Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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02-02-19 | Oregon v. Colorado +1 | Top | 51-73 | Win | 100 | 12 h 2 m | Show |
This is a play on the COLORADO BUFFALOES for our CBB Saturday Enforcer. Colorado is coming off a loss against Oregon St. on Thursday which was its second straight loss as well as its second straight loss at home after a 7-0 start in Boulder. The Buffaloes have opened a disappointing 2-6 in the Pac 12 but the linesmakers are taking that into consideration here with this number and going back, Colorado is 20-8 ATS in its last 28 games as a home underdog or pickem. Oregon meanwhile is coming off a win at Utah which was its second straight victory to move back to .500 in the conference. This has been a home dominated series of late with the host taking the last eight meetings and the Ducks are 4-9-1 ATS in their last 14 road games against teams with a winning home record. 10* (760) Colorado Buffaloes |
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02-02-19 | Nets +2 v. Magic | Top | 89-102 | Loss | -100 | 9 h 38 m | Show |
This is a play on the BROOKLYN NETS for our NBA Saturday Enforcer. Brooklyn lost in San Antonio two nights ago to make it two straight losses on the road and it has fallen back to two games under .500 on the highway. The Nets are 7-6 in their last 13 road games and all six of those losses have come against teams currently residing in playoff positions. Brooklyn is 8-0 ATS in its last eight road games after allowing 110 points or more in three straight games. Orlando took care of Indiana on Thursday to snap a four-game losing streak as well as a four-game home losing skid. The Magic are just 11-15 at home so there is not much of a home court edge here and going back, they are is 4-13 ATS in their last 17 games as home favorites of six points or less. Here, we play on underdogs with a winning percentage between .501 and .600 after having won five or six of their last seven games, playing a losing team. This situation is 36-14 ATS (72 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (503) Brooklyn Nets |
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02-02-19 | Southern Miss v. Florida Atlantic +1.5 | 74-72 | Loss | -105 | 7 h 20 m | Show | |
This is a play on the FLORIDA ATLANTIC OWLS as part of our CBB Saturday Afternoon Trifecta. We played against Southern Mississippi on Thursday as it was coming off a 50-point win and while a letdown was expected, the Golden Eagles rolled FIU as they have scored 190 points in their last tow games after scoring 186 points in their three previous games. This is the second time this season they are playing consecutive road games in a span of three days and the first resulted in a loss by 17 points in the second game following a win two days before. Florida Atlantic has also won two straight games, both coming as a five-point underdog, including a win against Louisiana Tech Thursday to improve to 7-2 at home. Wrong team favored here. 9* (670) Florida Atlantic Owls |
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02-02-19 | Mississippi State v. Ole Miss -1.5 | 81-75 | Loss | -109 | 7 h 51 m | Show | |
This is a play on the MISSISSIPPI REBELS as part of our CBB Saturday Afternoon Trifecta. A 10-game winning streak, culminated with a win over rival Mississippi St., has reversed course as the Rebels have lost four of their last five games including three straight. Mississippi opened the season 7-0 at home but has dropped two of its last three including a 14-point loss against Iowa St. last Saturday in the Big XII/SEC Challenge. The Rebels are 5-0 ATS in their last five home games against teams with a losing road record. Mississippi St. is coming off a loss at Alabama on Tuesday to fall to 1-3 on the road in SEC games and while two of those were close, the line today shows all it takes is another close loss. 9* (660) Mississippi Rebels |
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02-02-19 | Tulsa v. Wichita State -3.5 | 68-79 | Win | 100 | 6 h 31 m | Show | |
This is a play on the WICHITA ST. SHOCKERS as part of our CBB Saturday Afternoon Trifecta. The days of Wichita St. dominating its conference have taken a detour this season as the Shockers are off to a 2-6 start after going 14-4 in its inaugural season in the AAC a year ago. They picked up their second conference win on Wednesday over SMU to improve to 6-3 at home and those losses came against three teams all of which have at least 15 wins. Tulsa does have a winning record on the season but it is just 1-5 on the road with the lone victory coming against Oral Roberts. The Shockers are 4-0 ATS in their last four home games against teams with a road winning percentage of less than .400. 9* (648) Wichita St. Shockers |
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02-01-19 | Thunder v. Heat +5 | Top | 118-102 | Loss | -105 | 9 h 45 m | Show |
This is a play on the MIAMI HEAT for our NBA Friday Enforcer. Miami had won two straight games to get back to .500 on the season but did not show up against Chicago on Wednesday as it lost by 16 points at home as a 10.5-point favorite. That puts the Heat in a great spot tonight as teams coming off embarrassing losses tend to bounce back big times, especially one against a team with the second worst record in the Eastern Conference. Additionally, the Heat are 10-4 ATS in their last 14 games against teams with a winning straight up record. Oklahoma City has won six straight games including a win at Orlando on Wednesday as part of this Florida trip and this can be a tough trek for teams that head to South Beach. The Thunder head to Boston for a game on Sunday so there is the chance of a lookahead as well. Here, we play on home underdogs in the second half of the season that are coming off an upset loss as a home favorite. This situation is 43-16 ATS (72.9 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (586) Miami Heat |
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01-31-19 | UTEP v. Marshall -9.5 | Top | 86-91 | Loss | -105 | 7 h 1 m | Show |
This is a play on the MARSHALL THUNDERING HERD as part of our Thursday Trifecta. While we are playing against the team that won by 50 points, we are also playing on the team that lost by 50 points in that matchup. Marshall had no answer for Southern Mississippi as it lost 101-51 as that was its worst offensive game of the season including lows for points, field goals (15), field goal percentage (25.0 percent) and three-point field goal percentage (20.0 percent). That was the end of a brutal stretch where the Thundering Herd were playing their third straight road game in a span of six days. UTEP won just its second conference game on Saturday as it defeated 5-15 Charlotte by four points. The only other C-USA victory came by only one point against 8-13 Rice. The Miners are winless on the road at 0-7, losing those games by an average of nearly 15 ppg. Here, we play against underdogs in the second half of the season allowing between 67 and 74 ppg going up against teams allowing 78 or more, after a win by six points or less. This situation is 30-9 ATS (76.9 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (632) Marshall Thundering Herd |
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01-31-19 | Mavs v. Pistons -2 | Top | 89-93 | Win | 100 | 11 h 8 m | Show |
This is a play on the DETROIT PISTONS for our NBA Thursday Enforcer. Dallas picked up a rare road win last night as it won for just the fifth time away from home. The Mavericks have not won consecutive road games this season and the follow up results have been awful with the four road losses following the road wins coming by 10, 11, 21 and 12 points. Additionally, the Mavericks have been unable to solve playing with no rest on the highway as they are 0-7 this season when playing the second of a back-to-back game on the road. Detroit has lost two straight games with the latest coming at home against top seeded Milwaukee and the game before that on the road in Dallas which sets up a quick turnaround revenge spot. It has been a tough season for the Pistons but despite being seven games under .500, they are just 2.5 games out of the final playoff spot in the Eastern Conference. They are just one game over .500 at home and because of that, they are laying a short number which is a big edge as the favorite is 38-13 in Detroit games this season with Detroit winning 12 of 16 games in this position. 10* (572) Detroit Pistons |
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01-31-19 | Purdue v. Penn State +8.5 | 99-90 | Loss | -115 | 7 h 34 m | Show | |
This is a play on the PENN ST. NITTANY LIONS as part of our Thursday Trifecta. Purdue is once again on the national scene after going through a rough stretch between mid-November and mid-December. Since a 77-59 loss at No. 6 Michigan St. on Jan. 8, the Boilermakers have reeled off five consecutive wins, four of them by double digits. This includes a revenge win over the Spartans on Sunday by 10 points in a game they led by as many as 23 points. That puts Purdue in a tough spot here and even more so with a pair of home games on deck. The Boilermakers are 0-5 ATS in their last five games against teams with a losing straight up record while going 0-6 ATS in their last six road games against teams making 42 percent or less of their shots. For Penn State, the season has been a mighty struggle, though four of the past five games were close. The Nittany Lions are 0-9 in the Big Ten but only a third of the games have been non-competitive and playing at home has been a lot better than the highway where they are 0-6. Penn St. is 14-4 ATS in its last 18 games after three straight games committing 14 or less turnovers. 9* (602) Penn St. Nittany Lions |
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01-31-19 | Southern Miss v. Florida International | 89-73 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 32 m | Show | |
This is a play on the FLORIDA INTERNATIONAL GOLDEN PANTHERS as part of our Thursday Trifecta. Southern Mississippi is coming off a 50-point win against Marshall as the Golden Eagles made 42 of their 65 shots against the Herd for a remarkable 64.6 shooting percentage. They are now 4-5 in C-USA thanks to a 3-1 record at home but they are just 1-4 on the road within the conference with the only victory coming at Charlotte by three points. Three of those four losses have been by at least eight points and going back, Southern Mississippi is 3-11 ATS in its last 14 games after allowing 60 points or less. Florida International is coming off a home loss against rival Florida Atlantic to fall to 4-4 in the conference and it falls into a good spot as it has gone 7-0 this season following a loss. The Golden Panthers are 7-3 at home with the success coming from the potent offense. Florida International is averaging 91.5 ppg at home this season and the Panthers have hit the century mark in five of their 10 games at home. The Golden Eagles are 6-0 ATS in their last six games coming off a home loss by 10 points or more. 9* (616) Florida International Golden Panthers |
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01-30-19 | Hawks v. Kings -5.5 | Top | 113-135 | Win | 100 | 14 h 10 m | Show |
This is a play on the SACRAMENTO KINGS for our NBA Wednesday Enforcer. The Kings are back home after a 2-4 roadtrip, both wins coming against non-playoff teams and all four losses coming against teams that would qualify for the playoffs. Sacramento is 14-10 at home and of those 10 losses, none have come against a team with a losing record and with the exception of a loss against the Lakers back in November when LeBron James was playing, every home loss has comes against teams sitting in a playoff spot. It has been consistent as Sacramento is 16-5 ATS when playing against a team with a losing record this season. When favored, the Kings are 10-2 ATS and they are a perfect 6-0 ATS in their last six home games against teams with a road winning percentage of less than .400. The Hawks picked up a rare win over the Clippers two nights ago and while they have been more consistent since opening the season 6-23, this is not a good spot as they have lost five straight games following a win and by an average of 9.4 ppg. Additionally, the Hawks are 0-4 ATS in their last four games following an ATS win. 10* (566) Sacramento Kings |
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01-30-19 | Syracuse -2.5 v. Boston College | 77-71 | Win | 100 | 10 h 34 m | Show | |
This is a play on the SYRACUSE ORANGE as part of our Wednesday Trifecta. Give Syracuse credit for avoiding what could have been a major letdown following its big upset at Duke as it easily took care of Pittsburgh and Miami following that. The momentum was temporarily halted with a 22-point loss at Virginia Tech but the Hokies are very good team and the Orange have to avoid a loss here against a low level ACC team. They are an impressive 3-1 on the road with all three wins coming in tough environments. Syracuse is 12-3 ATS in its last 15 games after scoring 60 points or less. Boston College was riding a five-game losing streak before pulling off a major upset against Florida St. and followed that up with a road win at Wake Forest but that is not saying much as the Demon Deacons are the lowest ranked team in the conference by a lot. Boston College is 10-22 ATS in its last 32 home games after successfully covering the spread in three or more consecutive games. 9* (813) Syracuse Orange |
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01-30-19 | Providence v. Seton Hall -4.5 | 63-65 | Loss | -109 | 9 h 35 m | Show | |
This is a play on the SETON HALL PIRATES as part of our Wednesday Trifecta. As of right now, despite four straight losses, Seton Hall is one of the last four teams into the NCAA Tournament and this is the time of the season where teams need to not play out of those positions. Three of the four losses for the Pirates came on the road including a nine-point loss at Providence which brings quick turnaround revenge into play tonight. We played on Seton Hall on Sunday which was an awful call as it lost by 28 points and the situation favors the Pirates here as they are 20-7 ATS in their last 27 games coming off a conference loss by 20 points or more. Providence has won two straight games to improve to 3-4 in the Big East but it is still on the outside looking in. Those two wins came by a combined five points, both against non-contenders, and the Friars are 2-5 ATS in their last seven games against teams with a winning straight up record. 9* (804) Seton Hall Pirates |
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01-30-19 | Indiana -1.5 v. Rutgers | Top | 58-66 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 37 m | Show |
This is a play on the INDIANA HOOSIERS as part of our Wednesday Trifecta. Indiana opened Big Ten play with three straight wins but it has been a struggle since then as the Hoosiers have lost their last six games as the schedule has not been in their favor. Four of the six losses came on the road and all six have come against teams with winning record including having to play Michigan twice. Despite this, Indiana is still in the NCAA Tournament mix but a loss here would devastating especially with a game at Michigan St. on deck. While currently flawed, Indiana is still in the top 50 in the power rankings and owns three top 100 wins. Rutgers has won two straight games as significant underdogs but this is still a pretty bad team. An already struggling offense has found new lows since the start of January, and what is overall a reliable defense has faltered against the Big Ten. Add to that an inconsistent offense and it welcomes Indiana at the wrong time. 10* (797) Indiana Hoosiers |
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01-29-19 | 76ers -7 v. Lakers | Top | 121-105 | Win | 100 | 12 h 16 m | Show |
This is a play on the PHILADELPHIA 76ERS for our NBA Tuesday Enforcer. This line came out late in most places due to the myriad of injuries that the Lakers are dealing with. LeBron James is out at least one more game, Lonzo Ball will miss his fourth straight game with an ankle injury, Josh Hart looks doubtful with knee issues and Kyle Kuzma, the second best player on this team, is questionable after missing the last game. Los Angeles did win last time out despite the limited roster but that came against Phoenix and since James went down, it is 6-10 in 16 games with only one win coming against a team with a winning record. The Sixers were on a 5-1 run heading to Denver but their own injuries got in the way of what would have been a great matchup but Joel Embiid and Jimmy Butler both missed the game as they lost by 16 points. Both are back tonight and this is a tune up before playing Golden St. on Thursday. The Sixers are 6-1 ATS in their last seven games following a straight up loss of more than 10 points. Here, we play on favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points in the second half of the season with a scoring differential between +3 and +7 going up against a team with a scoring differential between +3 and -3, after allowing 110 points or more two straight games. This situation is 31-9 ATS (77.5 percent) since 1996. 10* (551) Philadelphia 76ers |
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01-29-19 | Kentucky v. Vanderbilt +10 | 87-52 | Loss | -115 | 11 h 18 m | Show | |
This is a play on the VANDERBILT COMMODORES as part of our CBB Tuesday Triple Play. There could not be a poorer spot for Kentucky as it is coming off a huge home win against Kansas last Saturday and has an upcoming revenge game at Florida this coming Saturday. Kentucky basically plays a six-man rotation and those were the only six players to score against Kansas. And while this is more of a football rivalry, recent history suggests that Kentucky should be wary of Vanderbilt. The Wildcats have won the last five meetings, but the nine-point margin from two weeks ago has been the biggest in the stretch. Vanderbilt won for us six days ago as it took No. 1 Tennessee to overtime before eventually losing by five points. There was a clear letdown as the Commodores traveled to Oklahoma for the Big XII/SEC Challenge and were decimated by 31 points. The Commodores also have a history of responding after bad games, however. They followed an 82-63 loss at Georgia by giving the Wildcats that scare on Jan. 12. Additionally, they followed up a 12-point loss against Mississippi St. with that solid game against Tennessee. Going back, Vanderbilt is 57-36 ATS in its last 93 home games against teams averaging 77 or more ppg. 9*(636) Vanderbilt Commodores |
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01-29-19 | Mississippi State v. Alabama -1.5 | Top | 79-83 | Win | 100 | 11 h 44 m | Show |
This is a play on the ALABAMA CRIMSON TIDE as part of our CBB Tuesday Triple Play. We played on Alabama a week ago and we are backing them again here in a similar situational matchup. The Crimson Tide are 3-3 in the SEC, including a buzzer-beater loss at the hands of Texas A&M and a road loss to No. 1 Tennessee by three points. Alabama is 7-2 at home with the two losses coming by a combined four points and included in the wins are victories against Kentucky and Arizona. Alabama is currently tied with LSU and Mississippi St. in the SEC for most total wins against Quadrant 1 and Quadrant 2 opponents with eight. Overall, the Crimson Tide are 8-3, and have just one loss against Q2 teams. They are back home after that loss against Baylor on Saturday. Mississippi St. is coming off what could be considered an upset as it defeated Auburn by eight points as a pickem at home. The Bulldogs are just 2-2 on the road with the wins coming against Dayton and Vanderbilt, both of which are ranked well below Alabama. The Tide are 7-2-1 ATS in their last 10 games against teams with a winning straight up record while the Bulldogs are 0-4 ATS in their last four games after scoring more than 90 points in their previous game. 10* (630) Alabama Crimson Tide |
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01-29-19 | Virginia v. NC State +7.5 | 66-65 | Win | 100 | 9 h 16 m | Show | |
This is a play on the NC STATE WOLFPACK as part of our CBB Tuesday Triple Play. While some victories can lead to letdowns next time out, that will not be the case for NC State based on who they are playing. The Wolfpack are coming off a two-point victory over Clemson as they rallied from six points down in the final 20 seconds to upend the Tigers on Braxton Beverly's three-pointer at the buzzer. That can be some positive momentum and confidence as opposed to a letdown and NC State is feeling good about its offense with point guard Markell Johnson back in the lineup as he missed all three games of a recent road stretch because of a back injury and he led the team in scoring with 16 points against Clemson. Virginia has been on a roll as a two-point loss against Duke is its only setback for the season and it enters tonight riding a 10-game unbeaten streak against the number. The Cavaliers rolled over Notre Dame on Saturday and while they were successful in their first back-to-back road games, the challenge is a bigger one here. Here, we play against favorites off a road win by 20 points or more, in a game involving two teams with winning percentages above .800. This situation is 81-39 ATS (67.5 percent) since 1997. 9* (616) NC State Wolfpack |
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01-28-19 | TCU v. Texas Tech -4.5 | Top | 65-84 | Win | 100 | 11 h 2 m | Show |
This is a play on the TEXAS TECH RED RAIDERS for our CBB Monday Enforcer. Texas Tech dropped consecutive Big XII games against Iowa St., Baylor and Kansas St. before notching a 67-64 victory over Arkansas on Saturday in the Big XII/SEC Challenge. The Red Raiders are hoping to keep that momentum going to improve upon their 4-3 record in the conference as they are a game out of first place heading into tonight. Texas Tech has failed to cover its last four games so the contrarian play here is aided by line value and going back, it is 17-5 ATS in its last 22 home games after failing to cover six or seven of its last eight games against the spread. TCU has won two straight games as it defeated Texas in its most recent Big XII game and followed that up with a win over Florida on Saturday. The Horned Frogs are 3-3 in the conference but all three of those losses came on the road and their only road victory this season came at SMU in a non-conference game. Going back, TCU is 13-27 ATS in its last 40 games in the second half of the season against teams allowing 39 percent or better shooting from the floor. 10* (856) Texas Tech Red Raiders |
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01-28-19 | Warriors v. Pacers +9.5 | Top | 132-100 | Loss | -115 | 10 h 52 m | Show |
This is a play on the INDIANA PACERS for our NBA Monday Enforcer. We played against Golden St. on Saturday as it escaped against the Celtics no thanks to an offensive rebound on a missed free throw with 8.6 seconds left to secure a four-point win and cover. The Warriors have now won 10 straight games as well as nine straight games on the road but after laying 3.5 points against Boston, they are laying a minimum of five points more against a team that has a better record than Boston and is just two points behind the Celtics in the updated power rankings. The loss of Victor Oladipo is a big one for sure but he is not worth the line adjustment that has been made here and the Pacers still have a loaded roster. While they have struggled against the top ten teams in the league with just seven wins, we are not asking them to win here, just stay competitive. Indiana is 17-5 ATS in its last 22 games as a home underdog of 6.5 to 12 points while Golden St. is 4-16 ATS in 20 games this season as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points. Additionally, we play on home underdogs coming off an upset loss as a favorite, in a game involving two teams with winning percentages between .600 and .750. This situation is 38-13 ATS (74.5 percent) since 1996. 10* (530) Indiana Pacers |
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01-27-19 | Raptors -4 v. Mavs | Top | 123-120 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 0 m | Show |
This is a play on the TORONTO RAPTORS for our NBA Sunday Enforcer. The Raptors, now 15-11 on the road, will look to snap a two-game skid against one of the better home teams in the league, despite Dallas being out of the Western Conference playoff mix. Toronto lost in Indiana and Houston by four and two points respectively and it will look to end a three-game road losing streak. Of the 11 road losses for the Raptors, only one has come against a team with a losing record and that came in Orlando without Kyle Lowry. Following close wins against the Clippers and the Pistons on Friday, the Mavericks own an 18-6 home mark, tied for the second-fewest home losses in the Western Conference. Certainly that is significant but the Mavericks struggled in their latest tough home tests, losing to Golden St. and San Antonio two weeks ago. Dallas is just 7-10 against the top ten power ranked teams while Toronto is 26-6 against teams ranked outside the top ten. Here, we play on favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points in the second half of the season with a scoring differential between +3 and +7 going up against a team with a scoring differential between +3 and -3, after allowing 110 points or more two straight games. This situation is 31-8 ATS (79.5 percent) since 1996. 10* (517) Toronto Raptors |
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01-27-19 | Seton Hall +8.5 v. Villanova | Top | 52-80 | Loss | -109 | 4 h 15 m | Show |
This is a play on the SETON HALL PIRATES for our CBB Sunday Enforcer. Seton Hall has lost three straight and four of its last five games but the schedule did not help as those five games came in a span of 14 days. Head coach Kevin Willard called conference scheduling absurd prior to the DePaul loss, saying it put his team at a competitive disadvantage and you cannot blame him. The good news is the Pirates have been off since last Saturday and going back, they Pirates are 19-8 ATS in their last 27 road games off an upset loss as a home favorite while going 6-0 ATS in road games against teams outscoring their opponents by eight or more ppg this season. Villanova has turned the corner after a shaky start to the season as it has won seven straight games including its first six in the Big East to take early control with Marquette looming. This will be a challenge despite Villanova having gone 16-0 at home against Seton Hall since 1994. The Pirates are looking like a potential NCAA Tournament team, having beaten St. Johns and Xavier within the conference and boasting a 9-3 non-conference record with wins over Kentucky and Maryland. 10* (831) Seton Hall Pirates |
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01-27-19 | Indiana State v. Illinois State -4 | 62-76 | Win | 100 | 4 h 47 m | Show | |
This is a play on the ILLINOIS ST. REDBIRDS for our CBB Sunday Supreme Annihilator. Illinois St. is coming off its worst loss in MVC play as it lost at Bradley by 17 points as it could not buy a basket while the Braves shot an unheard of 57.4 percent from the floor including 58.8 percent from long range. That snapped a two-game winning streak and the Redbirds are back home where they are 8-2 and during head coach Dan Muller's tenure, they have an 84-22 record at home making this one of the toughest venues in the conference. Of their three conference losses, two have come by two and three points and both of those took place on the road. Indiana St. comes into Redbird Arena after snapping a two-game losing skid on Wednesday with a 70-53 home win over Valparaiso. It was the best conference win by a wide margin. The Sycamores are a decent 3-4 on the road but two of those wins came against San Jose St. and Green Bat which are a combined 13-28 and the other win came in overtime at 9-12 Evansville. The Sycamores are 1-5 ATS in their last six games following a straight up win while Illinois St. is 19-8 ATS in its last 27 games after one or more consecutive losses. 9* (826) Illinois St. Redbirds |
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01-26-19 | Warriors v. Celtics +3.5 | Top | 115-111 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 39 m | Show |
This is a play on the BOSTON CELTICS for our NBA Saturday Enforcer. With DeMarcus Cousins back on the court, not many are going to be stepping in front of the Warriors as they have looked dominant in his three games. Overall, Golden St. has won nine straight games as it is finally back in the form that was expected all season but now comes another true test and it has not passed the test so far. The Warriors have played just 12 games against teams ranked in the top ten, the second fewest of teams ranked within the top ten, and they have gone just 4-8 in those games. Boston has won five straight games and it gets Kyrie Irving back tonight after he missed the last game with an illness. The Celtics got off to a slow start this season but are 20-8 over their last 28 games including 10 straight wins at home. Boston has thrived in this spot as it is 10-1 ATS in 11 games as a home underdog dating back to last season. Here, we play against road teams where the line is +3 to -3 in the second half of the season in a game involving two teams allowing between 43.5 and 45.5 percent shooting, after a game where it made 55 percent of their shots or better. This situation is 28-6 ATS (82.4 percent) since 1996. 10* (506) Boston Celtics |
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01-26-19 | Western Kentucky v. Louisiana Tech -3 | 50-62 | Win | 100 | 8 h 1 m | Show | |
This is a play on the LOUISIANA TECH BULLDOGS as part of our CBB Saturday Trifecta. Louisiana Tech is coming off an overtime win over Marshall on Thursday to improve to 11-0 at home and it got back to .500 in C-USA with another big game going today. The venue has made all the difference this season as the home team is 8-0 in conference games for the Bulldogs and overall, they are outscoring opponents by over 11 ppg at home. Louisiana Tech is 6-0-1 ATS in its last seven games against teams with a winning straight up record while going 6-0 ATS after playing a game as a home favorite this season. Western Kentucky has won three straight games following three straight losses and while it won at Southern Miss in its last game, the Hilltoppers are just 3-6 on the road with one of those wins coming against 5-14 Charlotte. Additionally, they have won only one of five games as a road underdog. 9* (692) Louisiana Tech Bulldogs |
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01-26-19 | Utah State v. New Mexico +7 | 68-66 | Win | 100 | 7 h 3 m | Show | |
This is a play on the NEW MEXICO LOBOS as part of our CBB Saturday Trifecta. New Mexico is 2-1 at home within the conference and while an 11-point loss against UNLV may look bad, it came three days after a 27-point win over Nevada as a 15-point home underdog. The Lobos are home dogs again and this time coming off a loss which happened to be another one against the Rebels. New Mexico has covered two of three games this season as a home underdog. Utah St. has won three straight games to improve to 4-2 in the MVC and while it does include a pair of road wins, those were against San Jose St. and Wyoming which are a combined 8-29 on the season. The win at home came against 7-12 Colorado St. so by no means is the recent winning streak impressive. Utah St. is 0-9 ATS in its last nine road games after scoring 85 points or more. 9* (660) New Mexico Lobos |
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01-26-19 | Washington v. Oregon State -2 | Top | 79-69 | Loss | -112 | 7 h 2 m | Show |
This is a play on the OREGON ST. BEAVERS as part of our CBB Saturday Trifecta. We played against Washington on Thursday as it dominated the first half against Oregon and held on for a five-point win. The Huskies are now a perfect 6-0 straight up and against the number in the Pac 12 and they are catching roughly the same number here as they were against Oregon which makes this intriguing considering the Beavers are ranked much lower in the power rankings than the Ducks. Oregon St. is coming off a 13-point win over Washington St. on Thursday and while that is not saying much, it does own impressive home wins over USC and UCLA and overall, the Beavers are 8-1 at home on the season. Oregon St. is 11-3 this season when favored and it has covered three of four home games against teams with a winning record and the Beavers have covered their last four games at home. 10* (670) Oregon St. Beavers |
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01-25-19 | Pistons v. Mavs -4.5 | 101-106 | Win | 100 | 10 h 29 m | Show | |
This is a play on the DALLAS MAVERICKS as part of our NBA Friday Triple Play. Detroit picked up a rare road win on Wednesday as it won in New Orleans for just its eighth road win on the season. The Pistons had dropped eight of their previous 10 road games and going back, they are 2-5 ATS in their last seven road games against teams with a home winning percentage of greater than .600. The Mavericks won against the Clippers in their last game which was also at home and their home lines continue to be undervalued despite the success. They are 17-6 at home compared to 4-20 on the road and Dallas has covered 14 of its last 19 home games. While the Mavericks are a mere 8-6 ATS as home favorites, the number has played a key role as they are 8-2 ATS when favored by fewer than six points. Here, we play against teams with a winning percentage between .400 and .499 coming off a win as a road underdog, playing a losing team. This situation is 66-32 ATS (67.3 percent) over the last five seasons. 9* (578) Dallas Mavericks |
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01-25-19 | Butler v. Creighton -2.5 | Top | 61-75 | Win | 100 | 9 h 49 m | Show |
This is a play on the CREIGHTON BLUEJAYS for our CBB Friday Enforcer. Creighton is 11-8 overall and 2-4 in the Big East while having played the nation's ninth-toughest schedule, having already played 12 teams that won 21 games or more a year ago. The Bluejays are one of the best shooting teams in the country as they are second nationally in three-point percentage (.431), third in total three-pointers (231), third in three-pointers made per game (12.2) and fifth in field goal percentage (.505). While this might be considered a letdown for Creighton considering it is coming off a win at Georgetown as an underdog, the Bluejays are in full revenge mode here from a loss at Butler by 15 points just 20 days ago. Creighton is 11-2 ATS in its last 13 home games after allowing 80 points or more. The Bulldogs are coming off a loss against Villanova and they hit the road where they are just 1-4 with the lone victory coming against DePaul. Butler is 1-9 ATS in its last 10 road games against teams shooting 48 percent or better while going 2-12 ATS in its last 14 road games after playing a home game. 10* (858) Creighton Bluejays |
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01-25-19 | Kings v. Grizzlies -1 | 99-96 | Loss | -102 | 10 h 1 m | Show | |
This is a play on the MEMPHIS GRIZZLIES as part of our NBA Friday Triple Play. Memphis continues to go the wrong way as it has lost seven straight games and 13 of its last 14 games including a home loss against Charlotte on Wednesday. While the Hornets do not qualify as a quality team, they are still in the Eastern Conference playoffs as the slate continues to be a challenge. Overall, the Grizzlies have played the toughest schedule in the NBA as 32 of their 48 games have come against the top 16 in the league. Sacramento has lost three of four games on this current roadtrip and to no surprise, the lone win came when favored where the Kings are now 11-1 on the season. They are just 5-13 as road underdogs while failing to cover seven of their last eight road games. Here, we play against teams averaging 103 or more ppg going up against an opponent after three straight losses by 10 points or more. This situation is 80-41 ATS (66.1 percent) over the last five seasons. 9* (574) Memphis Grizzlies |
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01-25-19 | Wizards v. Magic -3.5 | Top | 95-91 | Loss | -105 | 9 h 2 m | Show |
This is a play on the ORLANDO MAGIC as part of our NBA Friday Triple Play. Orlando is coming off a loss in Brooklyn on Wednesday to make it a 1-4 run but three of those losses came by four points or less and the Magic are in a great spot tonight to win going away. Aaron Gordon was a non-factor against the Nets after missing two games with a sore back but we expect him to be a big contributor tonight after playing just 24 minutes. The Magic are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 home games against teams with a losing road record. Washington has had a tough season from the start and with John Wall out for the season, there is little to no hope of any possible success. The Wizards are coming off a six-game homestand culminating with a loss against Golden St. last night which was a game they were clearly up for which presents a letdown tonight. Washington is 4-12 ATS as a road underdog this season while going 3-15 ATS in 18 road games against teams allowing 10 or more ppg. 10* (566) Orlando Magic |
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01-24-19 | Washington v. Oregon -2.5 | Top | 61-56 | Loss | -107 | 10 h 58 m | Show |
This is a play on the OREGON DUCKS as part of our CBB Thursday Trifecta. Washington is off to a perfect 5-0 start in the Pac 12 and it has covered all of those games as well. Four of the five victories have come by double-digits including one of two conference games played on the road. While the Huskies start in conference play is impressive, it has also come against some of the weaker teams in the Pac 12 as none of five wins have come against teams ranked in the top 99 of the latest NCAA Net Rankings. Going back, the Huskies are 2-6-1 ATS in their last nine games against teams with a winning percentage above .600 while going 3-12 ATS in their last 15 road games after two straight wins by 15 points or more. Oregon upset Arizona on the road last Thursday but letdown the next game as it lost at Arizona St. two days later by 14 points. Overall, it has been a disappointing season for the Ducks but this is a chance for another quality win. Oregon is 20-9 ATS in its last 29 games against teams outscoring their opponents by four or more ppg in the second half of the season while going 7-3 ATS in its last 10 games following a loss. 10* (654) Oregon Ducks |
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01-24-19 | Pelicans +12 v. Thunder | Top | 116-122 | Win | 100 | 12 h 0 m | Show |
This is a play on the NEW ORLEANS PELICANS for our NBA Thursday Enforcer. Oklahoma City has won three straight games and what normally would have been a great matchup has lost some of the sizzle with New Orleans struggling and Anthony Davis being out. The Thunder defeated Portland on Tuesday to take sole possession of third place in the Western Conference by one game over the Blazers and that coupled with an upcoming game against the Eastern Conference-leading Bucks puts them in a tough spot tonight in trying to avoid a letdown. Oklahoma City is 8-20 ATS as a home favorite of 6.5 to 12 points over the last two seasons. The Pelicans are coming off a loss against Detroit last night as they had no answer for Blake Griffin with Davis sidelined. The matchup is definitely better tonight and as bad as New Orleans has been on the road with a 7-19 record, it has been outscored by just 1.3 ppg and only six of those 19 losses were by double-digits. The Pelicans are 4-0 ATS in their last four games following an ATS loss. Here, we play against home teams in the second half of the season shooting between 45.5 and 47.5 percent going up against a team allowing between 45.5 and 47.5 percent shooting, after two straight games shooting 50 percent or better. This situation is 91-42 ATS (68.4 percent) since 1996. 10* (559) New Orleans Pelicans |
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01-24-19 | Western Kentucky v. Southern Miss +1.5 | 66-63 | Loss | -108 | 9 h 0 m | Show | |
This is a play on the SOUTHERN MISS GOLDEN EAGLES as part of our CBB Thursday Trifecta. Southern Miss is coming off its toughest stretch of its schedule as eight of its last 10 games have come away from home resulting in six losses. The Golden Eagles are 3-4 in C-USA with both home games turning into wins against Middle Tennessee St. and UAB and they are 6-1 at home on the season. They are coming off a loss at Old Dominion as Southern Miss led 22-15 at the nine-minute mark of the first half, but four straight three-pointers from allowed Old Dominion to retake the lead and closed the first half on a 25-7 run. The Golden Eagles are 28-14 ATS in their last 42 home games after a loss by 15 points or more while going 18-7 ATS in their last 25 home games against teams with a road winning percentage of less than .400. The Hilltoppers are coming off a three-game homestand where they went 2-1 including wins in the final two games against Marshall and Florida Atlantic. The road has not been kind as Western Kentucky is just 2-6 and going back, it is 17-32 ATS in its last 49 games as a road favorite of three points or less or as a pickem. 9* (636) Southern Miss Golden Eagles |
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01-24-19 | Charlotte v. Texas-San Antonio -7.5 | 43-88 | Win | 100 | 9 h 58 m | Show | |
This is a play on the UTSA ROADRUNNERS as part of our CBB Thursday Trifecta. We played on Charlotte on Monday and after building a 10-point lead at halftime, the 49ers eventually fell behind by 15 points but were still able to come back and sneak in under the number. That was their third straight home game and now they hit the road where they are 1-7 including 1-4 in true road games. As mentioned Monday, their defense has steadily improved but their five-guard lineup could struggle here against one of the best backcourt duos in Jhivvan Jackson and Keaton Wallace, who average combined 39.8 ppg. Charlotte 3-11 ATS in its last 14 road games after a game where they covered the spread while going 1-6 ATS in its last seven road games following three or more consecutive home games. UTSA is 4-2 in the conference with both losses coming last week on the road but it heads back home where it is riding a six-game home winning streak. The Roadrunners have been solid when laying points as they are 4-1 ATS as favorites and included in the six-game winning streak is a five-game ATS unbeaten streak on their home floor. 9* (644) UTSA Roadrunners |
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01-23-19 | Nuggets v. Jazz -3 | 108-114 | Win | 100 | 13 h 15 m | Show | |
This is a play on the UTAH JAZZ as part of our NBA Wednesday Triple Play. Denver received a wake-up call eight days ago when it was blasted by Golden St. by 31 points. The Nuggets bounced back with a pair of wins since then but those came against Chicago and Cleveland, two of the three worst teams in the Eastern Conference. And they were at home where Denver is 20-4, the best home record in the Western Conference, and now the Nuggets hit the road where they are just 11-10 with six of those wins coming against teams with a losing record. Denver is 2-12 ATS in its last 14 road games after playing two consecutive home games. Utah lost against Portland in its most recent game which snapped a six-game winning streak as well as a six-game home winning streak. It has been a substantial 12-5 run and the Jazz are 9-1-1 ATS in their last 11 games following a straight up loss. Here, we play on home teams that are coming off a loss against a division rival going up against an opponent after two consecutive covers as a favorite. This situation is 45-18 ATS (71.4 percent) over the last five seasons. 9* (556) Utah Jazz |
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01-23-19 | Hornets v. Grizzlies -1 | Top | 118-107 | Loss | -107 | 11 h 47 m | Show |
This is a play on the MEMPHIS GRIZZLIES as part of our NBA Wednesday Triple Play. Memphis is in a tailspin as it has lost six straight games and 12c of its last 13 games and while there are no excuses, the Grizzlies have played a brutal schedule over this stretch. They have faced Boston twice, Houston twice, San Antonio twice as well as playing Toronto and Milwaukee. Overall, they have played the toughest schedule in the NBA as 32 of their 47 games have come against the top 16 in the league. The Grizzlies are 16-7-1 ATS in their last 24 home games against teams with a road winning percentage of less than .400. Charlotte opened the season by winning its first two road games but it is 4-16 on the highway since then and the Hornets have covered just two of their last 10 games on the road. Here, we play against road teams where the line is +3 to -3 that are shooting between 43.5 and 45.5 percent from the floor after two straight games making nine or more three-point shots going up against a team allowing between 43.5 and 45.5 percent shooting from the floor. This situation is 52-23 ATS (69.3 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (554) Memphis Grizzlies |
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01-23-19 | Magic v. Nets -6.5 | 110-114 | Loss | -107 | 10 h 18 m | Show | |
This is a play on the BROOKLYN NETS as part of our NBA Wednesday Triple Play. We won with Brooklyn on Monday and we come back again as it looks to extends its winning streak to five games. As mentioned two days ago, the Nets are playing some of the best basketball in the NBA right now as they are now 17-5 over their last 22 games, tied for the second-best record in the NBA since December 7th. Only the 18-5 Bucks have been better over that span. The Nets are 10-1 ATS in their last 11 games against teams with a losing straight up record. Orlando is coming off a win over Atlanta which snapped a three-game losing streak and that was just its eighth road win of the season. The Magic somehow defeated the Spurs and Celtics on the road early in the season but are 0-5 since then against winning teams and they are 0-5 ATS in their last five road games against teams with a winning home record. Here, we play against underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points off a divisional win by 10 points or more going up against an opponent off a home win by 20 points or more. This situation is 34-11 ATS (75.6 percent) since 1996. 9* (542) Brooklyn Nets |
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01-23-19 | Texas v. TCU -1.5 | 61-65 | Win | 100 | 7 h 40 m | Show | |
This is a play on the TCU HORNED FROGS as part of our CBB Wednesday Trifecta. Texas snapped a three-game losing streak on Saturday as it defeated Oklahoma by three points and now it hits the road where it has played just three road games, going 1-2. The Longhorns are struggling to defend the three-point line, ranking ninth in the Big 12 in opposing three-point percentage and in the last four games, Texas has allowed opponents to shoot 42.9 percent from beyond the arc. This is not a good trend considering the Horned Frogs are shooting 39.5 percent from long range over their last five games. The Longhorns are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games against teams with a winning percentage above .600. TCU has lost three of its last four games to fall to 2-3 in the conference but those three losses came on the road. The Horned Frogs are 8-1 at home and going back, TCU is 6-0 ATS in its last six home games after one or more consecutive losses. 9* (794) TCU Horned Frogs |
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01-23-19 | Tennessee v. Vanderbilt +9 | 88-83 | Win | 100 | 7 h 38 m | Show | |
This is a play on the VANDERBILT COMMODORES as part of our CBB Wednesday Trifecta. Tennessee has taken over the No. 1 spot in the country for just the second time in program history and playing its first game on the road against a hungry opponent is not the ideal situation. The Volunteers spent one week at No. 1 in February 2008 but a loss followed against Vanderbilt. We expect some complacency here with Tennessee as teams not used to this stature tend to celebrate a little too long. The Volunteers have won 12 straight games while Vanderbilt has dropped five straight games and this is adding to the value. The Commodores are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games following a double-digit loss at home. Here, we play on underdogs of 10 or more points in the second half of the season that are averaging between 74 and 78 ppg going up against a team allowing between 63 and 67, after a loss by 15 points or more. This situation is 39-14 ATS (73.6 percent) since 1997. 9* (804) Vanderbilt Commodores |
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01-23-19 | Georgia +11 v. LSU | Top | 82-92 | Win | 100 | 7 h 37 m | Show |
This is a play on the GEORGIA BULLDOGS as part of our CBB Wednesday Trifecta. Georgia has lost three straight games to fall to 1-4 in the SEC but the schedule has been a brutal one. The Bulldogs four losses came against Tennessee, Auburn, Kentucky and Florida and while this is another tough foe, the linemakers have taken that into consideration. They were on a 7-1 ATS run and going back, the Bulldogs are 6-2-1 ATS in their last nine games following a double-digit loss at home. LSU has started conference play 4-0 but only one of those was a quality win and now it is laying its biggest number in SEC play. The Tigers are 1-3-1 ATS in their last five games following a straight up win of more than 20 points. Here, we play on road teams as an underdog or pickem with a winning percentage between .501 and .600 coming off three straight losses against conference rivals, playing a winning team. This situation is 61-26 ATS (70.1 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (805) Georgia Bulldogs |
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01-22-19 | Ole Miss v. Alabama | Top | 53-74 | Win | 100 | 11 h 53 m | Show |
This is a play on the ALABAMA CRIMSON TIDE as part of our CBB Tuesday Triple Play. The Rebels have won 11 of its last 12 games and has beaten solid conference opponents Mississippi St. and Auburn along the way. The Rebels are coming off a dominating win over Arkansas on Saturday which made up for that lone loss with came against LSU by 14 points. The Crimson Tide have gone 2-3 in the SEC, including a buzzer-beater loss at the hands of Texas A&M and a road loss to Tennessee this past Saturday by three points. Alabama is 6-2 at home with the two losses coming by a combined four points and included in the wins are victories against Kentucky and Arizona. Alabama is currently tied with LSU and Mississippi St. in the SEC for most total wins against Quadrant 1 and Quadrant 2 opponents with seven. Overall, the Crimson Tide are 7-3, and undefeated against Q2 teams. The Alabama winning percentage is also tied for second-best behind Tennessee, who leads with .857 so this team is underrated right now. the Crimson Tide are 6-1-1 ATS in their last eight home games against teams with a winning road record. 10* (638) Alabama Crimson Tide |
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01-22-19 | Clippers v. Mavs -4 | Top | 98-106 | Win | 100 | 10 h 56 m | Show |
This is a play on the DALLAS MAVERICKS for our NBA Tuesday Enforcer. It has been an up and down season for both Los Angeles and Dallas and for different reasons. We played on the Clippers on Sunday as they went into San Antonio and won outright as 9.5-point underdogs to snap a five-game losing streak and have now moved back up to seventh place in the Western Conference. Injuries have been the problem even though they overcame it Sunday as Lou Williams and Danilo Gallinari remain out. They account for a combined 37.7 ppg. The Clippers are 1-5 ATS in their last six games overall. Dallas is riding a four-game losing streak but three of those came against the Bucks, Warriors and Pacers, all ranked in the top five and the other was against San Antonio. The problem for the Mavericks is they cannot win away from home as their 4-20 road record is tied with Phoenix for worse in the league. Dallas is 7-0 ATS at home when playing six or less games in 14 days this season. Here, we play on favorites revenging a loss where opponent scored 100 or more points and coming off an upset win as an underdog. This situation is 187-118 ATS (61.3 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (534) Dallas Mavericks |
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01-22-19 | Clemson v. Florida State -5.5 | 68-77 | Win | 100 | 9 h 58 m | Show | |
This is a play on the FLORIDA ST. SEMINOLES as part of our CBB Tuesday Triple Play. Clemson snapped a three-game losing streak with a win over Georgia Tech last Wednesday and has been off since then. That moved the Tigers to 1-3 in the conference and while those three wins have been against elite opposition, they have yet to defeat anyone of note the entire season as Clemson is 0-6 against the top 50. Its best win of the season came against No. 91 ranked South Carolina. The Tigers are 4-10 ATS in their last 14 road games against teams with a home winning percentage of greater than .600 and they head to Tallahassee at the wrong time. Florida St. has dropped three straight games that opened with a two-point loss against Duke at home but the last two losses were inexcusable, coming at Pittsburgh and Boston College. This is a quick turnaround for the Seminoles which played Sunday and had their flight delayed foe six hours out of Boston but that is not a bad thing here considering what is at stake. Florida St. has won 39 of its last 42 games at home and will look to up its home record to 9-1 this season. 9* (618) Florida St. Seminoles |
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01-22-19 | Texas Tech +1 v. Kansas State | 45-58 | Loss | -107 | 9 h 55 m | Show | |
This is a play on the TEXAS TECH RED RAIDERS as part of our CBB Tuesday Triple Play. Here we have two teams with identical 4-2 Big XII records and both have been put together in opposite ways. Texas Tech opened the season 4-0 in the conference but have since lost consecutive games for the first time this season. The Red Raiders fell at home to Iowa St. and then put up a bad second half on Saturday in an 11-point loss. Texas Tech's defense continues to lead nation by limiting opponents to 34.9 percent shooting, while it is second by holding opponents to 55.8 ppg and to 26.2 percent shooting on three-pointers. Kansas St. dropped its first two conference games but has won four straight since then, the last two coming by double-digits. The Wildcats have a very inconsistent offense as it is averaging only 65.6 ppg on 42.6 percent shooting including 31.4 percent from long range. This is the second meeting this season and Texas Tech held the wildcats to 33.3 percent shooting including 4-23 from behind the arc. Granted, Dean Wade did not play for Kansas St. so his return helps but the Wildcats are 2-5 ATS in their last seven home games. 9* (619) Texas Tech Red Raiders |
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01-21-19 | Rockets v. 76ers -4 | Top | 93-121 | Win | 100 | 11 h 47 m | Show |
This is a play on the PHILADELPHIA 76ERS for our NBA Monday Enforcer. The Sixers look to shake off a loss against Oklahoma City on Saturday which was its second loss at home in its last three games following am 18-3 start. They now trail Toronto by 4.5 games in the Atlantic Division. Going back, Philadelphia is 26-10 ATS in its last 36 home games against teams with a losing road record. Houston hits the road following a pair of overtime wins to close out its three-game homestand including a win over the Lakers to improve to 17-7 at home but the Rockets are just 9-12 on the highway and they are 0-4 ATS in their last four games following a straight up win. Here, we play on home favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points in the second half of the season that possess a scoring differential between +3 and +7 going up against a team with a scoring differential between +3 and -3, after scoring 110 points or more two straight games. This situation is 45-19 ATS (70.3 percent) since 1996. 10* (524) Philadelphia 76ers |
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01-21-19 | Old Dominion v. Charlotte +7.5 | Top | 76-70 | Win | 100 | 5 h 59 m | Show |
This is a play on the CHARLOTTE 49ERS for our CBB Monday Enforcer. We played on Charlotte back on 12/18 against East Carolina with a big factor being the improved defense under new head coach Ron Sanchez who brought in the same system as Virginia where was an assistant coach. While it has taken some time, that unit is starting to gel and the 49ers are coming off their best defensive game of the season as they held Louisiana Tech to 40 points on 27.8 percent shooting. The 49ers are 5-0 ATS in their last five games against teams with a winning straight up record. Old Dominion defeated Southern Miss by 18 points which was its third straight win while snapping a three-game ATS losing skid. The Monarchs are 3-2 on the road but have failed to cover their last two, losing outright at Florida Atlantic as a favorite of seven points and defeating Florida International by just one point. The Monarchs are 2-5 ATS in their last seven road games against teams with a losing home record. Here, e play on underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points with a winning percentage between .200 and .400 off a double digit win as a underdog of six or more, playing a team with a winning record. This situation is 47-17 ATS (73.4 percent) since 1997. 10* (852) Charlotte 49ers |
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01-21-19 | Kings v. Nets -3 | 94-123 | Win | 100 | 6 h 21 m | Show | |
This is a play on the BROOKLYN NETS for our NBA Monday Afternoon Dominator. The two biggest surprises in the NBA meet Monday afternoon and we give a significant edge to the home team. The Nets are playing some of the best basketball in the NBA right now as they are 16-5 over their last 21 games, tied for the second-best record in the NBA since December 7th. Only the 17-5 Bucks have been better over that span. The Kings are coming off a buzzer-beating win in Detroit on Saturday and that could carry over into a letdown on Monday with the early start. Sacramento has won four of its last five games as it now sits one-game out of the final playoff spot in the Western Conference. Despite the win against the Pistons, the Kings are 1-5 ATS in their last six road games. Here, we play on home favorites involving two teams with winning percentages between .501 and .600 after a game where they covered the spread. This situation is 93-41 ATS (69.4 percent) over the last five seasons. 9* (518) Brooklyn Nets |
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01-20-19 | Clippers +9 v. Spurs | Top | 103-95 | Win | 100 | 10 h 46 m | Show |
This is a play on the LOS ANGELES CLIPPERS for our NBA Sunday Enforcer. Once atop the Western Conference, the Clippers are in a freefall as they have lost five straight games and are now in eighth place in the conference, just percentage points ahead of the Lakers. This includes four straight losses at home but going back, the Clippers are 4-1 ATS in their last five road games. San Antonio has won two straight games, a pair of road victories against Dallas and Minnesota as underdogs. The Spurs have been on a solid long run but they are completely overpriced here as the last meeting here a month ago, they were favored by just three points. They are just 3-6 ATS on the season when favored by six or more points and here, we play against teams with a winning percentage between .501 and .600 coming off two or more consecutive wins as a road underdog. This situation is 90-49 ATS (64.7 percent) since 1996. 10* (505) Los Angeles Clippers |
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01-20-19 | Missouri State +3.5 v. Drake | Top | 63-74 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 6 m | Show |
This is a play on the MISSOURI ST. BEARS for our CBB Sunday Enforcer. Missouri St. is coming off a home loss on Wednesday against Evansville as it shot just 39.7 percent from the floor including going only 3-16 (18.8 percent) from long range. That stopped some positive momentum as the Bears has won their previous two games, both on the road, against Indiana St. and Bradley. They have been favored in the last six meetings against Drake but are now catching points. The Bulldogs won at Bradley by 17 points on Wednesday as four-point underdogs but they are just 2-3 in the conference. They suffered a huge loss earlier this month with graduate transfer point guard Nick Norton going down for the season with a knee injury. He was their leading scorer with 15.5 ppg at the time while also leading the team in assists. 10* (825) Missouri St. Bears |
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01-19-19 | Oklahoma v. Texas -4 | 72-75 | Loss | -107 | 10 h 58 m | Show | |
This is a play on the TEXAS LONGHORNS as part of our CBB Saturday Triple Play. While this is a bigger rivalry on the football field, there is bad blood between these two teams on the basketball court as well and Texas is out for some payback after a recent poor stretch. The Longhorns have dropped three straight games including a pair against the top two teams in the Big XII in their last two. We won with Texas against Kansas on Monday as it lost by a bucket despite dominating the boards and committing just five turnovers. Going to the free throw line only seven times shows the home floor edge the Jayhawks had. Oklahoma came into the week ranked but is long gone following a 13-point home loss against Kansas St. The Sooners do possess a winning record on the road but two of those wins came against UTSA and Texas Rio Grande Valley. They are 2-15 ATS in their last 15 games following a double-digit loss as a favorite and they head to Texas at the wrong time. 9* (750) Texas Longhorns |
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01-19-19 | Mavs v. Pacers -6.5 | Top | 99-111 | Win | 100 | 8 h 21 m | Show |
This is a play on the INDIANA PACERS for our NBA Saturday Enforcer. We backed the Pacers in their most recent game and they were trounced by Philadelphia by 24 points. This is a good bounce back spot however and they are catching a good number as well. Despite that most recent setback, Indiana has won nine of its last 11 games at home and overall, the Pacers are outscoring opponents by 8.7 ppg here. Going back, Indiana is 11-2 ATS in its last 13 games off a home loss by 10 points or more. Dallas was 16-4 at home heading into a tough two-game stretch against San Antonio and Golden St. and the Mavericks failed on both occasions even though both games were close. They hit the road where it has been a struggle all season as Dallas is 4-18 which is tied for the second worst road record in the league. Here, we play on favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points that are shooting 48 percent or better on the season, after two straight games making nine or more three-point shots. This situation is 167-110 ATS (60.3 percent) since 1996. 10* (574) Indiana Pacers |
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01-19-19 | St. John's v. Butler -4.5 | 71-80 | Win | 100 | 6 h 29 m | Show | |
This is a play on the BUTLER BULLDOGS as part of our CBB Saturday Triple Play. Butler is back home following three straight road games and it bounced back in the third one in a big win over Creighton following a pair of one-point losses at Seton Hall and Xavier. The Bulldogs are 8-1 at home this season with the lone loss coming against Georgetown by eight points in a game they were outscored by 11 points from the free throw line. They are 9-4 ATS in their last 13 home games against teams with a winning road record while going 11-3 ATS in their last 14 home games after one or more consecutive wins. St. John's is also coming off a win following a pair of losses to improve its record to 15-3 on the season which is one-win shy of its total victories from all of last season. It has certainly been a solid start for the Storm but they have played the No. 173 ranked schedule compared to Butler which has played the second toughest slat in the Big East at No. 26. 9* (692) Butler Bulldogs |
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01-19-19 | Northern Iowa v. Valparaiso -4 | Top | 66-75 | Win | 100 | 6 h 0 m | Show |
This is a play on the VALPARAISO CRUSADERS as part of our CBB Saturday Triple Play. Valparaiso did not have a good transition from the Horizon League to the MVC as it finished in last place in its inaugural season. Things are on the way up however as the Crusaders are off to a 4-1 start in conference action and they look to bounce back following a loss at Loyola-Chicago by 17 points on Tuesday. That snapped a five-game winning streak and heading back home following two straight road games puts them in a great spot. Northern Iowa used to dominate the MVC but it finished send to late place last season and not much is expected this year either. The Panthers are coming off a pair of wins against Drake and Indiana St. but those were at home where they possess bad losses against Grand Canyon and Stony Brook. Northern Iowa is 1-4 on the road and going back, it is 5-15-1 ATS in its last 21 road games against teams with a winning home record. 10* (682) Valparaiso Crusaders |
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01-18-19 | Spurs v. Wolves -1 | 116-113 | Loss | -103 | 12 h 55 m | Show | |
This is a play on the MINNESOTA TIMBERWOLVES as part of our NBA Friday Triple Play. Minnesota is another team we are backing that is coming off a humiliating loss as it lost in Philadelphia by 42 points on Tuesday which put an end to a 4-1 run. The Timberwolves are 6-16 on the road but head back home where they are much better 15-7 and outscoring opponents by 6.4 ppg. Minnesota is 9-0 ATS in its last nine home games after a combined score of 215 points or more two straight games this season. The Spurs pulled off the upset in Dallas on Wednesday which snapped a two-game skid as well as a two-game road losing streak. The Spurs are just 8-14 on the road and going back, they are 4-13 ATS in their last 17road games against teams allowing 110 or more ppg. Here, we play on favorites revenging a loss where opponent scored 100 or more points going up against an opponent off an upset win as an underdog. This situation is 187-117 ATS (61.5 percent) over the last five seasons. 9* (560) Minnesota Timberwolves |
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01-18-19 | Heat +2 v. Pistons | 93-98 | Loss | -109 | 11 h 55 m | Show | |
This is a play on the MIAMI HEAT as part of our NBA Friday Triple Play. Detroit won its last game against Orlando on Wednesday which put a halt to a 1-5 run as well as snapping a two-game home losing streak. The Pistons are just 12-10 at home and with their overall record at five games under .500, they are in ninth place in the Eastern Conference. The Pistons are 2-7 ATS in their last nine games after scoring 100 points or more in their previous game. Miami lost in Milwaukee on Tuesday and it was ugly as the Heat lost by 38 points but they are still over .500 on the road where they have won six of their last 10. On the season, Miami is 7-3 ATS on the road against losing teams and going back, it is 9-0 ATS in its last nine road games after a loss by 30 or more. Here, we play against home teams with a winning percentage between .400 and .499 after a home game where both teams scored 100 or more points. This situation is 363-279 (56.5 percent) since 1996. 9* (557) Miami Heat |
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01-18-19 | Nets v. Magic +1 | Top | 117-115 | Loss | -105 | 11 h 57 m | Show |
This is a play on the ORLANDO MAGIC as part of our NBA Friday Triple Play. Orlando is coming off an overtime loss at Detroit on Wednesday which snapped a two-game winning streak. The home team has had the edge of late, going 10-1 in the last 11 games for the Magic and this includes a current four-game home winning streak for Orlando. The Magic are 7-2 ATS in their last nine home games against teams with a losing road record. Brooklyn meanwhile has won two straight games and both were impressive victories against Boston and Houston, the latter coming on the road in overtime on Wednesday. It has been an impressive run for the Nets which are 15-5 over their last 20 games and while this includes a 6-4 record on the road, three of those wins came against the Bulls (twice) and the Knicks. Here, we play against teams where the line is +3 to -3 that are allowing 103 or more ppg on the season, after a win by three points or less. This situation is 109-55 ATS (66.5 percent) since 1996. 10* (554) Orlando Magic |
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01-18-19 | Maryland v. Ohio State -2.5 | Top | 75-61 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 49 m | Show |
This is a play on the OHIO ST. BUCKEYES for our CBB Friday Enforcer. The Buckeyes have lost three consecutive games for the first time under second-year coach Chris Holtmann with the last two coming on the road. Ohio St. is 8-2 at home with the two losses being quality ones against Syracuse and Michigan St. and the goal tonight is to clean up the mistakes as it turned the ball over 34 times the past two games, including a season-high 21 vs. Iowa. Another key struggle area for Ohio St. has been the foul trouble of its top scorer, sophomore forward Kaleb Wesson so keeping him on the floor is huge. Ohio St. is 15-5 ATS in its last 20 home games after failing to cover four of its last five games. Maryland is a team trending very much in the opposite direction as after a tough loss to Seton Hall at the end of December, the Terrapins have rattled off six straight wins to work their way into the Top 25. They have had only two road games over this stretch and now comes their biggest test. Despite being ranked, we like the fact Maryland is the underdog here and Ohio St. gets the much needed victory to turn its season around. 10* (852) Ohio St. Buckeyes |
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01-17-19 | Oregon State v. Arizona State -4 | 67-70 | Loss | -115 | 13 h 21 m | Show | |
This is a play on the ARIZONA ST. SUN DEVILS as part of our CBB Thursday Triple Play. The biggest early surprise in the PAC 12 is Oregon St. which is off to a 3-0 start which includes wins over USC and UCLA at home last week. The Beavers are up to 11 wins on the season which is just five fewer than all of last season and they are one of the remaining three teams undefeated in conference play along with Arizona and Washington. This is their best conference start since 1992-93 but going back, Oregon St. is 5-19 ATS in its last 24 games after four or more consecutive wins. Arizona St. got some momentum going with a pair of double-digit wins over Colorado and California but fell to Stanford by 14 points on Saturday. It returns home where it is 7-2 on the season including a win over then No.1 Kansas. The Sun Devils are 7-0 ATS in their last seven home games after allowing 85 points or more. 9* (652) Arizona St. Sun Devils |
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01-17-19 | Michigan State v. Nebraska +2.5 | 70-64 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 26 m | Show | |
This is a play on the NEBRASKA CORNHUSKERS as part of our CBB Thursday Triple Play. Michigan St. has gotten off to a 6-0 start in the Big Ten as it has now won 10 straight games while covering their last six. The Spartans are 3-0 on the road within the conference but this is their biggest test from an unlikely candidate. Michigan St. is 0-7 ATS in its last seven road games in the second half of the season against teams outscoring opponents by eight or more ppg. Nebraska has shook off a 1-3 start in the Big Ten with a pair of wins including a 15-point win at Indiana on Sunday. The Huskers are a perfect 9-0 at home including impressive wins over Creighton and Seton Hall by double-digits and going back, they are 8-1 ATS in their last nine home games against teams with a winning road record. Additionally, Nebraska is 6-0 ATS in its last six games against teams averaging 84 or more ppg. 9* (634) Nebraska Cornhuskers |
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01-17-19 | UTEP v. UAB -7.5 | Top | 63-76 | Win | 100 | 11 h 22 m | Show |
This is a play on the UAB BLAZERS as part of our CBB Thursday Triple Play. UAB opened the conference season with a pair of wins over Florida Atlantic and Florida International but lost both games last week on the road to fall to 2-2 in C-USA. The Blazers are back home where they are 8-1 with the lone defeat coming against Troy by just one-point. They are extremely balanced with seven players averaging between 6.6 and 12.4 ppg and going back, the Blazers are 5-2 ATS in their last seven games following a straight up loss. UTEP snapped a three-game losing streak with an unimpressive one-point win over Rice on Saturday, considered by most as the worst team in the conference. That was the third straight home game for the Miners where they are 6-4 but they hit the road after dropping their first five games by an average of close to 18 ppg. The Miners are 0-5 ATS in their last five road games following three or more consecutive home games. 10* (636) UAB Blazers |
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01-17-19 | 76ers v. Pacers -2.5 | 120-96 | Loss | -105 | 8 h 8 m | Show | |
This is a play on the INDIANA PACERS for our NBA Thursday Enforcer. Indiana is on a solid roll right now but it has not defeated any team of significance since mid-December which makes this a fair test tonight. The Pacers are not at fault however as the schedule has just set up this way and going back, they are 19-9 ATS in their last 28 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record. Indiana has won nine of its last 10 games at home and overall, the Pacers are outscoring opponents by 10.3 ppg here. The Sixers have also won two straight games including a 42-point win over Minnesota on Tuesday but they hit the road where they are two games under .500 on the season compared to their 19-4 record at home. Keeping that momentum going has been difficult for Philadelphia as it is 0-7 ATS in seven road games after a win by 10 points or more this season. Here, we play against road teams where the line is +3 to -3 in a game in the second half of the season involving two teams allowing between 43.5-45.5 percent, after a game where it made 55 percent of their shots or better. This situation is 28-6 ATS (82.4 percent) since 1996. 10* (544) Indiana Pacers |
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01-16-19 | Pelicans +7 v. Warriors | 140-147 | Push | 0 | 12 h 22 m | Show | |
This is a play on the NEW ORLEANS PELICANS as part of our NBA Wednesday Triple Play. We played against the Warriors last night and a 51-point first quarter doomed us as Denver never led and trailed by as many as 38 points. Golden St. has won five straight games and this is a pretty short price at home which is putting close to three-quarters of the consensus on the Warriors as well as two-third of offshore action. The Warriors have dominated the poor teams this season, going 12-4 ATS when laying double-digits but they are just 3-15 ATS on the season when favored between 3.5 and 9.5 points. It has been a struggle for New Orleans this season but it does have some momentum going with wins in four of its last five games including a win against the Clippers two nights ago. The Pelicans road struggles are well documented but facing a Golden St. team coming off a road win last night to take the lead in the Western Conference is an ideal situation. Here, we play against home teams in the second half of the season that are averaging 102 or more ppg going up against allowing 102 or more ppg, after scoring 110 points or more three straight games. This situation is 82-44 ATS (65.1 percent) since 1996. 9* (537) New Orleans Pelicans |
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01-16-19 | Jazz v. Clippers -1 | 129-109 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 21 m | Show | |
This is a play on the LOS ANGELES CLIPPERS as part of our NBA Wednesday Triple Play. We played on the Clippers on Monday as they lost at home to New Orleans having no answer for Anthony Davis and turning the ball over 16 times did not help. They have now lost three straight games including two in a row at home where they are now 14-8 and this includes a 12-4 record when favored. With Golden St. on deck, this is a big game to avoid dropping down further as they are currently tied for sixth place in the Western Conference. The Jazz have played a tough schedule this season but they have not exactly been proving to be good against top level competition as their 15 losses against teams ranked within the top 16 are tied for the most in the NBA among teams ranked in that group. Utah is 14-6 against everyone else. The Jazz are 1-4 ATS in their last five road games against teams with a home winning percentage of greater than .600. Here, we play against underdogs with a winning percentage between .501 and .600 after three or more consecutive wins, playing a winning team. This situation is 77-39 ATS (66.4 percent) over the last five seasons. 9* (540) Los Angeles Clippers |
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01-16-19 | Raptors v. Celtics -2 | Top | 108-117 | Win | 100 | 10 h 53 m | Show |
This is a play on the BOSTON CELTICS as part of our NBA Wednesday Triple Play. This line came out late because of the Kyrie Irving injury situation but he is now probable. Toronto has won five straight games to take over first place in the Eastern Conference, one game in front of Milwaukee. One of those wins came on the road against the Bucks, the first of two straight road wins but the Raptors are just 3-5 in their last eight road games. Additionally, the Raptors are 0-8 ATS in their last eight games after scoring more than 125 points in their previous game. Boston is back home following a three-game roadtrip where it dropped all three games and it is now seven games behind the Raptors in the Atlantic Division. The Celtics have won six straight home games and they have had success against the elite teams, going 17-5-1 ATS in their last 23 home games against teams with a road winning percentage of greater than .600. Here, we play against underdogs with a winning percentage between .600 and .750 after going over the total by more than 18 points in their previous game, playing a team with a winning record. This situation is 61-23 ATS (72.6 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (530) Boston Celtics |
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01-16-19 | Boston College +11.5 v. Louisville | Top | 70-80 | Win | 100 | 8 h 56 m | Show |
This is a play on the BOSTON COLLEGE EAGLES for our CBB Wednesday Enforcer. Louisville is coming off a monumental upset as it went to Chapel Hill and beat North Carolina by 21 points as an 11-point underdog. It was even more shocking considering its previous game resulted in a loss against Pittsburgh, a team that did not win a single conference game last season. The Cardinals are 0-3-1 ATS in their last four games following a straight up win. Boston College has opened 0-3 in the ACC but two of those games came against Virginia and Virginia Tech, two top ten teams, while the other came at Notre Dame, which is a difficult venue, by just three points. The Eagles have covered all five games away from home this season and they are 6-0 ATS in their last six games after having lost four of their last five games. Here, we play on road underdogs of 10 to 19.5 points off a road cover where the team lost straight up as an underdog going up against an opponent off an upset win as a road underdog. This situation is 73-36 ATS (67 percent) since 1997. 10* (797) Boston College Eagles |
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01-15-19 | Warriors v. Nuggets +2 | Top | 142-111 | Loss | -115 | 12 h 4 m | Show |
This is a play on the DENVER NUGGETS for our NBA Tuesday Enforcer. First place in the Western Conference is on the line tonight when Golden St. visits Denver and the Nuggets continue to get no respect with the public right there with them as Golden St. is a heavy consensus. Denver has the best home record in the NBA at 18-3 including 12 straight wins and it is 49-13at home since last season. Nuggets are 4-0 ATS in their last four home games against teams with a winning road record. One argument that will be made for Golden St. is the fact that it steps up in these big games against elite teams but that is actually not the case. The Warriors are 3-8 against teams ranked within the top 10 and those three wins are tied for fourth fewest in the league with Phoenix and Cleveland and ahead of only New York, Chicago and Atlanta. Additionally, they are one of only five teams ranked in the top 16 that have single-digit wins within that group. Conversely, Denver has 15 wins against the top 16 which is tied for second most in the NBA. The Warriors are 3-9 ATS in their last 12 road games against teams with a winning home record. There is no intimidation here as Denver has actually won five of the last nine meetings. Here, we play on home teams where the line is +3 to -3 after a game where they failed to cover the spread, in a game involving two teams with winning percentages between .600 and .750. This situation is 168-109 ATS (60.6 percent) since 1996. 10* (522) Denver Nuggets |
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01-14-19 | Pelicans v. Clippers -2.5 | Top | 121-117 | Loss | -105 | 13 h 26 m | Show |
This is a play on the LOS ANGELES CLIPPERS for our NBA Monday Enforcer. New Orleans had some momentum going with three straight wins but lost at Minnesota last time out to fall to 5-17 on the road. Two of those wins during the winning streak came against Cleveland and since a rare road win in Toronto on November 11th, the Pelicans are 0-6 on the road against winning teams. Additionally, New Orleans is 3-13 ATS off a road loss this season while going 1-14 ATS against teams making 36 percent or more of their three-point attempts this season. The Clippers have dropped two straight games, one in Denver which was not surprising but the latest at home against Detroit was a bad one. They have fallen into fifth place in the Western Conference and need a bounce back win with games against Utah, Golden St. and San Antonio on deck. Despite the loss against the Pistons, the Clippers are 17-7 ATS as favorites this season and the Pelicans fall into a negative situation where we play against road underdogs with a winning percentage between .400 and .499 after a road game where both teams scored 100 or more points. This situation is 108-58 ATS (65.1 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (512) Los Angeles Clippers |
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01-14-19 | Texas +7.5 v. Kansas | Top | 78-80 | Win | 100 | 10 h 18 m | Show |
This is a play on the TEXAS LONGHORNS for our CBB Monday Star Attraction. We played on Kansas last Wednesday as it defeated TCU but the matchup is more difficult tonight and the Jayhawks are laying a bucket more. They are coming off a win over Baylor on Saturday as they were outrebounded 44-26 with a lot of that due to the season-ending injury to junior center Udoka Azubuike. With Azubuike out, the Jayhawks lack mismatches the 7-footer created and they have trouble attacking teams from three-point range. While sitting at 14-2, six wins have been decided by six points or less, including two in overtime. Texas lost to eighth-ranked Texas Tech on Saturday, and there is no shame in that. But there is no winning in that, either. Playing well for a half or so will only get you a losing record in this conference. This roster is talented enough to compete with anyone but the Longhorns have underachieved at times, including losses to Radford and VCU. Guards Kerwin Roach (13.6 ppg), Matt Coleman (10.1) and Elijah Mitrou-Long (7.5) and forwards Jaxson Hayes (10.1) and Dylan Osetkowski (9.5) provide balanced scoring for Texas. Kansas is 2-12 ATS in its last 14 games of a conference road win. 10* (873) Texas Longhorns |
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01-13-19 | Blazers v. Nuggets -4 | Top | 113-116 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 48 m | Show |
This is a play on the DENVER NUGGETS for our NBA Sunday Enforcer. Denver is coming off a brutal loss last night in Phoenix as its only lead was by one-point, it shot just 38.6 percent from the floor and committed 17 turnovers. This comes after a big home win over the Clippers on Thursday and the Nuggets return home where they have won 11 straight games, covering nine of those. That loss will get the focus back and this one is needed before hosting the Warriors on Tuesday who they lead by just a half-game in the Western Conference. The Nuggets are 6-1 ATS in their last seven games against teams with a winning percentage above .600. Portland has won four straight games and while there was a win over Houston in that mix, the last three have been rather unimpressive against three Eastern Conference teams with losing records. The Blazers have played seven of their last eight games at home and they are 8-10 on the highway this season, including 5-10 as an underdog. The Blazers are 4-11 ATS in their last 15 road games against teams with a winning home record. 10* (592) Denver Nuggets |
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01-12-19 | St. Mary's v. Loyola Marymount +6.5 | Top | 71-60 | Loss | -109 | 10 h 51 m | Show |
This is a play on the LOYOLA-MARYMOUNT LIONS as part of our CBB Saturday Trifecta. When it comes to teams from smaller conferences, lines are sometimes based on names since bettors do not follow these teams very closely and that is the case here. St. Mary's is off to a 10-7 start and those seven losses are already more than they have had in each of the last three seasons. The slow start should not be a big surprise as the Gaels lost three starters from last season as well as five of their top seven scorers yet they are still a public favorite. Loyola-Marymount has not been prominent in a long time but this could be a special season with all five starters back. The Lions opened 5-0 for the first time since 2003 which included wins over Georgetown and UNLV and those came without Eli Scott who is starting to get back into form. They are 8-0 at home and going back are 6-2 ATS in their last eight home games against teams with a losing road record. Meanwhile, the Gaels are 2-6 ATS in their last eight road games against teams with a winning home record. 10* (760) Loyola-Marymount Lions |
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01-12-19 | Spurs v. Thunder -5 | Top | 112-122 | Win | 100 | 10 h 59 m | Show |
This is a play on the OKLAHOMA CITY THUNDER for our NBA Saturday Enforcer. The Spurs and Thunder meet for the second time in three days in this home-and-home after a wild double-overtime game on Thursday that saw San Antonio win 154-147. Oklahoma City has now lost three straight games with the last two being games it could have won in regulation and this is a great bounce back spot. The Thunder are 5-0 ATS in their last five games after scoring more than 125 points in their previous game. San Antonio improved to 18-5 with that win but it is just 7-13 on the road and this is the third straight home-and-home since Christmas. The first two resulted in home wins followed by road losses at Denver and Memphis. The Spurs are 2-7 ATS in their last nine games after scoring more than 125 points in their previous game. Here, we play on favorites revenging a loss where opponent scored 100 or more points going up against an opponent off a win as an underdog. This situation is 185-117 ATS (61.3 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (570) Oklahoma City Thunder |
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01-12-19 | Nevada -3.5 v. Fresno State | 74-64 | Win | 100 | 8 h 52 m | Show | |
This is a play on the NEVADA WOLF PACK as part of our CBB Saturday Trifecta. While we are going against the public on Tennessee, we are on the consensus side here as Nevada has something to prove. The Wolf Pack suffered an embarrassing loss at New Mexico by 27 points as a 15-point road favorite and they took their frustrations out on a horrible San Jose St. team in a 39-point win on Wednesday. Now they will be out to show they can beat a quality opponent on the road which goes a long way come NCAA Tournament time. Fresno St. is off to a great start at 12-3 but it has defeated no quality team along the way. Its best win is against Utah St. which was its last game on the road and playing the No. 250 ranked schedule in the nation can confirm that the record on the season is skewed. Here, we play against underdogs with a winning percentage of .800 or better off a win over a conference rival as an underdog of six points or more, playing a team with a winning record. This situation is 31-9 ATS (77.5 percent) since 1997. 9* (739) Nevada Wolf Pack |
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01-12-19 | Tennessee v. Florida +3 | 78-67 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 53 m | Show | |
This is a play on the FLORIDA GATORS as part of our CBB Saturday Trifecta. Tennessee has been in cruise control most of this season as it is currently ranked No. 3 in the country with a 13-1 record. The only loss came against Kansas in overtime and the Volunteers posses an impressive win over Gonzaga which took place in Phoenix. They have won their last six games by double-digits and because they are laying a short number here, the public is all over them. It has been an up and down season for Florida as it is 9-5 with all of those losses being quality ones for what it is worth. The Gators have played the toughest schedule of any team in the SEC and are coming off a confidence building win at Arkansas following an upset home loss in their conference opener against South Carolina. Here, we play on home teams that are allowing 39 percent shooting or better on the season going up against an opponent that has gone three straight games of shooting 47 percent or better. This situation is 83-44 ATS (65.4 percent) over the last five seasons. 9* (712) Florida Gators |
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01-11-19 | Bucks v. Wizards +6 | Top | 106-113 | Win | 100 | 10 h 11 m | Show |
This is a play on the WASHINGTON WIZARDS for our NBA Friday Enforcer. We played against Milwaukee on Wednesday as the Houston offense shot just 34.5 percent from the floor taking away the James Harden production and the Bucks took advantage of a big shooting night of their own. They are 10-7 on the road and while Milwaukee is 18-4 as a home favorite, it has won just seven of 13 games as a road favorite. The Bucks are 8-19 ATS in their last 27 road games after two or more consecutive wins. Washington has been stung by the injury bug but it has been playing better by going 4-2 in its last six games including a confidence-building win over Philadelphia on Wednesday. After a 0-3 start at home, the Wizards are 12-4 in their last 16 and they are 3-1 as home underdogs, the only loss coming against Boston in overtime. They are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 home games and fall into a solid situation where we play against favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points with a winning percentage between .600 and .750 after having won four of their last five games, playing a team with a losing record. This situation is 101-55 ATS (64.7 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (546) Washington Wizards |
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01-11-19 | Indiana +6 v. Maryland | Top | 75-78 | Win | 100 | 9 h 22 m | Show |
This is a play on the INDIANA HOOSIERS for our CBB Friday Star Attraction. The Hoosiers are coming off its first conference loss of the season as they were defeated in Michigan by 11 points on Sunday. Indiana is just 1-3 on the road but two of those losses came against the top two teams in the country while the third came by just one point at Arkansas. On Thursday, Hoosiers head coach Archie Miller said the team is hopeful it will have De'Ron Davis available in College Park and that will be a huge boost against the Maryland size advantage. The Hoosiers are 9-4 ATS in their last 13 games following a straight up loss. The Terrapins have won five straight games including a pair on the road in their last two to improve to 4-1 in the Big Ten. They do have a rebounding advantage but that it is as they are on the wrong side of effective offense and defense on both sides of the floor. Maryland does not force many turnovers and can be turnover prone because of its youth and decision making, so a performance similar to what the Hoosiers produced in Ann Arbor (season low 11.9 turnover percentage) is a clear key. The Terrapins are 4-10-1 ATS in their last 15 home games. 10* (801) Indiana Hoosiers |
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01-10-19 | Clippers v. Nuggets -5.5 | Top | 100-121 | Win | 100 | 14 h 24 m | Show |
This is a play on the DENVER NUGGETS for our NBA Thursday Enforcer. The Western Conference remains wide open as 5.5-games separates first place and eighth place with Denver retaining its hold on the top spot. The Nuggets are coming off a win in Miami on Tuesday and are now 6-1 following a brief two-game slide which included a loss at the Clippers by 21 points. That is by far their biggest loss of the season so payback is in order tonight. Denver is 11-1 ATS in home games after one or more consecutive wins this season, winning those games by over an average of 13 ppg. The Clippers trail Denver by 3.5 games following three straight wins although all of those were against teams with losing records. Los Angeles is a respectable 10-10 on the road but that record is deceiving as only three of those wins have come against winning teams as it is 3-9 on the season when getting points on the highway. Here, we play against underdogs with a winning percentage between .501 and .600 after three or more consecutive wins, playing a winning team. This situation is 76-39 ATS (66.1 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (540) Denver Nuggets |
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01-10-19 | SMU v. Connecticut -2.5 | Top | 64-76 | Win | 100 | 8 h 39 m | Show |
This is a play on the CONNECTICUT HUSKIES for our CBB Thursday Supreme Annihilator. As is the case almost every year, SMU has played a very weak schedule is it is ranked No. 342 in the nation. The Mustangs have opened AAC action with a pair of wins over East Carolina and Tulane but those are the two worst teams in the conference. This is just the third true road game for SMU and the biggest test to date on the highway. The Mustangs are 7-18-1 ATS in their last 26 games against teams with a winning straight up record. The Huskies have opened their conference schedule with a pair of losses at South Florida and at home against Central Florida, arguably the top team in the AAC. Connecticut has faced six teams ranked in the top 50, which is the most in the conference, and while it has gone just 1-5 in those games, playing those teams will help going forward. Take note that SMU is not part of that group, it is part of the group that the Huskies have gone 8-1 against. The Huskies are 13-6-1 ATS in their last 20 games following a double-digit loss at home. 10* (622) Connecticut Huskies |
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01-09-19 | TCU v. Kansas -5.5 | 68-77 | Win | 100 | 9 h 39 m | Show | |
This is a play on the KANSAS JAYHAWKS as part of our CBB Wednesday Trifecta. Kansas is coming off a 77-60 defeat at Iowa St, a game where center Udoka Azubuike, who averages 13.4 ppg and 6.8 rpg, missed after suffering his latest injury a day earlier in practice. That was significant considering there was little time to prepare without him, especially with that game taking place on the road. Now the Jayhawks are back home where they are 8-0 which puts them in a great spot after they have failed to cover their last two games and going back, Kansas is 14-3 ATS in its last 18 games after failing to cover the spread in two or more consecutive games. Additionally, when the game following a loss is in Allen Fieldhouse, Kansas is 47-3 in the Bill Self era. TCU has won nine straight games including a win over Baylor in its conference opener and it hits the road for just the second time this season. The Horned Frogs have played a soft schedule and they hare the only team in the conference that has yet to face a top ten team. The Horned Frogs are 1-4 ATS in their last five games following an ATS loss. 9* (826) Kansas Jayhawks |
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01-09-19 | Bucks v. Rockets +1.5 | 116-109 | Loss | -106 | 10 h 25 m | Show | |
This is a play on the HOUSTON ROCKETS as part of our NBA Wednesday Triple Play. This is the marquee matchup of the night as both Milwaukee and Houston are playing at a high level and we are backing the home underdog Rockets which have won and covered two of three games in this situation. They have stepped up all season against the NBA elite as they are the only team in the league with double-digit wins against the top ten with 11 victories. The Rockets are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games against teams with a winning percentage above .600. This will be a test as Milwaukee is one of three teams to rank in the top 10 in offensive (113.5 points per 100 possessions) and defensive (104.3) efficiency, and the only team in the top five in both. The Nuggets are one of the two other teams in the top 10, and the Rockets handled Denver with ease. Here, we play against road teams where the line is +3 to -3 after scoring 110 points or more going up against an opponent after a combined score of 235 points or more. This situation is 59-26 ATS (69.4 percent) since 1996. 9* (524) Houston Rockets |
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01-09-19 | Spurs v. Grizzlies +3.5 | Top | 86-96 | Win | 100 | 10 h 25 m | Show |
This is a play on the MEMPHIS GRIZZLIES as part of our NBA Wednesday Triple Play. We played on and lost with Memphis on Monday and we are going contrarian again tonight with the Grizzlies which have lost six straight games overall and have failed to cover their last seven games. Memphis is still a game over .500 at home despite three straight defeats and while it has played the 3rd toughest schedule in the NBA, its 11 wins against top 16 teams is tied for 7th most in the league. The Grizzlies are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 home games against teams with a road winning percentage of less than .400. The Spurs have won five straight games which includes a 20-point win over the Grizzlies at home on Saturday so focus could be an issue here. Additionally, they are home tomorrow against the Thunder, the first of a home-and-home with Oklahoma City. Here, we play on home teams coming off a loss against a division rival going up against an opponent after two consecutive covers as a favorite. This situation is 44-17 ATS (72.1 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (526) Memphis Grizzlies |
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01-09-19 | Pacers v. Celtics -6.5 | 108-135 | Win | 100 | 9 h 27 m | Show | |
This is a play on the BOSTON CELTICS as part of our NBA Wednesday Triple Play. The surprise team from the Eastern Conference is the Pacers which are just a game and a half behinds Milwaukee in the Central Division and they have decimated the Eastern Conference with 21 wins. Most of those have come against the bottom teams however as their 28th ranked schedule has produced only six wins against the top 16 in the league, which is fewest among teams ranked 17th or higher. Indiana is 10-4 on the road against Eastern Conference teams but only one of those was against a team with a winning record. After a lackluster run, Boston has won three straight games and look to sweep this homestand before hitting the road for three straight. The Celtics are 13-2 in their last 15 games coming off a home win by 20 points or more while going 17-5 ATS in their last 25 games revenging a straight up loss. Here, we play against underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points after allowing 105 points or more three straight games going up against an opponent after a win by 20 points or more. This situation is 73-36 ATS (67 percent) since 1996. 9* (520) Boston Celtics |
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01-09-19 | Auburn -3 v. Ole Miss | 67-82 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 41 m | Show | |
This is a play on the AUBURN TIGERS as part of our CBB Wednesday Trifecta. Last night, we played against NC State with a lot of that based on being overrated based on its weak schedule. Mississippi is in a similar spot tonight as it is 11-2 but has played the second easiest schedule of all teams in the SEC. The Rebels are 1-0 in the conference and that came against Vanderbilt which has played the easiest schedule in the SEC. The soft schedule has played a role in the 8-0 straight up and ATS run for the Rebels and that is ideal contrarian material for tonight. Auburn has two losses this season and it has been ansy to get back on the court as it has not played in 10 days and this will be just its second game in 17 days. The Tigers are the reigning SEC Champions and this is their conference opener so getting off to a big start is top priority. Auburn has four players averaging double-digit points, led by senior guard Bryce Brown at 15.3 ppg. Auburn is 7-0 ATS in its last seven games after scoring 85 or more points in two straight games and will be ready to fire on all cylinders again. 9* (785) Auburn Tigers |
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01-09-19 | Marquette v. Creighton -2.5 | Top | 106-104 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 40 m | Show |
This is a play on the CREIGHTON BLUEJAYS as part of our CBB Wednesday Trifecta. The Bluejays opened Big East play with a win at Providence but lost at Butler by 15 points on Saturday to fall to 10-5 on the season overall. That record looks average but they have played the 6th ranked schedule in the nation as they have played 10 teams that won at least 21 games last year. They have been a great bounce back team, going 8-0 ATS in their last eight games after allowing 80 or more points. Marquette is coming off an 18-point win over Xavier on Saturday but that was at home where it is 11-0 on the season. The Golden Eagles have been blown out in their only two road games this season, including an 89-69 loss at St. John's to open conference play on January 1st. Marquette is 4-13 ATS in its last 17 games after a win by 10 points or more and here, we play on favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points in a game involving two teams outscoring opponents by 8 or more ppg, after allowing 45 points or more in the first half last game. This situation is 35-9 ATS (79.5 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (800) Creighton Bluejays |
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01-08-19 | North Carolina +1 v. NC State | 90-82 | Win | 100 | 11 h 51 m | Show | |
This is a play on the NORTH CAROLINA TAR HEELS as part of our CBB Tuesday Trifecta. North Carolina has not gotten off to the start it expected but it opened the season ranked No. 8 and now sits No. 12 so it has not been a big fall considering the losses were all quality ones. The Tar Heels won their ACC opener on Saturday as they rolled past the Panthers in Pittsburgh and while the challenge will be tougher here, this is a case of a team being a false favorite. NC State came into the season unranked and received only one vote and now with a 13-1 record, the Wolfpack are ranked No. 15. They did have a solid win in Miami to open conference play but this will be their first true ACC test for what is an overrated team. Out of 353 teams in Division I, NC State has played the No. 352 ranked schedule so its record is deceiving. Here, we play against teams where the line is +3 to -3 in a game involving two teams outscoring opponents by 8 or more ppg, after scoring 80 points or more three straight games. This situation is 77-35 ATS (68.8 percent) over the last five seasons. 9* (639) North Carolina Tar Heels |
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01-08-19 | Oklahoma v. Texas Tech -6.5 | Top | 59-66 | Win | 100 | 11 h 50 m | Show |
This is a play on the TEXAS TECH RED RAIDERS as part of our CBB Tuesday Trifecta. Oklahoma is another team that came into the season unranked but it is off to a 12-2 start and has cracked the top 25. The Sooners are 1-1 in the Big XII as they bounced back from a loss at Kansas with a home win over rival Oklahoma St. on Saturday. They are 3-1 on the road and while a win at Northwestern was nice, it took overtime and the other two wins came at UTSA and Texas Rio Grand Valley. Texas Tech is now ranked in the top ten with a 13-1 record thanks to a pair of wins to open conference play over West Virginia and Kansas St. The Red Raiders only loss came against Duke in a close one. Texas Tech is 17-4 ATS in its last 21 home games after failing to cover six or seven of its last eight games. Here, we play on favorites after failing to cover the spread in four or more consecutive games going up against an opponent after successfully covering the spread in four or more consecutive games. This situation is 96-54 ATS (64 percent) since 1997. 10* (642) Texas Tech Red Raiders |
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01-08-19 | Wolves v. Thunder -8 | Top | 119-117 | Loss | -100 | 13 h 17 m | Show |
This is a play on the OKLAHOMA CITY THUNDER for our NBA Tuesday Enforcer. This is the first game for Minnesota since the firing of head coach Tom Thibodeau and it was a tough one for players to take. Karl-Anthony Towns said Monday that "no one saw it coming" when asked about the firing. In fact, Towns said he told assistant coaches just last week that he felt the organization was gaining some much-needed stability and that he was finally feeling comfortable within his team's schemes. The Timberwolves have won two straight games so the firing did come at a strange time and getting up for this game will be difficult. The Timberwolves are 2-8 ATS in their last 10 road games against teams with a winning home record. Oklahoma City lost at home against Washington on Sunday, the first time it had ever lost at home against the Wizards. That snapped a three-game winning streak and the Thunder remain just one and a half games out of first place in the Western Conference. They are still a solid 13-5 at home and this is a big bounceback game with a home-and-home on deck against the Spurs. The Thunder are 23-10-1 ATS in their last 34 games following a double-digit loss at home. 10* (510) Oklahoma City Thunder |
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01-08-19 | Texas v. Oklahoma State +3 | 58-61 | Win | 100 | 9 h 53 m | Show | |
This is a play on the OKLAHOMA ST. COWBOYS as part of our CBB Tuesday Trifecta. Texas has opened Big XII play with a 2-0 record with impressive wins at Kansas St. and at home against West Virginia. Overall, the Longhorns have won three straight games and five of their last six since suffering consecutive home losses against Radford and VCU. The Longhorns are 1-4 ATS in their last five games against teams with a losing straight up record. Oklahoma St. has gotten off to the opposite start as it has opened 0-2 in conference action with a home loss against Iowa St. and a road loss at Oklahoma, both of which are ranked. The Cowboys have lost six of their last eight games although most have been competitive and the value is clearly on their side here as they have dropped seven straight games against the number and that puts them into a great situation. Here, we play on home teams after failing to cover the spread in seven or more consecutive games. This situation is 37-12 ATS (75.5 percent) over the last five seasons. 9* (614) Oklahoma St. Cowboys |
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01-07-19 | Grizzlies +5.5 v. Pelicans | 95-114 | Loss | -105 | 10 h 54 m | Show | |
This is a play on the MEMPHIS GRIZZLIES as part of our NBA Monday Triple Play. Memphis is coming off a loss at San Antonio on Saturday which was its fifth straight defeat and tenth loss over its last 12 games. The Grizzlies, who entered the game ranked fifth in the NBA in fewest turnovers per game (12.8), committed a season-high 21, leading to 26 San Antonio points. The Grizzlies are four games under .500 on the road but getting outscored by just 3.8 ppg. Things have not been much better for New Orleans although it is coming off a win to move to 18-22 on the season. While they have been decent at home, the Pelicans are outscoring opponents by just 4.9 ppg. The Pelicans are 0-7 ATS in their last 7 games following a straight up win while going 4-16 ATS in their 20 games after playing a road game this season. Here, we play on underdogs with a winning percentage between .450 and .550 after failing to cover the spread in 12 or more of the last 15 games. This situation is 45-18 ATS (71.4 percent) since 1996. 9* (579) Memphis Grizzlies |
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01-07-19 | Nuggets v. Rockets -1 | 113-125 | Win | 100 | 10 h 51 m | Show | |
This is a play on the HOUSTON ROCKETS as part of our NBA Monday Triple Play. Houston had a six-game winning streak snapped with a loss in Portland on Saturday, two days after that incredible overtime win over Golden St. Over the Rockets' first six games without Chris Paul, James Harden averaged 42.2 ppg, 6.8 rpg, and 9.5 apg while shooting 41.9 percent on three-pointers. The Rockets are 8-0-1 ATS in their last nine home games. The Western Conference-leading Nuggets extended their winning streak to five games with a 123-110 victory over the Hornets on Saturday. Denver remained two games in the loss column ahead of the Thunder and going back, it is 3-13 ATS in its last 16 games after scoring 110 points or more three straight games while going 7-20 ATS in its last 27 games after scoring 120 points or more. Here, we play against road underdogs revenging a home loss of 10 points or more, off a home win by 10 points or more. This situation is 166-105 ATS (61.3 percent) since 1996. 9* (584) Houston Rockets |
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01-07-19 | Jazz v. Bucks -5.5 | Top | 102-114 | Win | 100 | 10 h 52 m | Show |
This is a play on the MILWAUKEE BUCKS as part of our NBA Monday Triple Play. Milwaukee is coming off a rare loss at home but it came against Toronto. The Bucks are now 18-4 at home and they have won nine of their last 11 overall and are currently one game behind Toronto for first place in the Eastern Conference. Milwaukee is 18-7 ATS in its last 25 games coming off an upset loss as a favorite. Utah opened this four-game roadtrip with a loss in Toronto but has won the last two games, albeit against Cleveland and Detroit. While Utah has played the toughest schedule in the NBA, it has struggled against the top teams with 11 losses against the top 10 which is the most for any team ranked within the top 20. The Jazz are 1-6 ATS in their last seven games against teams with a winning percentage above .600. here, we play on favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points that are outscoring their opponents by 9 or more ppg, after scoring 105 points or more three straight games. This situation is 85-50 ATS (63 percent) since 1996. 10* (582) Milwaukee Bucks |
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01-06-19 | Nets -2 v. Bulls | Top | 117-100 | Win | 100 | 9 h 37 m | Show |
This is a play on the BROOKLYN NETS for our NBA Sunday Enforcer. While the top quarter of the Eastern Conference is strong, there is a lot left to be desired the rest of the way down but Brooklyn is making a move after years of futility. The Nets have won 11 of their last 14 games including two straight against Memphis and New Orleans and they are currently sitting in seventh place in the playoff standings. They have held their own on the road at 9-10 and are 4-0 ATS in their last four road games against teams with a losing home record. The Bulls are having the season many expected as they come in 10-29 including a 5-15 record at home with four of those wins coming against teams with a worst record than the Nets. They have covered five of their last seven games which is helping to keep this number in check but on the season, Chicago is 3-7 ATS at home against teams with a losing record. Brooklyn swept the season series last year and won the first meeting this season and here, we play against teams where the line is +3 to -3 revenging a loss of three points or less, off a loss by three points or less to a division rival. This situation is 33-11 ATS (75 percent) since 1996. 10* (561) Brooklyn Nets |
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01-06-19 | George Washington v. St. Joe's -12 | Top | 70-56 | Loss | -108 | 4 h 13 m | Show |
This is a play on the ST. JOSEPH'S HAWKS for our CBB Sunday Enforcer. We are not sure what happened to St. Joseph's in its conference opener as it fell to George Mason by 25 points as a seven-point favorite. The Hawks could not buy a basket as they shot just 34.6 percent from the floor including 23.3 percent from long range but we expect a big rebound today at the expense of one of the worst teams in the conference. They are laying a big number for a reason. George Washington is 0-5 away from home and it has lost those games by an average of 22.4 ppg. This is nothing new for the Colonials as they won just two games away from home last season while getting outscored by 18.6 ppg. The situation today makes it even better as George Washington has covered five straight games while the Hawks have failed to cover in their last four games which puts this number even lower than it should be. Here, we play on favorites after failing to cover the spread in four or more consecutive games going up against an opponent after successfully covering the spread in four or more consecutive games. This situation is 96-53 ATS (64.4 percent) since 1997. 10* (812) St. Joseph's Hawks |
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01-05-19 | Grizzlies +9 v. Spurs | Top | 88-108 | Loss | -105 | 13 h 32 m | Show |
This is a play on the MEMPHIS GRIZZLIES for our NBA Saturday Enforcer. We played on San Antonio on Thursday as it hosted Toronto and Kawhi Leonard and it resulted in a wire-to-wire winner which puts the Spurs in a difficult position tonight facing a letdown. While defeating Leonard was the big focal point, DeMar DeRozan was the real story facing his former team that let him go as he posted his first career triple-double. San Antonio has played its best against top competition, going 14-4 ATS against winning teams but going just 8-9 ATS against teams with a losing record, covering just three of its last 11. Memphis has now lost four straight games after getting beat at home last night against Brooklyn. The Grizzlies are 8-11 on the road but have been fairly competitive as they have been outscored by just 2.9 ppg in those 19 games. The recent struggles have inflated this line considerably as its last road game came in Houston where it was a four-point underdog and now this road line has doubled that in some places against a team that is ranked below the Rockets in the power ratings. Here, we play against home favorites that are averaging 102 or more ppg going up against a team averaging between 98 and 102, after scoring 110 points or more two straight games. This situation is 71-32 ATS (68.9 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (555) Memphis Grizzlies |
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01-05-19 | Colorado v. Arizona State -7 | Top | 61-83 | Win | 100 | 8 h 25 m | Show |
This is a play on the ARIZONA ST. SUN DEVILS for our CBB Game of the Week. Arizona St. pulled off a big upset at home against Kansas but could not sustain the momentum as it lost at home against Princeton as a 14.5-point favorite and then lost by 10 points against Utah in its conference opener as an 11-point chalk. To say the Sun Devils are hungry is an understatement. Colorado also lost its PAC 12 opener at Arizona and the Buffaloes are road weary at this point with this being their sixth straight game away from home. Arizona St. falls into two superb situations. First, we play against road teams as an underdog or pickem that are averaging between 74 and 78 ppg going up against a team allowing between 67 and 74 ppg, after three straight games where both teams scored 70 points or less. This situation is 25-2 ATS (92.6 percent) since 1997. Second, we play on teams after being beaten by the spread by 36 or more points total in their last five games going up against an opponent after going under the total by 54 or more points total in their last ten games. This situation is 44-11 ATS (80 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (698) Arizona St. Sun Devils |
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01-05-19 | Hornets +9.5 v. Nuggets | 110-123 | Loss | -106 | 9 h 5 m | Show | |
This is a play on the CHARLOTTE HORNETS for our NBA Saturday Assassin. In a league full of egos, it can be humbling when a team loses badly which is the case for Charlotte following a 38-point loss to the Mavericks which came in 2-16 on the road prior to that game. Those losses can get the juices going pretty quick so we can expect a big effort from the Hornets in this early Saturday start which is a disadvantage for the home team. Charlotte is 12-4 ATS after having lost two of their last three games this season while going 4-0 ATS in its last four games against teams with a winning percentage above .600. The Nuggets have won four straight games to take control of first place in the Western Conference but this is a tricky spot with a game at Houston on deck. They have won nine straight home games which is inflating this line along with that recent Charlotte loss. The Nuggets are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 home games against teams with a losing road record while going 4-15 ATS in their last 19 home games after scoring 110 points or more two straight games. Here, we play on road underdogs after a loss by 20 points or more going up against an opponent after a combined score of 215 points or more two straight games. This situation is 74-37 ATS (66.7 percent) since 1996. 9* (545) Charlotte Hornets |
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01-04-19 | Knicks +8.5 v. Lakers | 119-112 | Win | 100 | 13 h 47 m | Show | |
This is a play on the NEW YORK KNICKS as part of our NBA Friday Triple Play. The Knicks have caught a break as they will not have to deal with LeBron James when they visit the Lakers in a game pairing teams that have struggled of late. There could be even more good news in that Kyle Kuzma is listed as questionable after hurting his back last game. He had been on a tear as he was averaging over 40 mpg and 25 ppg in three games in the first three games James missed. The Lakers have dropped three of four games since he went down but are still laying a significant number here despite going 3-9-1 ATS in their last 13 home games against teams with a losing road record. Additionally, they are just 3-12 ATS in their last 15 games against the Eastern Conference. The Knicks are clearly having a rough season but as mentioned, they are getting a break here. To their credit, they have played the toughest schedule out of all Eastern Conference teams. New York has held its own against the Western Conference, covering five of its last seven games and it is 6-3 ATS when getting between 7.0 and 9.5 points on the season. Here, we play on road teams in non-conference games, off three or more consecutive road losses. This situation is 43-17 ATS (71.7 percent) over the last five seasons. 9* (541) New York Knicks |
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01-04-19 | Clippers -4 v. Suns | 121-111 | Win | 100 | 11 h 18 m | Show | |
This is a play on the LOS ANGELES CLIPPERS as part of our NBA Friday Triple Play. We typically steer clear of laying road chalk but the value is too good to pass up here. These teams last met here just over three weeks ago and the Clippers were favored by 9.5 points that game and while the absence of Devin Booker was part of it, a 5.5-point line difference is a bit much for one player similar to the Irving adjustment. Los Angeles has lost two straight games, both at home against the Sixers and Spurs and you have to go all the way back to December 5th to find the last time the Clippers lost to a losing team. The Suns are losers of four straight games and they are 4-12 ATS in their last 16 home games against teams with a losing road record. We have two strong situations in play here. First, we play on road teams after allowing 105 points or more three straight games going up against an opponent after trailing in their previous game by 20 or more points at the half. This situation is 48-18 ATS (72.7 percent) since 1996. Second, we play against home underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points that are being outscored by their opponents by 6.0 or more ppg, after scoring 105 points or more two straight games. This situation is 28-12 ATS (70 percent) over the last five seasons. 9* (539) Los Angeles Clippers |
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01-04-19 | Mavs v. Celtics -5.5 | Top | 93-114 | Win | 100 | 10 h 19 m | Show |
This is a play on the BOSTON CELTICS as part of our NBA Friday Triple Play. This is one of those games where the line adjustment is too big for a missing star player. Kyrie Irving is out for his second consecutive game and linesmakers have taken that into consideration. But based on the first meeting where Boston was a 2.5-point favorite in Dallas, that should make it an 8.5-point favorite with the change in venue so there is 3.5-point variance in this line and Irving is not worth 3.5 points. Terry Rozier got the start in place of Irving and contributed 16 points and five assists in 32 minutes as he is more than a capable backup. Dallas is coming off a rare road win at it destroyed Charlotte by 38 points on Wednesday and that was just its third road win of the season compared to 16 losses. The 38-point win skews the overall road numbers and taking that out gives the Mavericks a -7.3 scoring differential on the road and there have been losses to some very bad teams along the way. The Celtics are 7-1 ATS in their last eight home games against teams with a losing road record and here, we play on favorites revenging a loss where opponent scored 100 or more points going up against an opponent off an upset win as an underdog. This situation is 183-117 ATS (61 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (526) Boston Celtics |
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01-03-19 | Minnesota v. Wisconsin -9.5 | Top | 59-52 | Loss | -105 | 8 h 50 m | Show |
This is a play on the WISCONSIN BADGERS for our CBB Thursday Supreme Annihilator. We played against Wisconsin on Saturday as it lost to Western Kentucky to fall to 2-2 on the road. The Badgers are back home where they are 6-0 and those six home games are tied for the fewest in the conference. Despite playing more games away from home than in Madison, Wisconsin is the only team with that distinction that is ranked. Wisconsin is 19-7 ATS in its last 26 games after scoring 75 points or more three straight games while going 4-0 ATS in its last four home games against teams with a losing road record. Minnesota has won five straight games but considering it did not cover any of the last four shows that record is overblown. The Gopher were favored by at least 15 points in all of those games which shows they clearly did not live up to what they were supposed to do. Now they hit the road and the venue has played a big role this season as Minnesota is 8-0 at home and 0-2 in true road games. The Gophers are 2-8 ATS in their last 10 games after one or more consecutive wins this season while going 0-5 ATS in their last five road games against teams with a winning home record. 10* (656) Wisconsin Badgers |