5* NO BRAINER on Rays +126

All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.

5* NO BRAINER on Rays +155

All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.

5* NO BRAINER on Rays +142

All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.

5* NO BRAINER on Rays +128

All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.

5* NO BRAINER on Rays +165

All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.

5* NO BRAINER on Dodgers -139

All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.

5* NO BRAINER on Astros +115

All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.

5* NO BRAINER on Astros +126

All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.

5* NO BRAINER on Rays -136

All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.

5* NO BRAINER on Braves +175

All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.

5* NO BRAINER on Dodgers -155

All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.

5* NO BRAINER on Astros +132

All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.

5* NO BRAINER on Rays +146

All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.

5* NO BRAINER on Yankees -128

All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.

5* NO BRAINER on Braves -200

All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.

5* NO BRAINER on Rays -116

All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.

5* NO BRAINER on Astros +131

All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.

5* NO BRAINER on Cubs -200

All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.

5* NO BRAINER on Cardinals +150

All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.

5* NO BRAINER on Rays -134

All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.

5* NO BRAINER on Twins -160

All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.

5* NO BRAINER on Marlins +163

All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.

5* NO BRAINER on Cubs +140

All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.

5* NO BRAINER on Phillies +151

All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.

5* NO BRAINER on Red Sox -140

All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.

5* NO BRAINER on Cardinals -120

All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.

5* NO BRAINER on Rays -125

All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.

5* NO BRAINER on Phillies -150

All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.

5* NO BRAINER on Brewers -140

All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.

5* NO BRAINER on Astros -160

All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.

5* BEST BET on Mets +114

All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.

5* BEST BET on Diamondbacks +178

All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.

5* BEST BET on Rockies +151

All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.

5* BEST BET on Braves -154

All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.

5* BEST BET on Brewers -150

All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.

5* BEST BET on Astros +150

All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.

5* BEST BET on Angels -120

All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.

5* BEST BET on Phillies -110

All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.

5* BEST BET on Nationals +109

All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.

5* BEST BET on Astros -195

All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.

5* BEST BET on Cubs -148

All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.

5* BEST BET on Phillies -119

All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.

5* BEST BET on Mariners +174

All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.

5* BEST BET on Cardinals -115

All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.

5* BEST BET on Phillies -140

All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.

5* BEST BET on Diamondbacks -115

All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.

5* BEST BET on Red Sox +110

All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.

5* BEST BET on Royals +175

All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.

5* BEST BET on Diamondbacks -120

All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.

5* BEST BET on Orioles +111

All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.

5* BEST BET on Nationals -195

All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.

5* BEST BET on Red Sox +131

All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.

5* BEST BET on Phillies -120

All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.

5* BEST BET on Rockies +150

All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.

5* BEST BET on Phillies -165

All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.

5* BEST BET on Diamondbacks +120

All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.

5* BEST BET on Pirates +175

All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.

5* BEST BET on Cubs +115

All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.

5* BEST BET on Mariners +125

All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.

5* BEST BET on Angels +115

All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.

5* BEST BET on Phillies +140

All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.

5* BEST BET on Diamondbacks +130

All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.

5* BEST BET on Cardinals +120

All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.

5* BEST BET on Cubs -108

All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.

5* BEST BET on Blue Jays +148

All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.

5* MLB - World Series Game 7 VEGAS INSIDER  on Nationals +125

I love the value here with Washington as a road dog in Game 7. The road team has won all 6 games in the series so far and I expect that trend to continue with the Nationals sending out Max Scherzer against Zack Greinke. 

Scherzer was a late scratch for Game 4, but is ready to go for Game 7 and there's not a guy I would rather have on the mound in a winner take all than him. As for Greinke, he hasn't looked great in the postseason. He started Game 3 at Washington and only gave up 1 run in 4 2/3 innings, but gave up 7 hits and walked 3. 

I also think all the pressure is on the Astros being the heavy favorites to win it all when the series started. Nationals have been playing with house money since that epic rally in the Wild Card game and I'm confident they find a way to win this one. Take Washington! 

5* MLB - Astros/Nationals WS Game 4 TOP PLAY on Astros +106

After nailing Houston in Game 3 last night, we are now a perfect 3-0 in the World Series. I love Houston again in Game 4, as I see this thing being tied up 2-2 going into Game 5. Astros won 4-1 on Friday. 

Most will assume Washington has the edge on the mound with Pat Corbin against rookie Jose Urquidy. I don't think so. Corbin has got just 2 starts this postseason. While he's struckout 21 hitters in just 11 innings, he's also allowed 6 runs and issued 8 walks. I look for Houston to get to him early and often in this one. 

Astros are 43-14 in their last 57 road games vs a left-handed starter, while Washington is a mere 8-17 in their last 25 at home vs a team that's won more than 62% of their games. Take Houston! 

5* MLB - Astros/Nationals Game 3 VEGAS INSIDER on Astros -118

We cashed in on the Nationals in each of the first two games of the series. Most will be looking to stay on Washington after how impressive they looked in Games 1 and 2, but my money is on the Astros to make this a series and avoid going down 3-0. 

Houston definitely has the edge on the mound here with Greinke going up against Sanchez. After a couple poor starts to open up the postseason, Greinke pitched much better in Game 4 against the Yankees. Greinke has owned the Nationals, going 6-1 with a 1.27 ERA and 0.830 WHIP in 9 career starts. Take Houston! 

5* MLB - World Series G2 VEGAS INSIDER on Nationals +168

Most are going to want to take the Astros in Game 2, as they will just assume Houston is going to even up the series after losing Game 1 at home. I get it, but the value here is too good to pass up with Washington. 

We saw the Nationals offense get to Cole in Game 1 and he had been incredible before that outing. I think they stay hot against Verlander, who has not been elite of late. He's given up 5 HR's in his last 3 starts. Washington's Stephen Strasburg has been dominant in the playoffs and owns a 1.89 ERA and 0.895 WHIP in his last 3 starts. Take Washington! 

5* BEST BET on Yankees +133

Analysis will be posted shortly

5* MLB - Astros/Yankees ALCS Vegas INSIDER on Astros -140

We cashed in a Top Play on the Astros in Game 4 last night and will fire right back with Houston in Game 5. It's game over for the Yankees. This Astros team is too good and they aren't going to take their foot off the gas until the job is done. 

It certainly helps they got one of the best pitchers in the game on the mound in Justin Verlander, who you know is going to be 100% locked in, knowing he can end New York's season on their home field. 

I just think with how James Paxton has looked in his two postseason starts, the Yankees are going to behind the 8-ball from the get go. Paxton gave up 3 runs on 5 hits in 4 2/3 innings against Minnesota and lasted just 2 1/3 innings in Game 2 of this series. Take Houston! 

5* MLB - Astros/Yankees ALCS G4 VEGAS INSIDER on Astros +121

I like the value here with Houston as a road dog in Game 4 of the ALCS. Astros are up 2-1 in the series and I just don't see them not advancing. I think we are getting value with Houston in Game 4 because of how Zack Greinke has struggled in his first two postseason starts. 

Greinke was really bad in his lone start against the Rays, but he was much better in Game 1 despite the Yankees winning 7-0. I think Greinke is poised for a great outing. I know Masahiro Tanaka was outstanding in Game 1 and has pitched well in the postseason, but with the wind blowing out tonight, I think Houston's lineup will get to him early. 

Note that one of the big problems for Tanaka is how teams are able to adjust to him after seeing his stuff. Tanaka has allowed opposing teams to post a ridiculous .309 average the third time through the order. I know this is a new start, but I think it definitely benefits the Astros having just seen Tanaka a few days ago. Take Houston! 

5* MLB - Astros/Yankees Game 3 NO-BRAINER on Yankees +150

Absolutely love this spot and price with the Yankees as a huge home dog against the Astros. Houston is without a doubt the consensus pick to win it all right now and it has them overvalued. Yankees are every bit as good as the Astros and simply should not be this big a dog at home. 

I know Houston has Gerrit Cole on the mound and he's been unbelievable of late, but this Yankees lineup is not like others. They got power up and down the order and have given Cole trouble in the post. He has a 4.15 ERA in 2 starts against the Yankees. 

It's also not like New York isn't in great shape on the mound. They will send out Luis Severino, who has a 1.50 ERA in his last 3 starts and has a 0.00 ERA and 0.778 WHIP in 2 home starts. In his 2 starts vs Houston last year, he threw a complete game 5-hit shutout and allowed 2 runs in 7 innings in the other. Take New York! 

5* MLB - NL Champ Series PLAY OF THE MONTH on Cardinals +123

St Louis is worth a look here as a road dog against the Nationals in Game 3 of the NLCS. It couldn't have gone much worse for the Cardinals in Games 1 and 2 at home. Now no one is giving them a chance in Game 3 at Washington with the Nats sending out Strasburg. 

As good as Strasburg has been in the postseason, but I'm on the Jack Flaherty bandwagon. Guy has a ridiculous 0.91 ERA since the All-Star break. He was outstanding in both his starts against the Braves in the NLDS and both of those were on the road. Cardinals make this a series and avoid falling behind 3-0. Take St Louis! 

5* MLB - Yankees/Astros NO LIMIT Top Play  on Yankees +148

We cashed in on the Yankees at a similar price in their easy 7-0 win in Game 1 and will fire right back with New York in Game 2. The Yankees got something going right now. They didn't miss a beat after a decent layoff following their sweep of the Twins. I'm betting on more of the same from New York's offense. 

Justin Verlander was not the same guy when he threw on 3 days rest in the ALDS. While he will be on the normal 4 days here, I don't think he will dominant here. New York also has a good starter going in James Paxton, who has a strong 3.24 ERA in 14 career starts against Houston. 

Yankees are 14-1 in their last 15 after allowing 2 runs or less in 3 straight games. They have won 20 of their last 29 against a starter with a WHIP of 1.15 or less. Take New York! 

5* MLB - Yankees/Astros NO LIMIT Top Play on Yankees +145

I really like the value here with New York in Game 1 of the ALCS. Much different series for these two in the ALDS. The Yankees swept the Twins in convincing fashion. They won all 3 games by at least 4 runs and outscored Minnesota 23-7. Astros on the other hand were taken to a winner-take-all Game 5 against the Rays. 

I just think after all the emotion that comes with a winner-take-all matchup, there's got to be a bit of a letdown, especially given the Astros just played that Game 5 against Tampa Bay on Thursday. Let's also not ignore the horrible start by Houston's Zack Greinke in the ALDS, he gave up 6 runs on 5 hits (3 HRs) in 3 2/3 innings. Take New York! 

5* MLB - Nats/Cards NLCS G1 VEGAS INSIDER on Nationals +115

The Nationals are definitely worth a look here as a road dog in Game 1 of the NLCS against the Cardinals. Washington just took out the NL favorites in the Dodgers and I think this team has something special going. They rallied to win the Wild Card game against Milwaukee and had their backs against the wall in Game 5 at Los Angeles. 

Cardinals had that epic 10-run first inning in their Game 5 win over the Braves, but I just don't think St Louis stacks up with Washington. Anibal Sanchez might be the weakest of the Nationals postseason starters, but he pithed really well in his only start against the Dodgers, limiting them to 1 run on 4 hits with 9 K's in 5 innings. 

Cardinals starter Miles Mikolas has given up 8 runs on 27 hits with just 10 K's in his last 3 starts against the Nationals. Look for Washington to get up early and hold on for the win. Take the Nationals! 

5* MLB - Dodgers/Nats Game 5 VEGAS INSIDER on Nationals +142

I love the value here with Washington in the winner take all Game 5 showdown with a lot of teams World Series favorite in the Dodgers. The Nationals came into this series playing with house money after that epic rally against the Brewers in the Wild Card game. 

As good as Max Scherzer is, Washington has to love that this start will go to Stephen Strasburg. The guy has been an absolute machine in the postseason. Strasburg has pitched 28 innings in the playoffs and has posted a 0.64 ERA. He allowed just 1 run on 3 hits with 0 walks and 10 K's in Game 2 at LA, improving his lifetime ERA to 2.57 in 12 career starts against the Dodgers. Take Washington! 

5* MLB - Astros/Rays ALDS Game 3 NO-BRAINER on Rays +138

Way too good a price here on Tampa Bay at home in Game 3 against the Astros. Rays will have their ace Charlie Morton on the mound, who was unable to pitch in Game 1 or 2 because he started the Wild Card win at Oakland. 

Morton was on his game in that outing. He didn't allow an earned run in 5 innings. He's got a 1.04 ERA and 1.039 WHIP in his last 3 outings, so he's in prime form. He also went 8-3 with a 2.59 ERA and 0.958 WHIP in 17 home starts. He seems to love the spotlight, as he's 4-0 with a 2.00 ERA in 5 playoff starts. 

Zack Greinke will go for Houston and he's one of the top starters in the league. However, he just 4-6 in 14 career starts against the Rays. He faced them once in 2019 (late August) and it didn't go well. He allowed 5 runs no 6 hits (2 HRs) in 5 2/3 innings. 

Rays are 14-8 last 22 as a home dog of +125 to +175 and Greinke is a mere 4-18 in his last 22 starts vs a team from the AL East. Take Tampa Bay! 

5* MLB - Cardinals/Braves ML NO-BRAINER on Braves +118

No way I'm passing up on Atlanta as a home dog with them down 0-1 in the series. A loss here and they are basically done for. Jack Flaherty is going for St Louis and that's why they are getting so much love, but Cardinals are just 1-4 in his last 5 road starts vs a team with a winning record. Also, even with yesterday's win, St Louis is just 1-6 last 7 playoff road games. 

Braves will turn to Mike Foltynewicz. It took a little bit for Foltynewicz to get going, but he finished out the year with a 2.00 ERA and 0.722 WHIP in his last 3 starts. That includes 8 shutout innings in his last home start. He's only given up 10 hits in his last 18 innings of work. Braves 7-1 in his last 8 starts vs a team with a winning record and 5-0 in his last 5 at home. Take Atlanta! 

5* MLB - Cards/Braves NLDS Game 1 VEGAS INSIDER on Braves -134

Atlanta is definitely worth a look here as a small home favorite against the Cardinals in Game 1 of their NLDS matchup. Braves were 50-31 at home, while St Louis was just 41-40 on the road. 

Cardinals will start Miles Mikolas, who is just 4-8 with a 5.40 ERA and 1.415 WHIP in 17 road starts this season. Braves will counter with Dallas Keuchel, who has a strong 2.74 ERA and 1.155 WHIP in 10 home starts. 

St Louis is 1-11 in their last 11 road games vs a team that's won between 54% and 62% of their games, losing in this spot by an average of 3.4 runs/game. Braves have won 13 of their last 17 at home vs a right-handed starter. Take Atlanta! 

5* MLB - A's/Rays AL Wild Card VEGAS INSIDER on A's -130

Easy play here for me on the A's to find a way to advance in tonight's AL Wild card game. Oakland will send out Sean Manaea, who has been outstanding since his return to action. Manaea missed almost a year with a ton labrum. Manaea has gone 4-0 with a 1.21 ERA and a sensational 0.78 WHIP in 5 starts.

Some might see this as a fluke given it usually takes guys some time to get back in the groove of things. However, we are talking about a guy that won 12 games in both 2017 and 2018. No reason not to ride the hot hand, especially pitching at home. 

Rays just 31-66 last 97 on the road vs a team that's won more than 60% of their home games and 4-9 in their last 13 vs a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15. A's 13-3 last 16 home games vs a team with a winning record and have won 8 of Manaea's last 10 home starts. Take Oakland! 

5* MLB - Vegas NO LIMIT Top Play on Mets -105

Mets are worth a look at basically a pick'em at home against the Braves. Atlanta's focus is on the playoffs, not winning the finale. Mets on the other have found some life late even while out of the race because of the record setting home run performance by rookie Pete Alonso. 

I expect New York to be 100% invested in ending their season with a win on Sunday and they got a good guy on the mound to help them do that in Noah Syndergaard. Braves will start Mike Soroka, who has had a great rookie season, but he's not going to go deep at all with a start in the NLDS looming. Take New York! 

5* MLB - Vegas NO LIMIT Top Play on Padres +149

Love the value here with San Diego as a big road dog against the Diamondbacks. I get Arizona is playing well, but there's nothing at stake here for the Dbacks.

Arizona starter, Robbie Ray is also a guy worth fading right now. Ray has an ugly 7.50 ERA and 1.417 WHIP in his last 3 starts. That includes his last outing, which came against these same Padres. Ray gave up 4 runs in just 5 1/3 innings. He's got a mere 4.15 ERA in 15 career starts against the Padres. 

Ray is also the guy to fade when he's facing a bad team. Arizona is 1-7 in his last 8 starts when facing a team that's won between 38% and 46% of their games. Dbacks are also just 3-7 in his last 10 starts vs a division opponent. Take San Diego!

5* MLB - NL Money Line PLAY OF THE MONTH on Padres +120

The Padres are worth a look here as a decently priced road dog against the Diamondbacks. Arizona just took 2 of 3 at home against St Louis, but there was motivation there to play spoiler against the Cardinals. 

There's zero to play for against the Padres and I could a big lack of focus in this final series of the season. Padres will have Eric Lauer on the mound and he's really enjoyed starting against Arizona. Lauer has a 2.88 ERA in 6 career starts against the Diamondbacks. Padres have won 6 of his last 8 against a division opponent and are 4-0 when he's on 6 days of rest. Take San Diego! 

5* MLB - NL West PLAY OF THE MONTH on Rockies +122

Love the value here with Colorado as a decently priced road dog against the Giants. San Francisco will send out Tyler Beede, who has gone 5-9 with a 5.19 ERA and 1.463 WHIP in 21 starts. Rockies have won 5 of their last 6 games vs a starter with a WHIP of 1.30 or worse. Plus, Beede gave up 5 runs on 8 hits in just 3 2/3 innings in his only start against Colorado this season. 

Kyle Freeland will go for the Rockies and the numbers aren't great. He's just 3-11 with a 6.84 ERA in 21 starts. However, Freeland has enjoyed facing San Francisco. He's 6-3 with a 3.13 ERA in 11 career starts against the Giants. Colorado has also won 18 of his last 26 starts when he's throwing on the standard 4-days of rest and 14 of his last 20 vs a division opponent. Take Colorado! 

5* MLB - Vegas NO LIMIT Top Play on Reds +135

I know the Brewers are rolling right now with a 16-2 run in their last 18 games, including a current 6-game winning streak, but no way am I passing up on this value with Cincinnati. Reds would love nothing more than to cool off their division rivals and they are in a prime spot to do so. 

Tyler Mahle will start for the Reds and he's coming off a great start at Chicago, where he allowed just 1 run on 1 hit in 6 innings. Mahle has had good fortune against the Brewers, posting a 3.24 ERA in 3 career starts against the Brewers (all 3 have come in the last 2 seasons). 

Teams (Reds) who are average offensively 4.0-4.5 runs/game that have scored 3 or fewer runs in 5 straight games are 38-18 (68%) since 1997 when facing a starter that has an ERA of 3.70 to 4.20. Take Cincinnati! 

5* MLB - NL Central PLAY OF THE WEEK on Reds -119

As difficult as it may be to bet against the surging Brewers right now, no way am I passing up a play on the Reds at this price with Sonny Gray on the mound. Gray has a 2.75 ERA and 1.086 WHIP in 30 starts. Cincinnati has won 12 of his 15 home starts this season and he's 2-0 with a 1.78 ERA in 5 career starts against the Brewers (5-0 team record). 

Milwaukee will counter with Adrian Houser and he's 1-4 with a 5.64 ERA and 1.565 WHIP in 8 home starts. He's also got an ugly 6.75 ERA and 1.250 WHIP in his last 3 starts. His only start against the Reds came on July 1st and he gave up 3 runs on 6 hits (2 HRs) in 5 innings. 

Gray is on decent rest here and has gone 13-3 on the money line in his last 16 starts when working on 5-6 days of rest. He's also 14-3 in his last 17 home starts with a money line of -100 to -150. Take Cincinnati! 

5* MLB - AL West GAME OF THE MONTH on A's -155

Easy play on Oakland tonight at home against the Rangers. A's have been on fire of late, as they come in having won 10 of 12. Texas on the other hand has lost 5 in a row. Big key to note with the Rangers losing streak is how the offense has struggled to score. Texas has managed just 4 runs in their last 3 games. 

That's a big problem for the Rangers, as the A's will send out Mike Fiers, who has been on a Cy Young level at home this season. Fiers is 8-1 with a 2.66 ERA and 1.073 WHIP in 15 home starts. A's have won 18 of his last 22 home starts overall, 7-1 in his last 8 vs a division opponent and 10-1 in his last 11 vs a team with a losing record. Take Oakland! 

5* MLB - Vegas Insider TOP PLAY  on Phillies +150

Love the value here with Philadelphia as a big road dog against the Braves. We played and won on the Phillies as a similar priced dog yesterday. Hard to not keep it going with Philly on Thursday, as they got ace Aaron Nola on the mound, who has owned the Braves. 

Nola is 10-4 with a 2.66 ERA and 1.117 WHIP in 17 career starts against Atlanta. Braves will send out Mike Soroka, who has been great in 2019 with a 12-4 record and 2.57 ERA in 27 stats. However, he does own a poor 4.18 ERA and 1.324 WHIP in 12 home starts and a 4.82 ERA and 2.141 WHIP in 2 starts against the Phillies, both of which came this season. 

Phillies are 5-1 in Nola's last 6 road starts vs a team with a winning record and 4-1 in his last 5 after the team lost in his previous start. Take Philadelphia! 

5* MLB - NL East GAME OF THE MONTH on Phillies +141

I really like the value here with the Phillies at this price. Philadelphia needs every win they can get to stay in the Wild Card race and they opened up the series at Atlanta with a 5-4 win on Tuesday. Braves offense has really struggled to get anything going the last couple of games and will be up against the red-hot Zach Eflin. 

In Eflin's last 3 starts he's posted a 1.72 ERA and 1.021 WHIP. That includes a start against Atlanta in his last outing, where he didn't give up an earned run in 3 2/3 innings. 

Julio Teheran will go for the Braves and he's got a 4.50 ERA in his last 3 outings, in large part to his poor showing in his most recent start against the Phillies. Teheran gave up 5 runs on 5 hits (3 HRs) and 3 walks in 4 innings. Take Philadelphia! 

5* MLB - Vegas NO LIMIT Top Play on Rockies +145

We played and won on the Rockies as our Top Play on Monday and will fire right back with another big bet on Colorado Tuesday. Rockies have found some new life as they close out a disappointing season. Colorado has won 4 straight and 6 of 7 overall. 

The offense has been on point of late. Rockies have scored 9 or more runs in 4 straight games and when this team gets going offensively at home, they are very tough to beat. I look for them to keep it going against Mets starter Marcus Stroman, who has slipped some of late with a 3.86 ERA and 1.653 WHIP in his last 3 starts. 

Rockies are 11-4 last 15 after winning 6 or 7 of their last 8 games and the Mets are 19-31 in their last 50 after giving up 8 or more runs last time out. Take Colorado! 

5* MLB - Situational HEAVY HITTER on Rockies +149

I love the value here with Colorado as a decently priced home dog against the Mets. New York is the better team, but should not be favored like this on the road with Steven Matz on the mound. Matz is 3-7 with an awful 6.07 ERA and 1.560 WHIP in 14 road starts. 

The numbers aren't great for Colorado starter Antonio Senzatela, but he was outstanding in his lone start against the Mets this year. Senzatela allowed just 1 run on 4 hits in 6 innings of a 5-1 win over NY with deGrom starting. 

Rockies have won 5 of 6 at home and 6-2 in Senzatela's last 8 home starts (4-1 last 5 at home vs a team with a winning record). Take Colorado! 

5* MLB - NL Central GAME OF THE MONTH on Brewers +123

Love the value here with Milwaukee as a decently priced road dog against the Cardinals. Brewers are on fire right now. They have won 8 of their last 9 and will send out Chase Anderson, who has owned St Louis in his career. Anderson has a 3.07 ERA in 11 starts against the Cardinals. 

Michael Wacha will start for St Louis and he's been better of late, but only made it 2 innings at SF on 9/4 and 4 innings on 9/10. Wacha has a poor 4.98 ERA and 1.522 WHIP in 9 home starts. Cardinals are just 4-12 in their last 16 starts during Game 3 of a series. Take Milwaukee! 

5* MLB - Vegas NO LIMIT Top Play on Diamondbacks -113

I'm confident the Diamondbacks are going to snap their 6-game losing streak with a win at home over the Reds tonight. It feels like do or die time for Arizona, as they need to make a move right now to have any hope of a Wild Card. 

Look for Merril Kelly to play a big part in the victory. Kelly has been throwing the ball great of late with a 3.18 ERA in his last 3 starts. Red will have Anthony Desclafani going and h's got a 4.72 ERA in 15 road starts. Cincinnati has lost 5 of his last 6 starts on the road and 4 straight vs a team with a winning record. Dbacks are 4-1 in Kelly's last 5 home starts vs a team with a losing record. Take Arizona! 

5* MLB - AL Underdog PLAY OF THE MONTH  on Angels +125

Love the Angels at this price at home against the Rays on Friday. Tampa Bay has lost their last two and had to make the long trip out west after finishing up a 3-game series at Texas last night.

Rays will send out Charlie Morton and he's got an ugly 5.87 ERA and 1.500 WHIP in his last 3 starts. Angels will counter with Andrew Heaney and he's posted a sensational 2.65 ERA and 1.118 WHIP in 3 career starts against the Rays. LA has also won 6 of Heaney's last 7 starts and are 12-5 in his last 17 at home. 

Rays are 2-6 in their last 8 road games and 1-4 in Morton's last 5 starts during Game 1 of a series. Take Los Angeles! 

5* MLB - NL Underdog PLAY OF THE MONTH on Phillies +120

Love the value here with the Phillies as a home dog against Atlanta. Philadelphia will have the red-hot Drew Smyly on the mound. Smyly has a 2.50 ERA in his last 3 starts and is coming off an outing at New York where he held the Mets to just 4 hits over 7 shutout innings. 

Julio Teheran has been good for Atlanta, but is just 4-4 with a 3.72 ERA in 15 road starts. He's also not been great of late against the Phillies. He's faced them 5 times over the last 2 seasons and given up 15 runs in 26 innings. He started one game at Philly earlier this year and the Braves lost that outing 10-4. 

Phillies lost on Wednesday, but are 7-3 in their last 10 following a loss. They have also won 4 straight starts by Smyly against a team with a winning record and are 5-1 in his last 6 outings overall. Take Philadelphia! 

5* MLB - Diamondbacks/Mets HEAVY HITTER on Diamondbacks +102

Love Arizona to cash in a win at New York tonight. Arizona will have Robbie Ray on the mound and he's owned the Mets in his career. Ray has a 0.82 ERA and 1.091 WHIP in 4 starts against New York. 

Mets counter with Steven Matz, who has a 4.76 ERA in 4 starts against the Diamondbacks. That includes an ugly start at Arizona earlier this season (only start versus them in 2019), where he gave up 5 runs on 8 hits (2 HRs) in 6 innings. Matz is 0-9 on the money line in his last 9 starts in the 2nd half of the season vs NL teams averaging 5 or more runs/game. 

Dbacks are 11-4 in their last 15 overall, 4-0 in their last 4 vs a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30 and a perfect 8-0 in Ray's last 8 road starts vs a team with a winning record. Take Arizona! 

5* MLB - NL Heavy Hitter PLAY OF THE MONTH on Padres +139

Love the value here with the Padres as a big home dog against the Cubs. Chicago won the opener 10-2 on Monday with 15 hits. The thing is that offense can't be trusted. The Cubs scored 10 runs on 16 hits in last week's series opener at Milwaukee and the very next night scored 1 run on 3 hits. 

Padres will have Ronald Bolanos on the mound and the 23-year-old Cuban rookie was impressive in his first big league start. Bolanos allowed just 2 run on 5 hits in 6 innings at Arizona. Cubs on the other hand will have Jose Quintana on the mound and he's got a mere 4.11 ERA and 1.271 WHIP in 13 road starts. He's also got a poor 4.91 ERA and 1.568 WHIP in his last 3 starts. 

Cubs are just 3-10 in Quintana's last 13 road starts in the 2nd half vs a team that's getting outscored by 0.5+ runs/game. Take San Diego! 

5* MLB - Vegas NO LIMIT Top Play on Padres +136

I love the value here with San Diego as a decently priced home dog against the Cubs. Padres will be up for a showdown with Chicago, who is fighting for a playoff spot. They are also catching the Cubs in a funk, as they just lost 3 straight to close out their series with the Brewers. 

The offense has gone ice-cold for Chicago at the wrong time. Cubs are hitting just .222 as a team in their last 7 and that's why I'm okay with backing a struggling starter in Cal Quantrill. It's also worth pointing out that while the Cubs have what looks like a good starter in Kyle Hendricks going, he's just 4-7 with a 5.20 ERA and 1.445 WHIP in 14 road starts. Take San Diego!