Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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02-04-16 | Raptors +1 v. Blazers | Top | 110-103 | Win | 100 | 14 h 4 m | Show |
After 11 straight wins, Toronto had a pretty ugly loss at Denver but it bounced back with a victory over a hapless Phoenix team and as unimpressive as it looked, a win is a win and it was needed. The Raptors still have four games remaining on this current roadtrip, three prior to the All Star Break and one after. They currently possess a five-game lead over Boston in the Atlantic Division and with the Cleveland loss last night, they trail the Cavaliers by just 2.5 games in the Eastern Conference. Portland has won five straight games which is its longest winning streak of the season but it is a non-quality streak as all five of those wins have come against teams with a losing record including three teams that are 11, 21 and 31 games under .500. The Blazers have gotten back into the Western Conference playoff race as they are in eighth place but the schedule has helped with 11 of their previous 14 games all being at home and the three road games coming against losing teams from the Eastern Conference. They are 10-21-1 ATS in their last 32 games against teams with a winning straight up record and on the season, the Raptors are 10-4 ATS as underdogs. 10* (705) Toronto Raptors |
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02-04-16 | Southern Miss v. North Texas -3 | Top | 54-70 | Win | 100 | 15 h 42 m | Show |
A couple below average teams from C-USA square off here and the home team has a big edge here. North Texas is just 2-6 in the conference but it has been involved in a very tough stretch as it is coming off three straight road games which came after a home game against Marshall and a close home loss against Western Kentucky. The road has been a problem for the Mean Green as they are 1-8 but a much more respectable 6-6 at home and while covering at home has been few and far between, they are 2-0 ATS in this price range. Southern Mississippi meanwhile is on a two-game winning streak which came during a three-game homestand and like North Texas, the road has been tough as it is 2-6. The Golden Eagles have been solid against the number but are just 1-3 ATS in this price range. Going bac, the Mean Green are 3-1-1 ATS in their last five games against teams with a winning percentage below .400 while the Golden Eagles are 1-4 ATS in their last five games following a straight up win. 10* (746) North Texas Mean Green |
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02-04-16 | St. Mary's v. BYU -2.5 | Top | 59-70 | Win | 100 | 15 h 40 m | Show |
This is a game BYU has been waiting on for over a month as the Cougars opened West Coast Conference action at St. Mary’s and lost by 11 points. They have lost twice since then but both of those came on the road and they bring in an 11-0 home record into this rematch. BYU is two games behind the Gaels in the conference so a win gets it right back in the mix but a loss essentially knocks them out. Going back, the Cougars have won 16 straight home games and have been dominant here for years. Despite the loss of every starter from last season, the Gaels have been outstanding as they are 18-2 overall including 9-1 in the conference. While they opened the season a perfect 12-0 against the number, they have dropped their last five games ATS which is an indication that the linesmakers have finally started to catch up. This is easily their biggest road test of the season and it doesn’t help their cause that the Cougars are 5-0-1 ATS in their last six games following an ATS loss. Revenge will be sweet on Thursday night in Provo. 10* (760) BYU Cougars |
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02-04-16 | Ohio State +6 v. Wisconsin | Top | 68-79 | Loss | -106 | 13 h 42 m | Show |
This is the first meeting and only this season between Ohio St. and Wisconsin and the Buckeyes have had this game circled since last season as the Badgers came into Columbus and rolled by 24 points, one of just two home losses for Ohio St. The Buckeyes are tied for sixth place in the Big Ten at 6-4 following a loss against Maryland at home on Sunday. They are 2-3. on the road and while the three losses were all by double-digits, they came against Purdue, Maryland and Indian, three of the top five teams in the conference. Wisconsin does not fall into that category despite its best run of the season which currently sits at four straight wins. The Badgers have won against Michigan St. and Indiana here but those were by just four points combined. This is clearly a team that is still reeling from all of the lost talent from last season but because of the recent hot run, they are overvalued here tonight. The Buckeyes are 5-0-1 ATS in their last six games following a straight up loss and look for that roll to continue. 10* (713) Ohio St. Buckeyes |
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02-03-16 | Bulls +2 v. Kings | Top | 107-102 | Win | 100 | 11 h 28 m | Show |
This is a play on CHICAGO for our Wednesday Enforcer. This line came out late due to the status of DeMarcus Cousins and Rajon Rondo who are both on the injury list and while Cousins is a likely go, Rondo is questionable. We are assuming he will go with a day of rest as the Kings look to make it consecutive wins following a victory over Milwaukee on Monday. Sacramento is actually on a 20-20 run following a 1-7 start and currently sit two games out of the final playoff spot in the Western Conference. Chicago has not been playing well as it is just 4-9 over its last 13 games following a defeat in Utah Monday in overtime. The Bulls are now two games under .500 on the road but are 6-4 on the highway against teams with a losing record including wins in three of their last four. The Kings typically have an edge on the boards but that is not the case tonight as the Bulls average an NBA-best 48.6 rpg. We mentioned Monday that the tail end of this seven-game roadtrip is important as the last five games were against losing teams and after a loss in the last one, the final four games are now even more important. 10* (519) Chicago Bulls |
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02-03-16 | Oklahoma State v. Texas Tech -6 | Top | 61-63 | Loss | -110 | 30 h 23 m | Show |
A pair of struggling teams square off in Lubbock as Oklahoma St. hits the road for a second straight game. The Cowboys actually won the last road game at Auburn, their first true road win of the season after a 0-4 start. It was predicted to be a rough season for the Cowboys which lost a lot from last season and then took a hit in November when their best player Phil Forte was lost with an elbow injury. The fact this team defeated Kansas by 19 points last month is a complete shocker but the Jayhawks have indeed struggled on the road this season. Texas Tech has lost three straight games and seven of eight after an 11-1 start but the schedule has been brutal. The Red Raiders have lost three straight home games but those came against Kansas, Baylor and West Virginia, the latter two coming by just three and four points respectively. This is the first real winnable game since they defeated Texas in their conference opener. The Red Raiders are 7-1 ATS in their last eight home games against teams with a losing road record. While the Cowboys are 9-23-1 ATS in their last 33 road games against teams with a winning home record. 10* (544) Texas Tech Red Raiders |
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02-03-16 | Notre Dame v. Miami (Fla) -7 | Top | 70-79 | Win | 100 | 29 h 35 m | Show |
Miami started the season 13-1 including a 2-0 record in the ACC but has gone just 3-3 since then although the schedule has been partly to blame. Four of the last six games have come on the road where three of the losses took place. Following a bog home win over Duke last week, the Hurricanes went to NC State and were crushed by 16 points as a five-point road chalk. They have won eight straight games at home though all of which have come by double-digits including three against ACC opponents that are at least .500 in the conference. Now comes another solid test but Notre Dame has been extremely inconsistent this season. The Irish are 15-6 but own only two quality wins which came against Iowa and Duke. They are 6-3 in the ACC but the other five wins have come against Boston College (twice), Wake Forest, Georgia Tech and Virginia Tech and those four teams are a combined 7-27 in the conference. The Hurricanes are 11-5 ATS in their last 16 games against teams with a winning percentage above .600 while the Irish are 1-5-1 ATS in their last seven games against teams with a winning straight up record. 10* (530) Miami Florida Hurricanes |
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02-03-16 | Evansville v. Northern Iowa | Top | 54-57 | Loss | -110 | 29 h 34 m | Show |
Evansville had an opportunity to take out the big dog at home on Sunday but had one of its worst shooting days of the season and lost big against Wichita St. Now the Purple Aces have to regroup and avoid a letdown from that to keep pace for second place in the MVC. They hit the road where they are 5-3 and the one thing they have done well is bouncing back from losses as they are 4-0 this season following a loss, winning those games by an average of 21.5 ppg. Northern Iowa is the biggest disappointment in the conference this season as it was supposed to contend but has done anything but. The Panthers are 12-11 including 4-6 in the MVC following a 31-4 season last year. Three of those conference wins have come against Bradley twice and Drake, which are a combined 9-36 and 2-18 in the MVC. The home floor has not been great with a 10-point loss to 3-7 Loyola-Chicago proving that. The Purple Aces are 18-7-1 ATS in their last 26 road games against teams with a winning home record while the Panthers are 1-6 ATS in their last seven games against teams with a winning straight up record. 10* (539) Evansville Purple Aces |
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02-02-16 | Bucks +7 v. Blazers | Top | 95-107 | Loss | -110 | 15 h 1 m | Show |
This is a play on MILWAUKEE for our Tuesday Enforcer. Milwaukee is coming off its third straight loss last night in Sacramento as it went into the fourth quarter tied with the Kings but allowed 37 points to blow the win and cover, also its third straight setback. They have struggled on the road this season but there is definitely value in this line tonight as they are getting six points more than last night against a team that is just a game and a half better while getting 2.5 points more than Milwaukee got at Memphis last Thursday and the Grizzlies are six games better than Portland. The Blazers have won four games in a row which is certainly playing into the line. All of those wins also came against teams with losing records so there really isn’t much motivation here, especially with a home game against Toronto on deck. The Bucks having played last night could also be a factor in the number but Milwaukee has a young roster that pays off in these situations as the Bucks are 9-4 ATS when playing with no rest. The Bucks are 6-2-1 ATS in their last nine games after scoring 100 points or more in their previous game while the Blazers are 3-8 ATS in their last 11 games playing on one-day rest. 10* (707) Milwaukee Bucks |
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02-02-16 | Wyoming v. Air Force +2.5 | Top | 62-70 | Win | 100 | 28 h 5 m | Show |
We played on Wyoming Saturday and won as the Cowboys took out Colorado St. in the Border War which snapped a three-game losing streak. This sets up a great letdown opportunity as they hit the road to face Air Force in a game they should not be very interested in. Wyoming has been a road favorite once this season at San Jose St. and lost outright by seven points. The Cowboys are 3-5 on the road overall which includes a 1-4 record in the conference. Air Force has struggled in the MWC as after a 10-4 start, the Falcons have dropped their last eight conference games. Five of those have come on the road with the last four coming against the top half of the conference while the last two home losses have come by a combined five points. After winning against San Jose St. in their conference opener, the Falcons went to Laramie and lost to Wyoming by 12 points so payback will be in store. Air Force is 8-4 at home so while the home court edge is not as dominant as it used to be, it is still pretty solid. Going back, the Cowboys are 6-18-2 ATS in their last 26 games against teams with a losing straight up record. 10* (748) Air Force Falcons |
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02-02-16 | Duke -3.5 v. Georgia Tech | Top | 80-71 | Win | 100 | 28 h 5 m | Show |
Duke is going through one of its worst stretches in recent memory as the Blue Devils have lost four of their last five games following a defeat in Miami over the weekend. They have not had a stretch this bad since losing four straight games to end their season in 2006-07. The first three losses came by 11 points combined and while the loss to the Hurricanes was by that same amount, the game was close late. They are 3-2 on the road and a win here could be a big jump start with three straight home games on deck. Georgia Tech is coming off a close loss at Syracuse on Saturday which was its fourth loss in five games to fall to 2-6 in the ACC. This is not much of a surprise as the Yellow Jackets were picked to finish 14th in the 15-team conference. Georgia Tech has been pretty solid at home as it has wins against Virginia and VCU but it is catching the wrong team and the wrong time on Tuesday. The Blue Devils have won eight straight meetings in this series and going back, the Blue Devils are 11-4 ATS in their last 15 games following an ATS loss. 10* (751) Duke Blue Devils |
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02-02-16 | Indiana v. Michigan -2.5 | Top | 80-67 | Loss | -110 | 28 h 3 m | Show |
Indiana bounced back from its first conference loss which was an overtime loss at Wisconsin by three points as it defeated Minnesota on Saturday in a closer than expected game. The Hoosiers won that game by just six points but the victory moved them to 13-0 at home and they come into this one with a 3-2 record on the road. Those victories came against Minnesota, Nebraska and Rutgers which are a combined 4-24 in the Big Ten. Overall, the schedule has been very tame as only two teams with winning records, Wisconsin and Ohio St., have been on it. Michigan has won four straight games to move to 6-2 in the conference and has won nine straight games at home following its only home loss of the season back in November against Xavier. The home team has dominated this series with eight straight wins and the home court will be big here as well. While the Wolverines are still without leading scorer Caris LeVert, the Hoosiers have been without second leading scorer James Blackmon Jr. going back, the Wolverines are 5-2 ATS in their last seven games following an ATS loss and 5-2 ATS in their last seven home games against teams with a winning road record. 10* (758) Michigan Wolverines |
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02-02-16 | Heat v. Rockets -5 | Top | 102-115 | Win | 100 | 13 h 2 m | Show |
This is a play on HOUSTON for our Tuesday Supreme Annihilator. Houston has been one of the streakiest teams this season as the Rockets have had winning and losing streaks of three or more games 10 times. This includes a three-game winning streak a week ago only to be followed up by its current three-game skid. They had tough back-to-back road games at San Antonio and Oklahoma City on the 27th and 29th and then had to face Washington the next night so it was a tough slate with a tough spot added on. Houston has won 12 of its last 17 home games and face a hot opponent as Miami has won four straight games which coincidentally came after a four-game losing streak. Three of the wins came on the road but all were by five points or less and were against a struggling Chicago team as well as Brooklyn and Milwaukee, not exactly quality wins. The Heat are still a game under .500 on the road and they are 7-17 ATS in their last 24 road games against teams with a winning home record while going 5-13 ATS in their last 18 games following a straight up win of more than 10 points. Meanwhile, the Rockets are 7-2 ATS in their last nine home games against teams with a losing road record. 10* (704) Houston Rockets |
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02-01-16 | Bulls +4.5 v. Jazz | Top | 96-105 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 2 m | Show |
This is a play on CHICAGO for our Monday Enforcer. A lot of factors in this game set up great for the Bulls which are coming off a loss yesterday afternoon against the Clippers by 27 points so we should see a pretty inspired effort tonight. After a 4-0 start to January, which was the tail end of a six-game winning streak, Chicago has lost eight of its last 12 games but it has gone 4-1 in its last five games following a loss so avoiding losing streaks has at least stopped more bleeding. The Bulls are now a game under .500 on the road but are 6-3 on the highway against teams with a losing record. Utah has won two straight games, both against struggling teams as Charlotte and Minnesota went 6-11 and 2-14 in January respectively. This is just the eighth tine that the Jazz have won consecutive games season and they have been unable to expand upon that as they are 0-7 this season following back-to-back victories, losing those games by an average of 9.4 ppg. The Bulls remaining five games on this roadtrip, including this one, are all against losing teams so a run is necessary and expected and it starts here. 10* (513) Chicago Bulls |
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02-01-16 | Mavs v. Hawks -6.5 | Top | 97-112 | Win | 100 | 12 h 2 m | Show |
This is a play on ATLANTA for our Monday Supreme Annihilator. Atlanta went undefeated last January but the 2016 version was not nearly as good as the Hawks went 6-9 including losses in three straight games. The most recent was just last night in Miami as the Hawks fell by 18 points as a three-point road favorite in a game they never led. They are now back home where they have won seven of their last nine and a little added motivation should be there as Atlanta did in fact lose it last home game against the Clippers. Dallas took care of Phoenix last night, which fired head coach Jeff Hornacek after the game, and that was the second straight double-digit win for the Mavericks but those were against two of the worst teams in the NBA. Dallas is a respectable 13-14 on the road but of those 13 wins, only two of those have come against teams with a winning record. It goes back further as the Mavericks are 6-21-1 ATS in their last 28 road games against teams with a winning home record while the Hawks are 5-1 ATS in their last six home games against teams with a losing road record. 10* (506) Atlanta Hawks |
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02-01-16 | North Carolina v. Louisville -1 | Top | 65-71 | Win | 100 | 25 h 17 m | Show |
Louisville is coming off an awful performance on Saturday against Virginia as it was held to 21 percent shooting from the floor in the first half and could not recover. That was the Cardinals first home loss of the season and a look ahead to this game from a certain possibility and they paid for it. The 16-point margin of defeat was their worst in six seasons at home so motivation will not be missing Monday. North Carolina has won 12 straight games which includes a perfect 8-0 start in the ACC. The Tar Heels were favored in by double-digits in six of those and have not been an underdog over that stretch which says a lot about the ease of the early conference season. As a matter of fact, this is the first time they have been an underdog all season and at the same time, this is the first time Louisville has been favored by fewer than five points all season. Louisville also has some payback to take care of following a 10-point loss in last season’s ACC Tournament. The Cardinals are 3-0-1 ATS in their last four games after scoring less than 50 points in their previous game while the Tar Heels are 2-5 ATS in their last seven games against teams with a winning straight up record. 10* (520) Louisville Cardinals |
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01-31-16 | Celtics v. Magic +4.5 | Top | 114-119 | Win | 100 | 10 h 58 m | Show |
We played on Orlando Friday in the first game of this home-and-home and it was clearly a bad call as the Magic were outscored by 10 in the fourth quarter and lost by 19. Now they head home to try and solve the Celtics which have won five straight games as they try and keep pace with the Raptors in the Atlantic Division. Orlando meanwhile has dropped eight straight games and 12 of 13 but the value tonight is too good to pass up. The Magic were getting eight points in Boston and are now getting 4.5 points at home and that line swing is not nearly enough for a venue change. They are still a solid 12-10 at home with two of their last three losses coming in overtime and this is a pretty big game considering they start a two-game roadtrip tomorrow against San Antonio and then finishing with Oklahoma City which are a combined 47-5 at home. Orlando is 6-3 ATS this season as a home underdog while going 5-2 ATS in their last seven home games against teams with a winning road record. Additionally, the Celtics are 0-5 ATS in their last five road games against teams with a winning home record. 10* (834) Orlando Magic |
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01-31-16 | Richmond v. St Bonaventure -1.5 | Top | 68-84 | Win | 100 | 6 h 35 m | Show |
We will be backing St. Bonaventure for the first time this season and we are catching the Bonnies at a great time. After a 4-0 start in the Atlantic Ten, they have dropped their last three games but all came against teams with winning conference records including the last two against VCU and Dayton, the top two teams in the conference and both of those games were very competitive. St. Bonaventure is 8-2 at home with the lone defeats coming against the aforementioned Flyers and Hofstra, which sits atop the CAA. The Bonnies have been off for a week making them even more hungry for a win to break the skid. Richmond meanwhile is coming off a win at George Washington in overtime on Thursday, handing the Colonials their first home loss of the season. This puts the Spiders in a tough letdown spot here and they have dropped four of their last games following a spread win. The Bonnies have covered six of their last eight games and are 7-2 as a favorite so the short price means that a win likely means a cover as well. 10* (858) St. Bonaventure Bonnies |
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01-30-16 | Spurs v. Cavs +2.5 | Top | 103-117 | Win | 100 | 13 h 46 m | Show |
We played against Cleveland last night with part of the thinking being the Cavaliers would get caught looking ahead to this game but that they did not as they won in Detroit in a game they only trailed early in by two points. They have had this one circled for a little over two weeks after going to San Antonio and walking out with a four-point loss. There is a little extra motivation here as well as Cleveland will be playing with a chip on its shoulder after being given the home underdog role in this one. The Spurs are coming off a blowout victory over Houston on Wednesday following their blowout loss in Golden St. two nights earlier. The win over the Rockets moved them to 25-0 at home while the loss to the Warriors dropped them to 14-7 on the road. That is still an excellent record for the road but the Cavaliers are 18-3 at home and overall are 14-7 ATS against teams with a winning record. Two weeks ago, the Spurs were favored by six at home which would make the Cavaliers roughly a two-point favorite based on venue change but the current line is off by four points compared to that so the value is clearly on the home side. Cleveland is 4-1 ATS as a dog this season and this marks the first time it is a dog at home. 10* (514) Cleveland Cavaliers |
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01-30-16 | San Diego State v. UNLV -4.5 | Top | 67-52 | Loss | -100 | 24 h 46 m | Show |
This is a play on UNLV for our Saturday Enforcer. UNLV is 13-8 overall and 4-4 in the MWC following a home win over Boise St. on Wednesday. While it seems to have been a disappointing season for the Rebels, they have played a lot better than that record indicates. Of those eight losses, six have been by six points or less including five by three points or less. Their four conference losses have come by a combined eight points and this is definitely a statement game to get back at San Diego St. as they have dropped the last six meetings in this series going back the last two seasons. San Diego St. is a perfect 8-0 in the conference but have been far from dominant against much weaker opposition as the Aztecs have won have those games by exactly three points or in overtime. While they have lost only once on the road, their four road conference wins have come by a total of just 16 points. 10* (636) UNLV Runnin' Rebels |
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01-30-16 | St. Joe's v. Rhode Island -3.5 | Top | 64-55 | Loss | -106 | 22 h 48 m | Show |
This is a play on RHODE ISLAND for our Atlantic 10 Game of the Year. Rhode Island is hanging tough in the Atlantic Ten despite the loss of preseason player of the year E.C. Matthews, who injured his knee in the first game of the season. The Rams are 4-3 in the conference and could use a quality win to bolster their postseason chances. The three losses have come by five points or less and all on the road including a loss at St. Joseph's setting up a revenge spot here. The Hawks won their sixth straight game on Wednesday but failed to cover and on the season, they are a perfect 6-0 on the road which puts them in a great contrarian situation. The Rams are 10-2 at home with the only losses coming by two points to Providence and three points to Valparaiso. Excellent spot for the home team here. 10* (604) Rhode Island Rams |
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01-30-16 | Colorado State v. Wyoming -3.5 | Top | 76-83 | Win | 100 | 22 h 44 m | Show |
Colorado St. is one of five teams in the MWC with winning records as it improved to 4-3 with a win over San Jose St., which was its second unimpressive win over the Trojans which are 1-8 in the conference. The Rams are 3-2 on the road with another road win coming against 1-7 Air Force by only four points and the other coming against Northern Iowa by just six points. Wyoming is a disappointing 3-5 in the conference following its third straight loss on Tuesday. The Cowboys have shown signs of excellent play as proven by wins over UNLV and New Mexico but losing at San Jose St. was inexcusable. This is a great spot to snap the losing skid though as this is a big rivalry with it being the 224th meeting in the Border War. The home team has won seven of the last nine meetings and expect that trend to continue Saturday. 10* (598) Wyoming Cowboys |
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01-30-16 | Oklahoma v. LSU +5 | Top | 77-75 | Win | 100 | 21 h 45 m | Show |
This is a play on LSU for our Saturday Star Attraction. LSU came into the season with a ton of hype and a top 20 ranking but it has not quite gone as planned. Ben Simmons is staking his claim for the best player in the country and after some early growing pains, the Tigers are coming together as they have won nine of their last 12 games with two losses coming at Florida and Texas A&M which are a combined 21-1 at home with the other loss being a perplexing home loss against Wake Forest. That is their only home loss of the season and the value is on their side here not only because they are facing the No. 1 team in the country but because they have failed to cover their last six games. Oklahoma is 4-2 on the road with two of those wins coming by just a bucket and his will be its third biggest road test, the first two resulting in losses at Kansas and Iowa St. 10* (576) LSU Tigers |
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01-30-16 | Washington v. USC -7.5 | Top | 88-98 | Win | 100 | 19 h 44 m | Show |
While Oregon shocked Arizona on the road Thursday, Washington is arguably the biggest surprise in the Pac 10 as it is tied with the Ducks for first place at 6-2. The Huskies are coming off an upset win at UCLA which was their third conference road win in four tries but all were by four points or less and now comes the biggest test with the exception of playing at Arizona where they lost by 32 points. USC started the season 12-2 before cooling off somewhat but has still won four of its last seven games. A 15-point loss at Oregon St. was a shocker but the other two were by eight points at Oregon and by just two points at Washington to the Trojans will be out to avenge that defeat as well. They failed to cover at home against Washington St. by just a bucket on Thursday but they are 9-2-1 ATS at home on the season. 10* (558) USC Trojans |
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01-30-16 | Charlotte v. Florida Atlantic +3.5 | Top | 77-82 | Win | 100 | 18 h 45 m | Show |
We played against Charlotte Thursday and unfortunately lost as the 49ers defeated Florida International by a bucket to improve to 4-4 in C-USA. They have lost some close games this season but have also been fortunate to win some close ones as well and this has turned Charlotte into a cover machine as it has won the money in 10 straight games. The 49ers win Thursday was just their third road win with the others coming against Appalachian St. and Southern Mississippi. Florida Atlantic is just a game behind the 49ers and just two games out of fourth place in the conference. The Owls lost to Old Dominion at home on Thursday to fall to 3-3 at home as the schedule has not been on their side with 15 of 21 games being on the highway. This is just the second time all season they have had back-to-back home games and they take advantage here. 10* (554) Florida Atlantic Owls |
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01-30-16 | Clemson v. Florida State -3.5 | Top | 65-76 | Win | 100 | 16 h 47 m | Show |
This is a play on FLORIDA ST. for our Saturday Afternoon Dominator. Florida St. is back home following a comfortable win at Boston College on Tuesday and is in need of a win to turn its ACC season around. The Seminoles are 3-5 in the conference with all five of those losses coming against the top five teams in the conference. One of those came at Clemson in their ACC opener which was the start of a 0-3 beginning so payback is also at the forefront. Clemson bounced back from a loss at Virginia as it romped over Pittsburgh at home by 13 points as a short favorite. That was the Tigers eighth straight cover with the value now shifting to the side of the Seminoles. Clemson is just 1-4 on the road with the lone victory taking overtime to win against Syracuse. 10* (520) Florida St. Seminoles |
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01-29-16 | Cavs v. Pistons +4.5 | Top | 114-106 | Loss | -105 | 14 h 25 m | Show |
This is a play on DETROIT for our Friday Enforcer. Detroit used a big fourth quarter to pull away from the Sixers on Wednesday to earn its second straight win and improve to 15-7 at home. It has been an up and down season for the Pistons but when they show up, they can be very difficult to beat, case in point an 18-point win here against Golden St. less than two weeks ago. The Cavaliers have also won two straight games, taking care of Phoenix and Minnesota which is far from impressive. Cleveland is 21-4 against teams ranked 17th or worse in the league but just an average 11-8 against the top 16. Detroit is 14-12 against the top 16 which isn't especially strong however Detroit owns eight wins over the top ten and those eight victories are fourth most in the NBA behind Golden St., Chicago and Toronto. The Cavaliers could very well be caught looking ahead as they host San Antonio in a revenge game from a couple weeks ago when they lost on the road by four points. Additionally, the Cavaliers are 1-4 ATS in their last five games following a straight up win of more than 10 points while the Pistons are 9-2 ATS in their last 11 home games against teams with a winning road record. 10* (854) Detroit Pistons |
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01-29-16 | Magic +8.5 v. Celtics | Top | 94-113 | Loss | -115 | 14 h 40 m | Show |
This is a play on ORLANDO for our Friday Ultimate Underdog. The Celtics have matched their longest winning streak of the season with four consecutive victories and their most recent win over Denver made it four straight wins at home as well. Trying to keep pace with the surging Raptors is not easy but Boston is doing its best at this point. Now the linesmakers are again catching up as the Celtics laid a big number against the Nuggets and are now laying nearly the same amount here against a team that is better than Denver. Orlando has no doubt been struggling after a very strong start to the season as it has lost seven straight games and 11 of its 12 games in the month of January. During this recent seven-game skid, three of those defeats came in overtime while two others were less than what the Magic are getting tonight. Orlando is capable of turning this around with a very talented roster that has had leads of 16, 9, 19 and 10 points in their last four games but failed to keep those advantages. This has been a home dominated series with the host taking eight straight but the biggest spread of that stretch has been six points. The Magic are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games against the NBA Atlantic while the Celtics are 1-5 ATS in their last six home games against teams with a road winning percentage of less than .400. 10* (855) Orlando Magic |
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01-29-16 | VCU v. Davidson +2.5 | Top | 79-69 | Loss | -120 | 11 h 1 m | Show |
This is a play on DAVIDSON for our Friday Enforcer. Note 6:00 PM ET start. VCU comes into Friday as the lone remaining undefeated team in the Atlantic Ten but now comers another tough test on the road. The Rams passed their first road test at St. Joes back on January 5th, handing the Hawks their lone loss in the conference but they were actually getting a point there and were also getting a point in Richmond in its last road game which took overtime to win. Now VCU is favored on the highway which is an overadjusted move based on the winning streak. Davison has had an inconsistent season thus far but has been pretty strong for the most part. The Wildcats are 12-6 overall including 4-3 in the A-10 and are coming off a two-game splits on their most recent roadtrip. All three conference losses have come on the road while their three non-conference losses have come against North Carolina, Pittsburgh and California which are a combined 48-13. Davidson is ranked sixth nationally in assist-turnover ratio (1.63), 10th in free-throw shooting (76 percent) and 17th in three-point field goals per game (9.9). Davidson is now back home where it is 10-0 on the season and going back, the Wildcats have won 15 straight at home and 30 of their last 31 dating back to the 2013-14 season. A sold out game in a nationally televised Friday night game will prove to be the difference here. 10* (872) Davidson Wildcats |
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01-28-16 | Oregon State v. Arizona State -5 | Top | 68-86 | Win | 100 | 12 h 19 m | Show |
This is a play on ARIZONA St. for our Thursday Supreme Annihilator. This line may seem off for many but this is a statement game for Arizona St. and I am expecting the Sun Devils to run away from this one. Not much was expected from them in the first season under head coach Bobby Hurley but they have actually played a lot better than what the records are showing. Arizona St. is just 1-6 in the Pac 12 but the two double-digit losses came against two of the best teams in Arizona and USC while the other four losses have been by 7, 4, 5 and 2 points, the last three coming in their last three games. Also, we cannot discount two solid non-conference wins over Texas A&M and UNLV. Oregon St. is coming off a huge 15-point home win over USC to move to 3-4 in the conference and while the Beavers also own very impressive conference wins over Oregon and California, those were also at home. Only two of their first seven Pac 12 games have been on the road and those were both losses. Seven of the final 11 conference games are on the highway and looking at them, all look to be defeats. Going back, the Sun Devils are 10-4-1 ATS in their last 15 games following a straight up loss while the Beavers are 1-7 ATS in their last eight road games against teams with a winning home record. 10* (754) Arizona St. Sun Devils |
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01-28-16 | Hawks v. Pacers -3 | Top | 92-111 | Win | 100 | 13 h 6 m | Show |
Both Indiana and Atlanta are coming off two-point home losses against the Clippers in their last game, with the Pacers going down Tuesday and the Hawks losing last night. The extra day of rest should benefit Indiana as it is in desperate need of a victory after what has been a horrible end to the month. The Pacers have lost six of their last seven games which includes two straight home losses but they are still a solid 13-7 at home. It has been a tough stretch for Indiana as with the exception for a couple losses to good teams, it has been falling to teams it should be beating. On the season, the Pacers are 7-12 ATS against teams with a losing record but when the competition rises, so do the Pacers as they are 16-8 ATS against teams with a winning record including 8-3 ATS at home. The Hawks aren't playing great either as they have lost three of their last four and seven of their last 13 after ending December on a 7-1 run. Atlanta is 12-12 on the highway which is decent but going back the Hawks are 1-4 ATS in their last five road games against teams with a home winning percentage of greater than .600. This season, they are 1-4 straight up and ATS playing with no rest and the second game being on the road. 10* (704) Indiana Pacers |
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01-28-16 | Iowa v. Maryland -4 | Top | 68-74 | Win | 100 | 11 h 40 m | Show |
This is a play on MARYLAND for our Thursday Star Attraction. This game sets up very similar to the play we made against Texas A&M last night as the Aggies went into Arkansas on a very similar path to what Iowa has done. Iowa is ranked No. 3 in the latest AP Poll after coming into the season unranked and received only six total votes so the run has been impressive and swift on top of it. The Hawkeyes lost early to Dayton and Notre Dame to open the season 3-2 but since then they have gone 13-1 with the lone loss coming against Iowa St. by just one point. They are 7-0 in the Big Ten, leading Indiana by a half-game and Maryland and Michigan by a game. Of those seven wins, four have come against Purdue and Michigan St. so it has been a great run. Maryland is still ranked in the top ten as it is 17-3 despite a 2-2 run over its last two games. Those losses came on the road however and the Terrapins are 11-0 at home, winning those games by over 18 ppg. This is obviously a huge test but the spot sets up well with them coming off a loss and Iowa having passed them in the rankings as Iowa has moved from No. 17 to No. 9 to No. 3 in just three weeks. Maryland is 9-0 following a loss the past two seasons as the last time it lost back-to-back games was back in 2013-14. 10* (718) Maryland Terrapins |
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01-28-16 | Charlotte v. Florida International -3 | Top | 72-69 | Loss | -105 | 11 h 40 m | Show |
This is a play on FLORIDA INTERNATIONAL for our Thursday Enforcer. Florida International has been one of pleasant surprises in Conference USA as the Golden Panthers are off to a 5-2 start in the conference to hold down the fourth spot on their own. One of those losses was a shocking six-point loss at home against 5-12 Southern Mississippi as a nine-point home favorite but they bounced back with a pair of road wins last week. Keeping up with the top three teams will be difficult but taking care of the teams below them should not be an issue and we get that again tonight. Charlotte comes into town with a 3-4 record which is good for a tie for sixth place with three other teams and we are playing against the 49ers because of their success against the number that has pushed this one down lower than it should be. They have covered 10 straight games which is unheard of but they have played some very close games that have resulted in losses as four of their last five defeated have come by three points or less. This is the spot for the close ones to end however as Charlotte is coming off a four-game homestand and hits the road for the first time since January 9th. While the 49ers are on a huge ATS run, the Golden Panthers are 10-4-1 ATS in their last 15 games against teams with a winning percentage below .400. 10* (722) Florida International Golden Panthers |
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01-27-16 | Rockets v. Spurs -10 | Top | 99-130 | Win | 100 | 13 h 37 m | Show |
This is a play on SAN ANTONIO for our Wednesday Enforcer. San Antonio is coming off an embarrassing loss at Golden St. on Monday but as its typical reaction, it could care less. Head coach Gregg Popovich took a lot of heat for not playing Tim Duncan but he is not playing again tonight so nothing should be read into that. While Duncan is out again, it should be noted that San Antonio is 7-1 this season in games he has missed. The Spurs are coming off just their seventh loss of the season and they have been perfect in bouncing back from a loss not only straight up but against the number as they are 6-0 ATS in their previous six games following a defeat and they have not been close with winning margins of 22, 15, 27, 20, 10 and 25 points. Houston has won three straight games while covering all of those as well and the Rockets are playing a lot better over a significant stretch as they have won nine of their last 12 games. The problem is that those losses came against winning teams while six of the nine wins were against teams with a losing record. Houston is 5-6 in its last 11 road games with only one of those wins against a winning team and they are 2-6 ATS in their last eight games against teams with a winning straight up record. 10* (508) San Antonio Spurs |
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01-27-16 | Texas A&M v. Arkansas +3 | Top | 71-74 | Win | 100 | 9 h 27 m | Show |
This is a play on ARKANSAS for our Wednesday Enforcer. Texas A&M started the season unranked in the preseason AP Poll back in November but is now all the way up to No. 5 in the country. The Aggies are 17-2 on the season and are riding a 10-game winning streak so they have some big momentum going. Their last road game resulted in a blowout victory at Georgia but they have not been overly dominant besides that as they won at Tennessee by just four points, won at Mississippi St. by just one point and lost at Arizona St. by 13 points. Now comes another big test and while Arkansas is just 9-10, this is a tough place for opponents to come into. The Razorbacks are 8-2 at home and had their seven-game home winning streak snapped last time out against Kentucky so they will be out to bounce back from that. They will also be out to avenge a 23-point loss suffered earlier this season at College Station in the SEC opener for both teams. The Razorbacks have seen six of their 10 losses come by four points or fewer, including three of those in overtime so the 9-10 record is certainly deceiving. Going back, the Razorbacks are 21-8 ATS in their last 29 home games against teams with a road winning percentage of greater than .600. 10* (526) Arkansas Razorbacks |
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01-27-16 | Massachusetts +13.5 v. St. Joe's | Top | 70-78 | Win | 100 | 9 h 26 m | Show |
This is a play on MASSACHUSETTS for our Wednesday Ultimate Underdog. We have two teams heading in opposite directions here and the line is reflecting that. Massachusetts lost a ton of talent from last season and while we knew it was not going to be a great season, not many saw these struggles coming. The Minutemen have dropped five straight games with only one of those games resulting in a push. Conversely, St. Joe's has won five straight games while covering all of those along the way and of the Hawks three losses, two have come at home and while those came against teams we cannot compare to Massachusetts, the line is a big one to cover tonight. The rough stretch for the Minutemen is surprising based on the strength of their backcourt as the starting guard trio Donte Clark, Trey Davis and Jabarie Hinds all rank among the 25 highest scoring players across the Atlantic Ten and this can pose big problems for the Hawks whose backcourt is the big weakness. It will be up to that backcourt to find the basket as Massachusetts is 6-0 this season when scoring 80 or more points but while the outright win would be nice, staying within this huge number is our main goal which the Minutemen accomplish here tonight. 10* (521) Massachusetts Minutemen |
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01-26-16 | Kings v. Blazers -4 | Top | 97-112 | Win | 100 | 14 h 14 m | Show |
This is a play on PORTLAND for our Tuesday Enforcer. Sacramento has been playing some excellent basketball right now as the Kings were riding a five-game winning streak prior to last night where they lost a tough one, falling by a point against Charlotte in double-overtime. Now the Kings have to travel to not only play with no rest but also having to play coming off that extended contest. Sacramento took out some solid teams during that mini winning streak but this one might be too much to ask for as the Kings are also playing their fifth game in seven nights. They come in riding a three-game road winning streak which is a reason we are getting value with Portland. The Blazers defeated the Lakers in their last game which was way back on Saturday so they definitely have the edge as far as fatigue coming into play. They have won five of their last seven games overall including three of four at home where they are now a game over .500. The Rose Garden is far from the same dominant home court edge it used to be but the pointspreads have been taking that into consideration. Portland has been consistent this season depending who it played as it is 8-15 ATS against winning teams while going 15-7 ATS against losing teams. Additionally, the Blazers are 6-0 ATS in their last six games playing on two days rest while the Kings are 8-17-1 ATS in their last 26 games after allowing more than 125 points in their previous game. 10* (714) Portland Trailblazers |
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01-26-16 | Florida v. Vanderbilt -4.5 | Top | 59-60 | Loss | -109 | 11 h 54 m | Show |
This is a play on VANDERBILT for our Tuesday Star Attraction. Vanderbilt is one of the most confusing teams as far as the results we are seeing. The Commodores are one of the most experienced teams in the country and after a 21-14 season last year, big things were expected in Nashville. It hasn't been as expected however as Vanderbilt is just 11-8 overall including a 3-4 record in the SEC with six teams ahead of it. The NCAA Tournament looked like a virtual lock but that is far from the case now so it needs some big wins. To their credit, the first four losses came against future non-conference NCAA Tournament teams and the Commodores will be out to bounce back from a Saturday blowout against Kentucky by 19 points. Florida meanwhile has won three straight games but those were against three of the six worst teams in the conference which are a combined 5-14. The Gators are 2-4 on the road with one of those wins coming against Navy. They did fare well against Texas A&M on the road but this is a bad spot to be facing Vanderbilt. The Gators are 6-19-2 ATS in their last 27 games following a win while the Commodores are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games following a loss. 10* (754) Vanderbilt Commodores |
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01-26-16 | Suns v. 76ers -3 | Top | 103-113 | Win | 100 | 11 h 15 m | Show |
This is a play on PHILADELPHIA for our Tuesday Supreme Annihilator. The Sixers are in the rare role of favorites tonight as this is just the second time this season they are laying points. The first time it resulted in a 12-point win over the Lakers so while this line may not seem correct to some, Philadelphia definitely has to be favored here. The Sixers are coming off a Sunday loss against the Celtics but have certainly been playing a lot better as after a 0-11-1 ATS run, they have gone 9-5 ATS over their last 14 games. The Suns are coming off a rare win as they upset Atlanta at home as a double-digit underdog which snapped a six-game winning streak. Phoenix has just four road wins on the season and has not won away from home in seven weeks, going 0-10 in their last 10 games while covering just one of those games. Injuries have played a big role in the struggles as Phoenix has four players averaging at least 9.0 ppg that are on the injured list and are either questionable or out for tonight which includes its two leading scorers Eric Bledsoe and Brandon Knight who are both out. The Suns are 4-15 ATS this season against losing teams including a 1-9 ATS mark on the road against teams with a sub-.500 record while the Sixers have covered four straight games following a loss. The Suns allowed the Sixers their first road win of the season so they will be out for revenge but it won't happen on the road. 10* (704) Philadelphia 76ers |
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01-26-16 | Mississippi State v. South Carolina -7.5 | Top | 74-84 | Win | 100 | 9 h 55 m | Show |
This is a play on SOUTH CAROLINA for our Tuesday Supreme Annihilator. The SEC is wide open as behind 7-0 Texas A&M, there are nine teams within two games of each other for second place. The Aggies look like the class of the conference and with Kentucky having somewhat of a down season, South Carolina looks like the best bet to claim that second spot. The Gamecocks opened the season 15-0 but have gone just 2-2 since then and while the tow losses were not very close, they were on the road. This includes a nine-point loss at Tennessee Saturday so South Carolina will be out to bounce back in a big way tonight. Mississippi St. is coming off a rare conference win, so rare in fact it was just its first one of the season. The Bulldogs are now 1-5 in the SEC and to their credit, four of those losses have been pretty close but the win on Saturday came against rival Mississippi so this is a big letdown spot. Overall, the Bulldogs are 0-5 on the road and while they are 3-1 ATS in lined road games, the three covers were as double-digit underdogs and the lone loss was by this same pointspread as they fell to Arkansas by 14 points. Big blow out tonight. 10* (732) South Carolina Gamecocks |
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01-26-16 | Creighton v. Georgetown -3.5 | Top | 73-74 | Loss | -106 | 8 h 25 m | Show |
This is a play on GEORGETOWN for our Tuesday Enforcer. Tuesday college hoops tips off early at 6:30 between Creighton and Georgetown with second place in the Big East on the line. Right now there are four teams sitting at 5-2 in the conference which is a game and a half behind Villanova for first place so tonight's game is an early big one. The Hoyas are coming off a loss at Connecticut on Saturday in a non-conference game against former Big East rivals and they are now back home for the first time in 10 days. That last home game resulted in a loss against Villanova which was their fourth home loss of the season, not a very good track record but we are getting a good line because of it. Creighton is coming off a home win over Butler on Saturday to remain in the second place bunch. The Bluejays are 3-3 on the road overall with all three of those wins in conference action but all have been against teams with losing Big East records and are a combined 4-17. Georgetown is playing with a little revenge as well as it went to Omaha exactly three weeks ago and lost by 13 points so motivation will not be an issue. 10* (718) Georgetown Hoyas |
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01-25-16 | Pistons +2 v. Jazz | Top | 95-92 | Win | 100 | 13 h 37 m | Show |
This is a play on DETROIT for our Monday Enforcer. The Pistons have lost two straight games since their upset win at Houston and have lost three of four games since their upset win against Golden St. and I look for them to bounce back here as they close their four-game roadtrip. We played on Detroit Saturday and getting outscored 39-20 in the third quarter was their undoing in a game they really had no business losing. They are a decent 11-12 on the season against the top 16 teams which is where Utah also falls into. The Jazz rolled over Brooklyn on Friday on the road which snapped a two-game skid but they are just 7-14 on the season following a victory and this will be no easy task. Defeating the Nets is one thing but on the season, Utah is just 5-14 against the top 25 and those five wins are tied for fourth fewest in the entire league. The Pistons dealing with a very good number here based on their last games where they closed as a 4.5-point favorite at Denver but are now a 2-point underdog against Utah which is just 2.5 games better than the Nuggets so that 6.5-point line difference is very significant. Going back, the Pistons are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games against teams with a losing straight up record while the Jazz are 2-5 ATS in their last seven games against teams with a winning straight up record. 10* (511) Detroit Pistons |
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01-25-16 | Oakland v. Wisc-Milwaukee -3 | Top | 82-79 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 46 m | Show |
This is a play on MILWAUKEE for our Monday Enforcer. The Horizon League is bunched up in the middle with six teams within two and a half games each other for third place and two of those square off tonight. Both Oakland and Milwaukee are coming off wins on Saturday but the short turn around edge goes to the Panthers who remain home while Oakland has to hit the road once again. They are coming off an upset win at Green Bay to move to 4-3 in the conference and remain in the midst of a tough part of the schedule with five road games over a six-game stretch. Milwaukee took care of Detroit to hand the Titans their fourth straight loss but it was a closer than anticipated. The Panthers are 5-2 at home with both losses coming in overtime by a combined three points. They have failed to cover in any of its five home games this season but that is far from a bad thing for us as we are getting a great number, the lowest they have been favored by this season. Additionally, Oakland is 8-1 ATS away from home and that is also playing a role in this short price. At 5-2 in the Horizon, Milwaukee can separate itself from the pack for third place with a two-game lead with a victory and the home floor will finally provide a cover for the Panthers. 10* (526) Milwaukee Panthers |
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01-25-16 | Celtics v. Wizards -2 | Top | 116-91 | Loss | -107 | 11 h 37 m | Show |
This is a play on WASHINGTON for our Monday Supreme Annihilator. Washington defeated Miami by 19 points in its most recent game which happened to take place five days ago. The Wizards had their game on Saturday postponed due to the weather and that is a huge edge here. They were home in that last game so there have been no travel issues and a rested Washington team is a very strong team as it has won all four games this season when dealing with three or more days of rest. It has been a rough start to the season for Washington which was expected to contend Southeast Division but the Wizards are just four games behind Atlanta so there is a lot of time left. On the other side, Boston was affected by the snowstorm as well as the game at Philadelphia was postponed Saturday but was made up yesterday. The Celtics rolled to a win but the travel issues could catch up to them here. When Saturday's game was postponed, the Celtics practiced in Boston then flew to Philadelphia on Sunday morning and now are traveling once again albeit not a very long distance. The Wizards are 4-1 ATS in their last five games against teams with a winning straight up record while the Celtics are 2-5 ATS in their last seven road games. Washington will also be out for triple revenge following losses in the first three games this season against Boston. 10* (504) Washington Wizards |
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01-24-16 | William & Mary v. Hofstra -2 | Top | 63-91 | Win | 100 | 4 h 14 m | Show |
This is a play on HOFSTRA for our Sunday Enforcer. There is a logjam at the top of the Colonial Athletic Association as going into Saturday, four teams are tied for first place with 5-2 records. That includes both Hofstra and William & Mary which has turned this into a big early season matchup. Hofstra is coming off a big triple overtime win at Northeastern on Thursday which came after an overtime loss last Saturday against James Madison at home which is its lone home defeat of the season. The Pride will be out to carry that momentum from Thursday into Sunday as they will be out to avenge three losses against William & Mary last season, the final one coming in overtime by a point in the CAA Tournament which ended their shot at the NCAA Tournament. All five starters are averaging in double figures for Hofstra through 19 games, one of only two teams to stake that claim. The Tribe are coming off a blowout win over Elon which also came on Thursday so the turnaround time for both teams is the same and hitting the road in the big winter storm could have some adverse effects. William & Mary is 4-4 on the road including 2-1 in the conference with the only big effort coming against 3-15 Drexel. 10* (888) Hofstra Pride |
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01-23-16 | Pistons -3 v. Nuggets | Top | 101-104 | Loss | -105 | 15 h 41 m | Show |
Denver has had an interesting homestand as in the first six games, five have been decided by three points or less with the other being decided by six points. So taking the points here would seem like the logical thing to do but after two frustrating losses the last two games, this one could be a tough one for Denver to show up to. The Nuggets are 8-14 at home and they have struggles this season against the better teams in the NBA as they are just 3-11 against teams ranked in the top ten. And yes, Detroit is part of that top ten group. The Pistons are only three games over .500 and are just 2-4 over their last six games but have been consistent for the most part. They are coming off a 16-point loss at New Orleans on Thursday which is actually favorable for us here as the Pistons are 19-7 ATS in their last 26 games following a straight up loss of more than 10 points. Head coach Stan Van Gundy called out his team's effort after that Thursday loss, one day after opening a four-game trip with a 123-114 win over Houston. While the Nuggets have had a good homestand based on the closeness of games, they are just 17-38-3 ATS in their last 58 home games against teams with a losing road record. 10* (515) Detroit Pistons |
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01-23-16 | Arizona v. California +4 | Top | 73-74 | Win | 100 | 15 h 19 m | Show |
This is a play on CALIFORNIA for our Saturday Enforcer. Arizona fell to USC and UCLA in close road games to fall to 1-2 in the Pac 12 but it has kicked it up a notch since then as the Wildcats has won three straight games by 32, 24 and 14 points, that last coming on the road at Stanford. They are now 3-2 on the road and they will be facing their biggest road test since losing top guard Allonzo Trier to injury. Arizona has rolled in the games it is supposed to but has struggled against the better teams and this year's schedule has not been nearly as tough as it has been in recent years. California is coming off a lesser than expected victory over Arizona St. on Thursday as it was likely looking ahead to this one. The Golden Bears are off to a 3-3 start in the conference with the home team winning all six of those games. They are a perfect 13-0 at home and while this will be their biggest test no doubt but this team is loaded and was picked to finish second in the Pac 12. They have some unfinished business as well as California will be out for payback from three losses last season against Arizona by 23, 39 and 22 points. 10* (596) California Golden Bears |
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01-23-16 | Maryland v. Michigan State -3.5 | Top | 65-74 | Win | 100 | 13 h 23 m | Show |
This is a play on MICHIGAN ST. for our Saturday Star Attraction. Michigan St., once the top ranked team in the nation, has fallen to 3-4 in the Big Ten Conference following its third straight loss on Wednesday at home against Nebraska. The defense has been horrible over this stretch and it won't get any easier Saturday but we can expect to see an all out effort against Maryland. The Spartans are fifth in the nation in shooting defense and fourth in rebounding margin and after allowing Nebraska to shoot 50 percent and barely win the rebound battle, head coach Tom Izzo got their attention. The Terrapins are coming off an overtime win at home against Northwestern which was arguably a letdown after a 35-point drubbing of Ohio St. Maryland has not been great on the road this season as it lost at North Carolina and Michigan while struggling against a poor Wisconsin team and this is now its toughest test thus far. The Terrapins came into East Lansing last season in their first ever Big Ten game and defeated Michigan St. in overtime and the Spartans have not forgotten. Michigan St. has not lost three straight games at home since 2003-04 when it lost to Duke, Oklahoma and Kentucky in the span of 11 days at the Breslin Center. 10* (662) Michigan St. Spartans |
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01-23-16 | Oklahoma State v. Kansas State -5.5 | Top | 73-89 | Win | 100 | 13 h 49 m | Show |
This is a play on KANSAS ST. for our Big 12 Game of the Year. It has been a very tough start for Kansas St. in the Big XII as it is 1-5 but the schedulemakers did it no favors. The Wildcats started conference action with a home overtime loss against West Virginia and most recently, they lost in overtime at Baylor. Two other losses came on the road at Texas and Oklahoma and the other was at home against Iowa St. so it has been a real tough slate to start. They catch a break Saturday though as they host Oklahoma St. which is coming off a huge upset win at home against Kansas. The Cowboys have also played a difficult schedule which is a reason they have started 2-4 in the conference but it has been an uphill battle after a 3-0 when it lost their best player Phil Forte. It was expected to be a down year for the Cowboys anyway so the victory over Kansas was a surprise to all. Kansas St. is in dire need of a victory to get something going and with its next four conference games coming against West Virginia, Kansas, Oklahoma and Baylor, this is a must win. 10* (640) Kansas St. Wildcats |
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01-23-16 | Texas v. Kansas -11.5 | Top | 67-76 | Loss | -115 | 9 h 43 m | Show |
This is a play on KANSAS for our Saturday Supreme Annihilator. Kansas is one of a few perennial power teams in college basketball that is getting roughed up more than most expected. The Jayhawks have lost two of their last three games including a blowout loss at Oklahoma St. on Tuesday by 19 points which was just the Cowboys second conference win. I expect Kansas to come out strong as it has basically gone five straight games where it has not looked great. A triple OT win over Oklahoma was solid but didn't great at home in doing so while wins over doormats TCU and Texas Tech were not pretty. Texas used to be a power but there have been recent struggles so an upset win at West Virginia by seven points as a 12-point underdog was a shocker. That was the third straight win for the Longhorns, which also upset Iowa St. during the streak but they head to Lawrence at a bad time. Kansas has won 33 straight games at home and under head coach Bill Self, the Jayhawks are 31-6 following a defeat so there is no question motivation will be present. 10* (550) Kansas Jayhawks |
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01-23-16 | Duke -4 v. NC State | Top | 88-78 | Win | 100 | 9 h 41 m | Show |
Duke is laying the number on the road and while we don't normally advocate laying road chalk, we could not ask for a better spot here. The Blue Devils are coming off a loss at home Monday against Syracuse which was their third straight loss and as frustrating as they are, all of those games came down to the final seconds. They are on their longest losing streak since a four-game slide to end the 2006-07 season. NC State meanwhile snapped its five-game losing streak to open ACC play with a huge upset at Pittsburgh as the Wolfpack won by 17 points as a nine-point underdog. While that could provide a much needed boost in confidence, I see the opposite happening as this is the classic letdown spot and they could not be hosting Duke at the worst time. Duke certainly remembers its visit here last season as it lost by 12 points as a nine-point road chalk, snapping a 14-0 start to the season so there will be no looking past this team even with a tough game at Miami Monday night. 10* (551) Duke Blue Devils |
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01-23-16 | Northwestern +9 v. Indiana | Top | 57-89 | Loss | -105 | 7 h 42 m | Show |
While many predicted Maryland and Michigan St. to be sitting atop the Big Ten at this point in the season, Indiana has rolled through the first part of the conference schedule and it tied with Iowa at 6-0. While the Hawkeyes have defeated some powerful teams, Indiana has not as a win over Ohio St. is the best of the six conference victories. A victory at Nebraska was decent while a win against Wisconsin no longer packs the same punch. This was the year that Northwestern was supposed to break out and make its first ever NCAA Tournament and while the season is far from done, the Wildcats need a quality win. They are 15-5 overall including 3-4 in the conference and they also own similar wins against Nebraska and Wisconsin. Northwestern is coming off an overtime loss at Maryland and that would have been a huge victory which puts even more emphasis on this one. Even still, we are seeing a very inflated line that Northwestern does not deserve to be getting. 10* (533) Northwestern Wildcats |
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01-23-16 | South Carolina v. Tennessee +1.5 | Top | 69-78 | Win | 100 | 7 h 42 m | Show |
Tennessee has shown signs this season of getting over the top and becoming a prominent team once again but then it goes backward once again. Coming off a huge win over Florida by 14 points in a game that was never close was supposed to provide some huge momentum but instead, the Volunteers lost consecutive games, narrowly defeated a bad Mississippi St. team and then most recently got throttled by Vanderbilt on Wednesday. Now sitting at 9-9 overall and 2-4 in the SEC, there is not much more room for error which makes this a big game especially with five of the next seven games on the road. South Carolina has been the biggest surprise in the conference thus far as it is off to a 17-1 start including 4-1 in the conference. We played against the Gamecocks when they lost at Alabama and I expect another dud here. They are coming off an overtime win at Mississippi earlier this week and their only real sound game this season on the highway was at Auburn which isn't saying a lot. Look for Tennessee to snap its two-game home skid after starting 8-0. 10* (540) Tennessee Volunteers |
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01-22-16 | Bucks v. Rockets -2.5 | Top | 98-102 | Win | 100 | 13 h 37 m | Show |
The Rockets were riding a five-game winning streak but have since lost three of their last four games including a 123-114 setback against Detroit on Wednesday. That was their second straight loss at home where they are just two games over .500 but since a 3-7 start, they are 10-4 in their last 14 home games. The schedule has been against them but they have taken care of business when needed. Houston has not lost at home against a team with a losing record since November 11th and since then has gone 7-0 against sub-.500 teams at the Toyota Center. Milwaukee has won three straight games including the last two coming on the road where it is just 7-18 through 25 games. The Bucks are riding their longest winning streak since early November when they won four straight games but are in a tough situation tonight. Houston will be without Dwight Howard who has been ruled out with a sprained ankle but that is actually doing us a favor with the line so while his absence is big, Houston is 36-23 since he signed as a free agent in 2013-14. The Rockets are 5-0 ATS in their last five home games against teams with a road winning percentage of less than .400 while the Bucks are 13-28 ATS in their last 41 games following a straight up win of more than 10 points. 10* (860) Houston Rockets |
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01-22-16 | Rhode Island v. George Washington -5 | Top | 58-62 | Loss | -106 | 8 h 15 m | Show |
The winner of this game keeps pace in the upper third of the Atlantic Ten while the loser falls into the middle of the pack and a big edge goes to the home team. Rhode Island was picked second in the preseason A-10 poll but in the first game of the season against American, the Rams lost E.C. Matthews, the preseason Atlantic Ten Player of the Year, to a knee injury. They have dealt with it pretty well by losing some close games but his production has been sorely missed. Rhode Island has just one road win this season and that took overtime to win against Brown. George Washington is coming off a loss at Dayton a week ago to fall to 3-2 in the conference but back on its home court tonight is significant. The Colonials are 10-0 at home, winning by an average of 15.2 ppg, and going back to 2013-14 they have the best home winning percentage in the conference with wins in 36 of 39 games at the Smith Center. There is definitely some extra incentive for the Colonials as well as they are out for some revenge following a loss in last season's Atlantic Ten Tournament which killed any chance of an NCAA Tournament bid and sent them to the NIT. The Colonials are 6-0 ATS in their last six games following a straight up loss while the Rams are 0-8 ATS in their last eight road games against teams with a winning home record. 10* (870) George Washington Colonials |
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01-21-16 | USC v. Oregon -4.5 | Top | 81-89 | Win | 100 | 13 h 51 m | Show |
USC is one of the pleasant surprises in the Pac 12 this season as after finishing 3-15 in the conference last year, the Trojans are already 4-1 as well as 15-3 overall. They are in a place they have not been in a while as USC is ranked in the AP top 25 (No. 21) for the first time since being No. 19 on Nov. 17, 2008. also, this is the best start for the Trojans since 1991-92 so the turnaround has been incredible. Oregon is just a game behind USC and just a game worse overall but is unranked and that of course sets up one of the best college basketball situations out there as explained later. Oregon is coming off a loss at Colorado on Sunday which snapped a three-game skid. Forwards Chris Boucher and Jordan Bell were limited to 32 combined minutes due to foul trouble and the Ducks were outrebounded 39-25. They are a perfect 11-0 at home and Oregon enters the week No. 6 in the ESPN RPI, No. 9 according to CBS Sports, highest among Pac 12 teams. The Ducks strength of schedule, No. 4, is also tops in the conference. So the fact they are favored here is not a surprise and the situation mentioned earlier is playing on unranked home favorites going up against a ranked road team. Also, Oregon is 5-1 ATS in its last six games following a loss. 10* (754) Oregon Ducks |
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01-21-16 | Florida International -3.5 v. Texas-San Antonio | Top | 72-56 | Win | 100 | 12 h 52 m | Show |
Conference USA is led by UAB and Marshall which are both 5-0 and of the 14 teams within the conference, there are only four teams with a winning record. However, there is a logjam with eight teams sitting at 2-3 and 10 teams are within two games of fourth place and the all important bye come C-USA Tournament time. Texas-San Antonio is one of those teams sitting at 2-3 which may be a surprise considering the Roadrunners came into the season with just one senior on the roster and were picked to finish 13th in the 14th team conference. They are coming off a win over UTEP which was just its third win over a Division I team. Florida International is one of those winning teams as it comes in 3-2 in the conference and 9-9 overall. That record could be so much better as the Golden Panthers have lost three games in overtime and another three games by six points each and a fourth by just three points. The most recent game resulted in a home loss against Southern Mississippi so now it is bounceback time. This is a very good situation where we are playing on a team coming off a loss as a favorite going up against a team coming off a win as an underdog with both of the cover differentials being over 10 points. 10* (739) Florida International Golden Panthers |
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01-20-16 | Kings v. Lakers +7 | Top | 112-93 | Loss | -110 | 15 h 60 m | Show |
The Kings have shown some big improvements this season but many inconsistencies remain including playing up and down to the competition. For a team that has road wins over the Clippers, Thunder, Pacers and Raptors, you would think they would be better than having a 7-12 road record but they simply do not show up every game. Sacramento is 2-7 ATS this season when favored by three or more points and the Kings failed in their lone game as a road favorite, losing outright in Minnesota just over a month ago. They are coming off that Clippers win last time out so getting up here will be tough. The Lakers have dropped three straight games, two on the road and a home loss against the Rockets. They are 3-4 in their last four home games which doesn't look impressive but two of those losses besides the game against Houston have come against Golden St. and Oklahoma City. Sacramento hosted the Lakers two weeks ago and was favored by 8.5 points and are now favored by just slightly less on the road which is just wrong. The Kings are 1-7 ATS in their last eight games against teams with a winning percentage below .400 while the Lakers are 4-1 ATS in their last five home games against teams with a road winning percentage of less than .400. 10* (520) Los Angeles Lakers |
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01-20-16 | Pistons v. Rockets -3 | Top | 123-114 | Loss | -101 | 13 h 30 m | Show |
The Pistons hit the road following a 1-1 homestand where they defeated the Warriors on Saturday but failed to back it up with a loss against the Bulls on Monday. They remain three games over .500 and are currently in seventh place in the Eastern Conference as third place and 12th place is separated by just 5.5 games. After a 3-0 start on the road, the Pistons have won just five of their last 17 road games including a 1-6 record against the Western Conference. Houston is coming off a loss as well as it took the Clippers to overtime but fell short by eight points in a very high-scoring game. The Rockets are only a game over .500 on the season, clearly one of the biggest disappointments in the Western Conference, but after a 5-10 start, they are 17-11 over their last 28 games. The home floor has been a similar story as the Rockets opened a dismal 2-7 but have gone 11-3 over their last 14 home games with the three losses coming against Atlanta, Golden St. and Cleveland and Detroit does not fall into that category. Going back, the Pistons are 2-7 ATS in their last nine road games against teams with a winning home record while the Rockets are 6-1 ATS in their last seven home games against teams with a losing road record. 10* (512) Houston Rockets |
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01-20-16 | Wichita State v. Northern Iowa +6.5 | Top | 74-55 | Loss | -104 | 10 h 3 m | Show |
Wichita St. is back to its winning ways after a very slow start to the season where it lost five of its first 10 games. While Tulsa, Alabama and Seton Hall are good teams, they are not teams the Shockers should have been losing to. The linesmakers made no adjustments and it showed in the ATS numbers but even now with the adjustments being made to inflate the numbers, Wichita St. is on a 6-1 ATS run. The Shockers failed to cover against the second best team in the MVC, Evansville, and while they seem to be facing an inferior opponent tonight, that really isn't the case. Northern Iowa has been underachieving this season with a 10-9 record overall including a 2-4 conference mark. The Panthers are coming off a 31-4 season and were picked to finish second this season but a lot of work needs to be done to get there. They lost against Loyola-Chicago last time out by 10 points as a 12-point favorite so a lookahead to this game was quite possible. The Panthers are very legitimate when they show up as they have secured a pair of top-five wins this season with victories over No. 1 North Carolina and No. 5 Iowa St. 10* (550) Northern Iowa Panthers |
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01-20-16 | George Mason v. Fordham -4 | Top | 62-73 | Win | 100 | 9 h 3 m | Show |
We have played against Fordham a couple times since its 10-1 start to the season which was a huge overachievement. The schedule was extremely easy as the Rams defeated no one of significance and then reality struck once conference play opened as they are off to a 1-4 start with those losses coming against teams a combined 14-6. Fordham has failed to cover its last four games but now the schedule eases up a bit, at least for one game. It doesn't seem that long ago when George Mason made that Final Four run but it was actually a decade and things have not been good for the Patriots the last couple years. They had their first losing record last season for the first time since 1997-98 and look to be on pace for another. George Mason is also 1-4 in the conference but is coming off its first Atlantic Ten win over the weekend at St. Louis, the worst conference team the last two seasons. That was the first road win of the season after six straight losses to open the season and winning again will be tough. Fordham has surprisingly owned the Patriots since they joined the conference with four straight wins and covers. 10* (538) Fordham Rams |
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01-20-16 | Nebraska v. Michigan State -14 | Top | 72-71 | Loss | -115 | 9 h 34 m | Show |
Michigan St. was a near unanimous No. 1 in the AP Poll back on December 28th but a loss against Iowa has sent the Spartans into somewhat of a spiral. They did rebound with three straight wins but those came against Minnesota, Illinois and Penn St. which are a combined 3-15 in the Big Ten and then have since lost two more games, at home against Iowa and at Wisconsin by a point. Michigan St. is now in a spot where it needs a big win and brings in an opponent that it should be able to tear apart. Nebraska opened Big Ten play with an 0-3 record but has since won three straight games and those were against teams a combined 1-17 so it is somewhat similar to the Spartans three-game run but less impressive. The Huskers offense has been greatly improved but they will have a challenge here as the Spartans rank in the Top 20 nationally in scoring defense (18th, 62.7 ppg), field-goal percentage defense (5th, 36.7 percent) and three-point field-goal percentage defense (7th, 28.3 percent). Michigan St. has not lost three straight games since March, 2013 and an even great incentive here is to avenge two straight losses against Nebraska. 10* (526) Michigan St. Spartans |
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01-19-16 | LSU +8.5 v. Texas A&M | Top | 57-71 | Loss | -101 | 12 h 54 m | Show |
Texas A&M has taken early control of the SEC as it is off to a 5-0 start which has improved its overall record to 15-2. The Aggies came into the season unranked but has gradually moved into the polls and currently sits at No. 10 in the country. The home floor has been especially dominant where they are 10-0 and have won those games by an average of nearly 22 ppg. Tonight is a tough test though against an LSU team that has been pretty much the opposite as the Tigers came in ranked No. 21 in the preseason but dropped put of the rankings rather quickly after a 3-3 start. This is a very young team as two of the top five scorers are freshmen led by Ben Simmons with 20 ppg while averaging 12.9 rpg. Being so young, the rough start was not a surprise but now LSU is rounding into form with wins in seven of nine games including a 4-1 start in the SEC. Of the Tigers six losses, three have come by six points or less while another two came in overtime so they have the ability to stay within this big number. Going back, the Tigers are 13-6-2 ATS in their last 21 games against teams with a winning percentage above .600 while the Aggies are 5-15-1 ATS in their last 21 games following a straight up win of more than 20 points. 10* (755) LSU Tigers |
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01-19-16 | Wolves v. Pelicans -4.5 | Top | 99-114 | Win | 100 | 12 h 22 m | Show |
New Orleans lost yesterday at Memphis by a bucket as their frustrating season continues. The Pelicans are arguably the biggest disappointment in the NBA this season as they were eight games over .500 and a playoff team but are currently 14 games under .500. Their 27 losses are just 10 shy of the total defeats for all of last season The problem this season for New Orleans on the road has been playing the poor teams as the Pelicans have gone 4-10 ATS against teams with a losing record. This is the start of an important stretch as this game begins a seven-game homestand and the potential is there for a big run as the best team of the bunch is Memphis which is five games over .500 and all of which have losing road records. Minnesota has one of those bad road records as it is 7-12 away from home including losses in six straight games., The Timberwolves are coming off a victory on Sunday at home against Phoenix which snapped a nine-game losing skid overall. Minnesota has won consecutive games only once since November 29th and falls into a negative situation where we play on underdogs after beating the spread by more than 24 points in their previous game, with a winning percentage between .250 and .400 on the season. This situation is 26-6 ATS (81.2 percent) over the last 5 seasons. 10* (704) New Orleans Pelicans |
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01-19-16 | Clemson v. Virginia -10 | Top | 62-69 | Loss | -106 | 11 h 55 m | Show |
At first glace, this line looks to be way too high based on where these team sits in the ACC but it is this high for a reason. The public consensus is backing Clemson at a 2:1 pace here based on what it has done thus far. The Tigers are off to a 5-1 start in the conference and they have covered all six games on top of that. Included in this opening stretch are wins in the last three games against ranked teams and while that is impressive, all of those came on their home floor albeit a half-hour away from campus. Now the Tigers hit the road where they are 1-3 on the season with the lone victory coming against Syracuse by just a point when the Orange were stuck playing their worst hoops of the season. Virginia is coming off another loss as it has now lost three of its last four games, all against teams the Cavaliers should be taking care of. Those have all come on the road however where they are 1-4 on the season compared to being 8-0 at home and 12-0 in non-true road games. Virginia is 18-6 ATS in its last 24 home games coming off an upset loss as a favorite while Clemson is 9-23 ATS in its last 32 games after consecutive conference wins. 10* (742) Virginia Cavaliers |
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01-19-16 | Bucks v. Heat -5.5 | Top | 91-79 | Loss | -103 | 12 h 53 m | Show |
Milwaukee won in Charlotte on Saturday which came after an overtime win at home against Atlanta. That was the conclusion of a four-game in five-day run so the Bucks come in a little more rested here but the situation is not a good one. Since winning four straight games in early November, the Bucks have won consecutive games only four times only four times since then and they have failed to turn that run into three straight. Milwaukee is 0-4 going back to that four-game run in its last four games following consecutive wins, losing those games by 16, 14, 21 and 25 points. Miami is coming off a six-game roadtrip and not a good one as it went 2-4 and ended with a 25-point loss at Oklahoma City. Following this game, the Heat embark on a five-game roadtrip and while it isn't as daunting as far as the competition compared to the last one, this is a must win home game. Miami dropped its last home game which came against the Knicks back on January 2nd but is still a solid 15-8 at home this season. Additionally, the Heat will be out to avenge a four-game season series sweep at the hands of the Bucks from last season. The Bucks are 1-4 ATS in their last five games following a double digit win while the Heat are 3-0-1 ATS in their last four games following a double digit loss. 10* (702) Miami Heat |
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01-19-16 | Butler v. Providence | Top | 68-71 | Win | 100 | 9 h 25 m | Show |
While Villanova and Xavier are at the top of the Big East Conference and ranked in the top five, only 3.5 games separate 1st and 7th place. Butler and Providence are within that group and both have been up and down of late. The Bulldogs are 2-3 in the conference as all three losses have come against ranked teams including the two aforementioned leaders as well as tonight's opponent. That puts Butler in a revenge situation tonight but road revenge is never a good angle and it faces the Friars at a bad time. Providence has lost two of its last three games which has snapped an eight-game winning streak and surprisingly, both of these losses have come in its home floor. The Friars were upset by Marquette by a point and after a road win at Creighton, they were upset this past Saturday by Seton Hall by nine-points as a six-point chalk. Going back, the Friars are 9-2-1 ATS in their last 12 home games against teams with a road winning percentage of greater than .600 while going 13-4 ATS in their last 17 games following an ATS loss. Meanwhile, the Bulldogs are 1-4 ATS in their last five games against teams with a winning straight up record. 10* (710) Providence Friars |
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01-18-16 | Celtics v. Mavs +2 | Top | 113-118 | Win | 100 | 11 h 21 m | Show |
Recent results seem to be affecting this line as there seems to be no other reason that the Mavericks are home underdogs in this spot Monday night. Boston is coming off its third straight win at Washington on Saturday which came after a very rough stretch where the Celtics lost six of seven games including three straight on the road. They are over .500 on the road and while they have been favored by this same amount in their last two road games, those were against Washington and New York which are both under .500 overall and have worse home records than Dallas. The Mavericks are coming off a blowout loss last night against San Antonio by 29 points as the Spurs improved to 24-0 at home. Dallas returns home where it has won five of its last seven games with one of those losses coming against the Cavaliers in overtime. They have been a solid bounceback team this season as they have won 12 of 18 games this season following a loss and even better, the Mavericks are 6-1 ATS in their last seven games following a straight up loss of more than 10 points. Dallas has dominated this series with seven straight wins and it continues tonight. 10* (518) Dallas Mavericks |
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01-18-16 | Syracuse v. Duke -11 | Top | 64-62 | Loss | -108 | 8 h 22 m | Show |
Duke is coming off its first home loss of the season which is certainly a rarity as going back, the Blue Devils are 105-5 at Cameron Indoor Stadium since the 2009-10 season, the third best home winning percentage in the NCAA over that stretch. Three of those took place in 2011-12 so they have been nearly unbeatable here since then so the Saturday loss was a shocker. Backing that up, it was just the 17th loss against an unranked opponent since 1996-97. Syracuse has bounced back from a 0-4 start in the ACC with back-to-back wins over Boston College and Wake Forest and both were dominating performances. The win over the Demon Deacons was the first road win of the season for the Orange and going back ,they have struggled against top teams, going 0-4 ATS in their last four road games against teams with a home winning percentage of greater than .600. Additionally, they are 9-23 ATS in their last 32 games following a straight up win while the Blue Devils are 4-0 ATS in their last four games after allowing more than 90 points in their previous game. They had allowed 80 or more points only twice this season prior to the Notre Dame loss and they came back with wins by 19 and 17 points. 10* (524) Duke Blue Devils |
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01-18-16 | Bulls +3 v. Pistons | Top | 111-101 | Win | 100 | 6 h 22 m | Show |
Following a six-game winning streak after Christmas, Chicago has dropped four of its last five games including a home loss against Dallas on Friday. The Bulls scored a mere 31 points in the second half and put up a season low 77 points on 36.1 percent shooting. It was quite the opposite night for Jimmy Butler who was coming off a 53-point game the night before but managed only four points against the Mavericks. The big news for Chicago over the weekend was the loss of Joakim Noah for the remainder of the season as he suffered another separated shoulder but he was having his worst season since 2008-09 so while his 8.8 rpg will be missed, it is not likely they cannot be replaced. Detroit handed Golden St. its fourth loss of the season on Saturday as the Pistons won by 18 points as seven-point underdogs. This is a definite letdown spot for Detroit while Chicago not only wants to get out of its funk but also looks to avenge two overtime losses against the Pistons. Here, we play against home teams coming off a win as a home underdog going up against an opponent off a home loss. This situation is 40-12 ATS (76.9 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (509) Chicago Bulls |
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01-18-16 | Jazz v. Hornets -2.5 | Top | 119-124 | Win | 100 | 5 h 52 m | Show |
Unfortunately, we lost with Charlotte on Saturday as the Hornets lost their first home game of the season against a team with a losing record. They had seven losses at home prior to Saturday with the five losses coming against Golden St, Cleveland, Atlanta and Boston twice and at the time, all home losses have come against teams above .500. they jumped out to a 12-point lead against the Bucks but went ice cold, scoring just 63 points over the last three quarters and this from an offense that has averaged 107.1 ppg in its 14 victories at home. Utah won in its game on Saturday as it defeated the hapless Lakers by 27 points at homer but like most NBA teams, the road is a different story. The Jazz are 3-12 over their last 15 road games following a 3-1 start and they have struggled of late against the better home teams as they have gone 0-4 ATS in their last four road games against teams with a winning home record. Meanwhile, the Hornets are 4-0 ATS in their last four games following a double-digit loss at home and we should see a huge bounceback effort from the Hornets on Monday afternoon. 10* (504) Charlotte Hornets |
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01-17-16 | Oregon v. Colorado +1.5 | Top | 87-91 | Win | 100 | 10 h 8 m | Show |
We got a win with Colorado on Wednesday as it easily took care of Oregon St. and I feel the wrong team is favored here tonight. Colorado got off to an 11-1 start which included 11 consecutive wins following a loss against Iowa St. to open the season. The Buffaloes had a rough stretch of three losses in four games but one of those came against undefeated SMU by just four points, another came at California which is 11-0 at home and the most recent came against Utah at home by a bucket. That was the first home loss of the season and the problem was that the Buffaloes took just four free throws the entire game. Now they welcome Oregon which is coming off an upset loss at Utah on Thursday as it managed the high altitude well but another game in the thin air could prove to be a challenge. The Ducks were fortunate to avoid this two-game trip last year but two years ago after defeating Utah, the lost here next time out. Colorado has some revenge in mind after dropping both meetings last season and this season, they have covered four of five games as an underdog while Oregon lost straight up in its only game as a road favorite. 10* (880) Colorado Buffaloes |
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01-16-16 | Air Force +14 v. UNLV | Top | 64-100 | Loss | -110 | 30 h 34 m | Show |
We won with UNLV on Tuesday as it easily took care of New Mexico following a 0-3 start in the MWC so the Rebels knew it was a must win and they took care of that. Remaining at home, they have what seems to be a breather play here but this line is simply way too high. This team is ultra talented and the win over the Lobos could jumpstart UNLV but they have had issues dominating the teams it should, going just 4-7 ATS as a favorite. Air Force was not expected to do much in the conference this season following a below average season a year ago and the Falcons haven't disappointed. They are 1-3 in the conference and have yet to cover a game so that is also playing into this number. Air Force ranks fourth in the MWC in field goal percentage defense with a 41.5 mark and fourth in three-point field goal percentage defense with a 32.1 mark so a low scoring game is in our favor with the underdog. The Falcons have struggled to win here over the years but they have covered seven of the last 10 meetings here and are once again catching a sizable number. 10* (669) Air Force Falcons |
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01-16-16 | Bucks v. Hornets -6 | Top | 105-92 | Loss | -103 | 11 h 20 m | Show |
It has been an up and down season for Charlotte and it has been mostly down of late. The Hornets have dropped eight of their last nine games including a two-point setback last night in New Orleans. Six of those eight losses have come on the road however where they are 4-14 on the season and the two home losses came against the Clippers and Thunder. Conversely, Charlotte is 14-7 at home with the other five losses coming against Golden St, Cleveland, Atlanta and Boston twice so all home losses have come against teams above .500. When the Hornets win, they win big as the 14 home wins have been by an average of 12.9 ppg and nearly half of those have come against winning teams. Milwaukee is coming off an overtime win last night over Atlanta to move to 12-7 at home but the Bucks are a dismal 5-18 on the road. This is their fourth game in five nights which is never a good thing and on the season, Milwaukee is 1-5 in the second of back-to-back games when the second game is on the road. A negative situation goes against the Bucks as we play against underdogs that are revenging a road loss, playing their 4th game in 5 days. This situation is 59-28 ATS (67.8 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (504) Charlotte Hornets |
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01-16-16 | BYU v. Portland +8.5 | Top | 81-84 | Win | 100 | 26 h 35 m | Show |
BYU is coming off a big upset win on Thursday night at Gonzaga for its fourth straight win following a season opening WCC loss against St. Mary's. That last second win over the Bulldogs presents a big letdown spot here for the Cougars which are playing their second road game as part of a four-game roadtrip going into next week. It is no huge surprise they won that game as BYU was picked to finish second in the WCC and now, the line has been overadjusted in this one. It has been the opposite start for Portland as it opened conference play with a win over Pepperdine but has since dropped its last four games. The Pilots lost three of those games on the road and obviously overlooked San Diego on Thursday as they lost by 11 points at home as nine-point favorites. This is no pushover team as they played a tough non-conference schedule and came away with solid wins against Utah St., New Mexico and Northern Iowa. Portland was picked 5th in the WCC so the poor conference start is concerning but the Pilots are getting BYU on their home floor at the perfect time. 10* (614) Portland Pilots |
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01-16-16 | West Virginia v. Oklahoma -5 | Top | 68-70 | Loss | -110 | 24 h 41 m | Show |
This is a play on OKLAHOMA for our Saturday Star Attraction. West Virginia has a rare opportunity to defeat both the No. 1 and No. 2 team in the country but I do not see it happening. The Mountaineers took out top ranked Kansas on Tuesday which came at home as the defense held the Jayhawks to 41.7 percent from the floor and forced 22 turnovers. Now they hit the road and while they are 3-0 on the highway, they have not really defeated anyone of note and actually struggled against both Kansas St. and TCU. While we are playing against West Virginia coming off the big win over Kansas, we are equally playing on Oklahoma as it has not looked good of late. The Sooners have covered only once in their last six games and that happened to be the one game they lost in Kansas in triple overtime. They defeated Kansas St. after the Kansas game and then snuck past Oklahoma St. on the road Wednesday which was in a very tough environment. They have back-to-back road games on deck at Iowa St. and Baylor so they need to come out of here with not just a win but a big win to get confidence back. The home team has won and covered the last five meetings in this series. 10* (590) Oklahoma Sooners |
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01-16-16 | Iowa State -1 v. Kansas State | Top | 76-63 | Win | 100 | 24 h 36 m | Show |
This is a play on IOWA ST. for our Saturday Supreme Annihilator. The natives are getting restless in Ames as the Cyclones came into the season ranked seventh in the country but are now ranked No. 18 and will likely drop further down following a loss on Tuesday at Texas in overtime. Iowa St. is now 12-4 including a 1-3 record in the Big 12 but all losses have been quality ones and have come by a combined 12 points so that conference record could definitely be better. The Cyclones have a revenge rematch Monday against Oklahoma but can ill afford to look ahead and go into that game three games back. Kansas St. is also off to a 1-3 conference start and it too has quality losses and it was unable to take its frustrations out on Texas Tech on Tuesday. The Wildcats are where they were expected to be as they were picked to finish 8th in the Big 12 (out of only 10 teams of course) and they are catching the Cyclones at the wrong time. Iowa St. has struggled here in the past but even with the tough start, this is the best version to come here and going back, the Cyclones are 11-5-1 ATS in their last 17 games against teams with a winning percentage above .600. 10* (587) Iowa St. Cyclones |
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01-16-16 | Baylor v. Texas Tech +1 | Top | 63-60 | Loss | -110 | 23 h 37 m | Show |
This is a play on TEXAS TECH for our Saturday Enforcer. Texas Tech got off to a very good start this season as it opened 11-1 with the only loss coming against Utah on a neutral floor but it has not been doing well since. The Red Raiders have lost three straight games, two coming on the road and the one home game against Kansas. Now they are back home to face another strong opponent but this is a great bounce back spot. Baylor has won three games in a row including an upset at Iowa St. so this is the ultimate contrarian setup. The Bears may not be all that interested here as they have home games against Kansas St. and Oklahoma coming up this week and they have won seven of the last eight meetings in this series. Baylor is just 1-3 on the road so the win over the Cyclones was a surprise. This is definitely good news for the Texas Tech as the Red Raiders are 7-0 ATS in their last seven home games against teams with a losing road record. Meanwhile, the Bears are 0-4 ATS in their last four games following a straight up win of more than 20 points. 10* (570) Texas Tech Red Raiders |
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01-16-16 | Oakland v. Detroit +1.5 | Top | 86-82 | Loss | -110 | 23 h 35 m | Show |
Detroit came into the season picked to finish fourth in the Horizon League and after a 3-0 start in conference games, things were looking good then reality hit last time out as the Titans were throttled at home against Valparaiso, the top team in the conference. Still, this is an excellent team in a good spot for a bounceback and they need to take advantage of the early part of the schedule. This is Detroit's fifth straight home game to open conference play and after this, nine of their last 13 games are on the road so they have to take advantage here. Oakland has also lost to Valparaiso and bounced back with a win over Illinois-Chicago by 25 points. That was the Golden Grizzlies fourth straight home game and they hit the road for the first time since December 30th. Detroit is 9-1 at home and it is catching an excellent line here, one that does not make sense based on the class of the teams. Despite not being nearly as good as last season, Detroit won the home meeting with Oakland by 20 points. The Titans have covered eight of their last 11 home games. 10* (572) Detroit Titans |
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01-16-16 | Miami (Fla) -4 v. Clemson | Top | 65-76 | Loss | -110 | 22 h 37 m | Show |
This is a play on MIAMI for our Saturday Afternoon Dominator. This is a great spot for Miami which is coming off a loss at Virginia on Tuesday. We won that game and while it was a play against the Hurricanes because of their eight-game winning streak but it was more of a play on Virginia which was coming off consecutive losses for the first time in over two years. Now Miami heads on the road again to bounceback as it heads to Greenville, SC which is not the usual home for Clemson as Littlejohn Coliseum is being renovated this season. The Tigers have fared pretty well in their home away from home as they are 9-2 and are coming off two huge upsets over Louisville and Duke as 6.5-point and 7.5-point home underdogs respectively. It will be a tough task for the Tigers to defeat three ranked teams in a week and I do not see it happening. Going back, the Hurricanes are 11-4 ATS in their last 15 games against teams with a winning straight up record while going 16-7-1 ATS in their last 24 road games against teams with a home winning percentage of greater than .600. 10* (547) Miami Hurricanes |
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01-15-16 | Heat -2 v. Nuggets | Top | 98-95 | Win | 100 | 15 h 1 m | Show |
Denver became just the third team to defeat Golden St. this season as it held off a Warriors rally to win 112-110. It was the second straight win for Denver and while it has won three straight games on two different occasions this season, the only winning team it defeated over those winning streaks was Houston. The win over the Warriors was just the Nuggets second cover at home against a team with a winning record. Miami meanwhile has not had a good roadtrip as after a win over Phoenix to open it, the Heat have dropped the last three games but the last two have come against the Clippers and Warriors, two of the four best teams in the Western Conference. Obviously it can be argued that Denver just beat Golden St. but that is in our favor here as it helps line value as well as putting the Nuggets in a tough letdown spot. Miami has Oklahoma City on deck but it isn't until Saturday and this is a must win prior to that upcoming game. Miami is 11-5-1 ATS following a loss this season and going back, the Heat are 16-5 ATS in their last 21 road games against teams with a losing home record. Meanwhile, the Nuggets are 15-37-3 ATS in their last 55 home games against teams with a losing road record. 10* (865) Miami Heat |
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01-15-16 | Evansville v. Illinois State +4 | Top | 66-55 | Loss | -105 | 14 h 14 m | Show |
Four teams are separated by just one game for first place in the Missouri Valley Conference but Illinois St. is not one of those. The Redbirds are two games back but a win here gets them right back in the mix while a loss could do some early damage. They are riding a two-game skid with losses at Indiana St. and Southern Illinois but a return back home helps and getting points is even better. Illinois St. is 7-2 at home, the last defeat coming back on December 5th against a very good UAB team and since then, it has gone 6-3 overall including a 4-0 mark at home. Evansville is one of those teams sitting one game behind 5-0 Wichita St. and at 15-3 overall, that is a big reason it comes in as the road chalk. The Purple Aces lone loss came at Wichita St. while three of their other four conference games have been at home where they are 10-0. Evansville has covered four straight games which is also playing into this number. The Redbirds fall into a solid situation where we play on underdogs in the second half of the season that are averaging between 63 and 67 ppg going up against teams allowing between 63 and 67 ppg, after allowing 75 points or more two straight games. This situation is 145-82 ATS (63.9 percent) since 1997. Additionally, Illinois St. is 13-4 ATS in its last 17 games against teams outscoring their opponents by 8.0 or more ppg. 10* (872) Illinois St. Redbirds |
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01-14-16 | Washington v. Arizona -12.5 | Top | 67-99 | Win | 100 | 13 h 13 m | Show |
This is a play on ARIZONA for our Thursday Star Attraction. At first glace, this line may seem out of whack based on recent history and what Arizona is dealing with but this has the makings of an absolute blowout. The Wildcats are coming off back-to-back losses by a combined five points at UCLA and at USC and now they will try to avoid their first three-game losing streak since Feb. 13-25, 2010. They will be without freshman Allonzo Trier who is the team's leading scorer as he sustained a broken hand against the Trojans but this team is loaded and playing at home certainly helps. Arizona has won 47 straight home games by an average of 22.2 ppg during the longest active home winning streak in the nation. Washington is a perfect 3-0 in the Pac-12 which is good enough for the lead but it is a skewed record in my opinion. Two of the wins have come in overtime and overall, the three victories have come by a combined nine points and tonight marks just its second true road game of the season. Based on power rankings despite the conference records, Arizona is the top team while the Huskies are ranked 11th in the 12 conference. The Wildcats have a great situation on their side as we play on home teams as a favorite or pickem coming off two or more consecutive upset losses as a road favorite. This situation is 89-42 ATS (67.9 percent) since 1997. 10* (760) Arizona Wildcats |
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01-14-16 | Cavs +6 v. Spurs | Top | 95-99 | Win | 100 | 11 h 48 m | Show |
The Cavaliers head to San Antonio to continue their roadtrip as they hit the fifth leg of a six-game trek. They have won the first four games of this trip and going back, have won eight straight games, six of those coming on the highway. Cleveland is 3-1 ATS as an underdog this season but the one loss came in Miami when Kyrie Irving was still out of the lineup and LeBron James did not play. The Cavaliers are one of the many teams in the league that plays up or down to the opposition as they are 3-13 ATS against losing teams while going 11-5 ATS against teams with a winning record including 5-2 ATS on the road. San Antonio is perfect at home this season with a 22-0 record and going back to last season, the Spurs have won 31 consecutive regular season home games which everyone is making a big deal of. People seem to forget that San Antonio lost here twice to the Clippers in the Conference Quarterfinals so the 31-game winning streak comes with a big asterisk. The last team that beat San Antonio here during the regular season was Cleveland last March in overtime so while there is the revenge factor, the Clippers were the team they were after more. This game will have a playoff feel making points a premium. 10* (707) Cleveland Cavaliers |
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01-14-16 | Wisc-Milwaukee +12 v. Valparaiso | Top | 56-68 | Push | 0 | 12 h 15 m | Show |
This is a play on WISCONSIN-MILWAUKEE for our Thursday Enforcer. First place is on the line in the Horizon League tonight in the early part of the season as the two top preseason picks square off. Valparaiso is considered one of the top mid-majors in the country and its 13-3 record so far reflects that. The Crusaders are off to a 3-0 start in the conference with all three wins coming by at least 17 points. They are once again favored by a large number but in this case, it will prove to be too much. Because of the name of the opponent, Milwaukee is catching a big number and this is the third time it is getting double-digits. The Panthers stayed within the number at Notre Dame as it lost by eight and won outright at Wisconsin by a point catching 12.5 points. There was another solid win at Minnesota so they have no issues playing up to teams. Of their other four losses, one was by three points against Murray St. while the other three all came in overtime by a combined seven points. Milwaukee is 21-9 ATS in its last 30 road games coming off three straight conference wins. While winning in Valparaiso is no easy task, the Panthers have the talent to come in and pull off the upset but we will still gladly grab the abundance of points here. 10* (745) Wisconsin-Milwaukee Panthers |
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01-14-16 | Southern Miss v. Florida Atlantic -4.5 | Top | 51-58 | Win | 100 | 11 h 4 m | Show |
This is a play on FLORIDA ATLANTIC for our Thursday Supreme Annihilator. Florida Atlantic is on a nine-game losing skid and is 2-14 on the season yet comes in as a favorite tonight? Well there is a very good reason for it as the Owls have played one of the most difficult schedules in the country. Of their 16 games, 13 have come away from home and the have played only one home game over the last month. While there have been some blowout losses, Florida Atlantic lost by a bucket to a very good Northeastern team and lost by just five points against Florida St. This is the first home conference game after opening with three road C-USA games and it comes against the team picked to finish last in the conference. Southern Mississippi went 9-20 last season as a self-imposed postseason ban led to many more on and off court issues and the Golden Eagles are still in the middle of an NCAA investigation. They lost four starters and are in a big rebuilding project now. They have looked good at times and actually opened the season with a 6-0 ATS record but those lines were inflated because of the problems going on. Southern Mississippi is coming off an upset win over Old Dominion which spells letdown tonight. 10* (718) Florida Atlantic Owls |
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01-13-16 | Oregon State v. Colorado -4 | Top | 54-71 | Win | 100 | 16 h 12 m | Show |
This is a play on COLORADO for our Wednesday Star Attraction. Colorado got off to an 11-1 start which included 11 consecutive wins following a loss against Iowa St. to open the season but has since dropped three of its last four games. One of those came against undefeated SMU by just four points, another came at California which is 11-0 at home and the most recent came against Utah at home by a bucket on Friday. That was the first home loss of the season and the problem was that the Buffaloes took just four free throws the entire game. With a 1-2 conference record, and one of those defeats a home loss, the Buffaloes can ill-afford to drop another home game, especially this early in the conference season. Oregon St. is off to a 2-1 PAC 12 start while going 11-3 overall and has actually yet to lost a road game, going a perfect 2-0. However, those came against Rice and Santa Barbara so this is by far its biggest challenge. Additionally, this is the Beavers first true road game since November 21st and this is a tough environment and they have struggled in the high altitude, going 0-3 and losing by an average of 18 ppg. 10* (578) Colorado Buffaloes |
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01-13-16 | South Carolina v. Alabama +4.5 | Top | 50-73 | Win | 100 | 14 h 23 m | Show |
This is a play on ALABAMA for our Wednesday Enforcer. South Carolina remains one of two undefeated teams in the nation as the Gamecocks are 15-0 but are still ranked only No. 19 in the country in the latest AP Poll. They are coming off a come-from-behind win over Vanderbilt on Saturday and are now again laying points on the road, just two points less than what Kentucky laid here on Saturday. Alabama lost that game against the Wildcats which was its first home loss of the season. Since the start of the 2010-11 campaign, the Crimson Tide have won 80 of the last 97 games played at Coleman Coliseum. The Crimson Tide have won five games that were decided by less than 10 points, with three of those games coming down to the game's final possession. They have a record of 5-2 in games decided by 10 or fewer points and 3-0 in one possession games this season. South Carolina is the second biggest road consensus of the night behind Duke which is no surprise considering the Gamecocks have covered six straight games. Alabama is a perfect 6-0 ATS in its last six games following a conference home loss. 10* (560) Alabama Crimson Tide |
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01-13-16 | Georgia Tech v. Notre Dame -6.5 | Top | 64-72 | Win | 100 | 14 h 13 m | Show |
This is a play on NOTRE DAME for our Wednesday Supreme Annihilator. We played on Notre Dame Saturday against Pittsburgh but fell behind early and was unable to recover from the Panthers hot shooting. The Irish played a great game as they shot 54.2 percent from the floor including 45 percent from long range while committing just three turnovers but were outscored 20-9 from the free throw line. That was their first home loss of the season so we should see a big bounceback effort tonight. Notre Dame is 3-1 ATS in its four games following a loss this season as opposed to going 2-7 ATS following a win. Georgia Tech is off to a very similar start as it has one more overall win than Notre Dame while also starting 1-2 in the ACC. They dropped both road conference games before upsetting Virginia at home on Saturday so the opposite effect should take place for the Yellow Jackets. Georgia Tech was picked No. 14 in the 15-team ACC so there is not much expected from this team and while it is coming off a very impressive win, that was at home and going back, the Yellow Jackets have lost 12 of their last 15 road games. 10* (568) Notre Dame Fighting Irish |
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01-13-16 | Pacers v. Celtics -2 | Top | 94-103 | Win | 100 | 11 h 40 m | Show |
The Celtics lost in New York last night which extended their losing skid to four games. Boston is now sitting right at .500 for the first time since being 7-7 back on November 24th. The last three defeats have come on the road but going back, Boston has also lost its last three home games so there are a lot of streaks to snap tonight. If there is any positive during their 1-6 stretch, four of those losses have come by six points or less so while not downplaying the losses, Boston has not been getting dominated which makes it easier to bust out of these skids. Indiana rolled over Phoenix last night by 19 points which was its third win in its last four games to move six games over .500 to sit six games behind the Cavaliers in the Central Division. The Pacers are two games under .500 on the road and going back to the beginning of December, they have defeated one team on the highway that is currently .500 or better. Boston is 18-7 ATS in its last 25 games when playing with no rest while going 9-1 ATS in its last 10 games revenging a loss as a home favorite. 10* (508) Boston Celtics |
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01-13-16 | Mavs v. Thunder -9.5 | Top | 89-108 | Win | 100 | 11 h 40 m | Show |
Both Dallas and Oklahoma City played last night with differing results and while we tend to go opposite those results in the next game, we are actually riding what took place last night. The Mavericks took Cleveland to overtime but allowed 15 points in the extra session to lose by three points and that is a tough defeat to recover from. The Mavericks did cover their second straight game but they have been inconsistent on the road where they have lost eight of their last 14 games on the highway and have not won consecutive road games since December 6th and 7th, losing their last three road games following a win in their previous road game. Oklahoma City was in a surprisingly hard fought game last night with Minnesota as it blew an 18-point lead to hold on for the five-point victory. The Thunder head back home where they are 17-5 on the season and while this seems like a big number, this is a game that get out of control early and Oklahoma City learned its lesson last night. The Mavericks are 4-14 ATS in their last 18 road games against teams with a home winning percentage of greater than .600. 10* (510) Oklahoma City Thunder |
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01-13-16 | Knicks v. Nets +4 | Top | 104-110 | Win | 100 | 10 h 11 m | Show |
The Nets have lost five straight games including a blowout defeat by 27 points against San Antonio on Monday. That was a horrible call on our part in interim coach Tony Brown's first game but Brooklyn has a more manageable game tonight against a team coming off a big win last night. The five losses have also included five non-covers which is only half of the contrarian situation here. The Knicks defeated the Celtics last night for their fifth win in six games and more important for backers, their sixth straight cover. They have only been favored once during this stretch and that was at home but now they come in as road favorites for just the third time this season. The last time was at Philadelphia last month and they are now favored by just one point less. Last month, New York was favored by 3.5 points at home against Brooklyn and based on the venue change, there is a line inflation of over eight points which is way too big in this case. Brooklyn is 13-3 ATS in its last 16 games following back-to-back double digit losses. 10* (506) Brooklyn Nets |
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01-12-16 | New Mexico v. UNLV -5 | Top | 74-86 | Win | 100 | 31 h 36 m | Show |
This is a play on UNLV for our Tuesday Supreme Annihilator. We lost with UNLV on Saturday as the Runnin' Rebels went into Wyoming as favorites and went on to lose their third straight game to open their Mountain West Conference schedule. The three-game skid is a big surprise as good things are expected from this team and showing how close things have been, those three losses have come by a total of just six points. Some shocking news came out Sunday as head coach Dave Rice was let go as AD Tina Kunzer-Murphy said the program has to go in a different direction. Todd Simon, in his third season on the staff and his first as associate head coach, will be the interim coach so expect a huge team effort here. New Mexico has gotten off to just the opposite start as it is 3-0 with three blowout wins but the Lobos are heading to Las Vegas at the wrong time as we not only have a contrarian spot but the Rebels are a desperate team under a different leader and that will light the spark. The Rebels are 6-2 ATS in their last eight home games against teams with a losing road record while the Lobos are 2-8 ATS in their last 10 road games. 10* (768) UNLV Runnin' Rebels |
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01-12-16 | Maryland v. Michigan | Top | 67-70 | Win | 100 | 30 h 37 m | Show |
This is a play on MICHIGAN for our Tuesday Enforcer. Maryland remained undefeated in the Big Ten with a last second victory at Wisconsin to move to 4-0 but now comes the biggest road challenge in the conference. The Terrapins only loss came against North Carolina in Chapel Hill but they have won two straight road games since then. This is the start of a brutal stretch with games against Michigan, Ohio St. twice, Michigan St. and Iowa in their next six games. The Wolverines are coming off their first conference loss of the season as they were blown out against Purdue by 17 points but they were in a bad spot as the Boilermakers were just off a home loss to Iowa. Michigan is 8-1 at home with the lone loss coming back in November against Xavier. It has been an interesting season as all four losses for the Wolverines have been by double-digits so if they lose, they lose bad but the fact they have won 11 of their 12 games by double-digits shows they can pull away as well. Winning by doubles here will be a challenge but they have a big edge coming off a blowout loss against a team coming off an emotion last second victory. 10* (758) Michigan Wolverines |
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01-12-16 | Celtics +2 v. Knicks | Top | 114-120 | Loss | -109 | 12 h 20 m | Show |
This line opened as a pickem when it first came out Monday afternoon but shot up to the Knicks being favored by a bucket due to the recent Celtics struggles. Boston has dropped three straight games including the last two coming on the road but the Celtics are still a game over .500 on the road, one of only 10 teams in the NBA with a winning road record. The Knicks meanwhile have won four of their last five games while also winning three straight at home by double-digits but the matchup and situation is not in their favor here. New York has lost four straight meetings against Boston including the lone meeting this season in Boston where it was an 8.5-point underdog just over two weeks ago which shows the overinflation of this line. Boston falls into a situation where we play against home teams where the line is +3 to -3 that are allowing 99 or more ppg on the season going up against an opponent after a loss by six points or less. This situation is 215-143 ATS (60.1 percent) since 1996. Meanwhile, Boston is 13-1 ATS in its last 14 road games after allowing 100 points or more two straight games while the Knicks are 2-6 ATS in their last eight games following a straight up win of more than 10 points. 10* (703) Boston Celtics |
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01-12-16 | Miami (Fla) v. Virginia -5 | Top | 58-66 | Win | 100 | 28 h 38 m | Show |
This is a play on VIRGINIA for our Tuesday Star Attraction. The ACC standings look pretty much what people thought coming into the season with a couple exceptions. Clemson is a surprise at 3-1 and Virginia is not at the top as its 1-2 record puts the Cavaliers in a tie for eighth place. Virginia is coming off a pair of losses on the road and this is the first time the Cavaliers have lost consecutive games since December, 2013. They have gone 9-3 straight up and 8-4 against the number in their previous 12 losses after that and heading home is big as the Cavaliers are 27-1 here in their last 28 conference games, the lone loss coming to Duke by six points. Miami is riding an eight-game winning streak including wins over Syracuse and Florida St. to open ACC play. The Hurricanes have played just two road games and while they are 2-0, wins over LaSalle and Nebraska are far from quality. Because of the win streak, we are getting a good line with the home team as Virginia was favored by more on the road in this matchup last season. Virginia will be out for blood Tuesday night and should roll to get back on track. 10* (744) Virginia Cavaliers |
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01-11-16 | Spurs v. Nets +14.5 | Top | 106-79 | Loss | -105 | 12 h 12 m | Show |
After the Nets fired head coach Lionel Hollins on Sunday and reassigned general manager Billy King within the organization, we can expect a huge effort from Brooklyn tonight. We see it all the time when a coach gets fired ,teams tend to have a great effort in the first game for the next coach whether or not they even agreed with the decision. Brooklyn has lost four straight games, both straight up and against the number while San Antonio has won seven straight games, covering five of those. Obviously, we know who the better team here is and the Spurs are tagged with the road favorite role but this number is out of control. As a comparison, San Antonio has been favored in each of its last 15 road games and this is the largest one yet, and this includes games against Philadelphia, Minnesota and Milwaukee. Taking nothing away from what the Spurs have accomplished but they have played the easiest schedule in the NBA while Brooklyn has played the third toughest. We have a situation on our side where we play against road favorites of 10 or more points that are outscoring their opponents by nine or more ppg. This situation is 57-30 ATS (65.5 percent) since 1996. 10* (502) Brooklyn Nets |
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01-10-16 | Jazz v. Lakers +1.5 | Top | 86-74 | Loss | -107 | 11 h 19 m | Show |
This line came out late due to the numerous injuries on the Utah side but that didn't stop the Jazz last night. Despite three of their top four scorers out, they defeated Miami at home by 15 points as the defense led the way by holding the Heat to just 83 points on 41.5 percent shooting. Playing at home has been pretty good for Utah but the road has not been kind as it is 5-12 on the highway including losses in seven straight games. While some of those were against elite teams, this is their fourth game in five nights and they may not be able to bring much to the table. The Lakers look to snap a three-game skid and while they haven't been great at home, the schedule has been a tough one. Of their last 11 home games, they have eight losses but six of those have come against teams at least six games over .500. Going back, the Lakers are 4-0 ATS in their last four games following a straight up loss, 6-0 ATS in their last six after allowing 100 points or more in their previous game and 4-0 ATS in their last four games against teams with a losing straight up record while the Jazz are 0-5 ATS in their last five road games. 10* (818) Los Angeles Lakers |
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01-10-16 | Richmond -2 v. Fordham | Top | 93-82 | Win | 100 | 4 h 56 m | Show |
Richmond fell short of its goal last season of making the NCAA Tournament by the narrowest of margins as its 21-14 record wasn't quite good enough but its No. 1 seed in the NIT solidified how close it was. With four starters back this season, the goal is clear but the Spiders cannot afford to lose any more winnable games which is where this game falls. They are off to a 0-2 start in the Atlantic Ten with a home loss to St. Joseph's and a road loss to Rhode Island and those were both swing games that could have gone either way. Fordham is off to a surprisingly good start at 10-3, matching its win total from all of last season. The Rams are 1-1 in the conference, coming off a less than impressive win over LaSalle although the Explorers did just defeat No. 25 Dayton yesterday. All 10 wins have come at home but none of those wins have come against a team that is even close to Richmond what Richmond has. The Spiders have won nine straight in this series and while this is arguably the best Rams team over this stretch, the line is taking that into consideration. Lay the short road price here. 10* (833) Richmond Spiders |
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01-09-16 | UNLV -4.5 v. Wyoming | Top | 57-59 | Loss | -105 | 26 h 53 m | Show |
Wyoming is coming off a 25-10 season and a trip to the NCAA Tournament but the Cowboys lost the most production of any team in the MWC. We are seeing those issues as they are off to an 8-8 start with two of those wins coming against non-Division 1 teams. The Cowboys defeated Air Force at home last time out, easily its most quality win and that isn't saying much. UNLV is off to a 0-2 start in the MWC with those losses coming by a combined four points. This is an ultra talented team that hasn't quite gelled yet but the Rebels should get better as the season moves along and this is a must win to get back into the conference discussion. 10* (605) UNLV Runnin' Rebels |