Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
12-17-21 | St Bonaventure v. Virginia Tech -2.5 | Top | 49-86 | Win | 100 | 6 h 10 m | Show |
This is a play on the VIRGINIA TECH HOKIES for our CBB Friday Supreme Annihilator. Virginia Tech is coming off a loss against Dayton in its last game to fall to 7-4 on the season but faces a short line here in a good spot. The Hokies have relied on a great defense this season, allowing just 57.2 ppg which is No. 14 in the country against a pretty tough schedule. St. Bonaventure is also coming off a loss, falling to Connecticut following three straight wins but those were all at home. The Bonnies are ranked No. 138 in total offense and No. 148 in total defense so they are doing nothing special with their 8-2 record. The Bonnies are 1-5 ATS in their last six games against teams with a winning straight up record. Here, we play against neutral court teams as an underdog with a winning percentage of .800 or better playing a team with a winning record, on Friday nights. This situation is 42-20 ATS (67.7 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (852) Virginia Tech Hokies |
|||||||
12-16-21 | Chiefs v. Chargers +3 | Top | 34-28 | Loss | -100 | 11 h 17 m | Show |
This is a play on the LOS ANGELES CHARGERS for our NFL Thursday Primetime Punisher. The Chargers are coming off a win over the Giants to make it two straight victories and they have a chance to move into a first place tie with the Chiefs if they get a win tonight. The offense has been rolling as they have scored 37 or more points in three of their last four games and in home games, they are averaging 408.4 ypg which is near the top of the league and have a chance to expose a defense that has been playing above their heads of late. Los Angeles is just 4-3 at home but all three losses were by one possession and all against playoff contenders. The Chargers are 4-1 ATS in their last five games as an underdog. Kansas City has won six straight games to remain in the lead in the AFC West but this offense is still playing uneven despite the game against the Raiders and they face a tough road test here. The Chiefs have leaned on their defense over this stretch which is something we never would have said in September and October. They have allowed nine points or less in four of their last five games but were outgained twice and outgained the Giants by just 68 yards as well as outgaining Las Vegas by just 87 yards despite the lopsided score. After playing five of their last six games at home, this situation is not ideal. The Chiefs are 1-6 ATS in their last seven games after scoring more than 30 points in their previous game. Here, we play against teams where the line is +3 to -3 after going under the total by 35 or more points total in their last five games, in conference games. This situation is 70-35 ATS (66.7 percent) over the last 10 seasons. 10* (302) Los Angeles Chargers |
|||||||
12-16-21 | Chicago State v. IUPU-Indianapolis -2.5 | Top | 61-55 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 10 m | Show |
This is a play on the IUPUI JAGUARS for our CBB Thursday Enforcer. IUPUI has lost three straight games and is 1-8 on the season but is in a good spot here as it is favored for the first time at home. The Jaguars are just 1-6 against the number over their last seven games but this is a game to get back on track. They have two starters back from last season and this is not a horrible thing as they were bad in efficiency a year ago. Chicago St. comes in at 3-7 which includes seven losses over its last eight games. The Cougars are 0-5 on the road while getting outscored by 23 ppg and it is not like they have played a tough schedule with the toughest opponents being Pacific and bowling Green. They are ranked No. 332 in scoring and No. No. 342 in shooting offense so if there is a team that IUPUI can hang with, this is the one. Chicago St. is 4-13 ATS in its last 17 road games after playing two consecutive home games. Here, we play on home teams where the line is +3 to -3 off a road loss by 10 points or more, with just two starters returning from last year in the first 10 games of the season. This situation is 32-10 ATS (76.2 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (754) IUPUI Jaguars |
|||||||
12-15-21 | CS Bakersfield v. Abilene Christian -9.5 | Top | 59-69 | Win | 100 | 11 h 28 m | Show |
This is a play on the ABILENE CHRISTIAN WILDCATS for our CBB Game of the Week. Abilene Christian has won six straight games following a 0-2 start with those two losses coming against Texas A&M and Utah with the former coming by just one point in overtime on the road. The Wildcats made noise last season with a win against Texas in the NCAA Tournament and have brought back 10 of their top 13 players including three starters. They are deep with nine players averaging at least 13 minutes per game and are led by a powerful backcourt of Coryon Mason and Mahki Morris but this team is again about defense that has allowed just 59.7 ppg during its winning streak. The Wildcats are 6-1 ATS in their last seven games following a straight up win. CS Bakersfield has won three straight games and it also has stepped up defensively including allowing just 39 points against Boise St. the problem is with the offense though as the Roadrunners are averaging only 68.5 ppg on the season and that is No. 256 in the country and they have scored 64 points or less in three of their last four games. They beat Boise St. by scoring 46 points and that will not get it done here and while the Wildcats are no UCLA, a nearly 40-point loss is telling. The Roadrunners are 1-5 ATS in their last six games overall. Here, we play against road underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points after four or more consecutive wins going up against an opponent after six or more consecutive wins. This situation 31-7 ATS (81.6 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (672) Abilene Christian Wildcats |
|||||||
12-14-21 | Alabama v. Memphis +5.5 | Top | 78-92 | Win | 100 | 13 h 38 m | Show |
This is a play on the MEMPHIS TIGERS for our CBB Tuesday Enforcer. Alabama has won four straight games including a huge win over Gonzaga 10 days ago and is now 8-1 on the season. The Tide are now ranked No. 6 in the country and they hit the road for the first time this season which puts them in a tough position as a road favorite. Ideally, this is a good spot but not on the road against a hungry team that is potentially just as good. Alabama is ranked No. 266 in scoring defense which is horrible heading to their first road game of the season. The Tide are 2-5 ATS in their last seven games as a road favorite. After going into the top 10 earlier in the season, the Tigers have lost four straight games, including a 74-72 home loss to Murray St. that put them with their longest losing streak in nearly five years. The last three losses against Georgia, Mississippi and Murray St. were by a combined nine points so now they are undervalued at home and need a big win to put on their resume before conference season starts. The Tigers are 12-5 ATS in their last 17 games against teams with a winning straight up record. Here, we play against road favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points after beating the spread by 24 or more points total in their last three games going up against an opponent after being beaten by the spread by 42 or more points total in their last seven games. This situation is 36-9 ATS (80 percent) since 1997. 10* (634) Memphis Tigers |
|||||||
12-13-21 | Rams +2.5 v. Cardinals | Top | 30-23 | Win | 100 | 13 h 42 m | Show |
This is a play on the LOS ANGELES RAMS for our NFL Monday Primetime Punisher. The NFC playoff picture is jumbled but the Rams are in position for the top Wild Card spot and are still alive for the NFC West division title. They are two games back with a chance to cut that in half despite losses in three of their last four games. They are coming off a 30-point win over Jacksonville and while that might not say much, it brought back some much needed confidence heading into the final five games of the season which will not be an easy stretch. The Rams remain a top rated offense as they are ranked No. 6 overall and No. 5 in scoring offense and Matthew Stafford looks to be fully healthy after a couple rough games because of injury. The Rams are 25-12-1 ATS in their last 38 games against the NFC. The Cardinals are also healthy again with Kyler Murray and Deandre Hopkins back in the mix and at a short price in a divisional game, the public is all over them. They have won two straight games, both on the road, and they are back home where they are 3-2 on the season compared to a 7-0 record on the highway. While their 10-2 record is the best in the NFC, they have not played a great schedule as it is ranked No. 24 in the league. the defense has done its job but even though the first matchup resulted in a 17-point win, the Cardinals were outgained by 64 yards and they have been outgained in three of their last six games with two of the positives coming against Houston and Jacksonville. The Cardinals are 4-10 ATS in their last 14 games as a home favorite. Here, we play on road underdogs or pickems after failing to cover the spread in three out of their last four games going up against an opponent after covering the spread in three out of their last four games. This situation is 27-5 ATS (84.4 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (129) Los Angeles Rams |
|||||||
12-13-21 | Cleveland State +12.5 v. Oklahoma State | Top | 93-98 | Win | 100 | 11 h 30 m | Show |
This is a play on the CLEVELAND ST. VIKINGS for our CBB Monday Enforcer. Cleveland St. has won six straight games following a 0-2 start and while this will be the biggest test of the season, the Vikings are well prepared. Following a season where they went 19-8 including a 16-4 record in the Horizon League, they have all five starters back and they are balanced and deep with nine players averaging at least 11 minutes per game. Fourteen players on the roster return as letter winners from last season while four transfer players join as well. The Vikings are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games as an underdog. The Cowboys are coming off a loss against Xavier which was their second straight following five straight wins. Thid team is solid defensively as Oklahoma St. has forced opponents into committing turnovers on 26.8 percent of all possessions this year, the 10th-highest rate among all Division I teams but the Cowboys have struggled on offense. They are No. 138 overall in total offense and they are shooting just 28.8 percent from long range which is No. 320 in the country. The Cowboys are 1-6 ATS in their last seven home games against teams with a road winning percentage of less than .400. Here, we play against home teams as a favorite or pickem off an upset loss as a home favorite, with four starters returning from last year in the first 10 games of the season. This situation is 36-10 ATS (78.3 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (875) Cleveland St. Vikings |
|||||||
12-12-21 | Mavs -4 v. Thunder | Top | 103-84 | Win | 100 | 9 h 2 m | Show |
This is a play on the DALLAS MAVERICKS for our NBA Sunday Enforcer. Dallas is coming off a loss at Indiana on Friday which was its fourth loss in five games. The Mavericks have been huge underachievers all season but are just three game behind Memphis in the NBA Southwest Division and this should be a great opportunity to gain ground. The Mavericks are 7-2 ATS in their last nine games following a straight up loss of more than 10 points. Oklahoma City is coming off a loss against the Lakers following a pair of road wins bit it sits at 8-17 on the season and it is in a tough matchup here. The Thunder are 4-8 at home and have lost four straight here heading into Sunday. The Thunder are 9-19 ATS in their last 28 games following a ATS loss. Here, we play on road favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points after having lost two of their last three games, with a winning percentage between .450 and .550 on the season. This situation is 61-29 ATS (67.8 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (571) Dallas Mavericks |
|||||||
12-12-21 | Villanova v. Baylor -3.5 | Top | 36-57 | Win | 100 | 6 h 13 m | Show |
This is a play on the BAYLOR BEARS for our CBB Sunday Enforcer. Following a big second half surge against Syracuse, Villanova has now won four straight games while covering three of those. The Wildcats are 1-1 on the road, the one victory coming against Penn but that should be considered a neutral court game as it was at the Palestra and now face their toughest test with UCLA coming in a close second. Villanova shoots a ton of threes but teams are shooting just 28.8 percent against Baylor from behind the arc as its perimeter defense is solid. The Wildcats are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 road games against teams with a home winning percentage of greater than .600. Baylor has not let off the gas after the championship last season as it is 8-0 including impressive blowout wins over Stanford, Arizona St. and Michigan St. The Bears are among the top teams in the country in most shooting categories including top 20 in True Shoring Percentage and that is big here based on fast break points. Baylor is the second best team in the country in forcing turnovers as it averages over 19 per game and that leads to easy baskets. The Bears are 8-1 ATS in their last nine games against teams with a winning straight up record. Here, we play against road underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points after four or more consecutive wins going up against an opponent after seven or more consecutive wins. This situation is 24-3 ATS (88.9 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (748) Baylor Bears |
|||||||
12-12-21 | Cowboys -4 v. Washington Football Team | Top | 27-20 | Win | 100 | 23 h 39 m | Show |
This is a play on the DALLAS COWBOYS for our NFC East Game of the Month. The NFC East pretty much comes down to this game and if the Cowboys win, it is theirs. They have lost two of their last three games but are coming off a win in their last game on Thursday against New Orleans so they have had ample rest heading into Sunday. Because their last two games have been on a Thursday, they have had a good schedule break that has now gotten them to the healthiest they have been this season, especially on the defensive side. The Cowboys are an explosive team with the kind of playmakers on offense and defense that can get in gear and make a last month run into the playoffs. Dallas is 7-0 ATS against conference opponents this season while going 6-0 ATS after allowing six or more yppl in their previous game this season. Washington has won four straight games to go from 2-6 to 6-6 but this run has been a little suspect with the last three coming by just one possession. Washington, currently the No. 6 seed in the NFC, can shrink the Cowboys NFC East lead to one game with a victory and if Washington wins out, it takes the division but we just do not see that happening. This team needs Taylor Heinicke to continue his impressive play if they hope to win but it will difficult against this defense that is nearly back to full strength. The defense stepped up but COVID has again dealt a blow with Montez Sweat placed on the protocol. This team is overmatched on both sides and the Washington run comes to an end. The Football Team are 5-12 ATS in their last 17 against the NFC East. 10* (117) Dallas Cowboys |
|||||||
12-12-21 | Raiders +10.5 v. Chiefs | 9-48 | Loss | -121 | 22 h 6 m | Show | |
This is a play on the LAS VEGAS RAIDERS for our NFL Sunday Enforcer. The Raiders followed up their Thanksgiving win with a 17-15 loss to Washington to fall to 6-6 and now the challenge is there again with another tough road game. Las Vegas is tied for third place in the AFC West but is only two games behind Kansas City so a win here puts them in a good spot but the upcoming schedule is pretty tough with two more road games and a season finale against the Chargers, if it will even matter. We are more concerned with the spread as they are getting double-digits in some spots as the love is going back to Kansas City. They were shellacked in the first meeting which was part of a 1-4 stretch for the Raiders and they know the stakes in the rematch. The Raiders are 5-1 ATS in their last six games as a road underdog. Kansas City has won five straight games to take over the division lead but this offense is still playing uneven and has not been able to get on its roll. The Chiefs have leaned on their defense over this stretch which is something we never would have said in September and October. They have allowed nine points or less in three of their last four games but were outgained twice and outgained the Giants by just 68 yards. Their offense is still just No. 26 overall and the Raiders have the offense to keep this one a lot closer than that first meeting. Kansas City has been favored by double-digits only once which was against New York and we are not sure if they deserve that here. The Chiefs are 5-13 ATS in their last 18 games following a straight up win. Here, we play on road underdogs or pickems after failing to cover the spread in three out of their last four games going up against an opponent after covering the spread in three out of their last four games. This situation is 27-5 ATS (84.4 percent) over the last five seasons. 9* (105) Las Vegas Raiders |
|||||||
12-11-21 | Kentucky v. Notre Dame +4.5 | Top | 62-66 | Win | 100 | 6 h 21 m | Show |
This is a play on the NOTRE DAME FIGHTING IRISH for our CBB Game of the Week. After a season opening loss to Duke, Kentucky has won seven straight games, all of which came at home and against some suspect competition. The Wildcats were favored by 23 points or more in six of those and now they hit the road for the first time this season as the game against Duke was on a neutral floor. Their offense has been potent as Kentucky is ranked No. 23 in scoring offense and No. 35 in shooting but again, it has come against a schedule that is ranked No. 354 in the country, which is fourth worst. The Wildcats are 2-6 ATS in their last eight games following a straight up win. Notre Dame has gotten off to a rough start as it is 3-4 including three straight losses but it has been tested and the schedule has been not on its side. The last five games have been away from home and this is its first home game in over three weeks. Defensive struggles have been a concern for the Irish, who has now have now allowed 70 or more points in their last three games but a return home will help. This is a great contrarian spot that can get a big win over a top 25 team. Here, we play against road favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points off three or more consecutive home wins going up against an opponent off a road loss scoring less than 60 points. This situation is 72-37 ATS (66.1 percent) since 1997. 10* (678) Notre Dame Fighting Irish |
|||||||
12-11-21 | Arizona v. Illinois +1 | 83-79 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 21 m | Show | |
This is a play on the ILLINOIS FIGHTING ILLINI for our CBB Saturday Star Attraction. Arizona is off to an 8-0 start and hits the road for the second time this season and this is the biggest test thus far. The Wildcats continue to lead the nation in offense, averaging 91.6 ppg but pace could be an issue here. They had no problem with that against Wyoming in their last game, which we went against, but now on the road in a tough environment should be a different story. Both three-point shooting and free throw shooting are well below average. Last season was a great one for the Illini as they finished one game behind Michigan in the Big Ten, finished No. 2 in the final AP Poll entering the NCAA Tournament and this season is expected to be just as good even though they already have two losses. Those came against Marquette and Cincinnati however and they have won five straight games since then including going 2-0 to start the Big Ten season, the last being a big win at Iowa. They are the third best rebounding team in the country including grabbing offensive rebounds at a 41.3 percent clip. The Illini are 17-8-1 ATS in their last 26 games against teams with a winning straight up record. Here, we play against road teams after beating the spread by more than six points in three consecutive games going up against an opponent after beating the spread by 24 or more points total in their last three games. This situation is 54-22 ATS (71.1 percent) since 1997. 9* (672) Illinois Fighting Illini |
|||||||
12-11-21 | Navy +7.5 v. Army | Top | 17-13 | Win | 100 | 51 h 37 m | Show |
This is a play on the NAVY MIDSHIPMEN for our CFB Saturday Top Play Winner. Army heads into the annual rivalry with an 8-3 record and will be going to its second straight bow game and fifth in the last six years. This coincides with this game as Army will try to beat Navy for the fifth time in the past six years, after losing 12 straight in this series, and capture their fourth Commander-in-Chief Trophy in the last five seasons. The Black Knights are ranked No. 2 in the country in rushing offense with 301.7 ypg, its sixth straight year of putting up at least 273 yards on the ground. The numbers are a bit skewed though as three of those games came against UMass, Bucknell, and UConn as they put up a total of 1,409 yards in those three games. Army is 9-22 ATS in its last 31 games against teams averaging 4.5 or less yppl. Navy comes into the game with a 3-8 record which is the second straight season it comes in with the worse by at least three games. The Midshipmen will miss their second straight bowl game after making a postseason appearance in seven of the previous eight years. The season could have been a lot better but close losses doomed Navy as four of its eight losses were by one possession. Navy is ranked No. 7 in the country in rushing at 228.2 ypg so the Midshipmen have been solid in running the ball and can have success here. Army is the 11th bowl bound team Navy will face as the Midshipmen have played the third toughest schedule in the country while the Army schedule is ranked No. 93. The Midshipmen are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games as an underdog. Here, we play on underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points after going over the total by 28 or more points total in their last three games going up against an opponent after going over the total by 35 or more points total in their last five games. This situation is 51-20 ATS (71.8 percent) since 1992. 10* (103) Navy Midshipmen |
|||||||
12-10-21 | Cavs v. Wolves +1 | Top | 123-106 | Loss | -106 | 9 h 47 m | Show |
This is a play on the MINNESOTA TIMBERWOLVES for our NBA Friday Enforcer. Minnesota was on a roll but it has lost four straight games to fall three games under .500 but those losses came against some of the best teams in the NBA including Utah, Brooklyn and Washington. The last two losses came at home where they are now 7-8 but this is a great line in a rebound spot where they are still outscoring their opponents. The defense has been the fault yet they were great on that end of the floor during their run where they went 7-1 in an eight-game stretch. The Timberwolves are 9-4-1 ATS in their last 14 games after allowing more than 125 points in their previous game. Cleveland is coming off a win against Chicago on Wednesday to snap a two-game losing skid which came after a four-game winning streak. The Cavaliers are two games over .500 on the season and three games over .500 on the road which is definitely playing into this line. The road record includes three solid wins over Dallas, Miami and Washington but have gone down to the opposition occasionally this season and they are catching a team that is desperate for a win. The Cavaliers are 7-18 ATS in their last 25 games as a road favorite. Here, we play on home underdogs averaging between 104 and 108 ppg going up against teams allowing 104 or fewer ppg, after allowing 125 points or more. This situation is 27-7 ATS (79.4 percent) since 1996. 10* (542) Minnesota Timberwolves |
|||||||
12-10-21 | Loyola-Chicago -4.5 v. Vanderbilt | Top | 69-58 | Win | 100 | 11 h 24 m | Show |
This is a play on the LOYOLA-CHICAGO RAMBLERS for our CBB Friday Enforcer. Loyola-Chicago is coming off another great season as it followed up its 2018 Final Four trip with a run into the Sweet 16 last year 25-6 season that resulted in another MVC Championship. The Ramblers lost one of the top players in the conference but have four starters back along with some elite transfer additions. They are off to an 8-2 start that includes wins over Arizona St. and DePaul while the two losses came against Auburn and Michigan St., the latter coming by just a bucket. They face another power team tonight but one that is not expected to do much in the SEC. They are shooting 51 percent from the floor including 41.7 percent from long range, both of which are No. 8 in the country behind another balanced offense. The Ramblers are 6-1-2 ATS in their last nine games as a road favorite. Vanderbilt is 5-3 to open the season with losses in its last two games against a good SMU team by 12 points and a weak Temple team by four points in overtime. The Commodores finished last in the SEC last season at 3-13, winning only nine games overall and they have only two starters back. They brought in two highly touted transfers but neither have yet to see the floor this season. Vanderbilt is averaging just 70.9 ppg which is No. 211 in the country but worse off is that it is shooting only 40.4 percent from the floor which is No. 312 in the nation. Scottie Pippen Jr. is a great player but the Commodores have only one other double-digit scorer and only one other player averaging more than 6.6 ppg. Here, we play against underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points off a home loss going up against an opponent off a home win by 20 points or more. This situation is 87-46 ATS (65.4 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (875) Loyola-Chicago Ramblers |
|||||||
12-09-21 | Steelers v. Vikings -3 | Top | 28-36 | Win | 100 | 12 h 33 m | Show |
This is a play on the MINNESOTA VIKINGS for our NFL Thursday Primetime Punisher. The public reaction should see more money coming in on Pittsburgh after we closer to gametime following the Steelers upset win over Baltimore and the Vikings loss to Detroit. Pittsburgh improved to 6-5-1 and is now a game and a half behind the Ravens in the AFC North. The Steelers did it with stingy defense as they allowed 19 points after giving up 41 points in consecutive games prior to that. The difference this season has been the home/road splits as they are allowing 27 ppg on road compared to 21.6 ppg at home. The offense has scored 17 points or less in three of their last four road games and will face a defense that should be embarrassed by their performance last week. The Steelers are 0-5 ATS in their last five games against teams with a losing record. Minnesota fell to 5-7 with the loss to the Lions and while it is well out of the division race, a Wild Card spot is still in play. The Vikings are a game back for the final spot and they have to take advantage of home games where they are 3-2 and finish the season with three home games over their last five and they still get to face Chicago twice. A lot of the heat is on Kirk Cousins which always seems to be the case but he is having a great season as he has completed 68.4 percent of his passes for 3,353 yards while tossing 25 touchdowns and just three interceptions. Again, it will up to the defense and stop the running game and make Ben Roethlisberger beat then and that will be hard for him to do. The Vikings are 42-19 ATS in their last 61 games following a straight up loss. Here, we play against teams with a winning percentage between .501 and .600 off an upset win as a home underdog, playing a losing team in the second half of the season. This situation is 24-4 ATS (85.7 percent) since 1983. 10* (102) Minnesota Vikings |
|||||||
12-09-21 | Purdue v. Rutgers +13 | Top | 68-70 | Win | 100 | 10 h 31 m | Show |
This is a play on the RUTGERS SCARLET KNIGHTS for our CBB Thursday Enforcer. After a 3-0 start to the season, Rutgers dropped three straight games by a combined seven points. Two of those were on the road and while a home loss against Lafayette was inexcusable, they did bounce back with a home win against Clemson but then travelled to Illinois and got destroyed by 35 points. The situation will not get any easier here but being back home in one of the most underrated home arenas is a big edge. Rutgers made it to the NCAA Tournament last season and won its first tournament game since 1983. Rutgers is 32-7 in its last 39 home games. Purdue comes in as the No. 1 team in the country following a hard-four seven-point win over a tough Iowa team. That was the Boilermakers first non-cover as a five-game win streak against the spready and while they are clearly the better team here, this is a letdown spot despite this being a revenge from last season that saw Rutgers win by five points. Making things more difficult, this is the first true road game for the Boilermakers and they are the last in the Big Ten to play a road. Some standings show a 1-0 road record but that game was played at Mohegan Sun Arena in Connecticut. Purdue is 3-13 ATS in its last 16 road games after four straight games outrebounding opponent by six or more. Here, we play against favorites of 10 to 19.5 points with a winning percentage of .800 or better after having covered five or six of their last seven games against the spread. This situation is 151-94 ATS (61.6 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (854) Rutgers Scarlet Knights |
|||||||
12-08-21 | Magic v. Kings -6.5 | Top | 130-142 | Win | 100 | 10 h 24 m | Show |
12-08-21 | Wyoming +16 v. Arizona | Top | 65-94 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 34 m | Show |
This is a play on the WYOMING COWBOYS for our CBB Nonconference Game of the Month. Wyoming was the 15th least experienced team in the country last season but managed pretty well with a high potent offense that carried the Cowboys to 14 wins overall including seven in the MWC. They were the highest scoring team in the conference and they ranked No. 68 in the country in offensive efficiency. They have continued the high scoring offence this season as they are averaging 82.3 ppg which is No. 29 in the country and they are No. 18 in offensive efficiency to jump out to an 8-0 start. The schedule has not been great but Wyoming does own a pair of solid road wins at Washington and CSU Fullerton. The Cowboys are 20-7 ATS in their last 27 games as an underdog. Arizona is also undefeated at 7-0 to start the season and this is a tough spot laying this many points. The Wildcats are coming off a win against Oregon St. to open up conference play and they have a big game at Illinois on deck. Arizona is the highest scoring team in the country but this will be the toughest offense it has faced even taking pace into consideration. Arizona is ranked No. 12 in the country in pace while Wyoming is No. 289 and that greatly benefits the underdog, especially a big one, when it is efficient on that side of the ball. Wyoming is No. 5 in the nation in Opponent Effective Field Goal Percentage and No. 3 in Opponent True Shooting Percentage. The Wildcats are 5-11 ATS in their last 16 games following a straight up win of more than 20 points. Here, we play against favorites off a road win by 20 points or more, in a game involving two teams with winning percentages of .800 or better. This situation is 87-42 ATS (67.4 percent) since 1997. 10* (729) Wyoming Cowboys |
|||||||
12-07-21 | Villanova -9 v. Syracuse | Top | 67-53 | Win | 100 | 13 h 7 m | Show |
This is a play on the VILLANOVA WILDCATS for our CBB Tuesday Enforcer. Syracuse is coming off a pair of wins against Indiana and Florida St. and now faces its toughest opponent of the season going to MSG. The Orange have one of the worst defenses in the country as they are allowing 79.1 ppg which is No. 333 in the country and while that is a little bit skewed by the Indiana game that went to double overtime, they have allowed 84 points or more in four of their last six games including giving up 100 points to Colgate. Their three losses have come by 12 points or more with the last two coming on a neutral floor. The Orange are 1-4 ATS in their last five games following a straight up win. Vilanova has won three straight games, all coming in the five-game rivalry in Philadelphia. The Wildcats find themselves ranked No. 5 overall in the country in the analytics standings despite two early losses but they were quality ones against UCLA and Purdue, one coming against the former in overtime. Four of the Wildcats five starters average double-digit ppg this year so balance is again a big factor. The Wildcats are 24-9-1 ATS in their last 34 neutral site games as a favorite. Here, we play against underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points after two straight wins by three points or less going up against an opponent after three straight wins by 10 points or more. This situation is 29-7 ATS (80.6 percent) since 1997. 10* (639) Villanova Wildcats |
|||||||
12-06-21 | Patriots v. Bills -2.5 | Top | 14-10 | Loss | -115 | 11 h 56 m | Show |
This is a play on the BUFFALO BILLS for our NFL Monday Primetime Punisher. Buffalo is coming off a win at New Orleans on Thanksgiving so it has had an extended break in getting ready for its biggest game of the season. The Bills are 7-4 and trail the Patriots by a half-game in the AFC East with a chance to leapfrog New England in the division. This is just their second home game in a month with the other one being the beatdown they took from the Colts, getting defeated 41-15 as Jonathan Taylor went off. Buffalo still possesses the top ranked defense in the NFL and faces a pretty average offense tonight that does not carry a rushing threat like Indianapolis or Tennessee, the two times it was hit hard by the run. On the other side, the Bills are No. 4 in total offense and they are a top 10 team in both phases which the Patriots have not seen during their winning streak. The Bills are 10-3-1 ATS in their last 14 games after scoring more than 30 points in their previous game. New England has won six straight games to be where they are but the schedule has been on its side with only one win coming against a team that is over .500 and that came against the Titans which were without Derrick Henry. The defense is ranked No. 1 in scoring defense and they have allowed a solid 7.8 ppg in five wins during their winning streak against those five teams that are not offensively efficient and the other one was against the Chargers where they gave up 24 points. This game has a lot of similarities as the game against a balanced Dallas team where they lost in overtime while getting outgained by 235 yards. The Patriots are 1-4 ATS in their last five games after allowing more than 150 yards rushing in their previous game. 10* (476) Buffalo Bills |
|||||||
12-05-21 | Ravens v. Steelers +4.5 | Top | 19-20 | Win | 100 | 7 h 59 m | Show |
This is a play on the PITTSBURGH STEELERS for our AFC North Game of the Month. We were on the Steelers last week and they got smoked against the Bengals and it is pretty much do or die time as they return home against their biggest rival in what is essentially a Week 13 playoff game. Pittsburgh is 5-5-1 which still has them in the mix in the AFC but there is little for error and at this number, the Steelers are getting no respect which maybe they should not be. They have been average on offense as they are ranked No. 22 in both total offense and scoring offense but they do have a good matchup here against a Ravens team that does not take the ball away and allowed 31.3 ppg prior to playing the Bears and Browns. The Steelers are 17-4-2 ATS in their last 23 games as a home underdog. We played against Tennessee two weeks ago pointing to the fact they were the most overrated team in the AFC at the time and Baltimore has moved into tat category. Of their eight wins, five have come by three points or less or in overtime and another by just one possession which certainly explains their +23 point differential which is the fewest margin of any divisional leader in the NFL. The Ravens have been outgained in three of their last five games and we are going to see a lot of blind bets again despite another bad turnover game with a lot of this being how the Steelers have been over the last month. The Ravens are 1-5 ATS in their last six games following an ATS win. Here we play against favorites forcing 1 or less tpg, after a game where they committed three or more turnovers. This situation is 31-10 ATS (75.6 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (470) Pittsburgh Steelers |
|||||||
12-05-21 | Washington Football Team v. Raiders -1 | Top | 17-15 | Loss | -118 | 8 h 30 m | Show |
This is a play on the LAS VEGAS RAIDERS for our NFL Sunday Enforcer. Washington has won three straight games to move to 5-6 on the season and actually controls its own destiny in the NFC East but that is not going to happen. They are coming off a win over Seattle on Monday night as the Seahawks once again struggled on offense and now they head to the west coast on a short week. This is a very average team that is ranked No. 19 in total offense, No. 20 in scoring offense, Mo. 18 in total defense and No. 25 in scoring defense. They are even worse on the defensive side than those rankings indicate as Washington is allowing 5.9 yppl which is No. 20 overall and it is second the last in DVOA and the Raiders possess an offense that can take advantage. Washington is 2-5 ATS in its last seven games as an underdog. The Raiders have been off since Thanksgiving and that should give them a solid edge here heading back home. Las Vegas broke out of an offensive slump in the 36-33 victory in Dallas largely because it diversified its attack. This is obviously key for any team but especially the Raiders as they can do it with the passing and rushing games as long as they go with both. Starting quarterback Derek Carr leads the NFL in passing with 3,414 yards but the balance was key against the Cowboys as keeping them on their heels with a lot of play action looks. Running back Josh Jacobs had a season high 22 carries which he turned into 87 yards and his production will again be key. The Raiders are just one game behind Kansas City in the AFC West and in this clogged division, every game is meaningful at this point. The Raiders are 6-2 ATS in their last eight games after allowing less than 90 yards rushing in their previous game. 10* (468) Las Vegas Raiders |
|||||||
12-04-21 | USC v. Washington State | Top | 63-61 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 16 m | Show |
This is a play on the WASHINGTON ST. COUGARS for our CBB Saturday Enforcer. USC is off to a 7-0 start including a victory in its conference opener over Utah at home by 20 points. The Trojans made a trip to the Elite Eight last season but after losing its two top scorers, it looked to be a rebuilding project early on but the schedule has been on their side to be able to et off to get off to their undefeated start. History is on their side here with 10 straight wins in this series against Washinton St. but this is the best Cougars team they have faced over that stretch and the line is telling us this with this line being the lowest over this stretch. USC has won both road games but those came against Temple and Florida Gulf Coast and going back, the Trojans are 2-5 ATS in their last seven games after scoring more than 90 points in their previous game. Washington St. went just 7-12 in the Pac 12 last season but good things are expected this year with four starters back and a huge incoming transfer after making a first round exit in the conference tournament last March. The Cougars also won their conference opener as they defeated Arizona St. by 22 points as they held the Sun Devils to only 29 points on the road. Call it great defense or just poor shooting by Arizona St. but either way, it was a great way to start and they head home where they are 4-1, the lone setback being against Eastern Washington which can be dialed up to a lookahead game. They are shooting over 17 percent better from the free throw line than the Trojans and the Cougars are 6-2 ATS in their last eight games against teams with a winning percentage above .600. Here, we play against teams where the line is +3 to -3 after beating the spread by 30 or more points total in their last five games going up against an opponent after going under the total by more than six points in three consecutive games. This situation is 24-5 ATS (82.8 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (680) Washington St. Cougars |
|||||||
12-04-21 | Houston +10.5 v. Cincinnati | Top | 20-35 | Loss | -110 | 99 h 40 m | Show |
This is a play on the HOUSTON COUGARS for our AAC Championship Winner. This has the opportunity to be one of the best championship games of the weekend and Houston is catching a great number and is flying under the radar with Cincinnati being right in the middle of the CFP positioning. The Cougars opened the season against Texas Tech and after a 21-7 halftime lead, they allowed 31 unanswered second half points as quarterback Clayton Tune threw four interceptions which is his total over his last 11 games combined. Houston has gone 11-0 since then and absolutely dominated, getting outgained only once over that stretch. Obviously, the schedule has not been great or overpowering but the same can be said for the other side and it that first game went different, there would be a lot more on the line for both sides. The Cougars are 20-7-1 ATS in their last 28 games as a road underdog. It is simple for the Bearcats, as if they win they are in. Cincinnati started the season as undervalued and rolled to a 5-1 start against the number including a big win against Notre Dame but then it hit a stretch of four straight spread losses and while those lines were all -22 or more, none of those teams match up with Houston. They are coming off a big win against East Carolina to remain undefeated but it was not easy with the Pirates remaining within in two possessions up until a late touchdown sealed it for the Bearcats. While both offenses have been potent of late, both of these defenses are ranked within the top 10 in the country and being able to grab an underdog as this price with that scenario is big. Here, we play on road underdogs that are outgaining their opponents by 75 or more ypg, after outgaining their last opponent by 225 or more total yards in their previous game. This situation is 96-53 ATS (64.4 percent) over the last 10 seasons. 9* (313) Houston Cougars |
|||||||
12-04-21 | Utah State v. San Diego State -6 | Top | 46-13 | Loss | -110 | 22 h 26 m | Show |
This is a play on the SAN DIEGO ST. AZTECS for our CFB Game of the Week. San Diego St. won its last four games to take the MWC West Division title and its 11 victories are the most in program history. With a win, the Aztecs keep their hopes of an invite to a New Year's Six Bowl alive if Cincinnati goes down against Houston. Thanks to the better record, that get to host the conference championship and they have won six of seven home games, the lone loss coming against Fresno St. which was their last game they were outrushed and the line of scrimmage will be a big factor here. With Utah St. allowing 163.8 ypg on the ground, which is 8th worst in the conference, San Diego St. will use its strength where it is averaging 177.6 ypg rushing. On the other side, the Aztecs defense allowed just 78.7 ypg rushing, the best in the conference and No. 2 in the nation. The Aztecs are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games as a home favorite. Utah St. won its season finale against New Mexico to claim the MWC East Division thanks to a tiebreaker with a head-to-head win over Air Force. The Aggies like to run an up-tempo offense but protection could be a problem. While they are averaging 304.8 ypg passing, San Diego St. gets to the quarterback well. Keeping Logan Bonner upright has been a challenge, as he has been sacked 20 times and the offensive line has allowed numerous quarterback hits. The Aggies are 6-14 ATS in their last 20 road games against teams with a winning home record. Here, we play on favorites of 3.5 to 10 points with a rushing defense allowing 3.25 or fewer rushing ypc, after allowing 125 or less rushing yards in two straight games. This situation is 60-28 ATS (68.2 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (324) San Diego St. Aztecs |
|||||||
12-03-21 | New Mexico State v. UTEP +1.5 | Top | 72-69 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 30 m | Show |
This is a play on the UTEP MINERS for our CBB Game of the Week. UTEP has won three of its last four games to move to 4-2 on the season and is now hosting the second of two rivalry games in the Battle of I-10 against New Mexico St. The Miners lost the first meeting by six points and will be out for revenge with a full roster. They played their last game without Souley Boum and Christian Agnew who were out on COVID protocol and the former is their leading scorer at 20.0 ppg so this is a big edge for their backcourt. UTEP is 3-1 at home with the lone loss coming against UC Riverside where they managed only 40 point with Boum being a huge absence in that game. The Miners are 6-1 ATS in their last seven games following a straight up win. For New Mexico St., it is its second rivalry game this week after losing to New Mexico on Tuesday 101-94. The Aggies are now 5-2 on the season with the other loss coming against Utah St. by 27 points. They are averaging 77.7 ppg so they like to run but their defense pays the price as well as they are allowing 72.1 ppg which is No. 252 in the country which is not a good thing coming against a weak schedule. This is the first true road game for New Mexico St. which is a big concern as the Aggies have just one starter returning and playing in a hostile environment is a cause for concern. The Aggies are 3-8 ATS in their last 11 road games against teams with a home winning percentage of greater than .600. Here, we play on home teams after allowing 55 points or less going up against an opponent after a combined score of 175 points or more. This situation is 98-49 ATS (66.7 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (864) UTEP Miners |
|||||||
12-03-21 | 76ers v. Hawks -1.5 | Top | 98-96 | Loss | -105 | 9 h 3 m | Show |
This is a play on the ATLANTA HAWKS for our NBA Friday Supreme Annihilator. Atlanta has caught fire after a slow start to the season as it has won eight of its last nine games to get to two games over .500 and move two games behind Washington in the NBA Southeast Division. The offense has been rolling with an average of 119.7 ppg during the winning streak. The Hawks are outscoring opponents by 9.5 ppg at home and they are ranked No. 7 in the league in Effective Field Goal Percentage which is 10 spots ahead of Philadelphia. The Hawks are also No. 2 in three league in three-point percentage and going against the No. 23 ranked three-point defense. The Hawks are 21-5 ATS in their last 26 games as a home favorite. We won with Philadelphia last time out as it fell to the Celtics by a point in a big rivalry game and has now lost three of four games to go back to .500 on the season. They have been decent on the road at 5-5 but are in the bottom half of the league in Opponent Effective Field Goal Percentage and ride into a tough game against a hot offense. The Sixers are 2-7 ATS in their last nine games following a straight up loss. Here, we play on home teams where the line is +3 to -3 after having won five or six of their last seven games, with a winning percentage of between .450 and .550 on the season. This situation is 49-20 ATS (71 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (506) Atlanta Hawks |
|||||||
12-03-21 | Western Kentucky -1 v. UTSA | Top | 41-49 | Loss | -110 | 79 h 49 m | Show |
This is a play on the WESTERN KENTUCKY HILLTOPPERS for our C-USA Championship Winner. A magical season ended abruptly for UTSA as it brought a perfect 11-0 record into its season finale and got housed by North Texas in a game that was not even as close as the final 22-point deficit. The Roadrunners came out of the gates by covering eight of their first nine games but then they came back to earth with a 10-point win over 3-9 Southern Mississippi as 32.5-point favorites, a three-point win over UAB and then the loss to the Mean Green. For having such a good record, UTSA has been overly average on the field as it is ranked No. 36 in total offense and No. 41 in total defense and that was against a schedule ranked No. 124 in the country. Taking nothing away from winning but the overrated Roadrunners could be in for a long night here. Western Kentucky has been absolutely rolling as it has won seven straight games following a 1-4 start that saw three one-possession losses that was culminated with a loss at home against UTSA so revenge is in play here. The Hilltoppers offense nearly unstoppable as they are ranked No. 1 in the country in total offense and has averaged 45.3 ppg during its winning streak but it is the defense that could be the deciding factor here. They have allowed only 18.9 ppg over these last seven games and while they did allow 52 points against UTSA prior to that, they outgained the Roadrunners by 106 yards but penalties a couple costly turnovers did then in. The Hilltoppers are 16-5-1 ATS in their last 22 games following a straight up win. Here, we play against teams where the line is +3 to -3 that are outscoring opponents by seven or more ppg, after allowing 31 points or more in two straight games. This situation is 45-18 ATS (71.4 percent) over the last 10 seasons. 10* (303) Western Kentucky Hilltoppers |
|||||||
12-02-21 | Texas-San Antonio +14.5 v. Grand Canyon | Top | 71-74 | Win | 100 | 12 h 37 m | Show |
This is a play on the UTSA ROADRUNNERS for our CBB Thursday Enforcer. Grand Canyon is 6-1 to open the season but it does not deserve to be laying a number like this which is right on plane with a pair of early season wins over North Florida and Prairie View but this is a step up and are actually laying more tonight. The Lopes won the WAC last season and earned a trip to the NCAA Tournament but things are different with a big transition of trying to replace four starters and they were the top four scorers on the team. They have covered four of six games but this is a massive number to try and get over tonight. The Roadrunners are coming off a win to move to 5-3 on the season but at times there was little ball movement and UTSA would struggle for stretches at a time. UTSA will have to rely on their defense and rebounding to help jump-start things offensively and they are in a good matchup here. This is the lone game they play in a week which means they no chance for a lookahead and the focus will be there on the road for the first time since playing at Oklahoma but they are not playing the Sooners tonight. Here, we play against home favorites of 10 or more points off an upset win as an underdog going up against an opponent off two or more consecutive home wins. This situation is 26-5 ATS (83.9 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (771) UTSA Roadrunners |
|||||||
12-02-21 | Cowboys v. Saints +5 | Top | 27-17 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 6 m | Show |
This is a play on the NEW ORLEANS SAINTS for our NFL Thursday Primetime Punisher. Dallas is coming off a loss on Thanksgiving as it fell in overtime against the Raiders in a penalty filled game that could have gone either way. The Cowboys have lost two straight and three of their last four games and have seen their lead in the NFC East shrink to two games over Washington. Obviously this is a big game for Dallas but it is big for both sides and the public perception is still on the Dallas side despite a 1-3 ATS stretch that followed up a 7-0 run against the number to open the season. The offense is still ranked No. 1 in the league but the defense remains a liability as it is now No. 26 in the NFL and might have another tough time here against a quarterback that has seen limited action but gives them a whole different look. The Cowboys are 4-9 ATS in their last 13 games after allowing more than 30 points in their previous game. The Saints are also coming off a Thanksgiving loss as they were hammered by the Bills which prompted the quarterback change to Taysom Hill after a bad recent run. New Orleans is now 5-6 following four straight losses yet it is still alive in the Wild Card in the NFC with eight teams having five or six wins vying for a spot. As of this week, the Rams and 49ers are the favorites for the first two spots and the Saints in the lead for the third slot over Minnesota. The offense could get a boost with Alvin Kamara back in the lineup but it is the defense that needs to regroup after the Bils game and they should with a lot on the line. The Saints are 6-0 ATS in their last six games after scoring less than 15 points in their previous game. Here, we play against favorites averaging 4.5 or more rushing ypc, after being outrushed by 75 or more yards last game. This situation is 111-63 ATS (63.8 percent) since 1983. 10* (302) New Orleans Saints |
|||||||
12-02-21 | Bucks -3.5 v. Raptors | Top | 93-97 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 27 m | Show |
This is a play on the MILWAUKEE BUCKS for our NBA Thursday Enforcer. The Bucks have won eight straight games to move to into a tie for second place in the Eastern Conference. It took a while and it is hard to go against a team like this especially playing a struggling team. Milwaukee has moved up in all categories including on the road where it is now 7-4 and is in the top ten in both Effective Field Goal Percentage. The Bucks are 4-0 ATS in their last four games against teams with a losing straight up record. Toronto has struggled with three straight losses to fall to 9-13 and while the offense had a nice run, the Raptors have struggled with three straight games of going under 100 points in their last three straight games. The Raptors are 0-6 ATS in their last six home games against teams with a winning road record. Here, we play against home teams failing to cover 6 or 7 of their last 8 against the spread, a with a winning percentage between .400 and .499 playing a winning team. This situation is 55-26 ATS (67.9 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (559) Milwaukee Bucks |
|||||||
12-01-21 | Michigan v. North Carolina +2 | Top | 51-72 | Win | 100 | 13 h 31 m | Show |
This is a play on the NORTH CAROLINA TAR HEELS for our CBB Wednesday Enforcer. North Carolina opened the season 3-0 before suffering a pair of back-to-back losses against Purdue and Tennessee in the Basketball Hall of Fame Tip-Off Tournament. The Tar Heels bounced back with a victory against UNC-Asheville and now hosts Michigan in the Big Ten/ACC Challenge looking for its first cover of the season as they have gone 0-6 against the number. They have three starters back along with a mix of highly touted transfers to get them back in the mix in the ACC in the first season with head coach Hubert Davis after a couple subpar seasons. Through six games, they have five players averaging double-digits in scoring and three of those are grabbing 6.3 rpg or more which given them a big edge down low. North Carolina is 13-4 ATS in its last 17 home games after failing to cover the spread in four or more consecutive games. Michigan is in a transition year after winning the Big Ten Championship last season with a 14-3 record and advancing to the Elite Eight. The Wolverines brought back just two starters and it has been an uneven start at 4-2. An early loss to Seton Hall was not a bad defeat but a recent loss against Arizona by 18 points exposed a defense that can be vulnerable to good offenses and that is what it will be facing here. They are coming off a win over Tarleton St. which should have been a blowout but it was just by 11 points and now Michigan hits the highway for its first true road game of the season. The Wolverines are shooting just 66.9 percent from the free throw line which is No. 268 in the country. Michigan is 2-5 ATS in its last seven games as a favorite. Here, we play on home teams where the line is +3 to -3 that are outrebounding opponents by seven or more rebounds per game, after a game outrebounding their last opponent by 20 or more. This situation is 53-23 ATS (69.7 percent) since 1997. 10* (728) North Carolina Tar Heels |
|||||||
12-01-21 | 76ers +3 v. Celtics | Top | 87-88 | Win | 100 | 9 h 55 m | Show |
This is a play on the PHILADELPHIA 76ERS for our NBA Atlantic Division Game of the Month. Philadelphia is coming off a win over Orlando which is not saying much especially when it came by just five points against a team that is now 4-18 on the season. The Sixers are a game over .500 and are four games behind Brooklyn in the NBA Atlantic Division while sitting on the outside looking for the playoffs in the Eastern Conference. They have been dominant at home over the last few years but are just 5-5 this season on their floor and have actually been better on the road with a 6-5 record and will be looking to break their 0-4 divisional record tonight. Joel Embiid had a rough game against Orlando, going just 4-16 from the floor and had only 16 point following up a 41-point performance in his first game back after missing 11 days because of COVID. The Sixers are 5-2-1 ATS in their last eight games following a straight up win. Boston is coming off a win at Toronto which snapped a two-game slide and it is also 11-10 heading into tonight. The Celtics had won three straight prior to that and while it included a win over the Lakers, the other two came against Houston and Oklahoma City, which are a combined 10-30 on the season. The Celtics are seventh worst in Effective Field Goal Percentage at home and while their defense has always been a strength, they are on that same ranking at home and they could be without Jaylen Brown who is still listed as questionable for tonight. The Celtics are 8-19 ATS in their last 27 games following a straight up win of more than 10 points. Here, we play against home favorites off a win by 10 points or more over a division rival, with a winning percentage of between .450 and .500 on the season. This situation is 31-9 ATS (77.5 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (545) Philadelphia 76ers |
|||||||
11-30-21 | Pistons v. Blazers -9.5 | Top | 92-110 | Win | 100 | 12 h 11 m | Show |
This is a play on the PORTLAND TRAIL BLAZERS for our NBA Tuesday Enforcer. Home court has not been more important than any other team than Portland as the host has gone 19-2 in the Blazers 21 games this season. The Blazers are 9-1 at home and just finished a 0-3 roadtrip by losing to Utah by 22 points on Monday. The defense was once again atrocious as they allowed 124 ppg and they remain dead last in the NBA in Opponent Effective Field Goal Percentage on the road at 59.1 percent but that comes down to 52.0 percent at home where they allow 104.4 ppg which is a respectable No. 10 in the league. On offense, Portland is No. 3 in the NBA in Effective Field Goal Percentage at home and its True Shooting Percentage is also No. 3 in the league. The Blazers are 4-0-1 ATS in their last five games as a home favorite. Detroit is 4-16 and has dropped its last six games, including a 110-106 loss to the Lakers on Sunday. The Pistons are 2-8 both at home and on the road and the away numbers have been awful. They are third to last in both Effective and True Shooting Percentages on the road on offense while sitting fourth to last in both categories on defense. Detroit has covered the last two on the road but those were big lines and while this one is on the cusp, this is an awful spot with Portland heading back home after the blowout from last night. The Pistons are 6-15-1 ATS in their last 22 games following an ATS win. Here, we play on teams off three or more consecutive road losses, playing on back-to-back days. This situation is 30-9 ATS (76.9 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (538) Portland Trail Blazers |
|||||||
11-30-21 | Clemson v. Rutgers -1.5 | Top | 64-74 | Win | 100 | 13 h 1 m | Show |
This is a play on the RUTGERS SCARLET KNIGHTS for our CBB Tuesday Enforcer. After a 3-0 start to the season, Rutgers has dropped three straight games by a combined seven points. Two of those were on the road and while a home loss against Lafayette was inexcusable, it should provide some big motivation with this being its first home game since that defeat. The lass loss was especially tough as the Scarlet Knights blew a 15-point lead with under 10 minutes left and lost on a three-pointer at the buzzer by Massachusetts. Rutgers made it to the NCAA Tournament last season and won its first tournament game since 1983 and it happened to come against Clemson so while there is revenge for the Tigers, doing it on the road is a different story. Rutgers is 31-7 in its last 38 home games. The Tigers are 5-2 and coming off a blowout win over Charleston Southern to improve to 4-0 at home. They went 1-2 on a neutral floor at the Charleston Classic and this will be their first true road game of the season. Clemson leads the ACC and is third nationally in three-point shooting at 44.1 percent so the perimeter defense of Rutgers will be tested but should be fine as it is allowing just 30.3 percent from long range at home. One huge deficiency is that Clemson is shooting just 66.4 percent from the free throw line which is No. 281 in the country. Tigers are 0-7 ATS in their last seven road games against teams with a home winning percentage of greater than .600. Here, we play on home teams after two straight losses by three points or less going up against an opponent after scoring 85 points or more. This situation is 65-30 ATS (68.4 percent) since 1997. 10* (630) Rutgers Scarlet Knights |
|||||||
11-29-21 | Seahawks +1 v. Washington Football Team | Top | 15-17 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 24 m | Show |
This is a play on the SEATTLE SEAHAWKS for our NFL Monday Primetime Punisher. Seattle has lost two straight and five of its last six games but three of those came against three of the top four teams in the NFC and most of those were without Russell Wilson who is back for his third game and should be healthier. The Seahawks have scored just one touchdown since his return but they do face a defense that has struggled this season especially against the pass where they are ranked No. 30, allowing an average of 270 ypg. The Seahawks cannot afford another loss, as dropping to 3-8 would most certainly knock them out of any playoff hope. This offense is too good to be held down and the absence of Chase Young is a big one as the offensive line is in a better spot. Seattle is 15-5 ATS in its last 20 road games after allowing 375 or more total yards in two consecutive games. Washington finds itself on a two-game winning streak, including an upset of the defending Super Bowl champion Buccaneers. They had lost four straight prior to that and while they can build off this recent run, we are not sure which team to buy at this point. This line has been bet down considerably and the majority of the action remains on Washington as everyone is down on the Seahawks at this point. Quarterback Taylor Heinicke has been playing well but may be without two of his top receivers behind Terry McLaurin with Curtis Samuel and Adam Humphries listed as questionable. Heinicke had a passer rating of 84.3 in the first eight games of the season before catching fire but we are not sure if this is sustainable. Washington is 6-19 ATS in its last 25 home games after gaining 175 or more rushing yards last game. Here, we play on teams in the second half of the season averaging between 5.4 and 5.8 yppl and after being outgained by 100 or more total yards last game going up against teams allowing 5.8 or more yppl. This situation is 22-6 ATS (78.6 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (273) Seattle Seahawks |
|||||||
11-29-21 | Pacers v. Wolves -3 | Top | 98-100 | Loss | -102 | 9 h 44 m | Show |
This is a play on the MINNESOTA TIMBERWOLVES for our NBA Monday Supreme Annihilator. Minnesota is coming off a double overtime win at Philadelphia on Saturday and the Timberwolves have now won six of their last seven games to get back to .500 at 10-10 overall. They are now three games behind Utah in the NBA Northwest Division while sitting tied for seventh place in the Western Conference, two games out of fourth place. Minnesota is 6-6 at home yet has won four straight here following a three-game losing streak at the Target Center but those losses came against the Clippers twice and the red hot Suns. The Timberwolves are 5-0 ATS in their last five games as a favorite. The Pacers went 1-2 at home leading up to tonight, the most recent decision a 118-100 loss to Milwaukee on Sunday. They are coming off a win in their most recent road game at Chicago to snap a three-game losing streak on the highway and they are just 3-9 on the road this season. Indiana has struggled from long range all season as it is hitting at a clip of just 33.4 percent and the challenge will be difficult here as the Timberwolves are allowing an average of 31.9 percent from behind the arc which is third-best in the NBA. Indiana has failed to cover three of its four road games this season following a loss. Here, we play on home teams where the line is +3 to -3 after having won five or six of their last seven games, with a winning percentage of between .450 and .550 on the season. This situation is 49-20 ATS (71 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (518) Minnesota Timberwolves |
|||||||
11-29-21 | Iowa v. Virginia +2 | Top | 75-74 | Win | 100 | 9 h 18 m | Show |
This is a play on the VIRGINIA CAVALIERS for our CBB Monday Enforcer. Virginia opened the season with a stunning eight-point loss at home against Navy as a 15-point favorite and while a team from the ACC, especially with this pedigree, should never lose a game like that, it was a situation that was not overly surprising. The Cavaliers had another great season last year but they were bumped in the first round of the NCAA Tournament and brought back only one starter from 2020-21. After the Navy loss, Virginia did bounce back with a win but then were blown out by a very good Houston team. Since then, the Cavaliers have won four in a row including impressive wins over Georgia and Providence and they now seem to have the rhythm in play as it took a few game for new players to gel. The Cavaliers are 6-1 ATS in their last seven games as a home underdog. Iowa is off to a 6-0 start and while it too is dealing with a lot of attrition, notably losing one of the best players in program history in Luka Garza, it has had the benefit of playing a very easy schedule. All six wins were at home so this is the first road game for the Hawkeyes and they come in with a schedule ranking of No. 353 out of 358 teams so this is clearly their biggest challenge of the season. The Hawkeyes are just one of four remaining undefeated teams in the Big Ten but their counterparts have played more daunting schedules so the fact Iowa possesses the highest scoring in the nation is skewed based on who it has played and now faces a real defense. The Hawkeyes are 0-8 ATS in their last eight road games following three or more consecutive home games. Here, we play on teams after allowing 65 points or less in three straight games going up against an opponent after scoring 80 points or more in four straight games. This situation is 44-17 ATS (72.1 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (806) Virginia Cavaliers |
|||||||
11-28-21 | Fresno State +2.5 v. California | Top | 57-65 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 42 m | Show |
This is a play on the FRESNO ST. BULLDOGS for our CBB Sunday Enforcer. Fresno St. is off to a 5-0 start, its best mark to start a season since 2015-16, following what was rough year last season where it never got on track because of numerous stoppages. The Bulldogs have all five starters back and are picked to contend in the MWC after going 9-11 with one of the youngest teams in the country. The Bulldogs are led by center Orlando Robinson who is averaging 19.4 ppg and 9.4 rpg and has scored at least 16 points in every game. He is a big part of the reason they are +9.8 in rebounding margin which is one of the best in the country. Additionally, Fresno St. has assists on 39 of 62 field goals (62.9 percent) during its past three games. The Bulldogs are 5-1 ATS in their last six games as an underdog. California is coming off pair of losses in Fort Myers albeit against top 25 teams and they are in a tough matchup here once again. The Golden Bears averaged just 9.0 turnovers per game in their first three games, but have given it up 14.7 times over the past three games on average. After just three conference wins last season, they are again picked to finish last in the Pac 12. Here, we play on road teams where the line is +3 to -3 after allowing 55 points or less in two straight games, with two or more starters returning from last year than opponent. This situation is 48-21 ATS (69.6 percent) since 1997. 10* (733) Fresno St. Bulldogs |
|||||||
11-28-21 | Browns +3.5 v. Ravens | 10-16 | Loss | -101 | 55 h 9 m | Show | |
This is a play on the CLEVELAND BROWNS for our NFL Sunday Primetime Punisher. Cleveland is coming off another lackluster effort as it defeated winless Detroit by a field goal as a two-touchdown favorite after getting clobbered by the Patriots the previous week. This is the first of two straight games against the Ravens which are sandwich in-between its bye week and a win here puts the Browns right back in the race in the AFC North. They are now 6-5 and have actually played better than that record as they are ranked No. 12 in total offense and No. 4 in total defense and turnovers have been the issue and not from the offense. The defense has forced only 10 takeaways which is eighth fewest in the league. Injuries have also played a part but things are better and continue to do so. The Browns are 5-0 ATS in their last five road games against teams with a winning home record. The Ravens are coming off another close win although doing it without Lamar Jackson was a big accomplishment. He will be back this Sunday and the line has gone down considerably despite that and the public is lining up on Baltimore. Of their seven wins, five have come by three points or less or in overtime which certainly explains their +17 point differential which is the fewest margin of any divisional leader in the NFL. The Ravens have been outgained in three of their last four games and we are going to see a lot of blind bets here based on name and public perception and we are still catching an underdog in a divisional game getting a good number. The Ravens are 2-6 ATS in their last eight games following a straight up win. Here, we play against home favorites of 3.5 to 10 points in the second half of the season in a game involving two teams with a point differential between + and - 3 ppg, after allowing three points or less in the first half last game. This situation is 40-11 ATS (78.4 percent) since 1983. 9* (271) Cleveland Browns |
|||||||
11-28-21 | Eagles v. Giants +3.5 | Top | 7-13 | Win | 100 | 48 h 17 m | Show |
This is a play on the NEW YORK GIANTS for our NFC East Game of the Year. The Eagles have won their last two games and coupled with the Dallas loss on Thursday, they are now just two games behind the Cowboys in the NFC East. They hit the road where they are 4-2 on the season which is the best road record in the NFL besides the three top teams in the NFC West which have killed it on the highway. Philadelphia continues to run the ball effectively as it has outgained its last five opponents on the ground while putting up an average of 201 ypg over that stretch. Despite the recent road success, the Eagles have struggled in the first of consecutive road games and going back Philadelphia is 9-23 ATS in its last 32 road games in the second half of the season against teams who give up 24 or more ppg. New York is coming off a forgettable game in Tampa Bay which led to the firing of offensive coordinator Jason Garrett and a new look, even though it is Freddie Kitchens, could provide a needed spark. The Eagles defense has been below average as they are allowing 23.6 ppg so New York can be effective with the offense remaining healthy. On the other side, The Giants rushing defense has been adequate and they are coming off a good game where they allowed only 94 yards against Tampa on just 3.5 ypc and it was a game where the Buccaneers ran the ball than normal. The Giants are 4-0 ATS in their last four games after scoring less than 15 points in their previous game. Here, we play against favorites of 3.5 to 10 points with a winning percentage between .400 and .499 after having won two out of their last three games, a playing a team with a winning percentage between .250 and .400. This situation is 33-8 ATS (80.5 percent) since 1983. 10* (256) New York Giants |
|||||||
11-28-21 | Steelers +4 v. Bengals | 10-41 | Loss | -110 | 48 h 0 m | Show | |
This is a play on the PITTSBURGH STEELERS for our NFL Sunday Enforcer. The Steelers nearly pulled off the upset last week in Los Angeles but allowed a 53-yard touchdown with just over two minutes left in what was one of the wildest fourth quarters we have seen in a while. Pittsburgh is now 5-4-1 and are two games behind Baltimore in the win column making this a big divisional game with a game against the Ravens on deck so it cannot ill afford a lookahead. Considering a 24-10 home loss to the Bengals in September, they will not be looking past this one. Ben Roethlisberger went 28-44 for 273 yards and three touchdowns last week and while he is listed as questionable with a pectoral injury, all signs point to him taking the field. Pittsburgh 10-1 ATS in its last 11 road games revenging a loss against opponent by 14 points or more. The Bengals came out slow last week in Las Vegas but put up 19 points in the fourth quarter to win by that same amount despite putting up just 288 yards of total offense. Cincinnati has lost two straight games at home prior to its bye week and it has been all over the place, getting outgained in half of its games while winning the yardage battle by more than 79 yards only twice when it has done so. After defeating Pittsburgh in the first meeting, a win over Baltimore was a solid one but two other wins came against Jacksonville and Detroit while the Bengals also lost to the Jets. They just have not been good over the last three games, allowing 88 points and that does not bide well here. The Bengals are 1-5 ATS in their last six games following a straight up win. Here, we play on road underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points revenging a home loss against opponent, off a cover where the team lost as an underdog. This situation is 54-23 ATS (70.1 percent) since 1983. 9* (263) Pittsburgh Steelers |
|||||||
11-27-21 | Tulane v. Memphis -5.5 | 28-33 | Loss | -110 | 75 h 60 m | Show | |
This is a play on the MEMPHIS TIGERS for our CFB Saturday Enforcer. Memphis has lost three of its last four games making this a must win to become bowl eligible as it is 5-6 heading into the season finale. Those three losses came against Houston, East Carolina and UDF which are a combined 24-9 so none of those were bad losses but it does put the Tigers in a spot they should not even be in. They started the season 3-0 so it has been a bit of a falloff but they have their home finale where they are 4-2 on the season that includes a win over Mississippi St. The losses came against East Carolina, which is 7-4, by a point and Texas-San Antonio by three points as time expired and those Roadrunners are a perfect 11-0 heading into the final week. The offense rolls here. The Tigers are 6-2 ATS in their last eight home games. Tulane is going nowhere with just two wins on the card and the Green Wave are basically coming off their bowl game as it was their final home contest and they snapped an eight-game game losing streak with a 31-point blowout against South Florida. The Bulls are 2-9 and that win was the first one over an opponent from the FBS as the other victory came against Morgan St. of the FCS. The defense of Tulane has actually been pretty decent in two of the last three games but it is still ranked No. 102 overall and No. 116 in scoring. The Tigers have the No. 18 passing offense in the country and should be able to toss it around all day. While the Tulane defense is bad overall, it is worse on the road, allowing 529.2 ypg while getting outscored by 20 ppg. The Green Wave are 2-8 ATS in their last 10 games following a straight up win of more than 20 points. 9* (218) Memphis Tigers |
|||||||
11-27-21 | Penn State v. Michigan State | Top | 27-30 | Win | 100 | 121 h 7 m | Show |
This is a play on the MICHIGAN ST. SPARTANS for our CFB Game of the Year. Michigan St. is coming off an absolute disaster of a game as it went to Columbus and got shellacked by Ohio St. 56-7. The Spartans allowed 655 total yards and 36 first downs while getting outgained by a total of 431 total yards. This game was over a minute into the second quarter as Ohio St. built a 28-0 lead and it scored a touchdown on its first seven possessions. The Spartans can either carry that over or be highly motivated to bounce back and we are expecting the latter after the embarrassment this past Saturday. Despite the effort, the Michigan St. offense has improved by over 14 ppg and the defense has improved by close to 10 ppg from the 2-5 record from last season. While a bowl game was out of the question last season when these teams met in the season finale, Michigan St. will be out for revenge after blowing a 21-10 lead at halftime, getting outscored 29-3 in the second half in the 39-24 defeat. The Spartans are 5-0-2 ATS in their last seven games after allowing more than 450 total yards in their previous game. Penn St. had lost three of four games and then recorded its best defensive effort of the season as it shut out Rutgers while giving up only 160 total yards, 67 yards on the ground and 93 yards through the air while allowing just 10 first downs. That was the Nittany Lions final home game of the season and now they hit the road where they are 2-2 on the season. Penn St. is getting outgained 387-359 away from home and the big problem has been the running game as it has averaged only 71 ypg on 2.5 ypc on offense. The Nittany Lions are dealing with the flu going through the roster which could have an effect going into the final regular season game. There is not a ton at stake for Penn St., which at this point is likely headed to either the Music City Bowl, Las Vegas Bowl or the Pinstripe Bowl, certainly not what it was looking for when it opened the season 5-0. Penn St. is 8-25 ATS in its last 33 road games after allowing nine points or less last game. 10* (224) Michigan St. Spartans |
|||||||
11-27-21 | Wake Forest -4.5 v. Boston College | 41-10 | Win | 100 | 67 h 15 m | Show | |
This is a play on the WAKE FOREST DEMON DEACONS for our CFB Saturday Afternoon Dominator. Wake Forest opened the season 8-0 and were a top 10 ranked team before a tough loss at North Carolina shattered any sort of CFP dreams. The Demon Deacons bounced back with an impressive win over NC State before hitting a buzzsaw at Clemson last week. The Tigers offense was pretty much non-existent for most of the season yet put up 543 yards on Saturday but Wake Forest does not have to worry about that here. There is still plenty of motivation though as Wake Forest can still clinch the ACC Atlantic Division with a win over Boston College and get into the ACC Championship game against Pittsburgh. The Eagles were able to gain bowl eligibility with a pair of wins over Georgia Tech and Virgnia Tech and came up just short against Florida St. last week as they nearly rallied from a 26-3 deficit. This is the fifth straight season that the Eagles have registered six win so it will not be easy for Wake Forest but has factors going its way. The Boston College program has been up and down recently and it has struggled against the better teams as the last win for the Eagles against an AP Top 25 team was a 37-31 victory over USC back in 2014 and it has lost 23 consecutive game since then. The Eagles are dealing with a flu outbreak, as a reported 15 players have been hit by the virus according to head coach Jeff Hafley. Here, we play on road conference favorites of 3.5 to 10 points that are averaging between 140 and 190 rushing ypg going up against teams allowing between 140 and 190 rushing ypg. this situation is 40-16 ATS (71.4 percent) over the last five seasons. 9* (161) Wake Forest Demon Deacons |
|||||||
11-26-21 | Oregon State +4 v. Wake Forest | Top | 77-80 | Win | 100 | 15 h 55 m | Show |
This is a play on the OREGON ST. BEAVERS for our CBB Game of the Week. If this line were posted at the beginning of the season, it would be flipped and the Beavers could be favored even more than that but early season records are altering the number. Oregon St. is off to a disappointing 1-4 start and it is not hard to forget that the Beavers were an Elite Eight team last season. They finished 20-13 so they were no juggernaut and because of that, they tend to be forgotten. The Beavers are expected to be better this season despite the loss of leading scorer Ethan Thompson as the backcourt of Jarod Lucas and Gianni Hunt has the potential to be one of the best in the conference and with Warith Alatishe down low, this is a solid team despite the early season struggles. They have failed to cover any game and are coming off a pair of one-point losses but with four days in-between games, this is a new start. The Beavers are 11-4 ATS in their last 15 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record. Wake Forest is 5-0 and yet to leave its home floor until now. The five victories are one short of their season total from all of last season and turnaround is skewed for sure. The best teams they Demon Deacons have played is maybe William & Mary based on it was the lowest spread in all games and they have been favored by at least 15 points in all five games. Through yesterday, they have played the No. 358 ranked schedule in the country and putting this in perspective, there are 358 Division I teams. While the confidence might be there, the step up in competition is a bigger factor and Wake Forest will have it hand full for the first time this season. 10* (875) Oregon St. Beavers |
|||||||
11-26-21 | Suns v. Knicks +3 | Top | 118-97 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 8 m | Show |
This is a play on the NEW YORK KNICKS for our NBA Friday Enforcer. The Suns are coming off a win at Cleveland on Wednesday pushing their winning streak to 14 straight games and they still trail the Warriors by a game in the NBA Pacific Division. They improved to 7-1 on the road with the victory over the Cavaliers and while this streak is impressive, they have not exactly dominated, going 1-5 ATS over their last six games and with a pretty low number here, the public is riding Phoenix yet again. Phoenix has been one of the most surprising teams going back to last season while making a trip to the NBA Finals and this will be a tough spot as they have a game at Brooklyn tomorrow, the top team in the Eastern Conference. The Suns are 2-7 ATS in their last nine games against teams with a winning straight up record. The Knicks defeated the Lakers last time out and while they have been somewhat inconsistent after a red hot start, a couple days off following the Los Angeles win is a benefit as they have following up their last five wins with losses. New York is 3.5 games out of first place in the conference and a win here would be big with a pair of road games upcoming against the Hawks and Nets. The Knicks are 17-8-1 ATS in their last 26 games against teams with a winning % above .600. Here, we play against road teams with a winning percentage of .750 or better where the line is +3 to -3 after three or more consecutive wins, a playing teams with a winning percentage between .501 and .600. This situation is 63-30 ATS (67.7 percent) since 1996. 10* (540) New York Knicks |
|||||||
11-26-21 | Missouri v. Arkansas -14.5 | Top | 17-34 | Win | 100 | 71 h 10 m | Show |
this is a play on the ARKANSAS RAZORBACKS for our CFB Friday Game of the Month. Arkansas is coming off a tough loss against Alabama as it fell by a touchdown and at 7-4 it will be looking for its most regular season wins since 2011. The Razorbacks have already matched their win total from the three previous years combined and will be playing their first bowl game since 2016. Three of the Razorbacks four losses have come against ranked teams (Alabama, Georgia, Ole Miss) and the other came against Auburn, its only home loss of the season. Arkansas has a strong offense that is ranked No. 29 overall including No. 14 in rushing offense, averaging 222.7 ypg on the ground and it will be able to take advantage in this matchup. Arkansas is 13-4 ATS in its last 17 games after allowing more than 450 total yards in their previous game. The Tigers are coming off a one-point victory over Florida in overtime which got Missouri bowl eligible and it has now posted at least a .500 record in five straight years. They have won two straight games but both of those came at home and the Tigers are just 1-3 on the road with the only win on the highway being a 37-28 victory at Vanderbilt which enters this week with a 2-9 record. Despite the winning record, the Tigers are ranked next-to-last in the SEC in scoring defense; allowing 34.7 ppg which is only ahead of the Commodores. The biggest weakness for Missouri is the rushing defense that is dead last in the conference, which as mentioned, is the Arkansas strength on offense. The Tigers are 2-8 ATS in their last 10 games against teams with a winning record. Here, we play on conference favorites of 10.5 to 21 points in the first half of the season that are averaging between 190 and 230 rushing ypg going up against teams allowing between 140 and 190 rushing ypg. This situation is 25-6 ATS (80.6 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (132) Arkansas Razorbacks |
|||||||
11-26-21 | Cincinnati v. East Carolina +14 | 35-13 | Loss | -108 | 71 h 35 m | Show | |
This is a play on the EAST CAROLINA PIRATES for our CFB Friday Enforcer. There is a lot on the line for Cincinnati as a win for the Bearcats and a victory in the AAC Championship and they likely punch their ticket into the final four spots in the CFP. They are coming off an impressive win over SMU which pumped up the resume but they remain overpriced as they failed to cover their previous four games. While those spreads were all over three touchdowns, they all came against teams with losing records and while the number is less here, this is a dangerous spot. Overall, the Cincinnati schedule has been tame as it is ranked No. 94 in the country which is the lowest of any team ranked in the top 30 of the latest power rankings. The defense has been one of the best in the country but they face an offense that is playing at a high level. The Bearcats are 2-6 ATS in their last eight games as a road favorite. East Carolina comes in with a 7-4 record including 5-2 in the AAC and this is one of the biggest home games in a long time. The Pirates have won four straight games and prior to that, while they were just 3-3, the three losses were by 14 combined points and they were against South Carolina, UCF and Houston which are a combined 23-10. East Carolina has outgained seven straight opponents and that includes the games against Houston and UCF and both of those were on the road. East Carolina is 4-1 at home and while this will be the biggest test of the season, there is no pressure as the Pirates are locked into a bowl game for the first time since 2014. East Carolina is 8-1 ATS in its last nine games when playing against a team with a winning record. Here, we play on home teams after three or more consecutive straight up wins going up against an opponent after five or more consecutive straight up wins. This situation is 30-7 ATS (81.1 percent) over the last five seasons. 9* (156) East Carolina Pirates |
|||||||
11-26-21 | Kansas State +3 v. Texas | 17-22 | Loss | -105 | 67 h 21 m | Show | |
This is a play on the KANSAS ST. WILDCATS for our CFB Friday Afternoon Dominator. We played against Texas last week as it has now lost six straight games after a 4-1 start and no bowl is in the future for the Longhorns. This is its longest losing streak since 1955 and that includes a loss against Kansas two weeks ago, which had not won a Big XII road game since 2008. The losing streak started against Oklahoma where the Longhorns blew a huge lead and they clearly have not recovered. There is no motivation for this team right now and while it is the last home game, with a 12:00 game, this place will not be overly energized. The defense has been atrocious as Texas has allowed 39.3 ppg during this losing skid and overall, the Longhorns are ranked No. 107 in total defense and No. 105 in scoring defense. The Longhorns have failed to cover any of the six games during this losing streak. Kansas St. had won four straight games with a potent offense that put up 31.3 ppg but managed only 10 points last week in a 20-10 home loss against Baylor. The Wildcats gained only 263 total yards which was their lowest since a game against Oklahoma St. back in September and the Cowboys own the No. 3 total defense in the nation. The offense has been up and down but should have success against the Longhorns and it is the other side of the ball that should flourish. Heading into the final game of the regular season, the Wildcats are No. 3 in the conference in scoring defense, No. 2 in rushing defense, No. 5 in passing defense, and No. 3 in total defense. The Wildcats are 9-3 ATS in their last 12 games after accumulating less than 275 total yards in their previous game. Here, we play against teams where the line is +3 to -3 that are averaging 35 or more ppg, after allowing 31 points or more in two straight games. This situation is 60-28 ATS (68.2 percent) over the last 10 seasons. 9* (121) Kansas St. Wildcats |
|||||||
11-25-21 | Bills -4 v. Saints | Top | 31-6 | Win | 100 | 75 h 40 m | Show |
This is a play on the BUFFALO BILLS for our NFL Thursday Primetime Punisher. Buffalo got manhandled at home against the Colts for its second loss in three games as Jonathan Taylor went off by rushing for 185 yards and scoring five touchdowns. The Bills are now in second place in the AFC East, a half-game behind the Patriots with a home game against New England on deck so there is definitely a sense of urgency to bounce back from that loss. The 26-point defeat was bit deceiving as mistakes killed Buffalo as it lost the turnover margin 4-0 and that is not recoverable. Buffalo still is near the top of the league on both sides of the ball as it averages 391.7 ypg on offense and allows 283.7 ypg on defense., No. 5 and No. 1 in the NFL respectively. Buffalo is 21-8 ATS in its last 29 road games after allowing 35 points or more last game while going 9-1-1 ATS in their last 11 games following a straight up loss of more than 14 points. New Orleans has now suffered three straight losses to fall to 5-5 and it recent surge up the playoff ladder has taken a big step back. The normally strong rushing defense was gashed for 242 against the Eagles and they have a better matchup here but the Saints will have trouble slowing down the Buffalo passing game especially with Josh Allen coming off a rough game in some poor weather. The injury list is a long one for New Orleans and Trevor Siemian has struggled for the most part and shows he has trouble leading this offense with a passer rating of 88.9 while completing only 56.9 percent of his passes. A return home would seem to be an edge but the Saints are just 1-2 in the dome this season. New Orleans is 3-7 ATS in its last 10 home games against teams with a winning road record. Here, we play against underdogs or pickems after going over the total by 35 or more points total in their last three games. This situation is 45-13 ATS (77.6 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (109) Buffalo Bills |
|||||||
11-25-21 | Ole Miss +1.5 v. Mississippi State | Top | 31-21 | Win | 100 | 54 h 28 m | Show |
This is a play on the MISSISSIPPI REBELS for our CFB Thursday Star Attraction. Mississippi has won three straight games to improve to 9-2 on the season and with a win here, the Rebels will post the highest regular-season win total in school history. They are coming off a lackluster effort against Vanderbilt but they were just going through the motions looking forward to this game. They have the best player on the field in quarterback Matt Corral who is 233-345 for 3,100 yards passing and 19 touchdowns with just three interceptions while rushing for another 10 touchdowns and he has become a Heisman candidate. It is just not about the passing however as Mississippi has rushed for 231.1 ypg, and have had six games of more than 250 yards including four in the SEC. The Rebels are 4-0 ATS in their last four games after allowing more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game. Mississippi St. has won four of its last five games to become bowl eligible for the 12th straight season although last season comes with an asterisk as the Bulldogs were 4-6 but with COVID, they were able to get into the Armed Forces Bowl because of a lack of teams. The Bulldogs have a solid quarterback of their own as Will Rogers has averaged 390 ypg over his last four games but he has a tough test here. Mississippi has given up an average of 259 ypg through the air in SEC games and has only allowed more than 300 yards just once this season. In a Mike Leach offense, the Bulldogs passing game is no surprise but they could use some balance here yet that is unlikely. Mississippi St. had just its second 100-yard game on the ground last week but that was against Tennessee Tech of the FCS. Here, we play on teams where the line is +3 to -3 averaging 8.3 or more passing ypa after allowing 5.5 or less passing ypa last game going up against teams allowing between 6.4 and 7.5 passing ypa. This situation is 33-11 ATS (75 percent) over the last 10 seasons. 10* (111) Mississippi Rebels |
|||||||
11-25-21 | Raiders v. Cowboys -7 | 36-33 | Loss | -110 | 71 h 4 m | Show | |
This is a play on the DALLAS COWBOYS for our NFL Thursday Enforcer. Dallas is coming off a loss against Kansas City, its second loss in three games to fall to 7-3 on the season and with the Eagles win on Sunday, its lead in the NFC East is 2.5 games so this is an important game for the Cowboys with three straight road games on deck. The Dallas offense is still No. 1 in the NFL despite putting up 276 and 290 yards in those two losses and prior to that, it had gained at least 419 total yards in six of seven games. The defense shut down Atlanta two games back while holding the Chiefs to just 19 points on Sunday and overall, the Cowboys are No. 8 in the NFL in scoring defense. They have been opportunistic with 19 takeaways which is tied for fourth in the league and they are No. 7 in turnover margin. The Cowboys are 4-0 ATS in their last four games following a straight up loss. The Raiders have dropped three straight games and are 2-5 over their last seven games following a 3-0 start. All of the distractions off the field are affecting the play on the field and of those five losses, four have come by at least 11 points and by an average of 15.2 ppg. The problem has mainly been the offense as Las Vegas has scored 16 points or less in the five defeats as the unbalanced offense has been a real concern. While the Raiders have played well at times on the defensive, they give up 26.2 ppg which is No. 25 in the league. This team has headed in the wrong direction and playing on a short week with travel involved is far from the ideal situation to get things turned back around. The Raiders are 2-9 ATS in their last 11 games after allowing more than 30 points in their previous game. Here, we play against underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points averaging between 70 and 95 rushing ypg after gaining 99 or less rushing yards in two straight games going up against teams allowing between 95 and 125 rushing ypg. This situation is 49-19 ATS (72.1 percent) over the last 10 seasons. 9* (108) Dallas Cowboys |
|||||||
11-24-21 | Heat +1.5 v. Wolves | Top | 101-113 | Loss | -105 | 10 h 33 m | Show |
This is a play on the MIAMI HEAT for our NBA Wednesday Enforcer. We won with Minnesota on Monday as it took care of New Orleans, jumping out to a 26-point lead and never looking back but things get tougher here at home. Part of the reason we played the Timberwolves was because of their success against the poor teams in the league and after that victory Minnesota is 1-6 against the top 16 in the league while now 7-3 against teams below that. Minnesota has won four straight games to move a game under .500 and this includes a 5-6 record at home. The Timberwolves are 6-13-2 ATS in their last 21 games following a straight up win of more than 10 points. Miami is coming off a win over Detroit last night and it has now won five of its last six games to keep its lead in the Southeast Division lead by a half-game over Washington. The Heat defense has picked things up after a bit of a lull as they have allowed fewer than 100 points in four of their last five games and are now allowing 101.8 ppg overall which is second best in the NBA. They are ninth in the league in Opponent Effective Field Goal Percentage and this is easily the best defense that the Timberwolves have faced over this recent winning streak. Playing on a back-to-back has been no issue for Miami as the Heat are 7-0 ATS in their last seven games playing on no rest. Here, we play against home underdogs off a road win by 10 points or more going up against an opponent off a road win. This situation is 24-5 ATS (82.8 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (523) Miami Heat |
|||||||
11-24-21 | Connecticut v. Auburn +3.5 | Top | 115-109 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 45 m | Show |
11-23-21 | Oregon -2 v. St. Mary's | Top | 50-62 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 29 m | Show |
This is a play on the OREGON DUCKS for our CBB Tuesday Enforcer. Oregon got a good draw in the first round of the Maui Invitational, that is actually being played in Las Vegas, as it faced Division II Chaminade and it was a much needed 73-49 blowout which came after a disastrous performance against BYU as it got hammered 81-49, shooting 32.1 percent and getting outrebounded 33-22. The Ducks step up in competition here but should be ready for the challenge. Strong defensive play and teamwork were the stories in the second half, with the Ducks shooting 61 percent on 14 assists while holding Chaminade to 34.6 percent. The offensive numbers overall dipped because of that game against the Cougars but this is a balanced team with four double-digit scorers and eight players averaging at least 10 minutes per game. The Ducks are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games following a straight up win. St. Mary's snuck by Notre Dame in a three-point win to improve to 5-0 on the season with the other four wins coming against nobody of significance. The Irish had their chances as the game remained close over the last five minutes but they failed to make a single field goal over the final 3:29 of the game to let the Gaels escape. They will have a tough challenge here with the potent Oregon backcourt and that is where these games can be decided. This is an experienced team but even playing some poor teams, the offense has not produced as the Gaels are No. 198 in scoring and No. 137 in shooting offense. The Gaels are 0-4 ATS in their last four games following an ATS win. 10* (657) Oregon Ducks |
|||||||
11-23-21 | Buffalo v. Ball State -6.5 | Top | 3-20 | Win | 100 | 9 h 54 m | Show |
This is a play on the BALL ST. CARDINALS for our XFB Tuesday Enforcer. The Cardinals are coming off a disappointing performance last week against Central Michigan as they had a chance to grab their sixth win of the season on their home field but lost by 20 points. Hope is not lost however as Ball St. is still vying for its second straight bowl bid with a win tonight to improve to 6-6 and it can make every team in the MAC West Bowl eligible. It is Senior Night and a big one at that as The Cardinals have 10 All-MAC selections from last season will be playing their final home game with a lot on the line. This group helped to win the MAC Championship last season and go to a bowl game for the first time since 2013 and they want a repeat of a bowl game before they move on. The passing game will be important for the Cardinals against a suspect Bulls passing defense as they are 3-1 when passing for more than 200 yards, the only exception being a seven-point loss to Miami. The Bulls had their chances as they were 4-4 through eight games and had a golden opportunity to add to that but lost at home to 3-8 Bowling Green by 12 points as a 13.5-point favorite then got hammered at Miami. They did their best to keep the six-win goal alive last week but fell in overtime to Northern Illinois and Buffalo was eliminated from bowl contention and clinched its first losing season since 2016. There may be motivation from losing the MAC Championship last season to the Cardinals but the recent rough stretch will have the Bulls in a tough spot here. Buffalo has struggled in this spot this season as they are 0-3 on the road when getting points, getting outscored by an average of 20.7 ppg. The Bulls are 0-6 ATS in their last six games after accumulating more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game. 10* (102) Ball St. Cardinals |
|||||||
11-23-21 | Toledo -1.5 v. Tulane | 68-67 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 27 m | Show | |
This is a play on the TOLEDO ROCKETS for our CBB Tuesday Afternoon Dominator. Toledo improved to 3-1 with a 98-86 win over Charlotte on Monday in Nassau as it shot 58.9 percent from the floor including going 7-15 from long range and making 25 of 31 free throws. Setric Millner, Jr. scored a career high 27 points and he is one of four Toledo players averaging double-digits in scoring. The Rockets went 21-9 last season including a 15-4 record in the conference to win the MAC Regular Season Championship. The hot three-point shooting from Monday should be no surprise as Toledo finished third in the country in three-pointers while finishing No. 37 in three-point shooting percentage at 37.2 percent. Through four games this season, the Rockets are No. 44 in free throw percentage at 77 percent. The Rockets are 14-6-1 ATS in their last 21 games following a ATS win. Tulane is 2-2 following an overtime win over Drexel and it got the cover by a point. The Green Wave struggled on defense once again as they allowed 47.7 percent shooting and on the season, they are No. 305 in shooting defense and No. 289 in scoring defense. The Green Wave did play Florida St. tough earlier in the season, they do have a loss against Southern University as 12.5-point favorites and narrowly defeated Southeastern Louisiana by three points. While Toledo has been solid from the stripe, Tulane is hitting just 65.8 percent from the free throw line which is way down the line at 65.8 percent. The Green Wave are 2-5 ATS in their last seven games following a straight up win. 9* (633) Toledo Rockets |
|||||||
11-22-21 | Providence +2.5 v. Northwestern | Top | 77-72 | Win | 100 | 13 h 34 m | Show |
This is a play on the PROVIDENCE FRIARS for our CBB Monday Enforcer. Providence is coming off a 69-58 win over New Hampshire on Thursday to improve to 4-0 on the season. Three wins have come against some overmatched teams but the Friars so own a solid quality victory over Wisconsin on the road. They went 13-13 last season including 9-10 in the Big East Conference and they should be much improved this season. Providence is loaded with experience as they not only return four starters from last season and the top six players have combined for 558 games played. The Friars are led by super senior center Nate Watson who is averaging 19.3 ppg and 6.5 rpg and he is a tough matchup for any team especially the Wildcats who have not faced a team as physical as Providence. The Friars are 4-0 ATS in their last four games following an ATS loss. Northwestern is also 4-0 and has won each game by at least 16 points. However, those games were against Eastern Illinois, High Point, New Orleans and Fairleigh Dickenson, all from smaller conferences. The Wildcats do bring back experience as well but are down a starting guard as Chase Audige, who averaged 12.3 ppg last season has yet to take the court. Forward Pete Nance leads the team with 18 ppg and 8.5 rpg while guard Boo Buie has provided solid backcourt play with the absence of Audige as he is averaging 15 ppg and 6.8 apg. This has come against a schedule ranked No. 352 in the country so the real test starts now. The Wildcats are 3-8 ATS in their last 11 games against teams with a winning percentage above .600. Here, we play on teams after allowing 65 points or less in three straight games going up against an opponent after scoring 80 points or more in four straight games. This situation is 39-14 ATS (73.6 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (873) Providence Friars |
|||||||
11-22-21 | Giants +11.5 v. Bucs | Top | 10-30 | Loss | -117 | 13 h 59 m | Show |
This is a play on the NEW YORK GIANTS for our NFL Monday Primetime Punisher. After a pair of bad losses, the public will be backing the Buccaneers on Monday night despite laying a huge number. Tampa Bay is coming off losses against Washington and New Orleans sandwiched around its bye week to drop its record to 6-3 on the season and with the Saints loss Sunday, the Buccaneers have a game and a half lead in the NFC South. They have struggled with inconsistency on offense and that is because of players being in and out of the lineup due to injuries. Tight end Rob Gronkowski and wide receiver Chris Godwin are both questionable and not at 100 percent should they play. On the other side, the Tampa Bay defense allowed 16 first-half points in each of the last two weeks and defensive lineman Vita Vea is doubtful. The Buccaneers are 2-5 ATS in their last seven games as a favorite. The Giants are coming off their bye week following wins in two of their last three games to improve to 3-6 following a 0-3 start. Three of those six losses have been by three points or less and while the defense was shredded by the Cowboys and Rams in back-to-back games, they have allowed just 13 ppg over this recent three-game stretch and New York has allowed 21 points or fewer in five of its last seven games. The Giants have allowed only allowed three touchdowns in 13 red zone drives. While keeping up in a shootout would be unlikely, the New York offense is getting healthier. Running back Saquon Barkley was officially listed as questionable for the game after practicing all week. Additionally, wide receivers Kenny Golladay and Kadarius Toney were not listed on the injury report. The Giants are 20-6 ATS in their last 26 games as a road underdog. Here, we play on road teams in the second half of the season with a winning percentage between .250 and .400 off a home win. This situation is 46-19 ATS (70.8 percent) over the last 10 seasons. 10* (477) New York Giants |
|||||||
11-22-21 | Wolves -3 v. Pelicans | Top | 110-96 | Win | 100 | 8 h 16 m | Show |
This is a play on the MINNESOTA TIMBERWOLVES for our NBA Monday Enforcer. Minnesota has won three straight games while covering its last four and now it is two games under .500 on the season. The Timberwolves are 2-3 on the road with the losses coming against the Grizzlies, Warriors and Clippers and the two wins coming against the Bucks and Lakers which are all .500 or better so the road schedule has been a tough one. They are averaging 110 ppg on the highway and come into this one playing well on offense, averaging 120 ppg during their three-game winning streak. Overall, Minnesota is 1-6 against the top 16 in the league but 6-3 against teams below that. The Timberwolves are 4-0 ATS in their last four games as a road favorite. New Orleans is coming off a 17-point loss at Indiana on Saturday to fall to 3-15 on the season. The Pelicans have won two straight games at home after a 0-6 start with the defense allowing 108.1 ppg which is ninth most in the league. Overall, they are No. 26 in Opponent Effective Field Goal Percentage including No. 23 at home. Unlike the Timberwolves, New Orleans has struggled of late on offense as it is averaging just 95.3 ppg over its last three games and has failed to hit 100 points in any of those three games. Going back further, the Pelicans has scored 100 or fewer points in eight of their last 10 games. The Pelicans are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games as an underdog. Here, we play on favorites with a winning percentage between .400 and .499 after one or more consecutive wins, playing a team with a winning percentage of .250 or worse. This situation is 40-14 (74.1 percentage) over the last five seasons. 10* (571) Minnesota Timberwolves |
|||||||
11-21-21 | Colorado State -2.5 v. Creighton | Top | 95-81 | Win | 100 | 8 h 1 m | Show |
This is a play on the COLORADO ST. RAMS for our CBB Sunday Enforcer. Colorado St. defeated Bradley in the first round of the Paradise Jam as it was led by senior David Roddy, the Preseason MWC Player of the Year, who poured 30 points on 10-14 shooting. The other First Team All-MWC selection Isaiah Stevens had a rough game as he was just 2-12 from the floor and scored a season low five points after coming in averaging 17.3 ppg in his first three games. The Rams ended the 2020-21 season in the NIT, advancing to the final four and finishing 20-8 overall record, including 14-4 in the MWC and are picked to win the conference behind five returning starters and nine letterwinners in total. There is a ton of motivation on this team that was left out of the NCAA Tournament and a win here would be a start to bump up the nonconference resume. Colorado St. has six opponents and two other possible opponents that played in the postseason in 2020-21. The Blue Jays are also 4-0 following a win over Brown on Friday. They made a trip to the Sweet 16 last season but there is a ton of turnover as this is a young team that has to replace all five starters. The Bluejays like to play at a faster pace and with that has comes some early season mistakes as Creighton has averaged 16.5 turnovers per game including 17 against Brown. As mentioned in that preview, Creighton struggles at the free throw line as it is hitting just 57.4 percent from the stripe which is No. 352 in the country. Here, we play on favorites in a game involving two teams that had winning records last season, with all five starters returning from last year in the first five games of the season. This situation is 191-122 (61 percent) since 1997. 10* (759) Colorado St. Rams |
|||||||
11-21-21 | Cowboys +2.5 v. Chiefs | 9-19 | Loss | -102 | 46 h 28 m | Show | |
This is a play on the DALLAS COWBOYS for our NFL Sunday Star Attraction. Dallas righted the ship last week as expected as it blew out the Falcons 43-3 after the Denver debacle so there was clearly no lookahead to this game. While it was an inferior opponent, the Cowboys needed that convincing win heading into a tough place. They have a 3.5-game lead in the NFC East and can basically wrap it up this week as the remaining schedule is fairly easy with four division games against inferior competition and two non-divisional tougher games are at home against Las Vegas and Arizona. Dallas is ranked No. 1 in total offense and scoring offense and while the total defense is middle of the pack, the Cowboys thrive on takeaways and the scoring defense shows that as they are ranked No. 10. Dallas is 7-0 ATS in its last seven games in the second half of the season against teams allowing 24 or more ppg. Kansas City looks like it may have righted the ship as well with a convincing win over the Raiders but unlike the Cowboys, this is just a one-game sample as they have a lot of progress to make still. Surprisingly, the Chiefs have been more consistent on the road than they are at home where they are 3-2 but those three wins have come by just 13 total points and have been outgained in two of those victories. The defense has played well over the last three games but one of those came against the Giants and the other came against the Packers who were without Aaron Rodgers. The defense is still ranked No. 26 overall and No. 20 in scoring and are in a very tough spot here against an elite offense. The Chiefs are 3-13 ATS in their last 16 games following a straight up win. Here, we play on road teams in the second half of the season in a game involving two teams averaging 370 or more ypg after outgaining opponent by 100 or more total yards in their previous game. This situation is 31-9 ATS (77.5 percent) over the last 10 seasons. 9* (473) Dallas Cowboys |
|||||||
11-21-21 | Texans +10.5 v. Titans | Top | 22-13 | Win | 100 | 44 h 53 m | Show |
This is a play on the HOUSTON TEXANS for our AFC South Game of the Year. This is an ugly play for sure but Houston actually is in a great spot here. The Texans have lost eight straight games and have the worse offense and third worst defense in the NFL but they are coming off their bye week which came at good time to help heal some injuries. Houston lost its last game in Miami but won the yardage battle as it was hurt by four turnovers including three interceptions by Tyrod Taylor who was pressured a ton and faced a great group of corners. That will not be the case this week as Tennessee is No. 27 against the pass and was torched for 298 yards by Trevor Siemian which was the fourth most in his very below average career. This is a game that the Texans will be fired up for and they are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games after scoring less than 15 points in their previous game. Is it possible for a team to have won six straight games and be overrated? In this case yes. The Titans have improved their record to an AFC best 8-2 but during their six-game winning streak, they have been outgained four times and in the two times they won the yardage battle, they were by 33 and 35 yards. On the season, Tennessee is getting outgained by 19 ypg overall and while that may seem miniscule, for a team that is 8-2 and missing the best running back in the league, it is a big deal. While the Houston injury report is in decent shape, the Titans have a whopping 27 players that are either questionable, out indefinitely or on IR. With the Patriots on deck in New England, if ever there is a game to go through the motions, this is it. The Titans are 2-5-1 ATS in their last eight games after accumulating less than 90 yards rushing in their previous game. Here, we play on road underdogs or pickems after eight or more consecutive losses going up against an opponent after two or more consecutive wins. This situation is 23-4 ATS (85.2 percent) since 1983. 10* (465) Houston Texans |
|||||||
11-21-21 | Saints +3 v. Eagles | 29-40 | Loss | -110 | 44 h 40 m | Show | |
This is a play on the NEW ORLEANS SAINTS for our NFC Game of the Week. We backed the Saints last week against Tennessee and while it can be considered a fortunate win since we avoided overtime thanks to a missed two-point conversion, New Orleans dominated the game as it outgained the Titans by 109 total yards but were done in by some questionable calls from the referees including an awful roughing the passer penalty. The Saints have dropped two straight games to fall to 5-4 but are in good shape in the NFC Wild Card picture with five very winnable games over their final eight contests and they get Buffalo and Dallas at home. New Orleans is 3-1 in its last four road games and with the defense continuing to play at a high level, the success should keep going. New Orleans is 13-3 ATS in its last 16 games after allowing 99 or less rushing yards in four straight games. The Eagles have lost all three games following a win this season and all are the same situation where they won on the road only to come home and lose. Granted, they were underdogs in all of those games and in our opinion, they should be again here as well. This line is based on their blowout win in Denver coupled with the New Orleans loss as it tends to be a scoreboard league when it comes to line setting. Philadelphia has rediscovered its running game as it has rushed for 236, 176 and 214 yards over its last three games but faces the top ranked rushing defense in the league and the Saints have allowed fewer than 100 yards rushing in eight of nine games. Jalen Hurts is dangerous but not in this spot. The Eagles are 2-9 ATS in their last 11 games following an ATS win. Here, we play against home favorites after having won two out of their last three games, with a winning percentage of between .400 and .499 in the second half of the season. This situation is 31-6 ATS (83.8 percent) over the last 10 seasons. 9* (463) New Orleans Saints |
|||||||
11-21-21 | Ravens -6 v. Bears | 16-13 | Loss | -108 | 43 h 15 m | Show | |
This is a play on the BALTIMORE RAVENS for our NFL Sunday Enforcer. At first glance, this looks like a possible lookahead game for Baltimore with three straight divisional games on deck followed by games against the Packers and Rams and two more divisional games but it is the exact opposite of a lookahead game. The Ravens were embarrassed on national television in their last game, falling to the then 2-7 Dolphins so it will be all focus this week against another inferior team. In addition, they have a mini bye from playing on Thursday night and looking at recent results, we have not seen an all-around good effort in over a month. Baltimore has won the yardage battle in six of its nine games and is outgaining opponents by 43 ypg overall and the defense has a chance to clamp down here. The Ravens are 6-2 ATS in their last eight games after allowing more than 250 yards passing in their previous game. Chicago has lost four straight games and is also off its bye week but the Bears are 3-6 and on the outside looking in when it comes to the NFC Wild Card. In two of their wins, the Bears have actually lost the yardage battle and the third win came against 0-8-1 Detroit. Justin Field is coming off his best game at quarterback but that is not a buy sign as he still looks uncomfortable dropping back. Baltimore cannot stop the pass but the good news is that Chicago has the worst passing offense in the league and it is not even close as the Bears are averaging just 144.1 ypg which is 58.1 ypg less than New Orleans for the No. 31 spot. Chicago can run the ball but Baltimore is No. 4 in rushing defense. The Bears are 0-5 ATS in their last five home games against teams with a winning road record. Here, we play against home underdogs or pickems with a winning percentage between .250 and .400 after having lost four out of their last five games, a playing a team with a winning record. This situation is 34-14 ATS (70.8 percent) over the last 10 seasons. 9* (461) Baltimore Ravens |
|||||||
11-20-21 | Jazz v. Kings +8 | Top | 123-105 | Loss | -107 | 12 h 53 m | Show |
This is a play on the SACRAMENTO KINGS for our NBA Saturday Enforcer. After opening 1-2 in the first three games of a five-game homestand, the Jazz took out Philadelphia and Toronto by 35 and 16 points respectively in the last two games. Utah hits the road for a one-game trip to Sacramento and it comes in with a 4-3 record on the highway and this includes a loss at Orlando in its last road game. The Jazz are outshooting opponents by just 1.5 percent on the road and while the adjusted rankings have been better, this is a big number to be laying on the road. The Jazz are 1-4 ATS in their last five games following a straight up win of more than 10 points. The Kings have lost two straight games including a 19-point setback against Toronto last night and they have now dropped three straight games at home. They managed only 89 points last night but are still averaging 109.3 ppg on the season which is sixth most in the league. They have been able get it done inside as Sacramento is third in the Western Conference with 48.6 ppg in the paint. Sacramento is 3-0 ATS this season when getting 6.5 or more points and all of those were on the road making this the biggest number it has seen on its home floor. The Kings are 7-1-1 ATS in their last nine games playing with no rest. Here, we play against road teams with a winning percentage between .600 and .750 after two consecutive covers as a favorite, playing a team with a winning percentage between .250 and .400. This situation is 31-9 ATS (77.5 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (546) Sacramento Kings |
|||||||
11-20-21 | Oregon v. Utah -3 | Top | 7-38 | Win | 100 | 51 h 18 m | Show |
This is a play on the UTAH UTES for our Pac 12 Game of the Year. Utah hosts Oregon in its biggest home game in recent memory in what looks like a preview of the Pac 12 Championship. The Utes are 4-0 at home including three conference wins, all by double-digits, and all three against teams with winning Pac 12 records going a combined 13-5 outside of the Utah losses. The Utes are outgaining opponents by 85.5 ypg at home and they have been dominant here going 18-2 in their last 20 home games. Since Cameron Rising took over as the full-time starter at quarterback, the Utah offense has been much better in every aspect as his 14 touchdowns and just two interceptions has opened up the running game which ranks third in the conference. The Utes are 12-4 ATS in their last 16 games following a straight up win. Oregon has won five straight games to improve to 9-1 on the season and the Ducks remain No. 3 in the latest CFP Rankings. Yet they come in as underdogs and the public is on the side of Oregon based on that. The Ducks are ranked No. 32 in total offense and No. 57 in total defense which is nothing special compared to where they are ranked and this is a tough spot in a hostile environment. Oregon did win at Ohio St. in the season opener but that was before the Buckeyes hit their stride and since then, the Ducks have gone 2-1 on the road which includes a three-point win over UCLA and a 10-point win over 3-4 Washington. Taking away the game against 3-7 Colorado and Oregon has not outgained any opponent by more than 70 yards over the last seven games. The Ducks are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games as a road underdog. Here, we play on home teams after three or more consecutive wins going up against an opponent after five or more consecutive wins. This situation is 29-7 ATS (80.6 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (372) Utah Utes |
|||||||
11-20-21 | Tulsa v. Rhode Island -4.5 | Top | 77-71 | Loss | -104 | 11 h 16 m | Show |
This is a play on the RHODE ISLAND RAMS for our CBB Saturday Enforcer. Rhode Island has started the season 3-0 as it is coming off a win over Boston College, handing the Eagles their first loss of the season and the Rams did it on defense once again. They allowed just 49 points on 25 percent shooting and 18 of those points came from the free throw line. Rhode Island has allowed just 58.3 ppg and opponents are shooting just 28.9 percent from the floor which is the lowest shooting percentage allowed in the country. Offensively, the Rams are shooting 48 percent and face a horrible defense on Saturday. Last season was a tough one as Rhode Island lost a lot to graduation and transfers and it showed with their 10-15 record but this season they have four starters back, all of which are averaging double-digits in scoring. The Rams are 9-4-1 ATS in their last 14 games against teams with a winning percentage above .600. Tulsa improved to 2-1 with a win over Oregon St. on Monday which followed up a bad home loss against Air Force as 14.5-point favorites. The Golden Hurricane bring back just two starters from the team that went 11-12 and they are picked to finish eighth in the 11-team AAC. Overall, eight players were lost from last season with eight newcomers joining the roster. The offense runs through forward Jeriah Horne who leads the team with 20.0 ppg and 8.0 rpg and guard Sam Griffin is the only other players averaging double figures. As a team, the Golden Hurricane are shooting just 40.9 percent which is No. 270 through the early part of the season and things will not get any easier here. The Golden Hurricane are 1-5 ATS in their last six games following a straight up win. Here, we play against underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points after a win by six points or less, with just two starters returning from last year in the first five games of the season. This situation is 103-52 ATS (66.5 percent) since 1997. 10* (670) Rhode Island Rams |
|||||||
11-20-21 | Old Dominion v. Middle Tennessee State -3.5 | 24-17 | Loss | -110 | 46 h 4 m | Show | |
This is a play on the MIDDLE TENNESSEE ST. BLUE RAIDERS for our CFB Saturday Enforcer. Old Dominion has won three straight games to improve to 4-6 which has kept its bowl hopes alive. Those wins came against teams a combined 5-13 in the conference and only one was on the road which was against Florida International that is now 0-6 in C-USA and 1-0 overall. The Monarchs are 1-4 on the road and have been outgained by 107.5 ypg in those four losses. Winning away from home has been an issue for a while as Old Dominion is 2-15 in its last 17 road games and not playing a single game last season has carried over. The Monarchs have been mediocre on both sides of the ball as they come in ranked No. 79 in scoring offense and No. 81 on scoring defense. The Monarchs are 0-4-1 ATS in their last five games on turf. Middle Tennessee St. rolled over Florida international and now it needs just one more win to become bowl eligible. After an uneven start to the season on offense, the Blue Raides have averaged 37.3 ppg over their last four games and at home, they are 4-0 and have been much more consistent than on the road, averaging 42.3 ppg. On the other side, they are allowing only 15.8 ppg and 289 ypg and have taken advantage of opponents miscues. After 10 games, the Blue Raiders have 29 takeaways to lead the country with 14 fumble recoveries and 15 interceptions. The home team has covered nine of the 10 Middle Tennessee St. games this season and going back, the Blue Raiders are 13-3 ATS in their last 16 home games against teams with a losing road record. Here, we play against road underdogs off a win over a conference rival as an underdog of six or more points going up against an opponent off a win by 10 points or more over a conference rival. This situation is 75-29 ATS (72.1 percent) since 1992. 9* (394) Middle Tennessee St. Blue Raiders |
|||||||
11-20-21 | Texas v. West Virginia -2.5 | Top | 23-31 | Win | 100 | 43 h 8 m | Show |
This is a play on the WEST VIRGINIA MOUNTAINEERS for our Big XII Game of the Month. Texas has lost five straight games which is its longest losing streak since 1955 and that includes a loss last week against Kansas, which had not won a Big XII road game since 2008. The losing streak started against Oklahoma where the Longhorns blew a huge lead and they clearly have not recovered. The body language of the Texas players after the loss last Saturday shows that they may be done even though a bowl berth is still on the line by winning out. The defense has been atrocious as Texas has allowed 41 ppg during this losing skid and overall, the Longhorns are ranked No. 106 in total defense and No. 107 in scoring defense. The Longhorns are 2-6-1 ATS in their last nine games after allowing more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game. West Virginia is also two wins away from bowl eligibility and despite losses in its last two games against Kansas St. and Oklahoma St., those teams are a combined 16-4 and the Mountaineers are in much better shape. This is the final home game of the season for West Virginia and it will be fired up knowing that this will be last home game against Texas as part of conference action with the Longhorns pending move to the SEC. The offense has struggled over the past two games but West Virginia has the athletes on offense to put up big numbers and run away with this game. The Mountaineers are ranked in the middle of the pack in most Big XII defensive categories and can limit the opposing offense. The Mountaineers are 12-3-2 ATS in their last 17 games as a home favorite. Here, we play against road teams in the second half of the season averaging 34 or more ppg on offense going up against teams allowing between 21 and 28 ppg after a loss by three or less points. This situation is 24-3 ATS (88.9 percent) since 1992. 10* (348) West Virginia Mountaineers |
|||||||
11-20-21 | Wake Forest v. Clemson -4 | 27-48 | Win | 100 | 43 h 51 m | Show | |
This is a play on the CLEMSON TIGERS for our CFB Saturday Afternoon Dominator. Clemson has had a disappointing season by its standards as it is 7-3 and has hurt its backers the majority of the time. The Tigers are 2-8 ATS and those covers were fortunate as one came on a fluke fumble recovery for a touchdown as time expired and the other came against Louisville that ended in a goal line stand. The record against the number is adding to the Clemson value here as the Tigers look to end its home schedule with a big win over a quality team. The defense leads the way and has picked up an offense that has struggled for the most part but has come on of late. They will be facing one of the worse defenses in the conference so the success should continue and the Tigers are 18-7 ATS in their last 25 games after scoring more than 40 points in their previous game. Wake Forest is 9-1 on the season with the lone loss coming at North Carolina by three points. 2021 marks the first time the Demon Deacons have ever achieved a top-10 ranking as they rely on a potent offense but this will be toughest test to date. Wake Forest has won three games by three points, including one in overtime, and it had to hold off Army in a game that was only a seven-point margin midway through the fourth quarter. The offense is one of the best in the country but the defense has struggled, especially against the run, which is problem here, and the Demon Deacons have been bailed out with their turnover margin. They have been outgained in two of four road games and they are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 road games against teams with a winning home record. Here, we play against road underdogs outscoring opponents by seven or more ppg, after allowing 31 points or more in two straight games. This situation is 50-17 ATS (746 percent) over the last 10 seasons. 9* (362) Clemson Tigers |
|||||||
11-19-21 | Wichita State +9 v. Arizona | Top | 78-82 | Win | 100 | 12 h 23 m | Show |
This is a play on the WICHITA ST. SHOCKERS for our CBB Friday Game of the Month. The Shockers head to Las Vegas 3-0 but the offense will need a boost after some struggles from the floor. Wichita St. will be at full strength as head coach Isaac Brown says Tyson Etienne has practiced and will play on Friday night against Arizona. He was out on Tuesday due to an illness and this is a big boost as the 2020-21 AAC Player of the Year was a question mark coming in. The Shockers have three starters back including Morris Udeze and Dexter Dennis on top of Etienne. Dennis was on the 2019-20 AAC All Freshman Team and Wichita St. also has another player who earned that honor last season with Ricky Council IV so not only is there great experience but talented experience. Arizona has had plenty of issues over the last few years and the Wildcats are just an average team that is picked to finish in the middle of a top heavy Pac 12 Conference. The Wildcats have cruised through their first three games as they have dominated all statistical categories against a bunch of cupcakes and will now face a real defense for the first time. Arizona is averaging 94.0 ppg on shooting 50.3 percent from the floor, including 39.0 percent from long range while holding opponents to 27.6 percent shooting which is best in the country. The early results have inflated this line to go along with the fact that Arizona is a public team despite the recent struggles. Here, we play against neutral court teams as a favorite or pickem that are averaging 78 or more ppg and after allowing 55 points or less going up against teams averaging between 63 and 67 ppg. This situation is 34-10 ATS (77.3 percent) since 1997. 10* (887) Wichita St. Shockers |
|||||||
11-19-21 | Air Force v. Nevada -1.5 | Top | 41-39 | Loss | -110 | 55 h 34 m | Show |
This is a play on the NEVADA WOLF PACK for our CFB Friday Night Lights. Both Air Force and Nevada come into this Friday matchup on the same path as they are 7-3 including 4-2 in the MAC and both are one game out of first place in their respective divisions. The Wolf Pack had a chance to take over first place in the MAC West but lost by two points at San Diego St. last week and they will need to win out and get some help along the way. Both conference losses came by two points and both were on the road where they are 2-3. Nevada is playing its final home game before travelling to Colorado St. next week in the season finale and the Wolf Pack look to end the season 6-0 at home and extend the overall home winning streak to 10 games going back to last season. The Wolf Pack are 12-3-1 ATS in their last 16 games following a straight up loss. The Falcons snapped a two-game losing streak with a win at Colorado St. last Saturday. Like Nevada, they have to win out and get some help to take the MWC East Division but with Utah St. facing Wyoming and New Mexico, both of which are 1-5 in the conference, that seems unlikely. Air Force comes in a perfect 4-0 on the road but only one of those has been against a team with a winning record. The Falcons lead the country in rushing, averaging 311.1 ypg but they are ranked No. 51 in third down conversion percentage which has hurt keeping drives alive and the ability to score more than they should. Nevada is one of the top team in third down conversion percentage, allowing just 35.9 percent including 28.3 percent at home. The Falcons are 2-5 ATS against teams with a winning record. Here, we play on home teams where the line is +3 to -3 coming off one or more consecutive unders, outscoring opponents by 10 or more ppg. This situation is 32-17 ATS (65.3 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (322) Nevada Wolf Pack |
|||||||
11-19-21 | Pacers +2.5 v. Hornets | Top | 118-121 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 17 m | Show |
This is a play on the INDIANA PACERS for our NBA Friday Enforcer. Charlotte has won four straight games to improve to 9-7 on the season and is now just two games behind Miam in the NBA Southeast Division. The Hornets defense has improved considerably as they have allowed 98.3 ppg over their last four games during this winning streak after allowing 118.3 ppg through their first 12 games. They gave up a season low 87 points against Washington last time out as the Wizards were bricking from long range as they were 8-42 (19 percent). Charlotte is ranked No. 23 in Opponent Effective Field Goal Percentage while sitting No. 24 in Opponent True Shooting Percentage so the Hornets are not out of the woods yet on that side of the floor. Indiana has lost their past two games, failing to score 90 points in either of them and part of the issue has been a lack of physicality. Easy buckets were the norm early on but they have not come of late and despite the recent regression, Indiana is still ranked No. 6 in the NBA in Effective Field Goal Percentage. Additionally, the Pacers are No. 8 in overall shooting percentage at 46.3 percent. They are just 2-8 on the road but have played much better than that record shows as five of those losses have come by four points or less so they have been in the majority of those games. The Pacers are 10-2 ATS in their last 12 games against teams with a winning straight up record. Here, we play on teams averaging between 104 and 108 ppg after scoring 95 points or less in two straight games going up against teams allowing between 108 and 114 ppg. This situation is 22-4 ATS (84.6 percent) since 1996. 10* (513) Indiana Pacers |
|||||||
11-19-21 | Brown +12.5 v. Creighton | 57-78 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 52 m | Show | |
3:15 PM ET Tipoff. This is a play on the BROWN BEARS for our CBB Friday Afternoon Dominator. Brown is off to a 3-1 start after missing all of last season as the Ivy League shut down completely. The Bears held their own against North Carolina one week ago as the lost by just seven points. They had the ball down just three points with 2:30 left but came up just short in the end but it showed this team can compete with the big boys. The three wins have been blowouts and this is a good matchup for Brown to open up the Paradise Jam. The Bears are averaging just 10.8 turnovers per game and that is a big edge for a sizable underdog as possessions are key. Brown is putting up 43 ppg in the paint as the guards have been able to penetrate the lane and dish for easy buckets. Creighton is 3-0 to start the season which includes a big rivalry win over Nebraska on Tuesday which could either spur confidence or show some letdown. They made a trip to the Sweet 16 last season but there is a ton of turnover as this is a young team that has to replace all five starters. The Bluejays like to play at a faster pace and with that has comes some early season mistakes as Creighton has averaged 16.3 turnovers per game so the Bluejays will have to take care of the ball better. Getting to the free throw line will benefit Brown as it is hitting 81.7 percent from the stripe while Creighton has been clunking it around, shooting just 56 percent from the line. Here, we play against favorites of 10 or more points off an upset win as an underdog going up against an opponent off two or more consecutive home wins. This situation is 26-5 ATS (83.9 percent) over the last five seasons. 9* (877) Brown Bears |
|||||||
11-18-21 | Nevada +7.5 v. San Francisco | Top | 70-73 | Win | 100 | 13 h 34 m | Show |
This is a play on the NEVADA WOLF PACK for our CBB Thursday Enforcer. It has been a tough start for Nevada as it is 1-2 to open the season as it is coming off a pair of losses, and bad ones at that. The Wolf Pack lost to San Diego at home by seven points as a 14-point favorite and then hit the road and gut pummeled by Santa Clara by 22 points as a short chalk. With those results, we are now getting excellent value on Nevada which is expected to contend for another MWC Championship. The rough start is surprising as the Wolf Pack have all five starters back and nine of their top 10 scorers return from a team that was 16-10 last season including 10-7 in the conference. The offense has been adequate but the defense has been a disaster as they are ranked near the bottom in points allowed and defensive shooting percentage in the country. The good news is that this is a quick turnaround after the Santa Clara disaster which will put fire under them to get this right. The Wolf Pack are 4-0 ATS in their last four games following a straight up loss of more than 20 points. San Francisco is off to a 4-0 start but three of those have come against some cupcake teams and while a win over Davidson looks good, it was a very inefficient game and this is now its biggest test despite what the Nevada record shows. San Francisco was picked to finish fifth in the 10-team preseason West Coast Conference poll and while it is off to a hot start, the Wolf Pack can take advantage. The Dons have allowed 63.8 ppg which is respectable but that is against a schedule ranked No. 187 in the country. While we do not often look at road revenge as an angle, this one is in play as Nevada is out to avenge a 25-point loss at home last season against San Francisco. The Dons are 1-9 ATS in their last 10 games following a straight up win. Here, we play on road teams off an upset loss by 15 points or more as a favorite, with all five starters returning from last season. This situation is 60-28 ATS (68.2 percent) since 1997. 10* (741) Nevada Wolf Pack |
|||||||
11-18-21 | Patriots v. Falcons +7 | Top | 25-0 | Loss | -108 | 53 h 47 m | Show |
This is a play on the ATLANTA FALCONS for our NFL Thursday Primetime Punisher. New England seems to be hitting its stride as it has won four straight games and has covered all of those, three by double-digits with two of those beating the number by over 33 points. The Patriots have won all four road games this season but three of those came against the Jets, Texans and Panthers which are a combined 8-20 and the record is part of the reason this line has gone up by 2.5 points in some places. They are still just a half-game behind Buffalo in the AFC East with games against the Titans, Colts and Bills twice upcoming in the next four games. Overall, they have played the second easiest schedule in the NFL and the backend will present a challenge and Thursday is no easy out. The Patriots are 2-7-1 ATS in their last 10 games after allowing less than 15 points in their previous game while going 5-16 ATS in their last 21 road games against passing defenses allowing a completion percentage of 64 percent or worse in the second half of the season. This is just the second home game for the Falcons since October 3rd as they have played three road games as well as a game in London. Atlanta has won three of its last five games and one of those victories definitely was not last Sunday as it got embarrassed at Dallas 43-3, getting outgained by 217 total yards. While Atlanta played like garbage, that was more of a statement game for the Cowboys that was coming off a bad game against the Broncos. The Falcons are 4-5 on the season and there are now six teams with record between 5-4 and 4-6 so the Wild Card race is still wide open. Atlanta is -5 in turnover margin which is the big reason it is getting outscored by over nine ppg. The Falcons are 20-7-1 ATS in their last 28 games after accumulating less than 250 total yards in their previous game while going 6-0 ATS in their last six games after a game with a turnover margin of -2 or worse. 10* (312) Atlanta Falcons |
|||||||
11-18-21 | Spurs +2.5 v. Wolves | Top | 90-115 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 16 m | Show |
This is a play on the SAN ANTONIO SPURS for our NBA Thursday Enforcer. San Antonio has lost three straight games including a 14-point loss at the Clippers on Tuesday that dropped their road record to 2-6 on the season but most of those losses have come against winning teams and they have a great chance to bounce back here. Overall, the Spurs are 1-7 against the Top 16 teams in the NBA and Minnesota is far from part of that group. The offense has played well as San Antonio is ranked No. 12 in scoring offense and No. 5 in shooting offense and while those do come down on the road, again, that is based on the schedule played. Minnesota 11-25 ATS in its last 36 home games against teams shooting 46 percent or better from the floor. The Spurs are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 road games against teams with a losing home record. Minnesota snapped a two-game skid with a 10-point win over Sacramento last night and that put a temporary halt to a 1-8 run where the Timberwolves were outscored by double-digits. To their credit, the opposition was strong but that being said, the Timberwolves have actually struggled against the poor teams in the league, especially on their home floor. Going back, the Timberwolves are 0-7 ATS in their last seven home games against teams with a losing road record. Here, we play against home teams where the line is +3 to -3 that are getting outscored by their opponents by 3.0 or more ppg going up against an opponent after a loss by 10 points or more. This situation is 61-32 ATS (65.6 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (505) San Antonio Spurs |
|||||||
11-18-21 | Marquette v. Ole Miss -3.5 | 78-72 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 18 m | Show | |
This is a play on the MISSISSIPPI REBELS for our CBB Thursday Star Attraction. Marquette is 3-0 to start the season but it has not been overly impressive despite a big win over Illinois. The Golden Eagles three wins have come by a combined 17 points as they have outshot their opponents by just one percent from the floor, have been outrebounded 130-106 and are shooting a mere 27.1 percent from three-point range. Marquette has only two players back that played any significant minutes last season, it has to replace all five starters and lost 82 percent of its scoring and 79 percent of its rebounding. Darryl Morsell has gotten off to a great start and has been their key three-point shooter but take his numbers away and that already bad shooting percentage dips dramatically. The Golden Eagles are 4-10 ATS in their last 14 games following a straight up win. Mississippi is off to a 2-0 start with easy wins over New Orleans and Charleston Southern and while the Rebels step up in class here, they should have no problem as long as they play their game. That means limiting turnovers and continuing their solid shooting as they are hitting over 51 percent from the floor including over 39 percent from long range. There are new faces on this roster that plan to help right away but the core group is mainly intact as four starters are back from their NIT appearance last season where they went 16-12 overall and 10-8 in the SEC. This is their first game away from home as well but they have the roster to not have adverse results. The Rebels are 19-7 ATS in their last 26 games following a straight up win of more than 20 points. Here, we play against underdogs off two consecutive home wins by five points or less going up against an opponent off two consecutive home wins by 10 points or more. This situation is 43-12 ATS (78.2 percent) since 1997. 9* (760) Mississippi Rebels |
|||||||
11-17-21 | Cal-Riverside v. San Diego -2 | Top | 62-74 | Win | 100 | 14 h 20 m | Show |
This is a play on the SAN DIEGO TOREROS for our CBB Wednesday Enforcer. We won with UC Riverside two games back when it hit a miracle three-point shot at the buzzer to stun Arizona St. and while the cover would have happened even if that shot did not go in, it went viral and now the Highlanders hit the road again in their first lined game since and they are now overvalued. They are coming off a win over La Sierra (?) in-between these two games and despite a pair of wins, the offense remains a concern as they are shooting just 39.8 percent from the floor which is No. 289 in the country and that has contributed to averaging only 63.7 ppg, good for No. 302 in the nation. Free throw shooting is also a factor as UC Riverside is hitting only 63.3 percent from the stripe. The Highlanders are 1-5 ATS in their last six games following a straight up win. San Diego opened the season with an easy win and then had to face Nevada and California on the road and the results were above expectations. The Toreros won outright against the Wolf Pack as 14-point underdogs and then gave the Golden Bears all they could handle in a five-point loss. This team is deep with 10 players averaging at least 12 minutes per game with nine of those averaging at least 15 minutes and these are not garbage minutes based on the last two games. The backcourt is loaded while the frontcourt has gotten stronger with newcomers Marcellus Earlington and Terrell Brown who are averaging a combined 22 ppg and 14 rpg. The Toreros are 4-1 ATS in their last five games against teams with a winning straight up record. Here, we play on home favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points in their first five games of the season with a winning percentage between .200 and .400 from last season, after losing eight or more of their last 10 games, playing a team that had a winning record last year. This situation is 47-21 ATS (69.1 percent) since 1997. 10* (700) San Diego Toreros |
|||||||
11-17-21 | Celtics v. Hawks -4 | Top | 99-110 | Win | 100 | 10 h 12 m | Show |
This is a play on the ATLANTA HAWKS for our NBA Wednesday Enforcer. After six straight losses, the Hawks have won two straight, an impressive 20-point win over Milwaukee and then an 18-point win over Orlando to follow that up. Atlanta has been slid at home and awful on the road and on the season, the home team is 13-2 in Hawks games. That has played into the spread as well as Atlanta is just 1-8 ATS on the road, with the lone cover coming against 2-13 New Orleans while going 5-1 against the number at home. The Hawks are averaging 116.7 ppg at home on 48.6 percent shooting and they are third in the NBA in Effective Field Goal Percentage and second in True Shooting Percentage on their home floor. Overall, Atlanta has played the third toughest schedule in the NBA and it is 12-2 ATS in its last 14 home games off a home win. Boston has been playing much better as it has gone 5-2 over its last seven games after opening the season with an opposite 2-5 mark. The Celtics have been great to their backers as they have covered all seven of those games with the two losses coming as underdogs where they lost by two and three points and managed to get the money by just a half-point each. Boston has been better on the road with a 5-4 record but a win over Miami is the only solid victory. The Celtics have clamped down on defense as they have allowed only 91.9 ppg over their last seven games but they have a big challenge tonight against this Hawks offense. Here, we play against road underdogs after allowing 95 points or less in two straight games going up against an opponent after scoring 120 points or more. This situation is 78-40 ATS (66.1 percent) since 1996. 10* (568) Atlanta Hawks |
|||||||
11-17-21 | Northern Illinois -1.5 v. Buffalo | Top | 33-27 | Win | 100 | 29 h 23 m | Show |
This is a play on the NORTHERN ILLINOIS HUSKIES for our MAC Game of the Year. Northern Illinois improved to 5-1 in the MAC with a one-point win over Ball St. last week and now the West Division is theirs to win. A victory over Buffalo secures the title and a trip to the MAC Championship as they cannot be caught no matter what Ball St. and Central Michigan do down the stretch as the Huskies own both tiebreakers. Northern Illinois has been outrushed in its last two games which are the only two times it has been outrushed against non-Power Five teams. Still, the Huskies are averaging 220.4 ypg on the ground which is No. 15 in the country and face a porous defense when trying to stop the run. Northern Illinois is 3-2 on the road with one loss coming against Michigan and the other coming against 4-2 Kent St. by five points. The Huskies are 11-2-1 ATS in their last 14 road games against teams with a losing home record. There is motivation for Buffalo as it will become bowl eligible if it wins its final two games but there is not a lot of confidence backing the Bulls here. In their four wins, one came against Wagner of the FCS, two other came against Old Dominion and Ohio by one point apiece and the last one came against Akron which is 2-8 on the season including 1-5 in the MAC. The Buffalo defense has been solid at home by allowing only 365.6 ypg but that is a severely skewed average as included is a 97-yard defensive effort in that Wagner game. The Bulls allow 4.6 ypc on the ground in their five home games and 4.8 ypc overall. On offense, they do run the ball well but a lot of that is due to play calling as they average just 4.4 ypc. The Bulls are 0-4 ATS in their last four games following a straight up loss. Here, we play against home teams where the line is +3 to -3 after allowing 6.25 or more yppl in their previous game going up against an opponent after outgaining opponent by 125 or more total yards in their previous game. This situation is 73-33 ATS (68.9 percent) over the last 10 seasons. 10* (309) Northern Illinois Huskies |
|||||||
11-17-21 | Michigan State v. Butler +3 | 73-52 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 2 m | Show | |
This is a play on the BUTLER BULLDOGS for our CBB Wednesday Star Attraction. Last year Butler finished 10-15 overall including 8-10 in the Big East Conference and it was just the fifth sub .500 season since 1993 although in 2019-2020 Butler would have most likely made the NCAA Tournament with 22 wins, but the postseason was cancelled due to the COVID-19-pandemic. Senior point guard Aaron Thompson was suspended for the first three games of the year for violating team rules, as was sophomore Chuck Harris for an exhibition game and both will be on the floor together for the first time tonight. Harris leads the team with 15.7 ppg and he is one of three players averaging 13.3 or more ppg which is more than the leading scorer from last season. Butler is a senior-laden team playing at home with the chance to make an early season statement and the Bulldogs are 6-1 ATS in their last seven games as a home underdog. Michigan St. is playing its first true road game of the season after losing against Kansas at MSG and then rolling over Western Michigan at home. The Spartans are coming off a rough season where they had their first losing record in the Big Ten since 1992-93 and have just two starters back but obviously they have the talent to turn things around although it might not be right away. The win over the Broncos was good for confidence but Western Michigan is one of the worst teams in the MAC so take it for what it is worth. The game against Kansas gave them an early true test and while Butler is no Kansas, this line is screaming Michigan St. action and the public will be biting. The Spartans are 2-9 ATS in their last 11 road games against teams with a winning home record. Here, we play on underdogs off two consecutive home wins by 10 points or more, team that had a losing record last season. This situation is 51-20 ATS (71.8 percent) over the last five seasons. 9* (666) Butler Bulldogs |
|||||||
11-16-21 | George Washington v. CS-Fullerton -3 | Top | 59-74 | Win | 100 | 13 h 14 m | Show |
This is a play on the CAL ST. FULLERTON TITANS for our CBB Tuesday Enforcer. Cal St. Fullerton is coming off a pair of losses to open the season and if there is such a thing as good losses, that is the case here. The Titans lost to Santa Clara by seven points and to San Jose St. by two points, both coming on the road and they open the home portion of their schedule tonight. They went 6-10 last season with a very young team that played with very little uniformity especially on the defensive end where they ranked as one of the worst teams in the country in most defensive categories. The Titans have four starters back and they also brought in some transfers and through the two games, they have five players averaging double-digits in scoring. One of those transfers is forward E.J. Anosike who leads the team with 15 ppg and 9.5 rpg and the Maddox duo in the backcourt is a big strength. Geroge Washington is 1-2 with a narrow three-point win over St. Francis (PA) as its lone victory and while it played Maryland tough, the Colonials are coming off a 20-point loss at San Diego. They have just two starters back including guard James Bishop who the offense revolved around last season but he has gotten off to an awful start, averaging just 8.7 ppg on 20.9 percent shooting. As a team, they are shooting just 38.7 percent which is No. 306 in the nation to go along with a horrible A/TO ratio of 0.70 which is No. 296 overall. George Washington does have size issues as it is getting outboarded by close to 10 per game and this is a tough matchup for that to get any better. The Colonials are 2-8 ATS in their last 10 games against teams with a winning percentage below .400.Here, we play against underdogs off a road loss by 10 points or more, in a game involving two teams with winning percentages between .250 and .400 last season. This situation is 37-12 ATS (75.5 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (650) Cal St. Fullerton Titans |
|||||||
11-16-21 | Warriors v. Nets -3 | Top | 117-99 | Loss | -106 | 9 h 57 m | Show |
This is a play on the BROOKLYN NETS for our NBA Tuesday TNT Blockbuster. Brooklyn is back home following a 5-1 road trip and it has now won nine of its last 10 games as the Nets are now gelling after slow start where they lost three of their first five games. Brooklyn is a half-game behind Washington for first place in the Eastern Conference and while it has played a relatively easy schedule, this is a good spot in its first home game since November 3rd. Kevin Durant was named the Eastern Conference Player of the Week after averaging 32.3 ppg, 7.8 rpg, and 4.5 apg and has another chance to knock off his old team after winning both meetings last season by 17 and 26 points. While Durant and James Harden are the headliners and it is the second unit that has really propelled the Nets as they are seventh in both offensive rating and effective field goal percentage off the bench, and eighth in net rating. The Nets are 13-4 ATS in their last 17 games as a home favorite. The Warriors are 11-2 after Charlotte snapped their seven-game winning streak, 106-102 on Sunday. While the schedule has been easy for the Nets, Golden St. has played the No. 29 ranked schedule in the NBA so a lot of the success can be attributed to that. Stephen Curry is having a monster season but after that, only three other players are averaging double-digits in scoring. Golden St. is ranked in the top three in both offensive and defensive efficiency but playing nine of the first 13 games at home has helped and two of the three road wins have come against teams with a losing record. The Warriors are 4-10 ATS in their last 14 games as a road underdog. This will be just the second time for Durant and Harden to face Golden St. together and the first at home. Here, we play on home teams where the line is +3 to -3 after beating the spread by 18 or more points total in their last three games, first half of the season. This situation is 64-24 ATS (72.7 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (552) Brooklyn Nets |
|||||||
11-16-21 | Western Michigan -5 v. Eastern Michigan | Top | 21-22 | Loss | -114 | 28 h 15 m | Show |
This is a play on the WESTERN MICHIGAN BRONCOS for our CFB Tuesday Enforcer. Western Michigan snapped a two-game losing streak with a closer than expected win over Akron last Tuesday but they are still unable to win the MAC West because of tiebreakers. If the Broncos win out, including a victory at first place Northern Illinois next week, they will finish 5-3 but there is no chance to surpass them because of upcoming matchups. Against the Zips, Western Michigan rushed for 316 yards on the night, led by Sean Tyler with 16 carries for 147 yards and a touchdown, while adding a receiving score and a 96-yard kick return for a touchdown. Overall, the Broncos are No. 29 in total offense and No. 34 in rushing defense and will face an Eagles defense that is ranked No. 103 and No. 107 in those categories respectively. Western Michigan is 12-2 ATS in its last 14 road games after three or more consecutive losses against the spread. Eastern Michigan entered last week 3-2 in the MAC West and had the possibility to control its own destiny for the title but lost against Ohio and have been mathematically eliminated. The Eagles were outrushed for the fifth time in six games, the one was dead even, and they are losing the rushing battle by an average of 136.2 ypg. Eastern Michigan, while struggling mightily in stopping the run, cannot get it done on offense either as they are ranked No. 109 in rushing offense. The Eagles have lost two straight home games and of the three wins, one came by just one point against Miami while the other two came against St. Francis of the FCS and Texas St. which is 3-7 on the season. Eastern Michigan is 3-16 ATS in its last 19 home games after allowing 7.25 or more yppl in their previous game. Here, we play on favorites of 3.5 to 10 points in the second half of the season averaging 440 or more ypg after gaining 6.75 or more yppl in their previous game going up against teams allowing between 390 and 440 ypg. This situation is 31-9 ATS (77.5 percent) over the last 10 seasons. 10* (301) Western Michigan Broncos |
|||||||
11-15-21 | Rams -3.5 v. 49ers | Top | 10-31 | Loss | -102 | 13 h 13 m | Show |
This is a play on the LOS ANGELES RAMS for our NFL Monday Primetime Punisher. The Rams are coming off a bad loss against Tennessee but it really was not as bad as the score shows. Los Angeles outgained the Titans by 153 total yards as the defense allowed only 194 yards and 14 of the 28 points allowed were off of back-to-back interceptions. San Francisco fell to 3-5 and the schedule has been the reason this record is even this good. The three wins came against teams a combined 7-20-1 with the wins coming by an average of 8.3 ppg while the losses have come against four winning teams and those defeats are by an average of 8.4 ppg. The Rams are 13-3-1 ATS in their last 17 games following a double-digit loss at home while the 49ers are 3-9 ATS in their last 12 games after allowing more than 250 yards passing in their previous game. One key stat in this matchup that shows these teams are closer than the records indicate is that the Rams are averaging 6.4 yppl on offense while the 49ers are averaging 6.3 yppl. Defensively, both teams are allowing 5.5 yppl and when it comes to total yards, Los Angeles is +50 ypg in differential while San Francisco is +27 ypg and that difference is pretty insignificant. That being said, the 49ers are stepping on their own feet and the point differential shows that. San Francisco is No. 24 in points allowed and No. 17 in points scored and that due to mistakes as the 49ers have the worst turnover margin in the NFL. For the Rams, the loss of Robert Woods is big but he has a capable replacement in Van Jefferson who has averaged 5.2 targets per game and he has three games of 80-plus receiving yards. Odell Beckham Jr. could provide a spark as well. On the other side, Von Miller is expected to make his Rams debut. The Rams are 15-6 ATS after a loss under Sean McVay. Here ,we play against home underdogs or pickems with a winning percentage between .250 and .400 after having lost four out of their last five games, playing a team with a winning record. This situation is 34-12 ATS (73.9 percent) over the last 10 seasons. 10* (265) Los Angeles Rams |
|||||||
11-15-21 | Suns v. Wolves +3.5 | Top | 99-96 | Win | 101 | 9 h 44 m | Show |
This is a play on the MINNESOTA TIMBERWOLVES for our NBA Monday Enforcer. Phoenix has won eight straight games, covering its last seven, and now hits the road after a win last night in Houston and this will also be its third road game in four nights. The Suns are now 4-1 on the road and overall, they have played the No. 28 ranked schedule in the league and the public is all over them again based on the short number and the opponent they are facing. The offense has been rolling as they are now averaging 112 ppg on 47.7 percent shooting, third and first respectively in the NBA. The is an optimal letdown spot as the Suns head back home after this to face Dallas twice and then Denver. The Suns are 2-6-1 ATS in their last nine games playing on no rest. Minnesota is coming off a 27-point loss against the Clippers which capped a 1-3 roadtrip and the Timberwolves have now lost seven of their last eight games. The home floor has not been kind but Minnesota has been outscored by just five ppg. The big three has been solid for Minnesota as Karl-Anthony Towns is averaging 22.2 ppg and 9.3 rpg and D'Angelo Russell is averaging 17.4 ppg and 5.6 apg while Anthony Edwards is coming around, averaging 24.1 ppg over the last 10 games. Towns could continue his solid play as the Suns will be without center Deandre Ayton once again with a with a right lower-leg contusion. Here, we play against teams with a winning percentage between .600 and .750 after two consecutive covers as a favorite, playing a bad team with a winning percentage between .250 and .400. this situation is 50-19 ATS (72.5 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (544) Minnesota Timberwolves |
|||||||
11-15-21 | Illinois -9 v. Marquette | Top | 66-67 | Loss | -109 | 10 h 4 m | Show |
This is a play on the ILLINOIS FIGHTING ILLINI for our CBB Monday Enforcer. Illinois hits the road for the first time as it faces Marquette in a Gavitt Tipoff Games matchup at the Fiserv Forum so this is not an on-campus game for the Golden Eagles. The Illini comes in ranked No. 11 in the country following a pair of blowout wins to open the season and while it is considered a road contest, they will have travelling fans to Milwaukee. Illinois has played tough defense through the first two games, holding opponents to just 50 ppg on 33.6 percent from the field and 31.3 percent from three-point range. While they take a step up in class against a major conference, this is not the Marquette of old. Illinois went 16-4 in the conference last season and it is expected to contend against this year. The Illini are without Kofi Cockburn for one more game but this team is loaded and going back, the Illini are 15-5-1 ATS in their last 21 games against teams with a winning straight up record. The Golden Eagles are 2-0 and coming off a 75-70 win over New Hampshire on Friday night after beating SIU Edwardsville in their season opener. Marquette has only two players back that played any significant minutes last season, it has to replace all five starters and lost 82 percent of its scoring and 79 percent of its rebounding. Darryl Morsell has gotten off to a great start and has been their key three-point shooting but take his numbers away and the rest of the Golden Eagles have combined to 8-41 (19.5 percent) from long range. The Golden Eagles are 3-10 ATS in their last 13 games following a straight up win. 10* (811) Illinois Fighting Illini |
|||||||
11-14-21 | Chiefs -2.5 v. Raiders | 41-14 | Win | 100 | 51 h 27 m | Show | |
This is a play on the KANSAS CITY CHIEFS for our NFL Sunday Primetime Punisher. It is safe to say that everyone is off the Chiefs at this point as they have won two straight games but barely and have failed to cover their last three games and are just 2-7 ATS on the season. This is a good spot to buy low as they are favored on the road but by less than a field goal and this is the first time since 2018 that they have been favored by less than a touchdown against the Raiders, a span of six games. Granted, this team has struggled to score points and Las Vegas is a much better team now but not this much as the linesmakers have no choice but to bring this number down to avoid too much exposer on the Raiders. Kansas City is ranked No. 7 in total offense but the points are not coming because of turnovers and that will eventually reverse itself. The Kansas city defense is improving as it has allowed 17 or fewer points in three of its last four games. The Raiders are in first place in the AFC West, tied with the Chargers. They are coming off a loss against the Giants and have lost three of their last five games after a 3-0 start with two of those early victories coming in overtime. This is definitely a tough team to decipher and while the matchup seems to favor Las Vegas, we cannot look past the recent head-to-head domination. As far as current form, the Raiders rushing offense has been abysmal so that will not be a disadvantage for the Chiefs which have had their issues stopping the run. On the other side, Las Vegas cannot stop the run so as long as the Chiefs remain balanced, they have the big advantage in the trenches. The Raiders are 2-15 ATS in their last 17 games in the second half of the season against teams allowing 7.5 or more passing ypa. Here, we play against teams averaging 385 or more total ypg, after gaining 400 or more total yards in three consecutive games. This situation is 43-18 ATS (70.5 percent) over the last five seasons. 9* (263) Kansas City Chiefs |
|||||||
11-14-21 | Idaho State v. Seattle University -3.5 | Top | 51-77 | Win | 100 | 13 h 54 m | Show |
This is a play on the SEATTLE REDHAWKS for our CBB Sunday Enforcer. Seattle is coming off an average season where it went 12-11 overall and 4-5 in the WAC but in hindsight, it was deemed a successful campaign. The Redhawks had just 21 percent of their production back from the shortened 2019-20 season so they did not have much to work with but that is not the case this season. Seattle has all five starters back and that includes two players, Darrion Trammell and Riley Grigsby, who finished first and second in the conference in scoring at 20.5 ppg and 17.8 ppg respectively. Both are coming off poor shooting efforts in their most recent game on Friday in an 18-point loss at Washington St. The Redhawks shot just 35 percent from the floor and the starting five went only 9-35 (25.7 percent) but things will get easier here as they return home and this will be the first ever basketball game to be played in Climate Pledge Arena. Chris Victor has taken over as head coach after Jim Hayford was forced to resign but this is his fifth season here so it is a seamless transition. They are 15-6 in their last 21 home games and the Redhawks are 4-0 ATS in their last four games following a straight up loss. Idaho St. is coming off a competitive game against Pepperdine but ultimately lost to the reigning CBI Champions. The Bengals bring back an experienced team as well with most of their production returning but are in a tough travel spot here having played Friday in California and now heading to Washington with just one day of rest. The Bengals are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games as an underdog. 10* (692) Seattle Redhawks |
|||||||
11-14-21 | Eagles +2.5 v. Broncos | 30-13 | Win | 100 | 48 h 47 m | Show | |
This is a play on the PHILADELPHIA EAGLES for our NFL Sunday Enforcer. Philadelphia continues its inconsistent season as it is coming off a home loss against the Chargers which was its third defeat this season when trying to back up a win. The Eagles are No. 17 in total offense and No. 11 in scoring and they have scored 21 or more points in eight of nine games. Philadelphia has a great chance to keep the offense rolling against a defense that is missing pieces and while the Eagles are only 3-6, they are still in the hunt for a Wild card spot as eight teams in the NFC have either three or four wins and the upcoming schedule is mostly a cakewalk. Philadelphia is 29-15 ATS in its last 44 games after two straight games where 50 total points or more were scored. Everyone saw Denver dismantle Dallas last week and we all know that no team is as good as it looked the previous week, especially average teams, and vice versa. The Broncos are now 5-4 but it is misleading as the Broncos finally won the yardage battle after getting outyarded in its previous five games. As mentioned, the Broncos defense is missing a ton as the injury list includes four of their linebackers, a defensive lineman and two of the top three cornerbacks. Eagles quarterback Jalen Hurts should have success in the passing game and with the Denver injuries, he will be able to bounce out of the pocket and get his legs going. The Eagles defense matches up well as they should stop the Broncos running game and Denver is also beat up on the offensive line. The Broncos are 4-10-1 ATS in their last 15 games as a home favorite. Here, we play on road underdogs or pickems in the second half of the season, averaging 1.25 or fewer turnovers per game going up against teams forcing 1.25 or fewer turnovers per game, after a game where they committed no turnovers. This situation is 23-4 ATS (85.2 percent. 9* (261) Philadelphia Eagles |
|||||||
11-14-21 | Saints +3 v. Titans | Top | 21-23 | Win | 100 | 45 h 53 m | Show |
This is a play on the NEW ORLEANS SAINTS for our NFL Nonconference Game of the Month. We played against New Orleans and played on Tennessee last week and now we are going opposite this week as they match up against each other. Tennessee has won five straight games and to no surprise, the public is all over the Titans (looking at consensus sites and offshore numbers). The last four wins have come against teams all in playoff contention and all of those wins were outright as underdogs. Now they come in as a small home favorite which is part of the reason for the public sentiment and despite this, the line has not moved. Tennessee has the No. 4 ranked rushing offense but Derrick Henry is out and it managed only 69 yards on the ground against the Rams last week and now faces the top ranked rushing defense in the league. the Titans are 1-4-1 ATS in their last six games after accumulating less than 250 total yards in their previous game. The Saints lost to the Falcons at home last week which snapped a three-game winning streak. At 5-3, New Orleans is a game behind Tampa Bay in the NFC South and the Saints bring in a 3-1 road record that includes three straight victories. The offense has been inconsistent but face a below average Titans defense that allowed 347 yards but benefitted from a pair of costly Rams turnovers. New Orleans has allowed only 19.4 ppg and while it has been outpassed in six of eight games, the Saints face the No. 26 ranked passing offense in the league. The Saints are 21-7 ATS in their last 28 road games against teams with a winning home record and this is credit to head coach Sean Payton. Here, we play against home teams where the line is +3 to -3 after scoring 25 points or more in two straight games going up against an opponent after a playing a game where 50 total points or more were scored. This situation is 62-28 ATS (68.9 percent) since 1983. 10* (249) New Orleans Saints |
|||||||
11-14-21 | Falcons v. Cowboys -9 | 3-43 | Win | 100 | 45 h 40 m | Show | |
This is a play on the DALLAS COWBOYS for our NFC Game of the Week. Dallas is coming off its worst game of the season as it clearly did not show up and quarterback Dak Prescott did not look like he was fully back. The good news is that he did not miss practice this week and he should bounce back and also gets Michael Gallup back at receiver. The offense looked like one of the worst in the league last week yet the Cowboys are still ranked No. 1 in total yards and No. 3 in points scored and they are very balanced with the No. 3 ranked rushing offense and No. 4 ranked passing offense. Last week was the first game that Dallas was outgained and after that embarrassing defeat, the Cowboys will not be taking the Falcons lightly. Dallas has Kansas City, Las Vegas on a short week and New Orleans in its next three games so this is actually a big game now. The Cowboys are 5-1 ATS in their last six games following a straight up loss. The Falcons defeated New Orleans to move to 4-4 and they are in a horrible spot here. Not only the situation they are in but the matchup as well. They were able to slow down the New Orleans passing game but that is not saying much against Trevor Siemian and things will be different this week as they will have to respect the run and the pass. Atlanta is ranked No. 24 in rushing defense and No. 28 in scoring defense. Matt Ryan was very solid last week but duplicating that will be difficult. The Cowboys will shut down the pathetic Falcons rushing offense so they can concentrate on stopping Ryan. The Falcons are 9-25 ATS in their last 34 games after allowing more than 250 yards passing in their previous game. Here, we play against underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points averaging between 70 and 95 rushing ypg after gaining 99 or less rushing yards in two straight games going up against teams allowing between 95 and 125 rushing ypg. This situation is 49-19 ATS (72.1 percent) over the last 10 seasons. 9* (246) Dallas Cowboys |
|||||||
11-13-21 | Texas A&M v. Ole Miss +2.5 | 19-29 | Win | 100 | 71 h 23 m | Show | |
This is a play on the MISSISSIPPI REBELS for our CFB Saturday Night Dominator. Mississippi has a chance to jump into second place in the SEC West with a victory as it looks to improve upon its 5-0 home record. The Rebels are coming off a heated win against Liberty as they welcomed back former head coach Hugh Freeze in the 27-14 victory and cover. They do own quality home wins over LSU and Arkansas and overall, they are outscoring opponents by 21 ppg at home. Mississippi possesses the No. 4 ranked offense in the country while sitting at No. 16 in scoring offense and while this will be one of the best defenses it has seen, the home field advantage will have a big edge at night. Conversely, this is the best offense that the Aggies have faced. The Rebels are 9-3-1 ATS in their last 13 games against teams with a winning record. Texas A&M has won four straight games and has covered all of those as it has moved into No. 11 in the CFP Rankings, moving up two spots from last week. The Aggies own a big win over Alabama which was the start of this winning streak but this is not an easy spot. This is just their second true road game of the season, the first coming against Missouri which is 1-4 in the conference. They have picked it up of late by outgaining their last three opponents which came after losing the yardage battle in their three previous games and by an average of 153.3 ypg. Despite the recent resurgence, the Aggies are just No. 68 in total offense and No. 67 in scoring offense. Texas A&M is 13-27 ATS in its last 40 road games against teams averaging 37 or more ppg. Here, we play on home teams where the line is +3 to -3 off one or more consecutive unders, outscoring opponents by 10 or more ppg. This situation is 31-15 ATS (67.4 percent) over the last five seasons. 9* (196) Mississippi Rebels |
|||||||
11-13-21 | Ohio v. Cleveland State +1.5 | Top | 67-56 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 2 m | Show |
This is a play on the CLEVELAND ST. VIKINGS for our CBB Saturday Supreme Annihilator. Ohio made some noise last season when it upset Virginia in the first round of the NCAA Tournament before losing to Creighton in the second round. The Bobcats are expected to make a run at the MAC title this season after posting a 9-5 record a season ago. They bring back four starters but are short one of those heading into the season as the Bobcats are without starting forward Dwight Wilson III who averaged 15.2 ppg and 7.3 rpg last season and that is a big blow as the competition gets tougher. Ohio had no issues with Belmont as it won 12 points in its season opener and now it hits the road in a tough matchup against a team out for some serious revenge. Cleveland St. lost its season opener at BYU but put up a solid effort in a tough environment in the 10-point loss despite going just 4-16 from long range. The Vikings committed just six turnovers and now they are back in Cleveland for their home opener. They bring back all five starters from the team that went 19-8 overall including and 16-4 in the Horizon Conference and they are picked to win a second straight championship. Overall, Cleveland St. brings back 89 percent of its offense and 86 percent of its rebounding as 14 players are back. As for the revenge factor, the Vikings went to Athens last season and were humiliated 101-46 as they were outshot 59 percent to 23 percent and outrebounded 47-21. To put it into greater perspective, Ohio began the second half on a 35-0 run and the Vikings have not let that one go. The Vikings are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games as an underdog. 10* (634) Cleveland St. Vikings |
|||||||
11-13-21 | Hawaii -2.5 v. UNLV | 13-27 | Loss | -125 | 69 h 34 m | Show | |
This is a play on the HAWAII WARRIORS for our MWC Game of the Week. UNLV is coming off its first win of the season after a 0-8 start and there no chance for a bowl game, that was their bowl game. The Rebels have played some tight games but prior to the game against the Lobos, they were outgained in all eight games and on the season, they are getting outgained by 133.6 ypg while getting outscored by almost two touchdowns. They have been pathic on both sides of the ball. UNLV is ranked No. 124 in total offense and No. 115 in scoring offense while on defense, it is No. 102 overall and No. 113 in points allowed. They have scored 20 points or less in regulation in six of their nine games. The Rebels are 4-10 ATS in their last 14 games following an ATS win. Hawaii still has a chance for bowl eligibility as it is 3-6 and the final three games are all against teams with losing conference records. All six losses have come against teams that are all .500 or better so the Warriors are in a good spot here after coming off consecutive losses against Utah St. and San Diego St. which are a combined 8-2 in the conference and a combined 15-3 overall. Hawaii put up a great effort last week against the Aztecs as they lost by just seven point while winning the yardage battle. The Warriors are just 1-4 on the road but two losses came against Pac 12 teams while the other two came against the two division leaders in the MWC and the one victory came against a similar 1-8 team. The Warriors are 5-2-1 ATS in their last eight games after accumulating less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game. Here, we play on road teams where the line is +3 to -3 that are +/- 5 in ppg differential going up against teams -10 or worse in ppg differential, in conference games. This situation is 34-11 ATS (75.6 percent) over the last 10 seasons. 9* (165) Hawaii Warriors |