I like the Trojans here quite a bit.  I know that UCLA lost last week which was a look ahead spot here but I think UCLA has been pretty lucky in terms of schedule.  Their tough true test on the road at Oregon they lost by double digits.  USC defense is the worry part here but it's not like UCLA has a stout D either.  The better O wins this game and I believe that Lincoln will wanna make a statement in year 1 of this rivalry.

I like Arkansas here in this matchup.  This is just a brutal spot for Ole Miss who's coming off the Bama loss which was an all out effort and a possibly chance to win the SEC West.  This is senior day for Arkansas and they are still hungry to make a bowl game.  This low line is indicating the bad spot here also. 

I like the Gophers here this week.  Look Iowa has won a couple and last week they did easily vs Wisky but their offense is still pathetic averaging 2.4 yards per play last week.  Iowa has had the Gophers number but with the short price here I think its great buy low spot as Minnesota can still win the West as well so they have motivation here also. Gophers are 5-1 ATS at home this season.

Clemson is locked into the ACC title game here so it's really hard to see where their motivation will come from to blow out a team.  Clemson also isn't built that way to build big margins of victory.  Miami is 3-1 ATS on the road this season. I like the fact they are coming off a nice road win last week showing me they are still playing hard.  Miami covers this huge number

We know how brutal of a spot it can be to play at WVU.  I know that Kansas St still have a lot to play for but they were just 2.5 point dogs on the road to Baylor last week and are now laying more than a TD?  This is also senior day here and I think they are motivated to make a bowl game also. WVU is a sneaky home dog remember a few weeks back they almost pulled the upset over TCU.

A lot of this IMO is because of last week and what Kansas St did to Oklahoma St.  Texas just has the better athletes here overall plain and simple.  I'm not a believer in the Wildcat team white yet. They need to prove it after that type of win last week to see if they can do it back to back.

Cute is just reeling right now losing back to back games and this line is giving you the indication of that.  Pitt returning back home after back to back losses and are hungry here.  

Wrong team is favored here in this game.  Wazzu only road win was @ Wisky and I just don't think they are that good.  Stanford is nothing special either but shouldn't be a dog here.  This team did just beat ND two weeks ago on the road.  

Oklahoma getting too much credit for winning at Iowa St lat week and they didn't look impressive at all.  Baylor has much better offense and will score against this very bad Sooner defense.  Baylor has won 4 of their last 6 with one being a 3 point loss and the other to Oklahoma St who they were favored over.  I think they should be favored here

I like Purdue here against Iowa.  First Purdue has had Iowa's number and yes I know it's generally in the underdog role but at home here at this short price is hard to pass up.  Iowa blowing out Northwestern last week isn't impressive at all and they are getting. credit because of that.  Iowa's offense is just so bad and can't move the ball.  I think we see Iowa's defense on the field way to long again and they wear down over time 

UCF offense here is no joke.  They are brining in the 5th ranked overall offense facing a defense ranked 80th overall coming off a 4OT game.  UCF has one loss and it came to a good Louisville squad and was only by 6.  I just believe that UCF is clicking right now coming off 3 double digits wins in a row and they make it 4.

I like the Aggies here in this game.  Both teams are coming off the bye week but South Carolina is a sell high here to me after they beat upset Kentucky on the road.  I think A&M has a ton of motivation here coming off back to back losses.  Better overall coach better team and a cheap price from what this line would have been 3-4 weeks ago we are getting a discount.

This line should be a PK here.  Stanford is getting a ton of respect because they beat ND on the road.  I just think that win honestly doesn't mean much.  ASU after firing Edwards is clearly showing signs of improvement.  They beat Washington two weeks ago and now off the bye I think they feel like they can save their season and make a bowl game here.  Love the spot for the Sun Devils.

I just can't believe that Mizzou is a double digit favorite over anyone in the SEC.  Here is why I am giving Vandy a pass here.  They have 3 SEC losses to Bama, Georgia and Ole Miss.  I mean they were gonna get spanekd regardless in those games.  Does that really show how bad they are though?  I just think that is the narrative and Mizzou isn't much better than them.  Give me the two touchdowns

This is a play against Memphis here as much as it's a play on Tulane.  I just question how much is left in the tank here for Memphis.  They are off back to back all out efforts and heartbreaking losses. IF you recall two weeks ago the lost to Houston was one of the worst you will see all season.  Now last week Memphis lost in 4OT to East Carolina.  I just think they will be tired here and Tulane will take full advantage of a tired team

Im surprised here about this line as I feel both teams are pretty equal.  WVU was favored once so far this season and that was early abasing Houston and they didn't cover.  I believe this is a team you look to fade in this role.  WVU is off a nice win over Baylor and have two losses by 7 with one coming in OT.  Like I said, both teams seem similar so great value with WVU here

I had this game circled after what took place last weekend.  Memphis blew one of the worst games you will ever see.  They were up 13 points with 2 minutes left and lost outright, yes you read that right.  I just think those types of losses are super hard to bounce back from.  ECU on the other hand will be motivated also following an ugly loss on the road.  Give me the more motivated team at home here following a team with a gut punch loss.  

James Madison enters the rankings this weekend and wow are they getting some love.  They have also covered every game now they are at a premium price which is the perfect time to sell high on them.  Ga Southern is a very much improved team and if you recall they won @ Nebraska earlier this season.  Also just a couple weeks ago they were 10 point dogs @ Coastal Carolina and lead going into the 4th quarter only to lose by 4.  James Madison is just getting a ton of love and I expect a one possession game

No one likes the Razorbacks all the sudden since they are 3-3 and have field to cover 4 straight games.  Well, last week I give them a pass and it's the main reason I like them here.  KJ Jefferson returns this week and he is what makes this team go.  Their rushing attack which ranks 210th vs the BYU defense which ranks 101 will be the difference.  Arkansas value is extremely low and here and they will be hungry following an ugly showing last week while BYU had an all out effort at Notre Dame

I will lay it here with Ohio.  They have the overall better QB and that is good enough for me in this game.  I know the Bobcats have a terrible defense and really can't defend them here but the WMU offense isn't exactly anything to write home about either.  Rourke the Ohio QB will be the difference maker here and get the job done.

I actually think we are getting a discount here on TCU because of how high the Cowboys are ranked.  If you have watched Oklahoma St, you know they just dont pass the eye test especially given their ranking.  They have struggled with teams like Texas Tech last weekend and also Arizona St for majority of the game.  This is by far a huge step up in class here for the Cowboys and the TCU offense I think will really get the air game going.  TCU big time revenge also from an embarrassing loss last year

WKU will move the ball up and down the field on this MTSU team. WKU has the 3rd ranked passing attack in the country while MTSU ranks 119th against the pass.  MTSU is still living off the fact that they beat Miami in a miracle game.  WKU has 3 losses all by single digits so this team is clearly bette then their record indicates.  MTSU has been blowout the last 2 weeks and I see no difference here.

This is just crazy high line for this game.  Iowa St has dropped 3 straight games but all came down to the final minute.  I think that has them completely undervalued here this weekend.  This is also the perfect role for Campbell who thrives in these big underdog situations.  Texas is off the blowout win over their rival in Oklahoma and have Oklahoma St on deck.  Huge sandwich spot here plus the early kick I love and that favors Iowa St also.  Cyclones have the best defense in the Big 12 and that will keep them in this game

I believe this is the ultimate buy low spot on Fresno St.  Last week was one of the worst performances of the season by any team.  They lost on the road @ Uconn as 22.5 point favorites.  They were clearly looking ahead to this game to me.  Remember a couple weeks back Fresno was just over 10 point dogs @ USC.  This is a gift here reacting to last weeks loss.  

I will take FSU here as a dog.  I actually think they are the overall team. FSU is top 30 in defense and top 20 overall in offense while NC St has a great defense their offense is iffy at best ranking at 82 overall.  Both teams are off a loss but since FSU was favored in their loss to Wake I think people remember that more and tend to give NC St a pass if you will because they were beat by Clemson.  

Illinois is brining in one of the best defenses in the country vs literally the worst offense in the country.  Granted Iowa's defense is legit here, but they solely rely on their defense creating a short field or turnover in order for them to score.  Iowa scored a classic meaningless touchdown so the score looked closer last weekend vs Michigan.  Illinois with an impressive showing last week with a dominate win @ Wisconsin.  This is a night game and Illinois has had this one circled. 

Iowa St was favored at Kansas last. week and since they lost, they are dogs this week.  I think that is a big overreaction.  The Wildcats are off back to back big conference wins beating Oklahoma and Texas Tech.  This is the Cyclones season on the line here avoiding the 3 game losing streak.  Campbell isn't. great a a small favorite but as a dog I love him.

USC is just getting a ton of respect.  Yes, they are improved big time but it was just a few weeks ago they were laying less than this to Fresno St.  Wazzu is a legit team as they are 4-1 and 4-1 ATS.Their only loss came to Oregon in which it was a game they lead a majority of the way but still covered that game.  Wazzu has enough pieces here and I fully believe they keep this game close.

UCLA is getting a ton of respect here for their 5-0 start.  They by far had their toughest. test last. week against. Washington.  Utah is just a different animal and this line should be higher honestly.  Utah has owned this series winning 5 straight.  Utah's defense is something that UCLA hasn't seen this season.  

Great buy low spot here on UAB.  MTSU is still getting a ton of respect because of that win over Miami a couple weeks back.  UAB is coming off an ugly loss to Rice in which they outgained them by over 150 yards, so it was fluky.  UAB is just the overall better team and except them to be hungry here following that ugly loss.

The Sooners have won 4 straight in this series and I believe this is the year that Texas gets it right.  They return Ewers at QB which is the difference maker.  The Sooners aren't any good this year and last. week they were exposed by TCU big time.  If there was a let down spot for Texas it was last week and I think they win this easily.

The whole KU story is a great one and they deserve all the credit in the world for this turn around. I know they aren't getting any respect but this TCU team is one to pay attention to.  Their offense is flat out legit and they will oboe it up and down the field.  KU doesn't want to get in a shoot out here.  Kansas was really lucky to win last. week vs Iowa St as they were outgained by 100 yards.  TCU brings in the 2nd ranked offense in the country

If there was ever a great spot to back Nebraska this season, it would be right now.  Thew firing of Frost is now gone and in the past and they are coming off a bye week and not in the news.  I think this is the perfect spot here with Indiana coming to town.  Nebraska is 0-4 ATS so there honestly couldn't be a buy lower. spot than now.  Nebraska's offense shouldn't have an issue moving the ball here and really controlling the clock and ultimately I believe pulling away in the end

Im getting the much better defense here vs a very bad offense and quite frankly this is a no brainer.  San Jose also went on the road to Auburn and gave them all they could handle and could have won the game. Wyoming is getting credit for beating Air Force a couple weeks back and that has them over valued.

Missouri is just plain and simple an extremely poor football team.  They are off a very tough outing va Auburn which clearly they played their tails off losing in OT.  The talent gap here is just massive and honestly not sure if Mizzou can get 13.  If Georgia shows up semi interested here I think it's over by half.  The fact that Georgia was sloppy vs Kent St last week makes me believe that Kirby will have his guys ready for the night game.  

I think both of these teams are equal, but given the spot I really like Cal here.  Washington St is really off a heart breaker of a loss in a game vs Oregon they controlled for more than 75%.   When schools who are middle of the pack, I also look to see if the next game makes sense to fade.  Well, Wazzu has USC on deck next and this is the classic sandwich spot here.  Cal's only loss came on the road to Notre Dame.  Granted ND hasn't looked great but still was an impressive game for them and ND is still better than Wazzu.  

With odds makers making Iowa St a 3 point favorite here it's pretty telling IMO who they believe is way better.  This line has been adjusted so much as it would have been well over two touchdowns to start the season.  Iowa St coming off the loss with Campbell is a perfect spot.  KU is much improved no denying that but this is a major step up in class and the Cyclones get it done.

I'm going to take the points here with Oklahoma St.  I love the fact they are coming off a bye week with two to prepare for Baylor in a perfect revenge spot, while Baylor played a hard fought conference game on the road @ Iowa St.  Baylor was on the fortunate side last week especially early. in that game from a call standpoint and it really flipped momentum.  The Cowboys offense is legit and I think Gundy jumps on Baylor early here .

Do we really know how good Bama is?  This team should have lost to Texas outright if it wasn't for the QB situation.  That was their only "step up in competition" so far and they barely passed the test.  I really like what. KJ Jefferson brings to the table here as he is mobile and that is key vs this Bama defense.  I think there are still plenty of unknowns regarding Bama so therefore they shouldn't be laying anywhere near. this number on the road to a quality. opponent. 

I'm pleasantly surprised here with this line.  I'm getting IMO two equal teams here plus the better. QB and I'm catching double digits.  Kent St is getting a ton of respect for covering 3 straight and maybe because they covered against Oklahoma and Georgia while Ohio didn't cover. @ Iowa St and @ Penn St.  Either way Rourke the QB from Ohio will move it on this Kent St defense.  Ohio has won 7 of the last 8 meetings outright! 

One of the most underrated matchups of the weekend will take place at Corvallis this weekend.  Oregon St.  I will admit that USC does pass the eye test right now especially on offense.  Last year Oregon St. won outright as a 10.5 point dog and that was at USC.  There has been a major correction toward USC and they deserve some respect but it's just too much love now.  The Beavers will have success on the ground and that is the key here and will be the difference to why Oregon St. covers.  

I could be completely off here with Rutgers in this game but Iowa just hasn't shown anything and all of their games have been at home.  They heavily rely on forcing turnovers and field position in order to get any part of separation.  Both teams bring in a good defense here and I really like the fact it's a night game for Rutgers.  Iowa has a huge game on deck with Michigan which they will be looking ahead too.

Ole Miss is getting a ton of respect here and I believe in large part because they are ranked high.  I just don't see the motivation here for them this week to cover such a huge number.  Ole Miss was favored by the same amount vs Troy and since. Tulsa is 1-2. ATS I believe that is giving us good value.

Washington St is undervalued here as I think most are forgetting about the road win @ Wisconsin. Yes, Wazzu was a little lucky in that game but they held Wisky to 14 points at home which is very impressive.  Oregon flat out being over valued because of last weeks blowout win over BYU.  I think Wazzu is live here

This is a dream spot here for James Madison.  App St is off three huge performances.  First, they opened week 1 scoring 40 vs UNC, then went on the road @ Texas AM  for. a huge upset win and then last week with College Gameday they won a Hail Mary pass.  I think this is the ultimate let down spot here for App St and James Madison coming off a bye, I think it's the perfect storm for an upset

This line will be moving to 3 so grab Iowa St now.  I have been nothing but impressed with Dekkers their new QB this year.  This is a major tone setter for the Cyclones this week entering Conference play and I believe they rise to the occasion. Iowa St has major revenge on their mind here from last season as Baylor literally stole this game. According to PFF Cyclones bring in a top 10 overall defense and I think that is what puts them on top

Give me Wake Forest here this weekend.  Last weekend they were in a terrible spot. and managed to survive a scare from Liberty.  They were clearly looking ahead to this game.  PFF actually has Wake Forest rated higher than Clemson and I believe it.  Clemson offense has put up some numbers but he competition has been really poor.  I think Wake is live here for the upset.