Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
09-27-20 | Bengals +6.5 v. Eagles | 23-23 | Win | 100 | 114 h 41 m | Show | |
Taking the BENGALS. So - Cincy has cost me the last 2 weeks of NFL. I will now jump on the back-door kids. And honestly, I think they win this one outright. Fact is, Philly basically a .500 club since winning the Super Bowl. And their Super Bowl MVP is on the bench in Chicago. Cashed a Best Bet on Rams last week. We will fade Philly for the 3rd consecutive week. Give me the points. 4* Money Maker CINCINNATI BENGALS |
|||||||
09-27-20 | Titans -2.5 v. Vikings | 31-30 | Loss | -109 | 96 h 29 m | Show | |
Taking the TITANS. We are Tenny again. 3 in a row on these guys. Look. I have a under future on Minny. Obviously, I thought they would be just ok. But this offense has been brutal. I say that even after they put up those points vs GB. This is a team in flux. The defense, a ZImmer staple, is bad. Colts should have scored 40+. I think Stefanski leaving the OC and heading to HC Browns is a problem. Diggs gone is a problem. No fans, a huge problem. Titans just grind out games and win. 4* Money Maker TENNESSEE TITANS |
|||||||
09-27-20 | Raiders v. Patriots -6 | Top | 20-36 | Win | 100 | 114 h 32 m | Show |
Taking the PATRIOTS. We have the Hoodie vs Gruden. No contest. We cashed Vegas on MNF while riding the Over in our free pick video Sunday. Nice emotional win for the Raiders in their new stadium. Now they face the best HC and a QB who looks like he is healthy and back in Super Bowl Season form. Tough one for sure the way it ended Sunday night. But this is a team that just goes about its business. Let's flash back to when we had the Panthers in Week 1 over Vegas. That should have been a win for us. This coach won't make those mistakes to cost a team the win. Especially coming up a yard short last week. 2-0 and off a big win over the Saints. Nowhere to go but down for the Silver and Black. 10* Money Bomb NEW ENGLAND PATRIOTS |
|||||||
09-27-20 | 49ers v. Giants +4.5 | Top | 36-9 | Loss | -115 | 96 h 15 m | Show |
Taking the GIANTS. I get it. Higgs. How the F are we taking another crap dog! You are killing us with the Browns and Giants in Week 1 - Lions + Jets Week 2. Oh the pain. This line is coming down for a reason. SF is pretty banged up. Giants are in desperation mode. I get no Barkley. But that might actually help NYG since they will realize this is a passing league and they have some weapons. Won't be shocked at an outright win here. 5* Best Bet NY GIANTS |
|||||||
09-24-20 | Dolphins v. Jaguars -2.5 | 31-13 | Loss | -123 | 55 h 38 m | Show | |
Taking the JAGUARS. So, this guys bit me in the ass the last 2 weeks. Miami another team I backed last week. Look. We are already on this over at 46 and 46.5. I think we see some points. I just don't know if Miami keeps up. FitzMagic as I said is a yo-yo. Good, bad, great, horrible. Playing the Bills tough is one thing. They are division rivals. Always a tough one. Now they out of division vs a team playing way better than anyone though. Minshew Mania is real. Guy is off to a nice start. Obviously, I was wrong out of the gate on these guys. I thought dejected franchise. But, never quit vs Colts. And the Titans, who mauled them last year, they gave them all they could handle. I'll lay the short price on a short week. 4* Money Maker JACKSONVILLE JAGUARS |
|||||||
09-21-20 | Saints v. Raiders +5.5 | 24-34 | Win | 100 | 72 h 24 m | Show | |
Taking the RAIDERS. Faded these guys and nearly pulled it on with some ML magic on Carolina. I will gladly take them here as a nice home dog. As much as we liked the Saints and cashed them on the Free Pick Video, Brees was ok, nothing special. And he loses his #1 WR target. They still have weapons though. That being said, I think we pound them with Jacobs on the ground. Saints got 3 TOs including a nice pick 6. Upset in Sin City. 4* Money Maker LAS VEGAS RAIDERS |
|||||||
09-20-20 | Ravens -7 v. Texans | 33-16 | Win | 100 | 45 h 47 m | Show | |
Taking the RAVENS. Huge edge at HC - and that is where these games are won. Ravens wasting no time making up for their playoff last year by blasting the Browns. Now they get a rested Texans team. 41-7 last year Baltimore. Houston looked great for us opening night. A nice TD on the opening drive. Then, nothing. Remember. the 41-7 game was 0-0 after the first quarter ended. After that 7-0 lead on KC in the first quarter, 31 straight before Texans scored with 7 minutes left in the 4th. Do we have to even go back to the playoffs. It was 21-0 Texans in KC after the 1st quarter and 24-0 before KC scored with 10 minutes left in the 2nd. Hello 28-24 KC at half and 41-24 before Texans score again. Ravens by double digits and off to the races. HC opening ahead in Houston. 4* Money Maker BALTIMORE RAVENS |
|||||||
09-20-20 | Chiefs -8.5 v. Chargers | 23-20 | Loss | -105 | 45 h 40 m | Show | |
Taking the CHIEFS. How many times have the Chargers screwed me over. Over the last few years, holy cow. I am doing my best to get away! Look. They had chances to cover that number vs Cincy. Cincy though looks like a good back-door team as they are 2-2 after the Thursday game. That being said. Center out. Still learning offense QB who I actually like. A HC that should be shown the door at seasons end. Andy Reid basically on a bye with this extra rest. I think its something around 20-3. But who needs that when you are on a 10-0 ATS/SU run anyway? KC can dictate the score here. Double digits should not be a problem. 4* Money Maker KC CHIEFS |
|||||||
09-20-20 | Washington Football Team +7 v. Cardinals | 15-30 | Loss | -118 | 139 h 35 m | Show | |
Taking the REDSKINS. Had both of these dogs last week. One undefeated will fall from the ranks today! - Look. I know everyone is down on Washington. But. I like the HC. Instant respect from the players. The offense is what it is. The defense though. Always tough. Like I said last week. It is a unit that gets overlooked. Make no mistake, they will get after Murray. And you know I like this kid and have high hopes for the Cards this season. Washington gets after the QB, and will force some mistakes and bad throws. If you can find a 7 great. Either way, I think this one plays close. 4* Money Maker WASHINGTON REDSKINS |
|||||||
09-20-20 | Panthers v. Bucs -9 | 17-31 | Win | 100 | 94 h 10 m | Show | |
Taking the BUCS. Uh. You know I hate big faves like this. That being said, think we are in a good spot this afternoon. We get Tampa off loss at Saints and Brady not looking good. Panthers come in off wild one vs Raiders. Now. If you are in that kind of shoot-out with Vegas, you are in trouble vs Tampa. Rhule has to adjust to NFL defenses and realize this isn't Big 12 football. Joe Brady is the wonder OC from LSU. Well, that offense that made a Heisman winner for Burrow was just so adapted from his time as a Saints offensive assistant. The same offense they played last week. And same offense they play twice a year, every year. I don't think Carolina scores 20 today. And my numbers show 31+ for Tampa. 4* Money Maker TB BUCCANEERS |
|||||||
09-20-20 | 49ers v. Jets +7.5 | 31-13 | Loss | -135 | 42 h 47 m | Show | |
Taking the JETS. Going to be an ugly one this week. Grabbing NY here. Look. They looked terrible against the Bills. Couldn't get anything going early. 4 punts and a pick first 5 drives while giving up TDs on 3 of the Bills first 4 drives. SF losing last week not shocking. We had Arizona. And as I said then - Cards play SF tough. Now the Niners are flying east for an early start. Everyone expecting a blow out. No Bell, No Problem. Gore is ageless! Would you really be shocked to see him work over a team he played with for a decade? Everyone looking one way, we are going opposite. 4* Money Maker NY JETS |
|||||||
09-20-20 | Bills v. Dolphins +6 | 31-28 | Win | 100 | 42 h 42 m | Show | |
Taking the DOLPHINS. Yes we will go with another ugly home dog today. The sports world penciling the Bills in for the playoffs. Bills Mafia booking Super Bowl reservations. Me, I'm grabbing Fitz-Magic off a bad game. Guy is a yo yo. Double revenge spot as Bills won both last year. 4* Money Maker MIAMI DOLPHINS |
|||||||
09-20-20 | Jaguars v. Titans -7.5 | 30-33 | Loss | -100 | 42 h 37 m | Show | |
Taking the TITANS. Faded the Jags last week and they bit me right in my fat butt. Had Titans at a PK so I was happy. But really, that is a loss. FG kicking becoming something of a novelty I guess- a dozen misses last week? Look. We are getting great value here. This line should easily be double digits. But Minshew Mania is in full effect. FG kicking worries for the home team off a nail-biter. 42-20 last year here, 30-9 the year before. Safe to say Tennessee handles Jax at home. 4* Money Maker TENNESSEE TITANS |
|||||||
09-20-20 | Lions +7 v. Packers | 21-42 | Loss | -140 | 42 h 31 m | Show | |
Taking the LIONS. Ooh. This is a tough pill to swallow for sure. We were all over Rodgers and the Pack last week like white on rice. It would be easy to say, oh course GB will win this by a touchdown. I don't know folks. If things were that easy would there be billion dollar hotels in the middle of a desert? Lions already in mid-season form. They blew 7 4th quarter leads last year and are jumping into that deep end of the pool right out of the gate allowing the Bears to run off 23 and lose. I will say now that I think Matt Patricia is out of Detroit after this season, 100%. 4* Money Maker DETROIT LIONS |
|||||||
09-17-20 | Bengals v. Browns -6 | Top | 30-35 | Loss | -105 | 71 h 1 m | Show |
Taking the BROWNS. Had these guys and watched them get demolished on Sunday. Also faded Cincy and had to hold for dear life just to earn a push with the Chargers. So - First drive for Cleveland INT and 8 plays later a TD. Next possession. Run a fake punt and fumble the ball. FG. 10-0 just like that. But. We did come right back for a TD. Missed the PAT, and that should have told us we are going to be in for a long day. And it was. A 99 yard drive for a TD. We miss a FG - 70 yards in about 40 seconds, its 24-6 and we are done. Hunt and Chubb went for 130 combined which is nice. I don't see them playing catch-up vs Cincy. Ah the Bengals. I can't even write the Chargers HC name since he is so terrible. Maybe I should have said, he's a crap HC, and just stayed away. But Taylor was a winning QB for the Bills. Plenty of weapons. And, Chargers do what they do. Shoot themselves in the foot, time and time again. Last week Cleveland saw an MVP performance from opposing QB completing 20/25 3 TDs. Burrow led a great drive to put them in position to win or tie the game. But overall. Come on. 23-36. Pretty sure he was 8-12 on the last drive. All short stuff. 5 yards a pass. Short week for a rookie QB, on the road. Fans or not, it is a tough task. I think we have a great play here. Everyone down on the Browns saying same ol' Cleveland. While everyone saying, wow, Burrow nearly had a last minute TD drive negated by an OPI. That game was ugly because the players played ugly. Browns in a blow-out. 8* Sure Shot CLEVELAND BROWNS |
|||||||
09-14-20 | Steelers v. Giants +6.5 | 26-16 | Loss | -115 | 4 h 52 m | Show | |
Taking GIANTS -- First.. A quick Sunday recap on some games. I know some of you follow me on twitter if you don't you should real underscore higgs. Saw a couple of you passing through AC yesterday. I'll be back this Sunday the 20th at Bally's Wild West Fan Cave -That is why we have a late update. Computer down! - Carolina. I thought we were going to win outright. I think we should have. Real tough losing that one. Colts. Hey. I had the Jags all wrong. I thought their were a team in chaos. Not so. Bad play by me. The Browns. Looking back maybe I should have stayed a way. First year HC with a team historically know for being terrible. I like the HC when he was OC in Minny. That is why I am holding Coach of Year tickets and thought it would translate to Baker Comeback POY tickets. We did hit other games to make it just a loser in juice. But not the start I wanted - So - the GIANTS. At 3/3.5 I could make a case for Pitt. 5.5/6 - I am taking the added value here. Big Ben hasn't played ball in over a year basically. We saw some sloppy play yesterday. The guy is no spring chicken. Giants offense can score. At least they should with the guys they have. This is more fading of Big Ben and getting nearly double the points in one week after a number sat for months. 4* Money Maker NY GIANTS |
|||||||
09-13-20 | Cardinals +7.5 v. 49ers | 24-20 | Win | 100 | 115 h 43 m | Show | |
Taking ARIZONA. I think Murray was pretty good last year. Not too shabby for a rookie. Arizona plays San Fran tough. No way around. Go look at the scores for the last 5 years. 10 pretty good games. I like Drake in the backfield. You have HOF Larry Fitzgerald still lead the young QB. And some other guy they grabbed named Hopkins is a pretty good receiver in his own right. Again, he gets even better with a HOFer to learn from and gives the young QB more help. Plus. I can't leave out Kirk. San Fran comes in off a Super Bowl loss. Hi, we cashed KC and it was great in the Fan Cave at Bally's AC. But, they are now the hunted. Let's see how they respond and in the meantime, I'll grab the points. 4* Money Maker ARIZONA CARDINALS |
|||||||
09-13-20 | Chargers -3 v. Bengals | 16-13 | Push | 0 | 68 h 44 m | Show | |
Taking the CHARGERS. So Rivers is in Indy. I like Tyrod. Guy is 24-21-1 as a starter. And that is 3 full season as the Bills starter. He is 31, but I think people forget that for 4 years, he collected dust in Baltimore. Plenty of weapons. Hunter, Ekler, Allan, Williams. Got a rookie taking the field under center with zero pre-season reps. Yeah, good luck with that. Don't care how great in college he was. Bosa and Ingram will welcome him with open arms to the NFL. 4* Money Maker LA CHARGERS |
|||||||
09-13-20 | Packers +3.5 v. Vikings | 43-34 | Win | 100 | 384 h 8 m | Show | |
Taking the PACKERS. I do like Minny. Was high on them last year. But, we do have an Under 9 Future ticket in hand this season. So, no fans. That for me is big. This is a place where Minny is 24-9 SU and 21-9-3 ATS (70%)! - No easy task I get it. But no fans. We must take that into consideration when getting points from road teams this season. Also - GB. I get everyone thinks they are down. But Rodgers is gonna Rodgers. 4-2 last 6 vs Vikes, and, they swept Minny last season. New OC, New DC, No Diggs for Minny. Dog outright in sight. 4* Money Maker GREEN BAY PACKERS |
|||||||
09-13-20 | Browns +9 v. Ravens | 6-38 | Loss | -120 | 112 h 0 m | Show | |
Taking the BROWNS. I know everyone will be on Baltimore. Ready to redeem themselves. Well. I am a Cleveland believer. I have Comeback POY on Baker. I have Coach of Year on Stefanski. Look. 4 HCs in 3 years. How do you even fault Baker? This year though- new pieces on the OL. Gets a solid TE in Hooper - add him to Chubb and Hunt in the backfield. Landry and that fecal freak ODB. Back to the TE and OL. So they drafted a TE and still have 1st rounder Njoku and 2nd year guy Carlson. Stefanski had Case Keenum toss 21 TDs. He improved the Minny offense. I suspect the run game and short passing attack will play heavy here. I can't say anything bad about Baltimore except I think this is a lot of points to be laying out of the gate to a talented team. 4* Money Maker CLEVELAND BROWNS |
|||||||
09-13-20 | Raiders v. Panthers +3.5 | 34-30 | Loss | -120 | 112 h 56 m | Show | |
Taking the CAROLINA PANTHERS. Almost wrote Hurricanes! - Haa.. So we have the Raiders as road faves. Come on. I know Carolina is starting over. But please. What have the Raiders done to show they should be favored on the East coast? I think its safe to say we have the best player on the field in CMC out of the backfield. Teddy isn't a terrible QB when healthy. And DJ Moore had over 1100 yards receiving last year. 4* Money Maker CAROLINA PANTHERS |
|||||||
09-13-20 | Seahawks v. Falcons +2.5 | 38-25 | Loss | -110 | 112 h 39 m | Show | |
Taking the FALCONS. Have these guys to win the South and a MVP ticket on Matty Ice. I think the offense will be as good as any in the league. Could have the best WR duo - Gurley, I know, I bad mouthed this guy all last year. But I think we see a rotation out of RB and he can contribute in limited carries. This is a passing team. Ah Seattle. Another team I have a future ticket on. Man. Wilson is a good QB. Guy is terrific. But I think the defense is suspect - and against Jones and Ridley they could be over matched. I will also be on OVER 49. On a side not, I think Dan Quinn is on the hottest of hot seats. Lost the Super Bowl in year 2. Lost to Philly in playoffs next year. Back to back 7-9 season. Win or hit the road coach. 4* Money Maker ATLANTA FALCONS |
|||||||
09-13-20 | Colts -7.5 v. Jaguars | 20-27 | Loss | -107 | 111 h 26 m | Show | |
Taking the COLTS. I'm a believer. Have these guys to win the South and Over their win total. The talent is there. I like the coach. And across the field is absolute chaos. If you can find odds on who is going to have the worse record in the league, throw a little change on the Jags. I guess this is kind of a square play. Lord knows that I have been on Jax after that AFC Championship run which seems like decades ago. Let the rebuild commence. 4* Money Maker INDIANAPOLIS COLTS |
|||||||
09-13-20 | Eagles v. Washington Football Team +7 | 17-27 | Win | 100 | 65 h 59 m | Show | |
Taking the REDSKINS. This line on the way down. On a Thursday no-less. So, lots o' changes in Washington underway obviously. RBs out HC out Front Office out Name out - But I do like the Ron Rivera hiring. I think people forget that the defense here is pretty solid. It just got over-looked by how bad the offense was. Now they have a real coach and I think Haskins will be better. Eagles are always littered with injuries. I think the back 7 can be exploited by a smarter coach. Remember, last year a worse Redskins unit held a lead on these guys on the road and Philly need a miracle rally to pull out a 5pt win. 20-7 and 14-10 half-time leads in both games last year. 4* Money Maker WASHINGTON REDSKINS |
|||||||
01-19-20 | Packers +7.5 v. 49ers | 20-37 | Loss | -130 | 149 h 14 m | Show | |
Taking the PACKERS. I had GB way back in November when San Fran totally ran them right out of the building on Sunday Night. I couldn't even get the over as the cheese melted so fast that Rodgers took to the bench. I get SF is cruising. Making it look easy over Minny last week dominating the clock with their run game with Jimmy G completing just 11 passes. But here comes an MVP in his own right. A guy with a monster chip on his shoulder over his last game in this stadium. Also - he is exercising the demons of his old coach. Make no mistake about it - Rodgers is the one calling the shots here. He will gladly gamble and take shots. And as we saw last week, won't be shy about handing the ball off when need be. GB can get pressure on the QB themselves. This might like simple. But I just have to take Rodgers here getting this amount of points. Especially off an embarrassing game. Rodgers had 26 TDs and just 4 INTs this year. Aaron Jones rushed in for 16 TDs. Say we take 6 of those away and the conversation about Rodgers changes to oh, 32-34 TDs, just 4 INTs .. over 4000 yards. So efficient. Putting my faith in a HOF QB to keep us in the battle. 4* Money Maker GREEN BAY PACKERS |
|||||||
01-19-20 | Titans v. Chiefs -7 | Top | 24-35 | Win | 100 | 146 h 46 m | Show |
Taking the CHIEFS. Gotta say this is a tough one as we have had Tennessee plenty of times this season. Cashed them vs Patriots in Round 1, lost with Ravens in Round 2. Now, the AFC Championship. 3 straight playoff road games. 4 straight road games overall. We have seen Henry be a beast. We have seen trick plays. We have seen defense. I like their HC. Think the defense is a bend don't break unit. But KC sees the door ajar. They lost here to New England last year. Off an epic comeback - it's one for the record books. Records were set. They look pretty focused. They didn't get away from what they did all year when down 24-0. The Ravens folded up like a tent. KC also with revenge from a Week 10 35-32 loss at Tennessee. They led 29-20 going into the 4th quarter. 29-27, 32-27 and then 35-32 as Tannehill completed a 23 yard pass with 23 seconds left to pull out the win. That was Mahomes first game back from injury. Titans a different team with Tannehill under center and what could have been if he played the entire season. I am not going to knock his 2 playoff games this year with 88 and 72 yards passing - Henry for 195 and 182 show what kind of team this is. That being said - I think KC is in the zone. They let it slip away last year. Heck- Go back to January of 2018 and Mariotta was beating Alex Smith here 22-21 after KC led 21-0 at half! Those 2 teams are eons ago. They were a 3pt home fave last year over the Patriots. Down 14-0 at half, 17-7 entering the 4th. Do you remember this game? Under betters haven't forgotten. A 21-17 lead at the 7 minute mark. Down 24-21 with 3 + to play. Up 28-24 with 2 minutes left. Down 31-28 with 30 seconds left. Tied - OT - Brady Magic 36-31. They have battled back when needed. Twice in the playoffs. They have faced the adversity. I am not saying the Titans aren't a great story. Holy Cow Tannehill coming back to Miami to be the starting QB in a Super Bowl is Kurt Warner story-book time. Maybe a slight, albeit by the tiniest margin, an edge at HC. But this Tennessee team is really cooking. I just think in the end - what KC has been through in their last playoff games adds a big edge to them. Titans with the house money, but with that you don't get a lot of urgency. The World wanted Chiefs / Saints last year. KC holds up their end of the deal here. 5* Best Bet KANSAS CITY CHIEFS |
|||||||
01-12-20 | Seahawks v. Packers -3.5 | Top | 23-28 | Win | 100 | 166 h 48 m | Show |
Taking the PACKERS here. Rodgers at home. Short number. They will know if they are playing division rival Minny, or heading to SF to face the Niners for some payback. This line will only rise. Seattle banged up. They didn't look that impressive vs a very depleted Philly team. Granted, on the road, but still - not impressed. I get Seattle has HOF in Wilson and Carrol. Rookie HC for us. But - this is why they have a rookie. HC. Mike McCarthy terrible play calling. Rodgers playing with that chip on his shoulder. Raise your hand if you had either of these teams getting to the NFC Championship Game before the season started! - 10* Money Bomb GREEN BAY PACKERS |
|||||||
01-12-20 | Texans v. Chiefs -8.5 | Top | 31-51 | Win | 100 | 162 h 0 m | Show |
Taking the CHIEFS. One. Have to back Andy Reid off a bye week. 18-3 in his career and 5-2 here with KC. This year vs the Raiders, 40-9. I know the Texans aren't the Raiders. But their HC drinks from the same fountain as fellow former State of Texas HC, Dallas Cowboy Jason Garrett. How do you have faith backing this team? Even getting this big number- Can't do it. Watson should have been picked at least twice. Bills collapse and we get Houston here in Kansas City. Not buying this team at all. Texans have been slow starters their last 2 playoff games. That won't fly here vs Reid's bunch. 8* Sure Shot KC CHIEFS |
|||||||
01-11-20 | Titans v. Ravens -9 | 28-12 | Loss | -109 | 104 h 14 m | Show | |
Taking the RAVENS. Have the UNDER here also. My thinking is this. Titans going to want to run, run and run some more. Baltimore defense I think is better than the Patriots. Also, not that we look at the last game and think, hey, Tannehill threw for 80 yards or whatever (72 yards!). But, say the Ravens bottle up Henry, and instead of going for 182, he goes for 92 - do you have faith in Tannehill to exploit the Ravens secondary? Because I don't. And I was big on the Tennessee most of the year. This is a 2nd back to back playoff game vs a better team. If these guys were playing the Chiefs, I would be more inclined to grab the points in that spot. This is just not the match-up for them. 4* Money Maker BALTIMORE RAVENS |
|||||||
01-11-20 | Vikings +7 v. 49ers | Top | 10-27 | Loss | -115 | 140 h 38 m | Show |
Taking MINNY. Smacking myself for last week. I have been on the Vikes so many times this season. Had a NFC North future on these guys. And I got so annoyed the last time I bet them (vs GB), that I was blinded against New Orleans. And my bankroll paid the price. I get SF is rested. And they need it. They are a pretty banged up team. But Minny is healthy. This is a talented team on both sides of the ball. Won't be surprised if this turns into a bit of a shoot-out. That being said, SKOL! 5* Best Bet MINNESOTA VIKINGS |
|||||||
01-05-20 | Seahawks v. Eagles +2.5 | 17-9 | Loss | -105 | 79 h 58 m | Show | |
Taking the EAGLES here. The team nobody is giving a shot. I get all the Seattle trends. But I am not buying. I was in the Fan Cave at Bally's (where I will be Super Bowl Sunday for those in the area) watching this slop game back in November. 3 TOs for Philly sealed that 20-9 win. How about just 2 Seahawks wins by more than 7. Dogs live in all their games. I don't think Seattle has improved much from then. But I have seen a lot of improvement from Philly. And, not by beating the Giants who they own, or a bad Redskins team. Heck, I will toss out the win over a talented Dallas team. Those 4 wins are very nice. But more importantly to me is the play of the players. Improving every game. That is huge when you have dealt with the losses Philly has. And, with all that, Philly has still outscored and outyarded their opponents on the year! Finally- tough spot for Seattle travel wise. A win late last Sunday and they are home. Instead, they can't knock off San Fran and take a 3000 journey for a short week game. At least NFL gave them the last slot. 4* Money Maker PHILADELPHIA EAGLES |
|||||||
01-05-20 | Vikings v. Saints -7.5 | Top | 26-20 | Loss | -110 | 76 h 32 m | Show |
Taking the SAINTS. Now. You know I like my Vikings. Had them plenty of times this season. Cost me a NFC North future ticket. But that isn't why I am fading them here. Believe it or not, it's their defense - or lack of it. Tough to say as a big Zimmer fan. But this will be a problem here. Tough place to play here vs Brees and Payton. This offense is really explosive. Air or ground, NO can do it both. Kimara and Murray are a 1-2 beast out of the backfield. Best WR in the league right now in Thomas. Vikes come limping in to say the least. Saints, after a slow Week 1&2 go 11-3 ATS to finish the year. Outscoring teams by +117. 3rd straight year these guys are getting together. We remember the Minnesota Miracle in 2017. Saints with revenge last year 30-20. (then they get hosed at home with that PI call). Now, time for a 13-3 Wild Card to lay it to the visitor who is 1-4 vs teams with winning record this year. 10* Money Bomb NEW ORLEANS SAINTS |
|||||||
01-04-20 | Titans +5 v. Patriots | 20-13 | Win | 100 | 59 h 4 m | Show | |
Taking the TITANS here. I know it is tough going against this QB + HC combo at home. Especially when not laying a TD. I guess people think it looks real easy for New England. I don't know. What I know is that Patriots not the same in Wild Card round as they are with a bye week. First time since 2009 no bye. And, no Super Bowl runs when in a Wild Card round for NE. Defense is very good for NE. But this offense is a step back. Titans will ride Henry like a mad-man here. Also - Tannehill. 30ppg with him under center (7-3 SU/ATS). Tennessee was at 16 with Mariota. Let's not forget Titans beat the Pats last year 34-10. Ex-Pats coach Vrabel will have his team focused. Might sprinkle some ML here. Also on the Under. 4* Money Maker TENNESSEE TITANS |
|||||||
01-04-20 | Bills +2.5 v. Texans | 19-22 | Loss | -100 | 55 h 21 m | Show | |
Taking the BILLS. Not a fan of OBrian for the Texans. This guy does almost as much less with more than his State of Texas counterpart Jason Garrett. Give me Buffalo all day here. Better defense. Better rush game. Bills not a sexy team, especially in the day and age of QBs airing it out. They win with their D. #3 in yards allowed and #2 in ppg. Texans as a 10 win team have been outscored on the year. We have the better coach. Catching points. Hungry team. Also lean Under. 4* Money Maker BUFFALO BILLS |
|||||||
12-29-19 | 49ers v. Seahawks +3 | 26-21 | Loss | -110 | 167 h 53 m | Show | |
Taking SEATTLE. Got to love Wilson as a home dog. I know these guys are banged up. But I will roll the dice as dogs. I have mentioned numerous times their home issues. Losses to Saints, Cards, Ravens, near loss to Bucs in OT, Bengals in Week 1, Rams missed FG. But all as faves. SF back end of the schedule real tough. Cracks appearing as we saw in that crazy Falcons loss. Live dog here with this HOF coach and quarterback. 4* Money Maker SEATTLE SEAHAWKS |
|||||||
12-29-19 | Titans -4 v. Texans | 35-14 | Win | 100 | 164 h 46 m | Show | |
Taking the TITANS, again. Hurt me last week. Win and in. Texans assured of their home field. Won't risk any injuries. Letting it fly on Tannehill and friends. 4* Money Maker TENNESSEE TITANS |
|||||||
12-29-19 | Eagles v. Giants +5 | 34-17 | Loss | -110 | 164 h 39 m | Show | |
Taking the GIANTS. Super Bowl here for the GMen. A win over rival Philly could possibly knock them out of the playoffs is Dallas wins. Huge motivation for another wise down team. They nearly pulled out in Philly with Eli. Danny Jones off a huge game. Leaning home pups who are live. 4* Money Maker NY GIANTS |
|||||||
12-29-19 | Cardinals +7 v. Rams | 24-31 | Push | 0 | 163 h 55 m | Show | |
Taking ARIZONA. How are the Rams favored? Totally out of it. Nothing to prove. Banged team most of the year. No playoffs after Super Bowl. Give me the young team on the other side that is playing for pride and jobs. That is what you do when you are a 5 win team. Come hard every week. Off huge win, they want to build going into 2020. 4* Money Maker ARIZONA CARDINALS |
|||||||
12-29-19 | Colts -3.5 v. Jaguars | 20-38 | Loss | -109 | 68 h 39 m | Show | |
Taking the COLTS. Jags really screwed us 2 weeks ago. Had to show up for 1 quarter! Really? One quarter they show up in their last 7 games. Their last 2 home games they have been ambushed 45-10 by the Chargers and 28-11 by Tampa. Indy wants to end their year .500. They have the superior HC. I can't see any motivation here. Lay it. 4* Money Maker INDIANAPOLIS COLTS |
|||||||
12-29-19 | Redskins v. Cowboys -11 | 16-47 | Win | 100 | 42 h 2 m | Show | |
Taking DALLAS here. And why wouldn't I. Everyone has written them off. And maybe they are right. HC is a dead man walking. They need the Giants to pull off a miracle. But, this old coach is good for one thing. And that is being a .500 guy. 8-8 will be his legacy. 3 straight 8-8 seasons. 12-4, then 4-12 when Romo was crushed. 13-3, 9-7, 10-6 and 7-8 heading to his farewell. Nothing good be finer than an 8-8 season to round out his career. Speaking of contracts running out. Dak. The guy wants 30-40 mill. Would we be shocked when Jerry comes in at 25 an says, with the best OL in football you have gone 9-7, 10-6 and (hopefully) 8-8. I can't see Dak losing here at home. This Redskins defense is a hot mess. Especially the secondary. I am not going to be shocked when Dallas scores 40+ to close out the season this afternoon. OVER in play also. 4* Money Maker DALLAS COWBOYS |
|||||||
12-29-19 | Steelers v. Ravens +2 | 10-28 | Win | 100 | 42 h 56 m | Show | |
Taking the RAVENS. Give me a break. I know the Steelers have had an awesome year based on the way things have gone. You are on QB #3 and can still make the playoffs and win 9 games. But I see no way, NONE, that Harbaugh and the Ravens let Pitt celebrate that on their home field. We see the way this guy prepares in preseason with wanting to win every game. Give me RGIII all day in this spot. Also like the UNDER here. 4* Money Maker BALTIMORE RAVENS |
|||||||
12-29-19 | Jets +2 v. Bills | 13-6 | Win | 100 | 160 h 16 m | Show | |
Taking the JETS. Who knows what could have been had these guys had their QB for the season. What we know for sure is Buffalo is locked into facing the Texans. Give me the small dogs here. 4* Money Maker NY JETS |
|||||||
12-23-19 | Packers v. Vikings -5 | 23-10 | Loss | -110 | 52 h 12 m | Show | |
Taking the VIKINGS. Not high on GB. Think they are a phony team. Rodgers barely completing 50% of passes the last few weeks. Minny defense off a 7 turn over game have to be feeling good coming home in this spot. Minny 5-1-1 last 6 vs GB. Packers have been out-gained in 9 of 14 games. Zimmerman 60-34-3 ATS. Guy is a covering machine. 28-10-1 ATS at home laying less than a TD. Vikes undefeated at home on the year. 4* Money Maker MINNESOTA VIKINGS |
|||||||
12-22-19 | Chiefs v. Bears +6.5 | 26-3 | Loss | -115 | 28 h 25 m | Show | |
Taking BEARS, going ML. You can grab 6 or more if you find it. Chicago out of it, yes. But I dunno. Something tells me Nagy and Mitch have something to prove. One, Nagy's old team. Two. Mahomes picked after Trubisky. I'm taking a shot ML for the Christmas miracle but think Bears will be within striking distance to get us a straight up win. 4* Money Maker CHICAGO BEARS |
|||||||
12-22-19 | Cowboys -2.5 v. Eagles | Top | 9-17 | Loss | -115 | 163 h 57 m | Show |
Taking the COWBOYS. Tough laying with this HC. But, Dallas has been very good vs NFC East teams the last few years. Long year for Philly as injuries have decimated the team. When you are down your best OL and basically every WR that was on your active roster to start the year - it can be tough. Winner here will basically lock up the division. I hear the cheers for taking a home dog. I have seen Dallas come in here with Romo and lay eggs with the division on the line. This team, and the recent Cowboys have been much more complete than those previous teams. Going to lay it here and watch the Dak and Zeke show earn their contracts. 5* Best Bet DALLAS COWBOYS |
|||||||
12-22-19 | Lions v. Broncos -6.5 | Top | 17-27 | Win | 100 | 89 h 25 m | Show |
Taking the BRONCOS. Long season for the NFL veteran HC Fagio. Started ugly with a loss in Oakland. He will get his revenge next week here. Now breaking in a new signal caller. Simple thinking here though. We have an old school coach who isn't quitting on the season. His team hasn't quit all year. Lions a hot mess. Can't believe they are keeping their HC around. They old coach, Jim Caldwell was let go because 10-6 wasn't good enough. Jeez. That's another story. But here they are with a terrible QB, on the road, in one of the tougher places to play. Dome team outside, in Denver elevation to boot. Lay it. 10* Money Bomb DENVER BRONCOS |
|||||||
12-22-19 | Raiders v. Chargers -6.5 | Top | 24-17 | Loss | -117 | 89 h 23 m | Show |
Taking the CHARGERS. Raiders really buried us last week. 16-3 at half and you can't put away the Jags on the road. In your final home game. Where is the motivation? I get they are closing out in LA - another city they played in. But I can't see them caring. Pack the bags. Here, then Denver. Then Vegas. Time to move. On the other hand. Rivers wrapping up his career possibly? Have to like this LAC offense a heck of a lot better than the Raiders. Off what 6, 7 TOs last week. I really want to forget that game since we had the Chargers. But this team will bounce back from that horrible game. Can't say the same about Oakland. 10* Money Bomb LA CHARGERS |
|||||||
12-22-19 | Ravens -10 v. Browns | 31-15 | Win | 100 | 86 h 14 m | Show | |
Taking the RAVENS, laying the big wood. Baltimore still with a lot to play for. As in home field. This Browns teams is done. What a disaster? And they are keeping this coach. Wow. Browns players yelling for Arizona to come and take them away. What is this Calgon? Total coaching mismatch. Total QB mismatch. Revenge from the Browns dropping a 40 spot on them in their house. Baltimore or nothing. 4* Money Maker BALTIMORE RAVENS |
|||||||
12-22-19 | Steelers v. Jets +3 | 10-16 | Win | 110 | 21 h 18 m | Show | |
4* Money Maker NY JETS |
|||||||
12-22-19 | Saints v. Titans +3 | 38-28 | Loss | -130 | 21 h 17 m | Show | |
4* Money Maker TENNESSEE TITANS |
|||||||
12-21-19 | Bills +6.5 v. Patriots | 17-24 | Loss | -107 | 66 h 40 m | Show | |
Taking the BILLS. I like the Bills. You have heard me say this before. Love the HC. Like the defense. The QB I can give or take. He has his ups and downs. But the team is solid. I can hear everyone saying how easy it is to take the Patriots today. Just need to win by 7. This offense does not scare me. Brady still does. He can make plays. But they just have a lot of ugly on the offense. OL. Run game, WRs TEs. This is not a vintage team. Oh they win, and win ugly. But so does Buffalo. I know it is tough going against the NE HC + QB. But I'm doing it. 4* Money Maker BUFFALO BILLS |
|||||||
12-16-19 | Colts +9 v. Saints | 7-34 | Loss | -105 | 32 h 20 m | Show | |
Taking the COLTS. One.. We have the Saints bringing in their 2009 Super Bowl Champion teammates back for a little party after 10 years. I find that whenever teams do these things, bad things happen. And we don't even need an outright win here. We can easily get a back door for a New Orleans team that is 3-8 ATS last 11 at home. How about 1-5 ATS last 6 on Monday night. Colts in a bit of a free fall dropping 5 of 6. But every game is close. 3 last week at Tampa and they blew a lead. Titans won by 14 but very misleading on a special teams TD late. Lost by 4 to Miami. Lost by 2 to Steelers. And this is a spot wear the Saints HC doesn't have a huge edge in that area. And Finally. Let's be honest here. This Saints defense is having problems. Last 2 home game - SF beat them putting up 48 spot. And Carolina, SHOULD have won with their 31 points but should have probably been 37 or 41. I'll grab a desperate, talented Colts team with a back door opportunity. 4* Money Maker INDIANAPOLIS COLTS |
|||||||
12-15-19 | Falcons +11.5 v. 49ers | 29-22 | Win | 100 | 41 h 37 m | Show | |
Taking ATLANTA. Faded San Fran the last two weeks and it has cost us. 3 in a row anyone. Niners have to come up for air at some points. Had that OT game vs Seattle. Shoot out vs Arizona. Clubbed GB on Sunday Night. Tough physical, road loss at Baltimore. A wild back and forth game at New Orleans. Rams on deck. Today, say hello to 3 win Atlanta. Falcons with the 6th best O which is prime back-door country. SF wins, but this is too many points. 4* Money Maker ATLANTA FALCONS |
|||||||
12-15-19 | Browns v. Cardinals +3 | 24-38 | Win | 100 | 41 h 43 m | Show | |
Taking ARIZONA here. Back to Back Sooner Heisman QBs squaring off! Do you really trust this team to lay points on the road? The, we are going to the Playoffs and Super Bowl in July Cleveland Browns. Maybe, maybe, they are playing to finish with a winning record. But this team is a hot mess. I think they have to can their HC. Guy is terrible. Raise your hand if you think OBJ is back in New York next season. What a waste of talent on this offense. On the flip side, home dogs. I'll grab the rookie HC and QB duo here. Granted. The season is bad. Nothing unexpected. Final home game for the Cards. I bet Klingsbury would love to end Baker here. Was benched (for Mahomes) by him then went on to the Sooners. Maybe he gets Chandler (14 Sacks) to rattle the cage a bit. This is a hold your nose play as Arizona is on a 2-12-1 run at home. 4* Money Maker ARIZONA CARDINALS |
|||||||
12-15-19 | Jaguars v. Raiders -5.5 | Top | 20-16 | Loss | -115 | 162 h 38 m | Show |
Taking the RAIDERS. Holy Cow are the Jags a dead team walking. Totally underestimated how done this team is last week when I unloaded on them. Raiders off a loss. But, no RB. He should be back and I think Oakland can challenge this total themselves. That is how far I think Jax is done right now. Zero interest in flying cross country 2 weeks before Christmas. 8* Sure Shot OAKLAND RAIDERS |
|||||||
12-15-19 | Dolphins +3.5 v. Giants | 20-36 | Loss | -100 | 149 h 28 m | Show | |
Taking MIAMI. How the heck are the Giants favored. Miami is in every game. Heck, they should have won at the Jets - we had NYJ there. i'm done trying to figure these guys out. The team is playing hard for their HC. They play hard for their veteran QB. The Giants, are well, they are what they are. Not a team that should be favored. 4* Money Maker MIAMI DOLPHINS |
|||||||
12-15-19 | Broncos +11.5 v. Chiefs | 3-23 | Loss | -115 | 146 h 47 m | Show | |
Taking DENVER. So we had these guys the last 2 weeks and it has paid off. Will come back to them again here in KC. Look. KC is the better team. That isn't an argument. But, the spot. We have Chiefs locking up the AFC West. We get them off a big road win at New England. The way Denver has moved the door leads us to possibly get a back door if need be. 4* Money Maker DENVER BRONCOS |
|||||||
12-15-19 | Eagles v. Redskins +5.5 | 37-27 | Loss | -105 | 38 h 45 m | Show | |
Taking the REDSKINS. This Eagles team looks pretty done to me. I know they are still alive with Dallas and winner takes the division. But, they have to beat the Skins first. Maybe this is when the Cowboys line went from -3 to +1. They know Eagles are losing early. And I guess Dallas will rest guys since they won't have a bye week? Look. Skins not a good team. But, new coaches will be coming in. Maybe new ownership. Maybe a new franchise QB. Who the heck knows? I do know they blew a big early lead vs these guys to start the year. I know they haven't thrown in the towel behind their rookie QB. Would really like them if they had Guice at RB. Then you look over and see the Eagles with WRs they will pluck off the practice squad. Down OL. Down on defense. Redskins with 3 straight ATS and covers in 5 of their last 7. 4* Money Maker WASHINGTON REDSKINS |
|||||||
12-15-19 | Bears +5 v. Packers | Top | 13-21 | Loss | -110 | 159 h 43 m | Show |
Taking the BEARS. Line on the move as it was a 6.5 and I see some 4.5 - Mitchell looking pretty good the last 2 Thursdays behind center tossing some TDs. Maybe this Bears offense has finally found itself. I was hesitant after Thanksgiving. But 2 in a row, I'll take a stab getting some points. Chicago defense will travel and has been above average most of the time. Packers defense worries me a bit. Something not right with the offense with what I have seen the last 5 weeks. Maybe Bears making a late wild-card run here. 5* Best Bet CHICAGO BEARS |
|||||||
12-12-19 | Jets v. Ravens -14.5 | 21-42 | Win | 100 | 94 h 8 m | Show | |
Taking the RAVENS. Can't trust the Jets to hang tough here. Baltimore playing for home field throughout the playoffs and needs every win. Short week for NY who fought battle with Miami. Baltimore a little bit of an easier go pulling away from the Bills. Big coaching mismatch here. I'm laying it. 4* Money Maker BALTIMORE RAVENS |
|||||||
12-08-19 | Chiefs v. Patriots -3 | 23-16 | Loss | -109 | 20 h 1 m | Show | |
4* Money Maker NE PATRIOTS |
|||||||
12-08-19 | Steelers v. Cardinals +2.5 | 23-17 | Loss | -119 | 20 h 0 m | Show | |
4* Money Maker ARIZONA CARDINALS |
|||||||
12-08-19 | Chargers v. Jaguars +3.5 | Top | 45-10 | Loss | -120 | 51 h 7 m | Show |
Taking the JAGS. Who the heck are the Chargers to be laying again on the road. It was 14-0 Denver before you settled in last week. (we had Broncos) Going to sprinkle in some ML here. Rivers looks done. Lynn should be fired before Garrett. LAC finds interesting ways to lose games on a weekly basis. Seems like every game is decided by one score. Give me a the home dogs with a QB with something to prove. 10* Money Maker JACKSONVILLE JAGUARS |
|||||||
12-08-19 | Dolphins v. Jets -5.5 | 21-22 | Loss | -115 | 158 h 24 m | Show | |
Taking the JETS. Miami approaching a little danger zone with these wins now. A game behind these NY Jets. Game behind the Jags, Chargers and Broncos. Tied with the Falcons, Lions and Redskins. A game ahead of the Giants. For a team tanking, you aren't even in the Top 3 and might be out of the Top 10 if you keep notching Ws. Had the Jets in Miami last time they played. I know they are off a brutal loss. But, that is what every saw last. Jets losing to win-less Cincinnati. Sign me up. Gase vs old team. December at Meadowlands never a fun trip for a Miami team. 4* Money Maker NY JETS |
|||||||
12-08-19 | Broncos +8 v. Texans | 38-24 | Win | 100 | 158 h 16 m | Show | |
Taking the BRONCOS. One thing about these guys. The defense comes to play every week. KC only team to put up more than 27. Denver has 4 wins. Getting 8 point they would have covered half their other games. Buff 20-3, KC 30-6 the two big losses. 27-16 at GB, but Pack hit a late FG. Also, 24-16 L at Oakland. Bottom line. They show up. I don't put this team in the KC or Buff circle. Texans in off the Sunday night game. Which right now, is them owning Brady and the Patriots 21-3 last 3rd. We get a nice inflated line for a team with a solid defense. Also, with a new rookie QB in place, not much tape available on Lock. 4* Money Maker DENVER BRONCOS |
|||||||
12-08-19 | Ravens v. Bills +6 | 24-17 | Loss | -110 | 158 h 12 m | Show | |
Taking the BILLS. 9-3 and getting totally disrespected at home. I get the Ravens are good. Baltimore had me fooled into laying the points last week vs a pretty good SF team. I know BLT is tough - but come on, this number, on the road? I'm not buying. I will buy the nice extra rest for Buffalo. And BLT off a physical game vs SF won on a last second FG. Bills quietly a very good defense that doesn't give up much yardage. #3 in the league at barely 300 a game. I'll grab the points and win ugly with these guys. 4* Money Maker BUFFALO BILLS |
|||||||
12-08-19 | Lions +15.5 v. Vikings | 7-20 | Win | 100 | 158 h 9 m | Show | |
Taking the LIONS. I'll grab whatever points I can get here. Short week for Minny. Long extra rest for the Lions. Hope we get Blough again. Kid looked good in spots. This is just way too many points for a rested team with a QB you have never seen to be getting. Lions playing with house money Blough with extra time under his belt might be able to hang for a bit. Again, getting more than 2 TDs, the back door is tough to slam. 4* Money Maker DETROIT LIONS |
|||||||
12-08-19 | Bengals +8.5 v. Browns | 19-27 | Win | 100 | 17 h 36 m | Show | |
4* Money Maker CINCINNATI BENGALS |
|||||||
12-08-19 | 49ers v. Saints -3 | Top | 48-46 | Loss | -109 | 158 h 7 m | Show |
Taking the SAINTS. Tough spot again for San Fran. Off a tough Ravens game - now coming to the dome to face Brees and Payton. This is a pretty short number. Normally I shy away from the long hanging fruit. But people will be all over SF for a second week in the row in a dog role. A little extra rest with the Thanksgiving Game in Atlanta, and this should be a nice cash. 8* Sure Shot |
|||||||
12-05-19 | Cowboys -3 v. Bears | 24-31 | Loss | -102 | 94 h 49 m | Show | |
Taking the COWBOYS. This is it. Do or die time for Dallas. No more games for their HC. Lose year, you are getting canned before flying home. Both teams rested. Do we expect Mitch to repeat his Thanksgiving day performance. No. Do we expect Dak to repeat his. No. We expect Dak to do his usual thing which would be not turn the ball over. Go for 300 2 TDs and feed Zeke for 100+ and another 2 TDs. Circle the wagons game for Dallas. 5* Best Bet DALLAS COWBOYS |
|||||||
12-02-19 | Vikings +3 v. Seahawks | 30-37 | Loss | -115 | 74 h 8 m | Show | |
Taking the VIKINGS. I like this team. Have them winning the North. They are off their bye. They come in with the better defense. Better rushing game. And getting healthy at WR. Only reason this is +3 and not ML, the QBs. Wilson, a one man terror in prime time. Cousins. Well - not so much save for that Dallas win. Still like our chances as Seattle has been suspect here at home. Should have lost to the Rams. Could have lost to the Bengals. Did lose to the Saints. Lost to the Ravens. Need OT to beat Tampa. Give me the points and don't be shocked at an outright win. 10* Money Bomb MINNESOTA VIKINGS |
|||||||
12-01-19 | Chargers v. Broncos +3 | 20-23 | Win | 100 | 46 h 23 m | Show | |
Taking DENVER. I don't even know who is QBing this game. Lock maybe? Who knows. Allen was brutal last week. But this is in Denver. Cold. Snow. Not Sunny and nice San Diego or LA where these Chargers enjoy life. How invested are they in this game? The season is lost. Rivers looks like he got old overnight. Just hand the ball to Lindsay and Freeman. Heck short flares to Sutton and Font. This is where we buy on Denver since they were so putrid last week. Maybe an outright win here. 4* Money Maker DENVER BRONCOS |
|||||||
12-01-19 | Rams v. Cardinals +3 | 34-7 | Loss | -114 | 46 h 13 m | Show | |
Taking ARIZONA. How are the Rams favored here? Did you miss MNF? Or SNF? This is a team in trouble. Give me the Cards and any points off their bye week. ARZ has won 3 of their last 7 games with a pair of 3 pt losses. They have shown me more than enough fight after some bad games. 4* Money Maker ARIZONA CARDINALS |
|||||||
12-01-19 | Jets -3.5 v. Bengals | 6-22 | Loss | -100 | 121 h 22 m | Show | |
Taking the JETS. Had them last week, will back them again. So Andy Dalton is back. Does it matter? This team is all but happy to be locked into the #1 draft pick. I have said before I am shocked they didn't trade away their veterans. Jets putting together some wins no as the schedule gets favorable, and guys get healthy. If NYJ want to make some wild-card noise, this is a must win with Miami on deck. 4* Money Maker NY JETS |
|||||||
12-01-19 | Redskins v. Panthers -10 | 29-21 | Loss | -100 | 43 h 21 m | Show | |
Taking the CAROLINA PANTHERS. Redskins with a win last week and Haskins taking selfies on the field as a celebration. Wow. Needed an INT to seal the win. Not sure if Washington gets 6 sacks and 3 INTs today to help their cause. You know Panthers will be angry in off a loss at New Orleans. That should have them plenty riled up here at home. CMC should gash this rush defense, and I use that term loosely. Panthers lead the league in sacks and should be able to rattle the rookie here. Any shot that these guys think they have at making the playoffs. Well, beating a bad team usually helps the cause. 4* Money Maker CAROLINA PANTHERS |
|||||||
12-01-19 | 49ers v. Ravens -5.5 | 17-20 | Loss | -107 | 43 h 12 m | Show | |
Taking the RAVENS. I just do not understand this line. It is as if they are begging you to take SF. I had GB off their bye last week and they were a complete no show in San Fran. San Fran looked great. Almost as great as Baltimore looked picking apart the Rams on MNF. So we have both teams looking unbeatable. I think that everyone will be on the dog. I am on the fave here. Maybe SF can slow this offense down. Until it happens, I'm on the Lamar show. 4* Money Maker BALTIMORE RAVENS |
|||||||
12-01-19 | Packers -6 v. Giants | Top | 31-13 | Win | 100 | 121 h 15 m | Show |
Taking the PACKERS. Had these guys ML last week and they totally wet the bed on national TV. Just looking at Rodgers face you can tell how pissed and angry he was. This Giants defense is nothing like San Fran. This is a team that the Packers beat. These guys are 8-3. Lost both games in Cali to Chargers and Niners in bad fashion. In between, a 8pt win at home over Panthers and a bye. Sitting at 8-3, same as Minnesota, Pack need a win. Again, Giants defense not anywhere near what the Niners will bring. Rodgers too much a competitor to not bounce back after that performance Sunday. 5* Best Bet GREEN BAY PACKERS |
|||||||
11-28-19 | Bills v. Cowboys -6.5 | Top | 26-15 | Loss | -110 | 71 h 24 m | Show |
Taking the COWBOYS. Let's start with the Bills. An 8-3 team getting in some spots a full TD from a 6-5 team. Oh we have to take the team with the better record. Let's see. They have scored more than 30 twice, both vs Miami. Wins at NYJ and NYG. Were down big and needed miracle to beat Jets. Faced Rookied QB in Giants. Beat Cincy. Does that need a comment? Lost to Patriots. Whipped 31-10 at home by Eagles. Beat Redskins 24-9 with Haskins at QB. Lost at Cleveland 19-16. Beat Denver with Brandon Allen and his 82 passing yards at QB 20-3 at home. Dak and friends will have a field day here. Bad conditions and poor play calling cost them in NE. A huge, must , must , must win game for Dallas here. Short week. Desperate team. Huge talent differential at offensive skill positions. Bills beat the bad teams. Lose to good ones. It is proven in their games this season 8* Sure Shot DALLAS COWBOYS |
|||||||
11-28-19 | Bears -2.5 v. Lions | 24-20 | Win | 100 | 68 h 31 m | Show | |
Taking the BEARS here. Tough to lay any points with this offense - I get it. But the defense does not a take a play off. They should be able to flip the field for us here and get us in that plus territory for a score. Lions offense not looking that well last week in Washington. 6 sacks and 3 INTs for Driskell. I don't think I am crazy to think Chicago D a bit better. 4* Money Maker CHICAGO BEARS |
|||||||
11-25-19 | Ravens -2 v. Rams | 45-6 | Win | 100 | 189 h 27 m | Show | |
Taking the RAVENS. Hate to grab the low hanging fruit, but we are on Baltimore tonight. This team is the class of the AFC right now. Good luck trying to slow down both sides of the ball. Rams a struggling unit right now. We had the Bears last week, and as I write this, Rams up 10-7 in the 4th. That kind of play not going to get it done against Baltimore. 4* Money Maker BALTIMORE RAVENS |
|||||||
11-24-19 | Cowboys +7 v. Patriots | Top | 9-13 | Win | 100 | 164 h 14 m | Show |
Taking DALLAS. Might also grab a little +245 ML. Listen. You don't make all that much money fading this QB + HC combo. And you all know how I feel about this Dallas HC. Brutal. But that's a story for another day. One. I think Dallas defense is pretty good. Albeit they have shown just flashes. But they can get pressure on Brady and their LBs are a solid group. This is really going to come down to dictating Zeke and their OL. Honestly though, the way Dak has played, you really can't get down if they have him passing often to his WR dynamic duo. I think this is just too many points. If you can get 7 at a little higher price, I think its worth it. But I also think Dallas has a shot at being a live dog this afternoon also. 5* Best Bet DALLAS COWBOYS |
|||||||
11-24-19 | Jaguars v. Titans -3.5 | Top | 20-42 | Win | 102 | 16 h 27 m | Show |
Taking the TITANS. Can't believe I didn't load this game up at the start of the week. Off bye week. Tannehill makes this team look 100% better offensively. Defense always solid for Tennessee. I like Foles. Thought it was a great signing. Guy has done nothing but win games when given a start. But, he has a game and a what, a series or 2 under his belt. You can't be breaking new QBs in Week 12. Especially when you are the Jags who historically struggle on offense. Sad for the lost year Jaguar fans. A lot of wasted talent on that defense. Give me the lunch box brigade. All the Titans do is win when nobody is looking and end up 9-7 and in the playoffs. 10* Money Bomb TENNESSEE TITANS |
|||||||
11-24-19 | Panthers v. Saints -8.5 | 31-34 | Loss | -107 | 161 h 43 m | Show | |
Taking the SAINTS. Think the bloom is officially off the rose here in Carolina. Allen in off his worse game. 4 INTs and your team will be in trouble. Hey, 4 straight wins, 5 in 6 and 5-3 overall for the kid. Not too shabby. Losing to GB and SF not a crime. Falcons turned him over and the Atlanta offense had been prolific in the past. Again, I am not knocking the youngster. But, here we are in New Orleans. A place Brees and Payton have feasted. And facing a young QB, the Saints defense will be more than up to the challenge. Just too much balance for Carolina to handle. Both sides of the ball big edges for the home team. 4* Money Maker NEW ORLEANS SAINTS |
|||||||
11-24-19 | Raiders v. Jets +3.5 | 3-34 | Win | 100 | 161 h 32 m | Show | |
Taking the JETS. I know that nobody really had the Raiders sitting at 7-4 in the AFC West. I cannot buy them as a road fave. They are 1-3 on the road this year. I know NYJ a wreck at 3-7. But injuries happen. And starting 3rd string QBs probably won't get many teams wins. Jets have allowed just a single 100 yard rusher on the year. (Zeke). The defense is solid. The offense showing flashes. Getting points, this is a live home dog. ML +160 should be in play also. 4* Money Maker NY JETS |
|||||||
11-24-19 | Bucs v. Falcons -4 | 35-22 | Loss | -110 | 116 h 21 m | Show | |
Taking the FALCONS. Different team the last 2 weeks this Atlanta outfit. Big road in at New Orleans. Defense really shined there. Then going on the road again in division and taking out the Panthers. Happy to be on both of those side to help the bankroll. Enter Tampa on an 0-6 ATS run. Do you really want to get in front of the Falcons right now who seem to have found themselves since their bye week? Matty Ice at home always dangerous. 4* Money Maker ATLANTA FALCONS |
|||||||
11-21-19 | Colts +6 v. Texans | Top | 17-20 | Win | 100 | 96 h 15 m | Show |
Taking the COLTS. I am no fan of the Texans. Way too inconsistent for me. Especially laying points like this. Huge division game. I get Brissett under center. I have not 1, but 2 100 yard backs last week. I know Texans can be explosive on offense. But, if you aren't on the field all that much, good look. I can see how you would be on Houston after they had their doors blown off last week. Indy is 5-1 SU last 6 in this series. Jacoby, a perfect 3-0 vs Houston in his starts. So it wasn't all Luck for Indy. Cots when healthy a very solid team. And I have to be all aboard even in a short week. They made light work of the Jags. And with this last game as the exception, every Colts game is a possession game. 5* Best Bet INDIANAPOLIS COLTS |
|||||||
11-18-19 | Chiefs v. Chargers +4.5 | 24-17 | Loss | -110 | 190 h 36 m | Show | |
Taking the CHARGERS. This KC team is in trouble. The special teams cost them last week. The defense has taken a step back. You know I am no fan of LAC HC, but we have an offense that can go punch for punch with anyone. This Charger defense is a Top 10 unit. The offense is starting to gel with Gordon back in the mix. We know what KC is. It is the Mahomes show. When he is in, watch out. But the defense is still a hot mess. 4* Money Maker LA CHARGERS |
|||||||
11-17-19 | Bears +6.5 v. Rams | Top | 7-17 | Loss | -109 | 44 h 47 m | Show |
Taking the BEARS. I have kicked Chicago's back in since pre-season. QB is brutal and the coach doesn't help a bit. But there is zero chance I am laying at home with the Rams. OL is a nightmare. Gurley is done. Guy hasn't been healthy last couple years. Goff making that contract look horrible. Not his fault that he is an average QB. Rams always have problems with good defenses. And, the Bears defense is still an elite unit. We might not win this one outright, but there is not a chance the Rams win this by a TD. 5* Best Bet CHICAGO BEARS |
|||||||
11-17-19 | Patriots -3.5 v. Eagles | Top | 17-10 | Win | 100 | 140 h 52 m | Show |
Taking the PATRIOTS. I get it. It might be a square play here with NE off a bye week. But I can't trust Philly even as a small dog. Especially with Super Bowl Pay-back on the menu tonight. This is NOT that Eagles team. This team has loads of problems on both sides of the ball. They are 5-4. Where is the good win? At Green Bay? Is that what we are hanging our hats on? Let's do a little recap here. Redskins jumped out early on them and Philly held on. Lost at Atlanta. Lions beat them here. The GB win. Mauled Jets with a backup QB behind center for the visitors. Beaten badly at Minny, then smashed by Dallas on National TV. Beat a so so Bills team. Again I ask - Will Brady beat this team by 4 points off a bye week with a Super Bowl loss memory fresh in his head. I don't think this game is close. It might be tight for a half, but Patriots defense will want to reshape their image after the Ravens game. Brady has something to prove. Brady 13-4 off bye week. Pats with the NFC East co-leader Cowboys on deck at home. Then South leading Texans then West leading Chiefs all coming up. This is the most focused and fresh they will be. I found this little tidbit on the web from the start of the season - Since 2002, away favorites coming off a bye are 66-31 against the spread (68%) and a phenomenal 28-6 ATS (82.4%) and 31-3 straight up (91.2%) when favored by at least 4.5 points. - 10* Money Bomb NE PATRIOTS |
|||||||
11-17-19 | Cowboys -3 v. Lions | 35-27 | Win | 100 | 141 h 37 m | Show | |
Taking DALLAS. More brutal play calling by arguably the worse coach in the NFL. Dak carving up the Minny defense, and let's try to get Zeke going down a score with a minute to go. Guy has to go. Back to the wall for Dallas. Any hopes of a bye week out the window. Now they are in a battle for just making the playoffs. Can't lose to Minny and New Orleans. Patriots on the road up next. Bills. At Bears isn't a gimmie with the way Garrett coaches. Plus Rams and Eagles. Not exactly easy. Back-up QB again for Detroit. For me, this is a huge game for the Cowboys. Season shaping. 4* Money Maker DALLAS COWBOYS |
|||||||
11-17-19 | Bills -6.5 v. Dolphins | 37-20 | Win | 100 | 36 h 17 m | Show | |
Taking the BILLS. Should have grabbed this when it dipped to 5.5. I knew people would come in early on Miami. And why not. They have been covering games. And who wants to lay points with this Buffalo QB? Well, I'll bite here. Bills lost to NE, who they had a shot at beating, 16-10 and Eagles 31-13, who were destined for a good game after 2 straight road clunkers. And last weeks 19-16 loser to the Browns. Miami offense is putrid. Will be shocked if Miami scored more than 14. 4* Money Maker MIAMI DOLPHINS |
|||||||
11-17-19 | Falcons +4.5 v. Panthers | 29-3 | Win | 100 | 21 h 35 m | Show | |
Taking the FALCONS. Should have grabbed them Sunday night when I talked about them on the weekly Live Lines Show at 10pm. Twitter my name for the show and follow me! - Now we get a lower number. Should probably grabbed a little +190 ML. Falcons defense very impressive getting to Brees last week. Now facing a rookie QB with no Cam as a hook behind him. Something tells me Atlanta isn't dead and mailing in their season just yet. This offense still has plenty of weapons to put points up. 4* Money Maker ATLANTA FALCONS |
|||||||
11-17-19 | Saints -4.5 v. Bucs | Top | 34-17 | Win | 100 | 158 h 18 m | Show |
Taking the SAINTS. Have to grab this team off a bad game. NO not looking too pretty last week vs the Falcons. This is a game that the HC takes very seriously. TB off nice come from behind win over Arizona. But this isn't a rookie QB and HC. This is a HOF QB & Coach, and Super Bowl winning combo. 5* Best Bet NEW ORLEANS SAINTS |
|||||||
11-17-19 | Jaguars +3 v. Colts | Top | 13-33 | Loss | -120 | 137 h 39 m | Show |
Taking the JAGUARS. Last we saw Jax they were getting mauled in London 26-3 by the Texans. Minshew mania over after that 2 interception day. Off their bye week, Nick Foles returns. Minshew was solid. 13 TDs. 93 passer rating. Not too shabby for the rookie. But Foles has a playoff pedigree. We can laugh and joke about it. The guy wins. 14-4 back in 2013/2014 for Philly. Then 6-2 the last 2 years filling in for Wentz, and 4-1 in the Playoffs adding a Super Bowl Trophy to his shelf. Colts for me, way too shaky. And I was a big Indy guy this season. But TY out. QB questions. Not a spot to be laying points. Shaky kicking game. Jags all day for me here. 8* Sure Shot JACKSONVILLE JAGUARS |
|||||||
11-11-19 | Seahawks v. 49ers -6 | Top | 27-24 | Loss | -120 | 50 h 35 m | Show |
Taking the NINERS here. I don't think I have heard one person say they like San Fran. I get Wilson is having an MVP year. Something tells me though that SF are practiced and ready to go. Extra prep time off the Thursday game. Injured guys get some more time. Sanders looked good in his first game since trade from Denver. The defense is not too shabby. 10* Money Bomb SAN FRANCISCO 49ers |
|||||||
11-10-19 | Vikings v. Cowboys -3 | Top | 28-24 | Loss | -110 | 52 h 31 m | Show |
Taking the COWBOYS. Went back and forth a bit on this one. I do like Minny. Love their HC. But their QB is a Prime Time nightmare. How about 6-14 in prime-time starts, and 6-29 against opponents with winning records! Dak is 14-5 in his prime-time starts. Let's not forget 0 4th quarter comebacks either from Cousins, 0-10-1 when trailing coming into the 4th. Not going to say some negatives backing Garrett in this spot for Dallas. But Minny just hasn't figured it out when it matters on the road. 8* Sure Shot DALLAS COWBOYS |
|||||||
11-10-19 | Rams v. Steelers +4 | 12-17 | Win | 100 | 47 h 4 m | Show | |
Taking the STEELERS. uh. Ugly one. I am not a Steelers fan at all. Can't even say anything nice about them expect they are a home dog here. Rams. Please. This team has been exposed as a total fraud after the Patriots dissected them in the Super Bowl. This Goff contract is an albatross already. 8-2-4 ATS run for Pitt as home dogs under Tomlin. I got a home dog with probably the better defense. They got trucked by the Patriots. Ok, nearly everyone does. 3 other losses by 9 total points, including an OT loss. Goff not the same on the road. Gurley is an average back now. Cooks hurt. 4* Money Maker PITTSBURGH STEELERS |
|||||||
11-10-19 | Dolphins +12.5 v. Colts | 16-12 | Win | 100 | 47 h 38 m | Show | |
Taking the DOLPHINS. 4 straight covers for Miami including an outright win last week. And look - I'll be honest. A healthy Colts team and I wouldn't be shocked if the were in the AFC Championship Game. That is how high I think of the coach and the team. But, these guys have some flaws. QB a problem right now. No TY hurts. And the kicking game. Well, I am not even going to bother to spell the guys name correctly because he should have hung up after Game 1 this season. All 8 Indy games this year decided by 7 points or less. Their 5 wins, an average of 4 points (2,3,6,7,2). I get Miami is 'tanking'. Back door wide, wide open here for Dolphins. 4* Money Maker MIAMI DOLPHINS |
|||||||
11-10-19 | Chiefs -3.5 v. Titans | 32-35 | Loss | -110 | 146 h 3 m | Show | |
Taking KC early. Will do the 3.5 here. Maybe Mahomes comes back and we get a big middle opportunity. Can't complain about the way Moore has played either. 4* Money Maker KC CHIEFS |
|||||||
11-10-19 | Bills +2.5 v. Browns | 16-19 | Loss | -105 | 146 h 39 m | Show | |
Taking the BILLS. Well, was on the opposite side of both these games last week. Thought I had good CLV with the Browns as I got them as dogs early before the line move. Look. This Browns team is a mess. Bills total opposite. Nothing sexy about them. Browns all the flash. Baker tv chugging beer. ODB and Landry at WR. Chubb a stud RB. I'm grabbing the lunch box crew from Buffalo. 4* Money Maker BUFFALO BILLS |