors’ history of futility vs. the M’s. The Rangers come in with zero momentum after five straight losses. That’s bad news for starter Minor, who is 1-3 with a 5.01 ERA in eight career appearances vs. Seattle. Mariners’ starter Mike Leake on the other hand owns a very respectable 2.72 ERA in six career starts vs. Texas. 

Key Trends:

- Texas is just 72-101 on the road the L2 years (including just 2-9 this season.)

- Seattle is 64-40 L2 years as a home favorite.

The verdict: I think the home side completes the sweep. Great value overall!

Ricky's 10* play on the Nationals on the run line.

Key Angle: It's important to remember that Ricky never makes a bet on any game based on just one angle. In order to make the grade, all his premium picks must meet several important criteria. He doesn't share all his secrets within his analysis, instead he chooses to reveal only the angle that he feels is the most significant. 

- Max Scherzer. He’s gotten out to a lacklustre start this season. But the veteran has a history of success vs. the Friars, going 3-2 with a 2.34 ERA over nine starts. That includes 85 K’s and 18 walks spanning 57 2/3’s innings of work. Matt Strahm is coming off his best start for the Padres, but it should be noted that he’s faced the Nationals twice in his career, going 0-1 with a 15.43 ERA (Strahm has 12 total starts in his major league career.) 

Key Trends:

- The Padres are only 104-137 the L2 years in all night games (including just 6-9 this season).

- The Nationals are 4-1 in their last five after allowing eight or more runs.

The verdict: I’m banking on a blowout from start to finish. Lay the 1.5 runs for the healthy plus-money return!

Ricky's 10* play on the Seattle Mariners.

Key Angle: It's important to remember that Ricky never makes a bet on any game based on just one angle. In order to make the grade, all his premium picks must meet several important criteria. He doesn't share all his secrets within his analysis, instead he chooses to reveal only the angle that he feels is the most significant. 

- Favorable matchup. For Marco Gonzales and the Mariners. Gonzales is 4-0 with a 3.32 ERA and he goes up against left-hander Taylor Hearn (0-0, 0.0 ERA) who makes his debut after going just 1-3 with a 4.06 ERA in four starts for Nashville.

Key Trends:

- Texas is just 2-7 as a road dog this year.

- Seattle is 11-6 in “night” games.

The verdict: This line could/should easily be much larger in my professional opinion. Lay the price!

Ricky's 8* play on the Philadelphia Phillies.

Key Angle: It's important to remember that Ricky never makes a bet on any game based on just one angle. In order to make the grade, all his premium picks must meet several important criteria. He doesn't share all his secrets within his analysis, instead he chooses to reveal only the angle that he feels is the most significant. 

- Home field advantage. The Phillies broke a four-game slide with a 6-0 win last night in New York and I think they keep the foot on the gas here. Caleb Smith has been “lights out” for the Marlins and while Aaron Nola has struggled to start 2019, he comes in off a start in which he gave up no runs over six innings vs. Colorado on Saturday and there’s no reason not to hunk that the Philadelphia “ace” won’t be able to build here. The Marlins have been anemic offensively, especially on the road. I think this line could/should in fact be larger. 

Key Trends:

- Miami is just 18-47 (-16.4 units) the L2 years as a road dog.

- The Phillies are 8-4 at home.

- Philadelphia is 10-7 vs. the division.

The verdict: Expect the Phillies’ hard-hitting line-up to be the difference here. Lay the price!

Ricky's 8* play on the Cincinnati Reds.

Key Angle: It's important to remember that Ricky never makes a bet on any game based on just one angle. In order to make the grade, all his premium picks must meet several important criteria. He doesn't share all his secrets within his analysis, instead he chooses to reveal only the angle that he feels is the most significant. 

- Reds’ starter Luis Castillo. A pretty obvious “key angle” for this game, but I love the hard-throwing right-hander in this matchup. Castillo (2-1, 1.47 ERA) will be opposed by Julio Teheran (2-2, 5.61). Note that since August 1st, 2018 Castillo is 5-2 with a 1.27 ERA. So far he’s not given up more than two runs or four hits in any of his five starts. Teheran gave up five runs off seven hits over four innings in a loss to the Tribe in his latest outing. 

Key Trends:

- Atlanta is just 1-4 (-2.5 units) this year as a road dog in the +125 to +175 range.

- The Reds are interestingly 4-1 (+3.1 units) vs. the NL East.

The verdict: No need to over think, I believe we’re getting great value on the superior starter in this matchup. Lay the price!

Ricky's 10* play RUN LINE PLAY on the Boston Red Sox.

Key Angle: It's important to remember that Ricky never makes a bet on any game based on just one angle. In order to make the grade, all his premium picks must meet several important criteria. He doesn't share all his secrets within his analysis, instead he chooses to reveal only the angle that he feels is the most significant. 

- Revenge. MLB comes down to starting pitching and each contest has to be looked at by itself, however after losing both games of yesterday’s double header, I think the home side bounces back in this revenge situation. Eduardo Rodrigues (1-2, 7.20 ERA) of the Red Sox will be expecting some support here after his team left 13 men on base last night. Rodriguez will be feeling confident here as well as he’s 2-1 with a very respectable 3.52 ERA in four starts vs. the Tigers. 

Key Trends:

- Detroit is still just 10-33 (-13.4 units) in its last 43 as a road dog of +150 or more.

- Boston is still 103-51 (+12.6 units) the L2 years as a home favorite.

The verdict: I think Tyson Ross gets the hook early here vs. the determined and clearly underachieving home side. Lay the 1.5 runs for the pick em price!

Ricky's 8* play on the San Diego Padres.

Key Angle: It's important to remember that Ricky never makes a bet on any game based on just one angle. In order to make the grade, all his premium picks must meet several important criteria. He doesn't share all his secrets within his analysis, instead he chooses to reveal only the angle that he feels is the most significant. 

- Felix Hernandez’s road issues. The King has dominated the Padres throughout his career, especially at Petco Park. However that was a long time ago. Hernandez is 1-1 with a 4.91 ERA this season, including 0-0 with a 7.71 ERA on the road. Last year he was 8-13 with a 5.64 ERA, including only 4-8 with a 6.97 ERA on the road. Padres’ rookie Chris Paddack is 0-1 with a 2.25 ERA and over his first 20 frames of work he’s allowed six runs on nine hits with 21 K’s for a tiny .134 opponents batting average and a 0.800 WHIP. 

The verdict: The Padres are 3-1 in Paddacks first four starts, but he’s yet to actually earn a victory himself. Expect that to change today. Lay the price!

Ricky's 10* BIG TIGER on the Houston Astros.

Key Angle: It's important to remember that Ricky never makes a bet on any game based on just one angle. In order to make the grade, all his premium picks must meet several important criteria. He doesn't share all his secrets within his analysis, instead he chooses to reveal only the angle that he feels is the most significant. 

- Twins’ starter Michael Pineda’s lack of success vs. the Astros. He’s 3-3 with a 4.95 ERA lifetime vs. them. While he’s been solid overall this year, Pineda comes in off an ugly start by allowing six runs off seven hits over three innings in a 7-4 loss to Toronto on Thursday. 

Key Trends:

- Minnesota is just 50-70 in its last 120 as a road underdog.

- Houston is 162-85 (+30 units) vs. right-handed starters the L2 years.

The verdict: This one has blowout written all over it. Lay it!

Ricky's 8* play on the New York Mets.

Key Angle: It's important to remember that Ricky never makes a bet on any game based on just one angle. In order to make the grade, all his premium picks must meet several important criteria. He doesn't share all his secrets within his analysis, instead he chooses to reveal only the angle that he feels is the most significant. 

- Historical success for Mets’ starter Zach Wheeler vs. the Phillies. That’s going to be my “key angle” in this contest. Both Philadelphia starter Zach Eflin and Mets’ starting pitcher Zach Wheeler have gotten out to somewhat lacklustre starts. Wheeler (1-2, 6.35 ERA) though comes in of his best start of the young season, holding Philadelphia to three runs over seven innings. In the end he lost 3-2. Wheeler though is 4-2 with a 3.67 ERA in 11 starts vs. the Phillies throughout his career. Eflin (2-2, 3.68) gave up three runs over six innings in a no-decision to the Rockies on Thursday. Eflin though is only 2-3 with a 5.25 ERA in seven career outings vs. New York. I think a very fair price on the Mets here as they build of yesterday’s 5-1 series opening victory. 

Key Trends:

- Philadelphia is just 44-86 (-21.6 units) the L2 years as a road dog.

- New York is 8-5 in all night games this season.

The verdict: I like Wheeler to get back on track and take advantage of this suddenly struggling Phillies’ line-up. Lay the short price!

Ricky's 8* play on the Pittsburgh Pirates.

Key Angle: It's important to remember that Ricky never makes a bet on any game based on just one angle. In order to make the grade, all his premium picks must meet several important criteria. He doesn't share all his secrets within his analysis, instead he chooses to reveal only the angle that he feels is the most significant. 

- Revenge. MLB handicapping mainly comes down to the starting pitching and in this case, I do think that Trevor Wiliams (1-0, 2.59 ERA) has a decided advantage over his counterpart Luke Weaver (1-1, 3.92) on the mound today. Weaver was one good start and one bad start to open 2019. Last year he was 7-11 with a 5.01 ERA. Williams gave up two runs to the Tigers on Wednesday and the Pirates have won all four of his starts, posting a .225 opposing batting average and he’s walked only five batters. After yesterday’s 12-4 series opening loss though, Pittsburgh has lost seven straight at home in this series. Enough is enough!

Key Trends:

- Arizona is still just 70-86 (-17.2 units) the L2 years vs. teams with winning records.

- Pittsburgh is still 6-3 at home this year.

- The Pirates are 8-5 vs. right-handed starters.

The verdict: Revenge (x7!) The better pitcher and strong trends working in its favor. I’m laying the short price on the Pirates!

Ricky's 10* play on the LA Angels.

Key Angle: It's important to remember that Ricky never makes a bet on any game based on just one angle. In order to make the grade, all his premium picks must meet several important criteria. He doesn't share all his secrets within his analysis, instead he chooses to reveal only the angle that he feels is the most significant. 

- Walking wounded. The Yanks come in off a satisfying 7-6 win at home over KC last night, but New York is completely banged up, with both sluggers Giancarlo Stanton and Aaron Judge both on the DL, along with several other key players. JA Happ and Matt Harvey have both been terrible and each has struggled against their respective opponent tonight throughout their careers, so I’m calling the starting pitching a “wash” tonight. I simply feel that this is a bad spot for New York: a late West Coast game with most of the team on the DL, and coming off a big home win. Can anyone say “letdown spot?!”

Key Trends:

- New York is already just 1-3 (-4.2 units) this year after a win by two runs or less.

- LA is 7-4 at home this season.

- The Angels are 5-1 (+3.6 units) this year after six consecutive vs. division rivals.

The verdict: The writing is on the wall and a blowout is in the cards. Play on the Angels!

Ricky's 10* play on the under Mets/Cards.

Key Angle: It's important to remember that Ricky never makes a bet on any game based on just one angle. In order to make the grade, all his premium picks must meet several important criteria. He doesn't share all his secrets within his analysis, instead he chooses to reveal only the angle that he feels is the most significant. 

- Mets starter Noah Syndergaard. I think he’ll go deep here, note that he owns a 3.08 ERA lifetime vs. the Cards. St. Louis starter Dakota Hudson (1-0, 6.08 ERA) has been shaky of late, but he was 4-1 with a 2.63 ERA last year and he has a golden opportunity today facing the Mets “on again, off again” offense. 

Key Trends:

- The Mets have seen the total go under the number in 18 of their last 28 after playing seven or more straight road games.

- The Cards have seen the total go under in four of five already this year after two or more straight home games.

The verdict: Taking into account all of the above factors, I think this one falls under once its all said and done!

Ricky's 10* play on the Philadelphia Phillies.

Key Angle: It's important to remember that Ricky never makes a bet on any game based on just one angle. In order to make the grade, all his premium picks must meet several important criteria. He doesn't share all his secrets within his analysis, instead he chooses to reveal only the angle that he feels is the most significant. 

- History of success. For Phillies’ starter Aaron Nola (1-0, 7.45 ERA) vs. the Rockies. Philadelphia is injured and it’s lost the first two games of this series. Nola himself has gotten out to a shaky start to 2019. However I think both he and the Phillies bounce back here, as note that Nola is 1-0 with a 1.98 ERA and 17 K’s compared to only two walks in two outings vs. Colorado. Antonio Senzatela (1-0, 1.35) got off to a great start vs. the light-hitting Padres, but note that he has given up three runs over six innings and owns a 4.05 ERA vs. the Phillies.

Key Trends:

- The Phillies are 7-2 in their last nine road games after losing back-to-back contests.

- The Rockies are only 4-9 in their last 13 after back-to-back home victories and as an underdog in the +105 to +150 range.

The verdict: Look for Nola to get back on track with his best effort of the season. Lay the price!

Ricky's 8* play on the Pittsburgh Pirates.

Key Angle: It's important to remember that Ricky never makes a bet on any game based on just one angle. In order to make the grade, all his premium picks must meet several important criteria. He doesn't share all his secrets within his analysis, instead he chooses to reveal only the angle that he feels is the most significant. 

Key Trends:

Analysis posted shortly.

Ricky's 10* play on the St. Louis Cardinals.

Key Angle: It's important to remember that Ricky never makes a bet on any game based on just one angle. In order to make the grade, all his premium picks must meet several important criteria. He doesn't share all his secrets within his analysis, instead he chooses to reveal only the angle that he feels is the most significant. 

- Pitching mismatch. Great line value. Two key angles working in our favor here. The Mets hand the ball to Jason Vargas (1-0, 14.21 ERA), while the Cardinals go with Adam Wainwright (1-1, 3.94). Clearly these two are now over the hill, but Wainwright has looked much better than his counterpart to this point. In my opinion, Wainwright could/should easily be a much larger fav in this spot.

Key Trends:

- New York is 87-99 (-14.3 units) the L2 years following a loss.

- St. Louis is already 5-2 at home this year.

- The Cardinals are 62-50 the L2 years after three or more straight road games.

The verdict: I like Wainwright to easily outlast his volatile counterpart. Lay the price with confidence!

Ricky's 8* play on the Reds/Padres over.

Key Trends:

- The Reds have seen the total go “over” in 70 of their last 30 after playing two or more straight road games.

- The Padres have seen the total go over in 46 of their last 76 after scoring three runs or less in two straight games.

The verdict: Both Tanner Roark of the Reds and Chris Paddack of the Padres have been sharp to open the year. The Reds and Padres have struggled with offensive consistency as well, but I expect this one to sneak past this low number. The trends and the overall situation points to a higher-scoring slug-fest here. Play the over!

Ricky's 8* play on the Rockies.

Key Angle: It's important to remember that Ricky never makes a bet on any game based on just one angle. In order to make the grade, all his premium picks must meet several important criteria. He doesn't share all his secrets within his analysis, instead he chooses to reveal only the angle that he feels is the most significant. 

- Zach Eflin’s road record in Colorado. He’s 1-2 with a 9.20 ERA in three career starts in Colorado. Both Eflin and Kyle Freeland had decent season debuts, but since then each has struggled considerable. Note though that Freeland was an impressive 10-2 with a 2.40 ERA at home last year, which is saying something obviously considering it’s Coors Field we’re talking about. 

Key Trends:

- The Phillies are just 8-12 (-4.9 units) in their last 20 off a one run victory over a division rival.

- The Rockies are 22-12 (+18.3 units) in their last 34 off an upset win over a division rival as an underdog.

The verdict: I like Freeland to get the better of Eflin. Great value on the one side in my opinion!

Ricky's 8* play on the Twins.

Key Angle: It's important to remember that Ricky never makes a bet on any game based on just one angle. In order to make the grade, all his premium picks must meet several important criteria. He doesn't share all his secrets within his analysis, instead he chooses to reveal only the angle that he feels is the most significant. 

- Michael Pineda. The Jays took the first two games of this series, but the Twins bounced back with a victory on Wednesday. With a chance to earn the split and with the superior starter (in my opinion) on the hill, I think the home side gets the job done here. Clay Buccholz has been decent in the early going for Toronto, but this will be a tough test for him. Twins’ starter Pineda though has walked just two batters over 15 innings this year, while striking out 15. 

Key Trends:

- Toronto is still just 3-6 on the road this season.

- The Jays are 48-65 the L2 years after three or more straight road games.

- The Twins are 60-41 the L2 years as a home favorite of -110 or higher.

The verdict: I like Pineda in this matchup. Lay the price with confidence!

Ricky's 8* play on the Cleveland Indians.

Key Angle: It's important to remember that Ricky never makes a bet on any game based on just one angle. In order to make the grade, all his premium picks must meet several important criteria. He doesn't share all his secrets within his analysis, instead he chooses to reveal only the angle that he feels is the most significant. 

- Favorable pitching matchup for Indians’ starter Carlos Carrasco. Yes Carrasco has gotten out to a terrible 1-2, 12.60 ERA record, but I think it’s too early to push the panic button for the Indians’ ace. Carrasco had a 2.62 ERA on the road last year and he gets a favorable matchup facing Eric Swanson (0-0, 9.00), who makes his first start of the year.

Key Trends:

- Cleveland is 4-1 this year vs. teams with winning records.

- The Mariners are 22-35 (-8.3 units) the L2 years as a home underdog.

The verdict: The M’s are in “free fall” right now. Look for Carrasco to step up and take advantage! Lay the price!

Ricky's 8* play on the under Mets/Phillies.

Key Angle: It's important to remember that Ricky never makes a bet on any game based on just one angle. In order to make the grade, all his premium picks must meet several important criteria. He doesn't share all his secrets within his analysis, instead he chooses to reveal only the angle that he feels is the most significant. 

- Jake Arrieta. Yes the Phillies won 14-3 yesterday. Yes Mets’ starter Zach Wheeler is just 1-1 with a 7.54 ERA to open the year. But Arrieta is locked in at 2-1 with a 2.25 ERA. After yesterday’s “slug-fest,” I expect a much lower-scoring pitchers duel this time around.

Key Trends:

- New York has seen the total go under in five of its last six after a road blowout loss of ten points or more vs. a division opponent.

- The Phillies have seen the total dip under in four of their last five off a win of ten runs or more vs. a division rival.

The verdict: Wheeler is hungry for a victory, while Arrieta is firing on all cylinders. This number is high, play the under!

Ricky's 10* play on the Minnesota Twins.

Key Angle: It's important to remember that Ricky never makes a bet on any game based on just one angle. In order to make the grade, all his premium picks must meet several important criteria. He doesn't share all his secrets within his analysis, instead he chooses to reveal only the angle that he feels is the most significant. 

- Twins’ dominance vs. right-handed starters (8-5, +4.3 units). Minnesota let yesterday’s series opener get away late, but I think they’ll take advantage of Aaron Sanchez, who has opened up hot at home, but who has to prove himself on the road. Kyle Gibson is coming off a career year and after a terrible starts, there’s only one direction he can go. Good value on the hungry home side here.

Key Trends:

- Minnesota is already 4-0 (+5.7 units) this season after a loss.

- Toronto is a terrible 2-10 (-10 units) vs. right-handed starters this year.

The verdict: Expect the home side to bounce back after yesterday’s collapse. Lay the price!

Ricky's 8* play on the under Giants/Nationals.

Key Angle: It's important to remember that Ricky never makes a bet on any game based on just one angle. In order to make the grade, all his premium picks must meet several important criteria. He doesn't share all his secrets within his analysis, instead he chooses to reveal only the angle that he feels is the most significant. 

- Giants own a league-worst team batting average of .199. The Nationals are at only .260. While Stephen Strasburg and Dereck Rodriguez have struggled at times to open the year, I think the stage is set for these hungry and capable starters to step up and go deep against each other tonight.

Key Trends:

- San Francisco has seen the total go under in five of its last six vs. right-handed starters.

- Washington has seen the total go under in 28 of its last 48 after scoring four runs or less in three straight games.

The verdict: Expect these starters to be the main story lines in tomorrows summaries. Play the under!