7* MLB *HEAVY HITTER* on Rockies -114

The Key: The Rockies are showing some nice value at home at this price with De La Rosa on the mound.  The Rockies are 5-0 in his last five starts, 40-11 in his last 51 home starts and 45-11 in his last 56 starts as a favorite.  They are 17-4 in De La Rosa's last 21 starts as a home favorite of -110 to -150 and 4-0 in his last four starts versus teams with a winning record.  Colorado is also 4-0 in his last four home starts versus the Giants.  Hudson is having a good season, but he missed his last start and will likely show some rust as a result.  It's not good to be rusty at Coors Field where the Rockies have been hammering the baseball all season.  Plus, Hudson's clubs are just 1-4 in his last five starts at Coors.  The Giants are 4-10 in the last 14 meetings in Colorado.  Take the Rockies.

7* MLB *HEAVY HITTER* on Red Sox -141

The Key: After getting swept at home by the Tigers, Boston will be all business when it takes the field this evening.  The Red Sox have struggled at the plate lately.  However, first half of the season home favorites of -110 or higher that have a batting average of .175 or worse over their last three games are 74-31 the last five seasons.  I expect Boston's bats to come alive against Toronto lefty J.A. Happ.  Bean Town is 10-4 against lefty starters this season, batting .263 and averaging 5.3 runs against them.  The Blue Jays are 6-13 in Happ's last 19 starts and 0-4 in his last four starts as an underdog of +110 to +150.  Despite Boston's recent skid, it is still 38-17 in its last 55 games following a loss.  Felix Doubront has been dialed in lately.  He has a 2.55 ERA over his last three starts.  The Red Sox are 9-4 in his last 13 starts and 12-4 in his last 16 starts as a favorite.  Take the Red Sox.

7* MLB *HEAVY HITTER* on Giants -141

The Key: Following back-to-back losses, the Giants will bounce back to earn a series split.  The Giants are 24-8 in their last 32 games following a loss, 6-0 in their last six Game 4s of a series and 11-1 in their last 12 Sunday games. The Marlins are 1-5 in their last six Game 4s of a series, 3-13 in Turner's last 16 starts and 0-6 in his last six starts versus a team with a winning record.  Turner doesn't help himself very often.  He has just 10 strikeouts on the season.  This is significant because the Giants are 15-1 the last three seasons versus teams starting a pitcher who strikes out an average of three batters per start or less.  The Giants have won these games by an average score of 6.4 to 2.8.  Vogelsong has been pitching well, allowing one run or none in three of his last four starts.  Turner, on the other hand, has given up five runs or more in four of his last five starts.  Take the Giants.

7* NL *HEAVY HITTER* on Phillies -117

The Key: Hamels has owned the Reds.  The Phillies are 11-0 all-time in his starts against them, during which he's posted a 1.51 ERA.  The Reds took Game 1, but they are 0-4 in their last four following a win, 1-5 in their last six in the second game of a series, 1-5 in their last six as an underdog and 1-5 in their last six road games.  They are also 0-4 in Bailey's last four starts as an underdog and 1-10 in his last 11 road starts when the money line is +125 to -125.  The Reds are 1-5 in Bailey's 6 career road starts versus the Phillies.  Cincinnati is 17-35 in the last 52 meetings, including 7-20 in the last 27 in Philadelphia.  Take Philly.

7* NL West Game of the Year on Rockies -148

The Key: This is a tough spot for San Diego, which played a double header in Cincinnati yesterday.  Fatigue will be an issue for the Padres.  So will Jorge De La Rosa.  Colorado's recent road trip didn't go well, but it had yesterday off to regroup and is sending the right horse to the hill.  The Rockies are an incredible 40-12 in De La Rosa's last 52 home starts.  And when he gets the ball following a team loss, they are on a perfect 16-0 run.  When he gets the ball off two consecutive team losses or more, they are on an 8-0 tear.  Clearly, this competitor is clutch.  He's dialed in right now too.  The southpaw is 4-0 in his last four starts with a 2.63 ERA.  They are a perfect 8-0 in his last eight home starts dating back to last season.  The Rockies are 11-1 in De La Rosa's last 12 starts versus the Padres, including 7-0 in his home starts during this span.  While Eric Stults has an unbeaten record versus the Rockies, he's fortunate that's the case since he's allowed 9 runs in his last 9 2-3 innings against them.  Stults is in poor form with a 6.62 road ERA on the season and a 6.75 ERA over his last three starts.  He hasn't had nearly the same success on the road where the Padres are 5-13 in his last 18 starts and 2-8 in his last 10 starts versus winning clubs.  The Rockies also have a huge advantage offensively.  They are batting .353 at home and averaging 7.7 runs per game.  San Diego is batting .196 on the road and averaging 2.4 runs per game.  The Padres are 3-9 in the last 12 meetings in Colorado.  Take the Rockies.

7* MLB *HEAVY HITTER* on Giants -133

The Key: I'll back the Giants, who are 10-3 in their last 13 at home, versus a Miami club that is 4-15 on the road.  Going back further, the Marlins are 30-79 in their last 109 road games.  The Giants have won 15 of their last 20 overall and are 14-3 in their last 17 home games versus a right-handed starter.  The Marlins are 0-3 in Eovaldi's road starts, and he's 1-2 with an ERA of 12.21 in three starts versus San Francisco.  Even though Cain is still looking for his first win of the season, he is the better starter in this matchup, and I believe he's due.  He's held the opposition to two earned runs or less in eight of his last 10 starts and 13 of his last 17.  When the money line is +100 to -150, you want to back home teams that are starting a pitcher who is winless after five starts or more if they have a hot bullpen with an ERA under 3.00 over the last 10 games.  Doing so has produced a 70-26 mark since 1997.  Take San Francisco.

7* MLB Interleague Total of the Month on Rockies/Rangers Under 9.5

The Key: Plays "under" on all teams when the total is 8.5 to 10 in Wednesday interleague games has produced a 98-46 mark the last five seasons.  Texas' Colby Lewis is 15-1 "under" all-time in Wednesday starts, and we have seen only 6.7 total runs scored on average in these outings.  Lewis has been really good lately with a 3.37 ERA over his last three starts.  Jorge De La Rosa has returned to form following a slow start and has an ERA of 2.50 over his last three starts.  With as good as these pitchers are going, I feel this line is too high.  The "under" is 5-0 in De La Rosa's last five road starts when the total is 9.0-10.5.  De La Rosa is also 17-3 "under" all-time in road games following two or more consecutive wins.  We have seen just 6.0 total runs scored on average in these outings.  The Rockies haven't had the same scoring punch on the road where they are averaging just 4.0 runs per game.  The Rangers are averaging only 4.1 runs per game at home.  Take the Under.

7* NL Game of the Week on Braves -125

The Key: Atlanta has dropped the first two games of the series, but it hasn't been swept at Miami since 2006.  The Marlins are 18-45 in their last 63 Game 3s of a series.  The Braves are 40-17 in the last 57 meetings, including 22-8 in their last 30 in Miami.  Ervin Santana has been brilliant since moving to the NL.  The Braves are 4-0 in his starts, and he's compiled an ERA of only 1.95.  This number is down to 1.38 in a pair of road starts.  His clubs are 11-1 the last two season in his starts as a favorite of -125 to -175.  Henderson Alvarez has pitched well for the Marlins, but they've lost four of his five starts while he's posted an ERA (2.73) that's nearly a run higher than Santana's.  His clubs are 1-11 over the last three seasons in his home starts versus division opponents.  The Marlins are 0-5 in his last 5 starts versus the NL East and 1-8 in his last 9 starts versus winning clubs.  Take Atlanta.

7* MLB *HEAVY HITTER* on Nationals -137

The Key: This is a good price to bet Strasburg at home.  He is coming off a bad outing in Miami, which means he'll be extremely focused here.  The guy rarely has back-to-back poor showings.  The Nationals are 9-3 in Strasburg's last 12 starts, 4-1 in his last 5 home starts, 12-2 in his last 14 Sunday starts and 4-0 in his last 4 game 4 of a series starts.  The Nationals are 5-0 in their last 5 game 4's of a series while the Cardinals are 1-6 in their last 7 game 4's.  The Nationals are 40-16 in their last 56 games as a favorite and 5-1 in their last 6 games as a home favorite of -110 to -150 while the Cardinals are 4-12 in their last 16 games as a road underdog of +110 to +150.  You want to back favorites with a money line of -110 or higher in the first half of the season if they are batting .175 or worse over their last 3 games.  Doing so has produced a 102-40 mark the last 5 seasons.  You also want to fade road teams with a starting pitcher who gives up an average of 1.0 home run or more per start if the bullpen has thrown 5 innings or less over the last 3 games.  That's because doing so has produced an 82-37 mark the last 5 seasons.  Take the Nats.

7* MLB Game of the Week on Royals -137

The Key: The Royals will be all business when they take the field tonight as they seek revenge for getting swept last weekend in Minneapolis.  Despite losing each of the season's first three meetings with the Twins, the Royals are still 18-8 in the last 26 meetings, including 8-2 in the last 10 at home.  The Twins have lost five of their last six series openers and are just 4-10 in their last 14 on the road.  The Royals are 4-0 in their last four home games following a road trip of 7 or more days, 7-2 in their last nine series openers, 15-6 in their last 21 home games and 6-1 in their last seven games as a home favorite of -110 to -150.  Nolasco shut down the Royals in his last starts, but things haven't gone as well for him on the road where he has given up five earned runs or more in each of his last four starts.  Vargas has been lights out (1.64 ERA), and he has allowed two earned runs or fewer in three of four home starts against the Twins.  You want to back teams following a stretch where they allowed four runs or less in four straight games if they are averaging 4.5 runs per game or less on the season and are up against an AL starter with an ERA of 4.70 to 5.70.  Doing so has produced a 42-14 mark the last 3 seasons.  Take the Royals.

7* MLB *HEAVY HITTER* on Giants -135
The Key: San Francisco has had Colorado's number. The Giants have won 42 of the last 61 meetings overall and 35 of the last 51 at home. The Rockies are only 2-14 in San Francisco since Aug. 11, 2012, which comes as no surprise since they are 16-40 in their last 56 road games overall. Cain has been a thorn in Colorado's side. He's 6-0 with a 3.09 ERA in seven starts against the Rockies since June 3, 2011, and has held them to a .198 average during this span. The Giants are 7-0 in his last seven home starts versus the Rockies. Colorado's Anderson is 0-2 in two starts against the Giants, and both came at AT&T Park where he's compiled a 7.00 ERA and .351 opponents' batting average. Anderson's teams are 5-19 in his starts as an underdog of +150 or less. Take San Francisco.

7* MLB Game of the Week on Angels -160
The Key: This is a tough spot for the Mets, who had to make the long cross-country trip late last night after playing in Atlanta. While the Mets will be feeling jet lag, the Angels will be fresh after having yesterday off. The Halos will also be hungry as they look to capture their first home win of the season. The Angels are 21-6 in their last 27 games following an off day. Southpaw Tyler Skaggs spun a gem in his first start of the season, and I'm expecting another one as he faces a New York club that is 3-13 in its last 16 games versus a left-handed starter. The Mets are 1-5 in their last six interleague games as an underdog and 0-4 in their last four road games versus a team with a home winning percentage of less than .400. The Angels are 4-0 in their last four interleague games, 4-0 in their last four versus the National League East and 5-0 in their last five interleague games versus a right-handed starter (Gee). The Angels are also 5-1 in their last six games as a favorite of -151 to -200 and 13-4 in their last 17 versus a team with a losing record. Take the Angels.

7* MLB Game of the Week on Rockies -128
The Key: The Rockies are showing tremendous value at this price at home with De La Rosa on the hill. The Diamondbacks are 0-5 in their last 5 games vs. a left-handed starter, which comes as no surprise because they haven't been able to figure out De La Rosa. He has a 2.53 ERA in 16 starts against them, and the Rockies are 9-0 all-time in his home starts against them. He hasn't given up more than 2 earned runs in any of these 9 starts. Backing De La Rosa at home has paid off big time as the Rockies are 44-15 in his last 59 home starts. The Diamondbacks are 1-6 in McCarthy's last 7 starts as an underdog. Take Colorado.

7* World Series Game 5 *HEAVY HITTER* on Cardinals -111
The Key: Boston's Jon Lester hasn't been the same pitcher on the road where he has a 4.18 ERA. The Red Sox are just 6-12 in his last 18 road starts. St. Louis hasn't been as strong against left-handed starters this season, but it is 4-0 in its last four home games versus a southpaw starters. Adam Wainwright has been at his best at home where he has a 2.36 ERA. The Cardinals are 6-0 in his last six home starts overall and 4-0 in his last four home starts versus a team with a winning record. Wainwright has a 1.07 ERA in eight career postseason games - four starts - in St. Louis. Look for the Cards to take care of business behind a gem from their ace.

7* World Series Game 1 *HEAVY HITTER* on Red Sox -118
The Key: Boston has the edge in Game 1 with southpaw Jon Lester on the bump. He is 8-2 with a 2.93 ERA in 15 home starts this season. He provides problems for a St. Louis lineup that is batting just .246 and scoring only 3.9 runs per game off left-handed starters this season. The Cardinals are 0-5 in their last 5 games versus AL southpaw starters. Adam Wainwright hasn't been quite as sharp on the road where he has a 3.31 ERA. Boston is batting .274 and scoring 5.3 runs per game off right-handed starters this season. The Cardinals are 0-4 in Wainwright's last 4 road starts versus a team with a winning record. The Red Sox are 8-0 in their last 8 World Series games and 4-0 in their last 4 World Series home games. The Cardinals are 2-6 in their last 8 playoff road games and 2-5 in their last 7 World Series road games. Take Boston.

7* NLCS *HEAVY HITTER* on Cardinals +1.5 -150
The Key: The Cardinals are showing value catching runs at this price. They are 8-0 in their last 8 games as a home underdog and 12-0 this season in home games following a day off. The Dodgers are 0-7 in their last 7 League Championship road games. They are also 0-4 in Kershaw's last 4 starts versus the Cardinals. He was hit hard in two of these starts and got no run support in the other two. Wacha is 3-0 with an 0.42 ERA in his last three starts and outdueled Kershaw in Game 2. The Cardinals squandered a 3-1 series lead last fall against the Giants, and they do not want to see this thing reach a Game 7. I expect them to be very focused and hungry tonight.

7* ALCS Game 3 *HEAVY HITTER* on Tigers -156
The Key: The Tigers are 7-1 in their last eight home games versus Boston, and I expect their home dominance over the Red Sox to continue with Verlander on the mound. The big right-hander has been unbelievable down the stretch. He hasn't given up a single run in his last four starts. The Tigers are 3-0 in his last three home starts against the Red Sox, and he didn't allow a run in two of those. Detroit is also 15-1 all-time in Verlander's home starts in the second half of the season versus teams that outscore their opponents by 0.5 runs or more per game. The Tigers have won by an average score of 6.6 to 2.4 in this situation. Boston's Lackey is struggling. He's given up at least four earned runs in four of his last five starts. He's struggled all season on the road where he is 4-10 with a 4.48 ERA in 16 starts. The Red Sox are 1-5 in his last six road starts. His clubs are also 0-4 in his last four starts against the Tigers. Take Detroit.

7* ALCS *HEAVY HITTER* on Red Sox -110
The Key: Scherzer will likely end up with the AL Cy Young, but there's a good chance he wouldn't have had Buchholz not missed a chunk of the season. Both pitchers have spectacular numbers on the season, but Buchholz has the better track record in the team matchup. He has a 3.76 ERA in eight starts against the Tigers. The Red Sox are 5-1 in his last six starts against them, including 3-0 in his last three at home. He has held the Tigers to three earned runs or less in six of his last seven starts against them. Scherzer has a 7.02 ERA in eight starts versus the Red Sox. His clubs have lost five of those starts, and he's 0-2 in his last two at Fenway. He's given up five earned runs or more in half of his starts against Boston. The Red Sox fell in Game 1, but they are 5-0 the last five times Buchholz has received the ball following a team loss. They are also 4-0 in their last four when their opponent scores two runs or less in their previous game and 6-0 in Buchholz's last six starts when their opponent allows two runs or less in their previous game. Take Boston.

7* NLDS *HEAVY HITTER* on Cardinals -149
The Key: I love the experience of Adam Wainwright in this big spot. The Cardinals are 6-0 in his last six starts, twice beating the Pirates during this stretch with dominant performances. The Cards are 3-0 in Wainwright's home starts against Pittsburgh this season, and he's given up only one run on five hits in 14 innings while striking out 17 and walking two over his last two. Gerrit Cole has pitched well down the stretch and beat the Cardinals in Game 2, but that was his first start against them. Now he's fresh in their minds, and I expect things to go differently as he faces a lineup that is batting .274 and scoring 5.1 runs per game off right-handed starters a second time. The Cards are 24-9 in home games this season versus NL starting pitchers with an ERA of 3.50 or better. St. Louis is also 33-12 in home games in the second half of this season and 51-22 in home games the last three seasons after having lost two of their last three games. Besides Game 1, the St. Louis bats haven't made much noise. However, the numbers suggest a breakout offensive performance is coming. The Cardinals are 14-1 in home games the last two seasons following a five-game stretch with an on-base percentage of .285 or worse. They have won by an average score of 6.6 to 2.6 in this situation. Take St. Louis.

7* ALDS Game of the Year on Tigers -145
The Key: Oakland has an opportunity to close out the Tigers, but I don't like its chances. The A's are 1-10 in their last 11 playoff games with an opportunity to close out a series. Fister got lit up the last time he faced the A's, but he'll learn from that start and will be even more focused as a result. Prior to that start, he had held the A's to two earned runs or less in 11 of 12 starts, including five straight. He shut Oakland down in last year's ALDS and owns a 1.71 ERA over five career postseason starts. The Tigers are 10-4 in Fister's last 14 starts and 25-10 in his last 35 home starts. Oakland's Straily has struggled on the road where he has a 4.11 ERA. Take the Tigers.

7* MLB *HEAVY HITTER* on Rays -113
The Key: I expect the Rays to bounce back strong behind David Price, who has thrived at Fenway. Price is 10-6 with a 2.93 ERA in 20 career starts against the Red Sox, including a 6-1 mark with a 1.88 ERA in 10 games in Boston. The Rays are 7-3 in Price's last 10 road starts versus Red Sox. They are also 5-0 in his last 5 starts in Game 2 of a series and 21-6 in his last 27 starts as a road favorite of -110 to -150. John Lackey has posted a 5.33 ERA over his last four starts and is 3-5 with a 6.70 ERA in nine starts versus the Rays since joining the Red Sox in 2010. The Red Sox have been a terrible underdog investment. They are 27-57 in their last 84 games as an underdog, 9-25 in their last 34 games as a home underdog and 1-5 in Lackey's last 6 starts as an underdog. Take Tampa Bay.

7* MLB *HEAVY HITTER* on Pirates -126
The Key: Pittsburgh has all the momentum on its side following a three-game sweep of the Reds. Cincy is 0-5 in its last five games with those losses coming at home, and now it ventures out on the road where it has been far less consistent. The Cincy offense is really struggling. It has been held to three runs or fewer in six straight games. The Pirates have scored four runs or more in seven of their last 10 games. I can't see the Reds getting much of anything of Liriano, who's 8-1 with a 1.47 ERA in 11 home starts. The Pirates are 7-1 in his last 8 home starts. Cueto has fared well in a pair of starts since returning from the DL, but those came against the lowly Mets and Astros. He has a 3.90 ERA on the road this season. We'll take the hotter team at home tonight.

7* MLB Game of the Week on Padres -111
The Key: Ian Kennedy was shelled at Arizona in his first start against his former team, but I fully expect him to have his revenge here. Kennedy has been outstanding in 11 career starts at Petco Park, going 6-2 with a 2.39 ERA. He's 3-1 with a 2.54 ERA in five games there as a member of the Padres. San Diego is 3-0 in his last three home starts, during which he's allowed just two earned runs in 18 innings. September has been the month to back Kennedy as his clubs are 13-1 in his September starts since 2011. It is also worth noting that San Diego is 7-0 in home games this season versus starting pitchers like Randall Delgado who give up 1.0 home run or more per start. The Padres are 5-1 in their last six home games versus the Diamondbacks. Take San Diego.

7* MLB *HEAVY HITTER* on Pirates -145
The Key: With losses in the first two games of this series, the Pirates are looking up at St. Louis in the NL Central. That's all the motivation they'll need tonight. Pittsburgh has been a terrific investment all season, especially at home. In fact, it is 12-0 in home games this season after playing 6 or more consecutive home games. In other words, when the Pittsburgh players have been able to sleep in their own beds for an extended period and spend plenty of time with their families, they have been one tough cookie. It is also worth noting that the Pirates are 5-0 in their last 5 games as a favorite of -110 to -150 and 7-1 in Morton's last 8 starts versus a team with a losing record. Morton is 2-0 with a 1.46 ERA in 2 starts versus San Diego. The Padres are 1-5 in Ross' last 6 starts and his clubs are 1-10 in his starts as an underdog of +100 to +150 since the beginning of last season. Take Pittsburgh.

7* MLB *HEAVY HITTER* on Tigers -1.5 -120
The Key: I'll take the Tigers on the run line against the struggling Mariners. Seattle is 1-7 in its last 8 games with 6 of these losses coming by 2 runs or more. In addition, the M's are 0-6 in Brandon Maurer's last 6 starts, losing these by an average of 4.2 runs. They are 0-4 all-time in his road starts, losing these by 5.0 runs on average. The Tigers are 3-0 in Anibal Sanchez's last 3 starts, winning these by an average of 6.7 runs. They are 9-1 in his last 10 starts with 8 of the wins coming by at least 2 runs. Take Detroit on the run line.

7* MLB Afternoon Delight Game of the Year on Rangers -136
The Key: The Pirates have won the first two games of this series, but they are on a 0-9 slide in the third game of a series. Pittsburgh's Burnett has struggled on the road where he has a 4.30 ERA. The Pirates are 0-8 in his last 8 starts as an underdog of +110 to +150 and 0-4 in his last 4 road starts versus a team with a winning record. Burnett's clubs are also 0-3 in his last 3 starts versus the Rangers. Texas hasn't lost at home since acquiring Garza, going 5-0. Garza's clubs are also a perfect 5-0 in his interleague starts this season. Take Texas.

7* MLB *HEAVY HITTER* on Blue Jays -135
The Key: The Blue Jays have the edge on the mound with Buehrle, who has a 2.72 home ERA this season. The Jays are 4-0 in his last 4 home starts, 5-0 in his last 5 starts as a favorite and 7-0 in his last 7 starts as a home favorite. Toronto is also 7-0 this season in Buehrle's starts versus AL West opponents, winning these by an average score of 4.9 to 1.9. LA's Williams has a 4.61 road ERA, and the Angels are 0-7 in his starts in the second half of the season the last 2 seasons versus AL clubs with an on-base percentage .320 or worse. They have lost these contests by an average score of 5.9 to 2.4. This trend really speaks to how much Williams has struggled. Take Toronto.

7* MLB *HEAVY HITTER* on Braves -160
The Key: The Braves should end their 4-game slide tonight against a Miami club they have owned. They have won 39 of the last 54 meetings overall and 20 of the last 26 in Miami. The Braves have the edge on the mound with Medlen, who has a 2.58 ERA in 7 career starts against the Marlins. Atlanta is an unbeaten 7-0 in those starts. It is also worth noting that Atlanta is 15-0 all-time in Medlen's starts in the second half of the season versus clubs that average 2.75 or less extra base hits per game. It has won these games by an average score of 6.4 to 2.5. The Marlins are 0-2 in Alvarez's last two starts versus the Braves. He's allowed 9 runs in 12 innings in these two starts. Take Atlanta.

7* MLB *HEAVY HITTER* on Marlins -133
The Key: The Marlins have the edge on the mound with Fernandez, who has a 1.29 ERA at home this season. Washington's Haren has a 4.29 ERA on the road. Haren's clubs are 0-6 since the beginning of last season in his starts against teams with a win percentage of 38% or lower. Washington is 0-9 in his starts this season against poor power teams that average 0.9 home runs or less per game. The Nationals are 0-7 in Haren's starts this season versus NL teams scoring 3.8 runs or less per game. They are also 0-7 in his road starts this season when the money line is +125 to -125. The Nationals are 0-6 in Haren's last 6 starts as an underdog. The Marlins are 9-0 in Fernandez's last 9 home starts, 5-0 in his last 5 home starts versus a team with a winning record and 5-0 in his last 5 starts as a favorite. Additionally, the Fish are 7-0 this season in his home starts after giving up 2 earned runs or fewer in his last 2 outings. Haren is 0-3 on the money line in his last 3 starts versus the Marlins. He's also 0-4 on the money line in 4 career starts in Miami. Take the Marlins.

7* MLB *HEAVY HITTER* on Orioles -147
The Key: The White Sox are 0-6 in their last 6 games, and I expect their struggles to continue against a motivated Baltimore club that is fighting for the final wild card spot. One thing you don't want to do is go against the Orioles at home with Gonzalez on the hill. That's because they are 12-2 in his last 14 home starts. The White Sox are 2-8 in Quintana's last 10 road starts versus a team with a winning record and 12-41 in their last 53 road games versus winning teams. The Sox are 0-4 in their last 4 series openers and 0-4 in their last 4 after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game. Take Baltimore.

7* NL West Game of the Year on Rockies -119
The Key: With a big lead in the division, the Dodgers are expected to give some of their big guns a breather Wednesday. Andre Ethier, Carl Crawford and Yasiel Puig are expected to sit this one out, and more could be added to the list. In addition, L.A. is giving Edinson Volquez the ball. That bodes extremely well for us as his clubs are 0-6 in his last 6 starts versus the Rockies, a stretch where he's posted a 12.46 ERA. The Dodgers would have a tough enough time winning against Jorge De La Rosa, let alone without some of their key bats. The Rockies are 5-0 in De La Rosa's last 5 starts. They are 6-0 in his home starts this season when the money line is +125 to -125. They are 8-0 in his home starts since the beginning of the 2011 season against winning clubs. They are 11-0 in his home starts since the beginning of the 2011 season against division opponents. Colorado lost yesterday, but it is a perfect 12-0 this season in De La Rosa's starts following a team loss. Take Colorado.

7* MLB *HEAVY HITTER* on Nationals -154
The Key: The Nationals have the advantage on the mound with Gio Gonzalez. The Nationals are 41-20 in his last 61 starts and 21-8 in his last 29 road starts. And, they have never lost with Gonzalez on the mound as a road favorite of -125 or more. They are a perfect 10-0 in this situation, winning by an average of 3.3 runs. He has been dominant against the Phillies. The Nats are 5-1 in his 6 starts against them while he has posted a 2.31 ERA. They are 3-0 in his last 3 starts against the Phillies with all 3 coming in Philadelphia. Take Washington.

7* MLB *HEAVY HITTER* on Padres -143
The Key: Kennedy hasn't been as good as expected this season. However, he has quietly been plenty good lately, holding opponents to 3 earned runs or fewer in 6 of his last 8 starts. Now, is the time to back Kennedy. He's been at his best in September the past couple seasons. In fact, his clubs are 10-0 in his starts the last two Septembers. Zito has been a dead fade. The Giants are 0-3 in his last 3 starts, a stretch where he's posted a 12.27 ERA. He's been awful on the road where he has a 9.65 ERA. The Giants are 0-10 this season in his starts as a road underdog of +100 or higher. The Giants are also 0-5 in his last 5 series-opening starts, 0-5 in his last 5 starts versus losing teams and 0-4 in his last 4 starts versus division opponents. The Giants are 0-3 in Zito's last 3 starts versus the Padres. Take San Diego.

7* MLB *HEAVY HITTER* on Dodgers -1.5 -104
The Key: Greinke's clubs are 12-0 in his home starts versus losing clubs since the beginning of last season, winning these starts by an average score of 6.6 to 3.3. His teams are also 13-0 in his home starts in the second half of the season versus losing teams since 2011, winning these by an average score of 4.9 to 2.6. His clubs are 15-0 in his starts as a home favorite of -175 to -250 since the start of the 2011 season, winning these by an average score of 5.9 to 2.5. The Dodgers are 8-0 this season in his starts versus poor power teams that average 0.9 or less home runs per game, winning these by an average score of 3.8 to 1.6. LA is also 8-0 in his starts in the second half of this season versus clubs that draw 3 walks or less per game, winning these by an average score of 4.3 to 2.0. Take the Dodgers on the run line.

7* MLB *HEAVY HITTER* on Angels -122
The Key: The Halos are 5-1 on their current road trip, and I expect them to keep rolling behind a gem from ace Jered Weaver. The Angels are 44-12 in his last 56 starts as a favorite and 7-1 in his last 8 interleague starts. The Brewers are just 1-5 in Peralta's last 6 starts. Milwaukee's right-hander has a 4.51 ERA on the season. That's over a run higher than the 3.46 ERA Weaver is carrying. Peralta's ERA is significant because the Halos are 9-1 all-time under Scioscia in road games versus an NL starter whose ERA is 4.20 to 4.70. Take LA.

7* NL Central Game of the Month on Cardinals -149
The Key: With losses in the first two games of this series, the Reds are now 0-5 in their last 5 road games versus teams with a winning record. They are not in good position to end this skid with Bailey getting the ball. The Reds are 0-7 in his last 7 starts as an underdog and 0-5 in his last 5 starts as a road underdog. Plus, he's had no luck against the Cards. The Reds are 0-4 in Bailey's last 4 starts versus the Cardinals. They are also 0-7 all-time in his road starts versus St. Louis. The Cardinals, who are 5-0 in their last 5 game 3s of a series, are 3-0 in Wainwright's last 3 starts. He's been lights out in his last two, giving up just 2 runs in 16 innings while striking out 20 and walking 1. Take St. Louis.

7* MLB *HEAVY HITTER* on Tigers -1.5 +120
The Key: Verlander isn't having the type of season we've come to expect from him, but I really like him in this spot against a club he's owned. He's 6-0 in his last six starts versus Oakland and has given up one earned run or none in each. These wins have come by an average of 3.5 runs with each coming by at least two runs. It is also worth noting that Detroit is a perfect 11-0 in Verlander's home starts in the second half of the season versus good teams with a winning percentage of 54-62% since 2011. The Tigers have won these games by 2.4 runs on average. Take the Tigers on the run line.

7* MLB *HEAVY HITTER* on Dodgers -1.5 -105
The Key: Motivated by back-to-back back defeats, I fully expect the Dodgers to take care of business at home against a Chicago club they have owned. Keep in mind the Dodgers haven't lost three consecutive games since June 8-10. LA is 7-0 in its last 7 versus the Cubs, winning these by 2.6 runs on average. LA is in fantastic hands with Greinke getting the ball. It is 5-0 in his last 5 starts, winning these by 2.8 runs on average. It is also 7-0 in his last 7 starts versus teams that draw 3 walks or less per game, winning these by 2.0 runs on average. In addition, Greinke's clubs are 11-0 since the beginning of last season in his home starts versus teams that have a losing record, winning these by 3.2 runs on average. His clubs are 15-0 since the start of the 2011 season in his home starts as a favorite of -175 to -250, winning these by 3.4 runs on average. Lastly, Greinke is 3-0 all-time in 3 home starts versus the Cubs with his teams winning these by 3.7 runs on average. Take LA on the run line.

7* AL Game of the Week on Blue Jays -138
The Key: Houston hasn't won more than two consecutive games in over two months so the odds are definitely against it pulling off the sweep here. Houston is batting just .233 and scoring only 3.5 runs per game off of lefty starters this season while Toronto is batting .271 and scoring 5.0 runs per game off southpaw starters. With this in mind, the Jays appear to have a sizable advantage on the mound with Buehrle. They are 4-0 in his last four starts in the third game of a series, 4-0 in his last 4 starts as a favorite and 6-0 in his last 6 starts versus AL West clubs. Buehrle's clubs are 3-0 all-time in his starts against the Astros, and he's posted a 1.88 ERA in these starts. He threw a complete-game, 2-hit shutout versus the Astros last month. The Astros are 0-3 in Keuchel's last three home starts and 0-4 in his last 4 starts coming on 7 or more days' rest. Take Toronto.

7* National League Game of the Month on Giants -143
The Key: The Giants are this large of a favorite for a reason, and that reason is the significant advantage they have on the mound with Bumgarner. He has a 2.87 ERA on the season and a 2.40 ERA at home. Pittsburgh's Morton has a road ERA that's over a run higher than Bumgarner's home number. The Giants are 25-11 in Bumgarner's last 36 starts as a home favorite. The Pirates are 13-30 in Morton's last 43 road starts, 19-42 in his last 61 starts as an underdog, 5-15 in his last 20 road starts versus a team with a losing record and 1-5 in his last 6 starts versus the Giants. Bumgarner has a 0.69 ERA against the Bucs, and they haven't seen him since 2011. They'll be in for a rude awakening. San Francisco just saw Morton in June in a game it won 10-0. Take the Giants.

7* MLB *HEAVY HITTER* on Royals -163
The Key: Look for the Royals to bounce back this evening against a Chicago club that is 11-30 in its last 41 road games, 13-39 in its last 52 road games versus a team with a winning record and 5-18 in its last 23 in the second game of a series. The Royals are 12-3 in their last 15 in the second game of a series, and they are in good hands with Guthrie. They Royals are 25-11 in his last 36 starts, 16-5 in his last 21 home starts and 10-2 in his last 12 starts in the second game of a series. The Royals are also 6-1 in Guthrie's last seven starts versus the White Sox. Take Kansas City.

7* MLB *HEAVY HITTER* on Dodgers -144
The Key: The Dodgers will go after this game with all they've got because they have to win it to give themselves a chance at a sixth straight series win. They have at least split each of their last 17 series' so they must win at least two in Miami to keep their unbeaten series streak alive. You can bet they'll leave it all on the field to make sure the NL-worst Marlins don't rain on their parade. The Dodgers are 42-10 in their last 52 overall and 24-5 in their last 29 on the road. They are 6-0 in Capuano's last 6 starts, 4-0 in his last 4 starts versus a team with a losing record, 4-0 in his last 4 starts as a road favorite of -110 to -150 and 11-1 in his last 12 starts as a favorite of -110 to -150. The Marlins are 1-5 in Turner's last 6 starts and 0-7 in his last 7 starts versus an opponent that allowed 5 runs or more in its previous game. Take the Dodgers.

7* MLB *HEAVY HITTER* on Angels -126
The Key: Weaver was absolutely rocked at New York in his most recent start. That actually bodes well for us because he will be that much more focused and determined tonight. It hasn't been wise to go against the Angels' ace at home. In fact, LA is 20-4 in his home starts since the beginning of last season. In addition, LA is 39-14 all-time in his home starts as a favorite of -150 or less. Weaver just pitched a gem in a 5-2 win at Cleveland Aug. 9, and he's 7-2 with a 2.86 ERA in 15 career starts versus the Indians. The Angels have won 11 of these. Take Los Angeles.

7* MLB Blowout Game of the Week on Rangers -1.5 -129
The Key: I expect Texas to win convincingly this afternoon as it faces Seattle scheduled starter Ramirez, who has a hefty 7.06 ERA. The Rangers are in much better hands with Yu Darvish, who has a 2.64 ERA. He leads the majors with 207 strikeouts and opponents are batting just .186 against him. Darvish is 3-0 in his last three starts with a 1.64 ERA. He's also 3-0 all-time in three home starts versus the Mariners. The Rangers won these three by six, six and seven runs, respectively. Take Texas on the run line.

7* MLB *HEAVY HITTER* on Pirates -162
The Key: I'll fade Arizona as it sends Cahill to the hill for the first time in nearly seven weeks. He was awful on the road, where he carried a 5.44 ERA, before going on the DL. The Diamondbacks are 0-5 in Cahill's last 5 road starts. The Pirates, who are 6-0 in their last 6 at home, are in good hands with Locke set to get the ball. The southpaw is 9-3 with a 2.43 ERA on the season. The Pirates are 4-0 in Locke's last 4 starts as a home favorite. The Pirates are 23-6 in their last 29 games as a home favorite, and they've won 8 of their last 11 home games versus Arizona. Take Pittsburgh.

7* MLB *HEAVY HITTER* on A's -127
The Key: The A's are showing value at home at this price with A.J. Griffin on the hill. They are 16-4 in his last 20 home starts and 6-1 in his last 7 starts as a favorite. Griffin has a 3.63 ERA at home and a 1.131 WHIP. His WHIP is significant because the Indians are 0-4 in their last 4 games versus a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15. The Indians are also 0-4 in their last 4 series openers and 0-4 in their last 4 versus teams with a winning record. Cleveland's Justin Masterson has been hit hard in his last two outings, and he has a 4.37 road ERA on the season. The Indians are 0-5 in his last 5 road starts versus teams with a winning record. He has a 9.08 ERA in 7 career starts versus the A's, and the Indians are 0-4 all-time in his road starts against them. The Indians are 0-4 in their last 4 meetings in Oakland. Take the A's.

7* MLB *HEAVY HITTER* on Brewers +1.5 -133
The Key: I'll gladly take the Brewers catching 1.5 runs at a pretty nice price with Lohse on the hill. The Brewers are 5-0 in his last five starts, and he's posted a 1.74 ERA during this stretch. They are also 7-0 in his last seven home starts, and he's recorded a 2.56 ERA during this span. Lohse has a 1.95 ERA over his last eight starts against the Reds, and his clubs are 4-0 in his last four home starts against them. It is also worth mentioning that the Brewers are 4-0 in Lohse's last four starts as an underdog of +110 to +150 and 5-0 in his last five series-opening starts. The Brewers check in off a loss but are 4-0 in their last four games following defeat. The Reds are just 1-5 in their last six meetings in Milwaukee. Take the Brew Crew on the run line.

7* MLB *HEAVY HITTER* on Rockies -134
The Key: I love the Rockies at home at this price with De La Rosa getting the ball. They are 10-0 in his home starts against division opponents since the start of the 2011 season. They are also 7-0 this season when he gets the start in a day game. Colorado lost yesterday, but it is 9-0 this season in De La Rosa's starts following a loss in its previous game. This trend speaks to the type of competitor De La Rosa is and how confident the Rockies are with him on the mound. In addition, the Rocks are 10-0 in De La Rosa's last 10 starts against the Padres. Take Colorado.

7* MLB *HEAVY HITTER* on Dodgers -123
The Key: The Dodgers are 8-0 in the second half of the season versus NL clubs with a batting average of .245 or worse. They are 10-0 in the second half of the season versus NL teams with an on-base percentage of .315 or worse. The Mets have won five of seven but are 0-14 this season when checking into a contest with five or six wins in their last seven games. New York's Harvey has had a spectacular season, but LA's Ryu has been every bit as good. The Dodgers are 8-0 in Ryu's last eight starts while the Mets have lost two of Harvey's last three and four of his last seven. The Dodgers are 8-0 this season in Ryu's starts versus teams that have a losing record. The Mets are 1-7 in the last 8 meetings with the Dodgers. Take LA.

7* Monday Night Baseball Game of the Year on Yankees -155
The Key: The Yankees enter this series with plenty of momentum after winning a series against the reigning AL champion Tigers. They should get a gem from Kuroda, who owns the best home ERA (1.74) in the AL. The Yankees are 7-0 in Kuroda's last 7 home starts versus teams with losing records. Kuroda has a 2.67 career ERA against the Angels with his clubs going 3-0 in his last 3 starts against them. LA's Richards was shelled in his only previous start against the Yankees, giving up 6 runs in 5 innings of a 9-3 loss. He's really struggled on the road where the Angels are 0-4 in his last 4 starts. He has a 6.11 road ERA this season. The Angels are 0-9 in their last 9 games as an underdog of +110 to +150. Take New York.

7* AL Game of the Week on Indians -1.5 +111
The Key: The Angels are at a disadvantage with Jerome Williams on the hill. They are 0-5 in his last 5 starts with an average losing margin of 3.4 runs. Williams has a 5.46 ERA on the season. Cleveland's Justin Masterson, meanwhile, has a 3.46 ERA. His home ERA is 2.82, and his day game ERA is 1.98. Williams has a 6.33 ERA in day starts. The Indians are 9-3 in Masterson's last 12 home starts. Masterson's clubs are 5-1 in his last 6 starts versus the Angels, and he has a 1.35 ERA in 7 career starts against LA. The Angels are 0-7 in their last 7 games as an underdog of +151 to +200 while the Indians are 6-0 in their last 6 games as a favorite of -151 to -200. Take Cleveland on the run line.

7* Interleague Game of the Month on Dodgers -146
The Key: Greinke has been an incredible investment at home where he has a 2.56 ERA this season. His clubs are 36-5 in his home starts dating back to the beginning of the 2011 season. The Dodgers are 8-1 in his home starts. Tampa Bay's Hernandez has struggled mightily on the road where he has a 5.71 ERA this season. The Rays are 0-4 in his last 4 road starts and 0-6 in his last 6 starts as a road underdog. The Rays are also 0-4 in their last 4 interleague games versus a winning club. Take the Dodgers.

7* Run Line Rout of the Week on Rockies +1.5
The Key: The Rockies are showing tremendous value catching 1.5 runs at this price with De La Rosa on the hill. They are an incredible 40-15 in his last 55 home starts, including 14-2 in his last 16 home starts versus teams with a winning record. Colorado is happy to be back home following a tough 10-game road trip. It has lost its last five games, but it is 8-0 this season in De La Rosa's starts when it checks in off a loss. It has won by an average score of 5.9 to 3.8 in this spot. It is also worth noting that Colorado has won or lost by a single run in five of De La Rosa's last seven starts against the Pirates. The Pirates are just -5 in their last 6 games as a road favorite. Take Colorado.

7* MLB *HEAVY HITTER* on Red Sox -118
The Key: The Red Sox are showing value at this price with Jon Lester on the hill. The veteran southpaw has a strong track record against the Royals. He's 6-2 with an ERA of 1.64 in nine starts against them. Kansas City is batting only .233 and scoring just 3.3 runs per game off left-handed starters this season. Boston, meanwhile, is batting .261 and scoring 4.5 runs per game off lefty starters. It figures to have success at the plate against Bruce Chen, who is 3-5 with a 6.11 ERA in 11 starts against the Red Sox. His clubs are 1-6 in his last 7 starts versus Boston while the Red Sox are 5-2 in Lester's last 7 starts versus the Royals. Take Bean Town.

7* MLB Day Game of the Month on Padres +111
The Key: The Padres lost the first game of this two-game set 4-1, but they are 7-0 in their last seven games following a loss and 8-0 in their last eight after being held to two runs or less in their previous game. The Orioles are 0-4 in their last four Game 2s of a series and 0-4 in their last four games versus a left-handed starter. Their struggles against lefties should continue as the Padres are 8-1 in Stults' last nine starts at home where he has a 2.35 ERA on the season. His clubs are 9-0 since the beginning of last season in his home starts versus teams that draw an average of three walks or less per game. Baltimore's Miguel Gonzalez has been lit up in his last two starts, and the Orioles are just 2-7 in his last nine road starts. Take San Diego.

7* MLB *HEAVY HITTER* on Giants -165
The Key: The Giants have the edge on the mound with Matt Cain, who has looked more like himself lately. The veteran right-hander is 2-0 with a 1.80 ERA over his last three starts. In addition, he's allowed three earned runs or fewer in nine of his last 10 starts. It bodes well for us that he enters off a gem because the Giants are 23-9 in his last 32 starts following a quality start in his last appearance. Milwaukee's Wily Peralta has had an up and down season, and it's been down lately. He's 0-2 in his last two starts while giving up 12 runs in just 8 2-3 innings. The Brewers are 3-8 in Peralta's last 11 starts as a road underdog. Milwaukee is just 3-19 since the beginning of last season as an underdog of +150 or higher. It is also 9-33 since the start of last season as a road underdog of +125 to +175. The Giants, on the other hand, are 56-23 in their last 79 games as a home favorite of -151 to -200. The Giants are 5-1 in their last 6 home games versus the Brewers. Take San Francisco.

7* MLB *HEAVY HITTER* on Royals -166
The Key: The Royals are rolling. They've won 11 of 12 and should keep right on rolling against a Minnesota club they have dominated. Kansas City is 10-3 this season against the Twins, including 4-0 in the last four meetings. The Royals are in good hands with Jeremy Guthrie. He is 3-0 in his last three starts, which is even more significant when you consider that the Royals are 6-0 this season in his home starts when he checks in off a win. The Royals are 15-2 in Guthrie's last 17 home starts. The Twins aren't in the same hands with Kevin Correia on the rubber. They are 0-4 in his last 4 road starts and 0-5 in his last 5 starts on regular rest (4 days). His clubs are 0-4 all-time in his starts versus Kansas City, and he's posted a poor 5.02 ERA in these games. The Royals are 4-0 in their last 4 games as a home favorite, 6-0 in their last 6 versus the American League Central and 4-0 in their last 4 games as a favorite of -151 to -200. The Twins are 0-4 in their last 4 games as an underdog and 0-4 in their last 4 versus the American League Central. Take Kansas City.

7* MLB *HEAVY HITTER* on Brewers -119
The Key: The Brewers have the edge on the mound with Lohse. They are 3-0 in his last 3 starts while he's posted a 0.47 ERA. They are 6-0 in his last 6 home starts, 6-0 in his last 6 starts versus a team with a losing record and 5-0 in his last 5 starts as a favorite. Lohse's clubs are also 15-1 since the beginning of last season in his starts versus NL clubs with a batting average of .245 or worse. His clubs are 11-1 during the same time frame in his starts versus NL clubs that average 3.8 runs or fewer per game. Take Milwaukee.

7* MLB Run Line Game of the Month on Tigers -1.5 -125
The Key: The Tigers are rolling. They are 7-0 in their last seven home games with a 5.6-run average winning margin. The White Sox, meanwhile, are ice cold. They are 0-8 in their last eight games overall with a 2.3-run average losing margin. Detroit has been lighting up left-handed pitching. It is batting .277 and scoring 5.4 runs per game off southpaw starters this season and is 8-0 in its last eight games versus a lefty starter. The Tigers won these eight by an average of 4.9 runs. Their success against lefties should continue as Chicago is 0-3 in Danks' starts versus AL Central foes this season. It's lost these starts by 3.0 runs on average while he's posted a 6.50 ERA. The White Sox are 0-4 in his last four starts in Detroit, losing these by 4.0 runs on average. Chicago is 0-4 in its last four road games versus right-handed starters and will have its work cut our for itself as it goes up against Scherzer. The Tigers are 8-0 in his starts versus AL Central opponents this season. They've won these by an average of 8.0 runs while he's posted a 3.20 ERA. The Tigers are 4-0 in his last four starts against the Sox, winning these by an average of 3.0 runs. Take Detroit on the run line.

7* MLB *HEAVY HITTER* on Yankees -107
The Key: Sabathia has struggled of late but will be very focused here as a result. He's been outstanding in interleague action throughout his career, and nothing has changed this season as he's 2-0 with a 3.00 ERA in a pair of starts versus the N.L. He's also never lost to San Diego, going 3-0 (4-0 on the money line) with an ERA of 2.12 in four starts against the Padres. The Yankees are 36-19 in interleague road games under manager Girardi while the Padres are 20-33 in interleague home games under manager Black. Lastly, the Yanks are 5-0 in their last five games against San Diego. Take New York.

7* MLB *HEAVY HITTER* on Royals -145
The Key: Kansas City is rolling. The Royals are 8-0 in their last 8 overall, 5-0 in their last 5 road games, 7-0 in their last 7 games as a favorite of -110 to -150 and 6-0 in their last 6 games as a road favorite of -110 to -150. The Royals are also 4-0 in their last 4 games versus a left-handed starter, and they should have their way with Scott Diamond. Minnesota's southpaw has a 6.06 ERA at home on the season. Twins are 0-7 in his last 7 starts versus a team with a winning record and 0-6 in his last 6 starts as a home underdog. The Royals are in better hands with James Shields getting the ball. The right-hander has a 2.50 ERA on the road, and the Royals are 6-0 in his last 6 starts as a favorite and 4-0 in his last 4 starts versus a team with a losing record. Shield's clubs are 3-0 in his last 3 starts versus the Twins while Diamond is 0-2 in his last 2 starts versus Kansas City. Take the Royals.

7* Wednesday Night Baseball Game of the Year on Cardinals -115
The Key: The Cardinals are lacking no motivation after suffering their fifth and sixth consecutive defeats yesterday. I fully expect them to bounce back strong behind a gem from Wainwright, who's more proven than Pittsburgh's Jeff Locke. The Cards are 13-3 in Wainwright's last 16 road starts, 5-0 in his last 5 starts after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game and 8-2 in his last 10 starts versus NL Central foes. The Cards are 5-2 in his last 7 starts against the Pirates and 6-2 all-time in his starts in Pittsburgh. The Cardinals haven't been getting it done with the long ball. However, the Pirates are 0-6 in Locke's starts in the second half of the season the last two seasons versus teams that average 0.9 or fewer home runs per game. They have lost to these teams by an average of 4.0 runs. Take St. Louis.

7* MLB *HEAVY HITTER* on Phillies -130
The Key: The Phillies have lost eight in a row, but all eight came on the road with the last six coming against first-place clubs St. Louis and Detroit. I like Philly's chances of ending its skid tonight in its return home as it is 40-14 in its last 54 home games following a road trip of 7 or more days. It is also 6-1 in its last seven home games versus club with a road winning percentage of less than .400. The Giants are 8-22 in their last 30 overall, including 0-4 in their last four. Zito has been awful on the road where he's 0-6 (1-8 on the money line) with a 9.39 ERA in nine starts. The Giants are 0-5 in his last five road starts versus a team with a losing record and 0-4 in his last four starts as a road underdog of +110 to +150. San Francisco is also 0-3 in Zito's last three starts in Philadelphia. Lannan has a 2.73 ERA at home where the Phillies have won four of his five starts. He also has a 1.74 ERA in three starts versus the Giants, who are 1-7 in their last eight games versus a left-handed starter. Take Philly.

7* MLB *HEAVY HITTER* on Reds -151
The Key: The Reds represent the strongest play on the board for Monday. We're talking about a club that has lunched on lesser opponents, going 41-18 in their last 59 versus losing clubs. The Reds are 3-0 in their last three overall versus the Padres and 3-0 in their last three in San Diego. The Padres are a soft 10-26 as an underdog of +125 to +175 this season, and their struggles in this price range figure to continue with O'Sullivan getting the pill. The right-hander's clubs are 0-7 in his last seven starts. Cincinnati's Mike Leake has been at his best on the road where he's 7-1 with a 2.13 ERA. The Reds are 3-0 in his last three starts overall and 6-0 in his last six road starts versus losing clubs. Take Cincinnati.

7* MLB *HEAVY HITTER* on Giants -149
The Key: After back-to-back one-run defeats, I fully expect the defending champs to dig down deep to salvage a game in the series. Travis Wood is having a pretty good season for the Cubs. However, he was hit hard his last time out in a 4-10 loss at Arizona, and the Cubs aren't winning with him on the hill. They are just 10-26 in his last 36 starts, 5-22 in his last 27 starts as an underdog, 0-5 in his last 5 road starts and 0-6 in his last 6 starts as a road underdog. In addition, Wood has never defeated the Giants. He's 0-2 (0-4 on the money line) with an ERA of 4.38 in 4 starts against them. Lincecum hasn't looked like a two-time Cy Young winner the last couple years, but he showed he's still capable of brilliance with a no-no a week-and-a-half ago. The Giants are 2-0 in his last 2 starts against the Cubs, and he has a 3.69 ERA in 11 career starts against them. Take San Francisco.

7* MLB *HEAVY HITTER* on Pirates -146
The Key: Look for the Pirates to bounce back strong behind Charlie Morton, who's been dealing (3.34 ERA). The Pirates are 5-1 in Morton's last 6 starts and 4-0 in his last 4 starts with the total set at 7.0-8.5. Miami's Koehler has struggled at home where he has an ERA of 6.35. The Marlins are 0-4 in Koehler's last 4 starts as a home underdog and 3-8 in his last 11 starts with the total set at 7.0-8.5. The Pirates are 24-11 in their last 35 games as a favorite while the Marlins are 19-43 in their last 62 games as a home underdog of +110 to +150. Take Pittsburgh.

7* AL Game of the Month on Indians -130
The Key: The Rangers have dropped nine of 12, and I expect their struggles to continue in Cleveland where the Indians are 4-0 in their last four. Texas southpaw Martin Perez, who has a 5.50 ERA over his last three starts, has his work cut out for himself against a Cleveland lineup hitting .267 and scoring 5.1 runs per game off left-handed starters. The Indians are 7-0 in their last seven games versus a left-handed starter. The Tribe is in excellent hands on the mound with Corey Kluber, who has a 0.95 ERA over his last three starts. It is 4-0 in Kluber's last four home starts. He gave up just one run in eight innings of work in a 5-2 win at Texas last month, and I expect him to deliver another gem here. Take Cleveland.

7* MLB *HEAVY HITTER* on Dodgers -114
The Key: Zack Greinke is dealing. The Dodgers are 6-0 in his last six starts, and he's posted a barely visible 0.41 ERA over his last three. The right-hander has been unstoppable at Dodger Stadium where he hasn't lost. He's 6-0 - 8-0 on the money line - with a 2.09 ERA in eight starts there. Cincy's Mat Latos, on the other hand, has never won at Dodger Stadium. He's 0-5 in five starts there with a 3.95 ERA. The Dodgers are 6-0 in their last six games, a welcome sign given that Greinke's teams are 12-0 in his home starts the last three seasons after two or more consecutive victories. It is also worth noting that the Dodgers are 7-0 in Greinke's starts versus clubs averaging 0.5 stolen bases or less per game. L.A. is 7-0 in its last seven games versus winning clubs and 8-0 in its last eight series openers. Take the Dodgers.

7* National League Game of the Month on Rockies -162
The Key: Off back-to-back losses to lowly Miami, I fully expect the Rockies to bounce back strong at home behind a gem from De La Rosa. The sensational southpaw has been incredibly clutch. The Rockies are a 100% perfect 7-0 this season in his starts after a team loss in their previous game. This tells me De La Rosa has been able to rise to the occasion when his team needs him the most. In addition, the Rockies are 24-4 all-time in his starts as a favorite of -150 or more. They are 14-1 all-time in his home starts as a favorite of -150 to -175. The Marlins are 1-6 in Jacob Turner's last 7 road starts. Take Colorado.

7* MLB *HEAVY HITTER* on Braves -130
The Key: The Mets have dropped 40 of their last 56 games when listed as a home underdog of +110 to +150, and I expect their struggles in this spot to continue with Medlen on the mound. The Braves are an impressive 23-4 in Medlen's last 27 starts versus losing clubs, 9-1 in his last 10 road starts versus losing clubs and 18-3 in his last 21 starts versus division opponents. In addition, the Braves have never lost to Mets with Medlen on the hill. They are 7-0 all-time in his starts against New York, and he's posted a sweet 2.36 ERA in these games. These seven wins have come by an average of 4.0 runs. The Braves have won 18 of the last 25 meetings overall and 6 of the last 7 in New York. Take Atlanta.

7* MLB *HEAVY HITTER* on Detroit Tigers -120
The Key: Detroit's Max Scherzer has absolutely owned division opponents. The Tigers are 7-0 in his starts against the AL Central this season, and he's posted a 3.35 ERA in these starts. Chicago's Chris Sale hasn't been as effective against the division, going just 2-3 with a 4.38 ERA in six starts. Scherzer has had his way with Chicago. He has a 2.51 ERA in 13 starts against the White Sox, and the Tigers are 3-0 in his last three starts against them. Sale, on the other hand, is 1-3 with a 5.47 ERA in four starts versus Detroit. In addition, the Tigers are 4-0 in Scherzer's last four road starts. Take Detroit.

7* MLB *HEAVY HITTER* on Oakland A's -118
The Key: Oakland's bats have struggled in this series, but I expect the sticks to come alive against Jerome Williams, who has a 19.12 ERA over his last three starts. Oakland's Bartolo Colon is in top form with a 2.21 ERA over his last three starts. It bodes well for us that he's held his last two opponents to one and two earned runs, respectively, as the A's are 8-0 in his starts this season after he gives up two earned runs or fewer in his previous two outings. They have won by an average score of 5.6 to 2.6 in this situation. Colon has also been dominant on the road where he's 5-0 with a 1.75 ERA in his last five starts. It is also worth noting that Colon posted a 1.66 ERA in three starts against the Angels last season. Take Oakland.

7* MLB *HEAVY HITTER* on Blue Jays -107
The Key: Tampa Bay's Hellickson hasn't been the same pitcher on the road where he has a 5.25 ERA. The Rays are 3-9 in his last 12 road starts, and they're even 0-4 in his last 4 road starts versus a team with a losing record. Toronto's Buehrle has been great at home where he has a 3.30 ERA. The Blue Jays are 5-0 in Buehrle's last 5 home starts and 4-0 in his last 4 home starts versus a team with a winning record. The Rays are 0-2 in Hellickson's last two starts in Toronto. Take the Blue Jays.

7* MLB *HEAVY HITTER* on Rockies -147
The Key: The Cubs have dropped 18 of their last 24 in Colorado, and their struggles against the Rockies figure to continue with Jorge De La Rosa on the mound. The sensational southpaw has been lights out at home where the Rockies have won 39 of his last 53 starts. The Rockies are 4-0 in his last 4 starts as a favorite of -110 to -150. They're also 9-0 the last 3 seasons in his home starts when the total is 8.5 to 10. In addition, Colorado hasn't lost to the Cubs with De La Rosa on the mound, going 4-0 all-time. Chicago's Jeff Samardzija has been rocked in his last 2 starts, and the Cubs are 0-4 in his last 4 starts as a road underdog of +110 to +150. Take Colorado.

7* MLB *HEAVY HITTER* on Padres -147
The Key: The Giants have won the first three games of this series, but they can't be trusted on the road with Barry Zito on the bump. San Francisco is 0-7 in his road starts this season, which comes as no surprise considering his road ERA is 9.37. San Diego's Eric Stults, on the other hand, has been fantastic at home with a 2.56 ERA in eight starts. The Padres are 7-0 in his last seven home starts. The Giants aren't very patient at the plate. They are averaging just 2.7 walks per game, and that doesn't bode well for them against Stults, who is terrific at making opponents hit "his" pitch. The Padres are 8-0 since the beginning of last season in Stults' home starts versus teams that draw 3.0 walks or less per game. Take San Diego.

7* MLB *HEAVY HITTER* on Dodgers -161
The Key: The Rockies got the job done yesterday but are 0-4 in their last 4 games following a win. The Dodgers are 4-0 in their last 4 games following a loss. Scheduled starter Tyler Chatwood checks in off a strong outing in San Diego, but the Rockies are 0-4 in his last 4 starts following a quality start in his last appearance. If there's one thing you don't want to do, it's go against Zack Greinke at home. The Dodgers haven't lost at home with Greinke on the mound, going 6-0. In addition, Greinke's teams are 21-0 in his home starts since the beginning of the 2011 season versus losing clubs. They've won these games by an average score of 6.1 to 3.3. Take L.A.

7* MLB Game of the Week on Braves -136
The Key: The Reds have been fade material on the road when Bronson Arroyo get the ball. He's 1-5 with an ERA of 5.70 in six road starts, and the Reds are 0-5 in his last five starts as a road underdog. The Reds are 0-6 in their last six games as a road underdog overall. Kris Medlen has been rock solid at home where he has a 2.83 ERA. The Braves are 16-1 all-time in his starts in the second half of the schedule versus NL clubs with an on-base percent of .325 or worse. The Braves have won these starts by an average score of 6.4 to 2.4. Take Atlanta.

7* MLB *HEAVY HITTER* on Cardinals -130
The Key: The Cardinals have the edge on the mound and at the plate in this one. Jake Westbrook has a 2.78 ERA while Edwin Jackson has a 5.50 ERA. Plus, Westbrook is 6-2 with a 3.72 ERA in 10 starts versus the Cubs. The Cards are 3-0 in his last 3 starts versus Chicago. Jackson is 1-4 with an ERA of 5.12 in 8 starts versus St. Louis. His teams are 0-3 in his last 3 starts versus the Redbirds. The Cardinals are batting .275 and scoring 5.0 runs per game while the Cubs are hitting .242 and scoring 4.1 runs per game. The Cardinals are 5-0 in their last 5 overall, and I expect them to keep right on rolling.

7* *HEAVY HITTER* on Yankees -128
The Key: The Yankees have dropped the first two games of the series but are 42-16 in their last 58 games after losing the first two games of a series. They have also won 72 of their last 102 against Kansas City, including 39 of the last 52 home meetings. In addition, the Royals are 11-30 all-time under Yost in road games after 2 or more consecutive wins. The Yankees are 30-7 all-time under Girardi when out for revenge for two straight losses to an opponent as a home favorite. The Yankees also have the edge on the rubber with Nova, who has a respectable 3.57 ERA over his last three starts. The Yankees are 5-0 in Nova's last 5 home starts versus a team with a losing record. The Royals are 0-3 in Davis' last three starts, and he's posted a 6.60 ERA during this stretch. Davis is also 0-2 in his last two starts versus the Yankees. Take New York.

7* MLB *HEAVY HITTER* on Giants -131
The Key: The Giants have the advantage on the mound with Barry Zito, who's 4-1 (8-2 on the money line) with an ERA of 1.98 at home. The Giants are 8-1 in his last 9 home starts versus a team with a losing record and 10-2 in his last 12 starts as a home favorite. New York's Dillon Gee is just 3-4 (4-5 on the money line) with a 6.02 ERA on the road. The Mets are 0-4 in his last 4 starts versus National League West foes, 0-7 in his last 7 Tuesday starts and 3-7 in his last 10 starts as a road underdog. Tuesday has been the worst day of the week to back the Mets as they have dropped 20 of their last 26 Tuesday contests. Take the Giants.

7* MLB *HEAVY HITTER* on Brewers +1.5 -133
The Key: The Brewers are showing tremendous value catching 1.5 runs at home at this price. Cincy's Homer Bailey tossed a no-no his last time out. However, the Reds were 0-3 in his previous 3 starts, a stretch where he posted a 5.68 ERA. Expect Bailey to come back down to earth against a club that has had his number. The right-hander is 1-6 with a 6.00 ERA in 12 starts against the Brewers. He's 0-2 in his last 2 starts at Milwaukee, giving up 11 runs in just 9 2-3 innings. The Reds are 2-7 in his last 9 road starts. Milwaukee's Kyle Lohse has found his groove, going 3-0 with a 1.72 ERA in last 6 starts. The Brewers are 3-0 in Lohse's last 3 home starts. The righty has enjoyed plenty of success against the Reds, going 2-1 with a 1.76 ERA in his last 7 starts against them. His teams are 3-0 in his last 3 home starts against Cincy. Take Milwaukee on the run line.

7* MLB *HEAVY HITTER* on Pirates -155
The Key: The Pirates have a significant advantage on the mound with A.J. Burnett, who has an excellent track record at Wrigley. The right-hander is 5-0 in his last five starts on the North Side, including 2-0 as a member of the Pirates. Chicago's Carlos Villanueva is 0-2 with an ERA of 8.00 in two career starts versus Pittsburgh. The Cubs are 0-4 in his last 4 starts overall. The Pirates fell yesterday, but they are 22-6 in their last 28 following defeat and 7-1 in their last eight on the road. The Cubs are 2-7 in their last nine games following a win. Take Pittsburgh.

7* MLB *HEAVY HITTER* on Giants -153
The Key: The defending champs have been struggling, but not with Bumgarner on the bump. He's been especially effective at home where the Giants are 25-10 in his last 35 starts. They are also 15-3 in his last 18 home starts versus losing clubs and 14-2 in his last 16 starts as a home favorite of -151 to -200. In general, the Giants have been a solid wager in this price range, going 38-15 in their last 53 games as a favorite of -151 to -200 and 54-20 in their last 74 games as a home favorite of -151 to -200. The Dodgers have had their share of problems with southpaw starters and are 0-7 in their last 7 road games versus a left-handed starter. The Giants are 5-2 in Bumgarner's last 7 starts versus the Dodgers, including a perfect 2-0 at home during this span. The Dodgers are 1-4 in the last 5 meetings in San Francisco. Take the Giants.

7* MLB *HEAVY HITTER* on Indians -127
The Key: Cleveland has the edge on the mound with Justin Masterson, who's been lights out at home. The right-hander is carrying a 2.29 ERA at home on the season, and the Indians are 7-0 in his last 7 home starts. Detroit's Rick Porcello is struggling. He has an ERA of 5.26 on the road this season and is 0-3 with an 8.82 ERA over his last 3 starts. The Tigers are 0-4 in his last 4 starts versus a team with a winning record and 0-2 in his last 2 starts in Cleveland. Masterson's overall numbers versus Detroit aren't good, but he's 3-2 on the money line in his last 5 home starts against the Tigers, holding them to 2 earned runs or less in 4 of these starts. In addition, the Indians are 4-0 in their last 4 home games versus a right-handed starter and 4-0 in their last 4 series openers. Take the Tribe.

7* MLB *HEAVY HITTER* on Rockies -131
The Key: After losing the first two games of this three-game set, I expect the Rockies to bounce back strong tonight. They have the edge on the mound with Chacin, who is 4-0 with an ERA of 1.26 over his last four starts. The Rockies are 5-1 in Chacin's last six home starts and 8-2 in his last 10 starts as a home favorite of -110 to -150. The Dodgers are 3-7 in Capuano's last 10 starts. The southpaw has an ERA of 5.00 in 9 starts this season. He also has a WHIP of 1.426, which is significant because the Rockies are 10-1 on the year versus NL starting pitchers with a WHIP of 1.350 to 1.450. In addition, the Dodgers are just 5-17 as a road underdog of +100 of higher this season. Take Colorado.

7* MLB *HEAVY HITTER* on Royals -106
The Key: The Royals are showing terrific value at this price with Guthrie on the hill. They are 12-2 in his last 14 home starts overall and 9-0 in his last 9 home starts versus a team with a winning record. The Royals defeated Cleveland 9-0 at home earlier this season in a game where Guthrie shut the Indians down. Cleveland's Kazmir has struggled on the road where he has a 5.30 ERA in 7 starts. The Indians are 1-5 in his last 6 road starts. Kazmir, who has a career 5.09 ERA against the Royals, has a loss in Kansas City earlier this season. The Royals dropped the first game of the series but are 4-0 in their last 4 games following a loss. Take Kansas City.

7* MLB Run Line Game of the Year on Braves -1.5 -107
The Key: The Braves are 7-0 in their last seven games versus Miami and have won these games by an average of 3.1 runs. I expect their dominance of the Marlins to continue with Medlen on the mound. The right-hander has dominated soft-hitting clubs like Miami. In fact, the Braves are 11-0 in his last 11 starts in the second half of the season versus NL clubs with an on-base percentage .325 or worse. They have won these games by an average of 4.1 runs. The Braves are also 12-0 all-time in Medlen's starts in the second half of the season versus poor-power teams that average 0.9 or less home runs per game. They have won these by an average of 4.7 runs. Atlanta is 6-0 lifetime in Medlen's starts against the Marlins, winning these by 2.8 runs on average. He has a 2.29 ERA in these starts. Atlanta is even 5-0 in Medlen's last 5 starts as a favorite of -201 or greater, winning these by an average of 3.6 runs. Take the Braves on the run line.

7* Monday Night Baseball *HEAVY HITTER* on Reds -159
The Key: We cashed a winning ticket with the Giants yesterday, but they had the advantage of the mound with Bumgarner. They have struggled on the road all season and definitely do not have the advantage on the mound today. San Francisco rookie Mike Kickham has been lit up in his first two starts and has an 0-2 record and 10.57 ERA to show for it. His struggles figure to continue against a Cincinnati club that is 4-0 in its last 4 home games versus a left-handed starter. Bronson Arroyo has been lethal at home where the Reds have won 8 of his 10 starts this season and he's posted a 2.50 ERA. The Reds are 8-0 in Arroyo's last 8 home starts versus a team with a losing record and 5-0 in his last 5 starts as a favorite of -151 to -200. Arroyo has had plenty of success against the Giants, holding them to 3 earned runs or less in each of his last nine starts. The Giants are 0-5 in their last 5 games as an underdog and 0-4 in their last 4 series openers. Take the Reds.

7* AL *HEAVY HITTER* on White Sox -133
The Key: The White Sox have lost the first three games of the series, but that won't keep me off them here. They are 7-1 in their last 8 games after losing the first three games of a series and are in good hands with ace Chris Sale scheduled to get the ball. Sale has been dealing at home where he has an ERA of 2.35. The Sox are 14-3 in his last 17 home starts. Cleveland's Justin Masterson, on the other hand, has struggled on the road where he has an ERA of 5.54. The Indians are 0-5 in his last 5 road starts, losing these by 5.0 runs on average. In addition, the Sox are 2-0 in Sale's two career home starts versus the Indians. Take Chicago.

7* MLB *HEAVY HITTER* on Tigers -143
The Key: The Tigers have the clear edge on the mound with Justin Verlander. I expect the big righty to be very focused here after subpar performances in his last two starts. The Tigers are 57-23 in Verlander's last 80 starts as a favorite, 39-19 in his last 58 starts versus a team with a winning record and 8-3 in his last 11 starts as a road favorite. In addition, the Tigers are 9-3 all-time in Verlander's starts against the Rays. Tampa Bay's Chris Archer will be making only his 10th career start - the Rays have lost 6 of his first 9 starts. The Tigers are 5-1 in their last 6 and 14-4 in their last 18 against the Rays. The Tigers are also 5-1 in their last 6 meetings in Tampa Bay. Take Detroit.

7* MLB *HEAVY HITTER* on Royals -133
The Key: The Twins have been a dead fade on Friday. They are 0-10 in Friday games this season and have lost them by an average score of 6.6 to 2.8. Looking back, the Twins are just 19-44 in their last 63 Friday games. Their Friday struggles figure to continue as they go up against the red-hot James Shields. He's been at his best on the road where his ERA is 2.50, and the Royals are 5-0 in his last 5 starts. Minnesota's P.J. Walters doesn't inspire as much confidence with an ERA of 4.34 at home and a 7.43 ERA over his last 3 starts. The Twins are 0-4 in Walters' last 4 starts as a home underdog of +110 to +150 and 0-5 in his last 5 starts in the 2nd game of a series. Walters is also 0-2 with an ERA of 5.40 in 2 starts versus Kansas City. Shields' teams have won 5 of his last 6 starts versus the Twins. Take KC.

7* MLB *HEAVY HITTER* on Dodgers -1.5 +126
The Key: The Dodgers are in the midst of their longest win streak of the season. They are 5-0 in their last five games, winning these by an average of 2.4 runs. They are in great position to extend this run with Greinke on the hill. The Dodgers are 5-0 in his home starts, during which he's posted an ERA of 2.12. These wins have come by an average of 2.6 runs. Greinke's teams are a perfect 20-0 in his home starts versus losing clubs since the start of the 2011 season and have won these starts by an average score of 6.2 to 3.3. His clubs are also 14-0 in his starts as a home favorite of -175 to -250 during this span, winning these by an average score of 5.9 to 2.4. Take the Dodgers on the run line.

7* Interleague Game of the Year on Braves -128
The Key: Oddsmakers have made a mistake by giving us the Braves at such an affordable price with Minor on the mound against a club that can't hit lefties. The Braves are 8-1 in Minor's last nine starts, including 4-0 in his road starts during this span. The Braves are also 5-0 in his last 5 starts as a road favorite and 6-0 in his last 6 starts on 5 days' rest. The Royals are batting just .223 off southpaw starters and are 2-11 in their last 13 games versus a left-handed starter. The Royals are also 0-6 in their last 6 interleague home games and 0-5 in Mendoza's last 5 starts following a team loss in their previous game. Take Atlanta.

7* MLB *HEAVY HITTER* on Brewers -130
The Key: The Brewers have the advantage on the mound with Kyle Lohse, who has given up just one earned run in each of his last three starts. It looks good for Lohse that Chicago is hitting only .241 as a team. That's because he's 11-0 on the money line since the beginning of last season versus NL teams with batting average of .245 or worse. His teams have won these 11 games by an average score of 4.5 to 1.8. Lohse is also 6-0 on the money line in his last six starts against the Cubs. Chicago's Edwin Jackson, meanwhile, is 0-3 on the money line in his last 3 starts versus Milwaukee. The Brewers have owned the Cubs, winning 24 of the last 31 meetings overall. The Brewers are also 8-0 in their last eight at home versus Chicago. Take Milwaukee.

7* MLB *HEAVY HITTER* on Rays -115
The Key: I like Tampa Bay to bring Toronto's winning streak to an end tonight. The Blue Jays are 25-51 in their last 76 versus the Rays, including 12-39 in their last 51 in Tampa Bay. In addition, the Jays are 24-50 in their last 74 road games versus a team with a winning home record and 5-13 in their last 18 games as an underdog of +110 to +150. The Rays are 7-2 in Jeremy Hellickson's last 9 home starts. They are 6-0 in his last 6 starts when up against an opponent that allowed 5 runs or more in its previous game. They are also 4-0 in his last 4 starts versus a team with a winning record and 5-0 in his last 5 home starts versus a team with a winning record. I have a lot more confidence in Hellickson that I do in Esmil Rogers, who has more experience as a reliever. Take Tampa Bay.

7* National League Game of the Week on Reds -125
The Key: Motivated by losses in the first two games of this series, I expect the Reds to bounce back strong Sunday afternoon. The Reds have still won 12 of their last 16 in Arizona, are 36-17 in their last 53 following defeat and 33-15 in their last 48 games as a favorite. The Reds also have the edge on the mound with Mat Latos. They are 22-8 in his last 30 starts, 25-10 in his last 35 starts as a favorite, 8-3 in his last 11 road starts and 9-2 in his last 11 starts following a team loss in their previous game. In other words, Latos has been a guy the Reds can count on when needing a "W". Take Cincinnati.

7* MLB *HEAVY HITTER* on Giants -137
The Key: Off back-to-back losses to the club with the worst record in the league, the defending World Series champs will be hungry and focused this afternoon. I also expect the Giants to get a strong outing from southpaw Barry Zito given Miami's struggles against lefty starters. The Marlins are batting .208 and scoring 2.2 runs per game off left-handed starters this season. They are 9-24 in their last 33 games versus a left-handed starter. The Giants are 21-7 in Zito's last 28 starts. They are 9-2 in his last 11 starts as a home favorite, 7-1 in his last 8 home starts versus a team with a losing record and 6-0 in his last 6 starts in the third game of a series. Zito is 5-1 (6-2 on the money line) with an ERA of 2.45 in 8 starts versus Miami. Take San Francisco.

7* AL Central Game of the Year on Royals -130
The Key: The Royals are showing terrific value at this price with Jeremy Guthrie getting the ball. They are 12-1 in his last 13 home starts, including 10-0 in his last 10 home starts with the total set at 7.0-8.5. Guthrie has owned the AL Central, going 6-0 with a 1.77 ERA against division opponents this season. The Royals are 7-0 in his last 7 starts versus the AL Central and 12-1 in his last 13. He's especially had his way with Chicago. The Royals are 6-0 all-time in Guthrie's starts against the White Sox, and he's held them to 1 earned run or less in all 6. Kansas City is also 5-0 in its last 5 games as a home favorite and 4-0 in its last 4 series openers. The White Sox are really struggling, and they are 0-4 in Hector Santiago's last 4 road starts. Take Kansas City.

7* MLB *HEAVY HITTER* on Padres -132
The Key: This is a tough spot for the Dodgers, who played a double header yesterday in New York, traveled across the country and play again tonight. The Padres, who are 6-0 in their last 6 home games, find themselves in excellent hands with Jason Marquis marching out to the mound. They are 4-0 in Marquis' last 4 starts and 7-0 in his last 7 home starts. He's allowed 3 earned runs or less in each of those 7 wins. The Padres are also 4-0 in their last 4 series openers and 4-0 in Marquis' last 4 series-opening starts. Take San Diego.

7* MLB Humpday *HEAVY HITTER* on Nationals -113
The Key: The Nationals have gotten their backers over the hump on Humpday as they are 22-8 in their last 30 Wednesday games. They are 5-0 in Gio Gonzalez's last 5 Wednesday starts. The Phillies haven't had as much luck in the middle of the week as they are 4-9 in their last 13 Wednesday games. The Nats are also an impressive 22-9 in their last 31 games as a road favorite and 4-0 in Gonzalez's last 4 starts as a road favorite. Gonzalez is yet to make a start against Philly this season but went 3-1 with an ERA of 2.52 against it last year. Kyle Kendrick, who has a 5.11 ERA against Washington, gave up 5 runs in 5 innings against the Nats last month. The Phillies are just 2-6 in Kendrick's last 8 starts versus the Nationals. Take Washington.