At 7:08 PM ET on Sunday, we will be playing the money-line on the Los Angeles Dodgers (908) versus the San Diego Padres (907) listing both starting pitchers Tyler Anderson and Yu Darvish. THE SITUATION: Los Angeles (73-33) won their seventh straight game — and 10th in their last 11 contests — with their 8-3 victory against the Padres in the second game of this series. San Diego (61-48) has lost three games in a row.

REASONS TO TAKE THE DODGERS WITH THE MONEY-LINE: Los Angeles is rolling now — and they have won 40 of their last 53 games after winning their last contest. They have also won 26 of their last 35 games after a win by four or more runs. Additionally, the Dodgers have won 9 of their last 11 games after winning two in a row against a divisional rival — and they have won 47 of their last 58 games at home after winning three or more games in a row. LA is crushing the baseball right now — they have scored 16 runs in the first two games in this series while plating 48 runners in their last seven contests. They have won 17 of their last 22 games after scoring eight or more runs in their last game. They have won 56 of their last 73 games at home at Dodger Stadium — and they have won 40 of their last 53 home games against teams with a winning record. They have also won 9 of their last 11 home games when priced as a money-line favorite no higher than -150 — and they have won 18 of their last 19 home games against NL West rivals. Anderson gets the start with his 12-1 record along with a 2.89 ERA and a 1.03 WHIP in 18 starts (20 appearances). The left-hander has been outstanding when pitching at home where he enjoys a 2.59 ERA, 0.92 WHIP, and an opponent’s batting average of .216 in nine games (eight starts) as opposed to his 3.17 ERA, 1.14 WHIP, and .235 opponent’s batting average on the road. The Dodgers have won 7 of his 8 starts at home this season — and Anderson’s teams have won 12 of their last 14 games when he is on the mound looking to extend a winning streak. He faces a Padres team that does not hit left-handed pitching very well — especially with Fernando Tatis yet to play this season. San Diego scores only 4.1 Runs-Per-Game against left-handed starting pitchers with a .244 batting average, .312 on-base percentage, and an OPS of .674. Since the beginning of June, the Padres rank 16th on the road in weighted on-base percentage and 17th on the road in weighted Runs Created. The Padres have lost 7 of their last 9 games against left-handed starting pitchers — and they have lost 4 straight road games against left-handed starters. They made big moves at the trade deadline by acquiring Juan Soto and Josh Hader — but they still can’t beat the Dodgers. San Diego has now lost 7 of their 9 games against their NL West rivals — and they have lost 42 of their last 59 games against them in Dodger Stadium. The Padres have lost 5 straight games after dropping the first two games in a new series. They have lost 5 of their last 6 games on the road. They counter with Darvish who has a 10-4 record along with a 3.30 ERA and a 0.99 WHIP in 20 starts. But while the right-hander thrives at home with a 2.17 ERA, 0.81 WHIP, and an opponent’s batting average of .172 in ten starts, those numbers rise to a 4.50 ERA, 1.18 WHIP, and an opponent’s batting average of .253 on the road. These disparate home/road splits are consistent with last season when Darvish had a 3.38 ERA, 0.95 WHIP, and an opponent’s batting average of .206 in 17 home starts but a 5.54 ERA, 1.32 WHIP, and .244 opponent’s batting average in 13 starts on the road. San Diego has lost 5 of their last 7 road games with Darvish pitching with the Total set from 8.5-10 — and they have lost 13 of their 20 games in the second half of the season with him making the start.

FINAL TAKE: The Dodgers are scoring 6.9 Runs-Per-Game in their last seven games with a .294 batting average, .337 on-base percentage, and an OPS of .827 in those contests. They have won 37 of their last 51 games against starting pitchers with a WHIP of 1.15 or lower — and they have won 39 of their last 52 games against right-handed starting pitchers. 25* MLB Sunday ESPN Game of the Year with the money-line on the Los Angeles Dodgers (908) versus the San Diego Padres (907) listing both starting pitchers Tyler Anderson and Yu Darvish. Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 7:08 PM ET on Sunday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Chicago Cubs (961) and the San Francisco Giants (962) listing both starting pitchers Adrian Sampson and Carlos Rodon. THE SITUATION: Chicago (41-59) has lost two of their last three games after their 5-4 loss to the Giants yesterday. San Francisco (50-51) has won two of their last three games.

REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: The Cubs had won six straight games before dropping two of three. They have played 10 of their last 11 games Under the Total after winning five or six of their last seven games. The Under is also 3-0-1 in their last 4 games after losing their last game. Chicago has played 5 of their last 6 games Under the Total against teams with a losing record — and the Under is 6-2-1 in their last 9 road games with the Total set in the 7-8.5 range. Sampson takes the mound for the Cubs with his 0-1 record along with a 3.20 ERA and a 1.17 WHIP in 39 1/3 innings. The right-hander has been more effective on the road where he owns a 2.53 ERA, 0.94 WHIP, and an opponent’s batting average of .205 in 10 2/3 innings which includes two starts as opposed to his 3.45 ERA, 1.26 WHIP, and .254 opponent’s batting average at home at Wrigley Field. Chicago has played 4 of their last 5 road games Under the Total with Sampson on the hill priced as a money-line underdog at +150 or higher. He faces a slumping Giants lineup that is scoring only 3.0 Runs-Per-Game with a .220 batting average, .270 on-base percentage, and an OPS of .624 in those games. San Francisco ranks 27th in MLB since June 1st in weighted on-base percentage when playing at home against right-handed starting pitchers — and they rank 24th in weighted Runs Scored at home against right-handed starting pitchers since the beginning of June. They have played 7 of their last 10 games Under the Total against right-handed starting pitchers. San Francisco has also played 5 of their last 7 games Under the Total after winning their last game — and the Under is 10-2-1 in their last 13 games after scoring at least five runs in their last game. They have also played 20 of their last 30 games Under the Total after winning two of their last three games. The Giants have played 5 of their last 7 games Under the Total when playing at home. They counter with Rodon who has an 8-6 record with a 3.18 ERA and a 1.12 WHIP in 20 starts. The deeper sabermetrics validate his outstanding season with both his SIERA and xFIP projecting an ERA of 3.12 and 3.14 moving forward. The lefty has a 2.05 ERA in his eight starts at home as opposed to his 3.88 ERA on the road. His teams have played 5 of their last 6 home games Under the Total when he is the starting pitcher priced in the -125 to -175 range. He faces a Cubs team scoring only 3.9 Runs-Per-Game in their last seven games with a .224 batting average, .274 on-base percentage, and an OPS of .666 during that span. Since June 1st against left-handed starting pitchers, Chicago ranks 20th in weighted on-base percentage on the road and 23rd in weighted Runs Created. The Cubs have played 6 of their last 7 games Under the Total against left-handed starting pitchers.

FINAL TAKE: These two teams have played 5 of their last 7 encounters against each other Under the Total — and they have played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total when playing at Oracle Park. 25* MLB Total of the Month with Under the Total in the game between the Chicago Cubs (961) and the San Francisco Giants (962) listing both starting pitchers Adrian Sampson and Carlos Rodon. Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 7:15 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing the money-line on the Philadelphia Phillies (905) versus the Pittsburgh Pirates (906) listing both starting pitchers Ranger Suarez and Mitch Keller. THE SITUATION: Philadelphia (53-47) has won three straight games after their 4-2 victory against the Pirates in the second game of this four-game series. Pittsburgh (40-60) has lost five games in a row.

REASONS TO TAKE THE PHILLIES WITH THE MONEY-LINE: The Phillies have won 21 of their last 31 games after winning their last game — and they have won 14 of their last 16 games after winning at least two games in a row. The Philly bullpen did not give up an earned run last night — and Philadelphia has won 28 of their last 42 games after their bullpen did not give up an earned run in their last contest. They have also won 7 of their last 10 games after not allowing more than two runs in their last game. Additionally, after winning the opening game of this series by an 8-7 score, they have won 5 of their last 7 games after winning their two previous games by no more than two runs. After a slow start to the season that got manager Joe Girardi fired, the Phillies have a 31-18 record since the beginning of June. They have won 19 of their last 29 games on the road — and they have won 5 straight games on the road. They give the ball to Suarez who has a 7-5 record with a 3.84 ERA and a 1.39 WHIP in 17 starts. After a slow start to the season, the left-hander has not allowed an earned run in his last two starts spanning 10 innings. He has been more effective on the road where he owns a 3.23 ERA, 1.25 WHIP, and an opponent’s batting average of .249 in eight starts as opposed to his 4.54 ERA, 1.56 WHIP, and an opponent’s batting average of .274 when pitching at home. Philadelphia has won 6 straight games on the road with Suarez on the mound with the Total set in the 7-8.5 range. He faces a Pirates team that is scoring only 2.9 Runs-Per-Game in their last seven games with a .187 batting average, .249 on-base percentage, and an OPS of .549 during that span. They rank 25th in MLB at home against left-handed starting pitchers since the beginning of June in both weighted on-base percentage and weighted Runs Created. Pittsburgh has lost 8 of their last 10 home games against left-handed starting pitchers. The Pirates have lost 6 of their last 8 games after scoring two runs or less in their last game. They have lost 40 of their last 51 games after losing the first two games of a series — and they have lost 27 of their last 30 games after losing two games in a row by two runs or less. They have also lost 5 of their last 6 games at home. They counter with Keller who has a 3-7 record along with a 4.55 ERA and a 1.42 WHIP in 19 games which include 17 starts. The right-hander has not been as effective at home where has a 4.66 ERA and a .277 opponent’s batting average in nine games and eight starts at home as compared to his more modest 4.44 ERA and .271 opponent’s batting average on the road. Pittsburgh has lost 7 of their last 8 home games with Keller on the mound.

FINAL TAKE: The Phillies have a .277 batting average in their last seven games — and they have won 23 of their last 34 games against right-handed starting pitchers. Philadelphia has also won 6 of their last 7 games against the Pirates. 25* MLB Saturday Night Fox-TV Game of the Month with the money-line on the Philadelphia Phillies (905) versus the Pittsburgh Pirates (906) listing both starting pitchers Ranger Suarez and Mitch Keller. Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 7:10 PM ET on Friday, we will be playing the money-line on the Tampa Bay Rays (968) versus the Cleveland Guardians (967) listing both starting pitchers Jeffrey Springs and Shane Bieber. THE SITUATION: Tampa Bay (53-46) has lost five of their last six games after their 3-0 shutout loss at Baltimore yesterday. Cleveland (50-48) has lost four of their last six contests after their 4-2 loss at Boston on Thursday.

REASONS TO TAKE THE RAYS WITH THE MONEY-LINE: Tampa Bay has won 5 of their last 6 games after getting shutout in their last game — and they have won 7 of their last 9 games after suffering a shutout loss to a fellow American League East rival. And while the Rays only scratched out four hits against the Orioles, they have then won 27 of their last 39 games after not generating more than four base hits in their last game. Tampa Bay has also won 39 of their last 58 games after losing four or five of their last six games. Now after playing their last seven games on the road, they return home to Tropicana Field for the first time since July 17th — and they have won 4 of their last 5 games at home after being on the road for at least a week. The Rays have won 6 straight games at home against teams with a winning record — and they have won 15 of their last 19 home games after losing three of their last four games. And in their last 60 games at home priced as a money-line favorite up to -150, they have won 41 of these contests. They have also beaten 12 of their last 13 opponents with winning records. Injuries have hit this team hard with over 1000 combined games lost to injury already this season. While they miss their young phenom at shortstop in Wander Franco who is out with a hand injury, most of their injuries have been with their pitching staff. But Tampa Bay continues to be resilient and rely on their top-notch development system. One of the players who they have found off the scrap heap to develop into another positive contributor is Springs who takes the ball for manager Kevin Cash tonight. The coaching staff has helped rely on his change up more this season to great success. The left-hander has a 3-2 record with a 2.50 ERA and a 1.10 WHIP in 68 1/3 innings between stints in the bullpen and as a starter. The deeper sabermetrics do not expect him to continue to suppress runs to that degree — but with his SIERA and xFIP both projecting an ERA of 3.26 moving forward, the numbers underneath the hood validate his outstanding pitching. He has been outstanding at home where he has a 1.76 ERA, 0.98 WHIP, and an opponent’s batting average of .219 in 30 2/3 innings at home in ten appearances which includes five starts. After a stint on the injured list from lower leg tightness, he allowed only one earned run in 4 2/3 innings in his return start on Sunday at Kansas City. Tampa Bay has won 5 of their last 6 games with Springs their starting pitcher when priced in the +/- 125 price range. They have also won 8 of their last 11 games when Springs is their starting pitcher looking to attend a team losing streak. He faces a Guardians lineup that has just a .247 batting average, .298 on-base percentage, and an OPS of .672. Most of their best hitters hit on the left-side of the plate. Since June 1st, Cleveland ranks 29th in MLB in both weighted on-base percentage and weighted Runs Created on the road against left-handed starting pitchers. They have lost 6 of their last 8 games against starting pitchers with a WHIP of 1.15 or lower. The Guardians have also lost 11 of their last 16 games on the road — and they have lost 9 of their last 13 road games with the total set in the 7-7.5 range. They counter with Bieber who has a 4-6 record with a 3.55 ERA and a 1.15 WHIP in 18 starts. The velocity on his four-seam fastball is down 1.7 miles-per-hour this season — and after striking out at an elite-level 33.1% of opposing hitters last season, he is only striking out 24.3% of hitters this year. In his three starts this month, Bieber has a 5.23 ERA. He has been more effective at home where he owns a 1.03 WHIP and an opponent’s batting average of .224 in seven starts — but his WHIP and an opponent’s batting average rise to 1.22 and .253 marks in his 11 starts on the road. Cleveland has lost 6 of their last 9 games with Bieber pitching as an underdog priced up to +150. He faces a Rays team that has won 4 of their last 5 games against starting pitchers with a WHIP of 1.15 or lower.

FINAL TAKE: Cleveland has lost 19 of their last 26 games against the Rays — and they have lost 7 in a row against them in Tampa Bay. 25* MLB Game of the Month with the money-line on the Tampa Bay Rays (968) versus the Cleveland Guardians (967) listing both starting pitchers Jeffrey Springs and Shane Bieber. Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 8:10 PM ET on Thursday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Seattle Mariners (917) and the Houston Astros (918) listing both starting pitchers Logan Gilbert and Jose Urquidy. THE SITUATION: Seattle (54-45) has won three games in a row after their 4-2 win against Texas yesterday. Houston (64-35) has lost three games in a row after their 4-2 loss at Oakland on Wednesday.

REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: The Mariners have played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total after winning their last game — and they have played 6 of their last 8 games Under the Total after upsetting a divisional rival in their last game. Seattle has also played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total after winning three games in a row against an AL West opponent. And in their last 7 games with the Total set in the 7-8.5 range, the Mariners have played 5 of these games Under the Total. Gilbert gets the start with his 10-4 record along with a 2.77 ERA and a 1.15 WHIP in 20 starts. The right-hander has been more effective on the road where he sports a 2.42 ERA and an opponent’s batting average of .224 in 11 starts as opposed to his 3.19 ERA and a .248 opponent’s batting average in nine starts at home. Seattle has played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total with Gilbert starting on the road with the Total set in the 8-8.5 range. Houston has played 23 of their last 34 games Under the Total after losing their last game — and they have played 19 of their last 26 games Under the Total after not scoring more than two runs in their last contest. And while the Astros have scored only five runs in their last two games, they have played 13 of their last 17 games Under the Total after not scoring more than three runs in two straight games. Houston has played 5 of their last 6 games Under the Total at home — and they have played 18 of their last 27 home games with the Total set in the 8-8.5 range. They have also played 5 of their last 7 games Under the Total against teams with a winning record. They counter with Urquidy who has a 9-4 record along with a 3.93 ERA and a 1.23 WHIP in 18 starts. The right-hander has been more effective at home where he enjoys a 2.63 ERA, 1.17 WHIP, and an opponent’s batting average of .237 as opposed to his 4.83 ERA, 1.27 WHIP, and an opponent’s batting average of .271 on the road. The Astros have played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total with Urquidy on the mound after losing their last game. He faces a Mariners team that has played 6 of their last 7 games Under the Total against right-handed starting pitchers.

FINAL TAKE: Seattle has played 6 of their last 8 games Under the Total against divisional rivals. 25* MLB Thursday FS1-TV Total of the Month with Under the Total in the game between the Seattle Mariners (917) and the Houston Astros (918) listing both starting pitchers Logan Gilbert and Jose Urquidy. Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 9:40 PM ET on Tuesday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Houston Astros (917) and the Oakland A’s (918) listing both starting pitchers Luis Garcia and Frankie Montas. THE SITUATION: Houston (64-33) had their three-game winning streak snapped in a 7-5 loss to the A’s last night. Oakland (36-63) has won four of their last five games.

REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: The Under is 40-19-6 in the Astros’ last 65 games after a loss — and the Under is 29-14-1 in their last 44 games after scoring at least five runs in their last game. The Under is also 33-16-4 in Houston’s last 53 games on the road — and they have played 23 of their last 34 road games Under the Total with the Total set in the 7-8.5 range. They have also played 24 of their last 33 games Under the Total against teams with a winning percentage no higher than 40%. Garcia gets the ball with his 8-5 record with a 3.65 ERA and a 1.06 WHIP in 17 starts. The sabermetrics confirm his good season with both his SIERA and xFIP projecting an ERA of 3.53 and 3.58 moving forward. The right-hander has been more effective on the road where he owns a 2.25 ERA, 1.00 WHIP, and an opponent’s batting average in .193 in eight starts as opposed to his 4.89 ERA, 1.11 WHIP, and an opponent’s batting average of .219 in nine starts at home. Houston has played 5 of their last 7 games Under the Total with Garcia their starting pitcher on the road priced at -110 or higher. He faces an A’s team that has played 6 of their last 8 games Under the Total against right-handed starting pitchers — and they have played 6 straight Unders against starting pitchers with a WHIP of 1.15 or lower. Oakland has played 7 of their last 10 games Under the Total after winning their last game — and they have played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total after allowing at least five runs in their last contest. And while the A’s have played their last two games Over the Total, they have then played 11 of their last 14 games Under the Total after playing two straight Overs. At home, Oakland is scoring only 2.7 Runs-Per-Game with a .202 batting average, .264 on-base percentage, and an OPS of .580. Montas takes the mound for the A’s to further his 3-9 record despite a 3.16 ERA and a 1.08 WHIP in 18 starts. The right-hander has been outstanding at home where he owns a 2.27 ERA, 1.01 WHIP, and an opponent’s batting average of .203 batting average in 11 starts as compared to his 5.01 ERA, 1.24 WHIP, and an opponent’s batting average of .264 when pitching on the road. Oakland has played 10 of their 11 games Under the Total with Montas pitching at home — and they have played 11 of their last 12 games Under the Total with Montas their starting pitcher with the Total set at 7 or less. The A’s have played 5 of their last 6 games Under the Total against teams with a winning percentage of 60% or higher. Oakland has also played 5 of their last 7 games Under the Total against teams from the AL West — and the Astros have played 6 of their last 8 games Under the Total against divisional foes.

FINAL TAKE: These two teams have played 5 of their last 6 meetings Under the Total — and they have played 6 of their last 8 games Under the Total when playing in Oakland. Lastly, Houston has played 9 of their last 10 games Under the Total when avenging an upset loss as a road favorite. 25* MLB American League West Total of the Month with Under the Total in the game between the Houston Astros (917) and the Oakland A’s (918) listing both starting pitchers Luis Garcia and Frankie Montas. Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 10:10 PM ET on Monday, we will be playing the Los Angeles Dodgers (962) minus the -1.5 Run-Line versus the Washington Nationals (961) listing both starting pitchers Tony Gonsolin and Paolo Espino. THE SITUATION: Los Angeles (64-30) has won eight-straight games after their 7-4 victory against San Francisco yesterday. Washington (32-65) snapped a two-game losing streak with their 4-3 victory at Arizona on Sunday.

REASONS TO TAKE THE DODGERS MINUS THE -1.5 RUN-LINE: Los Angeles has a 17-2 record this month — and their last seven victories have all been by more than one run. The Dodgers have won 45 of their last 62 games after winning their last game — and they have won 9 of their last 10 games after winning at least two in a row against division opponents. Los Angeles has won 53 of their last 68 games at home — and they have won 50 of their last 61 games against teams with a winning percentage no higher than 40%. And while the last time the Dodgers played the Nationals, they lost by a 1-0 score in Washington on May 25th — but they have then won 8 of their last 10 games when avenging a loss where they did not score more than one run. They give the ball to Gonsolin who has an 11-0 record with a 2.02 ERA and a 0.84 WHIP in 17 starts. The right-hander has been outstanding at home where he owns a 1.13 ERA, 0.69 WHIP, and an opponent’s batting average of .130 in eight starts as opposed to his 2.96 ERA, 1.01 WHIP, and an opponent’s batting average of .204. The Dodgers have won 11 straight games at home when Gonsolin is their starting pitcher priced at -150 or higher as the money-line favorite. He faces a Nationals team that is scoring only 3.6 Runs-Per-Game in their last seven games with a .217 batting average, .275 on-base percentage, and an OPS of .600 during that span. Washington has lost 37 of their last 52 games against starting pitchers with a WHIP of 1.15 or lower. They have also lost 4 of their last 5 road games against right-handed starting pitchers. The Nationals have lost 17 of their last 20 games even after yesterday’s victory. Washington has lost 36 of their last 51 games after winning their last game. The Nationals have also lost 4 of their last 5 games on the road with the Total set at 7-8.5. They have also lost 46 of their last 60 games against teams with a winning record. They counter with Espino who has an 0-3 record with a 3.57 ERA and a 1.22 WHIP in 58 innings this season. The deeper sabermetrics call for regression with both his SIERA and xFIP projecting an ERA of 4.04 and 4.32 moving forward. The Nationals have lost 8 of their last 10 games on the road as a money-line underdog with Espino on the mound. He faces a Dodgers team that is scoring 6.4 Runs-Per-Game in their last seven games with a .275 batting average, .350 on-base percentage, and an OPS of .869 during that span. Los Angeles has won 41 of their last 52 home games against right-handed starting pitchers.

FINAL TAKE: These team trends do not take into account the -1.5 Run-Line we are laying for this play — but when the Dodgers win, it is usually by more than one run. Los Angeles has played 69 games this season where they were priced above my -150 price threshold. They were upset in 23 of those games — and in their 46 victories in those circumstances, they covered the -1.5 Run-Line 41 times. Washington has been priced as a +145 money-line underdog 47 times this season. They pulled off the upset 15 times — and in their 32 loss, they failed to cover the +1.5 Run-Line 26 times. 25* MLB National League Run-Line of the Month with the Los Angeles Dodgers (962) minus the -1.5 Run-Line versus the Washington Nationals (961) listing both starting pitchers Tony Gonsolin and Paolo Espino. Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 7:40 PM ET on Thursday, we will be playing the Chicago White Sox (969) plus the +1.5 Run-Line versus the Minnesota Twins (970) listing both starting pitchers Johnny Cueto and Sonny Gray. THE SITUATION: Chicago (43-45) has won two straight games and four of their last five after their 2-1 victory at Cleveland yesterday. Minnesota (49-41) has won two of their last three games with their 4-1 win against Milwaukee on Wednesday.

REASONS TO TAKE THE WHITE SOX PLUS THE +1.5 RUN-LINE: Chicago their road trip with this four-game series in Minnesota having won 12 of their last 17 games after winning their two previous games on the road against divisional opponents. They have also won 5 of their last 6 games after scoring two runs or less in their last contest. The White Sox have been a disappointment when considering that they entered the season with aspirations of making a deep run in the playoffs. Injuries have not helped their cause. But the most surprising aspect to this team has been their play at home where they are just 19-25 at Guaranteed Rate Field this season. Chicago has been a solid team on the road with a 24-20 record this season which is a pace that teams who typically win 90 or more games enjoy (which is where sports books projected future season win total). The White Sox have won 5 of their last 7 games on the road — and they have won 14 of their last 22 road games with the Total set in the 8-8.5 range. Furthermore, Chicago has won 5 of their last 7 games against teams with a winning record — and they have won 4 straight road games against teams with a winning record. They send out Cueto who has a 3-4 record with a 2.91 ERA and a 1.15 WHIP in 11 games (10 starts). The right-hander has been hot this month with a 1.29 ERA and a 1.07 WHIP in two starts. He has been more effective on the road where he sports a 1.74 ERA, 1.00 WHIP, and an opponent’s batting average of .214 in five starts as opposed to his 3.89 ERA, 1.27 WHIP, and an opponent’s batting average of .257 in six games (five starts). His teams have pulled off 6 straight upsets on the road when he is starting as an underdog priced up to +150. Minnesota has lost 17 of their last 22 games after winning their last contest. They have also lost 10 of their last 13 games after not allowing two runs or less in their last game. They turn to Gray who has a 4-2 record with a 3.03 ERA and a 1.06 WHIP in 12 starts this season. The sabermetrics call for some regression with both his SIERA and xFIP project an ERA of 3.84 and 3.81 moving forward. The Regression Gods may already be making their presence known this month since Gray has been saddled with a 7.45 ERA and a 1.55 WHIP in two starts. The right-hander has not been as effective at home where he owns a 1.20 WHIP and an opponent’s batting average in seven starts as compared to a 0.86 WHIP and .198 opponent’s batting average in five starts. He faces a White Six team that has won 20 of their last 29 road games against right-handed starting pitchers.

FINAL TAKE: The White Sox have been the money-line underdog 35 times — and they have covered the +1.5 Run-Line in 19 of those games with 13 upset wins and 6 one-runs losses where they covered the +1.5 Run-Line. The Twins have been the money-line favorite 51 times this season — they have failed to cover the -1.5 Run-Line in 32 of those games with 23 upset losses and another 9 one-run wins where they did not cover the -1.5 Run-Line. With the investment price of the variable +1.5 Run-Line not higher than my -150 price threshold, let’s invest and attack. 25* MLB American League Central Run-Line Underdog of the Month with the Chicago White Sox (969) plus the +1.5 Run-Line versus the Minnesota Twins (970) listing both starting pitchers Johnny Cueto and Sonny Gray. Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 7:05 PM ET on Tuesday, we will be playing the New York Yankees (976) minus the -1.5 Run-Line versus the Cincinnati Reds (975) listing both starting pitchers Gerrit Cole and Graham Ashcroft. THE SITUATION: New York (61-25) has lost two games in a row after their 11-6 loss at Boston on Sunday night. Cincinnati (32-54) has won four games in a row with their 10-5 victory against Tampa Bay on Sunday.

REASONS TO TAKE THE YANKEES MINUS THE -1.5 RUN-LINE: New York has bounced back to win 19 of their last 26 games after a loss — and they have won 14 of their last 16 games after losing two of their last three games. Additionally, the Yankees have won 4 straight games after allowing at least eight runs in their last game — and they have won 9 of their last 11 games after playing a game where at least 15 combined runs were scored. Furthermore, New York has won 26 of their last 34 games after an off day — including ten of those eleven circumstances this season. Now after being on the road for their last ten games, they return home to play at Yankee Stadium for the first time since June 29th. The Bronx Bombers have won 34 of their 43 games at home this season — and they have won 36 of their last 51 games at home after being on the road for at least seven days. The Yankees have also won 17 of their last 18 games at home when priced as a favorite at -200 or higher. They have won 13 of their last 16 games in Interleague play — and they are blasting National League pitching this season by scoring 9.2 Runs-Per-Game with a .328 batting average, .405 on-base percentage, and an OPS of 1.047 in their five interleague games this year. Cole gets the call on the mound tonight with the motivation to redeem himself from allowing five runs in six innings of work in his last start at Boston on Thursday. The ace right-hander has an 8-2 record with a 3.26 ERA and a 1.03 WHIP in 17 starts. The sabermetrics are bullish with month his SIERA and xFIP projecting an ERA of 2.98 and 2.95 moving forward. Cole comes back home to Yankee Stadium where he enjoys a 2.31 ERA, 0.85 WHIP, and an opponent’s batting average of .196 in eight starts as opposed to his 4.25 ERA, 1.21 WHIP, and an opponent’s batting average of .203 in his nine starts on the road. It is not common for Cole to be on the hill in games when the oddsmakers install the Total at 8.5 or higher — and his teams have won 16 of their last 20 games when he is the starter with the Total set from 8.5-10. Cincinnati has won five of their last seven games — but they have then lost 6 of their last 8 games after winning five or six of their last seven. The Reds go back on the road where they are only scoring 3.4 Runs-Per-Game with a .226 batting average, .278 on-base percentage, and an OPS of .616. They have lost 38 of their last 56 games on the road — and they have lost 14 of their last 16 games on the road when priced as a money-line underdog from +175 to +250. They have also lost 40 of their last 55 games against teams with a winning record. They counter with Ashcraft who has a 4-2 record with a 4.35 ERA and a 1.29 WHIP in nine starts. The rookie right-hander has been at his best at home where he sports a 2.67 ERA, 1.12 WHIP, and an opponent’s batting average of .248 in five starts — but in his four starts on the road, he has been saddled with a 6.98 ERA, 1.55 WHIP, and an opponent’s batting average of .302. He faces a hot-hitting Yankees team that is scoring 6.7 Runs-Per-Game in their last seven contests with a .291 batting average, .365 on-base percentage, and an OPS of .884 in that span.

FINAL TAKE: These team trends do not take into account the -1.5 Run-Line we are laying for this play. New York has played 54 games this season when they were priced as a money-line favorite higher than my -150 price threshold — and they have won and covered the -1.5 Run-Line in 27 of those games with 15 upset losses and 12 wins by just one run. The Yankees went through a stretch where I did not consider them reliable laying the -1.5 Run-Line — but in their last 10 games when priced above my -150 price threshold, they have covered the -1.5 Run-Line 6 times with only one victory by just one run. Cincinnati has played 40 games priced as a money-line underdog at +145 or higher — they have lost 23 of these games by more than one run with only five losses by one run. In their last 13 games when priced as a money-line underdog priced at +145 or higher, they have lost and not covered the +1.5 Run-Line in 8 of those games — and none of their losses have been by one run. Let’s lower the investment price on the Yankees by taking the -1.5 Run-Line option. 25* MLB Interleague Run-Line of the Month with the New York Yankees (976) minus the -1.5 Run-Line versus the Cincinnati Reds (975) listing both starting pitchers Gerrit Cole and Graham Ashcroft. Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 1:10 PM ET on Thursday, we will be playing the Minnesota Twins (959) plus the +1.5 Run-Line versus the Cleveland Guardians (960) listing both starting pitchers Chris Archer and Shane Bieber. THE SITUATION: Minnesota (43-35) has lost two of their last three games after their 7-6 loss to the Guardians yesterday in 10 innings yesterday. Cleveland (38-34) has won two of their last three games.

REASONS TO TAKE THE TWINS PLUS THE +1.5 RUN-LINE: Minnesota scored three runs in the top of the 10th inning yesterday — but their bullpen blew the save by allowing four runs in the bottom of the 10th inning to take the loss. The Twins have won 16 of their last 21 games after a loss — and they have won 7 of their last 11 games after blowing a save in their last game. Minnesota has still won 6 of their last 8 games on the road against teams with a winning record. They give the ball to Archer who has a 2-3 record with a 3.14 ERA and a 1.22 WHIP in 14 starts this season. The right-hander has been more effective on the road where he has a 2.76 ERA, 1.16 WHIP, and an opponent’s batting average of .213 in seven starts as compared to his 3.54 ERA, 1.29 WHIP, and an opponent’s batting average of .219 in seven starts at home. He has been outstanding this month with a 2-1 record along with a 1.57 ERA and a 0.91 WHIP in five starts. While Archer does not pitch deep into games and usually does not pitch around the batting order more than twice, he will be supported by a Twins bullpen that has a 2.38 ERA and a 1.06 WHIP in the last seven days. His teams have won 6 of their last 9 games with him pitching with the Total set in the 7-8.5 range — and they have won 6 of their last 9 games when he is the starting pitcher for a day game. He faces a Cleveland team that ranks 18th in MLB in the weighted Runs Created metric when playing at home against right-handed starting pitchers and 20th in weighted On-Base Percentage when at home against right-handed pitching. In their last seven games, the Guardians are scoring only 2.7 Runs-Per-Game with a .227 Batting Average, .272 On-Base Percentage, and an OPS of .586. Cleveland has lost 5 of their last 6 home games against right-handed starting pitchers. The Guardians had lost five straight games before winning two of their last three games in the middle three games of this five-game series. But Cleveland has still lost 5 of their last 7 games at home. They counter with Bieber who has a 3-4 record along with a 3.07 ERA and a 1.16 WHIP in 14 starts. The right-hander has been most effective on the road where he has a 2.51 ERA, 1.13 WHIP, and an opponent’s batting average of .242 in nine starts — but in his five starts at home, he has a 4.23 ERA, 1.23 WHIP, and an opponent’s batting average of .257. These disparate home/road splits are consistent with last season when Bieber had a 2.91 ERA, 1.13 WHIP, and .211 opponent’s batting average in nine starts but a 3.51 ERA, 1.32 WHIP, and an opponent’s batting average of .253 in seven starts at home. He faces a hot-hitting Twins lineup that is scoring 5.3 Runs-Per-Game in their last seven games with a .275 Batting Average, .332 On-Base Percentage, and an OPS of .812 during that span. Minnesota has still beaten the Guardians in 6 of their last 8 meetings.

FINAL TAKE: All of the Twins last five losses have been only one run — and four straight Cleveland victories as well as five of their last six games have been by just one run. 25* MLB American League Central Run-Line of the Month is with the Minnesota Twins (959) plus the +1.5 Run-Line versus the Cleveland Guardians (960) listing both starting pitchers Chris Archer and Shane Bieber. Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 7:08 PM ET on Sunday, we will be playing the Atlanta Braves (954) with the money-line versus the Los Angeles Dodgers (953) listing both starting pitchers Spencer Strider and Tony Gonsolin. THE SITUATION: Atlanta (42-31) has won five of their last seven games — and 20 of their last 26 — after their 5-3 victory against the Dodgers yesterday. Los Angeles (44-26) had been on a four-game winning streak before the setback.

REASONS TO TAKE THE BRAVES WITH THE MONEY-LINE: This red-hot Atlanta team has won 15 of their last 18 games after a victory — and they have won 12 of their last 14 games after scoring at least five runs in their last game. They have also won 11 of their last 13 games at home. They give the ball to Strider who will have something to prove after giving up six runs in 3 2/3 innings of work in his last start against San Francisco on Tuesday. Not only was that the worst start of the season for the rookie, but those six runs matched the six runs he had allowed in his previous eight appearances for the Braves spanning over 30 innings. The fireballer has a 3-2 record this season with a 3.40 ERA and a 1.11 WHIP in 47 2/3 innings. The deeper sabermetrics are bullish with both his SIERA and xFIP both projecting an ERA of 2.72 moving forward. Atlanta has won 3 of his 4 starts this season. Los Angeles has lost 8 of their last 10 games against teams with a winning record. They have also lost 4 of their last 5 games on the road with the Total set in the 7-8.5 range. They counter with Gonsolin who has a 9-0 record with a 1.58 ERA and a 0.82 WHIP in 13 starts. The sabermetrics suggest he is overachieving with both his SIERA and xFIP projecting an ERA of 3.75 and 3.74 moving forward. The right-hander has been outstanding at home where he has a 0.81 ERA, 0.75 WHIP, and .118 opponent’s batting average in six starts at home — but those numbers rise to a 2.31 ERA, 0.89 WHIP, and an opponent’s batting average of .177 in his seven starts on the road. These disparate home/road splits are consistent with last season when Gonsolin had a 2.70 ERA and 1.27 WHIP in seven starts at home but a 3.86 ERA and 144 WHIP in eight games and six starts on the road. The Dodgers have lost 7 of their last 8 road games with Gonsolin on the mound and favored up to a -150 price. Los Angeles has also lost 6 of their last 7 games in Atlanta against the Braves.

FINAL TAKE: Ronald Acuna is getting the day off after leaving yesterday’s game when fouled a ball off his foot — but he should be available for pinch-hitting duty if necessary. The Dodgers are still without Mookie Betts who is on the Injured List with a rib injury. Atlanta has won 11 of their last 13 games against right-handed starting pitchers — and they have won 4 of their last 5 games against starting pitchers with a WHIP of 1.15 or lower. 25* MLB Sunday Night ESPN Game of the Month with the Atlanta Braves (954) with the money-line versus the Los Angeles Dodgers (953) listing both starting pitchers Spencer Strider and Tony Gonsolin. Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 10:10 PM ET on Tuesday, we will be playing the Los Angeles Dodgers (982) minus the -1.5 Run-Line versus the Los Angeles Angels (981) listing both starting pitchers Tony Gonsolin and Noah Syndergaard. THE SITUATION: The Dodgers (37-23) have lost three in a row after their 2-0 loss to the Angels on Sunday. The Angels (29-33) have lost two of their last three games after a 4-1 loss at home to the New York Mets on Sunday night.

REASONS TO TAKE THE DODGERS MINUS THE -1.5 RUN-LINE:

At 7:08 PM ET on Sunday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the New York Mets (979) and the Los Angeles Angels (980) listing both starting pitchers Taijaun Walker and Patrick Sandoval. THE SITUATION: The New York Mets (39-22) have lost three of their last four games after their 11-6 loss in Los Angeles to the Angels in the second game of this series. Los Angeles (29-32) has now won two of their last three games.

REASONS TO TAKE OVER THE TOTAL: The Mets have played 5 of their last 6 games Over the Total — and they have played 7 of their last 8 games Over the Total after allowing at least five or more runs in their last game. New York has played three straight Overs — and they have played 5 of their last 6 games Over the Total after playing three or more straight Overs. The Over is also 5-1-1 in their last 7 games on the road — and they have played 8 of their last 12 games Over the Total as an underdog priced up to +150. The Mets are dealing with a tired bullpen that has pitched nine innings in the last two games — and they have played 6 of their last 7 games Over the Total after their bullpen has pitched nine or more innings in their last two games. New York’s receivers surrendered six runs last night — and they have played 5 of their last 6 games Over the Total when their bullpen allowed four or more earned runs in their last game. Walker gets the ball for them tonight. He has a 3-2 record with a 3.28 ERA and a 1.26 WHIP in 9 starts. The sabermetrics are not encouraging with both his SIERA and xFIP projecting an ERA of 4.94 and 4.58 moving forward. His ERA on the road rises to a 3.41 mark -- and that coincides with the disparate home/road splits he was saddled with last season. While Walker had a 3.46 ERA, 1.01 WHIP, and an opponent’s batting average of .198 in 16 games (15 starts) at home, those numbers rose to a 5.82 ERA, 1.41 WHIP, and an opponent’s batting average of .258 in 14 starts on the road. The Mets have played 5 of their last 8 road games Over the Total with Walker the starting pitcher and priced up to +150. Walker’s teams have also played 7 straight Over when he is the starting pitcher in Interleague play. Walker faces an Angels team that ranks sixth in baseball in both weighed On-Base Percentage and weighted Runs Created (wRC) when playing at home against left-handed starting pitchers. Los Angeles got Mike Trout back in the lineup last night — and he bashed two home runs to lead the scoring attack. The Angels banged out five home runs last night — and they have played 3 of their 4 games this season Over the Total after hitting four or more home runs in their last game. Los Angeles has also played 18 of their last 25 games at home Over the Total after losing five or six of their last seven games. This team has played 25 of their last 37 games Over the Total in June. They counter with Sandoval who has a 3-1 record along with a 2.81 ERA and a 1.31 WHIP. The left-hander is walking too many batters — and both his SIERA and xFIP project an ERA of 4.31 and 4.08 moving forward. His ERA bumps up to 3.00 in five starts at home this season. Last season, Sandoval had a 3-6 record along with a 3.62 ERA and a 1.21 WHIP in 77 innings — but in his 48 1/3 innings at home, those numbers rose to a 3.91 ERA and a 1.30 WHIP. The Angels have played 7 of their last 10 home games Over the Total with Sandoval pitching as a money-line favorite priced at -110 or higher.

FINAL TAKE: The Mets are hitting right now — they are scoring 5.7 Runs-Per-Game in their last seven games with a .270 Batting Average and a .754 OPS over that span. New York has played 4 straight Over the Total against starting pitchers with a WHIP of 1.30 or higher — and the Over is 3-0-1 in their last 4 games against left-handed starting pitchers. 25* MLB Sunday Night ESPN Total of the Month with Over the Total in the game between the New York Mets (979) and the Los Angeles Angels (980). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 9:45 PM ET on Tuesday, we will be playing the San Francisco Giants (910) minus the -1.5 Run-Line versus the Colorado Rockies (909) listing both starting pitchers Carlos Rodon and German Marquez. THE SITUATION: San Francisco (29-24) has won two of their last three games after their 5-1 victory at Miami on Sunday. Colorado (23-21) has lost four in a row and nine of their last 12 games with their 8-7 loss at home to Atlanta on Sunday.

REASONS TO TAKE THE GIANTS MINUS THE -1.5 RUN-LINE: San Francisco is only five games over .500 — but they have a net run differential of +0.5 Runs-Per-Game. They have won 42 of their last 60 games after scoring at least five runs in their last contest — and they have won 22 of their last 30 games after an off day. They return home to Oracle Park where they have won 45 of their last 62 home games against teams with a losing record. Manager Gabe Kapler gives the ball to Carlos Rodon who has a 4-4 record with a 3.44 ERA and a 1.25 WHIP in 10 starts. The deeper sabermetrics are very encouraging on the left-hander with both his SIERA and xFIP projecting a 3.25 and 3.30 ERA respectively moving forward. Rodon has 70 strikeouts in 55 innings. Three years removed from Tommy John surgery, Rodon is clicking on all cylinders with an organization in the Giants that consistently coaches up its pitching staff. Rodon has done his best work at home where he owns a 2.35 ERA, 1.17 WHIP, and an opponent’s batting average of .205. His teams have won 10 of their last 15 home games with Rodon pitching as a money-line favorite priced at -110 or higher. He should thrive against a Rockies team that has lost 6 of their last 7 games after left-handed starting pitchers. Colorado has lost 9 of their last 12 games after scoring at least five runs in their last game — and they have lost 9 of their last 13 games after allowing at least eight runs in their last contest. Additionally, the Rockies have lost 8 straight games after an off day — and they have lost 16 of their last 21 opening games to a new series. Now Colorado goes back on the road where they have lost 15 of their 22 games this season — and they have lost all 7 road games when they are an underdog priced at +150 or higher. They are scoring just 3.0 Runs-Per-Game on the road with a .242 Batting Average, .294 On-Base Percentage, and an OPS of .638. The lineup misses Kris Bryant who will likely remain on the Injured List through the All-Star break. They have lost 7 of their last 9 games against teams with a winning record. They counter with Marquez who has a 1-5 record along with a 6.71 ERA and a 1.62 WHIP in 10 starts. That ERA is the highest in MLB for qualified starting pitchers. He has already served up 18 homers in his 55 innings. It has been even worse on the road where he has a 6.89 ERA and a 1.72 WHIP in three starts. What is concerning for the ground-ball pitcher is that why had a 3.67 ERA, 1.17 WHIP, and an opponent’s batting average of .214 in 18 starts last year, those numbers sky-rocketed to a 5.38 ERA, 1.40 WHIP, and an opponent’s batting average of .277 in 14 starts on the road. The Rockies have lost 5 of their last 6 games with Marquez on the mound as a money-line underdog. He faces a Giants team that is scoring 5.9 Runs-Per-Game in their last seven games — and they have won 4 of their last 5 home games against right-handed starting pitchers. Colorado has also lost 22 of their last 28 games against San Francisco.

FINAL TAKE: These team trends do not take into account the -1.5 Run-Line we are laying in this game. Scoring is down — and so are my investments in Run-Line favorites with teams like the Yankees and Astros not doing well covering these spreads. The Giants have played 13 games where they were favored at a price higher than my -150 threshold — while they have lost six of those games (not so good), all seven of their wins have been by more than one run (that’s good). Colorado has been priced as a money-line underdog of +145 or higher 12 times this season — they have only have two upset wins in those games but all ten of their losses have been by multiple runs. This is when we want to invest in Run-Lines: San Francisco should win — and when they win (and the Rockies lose), it is usually by more than one run. So, let’s lower the investment price with the -1.5 Run-Line. 25* MLB National League West Run-Line of the Month with the San Francisco Giants (910) minus the -1.5 Run-Line versus the Colorado Rockies (909) listing both starting pitchers Carlos Rodon and German Marquez. Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 7:05 PM ET on Friday, we will be playing the money-line on the Pittsburgh Pirates (908) versus the Arizona Diamondbacks (907) listing both starting pitchers J.T. Brubaker and Merrill Kelly. THE SITUATION: Pittsburgh (22-27) has won three in a row and five of their last seven after their 8-4 upset win in Los Angeles against the Dodgers on Wednesday. Arizona (25-27) has lost five of their last seven games after their 6-0 shutout loss at home against Atlanta on Wednesday.

REASONS TO TAKE THE PIRATES WITH THE MONEY-LINE: If you need more evidence that this Pittsburgh team is finally on the right path — how about them coming off a three-game sweep in Los Angeles against the Dodgers? The excellent farm system of the Pirates’ organization is finally starting to pay off. Pittsburgh has one of the better closers in the game right now in David Bednar — and they have only committed one error in their last four games after going the last two games in LA with a fielding mistake. The Pirates have won 6 of their last 9 games after not committing an error in two straight games. Now after completing their six-game road trip, they return home where they have won 4 of their last 5 games against teams with a losing record. The starting pitching staff remains an issue — but J.T. Brubaker is a fine starting pitcher who has a 4.15 ERA and a 1.38 WHIP in 10 starts despite an 0-4 record. In four starts at home this season, his ERA and WHIP drop to 3.86 and 1.33 marks. Last season in 11 starts at home, Brubaker had a 3.79 ERA, 1.11 WHIP, and an opponent’s batting average of .231. He had a 5.36 ERA last season — but that number dropped to a 3.86 ERA when playing teams with a losing record. Brubaker always had potential if he could stop serving up gopher balls, Last year, he allowed 2.06 home runs per nine innings. This season, that home run rate has plummeted to a 0.94 clip per nine innings. The Pirates have won 3 of his 4 starts at home this season — and they have won 3 of his 4 starts when he is pitching with five or six days of rest. He should have success against this slumping Diamondbacks lineup that is scoring only 3.1 Runs-Per-Game in their last seven games with a .229 Batting Average, .294 On-Base Percentage, and an OPS of .647. Arizona has lost 18 of their last 22 games after getting shutout in their last game — and they have lost 31 of their last 36 road games after not scoring more than two runs in their last game. Now after playing their last nine games at home, they go back on the road where they have lost 6 of their last 7 games when favored. The Diamondbacks should not have lost 110 games last year given their roster — but this is still a mediocre team at best in the beginnings of a long rebuild. They have lost 4 of their last 5 games after playing their last seven games at home. They have also lost 50 of their last 60 road games with the Total set in the 7-8.5 range — and they have lost 5 of their last 7 road games this season with the Total set at 8-8.5. They counter with Merrill Kelly who has a 3-3 record with a 3.67 ERA and a 1.35 WHIP in ten starts. The sabermetrics are not encouraging with both his SIERA and xFIP projecting an ERA of 4.24 and 4.08 moving forward. In his four starts on the road, his ERA rises to a 5.40 mark. His disparate home/road splits are consistent with last season where he had a 3.78 ERA, 1.15 WHIP, and .244 opponent’s batting average in 13 starts at home but a 5.18 ERA, 1.45 WHIP, and .291 opponent’s batting average on the road. After a jump in velocity that carried over from spring training, the speed on his four-seamer has dipped again — and he has been saddled with 9.00 ERA and a 2.06 WHIP in his last four starts. He has surrendered at least three earned runs in each of his last four starts — and he has only 13 strikeouts in those 17 innings of work. The Diamondbacks have lost 10 of their last 16 road games with Kelly pitching with the Total set in the 8-8.5 range.

FINAL TAKE: The Pirates are scoring 5.4 Runs-Per-Game in their last seven games — and they have won 5 in a row against right-handed starting pitchers. 25* MLB National League Underdog of the Month with the money-line on the Pittsburgh Pirates (908) versus the Arizona Diamondbacks (907) listing both starting pitchers J.T. Brubaker and Merrill Kelly. Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 7:40 PM ET on Monday, we will be playing the money-line on the Milwaukee Brewers (908) versus the Atlanta Braves (907) listing both starting pitchers Freddy Peralta and Ian Anderson. THE SITUATION: Milwaukee (22-13) has won two of their last three games after their 7-3 victory at Miami on Sunday. Atlanta (16-19) has lost two of their last three games after a 7-3 loss at home to San Diego yesterday.

REASONS TO TAKE THE BREWERS WITH THE MONEY-LINE: Milwaukee should continue their momentum tonight as they have won 5 of their last 7 games after a win by four or more runs. They have also won 5 of their last 6 opening games to a new series. They return home where they are 10-4 this season while scoring 6.0 Runs-Per-Game. The Brewers have won 10 of their last 14 games at home when priced as a -110 or higher money-line favorite — and they have won 10 of their last 13 home games with the Total set in the 7-8.5 range. They give the ball to Peralta who has a 2-1 record with a 4.40 ERA and a 1.26 WHIP in six starts. The 25-year-old offers a good example regarding the need to parse past the frontline numbers. He is one of many starting pitchers who struggled out of the gate due to the abbreviated spring training. In his last four starts, Peralta has a 2.08 ERA with 28 strikeouts and only five walks in 21 2/3 innings of work. The deeper sabermetrics are encouraging with both his SIERA and xFIP projecting an ERA of 3.03 and 3.10 respectively. The right-hander comes off a strong season last year where he posted similar numbers. In 144 1/3 innings of work, Peralta posted a 10-5 record with a 2.81 ERA and a 0.97 WHIP — and he enjoyed a 2.88 ERA with a 0.90 WHIP and an opponent’s batting average of .158 in 16 games (15 starts) at home last year. Milwaukee has won 10 of their last 15 games at home with Peralta pitching as a money-line favorite priced in the -125 to -175 range. He should pitch well against this Braves team that is scoring only 3.4 Runs-Per-Game on the road. Atlanta has just a .216 Batting Average with a .273 On-Base Percentage, and an OPS of .653. Atlanta is just 6-8 on the road this season — and they have lost 16 of their last 23 road games when priced as a money-line underdog in the +125 to +175 price range. And while the Braves have played six straight Overs, they have then lost 7 of their last 10 games after playing at least four straight Overs. They counter with Ian Anderson who has a 3-1 record with a 4.20 ERA and a 1.40 WHIP in six starts. The deeper sabermetrics are not as bullish on Anderson’s start — his SIERA and xFIP project an ERA of 4.92 and 4.55 moving forward. In 24 starts last year, Anderson had a 3.58 ERA and a 1.23 WHIP — but his SIERA and xFIP projected an ERA of 4.38 and 3.96 which is pretty accurate measure of what he is doing now. Looking under the hood, there are some troubling signs for the right-hander. After striking out 29.2% of the batters he faced last year, that number dropped to 23.8% last year. Now this year, Anderson is only striking out 17.1% of the batters he has faced. And he continues to walk too many batters with 12.4% of the batters has faced getting a base-on-balls. Now he faces a Brewers team that scores 5.9 Runs-Per-Game against right-handed starting pitchers — and they have won 12 of their last 14 home games against right-handed starting pitchers.

FINAL TAKE: Milwaukee opened as a money-line favorite in the -140 range — but with the news that Ronald Acuna remains out with an injury, the price has been slowly rising. I have a personal guideline to not endorse money-line favorites in MLB (and the NHL) if priced over -150 because I don’t like the expectation of needing to win these plays more than 60% of the time to break a profit. I find it to be helpful as to how to navigate a daily card. But I need to have deadlines as well. If it is late afternoon and I am still seeing -150 or lower prices, then I am comfortable in endorsing even if the price at some of the shops has moved higher than -150. I have no idea what the price will be when the game starts. If you end up having to invest more than -150, I still recommend the play. It’s a guideline, not a mandate sent down by the Gods from Mount Olympus. These two teams last played on May 8th when Atlanta won by a 9-2 score. The Brewers have won 5 of their last 7 games when avenging a loss by six or more runs. 25* Major League Baseball Game of the Month with the money-line on the money-line on the Milwaukee Brewers (908) versus the Atlanta Braves (907) listing both starting pitchers Freddy Peralta and Ian Anderson. Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 7:10 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing the money-line on the New York Mets (910) versus the Philadelphia Phillies (909) listing both starting pitchers Taijuan Walker and Kyle Gibson. THE SITUATION: New York (15-6) has won four of their last five games after their 3-0 victory against the Phillies last night. Philadelphia (10-11) saw their four-game winning streak snapped with the loss.

REASONS TO TAKE THE METS WITH THE MONEY-LINE: Five New York pitchers combined to no-hit Philadelphia last night. The Mets have won 7 of their last 9 games after not allowing more than two runs in their last game. This team looks rejuvenated under veteran manager Buck Showalter — and they are getting the production they expected last year when they signed Francisco Lindor to a huge contract as a free agent. And they are getting great pitching. Showalter turns to Walker tonight who is making just his second appearance this year after going in the injured list with a bout of bursitis in his right shoulder. The right-hander pitched a four-inning simulated game on Monday where he threw 64 pitches. With everything fine from that effort, he will have an 80 to 85 pitch limit tonight. He looked good in his first game of the year against these Phillies against which he struck out four batters in two scoreless innings on April 11th. Walker had a 7-11 record last season with a 4.47 ERA and a 1.18 WHIP in 159 innings. Walker struggles on the road where he had 5.82 ERA and a 1.41 WHIP in 14 starts. But back at home at Citi Field, Walker enjoyed a 3.46 ERA, 1.01 WHIP, and an opponent’s batting average of .198 in 15 starts (16 games). The Mets have won 12 of their last 15 games when Walker is the starting pitcher priced as a money-line favorite in the -100 to -150 price range. And if he gets in trouble, Showalter can turn to his red-hot bullpen that has a 1.73 ERA and a 1.00 WHIP in 26 innings at home. The Phillies have lost 6 of their last 7 road games against right-handed starting pitchers. New York has won 5 of their last 6 games at home — and they have won 40 of their last 57 home games when favored. Philadelphia has lost 19 of their last 28 games after playing a game where no more than four combined runs were scored. They are scoring only 4.0 Runs-Per-Game on the road where they have a 2-6 record this season — and they have lost 12 of their last 15 games on the road. They counter with Gibson who has a 2-1 record with a 3.47 ERA and a 0.99 WHIP in four starts. His best work has been at home where he owns a 1.42 ERA and a 0.55 WHIP in two starts — but his two worst starts have been on the road where he has a 5.91 ERA with a 1.50 WHIP and an opponent’s batting average of .275. These disparate home/road splits corroborate his splits from last year where he had a 2.81 ERA, 1.03 WHIP, and .206 opponent’s batting average in 14 games (13 starts) at home but a 4.47 ERA, 1.38 WHIP, and an opponent’s batting average of .257 in 17 starts on the road. Gibson did have a 3.71 ERA last season — but his SIERA and xFIP called for regression with those sabermetrics projecting ERAs of 4.40 and 4.14 respectively. The Phillies have lost 16 of their last 20 road games with Gibson pitching with the Total set in the 7-8.5 range. And while Gibson also had a 4.12 ERA and 1.30 WHIP in 22 games (21 starts) at night — as opposed to his 2.77 ERA and 1.03 WHIP in nine starts in the afternoon — Philly has lost 13 of their last 15 road games at night with Gibson on the hill. The Mets have won 13 of their last 16 games against right-handed starting pitchers including five straight winners at home. They are scoring 4.7 Runs-Per-Game this season against right-handed starting pitchers. Philadelphia has lost 10 of their last 11 games as an underdog.

FINAL TAKE: Bryce Harper has been playing at designated hitter for the Phillies — but he is not at full strength as he is bothered with an elbow. The Mets have won 10 of their 12 games this season when priced as a favorite up to my -150 price threshold. 25* MLB Game of the Month with the money-line on the New York Mets (910) versus the Philadelphia Phillies (909) listing both starting pitchers Taijuan Walker and Kyle Gibson. Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 8:09 PM ET on Tuesday, we will be playing the money-line on the Houston Astros (962) versus the Atlanta Braves (961) listing both starting pitchers Luis Garcia and Max Fried in Game Six of the World Series. THE SITUATION: Houston (104-73) kept their season alive on Sunday with their victory against the Braves in Game Five. Atlanta (98-78) holds a 3-2 lead in the series and can win the MLB title tonight.

REASONS TO TAKE THE ASTROS WITH THE MONEY-LINE: Houston demonstrated their resolve by overcoming a first-inning grand slam on the road in Game Five to outscore the Braves by a 9-1 margin the rest of the way. The Astros have won 13 of their last 19 games after scoring at least five runs in their last game. Houston has also won 59 of their last 81 games after an off day — and they have won 6 of their last 7 games after allowing at least five runs in their last game. They return home where they have won 7 of their last 9 playoff games at Minute Maid Park. They have also won 28 of their last 40 home games when priced in the -125 to -175 price range. Manager Dusty Baker gives the ball to Garcia who had an 11-8 record with a 3.30 ERA and a 1.17 WHIP in the regular season. The right-hander was more effective at home where he had a 2.39 ERA, 1.01 WHIP, and an opponent’s batting average of .210 in 15 games (13 starts) as compared to his 4.24 ERA, 1.34 WHIP, and an opponent’s batting average of .252. The Astros have won 8 of their last 10 home games with Garcia pitching with the Total set from 7 to 8.5. Atlanta blew their chance to win the World Series at home — and now they go on the road where they have lost 5 of their last 7 playoff games on the road. The Braves have lost 7 of their last 9 games in Interleague play on the road — and they have lost 6 of their last 8 games against American League teams as an underdog. They counter with Fried who had a 14-7 record with a 3.04 ERA and a 1.09 WHIP in 28 regular season starts. The lefty was better at home where he had a 2.94 ERA and an opponent’s batting average of .219 in 14 starts — but those numbers rose to a 3.14 ERA and an opponent’s batting average of .235 in 14 starts on the road. Fried has struggled in these playoffs. In his last two starts, he has a 10.24 ERA and a 1.86 WHIP spanning 9 2/3 innings. The Braves have lost 6 of their last 8 road games with Fried pitching as a money-line underdog priced up to +150. He faces an Astros team that has won 6 of their last 8 games against left-handed starting pitchers — and they have won 5 of their last 6 games against starting pitchers with a WHIP of 1.15 or lower.

FINAL TAKE: Houston has won 9 of their last 13 playoff games when trailing in the series — and they have won 5 of their last 7 games when facing elimination. Atlanta has lost 6 of their last 9 playoff games with the opportunity to close out a playoff series. 25* MLB Tuesday Television Game of the Year with the money-line on the Houston Astros (962) versus the Atlanta Braves (961) listing both starting pitchers Luis Garcia and Max Fried in Game Six of the World Series. Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 8:15 PM ET on Sunday, we will be playing the money-line on the Houston Astros (959) versus the Atlanta Braves (960) listing both starting pitchers Framber Valdez and Tucker Davidson in Game Five of the World Series. THE SITUATION: Houston (103-73) finds themselves on the brink of elimination after losing last night by a 3-2 score. Atlanta (98-77) has won four of their last five games to take a 3-1 lead in the World Series.

REASONS TO TAKE THE ASTROS WITH THE MONEY-LINE: Don’t count Houston out just yet — and win tonight takes the World Series back to Minute Maid Park for the final two games. The Astros have won 6 of their last 8 games after a loss — and they have won 12 of their last 19 games after a loss by just one run. Manager Dusty Baker gives the ball to Framber Valdez tonight who had an 11-6 record in the regular season with a 3.14 ERA and a 1.25 WHIP in 22 starts. The left-hander has been more effective on the road where he had a 2.88 ERA and a 1.14 WHIP in 11 starts. In his last start on the road in the playoffs, Valdez pitched eight innings of one-run ball to clinch the ALCS at Boston on October 20th. In his last three starts away from home, Valdez has a 0.83 ERA and a 0.92 WHIP spanning 21 2/3 innings. Houston has won 5 of their last 7 road games with Valdez pitching as the favorite — and they have won 12 of his last 18 starts at night. Atlanta will be relying on yet another bullpen game tonight. Manager Brian Snitker will use Tucker Davidson for the first time since June 15th as his opener — this will be just his sixth career MLB start. He had a 3.60 ERA and a 1.15 WHIP in 20 innings in the regular season — but he sported a 5.14 ERA and 1.25 WHIP in 14 innings at home. I thought this was the case last night — but I now highly suspect that Davidson is disguising a Drew Smyly bulk-inning outing after he allowed two runs in 3 2/3 innings in the team’s bullpen game in Game Four of the NLCS against the Dodgers. The lefty had an 11-4 record in the regular season but with a 4.48 ERA and 1.37 WHIP in 29 games (23 starts). In his 39 innings including the playoffs since the beginning of August, Smyly has a 4.85 ERA and a 1.33 WHIP. Despite winning three of the first four games in this series, the Braves have lost 10 of their last 14 games in Interleague play as an underdog. They have also lost 11 of their last 14 home games against American League teams.

FINAL TAKE: Atlanta has lost 5 of their last 8 opportunities in the playoffs to close out the series — and Houston has won 8 of their last 12 playoff games when trailing in the series. The Astros have won 19 of their last 30 games when playing with double-revenge against their opponent. And while Houston has scored only two runs in the last two days in the World Series, they have won 13 of their last 21 games when avenging two losses to their opponent where they did not score more than two runs. 25* MLB Game of the Year with the money-line on the Houston Astros (959) versus the Atlanta Braves (960) listing both starting pitchers Framber Valdez and Tucker Davidson. Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 8:09 PM ET on Friday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Houston Astros (955) and the Atlanta Braves (956) listing both starting pitchers Luis Garcia and Ian Anderson. THE SITUATION: Houston (103-71) evened the World Series at 1-1 with their 7-2 victory on Wednesday. Atlanta (96-77) had been on a two-game winning streak.

REASONS TO TAKE OVER THE TOTAL: The Astros have played 5 of their last 7 games Over the Total after a win — and the Over is 21-7-2 in their last 30 games after scoring at least five runs in their last game. The Over is also 11-4-2 in their last 17 games after not allowing more than two runs in their last game. They have also played 4 of their last 5 games Over the Total after an off day. They go on the road where they have played 5 straight Overs — and they have played 17 of their last 22 road games Over the Total as an underdog. Houston has played 5 of their last 6 games Over the Total with the Total set in the 7-8.5 range. Manager Dusty Baker gives the ball to Garcia who has an 11-8 record with a 3.30 ERA and a 1.17 WHIP in 30 regular season appearances (28 starts). The right-hander comes off 5 2/3 scoreless innings in his last start in Game Six of the ALCS last Friday. But that start was at home where he had a 2.39 ERA, 1.01 WHIP, and an opponent’s batting average in the regular season. On the road, Garcia’s numbers jump to a 4.24 ERA, 1.34 WHIP, and an opponent’s batting average of .252 in 15  regular season starts. The Astros have played 10 of their last 16 road games Over the Total with the number set in the 8.5 to 10 range. Keep in mind that Garcia had been rocked with a 16.60 ERA and a 2.65 WHIP in his previous three starts while allowing at least five earned runs in each appearance. He faces a Braves team that is scoring 4.7 Runs-Per-Game in their last seven games with a .273 batting average. Atlanta has played 26 of their last 35 home games in Interleague play against right-handed starting pitchers. The Braves have played 4 of their last 5 games Over the Total with the Total set in the 7-8.5 range. The Over is also 6-1-1 in Atlanta’s last 8 games in Interleague play at home. Manager Brian Snitker counters with Anderson who had a 9-5 record with a 3.38 ERA and a 1.23 WHIP in 24 regular season starts. There has been a steady decline in his performances as the season has moved on — he has a 3.72 ERA in his last eight starts since the beginning of September. He did allow only one earned run in four innings in his last appearance in Game Six of the NLCS on Saturday. The Braves have played 7 of their last 11 games Over the Total with Anderson following an effort where he allowed one earned run or less — and they have played 8 of their last 13 games Over the Total when he is pitching on five or six days of rest. Atlanta has also played 7 of their last 11 home games Over the Total with Anderson pitchers at home.

FINAL TAKE: Houston is scoring 5.7 Runs-Per-Game in their last seven games — and the Over is 7-2-2 in their last 11 road games against right-handed starting pitchers. The weather may drop into the high-40s tonight and it may be rainy. That is a two-way straight since the yucky conditions impact the pitchers as much as the hitters. If the Total was 10 or higher, I would worry a little more about the weather. At 8.5, I’m fine. 25* MLB Total of the Year with Over the Total in the game between the Houston Astros (955) and the Atlanta Braves (956) listing both starting pitchers Luis Garcia and Ian Anderson. Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 8:08 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing the money-line on the Los Angeles Dodgers (923) versus the Atlanta Braves (922) listing both starting pitchers Walker Buehler and Ian Anderson. THE SITUATION: Los Angeles (112-61) pulled within a 3-2 margin in this series on Thursday with their 11-2 victory against the Braves at home. Atlanta (94-76) has lost two of their last three games.

REASONS TO TAKE THE DODGERS WITH THE MONEY-LINE: Two things happened within the last 12 or so hours that put this 25* side opportunity into play. First, Max Scherzer was pulled as the Dodgers starting pitcher with his continued arm issues. I don’t know how to assess the “dead arm” he claimed to have on Sunday (that, hopefully, is a Tomorrow Problem). Second, with Buehler being tapped as the starting pitcher on three days rest, the money-line price has dropped below my -150 price threshold. I’m not as worried about the short rest — he pitched on three days rest against San Francisco in the NLDS on October 12th where he allowed just one run in 4 2/3 innings. The right-hander had a 16-4 record with a 2.47 ERA and a 0.97 WHIP in 33 starts in the regular season. He had a 2.47 ERA and a 0.92 WHIP with an opponent’s batting average in 27 starts at night. He has a reliable 3.32 ERA in 13 starts in the postseason. He has a 3.37 ERA in his two starts against Atlanta this season including his 3 2/3 innings against them on Tuesday. Buehler did have seven days off after pitching on three days rest and his start in Game Three of the NLCS. He has thrown just 8 innings since October 8th. The Dodgers should build off the momentum they established on Thursday when they banged five home runs. They have won 4 of their last 5 games after hitting at least five home runs in their last game. They have won 36 of their last 52 games after scoring at least five runs in their last game — and they have won 11 of their last 16 games after scoring at least 10 runs in their last contest. They have also won 38 of their last 56 games after not allowing more than two runs in their last game. They go back on the road where they have won 8 of their last 11 games — and they have won 5 of their last 7 playoff games on the road. Atlanta has lost 7 of their last 11 games when avenging a loss where they allowed at least ten runs in their last game — and they have lost 6 of their last 9 games when playing with revenge from a loss by at least eight runs. They counter with Anderson who has a 9-5 with a 3.58 ERA and a 1.23 WHIP in 24 regular season starts. After giving up two runs in 3 innings last Sunday where he allowed three hits and walked three batters, he now has a 4.01 ERA with a 1.36 WHIP in his last nine starts this season. He has a 7.40 ERA in 7 1/3 innings against the Dodgers this year. LA also has a bullpen edge tonight — especially coming off the day of rest. The Dodgers have a 3.08 ERA and 1.16 WHIP this season — and they have a 2.57 ERA and 0.88 WHIP in their last seven games. The Braves bullpen has a 4.36 ERA and a 1.24 WHIP in their last seven games — and they have a 3.94 ERA and a 1.32 WHIP for the year.

FINAL TAKE: While the Dodgers are dealing with a long list of injuries, they still have superstars like Mookie Betts, Trea Turner, and Cody Bellinger leading a core of players with tons of deep postseason experience. Atlanta has Freddie Freeman and then younger talent and retreads. It matters. The Braves have lost 5 of their last 7 close-out games in the playoffs. Los Angeles has won 5 of their last 6 potential elimination games in the playoffs (including all three this season). 25* MLB National League Game of the Year with the money-line on the Los Angeles Dodgers (923) versus the Atlanta Braves (922) listing both starting pitchers Walker Buehler and Ian Anderson. Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 8:08 PM ET on Friday, we will be playing the money-line on the Houston Astros (922) versus the Boston Red Sox (921) listing both starting pitchers Luis Garcia and Nathan Eovaldi. THE SITUATION: Houston (101-70) took a 3-2 lead in the American League Championship Series with their 9-1 win against the Red Sox on Wednesday. Boston (98-74) looks to stave off elimination tonight.

REASONS TO TAKE THE ASTROS WITH THE MONEY-LINE: Houston has all the momentum in this series after winning the last two games on the road at Fenway Park by a combined 18-3 run margin. They usually feed off this positive energy. The Astros have won 5 of their last 7 games after a win — and they have won 13 of their last 18 games after a win by at least eight runs. Houston has plated nine runners in two straight games. They have won 12 of their last 16 games after scoring at least five runs in their last game — and they have won 18 of their last 26 games after scoring at least eight runs in two straight contests. The Astros return home to Minute Maid Park where they have won 35 of their last 51 games against teams with a winning record. They have also won 15 of their last 23 home games when priced in the +/- 125 range. Manager Dusty Baker gives the ball to Garcia after he was bombed for five runs in just one inning in his start on Saturday. The right-hander has been more effective at home where he had a 2.39 ERA, 1.01 WHIP, and an opponent’s batting average of .210 in 15 appearances (13 starts) in the regular season — as compared to his 4.24 ERA, 1.34 WHIP, and .252 opponent’s batting average in 15 starts on the road. Garcia’s start on Saturday was during the day — and he had a 4.24 ERA with a 1.34 WHIP and an opponent’s batting average of .252 in seven regular-season afternoon appearances (six starts). Under the lights, Garcia pitched better with a 3.02 ERA, 1.19 WHIP, and an opponent’s batting average of .223 in 23 games pitched at night (22 starts). Baker will have a quick hook for Garcia if he struggles — and he has the benefit of a rested bullpen that has only pitched one inning in the last two days with the off-day and Framber Valdez’s eight innings on Wednesday. The Astros bullpen has a 3.59 ERA and a 1.22 WHIP at home this year. Boston has lost 13 of their last 18 games after losing two in a row by four or more runs — and they have lost 4 of their last 6 games after losing their last two games by at least six runs. Manager Alex Cora has had to lean heavily on his bullpen given his faltering starting pitchers. The Red Sox pen has pitched 3 2/3 and 4 innings in their last two games — and they have allowed four and seven earned runs in those games. Boston has lost 38 of their last 60 games after their bullpen allowed at least four earned runs in their last game including losing 13 of those 21 circumstances this season. Eovaldi pitched out of the bullpen on Tuesday — and in his 24 pitches, he got crushed for four runs. He is pitching on short rest because Cora is out of options. In theory, Eovaldi’s outing on Tuesday was on his normal bullpen workout day between starts. In practice, the mental and physical stress of pitching in the playoffs is much more grueling than a mere bullpen session to work out some kinks. And that appearance was at home at Fenway Park where he had a 3.47 ERA, 1.12 WHIP, and an opponent’s batting average of .241 in 19 regular season starts. Now Eovaldi pitches on the road where he was saddled with a 4.21 ERA, 1.30 WHIP, and an opponent’s batting average of .271 in 13 regular season starts. Boston has lost 6 of their last 9 road games with Eovaldi pitching as an underdog priced in the +100 to +150 price range. He faces a hot-hitting Astros team that is scoring 6.7 Runs-Per-Game with a .271 Batting Average and a .341 On-Base Percentage in their last seven games.

FINAL TAKE: Boston has lost 5 of their last 7 games at Minute Maid Park in Houston. 25* MLB American League Game of the Year with the money-line on the Houston Astros (922) versus the Boston Red Sox (921) listing both starting pitchers Luis Garcia and Nathan Eovaldi. Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 8:08 PM ET on Wednesday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Atlanta Braves (917) and the Los Angeles Dodgers (918) (action if you can, but being required to list Jesse Chavez and Julio Urias — or whoever — is fine). THE SITUATION: Atlanta (93-75) blew a 5-2 lead in the bottom of the eighth inning by giving up four runs in a 6-5 loss to the Dodgers. Los Angeles (111-60) still trails 2-1 in the National League Championship Series.

REASONS TO TAKE OVER THE TOTAL: The Braves had won five straight games before their loss yesterday. Atlanta has played 43 of their last 68 games Over the Total after winning three of their last four games. Manager Brian Snitker has a pitching problem for this game — the result of a long season where they have lost several starting pitchers to injury. Snitker initially decided on Huascar Ynoa to pitch tonight — but he has been scratched after experiencing shoulder inflammation late this afternoon. It looks like Snitker will use Jesse Chavez as his opener — he comes off giving up two hits and walking a batter as the final pitcher for the Braves in that disastrous 8th inning last night. Luke Jackson gave up four runs to begin the inning. Both pitchers may be lacking in confidence. The Atlanta hitters need to assume that they need to score plenty of runs tonight given this being a bullpen game — but they get to play with reckless abandon. The Braves have scored five runs in three of their last four games. They are heavy underdogs tonight — and they have played 41 of their last 61 games when a money-line underdog priced at +200 or higher. Los Angeles has stranded ten runners in two straight games — and they have played 10 of their last 13 games Over the Total after stranding ten or more runners in two straight games. Furthermore, the Dodgers have played 7 of their last 9 home games Over the Total — and they have played 6 of their last 8 home games Over the Total with the number set in the 7-8.5 range. Manager Dave Roberts gives the ball to Urias who had a 20-3 record with a 2.96 ERA and a 1.02 WHIP in 32 starts in the regular season. The left-hander allowed two runs in an inning of relief on Sunday in Game Two of this series. While Roberts can tell himself he just used Urias’ normal bullpen session between starts for that inning of work, pitching in the playoffs is more stressful than just the regular bullpen session a couple of days after a previous start. Urias has not been as effective at home either where he has a 3.27 ERA in 14 starts in the regular season as opposed to his 2.71 ERA in 18 starts on the road. Urias also sees his ERA rise to a  3.38 mark in his 37 1/3 innings in the playoffs. Los Angeles has played 5 straight Overs with Urias their starting pitcher in October. The Dodgers have also played 15 of their last 23 games Over the Total with Urias pitching with the Total set in the 7-8.5 range.

FINAL TAKE: Los Angeles has played 9 of their last 13 games Over the Total in the playoffs — and they have played 8 of their last 9 games Over the Total when trailing in a playoff series including all four occasions this season. Atlanta has played 8 of their last 12 games Over the Total when leading in a playoff series including all three this season. 25* MLB National League Total of the Year with Over the Total in the game between the Atlanta Braves (917) and the Los Angeles Dodgers (918) (action if you can, but being required to list Jesse Chavez and Julio Urias — or whoever — is fine). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 8:08 PM ET on Tuesday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Houston Astros (911) and the Boston Red Sox (912) listing both starting pitchers Zack Greinke and Nick Pivetta. THE SITUATION: Houston (99-70) trails 2-1 in the American League Championship Series after their 12-3 loss to the Red Sox last night. Boston (98-72) has won five of their last six games.

REASONS TO TAKE OVER THE TOTAL: The Over is now 9-3-2 in Houston’s last 14 games on the road — and they have played 15 of their last 120 road games Over the Total as a money-line underdog. The Astros have played 6 of their last 8 games Over the Total with the number set in the 9-10.5 range. Consistently winning MLB Totals bets requires assessing the competing starting pitchers. Manager Dusty Baker turns to Greinke to make just his fourth appearance since the beginning of September. The veteran right-hander has been recovering from a difficult bout with COVID. For the season, he has an 11-6 record with a 4.16 ERA and a 1.17 WHIP. His decline this season began before testing positive for COVID. After posting a 3.59 ERA, 1.12 WHIP, and an opponent’s batting average of .246 before the All-Star Game, he has since had a 5.34 ERA, 1.28 WHIP, and an opponent’s batting average of .262 since the All-Star Break. In his last five appearances, Greinke has an 11.04 ERA and a 1.78 WHIP. And in his lone appearance against the Red Sox this season, he gave up four runs and seven hits in just three innings. The Astros have played 8 of their last 11 games Over the Total with Greinke pitching in games when they are priced in the +/- 125 range. Baker will likely give him a quick hook when he gets into trouble tonight — but the Houston bullpen has a 4.50 ERA and 1.29 WHIP in their last seven games. The Astros pen also has a 4.62 ERA and 1.39 WHIP when pitching on the road this season. Baker has used his relievers to pitch 6 1/3 and 8 innings in the last two games in this series — and Houston has played 19 of their last 27 games Over the Total when their bullpen has pitches at least 9 combined innings in their last two games. Greinke faces a Red Sox team that is scoring 7.3 Runs-Per-Game in their last seven games with a .324 Batting Average, .370 On-Base Percentage, and an OPS of .950. The Over is 13-2-1 in Boston’s last 16 games at home against right-handed starting pitchers. The Red Sox have played 6 of their last 7 games Over the Total after a win — and they have played 28 of their last 42 games Over the Total after a win by six or more runs. They have also played 17 of their last 22 games Over the Total after scoring at least ten runs in their last game. They stay at home at Fenway Park where the Over is 17-5-1 in their last 22 home games — and the Over is 22-8-4 in their last 33 home games in the playoffs. Boston has also played 33 of their last 49 home games Over the Total with the Total set in the 9-10.5 range. Manager Alex Cora counters with Pivetta who has a 9-8 record with a 4.53 ERA and a 1.30 WHIP in 31 games (30 starts) this season. The right-hander has been more effective on the road where he has a 3.75 ERA, 1.18 WHIP, and an opponent’s batting average of .208 — but those numbers rise to a 5.40 ERA, 1.45 WHIP, and an opponent’s batting average of .261 in his 15 starts at home in Fenway Park. Pivetta has a 4.91 ERA and a 1.35 WHIP since the All-Star Break. The Red Sox have played 5 of their last 7 home games Over the Total with Pivetta pitching when favored in the -125 to -175 price range. The Boston bullpen has a 4.21 ERA and 1.37 WHIP at home this year. 

FINAL TAKE: The Astros are scoring 6.3 Runs-Per-Game in their last seven games. The Over is 7-2-1 in their last 9 games against starting pitchers with a WHIP of 1.30 or higher. 25* MLB American League Total of the Year with Over the Total in the game between the Houston Astros (911) and the Boston Red Sox (912) listing both starting pitchers Zack Greinke and Nick Pivetta. Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 8:07 PM ET on Monday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Houston Astros (909) and the Boston Red Sox (910) listing both starting pitchers Jose Urquidy and Eduardo Rodriguez. THE SITUATION: Houston (99-69) had their two-game winning streak snapped on Saturday with their 9-5 loss at home to the Red Sox. Boston (97-72) has won four of their last five games to even this ALCS at 1-1.

REASONS TO TAKE OVER THE TOTAL: The Over is 19-5-2 in the Astros’ last 26 games after scoring at least five runs in their last game. Additionally, the Over is 8-3-2 in Houston’s last 14 games on the road — and they have played 14 of their last 19 road games Over the Total as a money-line underdog. The Astros have played 5 of their last 7 games Over the Total with the number set in the 9-10.5 range. They give the ball to Urquidy who has an 8-3 record with a 3.62 ERA and a 0.99 WHIP in 20 starts. The right-hander has been more effective at home where he owns a 3.35 ERA, 0.90 WHIP, and an opponent’s batting average of .206 — but those numbers rise to a 3.86 ERA, 1.07 WHIP, and an opponent’s batting average of .229 in ten starts. In his last five starts, Urquidy has a 4.44 ERA. There is a reason he has not pitched since October 3rd with manager Dusty Baker looking elsewhere for his starting pitching and bullpen options. He faces a Red Sox team that is scoring 6.4 Runs-Per-Game in their last seven games with a .318 Batting Average, .371 On-Base Percentage, and an OPS of .924. Boston has played 5 straight Overs against starting pitchers with a WHIP of 1.15 or lower — and the Over is 13-2-1 in their last 16 games at home against right-handed starting pitchers. The Red Sox have played 5 of their last 6 games Over the Total after a win. They have played 5 of their last 6 games Over the Total after scoring at least five runs in their last game — and they have played 5 straight Overs after allowing at least five runs in their last game They return home to Fenway Park where the Over is 16-5-1 in their last 22 home games — and the Over is 21-8-4 in their last 33 home games in the playoffs. Boston has also played 32 of their last 48 home games Over the Total with the Total set in the 9-10.5 range. They counter with Rodriguez who has a 13-8 record with a 4.74 ERA and a 1.39 WHIP in 32 games (31 starts). The left-hander has not been as effective at home where he owns a 5.95 ERA, 1.44 WHIP, and an opponent’s batting average of .282 in 13 starts as opposed to his 3.95 ERA, 1.36 WHIP, and .273 opponent’s batting average on the road. In his last eight starts, Rodriguez has a 4.55 ERA and a 1.42 WHIP.

FINAL TAKE: The Astros are scoring 6.9 Runs-Per-Game in their last seven games with a .293 Batting Average, .360 On-Base Percentage, and an OPS of .851. Houston has played 4 straight Overs against left-handed starting pitchers — and the Over is 6-2-1 in their last 9 games against starting pitchers with a WHIP of 1.30 or higher. 25* MLB Monday TV Total of the Year with Over the Total in the game between the Houston Astros (909) and the Boston Red Sox (910) listing both starting pitchers Jose Urquidy and Eduardo Rodriguez. Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 7:37 PM ET on Sunday, we will be playing the Los Angeles Dodgers (907) minus the -1.5 Run-Line versus the Atlanta Braves (908) listing both starting pitchers Max Scherzer and Ian Anderson. THE SITUATION: Los Angeles (110-59) lost the opening game of this best-of-seven series in the National League Championship Series with their 2-1 loss to the Braves on Saturday. Atlanta (92-74) has won six of their last seven games.

REASONS TO TAKE THE DODGERS MINUS THE -1.5 RUN-LIKNE: Los Angeles has still won 22 of their last 28 games — and 19 of those 22 victories were by more than one run. The Dodgers have still won 30 of their last 40 games after playing a game where neither side scored more than three runs. Los Angeles has not allowed more than four runs in nine straight games — and they have won 14 of their last 17 games after not allowing more than four runs in at least six games. And while the Dodgers have played their last two games Under the Total, they have then won 50 of their last 67 games after playing two straight Unders. Additionally, Los Angeles has won 44 of their last 58 games when favored — and they have won 39 of their last 55 games against teams with a winning record. Manager Dave Roberts gave Scherzer an extra day of rest after he got the save in Game Five of the NLDS with a 13-pitch ninth inning on Thursday. The right-hander had a 15-4 record with a 2.46 ERA and an 0.86 WHIP in the regular season with the Dodgers and Washington Nationals. Since being acquired by Los Angeles, Scherzer posted a 7-0 record with a 1.98 ERA and a 0.82 WHIP in 11 regular season starts. In his three appearances in this postseason, Scherzer has a 1.46 ERA and a 0.81 WHIP in 12 1/3 innings. His teams have won 13 of their last 14 games on the road as a money-line favorite priced at -125 or higher when he is making the start. He faces a Braves team that is scoring only 3.7 Runs-Per-Game in their last seven games with a .236 Batting Average, .297 On-Base Percentage, and an OPS of .688. Atlanta has lost 6 of their last 7 games as an underdog priced at +150 or higher. They have also lost 5 of their last 7 games against teams with a winning percentage over 60% — and they have lost 4 of their last 6 games in the playoffs as an underdog. And in their last 7 home games in the NLCS, the Braves have lost 5 of these games. They counter with Anderson who has a 9-5 record with a 3.58 ERA and a 1.23 WHIP in 24 starts. He has regressed a in the second half of the season a bit with a 3.86 ERA and a 1.31 WHIP in his last eight starts. The deeper sabermetrics have been calling for regression with both his SIERA and xFIP projecting an ERA of 4.38 and 3.96 moving forward. Anderson did pitch five scoreless innings in his last start on Monday in the NLDS against Milwaukee — but Atlanta has lost 5 of their last 6 games with Anderson following up a start where he did not allow an earned run. The Braves have also lost 5 of their last 7 games with Anderson pitching as a money-line underdog.

FINAL TAKE: Los Angeles has won 5 of their last 7 playoff games when trailing in the series. They have covered the -1.5 Run-Line spread in 18 of their last 21 victories when favored at a -155 or higher price including nine of these last ten situations. 25* MLB Sunday TBS-TV Run-Line of the Year with the Los Angeles Dodgers (907) minus the -1.5 Run-Line versus the Atlanta Braves (908) listing both starting pitchers Max Scherzer and Ian Anderson. Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 8:07 PM ET on Friday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Boston Red Sox (901) and the Houston Astros (902) listing both starting pitchers Chris Sale and Framber Valdez. THE SITUATION: Boston (96-71) reached the American League Championship Series with their 6-5 victory against Tampa Bay on Monday to close out that ALDS in four games. Houston (98-68) reached the ALCS with their 10-1 win at Chicago against the White Sox to end that series in four games.

REASONS TO TAKE OVER THE TOTAL: The Red Sox have played 4 of their last 5 games Over the Total after a win — and the Over is 8-2-1 in their last 11 games after scoring at least five runs in their last game. And while Boston’s bullpen has pitched at least four innings in their last three games, they have then played 17 of their last 23 games Over the Total when their bullpen has pitched at least four innings in three straight games. Additionally, Boston has played 4 of their last 5 road games Over the Total against teams with a winning record — and they have played 6 of their last 7 games Over the Total with the Total set in the 7-8.5 range. They give the ball to Sale who had a 5-1 record with a 3.16 ERA and a 1.34 WHIP in nine starts in the regular season. The left-hander got rocked in his start against the Rays as he gave up five runs in one inning of work last Friday. In his last three starts, Sale has a 10.84 ERA and a 2.05 WHIP. All three of those starts were on the road where Sale has been less effective this season. While Sale has a 2.48 ERA and 1.28 WHIP in nine starts at home, those numbers rise to a 4.61 ERA and 146 WHIP in his three regular starts on the road. He faces an Astros team that is scoring 7.7 Runs-Per-Game in their last seven games with a .311 Batting Average, .375 On-Base Percentage, and an OPS of .913. Houston has scored at least six runs in seven straight games. The Over is 18-7-2 in The Astros’ last 27 games after a win — and the Over is 17-5-2 in their last 24 games after scoring at least five runs in their last game. The Over is also 9-2-2 in their last 13 games after not allowing more than two runs in their last game. They host this game at Minute Maid Park where they have played 4 of their last 5 home games Over the Total against teams with a winning record. Houston has played 40 of their last 59 home games Over the Total with the number set in the 7-8.5 range. They counter with Valdez who has an 11-6 record with a 3.14 ERA and a 1.25 WHIP in 22 starts. The lefty has not been as effective at home where he owns a 3.45 ERA and a 1.37 WHIP in 11 starts. In his last six starts, Valdez has a 4.50 ERA and a 1.41 WHIP in six starts.

FINAL TAKE: Valdez faces a hot-hitting Red Sox team that is scoring 6.3 Runs-Per-Game with a .317 Batting Average, .375 On-Base Percentage, and an OPS of 913 in their last seven games. 25* MLB Friday Fox-TV Total of the Year with Over the Total in the game between the Boston Red Sox (901) and the Houston Astros (902) listing both starting pitchers Chris Sale and Framber Valdez. Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 9:07 PM ET on Thursday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Los Angeles Dodgers (971) and the San Francisco Giants (972) listing both starting pitchers Corey Knebel and Logan Webb. THE SITUATION: Los Angeles (109-58) evened this best-of-five series at 2-2 with their 7-2 victory at home on Tuesday. San Francisco (109-57) returns home to host the final game of this National League Divisional Series.

REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: The Dodgers have held the Giants to two runs or less in the last three games of this series after their opening game 4-0 shutout loss (against Webb). Not only has Los Angeles played 38 of their last 62 games Under the Total after not allowing more than two runs in their last game, but they have also played 15 of their last 23 games Under the Total after not allowing more than two runs in two straight games. Furthermore, they have played 5 of their last 7 games Under the Total in the playoffs — and the Under is 9-4-1 in their last 14 road games with the Total set in the 7-8.5 range. The Dodgers have also played 15 of their last 16 games Under the Total after an off day. The day of rest will help the Los Angeles bullpen be ready for this game — a showdown in which manager Dave Roberts will use every healthy starting pitcher at his disposal in this single-elimination contest. The Dodgers’ bullpen has a 3.11 ERA and a 1.18 WHIP this season — and they have a 2.66 ERA with a 0.85 WHIP in their last seven games. Roberts has made a surprise decision this afternoon to use Corey Knebel as an opener before turning to Urias as his bulk pitcher. It is a crafty move to keep Giants’ manager Gabe Kapler from stacking his lineup with right-handed batters. Knebel is a good reliever — he has a 2.45 ERA and a 0.97 WHIP this season. Urias should then get the ball after holding the Giants to just one run in five innings on Saturday in Game Two of this series. The left-hander had a 20-6 record in the regular season with a 2.96 ERA and a 1.02 WHIP in 32 starts. He has been more effective on the road where he has a 2.71 ERA and 1.00 WHIP in 18 regular season starts. Additionally, in his last 12 starts since the beginning of August, Urias has a 1.77 ERA and a 0.92 WHIP. In his six starts against San Francisco this season, Urias has a 3.15 ERA and a 1.11 WHIP. And in his carer 32 1/3 innings in the playoffs, Urias has a 3.06 ERA and a 0.99 WHIP. He should pitch well tonight. He faces a Giants team that is scoring 3.6 Runs-Per-Game in their last seven games with a .197 Batting Average, .251 On-Base Percentage, and an OPS of .574. San Francisco has not scored more than four runs in four straight games. They are hitting just .208 in their last five games — and they have played 14 of their last 19 games Under the Total after a five-game stretch where they did not have a batting average over .225. The Giants have also played 6 of their last 8 games Under the Total against teams winning at least 60% of their games. And in their last 15 games after an off day, they have played 11 of their games Under the Total. San Francisco’s bullpen has a 3.07 ERA and a 1.14 WHIP this season — and they have posted a 2.92 ERA and a 1.16 WHIP against NL West foes. They counter with Webb who has an 11-3 record with a 3.03 ERA and a 1.11 WHIP in the regular season. He pitched 7 2/3 scoreless innings with ten strikeouts in Game One of this series. When pitching at home at Oracle Park this season, he has a 1.96 ERA and a 0.95 WHIP in 13 games (12 starts) in the regular season. He faces a Dodgers team that has played 12 of their last 17 road games Under the Total against right-handed starting pitchers.

FINAL TAKE: Los Angeles has been shut out twice in this series — they really miss the injured Max Muncy. Both managers will suspect runs will be hard to come by tonight — and they will manage accordingly. These two teams have played 5 of their last 7 meetings Under the Total. 25* MLB National League West Playoff Total of the Year with Under the Total in the game between the Los Angeles Dodgers (971) and the San Francisco Giants (972) listing both starting pitchers Corey Knebel and Logan Webb. Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 7:07 PM ET on Monday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Tampa Bay Rays (955) and the Boston Red Sox (956) listing both starting pitchers Collin McHugh and Eduardo Rodriguez. THE SITUATION: Tampa Bay (101-64) has lost three of their last four games after their 6-4 loss at Fenway Park last night in 13 innings. Boston (95-71) has won six of their last seven games to take a 2-1 lead in this series.

REASONS TO TAKE OVER THE TOTAL: Both bullpens were taxed last night — so there will be mostly tired pitchers taking the mound tonight. The Rays used eight relievers last night after Drew Rasmussen pitched only two innings making the start. Manager Kevin Cash will use Collin McHugh as his opener to pitch probably not more than two innings if he can last that long. The right-hander has a 6-1 record with a 1.55 ERA and 0.94 WHIP in 37 limited appearances which include seven opening assignments like this. The sabermetrics call for regression with both his SIERA and xFIP projecting an ERA of 2.87 and 3.06 moving forward. McHugh has pitched 20 1/3 innings in the postseason but has been saddled with a 4.87 ERA. Luis Patino will likely follow him up since he did not pitch last night. He has a 5-3 record with a 4.31 ERA and a 1.27 WHIP in mixed work in the pen and some spot starts. The right-hander has a 5.77 ERA and a 1.46 WHIP in 34 1/3 innings on the road — and he has a 5.32 ERA and 1.31 WHIP in nine games. In four innings of previous playoff experience, he has a 6.50 ERA and a 1.50 WHIP. They face a Red Sox team that is scoring 6.0 Runs-Per-Game with a .298 Batting Average, .370 On-Base Percentage, and an OPS of .893. Boston scores 5.8 Runs-Per-Game at home with a .280 Batting Average, .345 On-Base Percentage, and an OPS of .826. The Over is 12-3-1 in their last 16 home games against right-handed starting pitchers. Tampa Bay has played 30 of their last 48 road games Over the Total with the Total set in the 8.5 to 10 range. The Rays have played 5 of their last 7 games Over the Total in the playoffs as a money-line underdog. The Over is also 7-2-1 in Tampa Bay’s last 8 road games in the ALDS. The Over is 7-3-1 in Boston’s last 11 games after a win — and the Over is 7-2-1 in their last 10 games after scoring at least five runs in their last game. The Red Sox used six relievers last night to pitch 8 innings after the bullpen was called on to pitch 8 and 6 1/3 innings in the first two games in this series. Boston has played 16 of their last 22 games Over the Total after their bullpen pitched at least four innings in three straight games. Additionally, the Over is 15-5-1 in the Red Sox’s last 21 games at home — and the Over is 12-5-1 in their last 18 home games with the Total set in the 9-10.5 range. The Over is also 20-8-4 in their last 32 home games in the playoffs. They counter with Rodriguez who was knocked out in just 1 2/3 innings where he gave up two runs in Game One of this series on Thursday. The left-hander has a 5.25 ERA and a 1.35 WHIP in 22 1/3 innings against the Rays this season. He also now has a 14.85 ERA and a 2.40 WHIP in nine games including two starts in the postseason. He is pitching on three days rest at home at Fenway Park where he has a 5.95 ERA and a 1.44 WHIP with opposing hitters posting a .282 batting average in 13 starts this year. Boston has played 9 of their last 12 home games Over the Total with the Total set in the 9-9.5 range. Tampa Bay scores 5.6 Runs-Per-Game on the road — and the Over is 5-1-1 in their last 7 road games against left-handed starting pitchers.

FINAL TAKE: The Over is 26-11-2 in the last 39 meetings between these two teams — and the Over is 15-5-1 in the last 21 games when these two teams are playing at Fenway Park. Lastly, the Rays have played 18 of their last 27 games Over the Total when playing with double-revenge. 25* MLB American League East Total of the Year with Over the Total in the game between the Tampa Bay Rays (955) and the Boston Red Sox (956) listing both starting pitchers Collin McHugh and Eduardo Rodriguez. Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 8:07 PM ET on Sunday, we will be playing the money-line on the Chicago White Sox (934) versus the Houston Astros (933) listing both starting pitchers Dylan Cease and Luis Garcia. THE SITUATION: Chicago (93-71) has lost three games in a row after their 9-4 loss in Houston against the Astros on Friday. Houston (97-67) has won four games in a row after taking a 2-0 lead in this best-of-five series.

REASONS TO TAKE THE WHITE SOX WITH THE MONEY-LINE: Chicago has won 12 of their last 17 games after a loss — and they have won 6 of their last 8 games after allowing at least five runs in their last game. The White Sox have also won 4 of their last 5 games after an off-day. They return home where they have a 53-28 record this season at Guaranteed Rate Field. Chicago has won 4 of their last 5 home games against teams with a winning record — and they have won 4 of their last 5 playoff games at home. They have also won 12 of their last 16 home games when priced in the +/- 125 range. Furthermore, the White Sox have won 6 of their last 7 games when favored — and they have won 7 of their last 9 playoff games when favored. Manager Tony LaRussa taps Cease as his starting pitcher. The right-hander had a 13-7 record in the regular season with a 3.91 ERA and a 1.25 WHIP in 32 starts. The right-hander was more effective at home where he owned a 3.18 ERA, 1.18 WHIP, and an opponent’s batting average of .205 in 16 starts as compared to his 4.69 ERA, 1.33 WHIP, and an opponent’s batting average of .241. Chicago has won 16 of their last 24 games with Cease pitching as a money-line favorite priced at -110 or higher. Houston has lost 5 of their last 6 games as an underdog — and they have lost 7 of their last 8 games in the playoffs in potential close-out situations. The Astros have lost 4 straight games on the road — and they have lost 7 straight road games with the Total set in the 7-8.5 range. And in their last 53 road games when priced in the +/- 125 range, they have lost 33 of these contests. Manager Dusty Baker counters with Garcia who has an 11-8 record with a 3.30 ERA and a 1.17 WHIP in 30 appearances (28 starts). The right-hander does his best pitching at home in Minute Maid Park where he owns a 2.39 ERA,1.01 WHIP, and an opponent’s batting average of .210 — but those numbers rise to a 4.24 ERA, 1.34 WHIP, and an opponent’s batting average of .252 in 15 starts. The Astros have lost 6 of their last 8 games with Garcia pitching on the road priced in the +/- 125 range. He faces a White Sox team that scores 5.1 Runs-Per-Game at home — and they have won 6 of their last 7 games against right-handed starting pitchers.

FINAL TAKE: Houston has lost 4 of their last 5 games in Chicago against the White Sox — and the White Sox have won 22 of their last 32 home games when motivated by double-revenge. 25* MLB Divisional Series Game of the Year with the money-line on the Chicago White Sox (934) versus the Houston Astros (933) listing both starting pitchers Dylan Cease and Luis Garcia. Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 9:07 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing the money-line on the Los Angeles Dodgers (927) versus the San Francisco Giants (928) listing both starting pitchers Julio Urias and Kevin Gausman. THE SITUATION: Los Angeles (107-57) looks to rebound from losing the opening game of this best-of-five series last night by a 4-0 score. San Francisco (108-55) has won nine of their last ten games.

REASONS TO TAKE THE DODGERS WITH THE MONEY-LINE: Los Angeles entered the postseason on an eight-game winning streak — and they have still won 42 of their last 54 games. The Dodgers have won 9 of their last 13 games after a loss by four or more runs. Additionally, Los Angeles has won 8 of their last 9 games after a loss to a divisional rival where they did not score more than one run. The Dodgers have won 9 of their last 11 games after getting shutout in their last game including winning four of their five games after getting shutout this season. Los Angeles has won 49 of their last 67 games after winning six or seven of their last eight games. And while they have not allowed more than four runs in four straight games, they have then won 28 of their last 26 games after not allowing more than four runs in four straight games. The Dodgers have still won 19 of their last 28 games on the road — and they have won 36 of their last 51 games against teams with a winning record. They have also won 8 of their last 11 games in the playoffs. Manager Dave Roberts gives the ball to Urias who has a 20-3 record with a 2.96 ERA and a 1.02 WHIP in 32 starts. The left-hander has been more effective on the road where he owns a 2.71 ERA and a 1.00 WHIP in 18 starts as compared to his 3.27 ERA and 1.04 WHIP at home. The Dodgers have won 15 of their last 17 road games with Urias pitching as a money-line favorite priced at -110 or higher. In his last 11 starts since the start of August, Urias has a 1.77 ERA and a 0.93 WHIP. He also has plenty of postseason experience with 16 appearances in the playoffs with two starts in 27 1/3 innings. He has a 6-2 record in the postseason with a 3.29 ERA and a 1.02 WHIP. San Francisco has lost 4 of their last 6 games after an upset victory as a home underdog against NL West opponent. The Giants counter with Gausman who has a 14-6 record with a 2.81 ERA and 1.04 WHIP in 33 starts. The right-hander has not been as effective at home where he owns a 3.44 ERA in 14 starts as opposed to his 2.33 ERA on the road. Gausman has not been the same pitching since the All-Star Break where he has a 4.42 ERA, 1.37 WHIP, and an opponent’s batting average of .276 in his last 15 starts. San Francisco has lost 10 of these last 15 starts with Gausman on the mound. His teams have also lost 11 of their last 17 games with Gausman the starting pitcher in games where his team is the money-line underdog.

FINAL TAKE: The Dodgers have won 9 of their last 12 games when avenging a shutout loss against their opponent including four of five of these situations this season. 25* MLB National League West Game of the Year with the money-line on the Los Angeles Dodgers (927) versus the San Francisco Giants (928) listing both starting pitchers Julio Urias and Kevin Gausman. Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 8:10 PM ET on Wednesday, we will be playing the Los Angeles Dodgers (940) minus the -1.5 Run-Line versus the St. Louis Cardinals (939) listing both starting pitchers Max Scherzer and Adam Wainwright. THE SITUATION: Los Angeles (106-56) enters the playoffs having won seven straight games after beating Milwaukee by a 10-3 score on Sunday. St. Louis (90-72) lost their final two games of the regular season with a 3-2 setback against the Chicago Cubs.

REASONS TO TAKE THE DODGERS MINUS THE -1.5 RUN-LINE: It may appear dangerous to spot a Cardinals team +1.5 runs after they won 17-straight games in a row last month — but hot streaks in September do not correlate with playoff success. There has never been a team that won 12 or more games in a row in the regular season after August 31st who then reached the World Series. Besides, while St. Louis finished the season on a 22-7 run since the start of September, Los Angeles also won at a .700+ clip over that span with a 23-9 mark. The Cardinals have lost 6 of their last 7 playoff games as an underdog — and they have lost 19 of their last 26 playoff games on the road. They send out Wainwright who has a 17-7 record with a 3.05 ERA and a 1.06 WHIP this season. The deeper sabermetrics call for regression with both his SIERA and xFIP projecting an ERA of 4.13 and 3.87 moving forward. The right-hander was more effective at home where he owned a 2.74 ERA and a 1.01 WHIP in 19 starts — but his ERA and WHIP rise to 3.58 and 1.14 marks in his 13 starts on the road. In his last four starts, Wainwright has a 3.68 ERA. He last pitched last Tuesday against the Brewers — and the Cardinals have lost 4 of their last 6 games with Wainwright pitching with seven or more days of rest. St. Louis has lost 10 of their last 15 games with Wainwright pitching in the playoffs. He faces a red-hot Dodgers lineup that has scored at least eight runs in five straight games. Los Angeles has won 12 of their last 17 games after scoring at least six runs in five straight games — and they have won 11 of their last 16 games after scoring at least nine runs in their last game. The Dodgers are scoring 7.1 Runs-Per-Game in their last seven contests with a .285 Batting Average, .368 On-Base Percentage, and an OPS of .987. Los Angeles has won 40 of their last 53 home games when favored. Additionally, the Dodgers have won 38 of their last 47 games this season when priced at -200 or higher — and they have won 83 of their last 103 games going back to last season when priced at -200 or higher. They counter with Scherzer who has a 15-4 record with a 2.46 ERA and a 0.86 WHIP. The right-hander has a 7-0 record in 11 starts since being acquired by the Dodgers with a 1.98 ERA and a 0.82 WHIP. His teams have won 20 of their 24 games this season when priced as a -110 or better favorite.

FINAL TAKE: Los Angeles led MLB with a +269 run differential this season. They have covered the -1.5 Run-Line in 42 of their 52 victories this season when priced at -200 or higher — and this includes them covering the -1.5 Run-Line in seven straight and eleven of these last twelve circumstances. St. Louis has failed to cover the +1.5 Run-Line in 11 of their 16 losses this season when priced as a money-line underdog at +145 or higher. 25* MLB Wildcard Playoff Run-Line of the Year with the Los Angeles Dodgers (940) minus the -1.5 Run-Line versus the St. Louis Cardinals (939) listing both starting pitchers Max Scherzer and Adam Wainwright. Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 8:08 PM ET on Tuesday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the New York Yankees (937) and the Boston Red Sox (938) listing both starting pitchers Gerrit Cole and Nathan Eovaldi. THE SITUATION: New York (92-70) clinched a wildcard spot on Sunday with their 1-0 win against Tampa Bay. Boston (92-70) also clinched a playoff spot on Sunday with their 7-5 victory at Washington.

REASONS TO TAKE OVER THE TOTAL: The Over is 10-4-1 in the Yankees’ last 15 games after an off-day. They go on the road where they have play 5 of their last 7 games Over the Total with the Total set in the 7-8.5 range — and they have played 5 of their last 6 playoff games Over the Total on the road. They give the ball to Cole who looks to rebound from a subpar effort where he allows five runs in six innings at Toronto last Wednesday. For the season, the right-hander has a 16-8 record with a 3.23 ERA and a 1.06 WHIP — but he has been saddled with a 5.13 ERA, 1.38 WHIP, and an opponent’s batting average of .282 in five starts. This continues a disturbing trend for the Yankees’ ace who, after a great start to the season, has a 4.14 ERA, 1.28 WHIP, and an opponent’s batting average of .255 since the All-Star Break. Has his 181 1/3 innings this season after a pandemic-shortened campaign last year produced fatigue late in the season? Are the after-effects from his bout with COVID impacting his performances? Has his recent hamstring injury held him back? Perhaps the league’s crackdown on foreign substances has thrown off his elite stuff despite his spin rates creeping back up to his early-season levels? I don’t know, but I am skeptical he can simply flip the switch in the playoffs after posting a 7.64 ERA and 1.58 WHIP in his last three starts despite the Yankees playing for their playoff lives the last few weeks. Against the Red Sox in four starts this year, Cole has a 4.91 ERA, 1.50 WHIP, and an opponent’s batting average of .279. The Yankees have played 5 of their last 7 games Over the Total with Cole pitching when priced as a money-line favorite up to -150. He faces a Boston team that scores 5.8 Runs-Per-Game at home in Fenway Park with a .280 Batting Average, .344 On-Base Percentage, and an OPS of .824. The Over is 5-2-1 in the Red Sox’s last 8 games after a win — and the Over is 5-1-1 in their last 7 games after scoring at least five runs in their last game. Boston hosts this game in Fenway Park where the Over is 13-5-1 in their last 19 games — and the Over is 18-8-4 in their last 32 playoff games at home. They counter with Eovaldi who has an 11-9 record with a 3.75 ERA and a 1.19 WHIP in 32 starts this season. The right-hander got crushed at home against the Yankees two starts ago on September 24th when he allowed seven runs in just 2 2/3 innings of work. The Boston bullpen is not great — they have a 4.00 ERA and a 1.39 WHIP this season. The Red Sox have played 12 of their last 19 games at home Over the Total with Eovaldi on the mound — and they have played 9 of their last 14 games Over the Total with Eovaldi pitching with the Total set at 8-8.5.

FINAL TAKE: The Yankees have played 4 straight appearances in the Wild Card playoff game Over the Total. Expect a wild one between these bitter rivals. 25* MLB Wildcard Playoff Total of the Year with Over the Total in the game between the New York Yankees (937) and the Boston Red Sox (938) listing both starting pitchers Gerrit Cole and Nathan Eovaldi. Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 8:10 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing the Chicago White Sox (924) minus the -1.5 Run-Line versus the Detroit Tigers (923) listing both starting pitchers Lucas Giolito and Matt Manning. THE SITUATION: Chicago (92-68) has won five games in a row after their 8-1 win against the Tigers in the opening game of this final weekend series of the regular season. Detroit (76-84) has lost five of their last six games.

REASONS TO TAKE THE WHITE SOX MINUS THE -1.5 RUN-LINE: Chicago has clinched the American League Central title — but they are playing with a sense of urgency with home-field advantage still at stake in their upcoming ALDS showdown with the Houston Astros next week. The White Sox are one game behind the Astros — so a loss clinches the home-field edge for the Astros. Chicago has won 41 of their last 57 home games after winning four or five of their last six games. The White Sox have also won a decisive 62 of their last 89 home games when favored. And while Chicago has given up only one run in three straight games — and they have won 11 of their last 17 games after not giving up more than one run in at least two in a row. Manager Tony LaRussa gives the ball to Giolito who has an 11-9 record with a 3.58 ERA and a 1.12 WHIP this season. The right-hander has not allowed more than three earned runs in eight straight starts going back to August 9th. Since the All-Star Break, Giolito has a 2.71 ERA and a 1.03 WHIP in 12 starts — and he had a 2.35 ERA in his three starts in September. He did not give up an earned run in his last start at Cleveland on September 26th — and Chicago has won 7 of their last 10 games when Giolito is following up a start where he did not allow an earned run. He faces a Tigers team that has lost 5 of their last 7 games against right-handed starting pitchers. Detroit has lost 15 of their last 21 games when attempting to avenge a loss where they did not score more than one run. And while the Tigers lost by an 8-7 score in their previous meeting with the White Sox on September 27th, they have lost 49 of their last 62 games when playing with double-revenge from losses where they allowed at least eight runs in both contests. Detroit has also lost 6 of their last 7 games as an underdog. They counter with Manning who has a 4-7 record with a 6.16 ERA and a 1.57 WHIP in 17 starts. The rookie right-hander is fading down the stretch with an 8.41 ERA and 1.71 WHI in five starts last month. Manning is also saddled with a 7.67 ERA in his seven starts on the road. The Tigers have lost 5 of their last 7 games with Manning pitching on the road as an underdog. Chicago has won 5 in a row against right-handed starting pitchers. The White Sox have also won 20 of their last 26 opportunities to host Detroit. 

FINAL TAKE: Chicago has covered the -1.5 Run-Line in 35 of their 43 victories this season when priced at -155 or higher — and this includes them covering the -1.5 Run-Line in nineteen of these last twenty-three circumstances. The Tigers have failed to cover the +1.5 Run-Line in 32 of their 39 losses this year priced at +145 or higher — and this includes them failing to cover the +1.5 Run-Line in eighteen of these last twenty-two situations. 25* MLB American League Central Run-Line of the Month with the Chicago White Sox (924) minus the -1.5 Run-Line versus the Detroit Tigers (923) listing both starting pitchers Lucas Giolito and Matt Manning. Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 8:10 PM ET on Friday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Detroit Tigers (973) and the Chicago White Sox (974) listing both starting pitchers Wily Peralta and Lance Lynn. THE SITUATION: Detroit (76-83) snapped a four-game losing streak with their 10-7 win at Minnesota yesterday. Chicago (91-68) has won four in a row with their 6-1 win against Cincinnati on Wednesday.

REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: The Under is 18-7-2 in the Tigers’ last 27 games after a win — and the Under is 4-0-1 in their last 5 games after scoring at least five runs in their last game. Detroit stays out the road to close out their season where the Under is 15-5-1 in their last 21 road games as an underdog — and they have played 12 of their last 14 road games Under the Total as an underdog priced at +200 or higher. Furthermore, the Tigers have played 9 of their last 10 games Under the Total with the Total set in the 7-8.5 range. Manager A.J. Hinch gives the ball to Peralta who has a 4-4 record with a 3.08 ERA and a 1.29 WHIP in 18 games (17 starts) this season. The right-hander will be motivated to close out a strong second half of the season. He had a 1.75 ERA in his five starts last month — and has not allowed more than two earned runs in six straight starts. His teams have played 6 of their last 7 games Under the Total after not allowing more than two earned runs in two straight games. He has been more effective on the road where he owns a 1.21 WHIP and an opponent’s batting average of .236 in 11 games (10) starts as opposed to his 1.41 WHIP and .244 opponent’s batting average when pitchman at home. He faces a White Sox team that has played 5 of their last 6 games Under the Total against right-handed starting pitchers. Chicago has played 6 of their last 8 games Under the Total after a win — and the Under is 15-5-1 in their last 21 games after scoring at least five runs in their last game. The White Sox stay at home where they have played 31 of their last 48 home games Under the Total when favored at a -150 price or higher — and they have played 13 of their last 20 home games Under the Total when favored at a -200 price or higher. Furthermore, Chicago has played 4 straight Unders with the Total set in the 7-8.5 range. They counter with Lynn who has a 10-6 record with a 2.72 ERA and a 1.07 WHIP in 27 starts. The right-hander has been more effective at home where he owns a 2.60 ERA, 0.98 WHIP, and an opponent’s batting average of .193 in 16 starts. Chicago has played 11 of their 14 home games Under the Total with Lynn making the start this season. He will want to stay in the groove to build momentum for the playoffs next week. He faces a Tigers team that has played 6 of their last 8 games Under the Total against right-handed starting pitchers — and the Under is 20-8-3 in their last 31 games against starting pitchers with a WHIP of 1.15 or lower.

FINAL TAKE: Detroit has played 8 of their last 10 games Under the Total against American League Central rivals — and the White Sox have played 9 of their last 13 games Under the Total against divisional rivals. These two teams have played 6 of their last 8 games Under the Total when playing at Guaranteed Rate Field. 25* MLB American League Central Total of the Year with Under the Total in the game between the Detroit Tigers (973) and the Chicago White Sox (974) listing both starting pitchers Wily Peralta and Lance Lynn. Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 7:07 PM ET on Thursday, we will be playing the money-line on the Toronto Blue Jays (918) versus the New York Yankees (917) listing both starting pitchers Robbie Ray and Corey Kluber. THE SITUATION: Toronto (88-70) has won three of their last four games after their 6-5 win against the Yankees in the second game of their series last night. New York (90-68) had their seven-game winning streak snapped with the loss.

REASONS TO TAKE THE BLUE JAYS WITH THE MONEY-LINE: Toronto has won 22 of their last 31 games as they make a furious push to take a wildcard spot in the American League playoffs. The Blue Jays are two games behind the Yankees, one game behind the Boston Red Sox, and a half-game behind the Seattle Mariners for the two spots entering the day. Toronto’s gotta have it — but they send out their ace in Ray (more on that below). The Blue Jays have won 10 of their last 15 games after a win by just one run. Toronto has also won 12 of their last 7 games after scoring at least five runs in their last game — and they have won 8 of their last 10 games after allowing at least five runs in their last contest. The Blue Jays have now won 9 of their last 12 games at home — and they have won 11 of their last 15 games against teams with a winning record. Ray has a 13-6 record with a 2.68 ERA and a 1.04 WHIP in 31 starts. The lefty has a 2.28 ERA, 0.92 WHIP, and an opponent’s batting average of .194 in 16 starts at home. Ray has made his case for the American League Cy Young Award with his 2.16 ERA, 1.02 WHIP, and an opponent’s batting average of .203 since the All-Star Break. Toronto has won 8 of their last 10 games with Ray pitching as a money-line favorite priced up to -150. New York has lost 12 of their last 18 games on the road after a loss by two runs or less. Furthermore, the Yankees have lost 13 of their last 18 road games after winning four or five of their last six games — and they have lost 15 of their last 23 road games after winning six or seven of their last eight games. They counter with Kluber who has a 5-3 record with a 3.82 ERA and a 1.31 WHIP in 15 starts. In his five starts since his return from the disabled list, he has a 5.72 ERA. In his five starts on the road, he has a 5.00 ERA and an opponent’s batting average of .250 as compared to his 2.75 ERA and .231 batting average in eight starts at home. The deeper sabermetrics are not encouraging with both his SIERA and xFIP projecting an ERA of 4.29 respectively. The Yankees have lost 9 of their last 13 games with Kluber pitching as a money-line underdog priced from +125 to +175. New York has lost 5 of their last 6 meetings with the Blue Jays.

FINAL TAKE: Toronto scores 5.4 Runs-Per-Game at home — and they have won 9 of their last 12 home games against right-handed starting pitchers. The Blue Jays have also won 7 of their last 9 games against starting pitchers with a WHIP of 1.30 or higher. 25* MLB Game of the Month with the money-line on the money-line on the Toronto Blue Jays (918) versus the New York Yankees (917) listing both starting pitchers Robbie Ray and Corey Kluber. Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 7:20 PM ET on Wednesday, we will be playing the money-line on the Atlanta Braves (958) versus the Philadelphia Phillies (957) listing both starting pitchers Max Fried and Aaron Nola. THE SITUATION: Atlanta (84-72) has won four straight and eight of their last nine games after their 2-1 victory in the opening game of their series with the Phillies last night. Philadelphia (81-76) has lost two in a row.

REASONS TO TAKE THE BRAVES WITH THE MONEY-LINE: Atlanta has won 6 of their last 7 games after a win — and they have won 4 of their last 5 games after not allowing more than two runs in their last game. Additionally, the Braves have won 5 straight games against teams with a winning record — and they have won 24 of their last 33 games against NL East opponents. They give the ball to Fried who has a 13-7 record with a 3.12 ERA and a 1.12 WHIP in 27 starts. The left-hander has been a bit more effective at home where he owns a 3.09 ERA and a .224 opponent's batting average in 13 starts as compared to his 3.14 ERA and an opponent’s batting average of .235 on the road. Fried has been spectacular in the second half of the season. In his last ten starts since the beginning of August, Fried has a 1.48 ERA and 0.79 WHIP in 67 innings. Atlanta has won 14 of their last 16 games with Fried pitching as a money-line favorite priced up to -150. He faces a Phillies team that has lost 4 straight road games against left-handed starting pitchers. Philadelphia has lost 27 of their last 40 games after not allowing more than two runs in their last game — and they have lost 15 of their last 22 games after a game where no more than four combined runs were scored. The Phillies have lost 5 of their last 6 games against teams with a winning record — and they have lost 4 straight road games as a money-line underdog. They counter with Nola who has a 9-8 record with a 4.64 ERA and a 1.12 WHIP in 31 starts. The right-hander has done his best pitching at home where he owns a 3.86 ERA, 1.00 WHIP, and an opponent’s batting average of .223 — but those rise to a 5.32 ERA, 1.22 WHIP, and an opponent’s batting average of .246 in 17 starts on the road. Nola has struggled in his five starts this month with a 6.58 ERA and an opponent’s batting average of .260. The Phillies have lost 21 of their last 32 games in September with Nola making the start.

FINAL TAKE: Philadelphia has lost 8 of their last 11 games played at Truist Park in Atlanta. The Phillies trail the Braves in the NL East title race by 3 1/2 games with just five to play — so a loss tonight all-but eliminates them from the playoff race. The writing has been on the wall for Philly for a while now. 25* MLB National League East Game of the Year with the money-line on the Atlanta Braves (958) versus the Philadelphia Phillies (957) listing both starting pitchers Max Fried and Aaron Nola. Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 9:45 PM ET on Tuesday, we will be playing the San Francisco Giants (914) minus the -1.5 Run-Line versus the Arizona Diamondbacks (913) listing both starting pitchers Logan Webb and Luke Weaver. THE SITUATION: San Francisco (102-54) has won three straight games — and five of their last six contests — after their 6-2 win at Colorado on Sunday. Arizona (50-106) has lost six of their last eight games after their 3-0 loss to the Los Angeles Dodgers on Sunday.

REASONS TO TAKE THE GIANTS MINUS THE -1.5 RUN-LINE: San Francisco had a 2-1 lead after five innings on Sunday before their bullpen allowed the tying run in the bottom of the seventh. The Giants won the game with four runs in the top of the ninth inning. San Francisco has won 18 of their last 24 games after blowing a save in their last game. Additionally, the Giants have won 43 of their last 61 games after a win — and they have won 44 of their last 58 games after scoring at least five runs in their last game. San Francisco has also won 20 of their last 27 games after an off day. The Giants are two games ahead in the NL West — but they have plenty to play for still since finishing in second place in the division relegates them to single-elimination wild-card playoff games. San Francisco won the first two games of their series with the Rockies by 7-2 scores. They have won 15 of their last 19 games after winning two games in a row by at least four runs — and they have won 6 of their last 7 games after winning three games in a row by at least four runs. They give the ball to Webb who has a 10-3 record with a 3.04 ERA and a 1.11 WHIP in 25 games (24 starts). The right-hander has been more effective at home where he owns a 1.76 ERA, 0.95 WHIP, and an opponent’s batting average of .208 in 11 games (10 starts). The deeper sabermetrics are encouraging for Webb with both his SIERA and xFIP projecting an ERA of 3.10 and 2.85 respectively. The Giants have won all 10 games Webb has started at home this year. He faces a cold-hitting Diamondbacks team that is scoring only 3.1 Runs-Per-Game in their last seven games with a .225 Batting Average, .290 On-Base Percentage, and an OPS of .665. Arizona has lost 42 of their last 53 games against starting pitchers with a WHIP of 1.15 or lower. The Diamondbacks have lost 12 of their last 14 games after getting shut out in their last game. Furthermore, they have lost 26 of their last 28 games after not scoring more than one run in their last game -- and they have lost 25 of their last 29 games after not scoring more than two runs in their last contest. They go back on the road where they have lost 50 of their last 61 games on the road. They counter with Weaver who has a 3-6 record with a 4.38 ERA and a 1.15 WHIP in 12 starts. While the right-hander has a 2.31 ERA, 0.90 WHIP, and an opponent’s batting average of .188, those numbers skyrocket to a 7.94 ERA, 1.59 WHIP, and an opponent’s batting average of .299 in his five starts on the road. Arizona has lost 7 of their last 10 road games with Weaver pitching with the Total set in the 7-8.5 range. Weaver also has a 5.55 ERA and 1.35 WHIP in seven starts at night. He faces a Giants team that is scoring 5.7 Runs-Per-Game in their last seven games. San Francisco has won 40 of their last 53 games against right-handed starting pitchers.

FINAL TAKE: San Francisco has covered the -1.5 Run-Line in 23 of their 32 victories when priced at -155 or higher this season — and they have covered the -1.5 Run-Line in 19 of these last 24 situations. Arizona has failed to cover the +1.5 Run-Line in 47 of their 62 losses when priced at +145 or higher including 25 of these last 30 circumstances. 25* MLB National League West Run-Line of the Month with the San Francisco Giants (914) minus the -1.5 Run-Line versus the Arizona Diamondbacks (913) listing both starting pitchers Logan Webb and Luke Weaver. Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 7:10 PM ET on Friday, we will be playing the money-line on the Boston Red Sox (920) versus the New York Yankees (919) listing both starting pitchers Nathan Eovaldi and Gerrit Cole. THE SITUATION: Boston (88-65) has won seven games in a row with their 12-5 victory against the New York Mets on Wednesday. New York (86-67) has won three straight games after their 7-3 victory against on Wednesday.

REASONS TO TAKE THE RED SOX WITH THE MONEY-LINE: These American League East rivals are in a heated battle for the wild card spots for the playoffs — and Boston has the upper hand with a two-game lead over the Yankees along with a three-game lead over Toronto and a four-game over Seattle who is sticking around in the final ten days of the season. The Red Sox are rolling right now — and they have won 36 of their last 56 games after winning at least two in a row. Boston has also won 6 straight games after scoring at least five runs in their last game — and they have won 7 of their last 8 games after scoring at least 12 runs n their last contest. The Red Sox have also won 4 of their last 5 games after an off day. Boston stays at home at Fenway Park where they have won 36 of their last 52 games — and they have won 6 straight home games with the Total set in the 9-9.5 range. Eovaldi gets the ball with his 10-8 record with a 3.58 ERA and a 1.17 WHIP in 30 starts. The right-hander has been more effective at home where he owns a 2.99 ERA, 1.07 WHIP, and an opponent’s batting average of .233 in 18 starts. Boston has won 6 of their 8 games at home this season with Eovaldi pitching when priced in the +/- 125 range. Eovaldi has thrived over his last seven starts where he has not allowed more than three runs — he has a 2.27 ERA and 1.03 WHIP in those seven starts since August 11th. He will be supposed by a bullpen that has a 1.99 ERA and a 1.01 WHIP in their last seven games. He faces a Yankees team that does not hit right-handed pitching as well as lefties. They are scoring 4.3 Runs-Per-Game against right-handed starting pitchers with a .232 Batting Average, .312 On-Base Percentage, and an OPS of .711. New York has lost 12 of their last 17 games against right-handed staring pitchers — and they have lost 7 of their last 8 road games against right-handed starting pitchers. Now after playing their last six games at home in Yankee Stadium, they go back on the road where they have lost 6 of their last 8 road games with the Total set from 9-10.5. New has lost 6 games in a row to teams with a winning record — and they have lost 7 of their last 9 games against fellow AL East foes. The Yankees are the favorite because they have Gerrit Cole on the mound — he has a 15-8 record with a 3.03 ERA and a 1.03 WHIP this season. But the right-hander has taken a step back in his four starts this month with a 4.64 ERA, 1.36 WHIP, and an opponent’s batting average of .277. Workload may be an issue — Cole has pitched 169 1/3 innings this year after the shortened season last year limited him to 73 innings. He faces a hot-hitting Red Sox team that is scoring 8.4 Runs-Per-Game in their last seven games with a .310 Batting Average, .378 On-Base Percentage, and an OPS of .947. Boston scores 5.9 Runs-Per-Game at home at Fenway Park with a .281 Batting Average, .346 On-Base Percentage, and an OPS of .831. 

FINAL TAKE: Boston has only been an underdog at home 8 times this season — and they have pulled the upset 5 times. The Yankees have lost 7 of their last 8 games played at Fenway Park. 25* MLB American League East Underdog of the Year with the money-line on the Boston Red Sox (920) versus the New York Yankees (919) listing both starting pitchers Nathan Eovaldi and Gerrit Cole. Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 7:10 PM ET on Wednesday, we will be playing the Boston Red Sox (928) minus the -1.5 Run-Line versus the New York Mets (927) listing both starting pitchers Chris Sale and Taijuan Walker. THE SITUATION: Boston (87-65) has won six in a row after winning the opening game of this two-game series last night by a 6-3 score. New York (73-78) has lost six of their last seven games.

REASONS TO TAKE THE RED SOX MINUS THE -1.5 RUN-LINE: Boston has won 5 straight games after scoring at least five runs in their last game. Everything has become crucial for the Red Sox with them currently holding the first wild card spot in the American League playoff race — but they are just 1 1/2 games ahead of the Blue Jays and 2 games up on the Yankees with a weekend series with New York looming. Boston has won 36 of their last 52 games at home when the money-line favorite — and they have won 5 straight games with the Total set at 9-10.5. Additionally, the Red Sox have won 23 of their last 32 games against teams with a losing record — and they have won 12 of their last 16 games in Interleague play. They give the ball to Sale who has a 4-0 record with a 2.40 ERA and a 1.23 WHIP in six starts after spending most of the year on the disabled list. Sale has five starts at home in Fenway Park where he owns a 2.25 ERA and a 1.21 WHIP. He has also sports a 2.11 ERA and 0.94 WHIP in four starts at night under the lights. He will be supported by a red hot bullpen that has a 1.21 ERA and 0.98 WHIP in their last seven games. He faces a cold Mets’ lineup that is scoring only 3.1 Runs-Per-Game in their last seven games with a .229 Batting Average, .291 On-Base Percentage, and an OPS of .650. New York struggles against left-handed pitching — they score just 3.1 Runs-Per-Game with a .236 Batting Average, .299 On-Base Percentage, and an OPS of .664 against left-handed pitchers. The Mets have lost 39 of their last 55 road games against left-handed starting pitchers. New York is playing out the string out of the playoff hunt. They have lost 4 of their last 5 games after a loss — and they have lost 10 of their last 12 games after allowing at least five runs in their last game. Furthermore, the Mets have lost 4 of their last 5 games on the road — and they have lost 9 of their last 11 road games against teams with a winning record. New York has lost 9 of their last 12 road games with the Total set from 9-10.5 — and they have lost 8 of their last 11 road games in Interleague play. They counter with Walker who has a 7-10 record with a 4.27 ERA and a 1.17 WHIP in 28 (27 starts). The right-hander has done his best pitching at home in Citi Field where he has a 3.55 ERA, 1.04 WHIP, and an opponent’s batting average of .206 — but he is saddled with a 5.18 ERA, 1.33 WHIP, and an opponent’s batting average of .246 in 13 starts on the road. Walker has lost steam this month — he has a 7.63 ERA and 1.24 WHIP in three September starts. He faces a hot-hitting Red Sox lineup that is scoring 7.3 Runs-Per-Game with a .286 Batting Average, .352 On-Base Percentage, and an OPS of .882. Boston scores 5.8 Runs-Per-Game at home in Fenway with a .280 Batting Average, .345 On-Base Percentage, and an OPS of .826. They have won 18 of their last 26 home games against right-handed starting pitchers.

FINAL TAKE: The Mets have lost 22 of their last 27 games against teams with a winning record. The Red Sox have covered the -1.5 Run-Line in 18 of their 22 victories this season when priced at -155 or higher — and they have covered the -1.5 Run-Line in 12 of these last 14 circumstances. Boston has also covered the -1.5 Run-Line in all 4 of Sale’s starts at home this season when priced at -150 or higher. 25* MLB Run-Line of the Year with the Boston Red Sox (928) minus the -1.5 Run-Line versus the New York Mets (927) listing both starting pitchers Chris Sale and Taijuan Walker. Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 8:40 PM ET on Tuesday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Los Angeles Dodgers (957) and the Colorado Rockies (958) listing both starting pitchers Julio Urias and Antonio Senzatela. THE SITUATION: Los Angeles (96-54) has won two in a row and eight of their last nine after their 8-5 win at Cincinnati on Sunday. Colorado (70-79) had their five-game winning streak snapped on Sunday in a 3-0 loss at Washington.

REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: The Rockies have played 12 of their last 16 games Under the Total after playing a game where no more than four combined runs were scored — and they have played 8 of their last 9 games Under the Total after playing a game where no more than three combined runs were scored. Furthermore, the Under is 19-8-1 in Colorado’s last 28 games after not scoring more than two runs in their last game — and they have played 16 of their last 23 games Under the Total after not scoring more than one run in their last contest. They return home after playing their last nine games on the road. The Rockies have played 21 of their last 31 home games Under the Total — and they have played 9 of their last 12 home games Under the Total as a money-line underdog. The Under is also a decisive 37-18-3 in their last 58 home games with the Total set at 11 or higher. Colorado sends out Senzatela who has a 4-9 record with a 4.06 ERA and a 1.29 WHIP in 25 starts. The right-hander has been outstanding as of late with a 2.31 ERA and a 0.92 WHIP in this last six starts including seven shutout innings in Los Angeles against the Dodgers on August 29th. Senzatela thrives at home with his ground ball rate of 51.8% — keeping the ball out of the thin high-altitude air in Denver. He has a 3.89 ERA with a 1.19 WHIP at home in 13 starts as compared to his 4.27 ERA and a 1.41 WHIP in 12 starts on the road. The Rockies have played 8 of their last 10 home games Under the Total with Senzatela pitching with the Total set at 11-11.5. He faces a Dodgers team that has played 8 of their last 10 road games Over the Total against right-handed starting pitchers. The Under is 34-16-6 in Los Angeles’ last 56 games after a win. Furthermore, the Dodgers have played 21 of their last 31 games Under the Total — and they have played 6 straight Unders after allowing five or more runs in their last game. LA has also played 10 of their last 11 games Under the Total after an off day. They stay on the road where the Under is 8-3-2 in their last 13 games — and they have played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total on the road with the Total set at 11 or higher. They counter with Urias who is 18-3 with a 2.99 ERA and a 1.03 WHIP in 29 starts. The lefty has been more effective on the road where he owns a 2.64 ERA, 0.98 WHIP, and an opponent’s batting average of .213 in 16 starts. Since the All-Star Break, Urias has a sparkling 1.89 ERA and a 0.95 WHIP in 11 starts. He faces a slumping Rockies’ offense that is scoring only 4.1 Runs-Per-Game in their last seven games with a .222 Batting Average, .303 On-Base Percentage, and an OPS of .709. Colorado has played 7 of their last 9 games Under the Total against left-handed starting pitchers — and the Under is 4-1-1 in their last 6 games against starting pitchers with a WHIP of 1.15 or lower.

FINAL TAKE: The Dodgers will be looking to avenge a 5-0 upset loss at home to the Rockies on August 29th — and they have played 7 of their last 11 games Under the Total when playing with revenge from an upset loss including playing 3 of 4 Unders those circumstances this season. 25* MLB National League West Total of the Year with Under the Total in the game between the Los Angeles Dodgers (957) and the Colorado Rockies (958) listing both starting pitchers Julio Urias and Antonio Senzatela. Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 7:08 PM ET on Sunday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Philadelphia Phillies (963) and the New York Mets (964) listing both starting pitchers Kyle Gibson and Rich Hill. THE SITUATION: Philadelphia (76-72) has won three straight games after their 4-3 victory in the opening game of this series last night. New York (72-77) has lost five games in a row.

REASONS TO TAKE OVER THE TOTAL: The Over is 9-1-1 in the Phillies’ last 10 games after a win — and they have played 21 of their last 32 games Over the Total after winning two games in a row. Additionally, Philadelphia has played 10 of their last 11 games Over the Total on the road after winning at least three games in a row. Furthermore, the Phillies have played 8 of their last 11 games Over the Total on the road — and the Over is 15-6-1 in their last 21 road games against teams with a losing record. They give the ball to Gibson who is 10-7 with a 3.49 ERA and a 1.23 WHIP between his work with the Rangers and the Phillies. His ERA is 4.85 since he was traded to Philadelphia which is not a surprise since he is a ground ball pitcher playing in front of an inferior defensive team now with the Phillies. The deeper sabermetrics have been screaming for regression with both his SIERA and xFIP projection an ERA of 4.54 and 4.25. Since the All-Star Break, Gibson has a 5.43 ERA and 1.49 WHIP — and he has been saddled with a 0-2 record with a 9.00 ERA and 1.73 WHIP in three starts. The right-hander has been less effective on the road where he has a 4.31 ERA, 1.39 WHIP, and an opponent’s batting average of .258 in 15 starts. His teams have played 6 of their last 7 road games Over the Total when he is pitching with the Total set in the 8.5 to 10 range. He faces a Mets team that has played 8 of their last 11 games Over the Total against right-handed starting pitchers. The Mets have played 5 of their last 6 games Over the Total after a loss. They have also played 7 of their last 9 games Over the Total at home — and they have played 6 of their last 8 games Over the Total against teams with a winning record. They counter with Hill who has a 6-7 record with a 3.88 ERA and a 1.18 WHIP this season between pitchman for Tampa Bay and now the Mets. He has been less effective at home where his ERA rises to a 4.30 mark. In his last six starts at home, Hill has a 5.79 ERA and a 1.57 WHIP. The sabermetrics also call for regression with Hill given his 4.43 SIERA and 4.67 xFIP. He faces a hot-hitting Phillies’ team that is scoring 6.4 Runs-Per-Game in their last seven games with a .277 Batting Average, .346 On-Base Percentage, and an OPS of .848 during that span. The Over is 11-4-2 in Philly’s last 17 games against left-handed starting pitchers.

FINAL TAKE: Both teams’ bullpens are struggling right now. Philadelphia’s pen has a 6.11 ERA and a 1.46 WHIP in their last seven games and the Mets’ bullpen has a 6.83 ERA and a 1.72 WHIP in their last seven games. 25* MLB Sunday Night ESPN Total of the Year with Over the Total in the game between the Philadelphia Phillies (963) and the New York Mets (964) listing both starting pitchers Kyle Gibson and Rich Hill. Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 7:15 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Philadelphia Phillies (907) and the New York Mets (908) listing both starting pitchers Aaron Nola and Carlos Carrasco. THE SITUATION: Philadelphia (75-72) has won three straight games after their 4-3 victory in the opening game of this series last night. New York (72-76) has lost four games in a row.

REASONS TO TAKE OVER THE TOTAL: The Over is 8-1-1 in the Phillies’ last 10 games after a win — and they have played 20 of their last 31 games Over the Total after winning two games in a row. Additionally, Philadelphia has played 9 of their last 10 games Over the Total on the road after winning at least three games in a row. Furthermore, the Phillies have played 7 of their last 10 games Over the Total on the road — and the Over is 14-6-1 in their last 21 road games against teams with a losing record. They give the ball to Nola who has a 7-8 record with a 4.58 ERA and a 1.12 WHIP in 29 starts. He has not been as effective on the road where his ERA rises to a 5.56 mark along with a 1.24 WHIP and an opponent’s batting average of .249 in 16 starts as compared to his 3.45 ERA, 0.99 WHIP, and opponent’s batting average of .221 at home. Philadelphia has played 13 of their last 20 road games Over the Total with Nola their starting pitcher and favored up to a -150 price. Nola has struggled this month with a 7.53 ERA and 1.33 WHIP in three starts. He faces a Mets team that is scoring 5.3 Runs-Per-Game in their last seven contests with a .775 OPS. New York has played 7 of their last 10 games Over the Total against right-handed starting pitchers. The Mets have played 4 of their last 5 games Over the Total after a loss. They have also played 6 of their last 8 games Over the Total at home — and they have played 5 of their last 7 games Over the Total against teams with a winning record. They counter with Carrasco who has a 1-2 record with a 5.59 ERA and a 1.29 WHIP in nine starts. His ERA in six home games skyrockets to a 6.66 mark. His teams have played 30 of their last 43 home games Over the Total after a loss with Carrasco on the hill. His teams have also played 40 of their last 62 games Over the Total with Carrasco pitching at night.

FINAL TAKE: Philadelphia is scoring 6.0 Runs-Per-Game in their last seven games with a .272 Batting Average, .347 On-Base Percentage, and an OPS of .826 over that span. The Over is 3-1-1 in the Phillies’ last 5 games against right-handed starting pitchers. 25* MLB Saturday Fox-TV Total of the Month with Over the Total in the game between the Philadelphia Phillies (907) and the New York Mets (908) listing both starting pitchers Aaron Nola and Carlos Carrasco. Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 8:10 PM ET on Friday, we will be playing the Milwaukee Brewers (960) minus the -1.5 Run-Line versus the Chicago Cubs (959) listing both starting pitchers Adrian Houser and Zach Davies. THE SITUATION: Milwaukee (89-57) had won five in a row before dropping their last two games in Detroit this week after a 4-1 loss on Wednesday. Chicago (66-81) has lost two in a row and five of their last six after a 17-8 loss at Pittsburgh on Wednesday.

REASONS TO TAKE THE BREWERS MINUS THE -1.5 RUN-LINE: Milwaukee returns home after a quick five-game road trip. The Brewers have won 7 of their last 9 games after an off day. They have also won 4 of their last 5 games at home — and they have won 8 of their last 10 home games when favored. Additionally, Milwaukee has won 16 of their last 21 home games against teams with a losing record. The Brewers usually take care of business against the bad teams in the league — they have won 43 of their last 59 games against teams with a losing record. They have also won 17 of their last 21 games when priced at -200 or higher. They give the ball to Houser who is 9-6 on the season with a 3.25 ERA and a 1.26 WHIP in 25 appearances. He has not allowed an earned run in his 15 innings this month over two starts. Since the All-Star Break, Houser has a 2.21 ERA, 1.01 WHIP, and an opponent’s batting average of .151 in eight games (seven starts). Houser has also done his best pitching at home where he owns a 2.54 ERA, 1.18 WHIP, and an opponent’s batting average of .209 in 13 games (11 starts). he will be supposed by a red-hot bullpen that has a 0.86 ERA and a 0.81 WHIP in their last seven games. Milwaukee has won 7 of their last 9 games with Houser pitching in the second half of the season. He should thrive against this Cubs team that has only scored 4.0 Runs-Per-Game on the road with a .227 Batting Average, .285 On-Base Percentage, and an OPS of .676. Chicago has lost 4 of their last 5 games against right-handed starting pitchers. They have also lost 36 of their last 53 games after a loss. And in their last 36 games on the road, the Cubs have lost 25 of these games. They counter with Davies who has a 6-11 record with a 5.40 ERA and a 1.55 WHIP in 30 starts. The right-hander may be tired as his mediocre numbers are fading fast. In his last eight starts since the beginning of August, Davies has an 8.73 ERA and a 1.67 WHIP. Chicago has lost 9 of their last 13 games with Davies pitching in the second half of the season. He will likely struggle against this Brewers team that is scoring 5.6 Runs-Per-Game in their last seven games — and they have won 40 of their last 56 games against right-handed starting pitchers. The Cubs have lost 26 of their last 33 games against teams with winning records — and they have lost 39 of their last 52 games as a money-line underdog. The Cubs have lost nine in a row to Milwaukee — with seven of these losses by more than one run — after a 17-4 loss at home on August 12th. Chicago has lost 9 of their last 11 games when avenging a loss at home by at least six runs — and they have lost 5 of their last 6 games against opponents that have beaten them at least five times in a row.

FINAL TAKE: The Brewers have covered the -1.5 Run-Line in 23 of their 30 victories this season when priced at -155 or higher — and this includes them covering the -1.5 Run-Line in 15 of these last 19 situations. The Cubs have failed to cover the +1.5 Run-Line in 10 of their last 13 losses when priced at +145 or higher. 25* MLB National League Central Run-Line of the Year with the Milwaukee Brewers (960) minus the -1.5 Run-Line versus the Chicago Cubs (959) listing both starting pitchers Adrian Houser and Zach Davies. Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 8:05 PM ET on Tuesday, we will be playing the Houston Astros (923) minus the -1.5 Run-Line versus the Texas Rangers (924) listing both starting pitchers Zack Greinke and Jordan Lyles. THE SITUATION: Houston (84-59) has won five of their last seven games after their 15-1 victory against the Rangers in the opening game of this series. Texas (53-90) has still won six of their last eight games.

REASONS TO TAKE THE ASTROS MINUS THE -1.5 RUN-LINE: Houston should build off the momentum of their easy win last night. The Astros have won 16 of their last 20 games on the road after scoring at least eight runs in their last game. Houston clubbed five home runs last night — and they have then won 5 of their last 6 games after hitting at least four homers in their last game. The Astros have won 21 of their last 31 games on the road when favored — and they have won 6 of their last 7 games against teams who are not winning more than 40% of their games. They give the ball to Greinke who has an 11-5 record with a 3.66 ERA and a 1.15 WHIP in 27 starts. The veteran right-hander has been more effective on the road with a 2.89 ERA, 0.98 WHIP, and an opponent’s batting average of .225 in 13 starts. Houston has won 5 of their last 7 road games with Greinke pitching as a money-line favorite priced at -110 or higher. He faces a Rangers team that scores only 3.9 Runs-Per-Game on the road — and they have lost 6 of their last 8 home games against right-handed starting pitchers. Texas has lost 49 of their last 71 games after a loss — and they have lost 38 of their last 55 games after scoring no more than two runs in their last game. They have also lost 17 of their last 25 games after allowing at least five runs in their last game. And they have lost 6 of their last 7 games after winning six or seven of their last eight. The Rangers have lost 6 of their last 7 home games against teams with a winning record — and they have lost 7 of their last 10 home games as a money-line underdog. They counter with Lyles who has an 8-11 record with a 5.43 ERA and a 1.44 WHIP this season. The right-hander comes off a rare strong outing where he only gave up one earned run in seven innings of work at Arizona last Tuesday. But Lyles was saddled with a 7.60 ERA, 1.72 WHIP, and an opponent’s batting average of .329 in his six starts in August. The Rangers have lost 12 of their last 17 games with Lyles pitching on at least seven days of rest. He faces a hot-hitting Astros team that is scoring 7.3 Runs-Per-Game in their last seven games with a .319 Batting Average, .394 On-Base Percentage, and an OPS of .935 during that span. Houston has won their last 4 games against right-handed starting pitchers.

FINAL TAKE: The Astros have covered the -1.5 Run-Line in 35 of their 44 victories when priced at -155 or higher — and they have covered the -1.5 Run-Line in 20 of these last 24 circumstances. The Rangers have failed to cover the +1.5 Run-Line in 37 of their 45 losses this season when priced at +145 or higher — including 29 of these last 32 circumstances. 25* MLB American League West Run-Line of the Year with the Houston Astros (923) minus the -1.5 Run-Line versus the Texas Rangers (924) listing both starting pitchers Zack Greinke and Jordan Lyles. Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 8:10 PM ET on Friday, we will be playing the money-line on the Kansas City Royals (917) versus the Minnesota Twins (918) listing both starting pitchers Daniel Lynch and Griffin Jax. THE SITUATION: Kansas City (63-77) has won three of their last five games after their 6-0 win at Baltimore yesterday. Minnesota (62-78) had their four-game winning streak snapped yesterday in a 4-1 loss at Cleveland.

REASONS TO TAKE THE ROYALS WITH THE MONEY-LINE: Kansas City has been playing better baseball as of late — and they have won 16 of their last 21 games after scoring at least five runs in their last game. The Royals have won 5 of their last 7 games on the road against teams with a losing record. Additionally, Kansas City has pulled offsets in 6 of their last 8 games when an underdog — and they have won 4 of their last 5 road games as a money-line underdog. The Royals have also won 6 of their last 7 opening games to a new series. They give the ball to Lynch who has a 4-4 record with a 5.29 ERA and a 1.67 WHIP in 11 starts this season. After a slow start to the season, Lynch had rattled off seven straight starts where he posted a 2.23 ERA and a 1.34 WHIP. But Lynch was hit hard in his last outing against the Chicago White Sox where he gave up six runs in 2 2/3 innings last Saturday. The left-hander has only pitched 51 innings this season so I do not he is tiring at this point of the year. Look for Lynch to redeem himself with a strong outing tonight. The Royals have won 6 of their 8 games in the second half of the season with Lynch making the start. Lynch’s ERA drops to a 3.47 mark in his five starts on the road — and Kansas City has won 3 of their 4 games with him pitching as a money-line underdog. He should pitch well against this Twins team that is scoring 3.6 Runs-Per-Game in their last seven games with a .234 Batting Average, .293 On-Base Percentage, and an OPS of .703. Minnesota has lost 16 of their last 21 home games against left-handed starting pitchers — and they have lost 6 of their last 8 home games against left-handed starters. The Twins have not scored more than three runs in their last three games — and they have lost 11 of their last 14 games after not scoring more than three runs in their last three games. And while Minnesota has not allowed more than four runs in their last three games, they have then lost 9 of their last 12 games after not giving up more than four runs in three straight games. Additionally, the Twins have lost 12 of their last 17 games against teams with a losing record — and they have lost 5 of their last 7 home games against teams with losing records. They counter with Jax who has a 3-3 record with a 6.79 ERA and a 1.41 WHIP. The right-hander has struggled all season but it has been worse as of late. In his six starts since the start of August, Jax has a 7.10 ERA and a 1.77 WHIP.

FINAL TAKE: Kansas City is scoring 5.7 Runs-Per-Game in their last seven games with a .264 Batting Average, .318 On-Base Percentage, and an OPS of 752 (significantly better than their 4.2 scoring average, .244 Batting Average, .299 On-Base Percentage, and .683 OPS for the season). The Royals have won 11 of their last 15 games against starting pitchers with a WHIP of 1.30 or higher. 25* MLB American League Central Underdog of the Year with the money-line on the Kansas City Royals (917) versus the Minnesota Twins (918) listing both starting pitchers Daniel Lynch and Griffin Jax. Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 7:20 PM ET on Tuesday, we will be playing the Atlanta Braves (954) minus the -1.5 Run-Line versus the Washington Nationals (953) listing both starting pitchers Max Fried and Paolo Espino. THE SITUATION: Atlanta (72-64) returns home after a seven-game road trip that ended with a 9-2 win at Colorado on Sunday. Washington (57-80) has won two of their last three games after a 4-3 victory against the New York Mets yesterday.

REASONS TO TAKE THE BRAVES MINUS THE -1.5 RUN-LINE: Atlanta has won 8 of their last 10 games after not allowing more than two runs in their last game. The Braves have also won 5 in a row after an off-day. And while they lost five of their seven games on their road trip, they have then won 22 of their last 32 games after losing four or five of their last six games. Atlanta returns home where they have won 5 of their last 7 games against teams with a winning record. The Braves have also won 21 of their last 27 games when favored — and they have won 14 of their last 17 games against teams with a losing record. They give the ball to Fried who has an 11-7 record with a 3.51 ERA and a 1.18 WHIP in 23 starts. The left-hander started slow this season — but he has been outstanding as of late. In his last seven starts, Fried has a 1.76 ERA and a 0.83 WHIP. Fried has been a bit more effective at home where he owns a 3.11 ERA, 1.12 WHIP, and an opponent’s batting average of .225 in 11 starts as compared to his 3.90 ERA, 1.24 WHIP, and an opponent’s batting average of .259. In ten starts at night, Fried has a 3.36 ERA, 1.06 WHIP, and an opponent’s batting average of .216. The Braves have won 35 of their last 50 games with Fried pitching under the lights. They have also won 20 of their last 26 games in the second half of the season with Fried on the mound. He faces a Nationals team that has lost 9 of their last 12 games against left-handed starting pitchers. Washington has lost 4 straight games after a win. This team has lost 42 of their last 59 games in a lost season where they sold Max Scherzer and Trea Turner at the trade deadline. They go back on the road where they have lost 20 of their last 26 games — and they have lost 6 of their last 7 road games against teams with a winning record. The Nationals have also lost 23 of their last 28 games against NL East rivals. They counter with Espino who has a 4-4 record with a 4.08 ERA and a 1.15 WHIP in 30 appearances which includes 14 starts. The deeper sabermetrics call for regression with both his SIERA and xFIP projecting an ERA of 4.28 and 4.50 moving forward. He has a 3.79 ERA in his 54 2/3 innings at home — but his ERA rises to a 4.60 mark in his 31 1/3 innings on the road. And since August, the right-hander has been saddled with a 6.57 ERA and a 1.42 WHIP in 24 2/3 innings. The Nationals have lost 6 of their last 7 games as an underdog with Espino pitching. Washington has lost four in a row against the Braves after getting swept at home in their last encounter on the weekend ending on August 15th. The Nationals have lost 9 of their last 10 games when playing an opponent that has beaten them at least four times in a row — and they have lost 14 of their last 17 games when attempting to avenge two straight losses to their opponent at home.

FINAL TAKE: Atlanta has covered the -1.5 Run-Line in 14 of their 22 victories when priced at -155 or higher this season— and they have won 13 of these last 16 situations as they started playing better this summer. Washington has failed to cover the +1.5 Run-Line in 20 of their last 26 games when priced as a money-line underdog at +145 or higher — including 7 of these last 8 situations. 25* MLB National League East Run-Line of the Month with the Atlanta Braves (954) minus the -1.5 Run-Line versus the Washington Nationals (953) listing both starting pitchers Max Fried and Paolo Espino. Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 1:10 PM ET on Sunday, we will be playing the Tampa Bay Rays (968) minus the -1.5 Run-Line versus the Minnesota Twins (967) listing both starting pitchers Luis Patino and Griffin Jax. THE SITUATION: Tampa Bay (86-50) has won two straight games after their 11-4 victory at home against the Twins yesterday. Minnesota (58-77) has lost four games in a row.

REASONS TO TAKE THE RAYS MINUS THE -1.5 RUN-LINE: Tampa Bay should keep rolling this afternoon having won 15 of their last 18 — and when they win, they usually do so by more than one run (detailed in the Final Take). The Rays have won 51 of their last 66 games after a win — and they have won 44 of their last 61 games after a victory by more than one run. Tampa Bay has also won 32 of their last 42 games after a win by four or more runs. The Rays have not allowed more than four runs in four straight games — and they have won 27 of their last 39 games after not allowing an opponent to score more than four runs in three straight games. Furthermore, Tampa Bay has won 38 of their last 51 games at home — and they have won 12 of their last 13 home games with the Total set in the 9-9.5 range. They give the ball to Patino who has a 4-3 record with a 4.24 ERA and a 1.26 WHIP in 11 starts and 13 appearances overall. The right-hander has stepped up as of late in his last two starts against top-level teams in the Chicago White Sox and the Boston Red Sox. Patino allowed only three earned runs in those starts — he sported a 2.31 ERA and a 1.02 WHIP in those 11 2/3 innings. Patino has a 2.01 ERA, 0.96 WHIP, and an opponent’s batting average of .195 in 31 1/3 innings. The Rays have won 5 of their last 6 games with the Total set from 8.5-10 with Patino on the hill. He should thrive against this Twins team that is scoring only 2.8 Runs-Per-Game in their last seven games with a .198 Batting Average, .258 On-Base Percentage, and an OPS of .333 over that span. Minnesota has not scored more than four runs in six straight games — and they have then lost 10 of their last 11 games on the road after not scoring more than four runs in at least four games. The Twins have lost 7 of their last 9 games on the road. They counter with Jax who has a 3-3 record with a 6.71 ERA and a 1.40 WHIP this season. He struggles on the road with a 7.07 ERA and a 1.43 WHIP in 28 innings. He was saddled with a 7.00 ERA and 1.44 WHIP in five starts last month. Now he faces this Rays team that is scoring 6.3 Runs-Per-game in their last seven games with a .806 OPS.

FINAL TAKE: Tampa Bay has covered the -1.5 Run-Line in 19 of their 28 victories this season when they were priced at -155 or higher — and after a middling 8-9 start in those situations, they have covered the last 11 times in those circumstances. Minnesota has failed to cover the +1.5 Run-Line in 12 of their 13 losses this season priced at +145 or higher — including not covering in 9 straight. 25* MLB American League Run-Line of the Year with the Tampa Bay Rays (968) minus the -1.5 Run-Line versus the Minnesota Twins (967) listing both starting pitchers Luis Patino and Griffin Jax. Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 7:07 PM ET on Wednesday, we will be playing the Toronto Blue Jays (968) minus the -1.5 Run-Line versus the Baltimore Orioles (967) listing both starting pitchers Steven Matz and Matt Harvey. THE SITUATION: Toronto (69-62) had their three-game winning streak snapped yesterday with their 4-2 loss to the Orioles. Baltimore (41-90) ended a four-game losing streak with the win.

REASONS TO TAKE THE BLUE JAYS MINUS THE -1.5 RUN-LINE: The Orioles have lost 5 of their last 7 games after a victory amidst a historically bad season. Baltimore is getting outscored by -1.8 Runs-Per-Game. They have lost 23 of their last 26 games — and they covered the +1.5 Run-Line just twice in those 23 losses. And while they pulled the upset last night with Toronto priced at a big -300 price, they have then lost 9 of their last 12 games after upsetting an AL East rival when priced at +130 or higher. Furthermore, they have lost 40 of their last 51 games on the road — and they have lost 47 of their last 58 games against teams with a winning record. The Orioles’ bullpen has a 9.53 ERA in their last seven games — they have allowed 18 earned runs in 17 innings. Baltimore has lost 29 of their last 31 games when their bullpen has been saddled with an ERA of 7.00 or worse in their last seven games. They give the ball to Harvey who has a 6-14 record with a 6.18 ERA and a 1.51 WHIP this season. The right-hander had a momentarily spell in July where he found his groove — but it went away as he returned to form in August where he had a 6.12 ERA and 1.40 WHIP in five starts. His teams have lost 17 of their last 25 road games priced at +150 or higher when he is making the start. He faces a Blue Jays team that scores 5.3 Runs-Per-Game at home. Toronto has won 10 of their last 14 home games against right-handed starting pitchers. The Blue Jays have won 4 of their last 5 games after a loss — and they have won 4 of their last 5 games after scoring two runs or less in their last game. Additionally, Toronto has won 13 of their last 19 games at home when favored — and they have won 20 of their last 25 home games when priced in the -175 to -250 range. They counter with Matz who has a 10-7 record with a 3.81 ERA and a 1.32 WHIP this season. The left-hander comes off an outstanding month — he sported a 1.30 ERA, 1.12 WHIP, and an opponent’s batting average of .226. He has not allowed more than two earned runs in seven of his last eight starts. He should thrive against this Orioles team that has lost 26 of their last 35 games against left-handed starting pitchers — and they have lost 4 of their last 5 games against starting pitchers with a WHIP of 1.30 or higher. The Blue Jays have won 5 of their last 6 games against teams with a winning percentage of 40% or less.

FINAL TAKE: Toronto has won 7 of their last 9 games when avenging an upset loss at home where they priced as a -250 or higher money-line favorite. The Blue Jays have covered the -1.5 Run-Line in 22 of their 27 victories when priced at -155 or higher this season. Baltimore has failed to cover the +1.5 Run-Line in 45 of their 56 losses when priced at +145 or higher this season. 25* MLB American League East Run-Line of the Month with the Toronto Blue Jays (968) minus the -1.5 Run-Line versus the Baltimore Orioles (967) listing both starting pitchers Steven Matz and Matt Harvey. Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 10:10 PM ET on Tuesday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Atlanta Braves (911) and the Los Angeles Dodgers (912) listing both starting pitchers Charlie Morton and Walker Buehler. THE SITUATION: Atlanta (70-59) has lost four of their last six games after their 5-3 loss on the road to the Dodgers in Game One of this series last night. Los Angeles (82-49) has won two of their last three games and five of their last seven contests.

REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: The Dodgers bashed four home runs last night against the Braves — but they have then played 5 of their last 7 games Under the Total after a game where they hit four or more home runs. The Under is also 19-4-3 in Los Angeles’ last 26 games after a win — and the Under is 12-3-5 in their last 20 games after scoring at least five runs in their last game. Additionally, the Under is 24-8-4 in the Dodgers’ last 36 games at home — and the Under is 11-4-2 in their last 17 home games against teams with a winning record. And in their last 23 games with the Total set in the 7-8.5 range, the Under is 16-5-2. Buehler gets the start tonight after he pitched 6 2/3 scoreless innings in his last outing at San Diego last Wednesday. Los Angeles has played 16 of their last 21 games Under the Total with Buehler pitching on five or six days rest. The right-hander has a sparkling 13-2 record this season with a 2.02 ERA and a 0.92 WHIP in 26 starts. Since the All-Star break, Buehler has a 1.32 ERA and a 0.91 WHIP in eight starts spanning 54 2/3 innings — and he has struck out 64 batters over that span. In 22 starts under the lights at night, Buehler has a WHIP of 0.88 while holding opposing batters to a .180 batting average. The Dodgers have played 16 of their last 21 home games Under the Total with Buehler pitching as a money-line favorite priced from -150 to -200. He faces a Braves team that is scoring only 3.7 Runs-Per-Game in their last seven games with a .290 On-Base Percentage and an OPS of .702 over that span. The Under is 3-1-2 in Atlanta’s last 6 games against teams using a starting pitcher with a WHIP of 1.15 or lower — and the Under is 3-1-1 in their last 5 games against right-handed starting pitchers. The Braves have played 15 of their last 21 road games Under the Total after losing two of their last three games — and they have played 4 straight road games Under the Total. The Under is also 11-4-2 in Atlanta’s last 17 games as a money-line underdog. They counter with Morton who is 12-5 this season with a 3.60 ERA and a 1.10 WHIP in 26 starts. The right-hander will look to bounce-back from his last appearance last Tuesday when he allowed four runs in five innings against the Yankees. He gave up two home runs in that game — and that was the first time he surrendered multiple home runs in a game since June of 2019. Morton has been more effective on the road where he owns a 3.08 ERA, 1.06 WHIP, and an opponent’s batting average of .191. He has a 3.34 ERA and 1.06 WHIP at night. And in his last five starts, he boasts a 3.10 ERA and a 0.86 WHIP. He should continue to pitch well against a Dodgers team that is scoring only 3.7 Runs-Per-Game in their last seven games with a .195 Batting Average, .262 On-Base Percentage, and an OPS of .623. Los Angeles has played 4 straight games Under the Total against right-handed starting pitchers.

FINAL TAKE: The Under is 17-6-3 in the Dodgers’ last 26 games as a favorite — and they have played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total when hosting the Braves in Dodger Stadium. 25* MLB Total of the Month with Under the Total in the game between the Atlanta Braves (911) and the Los Angeles Dodgers (912) listing both starting pitchers Charlie Morton and Walker Buehler. Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 6:40 PM ET on Monday, we will be playing the Cincinnati Reds (952) minus the -1.5 Run-Line versus the St. Louis Cardinals (951) listing both starting pitchers Luis Castillo and Jon Lester. THE SITUATION: Cincinnati (71-61) has lost two in a row after their 2-1 loss at Miami yesterday. St. Louis (66-63) has lost seven of their last twelve games after a 4-3 loss at Pittsburgh on Sunday.

REASONS TO TAKE THE REDS MINUS THE -1.5 RUN-LINE:  Cincinnati managed only four hits yesterday in their loss to the Marlins — but they have then won 8 of their last 11 games after not scratching out more than four hits in their last game. The Reds have won 28 of their last 41 games after losing two of their last three games — and they have won 4 of their last 5 opening games to a new series. After playing their last four games on the road, Cincinnati returns home where they have won 4 straight games. The Reds have also won 24 of their last 31 home games when favored — and they have won 10 of their last 11 home games when favored in the -175 to -250 price range. They give the ball to Castillo who has a 7-13 record with a 4.29 ERA and a 1.38 WHIP in 27 starts. After a disastrous start to the season, the right-hander has found his groove — in his 16 starts since the beginning of June, Castillo has a 2.74 ERA and a 1.18 WHIP. Castillo has been more effective at home at the Great American Ballpark where he has a 3.50 ERA in 13 starts — and he sports a 1.04 ERA with a 1.23 WHIP in his last four starts at home. Cincinnati has won 9 of their 12 home games with Castillo pitching as a favorite priced in the -175 to -250 price range. He should pitch well against this Cardinals team that has lost 4 straight games against right-handed starting pitchers — and they have lost 4 in a row against starting pitchers with a WHIP of 1.30 or higher. St. Louis has lost 4 straight opening games to a new series. They continue their road trip having lost 13 of their last 19 road games against teams with a winning record — and they have lost 19 of their last 28 road games as an underdog. They give the ball to Lester who has a 4-6 record with a 5.27 ERA and a 1.65 WHIP in 21 starts. In his five starts in a Cardinals uniform since being traded by Washington, the left-hander has a 6.04 ERA, 1.82 WHIP, and an opponent’s batting average of .343. He has been hit very hard on the road this season with a 6.15 ERA, 1.93 WHIP, and .329 opponent’s batting average in eight starts. His teams have lost 7 of their last 9 road games with him pitching as a money-line underdog priced in the +150 to +200 range. He faces a Reds that scores 5.5 Runs-Per-Game at home — and they have won 4 straight home games against left-handed starting pitchers. The Cardinals upset the Reds in their last meeting on July 25th by a 10-6 score in Cincinnati — but Cincy has won 16 of their last 22 games when avenging a loss where they allowed at least 10 runs. The Reds have still won 6 of their last 7 meetings between these two teams — and they have won 4 of their last 5 games when playing at the Great American Ballpark.

FINAL TAKE: Cincinnati has covered the -1.5 Run-Line in 13 of their 18 victories this season when priced at -155 or higher — and St. Louis has failed to cover the +1.5 Run-Line in 10 of their 14 losses this season when priced at +145 or higher. 25* MLB National League Central Run-Line of the Month with the Cincinnati Reds (952) minus the -1.5 Run-Line versus the St. Louis Cardinals (951) listing both starting pitchers Luis Castillo and Jon Lester. Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 1:05 PM ET on Sunday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Tampa Bay Rays (913) and the Baltimore Orioles (914) listing both starting pitchers Chris Archer and Spenser Watkins. THE SITUATION: Tampa Bay (81-48) has won six in a row and ten of their last eleven after their 4-3 victory against the Orioles yesterday. Baltimore (40-68) has split out their last four games after enduring a nineteen-game losing streak.

REASONS TO TAKE OVER THE TOTAL: The Over is 15-5-1 in the Rays’ last 21 games after a win — and they have played 21 of their last 31 games Over the Total after a victory by two runs or less. Tampa Bay has not allowed more than four runs in six straight games — but they have then played 4 of their last 5 games Over the Total after not allowing more than four runs in six games in a row. Additionally, the Rays have played 20 of their last 29 road games Over the Total as a road favorite priced at -110 or higher — and the Over is 8-2-1 in their last 11 games against teams with a winning percentage of 40% or less. They give the ball to Archer who has an 0-1 record with a 4.26 ERA and a 1.58 WHIP this season after recently returning from the 60-day disabled list from a hip injury. Archer did not pitch last season as he recovered from shoulder surgery — but his 6.55 ERA, 1.44 WHIP, and an opponent’s batting average of .258 in 11 road starts is cause for concern. The right-hander may be able to reinvent his once-bright career — but he probably needs a full offseason to work out the kinks. He has pitched only one time on the road this year where he surrendered four hits and three runs in two innings of work. His teams have played 35 of their last 52 road games Over the Total in the second half of the season. He faces an Orioles team that is scoring 6.0 Runs-Per-Game in their last seven games with a .285 Batting Average, .341 On-Base Percentage, and an OPS of .869. The Over is 19-7-1 in Baltimore’s last 27 home games against right-handed starting pitchers. Baltimore had a 3-0 lead going into the top of the seventh inning yesterday before their bullpen surrendered two runs apiece in the next two innings. They have played 12 of their last 15 games Over the Total after blowing a save in their last game. The Over is 29-14-1 in their last 44 games at home — and the Over is 23-10-1 in the Orioles’ last 34 home games with the Total set from 9-10.5. The Over is also 8-2-1 in their last 11 games against teams with a winning percentage of 60% or higher. They counter with Spenser Watkins who has a 2-6 record with a 7.07 ERA and a 1.64 WHIP in 10 games (nine starts) this season. The right-hander has been crushed as of late — he has been saddled with a 10.67 ERA and a 1.95 WHIP in his last six starts while allowing at least four earned runs in each of those appearances. Watkins has been less effective at home at Camden Yards where he has a 7.59 ERA, 1.78 WHIP, and an opponent’s batting average of .337. Baltimore has played 5 straight Overs this season when Watkins is pitching at home as a money-line underdog. He faces a Rays team that is scoring 6.0 Runs-Per-Game in their last seven games. The Over is 27-10-2 in Tampa Bay’s last 39 games on the road against right-handed starting pitchers — and the Over is 3-1-1 in their last 5 games against starting pitchers with a WHIP of 1.30 or higher.

FINAL TAKE: The Rays have won the last eleven meetings between these two teams — Baltimore has played 37 of their last 55 games Over the Total when having lost at least five in a row to their opponents. The Over is 8-2-1 in those last 11 encounters between these two teams — and they have played 6 of their last 8 games Over the Total when playing in Baltimore. 25* MLB American League East Total of the Month with Over the Total in the game between the Tampa Bay Rays (913) and the Baltimore Orioles (914) listing both starting pitchers Chris Archer and Spenser Watkins. Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 9:40 PM ET on Friday, we will be playing the money-line on the New York Yankees (921) versus the Oakland A’s (922) listing both starting pitchers Gerrit Cole and Sean Manaea. THE SITUATION: New York (75-52) won their twelfth straight game after their 7-6 win on the road against the Athletics in the opening game of this series last night. Oakland (70-58) has lost five in a row and nine of their last eleven games.

REASONS TO TAKE THE YANKEES WITH THE MONEY-LINE: New York is as hot as any team in MLB right now — and they have won 13 of their last 16 games after scoring at least five runs in their last game. They have also won 4 straight games after allowing at least five runs in their last game. Additionally, the Yankees have won 43 of their last 63 games after a win. Furthermore, New York has won 5 straight games on the road against teams with a winning record — and they have won 7 of their last 8 road games when favored. And in their last 32 games against teams with a winning record, the Yankees have won 23 of these games. They give the ball to Cole who has a 12-6 record with a 2.92 ERA and a 0.97 WHIP this season. Since returning from COVID quarantine, the right-hander has allowed only one run in 11 2/3 innings in two starts for a 0.77 ERA and a 0.60 WHIP with 15 strikeouts. Cole also dominates when he is pitching at night — he has a 1.87 ERA with a 0.81 WHIP and an opponent’s batting average of .179 when pitching under the lights. His teams have won 39 of their last 53 games when he is pitching at night. Oakland has lost 4 straight games against starting pitchers with a WHIP of 1.15 or lower — and they are scoring only 3.6 Runs-Per-Game in their last seven games with a .212 Batting Average, .275 On-Base Percentage, and an OPS of .643. The A’s have lost 6 straight games after allowing at least five runs in their last game. They have lost 5 games in a row at home — and they have lost 6 of their last 7 home games as a money-line underdog. They counter with Manaea who is also slumping as of late. The lefty has an 8-8 record this season with a 3.77 ERA and a 1.24 WHIP in 25 starts — but in his last four starts, he has a 9.76 ERA and 1.98 WHIP. Workload could be an issue — his 138 1/3 innings this season overwhelm the 90 innings he has pitched in the previous two seasons combined. Manaea also has a 1.30 WHIP and an opponent’s batting average of .274 in his 13 home starts as opposed to his 1.16 WHIP and .222 opponent’s batting average on the road. Oakland has lost 5 of their last 7 home games when a money-line underdog priced at +125 or higher.

FINAL TAKE: The Yankees are scoring 6.6 Runs-Per-Game in their last seven games during this hot streak with an OPS of .802 over that span. They have also won 7 of their last 9 games against left-handed starting pitchers. I am agnostic about New York’s winning streak (except that I think momentum exists since it is positive energy) — this is enticing given the pitching matchup between two starters moving in the opposite direction. 25* MLB Game of the Month with the money-line on the New York Yankees (921) versus the Oakland A’s (922) listing both starting pitchers Gerrit Cole and Sean Manaea. Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 7:10 PM ET on Thursday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Texas Rangers (967) and the Cleveland Indians (968) listing both starting pitchers Jordan Lyles and Sam Hentges. THE SITUATION: Texas (44-82) has lost six of their last eight games after their 7-2 loss on the road against the Indians in the opening game of this series last night. Cleveland (62-62) has won four of their last five games.

REASONS TO TAKE OVER THE TOTAL: The Rangers have played 8 of their last 11 games Over the Total after a loss — and they have played 6 of their last 7 games Over the Total after allowing at least five runs in their last game. Texas has also played 17 of their last 25 games Over the Total after losing four or five of their last six games. Additionally, the Over is 3-0-1 in the Rangers’ last 4 games on the road — and the Over is 3-0-1 in their last 4 road games with the Total set in the 9-10.5 range. Texas has also played 18 of their last 26 road games Over the Total when a money-line underdog priced in the +125 to +175 range. They give the ball to Lyles who has a 6-10 record with a 5.33 ERA and a 1.46 WHIP. The right-hander comes off one of his best outings of the season where he allowed just one run in seven innings of work at Boston last Saturday. His teams have played 16 of their last 21 games Over the Total when he is following up a start where he allowed no more than one earned run. Lyles had been saddled with a 9.00 ERA and a 2.00 WHIP in his previous three starts. His ERA rises to a 5.40 mark in his 71 2/3 innings on the road — and the Rangers have played 4 of their last 5 road games Over the Total with Lyles pitching with the Total set in the 9-10.5 range. His teams have also played 23 of their last 32 games Over the Total when he is making a start in August. He faces a Tribe team that is scoring 5.3 Runs-Per-Game with a .289 Batting Average, .341 On-Base Percentage, and an OPS of .845. Cleveland has played 4 of their last 5 home games Over the Total against right-handed starting pitchers. They clubbed four home runs last night — and they have played 5 of their last 6 games Over the Total after hitting at least four homers in their last game. They have also played 29 of their last 48 games Over the Total after winning at least two of their last three games. They counter with Hentges who is 1-4 with a 7.52 ERA and a 1.96 WHIP this season. The lefty pitched four innings in his last start which is rare — he does not usually pitch more than one time through the order when he is used as a starting pitcher. He has a rough 8.75 ERA with a 2.07 WHIP in 23 2/3 innings at night. His teams have played his last 4 starts at night Over the Total. His teams have also played 5 of their last 6 games Over the Total when he is the starting pitcher in games with the Total set from 8.5 to 10.

FINAL TAKE: The Rangers have struggled at the plate most of the season — but they are hitting better as of late. They are scoring 4.6 Runs-Per-Game in their last seven games with a .287 Batting Average, .325 On-Base Percentage, and an OPS of .744 during that span. 25* MLB American League Total of the Month with Over the Total in the game between the Texas Rangers (967) and the Cleveland Indians (968) listing both starting pitchers Jordan Lyles and Sam Hentges. Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 10:10 PM ET on Wednesday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Los Angeles Dodgers (911) and the San Diego Padres (912) listing both starting pitchers Walker Buehler and Blake Snell. THE SITUATION: Los Angeles (79-47) has won 10 of their last 11 games after winning the opening game of this series last night by a 5-2 score. San Diego (68-59) has lost six of their last seven games.

REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: The Dodgers have played 4 straight games Under the Total after not allowing more than two runs in their last game — and the Under is 5-0-1 in their last 6 games after scoring at least five runs in their last game. The Under is also 5-2-1 in Los Angeles’ last 8 road games against teams with a winning record. The Under is 13-5-2 in their last 20 games with the Total set in the 7-8.5 range. They give the ball to Buehler who has a 13-2 record with a 2.11 ERA and a 0.93 WHIP in 25 starts this season. The right-hander has been even more effective on the road where he owns a 2.07 ERA, 0.86 WHIP, and an opponent’s batting average of .183 in ten starts. He has been extremely tough to hit since the beginning of June. In his last 15 starts consisting of 98 innings, he has a 1.74 ERA and a 0.95 WHIP. The Dodgers have played 8 of their last 13 games in August with Buehler making the start. Buehler should have success against this slumping Padres team that is scoring only 3.7 Runs-Per-Game in their last seven games with a .196 Batting Average with a .272 On-Base Percentage and an OPS of .628. San Diego has played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total against starting pitchers with a WHIP of 1.15 or lower — and they have played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total against right-handed starting pitchers. The Padres have played 5 straight Unders following a loss — and they have played 4 straight Unders after giving up five or more runs in their last game. Furthermore, San Diego has played 4 of their last 5 home games Under the Total — and they have played 5 of their last 7 home games Under the Total with the Total set in the 7-8.5 range. The Under is also 7-2-1 in their last 10 games as an underdog. They counter with Snell who is 6-5 with a 4.82 ERA and a 1.52 WHIP in 23 starts. The left-hander’s inconsistency seems to coincide with his home/road splits. Snell is saddled with a 7.01 ERA, 1.96 WHIP, and an opponent’s batting average of .301 in his 13 starts on the road — but he enjoys a 2.68 ERA, 1.10 WHIP, and an opponent’s batting average of .175 in his 10 home starts at Petco Park. Snell has found a groove this month — he has a 2.45 ERA and a 1.18 WHIP in four starts this month with 34 strikeouts in his 22 innings. Despite last night’s victory, Los Angeles is scoring only 4.4 Runs-Per-Game in their last seven games with a .221 Batting Average, .291 On-Base Percentage, and an OPS of .690.

FINAL TAKE: The Dodgers are scoring only 4.0 Runs-Per-Game in their last seven games with a .218 Batting Average. Los Angeles has played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total against left-handed starting pitchers. 25* MLB Wednesday ESPN Total of the Year with Under the Total in the game between the Los Angeles Dodgers (911) and the San Diego Padres (912) listing both starting pitchers Walker Buehler and Blake Snell. Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 10:10 PM ET on Tuesday, we will be playing the money-line on the Los Angeles Dodgers (961) versus the San Diego Padres (962) listing both starting pitchers Julio Urias and Pierce Johnson. THE SITUATION: Los Angeles (78-47) had their nine-game winning streak snapped on Sunday in a 7-2 loss to the New York Mets. San Diego (68-58) has lost five of their last six after a 7-4 loss to the Phillies on Sunday.

REASONS TO TAKE THE DODGERS WITH THE MONEY-LINE: The Padres are a bit of a hot mess right now. After the bullpen surrendered seven runs on Sunday, manager Jayce Tingler fired pitching coach Larry Rothschild to once again fulfill the old adage regarding the inability of managers to be able to fire all the players. Bullpen coach Ben Fritz takes over as the pitching coach with the hopes that the shakeup and new voice will fix a struggling pitching staff. San Diego has lost 10 of their last 12 games after their bullpen allows at least six runs in their last game. The problem is not just the bullpen either as the starting pitchers are not going deep into games. The Padres’ bullpen has pitched at least four innings in eight straight games — and San Diego has lost 13 of their last 21 games when their bullpen has pitched at least four innings in at least three straight games. Furthermore, the Padres have lost 6 of their last 8 games after a loss — and they have lost 6 of their last 7 games after allowing at least five runs in their last game. Additionally, San Diego has lost 21 of their last 29 home games as an underdog. Injuries have played a role with this struggling pitching staff that got Rothschild fired. Because You Darvish is on the shelf, Tingley is relying on a bullpen game tonight with Pierce Johnson serving as the opener. The right-hander has a 3-2 record with a 2.49 ERA and a 1.18 WHIP in 43 1/3 innings. The sabermetrics call for regression with both his SIERA and xFIP of 3.23 and 3.49 moving forward. This will be his first start of the season — and beginning a game has a different dynamic to it than coming on in relief. He along with the struggling an overworked Padres’ bullpen that has a 5.02 ERA in their last seven games faces a Dodgers team that scores 5.4 Runs-Per-Game on the road. Los Angeles has a sparkling 15-4 record this month after the shot in the arm at the trading deadline where they brought in Trea Turner, Max Scherzer, and Danny Duffy. The Dodgers have won 4 straight games when rebounding from a loss — and they have won 42 of their last 59 games after an off-day. Los Angeles has also won 28 of their last 38 games after winning three of their last four games. They go back on the road where they have won 7 of their last 8 games — and they have won 7 of their last 8 games against teams with a winning record. They give the ball to Urias who is coming off the injured list after dealing with a left calf issue. He has a 13-3 record for the season with a 3.29 ERA and a 1.07 WHIP in 24 starts. In his last nine starts since late June, Urias has stepped up with a 2.09 ERA and a 1.06 WHIP with 54 strikeouts in 51 2/3 innings. The left-hander has been more effective on the road where he owns a 2.88 ERA. 0.97 WHIP, and an opponent’s batting average of .212 in 14 starts. The Dodgers have won 11 of their last 13 road games with Urias pitching as a road favorite priced at -110 or higher. He faces a San Diego lineup that is also slumping — they are saddled with a .226 Batting Average, 0.308 On-Base Percentage, and an OPS of .725 in their last seven games.

FINAL TAKE: The Dodgers have lost four in a row to the Padres with their last meeting being on June 23rd when San Diego when at home in Petco Park by a 5-3 score. Los Angeles has won 5 of their last 6 games when playing a team that has beaten them at least four times in a row — and they have won 6 of their 9 games this season when playing with triple revenge. 25* MLB Tuesday ESPN Game of the Year with the money-line on the Los Angeles Dodgers (961) versus the San Diego Padres (962) listing both starting pitchers Julio Urias and Pierce Johnson. Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 7:10 PM ET on Sunday, we will be playing the money-line on the Cleveland Indians (974) versus the Los Angeles Angels (973) listing both starting pitchers Cal Quantrill and Jose Suarez. THE SITUATION: Cleveland (60-61) has won five of their last eight games with their 5-1 victory against the Angels yesterday. Los Angeles (62-63) has lost the first two games of this series.

REASONS TO TAKE THE INDIANS WITH THE MONEY-LINE: Cleveland has won 23 of their 31 home games this season as a money-line favorite priced at -110 or higher. They give the ball to Quantrill who has a 3-2 record with a 3.24 ERA and a 1.26 WHIP in 33 games and 15 starts this season. The right-hander has found his groove this summer since joining the starting rotation. In his nine starts since the beginning of July, Quantrill has a 2.41 ERA and a 1.11 WHIP. He allowed eight hits and three runs in his last start in five innings at Minnesota on August 16th — and that was the first time in his last six starts where he allowed more than four base hits. He returns home where he sports a 2.81 ERA, 1.14 WHIP, and an opponent’s batting average of .234 this season in 57 2/3 innings. He should pitch well against this slumping Angels team that is hitting just .223 with a .286 On-Base Percentage, and an OPS of .668 in their last seven games. Los Angeles has only scored two runs in this series with no home runs. The Angels have lost 14 of their last 20 games after not scoring more than four runs in two straight games — and they have lost 15 of their last 23 games after not hitting a homer in at least two games in a row. Los Angeles only stranded two runners last night as well — and they have lost 8 of their last 12 games are stranding three runners or less in their last contest. Furthermore, the Angels have lost 5 of their last 7 road games as a money-line underdog. LA counters with Jose Suarez who has a 5-6 record with a 3.88 ERA and a 1.26 WHIP in 16 games and seven starts this season. The sabermetrics call for regression for the left-hander as both his SIERA and xFIP project an ERA of 4.21 and 4.13 moving forward. Suarez has a 4.79 ERA and a 1.60 WHIP in his nine games and five starts under the lights at night — and the Angels have lost 13 of their last 15 games when he is the starting pitcher for a night game. Suarez does come off a nice outing where he allowed only two runs on the road against the Yankees last Monday — but he had been saddled with a 6.75 ERA in his previous four starts. Manager Joe Maddon has an overworked bullpen that will likely need to support him tonight. An LA starting pitcher has not completed four innings in their last three games — and the Angels have lost 9 of their last 14 games when their bullpen has pitched at least four innings in three straight games.

FINAL TAKE: Cleveland won the opening game of this series by a 9-1 score on Friday — and the Angels have lost 18 of their last 26 games when playing with double revenge in two losses where they did not score more than two runs. 25* MLB Sunday ESPN Game of the Month with the money-line on the Cleveland Indians (974) versus the Los Angeles Angels (973) listing both starting pitchers Cal Quantrill and Jose Suarez. Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 8:10 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing the money-line on the Colorado Rockies (910) versus the Arizona Diamondbacks (909) listing both starting pitchers Kyle Freeland and Zac Gallen. THE SITUATION: Colorado (56-66) has won four games in a row after their 9-4 victory against the Diamondbacks in the opening game of this series. Arizona (41-82) had their three-game winning streak snapped with the loss.

REASONS TO TAKE THE ROCKIES WITH THE MONEY-LINE: Colorado has won 10 of their last 12 games at home after a win by four or more runs — and they have won 6 of their last 7 games after scoring at least five runs in their last game. The Rockies are a much better team at home — they come off a three-game sweep at Coors Field against San Diego. They have won 38 of their last 53 games at home — and they have won 22 of their last 30 home games with the Total set at 11 or higher. They have won 14 of their last 18 home games when priced as a money-line favorite from -110 to -150. They have also won 8 of their last 10 games against teams with a losing record. They give the ball to Freeland who has a 4-6 record with a 4.40 ERA and a 1.42 WHIP in 15 starts. The left-hander has been better under the lights where he owns a 3.90 ERA and a 1.30 WHIP in 11 starts. Freeland has been a much better pitcher this summer as he owns a 2.93 ERA and a 1.15 WHIP in eight starts since the beginning of July. In his last five starts at home, Freeland has a 3.00 ERA and 1.04 WHIP. The Rockies have won 5 of their last 7 home games with Freeland the starting pitcher. He should pitch well against this Diamondbacks team that is scoring only 3.7 Runs-Per-Game on the road with a .218 Batting Average, .240 On-Base Percentage, and an OPS of .646. Arizona has lost 37 of their last 54 road games against left-handed starting pitchers. The Diamondbacks have lost 52 of their last 68 games after a loss. Arizona has now lost 41 of their last 52 games on the road — and they have lost 20 of their last 27 road games against teams with a losing record. The Diamondbacks have also lost 25 of their last 30 road games against fellow NL West rivals. Arizona has lost 19 of their last 27 games against teams with a losing record. They counter with Gallen who has a 1-7 record with a 5.03 ERA and a 1.40 WHIP in 15 starts. Over his last seven starts since the start of July, Gallen has a 6.56 ERA and a 1.57 WHIP. The right-hander sees his ERA jump to a 5.50 mark in his seven starts on the road — and the Diamondbacks have lost 5 of their last 7 road games with Gallen on the mound. He will likely struggle against this Rockies team that is scoring 5.6 Runs-Per-Game in their last seven games with a .293 Batting Average, .337 On-Base Percentage, and an OPS of .835. Colorado also scoring 6.0 Runs-Per-Game at home with a .289 Batting Average, .397 On-Base Percentage, and an OPS of .843. The Rockies have won 20 of their last 27 home games against right-handed starting pitchers.

FINAL TAKE: Arizona has lost 6 straight games at Coors Field against the Rockies. 25* MLB National League West Game of the Month with money-line on the Colorado Rockies (910) versus the Arizona Diamondbacks (909) listing both starting pitchers Kyle Freeland and Zac Gallen. Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 7:10 PM ET on Wednesday, we will be playing the Atlanta Braves (957) minus the -1.5 Run-Line versus the Miami Marlins (958) listing both starting pitchers Charlie Morton and Jesus Luzardo. THE SITUATION: Atlanta (64-56) has won eight of their last nine games after a 2-0 win on the road against the Marlins last night. Miami (51-69) has lost the first two games of this series after losing the opener by a 12-2 score.

REASONS TO TAKE THE BRAVES MINUS THE -1.5 RUN-LINE: Atlanta has won 13 of their last 16 games — and they have won 4 straight games after a victory. The Braves have also won 6 straight games after not allowing more than two runs in their last game. This is a team hit hard by injuries earlier in the season — and the season-ending knee injury could have put this team in the tank. Instead, they have kept plugging away — and management gave the group a vote of confidence by being aggressive at the trade deadline to acquire Joc Pederson, Jorge Soler, and Adam Duvall to bolster the lineup and Richard Rodriguez to reinforce the bullpen. Atlanta has won a decisive 60 of their last 98 road games when favored — and they have won 6 in a row on the road against teams with a losing record. They give the ball to Morton who has an 11-4 record with a 3.49 ERA and a 1.11 WHIP in 24 starts this season. In three starts this month, the veteran right-hander has a 2.00 ERA with a 0.89 WHIP and an opponent’s batting average of .197. Morton has been more effective on the road where he has a 3.09 ERA, 1.10 WHIP, and an opponent’s batting average of .196 in 10 starts. His teams have won 13 of their last 14 road games when favored at -125 or higher with him making the start. He should thrive against this Marlins team that scores only 4.0 Runs-Per-Game at home with a .239 Batting Average, .298 On-Base Percentage, and an OPS of .667. Miami has lost 20 of their last 26 games against starting pitchers with a WHIP of 1.30 or higher. The Marlins have lost 5 of their last 6 games after a loss. Additionally, Miami has lost 18 of their last 24 games after not scoring more than one run in their last game — and they have lost 42 of their last 56 games after not scoring more than two runs in their last contest. Furthermore, the Marlins managed only four base hits yesterday — and they have lost 12 of their last 16 games after not getting more than four hits in their last game. Miami has lost 4 of their last 5 games against teams with a winning record — and they have lost 7 of their last 8 games as an underdog. They counter with Luzardo who has a 4-5 record with a 7.52 ERA and a 1.71 WHIP in 52 2/3 innings. The left-hander hander has a 9.20 ERA with a 1.91 WHIP and an opponent’s batting average of .304 in his three starts in a Marlins uniform since they acquired him from Oakland. Luzardo has potential — but his command and proclivity to give up home runs are holding him back at this point. He has also been saddled with an 8.78 ERA, 1.80 WHIP, and an opponent’s batting average of .321 in 26 2/3 innings. He faces a Braves team that is scoring 6.7 Runs-Per-Game in their last seven games with a .840 slugging percentage. Atlanta also tears up left-handed pitching as they score 6.2 Runs-Per-Game against left-handed starting pitchers with a .265 Batting Average, .355 On-Base Percentage, and an OPS of .812. The Braves have won 7 straight games against left-handed starting pitchers — and they have won 6 straight games against starting pitchers with a WHIP of 1.30 or higher.

FINAL TAKE: Miami has lost 20 of their last 29 games when avenging two straight losses to their opponent where they did not score more than two runs. Atlanta has covered the -1.5 Run-Line in 9 of their last 11 victories when priced as a money-line favorite at -155 or higher. The Marlins have failed to cover the +1.5 Run-Line in 18 of their last 21 losses when priced as a money-line underdog at +145 or higher. 25* MLB National League East Run-Line of the Year with the Atlanta Braves (957) minus the -1.5 Run-Line versus the Miami Marlins (958) listing both starting pitchers Charlie Morton and Jesus Luzardo. Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 8:40 PM ET on Monday, we will be playing the Colorado Rockies (956) plus the +1.5 Run-Line versus the San Diego Padres (955) listing both starting pitchers Antonio Senzatela and Ryan Weathers. THE SITUATION: Colorado (52-66) has lost five of their last six games after their 5-2 loss at San Francisco yesterday. San Diego (67-53) snapped a four-game losing streak with their 8-2 win at Arizona yesterday.

REASONS TO TAKE THE ROCKIES PLUS THE +1.5 RUN-LINE: Colorado did upset the Giants on Saturday — and they have won 14 of their last 18 games at home after losing two of their last three games. They have also won 12 of their last 17 games after not allowing more than two runs in their last game. And while the Rockies have not scored more than four runs in their last six games, they have then won 8 of their last 10 games at home after not scoring more than four runs in their last game. Now Colorado returns home where they have been much better this season — the last time they played at Coors Field, they scored 13 runs back on August 8th. The Rockies have won 35 of their last 51 games at home — and they have won 4 of their last 5 home games with the Total set at 11 or higher. They give the ball to Senzatela who has a 2-9 record with a 1.43 WHIP in 19 starts. The right-hander has produced a Quality Start in three of his last four efforts — so he should at least keep the Rockies in the game. He has been more effective at home where he owns a 4.04 ERA, 1.25 WHIP, and an opponent’s batting average of .274 in 11 starts as compared to his 5.80 ERA, 1.71 WHIP, and .335 opponent’s batting average on the road. In his last six starts at home, Senzatela has a 3.14 ERA and a 1.15 WHIP. The Rockies have won 10 of their last 12 home games in the second half of the season with Senzatela on the mound — and they have won 13 of their last 20 home games with Senzatela pitching as an underdog. He should pitch well against this Padres team that is scoring only 3.9 Runs-Per-Game with a .243 Batting Average, .310 On-Base Percentage, and an OPS of .709 in their last seven games. San Diego has lost 5 of their last 7 games against right-handed starting pitchers. The Padres did not commit an error over the weekend in their series with Arizona — but they have lost 12 of their last 18 road games after not committing an error in at least two straight games. Additionally, San Diego has lost 39 of their last 58 road games with the Total set at 11 or higher — and they have lost 5 of their last 6 road games when favored. They counter with Weathers who is 4-5 with a 4.72 ERA and a 1.33 WHIP in 21 games this season which includes 15 starts. The left-hander has struggled as of late with a 10.80 ERA and a 2.31 WHIP in his last three starts. He also has a 5.01 ERA and a 1.40 WHIP in his 15 games and 11 starts under the lights at night. San Diego has lost 6 of their last 7 games in the second half of the season with Weathers making the start. He faces a Rockies team that scored 5.9 Runs-Per-Game at home with a .286 Batting Average, .344 On-Base Percentage, and an OPS of .832.

FINAL TAKE: Colorado has won 7 of their last 10 games against San Diego — and they have won 4 straight games at Coors Field against the Padres. While the money-line is an option, I prefer taking the added insurance of the +1.5 Run-Line with it priced below my -150 price threshold. 25* MLB National League West Run-Line Underdog of the Year with the Colorado Rockies (956) plus the +1.5 Run-Line versus the San Diego Padres (955) listing both starting pitchers Antonio Senzatela and Ryan Weathers. Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 4:10 PM ET on Wednesday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Miami Marlins (901) and the San Diego Padres (902) listing both starting pitchers Sandy Alcantara and Ryan Weathers. THE SITUATION: Miami (47-67) has lost five games in a row with their 6-5 loss on the road to the Padres yesterday. San Diego (66-49) has won four straight games as well as six of their last eight.

REASONS TO TAKE OVER THE TOTAL: The Marlins have played 4 straight games Over the Total after a loss — and they have played 8 of their last 12 games Over the Total after losing at least four games in a row. Miami has also played 5 of their last 6 games Over the Total after scoring at least five runs in their last game — and they have played 4 straight Overs after allowing at least five runs in their last contest. Additionally, the Marlins have played 6 straight Overs on the road. They have also played 19 of their last 28 games Over the Total as a money-line underdog. They give the ball to Alcantara who comes off his worst outing of the season where he was pummeled for seven earned runs in 3 2/3 innings of work at Colorado on August 6th. For the season, the right-hander has a 6-10 record with a 3.70 ERA and a 1.17 WHIP in 23 starts. While I would typically expect a bounce-back performance after such a disappointing showing, my optimism is tempered by the deeper sabermetrics. Alcantara’s SIERA and xFIP both call for some regression at 4.09 and 3.89. Alcantara has done his best pitching at home where he owns a 2.58 ERA, 0.95 WHIP, and an opponent’s batting average of .195 — but those numbers rise to a 4.86 ERA, 1.41 WHIP, and .267 opponent’s batten average in his 12 starts on the road. Miami has played 5 straight Overs with Alcantara facing a team from the NL West. He faces a hot-hitting Padres team even without an injured Fernando Tatis as they are scoring 5.6 Runs-Per-Game in their last seven contests with a .293 Batting Average, .355 On-Base Percentage, and an OPS of .785. San Diego has played 6 of their last 7 games Over the Total against right-handed starting pitchers. The Padres have played 6 of their last 7 games Over the Total after a win — and they have played 9 of their last 12 games Over the Total after winning at least four in a row. San Diego has played 20 of their last 28 home games Over the Total — and they have played 14 of their last 19 home games Over the Total with the number set in the 7-8.5. range. They counter with Weathers who is 4-4 this season with a 4.26 ERA and a 1.31 WHIP in 69 2/3 innings. The sabermetrics call for regression with both his SIERA and xFIP projecting an ERA of 4.94 and 4.88 moving forward. The left-hander has struggled at home where he has a 5.92 ERA, 1.47 WHIP, and an opponent’s batting average of .304. in 38 innings. His teams have played 7 of their last 8 home games Over the Total with Weathers making the start. He faces a Marlins team that has played 4 straight road games Over the Total against left-handed starting pitchers.

FINAL TAKE: Miami has played 8 of their last 10 games Over the Total in August — and San Diego has played 6 of their last 7 games Over the Total in August. Lastly, the Over is 10-1-2 in the last 13 meetings between these two teams when playing in San Diego. 25* MLB Getaway Game Total of the Month with Over the Total in the game between the Miami Marlins (901) and the San Diego Padres (902) listing both starting pitchers Sandy Alcantara and Ryan Weathers. Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 9:45 PM ET on Tuesday, we will be playing the San Francisco Giants (962) minus the -1.5 Run-Line versus the Arizona Diamondbacks (961) listing both starting pitchers Alex Wood and Zac Gallen. THE SITUATION: San Francisco (71-41) has won two straight games as well as seven of their last nine with their 5-4 win at Milwaukee on Sunday. Arizona (35-78) has lost two in a row and seven of their last nine contests after a 2-0 loss at San Diego on Sunday.

REASONS TO TAKE THE GIANTS MINUS THE -1.5 RUN-LINE: The Diamondbacks are a hot mess. They have lost 43 of their last 52 games after not scoring more than two runs in their last game — and they have lost 21 of their last 22 games after not scoring more than one run in their last game. Additionally, Arizona has lost 17 of their last 20 games after losing two in a row to a National League West rival. They managed only three hits on Sunday after scratching out just five hits in their loss on Saturday — and they have then lost 10 games in a row after not generating more than five hits in two straight games. They have also lost 6 of their last 8 games after not allowing more than two runs in their last game. And in their last 10 games after an off day, the Diamondbacks have lost 8 of these games. They stay on the road where they have lost 44 of their last 55 games with the Total set from 7 to 8.5. They have also lost 10 of their last 11 games at San Francisco against the Giants. They give the ball to Gallen who has a 1-6 record with a 4.62 ERA and a 1.35 WHIP in 13 starts this season. The right-hander sees his ERA and WHIP rise to 5.10 and 1.40 marks in his six starts on the road. He has a 6.89 ERA and a 1.40 WHIP in his last three starts — and he comes off a season-high 109 pitches in his last outing at home against the Giants last Wednesday. Arizona has lost 8 of their last 9 games with Gallen pitching with the Total set in the 7-8.5 range — and they have lost 5 in a row with Gallen pitching with the Total set at 8 or 8.5. He will likely struggle against this Giants team that is scoring 5.6 Runs-Per-Game in their last seven games. They have won 39 of their last 55 games against right-handed starting pitchers — and they have won 22 of their last 32 games against starting pitchers with a WHIP of 1.30 or higher. San Francisco has won 5 of their last 7 games after scoring at least five runs in their last game — and they have won 14 of their last 17 games after an off day. The Giants return home where they have won 39 of their last 54 home games when favored. They counter with Wood who has a 9-3 record with a 4.03 ERA and a 1.24 WHIP in 19 starts. The left-hander has had two subpar outings in a row but the deeper sabermetrics are still bullish with his SIERA and xFIP projecting an ERA of 3.77 and 3.68 respectively. Wood has been more effective at home where he owns a 3.82 ERA, 1.14 WHIP and an opponent’s batting average of .210 in 11 starts as compared to his 4.35 ERA, 1.38 WHIP, and .277 opponent’s batting average in eight starts. San Francisco has won 12 of their last 15 games when priced as a money line favorite at -110 or higher with Wood on the mound — and they have won 8 of their last 10 games at home with him pitching as a -110 or higher favorite. He should pitch well against this slumping Diamondbacks team that is scoring only 3.7 Runs-Per-Game with a .219 Batting Average, .286 On-Base Percentage, and an OPS of .590.

FINAL TAKE: Arizona has failed to cover the +1.5 Run-Line in 34 of their last 44 losses when priced as a +145 or higher money-lien underdog this season. San Francisco has covered the -1.5 Run-Line in 13 of their 18 victories this season when priced as a money-line favorite at -155 or higher. With the Giants priced well above my -150 price threshold, let's lower the investment price by taking the -1.5 Run-Line. 25* MLB National League West Run-Line of the Year with the San Francisco Giants (962) minus the -1.5 Run-Line versus the Arizona Diamondbacks (961) listing both starting pitchers Alex Wood and Zac Gallen. Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 10:10 PM ET on Monday, we will be playing the San Diego Padres (904) minus the -1.5 Run-Line versus the Miami Marlins (903) listing both starting pitchers Joe Musgrove and Zach Thompson. THE SITUATION: San Diego (64-49) has won four of their last six games after their 2-0 win against Arizona yesterday. Miami (47-65) has lost three straight games — and nine of their last twelve — after a 13-8 loss at Colorado yesterday.

REASONS TO TAKE THE PADRES MINUS THE -1.5 RUN-LINE: San Diego has won 6 of their last 9 games after shutting out a divisional rival in their last game. They have won 8 of their last 11 games after playing a low-scoring game where no more than two combined runs were scored. The Padres have won 30 of their last 43 games at home in Petco Park. They turn to Musgrove tonight who has a 7-7 record along with a 2.87 ERA and a 0.97 WHIP in 21 starts (22 games). Musgrove is enjoying a big year due to his increased use of his cutter and slider which account for over half his pitches. He deployed those two pitches just 30.6% of the time last year. The lefty did hit a rough patch in July, but he appears to have righted the ship. In his last three starts, Musgrove has only allowed three earned runs — he has a 1.42 ERA and a 0.84 WHIP with 20 strikeouts in those 19 innings. Musgrove sees his ERA lower to 2.52 mark in his 11 starts at home in Petco — and the Padres have won 6 of their 8 home games with Musgrove pitching with the Total set at 7 to 8.5. He should have success tonight against this Marlins team that scores only 3.9 Runs-Per-Game on the road with a .230 batting average, .291 On-Base Percentage, and an OPS of .674. Miami is 24th in MLB in weighted On-Base Percentage on the road against left-handed pitching. The Marlins have lost 5 of their last 7 road games against left-handed starting pitchers — and they have lost 17 of their last 22 games against starting pitchers with a WHIP of 1.15 or lower. Miami has lost 5 of their last 7 games after a loss — and they have lost 6 of their last 8 games after scoring at least five runs in their last game. They have also lost 8 of their last 12 games after a game where at least 15 combined runs were scored. The Marlins stay on the road where they have lost 37 of their last 53 games — and they have lost 19 of their last 26 road games as a money-line underdog. They counter with Thompson who is 2-4 with a 2.53 ERA and a 1.10 WHIP in nine starts. The sabermetrics are not encouraging with both his SIERA and xFIP projecting an ERA of 4.22 and 4.17 moving forward. It has been a surprising season for the 27-year-old journeyman who was drafted in the fifth round in 2014. He is wildly overperforming his career 4.11 ERA and 1.39 WHIP in the minor leagues. The regression may already be coming with his velocity down 1.5 miles-per-hour in his last start. In his last three starts, he has a 3.68 ERA and 1.30 WHIP. Miami has lost 7 of their 8 games this season with Thompson pitching as a money-line underdog. He faces a Padres team that is scoring 5.1 Runs-Per-Game in their last seven contests with a .276 batting average, .340 On-Base Percentage, and an OPS of .766. San Diego has won 19 of their last 28 games against right-handed starting pitchers — and they have won 6 of their last 7 games against starting pitchers with a WHIP of 1.15 or lower. The Padres will be motivated tonight with the memory of losing their last two games to the Marlins in Miami on July 24th and 25th. San Diego has won 4 straight games when playing with double revenge.

FINAL TAKE: The Padres have covered the -1.5 Run-Line in 26 of their 32 victories this season when priced as a money-line favorite at -155 or higher. Miami has failed to cover the +1.5 Run-Line in 15 of their 20 losses this season when priced as a +145 or higher money-line underdog. 25* MLB National League Run-Line of the Year with the  San Diego Padres (904) minus the -1.5 Run-Line versus the Miami Marlins (903) listing both starting pitchers Joe Musgrove and Zach Thompson. Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 7:09 PM ET on Sunday, we will be playing the Chicago White Sox (979) minus the -1.5 Run-Line versus the Chicago Cubs (980) listing both starting pitchers Dylan Cease and Zach Davies. THE SITUATION: The White Sox (65-46) has won the first two games in this series and four of their last six after their 4-0 viceroy over the Cubs yesterday. The Cubs (52-60) have lost three in a row and five of their last six contests.

REASONS TO TAKE THE WHITE SOX MINUS THE -1.5 RUN-LINE: The White Sox have won 11 of their last 13 games on the road in August going back to last season. They have won a decisive 40 of their last 57 road games when favored — and they have won 8 of their last 11 road games against teams with a losing record. They give the ball to Cease who has an 8-6 record with a 3.92 ERA and a 1.26 WHIP in 22 starts this season. He comes off six shutout innings in his last outing against Kansas City where he struck out 11 batters last Tuesday. The sabermetrics are bullish on the right-hander with his SIERA and xFIP projecting an ERA of 3.68 and 3.85 moving forward. The White Sox have won 4 of their last 5 road games with Cease pitching as a favorite priced at -110 or higher. He should pitch well against this Cubs team that scores only 3.9 Runs-Per-Game against right-handed starting pitchers with a .216 batting average, .284 On-Base Percentage, and an OPS of .660. The Cubs have lost 5 in a row at home against right-handed starting pitchers. The Cubs have lost 6 of their last 8 games after a loss — and they have lost 9 of their last 12 games after dropping the first two games of a series. The Cubs have lost 5 games in a row at home — and they have lost four in a row as a home underdog. They counter with Davies who has a 6-8 record with a 4.79 ERA and a 1.53 WHIP in 23 games this season. The sabermetrics are not encouraging with his SIERA and xFIP projecting an ERA of 5.58 and 5.24 respectively. His teams have lost 8 of their last 11 games when he is starting in games with the Total set at 10 or higher.

FINAL TAKE: The White Sox have covered the -1.5 Run-Line in 22 of their 28 victories this season when a money-line favorite priced at -155 or higher — and they have covered the point spread in 22 of their 25 wins this year when a money-line favorited priced at -160 or higher (as they are tonight). The Cubs have failed to cover the +1.5 Run-Line in 5 of their last 7 losses when priced at +145 or higher since mid-June. With the White Sox priced above my -150 price threshold, let’s lower the investment price by taking the -1.5 Run-Line. 25* MLB Sunday Night Television Run-Line of the Year with the Chicago White Sox (979) minus the -1.5 Run-Line versus the Chicago Cubs (980) listing both starting pitchers Dylan Cease and Zach Davies. Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 8:10 PM ET on Wednesday, we will be playing the Chicago White Sox (974) minus the -1.5 Run-Line versus the Kansas City Royals (973) listing both starting pitchers Lucas Giolito and Carlos Hernandez. THE SITUATION: Chicago (63-44) has won three of their last four games with their 7-1 victory over the Royals last night. Kansas City (45-60) has lost four in a row.

REASONS TO TAKE THE WHITE SOX MINUS THE -1.5 RUN-LINE: Chicago has won 5 of their last 7 games after not allowing more than two runs in their last game. They have also won a decisive 50 of their last 68 home games when favored. The White Sox were big winners at the trade deadline as they addressed their two biggest needs at second base and in the bullpen. Chicago acquired Cesar Hernandez to be their new second baseman — and they added both Ryan Tepura and then Craig Kimbrell to bolster a pen that already had Liam Hendricks successfully closing games. They also recently got back slugger Eloy Jimenez back from the disabled list after he was out for the entire first half of the season. They send out Giolito for this contest. The right-hander has an 8-7 record with a 3.67 ERA and a 1.13 WHIP in 21 starts. Strangely, he has struggled against the Detroit Tigers this season as they have owned him with 16 runs scored in the 24 2/3 innings he has pitched against them in five starts. Take away the Tigers and Giolito has a 3.14 ERA and a 1.10 WHIP in his 16 other starts. In his 10 starts at home. Giolito has a 3.14 ERA, 0.97 WHIP, and an opponent’s batting average of .197. And in his 11 starts at night, he has a 2.60 ERA, 0.91 WHIP, and an opponent’s batting average of .191. He should have success against the Royals who are scoring only 2.4 Runs-Per-Game in their last seven games with a .182 batting average, .221 On-Base Percentage, and an OPS of .530 during that span. They are also just 27th in the MLB in a weighted On-Base Percentage of .279 on the road against right-handed starting pitchers. Kansas City has lost 36 of their last 51 games after a loss — and they have lost 22 of their last 27 games after losing at least three in a row. They have only scored two runs in their last three games — and they have lost 11 of their last 14 games after not scoring more than one run in two straight games. Additionally, the Royals have lost 37 of their last 51 road games as an underdog — and they have lost 6 of their last 7 games with the Total set in the 7 to 8.5 range. They counter with Carlos Hernandez who is 2-1 with a 4.98 ERA and a 1.51 WHIP in 34 1/3 innings this season. In his 11 innings on the road, the lefty has a 6.55 ERA and 1.91 WHIP. He faces a White Sox team that scores 5.5 Runs-Per-Game against left-handed starting pitchers with a .260 batting average, .333 On-Base Percentage, and an OPS of .767 this season. Chicago has won 35 of their last 46 games against left-handed starting pitchers.

FINAL TAKE: The White Sox have covered the -1.5 Run-Line in 20 of their 26 victories this season when a money-line favorite priced at -155 or higher. The Royals have failed to cover the +1.5 Run-Line in 14 of their 20 losses this season when priced as a money-line underdog at +145 or higher. 25* MLB American League Central Run-Line of the Year with the Chicago White Sox (974) minus the -1.5 Run-Line versus the Kansas City Royals (973) listing both starting pitchers Lucas Giolito and Carlos Hernandez. Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 7:05 PM ET on Friday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Philadelphia Phillies (901) and the Pittsburgh Pirates (902) listing both starting pitchers Vince Velasquez and Will Crowe. THE SITUATION: Philadelphia (51-51) begins this series coming off an 11-8 victory against Washington yesterday. Pittsburgh (38-63) has lost four games in a row after a 12-0 loss to Milwaukee yesterday.

REASONS TO TAKE OVER THE TOTAL: The Phillies have played 13 of their last 16 games Over the Total after a win — and they have played 5 of their last 6 games Over the Total after scoring at least five runs in their last game. Philadelphia has played 6 straight Overs in the opening game of a new series. They send out Velasquez who is 3-5 with a 5.54 ERA and a 1.43 WHIP in 16 starts (20 games). The right-hander particularly struggles on the road where he has a 6.17 ERA and a 1.63 WHIP in 35 innings. The Phillies have played 5 of their last 7 games Over the Total with Velasquez pitching with the Total set in the 9-9.5 range. Philadelphia has also played 5 straight road games Over the Total when favored. Velasquez faces a Pirates team that has played 7 straight Overs against right-handed starting pitchers. The Over is also 4-1-1 in Pittsburgh’s last 6 games against starting pitchers with a WHIP of 1.30 or higher. The Over is also 18-7-2 in the Pirates’ last 27 games after a loss. Furthermore, the Over is 5-0-1 in Pittsburgh’s last 6 games after scoring no more than two runs in their last game — and the Over is 4-0-1 in their last 5 games after allowing at least five runs in their last game. The Over is 4-0-1 in the Pirates’ last 5 games at home. They counter with Crowe who is 2-5 with a 5.89 ERA and a 1.57 WHIP in 14 starts (15 games). The right-hander sees his WHIP rise to a 1.66 mark in his seven starts at home due in part to an opponent’s batting average of .281. His teams have played 7 straight Overs when Crowe is making a starting in the second half of the season.

FINAL TAKE: Philadelphia is hitting better as of late — they have a .259 Batting Average with a .337 On-Base Percentage, and an OPS of .810 in their last seven games. The Phillies have played 7 of their last 8 games on the road Over the Total against right-handed starting pitchers. 25* MLB National League Total of the Month with Over the Total in the game between the Philadelphia Phillies (901) and the Pittsburgh Pirates (902) listing both starting pitchers Vince Velasquez and Will Crowe. Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 10:10 PM ET on Thursday, we will be playing the San Diego Padres (962) minus the -1.5 Run-Line versus the Colorado Rockies (961) listing both starting pitchers Joe Musgrove and Kyle Freeland. THE SITUATION: San Diego (59-45) has lost three of their last four games after their 10-4 loss to Oakland yesterday. Colorado (44-58) has lost four of their last five games after their 8-7 loss at Los Angeles against the Angels yesterday.

REASONS TO TAKE THE PADRES MINUS THE -1.5 RUN-LINE: San Diego has won 5 of their last 7 games after a loss by six or more runs — and they have won 5 of their last 6 games after allowing at least five runs in their last game. The Padres have still won 26 of their last 36 games at home. They give the ball to Musgrove who is 6-7 with a 3.13 ERA and a 1.01 WHIP in 19 starts (20 games). The left-hander sees his ERA drop to a 2.83 mark in his ten starts at home in Petco Park. San Diego has won 5 of their 7 games at home this season with Musgrove pitching with the Total set in the 7 to 8.5 range. He should thrive against this Rockies team that is scoring only 3.1 Runs-Per-Game away from Coors Field with a .210 Batting Average, .278 On-Base Percentage, and an OPS of .601. Colorado has lost 28 of their last 33 road games against right-handed starting pitchers. The Rockies have also lost 13 of their last 15 games after a loss by just one run — and they have lost 5 of their last 6 games after scoring at least five runs in their last game. Colorado has played three straight Overs — but they have lost 20 of their last 25 games after playing at least two straight Overs. They give the ball to Freeland who has a 1-5 record along with a 4.85 ERA and a 1.47 WHIP in 11 starts. The right-hander sees his ERA rise to a 5.10 mark in his six starts on the road. The Rockies have lost 18 of their last 22 games with Freeland pitching as a road dog.

FINAL TAKE: San Diego has covered the -1.5 Run-Line in 8 of their last 9 victories when priced higher than -150 — and Colorado has failed to cover the +1.5 Run-Line in 6 of their last 8 losses when priced as an underdog at +145 or higher. 25* MLB National League West Run-Line of the Month with the San Diego Padres (962) minus the -1.5 Run-Line versus the Colorado Rockies (961) listing both starting pitchers Joe Musgrove and Kyle Freeland. Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 8:10 PM ET on Monday, we will be playing the Minnesota Twins (914) minus the -1.5 Run-Line versus the Detroit Tigers (913) listing both starting pitchers Michael Pineda and Matt Manning. THE SITUATION: Minnesota (42-58) has lost two games in a row after their 6-2 loss to the Los Angeles Angels yesterday. Detroit (47-54) has lost three straight games after a 6-1 loss in Kansas City on Sunday.

REASONS TO TAKE THE TWINS MINUS THE -1.5 RUN-LINE: It has been a disappointing season for Minnesota — but they have been playing better at home as of late. The Twins have won 5 of their last 7 games at home — and they have won 5 of their last 7 home games against teams with losing records. Minnesota has also won 8 of their last 11 home games with the Total set in the 9-10.5 range. They give the ball to Pineda who is 4-5 this season with a 3.93 ERA and a 1.22 WHIP in 13 starts. The right-hander has been more effective at home where he owns a 3.75 ERA and a 1.17 WHIP in nine starts as compared to his 4.42 ERA and a 1.36 WHIP in four starts on the road. Pineda’s teams have won 16 of their last 20 games when he is attempting to stop a losing streak. Detroit has lost 5 of their last 6 games after a loss — and they have lost 5 of their last 6 games after allowing at least five runs in their last game. Additionally, the Tigers have lost 10 of their last 15 games after not scoring more than one run in their last game. And Detroit has lost 19 of their last 28 games this season after losing three of their last four games. The Tigers were riding a seven-game winning streak before getting swept in their three-game series in Kansas City over the weekend. But all those seven games were at home — Detroit has lost 7 straight games on the road all by more than one run. They have also lost 10 of their last 13 road games with the Total set at 10 or higher. They counter with Matt Manning who is 2-3 with a 5.79 ERA and a 1.46 WHIP in six starts. The right-hander has a bright future — but he is struggling at the major league level in his rookie season. His ERA skyrockets to an 8.56 mark in his three starts on the road. The Tigers have lost all 3 road games that Manning has started this season. He faces a Twins team scoring 4.7 Runs-Per-Game against right-handed starting pitchers — and Minnesota has won 4 of their last 5 home games against right-handed starting pitchers.

FINAL TAKE: Minnesota is looking to avenge a 7-0 loss in Detroit last Sunday that completed their getting swept by the Tigers in Comerica Park. The Twins have won 20 of their last 31 games when avenging a loss — and they have won 6 of their last 8 games when playing with revenge from getting shutout in a loss. With Minnesota priced above my -150 price threshold, let’s lower the investment cost by taking the -1.5 Run-Line. The Twins have been priced as a money-line favorite at -155 or higher twenty times this season — and only three times did they win by just one run. 25* MLB American League Central Run-Line of the Month with the Minnesota Twins (914) minus the -1.5 Run-Line versus the Detroit Tigers (913) listing both starting pitchers Michael Pineda and Matt Manning. Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 7:08 PM ET on Sunday, we will be playing the money-line on the Milwaukee Brewers (980) versus the Chicago White Sox (979) listing both starting pitchers Brandon Woodruff and Lance Lynn. THE SITUATION: Milwaukee (58-41) has won five of their last seven games after their 6-1 victory against the White Sox last night. Chicago has lost three in a row including the first two games of this series.

REASONS TO TAKE THE BREWERS WITH THE MONEY-LINE: Milwaukee has won 26 of their last 33 games after a win — and they have won 23 of their last 29 games after scoring at least five runs in their last game. The Brewers have also won 21 of their last 26 games with the Total set in the 7-8.5 range — and they have won 5 in a row against teams with a winning record. They send out Woodruff who is 7-4 with a 2.04 ERA and a 0.83 WHIP in 19 starts. Milwaukee has won 15 of their last 17 home games with Woodruff pitching at night. He should fare well against this White Sox team that is scoring only 3.4 Runs-Per-Game in their last seven contests with a .211 Batting Average, .276 On-Base Percentage, and an OPS of .675 in those games. Chicago has lost 4 of their last 5 games after allowing at least five runs in their last game. The White Sox have also lost 37 of their last 51 road games as an underdog — and they have lost 23 of their last 31 games on the road in Interleague play. Chicago has lost 9 of their last 12 games against teams with a winning record. They counter with Lance Lynn who is 9-3 with a 1.94 ERA and a 1.02 WHIP in 17 starts this season. While the right-hander has been almost unhittable at home with a 1.50 ERA, 0.85 WHIP, and an opponent’s batting average of .169 in 11 starts, those numbers rise to a 2.84 ERA, 1.39 WHIP, and an opponent’s batting average of .228 in six starts on the road. The sabermetrics call for regression with both his SIERA and xFIP projecting an ERA of 3.82 and 3.97 moving forward this season. And while he has not allowed more than one earned run in four straight starts, his teams have lost 10 of their last 12 games when Lynn is pitching after not allowing more than one earned run in two straight starts.

FINAL TAKE: The Brewers are swinging hot bats as they are scoring 6.3 Runs-Per-Game in their last seven contests with a .271 batting average, .350 On-Baser Percentage, and an OPS of .779. Milwaukee has won 16 of their last 21 games against right-handed starting pitchers. 25* MLB Sunday ESPN Game of the Month with the money-line on the Milwaukee Brewers (980) versus the Chicago White Sox (979) listing both starting pitchers Brandon Woodruff and Lance Lynn. Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 7:10 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing the Cincinnati Reds (908) minus the -1.5 Run-Line versus the St. Louis Cardinals (907) listing both starting pitchers Luis Castillo and Jake Woodford. THE SITUATION: Cincinnati (50-47) has won two of their last three games after their 6-5 victory over the Cardinals yesterday. St. Louis (49-49) had won five of their last six games before their loss last night.

REASONS TO TAKE THE REDS MINUS THE -1.5 RUN-LINE: Cincinnati has won 13 of their last 16 games at home — and they have won 24 of their last 33 home games with the Total set in the 9-10.5 range. They send out Castillo who is 3-10 with a 4.39 ERA and a 1.41 WHIP. The sabermetrics have been calling for regression after a disastrous start to the season. His SIERA and xFIP project an ERA of 4.38 and 3.96 moving forward. Over his last seven starts, Castillo has a 1.41 ERA and a 1.16 WHIP in 44 2/3 innings. He has struck out 44 batters over that span. He should continue to pitch well against this Cardinals team that scores only 4.1 Runs-Per-Game on the road with a .220 Batting Average, .285 On-Base Percentage, and an OPS of .669. St. Louis has lost 12 of their last 15 road games against right-handed starting pitchers. St. Louis has lost 10 of their last 14 games after scoring at least five runs in their last game. They have also lost 15 of their last 20 games on the road. They counter with Woodford making his third career start tonight. The right-hander has a 2-1 record with a 4.06 ERA and a 1.39 WHIP in 31 innings this season. His ERA rises to a 4.76 ERA in his 17 innings on the road. The sabermetrics are not encouraging with both his SIERA and xFIP projecting an ERA of 4.63 and 5.00 respectively moving forward.

FINAL TAKE: Cincinnati scores 5.4 Runs-Per-Game at home with a .257 Batting Average, .331 On-Base Percentage, and an OPS of .779. The Reds have won 17 of their last 25 games against starting pitchers with a WHIP of 1.30 or higher. With Cincinnati priced above my -150 price threshold, let’s lower the investment price by taking the -1.5 Run-Line. 25* MLB National League Central Run-Line of the Month with the Cincinnati Reds (908) minus the -1.5 Run-Line versus the St. Louis Cardinals (907) listing both starting pitchers Luis Castillo and Jake Woodford. Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 9:45 PM ET on Friday, we will be playing the San Francisco Giants (960) minus the -1.5 Run-Line versus the Pittsburgh Pirates (959) listing both starting pitchers Johnny Cueto and Chad Kuhl. THE SITUATION: San Francisco (61-35) has won three of their last four games with their 5-3 upset victory in Los Angeles against the Dodgers last night. Pittsburgh (36-60) has lost four games in a row after a 6-4 loss at Arizona on Wednesday.

REASONS TO TAKE THE GIANTS MINUS THE -1.5 RUN-LINE: San Francisco was a +155 money-line underdog last night with their upset win against the Dodgers. The Giants have won 7 of their last 9 games after pulling off an upset victory against a divisional rival priced at +130 or higher. San Francisco has also won 15 of their last 20 games after a win — and they have won 20 of their last 27 games after scoring at least five runs in their last game. They return home where they have won 38 of their last 55 games — and they have won 30 of their last 43 home games with the total set in the 7-8.5 range. They give the ball to Cueto who is 6-5 with a 4.01 ERA and a 1.29 WHIP in 15 starts. The right-hander has done his better pitching at home where he has a 3.21 ERA, 1.09 WHIP, and an opponent’s batting average of .254 in eight starts as compared to his 5.09 ERA, 1.56 WHIP, and an opponent’s batting average of .321. The Giants have won 7 of their last 9 home games with Cueto pitching with the Total set in the 8.5 to 10 range. He should pitch well against this Pirates team that scores only 3.2 Runs-Per-Game on the road with a .235 Batting Average, .293 On-Base Percentage, and an OPS of .652. Pittsburgh has lost 30 of their last 36 games after losing at least four games in a row. Additionally, the Pirates have lost 63 of their last 85 games on the road — and they have lost 14 of their last 18 road games with the Total set in the 8 to 8.5 range. They counter with Kuhl who has a 3-5 record with a 4.31 ERA and a 1.37 WHIP in 12 starts. The sabermetrics suggest those numbers are fortunate since both his SIERA and xFIP project an ERA of 5.46 and 5.33 moving forward. The right-hander pitches better at home where he owns a 2.36 ERA, 1.16 WHIP, and an opponent’s batting average of .191 in five starts — but his ERA rises to a 6.07 mark along with a 1.55 WHIP, and an opponent’s batting average of .245 in 7 starts on the road. The Pirates have lost 20 of their last 25 road games with Kuhl pitching with the Total set in the 7-8.5 range.

FINAL TAKE: San Francisco is scoring 5.2 Runs-Per-Game in their last seven games with a .254 Batting Average, .332 On-Base Percentage, and an OPS of .787. The Giants have won 22 of their last 30 home games against right-handed starting pitchers — and they have won 10 of their last 14 games against starting pitchers with a WHIP of 1.30 or higher. With the price above my -150 price threshold, let’s lower the investment price with the -1.5 Run-Line option. 25* MLB National League Run-Line of the Month with San Francisco Giants (960) minus the -1.5 Run-Line versus the Pittsburgh Pirates (959) listing both starting pitchers Johnny Cueto and Chad Kuhl. Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 8:10 PM ET on Wednesday, we will be playing the money-line on the Chicago White Sox (972) versus the Minnesota Twins (971) listing both starting pitchers Dylan Cease and Michael Pineda. THE SITUATION: Chicago (58-37) has won four of their last five games with their 9-5 win against the Twins last night. Minnesota (40-55) has lost five of their last six games.

REASONS TO TAKE THE WHITE SOX WITH THE MONEY-LINE: Chicago rallied from a 5-4 deficit in the bottom of the eighth inning to win last night’s game. The White Sox should build off that momentum as they have won 10 of their last 13 games after a loss. Additionally, Chicago has won 6 of their last 7 games after scoring at least five runs in their last game — and they have won 23 of their last 34 games after allowing at least five runs in their last game. The White Sox have won a decisive 47 of their last 63 home games when favored — and they have won 21 of their last 29 home games played at night. They give the ball to Cease who is 7-5 with a 4.15 ERA and a 1.28 WHIP in 19 starts. The sabermetrics are encouraging with both his SIERA and xFIP projecting an ERA of 3.74 and 3.92 moving forward. The right-hander has been more effective at night where he owns a 2.15 ERA and a 1.09 WHIP with an opponent’s batting average of .199 in nine starts. The White Sox have won 7 of their last 8 games at home with Cease pitching as a favorite priced at -110 or higher. He should pitch well against this Twins team that is scoring 3.9 Runs-Per-Game in their last seven games with a .224 Batting Average, .309 On-Base Percentage, and an OPS of .700. Minnesota has lost 6 of their last 8 games on the road against right-handed starting pitchers. The Twins have lost 12 of their last 13 games after a game where their bullpen surrendered at least five runs. Minnesota has also lost 8 of their last 11 games after a loss — and they have lost 17 of their last 25 games after losing at least four of their last five contests. Additionally, the Twins have lost 8 of their last 11 games after allowing at least five runs in their last contest. They counter with Pineda who is 3-5 with a 4.11 ERA and a 1.24 WHIP in 12 starts. The sabermetics call for regression with both his SIERA and xFIP projecting an ERA of 4.26 and 4.29 moving forward. The Regression Gods may have already appeared since he has been saddled with an 8.10 ERA and a 1.92 WHIP in his last four starts. The right-hander has not been as effective on the road where he has a 5.40 ERA, 1.50 WHIP, and an opponent’s batting average of .278 in three starts. He pitches for the first time since July 7th — and his teams have lost 10 of their last 14 games when he is pitching with at least seven days between starts. The Twins have lost 10 of their last 12 games on the road — and they have lost 24 of their last 33 road games as an underdog. Minnesota has also lost 4 of their last 5 games against teams with a winning record — and they have lost 9 of their last 10 games in Chicago against the White Sox.

FINAL TAKE: Chicago is scoring 5.4 Runs-Per-Game in their last seven games with a .800 OPS over that span. The White Sox have won 8 of their last 10 home games against right-handed starting pitchers. 25* MLB American League Central Game of the Month with the money-line on the Chicago White Sox (972) versus the Minnesota Twins (971) listing both starting pitchers Dylan Cease and Michael Pineda. Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 7:08 PM ET on Sunday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Boston Red Sox (927) and the New York Yankees (928) listing both starting pitchers Martin Perez and Jameson Taillon. THE SITUATION: Boston (56-37) has lost five of their last seven games after a 3-1 loss to the Yankees in a rain-shortened six-inning game yesterday. New York (47-44) has won six of its last nine contests.

REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: The Under is 5-1-1 in the Red Sox’s last 7 games after a loss — and they have played 10 of their last 12 games on the road Under the Total after a loss. Additionally, Boston has played 4 straight Unders after not scoring more than two runs in their last game. Additionally, the Under is 5-0-1 in the Red Sox’s last 6 games on the road. Martin Perez makes the start with his 7-5 record along with a 4.04 ERA and a 1.48 WHIP in 17 starts. The left-hander struggles at home at Fenway Park with the Green Monster where he has a 5.80 ERA, 1.80 WHIP, and an opponent’s batting average of .326. But when Perez pitches on the road, he has a 2.04 ERA, 1.11 WHIP, and an opponent’s batting average of .238 in 7 starts. His teams have played 9 straight Unders when he is pitching on the road priced in the +125 to -125 price range. He faces a depleted Yankees’ lineup hit by COVID that has Aaron Judge and Gio Urshela — and Luke Voit hit the disabled list earlier this week with a knee injury. New York is scoring only 2.7 Runs-Per-Game in their last seven games with a .204 batting average, .287 On-Base Percentage, and an OPS of .627. New York has played two straight Unders — and they have then played 15 of their last 24 games Under the Total after playing at least two straight Unders. The Yankees bullpen got yesterday off with Gerrit Cole pitching all six innings — and they pitched only three innings on Friday. New York has played 5 of their last 6 games Under the Total when their bullpen has not pitched more than three innings in two straight games. They counter with Taillon who is 4-4 with a 4.90 ERA and a 1.27 WHIP in 17 starts. The right-hander has been much better at home in Yankee Stadium where he has a 3.59 ERA, 1.12 WHIP, and .223 opponent’s batting average in 10 starts as opposed to his 7.20 ERA, 1.53 WHIP, and .298 opponent’s batting average on the road. His teams have played 6 of their last 9 home games Under the Total when he is pitching as a favorite priced up to -150. He faces a Red Sox team that is scoring only 4.1 Runs-Per-Game in their last seven games with a .238 batting average, .308 On-Base Percentage, and an OPS of .731. Boston has managed only five hits in each of their last two games — and they have played 5 of their last 6 games Under the Total after not generating more than five base hits in two straight games. The Red Sox have also played 5 of their last 6 games Under the Total against left-handed starting pitchers. New York has played 5 straight Unders against teams winning at least 60% of their games — and they have played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total as a favorite.

FINAL TAKE: Boston has played 5 of their last 6 games Under the Total against teams from the AL East — and the Yankees have played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total against divisional rivals. These two teams have played 4 of their last 5 meetings Under the Total — and they have played 5 of their last 7 games Under the Total when playing in Yankee Stadium. 25* MLB Sunday Night ESPN Total of the Month with Under the Total in the game between the Boston Red Sox (927) and the New York Yankees (928) listing both starting pitchers Martin Perez and Jameson Taillon. Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 9:40 PM ET on Friday, we will be playing the money-line on the Chicago Cubs (915) versus the Arizona Diamondbacks (916) listing both starting pitchers Kyle Hendricks and Madison Bumgarner. THE SITUATION: Chicago (44-46) lost two of their last three games of the All-Star Break after a 6-0 loss to St. Louis last Sunday. Arizona (26-66) lost three of their last four games heading into the break coming off a 7-4 loss at Los Angeles against the Dodgers on Sunday.

REASONS TO TAKE THE CUBS WITH THE MONEY-LINE: Chicago has won 4 of their last 5 games after an off day. They begin the second half of the season on the road where they have won 4 of their last 5 games when favored. The Cubs have won 19 of their last 28 games when favored, in general — and they have won 4 straight games against opponents that are not winning more than 40% of their games. They give the ball to Hendricks who is 11-4 with a 3.77 ERA and a 1.25 WHIP in 18 starts. The right-hander struggled in April where he was 1-3 with a 7.54 ERA and a 1.75 WHIP — but he has been lights out since. Since the beginning of May, Hendricks has a 2.73 ERA and a 1.02 WHIP in 82 1/3 innings of work while issuing just 12 bases on balls. He has been more effective on the road where he has a 3.62 ERA and a 1.23 WHIP in eight starts. The Cubs have won 4 straight road games with Hendricks pitching as a favorite. He should thrive against a Diamondbacks team that has scored only 3.6 Runs-Per-Game in their last seven games with a .221 batting average, .294 On-Base Percentage, and an OPS of .645 during that span. Arizona has lost 18 of their last 23 home games against right-handed starting pitchers. The Diamondbacks have lost 5 of their last 6 games after an off-day. Arizona has also lost 13 of their last 17 opening games to a new series. The Diamondbacks have lost 20 of their last 26 games at home. They counter with Bumgarner who is returning to action after being on the disabled list since the beginning of June. The left-hander is 4-5 this season with a 5.73 ERA and a 1.26 WHIP in 12 starts. I worry about his return to action after shoulder issues. I also am concerned about how effective he will be without the use of foreign substances. Bumgarner has struggled for a year and a half before suddenly seeing a significant bump in his spin rate which helped him earn that seven-inning no-hitter in May. As it is, he has struggled at home where he has a 7.15 ERA with a 1.59 WHIP and an opponent’s batting average of .301 in five starts. His teams have lost 7 of their last 9 home games with Bumgardner pitching as a money-line underdog priced at +125 to +175. He faces a Cubs’ team that is scoring 4.7 Runs-Per-Game over their last seven games with a .276 batting average, .327 On-Base Percentage, and an OPS of .734 over that span.

FINAL TAKE: Arizona has lost 48 of their last 54 games as a money-line underdog. With the Cubs priced at or below my -150 price threshold, let’s attack. 25* MLB National League Road Warrior of the Month with the money-line on the Chicago Cubs (915) versus the Arizona Diamondbacks (916) listing both starting pitchers Kyle Hendricks and Madison Bumgarner. Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 4:05 PM ET on Sunday, we will be playing the San Francisco Giants (910) minus the -1.5 Run-Line versus the Washington Nationals (909) listing both starting pitchers Kevin Gausman and Erick Fedde. THE SITUATION: San Francisco (56-32) has won three straight games as well as six of their last eight after their 10-4 win against the Nationals yesterday. Washington (42-46) has lost three straight games and eight of their last ten.

REASONS TO TAKE THE GIANTS MINUS THE -1.5 RUN-LINE: San Francisco should build off their momentum to close out the first half of the regular season before the All-Star Break. They have won 12 of their last 15 games after a win — and they have won 20 of their last 26 games after scoring at least five runs in their last game. The Giants have won 37 of their last 51 home games when favored. They give the ball to Gausman who has an 8-3 record with a 1.74 ERA and a 0.80 WHIP in 17 starts. The right-hander has a microscopic 0.60 WHIP in six home starts fueled by an opponent’s batting average of .124. San Francisco has won 7 of their last 9 games with Gausman pitching in a day game. He should fare well against this Nationals team that has lost 5 of their last 6 games against starting pitchers with a WHIP of 1.15 or lower. Washington has lost 5 of their last 7 games after a loss — and they have lost 5 of their last 7 games after allowing at least five runs in their last game. They counter with Fedde who is 4-5 with a 4.53 ERA and a 1.29 WHIP in 12 starts. The right-hander sees his ERA rise to a 4.65 mark in his six starts on the road. The Nationals have lost 6 of their last 9 games with Fedde pitching with the Total set from 7 to 8.5. He will likely struggle against a Giants team that has won 21 of their last 29 home games against right-handed starting pitchers. San Francisco is scoring 5.6 Runs-Per-Game in their last seven games with a .280 batting average, .364 On-Base Percentage, and an OPS of .825. Washington has lost 4 of their last 5 games on the road — and they have lost 8 of their last 10 games against teams with a winning record.

FINAL TAKE: Washington has not lost by a run in sixteen straight games when a money-line underdog priced at +145 or higher. San Francisco has won by only one run in four of their last seventeen games when priced as a money-line favorite at -155 or higher. If we like the Giants in this game (and we do), then let’s lower the investment price. 25* MLB Pre-All Star Break Run-Line of the Year with San Francisco Giants (910) minus the -1.5 Run-Line versus the Washington Nationals (909) listing both starting pitchers Kevin Gausman and Erick Fedde. Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 10:10 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing the Los Angeles Dodgers (962) minus the 1.5 Run-Line versus the Arizona Diamondbacks (961) listing both starting pitchers Walker Buehler and Caleb Smith. THE SITUATION: Los Angeles (54-35) has lost four of their last five games after losing to the Diamondbacks by a 5-2 score in the opening game of this series. Arizona (26-64) has won three of their last four games.

REASONS TO TAKE THE DODGERS MINUS THE -1.5 RUN-LINE: Los Angeles has won 42 of their last 60 games after allowing at least five runs in their last game. The Dodgers have also won 40 of their last 51 games against teams who are not winning more than 40% of their games. They send out Buehler who is 8-1 with a 2.49 ERA and a 0.92 WHIP in 17 starts. Buehler has been an effective stopper for the team as they have won 19 of their last 25 games with him mound looking to stop a losing streak. The Dodgers have also won 31 of their last 45 games with Buehler pitching as a home favorite. Break up Arizona! Their three wins in their last four games match the three wins they picked up in their previous 31 games. The Diamondbacks have lost 8 of their last 9 games after a win — and they have lost 4 straight games after not allowing more than two runs in their last game. Arizona has also lost 20 of their last 26 games after scoring at least five runs in their last contest. They counter with Smith who is 2-5 with a 3.45 ERA and a 1.25 WHIP in 70 1/3 innings. The deeper metrics are not as bullish on Smith who both his SIERA and xFIP projecting an ERA of 4.28 and 4.84 moving forward. The Diamondbacks have lost 9 of their last 12 games with Smith pitching with the Total set at 8 or 8.5. Arizona has lost 46 of their last 52 games as an underdog — and they have lost 56 of their last 74 road games as a dog.

FINAL TAKE: With the Dodgers priced in the -300 range, they are well beyond my -150 price threshold. LA has been priced above -150 58 times this season. They have lost 21 of these games straight-up. But while they have won 37 of those games, 29 of those victories were by more than one run. So, if the Dodgers are going to win, they are going to win by more than one run — a 78.3% clip — at a much lower price. Arizona has been a money line underdog priced at +145 or higher 39 times — and they have lost by more than one run in 24 of those occasions for a 61.5% clip. They pulled the upset six times and lost by one run another nine times. Let’s bank on Buehler. 25* MLB Pre-All Star Break NL West Run-Line of the Year with Los Angeles Dodgers (962) minus the 1.5 Run-Line versus the Arizona Diamondbacks (961) listing both starting pitchers Walker Buehler and Caleb Smith. Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 7:15 PM on Saturday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the New York Yankees (975) and the Houston Astros (976) listing both starting pitchers Gerrit Cole and Zack Greinke. THE SITUATION: New York (95-42) won the opening game of this series last night with a 4-0 victory. Houston has a two-game losing streak after winning their previous six games in a row.

REASONS TO TAKE OVER THE TOTAL: The Yankees have played 5 of their last 6 games Over the Total after not allowing more than two runs in their last game. New York has also won 24 of their last 34 games Over the Total on the road after winning four of their last five games. Additionally, New York has won 5 of their last 7 games Over the Total against teams with a winning record. Cole gets the start with his 8-4 record along with a 2.91 ERA and a 0.96 WHIP in 17 starts. But the right-hander has struggled since MLB cracked down on the use of illegal substances. Cole’s spin rate is way down — and so are his numbers. In his last six starts since the start of June, Cole has a 5.00 ERA with only 38 strikeouts in 36 innings of work. And his teams have played 6 of their last 8 games Over the Total when he is pitching in July. Houston has played 7 of their last 9 home games Over the Total against right-handed starting pitchers — and they have played 8 of their last 11 games Over the Total against starting pitchers with a WHIP of 1.15 or lower. The Astros score 5.5 Runs-Per-Game with a .276 batting average, a .386 On-Base Percentage, and an OPS of .813. Houston has played 19 of their last 26 games Over the Total after winning six or seven of their last eight games. And while the Astros have played three straight Unders, they have played 6 straight Overs after playing at least three straight Unders. Houston has played 25 of their last 35 home games Over the Total with the number set at 7 to 8.5. They counter with Greinke who is 8-2 with a 3.64 ERA and a 1.12 WHIP in 18 starts. The right-hander has not been as effective at home in Minute Maid Park where he has been saddled with a 5.26 ERA, 1.44 WHIP, and .296 opponent’s batting average. The Astros have played 8 of their last 9 home games Over the Total with Greinke on the hill — and they have played 11 of their last 14 games Over the Total with Greinke pitching at night. He faces a Yankees team that is scoring 4.7 Runs-Per-Game in their last seven games — and they have played 7 of their last 10 games Over the Total against starting pitchers with a WHIP of 1.15 or lower.

FINAL TAKE: The Astros have played 9 of their last 13 games Over the Total when avenging an upset loss as a home favorite. 25* MLB Pre-All Star Break Fox-TV Total of the Year with Over the Total in the game between the New York Yankees (975) and the Houston Astros (976) listing both starting pitchers Gerrit Cole and Zack Greinke. Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 10:10 PM ET on Tuesday, we will be playing the Seattle Mariners (978) plus the +1.5 Run-Line versus the New York Yankees (977) listing both starting pitchers Justus Sheffield and Jameson Taillon. THE SITUATION: Seattle (45-40) has won four of their last five games after their 4-1 win against the Rangers on Sunday. New York (42-41) snapped a three-game losing streak with a 4-2 victory at home against the Mets on Sunday.

REASONS TO TAKE THE MARINERS PLUS THE +1.5 RUN-LINE: Seattle has won 11 of their last 15 games after winning four of their last five games. The Mariners have won 7 of their last 9 games at home —and they have pulled an upset in 10 of their last 14 home games as an underdog. Seattle has won 9 of their last 11 games against teams with a winning record. They send out Sheffield who is 5-7 with a 5.88 ERA and a 1.71 WHIP in 14 starts. The left-hander has been more effective at home where he has a 5.11 ERA and a 1.51 WHIP. While those numbers are not great — the Mariners have won 12 of their last 17 home games with Sheffield on the mound. He faces a Yankees team that has lost 4 of their last 5 games against left-handed starting pitchers. New York has lost 5 of their last 7 games played after an off-day — and they have lost 5 openers to a new series. The Yankees have also lost 4 of their last 5 road games when favored. They counter with Taillon who is 3-4 with a 5.43 ERA and a 1.36 WHIP in 15 starts. The right-hander has been most effective at home in Yankee Stadium where he has a 3.59 ERA, 1.12 WHIP, and an opponent’s batting average of .223. But his five starts on the road, he has been hammered for an ERA of 11.12, a 2.12 WHIP, and an opponent’s batting average of .385. The Yankees have lost 4 of their last 5 road games with Taillon on the hill.

FINAL TAKE: Taking the Mariners as a money-line underdog is a viable option, but I prefer taking the valuable +1.5 Run-Line since it is priced at below my -150 price threshold. 25* MLB Pre-All Star Break Tuesday ESPN Run-Line of the Year with Seattle Mariners (978) plus the +1.5 Run-Line versus the New York Yankees (977) listing both starting pitchers Justus Sheffield and Jameson Taillon. Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 7:10 PM ET on Monday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Kansas City Royals (967) and the Boston Red Sox (968) listing both starting pitchers Danny Duffy and Garrett Richards. THE SITUATION: Kansas City (33-43) has lost five games in a row after their 4-1 loss to Texas yesterday. Boston (47-31) has won three in a row after their weekend sweep of the New York Yankees that culminated in a 9-2 victory yesterday afternoon.

REASONS TO TAKE OVER THE TOTAL: The Red Sox got their bats out yesterday with four home runs — and they have played 15 of their last 20 games Over the Total after banging our four or more home runs in their last game. Boston has played 20 of their last 28 games Over the Total after playing a game at home where they scored at least eight runs. And in their last 11 games after winning two games in a row at home against AL East foes, they have played 10 of these games Over the Total. But the reason why the Total for this game has been bet up to 11 is due to the trials that Garrett Richards is experiencing without the benefit of his usual substances that help him grip the baseball. Without the ability to use sunscreen — something that Richards says he has been using since his rookie year — he cannot get the grip on his curveball. Richards has abandoned even using what has been his best pitch — and that leaves him as an unusable pitcher when he is dependent on his below-average four-seam fastball. Richards has a 4-5 record this season with a 4.74 ERA and a 1.67 WHIP in 15 starts. In his last three starts since the MLB has cracked down on foreign substances like suntan lotion, Richards has an ugly 9.82 ERA and a 2.55 WHIP. Even without these new circumstances, Richards was a starting pitcher I was looking to fade. His SIERA and xFIP project an ERA of 5.02 and 4.79 moving forward. And he has struggled at Fenway Park with a 6.46 ERA and a 2.11 WHIP along with a .333 opponent’s batting average in five starts. Boston has played 4 of their last 5 games Over the Total in June with Richards starting. The Red Sox have also played 4 of their last 5 games Over the Total at home with the Total set at 11 or higher. Kansas City scores 4.4 Runs-Per-Game against right-handed starting pitchers — and the Over is 5-1-2 in their last 8 road games against right-handed starting pitchers. The Royals have not hit a home run in four straight games — but they have played 7 of their last 11 games Over the Total after not hitting a home run in two straight games. And while Kansas City has scored one run in their last two games, they have played 5 of their last 8 games Over the Total after not scoring more than two runs in two straight games. They counter with Danny Duffy who is 4-3 with a 1.81 ERA and a 1.12 WHIP in eight starts (nine games). The veteran left-hander’s great start was interrupted by a left flexor strain that put him on the shelf for six weeks. He is being eased back into the rotation — so no more than 50 or 60 pitches from him are expected tonight. Even without taking into account his injury which may impact his effectiveness moving forward, his SIERA and xFIP project an ERA of 3.65 and 3.84. The Royals bullpen will be asked to pitch at least half this game — and that group has a 6.60 ERA and a 1.79 WHIP in the last seven games.

FINAL TAKE: Boston scores 5.1 Runs-Per-Game at home with a .266 batting average, .320 On-Base Percentage, and an OPS of .756. The Over is 3-1-1 in the Red Sox’s last 5 games against left-handed starting pitchers. 25* MLB American League Total of the Month with Over the Total in the game between the Kansas City Royals (967) and the Boston Red Sox (968) listing both starting pitchers Danny Duffy and Garrett Richards. Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 10:10 PM ET on Wednesday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Los Angeles Dodgers (907) and the San Diego Padres (908) listing both starting pitchers Trevor Bauer and Joe Musgrove. THE SITUATION: Los Angeles (44-29) has lost the first two games of this series with their 3-2 loss on the road last night. San Diego (44-32) has won six games in a row.

REASONS TO TAKE OVER THE TOTAL: The Dodgers have played 7 of their last 8 games Over the Total after a loss to an NL West rival — and they have played 8 of their last 12 games Over the Total after a loss by just one run. Los Angeles has also played 10 of their last 12 games Over the Total after losing two in a row. They give the ball to Bauer who is 7-5 with a 2.45 ERA and a 0.94 WHIP in 15 starts. The right-hander is the poster child for spin rate — and seems to have been negatively impacted with MLB’s crackdown on foreign substances that help pitchers get more spin on the baseball. In his last four starts, Bauer has a seen his ERA and WHIP rise to 3.46 and 1.27 marks. While those are still solid numbers, they are not elite — and he is facing a good Padres’ lineup that is scoring 5.7 Runs-Per-Game in their last seven games with a .274 batting average, .357 On-Base Percentage, and an OPS of .932. The Over is 13-6-1 in San Diego’s last 20 games against starting pitchers with a WHIP of 1.15 or lower. Perhaps the spin rate issue with Bauer is overstated — and he is simply experiencing good ole fashioned regression? His SIERA and xFIP project an ERA of 3.44 and 3.73 for the right-hander moving forward. The Dodgers have played 4 of their last 5 games Over the Total on the road — and they have played 12 of their last 17 road games Over the Total with the number set in the 7 to 8.5 range. They have also played 6 of their last 8 games Over the Total against teams with a winning record. San Diego has played 6 of their last 8 games Over the Total after winning at least six in a row. They have also played 5 of their last 6 games Over the Total after allowing no more than two runs in their last game. Additionally, the Padres have played 4 of their last 5 games Over the Total with the number set in the 7 to 8.5 range — and they have played 4 of their last 5 games at home Over the Total when favored. They counter Musgrove who is 4-6 with a 2.28 ERA and a 0.85 WHIP in 14 games (13 starts). The sabermetrics call for an ERA of 3.97 and 3.00 moving forward. The left-hander changed his approach this season with an increased reliance on his cutter and slider at the expense of his four-seamer and sinker. But hitters adapt once the book gets written on his new approach — and the Dodgers have already faced him once this season on April 25th. His teams have played 8 of their last 13 home games Over the Total with him pitching with the Total set in the 7 to 8.5 range. He only struck out two batters in his last performance on June 17th — and his teams have played 5 of their last 7 games Over the Total with Musgrove pitching with five or six days of rest. The Dodgers may not have Mookie Betts in their lineup tonight as he deals with an illness — but they are averaging 5.8 Runs-Per-Game in their last seven games. The Over is 27-11-2 in LA’s last 40 games against right-handed starting pitchers — and they have played 13 of their last 18 games Over the Total against starting pitchers with a WHIP of 1.15 or lower.

FINAL TAKE: These two teams have played 4 of their last 5 meetings Over the Total — and they have played 8 of their last 10 games Over the Total when motivated by at least double-revenge. 25* MLB Wednesday ESPN Total of the Month with Over the Total in the game between the Los Angeles Dodgers (907) and the San Diego Padres (908) listing both starting pitchers Trevor Bauer and Joe Musgrove. Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 8:05 PM ET on Monday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Oakland A’s (911) and the Texas Rangers (912) listing both starting pitchers Frankie Montas and Kyle Gibson. THE SITUATION: Oakland (44-29) has lost two straight games after their 2-1 loss in New York against the Yankees yesterday. Texas (25-46) has lost six in a row after their 4-2 loss to Minnesota yesterday.

REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: The A’s have played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total after not scoring more than two runs in their last game. They have also played 8 of their last 9 games Under the Total after a game where no more than four combined runs were scored. And while Oakland had been on a seven-game winning streak before dropping their last two, they have then played 10 of their last 16 games Under the Total after winning six or seven of their last eight games. The A’s stay on the road where they have played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total — and they have played 7 of their last 10 road games Under the Total with the Total set at 7 to 8.5. They give the ball to Montas who is 7-6 with a 4.21 ERA and a 1.31 WHIP in 14 starts. The right-hander has been more effective on the road where he owns a 3.13 ERA with a 1.22 WHIP in four starts. Oakland has played 4 of their last 5 road games Under the Total with Montas pitching with a Total set in the 7 to 8.5 range. The deeper sabermetrics are encouraging with both his SIERA and xFIP projecting an ERA of 3.86 and 3.91 moving forward. He faces a Rangers team that is scoring only 3.6 Runs-Per-Game at home with a .226 batting average, .282 On-Base Percentage, and an OPS of .649. The Under is 4-1-1 in Texas’ last 6 home games against right-handed starting pitchers. The Rangers have seen the Under go 10-3-1 in their last 14 games after scoring two runs or less in their last game. Texas has also played 11 of their last 17 home games Under the Total with the Total set at 7 to 8.5. They counter with Gibson who is 4-0 with a 2.09 ERA and a 1.03 WHIP in 13 starts. The right-hander has been outstanding at home where he owns a 0.96 ERA, 0.91 WHIP, and a .191 opponent’s batting average in six starts. The Rangers have played 4 of their 6 home games Under the Total with Gibson on the hill this season.

FINAL TAKE: Texas has played 14 of their last 21 games Under the Total when listed in the +/- 125 range. Oakland has played 4 straight Unders against teams with a winning percentage no better than 40% — and they have played 27 of their last 41 games Under the Total when playing at night. 25* MLB American League West Total of the Month with Under the Total in the game between the Oakland A’s (911) and the Texas Rangers (912) listing both starting pitchers Frankie Montas and Kyle Gibson. Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 7:08 PM ET on Sunday, we will be playing the money-line on the St. Louis Cardinals (962) versus the Chicago Cubs (961) listing both starting pitchers Adam Wainwright and Zach Davies. THE SITUATION: St. Louis (26-19) has won three of their last four games with their 2-1 victory against the Cubs in Game Two of this series. Chicago (23-22) had their two-game winning streak snapped with the  loss.

REASONS TO TAKE THE CARDINALS WITH THE MONEY-LINE: St. Louis has won 13 of the last 17 games after scoring two runs or less in their last game. And while they have only scored five runs in their last two games, they have then won 5 of their last 6 games after not scoring more than three runs in two straight games. They give the ball to Wainwright who is 2-4 with a 4.63 ERA and a 1.35 WHIP in eight starts this season. The right-hander has been more effective at home where he owns a 3.00 ERA with a 1.15 WHIP and an opponent’s batting average of .228. The deeper sabermetrics suggest he should be seeing better results with both his SIERA and xFIP both projecting an ERA of 4.22 moving forward. St. Louis has won 16 of their last 25 games with Wainwright starting against an NL Central opponent. The Cardinals have won 6 of their last 7 games at home — and they have won 5 straight home games when favored. And in their last 7 home games with the Total set at 7 to 8.5, St. Louis has won 6 of those games Wainwright should have success against this Cubs team that has lost 4 of their last 5 road games against right-handed starting pitchers. Chicago scores only 3.9 Runs-Per-Game against right-handed starting pitchers with a .218 batting average, .296 On-Base Percentage, and an OPS of .660. The Cubs have lost 4 in a row after not scoring more than one run in a loss to an NL Central foe. Chicago has not allowed more than four runs in seven straight games — but they have lost 8 of their last 12 games after not allowing more than four runs in at least four straight games. They counter with Davies who is 2-2 with a 5.58 ERA and a  1.76 WHIP in nine starts. The right-hander has gotten hit hard on the road where he has an 8.59 ERA with a 2.25 WHIP and an opponent’s batting average of .344 in four starts. The Cubs have lost all 3 games on the road this season with Davies pitching with the Total set in the 7-8.5 range. The sabermetrics confirm how disappointing Davies has been this season with his SIERA and xFIP projecting an ERA of 5.84 and 5.72. He is walking 11.5% of the batters he is facing this season — and striking out only 12% of his batters. That is not good, Bob. Chicago has lost 13 of their last 19 games on the road — and they have lost 8 of their last 9 road games with the Total set at 7 to 8.5. And in their last 5 road games against teams with a winning record, the Cubs have lost 4 of these games.

FINAL TAKE: The Cardinals have won 5 of their last 6 home games against right-handed starting pitchers. 25* MLB Sunday Night ESPN Game of the Month with the money-line on the St. Louis Cardinals (962) versus the Chicago Cubs (961) listing both starting pitchers Adam Wainwright and Zach Davies. Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 7:10 PM ET on Friday, we will be playing the Detroit Tigers (928) plus the +1.5 Run-Line versus the Chicago Cubs (927) listing both starting pitchers Tarik Skubal and Jake Arrieta. THE SITUATION: Detroit (13-24) has won four games in a row with their 4-3 victory over Kansas City yesterday. Chicago (17-19) has lost three in a row after their 2-1 loss at Cleveland on Wednesday.

REASONS TO TAKE THE TIGERS PLUS THE+1.5 RUN-LINE: Detroit is playing better baseball as of late — they are scoring 5. Runs-Per-Game in their last seven games with a .300 batting average, .380 On-Base Percentage, and an OPS of .781 during that span. The Tigers have won 4 straight home games against teams with a losing record. Detroit has also won a decisive 47 of their last 66 home games against losing teams from the National League. Tarik Skubal has an 0-5 record with a 5.67 ERA with a 1.59 WHIP in 27 innings — but he has pitched better when at home. In 16 innings this season, the left-hander has a 3.38 ERA with a 1.38 WHIP and an opponent’s batting average of .250 as compared to his 9.00 ERA, 1.91 WHIP, and an opponent’s batting average of .261. Skubal had a 3.27 ERA with a 0.64 WHIP and an opponent’s batting average of .179 on two starts at home last season. Skubal has a fastball that approaches 99 Miles Per Hour which gives him front of the rotation potential. His last start was at home against Miami last Friday where he allowed two runs in five innings and eight strikeouts. Skubal generated 14 whiffs on his pitches included seven from his fastball. He faces a Cubs’ lineup that scores only 3.5 Runs-Per-Game on the road with a .235 batting average, .300 On-Base Percentage, and an OPS of .682. Chicago has lost three in a row by just one run — and they have lost 5 of their last 6 games after losing three in a row by two runs or less. They have also lost 4 of their last 5 games after losing at least two in a row by one run. Additionally, the Cubs have lost 6 of their last 8 games after scoring two runs or less in their last game — and they have lost 10 of their last 14 games after allowing two runs or less in their last contest. They counter with Arrieta who is 3-3 with a 4.31 ERA and a 1.31 WHIP in six starts. The right-hander has struggled on the road where he has been saddled with a 7.53 ERA, 1.60 WHIP, and an opponent’s batting average of .310 in three starts. He has not pitched April 30th after dealing with a left thumb abrasion. Arrieta’s skills are declining — he was 4-4 with a 5.08 ERA and a 1.51 WHIP in nine starts last year. His velocity was down in April — so it looks like he has developed a clear ceiling. The Cubs have lost 8 of their last 9 road games with the Total set at 9 to 9.5. The Cubbies have also lost 8 of their last 10 games on the road. Chicago has also lost 5 of their last 7 games in Interleague play.

FINAL TAKE: The Cubs have lost 4 of their last 5 games against teams not winning at least 40% of their games — and Detroit has won 4 straight games against teams with a losing record. Chicago has won eight of their seventeen games this season by just one run — including in their last four victories and five of their last six wins. 25* MLB Run-Line Underdog of the Month with the Detroit Tigers (928) plus the +1.5 Run-Line versus the Chicago Cubs (927) listing both starting pitchers Tarik Skubal and Jake Arrieta. Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 9:40 PM ET on Tuesday, we will be playing the Arizona Diamondbacks (958) plus the +1.5 Run-Line versus the San Diego Padres (957) listing both starting pitchers Merrill Kelly and Chris Paddack. THE SITUATION: Arizona (11-11) has won sox of their last last seven games after their doubleheader sweep of the Braves in Atlanta that culminated in their 7-0 victory in the second game on Sunday. San Diego (13-11) has won three of their last four games after their 8-7 victory in Los Angeles against the Dodgers on Sunday.

REASONS TO TAKE THE DIAMONDBACKS PLUS THE +1.5 RUN-LINE: Arizona has won 4 of their last 5 games after a win — and they have won 4 of their last 5 games after scoring at least five runs in their last game. The Diamondbacks have also won 25 of their last 34 games after an off day. They return home where they are scoring 6.0 Runs-Per-Game — and they have won 9 of their last 12 home games against teams with a winning record. They give the ball to Kelly who has struggled with a 1-2 record with a 7.71 ERA and a 1.57 WHIP in four starts. The sabermetrics suggest he has deserved better with his SIERA and xFIP projecting an ERA of 4.94 and 4.86 moving forward. Furthermore, all four of Kelly’s starts have been on the road. The 32-year-old right-hander has a career ERA 3.33 mark along with a 1.15 WHIP in 108 innings at home. Kelly faces a Padres team that is scoring only 3.4 Runs-Per-Game against right-handed starting pitchers with a .231 batting average, a .314 On-Base Percentage, and an OPS of .667 this season. San Diego has lost 4 of their last 5 games after a victory — and they have lost 5 straight games after scoring at least five runs in their last contest. They counter with Paddack who is 1-2 with a 5.50 ERA and a 1.44 WHIP in four starts. The right-hander allowed five runs in five innings of work in his last start at home against Milwaukee last Tuesday. But only one of those runs were earned runs — and the Padres have lost 12 of their last 17 games when Paddack is following up a start where he did not allow an earned run. Paddack had a 3.44 ERA with a 0.98 WHIP and an opponent’s batting average of .211 at home last season — but those numbers rose to a 6.85 ERA, 1.61 WHIP, and an opponent’s batting average of .333 in five starts on the road. San Diego has lost 6 of their last 9 road games with Paddack pitching with the Total set in the 8.5 to 10 range. He faces an Arizona team scoring 6.9 Runs-Per-Game in their last seven games — and they have won 5 of their last 6 games against right-handed starting pitchers.

FINAL TAKE: The Padres have lost 4 of their last 5 games as a favorite — and the Diamondbacks have won 6 of their last 7 games as an underdog. While taking Arizona with the money-line is an option, with the +1.5 Run-Line price is below my -150 price threshold, I prefer the investment into the valuable +1.5 Runs. 25* MLB National League West Run-Line Underdog of the Month with the playing the Arizona Diamondbacks (958) plus the +1.5 Run-Line versus the San Diego Padres (957) listing both starting pitchers Merrill Kelly and Chris Paddack. Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 7:08 PM ET on Sunday, we will be playing the money-line on the Los Angeles Dodgers (964) versus the San Diego Padres (963) listing both starting pitchers Dustin May and Joe Musgrove. THE SITUATION: Los Angeles (15-6) won the third game of this series yesterday with their 5-4 victory against the Padres. San Diego (12-11) won the first two games of this series.

REASONS TO TAKE THE DODGERS WITH THE MONEY-LINE: Los Angeles should build off their momentum tonight — they have won 15 of their last 19 games after a victory by one run against an NL West rival. The Dodgers have also won 40 of their last 54 games after scoring at least five runs in their last game. LA has won 7 of their 9 games at home this season. They give the ball to May who is 1-1 with a 2.94 ERA and a 1.11 WHIP in three starts so far this year. The right-hander was 3-1 with a 2.57 ERA and a 1.09 WHIP in 12 games (10 starts) during the regular season last year. This may be a breakout season for him as he is not using his sinker as much deeper in the count. Instead, he is relying on his four-seam fastball, his curveball, or his cutter to punch out batters. May is striking out 33.8% of the batters he faces with his swinging strike rate up to 14.4%. Those are elite numbers. May was dominant at home last year with a 2.40 ERA, 1.076 WHIP, and an opponent’s batting average of .206 in six games (five starts) in the regular season last year. The Dodgers have won 5 of their last 6 home games with May on the mound with the Total set in the 7-8.5 range. He faces a San Diego team that has lost 12 of their last 17 games against starting pitchers with a WHIP of 1.15 or lower. The Padres have also lost 4 of their last 5 games against right-handed starting pitchers. San Diego counters with Musgrove who comes off a strong outing where he allowed two runs in 7 innings of work. But Musgrove’s teams have lost 9 of their last 13 games when he is following up a start where did not allow more than one earned run. The left-hander has been outstanding this season with a 1.04 ERA and a 0.54 WHIP in four starts that includes a no-hitter. But while Musgrove had a 2.41 ERA with a 1.02 WHIP and .191 opponent’s batting average at home playing for Pittsburgh last year, those numbers jumped to a 5.14 ERA, 1.43 WHIP, and .256 opponents batting average on the road. Musgrove’s teams have lost 15 of their last 20 games when he is pitching on the road as an underdog priced in the +100 to +150 price range. He faces a Dodgers team that is scoring 5.0 Runs-Per-Game against right-handed starting pitchers with a .277 batting average, .329 On-Base Percentage, and an OPS of .833 this season. LA has won 40 of their last 52 games against right-handed starting pitchers. The Dodgers have also won 49 of their last 68 against starting pitchers with a WHIP of 1.15 or lower.

FINAL TAKE: San Diego has lost 9 of their last 12 games against teams with a winning record — and Los Angeles has won 12 of their last 17 against teams with a winning record. 25* MLB Sunday Night ESPN Game of the Month with the money-line on the Los Angeles Dodgers (964) versus the San Diego Padres (963) listing both starting pitchers Dustin May and Joe Musgrove. Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 9:45 PM ET Thursday, we will be playing the Los Angeles Dodgers (908) minus the -1.5 Run-Line versus the San Diego Padres (907) listing both starting pitchers Walker Buehler and Ryan Weathers. THE SITUATION: The Los Angeles Dodgers (14-4) have won nine of their last eleven games after their 1-0 win at Seattle on Tuesday. San Diego (10-10) has lost three in a row after their 4-2 loss to Milwaukee yesterday.

REASONS TO TAKE THE DODGERS MINUS THE -1.5 RUN-LINE: Los Angeles has won a whopping 43 of their last 58 games after a win — including 11 of their 13 games this season after a victory. The Dodgers return home where they have won 90 of their last 122 games when favored over the last three seasons. Los Angeles has also won 24 of their last 30 home games with the Total set at 7 to 7.5. They give the ball to Buehler who is 1-0 with a 2.00 ERA and a 1.00 WHIP in three starts consisting of 18 innings. His strikeouts are down early along with his velocity — but his spin rate is up, perhaps a product of his new teammate (and Spin Doctor) Trevor Bauer. Buehler has relied mostly on his four-seam fastball but he should start relying more on his secondary pitches as the season moves forward. I have no worries about him at home where he had a 1.31 ERA with a 0.68 WHIP and an opponent’s batting average of .114 in four regular-season starts. Blisters held him back in the regular season during last year’s shortened season — but the 26-year-old is a starter I trust even after just three starts. He posted a 1.89 ERA in his four postseason starts last year en route to the Dodgers World Series Championship. Buehler has a career ERA of 2.39 with a 0.87 WHIP in his 197 innings at home. Los Angeles has won 17 of their last 22 home games with Buehler pitching as a favorite priced at -110 tor higher. The Dodgers have also won 27 of their last 34 games with Buehler pitching as a favorite priced higher than -150. He should fare well against this Padres team that is scoring only 3.1 Runs-Per-Game in their last seven games with a .200 batting average, an on-base percentage of .288, and an OPS of .573. San Diego has lost 4 of their last 5 games against right-handed starting pitchers — and they have lost 11 of their last 16 games against starting pitchers with a WHIP of 1.15 or lower. The Padres have only scored three runs in their last three games while failing to hit a home run in three straight games. San Diego has lost 7 of their last 10 games after not scoring more than two runs in three straight games — and they have lost 8 of their last 11 games after going homerless in at least two straight contests. They counter with Ryan Weathers who is 1-0 with a 0.93 ERA and a 0.72 WHIP in 9 2/3 innings this season which involves four appearances including one start. Control is an issue for the 21-year-old — he has already issued four walks this season. While he has pitched two innings on the road this season (after not pitching in last year’s regular-season), this is his first professional start on the road. Tough assignment against the world champs who will have Mookie Betts play despite a nagging forearm issue. The Dodgers love playing under the lights — they are scoring 6.8 Runs-Per-Game in 11-night games with a .278 batting average, .358 on-base percentage, and an OPS of .852. LA has won 4 of their last 5 home games against right-handed starting pitchers. San Diego has lost 8 of their last 9 games against teams with a winning record — and the Dodgers have won 6 of their last 8 games against teams with a winning record.

FINAL TAKE: While none of these team trends take the -1.5 Run-Line into account, consider this: the Padres have lost eight of their ten games this season by more than one run, and the Dodgers have won eleven of their fourteen games this season by more than one run. 25* MLB National League West Run-Line of the Month with the Los Angeles Dodgers (908) minus the -1.5 Run-Line versus the San Diego Padres (907) listing both starting pitchers Walker Buehler and Ryan Weathers. Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 8:08 PM ET on Tuesday, we will be playing the money-line on the Tampa Bay Rays (961) versus the Los Angeles Dodgers (962) listing both starting pitchers Blake Snell and Tony Gonsolin in Game Six of the World Series. THE SITUATION: Tampa Bay (51-28) looks to force a climactic seventh game of the World Series tonight after losing Game Five on Sunday by a 4-2 score. Los Angeles (55-22) can win the World Series tonight. The Dodgers will be the designated home team for this game being played at Globe Life Park in Arlington, Texas.

REASONS TO TAKE THE RAYS WITH THE MONEY-LINE: Expect this feisty Tampa Bay team to win this game as an underdog. The Rays have won 18 of their last 22 games after a loss. They also have won 14 of their last 18 games after failing to score more than two runs in their last game — and this includes them winning their last five games after not scoring three or more runs in their last contest. Additionally, Tampa Bay has won 9 of their last 13 games after an off day. They also have won 14 of their last 20 games as an underdog. They give the ball to Snell who had a 4-2 with a 3.24 ERA and a 1.20 WHIP in eleven regular-season starts. The left-hander has a 2-2 record in these playoffs with a 3.33 ERA in 24 1/3 innings while striking out 28 batters. He last pitched in Game Two on Wednesday of last week — and the Rays have won 26 of their last 37 games when Snell is pitching with five or six days of rest. He faces a Dodgers team that has lost 5 of their last 7 games against left-handed starting pitchers in Interleague play. Los Angeles counters with Gonsolin who was 2-2 with a 2.31 ERA and a 0.84 WHIP in eight starts (nine games) in the regular season. The deeper sabermetrics called for regression with both his SIERA and xFIP projecting an ERA of 3.68 and 3.80. In this postseason, the right-hander has a 9.39 ERA along with a 1.70 WHIP in 7 2/3 innings — and his SIERA and xFIP of 5.94 and 7.10 agrees that he did not deserve much better results. The Dodgers have lost 5 of their last 8 games with Gonsolin making the start as a favorite priced up to -150.

FINAL TAKE: The Dodgers team that committed two errors on the final play of Game Five worries me. This remains a franchise that has lost 7 of their last 10 World Series games. Tampa Bay has won 5 of their last 6 playoff games when trailing in the series — and they have won 4 of their last 5 playoff games when facing elimination in the playoffs. Snell should outpitch Gonsolin to force a Game Seven on Wednesday. 25* Major League Baseball Game of the Year with the money-line on the Tampa Bay Rays (961) versus the Los Angeles Dodgers (962) listing both starting pitchers Blake Snell and Tony Gonsolin. Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 8:08 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Los Angeles Dodgers (957) and the Tampa Bay Rays (958) in Game Four of the World Series. THE SITUATION: Los Angeles (54-21) took a 2-1 lead in this series last night with their 6-2 victory over the Rays. Tampa Bay (50-27) has lost five of their last seven games. This game is being played on a neutral field at Globe Life Field in Arlington, Texas. The Rays are the designated home team.

REASONS TO TAKE OVER THE TOTAL: The Dodgers have played 5 of their last 7 games Over the Total after scoring at least five runs in their last game — and they have played 5 of their last 6 games Over the Total against an opponent who allowed at least five runs in their last game. Los Angeles has also played 7 of their last 8 games Over the Total priced as the favorite at least at -150. They give the ball to Urias who was 3-0 with a 3.27 ERA and a 1.15 WHIP in eleven regular-season appearances which included ten starts. The left-hander was not as effective on the road where his ERA rose to a 4.67 mark along with a 1.33 WHIP and an opponent’s batting average of .257 in four starts as compared to his 2.63 ERA, 1.06 WHIP, and .200 opponent’s batting average when pitching at home at Dodgers Stadium. Urias has been outstanding in this postseason — but I remain wary of his deeper sabermetrics with his SIERA and xFIP projecting an ERA of 4.88 and 5.06 from his peripheral numbers in the regular season. Urias has a 0.56 ERA in 16 innings in these playoffs but his SIERA and xFIP project an ERA of 3.34 and 3.80 moving forward based only on his peripheral numbers in this postseason. Tampa Bay has played 4 of their last 5 games Over the Total against starting pitchers with a WHIP of 1.15 or higher. The Rays have also played 8 of their last 9 games in Interleague play Over the Total against left-handed starting pitchers. Tampa Bay left only two runners on base yesterday — but they have played 5 of their last 8 games Over the Total after allowing no more than three runners on base in their last game. The Rays have also played 5 of their last 7 games Over the Total after allowing at least five runs in their last contest. Additionally, Tampa Bay has played 4 of their last 5 games Over the Total with the Total set in the 7 to 8.5 range. They counter with Yarbrough who was 1-4 with a 3.56 ERA and 1.19 in 55 2/3 innings of regular-season work. His SIERA and xFIP during that time projected an ERA of 4.44 and 4.32 respectively. The lefty has a nice 3.37 ERA in 10 2/3 innings in these playoffs — but I have had the Over circled for this Game Four because of his SIERA and xFIP for those 10 2/3 innings project his ERA to blow up to a 5.32 and 6.26 level respectively moving forward.

FINAL TAKE: The Dodgers have played 9 of their last 10 games Over the Total with Urias making the start as a favorite priced at -110 or higher. 25* Major League Baseball Total of the Year with Over the Total in the game between the Los Angeles Dodgers (957) and the Tampa Bay Rays (958). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 8:11 PM ET on Tuesday, we will be playing the Tampa Bay Rays (951) plus the +1.5 Run-Line versus the Los Angeles Dodgers (952) listing both starting pitchers Tyler Glasnow and Clayton Kershaw in Game One of the World Series. THE SITUATION: Tampa Bay (49-25) reached the World Series on Saturday with their 4-2 win over the Houston Astros in Game Seven of the ALCS. Los Angeles (52-20) joined them a day later on Sunday by defeating the Atlanta Braves in Game Seven of that series by a 4-3 score. The World Series will be played on a neutral field at Globe Life Field in Arlington, Texas. The Dodgers are the designated home team for Game One.

REASONS TO TAKE THE RAYS PLUS THE +1.5 RUN-LINE: Tampa Bay has won 20 of their last 28 games after a win by two runs or less — and they have won 36 of their last 53 games after not allowing more than two runs in their last game. The Rays have also won 9 of their last 11 games after an off day. Tampa Bay got by the Astros despite not scoring more than four runs in four straight games. But the Rays have then won 10 of their last 13 games after not scoring more than four runs in three straight games — and they have won 5 of their last 7 games after not scoring more than four runs in four straight games. They give the ball to Glasnow who was 5-1 in eleven regular-season starts with a 4.08 ERA and a 1.13 WHIP — and he was more effective on the road where he had a 3.45 ERA with a 1.09 WHIP in six starts. In four postseason starts spanning 19 1/3 innings this season, he has struck out 25 batters while walking only eight. Tampa Bay has won 16 of their last 20 games with Glasnow pitching after the team had a win. And while Glasnow last pitched on Wednesday of last week, the Rays have won 8 of their last 9 games with Glasnow pitching on five or six days of rest. Los Angeles has stranded ten runners in two straight games which is a disturbing sign for them — they have lost 9 of their last 13 games after stranding at least ten runners in two straight games. They give the ball to Kershaw who was 6-2 in ten regular-season starts with a 2.16 ERA and a 0.84 WHIP. The left-hander has been dealing with back spasms that not only canceled his planned Game Two start in the NLCS but also kept him from starting Game Seven on Sunday. His 5.72 ERA along with a 1.27 WHIP in his last two starts in these playoffs is concerning. His career 4.31 ERA in 177 1/3 innings of work in the postseason also raises alarms. He will be supported by a bullpen that has a 4.54 ERA in their last seven games. And Kershaw faces a Rays team that has won 11 of their last 16 games against left-handed starting pitchers. The Dodgers enter the World Series having lost 5 of their last 6 games in the Fall Classic — and they have also lost 3 of their last 4 games in the World Series with Kershaw making the start.

FINAL TAKE:  Tampa Bay has pulled the upset in 6 of their last 9 games when an underdog that is priced in the +125 to +175 price range. The Dodgers have won five of their last six games when priced higher than the -150 threshold — but two of those victories were just by one run. With the +1.5 Run-Line priced below my -150 price threshold, this is my preferred bet for this game. 25* MLB Tuesday Night Run-Line Special Feature with the Tampa Bay Rays (951) plus the +1.5 Run-Line versus the Los Angeles Dodgers (952) listing both starting pitchers Tyler Glasnow and Clayton Kershaw. Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 8:15 PM ET on Sunday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Atlanta Braves (909) and the Los Angeles Dodgers (910) in Game Seven of the National League Championship Series. THE SITUATION: Los Angeles (51-20) forced a climactic seventh game in the NLCS last night with their 3-1 victory over the Braves. Atlanta (43-28) has lost the last two games in this series. The NLCS is being played in Globe Life Field in Arlington, Texas with the Dodgers the designated home team batting last.

REASONS TO TAKE OVER THE TOTAL: The Braves give the ball to Anderson who was 3-2 with a 1.95 ERA and a 1.08 WHIP in six regular-season starts. He has pitched 15 2/3 innings of scoreless innings in his three postseason starts which are the sixth most in MLB history for a starting pitcher making his debut in the playoffs. We are approaching Christy Mathewson territory here — and I expect this streak to end tonight. The Dodgers now have a book on Anderson from which to develop a strategy. Anderson also showed some vulnerabilities by walking five batters in that start. Furthermore, the deeper sabermetrics show some red flags with both his SIERA and xFIP projecting an ERA of 3.82 and 3.45 moving forward from his regular-season peripheral numbers. He will be supported by a bullpen that has a 6.68 ERA with a 1.52 WHIP in their last seven games. The Braves pen did not allow a run last night — but they have then played 13 of their last 20 games Over the Total after a game where they did not allow an earned run. Atlanta has not committed an error in four straight games either — but they have then played 17 of their last 23 games Over the Total after not committing an error in two straight games. Additionally, the Braves have played 11 of their last 16 games Over the Total with the number set in the 8 to 8.5 range. Los Angeles has now played 4 of their last 5 games Over the Total in the playoffs as the favorite. They counter with May who will be pitching on just one day of rest after pitching on Friday — so he will not pitch more than an inning or two. The right-hander had a 2.57 ERA in the regular season — but his SIERA and xFIP project his ERA to be 4.29 and 3.98 respectively moving forward. Tony Gonsolin and Julio Urias will likely next be up as left-handers. Gonsolin had a 2.31 ERA during the regular season but I am wary of his SIERA and xFIP of 3.68 and 3.80. Urias had a 3.27 ERA with a 1.15 WHIP in the regular season but those numbers rose to a 4.67 and 1.33 when pitching away from Dodgers Stadium. Urias also has a SIERA of 4.88 and an xFIP of 5.06. The LA bullpen has a 4.54 ERA with a 1.37 WHIP over their last seven games.

FINAL TAKE: The Dodgers have played 4 straight games Over the Total against right-handed starting pitchers. Los Angeles is also scoring 6.7 Runs-Per-Game in their last seven games with a .263 batting average, .355 On-Base Percentage, and an OPS of .844. 25* MLB National League Total of the Year with Over the Total in the game between the Atlanta Braves (909) and the Los Angeles Dodgers (910). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 4:38 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing the money-line on the Los Angeles Dodgers (906) versus the Atlanta Braves (905) listing both starting pitchers Walker Buehler and Max Fried in Game Six of the National League Championship Series. THE SITUATION: Los Angeles (50-20) extended the NLCS to a sixth game last night with their 7-3 victory over the Braves. Atlanta (43-27) has lost two of their last three games. The NLCS is being played at Globe Life Field in Arlington, Texas. The Dodgers will be the designated home team for Game Six.

REASONS TO TAKE LOS ANGELES WITH THE MONEY-LINE: The Dodgers have won 38 of their last 52 games after scoring at least five runs in their last game. The last four games in this series have finished Over the Total — and Los Angeles has won 14 of their last 18 games after playing at least two straight Overs. The Dodgers have also won 39 of their last 53 games with the Total set in the 9 to 10.5 range. And in their last 55 day games, LA has won 43 of these contests. They give the ball to Buehler who allowed one run in 5 innings of work in Game One of this series. The right-hander had a 1-0 record with a 3.44 ERA and a 0.95 WHIP in eight regular season starts. In his three postseason starts, Buehler has a 2.77 ERA spanning 13 innings. The Dodgers have won 9 of their last 11 games in the second half of the season with Buehler on the hill. Atlanta has lost 3 of their last 4 playoff games when attempting to close out the series. Atlanta has also lost 13 of their last 21 games after playing two straight Overs. Additionally, the Braves have lost 4 of their last 5 games with the Total set in the 9 to 10.5 range. And in their last 12 games as an underdog priced in the +125 to +175 price range, Atlanta has lost 9 of these games. They counter with Fried who was 7-0 with a 2.25 ERA and a 1.09 WHIP in eleven regular season starts. The lefty has a 2.65 ERA along with a 1.06 WHIP in 17 postseason innings this year. But I remain concerned about his deeper sabermetrics with both his SIERA and xFIP projecting an ERA of 4.32 and 4.06 based off his regular season peripheral numbers. He faces a Dodgers team that has won 18 of their last 24 games against left-handed starting pitchers — and they have won 41 of their last 58 games against starting pitchers with a WHIP of 1.15 or lower.

FINAL TAKE: Los Angeles is averaging 7.1 Runs-Per-Game over their last seven games with a .270 batting average along with a .351 On-Base Percentage, and an OPS of .843. The Atlanta bullpen has a 6.25 ERA with a 1.39 WHIP in their last seven games. The Dodgers should force a climactic seventh game in the NLCS. 25* MLB National League Game of the Year with money-line on the Los Angeles Dodgers (906) versus the Atlanta Braves (905) listing both starting pitchers Walker Buehler and Max Fried. Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 6:07 PM ET on Friday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Houston Astros (901) and the Tampa Bay Rays (902) listing both starting pitchers Framber Valdez and Blake Snell in Game Six of the American League Championship Series. THE SITUATION: Houston (36-35) looks to build off the momentum of their 4-3 victory over the Rays last night. Tampa Bay (48-24) still holds a 3-2 lead in this series. This series is being played in San Diego’s Petco Park with the Rays being the designated home team for Game Six.

REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: The Under is 7-2-1 in the Astros’ last 10 games after a win. And while Houston’ bullpen blew the save last night after allowing a tying run in the top of the 8th inning, they have then played 32 of their last 47 games Under the Total after a blown save. The Astros have not scored more than four runs in five straight games — and they have then played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total after not scoring more than four runs in their last game. They also have played 4 straight games Under the Total with the Total set at 7 to 8.5. They give the ball to Valdez pitching on full rest after allowing two runs in 6 innings of work in Game One of this series on Sunday. The left-hander had a 5-3 record with a 3.57 ERA and a 1.12 WHIP in the regular season. The deeper sabermetrics validate those strong frontline numbers with both his SIERA and xFIP projecting an ERA of 3.61 and 3.16 moving forward. The Astros have played 5 of their last 7 games Under the Total with Valdez pitching with the Total set at 7 to 8.5 — and they have also played 6 of their last 8 games Under the Total with Valdez pitching during day games. He faces a slumping Rays lineup leaving hordes of runners on base. Tampa Bay is scoring only 2.9 Runs-Per-Game in their last seven contests with a .174 batting average along with a .247 batting average and an OPS of .573 during that span. The Rays have played 13 of their last 16 games Under the Total against starting pitchers with a WHIP of 1.15 or lower. They are also hitting just .219 with a .298 On-Base Percentage and an OPS of .703 against left-handed pitchers — and they have played 37 of their last 58 games Under the Total against left-handed starting pitchers. The Under is 14-5-1 in Tampa Bay’s last 20 games after a loss — and they have played 9 of their last 12 games Under the Total after a loss by two runs or less. The Rays are hitting only .175 over their last five games — and they have then played 17 of their last 25 games Under the Total after not hitting better than .225 in their last five games. Furthermore, Tampa Bay has also played 5 straight games Under the Total with the number set in the 7 to 8.5 range. They counter with Snell who allowed one run in 5 innings in Game One of this series on Sunday. The left-hander had a 4-2 record with a 3.24 ERA and a 1.20 WHIP in eleven regular-season starts. The Rays have played 13 of their last 19 games Under the Total with Snell pitching as a favorite priced in the -125 to -175 range. He will be supported by a bullpen that has a 2.38 ERA with a 1.24 WHIP in their last seven games. He faces an Astros team that has played 6 of their last 7 games Under the Total against left-handed starting pitchers.

FINAL TAKE: The Tampa Bay has played 15 of their last 19 games Under the Total when playing with revenge from a one-run loss. 25* MLB American League Total of the Year with Under the Total in the game between the Houston Astros (901) and the Tampa Bay Rays (902) listing both starting pitchers Framber Valdez and Blake Snell. Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 8:40 PM ET on Wednesday, we will be playing the money-line on the Tampa Bay Rays (971) versus the Houston Astros (972) listing both starting pitchers Tyler Glasnow and Zack Greinke in Game Four of the American League Championship Series. THE SITUATION: Tampa Bay (48-22) took a 3-0 lead in the ALCS with their 5-2 victory over the Astros yesterday. Houston (34-35) has lost four of their last five games. This series is being played on a neutral field at Petco Park in San Diego.

REASONS TO TAKE THE RAYS WITH THE MONEY-LINE: Tampa Bay has won 5 of their last 7 games after scoring at least five runs in their last game. The Rays have also won 36 of their last 52 games after not allowing more than two runs in their last game. Tampa Bay has not allowed more than two runs in four straight games — and they have won 9 of their last 12 games after not allowing more than three runs in their last two contests. They are getting great efforts out of their bullpen that has a 2.18 ERA with a 1.24 WHIP over the last seven days. They give the ball to Glasnow who is 5-1 with a 4.08 ERA and a 1.13 WHIP in eleven regular-season starts. The right-hander was more effective on the road with his 3.45 ERA along with a 1.09 WHIP and .190 opponent’s batting average in six road starts. The deeper sabermetrics are bullish on Glasnow with both his SIERA and xFIP projecting an ERA of 3.04 and 2.75 moving forward from his deeper peripherals. Glasnow has been sharp in the postseason. He has an ERA of 4.05 given one mediocre outing — but his WHIP is 1.13 in 13 1/3 playoff innings while striking out 20 batters and walking only six. His last outing was on October 9th when he pitched 2 1/3 scoreless innings in Game Five of the ALDS against the New York Yankees on just two days of rest. Tampa Bay has won 13 straight games with Glasnow pitching with the Total set in the 8 to 8.5 range. Houston has now lost 4 of their last 5 games against teams with a winning percentage over 60%. They also have lost 16 of their last 22 games as an underdog. They counter with Greinke who was 3-3 with a 4.03 ERA and a 1.13 WHIP in twelve starts during the regular season. The right-hander was not as effective on the road where he saw his ERA and WHIP rise to 4.59 and 1.20 marks with his opponents hitting a .267 against him in six starts. Greinke has been dealing with arm soreness which may be limiting his effectiveness. He has not completed five innings of work in three straight starts. He allowed four runs in 4 2/3 innings in his last start against Oakland on October 8th. In his 8 2/3 innings in the postseason this year, Greinke has a 5.19 ERA with only five strikeouts. He will be supported by a shaky bullpen that has a 4.24 ERA and 1.47 WHIP this season — and those numbers rise to 4.78 and 1.52 marks in night games.

FINAL TAKE: The record was mixed in the NBA and NHL regarding how teams performed when facing playoff elimination. Some teams like the Denver Nuggets maintained their resolve. However, many teams saw the opportunity to escape the bubble required for those playoff games and gave only a half-hearted effort in their final game. I suspect this embattled Astros team that has been under the microscope all year for the cheating scandal will have one eye on the exit door tonight. They sleepwalked through the regular season. They also have lost 3 of their last 4 playoff games with Greinke pitching in an elimination game. 25* MLB American League Game of the Year with the money-line on the Tampa Bay Rays (971) versus the Houston Astros (972) listing both starting pitchers Tyler Glasnow and Zack Greinke. Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 7:10 PM ET on Friday, we will be playing the Tampa Bay Rays (934) plus the +1.5 Run-Line versus the New York Yankees (933) listing both starting pitchers Gerrit Cole and Tyler Glasnow in Game Five of their American League Divisional Series. THE SITUATION: Tampa Bay (44-22) looks to rebound from their 5-1 loss to the Yankees yesterday in Game Four of this series. New York (37-29) has won four of their last six games after their win on Thursday. This game is being played on a neutral field at San Diego’s Petco Park with the Rays the designed home team batting last tonight.

REASONS TO TAKE THE RAYS PLUS THE +1.5 RUN-LINE: Tampa Bay has won 14 of their last 16 games after a loss — and they have won 6 of their last 7 games after a loss by at least four runs. The Rays have also won 4 of their last 5 games after not scoring more than two runs in their last game — and they have won 37 of their last 55 games after allowing at least five runs in their last game. And while they managed just three base hits yesterday, they have then won 6 of their last 7 games after not allowing more than four base hits in their last game. They give the ball to Glasnow who is 5-1 with a 4.08 ERA and a 1.13 WHIP this season. The tall right-hander registered 92 strikeouts in just 57 1/3 innings of work. The sabermetrics are bullish on Glasnow with both his SIERA and xFIP projecting an ERA of 3.04 and 2.75 moving forward. He was more effective away from home where he had a 3.45 ERA with a 1.09 WHIP and an opponent’s batting average of .190 in six starts. Glasnow has punched out 18 batters in the 11 innings he has thrown in this postseason. The Rays have won 10 of their last 11 games with Glasnow making the start with the Total set in the 7 to 8.5 range. He will likely go through the Yankees’ batting order once before giving way to Blake Snell who was 4-2 with a 3.24 ERA and a 1.20 WHIP in eleven regular-season starts. Snell has a 3.37 ERA in his 10 2/3 innings of work in these playoffs. New York has lost 7 of their last 8 road games after winning four or five of their last six games. The Yankees have also lost 11 of their last 16 games on the road after playing at least three straight games against an AL East rival. The Yankees counter with Cole who will be making his first-ever career start on just three days of rest after he pitched Game One of this series. While Cole was 7-3 with a 2.84 ERA in the regular season, his ERA rose to a 3.67 mark in his six starts on the road. The sabermetrics also call for regression with both his SIERA and xFIP projecting an ERA of 3.21 and 3.38 respectively. He also has a 3.45 ERA in his 13 innings of postseason work this year. Nothing wrong with an ERA expectation in the mid-3s — but it certainly changes the betting dynamic when looking at his frontline numbers or evaluating him from his spectacular 2019 season with the Houston Astros. The Rays have won 6 of their last 8 games against starting pitchers with a WHIP of 1.15.

FINAL TAKE: The Yankees have lost 3 straight playoff games when the series was tied. And Tampa Bay has won 11 of its last 15 games as an underdog. I think this game is closer to being a pick ‘em — so the ability to seize the valuable +1.5 Run-Line (with the home team!) at a price below my -150 threshold presents outstanding value. 25* MLB AL East Run-Line of the Year with the Tampa Bay Rays (934) plus the +1.5 Run-Line versus the New York Yankees (933) listing both starting pitchers Gerrit Cole and Tyler Glasnow. Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 7:10 PM ET on Thursday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Tampa Bay Rays (925) and the New York Yankees (926) listing both starting pitchers Ryan Thompson and Jordan Montgomery in Game Four of their American League Divisional Series. THE SITUATION: Tampa Bay (44-21) took a 2-1 lead in this best-of-five series yesterday with their 8-4 victory in Game Three of this series. New York (36-29) has lost the last two games in this series.

REASONS TO TAKE OVER THE TOTAL: The Rays have played 8 of their last 12 games Over the Total after a win by at least four runs — and they have played 24 of their last 36 games after a game where they scored at least eight runs in their last game. Tampa Bay scored seven runs in their Game Two victory on Tuesday — and they have then played 17 of their last 26 games Over the Total after scoring at least seven runs in two straight games. They turn to Thomson as their opener tonight who is 1-2 with a 4.44 ERA and a 1.41 WHIP in 26 1/3 innings of work this season — but he sees his ERA and WHIP skyrocket to an 8.49 and 1.80 marks with an opponent’s batting average of .340 in 11 2/3 innings away from home. Ryan Yarbrough will likely then be the bulk pitcher for the Rays in this game — he was 1-4 with a 3.56 ERA and a 1.19 WHIP in 55 2/3 innings. The deeper sabermetrics are not encouraging for Yarbrough with his SIERA and xFIP projecting an ERA of 4.44 and 4.37 respectively moving forward. He faces a Yankees team that is scoring 7.3 Runs-Per-Game over their last seven games with a .270 batting average along with a .371 On-Base Percentage, and an OPS of .892 over that span. New York has played 5 of their last 7 games Over the Total after a loss — and they have played 5 of their last 6 games Over the Total after allowing at least five runs in their last game. The Yankees have now played five straight Overs — and not only have they then played 29 of their last 43 games away from home Over the Total after playing two straight Overs but they have also played 19 of their last 27 games on the road Over the Total after playing at least three straight games Over the Total. The Bronx Bombers have also played 4 straight games Over the Total when favored. They counter with Montgomery who is 2-5 with a 5.11 ERA and  1.30 WHIP in ten starts. But while the left-hander had a 3.71 ERA with a 1.09 WHIP and an opponent’s batting average of .238 in six starts at home, those numbers jump to a 7.27 ERA with a 1.62 WHIP and an opponent’s batting average of .303 in four road starts. New York has played 6 of their last 9 games Over the Total with Montgomery pitching when favored in the -125 to -175 price range.

FINAL TAKE: Tampa Bay is also swinging hot bats right now — they are scoring 5.4 Runs-Per-Game in their last seven games with a .258 batting average along with a .328 On-Base Percentage and an OPS of .787 in those games. 25* MLB AL East Total of the Year with Over the Total in the game between the Tampa Bay Rays (925) and the New York Yankees (926) listing both starting pitchers Ryan Thompson and Jordan Montgomery. Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 9:08 PM ET on Wednesday, we will be playing the Los Angeles Dodgers (920) minus the -1.5 Run-Line versus the San Diego Padres (919) listing both starting pitchers Clayton Kershaw and Zach Davies in Game Two of the National League Divisional Series. THE SITUATION: Los Angeles (46-17) has won seven straight games after their 5-1 victory over the Padres in the opening game of this NLDS yesterday. San Diego (39-25) had won two straight games after dropping the first game of their best-of-three wildcard series with St. Louis. This game will be played on a neutral field at Global Life Field in Arlington, Texas with the Dodgers the designated home team that will bat last.

REASONS TO TAKE THE DODGERS MINUS THE -1.5 RUN-LINE: Los Angeles has won 40 of their last 55 games after a victory — and they have won 36 of their last 51 games after scoring at least five runs in their last game. And while the Dodgers have played four straight Unders, they have then won 26 of their last 33 games after playing at least three straight Unders. And in their last 6 games against teams with a winning percentage over 60%, LA has won 5 of these contests. They give the ball to Kershaw who is 6-2 with a 2.16 ERA and a 0.84 WHIP in ten regular season starts. He did his better pitching away from Dodger Stadium this season where he enjoyed a 1.84 ERA with a 0.68 WHIP and an opponent’s batting average of .163 in seven starts. The left-hander was outstanding last Thursday in his start in the wildcard series against the Brewers where he allowed no runs and just three hits in 8 innings of work while striking out 13 batters and walking just one hitter. I am well aware of Kershaw’s struggles in the postseason — we have made a lot of money over the years betting against him (or taking Overs) with his career 4.63 playoff ERA. I think this is an instance where the lack of fans in the stadium is alleviating pressure Kershaw placed on himself when pitching with playoff urgency. His start last Thursday was not only the best start in playoff action in his career but it was also his best start at any time since May 23rd 2016 according his Game Score rating. Kershaw changed his offseason workout program to regain velocity on his fastball while also altering his routine between starts. I think he is primed for another outstanding outing pitching in the Dallas area where he grew up. Kershaw has not allowed more than an earned run in three straight starts — and not only have the Dodgers won 24 of their last 27 games when he was starting after not allowing more than two earned runs in two straight games but LA has won 9 of their last 10 games when Kershaw was pitching after not allowing more than one earned run in at least two straight starts. San Diego has lost 21 of their last 30 games against starting pitchers with a WHIP of 1.15 or lower. The Padres have also lost 5 of their last 8 games after a loss by at least four runs. Additionally, San Diego has lost 21 of their last 30 games after not scoring more than two runs in their last game — and they have lost 4 straight games after failing to score more than a run in a loss to a divisional rival. Furthermore, the Padres have lost 32 of their last 47 games as an underdog — and they have lost 5 straight playoff games as a dog. They counter with Davies who is 7-4 with a 2.73 ERA and a 1.07 WHIP in twelve regular season starts. I am skeptical of the right-hander due to his SIERA and xFIP that project an ERA of 4.32 and 4.14 moving forward. He struggled in his start last Thursday against the Cardinals in the playoffs where he allowed four earned runs in 2 innings of work. The Brewers may have created the blueprint as to how to handle him — lay off his sinker and other junk pitches that fall out of the  strike zone. Patience at the plate is playoff baseball anyways. And the San Diego bullpen is a mess right now. With Mike Clevinger only able to pitch one inning yesterday, the Padres’ pen used eight pitchers for the third straight playoff game after “only” using seven bullpen pitchers in their opening playoff game to the Cardinals. Davies (and this overworked bullpen) faces a Dodgers team that has won 39 of their last 55 games against starting pitchers with a WHIP of 1.15 or lower. LA is scoring 6.0 Runs-Per-Game against right-handed starting pitchers with a .255 batting average along with a .325 On-Base Percentage, and an OPS of .814.

FINAL TAKE: Of course, the team trends mentioned above do not take into account the -1.5 Run-Line we are laying in this game. This is the fourteenth straight game where the Dodgers were priced as a favorite above my -150 threshold (where I will not endorse a straight-up money-line play). LA has won ten of these games by more than one run while losing two of the games straight-up and winning just once by just one run. The value with the Dodgers is to lay the -1.5 Run-Line. 25* MLB National League West Run-Line of the Year with the Los Angeles Dodgers (920) minus the -1.5 Run-Line versus the San Diego Padres (919) listing both starting pitchers Clayton Kershaw and Zach Davies. Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 2:08 PM ET on Wednesday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Miami Marlins (917) and the Atlanta Braves (918) listing both starting pitchers Pablo Lopez and Ian Anderson in Game Two in the National League Divisional Series. THE SITUATION: Atlanta (38-25) has won three straight games after winning Game One of this series yesterday by a 9-5 score. Miami (33-30) saw their three-game winning streak snapped in the loss. This game will be played at Minute Maid Park in Houston with the Braves the technical home team batting last.

REASONS TO TAKE OVER THE TOTAL: The Over is 12-4-4 in the Braves’ last 20 games after a victory — and the Over is 17-6-5 in their last 28 games after scoring at least five runs in their last game. Atlanta has also played 15 of their last 19 games Over the Total after winning two games in a row. Additionally, the Braves have played 10 of their last 12 games Over the Total with the number set in the 8 to 8.5 range. And in their last 33 games as a favorite, the Over is 20-9-4. They give the ball to Anderson who is with 3-2 with a 1.95 ERA and a 1.08 WHIP in six starts. The deeper metrics are not as bullish with both his SIERA and xFIP projecting an ERA of 3.82 and 3.45 moving forward. Miami has played 19 of their last 29 games Over the Total after a loss — and they have played 12 of their last 16 games Over the Total after a loss by at least four runs. The Marlins have also played 8 of their last 11 games Over the Total after allowing at least nine runs in their last game. Additionally, Miami has played 5 of their last 6 games Over the Total with the number set in the 7 to 8.5 range. And in their last 7 second games to a new series, the Marlins have played 5 of these games Over the Total. The Miami bullpen surrendered four runs in the final three innings yesterday — and they have played 8 of their last 13 games Over the Total after a game where their bullpen allowed at least three earned runs in their last game. They counter with Lopez who was 6-4 with a 3.61 ERA and 1.19 WHIP in eleven regular-season starts. But while the right-hander had a 2.56 ERA with a 0.95 WHIP in five starts at home, those numbers rose to a 4.91 ERA with a 1.48 WHIP in six starts on the road. He has not allowed more than two earned runs in his last three starts — but the Marlins have played 4 of their last 6 games Over the Total when Lopez is pitching after not allowing more than two earned runs in his last two starts. He faces a hot-hitting Braves team that is scoring 6.0 Runs-Per-Game against right-handed starting pitchers with a .272 batting average, .346 On-Base Percentage, and an OPS of .835. The Over is also 16-6-3 in Miami’s last 25 games against right-handed starting pitchers.

FINAL TAKE: Atlanta has seen the Over go 17-7-3 in their last 27 games against NL East opponents — and the Over is 21-10-2 in Miami’s last 33 games against NL East divisional rivals. 25* MLB Network Total of the Year with Over the Total in the game between the Miami Marlins (917) and the Atlanta Braves (918). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 8:10 PM ET on Tuesday, we will be playing the money-line on the Tampa Bay Rays (904) versus the New York Yankees (903) listing both starting pitchers Tyler Glasnow and Deivi Garcia in Game Two of their American League Divisional Series. THE SITUATION: Tampa Bay (42-21) saw their six-game winning streak snapped yesterday with their 9-3 loss to the Yankees in the opening game of their ALDS. New York (36-27) has won three straight games as well as four of their last five contests. This game will be played on a neutral field at San Diego’s Petco Park. The Rays are the technical home team who will bat last.

REASONS TO TAKE TAMPA BAY WITH THE MONEY-LINE: The Rays should respond with a strong effort as they have won 13 of their last 16 games after a loss — and they have won 5 of their last 6 games after a loss by at least four runs. And while the Tampa Bay bullpen gave up five earned runs yesterday, they have then won 5 of their last 6 games after a game where their bullpen allowed at least four earned runs. The Rays have also won 19 of their last 26 games after allowing at least five runs in their last contest. And this remains a team that has won 36 of their last 53 games against teams with a winning record. They give the ball to Glasnow who is 5-1 with a 4.08 ERA and a 1.13 WHIP this season. The tall right-hander registered 92 strikeouts in just 57 1/3 innings of work. The sabermetrics are bullish on Glasnow with both his SIERA and xFIP projecting an ERA of 3.04 and 2.75 moving forward. He was more effective away from home where he had a 3.45 ERA with a 1.09 WHIP and an opponent’s batting average of .190 in six starts. He was very good in Game One of the AL Wildcard round where he allowed two runs in 6 innings of work against Milwaukee on September 30th. His teams have won 12 straight games when he was pitching with the Total set in the 8 to 8.5 range. The Yankees were favored yesterday with Gerrit Cole on the hill but are underdogs tonight — and they have lost 7 of their last 9 games as a money-line underdog. New York has also lost 20 of their last 26 playoff games as an underdog. They counter with Deivi Garcia who is 3-2 with a 4.98 ERA and a 1.19 WHIP in six starts spanning 34 1/3 innings. The rookie did his best pitching at home at Yankee Stadium where he had a 3.20 ERA with a 1.02 WHIP and an opponent’s batting average of .224 — but those numbers rise to a 7.36 ERA, 1.43 WHIP, and .290 opponent’s batting average of .290 in his 14 2/3 innings of work pitching on the road. He faces a Tampa Bay team that has won 32 of their last 45 games against right-handed starting pitchers.

FINAL TAKE: The Yankees have lost 11 of their last 17 games when listed in the +/- 125 price range — and the Rays have won 12 of their last 15 games when priced in that +/- 125 range. 25* MLB American League East Game of the Year with the money-line on the Tampa Bay Rays (904) versus the New York Yankees (903) listing both starting pitchers Tyler Glasnow and Deivi Garcia. Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 7:08 PM ET on Friday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the St. Louis Cardinals (977) and the San Diego Padres (978) (action — do not list starting pitchers). THE SITUATION: San Diego (38-24) forced a climactic third game in this series yesterday with their 11-9 victory over the Cardinals. St. Louis (31-29) won the opening game of this series on Wednesday by a 7-4 score.

REASONS TO TAKE OVER THE TOTAL: The Padres have now won four of their last five games — and they have played 26 of their last 37 games at home Over the Total after winning three of their last four games. San Diego has also played 6 of their last 8 games Over the Total after a game where both teams scored at least eight runs — and they have played 19 of their last 27 games Over the Total after a game where they allowed at least nine runs. Furthermore, the Under is 5-1-1 in the Padres last 7 games both against teams with a winning record and at home hosting a team with a winning record. Manager Jayce Tingler has not announced a starting pitcher — and it just doesn’t matter as this will be a bullpen game before it is over. Likely candidate one to start the game is Adrian Morejon with his 2-2 record along with a 4.66 ERA and 1.24 WHIP in 19 1/3 innings consisting of nine appearances with four starts. Morejon sees his ERA rise to a 7.59 mark with a 1.50 WHIP and an opponent’s batting average of .295 in his 10 2/3 innings at home. Both his SIERA and xFIP scream to fade this guy with those analytics projecting an ERA of 8.10 and 7.53 moving forward based on his deeper peripheral numbers. Garrett Richards is candidate two to start the 1st inning as was in the rotation to start the season before being moved to the bullpen in anticipation of the playoffs. Richards has a 2-2 record with a 4.03 ERA and a 1.25 WHIP in 51 1/3 innings this summer. His SIERA and xFIP assess he has been overachieving with their 4.55 and 4.46 ERA projections. Even worse, Richards has a 5.85 ERA with a 1.50 WHIP in 20 innings at home. Tingler will have to rely on a tired bullpen sooner rather than later in this game. After using seven relievers in Game One, Tingler went to the mound to change pitchers eight times yesterday. Six of his relievers have pitched in both games. Overall, the San Diego bullpen has logged in 13 2/3 innings of work after the 6 innings they logged-in yesterday. The Padres have played 12 of their last 16 games Over the Total after a game where their bullpen pitched at least six innings. The San Diego bullpen already has a 4.66 ERA with a 1.39 WHIP for day games (and the lights will be off for most of this game on the west coast). St. Louis’ bullpen has pitched 15 innings over their last three games — and they have played 5 of their last 7 games Over the Total after having their bullpen pitch at least 13 combined innings over their last three games. The Cardinals have also played 8 of their last 11 games Over the Total after scoring at least five runs in their last game. They counter with Flaherty who is 4-3 with a 4.91 ERA and a 1.21 WHIP in nine starts this season. But while the right-hander has a 2.67 ERA with a 0.96 WHIP and an opponent’s batting average of .186 at home, he is burdened with a 9.45 ERA with a 1.73 WHIP and .288 opponent’s batting average in four starts on the road. St. Louis has played 10 of their last 12 playoff games Over the Total as an underdog — and the Over is 17-6-1 in their last 24 games in the playoffs on the road.

FINAL TAKE: The Cardinals have scored 21 runs with a minimum of five runners players over their last three games. San Diego has scored 32 run overs over their last five games with a minimum of four runs scored in each game. UPDATE: Craig Stammen has been named the opening starting pitcher for the Padres with his 5.63 ERA and 1.29 WHIP. The Over remains strong — but let’s go with action rather than listing the starting pitchers, I don’t want anything messing this play up since the bet is, in part, against, all the available options for Tingler. 25* MLB Wildcard Playoff Total of the Year with Over the Total in the game between the St. Louis Cardinals (977) and the San Diego Padres (978) (action — do not list starting pitchers given the uncertainty with the Padres and because it just doesn’t matter). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 3:10 PM ET on Thursday, we will be playing the money-line on the Oakland A’s (964) versus the Chicago White Sox (963) listen both starting pitchers Mike Fiers and Dane Dunning in Game Three of their American League Wildcard Playoff Series. THE SITUATION: Oakland (37-25) evened this series at 1-1 yesterday with their 5-3 victory over the White Sox. Chicago (36-26) has now lost eight of their last nine games.

REASONS TO TAKE THE A’S WITH THE MONEY-LINE: Oakland has now won 19 of their last 27 home games against teams with a winning record — and they have won 7 of their last 10 home games when priced in the +/- 125 price range. The A’s have not surrendered more than four runs in three straight games — and they have then won 26 of their last 35 home games after not allowing more than four runs in their last three games. And while Oakland only stranded three runners yesterday as they struggled with getting players on base after the 1st inning, they have then won 6 of their last 8 games after stranding five or fewer batters in their last game. Manager Bob Melvin has decided this morning to give the ball to Fiers to be his starter — and this gives the A’s a number of advantages. First, he wanted to avoid sending out another left-hander with Sean Manaea his consideration after the White Sox won their fifteenth straight game against a left-handed starting pitcher on Tuesday against their Jesus Luzardo. Fiers is 6-3 with a 4.58 ERA and a 1.37 WHIP this season — but Oakland has won 16 of their last 20 home games with him making the start. The right-hander is also pitching on six days rest after scattering two runs in 5 innings of work in his last start on the road against the Dodgers last Friday. The A’s have won 14 of their last 16 home games with Fiers pitching with five or six days of rest. Fiers is nothing if not consistent — he has not allowed more than three earned runs in six of his last seven starts. The White Sox have lost 8 straight games against right-handed starting pitchers. Melvin will have a quick hook as soon as Fiers gets into trouble — he can then turn to Manaea to face the lefties in the White Sox starting lineup. Manaea is 4-3 with a 4.50 ERA and a 1.20 WHIP this season — but he sees his ERA and WHIP drop to a 3.91 and 0.95 WHIP in his 25 1/3 innings at home. Melvin can also turn to Frankie Montas for bulk inning work who has a has a 2.56 ERA with a 1.20 WHIP and an opponent’s batting average of .225 in 31 2/3 innings of work when pitching at home this season. Chicago has now lost 7 straight games as an underdog — and they have lost 7 of their last 9 games against teams with a winning record. The White Sox have also lost 6 of their last 7 games on the road — and they have lost 10 of their last 14 road games as an underdog. They counter with Dunning who is 2-0 with a 3.97 ERA and a 1.19 WHIP in seven starts since being called up from their alternate training facility. But the book may be started to be written on the rookie who has been hit hard of nine runs (eight earned) along with nine hits in the seven innings of work he has completed in his last two starts. And while Dunning has a 3.72 ERA with a 0.93 WHIP and an opponent’s batting average of .162 at home, he sees his ERA rise to a 4.30 ERA with a 1.36 WHIP and an opponent’s batting average of .237 in his three road starts.

FINAL TAKE: While the White Sox are playing in their first postseason since 2008, the A’s have plenty of recent experience in the playoffs but have yet to get over the hump to advance to the next round. This experience along with perhaps the best bullpen in baseball (their 3.53 bullpen ERA was the best in MLB in the regular season) should make the difference for them to finally win another playoff series. 25* MLB American League Wildcard Game of the Year with the money-line on the Oakland A’s (964) versus the Chicago White Sox (963) listen both starting pitchers Mike Fiers and Dane Dunning. Best of luck for us — Frank.