Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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03-09-23 | Warriors -2.5 v. Grizzlies | Top | 110-131 | Loss | -108 | 10 h 23 m | Show |
NBA Thursday 10* Top Play Golden State Warriors -2.5 @ Memphis Grizzlies @ 7:30 ET - These teams do not like each other. This insures that both teams are certainly motivated to win this game and you absolutely can not say that about many NBA regular season games especially in today's NBA of guys sitting out games or even taking games off, so to speak, when they are actually playing in those games! So the point is we have the motivation factor working for both teams in this one. What does that all mean here? It means Warriors should win this game in a road rout. They are the healthier team and the Grizzlies are a mess right now because of the combined injury situation and then the Ja Morant situation off the court. The fact Morant is still out and this team has been distracted by everything going on plus the fact this team is still without a couple key contributors (Adams still out and role player Clarke lost for the season Friday), this Memphis team could get blown out here even though they are at home. Steph Curry now back for the Warriors but Golden State is fired up coming off B2B losses. The Grizzlies have lost 13 of 20 games overall. The Warriors are 8-2 the last 10 times they have entered a game on a losing streak of 2 or more games. Lay the short number here. 10* GOLDEN STATE -2.5 |
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03-09-23 | Flyers v. Hurricanes OVER 6 | Top | 0-1 | Loss | -120 | 7 h 13 m | Show |
NHL Thursday 10* Top Play OVER 6 goals in Carolina Hurricanes vs Philadelphia Flyers @ 7:05 ET - The Hurricanes are likely to start Kochetkov between the pipes for this one. He has not started in nearly two months and I feel the Flyers will take advantage here. However, I also give Philly little chance of slowing down the Canes here no matter who Philadelphia has between the pipes. That said, look for an over here. Carolina has won 15 of 18 games and scored an average of 4.2 goals per game during this stretch! The Flyers last 10 games have seen 8 total at least 6 goals and 7 total at least 7 goals. That high-scoring trend continues here. 10* OVER 6 in Carolina |
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03-09-23 | Devils v. Capitals OVER 6.5 | Top | 3-2 | Loss | -105 | 7 h 40 m | Show |
NHL Thursday 10* Top Play OVER 6.5 in Washington Capitals vs New Jersey Devils @ 7:05 ET - The Devils last 10 games ALL have totaled at least 6 goals. I know we need 7 to win here but the point is that New Jersey has not had any grinders of late and, in fact, those 10 games averaged 7.5 goals apiece. Also, each of the last 7 games have indeed totaled at least 7 goals! Additionally, normal starter Vanecek (since Blackwood is out) is likely to get a rest tonigth and Schmid is likely to be in the crease. He does have strong numbers this season but has not been playing a whole lot of late and his career numbers are still mediocre overall. Plus he has allowed at least 3 goals in 3 of last 4 starts so Washington should score okay here but will also struggled to stop the high-flying Devils. The Capitals have lost 8 of 11 games and allowed 4 goals per game during this stretch. However, they also scored 4.6 goals last 5 games and are starting to come on strong of late. This one, and considering the game is in DC, has all the right ingredients to be a solid over. 10* OVER 6.5 in Washington |
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03-09-23 | Oklahoma State v. Texas -6 | Top | 47-60 | Win | 100 | 9 h 34 m | Show |
CBB Thursday 10* Top Play Texas Longhorns -6 vs Oklahoma State Cowboys @ 7 ET - The Cowboys knocked off the rival Sooners yesterday to advance to face the Longhorns today. Texas has the rest edge here and also a confidence edge since they knocked off Kansas to close out the regular season. The Horns also loaded with confidence as it pertains to this match-up thanks to knocking off Oklahoma State by a double digit margin in each of their two regular season meetings. Texas is having a fantastic season and only has 2 losses to unranked foes this season. The Longhorns performed well against ranked teams too but the point is they were practically unbeatable (16-2) in games against unranked foes. As for the Cowboys, they were 3-9 against ranked teams this season. Also, Oklahoma State had lost 5 straight games before winning their regular season finale and then opening the Big 12 tourney with a win over Oklahoma. Yes, we have the matter of covering the spread here but first key to that is getting a SU win and, based on the numbers above and the situation, you can see why I am confident of that. Each of the Cowboys last 5 road losses was by 8 or more points. 10* TEXAS -6 |
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03-09-23 | Betis v. Manchester United -1.5 | Top | 1-4 | Win | 120 | 8 h 43 m | Show |
UEFA Europa League, Round of 16 Thursday 10* Top Play Manchester United -1.5 goals +120 vs Real Betis @ 3 ET - Manchester United beat Barcelona 2-1 to advance to this state. Barcelona's only goal in that match came on a penalty kick. The point is that Barcelona is at the top of La Liga and vastly superior to Real Betis. If Man U was able to knock off the top team 2-1 they can definitely beat Real Betis by a multi-goal margin here at home. Manchester United has scored at least 2 goals in 14 straight home matches and has a long unbeaten run here too. They also enter this match off a humiliating 7-0 loss to Liverpool so you know the hosts are going to bring a very strong effort to this match as they look to get right back on track by dominating on their home pitch. Considering the embarrassing outcome against Liverpool, the hosts will be relentless here and should win comfortably by a multi-goal margin. 10* MANCHESTER UNITED -1.5 goals +120 |
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03-09-23 | Ohio State v. Iowa -3 | Top | 73-69 | Loss | -110 | 5 h 52 m | Show |
CBB Thursday 10* Top Play Iowa Hawkeyes -3 or -3.5 vs Ohio State Buckeyes @ 2:30 ET - Iowa is off a loss and they have been great off a loss this season including a tightener that has them nearly perfect in this role this season. The Hawkeyes are 7-1 this season when off a loss by a margin of 14 or less points. They are rested here and taking on a Buckeyes team that had to battle it out with the Badgers yesterday. Keep in mind, Ohio State had lost 15 of 18 games before getting the win over Wisconsin yesterday. They take a big step up in level of opponent now as they face the high-scoring Hawkeyes after facing the slow-paced Badgers. Look for Iowa to be aggressive and look to run the Buckeyes right out of the arena as they catch them in the 2nd game of a B2B spot. Ohio State had a recent 9-game losing streak and then also had another loss in their regular season finale. All 10 of those losses by 4 or more points and I am confident this will be an 11th straight loss by 4 or more points. 10* IOWA -3 or -3.5 |
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03-08-23 | Ducks v. Canucks OVER 6.5 | Top | 2-3 | Loss | -111 | 13 h 12 m | Show |
NHL Wednesday 10* Top Play OVER 6.5 in Vancouver Canucks vs Anaheim Ducks @ 10 ET - The Canucks beat the Ducks 8-5 in the only meeting between these teams this season. Though we will not see that many goals again tonight it does show that we can reasonably expect some fireworks between these teams here. Note that 6 of last 9 Canucks home games have totaled at least 7 goals. I know Demko has been solid between the pipes since coming back but this is still a Vancouver club that has questionable defense at times and has allowed 3.3 goals in last 7 home games. The Canucks should score well again here though. Vancouver will take advantage of facing a Ducks team that used top goalie Gibson last night. Also, Anaheim likely to go with Dostal in the crease tonight and the back-up netminder has a 4.00 GAA on the season plus has allowed 5 goals per game last 3 games. 10* OVER 6.5 in Vancouver |
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03-08-23 | Hawks -3 v. Wizards | Top | 122-120 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 48 m | Show |
NBA Wednesday 10* Top Play Atlanta Hawks -3 @ Washington Wizards @ 7:10 ET - The Wizards are off a win yesterday but it was at Detroit. Not only are the Pistons a bad team, it was also a road game for Washington and then they had to travel back to DC for this game. Prior to that win, the Wizards had lost 8 of 14 games. Now they face a Hawks team in the first of B2B games here versus Atlanta. The set-up for this first game certainly favors the Hawks as they have the rest edge and I like the fact they are off B2B losses. Note that Atlanta is 5-0 SU the last 5 times they have entered a game on a losing streak and all 5 of those wins by at least 3 points and, in fact, the games averaged 13 point margin of victory. The Hawks also lost to the Wizards about a week ago in Snyder's first game as head coach and Atlanta blew a 4th quarter lead in that one. In other words, there is plenty of extra motivation in this revenge divisional game. 10* ATLANTA -3 |
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03-08-23 | Ohio State v. Wisconsin +2.5 | Top | 65-57 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 10 m | Show |
CBB Wednesday 10* Top Play Wisconsin Badgers +2.5 vs Ohio State Buckeyes @ 6:30 ET - The Buckeyes won 1 road game all season long! This is a neutral site game but the fact is that means both teams are traveling and it was the Badgers that were better on the road this season. In fact, Wisconsin won 3 of their last 5 road games this season and that included a win at Ohio State. Not only that, both losses were in OT and one of those was a loss at Michigan that only went to OT because of a 3-pointer at the buzzer of regulation. The fact is the Badgers did lose in regulation time of any of their final 5 road games and very easily could have a 5-game road winning streak heading into this one. Again, compare this to an Ohio State team that has ONE WIN on the road this ENTIRE SEASON. The Badgers are the better defensive team in this match-up. I feel Ohio State is getting some attention from the betting masses here because of the revenge angle and the fact the Buckeyes are the higher-scoring team. But this one sets up to be another grinder and the Buckeyes don't have a key inside player, Zed Key, like they did for the first meeting with the Badgers when they dominated the glass. That said, I feel we have exceptional line value here as this line was around a pick'em but now has Badgers getting 2.5 points here. 10* WISCONSIN +2.5 |
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03-08-23 | AC Milan v. Tottenham Hotspur OVER 2.5 | Top | 0-0 | Loss | -100 | 8 h 45 m | Show |
UEFA Champions League, Round of 16 Wednesday 10* Top Play OVER 2.5 +105 in Tottenham vs AC Milan @ 3 ET - Tottenham has their manager back from his medical leave and they also are on their home pitch. Good combo to expect renewed scoring here as they are also needing a big win considering they are down 1-0 to Milan so far on the aggregate. Tottenham has scored a pair of goal in each of last two home matches. Milan has allowed an average of 2 goals in last 9 matches away from home across all competitions. However, Milan has also scored at least 1 goal in 5 straight matches. You can see why I am looking for at least a 2-1 final here and we get an added boost as AC Milan gets some key players back too including an attacker and a midfielder. Look for an entertaining battle here that totals 3 or more goals. 10* OVER 2.5 in Tottenham |
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03-08-23 | Butler v. St. John's -6 | Top | 63-76 | Win | 100 | 6 h 36 m | Show |
CBB Wednesday 10* Top Play St John's Red Storm -6 vs Butler Bulldogs @ 3 ET - So this is the Big East tourney so it is a neutral site game yet it is really not neutral for the Red Storm as they split their home games each season between Carnesecca Arena and here at Madison Square Garden. That said, this is a significant edge here for St John's and they already beat the Bulldogs by double digits at Carnesecca Arena earlier this season. Also, 4 of the last 6 regular season home games for the Red Storm were here at Madison Square Garden so big edge here. Not only was St John's 11-6 at home and Butler 3-9 on the road this season, the Bulldogs were frequently blown out of games. This is just not a very good Butler team this season and their 3 wins in their season-ending 3-9 run were all by a margin of 2 or less points. Conversely, their 17 losses this season were by an average margin of defeat of 18 points and all the losses were by 6 or more points! Look for the Red Storm to take advantage of the home court edge here and pull away for a big-margin win in the 2nd half. 10* ST JOHN'S -6 |
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03-07-23 | 76ers v. Wolves +1.5 | Top | 117-94 | Loss | -105 | 12 h 12 m | Show |
NBA Tuesday 10* Top Play Minnesota Timberwolves +1.5 vs Philadelphia 76ers @ 7:30 ET - Both Tobias Harris and PJ Tucker could be back for this game after missing last night's game at Indiana. But, overall, how much can the Sixers have left in the tank after going all out in a 147 to 143 win over the Pacers last night. This is a tough back to back spot for Philly and prior to B2B high-scoring wins over the Bucks (miracle comeback win in 4th quarter) and Pacers, the 76ers had lost 3 of 5 overall and also 3 of 5 road games. So this B2B road spot is sure to be a tough one for Philadelphia and they are facing a Timberwolves team that has won 3 straight games. Those 3 Wolves wins were on the road too and now they are back home and have a rest edge over the Sixers. Minny did lose their last 2 home games so you know they want to make this one count! They get it done here! 10* MINNESOTA +1.5 |
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03-07-23 | Maple Leafs v. Devils OVER 6.5 | Top | 4-3 | Win | 100 | 10 h 47 m | Show |
NHL Tuesday 10* Top Play OVER 6.5 in New Jersey Devils vs Toronto Maple Leafs @ 7 ET - The Devils 7 of last 8 games have totaled at least 7 goals. I know the Maple Leafs have been better defensively and in goal of late but they will struggle to stop a New Jersey team that has been scoring plenty of goals. The Devils have scored an average of about 4 and 1/2 goals per game last 8 games. New Jersey has also allowed 3 or more goals in 5 of last 6 games and allowed an average of 4 goals per game during this stretch. The Maple Leafs had been getting solid goaltending but now have allowed at least 4 goals in 2 of last 3 games. Toronto enters this game off a tough loss in which they scored only 1 goal. They have averaged 4 goals per game the last 8 times they were off a loss. Considering all of the above I would not be surprised to see a 5-4 game here but certainly I do expect at least a 4-3 final. The Leafs have had only 1 low-scoring game in last 6 road games and the other 5 have averaged 7 goals and we should see at least that here as well. The first two meetings between these clubs were lower-scoring but this one is set up, based on situational parameters, to play out much differently and we get line value here too. 10* OVER 6.5 in New Jersey |
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03-07-23 | Northern Kentucky v. Cleveland State OVER 126.5 | Top | 63-61 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 49 m | Show |
CBB Tuesday 10* Top Play OVER 126.5 in Cleveland State Vikings vs Northern Kentucky Norse @ 7 ET - This is the Horizon League Championship Game and there was some very ugly shooting in the two regular season meetings between these clubs. However, that is simply serving to keep this total lower than it should be. The first meeting saw the Vikings make just 10% of their three pointers plus both clubs struggled at the free throw line. Then the 2nd meeting got to 127 points even though there was more unimpressive shooting in that one. The key to the value though is the first very low-scoring game saw some unreal shooting numbers at the free throw line. So the opportunity was there for each of the two regular season meetings to get well into the 130s and yet the fact those games did not has led to line value here because both of these teams are coming into this game with plenty of confidence on the offensive end. The Norse have won 6 of 7 games and scored an average of 73 ppg during this stretch. The Vikings have won 10 of 13 and, not including OT points of course, have averaged 74.6 during this stretch. That would put this game into the 140s but yes is a conference championship game and should feature some solid defense too but that still only pushes this one down into the 130s in my opinion. Both teams loaded with confidence right now. 10* OVER 126.5 in Cleveland State |
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03-07-23 | Borussia Dortmund v. Chelsea OVER 2.5 | Top | 0-2 | Loss | -115 | 8 h 25 m | Show |
UEFA Champions League, Round of 16 Tuesday 10* Top Play OVER 2.5 in Chelsea vs Borussia Dortmund @ 3 ET - Chelsea has been struggling to score goals so this is a contrarian play so to speak. However, the play has certainly been made with good reasoning behind why this is a great match in which to be a contrarian. Dortmund won the first meeting 1-0 so Chelsea must win here to avoid being knocked out. Look for them to be aggressive on their home pitch as a result. I look for Chelsea to be on the attack and score early in this one and that will force Dortmund to respond. In turn, Chelsea again pushes hard for a deciding goal here. So the point is, more scoring than one would expect normally as the team that has been in lower-scoring of mode here simply can not afford to sit back in this game, they need to be aggressive. Then, as for Dortmund, they have been the higher scoring club of late and will respond from behind if needed. Note that Dortmund has scored at least 2 goals in 8 of last 10 matches across all competitions. One of the only two exceptions was the 1-0 victory over Chelsea in the first meeting between these clubs. The rematch likely to play out in much different fashion per all the key factors above! 10* OVER 2.5 in Chelsea |
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03-06-23 | Cleveland State -2.5 v. Wisc-Milwaukee | Top | 93-80 | Win | 100 | 15 h 48 m | Show |
CBB Monday 10* Top Play Cleveland State Vikings -2.5 vs Wisconsin-Milwaukee Panthers @ 9:30 ET - This is a neutral site game and I love the fact that the Vikings are favored here even though they lost both the regular season meetings. This is certainly no mistake by the odds makers. The fact is that this is a double revenge spot for Cleveland State and the Vikings have won 12 of 16 games. The Panthers have lost each of last two road games and even lost at home to a very bad Green Bay team last month. Milwaukee won the first meeting in OT thanks to scoring 15 more points from 3-point land in that game. They then won the 2nd game thanks to the Vikings having one of the worst shooting days you can imagine. The Vikes had 74 shots from the field compared to just 57 for the Panthers but made just 3 of 20 three pointers plus they only hit 13 of 25 at free throw line. Despite all this, Cleveland State still only lost the game by a single digit margin. That says a lot for sure. This is a big part of the reason the Vikings are now favored here and they had plenty of opportunities to win each of the first two games and will make up for all that here in tourney action. The third time will be the charm and I look for them to get the SU win and also cover the short number along the way! 10* CLEVELAND STATE -2.5 |
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03-06-23 | Oilers v. Sabres OVER 7 | Top | 3-2 | Loss | -120 | 12 h 11 m | Show |
NHL Monday 10* Top Play OVER 7 in Buffalo Sabres vs Edmonton Oilers @ 7:35 ET - When you see a total of 7 - and this one even up to 7.5 in some spots - many will start thinking under. But, in typical contrarian fashion, I am all over the over in this match-up. Note that the Oilers and Sabres both are consistently involved in ultra high scoring games of late. Also, Buffalo does tend to score better when they are at home. As for Edmonton, they score well everywhere these days - as per usual. Right now, in fact, both teams are scoring tons of goals but also have had struggles keeping the puck out of their own net. Of course I would love to see a total of 6.5 posted on this one but we will not see that. However, getting the total at 7 is still a real positive. That's because we only have to get each team to 3 goals and then we can not lose. We can not do any worse than 7 goals and a push in that case and I do expect each team to get to 3 goals for sure. The Oilers 12 of last 15 games have totaled at least 7 goals and those dozen games averaged 9.6 goals apiece! Edmonton has scored 3 or more goals in 19 of last 23 games. The Sabres have scored at least 3 goals in 8 of last 9 games. Buffalo has allowed 4.4 goals per game last dozen games. The Sabres 9 of last 11 games totaled at least 7 goals and those 9 games averaged 9 goals. Based on all the above numbers you can see why I am expecting a 5-4 type game here! 10* OVER 7 in Buffalo |
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03-06-23 | Celtics v. Cavs -3.5 | Top | 114-118 | Win | 100 | 14 h 8 m | Show |
NBA Monday 10* Top Play Cleveland Cavaliers -3.5 vs Boston Celtics @ 7:10 ET - This is a very tough spot for Boston. The Celtics are off a loss in double OT versus the Knicks yesterday. They had 4 guys play 44 minutes or more. This was the equivalent roughly of 4 guys playing a full normal regulation game of 48 minutes. Then Boston struggled with a couple of reserves in that played fewer minutes. Hauser had a +/- of -16 in 20 minutes and Muscala was -9 in 12 minutes on the floor. The point is that, considering tired legs here and some unimpressive bench play, the Celtics likely to struggle badly at Cleveland here. The Cavaliers are hosting a Boston team that is now 4-4 last 8 games. Cleveland has revenge for a 4 point loss at Boston last week. The Cavaliers have won 11 of last 14 home games and are 27-7 as a host on the season. Each of last 15 Cavs wins have been by 8 or more points so there is no hesitation in laying the big points here. Average margin of win was 16 points in these 15 wins. This one, considering Boston's double OT back to back situation, sets up well to be another home blowout for the Cavaliers. 10* CLEVELAND -3.5 |
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03-06-23 | Fulham v. Brentford OVER 2.5 | Top | 2-3 | Win | 102 | 11 h 32 m | Show |
EPL Monday 10* Top Play OVER 2.5 goals in Brentford vs Fulham @ 3 ET - These clubs are both on long unbeaten runs so they are playing with quite a bit of confidence here. I look for that to lead to plenty of goals in this one. I expect each club to score at least once and then both clubs to push for that second goal and this one to end 2-1 at a minimum. Fulham has scored an average of 1.8 goals last 5 matches across all competitions. Brentford has scored an average of 2.2 goals in last 5 home matches in premier league action. Each of last 3 meetings between these clubs across all competitions have totaled at least 3 goals and the one earlier this season totaled 5 goals. More of the same expected here. 10* OVER 2.5 in Brentford |
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03-06-23 | CFR Cluj v. Sepsi OVER 2.25 | Top | 2-2 | Win | 103 | 12 h 57 m | Show |
Romania Liga 1 Monday 10* Top Play OVER 2 -140 in Sepsi vs CFR Cluj @ 1:30 ET - These are 2 of the top 4 scoring clubs in the league this season. There is over 2 goals available if willing to lay a bit of a higher price and certainly I would recommend that in case this match lands on 2 goals. I am expecting 3 or more though. Sepsi's last 11 matches all have totaled at least 2 goals and these 11 matches have averaged 3 goals apiece! The last 4 CFR Cluj matches in league action all have totaled at least 2 goals and have averaged 4 goals. Also, CFR Cluj has scored at least 1 goal in all but 1 of their 14 league road matches so far this season. They have averaged scoring 1.64 goals per match on the road in league matches this season. Sepsi off a shutout loss at Farul but will bounce back at home and they had averaged scoring 2 goals per match last 10 matches prior to that shutout loss. The high-scoring ways resume for both clubs here. 10* OVER 2 -140 in Sepsi |
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03-05-23 | Bucks -4.5 v. Wizards | Top | 117-111 | Win | 100 | 8 h 56 m | Show |
NBA Sunday 10* Top Play Milwaukee Bucks -4.5 @ Washington Wizards @ 7:40 ET - Playing a strong team off a loss is always something worth looking at. But not all situations merit a play nor are all situations created equal. That said, this is a great one and I will not hesitate to get involved here. The Bucks just saw their 16-game losing streak come to an end last night. However, the key is how it happened. Milwaukee was up by 14 heading to the 4th quarter and then got outscored 48 to 31 in the final stanza. The 76ers just could not miss in that fourth quarter as they were seemingly making everything. Giannis Antetokounmpo and company are fired up now and want to bounce right back after letting a 4th quarter double digit lead slip away. Also, 17 of the last 19 Bucks wins have been by 6 or more points. Washington is off a home OT loss and actually has lost 7 of last 12 home games. So the fact Wizards are at home here is not a big help necessarily and plus they are in a B2B spot just like the Bucks. That said, I am backing the angry road favorite here. 10* MILWAUKEE -4.5 |
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03-05-23 | Northwestern +5.5 v. Rutgers | Top | 65-53 | Win | 100 | 9 h 33 m | Show |
CBB Sunday 10* Top Play Northwestern Wildcats +5.5 @ Rutgers Scarlet Knights @ 7:30 ET - Scarlet Knights off devastating road loss at Minnesota as Rutgers led that game by 10 points with under a minute and a half to go and ended up losing the game. That is a hard defeat to bounce back from. Now they host a Northwestern team that is off a tough OT loss to Penn State. That is a tough loss to bounce back from too but the Wildcats are getting a handful of points here and are a scrappy defensive-minded team and that Rutgers loss was truly of the devastating variety. With the Cats having lost 3 straight games for the first time this season, they will be fully focused on getting back into the win column here in the regular season finale. The Scarlet Knights have lost each of their last two games so their home has hardly been a fortress for them of late and I feel we have great line value with the sizable points here considering the key factors with this one. 10* NORTHWESTERN +5.5 |
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03-05-23 | Devils v. Coyotes OVER 6 | Top | 5-4 | Win | 100 | 6 h 33 m | Show |
NHL Sunday 10* Top Play OVER 6 or 6.5 in Arizona Coyotes vs New Jersey Devils @ 7:05 ET - The Coyotes have allowed 4.4 goals last 7 games. Arizona had scored 3.2 goals last 6 games before a 6-1 loss versus Carolina in most recent game and that was on the road. Generally speaking, the Coyotes score better on home ice but their problem of late is they so often struggle to stop teams. That is likely to be the case again tonight as they face a Devils team scoring a lot of goals lately. However, New Jersey also has allowed big goals in last two games and that was with each of their netminders. So, no matter who is in goal here I expect the Devils to struggle again in that regard but they should score well too against Arizona. New Jersey's last 8 games all have totaled at least 6 goals and all but 2 of them totaled at least 7 goals! The Devils have averaged 4.6 goals per game last 7 games. 10* OVER 6 or 6.5 in Arizona |
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03-05-23 | Red Wings v. Flyers -120 | Top | 1-3 | Win | 100 | 5 h 21 m | Show |
NHL Sunday 10* Top Play Philadelphia Flyers Money Line -125 vs Detroit Red Wings @ 6:05 ET - Red Wings got hammered yesterday in a 5th straight loss. With Husso out and Hellberg in goal yesterday, it probably means Nedeljkovic and he has struggled in the starting role so far this season at the NHL level. He was called up from AHL because of the Husso situation. Flyers have also been struggling but they enter this game with rest and are on home ice and are expected to have Hart between the pipes and he is known for being stronger on home ice than on the road. He is off a solid start in most recent outing. The scheduling situation, home ice edge, and goalie edge all in favor of the Flyers here. 10* PHILADELPHIA -125 |
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03-05-23 | Steaua Bucharesti v. UTA Arad OVER 2.25 | Top | 1-3 | Win | 100 | 9 h 15 m | Show |
Romania Liga 1 Sunday 10* Top Play OVER 2 goals in UTA vs FCSB @ 2 ET - You have to lay some extra juice to have the over 2 goals here but is a nice safety net per se should this game land on exactly 2 goals. I am expecting 3 or more but having the over 2 is a good value. FCSB has been red hot and scoring plenty of goals. FCSB has scored 2 goals per match last 6 matches and is undefeated last 5 matches with 4 wins and a draw. Last 6 matches have averaged 3 goals apiece and 5 of the 6 totaled at least 3 goals. 4 of last 5 meetings between these clubs have totaled at least 2 goals and the last 2 have each totaled 3 goals. UTA is off a 2-1 loss on the road. Prior to that they did go scoreless in most recent home match but that was preceded by 12 of first 13 home matches this season totaling at least 2 goals. In fact, those 12 matches averaged 3 goals apiece. UTA does tend to score better at home than on the road so they will put up a fight here for sure. However, FCSB is favored for a reason and that is why I am looking for a 2-1 type final here. 10* OVER 2 in UTA |
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03-05-23 | Manchester United v. Liverpool OVER 2.75 | Top | 0-7 | Win | 100 | 5 h 19 m | Show |
EPL Sunday 10* Top Play OVER 2.5 in Liverpool vs Manchester United @ 11:30 AM ET - I know Liverpool has not been scoring well of late but they do average 2.3 goals scored per match on their home pitch in league action. Also, Manchester United has been on a recent run where they are scoring 2 or more goals on a consistent basis. If you look at their history for months now, almost every match across all competitions, Manchester United scores multiple goals. In this case, they will bring their A game for sure against Liverpool. This is a clash of titans so to speak but I expect it to be rather wide open because this has been the nature of Manchester United matches for some time now. More of the same here. The last 5 matches between these have averaged 4.4 goals apiece and all 5 of them totaled 5 goals and 4 straight had totaled 4 goals before the Manchester United 2-1 win earlier this season at home. Now the reverse fixture at Liverpool should be another high-scoring match-up as their solid scoring ways at home resume here. Like I said, I know the Reds have been a little quieter of late in the goal-scoring department but this one will bring out the best in them. 10* OVER 2.5 in Liverpool |
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03-05-23 | Everton v. Nottingham Forest OVER 2 | Top | 2-2 | Win | 100 | 4 h 53 m | Show |
EPL Sunday 10* Top Play OVER 2 in Nottingham Forest vs Everton @ 9 AM ET - I am not surprised at all to see a 2 on this game as the total as Nottingham Forest has been strong defensively at home and Everton has struggled so badly to score goals on enemy soil this season. However, this is rare to get a 2 as the total on a Premier League match and I will not hesitate to grab the value here with this total. Keep in mind, Everton has conceded 1.7 goals per match this season when on the road. Also, Nottingham Forest has seen their matches on their home pitch average 2.3 goals apiece. We should get to at least 2 goals here but truly expecting a 2-1 final because this is a battle involving two relegation-threatened teams so picking up the full 3 points in the table is critical. Both teams combine for an average draw rate of 25% but just can't see this one ending 1-1 but, even if it did, we get our money back and move on. But truly expecting 3 or more goals here as both teams pushing so hard for the victory here. 10* OVER 2 in Nottingham Forest |
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03-05-23 | CS U Craiova v. Petrolul 52 OVER 2 | Top | 1-0 | Loss | -125 | 4 h 28 m | Show |
Romania Liga 1 Sunday 10* Top Play OVER 2 in Petrolul Ploiesti vs Universitatea Craiova @ 8:30 AM ET - 18 of last 21 Petrolul Ploiesti matches have totaled at least 2 goals. In fact, those 21 matches averaged 3 goals apiece and I am looking for at least that here. Petrolul Ploiesti has, in fact, allowed 3 goals per match last 6 games. Universitatea Craiova won the first meeting 2-1. They enter this match off B2B 1-0 matches but this followed 8 of 10 matches totaling at least 2 goals and those 8 matches averaged 2.5 goals apiece. Petrolul Ploiesti has only 3 draws in 28 matches this season so if you like each club to score here you can also expect that match will not end 1-1 either! By the way, Petrolul Ploiesti has allowed at least 1 goal in 8 of last 9 matches. Universitatea Craiova has allowed at least 1 goal in 15 of last 17 matches. 10* OVER 2 in Petrolul Ploiesti |
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03-04-23 | Hawks +2.5 v. Heat | Top | 109-117 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 45 m | Show |
NBA Saturday 10* Top Play Atlanta Hawks +2.5 @ Miami Heat @ 8:10 ET - Both teams in a B2B but like a few key factors with Hawks here. Atlanta had a solid win and got to rest guys some as the game went on. Also, the Hawks have revenge here from a loss to Miami in most recent game. The Heat, on the other hand, really pushed hard in last night's game and it was a tight finish that also had a rough ending for them. Miami gave up a last second 3 pointer to lose the game and that is a tough one to bounce back from especially in a B2B and facing a revenge-minded division rival. The Hawks got their first win since the coaching change after losing the first game with coach Snyder. Look for them to build off that here after knocking off the Trail Blazers convincingly last night. 10* ATLANTA +2.5 |
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03-04-23 | Davidson v. Rhode Island +3.5 | Top | 68-54 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 15 m | Show |
CBB Saturday 10* Top Play Rhode Island Rams +3.5 vs Davidson Wildcats @ 8 ET - The Rams are 7-7 SU at home this season. The Wildcats are 4-6 on the road this season. So, on the surface with Davidson having a much better record overall and opening up at nearly a pick'em, they look like the play here. Sure enough everyone jumped all over them and the line is up to a 3.5 on the Wildcats in this one. Davidson, however, has not been very strong on the road and Rams have been a rather strong home team this season plus they have been done in by some tighter losses this season that has impacted their record. Rhode Island is only 6-5 SU in their last 11 home games but 2 of those losses by just 1 point and another loss was in OT. Davidson will have their hands full here as Rams will show up big here in their home finale. Rhode Island is almost always very tough to beat on their home floor and that should be the case again here as the Rams are off a road win but had lost 3 straight at home and want to make up for that here. One loss by 1 point and another loss in OT at home. Here the Rams get it done in their home finale. 10* RHODE ISLAND +3.5 |
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03-04-23 | Maple Leafs v. Canucks OVER 6.5 | Top | 1-4 | Loss | -120 | 9 h 58 m | Show |
NHL Saturday 10* Top Play OVER 6.5 in Vancouver Canucks vs Toronto Maple Leafs @ 7:07 ET - The Canucks have lost 16 of 23 games and before a 2-1 loss to Minnesota in most recent game, 18 of last 22 Vancouver games had totaled at least 7 goals. Now the Canucks host a Maple Leafs team that is also off a tight 2-1 game. Prior to that 2-1 win, all but 2 of last 12 Toronto games were higher-scoring games. Those 10 Leafs games averaged 7 goals apiece. In fact, before the win over the Flames, 6 of the last 7 Maple Leafs games saw either Toronto or their opponent total at least 5 goals in the game. The point is we should see plenty of goals here as both the Canucks and Leafs are off games that were outliers because they were 2-1 results. Look for things to get back to normal here for each club. 10* OVER 6.5 in Vancouver |
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03-04-23 | Kansas v. Texas -3 | Top | 59-75 | Win | 100 | 5 h 5 m | Show |
CBB Saturday 10* Top Play Texas Longhorns -3 vs Kansas Jayhawks @ 4 ET - Kansas already wrapped up the #1 spot in the Big 12 Conference for the regular season. This could be a tough spot for the Jayhawks to match the intensity of the Longhorns. Texas enters this one in a 3-way tie for the #2 spot in the Big 12 but, even more importantly, this is their home finale and they enter this game off B2B losses. That means an extra intense effort from the Horns in this one and adding to the intensity is that this is a revenge game from an 88-80 loss at Kansas earlier this season. That was the most points that UT allowed in a road game all season long. The Horns are 16-1 at home this season and, even though the Jayhawks have won 7 straight games you can see why Texas is favored here per all the key factors in this one. Lay it with the Longhorns. 10* TEXAS -3 |
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03-04-23 | Hermannstadt v. Rapid Bucuresti OVER 2 | Top | 1-0 | Loss | -100 | 5 h 6 m | Show |
Romania Liga 1 Saturday 10* Top Play OVER 2 in Rapid Bucuresti vs Hermannstadt @ 1 ET - I know Hermannstadt has been struggling to score goals but they have been particularly bad on their home pitch. I look for them to scratch for a goal here on the road. As for Rapid, they have been one of the hotter clubs around for quite some time now. They have been scoring goals quite well and that should continue here. 16 of last 18 Rapid matches have totaled at least 2 goals and, in fact, those 16 matches have averaged 3 goals apiece. 7 of last 10 Hermannstadt matches have totaled at least 2 goals. This one should too and I do expect 3 or more given the circumstances. Usually when off a home shutout, Hermannstadt's next match totals at least two goals. This one should too as the strong push for Rapid up the table continues in the penultimate match for them. 10* OVER 2 in Rapid Bucuresti |
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03-04-23 | Leicester v. Southampton OVER 2.5 | Top | 0-1 | Loss | -100 | 4 h 16 m | Show |
EPL Saturday 10* Top Play OVER 2.5 in Southampton vs Leicester @ 12:30 ET - Leicester road matches have averaged 4 goals per match on the season. As you would expect, that is the highest average in the Premier League this season. As for Southampton, 5 of last 7 matches across all competitions have totaled at least 3 goals. So this match should see at least a 2-1 final given the above trending plus the fact both clubs are desperate for the full 3 points in the table. Southampton is at the very bottom of the table but will see this match as a great opportunity to pick up a full 3 points in the table because they are hosting a Leicester club that is relegation threatened and not far above the drop zone. 10* OVER 2.5 in Southampton |
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03-03-23 | Suns -5.5 v. Bulls | Top | 125-104 | Win | 100 | 13 h 44 m | Show |
NBA Friday 10* Top Play Phoenix Suns -5.5 @ Chicago Bulls @ 8:10 ET - It has only just begun. Kevin Durant made his debut for the Suns and now look for things to continue to build off that victory by a double digit margin at Charlotte. This Suns team is stacked and they take on a Bulls team that is off a win but that had lost 7 of 9 games before that victory. Also, that Chicago win came against a very bad Pistons team. Also, the other two wins were against another team (Wizards) with a losing record plus a Nets team that has been an absolute train wreck of late. All that said, the Bulls likely in trouble here against a very strong Suns team. Phoenix is ready to make a major move now with a revamped roster while Chicago is an ugly 6-13 this season in games against teams from the Western Conference. Also this line has moved down to a 5.5 and 6 of last 7 Bulls losses have been by a margin of 6 or more points. Look for another one here to fall into that category. 10* PHOENIX -5.5 |
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03-03-23 | Seattle Kraken v. Blue Jackets OVER 6.5 | Top | 4-2 | Loss | -105 | 11 h 39 m | Show |
NHL Friday 10* Top Play OVER 6.5 in Columbus Blue Jackets vs Seattle Kraken @ 7:05 ET - The Blue Jackets hosting a Kraken team that has allowed 4.4 goals per game last 5 games. Also, Seattle has scored 4 or more goals in 5 of last 7 games! You can see why I am expecting goals aplenty here! As for Columbus, they have scored 5 or more goals in 2 of last 3 games. As for the goaltending, the Blue Jackets Merzlikins consistently allows at least 3 goals in every start and has a 4.10 GAA on the season. Korpisalo allowed 5 goals in most recent start and he had a 3.68 GAA in January. Look for the tough start to wrap February to possible send him back into another stretch as that has been his pattern in the past too. He runs very hot and cold. Either way, plenty of goals expected here based on the current trending of both these clubs as well as the current situation. 10* OVER 6.5 in Columbus |
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03-03-23 | Dayton -120 v. St. Louis | Top | 61-65 | Loss | -120 | 13 h 30 m | Show |
CBB Friday 10* Top Play Dayton Flyers -120 @ St Louis Billikens @ 7 ET - Dayton has won 7 of 9 games and the Flyers beat the Billikens by double digits during this hot run as well. Of course we are not quite yet into tourney time but St Louis is not nearly as strong as Dayton is defensively. That said, March is the time of year - above all others - where defensive intensity picks up and it is crunch time for teams. I like the fact that Dayton allows only 60.7 ppg while St Louis allows 71.4 ppg. This is a great spot for the road team at a great price. The Flyers did lose at St Louis last season and these guys do not lose often. They remember that defeat and want to get it done on the Billikens home floor this time around. The Billikens have lost 6 of last 10 games and simply are not in a groove in the same way the Flyers are right now. This is the A-10 finale for these teams and Dayton is off a win that followed a loss. The fact is that in Dec, Jan, and Feb the Flyers only had one time in which they had a standalone win. In other words, the odds favor that Dayton gets another win here. The Flyers wrap the regular season on a 2-game winning streak and solidify their spot in the standings above the Billikens. 10* DAYTON -120 |
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03-03-23 | RB Leipzig v. Borussia Dortmund OVER 3 | Top | 1-2 | Push | 0 | 9 h 18 m | Show |
German Bundesliga Friday 10* Top Play OVER 3 goals +105 in Borussia Dortmund vs RB Leipzig @ 2:30 ET - This is a match-up of two of the top six clubs in the Bundesliga and I am expecting plenty of goals. Each club has averaged scoring 2 goals per match this season. Also, Borussia Dortmund has been particularly lethal at home where they are scoring an average of 3 goals per match. RB Leipzig is allowing 1.5 goals per match on enemy soil this season. The visitors are very hungry for the full 3 points in the table in this one as they look to close the gap on Borussia Dortmund. Also, I would say the likelihood of a draw is slim as only 1 of 22 matches this season for Borussia Dortmund has ended in a draw. So with each high-scoring club likely to get on the board at least once here plus the fact that odds on a draw are slim, you have excellent odds of this match getting to at least 3 goals though I am expecting 4+ for sure. Each of the last 5 meetings between these clubs have totaled at least 3 goals and 3 of the last 5 totaled 5 goals including each of the last two matches here. More of the same on tap in this one at Signal Iduna Park. 10* OVER 3 goals +105 in Borussia Dortmund |
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03-03-23 | Farul Constanta 1920 v. Universitatea Cluj OVER 2 | Top | 0-2 | Push | 0 | 9 h 34 m | Show |
Romania Liga 1 Friday 10* Top Play OVER 2 in Universitatea Cluj vs Farul @ 1 ET - Farul is at the top of the table with 2 weeks left in the regular season but CFR Cluj is right behind them and keeping the pressure on after winning again yesterday versus UTA. That said, Farul can not afford to settle for a draw here and I do look for them to have a challenging match with Universitatea Cluj in this one. Note that Farul did win the first match-up between these clubs 2-0 but that one was at Constanta. Now the clubs meet at Universitatea Cluj where these hosts have scored 2 goals in 3 of their last 4 matches since the winter break. Overall, Universitatea Cluj has been trending toward higher-scoring matches. They are off a low-scoring win but that had a lot to do with facing the punchless attack of Hermannstadt. Prior to that, 6 of last 7 Universitatea Cluj totaled 2 or more goals and 5 of the 6 totaled 3 or more goals. In fact, those 6 matches averaged 3.5 goals apiece! As for Farul, they are the highest-scoring club in the league and 20 of their last 23 matches have totaled at least 2 goals. I know Farul has not been allowing many goals of late but they will struggle to shutdown this Universitatea Cluj club which has been so strong recently on its home pitch. 10* OVER 2 in Universitatea Cluj |
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03-02-23 | Blues v. Sharks OVER 6.5 | Top | 6-3 | Win | 104 | 12 h 20 m | Show |
NHL Thursday 10* Top Play OVER 6.5 in San Jose Sharks vs St Louis Blues @ 10:35 ET - I know the Sharks have not been scoring that well for awhile now but this match-up features two teams that are losing a lot of games because they are allowing a ton of goals. That means both teams should enjoy success in the offensive zone in this one. St Louis, if you look at last 15 games, has scored at least 4 goals in all 4 wins but allowed 4.5 goals per game in the 11 losses. The Blues have allowed 5 goals per game in last 5 road games! You can see why I am expecting the Sharks to enjoy some success in the offensive zone in this one based on those numbers and the same holds true for St Louis. The Blues will take advantage of a Sharks club that is constantly allowing too many goals. Amazingly, Sharks have allowed 4 goals per game last 29 games. There are no signs of that changing anytime soon either. This one should get to at least 4-3 the way I handicap it and 5-4 would certainly not shock and the last meeting was 5-3. Grab the value here because the way these teams are giving up goals we should see a shootout despite their lower goal-scoring numbers of late. 10* OVER 6.5 in San Jose |
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03-02-23 | 76ers v. Mavs -2.5 | Top | 126-133 | Win | 100 | 12 h 24 m | Show |
NBA Thursday 10* Top Play Dallas Mavericks -2.5 vs Philadelphia 76ers @ 7:30 ET - This line has moved toward Philly from its opener and I do understand that for sure because Dallas has lost B2B games and 5 of 6 and is still trying to adjust since the trade for Irving. However, the 76ers are in a very tough B2B spot here as they just a big revenging win at Miami last night. Look for Philly to fall flat here in the 2nd game of the B2B. I know Embiid missed last night so he will play tonight most likely but I still like the Mavericks here to get back on track. Dallas off B2B tight losses including one in which they blew a 27 point lead to the Lakers. There will be no quit in the rested Mavericks tonight as they play for just the 2nd time this week. For the Sixers, this is 2nd game of B2B and 3rd game in 4 nights situation. 10* DALLAS -2.5 |
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03-02-23 | Senators v. Rangers OVER 6.5 | Top | 5-3 | Win | 100 | 9 h 18 m | Show |
NHL Thursday 10* Top Play OVER 6.5 in New York Rangers vs Ottawa Senators @ 7:05 ET - The Rangers are in a B2B and it was a hard-fought divisional win over the Flyers and they had to rally to tie it in the 3rd and then win in OT. That should set this one up well to be a higher-scoring game. Rangers used up a lot of defensive energy plus had top goalie Shesterkin between the pipes last night. Prior to that game, New York had allowed 3.5 goals last 11 games and 8 of the 11 games totaled at least 7 goals. As for the Senators, they have won 3 straight games and scored an average of 5.7 goals in those 3 victories. So Ottawa is certainly hot in the goal-scoring department but do note they also have allowed 3.5 goals per game in last 14 games. That said, Rangers should score well here on home ice but they are facing a red-hot Senators club too. The Sens will also be lighting the lamp often tonight too. 10* OVER 6.5 in New York Rangers |
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03-02-23 | Valparaiso +2.5 v. Murray State | Top | 50-78 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 43 m | Show |
CBB Thursday 10* Top Play Valparaiso Beacons +2.5 vs Murray State Racers @ 7 ET in MVC Tournament 1st Round in St Louis, MO - Why is this line 2.5 is the million dollar question here? This makes absolutely no sense. The Racers were just favored by 6.5 at home and and also favored by 3.5 when they faced the Beacons at Valparaiso earlier this season. Yes the most recent win came in OT for the Racers in the final game of the regular season as they defeated these same Beacons by just 1 point. But this line really looks funny to me. Valparaiso has lost 4 straight games and 7 of last 8 and they are 5-15 in conference action while Murray State is 11-9 in conference action and has won 3 of last 4 games. So the fact is this is a trap line. Many will be looking at the Racers here but a sharp book I follow also has this line down at a 2 which also says a lot. This looks like a great spot for Valparaiso to score the upset. Do not let the line fool you. Yes, the Beacons have struggled to get wins but they have been on the cusp and 3 of last 7 losses have been in OT and another regulation loss was by just a single point. In the most recent loss to Murray State, Valparaiso actually had 9 more field goal attempts in the game but were outscored by 11 at the free throw line and that certainly impacted the final outcome. On a neutral court, the Beacons should shoot better than they did in that game plus Murray State won't have such a big free throw edge either. 10* VALPARAISO +2.5 |
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03-02-23 | Barcelona FC v. Real Madrid OVER 2.5 | Top | 1-0 | Loss | -105 | 9 h 2 m | Show |
2022-23 Spanish Copa del Rey, Semifinals Thursday 10* Top Play OVER 2.5 in Real Madrid vs Barcelona @ 3 ET - The last 4 matches between these clubs that were not a club friendly all have totaled at least 4 goals and this one certainly is not a club friendly! This is a big match between two heavyweights from La Liga and I am expecting an intense battle that will end up at least a 2-1 final. I am aware of the personnel issues with each club. This total is just a little on the low side in my opinion as we are getting some extra line value from those personnel issues. Note that Barcelona is off a 1-0 loss but had scored an average of 2 goals per match in their 6 matches prior to that defeat. Both these clubs have scored an average of 2 goals per match in La Liga action this season. Note that Real Madrid has scored an average of 3.5 goals in last 6 matches across all competitions! We are going to see an entertaining match here with plenty of attacking in my opinion. I feel these clubs will not want to let it come down so much to the 2nd leg of this. Look for Real Madrid to be aggressive in trying to establish the upper hand in the 1st of leg of this as they take advantage of their home pitch and that aggression will mean some opportunities for a dangerous Barcelona team on the counterattack as well. 10* OVER 2.5 in Real Madrid |
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03-02-23 | Petrolul 52 v. Steaua Bucharesti OVER 2.5 | Top | 1-4 | Win | 100 | 6 h 19 m | Show |
Romania Liga 1 Thursday 10* Top Play OVER 2.5 in FCSB vs Petrolul Ploiesti @ 1 ET - Petrolul Ploiesti does struggle to score goals at times but they should get at least 1 here. FCSB has allowed at least 1 goal in 3 straight matches and in 4 of last 5 matches. In fact, in those 5 matches FCSB has allowed an average of 1.2 goals. The key here is FCSB is a huge favorite with good reasoning. They are likely to win this by a multiple goal margin. But also, lets say Petrolul Ploiesti does get that one goal, is there a chance of a 1-1 draw? Sure there is a chance but actually they have had only 3 draws in 27 matches this season so the odds on that are slim. The fact is this one should get to at least 2-1 but honestly expecting FCSB to get this total for us all by themselves is note necessarily expecting too much. The goal line on this match is 1.5 goals for a reason. Also, FCSB has averaged 2 goals scored per match last 13 matches and now they face a Petrolul Ploiesti club that has allowed 2.5 goals per match last 8 matches! 10* OVER 2.5 in FCSB |
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03-02-23 | UTA Arad v. CFR Cluj OVER 2.25 | Top | 1-2 | Win | 103 | 4 h 40 m | Show |
Romania Liga 1 Thursday 10* Top Play OVER 2 goals -135 in CFR Cluj vs Arad @ 10 AM ET - Arad is off B2B matches in which they did not score. I know we are talking about a bad club here. However, prior to those two matches, 17 of the last 19 Arad matches had totaled at least 2 goals. There is over 2 available on this match and that is how I would recommend to play it. Arad has NEVER gone 3 straight matches without scoring a goal this ENTIRE season and that is in 27 matches! So the odds favor them scoring a goal here but also the odds strongly favor CFR Cluj scoring well too as they are a heavy favorite for a reason. I am looking for at least a 2-1 win for the host but they could also score 3 on their own here. They will be relentless on the attack after settling for a 1-1 draw in the first meeting. That is one of only two draws that CFR Cluj has had in 27 matches this season. So the point is, if Arad gets at least 1, look for the hosts to get at least 2 goals! Looking for CFR Cluj to score plenty here as they are looking to make a run at Farul for top spot in the league and have now scored 8 goals in their past two league matches! 10* OVER 2 in CFR Cluj |
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03-01-23 | Texas +2.5 v. TCU | Top | 73-75 | Win | 100 | 10 h 57 m | Show |
CBB Wednesday 10* Top Play Texas Longhorns +2.5 @ TCU Horned Frogs @ 9 ET - This line opened up around a pick'em. This is despite TCU being 12-4 at home this season and Texas having a losing record on the road for the season. As I expected, the betting markets are jumping on the Horned Frogs and so now we can get +2.5 with the Longhorns in this one. Texas is coming off a loss to Baylor. That sets this up perfect (literally!) as UT has not lost B2B game this entire season. Texas is 6-0 when coming off a loss this season and now takes on a Horned Frogs team off a 1-point win. TCU, prior to that win, had lost 6 of 8 games. Also, if you look at TCU's last 8 games, they were solid defensively against Kansas but allowed an average of 76 points in the other 7 games. The Longhorns are not only 6-0 SU when off a loss this season, they have allowed an average (not including OT points of course) of only 59 points in those 6 games. As you can see, Texas responds well off a loss and definitely tends to D up when off a defeat! Overall, the Longhorns have allowed just 65.5 ppg last 6 games. Love the situation and fading the line move. Yes this is a revenge game for the Horned Frogs because they lost in Austin earlier this season but revenge tends to be over-played. Horns aren't going to lay down here after losing to the Bears. 10* TEXAS +2.5 |
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03-01-23 | Maple Leafs v. Oilers OVER 6.5 | Top | 2-5 | Win | 100 | 8 h 10 m | Show |
NHL Wednesday 10* Top Play OVER 6.5 in Edmonton Oilers vs Toronto Maple Leafs @ 8:05 ET - The Maple Leafs 5-1 win was the 8th time last 11 games that either Toronto or the opponent scored 5 or more goals. Overall, the Leafs last 11 games have featured only 2 grinders and the other 9 have featured an average of 7 goals! With this being Leafs/Oilers - a non-conference match-up featuring another dangerous offense - we should see plenty of scoring here. Edmonton is off a low-scoring loss but, prior to this, 15 of last 19 games totaled at least 7 goals. Oilers saw those 15 games average 8.7 goals each! When you look at Edmonton's recent stats, certainly this game has the makings of one where it is simply VERY hard to not envision each club getting to at least 3 goals and that means at least a 4-3 final here. 10* OVER 6.5 in Edmonton |
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03-01-23 | 76ers -130 v. Heat | Top | 119-96 | Win | 100 | 10 h 33 m | Show |
NBA Wednesday 10* Top Play Philadelphia 76ers Money Line -130 @ Miami Heat @ 7:40 ET - The 76ers are 2 point favorites in most books as of gameday morning and I do not want to get burned here if they win the game by a margin of just 2 or particularly just 1. That said, I will suggest a money line play here and the dominant line on this one is -130. The 76ers are getting a shot at right back revenge as they just lost at home to Miami by 2 points in a game in which the Heat made 5 more 3-pointers for a 15 point variance. That plus the Sixers being sloppy in the turnover department certainly were the key differences in the game. Note that Philly now enters this one off B2B losses. That is notable as the 76ers are 5-1 (83%) last 6 times they have entered a game off 2 or more consecutive losses. As for the Heat, they had lost 4 straight by sneaking out the win in Philly and now both Strus and Love are banged up entering this game. I respect Miami at home but the Sixers had been the hotter team and are very hungry in this revenge spot. Also, the 76ers have had 6 of these B2B spots this season where they face the same team in B2B games and they have NEVER lost both of the games. I do not expect that to change here. 10* PHILADELPHIA -130 |
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03-01-23 | Rangers v. Flyers +1.5 | Top | 3-2 | Win | 100 | 7 h 11 m | Show |
NHL Wednesday 10* Top Play Philadelphia Flyers +1.5 -125 vs New York Rangers @ 7:35 ET - This is when professional pride kicks in for team. Philly just got embarrassed 7-0 by the Devils. Now they take on another rival as the Rangers are in town. Philadelphia actually has had a ton of 1-goal losses this season so the value of having the 1.5 goals on their side is big here. Rangers are off a win but New York lost 4 straight games before that. Hart is known for being stronger in goal at home and Shesterkin has not been as strong as usual between the pipes of late for New York. That said, this one has the makings of being a very tight battle. Flyers, before this recent 3-game skid of uglier losses, had only 8 multi-goal losses last 34 games! Yes, at +1.5 goals Philly was on a 26-8 run and they get back on track here with an ultra-competitive effort after getting embarrassed by New Jersey in most recent game. 10* PHILADELPHIA +1.5 -125 |
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03-01-23 | Wolverhampton Wanderers v. Liverpool OVER 2.5 | Top | 0-2 | Loss | -135 | 6 h 14 m | Show |
EPL Wednesday 10* Top Play OVER 2.5 goals -135 in Liverpool vs Wolverhampton @ 3 ET - So this could be considered a contrarian play but I love this situation. Everyone sees Liverpool off a scoreless draw and hosting a Wolverhampton team known for struggling to score goals so the first thought that would come to mind, naturally, is under. However, the Reds were off a 5-2 loss to Real Madrid in which they had led 2-0 early. So Liverpool was a bit shell-shocked before their most recent EPL match and it showed in the 0-0 battle. They will bounce back here and they seek revenge against the Wolves from a 3-0 loss earlier this season at Wolverhampton. I do expect Liverpool to respond here and they are a 1-goal favorite on the goal line for a reason. The key to the over is I just do not see them delivering a clean sheet here but they also should score very well. Wolverhampton has averaged 1.5 goals in last 4 meetings with the Reds. However Liverpool has scored at least 2 goals in last two home meetings with the Wolves. Also, Liverpool had scored at least 2 goals in 3 straight matches overall before the scoreless draw with Crystal Palace. Prior to that match, the last 5 Liverpool matches had averaged 3.4 goals. Also, Wolverhampton is known for lower-scoring matches overall but do note that their last 12 road matches across all competitions have averaged 3 goals apiece. Considering that fact plus the situation here, this one has over written all over it. 10* OVER 2.5 goals -135 in Liverpool |
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03-01-23 | Everton v. Arsenal OVER 2.5 | Top | 0-4 | Win | 100 | 7 h 3 m | Show |
EPL Wednesday 10* Top Play OVER 2.5 goals in Arsenal vs Everton @ 2:45 ET - Of course this is a big revenge match for Arsenal and they are a huge money line favorite as a result. They also have a solid chance of winning this game by a multi-goal margin as evidenced by the -110 pricing on the goal line at -1.5 goals in this one! When you consider that plus the fact that Arsenal has conceded at least 1 goal in 14 of last 16 matches on their home pitch, you can see why I like the over in this one. The way I see it, even though Everton has struggled recently to score goals, this has the makings of a 2-1 or 3-1 final here. Everton did dominate play again in the first half of their most recent match but had nothing to show for it. They will therefore want to put the pressure on again here but I also look for revenge-minded Arsenal to be relentless in this match-up. The result should be plenty of scoring and I love the over in this match-up. 10* OVER 2.5 in Arsenal |
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03-01-23 | Rapid Bucuresti +116 v. Botosani | Top | 2-1 | Win | 116 | 6 h 14 m | Show |
Romania Liga 1 Wednesday 10* Top Play Rapid Bucuresti +112 @ FC Botosani @ 1:30 ET - FC Botosani is allowing 1.5 goals per match this season and only one club, CS Mioveni, has allowed more and that club is at the very bottom of the table. Indeed, FC Botosani is going to struggle here against Rapid. FC Botosani has allowed 6 goals over their last 3 matches. Rapid has allowed only 6 goals last 9 matches and also has not allowed a goal in either of last two road matches! Rapid is undefeated in last 4 meetings between these clubs and that includes a pair of shutout wins including 3-0 at home and also 2-0 in the most recent meeting here at FC Botosani. Of course, on the 3-way line we do get burned if this match ends in a draw. However, I love the value of the plus money on the money line here and I like the fact that they have picked up 4 solid wins in last 8 matches. Those 4 victories by a combined 12-2 score! This one has road rout potential and, either way, even if it ends 1-0 we'll take it as Rapid has been very tough to score on of late as noted above. 10* RAPID +112 |
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03-01-23 | Arges v. CS U Craiova OVER 2 | Top | 0-1 | Loss | -135 | 5 h 34 m | Show |
Romania Liga 1 Wednesday 10* Top Play OVER 2 goals -130 in Universitatea Craiova vs FC Arges @ 11 AM ET - Universitatea Craiova is a big money line favorite here with good reason and I feel that should help lead us to a solid over winner in this one. The ability to get this total at over 2 goals is what has me not hesitating to get involved here. Universitatea Craiova is happy to be back on their home pitch where they have scored an average of 2 goals per match last 9 matches! Also, they enter this match having scored at least 2 goals in 3 straight matches at home. Overall, 8 of last 9 matches at Universitatea Craiova have totaled at least 2 goals. FC Arges defeated Universitatea Craiova 1-0 in the first meeting this season but the 3 meetings prior to this all totaled at least 3 goals and averaged 4 goals apiece! Considering that plus the revenge angle, this one should fly over the total. 10* OVER 2 goals -130 in Universitatea Craiova |
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02-28-23 | Blackhawks v. Coyotes OVER 6 | Top | 1-4 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 2 m | Show |
NHL Tuesday 10* Top Play OVER 6 in Arizona Coyotes vs Chicago Blackhawks @ 9:05 ET - The Coyotes 6 of last 8 games have totaled at least 6 goals. In fact, those 6 games have averaged 8.8 goals apiece. We are going to see strong scoring here. Arizona is the rested team here but they continue to allow too many goals. Including OT or SO Coyotes opponents have reached the 6 goal mark 4 times in just the past two weeks. So the Blackhawks will get their share of scoring here for sure but look for Chicago to struggle in their own end in this back to back spot. The Blackhawks are off a 4-2 loss at Anaheim. They had their top goalie Mrazek in goal for that one too. That said, look for them to struggle in goal here and they have allowed 3.7 goals per game last dozen games. Chicago, yesterday notwithstanding, has been scoring better though. The Blackhawks had won 5 straight before yesterday's loss and the average score was 4-3 in those games. Overall, Chicago has seen 6 of last 7 games total at least 6 goals and this one will too! 10* OVER 6 in Arizona |
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02-28-23 | Pacers v. Mavs -7 | Top | 124-122 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 47 m | Show |
NBA Tuesday 10* Top Play Dallas Mavericks -7 vs Indiana Pacers @ 8:40 ET - While he is not a star, Maxi Kleber is a solid role player for the Mavs and could be back for this one. That may not seem like a big deal but, believe it or not, Dallas is 9-1 SU last 10 home games and he has played in and the only loss was to the big, bad Bucks. In other words, his presence helps. Of course the big story now is Irving being paired with Doncic and this pairing will continue to get stronger together. Also, Dallas is off a loss here and in bounce back mode. At the same time, Indiana is off a win so I really like the set up here. Hungry home team facing a Pacers team that has not record back to back wins since early January! The Mavericks are 11-3 SU this season when at home off a loss and Indiana had lost 17 of 20 prior to the big win at Orlando. Laying the reasonable number on the home team in this spot should prove well worth it in a game that has the makings of a rout at home by double digits. 10* DALLAS -7 |
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02-28-23 | Villanova v. Seton Hall +2 | Top | 76-72 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 55 m | Show |
NCAAB Tuesday 10* Top Play Seton Hall Pirates +2 vs Villanova Wildcats @ 8:30 ET - The Pirates are at home off B2B losses. Seton Hall is 3-0 this season when they are at home and on a losing streak of 2 or more games. Also, Villanova is 4-8 on the road this season while the Pirates are a solid 10-5 at home this season and this is their home finale. The Wildcats have surprised with wins in 5 of their last 6 games but they still are just 2-4 this season when they are entering a road game and coming off a victory. Give Nova some credit for sure too but in the win over Xavier, the Musketeers were sloppy and had twice as many turnovers. That was before the win over Creighton which saw the Bluejays make just 19% of their three pointers. This as set up great line value here. 10* SETON HALL +2 |
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02-28-23 | Red Wings v. Senators OVER 6.5 | Top | 1-6 | Win | 100 | 9 h 28 m | Show |
NHL Tuesday 10* Top Play OVER 6.5 in Ottawa Senators vs Detroit Red Wings @ 7:05 ET - 6-2 final yesterday in favor of Ottawa in a makeup from a game that originally scheduled for 23 December but postponed by snowstorm. That sets up a unique B2B here as the teams meet again tonight. Detroit entered this 2-game series off a 3-0 home loss to the Lightning Saturday. However, this was preceded by the Red Wings having won 7 of 9 games and scoring an average of 4.5 goals in their last 6 victories! Considering that plus the fact that this is the back-end of a B2B spot at Ottawa for the Red Wings, I love the over in this situation. The Senators have allowed 3.2 goals per game last 10 games and Ottawa had averaged scoring 4.5 goals per game their last 8 games before running into a very stiff test with B2B games at Boston and Carolina. The Sens, as expected, were able to get back on track at Montreal Saturday in terms of scoring goals and they got the 5-2 win over the Canadiens and then got it rolling big again last night with the 6-2 win over the Red Wings. But here they are going to have trouble slowing down the Red Wings who will be angry off yesterday's loss. Detroit scores more than 2 here but Senators keep rolling hot with the goal-scoring too. I am looking for a 4-3 type game as I have confidence both teams reach at least the 3-goal mark in this one based on the situation. 10* OVER 6.5 in Ottawa |
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02-28-23 | IUPU Ft Wayne +5.5 v. Detroit | Top | 68-81 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 42 m | Show |
Horizon League Tourney 10* Top Play IPFW Mastodons +5.5 @ Detroit Mercy Titans @ 7 ET - I like the scrappy Mastodons to get revenge here. If they fall short, I do expect at least a cover in this one! IPFW is actually 7-7 SU in road games this season and they had some impressive Horizon League wins this season too. However, they got blasted for one of their worst losses this season when they lost 85-52 at Detroit! Having also lost to the Mercy Titans when they hosted them, Indiana-Purdue Fort Wayne is out for revenge big time here. With the success that IPFW has had on the road this season plus the double revenge (including big loss) angle here, this one sets up well for an upset. That said, I am happy to have the handful of points. Note that other than the ugly loss at Detroit, the Mastodons had only 4 Horizon League losses and 3 of the 4 were by 5 or less points. Happy to grab the underdog here. The Titans are 8-13 SU last 21 games and will struggle just to win this game let alone cover the spread. Indiana-Purdue Fort Wayne will shoot much better than they did in their other trip to Detroit! 10* IPFW Mastodons +5.5 |
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02-28-23 | Manchester City v. Bristol City OVER 3.5 | Top | 3-0 | Loss | -100 | 10 h 60 m | Show |
2022-23 English FA Cup, Fifth Round Tuesday 10* Top Play OVER 3.5 goals +105 in Bristol City vs Manchester City @ 3 ET - The visitors are favored to win this by a 2-goal margin based on the goal line but I also look for Bristol City to get on the scoresheet as well. They will be on their home pitch and are currently enjoying a long unbeaten run plus have scored at least 1 goal in 11 straight matches across all competitions. Of course they are out-classed here by Manchester City, but they also have scored in each of last 3 meetings with them. I am looking for at least a 3-1 final here though 4-1 or more would also not surprise. We can get the over 3.5 at plus money here and I will not pass up on it as I expect Manchester City to put on a show here. They have scored at least 3 goals in 5 of last 7 premier league matches and off a 4-1 win versus Bournemouth. This one could finish with similar scoreline. In last match outside of premier league action for Manchester City, it was a disappointing 1-1 draw with RB Leipzig in UEFA Champions League action so I expect them to be relentless here. 10* OVER 3.5 goals +105 in Bristol City |
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02-28-23 | Sepsi v. Farul Constanta 1920 OVER 2.25 | Top | 0-2 | Loss | -50 | 8 h 37 m | Show |
Romania Liga 1 Tuesday 10* Top Play OVER 2 goals -140 in Farul vs Sepsi @ 1:30 ET - I would recommend shopping around here and grabbing the over 2 goals which is available in the -140 price range. I am playing this one fully expecting 3 or more goals but if it lands on 2 we have the added insurance here and, in that case, would get a push rather than a loss. The fact is Farul has had some lower scoring matches of late but they are the highest scoring club (and overall top club) in the league and they are back on their home pitch where they are known for being dominant. Farul is 9-1 in last 10 home matches and they themselves have scored an average of 2.6 goals in those 10 matches! Sepsi has not had a match total less than 2 goals since October! Indeed, 11 straight Sepsi matches have totaled at least 2 goals and, like Farul, they are one of the highest-scoring clubs in the league. Sepsi has scored an average of 2.1 goals last 11 matches! The last 3 matches between these clubs have all ended with just 1-0 finals but this one sets up entirely different! Both clubs are on unbeaten runs and playing very well and so dangerous on the attack and I love how Farul tends to play more of an attacking style when on their home pitch. 10* OVER 2 goals -140 in Farul |
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02-28-23 | U Craiova 1948 v. Chindia Targoviste OVER 2 | Top | 0-0 | Loss | -128 | 6 h 31 m | Show |
Romania Liga 1 Tuesday 10* Top Play OVER 2 in Chindia Targoviste vs U Craiova 1948 @ 11 AM ET - The recent matches between these teams have trended toward being lower-scoring but the current way these clubs are playing I am expecting plenty of goals here. We get the added value here of this total being available at 2 goals. Note that Chindia is off a 2-0 loss to Rapid but, prior to this, they themselves had scored 2 goals in 4 straight matches! Also, looking at what both they and their opponent have combined to score, 11 straight Chindia matches have totaled at least 2 goals! The last 7 Chindia matches have averaged 3 goals apiece! As for U Craiova 1948, we have seen 12 of their last 13 matches total at least 2 goals and also 5 straight U Craiova 1948 matches have totaled at least 3 goals! Just like Chindia, the last 7 U Craiova 1948 have averaged 3 goals apiece! 10* OVER 2 in Chindia Targoviste |
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02-27-23 | Baylor v. Oklahoma State +1.5 | Top | 74-68 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 51 m | Show |
CBB Monday 10* Top Play Oklahoma State Cowboys +1.5 vs Baylor Bears @ 9 ET - This line looks funny, does it not? Baylor is a solid team in the upper half of the Big 12 standings and facing an Oklahoma State team that is in the lower half of the Big 12 standings and yet the line opened in the pick'em range. Of course you know what this usually means...in other words, do not fall for the trap! The fact is that the Bears have played 3 straight ranked teams and have another one, Iowa State, on deck to wrap the regular season at home. Also, Baylor is off huge win versus rival Texas in most recent game. This is a tricky spot for the Bears while it is a great spot to back the Cowboys. Note that Oklahoma State is angry off 4 straight losses. This game is in Stillwater, OK and this is a proud school that draws fans well here and this is their home finale. Last but not least, this is a revenge game for the Cowboys also as they lost by 16 at Baylor earlier this season. Ideal set-up for payback here. 10* OKLAHOMA STATE +1.5 |
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02-27-23 | Heat v. 76ers -5.5 | Top | 101-99 | Loss | -115 | 10 h 25 m | Show |
NBA Monday 10* Top Play Philadelphia 76ers -5.5 vs Miami Heat @ 7:10 ET - The 76ers are off a loss. Win Philly is coming off a loss and wins their next game, 11 of those 12 wins have been by at least 8 points! So, the point is, if you like the Sixers to win this game, don't hesitate to lay the points! Certainly I do like Philadelphia to win this game as they are a perfect 6-0 SU the last 6 times they were at home and coming off a loss! All 6 of those wins have been by at least 9 points too! Here they are catching a Miami team that has lost 4 straight games overall plus is horrible 2-7 SU last 9 road games. Last but certainly not least here is the fact that this is the first time these teams have met since the Heat ended the Sixers season last year! Indeed, the 76ers season ended right here in mid-May in Philly when Miami got the final win for a 4-2 series victory in the post-season. Payback time has finally arrived. 76ers in a home blowout rout. 10* PHILADELPHIA -5.5 |
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02-27-23 | Red Wings v. Senators OVER 6.5 | Top | 2-6 | Win | 100 | 11 h 1 m | Show |
NHL Monday 10* Top Play OVER 6.5 in Ottawa Senators vs Detroit Red Wings @ 7:05 ET - Detroit is off a 3-0 home loss to the Lightning Saturday. However, this was preceded by the Red Wings having won 7 of 9 games and scoring an average of 4.5 goals in their last 6 victories! Considering that plus the fact that this is the front end of a B2B spot at Ottawa for the Red Wings, I love the over in this situation. The Senators have allowed 3.3 goals per game last 9 games and Ottawa had averaged scoring 4.5 goals per game their last 8 games before running into a very stiff test with B2B games at Boston and Carolina. The Sens, as expected, were able to get back on track at Montreal Saturday in terms of scoring goals and they got the 5-2 win over the Canadiens. But here they are going to have trouble slowing down the Red Wings who will be angry off a shutout loss. 10* OVER 6.5 in Ottawa |
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02-27-23 | Bellarmine v. North Florida -4.5 | Top | 76-74 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 38 m | Show |
Atlantic Sun Tourney Monday 10* Top Play North Florida Ospreys -4.5 vs Bellarmine @ 7 ET in Lynchburg, VA - North Florida just beat Bellarmine by a dozen in a match-up just a few days ago and it was no fluke. The Ospreys dominated the rebounding battle and that was a key to the win. Even though the ASUN decided to have this game at a neutral site, since the winner faces Liberty here in Lynchburg VA tomorrow, I really like North Florida's odds on advancing here. Of course we must cover the 4.5 point spread too but note that Bellarmine's 8 of last 10 losses have all been by double digit margins! Conversely, the Ospreys enter this game having an exceptional month as they are 6-2 with each of the 2 losses by just 2 points. I love the competitiveness of this North Florida team as evidenced in the post-game melee after a recent tough 2-point road loss at Austin Peay. This Ospreys team has the rebounding edge and edge in blocked shots over Bellarmine. The Knights play a smaller lineup emphasizing guard play but just like the recent meeting, it will not work again here either. The bigger Ospreys dominate again. Bellarmine won this tournament last year but their top two players from that team are gone. That is why the Knights had a much less impressive season this year and I feel this hungry Ospreys team is built well to advance. 10* NORTH FLORIDA -4.5 |
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02-27-23 | CFR Cluj v. Petrolul 52 OVER 2 | Top | 5-2 | Win | 100 | 10 h 38 m | Show |
Romania Liga 1 Monday 10* Top Play OVER 2 goals -115 in Petrolul Ploiesti vs CFR Cluj @ 1 ET - Here is what you have to ask yourself here...can each team score for us just at least one goal here? If the answer is high probability of a yes then you also have high probability of this one getting to 3 goals as well. Why? Well, neither one of these clubs settles for draws with much frequency at all. Out of all 16 clubs in Romania Liga 1 these two clubs have the fewest draws. Every club in the league has at least 6 draws except for these two as they have TOGETHER totaled only FIVE draws and that is in 52 matches! So the draw rate is less than 10 percent here. Can we expect each club to score and therefore expect at least a 2-1 final here? You bet...literally! CFR Cluj is one of the highest scoring clubs in the league plus had scored in each of first 11 road matches this season before failing to score in most recent one. You know they should bounce back here. CFR Cluj has averaged scoring 1.5 goals per match on the road. Petrolul Ploiesti has struggled recently when on the road but they are a different club when at home! As a host, Petrolul Ploiesti has scored at least 1 goals in 10 of last 12 matches and averaged 1.5 goals scored in those 10 matches. In other words, odds favor at least 3 goals in this one and we have the added value of this total being available at 2 goals. 16 of last 19 Petrolul Ploiesti matches have totaled at least 2 goals. 9 of 13 CFR Cluj road matches have totaled at least 2 goals. 10* OVER 2 goals -115 in Petrolul Ploiesti |
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02-27-23 | Fiorentina v. Verona OVER 2.5 | Top | 3-0 | Win | 125 | 9 h 31 m | Show |
Italian Serie A Monday 10* Top Play OVER 2.5 goals +125 in Verona vs Fiorentina @ 12:30 ET - The odds favor this one getting to 3 goals. I like the chances of each club scoring and then look at the fact that Fiorentina has only 3 draws in 11 road matches this season and Verona has only 1 draw in their 12 home matches this season! Also, it is a key battle near the relegation zone so each club pushing hard for the full 3 points in the table. I know Fiorentina has not been scoring all that well in league action but look for them to carry some positive momentum from recent matches outside the league. In the month of February, Fiorentina has played 2 matches in UEFA Europa Conference League and 1 match in Coppa Italia and they won all 3 and scored an average of 3.7 goals in those victories. Overall, across all competitions, Fiorentina has scored at least 1 goals in 6 of last 7 matches. Verona's home matches have averaged nearly 3 goals this season and they have scored an average of 1.5 goals last 6 matches as a host. Verona, however, has allowed nearly 2 goals per match in last 13 as a host. Before a loss at Roma last week, Verona had picked up at least 1 point in the table in 6 of last 7 matches. I like the compete level they have shown since Zaffaroni took over managerial duties during the winter break. Couple that with Fiorentina coming in hot in the goal-scoring department thanks to UEFA Europa Conference League action and you have a great set-up for an over here. 10* OVER 2.5 goals +125 in Verona |
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02-26-23 | Maple Leafs v. Seattle Kraken OVER 6.5 | Top | 5-1 | Loss | -100 | 10 h 41 m | Show |
NHL Sunday 10* Top Play OVER 6.5 in Seattle Kraken vs Toronto Maple Leafs @ 7:05 ET - The Maple Leafs seek revenge here at Seattle after a 5-1 loss when these teams met in Toronto. While I do expect the Leafs to score well here I expect Kraken to do the same on home ice. Seattle is off a 6-5 loss and it was the 4th time in 6 games that the Kraken have scored at least 4 goals. Their last 7 games have averaged 7 goals apiece! Toronto is off a tight 2-1 win over Minnesota but, prior to this, the Maple Leafs last 8 games averaged 4 goals apiece! You can see why I am expecting both teams to have some success here in the offensive zone and this is one of those spots where it looks like solid shot at each club getting to the 3 goal mark and that would translate to nothing less than a 4-3 final. 10* OVER 6.5 in Seattle |
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02-26-23 | Raptors v. Cavs OVER 214.5 | Top | 93-118 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 49 m | Show |
NBA Sunday 10* Top Play OVER 214.5 in Cleveland Cavaliers vs Toronto Raptors @ 6:10 ET - We get line value because this total has dropped as Raptors in a back to back and could be without Fred VanVleet yet again. With Toronto off a grinder at Detroit yesterday, I expect much better shooting today. The Raptors shoot poorly from everywhere yesterday but they put up 118 on Cleveland the last time they faced them and should bounce back here. Prior to the low-scoring win over the Pistons, each of last 4 Toronto games totaled at least 225 points! Also, though their most recent road trip ended with a low-scoring win at Memphis, it was preceded by 5 straight road games totaling at least 220 and averaging 236 points. Look for another higher-scoring road game here but we can take advantage of a lower total because the Cavaliers are involved. Yes, I know the Cavs are known for lower-scoring games long-term but their short-term trending has been much different so we have big value here. 4 straight Cleveland games have totaled at least 224 points! The average of those 4 Cavaliers games was 234 points apiece! 10* OVER 214.5 in Cleveland |
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02-26-23 | Wichita State +6.5 v. Tulane | Top | 83-76 | Win | 100 | 7 h 40 m | Show |
CBB Sunday 10* Top Play Wichita State Shockers +6.5 @ Tulane Green Wave @ 3 ET - The Shockers have been an anomaly this season as they buck the trend of home dominance in College Basketball. I am talking SU not ATS. I love grabbing road dogs in CBB and fading home faves in CBB as a general rule but Wichita State has taken things to another level this season. Yes I am still going to grab the points here and go ATS with this play but check out these SU stats involving the Shockers. Note that Wichita State is 7-9 SU in home games this season and 6-3 SU in road games! The trend is showing no signs of going away either as the road team has prevailed in 8 of last 9 Shockers games! The only exception was a double-OT win for Wichita State at home. Look for this road dominance to continue here as the Shockers have won 4 straight road games and they are seeking revenge for a loss at home versus Tulane earlier this season. The Green Wave are 5-3 SU last 8 games and 3 of their 5 wins were in OT so they have been far from dominant of late. They just got embarrassed at Houston and could be hanging heads a bit here as they also got knocked out of AAC Tourney by the Cougars last season. That game had extra meaning as a result but they continue to get pummeled by Houston. Of course the Cougars are at another level but Tulane was not even able to compete for very long in that game. Conversely the Shockers lost by just single digits when they faced Houston this season and they were right in the game even with just a few minutes left. The Shockers lost the first meeting this season in OT to Tulane when they blew a double digit lead at home. It is time for payback here and the Shockers are in their element for sure as a road underdog here. 10* WICHITA STATE SHOCKERS +6.5 |
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02-26-23 | Wisconsin +5 v. Michigan | Top | 79-87 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 54 m | Show |
CBB Sunday 10* Top Play Wisconsin Badgers +5 @ Michigan Wolverines @ 2 ET - This is Michigan's regular season home finale and I get that. However, this team is off B2B big wins. They had the emotional home win over rival Michigan State. They then followed that up by going on the road and getting an upset win at Rutgers after trailing by double digits early. The Wolverines do have revenge here against the Badgers but this Wisconsin team makes for a scrappy underdog and I like them in this spot against a Michigan team off B2B big wins. The Badgers are 4-3 in the month of February and one of the losses was in OT and the other two losses were by 2 and 1 point, respectively. That means at the end of regulation time, the 3 games in which Wisconsin lost, the net margin of the 3 losses was 3 points! The Badgers will again be ultra-competitive here and have allowed 61 points or less in regulation time of 7 of last 8 games! Michigan shot well in the win over Michigan State but has been held to 59 ppg in their other 3 games the past two weeks. The Badgers will be in this "grinder" all the way! 10* WISCONSIN +5 |
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02-26-23 | Steaua Bucharesti v. Arges OVER 2.5 | Top | 2-1 | Win | 101 | 8 h 51 m | Show |
Romania Liga 1 Sunday 10* Top Play OVER 2.5 in FC Arges vs FCSB @ 1:30 ET - Each of the last 3 meetings between these clubs have totaled at least 4 goals! Two of the three, including the one earlier this season, have totaled 5 goals! Look for another one filled with goals here because FCSB comes into this one angry! They are off a disappointing draw and want to respond here. They have scored an average of 2 goals per match in last dozen matches. FC Arges has allowed 1.7 goals last 10 matches. So you can see why I am expecting FCSB to score at least 2 goals here. The key to the win here is two possibilities. One is that FCSB scores at least 3 which they have actually done in each of last 3 meetings between these clubs. The other is just FC Arges at least getting on the board here and they have scored at least 1 goal in 6 of last 9 matches plus they are at home here. 10* OVER 2.5 in FC Arges |
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02-26-23 | Capitals v. Sabres OVER 6.5 | Top | 4-7 | Win | 100 | 4 h 15 m | Show |
NHL Sunday 10* Top Play OVER 6.5 in Buffalo Sabres vs Washington Captials @ 1:05 ET - Great set up here with Washington off the big 6-3 win over Rangers yesterday. Kuemper started yesterday so it probably will be Lindgren in goal today for Washington. He has allowed 3 goals in 3 straight straight starts. Of course if we get this game to 3-3 that means it has to get to at least 4-3 which cashes our ticket. Buffalo off a rare low-scoring win as they beat Florida 3-1. Prior to that, 7 straight Sabres games totaled at least 6 goals and those averaged 8 goals apiece! 3 of last 4 Buffalo home games have actually totaled 9 goals. Also, the Sabres have had a pair of recent road games reach double digits in goals! We'll see scoring here. 10* OVER 6.5 in Buffalo |
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02-26-23 | Newcastle United v. Manchester United +125 | Top | 0-2 | Win | 125 | 7 h 18 m | Show |
2022-23 English Carabao Cup, Final Sunday 10* Top Play Manchester United Money Line +125 vs Newcastle United @ 11:30 AM ET @ Wembley Stadium in London, England - Going to keep this one rather short and sweet. 3 factors here. The first one is, though I am not into historical data so much when it is too dated, the fact is that certainly Manchester United has the better history than Newcastle United on a stage like this. Secondly, the bigger key right now is that Manchester United is in much better current form than Newcastle United as Man U has won 7 of 9 matches and did not lose any of those 9 matches. Newcastle is off a loss and two draws in last 3 matches and generally continues to struggle goals so the form variation is big here. The third factor is the goalkeeper concern for Newcastle due to a red card being handed out in the most recent match. It looks like a very rusty goalkeeper could be called upon for this one. All these factors add up to solid line value with some plus money available here with the hot side on the 3-way money line. 10* MANCHESTER UNITED +125 |
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02-26-23 | CS U Craiova v. Voluntari OVER 2 | Top | 0-1 | Loss | -118 | 6 h 5 m | Show |
Romania Liga 1 Sunday 10* Top Play OVER 2 in FC Voluntari vs Universitatea Craiova @ 10:45 AM ET - This FC Voluntari club has endured a losing streak but they have faced a tough schedule of late and there is still fight in this club. The compete level is still there for them and at home they will continue to compete hard. However, Universitatea Craiova is currently 5th in the table and, as such, this is yet another tough battle for FC Voluntari. Look for the end result here to be plenty of scoring. FC Voluntari has seen 4 of last 5 matches total at least 3 goals. We get extra line value here with this total available at 2 goals as FC Voluntari has seen 8 of last 9 matches total at least 2 goals. As for Universitatea Craiova, 8 of last 10 matches have totaled at least 2 goals. I like the fact Universitatea Craiova has scored an average of 1.5 goals last 4 matches but also is facing a host here that will continue to remain ultra competitive. As a result, don't be surprised if this match gets to 1-1 at some point and ends at least a 2-1 final. Prior to a 1-1 draw with a tough FCSB club, Universitatea Craiova had gone 7 straight matches without a draw so look for at least a 2-1 here the way I see it! 10* OVER 2 in FC Voluntari |
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02-26-23 | Chelsea v. Tottenham Hotspur OVER 2.5 | Top | 0-2 | Loss | -100 | 5 h 11 m | Show |
EPL Sunday 10* Top Play OVER 2.5 goals +110 in Tottenham vs Chelsea @ 8:30 AM ET - Chelsea has not been scoring goals of late but they are getting healthier heading into this match and have more attacking options. Look for this one to play out similar to the 2-2 draw earlier this season! Tottenham is averaging 2 goals scored per match at home this season but also allowing 1.5 goals per match overall this season. Chelsea has averaged scoring 2 goals per match in last 5 meetings with Tottenham. The Hotspur averaging 2 goals per match at home this season as noted above. You can see why another 2-2 battle would not be shocking in the least. 10* over 2.5 goals +110 in Tottenham |
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02-25-23 | San Diego State -2.5 v. New Mexico | Top | 73-71 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 27 m | Show |
CBB Saturday 10* Top Play San Diego State Aztecs -2.5 @ New Mexico Lobos @ 10 ET - Great spot for San Diego State. They have one home loss this season. It came against the Lobos. This is a big revenge game for the Aztecs. They are a rock solid 7-1 in true road games this season. New Mexico has a great home court and a strong record there this season but the losses have all been more recent as they started the season 10-0 there and then have gone 4-3 since at home! Overall, the Lobos have been struggling as they enter this game having lost 6 of 8 games and that included a pair of home losses including most recent one by double digits versus Wyoming. The Aztecs are a ranked team and are the top team in the Mountain West Conference and they will get their payback here and the line is small enough that I am confident we get the cover as well. In fact, San Diego State has 22 wins this season and only 2 of them were by less than 3 points. Keep in mind also that, as strong as the Aztecs season has been, they still have not locked up the #1 spot in the standings for the regular season so they have plenty of motivation here in addition to the revenge angle. Lay it! 10* SAN DIEGO STATE -2.5 |
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02-25-23 | Celtics v. 76ers +1.5 | Top | 110-107 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 29 m | Show |
NBA Saturday 10* Top Play Philadelphia 76ers +1.5 vs Boston Celtics @ 8:40 ET - This is a tremendous revenge spot. Revenge is absolutely overplayed in sports betting but there are certain cases that are ultra strong, like this one, compared to just a normal revenge spot. Not only have the Sixers lost both games this season to the Celtics, this will be the first meeting in Philly between these long-time rivals since last February. What happened in that 457th meeting one year ago? It was the WORST EVER loss for a team in this rivalry that has had over 450 meetings through the many years. The Sixers got beat 135 to 87 on their HOME floor! That is the kind of defeat not easily forgotten and I fully expect Philadelphia to do everything they can to finally get some long-awaited payback here. Note that Sixers enter this game having won 27 of 34 games including 5 in a row. Not only 5 straight wins overall but also 5 straight home wins. Boston is off B2B wins but, prior to that, the Celtics had gone just 6-5 last 11 games. This is the right spot for the Celtics to lose a game and the red-hot Sixers to get some home-cooked revenge! 10* PHILADELPHIA 76ers +1.5 |
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02-25-23 | Indiana v. Purdue -7 | Top | 79-71 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 57 m | Show |
CBB Saturday 10* Top Play Purdue Boilermakers -7 vs Indiana Hoosiers @ 7:30 ET - This is a revenge game and is a "buy low" situation on Purdue. As a result of having been cooled off in recent weeks we are getting solid line value here. Keep in mind, the Boilermakers were sloppy in the loss at Indiana earlier this month. They had too many turnovers plus they also were hurt by poor free throw shooting and did make a modest, though unimpressive, 6 of 18 from 3 point land. Purdue did dominate the glass in that one and I expect rebounding, as well the facets of the game, to be dominated by the Boilermakers in this revenge rematch. Purdue is 13-1 this season in home games and Indiana is 4-7 this season in road games. Those are SU records of course but note that Boilermakers have 24 wins SU wins this season and 75% of them (18) have come by a margin of 8 or more points. The Hoosiers have 9 losses this season and 6 of them have been by a double digit margin. This one will be too. Blowout revenge at home for a Boilermakers team that is still looking to wrap up the regular season top spot in the Big Ten standings as they have not quite done so yet. 10* PURDUE -7 |
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02-25-23 | Ducks v. Hurricanes OVER 6.5 | Top | 3-2 | Loss | -108 | 9 h 53 m | Show |
NHL Saturday 10* Top Play OVER 6.5 in Carolina Hurricanes vs Anaheim Ducks @ 7 ET - The Hurricanes have a road trip on deck and it starts with a big game at Vegas. This is the type of trap situation where a team can let up a bit on defense as Carolina is wrapping up a long homestand and facing a bad team. Note that Anaheim is off a win and scored 4 goals and could surprise in the offensive zone here. However, prior to that the Ducks were on a long losing streak and consistently allowing a ton of goals. That is why Carolina, winners in 12 of 13 and averaging 4 goals per game during this stretch, will score a pile here. However, the point is that the Ducks will answer them with some scoring too given the situation. I feel we have good value here in a game that has 5-3 written all over it! 10* OVER 6.5 in Carolina |
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02-25-23 | Senators v. Canadiens OVER 6.5 | Top | 5-2 | Win | 100 | 8 h 28 m | Show |
NHL Saturday 10* Top Play OVER 6.5 in Montreal Canadiens vs Ottawa Senators @ 7:05 ET - Montreal off a 5-2 win at Philly last night. They have now had B2B 5-2 wins and 6 of their last 8 games have totaled at least 7 goals. Considering that plus the fact that this is a B2B and Montembeault likely to start in goal here for the Habs, I love the over in this spot. Montembeault is off a good start in his most recent one but this was preceded by him allowing 4 goals per game in his 4 prior starts. Also, the Senators have allowed 3.5 goals per game last 8 games but Ottawa had averaged scoring 4.5 goals per game their last 8 games before running into a very stiff test with B2B games at Boston and Carolina. The Sens will get back on track here at Montreal in terms of scoring goals but they are also going to have trouble slowing down the Canadiens. 10* OVER 6.5 in Montreal |
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02-25-23 | Liverpool -136 v. Crystal Palace | Top | 0-0 | Loss | -136 | 8 h 2 m | Show |
EPL Saturday 10* Top Play Liverpool Money Line -135 @ Crystal Palace @ 2:45 ET - The buy low, sell high theory is fully in place here. Liverpool was just up 2-0 against Real Madrid in Champions League action only to lose 5-2. So now everyone is down on the Reds and that means we get a chance to buy low here. Crystal Palace struggles on the attack and is not going to be able to take advantage of the weakness of Liverpool like Real Madrid did. That said, we are getting solid money line value here. Lets not forget that Liverpool had gotten back on track in league action with B2B 2-0 victories and I would not be surprised to see them make it 3 in a row here. While, across all competitions, Liverpool has scored 2 goals in 3 straight matches, Crystal Palace has yet to win a match in 2023! They have played 8 matches and have 0 victories to show for it and have scored an average of just 0.6 goals in those 8 matches! Crystal Palace simply will not be able to keep up here against an angry and determined visitor in this one. 10* LIVERPOOL -135 |
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02-25-23 | Chindia Targoviste v. Rapid Bucuresti OVER 2.25 | Top | 0-2 | Loss | -50 | 9 h 40 m | Show |
Romania Liga 1 Saturday 10* Top Play OVER 2 goals -125 in Rapid vs Chindia Targoviste @ 1 ET - Excellent line value here with this total available at 2 goals. Yes, Rapid is off a scoreless draw last week but that was on the road. Now they return home where they have seen each of their last 9 matches total at least 2 goals and those have actually averaged 3.2 goals apiece! In fact, their last 6 matches here at home in Bucuresti have all totaled at least 3 goals and have averaged 3.7 goals each! 2 of the last 3 matches between these clubs have totaled at least 3 goals and I like the way Chindia Targoviste has been playing of late. Chindia Targoviste has seen each of last 10 matches total at least 2 goals and their last 6 matches have averaged 3.2 goals with only 1 of the 6 failing to reach the 3-goal mark. So this is a double perfect spot in terms of 9 straight home matches for Rapid totaling at least 2 goals and 10 straight matches overall for Chindia Targoviste having totaled at least 2 goals! Excellent line value here with this total. 10* OVER 2 goals -125 in Rapid |
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02-25-23 | Manchester City v. AFC Bournemouth OVER 3 | Top | 4-1 | Win | 100 | 6 h 24 m | Show |
EPL Saturday 10* Top Play OVER 3 in Bournemouth vs Manchester City @ 12:30 ET - Manchester City is going to go ballistic here. They know they need to start being more aggressive and pick up 3 points in the table and I see this turning into a rout. Manchester City, as you can tell by the "goal line" posted on this match has a solid shot at winning this one by a multi-goal margin. They also have not been delivering many clean sheets, particularly on the road, plus Bournemouth has had some success scoring against City in past meetings. That said, 3-1 certainly has a fair share of probability here and I like the over a lot in this spot. Manchester City has averaged 3 goals scored in last 4 meetings with Bournemouth and City has conceded one goal in 3 of the last 4 meetings with them. Manchester City had an unacceptable 1-1 draw in most recent EPL action as it was against Nottingham Forest and this was preceded by B2B wins and I am expecting at least that for City in this one. Bournemouth trends toward lower-scoring matches but they are facing a fired up club here that is ready to put on a "clinic" in this one. 10* OVER 3 in Bournemouth |
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02-25-23 | Botosani v. Universitatea Cluj OVER 2 | Top | 0-2 | Push | 0 | 6 h 57 m | Show |
Romania Liga 1 Saturday 10* Top Play OVER 2 goals -130 in Universitatea Cluj vs FC Botosani @ 10 AM ET - The last 3 Universitatea Cluj matches have all totaled 4 or more goals! Each of the last 4 FC Botosani matches have totaled at least 2 goals and these have averaged 3.3 goals apiece. We have excellent value here with this total available at 2 goals. The last 5 FC Botosani road matches have averaged 3.8 goals and only one totaled less than 2 goals. The last 6 Universitatea Cluj matches have seen 5 of them total at least 3 goals! So definitely expecting a win here but the added value of 2 goals being a push rather than a loss is key here as well. 10* OVER 2 goals -130 in Universitatea Cluj |
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02-25-23 | Arsenal v. Leicester OVER 2.5 | Top | 1-0 | Loss | -140 | 5 h 35 m | Show |
EPL Saturday 10* Top Play OVER 2.5 in Leicester vs Arsenal @ 10 AM ET - Each of last 4 Leicester matches in league action have totaled at least 3 goals. In fact, those 4 matches have averaged 4.5 goals apiece! Leicester has conceded average of 2 goals last 8 EPL matches. Arsenal has averaged scoring 2 goals per match in road matches this season. That is tops in the league which makes sense as Arsenal is topping the table right now overall. However, do note that Arsenal has allowed at least 1 goals in 6 straight matches across all competitions. Of course they are favored here for a reason but have conceded average of 1.7 goals last 6 and I just can not see this match ending with anything less than a 2-1 final. Arsenal has scored an average of nearly 3 goals in last 4 matches versus Leicester and this one should get to at least 3 goals even if Arsenal does all the scoring but I do like the way Leicester is playing right now in terms of their attack. 4-2 again like the first meeting this season? It certainly would not be a shock since Arsenal has not been delivering clean sheets in recent weeks. 10* OVER 2.5 in Leicester |
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02-24-23 | Rockets v. Warriors OVER 231 | Top | 101-116 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 4 m | Show |
NBA Friday 10* Top Play OVER 230.5 / 231 in Golden State Warriors vs Houston Rockets @ 10:10 ET - I completely understand this total moving lower as the Warriors are in the 2nd game of a B2B and could rest guys plus of course are without Curry. However, do you realize how bad this Rockets defense is? Whoever is on the floor is still an NBA player and the point is this game should still play out as an absolute track meet with guys flying up and down the floor and firing up shots. Houston enters this game on a 7-game losing streak and, other than a low-scoring loss at defensive-minded Miami, the Rockets allowed 133 ppg in the other 6 games. The line on this game is Warriors by 10 which means if Houston has a typical game defensively we should see a 133-123 final which puts this one about 25 points above the current number. I am not necessarily expecting 256 here but the point is we have a lot of wiggle room with this total the way I see it. As bad a team as Houston has been they still score decently in a lot of games. They have averaged about 112 points last 9 games and that includes some recent lower-scoring efforts which I do not expect to be repeated here with Rockets wanting to push Warriors in the 2nd game of a B2B spot. 10* OVER 230.5 / 231 in Golden State |
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02-24-23 | Canadiens v. Flyers -140 | Top | 5-2 | Loss | -140 | 9 h 0 m | Show |
NHL Friday 10* Top Play Philadelphia Flyers -150 vs Montreal Canadiens @ 7:05 ET - While it may seem surprising to see the Flyers as a sizable money line favorite here, the fact is this is a great spot to back them. This match-up has a little extra spice to it because these teams had a memorable post-season series just a few years ago. The Flyers took that series but Montreal did take the first regular season meeting this season and it was a memorable one. The Canadiens tied the game with 2 seconds left and then won the game in overtime! Suffice to say the Flyers felt shell-shocked after that frustrating loss. Look for them to take advantage here as they finally get their shot at revenge from that early-season loss. The key here is Philly does tend to be quite solid at home while Montreal has been struggling on the road for months now. The Canadiens had lost 10 of last 11 road games before a big win at New Jersey Tuesday. I look for the losing ways away from home to resume here after that rare road win over the Devils. Revenge is a real motivator for the Flyers here and they want to get back on track after having some recent struggles of their own of late. 10* PHILADELPHIA -150 |
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02-24-23 | Xavier -120 v. Seton Hall | Top | 82-60 | Win | 100 | 9 h 28 m | Show |
CBB Friday 10* Top Play Xavier Musketeers Money Line -120/-125 @ Seton Hall Pirates @ 7 ET - The Pirates have a middle of the road Big East record but they truly have struggled against teams above them in the standings. They have 9 wins in the Big East this season and 2 each have come against the bottom 4 teams in the conference. Those 8 victories coming over St John's, Georgetown, DePaul, and Butler. The combined record of those teams is 18-53 in Big East games. The record for this ranked Xavier team is 20-8 including 12-5 in conference action. The point is that we have excellent line value here with just asking the Musketeers to win this game. Amazingly 6 of the 8 Musketeers losses have come by an average margin of defeat of only 1.83 points! The point is that Xavier is a very high-quality team and they are off a tight loss here and I again expect Seton Hall to struggle against an upper-tier opponent. Adding to the value is that the Musketeers are off a loss by just a single point. 10* XAVIER -120/-125 |
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02-24-23 | Wolverhampton Wanderers v. Fulham OVER 2.5 | Top | 1-1 | Loss | -100 | 7 h 18 m | Show |
EPL Friday 10* Top Play OVER 2.5 goals +120 in Fulham vs Wolverhampton @ 3 ET - I know this is a bit of a contrarian play considering the overall low-scoring trending of Wolverhampton as well as the fact that meetings between these clubs have trended under in recent years as well. However, let us not forget that Fulham's home matches this season have averaged totaling 3 goals. Also, Wolverhampton's road matches, across all competitions, have trended toward higher-scoring than their home matches. In fact, 7 of the last 10 away from home across all competitions for the Wolves have totaled 3 or more goals. Fulham is off a 1-0 win over Brighton & Hove but they actually gave up a lot of shots in that match and I feel this result is also helping to give us line value here as we get the total in the +120 range with the over 2.5 in this one. Another thing I like here is just that I do no expect a clean sheet for either club. Wolverhampton has to go hard to pick up at least 3 points in the table with a win here and they can not sit back and they need to be aggressive on the attack. Fulham has scored at least 1 goal in 12 of last 15 matches across all competitions. Also, both clubs have each had only 5 draws this season and we are nearing the 25-match mark on the campaign so the point is, I am looking for at least a 2-1 final here given all the above. 10* OVER 2.5 goals in Fulham |
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02-24-23 | Farul Constanta 1920 v. UTA Arad | Top | 1-0 | Win | 100 | 7 h 7 m | Show |
Romania Liga 1 Friday 10* Top Play Farul Goal Line PK -130 @ UTA @ 1:30 ET - UTA has been playing well enough that this line on Farul is very reasonable here. Since UTA is on their home pitch plus playing decently of late, we can get Farul on the goal line at a very reasonable -130 price. This is a great line value because it means UTA has to win this match for us to lose our bet. A loss for UTA and we win with Farul of course. A draw in this match means we get our money back so we settle for a push. This is noteworthy as UTA has only 5 victories in 26 matches this season and Farul is at the very top of the table with only 3 losses in their 26 matches this season. So we have exceptional line value here and I like the fact Farul has allowed only 1 goal in 3 matches this month! Amazingly, since opening the season with a 2-0 win at home, UTA actually has allowed at least 1 goal in their dozen home matches since then! In those 12 matches at home, UTA has conceded an average of 1.5 goals. Lot of value with the top team in the league on the road for this one. 10* FARUL Goal Line PK -130 |
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02-24-23 | Mioveni v. U Craiova 1948 OVER 2.25 | Top | 1-2 | Win | 100 | 5 h 5 m | Show |
Romania Liga 1 Friday 10* Top Play OVER 2.5 goals +120 in U Craiova 1948 vs CS Mioveni @ 11 AM ET - After a scoreless draw with a tough Rapid club last week, CS Mioveni will get back to their recent success in terms of goal-scoring. Yes, CS Mioveni has had a tough season but they have been much better for weeks now and had scored at least 1 goal in 5 straight matches and averaged 1.6 goals scored per match during this stretch. Also, CS Mioveni is on the road for this one and they have allowed at least 1 goal in 8 straight matches away from home. In those 8 matches, CS Mioveni has conceded an average of 2.3 goals per match. U Craiova 1948 is unbeaten in last 4 home matches and has averaged scoring 2.3 goals per match during this stretch. U Craiova 1948 has conceded at least 1 goal in 5 of last 6 matches and has allowed an average of 1.4 goals in those 5 matches. Given all of the above, you can see why I am expecting at least a 3 goals in this one as a 2-1 final is what we should get to at a minimum here. U Craiova 1948 has only 6 draws in 26 matches this season but you can see why I am expecting each club to score at least once in this one and that gets us to a 2-1 at least the way I see it! 10* OVER 2.5 goals +120 in U Craiova 1948 |
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02-23-23 | Flames v. Golden Knights OVER 6.5 | Top | 3-4 | Win | 105 | 7 h 46 m | Show |
NHL Thursday 10* Top Play OVER 6.5 in Vegas Golden Knights vs Calgary Flames @ 9:05 ET - Vegas has had injury issues at the goalie position so they are again going with Laurent Brossoit here. I know he had a good first start but the goaltender has struggled frequently in recent seasons and is facing a Flames team that is 2nd in the league in terms of shots on goal. They fired a bunch again in last night's win at Arizona and while that is good news in terms of offensive production, this Flames team also has a tough goalie and defense situation with the back to back. I like the fact that Calgary's 9 of last 12 games have totaled at least 7 goals. In fact those dozen games have averaged 7 goals so I really like this one, given the situation, to certainly get to "average" at the very least. Vegas has won 5 of 6 games and had scored 4.8 goals per game before a low-scoring loss to the Blackhawks. The Knights should get back on track here off the loss in an entertaining high-scoring affair here. 10* OVER 6.5 in Vegas |
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02-23-23 | Canucks v. Blues OVER 6.5 | Top | 3-2 | Loss | -135 | 6 h 17 m | Show |
NHL Thursday 10* Top Play OVER 6.5 in St Louis Blues vs Vancouver Canucks @ 8:05 ET - Both teams known for high-scoring games. Vancouver's last 11 games and 17 of last 19 games have totaled 7 or more goals. St Louis has lost 8 of 11 games and allowed 4.3 goals per game during this stretch. Canucks consistently giving up big goal totals so the Blues are sure to score well on home ice here too. But St Louis can not stop anyone either. This turns into a high-scoring barnburner. 10* OVER 6.5 in St Louis |
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02-23-23 | Grizzlies v. 76ers -3 | Top | 105-110 | Win | 100 | 8 h 57 m | Show |
NBA Thursday 10* Top Play Philadelphia 76ers -3 vs Memphis Grizzlies @ 7:30 ET - The Grizzlies still without big man Steven Adams and sure could use him here against the Sixers. That said, Memphis is only 4-9 last 13 games and they have gone 11-17 in road games this season. Philadelphia is 23-8 in home games and laying a small number here at home and I feel we have great line value after the downward line move on this one as it opened up around a 5 and has fallen to around a 3 as of late morning gameday. Philly has won 26 of 33 games and gets the cash again here with the SU win covering the small spread in this one. 10* PHILADELPHIA -3 |
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02-23-23 | Northern Kentucky v. Detroit OVER 139 | Top | 67-64 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 38 m | Show |
CBB Thursday 10* Top Play OVER 139 in Detroit Mercy Titans vs Northern Kentucky Norse @ 7 ET - The Titans continue to be involved in high-scoring games and just allowed 68 to a bad IUPUI team. The point is that facing a respectable Northern Kentucky team is likely to lead to even more points being scored in this one. The first meeting did go to OT but, even without the OT, the game hit 142 in regulation time. That said, we have excellent line value here as Detroit enters this one averaging 77.4 ppg but allowing 75.8 ppg on the season. I know the Norse have lower-scoring trending but the Titans will dictate the pace of this game on their home floor. Northern Kentucky is facing a Detroit team that, not including OT points of course, has seen nearly ever single one of their games total at least 140 points this season! The Titans have been putting up huge points and, other than one outlier versus IPFW, they have allowed an average of 78 points last 14 games. That does not include OT points either. This game is priced right around pick'em so, given Detroit's knack for finishing in the 70s and 80s for points scored in most games, you can see why I love the over in this spot. 10* OVER 139 in Detroit |
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02-23-23 | Barcelona FC v. Manchester United OVER 2.5 | Top | 1-2 | Win | 100 | 5 h 36 m | Show |
2022-23 UEFA Europa League, Knockout Round Playoffs, Thursday 10* Top Play OVER 2.5 in Manchester United vs Barcelona FC @ 3 ET - The first match-up finished 2-2. Both clubs will go hard to decide this one in regulation time because they are tied on the aggregate with a 2-2 score in that first meeting. I feel that increases the odds of this one getting to at least 2-1 final within regular time. Manchester United has scored at least 2 goals in 9 straight matches and 13 of last 14. Barcelona also has been red hot so the confidence level of both these clubs is sky high right now. Barcelona is unbeaten in 18 straight matches and has scored an average of 2.1 goals per match. Based on those numbers, it comes as no surprise that the first meeting ended 2-2 and I am expecting at least a 2-1 final here in the knockout round! 10* OVER 2.5 in Manchester United |
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02-22-23 | Flames v. Coyotes OVER 6 | Top | 6-3 | Win | 100 | 13 h 54 m | Show |
NHL Wednesday 10* Top Play OVER 6 in Arizona Coyotes vs Calgary Flames @ 9:35 ET - The Flames are in a bit of a tricky spot here. They have a bigger game on deck at Vegas tomorrow night so they could overlook Arizona here. The Coyotes make for a dangerous home dog. However, I fully expect Calgary to respond off their home loss to the Flyers which was a tight 4-3 defeat. The issue for the Flames is they sometimes have struggled to slow down the opposition. Calgary has allowed about 3.5 goals per last 14 games. The Flames have scored about 3.5 goals per game last 11 games. The point is that this game has all the makings of one that will see each team get to the 3-goal mark. That guarantees us of nothing less than a 4-3 final of course if we do see that happen and I fully expect this. The Coyotes are off a tight 3-2 win in OT but prior to this they had seen 4 of 5 games total at least 6 goals and those 4 games actually averaged 9 goals apiece. Look for more of the same here in what should be a wild one. 10* OVER 6 in Arizona |
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02-22-23 | Wake Forest +6.5 v. NC State | Top | 74-90 | Loss | -113 | 14 h 43 m | Show |
CBB Wednesday 10* Top Play Wake Forest Demon Deacons +6.5 @ NC State Wolfpack @ 9 ET - Fantastic spot here as Wake Forest is off a 9-point loss at Miami as the Hurricanes just would not miss in that game. Also, the Demon Deacons have revenge here for a 2 point home loss to NC State which is actually one of FIVE losses for WF this season that have come by just 2 points! The fact is that Wake Forest just does not get blown out very often at all and they are actually catching NC State at the perfect time to get an upset win of their own here. The Wolfpack are off a big win over rival North Carolina. They also finish the season with a revenge game against Clemson after this one plus then close it out with big game versus Duke. So this is a true "sandwich spot" game where NC State could look right past the revenge minded Demon Deacons. Prior to that win over Tar Heels, the Wolfpack had played 16 ACC games and only 6 of them were wins by more than a 4 point margin. This game very likely to go down to the wire and could be decided by just a single possession one way or the other late. The fact is potential upset here and definitely great spot for value with the sizable points. 10* WAKE FOREST +6.5 |