At 8:30 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Boston Celtics (501) and the Miami Heat (502) in Game Six of the Eastern Conference Finals. THE SITUATION: Boston (67-33) extended this series at least for another game with their 110-97 victory as an 8.5-point favorite on Thursday. Miami (56-44) still holds a 3-2 series lead.

REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: Despite both teams shooting over 50% from the field, Game Five finished Under the Total. The tempo of this series is slowing. In victory, the Celtics only took 79 shots which were tied for their series low in Game Two — and they scored only 105 points in that game after making 47% of their shots. Boston made 16 of their 39 shots from behind the arc for a 41% shooting percentage. After shooting under 35% from 3-point range in Games One through Three, the Celtics have nailed more than 40% of their 3-pointers in the last two games. Look for the clip to drop tonight given the pressure of a Game Six — and Boston makes 37.6% of their 3-pointers on the road this season. The Celtics have played 15 of their last 22 games Under the Total on the road after winning two games in a row. Additionally, Boston has played 17 of their last 22 games Under the Total in expected close games where they are listed in the +/- 3-point range — and they have played 15 of their last 19 games on the road Under the Total when listed in the +/- 3-point range. Furthermore, the Celtics have played 33 of their last 52 road games Under the Total when favored by up to three points. Miami is finding it difficult to score since Boston has amped up their defensive intensity in the face of potential elimination. The Heat have only attempted 78 shots in each of their last two games after averaging 86 shots per game in the first three games of this series with at least 81 shots in each of their three victories — so their tempo has slowed. The Celtics are doing a better job of moving Miami off the 3-point line as they have made only 17 of their 55 shots from behind the arc (31%) in the last two games after nailing 47 of 93 of their 3-pointers (51%) in the first three games of this series. Boston is also not fouling as much. After getting to the free throw line at least 19 times in the first four games of the series, the Heat only had 10 free throw attempts on Thursday. Miami scored only 97 points in Game Five despite making 51.3% of their shots. The Heat have played 14 of their last 20 games Under the Total after failing to score more than 100 points in their last game. They have also played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total after a double-digit loss. After Miami has allowed the Celtics to shoot 51.2% and 50.6% from the field in the last two games, the Heat should increase their defensive intensity in this critical Game Six.

FINAL TAKE: These two teams have played 5 of their last 6 games Under the Total when playing in Miami. 25* NBA Saturday TNT Total of the Year with Under the Total in the game between the Boston Celtics (501) and the Miami Heat (502). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 8:30 PM ET on Thursday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Miami Heat (549) and the Boston Celtics (550) in Game Five of the Eastern Conference Finals. THE SITUATION: Miami (56-43) looks to bounce back from their 116-99 upset loss at home to the Celtics as a 1.5-point favorite on Tuesday. Boston (66-33) snapped their three-game losing streak to stave off elimination.

REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: The Heat played their worst defensive game in their last three contests by allowing the Celtics to make 51.2% of their shots. To be fair to Miami, Boston did finally overachieve with their shooting relative to league expectations. Given the shot quality statistics, the Celtics would have typically scored 107 points — so they exceeded that baseline by nine points. The Heat have played 5 of their last 8 games Under the Total after an upset loss by 10 or more points. They have also played 9 of their last 10 games on the road Under the Total after a game where they did not score more than 100 points. They have also played 20 of their last 33 games Under the Total after failing to score more than 105 points in their last contest. Point guard Gabe Vincent has been ruled out for tonight’s game after he twisted his ankle in Tuesday’s game. Miami will miss his scoring as he has averaged 17.5 Points-Per-Game in this series. Look for head coach Erik Spoelstra to slow things down tonight and make it a Jimmy Butler game where perhaps they can steal yet another playoff game in the fourth quarter. If that Spoelstra plan fails, then the Heat will probably call off the proverbial dogs and conserve their energies for Game Six back at home — and that will help our Under play (in the end). Miami has played 5 of their last 7 playoff games Under the Total in potential closeout games. Boston has played 8 of their last 13 games Under the Total after a win on the road by double-digits. The Celtics have also played 8 straight playoff games Under the Total when facing elimination.

FINAL TAKE: The Heat have played 9 of their last 14 games Under the Total when attempting to avenge an upset loss at home to their opponent. 8* NBA Miami-Boston TNT O/U Special with Under the Total in the game between the Miami Heat (549) and the Boston Celtics (550). Best of luck for us — Frank.  

At 8:30 PM ET on Tuesday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Boston Celtics (545) and the Miami Heat (546) in Game Four of the Eastern Conference Finals. THE SITUATION: Boston (65-33) has lost five of their last seven games after their 128-102 upset loss on the road against the Heat as a 4.5-point favorite on Sunday. Miami (56-42) has won 10 of their last 12 games while taking a 3-0 lead in this series.

REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: The Celtics embarrassed themselves (and everyone backing them as a road favorite in that contest) with that 26-point loss in a must-win game for them on Sunday. They allowed the Heat to nail 56.8% of their shots which was the worst defensive effort in their last 60 games. It looks like the team quit on rookie head coach Joe Mazzulla — but they should play much harder tonight after Game Three’s humiliation. Boston has played 7 straight Unders when facing elimination in a playoff series. They have also played 5 of their last 8 games Under the Total when attempting to avenge a loss where they allowed 110 or more points. Additionally, the Celtics have played 6 of their last 8 road games Under the Total as an underdog of six points or less. They have also played 14 of their last 18 games Under the Total when listed in the +/- 3-point range — and they have played 16 of their last 21 road games Under the Total when listed in the +/- 3-point range. Miami was on fire by nailing 19 of their 35 shots (54%) from behind the arc as they continued a miraculous turnaround with their long-range shooting after only making 34.4% of their 3-pointers in the regular season, the fourth-lowest mark in the league. The Heat made 56.8% of their shots on Sunday which was the best showing effort in their last 13 games. Miami has played 7 of their last 10 games Under the Total after a win at home by 20 or more points. The Heat dominated Game Three despite getting outrebounded by a 57 to 35 margin. Miami has played 5 of their last 7 games Under the Total after getting outrebounded by 15 or more boards — and they have played 4 straight Unders after getting outrebounded by 20 or more boards in their last contest. Furthermore, the Heat have played 5 of their last 8 games Under the Total when holding a 3-0 series lead — and they have played 4 of their last 6 playoff games with the possibility of closing out the series.

FINAL TAKE: These two teams have played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total when playing in Miami. 25* NBA Eastern Conference Total of the Year with Under the Total in the game between the Boston Celtics (545) and the Miami Heat (546). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 8:30 PM ET on Monday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Denver Nuggets (543) and the Los Angeles Lakers (544) in Game Four of the Western Conference Finals. THE SITUATION: Denver (64-32) has won five games in a row after their 119-108 upset loss as a 5.5-point underdog on Saturday. Los Angeles (52-46) has lost four of their last five games to dig themselves into an 0-3 hole in this series.

REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: The Lakers' obvious move tonight is for head coach Darvin Ham to reduce D’Angelo Russell’s playing time since he is scoring only 7 Points-Per-Game in this series while being a sieve on the defensive end of the court. This adjustment will help Los Angeles’ defensive efforts. As it is, the Lakers have played 6 of their last 8 games Under the Total after a double-digit loss at home. They have also played 17 of their last 24 games Under the Total at home when playing for no more than the sixth time in the last 14 days. Despite the Nuggets making 50% of their shots on Saturday, the Lakers still have the lowest Adjusted Defensive Efficiency of 101.6 in the playoffs when playing at home — and fewer minutes for Russell will only help those numbers. Denver has played 36 of their last 62 games Under the Total after a straight-up win — and they have played 13 of their last 21 games Under the Total after a win on the road. The Nuggets have also played 6 of their last 8 games Under the Total after a double-digit win. And in their last 5 games when playing with one day of rest, Denver has played 4 of these games Under the Total.

FINAL TAKE: Fatigue is becoming an issue for the Lakers with LeBron James and Anthony Davis playing tons of minutes and the bench shortening due to ineffective players like Russell. While I do not expect the effort for Los Angeles to drop off, they may try to slow the pace down simply to conserve energy for the fourth quarter after giving up a 13-0 run late in the game on Saturday. In the Lakers’ last 18 games against teams with a winning percentage of 60% or higher, the Under is 12-5-1. 25* NBA Western Conference Total of the Year is with Under the Total in the game between the Denver Nuggets (543) and the Los Angeles Lakers (544). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 8:32 PM ET on Sunday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Boston Celtics (541) minus the points versus the Miami Heat (542) in Game Three of the Eastern Conference Finals. THE SITUATION: Boston (65-32) has lost four of their last six games after a 111-105 upset loss at home as a 10-point favorite on Friday. Miami (55-42) has won nine of their last 11 games while taking a 2-0 lead in this series.

REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: The Celtics had a 12-point lead early in the fourth quarter in Game Two — but squandered that by allowing the Heat to outscore them by a 36-22 margin in the final 12 minutes to give that game away. Boston has dug themselves an 0-2 hole in this series — and when they have put themselves in similar predicaments, they usually respond with increased focus and intensity on the defensive end of the court. After losing Game Five at home to Philadelphia to trail by a 3-2 margin in that series, they held the 76ers to 87.0 Points-Per-Game in Games Six and Seven of that series to advance to the Eastern Conference Finals. Boston has played 4 of their last 6 games Under the Total after losing two games in a row at home. Miami has played 18 of their last 27 games Under the Total after a win by six points or less. The Heat have excelled on the defensive end of the court when playing at home in the postseason. They have held their five opponents to 39.2% shooting which has resulted in their guests scoring only 98.4 Points-Per-Game.

FINAL TAKE: Boston has played 14 of their last 18 road games Under the Total when listed in the +/- 3-point range. 8* NBA Sunday Late Show O/U Bailout with Under the Total in the game between the Boston Celtics (541) minus the points versus the Miami Heat (542). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 8:30 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Denver Nuggets (539) and the Los Angeles Lakers (540) in Game Three of the Western Conference Finals. THE SITUATION: Denver (63-32) has won four straight games after their 108-103 victory at home as a 5.5-point favorite on Thursday. Los Angeles (52-45) has lost three of their last four games while falling behind by an 0-2 margin in this series.

REASONS TO TAKE OVER THE TOTAL: Los Angeles only made 43.9% of their shots on Thursday which was the worst shooting effort in their last six games. They responded to that effort in Game Two of their series against Golden State by scoring 127 points in a 30-point route at home against the Warriors in Game Three of that series. Anthony Davis has been inconsistent with his scoring production — but he is likely due for a big effort tonight after only making 4 of his 15 shots from the field on Thursday. LeBron James missed all six of his shots from behind the arc in that game as well.

At 8:30 PM ET on Thursday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Los Angeles Lakers (535) and the Denver Nuggets (536) in Game Two of their Western Conference Finals series. THE SITUATION: Denver (62-32) outlasted the Lakers in a high-scoring opening game with their 132-126 victory as a 6.5-point favorite on Tuesday. Los Angeles (52-44) has now lost two of their last three games.

REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: After the high-scoring Game One which saw 258 combined points, the books have bumped up the total into the high-220s for Game Two after Tuesday’s game closed in the 223 range. The Nuggets did stun the Lakers by making 54.9% of their shots which was the best shooting effort in their last three games — and they have played 5 of their last 7 games Under the Total after scoring 130 points in their last game. The Under is also 11-3-1 in their last 15 games after scoring at least 125 points in their last contest. Denver made 53.7% of their shots en route to 125 points in their closeout Game Six against Phoenix — and they have played 7 of their last 10 games Under the Total after scoring 125 or more points in two straight games. Additionally, they have played 19 of their last 28 games Under the Total after making at least 50% of their shots in two straight games. Denver played their worst defensive game in their last three contests by allowing the Lakers to make 54.8% of their shots. The Nuggets stay at home for Game Two where they have played 8 of their last 11 games Under the Total. Los Angeles’ 54.8% field goal percentage was the best shooting effort in their last 18 contests. And by allowing Denver to nail 54.9% of their shots, the Lakers played their worst defensive game in their last 48 contests. Head coach Marvin Ham did make an adjustment in the second half by moving Anthony Davis off from defending Nikola Jokic with Rui Hamichura coming off the bench to guard the Joker. After giving up 72 points in the first half, they held the Nuggets to just 60 points in the second half including  a mere 24 points in the final quarter. They posted an Adjusted Defensive Efficiency number of 103.0 in the second half with Hachimura on the court. Los Angeles has played 6 of their last 8 games Under the Total after allowing 125 or more points in their last game. The Lakers got outrebounded by a 47 to 30 margin in Game One — and they have played all 5 of their games Under the Total this season after getting outrebounded by 15 or more boards in their previous game. And while the Lakers have covered the point spread in 6 of their last 8 games, they have then played 8 of their last 12 games Under the Total after scoring the point spread in six or seven of their last eight games. The Under is 11-4-1 in the Lakers’ last 16 games against teams winning 60% or more of their games.

FINAL TAKE: Denver came out with tons of adrenaline and pushed the pace that was at a blistering 102 possessions per 48-minute rate. Things slowed down in the second half with a pace of 93 possessions per 48 minutes. Look for tonight’s game to resemble that second-half pace with the Nuggets slowing down a bit while adjusting to Davis protecting the rim rather than defending Jokic. 10* NBA LA Lakers-Denver ESPN O/U Special with Under the Total in the game between the Los Angeles Lakers (535) and the Denver Nuggets (536). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 8:30 PM ET on Wednesday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Miami Heat (533) and the Boston Celtics (534) in Game One of their Eastern Conference Finals series. THE SITUATION: Miami (53-42) has won seven of their last nine games after beating the New York Knicks in six games after a 96-92 victory as a 6.5-point favorite last Friday. Boston (65-30) has won four of their last six games after winning their Game Seven showdown with the Philadelphia 76ers as a 6-point favorite on Sunday.

REASONS TO TAKE OVER THE TOTAL: The Heat comes off a low-scoring game where they only made 40.2% of their shots which was the lowest shooting mark in their last three games. And by holding the Knicks to 38.0% shooting, they have played their best defensive effort in their last three games. Miami has played 16 of their last 21 games Over the Total after a straight-up win. They have also played 4 of their last 5 games Over the Total after a point spread loss. They go back on the road where they have paled 8 of their last 9 games Over the Total — and they have played 4 straight Overs on the road against teams with a winning percentage over 60% at home. Boston made 47.1% of their shots on Sunday but that was tied for the best shooting effort in their last six contests. The Celtics did hold the 76ers to 36.1% and 37.3% field goal percentage in the final two games of that series — but they have then played 6 of their last 9 games Over the Total after not allowing more than 39% shooting in two straight games. Boston has played 6 of their last 7 games Over the Total after a double-digit victory. They have also played 5 of their last 6 games Over the Total after a straight-up win — and they have played 5 of their last 6 games Over the Total after a point spread victory.                                   

FINAL TAKE: These two teams have played 8 of their last 10 meetings in Boston Over the Total. 8* NBA Wednesday Daily Discounted O/U Deal with Over the Total in the game between the Miami Heat (533) and the Boston Celtics (534). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 3:30 PM ET on Sunday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Philadelphia 76ers (509) and the Boston Celtics (510) in Game Seven of their Eastern Conference Semifinals series. THE SITUATION: Philadelphia (61-31) saw their two-game winning streak in this series snapped with a 95-86 loss at home to the Celtics as a 2.5-point favorite on Thursday. Boston (64-30) forced this climactic seventh game of this series with the victory.

REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: Thoughtful handicapping of the over/under for this game needs to resolve why the total has dropped more than 10 points than the common 211.5-point number that Game Six closed at. The books typically drop the Total several points in Game Sevens — but the drop for this Game Seven is remarkable from a historical perspective. Something else is going on — especially when the public is hitting the Over for this game. The 76ers shot a season-low 36.1% from the field on Thursday. Was that an outlier effort — or was it a canary in the coal mine and harbinger as to what to expect moving forward in this series? I concluded it is the latter. The Celtics have had plenty of success against the Sixers in the Joel Embiid era. They had won 12 of their 17 games at home against Embiid going into Game Five including all six games in the postseason. But Philadelphia pulled off a 115-103 upset win with them making 50.6% of their shots. Frankly, the Celtics may have been simply overconfident in that game as their defensive effort was laughable in that game. They were embarrassingly bad at times defending the basic 76ers’ pick-and-roll play between James Harden and Joel Embiid. The tape offered head coach Joe Mazzula a great opportunity to seize an attentive audience to get back to fundamentals as to how they want to defend that play. In Game Six, Boston remained focused on defending Embiid after picks and dare Philly’s role players beat them. That defensive approach will continue in Game Seven given the stakes — and the onus will be on these players stepping on the road with the Celtics likely double-teaming Embiid and doing what they can to deny him the ball. It is telling that the 76ers have shot under 40% in their three losses in this series. More evidence that the low-scoring game in Game Six will carry over into Game Seven is that Philadelphia has played 6 of their last 9 games Under the Total after playing a game where no more than 190 combined points were scored. The 76ers have played 5 of their last 8 games Under the Total after losing to an Atlantic Division rival. Furthermore, Philadelphia has played 13 of their last 18 games Under the Total with the Total set in the 200s — and they have played 8 of their last 11 games on the road Under the Total with the Total set in the 200-209.5 point range. Boston has played 9 of their last 13 games Under the Total after beating an Atlantic Divisional rival in their last game — and they have played 6 of their last 7 games Under the Total after a win on the road against a divisional opponent. They have played 22 of their last 32 games Under the Total when playing with two days of rest. Additionally, they have played 5 of their last 8 games Under the Total after a game where no more than 205 combined points were scored — and they have played 12 of their last 19 games Under the Total after a game where no more than 190 combined points were scored. The Celtics have also played 15 of their last 22 games Under the Total in the Eastern Conference Semifinals.

FINAL TAKE: Boston has played 6 straight Unders in the Jayson Tatum and Jaylen Brown era when facing potential elimination in the playoffs. The Celtics have also played 7 of their last 10 Game Sevens Under the Total. Philadelphia has played 4 of their last 5 Game Sevens Under the Total — and they have played 5 of their last 8 playoff potential close-out games Under the Total including both close-out games this postseason. 25* NBA Atlantic Division Total of the Year with Under the Total in the game between the Philadelphia 76ers (509) and the Boston Celtics (510). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 10:00 PM ET on Friday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Golden State Warriors (503) and the Los Angeles Lakers (504) in Game Six of their Western Conference Semifinals series. THE SITUATION: Golden State (50-44) snapped a two-game losing streak with a 121-106 win at home as a 7.5-point favorite on Wednesday. Los Angeles (51-43) still holds a 3-2 series lead.

REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: The Warriors nailed 51.1% of their shots on Wednesday which was the best shooting effort in their last 11 games. But now Golden State may be without Andrew Wiggins who is questionable with fractured cartilage in his ribs. Wiggins may still play because his defense against LeBron James is so important — but his offensive efforts will probably be limited. The Warriors have played 36 of their last 53 games Under the Total on the road after a double-digit victory against a Pacific Division rival. Golden State has also played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total on the road. Additionally, Golden State has played 19 of their last 28 games in the playoffs Under the Total when trailing in the series — and they have played 10 of their last 14 playoff games Under the Total when facing potential elimination. Los Angeles played their worst game on defense in their last 14 contests by allowing the Warriors to make 51.1% of their shots. The Lakers have played 5 of their last 7 games Under the Total after a straight-up loss — and they have played 5 of their last 7 games Under the Total after a double-digit loss. They return home where they have played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total — and they have played 4 of their last 5 home games Under the Total against teams with a losing record on the road. Los Angeles has also played 5 of their last 8 games in the playoffs Under the Total when leading in the series.

FINAL TAKE: These two teams have played 4 straight Unders when battling at Crypto.com Arena in Los Angeles. 25* NBA Pacific Division Total of the Year with Under the Total in the game between the Golden State Warriors (503) and the Los Angeles Lakers (504). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 7:30 PM ET on Thursday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Boston Celtics (553) and the Philadelphia 76ers (532) in Game Six of their Eastern Conference Semifinals series. THE SITUATION: Boston (63-30) has lost two straight games in this series after their 115-103 upset loss as a 7.5-point favorite at home on Tuesday. Philadelphia (61-30) has won nine of their last 11 games to take a 3-2 lead in this series.

REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: The Celtics allowed the Sixers to make 50.6% of their shots which was tied for the worst defensive effort in their last eight games. Facing the prospects of elimination, they should play harder on defense tonight. Boston has played 10 of their last 13 games Under the Total after a double-digit loss at home — and they have played 7 of their last 11 games Under the Total after an upset loss to a divisional rival. Additionally, the Celtics have played 15 of their last 20 games Under the Total when listed in the +/- 3-point range. They have played 18 of their last 27 Game Sixes in a playoff series Under the Total — and they have played 5 straight playoff games Under the Total when facing elimination. Philadelphia tied their best shooting mark in their last nine games with that 50.6% field goal percentage. But they have not shot better than 46.2% in five of their last nine contests. The 76ers have played 10 of their last 14 games Under the Total in the playoffs when leading in the series.

FINAL TAKE: Boston has played 12 of their last 19 games Under the Total when playing with revenge from an upset loss as a home favorite. 8* NBA Thursday Night Discounted O/U Deal with Under the Total in the game between the Boston Celtics (553) and the Philadelphia 76ers (532). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 7:30 PM ET on Wednesday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Miami Heat (549) and the New York Knicks (550) in Game Five of their Eastern Conference Semifinals series. THE SITUATION: Miami (52-41) has won six of their last seven games after their 109-101 victory at home as a 4.5-point favorite on Monday.
New York (52-39) has lost the last two games and now looks to stave off elimination trailing 3-1 in this series.

REASONS TO TAKE OVER THE TOTAL: The Heat have played 14 of their last 17 games Over the Total after a straight-up win — and they have played 10 of their last 12 games over the Total after a point spread victory. Miami has also played a decisive 31 of their last 49 games Over the Total after winning six or seven of their last eight games. New York has struggled with shooting the basketball in this series — they are making only 43.6% of their shots and just 28.2% of their 3-pointers en route to a scoring average under 100 Points-Per-Game. The Knicks seemed to spark some life in their offensive attack in Game Four despite only scoring 20 points in the fourth quarter. They shot 48.7% from the field on Monday — but they still have room for improvement after making only 9 of their 28 shots (32%) of their 3-pointers. New York has played 28 of their last 46 games Over the Total when favored. The Over is also 11-4-1 in their last 16 games against teams with a winning record.

FINAL TAKE: Miami has played 5 straight Overs when leading in a playoff series — and they have played 9 of their last 13 games Over the Total when up 3-1 in a playoff series. 8* NBA Wednesday Daily Discounted O/ U Deal with Over the Total in the game between the Miami Heat (549) and the New York Knicks (550). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 10:00 PM ET on Tuesday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Phoenix Suns (547) and the Denver Nuggets (548) in Game Five of their Western Conference Semifinals series. THE SITUATION: Phoenix (51-40) evened this series at 2-2 with their 129-124 win at home as a 1.5-point favorite on Sunday. Denver (59-32) has lost the last two games in this series.

REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: The Suns head coach Monty Williams has his team playing at a faster pace with Chris Paul sidelined with his groin injury. Paul tends to slow things down running the point in the half-court offense. With Devin Booker running the show, Phoenix is racing up and down the court with Booker averaging 36.8 Points-Per-Game in this series. Williams is also giving more minutes to T.J. Warren and Terrence Ross who are scorers but liabilities on defense. The result on Sunday was a scoring fest with 253 combined points scored. But despite these tactical adjustments, the books have remained steady with the Total remaining in the 227-228 range while letting the market make big decisions on where this series will go. Well, the market loves the Over tonight — but I think Game Five is the time to embrace our contrarian spirits and play the Under. Booker is making 62% of his shots including 51% of his shots from behind the arc. The Regression Gods will be making an appearance with him sooner or later since those numbers are unsustainable. A problem the Suns have is their lack of depth — made worse by the Paul injury — and the lack of help that Booker and Kevin Durant are getting from their healthy teammates. Deandre Ayton has scored only 12 combined points in the last two games — and his playing time has dropped to just 26 minutes per game. And while Booker and Durant have been fantastic, this is their third game in five days with them averaging about 42 minutes per game. To compound matters, they are playing in the high altitude in Denver. Their 56.8% shooting on Sunday was the best field goal percentage they have posted in their last seven games. They averaged 125 points in the two games in Phoenix — but they averaged a mere 97 PPG in the first two games in this series in Denver. The Suns allowed the Nuggets to make 56.2% of their shots on Sunday which was the worst defensive effort in their last 38 contests. Phoenix should play better on defense — and Williams might be compelled to rely on players like Torrey Craig and Josh Okogie instead of Warren, Ross, or Landry Shamet (who nailed five shots from behind the arc in Game Four) thinking his team can’t outrun and outgun Denver in their own building. The Suns have played 8 of their last 12 games Under the Total after winning two games in a row at home. They have also played 16 of their last 27 games Under the Total as an underdog getting 3.5 to 9.5 points. Denver had their best shooting game in their last six contests by making 56.2% of their shots — but they have played 11 of their last 16 games Under the Total after shooting 55% or better in their last game. Head coach Michael Malone needs his group to tighten things up on defense after the Suns made 56.8% of their shots. That performance was the Nuggets’ worst defensive game in their last 76 contests in terms of opponent’s field goal percentage. They have played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total after allowing their last opponent to make 55% or more of their shots — and they have also played a decisive 44 of their last 65 games at home Under the Total after allowing their last opponent to shoot 55% or better from the field. While the Nuggets ranked 22nd in the league in Adjusted Defensive Efficiency on the road, back at home, they rank sixth in Adjusted Defensive Efficiency while allowing -3.4 fewer points per 100 possessions than they do on the road. Denver has played 7 of their last 10 home games Under the Total — and they have played 14 of their last 21 home games Under the Total when favored by up to six points. The Nuggets have only covered the point spread twice in their last six games — and they have then played 11 of their last 17 games Under the Total after failing to cover the point spread in four or five of their last six games. And while the last two games in this series have finished Over the Total, Denver has paled 12 of their last 17 games Under the Total after playing two straight Overs.

FINAL TAKE: The Nuggets have played 14 of their last 22 games Under the Total when playing with revenge. 25* NBA Playoff Semifinals Total of the Year with Under the Total in the game between the Phoenix Suns (547) and the Denver Nuggets (548). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 10:00 PM ET on Monday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Golden State Warriors (543) and the Los Angeles Lakers (544) in Game Four of their Western Conference Semifinals series. THE SITUATION: Golden State (49-43) has lost three of their last five games after their 127-97 loss on the road to the Lakers as a 3.5-point underdog on Saturday. Los Angeles (50-42) has won five of their last seven games to take a 2-1 lead in this series.

REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: The Warriors played their worst defensive game in their last 20 contests by allowing the Lakers to make 52.5% of their shots. Golden State has played 5 of their last 7 games Under the Total after losing their last game — and they have played 7 of their last 9 games Under the Total after a loss on the road to a Pacific Division rival. They have also played 7 of their last 10 games Under the Total after a point spread loss. The Lakers had their best shooting effort in this series by making 52.5% of their shots — and they were even more impressive behind the arc by nailing 15 of their 31 shots (48%) from 3-point land. But Los Angeles only makes 34.3% of their shots from behind the arc so they are not likely to replicate that effort. The Lakers have played 7 of their last 10 home games Under the Total after a win against a divisional rival in their last game. They stay at home where they have played 13 of their last 19 games Under the Total — and they have played 10 of their last 13 home games Under the Total against teams with a winning percentage of 40% or less on the road. The Lakers have also played 16 of their last 21 home games Under the Total when playing no more than their sixth game in 14 days.

FINAL TAKE: Los Angeles owned a 37-17 advantage in free throw attempts in Game Three. They have played 28 of their last 41 games at home Under the Total after attempting 20 or more free throws than their opponent in their last game. Golden State has played 7 of their last 9 games Under the Total after a game where their opponent took 20 or more shots from the charity stripe. 10* NBA Monday Late Show O/U Bailout with Under the Total in the game between the Golden State Warriors (543) and the Los Angeles Lakers (544). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 7:30 PM ET on Monday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the New York Knicks (541) and the Miami Heat (542) in Game Four of their Eastern Conference Semifinals series. THE SITUATION: New York (52-38) has lost two of their last three games after their 105-86 loss on the road to the Heat as a 4-point underdog on Saturday. Miami (51-41) has won five of their last six games while taking a 2-1 lead in this best-of-seven series.

REASONS TO TAKE OVER THE TOTAL: The Knicks could not hit the side of a barn on Saturday as they only made 34.1% of their shots which was the worst shooting effort in their last 79 games. Admittedly, New York is not an offensive juggernaut. But after missing 32 of their 42 shots from behind the arc, if the Knicks can simply match their 34.8% season clip from 3-point range, this game should finish Over the Total. That was the second-worst scoring result all season for New York as well. After scoring only 85 points against Brooklyn on November 9th, they responded by scoring 121, 135, and 118 points in their next three games. The Knicks did continue to play outstanding defense as they held the Heat to just 38.9% shooting — and that was the best defensive effort in their last five games. Realistically, the Knicks cannot expect to do much better than that on the defensive end of the court — and Miami still scored 105 points. New York has not covered the point spread in any of the three games in this series — and they have played 15 of their last 24 games Over the Total after failing to cover the point spread in three straight games. The Over is also 10-4-1 in their last 15 games against teams with a winning record. Miami’s 38.9% field goal percentage was the worst shooting performance in their last 43 games. They only made 7 of their 32 shots (21.9%) from behind the arc. After a subpar regular season in their 3-point shooting, the Heat regained their shooting touch from last season as they are nailing 39.2% of their 3-pointers in the playoffs, the second-best mark of all teams in the postseason. Jimmy Butler returned to the court and scored 26 points — so while he is listed as questionable again tonight, that seems to be merely a formality. By holding New York to 34.1% shooting, Miami enjoyed their best defensive game in terms of their opponent’s field goal percentage all season. But the Heat are allowing +3.7 more points per possession in this series when Butler is on the court — so his presence helps the Over. Miami has played 12 of their last 14 games Over the Total after a double-digit win. Additionally, they have played 13 of their last 16 games Over the Total after a straight-up win — and they have played 9 of their last 11 games Over the Total after a point-spread victory. Furthermore, the Heat have played 9 of their last 10 games at home Over the Total — and they have played 5 of their last 6 games Over the Total when playing at home against teams with a winning record on the road.

FINAL TAKE: These two teams have played 4 of their last 5 games against each other in Miami Over the Total despite Game Three finishing Under the Total. 25* NBA Eastern Conference Semifinals Total of the Year with Over the Total in the game between the New York Knicks (541) and the Miami Heat (542). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 8:00 PM ET on Sunday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Denver Nuggets (539) and the Phoenix Suns (540) in Game Four of their Western Conference Semifinals series. THE SITUATION: Denver (59-31) was on a three-game winning streak before their 121-114 loss on the road to the Suns as a 4-point favorite on Friday. Phoenix (50-40) won their first game in this series while earning their fifth victory in their last seven games.

REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: Despite Friday’s game going Over the Total, the Under is still 9-4-2 in the Nuggets’ last 15 games in the Western Conference Semifinals. Denver is not as efficient with their shooting when playing away from home. They posted an effective field goal percentage (eFG) of 50% on the road in Game Three which was far below their 55% eFG in the playoffs this postseason. And while the Suns are making 47.0% of their shots this season, the Nuggets have played 37 of their last 64 games Under the Total against teams making 46% or more of their shots. Getting Game Three four days after Game Two was a big break for Kevin Durant and Devin Booker who have been playing more than  40 minutes per game in the postseason. They both had monster games on Friday for the Suns. Booker scored 47 points. Durant added 39 points. But Booker played 41:37 minutes and Durant was on the floor for 43:31 minutes. Now this duo only has a day of rest — and Paul remains out with his groin injury. The problem Phoenix has is that they lack a Plan B offensive strategy if Booker and Durant are not on fire. Their supporting cast made only 16 of 39 shots (41%) from the field and nailed only 3 of 15 (20%) shots from behind the arc. The Suns have played 11 of their last 18 games at home when favored by up to six points. They have also played 5 of their last seven Game Fours in a playoff series Under the Total.

FINAL TAKE: Denver has played 14 of their last 21 games Under the Total when motivated to avenge a same-season loss. 8* NBA Denver-Phoenix TNT O/U Special with Under the Total in the game between the Denver Nuggets (539) and the Phoenix Suns (540). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 10:00 PM ET on Tuesday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Los Angeles Lakers (519) and the Golden State Warriors (520) in Game One of their Western Conference Semifinals series. THE SITUATION: Los Angeles (48-41) has won three of their last four games after their 128-125 win against Memphis in Game Six of their opening-round series on Friday. Golden State (48-41) has won four of their last five games after their 120-100 upset win at Sacramento in the seventh game of that series on Sunday.

REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: The Lakers nailed 53.8% of their shots on Friday which was the best shooting effort in their last 11 contests — so they are likely to see some regression. And while they played their best defensive game of the season by holding the Grizzlies to 30.2% shooting, their commitment to defense should continue in the opening game of this series. Los Angeles lead the league in Adjusted Defensive Efficiency since the trade deadline when they reshuffled their team. The Lakers have played 4 of their last 6 games Under the Total after a win by 20 or more points at home — and they have played 3 of their last 4 games Under the Total after a win by 30 or more points. They have played 14 of their last 23 games Under the Total after not allowing more than 90 points in their last game. Additionally, Los Angeles has played 6 of their last 8 games Under the Total when playing with three or more days of rest — and they have played 34 of their last 53 games Under the Total when playing for no more than the sixth time in the last 14 days. Golden State has played 22 of their last 30 games at home Under the Total after not allowing more than 100 points in their last game. The Warriors return home where the Under is 10-4-1 in their last 15 games — and the Under is 6-2-1 in their last 9 home games against teams with a losing record on the road.

FINAL TAKE: Golden State has also played 5 of their last 7 games Under the Total against teams with a winning record — and the Lakers have played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total in the Western Conference Semifinals. 10* NBA Tuesday Late Show O/U Bailout with Under the Total in the game between the Los Angeles Lakers (519) and the Golden State Warriors (520). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 3:30 PM ET on Sunday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Golden State Warriors (505) and the Sacramento Kings (506) in Game Seven of their Western Conference Quarterfinals series. THE SITUATION: Golden State (47-41) had won three games in a row in this series before their 118-89 upset loss to the Kings as a 6.5-point underdog on Friday. Sacramento (51-37) forced a climactic seventh game in this best-of-seven series with the victory.

REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: The Kings played one of their best defensive games of the season by holding the Warriors under 100 points. They limited Golden State to just 37.2% shooting which was a season-low for the reigning NBA champions. Head coach Mike Brown will implore his young team to maintain that type of effort on the defensive end of the court in this Game Seven. But Sacramento only made 40.4% of their shots on Friday in that elimination game — and I do not expect a significant improvement on that mark in this Game Seven with the pressure on this team that lacks deep playoff experience. As it is, the Kings have played 5 of their last 7 games Under the Total after a straight-up win — and they have played 5 of their last 8 games Under the Total after a win on the road. They have also played 4 of their last 6 games Under the Total after pulling off an upset win on the road. They have played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total after a point spread win. Sacramento has also played 5 straight Unders when playing with one day of rest. The Warriors have played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total after a straight-up loss — and they have played 6 of their last 8 games Under the Total after a point spread loss. They have also played 6 of their last 8 games Under the Total when playing with one day of rest. And in their last 11 games after losing to a Pacific Division rival, they have played their next 7 games Under the Total.

FINAL TAKE: Golden State has played 12 of their last 19 games Under the Total when attempting to avenge an upset loss at home by double-digits. The Under is also 13-6-1 in the last 20 meetings between these two teams in Sacramento. 25* NBA 1st Round Playoff Total of the Year is with Under the Total in the game between the Golden State Warriors (505) and the Sacramento Kings (506). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 1:00 PM ET on Sunday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Miami Heat (501) and the New York Knicks (502) in Game One of their Eastern Conference Semifinals series. THE SITUATION: Miami (49-40) has pulled off three straight upset victories to defeat the Bucks in five games after their 128-126 victory as a 12-point underdog on Wednesday. New York (51-36) eliminated the Cavaliers in five games after upsetting them in Cleveland as a 6-point underdog last Wednesday.

REASONS TO TAKE OVER THE TOTAL: The Heat upset the Bucks in Game Five despite only making 45.5% of their shots from the field which was the worst shooting effort in their last five games. Miami has played 6 of their last 7 games Over the Total after covering the point spread in three straight games — and they have played 4 of their last 5 games Over the Total after winning six or seven of their last eight games. The Heat have also played 4 straight Overs when playing with three or more days of rest. They have also played 4 straight Overs after scoring 125 or more points in their last game. They go on the road where they have played 6 straight Overs. New York shot 43.5% from the field on Wednesday to close out that series despite it being the worst shooting effort in their last three contests. The Knicks have played 13 of their last 21 games Over the Total after winning three or more games in a row. They return home where they have played 20 of their last 31 home games Over the Total when favored. The Over is also 9-2-1 in their last 12 games against teams with a winning record.

FINAL TAKE: New York won three of the four games between these teams in the regular season after a 101-92 victory at home as a 5-point favorite on March 29th. Miami has played 34 of their last 56 games Over the Total when avenging a same-season loss. These two teams have played 5 of their last 7 games against each other Over the Total. 10* NBA Sunday Afternoon Discounted O/U Deal with Over the Total in the game between the Miami Heat (501) and the New York Knicks (502). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 8:30 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Phoenix Suns (553) and the Denver Nuggets (554) in Game One of their Western Conference Semifinals series. THE SITUATION: Phoenix (57-30) has won four games in a row after their 136-130 win against the Los Angeles Clippers that ended that series in five games. Denver (57-30) has won five of their last six games after their 112-109 victory against Minnesota as a 10-point favorite on Tuesday that completed that series in five games.

REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: The Nuggets allowed the Timberwolves to make 50.6% of their shots which was tied for the worst defensive effort in their last seven games. Denver should tighten things up tonight on the defensive end of the court. They have played 6 of their last 7 games Under the Total after a narrow win by three points or less — and they have played 33 of their last 55 games Under the Total after a straight-up win. The Nuggets have also played 5 of their last 7 games Under the Total after a point spread loss. And they have played 22 of their last 34 games Under the Total after winning four of their last five games. Phoenix made 54.3% of their shots on Tuesday which was the best shooting effort in their last three games. The Suns certainly took advantage of a Clippers team that was without their best two defenders, Kawhi Leonard and Paul George, for most of that series. Phoenix has played 13 of their last 19 games Under the Total after playing a game where at least 265 combined points were scored.

FINAL TAKE: Denver hosts the opening two games of this series have played 6 of their last 9 games at home Under the Total. 8* NBA Phoenix-Denver TNT O/U Special with Under the Total in the game between the Phoenix Suns (553) and the Denver Nuggets (554). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 8:00 PM ET on Friday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Sacramento Kings (551) and the Golden State Warriors (552) in Game Six of their Western Conference Quarterfinals series. THE SITUATION: Sacramento (50-37) has lost three games in a row in this series after their 123-116 loss at home to the Warriors on Wednesday. Golden State (47-40) has won six of their last eight games with the opportunity to close out this series tonight with their 3-2 lead.

REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: Sacramento allowed the Warriors to nail 52.1% of their shots which was the worst defensive effort in their last six games. The Kings should work harder on defense in this potential elimination game tonight. They have played 13 of their last 17 road games Under the Total after a point spread loss. They hit the road where they have played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total. They have also played 15 of their last 21 road games Under the Total against teams with a winning percentage of 60% or higher at home. Golden State had their best shooting effort from the floor with their 52.1% mark in their last five games on Wednesday. The Warriors return home where the Under is 9-4-1 in their last 14 games.

FINAL TAKE: Golden State has played 12 of their last 16 home games Under the Total again teams with a winning record — and Sacramento has played 14 of their last 18 road games Under the Total against teams with a winning record. 8* NBA Friday Daily Discounted Deal with Under the Total in the game between the Sacramento Kings (551) and the Golden State Warriors (552). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 8:30 PM ET on Thursday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Boston Celtics (537) and the Atlanta Hawks (538) in Game Six of their Eastern Conference Quarterfinals series. THE SITUATION: Boston (60-27) has lost for the second time in the last three games in this series with their 119-117 upset loss as a 13-point underdog at home to the Hawks on Tuesday. Atlanta (44-44) still trails in this series by a 3-2 margin as they hope to stave off elimination tonight.

REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: Boston was cruising with a 111-99 lead with just 5:19 minutes left in the fourth quarter before complacency might have set in — and Atlanta’s Trae Young got scorching hot with his shooting to steal the game away for the Hawks. The Celtics need to tighten things up on the defensive end of the court after allowing Atlanta to average 115.2 Points-Per-Game in this series. Boston allows 111.6 PPG this season — and they rank second in the NBA in the regular season in defending inside the arc. The Hawks took the second most shots from midrange in the regular season while taking the fewest shots from behind the arc per possession. Their 35.3% shooting percentage from 3-point range, ranked 24th in the league. But head coach Quin Snyder has Atlanta shooting many more 3s in this series — and they nailed 19 of their 41 shots (46%) from behind the arc on Tuesday. The Hawks are due for regression as they only make 35.0% of their shots from behind the arc when playing at home. Speaking of regression, while the last three games have flown Over the Total with at least 236 combined points scored, Boston has played 19 of their last 29 games Under the Total after playin three or more Overs in a row. They have also played 4 of their last 6 games Under the Total after an upset loss as a double-digit favorite. Atlanta has played 6 of their last 9 games Under the Total after a narrow win by three points or less. They have also played 19 of their last 29 games in the playoffs Under the Total. The Hawks pulled out Game Five despite Dejounte Murray being suspended for that game after bumping a referee — but there is a legitimate question regarding whether or not the Hawks are a better team without Murray. The offense seems to flow better when Young is the point guard and primary scorer. When Young and Murray are playing together on the court, Atlanta is getting outscored by -7.7 points per 100 possessions in this series. But when Young is on the court without Murray in this series, the Hawks are outscoring the Celtics by +2.0 points per 100 possessions.

FINAL TAKE: Boston has played 7 of their last 11 games Under the Total when avenging a loss at home. 8* NBA Thursday Daily Discounted Deal with Under the Total in the game between the Boston Celtics (537) and the Atlanta Hawks (538) Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 10:00 PM ET on Wednesday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Golden State Warriors (533) and the Sacramento Kings (534) in Game Five of their Western Conference Quarterfinals Series. THE SITUATION: Golden State (46-40) evened this series at 2-2 with their 126-125 win at home against the Grizzlies as a 7-point favorite on Sunday. Memphis (50-36) has lost two in a row and five of their last seven games.

REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: The Warriors nailed 50.0% of their shots on Sunday which was the best shooting mark in their last four games. But they also allowed the Grizzlies to nail 47.1% of their shots which was the worst defensive effort in their last six contests. Golden State has played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total after scoring 125 or more points in their last game. They have also played 6 of their last 7 games Under the Total after a point-spread loss. Additionally, the Warriors have played 41 of their last 63 road games Under the Total after a narrow win by three points or less. And in their last 24 games against teams with a winning record, the Under is 17-6-1. Sacramento enjoyed their best shooting mark with that 47.1% clip in their last seven contests. But they played their worst defensive game in their last four games with the Warriors shooting 50.0% from the field. The Kings have played 40 of their last 64 games Under the Total after a loss on the road. They have also played 4 straight Unders after a point spread loss.

FINAL TAKE: The Under is 4-1-1 in the last 6 meetings between these two teams. 8* NBA Wednesday Late Show O/U Bailout with Under the Total in the game between the Golden State Warriors (533) and the Sacramento Kings (534). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 10:00 PM ET on Tuesday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Los Angeles Clippers (523) and the Phoenix Suns (524) in Game Five of their Western Conference Quarterfinals series. THE SITUATION: Los Angeles (45-41) will attempt to stave off elimination tonight after losing Game Four of this series in a 112-100 loss at home to the Suns on Saturday. Phoenix (48-38) has won the last three games in this series to take a 3-1 lead.

REASONS TO TAKE OVER THE TOTAL: The Clippers only made 43.5% of their shots in Game Four which was the worst shooting mark in their last eight games. Los Angeles has played 5 of their last 6 games Over the Total after a straight-up loss — and the Over is 6-0-1 in their last 7 games after a point spread loss. They have also played 5 straight Overs after a loss by 10 or more points. They go back on the road where they have played 27 of their last 41 games Over the Total — and the Over is 25-9-2 in their last 36 road games against teams with a winning record at home. Phoenix played their best defensive game in their last seven contests by holding the Clippers to 43.5% shooting. The Sunday have played 6 of their last 8 games Over the Total after a double-digit victory. They return home where the Over is 3-0-1 in their last 4 games — and the Over is 17-8-1 in their last 26 home games against teams with a winning record on the road.

FINAL TAKE: The Clippers have played 12 of their last 15 games Over the Total on the road when avenging a loss to their opponent. The Over is 4-1-1 in the last 6 meetings between these two teams —  and the Over is 3-0-1 in the last 4 meetings between these teams when they are playing in Phoenix. 8* NBA Tuesday Late Show O/U Bailout with Over the Total in the game between the Los Angeles Clippers (523) and the Phoenix Suns (524). Best of luck of run — Frank.

At 9:30 PM ET on Sunday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Denver Nuggets (507) and the Minnesota Timberwolves (508) in Game Four of their Western Conference Quarterfinals series. THE SITUATION: Denver (56-29) has won four games in a row after their 120-111 victory on the road against the Timberwolves as a 2-point favorite on Friday. Minnesota (43-44) has lost four of their last five games as they look to stave off elimination tonight.

REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: The Nuggets made 54.1% of their shots in Game Two of this series on Wednesday which was the best shooting effort in their last 15 games. Rather than receiving a visit from the Regression Gods, Denver backed that up by making 57.1% of their shots on Friday which was the best shooting performance in their last 22 contests. The Nuggets are a great offensive team — but they are overachieving in this series. Michael Porter, Jr. is making 50% of his shots from 3-point range which is simply not sustainable. Denver has played 18 of their last 27 games Under the Total after making 50% or more of their shots in two or more games in a row. The Achilles’ heel of this team is the play of their defense — but head coach Mike Malone has this group playing better on that end of the court as of late. While Denver ranked 21st in the regular season in Adjusted Defensive Efficiency, they improved to 16th in that metric after the All-Star Break. While that is still the middle of the road, the market has been slow to adjust as the team trends I will cite indicates. Denver has played 8 of their last 10 games Under the Total after a straight-up win — and they have played 7 of their last 10 games Under the Total after a point spread win. They have also played 21 of their last 32 games Under the Total after winning four or five of their last six games. Minnesota played their worst game on defense in 28 contests by allowing the Nuggets to make 54.1% of their shots in Game Two. The T-Wolves have been an improved defensive club that ranked 16th in Adjusted Defensive Efficiency during the regular season but was ranked eighth in that metric after the All-Star Break. They clamped down on Oklahoma City in the final Play-In Tournament game to just 95 points — and they limited the Nuggets to just 109 points in Game One which was almost seven points before their season average. Minnesota has played 16 of their last 20 games at home Under the Total after playing a game that finished Over the Total. The T-Wolves stay at home where the Under has an 11-5-1 record in their last 17 games — and they have played 7 of their last 11 home games Under the Total against teams with a losing record on the road. Minnesota has played 11 of their last 18 home games Under the Total with the Total set in the 220s — and they have played 11 of their last 16 home games Under the Total as an underdog.

FINAL TAKE: Minnesota has played 4 of their last 6 games Under the Total against teams winning 60% or more of their games — and they have played 5 of their last 8 games Under the Total in the Western Conference Quarterfinals. 10* NBA Sunday Late Show O/U Bailout with Under the Total in the game between the Denver Nuggets (507) and the Minnesota Timberwolves (508). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 9:30 PM ET on Friday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Denver Nuggets (559) and the Minnesota Timberwolves (560) in Game Three of their Western Conference Quarterfinals series. THE SITUATION: Denver (55-29) has won three games in a row after their 122-113 victory at home against the Timberwolves as an 8.5-point favorite in Game Two on Wednesday. Minnesota (43-43) has lost three of their last four games after that loss.

REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: The Nuggets made 54.1% of their shots on Wednesday which was the best shooting effort in their last 15 games. And while they allowed the Timberwolves to make 50.6% of their shots, that was the worst defensive effort in their last four games. The Achilles’ heel of this team is the play of their defense — but head coach Mike Malone has this group playing better on that end of the court as of late. While Denver ranked 21st in the regular season in Adjusted Defensive Efficiency, they improved to 16th in that metric after the All-Star Break. While that is still the middle of the road, the market has been slow to adjust as the team trends I will cite indicates. The Nuggets held Minnesota to no more than 27 points in three of the four quarters in Game Two after limiting them to 80 points in Game One — and that was on the heels of only giving up 95 points to the up-tempo Sacramento team (albeit with their backups playing) in the final game of the regular season. Denver has played 8 of their last 9 games Under the Total after a straight-up win — and they have played 7 of their last 9 games Under the Total after a point spread win. And while they have covered the point spread in four of their last five games, they have then played 10 of their last 15 games Under the Total after covering the point spread in four of their last five games. The Nuggets took a 64-49 lead at halftime on Wednesday — and they have played 11 of their last 15 games Under the Total after holding a halftime lead of 15 or more points. Denver goes back on the road where they have played 6 of their last 8 games Under the Total on the road. Minnesota played their worst game on defense in 13 contests by allowing the Nuggets to make 54.1% of their shots in Game Two. The T-Wolves have been an improved defensive club that ranked 16th in Adjusted Defensive Efficiency during the regular season but was ranked eighth in that metric after the All-Star Break. They clamped down on Oklahoma City in the final Play-In Tournament game to just 95 points — and they limited the Nuggets to just 109 points in Game One which was almost seven points before their season average. The bigger problem for this team is that there can experience scoring lulls on the other end of the court. They exploded for 40 points in the third quarter on Wednesday but only scored 73 points for the rest of the game. They have scored 107 or fewer points in four of their last eight games including those 80 points in Game One. Aaron Gordon is doing an outstanding job in slowing down Karl-Anthony Towns. Towns has scored only 21 combined points in this series on 8 of 27 shooting. He has committed nine turnovers and gotten to the free throws line only four times. Game Two flew Over the 222.5-point total — but Minnesota has played 16 of their last 19 home games Uner the Total after playing an Over in their last game. The T-Wolves return home where the Under has an 11-4-1 record in their last 16 games — and they have played 7 of their last 10 home games Under the Total against teams with a losing record on the road. Minnesota has played 11 of their last 17 home games Under the Total with the Total set in the 220s — and they have played 11 of their last 16 home games Under the Total as an underdog. Additionally, the T-Wolves have played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total against teams winning 60% or more of their games — and they have played 5 of their last 7 games Under the Total in the Western Conference Quarterfinals.

FINAL TAKE: Minnesota has played 18 of their last 26 games Under the Total when listed in the +/- 3-point range. 25* NBA Northwest Division Total of the Year with Under the Total in the game between the Denver Nuggets (559) and the Minnesota Timberwolves (560). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 7:30 PM ET on Thursday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Philadelphia 76ers (547) and the Brooklyn Nets (548) in Game Three of their Eastern Conference Quarterfinals series. THE SITUATION: Philadelphia (56-28) has won four games in a row with their 96-84 win at home against the Nets as a 10-point favorite on Monday. Brooklyn (45-39) has lost three games in a row as they trailing this series by a 0-2 margin.

REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: The Nets only shot 37.5% from the field which was the worst shooting effort in their last 25 games. While I often consider these outlier shooting performances to be due for regression, in this instance it may the canary in the coal mine regarding the problems Brooklyn will have on that end of the court. Since the All-Star Break, the Nets rank 24th in Adjusted Offensive Efficiency with the team struggling to generate consistent points after trading away Kevin Durant and Kyrie Irving. The Nets return home where they have played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total — and they have played 10 of their last 14 home games Under the Total against teams with a winning record on the road. Philadelphia only made 45.0% of their shots in Game Two with the Nets playing hard on defense — that was the Sixers’ worst shooting effort in their last ten games. The 76ers have played 13 of their last 16 road games Under the Total after beating an Atlantic Division rival in their previous game. They have also played 5 of their last 7 games Under the Total in the Eastern Conference Quarterfinals.

FINAL TAKE: Brooklyn has played 11 of their last 13 home games Under the Total when avenging a double-digit loss to their opponent. 8* NBA Thursday Daily Discounted O/U Deal with Under the Total in the game between the Philadelphia 76ers (547) and the Brooklyn Nets (548). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 10:00 PM ET on Tuesday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Los Angeles Clippers (535) and the Phoenix Suns (536) in Game Two of their Western Conference Quarterfinals series. THE SITUATION: Los Angeles (45-38) won for the fourth straight time on Sunday with their 115-110 upset win on the road against the Suns as a 7.5-point underdog. Phoenix (45-38) has lost three games in a row.

REASONS TO TAKE OVER THE TOTAL: The Clippers pulled off the upset despite making only 44.1% of their shots which was the lowest field goal percentage in their last five games. The Over is 4-1-1 in their last 6 games after a straight-up win — and they have played 14 of their last 19 games Over the Total after a point spread win. They stay on the road where the Over is 24-9-1 in their last 34 games on the road — and the Over is 6-2-1 in their last 9 road games against teams with a winning percentage of 60% or higher on the road. The Clippers have also played 5 of their last 7 road games Over the Total as an underdog getting 6.5 to 12 points. By holding Los Angeles to 44.1% shooting, the Suns played their best defensive game in their last four contests. The Over is 5-0-1 in Phoenix’s last 6 games after a straight-up loss. The Over is also 9-1-1 in their last 11 games after a point spread loss.

FINAL TAKE: Phoenix has played 4 of their last 5 games Over the Total in the Western Conference Quarterfinals. 10* NBA Tuesday Late Show O/U Bailout with Over the Total in the game between the Los Angeles Clippers (535) and the Phoenix Suns (536). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 10:30 PM ET on Sunday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Minnesota Timberwolves (513) and the Denver Nuggets (514) in Game One of their Western Conference Quarterfinals series. THE SITUATION: Minnesota (43-41) has won four of their last five games after their 120-95 victory against Oklahoma City as a 5.5-point favorite on Friday in the Play-In Tournament. Denver (53-29) snapped a three-game losing streak with a 109-95 upset win against Sacramento as a 5.5-point underdog last Sunday to conclude their regular season.

REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: The Timberwolves have played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total after a straight-up win — and they have played 16 of their last 22 games Under the Total after a win on their home court. They have also played 7 of their last 9 games Under the Total after a win by 10 or more points. They go back on the road where they have played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total. And in their last 5 games in the Western Conference Quarterfinals, Minnesota has played 4 of these games Under the Total. Denver has played 7 straight games Under the Total after a straight-up win — and they have played 6 of their last 7 games Under the Total after a point spread victory. They have also played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total after a double-digit victory. They host this game where they have played 5 of their last 6 home games Under the Total against teams with a long record on the road.

FINAL TAKE: These two teams split their four regular season games with the Nuggets winning the most recent meeting in a 146-112 victory on February 7th. Minnesota has played 14 of their last 19 games Under the Total when avenging a loss on the road of 30 or more points. 8* NBA Sunday Late Show O/U Bailout with Under the Total in the game between the Minnesota Timberwolves (513) and the Denver Nuggets (514). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 9:30 PM ET on Wednesday, we will be playing the Under the Total in the game between the Oklahoma City Thunder (567) and the New Orleans Pelicans (568) in the Play-In Tournament. THE SITUATION: Oklahoma City (40-42) snapped a three-game losing streak with a 115-100 victory against Memphis as a 2.5-point favorite on Sunday. New Orleans (42-40) ended the regular season with a 113-108 loss at Minnesota as a 3-point underdog on Sunday. The winner of this game travels to Minnesota to play for the eighth seed in the Western Conference playoffs — and the loser has their season end tonight.

REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: New Orleans boasts the top Adjusted Defensive Efficiency in the league in their last 12 games. Overall, the Pelicans rank sixth in the NBA in Adjusted Defensive Efficiency with head coach Willie Green focusing on that end of the court with his group once again learning to live life without a healthy Zion Williamson who has missed much of the season again due to injuries. New Orleans has played 7 of their last 9 games Under the Total after a straight-up loss — and they have played 7 of their last 9 games Under the Total after a point spread loss. They earned the right to host this game having played 8 of their last 9 home games Under the Total against teams not winning more than 40% of their games on the road. We should not read too much into the Thunder’s victory on Sunday against a Grizzlies team locked into the second seed in the Western Conference playoffs — but they did make 50% of their shots which was the best shooting in their last six games. Oklahoma City has a 16-25 record on the road while scoring -3.4 fewer Points-Per-Game and making 45.0% of their shots as opposed to their 46.6% shooting percentage for the season. They have played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total on the road.

FINAL TAKE: New Orleans won three of the four meetings between these two teams but lost the last encounter between these squads in a 110-96 upset loss as a 2-point home favorite on March 11th. The Pelicans have played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total when avenging a loss at home by ten or more points. 8* NBA  Wednesday Late Show O/U Bailout with Under the Total in the game between the Oklahoma City Thunder (567) and the New Orleans Pelicans (568). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 7:00 PM ET on Wednesday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Chicago Bulls (565) and the Toronto Raptors (566) in the Play-In Tournament. THE SITUATION: Chicago (40-42) enters the NBA postseason coming off a 103-81 win against Detroit as an 8-point favorite on Sunday. Toronto (41-41) snapped a two-game losing streak with a 121-105 win against Milwaukee as a 3.5-point favorite on Sunday. The winner of this game travels to Miami to play the Heat to claim the eighth seed in the Eastern Conference playoffs on Friday — and the loser ends their season tonight.

REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: Chicago has been a much better team since acquiring Patrick Beverley at the trade deadline. The Bulls rank second in the NBA in Adjusted Defensive Efficiency since adding the gritty perimeter defender. The Bulls have played 6 of their last 9 games Under the Total after a win at home by 20 or more points — and they have played 13 of their last 21 games Under the Total when playing for the second time in five days. Additionally, Chicago has also played 38 of their last 59 games Under the Total with the number in the 210 to the 219.5-point range. The Under is also 34-16-1 in the Bulls’ last 51 road games against teams winning 60% or more of their games at home. Toronto made 50.5% of their shots in their win against the Bucks on Sunday — but that was the best shooting effort in their last four games. The Raptors have played 5 of their last 6 games Under the Total after a straight-up win — and they have played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total after a point-spread victory. Adding center Jakob Poetl significantly improved the play of this team on defense since it provided them with a rim protector they were lacking. With Poelt on the court, Toronto gives up -5.6 points per 100 possessions. They have played 8 of their last 11 home games with the Total set from 210 to 219.5. They have also played 8 of their last 11 games Under the Total against teams with a winning record.

FINAL TAKE: Chicago has played 5 straight games in the playoffs Under the Total. 8* NBA Chicago-Toronto ESPN O/U Special with Under the Total in the game between the Chicago Bulls (565) and the Toronto Raptors (566). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 10:00 PM ET on Tuesday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Minnesota Timberwolves (563) and the Los Angeles Lakers (564). THE SITUATION: Minnesota (42-40) has won three games in a row — and seven of their last ten contests — after their 113-108 victory against New Orleans as a 3-point favorite on Sunday. Los Angeles (43-39) has won two in a row and six of their last seven after a 128-117 win against Utah as a 17-point favorite on Sunday to close out their regular season.

REASONS TO TAKE OVER THE TOTAL: The Timberwolves made 47.6% of their shots on Sunday against the Pelicans which was the worst shooting effort in their last four games. Minnesota has played 8 of their last 10 games Over the Total after making 47% or more of their shots in four or more games in a row. Now they will have to play this game without their two best defensive players in Rudy Gobert and Jaden McDaniels. Gobert was suspended for this game after throwing a punch at teammate Kyle Anderson in that game against New Orleans. McDaniels later injured his hand by taking out his frustrations by punching a wall. The absence of these two players means the T-Wolves will have to play small ball — so look for them to play fast and try to outrun this older Lakers team. They have played 26 of their last 41 road games Over the Total after a point spread win. Los Angeles shot 48.5% from the field on Sunday against the Jazz which was the worst shooting effort in their last eight contests. The Lakers have played 6 straight Overs after a straight-up win — and they have played 4 straight Overs after a point spread loss.

FINAL TAKE: These two teams last played on March 31st with the Lakers winning by a 123-111 scorer as a 2.5-point favorite — and the Timberwolves have played 27 of their last 41 games Over the Total when avenging a loss on the road. 8* NBA Tuesday Late Show O/U Bailout with Over the Total in the game between the Minnesota Timberwolves (563) and the Los Angeles Lakers (564). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 7:30 PM ET on Tuesday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Atlanta Hawks (561) and the Miami Heat (562). THE SITUATION: Atlanta (41-41) enters the postseason having lost two games in a row after their 120-114 loss at Boston as a 4-point underdog on Sunday. Miami (44-38) has won four of their last five games after their 123-110 win against Orlando as a 5-point favorite on Sunday.

REASONS TO TAKE OVER THE TOTAL: Miami has been a disappointment this season by making only 34.4% of their 3-pointers. But in their last five games, they are nailing 37.9% of their shots from behind the arc which has helped them post an Adjusted Offensive Efficiency number of 123.4. The Heat’s rediscovery of their shooting touch this month — just in time for the playoffs. Miami has played 5 straight Overs after winning their last game — and they have played 4 straight Overs after a point-spread victory. The Heat get to host this game where they have played 7 straight Overs — and they have played 5 straight Overs at home against teams with a losing record on the road. Miami’s defense has taken a step back lately. After ranking fifth in the NBA in Adjusted Defensive Efficiency, they have fallen to 22nd in that metric since the All-Star break. They did hold the Magic to 42.2% shooting but that was the best defensive effort in their last 26 games in that meaningless contest to end the regular season. Atlanta ranks 22nd in the NBA in Adjusted Defensive Efficiency with a 115.4 mark — and that number worsens to 117.4 when on the road. In their last 15 games, their Adjusted Defensive Efficiency has been even worse at 118.5, the sixth-worst mark in the league during that stretch. But this team can score — they have an Adjusted Offensive Efficiency of 119.1 in their last 15 games. The Over is 3-1-1 in the Hawks’ last 5 games on the road against teams with a winning record. Atlanta has also played 11 of their last 16 games Over the Total against Southeast Division rivals.

FINAL TAKE: These teams last played on March 6th with the Heat winning at home by a 130-128 score to register their second straight victory against the Hawks. Atlanta has played 8 of their last 13 games Over the Total when playing with double-revenge. 8* NBA Atlanta-Miami TNT O/U Special with Over the Total in the game between the Atlanta Hawks (561) and the Miami Heat (562). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 3:40 PM ET on Sunday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the New Orleans Pelicans (557) and the Minnesota Timberwolves (558). THE SITUATION: New Orleans (42-39) has won four of their last five games after their 113-105 victory against New York as an 8.5-point favorite on Friday. Minnesota (41-40) has won two in a row with their 151-131 victory at San Antonio as a 15.5-point favorite yesterday.

REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: The winner of this game earns the eighth seed in the Play-In Tournament next week (with the Timberwolves holding the tie-breaker if they get the win) — so this is a meaningful game for both teams. The playoff-like atmosphere should ensure the intensity is high on defense for both teams. The Pelicans made 53.2% of their shots against the Knicks which was the best shooting effort in their last six contests. New Orleans has played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total after a straight-up win. The Pelicans are an outstanding defensive team that ranks sixth in the league in Adjusted Defensive Efficiency — and they rank second in that category in their last ten games. They have played 12 of their last 14 games Under the Total on the road — and they have played 5 of their last 6 road games Under the Total against teams with a winning record at home. New Orleans has also played 26 of their last 37 road games Under the Total as an underdog of up to six points. Minnesota nailed 55.4% of their shots against the Spurs which was the best shooting mark in their last eight games. They also let San Antonio make 52.6% of their shots in the blowout win which was the worst defensive effort in their last seven contests. None of the Timberwolves players logged in more than 29 minutes — so this should be a group with plenty of energy to play hard on the defensive end of the court. Minnesota ranks 10th in the NBA in Adjusted Defensive Efficiency — and they have a slew of capable wing defenders who can give C.J. McCollum trouble in his attempts to lead the Pelicans’ offense. The Timberwolves have played 5 of their last 7 games Under the Total after a straight-up win — and they have played 9 of their last 12 games Under the Total after a double-digit victory. They have also played 15 of their last 18 games Under the Total at home after playing an Over in their last game. The Under is 10-4-1 in their last 15 games on their home court. They have also played 17 of their last 25 games Under the Total when listed in the +/- 3-point range.

FINAL TAKE: New Orleans will be looking to avenge a 111-102 upset loss at home to the T-Wolves as a 3-point favorite on January 25th — and they have played 22 of their last 33 road games Under Toal when avenging a loss where they gave up 110 or more points. These two teams have played 6 of their last 8 games Under the Total when playing in Minnesota. 10* NBA Sunday Afternoon Discounted O/U Deal with Under the Total in the game between the New Orleans Pelicans (557) and the Minnesota Timberwolves (558). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 9:10 PM ET on Thursday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Oklahoma City Thunder (579) and the Utah Jazz (580). THE SITUATION: Oklahoma City (38-42) has lost three games in a row — and six of their last eight games — after their 136-125 loss at Golden State as an 8-point underdog on Tuesday. Utah (36-43) has lost three games in a row — and seven of their last eight contests — after a 135-133 loss in overtime against the Los Angeles Lakers as a 10-point underdog on Tuesday.

REASONS TO TAKE OVER THE TOTAL: The Thunder allowed the Warriors to make 49.5% of their shots — and that was still the second-lowest opponent’s field goal percentage in their last five games. Oklahoma City has played 13 of their last 17 games Over the Total after losing three of their last four games. And while they have not covered the point spread in their last two games, they have then played 13 of their last 16 games Over the Total after not covering the point spread in two games in a row. The Over is 7-3-1 in Utah’s last 11 games after a straight-up loss — and they have played 8 of their last 10 games Over the Total after a point spread victory. The Jazz have also played 20 of their last 30 games Over the Total after losing four or five of their last six games. And in their last 5 games against teams with a losing record, Utah has played 4 of these games Over the Total.

FINAL TAKE: Oklahoma City has won their last two games against the Jazz after their 129-119 victory at home against them on March 5th. The Thunder have played 12 of their last 15 games Over the Total when avenging a loss by 10 or more points — and they have played 19 of their last 28 games Over the Total when playing with double-revenge. 8* NBA Thursday Daily Discounted O/U Deal with Over the Total in the game between the Oklahoma City Thunder (579) and the Utah Jazz (580). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 8:10 PM ET on Tuesday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Portland Trail Blazers (549) and the Memphis Grizzlies (550). THE SITUATION: Portland (33-45) snapped a five-game losing streak with a 107-105 upset win at Minnesota as a 19-point underdog on Sunday. Memphis (49-29) has lost two of their last three games after their 128-107 loss at Chicago as a 1.5-point underdog on Sunday.

REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: The Trail Blazers are in full-tank mode now at this point of the season. Damian Lillard is out the season with a calf injury — and starters like Anfernee Simmons, Jusuf Nurkic, and Jerami Grant are not playing tonight. Portland has another handful of players listed as questionable as they embrace the soft tanking approach for the rest of the season. The players at rookie head coach Chauncey Billups’ disposal tonight are playing for jobs in the league — so they will work hard on the defensive end of the court. Portland has played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total after a straight-up win — and they have played 5 of their last 7 games Under the Total after a point spread victory. They have also played 8 of their last 12 games Under the Total after an upset victory — and they have played 7 straight games Under the Total after a win on the road by six points or less. They stay on the road where they have played 7 of their last 10 road games Under the Total against teams winning 60% or more of their games at home. Additionally, the Under is 19-7-2 in the Trail Blazers last 28 games against teams winning 60% or more of their games — and they have played 6 of their last 8 games Under the Total as a double-digit underdog. Memphis has played 12 of their last 16 games Under the Total after a straight-up loss — and they have played 15 of their last 22 games Under the Total after a loss on the road. The Grizzlies have also played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total after allowing 125 or more points in their last game. Memphis ranks second in the NBA in Adjusted Defensive Efficiency — so hosting this Blazers team presents an importunity to get back to playing good defense after the Bulls made 53.2% of their shots against them. The Grizzlies have an opponent’s field goal percentage of 44.2% when playing at home. They have played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total against teams with a losing record.

FINAL TAKE: Memphis looks to avenge a 122-112 upset loss at home to the Trail Blazers as a 5.5-point underdog on February 1st. The Grizzlies have played 4 of their last 6 games Under the Total when playing with revenge from an upset loss. These two teams have played 5 of their last 6 games against each other Under the Total. 10* NBA Tuesday Late Show O/U Bailout with Under the Total in the game between the Portland Trail Blazers (549) and the Memphis Grizzlies (550). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 7:10 PM ET on Tuesday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Miami Heat (531) and the Detroit Pistons (532). THE SITUATION: Miami (41-37) snapped a three-game losing streak with a 129-1122 win against Dallas as a 1-point favorite on Saturday. Detroit (16-62) has lost nine games in a row after their 128-102 loss at Orlando as an 11-point underdog on Sunday.

REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: The Pistons allowed the Magic to make 57.3% of their shots which was the worst defensive effort in their last 12 games. Detroit has played 5 of their last 6 games Under the Total after a point spread loss. They return home where they have played 8 of their last 11 home games Under the Total against teams winning no more than 40% of their games on the road. The Pistons have also played 5 of their last 6 games Under the Total against teams with a winning record. Miami made 52.3% of their shots on Saturday which was the best shooting effort in their last four games. But they also played their worst defensive game of the season by allowing the Mavericks to nail 61.0% of their shots. The Heat go back on the road where they have played 4 of their last 5 road games Under the Total against teams with a winning percentage of 40% or less on their home court. Miami has also played 6 of their last 7 games Under the Total against teams with a winning percentage of 40% or less.

FINAL TAKE: These two teams have played 5 of their last 6 games against each other Under the Total — and they have played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total when these two teams are playing in Detroit. 8* NBA Tuesday Daily Discounted O/U Deal with Under the Total in the game between the Miami Heat (531) and the Detroit Pistons (532). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 9:20 PM ET on Monday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the San Diego State Aztecs (711) and the Connecticut Huskies (712) in the National Championship Game of the NCAA Tournament. THE SITUATION: San Diego State (32-6) has won nine games in a row after their 72-71 win against Florida Atlantic as a 2.5-point favorite on Saturday. UConn (30-8) has won five games in a row — and 11 of their last 12 — after their 72-59 victory against Miami (FL) as a 6-point favorite on Saturday. This game is being played on a neutral court at NRG Stadium.

REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: San Diego State saw FAU make 9 of their 22 shots from 3-point range and 44.2% overall on Saturday. That was the highest opponent’s field goal percentage in the Aztecs’ last seven games. San Diego State still ranks third in the nation by holding their opponents to 28.1% shooting from 3-point range. Creighton missed 15 of their 17 shots from behind the arc against them in the Elite Eight after Alabama missed 24 of their 27 shots from 3-point land. The Aztecs have played 13 of their last 16 games Under the Total after a straight-up win — and they have played 4 straight games Under the Total after a point spread loss. San Diego State is susceptible to scoring droughts. They have not scored more than 75 points in ten straight games — and they have scored 64 or fewer points in six of those contests. They are only making 33.3% of their 3-pointers in this tournament — so a hot shooting night from outside the arc is unlikely. The Aztecs take many of their shots from the midrange — and now they play a UConn team that ranks sixth in the nation by holding their last ten opponents on the road to 42.9% shooting inside the arc. The Huskies held the Hurricanes to just 32% shooting and below 60 points despite them ranking sixth in the nation in Adjusted Offensive Efficiency. They stymied Gonzaga to just 54 points despite the Bulldogs leading the nation in Adjusted Offensive Efficiency. UConn has played 7 of their last 8 games Under the Total after a straight-up win — and they have played 7 of their last 8 games Under the Total after a point spread victory.

FINAL TAKE: UConn has played 5 of their last 7 games Under the Total against teams winning 60% or more of their games — and they have played 6 of their last 8 games Under the Total when playing on a neutral court. San Diego State has played 8 of their last 9 games Under the Total against teams winning 60% or more of their games — and they have played 27 of their last 36 games Under the Total played on a neutral court. 10* CBB San Diego State-UConn CBS-TV O/U Special with Under the Total in the game between the San Diego State Aztecs (711) and the Connecticut Huskies (712). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 8:49 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Miami (FL) Hurricanes (703) and the Connecticut Huskies (704) in the Final Four of the NCAA Tournament. THE SITUATION: Miami (FL) (29-7) has won six of their last seven games after their 88-81 upset victory against Texas a 3.5-point underdog on Sunday. UConn (29-8) has won 10 of their last 11 games after their 82-54 win against Gonzaga as a 2.5-point favorite last Saturday. This game is being played on a neutral court at NRG Stadium in Houston.

REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: The Hurricanes nailed 59.2% of their shots against the Longhorns in what was the best shooting effort in their last 20 games. Miami (FL) has pulled off three straight upsets against Indiana, Houston, and then Texas while scoring at least 85 points and making at least 48.6% of their shots in each of those games. But the Hurricanes only make 46.6% of their shots away from home which generates 76.2 Points-Per-Game — so I am expecting a visit from the Regression Gods for this team. Miami (FL) has played 6 straight Unders after scoring 75 or more points in three straight games. They also allowed the Longhorns to shoot 50% from the field which was the worst defensive effort in their last four games. They have played 10 of their last 11 games Under the Total on the road after allowing 80 or more points in their last contest. The Hurricanes have been playing better defense on the road this season. They are holding their opponents to a decisive -11.2 fewer points per 100 possessions when playing away from home. And when playing away from home, the Hurricanes score -2.9 fewer points per 100 possessions. UConn has played 6 of their last 7 games Under the Total after a straight-up win — and they have played 6 of their last 7 games Under the Total after a point spread victory. They have also played 18 of their last 26 games on the road Under the Total after a double-digit victory. And while the Huskies have covered the point spread in four straight games, they have then played 7 of their last 8 games Under the Total after covering the point spread in three straight games. UConn should slow down the Hurricanes' offensive attack since they rank 8th in the nation in Adjusted Defensive Efficiency when playing on the road — and they rank 8th in the nation in Adjusted Defensive Efficiency when playing on the road in their last ten games.

FINAL TAKE: Miami (FL) has played 6 of their last 8 games Under the Total against teams with a winning record. UConn has played 6 of their last 7 games Under the Total against teams with a winning record — and they have played 5 of their last 7 games Under the Total on a neutral court. 10* CBB Miami (FL)-UConn CBS-TV O/U Special with Under the Total in the game between the Miami (FL) Hurricanes (703) and the Connecticut Huskies (704). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 6:08 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Florida Atlantic Owls (701) and the San Diego State Aztecs (702) in the Final Four of the NCAA Tournament. THE SITUATION: Florida Atlantic (35-3) has won 11 games in a row after their 79-76 upset victory against Kansas State as a 1-point underdog last Saturday. San Diego State (31-6) has won eight games in a row after their 57-56 upset win against Creighton as a 2.5-point underdog on Sunday. This game is being played on a neutral court at NRG Stadium in Houston.

REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: FAU made 48.1% of their shots against the Wildcats which was the best shooting effort in their last six games. And they allowed Kansas State to nail 46.6% of their shots which was the worst defensive effort in their last 12 contests. The Owls have played 5 of their last 7 games Under the Total after a straight-up win. They have also played 24 of their last 35 games Under the Total when playing with five or six days between contests. FAU is a good defensive team that ranks 30th in the nation in Adjusted Defensive Efficiency. They hold their opponents to -1.4 fewer points per 100 possessions when they are playing on the road — and they rank 19th in the nation in Adjusted Defensive Efficiency in their last ten games away from home. But the Owls score -4.2 fewer points per 100 possessions when playing away from home as well. And they are very dependent on making 3-point shots with 44.0% of their shots from the field coming from behind the arc, ranking 35th in the nation. They are a similar but not quite as dynamic opponent as Alabama — and the Aztecs coaxed the Crimson Tide into missing 24 of their 27 shots from 3-point range in the Sweet Sixteen and a 32.4% field goal percentage overall. Alabama ranked 344th in the nation in terms of consistency from game to game going into that contest with San Diego State — and FAU is not much better with their consistency rating being 219th in the nation. The Aztecs usually have a strong defense — but this year’s team has taken things to another level. They have not allowed more than 64 points in eight straight games. The Bluejays made 40% of their shots against them which was the highest opponent’s field goal percentage they have surrendered in eight games with their previous six opponents not making more than 38.6% of their shots against them. San Diego State is a physical team that plays elite-level defense. They will slow the pace to a crawl — using “math” to their advantage by limiting FAU’s scoring chances and letting the pressure of the moment kick in for this mid-major Cinderella. The Aztecs are loaded with experience with three seniors and two juniors in the starting lineup with depth on the bench. Despite their opponents attempting 40.1% of their shots from behind the arc, ranking 282nd in the nation, these shots are only falling at a 27.8% rate which is the second-best mark in the nation. In their last ten games on the road, not only does San Diego State hold their opponents to 22.2% shooting from behind the arc, they lead the nation in Adjusted Defensive Efficiency. The Owls average 10 made 3s per game — and the Aztecs have played 9 of their last 12 games Under the Total against teams who average eight or more made 3s per game. San Diego State not only plays with a deliberate pace on offense but their opponents take 18.5 seconds per possession, ranking as the 345th slowest in the nation. The Aztecs have played 19 of their last 26 games Under the Total after a straight-up win — and they have played 8 straight Unders after a point spread victory. Furthermore, they have played 24 of their last 36 games Under the Total after not allowing more than 60 points in their last game — and they have played 18 of their last 25 games Under the Total after holding five or more straight opponents to no higher than 40% shooting from the field. But a concern for San Diego State is that their scoring fall by -5.5 points per 100 possessions when they are playing on the road. They have played 13 of their last 16 games Under the Total against teams winning 60% or more of their games.

FINAL TAKE: FAU has played 6 of their last 8 games Under the Total. San Diego State has played 7 straight Unders on a neutral court with the Total set in the 130s. 25* CBB Total of the Year with Under the Total in the game between the Florida Atlantic Owls (701) and the San Diego State Aztecs (702). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 7:40 PM ET on Friday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Utah Jazz (505) and the Boston Celtics (506). THE SITUATION: Utah (36-40) snapped a four-game losing streak with their 128-117 victory at San Antonio as a 2.5-point favorite. Boston (53-24) won for the fourth time in their last five games with their 140-99 upset victory at Milwaukee as a 2-point underdog last night.

REASONS TO TAKE OVER THE TOTAL: The Jazz have played 4 straight Overs after a straight-up win — and they have played 6 of their last 7 games Over the Total after a point spread victory. They stay on the road where the Over is 20-7-1 in their last 28 games — and the Over is 9-3-1 in their last 13 road games against teams with a winning record at home. Boston held the Bucks to just 37.8% shooting which was the second-best defensive effort in their last ten games — and the third-best defensive performance in their last 28 contests. The Over is 19-6-1 in the Celtics’ last 26 games when playing without a day of rest. They return home where they have paled 19 of their last 28 games Over the Total against teams with a losing record on the road.

FINAL TAKE: Boston has played 9 of their last 13 games Over the Total against teams with a losing record — and these two teams have played 4 of their last 5 meetings Over the Total. 8* NBA Friday Daily Discounted O/U Deal with Over the Total in the game between the Utah Jazz (505) and the Boston Celtics (506). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 10:00 PM ET on Thursday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the New Orleans Pelicans (551) and the Denver Nuggets (552). THE SITUATION: New Orleans (38-38) was on a five-game winning streak before their 120-109 loss at Golden State as an 8.5-point underdog on Tuesday. Denver (51-24) has won four games in a row with their 116-111 victory against Philadelphia as a 7-point favorite on Monday.

REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: The Pelicans allowed the Warriors to make 52.4% of their shots which was the worst shooting effort in their last 11 games. New Orleans has played 6 of their last 7 games Under the Total after a straight-up loss — and they have played 6 of their last 7 games Under the Total after a point spread loss. They complete their four-game road trip tonight having played 5 of their last 6 road games Under the Total against teams with a winning percentage over 60% at home. They have played 9 of their last 11 games Under the Total against teams with a winning record. Denver has shot at least 50% from the field for the eighth straight game by nailing 50.6% of their shots against the 76ers — but they have played 34 of their last 52 games Under the Total after making 50% or more of their shots in two straight games. The Nuggets have played 5 straight Unders after a straight-up win — and they have played 10 of their last 16 games Under the Total after winning two or more games in a row. The Nuggets complete their three-game home stand tonight having played 9 of their last 11 games Under the Total against teams with a losing record.

FINAL TAKE: Nikola Jokic is questionable tonight with a calf injury — and Denver scores -22.8 fewer points per 100 possessions this season when he is not on the court. These two teams have played 9 of their last 12 meetings against each other Under the Total — and they have played 6 of their last 8 games Under the Total when playing in Denver. 8* NBA Thursday Late Show O/U Bailout with Under the Total in the game between the New Orleans Pelicans (551) and the Denver Nuggets (552). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 9:30 PM ET on Thursday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the UAB Blazers (665) and the North Texas Mean Green (666) in the Championship Game of the National Invitational Tournament. THE SITUATION: UAB (29-9) has won four in a row — and 12 of their last 13 contests — after their 88-86 win in overtime as a 4.5-point favorite on Tuesday. North Texas (30-7) has won four in a row — and seven of their last eight contests — with their 56-54 win against Wisconsin as a 1.5-point favorite on Tuesday. This game is being played on a neutral court at the Orleans Arena in Las Vegas.

REASONS TO TAKE OVER THE TOTAL: UAB has seen the Over go 30-14-1 in their last 45 games after a straight-up win — and they have played 31 of their last 44 games Over the Total on the road after winning five or six of their last seven games. They have played 18 of their last 25 games Over the Total after scoring 80 or more points in their last game — and they have played 9 of their last 11 games Over the Total after allowing 80 or more points in their last contest. Additionally, with that game with the Wolverines finishing Over the 151-point Total, the Blazers have played 16 of their last 22 games Over the Total after playing a game that finished Over the Total — and they have played 11 of their last 14 games Over the Total after a game where 155 or more combined points were scored. UAB scores +1.1 points per 100 possessions when on the road versus when they are playing at home — but they are also giving up +3.1 points per 100 possessions when away from home as opposed to when they are playing at home. The Blazers have also played 15 of their last 23 games Over the Total against conference opponents. North Texas has played 4 of their last 5 games Over the Total after a straight-up win — and they have played 8 of their last 10 games Over the Total after a point-spread win. They have also played 11 of their last 15 games Over the Total on the road after winning six or seven of their last eight games. The Mean Green have not allowed more than 59 points in their last four games — but they have then played 11 of their last 15 games Over the Total after not allowing more than 65 points four straight games. North Texas plays outstanding defense — and they combine those skills by playing at a crawl’s pace. But the Mean Green allows +3.5 more points per 100 possessions when playing away from home. They are also scoring +2.7 more points per 100 possessions in their last ten games on the road versus their season average on the road. They are playing smaller lineups and at a quicker pace in this tournament with 6’10 Abou Ousmane now away from the team. North Texas has played 8 of their last 10 games Over the Total on the road when playing for just the second time in the last seven days — and they have played 8 of their last 10 games Over the Total against teams winning 60% or more of their games.

FINAL TAKE: This is the fourth meeting between these two teams — with each game seeing a steady increase in scoring. North Texas won the first game between these teams on January 21st with a 63-52 victory. They then won the rematch on February 29th by an 82-79 score in double-overtime that had a 62-62 score after regulation. UAB avenged those two losses in the Conference USA Semifinals with a 76-69 victory on March 10th. That game was played on a neutral court where the Blazers have now played 9 of their last 11 games Over the Total. 25* CBB NIT Total of the Year with Over the Total in the game between the UAB Blazers (665) and the North Texas Mean Green (666). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 7:40 PM ET on Wednesday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Dallas Mavericks (533) and the Philadelphia 76ers (534). THE SITUATION: Dallas (37-39) snapped their four-game losing streak with their 127-104 win at Indiana as a 6.5-point favorite on Monday. Philadelphia (49-26) has lost three in a row — and four of their last five — after a 116-111 loss at Denver as a 7-point underdog on Monday.

REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: The Mavericks stepped to make 56.6% of their shots against the Pacers which was the best shooting effort in their last 36 games. But Dallas has played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total after shooting 55% or better from the field in their last game. Despite that effort, the Mavericks are only scoring 113.9 points per 100 possessions in their last ten games, ranking 23rd in the league over that span. The acquisition of Kyrie Irving has not worked in generating a healthy and cohesive “big two” with Luka Doncic who recently conceded he is miserable right now. Dallas is too reliant on making 3s — they lead the NBA by attempting 48.6% of their shots from behind the arc. They make 37.2% of their 3s which ranks ninth in the league — but it comes at the expense of being last in the NBA in rebounding. The Mavericks pull down only 22.9% of their missed shots, the lowest mark in the league. Dallas has played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total after a straight-up win — and they have played 4 straight Unders after a point-spread win. They have also played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total after a win by 10 or more points. On the road, the Mavericks have played 4 straight Unders — and they have played 6 straight road games Under the Total against teams with a winning record at home. They have also played 8 of their last 12 road games Under the Total when the total is set at 230 or higher. An encouraging development for head coach Jason Kidd’s team was the play of their defense as they held the Pacers to 41.9% shooting. The Mavs’ defense has been bad this year — but a better effort on that end can make a difference. Dallas is tied for the last spot in the Western Conference playoff race — they would lose out to Oklahoma City to qualify for the play-in game so this is an important contest. The Mavericks have played 5 of their last 6 games Under the Total against teams with a winning record. Philadelphia will want to tighten things up on the defensive end of the court after allowing the Nuggets to make 50.6% of their shots, the highest opponent’s field goal percentage in their last five games. The 76ers have played 5 of their last 8 games Under the Total after losing two games in a row — and they have played 7 of their last 9 games Under the Total after losing four of their last five games. Philly has seen a dip in their 3-point shooting — they are making only 36.6% of their 3-pointers in their last ten games as opposed to their 38.6% shooting mark from behind the arc overall. But the Sixers are defending the perimeter better as of late as they rank second in the NBA by holding their opponents to hit just 32.1% of their 3-pointers in their last ten games. In their last ten games, Philly ranks fifth in the NBA in Adjusted Defensive Efficiency. Back at home, the 76ers have played 5 of their last 6 games Under the Total — and the Under is 4-0-1 in their last 5 home games against teams not winning at least 40% of their games on the road.

FINAL TAKE: Joel Embiid and James Harden are listed as questionable tonight with nagging injuries. While Embiid is an MVP candidate who excels at both ends of the court, Harden’s potential absence certainly helps our Under play. These two teams have played 5 of their last 6 games against each other Under the Total — and they have played 6 of their last 7 games Under the Total when playing in Philadelphia. 25* NBA Total of the Month with Under the Total in the game between the Dallas Mavericks (533) and the Philadelphia 76ers (534). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 10:10 PM ET on Tuesday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the New Orleans Pelicans (527) and the Golden State Warriors (528). THE SITUATION: New Orleans (38-37) has won five games in a row after their 124-90 victory at Portland as an 11.5-point favorite on Monday. Golden State (39-37) had their three-game winning streak snapped with a 99-96 upset loss to Minnesota as a 6.5-point favorite on Sunday.

REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: The Pelicans shot 57.0% from the field yesterday which was the best shooting mark in their last 46 contests — so expect a visit from the Regression Gods. As it is, New Orleans has played 6 of their last 8 games Over the Total after a point spread win. And while the Pelicans have covered the point spread in five straight games, they have then played 6 of their last 9 games Under the Total after covering the point spread in four straight games. They stay on the road where they have played 6 of their last 8 road games Under the Total against teams with a winning record at home. Golden State has played two straight Unders — and they have played 14 of their last 19 home games Under the Total after playing an Under in their last game. They have also played 9 of their last 10 games at home Under the Total after playing two straight Unders. They stay at home where they have played 22 of their last 35 games Under the Total — and the Under is 5-0-1 in their last 6 home games against teams with a losing record on the road. The Warriors rank third in the league in Adjusted Defensive Efficiency when playing at home.

FINAL TAKE: These two teams have played 10 of their last 12 meetings against each other Under the Total — and they have played 4 of their last 5 games against each other in Golden State Under the Total. 8* NBA Tuesday Late Show O/U Bailout with Under the Total in the game between the New Orleans Pelicans (527) and the Golden State Warriors (528). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 7:00 PM ET on Tuesday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Wisconsin Badgers (661) and the North Texas Mean Green (662) in the Semifinals of the National Invitational Tournament. THE SITUATION: Wisconsin (20-14) is on a three-game winning streak after their 61-58 upset victory as a 1.5-point underdog at Oregon last Tuesday. North Texas (29-7) has won six of their last seven games with their 65-59 upset win in overtime at Oklahoma State as a 4.5-point underdog last Tuesday. This game is being played on a neutral court at the Orleans Arena in Las Vegas.

REASONS TO TAKE OVER THE TOTAL: Wisconsin pulled the upset against the Ducks despite making only 33.3% of their shots in that which was the worst shooting effort in their last eight games — and it is tied for the lowest field goal percentage in their last 18 contests. And on the other hand, the Badgers have allowed their last ten opponents on the road to score +4.6 more points per 100 possessions than their seasonal mark. While Wisconsin ranks 13th in the nation in Adjusted Defensive Efficiency when playing on the road, that mark drops to 44th in the nation in their last ten games away from home. The Badgers have played 4 of their last 5 games Over the Total after a point-spread victory. North Texas only made 35.4% of their shots last week in their win against the Cowboys which was the worst shooting effort in their last three games. The Over is 7-2-1 in their last 10 games after a point-spread victory. The Mean Green held Oklahoma State to just 17 points in the first half in that game — and they have played 8 of their last 10 games Over the Total after holding their previous opponent to no more than 25 points in the first half.

FINAL TAKE: North Texas has a stout defense but they are allowing +4.1 adjusted points per 100 possessions when playing on the road versus on their home court — and that mark rises another +2.0 adjusted points per 100 possessions in their last ten games on the road. 8* CBB Wisconsin-North Texas ESPN O/U Special with Over the Total in the game between the Wisconsin Badgers (661) and the North Texas Mean Green (662). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 10:10 PM ET on Monday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Minnesota Timberwolves (511) and the Sacramento Kings (512). THE SITUATION: Minnesota (38-37) has won three straight games after their 99-96 upset win at Golden State as a 6.5-point underdog on Sunday. Sacramento (45-29) has won five of their last six games after their 121-113 win against Utah as a 9.5-point favorite on Saturday.

REASONS TO TAKE OVER THE TOTAL:  The Timberwolves made only 42.5% of their shots yesterday which was the worst shooting effort in their last eight games. But they pulled off the upset by holding the Warriors to just 41.5% shooting which was the best defensive effort in their last five games. Minnesota’s previous four opponents all shot 52.9% or better against them. The T-Wolves have played 15 of their last 18 games on the road Over the Total after playing their previous game on the road. They have played 21 of their last 31 road games Over the Total in the second half of the season — and they have played 6 of their last 8 road games Over the Total against teams with a winning percentage of 60% or higher at home. Sacramento has won two games in a row — and they have played 10 of their last 12 games Over the Total at home after winning two games in a row. They have played 8 of their last 10 games Over the Total after a point spread loss — and they have played 14 of their last 18 games Over the Total at home after a point spread loss. The Kings have also played 8 of their last 11 games Over the Total at home.

FINAL TAKE: These teams last played on March 4th when Sacramento won by a 138-134 score as a 4-point underdog. These two teams have played 5 straight Overs when playing in Sacramento. 8* NBA Monday Late Show O/U Bailout with Over the Total in the game between the Minnesota Timberwolves (511) and the Sacramento Kings (512). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 7:10 PM ET on Sunday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Oklahoma City Thunder (575) and the Portland Trail Blazers (576). THE SITUATION: Oklahoma City (36-38) has lost two games in a row after their 116-111 loss in Los Angeles to the Lakers as a 5-point underdog on Friday. Portland (32-41) has lost seven of their last eight games after their 124-96 loss to Chicago as a 5-point underdog on Friday.

REASONS TO TAKE OVER THE TOTAL: The Thunder lost to the Lakers despite holding them to 46.2% shooting which was the best defensive effort in their last five games. Oklahoma City has played 15 of their last 21 games Over the Total after losing two of their last three games. They have also played 5 of their last 7 road games Over the Total against teams with a losing record at home. Portland has played 6 of their last 7 games Under the Total after losing their previous contest — and they have played 5 of their last 6 games Over the Total after a point spread loss. They have also played 4 of their last 5 games Over the Total after losing their previous game by 20 or more points. The Blazers stay at home where they have played 5 of their last 7 home games Over the Total against teams with a winning percentage no higher than 40% on the road.

FINAL TAKE: The Trail Blazers will be undermanned in this one with Damian Lillard, Josef Nurkic, Anfernee Simmons, and Jerami Grant all getting the night off due to injury. Those absences will not help their defensive effort tonight. Portland has lost seven in a row to the Thunder with the last three setbacks being upset losses — and they have played 5 of their last 7 games Over the Total when playing with at least double revenge. 8* NBA Sunday Night Discounted O/U Deal with Over the Total in the game between the Oklahoma City Thunder (575) and the Portland Trail Blazers (576). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 5:05 PM ET on Sunday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Miami (FL) Hurricanes (655) and the Texas Longhorns (656) in the Elite Eight of the NCAA Tournament. THE SITUATION: Miami (FL) (28-7) has won five of their last six games after their 89-75 upset victory against Houston as an 8-point underdog on Friday. Texas (29-8) has won seven games in a row with their 83-71 victory against Xavier as a 4-point favorite on Friday. This game is being played on a neutral court at the T-Mobile Center in Kansas City, Missouri.

REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: Miami converted on 11 of their 25 (44%) shots from 3-point range en route to a 51.7% shooting percentage in that game which was the best effort in their last four games. But now they play a stout Longhorns defense that has played three opponents in this Big Dance that entered the game with a top-ten shooting percentage from behind the arc yet held those three foes to 18 of 60 (30%) shooting from 3-point range. The Hurricanes only made 30.2% of their shots in their opening game against Drake — so clunkers are in the repertoire. As it is, Miami has played 6 of their last 9 games Under the Total after scoring 85 or more points in their last game — and they have played 13 of their last 18 games Under the Total after a game where 155 or more combined points were scored. The Hurricanes have pulled off two straight upset wins after their 85-69 win against Indiana last Sunday — and they have played 9 of their last 11 games on the road Under the Total after scoring 75 or more points in two straight games. They have played 11 of their last 14 games Under the Total after covering the point spread in two games in a row — and they have played 9 of their last 11 games after two straight upset wins. Miami’s scoring drops by 3.8 points per 100 possessions when they play away from home. But the dirty little secret about this Hurricanes team is how much better their defense has been when playing on the road. Not only are they allowing 11.7 fewer points per 100 possessions when playing on the road in hostile environments or neutral courts, but they are also giving up -12.8 fewer points per 100 possessions in their last ten games on the road versus their defensive efficiency at home — and their Adjusted Defensive Efficiency on the road in their last ten games ranks 22nd in the nation. Two reasons for this improved play on defense: Miami is limiting their opponents to pulling down only 23.4% of their missed shots, ranking 24th in the nation, and their defensive foul rate ranks 11th in the nation in those last ten games. Texas has played 5 of their last 6 games Under the Total after a straight-up win — and they have played 6 straight Unders after a point-spread win. And while they have covered the point spread in seven of their last eight games, they have then played 12 of their last 15 games Under the Total after covering the point spread in three of their last four games. There is some conventional wisdom out there that this Longhorns team wants to play at a fast pace — and that interim head coach Rodney Terry has pushed the pace more since taking over for Chris Beard. The numbers simply do not bare this out. Texas ranks 115th in the nation by averaging 68.5 adjusted possessions per game. In their last ten games, that number drops to 67.5 adjusted possessions per game. There were 72 mutual possessions on Friday against the Musketeers — but their two previous games in the Big Dance had 64 possessions apiece after playing three games in the Big 12 tournament where no more than 68 possessions were played. Does Miami want to push the pace? Maybe — but that will be difficult against a Longhorns’ defense that ranks third in the nation in transition defense. The Hurricanes have averaged 69.7 adjusted possessions in their last ten games on the road. But here are some numbers that scream out to me: Texas scores -7.2 fewer points per 100 possessions when playing on the road. They also hold their opponents to -3.7 fewer points per 100 possessions when playing away from home, ranking fourth best in the nation. And in their last ten games overall, the Longhorns boast the second-best defense in terms of Adjusted Defensive Efficiency in the nation.

FINAL TAKE: Texas has played 6 of their last 7 games Under the Total against teams winning 60% or more of their games — and they have played 5 of their last 6 games Under the Total on a neutral court. The Longhorns have also played 14 of their last 20 games Under the Total in the NCAA Tournament. Miami (FL) has played 6 of their last 8 games Under the Total in the Big Dance. 25* CBB Elite Eight Total of the Year with Under the Total in the game between the Miami (FL) Hurricanes (655) and the Texas Longhorns (656). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 2:20 PM ET on Sunday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Creighton Bluejays (657) and the San Diego State Aztecs (658) in the Elite Eight of the NCAA Tournament. THE SITUATION: Creighton (24-12) has won six of their last seven games with their 86-75 victory against Princeton as a 10-point favorite on Friday. San Diego State (30-6) has won seven games in a row after their 71-64 win against Alabama as a 6.5-point underdog on Friday. This game is being played on a neutral court at the KFC Yum! Center in Louisville, Kentucky.

REASONS TO TAKE THE UNDER THE TOTAL: San Diego State found themselves down 48-39 with just 11:30 minutes left in the second half to a Crimson Tide team that many observers considered the best team in the country. But head coach Brian Dutcher called on his team to rededicate themselves to their efforts on defense to then create scoring opportunities — and the Aztecs went on a 12-0 run to seize control of that game. They held the heavily reliant Alabama scoring attack to just 3 of 21 shooting from behind the arc and a 32.4% field goal percentage overall. In the end, they held an Alabama team that was scoring 82.3 Points-Per-Game to more than 18 points below their season average. They have played 14 of their last 17 games Under the Total after a straight-up win — and they have played 7 straight Unders after a point spread victory. San Diego State usually has a strong defense — but this year’s team has taken things to another level. They have held seven straight opponents to no better than a 38.6% shooting percentage — and they have not allowed more than 64 points in those seven games. San Diego State ranks fourth in the nation in Adjusted Defensive Efficiency — and they rank third in the nation by limiting their opponents to 28.1% shooting from behind the arc. Their defense leads the nation in Adjusted Defensive Efficiency in their last ten games away from home. Creighton made 58.2% of their shots on Friday in their victory against Princeton — but that was the best shooting effort in their last 12 games. They have benefited from a relatively easy road to the Elite Eight against NC State, Baylor, and then the Ivy League champions. Only the Wolfpack rank in the top 100 in Adjusted Defensive Efficiency — and they are just 82nd in the nation in that metric. This is a very steep step in competition for the Bluejays when they have the basketball. San Diego State outrebounds their opponents by +4.6 rebounds per game — and Creighton has played 15 of their last 21 games after 15 games into the season Under the Total against opponents who out-refund their opponents by +4.0 or more RPG. The Bluejays play a similar drop-coverage style on defense as the Aztecs that should have success. Creighton has the second lowest-foul rate in the nation — and they are 11th in the nation by limiting their opponents to rebounding 23.2% of their missed shots.

FINAL TAKE: San Diego State has played 5 of their last 7 games in the NCAA Tournament Under the Total. 8* CBB Creighton-San Diego State CBS-TV O/U Special with Under the Total in the game between the Creighton Bluejays (657) and the San Diego State Aztecs (658). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 8:49 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Connecticut Huskies (653) and the Gonzaga Bulldogs (654) in the Elite Eight of the NCAA Tournament. THE SITUATION: Connecticut (28-8) has won three in a row and nine of their last ten games with their 88-65 victory against Arkansas as a 3.5-point favorite on Thursday. Gonzaga (31-5) has won 12 games in a row after their 79-76 win against UCLA as a closing-line pick ‘em on Thursday. This game is being played on a neutral court at T-Mobile Arena in Las Vegas, Nevada.

REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: UConn outclassed the Razorbacks by making 57.4% of their shots and holding Arkansas to just 31.7% shooting. The Huskies have played 3 of their last 4 games Under the Total after playing a game where they shot 55% or better from the field while holding their opponent to no better than 43% shooting. That 57.4% field goal percentage was the best shooting effort in their last 25 games — so regression is likely. UConn ranks 13th in the nation in Adjusted Defensive Efficiency — and they maintain that ranking when playing away from home. They have played 8 of their last 9 games Under the Total when playing on the road for the second time in three days. They have also played 5 of their last 6 games Under the Total after a straight-up win — and they have played 5 of their last 6 games Under the Total after a point-spread victory. Gonzaga survived a UCLA team that did not have the 6’10 Adem Bona suit-up due to his bum shoulder (although Bona did play 21 minutes in his previous game after missing the two prior contests). The Bulldogs were able to control the offensive glass by pulling down 16 offensive rebounds representing 45.7% of their missed shots. If Bona plays, those second chances on offense go down significantly. Gonzaga leads the nation in Adjusted Offensive Efficiency — but they do score -3.5 fewer points per 100 possessions when playing on the road. They also hold their opponents to -1.5 fewer points per 100 possessions when playing on the road in hostile environments or neutral courts. With the Total set in the 150s, it does not take many scoring lulls to impact the scoring pace to get an Under.

FINAL TAKE: Gonzaga has played 10 of their last 14 games Under the Total against teams winning 60-80% of their games. 8* CBB UConn-Gonzaga TBS O/U Special with Under the Total in the game between the Best of luck for us — Frank. 

At 7:15 PM ET on Friday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Miami (FL) Hurricanes (643) and the Houston Cougars (644) in the Sweet Sixteen of the NCAA Tournament. THE SITUATION: Miami (FL) (27-7) has won four of their last five games after their 85-69 upset win against Indiana as a 1.5-point underdog on Sunday. Houston (33-3) has won 15 of their last 16 games with their 81-64 victory against Auburn as a 5.5-point favorite on Saturday. This game is being played on a neutral court at the T-Mobile Center in Kansas City, Missouri.

REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: The Hurricanes shot 48.6% of their shots against the Hoosiers in their best shooting effort in their last three games. They also pulled down 19 offensive rebounds which led to 29 second-chance points. That level of productivity is not likely to continue tonight against this Cougars team that holds their opponents to 27.9% shooting in the midrange. Miami (FL) has played 19 of their last 29 road games Under the Total after a straight-up win. They have played 6 of their last 8 games Under the Total after scoring 85 or more points in their last game. And while that game finished Over the 145-point total installed for that game, they have then played 11 of their last 15 games Under the Total after playing a game that finished Over the Total. The Hurricanes do see their scoring drop by -5.5 points per 100 possessions when playing on the road. But while defense seems to be the weakness of head coach Larranaga’s team, they do give up -11.8 fewer points per 100 possessions when playing on the road on neutral courts or in hostile environments. And Larranaga has his team peaking on defense at this point of the season. Miami (FL) ranks 22nd in the nation in Adjusted Defensive Efficiency in their last ten games on the road. The improvement is sharpest in defensive rebounding with their last ten opponents away from home rebounding only 24.7% of their missed shots, ranking 50th in the nation. Miami also ranks ninth in the nation in defensive foul rate in their last ten games on the road. Houston might have played their best 20 minutes of the season in the second half against Auburn by scoring a whopping 41 points against the stout Tigers’ defense. But the defense played a big role in that final 20 minutes as they held Auburn to just four baskets on 17% shooting from the field. The Cougars have played 19 of their last 28 games Under the Total after scoring 80 or more points in their last game. Houston is scoring -3.7 fewer points per 100 possessions on the road in their last ten games as compared to their season scoring efficiency away from home this season. It is the Cougars’ defense that leads the way for head coach Kelvin Sampson. Houston ranks fourth in the nation in Adjusted Defensive Efficiency — and they lead the nation with an opponent’s field goal percentage of 36.1%. They lead the nation by blocking 16.8% of their opponent’s shots. Houston will also bring a slow pace to this game as they rank 342nd in the nation with only 63.3 adjusted possessions per game. The Under is a decisive 43-21-1 in their last 65 games against teams with a winning record in the Sampson era.

FINAL TAKE: The Cougars have played 7 of their last 10 games Under the Total on a neutral court laying 6.5 to 12 points — and they have played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total in the NCAA Tournament. The Hurricanes have played 7 of their last 10 games Under the Total on a neutral court — and they have played 6 of their last 7 games Under the Total in the NCAA Tournament. 25* CBB Sweet Sixteen Total of the Year with Under the Total in the game between the Miami (FL) Hurricanes (643) and the Houston Cougars (644). Best of luck for us — Frank.   

At 6:30 PM ET on Friday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the San Diego State Aztecs (647) and the Alabama Crimson Tide (648) in the Sweet Sixteen of the NCAA Tournament. THE SITUATION: San Diego State (29-6) has won six in a row and 12 of their last 13 contests with their 75-52 win against Furman as a 4.5-point favorite on Saturday. Alabama (31-5) has won five games in a row with their 73-51 win against Maryland as an 8.5-point favorite as an 8.5-point favorite on Saturday. This game is being played on a neutral court at the KFC Yum! Center in Louisville, Kentucky.

REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: The Crimson Tide held the Terrapins to just a 35.2% shooting percentage on Saturday — but that was still the best a team has shot against them in their last five games. Alabama will bring a ferocious defense into this game that ranks third in the nation in Adjusted Defensive Efficiency. And while they have won nine of their last ten games, they have then played 11 of their last 15 road games Under the Total after winning six or seven of their last eight games. They have also played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total after a straight-up win — and they have played 8 of their last 10 games Under the Total after a point-spread victory. Alabama ranks 8th in the nation by taking 47.5% of their shots from behind the arc — but they only make 34.1% of their 3-pointers, ranking 272nd in the nation — and this mark drops to 33.2% when they are playing away from home. And in their last ten games away from home, they are only making 33.0% go their shots from behind the arc which means they are actually a little below base-level efficiency in using “math” to their advantage by lauding almost half of their shots from distance. Now here comes this Aztecs team that plays with a style that can give the Tide fits. San Diego State is a physical team that plays elite-level defense. They will slow the pace to a crawl — using “math” to their advantage by limiting Alabama's scoring chances and letting the pressure of the moment kick in for this number one seed. Despite their opponents attempting 40.5% of their shots from behind the arc, ranking 288th in the nation, these shots are only falling at a 28.7% rate which is the fourth-best mark in the nation. In their last ten games on the road, not only do the Aztecs hold their opponents to 25.5% shooting from behind the arc, they lead the nation in Adjusted Defensive Efficiency. San Diego State not only plays with a deliberate pace on offense but their opponents take 18.5 seconds per possession, ranking as the 346th slowest in the nation. They have played 13 of their last 16 games Under the Total after a straight-up win — and they have played 6 straight Unders after a point spread victory. The Aztecs have also played 10 of their last 15 games Under the Total after a double-digit victory. San Diego State has played ten straight Unders after not allowing more than 57 points in four straight games — and they have played 7 straight Unders after playing three or more Unders in a row while wreaking havoc with sports bettors whose philosophy is to engage the gambler’s fallacy.

FINAL TAKE: The Aztecs have played 6 straight Unders against teams winning 60 % or more of their games — and they have played 25 of their last 33 games Under the Total on a neutral court. Alabama has played 7 of their last 9 games Under the Total on a neutral court listed as a favorite in the 6.5-9 point range. 10* CBB Friday Daily Discounted O/U Deal with Under the Total in the game between the San Diego State Aztecs (647) and the Alabama Crimson Tide (648). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 9:00 PM ET on Thursday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Florida Atlantic Owls (635) and the Tennessee Volunteers (636) in the Sweet 16 in the NCAA Tournament. THE SITUATION: FAU (33-3) has won nine games in a row — and 12 of their last 13 games — with their 78-70 victory against Fairleigh Dickinson as a 16-point favorite on Sunday. Tennessee (25-10) has won three of their last four games with their 65-52 upset win against Duke as a 3-point underdog on Saturday. This game is being played on a neutral court at Madison Square Garden in New York City.

REASONS TO TAKE THE OWLS: FAU held Fairleigh Dickinson to just 38.0% shooting in their victory on Sunday. Four of their last five opponents have not shot better than 38.1% from the field. The Owls rank 33rd in the nation in Adjusted Defensive Efficiency — and they give up -1.3 fewer points per 100 possessions when they are playing away from home. But Florida Atlantic scores -5.2 fewer points per 100 possessions when playing on the road on neutral courts or in hostile environments. Tennessee only made 40.4% of their shots in their upset win against Duke — but they nailed 9 of their 21 shots from behind the arc to secure the victory. The Vols miss their spark plug on offense in point guard Zakai Zeigler who suffered a season-ending torn ACL in late February. They have only scored 123 combined points in their two Big Dance games. The Volunteers lead the nation in Adjusted Defensive Efficiency — and they also enjoy the lowest Adjusted Defensive Efficiency when playing on the road. They have played 10 of their last 16 games Under the Total after not allowing more than 55 points in their last game. But Tennessee sees their scoring drop by -8.0 points per possession when playing away from home.

FINAL TAKE: Tennessee has played 5 of their last 7 games Under the Total on a neutral court when favored by up to six points or listed as a pick ‘em. FAU has played 5 of their last 6 tournament games Under the Total. 8* CBB FAU-Tennessee TBS-TV O/U Special with Under the Total in the game between the Florida Atlantic Owls (635) plus the points versus the Tennessee Volunteers (636). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 7:40 PM ET on Wednesday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Indiana Pacers (503) and the Toronto Raptors (504). THE SITUATION: Indiana (32-40) has lost three of their last four games after their 115-109 loss at Charlotte as a 2-point favorite on Monday. Toronto (35-37) had their three-game winning streak snapped in a 118-111 loss at Milwaukee as a 7.5-point underdog on Sunday.

REASONS TO TAKE OVER THE TOTAL: The Pacers lost to the Hornets despite holding them to 45.6% shooting which was the best defensive effort in their last ten games. But they only shot 45.1% from the field themselves which was the worst shooting performance in their last three games. Indiana has played 17 of their last 24 games Under the Total after an upset loss — and they have played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total after a point spread loss. They did get back rookie Benedict Mathurin for this contest who scored 18 points in the losing effort. But the team misses Tyrese Haliburton who has been out for five straight games with a knee injury — and he is questionable to play tonight. The offense has not suffered with Haliburton — the team is making 48.3% of their shots in their last five games which have generated 117.4 Points-Per-Game. Both of those marks are above their season averages of 115.8 PPG and a 46.6% field goal percentage. But the Pacers' defense has let their last five opponents make 50.5% of their shots which has resulted in them scoring 122.2 PPG, a 3.9 PPG bump above their season average. Indiana has played 5 of their last 7 games Over the Total on the road — and they have played 5 straight road games Over the Total against teams with a winning record at home. They have also played 4 straight Overs against teams with a losing record. And in their last 33 games as an underdog getting 3.5 to 9.5 points, they have played 22 of these games Over the Total. Toronto only made 44.4% of their shots on Sunday which was the worst shooting effort in their last five games. Acquiring Jakob Poetl from San Antonio at the trade deadline has ignited their offensive attack that sorely needed another big man in the middle. They have made 49.7% of their shots in their last five games which have generated 119.6 PPG. But the defense for the Raptors remains an issue as they have allowed nine of their last 11 opponents to shoot 50% or better from the field. Their last five opponents have made 50.1% of their shots against them which is resulting in 113.6 PPG. Toronto has played 6 of their last 8 games Over the Total after a straight-up loss — and they have played 15 of their last 22 games Over the Total after a point-spread victory. And while they have covered the point spread in five of their last seven games, the Raptors have then played 15 of their last 19 home games Over the Total after covering the point spread in five or six of their last seven games. They return home where they have played  6 of their last 8 games Over the Total — and they have played 9 of their last 13 home games Over the Total against teams not winning more than 40% of their games on the road. Furthermore, Toronto has played 10 of their last 12 home games Over the Total when favored by 6.5 to 12 points.

FINAL TAKE: Toronto will be looking to avenge a 122-114 upset loss at Indiana as a 1.5-point favorite on the road back on January 22nd — and they have played 6 of their last 8 games Over the Total when playing with revenge from an upset loss as a road favorite. 25* NBA Eastern Conference Total of the Month with Over the Total in the game between the Indiana Pacers (503) and the Toronto Raptors (504). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 9:00 PM ET on Tuesday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Wisconsin Badgers (615) and the Oregon Ducks (616) in the Quarterfinals of the NIT. THE SITUATION: Wisconsin (19-14) has won three of their last four games after their 75-71 win against Liberty as a 4-point favorite on Sunday. Oregon (21-14) has won two straight games — and six of their last seven contests — after their 68-54 win against Central Florida as a 2-point favorite on Sunday.

REASONS TO TAKE OVER THE TOTAL: Wisconsin is back to full strength after dealing with injuries during the Big Ten conference play — and they shot a season-high 54.0% from the field in their win against Liberty. Now they go on the road where they have played 20 of their last 27 games Over the Total — and the Over is 22-7-1 in their last 30 road games against teams winning 60% or more of their games. The Badgers score +6.8 more points per 100 possessions on the road than at home — but they also give up +5.2 more points per 100 possessions when playing in hostile environments. Oregon entered the season with high expectations — but injuries and inconsistencies kept this team from making the NCAA Tournament. They beat Arizona in mid-January — but they also suffered two three-game losing streaks. The Ducks are dealing with some injuries with three regulars in their rotation, Will Richardson, N’Faly Dante, and Jermaine Couisnard, all questionable to play tonight. But for big programs like Oregon, the NIT is an opportunity to establish momentum for next season by giving the younger players an opportunity — and this trio of players has yet to play in the NIT due to these injuries. The absence of the 6’11 Dante has created more opportunities for a pair of seven-footers in Nate Brittle and Kel’el Ware. Brittle is a sophomore who has scored 21 and 17 points for the Ducks in their two NIT victories. Ware is a freshman who has added 11 and 9 points in the NIT. Without Richardson and Couisnard, some veterans have stepped up with senior Quincy Guerrier scoring 16 points against Central Florida and senior Rivaldo Soares contributing 21 points in their first NIT game which was an 84-58 win against UC-Irvine. Remember, Oregon was considered to have one of the top ten rosters in the nation entering the season. The Ducks make 46.7% of their shots at home which results in them scoring 73.8 Points-Per-Game — and they are scoring a robust 116.7 points per 100 possessions when playing at home, ranking 31st in the nation over that span.

FINAL TAKE: Wisconsin takes 23 shots from behind the arc per game while Oregon takes 22 shots from 3-point land per game. The Badgers have played 7 of their last 8 games on the road Over the Total against teams who average 21 or more shots from 3-point land per game — and the Ducks have played 17 of their last 23 games after 15 games into the season Over the Total against teams who take 21 or more 3-pointers per game. 8* CBB Tuesday Daily Discounted O/U Deal with Over the Total in the game between the Wisconsin Badgers (615) and the Oregon Ducks (616). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 8:10 PM ET on Monday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Dallas Mavericks (567) and the Memphis Grizzlies (568). THE SITUATION: Dallas (36-35) has won two games in a row after their 111-110 upset win in Los Angeles against the Lakers on Friday. Memphis (43-27) has won five of their last six games after their 133-119 win against Golden State as a 1-point favorite on Saturday.

REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: The Mavericks allowed the Lakers to make 51.2% of their shots which was the worst defensive effort in their last six games. This team is playing undermanned tonight with Luka Doncic still out and both Kyrie Irving and Tim Hardaway, Jr. are questionable. Dallas has played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total on the road. Memphis made 54.7% of their shots which was the best shooting effort in their last 15 games. This team is also missing key pieces of their offensive attack with Ja Morant out indefinitely and both Brandon Clarke and Steven Adams are out with injuries. Jalen Jackson, Jr. is questionable with a calf injury. The Under is 7-3-1 in the Grizzlies’ last 11 games at home.

FINAL TAKE: These two teams have played 6 of their last 7 meetings Under the Total after Memphis beat Dallas by a 104-88 score back on March 13th with the Total set at 220 for that game. 8* NBA Monday Night Discounted O/U Deal with Under the Total in the game between the Dallas Mavericks (567) and the Memphis Grizzlies (568). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 9:40 PM ET on Sunday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the TCU Horned Frogs (851) and the Gonzaga Bulldogs (852) in the Round of 32 in the NCAA Tournament. THE SITUATION: TCU (22-12) has won two of their last three games with their 72-70 victory against Arizona State as a 5-point favorite on Friday. Gonzaga (29-5) has won ten games in a row with their 82-70 victory against Grand Canyon as a 15-point favorite on Friday. This game is being played on a neutral court at Ball Arena in Denver, Colorado.

REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: The Horned Frogs survived their game with the Sun Devils despite allowing them to make 48.1% of their shots. TCU ranks 23rd in the nation in Adjusted Defensive Efficiency. They have played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total after a victory as the favorite where they did not cover the points spread. And while the Horned Frogs have only covered the point spread once in their last five games, they have then played 9 of their last 11 games Under the Total after failing to cover the point spread in three of their last four games. Gonzaga has played six straight Unders after winning five or more games in a row. The Bulldogs lead the nation in Adjusted Offensive Efficiency — but they score -3.6 fewer points per 100 possessions when they are playing away from home. Gonzaga has played 7 of their last 8 games Under the Total after 15 games into the season against teams winning 60-80% of their games.

 FINAL TAKE: TCU has played 12 of their last 15 games Under the Total in March — and they have played 9 of their last 13 games Under the Total in the NCAA Tournament. 8* CBB TCU-Gonzaga Under the Total in the game between the TCU Horned Frogs (851) and the Gonzaga Bulldogs (852). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 7:45 PM ET on Sunday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Farleigh Dickinson Knights (843) and the Florida Atlantic Owls (844) in the Round of 32 in the NCAA Tournament. THE SITUATION: Farleigh Dickinson (21-15) has won five of their last six games after their 63-58 upset victory against Purdue as a 23-point underdog on Friday. Florida Atlantic (32-3) is on an eight-game winning streak after their 66-65 upset victory against Memphis as a 1.5-point underdog on Friday. This game is being played on a neutral court at Nationwide Arena in Columbus, Ohio.

REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: Part of the Knights' success in shocking the Boilermakers was holding them to 35.8% shooting — although Purdue’s 19.2% shooting percentage from behind the arc had something to do with some nervy Boilermakers’ shooters. Fairleigh Dickinson will continue to work hard on the defensive end of the court. The Knights have held their last four opponents to no better than 41.9% shooting and no more than 67 points — and these last four opponents have averaged just 59 Points-Per-Game. But while Fairleigh Dickinson’s hopes rely on their 3-point shooting, they only made 7 of their 23 (30.4%) shots from behind the arc and settled for a 38.7% shooting clip overall on Friday. The Knights have played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total after a straight-up win — and they have played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total after a point-spread victory. They have also played 6 straight games Under the Total on the road after winning three of their last four games. FAU beat Memphis with the Tigers making 43.1% of their shots which was actually the Owls’ worst defensive effort in their last four games. In their last ten games on the road, FAU ranks 10th in the nation in Adjusted Defensive Efficiency — and they hold their opponents to just 27.7% shooting from behind the arc which is the seventh lowest mark in the nation during that span. But the Owls also score -4.5 fewer points per 100 possessions when playing on the road on neutral courts or in hostile environments. The Under is 19-7-1 in FAU’s last 27 games on a neutral court — and they have played 7 straight Unders on a neutral court with the Total set in the 145-149.5 point range.

FINAL TAKE: Florida Atlantic has played 6 of their last 9 games Under the Total against teams winning 51-60% of their games. 25* CBB Second Round NCAA Tournament Total of the Year with Under the Total in the game between the Farleigh Dickinson Knights (843) and the Florida Atlantic Owls (844). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 10:05 PM ET on Friday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Arizona State Sun Devils (797) and the TCU Horned Frogs (798) in the Round of 64 in the NCAA Tournament. THE SITUATION: Arizona State (23-12) has won three of their last four games after their 98-73 victory as a 2-point favorite in their First Four NCAA Tournament game on Tuesday. TCU (21-12) has lost two of their last three games after a 66-60 loss to Texas as a 1.5-point underdog in the Semifinals of the Big 12 Conference Tournament last Friday. This game is being played on a neutral court at Ball Arena in Denver, Colorado.

REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: Arizona State torched the nets by making 63.6% of their shots against the Wolf Pack including 11 of their 22 shots from behind the arc. That was, by far, their best offensive effort of the season. But this team possesses an effective field goal percentage of just 47.3% when playing on the road, ranking 269th in the nation. The Sun Devils have played 8 of their last 9 games Under the Total after a win by 20 or more points. TCU only shot 35.6% from the field in their loss to the Longhorns last week. This team lost their best inside presence when 6’11 Eddie Lampkin left the program a few weeks ago. They rank 218th in the nation in their last ten games on the road with an effective field goal percentage of 48.9%. The Horned Frogs have played 10 of their last 12 games Under the Total on the road after a loss to a Big 12 rival.

FINAL TAKE: TCU has played 6 of their last 9 games Under the Total after 15 games into the season against teams winning 60-80% of their games — and they have played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total on a neutral court. 8* CBB Friday Late Show O/U Bailout with Under the Total in the game between the Arizona State Sun Devils (797) and the TCU Horned Frogs (798). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 7:25 PM ET on Friday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Drake Bulldogs (769) and the Miami (FL) Hurricanes (770) in the Round of 64 in the NCAA Tournament. THE SITUATION: Drake (27-7) has won three in a row — and 13 of their last 14 contests — after their 77-51 victory against Bradley as a 2-point favorite in the Championship Game of the Missouri Valley Conference Tournament on March 5th. Miami (FL) (25-7) had their two-game winning streak snapped in an 85-78 loss to Duke as a 2.5-point underdog in the Semifinals of the ACC Tournament last Friday. This game is being played on a neutral court at MVP Arena in Albany, New York.

REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: Drake won all three of their games in their Arch Madness by at least 12 points while shooting 47.1% or better from the field in each game. But the Bulldogs have then played 8 straight games Under the Total on the road after winning at least three games in a row by double-digits. They have also played 8 of their last 9 games Under the Total after making 47% or more of their shots in three straight games. Drake has also played 5 straight games Under the Total after a straight-up win — and they have played 5 straight games Under the Total after a point-spread victory. And while they have covered the point spread in three straight games, they have then played 10 of their last 11 games Under the Total after covering the point spread in two or more games in a row. The Bulldogs’ efficiency on offense drops by -2.4 points per 100 possessions when they play away from home. Now they face an angry Hurricanes team that allowed Duke to nail 54.9% of their shots last week which was the worst defensive effort in their last five games. Miami (FL) lost Norchad Omier early in that game to an ankle injury — and his absence was felt in their interior defense. At 6’7, Omier and Jordan Miller are the two tallest players in their starting five lineup. While he helps their offensive efforts by scoring 13.6 Points-Per-Game this season, he is important for their frontcourt defense and keeping opponents off their offensive glass. Duke pulled down 36.0% of their missed shots with Omier missing most of that game. The Hurricanes tighten things up on that end of the court tonight as they have played 8 straight Unders after allowing 85 or more points in their last game — and they have played 9 of their last 10 games on the road Under the Total after slowing 85 or more points in their last game. Furthermore, Miami has played 9 of their last 12 games Under the Total after a point spread loss — and they have played 10 of their last 14 games Under the Total after playing a game that finished Over the Total. According to their Adjusted Efficiency numbers, the Hurricanes allow  -10.9 fewer points per 100 possessions when playing away from home.

FINAL TAKE: Miami (FL) has played 6 of their last 8 games Under the Total played on a neutral court — and they have played 5 straight games in the NCAA Tournament Under the Total. Drake has played 4 straight games Under the Total played on a neutral court. 25* CBB First Round Total of the Year with Under the Total in the game between the Drake Bulldogs (769) and the Miami (FL) Hurricanes (770). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 9:10 PM ET on Thursday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Northern Kentucky Norse (749) and the Houston Cougars (750) in the Round of 64 of the NCAA Tournament. THE SITUATION: Northern Kentucky (22-12) has won five games in a row after taking the Horizon League tournament title with their 63-61 victory against Cleveland State as a 2.5-point favorite on March 7th. Houston (31-3) saw their 13-game winning streak snapped in a 75-65 upset loss to Memphis in the American Athletic Conference Championship Game as a 5.5-point favorite on Sunday. This game is being played on a neutral court at Legacy Arena in Birmingham, Alabama.

REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: Houston may continue to be without their top playmaker on offense in Marcus Sasser who injured himself in the semifinals of the AAC tournament. Even if the groin injury that kept him out of the title game against the Tigers last Sunday, it is not likely he will play a ton of minutes with an important game looming on Saturday. The Cougars only made 31.2% of their shots against Memphis on Sunday — and that effort came two games after they only shot 28.1% from the field in their Quarterfinals of the American Athletic Conference Tournament against East Carolina. They also let the Tigers make 50.9% of their shots which was the worst defensive effort in their last four games. Head coach Kelvin Sampson’s team should tighten things up on defense — they rank second in the nation with an opponent’s effective field goal percentage of 43.4% when playing away from home. The Under is 6-1-1 in Houston’s last 8 games after a straight-up loss. The Under is also 42-20-1 in their last 63 games against teams with a winning record. Northern Kentucky has played 13 of their last 17 games Under the Total following a straight-up win. Things could get dicey for the Norse tonight when considering that they rank 315th in the nation with a 45.5% shooting percentage inside the arc when playing away from home. They have played 4 straight Unders against teams winning 60% or more of their games.

FINAL TAKE: The Norse have played 5 of their last 7 games Under the Total when playing on a neutral court — and the Cougars have played 6 of their last 8 games Under the Total on a neutral court. 8* CBB Thursday Late Show O/U Bailout with Under the Total in the game between the Northern Kentucky Norse (749) and the Houston Cougars (750). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 3:10 PM ET on Thursday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the College of Charleston Cougars (737) and the San Diego State Aztecs (738) in the Round of 64 in the NCAA Tournament. THE SITUATION: College of Charleston (31-3) has won ten straight games after their 63-58 victory against UNC-Wilmington in the Colonial Athletic Association Tournament Finals as a 9.5-point favorite on March 7th. San Diego State (27-6) has won 10 of their last 11 games after their 62-57 victory against Utah State as a 2-point favorite on Saturday to win the Mountain West Conference Tournament. This game is being played on a neutral court at the Amway Center in Orlando, Florida.

REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: The Cougars only made 40.4% of their shots to beat UNC-Wilmington last week — but that was still the best shooting effort in their last three games. The Under is 3-0-1 in the College of Charleston’s last 4 games after a straight-up win. This team is playing better defense as of late after holding the Seahawks to 40.7% shooting from the field. While they rank 70th in the nation in Adjusted Defensive Efficiency, they improve to 58th in the nation in their last ten games when looking exclusively at defenses on a neutral court or the road in a hostile environment. But the Cougars rank just 106th in the nation in Adjusted Offensive Efficiency in their last ten games away from home. San Diego State has played 20 of their last 30 games on the road Under the Total after winning their last game. They have also played 12 of their last 15 games Under the Total after winning four or more games in a row.

At 2:00 PM ET on Thursday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Howard Bison (757) and the Kansas Jayhawks (758) in the Round of 64 in the NCAA Tournament. THE SITUATION: Howard (22-12) rides a five-game winning streak after their 65-64 win against Norfolk State in the Championship Game of the Mid-Eastern Athletic Conference as a 2-point underdog last Saturday. Kansas (27-7) lost in the Big 12 Championship Game to Texas by a 76-56 score as a 2-point favorite last Saturday. This game is being played on a neutral court at the Wells Fargo Arena in Des Moines, Iowa.

REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: The Jayhawks’ first order of business is to tighten things up on defense after they allowed the Longhorns to nail 50.0% of their shots which was the worst shooting effort in their last eight games. Kansas has played 5 of their last 7 games Under the Total after a point-spread loss. The Jayhawks should play much better on that end of the court this afternoon as they rank fourth in the nation in Adjusted Defensive Efficiency when playing away from home. But Kansas also sees their Adjusted Offensive Efficiency drop by -4.5 points per 100 possessions when they are playing away from home. The Jayhawks have played 4 straight Unders against teams with a winning percentage of 60% or higher. Howard has played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total after a point-spread win. The Bison have played three straight Unders after holding Norfolk State to just 37.9% shooting which was still their worst defensive effort in their last four games.

At 9:00 PM ET on Wednesday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Virginia Tech Hokies (715) and the Cincinnati Bearcats (716) in the First Round of the National Invitational Tournament. THE SITUATION: Virginia Tech (19-14) got eliminated in the ACC Tournament in a 97-77 loss to North Carolina State as a 2.5-point underdog on Wednesday. Cincinnati (21-12) lost in the Semifinals of the American Athletic Conference Tournament to Houston by a 69-48 score as a 9.5-point underdog on Saturday.

REASONS TO TAKE OVER THE TOTAL: Cincinnati shot a season-low 25.5% from the field against the Cougars. They should find their shooting stroke again at home where they are making 46.9% of their shots which is resulting in 82.7 Points-Per-Game. The Over is 3-1-1 in their last 5 games at home. They have also played 7 of their last 9  home games Over the Total when favored by up to six points. But what was also a concern for the Bearcats against Houston was the play of their defense as they allowed them to nail 50.9% of their shots. Virginia Tech has a 2-9 record in their 11 true road games in hostile environments,— and they ranked 201st in the nation in Adjusted Defensive Efficiency. What drags this team down the most when playing in those road games is their interior defense as they allow their home hosts to make 54.2% of their shots inside the arc, ranking 283rd in the nation. The Hokies have played 5 of their last 6 games Over the Total on the road.

FINAL TAKE: Virginia Tech has played 8 of their last 10 games Over the Total on the road against teams with a winning record. 8* CBB Wednesday Daily Discounted O/U Deal with Over the Total in the game between the Virginia Tech Hokies (715) and the Cincinnati Bearcats (716). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 8:10 PM ET on Wednesday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Boston Celtics (581) and the Minnesota Timberwolves (582). THE SITUATION: Boston (47-22) had their two-game winning streak snapped with a 111-109 upset loss at Houston as a 12.5-point favorite on Monday. Minnesota (35-34) has won four of their last six games after their 136-115 victory as a 5.5-point underdog on Monday.

REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: The Timberwolves nailed 58.7% of their shots on Monday against the Hawks — but that was the second-highest field goal percentage in their last 39 games. They have played 8 of their last 11 games Under the Total after a win by 10 or more points. They return home where they have played 10 of their last 14 games Under the Total as an underdog. Boston continues their road trip having played 21 of their last 32 games Under the Total away from home. They have also played 10 of their last 15 road games Under the Total with the total set at 230 or higher.

FINAL TAKE: The Celtics have played 12 of their last 16 road games Under the Total against teams with a winning record. 8* NBA Wednesday Daily Discounted O/U Deal with Boston Celtics (581) and the Minnesota Timberwolves (582). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 7:40 PM ET on Tuesday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Denver Nuggets (563) and the Toronto Raptors (564). THE SITUATION: Denver (46-22) has lost three games in a row after their 122-120 upset loss to Brooklyn as a 9-point favorite on Sunday. Toronto (32-36) has lost three in a row and five of their last seven after a 122-112 loss in Los Angeles against the Lakers as a 2.5-point favorite on Friday.

REASONS TO TAKE OVER THE TOTAL: After playing better defense for much of the season, the Nuggets have taken a step back again on that end of the court. They have allowed their last four opponents to make at least 50% of their shots after the Nets accomplished that feat against them on Sunday. Denver has played 6 of their last 7 games Over the Total after a straight-up loss — and they have played 5 of their last 7 games Over the Total after a point spread loss. Toronto has allowed seven straight opponents to make at least 50% of their shots against them. The Raptors have played 5 of their last 7 games Over the Total after losing their previous game. They have also played 6 of their last 7 games Over the Total against teams with a winning record.

FINAL TAKE: These two teams have seen the Over go 23-9-1 in their last 33 meetings against each other after Denver beat Toronto last Tuesday by a 118-113 score as a 6-point favorite with the Total set at 229. This rematch is in Toronto — and these two teams have played 8 of their last 10 games Over the Total when playing in the Raptors’ building. 8* NBA Tuesday Daily Discounted O/U Deal with Over the Total in the game between the Denver Nuggets (563) and the Toronto Raptors (564). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 7:10 PM ET on Monday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Indiana Pacers (545) and the Detroit Pistons (546). THE SITUATION: Indiana (31-37) has won two straight games after their 121-115 victory at Detroit as a 3.5-point favorite on Saturday. Detroit (15-53) has lost 11 games in a row.

REASONS TO TAKE OVER THE TOTAL: The Pacers made 46.2% of their shots in that game which was the worst shooting effort in their last four games. They also held the Pistons to nail 45.7% of their shots which was the best defensive effort in their last five contests. Indiana has played 4 of their last 5 games Over the Total after a win against a Central Division rival. And while they have won three of their last four games, they have then played 10 of their last 15 games Over the Total after winning three of their last four games. The Pacers have also played 8 of their last 10 games Over the Total against Central Division opponents. Indiana’s 46.2% shooting percentage on Saturday was the best defensive effort in their last seven games. But Detroit has covered the point spread only once in their last four games — and they have played 15 of their last 21 games Over the Total after failing to cover the point spread in three of their last four games.

FINAL TAKE: Both of these teams have been hit hard with injuries — and that means role players get the opportunity to score points against suspect defensive players. These two teams have played 4 of their last 5 games against each other Over the Total. 8* NBA Monday Daily Discounted O/U Deal with Over the Total in the game between the Indiana Pacers (545) and the Detroit Pistons (546). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 6:00 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Texas Longhorns (623) and the Kansas Jayhawks (624) in the Finals of the Big 12 Conference Tournament. THE SITUATION: Texas (25-8) is on a three-game winning streak after their 66-60 victory against TCU as a 1.5-point favorite in the semifinals of this tournament yesterday. Kansas (27-6) has won nine of their last ten games after their 71-58 victory against Iowa State as a 4.5-point favorite on Friday. This game is being played on a neutral court at the T-Mobile Center in Kansas City, Missouri.

REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: The Longhorns held the Horned Frogs to just a 35.6% field goal percentage — it was the third game in a row that they held an opponent to no higher than 36.2%. Texas has played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total after a straight-up win — and they have played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total after a point-spread victory. The Longhorns rank 12th in the nation in Adjusted Defensive Efficiency — and on the road, they give up -2.9 fewer points per 100 possessions than when they are playing at home, ranking 11th in the nation in Adjusted Defensive Efficiency in hostile environments or neutral courts. But Texas sees their Adjusted Offensive Efficiency drop by -9.5 points per 100 possessions when they are on the road versus their efforts at home. They only made 2 of their 14 shots from behind the arc yesterday — and they have played 41 of their last 64 games Under the Total after a game where they did not shoot better than 20% from 3-point range. The Longhorns have now played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total against teams with a winning percentage of 60% or higher. Kansas has played 5 straight Unders after a straight-up win — and they have played 5 of their last 7 games Under the Total after a point-spread victory. They have also played 11 of their last 15 games Under the Total after winning six or seven of their last eight games. They held the Cyclones to just 40% shooting yesterday as they rank sixth in the nation in Adjusted Defensive Efficiency. Furthermore, they give up -5.6 fewer points per 100 possessions when they are playing on the road helping them rank 4th in the nation in Adjusted Defensive Efficiency when playing away from home. But the Jayhawks score -3.8 points per 100 possessions less when on the road as well. Kansas has played 5 of their last 7 games Under the Total when playing on a neutral court.

FINAL TAKE: These two teams split their two regular season games with Texas winning the most recent matchup on March 4th by a 75-59 score. The Jayhawks have played 12 of their last 14 games Under the Total on the road when avenging a loss on the road by 10 or more points. 10* CBB Saturday Night Discounted O/U Deal with Under the Total in the game between the Texas Longhorns (623) and the Kansas Jayhawks (624). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 3:30 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Saint Louis Billikens (607) and the Virginia Commonwealth Rams (608) in the Semifinals of the Atlantic 10 Conference Tournament. THE SITUATION: Saint Louis (21-11) has won three of their last four games after their 82-54 win against George Mason as a 4.5-point favorite on Thursday. VCU (25-7) has won seven games in a row after their 71-53 win against Davidson as a 7-point favorite on Thursday. This game is being played on a neutral court at the Barclays Center in Brooklyn, New York.

REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: The Billikens nailed 55.9% of their shots against the Patriots on Thursday which was the best shooting effort in their last five games. Saint Louis does see their Adjusted Offensive Efficiency drop by -3.6 points per 100 possessions when they are playing away from home. They have played 7 of their last 10 games Under the Total after a point spread win. And while they have covered the point spread in two straight games, they have then played 6 of their last 8 games Under the Total after covering the point spread in two of their last three games. Saint Louis has also played 6 of their last 8 games Under the Total against teams winning 60% or more of their games. VCU shot 57.4% from the field on Thursday which was the best shooting effort in their 16 contests. But the Rams rank just 164th in the nation in Adjusted Offensive Efficiency when playing on the road. They have played 7 of their last 10 games Under the Total after a straight-up win — and they have played 5 of their last 7 games Under the Total after a point spread victory. They have also played 8 of their last 11 games Under the Total after winning two games in a row against conference rivals. And while they have covered the point spread in five of their last six games, they have then played 8 of their last 10 games Under the Total. Furthermore, VCU has played 7 of their last 10 games Under the Total after a game where no more than 125 combined points were scored. The Rams will bring an outstanding defense into this game — they rank 16th in the nation in Adjusted Defensive Efficiency.

FINAL TAKE: VCU swept the two games between these two teams — following up a 73-65 victory on February 3rd with a 79-67 win at home on February 28th. Saint Louis has played 9 of their last 13 games Under the Total when attempting to avenge a loss on the road — and they have played 6 of their last 8 games Under the Total when playing with revenge from a loss where they gave up 75 or more points. 10* CBB Saturday Afternoon Discounted O/U Deal with Under the Total in the game between the Saint Louis Billikens (607) and the Virginia Commonwealth Rams (608). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 12:00 AM ET on Saturday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Utah State Aggies (871) and the Boise State Broncos (872) in the Semifinals of the Mountain West Conference Tournament. THE SITUATION: Utah State (25-7) has won six games in a row after their 91-76 victory against New Mexico as a 3.5-point victory yesterday in the quarterfinals of this tournament. Boise State (24-8) has won two of their last three games after their 87-76 victory against UNLV as a 5.5-point favorite yesterday. This game is being played at the Thomas & Mack Center in Las Vegas.

REASONS TO TAKE OVER THE TOTAL: The Aggies scored 91 points despite a 48.4% field goal percentage which was the lowest shooting mark in their last three games. Utah State ranks 13th in the nation in Adjusted Offensive Efficiency — and that mark improves to 11th in the nation when they are playing away from home. The Aggies are fourth in the nation by nailing 39.5% of their 3-pointers — and they make 38.7% of their shots from behind the arc when playing away from home. Utah State has played 6 straight Overs after scoring 90 or more points in their last game. Additionally, the Over is 20-8-1 in their last 29 games after a straight-up win — and the Over is 13-5-1 in their last 19 games after a point-spread victory. The Over is 5-2-1 in the Aggies’ last 8 games against teams winning 60% or more of their games — and they have played 9 of their last 12 games Over the Total on a neutral court. Boise State has played 4 of their last 5 games Over the Total after a straight-up win — and they have played 10 of their last 13 games Over the Total after a win against a conference rival. They have also played 5 of their last 7 games Over the Total after a point-spread victory. The Broncos are a good offensive team that can keep up with the Aggies’ scoring. In their last ten games away from home, they rank 39th in the nation in Adjusted Offensive Efficiency. They make 37.0% of their 3-pointers in conference playing, ranking fourth in the Mountain West. And while the Aggies attempt 24 shots from behind the arc per game, Boise State has played 11 of their last 14 games Over the Total after 15 games into the season against teams who attempt 21 or more shots from downtown per contest. Despite their good defensive numbers, the Broncos tend to play higher or lower-scoring games based on their opponent. They have scored 80 or more points in three of their last eight games. They have given up 74 or more points in four of their last five games despite an Adjusted Defensive Efficiency that ranks 19th in the nation. Boise State has played 9 of their last 12 games Over the Total against teams winning 60% or more of their games. They have also played 26 of their last 37 games in the Mountain West Conference Tournament Over the Total.

FINAL TAKE: The Broncos will be looking to avenge an 86-73 loss at Utah State last Saturday — and they have played 15 of their last 19 games Over the Total when attempting to avenge a double-digit loss on the road. 25* CBB Mountain West Conference Tournament Total of the Year with Over the Total in the game between the Utah State Aggies (871) and the Boise State Broncos (872). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 3:00 PM ET on Friday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the UAB Blazers (819) and the North Texas Mean Green (820) in the Semifinals of the Conference USA Tournament. THE SITUATION: UAB (24-8) has won seven games in a row with their 87-60 victory against Rice as a 14-point favorite on Thursday. North Texas (26-6) has won three in a row and 11 of their last 12 contests with their 74-46 victory against Louisiana Tech as a 9-point favorite yesterday. This game is being played on a neutral court at the Center at the Star in Frisco, Texas.

REASONS TO TAKE OVER THE TOTAL: This is a clash of styles with North Texas playing at one of the slowest paces in the nation while UAB ranks 39th in the nation with their games averaging 70.5 adjusted possessions per game. We bet numbers — and we are getting value with the Total in the 126 range. If the Blazers can successfully amp up the pace, we will win this one comfortably. But even if the Mean Green impose their will, I still think a rock fight finds its way over the number. North Texas is an outstanding defensive team — but their Adjusted Defensive Efficiency rises by 3.5 points per 100 possessions when they are playing away from home on neutral courts or hostile environments even after they stymied the Bulldogs to just 30.4% shooting yesterday. The Mean Green has played 5 straight Overs after not allowing more than 50 points in their last game. They have played 8 of their last 10 games Over the Total on the road after a double-digit victory. Additionally, the Over is 5-2-1 in their last 8 games after both a straight-up win and a point-spread victory. North Texas forces turnovers -- but this aggressiveness can get them in trouble as they rank 344th in the nation in foul rate. And they are a solid offensive team that ranks third in Adjusted Offensive Efficiency in the conference and do not see much drop off when playing away from home. They have played 6 of their last 8 games Over the Total against teams winning 60% or more of their games. UAB ranks 42nd in the nation in Adjusted Offensive Efficiency — and they score 80.9 Points-Per-Game when on the road. They are scoring 84.0 PPG with a 47.4% field goal percentage in their last five games. They have played 12 of their last 17 games Over the Total after scoring 80 or more points in their last contest. They have also played 11 of their last 13 games Over the Total after a win by 10 or more points — and the Over is 13-3-1 in their last 17 games after a win by 20 or more points. Furthermore, the Over is 34-16-1 in their last 51 games after a straight-up win — and the Over is 19-7-1 in their last 27 games after a point-spread victory. The Blazers have also played 12 of their last 16 games Over the Total against teams with a winning percentage of 60% or higher.

FINAL TAKE: North Texas swept the two regular season games with neither seeing more than 124 combined points in regulation (the rematch in Denton on February 9th went to double overtime after a 62-62 score after 40 minutes — so the 82-79 final score is deceiving). But UAB has played 3 of their 4 games Over the Toal when attempting to avenge a loss on the road this season — and they have played 7 of their 8 games Over the Total when playing on a neutral court. 25* CBB Conference USA Total of the Year with Over the Total in the game between the UAB Blazers (819) and the North Texas Mean Green (820). Best of luck for us — Frank. 

At 9:00 PM ET on Thursday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Stanford Cardinal (769) and the Arizona Wildcats (770) in the Quarterfinals of the Pac-12 Tournament. THE SITUATION: Stanford (14-18) won for the third time in their last four games with a 73-62 victory against Utah in a pick ‘em contest yesterday in the first round of the Pac-12 Tournament. Arizona (25-6) comes into this event having lost two of their last three games after an 82-73 loss at UCLA as a 5-point underdog last Saturday. This game is being played on a neutral court at T-Mobile Arena in Las Vegas.

REASONS TO TAKE OVER THE TOTAL: The Cardinal advanced despite making only 41.9% of their shots from the field against the Utes which was the worst shooting effort in their last eight games. They are still making 47.5% of their shots in their last five games. Stanford ranks 32nd in the nation in Adjusted Offensive Efficiency — and they rise to 10th in the nation in that metric in their last ten games. Their productivity does not decline when playing away from Palo Alto either — they rank 4th in the nation in their last ten games in Adjusted Offensive Efficiency when playing away from home. The Cardinal has played 5 straight Overs after a straight-up win — and they have played 9 of their last 11 games Over the Total after a win by 10 or more points against a Pac-12 opponent. Furthermore, Stanford has played 7 of their last 8 games Over the Total after a point spread win — and they have played 9 of their last 11 games Over the Total when playing on the road against a point spread victory. They have also played 5 of their last 7 games Over the Total when playing their third game in seven days. The Cardinal has played 7 of their last 8 games Over the Total against teams with a winning percentage of 60% or higher — and they have played 6 of their last 9 games Over the Total in March. Arizona only made 47.4% of their shots against the Bruins which was the lowest shooting percentage in their last four games. The Wildcats rank 5th in the nation in Adjusted Offensive Efficiency — and they rank 5th in the nation with an effective field goal percentage of 56.5% with top-20 marks in both 3-point and 2-point shooting. When playing away from home, their Adjusted Offensive Efficiency improves to 3rd in the nation. Arizona also plays at a blistering pace as they average 72.7 adjusted possessions per game, ranking 6th in the nation — and that mark rises to 73.6 adjusted possessions per game when playing away from home. The Wildcats have played 5 of their last 6 games Over the Total after a straight-up loss — and they have played 4 straight Overs after a point spread loss. They have played 9 of their last 10 games Over the Total on the road when playing for the second time in the last seven days. They have also played 16 of their last 23 road games Over the Total against conference rivals. Furthermore, Arizona has played 9 straight games in March Over the Total — and they have played 4 straight Overs on a neutral court as a favorite laying 6.5 to 12 points.

FINAL TAKE: Stanford upset the Wildcats in their lone meeting this season back on February 11th as a 7.5-point home underdog  — and Arizona has played 6 of their last 8 games Over the Total when avenging an upset loss on the road. 25* CBB Pac-12 Total of the Year with Over the Total in the game between the Stanford Cardinal (769) and the Arizona Wildcats (770). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 9:00 PM ET on Tuesday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the New Orleans Privateers (306559) and the Northwestern State Demons (306560) in the Semifinals of the Southland Conference Tournament. THE SITUATION: New Orleans (12-19) has won two in a row and six of their last seven after their 82-78 upset win against Southeast Louisiana as a 5-point underdog yesterday. Northwestern State (21-10) has won two of their last three games after an 81-64 win against Incarnate Word as a 10.5-point favorite last Wednesday. This game is being played on a neutral court at The Legacy Center in Lake Charles, Louisiana.

REASONS TO TAKE OVER THE TOTAL: The Privateers advanced to the semifinals of the Southland Conference Tournament despite making only 44.6% of their shots which was the worst shooting effort in their last eight contests. New Orleans should shoot better tonight as they lead the conference with an effective field goal percentage of 55.0%. The Over is 46-22-1 in their last 69 games after a straight-up win — and they have played 6 of their last 7 games Over the Total after a win by six points or less. They have also played 13 of their last 19 games Over the Total after a point-spread win. And they have played 10 of their last 12 games Over the Total after winning two straight games against conference opponents. The Privateers will push the pace in this game. They rank 24th in the nation by averaging 71.4 adjusted possessions per game — and that mark rises to 72.9 adjusted possessions per game in their last ten games when playing away from home, ranking 14th in the nation. New Orleans has played 23 of their last 34 games Over the Total against teams with a winning percentage of 60% or higher — and they have played 13 of their last 19 games Over the Total as an underdog. The Over is also 25-7-1 in their last 33 games played on a neutral court — and the Privateers have played 18 of their last 23 conference tournament games Over the Total. Northwestern State has played 20 of their last 26 games Over the Total after a straight-up win — and they have played 10 of their last 13 games Over the Total after a win against a conference rival in their previous game. They have all played 21 of their last 31 games Over the Total after a point-spread victory. The Demons rank second in the Southland Conference in Adjusted Offensive Efficiency. Their attack is fueled by them pulling down 33.4% of their missed shots, ranking second in the conference. They should have success on the offensive glass tonight against this Privateers team that is last in the Southland Conference by allowing their opponents to rebound 34.4% of their missed shots. Northwestern State has played 6 of their last 7 games Over the Total when playing on a neutral court — and the over is 6-1-1 in their last 8 games against teams with a losing record.

FINAL TAKE: These two teams split their two regular-season meetings with Northwestern State winning the first encounter on the road by an 88-65 score before New Orleans upset them on the road in the rematch on February 18th by a 68-65 score as a 10.5-point underdog. The Demons have played 5 of their last 6 games Over the Total when avenging an upset loss. 25* CBB Southland Conference Tournament Total of the Year with Over the Total in the game between the New Orleans Privateers (306559) and the Northwestern State Demons (306560). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 7:00 PM ET on Monday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the UT-Chattanooga Moccasins (867) and the Furman Paladins (868) in the Finals of the Southern Conference Tournament. THE SITUATION: UT-Chattanooga (18-16) has won three straight games after their 74-62 win against Wofford as a 4-point favorite yesterday. Furman (26-7) has won five games in a row after their 83-80 win in overtime against Western Carolina as a 12-point favorite on Sunday. This game is being played on a neutral court at Harrah’s Cherokee Center in Asheville, North Carolina.

REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: The Moccasins held Wofford to just 38.7% shooting yesterday — that was the fourth time in their last five games and the sixth in their last eight contests where they held their opponent to 42.6% or lower shooting from the floor. Chattanooga ranks second in the Southern Conference when playing on the road by holding their opponents to 48.8% shooting inside the arc. The Moccasins have played 9 of their last 14 games Under the Total after a double-digit win against a conference opponent — and they have played 5 of their last 7 games Under the Total after a point spread win. Additionally, Chattanooga has played 14 of their last 17 games Under the Total against teams with a winning record — and they have played 8 of their last 12 games Under the Total with the Total set in the 150s. Furman only shot 39.0% from the field yesterday which was the worst shooting effort of the season for them. But while I often conclude that outlier efforts like that are aberrations — in this instance, I suspect it is nerves kicking for this Paladins team playing with the weight of expectations. This team has not made the NCAA Tournament since 1980 — and they lost the title game of the Southern Conference Tournament last year against this Chattanooga team so winning this game has been the goal for 365 days. Furman is a good defensive team that led the conference in Adjusted Defensive Efficiency. It starts with the Paladins’ half-court defense as they rank second in the conference with an opponent’s effective field goal percentage of 48.5% while ranking second in the Southern Conference in both 2-point and 3-point defense. They have played 5 of their last 6 games Under the Total after allowing 80 or more points per game — and they have played 11 of their last 14 games Under the Total after a game where 155 or more combined points were scored. Yesterday’s game flew Over the 149-point total because of overtime (the score was 72-72 after regulation time) — and Furman has played 8 straight road games Under the Total after playing a game that finished Over the Total. The Paladins have played 5 straight Unders against teams with a winning record.

FINAL TAKE: Furman swept the two games between these teams in the regular season with the last meeting being on February 1st with the Paladins winning by a 79-58 score. The Moccasins have played 9 of their last 14 games Under the Total when playing with revenge — and they have played 6 of their last 8 games Under the Total when avenging a double-digit loss. UT-Chattanooga has played 11 of their last 16 games Under the Total when playing on a neutral court — and Furman has played 6 of their last 8 games Under the Total on a neutral court. 25* CBB Southern Conference Tournament Total of the Year is with Under the Total in the game between the UT-Chattanooga Moccasins (867) and the Furman Paladins (868). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 8:00 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing Over the Total in the Semifinals of the Northeast Conference Tournament between the St. Francis-PA Red Flash (306527) and the Farleigh Dickinson Knights (306528). THE SITUATION: St. Francis-PA (13-17) has won four of their last five games after their 83-69 win against Central Connecticut State as a 4.5-point favorite on Wednesday. Farleigh Dickinson (18-14) has won three of their last four games with their 83-75 win against St. Francis-NY as a 9-point favorite on Wednesday.

REASONS TO TAKE OVER THE TOTAL: Lots of Overs this week — I’m just following the numbers. The data points to the Over for this one — even before I then realize that these two teams are top-two statistical offenses in terms of Adjusted Efficiency in the Northeast Conference while registering two of the worst defensive metrics in the nation. St. Francis-PA ranks 356th in the nation in Adjusted Defensive Efficiency. They have played 4 of their last 5 games Over the Total after a point spread win — and they have played 19 of their last 27 games Over the Total after winning three of their last four games. And with their win against Central Connecticut State finishing Over, they have then played 19 of their last 28 games Over the Total after playing an Over in their previous game. After playing their last three games on the road, they go on the road where they have played 6 of their last 8 games Over the Total after playing three or more games in a row at home. The Over is 9-3-1 in their last 13 games on the road — and the Over is 6-2-1 in their last 9 road games against teams with a winning record at home. The St. Francis-PA offense is bolstered by their 3-point shooting as they rank 38th in the nation by nailing 36.9% of their shots from behind the arc. Now they play a Knights team ranking 344th in the nation by allowing their opponents to make 37.7% of their shots from behind the arc. Farleigh Dickinson ranks 362nd in the nation in Adjusted Defensive Efficiency — but they also lead the Northeast Conference in Adjusted Offensive Efficiency. They have played 5 of their last 6 games Over the Total after a straight-up win — and they have played 5 of their last 6 games Over the Total after a point spread loss. The Knights have scored 169 points in their last two games — and they have palled 10 of their last 12 games Over the Total after scoring at least 75 points in their last two games. They stay at home where the Over is 12-3-1 in their last 16 games — and they have played 5 straight home games Over the Total against teams with a losing record on the road. They have also played 19 of their last 25 games at home when it is just their second game in seven days.

FINAL TAKE: These two teams split their two regular-season meetings with St. Francis-PA winning the most recent game by an 82-72 score on February 23rd — and Farleigh Dickinson has played 6 of their last 9 games Over the Total when playing with revenge. 25* CBB Northeast Conference Total of the Year with Over the Total in the Semifinals of the Northeast Conference Tournament between the St. Francis-PA Red Flash (306527) and the Farleigh Dickinson Knights (306528). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 12:00 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the South Carolina Upstate Spartans (306521) and the UNC-Asheville Bulldogs (306422) in the Semifinals of the Big South Conference Tournament. THE SITUATION: USC-Upstate (16-14) reached the semifinals of this tournament with their 77-76 upset win against Gardner-Webb as a 4-point underdog yesterday. UNC-Asheville (25-7) joined them in the semifinals of this tournament with their 75-66 win against Charleston Southern as a 9-point favorite on Friday. This game is being played on a neutral court at Bojangles Coliseum in Charlotte, North Carolina.

REASONS TO TAKE OVER THE TOTAL: The Spartans are a good shooting team — they rank second in the Big South with an effective field goal percentage of 52.7% based on the strength of their interior shooting. USC-Upstate ranks second in the conference by making 53.6% of their shots inside the arc. The Spartans have played 4 of their last 5 games Over the Total after a straight-up win — and they have played 17 of their last 22 games Over the Total after a point-spread victory. USC-Upstate is playing their best basketball of the season now with three straight victories along with seven wins in their last eight games. They have then played 4 of their last 5 games Over the Total after winning two in a row against conference rivals — and they have played 8 of their last 9 games Over the Total after winning five or six of their last seven contests. Betting Unders for these early tip-offs on neutral courts has been a fashionable play in the past — but we bet numbers rather than being a zombie simply for the situation. This Total is dropping — giving us more value on the Over. While these early tips can see groggy teams struggling to shoot — the Spartans bring energy by forcing turnovers. They rank 58th in the nation by forcing turnovers in 20.7% of their opponent’s possessions — and that mark improves to a 21.1% defensive turnover clip against conference opponents. They forced 17 turnovers representing 23.6% of Gardner-Webb’s possessions yesterday — and now the Bulldogs may be vulnerable in this area. UNC-Asheville ranks 313th in the nation by turning the ball over in 20.3% of their possessions — and they turn it over in 20.7% of their conference possessions. Forcing turnovers tends to create easier scoring opportunities in transition which is reinforced by the Spartans' effective 2-point shooting. USC-Upstate has played 21 of their last 29 games Over the Total against teams winning 60% or more of their games — and they have played 28 of their last 43 games Over the Total as an underdog. The Over is also 4-1-1 in their last 6 games played on a neutral court. UNC-Asheville only made 35.8% of their shots yesterday which was the worst shooting effort in their last 22 games. The Bulldogs should shoot much better today after that outlier effort. They rank 32nd in the nation with an effective field goal percentage of 54.1%. They rank seventh in the nation with a 39.1% shooting percentage from behind the arc — and that number improves to 40.6% in conference play. UNC-Asheville has played 7 of their last 10 games Over the Total after a straight-up win — and the Over is 24-10-1 in their last 35 games after a point spread loss. They have also played 5 of their last 7 games Over the Total after winning five or more games in a row. The Bulldogs are going to get their share of points at the free throw line — they rank 12th in the nation in free throw rate. The downside to USC-Upstate’s pressure on the basketball is that they foul too much — they rank 354th in the nation in defensive free throw rate. The charity strip should help this game finish Over the Total.

FINAL TAKE: These two teams split their two regular-season meetings after USC-Upstate upset the Bulldogs by a 76-70 score as a 3-point home underdog on February  4th. UNC-Asheville has played 10 of their last 16 games Over the Total when avenging a loss on the road including three of their four opportunities this season. 25* CBB Big South Total of the Year with Over the Total in the game between the South Carolina Upstate Spartans (306521) and the UNC-Asheville Bulldogs (306422). Best of luck for us — Frank.  

At 11:00 PM ET on Friday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the New Mexico Lobos (867) and the Colorado State Rams (868). THE SITUATION: New Mexico (21-9) snapped a two-game losing streak with a 94-80 win against Fresno State as a 7-point favorite on Saturday. Colorado State (13-17) has lost two of their last three games after their 63-46 loss at San Jose State as a 2.5-point underdog on Tuesday.

REASONS TO TAKE OVER THE TOTAL: The Lobos rank 20th in the nation in Adjusted Offensive Efficiency — and they have played 4 of their last 5 games Over the Total after a game where they scored at least 90 points. The Over is also 3-0-1 in their last 4 games after a straight-up win — and they have played 6 of their last 7 games Over the Total after a win against a Mountain West Conference rival. New Mexico has covered the point spread in three straight games — and they have played 6 of their last 8 games Over the Total after covering the point spread in three straight games and they have played 5 of their last 6 games Over the Total after covering the point spread in three straight contests. They go back on the road where they rank 14th in the nation in Adjusted Offensive Efficiency when playing in hostile environments boosted by their 39.7% shooting percentage from behind the arc, ranking 9th in the nation. The Over is 4-0-1 in their last 5 games on the road. The Lobos rank 306th in the nation in defensive foul rate when playing on the road — and the Rams make 76.1% of their free throws on their home court. Colorado State held the Spartans to just 38.9% shooting which was the best defensive effort in their last 11 games. But the Rams only shot 36.5% from the field in what was the worst shooting effort in their last 24 contests. They have played 7 of their last 9 games Over the Total after playing a game where they did not score more than 50 points. And while they only scored 22 points in the first half of that game, they have then played 8 of their last 9 games Over the Total after not scoring more than 25 points in the first half in their last game. The Over is also 10-3-1 in their last 14 games after a straight-up loss — and they have played 6 straight games Over the Total after a loss by 10 or more points in their last contest. And in their last 13 games after a point-spread loss, the Over is 10-2-1. While that game with San Jose State finished far below the 136.5-point total, Colorado State has played 7 of their last 10 games Over the Total after playing an Under in their last contest. The Rams should approach their 80.4 Points-Per-Game scoring average when playing at home tonight. They rank 13th in the nation with a 56.4% shooting percentage inside the arc. The Lobos allow their opponents to convert on 50.7% of their shots inside the arc, ranking 205th in the nation — and their conference opponents have converted on 53.6% of their 2-pointers against them. Colored State ranks 21st in the nation in Adjusted Offensive Efficiency when playing on their home court — and they rank 17th in the nation by making 40.7% of their shots from behind the arc at home. The Rams have played 11 of their last 13 games Over the Total when playing at home — and they have 5 straight Overs at home against teams with a winning record on the road. Furthermore, Colorado State has played 4 of their last 5 home games Over the Total as an underdog or pick ‘em — and they have played 9 of their last 10 games Over the Total against teams winning 60% or more of their games.

FINAL TAKE: New Mexico won the first meeting between these two teams by an 88-69 score on December 28th — and the Rams have played all 3 of their games Over the Total when avenging a loss on the road this season. The Lobos have played 15 of their last 21 games Over the Total when favored — and they have played 6 of their last 9 games Over the Total with the Total listed in the 150s. 25* CBB Mountain West Conference Total of the Year with Over the Total in the game between the New Mexico Lobos (867) and the Colorado State Rams (868). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 6:00 PM ET on Friday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Toledo Rockets (841) and the Ball State Cardinals (842). THE SITUATION: Toledo (24-6) rides a 14-game winning streak after a 99-65 victory as a 15-point favorite on Tuesday. Ball State (20-10) has lost three of their last four games after an 87-83 loss at Akron as a 9-point underdog on Tuesday.

REASONS TO TAKE OVER THE TOTAL: The Rockets are nailing 54.4% of their shots in their last five games which helps them generate 92.8 Points-Per-Game in those contests. They have played 4 of their last 5 games Over the Total after a straight-up win — and they have played 4 of their last 5 games Over the Total after a point spread victory. They have played 5 of their last 6 games Over the Total after a win by 20 or more points — and they have played 10 of their last 12 games Over the Total after winning seven or more games in a row. Toledo ranks 10th in the nation in Adjusted Offensive Efficiency — but they rank 275th in the nation in Adjusted Defensive Efficiency. On the road, they are scoring 81.5 PPG but allowing 77.7 PPG. The Rockets rank 2nd in the nation by making 40.1% of their shots — and that mark drops only slightly to a 39.0% clip when playing on the road, ranking 14th best in the nation. Toledo has played 14 of their last 20 road games Over the Total — and they have played 20 of their last 26 road games Over the Total against teams with a winning percentage of 60% or higher at home. Furthermore, the Rockets have played 22 of their last 33 games Over the Total with the Total set in the 150s — and they have played 25 of their last 35 games Over the Total against teams winning 60% or more of their games. Ball State has played 4 straight Overs after a straight-up win — and they have played 4 of their last 5 games Over the Total after a win against a conference rival. Additionally, the Cardinals have played 29 of their last 42 games Over the Total after allowing 75 or more points in their last game — and they have played 10 of their last 13 games Over the Total when playing for the third time in seven days. Ball State ranks 6th in the nation in getting to the free throw line — and they rank 23rd in the nation by making 37.7% of their shots from behind the arc. When playing at home, they make 48.4% of their shots which generates 80.4 PPG. They have played 5 straight Overs at home — and they have played 22 of their last 28 home games Over the Total against teams with a winning record on the road. They have also played 19 of their last 25 home games with the Total set in the 150s. But the Cardinals have given up 77.4 PPG in their last five games — and now they host this Rockets’ team that is so good with their 3-point shooting having allowed their guests to nail 38.8% of their 3-pointers, ranking 349th in the nation. Ball State has played 8 of their last 9 games Over the Total as an underdog — and they have played 5 of their last 6 games Over the Total against teams with a winning record.

FINAL TAKE: Ball State won the first meeting between these two teams by a 90-83 score on January 3rd — and Toledo has played 4 of their last 5 games Over the Total when attempting to avenge a loss. 25* CBB Mid-American Conference Total of the Year is with Over the Total in the game between the Toledo Rockets (841) and the Ball State Cardinals (842). Best of luck for us — Frank. 

At 7:00 PM ET on Thursday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Lipscomb Bisons (306591) and the Kennesaw State Owls (306592) in the Atlantic Sun Conference Tournament Semifinals. THE SITUATION: Lipscomb (20-12) has won four straight games and seven of their last nine after their 83-70 win against Stetson on Tuesday. Kennesaw State (24-8) has won three in a row and six of their last seven after their 67-66 victory against Queens-University of Charlotte as a 7-point favorite on Tuesday. The Owls are the host team at their Convocation Center in Kennesaw, Georgia.

REASONS TO TAKE OVER THE TOTAL: Lipscomb made 47.6% of their shots on Tuesday which was the worst shooting effort in their last four contests. The Bisons rank 34th in the nation with an effective field goal percentage of 54.0% — and they are third in the Atlantic Sun with a 37.6% shooting clip from behind the arc, ranking third in the conference. Lipscomb has played 4 of their last 5 games Over the Total after a straight-up win — and they have played 6 straight road games Over the Total after a win against a conference rival. Additionally, they have played 4 straight Overs after a point spread win — and they have played 7 straight overs when playing for the second time in the last three days. The Bisons are playing at a quicker pace than they were earlier in the season. While they are averaging 69.6 adjusted possessions per game, that mark has risen to 71.1 adjusted possessions per game in their last ten contests, ranking 31st in the nation. They are making 49.4% of their shots in their last five games which are generating 85.4 Points-Per-Game, a +8.8 PPG bump over their season average. But they are also allowing their opponents to make 45.2% of their shots in their last five games which is resulting in 79.6 PPG. On the road, the Bisons have played 5 of their last 6 games Over the Total — and they have played 4 of their last 5 road games Over the Total against teams with a winning percentage at 60% or higher on their home court. They have played 8 of their last 11 road games Over the Total as an underdog of up to six points or as a pick ‘em — and they have played 8 of their last 12 road games Over the Total with the Total set in the 145-149.5-point range. Kennesaw State has seen the Over go 20-6-1 in their last 27 games after a straight-up win — and they have played 8 straight games Over the Total after a win at home against an Atlantic Sun rival. They have also played 6 straight Overs after a straight-up win where they did not cover the point spread as the favorite. The Owls will be vulnerable against the Bisons' 3-point shooting — they rank 10th in the conference by allowing their opponents to make 36.0% of their shots from behind the arc. But Kennesaw State can score — they rank 27th in the nation by making 57.2% of their shots inside the arc and rank 26th in getting to the free-throw line. On their home court, the Owls are making 48.6% of their shots which is generating 81.4 PPG which is +6.0 PPG above their season average. The Over is 20-7-1 in their last 28 games on their home court — and they have played 12 of their last 16 home games Over the Total when favored or as a pick ‘em.

FINAL TAKE: Kennesaw State won the first meeting between these two teams by an 85-72 score at home as a 4-point favorite — and they have played 5 straight Overs against teams with a winning record. 25* CBB Atlantic Sun Conference Tournament Total of the Year with Over the Total in the game between the Lipscomb Bisons (306591) and the Kennesaw State Owls (306592). Best of luck for us — Frank.  

At 8:00 PM ET on Wednesday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Southeast Louisiana Lions (306551) and the Houston Christian Huskies (306552). THE SITUATION: SE Louisiana (17-13) has won three games in a row after a 78-75 win in overtime as an 8-point favorite on Saturday. Houston Christian (10-20) had won two games in a row before a 68-64 loss at Nicholls State as an 11-point underdog on Saturday.

REASONS TO TAKE OVER THE TOTAL: The Lions only scored 22 points in the first half on Saturday while ending the game with a 42.3% shooting percentage which was the worst shooting effort in their last six games. They had nailed at least 50% of their shots in their previous three games — and they are still making 49.3% of their shots in their last five contests which is resulting in 78.4 Points-Per-Game. SE Louisiana has played 20 of their last 26 games Over the Total after a straight-up win — and they have covered the point spread in 8 of their last 9 games after a win at home. The Over is 38-15-1 in their last 54 games after a point-spread win. Additionally, they have played 10 of their last 12 games Over the Total after not scoring more than 25 points in the first half of their last game — and they have played 5 of their last 7 games Over the Total after winning two games in a row against conference rivals. The Lions are not a good defensive team — they rank 317th in the nation in Adjusted Defensive Efficiency. They are allowing their home hosts to 46.7% shooting when playing on the road which is resulting in them giving up 77.2 PPG. The Over is 19-7-1 in their last 27 road games — and the Over is 18-7-1 in their last 26 road games against teams with a winning record a home. Furthermore, SE Louisiana has played 12 of their last 16 games in conference play Over the Total — and they have played 18 of their last 27 games Over the Total when favored. Houston Christian only made 35.8% of their shots on Saturday which was the worst shooting effort in their last five contest. The Huskies have played 6 of their last 7 games Over the Total after a straight-up loss. Houston Christian returns home where they are making 51.3% of their shots which is generating 88.1 PPG, a +9.8 PPPG bump over their season average. They are 30th in the nation by making 39.6% of their shots from behind the arc — and now they host a Lions team that allows Southland Conference opponents to make a whopping 41.5% of their shots from downtown. But Houston Christian does not play a lick of defense — they rank dead last in Adjusted Defensive Efficiency in the nation. They allow their opponents to make 37.3% of their 3-pointers and 58.5% of their shots inside the arc, ranking 336th and 306th in the nation respectively. They don’t force turnovers — and they rank 306th in the nation by allowing their opponents to pull down 31.4% of their missed shots. What the Huskies cannot do on defense, they make up for by playing at a fast pace. Their opponents average just 16.4 seconds per possession, the third fastest rate in the nation — and the 70.8 adjusted possessions per game in their contests is the 36th most in the nation. Houston Christian allows their guests to make 48.3% of their shots on their home court which is producing 88.1 PPG. The Over is 34-16-1 in their last 51 games at home — and they have played 11 of their last 12 games Over the Total on their home court. They have also played 22 of their last 28 home games Over the Total against teams with a losing record on the road. Furthermore, the Huskies have played 8 of their last 9 home games Over the Total as an underdog or as a pick ‘em — and they have played 5 straight Overs when listed in the +/- 3-point range.

FINAL TAKE: Southeast Louisiana won the first meeting between these two teams by a 71-59 score as a 10-point home favorite on January 5th — but Houston Christian has played 4 of their last 5 games Over the Total when playing with revenge. 25* CBB Southland Conference Total of the Year is with Over the Total in the game between the Southeast Louisiana Lions (306551) and the Houston Christian Huskies (306552). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 9:00 PM ET on Tuesday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Texas Tech Red Raiders (643) and the Kansas Jayhawks (644). THE SITUATION: Texas Tech (16-13) had their four-game winning streak snapped in an 83-82 upset loss against TCU as a 2-point favorite on Saturday. Kansas (24-5) has won six straight games after their 76-74 win against West Virginia as a 9.5-point favorite on Saturday.

REASONS TO TAKE OVER THE TOTAL: The Red Raiders lost to the Horned Frogs despite nailing 50.6% of their shots. They made 60.7% of their shots in their previous game at Oklahoma last Tuesday — and they have played 8 of their last 12 games Over the Total after playing two straight games where they shot 50% or better from the field. Texas Tech is shooting 48.9% in their last five games. Their game with TCU went way Over the 144-point Total in that game — and they have played 13 of their last 18 games Over the Total after playing a game that finished Over the Total in their previous contest. The Over is also 7-3-1 in their last 11 games after a point spread loss — and they have played 10 of their last 11 games Over the Total after winning four or five of their last six games. The Red Raiders’ play on defense is of concern as they rank 9th in the Big 12 in Adjusted Defensive Efficiency. They allow their conference opponents to make 52.0% of their shots inside the arc, ranking 9th in the Big 12 — and the Jayhawks rank 2nd in the conference with a 51.5% shooting percentage inside the arc. Texas Tech also ranks 297th in the nation by allowing their opponents to rebound 32.6% of their missed shots. The Over is 4-0-1 in the Red Raiders’ last 5 games on the road — and they have played 4 of their last 5 games Over the Total as an underdog getting 6.5 to 12 points. They have played 8 of their last 12 games Over the Total with the Total set in the 140s — and they have played 8 of their last 11 games Over the Total as an underdog. Kansas has played 6 of their last 9 games Over the Total after winning two straight games against conference rivals. After naming 54.9% of their shots against the Mountaineers, they are shooting 50.5% from the field in their last five games. Head coach Bill Self has his team playing at a faster pace as well. They are averaging 69.6 adjusted possessions per game but in their last ten contests, they are averaging 71.3 adjusted possessions per game, ranking 33rd in the nation. They rank 19th in the nation in Adjusted Offensive Efficiency when playing at home where they are making 48.3% of their shots which is generating 79.6 Points-Per-Game. The Jayhawks have played 6 of their last 8 home games Over the Total with the Total set in the 140s — and the Over is 25-12-1 in their last 38 home games against teams not winning more than 40% of their games on the road. Kansas has also played 4 straight Overs against teams with a winning record. Dajaun Harris got injured on Saturday but he is listed as probable to play tonight.

FINAL TAKE: Kansas won the first meeting between these two teams on January 3rd by a 75-72 score in Lubbock — and the Red Raiders have played 14 of their last 19 games Over the Total when playing with revenge. 10* CBB Texas Tech-Kansas ESPN O/U Special with Over the Total in the game between the Texas Tech Red Raiders (643) and the Kansas Jayhawks (644). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 8:00 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the UAB Blazers (763) and the Western Kentucky Hilltoppers (764). THE SITUATION: UAB (21-8) has won four in a row and eight of their last nine contests after their 85-57 win against Rice as a 12-point favorite on Thursday. Western Kentucky (15-13) won for the fourth time in their last six games with a 76-66 victory against Louisiana Tech as a 4.5-point favorite on Thursday.

REASONS TO TAKE OVER THE TOTAL: The Blazers held the Owls to host 32.3% shooting which was the best defensive effort in their last 28 games. The Over is 27-9-1 in their last 37 games after a straight-up win — and the Over is 13-2-1 in their last 16 games after a win by 20 or more points. The Over is also 18-7-1 in their last 26 games after a point spread win — and they have played 9 of their last 10 games Over the Total after scoring 85 or more points in their last contest. Additionally, they have played 8 of their last 9 games Over the Total after winning four or more games in a row. Now they go on the road where they are scoring 80.0 Points-Per-Game — and they have played 20 of their last 27 games Over the Total. They have also played 6 of their last 7 road games Over the Total against teams with a winning percentage of 60% or better on their home court. Western Kentucky has played 5 of their last 7 games Over the Total after a straight-up win — and they have played 6 of their last 8 games Over the Total after a point-spread victory. And while their game with the Bulldogs two days ago finished Under the 143.5-point total, they have then played 8 of their last 9 games Over the Total after playing an Under in their last game. They stay at home where they are second in Conference USA by nailing 37.2% of their shots from behind the arc which is helping them score 78.5 PPG. The Hilltoppers have played 4 of their last 5 games Over the Total at home. They have also played 5 of their last 7 games Over the Total against teams winning 60% or more of their games.

FINAL TAKE: UAB will have revenge on their mind after losing to Western Kentucky by an 80-78 score as a 10.5-point home favorite on January 11th. The Blazers should score more points in this rematch. They rank 7th in the nation by pulling down 37.1% of their missed shots. The Hilltoppers rank 271st in the nation by allowing their opponents to rebound 30.3% of their missed shots. UAB also nails 37.5% of their shots from behind the arc, ranking 22nd in the nation. Western Kentucky ranks 327th in the nation by allowing their opponents to make 37.0% of their shots from 3-point range, and that mark rises to a 38.4% clip when playing at home against Conference USA rivals. The Blazers have played 4 of their last 6 games Over the Total when avenging a loss. 25* CBB Conference USA Total of the Month with Over the Total in the game between the UAB Blazers (763) and the Western Kentucky Hilltoppers (764). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 2:00 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between The Citadel Bulldogs (621) and the Mercer Bears (622). THE SITUATION: The Citadel (10-20) has lost two in a row and eight of their last nine contests with their 78-70 loss at East Tennessee State as a 7.5-point underdog on Wednesday. Mercer (12-18) has lost five games in a row after their 70-67 loss at Furman as a 13-point underdog on Wednesday.

REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: The Citadel allowed the Moccasins to nail 50.0% of their shots in what was the worst defensive effort in their last five games. The Bulldogs should tighten things up on the defensive end of the court in their final regular season game before the Southern Conference Tournament — they have played 18 of their last 25 games Under the Total after a loss on the road. They have also played 14 of their last 19 games Under the Total after losing two games in a row to a conference rival — and they have played 13 of their last 16 games Under the Total after losing six or seven of their last eight contests. The Citadel’s bigger problems are with making baskets as they rank 287th in the nation in Adjusted Offensive Efficiency. They only make 43.3% of their shots on the road — and they don’t crash the offensive glass either as they rank 307th in the nation by pulling down only 20.6% of their missed shots. The Bulldogs have played 5 of their last 7 games Under the Total on the road — and they have played 19 of their last 25 games Under the Total in February. They have also played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total against teams with a losing record. Mercer has seen the Under go 38-17-2 in their last 57 games after losing their previous game — and they have played ten of their last fourteen games Under the Total after losing their previous game. The Bears have also played 5 of their last 6 games Under the Total after losing their previous game by six points or less. The Under is also 4-0-1 in their last 5 games after a point-spread loss. And in their last 17 games when playing their second game in seven days, they have played 11 of these games Under the Total. Mercer also struggles to make baskets as they rank 10th in the Southern Conference and 288th in the nation in Adjusted Offensive Efficiency. The Bears are a solid defensive team that holds their guests to just 42.4% shooting when playing at home which results in them scoring 68.2 Points-Per-Game. The Under is 14-4-2 in their last 20 games on their home court — and the Under is 36-16-2 in Mercer’s last 54 home games against teams with a losing record on the road. The Bears have also played 11 of their last 12 games Under the Total against teams with a losing record.

FINAL TAKE: Mercer won the first meeting between these two teams by a 74-65 score as a 2-point favorite on January 28th — and The Citadel has played 17 of their last 20 games Under the Total when attempting to avenge a same-season loss. 25* CBB Southern Conference Total of the Year with Under the Total in the game between The Citadel Bulldogs (621) and the Mercer Bears (622). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 9:00 PM ET on Tuesday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Indiana Hoosiers (641) and the Michigan State Spartans (642). THE SITUATION: Indiana (19-8) has lost four of their last five games after a 71-68 victory against Illinois as a 6.5-point favorite on Saturday. Michigan State (16-10) had their two-game winning streak end with an 84-72 loss at Michigan as a 2.5-point underdog on Saturday.

REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: The Hoosiers have played 4 straight Unders after a straight-up win. Indiana ranks 13th in the nation in Adjusted Offensive Efficiency when playing at home at Assembly Hall — but they drop massively to ranking 110th in the nation in Adjusted Defensive Efficiency when playing on the road. Their collapse in offensive efficiency from those home/road splits ranks 351st in the nation in terms of discrepancy. But head coach Mike Woodson does have his team play strong half-court defense away from home. The Hoosiers lead the Big Ten with an opponent’s effective field goal percentage of 47.3% when playing on the road. And while Indiana ranks 46th in the nation in Adjusted Defensive Efficiency, that mark has improved to 30th in the nation in their last ten games. The Under is 4-0-1 in the Hoosiers’ last 5 games on the road — and the Under is 3-0-1 in their last 4 games on the road against teams with a winning percentage over 60% at home. They have also played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total against teams with a winning percentage over 60%. Michigan State shot 47.5% from the field in their loss to the Wolverines on Saturday which was the best shooting mark in their last four games — but they allowed Michigan to nail 49.2% of their shots which was the worst defensive effort in their last four contests. The Spartans have played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total after a point spread loss. Michigan State returns home to the Breslin Center where they rank 14th in the nation in Adjusted Defensive Efficiency while holding their guests to 38.5% shooting which results in only 59.7 Points-Per-Game. Sparty has played 6 straight Unders when playing on their home court. They have also played 5 of their last 7 games Under the Total against teams with a winning percentage of 60% or higher.

FINAL TAKE: Michigan State looks to avenge an 82-69 loss at Indiana on January 22nd. The Spartans have played 12 of their last 15 games Under the Total when playing with revenge from a loss by 10 or more points — and they have played 7 straight Unders at home when avenging a loss where they gave up 75 or more points. 10* CBB Indiana-Michigan State ESPN O/U Special with Under the Total in the game between the Indiana Hoosiers (641) and the Michigan State Spartans (642). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 8:30 PM ET on Monday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions (306515) and the Texas Southern Tigers (306516). THE SITUATION: Arkansas-Pine Bluff (10-17) has lost five games in a row after their 82-71 loss at Prairie View A&M as a 6-point underdog on Saturday. Texas Southern (10-17) has won three of their last four games after an 80-62 win against Mississippi Valley State as an 11-point favorite on Saturday.

REASONS TO TAKE OVER THE TOTAL: This is a solid technical play in the Southwest Athletic Conference tonight. The Golden Lions have played 5 straight games Over the Total after a straight-up loss — and they have played 6 of their last 7 games Over the Total after a loss to SWAC rival. They have also played 4 straight Overs after a point-spread loss. Additionally, Arkansas-Pine Bluff has played 19 of their last 28 games Over the Total when playing their second game in seven days. They stay on the road where they are giving up 75.9 Points-Per-Game, up +5.9 Points-Per-Game above their season average. They have played 12 of their last 19 road games Over the Total with the Total set in the 140 to 144.5-point range. They have also played 5 straight Overs against teams not winning more than 40% of their games. Texas Southern has played 10 of their last 12 games Over the Total after a point spread cover as a double-digit favorite. They have also played 10 of their last 11 home games Over the Total after a point-spread win. And while their win against Mississippi Valley State finished Over the 135.5-point total, they have then played 9 of their last 10 home games Over the Total after playing their last game Over the Total. On their home court, the Tigers are scoring 76.3 PPG which is +7.0 PPG above their season average. They have played 20 of their last 28 games at home Over the Total including eight of these last nine situations. They have also played 8 of their last 9 home games Over the Total against teams with a winning percentage no higher than 40% on the road. Additionally, they have played 7 of their last 10 games Over the Total against teams with a losing record.

FINAL TAKE: Texas Southern will be looking to avenge a 70-66 upset loss to Arkansas-Pine Bluff on January 7th — and the Tigers have played 14 of their last 17 games Over the Total when playing with revenge from an upset loss. 10* CBB Monday Daily Discounted O/U Deal with  Over the Total in the game between the Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions (306515) and the Texas Southern Tigers (306516). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 5:00 PM ET on Sunday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Maryland Terrapins (847) and the Nebraska Cornhuskers (848). THE SITUATION: Maryland (18-8) has won six of their last seven games after their 68-54 win against Purdue as a 1-point favorite on Thursday. Nebraska (13-14) has won three of their last four games after an 82-72 upset win at Rutgers as a 14-point underdog on Tuesday.

REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: The Terrapins have played 11 of their last 12 games Under the Total after a straight-up win — and they have played 6 of their last 8 games Under the Total after a point spread victory. They have also played 12 of their last 16 games Under the Total when playing for just the second time in seven days. Maryland ranks 23rd in the nation in Adjusted Defensive Efficiency — and that mark improves to 20th in the nation when they are playing on the road in hostile environments. The Terrapins have played 9 straight Unders on the road — and they have played 7 straight Unders on the road against teams with a winning percentage at home of 60% or higher. Additionally, Maryland has played 11 of their last 14 games Under the Total with the Total set in the 130s. Nebraska has played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total after a win on the road against a Big Ten rival — and they have played 6 of their last 9 games Under the Total after a double-digit victory. And while the Cornhuskers have played three straight Overs, they have then played 5 of their last 6 games Under the Total after playing three or more Overs in a row. Nebraska returns home where they are holding their opponents to 39.8% shooting — and they rank 35th in the nation in Adjusted Defensive Efficiency in their last ten games on their home court. The Under is 10-3-1 in their last 14 games at home — and the Cornhuskers have played 6 straight home games Under the Total against teams with a winning percentage of 40% or lower on the road. Furthermore, Nebraska has played 5 of their last 7 home games as a favorite or pick ‘em — and they have played 8 of their last 10 home games Under the Total with the total set in the 130s.

FINAL TAKE: Nebraska will be looking to avenge an 82-63 loss at Maryland against the Terrapins as an 11.5-point underdog on January 28th — and they have played 6 of their last 7 games Under the Total when playing with revenge from a loss by 10 or more points. 10* CBB Maryland-Nebraska FS1-TV O/U Special with Under the Total in the game between the Maryland Terrapins (847) and the Nebraska Cornhuskers (848). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 11:00 PM ET on Friday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Abilene Christian Wildcats (893) and the Grand Canyon Anteaters (894). THE SITUATION: Abilene Christian (13-12) had their three-game winning streak snapped with a 77-62 loss to San Houston State as a 1.5-point underdog on Saturday. Grand Canyon (16-10) has lost two games in a row after their 77-76 upset loss to the University of Texas Rio Grande Valley as a 12-point favorite on Wednesday.

REASONS TO TAKE OVER THE TOTAL: The Wildcats only made 38.9% of their shots last Saturday which was the worst shooting effort in their last six games. Abilene Christian has played 4 straight Overs after a straight-up win in their last game — and they have played 12 of their last 16 games Over the Total after a double-digit victory. The Wildcats have played six straight Overs — but not only have they then played 8 of their last 10 games Over the Total after playing an Over in their last game but they have played 10 of their last 12 games Over the Total after playing three or more Overs in a row. Abilene Christian allowed Sam Houston State to nail 55.1% of their shots in the loss last week — and they have played 7 of their last 11 games Over the Total after allowing their last opponent to shoot 55% or better from the field including three of their four games Over the Total this season under those circumstances. The Wildcats are second-to-last in the Western Athletic Conference in Adjusted Defensive Efficiency — and they are last in the conference with an opponent’s effective field goal percentage of 56.3%. Furthermore, they are last in the WAC in putting their conference opponents on the free throw line — and Grand Canyon leads the conference by making 74.7% of their shots in conference play. Abilene Christian goes back on the road where they allow their home hosts to nail 50.4% of their shots which results in 77.1 Points-Per-Game which is 7.5 PPG above their season average.  The Wildcats have played 21 of their last 30 games Over the Total on the road after winning two of their last three games. They have also played 13 of their last 15 games Over the Total in February. Grand Canyon has played 8 straight games Over the Total after a straight-up loss — and they have played 6 straight Overs after a loss at home to a WAC rival. Furthermore, the Over is 35-16-4 in the Anteaters’ last 55 games after a point spread loss including 12 Overs in the last 15 games after not covering the point spread. And while that game finished above the 147.5-point total for that game, they have then played 14 of their last 16 games Over the Total after playing an Over in their previous game. Grand Canyon held UT Rio Grande Valley to just 37.7% shooting after holding Seattle to 36.4% shooting — but those were both their top two defensive efforts in their previous nine games. They stay at home where they are last in the WAC in Adjusted Defensive Efficiency when playing on their home court. nit the Anteaters make 47.5% of their shots at home which generates 80.3 PPG. In conference play, they sport a 56.5% effective field goal percentage on their home court, ranking second in the WAC — and they are nailing 43.1% of their shots from behind the arc at home in conference play. They have played 19 of their last 26 games at home Over the Total including eleven of their last thirteen home games. The Over is also 16-4-1 in their last 21 home games against teams with a losing record on the road. Grand Canyon has also played 15 of their last 17 games Over the Total when favored.

FINAL TAKE: Abilene Christian will be looking to avenge a 75-73 loss at home to Grand Canyon as a 2.5-point underdog on January 26th. The Anteaters have played 7 of their last 10 games Over the Total when playing with revenge — and they have played 4 straight Overs when avenging a loss at home to their opponent. 25* CBB Western Athletic Conference Total of the Year with Over the Total in the game between the Abilene Christian Wildcats (893) and the Grand Canyon Anteaters (894). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 9:00 PM ET on Monday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Texas Longhorns (879) and the Texas Tech Red Raiders (880). THE SITUATION: Texas (20-5) has won three of their last four games after their 94-60 win against West Virginia as an 8-point favorite on Saturday. Texas Tech (13-12) snapped a two-game losing streak after their 71-63 victory against Kansas State as a 1.5-point favorite on Saturday.

REASONS TO TAKE OVER THE TOTAL: The Longhorns held the Mountaineers to just 35.2% shooting which was the best defensive effort in their last ten games. The Over is 18-7-1 in Texas’ last 26 games after a straight-up win — and they have played 9 of their last 10 games Over the Total after a win against a Big 12 rival. They have also played 5 of their last 7 games Over the Total after a win by 20 or more points — and they have played 6 of their last 7 games Over the Total after a point spread win. They have also played 9 of their last 13 games Over the Total after winning three of their last four games — and they have played 5 of their last 6 games Over the Total after a win at home where they scored 85 or more points. The Longhorns rank 11th in the nation in Adjusted Offensive Efficiency — and they make 55.3% of their shots inside the arc, ranking 27th in the nation. The Red Raiders are vulnerable in defending the interior as they rank 9th in the conference by allowing their opponents to make 53.4% of their 2-pointers. Texas goes back on the road where they have played 11 of their last 16 games Over the Total — and they have played 12 of their last 17 road games Over the Total against teams with a winning percentage of 60% or higher at home. They have also played 17 of their last 27 games Over the Total with the Total set in the 140s. Texas Tech held the Wildcats to 35.2% shooting which was the best defensive effort in their last 20 games. The Red Raiders have played 9 of their last 10 games Over the Total after a straight-up win — and they have played 6 of their last 8 games Over the Total after a point spread victory. They stay at home where they are making 48.1% of their shots and generating 77.9 Points-Per-Game. Texas Tech should be able to score their share of points against the Longhorns. They rank 30th in the nation by making 57.4% of their shots inside the arc — and Texas is 185th in the country by allowing their opponents to make 52.2% of their 2-point shots when playing on the road. The Red Raiders also rank 24th in the nation at home in getting to the free throw line — and the Longhorns rank 307th in the country when playing on the road in defensive free throw rate percentage. Texas Tech has played 9 of their last 12 home games Over the Total — and they have played 4 of their last 5 home games Over the Total when playing on the road against a team with a winning percentage of 60% at home. Furthermore, the Over is 5-2-1 in the Red Raiders’ last 8 games against teams with a winning percentage of 60% or higher. They have also played 6 of their last 9 games Over the Total with the Total set in the 140s.

FINAL TAKE: Texas Tech looks to avenge a 72-70 loss at Texas as an 8-point underdog on January 14th — and the Red Raiders have played 16 of their last 24 games Over the Total when playing with revenge. 10* CBB Texas-Texas Tech ESPN O/U Special with Over the Total in the game between the Texas Longhorns (879) and the Texas Tech Red Raiders (880). Best of luck for us — Frank.  

At 9:00 PM ET on Wednesday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Florida Gators (733) and the Alabama Crimson Tide (734). THE SITUATION: Florida (13-10) has lost two of their last three games after their 72-67 loss at Kentucky as a 4.5-point underdog on Saturday. Alabama (20-3) has won 11 of their last 12 games in a 79-69 victory as an 11-point favorite on Saturday.

REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: The Gators allowed the Wildcats to nail 45.2% of their shots on Saturday which was the worst defensive effort in their last 13 games. Florida has then played 5 of their last 6 games Under the Total after a straight-up loss — and they have played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total after a point spread loss. Additionally, the Gators have played 11 of their last 14 games Under the Total after a loss on the road — and they have played 6 straight games on the road Under the Total after a loss by six points or less. Florida stays on the road where they rank 6th in the nation in Adjusted Defensive Efficiency — and they are 2nd in the country with an opponent’s effective field goal percentage of 41.7% when playing on the road. And in their last five games, Florida has held their opponents to 37.2% shooting which is resulting in just 61.8 Points-Per-Game. But when the Gators go on the road from Tallahassee, they only make 39.9% of their shots which generates just 65.4 PPG. Their effective field goal percentage of 41.8% ranks 357th in the nation. Florida has played 7 of their last 8 games Under the Total on the road — and they have played 7 of their last 8 road games Under the Total against teams with a winning percentage over 60% on their home court. Alabama nailed 13 shots from behind the arc in their win against Tigers on Saturday — but they have then played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total after making 13 or more 3-pointers in their last game. And Crimson Tide head coach Nate Oats has taken full advantage of his team’s embarrassing defensive effort in their SEC-Big 12 Challenge game with Oklahoma where they allowed 93 points as they held LSU to just 30.6% shooting after containing Vanderbilt to 25.0% shooting in their previous game. Alabama has played 5 of their last 7 games Under the Total after holding their last opponent to no better than 35% shooting — and they have played 5 of their last 7 games Under the Total after holding their last two opponents to 37% or less shooting from the field. The Crimson Tide has played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total after a straight-up win — and they have played 6 of their last 8 games Under the Total after a win against a conference rival. They have also played 6 of their last 7 games Under the Total after a double-digit win against SEC rivals. Alabama ranks 6th in the nation in Adjusted Defensive Efficiency — and they rank 2nd in the nation with an opponent’s effective field goal percentage of 41.4%. They return home where they have held their guests to 34.5% shooting which results in 61.7 PPG. They have played 5 of their last 6 games Under the Total when playing at home — and they have played 5 straight home games Under the Total against teams with a winning percentage of 40% or less on the road.

FINAL TAKE: Alabama does play at the fastest pace in the nation with their games averaging 73.5 adjusted possessions per game. But Florida sees only 69.0 adjusted possessions per game, ranking 80th in the nation — and they have played 12 of their last 14 games Under the Total against teams with a winning percentage of 60% or higher. 10* CBB Florida-Alabama ESPN2 O/U Special with Under the Total in the game between the Florida Gators (733) and the Alabama Crimson Tide (734). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 9:00 PM ET on Tuesday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Maryland Terrapins (645) and the Michigan State Spartans (646). THE SITUATION: Maryland (16-7) has won four games in a row after their 81-46 win at Minnesota as a 9.5-point favorite on Saturday. Michigan State (14-9) has lost two games in a row after their 61-55 loss to Rutgers as a 5-point underdog on Saturday.

REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: The Terrapins held the Golden Gophers to just 34.2% shooting in their victory on Saturday. They have held their last five opponents to just a 40.6% field goal percentage which is resulting in only 55.4 Points-Per-Game. Maryland nailed 52.4% of their shots in the win which was the second-best shooting effort in their last 11 games. The Terrapins have played 9 of their last 10 games Under the Total after a straight-up win — and they have played 21 of their last 31 games Under the Total after a win by 20 or more points. They have all played 5 of their last 7 games Under the Total after a point spread win — and they have played 4 straight Unders after not allowing more than 50 points in their last game. Now Maryland stays on the road where their 67.3 PPG that they average is -3.7 PPG below their season average. The Terrapins rank 29th in the nation in Adjusted Offensive Efficiency — but they collapse to ranking 200th in the nation in Adjusted Offensive Efficiency when playing on the road in hostile environments (even after shooting well at Minnesota). Maryland has played 8 straight Unders on the road — and they have played 6 straight road games Under the Total against teams with a winning percentage of 60% or higher at home. The Terrapins do get much of their offense from second-chance opportunities as they rank 2nd in the Big Ten by rebounding 31.2% of their missed shots. But they will not get many second chances against the Spartans who lead the Big Ten by holding their opponents to only 23.4% of their missed shots. Michigan State has played 5 straight Unders after losing their last game. In their last five games, the Spartans are scoring only 63.6 PPG. When playing at home in the Breslin Center, Sparty ranks only 89th in Adjusted Offensive Efficiency. But head coach Tom Izzo’s team still plays tough defense as they hold their guests to just 38.5% shooting which translates into just 59.9 PPG. Michigan State ranks 18th in the nation in Adjusted Defensive Efficiency when playing at home. They have played 5 straight Unders when playing at home — and they have played 4 of their last 5 home games Under the Total against teams with a losing record on the road.

FINAL TAKE: The Spartans have played 6 of their last 7 games Under the Total against teams with a winning record — and Maryland has played 8 of their last 11 games Under the Total against teams with a winning percentage of 60% or higher. 10* CBB Maryland-Michigan State ESPN2 O/U Special with Under the Total in the game between the Maryland Terrapins (645) and the Michigan State Spartans (646). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 2:00 PM ET on Sunday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Niagara Purple Eagles (839) and the Siena Saints (840). THE SITUATION: Niagara (12-9) has won three games in a row after their 76-73 victory against Canisius as a 4-point favorite on Friday. Siena (15-8) had won two games in a row before their 71-66 upset loss at Manhattan as a 5.5-point favorite on Friday.

REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: The Purple Eagles have played 35 of their last 52 games Under the Total after a point spread loss — and they have played 13 of their last 17 road games Under the Total after a point spread loss. Niagara goes back on the road where they rank 48th in the nation with an opponent’s effective field goal percentage of 48.0% — and they rank in the top-64 in the nation in 3-point defense and inside the arc. And while the Purple Eagles rank 250th in the nation with an Adjusted Offensive Efficiency of 101.6, that mark plummets to 95.5 when playing on the road in hostile environments, ranking 306th in the nation. They only make 44.7% of their shots inside the arc in these true road games, ranking  307th in the nation. Niagara has played 23 of their last 35 games Under the Total on the road — including five of their last six games away from home. They have also played 4 of their last 5 road games Under the Total as an underdog getting 6.5 to 12 points. Siena allowed Manhattan to make 44.9% of their shots on Friday which was the worst defensive effort in their last six games. The Saints have the second-best Adjusted Defensive Efficiency mark in conference play in the Metro Atlantic Athletic Conference. Siena has played 10 of their last 14 games Under the Total after a loss to a conference rival — and they have played 8 of their last 10 games Under the Total after an upset loss. They have also played 5 of their last 7 games Under the Total when playing for the second time in three days. They return home where they are making only 47.8% of their shots inside the arc, ranking 298th in the nation. The Saints have played their last 4 games at home Under the Total — and the Under is a decisive 30-12-2 in their last 44 games at home against teams with a winning percentage of 40% or less when playing on the road. Siena has also played 6 of their last 8 home games Under the Total with the Total set in the 130-134.5 point range.

FINAL TAKE: Both of these teams play at a slow pace. The Saints see 66.6 adjusted possessions per game, ranking 209th in the nation — and they average 19.0 seconds per possession, ranking 325th in the nation. Siena’s opponents average 16.9 seconds per possession which is the 45th quickest clip in the nation — but now they play a Purple Eagles team that averages 20.4 seconds per game, ranking 361st in the nation. Niagara averages 62.3 adjusted possessions per game, ranking 353rd in the nation. Both of these teams are going to crawl in this game. 25* CBB Metro Atlantic Athletic Conference Total of the Year with Under the Total in the game between the Niagara Purple Eagles (839) and the Siena Saints (840). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 9:00 PM ET on Tuesday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the UNLV Runnin’ Rebels (637) and the Colorado State Rams (638). THE SITUATION: UNLV (14-7) has won two in a row after their 68-62 victory against Nevada as a 1-point favorite on Saturday. Colorado State (10-12) has lost three games in a row after their 80-59 loss at Boise State as an 8.5-point underdog on Saturday.

REASONS TO TAKE OVER THE TOTAL: The Rams only made 41.1 of their shots on Saturday which was the worst shooting effort in their last seven games. This is a surprise since Colorado State ranks 20th in the nation with an effective field goal percentage of 54.8% — and they are 13th in the nation by nailing 56.2% of their shots inside the arc. The Rams also allowed the Broncos to make 59.2% of their shots — and they have played 5 of their last 6 games Over the Total after allowing 80 or more points in their last contest. Additionally, the Over is 7-1-1 in Colorado State’s last 9 games after a straight-up win — and the Over is 7-1-1 in their last 9 games after a point spread victory. And while the Rams have lost four of their last five games, they have then played 7 of their last 8 games Over the Total after losing four or five of their last six games. They return home where they are scoring 81.3 Points-Per-Game. Colorado State makes 41.3% of their shots from behind the arc on their home court, the 30th-best mark in the country. The Runnin’ Rebels are last in the Mountain West Conference by allowing their opponents to nail 41.5% of their 3-pointers. UNLV also ranks 246th in the nation with an opponent’s effective field goal percentage of 51.8%. The Over is 6-0-1 in the Rams’ last 7 games at home. Furthermore, Colorado State has played 6 straight Overs against teams with a winning percentage of 60% or higher — and they have played 6 of their last 7 games Over the Total with the Total set in the 140s. But the Rams rank 9th in the Mountain West in Adjusted Defensive Efficiency — so they are going to give up their share of points. UNLV held the Wolf Pack to just 36.4% shooting on Saturday which was the best defensive effort in their last 12 contests. And while that final score flew Under the 140.5 point total for that game, the Runnin’ Rebels have then played 5 straight Overs after playing an Under in their last game. They have also played 7 of their last 8 games Over the Total after a straight-up win — and they have played 9 of their last 10 games Over the Total after a point-spread victory. Now UNLV goes back on the road where they have played 5 of their last 6 road games Over the Total — and they have played 5 of their last 6 road games Over the Total against teams with a winning record at home.

FINAL TAKE: Colorado State has seen three of their last five games go into overtime — including their 82-81 upset win in Las Vegas against the Runnin’ Rebels as a 5.5-point underdog on January 14th so perhaps we can catch a break with an extra five minutes in this one. We should not need the additional time — UNLV has played 5 of their last 6 games Over the Total when playing with revenge and they have played 6 straight Overs when avenging a loss by three points or less. 25* CBB Total of the Month with Over the Total in the game between the UNLV Runnin’ Rebels (637) and the Colorado State Rams (638). Best of luck for us — Frank. 

At 12:00 AM ET on Friday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the UC-Santa Barbara Gauchos (837) and the Hawai’i Rainbow Warriors (838). THE SITUATION: UC-Santa Barbara (16-3) has won three straight games after their 76-58 victory against CS-Bakersfield as a 17-point favorite on Saturday. Hawai’i (15-5) has won three of their last four contests with their 67-63 upset win at UC-Riverside as a 2.5-point underdog on Saturday.

REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: Hawai’i pulled the upset against the Highlanders by making 45.3% of their shots which was the best shooting effort in their last five contests. The Rainbow Warriors have played 6 straight Unders after an upset win against a Big West Conference rival — and they have played 13 of their last 18 games Under the Total after beating a conference rival in their last contest. Additionally, Hawai’i has played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total after a point spread win — and they have played 9 of their last 11 home games Under the Total after a point spread victory. The Rainbow Warriors held UC-Riverside to just 31.9% to help earn this win. They rank 5th in the nation with an opponent’s effective field goal percentage of 43.0%. Hawai’i is outstanding in defending the perimeter as they rank 5th in the nation by holding their opponents to just 25.5% shooting from behind the arc. But they also make things very difficult for their opponents inside the arc as they are only hitting 44.2% of their 2-point shots, ranking 16th in the nation. The Rainbow Warriors return home where they rank 24th in the nation in Adjusted Defensive Efficiency. Hawai’i has played 8 of their last 12 games Under the Total on their home court — and they have played 9 of their last 13 home games Under the Total when favored by up to six points. UC-Santa Barbara comes off their worst defensive effort of the season after allowing the Roadrunners to nail 51.1% of their shots which was the highest opponent’s field goal percentage they have given up all year. The Gauchos survived by shooting 53.4% from the field themselves which was actually the lowest field goal percentage in their last three games. UC-Santa Barbara has played 31 of their last 45 games Under the Total after making 50% or more of their shots in two straight games. They have also played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total after a straight-up win — and they have played 8 of their last 9 games Under the Total on the road after winning their last game. Furthermore, the Gauchos have played 10 of their last 12 games Under the Total after a point-spread win. And while their last game finished Over the Total, they have then played 5 of their last 6 games Under the Total after playing an Over in their last game. Now after playing their last two games at home, they go back on the road where their Adjusted Offensive Efficiency drops from ranking 62nd in the nation on their home court to a rough 227th ranking in their eight true road games. But while ranking 243rd in Adjusted Defensive Efficiency when playing at home, they dramatically improve in their away games on the road or neutral courts by ranking 33rd in the nation in Adjusted Defensive Efficiency. UC-Santa Barbara has played 8 of their last 10 games Under the Total on the road — and they have played 7 of their last 9 road games Under the Total against teams with a winning percentage over 60% on their home court. The Gauchos have held their last five opponents to just 41.8% shooting which has resulted in only 57.6 Points-Per-Game. UC-Santa Barbara is an excellent shooting team inside the arc where they rank 23rd in the nation by making 55.5% of their 2-pointers. But Hawai’i can pack inside the paint against this team and dare them to take 3s where they rank 347th in the nation by making only 27.0% of their 3-pointers when playing away from home.

FINAL TAKE: UC-Santa Barbara has played 5 of their last 7 games Under the Total against teams with a winning percentage over 60% — and the Rainbow Warriors have played 5 of their last 6 games at home Under the Total with the Total set no higher than 129.5. 25* CBB Big West Conference Total of the Month with Under the Total in the game between the UC-Santa Barbara Gauchos (837) and the Hawai’i Rainbow Warriors (838). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 7:00 PM ET on Wednesday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the TCU Horned Frogs (691) and the West Virginia Mountaineers (692). THE SITUATION: TCU (14-3) snapped a two-game losing streak with an 82-68 win against Kansas State as a 4-point favorite on Saturday. West Virginia (10-7) has lost five games in a row after their 77-76 loss at Oklahoma as a 3.5-point underdog on Saturday.

REASONS TO TAKE OVER THE TOTAL: The Mountaineers are desperate for a victory after dropping their first five games in conference play. Three of these losses were on the road — and four of the losses were by seven points or less. Metrics guru Ken Pomeroy still ranks West Virginia ahead of the Horned Frogs with the Mountaineers ranked 24th in his rating system with TCU three spots behind at 27th. West Virginia is one of the best scoring teams in the nation — they rank 21st in the nation in Adjusted Offensive Efficiency. They rank 57th in the nation by pulling down 33.0% of their missed shots — and they should get plenty of second-chance points against the Horned Frogs. TCU ranks 265th in the nation by allowing their opponents to rebound 30.9% of their missed shots — and they have been worse in conference play by allowing their Big 12 opponents to pull down 34.1% of their misses, ranking 9th in the conference. West Virginia has played 15 of their last 21 games Over the Total after a straight-up loss — and they have played 11 of their last 16 games Over the Total after a point spread loss. Additionally, the Mountaineers have played 11 of their last 12 games Over the Total after losing four or five of their last six games. They return home where they are scoring 80.0 Points-Per-Game — and they have played 6 of their last 9 home games Over the Total. They have also played 11 of their last 15 home games Over the Total against teams with a winning percentage over 60% at home. Head coach Bob Huggins' team is struggling due to the play of their defense — they rank 9th in the Big 12 in Adjusted Defensive Efficiency. They are giving their opponents too many shots at the charity stripe as they rank 337th in the nation in opponent free throw rate. The Mountaineers have allowed their last five opponents to score 77.0 PPG. West Virginia has played 39 of their last 54 games Over the Total against teams with a winning percentage over 60% — and they have played 8 of their last 10 games Over the Total when favored. TCU only made 46.5% of their shots on Saturday which was the worst shooting effort in their last four games — but they allowed the Wildcats to make 43.1% of their shots which was the best defensive effort in their last four contests, so the short-term numbers point to a higher-scoring game tonight. The Horned Frogs have played 4 of their last 5 games Over the Total after a straight-up win — and they have played 4 of their last 5 games Over the Total after a point-spread win. They have also played 8 straight Overs after winning at least eight of their last ten games. Head coach Jamie Dixon’s team should also get plenty of second-chance scoring opportunities tonight — they rank 27th in the nation by rebounding 35.1% of their missed shots. West Virginia is vulnerable on their defensive glass as they allow their opponents to rebound 28.7% of their missed shots, ranking 182nd in the nation. TCU goes back on the road where they are scoring 76.5 PPG. They have played 5 straight Overs on the road — and they have played 4 straight Overs against teams with a winning percentage of 60% or higher on their home court.

FINAL TAKE: The Horned Frogs have played 5 of their last 6 games Over the Total with the Total set in the 140s — and West Virginia has played 25 of their last 33 games Over the Total with the Total set in the 140s. 25* CBB Big 12 Total of the Month with Over the Total in the game between the TCU Horned Frogs (691) and the West Virginia Mountaineers (692). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 7:00 PM ET on Tuesday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Boston College Eagles (617) and the North Carolina Tar Heels (618). THE SITUATION: Boston College (8-10) has lost three games in a row after their 85-63 loss to Wake Forest as a 2.5-point underdog. North Carolina (12-6) has won three of their last four contests with their 80-59 victory at Louisville as a 13-point favorite on Saturday.

REASONS TO TAKE OVER THE TOTAL: The Tar Heels dominated the Cardinals on Saturday by holding them to just a 37.0% field goal percentage — the best defensive effort in their last 14 games. But North Carolina is not an elite defensive team this season. After ranking 35th in the nation last year in Adjusted Defensive Efficiency in their trek to the national championship game, they have dropped to 58th in that metric this season. But the Tar Heels remain an outstanding offensive team that ranks 18th in the nation in Adjusted Offensive Efficiency. North Carolina has played 5 of their last 6 games Over the Total after a straight-up win — and they have played 4 of their last 5 games Over the Total after a point spread victory. They have also played 5 of their last 7 games Over the Total after a win of 20 or more points. They return home where they are making 48.1% of their shots which has resulted in 83.4 Points-Per-Game on their home court. The Tar Heels have covered the point spread in 4 straight games at home — and they have covered the point spread in 7 of their last 10 home games against teams with a losing record on the road. Boston College only made 38.2% of their shots on Saturday in their loss to the Demon Deacons — that was the worst shooting effort in their last nine games. But the Eagles' defense continues to struggle as they allowed Wake Forest to nail 52.3% of their shots — and that came on the heels of them allowing Miami (FL) to shoot 60.4% from the field in their previous game. Boston College has played 6 of their last 7 games Over the Total after a straight-up loss — and they have played 6 of their last 7 games Over the Total after a point spread loss. They have also played 9 of their last 12 games Over the Total after a double-digit loss at home — and they have played 7 of their last 10 games Over the Total after a loss by 20 or more points. They go back on the road where they allow their opponents to convert 49.5% of their shots. The Eagles have played 4 straight Overs on the road — and they have played 17 of their last 23 road games Over the Total as an underdog.

FINAL TAKE: North Carolina is 8-0 at home this season — and Boston College has seen the Over go 33-16-2 in their last 51 road games against teams with a winning percentage of 60% or higher at home. 25* CBB ACC Total of the Month with Over the Total in the game between the Boston College (617) and the North Carolina Tar Heels (618). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 7:10 PM ET on Wednesday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Chicago Bulls (501) and the Washington Wizards (502). THE SITUATION: Chicago (19-22) had their three-game winning streak snapped in a 107-99 loss at Boston as an 8.5-point underdog on Monday. Washington (17-24) has lost three games in a row after a 132-113 upset loss to New Orleans as a 1.5-point favorite on Monday.

REASONS TO TAKE OVER THE TOTAL: The Bulls only made 45.3% of their shots against the Celtics which was the worst shooting effort in their last 18 games. Chicago has played 10 of their last 13 games Over the Total after a point spread loss — and they have played 12 of their last 15 games Over the Total after winning two of their last three games. And while they have not covered the point spread in their last two games, they have then played 9 of their last 12 games Over the Total after covering the point spread in two straight contests. Chicago is playing better basketball as of late having won eight of their last 12 contests — and they own the 6th most efficient offense in the league over that span. Zach LaVine has stepped up his game by scoring 26.9 Points-Per-Game in the last three weeks on 52% shooting and a sizzling 47.3% clip from behind the arc. The Bulls stay on the road where they have played 6 of their last 8 road games Over the Total with the Total set in the 220s. Washington has not covered the point spread in three straight games — and they have played 5 of their last 6 games Over the Total after not covering the point spread in three straight contests. The Wizards have also played 12 of their last 15 home games Over the Total when playing their second game in five days. They have allowed each of their last three opponents to nail 48% or more of their shots from the field — and they have played 10 of their last 16 games over the Total after allowing three straight opponents to shoot 47% or better from the field. Washington stays at home where they have played 6 of their last 7 games Over the Total — and they have played 22 of their last 24 home games Over the Total with the Total set at 220 or higher. They have also played 11 of their last 15 home games Over the Total against opponents with a winning percentage of 40% or lower on the road.

FINAL TAKE: The Wizards’ recent slide on defense has coincided with Bradley Beal's hamstring injury against Milwaukee on January 3rd. They have played 7 of their last 8 home games Over the Total as an underdog of six points or less. 10* NBA Wednesday Daily Discounted O/U Deal with Over the Total in the game between the Chicago Bulls (501) and the Washington Wizards (502). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 10:40 PM ET on Friday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Atlanta Hawks (521) and the Los Angeles Lakers (522). THE SITUATION: Atlanta (18-20) snapped their four-game losing streak with their 120-117 upset win at Sacramento as a 1-point underdog on Wednesday. Los Angeles (17-21) has won three games in a row and four of their last five after their 112-109 upset win against Miami as an 8.5-point underdog on Wednesday.

REASONS TO TAKE OVER THE TOTAL: The Hawks are playing high-scoring games given their offensive weapons and fast pace combined with listless efforts on defense. Over their last ten games, they are playing at the 4th quickest pace in the league. Atlanta is making 47.1% of their shots in their last five games which is resulting in 120.6 Points-Per-Game. But they are allowing their opponents to make 49.2% of their shots in their last five games which are allowing their opponents to put up 125.4 PPG. The Hawks have played 5 of their last 7 games Over the Total after a straight-up win — and they have played 4 straight Overs after a point spread victory. And while the game finished well below the 245-point total, they have then played 11 of their last 16 games Over the Total after playing an Under in their last game. They stay on the road where they have played 5 of their last 7 games — and they have played 4 of their last 5 road games Over the Total against teams with a winning record at home. LeBron Hames and Russell Westbrook are expected to play tonight with both players upgraded to probable for tonight’s game. James got Wednesday’s night game off after logging at least 39 minutes in each of his two previous games. James is scoring 36.6 PPG in his last five games. Los Angeles has played 6 of their last 8 games Over the Total after a win on their home court. The Lakers have also played 5 of their last 7 games Over the Total after winning four or five of their last six games. Los Angeles is making 51.0% of their shots in their last five games which are generating 118.0 PPG. They have played 12 of their last 17 games Over the Total with the Total set in the 230s. Additionally, the Lakers have played 12 of their last 18 games Over the Total against teams from the Eastern Conference — and they have played 4 of their last 5 games Over the Total against teams with a losing record.

FINAL TAKE: Both of these teams are dealing with injuries. Anthony Davis remains out for Los Angeles — and Austin Reeves and Troy Brown, Jr. are also out tonight. Clint Capela is out for the Hawks. These two teams last played on December 30th with the Lakers upset Atlanta on the road by a 130-121 score as a 6.5-point underdog despite the Hawks making only 28.9% of their shots from behind the arc. Atlanta allows their opponents to make 47.4% of their shots — and Los Angeles has played 19 of their last 27 games Over the Total against teams with a defensive field goal percentage of 46.0% or higher. 10* NBA Friday Late Show O/U Bailout with Over the Total in the game between the Atlanta Hawks (521) and the Los Angeles Lakers (522). Best of luck for us — Frank. 

At 8:00 PM ET on Wednesday, whe will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Bradley Braves (707) and the Murray State Racers (708). THE SITUATION: Bradley (10-5) has won three of their last four games with their 79-45 victory against Illinois-Chicago as a 15-point favorite on Saturday. Murray State (8-6) snapped a two-game losing streak with their 78-61 win at Evansville as a 5-point favorite on Sunday.

REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: The Braves made 52.6% of their shots against the Flames which was the best shooting mark in their last seven games. Bradley has played 5 of their last 7 games Under the Total after a win by 20 or more points. They have also played 5 of their last 6 games Under the Total after a straight-up win — and they have played 9 of their last 11 games Under the Total after a point-spread victory. Furthermore, the Braves have played 4 straight games Under the Total after not allowing more than 50 points in their last game. This group is an outstanding defensive team that ranks 15th in the nation in Adjusted Defensive Efficiency. Their stout defensive play starts from their interior defense which holds their opponents to 41.9% shooting inside the arc, ranking 7th in the nation. This spells trouble for the Tigers who get 53.7% of their points from 2-pointers, ranking 100th in the nation. In their four true road games, Bradley ranks 8th in the nation in Adjusted Defensive Efficiency. In their seven games away from home (including three games played on a neutral court), the Braves hold their opponents to 43.9% shooting which results in 65.3 Points-Per-Game. But Bradley only makes 39.4% of their shots away from home which is generating a mere 57.3 PPG. The Braves have played 5 straight Unders on the road — and they have played 5 straight Unders on the road against teams with a winning percentage of 60% or higher at home. Murray State has played 4 straight Unders after a point spread loss — and they have played 7 of their last 8 games Under the Total after losing two of their last three games. They return home where they holding their opponents to 61.6 PPG. The Racers have played 5 straight Unders on their home court — and they have 17 of their last 25 home games Under the Total against teams with a winning percentage at 40% or less on the road. Murray State scores 70.2 PPG on their home court — and they rank 255th in the nation in Adjusted Efficiency Rate on offense in their five games at home.

FINAL TAKE: The Racers rank 33rd in the nation in 3-point defense by holding their opponents to 29.1% shooting from behind the arc — and Bradley ranks 59th in the nation by getting 36.2% of their points from 3-point shooting. 25* CBB Missouri Valley Conference Total of the Month is with Under the Total in the game between the Bradley Braves (707) and the Murray State Racers (708). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 8:30 PM ET on Tuesday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Seton Hall Pirates (627) and the Creighton Bluejays (628). THE SITUATION: Seton Hall (8-7) snapped a three-game losing streak with their 88-66 win against St. John’s as a 3-point favorite on Saturday. Creighton (8-6) has won two games in a row with their 80-65 win against DePaul as a 15.5-point favorite on Christmas Day.

REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: The Pirates nailed 54.1% of their shots against the Red Storm — that field goal percentage along with their 88 points represented their best offensive numbers of the season. But Seton Hall has played 6 of their last 7 games Under the Total after scoring at least 85 points in their last contest. The Under is also 11-3-1 in their last 15 games after winning their previous game by 20 or more points. And while the Pirates have played two straight Overs, they have then played 7 of their last 9 games Under the Total after playing two more Overs in a row. They go back on the road where they are only making 42.6% of their shots which is resulting in them scoring 65.0 Points-Per-Game in those contests — -4.9 PPG before their season average. Seton Hall has played 14 of their last 19 games Under the Total on the road — and the Under is 13-5-1 in their last 19 road games against teams with a winning record at home. The Pirates are an outstanding defensive team in the first season under head coach Shaheen Holloway. Seton Hall ranks 29th in the nation in Adjusted Defensive Efficiency — and they rank 17th in the country by holding their opponents to 27.7% shooting from behind the arc. The Pirates like to get to the free throw line — they rank 6th in the nation in free throw rate. But now they play a Bluejays team that leads the nation in opponent free throw rate allowed. Creighton ranks 28th in the nation in Adjusted Defensive Efficiency. They also limit their opponents to pulling down only 21.8% of their missed shots, ranking 7th best in the nation. The Bluejays were on a six-game losing streak before winning their last two games by double-digit wins at home against Big East Rivals. Both of those games coincided with the return of Ryan Kalkbrenner who missed three games to an injury last month. Creighton has played 5 of their last 7 games Under the Total after winning their previous two games against conference opponents by 10 or more points. They have made at least 54.0% of their shots in their last two games after not shooting better than 46.3% in their previous six contests. The Bluejays have played 8 of their last 10 games Under the Total after shooting 50% or better from the field in two straight games. They have scored 158 combined points in their last two contests — but they have then played 11 of their last 16 games Under the Total after scoring at least 75 points in two straight games. And in their last 5 games when playing with at least seven games between contests, they have then played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total when playing with seven or more days between games. They stay at home where they rank 22nd in the nation in Adjusted Defensive Efficiency on their home court. They hold their opponents to 40.7% shooting which is translating into their opponents scoring just 60.1 PPG. The Under is 21-10-1 in Creighton’s last 32 games at home — and the Under is 8-1-1 in their last 10 home games against teams with a winning percentage no higher than 40% on the road. They have also played 5 of their last 7 home games Under the Total when favored by 6.5 to 9 points. Additionally, the Bluejays have played 11 of their last 14 games Under the Total with the Total set in the 130s.

FINAL TAKE: Creighton has played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total against teams with a winning record — and Seton Hall has played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total against teams with a winning record. 25* CBB Tuesday FS1-TV Total of the Month with Under the Total in the game between the Seton Hall Pirates (627) and the Creighton Bluejays (628). Best of luck for us — Frank.