So both teams here are frauds I think it's fair to say. Both teams have battled injuries here all season long but the Chargers everyone like to appoint them as a great team but I dont see it.  I think a brutal matchup for the Chargers on the defense side here as the Titans will just run them into the ground.  This game is a coin flip and I see it a FG or less either way.

I like the Bucs here in this game.  Let's just look at the value here last week the Bengals were bet down to -4 @ home vs the Browns.  Bucs are clearly better than the Browns.  Now though you're telling me that the Bengals are laying 3.5 on the road against a very desperate team?  Brady's back is against the wall here and I think they show up

Love the Raiders here this week.  I know most people will look at the Raiders from last Thursday and think that they are done.  Well they might be but I think they show up here for this one as they do still have a shot to make the last spot for the playoffs.  I expect a major gameplay change here this week with a lot more passes.  Patriots were just the same here last week on Monday night vs the Cardinals and no one in their power rankings has the Cardinals the same as the Raiders.  

I dont wanna overreact to the Jags last week with an impressive win, but I think they might have found something.  I know they benefitted a lot from the turnovers but that win was probably a season saver for them.  Cowboys have also struggled not just last week vs the Texans but people are forgetting that the Cowboys were only up 2 against Colts last in the 3rd and it was such a misleading game.  Cowboys have a major look ahead with the Eagles on deck.

I like the Jets here this weekend.  This to me is the Best sell high buy low spot of the week on any game.  The Lions have won 4 of their last 5 and did beat the Vikings but it was a misleading game with Cook fumbling inside the 5 yard line.  The Lions away from home their offense only averages 15 ppg.  The Jets defense is still playing hard here and the outdoors I think Goff struggles.  Jets last 3 losses are all on the road last two home games they won both including the Bills.

Grab Now

Grab Now

I really like the Bills here this weekend.  First, they are off the mini bye after playing Thursday.  I also love them for the revenge angle here and Allen will be really motivated because he cost them in the first meeting.  I also think the betting public is a little off on the Bills right now also as they really haven't been dominating to many.  Well go back to the first meeting and they were -10.5 @ the Jets.  We are getting a cheaper price here at home with a backup QB starting in White.  I dont think White will be able to do much vs a lot better D than he faced in the Vikings last week.  

Look I have backed the Steelers quite often and had them last week in a winner.  This is just too much love here for them this week.  The look ahead here was Ravens -4.5 and now that Lamar is out it has flipped this many?  Crazy overreaction considering that Huntley the backup isn't your normal backup.  This is still a division game and the Ravens still have a ton to play for.  I will take the full FG here

Really like the Raiders here this week.  This team many considered to be down and out after such a disappointing start.  However, the last two weeks they have rattled off too wins both in OT.  That is playing with a ton of grit here.  The main key here is that the Chargers rush D won't be able to stop Jacobs at all who is having by far his best season ever.  I like the direction of the Raiders here and this is a rematch from week 1 which the line was 3.5.  Wrong team favored here give me the Raiders.

I think this game should be a PK or the Bengals -1 which is giving us a good amount of value here.  Yes, everyone will be saying the Chiefs have revenge on their mind and sure they do, but does that automatically mean they will win?  I'm not buying it here.  The Chiefs are on a 5 game winning streak which people will like but they have only covered once in the last 7 games.  Bengals offense getting Chase back and I don't think the Chiefs can handle it.  Remember a couple weeks back how the Chargers moved it just having Allen back and Mike Williams left that game.  Bengals have way more weapons here

I will gladly take the Giants here.  Look, I know Washington is hot but now laying points on the road in a division game?  This is just crazy here.  The Giants have lost 3 of their last 4 so clearly this line is just recent bias.  Look Washington escaped last week vs the Falcons as they turned it over in the red zone late.  The betting pubic will be all over the Commnanders here also.  Really good value here with the Giants in the home dog role.

So the narrative here is that the Ravens are struggling but yet many still have them easily inside the top 10 overall which I agree with.  The thing here is that the Ravens have struggled to gain margin here but they are playing a team that now has completely quit.  The Broncos were pathetic last week in getting beat bad by Darnold and the Panthers.  Once the Ravens get up here I think they keep their foot down.  

I will take the Patriots here tonight.  Bills just haven't looked right the last month even though they have won two straight.  I wasn't impressed at all vs the Lions so I wonder if something is wrong with Allen.  The Patriots here home division dog with a good defense.  I also think Mac is continuing to improve as the season goes on here.   Give me the Patriots.

I like the Eagles here in this match up.  I think last Thursday was the season ender for the Packers.  You are also hearing now that Rodgers is playing with a broken thumb.  I dont see any extra motivation from him going forward.  Eagles last week were laying 7 on the road to the Colts.  Is there really a difference between Colts and the Packers?  I say no which is now giving us a discount on Philly.  Sunday night prime time and the Eagles haven't covered 3 straight so the public doesn't want them anymore.

This is just too many here for the Niners to be laying.  First, they are coming off a tough spot here playing a division rival on Monday night. in very high altitude which one. can argue that this particular game would take more out of you than normal.  The Niners since the Mccaffrey trade are riding hot winning 3 straight but now the value is too much.  There were laying this much vs the Cardinals with a backup QB.  They also have major games on deck with Miami and Tampa.  Saints D can keep this close.

I will take the Chiefs here in this game.  The Rams are now clearly done for the year after last week and now they are starting a practice squad player at QB.  I don't think the Rams really care anymore.  Will the Chiefs over look them and pump the brakes, I dont believe so.  Mahomes is too good to let them look ahead here.  I see the Chiefs in the 30's here and the Rams struggling to score more than 10, maybe a garbage one late.  

I believe that the Bucs are a play on team here.  They are coming off the crazy come back a few weeks back vs the Rams that really saved their season.  They follow it up with a dominating win vs a hot Seahawks team.  They are in lead of their division and I don't believe that is be accounted for here.  Browns seem to have given up IMO.  They are off back to back big games vs Miami and Buffalo.  I do think Watson coming back is a distraction as well.  Bucs D will dominate and Brady shouldn't have an issue spreading it around the field. 

I have no problem laying it here with the Jets.  By all accounts it. sounds like Fields will be out this game. With Wilson being out also I think that most will be afraid to back them.  However, I like that the fact he is because I think the D will play even harder here.  Fields just means the world to this team and how they are using him now.  I wouldn't be shocked if the Bears were skunked in this game.  Mike White is more than capable and most would make the point that it isn't a downgrade.

I like the Chargers here on Sunday night.  I think they keep this close and want revenge from week 2 loss in a game they should have won.  Granted they were a lot healthier then but that line was 3.5 at KC and now 6 at the Chargers.  Allen is suppose to be back which I think is huge for the offense.  The Chiefs are also a team that keeps people hanging around like last week with the Jags.  Chargers on primetime here in the dog role, I really like them.

The Steelers are just a different team with TJ Watt playing. We saw it again last week as Pitt was in full control vs the Saints and they went off favored.  Now the Bengals are still without Chase and yes I know they want revenge but the line hasn't been adjusted enough here IMO.  This is a tough division game and I think Pitt and Pickett have improved since game 1.  

Really like the Cowboys here this week.  The Cowboys are off a weird loss blowing double digits in the 4th quarter while the Vikings are off the weird come back win being down double digits.  The Vikings last. week was. extremely fluky and the Vikings defense here will be exposed on the gourd with Pollard.  Cowboys will also bring a ton of pressure here on Kirk.  I also think with the Packers already losing on Thursday that the Vikings are very comfortable in first and can afford losses

I like the Colts here this weekend.  I know last week they beat a bad Raiders team but it's become very clear that Matt Ryan is a massive upgrade over Ehlinger.  It feels like the Colts saved their season last week and they are back to being motivated to get back to 500.  They established the ground game with Taylor and the Eagles struggled against the run Monday night as Washington really controlled the clock.  Eagles got their first loss and I'm curious how they respond.  Colts D is above average and with the other injuries on offense I think Colts are live here 

The betting public will be all over the Bears here.  Over the last 4 weeks they have scored the most points in the league which is very impressive.  I think here on the road is a great spot to fade the Bears here and their defense is really really bad.  They are 28th vs the run and the Falcons are 4th in the league running the ball.  Atlanta with extra time here off the Thursday night game I think they get it done.

The Jets have been great going 4-0 on the road this season.  I also think that win over the Bills prior to the bye week will play a lot in peoples heads here.  The thing is though they were 3 point dogs vs the Patriots at home and lost.  I know it was misleading for sure and a pick 6 got called back but the Pats own the Jets and I see it happening again here.  Jets offense just isn't as explosive without Breece Hall.

Simply too many points for the Niners to be laying.  Yes, they are off the bye and they have a ton of hype around them now with the addition of McCaffrey.  This Niners team does have major potential but a full TD here?  The Chargers were only 3.5 dogs prime time @ Chiefs.  Chargers have a lot of injuries I get it but Herbert will move the ball and the addition this week of Allen back will provide big help.  

I'm gonna lay it here with the Rams who have flat out owned the Cardinals.  I think this team is trending downwards big time.  I know the Rams offense have failed them miserably but the Cardinals dont exactly bring the best D against them.  The Rams are 9-1 SU vs the Card L10. I trust Mcvay here to get it right

I like the Browns here in this spot.  They are off their bye week after playing and beating their divines rival in the Bengals.  Their defense was very impressive in that game and I think they can contain the red hot Miami offense.  The other thing here is that the Dolphins defense has been getting gashed and it showed last week vs the Bears who I had in a winner.  I think the Browns really dominate the possession here and long drives and that spells upset.  Bad matchup here for Miami

I like the Texans here in this game.  They are coming off the mini bye after playing on Thursday night vs the Eagles.  They actually looked pretty impressive in that game only being outgunned by 57 yards and they did cover.  The Giants have by far been one of the most surprised teams but now laying this many?  This isn't the role you want the Giants in.  They were favored in one game and it was against the Bears -3 way early in the season when the Bears were bad and they only won by 8.  The Giants aren't a team that can get margin.

Steelers are off the bye and I like them here.  I think we see a switch in the playbook here for Pickett and Warren to young guns who can be major contributors.  The Saints haven't won a road game period and yet they are favored?  The Steelers have also played a brutal schedule here with their last 5 being the Jets, Bills, Eagles, Bucs & Dolphins.  Wrong team is favored here.

I like the Broncos here this week off their bye week.  Having the extra time off that London win I think was important for this team to look forward to the 2nd half of the season.  The main thing here is that the Titans played the Chiefs close on Monday night and they are getting respect because of that.  Denver can really lock you down on the outside and I think they do the same here with Malik Willis who hasn't shown the ability to throw the ball down field.  Denvers D keeps them in it and eventually Russ makes one play to win it

Love the spot here for the Bucs.  This is literally a spot of the year type.  They have had extra time now after playing last Thursday and honestly I love tat Brady's divorce is behind him and final.  I think that takes something off his shoulders here.  Rams were in a great spot last week vs the Niners off the bye with revenge and they looked like the same old team that relies heavily on Kupp.  Kupp is also not 100% here and that is a huge factor.  Brady bounces back in a big way this weekend

I will back the Bears this weekend here against the Dolphins.  Yes, I know there is some concern with the Bears making trades to a defense that was already average at best.  You can't ignore how much different this team has looked after their bye week.  Last week they came back to make it a 5 point game with Dallas in the 2nd half and then the weird fumble scoop and score happened and it was pretty deflating.  That was a legit top 10 and probably top 5 defense in the league in Dallas they were moving the ball on.  Dolphins defense was horrible last week giving up 27 vs Lions I the first half.  Dolphins outside on this grass will slow them down a little bit here. I do think both teams score more here than what is expected.  I see a 24-28 type of game. 

The Vikings have been one of the luckiest teams in the league to say the least.  They are 6-1 and escaped one last week as the Cardinals were down 2 getting the ball back then they muffed the punt return setting up a short field for the Vikings to score a TD.  Commanders are riding high here with Heineke at QB.  I really think Washington can move the ball up and down the field on them here vs a very weak secondary.  I think Washington wins this outright.

The Bengals are such a weird team to try and figure out but this feels like the ultimate discount on them here.  Yes, they looked horrible on Monday night vs the Browns.  This just has seems like a great spot here to back Burrow and get it done against a bad team.  The Panthers are in a tough spot I believe here after two huge efforts vs division rivals.  We are getting a discount because they did cover both of those games.  Bengals put it to the Falcons a few weeks back and yes that was with Chase I know, but the Panthers and Walker here did a step back this week.

I love the bounce back spot here for the Raiders.  They were flat out embarrassed last week vs the Saints as they didn't score, heck they barely crossed the 50.  They stayed in Florida this week as I think they know their season is on the line.  There was also the rumor of the flu going. around so if that had any legs to it then I think more of a reason to back them here this week.  Also the jags just continue to find close games to lose every time.  I know the Jags have done the London trip a lot but after that loss I just wonder where their heads are.  

So the line here last week was Rams -1.5 and now it has flipped.  The Rams are off the bye and they are being downgraded 3 points?  This line move doesn't make sense at all.  49ers have lost back to back games here and one of their most recent wins was against the Rams.  The game was a one possession game in the 4th until a pick six and the Niners were favored by just 2 at home.  Rams off the the bye and I trust Mcvay to dial something. up different here and get it done

I like the Colts here in this game.  So I know that Sam Ehlinger is making his first career start but here is the thing.  Matt Ryan had the most turnovers, most sacks taken his lack thereof mobility is what really hurt the Colts.  Sam brings a whole different dimension to this offense.  I think the team rallies around him here and they get back to controlling the game on the ground.  Good spot here to fade Washington after beating the overrated Packers also.  Colts D will shut them down.

I will take the Cardinals here in this game.  Both teams are coming off the bye in a way with the Vikings who didn't play but the Cardinals had extra time from their Thursday night game.  The Vikings might be 5-1 but boy have they had a lot of luck on their side. They have trailed the Bears and the Lions in the 4th but managed to beat both.  A close win over the Saints doesn't look great and their week 1 win over the Packers doesn't hold much value either.  Cardinals did move the ball better with Hopkins in the lineup and I think they do the same here.

I really like the Dolphins here and I know the betting public will be all over it with me.  The Dolphins didn't look great last week on Sunday night football but that was also first game back with Tua.  They are also undefeated with Tua starting QB this season.  The Dolphins bring the 3rd ranked passing attack while the Lions defense rank dead last in overall defense.  The Lions have 1 win and it's against Washington with Went.  The Lions get a lot of respect but there isn't enough there to back them. I also think since the Dolphins have failed to cover 4 straight games that this plays into it

The Patriots looked like crap in from of everyone Monday night and I think this is a great spot to back them here in what feels like literally a must win game or else they are. so far behind the Pats and Jets if not.  They are starting Mac this week and they have owned the Jets.  I do like this Jets team but losing Breech Hall is a major blow for this offense and the lines dont take into effect how much he meant because he was a rookie.

I like the Steelers here in this spot vs the Dolphins.  Yes, Tua is back and I think it's a big overreaction here.  I had the Steelers last week and they won outright vs the Bucs.  It doesn't really matter to me if it's Pickett or Trubisky here honestly.  I think Miami will have a pretty conservative gameplan going forward with Tua.  Tomlin in this TD dog under role is something he thrives on.  

I mean this line is outta control here now and the Chargers are my Game Of The Month!  So the Chargers are getting Allen back att WR which they bring in the 7th ranked passing offense and facing literally one of the worst pass defenses and the overall 30th ranked defense.  Chargers didn't look good on Monday night and to me people are writing them off.  Seattle offense won't move the ball against a good defense.  They have been over performing and this is a great time to sell on them

The Raiders are 1-4 and what feels like most are writing their season off.  Both teams are off the bye but I think it came at the right time for the Raiders to regroup here.  This also really feels like a discount here to back them.  The Texans were 5.5 point dogs at home vs the Chargers they were 7 point dogs to the Colts and 10.5 dogs @ Broncos.  I think a great buy low spot.  Raiders really make a statement win here

I like the Colts here this week for several reasons, but first they are getting healthier.  They will be at full strength for the first time this season.  I also love the fact that they have revenge on their mind here from a couple weeks ago vs the Titans.  Colts had two turnovers in their first 3 possessions which put them behind the eight ball.  They dominated the Titans in the boxscore and I see them doing that again but coming away with a win also this time around

I think this is great value here with the Ravens.  They are by far the best 3-3 team in the league.  They had had double digit leads in every single game this season and somehow are just 500.  I think the Browns are walking into a beating this week.  Browns were just dominated by a rookie QB what do you think Lamar will do to them.  You have to remember also that the Ravens were just laying 5.5 on the road to the Giants and now are only 6.5 here vs the Browns?  I think Baltimore finally gets another big lead but end up winning by double digits here

This line is cheap here for the Bengals. The Falcons have covered every game so far and well last week they were catching nearly 6 at home the Niners but now are only 6 on the road vs the Bengals.  I think this is a buy low spot here for the Bengals.  The Falcons secondary will be getting exposed big time here in this game as they rank 31st in the league.  Bengals are quietly playing better also winning 3 of 4. 

Wished I had the better number earlier this week but the Eagles are prime here.  This is obviously a discount with Philly considering the Cowboys were just 5.5 point dogs @ the Rams and we all can agree that the Eagles are better than the Rams.  Great matchup here for Philly and I think their defense will match Dallas.  Dallas in order to win game are scoring in the low 20'2 and I dont think they can hold this Eagles team to under 21 here.  If Dallas and Rush have to play catch up which they haven't yet, I think that will spell big trouble for them.

I like the Bills here this week.  First, I think the Chiefs have been a hair lucky as they survived the Raiders and Chargers both at home mind you.  Chiefs defense has holes as they have shown and you can move the ball up an down the field.  Whats the best way to beat Mahomes? Keep him on the sidelines and that is what Allen will do.  I also think it's worth noting that everyone and I mean everyone will be teasing the Chiefs to 8.5 point dogs.  We see this every week in the NFL that one of the most teased teams lose outright as big favorites or get blown out when given this specific case.  I think the Bills put one on them

Happy to grab this number here with the Cardinals.  Arizona has played a top 10 schedule according to PFF, while the Seahawks have played the 25th ranked schedule.  Seattle here has shown the ability to literally stop no one period.  They rank dead last in overall defense and have played teams like the Lions, Falcons and Saints who aren't exactly sexy offenses to say the least especially given how big of step up Kyler is compared to those starting QB's.   Cardinals are 2-0 on the road this season and their 3 losses are to the Rams Eagles and Chiefs, can you really fault them that much?  

I don't see this going to 10 at all so will happily grab this number.  The Bucs once again play an ugly game of football and come out with the victory.  I think this team is very overrated as their 3 wins the highest they scored was last week and it was only 21.  I know the Bucs have injury issues but this is almost pricing the Bucs and the Bills the same and we know that is for sure not true.  Steelers getting blown out at the Bills I mean does it really matter that much?  The Bills tend to do that to people.  Pickett first home game start I think moves the ball and keeps this really close and possibly the upset.

This one also stood out to me right away.  I had the Browns in a winner last week vs the Chargers and since they covered I think they are getting some respect.  I also had the Patriots in an easy winner and it was because I really liked from what I saw with Zappe two weeks ago @ the Packers.  It was a brutal situation to be thrown in and he almost won them the game.  We know how the Browns love to play on the ground, but the Patriots do as well and yes the Browns are the best rushing attack in the league, the Patriots are top 10 also.  Browns are bottom 4 in the league against the run and I believe their best player in Ward will be out with a concussion.  Patriots win outright.

The lines has dropped from the look ahead here so I think that presents great value with the Ravens.  Baltimore didn't cover Sunday night vs the Bengals and the Giants won outright in London vs the Packers.  I think the Giants story is great and a lot of that is their new HC.  The Packers haven't looked right and plus they were favored by 8 in that game.  I know the Giants are home but the Ravens are way better than Green Bay right now.  Ravens do have some injury concerns in the secondary but the Giants aren't the air attack here to counter that.  Giants rank 26th against the run and Baltimore plays keep away here and dominates game on the ground

I really like the Jags here in this game.  I know most people are going to say it's a buy low on the Colts because they are favored less here than they were in the first meeting.  However, we have seen enough data from these two teams and the Jags are just much much better on both sides of the ball.  Colts have the worst scoring offense and the Thursday night win over the Broncos 12-9 doesn't impress me at all.  Jags have a top 10 defense here and I love the bounce back spot after a ugly loss last week vs the Texans.  Jags have owned this series covering 6 straight. 

Really like the Ravens a lot here.  I still believe the Bengals are getting a ton of respect because of what happened last season.  The Bengals also swept the Ravens last season and you better believe that Baltimore hasn't forgot about that.  The Bengals have played a cupcake of a schedule so far and literally every game was a back up QB and they are 2-2.  Ravens are. 2-2 also but have. trailed for a total of 14 seconds all year long.  Love the Ravens to get revenge here

I know this is a public side this week but to me this is by far the biggest mismatch in terms of these teaser lines.  The Niners defense is arguably the best in football and it was on full display Monday night vs the Rams.  Well, have you see anything from Baker and company that makes you think that the Panthers are cable of scoring. more than 16?   Last week they scored 16 and that included a pick six.  I think the locker room there is  in turmoil and this the Niners should be able to get up early and really keep up the pressure and force several turnovers from Baker

The Jags are very improved this season especially.  on the. defensive side of.  the ball.   They are now getting a lot of respect because of those. improvements.  I agree with an adjustment, but it has simply. been too much.  The  Jags have. been a dog in every game this season and now are. favored by 7.5 over a division opponent, who has. had. their number.   The Texans aren't good but. 7.5 here?   Mills and company were only 5 point dogs to the Chargers last week.   We are getting an overreaction.  

I really like what I saw last week from Wilson in his return.  The late final drive on the road in a tough environment  really was impressive honestly.  I think that confidence carriers over here.  Wilson also brings something to the table here that Flacco doesn't.  He has the ability to extend.  plays with his legs.  Dolphins I like, and Teddy is a good backup.  However, you want Teddy as a dog, not a road favorite.  Jets defense and offense both rank in the top 10 in overall right now, how many would have. guessed that?  I just wonder what that. Tua injury will do to the. Dolphins chemistry.

This line makes zero sense.  Last week you could have bet the Chargers -1 or even a PK.  Now they are laying a full FG?  Big time overreaction here.  The Browns lost a 50/50 game to the Falcons but Clowney and Garrett should both be back which is huge for their defense.  The Chargers just. can't get over that. hump IMO.  They had a comfortable lead and dang near lost. the game vs the Texans in classic Chargers fashion.  The Chargers defense is hurt and their lack there of ability to stop the run is a concern here. 

I like the buy low here on the Saints who are 1-3. It doesn't really matter to me who is the QB this week for them as it's more of a fade of the Seahawks.  Saints were missing Kamara and Thomas last. week and really should have beat the Vikings.  The thing here is that when the Seahawks have faced two opponents with a solid defense they were completely shut down not scoring more than 16 in both games.  Saints are desperate right now avoiding the 1-4 start.  I know they are off the London game but I also think that is keeping this line low.  Saints will also move the ball easily as the Seahawks have one of the top 10 worst defenses in the league 

Love the Patriots here laying less than a FG. Look, the Lions are vastly improved and their offense has been impressive give them all the credit.  I just think now the love is getting out of control.  I think it's a perfect and cheap spot to back the Pats off a loss.  Zappe was impressive to me being thrown into that atmosphere last week @ Green Bay.  The biggest thing here is the Lions defense is just horrible plain and simple.  The Patriots will have long drives, control the clock and keep that offense off the field.  Too much being made into Zappe being the QB when in fact. it isn't that big of drop off.

Sunday night last week worked out perfectly IMO.  The 49ers lost an ugly game to the Broncos and most will be on the Rams.  The Niners here are desperate also and simply can't fall behind with a 1-3 record compared to a 3-1 this early.  I haven't been impressed by anything with what the Rams. have shown thus far.  They are very one dimensional and believe it or not that Shanahan owns Mcvay.  The Rams only win in the last 7 meeting was the NFC Championship last season.  Niners have the better personal here. Lay the points

This game is still being played in Tampa which is great.  The betting public will be all over the Chiefs here no doubt about it.  Here is the thing though, last week the Packers were catching points @ Tampa and with the. Chiefs laying points they are suggesting that the Chiefs would be laying 2 or so to Green Bay on a neutral?  I dont buy that at all!   Bucs get Evans back from suspension and according to PFF their defense is ranked 2nd.  Brady off a loss in a dog role is something you blindly take!  

This is a total situation play here.  The Raiders are the only winless team in the NFL and are desperate to say the least.  Every single one of their games have came down to the final minute but the fact they are 0-3 is giving us a little value.  Broncos are 2-1 but talk about a team that doesn't look the part at all.  Their defense is great but wow Russ and company struggle big time.  The ultimate get right game for the Raiders or the season is over and I believe they get it right here

It's hard to fathom that the worst scoring offense in the league can lay more than a FG to anyone.  Well , that is exactly what we have here this week.  The Colts were my free pick last week in a winner but they were lucky beating the Chiefs outright.  Matt Ryan is a statue back there and the Colts were gifted an early TD to help with momentum.  The Titans aren't getting credit because of that blowout loss to the Bills, but lets face it the Bills do that to a lot of teams.  This is a division rival here and I get the better head coach plus the points.  Great buy low spot on the Titans

I will take the Browns here in what feels like an easy game.  This team is just flat out better on both sides of the ball and I have no idea why this line is this low.  I believe the Browns. loss to the Jets is still playing a huge factor when in fact that game was crazy fluky at the end and should have never happened.  Browns will control the clock here and dominate them on the ground.  I had the Falcons last week and they won at Seattle, but it's the Seahawks does that mean we really upgrade them that much?  They have covered every game and I also believe that is playing into this line here. 

I like this spot for the Steelers in what feels like the big buy low here.  They lost last Thursday to their rival the Browns and have their struggles on offense.  The Jets outside of that crazy comeback vs the Browns have been horrible.  A lot of their yards and everything are coming in garbage time so inflate some stats especially in the passing game.  Zach Wilson is coming back and while I do like him actually I wonder how effective he will be.  Steelers cheap price here at home. vs the worst team in the league.  

I love the Bills here this week.  The most misleading score from last week was by far the Bills as they dominated the game but not the scoreboard.  The Dolphins didn't even have 20 minutes of possession which is crazy.  There was. a ton of concern considering all the injuries the Bills had in their secondary but they answered the call last week.  The Ravens covered again the Patriots and the public cashed big on them and they won't be hesitant to back them again here as dogs given the situation.  The biggest take away here is that the Ravens have the worst rated pass defense and that sets up for a disaster given how much Josh Allen and company throw. the ball. 

The Seahawks are still getting respect from their week 1 win on Monday night vs the Broncos.  The Seahawks didn't exactly win that game  as much as the Broncos lost the game.  Seattle. was. horrible last. week and in fact their only. touchdown was on a FG block.   Falcons. showed me al to of heart last week not giving up to. the. Rams.  It was a wild 4th but they actually had the ball at the 20 with a chance to win the game.    I want a team that shows. heart and the Falcons did exactly that.  Wrong team favored here