Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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12-16-18 | Dolphins v. Vikings -6.5 | Top | 17-41 | Win | 100 | 87 h 54 m | Show |
Taking the VIKINGS. This is it for Minny. Had these clowns Monday night and they were brutal. Canned their OC who was suppose to be the 'hot' name for one of the soon to be opened HC jobs in the NFL. Well. The smart money ain't on that happening now. I like this spot based on 2 things. One - that poor MNF performance and the canning of the OC and two. How about the clouds that Miami is coming in on? Nowhere to go but to have that bubble burst. Now. As having the Patriots last week I am shocked that they didn't try to get 7 and instead settle for a FG. Heck. Run another run play and have them try to go 97 yards or whatever. So- Miami off a huge win and could be a flat spot. Desperate Vikes need to win out. How about Dolphins 1-10 SU last 11 on the road. Yikes. 5* Best Bet MINNESOTA VIKINGS |
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12-16-18 | Bucs v. Ravens -7.5 | Top | 12-20 | Win | 100 | 17 h 53 m | Show |
Taking the RAVENS. I know what everyone is thinking. Laying points like this with Lamar Jackson, and off that brutal OT game vs KC. I get it. You are worried. Well don't be. This Tampa defense, if it is plays more for the run, will give up chunks of yards, and enough points for a 10pt win. Did you miss the collapse last week (we got a miracle cover with NO) - plenty of mistakes to go around. Special teams looked like garbage. OL fell apart. Winston doing Winston things. How is that going to fly vs this Ravens defense coming in angry, vs a team that will be out of it's element and quite frankly, not a good team. As good as this TB QB combo is putting up 31 TD passes, they also have 24 INTs. I am sure we see at least 2 turnovers this afternoon. Tampa 2-12 SU last 14 on the road including a 3-9 ATS run in their most recent 12 games. In 6 road games this season - 40 at New Orleans, 48 at Chicago, 34 at Atlanta, 37 at Cincinnati, 42 at Carolina, and 38 at NYG. I know that this Baltimore team isn't the Greatest Show on Turf, but we will get our 30 today. 8* Sure Shot BALTIMORE RAVENS |
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12-15-18 | Browns v. Broncos -2.5 | 17-16 | Loss | -105 | 7 h 27 m | Show | |
Taking DENVER. I get the love on the Browns. It is like taking a chain off a rabid dog finally firing Hue Jackson. Look. I am no fan of the Denver HC. I don't like him, the Dallas HC or the Charger HC. I don't even name them. They are garbage. But I think the sexy pick on the Browns is really putting whipped cream on crap. Mayfield will have his hands full, or really feet moving Chubb and Miller have 25 sacks between them. It won't be easy for the rookie. And at least with a veteran QB on the other side of the field, with a RB closing in on 1000 yards, I like the chances of the home team. Broncos off a terrible loss at San Fran should take care of business here. 4* Money Maker DENVER BRONCOS |
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12-15-18 | Texans v. Jets +7 | 29-22 | Push | 0 | 4 h 44 m | Show | |
Taking the JETS here. I'll grab the points in this one. I guess it looks real easy to take the Texans and this defense vs a rookie QB. But I see a team that won by 2 at Washington 23-21. 19-17 at Denver. 37-34 at Indy. 20-17 loss at Tennessee. 20-7 win at Jax. I won't include 27-20 loss at NE. But I don't see a dominate team on the road. Loss by 5 at home to the Giants. Needed the Pick 6 Perriman of the Bills to toss another INT to win 20-13. 19-16 vs the Cowboys. Where is the dominance? 42-23 short week home win over Miami and back-up QB? I will give them Titans and Cleveland in back to back home games. But overall, this team has really gotten a lot of breaks, and luck along the way. There is a lot of love and I think inflated price on the Texans. Could be a nasty day as the weather is calling for 39-40 degrees and rain. Domed team from Houston playing in cold and nasty NJ weather. I'm dogging up. 4* Money Maker NY JETS |
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12-13-18 | Chargers +3.5 v. Chiefs | Top | 29-28 | Win | 100 | 81 h 55 m | Show |
Taking the CHARGERS. Lost with these guys last week as they sleep-walked setting for FGs last Sunday. I get it short week. Big, bad KC with their awesome rookie QB. They didn't have an easy Sunday as the Ravens took them to OT. And what I really take away from that, and why I had this circled early in the season. The defense. Not the Chargers defense. But the Ravens defense. That is like the old-school Steelers, Seahawks defenses of past. Where you get hit on every play. And the next game you are just mush. Baltimore brings that type of defense every game. And they got it for a game, plus OT. The short home week doesn't help them much other than sleeping in their own beds. I have been on LAC all season. This is a good team. The offense behind Rivers will carve up this KC defense. The Chargers defense isn't terrible. I think they can make some plays here. Bonus with the 3.5, but I won't be shocked at an outright win tonight. 8* Sure Shot LA CHARGERS |
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12-09-18 | Steelers -10 v. Raiders | 21-24 | Loss | -105 | 28 h 43 m | Show | |
Taking the STEELERS. Lost a brutal game on these guys last week. I am the first to say that I get you looking at Oakland here. Big Ben has some brutal road numbers. That being said though, I can't fade Pitt here. In a AFC North dog-fight, they need wins. Off that loss, they need a win. With their star fill in RB out, they really need a win. Raiders for some crazy win won at Arizona and cost me in that game. Last I checked, this team is, for a lack of a better word, tanking. They didn't want to pay Mack. They didn't want to pay Cooper either. I like their TE. And if they don't make any adjustments from LW vs LAC, a 40-20 win will turn into another mind-boggling 30-27 game. Big Ben should be able to pick apart this bad defense. 4* Money Maker PITT STEELERS |
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12-09-18 | Bengals v. Chargers -14 | 21-26 | Loss | -120 | 28 h 31 m | Show | |
Taking the CHARGERS. I think they are just begging you to take Cincy. Look- I had the Steelers last week. Thought I was sitting pretty at the half. And then here come LAC. Now, we have had these guys a few times this year. I will grab them here. No let-down. This is a very good team. Both coaches for me are crap. And the guy on the other sideline should be run out of town after this season. Back up QB vs a tough defense. Potent offense vs the worse defense in the league. Chargers are scoring 35-40 today. Does Cincy get 20? 8* Sure Shot LA CHARGERS |
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12-09-18 | Saints -9.5 v. Bucs | 28-14 | Win | 100 | 25 h 34 m | Show | |
Taking the SAINTS. Have these guys at -7 that I put in last Sunday. Have them in Super Contest -8. No problem laying double digits today. New Orleans with rest. New Orleans with revenge. New Orleans defense vastly improved since Game 1 (we did have Tampa). New Orleans with 7 sacks last vs Dallas. New Orleans off worse offensive game since 2010. I"m not impressed with Tampa beating Washington, SF and Carolina at home. The first 2 offenses scare nobody. And Carolina, well, they were 6-2 at one point, now 6-6, so they are sputtering. Tampa defense may look improved. But they won't shut down a determined Saints offense. Bucs do have a great offense. #1 offense, #1 passing in the league. But prone to TOs. The defense is 27th overall, 28th against pass. Hello Brees to Thomas for 180 and 2 TDs. I'm looking at Kimara, Ingram and even Taysom Hill to have a big impact today. 4* Money Maker NO SAINTS |
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12-09-18 | Falcons v. Packers -4.5 | Top | 20-34 | Win | 100 | 25 h 49 m | Show |
Taking GREEN BAY. Not over thinking here. Dome team in cold weather. Aaron Rodgers gets his coach fired and I expect a huge day. Not just for him, but the entire offense. Defense is what it is. This is really a dead number - I don't think this is a FG game. This is GB running away by 2+ TDs as the Falcons, already sitting in last place, see their season slip away further. 10* Money Bomb GREEN BAY PACKERS. |
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12-09-18 | Patriots -7.5 v. Dolphins | Top | 33-34 | Loss | -110 | 25 h 31 m | Show |
Taking the PATRIOTS. I am sure the 20 something people ahead of me in the Super Contest will be on the home dogs. They see Miami's 27-20 win last year and think more of the same. Well, we here Brady talking about how Dolphins play good and we don't in Miami. I am expecting more of what we have seen in 3 of the last 4 encounters between these two teams. They have been 35-7, 35-17 and 35-14. 5* Best Bet NE PATRIOTS |
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12-02-18 | Chargers v. Steelers -3.5 | 33-30 | Loss | -100 | 99 h 27 m | Show | |
Taking the STEELERS. Hate going against the Chargers. We have had them several times already this year. But Pitt at home is a different animal. Big Ben, totally different at Heinz field. Will probably look into the over here as the game gets closer also. Flex helps a bit so it's not an early body clock game for LAC - If the Chargers had a healthy Gordon, maybe I would think about bucking Pitt at home. Can't see Rivers having a day like he did last week vs Arizona. Steelers will be in foul mood after losing at Denver. It's a short number, and Steelers dominate at Heinz. 4* Money Maker PITT STEELERS |
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12-02-18 | 49ers v. Seahawks -10 | Top | 16-43 | Win | 105 | 22 h 37 m | Show |
Taking SEATTLE. Will lay this. Seattle hurt me last week as we had Caroline. Our only loser on a 7-1 Sunday of NFL action. This SF team has hit hard times. The offense is terrible. Can't see them putting up 14 here vs the Seahawks who look they are ready for a playoff push. Seattle 10-2-1 ATS last 13 in the series. Mullins or Beathard vs Wilson. I was never a huge Wilson fan. But the guy is great. Seattle going away 30-13. 5* Best Bet SEATTLE SEAHAWKS |
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12-02-18 | Browns +6 v. Texans | 13-29 | Loss | -110 | 92 h 0 m | Show | |
Taking the BROWNS. We will find out just how good the Texans are eventually. They are really getting all kinds of gifts in this win streak. OT Coaching blunders by Colts and Dallas. Injury to QBs during games. Games with backup QBs starting. Pick 6 INTs with a minute left in game. Now they are on a short week off that Monday nighter against Titans - and have big division game on deck vs Colts. Texans 4-11 ATS last 15 and 1-5 ATS last 6 at home. Browns come into town showing zero quit and battling every game. 4* Money Maker CLEVELAND BROWNS |
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12-02-18 | Colts -4 v. Jaguars | 0-6 | Loss | -109 | 18 h 24 m | Show | |
Taking the COLTS. Time to send in the clowns. Jags officially done. We faded them and cashed last week. Will do the same here. Streaking Colts looking to the playoffs. 4* Money Maker INDIANAPOLIS COLTS |
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12-02-18 | Bills +3.5 v. Dolphins | 17-21 | Loss | -107 | 18 h 20 m | Show | |
Taking the BILLS. This group shows zero quit. Buffalo has covered 7 of 10 in the series. Miami showed some life with Tannehill behind center. But I like the Bills defense right now and the 3.5 is too good to pass up. 4* Money Maker BUFFALO BILLS |
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12-02-18 | Rams -10 v. Lions | Top | 30-16 | Win | 100 | 18 h 16 m | Show |
Taking the RAMS. The door to the 1 seed has reopened. LA fresh off their bye. This could get ugly. McVay has no problem running things up. We will see 40+ this afternoon. 10* Money Bomb LA RAMS |
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11-29-18 | Saints v. Cowboys +8 | 10-13 | Win | 100 | 76 h 27 m | Show | |
Taking DALLAS here. Both teams last seen winning on Thanksgiving. We have made money on the Saints all season except when we had Tampa in Week 1 and then Cincy 3 weeks ago. If NO is going to get clipped, it's here or in 2 weeks at Carolina. The first of 3 road games for the Saints. This is a tough game. Dallas finally putting some offense together. They do have a decent defense, though it doesn't really get turnovers. Take the home dog tonight. Won't be shocked if they steal an outright win here. 4* Money Maker DALLAS COWBOYS |
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11-25-18 | Packers v. Vikings -3 | 17-24 | Win | 100 | 26 h 22 m | Show | |
Taking the VIKINGS. I get how everyone will run to Aaron Rodgers and the Packers. Last we saw these guys they were busy blowing a double digit lead on the road to Seattle. Always tough game after playing up there. GB now a miserable 0-5 this year on the road and 7 straight! 7 straight losses and a 1-5-1 ATS run for the Packers when they aren't at home. Minny on a 17-4-1 ATS as a home fave. 4* Money Maker MINNESOTA VIKINGS |
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11-25-18 | Cardinals v. Chargers -13 | 10-45 | Win | 100 | 22 h 16 m | Show | |
Taking the CHARGERS. Lost with both of thees guys last week. Will fade the road team today. I know that overall, Arizona has a pretty decent defense for themselves. And laying basically 2 TDs is a tough cover. But Chargers aren't too shaby themselves. Rosen has more INTs than TDs this year. he will cough it up. LAC needs to shut down the Cards RB. I don't see Arizona getting more than 13 points. Unless we have Rivers and LAC with 4 TOs on the wrong side of the 50, this games should be 30-10. A nice steady pace of Gordon on the ground and Rivers in the air should make this a nice afternoon win. 4* Money Maker LA CHARGERS |
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11-25-18 | Jaguars v. Bills +3 | 21-24 | Win | 100 | 20 h 52 m | Show | |
Taking the BILLS. Think it is safe to say the party is over for the Jags. What a brutal way to go down last week to the Steelers. Now you are expecting them to get off the deck to win on the road, in Buffalo? I get the Bills are a bad team. But, we have revenge from the playoffs last year. Still some hold-over from that team. And, there has been plenty of play-off payback this season already. So again.. Both teams 3-7. Jags officially out of the playoffs. Up 16-0 and blowing it vs Steelers. On the heels of coming up short vs Indy. 6 straight losses. Bills dropped 41 on the Jets and have to be feeling good about things coming out of their bye week. 4* Money Maker BUFFALO BILLS |
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11-25-18 | Giants +5.5 v. Eagles | 22-25 | Win | 100 | 20 h 40 m | Show | |
Taking the GIANTS. I never thought that NYG was as bad as the record. They had a heck of schedule out of the gate. I should have grabbed the 6 earlier in the week, but, I think we have the shot at the outright win today. Eagles don't look good. The offense isn't the same missing last years OC. The defense has been hit with injuries. GMen do have a couple play-makers that can cause some trouble for this Eagles crew. As much as people make fun of the Giants and Cowboys not scoring - Philly has scored more than 24 points just once this season! NYG has gotten 27 or more on 4 occasions including their last 2. 4* Money Maker NY GIANTS |
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11-25-18 | Raiders v. Ravens -10.5 | Top | 17-34 | Win | 100 | 20 h 47 m | Show |
Taking BALTIMORE. Looking to really move a bit here on the Ravens. Last week I took it right on the chin backing Arizona. What the heck are the Raiders doing winning games when they need that top draft pick? Oh. Carr says screw the draft, he wants to win. Well why I won't be shocked one bit when he is on the bench at halftime in say, a 16-3 game. He isn't going to be in Vegas. Gruden will be. Now from Arizona out the east coast vs a desperate Ravens squad. A bunch of 5-5 teams in the AFC. Baltimore needs to notch a win. Raiders had lost 5 straight games by at least 14 points before pulling out the W last week. I see this in the 27-13 range. 5* Best Bet BALTIMORE RAVENS |
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11-25-18 | Patriots -10 v. Jets | Top | 27-13 | Win | 100 | 19 h 26 m | Show |
Taking the PATRIOTS. Both teams in off bye weeks. Both in off losses. Pats on the road vs Titans as we backed Tennessee and their NE connections to a nice dog outright. Jets crushed at home by Bills. HC match-up is a complete mismatch. And one of them is having a rough go of things lately. NE has covered 3 of 4 off bye weeks and 13 of 17 off SU losses. Laying double digits to a division foe who plays you tough is a tricky spot. But as we toss in a rookie QB and the total state of Jets, a clearer picture comes into focus. At 7-3 NE has its work cut out for them if they want to be the 1 seed. It is a crowded room as Pitt 7-2-1, Houston 7-3, Chargers 7-3 are all looking at the 9-2 Chiefs. I'm thinking NE 27-13 with a couple of INTs by whoever is under center for NYJ. 8* Sure Shot NEW ENGLAND PATRIOTS |
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11-25-18 | Seahawks v. Panthers -3 | Top | 30-27 | Loss | -107 | 19 h 19 m | Show |
Taking CAROLINA as our Top 10* today. Last we saw Seattle, they were beating the Packers for all the world to see. Extra rest helps the cross-country trip. But still a 10am body clock game. Panthers last see costing us bankroll in a game vs Detroit. Look. I have had Seattle as a rebuilding club all year. That isn't changing. Carolina at home is a big step up from win-less on the road Green Bay. Cam is usually on the money in his home games. I see this as a 10 point win for us. 10* Money Bomb CAROLINA PANTHERS |
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11-22-18 | Falcons v. Saints -13 | Top | 17-31 | Win | 100 | 47 h 36 m | Show |
Taking the SAINTS, and will look for a 20+ point win. Look. Had these guys last week. And they rolled. And it looked like they went easy on Philly. Falcons in off loss to Dallas. We had the Cowboys and the points (lost the Over though). This is it for Atlanta. For you to be on the Falcons you have to be thinking they win out. They need to win their final 6 games for 10 wins and a playoff spot. They still have games at GB, Carolina and TB. And before you laugh at Tampa, just look at the points they put up. Plus games at home vs Baltimore and Arizona. And to tell you the truth, that isn't really weighing all that much on my play here. Rams won on Monday night. And for NO to hold that tie-breaker edge and home field through playoffs, they need to win. And this team isn't a win by a point team. Brees is on another level right now. He should carve up this defense like we will be carving up our Turkeys and Hams 3 hours prior to this kick-off. New Orleans again will toy with dropping a 50 spot. The sites don't have first half lines - But I can see NO jumping out to a fast lead by half-time if you want to sprinkle something on that. At this points, Saints really can just name their score vs teams. I think they want this 40pt streak to continue. The spots where I think NO is ripe for being picked off (though I was wrong at Cincy) is possibly Dallas next week or, playing their 3rd straight game at Carolina in 3 weeks. 5* Best Bet NEW ORLEANS SAINTS |
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11-22-18 | Redskins v. Cowboys -6.5 | 23-31 | Win | 100 | 7 h 3 m | Show | |
Taking DALLAS - I know that Dallas is terrible at home ATS wise 0-7 on Thanksgiving. I know that Thanksgiving home faves are great ATS wise 15-3 when laying 7 or more. I don't think there is much drop off at the QB position for Washington. I think the bigger issue is their OL play. Dallas defense is tough. Not great at turning teams over, but the defense is very sound. Last game, Jason Garrett clapped his way to lose. That's what this clown does. Crush peoples hopes and dreams when you back them. In this spot, like last week. I swallow hard and pray to the football Gods that in a league that gave us a 100pt game on Monday night, this guy doesn't continue to bring back 3 yards and a cloud of dust football. Zeke is the key. The kid does it all out of the backfield. He then opens things up for Dak. Back to back upset road wins has Cowboys back in the NFC East hunt - Winner here takes first place as even splitting, Dallas 3-1 in division, Redskins 2-1. Huge game for Cowboys. 4* Money Maker DALLAS COWBOYS |
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11-18-18 | Eagles v. Saints -7.5 | Top | 7-48 | Win | 100 | 118 h 1 m | Show |
Taking the SAINTS. We faded NO last week and it cost us. Otherwise, we have pegged these guys all season long. This line is moving. Not surprising really. Eagles O didn't look good vs Dallas. And Saints D is not as good as the Cowboys defense. But at home, Brees and the New Orleans will do damage. Golden Tate will probably score a TD this week. There is a nice prop bet if you can find it. But I don't think that Philly can slow down this machine right now. Rush, pass. Doesn't matter. NO finds ways to put points on the board. Take out a 34 game vs the Giants, and the Philly high water mark is 24 points. Not enough bullets for this battle. Scoring 22 a game and giving up 20 will get you exactly what the Eagles are. A 4-5 team. They got very hot and rode it all the way to a Super Bowl Championship. Well - things seem to lining up perfectly for a Saints run as they scored at least 40 in 5 of their nine games. A little luck doesn't hurt either. And they have been falling into their share of breaks along the way. Just 2 losses their last 11 home games. Tough stopping this group in the dome. 5* Best Bet NEW ORLEANS SAINTS |
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11-18-18 | Raiders v. Cardinals -5.5 | Top | 23-21 | Loss | -107 | 52 h 30 m | Show |
Taking ARIZONA. Yeah. Tough taking a 2 win team to win by 6 points. But they are playing the Raiders. The Raiders who have score 6,3,3 in 3 of their last 4 games. 5 straight losses of 14 or more points. It really comes down to this for me - Oakland is clearly 'tanking'. They want the #1 Pick. They won't get that by beating a team h2h and tying them with 2 wins. The trades of Mack and Cooper, waiving Irvin. Clear signs this team is done. I think everyone has checkout. For Arizona, a tough year sure. But they have their franchise QB. They also have a new OC who is looking to spice things up a bit. He has David Johnson who is still a stud RB. HOF Fitzgerald who should find some space vs this terrible Oakland secondary. Cards 5-1-1 ATS run shows no quit even with their poor record. *Sure Shot ARIZONA CARDINALS |
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11-18-18 | Broncos v. Chargers -7 | Top | 23-22 | Loss | -105 | 51 h 16 m | Show |
Taking the CHARGERS. Had these guys last week. And even sleepwalking they managed to cover double digits. This just seems like a different all around team. Still don't like their kicking game, but man oh man, what a year from Rivers. Let's not forget Gordon either. The RB is having a great year rushing, and catching the ball. First 'home' game for LAC in 6 weeks! Remember London. They are 7-1 here at Stub Hub. Neither of these coaches are at the top of any of my lists. Maybe worse NFL lists. Broncos in the midst of a terrible year. I think Vance Joseph is out the door in January. When I see Denver I see 2 pt loss vs Houston (home0, 7pt loss on road to KC, 3 point loss to Rams (home), 4 pt loss to KC (Home) -- Plus 1 pt win at home over Oakland, 3pt win at home over Seattle. Yes. They are 'in' games. And losing is a reflection on the coach. You think Case is happy about trading WR Thomas? How the heck is he matching big-plays from Rivers today? 34-16 loss at Jets. 27-14 loss at Ravens.. That is what we will be seeing from Denver this afternoon. 10* Money Bomb LA CHARGERS |
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11-18-18 | Panthers -4 v. Lions | 19-20 | Loss | -113 | 52 h 50 m | Show | |
Taking the PANTHERS. Have been back and forth with this. Not a fan of laying on the road. But Panthers were humiliated on Thursday night football last week. It was nice as we cashed the over, but they want to move on from that in a quick minute. Lions. Man. What are they doing? I thought they were going for it by trading for Snacks. Then they deal Tate. I like Ron Rivera over Patricia for sure. Better defense with something to prove off that Steelers loss. Lions had covered 5 straight, now 3 straight double digit losses. Short week with Bears on Thanksgiving. 4* Money Maker CAROLINA PANTHERS |
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11-18-18 | Cowboys +3.5 v. Falcons | 22-19 | Win | 100 | 49 h 35 m | Show | |
Taking the COWBOYS. Always tough backing this team because not only do you have an entire team on the other side of the field working against you, you have a head coach who is against you for about 40 of the 60 minutes of the game. If, huge if - If Dallas gives it to Zeke, should be a nice easy day. He is a legit playmaker. Kid is very good. He opens things up for Dak. Cooper has caught some balls since he arrived. I expect more of him vs a banged up Falcons defense. I know in the dome ATL can light it up. But the Dallas defense has actually been good. The don't get many TOs, but they don't give up a ton of points either. It is a tough spot as Falcons come in off terrible loss to Browns and the 'Boys upset Philly on the road. I'm still grabbing the points though. 4* Money Maker DALLAS COWBOYS |
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11-15-18 | Packers v. Seahawks -3 | 24-27 | Push | 0 | 9 h 32 m | Show | |
Taking SEATTLE. Had thought about these guys yesterday at 2.5 or the total. I still like the over a bit. We will see some points tonight. GB is not that good. Coach is garbage. 0-4 on the road. This Seattle team. Man, I was wrong. I put out Under their win total way back in July and they have a shot at getting the over right now. Look. Seahawks even off 2 losses are tough, especially at home. They were in these games late vs the Rams and Chargers. We cashed GB last week. Pretty easy as they were off Rams and Patriots and get the Dolphins at home. As I said. 0-4 on the road. Losses at Washington, Detroit, Rams, Patriots. Wilson getting some RB help that just makes him better. 4* Money Maker SEATTLE SEAHAWKS |
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11-12-18 | Giants +3.5 v. 49ers | Top | 27-23 | Win | 100 | 48 h 54 m | Show |
Taking the GIANTS. So. Going ugly here. What worries me is this line moving up a half point. I don't really like that too much. I know that SF looked good last Thursday vs the Raiders. But, it was the Raiders. New York in off their bye week. You have to think that they are going to get Barkley more touches. Kid is electric. And that will open things up for Eli to at least complete pass to another unworldly talent in ODB. And I say that as someone who can't stand the G-Men. But those 2 guys are great. I know the race is on for a top pick, but this team has too many veterans and attitudes to mail it in. I saw 2 spots with conflicting SF trends. 2-9-1 ATS last 12 as a fave and 1-12 ATS last 13 as fave. So maybe they used different closing numbers. In taking NYG, I am under the impression that their HC gets away from relying on Eli and moves more to the RB he took at the top of the draft. Rested dog gets the call in Prime Time. 5* Best Bet NY GIANTS |
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11-11-18 | Dolphins v. Packers -10 | Top | 12-31 | Win | 100 | 20 h 30 m | Show |
Taking the PACKERS. Not a fan of laying double digits that's for sure. Especially with a coach I hate. And this guy ranks up there with his brothers from Dallas, Chargers and Denver. But this QB is a beast. He actually is getting some RB help. I like when A-Aron is angry. This Miami team is like a JV club coming to town after the Patriots and Rams. Miami does have a pretty schedule if you look at records and who they have to play. They are projected to be a AFC 6 seed. GB with Seattle and Minny on deck. They can't overlook an AFC team. They can't overlook anyone when you are 3-4. Dolphins needed a lot of extra help, as in 4 INTs to get a win over the Jets (Miami my Top 10 LW)- And I am grateful for the win. But that shouldn't inspire much confidence as they come to a cold city with Brock leading the troops. If Osweiler keeps Miami in striking distance I will really be shocked. 5* Best Bet GB PACKERS |
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11-11-18 | Chargers -10 v. Raiders | Top | 20-6 | Win | 103 | 19 h 23 m | Show |
Taking the CHARGERS. Yes. Very tough laying this with the Chargers since I can't stand their HC and I don't think they know they need a placekicker to score points. But it is clear that the Raiders are checked out and looking forward to Vegas. Picking up draft picks and cutting vets. Rivers having a monster year. Gordon back. LAC can name their score. I'm thinking something like 27-6. 8* Sure Shot LA CHARGERS (took me 3 times to write this as I keep putting SD instead of LA) |
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11-11-18 | Patriots v. Titans +7 | 10-34 | Win | 100 | 27 h 39 m | Show | |
Taking the TITANS. Uh. Going against Brady and friends. Never really a wise move. We did cash with the Patriots over Green Bay last time out and failed to cover as we had Dallas Monday night. (Side note, only loss for me on a 4-1 Super Contest day currently 18th overall out of 3200 people) So we have seen ex Pats in the form of Lions HC get the better of their former mates. We have that again today. Plenty of ex NE's on the Titans side of the field. Tennessee lost 35-14 to NE in last years playoffs. This years team is bad on offense. I get it. But the defense is a top unit. I think they hang here. Have to grab the TD with a home dog who knows their way around the Patriots thinking. 4* Money Maker TENNESSEE TITANS |
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11-11-18 | Jaguars +3 v. Colts | 26-29 | Push | 0 | 16 h 24 m | Show | |
Taking the JAGUARS. I get we have 2 teams that look totally different right now. Jax off their bye week. Licking their wounds. Benching QBs. Pointing fingers. Train running off the tracks. While Indy looks like things are great with Luck healthy and back behind center. They have 2 straight beating the Raiders and the Bills. Not exactly NFL royalty. This team gave up 42 points to the Jets and were in the throes of a 4 game losing streak when Buffalo arrived with Derek Anderson at QB who they pulled out of a rest home. This is the Jaguars season. The defense did an awful lot of talking and has produced just 7 TOs after 33 last year. Time to step up and Jax has had success vs the Colts. Jags 6-0 ATS last 6 in the series. 8-3 ATS last 11 in Indy. Will also be looking at the Under in this game. 4* Money Maker JACKSONVILLE JAGUARS |
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11-11-18 | Saints v. Bengals +6 | Top | 51-14 | Loss | -105 | 26 h 24 m | Show |
Taking the BENGALS. Now. We are 6-1 when betting Saints game. Had TB in Game 1, lost our fade of them vs NYG. In this spot, I will again go against them. More a situational spot more than anything. NO comes in winners of 7 straight. A tough come from behind win over Baltimore on the road. And ugly win at Minny. Then, shooting out to a fast lead, only to the Rams tie it up at 35, before winning by 10. That is an emotional run the last couple weeks. And, Super Bowl Champion, Philadelphia Eagles on deck. Losing out of conference isn't a bad loss by any stretch. Maybe a slight look ahead. Cincy in off their bye week. Dome team outdoors. Bengals quietly the most efficient red-zone team in the league. Again. Ravens missed a PAT that would have forced OT. Vikes turned the ball over at the worse time. Rattling off 10 points after a Rams rally. You need some luck to go along with talent to win. But you can't get that every time you suit up. 10* Money Bomb CINCINNATI BENGALS |
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11-05-18 | Titans v. Cowboys -4 | Top | 28-14 | Loss | -110 | 33 h 34 m | Show |
Taking the COWBOYS. I know a lot of people all over Titans. Right off the bat, gut tells me to go opposite of that thinking. I like Dallas. Am a fan. Hate their HC. Guy wasted Romo's career. Can't manage the clock, timeouts and plays to tie instead of winning. Even after that, I will lay the number tonight. Both teams off byes. A reason why I a like the over, which was 40.5 when I put it out, now 40, even a 39.5 creeping up. I think out of the bye we see some more wrinkles in the offenses. Points will be scored. The Cooper trade - people have opinions on. Getting out of Oakland will help. Dak can throw the ball. I think this is a good pickup. Won't be shocked when he scores a TD on MNF. Just him on the field will open things up for Zeke out of the backfield. I think Dallas gets over 30 tonight. At 6.5, I was leaning Titans early, now at 4. Last home game 40-7 over Jacksonville. Everyone moving on Tennessee now has me heading to cash my ticket in the opposite direction. 5* Best Bet DALLAS COWBOYS |
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11-04-18 | Packers v. Patriots -5.5 | Top | 17-31 | Win | 100 | 79 h 42 m | Show |
Taking the PATRIOTS. First to admit we scored a gift cover on Monday night with the New England. Sure did look NE was going through the motions against the Bills. Not doing anything fancy. FGs all over the place. Just enough to escape with the win. While last we saw GB fighting to the absolute bitter end vs the Rams. That kind of loss hurts. Hurts so much they cut people. Rodgers is one of the best. Brady arguably The Best. Cross Country back to back road games. Tough for sure as the Packers head to Gillette. Do you really feel comfortable backing McCarthy over The Hoodie? He'll do something stupid. Pats by 10. 8* Sure Shot NEW ENGLAND PATRIOTS |
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11-04-18 | Chiefs v. Browns +9.5 | 37-21 | Loss | -110 | 72 h 35 m | Show | |
Taking the BROWNS. Have to take these home dogs today. So - Every pundit, fan, tv talking head said how Hue Jackson was the worse coach in the NFL. Well, time to find out. If that was the case, just him being removed should up the players. If he was still here, what is the line, 12? 15? New OC along for the ride. Gregg Williams the DC now the top dawg. KC with Browns than Arizona. So should be a couple of cupcake wins. And perhaps today will be. I am betting on the players in this spot. Big number to lay on the road and Chiefs can still walk out with a W and not cover. 4* Money Maker CLEVELAND BROWNS |
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11-04-18 | Lions v. Vikings -5 | Top | 9-24 | Win | 100 | 116 h 10 m | Show |
Taking the VIKINGS. So, we had the Saints on Sunday and even though the scoreboard was all New Orleans, Minny wasn't terrible. If you tell anyone that Brees is tossing for 120 yards - that Ingram and Kamara are going 26 for 108, I would be worries NO is run out of town. But, turnovers hurt. So this is now a huge game for the Vikings. And normally, I might be thinking of taking the Lions. Heck. We lost with them last week. And have been on, and off them, in previous games. What really sticks out for me is that Detroit has thrown in the towel. As I write this they just trade their best WR in Golden Tate- Maybe there is a good reason. But at 3-4, with Minny 4-3-1 and Bears 4-3 GB 3-4-1 ahead of them, why send up the white flag? I don't get it one bit. A big take away from Sunday was the way Minny defended the run. And now the Lions will really lean on RB Kerryon Johnson. Again. Back to Minny being in a desperate spot. While Detroit looks to me they are throwing in the towel. 5* Best Bet MINNESOTA VIKINGS |
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11-04-18 | Jets v. Dolphins -3 | Top | 6-13 | Win | 105 | 50 h 21 m | Show |
Taking the DOLPHINS. So - I was looking at the under in this game and saying how the Jets, barring that 48 spot at Detroit opening night, have scored 17-12-10 their other 3 road games. 20-12 back in September when these guys played. Brock, Tannehill. I mean for me, it doesn't matter. I have seen Brock put 23-21-28 up in his 3 games. NYJ missing some key guys. Powell gone for year. WRs Enunwa down and Anderson banged up. CB Johnson limited. Stills is probably out for Miami. I just think we see a big RB attack from Gore and Drake from the Dolphins. That keeps the pressure to a minimum on Brock. Miami with the extra rest of the loss at Houston. Can't discount that time to brush up on a rookie QB and his habits. 10* AFC East GOY MIAMI DOLPHINS |
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11-01-18 | Raiders +3 v. 49ers | 3-34 | Loss | -110 | 32 h 15 m | Show | |
Taking the RAIDERS. Ugh.. Glutton for punishment. Had these guys last week. So they battled back from down 10-0 in the first. Took a 14-10 lead. A 21-13 lead. A 28-21 lead. They just couldn't hold on. Luck is better than whoever the Niners trot out behind center. SF defense nothing to smile about. The rebuild is on for Oakland. But I don't think we see any quit in these guys - Especially on a stand alone game where the entire league is watching. 4* Money Maker OAKLAND RAIDERS |
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10-29-18 | Patriots -13.5 v. Bills | 25-6 | Win | 100 | 70 h 30 m | Show | |
Taking the PATRIOTS. Laying 2 TDs, on the road, is far from a recipe of success in NFL sports betting. But I will bite the ugly sandwich tonight. So, we cashed NE last week as we held off a hail-Mary prayer. Are the Pats a team that are going to be pumped about a 1-1 road trip. Bills first MNF game in 10 years. Is Derek Anderson!! Derek Anderson putting up 20 points today? Nate Peterman! Pats last 4 games here. 23-3 last year. 41-25 2016. 40-32 2015. 37-22 2014. Let's look at the Bills points scored their last 4 games 5-13-13-0.. Honestly. Maybe this is a total sucker play. And I like to fancy my self a bit of sharp, or pro player as I love my dogs. And I have taken ugly dogs most of my life. But if you are saying that Brady, even without Sony Michael can't put up 24-30 points tonight, I will humbly disagree. Under should be looked at also. 4* Money Maker NE PATRIOTS |
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10-28-18 | Saints -1 v. Vikings | Top | 30-20 | Win | 100 | 46 h 47 m | Show |
Taking the SAINTS. Yes. Tough taking a team in back to back to roadies. Especially they won they battled back. How much do they have in the tank? Well. I don't ever sell Brees short. Guy is a beast. No way in hell do these forget that miracle playoff win for Minny last year. (I had Minny!) But this Vikings team as well as they have played of late, to me, a paper tiger. 3 INTs of rookie Darnold. 1 INT from rookie Rosen. And I love this HC. You know this. Had them both of those weeks. But the injury bug has me concerned here. Brees is going to put points up even on good defenses. And he has a RB combo that alleviates a lot of pressure. Minny missing Joseph is tough. Barr adds to it. Rhodes is whipped cream on top. Normally, missing a guy won't really have anything to do with my thought process (unless it is a QB). But the collective of those 3 hurt the defense. And New Orleans, coming in with bad memories, is not a team you want to come in under manned against. Tough road coming from Baltimore and with Rams on deck. But I am siding with the road team to win this thing. 5* Best Bet NO SAINTS |
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10-28-18 | Colts v. Raiders +3 | 42-28 | Loss | -100 | 18 h 50 m | Show | |
Taking the RAIDERS and will sprinkle ML +150ish on these guys. Off their bye week. They are done right? Trucked in London by Seattle. Traded Cooper. Carr crying. Heck. Who wouldn't be crying getting mauled every week. This is just their 3rd 'home' game. 33-13 losers to Rams. They looked good out of the gate! - 45-42 over the Browns in that wild game. And that Seattle-London game was a home game. Colts defense nothing pretty. I'll tell you what you should already know. Cooper wasn't doing much here. I think TE Cook really gets things going now. Can we get a Jordy Nelson TD this year? As we always say. No team is as bad, or good as they look the week before. The look ahead number was I think 1 or 1.5 Raiders favorite. Now they are a full 3 and in some spots you can get 3.5. Colts were laying 7 to the Bills last week. Would you be laying 9 or 10 with Indy at home in this spot? Clear overreaction. Doggy outright possible. 4* Money Maker OAKLAND RAIDERS |
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10-28-18 | Jets v. Bears -7 | 10-24 | Win | 100 | 99 h 42 m | Show | |
Taking the BEARS. Faded both of these guys last week and it paid off. Will take Chicago based on their defense and facing a rookie QB on the road. Bears have their own young QB. But we have seen him score at home - On the road as a fave, a bit different for Chicago. But at home vs a team that is a little banged up. This is a big number when you think the Jets put up 48 on the road at Detroit and then 42 and 35 at home vs Colts and Broncos. Bears defense a bit better though in my opinion. 4* Money Maker CHICAGO BEARS |
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10-28-18 | Ravens v. Panthers +2.5 | 21-36 | Win | 105 | 15 h 55 m | Show | |
Taking the PANTHERS. You can lay the -120 for +3. But I will grab +105. Heck. ML should be sprinkled in. I am not betting on Carolina to lose when I am getting 2 points. So two teams in off drastic outcomes. Panthers rally for huge win over defending Champs. Ravens blow lead late and then score TD to tie things up. But their automatic HOF kicker misses! Oh the humanity. Look. 4th road game in 5 games for Baltimore. Steelers on deck for them. Winning is important. But next week is the 'bigger' game for the Ravens. Panthers have covered 6 of their last 8 at home. And those 2 were them as faves. I'll back my tough home dog every time. 4* Money Maker CAROLINA PANTHERS |
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10-28-18 | Redskins +1 v. Giants | Top | 20-13 | Win | 100 | 98 h 24 m | Show |
Taking the REDSKINS. The sell off is on for the Giants. Now, I did have them ML on Monday night. Put a fork in them. ODB is going to have a tantrum. Eli will be hitting the bench. Sitting at 1-6, the life has been sucked out of the season. Send in the clowns. Washington off a win because Jason Garrett still doesn't know how to coach. Skins have to smell blood in the water against their hated rivals. I can't see New York 'circling the wagons' to save the season. Not happening. All in on the Redskins Sunday afternoon. 10* Money Bomb WASHINGTON REDSKINS |
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10-28-18 | Seahawks v. Lions -3 | Top | 28-14 | Loss | -100 | 39 h 36 m | Show |
Taking the LIONS. Cashed these guys last week as our Top 10* Money-Bomb - Will roll with them as a Best Bet today. Detroit has been in the money the last 5 weeks. We have been all over with this team. Faded them vs Jets, NE, Dallas. Backed them vs GB and Miami. And here we are again. This is quietly a decent team. Seattle gets a lot of love. Yes, they are off their bye week. Last we saw them beating up the Raiders in England. I am not sold. Russell Wilson is great. I give that guy a lot of crap, but man, he is an excellent player. By himself, makes this team competitive. What I have liked as the season has progressed from Detroit is the run game. And the fact they are finally using it to help Stafford. Lions have to be confident that they can make a move in the division. I know there are many on Seattle. Matt Patricia stole a Super Bowl from Carroll with that INT. Cowboys lucked into a win over these guys or Detroit would have 4 straight wins. Buying on the small home fave. 5* Best Bet DETROIT LIONS |
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10-28-18 | Eagles v. Jaguars +3.5 | 24-18 | Loss | -115 | 95 h 7 m | Show | |
Taking the JAGUARS. Well. Could be easy to say - Oh, Bortles stinks. He was benched last week. Team is in turmoil. I think this is just what they need. Escape to London where they have played 5 straight years, wining 3 in a row. Scoring a grand total of 28 points in 3 straight losses some may say we are nuts for backing Jax. But do the Eagles really deserve to be faves here on a neutral? What would the line be at Philly? Are they THAT much better than the Jags? 2-5 ATS for Philly. Jax as a dog much better bet than when they are faves. Won't be shocked by an outright win. 4* Money Maker JACKSONVILLE JAGUARS |
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10-21-18 | Rams -8.5 v. 49ers | 39-10 | Win | 100 | 20 h 1 m | Show | |
Taking the RAMS. Will admit that SF has not been kind to me this year. I cashed fading them in Week 1 vs Minny. I lost backing them in KC. I had the Chargers and SF came out with firing. I had the Cardinals as a dog outright winner. I had GB on MNF. And I will again lay a large number fading the home dog. Look. These guys have shown fight as big dogs. But that was a tough loss to swallow in Lambeau as time expires. I guess they will be pumped to face a division foe. Rams playing their 3rd straight road game coming out of Mile High. But they pretty much cruised in that game. I can see a big effort here as SF did win last year when LA sat guys in a New Year's Eve home loss. Rams have been in some close games lately and appear to be just going through the motions at times. With GB at home and trip to New Orleans coming up, I think McVay is going to want to see a complete game from both units for an entire 60 minutes. 4* Money Maker LA RAMS |
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10-21-18 | Saints +3 v. Ravens | Top | 24-23 | Win | 100 | 42 h 20 m | Show |
Taking the SAINTS. Almost went +135 on the ML here. NO comes in off their bye week. Ravens home after 3 tough road games. Now normally, I am fading the Saints outside, especially in the cold weather cities. But we aren't in the bad weather or the extreme cold yet. And in case you haven't noticed, the Saints have a pair of RBs so their HOF QB does not need to throw for 450 yards a game. Ravens defense, stingy, to say the least. But this is a tough assignment to come home to. 7-1-1 ATS off their bye week are the New Orleans Saints. Mariota, Mayfield, Keenum, Allen/Peterman. Not exactly elite QBs of the league. Cincy on the short week doesn't really rate into my thinking. Saints clicking right now and have to grab the points. 5* Best Bet NEW ORLEANS SAINTS |
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10-21-18 | Vikings -3.5 v. Jets | 37-17 | Win | 100 | 40 h 49 m | Show | |
Taking the VIKINGS. Will the real Minnesota Vikings please stand up? Look. I like the Jets. They are in my own backyard. I like the HC even though people hate him. I think the QB will be good. This is an exciting team. That being said, I had Minny as one of the top 2,3 teams in the NFC to get to the Super Bowl. I didn't have the Jets in that conversation. Back to Bowles. The guy is 7-1-1 ATS as a home dog with 5 outright wins. 2 nice home wins over Indy and Denver as this is their 3rd straight home game. Again. As a big dog guy this hurts fading a money making home puppy. But Minny has had their hiccups. Better defense. Better QB. And, I love the HC. 4* Money Maker MINNESOTA VIKINGS |
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10-21-18 | Patriots -2.5 v. Bears | Top | 38-31 | Win | 100 | 40 h 55 m | Show |
Taking the PATRIOTS. So NE has lost at the Jags (revenge spot their Super Bowl) and at Detroit (vs old DC in a desperate spot). Oh. Patriots also didn't have much at the WR position. Yes, they are off a wild one against KC. But this Bears team is not in that offensive level. But the defense is elite. Or it was until facing the Brocketman in Miami. Bears blew a win at Green Bay. Eked by the Cardinals. Walloped Tampa, and beat a Seattle team that I really don't what to think of. I know that the Patriots take zero games off. NE was up 24-9 before over KC. I see a trendy Bears 8-1-1 ATS home dog run. But some of those lines were easily double this number. Are the Patriots not winning on the road this year? NE 14-5 ATS last 19 on the road. I know that the trendy, and 'wise guy' move will be to play on the Bears. But like the spot we took NE at home over the Dolphins, if the dynasty is truly over, then I will go down with it in this game. 5* Best Bet NEW ENGLAND PATRIOTS |
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10-21-18 | Lions -3 v. Dolphins | Top | 32-21 | Win | 100 | 39 h 22 m | Show |
Taking the LIONS. So Detroit HC was a DC for Pats in the AFC East and may have a bit of insight to Miami. Brock behind center again. And listen. Somehow, we cashed Miami last week as a home dog with him starting. And I will gladly take that. But we have Detroit, off their bye week in town. So after they edged out GB at home on some missed FGs, they got to relax and in the process the 'let-down game' to follow is pushed aside. Instead, they get film on a guy, a QB, who got a 72 MILLION Dollar contract from the Texans. Who benched him that same year for, Tom Savage! Then was traded to the Browns, who released him!! 5 teams (Denver twice) in 5 years. That alone has me fading the Dolphins. I think Miami has a decent defense. But the Lions will do enough to get us out of here with the cover this afternoon. 10* Money Bomb DETROIT LIONS |
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10-21-18 | Titans +7 v. Chargers | 19-20 | Win | 100 | 14 h 34 m | Show | |
Taking the TITANS. We are also on the UNDER in this game. But the more I think of this, the more I have to jump in just for a small play on Tennessee. They looked absolutely brutal last week vs the Ravens. And we all now that nobody is as good or bad as they appeared the week before. I have been on both sides of Chargers games this season. This just seems like a flat spot for them 5447 miles from home. 4* Money Maker TENNESSEE TITANS |
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10-18-18 | Broncos -1 v. Cardinals | 45-10 | Win | 100 | 31 h 50 m | Show | |
Taking the BRONCOS here. A rough NFL last week. Still at 61% on the year. And quite frankly, normally I am hovering around .500 this time of year as the dogs really don't come out to play for me until December (hello 76% 31-10 last December!!) 76% !! - So, as good as the start of the season has been, it will only get stronger and better as we move forward. Ok - onto Denver. For me. This is it for the Broncos. A couple feel good home loss moral victories to KC and the Rams don't have HC's keep their jobs. Joseph, I think, will be canned if he loses this one tonight. No reason to wait till a bye week or end of the year. So this will it for him. I expect a no holds barred totally effort tonight. Offense letting loose. Risky, ballsy play calling all over the place for the Broncos. - Now, for Arizona. They cost me a win in the Super Contest as they manage to lose by 10 for a push in the contest. A defensive TD hurts. And you can look, and say, hey, this team is playing tough. They are in these games. And yes. We have cashed with Rosen and the Cards as a home dog vs the Bears, and on the road vs San Fran. I just look at this anemic offense and can't see them doing much. I think Von Miller terrorizes Rosen tonight. At least Arizona is breaking in not only a rookie QB, but a rookie HC. Can't see them firing Wilks this season, even as bad as he has made this team look. 4* Money Maker DENVER BRONCOS |
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10-15-18 | 49ers v. Packers -9.5 | 30-33 | Loss | -109 | 101 h 29 m | Show | |
Taking the PACKERS. Do you think this makes me happy? Laying big numbers like this in the NFL - after having our Top GOW on the Lions fading this Green Bay team? - Well, that week is behind. New week. New teams playing. I think Rodgers is getting ready to bring his fury done on the HC. McCarthy probably on the way out after this season. Favre and Rodgers for 20 years and you get 2 Super Bowl wins. What a disgrace. Cousins, Alex Smith, Stafford all a bit better than CJ Beathard. The defense should be able to do something here at home on Monday Night. Bye week up next so GB must exhibit some kind of life. Last time here, they beat up the Bills pretty good. Should see more of the same vs a banged up San Fran team. I took NE a couple weeks ago laying points at home to Miami. Said, if it's over, I will go down with one last swing on a legend. So, I say again. If Rodgers and this GB is officially on the outs, I will go down with a last swing when they know everyone thinks they are down and out on MNF. 4* Money Maker GREEN BAY PACKERS |
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10-14-18 | Chiefs v. Patriots -3 | Top | 40-43 | Push | 0 | 78 h 41 m | Show |
Taking the PATRIOTS. Not going to jump on the trending dog in this spot. Going with the veteran HOFer to win this one by 10. I'm not saying KC isn't a decent team or Mahomes isn't good. But beating the Chargers who find new ways to lose every week, a struggling Steelers team, the Niners, pulling out a late win at Denver and getting 5 TOs from the Jags isn't putting them to the top of my charts. Especially with the worse defense in the league giving up over 460 yards a game. Patriots with extra rest last covering for us on Thursday night vs Colts. Also with revenge from opening day loss last year. 8* Sure Shot NE PATRIOTS |
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10-14-18 | Jaguars v. Cowboys +3.5 | 7-40 | Win | 100 | 19 h 30 m | Show | |
Taking DALLAS, again. Got a win with these guys last week by a hook. I hate Garrett. You already know this from previous write ups. Draft Zeke and don't go for a win on the road in short yardage. Unbelievable. I nearly put this out +150 on the ML. Because that is what is going to happen. Dallas will be up late. And maybe Garrett pulls a Garret and they lose by 1 on a late FG. But how can you back Bortles laying points. I know he can't be worse than last week. But KC has no defense. At least Dallas has some guys to pressure the QB. Maybe they will get some INTs in the secondary eventually. Dak mobile enough not to be a sitting duck vs this defense. We need him to produce at least 1 TD in the air today. I get it. At first look, you have to play the Jags off that terrible game. But this is a back to back road game, out of conference. Big home game vs Houston up next. We either steal this or keep it close enough to cover. 4* Money Maker DALLAS COWBOYS |
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10-14-18 | Cardinals v. Vikings -10 | 17-27 | Push | 0 | 63 h 23 m | Show | |
Taking the VIKINGS. Have we finally the real deal from these guys yet? A nice road win over Philly hopefully gets them on track. Having a shot to tee off at home vs a pasty like Arizona should really get this team humming. We did have Arizona last week as a nice win at San Fran. I don't see them scoring like that today. 26 points in the final 7 minutes? Minny will not overlook the Cards. Hello. They got trucked here by a terrible Buffalo team 27-6. You think they are taking things for granted? They beat San Fran in Week 1 in a miracle cover for us. A tie at Green Bay. Tough spot short week vs Rams, loser 38-31, before last weeks win 23-21 that seemed closer than it was with a late Eagles TD. At home today, I expect for the defense to finally show some teeth vs a rookie QB. Rosen, and his Arizona teammates in an early time slot. How about 0-10 ATS run at this hour of the day? I had Minny pegged as a Super Bowl contender. Time for them to right the ship. Can't see Arizona getting to 17 points. 4* Money Maker MINNESOTA VIKINGS |
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10-14-18 | Panthers v. Redskins +1.5 | 17-23 | Win | 100 | 17 h 42 m | Show | |
Taking the REDSKINS. Public love what is fresh in their minds. And what is fresh is Drew Brees and his record breaking performance last week. Skins walked into a buzz saw on Monday night. We knew that. We had the Saints. That game is what people think of Washington. They don't remember the Panthers sleepwalking against the Giants. We backed the Panthers last week with extra prep time and they need a 63 yard FG to walk out of their home stadium with a win. Giants are bad. I know that. I had them on Thursday night. Washington is a tough team. They knocked off GB (we had Skins) here already. Last game on the road, the Panthers gave the Falcons their lone win on the year. I think Alex Smith leads Washington to victory this afternoon. 4* Money Maker WASHINGTON REDSKINS |
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10-14-18 | Colts +2.5 v. Jets | 34-42 | Loss | -115 | 17 h 32 m | Show | |
Taking the COLTS. I am kicking myself for not taking the Jets last week over Denver. But I will easily fade NY off that game. Colts with extra rest since we faded them in that Thursday night game vs New England. Have to love any defense getting any extra prep time facing a rookie QB. And as much as I like the pick for NY, and think he is a franchise QB, the kid has a long way to go. Yes, Jets rushed for over 300 yards last week - 200+ from Cromwell. He is a 'questionable' with an ankle problem that kept him out of practice until Friday. Darnold 10-22 for 198. 76 on 1 play. So that is 9-21 for 122 - That won't win many games as a favorite. I'm not a fan of the Colts or Luck. But I think they are a decent play on team as the season progresses and he gets back in the swing of things. In this spot, just have to fade NY as small home faves. You know I don't like backing home teams giving less than 3. Being on the road 4 times in 5 weeks is tough for Indy. But the extra time off from the last game I think off-sets some of that. 4* Money Maker INDY COLTS |
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10-14-18 | Bills v. Texans -10 | 13-20 | Loss | -100 | 16 h 14 m | Show | |
Taking the TEXANS. Not trying to make a habit of taking double digit faves in the NFL. That isn't healthy for long term bankroll. But I will fade the Bills here. So we Houston win last Sunday (had Dallas +3.5) in a game that both coaches appear to try to lose. I know the Bills somehow knocked off Minny at home. We saw what happened last time they traveled. 22-0 at Green Bay. A defense nothing like this one. Texans still bring the defense. And the Bills sure don't bring much offense. 47-3 in that Ravens win over Buffalo we had in Week 1. I can see something like that today. Same kind of defense. Back to Back OT games is not what the doctor ordered for sure. Add in Jaguars on deck and this good be like Minny looking ahead to the Rams. Rookie Josh Allen is just too erratic with zero NFL quality receivers. 53% completions. 2 TD 5 INTs. 23-10 gets us a cover. I see plenty of short field opportunities for Texans today. 4* Money Maker HOUSTON TEXANS |
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10-14-18 | Bears v. Dolphins +4 | Top | 28-31 | Win | 100 | 63 h 16 m | Show |
Taking the DOLPHINS. So, wasn't that long ago we faded the Bears on the road against Arizona. Will do the same today. Can't trust Mitch as a favorite on the road. This Miami team has been pretty good as we try to forget blowing a 17-0 lead on the road last week. Yes, Bears off their bye week. But I think that hurts them as they looked unstoppable in that 48-10 destruction of Tampa. People love what they see. They see Miami blowing leads and the Bears scoring 40+. Have to grab the home dogs. 5* Best Bet MIAMI DOLPHINS |
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10-11-18 | Eagles v. Giants +3 | Top | 34-13 | Loss | -110 | 22 h 19 m | Show |
Taking the GIANTS tonight. Now. I know you are wondering why we aren't just getting some +130 ML with the G-Men. Well, you should already know that I hate both of these teams. But I don't let my heart or feelings really get in the way of backing teams that make me ill. Plus, these are the Giants. I crashed and burned with them in home dog spot vs the Saints where they failed to show up. Then they rip my heart out last week as they put up a fight vs Carolina. What I am 100% certain of is fading the Eagles. I said this last year after Wentz went down. How could they say he would be ready by the start of the season. It's now mid-October and he still looks out of sync. Their WR situation doesn't help. Nor does the depleted RB field. Home dogs I believe are along the lines of 16-7 so far this NFL season. We have cashed with them plenty of times. Eagles now 1-6-1 ATS last 8 as faves. NYG 6-3 ATS last 9 as division home puppies. Both teams in the proverbial 'must win' spot. But only 1 is the home dog in this bitter rivalry. 5* Best Bet NY GIANTS |
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10-08-18 | Redskins v. Saints -6 | 19-43 | Win | 100 | 8 h 30 m | Show | |
Taking the SAINTS tonight. Have to say, and you should know this with me by now. Hate, hate hate, laying less than a TD with the home team. Cause all I used to here from every day sports bettors was, oh man, Saints win by a TD no problem. Now, after sitting in a sports book in Jersey for 14 hours, it is 100 times WORSE!! That being said, I still think New Orleans gets it done tonight. Brees should be able to set some records tonight. The dome will be rocking. As good as the Redskins defense appears on paper (3rd in total defense), facing Arizona, the Colts, who they lost to at home, and then beating GB (and lets be honest people. GB is not that good this year - Top 10* on Lions yesterday and had Redskins over them) is a lot different than Brees at home. I do like Alex Smith. The guy doesn't make mistakes, and we also know that the Saints defense gives up points. I just think we have too many horses out of the stable tonight in what should be a high scoring affair. Also like the Over tonight - 2 winners 1 great price! 4* Money Maker NEW ORLEANS SAINTS |
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10-07-18 | Cowboys +3.5 v. Texans | Top | 16-19 | Win | 100 | 54 h 16 m | Show |
Taking DALLAS. A battle for Texas. With arguably the 2 worse coaches in NFL. Though fans of the Browns, Chargers, Broncos and Cardinals might chip in their two cents. Garrett plays scared and what should have been a Cowboys cover for us turns into a loser. But for the Texans, well O'Brian really takes the cake. I will be on the Under 45 here also. Since I think we see a steady diet of Elliot from Dallas. When he isn't pounding the ball, I think we see him catch about 10 passes out to he backfield. Cowboys have a decent defense. Better than the Texans clinging to their history. After their OT win snapped a 9 game slide, Houston now a 2-12 run their last 14. 2-12! (4-10 ATS) I know Watson is suppose to be the savior for the Texans. They need OT at Indy to get to 1-3 this year. Can't trust them as a fave. We are catching a hook which helps the cause. 8* Sure Shot DALLAS COWBOYS |
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10-07-18 | Cardinals +4 v. 49ers | 28-18 | Win | 100 | 51 h 34 m | Show | |
Taking ARIZONA. Going ugly in late action. I'll grab a rookie QB on the road. How do you trust the Niners in this spot? Oh you say. They nearly beat the Chargers last week. CJ Beathard is not going to salvage this season for San Fran. SF with some OL injuries starting to mount. Arizona has actually won 6 straight in this series. Best player on the field, Card RB David Johnson. Rosen gets his first win. 4* Money Maker ARIZONA CARDINALS |
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10-07-18 | Raiders v. Chargers -4.5 | 10-26 | Win | 100 | 50 h 19 m | Show | |
Taking the CHARGERS. So typical Chargers they nearly lose as double digit faves vs SF and a back up QB in his first start of the year. Now they face a familiar foe in division rival Raiders. Oakland got a huge OT win in what should have been a home loss to Cleveland. If an NFL game was 1 quarter, Raiders would be a perfect 4-0. But it's not. They look terrible at times. Chargers 4-1 ATS last 5 in the series. Probably will see a bunch of points as both defense have to make a stop this season. 4* Money Maker LA CHARGERS |
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10-07-18 | Titans v. Bills +5 | 12-13 | Win | 100 | 62 h 42 m | Show | |
Taking the BILLS. Ok. Have to be honest. This line scares me a bit. I was all in ML on Buffalo when they were getting 3. Now it has risen to 5. That isn't Joe Public money coming in. But that edge is gone for Titans backers at a FG. It was a what I thought, and probably many others, a prime let down spot. Upsetting Super Bowl Champs at home in OT. That was a very nice win while the Bills were out getting drilled again. Will probably be on the Under 40 also. 4* Money Maker BUFFALO BILLS |
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10-07-18 | Giants v. Panthers -6 | Top | 31-33 | Loss | -108 | 62 h 39 m | Show |
Taking the PANTHERS. Had the Giants last week and they laid an egg at home. Now they face Carolina off their bye week. Give me the rested team. Not happy with the line, but will still back Cam and friends. This NYG team has had trouble now for the last couple years scoring. Panthers always bring defense to the party. Should be a 10pt win for the home team today. 5* Best Bet CAROLINA PANTHERS |
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10-07-18 | Falcons v. Steelers -3 | Top | 17-41 | Win | 100 | 4 h 36 m | Show |
Late add here at about 930 Sunday morning. Taking the STEELERS. Yeah, we are going 10*. I was tossing and turning on this all week. Simple cause both teams 'need' a win was one of the reasons I chose to try and avoid it. But as I get ready for my sons football game today, I think of his teams advantages. And I just can't not think of how Big Ben has the WRs to destroy this leaky Falcons secondary. We saw it last week in their home loss. We saw it the week before in their home OT loss. Now a dome team is outside vs an always physical bunch coming off being humiliated at home on SNF. 10* Money Bomb PITTSBURGH STEELERS |
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10-04-18 | Colts v. Patriots -10 | 24-38 | Win | 100 | 10 h 37 m | Show | |
Taking the PATRIOTS. I am also on Under 51 here. And like I said in that write up. Pats working their WRs back into the flow. Gronk a little banged up. But we still have Brady. And I have zero respect for Luck and the Colts on the road right now. They have a ton of guys banged up. And who knows, maybe they all play and everyone is healthy. I still think the Pats put up 27 points. I can't see Indy getting more than 17. 4* Money Maker NEW ENGLAND PATRIOTS |
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09-30-18 | Ravens +3 v. Steelers | Top | 26-14 | Win | 100 | 59 h 58 m | Show |
Taking the RAVENS. Not sold one bit on the Steelers. Baltimore cashed for us nicely last week, (had Bucks on MNF). Ravens 5-1-1 last 7 ATS in the series. Pitt won both last year. Probably see some points tonight, but in the end, we get that outright win. 5* Best Bet BALTIMORE RAVENS |
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09-30-18 | 49ers v. Chargers -10 | 27-29 | Loss | -110 | 55 h 39 m | Show | |
Taking the CHARGERS. Not really a fan of laying 2 scores. But I think this is a spot where Rivers and the company drop 30+. Let's toss out the huge loss of Jimmy G. That has to suck the wind out what was thought by some to be a playoff bound season. We have see the CJ Beathard show behind center. Didn't we see an 0-9 start and he goes 1-5. I see the offense with points of 10-10-10-13 .. 21 at home vs NYG and 23 at Washington in his first start. Not sure how he pulled out 2 TDs. But I can't see him coming in and going toe to toe with Rivers. Chargers defense not elite. But neither are the Niners. 3rd road game in 3 weeks even though it is in state. 4* Money Maker LA CHARGERS |
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09-30-18 | Saints v. Giants +3.5 | Top | 33-18 | Loss | -115 | 55 h 53 m | Show |
Taking the GIANTS. You have to know by now how much I hate NY. But I am not blinded by my heart. They have some major problems. For me here, all about the spot for the Saints. Off a huge OT win at Atlanta. Division rival. Now back to back roadies. Home dog who finally got a win last week as a dog. Saints defense is far from decent and even farther from good. This NY team still has some weapons. Barring a huge shift in weather, (not calling for winds), this game should be wild one. We have cashed fading the Saints in Week 1, and playing them in Week 3. What is clear in all 3 games. They could easily be 3-0 or 0-3. Don't think they should be favored, especially outside on the road. 8* Sure Shot NEW YORK GIANTS |
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09-30-18 | Bengals +4 v. Falcons | 37-36 | Win | 100 | 51 h 54 m | Show | |
Taking the BENGALS. Have to fade the Falcons here. So we backed them against the Eagles and Panthers. But had New Orleans last week and will go against them again this week. That was a tough division game. OT to boot. And you had the ball pushed down your throat for TD in that OT. Injuries starting to mount for Falcons. Always a soft spot for Cincy and I don't know why. They always seem to break my heart as the calendar turns later and later in the fall months. Back to back roadies, and 3rd road game in 3 weeks has me down-grade this a bit. But Cincy has been a strong ATS team in Septembers. (15-6-2) 4* Money Maker CINCINNATI BENGALS |
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09-30-18 | Dolphins v. Patriots -6.5 | 7-38 | Win | 100 | 15 h 43 m | Show | |
Taking the PATRIOTS. Maybe I should have thought more about pupil facing teacher last week. Lions going all out for their coach, who knows a thing or 2 about the Patriots, after having their backs to the wall out of the gate. Well now it is time to back another home team with their backs to the wall. Not saying if NE loses here they can't real off 10 straight when they get their WRs back. But there is no way I can back Miami in this spot. Maybe Brady and Hoodie are on the outs. And if it is, so be it. We have always heard after a loss or 2. Well. this is it. Brady done. Pats done. Dynasty over. It takes a lot for not to be on the Dolphins. When I see 6.5, all I think about is Joe Public saying no way the Pats don't win by a TD. They've lost 2 in a row. They're due! - We all know that sports betting isn't that simple. It is simple for me though. If the end has finally arrived for New England, it will be with me backing them to win by a Touchdown over their division rival. Small play - 4* Money Maker NE PATRIOTS |
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09-30-18 | Lions v. Cowboys -3 | Top | 24-26 | Loss | -100 | 29 h 42 m | Show |
Taking the COWBOYS. Look. This is a difficult call I get it. We look at Dallas, the offense has been terrible, Dak,terrible for a years worth of games. Why will that change now? Well. For me, I really like this spot today. We have the Lions coming in off their Super Bowl. Let's face it. They get humiliated on MNF Opening night. They show up with about a quarter to play in SF to make the score respectable. Then, the game their new HC is probably most worried about. Not the Bears. Or Packers. Or Minny.. No. New England. His former boss. A team that is the Apex predator of all teams. The most hated QB and HC and franchise in all of football. And he only just left a few month ago with all he knew about all his players. Wish I really thought about that more last week cause I would have unloaded ML on the home dogs. So where to go but down? Dallas is the desperate team now. They will be the ones pulling tricks out there pockets. They need to do something, and they need it done yesterday. I am also on this under 44. Because of the Cowboys said woes on offense. But I think this defense is pretty good. They will give Stafford from problems. I see this shaping up to be a 23-13 type of game. 10* Money Bomb DALLAS COWBOYS |
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09-27-18 | Vikings +7.5 v. Rams | 31-38 | Win | 100 | 22 h 20 m | Show | |
Taking the VIKINGS. Maybe this is a sucker play. I see 6.5 in spots, 7. A few 7.5 - For me. A total overreaction line off Minny losing at home to the Bills. No way around it. Do we forget last year in Minny, Rams scored on first drive, then, nothing. 24-7 win with the Vikes scoring 17 in the 4th. This is a HUGE gave for Minnesota. Off a terrible loss. They have a tie. They need a Win. Rams are as talented as any team in the league. Some CB problems now for LA. Cousins needs a good game. He beat the Rams last year while playing for the Redskins. Believe it or not I am also liking the Over 49.5 a bit. Revenge yes for the Rams. But Vikings really with their backs to the wall tonight. 4* Money Maker MINNESOTA VIKINGS |
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09-24-18 | Steelers v. Bucs +1.5 | Top | 30-27 | Loss | -105 | 150 h 41 m | Show |
Taking TAMPA here. I did a video way back in mid-July taking the Bucs in Week 1 over the Saints. Lo and behold not only did they roll the Saints, the come back vs the rested Super Bowl Champs and deliver another outright win as short dogs. Now they get the 0-2 desperate Steelers and again, an ever so slight home dog. I know Pitt needs this win. But this team is in turmoil right now. No Bell. Players calling out Bell. Bryant twitting about getting traded to prove he's good. That is a lot of off shield non-sense. Not to mention their on field play which hasn't been all that spectacular. Enter TB. I said I like FitzMagic behind center better than Crab Legs. Guy is a gritty vet. We saw him lead the Jets to some wins with his veteran presence and players around him. Same spot here. Jackson and Evans are good players with some time under their belts. Something to prove to nay-sayers. OJ Howard had 6 TDs last year. He's a good TE who I think should get to 10 TDs if Fitz is here the entire year. Just a whole different atmosphere in Tampa. Players saying if they are winning, Crabby shouldn't get the starter spot back. Give me the Bucs again. 5* Best Bet TAMPA BAY BUCS |
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09-23-18 | Patriots -6 v. Lions | Top | 10-26 | Loss | -110 | 126 h 53 m | Show |
Taking the PATRIOTS tonight. Not wasting any time getting down on this game. Will probably see some 7s by game time. Hate taking a public team like this, especially in an ESPN spot like this. But I can't fade Brady and Hoodie off a loss. Especially when we see Brady yelling at teammates. Pats don't lose many game a year. Losing to a tough defensive team like the Jags on the road is one thing. Them losing to this Lions team. Not likely. Ex DC faces mentor. Give me BB all day long. This Lions defense hasn't looked good in its first 2 games. Matt STATSford seems to be good only in garbage time. This game to me has 37-20 written all over it. 5* Best Bet NEW ENGLAND PATRIOTS |
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09-23-18 | Bears v. Cardinals +6 | 16-14 | Win | 100 | 54 h 19 m | Show | |
Taking ARIZONA. Going ugly, sure. But do you really have that much faith in this Bears team laying this on the road? This is a big number for a young team. I know they have a good defense. And that is a nice edge. Would it be shocking to see Josh Rosen come in ala Baker Mayfield style and pull out the win this afternoon? I faded the Cards last week against the Rams. But like Week 1, I am back on them at home. It would really help the cause if we used our great RB more. That would really make life easier for whoever is behind center. We have seen the Bears in back to back prime time games. Blowing a lead vs GB and then beating Seattle, who, people still bet on like it's 2014. Public will be all over Chicago. Arizona off one of the worse performances of the season so far. Might also be looking at the Under 38 here. But right now, 4* Money Maker ARIZONA CARDINALS |
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09-23-18 | Saints +3 v. Falcons | 43-37 | Win | 107 | 118 h 21 m | Show | |
Taking the SAINTS early. Should probably go ML for +150 the way we have cashed NFL. But we aren't greedy. We grind out day in, day out. I know NO has not looked good this year. I faded them Week 1. Backed them Week 2. And here we are again. Big edge for me is the Saints staff. We have seen this Atlanta offense sputter for over a year now with their play calling. Maybe Sark opens things up. Even if that is the case, NO has some horses of their own. We haven't really anything close to an 'A' game from New Orleans. Falcons a very good team, but I think they clipped here at home. 4* Money Maker NEW ORLEANS SAINTS |
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09-23-18 | Packers v. Redskins +3.5 | 17-31 | Win | 100 | 68 h 11 m | Show | |
Taking the REDSKINS. Faded these guys in Week 1. Was going to fade them in Week 2 but was worried about any hurricane remaining weather with dome Colts in town. But this is an easy play for me. One. I like Alex Smith. That guy is not going to do anything stupid to hurt you. Two. How about GB's first 2 games this season. A huge come from behind win over the Bears when Rodgers went out, then returned. Last week, they blow a lead. Had a bad call against them. Should have lost on FG. End up in a tie. How do they respond off 2 last second games like that. And hit the road for the first time this season. Plus, you see this line, some 2.5s even. You know just like me. You hear in your sleep, some uniformed troll saying how easy Packers are this week. Same line they said last week in Philly / Tampa game. home dog please. 4* Money Maker |
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09-23-18 | 49ers +7 v. Chiefs | 27-38 | Loss | -105 | 68 h 5 m | Show | |
Taking the NINERS. Faded these guys Week 1 vs Minny and was sweating bullets before pulling out the cover. But Jimmy G can play. And this is a nice number to grab on SF as dogs. KC defense not exactly world beaters. Early line on this was 2, 2.5. Now we are 6.5 and 7. Niners as a dog will always be something I look for. Jimmy G 8-1 SU and 7-2 ATS in his brief career. Against a defense that gives up some points, I'll grab the dogs. 4* Money Maker SF NINERS |
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09-23-18 | Broncos v. Ravens -5 | Top | 14-27 | Win | 100 | 51 h 15 m | Show |
Taking the RAVENS early. Catching Denver in their first road game of the year. 1-9 ATS and SU last 10 on the road. Coming cross country. Off a last second win over the Raiders. We have extra rest. Broncos in my eyes, paper tigers. I think the Ravens are the better team. Plain and simple. Coaching edge in our favor. Defense should be able to contain Keenum. Denver held off a bad Seattle team. They need a miracle comeback vs a Raiders team that in its first 2 games, seem to only show up for 1st halves. No such luck today. 10* Money Bomb BALTIMORE RAVENS |
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09-20-18 | Jets v. Browns -3 | Top | 17-21 | Win | 100 | 26 h 24 m | Show |
Taking the BROWNS. Yeah - You can say it is tough backing a team as a FG fave when they haven't won a home game since Dec 2016! We can say Cleveland could, or should be 2-0 if they had a decent field goal kicker. We can say with certainty that the Browns do have a good defense. And that my friends, is why we are rolling with Cleveland. Tough spot for a rookie QB, on the road, and a short week for the icing on top. Was also thinking about the Under but will just attack the small home fave and build our bankroll. 5* Best Bet CLEVELAND BROWNS |
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09-16-18 | Giants +3 v. Cowboys | Top | 13-20 | Loss | -107 | 81 h 1 m | Show |
Taking the GIANTS tonight. Last week we faded NY in our big GOW and cashed our 10* on the Jags. Well we are on the G-Men for Sunday night. One, I am a Cowboys fan. But I don't let teams I like blind me. Garrett has to go as HC. I have been saying this for the last few years. Anyone who has purchased plays gets a full run down on why he is a terrible coach. Like I said last week. I thought Coughlin would really fire up the players to avenge his firing. Tough spot for NYG against a very good defense. Dallas defense is ok, but nothing like the Jags. Eli has some players to help with ODB back and Barkley in the backfield. Can't count out the banged up Dallas OL. Giants never had problems generating pressure on Cowboy QBs. Dallas O in turmoil. Stacked Ds all year to shut down Zeke and force Dak to beat you with one of the worse WR groups in the league. Giants 5-2 ATS last 7 in the series. 10* Money Bomb DALLAS COWBOYS |
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09-16-18 | Cardinals v. Rams -13 | 0-34 | Win | 100 | 17 h 41 m | Show | |
Taking the RAMS. Will lay this very hefty number. And I'm a dog guy. Especially with a division foe like this. But Arizona looks bad. I had them last week. And maybe this number is pumped up a FG based on how poorly they looked last week. But do we expect a big offensive game here? Fact is, (we had Raiders/Under) the 2nd half of MNF the Rams found their groove on both sides of the ball. This is their home opener. Against a team they demolished last year by a combine score off, stop me if you have heard this 100 times already this week, 66-15. What has changed? Cards bring in a new HC in Steve Wilks, a DC guy. Preseason is one thing. Everyone playing hard for the new regime. Regular season a lot different as every team is playing hard, on every play. Arizona O build around their stud RB. But if Rams get off to a fast start. Which, judging by last year, and 2nd half Monday night, they will. That renders their opponents best player useless. 23 points in the second half. Defense with 3 INTs. I get Bradford is a decent game manager. And you have Fitz at WR, Johnson at RB to try to milk the clock and score some points. But are they putting up over 20? Because I don't see their defense holding the Rams to less than 34. This has 34-13 written all over it. 40-17 wouldn't shock me. 4* Money Maker LA RAMS |
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09-16-18 | Dolphins +3 v. Jets | Top | 20-12 | Win | 100 | 73 h 11 m | Show |
Taking the DOLPHINS here. Have to say. Had the Under in their Game 1. After a few weather delays, we got a shoot out. We did cash the Jets as a nice dog outright. But I think we our getting some value in this spot. Jets looked great. But let's be honest here. Rookie QB now making his second start. Every team looks bad in this division because the Patriots sit a the top. But I think Miami will toss some new wrinkles at the rookie. The defense isn't a bad unit. Offense is decent enough. Again, I think we have extra value based on the Monday night factor. 5* Best Bet MIAMI DOLPHINS |
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09-16-18 | Chiefs v. Steelers -4.5 | Top | 42-37 | Loss | -122 | 25 h 34 m | Show |
Taking the STEELERS. Not going to over react to 5 TOs on the road and a tie at Cleveland. They could have, and probably should have won that game anyway. Now they are home. Big Ben totally different QB at Heinz field. Numbers back it up. Bell loss not the problem in their last game. KC will be in another shoot-out. Difference being, Pitt has a defense that can make stops. Back to back road games for KC. I think this is a 10pt win for the home team. 8* Sure Shot PITTSBURGH STEELERS |
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09-10-18 | Rams v. Raiders +4.5 | 33-13 | Loss | -110 | 78 h 54 m | Show | |
Taking the RAIDERS. Think these guys can score a bit. I am on the Under 49.5 already, but am coming in on the puppy. Not sure what we see out of the Rams as this is a non-conference throw away game with Arizona on deck. Enough points to roll the dice. 4* Money Maker OAKLAND RAIDERS |
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09-10-18 | Jets +6.5 v. Lions | 48-17 | Win | 100 | 269 h 18 m | Show | |
Taking the JETS here on Monday night. Think this team is going to surprise some people this season. Think they have some players on both sides of the ball. For the Lions, a new regime. New HC takes over. And to be honest, I don't think he is some defensive wizard. Wasn't like the Patriots were a Top 5 defense in his time over there. Yeah, they are paying their QB a ton of cash. But I can't see this group being a .500 team. I see this 6.5 and can here every square in NJ at one of the new sportsbooks saying, uh, Jets are crap, Bowles sucks. No way the Lions don't win by a touchdown. 4* Money Maker NY JETS |
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09-09-18 | Cowboys v. Panthers -2.5 | Top | 8-16 | Win | 100 | 53 h 22 m | Show |
Taking CAROLINA. Will grab the Panthers at this price. I like Dallas. Am a Cowboys fan. And they have much better ATS on the road than at home. But this team to me, isn't going to be that good. Unless a couple WRs really have huge years, this is a lost season. Load up the line, control Zeke, let Dak have one of his WRs beat you. That plays well into a good Panthers defense. Not a huge fan of Cam. But the guy has the weapons around him to get us the win and cover this afternoon. 5* Best Bet CAROLINA PANTHERS |
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09-09-18 | Steelers v. Browns +6 | 21-21 | Win | 100 | 145 h 24 m | Show | |
Taking the BROWNS. How many times did this guy kick my nuts in last year with lines I thought were too short. I will subject myself to abuse just once this opening weekend. 4* Money Maker CLEVELAND BROWNS |
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09-09-18 | 49ers v. Vikings -6 | 16-24 | Win | 100 | 145 h 20 m | Show | |
Taking MINNESOTA here. Wish I grabbed this earlier for myself. This is about as high I will want to go with Minny. I think this is a very good team. Great coach - probably the most underrated guy in the league. Defense always a top unit. But I have to tamper expectations because we have a new OC in town. I still think this is a win for us. SF is getting a bit too much love in my eyes. Everyone loving Jimmy G. Again, Minny HC will have something special to unleash on the youngster. 4* Money Maker MINNESOTA VIKINGS |