10-27-19 |
Seahawks -7 v. Falcons |
|
27-20 |
Push |
0 |
20 h 45 m |
Show
|
Rating: 2 Units These 2 have battled on a few occasions in the playoffs. Falcons taking both games in '12 & '16. Another thing they have in common, is blowing Super Bowls to the Pats in both '14, & '16. After Julio Jones' miracle catch, Falcons never should have thrown another pass. Two years prior, Beast Mode should have gotten that ball 100 times out of 100. Check Seattle being outscored 17-3 in the 2nd half at home, vs the Ravens. First pick thrown by Wilson this year, & a pick-6 to boot. Five straight losses for Falcons. Haven't recorded a sack in a month, allowing 36 points per game during this streak. 'Hawks
|
10-27-19 |
Eagles v. Bills -1 |
|
31-13 |
Loss |
-123 |
20 h 38 m |
Show
|
Rating: 2 Units Weird tidbit here. Brian Westbrook scored his first NFL TD in this building on Sept 28, 2003. Eagles did win that one, on their way to their 3rd straight NFC Championship appearance. Bills off to best start in 11 years, with that Buffalo "D" on a streak of 13 games of not allowing 250 yards of passing. Allen: 16-of-26, 202 yards, 2 TDs. His 4th game with 2+ TD passes. Outscored Dolphins 22-7 in 2nd half. Philly is 2-13 ATS as an October dog vs an opponent off DD SW win. Buffalo just keeps it going
|
10-27-19 |
Broncos v. Colts -4.5 |
|
13-15 |
Loss |
-110 |
20 h 35 m |
Show
|
Rating: 2 Units What a horrible offensive display for the Broncos at home vs the Chiefs last Thursday. After driving the length of the field for a TD on their opening possessions (aided by 2 pass interference calls on 3rd down), they put up a goose egg over the final 54 minutes to the much maligned Chiefs' "D". Denver converted just 1 of 13 third downs, botched a 2 point conversion, never reaching 200 yards until the last play of the game in garbage time. Colts haven't allowed a 100-yd rusher in 24 straight games. Only way.
|
10-26-19 |
Washington State v. Oregon -14 |
Top |
35-37 |
Loss |
-109 |
99 h 45 m |
Show
|
Rating: 4 Unit PAC-12 Game of the Week Yes, we know that this goes contrary to history, as Coogs have covered last 9 vs the 'Ducks, including last year, when Minshew outdueled Herbert. Washington State came in nicely last week vs Colorado, but OU not only has the firepower, but the 16th-ranked "D". Revenge in style.
|
10-26-19 |
Kings v. Jazz -9 |
|
81-113 |
Win
|
100 |
8 h 52 m |
Show
|
Rating: 2 Units The Utah Jazz look to defeat Sacramento for the ninth time in the past 10 meetings when they host the Kings on Saturday. Utah will be looking to rebound from a porous Friday night road effort against the Los Angeles Lakers when it committed 23 turnovers and succumbed 95-86. Jazz coach Quin Snyder will hope to receive a better effort against Sacramento after his team was often outclassed in the loss to the Lakers.
|
10-26-19 |
Notre Dame +1 v. Michigan |
|
14-45 |
Loss |
-106 |
96 h 51 m |
Show
|
Rating: 2 Units "Never Say Die" the theme of this Wolverine outfit, which had Penn State on the ropes despite an early 21-0 deficit. Check 26-14 first down, 141-101 rushing yard, & 276-182 passing yard edges, with only a dropped TD pass preventing OT, or a possible regulation time upset. Irish are 13th & 15th in scoring "O" & "D", but mediocre in other columns. Series dog is the King!
|
10-26-19 |
Memphis -10 v. Tulsa |
|
42-41 |
Loss |
-110 |
95 h 56 m |
Show
|
Rating: 2 Units One of the more unnoticed teams around, are these Tigers, who've suffered just a single loss, that by just 2 points in 4-turnover showing vs 5-2 Temple, just 2 weeks ago. They then proved their worth with bounce back rout of Tulane, with a 470-333 yard edge, with QB White taking center stage, going 21-for-29 for 358 passing yards & 5 TD passes. Tigers have been to bowl games the last 5 years, thus the winning attitude is deeply embedded, which is hardly the case with the 'Cane, who are on a 5-22 SU streak. The visitor has covered all 7 Tulsa games this year.
|
10-26-19 |
South Carolina -4 v. Tennessee |
|
21-41 |
Loss |
-106 |
92 h 59 m |
Show
|
Rating: 2 Units Visitor owns this series, & despite 'Cocks entering off upset of Georgia, & narrow loss to Florida (387-354 yard edge), they're the play, covering their last road game by 25. Two straight covers for Vols, but note their 124th ranking in total "O". Spread very tempting.
|
10-26-19 |
Tulane v. Navy -3 |
Top |
38-41 |
Push |
0 |
92 h 41 m |
Show
|
Rating: 4 Unit NCAAF Game of the Week Is Navy smoking, or what? Try an 822-219 rushing yard edge L2 weeks (27 & 17 point covers), & 7-1-1 ATS run, with only miss by 1 point (Perry now over 3,000 rushing yards). Wheels came off 'Wave ride, from 288 rushing yards per game to 146 in last week's 47-17 loss to Memphis. Chalk is now 7-0 ATS in TU contests
|
10-26-19 |
Wisconsin v. Ohio State -14 |
|
7-38 |
Win
|
100 |
88 h 7 m |
Show
|
Rating: 2 Units Well, the air has sure gone out of this one, as Badgers may have been caught in "trap" game in shocking loss to Illinois. Still 268-53 point edge this year, ranking #1 in run, pass, scoring, total, & pass efficiency "D". But Bucks have it all. A 50-13 point per game edge in L9 games (+161½ points ATS). Fields at 22 touchdowns with 1 interception; Dobbins 135 rushing yards per game; etc. And don't forget home field.
|
10-24-19 |
Redskins v. Vikings -15.5 |
|
9-19 |
Loss |
-110 |
48 h 48 m |
Show
|
Rating: 2 Units Kirk Cousins takes on his former squad, as Case Keenum makes his return to Minnesota. Worst start for 'Skins since '98, & are 0-4 home for 1st time since '94. Just 154 total yards in the rain for Washington last week. Now 8 straight losses at home for the Redskins, although another 81 rushing yards for Adrian. Three straight wins for the Vikings, also scoring TDs on 4 straight drives. Cousins 10 TDs & 1 pick in last 3 games. Averaging 36 points per game during that 3-game run. First 4-TD game for Cousins since 2015. Cook leads the NFL with 5 games over 100 rushing yards. Zimmer 20-2 ATS as non division home favorite
|
10-24-19 |
SMU -14 v. Houston |
Top |
34-31 |
Loss |
-110 |
48 h 50 m |
Show
|
Rating: 3 Units They just keep on winning & covering, do these Mustangs. Now +79 points ATS, & Buechele in off 6-TD, 457 passing yard showing in destruction of a decent Temple squad (655 yards). Coogs never sniffed spread in narrow escape of 1-6 UConn (154-yard deficit). And UH ranks 120th in total "D
|
10-23-19 |
Wizards +8.5 v. Mavs |
|
100-108 |
Win
|
100 |
10 h 16 m |
Show
|
Rating: 2 Units The Wizards' identity is built around All-Star shooting guard Bradley Beal, and he signaled his intention to continue building with the team by signing a two-year, $72 million extension last week. Washington is 9-3 ATS in their last 12 vs. Western Conference while the underdog is 4-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings.
|
10-23-19 |
Bulls v. Hornets +3.5 |
|
125-126 |
Win
|
100 |
9 h 49 m |
Show
|
Rating: 2 Units The Hornets were 25-16 here last season. While there is some talent on the roster, this is still essentially the same Chicago team which went 22-60 last season. Until they prove this year will be different, I don't feel they're ready to be favored on the road. Even here.
|
10-21-19 |
Patriots -9.5 v. Jets |
|
33-0 |
Win
|
100 |
49 h 18 m |
Show
|
Rating: 2 Units Last of 6 divisional matchups this week. Brady 31 of 41 for 334 yards, 1 pick, 2 TD runs and moved ahead of Peyton Manning for second place on the NFL's all-time passing yards list. At 42 years and 68 days, Brady became the oldest player in the Super Bowl era to rush for 2 TDs in a game. What a difference Darnold makes for the Jets! Season high yards (382) & points (24). Snapped a 7-game losing streak in that huge win over the Boys. Darnold 23/32, 338 yards, 2 TDs (92 & 5 yards), with 1 interception. Three offensive TDs against the 'Boys after just 2 of their first 4 games. Patriots again
|
10-20-19 |
Eagles +3 v. Cowboys |
|
10-37 |
Loss |
-120 |
25 h 28 m |
Show
|
Rating: 2 Units Eagles in the middle of a brutal 3 game road trip with Buffalo on deck. Eagles D finally gave up 100 yards rushing for the first time in 9 games in Minnesota last weekend. Only the 2nd time in Pederson's tenure that they've allowed more than 38 points. Not only that, but their defensive backs are not healthy. Wentz 26/40, 306 yards, 2 TDs (32 & 3 yarders), 1 interception. How long can Jason Garret last if this losing streak continues? First 3-game losing streak sine '17. 0 TDs in first 8 possessions. They have zero 1st half TDs during this slump. Dak 28/40, 277 yards. Zeke 105 rushing yards, & 1 TD. An Eagle call.
|
10-20-19 |
Saints +4.5 v. Bears |
|
36-25 |
Win
|
100 |
22 h 38 m |
Show
|
Rating: 2 Units Another potential playoff preview, with the tiebreaker between these two looming large come January. Trust us, the Saints don't want to travel to Chicago and the Bears want no part of the Superdome in the postseason. Saints now 4-0 without Drew Brees. Five wins this year have come by a total of 24 points. Have now won 9 straight vs the AFC. Chicago coming off a bye. Bears dominant D allowed 2 TDs and a FG on Oakland's first 4 possessions. They allowed season-high in yards (398) & points (24) in London. Bears were manhandled in the first half 2 weeks ago. Not here
|
10-20-19 |
Ravens +3 v. Seahawks |
|
30-16 |
Win
|
100 |
22 h 30 m |
Show
|
Rating: 2 Units We must admit that we saw the NFL future of Lamar Jackson, in a clouded window. His brilliant open field running for Louisville hardly prevented a pair of bowl losses, thereby overshadowing his overhead ability, the type of player, whose talents were hardly conducive to a promising pro career. Forget it. He does it all. Last week, he became the first player in NFL history, with 200 passing yards & 150 rushing yards in a game. His opponent, here, 'Hawks' Wilson is perhaps the best QB in the NFL, so a learning curve, to be sure. One of season's best matchups. An upset!
|
10-20-19 |
49ers -9.5 v. Redskins |
|
9-0 |
Loss |
-112 |
18 h 19 m |
Show
|
Rating: 2 Units The reason why review was put into play in the first place, was the 1983 NFC Title game between these two when there was a controversial pass interference call on Eric Wright that helped propel the Skins to the Super Bowl. San Fran already has more wins than all of last year (4-12). Garoppolo 24/33, 243 yards, 1 interception. The good news, the Skins got a 'W' last week. The bad news, it was by a single point. against the hapless Dolphins. A win is a win though. 5 sacks & 2 picks vs. Miami. They have now won 17 straight games when allowing less than 17 points. That's not the case in this.
|
10-20-19 |
Texans +1 v. Colts |
|
23-30 |
Loss |
-109 |
18 h 16 m |
Show
|
Rating: 2 Units Texans & Pats the only AFC teams without an AFC loss this year. Houston scored 28 of the last 35 points vs Chiefs. Deshaun Watson: 30-of-42, 280 yards, & 1 TD, & running for 2, while erasing a 17-3 first quarter deficit. Thus, a 28-7 windup. How about Colts going into Arrowhead, & dominating previously unbeaten Chiefs. Marlon Mack ran for 132 yards on 29 carries, with another 4 Vinatieri FGs. Indy allowed points on KC's first 2 possessions, before shutting them out, until a field goal in the last 1:16. QB Brissett ran it in for Colts only TD. Slightest QB edge to Watson over Brissett.
|
10-19-19 |
Michigan v. Penn State -8.5 |
Top |
21-28 |
Loss |
-112 |
49 h 35 m |
Show
|
Rating: 3 Unit Big-10 Play of the Day Payback time for Lions. A 177-70 rushing yard edge over Iowa, holding Hawkeyes without a TD 'til L2:31. And Clifford is 13 touchdowns with only 2 interceptions. Wolverine run "D": 46, 1, 64 yards L3 games. But just no overland reciprocating.
|
10-19-19 |
Colorado v. Washington State -12 |
Top |
10-41 |
Win
|
100 |
48 h 9 m |
Show
|
Rating: 4 Unit Pac-12 Game of the Week Bloom is off the rose, as far as Coogs are concerned, losing to Arizona State in L0:34, not having covered since August. However, Buff "D" a perfect remedy, allowing 30+ points in their last 11 games, entering off a 45-3 loss to Oregon (228-yard deficit, with Montez at 0 touchdowns and 4 interceptions)
|
10-19-19 |
South Florida v. Navy -14.5 |
|
3-35 |
Win
|
100 |
44 h 1 m |
Show
|
Rating: 2 Units Navy cooking. In off 388-69 rushing yard edge in 27-point cover at Tulsa. Are +62½ points ATS this year, +84½ points ATS L8 games, & ranking #1 in rushing (of course). But South Florida ranks just 109th in total "O".
|
10-19-19 |
Buffalo -17 v. Akron |
|
21-0 |
Win
|
100 |
44 h 51 m |
Show
|
Rating: 2 Units This one should be over early, as the rested Bulls have a 1,119-251 rushing yard edge in lined games, while Zips on 0-11 SU run, just 1 points from 0-13 ATS skein, & 61-10 point deficit in their last 2 home games. Bulls in style here
|
10-19-19 |
North Carolina -3.5 v. Virginia Tech |
|
41-43 |
Loss |
-105 |
28 h 30 m |
Show
|
Rating: 2 Units Hokies 4-2 SU so far, but not the best of host plays: 0-2 ATS by 52½ points! Couldn't put RIU away until the 4th, & note an 80-52 point deficit in their L2 lined games. 'Heels 8-4 ATS lately, with those 4 misses by just 1½, 5½, 3, & 5 points, & held 522-375 yard edge in last year's meeting
|
10-19-19 |
Iowa State -7 v. Texas Tech |
|
34-24 |
Win
|
100 |
40 h 24 m |
Show
|
Rating: 2 Units Eight take aways by Raiders L2 weeks, with 20 & 7½ point covers vs Oklahoma State & Baylor, ranking 15th in total "O". Cyclones keep on paying off, with L3 covers by 33½, 22, & 14 points. Hall is their newest running back, & note (132 rushing yards, 3 TDs last week), with Purdy 18th in passing efficiency. A low spot.
|
10-18-19 |
Ohio State -27.5 v. Northwestern |
Top |
52-3 |
Win
|
100 |
26 h 59 m |
Show
|
Rating: 4 Unit Big-10 Game of the Week Sure, there are legions who won't hesitate in jumping on the Wildcats as such heavy dogs, as they've thrived in the pup role for many years, including current 16-5 spread run in that setup, much less as 4-TD dogs. Fact of the matter is that they not only lost their last home game by a 34-10 score (Wisconsin), but can't approach matching points with such a huge juggernaut, ranking 128th in scoring (14.4 ppg). Compare that to Bucks at 50.2 points per game, while playing their starters for little more than a half of every game. We gladly lay the huge spot..
|
10-17-19 |
Chiefs v. Broncos +3.5 |
|
30-6 |
Loss |
-115 |
2 h 33 m |
Show
|
Rating: 2 Units hat's more like it, with Broncos getting their first shutout in 2 years. Allowing 37 rushing yards per game last 2 weeks. Now have 5 takeaways in 2 weeks, after having zero in the first 4 games of the year. Sacked Titan QBs 7 times. Two-game losing streak for the Chiefs. Bizarre, to say the least. Mahomes came in here in Primetime last year, & ripped the Bronco's hearts out with game-winning drive (27-23). Remember that left handed throw with Von Miller bringing him down? He still doesn't look right with that left ankle injury. Chiefs' last 6 drives last week: 2 TOs & 1 TD. Primetime home division dog.
|
10-14-19 |
Lions v. Packers -3 |
|
22-23 |
Loss |
-125 |
10 h 46 m |
Show
|
Rating: 2 Units Lions are coming off their BYE. All 4 games this season have been decided by 4 points or fewer. Stafford 21/34, 291 yards, 3 TDs vs Chiefs 2 weeks ago, despite playing with an injury. That's his 2nd game this season with 3+ TD passes and 0 interceptions. K. Johnson 26 rushes, 125 yards rushing and 32 yards receiving. Rodgers 22/34, 238 yards. Jones: 19 rush, 107 yards, 4 TDs to go along with 75 yards receiving. They are now 4-0 all time in AT&T Stadium. Have outscored opponents 42-3 in first quarter this year (14-0 vs Boys). The Lions are 1-6 ATS as dogs vs opposition off a double digit SU win. Bunched up NFC North, with Packers a chance to loosen it up. Grab their division Monday nighter
|
10-13-19 |
Steelers +7 v. Chargers |
|
24-17 |
Win
|
100 |
29 h 37 m |
Show
|
Rating: 2 Units If a team was ever up against it, these Steelers fill the bill, not only losing Big Ben, but with more than able backup Rudolph having his bell rung, with no less than 3 interceptions, proof enough. However, the Chargers are banged up stem to stern, especially along the offensive line & secondary, and they are in off a game in which they managed no offensive TDs (punt return). That Pittsburgh defense should extend Chargers "O" problems, while the Steelers are a premier NFL underdog (currently 21-8 ATS).
|
10-13-19 |
49ers v. Rams -3 |
|
20-7 |
Loss |
-110 |
29 h 54 m |
Show
|
Rating: 2 Units What a loss for the Rams in Seattle, with Zuerlein missing the winner at the buzzer, after hitting three field goals earlier in the game. Goff: 29-of-49 for 395 yards & a TD, just days after throwing for a career-high 517 yards & tying an NFL record with no less than 45 completions in a loss to Tampa Bay. Everett had 7 catches for 136 yards, and Cooper Kupp had nine grabs for 118 yards. Gurley another 51 rushing yards, but also a costly fumble. L.A. is 0-6 ATS of
|
10-13-19 |
Texans +4.5 v. Chiefs |
|
31-24 |
Win
|
100 |
26 h 58 m |
Show
|
Rating: 2 Units Just another awesome matchup with these 2 QBs. Second of back-to-back AFC South home games for the Chiefs. Most total yards for the Texans (593) since '12. And for just the 2nd time in team history, scoring over 50 points. Watson brilliant 28-of-33, 426 yards (career-high), 5 TDs (ties career-high),& 47 rushing yards. That's right, 5 TD passes, & 5 incompletions. Will Fuller: 14 receptions, 217 yards, & 3 TDs. Three straight spread setbacks for the Chiefs, with a 180-36 rushing yard deficit vs the Colts, as well as a single TD pass from Mahomes (22-of-39), who leads NFL with 1,831 passing yards, 11 TDs, 1 Interception.
|
10-13-19 |
Panthers -1 v. Bucs |
|
37-26 |
Win
|
100 |
22 h 23 m |
Show
|
Rating: 2 Units Every other week for the Bucs, while the Panthers are streaking with 4 straight wins & covers. Buc fans won't be too thrilled, giving up a home game in Tampa. But when the owners (the Glazers) have ties in England, with owning Manchester United, it's bound to happen. McCaffrey: 237 yards from scrimmage ties career high: joins Jim Brown in 1963, as the only players with at least 175 yards from scrimmage in 4 of the team's first 5 games of the year. In Bucs' last 4 games, Winston has 10 TD passes, & only 2 picks. 'Bay ceding 30+ points in 4-of-5 tilts.
|
10-12-19 |
Florida +13.5 v. LSU |
Top |
28-42 |
Loss |
-110 |
77 h 43 m |
Show
|
Rating: 4 Unit SEC Upset of the Week Tigers at 54.6 points per game, with Burrow first QB in Lsu history with 300 passing yards 4 straight games (78.3% & 22 touchdowns and 3 interceptions). And the Bayous on a 16-5 regular season ATS run. Gators a 231-87 point edge in L7 lined games, holding Auburn to 124 rushing yards (entered at 252). Typical classic SEC war. Lean to the points
|
10-12-19 |
USC v. Notre Dame -10.5 |
Top |
27-30 |
Loss |
-107 |
78 h 40 m |
Show
|
Rating: 3 Unit Inter-Conference Play of the Day Host series: 6-0: 49, 41, 45, 49 points for winners, before last year's 24-17 Irish (-11) win, with Troy back dooring it on 20-yard pass in L0:48. Daniels & Book: 349 & 352 passing yards. USC 14-35 away, 7-18 as a dog, & 1-14 as a road dog.
|
10-12-19 |
Fresno State +3.5 v. Air Force |
|
24-43 |
Loss |
-110 |
77 h 22 m |
Show
|
Rating: 2 Units Last met in '16, when Falcons (-13½) turned 21-17 deficit in 4th, into a 31-21 win, with 327-37 rushing yard edge (312-97 passing yard deficit). Four picks key. Fresno State 25-8 lately, 14-3 away, 6-0 as a road dog. Air force is 5-19 in conf and 1-8 off Navy. In addition, Dog is 21-9 in AF contests, & 7-1-1 in Fresno State tilts
|
10-12-19 |
Alabama -16.5 v. Texas A&M |
Top |
47-28 |
Win
|
100 |
72 h 21 m |
Show
|
Rating: 4 Unit SEC Game of the Week - Aggies have played mighty 'Tide better than anyone, save Clemson, of course. Simple math here, as L2 years, Alabama has beaten all regular season foes by 22 points, or more. A 259-74 point edge this year. Sure, 'Tide "D" is nowhere near recent editions, but Alabama "O" is seemingly unstoppable.
|
10-12-19 |
Florida State v. Clemson -26.5 |
|
14-45 |
Win
|
100 |
74 h 47 m |
Show
|
Rating: 2 Units Home series: 16-7, but was 13-1. L2 years: Tigers (-16, -17½): 49-26 first downs & 347-0 rushing yard edges, in 31-14 & 57-10 wins. Lawrence last year: 314 passing yards (4 touchdowns with 0 interceptions). FSU only TD last year: 73-yard Blackman pass L4:43. Clemson 12-3 lately, & 7-3 vs FSU. FSU 1-4 as road dog, 1-9 vs foes off 2 SU wins, 2-10 as road dog vs foes off 2 wins.
|
10-12-19 |
Memphis v. Temple +6 |
|
28-30 |
Win
|
100 |
68 h 29 m |
Show
|
Rating: 2 Units A week ago, the Owls were huge for us, apparently got the cover with a "pick-six" on the game's final play. Hold it. The call was reversed, with passer's forward progress apparently stopped. Yeah, sure. Owls "D" had held East Carolina without a TD over a 54:56 span, before Pirates got it to 27-17 in the final 0:27. That outcome has influenced the spot on this one, which suits us fine. Owls are 19-8 ATS at home, & 7-1 as home dogs, while Tigers are 0-12 ATS as chalks of less than 7 points vs .500+ opponents. Host is +48 points ATS in Temple tilts.
|
10-10-19 |
Giants v. Patriots -16.5 |
|
14-35 |
Win
|
100 |
27 h 10 m |
Show
|
Rating: 2 Units Pats have now won 18 straight home games, & the 4th time that they're 5-0 under Belichick. No wait, there's more. First time in Patriots history with 4 straight games with at least 5 sacks. Have not allowed a TD pass in 6 straight games. Amazing! Pats are now 55-14 SU vs the NFC, outscoring the 'Skins 21-0 in the 2nd half, with Brady 28- of-42 for 348 yards & 3 TDs. Trails only Manning & Brees with 71,923 passing yards. Are Pats' fans happy not to see Eli under center for this one? New York has not been above .500 since '16, & won't challenge. Somewhere near spot, but it has to be Pats.
|
10-07-19 |
Browns +5 v. 49ers |
|
3-31 |
Loss |
-108 |
9 h 58 m |
Show
|
Rating: 2 Units Yet another prime time event for the Browns. A very intriguing match up here, with two new age head coaches and their popular gun slingers leading their squads. Mayfield vs Garoppolo will bring more than a few eyes to this one. Niners 3-0 for the first time since '98, with 5 turn overs (3 of them in the Red Zone) preventing the cover vs Pitt. San Francisco completely dominated Steelers statwise: 439-239 yard edge, with 26-11 first downs. San Francisco is 1-14 ATS as a chalk, & 0-8 ATS with rest, while Browns are 4-1 ATS vs AFC foes.
|
10-06-19 |
Colts v. Chiefs -10.5 |
|
19-13 |
Loss |
-110 |
34 h 17 m |
Show
|
Rating: 2 Units Colts' season ended here last year, after winning 10-of-11. Not to beat a dead horse, but that was all with Luck under center. However, this team has been quietly putting themselves back into the postseason hunt, with Brissett a solid 10 touchdowns with 2 interceptions in replacing Luck, with Indy tied for both the top & the cellar of the AFC South (2-2 marks all the way around). Chiefs just go along unbeaten, behind Mahomes' brilliance. Another 315 passing yards in taking the Lions, winning on a 1-yard Williams TD run in the last 0:20.
|
10-06-19 |
Bears -5 v. Raiders |
|
21-24 |
Loss |
-100 |
27 h 9 m |
Show
|
Rating: 2 Units Looks like Raiders aren't dead yet, after a pair of putrid showings (62-24 deficit), off their super start upsetting the Broncos. Oakland never trailed in 31-24 upset of the Colts, with Carr tossing TDs of 18, 60, 19 yards, & a "pick-6" thrown in. Bear "D" is doing its part, allowing 11.25 points per game. Put clamps on Minny's previous 194 rushing yards per game.
|
10-06-19 |
Bills +3 v. Titans |
|
14-7 |
Win
|
100 |
27 h 6 m |
Show
|
Rating: 2 Units Bills return to the site of the "Music City Miracle" nightmare that ended their 2000 season. Bills fuming over a "non call" on a helmet-to-helmet hit that prevented QB Allen to finish the game. Four Buffalo interceptions cost them dearly in that hard-fought 16-10 loss to the Patriots. For the Titans, try 3 first half Mariota TD passes, after his seemingly uninspired play previous 2 weeks (just 1 TD pass in each). Bills certainly legit.
|
10-06-19 |
Patriots -15 v. Redskins |
|
33-7 |
Win
|
100 |
27 h 3 m |
Show
|
Rating: 2 Units There's "the Patriot Way" and "the Daniel Snyder Way". As history has shown time and time again, the Pats continue to be the gold standard in professional sports, while the Redskins keep on keeping on in their slide to oblivion. Hard to believe that this franchise won 3 Super Bowls in 9 years. The 'Skins ranked 30th in the NFL on offense, before Sunday's 3-point, 8-first down, & 176-yard effort at New York. Haskins for Keenum in that one, but the 2 combined for 4 interceptions. The 2-TD spot is a bargain.
|
10-06-19 |
Vikings v. Giants +5.5 |
|
28-10 |
Loss |
-105 |
27 h 0 m |
Show
|
Rating: 2 Units Nineteen years ago, the Vikings marched into New York as 2½ point road favorite in the 2000 NFC Title Game. The Giants led 41-0 at the half. Many had the Vikings and the Over (42), so that wasn't the end of the world until zero points were scored in the 2nd half. That's right, a 41-0 final. Ouch! The Giants have sure changed it all around since trailing Tampa by 18 points, holding the Redskins to 8 first downs, with a 389-176 total yard edge. Minnesota never got untracked in 6-point effort at Chicago. A take.
|
10-05-19 |
Pittsburgh +5 v. Duke |
|
33-30 |
Win
|
100 |
76 h 21 m |
Show
|
Rating: 2 Units Panthers (-7, +8, +2½): 224-25, 336-76, 484-223 rushing yard edges in 56-14, 24-7, 54-45 wins over Imps L3 years. Two punts each in amazing 634-619 yard edge last year, as Pitt offset Devil QB Jones' 396 passing yards (4 touchdowns with 0 interceptions). Duke 4-9 in ACC, 0-4 home, & 1-11 avenging ACC home favorite of less than 7 points. Pitt 10-3 lately, & 5-2 on road.
|
10-05-19 |
Michigan State v. Ohio State -20 |
Top |
10-34 |
Win
|
100 |
76 h 26 m |
Show
|
Rating: 4 Unit Big-10 Game of the Week Check out the Buckeyes with a 369-106 point edge in their last 7 regular season games, with Fields now at 16 touchdowns and 0 interceptions. Try scoring on their first 6 possessions in destruction of Nebraska, to push their run to +135½ points ATS in last 7 regular season games. Wisconsin & Penn State on deck for Spartans, who rank 7th in total "D", with Lewerke at 10 touchdowns and 1 interception. Still Bucks.
|
10-05-19 |
Tulsa v. SMU -12.5 |
|
37-43 |
Loss |
-115 |
76 h 16 m |
Show
|
Rating: 3 Units Mustangs off to perfect start, 5-0, both SU & ATS, which matches their '83 squad as the last Pony outfit to start 5-0. Addition of Buechele has proven a master stroke, as he ranks 28th in passing efficiency (3 TD passes in 2nd quarter of last week's rout of South Florida). And 'Cane are at 5-19 SU
|
10-05-19 |
Georgia -24.5 v. Tennessee |
|
43-14 |
Win
|
100 |
75 h 11 m |
Show
|
Rating: 2 Units Barnburners, before 41-0 & 38-12 'Dawg (-9 & -31) rompers L2, with combined 46-18 first downs, 546-128 rushing yards, & 71:26-48:34 time edges. Georgia 22-7 lately, 16-6 in the SEC, & 10-4 as a road favorite. Vols 8-23 lately, & 8-17 in SEC
|
10-05-19 |
Boston College +6.5 v. Louisville |
|
39-41 |
Win
|
100 |
69 h 41 m |
Show
|
Rating: 2 Units Series guest is 4-1, with 2-of-3 decided by 3 points SU, before last year's 38-20 Eagle (-13) win, overcoming a 20-14 deficit. So a 24-0 windup, begun with blocked punt TD. A 615-339 BC rushing yard edge L2. Cards 10-25 lately, 4-10 at home, 1-12 home off ceding 35+ points. BC 9-3 away & 12-3 in ACC.
|
10-05-19 |
Iowa +3.5 v. Michigan |
Top |
3-10 |
Loss |
-108 |
69 h 0 m |
Show
|
Rating: 4 Unit Big-10 Mismatch of the Week No doubt the boys in Vegas leave no stone unturned in posting a number, & without a doubt, they are without peers in their knowledge. However, for the life of us, we simply cannot see the Hawkeyes as the underdog in this important match. The Wolverines finally got it together with last week's drubbing of a totally lacking Rutgers outfit, for their first cover of the year, which followed their embarrassing loss to Wisconsin (359-37 rushing yard deficit). Iowa has paid off with regularity (14-4-1 ATS), ranking 5th in total "D", with QB Stanley at 8 touchdowns and 0 interceptions. This is a take.
|
10-05-19 |
Oklahoma State -9.5 v. Texas Tech |
Top |
35-45 |
Loss |
-110 |
69 h 50 m |
Show
|
Rating: 4 Unit Big-12 Game of the Week We've been on the 'Boys all season, & have reaped the rewards of their 4-0 spread opening, with their only SU miss by just 6 points at Texas. In Hubbard, they own the top rusher in the nation, 10 TDs & 187.6 yards per game. Check their 21-8 first down, 373-126 rushing yard, & 526-244 total yard edges in last week's 10½ cover over always dangerous Kansas State. The Raiders are always among the passing leaders, & at are again, but note in last week's loss to Oklahoma, their yardage was exactly doubled (642-321). Texas Tech in a revenge sandwich.
|
10-03-19 |
Rams v. Seahawks |
|
29-30 |
Win
|
100 |
2 h 10 m |
Show
|
Rating: 2 Units Even though the Seahawks dropped one here to the "Breesless" Saints, this is a huge NFC West battle, as Seattle can't fall 2 games behind this early in the season. Thirty-six first downs & 518 yards (Goff: 517 passing yards) not enough, even though the Rams nearly came all the way back from an 18-pt deficit (38-20), to get to within 5 points of the Bucs (45-40). And you know Buc fans were dreading it, as Tampa had blown an identical 18-point lead over the Giants a week ago. A 27-yard "pick-6" by Clowney sparked Seahawks' rout of the lacking Cardinals. Rams 2-9 ATS on Thursdays, & 3-9 ATS at Seattle.
|
10-03-19 |
Temple -11 v. East Carolina |
|
27-17 |
Loss |
-110 |
28 h 24 m |
Show
|
Rating: 2 Units All Owls (-21, -3, -10½), with 37-10, 34-10, 49-6 wins L3, with 470-196 yard edge last year. Russo last year: 21-of-25 & 4 TDs (35-3 at the half). Temple 6-0 in series, on 27-11 run, & 16-5 on the road. Pirates are on 2-9 & 10-31 runs, with a 9-32 record vs conference foes, & are 8-18 at home.
|
09-29-19 |
Jaguars +3 v. Broncos |
|
26-24 |
Win
|
100 |
29 h 30 m |
Show
|
Rating: 2 Units Broncos fans will never forget the Jags coming in here as 12-point dogs in the '96 Divisionals, & upsetting the #1 seed, by a 30-27 count. Denver did go on go win the next 2 Super Bowls, but that loss still stings. Jags avoided the franchise's 2nd 0-3 start in 4 years, with 204 passing yards from Minshew. "Sacksonville" is back! Nine sacks of Mariota (3 by Campbell). Bronco defense still has yet to record a sack or force a turn over. First 0-3 start since '99. That's 20 years, folks. Fangio is 1st Bronco coach to start a career 0-3.
|
09-29-19 |
Seahawks -5 v. Cardinals |
|
27-10 |
Win
|
100 |
28 h 7 m |
Show
|
Rating: 2 Units Russell Wilson vs Russell Wilson 2.0. Cards: exactly 1 win in their last 17 games vs teams other than the Niners (1-15-1). Three punts & 2 picks in their last 5 drives in lopsided loss to the Panthers. Chandler Jones: 2 sacks, 2 forced fumbles, fumble recovery. Seahawks are in off their first September home loss under Pete Carroll. Were 15-0 since '10 entering their battle with the Brees-less Saints. Wilson: 32-of-50 for 406 yards (2 TDs). Dominated New Orleans, statwise: 515-265 total yards & 26-15 in first downs.
|
09-29-19 |
Chiefs -7 v. Lions |
|
34-30 |
Loss |
-105 |
25 h 29 m |
Show
|
Rating: 2 Units Look who's undefeated. Yes, Lions are 2-0-1, but you have to give them their due. Best start since '11. And first time winning back-to-back games since '17. Upset of the Eagles has to be highlighted by 3 Wentz sacks. Third road games in 4 weeks for the Chiefs. Check Mahomes: 27-of-37 for 374 yards & 3 TDs: 18, 83, & 14 yarders. No picks. He now has 13 games of a least 300 yards in hit first 20 games, breaking Kurt Warner's record
|
09-29-19 |
Panthers v. Texans -4 |
|
16-10 |
Loss |
-109 |
25 h 9 m |
Show
|
Rating: 2 Units -Great comeback win for the Texans in L.A., down 10 at the half, scoring the next 20 points. Five sacks for Houston, 2 of them by JJ Watt. Watson: 25-of-34 for 351 yards & 3 TDs (16, 15, & 53 yarders). Talk about a franchise QB. He's something else. Panthers scraped the demons with 38-20 rout of Cards (173-121 rushing yards & 240-127 passing yards edges). Allen: 19-of-26, 261 yards & 4 TDs. Fourth QB in Panther history with 4+ TDs & no INTs (Beuerlein, Delhome, & Cam). Carolina's most points in a road game since '16. And how about that "D", sacking Heisman winner Kylar Murray 8 times.
|
09-29-19 |
Chargers -14 v. Dolphins |
|
30-10 |
Win
|
100 |
25 h 44 m |
Show
|
Rating: 2 Units You gotta feel for the Dolphins at this point. Have scored 16 points, while allowing 18 TDs this season. And no, that's not a misprint. Adds up to a 133-16 point deficit. First team since '08 Rams to lose each of its first 3 games of the season by 20+ points. They need Brady & Belichick to retire ASAP. Chargers with a losing record thru 3 games for the 5th straight year. Started 1-2 last year, before going 11-2 the rest of the way. 209 straight starts for Rivers, tying Eli for 2nd longest in NFL history, & he is in off another 318 passing yards & 2 TDs (31-of-46). He ages extremely well.
|
09-28-19 |
UCLA v. Arizona -6.5 |
|
17-20 |
Loss |
-105 |
56 h 57 m |
Show
|
Rating: 2 Units We haven't erased the Bruins' spectacular comeback win over Washington State, taking it 67-63, in the last 1:07, after falling behind 49-17 with just 4:00 left in the 3rd. No question as to the Uclan improvement, which makes them a "blind hog" in this setup (a "go-against"). The fact is that the Bruins entered that game, averaging a meager 14 points per game. It's all too surreal, while asking them to repeat is all the more difficult, especially with a mere TD spot. The 'Cats have nicely recovered from their opening day shocker at Hawaii, averaging 38.5 points per game in their last 4 home games
|
09-28-19 |
Ohio State -16.5 v. Nebraska |
Top |
48-7 |
Win
|
100 |
54 h 41 m |
Show
|
Rating: 3 Unit Big-10 Play of the Day Katie, bar the door! Firepower galore! Year ago, nothing was left on the field in 36-31 Buckeye win, with a 485-456 yard edge. Ohio State is fully focused this season, with a 321-99 point edge in L6 lined games. Fields now 13 touchdowns with 0 interceptions. Nebraska may have been caught peeking in last quarter loss to Illini
|
09-28-19 |
NC State +7 v. Florida State |
Top |
13-31 |
Loss |
-104 |
78 h 52 m |
Show
|
Rating: 4 Unit ACC Game of the Week Wolfpack not playing their best ball, barely getting by Ball State, with a 23-25 first down deficit, & a 417-389 yard deficit (McKay: no touchdowns and 1 interceptions). Florida State led Louisville 21-0, but trailed 24-21, before 35-24 win, covering in the L 1:37. We're always on the 'Pack when these 2 meet. Again.
|
09-28-19 |
SMU -7.5 v. South Florida |
|
48-21 |
Win
|
100 |
50 h 34 m |
Show
|
Rating: 2 Units The Mustangs of Smu are steadily working up the recognition ladder, ranking 28th & 29th in this week's polls, & deservedly so, with 4 solid wins & covers in this season's early goings: +9½, +18, +12½, & +11 points ATS. The addition of QB Buechele (former Texas starter) has been the needed cog, delivering with a 290 passing yards per game output. The Bulls have fallen fast, & are now on a 0-5 home spread run, while allowing 39.5 per game in their last 4 lined games. SMU off to a nice 4-0 start for the first time since 1984. South Florida's "O" averaging 5 points per game in their 2 lined games
|
09-28-19 |
Northwestern v. Wisconsin -24 |
Top |
15-24 |
Loss |
-107 |
70 h 27 m |
Show
|
Rating: 4 Unit Big-10 Game of the Week Badgers continue on impressive way, with a 141-10 point edge for the season (+80½ points ATS), & in off a 359-37 rushing yard edge over Michigan, with another 203 rushing yards from Taylor (147 per game). The Wildcats stand at 1-2 SU, & 0-3 vs the points, losing to the spot a by 15 points in last week's 34-10 home loss to Michigan State. Payback cements it.
|
09-28-19 |
Buffalo -2.5 v. Miami-OH |
|
20-34 |
Loss |
-110 |
46 h 37 m |
Show
|
Rating: 2 Units What a turn the Bulls made in startling upset of Temple (30-point cover), with a 217-31 rushing yard advantage, after allowing 38 points per game in their previous 4 games. Things have taken decided turn for the worse in MU contests, as 'Hawks were 10 points from an 11-0 spread run, before 149-32 point deficit in this year's lined games, along with 674-193 rushing yard deficit.
|
09-23-19 |
Bears -5 v. Redskins |
|
31-15 |
Win
|
100 |
10 h 45 m |
Show
|
Rating: Units 'Skins have now lost five straight home openers. Were out rushed, 213-47, by Dallas, but note Adrian Peterson's 107th career rushing TD, passing Jim Brown for 5th all-time. Bears were spread darlings a year ago: 12-5 ATS (12-4 during the regular season), but went down by ½ point, after taking Denver at the gun. Chicago now has exactly 1 TD on 21 drives this season. But maybe they've found their kicker in Pineiro. Washington has now lost 5 straight home openers. Little hope for the Skins
|
09-22-19 |
Rams -3.5 v. Browns |
|
20-13 |
Win
|
100 |
26 h 48 m |
Show
|
Rating: 2 Units Back-to-back prime time games for the Browns. The Rams have now won 15 of their last 18 road games, including the playoffs. Goff last week: 19-of-28 for 283 yards, a TD pass, as well as a rushing TD. Gurley another TD. That's his 42nd TD since 2017: the most in the NFL. Rams are 4-1 ATS vs the Browns, while McVay is 8-1 ATS off a SU/ATS win vs an opponent off a road game, as well as 9-1 ATS off a pair of SU wins. Browns are 1-8 as HDs vs .600+ foes. Cleveland is off Monday nighter
|
09-22-19 |
Saints v. Seahawks -4.5 |
|
33-27 |
Loss |
-105 |
22 h 49 m |
Show
|
Rating: 2 Units Hard to believe that it was 9 yrs ago, when "Beast Mode" had that incredible 67-yard TD run over the Saints in Wild Card. Seahawks were 10-point home dogs in that one ,& won 41-36. The status of Brees' thumb is of ultimate concern for New Orleans, & the NFL, quite frankly. Couldn't even pick up a ball with that damaged digit. First 2-0 start for Seattle since 2013. Wilson last week: 29-of-35 for 300 passing yards, 3 TDs, & 22 rushing yards. Since last year, he has 41 TD passes, & 7 Interceptions. Seahawks: 150+ rushing yards in 13 of their last 16 games
|
09-22-19 |
Raiders v. Vikings -8 |
|
14-34 |
Win
|
100 |
19 h 39 m |
Show
|
Rating: 2 Units No points for the Raiders in their last 9 possessions in 28-10 loss to KC, & have now lost 9-of-10 to the Chiefs. Carr just 198 passing yards & 1 touchdown with 2 interceptions, although passing Ken Stabler for most passing yards in Raider history. Check Viking "D" allowing TDs in their first 3 possessions. Cousins: 2 picks last week. His record: 0-17 in those tilts. Bounce back.
|
09-22-19 |
Jets v. Patriots -21 |
|
14-30 |
Loss |
-103 |
19 h 36 m |
Show
|
Rating: 2 Units Pats have now outscored opponents, 76-3 this season. Three straight games without allowing a TD, first time Belichick has ever done that. It's the best point differential (+73) thru 2 games since the '75 Redskins. And 2nd biggest shutout win for Brady/Belichick era. Obviously can't continue, but bucking them seems fruitless. Pats are 3-0 ATS hosting the Jets, & a splendid 13-2 ATS off Miami.
|
09-22-19 |
Dolphins v. Cowboys -22 |
|
6-31 |
Win
|
100 |
19 h 33 m |
Show
|
Rating: 2 Units Seems NFL spreads are reaching new heights, with this a prime example: 3 TDs. First 2-0 start for 'Boys since '15. Dak has been superb. Check 26-of-30, 269 yards, 3 TDs, 1 pick, & 69 rushing yards. His 34 regular season wins since '16 are the second most in the NFL to Brady's 37. Zeke another 111 rushing yards & a TD. Dallas has now won 6 straight division games for the first time since '98-'99. What is going on in Miami, being outscored 102-10 this season. First team to lose consecutive game by 40+ points since '61 Raiders.
|
09-21-19 |
UCLA v. Washington State -18.5 |
Top |
67-63 |
Loss |
-109 |
105 h 44 m |
Show
|
Rating: 4 Unit PAC-12 Game of the Week Can this be anything but? Sure, the Cougars lost 8 starters, including QB Minshew, but are 11-2 ATS at home, & Gordon has picked up baton, by leading the nation, at 441.3 passing yards per game. Bruins continue along their feeble way: 17 points from a 7-34 line run, & can't run: 78 yards per game.
|
09-21-19 |
Notre Dame v. Georgia -14.5 |
|
17-23 |
Loss |
-100 |
31 h 30 m |
Show
|
Rating: 2 Units Irish in off rare blowout win, blasting New Mexico (country's worst "D"), 66-14. Book: 5 touchdowns with 0 interceptions, with 59, 65, 37, 54, & 20 yard TD passes. Note that both Louisville & New Mexico out rushed the Notre Dame. Georgia only 11 points from a 10-0 ATS run, & well remember being nosed out of last year's playoffs
|
09-21-19 |
Central Florida -11.5 v. Pittsburgh |
Top |
34-35 |
Loss |
-107 |
98 h 49 m |
Show
|
Rating: 4 Unit NCAAF Game of the Week They keep on doing it. Knights now on 28-1 SU run, with accompanying 17-6-1 spread run, topping 37 points in 24 regular season games since '17. A 604-253 yards per game edge this year, with Gabriel at 9 touchdowns with 0 interceptions. Pitt at just 87.3 rushing yards per game, with a 117-70 point deficit in its last 6 lined games. Sure QB Pickett is at 293 passing yards per game, but Panthers just missed on the one that they truly wanted (Penn State)
|
09-21-19 |
Temple -13.5 v. Buffalo |
|
22-38 |
Loss |
-110 |
70 h 15 m |
Show
|
Rating: 3 Units As always, the Owls just keep on chugging. Have been one of the premier plays for the last 4 years, with current 28-10 ATS run, which includes last week's upset of a smoking Maryland team which entered off a 43½ pt cover in 63-20 rout of a decent Syracuse squad. The Bulls have been decimated, having lost 12 starters from last year's team which posted a 10-2 record in regular season games, including an upset of these Owls. Thus, the revenge motive slips into the picture. UB's 35-17 loss to Liberty last week (24-pt line loss), seals it.
|
09-21-19 |
SMU v. TCU -9.5 |
|
41-38 |
Loss |
-107 |
70 h 10 m |
Show
|
Rating: 2 Units Frogs are continuing their fine play. Just 10 pts from a 10-1 ATS run, & fresh off a 34-13 pounding of Purdue, with 346-23 rushing yard edge, behind Anderson's 179 rushing yards (11.2 yards per rush). SMU got another 219 passing yards from Buechele (290.3 yards per game), mauling Texas State's 2nd-worst "D". Spread very doable.
|
09-21-19 |
Michigan v. Wisconsin -3.5 |
Top |
14-35 |
Win
|
100 |
94 h 13 m |
Show
|
Rating: 3 Unit Big-10 Play of the Day Payback for last year's Wolverine stomping of the Badgers, with a 320-187 rushing yard edge. Wisconsin hasn't exactly taken on the cream thus far, but cannot argue with 110-0 point edge, nor its balanced 217 rushing yards per game, 300 passing yards per game "O", as well as its 107.5 yards per game "D". First road game for Michigan, with the host on an 11-5 ATS run in UM contests. Tables turned from year ago
|
09-21-19 |
Michigan State v. Northwestern +9.5 |
|
31-10 |
Loss |
-105 |
67 h 37 m |
Show
|
Rating: 2 Units Go ahead, figure out the Spartans, who have averaged 7.8 points per game in 5 of their last 7 games, & 39.5 points per game in the other 2. But rank #2 in rushing "D". Dog is 14-2-1 ATS in Northwestern games, with the 2 misses by just 7 & 3½ points. Johnson 113th passer in the land, but we pull pup lever
|
09-20-19 |
Air Force +8.5 v. Boise State |
|
19-30 |
Loss |
-110 |
79 h 7 m |
Show
|
Rating: 2 Units Double whammy here, as dog in Falcon games continues as "money" (26-of-30 ATS). Took Colorado in OT, after blowing 23-10 lead in 4th. Hammond: 2 passing TDs. Broncos off to perfect start, but note winning their 2 lined games by only 5 & 7 points SU. A Falcon call.
|
09-16-19 |
Browns -6.5 v. Jets |
|
23-3 |
Win
|
100 |
10 h 52 m |
Show
|
Rating: 2 Units I had the Titans as play last week in their 43-13 annihilation of these Browns, who looked anything but the up-&-coming franchise, that 2018 foresaw. Quite an embarrassing performance. First of four prime time occasions for Cleveland this year, after just 11 times previous 10 years. In off their most penalty yards since 1951. Jets did themselves no favors, in blowing 16-0 lead in 4th vs the Bills, & now 1-8 when Darnold throws less than 2 TDs. Much of the team's optimism was based on the expected progress of Darnold, but his illness paves the way for Trevor Siemian to make his first start since 2017 with Denver. It continued a dismal week for the Jets, who saw linebacker C.J. Mosley exit the season opener with a groin injury and wide receiver Quincy Enunwa (neck) placed on season-ending injured reserve. Browns learned their lesson last week
|
09-15-19 |
Chiefs -7 v. Raiders |
|
28-10 |
Win
|
101 |
24 h 42 m |
Show
|
Rating: 2 Units Double poison for the Raiders here, as they are in off their Monday war with the Broncos, while the Chiefs, under Reid, are possibly the top streak team in the NFL, thereby signalling another solid win. Fifth straight 1-0 start for the Chiefs, although KC fans were holding their collective breath, after Mahomes hobbled off the field early in that one. His first quarter stats: 8-of-9 for 211 yards & 2 TDs (ended up with 378 passing yards, 75.8%, & 3 touchdowns with 0 interceptions. Raiders 1-6 ATS off Denver, 2-10 ATS hosting foes off 35+ points.
|
09-15-19 |
49ers v. Bengals |
|
41-17 |
Loss |
-110 |
21 h 43 m |
Show
|
Rating: 2 Units Opening day heartbreak is quite normal for the Bengals, losing despite a career day for Dalton (35-of-51 for 418 yards & 2 touchdowns with 0 interceptions). Thus the biggest opening day upset didn't occur. This is final of 3 former Super Bowl match ups, a mere 39 & 31 years ago. Niners had a 295-256 yard deficit in their win over the Bucs, with 4 takeaways, with RB Coleman leaving the game in the 3rd quarter. The Bengals are 11-2 ATS in September games vs the AFC.
|
09-15-19 |
Cardinals v. Ravens -13 |
|
17-23 |
Loss |
-100 |
21 h 33 m |
Show
|
Rating: 2 Units Two of last three Heisman winners meet here (Jackson in '16, Murray in '18). Cards scored 21 straight points in the 4th quarter & OT vs the Lions for the 24-24 tie. Murray's debut: 29-of-54, 308 yards, & touchdowns with 1 interception. Larry Fitzgerald is an absolute marvel (8 grabs, 114 yards, & huge 45-yard diving catch in OT). For the Ravens & their demolition of the Dolphins, it was Jackson at his best. First half: 10-of-11, 210 yards, 4 TDs. Check 33-12 first down, 643-200, & 40:07-19:53 time edges. Jackson: 324 passing yards & 5 touchdowns with 0 interctions. Another rout.
|
09-15-19 |
Seahawks v. Steelers -3.5 |
|
28-26 |
Loss |
-101 |
20 h 28 m |
Show
|
Rating: 2 Units Did the Steelers lay an egg in Foxboro, or what, managing only 3 points (2nd straight team that the Pats held to a FG). Remember the Super Bowl? Ben: 27-of 47, for 276 yards, but 0 touchdowns with 1 interception. A 20-0 deficit at the half, in 33-3 final. Many a Seahawk fan believes that the refs did them no favors vs the Steelers in Super Bowl XL. That was 14 years ago, & Ben was the QB for Pitt. Seahawks got the win over Cincy, but note a 12-22 first down deficit, with 3 takeaways the key. Seattle is 0-8 as an AFC road dog of less than 7½ points as well as 0-5 in their last five games in Week 2 and 1-6-1 ATS in their last eight games in September. .
|
09-14-19 |
Oklahoma -22.5 v. UCLA |
|
48-14 |
Win
|
100 |
52 h 24 m |
Show
|
Rating: 2 Units 'Bama transfer Hurts has been simply spectacular for the Sooners: 591 passing yards (6 touchdowns with 0 interceptions), & 223 rushing yard (9.3 ypr). OU's bane, of course is its "D" (114th last year). However, the Bruins just 17 points from 7-33 ATS run, & can't run (62, 62 rushing yards this year).
|
09-14-19 |
Florida State v. Virginia -7 |
|
24-31 |
Push |
0 |
52 h 2 m |
Show
|
Rating: 2 Units Yes, we are fully aware of the fact that the dog is 7-2-1 ATS in Cavalier games. However, Virginia is on a 9-4 spread run, including last year's 28-0 rout of South Carolina, in the Belk Bowl. Seminoles have allowed 40 points per game thus far (luck out OT win vs Monroe), with 290-171 point deficit last 7 tilts
|
09-14-19 |
Alabama -25 v. South Carolina |
Top |
47-23 |
Loss |
-102 |
98 h 15 m |
Show
|
Rating: 4 Unit SEC Smash of the Week Incredible 'Tide now has a 1,066-394 point edge in its last 25 lined games. As usual, Saban called off the dogs in last week's rout of New Mexico State. Tua now has 7 touchdowns with 0 interceptions. South Carolina lost QB Bentley, but check Hilnski's 24-of-30 (282 yards) last week. But don't forget that 483-270 yard deficit at North Carolina. Not going to be close.
|
09-14-19 |
Stanford v. Central Florida -7 |
Top |
27-45 |
Win
|
100 |
98 h 60 m |
Show
|
Rating: 4 Unit NCAAF Game of the Week Again & Again! Knights now on 27-1 SU run, topping 37 points 22 times since '17. A 665-146 rushing yard edge this year, with QB Gabriel has 5 touchdowns with 0 interceptions. And on 16-6-4 ATS run. Cards have rung up 3 "O" TDs so far, & going it without QB Costello. A 157-yard deficit at Southern Cal a precursor here?
|
09-14-19 |
Oklahoma State -14 v. Tulsa |
Top |
40-21 |
Win
|
101 |
94 h 21 m |
Show
|
Rating: 3 Unit Mismatch of the Day Another win for the 'Cane, who are on a 4-18 SU run. Surely impressed vs San Jose State, with balanced 256 rushing yards, & 283 passing yards (Brooks: 140 rushing yards last week). However, 'Pokes are relentless (40.1 ppg in their last 48 lined games). Sanders: 59 & 75 yard TD passes last week, & 6 touchdowns with 0 interceptions. We don't buck 'em
|
09-14-19 |
NC State -6.5 v. West Virginia |
Top |
27-44 |
Loss |
-110 |
94 h 24 m |
Show
|
Rating: 3 Unit NCAAF Play of the Day McKay has replaced the brilliant Finley for the 'Pack (40-of-52: 77%) in cakers vs likes of East & West Carolina. Also check a 500-49 rushing yard edge. Mounties lost without Grier & 11 other starters: 13, 13 first downs, along with 34-30 rushing yards. Only way to go.
|
09-09-19 |
Texans +7.5 v. Saints |
|
28-30 |
Win
|
100 |
5 h 2 m |
Show
|
Rating: 2 Units New Orleans has dropped five straight season openers for SU and ATS and draws a tough matchup in the Texans, who captured the AFC South in 2018 and revamped their roster with a series of notable moves on cut-down weekend, including trading away former No. 1 overall pick Jadeveon Clowney. QB Watson is a gamer, meaning he steps up for big games. With Andrew Luck suddenly out of football the door is open for the Texas to take the division.
|
09-08-19 |
Bengals +10.5 v. Seahawks |
|
20-21 |
Win
|
100 |
28 h 24 m |
Show
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Rating: 2 Units The "Legion of Boom" is officially over, but man, they were something else (Sherman, Thomas, Chancellor, Browner, Thurman, & Maxwell). Made playoffs 7 of last 9 seasons, under Pete Carroll, & seems all the weight is now on QB Wilson. Bengals' new HC, Taylor takes over for Marvin Lewis, who led them for 16 years. But when you go 0-7 in playoffs, only so much patience. Despite it all, Cincy is 17-8-3 ATS in the month of Sept.
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09-08-19 |
Titans +6 v. Browns |
|
43-13 |
Win
|
100 |
25 h 29 m |
Show
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Rating: 2 Units The expectations are extremely high, as far as the Browns are concerned, as they captured the imagination of the NFL, with their vast improvement, coming from a combined 2-44 SU run, to last year's 7-8-1 record. Rookie QB Baker Mayfield, of course, was the catalyst. And his worth has actually risen, with the addition of HC Kitchens, WR Beckham, & RB Hunt, only increasing their expectations. But Titans, with a healthy Mariota, are a sneaky good outfit (got to divisional playoffs in '17). No pushovers. And their "D" line has improved.
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09-08-19 |
Rams v. Panthers |
|
30-27 |
Win
|
100 |
25 h 26 m |
Show
|
Rating: 2 Units Rams were just a few plays from being the defending Super Bowl champs, despite posting a mere 3 points. That impressive "D", who held the Pats to 13 points, has added Eric Weddle & Clay Matthews. Could work wonders with Wade Phillips' aggressive defensive philosophy. The #1 question with Panthers, of course is status of Cam's throwing shoulder. Losing LB Davis & DE Peppers, however, can't help. Rams the play.
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09-08-19 |
Ravens -6.5 v. Dolphins |
|
59-10 |
Win
|
100 |
25 h 15 m |
Show
|
Rating: 2 Units For the first time since '07, Joe Flacco will not be under center as the Ravens kick off this season. But this franchise is firmly behind the electric Jackson, who led Baltimore to the playoffs once more, before being ousted at home by the Chargers. Not only did they lose a veteran on "O", also Weddle, who has been replaced by Earl Thomas. New coaching regime for the Fins. Now 24 different AFC East head coaches since Belichick started dominating the division. Ravens are 8-0 ATS vs Miami.
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09-07-19 |
Miami-FL v. North Carolina +5 |
Top |
25-28 |
Win
|
100 |
47 h 47 m |
Show
|
Rating: 4 Unit NCAAF Game of the Week Extra week to prepare for 'Canes after loss (3-pt cover) to Florida (six lead changes), despite 94-50 rushing yard edge. Tars rode Brown's return to enviously balanced (238 rushing yards, 245 passing yards) win over South Caroline, with 213-yard edge. 'Heels just 8 points from 7-0 spread run. Again.
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09-07-19 |
LSU v. Texas +7 |
|
45-38 |
Push |
0 |
46 h 50 m |
Show
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Rating: 2 Units This is a classic matchup, most notably in the Quarterbacking category, as both Texas, (with Ehlinger), & Lsu, (with Burrow), have 2 of the nation's top signal callers. And did they ever shine in their prospective openers. Ehlinger: 28-of-38 & 4/0 (in wipeout of LaTech); Burrow: 23-of-27, & 5/0 (all in first half, in demolition of Georgia Southern). In last year's bowls, these 2 were among the most impressive, with the Bayous destroying Central Florida statwise, & the Steers (+13) upsetting Georgia. The dog is 16-5 ATS in Longhorn games. We ride it again.
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09-07-19 |
Central Florida -10.5 v. Florida Atlantic |
|
48-14 |
Win
|
100 |
45 h 41 m |
Show
|
Rating: 2 Units It didn't take long for the public to jump on the Knights, as a single digit chalk vs an outfit which enters off a trip to Ohio State, in a game that saw the Owls allow 4 TD passes in the first 8:10 (Fields for Haskins), while eventually covering the 27½ point spot in a 45-24 final, as new Buckeye HC Day then went to the running game, resulting in a 237-22 overland edge. The Knights have been spectacular, topping 37 points no less than 21 times since '17, with accompanying, 26-1 SU run (24-10 ATS). Check 338-4 rushing yard edge in their opener.
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09-07-19 |
San Diego State +9 v. UCLA |
|
23-14 |
Win
|
100 |
42 h 26 m |
Show
|
Rating: 2 Units Same as last year for these 2. Latest 'Tec dynamic RB Washington: just 2.5 yards per rush in 6-0 rout of Weber State. Dog is 13-1 ATS in San Diego State games, which is still seeking an offense. Bruins only 17 points from a 7-32 ATS run, as woes continue, with 12 first downs & a 200-yard deficit at Cincinnati. To make matters worse, note that Uclans host Oklahoma next week. Bruins as favorites? No.
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