Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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07-10-18 | Mariners v. Angels -145 | Top | 3-9 | Win | 100 | 14 h 50 m | Show |
5* AL West GAME OF THE MONTH on Angels - I like the value here with the Angels at home against the Mariners in Tuesday's MLB action. Los Angeles will send out Garrett Richards, while Seattle counters with Mike Leake. Richards has posted a strong 3.31 ERA and 0.949 WHIP in 6 home starts and is 7-3 with a 2.73 ERA and 1.105 WHIP in 13 career starts against the Mariners. Leake has put up decent numbers of late, but still comes in with a 4.11 ERA in 18 starts. Leake is also coming off a poor outing at home against these Angels, where he allowed 4 runs on 9 hits in just 4 innings of work. Seattle is a mere 1-6 in their last 7 road games vs a team with a winning record, while the Angels are 9-4 in their last 13 home games. LA is also 8-2 in Richard's last 10 starts against an opponent who scored 5 or more runs in their previous game and 4-1 in Richard's last 5 starts in Game 1 of a series. Take Los Angeles! |
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07-10-18 | Blue Jays v. Braves -119 | 6-2 | Loss | -119 | 12 h 31 m | Show | |
4* MLB Situational VEGAS INSIDER on Braves - I like the value here with Atlanta as a short home favorite against the Blue Jays in Tuesday's MLB action. The Braves are coming off a disappointing finish to their 10-game road trip, as they lost 5 of their last 6 to finish 5-5. I think that's definitely playing into the value we are getting here, as Atlanta has gone 23-17 at home and the Blue Jays are just 2-5 in their last 7 overall. Both starters have struggled a bit of late, but I have a lot less confidence in Toronto's Marcus Stroman, who is coming off an outing at home against a bad Mets offense, where he gave up 6 runs on 6 hits and 4 walks with just 2 strikeouts in 4 2/3 innings of work. Stroman is now just 1-6 with a 6.67 ERA and 1.593 WHIP in 10 starts and has a 0-3 record in 5 road outings. Take Atlanta! |
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07-10-18 | Reds +220 v. Indians | 7-4 | Win | 220 | 1 h 9 m | Show | |
3* LATE INFO INSIDER on Reds
No analysis on late info insiders due to time restrictions, but they factor in announced lineups and weather conditions. These profitable situations are only available to long term subscribers. |
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07-10-18 | Phillies v. Mets +110 | 7-3 | Loss | -100 | 1 h 9 m | Show | |
3* LATE INFO INSIDER on Mets
No analysis on late info insiders due to time restrictions, but they factor in announced lineups and weather conditions. These profitable situations are only available to long term subscribers. |
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07-09-18 | Reds v. Indians OVER 9 | 7-5 | Win | 100 | 10 h 29 m | Show | |
3* MLB Over/Under Total DESTROYER on Reds OVER I like the value here with the OVER in Monday's MLB action that has the Indians hosting the Reds. Cincinnati dropped the final 2 games against the Cubs over the weekend, but overall it was another strong series at the plate for the Reds, who finished up with 13 runs on 28 hits. Cincinnati has now scored 5 or more in 6 of their last 7 games and I look for the offense to stay hot against Mike Clevinger and the Indians staff. I also think Cleveland is in store for a big day at the plate, as the Indians come in averaging 5.9 runs/game at home this season and will be up against the struggling Anthony Desclafani, who has a 5.08 ERA in 6 starts overall in 2018 and a 5.50 ERA in his last 3 outings. OVER is 12-3-3 in the Reds last 18 after allowing 5 or more runs and 9-2-1 in their last 12 after scoring 5 or more in their previous game. OVER is also 14-4-3 in the Reds last 21 games vs a team with a winning record and 5-1-1 in Clevinger's last 7 home starts. Take the OVER! |
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07-09-18 | Nationals v. Pirates OVER 8.5 | Top | 3-6 | Win | 100 | 10 h 23 m | Show |
5* National League TOTAL OF THE MONTH on Pirates OVER I love the value here with the OVER in Monday's MLB action that has the Nationals visiting the Pirates. Washington will be sending out Jefry Rodriguez, who is making his 3rd career start at the big league level. Each of the first two starts for Rodriguez have not been good. He allowed 5 runs in 5 innings at home against the Orioles on 6/19 and 4 runs in 4 innings at home against the Phillies on 6/24. Both of those games saw a combined score of at least 14 runs. Needless to say Pittsburgh is in a good spot here to put up some runs early and I think we get more than enough offense from Washington to push this OVER the mark set by the books. The Nationals come in averaging 6.3 runs and are hitting .285 as a team over their last 7 games. Washington will be up against Ivan Nova, who is coming off an ugly start at LA, where he gave up 7 runs on 9 hits (5 home runs) in just 5 innings. Nova also has a 4.91 ERA and 1.854 WHIP in 4 career starts against the Nationals. Take the OVER! |
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07-08-18 | Padres v. Diamondbacks UNDER 8 | 4-3 | Win | 100 | 7 h 49 m | Show | |
3* MLB Over/Under Total ANNIHILATOR on Padres UNDER I like the value here with the UNDER in Sunday's MLB action that has the Diamondbacks hosting the Padres. These two teams combined for 25 runs in Arizona's 20-5 win on Saturday and I think that has this number a little higher than it should be. San Diego figures to have a really tough time scoring in this one, as the Diamondbacks will send out their ace Zack Greinke, who has a 2.44 ERA and 0.994 WHIP in 9 home starts this season and a 0.92 ERA and 0.864 WHIP over his last 3 starts overall. UNDER is 7-3 in Greinke's last 10 home starts. UNDER is also 9-3-3 in Arizona's last 15 home games against a left-handed starter and 7-1-1 in their last 9 during game 4 of a series. Take the UNDER! |
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07-07-18 | Padres v. Diamondbacks OVER 8 | 5-20 | Win | 100 | 13 h 37 m | Show | |
4* MLB Over/Under Total NO-BRAINER on Padres OVER I like the value here with the OVER in Saturday's MLB action that has the Padres visiting the Diamondbacks. Both teams figure to be scoring early and often in this one. San Diego will send out Tyson Ross, who has a 5.00 ERA and 1.389 WHIP in his last 3 starts. Arizona will counter with Robbie Ray, who has a 4.38 ERA in his last 3 starts and a 7.87 ERA and 1.750 WHIP in 3 home starts. OVER is 16-4 in Ray's last 20 starts at home against a team that strands 6.9 or less runners/game, 8-2 in his last 10 starts at home against a team with a losing record and 6-0 in his last 6 starts after Arizona lost in his previous start. Take the OVER! |
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07-07-18 | Cardinals -115 v. Giants | Top | 3-2 | Win | 100 | 7 h 59 m | Show |
5* MLB Vegas NO LIMIT Top Play on Cardinals I love the value here with St Louis as a short road favorite against the Giants in Saturday's MLB action. San Francisco snapped their 4-game losing streak on Friday, but the offense continued to struggle. The Giants scored just 3 runs in the win and have now score a whopping 8 runs over their last 5 games. I don't see San Francisco getting out of their funk in this one. St Louis will send out Carlos Martinez, who has allowed just 4 runs with 15 strikeouts over his last 2 starts (12 innings). Martinez has also owned the Giants with a 1.80 ERA and 0.750 WHIP in 3 career starts. On the flip side of this San Francisco will be starting Jeff Samardzija, who is making his first start since May 29th and was just 1-4 with a 6.56 ERA in 8 starts earlier this season. Take St Louis! |
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07-06-18 | Cardinals v. Giants -108 | Top | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 14 h 58 m | Show |
5* NL Vegas Insider GAME OF THE MONTH on Giants - I love the value here with San Francisco as a short home favorite against the Cardinals on Friday. The Giants are due for an offensive explosion after scoring just 5 runs in their last 4 games combined and I like their chances of getting hot here against St Louis starter John Gant, who is just 1-3 with a 4.61 ERA in 5 starts. On the flip side of this San Francisco will send out the red-hot Dereck Rodriguez, who has a 1.96 ERA and 1.091 WHIP in his last 3 starts. The most recent coming at Arizona, where he held a good Diamondbacks offense to just 6 hits over 6 1/3 shutout innings. Rodriguez also owns a rock solid 2.50 ERA and 1.056 WHIP in 3 home starts (Giants won all 3 starts). Take San Francisco! |
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07-06-18 | Orioles v. Twins -117 | 2-6 | Win | 100 | 11 h 23 m | Show | |
4* MLB Situational HEAVY HITTER on Twins - I like the value here with Minnesota as a short home favorite against the Orioles on Friday. Baltimore has really struggled to get anything going in 2018 and they come into this one in quite the slump. The Orioles have lost their last 3 and have just 1 win in their last 11 games. Even with a solid starter like Dylan Bundy going, I still think there's a big edge here for Minnesota. Keep in mind the Orioles are just 12-33 on the road this season. However, the bigger issue here for Baltimore is their offense. The Orioles are averaging just 3.6 runs/game and hitting 2.26 as a team on the season. They are only scoring 2.6 runs/game in their last 7, a stretch in which they have scored 2 or fewer runs in 6 games. As bad as Lance Lynn has been in his last two starts, he should be able to keep this offense in check and does own a strong 2.70 ERA over 7 home starts. Take Minnesota! |
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07-05-18 | Cardinals v. Giants OVER 7.5 | 11-2 | Win | 100 | 12 h 17 m | Show | |
4* MLB Over/Under Total NO-BRAINER on Giants OVER I like the value here with the OVER in Thursday's MLB action that has the Cardinals visiting the Giants. I'm well aware that San Francisco just scored a mere 3 runs in a 3-game series at Coors Field, but they come in averaging just under 5 runs/game (4.8) at home this season. The even bigger key is who they will be facing. St Louis will send out Luke Weaver, who has been a major disappointment. Weaver is 4-7 with a 5.36 ERA and 1.461 WHIP in 17 starts. He was just rocked for 8 runs on 10 hits and 2 walks in 4 2/3 innings in his last start at home against the Braves. Not only should the Giants offense be able to get something going, but I like the Cardinals to score early and often in this one as well. San Francisco is sending out Johnny Cueto, who will be making his first start in more than 2 months (last pitched April 28th). He figures to be a little rusty and is facing a St Louis offense that just scored 16 runs in their 3-game series at Arizona. Take the OVER! |
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07-04-18 | Mets +168 v. Blue Jays | 6-3 | Win | 168 | 9 h 45 m | Show | |
3* MLB Money Line MASSACRE on Mets + I like the value here with the Mets as a big road dog against the Blue Jays. New York has continued to struggle to win games and let one get away on Tuesday. The Mets led 6-1 and ended up losing 8-6. The positive in defeat was the offense has now scored 13 in their last 2 games. I think the offense can stay hot here. Toronto will send out Marcus Stroman, who is making only his 3rd start since returning from the DL. Stroman has not fared well at home this season, as he's got a 6.85 ERA and 1.388 WHIP in 4 starts at Rogers Centre. The Blue Jays bullpen is also taxed right now, as they had to use 7 relievers in yesterday's win. It's also worth noting that Toronto is just 5-15 in their last 20 after scoring 5 or more runs. Take New York! |
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07-04-18 | Padres +170 v. A's | 2-4 | Loss | -100 | 6 h 46 m | Show | |
4* MLB Situational VEGAS INSIDER on Padres I like the value here with the Padres as a massive road dog against the A's in Wednesday's MLB action. This is simply too good a price to pass up on with San Diego. The Padres will send out Luis Perdomo, who will be making his first start since the middle of April when he was sent down to Triple A. Perdomo went 6-2 with a strong 3.10 ERA in 11 starts in the minors and has earned himself another shot in the rotation. I think he makes the most of the opportunity and San Diego's offense does just enough here to get the win. Note the Padres have gone an impressive 6-2 in their last 8 during Game 2 of a series and the A's are a mere 1-6 in Sean Manaea's last 7 interleague starts. Take San Diego! |
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07-03-18 | Padres +130 v. A's | 2-6 | Loss | -100 | 13 h 55 m | Show | |
3* MLB Vegas LINE MISTAKE on Padres + I like the value here with the Padres as a decently priced road dog against the A's on Tuesday. Oakland had their 6-game winning streak snapped in a 15-3 loss to the Indians on Sunday and I look for them to struggle to get back in the win column, as it's never easy to rebound from a loss after a lengthy winning streak. San Diego will send out Clayton Richard, who has a strong 3.79 ERA and 1.158 WHIP in his last 3 starts. The Padres have won 5 of Richard's last 6 starts overall and are 4-0 in his last 4 starts vs a team with a winning record. Oakland will counter with Chris Bassett and the A's are just 1-5 in his last 6 home starts and 1-6 in his last 7 after he posted a Quality Start in his last outing. Oakland is also a mere 2-9 in their last 11 interleague home games vs a team with a losing record. Take San Diego! |
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07-03-18 | Astros -168 v. Rangers | 5-3 | Win | 100 | 12 h 54 m | Show | |
4* MLB Situational VEGAS INSIDER on Astros - I like the value here with Houston even as a big road favorite in Tuesday's series opener against the Rangers. The Astros are going to be chomping at the bit to take the field after losing the final 3 games of their 4-game series at Tampa Bay over the weekend. Texas has been playing better of late, but a lot of that has to do with a soft schedule. Their last 4 series have come against the Royals, Twins, Padres and White Sox. They haven't had much luck against these Astros. Houston has won 10 of the 14 meetings this season, including 7 of 8 at Texas and I see no reason why they won't continue to dominate the Rangers with Dallas Keuchel facing off against Austin Bibens-Dirkx. Take Houston! |
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07-03-18 | White Sox v. Reds -182 | 12-8 | Loss | -182 | 11 h 3 m | Show | |
3* MLB Money Line MASSACRE on Reds - The Reds come into this game having won 3 straight and are 12-3 over their last 15 overall. The White Sox on the other hand have lost 4 of 5, including yesterday's 5-3 loss in the series opener. I got no problem laying the big juice here with Cincinnati on the money line at home in the second game of the series, as I look for the Reds to win this one going away. Chicago's not a great offensive team and I look for them to struggle to get much going here against Reds' starter Anthony Desclafani, who has a strong 3.93 ERA and sensational 0.927 WHIP in his last 3 starts. On the flip side of this, the Reds are lighting it up offensively and should continue to do so against White Sox starter Lucas Giolito, who has an ugly 6.59 ERA and 1.571 WHIP in 16 starts this season. Take Cincinnati! |
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07-03-18 | Braves +175 v. Yankees | 5-8 | Loss | -100 | 11 h 55 m | Show | |
3* MLB Undervalued UNDERDOG on Braves + I like the value here with Atlanta as a massive road dog against the Yankees in Tuesday's MLB action. The Braves followed up their 3-game sweep at St Louis by taking the series opener 5-3 over New York on Monday. Atlanta has the best record in the National League and a shot to be the first NL team to reach 50 wins. This is simply too much value to pass up on with one of the best teams in the game, especially when you factor in the starting pitching matchup. Atlanta will send out Sean Newcomb, who is 8-2 with a 2.71 ERA and 1.183 WHIP in 16 starts. He's also 5-1 with a 2.49 ERA in 9 road starts and owns a 1.89 ERA in his last 3 starts. Yankees will counter with Domingo German, who has a 5.88 ERA in 9 starts and 5.62 ERA in his last 3 outings. Take Atlanta! |
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07-02-18 | Cardinals +142 v. Diamondbacks | 6-3 | Win | 142 | 22 h 47 m | Show | |
4* MLB Money Line NO-BRAINER on Cardinals + I like the value here with St Louis as a big road dog against the Diamondbacks. The Cardinals come in having lost 4 straight, but Arizona isn't playing much better as they were just swept at home by the Giants over the weekend. I just don't see that big of an edge on the mound here for Arizona that they should be favored by this much. The Diamondbacks will send out Robbie Ray, who has a 6.55 ERA and 1.636 WHIP in 2 home starts. St Louis will counter with Carlos Martinez, who is coming off a great start against Cleveland in his last outing, allowing just 2 runs on 6 hits in 6 innings of a 11-2 win. Arizona is just 1-6 in their last 7 home games vs a team with a winning road record and Ray is a mere 3-10 in his last 13 starts as a home favorite of -125 to -175. Take St Louis! |
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07-02-18 | Red Sox +165 v. Nationals | 4-3 | Win | 165 | 23 h 26 m | Show | |
3* MLB Vegas LINE MISTAKE on Red Sox + I like the value here with Boston as a big road dog in Monday's series opener against the Nationals. Washington is getting way too much respect here with Max Scherzer on the mound, especially given that today's conditions really favor the offense with the heat index expected to be north of 100. On top of that, the Red Sox have a pretty good starter of their own on the mound in Rick Porcello, who appears to have returned to his Cy Young form from a couple seasons ago. Porcello is 9-3 with a 3.60 ERA and 1.133 WHIP in 17 starts and has gone 5-1 with a 3.42 ERA in 9 road starts. He's also facing a Nationals lineup that has been slumping. Washington has scored 3 or fewer runs in 5 of their last 6 games. Take Boston! |
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07-01-18 | Red Sox v. Yankees -176 | 1-11 | Win | 100 | 11 h 53 m | Show | |
3* MLB Situational Money Line SMASH on Yankees I'm backing the Yankees at home in Sunday's series finale against rival Boston. New York is going to come out pissed off and looking to make a statement after betting embarrassed 11-0 in Saturday's matchup. Good news for New York is they have one of the best starters in the game on the mound in Luis Severino, who is 12-2 with a 2.10 ERA and 0.958 WHIP in 17 starts. Severino is also 7-0 with a 1.83 ERA and 0.898 WHIP in 9 home starts (9-0 team record). Boston will turn to David Price, who has been pitching well, but owns a 3.69 ERA in 9 road starts and allowed 4 runs in just 1 inning of work in his only start against the Yankees this season. Take New York! |
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07-01-18 | Royals v. Mariners UNDER 7.5 | 0-1 | Win | 100 | 7 h 6 m | Show | |
3* MLB Over/Under Total DESTROYER on Royals UNDER I like the value here with the UNDER in Sunday's MLB action that has the Mariners hosting the Royals. Runs figure to be hard to come by in this one, as we have two strong starters taking the mound. KC will send out Brad Keller, who has posted a strong 2.46 ERA in 5 starts in 2018. Seattle will turn to ace James Paxton, who is 7-2 with a 3.56 ERA and 1.100 WHIP in 17 starts. Paxton is also coming off a great outing at Baltimore, where he allowed just 2 run with 10 strikeouts in 7 innings. Paxton owns a 2.54 ERA in 5 career starts against the Royals and should have no problem shutting down their poor excuse for an offense. Take the UNDER! |
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06-30-18 | Red Sox v. Yankees OVER 8 | Top | 11-0 | Win | 100 | 11 h 48 m | Show |
5* MLB AL East TOTAL OF THE MONTH on Yankees Over I love the value with the OVER in Saturday's highly anticipated showdown between AL East rivals Boston and New York. With the offensive fire-power that both of these teams posses and the way the ball flies out of Yankee Stadium, both teams have a shot here of eclipsing this total on their own. In the series opener on Friday the Yankees put up 8 runs and it could be Boston who does the heavy lifting in this one. New York starter Sonny Gray simply hasn't been very good. He's just 5-5 with a 4.93 ERA and 1.444 WHIP in 15 starts. He's got a 5.40 ERA in his last 3 starts and an awful 7.22 ERA and 1.871 WHIP in 7 home starts. Boston will send out their ace Chris Sale, but even he's prone to giving up a few runs, especially in this park. Take the OVER! |
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06-30-18 | Nationals v. Phillies OVER 9 | 2-3 | Loss | -111 | 9 h 19 m | Show | |
3* MLB Over/Under Total DESTROYER on Nationals Over I like the value here with the OVER in Saturday's MLB action that has the Nationals visiting the Phillies. Washington exploded offensively on Friday and won 17-7 as the two teams combined for 24 runs on 28 hits. I expect another offensive onslaught from both sides in this one. The Nationals will send out Jeremy Hellickson, who has solid numbers, but is making his first start off the DL (last start 6/3). Good chance he struggles here in his first start back. Even if Hellickson pitches well, there's a shot the Nationals could eclipse this total on their own given what they did yesterday and the fact that Phillies starter Vincent Velasquez owns a 6.23 ERA and 1.322 WHIP in 9 home starts this season. Take the OVER! |
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06-30-18 | Brewers v. Reds OVER 9.5 | 3-12 | Win | 100 | 8 h 44 m | Show | |
3* MLB Over/Under Total ANNIHILATOR on Reds OVER I like the value here with the OVER in Saturday's MLB action that has the Reds hosting the Brewers. There's always a better than average shot you get a high-scoring game at Great American Ball Park and with temps pushing 100 degrees, the ball should be flying out of the park this afternoon. These kind of conditions it really doesn't matter what form the starters are in, but this is also not a great pitching matchup with Cincinnati's Tyler Mahle facing off against the Brewers Jhoulys Chacin. Mahle has pitched better of late, but owns a 4.24 ERA in 7 home starts. Chacin has been trending in the wrong direction and is coming off a start at home against the Cardinals where he gave up 8 runs in 4 1/3. Chacin also has a 4.22 ERA in 7 career starts against the Reds. Take the OVER! |
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06-29-18 | White Sox +134 v. Rangers | 3-11 | Loss | -100 | 11 h 15 m | Show | |
3* MLB Undervalued UNDERDOG on White Sox + I like the value here with the White Sox as a decently priced road dog against the Rangers in Friday's MLB action. Chicago has won 4 of 6 and will have a massive edge on the mound in this one. The White Sox will send out Dylan Covey, who is 3-2 with a 2.84 ERA in 8 starts. Covey has also been really strong on the road, where he has a 2.95 ERA in 4 starts. Texas on the other hand will send out Yovani Gallardo, who has give up 9 runs on 12 hits and 5 walks in his first two starts of 2018 (10 1/3 innings). Look for the White Sox to put up a big number here and coast to a win behind another strong performance from Covey. Take Chicago! |
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06-29-18 | Brewers v. Reds +102 | 8-2 | Loss | -100 | 11 h 47 m | Show | |
4* MLB Situational VEGAS INSIDER on Reds I like the value here with Cincinnati at basically a pick'em at home against the Brewers on Friday. The Reds lost the opener on Thursday 6-4 to Milwaukee, but are still a strong 9-2 over their last 11 games. I like their chances of bouncing back here behind the red-hot Sal Romano, who has a 2.70 ERA and 1.100 WHIP in his last 3 starts. Not only do I like Romano to pitch well, but I think we could see the Reds offense go off. Cincinnati's offense has been on point during their hot streak and Milwaukee starter Chase Anderson has given up 7 runs on 7 hits (3 HRs) and 6 walks in his last 10 1/3 innings of work. Take Cincinnati! |
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06-29-18 | Red Sox v. Yankees OVER 9 | 1-8 | Push | 0 | 10 h 16 m | Show | |
3* MLB Over/Under Total DESTROYER on Yankees OVER I like the value here with the OVER in Friday's MLB action that has the Yankees hosting the Red Sox. There's simply too much offensive fire-power here to pass up on this number, especially with a lackluster starting pitching matchup of Eduardo Rodirguez against C.C. Sabathia. Rodriguez is 9-2 with a solid 3.86 ERA in 15 starts this season, but is trending in the wrong direction with a 4.59 ERA and 1.659 WHIP in his last 3 starts. Sabathia has been pitching well, but I don't see him being able to contain this Red Sox lineup. He couldn't in his earlier start against Boston this season, giving up 4 runs on 9 hits in just 4 innings of work. Take the OVER! |
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06-28-18 | Mariners v. Orioles OVER 9.5 | Top | 4-2 | Loss | -100 | 6 h 20 m | Show |
5* AL Over/Under TOTAL OF THE MONTH on Mariners OVER I like the value here with the OVER in Thursday's MLB action that has the Orioles hosting the Mariners. These two teams exploded for 15 runs in Seattle's 8-7 win in extra-innings on Wednesday and I look for those offensive fire-works to carry over into this contest. Seattle will send out Mike Leake, who has a 4.11 ERA in 16 starts and the OVER is 11-5 for the Mariners when he takes the mound. Baltimore on the other hand has been forced to call up Jimmy Yacabonis to take the place of the injured Dylan Bunny. Yacabonis will be making his first ever big league start. He's made two relief appearances for the Orioles this season and has given up 4 runs with 5 walks and just 1 strikeout in a mere 2 1/3 innings of work. OVER is 22-10-1 in the Mariners last 33 games vs a team that's won fewer than 40% of their games and 10-3 in the Orioles last 13 during Game 3 of a series. Take the OVER! |
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06-28-18 | Twins v. White Sox OVER 9 | 2-1 | Loss | -110 | 5 h 56 m | Show | |
3* MLB Over/Under Total ANNIHILATOR on Twins OVER I like the value here with the OVER in Thursday's MLB action that has the White Sox hosting the Twins. These two teams should have no problem reaching double-digits in this one, as we have two starters on the mound that are really struggling. Minnesota will send out Jake Odorizzi, who has a 9.25 ERA and 2.142 WHIP in his last 3 starts. Chicago will turn to Lucas Giolito, who has a 6.75 ERA in his last 3 starts and is 2-4 with a 9.91 ERA and 1.872 WHIP in 8 home starts. Take the OVER! |
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06-27-18 | Padres +128 v. Rangers | Top | 2-5 | Loss | -100 | 12 h 49 m | Show |
5* MLB Vegas NO LIMIT Top Play on Padres I love the value here with San Diego as a decently priced road dog against the Rangers on Wednesday. The Padres snapped a 3-game skid with a 3-2 win over Texas last night and are in a great spot to add to that with the surging Clayton Richard on the mound. Richard is 3-0 with a 2.37 ERA and 0.842 WHIP in his last 3 starts. All of which have come on the road. Texas will counter with Mike Minor, who has been hit or miss all season. Minor has a 5.06 ERA in 14 starts and a 3.94 ERA at home. Texas is just 2-6 in their last 8 off a loss, while the Padres are 10-3 in their last 13 during Game 3 of a series and 5-0 in Richard's last 5 starts. Take San Diego! |
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06-27-18 | Blue Jays +195 v. Astros | 6-7 | Loss | -100 | 6 h 36 m | Show | |
3* MLB Vegas LINE MISTAKE on Toronto + I like the value here with the Blue Jays as a massive road dog against the Astros on Wednesday. This is simply too good a price to pass up on with how well Toronto starter Marco Estrada has been throwing the rock. Estrada has a 1.83 ERA and 0.763 WHIP over his last 3 starts. During this stretch Estrada's allowed just 4 runs on 10 hits with 20 strikeouts in 19 2/3 innings of work. Houston will counter with Dallas Keuchel, who comes in with a 2.76 ERA in his last 3 starts, but that's a bit misleading as he has an awful 1.715 WHIP during this stretch. It's pure luck that Keuchel has allowed only 5 earned runs on 25 hits in his last 16 1/3 innings of work. Keuchel is also just 1-4 with a 4.33 ERA in 7 home starts this season. Take Toronto! |
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06-26-18 | Cubs v. Dodgers OVER 7.5 | Top | 9-4 | Win | 100 | 14 h 27 m | Show |
5* NL Central TOTAL OF THE MONTH on Cubs/Dodgers OVER Most are going to look at the starting pitching matchup for Tuesday game between the Cubs and Dodgers and want to back the UNDER at 7.5. I actually think the value is with the OVER, given the low number and how much fire-power these two teams have on the offensive side of the ball. The Cubs have lost 5 straight and the offense is due for an explosion. As good as Ross Stripling has been for LA, I like Chicago's chances of scoring early in this one. They hit Stripling pretty hard back on 6/20 with 3 runs on 8 hits. Lester has been lights out for the Cubs, but he's not pitched great in his last 2 starts at Dodgers Stadium, giving up 7 runs on 10 hits and 7 walks in just 8 innings of work. He's also facing an LA offense that has scored an impressive 23 runs over their last 4 games. Take the OVER! |
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06-26-18 | Angels +181 v. Red Sox | 1-9 | Loss | -100 | 12 h 53 m | Show | |
3* MLB Undervalued Underdog on Angels + I like the value here with the Angels as a massive road dog against the Red Sox on Tuesday. The price here is simply too good to pass up, as LA has a more than decent shot at winning this game. Boston will send out David Price, who is a respectable 8-5 with a 3.81 ERA and 1.214 WHIP, but most of that success has come on the road. Price is just 3-2 with a 4.01 ERA and 1.307 WHIP in 6 home starts. Angels will counter with lefty John Lamb, who has been up and down in his first two starts. I think Lamb has a decent shot of keeping Boston's potent lineup in check, as the Red Sox are hitting a mere .256 vs left-handed starters this season. Take Los Angeles! |
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06-26-18 | Pirates +116 v. Mets | 3-4 | Loss | -100 | 12 h 52 m | Show | |
4* MLB Situational VEGAS INSIDER on Pirates + I like the value here with Pittsburgh as a short road dog against the Mets on Tuesday. The Pirates snapped their 5-game losing streak in a 6-4 win over New York on Monday. Pittsburgh's finally got their offense going after managing just 9 runs in their previous 6 games and it came after some tweaks to the top of the lineup. I look for the Pirates to carry over that momentum an add to the struggles of the Mets, who have lost 7 straight. Pittsburgh will send out Chad Kuhl, who is coming off a horrible outing at home against the Diamondbacks, but I like him to bounce back. Prior to that, Kuhl had strung together 5 straight starts in which he'd allowed 3 or fewer runs. Pirates are also a perfect 4-0 in Kuhl's last 4 starts against a team with a losing record. Mets on the other hand are 1-7 in their last 8 home games vs a right-handed starter, 6-20 in their last 26 following a loss and 1-10 in their last 11 vs teams from the NL Central. Take Pittsburgh! |
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06-25-18 | Padres +148 v. Rangers | Top | 4-7 | Loss | -100 | 12 h 57 m | Show |
5* Interleague Vegas Insider GAME OF THE MONTH on Padres + I love the value here with San Diego as a big road dog against the Rangers in Monday's MLB action. The Padres have been struggling of late, but this is a great spot for them to get things turned around. Texas had won 7 straight before losing 0-2 on Sunday at Minnesota. It's never easy bouncing back from a loss after a long winning streak, especially when you don't score a single run and manage just 3 hits. I look for Padres' starter Joey Lucchesi to keep the Rangers offense in check, Lucchesi has a strong 3.94 ERA on the road and should get some help from the offense. Texas will turn to Cole Hamels, who is a mere 1-5 with a 4.91 ERA and 1.341 WHIP in 7 home starts (1-6 team record). Rangers are also just 8-20 in their last 28 games played on Monday, 7-21 in their last 28 during game 1 of a series and 1-6 in their last 7 following a loss. Take San Diego! |
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06-25-18 | A's +107 v. Tigers | 5-4 | Win | 107 | 7 h 2 m | Show | |
3* MLB Afternoon Money Line SMASH on Oakland I like the value here with Oakland at basically a pick'em on the road against the Tigers. I know the A's are calling up Edwin Jackson for a spot start, but the veteran has had more than his fair share of success at the big league level and it shouldn't surprise anyone if he throws well here. He put up a respectable 3.40 ERA in 10 starts for Syracuse at the minor league level. There's also a good chance the A's offense bails him out. Oakland is seeing the ball well at the plate as a team right now. They come in averaging 6.7 runs over their last 7 games. Detroit's Jordan Zimmermann has an impressive 2.12 ERA in his last 3 starts, but wasn't sharp in his last outing, giving up 4 runs in just 5 innings at the White Sox. Take Oakland! |
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06-24-18 | Padres v. Giants OVER 8.5 | 2-3 | Loss | -100 | 8 h 34 m | Show | |
3* MLB Over/Under Total ANNIHILATOR on Giants OVER I like the value here with the OVER in Sunday's MLB action that has the Giants hosting the Padres. This will be one of the few times were AT&T Park favors the hitters, as the win will be blowing out to left center at close to 20 mph. We also have a sub-par pitching matchup with San Francisco sending out Dereck Rodriguez and the Padres countering with Eric Lauer. Rodriguez has a 6.28 ERA and 1.604 WHIP in his last 3 starts and Lauer owns an ugly 5.83 ERA and 1.943 WHIP in 6 road starts this season. Take the OVER! |
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06-24-18 | Diamondbacks +102 v. Pirates | 3-0 | Win | 102 | 5 h 55 m | Show | |
4* MLB Situational VEGAS INSIDER on Arizona I like the value here with the Diamondbacks at basically a pick'em on the road against the Pirates. Arizona is playing extremely well at the moment. They have won 3 straight and are 17-7 in their last 24. Pittsburgh has lost 4 straight and have gone 5 straight games where they have scored 3 or fewer runs. I don't see the Pirates offense coming to life in this one. The Diamondbacks will send out Clay Buchholz, who has a 2.14 ERA and 1.040 WHIP in 6 starts since joining the rotation. Take Arizona! |
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06-23-18 | Cardinals -105 v. Brewers | 3-2 | Win | 100 | 16 h 22 m | Show | |
3* MLB Vegas LINE MISTAKE (Cardinals -105) I like the value here with St Louis at basically a pick'em on the road against the Pirates. The Cardinals will send out one of the best stories of 2018 in Miles Mikolas, who is 7-2 with a 2.69 ERA in 14 starts. Milwaukee will counter with Chase Anderson, who is just 5-6 with a 4.54 ERA in 14 starts. Anderson has not been good at home, where he's got a 5.70 ERA and 1.266 WHIP in 8 outings. He also wasn't good at all in his lone start against the Cardinals this season, giving up 4 runs on 8 hits (3 HRs) in just 4 innings of work. Take St Louis! |
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06-22-18 | Marlins +215 v. Rockies | 3-11 | Loss | -100 | 1 h 13 m | Show | |
3* LATE INFO INSIDER on Marlins
No analysis on late info insiders due to time restrictions, but they factor in announced lineups and weather conditions. These profitable situations are only available to long term subscribers.
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06-22-18 | Cubs v. Reds +145 | 3-6 | Win | 145 | 1 h 9 m | Show | |
3* LATE INFO INSIDER on Reds
No analysis on late info insiders due to time restrictions, but they factor in announced lineups and weather conditions. These profitable situations are only available to long term subscribers.
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06-22-18 | Dodgers v. Mets +145 | 5-2 | Loss | -100 | 1 h 7 m | Show | |
3* LATE INFO INSIDER on Mets
No analysis on late info insiders due to time restrictions, but they factor in announced lineups and weather conditions. These profitable situations are only available to long term subscribers.
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06-22-18 | Diamondbacks -114 v. Pirates | 2-1 | Win | 100 | 19 h 24 m | Show | |
3* MLB Money Line ANNIHILATOR on Diamondbacks - I like the value here with Arizona as a short road favorite against the Pirates on Friday. The Diamondbacks will have Pat Corbin on the mound, who is 6-3 with a 3.39 ERA and 1.032 WHIP in 15 starts. Corbin is also 2-0 with a 2.78 ERA and 1.150 WHIP in 6 road starts. Pittsburgh will counter here with Ivan Nova, who is just 4-5 with a 4.42 ERA and 1.323 WHIP in 13 starts. Nova is also 1-3 with a 3.48 ERA in 5 road starts and owns a 4.00 ERA and 1.44 WHIP in 3 career starts against the Diamondbacks. Take Arizona! |
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06-20-18 | Mets v. Rockies -102 | 8-10 | Win | 100 | 12 h 55 m | Show | |
4* MLB Situational VEGAS INSIDER on Rockies I like the value here with Colorado at basically a pick'em at home against the Mets. The Rockies snapped their 8-game home losing streak with a 10-8 win on Tuesday and I see no reason why they won't build on that with another win at home tonight. The Mets will send out Seth Lugo, who has a strong 3.00 ERA and 0.933 WHIP in 3 starts since joining the rotation on 5/31. However, Lugo is coming off a miserable start at Arizona, which was the only one of the 3 on the road. Lugo allowed 5 runs on 8 hits in 5 innings. Now he has to make his first ever start at Coors Field, which is arguably the toughest place to pitch in the majors. Whether or not the Rockies get a strong outing from starter Chad Bettis, the offense should put up a big enough number here to secure the victory. Take Colorado! |
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06-20-18 | Cardinals v. Phillies UNDER 8.5 | 3-4 | Win | 110 | 4 h 27 m | Show | |
3* MLB Over/Under Total DESTROYER on Cardinals UNDER I like the value here with the UNDER in Wednesday's MLB action that has the Phillies hosting the Cardinals. This is simply too good of a number to pass up with the talent both teams have on the mound. Philadelphia will send out Jake Arrieta, who has a 3.33 ERA in 13 starts, but more importantly is 3-1 with a 1.69 ERA and 0.964 WHIP in 6 home starts. St Louis will counter with Michael Wacha, who is 8-2 with a 3.24 ERA and 1.190 WHIP in 14 starts. Wacha has made 3 starts against the Phillies over the last 2 years and has allowed exactly 2 earned runs in all 3 starts. Take the UNDER! |
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06-19-18 | Mariners v. Yankees OVER 9 | 2-7 | Push | 0 | 11 h 50 m | Show | |
3* MLB Over/Under Total ANNIHILATOR on Yankees OVER I like the value here with the OVER in Tuesday's MLB action that has the Yankees hosting the Mariners. New York is averaging 5.5 runs/game at home and Seattle is putting up 4.9 runs/game on the road. With the way the ball flies out of Yankee Stadium, these two should have no problem reaching double-digits. The Yankees have got great pitching of late, as they haven't allowed more than 3 runs in 5 straight games, but there's a good chance that streak comes to an end in this one. NY will send out Domingo German, who has a 5.77 ERA in 7 starts. Seattle starter Marco Gonzales has pitched well so far this season, but has not faced this potent Yankees lineup and I look for New York to put up a big number here. Take the OVER! |
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06-19-18 | Brewers v. Pirates UNDER 8 | 3-2 | Win | 100 | 11 h 31 m | Show | |
4* MLB Over/Under Total NO-BRAINER on Brewers UNDER I like the value here with the UNDER in Tuesday's MLB action that has the Pirates hosting the Brewers. These two teams combined for just 1 run in the series opener on Monday, as Pittsburgh won 1-0. Milwaukee has now scored 1 or fewer runs in 3 of their last 5 games and will be up against the red-hot Jameson Taillon, who owns a 2.25 ERA and 1.050 WHIP in his last 3 starts. Pittsburgh will counter with Freddy Peralta, who has allowed just 4 hits and racked up 18 strikeouts in his first two big league starts, which has spanned 9 2/3 innings. UNDER is 46-15-1 in Milwaukee's last 62 road games vs a right-handed and 53-18-1 in their last 72 following a loss. UNDER is also 33-15-3 in Pittsburgh's last 51 vs division opponents and 7-1 in Taillon's last 8 starts against a team that scored 2 runs or less last time out. Take the UNDER! |
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06-19-18 | Mariners v. Yankees -161 | Top | 2-7 | Win | 100 | 10 h 30 m | Show |
5* MLB No Limit GAME OF MONTH on Yankees - I love the value here with New York at home against the Mariners on Tuesday. This might seem like a big price to lay with the Yankees, but they come into this contest with a 26-11 record at home and a 11-3 record in their last 14 vs a team that's won more than 60% of their games. They have also gone 16-5 this season when facing a left-handed starter and Seattle will send out lefty Marco Gonzales for this one. New York will counter with Domingo German, who has pitched much better than his 5.77 ERA would suggest. That's evident by German's 1.179 WHIP in his 7 starts. He's also got an impressive 19 strikeouts in his last 12 innings of work. Take New York! |
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06-18-18 | Cardinals v. Phillies -101 | 5-6 | Win | 100 | 10 h 17 m | Show | |
4* MLB Situational HEAVY HITTER on Phillies - I like the value here with the Phillies at basically a pick'em at home against the Cardinals. I think this is a tough spot for St Louis on the road after playing last night against rival Chicago on Sunday Night Baseball. Even with the win the Cardinals have dropped 4 of 5. Philadelphia just took 2 of 3 at Milwaukee and have won each of their last 2 series. I look for them to stay hot at home, where they are 22-12 on the season. Phillies' starter Nick Pivetta has a 3.13 ERA and 1.109 WHIP in 8 home starts. They are 5-1 in his last 6 home starts vs a team with a winning, while the Cardinals are 9-19 in their last 28 road games vs a team that's won more than 60% of their home games. Take Philadelphia! |
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06-17-18 | Angels -110 v. A's | 5-6 | Loss | -110 | 17 h 44 m | Show | |
4* MLB Situational VEGAS INSIDER on Angels - I like the value here with the Angels as a short road favorite against the A's on Sunday. Oakland was able to snap their 4-game losing streak with a 6-4 win on Saturday, but I look for them to go right back to their losing ways with the struggling Daniel Mengden on the mound. Mengden is 6-6 with a 3.90 ERA in 14 starts, but comes into this contest with an awful 8.10 ERA and 1.680 WHIP in his last 3 starts. In his last 2 outings he's given up 12 runs on 13 hits (6 HRs) and 7 walks over just 8 2/3 innings of work. LA will counter with Andrew Heaney, who has a solid 3.68 ERA and 1.178 WHIP in 11 starts and is just 2 outings removed from throwing a complete game shutout. Heaney also owns a 3.79 ERA and 1.053 WHIP in 3 starts against Oakland and Mengden is 0-2 with a 13.49 ERA in 2 starts vs the Angels. Take Los Angeles! |
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06-17-18 | Tigers v. White Sox UNDER 9 | 3-1 | Win | 112 | 5 h 51 m | Show | |
3* MLB Over/Under TOTAL DESTROYER on White Sox UNDER I like the value with the UNDER in Sunday's MLB action that has the White Sox hosting the Tigers. While these two went over the total in Saturday's contest, the UNDER is still a ridiculous 13-1-1 over Chicago's last 15 games. UNDER is also 9-3 in Detroit's last 12. A big reason for both these teams consistently finishing UNDER the total is they don't have a lot of offensive fire-power. I look for both offenses to struggle in this one. Chicago's James Shields has a 3.90 ERA and 1.214 WHIP in 9 home starts and has pitched well in each of his 2 starts this season against Detroit. The Tigers will turn to Blaine Hardy, who has a solid 3.67 ERA and 1.136 WHIP in 6 starts. That includes an outing against the White Sox, where he allowed just 1 run on 3 hits. Take the UNDER! |
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06-16-18 | Rockies v. Rangers +107 | Top | 2-5 | Win | 107 | 17 h 26 m | Show |
5* MLB Interleague GAME OF THE MONTH on Rangers I love the value here with Texas at basically a pick'em at home against the Rockies in Saturday's interleague action. Colorado is getting way too much respect on the road with Kyle Freeland on the mound. Freeland has an ugly 5.00 ERA and 1.44 WHIP in his last 3 starts and a 4.15 ERA and 1.238 WHIP in 8 road starts this season. Rangers have hit left-handed starting well, as they are averaging 4.5 runs/game when facing a southpaw. I don't see Freeland going deep in this game and that's important to note, given the Rockies' bullpen owns a 5.28 ERA and 1.432 WHIP. The Rangers will counter with Mike Minor, who has pitched much better at home than his 4.17 ERA would suggest. Minor owns a 1.171 WHIP in 7 home starts. Colorado is not the same team offensively on the road as they are at home. Rockies come in hitting just .224 as a team in away games this season. Take Texas! |
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06-16-18 | Astros v. Royals +200 | 10-2 | Loss | -100 | 16 h 55 m | Show | |
3* MLB Undervalued UNDERDOG on Royals + I like the value here with Kansas City as a massive home dog against the Astros on Saturday. The betting public is going to want absolutely nothing to do with the Royals in this one. KC is one of the worst teams in the league and Houston has won 9 straight. The reason the price here is too good to pass up, is Astros starter Dallas Keuchel hasn't been that good. Keuchel is 3-8 with a 4.45 ERA and 1.32 WHIP in 14 starts. He's been really bad of late, giving up 17 runs on 27 hits in his last 3 starts (16 innings). KC will counter with Danny Duffy, who has been much better of late after a poor start. Duffy allowed just 3 hits over 7 shutout innings in his last start and has allowed 1 or fewer runs in 3 of his last 4 starts overall. Take Kansas City! |
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06-15-18 | Rockies v. Rangers +104 | 9-5 | Loss | -100 | 21 h 38 m | Show | |
4* MLB Situational VEGAS INSIDER on Rangers + I like the value here with Texas at basically a pick'em at home against the slumping Rockies. Colorado is just 3-10 in their last 13. The Rangers have lost their last 6 games, but 4 of those came against the Astros and the other 2 were on the road against the Dodgers. Two of the best teams in the league. I think we see Texas snap that losing streak here. Colorado will start Chad Bettis, who has not been throwing it well. Bettis has given up exactly 5 runs in each of his last 3 starts, a stretch in which he's posted an awful 8.62 ERA and 1.532 WHIP. Rookies are also just 17-38 in their last 55 interleague road games and 5-16 in their last 21 interleague road games vs a left-handed starter. The Rangers on the other hand are 9-3 in their last 12 interleague home games. Take Texas! |
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06-14-18 | Padres +130 v. Braves | 2-4 | Loss | -100 | 12 h 31 m | Show | |
4* MLB Situational HEAVY HITTER on Padres + I like the value here with the Padres as a big road dog against the Braves on Thursday. San Diego has been playing well. The Padres just took 2 of 3 against the Cardinals and have now won each of their last 5 series. That includes a recent series at home against the Braves, where they took 2 of 3. San Diego will send out Tyson Ross for this one, who is a respectable 5-3 with a 3.55 ERA and 1.250 WHIP in 13 starts. Ross hasn't faced Atlanta since 2015, but is 9-3 in his last 12 starts against a team who strikes out 7 or more times a game (Braves avg. 7.8). It's also worth noting the Padres are a perfect 6-0 when they are listed as an underdog with Ross on the mound this season. Take San Diego! |
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06-13-18 | Reds v. Royals +115 | 7-0 | Loss | -100 | 20 h 28 m | Show | |
3* MLB Vegas LINE MISTAKE on Royals + I like the value here with Kansas City as a home dog against the Reds on Wednesday. The Royals will be motivated to salvage a split in this short 2-game series after dropping the opener 5-1 in extra innings on Tuesday. I like their chances of doing just that with a red-hot Jason Hammel on the mound. Hammel has a 2.59 ERA over his last 4 starts. A stretch that has seen him lower his ERA from 6.28 to 5.12. I also think we are going to see the Royals offense come to life in this one, as the Reds send out Tyler Mahle, who is just 4-6 with a 4.33 ERA and 1.427 WHIP in 13 starts. Take Kansas City! |
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06-13-18 | Twins -145 v. Tigers | 2-5 | Loss | -145 | 21 h 48 m | Show | |
4* MLB Situational HEAVY HITTER on Twins - I like the value here with the Twins as a decently priced road favorite against the Tigers on Wednesday. Minnesota won the series opener 6-4 on Wednesday and have now won back-to-back games. Detroit has lost 7 of their last 10 and now will have to play the rest of the season without veteran first baseman Miguel Cabrera. I just don't think the Tigers have enough offensive fire-power to pull out a win here against Twins' ace Jose Berrios, who is 7-5 with a 3.66 ERA and 0.920 WHIP over 13 starts. Berrios was sensational in his only start so far this season against Detroit, allowing just 2 runs on 3 hits in 8 innings. Matt Boyd will start for the Tigers and he's having a great season, but owns a mere 4.01 ERA in 12 career starts against the Twins and Detroit is an awful 1-11 in Boyd's last 12 starts against division opponents. Take Minnesota! |
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06-13-18 | Rockies v. Phillies -135 | Top | 7-2 | Loss | -135 | 21 h 43 m | Show |
5* MLB Vegas Insider TOP PLAY on Phillies - I like the value here with the Phillies at home against the Rockies on Wednesday. Philadelphia won the series opener 5-4 on Tuesday and are now 21-11 at Citizens Bank Park this season. While the Phillies are starting to heat up, Colorado comes in having lost 5 straight and are just 2-9 in their last 11 overall. Philadelphia will turn to Nick Pivetta for game two and he's been outstanding at home. Pivetta has a 2.20 ERA and 0.976 WHIP in 7 home starts. Colorado on the other hand will send out Tyler Anderson, who has a mere 4.81 ERA and 1.352 WHIP in 13 starts this season and comes in with a 5.00 ERA and 1.389 WHIP in his last 3 outings. Take Philadelphia! |
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06-12-18 | Twins -105 v. Tigers | 6-4 | Win | 100 | 20 h 19 m | Show | |
4* MLB Situational VEGAS INSIDER on Twins - I like the value here with Minnesota at basically a pick'em on the road against the Tigers. Detroit has started out better than most expected, but this is not a good team and will likely keep regressing as the season wears on. The Tigers come in having lost 6 of their last 9. Minnesota is the exact opposite, as the Twins have underperformed early in 2018. I like Minnesota's chances in this one with Jake Odorizzi on the mound against converted reliever Blaine Hardy, who just gave up 5 runs on 8 hits in his last start at Boston. Hardy lasted just 5 innings in a 2-4 loss to the Twins back on 5/21 and Odorizzi has a 2.28 ERA and 1.141 WHIP in 4 career starts against the Tigers. Take Minnesota! |
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06-12-18 | Red Sox v. Orioles +170 | 6-4 | Loss | -100 | 10 h 51 m | Show | |
3* MLB Undervalued UNDERDOG on Orioles + I like the value here with Baltimore as a massive home dog against the Red Sox on Tuesday. The Orioles had their chances against Boston in the series opener, but ended up losing 2-0 in extra innings. Baltimore has now dropped 5 straight and I think we are getting a great price here because of it. I think they have an excellent shot at snapping their losing streak with David Hess on the mound. The rookie has been throwing the ball extremely well since joining the rotation. He's got a 3.07 ERA and 1.193 WHIP in 5 starts and a 0.93 ERA and 1.018 WHIP in his last 3 starts. Boston's offense is one of the best in the game, but they are in a major funk right now. The Red Sox have scored just 8 runs in their last 5 games, scoring 2 or fewer in 4 of the 5 contests. Look for Hess to keep them in check, while the offense provides enough run-support for the victory. Take Baltimore! |
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06-11-18 | Giants v. Marlins +161 | 5-7 | Win | 161 | 10 h 3 m | Show | |
3* MLB Undervalued UNDERDOG Marlins + I like the value here with Miami as a massive home dog against the Giants on Monday. I just think the price here is too good to pass up with the Marlins. San Francisco will have their ace Madison Bumgarner on the mound, but this is only his second start of 2018, as he missed the first two months recovering from a broken pinky finger on his pitching hand. Bumgarner pitched well in his first start back, but did give up 8 hits in 6 innings and only struck out 3. What is getting overlooked in this matchup is how well Miami starter Wei-Yin Chen has been when he takes the mound at Marlins Park. Chen has a 1.06 ERA and 1.001 WHIP in 3 home starts and is catching the Giants at a great time, as this is a big letdown series after taking 2 of 3 agains the Nationals, including yesterday's 2-0 win against Washington ace Max Scherzer. Take Miami! |
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06-11-18 | Red Sox v. Orioles +112 | Top | 2-0 | Loss | -100 | 10 h 24 m | Show |
5* MLB Heavy Hitter GAME OF THE MONTH on Orioles + I love the value here with Baltimore as a home dog against the Red Sox on Monday. This is a huge game for the Orioles, who were just swept in a 4-game series at Toronto over the weekend, including an embarrassing 13-3 loss on Sunday. The good news for Baltimore is they are catching the Red Sox at an ideal time. Mookie Betts isn't quite ready to return from the DL and the offense isn't quite the same without him in it. Boston comes in having lost 3 of 4 against the Tigers and White Sox. Orioles starter Dylan Bundy is hot at the moment, as he's got a 2.45 ERA and 0.909 WHIP in his last 3 starts and has pitched effectively in his 2 outings against Boston this season. Red Sox will counter with Steven Wright, who pitched well in his first start of 2018, but owns an ugly 7.17 ERA in 4 career starts against the Orioles. Take Baltimore! |
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06-10-18 | Braves v. Dodgers -148 | Top | 2-7 | Win | 100 | 20 h 39 m | Show |
5* MLB Vegas NO LIMIT Top Play on Dodgers - I like the value here with the Dodgers at home against the Braves on Sunday. LA ended up on the short end of a 5-3 loss on Saturday, but are still a red-hot 6-2 in their last 8 games. The 3 runs scored on Saturday was the low-point offensively during this impressive run, as the Dodgers had scored 5 or more in each of their previous 7 games, a stretch in which they have averaged 7.7 runs/game. I look for LA to stay hot at the plate and come away with a win here behind another strong effort from starter Ross Stripling, who is 4-1 with a 1.89 ERA and 1.079 WHIP in 7 starts. It's also worth noting that Stripling is 2-0 at home with a 1.42 ERA and 3-0 with a 0.48 ERA in his last 3 starts. Take Los Angeles! |
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06-10-18 | Diamondbacks v. Rockies OVER 11.5 | 8-3 | Loss | -120 | 7 h 37 m | Show | |
3* MLB Over/Under Total ANNIHILATOR on Rockies OVER I like the value here with the OVER in Sunday's NL West action that has the Rockies hosting the Diamondbacks. These two teams have combined for at least 13 runs in each of the first 2 games of the series and I expect another 12+ effort between the two in this one. Colorado will be up against Zack Godley, who has a 7.08 ERA and 1.923 WHIP in 7 road starts and comes in with a 10.66 ERA and 2.212 WHIP in his last 3 starts. Arizona, which scored 12 runs on Saturday, will face Kyle Freeland, who has a 4.42 ERA and 1.473 WHIP in his last 3 starts. Freeland also owns an ugly 4.15 ERA and 1.769 WHIP in 3 career starts against the Diamondbacks. Take the OVER! |
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06-09-18 | Angels -107 v. Twins | Top | 2-1 | Win | 100 | 20 h 35 m | Show |
5* AL Vegas Insider GAME OF THE MONTH on Angels - I love the value here with the Angels at basically a pick'em on the road against the Twins. LA is on a roll right now, as they have won 5 straight. They won 4-2 over Minnesota on Friday and the Twins have now lost 3 of 4. I'll gladly take my chances with the team playing the better baseball at this price, especially with the starting pitching matchup we have going. LA will send out Tyler Skaggs, who is just 4-4 with a 3.27 ERA in 12 starts, but it's all about pitching away from home for Skaggs. He's 3-1 with a 2.94 ERA and 1.159 WHIP in 6 road starts. Minnesota will send out Kyle Gibson, who is 1-3 with a 3.54 ERA in 12 starts. Gibson would also rather be on the road, as he's 0-2 with a 5.28 ERA and 1.598 WHIP in 6 home starts. Take Los Angeles! |
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06-09-18 | Cardinals v. Reds +108 | 6-4 | Loss | -100 | 18 h 36 m | Show | |
4* MLB Situational HEAVY HITTER on Reds + I like the value here with the Reds as a home dog against division rival St Louis on Saturday. Cincinnati is just 1-5 in their last 6 games, but a lot of that has been a result of poor pitching. The Reds are hitting .298 with a .369 OBP over their last 7 games. They have recorded 10 or more hits in 5 straight games. I know the history isn't great for Cincinnati against Cardinals' starter Michael Wacha, but I think they are poised to break through against him. Keep in mind Wacha isn't nearly as effective on the road as he is at home. Wacha has a 1.85 ERA in 8 home starts and a mere 3.63 ERA in 4 road starts. Take Cincinnati! |
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06-09-18 | Pirates +170 v. Cubs | 0-2 | Loss | -100 | 16 h 47 m | Show | |
3* MLB Vegas LINE MISTAKE on Pirates + I like the value here with Pittsburgh as a massive road dog against the Cubs on Saturday. This line is simply inflated to the point, where it's just too much value to pass up on with the Pirates. Pittsburgh has been struggling of late, but are starting to heat up at the plate with 28 hits over their last 3 games. I know the Cubs will have Jon Lester on the mound, but they have actually hit him pretty well the two times they have faced him this season. Pittsburgh has scored 8 runs on 15 hits in 11 innings against Lester this season. Look for the Pirates offense to be the difference in this one. Take Pittsburgh! |
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06-08-18 | Astros v. Rangers +186 | 7-3 | Loss | -100 | 10 h 27 m | Show | |
3* MLB Undervalued UNDERDOG on Rangers + I like the value here with Texas as a massive home dog against the Astros on Friday. Houston will have Justin Verlander on the mound and while the Astros should be favored given the starting pitching matchup, the price here on the Rangers is simply too good to pass up. Texas will counter Verlander with veteran Doug Fister, who is coming off back-to-back strong outings on the road against the Mariners and Angels. Fister held Seattle to just 2 runs on 6 hits in 6 innings and allowed just 3 runs on 4 hits in 6 innings against the Angels. I like his chances of keeping it going and getting just enough run-support to pull out the victory. Take Texas! |
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06-08-18 | Yankees v. Mets +104 | 4-1 | Loss | -100 | 10 h 45 m | Show | |
4* MLB Money Line HEAVY HITTER on Mets + I like the value here with the Mets at basically a pick'em at home against the Yankees on Friday. The Yankees are clearly the better of the two teams, but any time you have a rivalry like this, you can throw the records out the window. It certainly doesn't hurt that the Mets will send out Jacob deGrom, who has been putting up Cy Young like numbers to start the season. deGrom is 4-0 with a 1.49 ERA and 1.037 WHIP in 12 starts and comes in with a 0.86 ERA over his last 3 outings. Yankees will counter with Masahiro Tanaka, who hasn't quite pitched as good as his 7-2 record would lead you to believe. Tanaka has a mere 4.88 ERA in his 11 starts this season, including an ugly 5.13 ERA in 6 road starts. I know the Mets offense has been slumping of late, but I like their chances of breaking out and doing just enough here to get a win behind a strong outing from deGrom. Take the Mets! |
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06-07-18 | Astros v. Rangers OVER 9 | 5-2 | Loss | -100 | 13 h 43 m | Show | |
4* MLB Over/Under Total NO-BRAINER on Astros/Rangers OVER Most will look at the starting pitching matchup and expect a low-scoring game when the Astros visit the Rangers for Game 1 of their 4-game series. My focus is more on the two offenses that will take the field in this one. Everyone knows how potent the Astros' lineup is. Houston is averaging 5.7 runs/game on the road and are hitting a respectable .266 vs left-handed starters this season. It wouldn't come as a surprise at all if they put up a big number here against Texas starter Cole Hamels. Houston will have Gerrit Cole on the mound, who is 6-1 with a 2.20 ERA in 12 starts, but he's come back down to earth here of late. His ERA is just 3.60 over his last 3 starts and he's facing a confident Rangers lineup that just scored 15 runs in their quick 2-game sweep of the A's at home. I think Texas keeps the offense rolling. Take the OVER! |
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06-07-18 | Dodgers +130 v. Pirates | 8-7 | Win | 130 | 9 h 5 m | Show | |
3* MLB Early Bird Money Line MASSACRE on Dodgers + I like the value here with the Dodgers as a decently priced road dog against the Pirates on Thursday. Most will hesitate to back Los Angeles with Dennis Santana taking the mound for his first big league start, especially after how bad it went for Caleb Ferguson in his MLB debut yesterday. Unlike Ferguson, Santana has already got his feet wet, as he came on in relief last Friday. While Pittsburgh scored 11 runs in yesterday's win, they had been shutout in their previous two games and it wouldn't come as a surprise if they struggled to get going in this one. As for the Dodgers' offense, they continued their recent onslaught with 9 more runs on Wednesday. LA has now scored 47 runs in their last 5 games. They'll be up against Jameson Taillon, who despite a couple strong outings, is still just 3-4 with a 3.97 ERA in 12 starts. Taillon also owns an ugly 9.00 ERA and 2.11 WHIP in 2 career starts against the Dodgers. Take Los Angeles! |
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06-06-18 | White Sox v. Twins -162 | 5-2 | Loss | -162 | 20 h 38 m | Show | |
3* MLB Situational HEAVY HITTER on Twins - I like the price here with Minnesota at home against the White Sox. There's really not a bad time to fade Chicago on the road. The White Sox are a mere 9-20 away from home this season, where they are getting outscored by an average of 1.6 runs/game. The Twins lost Game 2 of yesterday's double-header, but are 4-1 in their last 5 and will have a big edge on the mound in this on. Minnesota will send out Jake Odorizzi against Hector Santiago of the White Sox. Odorizzi owns a solid 3.29 ERA in 5 home starts and a respectable 3.86 ERA in 4 career outings against Chicago. Santiago on the other hand has a 6.59 ERA and 1.829 WHIP in 6 starts this season and a 6.54 ERA and 1.863 WHIP in 7 career starts against the Twins. Take Minnesota! |
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06-06-18 | Mariners v. Astros -182 | 5-7 | Win | 100 | 20 h 38 m | Show | |
3* MLB Money Line ANNIHILATOR on Astro’s - I got no problem laying the big juice with the Astros at home against the Mariners on Wednesday. Houston will be all business when they take the field in this one, as they aren't a team that takes kindly to losing and have dropped their last 3. They have just the guy on the mound to get them out of their funk, as they will send out Lance McCullers, who is 3-1 with a 1.97 ERA and 0.906 WHIP in 5 home starts this season. McCullers is also 7-2 with a 2.75 ERA and 1.078 WHIP in 10 career starts against the Mariners. Take Houston! |
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06-06-18 | Phillies +123 v. Cubs | 5-7 | Loss | -100 | 20 h 34 m | Show | |
3* MLB Undervalued UNDERDOG on Phillies + I like the value here with the Phillies as a short road dog against the Cubs on Wednesday. Philadelphia bounced back in a big way after getting swept in a 3-game series at San Fransisco over the weekend with a 6-1 win in their series opener against the Cubs on Tuesday. The win snapped Chicago's 4-game winning streak and I think the pitching matchup sets up well for another Phillies win. Philadelphia will send out Aaron Nola, who is 7-2 with a 2.18 ERA and 0.932 WHIP in 12 starts. Chicago will counter with Jose Quintana, who has been a major disappointment so far. Quintana was expected to pitch like an ace, but instead has a 4.30 ERA and 1.415 WHIP in 11 starts. He's also been miserable at Wrigley Field, posting a 6.66 ERA and 1.644 WHIP in 5 home starts. Take Philadelphia! |
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06-06-18 | Yankees -127 v. Blue Jays | Top | 3-0 | Win | 100 | 19 h 35 m | Show |
5* AL East GAME OF THE MONTH on Yankees - I like the value here with New York as a short road favorite against the Blue Jays on Wednesday. The Yankees won the series opener 7-2 on Tuesday, as they continue to dominate the opposition. Playing on the road hasn't been a problem for New York. The Yankees are 17-9 away from home and have started out their current 9-game road trip by winning 4 of 5. The 7 runs scored on Tuesday was the third time in the last 4 games that New York has scored 7 or more runs and I like their chances of laying another big number on Toronto in this one. The Yankees will counter with Sonny Gray, who is starting to heat up. Gray has a mere 5.50 ERA in 11 starts, but owns a 3.57 ERA and 1.075 WHIP in his last 3 starts. In his last 2 road starts, he's given up just 2 runs on 8 hits in 14 innings of work. Take New York! |
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06-06-18 | Diamondbacks v. Giants -128 | 4-5 | Win | 100 | 7 h 7 m | Show | |
4* MLB Afternoon Money Line NO-BRAINER on Giants - I like the value here with San Francisco as a short home favorite against the Diamondbacks on Wednesday. The Giants came up short in a 2-3 loss on Tuesday, but had won their previous 5 games and I look for them to get right back to their winning ways in this one. It's been a great first 3 starts for Arizona starter Clay Buchholz, but those 3 outings have come against the likes of the Mets, A's and Marlins. While the Giants aren't a great offensive team, they are red-hot at the plate right now. San Francisco is averaging 5 runs/game and hitting .295 as a team over their last 7. They also average 5 runs/game and are hitting .275 as a team at home this season. Giants will send out Chris Stratton and they have won each of his last 3 starts and 5 of his 6 starts at home this season. Stratton also owns a strong 2.63 ERA in 4 career starts against Arizona. Take San Francisco! |
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06-05-18 | Marlins +200 v. Cardinals | 7-4 | Win | 200 | 22 h 51 m | Show | |
3* MLB Undervalued UNDERDOG on Marlins + I think the value here is too good to pass up with Miami as a massive road dog against the Cardinals. St Louis will be sending out one of their better starters in Carlos Martinez, but he hasn't pitched in 4 weeks, as he will make his first start off the DL. More times than not, guys who haven't pitched in this long have to shake off some rust and aren't in top form that first start back. Not only do I think Miami can put up some runs, but I also like who they have on the mound. Jose Urena has been much better than the 0-7 record and 4.41 ERA he has through 12 starts. That's evident by Urena's solid 1.168 WHIP. He was sharp in his most recent outing, giving up just 1 run on 3 hits in 6 innings and has given Miami 6 solid innings in each of his last 4 starts. He'll face a St Louis offense that has managed just 15 hits in their last 5 games. Take Miami! |
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06-05-18 | Yankees v. Blue Jays +155 | 7-2 | Loss | -100 | 20 h 28 m | Show | |
4* MLB Situational VEGAS INSIDER on Toronto + I like the value here with Toronto as a big home dog against the Yankees on Tuesday. The Blue Jays snapped their 5-game losing streak on Sunday with a 8-4 win against the Tigers to conclude a 9-game road trip. Toronto not only will be riding some momentum off that win, but they also got a breather with an off day on Monday. New York on the other hand had to play a make-up doubleheader at Detroit on Monday. While they didn't play Sunday due to a rain out against the Orioles, they have had to travel from Baltimore to Detroit to Toronto in the last 3 days. I think that's a big edge here for the Blue Jays, who should be able to keep their offense going against the struggling C.C. Sabathia, who has a 7.54 ERA and 1.884 WHIP in his last 3 starts and a mere 4.64 ERA and 1.406 WHIP in 4 road starts this season. Take Toronto! |
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06-04-18 | Braves v. Padres -110 | Top | 4-11 | Win | 100 | 14 h 59 m | Show |
5* NL Vegas Insider GAME OF THE MONTH on Padres - I like the value here with the Padres as a short home favorite against the Braves on Monday. Atlanta just took 3 of 4 at home against the Nationals after taking the series finale 4-2 on Sunday. They are certainly going to be feeling good about themselves after that big series against Washington and I could see them coming out flat here against the Padres after having to travel clear across the country for this one. San Diego is also playing some of their best baseball of the season right now. The Padres just took 2 of 3 against the Reds and are 5-1 in their last 6 overall. A big reason for their success has been their offense coming to life. Padres are averaging 5.4 runs/game over their last 7 and I like their chances of staying hot here against struggling Braves starter Julio Teheran, who is 0-2 with a 5.50 ERA and 1.389 WHIP in his last 3 starts. Take San Diego! |
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06-04-18 | Royals v. Angels UNDER 9 | Top | 6-9 | Loss | -118 | 10 h 0 m | Show |
5* MLB Vegas Sharp Money Top Play on UNDER 9 I'll take my chances here with the Royals and Angels staying UNDER the mark of 9 set by the books. I think we are seeing a high total here because of the overall numbers of KC starter Danny Duffy, who is just 2-6 with a 5.71 ERA in 12 starts. However, we know Duffy is much better than what he's shown early on in 2018 and he's coming off two great starts, where he's allowed just 2 runs on 8 in 13 2/3 innings of work. Angels will counter with Nick Tropeano, who is sitting at 3-3 with a 3.80 ERA in 8 starts and has also pitched well in his last two outings, giving up just 3 runs on 11 hits in 12 2/3 innings. I just don't see either team going off offensively in this one. Take the UNDER 9! |
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06-03-18 | Marlins +120 v. Diamondbacks | Top | 1-6 | Loss | -100 | 18 h 56 m | Show |
5* MLB Vegas NO LIMIT Top Play on Marlins + I love the value here with the Marlins as an underdog on the road here against the Diamondbacks. Miami is the worst team, but have a big time edge on the mound in this one. The Marlins will send out Daniel Straily, who has a 2.78 ERA and 1.191 WHIP in 4 road starts and a 2.41 ERA in his last 3 outings. Arizona will counter with Matt Koch, who has a 5.19 ERA and 1.356 WHIP in 6 home starts and a ugly 8.59 ERA and 1.910 WHIP in his last 3 outings. Take Miami! |
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06-03-18 | Rangers v. Angels -170 | 1-3 | Win | 100 | 18 h 42 m | Show | |
3* MLB Situational DESTROYER on a Angels I like the value here with the Angles even at this big price at home against the Rangers on Sunday. LA will send out Tyler Skaggs, who has a solid 3.60 ERA and 1.284 WHIP in 11 starts. Texas will counter with Doug Fister, who is a mere 1-5 with a 4.09 ERA and 1.455 WHIP in 10 starts. Rangers won on Saturday, but are just 7-19 in their last 26 following a win. They are also 1-4 in their last 5 road games vs a left-handed starter and 1-4 in Fister's last 5 road starts. Take Los Angeles! |
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06-03-18 | Dodgers -130 v. Rockies | 10-7 | Win | 100 | 17 h 50 m | Show | |
4* MLB Situational VEGAS INSIDER on Dodgers - I like the value here with the Dodgers as a short road favorite against division rival Colorado on Sunday. LA's offense has enjoyed the thin air at Coors Field. They scored 11 runs on Friday and 12 more on Saturday. I look for them to stay hot in this one against Rockies starter Chad Bettis, who has a 5.29 ERA and 1.353 WHIP in his last 3 starts and a 7.06 ERA and 1.661 WHIP in 4 home starts. Take Los Angeles! |
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06-03-18 | Brewers -145 v. White Sox | 1-6 | Loss | -145 | 16 h 46 m | Show | |
3* MLB Money Line ANNIHILATOR on Brewers - I like the value here with Milwaukee at this price on the road agains the White Sox on Sunday. On paper it might look like Chicago has the edge on the mound in this one, but the Brewers are clicking offensively right now. Milwaukee is scoring 6.4 runs/game and hitting .288 as a team over their last 7 games. The Brewers are also 14-3 in their last 17 against bad teams who have won less than 40% of their games and are 11-4 in their last 15 road games. Take Milwaukee! |
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06-03-18 | Nationals v. Braves +110 | 2-4 | Win | 110 | 15 h 15 m | Show | |
4* MLB Money Line NO-BRAINER on Braves + I like the value here with Atlanta as a short home dog against the Nationals on Sunday. Washington is getting way too much respect here on the road. The Braves have taken 2 of the first 3 in the series and will send out Animal Sanchez, who is 9-1 with a 2.16 ERA and 1.155 WHIP in 22 career starts against the Nationals. Washington will send out Jeremy Hellickson, who has pitched well in 2018 with a 2.30 ERA and 0.930 WHIP in 8 starts, but the Braves are 6-1 in their last 7 against a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15 and 5-1 in their last 6 vs a team with a winning record on their home field. Take Atlanta! |
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06-02-18 | Phillies v. Giants UNDER 8 | 0-2 | Win | 100 | 14 h 30 m | Show | |
3* MLB Over/Under Total ANNIHILATOR on Giants UNDER I like the value here with the UNDER in Saturday's MLB action that has the Giants hosting the Phillies. Philadelphia will send out Vincent Velasquez here and he's been in prime form of late. Velasquez has a 1.65 ERA in his last 3 starts. I look for him to stay hot here and keep the Giants in check. San Francisco will counter with Andrew Suarez, who hasn't been great, but has pitched well at home and is facing a Phillies lineup that is in a funk. Philadelphia has scored 2 runs or less in each of their last 3 games and are averaging just 2.7 runs/game and hitting a mere .222 as a team in their last 7 games. Take the UNDER! |
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06-02-18 | Nationals -127 v. Braves | Top | 5-3 | Win | 100 | 8 h 33 m | Show |
5* NL East GAME OF THE MONTH on Nationals - I love the value here with Washington as a short road favorite against the Braves on Saturday. The Nationals will be all business here after losing the first 2 games of the series and they definitely have the edge on the mound to win this one going away. Washington will send out Gio Gonzalez, who is 6-2 with a 1.97 ERA in 10 starts. He's also got a 2.10 ERA in 5 road outings and 2-0 with a 1.31 ERA and 1.016 WHIP in his last 3 home starts. Atlanta will counter with Brandon McCarthy, who has an ugly 5.02 ERA and 1.588 WHIP in 11 starts and has a 6.04 ERA and 1.777 WHIP in 5 home starts. Take Washington! |
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06-02-18 | A's -145 v. Royals | 4-5 | Loss | -145 | 5 h 26 m | Show | |
4* MLB Money Line NO-BRAINER on Oakland - I like the value here with the A's on the road against the Royals Saturday. Oakland laid it on KC Friday in a 16-0 win and have now scored 23 runs on 24 hits in their last 2 games. They should have no problem staying hot here against Jason Hammel of the Royals. Hammel is 2-5 with a 5.23 ERA and 1.423 WHIP in 11 starts. He's also 0-3 with a 4.74 ERA and 1.459 WHIP in 4 home starts. A's will counter with Trevor Cahill, who has been a big addition to their rotation in 2018. Cahill has a 2.25 ERA and 0.886 WHIP in 7 starts and a 2.25 ERA in his last 3 overall. Take Oakland! |
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06-01-18 | Rangers +155 v. Angels | 0-6 | Loss | -100 | 14 h 51 m | Show | |
3* MLB Undervalued UNDERDOG on Rangers + I like the value here with Texas as a massive road dog against the Angels on Friday. While the Rangers lost the series finale yesterday at Seattle, they split their 4-games against a red-hot Mariners squad. Texas has won 6 of their last 9 overall and are simply not getting enough respect in this one. The Angels lost 6-2 at Detroit yesterday and have now dropped 4 of their last 5. A big reason for the slump is the lack of production offensively. That's now 4 out of 5 games where LA has failed to score more than 3 runs. I look for them to continue to struggle here against veteran Bartolo Colon, who is still dealing at 45. Colon has a 3.70 ERA and 0.960 WHIP in 9 starts. He's also been at his best away from home, as he owns a 1.59 ERA and 0.706 WHIP in 4 road starts. Take Texas! |
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06-01-18 | A's v. Royals +119 | 16-0 | Loss | -100 | 12 h 58 m | Show | |
3* MLB Vegas LINE MISTAKE on Royals + I like the value here with Kansas City as a home dog against the A's. The Royals took the final two games at home against the Twins in their previous series and are a solid 6-3 in their last 9 overall. I look for them to stay hot here at home. Oakland is also simply a team that shouldn't be favored on the road, especially when they don't have a decisive edge on the mound. While the A's won 7-3 against Tampa yesterday, runs have been hard to come by. That was the first time in their last 10 games that they scored more than 4 runs and have scored 2 or fewer 6 times during this stretch. There's also an edge here for the KC in terms of rest. The Royals got the day off yesterday, while the A's had to play. Oakland is also going on the road for the first time since they ended a series in Toronto back on 5/20. Take Kansas City! |
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06-01-18 | Nationals v. Braves +130 | 0-4 | Win | 130 | 12 h 31 m | Show | |
4* MLB Situational VEGAS INSIDER on Braves + I like the value here with Atlanta as a decently priced home dog against division rival Washington on Friday. The Braves cooled off the Nationals' bats and snapped their 6-game winning streak with a 4-2 win in the series opener on Thursday. Washington only managed to rack up 5 hits in the loss and I look for Atlanta starter Mike Foltynewicz to do the same. Foltynewicz has been a big surprise early on. While he's just 4-3, he owns a strong 2.55 ERA. He's also been trending up, as he's got a 1.00 ERA and 1.22 WHIP in his last 3 starts. I know the Nationals have been great on the road and will send out Strasburg, but the Braves are 5-1 in their last 6 at home vs a team that's won more than 60% of their road games and 6-1 in their last vs a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15. Take Atlanta! |
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05-31-18 | Rays +138 v. A's | 3-7 | Loss | -100 | 8 h 22 m | Show | |
3* MLB Early Bird Money Line DESTROYER on Rays + I like the value here with Tampa Bay as a decently priced road dog against the A's on Thursday. The Rays come in having won 5 straight and have done it with an unconventional approach with their pitching. Whatever they are doing is working right now, as Tampa has only allowed 7 runs during their 5 game win streak. Today they will send out Ryan Stanek who started this past Saturday against the Orioles. Stanek didn't allow a hit or a walk in 1 2/3 shutout innings, but was pulled after that. I expect another short outing here with the bullpen finishing this thing out. It's also worth noting that while the Rays are surging, Oakland has lost 3 straight and have gone ice-cold at the plate. The A's have scored 2 or fewer runs in 6 of their last 9 games, getting shutout on 3 separate occasions. When you can't score runs it's extremely hard to win games and that's why I think Oakland is way over-priced here even with a quality starter like Daniel Mengden on the mound. Take Tampa Bay! |
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05-30-18 | Mets +165 v. Braves | 4-1 | Win | 165 | 10 h 51 m | Show | |
3* MLB Vegas LINE MISTAKE on Mets + I really like the value here with New York as a big road dog against division rival Atlanta on Wednesday. The Mets stayed hot at the plate in yesterday's 6-7 defeat to the Braves and have now scored 30 runs in their last 5 games, scoring 6 or more in 4 of the 5. I'll take my chances with the Mets hot offense against the struggling Julio Teheran of Atlanta. Teheran has a mere 4.20 ERA and 1.233 WHIP in 11 starts overall, a 5.54 ERA in 5 home starts an a ugly 6.88 ERA and 1.412 WHIP in his last 3 outings. Take New York! |
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05-29-18 | Cubs v. Pirates +111 | 8-6 | Loss | -100 | 10 h 59 m | Show | |
3* MLB Underdog HEAVY HITTER on Pirates + I like the value here with the Pirates as a home dog against the Cubs on Tuesday. Big bounce back game for Pittsburgh, after getting embarrassed in the series opener on Monday 7-0. Even with the win the Cubs are still just 2-6 in their last 8 vs a team with a winning record and they are 2-5 in their last 7 following a win. Chicago will have veteran Jon Lester on the mound, who has been throwing it well, but the Cubs are just 1-5 in Lester's last 6 road starts vs a team with a winning record. Pirates will counter with Nick Kingham, who has a 2.08 ERA and 0.538 WHIP in his two home starts and I look for him to keep this inconsistent Cubs offense in check. Take Pittsburgh! |
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05-29-18 | Astros v. Yankees +110 | 5-6 | Win | 110 | 10 h 32 m | Show | |
3* MLB Money Line ANNIHILATOR on Yankees + I like the value here with the Yankees as a home dog against the Astros on Tuesday. This is simply too good a price to pass up on with New York at home, where they have gone 20-9 so far this season. Houston will send out Charlie Morton, who is overdue for a bad outing. Morton is 7-0 with a 2.04 ERA and 0.973 WHIP in 10 starts. While he got the win at Cleveland in his last outing, he only struck out 5 in 6 innings, while walking 3 hitters. In his previous 2 starts he had struck out 22 and walked just 1 hitter over 14 innings. Yankees will counter with C.C. Sabathia, who has a 2.59 ERA and 0.986 WHIP at home. Take New York! |
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05-29-18 | White Sox v. Indians OVER 9.5 | 3-7 | Win | 100 | 9 h 37 m | Show | |
4* MLB Over/Under Total NO-BRAINER on White Sox/Indians OVER I like the value here with the OVER in Tuesday's AL Central action that has the White Sox hosting the Indians. Both of these teams come in hot at the plate. Cleveland has scored at least 8 runs in each of their last 3 games, while the White Sox are averaging 5 runs/game over their last 4. I look for both sides to stay hot against today's starters. The Indians will send out Mike Clevinger, who despite a solid 3.32 ERA overall, is just 1-1 with a 4.62 ERA and 1.405 WHIP in 6 home starts. White Sox will counter with Lucas Giolito, who is 3-5 with a 7.53 ERA in 10 starts and comes in with a 8.31 ERA and 1.846 WHIP in his last 3 outings. OVER is 12-1 in Cleveland's last 13 home games vs a right-handed starter and 6-1 in their last 7 vs a team that's won fewer than 40% of their games. Take the OVER! |
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05-28-18 | Cubs v. Pirates +111 | 7-0 | Loss | -100 | 3 h 28 m | Show | |
4* MLB Situational HEAVY HITTER on Pirates + I like the value here with Pittsburgh at basically a pick'em at home against the Cubs on Monday. Chicago is simply getting way too much respect here on the road. The Cubs are being forced to pull Mike Montgomery out of the bullpen for a spot start. Montgomery has experience as a starter, but isn't going to be able to pitch deep in this one. He's also coming off a miserable outing, where he gave up 6 runs in 2 1/3 innings against the Indians. Pittsburgh will counter with Chad Kuhl, who is coming off a strong start at Cincinnati, where he allowed just 1 run on 5 hits in 6 innings. Kuhl's last start against the Cubs came at home back in September of last year and he allowed just 4 hits over 7 scoreless innings. Look for another good showing from Kuhl and for the Pirates offense to provide more than enough run support. Take Pittsburgh! |
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05-28-18 | Blue Jays +182 v. Red Sox | 3-8 | Loss | -100 | 2 h 26 m | Show | |
3* MLB Undervalued UNDERDOG on Toronto + I like the value here with the Blue Jays as a huge road dog against the Red Sox on Monday. Toronto just took 2 of 3 on the road against the Phillies and I like their chances of keeping it going here. The Blue Jays will send out Aaron Sanchez against Boston's David Price. The books are suggesting that the Red Sox have a massive edge on the mound here with this line and I'm not buying it. Sanchez has a respectable 3.80 ERA in 4 road starts this season and is 3-1 with a 3.63 ERA and 1.231 WHIP in 9 career starts against Boston. Price has pitched well in his last two starts, but is still just 4-4 with a 4.08 ERA overall and has a 4.37 ERA in 4 home starts. Another big key here is the Red Sox aren't expected to have Mookie Betts for this contest. Take Toronto! |
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05-27-18 | Royals v. Rangers -163 | 5-3 | Loss | -163 | 7 h 36 m | Show | |
4* MLB Situational HEAVY HITTER on Rangers - I like the value here with the Rangers at home against the Royals on Sunday. Texas is playing some of their best baseball right now. The Rangers have won 4 of 5 and are locked in at the plate, averaging 6.2 runs/game over their last 6. Texas should have no problem keeping the offense going, as KC will send out Jason Hammel for the start in this one. Hammel is just 1-5 with a 5.70 ERA and 1.450 WHIP in 10 starts. He's also got an ugly 6.37 ERA in 6 road starts and a 8.10 ERA in his last 3 outings. Rangers will counter with Cole Hamels, who has been sensational of late with a 1.89 ERA and 0.895 WHIP in his last 3 starts. Take Texas! |