Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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09-21-18 | Washington State v. USC -3.5 | 36-39 | Loss | -105 | 79 h 16 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #310 USC Trojans over Washington State Cougars (10:30p.m., Friday, September 21 ESPN) USC appears to be in freefall at the moment but playing at home against Washington State should get them back on track. The Cougars beat the Trojans last year for the first time since 2002 and I do not see them winning two straight against a much more talented team. USC has won 12 straight conference games at the Coliseum. Washington State is 3-7 ATS in their last 10 road games. USC is 14-5 ATS in their last 19 games following a loss in their previous game. |
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09-16-18 | Giants +3 v. Cowboys | Top | 13-20 | Loss | -108 | 122 h 53 m | Show |
10 Unit Play. Take #287 New York Giants over Dallas Cowboys (8:20p.m., Sunday, September 16 NBC) Both teams are coming off losses in Week 1 but I just see more hope with the Giants compared to the Cowboys. Dallas used to have a strong offensive line but that is not the case anymore. They still have RB Elliott but defenses can stack the line against them since they do not have much deep threat wide receivers. Dallas is just 7-18 ATS in their last 25 home games against a divisional team. New York will win this game straight-up because they have many more weapons on offense compared to Dallas. New York has covered the spread in 5 of the last 7 meetings with Dallas. |
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09-16-18 | Patriots -1 v. Jaguars | 20-31 | Loss | -120 | 118 h 57 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #283 New England Patriots over Jacksonville Jaguars (4:25p.m., Sunday, September 16 CBS) This will be a litmus test for the Jaguars to show that they are one of the top teams in the AFC. The spread is low, and it is not often you find New England as only a slight favorite. New England has covered the spread in 10 of their last 11 games. With RB Fournette not 100% we will gladly take the team with the better quarterback in this game. New England is 14-3 ATS in their last 17 road games. Jacksonville is 1-10 ATS in their last 11 Week 2 games. |
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09-16-18 | Chiefs v. Steelers -5 | 42-37 | Loss | -105 | 114 h 29 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #272 Pittsburgh Steelers over Kansas City Chiefs (1p.m., Sunday, September 16 CBS) Pittsburgh gets up for Kansas City and they have beaten them in 6 out of the last 7 meetings. Pittsburgh did not play well last week against Cleveland but they have covered the spread in 6 of their last 8 home openers. Big Ben needs to bounce back after a terrible performance last week and expect him to do that in a big way. Pittsburgh’s rushing attack did not miss a beat without Le’Veon Bell and expect more of the same on Saturday. I am still not solid on QB Pat Mahomes despite his great performance last week in Los Angeles. This is the second straight road game for the Chiefs and that will catchup with them as Pittsburg wins this game by 10-13 points. |
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09-15-18 | Arizona State v. San Diego State +5 | 21-28 | Win | 100 | 100 h 57 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #210 San Diego State Aztecs over Arizona State Sun Devils (10:30p.m., Saturday, September 15 CBSSN) Everyone is drinking the Herm Edwards Kool-Aid after beating Michigan State last week and I feel this number is inflated. SDSU won in Tempe last year by double digits and I feel they have a good chance to win this game straight-up. Arizona State has Washington on deck and playing at his half empty stadium is always a touch task to get the adrenalin flowing. SDSU is not as strong as they have been in the past couple of years but they still play sound football and like to control the game with a strong running attack and solid defense and that should be able to chip away at the clock and keep them in this game for 60 minutes. ASU is 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games against MWC teams. SDSU is 9-4 ATS in their last 13 games following an ATS loss in their previous game. |
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09-15-18 | Washington v. Utah +7 | 21-7 | Loss | -115 | 100 h 36 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #206 Utah Utes over Washington Huskies (10p.m., Saturday, September 15 ESPN) I believe Utah is the team to beat in the PAC-12 South and getting points with them at home is a prime opportunity for a big play. Washington will be traveling for the second time in three weeks to open the season and this will be another hostile environment. Utah is 6-3 ATS as a home underdog and had Washington beat last year in Seattle before a late rally by the Huskies allowed them to emerge victorious. Washington is 0-4 ATS in their last 4 road games. Utah is 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games playing during the month of September. |
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09-15-18 | Ohio State v. TCU +13.5 | 40-28 | Win | 100 | 98 h 39 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #204 TCU Horned Frogs over Ohio State Buckeyes (8p.m., Saturday, September 15 ABC) This is the game that Ohio State will miss having Urban Meyer on the sidelines. This is a defacto home game for TCU since this game is be playing in Arlington and TCU is located in Fort Worth. TCU got off to a slow start against SMU last week but turned it on in the second half and they clearly had an eye on this game. The Frogs will have a coaching advantage in this game and I just do not see them losing by double digits. Ohio State has yet to be tested and I feel this game will go down to the wire. We will grab the points in this contest. |
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09-15-18 | North Texas v. Arkansas -7 | 44-17 | Loss | -106 | 93 h 23 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #174 Arkansas Razorbacks over North Texas Mean Green (4p.m., Saturday, September 15 SECN) The Razorbacks should be able to get back on track at home against North Texas on Saturday. This will be the first true road game for the Mean Green and they are just 8-16 ATS in their last 24 games as a road underdog. Arkansas had a big lead last week before Colorado State rallied to finally one a game this season. This will be a setup for North Texas and they are just 1-8 ATS in their last 9 games after allowing less than 20 points in their previous game. Arkansas losing last week makes them a play this week, as Coach Chad Morris will have his team’s attention all week and will play a full 4 quarters on Saturday. |
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09-15-18 | LSU +9.5 v. Auburn | 22-21 | Win | 100 | 93 h 57 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #153 LSU Tigers over Auburn Tigers (3:30p.m., Saturday, September 15 CBS) Not too many teams put more talent on the field than does LSU and Auburn is not one of those teams. LSU won last year and I see them game going down to the wire yet again. LSU has the defense to contain the Auburn offense and if LSU can protect the football they should be in position to win this game in the fourth quarter. LSU is 7-2 ATS in their last 9 road games. These have been low scoring games in the last 4 meetings in Auburn and getting close to double digits is too good to pass up. |
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09-15-18 | Tulane -3.5 v. UAB | Top | 24-31 | Loss | -110 | 49 h 2 m | Show |
10 Unit Play. Take #163 Tulane Green Wave over UAB Blazers (1p.m., Saturday, September 15 Facebook) NONCONFERENCE GAME OF THE YEAR UAB decided to bring back football for some reason after a two-year absence, but I just do not believe they can compete with teams from the American Athletic Conference. UAB is -77.5 ATS in their last 4 lined games and have lost 4 straight games against Tulane. The Green Wave are 9-3 ATS in their last 12 nonconference games. Tulane is 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games against UAB. Tulane just missed out on being bowl eligible last year and with Ohio State on deck this is a must win game for them in their hopes of reaching 6 wins. Tulane returns a ton of experience on offense led by QB Bank and WR Encalade. They should be able to pick apart the Blazers on defense and I just do not believe UAB will be able to keep pace. Tulane pulls away in the second half to win this game by double digits. |
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09-09-18 | Chiefs +3.5 v. Chargers | 38-28 | Win | 100 | 93 h 10 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #469 Kansas City Chiefs over Los Angeles Chargers (4:05p.m., Sunday September 9 CBS) We will gladly grab the points in this AFC West game. The Chiefs did not look very good for most of the preseason, but Andy Reid has never had a strong record in exhibition play. The Chargers always seem to start out the season slow and there is added pressure on them this year as many feel they are the teams to beat in the AFC West. Kansas City won both meetings last year by double digits and eight straight overall (6-2 ATS). Expect this to be a closer game by Kansas City pulls it out straight-up. |
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09-09-18 | Bills v. Ravens -7.5 | 3-47 | Win | 102 | 90 h 6 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #460 Baltimore Ravens over Buffalo Bills (1p.m., Sunday September 9 CBS) Many believe that this is a make or break year for Coach Harbaugh and he will be replaced if his team does not make the playoffs. They will be able to get off to a good start since Buffalo appears to be in rebuild mode after making the playoffs in 2017. The Ravens looked dominating in exhibition play and have scored over around 29 points per game over their last 9 contests. Baltimore is 7-3 ATS in their last 10 Week 1 games. |
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09-09-18 | Jaguars v. Giants +3 | Top | 20-15 | Loss | -100 | 95 h 53 m | Show |
10 Unit Play. Take #462 New York Giants over Jacksonville Jaguars (1p.m., Sunday September 9 FOX) Jacksonville is going to start the year in an unfamiliar role, as a road favorite. I see them taking a step back this season and things have to be better for the Giants in 2018. Jacksonville is just 2-6 ATS in road openers in recent years. QB Manning has numerous weapons this season, something he sorely lacked as the 2017 season progressed. Jacksonville’s defense feasted on bad quarterback play in their own division and I expect them to give up points and yards against effective quarterbacks. Jacksonville is 7-19 ATS in their last 26 games played during the month of December. |
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09-08-18 | Wyoming v. Missouri -18 | Top | 13-40 | Win | 100 | 77 h 51 m | Show |
10 Unit Play. Take #368 Missouri Tigers over Wyoming Cowboys (7p.m., Saturday September 8 ESPN U) The Tigers should have saw the blueprint of how to beat Wyoming if they scouted the game last week. Do not turn the ball over and make the Cowboys drive the 75 yards plus to score. Wyoming only had success last week against Washington State when the Cougars gave them short fields. The Cowboys were terrible on offense and will not be able to keep up in scoring in this game. Missouri has a tempo offense that usually scores points often and quickly especially against inferior competition. Wyoming is 2-7 ATS in their last 9 games played in September. Missouri is 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games. |
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09-08-18 | UMass v. Georgia Southern -2.5 | 13-34 | Win | 100 | 76 h 50 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #364 Georgia Southern Eagles over Massachusetts Minuteman (6p.m., Saturday September 8 ESPN+) The Minuteman got pounded last week against their in-state rivals and I do not see things getting any better on Saturday. The Eagles are a run heavy team and are a tough team to prep for with only a week’s time. UMASS pounded Georgia Southern last year and you can bet the Eagles have remembered that embarrassing performance. Throw in the fact this is the second straight road game for the Minutemen and I see the Eagles pulling away late. Georgia Southern is 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games. |
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09-08-18 | Colorado +4.5 v. Nebraska | 33-28 | Win | 100 | 73 h 23 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #353 Colorado Buffaloes over Nebraska Cornhuskers (3:30p.m., Saturday September 8 ABC) There is great excitement for the Scott Frost era in Lincoln, but like Chip Kelly found out last week success does not happen overnight. Colorado put forth a dominating performance last week against Colorado State and Nebraska has yet to play a game this season. Fan enthusiasm can only take Nebraska so far this season and I truly believe that the wrong team is favored in this game. Nebraska is 1-9 ATS (2 pushes) in their last 12 home games. Colorado is 11-4 ATS in their last 5 games against Nebraska. |
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09-08-18 | New Mexico v. Wisconsin -34.5 | 14-45 | Loss | -106 | 70 h 47 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #316 Wisconsin Badgers over New Mexico Lobos (12p.m., Saturday September 8 BTN) New Mexico is a poor man’s version of Wisconsin with a run heavy offense without a strong passing game. Wisconsin should be able to overpower New Mexico on both sides of the football. The Lobos dominated last week against a team nobody has heard of in Incarnate Word. Coach Chryst always seems to be aware of the point spread evident by the fact he had his quarterback throw deep late in the fourth quarter last Friday. New Mexico is 1-5 ATS in their last 6 nonconference games. Wisconsin is 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games after an ATS loss in their previous game. With New Mexico State on deck, the Lobos just want to get their payout from this game, stay healthy, and score a few points. They will lose by 40 points. |
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09-02-18 | Miami-FL -3 v. LSU | 17-33 | Loss | -109 | 18 h 19 m | Show | |
5-Unit Play. Take #217 Miami FL -3 over LSU (Sunday, September 2nd at 7:30 PM ET) Take Miami FL ATS as my 7-Unit CFB Smash for Sunday night. This pick falls into one of my top CFB systems and I have the Hurricanes winning this game by 10+ points Sunday night. The Hurricanes return 14 starts 7 on offense and 7 on defense including their quarterback while LSU returns just 10 starts with 5 on each side of the ball and not their starting quarterback from last season. This Canes team has never looked better and I expect them to get off to a quick start on both sides of the ball that will silence the crowd in Dallas. The Hurricanes were one of only 22 teams in all of college football to allow less than 20 ppg last year during the regular season and you can expect this defense to be hungry for the turnover chain again this season. The Canes are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games played during the month of September and the Tigers are just 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games against an ACC opponent. Play Miami FL ATS. |
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09-01-18 | Marshall -1 v. Miami-OH | 35-28 | Win | 100 | 99 h 2 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #179 Marshall Thundering Herd over Miami (OH) Redhawks (3:30p.m., Saturday September 1 ESPN+) This was a very competitive game in 2017 with Marshall pulling out a 31-26 victory. That is about how I see this game going as well, with the traditional of success Marshall has being the difference. The Herd has dominated this series winning 9 of the 10 meetings (7-3 ATS). Both teams return a ton of experience but Marshall was 4-0 ATS in 2017 in their last 4 road games and Miami is just 3-9 ATS in their last 12 games. |
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09-01-18 | Washington State v. Wyoming +1.5 | Top | 41-19 | Loss | -106 | 97 h 60 m | Show |
10 Unit Play. Take #206 Wyoming Cowboys over Washington State Cougars (3:30p.m., Saturday September 1 CBSSN) TOP PLAY OF THE WEEKEND. Wyoming lost QB Josh Allen to the Buffalo Bills but they return a ton of starters all around that position. Washington State does not start off well under Coach Mike Leach, losing 5 of their 6 openers including two against FCS teams. Wyoming has a strong defense and playing in Laramie is always a tough challenge. Wyoming is 9-2 ATS in their last 11 games. Washington State is 1-4 ATS in their last 5 road games. Getting points makes this our strongest play, as we fully expect the Cowboys to win this game straight-up. |
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09-01-18 | Houston -25 v. Rice | 45-27 | Loss | -108 | 94 h 43 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #153 Houston Cougars over Rice Owls (12p.m., Saturday September 1 CBSSN) The Owls are in a complete rebuild with a new coach after going 1-11 last season. They won last week against Prairie View A&M and that may be their only win they get this season. Houston has won the last 4 meetings with Rice by an average of 25 points per game. Rice was 0-4 ATS in nonconference games in 2017 and they are 2-7 ATS in their last 9 games when they are a double-digit underdog. Houston is 14-5 ATS in their last 19 games played in September. Rice is 1-6 ATS in their last 7 home games. |
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08-31-18 | Colorado State v. Colorado -7.5 | 13-45 | Win | 100 | 79 h 11 m | Show | |
3 Unit Play. Take #148 Colorado Buffaloes over Colorado State Rams (9:30p.m., Friday August 31 CBSSN) Colorado State got embarrassed last week against Hawaii. Their offense put up a ton of yards but most of it came in garbage time as they were down big in the second half and had to throw the football on every down. Colorado has owned this series of late going 8-2 and winning by an average of 16 points per game. The Buffaloes have tape on the Rams and that should benefit them a great deal in this game. Expect them to jump on the Rams early and cruise to a double-digit victory. |
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08-31-18 | San Diego State v. Stanford -14 | 10-31 | Win | 100 | 79 h 39 m | Show | |
3 Unit Play. Take #150 Stanford Cardinal over San Diego State Aztecs (9p.m., Friday August 31 FS1) The Aztecs were not the same team as the 2017 season progressed. They started 6-0 but then got blown out in back to back home games and also suffered an embarrassing bowl loss to Army. Stanford has revenge in their corner after losing at San Diego in 2017 to this Aztec team. It will be hard for the Aztecs to overpower the Cardinal and I just do not believe SDSU can make enough plays in the passing game to have this be a competitive game. Stanford has won 10 straight home openers by an average of 25 points per game. SDSU is 6-13 ATS in their last 19 games against PAC-12 teams. Stanford is 7-2 ATS in their last 9 games played on Friday. |
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08-30-18 | Central Florida v. Connecticut +23.5 | 56-17 | Loss | -110 | 53 h 37 m | Show | |
3 Unit Play. Take #134 Connecticut Huskies over UCF Golden Knights (7p.m., Thursday August 30 ESPN U) We saw last week with Hawaii and Colorado State and feel the same theme holds true again. This is just too many points to be giving in an opening game, especially an opening conference game. UCF is still loaded but I do not believe Josh Heupel is on par as a coach with Scott Frost. UCONN is 12-3 straight-up in home openers. The Golden Knights will pull away late and win this game by double digits, but it will fall short of this huge number. |
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08-25-18 | Hawaii +14.5 v. Colorado State | 43-34 | Win | 100 | 101 h 52 m | Show | |
2 Unit Play. Take #293 Hawaii Rainbow Warriors over Colorado State Rams (7:30p.m., Saturday August 25 CBSSN) The Rams lost a ton of talent from last year and have been without their head coach Mike Bobo. He is dealing with an illness and I just do not see a blowout against a conference opponent. Hawaii took a step back last year under Nick Rolovich but they will be competitive in this game losing to the Rams by just single digits. Colorado State is 0-6 ATS in their last 6 home games. Hawaii is 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games played during August. |
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02-04-18 | Eagles v. Patriots -4 | Top | 41-33 | Loss | -107 | 126 h 46 m | Show |
10 Unit Play. Take #102 New England Patriots over Philadelphia Eagles (6:30p.m., Sunday February 4 NBC) I feel this is a pretty solid line, but I just cannot see New England losing this game straight-up. All of the Tom Brady Super Bowl games have been close and New England is just due for a convincing win to cap off a great career of Brady and Belichick. Nick Foles still cannot be trusted and I do not expect him to be able to put up big numbers on a neutral field against this New England defense. Philadelphia is just 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games against teams with a winning record. New England is 16-5 ATS in their last 21 games against teams with a winning record. |
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01-21-18 | Vikings v. Eagles +3.5 | 7-38 | Win | 100 | 126 h 43 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #314 Philadelphia Eagles over Minnesota Vikings (6:40p.m., Sunday January 21 FOX) Both teams are lucky to be alive as their divisional opponents had chances to beat them late in each of their games. That being said I still expect the Eagles to play the no respect card throughout the week as they are once again a home underdog. Philadelphia is 3-0 lifetime against Minnesota in the playoffs and they are 8-1 this season at home (only loss was Week 17 – meaningless game). The Eagles held Atlanta to just 281 total yards last week and the Falcons have a more explosive offense than does Minnesota. Turnovers will play a huge role in this game but playing at home will allow Philadelphia to pull this game out by a field goal. Philadelphia is 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games against teams with a winning record. |
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01-21-18 | Jaguars v. Patriots -8.5 | 20-24 | Loss | -104 | 122 h 8 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #312 New England Patriots over Jacksonville Jaguars (3:05p.m., Sunday January 21 CBS) Much like last week, I just cannot put my money going against the Patriots. New England might not be as strong as they were in past years but the teams in the conference are much worse compared to them. The Patriots have a huge edge in quarterback play and I just do not believe Blake Bortles can repeat his performance from last week. New England has great success covering these big numbers and at some point, in this game QB Brady will figure out the Jaguars defense and pick them apart in the passing game. New England is 7-2 ATS against teams with a winning record this season. New England is 36-15 ATS (2 pushes) in their last 53 home games. Despite covering the spread last week, Jacksonville is 2-5 ATS in their last 7 road playoff games. |
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01-14-18 | Saints v. Vikings -4 | Top | 24-29 | Win | 100 | 121 h 28 m | Show |
10 Unit Play. Take #308 Minnesota Vikings over New Orleans (4:40p.m., Sunday January 14 FOX) The Vikings will complete the season sweep of the Saints on Sunday. The Vikings have won 10 of their last 11 games and already beat the Saints by double digits. Despite the Saints being much improved on defense they are still at a major disadvantage in this game with an advantage of all three components of the defense (line, linebackers, and secondary). QB Brees will have to play outstanding for New Orleans to be competitive in this game and I do not see that happening. His receivers made remarkable catches last week against Carolina and I just do not believe that they can do that for a second consecutive week. New Orleans has not been playing that well of late going 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games. Minnesota is 34-16 ATS (1 push) in their last 41 home games. Best of Luck – Doc’s Sports |
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01-13-18 | Titans v. Patriots -13 | 14-35 | Win | 100 | 101 h 5 m | Show | |
3 Unit Play. Take #304 New England Patriots over Tennessee Titans (8:15p.m., Saturday January 13 CBS) Tennessee is nowhere on the same level as New England. The Patriots had a week to rest up and they are also wanting to make a statement to the media that they are a united bunch. New England is 11-2 over the past 3 years when they are a double-digit favorite. I just do not believe Tennessee has the weapons to exploit a suspect New England defense. The Patriots are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 playoff games. The Titans are 9-20 ATS in their last 29 road games. |
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01-13-18 | Falcons v. Eagles +3 | Top | 10-15 | Win | 100 | 97 h 15 m | Show |
10 Unit Play. Take #302 Philadelphia Eagles over Atlanta Falcons (4:35p.m., Saturday January 13 NBC) Everyone is on the Atlanta Falcons bandwagon and off the Philadelphia Eagles. A No. 1 seed has never been an underdog in the divisional round but that is the case on Saturday. The Eagles still have a ton of talent around the quarterback position and they will be able to play the no respect card in a big way on Saturday. Atlanta had the benefit of playing in a warm weather city last week but that will not be the case in Philadelphia this Saturday. QB Ryan has not played up to his MVP standards of a year ago and I still have no confidence in their offensive coordinator. The Eagles have a top ranked defense against the run and that should make Atlanta one-dimensional. The Falcons are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 playoff games. Philadelphia is 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games against teams with a winning record. |
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01-08-18 | Alabama -4.5 v. Georgia | 26-23 | Loss | -102 | 151 h 54 m | Show | |
3 Unit Play. Take #151 Take Alabama Crimson Tide over Georgia Bulldogs (8:45p.m., Monday January 8 ESPN) Just cannot put my hard-earned money going against Nick Saban and Alabama. We rode them against Clemson and that game was never really in doubt. Alabama is the gold standard in college football and to beat them you need a quarterback that can stretch the field vertically. Georgia does not have that, and I believe they are just a poor man’s version of what Alabama is. Nick Saban does not lose games against former assistants and I just do not believe Georgia will be able to run the football between the tackles. Alabama is not strong on offense either, but they play a style that does not put much pressure on QB Hurst and as along as they take care of the football they will win this game by double-digits. Alabama is 5-1 ATS in their last 6 neutral site games. |
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01-07-18 | Panthers +6.5 v. Saints | 26-31 | Win | 100 | 123 h 15 m | Show | |
3 Unit Play. Take #107 Carolina Panthers over New Orleans Saints (4:30p.m., Sunday January 7 FOX) Nothing came easy in the NFC South this season and I do not see a blowout with two teams that are very familiar with one another. One of the hardest things to do in sports in beat a team three times in one season and that is what the Saints are trying to do. Carolina is 8-1 this season in games decided by 8 points or fewer and will enter this game having won 3 of their last 4. I do not believe they were going all out to win last Sunday and that will certainly not be the case today since this is an elimination game. The Saints have not been as explosive on offense during the month of December and for them to cover this spread, QB Drees will have to put up 24+ points. New Orleans is 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games overall. Carolina is 7-3 ATS in their last 10 road games. |
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01-06-18 | Falcons v. Rams -6 | 26-13 | Loss | -120 | 103 h 41 m | Show | |
3 Unit Play. Take #104 Los Angeles Rams over Atlanta Falcons (8:15p.m., Saturday January 6 NBC) The Rams are back and should have no problem taking down the defending NFC Champions. Atlanta just was not the same team all season long and I believe Los Angeles has better personal on both sides of the football. QB Ryan has not thrown multiple touchdown passes in his last six games. The Rams have not had much of a home field advantage for most of the season but that will change for this game. People in LA love events and hosting their first playoff game in over two decades will bring out the masses. Atlanta is 2-7 ATS in their last 9 playoff games. Los Angeles is 8-2 ATS (1 push) in their last 11 games following a double-digit loss at home. |
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01-01-18 | Alabama -2.5 v. Clemson | 24-6 | Win | 100 | 151 h 21 m | Show | |
5 Unit Play. #273 Take Alabama Crimson Tide over Clemson Tigers (Sugar Bowl, Monday, 1/1 8:45 pm ESPN) MAGNIFICENT 7 GAME Despite being the No. 1 overall seed, the Tigers got a bad draw having to face Alabama in New Orleans. Alabama has the most talent of any roster in college football and this long layoff will allow them to get healthy especially on the defensive side of the football. Clemson will have trouble running the football against Alabama, as they allow under 100 yards per game rushing. Throw in the fact that Alabama has revenge on their minds from Clemson defeating them last year and I just do not believe Kelly Bryant can move the football like Deshaun Watson did against Alabama. The Crimson Tide is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 neutral site games. |
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01-01-18 | Central Florida +10 v. Auburn | 34-27 | Win | 100 | 143 h 2 m | Show | |
3 Unit Play. #267 Take UCF Golden Knights over Auburn Tigers (Peach Bowl, Monday, 1/1 12:30 pm ESPN) UCF has a remarkable season and I believe they will be able to score points to keep this game somewhat competitive. One must question the Tigers motivation for this game after not making the playoff by suffering their third loss of the season in the SEC Championship Game. UCF will need to sell out to stop the run against Auburn and make the Tigers beat them through the air. Auburn is 0-4 ATS (1 push) in their last 5 nonconference games. |
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12-31-17 | Raiders +9.5 v. Chargers | 10-30 | Loss | -130 | 123 h 34 m | Show | |
3 Unit Play. #325 Take Oakland Raiders over Los Angeles Chargers (Sunday 4:25 pm CBS) The Raiders should have beaten the best team in the league on Christmas night, but they were done in by turnovers and missed field goals. Despite losing three straight games, the Raiders have been competitive in their last two games and I just do not believe they will throw in the towel and not come ready to play in Week 17. Los Angeles is 8-20 ATS in their last 28 home games. Just too many points to be giving in this divisional match-up. |
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12-31-17 | 49ers +4 v. Rams | 34-13 | Win | 100 | 123 h 33 m | Show | |
3 Unit Play. #331 Take San Francisco 49ers over Los Angeles Rams (Sunday 4:25 pm FOX) We will keep riding the 49ers and Jimmy Garoppolo until proven otherwise. We have used them the last two weeks and expect them to cover again and win their fifth straight game to close out the regular season. This game means nothing for the Rams and they are just 3-14 ATS in their last 17 games as a home favorite in a divisional game. Los Angeles only beat San Francisco by 2 points in the first meeting this season and that was when San Francisco was in disarray and had yet to record a win. The 49ers are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 road games. |
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12-31-17 | Texans +4 v. Colts | 13-22 | Loss | -110 | 119 h 20 m | Show | |
3 Unit Play. #315 Take Houston Texans over Indianapolis Colts (Sunday 1 pm CBS) Just do not believe that the Colts are good enough to be favored over anyone in the NFL not named the Browns. Houston lost to Indianapolis at home this season and losing twice to them might cause Houston to consider making a coaching change. Indianapolis has not scored more than 20 points since 10/29 and thus it makes covering this number even more difficult. Houston is 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games following a double-digit loss at home in their previous game. Indianapolis is 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games against AFC South teams. |
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12-30-17 | Washington v. Penn State -1.5 | Top | 28-35 | Win | 100 | 98 h 14 m | Show |
10 Unit Play. #262 Take Penn State Nittany Lions over Washington Huskies (Fiesta Bowl, Saturday, 12/30 4 pm ESPN) COLLEGE BOWL GAME OF THE YEAR, MAGNIFICENT 7 GAME I felt all season long that Penn State was the best team in the Big 10. They blew the game against Ohio State and they got tripped up the following week at Michigan State in a game delayed by weather. Despite Washington returning a ton of players from last year’s team that made the playoff, they did not look very impressive this season. They lost two games in which there were favored and played a very weak nonconference schedule. Penn State played a much more difficult schedule and they have a major edge on offense especially in the trenches. Penn State won their last three games to close out the regular season by an average of 35 points per game and I believe they will win this game by double digits as well. Penn State is 9-2 ATS (2 pushes) in their last 13 games against teams with a winning record. Washington is 1-4 ATS in their last 5 nonconference games. |
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12-30-17 | Iowa State v. Memphis -3.5 | 21-20 | Loss | -110 | 95 h 54 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. #260 Take Memphis Tigers over Iowa State Cyclones (Liberty Bowl, Saturday, 12/30 12:30 pm ABC) MAGNIFICENT 7 GAME Memphis has the advantage of playing this game in this home stadium and they should be able to take care of business against Iowa State. The Cyclones got a lot of praise midway through the season, but they finished just 7-5 losing three of their final four games. Memphis has a major edge on offense and they scored 15 touchdowns on plays for 40 or more yards. The Tigers are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games following a loss in their previous game. Memphis has a very experienced team that they want to make a statement against a team from the Power 5. |
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12-29-17 | USC +8.5 v. Ohio State | 7-24 | Loss | -115 | 79 h 6 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. #255 Take Southern Cal Trojans over Ohio State Buckeyes (Cotton Bowl, Friday, 12/29 8:30 pm ESPN) MAGNIFICENT 7 GAME What a match-up the Cotton Bowl got this year as the traditional Rose Bowl match-up moves west. Just do not know how motivated Ohio State will be for this game since they were not selected for the four-team playoff. USC has beaten Ohio State 7 straight times and Ohio State just is not an offensive machine like they have been in previous years under Urban Meyer. QB Sam Donald is 20-2 as a starting quarterback and USC has the edge at the quarterback position with a future NFL player behind center for them. Ohio State has ample opportunities to blow out Wisconsin yet could not do that. Ohio State is 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games against teams with a winning record. |
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12-29-17 | Kentucky +8 v. Northwestern | 23-24 | Win | 100 | 75 h 7 m | Show | |
5 Unit Play. #251 Take Kentucky Wildcats over Northwestern Wildcats (Music City Bowl, Friday, 12/29 4:30 pm ESPN) MAGNIFICENT 7 GAME Just do not see a blowout in this battle of Wildcats. Northwestern is 9-3 but they benefitted from play in the Big 10 West and won three overtime games in a row. Kentucky has a strong defense and Northwestern does not have an explosive offense. I believe the long layoff will help Kentucky get back on track and may hurt the momentum Northwestern had to finish out the season. If Kentucky can stabilize this game early expect it to go down to the wire and thus we will collect with the underdog regardless who comes out on top. |
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12-28-17 | Michigan State +1 v. Washington State | 42-17 | Win | 100 | 56 h 33 m | Show | |
5 Unit Play. #277 Take Michigan State Spartans over Washington State Cougars (Holiday Bowl, Thursday, 12/28 9 pm FS1) MAGNIFICENT 7 GAME The Spartans had a great bounce back season this year going 9-3 and 7-2 in Big 10 play. Michigan State has a strong defense to match-up well with Washington State’s passing attack as they are 14th in passing efficiency. Washington State put a lot into the Apple Cup and they got killed in that game to close out the regular season, 41-14. Washington State has not performed well in their last three bowl games, losing two of them and scoring just 32 combine points in their last two years. Michigan State is 4-0 ATS in their last 4 bowl games. Washington State is 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games against teams from the Big 10. |
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12-27-17 | Purdue v. Arizona -3 | 38-35 | Loss | -120 | 198 h 34 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. #276 Take Arizona Wildcats over Purdue Boilermakers (Foster Farms Bowl, Wednesday, 12/27 8:30 pm FOX) Both teams are happy to be bowling are Arizona had a remarkable turnaround very few people saw coming. Arizona has a dynamic offense behind Khalil Tate, who can beat you will his arm and his legs. Purdue does not have many offenses like Arizona has in the Big 10 West and generally better offenses are the way to go in bowl games since there is a long layoff. Purdue is 1-5 ATS in their last 6 bowl games. |
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12-27-17 | Southern Miss +16.5 v. Florida State | 13-42 | Loss | -110 | 191 h 36 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. #235 Take Southern Miss Golden Eagles over Florida State Seminoles (Independence Bowl, Wednesday, 12/27 1:30 pm ESPN) Magnificent 7 Game. Florida State has not been able to reach the playoffs the last couple of years, but they last two years they still won games at a high rate. 2017 was a much different story, as they fell of a cliff and had to win their last game just to become bowl eligible. Just do not believe that they will be up for this game and they are playing a team that wants to win the Independence Bowl. Southern Miss won 8 games this season and they are solid on both sides of the football. FSU is going through a coaching change and their offense was terrible most of the season. Hard to believe FSU fans are excited about this game and Golden Eagle fans can drive to this game. Florida State is 2-6 ATS in their last 8 neutral site games. Southern Miss is 4-1 in their last 5 nonconference games. |
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12-26-17 | Kansas State v. UCLA +2.5 | 35-17 | Loss | -105 | 174 h 7 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. #234 Take UCLA Bruins over Kansas State Wildcats (Cactus Bowl, Tuesday, 12/26 9 pm ESPN) You can pretty much pencil in Kansas State for seven wins every year that Bill Snyder coaches this team. They have not done well in the past few bowl games going 2-5 straight-up (2-5 ATS). I believe UCLA got a boast by hiring Chip Kelly as their new head coach. They also have Josh Rosen and the Wildcats had trouble slowing down many quarterbacks in the Big 12. Kansas State will play smart and not beat themselves I just do not believe they are explosive on either side of the football. If UCLA does not turnover the football they will win this game straight-up. Kansas State is 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games against PAC 12 teams. |
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12-24-17 | Jaguars v. 49ers +4.5 | 33-44 | Win | 100 | 121 h 5 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. #124 Take San Francisco 49ers over Jacksonville Jaguars (Sunday 4:05 pm CBS) We will continue to ride the 49ers after cashing for us last week. Jimmy Garoppolo is 3-0 as a starter (3-0 ATS). Still not sold on QB Blake Bortles and they feasted on Houston last week and I just do not see him being able to consistently win games on the road. Jacksonville has bad road losses this season at the Jets and at the Cardinals. Expect this to be a field goal game and we will cover the spread with whoever comes out on top. |
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12-24-17 | Chargers v. Jets +7.5 | 14-7 | Win | 100 | 118 h 3 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. #108 Take New York Jets over Los Angeles Chargers (Sunday 1 pm CBS) The Chargers saw their hopes for making the playoffs all but disappear with their poor showing against the Chiefs last Saturday. Just do not feel they can get up for this game (2nd straight road game) while making a cross country flight to New York. The Jets have won more games than most people thought they would this season and this is their last home game. They played decent at New Orleans last week and I just do not see them getting run off the field since both teams do not have much to play for. New York is 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games as a home underdog (won straight-up 5 of those games). |
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12-24-17 | Browns +6.5 v. Bears | 3-20 | Loss | -110 | 118 h 1 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. #111 Take Cleveland Browns over Chicago Bears (Sunday 1 pm CBS) Many people believed this is the game Cleveland would win this season to avoid an 0-16 winless season. The Bears are never a strong play as a favorite and they are 0-6 ATS (0-6 straight-up) in their last 6 games as a home favorite. John Fox has not done enough to earn another season and Mitch Trubisky threw three interceptions last week in Detroit. The Bears are banged up in the trenches on both sides of the football and the underdog is 7-2 ATS (1 push) in Chicago’s last 10 games. |
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12-23-17 | Texas Tech v. South Florida -2.5 | 34-38 | Win | 100 | 93 h 8 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. #222 Take USF Bulls over Texas Tech Red Raiders (Birmingham Bowl, Saturday, 12/23 12 pm ESPN) Been a fan of this USF team all season long and they had an impressive 9-2 record in the very offensive heavy American Athletic Conference. The Bulls should have little trouble moving the football up and down the field against Texas Tech, one of the worst defenses in the country. Texas Tech is very inexperienced, and they were fortunate to win six games to become bowl eligible. The last time Texas Tech made a bowl game they got pounded and expect a similar result today against a Group of 5 team ready to pound a team from a major conference. |
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12-17-17 | Patriots -2 v. Steelers | 27-24 | Win | 100 | 123 h 34 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. #325 Take New England Patriots over Pittsburg Steelers (Sunday 4:25 pm CBS) The No. 1 seed in the AFC is likely on the line when the Patriots take on the Steelers in Pittsburgh, PA on Sunday afternoon. Pittsburgh is coming off two victories in which they were less than impressive against inferior teams. New England was flat last week against Miami, but they are never down for long and expect a big bounce back in this game. The Patriots are 3-0 against the Steelers the last two years and QB Brady has a 22-0 touchdown to interception ratio in his last 7 games against them. |
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12-17-17 | Titans v. 49ers -2 | 23-25 | Push | 0 | 76 h 31 m | Show | |
7 Unit Play. #328 Take San Francisco 49ers over Tennessee Titans (Sunday 4:25 pm CBS) TOP NFL PLAY OF THE WEEK. The 49ers are coming off back-to-back wins for the first time in a couple of years, and look for them to make it three in a row on Sunday. Tennessee is just not that good, and it appears their quarterback may be overrated. Tennessee lost to Arizona last week, and they have won just 2 of their past six road games (1-5 ATS). San Francisco has won two straight road games, and expect the home crowd to be engaged for the first time this season since they may have found their franchise quarterback in Jimmy Garoppolo. Tennessee is 3-13 ATS (1 push) in their last 17 road games against teams with a losing home record. |
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12-17-17 | Rams v. Seahawks -1.5 | 42-7 | Loss | -110 | 122 h 15 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. #324 Take Seattle Seahawks over Los Angeles Rams (Sunday 4:05 pm FOX) Both teams are coming off losses in their previous game but Seattle at home is always a tough out for teams. The Hawks already beat the Rams this season in Los Angeles. Seattle is 17-8 ATS in their last 25 divisional games as a home favorite. The Rams should have won last week against the Eagles especially when QB Wentz went down with a torn ACL, but they allowed the back-up to win the game in come from behind fashion. Just not sure if they are ready to win the NFC West. Los Angeles is 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games following an loss in their previous game. |
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12-17-17 | Bengals +11 v. Vikings | 7-34 | Loss | -110 | 119 h 11 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. #311 Take Cincinnati Bengals over Minnesota Vikings (Sunday 1 pm CBS) The Vikings need just one victory to clinch the NFC North Division for just the second time since 2009. The were riding high entering last Sunday with an 8-game winning streak before suffering a loss at Carolina. We hit with Carolina last week and expect the Bengals to keep this closer than most believe this Sunday at US Bank Stadium. Minnesota is home for the first time in 4 weeks and with so much on the line for them I expect them to come out nervous and play this game not to lose. Cincinnati was terrible last week against Chicago but expect pride to take over and they will play much better this week. The Bengals are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 road games. |
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12-17-17 | Packers +3 v. Panthers | 24-31 | Loss | -115 | 72 h 5 m | Show | |
3 Unit Play. #309 Take Green Bay Packers over Carolina Panthers (Sunday 1 pm FOX) The Packers are still a long shot to make the playoffs, but they did get back QB Aaron Rodgers for this game and all three of their remaining opponents are ahead of them in the playoff standings. Carolina put up an impressive victory last week against Minnesota, but this team has not handled prosperity well over the years and expect them to take a step back this week. If Green Bay can stop the run I believe they will take this game down to the wire and pull it out by a field goal late. Green Bay is 25-10 in their last 35 games played during the month of December. |
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12-16-17 | Middle Tennessee State v. Arkansas State -3.5 | 35-30 | Loss | -105 | 55 h 5 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. #210 Take Arkansas State Red Wolves over Middle Tennessee State Blue Raiders (Camellia Bowl, Saturday, 12/16 8 pm ESPN) These teams are very familiar with one another and Arkansas State has won the last three meetings, all of them by blowouts (51-24, 45-19, 45-0). QB Justice Hanson put up monster numbers this season throwing for over 3,600 yards and 8.4 yards per attempt. There will be a lot of points in this game, but I just believe the Red Wolves will pull away late and win this game by double digits. MTSU is 0-4 ATS in their last 4 bowl games. Arkansas State is 14-6 ATS in their last 20 games overall. |
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12-16-17 | Oregon v. Boise State +8.5 | 28-38 | Win | 100 | 98 h 42 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. #206 Take Boise State Broncos over Oregon Ducks (Las Vegas Bowl, Saturday, 12/16 3:30 pm ABC) This is just too many points to be giving against Boise State. The Broncos thrive as an underdog and have covered the spread in 6 of their last 8 bowl games against Power 5 teams. Boise State is also 2-0 ATS this season as an underdog. Oregon has their quarterback back but lost their head coach who now is in charge at Florida State. Oregon just does not appear to be getting back to national dominance any time soon. Oregon is 1-7 ATS in their last 8 games following an ATS win in their previous game. Boise State is 4-1 ATS following a victory in their previous game. |
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12-10-17 | Eagles v. Rams -1 | 43-35 | Loss | -120 | 122 h 40 m | Show | |
3 Unit Play. #128 Take Los Angeles Rams over Philadelphia Eagles (Sunday 4:25 pm FOX) Tough situation for the Eagles having to stay on the west coast after losing to Seattle last Sunday night. These may be the two best teams they have faced all season long and I do not see things getting any easier this Sunday in Los Angeles. The Rams are on a 6-1 ATS run over their last 7 games and I just do not believe in the Eagles fully. Philadelphia has trampled bad teams and Los Angeles has a ton of talent on both sides of the football. The Eagles are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games played during the month of December. The Rams are 8-3 ATS (1 push) in their last 12 home games against teams with a winning road record. |
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12-10-17 | Vikings v. Panthers +3 | 24-31 | Win | 100 | 118 h 17 m | Show | |
3 Unit Play. #116 Take Carolina Panthers over Minnesota Vikings (Sunday 1 pm FOX) People keep waiting for the Vikings to come back down after such a high with Case Keenum as their quarterback. Sooner or later this is going to happen as his track record is not good. This is the third straight road game for the Vikings and that will eventually catch up with them. What this selection comes down to is that the Panthers just need this game more to keep their playoff hopes alive. All the trends in recent weeks favor the Vikings but despite their success most people do not believe they are a true threat to reach the Super Bowl. Carolina is 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games following an loss in their previous game. |
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12-10-17 | Packers -3 v. Browns | 27-21 | Win | 100 | 118 h 16 m | Show | |
3 Unit Play. #117 Take Green Bay Packers over Cleveland Browns (Sunday 1 pm FOX) The Packers still feel they have a chance to make the playoffs and for that to occur this is a must win game. The Browns just do not have a strong offense, as they have been held under 300 yards for the seventh time this year. Green Bay is 3-1 against the new Browns (3-1 ATS) and has won those three games by an average of 23 points. Cleveland hung around last week against Los Angeles covering the spread, but they never threatened to win that game. Covering a 14-point spread is much different than covering a field goal spread. Green Bay is 9-2 ATS in their last 11 games played during December. Cleveland is 7-19 ATS in their last 26 home games. |
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12-03-17 | Browns +14.5 v. Chargers | 10-19 | Win | 100 | 121 h 49 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. #371 Take Cleveland Browns over Los Angeles Chargers (Sunday 4:05 pm CBS) It is not often you find a team that is under .500 on the season but this big of a favorite in the NFL. But this may be a good luck charm for the Browns, as this is the only team Hue Jackson has beaten during his tenure as Browns coach (1-26 overall). Cleveland put up 405 yards last week outgaining the Bengals. If they do that again and take care of the football I believe they can keep this deficit in single digits. San Diego is 7-19 ATS in their last 26 home games. |
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12-03-17 | Chiefs -3 v. Jets | 31-38 | Loss | -120 | 118 h 45 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. #367 Take Kansas City Chiefs over New York Jets (Sunday 1 pm CBS) We will go against the grain in this game and look for the Chiefs to bounce back against the Jets. Kansas City has a major edge in talent on both sides of the football and if they play to their potential they will win this game by double digits. Despite losing five of their last six games, the Chiefs still sit atop the standing in the AFC West. Kansas City is 9-3 ATS in their last 12 games. Sooner or later the Chiefs will figure this out and get back on track and hopefully that starts on Sunday. |
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12-03-17 | Bucs v. Packers +1.5 | 20-26 | Win | 100 | 93 h 19 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. #366 Take Green Bay Packers over Tampa Bay Buccaneers (Sunday 1 pm FOX) Brett Hundley played his best game of the season last week in Pittsburgh and look for the Packers to get back on track the next two weeks against inferior competition. Green Bay put up 462 total yards on offense last week and they have won the two most recent meetings with Tampa Bay. The Buccaneers are also playing their third straight road game and playing in Green Bay in December is much different than practicing during the week in South Florida. Tampa Bay is 0-6 ATS in their last 6 games against NFC teams. Green Bay is 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games played during the month of December. |
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12-02-17 | Ohio State v. Wisconsin +7 | Top | 27-21 | Win | 100 | 101 h 1 m | Show |
10 Unit Play. #328 Take Wisconsin Badgers over Ohio State Buckeyes (Saturday 8 pm FOX) People keep doubting the Badgers but all the do is win games and I just do not see this Ohio State team being able to run up and down the field on them. This is the best defense Wisconsin has ever had and QB J.T. Barrett is not the type of quarterback that can beat teams throwing the ball consistently down the field. Wisconsin looked much more impressive in games against Iowa and Michigan than did Ohio State (common opponents). This just has a different feeling that other Wisconsin appearances in the Big 10 Title Game. This Badger team is extremely confident on both sides of the football and this not as strong of Buckeye team as we have seen in the past. Ohio State is 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games overall. Wisconsin has covered the spread in 4 straight games. Expect a game that is very competitive that goes down to the wire, but Wisconsin pulls it out by a field goal to advance to the CFP. |
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12-02-17 | Georgia v. Auburn -2 | 28-7 | Loss | -110 | 97 h 48 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. #322 Take Auburn Tigers over Georgia Bulldogs (Saturday 4 pm CBS) The SEC East teams have not won this game since 2008 and I do not believe this will be the year that will change. Auburn is riding high after beating Alabama last week. They got banged up in that game at the running back position, but I still believe they are the better team against Georgia. The Bulldogs struggle when they cannot run the football and that will be the key for the Tigers to have success. Auburn is 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games played in December. |
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12-02-17 | Georgia Southern -2.5 v. Costal Carolina | 17-28 | Loss | -115 | 94 h 49 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. #309 Take Georgia Southern Eagles over Costal Carolina Chanticleers (Saturday 1 pm ESPN 3) Apparently Georgia Southern is the best 2-9 team in the country. I watched their entire game last week against Louisiana and it was no fluke that they were the better team. Now they are on the road again facing a Chanticleer team that will likely be without QB Tyler Keane. The Eagles have played their best two games of the season the last two weeks and look for them to complete the trifecta on Saturday. Coastal Carolina is 0-4 ATS in their last 4 home games. Georgia Southern is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games overall. |
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12-01-17 | Stanford v. USC -4 | 28-31 | Loss | -105 | 77 h 51 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. #304 Take Southern Cal Trojans over Stanford Cardinal (Friday 8 pm ESPN) USC is the fresher team for this championship and sooner or later a team from the south will win this game. USC already beat Stanford by 18 points this season and they have a major edge in talent for this game. Stanford had a physical game with Notre Dame last week and if USC can stop their rushing attack and do not believe they will be able to move the ball and score points. Stanford is 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games following an ATS victory in their previous game. |
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11-26-17 | Saints v. Rams -2.5 | 20-26 | Win | 100 | 121 h 52 m | Show | |
3 Unit Play. #268 Take Los Angeles Rams over New Orleans Saints (Sunday 4:25 pm CBS) The are two of the surprise teams in the NFC this season. The Rams laid an egg in the second half against Minnesota last week but expect them to bounce back in a big way today at the Coliseum. The Saints have won eight straight games but exhausted a lot of energy last week to beat the Redskins in overtime last week at the Superdome. Over his career Drew Brees has not been the same quarterback when playing outdoors and the Saints have a much more important game the following week against Carolina. The Rams are 7-3 ATS (1 push) in their last 11 games against teams with a winning road record. |
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11-26-17 | Bills v. Chiefs -10 | 16-10 | Loss | -105 | 117 h 28 m | Show | |
3 Unit Play. #258 Take Kansas City Chiefs over Buffalo Bills (Sunday 1 pm CBS) The Chiefs are in freefall at the moment but Buffalo should provide the perfect remedy to get back on track. By now you know how dysfunctional the quarterback situation is for Buffalo and despite being 5-5 this team may be lucky to win a game the rest of the season. The Chiefs defense is still playing well and sooner or later the offense will breakout and light up the scoreboard. Kansas City is 8-0 ATS in their last 8 games against AFC East teams. |
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11-25-17 | Georgia Southern v. UL-Lafayette -6 | 34-24 | Loss | -110 | 98 h 31 m | Show | |
3 Unit Play. #216 Take Louisiana Ragin Cajuns over George Southern Eagles (Saturday 5 pm ESPN 3) The Eagles are coming off their first victory of the season beating South Alabama 52-0 in one of the most surprising results of the entire 2017 college football season. Now they take on a desperate Ragin Cajuns squad needing to win this game to become bowl eligible. Louisiana was a seven-point underdog last year and won, 33-26 in Statesboro. Louisiana is 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games played in November. Georgia Southern is 5-14 ATS (1 push) in their last 20 games overall. Expect a double-digit victory on Senior Day for the home team. |
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11-25-17 | Alabama -4 v. Auburn | 14-26 | Loss | -115 | 96 h 60 m | Show | |
3 Unit Play. #225 Take Alabama Crimson Tide over Auburn Tigers (Saturday 3:30 pm CBS) Would go bigger on Alabama if I believed this was a winner take all game. But the way things are going I feel they can lose this game and still make the College Football Playoffs. That being said, I still believe Alabama will win this game, something they have done 5 of the last 6 years (5-1 ATS). The difference in this game will be the Crimson Tide defense as they are allowing just 87 yards per game rushing. Alabama is 12-4 ATS in their last 16 road games. Expect Alabama to make a play late in the fourth quarter to win this game by 7-10 points. |
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11-25-17 | Indiana +3 v. Purdue | 24-31 | Loss | -110 | 93 h 32 m | Show | |
3 Unit Play. #151 Take Indiana Hoosiers over Purdue Boilermakers (Saturday 12 pm ESPN 2) This Battle of Indiana has everything on the line. Besides winning the Old Oaken Bucket, the winner becomes bowl eligible and the loser finishes out the season and 5-7. Indiana has been playing better of late and will enter this game having won two straight games (both by double digits). Purdue is also coming off an impressive victory at Iowa and because of that performance they have been installed as the favorite. Indiana has won four straight in this series and had a much more difficult conference schedule. Purdue is 6-13 ATS in their last 19 home games. |
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11-24-17 | Miami-FL v. Pittsburgh +14 | 14-24 | Win | 100 | 69 h 34 m | Show | |
3 Unit Play. #132 Take Pittsburgh Panthers over Miami Hurricanes (Friday 12 pm ABC) The Hurricanes have not played a road game since October 28th and in that game, they struggled to defeat the worst team in the league. Miami is coming off a 44-28 victory against Virginia and is guaranteed a spot in the ACC Championship Game. That final is misleading as they trailed by 14 points in that game before turning it on in the fourth quarter. This is be the Panthers final game of the season and I believe Miami could still lose this game and win next week against Clemson to make the College Football Playoff. Pittsburgh is 5-2 ATS (1 push) in their last 7 games against teams with a winning record. Expect Miami to win by 7-10 points as they are looking ahead to the Championship Game next week. |
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11-23-17 | Chargers v. Cowboys +1 | Top | 28-6 | Loss | -110 | 49 h 59 m | Show |
10 Unit Play. #110 Take Dallas Cowboys over Los Angeles Chargers (Sunday 4:30 pm CBS) The Cowboys face a must win situation when they host their annual Thanksgiving Day game. The Chargers are coming off their best performance of the season but most of that success had to be with Buffalo QB Nathan Peterman throwing five interceptions. The Chargers are playing on Thanksgiving for the first time since the merger and playing Thursday games on the road is always a tough task. Dallas is getting a step down in class compared to their last two games (Philadelphia & Atlanta) and should be getting back some of their players for this game. The Chargers never seem to handle prosperity well evident by their loss at Jacksonville two weeks ago and you just cannot count on them to win games consistently. Los Angeles is 5-13 ATS in their last 18 games following a victory in their previous game. Dallas is 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games against teams with a losing record. |
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11-19-17 | Bengals v. Broncos -2.5 | 20-17 | Loss | -113 | 5 h 10 m | Show | |
7 Unit Play. #470 Take Denver Broncos -2.5 over Cincinnati Bengals (Sunday 4:25 pm CBS) Denver laid an egg last week on NBC, but expect them to bounce back in a big way this week against a lesser opponent. Much of Denver's demise was caused by poor special teams play, and if they can clear that up they should win this game. Cincinnati is playing their third straight road game, and they are 8-18 ATS in their last 26 road games when they are an underdog. Denver still has a strong defense, and the Bengals rank last in total offense in 2017. This will not be a pretty game, but Denver playing at home in the afternoon is always a tough situation for the opponent. |
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11-19-17 | Lions v. Bears +3 | Top | 27-24 | Push | 0 | 119 h 13 m | Show |
10 Unit Play. #452 Take Chicago Bears over Detroit Lions (Sunday 1 pm FOX) The Bears are coming off a terrible performance against Green Bay last Sunday. They played terrible and coached terrible at different times in that game and still have a decent chance to win it. Now they take on the Lions, a team that has won two straight games, but they did not look impressive last week against Cleveland. The Bears beat the Lions last year in Chicago and Detroit is just 2-6 ATS (1 push) as a road favorite in a divisional game. Chicago is 8-1 ATS (1 push) in their last 9 home games when they are an underdog. Chicago has already beaten Pittsburgh and Carolina at home this season and Detroit never seems to handle prosperity very well. |
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11-18-17 | San Jose State v. Colorado State -33 | 14-42 | Loss | -110 | 98 h 44 m | Show | |
3 Unit Play. #390 Take Colorado State Rams over San Jose State Spartans (Saturday 3:30 pm CBSSN) The Spartans might be the worst team in FBS and the Rams should be able to name their score in this game. The Rams are in desperate need of a victory having lost three straight games including blowing a 14-point lead in the final two minutes last week against Boise State. The Spartans have lost 9 straight games and all their losses have been by double digits. Colorado State is angry, and they are going to take out their frustrations on San Jose State. The Spartans are 4-13 ATS in their last 17 games against teams with a winning record. Colorado State is 11-4 ATS in their last 15 games played during the month of November. |
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11-18-17 | Hawaii v. Utah State -10.5 | 0-38 | Win | 100 | 97 h 15 m | Show | |
3 Unit Play. #350 Take Utah State Aggies over Hawaii Warriors (Saturday 3 pm) The Warriors started off well at 2-0 but have been in freefall the rest of the season losing 7 of their last 8 games. Their only win came against San Jose State, the worst team in FBS. Utah State has won three straight games against Hawaii and will enter this game fresh as they did not play last Saturday. Utah State needs to win one of their last two games to become bowl eligible and I expect them to win this game by double digits. Hawaii is 8-25 ATS (1 push) in their last 34 games overall. Utah State is 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games against teams with a losing record. |
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11-18-17 | Michigan v. Wisconsin -7.5 | 10-24 | Win | 100 | 94 h 13 m | Show | |
3 Unit Play. #416 Take Wisconsin Badgers over Michigan Wolverines (Saturday 12 pm FOX) The Badgers just continue to win games and will enter this game 10-0 and all their victories have come over today’s posted number. Wisconsin is not pretty on offense and they turn over the football way too much but their defense is outstanding. Michigan will struggle to move the football on them and sooner or later Wisconsin will pull away and win this game convincingly. Iowa had Wisconsin on the ropes last week yet they still lost by 24 points. Wisconsin has covered the spread in 4 of their last 5 meetings with Michigan. Michigan is 5-10 ATS in their 15 road games as an underdog. |
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11-12-17 | Giants v. 49ers | 21-31 | Loss | -115 | 122 h 14 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. #271 Take New York Giants over San Francisco 49ers (Sunday 4:25 pm FOX) Hard to make a case for a play on either one of these teams. San Francisco opened as a favorite but now the Giants are favored because of their quarterback. San Francisco suffered many more injuries last Sunday against Arizona and despite losing 20-10 they were never really in that game. Jimmy Garoppolo is not expected to start this game and without him they just cannot move the football on a consistent basis. New York has their own issues as well, but I believe they will play with pride after quitting and getting embarrassed last week against Los Angeles. Just like I said last week, covering big spreads is one thing compared to having to win straight up to cover the spread. The winner will also cover the spread and that will be the New York Giants. |
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11-12-17 | Packers +5 v. Bears | 23-16 | Win | 100 | 119 h 41 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. #253 Take Green Bay Packers over Chicago Bears (Sunday 1 pm FOX) This line jumped a couple of points after the Packers performance on Monday Night against Detroit. Now it is way too high as the Bears are not good enough to be favored by this many points against anybody in the league. Green Bay has won six straight games in Chicago (5-1 ATS) and this is the first time Chicago is favored at home against a divisional team in three years. QB Rodgers is out and everyone is licking their chops to play the Packers, but I do not believe they are at a quarterback disadvantage in this game. Both teams will play this game close to the best and I believe this game will be decided by a field goal. Green Bay is 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games played during Week 10 of the regular season. Chicago is 1-4 ATS in their last 10 games played during Week 10 of the regular season. |
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11-12-17 | Chargers +4.5 v. Jaguars | 17-20 | Win | 100 | 119 h 40 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. #257 Take Los Angeles Chargers over Jacksonville Jaguars (Sunday 1 pm CBS) Los Angeles is coming off of a bye and they will enter this game having won three of their last four games. The Chargers have won six straight against Jacksonville (6-0 ATS) including a 24-point victory last year. The road team has been the play in Jacksonville games this season as the visitor is 6-1 ATS in their last six games. The is another game that will go down to the wire and we will collect with whoever comes on top by a couple of points. Jacksonville is 3-9 ATS in their last 12 games following a victory of more than 14 points in their previous game. |
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11-11-17 | Notre Dame -3 v. Miami-FL | 8-41 | Loss | -105 | 102 h 9 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. #165 Take Notre Dame Fighting Irish over Miami Hurricanes (Saturday 8 pm ABC) We will go against Miami again this week after losing with Virginia Tech last week. Notre Dame has much more to play for than did Virginia Tech and I see them controlling the line of scrimmage and going right at the Miami defense. The Hurricanes defense is very weak against the run allowing 170 yards rushing per game and three times teams have rushed for over 200 yards against them. That is the bread and butter for the 2017 Irish and they will cover their fourth straight road game this season. The Irish have played the better schedule thus far and sooner or later Miami will get exposed. That will occur Saturday night at Hard Rock Stadium. |
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11-11-17 | Alabama -14 v. Mississippi State | 31-24 | Loss | -110 | 101 h 3 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. #177 Take Alabama Crimson Tide over Mississippi State Bulldogs (Saturday 7 pm ESPN) Mississippi State is 7-2 this season but both of their two losses have been blowouts. Alabama has won nine straight in this match-up (6-3 ATS). The Bulldogs were likely looking ahead to this game as they struggled to put away UMASS last week, one of the worst teams in the country. Mississippi State will struggle to put points on the board in this game against the Tide’s defense and I expect Alabama to pull away in the second half to win this game by 21-24 points. Alabama has covered the spread in 6 of their last 7 road games. |
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11-11-17 | USC -13.5 v. Colorado | 38-24 | Win | 100 | 98 h 52 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. #183 Take USC Trojans over Colorado Buffaloes (Saturday 1 pm FOX) USC has righted the ship after losing to Notre Dame is embarrassing fashion. They have won two straight games (Arizona & Arizona State) and both of those teams have already beaten Colorado this season. The Buffaloes appeared in control last week against ASU but fell apart in the fourth quarter and expect a carryover effect into this game in Boulder. Colorado will have a tough time becoming bowl eligible as they must win one of their final two games (@ Utah on 11/25). USC is 11-0 against Colorado with a 22-point margin of victory in those games. USC needs to win out to earn a New Year’s Six Bowl Bid (will not be the Rose Bowl) but I still believe they are the best team in the conference. |
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11-05-17 | Cardinals -1 v. 49ers | 20-10 | Win | 100 | 124 h 22 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. #465 Take Arizona Cardinals over San Francisco 49ers (Sunday 4:05 pm FOX) The Cardinals got old in a hurry and this appears to be a lost season, but I still believe that they have enough to be the 49ers. San Francisco just got a boast trading for Jimmy Garoppolo but he is not expected to start this week. Covering big numbers is different than winning games and the 49ers will likely have to win straight-up to cover this short number. QB Drew Stanton is played well in the past and he has had two weeks to prepare for this game. Arizona is dominated this series of late and look for that to continue Sunday. San Francisco wants a high draft pick and the only way to get that is the keep losing games. |
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11-05-17 | Rams v. Giants +3.5 | Top | 51-17 | Loss | -105 | 121 h 8 m | Show |
10 Unit Play. #454 Take New York Giants over Los Angeles Rams (Sunday 1 pm FOX) Both teams are coming off a bye week and I just do not see the Giants getting blown out in this game. New York has owned this match-up beating Los Angeles 7 straight times (7-0 ATS) with a 13-point average margin of victory. The Rams are a nondivisional road favorite for just the third time in 10 years. I believe the Rams are playing a little over their heads now and this will be their second cross country flight in three weeks (London Game two weeks ago). The Rams are 2-10 ATS (1 push) in their last 13 games against NFC teams. The Giants are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 home games against teams with a winning road record. |
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11-04-17 | Colorado v. Arizona State -4 | 30-41 | Win | 100 | 103 h 20 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. #352 Take Arizona State Sun Devils over Colorado Buffaloes (9 pm PAC-12 Network) Arizona State laid an egg last week against USC (we had the Trojans) but they should bounce back in a big way playing their second straight home game. Colorado is not USC and they are also nowhere near the team that they were in 2016. CU-Boulder is coming off a 16-point victory against California, but they have not done well against the top teams in the league. ASU is 21-11 ATS in their last 22 home conference games. The home team has also covered three of the last four in this series. I do not see the Buffaloes winning another game this season and ASU has beaten Colorado 7 of 8 times. They not only beat them in this game they also cover the spread. |
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11-04-17 | Northwestern v. Nebraska -1 | 31-24 | Loss | -110 | 98 h 52 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. #334 Take Nebraska Cornhuskers over Northwestern Wildcats (Saturday 3:30 pm BTN) Nebraska is coming off an exciting win against Purdue last time out and look for them to carry that momentum into Saturday in Lincoln. This is a game Nebraska must win to qualify for a bowl game and Coach Reilly has a knack of doing just enough to get to six wins. Northwestern is coming off an overtime victory of their own against Michigan State, but I am just not sold on them being a top team in the Big 10. QB Tanner Lee has been playing outstanding football of late with just one interception in his last four games. Northwestern is coming off back-to-back overtime victories and I wonder how much they have left in the tank. This will be a close game but in the end, I feel Nebraska finds a way to get it done. |
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11-04-17 | Iowa State v. West Virginia -2.5 | 16-20 | Win | 100 | 98 h 51 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. #338 Take West Virginia Mountaineers over Iowa State Cyclones (Saturday 3:30 pm ESPN) Iowa State has been the talk of the Big 12 the last few weeks but I just do not see them going into Morgantown and leaving victorious. West Virginia has won the last three match-ups (3-0 ATS) and look for QB Grier to bounce back after throwing 4 interceptions in his last game against Oklahoma State. The Big 12 usually features a tough game every week and I believing Iowa State is playing a little over their heads now. West Virginia is 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games played during the month of November. |
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10-29-17 | Chargers v. Patriots -7.5 | 13-21 | Win | 100 | 118 h 22 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. #266 Take New England Patriots over Los Angeles Chargers (Sunday 1 pm CBS) Both teams enter on high notes, but I feel New England is just too tough for the Chargers playing in Foxboro. Both teams have a bye week on deck and that would seem to benefit the Patriots, who are 8-0 straight-up and 7-1 ATS over the last 8 years. New England has also beat Los Angeles three straight times (3-0 ATS). The Chargers have some defensive lineman that can pressure QB Brady, but this is a coaching mismatch and New England will pull away late to win by double digits. Los Angeles is 5-12 ATS in their last 17 games following a victory in their previous game. |
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10-29-17 | Bears v. Saints -9 | Top | 12-20 | Loss | -105 | 118 h 23 m | Show |
10 Unit Play. #254 Take New Orleans Saints over Chicago Bears (Sunday 1 pm FOX) The Bears victory last week was fool’s gold and they are not a good team. Furthermore, their offense is terrible, and they will not be able to keep pace this week against New Orleans. The Saints did not even play well last week on the road and still won by 9 points against a team that already pounded the Bears. New Orleans defense is for real and when you pair that with QB Brees this is a team that can make some noise in the playoffs. The Saints have won four straight games via blowout and should have no problem winning this game against a rookie quarterback by double digits. QB Mitchell Trubisky has not done anything to make we believe he can win games on his own, as he is just completing 50% of his passes. If the Saints do not beat themselves, they will win this game going away. |
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10-28-17 | USC -3 v. Arizona State | 48-17 | Win | 100 | 104 h 14 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. #173 Take USC Trojans over Arizona State Sun Devils (Saturday 10:45 pm ESPN) These two teams are heading in opposite directions and the public has really turned on USC. But the talent edge is still big in the favor on USC and they have pounded the Sun Devils the last two years winning by scores of 42-12 & 41-20. USC is 14-3 in the last 17 match-ups against Arizona State. The Sun Devils are coming off back-to-back upset victories, but I believe they are playing over their heads now and will come back down from that high. USC still controls their own destiny in the South Division and sooner or later they will get back on track. That will happen Saturday night. USC is 13-4 ATS in their last 17 games following a loss in their previous game. |
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10-28-17 | Nebraska +6 v. Purdue | 25-24 | Win | 100 | 101 h 0 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. #117 Take Nebraska Cornhuskers over Purdue Boilermakers (Saturday 7:30 pm BTN) Nebraska seems to play better on the road as they are away from their negative fan base. The Cornhuskers are coming off a much-needed bye after facing Wisconsin & Ohio State the previous two weeks. Purdue is coming off an embarrassing loss to Rutgers and that is the type of loss that can sabotage at team for the rest of the season. Nebraska is 16-6 ATS (1 push) in their last 23 road games. Purdue is 5-12 in their last 17 home games. Coach Mike Reilly has a knack for doing just enough to get into a bowl game and I just have a feeling Nebraska wins this game straight-up. |
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10-28-17 | Penn State v. Ohio State -6 | Top | 38-39 | Loss | -120 | 5 h 53 m | Show |
10 Unit Play. #206 Take Ohio State Buckeyes over Penn State Nittany Lions (Saturday 3:30 pm FOX) BIG 10 GAME OF THE YEAR. This is just a brutal scheduling situation for Penn State. They are coming off an emotional high by beating Michigan last week. This is a game their assistant coaches said they wanted to win big in the worst way. Now they must go on the road into a hostile environment against a team that must win out in order to make the College Football Playoff. Despite losing last year to Penn State, Ohio State has won 4 of the last 5 match-ups and Coach Urban Meyer is 24-10 ATS (1 push) with revenge for losing to a team in the last meeting. Since their loss to Oklahoma, Ohio State has won five straight games with their closest margin of victory 31 points. Some like to point out that all these opponents Ohio State has played have been terrible but who exactly has Penn State played this year? Michigan is way down and Penn State could have very easily lost at Iowa on September 23rd. The posted line tells me a great deal about this game, as it opened at 7 after Penn State looked dominating last Saturday. It seems to me that odds makers were begging people to put money on Penn State. We will not fall for that trap and take the better team playing at home. The Buckeyes have covered the spread in their last 4 games. |
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10-28-17 | Louisville -2.5 v. Wake Forest | 32-42 | Loss | -125 | 94 h 47 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. #127 Take Louisville Cardinals over Wake Forest Demon Deacons (Saturday 12:20 pm ACC Network) Louisville has been one of the most disappointing teams in the country this season but they do have Lamar Jackson as their quarterback. That alone should allow them to beat Wake Forest for a fifth straight time. This was a close battle until Louisville pulled away big time in the second half last year winning by 44-12. That is how we see this game going as well. Sooner or later Louisville will get hot on offense and I do not believe Wake Forest will be able to keep pace with them. The Cardinals are 21-8 ATS in their last 29 road games against teams with a winning home record. |
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10-22-17 | Falcons v. Patriots -3 | 7-23 | Win | 100 | 126 h 36 m | Show | |
3 Unit Play. #476 Take New England Patriots over Atlanta Falcons (Sunday 8:30 pm NBC) The Patriots have yet to play a complete game at home this season but I feel that will occur Sunday night in Foxboro. Atlanta has not looked that impressive in 2017 either having lost two home games and they could be 1-4 on the season for not some luck against Chicago and Detroit. Atlanta is not the same team away from the dome and I am not a fan of their new offensive coordinator. New England is 8-1 ATS off a victory in their previous game against non-divisional foes off a loss. |
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10-22-17 | Saints v. Packers +6 | Top | 26-17 | Loss | -115 | 118 h 6 m | Show |
10 Unit Play. #466 Take Green Bay Packers over New Orleans Saints (Sunday 1 pm FOX) QB Rodgers will not be playing in this game but I feel that the spread has been over adjusted. Green Bay would have been around this much of a favorite if they had their No. 1 quarterback. Having a week to prepare Brett Hundley and playing at home will benefit this team and I see this as a field goal game. I believe New Orleans is playing a bit over their heads especially on defense and I expect them to revert back to the norm in this game. Green Bay is 6-1 ATS in their last 7 home games. |
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10-21-17 | USC v. Notre Dame -3.5 | 14-49 | Win | 100 | 101 h 48 m | Show | |
3 Unit Play. #402 Take Notre Dame Fighting Irish over USC Trojans (7:30 pm NBC) Would have used this as an 8-unit play had the line come in under three but still believe it is a solid play. Notre Dame is a sleeping giant at the moment and they have a much better team that odds makers are giving them credit far. USC has a gauntlet of a schedule with no bye weeks until the end of the regular season and that has taken its toll on this team. QB Sam Donald has not played well this season and I still am not a big Clay Helton fan as a head coach. The Irish are coming off a bye week and they have covered the spread four straight week by an average of 14 points over the posted number. Notre Dame is getting the job done on both sides of the football giving up just 21 points per game. Both teams still have a shot at the playoffs and I expect Notre Dame to win by double digits. |