Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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12-15-23 | Northern Colorado v. Colorado -21 | 68-90 | Win | 100 | 5 h 7 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Coach Prime has stolen all the headlines about the Colorado Buffaloes, but the men's basketball team is putting together a special season. Colorado (7-2), led by junior guard KJ Simpson, already has been ranked and is on the verge of getting back into the polls. The Buffaloes can state their case when they host Northern Colorado on Friday night in Boulder, Colo. Simpson leads the team in scoring with 19.4 points per game and is also averaging 4.4 assists and 4.3 rebounds. He had 20 points in a 90-63 rout of then-No. 15 Miami on Sunday, and his coach believes he should be in the conversation with the best guards in the nation. |
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12-13-23 | Weber State +10 v. Nevada | 55-72 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 27 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Nevada is arguably a much better offensive team than Weber State, but I think the Wildcats’ defense is good enough to contain the Wolf Pack and help the team beat the number. Weber State takes good care of the ball (25th in turnover percentage, 14.2%) and dominates on the defensive glass (13th in defensive rebound percentage, 77.5%) while keeping its rivals off the free-throw line (33rd in defensive free-throw rate (24.9). The Wolf Pack love to attack the rim and are third in the country in free-throw rate (50.2). They should win this game, but I’m not sure Nevada will be able to beat Weber State by double digits. The Wolf Pack will have a tall task to slow Dillon Jones down. |
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12-13-23 | Chicago State v. Northwestern -24.5 | 75-73 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 31 m | Show | |
Rating; 2 Units Struggling Chicago State (3-9) hasn't faced a Power Five school this season and is coming off Sunday's 66-50 home loss to the St. Thomas (Minnesota). The Cougars shot just 38.8 percent from the floor, including 27.8 percent from 3-point range. Wesley Cardet and Noble Crawford paced Chicago State with 12 points each, but the team couldn't maintain its momentum down the stretch after drawing within 49-45 with seven minutes to go. Should the Cougars aim to trap Buie, who scored 31 points in the upset of Purdue, the Wildcats will be ready. Buie had eight assists against Detroit Mercy as Northwestern's ball movement kept the Titans off-balance. The Wildcats assisted on 29 of their 34 field goals. Reserve Nick Martinelli shot 10-for-12 from the floor en route to a career-best 22 points. Ryan Langborg hit five of Northwestern's 10 treys and scored 19 points, while Ty Berry (16) and Brooks Barnhizer (13) also finished in double figures. The Wildcats also were plus-four on the glass and had nine steals, four from Langborg. Northwestern is 15-0 against Chicago State all-time, including an 85-54 victory in its season opener a year ago. The Wildcats' 31-point margin of victory was their smallest in the series since a four-point win in December 2016. |
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12-13-23 | Murray State v. Mississippi State -16 | 81-85 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 7 m | Show | |
Rating; 2 Units The Bulldogs score 75.4 points per game (166th) on 43.6 percent shooting (236th), including 31.3 percent from long range (265th). They knock down 71.4 percent of their foul shots (161st) and average 38.9 rebounds per game (22nd). MSU's opponents score 62.0 points per game (19th) on 37.2 percent shooting (12th), including 24.9 percent from deep (4th), with 30.3 rebounds per game (126th). Mississippi State is ranked 28th nationally. |
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12-10-23 | Boston College v. St. John's -5.5 | 86-80 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 59 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units This game may be on a neutral court, but St. John's will have the fandom edge based on where it is. Outside of that, they're already a better team. The Red Storm's greatest advantage will be on the glass, which will lead them to a comfortable win. One of the other key separators for this game is that the Red Storm hits 37.1% of their threes, and Boston College only knocks down 33.9%. Considering that both defenses allow opponents to hit more than 37% of their threes, sharpshooting will also make a massive difference. St. John's beats Boston College there too, and will win this game by more than six points. |
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12-10-23 | Elon v. NC-Greensboro -13 | 73-82 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 58 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The UNC Greensboro Spartans use a very strong offense that is excellent at long distance shooting together with a defense that limits opponents to a low shooting percentage. UNC Greensboro shoots 39.7% from three point land which is 15th best in the nation and holds opponents to a field goal shooting percentage of just 40.4%. UNC Greensboro scores 79.9 points per game and allows 10.5 points less at 70.4 points per game. Elon is scoring an average of 82.8 per game but gives up 77.6 per contest and gives up high shooting percentages as opponents are making 46.3% overall and 32.2% from 3 point land against the Phoenix. Elon has failed to cover the spread in each of the last two while going 1-1 straight up over that span. UNC Greensboro has won each of its last six straight up and is 3-2 ATS over that span, which included a victory straight up over Arkansas as 15-point road dogs. |
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12-10-23 | Tennessee Tech v. East Tennessee State -8 | 72-73 | Loss | -113 | 7 h 33 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units |
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12-10-23 | St. Thomas -145 v. Chicago State | 66-50 | Win | 100 | 5 h 32 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units |
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12-10-23 | Brown v. Providence -15 | 54-74 | Win | 100 | 3 h 36 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Friars have won seven of their last nine games and six straight home games. They have played well offensively at home, scoring more than 79 points per game while making over 49 percent of their shots. They rebound the ball well and they’re very aggressive on the offensive glass, which will give them more scoring chances. They also do a good job of protecting the ball and won’t give the Bears a lot of easy scoring chances. The Bears have struggled defensively and they play worse on the road, giving up more than 73 points per game, so expect them to have a hard time slowing down the Friars in this game. The Bears have lost eight of their last 11 games and four of their last five road games. They have struggled offensively and barely scored more than 60 points per game in their last three games. They don’t rebound the ball as well as the Friars and won’t get a lot of second-chance opportunities against them. They’ve also been careless with the ball on the road, which will lead to easy-scoring opportunities for the Friars. The Friars have done a good job defensively, especially at home where they are holding opponents under 65 points per game, so expect them to keep Brown’s offense in check. Go with Providence to cover the spread. |
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12-09-23 | Gonzaga -175 v. Washington | 73-78 | Loss | -175 | 13 h 13 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Gonzaga, opening as a 5-point favorite against Washington, seems undervalued in the betting market, which has slightly lowered the spread. This adjustment doesn't sit right with me, considering Gonzaga's distinct edge. While Washington has faced solid competition, Gonzaga is a different caliber, particularly in their dominance over Pac-12 teams, winning their last 16 games against the conference, including 10 by five points or more. Gonzaga's ability to distribute the ball and capitalize on shooting opportunities is notable. They've been particularly strong against Washington, holding a 5-1-1 ATS record in the last seven meetings. With their knack for controlling the pace and an advantage on the offensive glass, Gonzaga is well-positioned for both stops and second-chance points. In this matchup, expect a high-scoring affair, with Gonzaga likely to push the pace before Washington sets up its defense. Their efficient ball movement and rebounding superiority on both ends should lead to another win and cover against Washington. I'm backing Gonzaga to extend their winning streak and cover the spread in this game. |
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12-09-23 | Notre Dame v. Marquette -20.5 | 59-78 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 17 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Notre Dame has been solid defensively but their inability to shoot the ball with any kind of sustained success is going to be a problem here. The Fighting Irish lost both their road games this season, losing by 12 to South Carolina and by 14 to Miami, failing to score more than 52 points in either of those contests. That kind of production isn’t going to get it done against a Marquette team that has put up at least 85 points four times already this season. The Golden Eagles have already beaten Illinois, UCLA, Texas and Kansas while taking Purdue to the limit in a three-point loss in the Maui Invitational last month. Playing at home against an offensively challenged Notre Dame squad works in the Golden Eagles’ favor as they roll to a victory here. |
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12-09-23 | BYU -160 v. Utah | Top | 69-73 | Loss | -160 | 9 h 25 m | Show |
NCAAB Play of the Day Rating: 3 Units The Cougars have won eight straight games. They are playing very well offensively, scoring more than 90 points per game while making over 49 percent of their shots. Their ball movement has been very good and they also very aggressive on the offensive glass, which will give them more scoring chances. They also don’t turn the ball over a lot and won’t give the Utes a lot of easy-scoring opportunities. The Utes have played well defensively at home, but they struggled in recent games and gave up more than 80 points in two of their last three home games, so expect them to have a hard time slowing down the Cougars in this game. The Utes have won three straight games. They are also playing well offensively, scoring more than 90 points per game at home. Their ball movement isn’t very good and they don’t rebound the ball as well as the Cougars, so don’t expect them to get a lot of second-chance opportunities against them. The Cougars force a lot of turnovers and they’re playing well defensively, holding opponents under 60 points per game, so expect them to keep Utah’s offense in check. Go with BYU to cover the spread. |
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12-09-23 | St. Mary's v. Colorado State -180 | 64-61 | Loss | -180 | 9 h 51 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Saint Mary’s plays tough defense, but I don’t want to stand in front of Colorado State. The Rams’ offense has been terrific since the opening night of the season. Colorado State has accounted for at least 81 points in eight of its nine outings this season. Isaiah Stevens looks like one of the best point guards in the country, and the Rams make 62.8% of their 2-pointers (3rd) and 38.8% of their triples (32nd). Colorado State turns the ball over on just 13.4% of its possessions, so I’ll lay six points with the Rams. |
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12-09-23 | Marshall +9 v. Ohio | 74-69 | Win | 100 | 7 h 32 m | Show | |
Rating: 3 Units The Bobcats have been a strong offensive team as they are scoring 79.9 points per game, which is 87th in the nation. However, their defense needs some work as they are 268th in the United States with 74.9 points allowed per game up to this point. The Marshall offense has been doing decently well throughout the season as they are 208th in the country with 73.8 points per game. |
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12-09-23 | Central Michigan v. Creighton -31 | 64-109 | Win | 100 | 5 h 46 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units This one could get very ugly this afternoon. The Chippewas come in at 3-5 and struggle to put points on the board. The Creighton Bluejays are 21st in the nation in points per game and are coming off a 29-point thumping of Nebraska at home. The Bluejays are efficient with the basketball, move it well, and rarely give away possessions. In addition, they will battle with a CMU team that is just 246th in the nation in 3-point defense while ranking 22nd in 3-point shooting. Creighton is also ranked fourth in the nation in the percentage of points coming off 3-point field goals. Don't be frightened by this big line, the Bluejays will run away with this one. |
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12-09-23 | Northern Iowa v. Toledo -165 | 80-84 | Win | 100 | 5 h 41 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Toledo Rockets are giving up far too much on defense at a rate of 76.8 points per game but make up for that by scoring an average of 79.3 points per game on an above average 48.3% shooting overall and 38.8% shooting from long distance. Toledo has taken 121 shots from 3-point territory and hit 47, led by Maddox who has made 18 of 47 shots from behind the line. Northern Iowa scores its share of points at 75.7 per game but is also giving up far too many at 75.0 per game. Northern Iowa has struggled against teams from the Mid-American conference, failing to cover the spread in six of the last seven. Toledo has covered the spread in 11 of its last 16 overall and the Rockets have covered the spread in six of the last seven versus a MAC team. Toledo plays a much more uptempo game than Northern Iowa as the Rockets are 105th at 70.5 while Northern Iowa is just 211th at 68.5, which means the Panthers will not keep pace with the Rockets, who will also have an advantage playing at home. |
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12-08-23 | Navy v. Quinnipiac -4.5 | 68-71 | Loss | -110 | 2 h 42 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units |
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12-06-23 | Maryland-Baltimore County -3.5 v. Morgan State | 80-92 | Loss | -110 | 5 h 1 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units |
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12-05-23 | Indiana +7.5 v. Michigan | 78-75 | Win | 100 | 12 h 7 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Indiana Hoosiers have won three in a row and their only defeat was against #5 UConn. They have defeated Louisville and Maryland in their last three games. The Michigan Wolverines have dropped four of their last five games with the only victory in that span coming against Stanford. Long Beach State even dealt them an upset loss. The Hoosiers are the superior defensive squad here. They just kept Maryland to 53 points and are only allowing 98.7 points per 100 possessions, compared to 102.7 points per by 100 by the Wolverines according to Ken Pomeroy’s ratings. The Wolverines rank 125th in the country in adjusted defensive efficiency. Each of the Hoosiers' last five wins have been by eight or more points. |
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12-05-23 | Western Carolina v. High Point -125 | 71-97 | Win | 100 | 10 h 60 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units |
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12-02-23 | Santa Clara +1.5 v. California | 69-84 | Loss | -120 | 12 h 15 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Broncos have done a great job thus far even though they returned just 20.1 percent of minutes and 17.3 percent of scoring from their 2022-23 roster. Per Bart Torvik, Santa Clara is a top-30 team in the nation in both 2-point percentage (57.1%) and opposing 2-point percentage (43.3%). I’ve mentioned the Broncos big win over Oregon, the second of the season against the Pac-12 team (89-77 at Stanford). I think the Broncos have the length to compete against the Bears, who also have a lot of new faces on their roster. Cal turns the ball over on 20.9 percent of its possessions while handing out just 9.1 assists per game. The Broncos are not a great defensive team by any stretch of the imagination, but their offense is 43rd in assists per game (16.8) and 177th in turnover percentage (17.7%). |
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12-01-23 | Purdue -5 v. Northwestern | 88-92 | Loss | -110 | 5 h 34 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Experience matters, that's why scheduling a soft non-conference schedule just to pick up some easy wins can be detrimental to the growth of your team. Northwestern has not had the easiest non-conference slate in the land, but they were only listed as underdogs once and lost that game to Mississippi State without covering. Northwestern should have pounded Western Michigan as they were 23.5-point favorites, but only won by four. Purdue on the other hand has played one of the toughest schedules in the country and won every single game. Purdue has defeated three top-15 teams and will roll into their first conference game with confidence. Northwestern has a 7-footer in Nicholson, but he is not an answer to their Edey problem. At 7'4 Edey is still too big and powerful and will dominate inside again. Northwestern's strength is on the perimeter with Boo Buie, but Purdue's Braden Smith is an excellent perimeter defender and will crowd Buie and take away his open looks. Too much talent for the Boilermakers. |
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12-01-23 | Southern Miss v. UAB -9 | 85-82 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 11 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Blazers were run over in the second half of their last game, but I feel confident predicting a more complete performance from them on Friday at home. UAB ranks as the better offensive and defensive squad, plus it's much more battle-tested. The Eagles have played the 190th-toughest strength of schedule, per KenPom, while the Blazers' schedule is rated 107th-toughest. Having already played Bradley, Clemson, and Maryland, UAB should be able to handle Southern Miss. The Eagles have not shot the basketball efficiently (321st nationally in FG%) and don't focus on one area of the court more than another. Per Hoop-Math, they attempt 34.8% of their shots at the rim, 33.1% from the mid-range, and 32.1% from beyond the arc. That figures to be easier for the Blazers to defend. |
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11-30-23 | NC-Wilmington +1.5 v. East Carolina | 66-74 | Loss | -115 | 9 h 31 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The UNC Wilmington offense will overpower the East Carolina defense. The Seahawks are too deadly from long range to be stopped by an inferior defense such as East Carolina’s which is allowing 74.0 points per game and 48.2% shooting. East Carolina’s opponents shoot 34.3% from 3-point territory and UNC Wilmington is second best in the nation from three-point territory hitting 43.5% of their 3-point bombs. Wilmington is averaging 85.7 points per game and it's not because they play uptempo, as they are just 237th in adjusted tempo at 67.8. It's because they are excellent shooters. Leading scorer Trazarien White is shooting 60.6% overall and 36.4% from 3-point territory and three of the top five scorers shot 51.7% or higher. East Carolina doesn't have the shooters to keep pace with the hot shooting Wilmington. East Carolina has failed to cover the spread in four of its last five. |
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11-30-23 | Texas Tech +3 v. Butler | 95-103 | Loss | -115 | 5 h 40 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Fresh off its biggest victory of the young season, Texas Tech takes on another challenge today with a road game against Butler as part of the inaugural Big East-Big 12 Battle. The Red Raiders rolled past Michigan 73-57 last week at the Battle for Atlantis to finish 2-1 at the event. The Bulldogs (5-2) delivered a similar showing in Orlando at the ESPN Events invitational, with back-to-back wins against Penn State and Boise State after a narrow loss to No. 19 Florida Atlantic. Now two teams with reconstructed rosters collide as they work toward establishing a long-term identity. For Texas Tech (5-1), this is the first true road game, and that's a challenge first-year coach Grant McCasland wants his team to embrace. |
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11-29-23 | CS-Northridge +4 v. Pacific | 80-69 | Win | 100 | 8 h 5 m | Show | |
Rating; 2 Units This game could easily go either way. Just take a look at the teams’ recent results. The Matadors lost to Le Moyne and embarrassed Mississippi Valley State, while the Tigers barely defeated those two teams at home. Interestingly, each of Pacific’s last four games has been decided by three or fewer points. I’m expecting to see a high-tempo battle between CSUN and Pacific. The Matadors should have enough weapons to keep it close down the stretch, so I’m going with the underdogs. Pacific is struggling to defend the paint which suits CSUN’s style of play. The Matadors are 359th in the country in 3-point rate and 89th in 2-point percentage (53.6%). |
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11-29-23 | Louisiana Tech +7.5 v. New Mexico | 65-74 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 11 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units La Tech looks to keep its five-game winning streak going on the road against New Mexico. The Bulldogs are 203rd in points per game this season. They are 167th in field goal percentage and 184th in 3-point field goal percentage. The Bulldogs are 55th in the country in points allowed per game. They are 80th in field goal defense and 80th in defensive field goal percentage. They are 63rd in three-point defense in the country. La Tech is 151st in turnovers per game this season. They are an above average rebounding team, ranked 125th in the country in total rebounding. |
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11-28-23 | Akron v. UNLV -160 | 70-72 | Win | 100 | 10 h 4 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Rebels split their last four games. They have played well offensively, scoring more than 72 points per game while making 47 percent of their shots. They rebound the ball well and they’re very active on the offensive glass, which will lead to more scoring opportunities. They also do a good job protecting the ball and won’t give the Zips a lot of easy-scoring opportunities. The Zips have struggled defensively on the road, giving up more than 70 points per game, and will have a hard time slowing down the Rebels in this game. The Zips have lost two straight games. They have struggled offensively on the road, scoring less than 70 points per game. They also struggled at the charity stripe in recent games, making less than 70 percent of their free throws in their last three games. They don’t rebound the ball as well as the Rebels and won’t get a lot of extra-scoring chances against them. They’re also careless with the ball on the road, which will lead to easy-scoring opportunities for the Rebels. The Rebels have done a good job defensively at home, giving up less than 70 points per game, so expect them to keep Akron’s offense in check. Go with UNLV to cover the spread. |
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11-28-23 | Idaho State +8 v. Pepperdine | 62-77 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 48 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units I think the Waves will put an end to their losing streak, but I don’t want to lay all these points with them. Pepperdine’s interior defense has been awful so far this season, and the Waves are traditionally a bad defensive team. The Bengals make 54.2% of their 2-pointers (79th in the nation), so I’m going with Idaho State to beat the number. The Waves lean on their 3-point shooting, and the Bengals’ defense is 13th in the nation in 3-point rate (27.8) and 4th in 3-point percentage (29.3). Idaho State will look to slow the pace down as much as possible and force Pepperdine into half-court basketball. I’m expecting the Bengals to hang around down the stretch. |
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11-28-23 | Portland v. Portland State -140 | 74-75 | Win | 100 | 10 h 44 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units |
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11-28-23 | Southern v. Marquette -32.5 | 56-93 | Win | 100 | 9 h 57 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Marquette (5-1) went 2-1 in the stacked Maui Invitational field, including taking down then-No. 1 Kansas before coming up short in the championship game to then-No. 2 Purdue by a 78-75 final. The Boilermakers are now the top-ranked team in the country. The Golden Eagles trailed by as many as 15 in the second half against Purdue and got within one before the comeback bid stalled. Marquette's Tyler Kolek led the way with 22 points, along with seven rebounds and six assists, while Kam Jones added 17 points. Southern (1-5) arrives on a four-game losing streak, most recently falling 71-59 on the road at Valparaiso on Saturday. Marquette is 2-0 against Southern since the 2013-14 season, with the last matchup in 2018 when Marquette won in an 84-41 blowout in Milwaukee. |
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11-28-23 | Utah State v. St. Louis +7 | 81-76 | Win | 100 | 4 h 56 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Utah State looked impressive at a neutral site, but giving up 6.5 points on the road is different. The Aggies are proud of their in-season tournament championship, as they should be, but the field in the Cayman Islands Classic was watered down. Defeating teams like Marshall, Akron and Stephen F. Austin does not do much to improve your resume. Keep in mind, Utah State has only played one true road game this season, and lost on the road to Bradley. Saint Louis is undefeated at home on the season, they have a chance to spring an upset on their home floor, but taking the 6.5 points is still the play. Utah State's offense is only ranked 102nd in the nation, and their tempo is 182nd; they do not score with great efficiency or play at a break-neck pace. Utah State will not run up the score here, they lost their only road game, and Saint Louis is undefeated at home. Hargrove Jr. and Jimerson provide the Billikens with a strong enough inside-out game to keep this close. |
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11-27-23 | Houston Christian +35 v. TCU | 64-101 | Loss | -115 | 9 h 51 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units With its Big 12-Big East Battle matchup at Georgetown set for Saturday, TCU has one last tune-up tonight as the Horned Frogs welcome Houston Christian to Fort Worth, Texas, aiming to keep their undefeated season intact. TCU (5-0) is coming off a 93-74 win over Alcorn State last Tuesday. Houston Christian is winless in four games, though the Huskies lost twice by single digits. |
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11-26-23 | New Orleans v. Central Arkansas +5 | 79-74 | Push | 0 | 6 h 31 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units |
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11-26-23 | Wyoming v. Texas -15.5 | 63-86 | Win | 100 | 5 h 54 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Texas has the advantage of playing at home against a Wyoming team that hasn't had a true road test yet. Wyoming hasn't played a team close to this tough either. Along with that, the Longhorns need to bounce back from their first loss. All of that is to say, that Texas should blow out the Cowboys. The Longhorns have a defense that will completely stymie Wyoming. Texas will also control the rebounding battle. Nobody is stopping Texas from scoring, and that won't change on Sunday. Take Texas to cover. |
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11-26-23 | New Mexico State v. Louisville -8 | 84-90 | Loss | -110 | 3 h 58 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units I have renewed confidence in the Cardinals following their strong showing in New York City. They were in position to win both games and truly had the 19th-ranked Longhorns on the ropes before falling on a last-second shot. That confidence should carry over in this spot against a New Mexico State team that has struggled on both ends of the court this season. The Aggies have had difficulty scoring, shooting, and defending the opposition. Louisville has been above average defending the opposition this season, ranking 170th in defensive field goal percentage and 134th in 3-point defense. The biggest differential in this game is rebounding. Louisville is 50th in the nation while the Aggies are just under 300th in the nation. The Cardinals should dominate the glass and dominate the interior. |
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11-26-23 | Austin Peay v. Appalachian State -9 | 58-78 | Win | 100 | 3 h 49 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units |
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11-24-23 | Southern Indiana +37 v. Duke | 62-80 | Win | 100 | 9 h 31 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units |
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11-24-23 | Winthrop +9 v. Georgia | 69-78 | Push | 0 | 8 h 32 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units |
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11-24-23 | Monmouth +7.5 v. Belmont | 93-84 | Win | 100 | 5 h 33 m | Show | |
Rating; 2 Units |
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11-24-23 | Charleston Southern +23 v. Wake Forest | 56-71 | Win | 100 | 4 h 34 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units |
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11-24-23 | BYU -10 v. Arizona State | 77-49 | Win | 100 | 14 h 49 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units BYU seeks its second 5-0 start in the past three seasons when it faces Arizona State on Thursday night in the opening round of the Vegas Showdown at Las Vegas. 4It isn't hard to pinpoint the most impressive of the Cougars' four straight wins. They took down then-No. 17 San Diego State, a national finalist last season, 74-65 on Nov. 10 in Provo, Utah. BYU is coming off a 93-50 rout of Morgan State on Nov. 18. It marked the third time the Cougars won by more than 40 points this season. Jaxson Robinson led BYU with 19 points, and Fousseyni Traore added 17 in the balanced attack that features seven players averaging at least nine points per game and five in double digits. |
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11-22-23 | Princeton -150 v. Old Dominion | 76-56 | Win | 100 | 4 h 38 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Princeton Tigers are hot. They have won all four games this season including a 68-61 win against Rutgers of the Big Ten. Old Dominion has not looked good. Their only win occurred against a non-DI opponent in the season opener. They have since lost two straight games. Princeton is a potent offensive squad. They are averaging 110.4 points per 100 possessions, ranking them 50th out of 360 teams in adjusted offensive efficiency. This is superior to Old Dominion who is only averaging 104 points per 100. The Tigers are playing stellar defense, conceding 67 or fewer points in all four games. They have covered in all four games and I expect another convincing win. |
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11-21-23 | NC-Wilmington -135 v. Appalachian State | 56-86 | Loss | -135 | 1 h 9 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Until someone stops this offense, roll with the Seahawks to decimate every foe in their path. Especially since they're hitting 50.7% of their triples. App State has struggled to defend the three-point line, which will bite them in this matchup. On the other end, the Mountaineers' inefficiencies offensively will make it impossible to keep up. Even when they have golden chances for buckets, they aren't a lock to convert. UNCW has too much firepower, which is why they'll win and cover in this one. |
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11-07-23 | Auburn +1.5 v. Baylor | 82-88 | Loss | -115 | 11 h 32 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Baylor lost a lot after last season, which will be hard to replicate early. Four of their five starters are gone, which took 68% of Baylor's scoring with them. The team's offense carried them in the 2022-23 campaign, and there's reason to doubt if the many newcomers can match last year's offense. Improving defensively is a massive question mark too. Looking at Auburn, they were a much more balanced team last season. They lost two key players, but most of last year's rotation is back. That continuity will be massive to begin the season, especially on the defensive end. The Tigers will come out roaring and earn an early Quadrant 1 win. |
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04-03-23 | San Diego State v. Connecticut -7 | 59-76 | Win | 100 | 10 h 53 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Connecticut won on Saturday night with a bruising effort against Miami, leading from start to finish. The Canes were no match for the Huskies and it was clear from the opening tip. The Huskies have won five consecutive games straight-up and are 9-1 against the spread in their last ten overall. |
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04-01-23 | Miami-FL v. Connecticut -5.5 | 59-72 | Win | 100 | 12 h 10 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Miami Hurricanes' first-ever romp into the Final Four, including redemption from last season's Elite Eight loss, has been a great story. The Hurricanes have a terrific backcourt and highly skilled role players that have helped the team average over 80 points per game in the tournament. Unfortunately, the ride ends here. UConn is playing at a level that I haven't seen since the 1990 UNLV Runnin' Rebels stormed through the tournament on the way to the National Championship. The Huskies have an average margin of victory of over 21 points, are shooting the ball at a 50% clip, and hold the opposition to just over 35% shooting. This team can beat you from long range, averaging over 10 made 3pt field goals per game in the tournament, or in the paint, averaging 37.5 points in the paint per game. UConn will turn the ball over on occasion but this Miami team is not built to cause a high number of turnovers, averaging just over 10 forced turnovers per game in the tournament. And, if the Hurricanes start slowly, they will be in major trouble. The average score in the second half of the Huskies' games in the tournament is 46-27. Yes, the Huskies are beating teams by an AVERAGE of nearly 20 points in the second half of their tournament games. UConn will wear Miami down with too much size, too much defensive pressure and just, and just too much. The Huskies will roll into the NCAA Final on Monday night. |
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04-01-23 | Florida Atlantic v. San Diego State -140 | 71-72 | Win | 100 | 9 h 6 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Aztecs are 5-0 ATS in their last five games following an ATS win and 6-0 ATS in their last six games following a straight-up win. I'm a firm believer in San Diego State's defense, which caused a world of problems for the Crimson Tide and Blue jays. The Aztecs grind you down for the entire shot clock and waste no energy on the offensive end. They're capable of slowing down the Owls' offense and holding their own on the boards. Florida Atlantic will make this an exciting game, but like Creighton, it will fall short down the stretch. |
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03-26-23 | Miami-FL v. Texas -180 | 88-81 | Loss | -180 | 8 h 4 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Despite the uncertainty of Disu's availability, I like the Longhorns in this matchup. Texas has been shooting the ball extremely well in the tournament and doing so both inside and beyond the arc. Texas is averaging 37 points in the paint per game thus far in the tournament. Miami, meanwhile, is averaging 29.3 points in the paint per game. The Hurricanes are much more reliant on the 3pt shot and Texas has held teams under 30% from long distance. The Longhorns are an impressive 6-0-1 ATS in the last seven games against teams with a winning percentage of .600 or better. The Longhorns would be more vulnerable against a team that relied more on its inside play without Disu but they should be able to compensate for his loss against the perimeter-shooting Hurricanes. Texas has continued to overcome setbacks all season and they are up to the challenge in this one. |
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03-26-23 | Creighton v. San Diego State +2.5 | 56-57 | Win | 100 | 5 h 18 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Creighton has played better than expected in the tournament, especially offensively. They have shot the lights out in their wins over Baylor and Princeton in their last two contests. One has to think that they will have a tougher time shooting the ball against an Aztecs team that held opposing teams to just 40.8% shooting from the floor this season. Depth is also an issue for the Blue Jays as we’ve seen them get a combined 16 points from their bench in their three tournament games, 14 of which have come from Farabello. If Creighton finds themselves in any kind of foul trouble, it’s going to be tough sledding. We just saw San Diego State upend Alabama in a game where Bradley finished with only six points. Look for him to bounce back and help the Aztecs advance to the Final Four. Consider that the Aztecs are 13-3-2 ATS in their last 18 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record. |
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03-25-23 | Connecticut -140 v. Gonzaga | 82-54 | Win | 100 | 11 h 22 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Gonzaga’s tendency to get off to a slow start makes the Bulldogs a terrifying betting option against a UConn team that is looking like the NCAA Tournament favorite right now. The Huskies have rolled through their first three games and have won all 15 of their non-conference games by double digits this season. Gonzaga is coming off an emotional game against UCLA, while UConn was able to cruise down the stretch, giving the Huskies an edge on Saturday night. They also have more size than Gonzaga in the paint, so this will likely be Timme’s worst game of the tournament. UConn has covered the spread in eight of its last nine games and is 12-1 in its last 13 games as a favorite. |
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03-25-23 | Florida Atlantic v. Kansas State -120 | 79-76 | Loss | -120 | 9 h 35 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Wildcats outlasted the Spartans on Thursday evening, proving they belong among the nation's elite teams. This wasn't expected of K-State — it was picked to finish last in the Big 12 preseason poll — but the Wildcats' mix of transfer players meshed as well as first-year head coach Jerome Tang hoped. To take the next step, though, Tang's team must show it hasn't gotten too full of itself. The Owls weren't predicted to be dancing on Saturday, but like their opponent, they have silenced doubters with their consistency. Florida Atlantic showed Tennessee the door on Thursday night with a stunning second-half performance, but it can't win with one half of solid play tomorrow. I predict Kansas State wins and covers the narrow spread, ending the Owls' historic run. The Wildcats have been battle-tested, advancing to the Elite Eight after enduring a rigorous Big 12 schedule. FAU has proven that it belongs, but it won't be able to overcome its talent disadvantages versus KSU. The Cats win with grit — something point guard Markquis Nowell clearly has. Kansas State didn't lose focus when Nowell hurt his ankle versus Michigan State and won't take its eye off the prize at MSG tomorrow. Bet the Wildcats to continue to roll against the overmatched Owls. |
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03-24-23 | Xavier v. Texas -185 | 71-83 | Win | 100 | 12 h 30 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Musketeers’ head coach Sean Miller returned to Xavier this season where he coached from 2004 until 2009 before leaving for the desert in Arizona. There is no refuting Miller’s success in this event, as his 20-11 SU mark would attest. Better yet, it’s been Miller Time when his troops are dogging it in The Dance, going 8-1 ATS overall when taking points. However, Xavier’s Achilles’ Heel in this contest is its dismal Defensive Field Goal Percentage (44.1 – only Gonzaga here is worse). Despite its glaring weakness on the glass, with Big 12 tournament champions standing 11-3 overall since 2000 in Sweet 16 games, and UT 20-4 outright against .750 or fewer foes this season, we’ll toss our hat in the ring with the Horns. |
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03-24-23 | Princeton +10 v. Creighton | 75-86 | Loss | -110 | 30 h 56 m | Show | |
Rating: 3 Units Blue Jays’ head coach Greg McDermott is only 2-6 SUATS against foes off a win of greater than 4 points in this tourney. Interestingly, double digit favorites in the Sweet 16, favored by the most points in this round, are 18-3 SU, but have covered in only 7 of the 21 contests (7-12-2 ATS), including 0-7 ATS versus foes coming off a SU underdog win. In addition, double-digit dogs in Sweet 16 games are 15-6 ATS since 1999, including 11-1 ATS when coming off a SU underdog win (10-0 ATS versus sub .880 foes). In fact, teams off a pair of upset wins in the first two rounds are 14-5 ATS in Sweet 16 rounds dating back to 2011, including 7-0 ATS when taking 8 or more points today. |
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03-24-23 | Miami-FL +7.5 v. Houston | 89-75 | Win | 100 | 10 h 43 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Houston, it should be noted they struggled mightily against quality opposition this season – read: .750 or greater foes – going just 1-7 ATS. Ironically, each of Sampson’s last five losses in The Big Dance have been against foes of a similar ilk (Villanova last season). Miami is undersized, but the Hurricanes have elite guards and a dynamic small-ball big man in Norchad Omier. He's among a group of four Miami players averaging 13 or more points per game. A three-guard attack, led by ACC Player of the Year Isaiah Wong, could be a handful, particularly if Houlton’s star G Marcus Sasser is not 100% back from his groin injury |
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03-24-23 | San Diego State v. Alabama -7.5 | Top | 71-64 | Loss | -105 | 27 h 3 m | Show |
Sweet 16 Play of the Day Rating: 3 Units What has been overlooked this season, is Bama was the No. 20 in the AP preseason poll. Safe to say they have been major overachievers to the point they were awarded the No. 1 overall seed in this year’s tournament. And starting today they own the easiest path to the Final Four with only No. 5, 6 and perhaps 15 seeds in their path. They also bring the best Rebound Margin, and second-best Defensive Field Goal Percentage and Scoring Margins of all teams still remaining in this tournament. San Diego State enters with the second worst Offensive Field Goal Percentage (uh oh). The Aztecs are in the Sweet 16 for the first time since 2014, and third time overall. Seven players average at least 20.0 minutes per game this season, but only one player averages double-digits in scoring. Ironically. SDSU was No. 19 in the AP preseason Top 25, ahead of Alabama. With MWC teams a shivery 3-31-1 ATS in their last 35 outright losses in this tourney, you know exactly what to do. |
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03-23-23 | Gonzaga v. UCLA -120 | 79-76 | Loss | -120 | 13 h 41 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units This should be a gladiator-type showdown between two of the nation’s premier players in power forwards Drew Timme of the Zags and the Bruins’ Jaime Jaquez Jr, and both teams rank in the Top Four in Scoring Margin. Be aware that No. 3 seeds in the third round of this event are just 28-40 ATS since 1990, including 1-3 SU and 0-4 ATS when facing a foe seeking revenge. The Bulldogs also sport the No. 219 team in the land in Defensive Field Goal Percentage, as opposed to UCLA’s No. 18 national rank in the same category. Therein lies your edge. Remember, since 1997 there have been four teams that entered the Sweet 16 round who lost the money in each of their first two rounds of the NCAA tourney and then met an avenging foe. They went 0-4 SUATS in those games. |
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03-23-23 | Florida Atlantic v. Tennessee -5.5 | 62-55 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 17 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units CUSA programs are 0-4 SU in this round of the tournament, losing by an average margin of more than more than 10 PPG. Denting Tennessee’s stifling defense is priority one for the Owls if they hope to advance. The Volunteers rank 3rd in the nation in Defensive Field Goal Percentage (37.2) while allowing opponents to shoot just 26.4% from outside the arc, the lowest mark in college basketball. You can poke holes all you want at coach Barnes and his tawdry 20-31 ATS record in this tournament but he’s only the second coach in school history to make multiple Sweet 16s. In the end the pedigree wins out, as it almost always does at this stage. Lay the points. |
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03-23-23 | Arkansas v. Connecticut -180 | Top | 65-88 | Win | 100 | 26 h 51 m | Show |
Sweet 16 Play of the Day Rating: 4 Units This is familiar territory for the Razorbacks, reaching the Sweet 16 for the third straight season and taking aim at their third consecutive Elite 8 appearance. Getting here was not easy, though: CBS Sports reports that three Arkansas players fouled out in the Kansas game and two others finished with four fouls in the 72-71 upset. Then there’s a massive hangover awaits Arkansas, as teams in Sweet 16 games off an upset win over a No. 1 seed are just 4-7 SU and 3-7-1 ATS since 1996 when facing sub .790 opponents in this round. We think Connecticut is going to RULE the Razorbacks, going 24-6 SU and 21-9 ATS versus SEC foes of late (4-0 SUATS the last five seasons), including 6-1 SUATS against those coming off a SU underdog win. UConn is an outstanding 13-0 SU and 12-1 ATS record this season in non-Big East battles tells us Arky will get counted out here – a notion seconded by the fact that UConn is 16-1 SU and 13-3-1 ATS in this tournament against foes coming off an NCAA tourney upset win as an underdog, including 9-0 SUATS versus No. 6 or lower seeds. |
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03-23-23 | Michigan State v. Kansas State +1.5 | 93-98 | Win | 100 | 26 h 40 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Izzo enters on a 1-6 SUATS run of late against Big 12 opponents, as well as 0-3 SUATS in this tournament against No. 3 or higher seeds when coming off a SU underdog win when his troops sport a sub .666 win percentage. The only bad news for Kansas State? No. 3 seeds in the Sweet 16 round are just 3-14 ATS when taking on .714 or fewer opponents. While Izzo stands 16-12 SU in this event versus higher seeded opposition, he’s just 2-4 SUATS in those same games when his troops own a .676 or less win percentage and are facing No. 3 or greater seeds. The bottom line to us is we love higher seeded dogs like KSU, and higher seeded dogs in this round are 11-6 ATS since 1990, including 8-2 SUATS when taking 2 or fewer points. |
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03-22-23 | UAB -1 v. Vanderbilt | 67-59 | Win | 100 | 3 h 8 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units If previous performances are any indication, UAB should kill the Commodores in rebounding, particularly offensively which will lead to ample second-chance scoring opportunities. It nearly sank Vanderbilt against Michigan, and I think it will this time. The Blazers have a tougher defense than the Commodores and an offense that can keep up with them. Even on the road, I'm expecting UAB to win, and with the spread only at one point, the money line is the best option. |
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03-21-23 | Wisconsin +3 v. Oregon | 61-58 | Win | 100 | 9 h 39 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units This will be a tough matchup for the Ducks, who could be without their top three players. Although it's tough to back a team in that situation, Oregon has been extremely impressive shorthanded through their first NIT wins. As impressive as the Ducks have been, I can see so many different scenarios playing out where the Badgers either win or keep this game within five points. Wisconsin has had some extremely close losses this season, including falling to Kansas by only one point earlier this season. Also, five of the most recent six losses for Wisconsin have either come in overtime or been decided by two points or less during regulation. Oregon is one of those teams that can make you look bad either way as a sports bettor. When the Ducks are on, they are very good, but they also have been inconsistent throughout the season. |
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03-20-23 | Radford v. San Jose State -6.5 | 67-57 | Loss | -110 | 4 h 36 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Spartans have won five of their last six games. They don’t have a high-scoring offense, but they played better in recent games, scoring more than 69 points per game in their last three games. Their rebounding was great during that span and they were very aggressive on the offensive glass, grabbing 12 offensive rebounds per game, so expect them to get a lot of second-chance scoring opportunities., They also do a good job protecting the ball and won’t give the Highlanders a lot of easy-scoring opportunities. The Highlanders usually play well defensively, but they weren’t as efficient in recent games, giving up at least 70 points in two of their last three games, so expect them to have a hard time slowing down the Spartans in this game. The Highlanders have lost four of their last seven games. They have struggled offensively on the road, scoring less than 70 points per game. They’ve struggled at the charity stripe, making less than 70 percent of their free throws. Their ball movement isn’t very good and they don’t rebound the ball as well as the Spartans, so don’t expect them to get a lot of extra-scoring chances against them. They’ve also been careless with the ball on the road, which will lead to easy-scoring opportunities for the Spartans. The Spartans are very good defensively and they played better in recent games, keeping their last three opponents under 65 points per game, so don’t expect them to have a hard time slowing down the Highlanders in this game. Go with San Jose State to cover the spread. |
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03-20-23 | Eastern Kentucky v. Indiana State -6 | 89-88 | Loss | -110 | 3 h 4 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Looking at these teams, the greatest difference between them is on offense. They both play at a high tempo, rebounded well against their conference competition, and know how to stifle opposing offenses. However, Indiana State is typically efficient, hitting almost half of their shots and taking advantage of free throws. Eastern Kentucky is not, only hitting 43.5% of their field goals and missing nearly 35% of their free throws. Expect Indiana State's offense to make the difference in this one when they beat the spread. |
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03-19-23 | TCU +4.5 v. Gonzaga | 81-84 | Win | 100 | 11 h 27 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units TCU's offense was not their strength this season and had a few lulls on Friday, but overall their performance was impressive considering Arizona State's defense wreaked havoc on a lot of teams this season. That the Horned Frogs hit open threes and free throws could make them very dangerous going forward. Of course, Gonzaga's offense on Grand Canyon, but Grand Canyon's defense was barely 200th in adjusted efficiency this season. TCU's is much tougher at 23rd. Gonzaga's defense isn't great, and Timme's size could pose problems inside for TCU's offense, but I think if they play like Friday the Horned Frogs will take this game. Taking the points is safer though, so I'm going to roll with the spread. |
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03-19-23 | Creighton +100 v. Baylor | 85-76 | Win | 100 | 10 h 34 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Does Baylor have anyone that can stop Ryan Kalkbrenner? Unlike NC State, they have the size, with starter Flo Thamba, but I don't think he's good enough to hang with Kalkbrenner. If he gets in foul trouble, Baylor's options are either a freshman or a size mismatch. Unlike certain schools, Creighton knows how to feed their big men when they've got a good matchup. Then there's Creighton's three-point shooting, which is due to improve significantly from their Thursday performance. Baylor's defense is much worse than Creighton's, and their offensive output won't be able to offset that against another dangerous offensive squad. The spread is only one point, so the best value is in taking Creighton to win straight up. |
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03-19-23 | St. Mary's v. Connecticut -180 | 55-70 | Win | 100 | 9 h 43 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Gaels are 0-5 ATS in their last five games following an ATS win and 1-5 ATS in their last six games following a straight-up win. The Huskies are 7-1 ATS in their last eight games following a straight-up win, 5-1 ATS in their last six games vs. a team with a winning % above .600, and 6-1 ATS in their last seven games overall. The Huskies impressed me on Friday, outscoring the Gaels by a wide margin in the second half. They'll own a rebounding advantage again on Sunday, earning extra possessions and holding the slow-paced Gaels to fewer possessions. Sanogo played like a monster on Friday (28 points and 13 boards) and won't be held back by this Gaels squad. |
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03-19-23 | Michigan State v. Marquette -145 | 69-60 | Loss | -145 | 8 h 51 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Golden Eagles have won 10 straight games. They are very good offensively, scoring more than 79 points per game while making 49 percent of their shots. They’ve taken advantage of their opportunities at the charity stripe, making over 77 percent of their free throws in their last three games. They do a good job finding the open man and they’re aggressive on the offensive glass, which will give them more scoring chances. They also do a good job protecting the ball and won’t give the Spartans a lot of easy-scoring opportunities. The Spartans usually play well defensively, but they struggled in recent games, giving up more than 69 points per game in their last three games, so expect them to have a hard time slowing down the Golden Eagles in this game. The Spartans have won three of their last four games. They are playing well offensively, scoring more than 71 points per game in their last three games. But they struggled at the charity stripe, making less than 70 percent of their free throws during that span. Their rebounding has been good and will keep them in this game, but they’ve been careless with the ball on the road, which will lead to easy-scoring opportunities for the Golden Eagles, who average more than nine steals per game. The Golden Eagles did a great job defensively in recent games, holding their last three opponents to 60 points per game, and won’t have trouble keeping Michigan State’s offense in check. Go with Marquette to cover the spread. |
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03-19-23 | Kentucky -150 v. Kansas State | 69-75 | Loss | -150 | 4 h 22 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Kentucky is coming off a strong outing against Providence, holding the Friars to 53 points and 36% field goal shooting. Kentucky cleaned up on the boards against Providence with 46 rebounds including 16 off the offensive glass, while holding Providence to 27 rebounds and only seven offensive boards. Kentucky is 33rd in the nation in offensive rebounds allowed at just 6.9 per game, which is not surprising as Kentucky’s Oscar Tshiebewe is averaging 13.5 rebounds per game which is first in the nation. Kansas State allows an average of 8.6 offensive rebounds per game which is 226th. Kentucky has covered the spread in six of its last eight overall and in each of the last five when playing against a team that has a winning percentage above .600. |
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03-19-23 | Pittsburgh +5.5 v. Xavier | 73-84 | Loss | -115 | 3 h 38 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Pittsburgh is allowing an average of just 50.0 points per game in its first two games of the NCAA tournament as the Panthers' defense has tightened. Pittsburgh held Iowa State to 23% shooting overall and 10% shooting from long range. Xavier is a strong shooting team, hitting 50% of its field goal attempts during a regular season, but against first-round opponent, Kennesaw State shot only 17% from behind the three-point line and cannot afford to shoot poorly against the Panthers. Pittsburgh has covered the spread in 23 of its last 30 and in four of the last five against a team with a winning percentage above 600. Xavier struggled down the stretch to cover the spread, failing to cover the spread in four of its last five. In intangibles, Xavier must play without Zach Freemantle, who before being injured was the second-leading scorer and leading rebounder for the Musketeers. Freemantle was also one of the court leaders. |
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03-18-23 | Maryland v. Alabama -8.5 | 51-73 | Win | 100 | 12 h 37 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Maryland survived a slow start to get past West Virginia but an opening 10 minutes like they had Thursday here could put them in a hole that they would be unable to dig out of against the Crimson Tide. The Terrapins played some stout defense against West Virginia to get through but they were helped by getting the Mountaineers in foul trouble, opening up the interior for easy buckets. Alabama hung 96 on the board with their best player going scoreless while playing just 19 minutes. Granted, Maryland is better defensively than Texas A&M-Corpus Christi but the Crimson Tide have plenty of depth, as evidenced in Thursday’s win. It also helps that they are playing in their home state. Look for that depth to make the difference as Alabama prevails to advance to the Sweet 16. |
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03-18-23 | Penn State +5.5 v. Texas | 66-71 | Win | 100 | 10 h 48 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units I can't turn away from a Penn State team that has thrived in close games down the stretch. The Nittany Lions are 5-0 ATS in their last five games and have gone 9-0 ATS in their last nine games as the underdog. In addition, Penn State has won six of its last seven games against tournament teams and covered the spread in each game. Further, the veteran Penn State team is not easily rattled and performs well above average in neutral site games. Penn State is 9-1 ATS in its last ten neutral site games. I expect Pickett to protect the basketball and create opportunities for his teammates throughout the game. Texas, which likes to move quickly, will be forced to adjust to Penn State's methodical pace of play and I expect this game to be a one-possession contest heading into the final two minutes. With that in mind, points are critical and I will happily take the 5.5 on the board. |
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03-18-23 | Auburn +5.5 v. Houston | 64-81 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 26 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Quite a bit in this contest depends on the health of Sasser and Shead. Sasser was an All-American selection but logging only 14 minutes while scoring five points in the first round was less than what the Cougars were hoping for against the Norse. The Cougars struggled to pull away against Northern Kentucky and one has to wonder if perhaps Sasser did more damage by attempting to play Thursday night. It’s safe to say that Auburn’s offensive production is better than Northern Kentucky’s and will test the Cougars’ defense more than the Norse did. The Tigers can hang on the glass and make things tough for Houston on the offensive end of the floor. Houston may win the game but it’s going to be a war if Sasser is limited or doesn’t play. Take the points and Auburn in what should be a low-scoring affair. |
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03-18-23 | Arkansas v. Kansas -160 | 72-71 | Loss | -160 | 8 h 44 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Razorbacks benefitted from the inconsistent play of Illinois in round one, something that has been a trademark of the Illini all season. Kansas had some of those issues early in the season but the Jayhawks have been playing at an extremely high level since then. They played the toughest schedule in college basketball this season and have 14 victories over tournament teams to prove it. Keep in mind that Arkansas is just 5-11 vs. tournament teams this season. The return of McCullers has also strengthened the Jayhawks' depth and should help distribute the scoring better. Kansas has thrived this season when the scoring was spread out, as it was in the blowout win over Howard. The Jayhawks are 10-5 ATS in the last 15 games and I expect that number to improve against the Razorbacks. |
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03-18-23 | Duke -170 v. Tennessee | 52-65 | Loss | -170 | 5 h 59 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Duke is playing its best basketball right now, as its group of freshmen is pulling it together on both ends of the floor. On the other side, I am not very high on Tennessee, as the injury of Zakai Zeigler has clearly weakened the Vols. Zeigler was a high-level perimeter defender, and the Tennessee offense didn't have enough depth to compensate for his absence. I like Duke by at least six points. |
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03-17-23 | Kent State v. Indiana -175 | 60-71 | Win | 100 | 56 h 54 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units It’s safe to say these are not your Bobby Knight Hoosiers. They’ve advanced past the Sweet 16 just once since 1994. Yet they are 8-2 SUATS when dancing off a loss, including 7-0 ATS against greater than .666 opponents. They also own a few big notches in their belt, having swept both Purdue and Illinois while picking up a win at No. 3 seed Xavier. The WOM (Well-Oiled Machine) comes to their aid here as well, noting that No. 4 seeds are 50-8 SU in the opening round when coming off a SU favorite loss, including 19-6 ATS when favored by 8 or fewer points. Meanwhile, MAC teams are just 6-19 outight in the NCAA Tournament, and 0-3 SUATS as dogs of fewer than 6 points against the Big Ten in this event. In addition, the Flashes are frauds when taking on Big Ten foes, going just 4-14 SU and 5-13 ATS overall. |
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03-17-23 | Florida Atlantic +2 v. Memphis | 66-65 | Win | 100 | 35 h 19 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units If it’s possible for a 30-win team to fl y under the radar, the Owls are doing just that. So disrespected is FAU, they were actually a 2.5-point dog in the title game of the CUSA tourney when they rolled past UAB, 78-56. They bring a glossy 7-3 SU and 9-1 ATS mark into this game when coming of a SU underdog win, including 5-0 SUATS the last fi ve games. In addition, FAU is also 11-1 ATS in games when both teams arrive off pointspread wins. Enter the American Athletic Conference tourney champion Tigers, off an upset win over a banged up Houston squad. They’ll likely pay the price today, though, as the WOM notes that NCAA tourney fi rst round chalk is just 12-25-1 ATS since 2000 when coming off a SU win as an underdog in a conference title game. And it doesn’t help Elvis fans knowing Memphis is only 3-10 SU and 5-8 ATS against .828 or greater opponents in this tournament. With it, look for the Owls to fl y to 5-0 ATS in their last fi ve meetings against AAC competition tonight. |
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03-17-23 | Drake +2.5 v. Miami-FL | Top | 56-63 | Loss | -110 | 53 h 16 m | Show |
Tournament Game of the Week Rating: 5 Units Miami, the ACC regular season and Drake, the Missouri Valley conference tournament. A trio of 5thyear senior guards leads the Bulldogs’ attack: Tucker Devries, Roman Penn, and Garrett Sturtz returned with their extra year of eligibility after having led Drake to 95-wins the previous four years. The terrific threesome averaged 42.1 PPG, 16.5 RPG, and 8.3 APG. They match up well with a Miami unit that also emphasizes guard play. The Canes bring a wobbly 1-5 ATS record as a favorite in this tournament into this fray as well as a 0-3 ATS mark in its last three Missouri Valley contests. Making matters worse, Miami mentor Jim Larranaga is just 1-5 ATS as a single digit favorite in this tournament. Meanwhile, Drake closed the season on a 13-1 winning run. In addition, they were 4-1 SUATS against .750 or greater opponents this campaign. However, we saved the best for last, where Drake head coach Darian DeVries is 10-2 SUATS “between the 4’s” in games on a neutral court |
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03-17-23 | Providence +4.5 v. Kentucky | 53-61 | Loss | -110 | 33 h 44 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Certain games have the look and feel of “upset” written all over them, and this is one. The Wildcats enter fresh off an opening round loss to St. Peter’s last season and are just two years removed from a 9-win season. Wooden Award winner Oscar Tshiebwe leads the nation in rebounding (13.1 RPG) while averaging 16.4 PPG. As talented as they are, or can be, the fact of the matter is Kentucky is 0-7 ATS in its last seven non-SEC battles. Providence bolted out of the gate at 14-3 before closing out 7-8. However, Ed Cooley’s clan made it to the Sweet 16 last season as they cashed all three tickets in the tournament. Cooley is a long-term 104-74-4 ATS as a dog, including 19-7 ATS of late. |
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03-17-23 | Fairleigh Dickinson v. Purdue -22.5 | 63-58 | Loss | -115 | 33 h 35 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units For the Boilermakers, it’s the first time as a No. 1 seed since 1996. They’ll enter the Big Dance this year seeking their fi rst Final Four appearance since 1980. The Boilermakers have advanced past the Sweet 16 just once in six previous trips as a top-2 seed. They have, however, made the Sweet 16 or better in four of the past five tournaments, but have been eliminated by No. 15 and 13 seeds the past two years. The good new is they are 10-4 SU and 11-3 ATS in NCAA tourney openers under Matt Painter, which should comfortably get them underway against either of the two slop buckets advancing for the “First Four” round. |
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03-17-23 | NC State +5.5 v. Creighton | Top | 63-72 | Loss | -110 | 49 h 2 m | Show |
Tournament Play of the Day There is a large contingent of Vegas wise guys who like this Creighton team, and it’s understandable.After all, the Blue Jays were ranked No. 9 in the AP preseason poll after winning 23 games the previous season despite being beaten up with injuries. The truth of the matter is unless they win two games in this event and make it to the Sweet 16, they will fall short of last year’s effort. That’s the plight we see happening, and with it, we’re not about to lay points with a team under this sort of scrutiny. For openers, Creighton enters with a crummy 7-13 SU and 5-14- 1 ATS record in this tournament since the turn of the century, including 0-4 ATS when coming off a loss as a favorite. On the fl ip side, NC State enters with a sparking 8-1 SU and 7-1 ATS record this season in games when coming off a loss, including 7-0 ATS the last seven games. In addition, the Pack is 4-1 SUATS in this tourney when entering off a loss when they sport a greater than .666 win percentage. We’re backing the team playing the better ball as playing on any .666 or greater lined Division-1 team in Round One of the NCAA tournament coming off a loss of 24 or more points if they are facing a sub .740 lined Division-1 foe is a perfect 11-0 ATS since 1990 |
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03-17-23 | UC-Santa Barbara +10.5 v. Baylor | 56-74 | Loss | -108 | 27 h 60 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Like Kansas State above, no team has ever won a national championship after losing its fi rst game in the conference tournament. That’s bad news for the Bears, whose season was laced with ups and downs. A 10-2 start was met with a 3-game losing skid. Then a 10-1 winning run was met with a pair of losses, only to close the season out with another pair of defeats. The question is can Scott Drew’s capable band of Bears fi nd another winning streak to close out the season? A cause for concern was that Baylor was outrebounded, 43-15, in its conference tourney loss to Iowa State. If that’s not addressed they could be going into early hibernation. Yes, they’re on a 7-1 SU and 6-2 ATS run in this tournament, but all of those games came as a No. 1 seed. On the other side of the coin, the Gauchos have turned into an ATM machine, cashing 19 of their final 27 games, while riding a 7-0 SU and 6-1 ATS streak into this contest. While they’ve lost all four of their NCAA appearances, they managed to ring the register in those games, going 3-1 ATS. |
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03-16-23 | Penn State +3.5 v. Texas A&M | 76-59 | Win | 100 | 32 h 59 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Micah Shrewsberry will try to keep the momentum going against what has to be a down-in-the-dumps bunch of Aggies, crushed by Alabama in the SEC title game. A plus for the Lions is their 10-5 SU and 14-0-1 ATS record in their last fifteen games on neutral courts. Sure, the Aggies may be 12-2 ATS as a favorite (9-0 ATS the last nine) since the calendar turned on January 1, but the Lions carry an 8-2 SU and 7-3 ATS ledger in their last ten games into this contest. They are also 13-5 ATS against .666 or greater opponents this season, including six ATS covers in a row when taking points. This will be Texas A&M’s first trip to The Dance since 2018 but we don’t look for the celebration to go much further. Both teams bring plenty to the table but being major dog lovers, we can’t remain neutral here, not with the Nits on a ‘neutral assault’. |
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03-16-23 | Northern Kentucky v. Houston -19 | 52-63 | Loss | -110 | 31 h 7 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Houston led the country in scoring margin (+16.0) and they play a suffocating style of defense. They’re also 6-0 ATS in games when coming off a double-digit loss. The feeling here is coach Sampson and company will likely be hell-bent on making a statement in this game today. If it weren’t for the Cougars’ worst-in-class 1-6 ATS mark this season in games versus fellow NCAA Tournament teams, we’d consider snapping the rubber band. Nonetheless, the Norse closed like a racehorse, going 7-1 SUATS down the stretch to capture the Horizon League title. They returned 4 starters from last year’s 20-win unit but were only 2-8 ATS in games outside the Horizon. They are 0-2 all-time in this event, as well as 1-24 ATS in their last 25 outright losses. That might be all you need to know today. |
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03-16-23 | Oral Roberts +6.5 v. Duke | 51-74 | Loss | -115 | 29 h 5 m | Show | |
Rating: 3 Units This is the fourth time in school history that Duke isn’t a top-4 seed, and In the two previous instances, it lost in the first round (2007 as a No. 6 vs. VCU, 1996 as a No. 8 vs. Eastern Michigan). It could happen again here against an Oral Roberts’ squad that returned their top 6 scorers, and 7 of the top 8 from last year’s 19-win unit this season. The Golden Eagles reached the Sweet 16 in 2021, and their current 18-game win streak is the longest in this tournament. Can’t turn down another of the four 30-win teams in this tournament, especially when we get a look at the fact that ACC tourney champions are just 10-20-1 ATS in opening round games in the NCAA Tournament, including 0-7 ATS as a No. 3 or worse seed. |
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03-16-23 | Illinois v. Arkansas -130 | 63-73 | Win | 100 | 26 h 12 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Big Ten and the SEC lead the way with most teams in this tournament (8 each) and this is one of the reasons why. Yes, we understand the Illini are 8-1 ATS in games when both teams are coming off ATS losses, but they are also just 5-15 outright and 7-13 ATS against No. 8 or better seeds in this tournament, including 1-9 outright in games in which Illinois sports a sub .777 win percentage. It’s hard backing a team like this, especially a school that hasn’t reached the Sweet 16 since 2005. As for the Razorbacks, they must overcome the recent ugliness of 8-seeds in opening round games being on a 5-11 SUATS losing run since 2018, including 2-10 SUATS against 9-seeds coming off a SUATS loss. But it’s our belief that if anyone can, the Musselman can. The head Hog just missed the cut list of our March Madness Top 16 coaches as he is 8-5 SU and 5-8 ATS overall, but he’s gone a hog wild 5-1 SUATS in this tourney against foes that are not arriving off consecutive SUATS wins. Don’t forget, the Razorbacks were the No. 2 preseason pick in the SEC this season, so the talent is there. Not thrilled with the fact that both teams closed out 1-3 SU in their most recent four games, but we’ve got to pick a side, so we’ll be makin’ bacon with the better squad today. |
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03-16-23 | Princeton +14.5 v. Arizona | 59-55 | Win | 100 | 26 h 46 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Zona is now 61-10 under Lloyd as his troops lost to Houston in the Sweet 16 in this tournament last season – his only postseason loss with the Wildcats (8-1). Lloyd’s 22-2 SU and 17-7 ATS mark in games against foes coming off a win of more than 8 points also figures to serve them well here today. However, Pac-12 conference champions are only 2-6-1 ATS in the first round of the NCAA tournament when facing foes coming off a win. As for Princeton, the Ivy Leaguers sport a 10-5 ATS mark in this tourney since 2010, including 7-1 ATS when coming off a win of 7-plus points. The Tigers are also 6-2 ATS as a double-digit dog under head coach Mitch Henderson versus winning opponents who are not undefeated, in addition to going 4-2 SU and 5-1 ATS as a dog this season. Remember, all four No. 2 seeds have reached the Sweet 16 just twice in the past 25 tournaments and given the Wildcats’ wimpy 2-11-1 ATS ledger in its last 14 dances, we’ll be on the take today. |
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03-16-23 | College of Charleston +5.5 v. San Diego State | 57-63 | Loss | -110 | 25 h 27 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Considering the Cougars' only NCAA tournament win came way back in 1997, the odds seem stacked against a deep run here. But Charleston has been a tough out in this tournament, as all six games in school history have been decided by 10 or fewer points, despite the Cougars being a 12-seed or worse in four of those five appearances. There are also plenty of hurdles facing the Aztecs in this year’s event. For openers, the Mountain West have never had a team advance beyond the Sweet 16, as opposed to 17 other conferences that have had teams reach the Elite Eight since the MWC was formed in 1999-2000. And it gets uglier as, per ESPN, the MWC is 1-8 SU and 0-8-1 ATS in fi rst round games since 2010. History has not been kind to the Aztecs either, as they’ve gone one-and done in each of the last three Dances while dropping four straight games. They’d also better polish up their 3-point defense for this one – almost half of the Cougars’ shot attempts are from beyond the arc. Add the fact that Charleston fans should descend en masse to the not-so-distant venue in Orlando, and we smell an upset right out of the box. |
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03-16-23 | Utah State v. Missouri +1.5 | 65-76 | Win | 100 | 23 h 14 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units A big concern for Utah State: Per ESPN – Mountain West teams seeded 10th or worse are 1-23 all time, with 20 straight losses since the only win in 2002. That’s certainly not good news for the Aggies. Especially as they fi nd themselves dressing up as a favorite against the 7th-seeded Tigers. Head coach Ryan Odom, who coached No 16 seed UMBC to its magical upset over top-seeded Virginia in the 2018 NCAA Tournament, guided the Aggies to the NIT last year and the NCAA Tourney this season in his fi rst two years with Utah State. They play a rugged brand of defense but it’s going to take a major effort to move a mountain and overcome the MWC’s putrid history in this tourney. Yes, Missouri will need to overcome a 0-6 SUATS mark in their last six games on the dance floor but they’ll do so knowing they are 10-5 SUATS in this tournament in games in which they sport the better record. It’s showtime for the Tigers. |
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03-16-23 | Furman +6.5 v. Virginia | 68-67 | Win | 100 | 23 h 39 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Furman is also one of four “double champions” (teams who won both their regular season and postseason conference titles) who are taking points from foes that won neither. We love fading these often-times disappointed favorites, especially with double-confident champions who are ecstatic to be dancing. Hey, the Paladins won their 15 conference games by an average margin of 16 points, and four players take the fl oor here averaging double-digits. Virginia can claim the second-best defense in the tourney, but they’ll need to apply the screws if they don’t wish to get screwed in this lid-lifter |
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03-16-23 | West Virginia -130 v. Maryland | 65-67 | Loss | -130 | 22 h 6 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The 8-seeds are on a 5-11 SUATS slide since 2018, including 2-10 SUATS against 9-seeds coming off a SUATS loss. That’s not good news for the Terps, who’ve won only a single game this month over bottom feeding Minnesota in the Big Ten Tournament – and the Gophers are a big cut below what Maryland will see in West Virginia. Mountaineers head coach Bob Huggins was at his best this campaign, getting an invite to the dance after being picked to finish ninth in the Big 12 following last year’s 16-17 losing effort. And while Huggy failed to make our Sweet 16 cut on this year’s top NCAA tourney coaches list, the fact of the matter is his troops are 11-4 SU and 9-5-1 ATS in first round games when coming off a loss, including 9-1 SU and 7-2-1 ATS versus sub .740 opposition. Finally, ESPN shared this nugget: At large teams that finished four games under .500 in conference play are 5-0 in the first round. Last year, 11th-seeded Iowa State became the first such team to reach the Sweet 16. This year West Virginia (7-11 in the Big 12) is the only at-large team in this year's fi eld to fi nish four games under .500 in conference play |
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03-15-23 | Arizona State -130 v. Nevada | 98-73 | Win | 100 | 12 h 15 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units First Four matchups involving a pair of Division-1 teams fi nds that squads coming off an outright loss as a favorite are 5-13 SU and 7-11 ATS, including 1-9 SU and 2-8 ATS against foes who were underdogs of 3 or more points in their last contest. That sets the table for the Sun Devils who were 17-6 SU against sub .690 opponents this season, as well as 9-2 SU and 7-4 ATS in games outside the Pac-12. And it certainly doesn’t hurt knowing the pitchforks bring an 8-1-1 ATS mark in this contest against Mountain West opposition. Meanwhile, the Wolf Pack closed the season on a 0-3 SUATS losing skein which is not a good omen for Nevada considering teams entering the Big Dance on a 0-3 SUATS losing skein are just 4-10 SU and 3-11 ATS since 2004, including 0-5 SUATS as an underdog. We seal the deal noting that MWC teams are riding a 0-12 SU and 1-11 ATS skein against Pac-12 foes in this show since 2001. |
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03-15-23 | Virginia Tech v. Cincinnati -5 | 72-81 | Win | 100 | 9 h 17 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units This is one of those games where the road team probably doesn't want to be there and the home team just wants to beat an ACC squad. Cincinnati's big advantage is on the boards where Virginia Tech ranks 209th in the nation in rebounding margin a -0.1. Virginia Tech is also bad on the road, shooting just 31.8% from long range, while Cincy is holding teams to 31.2% from long range at home. The Bearcats also put up 82.7 points per game on 47% shooting at home. |
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03-15-23 | Texas Southern v. Fairleigh Dickinson +2.5 | 61-84 | Win | 100 | 25 h 50 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The strange thing here is that FDU is playing tonight despite the fact the Knights actually lost to league champion Merrimack in the Northeast Conference championship game. That's because Merrimack is a Division-1 newbie who made the jump from Division II to Division I in 2019, but is serving the last year of a four-year prohibition from NCAA tournament play following its transition. Editor's note: It's such an archaic rule that needs to be abolished. Nevertheless, the Knights went 1-3 SUATS against 'lined' opponents this season (beat St. Joseph's), and are 1-4 SU and 3-2 ATS in this tourney, with their last appearance resulting in an 87-49 loss to top-seeded Gonzaga in 2019. On the other side of the court, 14-20 Texas Southern enters as the only team in this year's Dance with a losing record, yet own the Southwestern Athletic Conference tourney to make its second consecutive trip to this tournament (beat A&M CC in a "First Four" game last year before bowing out, 83-56, to Kansas thereafter. The Tigers did take down Arizona State, 67-66, as a 12-point home dog this season. While they have the experience, FDU is playing with house-money. And we're not betting against the house. |
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03-14-23 | Seton Hall +4.5 v. Colorado | 64-65 | Win | 100 | 10 h 39 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units This is the clash between a couple of defensive-minded teams. Both schools struggle to shoot the ball from deep and are far away from an elite level when it comes to offensive efficiency. Seton Hall makes just 5.8 triples per game (326th in the country) on a 32.8 percentage clip (259th), while Colorado hits 6.5 threes (282nd) on a 31.9 percentage clip (304th). Hereof, I’m expecting to see a tight battle, so give me the underdogs to cover a 4.5-point spread. Both Pirates and Buffaloes have been pretty inconsistent lately, and it’s hard to trust either side. Seton Hall is 2-6 SU and 3-5 ATS in its last eight games overall, though the Pirates have covered the spread in five straight outings on the road. On the other side, Colorado is 3-5 SU and 5-3 ATS in its past eight contests overall and 3-4 ATS in its previous seven showings at home. |
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03-14-23 | Mississippi State v. Pittsburgh +2.5 | 59-60 | Win | 100 | 8 h 13 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Consider that the Panthers are 21-7 ATS in their last 28 games overall, 10-4-1 ATS in their last 15 games vs a team with a winning record. While the Bulldogs are 6-14-1 ATS in their last 21 games following an ATS loss and 0-4-1 ATS in their last 5 neutral site games. |
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03-14-23 | Bradley +3.5 v. Wisconsin | 62-81 | Loss | -115 | 8 h 9 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units I have been fading this overrated Wisconsin team throughout the season, and I see no reason to stop here in a matchup against a team that will be more motivated. The Badgers had NCAA Tournament aspirations this season, and they were expected to be a threat to make the second weekend. Instead, they flopped in conference play and only covered the spread five times in their last 20 games. Bradley enters this matchup riding a six-game road winning streak and having won 12 of its last 13 games. The Braves were regular-season champs and will be motivated to prove that was not a fluke against a major-conference team. |
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03-14-23 | Toledo +6.5 v. Michigan | 80-90 | Loss | -110 | 5 h 28 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Rockets are 7-0 ATS in their last seven games following an ATS loss and 6-1 ATS in their last seven games overall. Toledo is the hungrier team, with a chip on its shoulder after losing in the MAC Tournament championship. The Rockets were victorious in seventeen straight prior to that game and will be out to prove they can play with a traditional Midwestern power. Toledo's offense is elite and will prove it in Ann Arbor, putting the Wolverines in a tough spot. Will the Wolverines defend their pride and home court in an otherwise unimportant game for a program rich in history? We shall see. |
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03-14-23 | Texas A&M Corpus Christi v. SE Missouri State +3.5 | 75-71 | Loss | -105 | 6 h 34 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Consider that the RedHawks are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games overall, 16-5 ATS in their last 21 neutral site games, and 11-3 ATS in their last 14 games vs a team with a winning % above .600. Additionally, the Islanders are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 Tuesday Games. |
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03-12-23 | Penn State v. Purdue -7.5 | 65-67 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 53 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Purdue has been dominating the Big Ten all season and they won't stop now. Penn State has shot the ball well in the tournament, but they have not faced a defense like Purdue's. Edey takes away any easy opportunity at the hoop, and Braden Smith is an elite defender who will give Pickett problems on the perimeter. Penn State is also a guard heavy team, they often play four or five guards, which is a terrible matchup when going against Edey. Ohio State played a similar guard heavy lineup, and Edey gave them 32 points and 14 rebounds in an easy win. Edey will do the same here, Penn State does not have an interior defender capable of slowing down Edey inside. The big man dominated all season, and will end the Big Ten season with one more big performance. |