04-28-25 |
Tigers +104 v. Astros |
|
5-8 |
Loss |
-100 |
10 h 30 m |
Show
|
Rating: 2 Units Detroit has won four games in a row, and they are currently first in the AL Central standings. The Detroit pitching staff has a 2.80 ERA with a 1.10 WHIP and a .211 opponent batting average, while the offense has scored 129 runs with a .247 batting average and a .329 on-base percentage this season. Spencer Torkelson has led Detroit with eight home runs and 24 RBIs, while Kerry Carpenter has added five home runs and 11 RBIs this year.
|
04-28-25 |
Yankees -125 v. Orioles |
|
3-4 |
Loss |
-125 |
8 h 2 m |
Show
|
Rating: 2 Units The Yankees and the cheap price are surprising when you consider they’ve comfortably been the better team up to this point. Yes, Warren hasn’t been great through 20.2 innings, allowing 16 hits and 11 runs while walking 10. However, the Orioles are arguably the most disappointing team in baseball through 27 games, and that includes losses in six of their last seven games. The Orioles aren’t scoring runs, and their pitching staff has several games where they get tattooed. Sugano is a 35-year-old rookie who has held his own for the most part, but we’re not getting enough plus money for me to get behind the Orioles. I trust the Yankees' lineup more, and the price is cheap. Give me the Yankees.
|
04-28-25 |
Twins v. Guardians -120 |
|
11-1 |
Loss |
-120 |
8 h 34 m |
Show
|
Rating: 2 Units Minnesota comes into this series with plenty of momentum after sweeping the Angels over the weekend, but they are just 3-10 on the road this season. Cleveland is 8-4 at home, but just allowed 20 runs to Boston in their last two games. The Guardians are starting Williams, who has allowed two earned runs or fewer in four of his five starts. The Twins are going with Ober, who has allowed one earned run in three of his last four. Both pitchers have some ugly numbers on the season, but they have been pretty solid in recent starts. I think this game could go either way, so I will fade the Twins and their terrible road record.
|
04-27-25 |
Phillies v. Cubs -113 |
|
3-1 |
Loss |
-113 |
9 h 42 m |
Show
|
Rating: 2 Units Philadelphia was able to snap its losing streak with a nice win on Saturday, but they are just 5-9 on the road this season. Chicago is 9-6 at home, and they have the highest scoring offense in the MLB. The Cubs are starting Taillon, who has allowed two earned runs or fewer in three of his last four starts. The Phillies are starting Nola, who has allowed 10 earned runs in his last two starts (11.2 IP). Nola has really struggled this season, and I don’t see him finding much success against this Chicago lineup. Take the Cubs at home here.
|
04-27-25 |
Braves v. Diamondbacks +100 |
|
4-6 |
Win
|
100 |
6 h 37 m |
Show
|
Rating: 2 Units Atlanta starting pitcher Spencer Schwellenbach is off to an excellent beginning to the season with a 2.56 ERA, which is 25th in baseball, and a 0.92 WHIP, which is 11th best. The right-hander gave up two runs on 8 hits in seven innings last Monday to beat St Louis. Arizona starter Brandon Pfaadt has had three consecutive strong outings, allowing 13 hits and just two earned runs in the last 17.2 innings, resulting in victories over Baltimore, Miami, and Tampa Bay. This match-up between two strong starting pitchers will be close throughout, but the advantage here goes to Arizona, playing at home. Arizona has produced better at the plate than Atlanta. The Diamondbacks are third in both slugging percentage and runs scored, while fourth in on-base percentage and 12th in batting average. In contrast, Atlanta is 9th in slugging percentage, 14th in on-base percentage, 15th in batting average, and 20th in runs scored. Arizona is 14-6 in the last 20 games against a team from the National League East.
|
04-27-25 |
Rays +106 v. Padres |
|
4-2 |
Win
|
106 |
5 h 29 m |
Show
|
Rating: 2 Units The Padres have struggled at the plate lately. They dearly miss Jackson Merrill, Luis Arraez, and Jake Cronenworth. Over the last 10 days, the Padres have accounted for an ugly .565 OPS and 66 wRC+ against the right-handed pitchers, so I’m going with Tampa Bay this afternoon. The current Padres are 13-for-35 with three doubles, a triple, and a home run versus Zack Littell. However, Littell has pitched well over his previous two starts, and he’ll put an end to his losing streak sooner rather than later. Additionally, Padre starter Randy Vasquez cannot be trusted.
|
04-26-25 |
Braves v. Diamondbacks -113 |
|
8-7 |
Loss |
-113 |
10 h 5 m |
Show
|
Rating: 2 Units I’m on the Diamondbacks here. I get that the Braves looked good in game one, and I do think this is a better Braves team than what they’ve shown so far this season, especially on the road. However, one win on the road is not going to make me suddenly forget the struggles this team has had, and Grant Holmes isn’t the kind of pitcher I’m looking to back in a spot like this. I backed Atlanta on Friday with Chris Sale going, because Arizona has been far less effective against left-handed pitching so far this year. But the Diamondbacks remain one of the league’s best teams against righties, and I think Holmes is a big step down from Sale. Kelly is still one of Arizona’s better starters and could easily be the #2 or even #1 in this rotation with Zac Gallen underwhelming and Corbin Burnes not looking worth the price tag Arizona paid for him early on this year. I think Kelly delivers at home here, and Arizona evens up this series at one win apiece. Give me Arizona in this one.
|
04-26-25 |
Brewers v. Cardinals -145 |
|
5-6 |
Win
|
100 |
4 h 7 m |
Show
|
Rating: 2 Units St. Louis was able to pick up a much-needed win in game one of this series on Friday night, and they are 9-4 at home. Milwaukee has lost three games in a row, and they are just 4-10 on the road this year. Neither team is playing very well over the last two series, but I am going with the Cardinals to get another win here. I like Sonny Gray on the mound, and he has done a very good job of limiting baserunners so far this season. Take St. Louis to win here.
|
04-25-25 |
Brewers v. Cardinals -125 |
|
2-3 |
Win
|
100 |
10 h 39 m |
Show
|
Rating: 2 Units St. Louis has home field here and a rest advantage as they flew home Wednesday after closing the set in Atlanta. The Cardinals had Thursday off while the Brewers faced the Giants in San Francisco and then had to fly in after. That could take a toll on the Brewers’ bullpen, especially with their starter Thursday, Tobias Myers, making his first start of the year. St. Louis is a solid 8-4 at home compared to 2-11 on the road. Liberatore has been solid in his four starts, going at least six innings in each of his outings this season. Give the edge to the Redbirds in this contest as they earn the victory in the opener.
|
04-25-25 |
Astros -109 v. Royals |
|
0-2 |
Loss |
-109 |
9 h 10 m |
Show
|
Rating: 2 Units The Royals have lost each of Lugo's last three starts, while the Astros have won each of Wesnewski's last two starts. In those three losses, the Royals have scored a grand total of two runs. The Royals' offense has been their undoing this season, hitting just .212 as a team. They won't find an easy road against Wesnewski. His WHIP is an outstanding 0.87 this season, allowing just 16 hits and walking four in his four starts. The Astros' offense has shown signs of life recently, averaging five runs per game in their last three. They'll get the job done here against the struggling Royals and pick up the win.
|
04-25-25 |
Blue Jays v. Yankees -125 |
|
4-2 |
Loss |
-125 |
9 h 41 m |
Show
|
Rating: 2 Units Neither starting pitcher has been overwhelmingly good this season with Berrios hovering around five for an ERA while Carrasco is over six in that department on the season. The difference may be in lineup production: Toronto mustered just two runs in their three games in Houston, while the Yankees, despite their ups and downs, are a very deep lineup with the capable of hang crooked numbers at a moment’s notice. For all his issues, Carrasco has pitched well at Yankee Stadium in his career. With Toronto struggling on the road, give the upper hand to the Bronx Bombers here.
|
04-24-25 |
Rangers v. A's +136 |
|
3-4 |
Win
|
136 |
12 h 25 m |
Show
|
Rating: 2 Units The Rangers are going to be favored obviously, because deGrom is on the mound. deGrom has been solid through 21.2 innings, allowing 16 hits and eight runs, and he’s coming off a brilliant showing against the Dodgers. deGrom is still working his way back and has walked five in his last 11 innings. However, the Rangers aren’t a team I’m excited to back with big juice when they’ve scored three or fewer runs in seven of their last 11 games. Also, Ginn has held his own through 10 innings, allowing nine hits and four runs while striking out 13. Small sample size, but Ginn has shown promise through eight career MLB starts. I’ll take a shot with the Athletics and the plus money.
|
04-24-25 |
Orioles v. Nationals -106 |
|
2-1 |
Loss |
-106 |
9 h 7 m |
Show
|
Rating: 2 Units I’ll lean toward the Nats. You could probably call this one either way, though. Gore had a spotty start in a loss versus Miami on April 13, notching 6.0 innings with four earned on eight hits and three walks. In the other two of his most recent trio, however, Gore is a combined 2-0 with just four earned in 12.0 innings on nine hits and three walks. As for Povich, he’s coming off a rough loss to the Reds with seven earned runs in 3.1 innings. In his 10.2 prior frames over two starts, however, Povich gave up just three earned runs.
|
04-23-25 |
White Sox v. Twins -245 |
|
3-6 |
Win
|
100 |
8 h 29 m |
Show
|
Rating: 2 Units Minnesota didn’t generate many hits on Tuesday night, but they were able to score four runs and get a much-needed win. The Twins are 5-5 at home this year, while the White Sox are 1-10 on the road. Chicago has just five wins on the season, and they have scored three runs or fewer in four of their last five games. The White Sox will be going against Festa, who has allowed zero earned runs over nine innings of work so far this year. I really like how Festa pitched against the Mets last time out, and he should have no issues with this White Sox lineup.
|
04-23-25 |
Padres +153 v. Tigers |
|
0-6 |
Loss |
-100 |
2 h 5 m |
Show
|
Rating: 2 Units The Tigers continue to have offensive issues lately as they’ve scored three or fewer runs in five of their last eight games. Olson also hasn’t been great this season, allowing 21 hits and 10 runs in 20 innings. Hart has had his issues as well, allowing 18 hits and 12 runs in 16.2 innings, but the Padres have been so good overall that they’ve managed to win three of his four starts. I’m just not trying to step in front of the Padres, especially when getting the more favorable price. This line is strange, but I’m not asking any questions. Give me the Padres.
|
04-22-25 |
Blue Jays -105 v. Astros |
|
1-5 |
Loss |
-105 |
9 h 37 m |
Show
|
Rating: 2 Units The Blue Jays aren’t having the best week in terms of results, but the offense continues to show up, and that makes them a team to watch. The wins will come eventually if the bats keep producing. Bassitt has been ridiculous through 23.1 innings, allowing 20 hits and two runs while striking out 31. In his last 17.1 innings, Bassitt has allowed 12 hits and one run. Combine that with the Blue Jays' offense, and this should be a victory. Blanco was great last year, but he’s allowed 18 hits and 12 runs through 16.2 innings. Blanco has a 6.94 ERA through 11.2 innings in the month of April. No, thank you. The Astros have also had issues stringing wins together this season. I’ll gladly lay the cheap price with the Blue Jays today.
|
04-22-25 |
Dodgers v. Cubs +109 |
|
10-11 |
Win
|
109 |
8 h 11 m |
Show
|
Rating: 2 Units After losing each of their two games with the Dodgers in Japan, the Cubs responded by taking two of three games in Los Angeles earlier this month. They now send their ace to the hill against May, who has been outstanding in his first season back from arm surgery. The edge shifts to the Cubs here, given Imanaga's ability to get deeper into games at this point in the season. Expect the Cubs' ace to get his team into the seventh inning, while the Dodgers will still handle May with kid gloves. May is averaging just over five innings per start. He also has walked six in 17 innings pitched and got half of his season total in strikeouts in his last start against the hapless Rockies lineup. The Cubs will even the season series on Tuesday night behind their ace.
|
04-21-25 |
Reds v. Marlins +109 |
|
3-6 |
Win
|
109 |
7 h 23 m |
Show
|
Rating: 2 Units The Marlins have won three of their last four games as home underdogs against NL Central opponents. The Reds have lost 14 of their last 21 games as road favorites against NL East opponents following a win.
|
04-20-25 |
Giants v. Angels -101 |
|
4-5 |
Win
|
100 |
6 h 49 m |
Show
|
Rating: 2 Units It’s hard to trust Justin Verlander at the moment. He’s allowed 13 runs (12 earned) over his previous three starts. The Angels know him very well, and Verlander yielded six earned runs across 10 innings of work at Angel Stadium in 2024. On the other side, the current Giants are 12-for-43 with four home runs against Yusei Kikuchi. Over the last 10 days, the Giants are slashing just .203/.269/.376 with an 84 wRC+ against the left-handed pitchers, so I’m going with the Angels, who have recorded a .223/.264/.449 and a 103 wRC+ against the righties in the past 10 days.
|
04-19-25 |
Cardinals v. Mets -165 |
|
0-3 |
Win
|
100 |
6 h 45 m |
Show
|
Rating: 2 Units In this Saint Louis Cardinals vs New York Mets Prediction, the Mets are coming as -170 home favorites. The Mets are rightfully favored, as they have a better overall record, they have been terrific at home, while the Cardinals have been terrible on the road. The Mets have also dominated the Cardinals in recent meetings and are now putting their ace on the mound in Kodai Senga. Senga is coming of back-to-back shutouts, so I see no way of backing the Cardinals in this one. Liberatore has been ok this season, but he was torched in his last start against the Mets in 2023, and the Mets have one of the best bullpens in the MLB.
|
04-18-25 |
A's +131 v. Brewers |
|
3-5 |
Loss |
-100 |
12 h 33 m |
Show
|
Rating: 2 Units The Athletics come into this game with a 9-10 record overall and they really looked impressive against the Chicago White Sox on Thursday. The Athletics scored eight runs and that was enough for the eight run victory. Lawrence Butler had a strong game hitting a home run and driving in two RBIs. JP Sears also had a strong game, going six innings, giving up three hits and zero runs. The bullpen also gave up only one hit total. The A’s are averaging 4.63 runs while their pitching is giving up 4.89 runs per game. The offense is ranked 8th while the pitching is ranked 25th. Brent Rooker has hit five home runs and driven in 10 RBIs. J.T. Ginn sits with a 1-0 record and an ERA of 1.69. Against the New York Mets he went 5.1 innings giving up five hits and one run.
|
04-18-25 |
Cardinals v. Mets -163 |
|
4-5 |
Win
|
100 |
11 h 39 m |
Show
|
Rating: 2 Units In this Saint Louis Cardinals vs New York Mets Prediction, the Mets are coming as -165 home favorites. The Mets are rightfully favored, as they have a better overall record, and have been almost perfect at home, while the Cardinals have been terrible on the road. the Mets won easily yesterday by 4-1 and are now putting one of their best pitchers on the mound, while the Cardinals are putting one of their worst. The pitching advantage is huge for the Mets
|
04-17-25 |
A's -153 v. White Sox |
|
8-0 |
Win
|
100 |
4 h 22 m |
Show
|
Rating: 2 Units The Athletics aren’t world-beaters, but they’ve shown signs of life lately and are the better team here. The White Sox were historically bad last season and they’ve done nothing through 17 games to convince this season will be any different. The White Sox have scored three or fewer runs in 13 of their last 15 games. There’s going to be a lot of fading the White Sox this season and that includes this game. I want nothing to do with the White Sox in their current form. Give me the Athletics for the sweep.
|
04-16-25 |
A's -150 v. White Sox |
|
3-1 |
Win
|
100 |
8 h 42 m |
Show
|
Rating: 2 Units I’m on the Athletics in this one. I’m all about making a case for an underdog in certain spots, but the Athletics for me are just the better team playing some solid baseball out of the gate, and while I’m not the biggest Osvaldo Bido fan, he’s the better option here. The Athletics offense can be boom or bust, but as we saw on Tuesday, when the bats are clicking, the Athletics have a lot of upside. I think the Athletics grab another one here so give me the Athletics on the road here.
|
04-16-25 |
Braves v. Blue Jays +116 |
|
1-3 |
Win
|
116 |
1 h 14 m |
Show
|
Rating: 2 Units I believe Strider is going to be fine this season for the Braves, but he’s not the best pitcher in this game. Bassitt has been lights out all season, and in his last start against the Red Sox, he looked really good. The Braves' offense is going to have some major issues getting their offense going, something that has seemed to be the case most of the season. They are averaging only 3.56 runs per game, and they won’t even get to that number here. Back the Blue Jays on the money line.
|
04-15-25 |
A's -150 v. White Sox |
|
12-3 |
Win
|
100 |
9 h 39 m |
Show
|
Rating: 2 Units The Athletics have won each of their last five games against the White Sox following a home loss. While the White Sox have lost 24 of their last 27 home games following a home loss.
|
04-15-25 |
Mariners -105 v. Reds |
|
4-8 |
Loss |
-105 |
8 h 35 m |
Show
|
Rating: 2 Units Louis Castillo (R) will take the mound for the Mariners, and he has a 1-1 record, 2.12 ERA, and 1.12 WHIP. He is coming off a zero earned run performance in 5 innings pitched, and this will be the first time he faces the Reds.
|
04-13-25 |
Rangers v. Mariners -127 |
|
1-3 |
Win
|
100 |
9 h 5 m |
Show
|
Rating: 2 Units Seattle comes into this contest looking to complete the sweep and they have scored 21 runs in their last three games. The Mariners have really improved their hitting over the last week and will face a Texas pitching staff that has allowed at least five runs in four of their last five games. Both of these starting pitchers have been very good so far this season, as both have a WHIP below 0.70, so runs should be at a premium in this one. This should be a very close game that could go either way, but I will side with Seattle and their hot bats.
|
04-13-25 |
Royals v. Guardians +117 |
|
4-2 |
Loss |
-100 |
7 h 38 m |
Show
|
Rating: 2 Units I’ll stick with the Guardians. We should have a good pitching matchup here, though. Lively didn’t start out the year so great with seven earned over 9.1 innings across his first two starts. That said, Lively is coming off 5.0 clean frames with two hits and three walks in a no-decision versus the White Sox. As for Ragans, he’s got just two earned over 11.0 innings on nine hits and two walks across his last two starts. Cleveland posted nine team hits in the Saturday win, spreading their offense out across four separate innings. Emmanuel Clase (two earned in one inning) gave up some damage late but overall the bullpen was solid. I like the Guardians to keep it going in the finale.
|
04-12-25 |
Angels v. Astros -138 |
|
4-1 |
Loss |
-138 |
14 h 7 m |
Show
|
Rating: 2 Units I’m leaning towards the Astros. Maybe Friday’s win was what the doctor ordered for the Astros to get back on track and the Astros historically have been a solid team to back against left-handed pitching, which they’ve barely seen any of this season. Anderson is a pitcher that normally gives up a lot of runs and a lot of hard contact and I could see him getting hit hard once again by the Astros here. Give me Houston at home here.
|
04-12-25 |
Mets v. A's +125 |
|
1-3 |
Win
|
125 |
11 h 7 m |
Show
|
Rating: 2 Units I’m going to take a shot on the Athletics in this one. I get why the Mets would be favored here as New York has been playing very well as of late. However, the Mets sending out David Peterson here means they’re sending out a left-handed pitcher, and the Athletics have crushed left-handed pitching in a small sample size so far this season. The Athletics have a young roster with a lot of pop in those bats, and I think the Athletics can get to Peterson early and I think the Athletics can ride out the later innings to get the win on the road to even up the series here. Give me the Athletics in this one.
|
04-11-25 |
Tigers v. Twins -109 |
|
7-6 |
Loss |
-109 |
11 h 4 m |
Show
|
Rating: 2 Units The home team has won six of the Tigers' last seven games. While the Tigers have lost four of their last five road games following a loss. Additionally, Detroit starter, Olson is 0-1 with a 7.04 ERA, a 2.087 WHIP, three walks and seven strikeouts over 7.2 innings, in two career starts at Target Field.
|
04-10-25 |
Twins +111 v. Royals |
|
2-3 |
Loss |
-100 |
12 h 60 m |
Show
|
Rating: 2 Units The Royals are getting the benefit of the doubt because they’re at home and the Twins haven’t been able to string together success this season. However, Wacha hasn’t been good through two starts, and current Twins are hitting .280 against him in 93 at bats and a .309 on base percentage. Ober bounced back with a strong four innings against the Astros, but he’s allowing a .314 batting average in 105 at bats against current Royals which includes seven homers.
|
04-09-25 |
Astros v. Mariners +129 |
|
6-7 |
Win
|
129 |
1 h 6 m |
Show
|
|
04-09-25 |
Padres v. A's -134 |
|
2-1 |
Loss |
-134 |
1 h 37 m |
Show
|
Rating: 2 Units The A’s offense looked good on Tuesday. They scored ten runs, which was enough for the win. JJ Bredley had a strong game, finishing with a home run and driving in three RBIs to help pace the offense. Jeffrey Springs had a strong game, going six innings and giving up seven hits and three earned runs.
|
04-08-25 |
Padres v. A's +124 |
|
4-10 |
Win
|
124 |
8 h 42 m |
Show
|
Rating: 2 Units The Padres have lost five of their last eight games as road favorites against American League opponents. The Athletics have won five of their last six Tuesday games as underdogs.
|
04-08-25 |
Cardinals +123 v. Pirates |
|
5-3 |
Win
|
123 |
5 h 32 m |
Show
|
Rating: 2 Units The Cardinals have won seven of their last eight games as road underdogs against National League opponents following a road loss. While the Pirates have lost five of their last six games as home favorites against the Cardinals following a win.
|
04-07-25 |
Padres -145 v. A's |
|
5-4 |
Win
|
100 |
5 h 53 m |
Show
|
Rating: 2 Units The Athletics haven’t been great up to this point and their pitching has been getting tagged. Severino has kept the A’s in games through two starts, but he has seven walks through 12 innings and those free passes are not going to fly against good teams. The Padres have been one of the more impressive teams up to this point and King is one of the more underrated pitchers in baseball. King has 14 strikeouts through 7.2 innings, and he just gave the Guardians five shutout innings. We also can’t ignore the Athletics have gotten blasted in their first few games at Sutter Health Park. I’m going to side with the Padres tonight.
|
04-05-25 |
A's -113 v. Rockies |
|
7-4 |
Win
|
100 |
7 h 25 m |
Show
|
Rating: 2 Units The Colorado Rockies are struggling both straight up and against the run line, making the Athletics a strong betting choice. The Rockies have lost their last 5 games straight up and failed to cover the run line in all 5, with an alarming combined score of 6-36 during that stretch. On the other hand, the A's have been solid against the run line, covering in 4 of their last 7 games, including a perfect 2-0 ATS following a win. Additionally, the A's are 4-1 ATS as the away team, showing their strength on the road. With the Rockies' poor performance and the A's consistency in key betting scenarios, the smart play here is to back the Athletics!
|
04-05-25 |
Reds v. Brewers -109 |
|
11-7 |
Loss |
-109 |
6 h 10 m |
Show
|
Rating: 2 Units The Brewers have consistently figured out the Reds. They have dominated the head-to-head series over the past few seasons. They have executed a great game plan against Cincinnati hitters. They know what to do and they do it. They can overcome the Singer-Rodriguez matchup. All they need to do is be tied through six innings. They can turn the game over to their bullpen in the seventh. If this becomes a bullpen game on even terms, the Brewers should win it late.
|
04-05-25 |
Rays +159 v. Rangers |
|
4-6 |
Loss |
-100 |
7 h 34 m |
Show
|
Rating: 2 Units Bradley, 24, earned the win in his first start of the season on Sunday against the Rockies. He struck out seven and held Colorado to two runs on five hits and no walks in six innings as Tampa Bay won 6-4. Bradley is 0-2 against the Rangers in his career, with an 0-2 record and a 4.30 ERA in three starts. DeGrom, who won his Cy Young Awards with the New York Mets, in 2018 and 2019, returned from June 2023 Tommy John surgery late last season. He is 0-1 with a 2.11 ERA in three career starts against the Rays.
|
04-04-25 |
A's -115 v. Rockies |
|
6-3 |
Win
|
100 |
6 h 34 m |
Show
|
Rating: 2 Units The Athletics need this win already, as they just got swept and embarrassed by the Cubs. The A's also have a scheduling advantage in this one. They do not need to travel, and have Thursday off to regroup. Colorado has a much different situation, as they are playing in Philadelphia on Thursday, then have to fly back home to prepare for this game the next day. Colorado has not yet announced their starter, showing some uncertainty in their pitching rotation far too early in the season. The Athletics have talent, and Rooker is off to a strong start including his two run home run last time out. Bido pitched five innings in his opener and only allowed one earned run. The Rockies are on a three game slide, and only scored one run in each of their first two games against the Phillies. The A's have an extra day off at home, and will grab a win in this one.
|
04-04-25 |
Blue Jays v. Mets -124 |
|
0-5 |
Win
|
100 |
5 h 36 m |
Show
|
Rating: 2 Units Although Gausman was dominant on the road last season, this New York lineup presents some challenges for him. Starling Marte is 8-for-13 (.615) with seven RBIs, and Juan Soto is 8-for-15 (.533) with five RBIs and a home run off of Gausman in their careers. On the other side, Blue Jays hitters have struggled against Megill, batting just .206 (7-for-34) with one home run (Anthony Santander) lifetime. Megill also threw six shutout innings of one-hit baseball against Toronto last season. The Mets bullpen is also off to a terrific start posting a 1.64 ERA (2nd in MLB) through the first six games while Toronto's bullpen is 22nd with a (5.47 ERA). As tempting as the road dog is, the Mets are the play.
|
04-03-25 |
Reds +105 v. Brewers |
|
0-1 |
Loss |
-100 |
9 h 21 m |
Show
|
Rating: 2 Units With the way that Nestor Cortes looked in his season debut, allowing eight earned runs over 2.0 innings to the Yankees, I just can’t pull the trigger on the Brewers in this spot. I’ll take the plus money payout with the Reds to bounce back and win this game. What worries me most about Cortes is that he issued five walks in his first outing of the year. Clearly, his control is not dialed in. Perhaps the Reds can be patient and drive Cortes’ pitch count up and force an early exit, allowing them the opportunity to hit against a Brewers bullpen that’s 29th in ERA (8.89) and 27th in opposing average (.298).
|
04-02-25 |
Tigers v. Mariners +115 |
|
2-3 |
Win
|
115 |
4 h 29 m |
Show
|
Rating: 2 Units Skubal (0-1, 7.20 ERA) gave up a pair of homers Thursday in losing his Opening Day start in Los Angeles against the defending World Series champion Dodgers. He will oppose Mariners right-hander Luis Castillo (0-1, 3.60).
|
04-02-25 |
Cubs v. A's -114 |
|
10-2 |
Loss |
-114 |
4 h 57 m |
Show
|
Rating: 2 Units This is a great matchup. On one side, we have the A’s with Jeffrey Springs on the mound, who was dominant in his first start. For the Cubs offense, they have been quite impressive, and they have a lot of confidence with the offense. I was wrong going with the A’s on Tuesday night, but we are going to take another shot with them here. I am quite impressed with what Springs was able to do, and he’s going to dominate again here. The Cubs' cold bats are going to lead to Oakland coming out. Back the Athletics on the money line. uns.
|
04-02-25 |
Nationals v. Blue Jays +100 |
|
2-4 |
Win
|
100 |
4 h 32 m |
Show
|
Rating: 2 Units Toronto comes into this matchup looking for their fourth straight win, and they have scored five runs or more in four of their last five. The Blue Jays have only allowed six runs in their last three games, and they will turn to Gausman, who was solid in his first start. Washington is just 1-4 so far this season, and their pitching continues to be an issue, as they have allowed at least five runs in four of their five games. The Nationals will start Gore, who has been their lone pitching bright spot, but I haven’t seen enough from Washington to warrant them being a favorite in this spot. Take the Jays to win again here.
|
04-01-25 |
Tigers v. Mariners -165 |
|
4-1 |
Loss |
-165 |
10 h 24 m |
Show
|
Rating: 2 Units Detroit's Mize (2-6, 4.49 ERA last season) has thus far failed to live up to the hype he garnered as the No. 1 overall pick. The right-hander, who earned the fifth and final spot in the Tigers' starting rotation this spring, is just 9-19 with a 4.36 ERA through his first four seasons. He missed half of the 2022 season and all of the 2023 campaign following elbow and back surgeries. Gilbert, who was taken by the Mariners with the 14th overall pick, has emerged into the ace of one of the best staffs in baseball -- he was an All-Star last season when he pitched a majors-leading 208 2/3 innings and allowed just 0.887 walks and hits per inning -- and earned his first Opening Day start this spring. Gilbert is 41-30 with a 3.58 ERA in his career. Gilbert (0-0, 1.29 ERA) didn't get a decision in Seattle's season-opening 4-2 victory against the visiting Athletics despite giving up just one run on two hits over seven innings, with no walks and eight strikeouts.
|
03-31-25 |
Nationals v. Blue Jays -155 |
|
2-5 |
Win
|
100 |
9 h 1 m |
Show
|
Rating: 2 Units Soroka is 1-1 with a 4.50 ERA in four career outings against the Blue Jays. He pitched 2 1/3 scoreless relief innings against them last season. Toronto today will start right-hander Bowden Francis, who went 8-5 with a 3.30 ERA last season. He has faced the Nationals once, pitching three scoreless relief innings against them in 2023. The Blue Jays salvaged a split of their four-game against the Baltimore Orioles on Sunday with a 3-1 victory. Toronto had solid pitching on Sunday from the bullpen. The relievers allowed one hit and struck out four over the final three innings after starter Chris Bassitt allowed only one run despite yielding eight hits and two walks over six innings. Closer Jeff Hoffman earned his first save for the Blue Jays after he pitched for the second straight day.
|
03-30-25 |
Braves v. Padres -118 |
|
0-5 |
Win
|
100 |
8 h 32 m |
Show
|
Rating: 2 Units The Braves need to get their offense together before I can trust them in spots like this. I’d also need more plus money to seriously consider the Braves in their current form. I’ve been high on the Padres in the past and they’ve let me down with inconsistent play in big moments. Could this be different? Time will tell. What I do know is Nick Pivetta is one of the more underrated pitchers in baseball and has nasty strikeout stuff. He should be eager for a bounce-back season and want to prove himself to his new team. No better spot to keep a team undefeated on Sunday night national TV. I’ll roll with the Padres to remain undefeated in 2025.
|
03-29-25 |
Pirates v. Marlins +110 |
|
4-5 |
Win
|
110 |
6 h 36 m |
Show
|
Rating: 2 Units The Marlins today will start right-hander Valente Bellozo, who made his MLB debut last season, going 3-4 with a 3.67 ERA. Bellozo, 25, faced the Pirates once, going 0-1 but with a 1.69 ERA. In that start on Sept. 9 at Pittsburgh, Bellozo went 5 1/3 innings, allowing three runs (one earned) on six hits with two strikeouts. The Marlins got a big boost on Friday when reliever Tyler Phillips pitched three scoreless innings. The Marlins acquired him from the Phillies on Wednesday.
|
10-30-24 |
Dodgers +135 v. Yankees |
|
7-6 |
Win
|
135 |
10 h 31 m |
Show
|
Rating: 2 Units The Dodgers are sending out their best pitcher, and have their best relievers ready to clearly make a push to end this series in five games. Flaherty only have up two runs in their first meeting, and held a 3.17 ERA throughout the regular season. He will control the beginning of the game, and their strong relievers will finish it off. The Yankees top stars are simply not producing, they cannot rely on Volpe, Torres and Wells to bail them out on a nightly basis. Freddie Freeman has homered in every World Series game so far, Ohtani has another day to get his shoulder healthy, and this powerful Dodger lineup will refocus and find a way to end the series here.
|
10-11-24 |
Padres v. Dodgers -137 |
|
0-2 |
Win
|
100 |
9 h 5 m |
Show
|
Rating: 2 Units Los Angeles displayed character by rebounding from defeats in games two and three with a dominating 8-0 win in game four. They were struggling with RISP in this series, but delivered on Wednesday, going 5 for 9. They are now 11 for 33 with RISP in the NLDS. The Dodgers' pitching was exploited in the opening three games, conceding 21 runs but rebounded with an outstanding performance in game four. Mookie Betts is having a big series. The veteran slugger was quiet in game one but has two home runs and three RBIs in his last two games. He has one RBI and a .620 OPS against Darvish. Shohei Ohtani came through with an RBI in game four and has four RBIs and a .771 OPS in the series. Will Smith broke out of a slump with a home run in game four. The catcher has a .576 career OPS against Darvish.
|
10-01-24 |
Mets +132 v. Brewers |
|
8-4 |
Win
|
132 |
6 h 6 m |
Show
|
Rating: 2 Units The Mets will be sending Luis Severino to the mound, who is 11-7 this season with a 3.91 ERA. For the Brewers, they’ll be sending Freddy Peralta to the mound, who is 11-9 with a 3.68 ERA this season. Both pitchers have similar stats in 2024 and are coming off a loss in their last start, but despite the similarities on the mound, I think the Mets have a slight advantage at the plate in today’s matchup. In the Mets’ last 13 games, they’re averaging 4.6 runs per game, whereas the Brewers are averaging 3.9 runs per game. Sure, you may argue that the Brewers clinched a playoff spot before the Mets did, so they put in bench players, but this Mets team went 17-9 in September, and the Brewers went 13-13. I’m taking a shot with the road team at plus-money odds in this one.
|
09-25-24 |
Royals v. Nationals +108 |
|
3-0 |
Loss |
-100 |
8 h 53 m |
Show
|
Rating: 2 Units Lorenzen makes his 16th career appearance, fifth start, against the Nationals in this contest. He is 1-2 with a 5.35 ERA, a 1.189 WHIP, 17 walks and 24 strikeouts over 35.1 innings of work against them. Lorenzen is 0-1 with a 7.20 ERA, a 1.60 WHIP, three walks and five strikeouts over 10 innings in six career appearances, one start, at Nationals Park.
|
09-25-24 |
Mariners v. Astros +125 |
|
8-1 |
Loss |
-100 |
3 h 23 m |
Show
|
Rating: 2 Units There is no reason to fade Kikuchi in his final start of the season. He came over from Toronto in a midseason trade and has started in nine games for the Astros. Houston has won every single game he has started. He isn't just getting bailed out by the offense, in August his ERA was 2.57, and he has never given up more than four runs in a start for Houston. He has already faced this Seattle offense, pitching six innings and allowing only three hits and one run, leading to an ERA of 1.50 against the team. Seattle only batted .143 against Kikuchi this season. Seattle is not a high-scoring team, they rely on their pitching to carry them to wins. They limited Houston to one run on Monday, but cannot keep that up here. Kirby is on the mound for Seattle, and he has given up five or more earned runs in two of his last five starts. Houston will send their rival home with a loss in their last meeting of the season.
|
09-24-24 |
Rangers v. A's -102 |
|
4-5 |
Win
|
100 |
10 h 33 m |
Show
|
Rating: 2 Units The A’s have struggled to hit the righties over the last ten days, tallying a 68 wRC+ and .568 OPS. The Rangers have been slightly better, posting a .628 OPS and 80 wRC+. During that span, the Rangers bullpen has been awful, recording a 6.28 ERA and 5.39 FIP, whereas the Athletics ‘pen has amassed a 3.69 ERA and 3.83 FIP. The starting duo should fare well in this matchup. The current Rangers are 4-for-24 with a double against Mitch Spence, and the current A’s are 8-for-45 with two doubles and a home run versus Nathan Eovaldi. There’s nothing to play for in this game, and it could easily go either way. I’m backing the Athletics because of their bullpen, and their lineup could score a couple of runs off Eovaldi, who’s yielded 11 earned runs over his last two starts.
|
09-20-24 |
Yankees v. A's +176 |
|
4-2 |
Loss |
-100 |
10 h 12 m |
Show
|
Rating: 2 Units Gerrit Cole is on the bump for the Yankees as he logs his 16th start of the season in the opening game of this set. He is 6-5 with a 3.97 ERA, a 1.273 WHIP, 27 walks and 87 strikeouts over 79.1 innings of work on the year. Cole took the loss in his last start, which came Saturday against the Red Sox at home. He threw 4.1 innings, allowing seven runs on five hits with three walks and two strikeouts in a 7-1 Yankees defeat. In his last three starts, Cole is 1-2 with a 4.41 ERA, a 1.04 WHIP, five walks and 18 strikeouts over 16.1 innings of work.
|
09-19-24 |
Phillies v. Mets -128 |
|
6-10 |
Win
|
100 |
8 h 20 m |
Show
|
Rating: 2 Units The Mets have done a better job offensively, scoring 13 runs in their last three home games while the Phillies scored eight runs in their last three road games. New York has the edge offensively in this game because they’ve had a lot of success batting against right-handers and Walker has struggled on the mound in recent road starts, giving up 11 runs in his last three outings. He gave up seven runs in his last two starts in New York and will have a hard time slowing down the Mets in this game. The Phillies won’t have as much success offensively because Severino has done a great job on the mound in recent starts, giving up five runs in his last three starts. He gave up three runs in two career starts against the Phillies and will keep their offense in check.
|
09-19-24 |
Yankees v. Mariners -107 |
|
2-3 |
Win
|
100 |
5 h 22 m |
Show
|
Rating: 2 Units Seattle has been playing better recently but has a daunting task to get in the postseason, remaining four games out. The squad has won three of its past four series. They issued three wins in four home bouts against the Rangers this past weekend, conceding only 13 runs. The squad is 14 games above .500 at home.
|
09-14-24 |
Rangers v. Mariners -152 |
|
4-5 |
Win
|
100 |
11 h 51 m |
Show
|
Rating: 2 Units Betting Trends: Seattle is 36-23 SU (61.0%) as home favorites, and Texas is 16-31 SU (34.0%) as road underdogs this season. Gilbert will outlast Scherzer today, giving the home team enough of a pitching advantage to outlast the Rangers. The Mariners' starter has been consistently reliable this season, and the advanced stats don't indicate he's been lucky. His second-half ERA is higher than the first-half, but his WHIP is nearly identical, and he's still holding opponents to a .202 BA. He doesn't get away with leaving a lot of runners on base (67.6 LOB%), and his hard-hit percentage is 32.9%. The Rangers rank 25th in wOBA (.290) and 23rd in wRC+ (90) in the last 30 days and haven't scored a run against Gilbert so far this season.
|
09-14-24 |
Marlins v. Nationals -140 |
|
1-4 |
Win
|
100 |
5 h 20 m |
Show
|
Rating: 2 Units The two starters, Bellozo and Cobrin, pitch to contact and have been hampered by the long ball this season. Bellozo has led up ten home runs in just over 50 innings this season, while Corbin has given up 23, including three in his last start. The Nationals have won three of Corbin's last five starts, and the veteran lefty has done a good job keeping his team in games, particularly at home. Despite being just 5-13 on the season overall, Corbin is 3-5 at home this year, and his ERA is nearly a run less at home. Bellozo has pitched well, but the Marlins are a dismal 27-45 on the road this season heading into Friday night. The Nationals have played better at home, winning 33 and losing 39. Look for the Nationals to outlast the Marlins this afternoon.
|
09-12-24 |
Rockies v. Tigers -270 |
|
4-2 |
Loss |
-270 |
3 h 32 m |
Show
|
Rating: 2 Units Skubal is the leading AL Cy Young candidate for good reason. He sports the second-best Win Probability Added (3.77 WPA) with a 30.3% K% and 4.8% BB%. He hasn't regressed much in the second half of the season, either. Coming off a mediocre start (for his standards), I expect him to bring it on Thursday, putting down the Rockies like a professional bowler knocks down pins. Colorado ranks 29th in wRC+ (82) with the second-highest strikeout percentage (26.6%) in MLB. It also strikes out at an even higher rate (29.9%) against left-handers. The Tigers have been heating up offensively, too. They scored nine runs in their series finale versus Oakland and 11 in the series opener versus Colorado. They rank 7th in wRC+ (108), 7th in wOBA (.318) and 6th in WAR (4.8) in the last 30 days. On a quest to make the AL postseason field, Detroit will push Feltner around early and add on against the Rockies' bullpen, which has a 5.44 ERA (30th) and 1.55 WHIP (30th) this season.
|
09-11-24 |
Angels v. Twins -195 |
|
4-6 |
Win
|
100 |
7 h 13 m |
Show
|
Rating: 2 Units The Los Angeles Angels (60-84, 75-59 RL, 67-71-6 O/U) clash with the Minnesota Twins (76-68, 64-80 RL, 71-67-6 O/U) in the last of a three-game series on Wednesday evening. The Angels will give the nod to Jack Kochanowicz. The Twins will reply with Zebby Matthews. Minnesota leads the season series 3-1
|
09-11-24 |
Rays v. Phillies -220 |
|
2-3 |
Win
|
100 |
7 h 56 m |
Show
|
Rating: 2 Units Wheeler will take the mound for Philly tonight. The veteran right-hander has been one of the top pitchers in MLB this season, ranking first in quality starts (22), ninth in innings pitched (173.2), seventh in win probability added (3.71) and seventh in Ks (190). He has also been clutch, ranking 24th in performance in high-leverage situations. The Phillies' starter has been dominant recently too, holding seven consecutive opponents to two or fewer runs (eight total earned runs in those seven starts). Tampa Bay starter is 1-2 with a 2.76 ERA and 1.32 WHIP in six road starts. Baz may be due for negative regression, though, as his 4.05 xERA is 0.78 points higher than his actual ERA. He also has a 4.69 xFIP and 4.73 SIERA with a low K-BB ratio (10.1%).
|
09-10-24 |
Rockies v. Tigers -172 |
|
0-11 |
Win
|
100 |
8 h 41 m |
Show
|
Rating: 2 Units The Tigers suddenly find themselves in must-win situations now that they are back in the hunt for a playoff spot. They need to take advantage of this winnable series against the 90-loss Rockies at home. Rockies' righty Blalock is making just his seventh appearance of the season and has struggled to keep runners off base. He has allowed 30 hits in 26.2 innings of work and already has 15 walks. The Tigers have lost three of his last five starts coming into this game. The Tigers will counter with Montero, making his 15th start of the season. Montero has pitched better during this recent winning stretch for the Tigers. The Tigers have won three of his last five starts. While the Tigers are a respectable 35-34 at home this season, the Rockies are a dismal 22-53 away from home.
|
09-09-24 |
Rays v. Phillies -188 |
|
1-2 |
Win
|
100 |
7 h 25 m |
Show
|
Rating: 2 Units The Phillies, who average 4.92 runs per game, should constantly drive in runs with Bryce Harper, Brandon Marsh, and the rest of the lineup making contact and powering the ball to easily plate baserunners. The Phillies should limit the Rays lineup with Cristopher Sanchez pitching multiple strong innings to allow the bullpen to close out the game with a lead. The Phillies should win the game and cover the spread in a dominant win at home.
|
09-04-24 |
Mariners v. A's +130 |
|
16-3 |
Loss |
-100 |
14 h 5 m |
Show
|
Rating: 2 Units The current Mariners are only 12-for-56 with two doubles and one home run against JP Sears, who pitched well of late. On the other side, the current A’s are 17-for-50 with four doubles and three dingers against George Kirby, who’s struggled a lot over the last few weeks. JJ Bleday is 4-for-6 with a homer, Zack Gelof is 3-for-5 with a double and a home run, and Brent Rooker is 3-for-9 with a double and a round-tripper versus Kirby. Hereof, I’m backing the A’s to come out on top even though the Mariners bullpen has done a great job over the last ten days (2.45 ERA and 0.82 WHIP in 25.2 IP). The Athletics have been destroying the right-handed pitchers in the last ten days, tallying a .901 OPS and 153 wRC+ across 274 plate appearances.
|
09-02-24 |
Mariners v. A's +124 |
|
4-5 |
Win
|
124 |
8 h 23 m |
Show
|
Rating: 2 Units Osvaldo Bido is on the bump for the A’s as he logs his 15th appearance, ninth start, of the season here on getaway day. He is 5-3 with a 3.21 ERA, a 1.071 WHIP, 24 walks and 56 strikeouts over 56 innings of work on the year. Bido didn’t factor in the decision in his last start, which came against the Reds on the road Wednesday. He threw six frames, allowing two runs on three hits with no walks and five strikeouts in a 9-6 A’s victory. In his last three starts, Bido is 2-0 with a 1.59 ERA, a 0.65 WHIP, five walks and 17 strikeouts over 17 innings of work. Bido, in his 31st career major league appearance and 18th start, pitches against the Mariners for the first time here. He makes his 10th career appearance, sixth start, at the Oakland-Alameda County Coliseum in this contest. Bido is 3-2 with a 3.03 ERA, a 1.163 WHIP, 16 walks and 36 strikeouts over 32.2 innings of work in those outings.
|
09-01-24 |
Dodgers v. Diamondbacks -108 |
|
3-14 |
Win
|
100 |
5 h 9 m |
Show
|
Rating: 2 Units Pfaadt has stepped up while the lineup has been the best in the majors, scoring 5.36 runs per game. Joc Pederson is slashing .283/.405/.541 with 21 home runs and 170 total bases while Jake McCarthy is slashing .299/.371/.442 with 152 total bases but the rest of the lineup has been great. Geraldo Perdomo is slashing .276/.345/.390 with 96 total bases while Eugenio Suarez and Lourdes Gurriel Jr. have added 37 home runs and 405 total bases to add depth to the lineup, making the Diamondbacks tough to put away at the plate.
|
09-01-24 |
A's +115 v. Rangers |
|
4-6 |
Loss |
-100 |
4 h 38 m |
Show
|
Rating: 2 Units The A's offense has been rolling lately, particularly via the long ball. They have averaged three home runs per game over the last five games and are second only to the Yankees in runs scored via the long ball. The A's offense has been particularly potent in the afternoon this season with 70 home runs in 58-day games. They will get their swings on Sunday against a patched-together pitching staff in what appears to be an opener-game for the Rangers. The Rangers picked up three straight wins against the White Sox but, at this point, what team hasn't dominated the White Sox? They have been through a long, arduous season trying to defend their title and look like a tired team trying to wrap up the season. The A's are riding recent momentum and will roll on Sunday thanks to their powerful lineup and the Rangers' depleted staff.
|
08-31-24 |
Padres +114 v. Rays |
|
4-11 |
Loss |
-100 |
6 h 45 m |
Show
|
Rating: 2 Units The Padres have done a better job on the offensive end, scoring 18 runs in their last four games to Tampa Bay’s seven runs during the same span. Expect the Padres to play well offensively because they have had a lot of success batting against right-handers and Baz has been shaky on the mound in recent starts, giving up seven runs in his last three starts. He gave up eight runs in his last three home starts, and with Tampa Bay’s bullpen struggling in recent games, they will have a hard time slowing down the Padres. The Rays won’t be as successful offensively because they haven’t hit the ball well against right-handers and Vasquez has been solid on the mound in recent starts, giving up six runs in his last three starts. He gave up five runs in his last two road starts and will keep Tampa Bay’s offense in check. Go with San Diego to cover the money line.
|
08-30-24 |
Dodgers v. Diamondbacks +118 |
|
10-9 |
Loss |
-100 |
10 h 26 m |
Show
|
Rating: 2 Units The Dodgers come into Arizona hoping to extend their lead in the NL West Division but will have to deal with Zac Gallen in game one. Gallen can be a streaky pitcher and is currently in the middle of one of his hot streaks. He was dominant against the Red Sox at Fenway, allowing just two hits without a run in an easy Arizona win. The Diamondbacks have won four of his last five starts overall and the veteran righty has kept the opposition in check. Gallen, despite pitching in one of the league's better hitter's parks, has allowed just eight home runs total this season which will serve him well against the powerful Dodgers. The Dodgers' Kershaw is still working his way back into form and has looked like a pitch-to-contact pitcher since returning from the IL. He has 24 strikeouts in 29 innings and the Dodgers have lost three of his last five starts. Arizona has taken five of the first nine matchups with the Dodgers this season, all played in LA. They'll keep winning, this time at home.
|
08-30-24 |
A's +132 v. Rangers |
|
9-2 |
Win
|
132 |
9 h 54 m |
Show
|
Rating: 2 Units The Rangers are having a rough season and look poised to miss the postseason just one season after winning it all. Jon Gray will start the upcoming game and he is having a rough season as he's allowing 50 runs in 98 innings pitched. Moreover, with a .282 expected opponent Batting Average, a 42.0 Hard-Hit Rate, and a 4.62 expected ERA, opponents are making contact and powering the ball against Gray to easily drive in runs this season.
|
08-30-24 |
Padres +112 v. Rays |
|
13-5 |
Win
|
112 |
8 h 43 m |
Show
|
Rating: 2 Units Martin Perez will be on the rubber for the Padres. Perez was sharp in his previous outing, conceding one run in 3.2 innings against the Mets, resulting in a no-decision in a game the Padres won. The veteran southpaw has posted a sharp 2.70 ERA since he was acquired last month and has recorded a 4.60 ERA and a 1.51 WHIP accompanied by a 3-5 record in 109.2 innings on the year.
|
08-29-24 |
Orioles v. Dodgers -140 |
|
3-6 |
Win
|
100 |
11 h 20 m |
Show
|
Rating: 2 Units The Dodgers are primed to grab the win in this one and being at home will be a massive advantage. For the Orioles, being across the country comes with its own issues, while they are eyes might be starting to turn towards the next series in Colorado as well. Adding in that Baltimore will be leaning on one of their worst starters of late, is only going to add to some of the worry coming into this one. For the Dodgers, depth in the bullpen gives them the ability to not be as worried about the pitching matchup, while the offense will certainly take some heat off. Both teams are missing a key bat but with depth being a massive advantage for LA, that'll be felt as they get the win in this one.
|
08-28-24 |
Braves v. Twins +115 |
|
5-1 |
Loss |
-100 |
9 h 41 m |
Show
|
Rating: 2 Units The Twins love hitting at home, where they jump up to 5.05 runs per game and a .793 OPS. For the season, Minnesota averages the eighth-most runs per contest, 4.87. Minus Byron Buxton, Carlos Correa, and Max Kepler, this year's lineup is eighth in batting average, eighth in OBP, and sixth in slugging percentage. They're seventh in home runs, 10th in strikeout percentage, and 20th in walk percentage.
|
08-27-24 |
Marlins +134 v. Rockies |
|
9-8 |
Win
|
134 |
8 h 52 m |
Show
|
Rating: 2 Units Colorado’s pitching has been one of the worst in the league, with the team giving up 5.38 runs per game. Opponents have a .286 batting average against the Rockies, which is 30th in the league. Their 5.49 ERA is also the worst in the league, as is their 1.52 WHIP.
|
08-27-24 |
Blue Jays v. Red Sox -142 |
|
3-6 |
Win
|
100 |
6 h 14 m |
Show
|
Rating: 2 Units On the mound, Toronto has regressed hard from 2023. That's a major reason why Toronto won't sniff the playoffs. Their bullpen is 28th in ERA, last in FIP, and last in WAR. A lot of players who began the year as Blue Jays relievers were DFA'd or traded. That makes closing games tough, adding pressure to starters like Yariel Rodriguez. He enters Tuesday's start with a 4.40 ERA, 4.42 FIP, and 1.331 WHIP after 14 career starts. Rodriguez's only outing against Boston, and in Fenway, was the June game that was finished on Monday, so he only has one inning to show for it. His past five starts have ended with a Blue Jays loss and Rodriguez has a 5.16 ERA in away games.
|
08-25-24 |
Giants +120 v. Mariners |
|
3-4 |
Loss |
-100 |
4 h 39 m |
Show
|
Rating: 2 Units The Mariners look to close out this series strong but the Giants are turning to one of their better pitchers and look to take over this game from the first inning. The Giants should constantly plate baserunners with Heliot Ramos, LaMonte Wade Jr., and the rest of the lineup making contact and putting together strong plate appearances. The Giants should limit the Mariners lineup, which averages only 3.95 runs per game, with Robbie Ray pitching multiple strong innings to allow the bullpen to close out the game with a lead. The Giants should win the game and provide great odds in the process as road Underdogs.
|
08-24-24 |
Angels v. Blue Jays -153 |
|
1-3 |
Win
|
100 |
7 h 59 m |
Show
|
Rating: 2 Units Both teams are starting pitchers who began the season in the bullpen, but Toronto's starter has had the more successful season. The Angels are starting Carson Fulmer, who is still searching for his first official win of the season, as he has an 0-4 record on the year. He has lost four of his last five starts and has allowed two or more earned runs in all five games. Fulmer pitched three innings against the Blue Jays earlier in the year and quickly gave up five runs in a loss. Francis is starting for the Blue Jays and has six wins on the year, including his last game where he pitched seven scoreless innings and allowed just three hits against the Cubs.
|
08-22-24 |
Phillies v. Braves -108 |
|
2-3 |
Win
|
100 |
11 h 6 m |
Show
|
Rating: 2 Units Colorado has lost four out of the last five on the road, six of the last nine on the road against Washington and four of the last five overall against the Nationals. Colorado starting pitcher Cal Quantrill has allowed 18 runs and 31 hits over the last 25 innings pitched. Washington starting pitcher Patrick Corbin is coming off a solid outing in which the left-hander allowed two runs and seven hits in 4.1 innings and over the last three starts has allowed 10 runs in 14.1 innings. Both starting pitchers have had below average seasons, but as mentioned earlier, Washington's starter Corbin had a strong outing against Philadelphia last week and will carry that over into Thursday's game against the Rockies. Colorado is last in three major pitching categories including ERA, WHIP and batting average allowed.
|
08-22-24 |
Rockies v. Nationals -117 |
|
3-8 |
Win
|
100 |
5 h 60 m |
Show
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Rating: 2 Units Colorado has lost four out of the last five on the road, six of the last nine on the road against Washington and four of the last five overall against the Nationals. Colorado starting pitcher Cal Quantrill has allowed 18 runs and 31 hits over the last 25 innings pitched. Washington starting pitcher Patrick Corbin is coming off a solid outing in which the left-hander allowed two runs and seven hits in 4.1 innings and over the last three starts has allowed 10 runs in 14.1 innings. Both starting pitchers have had below average seasons, but as mentioned earlier, Washington's starter Corbin had a strong outing against Philadelphia last week and will carry that over into Thursday's game against the Rockies. Colorado is last in three major pitching categories including ERA, WHIP and batting average allowed.
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08-21-24 |
Rays v. A's +116 |
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4-2 |
Loss |
-100 |
10 h 52 m |
Show
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Rating: 2 Units There’s no easy money on the side bet in this game. The Rays’ offense has been pretty bad of late and has an 80 wRC+ against the right-handed pitchers in the last ten days. However, their pitching staff looks good, and the Rays bullpen has registered a 2.49 ERA, 1.11 WHIP, and a .211 batting average against over the past ten days and 43.1 innings of work. The Athletics have a 123 wRC+ against the righties in the last ten days which is the main reason why I’m going with Oakland. Their bullpen has been solid during that span, notching a 3.29 ERA, 1.10 WHIP, and a .186 batting average against across 27.1 frames of work.
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08-21-24 |
Red Sox +121 v. Astros |
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4-1 |
Win
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121 |
2 h 27 m |
Show
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Rating: 2 Units In his last three starts, Verlander has no record with a 4.76 ERA, a 1.18 WHIP, three walks and 16 strikeouts over 17 innings of work. Verlander logs his 21st career start against the Red Sox in this contest. He is 6-6 with a 2.74 ERA, a 1.096 WHIP, 38 walks and 114 strikeouts over 131.1 innings of work against them.
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08-20-24 |
Rays v. A's +106 |
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1-0 |
Loss |
-100 |
11 h 31 m |
Show
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Rating: 2 Units Oakland has secretly been one of the best bets of the past two weeks. A team that was in the bottom of their division has now won three of their last four series and has not gotten swept in any series since the All-Star Break. The Athletics can scrape together wins, and they will do so here at home with Estes on the mound. He is the more experienced of the starting pitchers, doubling the innings pitched from Tampa's Baz. Estes has allowed two of fewer earned runs in five of his last six games, and will be able to limit this Tampa offense which traded their big names at the deadline. Tampa swept the D-Backs, but that had a fluke-feel to it, as they lost eight of their last ten going into that series. Shane Baz starts for Tampa, and he has given up seven runs over his last two games, and has not been able to dominate late into a game all season. Oakland has been sneaky good lately, it is time to start making some money on them. Take the Athletics to win.
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08-19-24 |
White Sox v. Giants -225 |
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3-5 |
Win
|
100 |
10 h 54 m |
Show
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Rating: 2 Units Neither team is playing well at the moment, with the White Sox losing seven of their last nine games and the Giants losing five of their last seven games. The Giants have done a better job offensively, scoring 11 runs in their last four games to Chicago’s nine during that span. San Francisco will score a lot of runs in this game because Cannon hasn’t looked good on the mound in recent road starts, giving up 16 runs in his last five road starts. With Chicago’s bullpen also struggling, they will have a hard time slowing down San Francisco’s offense. The White Sox won’t have as much success offensively because they are one of the worst hitting teams in the league and Harrison has done a great job on the mound at home, giving up only six runs in his last four home starts. With San Francisco’s bullpen also doing a better job, they won’t have trouble keeping Chicago’s cold bats in check. Go with San Francisco to cover the money line.
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08-19-24 |
Pirates v. Rangers -130 |
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3-4 |
Win
|
100 |
8 h 18 m |
Show
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Rating: 2 Units Scoring has been a struggle for Pittsburgh all season, as they're 21st in runs per game (4.15). August hasn't offered much improvement in that department either. The team is 23rd in batting average, 27th in OBP, and 26th in slugging percentage. They're only 24th in homers and 26th in strikeout rate. Pittsburgh has the fourth-highest stolen-base percentage (84%), but only has 74 swipes (18th) to show for it. The Pirates also have a modest 8.0% (17th) walk rate. Still, the runs don't cross the plate often enough because the team doesn't put together enough quality swings.
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08-18-24 |
Guardians v. Brewers -122 |
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0-2 |
Win
|
100 |
2 h 6 m |
Show
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Rating: 2 Units Milwaukee’s pitching has been good, with the team giving up 3.68 runs per game. Opponents have a .241 batting average against the Brewers, which is 16th in the league. Their 3.71 ERA is third, while their 1.25 WHIP is 13th.
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08-18-24 |
Diamondbacks -111 v. Rays |
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7-8 |
Loss |
-111 |
2 h 39 m |
Show
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Rating: 2 Units Arizona is 6-1 in the last seven games overall and the Diamondbacks have won five of the last six games against a team from the American League. Tampa Bay has lost five of its last seven games overall and the Rays are 2-6 at home over the last eight games. This matchup is a contrast in hitting as Arizona is in the top five of four hitting categories including first in runs scored, while Tampa Bay is 20th or worse in four hitting categories including 28th in runs scored. Arizona Diamondbacks starting pitcher Merrill Kelly has made just one appearance since April 15. Last Sunday, the right-hander gave up three hits and two runs in five innings with Arizona defeating Philadelphia 12-5. On the season, the Arizona right-hander has a solid 2.43 ERA after allowing a total of just eight runs in 29.2 innings. Tampa Bay starter Taj Bradley has a very solid ERA at 3.49 but has been hit hard in three straight outings, giving up 15 runs in 14 innings with Tampa Bay losing each of the three to Miami, St Louis and Houston.
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08-17-24 |
White Sox v. Astros -350 |
|
1-6 |
Win
|
100 |
7 h 1 m |
Show
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Rating: 2 Units There may not be two teams in baseball heading in more distinctly opposite directions than the White Sox and Astros right now. The White Sox just ended a 21-game skid but then reeled off four losses in five games heading into the series opener on Friday night. The White Sox offense is a mess and the team has few reliable pitchers that they can count on. Flexen will take his turn on Saturday night and the Astros have dropped each of his last five starts. Flexen pitches to contact while also struggling with his command with 50 walks in 118 innings. The Astros' Brown has won each of his last two starts and three of his last five. He will dominate what is a very pedestrian White Sox lineup , one that has scored a total of 10 runs in their last four losses while scoring 12 in their lone win. The Astros will roll to a comfortable win on Saturday and keep pace in the AL West.
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08-17-24 |
Red Sox +110 v. Orioles |
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5-1 |
Win
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110 |
7 h 3 m |
Show
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Rating: 2 Units Cade Povich is slated to be recalled from Triple-A to be on the mound for the Orioles as he logs his ninth start of the season in this contest. He is 1-5 with a 6.27 ERA, a 1.688 WHIP, 23 walks and 25 strikeouts over 37.1 innings of work this season. Povich took the loss in his last start, which came against the Blue Jays at home back on July 29. He threw 4.1 innings, allowing six runs (three earned) on seven hits with five walks and one strikeout in a game the Orioles dropped 8-4. In his last three starts, Povich is 0-3 with an 11.81 ERA, a 2.81 WHIP, 13 walks and eight strikeouts over 10.2 innings of work.
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08-17-24 |
Twins +124 v. Rangers |
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5-2 |
Win
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124 |
7 h 59 m |
Show
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Rating: 2 Units In his last three starts, Eovaldi is 1-2 with a 7.07 ERA, a 1.57 WHIP, three walks and 13 strikeouts over 14 innings of work. Eovaldi makes his ninth career start against the Twins in this contest. He is 4-3 with a 4.89 ERA, a 1.239 WHIP, 14 walks and 31 strikeouts over 46 innings of work in those outings.
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08-16-24 |
Padres -164 v. Rockies |
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3-7 |
Loss |
-164 |
9 h 31 m |
Show
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Rating: 2 Units The Padres are one of the hottest teams in baseball, but cannot seem to separate from the D-Backs in the standings, as Arizona continues to win as well. San Diego will want to keep the pressure on the rest of the division, and will get an easy win here against the Rockies. Matt Waldron will start for the Padres, he faced the Rockies twice this season and has completely dominated them. He has pitched 11.2 innings against Colorado, and only allowed two earned runs, working out to a strong 1.54 ERA. Cal Quantrill has not done as well against the Padres, as his ERA is up at 3.48 against San Diego. The Rockies just lost three straight to the Diamondbacks, and have the worst record in the National.
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08-16-24 |
Diamondbacks -102 v. Rays |
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4-5 |
Loss |
-102 |
7 h 59 m |
Show
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Rating: 2 Units Tampa Bay has won five of the last seven head-to-head versus Arizona and the Rays have won eight of the last 10 against a team from the National League West. Ketel Marte, who is leading Arizona in home runs and RBI, is listed as questionable but could miss and the Diamondbacks are also playing without Christian Walker, who is second in both home runs and RBI. Arizona starting pitcher Ryne Nelson has had three consecutive average outings, allowing a total of six runs in 17.1 Innings pitched. Tampa Bay starter Ryan Pepiot has not pitched since July 14 but before being injured allowed a total of just six runs for 24.1 innings and over that five-game stretch had victories over Pittsburgh, Cleveland and the New York Yankees.
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08-13-24 |
Pirates v. Padres -219 |
|
0-3 |
Win
|
100 |
10 h 45 m |
Show
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Rating: 2 Units The Pirates have not done well against the NL West. In 12 games since the All-Star Break, they have gone 2-10 overall against the division. The NL West is likely to get three teams into the postseason, and they will show their overall strength in this matchup. The Padres just swept the Pirates last week, and both of these starting pitchers were used in that series. Luis Ortiz lost when he was on the mound against the Padres, Manny Machado and Donovan Solano both hit early home runs off of him, and he only managed three strikeouts over six innings. King struck out seven batters in a winning effort in his game against Pittsburgh. The Padres just took a bad loss in their last game against Miami, they will not let another one slip away here as they are the better team and will grab a big win here.
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08-13-24 |
Rockies v. Diamondbacks -190 |
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3-4 |
Win
|
100 |
10 h 41 m |
Show
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Rating: 2 Units The Colorado Rockies are abysmal when on the road, standing 26 games below .500 on the year. The Arizona Diamondbacks continue to shine, winning eight of their last ten games including three straight home wins against the Phillies. Rockies pitcher Austin Gomber has struggled against Arizona, giving up six runs in 10.2 innings this season, and has a recorded poor 5.29 career ERA against the rivals. Diamondbacks pitcher Eduardo Rodriguez was solid in his season debut last week, holding a potent Guardians offense to just three runs in 5.2 innings. Four of the Diamondbacks' five wins against the Rockies have been by two or more runs.
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08-13-24 |
Rangers v. Red Sox -140 |
|
4-9 |
Win
|
100 |
7 h 19 m |
Show
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Rating: 2 Units The Rangers and Red Sox are both in desperation mode now after the weekend but the Red Sox look to be in a better position to take Tuesday's game. The Sox send Crawford to the hill and, while he has had trouble with the gopher ball, he has been able to give the Red Sox quality innings and save a percentage of the Red Sox bullpen. Rangers' starter Urena has been hit hard in each of his last two starts, failing to get through five innings in either start. One of those starts was against the Red Sox at home, with the righty giving up seven runs and eight hits. The Rangers come in after coughing up 22 runs in three games against the Yankees and face one of baseball's best offenses in the Red Sox. Take Boston with the money line.
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08-13-24 |
Mariners +107 v. Tigers |
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1-15 |
Loss |
-100 |
7 h 57 m |
Show
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Rating: 2 Units The Seattle Mariners left home with a renewed spirit. They'll embark on a nine-game road trip riding the high of a four-game winning streak. The Mariners will begin their journey with three games at the Detroit Tigers, beginning on Tuesday night. Detroit took two of three from the Mariners last week in Seattle. The Mariners won the last game of the series, then swept a three-game series against the New York Mets. The last of those games was nationally televised on Sunday night. It turned into a 12-1 rout, capping a series in which the Mariners outscored the Mets 22-1. The Mariners and Houston Astros are battling for American League West Division supremacy. Seattle's road swing could be pivotal. The Mariners will also visit Pittsburgh, then head to the West Coast to face the Los Angeles Dodgers.
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08-13-24 |
Marlins +180 v. Phillies |
|
5-0 |
Win
|
180 |
7 h 52 m |
Show
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Rating: 2 Units The Marlins aren’t very good, but they’ve played well in recent road games, winning three of their last five away from home. This can happen when a young team has competition for spots. Their offense has been very good during that stretch and they scored 14 runs in their last three road games. They’re not going to have trouble scoring in this game because Walker wasn’t playing well before he went on the 15-Day IL and gave up at least three runs in four of his last five starts. Philadelphia’s bullpen has also struggled in recent games, with the unit giving up 12 runs in their last three games, so expect them to have a hard time slowing down the Marlins in this game. The Phillies have lost three straight games and their last four home games. Even though they have one of the best offenses in the league, they couldn’t get going in recent games and scored only eight runs in their last three games. Their offensive slump comes at a bad time because Bellozo has done a great job on the mound for the Marlins, giving up only seven runs in four starts. He gave up two runs in two road starts, which came against two good offensive teams in Kansas City and Atlanta, so expect him to keep Philadelphia’s offense in check. Go with Miami to cover the money line.
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