Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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12-23-19 | Packers +5.5 v. Vikings | 23-10 | Win | 100 | 20 h 34 m | Show | |
The NFC North Title is on the line tonight in Minnesota as the 11-3 Green Bay Packers take on the 10-4 Vikings. The Packers have improved greatly under first year coach Matt LaFleur after a 6-9-1 season last year. The Vikings have won eight of their last 10 games. The Rams loss on Saturday clinched the Vikings a playoff spot. The Vikings will have to play on Monday without star running back Dalvin Cook, who will miss Monday's game with a bad shoulder. Alexander Mattison is his backup, but he's not near healthy either with an ankle sprain. That leaves Matt Boone as possibly the starter here on Monday. Whoever is rushing the ball will face the league's fourth best rushing red zone defense in the Packers. I like the points here on Monday, with the Pack getting about 5 or 5 1/2 points. If Cook were playing this would be a much more even contest. Take Green Bay. |
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12-22-19 | Cardinals +10 v. Seahawks | 27-13 | Win | 100 | 38 h 28 m | Show | |
Arizona just playing for fun right now as they won't be going anywhere this postseason. The Cardinals showed just that last week, knocking off Cleveland, 38-24. Now they travel to the Northwest to take on the Seahawks. Seattle and San Francisco are tied in the NFC West with 11-3 records. The Seahawks had to hold on last week to beat the Panthers, 30-24, pushing the 6-point favorite line. This after jumping out to a big lead. This is not a game the Seahawks really care about because they have the 49ers up next week in the season finale. That game will likely determine the division winner and possibly the best record in the NFC. The Seahawks also have two key defensive injuries, Jadeveon Clowney and Bobby Wagner, neither of which have practiced. The Flu has also circulated through the locker room the last couple of weeks, hitting the defense particularly hard. They should be back today, but those effects could linger into this week's game. Just too many factors that make me believe that Seattle will be disinterested in this game. I expect them to win, but not cover this big spread. Take Arizona. |
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12-22-19 | Cowboys v. Eagles UNDER 46.5 | 9-17 | Win | 100 | 27 h 36 m | Show | |
It all comes down to this for the Cowboys and the Eagles. They both come into today's game with 7-7 records and the winner of today's game should win the NFC East. That isn't saying much considering they have both had up and down seasons. Dallas did get a big win last week, beating their first opponent with a winning record in the LA Rams, 44-21. That win broke a three-game losing streak for the Cowboys. Philly also won last week, beating Washington, 37-27, though they were trailing at half. The issue is that both teams have numerous injuries. Dallas has issues at linebacker with Vander Esch and Sean Lee both hurting. Philly is without its two top receivers in Alshon Jeffery and DeSean Jackson. Plus, Nelson Agholor is having knee issues and missing practices. The big one though is Dak Prescot who has a hairline fracture in his finger and a bad shoulder. Presot should start here today, but how effective he will be is yet to be seen. With all the injuries I expect these teams to play this game close to the vest and conservative. I'm taking the UNDER here today. |
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12-22-19 | Saints v. Titans +3 | 38-28 | Loss | -130 | 23 h 12 m | Show | |
New Orleans Saints still hoping to get that best record in the NFC with a 11-3 record. The Saints have two games left and are tied with three other teams at 11-3. New Orleans had an easy win last Monday night over the Colts, 34-7, covering the 9-point favorite line. The Saints get the shorter week here today as they play at the Titans. Tennessee is fighting for that last AFC Wildcard spot with Pittsburgh. Both teams tied at 8-6 with two games left. The Titans lost last week to division foe Houston, 21-24 at home. They finish up next week against Houston. The Titans could still win the AFC South as Houston is one game ahead at 9-5. Lots on the line here for the Titans, they can win the division, become a Wildcard or miss the playoffs all together. For me, the Saints coming off that short week and laying a few points here both go against them. I like the way Ryan Tannehill has led this Titans team and they had some bad luck last week that put them in an early hole. I look for the Titans to rebound here today. Play Tennessee. |
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12-22-19 | Panthers v. Colts OVER 46.5 | 6-38 | Loss | -110 | 23 h 12 m | Show | |
The Carolina Panthers won't play in the postseason, but that doesn't stop them from scoring. The Panthers have seen their last four games go over the total. Their defense has been horrible, allowing 29 or more points in five straight games. They have now gone over in eight of their last 10 games. The Colts just didn't show up to last Monday's game at New Orleans, losing 7-34. That's three straight games that the colts have allowed at least 31 points. Today, they face a Panthers' defense that has dropped to number 26 overall in the league. The Colts defense is now 16th in the league. I expect a high scoring game in here today. Play the OVER. |
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12-21-19 | UAB v. Appalachian State -16 | 17-31 | Loss | -110 | 23 h 32 m | Show | |
New Orleans Bowl action here on Saturday is the late game between UAB and 20th ranked Appalachian State. UAB coming into this game after getting totally demolished in their conference championship game. UAB lost to Florida Atlantic in the Conference USAQ Championship, 6-49 and never was in that game. Appalachian State finished 12-1 on the season after beating Louisiana in the Sun Belt Championship. App State lost to Georgia Southern in October and since then has average 40.8 points per game and over 400 yards per game. UAB has relied way too much on their running game since QB Tyler Johnston has been injured. Johnston should be back here today, but I'm not sure that will help the Blazers out that much. App State has an excellent rushing defense, allowing just 2.79 yards per carry in November. This App State team has it all, balanced offense, excellent defense and they should easily get their first ever 13 win season. I expect a Appalachian State blowout here on Saturday. Play Appalachian State. |
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12-21-19 | Rams v. 49ers -6.5 | 31-34 | Loss | -107 | 18 h 19 m | Show | |
The 49ers final two games of the season are not easy ones. They play a LA Rams team today that likely is out of the playoffs. The Rams lost big last week to the Cowboys, 21-44. That was the first win against a winning team by Dallas. The loss dropped the Rams to 8-6 in the West and now two-games back of the Vikings with two games to play for the Wild Card. The 49ers lost a heart breaking game last week to Arizona, 22-29. The 49ers were leading with seconds left when Arizona scored a touchdown that had to be reviewed and overturned as the player just broke the plane of the goal line. That came with just a few seconds left in the game. The subsequent kickoff turned into another Atlanta touchdown during the throw backs by the Niners. San Francisco is tied with Seattle for the NFC West at 11-3 and they face each other next week. Normally I might expect a look ahead here by the Niners, but coming off that loss I expect them to be fully ready for the Rams here today. Plus, I feel the Rams will not be in the game here today as they have nothing left to play for as their playoff hopes are realistically gone after last week. Play San Francisco. |
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12-21-19 | Washington v. Boise State +3.5 | 38-7 | Loss | -110 | 18 h 36 m | Show | |
Las Vegas Bowl action on Saturday evening has No 19 Boise State taking on Washington. Despite being ranked, Boise finds itself a small dog here in this game. The Broncos are 12-1 S/U and 8-5 ATS. The Broncos finished their regular season with a win over Hawaii, 31-10. Washington finished 7-5 S/U and and ATS. The Huskies finished with a win over Washington State, 31-13. Boyd Stadium hosts its final bowl game with the new Allegient Stadium taking over next year. The Broncos might be sorry to see Boyd go away, they are 4-0 on this field in bowl games. The Broncos were a 7-point dog vs Oregon in the 2017 Vegas Bowl and won, a 2.5-point dog in the 2014 Fiesta Bowl and won. They are now 5-3 on neutral site games. Washington HC Chris Petersoon announced his retirement and that means DC Jimmy Lake will be taking over has head coach. Two of the Huskies best offensive players have opted to skip this bowl game in favor of the NFL draft. A disappointing offensive season will be all the more disappointing this season. I don't see much motivation for Washington here. They are playing in a bowl they really don't want to play in and with a new coach. Look for Boise State to take this one. Play Boise State. |
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12-21-19 | Bills +7 v. Patriots | Top | 17-24 | Push | 0 | 15 h 34 m | Show |
The Buffalo Bills moved to within one game of the New England Patriots with a win last week over the Pittsburgh Steelers, 17-10. It was the Bills fourth spread win in their last five games. The Patriots improved to 11-3 with their win last week over Cincinnati, 34-13. It was the first spread win for the Pats in their last four games and five of the last six. The Pats offense has been stagnant, scoring 24 or fewer points in five of their last six games. Both of these teams have excellent defenses. Buffalo ranks 3rd overall and New England ranks 1st in the NFL. I think nearly a TD is too many points for a good defense like the Bills. Plus the Pats just not scoring like they were. I'm taking the Bills. |
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12-21-19 | Liberty +4.5 v. Georgia Southern | 23-16 | Win | 100 | 27 h 2 m | Show | |
Cure Bowl action here on Saturday from Orlando Florida has the Liberty Flames taking on Georgia Southern Eagles. Liberty finished the season 7-5 to become bowl eligible. Liberty in just its 2nd season in the FBS and their first ever bowl trip here on Saturday. The highlight of the season for Georgia Southern this year was a big win over Appalachian State on the road, 24-21. After that big win, it was a flat rest of the season with just a 2-2 record. Liberty has the 31st ranked offense with 33.7 points per game this year. They have a balanced offense both through the air and on the ground. Georgia Southern is a better running team than passing. This is evidenced by a 8th ranked nationally rushing game. I look for a shootout here and that favors Liberty. They don't want to let GSU take this to a ball control game. I'm taking Liberty here on Saturday. |
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12-20-19 | Kent State v. Utah State OVER 67.5 | 51-41 | Win | 100 | 55 h 29 m | Show | |
Frisco Bowl opens one of the first bowl games of the season. Kent State just did become Bowl eligible at 6-6 overall and 5-3 in the MAC. They will take on Utah State of the Mountain West conference who was 7-5 S/U on the season. The Flashes have not been a good team in recent seasons with a 2-10 records in both 2017 and 2018. They improved this season to get back to a bowl. The Flashes ended the regular season ranked 77th in offense. Utah State was ranked 50th in offense. Kent State ha been a decent over team this year with a 6-4 O/U record and 3 of their last 4 going over. Utah State has gone over in two straight games and four of their last five games. I expect this to be a high scoring game here on Friday. Take OVER. |
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12-16-19 | Colts v. Saints OVER 46.5 | Top | 7-34 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 56 m | Show |
Both these teams had rough losses last week and look to bounce back here tonight. The Colts are 6-7 and have lost five of their last six games. They had hopes of a playoff spot until this recent bad run. They lost last week at the Bucs, 35-38 and allowed 542 yards of offense. The Saints have clinched the NFC South but have given up the NFC best record. They also came out on the losing end of a shootout last week at home to the 49ers, 46-48. The Saints defense is banged-up, losing two defensive linemen in Sheldon Rankins and Marcus Davenport - both will miss rest of season. Defense probably won't be on display here today. I'm taking the over and enjoying the show. Play OVER. |
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12-15-19 | Bills v. Steelers UNDER 37 | 17-10 | Win | 100 | 53 h 33 m | Show | |
Sunday night action is a big AFC battle between two teams looking for wild card berths as the Steelers host the Bills. The Bills are 9-4 and trail the Patriots by one game in the AFC East. The Steelers are 8-6 and while they have no hope at the AFC North, they are in a fight with Tennessee for that 2nd Wild Card spot. The Bills lost a tough one at home last week to the Ravens, 17-24, narrowly missing the cover as a 6-point dog. The Bills have now gone under in three straight and 10 of their 13 games. This is thanks to a 3rd ranked defense. The Steelers have the 5th ranked defense. I like both these defenses to dominate here today. I'm taking the UNDER. |
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12-15-19 | Broncos v. Chiefs UNDER 45.5 | 3-23 | Win | 100 | 45 h 15 m | Show | |
The Denver Broncos have the 27th ranked offense this season, but since they made the move to QB Drew Lock two weeks ago they have looked very good offensively. Lock had missed the season to that point with an injury or this could have been a much different season with all the close games the Broncos have lost. Denver's defense is still good, not great, ranked 12th in the league. They will contend with the 6th ranked offense here in Kansas City. QB Patrick Mahomes should play today, though he has been nursing a bad hand which could impact his performance today. KC has gone under in two of its last three games as the defense has played much better, not allowing more than 17 in any of those three contests. The Chiefs have the division locked up with a 9-4 record and Oakland sitting second at 6-7. That could come into play since Baltimore will have home field with the conference best record at 12-2. I'm going to take the under here today. Play UNDER. |
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12-15-19 | Texans v. Titans OVER 51 | 24-21 | Loss | -110 | 45 h 14 m | Show | |
Huge game here on Sunday in the AFC South as both Houston and Tennessee are tied at 8-5 in the division. The winner takes over the division while the lose could miss the playoffs. Houston had a big letdown last week after beating New England the week before. The Texas lost at home to Denver, 24-38. They have two games left with Tennessee so they have their own destiny in their hands. Same for Tennessee, with two of their last three vs Houston this is a huge game. Tennessee's offense has been great since putting Ryan Tannehill in at QB. The Titans have score 35, 42, 31 and 42 and points with Tannehill. They have also gone over in seven straight games. This one really looks likes a shootout. Both teams have dynamic offenses. I'm taking the OVER. |
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12-15-19 | Bears v. Packers UNDER 41 | 13-21 | Win | 100 | 45 h 14 m | Show | |
The Chicago Bears offense finally looks to be clicking. After a season of misses, QB Mitch Trubisky has been connecting with his receivers, Miller and Robinson. The result was a nice win at home last week over Dallas, 31-24. The defense has been good, not great. They have had injuries on the defense that have hurt what looked like one of the best in the league. Now they face the Packers, who they faced in week 1 of the season when they lost at home 3-10. The Packers have gone under in four of their last five games. The offense has hit over 24 points just once in that span. Last week they beat Washington at home, 20-15, but failed to cover the 12 1/2 point line. Despite being led by future Hall-of-famer Aaron Rodgers, the offense ranks just 23rd in the league. Chicago still ranks just 29th. In reality, both teams are probably better defensively then offensively. I'm taking the UNDER here today as I expect a repeat of a low scoring game. Play UNDER. |
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12-15-19 | Broncos +11.5 v. Chiefs | 3-23 | Loss | -135 | 45 h 13 m | Show | |
The Denver Broncos have the 27th ranked offense this season, but since they made the move to QB Drew Lock two weeks ago they have looked very good offensively. Lock had missed the season to that point with an injury or this could have been a much different season with all the close games the Broncos have lost. Denver's defense is still good, not great, ranked 12th in the league. They will contend with the 6th ranked offense here in Kansas City. QB Patrick Mahomes should play today, though he has been nursing a bad hand which could impact his performance today. KC has gone under in two of its last three games as the defense has played much better, not allowing more than 17 in any of those three contests. The Chiefs have the division locked up with a 9-4 record and Oakland sitting second at 6-7. That could come into play since Baltimore will have home field with the conference best record at 12-2. That being said and the fact that Lock has looked great and injected some enthusiasm into this Broncos team, I'm taking the points here today. Take Denver. |
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12-15-19 | Seahawks -6 v. Panthers | Top | 30-24 | Push | 0 | 50 h 27 m | Show |
The Seahawks NFC West division hopes were dealt a blow last week as they lost to the Rams in a key contest. The Hawks dropped to 10-3, now a game back of the 49ers. The Rams are just two games back of the Hawks at 8-5 and hold that head-to-head advantage. The Hawks have Carolina this week, at home vs Arizona next week and then finish with a big game at home vs the 49ers in the final week. Seattle looks to bounce back here at Carolina this week. The Panthers got beat bad last week at Atlanta, 20-40. It was the team's fifth straight loss. Carolina allowed 461 yards and turned the ball over four times in their loss at Atlanta. The Panthers just not a good team at this point and Seattle has a lot on the line. Take Seattle. |
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12-08-19 | Seahawks v. Rams OVER 47 | 12-28 | Loss | -121 | 21 h 52 m | Show | |
Seattle and San Francisco both tied in the NL West at 10-2. The difference is that Seattle has just a +36 point differential and the 49ers have a +166. Still. Seattle finds ways to win. Seattle beat Minnesota on MNF last week. 37-30 despite trailing at the half. It was the clubs fourth straight cover. They have also gone over in three of their last four games. Seattle had 444 yards of offense in that game. The Seahawks now have the league's 3rd top offense. Their defense, well it ranks 24th, hence the low point differential. The LA Rams are in desperate need of a win. A loss and any hope of the post season is gone. The Rams have the league's 10th ranked offense and 12th defense. Last week they played great, beating Arizona on the road, 34-7. I think today's game is going to be a shootout. I'm taking the OVER. |
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12-08-19 | Titans v. Raiders OVER 47 | 42-21 | Win | 100 | 17 h 58 m | Show | |
Not sure what has happened to the Oakland Raiders. They beat Cincinnati three weeks ago, 17-10 for their third win in a row. Then they bot beat at the Jets, 3-34 and then last week Kansas City beat them, 9-40. The Raiders held the Chiefs to just 259 yards, which is great, but gave up 40-point, mainly because of three turnovers. If you just looked at the stats, the Raiders should have been right in that game. Those two losses dropped them to 6-6 as they host the Titans today. The Titans are 7-5 and looking to get a Wild Card. They are battling with Pittsburgh right now, but the Raiders and Colts are both just a game back. That means a loss today by Oakland and the Raiders playoff hopes probably are gone. Since Ryan Tannehill took over the Titans they have been great. They beat the Colts last week on the road, 31-17, despite almost 100 yards fewer than Indianapolis. The Titans have been a great over team since Tannehill took over. They have gone over in six straight games, thanks to an offense that has scored 27 points or more in five of those games. The defense hasn't been great, but the offense has been. Today, I look for a lot of points from both teams. I'm taking the OVER. |
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12-08-19 | Steelers v. Cardinals UNDER 43.5 | 23-17 | Win | 100 | 17 h 57 m | Show | |
With just four regular season games left, the Pittsburgh Steelers increased their odds of grabbing one of the Wild Card slots with a big win over Cleveland last week, 20-13. The Steelers are 7-5 now and tied with the Tennessee Titans for that last playoff spot. That makes all these game of great importance as they have a huge impact on their postseason chances. The Steelers defense has held three of the last four opponents to 13 points or fewer. Arizona got manhandled last week at home by the LA Rams, 7-34. They never were in that game, failing to come close to the +2.5-point line. Arizona has now allowed 28 or more points in each of their last five games. Arizona is now dead last in overall defense in the NFL. Pittsburgh's defense has climbed to 6th in the league now, though the offense is ranked 28th. This game has a lot more importance to the Steelers. That being said, I don't have a lot of confidence in this Steelers team to get a lot of points. They seem to be content to be conservative and let their defense win them games. Even though Arizona has the worst overall defense, they should be able to keep Pittsburgh from scoring a lot here on Sunday. I look for a low scoring close game. Play the UNDER. |
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12-08-19 | Steelers v. Cardinals | 23-17 | Win | 100 | 17 h 56 m | Show | |
With just four regular season games left, the Pittsburgh Steelers increased their odds of grabbing one of the Wild Card slots with a big win over Cleveland last week, 20-13. The Steelers are 7-5 now and tied with the Tennessee Titans for that last playoff spot. That makes all these game of great importance as they have a huge impact on their postseason chances. The Steelers defense has held three of the last four opponents to 13 points or fewer. Arizona got manhandled last week at home by the LA Rams, 7-34. They never were in that game, failing to come close to the +2.5-point line. Arizona has now allowed 28 or more points in each of their last five games. Arizona is now dead last in overall defense in the NFL. Pittsburgh's defense has climbed to 6th in the league now, though the offense is ranked 28th. This game has a lot more importance to the Steelers. I'm taking them here with the much better defense. Play Pittsburgh. |
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12-08-19 | 49ers +2.5 v. Saints | 48-46 | Win | 100 | 14 h 33 m | Show | |
Ever since Drew Brees has returned to the NO Saints, this club has look out of sorts. They just haven't been as fluid as they looked with Teddy Bridgewater running the show. Now, they may have to play without two starting offensive linemen who are hurt. That not only will hurt the running game, but pass protection. The 49ers lost a tough game last week in a driving rain at Baltimore 17-20 on a last second field goal by Justin Tucker. The loss drops the 49ers into a tie with the Seahawks at 10-2. No doubt that the 49ers will make the playoffs, but there is a big difference between a Wild Card and the best record in the NFC. So these last four games of the regular season are of utmost importance to the 49ers. The 49ers have the best point differential in the NFC with a +166 mark. Compare that to the Seahawks who they are tied with at just +36. The Saints are also 10-2 and have a +50 differential. Right now I believe the 49ers are a better team than the Saints. I look for the 49ers to be more hungry to win this game on Sunday. I'm taking San Francisco. |
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12-08-19 | Bengals v. Browns OVER 41.5 | 19-27 | Win | 100 | 14 h 32 m | Show | |
The return of Andy Dalton to the Bengals starting QB spot seemed to be just the shot in the arm that Cincinnati needed to get their first win of the season. The Bengals beat the NY Jets, 22-6. It was the club's third spread win in a row however. It was also the first time the Bengals cracked the 20-point mark in the last seven games and just the third time all season long. Now they hit the road to play the Browns. Cleveland saw it's playoff hopes take a major hit last week as they lost at Pittsburgh, 13-20. Not sure what to make of this Browns team. They have plenty of talent on both sides of the ball. They have major playmakers at both Wide receive spots and two excellent running backs to go with Baker Mayfield. Yet they continue to underachieve. They do have three somewhat easy games left of their four, with Cincinnati twice, at Arizona and home vs the Ravens. They really need to win out to have a chance at one of those Wild Card slots. I do think today these teams will put some points on the board. Cleveland has shown they can score big and with Dalton back in the saddle the Bengals should do better on offense. Play the OVER today. |
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12-07-19 | Wisconsin v. Ohio State OVER 56.5 | 21-34 | Loss | -109 | 34 h 53 m | Show | |
Big 10 Championship from Indianapolis, IN has Wisconsin taking on the nation's top ranked team in Ohio State. Wisconsin is coming off a win over Minnesota last week, 38-17. It was the team's fourth win since they lost to these Buckeyes back on October 26th, 7-38. The Wisconsin offense is ranked 35th in the country and is predominantly a running team, averaging 244 yards per game. The defense comes in ranked 6th in the country. They will have their work cut out for them today against the 5th ranked offense of Ohio State. Ohio State also has the nation's top ranked defense, holding rushing teams to just 91 yards on the ground. Ohio State scored 38 points last meeting between these teams. In fact, the last three four meetings Ohio State hasn't scored fewer than 27 points. If we can get 14 to 21 out of Wisconsin then this game will go over. That's what I'm playing here on Saturday, the OVER. |
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12-07-19 | Wisconsin v. Ohio State -15.5 | Top | 21-34 | Loss | -107 | 34 h 54 m | Show |
Big 10 Championship from Indianapolis, IN has Wisconsin taking on the nation's top ranked team in Ohio State. Wisconsin is coming off a win over Minnesota last week, 38-17. It was the team's fourth win since they lost to these Buckeyes back on October 26th, 7-38. The Wisconsin offense is ranked 35th in the country and is predominantly a running team, averaging 244 yards per game. The defense comes in ranked 6th in the country. They will have their work cut out for them today against the 5th ranked offense of Ohio State. Ohio State also has the nation's top ranked defense, holding rushing teams to just 91 yards on the ground. I'm looking for a repeat of the first meeting where Ohio State dominated. I'm having no problem laying the points here with the Buckeys who have covered three of the last four in this series. Play Ohio State. |
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12-07-19 | Hawaii v. Boise State -13.5 | 10-31 | Win | 100 | 5 h 59 m | Show | |
Boise State is 19th ranked in the nation as they play the Mountain West Championship here today against Hawaii. Boise gets somewhat home field here today with the game being played in Boise. Hawaii already having to make the long trip East to play here today. The Rainbow Warriors have one of the best offenses in the country, ranked 12th thanks in big part to a passing game that racks up 332 yards per game. Hawaii beat Army last week, 52-31. They trailed most of the 1st half before Army went for a 4th and 1 on it's own 32 yard line late in the half and failed, allowing Hawaii to score a TD. It was all Warriors after that. Hawaii is vulnerable to good defenses though, evidenced by their 14 points against San Diego State two weeks prior. I expect a shootout though in this one as Boise has the 29th ranked offense. They get to face a Hawaii defense ranked 94th in the country. Boise has scored 50 or more points in three games this year and 30 or more in nine games. Here on the mainland this Hawaii team doesn't have that huge home field it possesses back on the island. Boise should have little trouble against this poor defense today. Take Boise State and parlay it to the OVER. |
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12-07-19 | Hawaii v. Boise State OVER 65 | 10-31 | Loss | -107 | 5 h 58 m | Show | |
Boise State is 19th ranked in the nation as they play the Mountain West Championship here today against Hawaii. Boise gets somewhat home field here today with the game being played in Boise. Hawaii already having to make the long trip East to play here today. The Rainbow Warriors have one of the best offenses in the country, ranked 12th thanks in big part to a passing game that racks up 332 yards per game. Hawaii beat Army last week, 52-31. They trailed most of the 1st half before Army went for a 4th and 1 on it's own 32 yard line late in the half and failed, allowing Hawaii to score a TD. It was all Warriors after that. Hawaii is vulnerable to good defenses though, evidenced by their 14 points against San Diego State two weeks prior. I expect a shootout though in this one as Boise has the 29th ranked offense. They get to face a Hawaii defense ranked 94th in the country. Boise has scored 50 or more points in three games this year and 30 or more in nine games. Here on the mainland this Hawaii team doesn't have that huge home field it possesses back on the island. Boise should have little trouble against this poor defense today. Take Boise State and parlay it to the OVER. |
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12-07-19 | UL-Lafayette v. Appalachian State UNDER 56.5 | 38-45 | Loss | -110 | 26 h 39 m | Show | |
Early action on Saturday in the Sun Belt Championship from Boone, NC as 21st ranked Appalachian State takes on UL Lafayette. Lafayette didn't get the press that App State did, but they quietly rattled off 10 wins this season. These clubs met back on October 9th, with App State winning, 17-7 and the game going under. Both of last year's meetings also went under and six of the last seven meetings have gone under. App State has seen seven of its last eight games go under thanks in big part to their 19th ranked defense. Lafayette's defense has also been good, holding three of their last five opponents to seven points or fewer. For me, this game is a dead under. I see a repeat of their earlier meeting this year. Take the UNDER. |
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12-06-19 | Oregon v. Utah UNDER 46 | Top | 37-15 | Loss | -109 | 20 h 11 m | Show |
PAC 12 Championship has 13th ranked Oregon taking on 5th ranked Utah. Oregon beat intrastate rival Oregon State last week, 24-10 as a 18.5 point favorite. The Ducks failed to cover the spread for the 2nd straight game. Utah beat Colorado last week, 45-15 as a 28 1/2 point favorite. It was the 8th straight cover for Utah. Their defense is the backbone of this club, holding five of their last seven opponents to 7 points or fewer. Utah has the 3rd ranked overall defense in the country and a redzone efficiency rating of just 55.7%. They will face the 27th ranked offense in Oregon here tonight. For me, a great defense beats a great offense. Utah actually has the better ranked offense too, ranking 25th in the country. But it's the defense I will look for here tonight. I'm taking the UNDER. |
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12-05-19 | Cowboys v. Bears +3 | 24-31 | Win | 100 | 34 h 31 m | Show | |
A bit confused to how Dallas is a road favorite here tonight at Chicago. The Cowboys have lost two straight games, losing last Thanksgiving at home to Buffalo, 15-26 and the week before at New England, 9-13. They play their third good defensive team here tonight, scoring 24 points total their last two weeks. Meanwhile, Chicago has won its last two games and three of the last four. The Bears defeated Detroit on Thanksgiving, 24-20 and the Giants the week before 19-14.The NFC East is just a mess, with the Cowboys leading at 6-6 and the Eagles right behind at 5-7. A loss today by the Cowboys and the division leader won't even be at .500 after this week. The Bears are 6-6 and look like they are out of any playoff implications. That doesn't mean they won't want to deal the Cowboys a blow here today. The Cowboys have the league's top ranked overall offense, but it sure hasn't looked that way the last few weeks. This team looks all out of sorts and now they look to have a lame duck head coach to top it all off. I'm going to take the points here with the Bears on Thursday and expect them to win outright. Play Chicago. |
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12-02-19 | Vikings v. Seahawks -2.5 | 30-37 | Win | 100 | 21 h 57 m | Show | |
The Seattle Seahawks will likely make the postseason as they sit at 9-2. However, they can catch the 49ers at 10-2 with a win tonight over Minnesota as the 49ers lost on Sunday to the Ravens. What is more surprising is that Seattle is 3-2 at home this year and 6-0 on the road. Minnesota can also climb into a tie in the NFC North division with the Green Bay Packers with a win here today that would make both teams 9-3 on the season. The Vikings needed a big come from behind victory two weeks ago to defeat the Broncos, 27-23. The club had last week off to prepare for this game. Seattle has won four straight games after beating the Eagles on the road last week, 17-9. Seattle is now 11-5-1 ATS their last 17 vs the NFC and 10-4-1 ATS their last 15 on Monday Night football. I like the home team here tonight. Take Seattle. |
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12-01-19 | Patriots v. Texans UNDER 46.5 | 22-28 | Loss | -109 | 22 h 60 m | Show | |
Sunday Night NFL here as the new youth QB's in Houston's Watson faces the old dog in the Patriots' Tom Brady. This looks to be one of the best games on the board for Sunday. However, word has it that the illness bug is making its way through the Patriots locker room. As of last count, 17 players have been infected. What does this mean? Likely that we are looking at a low scoring game. The Patriots already have one of the top defenses in the league, now if you throw that illness bug into some offensive players and you have the recipe for a hard-fought, lower scoring game. I'm going to take the direction here in the Sunday Night game. Take the UNDER. |
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12-01-19 | Raiders +13 v. Chiefs | 9-40 | Loss | -117 | 18 h 10 m | Show | |
On paper this looks to be shootout with the poor defense of the Raiders and the high flying Chiefs offense. However, mother nature will be raring her ugly head a bit here in the form of some winds. Wind affects totals and sides more than rain or even snow. Winds, especially cross winds can hurt field goals and passing games. That being said, we can throw out all kinds of stats to play this game over or the favorite in this one. For me, I expect the winds to cause these teams to be a bit more conservative than usual. That being said, the +10.5 points for the Raiders might be a bit much if the scoring isn't going to be as high as normal. I'm taking a chance on the dog here. Play the Oakland Raiders. |
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12-01-19 | Chargers v. Broncos UNDER 38 | 20-23 | Loss | -109 | 18 h 8 m | Show | |
The Denver Broncos have to be one of the most snake-bit teams in the NFL. They have held many 4th quarter leads, only to lose all but a couple. The defense has been good, not great by their previous standards, but still good enough to rank 10th overall in the league. Now they face the Chargers, who have the 5th ranked defense in the league and the 13th ranked offense. Denver ranks 26th in offense and is without QB Joe Flacco. The last four meetings between these clubs have all gone UNDER, including this year's meeting in LA that was a 20-13 Chargers win. Denver will be very conservative here and the Chargers rely more on their defense these days then the offense. I'm taking UNDER here today. |
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12-01-19 | Raiders v. Chiefs UNDER 50.5 | 9-40 | Win | 100 | 18 h 8 m | Show | |
On paper this looks to be shootout with the poor defense of the Raiders and the high flying Chiefs offense. However, mother nature will be raring her ugly head a bit here in the form of some winds. Wind affects totals more than rain or even snow. Winds, especially cross winds can hurt field goals and passing games. That being said, we can throw out all kinds of stats to play this game over. But for me, with this cross wind I'm going to use this high total and take the UNDER. The game opened 54.5 and is now 50 to 50 1/2. Still, that's plenty high enough for me. Play UNDER. |
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12-01-19 | Redskins v. Panthers -10 | 29-21 | Loss | -102 | 15 h 45 m | Show | |
The Washington Redskins are 2-9 on the season, but looking for win number two in a row here today at Carolina. They beat the Lions last week, 19-16 at home. Rookie QB Dwayne Haskins has looked terrible in that role, but the Redskins are sticking with the young QB. Haskins has 654 total yards with two TD's and six INT's. The Skins defense ranks 20th and don't put too much into that 16 points they allowed to the Lions. Detroit was playing with backup QB Driskell. The Panthers gave New Orleans all it could handle last week, losing on the road 31-34. That coming after a horrible outing at home the previous week against Atlanta which they scored just three points. Washington has been outscored in every quarter this year. I don't have much faith in the Washington QB here on the road today. Carolina still has a solid defense that can give Haskins all kinds of problems. I'm laying the points with the home team here on Sunday. Play Carolina. |
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12-01-19 | Packers v. Giants OVER 44 | 31-13 | Push | 0 | 15 h 44 m | Show | |
The Green Bay Packers offense was embarrassed by the San Francisco 49ers last week, managing just eight points in the blowout loss, 8-37. The offense has not been firing on all cylinders of late, scoring 11, 24 and 8 the last three weeks. QB Aaron Rodgers and crew managed just 198 yards vs the 49ers stout defense. That should change here today against a Giants defense that ranks 27th in the league. I have to feel that the Packers will want to get things moving in the right direction here again today. The Giants have allowed 30 or more points to four of their last six opponents. The Giants should get their own share here today at home. That's why I'm taking the OVER. |
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12-01-19 | Browns v. Steelers UNDER 39.5 | 13-20 | Win | 100 | 15 h 44 m | Show | |
It's the rematch here today as the Steelers host the Browns. It was only a few weeks ago that the Browns humiliated the Steelers on the field and then we had that malay on the last play between Mason Rudolph and Myles Garrett that resulted in many suspensions and massive fines to both teams and players. Here today, Rudolph (while not suspended) finds himself riding the bench after another poor performance last week. This is a huge game for both teams. A Cleveland win and they are 6-6 and hold the tiebreaker over the Steelers and sit pretty for a Wild Card slot. With two games against the Bengals left on the schedule, Cleveland can almost write themselves into the postseason with a win here today. Devlin Hodges will start at QB for the Steelrs. But the Steelers offensive woes may go much deeper than just Rudolph. They have scored 40 total points the last three games and seven of those were by the defense. I think Hodges and the Steelers play a very conservative game and look to not make mistakes. This is going to be a low scoring game that could go either way. For me, I'm taking the UNDER. |
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11-30-19 | Arizona +14 v. Arizona State | 14-24 | Win | 100 | 33 h 50 m | Show | |
Late game here as Arizona takes on rival Arizona State. Arizona has lost three straight to drop to 5-6. The Wildcats offense has generated just 13 total points the last two games vs Utah and Oregon. Arizona State broke a four-game losing streak with a upset win over Oregon last week, 31-28 as 14.5-point favorites. That win made the Sun Devils season and I can't help believe they will be in for a huge let down this week. This matchup has been a shootout the last five years with four of those going over the total and the one under they combined for 72 points and went under the 75 total. I still believe ASU got their big win last week and this week they will be in a let down mode. take the visitor, Arizona U. |
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11-30-19 | Oklahoma v. Oklahoma State OVER 68.5 | 34-16 | Loss | -109 | 31 h 55 m | Show | |
This one promises to be an exhibition in offense today as rivals from the State of Oklahoma face off today in Stillwater. Oklahoma has the nation's top ranked overall offense with Oklahoma State coming in at 13th. Heisman front runner Jalen Hurts has been amazing for the Sooners this year. Hurts has been a more efficient QB than both Kyler Murray and Baker Mayfield were. Oklahoma has won four straight in this series and five of the last six. For me, I'm going to stick with the OVER in this game. I fully expect these teams to be well into the 70's before this one is over. Play the OVER. |
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11-30-19 | Alabama v. Auburn UNDER 50 | 45-48 | Loss | -110 | 26 h 30 m | Show | |
It's the Iron Bowl, one of the nation's biggest rivalries between Alabama and Auburn. Alabama is ranked 5th in the playoff picture and looking to get back into that top 4. They might need a convincing win here today to just do that. Auburn is 8-3 and while they won't figure in the Final Four, they will be going to a nice bowl game. Starting QB Tua Tagovailoa is done for the year with that hip injury. The defense is young and not as dominant as in the past. Auburn's losses this year, have all come to teams ranked 11th or better. The Tigers have averaged just 18.5 points vs ranked teams this year and in their three losses just 15.7 ppg. The Tigers have struggled against good teams and that's what I'm looking for here today. I'm take the UNDER. |
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11-30-19 | Ohio State v. Michigan +9.5 | 56-27 | Loss | -110 | 23 h 54 m | Show | |
Huge game here today for top ranked Ohio State. A loss to their bitter rivals, Michigan, and it will be interesting to see if they drop from the Playoff final four - though I doubt they would. Still, Ohio State has the nation's top rated defense with Michigan ranked 4th. Ohio State has the 6th ranked offense with Michigan coming in at 69th. Michigan getting more than a TD at home here is very tough to pass on. Michigan has covered three of the last five years, though OSU has won all five of those. I'm taking the points here today in what looks to be the best game on the board. Play Michigan. |
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11-30-19 | Louisville +3.5 v. Kentucky | 13-45 | Loss | -110 | 23 h 49 m | Show | |
Louisville is bowl eligible, but would like nothing better than to end its season with a big win over its rivals, Kentucky. Louisville has been a potent offense, scoring 30 points or more six times this year including last game in a big win over Syracuse, 56-34. Kentucky is 6-5 S/U on the season and last week had a easy win over Tennessee Martin, 50-7. The road team has covered the last five meetings between these rivals and that's what I'm looking for again here today. Play Louisville. |
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11-30-19 | Florida International v. Marshall -7.5 | 27-30 | Loss | -110 | 23 h 48 m | Show | |
Florida International 6-5 S/U and 3-6-1 ATS on the season. FIU looks like they are bowl bound after beating Miami Florida last time out, 30-24. Fla Intl has the 62nd ranked defense in the country with Marshall ranking slightly better at 46th. FIU offense comes in at 93rd in the country with Marshall at 65th. Marshall is 7-4 S/U and 4-7 ATS on the season. I'll lay the 7 1/2 or 8 points here with Marshall. |
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11-29-19 | Cincinnati v. Memphis -11 | Top | 24-34 | Loss | -110 | 15 h 47 m | Show |
We could be seeing a preview of the AAC Championship game here on Friday as Memphis plays Cincinnati. A Memphis win here on Friday means that Cincinnati would have to stay in town and play the AAC Championship next week. A Cincinnati win means they get to host the AAC Championship and that would either be against Navy or these Memphis Tigers. Memphis has scored at least 42 points in each of its last five games, including last week's win over South Florida, 49-10. Cincinnati is more a of the defensive team, holding each of its last three opponents to 17 points or fewer. This looks to be a great matchup on Friday, but more at state here for Memphis. I will take the Tigers in this one. Play Memphis. |
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11-28-19 | Bills +7 v. Cowboys | 26-15 | Win | 100 | 17 h 35 m | Show | |
Lots of discourse in Big D this week after they laid an egg last week at New England. The Cowboys lost to the Patriots, 9-13 despite out-gaining the Pats, 321-282 yards. The Cowboys rushed for 109 yards, but just couldn't pull out the win. Jerry Jones may have had it with his head coach and could be shopping. Problem is, the Cowboys played the 2nd ranked defense in the NFL last week and now face the 3rd ranked defense in the Bills. Dallas is no slouch though, ranking 6th themselves on defense. The good news for Dallas is that they still are tied for the best offense in the league with 433 yards per game. That will be tested here today against this stubborn Bills defense. Buffalo has allowed over 21 points just one time all season and that was 31 points to Philadelphia. The Bills look to have a solid hold on one of the Wild Card slots at 8-3. Dallas needs a win here to stay ahead of Philly who is just one game back of the Cowboys for the NFC East division. I like the points here, the Bills just don't allow enough points and this touchdown looks like a mountain to climb for Dallas. Play the Bills. |
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11-28-19 | Bears v. Lions UNDER 38.5 | 24-20 | Loss | -110 | 37 h 31 m | Show | |
Thanksgiving day matchup here to start your Thursday early as the Bears take on the Lions. The Lions likely will be without QB Mathew Stafford again, as the QB has been out for weeks now with a hip injury. Officially Stafford is listed as doubtful for today's contest. The Lions lost last week for the fourth week in a row, this time at Washington, 16-19. The Lions lost the game despite holding the Redskins to just 230 total yards. Turnovers though did them in, with four give aways in the contest.The Chicago offense looked pathetic for the entire first half last week against the Giants, before Mitchell Trubisky finally connected with Robinson in the 2nd half for some big yards and a come from behind win at home, 19-14. Still, the offense hasn't scored more than 20 points in any of their last five games and they have now gone under in five straight. The defense is good, not great like everyone expected. They did hold the Giants to just 243 total yards though. Chicago has the 4th overall ranked defense in the NFL. This won't bode well for Lions QB Keff Driskel who has not looked all that good and is now injured himself with a hamstring problem. Driskel is day-to-day right now and on this short week will have his hands full with this Bears defense if he does play. Considering the Lions haven't signed another QB, I'd say Driskel will give it a go on Thursday. With that I'm looking for this game to go UNDER the total. |
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11-25-19 | Ravens -3 v. Rams | Top | 45-6 | Win | 100 | 22 h 27 m | Show |
Baltimore has scored 90 points the last two games, 49-13 over Cincinnati and then last week over Houston, 41-7. The Ravens have covered four straight games and their offense has at least 30 points in each of those games. The Ravens now have the league's second best offense at 445 yards per game. The Ravens are 1st in rushing yards per game in the league with 204 per game. The Rams offense has dropped to 13th with Todd Gurley and Jared Goff both under-performing this year. The Ravens are about a 3-point road favorite here today. The Ravens offense has been hitting on all cylinders. Can't say the same about the Rams. Ever since Goff signed that big contract he's performed well below his last two seasons. The Rams have 29 total points the last two weeks, though they did win at home over Chicago last week, 17-7. The Rams offense continues to drop in the rankings and I believe they will have issues keeping up with the Ravens potent attack here tonight. I'm taking the Ravens and laying the field goal. |
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11-24-19 | Packers +3.5 v. 49ers | 8-37 | Loss | -120 | 32 h 52 m | Show | |
Great matchup here between the league's second rated defense in San Francisco and the Aaron Rodgers led Packers offense. The Packers had last week off to prepare for this game after winning the prior week over Carolina, 24-16 as a 4.5 point favorite. San Francisco looked like they were going to go to another OT last week vs the Cardinals with seconds remaining and down by three points. However, a breakout run led to a TD and a four point lead with seconds to play. Then the improbable happened with Arizona, trying backward passes with no time left on the clock, let the 49ers take the ball and score another touchdown. The 49ers scored 13 points in the last 40 seconds of the game for a very improbable push of the 10-point line. The 49ers have now covered just one time in their last five games. The defense has also allowed at least 25 points in each of their last three games. Anytime a team has an extra week to prepare, especially a good team like the Packers, I'll take that team. Play Green Bay. |
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11-24-19 | Packers v. 49ers OVER 47.5 | 8-37 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 34 m | Show | |
Great game here tonight on national television as two of the best in the NFC meet as the 49ers host the Packers. I really love the over in this contest. The Packers had last week off to prepare and when they do that you know Aaron Rodgers and Company will have it dialed up for some points here tonight. The 49ers have the league's 2nd best defense, but lately they have been giving up points. They have gone over in four straight games with 25 points or more allowed to Seattle and Arizona twice. These clubs met last year and they scored 63 points at Green Bay. Green Bay has gone over in 20 of their last 28 road games. In addition, these clubs have eon over in 7 of their last nine meetings. I'm taking the OVER again here tonight. |
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11-24-19 | Seahawks +1.5 v. Eagles | 17-9 | Win | 100 | 25 h 32 m | Show | |
Seattle Seahawks having a fine season as they look to either catch San Francisco for the NFC West or grab a wild card spot. At 8-2, the Hawks are one game back of San Francisco and tied with the Vikings for a Wild Card. The only other team possible close are the Rams and they are two-games back of the Seahawks. Philadelphia in all probability will need to catch the Dallas Cowboys for the NFC East division title if they want to make the playoffs. The Eagles trail Dallas by just one game and Dallas must play at New England this week. The Eagles, at 5-5 really have no shot at a Wild Card slot. The Eagles are laying one-point here on Sunday. I'm afraid I have to side with the much better Seahawks team here. They are just too good with Russell Wilson at the helm. Play Seattle. |
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11-24-19 | Bucs v. Falcons -3.5 | Top | 35-22 | Loss | -109 | 25 h 33 m | Show |
All of a sudden the Atlanta Falcons look like a real NFL team. After a horrible season that saw the club go 1-7 S/U and ATS their first eight games, the team has won back to back games against New Orleans and Carolina. What's even more impressive is that they got both those wins on the road and held the Saints to just nine points and the Panthers to three points. Now they return home where they get another very winable contest against Tampa Bay. The Bucs lost last week to the Saints, 17-34. It was the sixth straight game they have failed to cover the season and the eight straight game they have gone over the total. Tampa Bay's offense is ranked 8th in the league but their defense is ranked 23rd. Atlanta has improved to 10th in the league in offense and 21st in defense. Atlanta is laying 3 1/2 or 4 here today at home. The way the Falcons are playing, I have no problem laying those points. Play Atlanta. |
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11-23-19 | San Diego State +3 v. Hawaii | Top | 11-14 | Push | 0 | 32 h 21 m | Show |
The late game on the college slate for Saturday has 8-2 San Diego State playing at 7-4 Hawaii. Both these clubs will be playing in Bowl games. But I'm a bit surprised to see the very good defensive San Diego State team getting 2 to 3 points in this contest. Hawaii is a very good offensive team, ranked 10th in the country in overall offense. However, they are facing the 8th ranked defense in the country in the Aztecs. This really comes down to just that, can San Diego State contain the Hawaii offense? If they can, they get the win and cover. San Diego State is not a team built to outscore their opponents. I do think a great defense beats great offenses. So I'm taking the dog here on Saturday night. Play San Diego State. |
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11-23-19 | Oregon v. Arizona State +14 | 28-31 | Win | 100 | 29 h 50 m | Show | |
Number 6 ranked Oregon takes its 9-1 record on the road to Arizona State this evening. The Ducks still hoping to make that final four playoff group, though it looks like a very long shot at this point. Oregon's only loss of the season came way back in week one to Auburn, 21-27, a game they could have easily won. The Ducks are 6-3 ATS since that game and are off a win at home over Arizona, 34-6. The Ducks offense is ranked 23rd in the country right now and the defense comes in at 14th. Arizona State is off a loss at Oregon State, 34-35. It was the team's four straight spread loss. The team also dropped to 5-5 and needs another win to possibly be bowl eligible. The Sun Devils are a double-digit home dog here tonight and would like nothing better than a huge upset win over Oregon. I don't expect that, but I do expect them to be competitive. Take the 14-points with the home team here. Play Arizona State. |
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11-23-19 | Texas +6 v. Baylor | 10-24 | Loss | -110 | 25 h 55 m | Show | |
A nice Big 12 matchup here today as 6-4 Texas travels to No 14. Baylor. Texas had a tough loss last week, losing at Iowa State 21-23 but covering the 7-point dog line. The Longhorns will be bowling this year but would like to upset Baylor here today. Baylor is 9-1 on the season and is laying around 6-points here today. The Bears fell from the ranks of the unbeaten last week with a home loss to Oklahoma, 31-34. They covered the 10-point line, but still little consolation for Baylor in that heartbreaking loss. Baylor now will be playing for a decent bowl game as they play Texas this week and then close out against Kansas next week. I am going to take the points here today. I have to feel Baylor will be in for a letdown with that perfect season now gone and really nothing else left to play for. Take Texas. |
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11-23-19 | Michigan v. Indiana +10 | 39-14 | Loss | -115 | 25 h 49 m | Show | |
13th ranked Michigan hits the road today for a game at Indiana. Michigan will be laying 9 1/2 points in this one, but they better not get over confident. They are facing the best passing attack in the Big 10 in Indiana. Michigan has won three straight games in easy fashion since their loss to Penn State four weeks ago, 21-28. Since then they have beaten Notre Dame 45-14, Maryland 38-7 and last week over Michigan State, 44-10. The one problem this week is that they might be looking past this Indiana club to next week's showdown with Ohio State. They better be careful here today against this Indiana team. The Hoosiers gave Penn State all it could handle last week, losing 27-34 on the road as a 14-point dog. The Hoosiers offense is ranked 31st in the country to thanks to their Big 10 best passing offense. Indiana has score 30 or more points in eight of their 10 games. These points look like a gift here today, especially with Ohio State up next on the Michigan slate. Take Indiana. |
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11-22-19 | Colorado State +7 v. Wyoming | 7-17 | Loss | -130 | 9 h 33 m | Show | |
Colorado State lost last week at home to Air Force, 21-38. That snapped a three game win streak for the Rams and also a spread run of three wins. The Rams have covered five of their last seven games. The Rams can still become bowl eligible but they need big wins over Wyoming and Boise, both tough games. Wyoming has an excellent defense and they have yet to allow any of their last nine opponents more than 26 points. They are coming off a loss last week at Utah State, 21-26. The problem is that they don't score a lot of points. They are a great dog, but covering as a favorite can be a problem when you don't score a lot. Here tonight they are 6 1/2 point favorite. This is a rivalry game with the Rams in nearby Fort Collins Colorado and Wyoming in Laramie. I expect a close game here. Play Colorado State. |
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11-21-19 | Colts +4 v. Texans | 17-20 | Win | 100 | 27 h 38 m | Show | |
The Colts welcomed back QB Jacoby Brissett and thusly posted an impressive win over Jacksonville, 33-13. The only negative was losing RB Marlon Mack to a broken hand. He will be out indefinitely with that injury. The win snapped a 2-game losing streak while Brissett was nursing his own injury. Now they play a big game here on Thursday at Houston. Houston looked thoroughly confused in their loss at Baltimore last week, 7-41. It was billed as a battle of two of the best, young QB's in the league, but it turned out to be a lopsided Ravens win. The Texans have the Patriots up next, so they might not have full attention here on this game tonight. The Colts have covered the last two and four of five in this series with the Texans. The Colts have already beaten the Texans this year in Indy, 30-23. Houston holds the edge in this game offensively, but the Colts have the edge on defense. This should be a great Thursday matchup, but I'm going to take the points with the visitor here. They have a huge edge in coaching in my opinion and we saw that come to light last week in Houston's bad loss at Baltimore. Play Indianapolis. |
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11-21-19 | Colts v. Texans UNDER 45.5 | 17-20 | Win | 100 | 27 h 38 m | Show | |
The Colts welcomed back QB Jacoby Brissett and thusly posted an impressive win over Jacksonville, 33-13. The only negative was losing RB Marlon Mack to a broken hand. He will be out indefinitely with that injury. The win snapped a 2-game losing streak while Brissett was nursing his own injury. Now they play a big game here on Thursday at Houston. Houston looked thoroughly confused in their loss at Baltimore last week, 7-41. It was billed as a battle of two of the best, young QB's in the league, but it turned out to be a lopsided Ravens win. The Texans have the Patriots up next, so they might not have full attention here on this game tonight. The Colts have covered the last two and four of five in this series with the Texans. The Colts have already beaten the Texans this year in Indy, 30-23. Houston holds the edge in this game offensively, but the Colts have the edge on defense. This should be a great Thursday matchup. However, both teams have injuries they are dealing with and I expect a much more conservative contest here tonight. Play the UNDER. |
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11-18-19 | Chiefs v. Chargers +5.5 | 24-17 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 32 m | Show | |
The NFL moves to Mexico City tonight for Monday Night football. The problem here is the elevation, which is over 7,000 feet. The Chargers practiced all week in Denver, which at just over 5,000 foot is still well short of the elevation here tonight. Kansas City finally got back QB Patrick Mahomes after his kneecap injury. Still, the Chiefs lost last week with Mahomes, 32-25 at Tennessee. It was the team's second loss in the last three weeks. The Chiefs are also just 2-5 ATS their last seven games. The Chargers are also off a loss last week, at Oakland, 24-26. Despite having more plays and yards then the Raiders, the Chargers three turnovers and no take aways were the difference in that game. It's a wide open AFC West with both KC and Oakland tied right now at 6-4 and the Chargers at 4-6. Chargers can't afford another loss if they hope to make the postseason. I expect a high scoring game with this one going back and forth all evening. I'm taking the points here today and playing the OVER. Play LA Chargers & the OVER. |
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11-18-19 | Chiefs v. Chargers OVER 52.5 | 24-17 | Loss | -106 | 10 h 32 m | Show | |
The NFL moves to Mexico City tonight for Monday Night football. The problem here is the elevation, which is over 7,000 feet. The Chargers practiced all week in Denver, which at just over 5,000 foot is still well short of the elevation here tonight. Kansas City finally got back QB Patrick Mahomes after his kneecap injury. Still, the Chiefs lost last week with Mahomes, 32-25 at Tennessee. It was the team's second loss in the last three weeks. The Chiefs are also just 2-5 ATS their last seven games. The Chargers are also off a loss last week, at Oakland, 24-26. Despite having more plays and yards then the Raiders, the Chargers three turnovers and no take aways were the difference in that game. It's a wide open AFC West with both KC and Oakland tied right now at 6-4 and the Chargers at 4-6. Chargers can't afford another loss if they hope to make the postseason. I expect a high scoring game with this one going back and forth all evening. I'm taking the points here today and playing the OVER. Play LA Chargers & the OVER. |
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11-17-19 | Cardinals +10.5 v. 49ers | 26-36 | Win | 100 | 18 h 37 m | Show | |
Arizona Cardinals may be dead last in the NFC West at 3-6-1, but this is a team that is improving. All you have to do is look at their last two games. Last week at Tampa they went toe to toe with the Bucs and lost 27-30, but covered the 5.5 point spread. The prior week they gave then unbeaten San Francisco all it could handle in a 25-28 loss, but again covered the 10-point line. In fact, the Cardinals have now covered fie of their last six games. Now they face San Francisco for the second time in three weeks, but this time in Arizona. San Francisco saw it's perfect season come to an end last week in an OT loss at home to Seattle, 24-27. Their backup, rookie kicker had a chance to win the game in OT, but shanked the field goal attempt. San Francisco is just 1-3 ATS in their last four games. The 49ers have the league's 2nd best rated defense. They will have to contain dynamic Arizona QB Kyle Murray, who is proving he is the real deal in the NFL rookie class this year. Murray has the best percentage of NFL Qb's at avoiding pressure this year, 34.1%. Murray has improved wit each game this season and his sack avoiding skills will have to be on high today against the 49er's defense. Murray also has just one pass intercepted in his last four games. I'm going to take the 10 1/2 points here today with the Cardinals. |
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11-17-19 | Bills v. Dolphins +7 | 37-20 | Loss | -125 | 4 h 6 m | Show | |
The Buffalo Bills look to solidify their hold on a AFC Wild Card spot with a game at Miami today. The Bills are 6-3 and trail first place New England by 2-games. The Dolphins, who stared the season 0-7, have won two straight games. Buffalo lost last week at Cleveland, 16-19 as a 3-point dog. Miami won at Indianapolis last week, 16-12, as a 10.5-point dog. Buffalo has covered just one of its last four games while the Dolphins have now covered five straight games. Buffalo is laying anywhere from 6 to 7 points on the road today. The way Miami is covering spreads those points look very generous. I'm taking the Dolphins here on Sunday. |
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11-17-19 | Texans v. Ravens OVER 51.5 | Top | 7-41 | Loss | -105 | 15 h 32 m | Show |
A pair of first place teams meet here on Sunday as the Baltimore Ravens host the Houston Texans. Houston is 6-3 and leads the Colts by one-game in the AFC South. The Ravens are 7-2 and have a 2 1/2 game cushion over the Steelers. Baltimore's offense has been hitting on all cylinders, scoring 30 points or more in each of their last three games, including last week's win over the Bengals, 49-13. Baltimore has the 2nd ranked overall offense in the league. Houston might have something to say in this one, ranking fourth in the NFL in offense. Houston has scored at least 23 points in each of their last five games including two week's ago over Jacksonville, 26-3. The Texans had the week off following their London trip. That should do nothing but help the offense here today. I'm looking for a high scoring game in this one. Play the OVER. |
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11-16-19 | Oklahoma v. Baylor +11 | 34-31 | Win | 100 | 42 h 32 m | Show | |
Undefeated No 12 Baylor hosts No 10 Oklahoma here on Saturday. The Sooners are 8-1 and even though they are on the road against an undefeated and higher ranked team, they are a 10 1/2 point favorite. No doubt Oklahoma will be tough to stop here on Saturday with the nation's top ranked offense in the country. Baylor is no slouch though, ranked 25th in the country. Oklahoma has the 41st ranked defense while Baylor comes in at 31. Oklahoma had a narrow win last week at home over Iowa State, 42-41, failing to cover the 14-point line. The teams only loss came the week prior at Kansas State, 41-48. Baylor had to work hard last week to beat TCU in OT, 29-23. The Bears trailed at the half and needed a 2nd half rally to take the win. The defense has been solid though, allowing over 21 points just two times this season. I don't expect them to be able to contain this Oklahoma offense, but 10 points on the road is too many to lay to an undefeated Bears team on their own turf. Play Baylor. |
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11-16-19 | Stanford v. Washington State -10.5 | 22-49 | Win | 100 | 39 h 32 m | Show | |
PAC-12 matchup as Washington State hosts Stanford. The Stanford Cardinal coming off a loss at home to Colorado, 13-16 as a 3-point favorite. The loss dropped the Cardinal to 4-5 S/U. The Cardinal have a tough slate left with Washington State on tonight, then home games against Cal and Notre Dame. They will have to win some games yet to become bowl eligible. Washington State also coming off a loss to Cal, 20-33. That loss dropped the Cougars to 4-5 and the same remains for them. They have home games with Stanford, Oregon State and then close on the road at Washington. The Cougars have won and covered the last three years of this matchup and covered the last four overall. Washington State has the 7th ranked offense in the nation. The difference in this game is the Washington State offense. I will lay the points at home. Play Washington State. |
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11-16-19 | Minnesota v. Iowa -3 | 19-23 | Win | 100 | 38 h 8 m | Show | |
Iowa almost pulled off the upset win at Wisconsin last week, losing a narrow 22-24 game, but covering the 9.5-point line. The Iowa defense was solid again, though they allowed their most points this year in that game. Only two teams have score 20 or more points against them. No 7 Minnesota kept its perfect season in tap and proved they are for real with a huge home win over Penn State, 31-26. The Gophers quieted many critics who though they might not have been a legit undefeated team. However, they have to worry about the let down this week. They have to travel to Iowa here, a great defensive team. Iowa is a field goal favorite and really I think they are in the perfect spot to pull out the win over the Gophers. Play Iowa. |
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11-16-19 | Texas +7 v. Iowa State | 21-23 | Win | 100 | 38 h 33 m | Show | |
No 22 Texas takes to the road today to play at Iowa State. Texas lost two weeks ago at TCU, 27-37 and rebounded last week at home vs Kansas State, 27-24. The Longhorns are just 1-5 ATS in their last six games. Texas has two straight games on the road with today's game at Iowa State and then at Baylor before closing out the season at home vs Texas Tech. Iowa State dropped its second straight game last week in a shootout with Oklahoma, 41-42. The Cyclones almost pulled the upset win, but came up just short, still covering the two TD line. Iowa State could miss the Bowl season if they aren't careful. They host Texas today before close out at home with Kansas and then a tough road game at Kansas State. Two losses are a distinct possibility for Iowa State. Texas has the 20th ranked offense in the country with Iowa Sate coming in at 18th. This promises to be a high scoring game with these offenses. Texas getting a TD here today to me is just too many points. The Longhorns have too good of an offense to be spotted that many points by this 5-4 Iowa State team. Play Texas. |
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11-16-19 | Georgia -3 v. Auburn | Top | 21-14 | Win | 100 | 38 h 32 m | Show |
Huge game here between ranked teams as No 5 and 8-1 Georgia takes on No 13 and 7-2 Auburn. Georgia cruised to an easy win last week at home over Missouri, 27-0. It was the teams 2nd cover in a row, as improved to 5-4 ATS on the season. This is really Georgia's final tough game. They finish with a home game against Texas A&M and then close on the road at Georgia Tech. They have an outside shot at the Final four, but either way will be in a top Bowl game. Auburn followed their 20-23 loss two weeks ago to LSU with a win last week at home over Ole Miss, 20-14. A little concerning is the offense that has now scored 20 or fewer points in three of the last four games. Two tough games left for the Tigers as they host Georgia today and then Alabama to close the year. Georgia laying a field goal or less is just too much to pass on such a quality club. Play Georgia. |
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11-15-19 | Fresno State v. San Diego State | 7-17 | Loss | -110 | 35 h 9 m | Show | |
Fresno State coming off a tough home loss to Utah State last week, 35-37. The loss dropped the Bulldogs to 4-5 S/U and 3-5-1 ATS. The Bulldogs have to win out to become bowl eligible and it's very possible. Today's game at San Diego State is the key one with a home game against Nevada and closing out at San Jose State left on the slate. San Diego State also coming off a loss last week at home to Nevada, 13-17 as a 17-point favorite. The Aztecs have a excellent defense, but the offense has not been very good. They scored just 20 points against a terrible UNLV defense two weeks ago and then just 13 at home against Nevada last week. The Aztecs rank 8th nationally on defense but just 115th in the country on offense. New Mexico State ranks higher than San Diego State. Fresno ranks 62nd in offense and holds the edge there. This game pick or Fresno a slight favorite. I expect Fresno to put up a good fight here or else their bowl season is gone. Play Fresno State. |
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11-14-19 | Steelers +3 v. Browns | 7-21 | Loss | -120 | 56 h 24 m | Show | |
The Pittsburgh Steelers pulled another upset win last week, beating the Rams at home 17-12. The Steelers won the way they have most of this year, with defense. The win improved the Steelers to 5-4 on the season and 2-games back of division leading Baltimore. However, they are in the thick of things right now for a Wild Card slot in the AFC as just Buffalo has a better record at 6-3. So much hope was put into the Cleveland Browns this year with the addition of Odell Beckham Jr to the receiving corps. However, that really has not materialized as the Browns are just 3-6 on the season. The Browns did win last week, snapping a four-game losing streak with a 19-16 victory over the Bills. The Browns pushed the 3-point chalk line, making them just 2-6-1 ATS on the season. The Steelers are 5-1 ATS their last six vs the AFC North and 9-2-1 ATS their last 12 following a ATS Win. The Browns are 5-21-2 ATS against winning teams their last 28 tries. They are also 0-6-1 ATS their last seven on grass. The dog is 3-1-1 ATS the last five in this series. I expect a good defensive battle here this week and with that I'll be taking the points on Thursday night. Play Pittsburgh. |
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11-11-19 | Seahawks v. 49ers OVER 47 | 27-24 | Win | 100 | 21 h 32 m | Show | |
Reason: Maybe our best MNF matchup of the season has the undefeated 8-0 San Francisco 49ers host their division rivals, 7-2 Seattle Seahawks. The 49ers saw the Patriots perfect season go down last week and they had a scare put into them by the Cardinals. Seattle no longer the great defense of year's past. Now, this is QB Russell Wilson's team. He makes this team go. This is going to be a true test of just how good the San Francisco team and their top ranked defense really is. For me, this game comes down to QB's. Yes, Jimmy Garoppolo is coming into his own this season. However, he's up against the top QB in passer rating in Wilson with a 118. Garoppolo isn't far behind though. In looking at the total in this game your first inkling is to the under. You have this excellent 49ers defense. The 49ers have gone over their last two games, though they did score 51 points against Carolina. Last week Arizona with a rookie QB was able to put 25 on the board. Seattle has the 4th rated offensive unit in the NFL and San Francisco isn't far behind at 7th. Two very good offenses here and I look for this to be higher scoring than most think. I'll take the over here tonight. |
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11-11-19 | Seahawks +7 v. 49ers | 27-24 | Win | 100 | 21 h 32 m | Show | |
Maybe our best MNF matchup of the season has the undefeated 8-0 San Francisco 49ers host their division rivals, 7-2 Seattle Seahawks. The 49ers saw the Patriots perfect season go down last week and they had a scare put into them by the Cardinals. Seattle no longer the great defense of year's past. Now, this is QB Russell Wilson's team. He makes this team go. This is going to be a true test of just how good the San Francisco team and their top ranked defense really is. For me, this game comes down to QB's. Yes, Jimmy Garoppolo is coming into his own this season. However, he's up against the top QB in passer rating in Wilson with a 118. Garoppolo isn't far behind though. My feeling is that getting nearly a TD with a Wilson led team is more than I can pass on. Should be a great game though. Take Seattle. |
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11-10-19 | Rams v. Steelers +4.5 | 12-17 | Win | 100 | 19 h 2 m | Show | |
The LA Rams are coming off a win over the Cincinnati Bengals, 24-10. But that was against the worst defense in the league and they could only score 24. It was their 2nd win in a row though and their second cover. LA is 5-3 S/U and 6-2 ATS on the season. QB Jared Goff has struggled this year, 19th in QB Ratings. The Pittsburgh Steelers look for their third win in a row after last week's win over the Colts, 26-24. QB Mason Rudolph looks recovered from his concussion. As Rudolph and this offense develops from game to game, it's the defense that's been keeping the team in games. The Steelers are going to be tough at home, especially as a dog here. I'm taking the points with the host. Play Pittsburgh. |
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11-10-19 | Panthers +5.5 v. Packers | 16-24 | Loss | -115 | 19 h 2 m | Show | |
The Carolina Panthers coming off a win last week over the Titans, 30-20. It was the team's third win in their last four games. In fact, this Panthers team has score 30 or more points in three of those last four games. In addition, Carolina has covered five of their last six. The Green Bay Packers looked bad last week at the Chargers, losing 11-26. It was the team's worst performance of the season. Still, the Packers are 7-2 S/U and 6-3 ATS on the season. The problem with the Packers is which team do you get this week? The Panthers have been great against the pass this year and will be tested here today against Aaron Rodgers. Expect the Panthers to pound the ball on the ground with all purpose back Christian McCaffrey. I like the points here with the Panthers. This could be a shootout today, but the Panthers have enough weapons to stay close. Take Carolina. |
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11-10-19 | Ravens v. Bengals UNDER 44.5 | 49-13 | Loss | -107 | 16 h 38 m | Show | |
The Baltimore Ravens are 6-2 S/U and 3-4-1 ATS on the season. The Ravens pulled one of the biggest wins of the season last week in beating the previously undefeated Patriots, 37-20. The problem is that this will set up the Ravens for a huge letdown week here. Why would they even care about getting up for a game against the winless Bengals? The Bengals are without a win this year, but have covered three spread. They actually haven't played too poorly giving up points. Even thought Cincinnati has the worst team in allowing yards per game, they have not allowed more than 27 points in any of their last six games. While I won't take the points with the Bengals, I will play the under here today. The Bengals have score more than 17 just once in their last seven games. Look for the Ravens to do just enough to win here today. Play the UNDER. |
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11-10-19 | Cardinals +4.5 v. Bucs | 27-30 | Win | 100 | 16 h 38 m | Show | |
The Arizona Cardinals are 3-5-1 S/U and 6-3 ATS on the season. Rookie QB Kyler Murray continues to shine in the role of starting quarterback. The Cardinals gave a big scare into the undefeated 49ers last week, losing a tough game, 25-28 as a 10-point dog. Tampa Bay is 2-6 both S/U and ATS on the season. The Bucs played very good in Seattle last week and should have covered, losing in OT, 34-40. This team is a bit confusing, they looks great at times and very sloppy at others. They have lost and failed to cover their last four games now. No way the Bucs should be laying these points in this game. The Cardinals are improving game by game and really I believe are the better team right now. Take Arizona. |
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11-10-19 | Lions v. Bears UNDER 39 | 13-20 | Win | 100 | 2 h 58 m | Show | |
Chicago Bears continue to struggle for some offense this year, scoring just 14 and 16 in their last two games. They have gone under those last two games and under in five of their eight games. Today they take on the Detroit Lions and they might have a great shot today. Lions QB Mathew Stafford is out today with a hip injury and lets face it, Stafford is the Lions offense. Without Stafford the Bears should run rough shot over the Lions offense all day long. I don't trust the Bears offense enough to lay the points, but I will take UNDER. |
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11-09-19 | San Jose State +8.5 v. Hawaii | 40-42 | Win | 100 | 22 h 28 m | Show | |
The late game on the board has a pesky San Jose State squad playing at Hawaii late on Saturday. The Spartans are coming off a loss at home to Boise in a shootout, 42-52. The Spartans did cover the 17.5-point line, their second cover in a row. San Jose is 4-5 on the season, but has an outside shot of a Bowl eligible season if they can win here tonight. Meanwhile, Hawaii has lost three of its last four games including last week at home to Fresno State, 38-41. The Warriors give up a lot of points and they also score a lot of points. That's why laying over a TD, as they are tonight, is risky business with this Hawaii club. I believe San Jose has the offense to keep up and therefore I'm taking the points with the visitor. Play San Jose. |
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11-09-19 | Appalachian State v. South Carolina -6 | 20-15 | Loss | -105 | 18 h 27 m | Show | |
Applachian State dropped from the top 25 last week after losing at home to Georgia Southern,21-244 as a 16 1/2 point favorite. It was a huge loss for App State since their defense let them down after holding the previous three opponents to a combined 17 points. Now they have to face a very good South Carolina team on the road. South Carolina is coming off a home win over Vanderbilt, 24-7. The Gamecocks improved to 4-5. It's highly unlikely the Gamecocks will make the postseason since they finish the year against Clemson. Still, this is a team they can beat here on Saturday. I'm laying the points with South Carolina. |
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11-09-19 | Iowa +9.5 v. Wisconsin | 22-24 | Win | 100 | 16 h 32 m | Show | |
Iowa improved to 6-2 with a win last week at Northwestern, 20-0. It was the team's 2nd win in a row. Iowa with three tough games left on the schedule including today's game, then at home against Minnesota and a road game at Nebraska. Wisconsin hung in the first half with Ohio State last week, but the 2nd half was a different store as the Badgers lost, 7-38. It was the team's 2nd straight loss after starting the season 6-0, including holding four of those opponents to no points. The 52 points allowed the last two weeks is more than the previous six games combined. Wisconsin laying 8 1/2 to 9 1/2 here today. That to me is too many points for a team that doesn't have the most dynamic offense in the world. I look for a low scoring game and will take the points. |
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11-09-19 | LSU v. Alabama UNDER 63.5 | 46-41 | Loss | -120 | 51 h 6 m | Show | |
The best game of the season thus far has No 2 LSU playing at No 1 Alabama. Both clubs are a perfect 8-0 and the loser likely will stay in the top 4 for the college playoffs. The big question is whether Alabama QB Tau Taqovailoa will be available for this game. The Heisman hopeful is currently listed as questionable with a ankle injury. Right now I don't think we'll know for sure as he really will be a game time decision. But Mac Jones will get lots of practice this week just in case. The Alabama defense isn't quite as good as year's past. The Tide are currently ranked 16th in overall defense, but have a excellent red-zone efficiency rating of just 60%. LSU has the 23rd ranked defense and also a good red-zone efficiency rating of 64%. Alabama has beaten LSU by double-digits in five of the last six meetings. However, this is a much improved LSU team that has played the much tougher scheduled this year. I'm looking at the UNDER in this game. We see a 63.5 or 64 right now and for me that's just too many points. Yes, both these teams have dynamic offenses that can score a lot of points. However, I think the defenses, which are both excellent, will rise to the top in this contest. The highest total we've seen in this game was a 53.5 and that was last year and they combined for 29-points. The previous four years were all in the mid to upper 40's. I'm taking the under in this and enjoy the game. Play UNDER. |
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11-09-19 | USC v. Arizona State +2.5 | 31-26 | Loss | -105 | 15 h 0 m | Show | |
USC ran into a buzzsaw last week at home in the form of Oregon. The Ducks just had too much offense and beat the Trojans, 56-24. It was the 2nd straight cover loss for USC. ASU covered this game last year, winning at USC 38-35 as a 3-point road dog. USC is 5-4 and has three games left to still become bowl eligible. Meanwhile, ASU has lost two straight games both S/U and ATS. The Sun Devils lost two weeks ago at Utah, 3-21 and then last week at UCLA, 32-42. The Sun Devils started the season 3-0 including a road win at Michigan State. Since then, they are 2-4 and now are 5-4 overall. These are two teams that had much higher expectations for the season. I like the home team here tonight. Take Arizona State. |
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11-09-19 | Louisville +7 v. Miami-FL | 27-52 | Loss | -120 | 50 h 31 m | Show | |
The Louisville Cardinals 5-3 on the season after last week's win at home over Virginia, 28-21 as a 3.5-point dog. The Cardinals are 5-3 vs the spread also this season as they travel to South Florida to take on the Miami Hurricanes. Miami coming off a win over Florida State last week, 27-10. It was the Canes 2nd straight win and their 5th of the season against four losses. The Canes have Louisville as their last home game here on Saturday and then close the regular season with road games at Florida International and Duke. If the Canes want to make a Bowl game, they will need at least two more wins to secure that. These teams have met just one time in the last five years and that was in 2014 with a Louisville home win, 31-13. The 6.5 points with Louisville just too much to pass on here. I'll take the dog. Play Louisville. |
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11-09-19 | Kansas State +7 v. Texas | 24-27 | Win | 100 | 15 h 56 m | Show | |
22nd ranked Kansas State taking on Texas today. Kansas is 6-2 on the season while Texas is 5-3. Kansas State Wildcats are also 6-2 ATs on the season and have won and covered three straight. Texas is coming off a loss at TCU, 27-37. The Longhorns have covered just one of their last five games. K State has covered the last three years against Texas and four of the last five years. I like the road team here today. Play Kansas State. |
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11-08-19 | Central Florida -17 v. Tulsa | 31-34 | Loss | -110 | 53 h 55 m | Show | |
Central Florida will be bowling this year again with a 7-2 S/U record and 4-5 ATS mark. That will mark the fourth consecutive year that the Knights will have gone to the Bowl, first time in their history they have done that. This club ranks ninth in the nation in holding opponents to just 29.4% third down conversions. The Knights have scored 151 points in their last three games. Tulsa is 2-7 S/U on the season and winless in conference play. The club's only two wins this season came against San Jose State and Wyoming. The Golden Hurricane have lost five straight games and have allowed 40 or more points in four games this year. I expect Central Florida to score in bunches here on Friday. They have to lay around 17, but that shouldn't be an issue with this offense. Play Central Florida. |
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11-07-19 | Chargers -1.5 v. Raiders | 24-26 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 40 m | Show | |
The LA Chargers shocked the Green Bay Packers last time out, 26-11 as a 4-point dog. The Chargers actually are playing good defense, allowing 16 and 11 their last two games (both wins). After a terrible spread start that saw the club go 1-5-1 ATS, they have covered their last two games. The Oakland Raiders also coming off a win at home over the Detroit Lions, 31-24. The win snapped a two-game losing streak. The Chargers have the 8th ranked overall defense, compared to Oakland's 27th ranked defense. The Raiders are better offensively, ranked 11th overall with the Chargers coming in a 16th. The Chargers have covered the last four in this series and six of the last seven meetings. I like the Chargers here tonight. Play LA Chargers. |
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11-07-19 | Temple v. South Florida OVER 49 | Top | 17-7 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 9 m | Show |
Temple coming off a loss last week, their second blowout loss in a row. They lost to SMU, 21-45 and then last week lost to UCF, 21-63. In all fairness, those are two of the most prolific offenses that the Owls faced all year. What the Owls do have in their favor is a very uptempo offense. Expect them to run a hurry up offense here tonight on just about every down. That leads to more scoring opportunities. South Florida is coming off a win at home over East Carolina, 45-20. I like these teams to fly over the total here tonight. Play OVER. |
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11-06-19 | Miami-OH +7.5 v. Ohio | 24-21 | Win | 100 | 9 h 55 m | Show | |
Nice rivalry here tonight between two Ohio schools as Miami Ohio plays at Ohio University. Miami is ranked 64th in defense and 123rd in offense. Ohio U ranks 111th in defense and 63rd in offense. Last year Miami won this game on the road, 30-28 as a 3.5 point dog. Miami coming off a win at home over Kent State, 23-16. They have covered two straight games now. A lot on the line in this game as the winner will be in first place in the MAC-East. Miami is 3-1 in conference but only 4-4 overall. Ohio is coming off a win over Ball State, 34-21. Ohio is also 3-1 in conference and 4-4 overall. Ohio is a 7-point favorite here tonight. I really expect a close game and with that wouldn't be at all surprised by a Miami outright win. So I'll take the points in a close game. Play Miami-Ohio. |
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11-04-19 | Cowboys v. Giants +7.5 | 37-18 | Loss | -130 | 59 h 48 m | Show | |
Monday Night football is a key NFC East matchup between the Cowboys and the Giants. The NFC East is up for grabs, even the 2-6 Giants are not out of it. The Eagles and Cowboys lead the division with 4-3 records. That makes these division games big. Dallas had a big win two weeks ago at home over the Eagles, 37-10 and then had last week off. Three of the Cowboys next four games are on the road. This will also be the 2nd meeting of the season between these teams with Dallas winning on opening weekend at home, 35-17. The Giants have only two wins but they have been playing better of late, losing by five at Detroit last week and six at home two weeks ago to the Cardinals. Saquon Barkley is back from his injured ankle and QB Jones has been having some big weeks of late. The Cowboys haven't been a good Monday Night football team, covering just 4 of their last 14 on the big stage. Giants getting a TD here at home is too much for me to pass up on. I'll take New York. |
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11-03-19 | Patriots v. Ravens UNDER 45 | 20-37 | Loss | -110 | 35 h 52 m | Show | |
Sunday Night football has a good one tonight as the Patriots play the Ravens in Baltimore. The Patriots have had one of their best defensive teams in memory. The Patriots have not allowed more than 14 points in any game this season, including 7 or fewer points in four games. Not hard to follow that starting week 9 the Pats were the 2nd best overall defense in the league behind the 49ers. Baltimore has seen it's ranking drop, now down to 16th in the league. As for offense, the Patriots may only be 16th but they don't have to rely on Tom Brady to run up scores with the way the defense has been playing. The Ravens offjavascript:__doPostBack('eAddPickPackage','')ense now ranks 2nd, only behind Dallas. This game comes down to the Patriots defense against the Ravens offense. As for me, I haven't seen any team yet that has solved this problem. However, to be on the safe side, I'll take the UNDER here today and look for a low scoring game. |
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11-03-19 | Bucs +6 v. Seahawks | 34-40 | Push | 0 | 31 h 37 m | Show | |
The Seattle Seahawks got some much needed help at wide receiver when they picked up Josh Gordon from the waiver wire. Question is, will Gordon be worth the trouble that no other team has been willing to put up with so far. Seattle beat Atlanta last week, 27-20, but failed to cover the 7.5 point favorite line. It was the second week in a row that Seattle has failed to cover and is now 3-5 ATS on the season. Tampa Bay lost its third in a row last week at Tennessee, 23-27. They are just 2-5 ATS on the season. Since their big win at the Rams back on Sept 29th, they have lost three straight both S/U and ATS. Tampa dominated the game in yards, gaining 389 yards to 246. The problem was that the Bucs had four turnovers to just one for Tennessee. Not sure how Seattle won either, they were outgained by Atlanta, 322-512 yards. Again, it was turnovers as the Falcons had three turnovers to none for the Seahawks. Tampa should get its share of yards and points here today. Problem is how Jameis Winston can control turnovers. If the Bucs can keep those down, they can win this game. They have already proved at the Rams they can beat good Western teams on the road. I'm taking the points with Tampa Bay. |
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11-03-19 | Lions v. Raiders OVER 50.5 | 24-31 | Win | 100 | 31 h 37 m | Show | |
The Detroit Lions have been a good over team all season, posting a 5-2 O/U record and having both their last two games going over the total. That's what I'm looking at here today. Detroit has the 2nd worst defense in the league, only Cincinnati is worse. They counter that poor defense with a better than average offense that ranks 10th in the league. Pretty much the same for the Raiders. The Raiders are 26th in defense and 14th in offense. Oakland has seen three of its four road games go over the total. Last week at Houston was their first road under and that was just by one-point and they had the over TD called back. The Raiders lost at Houston last week, 24-27 with both teams gaining nearly 400 yards in offense with no turnovers. The Lions beat the Giants in Detroit last week, 31-26, going over the 49.5 point total. I love this game over here on Sunday with two of the worst defenses in the league on display here. Play the OVER. |
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11-03-19 | Texans v. Jaguars +2 | 26-3 | Loss | -115 | 24 h 1 m | Show | |
Early game here from across the pond as the Texans and Jaguars matchup in London. The Houston Texans won a narrow game last week at home over the Oakland Raiders, 27-24. They failed to cover the 6.5-point favorite line. It was the second failed cover in a row for the Texans. Jacksonville won its second game in a row both S/U and ATS with a win over the Jets last week, 29-15. It was the teams fifth cover in eight games. The Jags defense held the Jets to just 213 total yards and had three takeaways. Houston ranks 20th in the league in defense, but will be without their star DE in JJ Watt, who will miss the remainder of the season with a tear in his Tricep. Jacksonville ranks 13th defensively. Houston has the better offense though, ranking 4th in the league compared to the Jags 11th ranked offense. The Jags are a 1-point dog, so just need to pick the winner in this one. For me, that's Jacksonville. |
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11-02-19 | BYU +3.5 v. Utah State | 42-14 | Win | 100 | 35 h 33 m | Show | |
Little bit of instate-rivalry as BYU and Utah State matchup here today in Logan. Utah State is coming off a loss last week at Air Force, 7-31. The loss dropped the Aggies to 4-3. Utah State is also 4-3 ATS on the season. BYU had a big win last week over one of the Mountain West's favorites in Boise State. BYU was a 6.5-point home dog and pulled the upset win, 28-25. The win improved the Cougars to 3-4 both S/U and ATS. With Liberty on deck, the Cougars won't be in any look ahead situation and can actually get back into the Bowl picture with a win here this week. They have three easy games after this week with Liberty, Idaho State and U Mass in the coming weeks. That makes this game huge for BYU as a win here today and a sweep the next three weeks will make this team from 3-4 to 7-4 and secure a bowl spot. I like BYU today, they have no reason not to put forth all their effort into this game. Play BYU. |
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11-02-19 | Oregon v. USC +5 | 56-24 | Loss | -110 | 33 h 33 m | Show | |
No 7 Oregon makes the trip down South to take on the USC Trojans at the Coliseum. Oregon is 7-1 S/U and 4-4 ATS on the season. The Ducks improved to 7-1 with a huge, come-from-behind win last week at Washington State, 37-35. That makes three straight weeks that the Ducks have scored at least 35 points. QB Hebert finally looks to be coming into his own as he leads this Oregon team. Now they have to travel to USC that has had issues this year. The Trojans held on to beat Colorado last week, 35-31, but failed to cover the 13-point favorite spread. The win improved the Trojans to 5-3 S/U and 4-4 ATS on the season. Oregon is ranked 25th in offense with USC 35th. USC is 98th defensively and Oregon is 20th. USC in the rare spot as a home dog here tonight. It's not often you can get points at home with the Trojans. I think this is one of those games that could come down to a last possession. I'm going to take the points with the home team here. Play USC. |
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11-02-19 | Georgia v. Florida +6.5 | Top | 24-17 | Loss | -109 | 28 h 7 m | Show |
It's a big SEC Matchup here on Saturday as No 6 Florida takes on No 8 Georgia from Jacksonville in the World's Largest Outdoor Cocktail Party. The winner of this game should become the SEC East champion, which will mean an SEC Championship showdown with either Alabama or LSU for the conference championship. To the loser, that means elimination from the top 4 playoff picture. The Gators will rely on pressuring the Georgia QB as they lead the SEC in sacks with 29. They will go up against a Georgia offensive line that has allowed just four sack all season. Georgia is just 3-4 ATS on the season and has failed to cover its last two games. Florida started the season 0-2-1 ATS and has since gone 3-1 ATS. Last year Georgia won this matchup, 36-17 as a 6.5-point dog, outgaining the Gators, 423-275 yards. Georgia has covered the last two seasons with Florida taking the previous three. This should be a great matchup, best of the day in fact. I like the points here with a Florida team I expect to win outright. Play Florida. |
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11-02-19 | Northern Illinois v. Central Michigan +1.5 | 10-48 | Win | 100 | 25 h 32 m | Show | |
Central Michigan dropped to 5-4 last week with a loss at home to Buffalo, 20-43. CMU is having a very good year vs the number, now 7-2 on the season. Northern Illinois improved to 3-5 with a win over Akron at home last week, 49-9. The Huskies are now 5-3 ATS. Northern Illinois is 89th ranked in offense with Central Michigan at 53rd. Central Michigan is 50th defensively while NIU is 35th. Northern Illinois won this game last year at home, 24-16 as a 14-point favorite. Central has now covered this matchup the last five years. I like them once again here on Saturday. Play Central Michigan. |
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10-31-19 | 49ers v. Cardinals UNDER 43 | 28-25 | Loss | -105 | 23 h 43 m | Show | |
San Francisco 49ers look to be one of the favorites in the NFC to win the conference this year after a 7-0 start. The defense has improved so much that's it has overtaken New England for the best overall defense in the league. They have allowed 13 points or fewer in their last four games and no team has scored more than 20 against them this year. The 49ers destroyed the Panthers last week, 51-13. However, the Niners only had 388 yards of offense. They controlled the ball on the ground though, rushing for 232 yards. The Niners allow a league best 224 yards per game now with the offense coming in 6th overall. Arizona will have its work cut out tonight. The Cardinals are the 22nd best offense in the league and the defense is ranked 29th. Arizona lost last week at the Saints last week. 9-31. I won't be laying the big price on the road with the 49ers. Rather, I'll be taking the UNDER here tonight. I don't expect the Cardinals to get much and as long as the 49ers don't go crazy again, this one should stay under. |