05-21-18 |
Celtics +7 v. Cavs |
|
102-111 |
Loss |
-105 |
7 h 10 m |
Show
|
-Boston was terrible in Game 3 as expected; lost by 30 points; strong bounce back spot now -offense shot just 39.2% (29-74) from the field and 27.3% (6-22) from 3pt; don't expect a repeat -Celtics' defense allows 33.9% shooting from 3pt on road vs. offenses that shoot 36.1% from 3pt -Cleveland played their best game for all 48 minutes in Game 3; expect a natural letdown tonight -offense shot 48.7% (37-76) from the field and 50% (17-34) from 3pt; regression in Game 4 now -Cavaliers' defense allows 47.6% shooting from the field at home vs. offenses that shoot 46.0% FG
10* Play CELTICS (+).
|
05-20-18 |
Rockets v. Warriors -7 |
|
85-126 |
Win
|
100 |
79 h 57 m |
Show
|
-Houston bounced back strong as expected in Game 2; 5 players scored 16 points or more -offense shot 51.1% (45-88) from the field and they made 16 three’s; regression in Game 3 -Rockets defense allows 46.3% shooting from the field on the road; not a good matchup here -Golden State returns home off an ugly 22-point road loss in Game 2; strong bounce back here -offense averages 113.3 points per game at home vs. defenses that allow 106.2 points per game -Warriors defense allows 34.7% shooting from 3 at home vs. offenses that shoot 35.9% from 3 10* Play WARRIORS (-).
|
05-19-18 |
Celtics v. Cavs -6 |
|
86-116 |
Win
|
100 |
54 h 43 m |
Show
|
-Boston won Games 1 and 2 on their home court; 1-4 SU on the road in the playoffs; win in OT -offense is shooting 44.2% from the field on the road vs. defenses that allow 46% shooting -Celtics defense has given up 101 points or more in 8 of their 13 playoff games; 103.6 ppg away -Cleveland returns home off back-to-back road losses; 34-13 SU at home; strong bounce back -offense is shooting 48.2% from the field at home vs. defenses that only give up 46% shooting -Cavaliers defense has only given up 97.8 points per game in their 6 playoff games at home 10* Play CAVALIERS (-).
|
05-16-18 |
Warriors v. Rockets -1 |
|
105-127 |
Win
|
100 |
9 h 55 m |
Show
|
-Golden State starting unit played terrific in Game 1; starting 5 scored 99 of their 119 points -offense shot 52.5% (42-80) from the field and they made 13 three’s; regression in Game 2 -Warriors defense allows 108.8 point per game on the road vs. offenses that average 106.1 ppg -Houston comes in off a home loss in Game 1; they are 39-9 SU at home; strong bounce back -offense averages 113.6 points per game at home vs. defenses that allow 106.2 points per game -Rockets defense allows 34.8% shooting from 3 at home vs. offenses that shoot 36.1% from 3 10* Play ROCKETS (-).
|
05-15-18 |
Cavs +1 v. Celtics |
|
94-107 |
Loss |
-115 |
5 h 43 m |
Show
|
-Cleveland was terrible in Game 1; they lost by 25 points (108-83); expect a strong bounce back -offense shot just 36% (31-86) from the field and 15.4% (4-26) from 3; don't expect a repeat -Cavs defense allows 34.9% shooting from 3 on the road vs. offenses that shoot 36.2% from 3 -Boston played their best game for all 48 minutes in Game 1; expect a natural letdown tonight -offense shot 51.2% (43-84) from the field and they made 11 three’s; regression in Game 2 -Celtics defense had given up 101 points or more in 8 of their 12 playoff games prior to Game 1 10* Play CAVALIERS (+).
|
05-14-18 |
Warriors v. Rockets OVER 224.5 |
|
119-106 |
Win
|
100 |
8 h 7 m |
Show
|
-Golden State is well rested; in 7 games with 4 days or more rest, they’ve averaged 118 ppg -offense is shooting 49.9% from the field vs. defenses that give up 46% shooting from the field -Warriors defense allows 108.8 points per game on the road vs. offenses that average 106 ppg
-Houston is also well rested; in 7 games with 4 days or more rest, they’ve averaged 115 ppg -offense is averaging 113.8 points per game at home vs. defenses that only give up 106.2 ppg -Rockets defense allows 46.4% shooting from the field at home vs. offenses that shoot 46.1%
9* Play OVER the total.
|
05-09-18 |
76ers +1.5 v. Celtics |
|
112-114 |
Loss |
-110 |
5 h 27 m |
Show
|
-Philadelphia won Game 4 as expected; they were road favorites in Games 1 and 2; value now -offense is shooting 37.5% from 3 on the road vs. defenses that give up 36.1% shooting from 3 -76ers defense allows 43.5% shooting from the field vs. offenses that shoot 45.9% from the field -Boston was fortunate to win Games 2 and 3; have not dominated this series despite 3-1 lead -offense is shooting 45% from the field at home vs. defenses that give up 46% shooting -Celtics defense gave up 225 points to the 76ers in Games 1 and 2 at home and still won; lucky 9* Play 76ERS (+).
|
05-08-18 |
Jazz +12 v. Rockets |
|
102-112 |
Win
|
100 |
5 h 44 m |
Show
|
-Utah comes in off back-to-back blowout losses at home; expect a strong bounce back effort -offense is shooting 37.9% from 3 on the road vs. defenses that give up 36.2% shooting from 3 -Jazz defense only allows 100.3 points per game vs. offenses that average 106.9 points per game -Houston is off back-to-back terrific games in which they won by 21 and 13 points; regress now -offense is shooting 35.6% from 3 at home vs. defenses that give up 36.2% shooting from 3 -Rockets allow 46.4% shooting from the field at home vs. offenses that shoot 46.1% 10* Play JAZZ (+).
|
05-07-18 |
Celtics v. 76ers -6 |
|
92-103 |
Win
|
100 |
3 h 24 m |
Show
|
-Boston was extremely fortunate to win Game 3 in overtime; line is clearly adjusted too low now -offense is shooting 44.3% from the field on the road vs. defenses that give up 46.1% shooting -Celtics are now 1-3 SU on the road in the Playoffs; 3 losses have come by 12.3 points per game -Philadelphia is now 32-12 SU at home; off a blown win, have to expect a big bounce back -offense is shooting 47.1% from the field at home vs. defenses that only give up 46% shooting -76ers defense allows 33.5% shooting from 3 at home vs. offenses that shoot 36.2% from 3 9* Play 76ERS (-).
|
05-06-18 |
Rockets -5 v. Jazz |
|
100-87 |
Win
|
100 |
8 h 57 m |
Show
|
-Houston bounced back with a strong performance in Game 3 as expected; repeat effort here -offense is shooting 36.6% from 3 on the road vs. defenses that give up 36.2% shooting from 3 -Rockets defense allows 102.9 points per game on the road vs. offenses that average 106.1 ppg -Utah still lost Game 3 by 21 points at home despite holding Houston to 30.6% from 3-point land -offense is shooting 35.4% from 3 at home vs. defenses that give up 36.2% shooting from 3 -Jazz defense allows 36.5% shooting from three vs. offenses that only shoot 36% from three 10* Play ROCKETS (-).
|
05-05-18 |
Raptors +5 v. Cavs |
|
103-105 |
Win
|
100 |
12 h 47 m |
Show
|
-Toronto hits the road off back-to-back home losses; expect a strong bounce back as an underdog -offense is shooting 47.2% from the field vs. defenses that give up 46.1% shooting from the field -Raptors defense allows 35.8% shooting from 3 on the road vs. offenses that shoot 36.3% from 3 -Cleveland has won the first two games after coming back from 14 and 9 point margins; letdown -offense shot 41% (25-61) from 3 in their last two games; don't expect a repeat performance -Cavs defense allows 47.9% shooting from the field at home vs. offenses that only shoot 46% 10* Play RAPTORS (+).
|
05-05-18 |
Celtics v. 76ers -8.5 |
|
101-98 |
Loss |
-114 |
8 h 17 m |
Show
|
-Boston is off back-to-back excellent games in which they scored 225 points; regress now -offense shot 45.1% (32-71) from 3 in their last two games; don't expect a repeat performance -Celtics are 0-3 SU on the road in the Playoffs so far; lost those games by 12.3 points per game -Philadelphia returns home down 2-0 in this series; 32-11 SU at home, so expect big bounce back -offense is shooting 47.3% from the field at home vs. defenses that only give up 46% shooting -76ers defense allows 33.7% shooting from 3 at home vs. offenses that shoot 36.2% from 3 9* Play 76ERS (-).
|
05-04-18 |
Rockets -3.5 v. Jazz |
|
113-92 |
Win
|
100 |
23 h 14 m |
Show
|
-Houston was terrible in Game 2 on their home court; expect a strong bounce back effort here -offense is shooting 36.7% from 3 on the road vs. defenses give up 36.2% shooting from 3 -Rockets defense allows 103.1 points per game on the road vs. offenses that average 106.1 ppg -Utah played a perfect Game 2 as expected; 5 players scored 15 points or more; regression -offense shot 51.8% (43-83) from the field and 46.9% (15-32) from 3; don't expect a repeat here -Jazz defense allows 36.6% shooting from three vs. offenses that only shoot 36% from three 10* Play ROCKETS (-).
|
05-03-18 |
Cavs v. Raptors -6.5 |
|
128-110 |
Loss |
-102 |
6 h 21 m |
Show
|
-Cleveland overcame a bad spot and a 14-point deficit to win Game 1 in overtime; letdown now -offense made 14 three’s and they were +15 points from beyond the arc; don’t expect a repeat -Cavs defense allows 47.4% shooting from the field vs. offenses that shoot 46% from the field -Toronto is now 37-8 SU at home; coming off a loss, expect a strong bounce back performance -offense is shooting 47.2% from the field vs. defenses that give up 46.1% shooting from the field -Raptors defense allows just 44% shooting from the field at home vs. offenses that shoot 45.9% 10* Play RAPTORS (-).
|
05-02-18 |
Jazz +11 v. Rockets |
|
116-108 |
Win
|
100 |
6 h 3 m |
Show
|
-Utah comes in off a bad 14-point road loss in Game 1; expect a strong bounce back effort -offense is shooting 37.7% from 3 on the road vs. defenses that give up 36.2% shooting from 3 -Jazz defense only allows 100 points per game vs. offenses that average 106.7 points per game -Houston is off back-to-back excellent games in which they won 18 and 14 points; regress now -offense shot 46.1% (35-76) from 3 in their last two games; don't expect a repeat performance -Rockets allow 46.3% shooting from the field vs. offenses that shoot 46.1% from the field 9* Play JAZZ (+).
|
05-01-18 |
Cavs v. Raptors -6.5 |
|
113-112 |
Loss |
-105 |
24 h 27 m |
Show
|
-Cleveland just won Game 7 over Indiana at home on Sunday; grueling series; terrible spot here -offense was aided by a very generous whistle in Game 7; shot 40 free throws; unlikely to repeat -Cavs defense allows 47.4% shooting from the field vs. offenses that shoot 46% from the field
-Toronto returns home off an easy Game 6 win in Washington; 3 days of rest; expect strong effort -offense is shooting 47.2% from the field vs. defenses that give up 46% shooting from the field -Raptors defense allows just 44.1% shooting from the field vs. offenses that shoot 45.9%
10* Play RAPTORS (-).
|
04-28-18 |
Bucks v. Celtics -4.5 |
|
96-112 |
Win
|
100 |
8 h 33 m |
Show
|
-Milwaukee played perfect at home in Game 6; got a complete team effort; expect regression -offense shot 50.7% (38-75) from the field; Antetokounmpo scored 31 points; no repeat here -Bucks defense allows 38.7% shooting from 3 on the road vs. offenses that shoot 36.3% from 3 -Boston returns home off an ugly road loss; expect a strong bounce back effort tonight in Game 7 -offense is shooting 37.7% from three vs. defenses that only give up 36.3% shooting from three -Celtics defense allows 100.6 points per game vs. offenses that average 106.2 points per game 10* Play CELTICS (-).
|
04-27-18 |
Thunder v. Jazz -6.5 |
|
91-96 |
Loss |
-102 |
7 h 20 m |
Show
|
-Oklahoma City came back from a 15-point halftime deficit in Game 5; expect regression tonight -offense is shooting 44.2% from the field on the road vs. defenses that give up 46% shooting -Thunder defense allows 36.7% shooting from three vs. offenses that shoot 36.2% from three -Utah returns home off a bad road loss; expect a strong bounce back effort to end the series -offense is shooting 46.6% from the field at home vs. defenses that only give up 46.1% shooting -Jazz allow 96.8 points per game at home vs. offenses that average 106.7 points per game 10* Play JAZZ (-).
|
04-25-18 |
Wizards v. Raptors -7 |
|
98-108 |
Win
|
100 |
6 h 48 m |
Show
|
-Washington played perfect in Game 3 and came back from a 14-point deficit in Game 4; regress -offense is shooting 45.6% from the field on the road vs. defenses that give up 46% shooting -Wizards defense allows 47.3% shooting from the field on the road vs. offenses that shoot 46% -Toronto returns home off back-to-back road losses; expect a strong bounce back effort tonight -offense is shooting 47.3% from the field at home vs. defenses that only give up 46.1% shooting -Raptors allow 102.2 points per game at home vs. offenses that average 106 points per game 10* Play RAPTORS (-).
|
04-24-18 |
Bucks v. Celtics -3.5 |
|
87-92 |
Win
|
100 |
5 h 4 m |
Show
|
-Milwaukee played perfect in Game 3 and Game 4; scored 220 points at home; regression now -offense shot 54.6% (83-152) from the field and 46.4% (26-56) from 3 in those games; no repeat -Bucks defense allows 38.9% shooting from 3 on the road vs. offenses that shoot 36.4% from 3 -Boston returns home off back-to-back road losses; expect a strong bounce back effort tonight -offense is shooting 37.7% from three vs. defenses that only give up 36.3% shooting from three -Celtics defense allows 100.8 points per game vs. offenses that average 106.3 points per game 10* Play CELTICS (-).
|
04-23-18 |
Rockets -6 v. Wolves |
|
119-100 |
Win
|
100 |
6 h 6 m |
Show
|
-Houston was terrible in Game 3, but that was predictable; expect a strong bounce back effort -offense is shooting 36.7% from 3 on the road vs. defenses give up 36.2% shooting from 3 -Rockets defense allows 103.2 points per game on the road vs. offenses that average 106.2 ppg -Minnesota played a perfect Game 3 as expected; 5 players scored 17 points or more; regression -offense shot 50% (45-90) from the field and 55.6% (15-27) from 3; don't expect a repeat here -Timberwolves defense allows 47.4% shooting from the field vs. offenses that shoot 46% 10* Play ROCKETS (-).
|
04-22-18 |
Raptors -2 v. Wizards |
|
98-106 |
Loss |
-110 |
6 h 40 m |
Show
|
-Wizards were in a strong bounce-back spot in Game 3 after two losses -situation now negative for Washington off blowout win, regression here -Washington still just 2-7 SU in their past nine games and 4-11 SU last 15
-Toronto is the #1 seed and the best team in the conference, focused spot here -Raptors excellent offensive team on road, averaging 111.0 ppg on 47.3% FG -Toronto 3-0 SU/ATS in previous three meetings before Friday's flat spot
10* Play RAPTORS (-).
|
04-22-18 |
Celtics +6 v. Bucks |
|
102-104 |
Win
|
100 |
1 h 47 m |
Show
|
-Milwaukee was in a strong bounce-back spot in Game 3 and won as expected -Bucks in a negative situation now; still inferior team in this series overall -Line inflated based on recent results, but Celtics still 28-14 SU/ATS on road
-Boston holds solid defensive edge in this series; qualifies as defensive underdog -Celtics allow just 100.8 points per game vs. opponents that average 106.3 ppg -Bucks allow 106.8 ppg on 46.7% FG vs. opponents that average 106.1 ppg, 45.9%
9* Play CELTICS (+).
|
04-21-18 |
Rockets v. Wolves +5.5 |
|
105-121 |
Win
|
100 |
17 h 28 m |
Show
|
-Houston dominated Game 2 after squeaking by in Game 1; off 20-point win, expect a letdown -offense is shooting 45.7% from the field on the road vs. defenses that allow 46.1% shooting -Rockets defense allows 46.2% shooting from the field on the road vs. offenses that shoot 46.1% -Minnesota was a much better home team during the regular season; 30-11 SU; big bounce back -offense is shooting 48.1% from the field at home vs. defenses that give up 46% shooting -Timberwolves allowing 41.8% shooting from the field and 31.9% from 3 over their last 5 games 10* Play TIMBERWOLVES (+).
|
04-20-18 |
Cavs v. Pacers |
|
90-92 |
Win
|
100 |
7 h 38 m |
Show
|
-Cleveland bounced back as expected in Game 2; still a bad team that is greatly overvalued -offense shot 50.7% (37-73) from the field and hit 11 three’s and still only won by 3 points -Cavaliers allow 47.4% shooting from the field vs. offenses that shoot 46% from the field -Indiana has an excellent matchup; off a road loss and returning home, expect a big effort tonight -offense is shooting 47.8% from the field at home vs. defenses that give up 46.1% shooting -Pacers defense allows 34.7% shooting from 3 at home vs. offenses that shoot 36.3% from 3 9* Play PACERS.
|
04-19-18 |
76ers -1 v. Heat |
|
128-108 |
Win
|
100 |
5 h 38 m |
Show
|
-Philadelphia regressed sharply in Game 2 off their perfect Game 1 performance; bounce back -offense is shooting 47.1% from the field vs. defenses that give up 46.1% shooting from the field -76ers defense allows 34.3% shooting from three vs. offenses that shoot 36.2% from three -Miami played much better in Game 2 as expected, but don’t anticipate a repeat performance -offense is averaging 103.5 points per game vs. defenses that give up 106.6 points per game -Heat defense allows 36.5% shooting from 3 at home vs. offenses that shoot 36.2% from 3 10* Play 76ERS (-).
|
04-18-18 |
Jazz +5 v. Thunder |
|
102-95 |
Win
|
100 |
6 h 24 m |
Show
|
-Utah did not play up to their full potential in Game 1; expect a much better effort in Game 2 -offense is shooting 38.1% from 3 on the road vs. defenses that give up 36.2% shooting from 3 -Jazz defense allows 100 points per game vs. offenses that average 106.7 points per game -Oklahoma City got a complete team effort in Game 1; 5 players scored in double digits; regress -offense is shooting 35.1% from 3 at home vs. defenses that give up 36.2% shooting from 3 -Thunder defense allows 37.3% shooting from 3 at home vs. offenses that shoot 36.2% from 3 9* Play JAZZ (+).
|
04-18-18 |
Pacers v. Cavs OVER 211.5 |
|
97-100 |
Loss |
-107 |
5 h 24 m |
Show
|
-Indiana got whatever they wanted on the offensive end in Game 1; expect that to repeat tonight -offense is shooting 47.2% from the field vs. defenses that give up 46.1% shooting from the field -Pacers defense allows 46.6% shooting from the field on the road vs. offenses that shoot 45.9% -Cleveland played one of their worst offensive games of the season; 80 points; big bounce back -offense is shooting 48.1% from the field at home vs. defenses that only allow 46% shooting -Cavaliers defense is allowing 110.1 points per game at home vs. offenses that average 106 ppg 10* Play OVER the total.
|
04-17-18 |
Wizards v. Raptors -7 |
|
119-130 |
Win
|
100 |
5 h 41 m |
Show
|
-Washington was dominated in 3 of 4 quarters in Game 1; expect more of the same in Game 2 -offense is shooting 45.5% from the field on the road vs. defenses give up 46% shooting -Wizards defense allows 47.1% shooting from the field on the road vs. offenses that shoot 46% -Toronto has a cohesive team this season with the best bench in the league; big matchup edge -offense averages 112.2 points per game at home vs. defenses that give up 106.5 points per game -Raptors defense allows 44.1% shooting from the field at home vs. offenses that shoot 45.9% 10* Play RAPTORS (-).
|
04-16-18 |
Spurs +10 v. Warriors |
|
101-116 |
Loss |
-115 |
8 h 20 m |
Show
|
-San Antonio played terrible in Game 1; scored just 92 points; lowest of their last 12 games -offense had averaged 106.2 points per game over their previous 11 games; bounce back coming -Spurs defense allows 33.9% shooting from 3 on the road vs. offenses that shoot 36.2% from 3 -Golden State flipped the switch on in Game 1; came into that game on a 1-3 SU run; regress -offense shot 54.3% (44-81) from the field and 45.5% (10-22) from 3; don’t expect a repeat here -Warriors defense allows 107.3 points per game vs. offenses that average 106 points per game 10* Play SPURS (+).
|
04-16-18 |
Heat +7 v. 76ers |
|
113-103 |
Win
|
100 |
6 h 51 m |
Show
|
-Miami dominated the 1st quarter in Game 1; got crushed the last 36 minutes; bounce back here -offense is shooting 36.3% from 3 on the road vs. defenses that allow 36.2% shooting from 3 -Heat defense allows 44.7% shooting from the field on the road vs. offenses that shoot 46% -Philadelphia played a perfect 3 quarters in Game 1; off that big, emotional win, letdown coming -offense shot an incredible 64.3% (18-28) from 3-point land in Game 1; expect major regression -76ers defense has given up 103 points or more in 4 of their last 6 games; poor current form 9* Play HEAT (+).
|
04-15-18 |
Pacers +7 v. Cavs |
|
98-80 |
Win
|
100 |
4 h 17 m |
Show
|
-Indiana had a sneaky good team during the regular season; excellent matchup here; tough out -offense is shooting 47.2% from the field vs. defenses that give up 46% shooting from the field -Pacers defense allows 35% shooting from 3 on the road vs. offenses that shoot 36.2% from 3 -Cleveland has had a tumultuous season; bad team chemistry forced an overhaul; overvalued -offense is shooting 36.5% from 3 at home vs. defenses give up 36.2% shooting from 3 -Cavaliers defense allows 47.9% shooting from the field at home vs. offenses that shoot 45.9% 9* Play PACERS (+).
|
04-14-18 |
Pelicans +5.5 v. Blazers |
|
97-95 |
Win
|
100 |
12 h 24 m |
Show
|
-New Orleans won 48 games to Portland’s 49 wins so don't be fooled by the 6th seed vs. 3rd seed -offense is shooting 48.4% from the field vs. defenses that allow 46.1% shooting from the field -Pelicans defense allows 33.5% shooting from 3 on the road vs. offenses that shoot 36.2% from 3 -Portland closed the regular season by going 1-4 SU over their last 5 games; bad current form -offense is shooting 45.2% from the field vs. defenses that give up 46.1% shooting from the field -Trail Blazers allow 36.9% shooting from 3 at home vs offenses that shoot 36.1% from 3 9* Play PELICANS (+).
|
04-14-18 |
Wizards v. Raptors -8 |
|
106-114 |
Push |
0 |
7 h 25 m |
Show
|
-Washington has a bad matchup edge here; terrible bench vs. the best bench; bad team chemistry -offense is shooting 45.5% from the field on the road vs. defenses give up 46% shooting -Wizards defense allows 47% shooting from the field on the road vs. offenses that shoot 46% -Toronto has a cohesive team this season; haven’t won a Game 1 yet; big effort coming here -offense averages 112.2 points per game at home vs. defenses that give up 106.5 points per game -Raptors defense allows 44% shooting from the field at home vs. offenses that shoot 45.9% 10* Play RAPTORS (-).
|
04-11-18 |
Wizards -5.5 v. Magic |
|
92-101 |
Loss |
-105 |
6 h 57 m |
Show
|
-Washington can either finish in 6th, 7th, or 8th place; need to win to avoid the 8th seed -offense is shooting 37.6% from three vs. defenses that allow 36.2% shooting from three -Wizards allow 34.5% shooting from 3 on the road vs. offenses that shoot 36.2% from 3 -Orlando has incentive to lose to better their draft position; sitting their best players tonight -offense is shooting 34.4% from 3 at home vs. defenses that allow 36.2% shooting from 3 -Magic defense allows 37.1% shooting from 3 at home vs offenses that shoot 36.3% from 3 10* Play WIZARDS (-).
|
04-10-18 |
Hornets +3 v. Pacers |
|
119-93 |
Win
|
100 |
6 h 11 m |
Show
|
-Charlotte lost to Indiana 123-117 on Sunday; quick revenge spot, want to end season with a win -offense is shooting 37.0% from 3pt on the road vs. defenses that allow 36.1% shooting from 3pt -Hornets' offense in excellent current form, averaging 116.3 points in their past nine games overall -Indiana is locked into #5 seed in playoffs; they are resting their starters as this game means nothing -offense shot 53.8% FG (50-for-93) on Sunday vs. the Hornets; regression now with backups playing -Pacers' defense allows 46.4% shooting from the field vs offenses that shoot just 45.9% FG overall
10* Play HORNETS (+).
|
04-09-18 |
Pelicans v. Clippers +8.5 |
|
113-100 |
Loss |
-103 |
9 h 3 m |
Show
|
-New Orleans comes in off 3 straight wins where they scored 122 points or more; letdown spot now -offense shot 51% (139-272) from the field and 43% (43-101) from 3pt in those games; regression due -Pelicans' defense allows 110.7 points per game vs. offenses that average only 106.2 points per game -Los Angeles is out of playoffs, so inflated line; likely rest nagging injuries; young guys will play hard -offense is shooting 47.7% from the field at home vs. defenses that allow just 46.1% FG shooting -Clippers' defense allows 35.0% shooting from 3pt at home vs. offenses that shoot 36.2% from 3pt
10* Play CLIPPERS (+).
|
04-08-18 |
Pistons -5.5 v. Grizzlies |
|
117-130 |
Loss |
-107 |
14 h 9 m |
Show
|
-Detroit is 8-2 SU over their last 10 games; average win coming by 13.4 points per game -offense is shooting 37.1% from three vs. defenses that give up 36.2% shooting from three -Pistons defense allows 103.7 points per game vs. offenses that average 106.5 points per game -Memphis is just 3-27 SU over their last 30 games; expect another loss here; in tank mode -offense is shooting 43.8% from the field at home vs. defenses that allow 46% shooting -Grizzlies defense allows 36.9% shooting from 3 at home vs. offenses that shoot 36.2% from 3 10* Play PISTONS (-).
|
04-07-18 |
Nuggets -2 v. Clippers |
|
134-115 |
Win
|
100 |
3 h 23 m |
Show
|
-Denver has won 4 straight games after going just 2-4 over their previous 6 games; good form -offense is shooting 37.2% from 3 on the road vs. defenses that give up 36.2% shooting from 3 -Nuggets defense is in good form; they have given up just 200 total points in their last 2 games -Los Angeles is just 1-3 SU over their last 4 games; expect another loss here; in bad current form -offense is shooting 35.6% from three vs. defenses that allow 36.3% shooting from three -Clippers allow 108.5 points per game vs. offenses that only average 106.2 points per game 9* Play NUGGETS (-).
|
04-06-18 |
Mavs v. Pistons -6.5 |
|
106-113 |
Win
|
100 |
7 h 34 m |
Show
|
-Dallas is just 2-9 SU over their last eleven games; team is tanking, so expect another loss here -offense is shooting 44.6% from the field vs. defenses that allow 46.1% shooting from the field -Mavericks allow 48.4% shooting from the field on the road vs. offenses that shoot 46.2% -Detroit lost at home to Philadelphia on Wednesday; 24-15 SU at home, bounce back effort -offense is shooting 37.9% from 3 at home vs. defenses that give up 36.1% shooting from 3 -Pistons defense allows 34.8% shooting from 3 at home vs. offenses that shoot 36.2% from 3 10* Play PISTONS (-).
|
04-05-18 |
Warriors v. Pacers +2.5 |
|
106-126 |
Win
|
100 |
6 h 13 m |
Show
|
-Golden State won at OKC on Tuesday as 4-point underdogs; bad spot now changing time zones -offense is missing most of it’s firepower because of injury; off a strong game, expect regression -Warriors defense allows 109 points per game on the road vs. offenses that average 106 ppg -Indiana returns home off a road loss in Denver; 26-13 SU at home, so expect a strong effort here -offense is shooting 47.9% from the field at home vs. defenses that give up 46% shooting -Pacers defense allows 34.5% shooting from 3 at home vs. offenses that shoot 36.1% from 3 10* Play PACERS (+).
|
04-04-18 |
Heat -8 v. Hawks |
|
115-86 |
Win
|
100 |
6 h 6 m |
Show
|
-Miami is 3-1 over their last 4 games; lone loss came in overtime; in good current form -offense is shooting 36% from three vs. defenses that give up 36.1% shooting from three -Heat defense allows 44.7% shooting from the field on the road vs. offenses that shoot 46% -Atlanta is in bad form; 4-17 SU over their last 21 games; most have been non-competitive losses -offense is shooting 44.6% from the field vs. defenses that give up 46.1% shooting from the field -Hawks defense allows 38.7% shooting from 3 at home vs. offenses that shoot 36.2% from 3 10* Play HEAT (-).
|
04-03-18 |
Blazers -8.5 v. Mavs |
|
109-115 |
Loss |
-105 |
8 h 30 m |
Show
|
-Portland comes in off back-to-back double digit wins; day off yesterday; strong effort here -offense is shooting 37.1% from three vs. defenses that give up 36.3% shooting from three -Trail Blazers allow 44.7% shooting from the field vs. offenses that shoot 46.1% from the field -Dallas is in tank mode; 1-8 SU over their last 9 games; expect more of the same once again -offense is shooting 44.5% from the field vs. defenses that give up 46.1% shooting from the field -Mavericks defense allows 46.7% shooting from the field vs. offenses that shoot 46.3% 9* Play TRAIL BLAZERS (-).
|
04-02-18 |
Michigan +7.5 v. Villanova |
|
62-79 |
Loss |
-115 |
7 h 25 m |
Show
|
-Michigan is getting too many points here; my power ratings only make them a 6-point underdog -offense is shooting 46.9% from the field vs. defenses that give up 43.4% shooting from the field -Wolverines allow 31.4% shooting from 3 on the road vs. offenses that shoot 35.9% from 3 -Villanova has steamrolled thru their opponents so far in this tournament; off their best game too -offense shot 55.4% (44-92) from the field and 45% (18-40) from 3 vs. Kansas; regression here -Wildcats defense has faced 4 inefficient 3-point offenses in their 5 games; big step-up in class 10* Play MICHIGAN (+).
|
04-01-18 |
Thunder -1 v. Pelicans |
|
109-104 |
Win
|
100 |
6 h 8 m |
Show
|
-Oklahoma City comes in on a 3-game losing streak; rested and ready; strong bounce back here -offense averages 107.4 points per game vs. defenses that give up 106.3 points per game -Thunder allow 45.8% shooting from the field vs. offenses that shoot 46.1% from the field -New Orleans has also lost 3 straight games; defense is atrocious; expect struggles once again -offense is shooting 35.2% from 3 at home vs. defenses that give up 36.3% shooting from 3 -Pelicans defense allows 112.8 points per game at home vs. offenses that average 106.2 ppg 10* Play THUNDER (-).
|
03-31-18 |
Kansas +5 v. Villanova |
|
79-95 |
Loss |
-103 |
17 h 43 m |
Show
|
-Kansas has been battle tested in this tournament, and that’s a good thing coming into this game -offense is shooting 40.3% from three vs. defenses that give up 34.5% shooting from three -Jayhawks allow 30.8% shooting from 3 on the road vs. offenses that shoot 35.6% from 3 -Villanova has steamrolled thru their opponents so far in this tournament; not a good thing now -offense shot an incredible 47.8% (44-92) from 3 in their first 3 games; unsustainable numbers -Wildcats defense has faced 3 inefficient offenses in their 4 games; big step-up in class here 10* Play KANSAS (+).
|
03-31-18 |
Loyola-Chicago v. Michigan -5.5 |
|
57-69 |
Win
|
100 |
14 h 4 m |
Show
|
-Loyola Chicago gets a poor matchup here; opponent also likes a slow pace, negating their edge -offense shot 57.4% (27-47) from the field and 50% (9-18) from 3 vs. Kansas State; won’t repeat -Ramblers defense is stepping way up in class for this game; faced 3 inefficient offenses so far -Michigan isn’t laying enough points here; my power ratings make them a solid 6-point favorite -offense is shooting 47% from the field vs. defenses that give up 43.5% shooting from the field -Wolverines defense allows 63.1 points per game vs. offenses that average 75.1 points per game 9* Play MICHIGAN (-).
|
03-30-18 |
Clippers v. Blazers -6 |
|
96-105 |
Win
|
100 |
10 h 7 m |
Show
|
-Los Angeles played 7 of 8 games on the road; pit stop home game; 2nd road game since -offense is shooting 35.8% from three vs. defenses that give up 36.4% shooting from three -Clippers defense allows 109.1 points per game on the road vs. offenses that average 106.3 ppg -Portland returns home off an ugly road loss at Memphis; lost last 2 home games; Lillard returns -offense is shooting 38.4% from 3 at home vs. defenses that give up 36.3% shooting from 3 -Trail Blazers defense allows 44.7% shooting from the field vs. offenses that shoot 46.2% 9* Play TRAIL BLAZERS (-).
|
03-29-18 |
Penn State v. Utah OVER 135.5 |
|
82-66 |
Win
|
100 |
5 h 29 m |
Show
|
-Penn State has scored 73 points or more in 3 straight games; expect more of the same tonight -offense is shooting 40.1% from 3 on the road vs. defenses that give up 34.8% shooting from 3 -Nittany Lions defense has looked better than they are recently; still allow 70.9 ppg on the road -Utah had to play slow games in order to win their last 2 games; expect a faster-paced game here -offense is shooting 47.5% from the field on the road vs. defenses that give up 44.2% shooting -Utes defense has allowed just 122 points in their last 2 games; major regression coming now 10* Play OVER the total.
|
03-28-18 |
Mavs +8 v. Lakers |
|
93-103 |
Loss |
-110 |
9 h 12 m |
Show
|
-Dallas comes in off a win last night; 4 of their previous 5 losses by 8 points or less; still trying -offense is shooting 36.7% from 3 on the road vs. defenses that give up 36.3% shooting from 3 -Mavs defense allows 105.2 points per game vs. offenses that average 106.7 points per game -Los Angeles returns home after playing 5 of their last 6 games on the road; bad scheduling spot -offense is shooting 33% from 3 at home vs. defenses that give up 36.4% shooting from 3 -Lakers defense allows 110 points per game vs. offenses that average 106.5 points per game 9* Play MAVERICKS (+).
|
03-28-18 |
Celtics +8.5 v. Jazz |
|
97-94 |
Win
|
100 |
8 h 13 m |
Show
|
-Boston has won 4 straight games after losing 3 of their previous 4 games; on a current upswing -offense is shooting 38.8% from 3 on the road vs. defenses that allow 36.3% shooting from 3 -Celtics defense allows 43.6% shooting from the field on the road vs. offenses that shoot 46.1% -Utah is just 2-2 SU over their last 4 games after winning their previous 9 games; trending down -offense is shooting 35% from 3 at home vs. defenses that give up 36.3% shooting from 3 -Jazz defense is allowing 36.6% shooting from three vs. offenses that shoot 36.2% from three 9* Play CELTICS (+).
|
03-28-18 |
Knicks +12.5 v. 76ers |
|
101-118 |
Loss |
-105 |
6 h 43 m |
Show
|
-New York is 3-3 SU over their last 6 games, but one loss came by 4 points and the other in OT -offense is shooting 46.5% from the field vs. defenses that give up 46% shooting from the field -Knicks defense is allowing 45.8% shooting from the field vs. offenses that shoot 45.9% -Philadelphia has won 7 straight games while scoring 118 points or more in 6 games; letdown -offense has scored 361 points in their last 3 games; 41 made three’s; unsustainable numbers -76ers defense is not in good form; allowed 104 point or more in 5 of their last 7 games 10* Play KNICKS (+).
|
03-27-18 |
Bucks +3.5 v. Clippers |
|
98-105 |
Loss |
-109 |
8 h 24 m |
Show
|
-Milwaukee has won 2 straight games after losing 3 of their previous 4 games; on an upswing -offense is shooting 48% from the field vs. defenses that give up 46.1% shooting from the field -Bucks defense allows 106.2 points per game vs. offenses that average 106.1 points per game -Los Angeles returns home after playing 7 of their last 8 games on the road; bad scheduling spot -offense is shooting 35.1% from 3 at home vs. defenses that give up 36.4% shooting from 3 -Clippers defense allows 108.7 points per game vs. offenses that average 106.4 points per game 9* Play BUCKS (+).
|
03-27-18 |
Mississippi State +2.5 v. Penn State |
|
60-75 |
Loss |
-104 |
6 h 0 m |
Show
|
-Mississippi State just won at Baylor and at Louisville; impressive wins; line is too high here -offense is shooting 46.7% from the field vs. defenses that give up 43.2% shooting from the field -Bulldogs defense allows just 41.6% shooting from the field vs. offenses that shoot 44.3% -Penn State had a much easier path to New York with wins over Notre Dame and Marquette -offense scored 73 and 85 points in last 2 games; scored 69 points or less in 5 of their previous 6 -Nittany Lions defense much worse on the road; allow 4.7 ppg more and 2.5% higher in shooting 9* Play MISSISSIPPI STATE (+).
|
03-27-18 |
Cavs v. Heat +3 |
|
79-98 |
Win
|
100 |
6 h 54 m |
Show
|
-Cleveland has won 4 straight games while scoring 120 points or more in each game; regress -offense has shot 52.2% (181-347) from the field and hit 50 three’s in last 4 games; unsustainable -Cavs defense allows 47.3% shooting from the field vs. offenses that shoot 45.9% from the field -Miami returns home off back-to-back road losses; 22-13 SU at home; strong bounce back here -offense is shooting 36.7% from 3 at home vs. defenses that give up 36.2% shooting from 3 -Heat allow 102.9 points per game at home vs. offenses that average 106.3 points per game 10* Play HEAT (+).
|
03-26-18 |
Nuggets v. 76ers OVER 223.5 |
|
104-123 |
Win
|
100 |
5 h 14 m |
Show
|
-Denver comes in well rested with 2 days off; they’ll play this game full throttle for 48 minutes -offense is shooting 37.4% from three vs. defenses that give up 36.3% shooting from three -Nuggets defense allows 48.6% shooting from the field on the field vs. offenses that shoot 45.9% -Philadelphia has won 6 straight games while scoring 118 points or more in five of those games -offense is shooting 47.2% from the field at home vs. defenses that only allow 46% shooting -76ers defense is stepping way up in class here; faced tanking teams in 2 of their last 3 games 10* Play OVER the total.
|
03-25-18 |
Duke -3 v. Kansas |
|
81-85 |
Loss |
-103 |
15 h 17 m |
Show
|
-Duke has a terrific matchup edge here; zone defense combined with a solid and efficient offense -offense is shooting 37.7% from three vs. defenses that only give up 34.8% shooting from three -Blue Devils defense allows just 40.4% shooting from the field vs. offenses that shoot 45.1% -Kansas has faced 3 opponents that they dominated in terms of talent; big step-up in class here -offense struggles in slow-paced games, and Duke’s new found zone defense will cause them fits -Jayhawks defense is poor away from home; they give up 71.4 points per game this season 10* Play DUKE (-).
|
03-24-18 |
Florida State +4.5 v. Michigan |
|
54-58 |
Win
|
100 |
8 h 43 m |
Show
|
-Florida State has been very impressive in their 3 tournament games; great speed and athleticism -offense is shooting 47.2% from the field vs. defenses that give up 43.3% shooting from the field -Seminoles defense allows just 41.7% shooting from the field vs. offenses that shoot 44.9% -Michigan played way above their level in their 99-72 win over Texas A&M team; regress here -offense shot 61.9% (39-63) from the field and 58.3% (14-24) from 3-point land; can’t repeat -Wolverines defense faced 3 slow-footed teams so far in the tournament; big step-up in speed 9* Play FLORIDA STATE (+).
|
03-24-18 |
Bulls v. Pistons -12.5 |
|
95-117 |
Win
|
100 |
7 h 21 m |
Show
|
-Chicago is in serious tank mode; they’ve lost their last 3 games by 13 points or more; same here -offense is shooting 43.7% from the field vs. defenses that give up 46% shooting from the field -Bulls defense allows 112.8 points per game on the road vs. offenses that average 106.5 ppg -Detroit returns home from a 6-game road trip where they went just 2-4 SU; big bounce back -offense is shooting 37.8% from 3 at home vs. defenses that allow 36.3% shooting from 3 -Pistons defense is in good form; held last 3 opponents to 90 points or less in regulation time 9* Play PISTONS (-).
|
03-24-18 |
Loyola-Chicago v. Kansas State OVER 126 |
|
78-62 |
Win
|
100 |
5 h 3 m |
Show
|
-Loyola Chicago has a highly efficient offense, and this total is simply priced way too low now -offense is shooting 39.7% from three vs. defenses that give up 34.2% shooting from three -Ramblers defense allowed 62 points or more in all three of their tournament games; 68 in last -Kansas State had to play extremely slow against Kentucky in order to win; expect a looser game -offense is shooting 47% from the field on the road vs. defenses that give up 43.8% shooting -Wildcats defense is weaker away from home; they give up 70.8 points per game this season 10* Play OVER the total.
|
03-23-18 |
Texas Tech v. Purdue -1.5 |
|
78-65 |
Loss |
-110 |
55 h 34 m |
Show
|
-Texas Tech is just 4-5 SU and 1-7-1 ATS over their last 9 games; not in good form despite wins -offense has been poor on the road this season; average 4.6 ppg less and shoot 2.4% worse -Red Raiders perimeter defense can be had; they gave up 33.9% shooting from 3 on the road -Purdue is without Isaac Haas, but they played without him against Butler; expect a better effort -offense is shooting 42.1% from three vs. defenses that give up 35% shooting from three -Boilermakers defense allows 65.4 points per game vs offenses that average 73.4 points per game 10* Play PURDUE (-).
|
03-23-18 |
Clippers v. Pacers -3.5 |
|
104-109 |
Win
|
100 |
6 h 41 m |
Show
|
-Los Angeles will be playing their 3rd game in 4 nights; 6 of last 7 games on the road; bad spot -offense is shooting 35.3% from 3 on the road vs. defenses that give up 36.4% shooting from 3 -Clippers defense allows 109.5 points per game on the road vs. offenses that average 106.4 ppg -Indiana returns home off a road loss; 24-13 SU at home this season; expect a big bounce back -offense is shooting 47.9% from the field at home vs. defenses that allow 46.1% shooting -Pacers defense only allows 34.3% from 3 at home vs. offenses that shoot 36.2% from 3 9* Play PACERS (-).
|
03-23-18 |
Clemson +5 v. Kansas |
|
76-80 |
Win
|
100 |
4 h 15 m |
Show
|
-Clemson has a nice matchup edge here; slow pace combined with a solid and efficient defense -offense is shooting 36.8% from three vs. defenses that only give up 34.6% shooting from three -Tigers defense allows just 40.4% shooting from the field vs. offenses that shoot 45.2% -Kansas is laying too many points here; my power ratings only make them a 3.5-point favorite -offense struggles in slow-paced games; 1-3 SU when held to less than 70 points; lone win by 4 -Jayhawks defense is poor away from home; they give up 71.2 points per game this season 9* Play CLEMSON (+).
|
03-22-18 |
Hawks v. Kings OVER 212.5 |
|
90-105 |
Loss |
-105 |
9 h 14 m |
Show
|
-Atlanta comes in off a poor offensive game, but they were playing in altitude; big bounce back -offense is shooting 36.4% from three vs. defenses that give up 36.2% shooting from three -Hawks defense allow 47.2% shooting from the field vs. offenses that shoot 46% from the field -Sacramento has played 3 straight terrible games, but they were overmatched; step-down in class -offense is shooting 38.3% from 3 at home vs. defenses that only allow 36.2% shooting from 3 -Kings defense gives up 39.2% shooting from 3 at home vs. offenses that shoot 36.2% from 3 9* Play OVER the total.
|
03-22-18 |
Kansas State +6.5 v. Kentucky |
|
61-58 |
Win
|
100 |
74 h 49 m |
Show
|
-Kentucky is laying way too many points here; terrible matchup while stepping way up in class -offense struggles mightily in slow-paced games; 2-8 SU when held to less than 70 points -Wildcats defense is average at best; given up 71 points or more in 9 of their last 12 games -Kansas State has a big matchup edge here; very slow pace combined with their strong defense -offense is shooting 47.6% from the field on the road vs. defenses that give up 43.9% shooting -Wildcats defense allows just 42.3% shooting from the field vs. offenses that shoot 45.3% 10* Play KANSAS STATE (+).
|
03-22-18 |
Texas A&M v. Michigan -2.5 |
|
72-99 |
Win
|
100 |
51 h 36 m |
Show
|
-Texas A&M comes in off an upset win of North Carolina; slow pace here will be their undoing -offense is only shooting 33.1% from three vs. defenses that give up 34.3% shooting from three -Aggies defense looks a lot better because of their recent games; expect major regression here -Michigan struggling against Houston was expected; get a much better matchup here; big effort -offense is shooting 46.7% from the field vs. defenses that give up 43.5% shooting from the field -Wolverines defense gives up 63.1 points per game vs. defenses that average 75 points per game 9* Play MICHIGAN (-).
|
03-22-18 |
76ers v. Magic +8 |
|
118-98 |
Loss |
-105 |
6 h 15 m |
Show
|
-Philadelphia hits the road after 3 straight home wins where they scored 347 points; bad spot -offense has shot 47.3% from the field and 39.1% from 3 over their last 5 games; regress here -76ers defense is in poor current form; allowed 105 points or more in 3 of their last 4 games -Orlando will play their 4th straight home game; lost last 2 games by single digits; big effort -offense is shooting 46% from the field at home vs. defenses that also give up 46% shooting -Magic defense allows 46% shooting from the field at home vs. offenses that shoot 46.1% 9* Play MAGIC (+).
|
03-21-18 |
Western Kentucky +6 v. Oklahoma State |
|
92-84 |
Win
|
100 |
6 h 16 m |
Show
|
-Western Kentucky quietly has 26 wins on the season; line is too high based on my power ratings -offense is shooting 49.6% from the field vs. defenses that give up 43.6% shooting from the field -Hilltoppers defense allows just 42.9% shooting from the field vs. offenses that shoot 45.4% -Oklahoma State had a negative efficiency margin in conference play this season; bad favorite -offense shoots just 43.3% from the field vs. defenses that allow 43.6% shooting from the field -Cowboys defense allows 36.6% shooting from three vs. offenses that shoot 35.7% from three 10* Play WESTERN KENTUCKY (+).
|
03-20-18 |
Thunder v. Celtics +4.5 |
|
99-100 |
Win
|
100 |
8 h 38 m |
Show
|
-Oklahoma City coming off SU road dog win at Toronto; regression spot now as road favorite -offense is shooting 44.6% from the field on road vs. defenses that give up 46.2% FG shooting -Thunder defense allows 37.0% shooting from 3pt range vs. offenses that shoot 36.3% from 3pt -Boston returns home off an ugly 19-point road loss at New Orleans; expect a strong effort now -offense is shooting 37.4% from 3pt vs. defenses that give up 36.3% shooting from 3pt range -Celtics' defense only allows 43.7% shooting from the field vs. offenses that shoot 46.2% FG
9* Play CELTICS (+).
|
03-20-18 |
Raptors v. Magic +10.5 |
|
93-86 |
Win
|
100 |
7 h 38 m |
Show
|
-Toronto hits the road after high-profile home loss vs. OKC; letdown spot now as a big favorite -offense is shooting 35.5% from 3pt on road vs. defenses that give up 36.3% shooting from 3pt -Raptors' defense is in poor current form; allowed 102 points or more in 6 of their last 7 games -Orlando will play their 3rd straight home game; they’ve had 3 days off; big scheduling edge -offense is shooting 46.2% from the field at home vs. defenses that give up 46.0% FG shooting -Magic defense allows 46.0% shooting from the field at home vs. offenses that shoot 46.0% FG
10* Play MAGIC (+).
|
03-19-18 |
Washington v. St. Mary's -10 |
|
81-85 |
Loss |
-104 |
9 h 11 m |
Show
|
-Washington is just 5-8 SU away from home this season; just won as a home underdog; bad spot -offense is only shooting 29.7% from 3 on the road vs. defenses that allow 35% shooting from 3 -Huskies defense is in poor current form; allowed 72 points or more in 3 of their last 4 games -St. Mary’s got snubbed from the NCAA tournament; they are on a NIT mission; big effort here -offense is shooting 51.7% from the field vs. defenses that give up 44.6% shooting from the field -Gaels allow just 59.8 points per game at home vs. offenses that average 71.8 points per game 9* Play ST. MARY’S (-).
|
03-19-18 |
Nuggets +2 v. Heat |
|
141-149 |
Loss |
-104 |
7 h 16 m |
Show
|
-Denver comes in off an ugly loss in Memphis; day off since; expect a big bounce back effort -offense is shooting 47% from the field vs. defenses that give up 46% shooting from the field -Nuggets defense has held Miami’s offense in check; just 104.3 ppg over their last 3 meetings -Miami returns home after playing a 3-game West Coast road trip; bad spot off that travel -offense averages 102.5 points per game vs. defenses that give up 106.5 points per game -Heat defense allows 37.6% shooting from 3 at home vs. offenses that shoot 36.4% from 3 10* Play NUGGETS (+).
|
03-18-18 |
Marshall v. West Virginia -12.5 |
|
71-94 |
Win
|
100 |
18 h 35 m |
Show
|
-Marshall pulled a big upset of Wichita State on Friday; don’t expect a repeat performance here -offense has struggled mightily vs. in-state rival’s defense; 68 points or less in last 5 meetings -Thundering Herd allow 81.2 points per game on the road vs. offenses that average 73.9 ppg -West Virginia beat Murray State easily on Friday; their relentless press will be the difference -offense is averaging 79.8 points per game vs. defenses that only give up 71 points per game -Mountaineers defense only allows 42.4% shooting from the field vs. offenses that shoot 45.4% 10* Play WEST VIRGINIA (-).
|
03-18-18 |
Maryland-Baltimore County v. Kansas State -10 |
|
43-50 |
Loss |
-113 |
16 h 31 m |
Show
|
-UMBC shocked the world in their upset win over Virginia; off that win, expect a major letdown -offense is shooting 43.3% from the field on the road vs. defenses that allow 45% shooting -Retrievers allow 35.2% shooting from 3 on the road vs. offenses that shoot 33.7% from 3 -Kansas State handled Creighton without much energy exerted on Friday; expect a strong effort -offense is shooting 48% from the field on the road vs. defenses that give up 43.9% shooting -Wildcats defense allows just 42.6% shooting from the field vs. offenses that shoot 45.3% 9* Play KANSAS STATE (-).
|
03-18-18 |
Nevada +8.5 v. Cincinnati |
|
75-73 |
Win
|
100 |
14 h 56 m |
Show
|
-Nevada now owns 28 wins on the season; very strong perimeter team on both ends of the court -offense is shooting 41.9% from 3 on the road vs. defenses that give up 34.9% shooting from 3 -Wolf Pack allow 31.1% shooting from 3 on the road vs. offenses that shoot 35.4% from 3 -Cincinnati was unimpressive in their win over Georgia State on Friday; step-up in class here -offense is shooting 33.2% from 3 on the road vs. defenses that give up 34.7% shooting from 3 -Bearcats defense has faced a string of slow-paced and inefficient offenses recently; big test now 9* Play NEVADA (+).
|
03-17-18 |
Houston +3.5 v. Michigan |
|
63-64 |
Win
|
100 |
17 h 55 m |
Show
|
-Houston is a very dangerous team, and they get a very favorable matchup for tonight’s game -offense is shooting 38.7% from three vs. defenses that give up 34.6% shooting from three -Cougars defense allows just 32.6% shooting from three vs. offenses that shoot 35.1% from three -Michigan is a perimeter orientated team on offense, and this is a terrible matchup for them -offense faced terrible 3-point defenses this season; their opponents allowed 35.2% shooting -Wolverines defense gave up 43.9% shooting from the field on the road, so they can be had here 9* Play HOUSTON (+).
|
03-17-18 |
Florida +2 v. Texas Tech |
|
66-69 |
Loss |
-104 |
16 h 1 m |
Show
|
-Florida is back to playing their best; 4-1 SU over their last 5 games after losing 3 straight games -offense is shooting 38.6% from 3 on the road vs. defenses that give up 33.8% shooting from 3 -Gators defense allows 69.2 points per game vs. offenses that average 75.1 points per game -Texas Tech is just 3-5 SU and 0-7-1 ATS over their last 8 games; team is in poor current form -offense has been poor on the road this season; average 4.7 ppg less and shoot 2.4% worse -Red Raiders perimeter defense can be had; they gave up 34.4% shooting from 3 on the road 9* Play FLORIDA (+).
|
03-17-18 |
Ohio State +3.5 v. Gonzaga |
|
84-90 |
Loss |
-109 |
15 h 3 m |
Show
|
-Ohio State was embarrassed by 27-points versus Gonzaga earlier this season; lots of motivation -offense is shooting 48.1% from the field vs. defenses that give up 43.5% shooting from the field -Buckeyes defense only gives up 41.4% shooting from the field vs. offenses that shoot 45.5% -Gonzaga had more trouble with UNC Greensboro than they should have; step-up in class now -offense has played slightly worse away from home this season; average 2.8 points per game less -Zags defense allows 35.5% shooting from the 3 on the road vs offenses that shoot 35.4% from 3 9* Play OHIO STATE (+).
|
03-17-18 |
Loyola-Chicago +5.5 v. Tennessee |
|
63-62 |
Win
|
100 |
13 h 27 m |
Show
|
-Loyola Chicago now has 29 wins on the season; they have a terrific offense and a strong defense -offense is shooting 50.6% from the field vs. defenses that give up 43.4% shooting from the field -Ramblers defense allows 61.9 points per game on the road vs. offenses that average 70.7 ppg -Tennessee had a very easy draw in the opening round; big step-up in class vs. a half-court team -offense is shooting 42.6% from the field on the road vs. defenses that give up 42.8% shooting -Vols defense is off one of their best performances of the season; expect regression off that game 9* Play LOYOLA CHICAGO (+).
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03-17-18 |
Buffalo v. Kentucky -5.5 |
|
75-95 |
Win
|
100 |
13 h 31 m |
Show
|
-Buffalo had a great matchup vs. Arizona and their win wasn’t a shock at all; big step-up here -offense shot 54.8% (34-62) from the field and 50% (15-30) from 3-point land; major regression -Bulls defense gives up 76.6 points per game vs. offenses that average 74.6 points per game -Kentucky was very impressive in their win over a smart Davidson team; get their preferred style -offense is shooting 47.1% from the field vs. defenses that give up 42.2% shooting from the field -Wildcats defense allows 40.3% shooting from the field on the road vs. offenses that shoot 45.2% 10* Play KENTUCKY (-).
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03-16-18 |
Florida State v. Missouri +1.5 |
|
67-54 |
Loss |
-102 |
17 h 16 m |
Show
|
-Florida State underperformed greatly over their conference schedule; negative efficiency margin -offense is shooting 32.5% from 3 on the road vs. defenses that give up 34.8% shooting from 3 -Seminoles defense allows 36.4% shooting from three vs. offenses that shoot 35.1% from three -Missouri will be without suspended Jordan Barnett, but Michael Porter returns from injury -offense is shooting 38.5% from three vs. offenses that give up 33.4% shooting from three -Tigers defense allows 40.7% shooting from the field vs. offenses that shoot 44.4% from the field 9* Play MISSOURI (+).
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03-16-18 |
New Mexico State +5 v. Clemson |
|
68-79 |
Loss |
-106 |
17 h 50 m |
Show
|
-New Mexico State quietly went 28-5 this season; they are terrific on both ends of the court -offense is shooting 46% from the field vs. defenses that give up 44.7% shooting from the field -Aggies defense allows 63.8 points per game vs. offenses that average 72.2 points per game -Clemson went just 2-6 SU when held to less than 70 points this season; bad matchup for them -offense averages 69.9 points per game on the road vs. defenses that allow 71.2 points per game -Tigers defense allows 39% shooting from 3 on the road vs. offenses that shoot 35.9% from 3 10* Play NEW MEXICO STATE (+).
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03-16-18 |
Texas Southern v. Xavier OVER 160 |
|
83-102 |
Win
|
100 |
14 h 21 m |
Show
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-Texas Southern won their play-in game on Wednesday night; much more loose for this game -offense is shooting 36% from three vs. defenses that give up 34.8% shooting from three -Tigers defense allows 80 points per game on the road vs. offenses that average 71.5 ppg -Xavier has scored 72 points or more in 26 of their 28 wins this season; expect more of the same -offense is shooting 49.1% from the field vs. defenses that give up 43.6% shooting from the field -Musketeers allow 36.1% shooting from 3 on the road vs. offenses that shoot 35.4% from 3 9* Play OVER the total.
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03-16-18 |
Bucknell +14.5 v. Michigan State |
|
78-82 |
Win
|
100 |
14 h 47 m |
Show
|
-Bucknell closed the season by going 18-1 SU over their last 19 games; lone loss came in OT -offense is shooting 47.2% from the field vs. defenses that give up 44.8% shooting from the field -Bison defense allows just 42.3% shooting from the field vs. offenses that shoot 45% -Michigan State couldn’t win games by margin this season when forced into a slow-paced game -offense struggled in slow games; 1 win by more than 10 points when held to less than 70 points -Spartans defense faced just 2 tournament teams over their final 14 games of the season 9* Play BUCKNELL (+).
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03-16-18 |
Texas v. Nevada +1.5 |
|
83-87 |
Win
|
100 |
11 h 8 m |
Show
|
-Texas is just 4-6 SU over their last 10 games; 2-8 SU their last 10 games away from home -offense is shooting 31.5% from 3 on the road vs. defenses that give up 34.8% shooting from 3 -Longhorns defense is in bad form; they’ve given up 73 points or more in 3 of their last 4 games -Nevada quietly went 27-7 this season; very strong perimeter team on both ends of the court -offense is shooting 42.2% from 3 on the road vs. defenses that give up 34.9% shooting from 3 -Wolf Pack allow 30.3% shooting from 3 on the road vs. offenses that shoot 35.6% from 3 9* Play NEVADA (+).
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03-16-18 |
Butler -1.5 v. Arkansas |
|
79-62 |
Win
|
100 |
10 h 48 m |
Show
|
-Butler comes in off a blowout loss to Villanova; no shame in that; expect strong bounce back -offense is shooting 47.2% from the field vs. defenses that give up 44% shooting from the field -Bulldogs allow 45% shooting from the field vs. offenses that shoot 46.3% from the field -Arkansas is 4-3 SU their last 7 games; every win by single digits; every loss by double digits -offense is in poor current form; they’ve scored 69 points or less in three of their last four games -Razorbacks allow 39.5% shooting from 3 on the road vs. offenses that shoot 35.1% from 3 9* Play BUTLER (-).
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03-16-18 |
Georgia State v. Cincinnati OVER 129.5 |
|
53-68 |
Loss |
-107 |
9 h 39 m |
Show
|
-Georgia State has scored 73 points or more in 12 straight games; scoring ways will continue -offense is shooting 40.9% from 3 on the road vs. defenses that give up 34.4% shooting from 3 -Panthers defense allowed 75 points or more in 6 of their last 7 regular season games -Cincinnati comes in off a grueling conference tournament; expect their offense to breakout here -offense is shooting 45.3% from the field vs. defenses that give up 43.3% shooting from the field -Bearcats defense will be not be cranked-up here; offense will win this game; expect a lax effort 9* Play OVER the total.
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03-16-18 |
Marshall v. Wichita State -11.5 |
|
81-75 |
Loss |
-110 |
8 h 10 m |
Show
|
-Marshall needs to play as fast as possible to be at their best; terrible pace matchup for them here -offense is shooting 34.9% from 3 on the road vs. defenses that give up 34.9% shooting from 3 -Thundering Herd allow 81.6 points per game on the road vs. offenses that average 73.6 ppg -Wichita State comes into this game off a loss, and they’ve lost 2 of their last 3 games; big effort -offense is shooting 47.8% from the field vs. defenses that give up 43.1% shooting from the field -Shockers defense only allows 41.9% shooting from the field vs. offenses that shoot 44.2% 9* Play WICHITA STATE (-).
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03-15-18 |
Buffalo +9 v. Arizona |
|
89-68 |
Win
|
100 |
20 h 34 m |
Show
|
-Buffalo lost 8 games this season, but five of those losses came by 7 points or less; tough out -offense is shooting 47.4% from the field vs. defenses that give up 44% shooting from the field -Bulls defense allows 32.6% shooting from 3 on the road vs. offenses that shoot 34.7% from 3 -Arizona is now a public darling after their Pac 12 tournament win; had a tumultuous season -offense is shooting 33.3% from 3 on the road vs. defenses that give up 35.2% shooting from 3 -Wildcats defense was much worse on the road where they gave up 74.4 points per game 10* Play BUFFALO (+).
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03-15-18 |
Stephen F Austin v. Texas Tech OVER 137 |
|
60-70 |
Loss |
-110 |
17 h 20 m |
Show
|
-Stephen F. Austin won 28 games this season; scored 74 points or more in 26 of their 34 games -offense is shooting 48.8% from the field vs. defenses that give up 45.8% shooting from the field -Lumberjacks defense allows 37.7% shooting from 3 on the road vs. offenses that shoot 34.6% -Texas Tech has scored 70 points or more in 23 of their 24 wins this season; expect same here -offense is shooting 46.4% from the field vs. defenses that give up 45.8% shooting from the field -Red Raiders defense was worse from 3-point land on the road this season; bad matchup here 9* Play OVER the total.
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03-15-18 |
Davidson +5.5 v. Kentucky |
|
73-78 |
Win
|
100 |
17 h 5 m |
Show
|
-Davidson closed the season with a flourish; 11-2 SU over their last 13 games; one loss in OT -offense is shooting 39.1% from three vs. defenses that give up 34.8% shooting from three -Wildcats defense allows just 43.7% shooting from the field vs. offenses that shoot 44.4% -Kentucky is talented, but they are extremely young and will be forced into a half court game -offense struggles mightily in slow-paced games; just 2-8 SU when held to less than 70 points -Wildcats defense faded down the stretch; they allowed 78.3 ppg over their last 4 road games 9* Play DAVIDSON (+).
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03-15-18 |
Loyola-Chicago +1.5 v. Miami-FL |
|
64-62 |
Win
|
100 |
13 h 6 m |
Show
|
-Loyola Chicago quietly went 28-5 this season; they have a terrific offense and a strong defense -offense is shooting 50.7% from the field vs. defenses that give up 43.4% shooting from the field -Ramblers defense allows 61.9 points per game on the road vs. offenses that average 70.6 ppg -Miami, FL went just 5-6 SU against tournament teams; 4 of those wins came by 6 points or less -offense is stepping up in class; faced defenses that allow 71.3 ppg; opponent allows 9.4 ppg less -Hurricanes defense is in bad form; they’ve given up 78 points or more in 3 of their last 4 games 9* Play LOYOLA CHICAGO (+).
|
03-15-18 |
Oklahoma +2.5 v. Rhode Island |
|
78-83 |
Loss |
-110 |
10 h 12 m |
Show
|
-Oklahoma has a lot of doubters saying they shouldn't be in the tournament; lots of motivation -offense is shooting 46.4% from the field vs. defenses that give up 43.2% shooting from the field -Sooners defense allows 44.5% shooting from the field vs. offenses that shoot 45.6% -Rhode Island went to their conference tournament final on Sunday and lost by 1 point; bad spot -offense is in poor current form; they’ve scored 61 points or less in three of their last five games -Rams defense allows 45.6% shooting from the field on the road vs. offenses that shoot 45.4% 9* Play OKLAHOMA (+).
|
03-14-18 |
Arizona State v. Syracuse +2 |
|
56-60 |
Win
|
100 |
7 h 21 m |
Show
|
-Syracuse surprisingly made the NCAA tournament, but good matchup here, and value in the line -offense comes in off a terrible performance; scored just 59 points; expect bounce back effort -Orange allow just 39.6% shooting from the field vs. offenses that shoot 45.5% from the field -Arizona State peaked in mid-December; 12-0 to open the season; 8-11 since; 1-5 last 6 games -offense is stepping up in class; faced defenses that allow 72.5 ppg; opponent allows 8 ppg less -Sun Devils allow 47.8% shooting from the field on the road vs. offenses that shoot 45.3% 10* Play SYRACUSE (+).
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03-14-18 |
North Carolina Central +5.5 v. Texas Southern |
|
46-64 |
Loss |
-105 |
5 h 51 m |
Show
|
-NC Central is in good current form; they’ve won 5 straight games; 4 wins by 8 points or more -offense is shooting 46.6% from the field vs. defenses that give up 45.7% shooting from the field -Eagles defense allows 32.2% shooting from 3 on the road vs. offenses that shoot 32.9% from 3 -Texas Southern had a losing record at 15-19 this season; a fortunate conference tournament win -offense is shooting just 42.6% from the field on the road vs. defenses that allow 44.3% shooting -Tigers defense allows 81.4 points per game on the road vs. offenses that average 71.5 ppg 9* Play NC CENTRAL (+).
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03-13-18 |
Wolves v. Wizards -3.5 |
|
116-111 |
Loss |
-103 |
7 h 49 m |
Show
|
-Minnesota hits the road again after 2 home game against Boston and Golden State; bad spot -offense is shooting 35.6% from three vs. defenses that give up 36.2% shooting from three -Timberwolves allow 48.3% shooting from the field on the road vs. offenses that shoot 46.1%
-Washington returns home off an ugly 27-point loss in Miami; 2 days off; expect a big effort here -offense is shooting 37.5% from 3 at home vs. defenses that give up 36.3% shooting from 3 -Wizards defense allows 33.9% shooting from three vs. offenses that shoot 36.1% from three
10* Play WIZARDS (-).
|
03-13-18 |
Northern Kentucky +8 v. Louisville |
|
58-66 |
Push |
0 |
6 h 36 m |
Show
|
-Northern Kentucky went 22-9 this season; 1 win and 3 close losses to NCAA tournament teams -offense is shooting 48% from the field vs. defenses that give up 45.2% shooting from the field -Norse defense allows 30.9% shooting from three vs. offenses that shoot 33.8% from three -Louisville is crushed that they didn't make the NCAA tournament; players voted to skip the NIT -offense is in poor current form; they’ve scored 69 points or less in three of their last four games -Cardinals defense is also in poor current form; allowed 74 points or more in their last 3 games 9* Play NORTHERN KENTUCKY (+).
|
03-11-18 |
76ers -6 v. Nets |
|
120-97 |
Win
|
100 |
6 h 16 m |
Show
|
-Philadelphia comes in off a loss at Miami; they’ve had 2 days off since; expect a big effort here -offense is shooting 37.6% from 3 on the road vs. defenses that give up 36.1% shooting from 3 -76ers defense allows 44.9% shooting from the field vs. offenses that shoot 46.1% from the field -Brooklyn returns home off a 5-game road trip with 3 of those games on the West Coast; bad spot -offense is shooting 43.8% from the field vs. defenses that give up 46.1% shooting from the field -Nets defense gives up 110 points per game vs. offenses that average 106.2 points per game 10* Play 76ERS (-).
|
03-10-18 |
West Virginia -1.5 v. Kansas |
|
70-81 |
Loss |
-105 |
7 h 11 m |
Show
|
-West Virginia has lost twice to Kansas this season; playing with legitimate revenge; good spot -offense is averaging 79.9 points per game vs. defenses that give up 71.3 points per game -Mountaineers defense allows just 42% shooting from the field vs. offenses that shoot 45.2% -Kansas has cruised in their first two tournament games, but this is a high step-up in class -offense has shot 52.1% (61-117) from the field in their last two games; expect regression here -Jayhawks defense had given up 74.9 ppg in their previous 7 games before the tournament 10* Play WEST VIRGINIA (-).
|
03-09-18 |
Oregon v. USC -2 |
|
54-74 |
Win
|
100 |
13 h 8 m |
Show
|
-Oregon is playing their 3rd game in 3 nights; overtime and big comeback; terrible spot here -offense is shooting 41.7% from the field on the road vs. defenses that give up 44.2% shooting -Ducks defense allows 37.5% shooting from 3 on the road vs. offenses that shoot 35.6% from 3 -USC cruised to an easy 13-point win last night over Oregon State; excellent scheduling spot -offense is shooting 38.1% from 3 on the road vs. defenses that give up 35.1% shooting from 3 -Trojans defense allows just 43.8% shooting from the field vs. offenses that shoot 45.5% 9* Play USC (-).
|